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2021-09-28

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2021-09-27

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2021-07-13

What’s up man

Orbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.<blockquote>Orbsat Corp股价在早盘交易中上涨近100%，该公司的全球Telesat通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote>

2021-06-16

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Crypto Die-Hards Built a $90 Billion Wall Street on the Internet<blockquote>加密货币顽固分子在互联网上建立了价值900亿美元的华尔街</blockquote>

2021-07-07

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2021-07-29

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2021-07-24

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2021-09-29

Yo

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2021-07-19

Hey guys

Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be "Hotter But Shorter" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>

2021-06-23

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like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176887707","repostId":"1107219983","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2339,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171924994,"gmtCreate":1626703336818,"gmtModify":1631889777752,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883452834217","idStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hey guys","listText":"Hey guys","text":"Hey guys","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171924994","repostId":"1146536243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146536243","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626683272,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146536243?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146536243","media":"zerohedge","summary":"This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","content":"<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式，这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件？是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家，如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为，那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进，这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处，2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（见增长恐慌周年纪念，2021年7月11日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标，所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”，它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后，该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快，以至于已经过了下一个阶段（“复苏”），直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件，<b>自1980年以来，“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点，它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，信贷相对于其他风险资产越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次衰退提前到来，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%，并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为该行业具有几个良好的因素：质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”，我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债，而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 16:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式，这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件？是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家，如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为，那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进，这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处，2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（见增长恐慌周年纪念，2021年7月11日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标，所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”，它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后，该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快，以至于已经过了下一个阶段（“复苏”），直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件，<b>自1980年以来，“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点，它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，信贷相对于其他风险资产越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次衰退提前到来，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%，并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为该行业具有几个良好的因素：质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”，我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债，而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146536243","content_text":"We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.\nBut 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.\nInstead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.\nWas last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.\nIf it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should continue to do so.\nSpecifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).\nBecause one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.\nThisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.\nAll this has a number of implications:\n\nThe shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.\nIn many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.\nIn equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.\nInterest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.\n\nThis cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144075767,"gmtCreate":1626257455159,"gmtModify":1631889777753,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883452834217","idStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sup?","listText":"Sup?","text":"Sup?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144075767","repostId":"1165083410","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165083410","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626256074,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165083410?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-14 17:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.<blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划，大麻股在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165083410","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Cannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of ","content":"<p>Cannabis&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;gains&nbsp;in premarket&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.</p><p><blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划，大麻股在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> SNDL&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rises&nbsp;4%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket,&nbsp;TLRY&nbsp;and&nbsp;ACB&nbsp;shares&nbsp;are&nbsp;up&nbsp;2%.</p><p><blockquote>SNDL股价盘前上涨4%，TLRY和ACB股价上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/231cd44d5edcf10717dd42ede4ccbed1\" tg-width=\"1289\" tg-height=\"593\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.), Sen. Ron Wyden (D., Oreg.) and Sen. Cory Booker (D., N.J.) are unveiling a discussion draft of their legislation to end the federal prohibition of marijuana. The senators will detail their plan at a press conference on July 14.</p><p><blockquote>参议院多数党领袖查克·舒默（纽约州民主党）、参议员罗恩·怀登（俄勒冈州民主党）。）和新泽西州民主党参议员科里·布克（Cory Booker）公布了一份结束联邦大麻禁令的立法讨论草案。参议员们将在7月14日的新闻发布会上详细介绍他们的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The proposal— known as the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act — calls for removing cannabis from the federal list of controlled substances, allowing states to make their own decisions on cannabis. Many states have already moved to legalize recreational or medicinal marijuana use, but it still remains illegal under federal law.</p><p><blockquote>该提案被称为《大麻管理和机会法案》，评级将大麻从联邦受控物质清单中删除，允许各州就大麻做出自己的决定。许多州已经采取行动将娱乐性或医用大麻使用合法化，但根据联邦法律，这仍然是非法的。</blockquote></p><p> \"By ending the failed federal prohibition of cannabis, the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act will ensure that Americans – especially Black and Brown Americans – no longer have to fear arrest or be barred from public housing or federal financial aid for higher education for using cannabis in states where it’s legal,\" reads the discussion draft. \"State-compliant cannabis businesses will finally be treated like other businesses and allowed access to essential financial services, like bank accounts and loans. Medical research will no longer be stifled.\"</p><p><blockquote>“通过结束失败的联邦大麻禁令，《大麻管理和机会法案》将确保美国人——尤其是黑人和棕色人种美国人——不再担心因使用大麻而被捕或被禁止获得公共住房或联邦高等教育财政援助。在合法的州，”讨论草案中写道。“符合国家规定的大麻企业最终将像其他企业一样受到对待，并被允许获得基本的金融服务，例如银行账户和贷款。医学研究将不再受到抑制。”</blockquote></p><p> The proposal establishes 21 as the minimum age to purchase cannabis and limits retail sales to no more than 10 ounces of cannabis. It calls for federal agencies to research the impacts of cannabis use, legalization and cannabis-impaired driving — including research to establish an impairment standard for driving under the influence of cannabis.</p><p><blockquote>该提案将21岁定为购买大麻的最低年龄，并将大麻的零售额限制在不超过10盎司。评级是联邦机构研究大麻使用、合法化和大麻损害驾驶的影响，包括研究建立大麻影响下驾驶的损害标准。</blockquote></p><p> The Democratic trio has been working on the legislation for months. In an interview withYahoo Financeshortly after they announced their plan to work on the proposal, Sen. Wyden said Congress should \"finally recognize that the War on Drugs has failed.\"</p><p><blockquote>民主党三人组已经为这项立法工作了几个月。在宣布制定该提案的计划后不久，怀登参议员在接受雅虎财经采访时表示，国会应该“最终认识到禁毒战争已经失败”。</blockquote></p><p> The plan would require expungement of federal non-violent cannabis convictions and encourage state and local governments to do the same. It would keep people from being denied federal benefits — such as housing or federal financial aid — because of cannabis use or possession. People who are not U.S. citizens could not be denied benefits or protection under immigration laws.</p><p><blockquote>该计划将要求删除联邦非暴力大麻定罪，并鼓励州和地方政府也这样做。它将防止人们因为使用或持有大麻而被剥夺联邦福利，如住房或联邦财政援助。根据移民法，非美国公民不能被剥夺福利或保护。</blockquote></p><p> The plan would also create new grant programs to fund nonprofits that help people who have been \"adversely impacted by the War on Drugs.\" It would make loans available to small businesses in the cannabis industry and help states and localities implement cannabis licensing programs.</p><p><blockquote>该计划还将创建新的拨款计划，为帮助“受到毒品战争不利影响”的人们的非营利组织提供资金。它将向大麻行业的小企业提供贷款，并帮助各州和地方实施大麻许可计划。</blockquote></p><p> President Joe Biden backed decriminalization of marijuana on the campaign trail, but the White House has not backed legalization efforts. In December, the Housepassed the MORE Act— which would remove marijuana from the controlled substance list and create restorative justice programs. Earlier this year, Rep. Jerry Nadler (D., N.Y.)reintroducedthe legislation.</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统在竞选中支持大麻合法化，但白宫不支持大麻合法化的努力。去年12月，众议院通过了MORE法案——该法案将大麻从受控物质清单中删除，并创建恢复性司法计划。今年早些时候，纽约州民主党众议员杰里·纳德勒重新提出了这项立法。</blockquote></p><p> The senators are asking for input on the proposal by Sept. 1, so they can consider feedback before crafting the final bill. The proposal faces a difficult vote in the evenly-divided Senate.</p><p><blockquote>参议员们要求在9月1日之前对该提案提出意见，以便他们可以在起草最终法案之前考虑反馈。该提案在平分秋色的参议院面临艰难的投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.<blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划，大麻股在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.<blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划，大麻股在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-14 17:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cannabis&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;gains&nbsp;in premarket&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.</p><p><blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划，大麻股在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> SNDL&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rises&nbsp;4%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket,&nbsp;TLRY&nbsp;and&nbsp;ACB&nbsp;shares&nbsp;are&nbsp;up&nbsp;2%.</p><p><blockquote>SNDL股价盘前上涨4%，TLRY和ACB股价上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/231cd44d5edcf10717dd42ede4ccbed1\" tg-width=\"1289\" tg-height=\"593\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.), Sen. Ron Wyden (D., Oreg.) and Sen. Cory Booker (D., N.J.) are unveiling a discussion draft of their legislation to end the federal prohibition of marijuana. The senators will detail their plan at a press conference on July 14.