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annyeonggg

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2021-07-05

Oh no

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-29

Good company

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2021-07-11

Hodl hodl

The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>

2021-07-03

Great

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2021-07-02

Nice one

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2021-07-14

Oh

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2021-07-12

Try harder

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2021-07-08

Wow

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2021-07-06

Great

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2021-07-15

Good

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Reports Earnings Thursday. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>台积电周四公布财报。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>

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on try harder&nbsp;","listText":"Come on try harder&nbsp;","text":"Come on try harder","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170443557","repostId":"2151450981","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170381682,"gmtCreate":1626404633046,"gmtModify":1631890225641,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ohh","listText":"Ohh","text":"Ohh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170381682","repostId":"1129331624","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129331624","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626399205,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1129331624?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Blue Chip Stocks Investors Can't Afford to Ignore<blockquote>投资者不容忽视的2只蓝筹股</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129331624","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Investors looking for great companies should scope them out.\n\nKey Points\n\nMarkets were mixed Thursda","content":"<p>  Investors looking for great companies should scope them out.  <b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote>寻找伟大公司的投资者应该对它们进行筛选。<b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Markets were mixed Thursday morning.</li>  <li>During times of stock market volatility, blue chip stocks can be great ideas.</li>  <li>These two blue chips issued solid earnings reports Thursday morning.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>周四上午市场涨跌互现。</li><li>在股市波动时期，蓝筹股可能是不错的选择。</li><li>这两只蓝筹股周四上午发布了稳健的收益报告。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> With the stock market near all-time highs, investors are on the lookout for places to invest spare cash. Thursday morning brought a brief break to the upward momentum on Wall Street, but declines for major market benchmarks were inconsequential. As of 10:15 a.m. EDT, the&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>&nbsp;(DJINDICES:^DJI)was down just 16 points to 34,917. The&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)gave up seven points to 4,367, while the&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)fell just a single point to 14,644.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市接近历史高点，投资者正在寻找投资闲置现金的地方。周四上午华尔街的上涨势头短暂中断，但主要市场基准的下跌无关紧要。截至美国东部时间上午 10:15，<b>道琼斯工业指数</b>(DJINDICES:^DJI) 仅下跌 16 点至 34,917 点。这个<b>标普500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)下跌 7 点至 4,367，而<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>（纳斯达克指数：^IXIC）仅下跌一个点，至 14,644。</blockquote></p><p> In good times and bad,blue chip stocksoffer a level of stability and security that fit many investors' risk profiles. This morning,&nbsp;<b>UnitedHealth Group</b>(NYSE:UNH)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:TSM)&nbsp;weighed in with their latest financial reports, and even though their share prices were mixed, both companies have high-quality businesses with plenty of prospects for growth. Below, we'll look more closely at what each company said and how they see the future playing out.</p><p><blockquote>无论顺境还是逆境，蓝筹股都能提供一定程度的稳定性和安全性，适合许多投资者的风险状况。今天早上，<b>联合健康集团</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：UNH）和<b>台积电</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）发布了最新的财务报告，尽管股价好坏参半，但两家公司都拥有高质量的业务，具有广阔的增长前景。下面，我们将仔细看看每家公司的说法以及他们如何看待未来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A healthy health insurer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>健康的健康保险公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Health insurance giant UnitedHealth saw its stock ease lower by about half a percent at mid-morning after having been up during the premarket trading session Thursday. The company's second-quarter financial results showed just how resilient the healthcare industry has been even under highly challenging conditions.</p><p><blockquote>健康保险巨头 UnitedHealth 的股价在周四盘前交易时段上涨后，上午中午下跌约 0.5%。该公司第二季度的财务业绩显示了即使在极具挑战性的条件下，医疗保健行业的弹性。</blockquote></p><p> UnitedHealth got good results throughout its business. Overall sales grew 15% year over year, with roughly equal top-line gains for the UnitedHealthcare insurance division and the Optum health services business segment. Adjusted earnings of $4.70 per share topped expectations, and the company increased its outlook for the rest of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>UnitedHealth 在整个业务中都取得了良好的业绩。整体销售额同比增长 15%，其中 UnitedHealthcare insurance 部门和 Optum health services 业务部门的营收增长大致相同。调整后每股收益 4.70 美元超出预期，该公司上调了 2021 年剩余时间的展望。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, UnitedHealth's profits were down substantially from year-ago levels. That's largely because lockdowns during the second quarter of 2020 led to the near-elimination of routine doctor visits and non-essential medical procedures, and that in turn led to a huge decrease in healthcare claims activity during the year-ago period. Investors should expect future earnings to remain closer to current levels, as that one-time spike is highly unlikely to recur.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，联合健康的利润仍较去年同期大幅下降。这主要是因为2020年第二季度的封锁导致常规医生就诊和非必要的医疗程序几乎被取消，这反过来又导致去年同期医疗保健索赔活动大幅下降。投资者应该预计未来盈利将保持更接近当前水平，因为一次性飙升不太可能再次出现。</blockquote></p><p> Investors see UnitedHealth's prospects remaining strongfor the foreseeable future. With such a strong track record of handling the ever-shifting healthcare industry in the U.S., UnitedHealth has proven its ability to roll with the punches and maintain steady growth.</p><p><blockquote>投资者认为，在可预见的未来，联合健康的前景仍然强劲。凭借在处理美国不断变化的医疗保健行业方面的良好记录，UnitedHealth已经证明了其有能力掌控局面并保持稳定增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Chip shortages help Taiwan Semi</b></p><p><blockquote><b>芯片短缺帮助台湾半导体</b></blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing saw its stock drop 5%. The decline in the stock didn't seem consistent with the strong results the foundry had during the second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>其他方面，台积电股价下跌 5%。该股的下跌似乎与该代工厂第二季度的强劲业绩不一致。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semi saw revenue jump nearly 20% year over year, which in part stemmed from the ongoing shortage of semiconductor chips that has affected so many industries across the stock market. Companies in the high-performance computing, mobile device, and automotive industriesall rely on Taiwan Semifor its top-of-the-line 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer chip technology, and many of those companies have had to cut production and prioritize their needs because of their inability to get sufficient volumes of semiconductors.</p><p><blockquote>台湾半导体的收入同比增长近20%，部分原因是半导体芯片持续短缺，影响了整个股市的许多行业。高性能计算、移动设备和汽车行业的公司都依赖台积电的顶级 5 纳米和 7 纳米芯片技术，其中许多公司不得不削减产量并优先考虑其需求，因为他们无法获得足够数量的半导体。</blockquote></p><p> However, what might have prompted the decline in the stock were comments from Taiwan Semi's CEO. C.C. Wei believes the company will continue to boost deliveries to customers in need, particularly in the auto industry. Because the semiconductor business is cyclical, investors are used to big swings between shortages and supply gluts, and any sign of such a reversal often comes with a hit to the share price.</p><p><blockquote>然而，可能引发该股下跌的是台湾森美首席执行官的言论。C.C魏相信公司将继续增加对有需要的客户的交付，特别是汽车行业的客户。由于半导体业务具有周期性，投资者习惯于短缺和供应过剩之间的大幅波动，而这种逆转的任何迹象往往都会对股价造成打击。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semi shares had already doubledin just over a year's time, so a slight pullback isn't unwarranted. Nevertheless, the stock drop is a good reminder that even top companies can be vulnerable to cyclical swings in their businesses.