HMH990的个人主页 - 老虎社区

HMH990

HMH990

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

69关注

4粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-09-28

Hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-27

Hello

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-13

What’s up man

Orbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.<blockquote>Orbsat Corp 股价在早盘交易中上涨近 100%，因为该公司的全球 Telesat 通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote>

2021-06-16

Please response my comment

Crypto Die-Hards Built a $90 Billion Wall Street on the Internet<blockquote>加密货币顽固分子在互联网上打造了价值 900 亿美元的华尔街</blockquote>

2021-07-07

Need one like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-29

Like ?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-24

One like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-29

Yo

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-19

Hey guys

Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be "Hotter But Shorter" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：这个周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>

2021-06-23

Praise my best comment people !!

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3582883452834217","uuid":"3582883452834217","gmtCreate":1619789562954,"gmtModify":1623639041196,"name":"HMH990","pinyin":"hmh990","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":4,"headSize":69,"tweetSize":51,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.04.22","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"93.59%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":3,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":865092661,"gmtCreate":1632922509362,"gmtModify":1632922514591,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yo","listText":"Yo","text":"Yo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865092661","repostId":"1136349988","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866581797,"gmtCreate":1632790824919,"gmtModify":1632797582288,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866581797","repostId":"1199853438","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3186,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866801475,"gmtCreate":1632751121397,"gmtModify":1632798106833,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hello","listText":"Hello","text":"Hello","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866801475","repostId":"2170623026","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2825,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":808898466,"gmtCreate":1627567652555,"gmtModify":1631889777744,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like ?","listText":"Like ?","text":"Like ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808898466","repostId":"1165497040","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3725,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177593500,"gmtCreate":1627239247300,"gmtModify":1631889777749,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like ?","listText":"Like ?","text":"Like ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177593500","repostId":"2153878189","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3060,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174418033,"gmtCreate":1627124810322,"gmtModify":1631883981846,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"One like","listText":"One like","text":"One like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174418033","repostId":"1109439356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176887707,"gmtCreate":1626876336609,"gmtModify":1631883982078,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"One like","listText":"One like","text":"One like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176887707","repostId":"1107219983","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2894,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171924994,"gmtCreate":1626703336818,"gmtModify":1631889777752,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hey guys","listText":"Hey guys","text":"Hey guys","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171924994","repostId":"1146536243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146536243","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626683272,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1146536243?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：这个周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146536243","media":"zerohedge","summary":"This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","content":"<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为本轮经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到了市场的激烈争论。每一个都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情创造了有记录以来产出最急剧下降的一次。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种剧烈的下跌和上涨从来不允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场上的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得平滑和打磨。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机告终。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言表的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么要使用 “周期 ”这个词。经济和市场倾向于遵循周期性模式，这种模式往往会出现在市场表现中。我们关心的是这些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的经济衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等后期周期条件？确实如此。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否与市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏相匹配？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是通常的早期周期赢家吗，比如小盘股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者像这些事情实际上一样正常。如果到目前为止已经出现了很多“正常”的循环行为，它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏进展，这些模式应该会改变。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊 (Michael Wilson) 指出的那样，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅 16 个月。我们看到当前情况与 2004 年上半年有许多相似之处，上半年是继大规模通货膨胀反弹之后的中期周期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（参见2021年7月11日的增长恐慌周年纪念日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为总能找到适合自己特定周期观点的指标，所以我们一直都喜欢复合指标。这就是我们的 “周期模型”，它结合了宏观经济、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十项美国指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在 2019 年 6 月进入周期后期 “低迷 ”和 2020 年 4 月进入周期早期 “修复 ”之后，该指数一路飙升。<b>它的崛起如此之快，以至于刚刚度过了下一阶段（'复苏'），直接进入了'扩张'。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>不寻常的论文。“扩展 ”意味着捕捉 “比正常情况更好，并且正在改善 ”的条件、<b>自1980年以来，“经济衰退”结束后平均需要35个月才能到达那里</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这就是我们的论点，也体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，相对于其他风险资产，信贷越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次经济衰退提前，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多供应</b>.在我们的周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY信贷N1200万超额回报率分别比平均水平差29bp和161bp。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现更加喜忧参半</b>投资者应尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信贷策略师喜欢持有 CDX HY 0-15%，并用 CDX IG 付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合的更大平衡</b>我们喜欢美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为它有几个有利的因素：质量、低估值、高套利和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往表现优于“周期中期”，我们认为它们可以再次做到这一点。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们的周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉的收益率比平均水平低97个基点</b>. Guneet Dhingra 和我们的美国利率策略团队已将跑输大盘美国 10 年期国债移至我们的全球资产配置中，我们反过来又将跑输大盘国债移回。</li></ul>这个周期是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：这个周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：这个周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 16:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为本轮经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到了市场的激烈争论。每一个都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情创造了有记录以来产出最急剧下降的一次。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种剧烈的下跌和上涨从来不允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场上的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得平滑和打磨。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机告终。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言表的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么要使用 “周期 ”这个词。经济和市场倾向于遵循周期性模式，这种模式往往会出现在市场表现中。我们关心的是这些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的经济衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等后期周期条件？确实如此。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否与市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏相匹配？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是通常的早期周期赢家吗，比如小盘股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者像这些事情实际上一样正常。如果到目前为止已经出现了很多“正常”的循环行为，它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏进展，这些模式应该会改变。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊 (Michael Wilson) 指出的那样，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅 16 个月。我们看到当前情况与 2004 年上半年有许多相似之处，上半年是继大规模通货膨胀反弹之后的中期周期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（参见2021年7月11日的增长恐慌周年纪念日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为总能找到适合自己特定周期观点的指标，所以我们一直都喜欢复合指标。这就是我们的 “周期模型”，它结合了宏观经济、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十项美国指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在 2019 年 6 月进入周期后期 “低迷 ”和 2020 年 4 月进入周期早期 “修复 ”之后，该指数一路飙升。<b>它的崛起如此之快，以至于刚刚度过了下一阶段（'复苏'），直接进入了'扩张'。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>不寻常的论文。“扩展 ”意味着捕捉 “比正常情况更好，并且正在改善 ”的条件、<b>自1980年以来，“经济衰退”结束后平均需要35个月才能到达那里</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这就是我们的论点，也体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，相对于其他风险资产，信贷越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次经济衰退提前，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多供应</b>.在我们的周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY信贷N1200万超额回报率分别比平均水平差29bp和161bp。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现更加喜忧参半</b>投资者应尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信贷策略师喜欢持有 CDX HY 0-15%，并用 CDX IG 付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合的更大平衡</b>我们喜欢美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为它有几个有利的因素：质量、低估值、高套利和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往表现优于“周期中期”，我们认为它们可以再次做到这一点。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们的周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉的收益率比平均水平低97个基点</b>. Guneet Dhingra 和我们的美国利率策略团队已将跑输大盘美国 10 年期国债移至我们的全球资产配置中，我们反过来又将跑输大盘国债移回。</li></ul>这个周期是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146536243","content_text":"We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.\nBut 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.\nInstead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.\nWas last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.\nIf it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should continue to do so.\nSpecifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).\nBecause one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.\nThisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.\nAll this has a number of implications:\n\nThe shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.\nIn many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.\nIn equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.\nInterest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.\n\nThis cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144075767,"gmtCreate":1626257455159,"gmtModify":1631889777753,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Sup?","listText":"Sup?","text":"Sup?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144075767","repostId":"1165083410","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165083410","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626256074,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1165083410?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-14 17:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.<blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划， 大麻股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165083410","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Cannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of ","content":"<p>Cannabis&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;gains&nbsp;in premarket&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.</p><p><blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划， 大麻股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> SNDL&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rises&nbsp;4%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket,&nbsp;TLRY&nbsp;and&nbsp;ACB&nbsp;shares&nbsp;are&nbsp;up&nbsp;2%.