</p><p><blockquote>参议院多数党领袖查克·舒默（纽约州民主党）、参议员罗恩·怀登（俄勒冈州民主党）。）和新泽西州民主党参议员科里·布克（Cory Booker）公布了一份结束联邦大麻禁令的立法讨论草案。参议员们将在7月14日的新闻发布会上详细介绍他们的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The proposal— known as the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act — calls for removing cannabis from the federal list of controlled substances, allowing states to make their own decisions on cannabis. Many states have already moved to legalize recreational or medicinal marijuana use, but it still remains illegal under federal law.</p><p><blockquote>该提案被称为《大麻管理和机会法案》，评级将大麻从联邦受控物质清单中删除，允许各州就大麻做出自己的决定。许多州已经采取行动将娱乐性或医用大麻使用合法化，但根据联邦法律，这仍然是非法的。</blockquote></p><p> \"By ending the failed federal prohibition of cannabis, the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act will ensure that Americans – especially Black and Brown Americans – no longer have to fear arrest or be barred from public housing or federal financial aid for higher education for using cannabis in states where it’s legal,\" reads the discussion draft. \"State-compliant cannabis businesses will finally be treated like other businesses and allowed access to essential financial services, like bank accounts and loans. Medical research will no longer be stifled.\"</p><p><blockquote>“通过结束失败的联邦大麻禁令，《大麻管理和机会法案》将确保美国人——尤其是黑人和棕色人种美国人——不再担心因使用大麻而被捕或被禁止获得公共住房或联邦高等教育财政援助。在合法的州，”讨论草案中写道。“符合国家规定的大麻企业最终将像其他企业一样受到对待，并被允许获得基本的金融服务，例如银行账户和贷款。医学研究将不再受到抑制。”</blockquote></p><p> The proposal establishes 21 as the minimum age to purchase cannabis and limits retail sales to no more than 10 ounces of cannabis. It calls for federal agencies to research the impacts of cannabis use, legalization and cannabis-impaired driving — including research to establish an impairment standard for driving under the influence of cannabis.</p><p><blockquote>该提案将21岁定为购买大麻的最低年龄，并将大麻的零售额限制在不超过10盎司。评级是联邦机构研究大麻使用、合法化和大麻损害驾驶的影响，包括研究建立大麻影响下驾驶的损害标准。</blockquote></p><p> The Democratic trio has been working on the legislation for months. In an interview withYahoo Financeshortly after they announced their plan to work on the proposal, Sen. Wyden said Congress should \"finally recognize that the War on Drugs has failed.\"</p><p><blockquote>民主党三人组已经为这项立法工作了几个月。在宣布制定该提案的计划后不久，怀登参议员在接受雅虎财经采访时表示，国会应该“最终认识到禁毒战争已经失败”。</blockquote></p><p> The plan would require expungement of federal non-violent cannabis convictions and encourage state and local governments to do the same. It would keep people from being denied federal benefits — such as housing or federal financial aid — because of cannabis use or possession. People who are not U.S. citizens could not be denied benefits or protection under immigration laws.</p><p><blockquote>该计划将要求删除联邦非暴力大麻定罪，并鼓励州和地方政府也这样做。它将防止人们因为使用或持有大麻而被剥夺联邦福利，如住房或联邦财政援助。根据移民法，非美国公民不能被剥夺福利或保护。</blockquote></p><p> The plan would also create new grant programs to fund nonprofits that help people who have been \"adversely impacted by the War on Drugs.\" It would make loans available to small businesses in the cannabis industry and help states and localities implement cannabis licensing programs.</p><p><blockquote>该计划还将创建新的拨款计划，为帮助“受到毒品战争不利影响”的人们的非营利组织提供资金。它将向大麻行业的小企业提供贷款，并帮助各州和地方实施大麻许可计划。</blockquote></p><p> President Joe Biden backed decriminalization of marijuana on the campaign trail, but the White House has not backed legalization efforts. In December, the Housepassed the MORE Act— which would remove marijuana from the controlled substance list and create restorative justice programs. Earlier this year, Rep. Jerry Nadler (D., N.Y.)reintroducedthe legislation.</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统在竞选中支持大麻合法化，但白宫不支持大麻合法化的努力。去年12月，众议院通过了MORE法案——该法案将大麻从受控物质清单中删除，并创建恢复性司法计划。今年早些时候，纽约州民主党众议员杰里·纳德勒重新提出了这项立法。</blockquote></p><p> The senators are asking for input on the proposal by Sept. 1, so they can consider feedback before crafting the final bill. The proposal faces a difficult vote in the evenly-divided Senate.</p><p><blockquote>参议员们要求在9月1日之前对该提案提出意见，以便他们可以在起草最终法案之前考虑反馈。该提案在平分秋色的参议院面临艰难的投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","SNDL":"SNDL Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165083410","content_text":"Cannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.\nSNDL shares rises 4% in premarket, TLRY and ACB shares are up 2%.\n\nSenate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.), Sen. Ron Wyden (D., Oreg.) and Sen. Cory Booker (D., N.J.) are unveiling a discussion draft of their legislation to end the federal prohibition of marijuana. The senators will detail their plan at a press conference on July 14.\nThe proposal— known as the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act — calls for removing cannabis from the federal list of controlled substances, allowing states to make their own decisions on cannabis. Many states have already moved to legalize recreational or medicinal marijuana use, but it still remains illegal under federal law.\n\"By ending the failed federal prohibition of cannabis, the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act will ensure that Americans – especially Black and Brown Americans – no longer have to fear arrest or be barred from public housing or federal financial aid for higher education for using cannabis in states where it’s legal,\" reads the discussion draft. \"State-compliant cannabis businesses will finally be treated like other businesses and allowed access to essential financial services, like bank accounts and loans. Medical research will no longer be stifled.\"\nThe proposal establishes 21 as the minimum age to purchase cannabis and limits retail sales to no more than 10 ounces of cannabis. It calls for federal agencies to research the impacts of cannabis use, legalization and cannabis-impaired driving — including research to establish an impairment standard for driving under the influence of cannabis.\nThe Democratic trio has been working on the legislation for months. In an interview withYahoo Financeshortly after they announced their plan to work on the proposal, Sen. Wyden said Congress should \"finally recognize that the War on Drugs has failed.\"\nThe plan would require expungement of federal non-violent cannabis convictions and encourage state and local governments to do the same. It would keep people from being denied federal benefits — such as housing or federal financial aid — because of cannabis use or possession. People who are not U.S. citizens could not be denied benefits or protection under immigration laws.\nThe plan would also create new grant programs to fund nonprofits that help people who have been \"adversely impacted by the War on Drugs.\" It would make loans available to small businesses in the cannabis industry and help states and localities implement cannabis licensing programs.\nPresident Joe Biden backed decriminalization of marijuana on the campaign trail, but the White House has not backed legalization efforts. In December, the Housepassed the MORE Act— which would remove marijuana from the controlled substance list and create restorative justice programs. Earlier this year, Rep. Jerry Nadler (D., N.Y.)reintroducedthe legislation.\nThe senators are asking for input on the proposal by Sept. 1, so they can consider feedback before crafting the final bill. The proposal faces a difficult vote in the evenly-divided Senate.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TLRY":0.9,"SNDL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2073,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145074781,"gmtCreate":1626184854243,"gmtModify":1631889777758,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883452834217","idStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What’s up man","listText":"What’s up man","text":"What’s up man","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145074781","repostId":"1152442565","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152442565","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626183960,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152442565?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 21:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Orbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.<blockquote>Orbsat Corp股价在早盘交易中上涨近100%，该公司的全球Telesat通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152442565","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Orbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications","content":"<p>Orbsat Corp&nbsp;shares&nbsp;jumps&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;100%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.</p><p><blockquote>Orbsat Corp股价在早盘交易中上涨近100%，该公司的全球Telesat通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df700e33a39e4c926a5f47fe2917a75c\" tg-width=\"1286\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Orbsat Corp, a global provider of IoT and connectivity solutions through next-generation satellite technology, today announced that its Global Telesat Communications (GTC) unit has entered into an agreement with Alibaba.com, the B2B (Business-to-Business) e-commerce website owned and operated by Alibaba Group Holding Limited, also known as Alibaba Group (NYSE: BABA; HKEX: 9988), a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, internet, and technology. GTC will be a Gold- Supplier on Alibaba.com, the world's largest Business-to-Business (B2B) e-commerce website.</p><p><blockquote>通过下一代卫星技术提供物联网和连接解决方案的全球提供商Orbsat Corp今天宣布，其全球Telesat Communications(GTC)部门已与B2B（企业对企业）阿里巴巴达成协议电子商务网站由阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司（又称阿里巴巴-SW集团（纽约证券交易所代码：BABA；香港交易所代码：9988）拥有和运营，是一家专注于电子商务、零售、互联网和技术的中国跨国科技公司。GTC将成为全球最大的企业对企业(B2B)电子商务网站Alibaba.com的金牌供应商。</blockquote></p><p> \"With our launch on Alibaba.com, the world's largest B2B platform, we are significantly accelerating our global expansion plans, expanding, and deepening our e-commerce reach into nearly every country. This will allow us to better serve the needs of our enterprise customers across the world,\" said Charles M. Fernandez, Chairman and CEO of Orbsat. \"There has been explosive growth in online shopping due to the pandemic as businesses and consumers around the world embrace e-commerce. Long-term, we believe that e-commerce will be the preferred channel for businesses and consumers seeking to research and purchase our satellite IoT and connectivity products and services. We also intend to secure new integration alliances including joint commerce structures with additional connectivity partners such as those in the CubeSat space which can leverage our expanded e-commerce platforms and ground station-based infrastructure.\"</p><p><blockquote>Orbsat董事长兼首席执行官Charles M.Fernandez表示：“随着我们在全球最大的B2B平台Alibaba.com上的推出，我们正在显着加快我们的全球扩张计划，扩大和深化我们的电子商务覆盖几乎每个国家。这将使我们能够更好地满足全球企业客户的需求。”“由于疫情，随着世界各地的企业和消费者接受电子商务，在线购物出现了爆炸性增长。从长远来看，我们相信电子商务将成为寻求研究和购买我们卫星物联网和连接产品和服务的企业和消费者的首选渠道。我们还打算建立新的集成联盟，包括与其他连接合作伙伴的联合商务结构，例如CubeSat领域的合作伙伴，这些合作伙伴可以利用我们扩展的电子商务平台和基于地面站的基础设施。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Orbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.<blockquote>Orbsat Corp股价在早盘交易中上涨近100%，该公司的全球Telesat通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOrbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.<blockquote>Orbsat Corp股价在早盘交易中上涨近100%，该公司的全球Telesat通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-13 21:46</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Orbsat Corp&nbsp;shares&nbsp;jumps&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;100%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.