</p><p><blockquote>台湾半导体股价在短短一年多的时间里已经翻了一番，因此小幅回调并非没有道理。然而，股价下跌很好地提醒人们，即使是顶级公司也可能容易受到业务周期性波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Blue Chip Stocks Investors Can't Afford to Ignore<blockquote>投资者不容忽视的2只蓝筹股</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Blue Chip Stocks Investors Can't Afford to Ignore<blockquote>投资者不容忽视的2只蓝筹股</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-16 09:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Investors looking for great companies should scope them out.  <b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote>寻找伟大公司的投资者应该对它们进行筛选。<b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Markets were mixed Thursday morning.</li>  <li>During times of stock market volatility, blue chip stocks can be great ideas.</li>  <li>These two blue chips issued solid earnings reports Thursday morning.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>周四上午市场涨跌互现。</li><li>在股市波动时期，蓝筹股可能是不错的选择。</li><li>这两只蓝筹股周四上午发布了稳健的收益报告。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> With the stock market near all-time highs, investors are on the lookout for places to invest spare cash. Thursday morning brought a brief break to the upward momentum on Wall Street, but declines for major market benchmarks were inconsequential. As of 10:15 a.m. EDT, the&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>&nbsp;(DJINDICES:^DJI)was down just 16 points to 34,917. The&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)gave up seven points to 4,367, while the&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)fell just a single point to 14,644.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市接近历史高点，投资者正在寻找投资闲置现金的地方。周四上午华尔街的上涨势头短暂中断，但主要市场基准的下跌无关紧要。截至美国东部时间上午 10:15，<b>道琼斯工业指数</b>(DJINDICES:^DJI) 仅下跌 16 点至 34,917 点。这个<b>标普500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)下跌 7 点至 4,367，而<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>（纳斯达克指数：^IXIC）仅下跌一个点，至 14,644。</blockquote></p><p> In good times and bad,blue chip stocksoffer a level of stability and security that fit many investors' risk profiles. This morning,&nbsp;<b>UnitedHealth Group</b>(NYSE:UNH)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:TSM)&nbsp;weighed in with their latest financial reports, and even though their share prices were mixed, both companies have high-quality businesses with plenty of prospects for growth. Below, we'll look more closely at what each company said and how they see the future playing out.</p><p><blockquote>无论顺境还是逆境，蓝筹股都能提供一定程度的稳定性和安全性，适合许多投资者的风险状况。今天早上，<b>联合健康集团</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：UNH）和<b>台积电</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）发布了最新的财务报告，尽管股价好坏参半，但两家公司都拥有高质量的业务，具有广阔的增长前景。下面，我们将仔细看看每家公司的说法以及他们如何看待未来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A healthy health insurer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>健康的健康保险公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Health insurance giant UnitedHealth saw its stock ease lower by about half a percent at mid-morning after having been up during the premarket trading session Thursday. The company's second-quarter financial results showed just how resilient the healthcare industry has been even under highly challenging conditions.</p><p><blockquote>健康保险巨头 UnitedHealth 的股价在周四盘前交易时段上涨后，上午中午下跌约 0.5%。该公司第二季度的财务业绩显示了即使在极具挑战性的条件下，医疗保健行业的弹性。</blockquote></p><p> UnitedHealth got good results throughout its business. Overall sales grew 15% year over year, with roughly equal top-line gains for the UnitedHealthcare insurance division and the Optum health services business segment. Adjusted earnings of $4.70 per share topped expectations, and the company increased its outlook for the rest of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>UnitedHealth 在整个业务中都取得了良好的业绩。整体销售额同比增长 15%，其中 UnitedHealthcare insurance 部门和 Optum health services 业务部门的营收增长大致相同。调整后每股收益 4.70 美元超出预期，该公司上调了 2021 年剩余时间的展望。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, UnitedHealth's profits were down substantially from year-ago levels. That's largely because lockdowns during the second quarter of 2020 led to the near-elimination of routine doctor visits and non-essential medical procedures, and that in turn led to a huge decrease in healthcare claims activity during the year-ago period. Investors should expect future earnings to remain closer to current levels, as that one-time spike is highly unlikely to recur.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，联合健康的利润仍较去年同期大幅下降。这主要是因为2020年第二季度的封锁导致常规医生就诊和非必要的医疗程序几乎被取消，这反过来又导致去年同期医疗保健索赔活动大幅下降。投资者应该预计未来盈利将保持更接近当前水平，因为一次性飙升不太可能再次出现。</blockquote></p><p> Investors see UnitedHealth's prospects remaining strongfor the foreseeable future. With such a strong track record of handling the ever-shifting healthcare industry in the U.S., UnitedHealth has proven its ability to roll with the punches and maintain steady growth.</p><p><blockquote>投资者认为，在可预见的未来，联合健康的前景仍然强劲。凭借在处理美国不断变化的医疗保健行业方面的良好记录，UnitedHealth已经证明了其有能力掌控局面并保持稳定增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Chip shortages help Taiwan Semi</b></p><p><blockquote><b>芯片短缺帮助台湾半导体</b></blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing saw its stock drop 5%. The decline in the stock didn't seem consistent with the strong results the foundry had during the second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>其他方面，台积电股价下跌 5%。该股的下跌似乎与该代工厂第二季度的强劲业绩不一致。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semi saw revenue jump nearly 20% year over year, which in part stemmed from the ongoing shortage of semiconductor chips that has affected so many industries across the stock market. Companies in the high-performance computing, mobile device, and automotive industriesall rely on Taiwan Semifor its top-of-the-line 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer chip technology, and many of those companies have had to cut production and prioritize their needs because of their inability to get sufficient volumes of semiconductors.</p><p><blockquote>台湾半导体的收入同比增长近20%，部分原因是半导体芯片持续短缺，影响了整个股市的许多行业。高性能计算、移动设备和汽车行业的公司都依赖台积电的顶级 5 纳米和 7 纳米芯片技术，其中许多公司不得不削减产量并优先考虑其需求，因为他们无法获得足够数量的半导体。</blockquote></p><p> However, what might have prompted the decline in the stock were comments from Taiwan Semi's CEO. C.C. Wei believes the company will continue to boost deliveries to customers in need, particularly in the auto industry. Because the semiconductor business is cyclical, investors are used to big swings between shortages and supply gluts, and any sign of such a reversal often comes with a hit to the share price.</p><p><blockquote>然而，可能引发该股下跌的是台湾森美首席执行官的言论。C.C魏相信公司将继续增加对有需要的客户的交付，特别是汽车行业的客户。由于半导体业务具有周期性，投资者习惯于短缺和供应过剩之间的大幅波动，而这种逆转的任何迹象往往都会对股价造成打击。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semi shares had already doubledin just over a year's time, so a slight pullback isn't unwarranted. Nevertheless, the stock drop is a good reminder that even top companies can be vulnerable to cyclical swings in their businesses.</p><p><blockquote>台湾半导体股价在短短一年多的时间里已经翻了一番，因此小幅回调并非没有道理。然而，股价下跌很好地提醒人们，即使是顶级公司也可能容易受到业务周期性波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/15/2-blue-chip-stocks-investors-cant-afford-to-ignore/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电","UNH":"联合健康"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/15/2-blue-chip-stocks-investors-cant-afford-to-ignore/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129331624","content_text":"Investors looking for great companies should scope them out.\n\nKey Points\n\nMarkets were mixed Thursday morning.\nDuring times of stock market volatility, blue chip stocks can be great ideas.\nThese two blue chips issued solid earnings reports Thursday morning.\n\n\nWith the stock market near all-time highs, investors are on the lookout for places to invest spare cash. Thursday morning brought a brief break to the upward momentum on Wall Street, but declines for major market benchmarks were inconsequential. As of 10:15 a.m. EDT, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI)was down just 16 points to 34,917. The S&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)gave up seven points to 4,367, while the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)fell just a single point to 14,644.