</p><p><blockquote>SNDL 股价盘前上涨 4%，TLRY 和 ACB 股价上涨 2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/231cd44d5edcf10717dd42ede4ccbed1\" tg-width=\"1289\" tg-height=\"593\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.), Sen. Ron Wyden (D., Oreg.) and Sen. Cory Booker (D., N.J.) are unveiling a discussion draft of their legislation to end the federal prohibition of marijuana. The senators will detail their plan at a press conference on July 14.</p><p><blockquote>参议院多数党领袖查克·舒默（纽约州民主党人），参议员罗恩·怀登（俄勒冈州民主党人）。）和参议员科里·布克（新泽西州民主党人）正在公布他们的立法讨论草案，以结束联邦对大麻的禁令。参议员们将在7月14日的新闻发布会上详细介绍他们的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The proposal— known as the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act — calls for removing cannabis from the federal list of controlled substances, allowing states to make their own decisions on cannabis. Many states have already moved to legalize recreational or medicinal marijuana use, but it still remains illegal under federal law.</p><p><blockquote>该提案被称为《大麻管理和机会法案》，评级将大麻从联邦管制物质清单中删除，允许各州对大麻做出自己的决定。许多州已经采取行动将娱乐或医用大麻合法化，但根据联邦法律，这仍然是非法的。</blockquote></p><p> \"By ending the failed federal prohibition of cannabis, the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act will ensure that Americans – especially Black and Brown Americans – no longer have to fear arrest or be barred from public housing or federal financial aid for higher education for using cannabis in states where it’s legal,\" reads the discussion draft. \"State-compliant cannabis businesses will finally be treated like other businesses and allowed access to essential financial services, like bank accounts and loans. Medical research will no longer be stifled.\"</p><p><blockquote>“通过结束失败的联邦大麻禁令，《大麻管理和机会法案》将确保美国人--尤其是美国黑人和棕色人种--不再需要担心在大麻合法的州使用大麻而被逮捕或被禁止获得公共住房或联邦高等教育财政援助，”讨论草案写道。“符合国家规定的大麻企业最终将受到与其他企业相同的待遇，并被允许获得基本金融服务，例如银行账户和贷款。医学研究将不再受到扼杀。”</blockquote></p><p> The proposal establishes 21 as the minimum age to purchase cannabis and limits retail sales to no more than 10 ounces of cannabis. It calls for federal agencies to research the impacts of cannabis use, legalization and cannabis-impaired driving — including research to establish an impairment standard for driving under the influence of cannabis.</p><p><blockquote>该提案将21岁定为购买大麻的最低年龄，并将零售大麻限制在不超过10盎司。联邦机构研究大麻使用、合法化和大麻损伤驾驶的影响是评级，包括研究建立大麻影响下驾驶的损伤标准。</blockquote></p><p> The Democratic trio has been working on the legislation for months. In an interview withYahoo Financeshortly after they announced their plan to work on the proposal, Sen. Wyden said Congress should \"finally recognize that the War on Drugs has failed.\"</p><p><blockquote>民主党三人组已经为这项立法工作了几个月。在宣布制定该提案的计划后不久，怀登参议员在接受雅虎财经采访时表示，国会应该“最终认识到禁毒战争已经失败”。</blockquote></p><p> The plan would require expungement of federal non-violent cannabis convictions and encourage state and local governments to do the same. It would keep people from being denied federal benefits — such as housing or federal financial aid — because of cannabis use or possession. People who are not U.S. citizens could not be denied benefits or protection under immigration laws.</p><p><blockquote>该计划将要求取消联邦非暴力大麻定罪，并鼓励州和地方政府也这样做。它将防止人们因为使用或持有大麻而被剥夺联邦福利——如住房或联邦财政援助。根据移民法，非美国公民不能被剥夺福利或保护。</blockquote></p><p> The plan would also create new grant programs to fund nonprofits that help people who have been \"adversely impacted by the War on Drugs.\" It would make loans available to small businesses in the cannabis industry and help states and localities implement cannabis licensing programs.</p><p><blockquote>该计划还将创建新的赠款计划，为帮助“受到禁毒战争不利影响”的人们的非营利组织提供资金。它将向大麻行业的小企业提供贷款，并帮助各州和地方实施大麻许可计划。</blockquote></p><p> President Joe Biden backed decriminalization of marijuana on the campaign trail, but the White House has not backed legalization efforts. In December, the Housepassed the MORE Act— which would remove marijuana from the controlled substance list and create restorative justice programs. Earlier this year, Rep. Jerry Nadler (D., N.Y.)reintroducedthe legislation.</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统在竞选活动中支持大麻合法化，但白宫没有支持大麻合法化的努力。12月，众议院通过了MORE法案，该法案将把大麻从管制物质清单中删除，并创建恢复性司法项目。今年早些时候，纽约州民主党众议员杰里·纳德勒重新引入了这项立法。</blockquote></p><p> The senators are asking for input on the proposal by Sept. 1, so they can consider feedback before crafting the final bill. The proposal faces a difficult vote in the evenly-divided Senate.</p><p><blockquote>参议员们要求在9月1日之前就该提案征求意见，以便他们可以在起草最终法案之前考虑反馈。该提案在势均力敌的参议院面临艰难的投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.<blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划， 大麻股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.<blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划， 大麻股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-14 17:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cannabis&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;gains&nbsp;in premarket&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.</p><p><blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划， 大麻股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> SNDL&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rises&nbsp;4%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket,&nbsp;TLRY&nbsp;and&nbsp;ACB&nbsp;shares&nbsp;are&nbsp;up&nbsp;2%.</p><p><blockquote>SNDL 股价盘前上涨 4%，TLRY 和 ACB 股价上涨 2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/231cd44d5edcf10717dd42ede4ccbed1\" tg-width=\"1289\" tg-height=\"593\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.), Sen. Ron Wyden (D., Oreg.) and Sen. Cory Booker (D., N.J.) are unveiling a discussion draft of their legislation to end the federal prohibition of marijuana. The senators will detail their plan at a press conference on July 14.</p><p><blockquote>参议院多数党领袖查克·舒默（纽约州民主党人），参议员罗恩·怀登（俄勒冈州民主党人）。）和参议员科里·布克（新泽西州民主党人）正在公布他们的立法讨论草案，以结束联邦对大麻的禁令。参议员们将在7月14日的新闻发布会上详细介绍他们的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The proposal— known as the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act — calls for removing cannabis from the federal list of controlled substances, allowing states to make their own decisions on cannabis. Many states have already moved to legalize recreational or medicinal marijuana use, but it still remains illegal under federal law.</p><p><blockquote>该提案被称为《大麻管理和机会法案》，评级将大麻从联邦管制物质清单中删除，允许各州对大麻做出自己的决定。许多州已经采取行动将娱乐或医用大麻合法化，但根据联邦法律，这仍然是非法的。</blockquote></p><p> \"By ending the failed federal prohibition of cannabis, the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act will ensure that Americans – especially Black and Brown Americans – no longer have to fear arrest or be barred from public housing or federal financial aid for higher education for using cannabis in states where it’s legal,\" reads the discussion draft. \"State-compliant cannabis businesses will finally be treated like other businesses and allowed access to essential financial services, like bank accounts and loans. Medical research will no longer be stifled.\"</p><p><blockquote>“通过结束失败的联邦大麻禁令，《大麻管理和机会法案》将确保美国人--尤其是美国黑人和棕色人种--不再需要担心在大麻合法的州使用大麻而被逮捕或被禁止获得公共住房或联邦高等教育财政援助，”讨论草案写道。“符合国家规定的大麻企业最终将受到与其他企业相同的待遇，并被允许获得基本金融服务，例如银行账户和贷款。医学研究将不再受到扼杀。”</blockquote></p><p> The proposal establishes 21 as the minimum age to purchase cannabis and limits retail sales to no more than 10 ounces of cannabis. It calls for federal agencies to research the impacts of cannabis use, legalization and cannabis-impaired driving — including research to establish an impairment standard for driving under the influence of cannabis.</p><p><blockquote>该提案将21岁定为购买大麻的最低年龄，并将零售大麻限制在不超过10盎司。联邦机构研究大麻使用、合法化和大麻损伤驾驶的影响是评级，包括研究建立大麻影响下驾驶的损伤标准。</blockquote></p><p> The Democratic trio has been working on the legislation for months. In an interview withYahoo Financeshortly after they announced their plan to work on the proposal, Sen. Wyden said Congress should \"finally recognize that the War on Drugs has failed.\"</p><p><blockquote>民主党三人组已经为这项立法工作了几个月。在宣布制定该提案的计划后不久，怀登参议员在接受雅虎财经采访时表示，国会应该“最终认识到禁毒战争已经失败”。</blockquote></p><p> The plan would require expungement of federal non-violent cannabis convictions and encourage state and local governments to do the same. It would keep people from being denied federal benefits — such as housing or federal financial aid — because of cannabis use or possession. People who are not U.S. citizens could not be denied benefits or protection under immigration laws.</p><p><blockquote>该计划将要求取消联邦非暴力大麻定罪，并鼓励州和地方政府也这样做。它将防止人们因为使用或持有大麻而被剥夺联邦福利——如住房或联邦财政援助。根据移民法，非美国公民不能被剥夺福利或保护。</blockquote></p><p> The plan would also create new grant programs to fund nonprofits that help people who have been \"adversely impacted by the War on Drugs.\" It would make loans available to small businesses in the cannabis industry and help states and localities implement cannabis licensing programs.</p><p><blockquote>该计划还将创建新的赠款计划，为帮助“受到禁毒战争不利影响”的人们的非营利组织提供资金。它将向大麻行业的小企业提供贷款，并帮助各州和地方实施大麻许可计划。</blockquote></p><p> President Joe Biden backed decriminalization of marijuana on the campaign trail, but the White House has not backed legalization efforts. In December, the Housepassed the MORE Act— which would remove marijuana from the controlled substance list and create restorative justice programs. Earlier this year, Rep. Jerry Nadler (D., N.Y.)reintroducedthe legislation.</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统在竞选活动中支持大麻合法化，但白宫没有支持大麻合法化的努力。12月，众议院通过了MORE法案，该法案将把大麻从管制物质清单中删除，并创建恢复性司法项目。今年早些时候，纽约州民主党众议员杰里·纳德勒重新引入了这项立法。</blockquote></p><p> The senators are asking for input on the proposal by Sept. 1, so they can consider feedback before crafting the final bill. The proposal faces a difficult vote in the evenly-divided Senate.</p><p><blockquote>参议员们要求在9月1日之前就该提案征求意见，以便他们可以在起草最终法案之前考虑反馈。该提案在势均力敌的参议院面临艰难的投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","SNDL":"SNDL Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165083410","content_text":"Cannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.\nSNDL shares rises 4% in premarket, TLRY and ACB shares are up 2%.\n\nSenate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.), Sen. Ron Wyden (D., Oreg.) and Sen. Cory Booker (D., N.J.) are unveiling a discussion draft of their legislation to end the federal prohibition of marijuana. The senators will detail their plan at a press conference on July 14.\nThe proposal— known as the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act — calls for removing cannabis from the federal list of controlled substances, allowing states to make their own decisions on cannabis. Many states have already moved to legalize recreational or medicinal marijuana use, but it still remains illegal under federal law.\n\"By ending the failed federal prohibition of cannabis, the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act will ensure that Americans – especially Black and Brown Americans – no longer have to fear arrest or be barred from public housing or federal financial aid for higher education for using cannabis in states where it’s legal,\" reads the discussion draft. \"State-compliant cannabis businesses will finally be treated like other businesses and allowed access to essential financial services, like bank accounts and loans. Medical research will no longer be stifled.\"\nThe proposal establishes 21 as the minimum age to purchase cannabis and limits retail sales to no more than 10 ounces of cannabis. It calls for federal agencies to research the impacts of cannabis use, legalization and cannabis-impaired driving — including research to establish an impairment standard for driving under the influence of cannabis.\nThe Democratic trio has been working on the legislation for months. In an interview withYahoo Financeshortly after they announced their plan to work on the proposal, Sen. Wyden said Congress should \"finally recognize that the War on Drugs has failed.\"\nThe plan would require expungement of federal non-violent cannabis convictions and encourage state and local governments to do the same. It would keep people from being denied federal benefits — such as housing or federal financial aid — because of cannabis use or possession. People who are not U.S. citizens could not be denied benefits or protection under immigration laws.\nThe plan would also create new grant programs to fund nonprofits that help people who have been \"adversely impacted by the War on Drugs.\" It would make loans available to small businesses in the cannabis industry and help states and localities implement cannabis licensing programs.\nPresident Joe Biden backed decriminalization of marijuana on the campaign trail, but the White House has not backed legalization efforts. In December, the Housepassed the MORE Act— which would remove marijuana from the controlled substance list and create restorative justice programs. Earlier this year, Rep. Jerry Nadler (D., N.Y.)reintroducedthe legislation.