</p><p><blockquote>Orbsat Corp股价在早盘交易中上涨近100%，该公司的全球Telesat通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df700e33a39e4c926a5f47fe2917a75c\" tg-width=\"1286\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Orbsat Corp, a global provider of IoT and connectivity solutions through next-generation satellite technology, today announced that its Global Telesat Communications (GTC) unit has entered into an agreement with Alibaba.com, the B2B (Business-to-Business) e-commerce website owned and operated by Alibaba Group Holding Limited, also known as Alibaba Group (NYSE: BABA; HKEX: 9988), a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, internet, and technology. GTC will be a Gold- Supplier on Alibaba.com, the world's largest Business-to-Business (B2B) e-commerce website.</p><p><blockquote>通过下一代卫星技术提供物联网和连接解决方案的全球提供商Orbsat Corp今天宣布，其全球Telesat Communications(GTC)部门已与B2B（企业对企业）阿里巴巴达成协议电子商务网站由阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司（又称阿里巴巴-SW集团（纽约证券交易所代码：BABA；香港交易所代码：9988）拥有和运营，是一家专注于电子商务、零售、互联网和技术的中国跨国科技公司。GTC将成为全球最大的企业对企业(B2B)电子商务网站Alibaba.com的金牌供应商。</blockquote></p><p> \"With our launch on Alibaba.com, the world's largest B2B platform, we are significantly accelerating our global expansion plans, expanding, and deepening our e-commerce reach into nearly every country. This will allow us to better serve the needs of our enterprise customers across the world,\" said Charles M. Fernandez, Chairman and CEO of Orbsat. \"There has been explosive growth in online shopping due to the pandemic as businesses and consumers around the world embrace e-commerce. Long-term, we believe that e-commerce will be the preferred channel for businesses and consumers seeking to research and purchase our satellite IoT and connectivity products and services. We also intend to secure new integration alliances including joint commerce structures with additional connectivity partners such as those in the CubeSat space which can leverage our expanded e-commerce platforms and ground station-based infrastructure.\"</p><p><blockquote>Orbsat董事长兼首席执行官Charles M.Fernandez表示：“随着我们在全球最大的B2B平台Alibaba.com上的推出，我们正在显着加快我们的全球扩张计划，扩大和深化我们的电子商务覆盖几乎每个国家。这将使我们能够更好地满足全球企业客户的需求。”“由于疫情，随着世界各地的企业和消费者接受电子商务，在线购物出现了爆炸性增长。从长远来看，我们相信电子商务将成为寻求研究和购买我们卫星物联网和连接产品和服务的企业和消费者的首选渠道。我们还打算建立新的集成联盟，包括与其他连接合作伙伴的联合商务结构，例如CubeSat领域的合作伙伴，这些合作伙伴可以利用我们扩展的电子商务平台和基于地面站的基础设施。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152442565","content_text":"Orbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.\nOrbsat Corp, a global provider of IoT and connectivity solutions through next-generation satellite technology, today announced that its Global Telesat Communications (GTC) unit has entered into an agreement with Alibaba.com, the B2B (Business-to-Business) e-commerce website owned and operated by Alibaba Group Holding Limited, also known as Alibaba Group (NYSE: BABA; HKEX: 9988), a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, internet, and technology. GTC will be a Gold- Supplier on Alibaba.com, the world's largest Business-to-Business (B2B) e-commerce website.\n\"With our launch on Alibaba.com, the world's largest B2B platform, we are significantly accelerating our global expansion plans, expanding, and deepening our e-commerce reach into nearly every country. This will allow us to better serve the needs of our enterprise customers across the world,\" said Charles M. Fernandez, Chairman and CEO of Orbsat. \"There has been explosive growth in online shopping due to the pandemic as businesses and consumers around the world embrace e-commerce. Long-term, we believe that e-commerce will be the preferred channel for businesses and consumers seeking to research and purchase our satellite IoT and connectivity products and services. We also intend to secure new integration alliances including joint commerce structures with additional connectivity partners such as those in the CubeSat space which can leverage our expanded e-commerce platforms and ground station-based infrastructure.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"OSAT":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2382,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146795547,"gmtCreate":1626098711889,"gmtModify":1631889777766,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883452834217","idStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;Hello","listText":"&nbsp;Hello","text":"Hello","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146795547","repostId":"2150580297","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143944547,"gmtCreate":1625757860389,"gmtModify":1631889777768,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883452834217","idStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Covid 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please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157125273","repostId":"1184051379","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152449037,"gmtCreate":1625338751929,"gmtModify":1631889777777,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883452834217","idStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like my post","listText":"Please like my post","text":"Please like my 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market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624449285,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146629706?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 19:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146629706","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.\nBitcoin, ethe","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.</li>  <li>Bitcoin, ethereum and other crypto currenciesrose Wednesday after a tumultous few daysof trading. The SEC meanwhile,delayed a decision about allowing bitcoin ETFs.</li>  <li>Crude prices hit multiyear highs on economic rebound hopes,with signs pointing to a stronger rebound in the U.S.than the rest of the world.</li>  <li>Torchlight Energy, a hot stock among the Reddit crowd, tumbled premarket, extending a 29% drop the day before.</li>  <li>GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack &amp; more made the biggest moves.</li> </ul> (June 23)&nbsp;U.S. equity futures were steady, while stocks were mixed Wednesday as investors assessed prospects for an economic recovery and continued policy support.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股指期货在小幅上涨和下跌之间反弹，表明开盘平静。</li><li>经过几天的动荡交易后，比特币、以太币和其他加密货币周三上涨。与此同时，美国证券交易委员会推迟了允许比特币ETF的决定。</li><li>由于经济反弹的希望，原油价格触及多年高点，有迹象表明美国的反弹力度强于世界其他地区。</li><li>Reddit人群中的热门股票Torchlight Energy盘前暴跌，延续前一天29%的跌幅。</li><li>葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack等公司动作最大。</li></ul>（6月23日）美国。周三，由于投资者评估经济复苏和持续政策支持的前景，股指期货稳定，而股市涨跌互现。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:59AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 17 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 futures traded 0.25 points, or 0.01%, lower, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 4.25&nbsp;points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:59，道指期货合约仅上涨17点，即0.05%，标普500期货下跌0.25点，即0.01%，纳斯达克100期货上涨4.25点，即0.03%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e352cd119b936c2cd0b2e789eff1776a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Contracts on all three U.S. equity benchmarks were little changed, after two days of gains for the S&amp;P 500 Index. European equities fell despite better-than-forecast outputdata, after high-flying sectors such as luxury-goods makersslidon analyst downgrades. Asian equities advanced.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500指数连续两天上涨后，所有三个美国股市基准的合约几乎没有变化。尽管产出数据好于预期，但在奢侈品制造商等高速发展的行业被分析师下调评级后，欧洲股市仍下跌。亚洲股市上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Oil climbed above $73 a barrel after data signaling another decline in U.S. crude stockpiles added to a bullish outlook.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示美国原油库存再次下降，增加了看涨前景，油价攀升至每桶73美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/292b831ab7a8ddca43fdc5432203af34\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Markets are steadying this week after last week’s volatility spurred by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt at its meeting. Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday said the central bank would be patient in waiting to lift borrowing costs, andreiteratedthat while price increases are bigger than expected, they will likely wane.</p><p><blockquote>继上周美联储在会议上的鹰派倾向引发的波动之后，市场本周趋于稳定。主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二表示，央行将耐心等待提高借贷成本，并重申，虽然物价涨幅大于预期，但可能会减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s shift last week to acknowledge higher inflation and pull forward its rate hike projections is “a reflection of more positive longer-term dynamics,” BlackRock Investment Institute strategists led by Jean Boivin wrote in a report. “We believe the Fed’s new outlook will not translate into significantly higher policy rates any time soon. This, combined with the powerful restart, underpins our pro-risk stance.”</p><p><blockquote>以Jean Boivin为首的贝莱德投资研究所策略师在一份报告中写道，美联储上周转向承认通胀上升并提前加息预测，“反映了更积极的长期动态”。“我们认为，美联储的新前景不会很快转化为大幅提高的政策利率。这一点，再加上强有力的重启，支撑了我们的亲风险立场。”</blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, commodities including copper and iron ore climbed.Bitcoinrebounded, rising past $30,000.</p><p><blockquote>其他方面，铜和铁矿石等大宗商品上涨。比特币反弹，升至30,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) </b>– The drugmaker’s stock rose 3.5% in the premarket after it detailed plans to spin out its consumer health-care business into a separate company. Glaxo will eventually receive an $11 billion payment from the new company.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）葛兰素史克（GSK）</b>-该制药商详细计划将其消费者医疗保健业务分拆为一家独立公司后，其股价在盘前上涨3.5%。葛兰素史克最终将从新公司获得110亿美元的付款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b> – MicroStrategy rallied 4.4% in premarket trading, trading in sync with the price of bitcoin. The business analytics company holds several billion dollars worth of bitcoin and took advantage of the recent price drop to buy more.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）MicroStrategy（MSTR）</b>-MicroStrategy在盘前交易中上涨4.4%，与比特币的价格同步。这家商业分析公司持有价值数十亿美元的比特币，并利用最近价格下跌的机会购买了更多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Shake Shack(SHAK) </b>– Shake Shack announced an expansion of its footprint in China, where it currently has 16 restaurants. It will open 10 restaurants in new territories by 2031, and plans to have a total of 79 China locations by that time. Shake Shack gained 1.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）摇摇小屋（SHAK）</b>-Shake Shack宣布扩大其在中国的足迹，目前在中国拥有16家餐厅。它将于2031年前在新界开设10家餐厅，并计划届时在中国的分店总数为79家。Shake Shack在盘前上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Winnebago(WGO) </b>– The recreational vehicle maker reported quarterly earnings of $2.16 per share, well above the consensus estimate of $1.77 a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts by doubling to record levels. Sales of towable products nearly tripled from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>4）温尼贝戈（WGO）</b>-这家休闲车制造商公布的季度收益为每股2.16美元，远高于每股1.77美元的普遍预期。收入也超出了华尔街的预期，翻了一番，达到创纪录的水平。可牵引产品的销量同比增长近两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Microsoft(MSFT) </b>– Microsoft became the second company to surpass a $2 trillion market value, achieving that mark during Tuesday’s session.Apple(AAPL), currently worth $2.2 trillion, was the first.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）微软（MSFT）</b>–微软成为第二家市值突破2万亿美元的公司，并在周二的交易中实现了这一大关。目前市值2.2万亿美元的苹果(AAPL)是第一家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Carrier Global(CARR)</b> – Carrier shares rose 1.9% in the premarket after the stock was rated “buy” in new coverage at Deutsche Bank. The industrial equipment maker is poised to benefit from its exposure to non-residential construction as well as an increasing emphasis on indoor air quality, according to Deutsche Bank.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)Carrier Global(CARR)</b>-在德意志银行的新报道中，开利股价被评为“买入”后，该股盘前上涨1.9%。德意志银行表示，这家工业设备制造商将受益于其对非住宅建筑的投资以及对室内空气质量的日益重视。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Amazon.com(AMZN) </b>– Amazon will bethe target of a nationwide unionization effortby the Teamsters Union, which accuses the retail giant of mistreating warehouse and logistics workers. The effort was announced in a resolution presented at the union’s international convention.