\nIn good times and bad,blue chip stocksoffer a level of stability and security that fit many investors' risk profiles. This morning, UnitedHealth Group(NYSE:UNH) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE:TSM) weighed in with their latest financial reports, and even though their share prices were mixed, both companies have high-quality businesses with plenty of prospects for growth. Below, we'll look more closely at what each company said and how they see the future playing out.\nA healthy health insurer\nHealth insurance giant UnitedHealth saw its stock ease lower by about half a percent at mid-morning after having been up during the premarket trading session Thursday. The company's second-quarter financial results showed just how resilient the healthcare industry has been even under highly challenging conditions.\nUnitedHealth got good results throughout its business. Overall sales grew 15% year over year, with roughly equal top-line gains for the UnitedHealthcare insurance division and the Optum health services business segment. Adjusted earnings of $4.70 per share topped expectations, and the company increased its outlook for the rest of 2021.\nNevertheless, UnitedHealth's profits were down substantially from year-ago levels. That's largely because lockdowns during the second quarter of 2020 led to the near-elimination of routine doctor visits and non-essential medical procedures, and that in turn led to a huge decrease in healthcare claims activity during the year-ago period. Investors should expect future earnings to remain closer to current levels, as that one-time spike is highly unlikely to recur.\nInvestors see UnitedHealth's prospects remaining strongfor the foreseeable future. With such a strong track record of handling the ever-shifting healthcare industry in the U.S., UnitedHealth has proven its ability to roll with the punches and maintain steady growth.\nChip shortages help Taiwan Semi\nElsewhere, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing saw its stock drop 5%. The decline in the stock didn't seem consistent with the strong results the foundry had during the second quarter.\nTaiwan Semi saw revenue jump nearly 20% year over year, which in part stemmed from the ongoing shortage of semiconductor chips that has affected so many industries across the stock market. Companies in the high-performance computing, mobile device, and automotive industriesall rely on Taiwan Semifor its top-of-the-line 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer chip technology, and many of those companies have had to cut production and prioritize their needs because of their inability to get sufficient volumes of semiconductors.\nHowever, what might have prompted the decline in the stock were comments from Taiwan Semi's CEO. C.C. Wei believes the company will continue to boost deliveries to customers in need, particularly in the auto industry. Because the semiconductor business is cyclical, investors are used to big swings between shortages and supply gluts, and any sign of such a reversal often comes with a hit to the share price.\nTaiwan Semi shares had already doubledin just over a year's time, so a slight pullback isn't unwarranted. Nevertheless, the stock drop is a good reminder that even top companies can be vulnerable to cyclical swings in their businesses.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9,"UNH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3759,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147061242,"gmtCreate":1626320596786,"gmtModify":1631890225645,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147061242","repostId":"1138248041","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138248041","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626319474,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1138248041?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 11:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Reports Earnings Thursday. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>台积电周四公布财报。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138248041","media":"Barron's","summary":"With any luck, investors will get some fresh insight about the global chip shortage Thursday when Ta","content":"<p>With any luck, investors will get some fresh insight about the global chip shortage Thursday when Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing reports earnings—and about whether the company is still on track to pour billions into meeting demand.</p><p><blockquote>如果幸运的话，投资者将在周四台积电公布财报时对全球芯片短缺问题有一些新的认识，以及该公司是否仍有望投入数十亿美元来满足需求。</blockquote></p><p> But if the chip maker’s executives stick with their tradition of being tight-lipped, investors might not get much more than the numbers for insight.</p><p><blockquote>但是，如果这家芯片制造商的高管们坚持守口如瓶的传统，投资者可能只能从数字中获得更多的洞察力。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street has high expectations for Taiwan Semi (ticker: TSM), which is set to release second-quarter results before the opening bell.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街对台森（股票代码：TSM）寄予厚望，该公司将在开盘前发布第二季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus calls for earnings to grow nearly 13% to NT$5.24 a share on revenue of NT$371.7 billion ($13.3 billion), an increase of 19% compared to the year-ago period. Revenue is all but a lock because Taiwan Semi discloses its monthly figure every month—that sum is about NT$372 billion.</p><p><blockquote>评级普遍预期盈利将增长近 13%，达到每股 5.24 新台币，营收为 3717 亿新台币（133 亿美元），比去年同期增长 19%。营收几乎是锁定的，因为台湾森美每个月都会披露其月度数字——这个数字大约是新台币3720亿元。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this year, Taiwan Semi executives increased the company’s 2021 capital spending plan to $30 billion, from an expected $25 billion to $28 billion—and put the three-year figure at $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，Taiwan Semi 高管将公司 2021 年的资本支出计划从预期的 250 亿美元提高到 300 亿美元，并将三年内的数字定为 1000 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company will divert most of the capital spending cash to building manufacturing capacity for its most advanced processors used by Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Apple (AAPL), and Intel (INTC).</p><p><blockquote>该公司将把大部分资本支出现金用于建设先进微设备公司 (AMD)、苹果 (AAPL) 和英特尔 (INTC) 使用的最先进处理器的制造能力。</blockquote></p><p> J.P. Morgan analyst Gokul Hariharan expects Apple to contribute a hefty amount to Taiwan Semi’s sales since Apple’s new iPhone and Mac processors are manufactured by Taiwan chip giant. The analyst didn’t offer an dollar estimate, though.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通（J.P. Morgan）分析师戈库尔-哈里哈兰（Gokul Hariharan）预计，由于苹果的新 iPhone 和 Mac 处理器都是由这家台湾芯片巨头制造的，因此苹果将为台湾半导体的销售额做出巨大贡献。不过，这位分析师没有提供美元估算。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein analyst Mark Li sees a risk for Taiwan Semi in the possible slowing of demand for smartphone and cryptocurrency mining chips. He softened his assessment, however, by pointing out that the company’s older processing manufacturing capacity would be full, and that Apple could be expected to make a big contribution to third-quarter revenue. Li predicts Taiwan Semi may grow revenue about 15% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>Bernstein 分析师 Mark Li 认为，台湾半导体面临的风险在于智能手机和加密货币挖矿芯片的需求可能放缓。不过，他软化了评估，指出公司老旧的加工制造产能将满负荷运转，预计苹果将为第三季度收入做出巨大贡献。李预测，台湾半导体2022年收入可能增长约15%。</blockquote></p><p> If Taiwan Semi executives do talk about the future, they could touch on the company’s new 3-nanometer production technology. Intel and Apple may be the first two companies to adopt the technology, according to Nikkei Asia, a financial news website. Mass production is set to begin in 2022, with Intel taking more chip volume than Apple, the report said.</p><p><blockquote>如果台湾半导体公司的高管真的在谈论未来，他们可能会谈到该公司新的 3 纳米生产技术。据财经新闻网站《日经亚洲》报道，英特尔和苹果可能是首批采用该技术的两家公司。报告称，量产将于 2022 年开始，英特尔的芯片产量将超过苹果。</blockquote></p><p> New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu writes that Intel’s decision to outsource production to Taiwan Semi “remains more tactical than strategic.” Given the report in Nikkei, Intel appears to be adopting the production technology ahead of AMD, Ferragu said.</p><p><blockquote>New Street Research 分析师皮埃尔-费拉古（Pierre Ferragu）写道，英特尔将生产外包给台湾半导体的决定 “仍然是战术性的，而不是战略性的”。Ferragu 表示，鉴于《日经新闻》的报道，英特尔似乎领先于 AMD 采用了生产技术。</blockquote></p><p> Of the analysts that cover Taiwan Semi, 34 rate the stock a Buy, and three have Hold ratings. There are no Sell ratings. The average target price for American depositary receipts is $146.18, which implies upside of about 17%.</p><p><blockquote>在研究 Taiwan Semi 的分析师中，34 名分析师给予该股买入评级，3 名分析师给予持有评级。没有卖出评级。美国存托凭证的平均目标价为 146.18 美元，这意味着上涨空间约为 17%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semi shares advanced roughly 90% this year, as the PHLX Semiconductor index, or Sox, gained about 63%.