\nThe senators are asking for input on the proposal by Sept. 1, so they can consider feedback before crafting the final bill. The proposal faces a difficult vote in the evenly-divided Senate.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TLRY":0.9,"SNDL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145074781,"gmtCreate":1626184854243,"gmtModify":1631889777758,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"What’s up man","listText":"What’s up man","text":"What’s up man","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145074781","repostId":"1152442565","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146795547,"gmtCreate":1626098711889,"gmtModify":1631889777766,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"&nbsp;Hello","listText":"&nbsp;Hello","text":"Hello","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146795547","repostId":"2150580297","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":807,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143944547,"gmtCreate":1625757860389,"gmtModify":1631889777768,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Covid killing lives&nbsp;","listText":"Covid killing lives&nbsp;","text":"Covid killing lives","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143944547","repostId":"1145034030","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":754,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149781735,"gmtCreate":1625748836727,"gmtModify":1631889777777,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Who will like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Who will like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Who will like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149781735","repostId":"1111084527","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":851,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140685537,"gmtCreate":1625654165629,"gmtModify":1631883983346,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Need one like&nbsp;","listText":"Need one like&nbsp;","text":"Need one like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140685537","repostId":"1181198369","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157125273,"gmtCreate":1625574163692,"gmtModify":1631889777772,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like my comment please&nbsp;","listText":"Like my comment please&nbsp;","text":"Like my comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157125273","repostId":"1184051379","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":782,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152449037,"gmtCreate":1625338751929,"gmtModify":1631889777777,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like my post","listText":"Please like my post","text":"Please like my post","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152449037","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121309760,"gmtCreate":1624452209250,"gmtModify":1634005975886,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yo hi guys&nbsp;","listText":"Yo hi guys&nbsp;","text":"Yo hi guys","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121309760","repostId":"1146629706","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146629706","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624449285,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1146629706?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 19:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146629706","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.\nBitcoin, ethe","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.</li>  <li>Bitcoin, ethereum and other crypto currenciesrose Wednesday after a tumultous few daysof trading. The SEC meanwhile,delayed a decision about allowing bitcoin ETFs.</li>  <li>Crude prices hit multiyear highs on economic rebound hopes,with signs pointing to a stronger rebound in the U.S.than the rest of the world.</li>  <li>Torchlight Energy, a hot stock among the Reddit crowd, tumbled premarket, extending a 29% drop the day before.</li>  <li>GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack &amp; more made the biggest moves.</li> </ul> (June 23)&nbsp;U.S. equity futures were steady, while stocks were mixed Wednesday as investors assessed prospects for an economic recovery and continued policy support.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股票期货在小幅涨跌之间波动，预示着开盘平静。</li><li>经过几天的动荡交易后，比特币、以太币和其他加密货币周三上涨。与此同时， 美国证券交易委员会推迟了允许比特币ETF的决定。</li><li>由于经济复苏的希望，原油价格触及多年高点，有迹象表明美国的反弹比世界其他地区更强劲。</li><li>Reddit 人群中的热门股票 Torchlight Energy 盘前暴跌，延续了前一天 29% 的跌幅。</li><li>葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack 等公司动作最大。</li></ul>（6月23日）美国由于投资者评估经济复苏和持续政策支持的前景，周三股市涨跌互现。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:59AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 17 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 futures traded 0.25 points, or 0.01%, lower, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 4.25&nbsp;points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 7:59，道琼斯期货合约仅上涨 17 点，即 0.05%，标普500期货下跌 0.25 点，即 0.01%，纳斯达克 100 指数期货上涨 4.25 点，即 0.03%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e352cd119b936c2cd0b2e789eff1776a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Contracts on all three U.S. equity benchmarks were little changed, after two days of gains for the S&amp;P 500 Index. European equities fell despite better-than-forecast outputdata, after high-flying sectors such as luxury-goods makersslidon analyst downgrades. Asian equities advanced.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500指数连续两天上涨后，所有三个美国股市基准的合约几乎没有变化。尽管产出数据好于预期，但在奢侈品制造商 SLIDON 分析师下调了高价行业的评级后，欧洲股市仍下跌。亚洲股市上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Oil climbed above $73 a barrel after data signaling another decline in U.S. crude stockpiles added to a bullish outlook.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示美国原油库存再次下降，增加了看涨前景，油价攀升至每桶 73 美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/292b831ab7a8ddca43fdc5432203af34\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Markets are steadying this week after last week’s volatility spurred by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt at its meeting. Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday said the central bank would be patient in waiting to lift borrowing costs, andreiteratedthat while price increases are bigger than expected, they will likely wane.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了上周美联储在会议上的鹰派倾向引发的波动之后，本周市场趋于稳定。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二表示，央行将耐心等待借贷成本的提高，并重申尽管物价上涨幅度大于预期，但可能会减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s shift last week to acknowledge higher inflation and pull forward its rate hike projections is “a reflection of more positive longer-term dynamics,” BlackRock Investment Institute strategists led by Jean Boivin wrote in a report. “We believe the Fed’s new outlook will not translate into significantly higher policy rates any time soon. This, combined with the powerful restart, underpins our pro-risk stance.”</p><p><blockquote>以让-博伊文（Jean Boivin）为首的贝莱德投资研究所（BlackRock Investment Institute）策略师在一份报告中写道，美联储上周承认通胀上升并提前加息预测，“反映了更积极的长期动态”。“我们认为，美联储的新展望不会很快转化为大幅上调政策利率。这一点，再加上强有力的重启，巩固了我们支持风险的立场。”</blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, commodities including copper and iron ore climbed.Bitcoinrebounded, rising past $30,000.</p><p><blockquote>在其他地方，包括铜和铁矿石在内的大宗商品价格上涨。比特币反弹，升至 30,000 美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack 等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) </b>– The drugmaker’s stock rose 3.5% in the premarket after it detailed plans to spin out its consumer health-care business into a separate company. Glaxo will eventually receive an $11 billion payment from the new company.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）葛兰素史克（GSK）</b>- 该制药商详细说明了将其消费者医疗保健业务分拆为一家独立公司的计划，其股价在盘前上涨了 3.5%。葛兰素史克最终将从新公司获得110亿美元的付款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b> – MicroStrategy rallied 4.4% in premarket trading, trading in sync with the price of bitcoin. The business analytics company holds several billion dollars worth of bitcoin and took advantage of the recent price drop to buy more.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）微策略（MSTR）</b>– MicroStrategy 在盘前交易中上涨 4.4%，与比特币价格同步交易。这家商业分析公司持有价值数十亿美元的比特币，并利用最近的价格下跌购买了更多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Shake Shack(SHAK) </b>– Shake Shack announced an expansion of its footprint in China, where it currently has 16 restaurants. It will open 10 restaurants in new territories by 2031, and plans to have a total of 79 China locations by that time. Shake Shack gained 1.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>3) 摇晃小屋（SHAK）</b>– Shake Shack 宣布扩大其在中国的业务，目前在中国拥有 16 家餐厅。到2031年，它将在新界开设10家餐厅，并计划届时共有79家中国分店。Shake Shack 在盘前交易中上涨 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Winnebago(WGO) </b>– The recreational vehicle maker reported quarterly earnings of $2.16 per share, well above the consensus estimate of $1.77 a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts by doubling to record levels. Sales of towable products nearly tripled from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>4) 温尼贝戈（世界卫生组织）</b>– 这家休闲车制造商公布的季度收益为每股 2.16 美元，远高于每股 1.77 美元的市场普遍预期。收入也翻了一番，达到创纪录水平，超出了华尔街的预期。可牵引产品的销售额比去年同期增长了近两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Microsoft(MSFT) </b>– Microsoft became the second company to surpass a $2 trillion market value, achieving that mark during Tuesday’s session.Apple(AAPL), currently worth $2.2 trillion, was the first.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）微软（MSFT）</b>- 微软成为第二家市值突破 2 万亿美元的公司，在周二的交易中达到了这一里程碑。苹果公司（AAPL）目前市值为 2.2 万亿美元，是第一家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Carrier Global(CARR)</b> – Carrier shares rose 1.9% in the premarket after the stock was rated “buy” in new coverage at Deutsche Bank. The industrial equipment maker is poised to benefit from its exposure to non-residential construction as well as an increasing emphasis on indoor air quality, according to Deutsche Bank.</p><p><blockquote><b>6）全球运营商（CARR）</b>- 在德意志银行（Deutsche Bank）的最新报道中，Carrier 的股票被评为 “买入”，该股在盘前上涨了 1.9%。德意志银行表示，这家工业设备制造商有望从其对非住宅建筑的投资以及对室内空气质量的日益重视中受益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Amazon.com(AMZN) </b>– Amazon will bethe target of a nationwide unionization effortby the Teamsters Union, which accuses the retail giant of mistreating warehouse and logistics workers. The effort was announced in a resolution presented at the union’s international convention.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）亚马逊（AMZN）</b>– 亚马逊将成为卡车司机工会在全国范围内发起工会运动的目标，该工会指责这家零售巨头虐待仓库和物流工人。在工会国际大会上提出的一项决议中宣布了这一努力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Intel(INTC)</b> – The semiconductor maker is creating two new business units, one that will focus on software and the other on high-performance computing and graphics.</p><p><blockquote><b>8) 英特尔(INTC)</b>– 这家半导体制造商正在创建两个新的业务部门，一个专注于软件，另一个专注于高性能计算和图形。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Alphabet(GOOGL)</b> – Alphabet’s Google unit will soon face a lawsuit by a number of state attorneys general, according to a Reuters report. The suit – which could be filed as soon as next week – will accuse the company’s Google Play app store of violating antitrust law.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）Alphabet（GOOGL）</b>- 据路透社报道，Alphabet的谷歌部门很快将面临一些州总检察长的诉讼。该诉讼最早可能于下周提起，将指控该公司的 Google Play 应用商店违反反垄断法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Xpeng(XPEV) </b>– Xpeng received permission from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for an initial public offering there, with The Wall Street Journal reporting that the China-based electric car maker is planning to raise up to $2 billion with that offering. Xpeng is already listed in the U.S. with a market value of more than $30 billion. Xpeng jumped 3.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10）小鹏汽车（XPEV）</b>– 小鹏汽车已获得香港证券交易所的首次公开募股许可，《华尔街日报》报道称，这家中国电动汽车制造商计划通过此次募股筹集高达 20 亿美元的资金。小鹏汽车已经在美国上市，市值超过300亿美元。小鹏汽车盘前上涨3.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-23 19:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.</li>  <li>Bitcoin, ethereum and other crypto currenciesrose Wednesday after a tumultous few daysof trading. The SEC meanwhile,delayed a decision about allowing bitcoin ETFs.