</p><p><blockquote><b>7)亚马逊。com(AMZN)</b>-亚马逊将成为卡车司机工会在全国范围内成立工会的目标，该工会指责这家零售巨头虐待仓库和物流工人。这项努力是在联盟国际大会上提交的一项决议中宣布的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Intel(INTC)</b> – The semiconductor maker is creating two new business units, one that will focus on software and the other on high-performance computing and graphics.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）英特尔（INTC）</b>-这家半导体制造商正在创建两个新的业务部门，一个专注于软件，另一个专注于高性能计算和图形。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Alphabet(GOOGL)</b> – Alphabet’s Google unit will soon face a lawsuit by a number of state attorneys general, according to a Reuters report. The suit – which could be filed as soon as next week – will accuse the company’s Google Play app store of violating antitrust law.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）Alphabet（GOOGL）</b>——据路透社报道，Alphabet的谷歌部门很快将面临多位州总检察长的诉讼。该诉讼最早可能于下周提起，将指控该公司的Google Play应用商店违反反垄断法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Xpeng(XPEV) </b>– Xpeng received permission from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for an initial public offering there, with The Wall Street Journal reporting that the China-based electric car maker is planning to raise up to $2 billion with that offering. Xpeng is already listed in the U.S. with a market value of more than $30 billion. Xpeng jumped 3.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10）小鹏汽车（XPEV）</b>-小鹏汽车获得香港联交所首次公开募股的许可，据《华尔街日报》报道，这家中国电动汽车制造商计划通过此次发行筹集至多20亿美元。小鹏汽车已经在美国上市，市值超过300亿美元。小鹏汽车盘前上涨3.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-23 19:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.</li>  <li>Bitcoin, ethereum and other crypto currenciesrose Wednesday after a tumultous few daysof trading. The SEC meanwhile,delayed a decision about allowing bitcoin ETFs.</li>  <li>Crude prices hit multiyear highs on economic rebound hopes,with signs pointing to a stronger rebound in the U.S.than the rest of the world.</li>  <li>Torchlight Energy, a hot stock among the Reddit crowd, tumbled premarket, extending a 29% drop the day before.</li>  <li>GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack &amp; more made the biggest moves.</li> </ul> (June 23)&nbsp;U.S. equity futures were steady, while stocks were mixed Wednesday as investors assessed prospects for an economic recovery and continued policy support.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股指期货在小幅上涨和下跌之间反弹，表明开盘平静。</li><li>经过几天的动荡交易后，比特币、以太币和其他加密货币周三上涨。与此同时，美国证券交易委员会推迟了允许比特币ETF的决定。</li><li>由于经济反弹的希望，原油价格触及多年高点，有迹象表明美国的反弹力度强于世界其他地区。</li><li>Reddit人群中的热门股票Torchlight Energy盘前暴跌，延续前一天29%的跌幅。</li><li>葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack等公司动作最大。</li></ul>（6月23日）美国。周三，由于投资者评估经济复苏和持续政策支持的前景，股指期货稳定，而股市涨跌互现。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:59AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 17 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 futures traded 0.25 points, or 0.01%, lower, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 4.25&nbsp;points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:59，道指期货合约仅上涨17点，即0.05%，标普500期货下跌0.25点，即0.01%，纳斯达克100期货上涨4.25点，即0.03%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e352cd119b936c2cd0b2e789eff1776a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Contracts on all three U.S. equity benchmarks were little changed, after two days of gains for the S&amp;P 500 Index. European equities fell despite better-than-forecast outputdata, after high-flying sectors such as luxury-goods makersslidon analyst downgrades. Asian equities advanced.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500指数连续两天上涨后，所有三个美国股市基准的合约几乎没有变化。尽管产出数据好于预期，但在奢侈品制造商等高速发展的行业被分析师下调评级后，欧洲股市仍下跌。亚洲股市上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Oil climbed above $73 a barrel after data signaling another decline in U.S. crude stockpiles added to a bullish outlook.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示美国原油库存再次下降，增加了看涨前景，油价攀升至每桶73美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/292b831ab7a8ddca43fdc5432203af34\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Markets are steadying this week after last week’s volatility spurred by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt at its meeting. Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday said the central bank would be patient in waiting to lift borrowing costs, andreiteratedthat while price increases are bigger than expected, they will likely wane.</p><p><blockquote>继上周美联储在会议上的鹰派倾向引发的波动之后，市场本周趋于稳定。主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二表示，央行将耐心等待提高借贷成本，并重申，虽然物价涨幅大于预期，但可能会减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s shift last week to acknowledge higher inflation and pull forward its rate hike projections is “a reflection of more positive longer-term dynamics,” BlackRock Investment Institute strategists led by Jean Boivin wrote in a report. “We believe the Fed’s new outlook will not translate into significantly higher policy rates any time soon. This, combined with the powerful restart, underpins our pro-risk stance.”</p><p><blockquote>以Jean Boivin为首的贝莱德投资研究所策略师在一份报告中写道，美联储上周转向承认通胀上升并提前加息预测，“反映了更积极的长期动态”。“我们认为，美联储的新前景不会很快转化为大幅提高的政策利率。这一点，再加上强有力的重启，支撑了我们的亲风险立场。”</blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, commodities including copper and iron ore climbed.Bitcoinrebounded, rising past $30,000.</p><p><blockquote>其他方面，铜和铁矿石等大宗商品上涨。比特币反弹，升至30,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) </b>– The drugmaker’s stock rose 3.5% in the premarket after it detailed plans to spin out its consumer health-care business into a separate company. Glaxo will eventually receive an $11 billion payment from the new company.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）葛兰素史克（GSK）</b>-该制药商详细计划将其消费者医疗保健业务分拆为一家独立公司后，其股价在盘前上涨3.5%。葛兰素史克最终将从新公司获得110亿美元的付款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b> – MicroStrategy rallied 4.4% in premarket trading, trading in sync with the price of bitcoin. The business analytics company holds several billion dollars worth of bitcoin and took advantage of the recent price drop to buy more.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）MicroStrategy（MSTR）</b>-MicroStrategy在盘前交易中上涨4.4%，与比特币的价格同步。这家商业分析公司持有价值数十亿美元的比特币，并利用最近价格下跌的机会购买了更多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Shake Shack(SHAK) </b>– Shake Shack announced an expansion of its footprint in China, where it currently has 16 restaurants. It will open 10 restaurants in new territories by 2031, and plans to have a total of 79 China locations by that time. Shake Shack gained 1.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）摇摇小屋（SHAK）</b>-Shake Shack宣布扩大其在中国的足迹，目前在中国拥有16家餐厅。它将于2031年前在新界开设10家餐厅，并计划届时在中国的分店总数为79家。Shake Shack在盘前上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Winnebago(WGO) </b>– The recreational vehicle maker reported quarterly earnings of $2.16 per share, well above the consensus estimate of $1.77 a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts by doubling to record levels. Sales of towable products nearly tripled from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>4）温尼贝戈（WGO）</b>-这家休闲车制造商公布的季度收益为每股2.16美元，远高于每股1.77美元的普遍预期。收入也超出了华尔街的预期，翻了一番，达到创纪录的水平。可牵引产品的销量同比增长近两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Microsoft(MSFT) </b>– Microsoft became the second company to surpass a $2 trillion market value, achieving that mark during Tuesday’s session.Apple(AAPL), currently worth $2.2 trillion, was the first.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）微软（MSFT）</b>–微软成为第二家市值突破2万亿美元的公司，并在周二的交易中实现了这一大关。目前市值2.2万亿美元的苹果(AAPL)是第一家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Carrier Global(CARR)</b> – Carrier shares rose 1.9% in the premarket after the stock was rated “buy” in new coverage at Deutsche Bank. The industrial equipment maker is poised to benefit from its exposure to non-residential construction as well as an increasing emphasis on indoor air quality, according to Deutsche Bank.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)Carrier Global(CARR)</b>-在德意志银行的新报道中，开利股价被评为“买入”后，该股盘前上涨1.9%。德意志银行表示，这家工业设备制造商将受益于其对非住宅建筑的投资以及对室内空气质量的日益重视。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Amazon.com(AMZN) </b>– Amazon will bethe target of a nationwide unionization effortby the Teamsters Union, which accuses the retail giant of mistreating warehouse and logistics workers. The effort was announced in a resolution presented at the union’s international convention.</p><p><blockquote><b>7)亚马逊。com(AMZN)</b>-亚马逊将成为卡车司机工会在全国范围内成立工会的目标，该工会指责这家零售巨头虐待仓库和物流工人。这项努力是在联盟国际大会上提交的一项决议中宣布的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Intel(INTC)</b> – The semiconductor maker is creating two new business units, one that will focus on software and the other on high-performance computing and graphics.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）英特尔（INTC）</b>-这家半导体制造商正在创建两个新的业务部门，一个专注于软件，另一个专注于高性能计算和图形。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Alphabet(GOOGL)</b> – Alphabet’s Google unit will soon face a lawsuit by a number of state attorneys general, according to a Reuters report. The suit – which could be filed as soon as next week – will accuse the company’s Google Play app store of violating antitrust law.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）Alphabet（GOOGL）</b>——据路透社报道，Alphabet的谷歌部门很快将面临多位州总检察长的诉讼。该诉讼最早可能于下周提起，将指控该公司的Google Play应用商店违反反垄断法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Xpeng(XPEV) </b>– Xpeng received permission from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for an initial public offering there, with The Wall Street Journal reporting that the China-based electric car maker is planning to raise up to $2 billion with that offering. Xpeng is already listed in the U.S. with a market value of more than $30 billion. Xpeng jumped 3.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10）小鹏汽车（XPEV）</b>-小鹏汽车获得香港联交所首次公开募股的许可，据《华尔街日报》报道，这家中国电动汽车制造商计划通过此次发行筹集至多20亿美元。小鹏汽车已经在美国上市，市值超过300亿美元。小鹏汽车盘前上涨3.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146629706","content_text":"Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.\nBitcoin, ethereum and other crypto currenciesrose Wednesday after a tumultous few daysof trading. The SEC meanwhile,delayed a decision about allowing bitcoin ETFs.\nCrude prices hit multiyear highs on economic rebound hopes,with signs pointing to a stronger rebound in the U.S.than the rest of the world.\nTorchlight Energy, a hot stock among the Reddit crowd, tumbled premarket, extending a 29% drop the day before.\nGlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more made the biggest moves.\n\n(June 23) U.S. equity futures were steady, while stocks were mixed Wednesday as investors assessed prospects for an economic recovery and continued policy support.\nAt 7:59AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 17 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 futures traded 0.25 points, or 0.01%, lower, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 4.25 points, or 0.03%.\n\nContracts on all three U.S. equity benchmarks were little changed, after two days of gains for the S&P 500 Index. European equities fell despite better-than-forecast outputdata, after high-flying sectors such as luxury-goods makersslidon analyst downgrades. Asian equities advanced.\nOil climbed above $73 a barrel after data signaling another decline in U.S. crude stockpiles added to a bullish outlook.\n\nMarkets are steadying this week after last week’s volatility spurred by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt at its meeting. Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday said the central bank would be patient in waiting to lift borrowing costs, andreiteratedthat while price increases are bigger than expected, they will likely wane.\nThe Fed’s shift last week to acknowledge higher inflation and pull forward its rate hike projections is “a reflection of more positive longer-term dynamics,” BlackRock Investment Institute strategists led by Jean Boivin wrote in a report. “We believe the Fed’s new outlook will not translate into significantly higher policy rates any time soon. This, combined with the powerful restart, underpins our pro-risk stance.”