</p><p><blockquote>台股今年上涨了约 90%，PHLX 半导体指数 (Sox) 上涨了约 63%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Reports Earnings Thursday. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>台积电周四公布财报。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Reports Earnings Thursday. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>台积电周四公布财报。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-15 11:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>With any luck, investors will get some fresh insight about the global chip shortage Thursday when Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing reports earnings—and about whether the company is still on track to pour billions into meeting demand.</p><p><blockquote>如果幸运的话，投资者将在周四台积电公布财报时对全球芯片短缺问题有一些新的认识，以及该公司是否仍有望投入数十亿美元来满足需求。</blockquote></p><p> But if the chip maker’s executives stick with their tradition of being tight-lipped, investors might not get much more than the numbers for insight.</p><p><blockquote>但是，如果这家芯片制造商的高管们坚持守口如瓶的传统，投资者可能只能从数字中获得更多的洞察力。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street has high expectations for Taiwan Semi (ticker: TSM), which is set to release second-quarter results before the opening bell.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街对台森（股票代码：TSM）寄予厚望，该公司将在开盘前发布第二季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus calls for earnings to grow nearly 13% to NT$5.24 a share on revenue of NT$371.7 billion ($13.3 billion), an increase of 19% compared to the year-ago period. Revenue is all but a lock because Taiwan Semi discloses its monthly figure every month—that sum is about NT$372 billion.</p><p><blockquote>评级普遍预期盈利将增长近 13%，达到每股 5.24 新台币，营收为 3717 亿新台币（133 亿美元），比去年同期增长 19%。营收几乎是锁定的，因为台湾森美每个月都会披露其月度数字——这个数字大约是新台币3720亿元。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this year, Taiwan Semi executives increased the company’s 2021 capital spending plan to $30 billion, from an expected $25 billion to $28 billion—and put the three-year figure at $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，Taiwan Semi 高管将公司 2021 年的资本支出计划从预期的 250 亿美元提高到 300 亿美元，并将三年内的数字定为 1000 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company will divert most of the capital spending cash to building manufacturing capacity for its most advanced processors used by Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Apple (AAPL), and Intel (INTC).</p><p><blockquote>该公司将把大部分资本支出现金用于建设先进微设备公司 (AMD)、苹果 (AAPL) 和英特尔 (INTC) 使用的最先进处理器的制造能力。</blockquote></p><p> J.P. Morgan analyst Gokul Hariharan expects Apple to contribute a hefty amount to Taiwan Semi’s sales since Apple’s new iPhone and Mac processors are manufactured by Taiwan chip giant. The analyst didn’t offer an dollar estimate, though.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通（J.P. Morgan）分析师戈库尔-哈里哈兰（Gokul Hariharan）预计，由于苹果的新 iPhone 和 Mac 处理器都是由这家台湾芯片巨头制造的，因此苹果将为台湾半导体的销售额做出巨大贡献。不过，这位分析师没有提供美元估算。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein analyst Mark Li sees a risk for Taiwan Semi in the possible slowing of demand for smartphone and cryptocurrency mining chips. He softened his assessment, however, by pointing out that the company’s older processing manufacturing capacity would be full, and that Apple could be expected to make a big contribution to third-quarter revenue. Li predicts Taiwan Semi may grow revenue about 15% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>Bernstein 分析师 Mark Li 认为，台湾半导体面临的风险在于智能手机和加密货币挖矿芯片的需求可能放缓。不过，他软化了评估，指出公司老旧的加工制造产能将满负荷运转，预计苹果将为第三季度收入做出巨大贡献。李预测，台湾半导体2022年收入可能增长约15%。</blockquote></p><p> If Taiwan Semi executives do talk about the future, they could touch on the company’s new 3-nanometer production technology. Intel and Apple may be the first two companies to adopt the technology, according to Nikkei Asia, a financial news website. Mass production is set to begin in 2022, with Intel taking more chip volume than Apple, the report said.</p><p><blockquote>如果台湾半导体公司的高管真的在谈论未来，他们可能会谈到该公司新的 3 纳米生产技术。据财经新闻网站《日经亚洲》报道，英特尔和苹果可能是首批采用该技术的两家公司。报告称，量产将于 2022 年开始，英特尔的芯片产量将超过苹果。</blockquote></p><p> New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu writes that Intel’s decision to outsource production to Taiwan Semi “remains more tactical than strategic.” Given the report in Nikkei, Intel appears to be adopting the production technology ahead of AMD, Ferragu said.</p><p><blockquote>New Street Research 分析师皮埃尔-费拉古（Pierre Ferragu）写道，英特尔将生产外包给台湾半导体的决定 “仍然是战术性的，而不是战略性的”。Ferragu 表示，鉴于《日经新闻》的报道，英特尔似乎领先于 AMD 采用了生产技术。</blockquote></p><p> Of the analysts that cover Taiwan Semi, 34 rate the stock a Buy, and three have Hold ratings. There are no Sell ratings. The average target price for American depositary receipts is $146.18, which implies upside of about 17%.</p><p><blockquote>在研究 Taiwan Semi 的分析师中，34 名分析师给予该股买入评级，3 名分析师给予持有评级。没有卖出评级。美国存托凭证的平均目标价为 146.18 美元，这意味着上涨空间约为 17%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semi shares advanced roughly 90% this year, as the PHLX Semiconductor index, or Sox, gained about 63%.</p><p><blockquote>台股今年上涨了约 90%，PHLX 半导体指数 (Sox) 上涨了约 63%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-earnings-51626299252?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-earnings-51626299252?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138248041","content_text":"With any luck, investors will get some fresh insight about the global chip shortage Thursday when Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing reports earnings—and about whether the company is still on track to pour billions into meeting demand.\nBut if the chip maker’s executives stick with their tradition of being tight-lipped, investors might not get much more than the numbers for insight.\nWall Street has high expectations for Taiwan Semi (ticker: TSM), which is set to release second-quarter results before the opening bell.\nThe consensus calls for earnings to grow nearly 13% to NT$5.24 a share on revenue of NT$371.7 billion ($13.3 billion), an increase of 19% compared to the year-ago period. Revenue is all but a lock because Taiwan Semi discloses its monthly figure every month—that sum is about NT$372 billion.\nEarlier this year, Taiwan Semi executives increased the company’s 2021 capital spending plan to $30 billion, from an expected $25 billion to $28 billion—and put the three-year figure at $100 billion.\nThe company will divert most of the capital spending cash to building manufacturing capacity for its most advanced processors used by Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Apple (AAPL), and Intel (INTC).\nJ.P. Morgan analyst Gokul Hariharan expects Apple to contribute a hefty amount to Taiwan Semi’s sales since Apple’s new iPhone and Mac processors are manufactured by Taiwan chip giant. The analyst didn’t offer an dollar estimate, though.\nBernstein analyst Mark Li sees a risk for Taiwan Semi in the possible slowing of demand for smartphone and cryptocurrency mining chips. He softened his assessment, however, by pointing out that the company’s older processing manufacturing capacity would be full, and that Apple could be expected to make a big contribution to third-quarter revenue. Li predicts Taiwan Semi may grow revenue about 15% in 2022.\nIf Taiwan Semi executives do talk about the future, they could touch on the company’s new 3-nanometer production technology. Intel and Apple may be the first two companies to adopt the technology, according to Nikkei Asia, a financial news website. Mass production is set to begin in 2022, with Intel taking more chip volume than Apple, the report said.\nNew Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu writes that Intel’s decision to outsource production to Taiwan Semi “remains more tactical than strategic.” Given the report in Nikkei, Intel appears to be adopting the production technology ahead of AMD, Ferragu said.\nOf the analysts that cover Taiwan Semi, 34 rate the stock a Buy, and three have Hold ratings. There are no Sell ratings. The average target price for American depositary receipts is $146.18, which implies upside of about 17%.