</li>  <li>Crude prices hit multiyear highs on economic rebound hopes,with signs pointing to a stronger rebound in the U.S.than the rest of the world.</li>  <li>Torchlight Energy, a hot stock among the Reddit crowd, tumbled premarket, extending a 29% drop the day before.</li>  <li>GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack &amp; more made the biggest moves.</li> </ul> (June 23)&nbsp;U.S. equity futures were steady, while stocks were mixed Wednesday as investors assessed prospects for an economic recovery and continued policy support.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股票期货在小幅涨跌之间波动，预示着开盘平静。</li><li>经过几天的动荡交易后，比特币、以太币和其他加密货币周三上涨。与此同时， 美国证券交易委员会推迟了允许比特币ETF的决定。</li><li>由于经济复苏的希望，原油价格触及多年高点，有迹象表明美国的反弹比世界其他地区更强劲。</li><li>Reddit 人群中的热门股票 Torchlight Energy 盘前暴跌，延续了前一天 29% 的跌幅。</li><li>葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack 等公司动作最大。</li></ul>（6月23日）美国由于投资者评估经济复苏和持续政策支持的前景，周三股市涨跌互现。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:59AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 17 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 futures traded 0.25 points, or 0.01%, lower, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 4.25&nbsp;points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 7:59，道琼斯期货合约仅上涨 17 点，即 0.05%，标普500期货下跌 0.25 点，即 0.01%，纳斯达克 100 指数期货上涨 4.25 点，即 0.03%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e352cd119b936c2cd0b2e789eff1776a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Contracts on all three U.S. equity benchmarks were little changed, after two days of gains for the S&amp;P 500 Index. European equities fell despite better-than-forecast outputdata, after high-flying sectors such as luxury-goods makersslidon analyst downgrades. Asian equities advanced.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500指数连续两天上涨后，所有三个美国股市基准的合约几乎没有变化。尽管产出数据好于预期，但在奢侈品制造商 SLIDON 分析师下调了高价行业的评级后，欧洲股市仍下跌。亚洲股市上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Oil climbed above $73 a barrel after data signaling another decline in U.S. crude stockpiles added to a bullish outlook.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示美国原油库存再次下降，增加了看涨前景，油价攀升至每桶 73 美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/292b831ab7a8ddca43fdc5432203af34\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Markets are steadying this week after last week’s volatility spurred by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt at its meeting. Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday said the central bank would be patient in waiting to lift borrowing costs, andreiteratedthat while price increases are bigger than expected, they will likely wane.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了上周美联储在会议上的鹰派倾向引发的波动之后，本周市场趋于稳定。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二表示，央行将耐心等待借贷成本的提高，并重申尽管物价上涨幅度大于预期，但可能会减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s shift last week to acknowledge higher inflation and pull forward its rate hike projections is “a reflection of more positive longer-term dynamics,” BlackRock Investment Institute strategists led by Jean Boivin wrote in a report. “We believe the Fed’s new outlook will not translate into significantly higher policy rates any time soon. This, combined with the powerful restart, underpins our pro-risk stance.”</p><p><blockquote>以让-博伊文（Jean Boivin）为首的贝莱德投资研究所（BlackRock Investment Institute）策略师在一份报告中写道，美联储上周承认通胀上升并提前加息预测，“反映了更积极的长期动态”。“我们认为，美联储的新展望不会很快转化为大幅上调政策利率。这一点，再加上强有力的重启，巩固了我们支持风险的立场。”</blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, commodities including copper and iron ore climbed.Bitcoinrebounded, rising past $30,000.</p><p><blockquote>在其他地方，包括铜和铁矿石在内的大宗商品价格上涨。比特币反弹，升至 30,000 美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack 等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) </b>– The drugmaker’s stock rose 3.5% in the premarket after it detailed plans to spin out its consumer health-care business into a separate company. Glaxo will eventually receive an $11 billion payment from the new company.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）葛兰素史克（GSK）</b>- 该制药商详细说明了将其消费者医疗保健业务分拆为一家独立公司的计划，其股价在盘前上涨了 3.5%。葛兰素史克最终将从新公司获得110亿美元的付款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b> – MicroStrategy rallied 4.4% in premarket trading, trading in sync with the price of bitcoin. The business analytics company holds several billion dollars worth of bitcoin and took advantage of the recent price drop to buy more.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）微策略（MSTR）</b>– MicroStrategy 在盘前交易中上涨 4.4%，与比特币价格同步交易。这家商业分析公司持有价值数十亿美元的比特币，并利用最近的价格下跌购买了更多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Shake Shack(SHAK) </b>– Shake Shack announced an expansion of its footprint in China, where it currently has 16 restaurants. It will open 10 restaurants in new territories by 2031, and plans to have a total of 79 China locations by that time. Shake Shack gained 1.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>3) 摇晃小屋（SHAK）</b>– Shake Shack 宣布扩大其在中国的业务，目前在中国拥有 16 家餐厅。到2031年，它将在新界开设10家餐厅，并计划届时共有79家中国分店。Shake Shack 在盘前交易中上涨 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Winnebago(WGO) </b>– The recreational vehicle maker reported quarterly earnings of $2.16 per share, well above the consensus estimate of $1.77 a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts by doubling to record levels. Sales of towable products nearly tripled from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>4) 温尼贝戈（世界卫生组织）</b>– 这家休闲车制造商公布的季度收益为每股 2.16 美元，远高于每股 1.77 美元的市场普遍预期。收入也翻了一番，达到创纪录水平，超出了华尔街的预期。可牵引产品的销售额比去年同期增长了近两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Microsoft(MSFT) </b>– Microsoft became the second company to surpass a $2 trillion market value, achieving that mark during Tuesday’s session.Apple(AAPL), currently worth $2.2 trillion, was the first.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）微软（MSFT）</b>- 微软成为第二家市值突破 2 万亿美元的公司，在周二的交易中达到了这一里程碑。苹果公司（AAPL）目前市值为 2.2 万亿美元，是第一家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Carrier Global(CARR)</b> – Carrier shares rose 1.9% in the premarket after the stock was rated “buy” in new coverage at Deutsche Bank. The industrial equipment maker is poised to benefit from its exposure to non-residential construction as well as an increasing emphasis on indoor air quality, according to Deutsche Bank.</p><p><blockquote><b>6）全球运营商（CARR）</b>- 在德意志银行（Deutsche Bank）的最新报道中，Carrier 的股票被评为 “买入”，该股在盘前上涨了 1.9%。德意志银行表示，这家工业设备制造商有望从其对非住宅建筑的投资以及对室内空气质量的日益重视中受益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Amazon.com(AMZN) </b>– Amazon will bethe target of a nationwide unionization effortby the Teamsters Union, which accuses the retail giant of mistreating warehouse and logistics workers. The effort was announced in a resolution presented at the union’s international convention.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）亚马逊（AMZN）</b>– 亚马逊将成为卡车司机工会在全国范围内发起工会运动的目标，该工会指责这家零售巨头虐待仓库和物流工人。在工会国际大会上提出的一项决议中宣布了这一努力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Intel(INTC)</b> – The semiconductor maker is creating two new business units, one that will focus on software and the other on high-performance computing and graphics.</p><p><blockquote><b>8) 英特尔(INTC)</b>– 这家半导体制造商正在创建两个新的业务部门，一个专注于软件，另一个专注于高性能计算和图形。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Alphabet(GOOGL)</b> – Alphabet’s Google unit will soon face a lawsuit by a number of state attorneys general, according to a Reuters report. The suit – which could be filed as soon as next week – will accuse the company’s Google Play app store of violating antitrust law.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）Alphabet（GOOGL）</b>- 据路透社报道，Alphabet的谷歌部门很快将面临一些州总检察长的诉讼。该诉讼最早可能于下周提起，将指控该公司的 Google Play 应用商店违反反垄断法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Xpeng(XPEV) </b>– Xpeng received permission from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for an initial public offering there, with The Wall Street Journal reporting that the China-based electric car maker is planning to raise up to $2 billion with that offering. Xpeng is already listed in the U.S. with a market value of more than $30 billion. Xpeng jumped 3.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10）小鹏汽车（XPEV）</b>– 小鹏汽车已获得香港证券交易所的首次公开募股许可，《华尔街日报》报道称，这家中国电动汽车制造商计划通过此次募股筹集高达 20 亿美元的资金。小鹏汽车已经在美国上市，市值超过300亿美元。小鹏汽车盘前上涨3.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146629706","content_text":"Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.\nBitcoin, ethereum and other crypto currenciesrose Wednesday after a tumultous few daysof trading. The SEC meanwhile,delayed a decision about allowing bitcoin ETFs.\nCrude prices hit multiyear highs on economic rebound hopes,with signs pointing to a stronger rebound in the U.S.than the rest of the world.\nTorchlight Energy, a hot stock among the Reddit crowd, tumbled premarket, extending a 29% drop the day before.\nGlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more made the biggest moves.\n\n(June 23) U.S. equity futures were steady, while stocks were mixed Wednesday as investors assessed prospects for an economic recovery and continued policy support.\nAt 7:59AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 17 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 futures traded 0.25 points, or 0.01%, lower, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 4.25 points, or 0.03%.\n\nContracts on all three U.S. equity benchmarks were little changed, after two days of gains for the S&P 500 Index. European equities fell despite better-than-forecast outputdata, after high-flying sectors such as luxury-goods makersslidon analyst downgrades. Asian equities advanced.\nOil climbed above $73 a barrel after data signaling another decline in U.S. crude stockpiles added to a bullish outlook.\n\nMarkets are steadying this week after last week’s volatility spurred by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt at its meeting. Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday said the central bank would be patient in waiting to lift borrowing costs, andreiteratedthat while price increases are bigger than expected, they will likely wane.\nThe Fed’s shift last week to acknowledge higher inflation and pull forward its rate hike projections is “a reflection of more positive longer-term dynamics,” BlackRock Investment Institute strategists led by Jean Boivin wrote in a report. “We believe the Fed’s new outlook will not translate into significantly higher policy rates any time soon. This, combined with the powerful restart, underpins our pro-risk stance.”\nElsewhere, commodities including copper and iron ore climbed.Bitcoinrebounded, rising past $30,000.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more\n1) GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) – The drugmaker’s stock rose 3.5% in the premarket after it detailed plans to spin out its consumer health-care business into a separate company. Glaxo will eventually receive an $11 billion payment from the new company.\n2) MicroStrategy(MSTR) – MicroStrategy rallied 4.4% in premarket trading, trading in sync with the price of bitcoin. The business analytics company holds several billion dollars worth of bitcoin and took advantage of the recent price drop to buy more.\n3) Shake Shack(SHAK) – Shake Shack announced an expansion of its footprint in China, where it currently has 16 restaurants. It will open 10 restaurants in new territories by 2031, and plans to have a total of 79 China locations by that time. Shake Shack gained 1.5% in premarket action.\n4) Winnebago(WGO) – The recreational vehicle maker reported quarterly earnings of $2.16 per share, well above the consensus estimate of $1.77 a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts by doubling to record levels. Sales of towable products nearly tripled from a year earlier.\n5) Microsoft(MSFT) – Microsoft became the second company to surpass a $2 trillion market value, achieving that mark during Tuesday’s session.Apple(AAPL), currently worth $2.2 trillion, was the first.\n6) Carrier Global(CARR) – Carrier shares rose 1.9% in the premarket after the stock was rated “buy” in new coverage at Deutsche Bank. The industrial equipment maker is poised to benefit from its exposure to non-residential construction as well as an increasing emphasis on indoor air quality, according to Deutsche Bank.\n7) Amazon.com(AMZN) – Amazon will bethe target of a nationwide unionization effortby the Teamsters Union, which accuses the retail giant of mistreating warehouse and logistics workers. The effort was announced in a resolution presented at the union’s international convention.