\nElsewhere, commodities including copper and iron ore climbed.Bitcoinrebounded, rising past $30,000.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more\n1) GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) – The drugmaker’s stock rose 3.5% in the premarket after it detailed plans to spin out its consumer health-care business into a separate company. Glaxo will eventually receive an $11 billion payment from the new company.\n2) MicroStrategy(MSTR) – MicroStrategy rallied 4.4% in premarket trading, trading in sync with the price of bitcoin. The business analytics company holds several billion dollars worth of bitcoin and took advantage of the recent price drop to buy more.\n3) Shake Shack(SHAK) – Shake Shack announced an expansion of its footprint in China, where it currently has 16 restaurants. It will open 10 restaurants in new territories by 2031, and plans to have a total of 79 China locations by that time. Shake Shack gained 1.5% in premarket action.\n4) Winnebago(WGO) – The recreational vehicle maker reported quarterly earnings of $2.16 per share, well above the consensus estimate of $1.77 a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts by doubling to record levels. Sales of towable products nearly tripled from a year earlier.\n5) Microsoft(MSFT) – Microsoft became the second company to surpass a $2 trillion market value, achieving that mark during Tuesday’s session.Apple(AAPL), currently worth $2.2 trillion, was the first.\n6) Carrier Global(CARR) – Carrier shares rose 1.9% in the premarket after the stock was rated “buy” in new coverage at Deutsche Bank. The industrial equipment maker is poised to benefit from its exposure to non-residential construction as well as an increasing emphasis on indoor air quality, according to Deutsche Bank.\n7) Amazon.com(AMZN) – Amazon will bethe target of a nationwide unionization effortby the Teamsters Union, which accuses the retail giant of mistreating warehouse and logistics workers. The effort was announced in a resolution presented at the union’s international convention.\n8) Intel(INTC) – The semiconductor maker is creating two new business units, one that will focus on software and the other on high-performance computing and graphics.\n9) Alphabet(GOOGL) – Alphabet’s Google unit will soon face a lawsuit by a number of state attorneys general, according to a Reuters report. The suit – which could be filed as soon as next week – will accuse the company’s Google Play app store of violating antitrust law.\n10) Xpeng(XPEV) – Xpeng received permission from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for an initial public offering there, with The Wall Street Journal reporting that the China-based electric car maker is planning to raise up to $2 billion with that offering. Xpeng is already listed in the U.S. with a market value of more than $30 billion. Xpeng jumped 3.8% in the premarket.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129461731,"gmtCreate":1624381774123,"gmtModify":1634006922770,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883452834217","idStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I left a comment&nbsp;","listText":"I left a comment&nbsp;","text":"I left a 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!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129416292","repostId":"1156381928","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":892,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120325203,"gmtCreate":1624304138402,"gmtModify":1634008148377,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883452834217","idStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please response my comment&nbsp;","listText":"Please response my comment&nbsp;","text":"Please response my 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up man","listText":"What’s up man","text":"What’s up man","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145074781","repostId":"1152442565","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152442565","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626183960,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152442565?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 21:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Orbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.<blockquote>Orbsat Corp股价在早盘交易中上涨近100%，该公司的全球Telesat通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152442565","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Orbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications","content":"<p>Orbsat Corp&nbsp;shares&nbsp;jumps&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;100%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.</p><p><blockquote>Orbsat Corp股价在早盘交易中上涨近100%，该公司的全球Telesat通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df700e33a39e4c926a5f47fe2917a75c\" tg-width=\"1286\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Orbsat Corp, a global provider of IoT and connectivity solutions through next-generation satellite technology, today announced that its Global Telesat Communications (GTC) unit has entered into an agreement with Alibaba.com, the B2B (Business-to-Business) e-commerce website owned and operated by Alibaba Group Holding Limited, also known as Alibaba Group (NYSE: BABA; HKEX: 9988), a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, internet, and technology. GTC will be a Gold- Supplier on Alibaba.com, the world's largest Business-to-Business (B2B) e-commerce website.</p><p><blockquote>通过下一代卫星技术提供物联网和连接解决方案的全球提供商Orbsat Corp今天宣布，其全球Telesat Communications(GTC)部门已与B2B（企业对企业）阿里巴巴达成协议电子商务网站由阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司（又称阿里巴巴-SW集团（纽约证券交易所代码：BABA；香港交易所代码：9988）拥有和运营，是一家专注于电子商务、零售、互联网和技术的中国跨国科技公司。GTC将成为全球最大的企业对企业(B2B)电子商务网站Alibaba.com的金牌供应商。</blockquote></p><p> \"With our launch on Alibaba.com, the world's largest B2B platform, we are significantly accelerating our global expansion plans, expanding, and deepening our e-commerce reach into nearly every country. This will allow us to better serve the needs of our enterprise customers across the world,\" said Charles M. Fernandez, Chairman and CEO of Orbsat. \"There has been explosive growth in online shopping due to the pandemic as businesses and consumers around the world embrace e-commerce. Long-term, we believe that e-commerce will be the preferred channel for businesses and consumers seeking to research and purchase our satellite IoT and connectivity products and services. We also intend to secure new integration alliances including joint commerce structures with additional connectivity partners such as those in the CubeSat space which can leverage our expanded e-commerce platforms and ground station-based infrastructure.\"</p><p><blockquote>Orbsat董事长兼首席执行官Charles M.Fernandez表示：“随着我们在全球最大的B2B平台Alibaba.com上的推出，我们正在显着加快我们的全球扩张计划，扩大和深化我们的电子商务覆盖几乎每个国家。这将使我们能够更好地满足全球企业客户的需求。”“由于疫情，随着世界各地的企业和消费者接受电子商务，在线购物出现了爆炸性增长。从长远来看，我们相信电子商务将成为寻求研究和购买我们卫星物联网和连接产品和服务的企业和消费者的首选渠道。我们还打算建立新的集成联盟，包括与其他连接合作伙伴的联合商务结构，例如CubeSat领域的合作伙伴，这些合作伙伴可以利用我们扩展的电子商务平台和基于地面站的基础设施。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Orbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.<blockquote>Orbsat Corp股价在早盘交易中上涨近100%，该公司的全球Telesat通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOrbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.<blockquote>Orbsat Corp股价在早盘交易中上涨近100%，该公司的全球Telesat通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-13 21:46</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Orbsat Corp&nbsp;shares&nbsp;jumps&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;100%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.</p><p><blockquote>Orbsat Corp股价在早盘交易中上涨近100%，该公司的全球Telesat通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df700e33a39e4c926a5f47fe2917a75c\" tg-width=\"1286\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Orbsat Corp, a global provider of IoT and connectivity solutions through next-generation satellite technology, today announced that its Global Telesat Communications (GTC) unit has entered into an agreement with Alibaba.com, the B2B (Business-to-Business) e-commerce website owned and operated by Alibaba Group Holding Limited, also known as Alibaba Group (NYSE: BABA; HKEX: 9988), a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, internet, and technology. GTC will be a Gold- Supplier on Alibaba.com, the world's largest Business-to-Business (B2B) e-commerce website.</p><p><blockquote>通过下一代卫星技术提供物联网和连接解决方案的全球提供商Orbsat Corp今天宣布，其全球Telesat Communications(GTC)部门已与B2B（企业对企业）阿里巴巴达成协议电子商务网站由阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司（又称阿里巴巴-SW集团（纽约证券交易所代码：BABA；香港交易所代码：9988）拥有和运营，是一家专注于电子商务、零售、互联网和技术的中国跨国科技公司。GTC将成为全球最大的企业对企业(B2B)电子商务网站Alibaba.com的金牌供应商。</blockquote></p><p> \"With our launch on Alibaba.com, the world's largest B2B platform, we are significantly accelerating our global expansion plans, expanding, and deepening our e-commerce reach into nearly every country. This will allow us to better serve the needs of our enterprise customers across the world,\" said Charles M. Fernandez, Chairman and CEO of Orbsat. \"There has been explosive growth in online shopping due to the pandemic as businesses and consumers around the world embrace e-commerce. Long-term, we believe that e-commerce will be the preferred channel for businesses and consumers seeking to research and purchase our satellite IoT and connectivity products and services. We also intend to secure new integration alliances including joint commerce structures with additional connectivity partners such as those in the CubeSat space which can leverage our expanded e-commerce platforms and ground station-based infrastructure.\"</p><p><blockquote>Orbsat董事长兼首席执行官Charles M.Fernandez表示：“随着我们在全球最大的B2B平台Alibaba.com上的推出，我们正在显着加快我们的全球扩张计划，扩大和深化我们的电子商务覆盖几乎每个国家。这将使我们能够更好地满足全球企业客户的需求。”“由于疫情，随着世界各地的企业和消费者接受电子商务，在线购物出现了爆炸性增长。从长远来看，我们相信电子商务将成为寻求研究和购买我们卫星物联网和连接产品和服务的企业和消费者的首选渠道。我们还打算建立新的集成联盟，包括与其他连接合作伙伴的联合商务结构，例如CubeSat领域的合作伙伴，这些合作伙伴可以利用我们扩展的电子商务平台和基于地面站的基础设施。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152442565","content_text":"Orbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.\nOrbsat Corp, a global provider of IoT and connectivity solutions through next-generation satellite technology, today announced that its Global Telesat Communications (GTC) unit has entered into an agreement with Alibaba.com, the B2B (Business-to-Business) e-commerce website owned and operated by Alibaba Group Holding Limited, also known as Alibaba Group (NYSE: BABA; HKEX: 9988), a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, internet, and technology. GTC will be a Gold- Supplier on Alibaba.com, the world's largest Business-to-Business (B2B) e-commerce website.\n\"With our launch on Alibaba.com, the world's largest B2B platform, we are significantly accelerating our global expansion plans, expanding, and deepening our e-commerce reach into nearly every country. This will allow us to better serve the needs of our enterprise customers across the world,\" said Charles M. Fernandez, Chairman and CEO of Orbsat. \"There has been explosive growth in online shopping due to the pandemic as businesses and consumers around the world embrace e-commerce. Long-term, we believe that e-commerce will be the preferred channel for businesses and consumers seeking to research and purchase our satellite IoT and connectivity products and services. We also intend to secure new integration alliances including joint commerce structures with additional connectivity partners such as those in the CubeSat space which can leverage our expanded e-commerce platforms and ground station-based infrastructure.