\nTaiwan Semi shares advanced roughly 90% this year, as the PHLX Semiconductor index, or Sox, gained about 63%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145533921,"gmtCreate":1626229011863,"gmtModify":1631890225646,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh","listText":"Oh","text":"Oh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145533921","repostId":"2151560584","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142899719,"gmtCreate":1626139663831,"gmtModify":1631890225650,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142899719","repostId":"1131092552","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131092552","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626138797,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1131092552?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Super Mario 64 Video Game Sells for $1.56 Million<blockquote>超级马里奥 64 视频游戏售价 156 万美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131092552","media":"newyork times","summary":"The sale, to an anonymous bidder, set a record just two days after a copy of The Legend of Zelda sol","content":"<p>  The sale, to an anonymous bidder, set a record just two days after a copy of The Legend of Zelda sold for $870,000, according to Heritage Auctions.  An anonymous buyer has paid $1.56 million for a 25-year-old copy of Super Mario 64 in its original packaging, a record price for a video game, according to the auction house that sold it.</p><p><blockquote>据 Heritage Auctions 称，就在两天前，一本《塞尔达传说》以 87 万美元的价格售出，这次拍卖是给一位匿名竞标者的，创下了一项纪录。据出售这款游戏的拍卖行称，一位匿名买家以 156 万美元的价格购买了一款已有 25 年历史的《超级马里奥 64》的原包装拷贝，创下了视频游戏的最高价格。</blockquote></p><p> Heritage Auctions said that it received 16 bids leading up to and during the live auction on Sunday for the mainly pristine condition 3-D Super Mario game, which sold for about $60 when it was released in 1996 and was the best-selling game for the Nintendo 64 console.</p><p><blockquote>Heritage Auctions表示，在周日的现场拍卖之前和期间，它收到了16份出价，这些出价主要是原始状态的3D超级马里奥游戏，该游戏在1996年发布时售价约为60美元，是任天堂64游戏机上最畅销的游戏。</blockquote></p><p> The top bid was $1.3 million, according to Heritage Auctions, which added a buyer’s premium of 20 percent to the gavel price to bring the total to $1.56 million.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Heritage Auctions 的数据，最高出价为 130 万美元，买家在木槌价格的基础上加上 20% 的溢价，总价达到 156 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The price sent shock waves through gaming and collecting circles, even aftera recent uptick in five- and six-figure salesof rare video games to investment-minded buyers. The sale was announced just two days after Heritage Auctions said that an early production copy of The Legend of Zelda from 1987 had sold for $870,000.</p><p><blockquote>这个价格在游戏和收藏界引起了冲击波，即使在最近对有投资意识的买家来说稀有视频游戏的销量出现了五位数和六位数的增长之后。就在两天前，Heritage Auctions 表示，1987 年《塞尔达传说》的早期生产版本以 87 万美元的价格售出。</blockquote></p><p> Valarie McLeckie, the consignment director for video games at Heritage Auctions, said in an interview on Monday that she was astounded by the outcome of the Mario 64 auction.</p><p><blockquote>Heritage Auctions视频游戏寄售总监Valarie McLeckie在周一接受采访时表示，她对马里奥64拍卖的结果感到震惊。</blockquote></p><p> “I was blindsided, to be quite honest with you,” she said. “Never in my wildest dreams did I expect the price that was realized would become a reality.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”老实说，我被蒙在鼓里了。“我做梦也没想到，实现的代价会成为现实。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d7105186c23b4b61192148846dc21ac\" tg-width=\"589\" tg-height=\"544\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The game, which was part of a private collection, is sealed inside a clear plastic case resembling the anti-theft boxes used by retail stores. It includes a certification from Wata Games, an authentication company, attesting to its “like new” and factory-sealed condition, in its original shrink-wrapping.</p><p><blockquote>这款游戏是私人收藏的一部分，被密封在一个透明的塑料盒子里，类似于零售店使用的防盗盒。它包括认证公司 Wata Games 的认证，证明其 “如新 ”和工厂密封状态，采用原始收缩包装。</blockquote></p><p> Ms. McLeckie said that video game characters often evoke a sense of nostalgia, particularly Mario, who, with his brother, Luigi, first appeared on the screens of Nintendo players in 1985 inSuper Mario Bros.</p><p><blockquote>麦克莱基女士说，电子游戏角色经常唤起人们的怀旧之情，尤其是马里奥，他和他的兄弟路易吉于1985年在《超级马里奥兄弟》中首次出现在任天堂玩家的屏幕上。</blockquote></p><p> In the original game, Mario must save the peace-loving Mushroom People from the Koopa, a tribe of turtles known for their black magic. The game spawned an enduring theme song and multiple variations, including Super Mario 64, in which Mario faces an array of obstacles and adversaries as he tries to rescue the kidnapped Princess Peach from the villain Bowser.</p><p><blockquote>在最初的游戏中，马里奥必须从以黑魔法闻名的海龟部落库帕手中拯救热爱和平的蘑菇人。这款游戏催生了一首经久不衰的主题曲和多种变体，包括《超级马里奥64》，其中马里奥在试图从反派库巴手中营救被绑架的桃子公主时面临一系列障碍和对手。</blockquote></p><p> “He’s like the Mickey Mouse of video games,” Ms. McLeckie said of Mario. “He’s just so recognizable and really resonates with a wide audience of people.”</p><p><blockquote>“麦克莱基女士谈到马里奥时说：”他就像电子游戏中的米老鼠。“他的辨识度很高，能引起广大观众的共鸣”。</blockquote></p><p> Chris Kohler, a video game historian and the editorial director of Digital Eclipse, a video game studio that makes collections of classic games, said in an interview on Monday that he would have expected an older video game to contend for the sales record. He said that collectors could find copies of Super Mario 64 — not in mint condition but with the original box — for much less.</p><p><blockquote>视频游戏历史学家、制作经典游戏合集的视频游戏工作室 Digital Eclipse 的编辑总监克里斯·科勒 (Chris Kohler) 在周一接受采访时表示，他原本预计一款较老的视频游戏会争夺销售记录。他说，收藏家可以以更低的价格找到《超级马里奥64》的复制品——不是全新的，而是带有原盒。</blockquote></p><p> “That was what kind of blew me away about that sale,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”这就是那次拍卖让我大吃一惊的地方。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Kohler said he remembered spending part of his first paycheck on Super Mario 64 when it was released.</p><p><blockquote>科勒先生说，他记得在《超级马里奥64》发布时，他把第一份薪水的一部分花在了这部电影上。</blockquote></p><p> “If you had told me at that point that somebody was going to buy a sealed one for $1.5 million in 25 years’ time, I don’t know what I would have done,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”如果你当时告诉我，25 年后有人会以 150 万美元的价格买下一辆密封的汽车，我不知道我会怎么做。</blockquote></p><p> Many buyers are new to collecting video games and have crossed over from comic books and coins, according to Mr. Kohler.</p><p><blockquote>科勒表示，许多买家是电子游戏收藏新手，已经从漫画书和硬币转变过来。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t expect an unboxing video from the buyer, whom the auction house declined to identify. Ms. McLeckie laughed when asked whether the collector would actually play the game.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望买家会提供开箱视频，拍卖行拒绝透露买家的身份。当被问及收藏家是否真的会玩这个游戏时，麦克莱基女士笑了。</blockquote></p><p> “I can say with certainty they’re going to leave it as is,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”我可以肯定地说，他们会保持现状。</blockquote></p><p> In April, an unopened copy of Super Mario Bros. that had been bought in 1986 as a Christmas gift but sat forgotten in a desk drawerfetched $660,000, a record at the time, according to Heritage Auctions, which also brokered that sale.</p><p><blockquote>据负责此次拍卖的 Heritage Auctions 称，今年 4 月，一本未开封的《超级马里奥兄弟》（Super Mario Bros.）以 66 万美元的价格拍出了当时的纪录。该书于 1986 年作为圣诞礼物购买，但被遗忘在办公桌抽屉里。</blockquote></p><p> Then on Friday, a 1987 edition of The Legend of Zelda sold for $870,000. Heritage Auctions said it was one of two sealed copies from the game’s earliest production runs that had been authenticated.</p><p><blockquote>然后在周五，1987年版的《塞尔达传说》以87万美元的价格售出。Heritage Auctions 表示，这是该游戏早期生产过程中经过认证的两份密封副本之一。</blockquote></p><p> As the sales records keep toppling, the resulting frenzy has sent serious and casual gamers alike rummaging through their drawers and closets.</p><p><blockquote>随着销售记录不断打破，由此产生的狂热让严肃和休闲游戏玩家都在翻找他们的抽屉和壁橱。</blockquote></p><p> “As you can imagine,” Ms. McLeckie said, “I’ve gotten a lot of inquiries this morning from hopefuls that maybe their video game is worth $1 million.”</p><p><blockquote>“麦克莱基女士说：”你可以想象，“今天早上我收到了很多有希望的人的询问，说他们的电子游戏可能价值 100 万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1605590967916","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Super Mario 64 Video Game Sells for $1.56 Million<blockquote>超级马里奥 64 视频游戏售价 156 万美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSuper Mario 64 Video Game Sells for $1.56 Million<blockquote>超级马里奥 64 视频游戏售价 156 万美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">newyork times</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-13 09:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  The sale, to an anonymous bidder, set a record just two days after a copy of The Legend of Zelda sold for $870,000, according to Heritage Auctions.  An anonymous buyer has paid $1.56 million for a 25-year-old copy of Super Mario 64 in its original packaging, a record price for a video game, according to the auction house that sold it.