\n8) Intel(INTC) – The semiconductor maker is creating two new business units, one that will focus on software and the other on high-performance computing and graphics.\n9) Alphabet(GOOGL) – Alphabet’s Google unit will soon face a lawsuit by a number of state attorneys general, according to a Reuters report. The suit – which could be filed as soon as next week – will accuse the company’s Google Play app store of violating antitrust law.\n10) Xpeng(XPEV) – Xpeng received permission from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for an initial public offering there, with The Wall Street Journal reporting that the China-based electric car maker is planning to raise up to $2 billion with that offering. Xpeng is already listed in the U.S. with a market value of more than $30 billion. Xpeng jumped 3.8% in the premarket.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129461731,"gmtCreate":1624381774123,"gmtModify":1634006922770,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"I left a comment&nbsp;","listText":"I left a comment&nbsp;","text":"I left a comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129461731","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":870,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129416292,"gmtCreate":1624380770716,"gmtModify":1634006935203,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Praise my best comment people !!","listText":"Praise my best comment people !!","text":"Praise my best comment people !!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129416292","repostId":"1156381928","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120325203,"gmtCreate":1624304138402,"gmtModify":1634008148377,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please response my comment&nbsp;","listText":"Please response my comment&nbsp;","text":"Please response my comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120325203","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":866581797,"gmtCreate":1632790824919,"gmtModify":1632797582288,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866581797","repostId":"1199853438","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3186,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866801475,"gmtCreate":1632751121397,"gmtModify":1632798106833,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hello","listText":"Hello","text":"Hello","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866801475","repostId":"2170623026","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2825,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":145074781,"gmtCreate":1626184854243,"gmtModify":1631889777758,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"What’s up man","listText":"What’s up man","text":"What’s up man","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145074781","repostId":"1152442565","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152442565","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626183960,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1152442565?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 21:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Orbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.<blockquote>Orbsat Corp 股价在早盘交易中上涨近 100%， 因为该公司的全球 Telesat 通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152442565","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Orbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications","content":"<p>Orbsat Corp&nbsp;shares&nbsp;jumps&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;100%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.</p><p><blockquote>Orbsat Corp 股价在早盘交易中上涨近 100%， 因为该公司的全球 Telesat 通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df700e33a39e4c926a5f47fe2917a75c\" tg-width=\"1286\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Orbsat Corp, a global provider of IoT and connectivity solutions through next-generation satellite technology, today announced that its Global Telesat Communications (GTC) unit has entered into an agreement with Alibaba.com, the B2B (Business-to-Business) e-commerce website owned and operated by Alibaba Group Holding Limited, also known as Alibaba Group (NYSE: BABA; HKEX: 9988), a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, internet, and technology. GTC will be a Gold- Supplier on Alibaba.com, the world's largest Business-to-Business (B2B) e-commerce website.</p><p><blockquote>通过下一代卫星技术提供物联网和连接解决方案的全球提供商 Orbsat Corp 今天宣布，其全球卫星通信 (GTC) 部门已与 Alibaba.com 达成协议，Alibaba.com 是 B2B（企业对企业）电子商务网站由阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司（也称为阿里巴巴-SW集团（纽约证券交易所代码：BABA；港交所代码：9988）拥有和运营，是一家专门从事电子商务、零售、互联网和技术的中国跨国科技公司。GTC将成为全球最大的B2B电子商务网站Alibaba.com的金牌供应商。</blockquote></p><p> \"With our launch on Alibaba.com, the world's largest B2B platform, we are significantly accelerating our global expansion plans, expanding, and deepening our e-commerce reach into nearly every country. This will allow us to better serve the needs of our enterprise customers across the world,\" said Charles M. Fernandez, Chairman and CEO of Orbsat. \"There has been explosive growth in online shopping due to the pandemic as businesses and consumers around the world embrace e-commerce. Long-term, we believe that e-commerce will be the preferred channel for businesses and consumers seeking to research and purchase our satellite IoT and connectivity products and services. We also intend to secure new integration alliances including joint commerce structures with additional connectivity partners such as those in the CubeSat space which can leverage our expanded e-commerce platforms and ground station-based infrastructure.\"</p><p><blockquote>Orbsat 董事长兼首席执行官 Charles M. Fernandez 表示：“随着我们在全球最大的 B2B 平台 Alibaba.com 上线，我们正在显著加快全球扩张计划，扩大并深化我们的电子商务覆盖范围，几乎每个国家。这将使我们能够更好地满足全球企业客户的需求。”“由于疫情，随着世界各地的企业和消费者拥抱电子商务，在线购物出现了爆炸式增长。从长远来看，我们相信电子商务将成为寻求研究和购买我们卫星物联网和连接产品和服务的企业和消费者的首选渠道。我们还打算确保新的集成联盟，包括与其他连接合作伙伴（例如 CubeSat space 中的合作伙伴）建立联合商务结构，这些合作伙伴可以利用我们扩展的电子商务平台和基于地面站的基础设施。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Orbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.<blockquote>Orbsat Corp 股价在早盘交易中上涨近 100%， 因为该公司的全球 Telesat 通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOrbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.<blockquote>Orbsat Corp 股价在早盘交易中上涨近 100%， 因为该公司的全球 Telesat 通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-13 21:46</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Orbsat Corp&nbsp;shares&nbsp;jumps&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;100%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.</p><p><blockquote>Orbsat Corp 股价在早盘交易中上涨近 100%， 因为该公司的全球 Telesat 通信部门被批准为阿里巴巴-SW金牌供应商。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df700e33a39e4c926a5f47fe2917a75c\" tg-width=\"1286\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Orbsat Corp, a global provider of IoT and connectivity solutions through next-generation satellite technology, today announced that its Global Telesat Communications (GTC) unit has entered into an agreement with Alibaba.com, the B2B (Business-to-Business) e-commerce website owned and operated by Alibaba Group Holding Limited, also known as Alibaba Group (NYSE: BABA; HKEX: 9988), a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, internet, and technology. GTC will be a Gold- Supplier on Alibaba.com, the world's largest Business-to-Business (B2B) e-commerce website.</p><p><blockquote>通过下一代卫星技术提供物联网和连接解决方案的全球提供商 Orbsat Corp 今天宣布，其全球卫星通信 (GTC) 部门已与 Alibaba.com 达成协议，Alibaba.com 是 B2B（企业对企业）电子商务网站由阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司（也称为阿里巴巴-SW集团（纽约证券交易所代码：BABA；港交所代码：9988）拥有和运营，是一家专门从事电子商务、零售、互联网和技术的中国跨国科技公司。GTC将成为全球最大的B2B电子商务网站Alibaba.com的金牌供应商。</blockquote></p><p> \"With our launch on Alibaba.com, the world's largest B2B platform, we are significantly accelerating our global expansion plans, expanding, and deepening our e-commerce reach into nearly every country. This will allow us to better serve the needs of our enterprise customers across the world,\" said Charles M. Fernandez, Chairman and CEO of Orbsat. \"There has been explosive growth in online shopping due to the pandemic as businesses and consumers around the world embrace e-commerce. Long-term, we believe that e-commerce will be the preferred channel for businesses and consumers seeking to research and purchase our satellite IoT and connectivity products and services. We also intend to secure new integration alliances including joint commerce structures with additional connectivity partners such as those in the CubeSat space which can leverage our expanded e-commerce platforms and ground station-based infrastructure.\"</p><p><blockquote>Orbsat 董事长兼首席执行官 Charles M. Fernandez 表示：“随着我们在全球最大的 B2B 平台 Alibaba.com 上线，我们正在显著加快全球扩张计划，扩大并深化我们的电子商务覆盖范围，几乎每个国家。这将使我们能够更好地满足全球企业客户的需求。”“由于疫情，随着世界各地的企业和消费者拥抱电子商务，在线购物出现了爆炸式增长。从长远来看，我们相信电子商务将成为寻求研究和购买我们卫星物联网和连接产品和服务的企业和消费者的首选渠道。我们还打算确保新的集成联盟，包括与其他连接合作伙伴（例如 CubeSat space 中的合作伙伴）建立联合商务结构，这些合作伙伴可以利用我们扩展的电子商务平台和基于地面站的基础设施。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152442565","content_text":"Orbsat Corp shares jumps nearly 100% in early trading,as the company's Global Telesat Communications Unit Approved as an Alibaba gold supplier.\nOrbsat Corp, a global provider of IoT and connectivity solutions through next-generation satellite technology, today announced that its Global Telesat Communications (GTC) unit has entered into an agreement with Alibaba.com, the B2B (Business-to-Business) e-commerce website owned and operated by Alibaba Group Holding Limited, also known as Alibaba Group (NYSE: BABA; HKEX: 9988), a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, internet, and technology. GTC will be a Gold- Supplier on Alibaba.com, the world's largest Business-to-Business (B2B) e-commerce website.\n\"With our launch on Alibaba.com, the world's largest B2B platform, we are significantly accelerating our global expansion plans, expanding, and deepening our e-commerce reach into nearly every country. This will allow us to better serve the needs of our enterprise customers across the world,\" said Charles M. Fernandez, Chairman and CEO of Orbsat. \"There has been explosive growth in online shopping due to the pandemic as businesses and consumers around the world embrace e-commerce. Long-term, we believe that e-commerce will be the preferred channel for businesses and consumers seeking to research and purchase our satellite IoT and connectivity products and services. We also intend to secure new integration alliances including joint commerce structures with additional connectivity partners such as those in the CubeSat space which can leverage our expanded e-commerce platforms and ground station-based infrastructure.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"OSAT":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169542800,"gmtCreate":1623845160200,"gmtModify":1634027224330,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please response my comment&nbsp;","listText":"Please response my comment&nbsp;","text":"Please response my comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169542800","repostId":"1160929405","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160929405","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623844146,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1160929405?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 19:49","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"Crypto Die-Hards Built a $90 Billion Wall Street on the Internet<blockquote>加密货币顽固分子在互联网上打造了价值 900 亿美元的华尔街</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160929405","media":".bloomberg","summary":"Money manager Vladimir Vishnevskiy can earn anegative interest ratefor holding a European government","content":"<p>Money manager Vladimir Vishnevskiy can earn anegative interest ratefor holding a European government bond. Or he can pocket the annual equivalent of a 20% yield for locking money up in one of the wilder corners of the crypto market, known as decentralized finance, or DeFi.</p><p><blockquote>基金经理弗拉基米尔·维什涅夫斯基（Vladimir Vishnevskiy）持有欧洲政府债券可以赚取负利率。或者，他可以通过将资金锁定在加密货币市场更荒凉的角落之一（称为去中心化金融或 DeFi），获得相当于 20% 的年收益率。