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"OSAT":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2382,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169542800,"gmtCreate":1623845160200,"gmtModify":1634027224330,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883452834217","idStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please response my comment&nbsp;","listText":"Please response my comment&nbsp;","text":"Please response my comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169542800","repostId":"1160929405","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160929405","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623844146,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160929405?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 19:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Crypto Die-Hards Built a $90 Billion Wall Street on the Internet<blockquote>加密货币顽固分子在互联网上建立了价值900亿美元的华尔街</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160929405","media":".bloomberg","summary":"Money manager Vladimir Vishnevskiy can earn anegative interest ratefor holding a European government","content":"<p>Money manager Vladimir Vishnevskiy can earn anegative interest ratefor holding a European government bond. Or he can pocket the annual equivalent of a 20% yield for locking money up in one of the wilder corners of the crypto market, known as decentralized finance, or DeFi.</p><p><blockquote>基金经理弗拉基米尔·维什涅夫斯基(Vladimir Vishnevskiy)持有欧洲政府债券可以获得负利率。或者，他可以将资金锁定在加密货币市场的一个更狂野的角落，即去中心化金融（DeFi），从而获得相当于20%的年收益率。</blockquote></p><p> He decided to go for the 20%. “You can’t get those yields in the traditional space,” says the co-founder of Swiss-based St. Gotthard Fund Management, which runs a portfolio designed to squeeze income out of crypto assets. The strategy is so new that even Wall Street pros may have trouble wrapping their heads around it. Take what you might know about Bitcoin—that it’s a digital currency that exists only on an online ledger governed by computer code. Now make it even more mind-bending, and imagine the code isn’t just recording transactions. It’s running lending platforms, insurers and financial markets with little human intermediation. That’sDeFi.</p><p><blockquote>他决定争取20%。“你无法在传统领域获得这些收益率，”总部位于瑞士的圣哥达基金管理公司的联合创始人表示，该公司运营的投资组合旨在从加密资产中榨取收入。这一策略如此新颖，即使是华尔街的专业人士也可能难以理解。就拿你可能知道的比特币来说吧——它是一种数字货币，只存在于由计算机代码管理的在线账本上。现在让它变得更加令人费解，想象代码不仅仅是记录交易。它在几乎没有人工中介的情况下运营借贷平台、保险公司和金融市场。那是DeFi。</blockquote></p><p> Traders like Vishnevskiy can collect yields by committing in the form of crypto tokens the capital that’s needed to make these disembodied and largely unregulated financial institutions run. At the peak last month, investors put in as much as $86 billion into various DeFi programs, compared with just under $1 billion a year ago, DeFi Pulse data show.</p><p><blockquote>像维什涅夫斯基这样的交易者可以通过以加密代币的形式投入运营这些脱离实体且基本上不受监管的金融机构所需的资本来获得收益。DeFi Pulse数据显示，在上个月的高峰期，投资者向各种DeFi项目投入了高达860亿美元，而一年前这一数字略低于10亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> It’s a young, volatile, and hack-prone system. (One of the first decentralized projects, a fund called the DAO, was the victim of aspectacular $55 million theftby someone taking advantage of a flaw in its code to siphon off funds.) And for now, it’s mostly a crypto world built for thecrypto universe. The decentralized lenders are largely taking crypto deposits to make loans to people looking for leverage on crypto bets; the decentralized exchanges are used for trading crypto coins; the decentralized insurers cover crypto hacks.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个年轻、不稳定、容易被黑客攻击的系统。（最早的去中心化项目之一，一个名为DAO的基金，是有人利用其代码中的缺陷窃取资金的惊人的5500万美元的受害者。）目前，它主要是一个为加密宇宙构建的加密世界。分散的贷款机构主要接受加密货币存款，向寻求加密货币押注杠杆的人提供贷款；分散式交易所用于交易加密硬币；分散的保险公司承保加密黑客。</blockquote></p><p> The big yields investors can earn are denominated not in dollars or euros but in often-obscure tokens. Critics of DeFi say some projects can resemble a Ponzi scheme: Early investors depend on others piling into tokens that still have limited real-world utility. If returns are high, it’s largely because of investors’ voracious appetite for more digital assets. And since DeFi projects don’t need to live in any physical location, they’re difficult to regulate, making the space vulnerable to scams and money laundering schemes. Still, DeFi’s advocates think the technology has the power to open up markets and build new kinds of financial products.</p><p><blockquote>投资者可以获得的巨额收益不是以美元或欧元计价，而是以通常不为人知的代币计价。DeFi的批评者表示，一些项目可能类似于庞氏骗局：早期投资者依赖其他人涌入现实世界效用仍然有限的代币。如果回报很高，很大程度上是因为投资者对更多数字资产的贪婪胃口。由于DeFi项目不需要居住在任何物理位置，因此很难监管，这使得该领域容易受到诈骗和洗钱计划的影响。尽管如此，DeFi的倡导者认为该技术有能力打开市场并构建新型金融产品。</blockquote></p><p> To see how a DeFi program works, look atSushiSwap, a decentralized cryptocurrency exchange that started last year. It’s based on the code of another DeFi exchange calledUniswap. Like any exchange—from better-known crypto trading apps such asCoinbaseto stock markets likeNasdaq—SushiSwap depends on liquidity, or the ability to make sure buyers can find the tokens they want and sellers can get a price they think is fair. To do that in a decentralized way, SushiSwap creates liquidity pools that pair any two coins that traders might want to swap—for example, Ethereum, thesecond-most-popular cryptocurrencyand DeFi’s backbone, and the exchange’s own token, Sushi.</p><p><blockquote>要了解DeFi程序是如何工作的，请查看去年推出的去中心化加密货币交易所SushiSwap。它基于另一个名为Uniswap的DeFi交易所的代码。与任何交易所一样——从Coinbase等更知名的加密货币交易应用程序到纳斯达克等股票市场——SushiSwap依赖于流动性，或者确保买家能够找到他们想要的代币、卖家能够获得他们认为公平的价格的能力。为了以去中心化的方式做到这一点，SushiSwap创建了流动性池，将交易者可能想要交换的任何两种硬币配对，例如以太币（第二大最受欢迎的加密货币和DeFi的主干），以及交易所自己的代币Sushi。</blockquote></p><p> Investors like Vishnevskiy buy both tokens and then temporarily lock them into the pool, where they’re available to traders. An algorithm adjusts prices of both tokens to reflect relative changes in demand. The exchange also charges a fee for trading. When Vishnevskiy gets his tokens back, he also gets a portion of the fees generated from transactions made in the pool, as well as free additional Sushi tokens. (The added Sushi tokens can be earned on other trading pairs, not only those involving Sushi.) That, the exchange’s software surmises, amounts to an annualized 20% yield.</p><p><blockquote>像Vishnevskiy这样的投资者购买这两种代币，然后将它们暂时锁定在池中，供交易者使用。算法调整两种代币的价格，以反映需求的相对变化。交易所还收取交易费用。当Vishnevskiy拿回他的代币时，他还会获得一部分在池中进行的交易产生的费用，以及免费的额外寿司代币。（添加的寿司代币可以在其他交易对上赚取，而不仅仅是那些涉及寿司的交易对。）该交易所的软件推测，这相当于年化收益率20%。</blockquote></p><p> Other DeFi protocols may pay yields to people who make their crypto available for someone else to borrow. For example, traders might want to borrowstablecoins—tokens whose value is linked to that of a traditional currency such as the dollar—to buy more Bitcoin on platforms that don’t take traditional currencies.</p><p><blockquote>其他DeFi协议可能会向那些将其加密货币提供给其他人借用的人支付收益。例如，交易者可能想要借用稳定币（其价值与美元等传统货币挂钩的代币），以便在不接受传统货币的平台上购买更多比特币。</blockquote></p><p> If that sounds complicated, it is. Yields in DeFi are mostly projected from recent market trends and could drop quickly. Some investors who call themselves yield farmers are constantly moving their money trying to generate income, but crypto transaction costs called “gas” fees can eat up profits. Moreover, the cryptocurrencies these yields get paid in can fluctuate wildly in value. When Bitcoin slid as much as 10% on one recent day, popular DeFi coins such as Uniswap’s fell almost 20%.</p><p><blockquote>如果这听起来很复杂，那就是。DeFi的收益率主要是根据最近的市场趋势预测的，可能会迅速下降。一些看涨期权农民的投资者不断转移资金试图创收，但被称为“汽油”费的加密交易成本可能会吞噬利润。此外，这些收益支付的加密货币的价值可能会大幅波动。当比特币最近一天下跌10%时，Uniswap等流行的DeFi硬币下跌了近20%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Other risks that come with any cryptocurrency still apply:Regulatory scrutinywill probably grow, which might shut down or hamper some projects and blow up the value of associated tokens. Founders of DeFi projects who’ve hoarded the coins created to run them could suddenly cash out, causing prices to drop. SushiSwap’s pseudonymous creator, Chef Nomi, sold tokens worth roughly $13 million in September before reversing course amid community outrage.</p><p><blockquote>任何加密货币带来的其他风险仍然适用：监管审查可能会增加，这可能会关闭或阻碍一些项目，并大幅提升相关代币的价值。DeFi项目的创始人囤积了为运行它们而创建的硬币，可能会突然套现，导致价格下跌。SushiSwap的化名创建者Nomi厨师在9月份出售了价值约1300万美元的代币，然后在社区愤怒中改变了方向。</blockquote></p><p> “You can’t get those yields in the traditional space”</p><p><blockquote>“你无法在传统领域获得这些产量”</blockquote></p><p> The history of crypto is filled with cautionary tales about investments riding a wave of hype and then falling apart. Around 2018, so-called initial coin offerings raised billions of dollars for projects, most of which turned out to be duds. DeFi converts say the difference now is that applications such as exchanges and lenders are generating revenue, even if just from crypto speculation. Uniswap, which announces its user statistics in real time, had trading volume of $813 million in one recent 24-hour period, generating $1.8 million in fees for those staking their tokens in its liquidity pool.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币的历史充满了关于投资乘着炒作浪潮然后分崩离析的警示故事。2018年左右，所谓的首次代币发行为项目筹集了数十亿美元，但其中大部分都是徒劳的。DeFi转换者表示，现在的不同之处在于，交易所和贷方等应用程序正在产生收入，即使只是来自加密货币投机。Uniswap实时公布其用户统计数据，在最近24小时内的交易量为8.13亿美元，为那些在其流动性池中质押代币的人产生了180万美元的费用。</blockquote></p><p> What about the value of the tokens many DeFi projects give out? These coins aren’t exactly equity and don’t always confer any direct claim to profits. Often they give holders voting rights on the future of the project; investors may be hoping that as the protocols they’re associated with grow in popularity, so will the coins. But some DeFi platforms might not be as successful as they seem. Aleksander Kloda, who co-manages a DeFi fund at Nickel Digital Asset Management, says participation may be driven less by the value of a service than by the promise of free tokens. “In the short term, they can really make the picture a lot more difficult to read,” he says. “The logic is not quite correct if the volumes are only there because of the additional motivation the protocol gives you to participate.” As an investor, he tries to identify projects that have built up sustainable volume even without tantalizing yields.</p><p><blockquote>许多DeFi项目发放的代币价值如何？这些硬币并不完全是股权，也不总是赋予任何直接的利润要求。他们通常赋予持有人对项目未来的投票权；投资者可能希望，随着与他们相关的协议越来越受欢迎，硬币也会越来越受欢迎。但是一些DeFi平台可能并不像看起来那么成功。Nickel Digital Asset Management共同管理DeFi基金的Aleksander Kloda表示，参与的驱动力可能不是服务的价值，而是免费代币的承诺。“从短期来看，它们确实会让图片变得更加难以阅读，”他说。“如果数量的存在只是因为协议给了你参与的额外动力，那么逻辑就不太正确。”作为一名投资者，他试图识别那些即使没有诱人的收益率也能积累可持续交易量的项目。</blockquote></p><p> Advocates of DeFi say the idea is still in its infancy, and it could eventually broaden its uses and reach into more traditional areas of finance. Their dream is a financial system run on the internet that doesn’t involve a credit officer at a JPMorgan branch, or a Citadel Securities investing in high-frequency infrastructure tokeep stock trading liquid.</p><p><blockquote>DeFi的倡导者表示，这一想法仍处于起步阶段，最终可能会扩大其用途，进入更传统的金融领域。他们的梦想是建立一个在互联网上运行的金融系统，不涉及摩根大通分行的信贷官员，也不涉及Citadel Securities投资高频基础设施以保持股票交易流动性。</blockquote></p><p> But Elaine Ou, a blockchain engineer at Global Financial Access, argues there’s nothing wrong with DeFi being used only for crypto trading, either. “Look at Vegas and Macau—part of the reason they’re so valuable is that they allow you to do what other jurisdictions have banned,” says Ou, who alsowritesfor Bloomberg Opinion. “It is possible to build an entire industry up around speculation.”</p><p><blockquote>但Global Financial Access的区块链工程师Elaine Ou认为，DeFi仅用于加密货币交易也没有错。“看看拉斯维加斯和澳门——它们如此有价值的部分原因是它们允许你做其他司法管辖区禁止的事情，”欧说，他也是彭博社观点的撰稿人。“围绕投机建立整个行业是可能的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crypto Die-Hards Built a $90 Billion Wall Street on the Internet<blockquote>加密货币顽固分子在互联网上建立了价值900亿美元的华尔街</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrypto Die-Hards Built a $90 Billion Wall Street on the Internet<blockquote>加密货币顽固分子在互联网上建立了价值900亿美元的华尔街</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">.bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 19:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Money manager Vladimir Vishnevskiy can earn anegative interest ratefor holding a European government bond. Or he can pocket the annual equivalent of a 20% yield for locking money up in one of the wilder corners of the crypto market, known as decentralized finance, or DeFi.