</p><p><blockquote>据 Heritage Auctions 称，就在两天前，一本《塞尔达传说》以 87 万美元的价格售出，这次拍卖是给一位匿名竞标者的，创下了一项纪录。据出售这款游戏的拍卖行称，一位匿名买家以 156 万美元的价格购买了一款已有 25 年历史的《超级马里奥 64》的原包装拷贝，创下了视频游戏的最高价格。</blockquote></p><p> Heritage Auctions said that it received 16 bids leading up to and during the live auction on Sunday for the mainly pristine condition 3-D Super Mario game, which sold for about $60 when it was released in 1996 and was the best-selling game for the Nintendo 64 console.</p><p><blockquote>Heritage Auctions表示，在周日的现场拍卖之前和期间，它收到了16份出价，这些出价主要是原始状态的3D超级马里奥游戏，该游戏在1996年发布时售价约为60美元，是任天堂64游戏机上最畅销的游戏。</blockquote></p><p> The top bid was $1.3 million, according to Heritage Auctions, which added a buyer’s premium of 20 percent to the gavel price to bring the total to $1.56 million.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Heritage Auctions 的数据，最高出价为 130 万美元，买家在木槌价格的基础上加上 20% 的溢价，总价达到 156 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The price sent shock waves through gaming and collecting circles, even aftera recent uptick in five- and six-figure salesof rare video games to investment-minded buyers. The sale was announced just two days after Heritage Auctions said that an early production copy of The Legend of Zelda from 1987 had sold for $870,000.</p><p><blockquote>这个价格在游戏和收藏界引起了冲击波，即使在最近对有投资意识的买家来说稀有视频游戏的销量出现了五位数和六位数的增长之后。就在两天前，Heritage Auctions 表示，1987 年《塞尔达传说》的早期生产版本以 87 万美元的价格售出。</blockquote></p><p> Valarie McLeckie, the consignment director for video games at Heritage Auctions, said in an interview on Monday that she was astounded by the outcome of the Mario 64 auction.</p><p><blockquote>Heritage Auctions视频游戏寄售总监Valarie McLeckie在周一接受采访时表示，她对马里奥64拍卖的结果感到震惊。</blockquote></p><p> “I was blindsided, to be quite honest with you,” she said. “Never in my wildest dreams did I expect the price that was realized would become a reality.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”老实说，我被蒙在鼓里了。“我做梦也没想到，实现的代价会成为现实。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d7105186c23b4b61192148846dc21ac\" tg-width=\"589\" tg-height=\"544\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The game, which was part of a private collection, is sealed inside a clear plastic case resembling the anti-theft boxes used by retail stores. It includes a certification from Wata Games, an authentication company, attesting to its “like new” and factory-sealed condition, in its original shrink-wrapping.</p><p><blockquote>这款游戏是私人收藏的一部分，被密封在一个透明的塑料盒子里，类似于零售店使用的防盗盒。它包括认证公司 Wata Games 的认证，证明其 “如新 ”和工厂密封状态，采用原始收缩包装。</blockquote></p><p> Ms. McLeckie said that video game characters often evoke a sense of nostalgia, particularly Mario, who, with his brother, Luigi, first appeared on the screens of Nintendo players in 1985 inSuper Mario Bros.</p><p><blockquote>麦克莱基女士说，电子游戏角色经常唤起人们的怀旧之情，尤其是马里奥，他和他的兄弟路易吉于1985年在《超级马里奥兄弟》中首次出现在任天堂玩家的屏幕上。</blockquote></p><p> In the original game, Mario must save the peace-loving Mushroom People from the Koopa, a tribe of turtles known for their black magic. The game spawned an enduring theme song and multiple variations, including Super Mario 64, in which Mario faces an array of obstacles and adversaries as he tries to rescue the kidnapped Princess Peach from the villain Bowser.</p><p><blockquote>在最初的游戏中，马里奥必须从以黑魔法闻名的海龟部落库帕手中拯救热爱和平的蘑菇人。这款游戏催生了一首经久不衰的主题曲和多种变体，包括《超级马里奥64》，其中马里奥在试图从反派库巴手中营救被绑架的桃子公主时面临一系列障碍和对手。</blockquote></p><p> “He’s like the Mickey Mouse of video games,” Ms. McLeckie said of Mario. “He’s just so recognizable and really resonates with a wide audience of people.”</p><p><blockquote>“麦克莱基女士谈到马里奥时说：”他就像电子游戏中的米老鼠。“他的辨识度很高，能引起广大观众的共鸣”。</blockquote></p><p> Chris Kohler, a video game historian and the editorial director of Digital Eclipse, a video game studio that makes collections of classic games, said in an interview on Monday that he would have expected an older video game to contend for the sales record. He said that collectors could find copies of Super Mario 64 — not in mint condition but with the original box — for much less.</p><p><blockquote>视频游戏历史学家、制作经典游戏合集的视频游戏工作室 Digital Eclipse 的编辑总监克里斯·科勒 (Chris Kohler) 在周一接受采访时表示，他原本预计一款较老的视频游戏会争夺销售记录。他说，收藏家可以以更低的价格找到《超级马里奥64》的复制品——不是全新的，而是带有原盒。</blockquote></p><p> “That was what kind of blew me away about that sale,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”这就是那次拍卖让我大吃一惊的地方。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Kohler said he remembered spending part of his first paycheck on Super Mario 64 when it was released.</p><p><blockquote>科勒先生说，他记得在《超级马里奥64》发布时，他把第一份薪水的一部分花在了这部电影上。</blockquote></p><p> “If you had told me at that point that somebody was going to buy a sealed one for $1.5 million in 25 years’ time, I don’t know what I would have done,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”如果你当时告诉我，25 年后有人会以 150 万美元的价格买下一辆密封的汽车，我不知道我会怎么做。</blockquote></p><p> Many buyers are new to collecting video games and have crossed over from comic books and coins, according to Mr. Kohler.</p><p><blockquote>科勒表示，许多买家是电子游戏收藏新手，已经从漫画书和硬币转变过来。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t expect an unboxing video from the buyer, whom the auction house declined to identify. Ms. McLeckie laughed when asked whether the collector would actually play the game.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望买家会提供开箱视频，拍卖行拒绝透露买家的身份。当被问及收藏家是否真的会玩这个游戏时，麦克莱基女士笑了。</blockquote></p><p> “I can say with certainty they’re going to leave it as is,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”我可以肯定地说，他们会保持现状。</blockquote></p><p> In April, an unopened copy of Super Mario Bros. that had been bought in 1986 as a Christmas gift but sat forgotten in a desk drawerfetched $660,000, a record at the time, according to Heritage Auctions, which also brokered that sale.</p><p><blockquote>据负责此次拍卖的 Heritage Auctions 称，今年 4 月，一本未开封的《超级马里奥兄弟》（Super Mario Bros.）以 66 万美元的价格拍出了当时的纪录。该书于 1986 年作为圣诞礼物购买，但被遗忘在办公桌抽屉里。</blockquote></p><p> Then on Friday, a 1987 edition of The Legend of Zelda sold for $870,000. Heritage Auctions said it was one of two sealed copies from the game’s earliest production runs that had been authenticated.</p><p><blockquote>然后在周五，1987年版的《塞尔达传说》以87万美元的价格售出。Heritage Auctions 表示，这是该游戏早期生产过程中经过认证的两份密封副本之一。</blockquote></p><p> As the sales records keep toppling, the resulting frenzy has sent serious and casual gamers alike rummaging through their drawers and closets.</p><p><blockquote>随着销售记录不断打破，由此产生的狂热让严肃和休闲游戏玩家都在翻找他们的抽屉和壁橱。</blockquote></p><p> “As you can imagine,” Ms. McLeckie said, “I’ve gotten a lot of inquiries this morning from hopefuls that maybe their video game is worth $1 million.”</p><p><blockquote>“麦克莱基女士说：”你可以想象，“今天早上我收到了很多有希望的人的询问，说他们的电子游戏可能价值 100 万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/12/business/super-mario-64-auction.html?searchResultPosition=1\">newyork times</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/12/business/super-mario-64-auction.html?searchResultPosition=1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131092552","content_text":"The sale, to an anonymous bidder, set a record just two days after a copy of The Legend of Zelda sold for $870,000, according to Heritage Auctions.\n\nAn anonymous buyer has paid $1.56 million for a 25-year-old copy of Super Mario 64 in its original packaging, a record price for a video game, according to the auction house that sold it.\nHeritage Auctions said that it received 16 bids leading up to and during the live auction on Sunday for the mainly pristine condition 3-D Super Mario game, which sold for about $60 when it was released in 1996 and was the best-selling game for the Nintendo 64 console.\nThe top bid was $1.3 million, according to Heritage Auctions, which added a buyer’s premium of 20 percent to the gavel price to bring the total to $1.56 million.\nThe price sent shock waves through gaming and collecting circles, even aftera recent uptick in five- and six-figure salesof rare video games to investment-minded buyers. The sale was announced just two days after Heritage Auctions said that an early production copy of The Legend of Zelda from 1987 had sold for $870,000.\nValarie McLeckie, the consignment director for video games at Heritage Auctions, said in an interview on Monday that she was astounded by the outcome of the Mario 64 auction.\n“I was blindsided, to be quite honest with you,” she said. “Never in my wildest dreams did I expect the price that was realized would become a reality.”