</blockquote></p><p> He decided to go for the 20%. “You can’t get those yields in the traditional space,” says the co-founder of Swiss-based St. Gotthard Fund Management, which runs a portfolio designed to squeeze income out of crypto assets. The strategy is so new that even Wall Street pros may have trouble wrapping their heads around it. Take what you might know about Bitcoin—that it’s a digital currency that exists only on an online ledger governed by computer code. Now make it even more mind-bending, and imagine the code isn’t just recording transactions. It’s running lending platforms, insurers and financial markets with little human intermediation. That’sDeFi.</p><p><blockquote>他决定拿那20%。“总部位于瑞士的圣哥达基金管理公司（St. Gotthard Fund Management）的联合创始人说：”你无法在传统领域获得这样的收益率。这一策略如此新颖，以至于即使是华尔街的专业人士也可能难以理解。就拿你可能知道的比特币来说--它是一种数字货币，只存在于由计算机代码管理的在线账本上。现在，让它变得更加令人费解，想象一下代码不仅仅是记录交易。它运营贷款平台、保险公司和金融市场，几乎没有人工中介。那就是sDeFi。</blockquote></p><p> Traders like Vishnevskiy can collect yields by committing in the form of crypto tokens the capital that’s needed to make these disembodied and largely unregulated financial institutions run. At the peak last month, investors put in as much as $86 billion into various DeFi programs, compared with just under $1 billion a year ago, DeFi Pulse data show.</p><p><blockquote>像维什涅夫斯基这样的交易员可以通过以加密代币的形式承诺这些无形且基本上不受监管的金融机构运转所需的资金来收取收益。DeFi Pulse 数据显示，在上个月的高峰期，投资者向各种 DeFi 项目投入了多达 860 亿美元，而一年前这一数字略低于 10 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> It’s a young, volatile, and hack-prone system. (One of the first decentralized projects, a fund called the DAO, was the victim of aspectacular $55 million theftby someone taking advantage of a flaw in its code to siphon off funds.) And for now, it’s mostly a crypto world built for thecrypto universe. The decentralized lenders are largely taking crypto deposits to make loans to people looking for leverage on crypto bets; the decentralized exchanges are used for trading crypto coins; the decentralized insurers cover crypto hacks.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个年轻、不稳定、容易被黑客攻击的系统。(最早的去中心化项目之一是一个名为 DAO 的基金，它成为了 5500 万美元被盗的受害者，有人利用其代码中的漏洞抽走了资金）。目前，它主要是一个为加密世界打造的加密世界。去中心化的贷方在很大程度上接受加密存款，向寻求加密赌注杠杆的人发放贷款；分散的交易所用于交易加密硬币；去中心化的保险公司负责加密黑客。</blockquote></p><p> The big yields investors can earn are denominated not in dollars or euros but in often-obscure tokens. Critics of DeFi say some projects can resemble a Ponzi scheme: Early investors depend on others piling into tokens that still have limited real-world utility. If returns are high, it’s largely because of investors’ voracious appetite for more digital assets. And since DeFi projects don’t need to live in any physical location, they’re difficult to regulate, making the space vulnerable to scams and money laundering schemes. Still, DeFi’s advocates think the technology has the power to open up markets and build new kinds of financial products.</p><p><blockquote>投资者可以获得的巨额收益不是以美元或欧元计价，而是以通常晦涩难懂的代币计价。DeFi 的批评者表示，一些项目可能类似于庞氏骗局：早期投资者依赖其他人堆积代币，而这些代币在现实世界中仍然具有有限的效用。如果说回报率很高，很大程度上是因为投资者对更多数字资产的贪婪胃口。由于 DeFi 项目不需要位于任何物理地点，因此很难对其进行监管，这使得该领域很容易受到诈骗和洗钱计划的影响。尽管如此，DeFi 的倡导者认为这项技术有能力开拓市场，打造新型金融产品。</blockquote></p><p> To see how a DeFi program works, look atSushiSwap, a decentralized cryptocurrency exchange that started last year. It’s based on the code of another DeFi exchange calledUniswap. Like any exchange—from better-known crypto trading apps such asCoinbaseto stock markets likeNasdaq—SushiSwap depends on liquidity, or the ability to make sure buyers can find the tokens they want and sellers can get a price they think is fair. To do that in a decentralized way, SushiSwap creates liquidity pools that pair any two coins that traders might want to swap—for example, Ethereum, thesecond-most-popular cryptocurrencyand DeFi’s backbone, and the exchange’s own token, Sushi.</p><p><blockquote>要了解 DeFi 程序是如何运作的，请查看 atSushiSwap，这是一家去年启动的去中心化加密货币交易所。它基于另一个名为 Duniswap 的 DeFi 交易所的代码。与任何交易所一样——从 Coinbase 等更知名的加密货币交易应用程序到纳斯达克等股票市场——SushiSwap 依赖于流动性，或者确保买家能够找到他们想要的代币并且卖家能够获得他们认为公平的价格的能力。为了以去中心化的方式做到这一点，SushiSwap 创建了流动性池，将交易者可能想要交换的两种硬币配对--例如，第二大最受欢迎的加密货币和 DeFi 的支柱以太币，以及交易所自己的代币 Sushi。</blockquote></p><p> Investors like Vishnevskiy buy both tokens and then temporarily lock them into the pool, where they’re available to traders. An algorithm adjusts prices of both tokens to reflect relative changes in demand. The exchange also charges a fee for trading. When Vishnevskiy gets his tokens back, he also gets a portion of the fees generated from transactions made in the pool, as well as free additional Sushi tokens. (The added Sushi tokens can be earned on other trading pairs, not only those involving Sushi.) That, the exchange’s software surmises, amounts to an annualized 20% yield.</p><p><blockquote>像维什涅夫斯基这样的投资者会购买这两种代币，然后将它们暂时锁定在资金池中，供交易者使用。一种算法调整两种代币的价格，以反映需求的相对变化。交易所还收取交易费用。当Vishnevskiy拿回他的代币时，他还可以获得池中交易产生的一部分费用，以及免费的额外寿司代币。(新增的寿司代币可以在其他交易对上赚取，而不仅仅是涉及寿司的交易对）。</blockquote></p><p> Other DeFi protocols may pay yields to people who make their crypto available for someone else to borrow. For example, traders might want to borrowstablecoins—tokens whose value is linked to that of a traditional currency such as the dollar—to buy more Bitcoin on platforms that don’t take traditional currencies.</p><p><blockquote>其他 DeFi 协议可能会向那些将加密货币提供给其他人借用的人支付收益。例如，交易者可能希望借用稳定币--其价值与美元等传统货币挂钩的代币--在不接受传统货币的平台上购买更多比特币。</blockquote></p><p> If that sounds complicated, it is. Yields in DeFi are mostly projected from recent market trends and could drop quickly. Some investors who call themselves yield farmers are constantly moving their money trying to generate income, but crypto transaction costs called “gas” fees can eat up profits. Moreover, the cryptocurrencies these yields get paid in can fluctuate wildly in value. When Bitcoin slid as much as 10% on one recent day, popular DeFi coins such as Uniswap’s fell almost 20%.</p><p><blockquote>如果这听起来很复杂，的确如此。DeFi的收益率主要是根据最近的市场趋势预测的，可能会迅速下降。一些本身就是看涨期权农民的投资者不断转移资金试图创收，但被称为 “汽油费 ”的加密货币交易成本会蚕食利润。此外，支付这些收益率的加密货币的价值可能会大幅波动。最近一天，比特币下跌了 10%，而 Uniswap 等热门 DeFi 币则下跌了近 20%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Other risks that come with any cryptocurrency still apply:Regulatory scrutinywill probably grow, which might shut down or hamper some projects and blow up the value of associated tokens. Founders of DeFi projects who’ve hoarded the coins created to run them could suddenly cash out, causing prices to drop. SushiSwap’s pseudonymous creator, Chef Nomi, sold tokens worth roughly $13 million in September before reversing course amid community outrage.</p><p><blockquote>任何加密货币带来的其他风险仍然适用：监管审查可能会增加，这可能会关闭或阻碍一些项目，并推高相关代币的价值。DeFi 项目的创始人囤积了为运行这些项目而创造的硬币，他们可能会突然套现，导致价格下跌。SushiSwap 的化名创始人、厨师 Nomi 在 9 月份出售了价值约 1300 万美元的代币，但在社区的愤怒中改变了方向。</blockquote></p><p> “You can’t get those yields in the traditional space”</p><p><blockquote>“在传统领域，你无法获得这些收益”</blockquote></p><p> The history of crypto is filled with cautionary tales about investments riding a wave of hype and then falling apart. Around 2018, so-called initial coin offerings raised billions of dollars for projects, most of which turned out to be duds. DeFi converts say the difference now is that applications such as exchanges and lenders are generating revenue, even if just from crypto speculation. Uniswap, which announces its user statistics in real time, had trading volume of $813 million in one recent 24-hour period, generating $1.8 million in fees for those staking their tokens in its liquidity pool.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币的历史充满了关于投资乘着炒作浪潮然后分崩离析的警示故事。2018年左右，所谓的首次硬币发行为项目筹集了数十亿美元，其中大部分被证明是哑弹。DeFi converts表示，现在的不同之处在于，交易所和贷方等应用程序正在产生收入，即使只是来自加密货币投机。Uniswap 实时公布其用户统计数据，在最近 24 小时内的交易量为 8.13 亿美元，为那些在其流动性池中押注代币的人产生了 180 万美元的费用。</blockquote></p><p> What about the value of the tokens many DeFi projects give out? These coins aren’t exactly equity and don’t always confer any direct claim to profits. Often they give holders voting rights on the future of the project; investors may be hoping that as the protocols they’re associated with grow in popularity, so will the coins. But some DeFi platforms might not be as successful as they seem. Aleksander Kloda, who co-manages a DeFi fund at Nickel Digital Asset Management, says participation may be driven less by the value of a service than by the promise of free tokens. “In the short term, they can really make the picture a lot more difficult to read,” he says. “The logic is not quite correct if the volumes are only there because of the additional motivation the protocol gives you to participate.” As an investor, he tries to identify projects that have built up sustainable volume even without tantalizing yields.</p><p><blockquote>很多DeFi项目发放的代币价值呢？这些硬币并不完全是股权，也不总是能直接获得利润。他们通常赋予持有者对项目未来的投票权；投资者可能希望，随着与之相关的协议越来越受欢迎，硬币也会越来越受欢迎。但一些DeFi平台可能并不像看起来那么成功。Nickel Digital Asset Management 共同管理 DeFi 基金的亚历山大·克洛达 (Aleksander Kloda) 表示，参与的动力可能与其说是服务的价值，不如说是免费代币的承诺。“他说：”从短期来看，它们真的会让画面变得更加难以阅读。“如果音量的存在仅仅是因为协议给了你额外的参与动机，那么这种逻辑就不太正确”。作为一名投资者，他试图确定即使没有诱人的回报也能建立可持续交易量的项目。</blockquote></p><p> Advocates of DeFi say the idea is still in its infancy, and it could eventually broaden its uses and reach into more traditional areas of finance. Their dream is a financial system run on the internet that doesn’t involve a credit officer at a JPMorgan branch, or a Citadel Securities investing in high-frequency infrastructure tokeep stock trading liquid.</p><p><blockquote>DeFi 的支持者表示，这一想法仍处于起步阶段，最终可能会扩大其用途，并扩展到更传统的金融领域。他们的梦想是建立一个在互联网上运行的金融系统，不涉及摩根大通分行的信贷员，也不涉及投资高频基础设施以保持股票交易流动性的城堡证券。</blockquote></p><p> But Elaine Ou, a blockchain engineer at Global Financial Access, argues there’s nothing wrong with DeFi being used only for crypto trading, either. “Look at Vegas and Macau—part of the reason they’re so valuable is that they allow you to do what other jurisdictions have banned,” says Ou, who alsowritesfor Bloomberg Opinion. “It is possible to build an entire industry up around speculation.”</p><p><blockquote>但 Global Financial Access 的区块链工程师 Elaine Ou 认为，DeFi 仅用于加密货币交易也没有错。“看看拉斯维加斯和澳门--它们之所以如此有价值，部分原因在于它们允许你做其他司法管辖区禁止的事情，”也是彭博观点的撰稿人的欧说。“围绕投机建立一个完整的产业是可能的”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crypto Die-Hards Built a $90 Billion Wall Street on the Internet<blockquote>加密货币顽固分子在互联网上打造了价值 900 亿美元的华尔街</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrypto Die-Hards Built a $90 Billion Wall Street on the Internet<blockquote>加密货币顽固分子在互联网上打造了价值 900 亿美元的华尔街</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">.bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 19:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Money manager Vladimir Vishnevskiy can earn anegative interest ratefor holding a European government bond. Or he can pocket the annual equivalent of a 20% yield for locking money up in one of the wilder corners of the crypto market, known as decentralized finance, or DeFi.</p><p><blockquote>基金经理弗拉基米尔·维什涅夫斯基（Vladimir Vishnevskiy）持有欧洲政府债券可以赚取负利率。或者，他可以通过将资金锁定在加密货币市场更荒凉的角落之一（称为去中心化金融或 DeFi），获得相当于 20% 的年收益率。</blockquote></p><p> He decided to go for the 20%. “You can’t get those yields in the traditional space,” says the co-founder of Swiss-based St. Gotthard Fund Management, which runs a portfolio designed to squeeze income out of crypto assets. The strategy is so new that even Wall Street pros may have trouble wrapping their heads around it. Take what you might know about Bitcoin—that it’s a digital currency that exists only on an online ledger governed by computer code. Now make it even more mind-bending, and imagine the code isn’t just recording transactions. It’s running lending platforms, insurers and financial markets with little human intermediation. That’sDeFi.</p><p><blockquote>他决定拿那20%。“总部位于瑞士的圣哥达基金管理公司（St. Gotthard Fund Management）的联合创始人说：”你无法在传统领域获得这样的收益率。这一策略如此新颖，以至于即使是华尔街的专业人士也可能难以理解。就拿你可能知道的比特币来说--它是一种数字货币，只存在于由计算机代码管理的在线账本上。现在，让它变得更加令人费解，想象一下代码不仅仅是记录交易。它运营贷款平台、保险公司和金融市场，几乎没有人工中介。那就是sDeFi。</blockquote></p><p> Traders like Vishnevskiy can collect yields by committing in the form of crypto tokens the capital that’s needed to make these disembodied and largely unregulated financial institutions run. At the peak last month, investors put in as much as $86 billion into various DeFi programs, compared with just under $1 billion a year ago, DeFi Pulse data show.</p><p><blockquote>像维什涅夫斯基这样的交易员可以通过以加密代币的形式承诺这些无形且基本上不受监管的金融机构运转所需的资金来收取收益。DeFi Pulse 数据显示，在上个月的高峰期，投资者向各种 DeFi 项目投入了多达 860 亿美元，而一年前这一数字略低于 10 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> It’s a young, volatile, and hack-prone system. (One of the first decentralized projects, a fund called the DAO, was the victim of aspectacular $55 million theftby someone taking advantage of a flaw in its code to siphon off funds.) And for now, it’s mostly a crypto world built for thecrypto universe. The decentralized lenders are largely taking crypto deposits to make loans to people looking for leverage on crypto bets; the decentralized exchanges are used for trading crypto coins; the decentralized insurers cover crypto hacks.