</p><p><blockquote>基金经理弗拉基米尔·维什涅夫斯基(Vladimir Vishnevskiy)持有欧洲政府债券可以获得负利率。或者，他可以将资金锁定在加密货币市场的一个更狂野的角落，即去中心化金融（DeFi），从而获得相当于20%的年收益率。</blockquote></p><p> He decided to go for the 20%. “You can’t get those yields in the traditional space,” says the co-founder of Swiss-based St. Gotthard Fund Management, which runs a portfolio designed to squeeze income out of crypto assets. The strategy is so new that even Wall Street pros may have trouble wrapping their heads around it. Take what you might know about Bitcoin—that it’s a digital currency that exists only on an online ledger governed by computer code. Now make it even more mind-bending, and imagine the code isn’t just recording transactions. It’s running lending platforms, insurers and financial markets with little human intermediation. That’sDeFi.</p><p><blockquote>他决定争取20%。“你无法在传统领域获得这些收益率，”总部位于瑞士的圣哥达基金管理公司的联合创始人表示，该公司运营的投资组合旨在从加密资产中榨取收入。这一策略如此新颖，即使是华尔街的专业人士也可能难以理解。就拿你可能知道的比特币来说吧——它是一种数字货币，只存在于由计算机代码管理的在线账本上。现在让它变得更加令人费解，想象代码不仅仅是记录交易。它在几乎没有人工中介的情况下运营借贷平台、保险公司和金融市场。那是DeFi。</blockquote></p><p> Traders like Vishnevskiy can collect yields by committing in the form of crypto tokens the capital that’s needed to make these disembodied and largely unregulated financial institutions run. At the peak last month, investors put in as much as $86 billion into various DeFi programs, compared with just under $1 billion a year ago, DeFi Pulse data show.</p><p><blockquote>像维什涅夫斯基这样的交易者可以通过以加密代币的形式投入运营这些脱离实体且基本上不受监管的金融机构所需的资本来获得收益。DeFi Pulse数据显示，在上个月的高峰期，投资者向各种DeFi项目投入了高达860亿美元，而一年前这一数字略低于10亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> It’s a young, volatile, and hack-prone system. (One of the first decentralized projects, a fund called the DAO, was the victim of aspectacular $55 million theftby someone taking advantage of a flaw in its code to siphon off funds.) And for now, it’s mostly a crypto world built for thecrypto universe. The decentralized lenders are largely taking crypto deposits to make loans to people looking for leverage on crypto bets; the decentralized exchanges are used for trading crypto coins; the decentralized insurers cover crypto hacks.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个年轻、不稳定、容易被黑客攻击的系统。（最早的去中心化项目之一，一个名为DAO的基金，是有人利用其代码中的缺陷窃取资金的惊人的5500万美元的受害者。）目前，它主要是一个为加密宇宙构建的加密世界。分散的贷款机构主要接受加密货币存款，向寻求加密货币押注杠杆的人提供贷款；分散式交易所用于交易加密硬币；分散的保险公司承保加密黑客。</blockquote></p><p> The big yields investors can earn are denominated not in dollars or euros but in often-obscure tokens. Critics of DeFi say some projects can resemble a Ponzi scheme: Early investors depend on others piling into tokens that still have limited real-world utility. If returns are high, it’s largely because of investors’ voracious appetite for more digital assets. And since DeFi projects don’t need to live in any physical location, they’re difficult to regulate, making the space vulnerable to scams and money laundering schemes. Still, DeFi’s advocates think the technology has the power to open up markets and build new kinds of financial products.</p><p><blockquote>投资者可以获得的巨额收益不是以美元或欧元计价，而是以通常不为人知的代币计价。DeFi的批评者表示，一些项目可能类似于庞氏骗局：早期投资者依赖其他人涌入现实世界效用仍然有限的代币。如果回报很高，很大程度上是因为投资者对更多数字资产的贪婪胃口。由于DeFi项目不需要居住在任何物理位置，因此很难监管，这使得该领域容易受到诈骗和洗钱计划的影响。尽管如此，DeFi的倡导者认为该技术有能力打开市场并构建新型金融产品。</blockquote></p><p> To see how a DeFi program works, look atSushiSwap, a decentralized cryptocurrency exchange that started last year. It’s based on the code of another DeFi exchange calledUniswap. Like any exchange—from better-known crypto trading apps such asCoinbaseto stock markets likeNasdaq—SushiSwap depends on liquidity, or the ability to make sure buyers can find the tokens they want and sellers can get a price they think is fair. To do that in a decentralized way, SushiSwap creates liquidity pools that pair any two coins that traders might want to swap—for example, Ethereum, thesecond-most-popular cryptocurrencyand DeFi’s backbone, and the exchange’s own token, Sushi.</p><p><blockquote>要了解DeFi程序是如何工作的，请查看去年推出的去中心化加密货币交易所SushiSwap。它基于另一个名为Uniswap的DeFi交易所的代码。与任何交易所一样——从Coinbase等更知名的加密货币交易应用程序到纳斯达克等股票市场——SushiSwap依赖于流动性，或者确保买家能够找到他们想要的代币、卖家能够获得他们认为公平的价格的能力。为了以去中心化的方式做到这一点，SushiSwap创建了流动性池，将交易者可能想要交换的任何两种硬币配对，例如以太币（第二大最受欢迎的加密货币和DeFi的主干），以及交易所自己的代币Sushi。</blockquote></p><p> Investors like Vishnevskiy buy both tokens and then temporarily lock them into the pool, where they’re available to traders. An algorithm adjusts prices of both tokens to reflect relative changes in demand. The exchange also charges a fee for trading. When Vishnevskiy gets his tokens back, he also gets a portion of the fees generated from transactions made in the pool, as well as free additional Sushi tokens. (The added Sushi tokens can be earned on other trading pairs, not only those involving Sushi.) That, the exchange’s software surmises, amounts to an annualized 20% yield.</p><p><blockquote>像Vishnevskiy这样的投资者购买这两种代币，然后将它们暂时锁定在池中，供交易者使用。算法调整两种代币的价格，以反映需求的相对变化。交易所还收取交易费用。当Vishnevskiy拿回他的代币时，他还会获得一部分在池中进行的交易产生的费用，以及免费的额外寿司代币。（添加的寿司代币可以在其他交易对上赚取，而不仅仅是那些涉及寿司的交易对。）该交易所的软件推测，这相当于年化收益率20%。</blockquote></p><p> Other DeFi protocols may pay yields to people who make their crypto available for someone else to borrow. For example, traders might want to borrowstablecoins—tokens whose value is linked to that of a traditional currency such as the dollar—to buy more Bitcoin on platforms that don’t take traditional currencies.</p><p><blockquote>其他DeFi协议可能会向那些将其加密货币提供给其他人借用的人支付收益。例如，交易者可能想要借用稳定币（其价值与美元等传统货币挂钩的代币），以便在不接受传统货币的平台上购买更多比特币。</blockquote></p><p> If that sounds complicated, it is. Yields in DeFi are mostly projected from recent market trends and could drop quickly. Some investors who call themselves yield farmers are constantly moving their money trying to generate income, but crypto transaction costs called “gas” fees can eat up profits. Moreover, the cryptocurrencies these yields get paid in can fluctuate wildly in value. When Bitcoin slid as much as 10% on one recent day, popular DeFi coins such as Uniswap’s fell almost 20%.</p><p><blockquote>如果这听起来很复杂，那就是。DeFi的收益率主要是根据最近的市场趋势预测的，可能会迅速下降。一些看涨期权农民的投资者不断转移资金试图创收，但被称为“汽油”费的加密交易成本可能会吞噬利润。此外，这些收益支付的加密货币的价值可能会大幅波动。当比特币最近一天下跌10%时，Uniswap等流行的DeFi硬币下跌了近20%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Other risks that come with any cryptocurrency still apply:Regulatory scrutinywill probably grow, which might shut down or hamper some projects and blow up the value of associated tokens. Founders of DeFi projects who’ve hoarded the coins created to run them could suddenly cash out, causing prices to drop. SushiSwap’s pseudonymous creator, Chef Nomi, sold tokens worth roughly $13 million in September before reversing course amid community outrage.</p><p><blockquote>任何加密货币带来的其他风险仍然适用：监管审查可能会增加，这可能会关闭或阻碍一些项目，并大幅提升相关代币的价值。DeFi项目的创始人囤积了为运行它们而创建的硬币，可能会突然套现，导致价格下跌。SushiSwap的化名创建者Nomi厨师在9月份出售了价值约1300万美元的代币，然后在社区愤怒中改变了方向。</blockquote></p><p> “You can’t get those yields in the traditional space”</p><p><blockquote>“你无法在传统领域获得这些产量”</blockquote></p><p> The history of crypto is filled with cautionary tales about investments riding a wave of hype and then falling apart. Around 2018, so-called initial coin offerings raised billions of dollars for projects, most of which turned out to be duds. DeFi converts say the difference now is that applications such as exchanges and lenders are generating revenue, even if just from crypto speculation. Uniswap, which announces its user statistics in real time, had trading volume of $813 million in one recent 24-hour period, generating $1.8 million in fees for those staking their tokens in its liquidity pool.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币的历史充满了关于投资乘着炒作浪潮然后分崩离析的警示故事。2018年左右，所谓的首次代币发行为项目筹集了数十亿美元，但其中大部分都是徒劳的。DeFi转换者表示，现在的不同之处在于，交易所和贷方等应用程序正在产生收入，即使只是来自加密货币投机。Uniswap实时公布其用户统计数据，在最近24小时内的交易量为8.13亿美元，为那些在其流动性池中质押代币的人产生了180万美元的费用。</blockquote></p><p> What about the value of the tokens many DeFi projects give out? These coins aren’t exactly equity and don’t always confer any direct claim to profits. Often they give holders voting rights on the future of the project; investors may be hoping that as the protocols they’re associated with grow in popularity, so will the coins. But some DeFi platforms might not be as successful as they seem. Aleksander Kloda, who co-manages a DeFi fund at Nickel Digital Asset Management, says participation may be driven less by the value of a service than by the promise of free tokens. “In the short term, they can really make the picture a lot more difficult to read,” he says. “The logic is not quite correct if the volumes are only there because of the additional motivation the protocol gives you to participate.” As an investor, he tries to identify projects that have built up sustainable volume even without tantalizing yields.</p><p><blockquote>许多DeFi项目发放的代币价值如何？这些硬币并不完全是股权，也不总是赋予任何直接的利润要求。他们通常赋予持有人对项目未来的投票权；投资者可能希望，随着与他们相关的协议越来越受欢迎，硬币也会越来越受欢迎。但是一些DeFi平台可能并不像看起来那么成功。Nickel Digital Asset Management共同管理DeFi基金的Aleksander Kloda表示，参与的驱动力可能不是服务的价值，而是免费代币的承诺。“从短期来看，它们确实会让图片变得更加难以阅读，”他说。“如果数量的存在只是因为协议给了你参与的额外动力，那么逻辑就不太正确。”作为一名投资者，他试图识别那些即使没有诱人的收益率也能积累可持续交易量的项目。</blockquote></p><p> Advocates of DeFi say the idea is still in its infancy, and it could eventually broaden its uses and reach into more traditional areas of finance. Their dream is a financial system run on the internet that doesn’t involve a credit officer at a JPMorgan branch, or a Citadel Securities investing in high-frequency infrastructure tokeep stock trading liquid.</p><p><blockquote>DeFi的倡导者表示，这一想法仍处于起步阶段，最终可能会扩大其用途，进入更传统的金融领域。他们的梦想是建立一个在互联网上运行的金融系统，不涉及摩根大通分行的信贷官员，也不涉及Citadel Securities投资高频基础设施以保持股票交易流动性。</blockquote></p><p> But Elaine Ou, a blockchain engineer at Global Financial Access, argues there’s nothing wrong with DeFi being used only for crypto trading, either. “Look at Vegas and Macau—part of the reason they’re so valuable is that they allow you to do what other jurisdictions have banned,” says Ou, who alsowritesfor Bloomberg Opinion. “It is possible to build an entire industry up around speculation.”</p><p><blockquote>但Global Financial Access的区块链工程师Elaine Ou认为，DeFi仅用于加密货币交易也没有错。“看看拉斯维加斯和澳门——它们如此有价值的部分原因是它们允许你做其他司法管辖区禁止的事情，”欧说，他也是彭博社观点的撰稿人。“围绕投机建立整个行业是可能的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-16/defi-platforms-with-names-like-sushiswap-aim-to-be-nasdaq-for-crypto\">.bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-16/defi-platforms-with-names-like-sushiswap-aim-to-be-nasdaq-for-crypto","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160929405","content_text":"Money manager Vladimir Vishnevskiy can earn anegative interest ratefor holding a European government bond. Or he can pocket the annual equivalent of a 20% yield for locking money up in one of the wilder corners of the crypto market, known as decentralized finance, or DeFi.\nHe decided to go for the 20%. “You can’t get those yields in the traditional space,” says the co-founder of Swiss-based St. Gotthard Fund Management, which runs a portfolio designed to squeeze income out of crypto assets. The strategy is so new that even Wall Street pros may have trouble wrapping their heads around it. Take what you might know about Bitcoin—that it’s a digital currency that exists only on an online ledger governed by computer code. Now make it even more mind-bending, and imagine the code isn’t just recording transactions. It’s running lending platforms, insurers and financial markets with little human intermediation. That’sDeFi.\nTraders like Vishnevskiy can collect yields by committing in the form of crypto tokens the capital that’s needed to make these disembodied and largely unregulated financial institutions run. At the peak last month, investors put in as much as $86 billion into various DeFi programs, compared with just under $1 billion a year ago, DeFi Pulse data show.