\n\nThe game, which was part of a private collection, is sealed inside a clear plastic case resembling the anti-theft boxes used by retail stores. It includes a certification from Wata Games, an authentication company, attesting to its “like new” and factory-sealed condition, in its original shrink-wrapping.\nMs. McLeckie said that video game characters often evoke a sense of nostalgia, particularly Mario, who, with his brother, Luigi, first appeared on the screens of Nintendo players in 1985 inSuper Mario Bros.\nIn the original game, Mario must save the peace-loving Mushroom People from the Koopa, a tribe of turtles known for their black magic. The game spawned an enduring theme song and multiple variations, including Super Mario 64, in which Mario faces an array of obstacles and adversaries as he tries to rescue the kidnapped Princess Peach from the villain Bowser.\n“He’s like the Mickey Mouse of video games,” Ms. McLeckie said of Mario. “He’s just so recognizable and really resonates with a wide audience of people.”\nChris Kohler, a video game historian and the editorial director of Digital Eclipse, a video game studio that makes collections of classic games, said in an interview on Monday that he would have expected an older video game to contend for the sales record. He said that collectors could find copies of Super Mario 64 — not in mint condition but with the original box — for much less.\n“That was what kind of blew me away about that sale,” he said.\nMr. Kohler said he remembered spending part of his first paycheck on Super Mario 64 when it was released.\n“If you had told me at that point that somebody was going to buy a sealed one for $1.5 million in 25 years’ time, I don’t know what I would have done,” he said.\nMany buyers are new to collecting video games and have crossed over from comic books and coins, according to Mr. Kohler.\nDon’t expect an unboxing video from the buyer, whom the auction house declined to identify. Ms. McLeckie laughed when asked whether the collector would actually play the game.\n“I can say with certainty they’re going to leave it as is,” she said.\nIn April, an unopened copy of Super Mario Bros. that had been bought in 1986 as a Christmas gift but sat forgotten in a desk drawerfetched $660,000, a record at the time, according to Heritage Auctions, which also brokered that sale.\nThen on Friday, a 1987 edition of The Legend of Zelda sold for $870,000. Heritage Auctions said it was one of two sealed copies from the game’s earliest production runs that had been authenticated.\nAs the sales records keep toppling, the resulting frenzy has sent serious and casual gamers alike rummaging through their drawers and closets.\n“As you can imagine,” Ms. McLeckie said, “I’ve gotten a lot of inquiries this morning from hopefuls that maybe their video game is worth $1 million.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146716184,"gmtCreate":1626099204948,"gmtModify":1631890225652,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Try harder","listText":"Try harder","text":"Try harder","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146716184","repostId":"2150580297","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146323444,"gmtCreate":1626054822388,"gmtModify":1631888361083,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Agree","listText":"Agree","text":"Agree","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146323444","repostId":"1131667592","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148231854,"gmtCreate":1625976889378,"gmtModify":1631890225655,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148231854","repostId":"1195812364","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195812364","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625875523,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1195812364?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 08:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：房地产、大流行后的戏剧等 IPO 周第 9 周</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195812364","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Italian drug container supplier Stevanato Group plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.Shopping center REIT Phillips Edison & Company plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on l","content":"<p>After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在度过了缓慢的假期周之后，未来一周将有 9 笔 IPO 筹集超过 30 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Italian drug container supplier&nbsp;<b>Stevanato Group</b>(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.</p><p><blockquote>意大利药品容器供应商<b>斯特瓦纳托集团</b>(STVN) 计划以 68 亿美元的市值筹集 9 亿美元。这家盈利的公司由其创始家族控制，为 700 多家客户提供玻璃小瓶、注射器和其他医疗级容器，其中包括 41 家排名前 50 的制药公司。</blockquote></p><p> Shopping center REIT&nbsp;<b>Phillips Edison &amp; Company</b>(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.</p><p><blockquote>购物中心产业信讬基金<b>菲利普斯爱迪生公司</b>(PECO) 计划以 37 亿美元的市值筹集 5.02 亿美元。该房地产投资信托基金拥有美国 300 家购物中心的股权，专注于 Kroger 和 Public 等杂货商经营的地点。它的目标是中点年化收益率为 3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Known for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,<b>Membership Collective Group</b>(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>以会员专属豪华酒店品牌Soho House而闻名，<b>会员资格集体组</b>(MCG) 计划以 32 亿美元的市值筹集 450 美元。该公司拥有庞大而忠诚的会员基础，尽管它没有盈利记录，并且在2021年第一季度的收入下降了近一半。</blockquote></p><p> Mark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise&nbsp;<b>F45 Training</b>(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.</p><p><blockquote>马克·沃尔伯格支持的健身特许经营权<b>F45训练</b>(FXLV) 计划以 15 亿美元的市值筹集 3.25 亿美元。F45专注于45分钟的锻炼，在全球拥有1500多个工作室。该公司在过去 12 个月中实现了 37% 的 EBITDA，尽管该公司预期的大流行后增长尚未在数据中体现出来。</blockquote></p><p> Mortgage software provider&nbsp;<b>Blend Labs</b>(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&amp;D and S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>抵押软件提供商<b>混合实验室</b>(BLND) 计划以 45 亿美元的市值筹集 3.4 亿美元。Blend Labs为金融服务公司提供了一个数字平台，改善了消费者申请抵押贷款和贷款时的体验。尽管2020年收入翻了一番，但由于R&amp;D和S&amp;M支出，核心软件业务高度无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bridge Investment Group</b>(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.</p><p><blockquote><b>桥梁投资集团</b>(BRDG) 计划以 18 亿美元的市值筹集 3 亿美元。这位投资经理专门从事多个行业的房地产股权和债务。截至2021年3月31日，Bridge Investment Group拥有约260亿美元的资产管理规模，拥有25种投资工具的6,500多名个人投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Ocular medical device provider&nbsp;<b>Sight Sciences</b>(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>眼科医疗器械供应商<b>视觉科学</b>(SGHT) 计划以 10 亿美元的市值筹集 1.5 亿美元。该公司开发和销售医疗和外科设备，为眼部疾病提供新的治疗选择。在疫情推迟了2020年的选择性程序后，这家高度无利可图的公司在2021年第一季度显示出重新加速增长的迹象（+32%）。</blockquote></p><p> Pregnancy diagnostics company&nbsp;<b>Sera Prognostics</b>(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.</p><p><blockquote>妊娠诊断公司<b>血清预后</b>（SERA）计划以5.64亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。该公司利用其蛋白质组学和生物信息学平台开发生物标志物测试，旨在改善妊娠结局。Sera Prognostics 的唯一商业产品 PreTRM 测试可以预测早产的风险，但尚未产生有意义的收入。</blockquote></p><p> A hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech&nbsp;<b>Unicycive Therapeutics</b>(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.</p><p><blockquote>上周的延迟，早期肾病生物技术<b>Unicycive 疗法</b>(UNCY) 计划以 7900 万美元的市值筹集 2500 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad3dc9b07583a28aad047e44802c899e\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"732\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至21年7月8日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今下跌0.8%，而标普500上涨15.0%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Snowflake (SNOW) 和 Palantir Technologies (PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 5.2%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 7.3%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Smoore International 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：房地产、大流行后的戏剧等 IPO 周第 9 周</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：房地产、大流行后的戏剧等 IPO 周第 9 周</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 08:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在度过了缓慢的假期周之后，未来一周将有 9 笔 IPO 筹集超过 30 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Italian drug container supplier&nbsp;<b>Stevanato Group</b>(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.</p><p><blockquote>意大利药品容器供应商<b>斯特瓦纳托集团</b>(STVN) 计划以 68 亿美元的市值筹集 9 亿美元。这家盈利的公司由其创始家族控制，为 700 多家客户提供玻璃小瓶、注射器和其他医疗级容器，其中包括 41 家排名前 50 的制药公司。</blockquote></p><p> Shopping center REIT&nbsp;<b>Phillips Edison &amp; Company</b>(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.</p><p><blockquote>购物中心产业信讬基金<b>菲利普斯爱迪生公司</b>(PECO) 计划以 37 亿美元的市值筹集 5.02 亿美元。