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个年轻、不稳定、容易被黑客攻击的系统。(最早的去中心化项目之一是一个名为 DAO 的基金，它成为了 5500 万美元被盗的受害者，有人利用其代码中的漏洞抽走了资金）。目前，它主要是一个为加密世界打造的加密世界。去中心化的贷方在很大程度上接受加密存款，向寻求加密赌注杠杆的人发放贷款；分散的交易所用于交易加密硬币；去中心化的保险公司负责加密黑客。</blockquote></p><p> The big yields investors can earn are denominated not in dollars or euros but in often-obscure tokens. Critics of DeFi say some projects can resemble a Ponzi scheme: Early investors depend on others piling into tokens that still have limited real-world utility. If returns are high, it’s largely because of investors’ voracious appetite for more digital assets. And since DeFi projects don’t need to live in any physical location, they’re difficult to regulate, making the space vulnerable to scams and money laundering schemes. Still, DeFi’s advocates think the technology has the power to open up markets and build new kinds of financial products.</p><p><blockquote>投资者可以获得的巨额收益不是以美元或欧元计价，而是以通常晦涩难懂的代币计价。DeFi 的批评者表示，一些项目可能类似于庞氏骗局：早期投资者依赖其他人堆积代币，而这些代币在现实世界中仍然具有有限的效用。如果说回报率很高，很大程度上是因为投资者对更多数字资产的贪婪胃口。由于 DeFi 项目不需要位于任何物理地点，因此很难对其进行监管，这使得该领域很容易受到诈骗和洗钱计划的影响。尽管如此，DeFi 的倡导者认为这项技术有能力开拓市场，打造新型金融产品。</blockquote></p><p> To see how a DeFi program works, look atSushiSwap, a decentralized cryptocurrency exchange that started last year. It’s based on the code of another DeFi exchange calledUniswap. Like any exchange—from better-known crypto trading apps such asCoinbaseto stock markets likeNasdaq—SushiSwap depends on liquidity, or the ability to make sure buyers can find the tokens they want and sellers can get a price they think is fair. To do that in a decentralized way, SushiSwap creates liquidity pools that pair any two coins that traders might want to swap—for example, Ethereum, thesecond-most-popular cryptocurrencyand DeFi’s backbone, and the exchange’s own token, Sushi.</p><p><blockquote>要了解 DeFi 程序是如何运作的，请查看 atSushiSwap，这是一家去年启动的去中心化加密货币交易所。它基于另一个名为 Duniswap 的 DeFi 交易所的代码。与任何交易所一样——从 Coinbase 等更知名的加密货币交易应用程序到纳斯达克等股票市场——SushiSwap 依赖于流动性，或者确保买家能够找到他们想要的代币并且卖家能够获得他们认为公平的价格的能力。为了以去中心化的方式做到这一点，SushiSwap 创建了流动性池，将交易者可能想要交换的两种硬币配对--例如，第二大最受欢迎的加密货币和 DeFi 的支柱以太币，以及交易所自己的代币 Sushi。</blockquote></p><p> Investors like Vishnevskiy buy both tokens and then temporarily lock them into the pool, where they’re available to traders. An algorithm adjusts prices of both tokens to reflect relative changes in demand. The exchange also charges a fee for trading. When Vishnevskiy gets his tokens back, he also gets a portion of the fees generated from transactions made in the pool, as well as free additional Sushi tokens. (The added Sushi tokens can be earned on other trading pairs, not only those involving Sushi.) That, the exchange’s software surmises, amounts to an annualized 20% yield.</p><p><blockquote>像维什涅夫斯基这样的投资者会购买这两种代币，然后将它们暂时锁定在资金池中，供交易者使用。一种算法调整两种代币的价格，以反映需求的相对变化。交易所还收取交易费用。当Vishnevskiy拿回他的代币时，他还可以获得池中交易产生的一部分费用，以及免费的额外寿司代币。(新增的寿司代币可以在其他交易对上赚取，而不仅仅是涉及寿司的交易对）。</blockquote></p><p> Other DeFi protocols may pay yields to people who make their crypto available for someone else to borrow. For example, traders might want to borrowstablecoins—tokens whose value is linked to that of a traditional currency such as the dollar—to buy more Bitcoin on platforms that don’t take traditional currencies.</p><p><blockquote>其他 DeFi 协议可能会向那些将加密货币提供给其他人借用的人支付收益。例如，交易者可能希望借用稳定币--其价值与美元等传统货币挂钩的代币--在不接受传统货币的平台上购买更多比特币。</blockquote></p><p> If that sounds complicated, it is. Yields in DeFi are mostly projected from recent market trends and could drop quickly. Some investors who call themselves yield farmers are constantly moving their money trying to generate income, but crypto transaction costs called “gas” fees can eat up profits. Moreover, the cryptocurrencies these yields get paid in can fluctuate wildly in value. When Bitcoin slid as much as 10% on one recent day, popular DeFi coins such as Uniswap’s fell almost 20%.</p><p><blockquote>如果这听起来很复杂，的确如此。DeFi的收益率主要是根据最近的市场趋势预测的，可能会迅速下降。一些本身就是看涨期权农民的投资者不断转移资金试图创收，但被称为 “汽油费 ”的加密货币交易成本会蚕食利润。此外，支付这些收益率的加密货币的价值可能会大幅波动。最近一天，比特币下跌了 10%，而 Uniswap 等热门 DeFi 币则下跌了近 20%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Other risks that come with any cryptocurrency still apply:Regulatory scrutinywill probably grow, which might shut down or hamper some projects and blow up the value of associated tokens. Founders of DeFi projects who’ve hoarded the coins created to run them could suddenly cash out, causing prices to drop. SushiSwap’s pseudonymous creator, Chef Nomi, sold tokens worth roughly $13 million in September before reversing course amid community outrage.</p><p><blockquote>任何加密货币带来的其他风险仍然适用：监管审查可能会增加，这可能会关闭或阻碍一些项目，并推高相关代币的价值。DeFi 项目的创始人囤积了为运行这些项目而创造的硬币，他们可能会突然套现，导致价格下跌。SushiSwap 的化名创始人、厨师 Nomi 在 9 月份出售了价值约 1300 万美元的代币，但在社区的愤怒中改变了方向。</blockquote></p><p> “You can’t get those yields in the traditional space”</p><p><blockquote>“在传统领域，你无法获得这些收益”</blockquote></p><p> The history of crypto is filled with cautionary tales about investments riding a wave of hype and then falling apart. Around 2018, so-called initial coin offerings raised billions of dollars for projects, most of which turned out to be duds. DeFi converts say the difference now is that applications such as exchanges and lenders are generating revenue, even if just from crypto speculation. Uniswap, which announces its user statistics in real time, had trading volume of $813 million in one recent 24-hour period, generating $1.8 million in fees for those staking their tokens in its liquidity pool.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币的历史充满了关于投资乘着炒作浪潮然后分崩离析的警示故事。2018年左右，所谓的首次硬币发行为项目筹集了数十亿美元，其中大部分被证明是哑弹。DeFi converts表示，现在的不同之处在于，交易所和贷方等应用程序正在产生收入，即使只是来自加密货币投机。Uniswap 实时公布其用户统计数据，在最近 24 小时内的交易量为 8.13 亿美元，为那些在其流动性池中押注代币的人产生了 180 万美元的费用。</blockquote></p><p> What about the value of the tokens many DeFi projects give out? These coins aren’t exactly equity and don’t always confer any direct claim to profits. Often they give holders voting rights on the future of the project; investors may be hoping that as the protocols they’re associated with grow in popularity, so will the coins. But some DeFi platforms might not be as successful as they seem. Aleksander Kloda, who co-manages a DeFi fund at Nickel Digital Asset Management, says participation may be driven less by the value of a service than by the promise of free tokens. “In the short term, they can really make the picture a lot more difficult to read,” he says. “The logic is not quite correct if the volumes are only there because of the additional motivation the protocol gives you to participate.” As an investor, he tries to identify projects that have built up sustainable volume even without tantalizing yields.</p><p><blockquote>很多DeFi项目发放的代币价值呢？这些硬币并不完全是股权，也不总是能直接获得利润。他们通常赋予持有者对项目未来的投票权；投资者可能希望，随着与之相关的协议越来越受欢迎，硬币也会越来越受欢迎。但一些DeFi平台可能并不像看起来那么成功。Nickel Digital Asset Management 共同管理 DeFi 基金的亚历山大·克洛达 (Aleksander Kloda) 表示，参与的动力可能与其说是服务的价值，不如说是免费代币的承诺。“他说：”从短期来看，它们真的会让画面变得更加难以阅读。“如果音量的存在仅仅是因为协议给了你额外的参与动机，那么这种逻辑就不太正确”。作为一名投资者，他试图确定即使没有诱人的回报也能建立可持续交易量的项目。</blockquote></p><p> Advocates of DeFi say the idea is still in its infancy, and it could eventually broaden its uses and reach into more traditional areas of finance. Their dream is a financial system run on the internet that doesn’t involve a credit officer at a JPMorgan branch, or a Citadel Securities investing in high-frequency infrastructure tokeep stock trading liquid.</p><p><blockquote>DeFi 的支持者表示，这一想法仍处于起步阶段，最终可能会扩大其用途，并扩展到更传统的金融领域。他们的梦想是建立一个在互联网上运行的金融系统，不涉及摩根大通分行的信贷员，也不涉及投资高频基础设施以保持股票交易流动性的城堡证券。</blockquote></p><p> But Elaine Ou, a blockchain engineer at Global Financial Access, argues there’s nothing wrong with DeFi being used only for crypto trading, either. “Look at Vegas and Macau—part of the reason they’re so valuable is that they allow you to do what other jurisdictions have banned,” says Ou, who alsowritesfor Bloomberg Opinion. “It is possible to build an entire industry up around speculation.”</p><p><blockquote>但 Global Financial Access 的区块链工程师 Elaine Ou 认为，DeFi 仅用于加密货币交易也没有错。“看看拉斯维加斯和澳门--它们之所以如此有价值，部分原因在于它们允许你做其他司法管辖区禁止的事情，”也是彭博观点的撰稿人的欧说。“围绕投机建立一个完整的产业是可能的”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-16/defi-platforms-with-names-like-sushiswap-aim-to-be-nasdaq-for-crypto\">.bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-16/defi-platforms-with-names-like-sushiswap-aim-to-be-nasdaq-for-crypto","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160929405","content_text":"Money manager Vladimir Vishnevskiy can earn anegative interest ratefor holding a European government bond. Or he can pocket the annual equivalent of a 20% yield for locking money up in one of the wilder corners of the crypto market, known as decentralized finance, or DeFi.\nHe decided to go for the 20%. “You can’t get those yields in the traditional space,” says the co-founder of Swiss-based St. Gotthard Fund Management, which runs a portfolio designed to squeeze income out of crypto assets. The strategy is so new that even Wall Street pros may have trouble wrapping their heads around it. Take what you might know about Bitcoin—that it’s a digital currency that exists only on an online ledger governed by computer code. Now make it even more mind-bending, and imagine the code isn’t just recording transactions. It’s running lending platforms, insurers and financial markets with little human intermediation. That’sDeFi.\nTraders like Vishnevskiy can collect yields by committing in the form of crypto tokens the capital that’s needed to make these disembodied and largely unregulated financial institutions run. At the peak last month, investors put in as much as $86 billion into various DeFi programs, compared with just under $1 billion a year ago, DeFi Pulse data show.\nIt’s a young, volatile, and hack-prone system. (One of the first decentralized projects, a fund called the DAO, was the victim of aspectacular $55 million theftby someone taking advantage of a flaw in its code to siphon off funds.) And for now, it’s mostly a crypto world built for thecrypto universe. The decentralized lenders are largely taking crypto deposits to make loans to people looking for leverage on crypto bets; the decentralized exchanges are used for trading crypto coins; the decentralized insurers cover crypto hacks.\nThe big yields investors can earn are denominated not in dollars or euros but in often-obscure tokens. Critics of DeFi say some projects can resemble a Ponzi scheme: Early investors depend on others piling into tokens that still have limited real-world utility. If returns are high, it’s largely because of investors’ voracious appetite for more digital assets. And since DeFi projects don’t need to live in any physical location, they’re difficult to regulate, making the space vulnerable to scams and money laundering schemes. Still, DeFi’s advocates think the technology has the power to open up markets and build new kinds of financial products.\nTo see how a DeFi program works, look atSushiSwap, a decentralized cryptocurrency exchange that started last year. It’s based on the code of another DeFi exchange calledUniswap. Like any exchange—from better-known crypto trading apps such asCoinbaseto stock markets likeNasdaq—SushiSwap depends on liquidity, or the ability to make sure buyers can find the tokens they want and sellers can get a price they think is fair. To do that in a decentralized way, SushiSwap creates liquidity pools that pair any two coins that traders might want to swap—for example, Ethereum, thesecond-most-popular cryptocurrencyand DeFi’s backbone, and the exchange’s own token, Sushi.\nInvestors like Vishnevskiy buy both tokens and then temporarily lock them into the pool, where they’re available to traders. An algorithm adjusts prices of both tokens to reflect relative changes in demand. The exchange also charges a fee for trading. When Vishnevskiy gets his tokens back, he also gets a portion of the fees generated from transactions made in the pool, as well as free additional Sushi tokens. (The added Sushi tokens can be earned on other trading pairs, not only those involving Sushi.) That, the exchange’s software surmises, amounts to an annualized 20% yield.\nOther DeFi protocols may pay yields to people who make their crypto available for someone else to borrow. For example, traders might want to borrowstablecoins—tokens whose value is linked to that of a traditional currency such as the dollar—to buy more Bitcoin on platforms that don’t take traditional currencies.