\nIt’s a young, volatile, and hack-prone system. (One of the first decentralized projects, a fund called the DAO, was the victim of aspectacular $55 million theftby someone taking advantage of a flaw in its code to siphon off funds.) And for now, it’s mostly a crypto world built for thecrypto universe. The decentralized lenders are largely taking crypto deposits to make loans to people looking for leverage on crypto bets; the decentralized exchanges are used for trading crypto coins; the decentralized insurers cover crypto hacks.\nThe big yields investors can earn are denominated not in dollars or euros but in often-obscure tokens. Critics of DeFi say some projects can resemble a Ponzi scheme: Early investors depend on others piling into tokens that still have limited real-world utility. If returns are high, it’s largely because of investors’ voracious appetite for more digital assets. And since DeFi projects don’t need to live in any physical location, they’re difficult to regulate, making the space vulnerable to scams and money laundering schemes. Still, DeFi’s advocates think the technology has the power to open up markets and build new kinds of financial products.\nTo see how a DeFi program works, look atSushiSwap, a decentralized cryptocurrency exchange that started last year. It’s based on the code of another DeFi exchange calledUniswap. Like any exchange—from better-known crypto trading apps such asCoinbaseto stock markets likeNasdaq—SushiSwap depends on liquidity, or the ability to make sure buyers can find the tokens they want and sellers can get a price they think is fair. To do that in a decentralized way, SushiSwap creates liquidity pools that pair any two coins that traders might want to swap—for example, Ethereum, thesecond-most-popular cryptocurrencyand DeFi’s backbone, and the exchange’s own token, Sushi.\nInvestors like Vishnevskiy buy both tokens and then temporarily lock them into the pool, where they’re available to traders. An algorithm adjusts prices of both tokens to reflect relative changes in demand. The exchange also charges a fee for trading. When Vishnevskiy gets his tokens back, he also gets a portion of the fees generated from transactions made in the pool, as well as free additional Sushi tokens. (The added Sushi tokens can be earned on other trading pairs, not only those involving Sushi.) That, the exchange’s software surmises, amounts to an annualized 20% yield.\nOther DeFi protocols may pay yields to people who make their crypto available for someone else to borrow. For example, traders might want to borrowstablecoins—tokens whose value is linked to that of a traditional currency such as the dollar—to buy more Bitcoin on platforms that don’t take traditional currencies.\nIf that sounds complicated, it is. Yields in DeFi are mostly projected from recent market trends and could drop quickly. Some investors who call themselves yield farmers are constantly moving their money trying to generate income, but crypto transaction costs called “gas” fees can eat up profits. Moreover, the cryptocurrencies these yields get paid in can fluctuate wildly in value. When Bitcoin slid as much as 10% on one recent day, popular DeFi coins such as Uniswap’s fell almost 20%.\nOther risks that come with any cryptocurrency still apply:Regulatory scrutinywill probably grow, which might shut down or hamper some projects and blow up the value of associated tokens. Founders of DeFi projects who’ve hoarded the coins created to run them could suddenly cash out, causing prices to drop. SushiSwap’s pseudonymous creator, Chef Nomi, sold tokens worth roughly $13 million in September before reversing course amid community outrage.\n“You can’t get those yields in the traditional space”\nThe history of crypto is filled with cautionary tales about investments riding a wave of hype and then falling apart. Around 2018, so-called initial coin offerings raised billions of dollars for projects, most of which turned out to be duds. DeFi converts say the difference now is that applications such as exchanges and lenders are generating revenue, even if just from crypto speculation. Uniswap, which announces its user statistics in real time, had trading volume of $813 million in one recent 24-hour period, generating $1.8 million in fees for those staking their tokens in its liquidity pool.\nWhat about the value of the tokens many DeFi projects give out? These coins aren’t exactly equity and don’t always confer any direct claim to profits. Often they give holders voting rights on the future of the project; investors may be hoping that as the protocols they’re associated with grow in popularity, so will the coins. But some DeFi platforms might not be as successful as they seem. Aleksander Kloda, who co-manages a DeFi fund at Nickel Digital Asset Management, says participation may be driven less by the value of a service than by the promise of free tokens. “In the short term, they can really make the picture a lot more difficult to read,” he says. “The logic is not quite correct if the volumes are only there because of the additional motivation the protocol gives you to participate.” As an investor, he tries to identify projects that have built up sustainable volume even without tantalizing yields.\nAdvocates of DeFi say the idea is still in its infancy, and it could eventually broaden its uses and reach into more traditional areas of finance. Their dream is a financial system run on the internet that doesn’t involve a credit officer at a JPMorgan branch, or a Citadel Securities investing in high-frequency infrastructure tokeep stock trading liquid.\nBut Elaine Ou, a blockchain engineer at Global Financial Access, argues there’s nothing wrong with DeFi being used only for crypto trading, either. “Look at Vegas and Macau—part of the reason they’re so valuable is that they allow you to do what other jurisdictions have banned,” says Ou, who alsowritesfor Bloomberg Opinion. “It is possible to build an entire industry up around speculation.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":315,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140685537,"gmtCreate":1625654165629,"gmtModify":1631883983346,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883452834217","idStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Need one like&nbsp;","listText":"Need one like&nbsp;","text":"Need one like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140685537","repostId":"1181198369","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":810,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808898466,"gmtCreate":1627567652555,"gmtModify":1631889777744,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883452834217","idStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ?","listText":"Like ?","text":"Like ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808898466","repostId":"1165497040","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174418033,"gmtCreate":1627124810322,"gmtModify":1631883981846,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883452834217","idStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"One like","listText":"One like","text":"One like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174418033","repostId":"1109439356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":865092661,"gmtCreate":1632922509362,"gmtModify":1632922514591,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883452834217","idStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yo","listText":"Yo","text":"Yo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865092661","repostId":"1136349988","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3088,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":171924994,"gmtCreate":1626703336818,"gmtModify":1631889777752,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883452834217","idStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hey guys","listText":"Hey guys","text":"Hey guys","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171924994","repostId":"1146536243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146536243","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626683272,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146536243?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146536243","media":"zerohedge","summary":"This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","content":"<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式，这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件？是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家，如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为，那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进，这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处，2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（见增长恐慌周年纪念，2021年7月11日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标，所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”，它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后，该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快，以至于已经过了下一个阶段（“复苏”），直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件，<b>自1980年以来，“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点，它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，信贷相对于其他风险资产越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次衰退提前到来，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%，并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为该行业具有几个良好的因素：质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”，我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债，而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 16:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式，这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件？是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家，如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为，那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进，这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处，2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（见增长恐慌周年纪念，2021年7月11日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标，所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”，它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后，该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快，以至于已经过了下一个阶段（“复苏”），直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件，<b>自1980年以来，“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点，它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，信贷相对于其他风险资产越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次衰退提前到来，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%，并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为该行业具有几个良好的因素：质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”，我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债，而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146536243","content_text":"We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.\nBut 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.\nInstead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.\nWas last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.\nIf it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should continue to do so.\nSpecifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).\nBecause one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.\nThisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.\nAll this has a number of implications:\n\nThe shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.\nIn many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.\nIn equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.\nInterest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.\n\nThis cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129416292,"gmtCreate":1624380770716,"gmtModify":1634006935203,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883452834217","idStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Praise my best comment people !!","listText":"Praise my best comment people !!","text":"Praise my best comment people !!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129416292","repostId":"1156381928","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":892,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}