\nIf that sounds complicated, it is. Yields in DeFi are mostly projected from recent market trends and could drop quickly. Some investors who call themselves yield farmers are constantly moving their money trying to generate income, but crypto transaction costs called “gas” fees can eat up profits. Moreover, the cryptocurrencies these yields get paid in can fluctuate wildly in value. When Bitcoin slid as much as 10% on one recent day, popular DeFi coins such as Uniswap’s fell almost 20%.\nOther risks that come with any cryptocurrency still apply:Regulatory scrutinywill probably grow, which might shut down or hamper some projects and blow up the value of associated tokens. Founders of DeFi projects who’ve hoarded the coins created to run them could suddenly cash out, causing prices to drop. SushiSwap’s pseudonymous creator, Chef Nomi, sold tokens worth roughly $13 million in September before reversing course amid community outrage.\n“You can’t get those yields in the traditional space”\nThe history of crypto is filled with cautionary tales about investments riding a wave of hype and then falling apart. Around 2018, so-called initial coin offerings raised billions of dollars for projects, most of which turned out to be duds. DeFi converts say the difference now is that applications such as exchanges and lenders are generating revenue, even if just from crypto speculation. Uniswap, which announces its user statistics in real time, had trading volume of $813 million in one recent 24-hour period, generating $1.8 million in fees for those staking their tokens in its liquidity pool.\nWhat about the value of the tokens many DeFi projects give out? These coins aren’t exactly equity and don’t always confer any direct claim to profits. Often they give holders voting rights on the future of the project; investors may be hoping that as the protocols they’re associated with grow in popularity, so will the coins. But some DeFi platforms might not be as successful as they seem. Aleksander Kloda, who co-manages a DeFi fund at Nickel Digital Asset Management, says participation may be driven less by the value of a service than by the promise of free tokens. “In the short term, they can really make the picture a lot more difficult to read,” he says. “The logic is not quite correct if the volumes are only there because of the additional motivation the protocol gives you to participate.” As an investor, he tries to identify projects that have built up sustainable volume even without tantalizing yields.\nAdvocates of DeFi say the idea is still in its infancy, and it could eventually broaden its uses and reach into more traditional areas of finance. Their dream is a financial system run on the internet that doesn’t involve a credit officer at a JPMorgan branch, or a Citadel Securities investing in high-frequency infrastructure tokeep stock trading liquid.\nBut Elaine Ou, a blockchain engineer at Global Financial Access, argues there’s nothing wrong with DeFi being used only for crypto trading, either. “Look at Vegas and Macau—part of the reason they’re so valuable is that they allow you to do what other jurisdictions have banned,” says Ou, who alsowritesfor Bloomberg Opinion. “It is possible to build an entire industry up around speculation.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140685537,"gmtCreate":1625654165629,"gmtModify":1631883983346,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Need one like&nbsp;","listText":"Need one like&nbsp;","text":"Need one like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140685537","repostId":"1181198369","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808898466,"gmtCreate":1627567652555,"gmtModify":1631889777744,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like ?","listText":"Like ?","text":"Like ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808898466","repostId":"1165497040","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3725,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174418033,"gmtCreate":1627124810322,"gmtModify":1631883981846,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"One like","listText":"One like","text":"One like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174418033","repostId":"1109439356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":865092661,"gmtCreate":1632922509362,"gmtModify":1632922514591,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yo","listText":"Yo","text":"Yo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865092661","repostId":"1136349988","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":171924994,"gmtCreate":1626703336818,"gmtModify":1631889777752,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hey guys","listText":"Hey guys","text":"Hey guys","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171924994","repostId":"1146536243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146536243","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626683272,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1146536243?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：这个周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146536243","media":"zerohedge","summary":"This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","content":"<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为本轮经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到了市场的激烈争论。每一个都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情创造了有记录以来产出最急剧下降的一次。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种剧烈的下跌和上涨从来不允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场上的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得平滑和打磨。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机告终。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言表的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么要使用 “周期 ”这个词。经济和市场倾向于遵循周期性模式，这种模式往往会出现在市场表现中。我们关心的是这些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的经济衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等后期周期条件？确实如此。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否与市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏相匹配？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是通常的早期周期赢家吗，比如小盘股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者像这些事情实际上一样正常。如果到目前为止已经出现了很多“正常”的循环行为，它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏进展，这些模式应该会改变。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊 (Michael Wilson) 指出的那样，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅 16 个月。我们看到当前情况与 2004 年上半年有许多相似之处，上半年是继大规模通货膨胀反弹之后的中期周期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（参见2021年7月11日的增长恐慌周年纪念日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为总能找到适合自己特定周期观点的指标，所以我们一直都喜欢复合指标。这就是我们的 “周期模型”，它结合了宏观经济、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十项美国指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在 2019 年 6 月进入周期后期 “低迷 ”和 2020 年 4 月进入周期早期 “修复 ”之后，该指数一路飙升。<b>它的崛起如此之快，以至于刚刚度过了下一阶段（'复苏'），直接进入了'扩张'。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>不寻常的论文。“扩展 ”意味着捕捉 “比正常情况更好，并且正在改善 ”的条件、<b>自1980年以来，“经济衰退”结束后平均需要35个月才能到达那里</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这就是我们的论点，也体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，相对于其他风险资产，信贷越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次经济衰退提前，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多供应</b>.在我们的周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY信贷N1200万超额回报率分别比平均水平差29bp和161bp。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现更加喜忧参半</b>投资者应尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信贷策略师喜欢持有 CDX HY 0-15%，并用 CDX IG 付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合的更大平衡</b>我们喜欢美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为它有几个有利的因素：质量、低估值、高套利和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往表现优于“周期中期”，我们认为它们可以再次做到这一点。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们的周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉的收益率比平均水平低97个基点</b>. Guneet Dhingra 和我们的美国利率策略团队已将跑输大盘美国 10 年期国债移至我们的全球资产配置中，我们反过来又将跑输大盘国债移回。</li></ul>这个周期是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：这个周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：这个周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 16:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为本轮经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到了市场的激烈争论。每一个都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情创造了有记录以来产出最急剧下降的一次。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种剧烈的下跌和上涨从来不允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场上的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得平滑和打磨。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机告终。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言表的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么要使用 “周期 ”这个词。经济和市场倾向于遵循周期性模式，这种模式往往会出现在市场表现中。我们关心的是这些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的经济衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等后期周期条件？确实如此。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否与市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏相匹配？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是通常的早期周期赢家吗，比如小盘股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者像这些事情实际上一样正常。如果到目前为止已经出现了很多“正常”的循环行为，它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏进展，这些模式应该会改变。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊 (Michael Wilson) 指出的那样，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅 16 个月。我们看到当前情况与 2004 年上半年有许多相似之处，上半年是继大规模通货膨胀反弹之后的中期周期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（参见2021年7月11日的增长恐慌周年纪念日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为总能找到适合自己特定周期观点的指标，所以我们一直都喜欢复合指标。这就是我们的 “周期模型”，它结合了宏观经济、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十项美国指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在 2019 年 6 月进入周期后期 “低迷 ”和 2020 年 4 月进入周期早期 “修复 ”之后，该指数一路飙升。<b>它的崛起如此之快，以至于刚刚度过了下一阶段（'复苏'），直接进入了'扩张'。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>不寻常的论文。“扩展 ”意味着捕捉 “比正常情况更好，并且正在改善 ”的条件、<b>自1980年以来，“经济衰退”结束后平均需要35个月才能到达那里</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这就是我们的论点，也体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，相对于其他风险资产，信贷越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次经济衰退提前，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多供应</b>.在我们的周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY信贷N1200万超额回报率分别比平均水平差29bp和161bp。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现更加喜忧参半</b>投资者应尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信贷策略师喜欢持有 CDX HY 0-15%，并用 CDX IG 付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合的更大平衡</b>我们喜欢美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为它有几个有利的因素：质量、低估值、高套利和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往表现优于“周期中期”，我们认为它们可以再次做到这一点。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们的周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉的收益率比平均水平低97个基点</b>. Guneet Dhingra 和我们的美国利率策略团队已将跑输大盘美国 10 年期国债移至我们的全球资产配置中，我们反过来又将跑输大盘国债移回。</li></ul>这个周期是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146536243","content_text":"We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.\nBut 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.\nInstead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.\nWas last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.\nIf it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should continue to do so.\nSpecifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).\nBecause one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.\nThisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.\nAll this has a number of implications:\n\nThe shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.\nIn many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.\nIn equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.\nInterest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.\n\nThis cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129416292,"gmtCreate":1624380770716,"gmtModify":1634006935203,"author":{"id":"3582883452834217","authorId":"3582883452834217","name":"HMH990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62db03af20fef3fb322e15007269ee9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883452834217","authorIdStr":"3582883452834217"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Praise my best comment people !!","listText":"Praise my best comment people !!","text":"Praise my best comment people !!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129416292","repostId":"1156381928","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}