该房地产投资信托基金拥有美国 300 家购物中心的股权，专注于 Kroger 和 Public 等杂货商经营的地点。它的目标是中点年化收益率为 3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Known for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,<b>Membership Collective Group</b>(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>以会员专属豪华酒店品牌Soho House而闻名，<b>会员资格集体组</b>(MCG) 计划以 32 亿美元的市值筹集 450 美元。该公司拥有庞大而忠诚的会员基础，尽管它没有盈利记录，并且在2021年第一季度的收入下降了近一半。</blockquote></p><p> Mark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise&nbsp;<b>F45 Training</b>(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.</p><p><blockquote>马克·沃尔伯格支持的健身特许经营权<b>F45训练</b>(FXLV) 计划以 15 亿美元的市值筹集 3.25 亿美元。F45专注于45分钟的锻炼，在全球拥有1500多个工作室。该公司在过去 12 个月中实现了 37% 的 EBITDA，尽管该公司预期的大流行后增长尚未在数据中体现出来。</blockquote></p><p> Mortgage software provider&nbsp;<b>Blend Labs</b>(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&amp;D and S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>抵押软件提供商<b>混合实验室</b>(BLND) 计划以 45 亿美元的市值筹集 3.4 亿美元。Blend Labs为金融服务公司提供了一个数字平台，改善了消费者申请抵押贷款和贷款时的体验。尽管2020年收入翻了一番，但由于R&amp;D和S&amp;M支出，核心软件业务高度无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bridge Investment Group</b>(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.</p><p><blockquote><b>桥梁投资集团</b>(BRDG) 计划以 18 亿美元的市值筹集 3 亿美元。这位投资经理专门从事多个行业的房地产股权和债务。截至2021年3月31日，Bridge Investment Group拥有约260亿美元的资产管理规模，拥有25种投资工具的6,500多名个人投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Ocular medical device provider&nbsp;<b>Sight Sciences</b>(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>眼科医疗器械供应商<b>视觉科学</b>(SGHT) 计划以 10 亿美元的市值筹集 1.5 亿美元。该公司开发和销售医疗和外科设备，为眼部疾病提供新的治疗选择。在疫情推迟了2020年的选择性程序后，这家高度无利可图的公司在2021年第一季度显示出重新加速增长的迹象（+32%）。</blockquote></p><p> Pregnancy diagnostics company&nbsp;<b>Sera Prognostics</b>(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.</p><p><blockquote>妊娠诊断公司<b>血清预后</b>（SERA）计划以5.64亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。该公司利用其蛋白质组学和生物信息学平台开发生物标志物测试，旨在改善妊娠结局。Sera Prognostics 的唯一商业产品 PreTRM 测试可以预测早产的风险，但尚未产生有意义的收入。</blockquote></p><p> A hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech&nbsp;<b>Unicycive Therapeutics</b>(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.</p><p><blockquote>上周的延迟，早期肾病生物技术<b>Unicycive 疗法</b>(UNCY) 计划以 7900 万美元的市值筹集 2500 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad3dc9b07583a28aad047e44802c899e\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"732\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至21年7月8日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今下跌0.8%，而标普500上涨15.0%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Snowflake (SNOW) 和 Palantir Technologies (PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 5.2%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 7.3%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Smoore International 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83879/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Real-estate-post-pandemic-plays-and-more-in-an-9-IPO-week\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","FXLV":"F45 Training Holdings Inc.","PECO":"Phillips Edison & Company, Inc.","SGHT":"Sight Sciences, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SERA":"Sera Prognostics, Inc.","BRDG":"Bridge Investment Group Holdings Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","STVN":"Stevanato Group S.p.A.","BLND":"Blend Labs, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83879/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Real-estate-post-pandemic-plays-and-more-in-an-9-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195812364","content_text":"After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.\nItalian drug container supplier Stevanato Group(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.\nShopping center REIT Phillips Edison & Company(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.\nKnown for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,Membership Collective Group(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.\nMark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise F45 Training(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.\nMortgage software provider Blend Labs(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&D and S&M spend.\nBridge Investment Group(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.\nOcular medical device provider Sight Sciences(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.\nPregnancy diagnostics company Sera Prognostics(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.\nA hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech Unicycive Therapeutics(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRDG":0.9,"SERA":0.9,"STVN":0.9,"BLND":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"FXLV":0.9,"SGHT":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"MCG":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"PECO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148239862,"gmtCreate":1625976726656,"gmtModify":1631890225659,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hodl hodl&nbsp;","listText":"Hodl hodl&nbsp;","text":"Hodl hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148239862","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，它们何时会再次坠毁的时间已经在流逝。会是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经过去半年了，核心 “备忘录股票 ”的交易价格仍然处于研究这些股票多年的人认为离谱的水平。Clover Health Investments (CLOV) 和 Newegg Commerce (NEGG) 等新名称最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易员--长期以来被嘲笑为 “哑巴钱 ”--的集体努力成功地让股市飙升，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型的迹象，也没有表现出足以证明其估值的利润，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告称其关键的网络安全部门将达到收入指导的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大型经纪商的交易量较 2 月份的峰值略有下降，但仍高于疫情爆发前的两到三倍。数量惊人的这种活动发生在散户交易者青睐的股票中。例如，AMC院线控股公司（AMC）6 月份的日均交易额达到 131 亿美元，超过了苹果（AAPL）的 95 亿美元和亚马逊（AMZN）的 103 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍然致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多的交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉捏酸面团面包；交易者只会变得越来越饥饿。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种食欲，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。目前，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“美国海军电子技术员布兰登-卢切克（Brandon Luczek）在给《巴伦周刊》的一封电子邮件中写道：”我看到'逢低买入'的情绪一刻也没有减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票飙升是由散户投资者交易的增加推动的。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，超过1000万人开设了新账户。这一记录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，在今年不到一半的时间里，经纪商已经增加了超过 1000 万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这种现象的推车，也是马。他们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这一行动推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在 1 月底和 2 月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财（SCHW）最近的一项调查发现，15%的现有交易者在2020年后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>激增中最突出的参与者是 Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了 550 万个资金账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布，第一季度吸引了 160 万 35 岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了 223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在 Robinhood 零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在 2019 年将佣金降至零。这为新客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲置现金进行交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在套现。富达希望在投资者获得驾照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅 13 岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood 正在乘势而上进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的 10 倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与他们的老同行不同。E*Trade 交易主管克里斯-拉金（Chris Larkin）说，多年来，“ETF 一直备受青睐”，E*Trade 现归摩根士丹利（MS）所有。但挑选个股显然是 “2021 年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，随着世界各地的投资者押注疫情复苏并避免疲软的债券收益率，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但 ETF 不像股票那样点亮留言板。这并不是说顶级公司的单行道。游戏驿站二月份确实下跌，华尔街享受了幸灾乐祸的时刻。它并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>“盈透证券（Interactive Brokers）首席策略师史蒂夫-索斯尼克（Steve Sosnick）写道：”就像蝉一样，备忘录交易者在表面上隐匿了几个月后又重新活跃起来。索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种货币转向另一种货币。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”我不认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅回调后，备忘录股票卷土重来完全是巧合。</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为备忘录股票是一个 “独立的板块”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对备忘录股票革命的反应一直是孤立专业人士认为不理性的市场部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也在放弃报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样把零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来 17 年内消失。股票交易已经发生了永久性的变化。今年，零售活动占股本量的 24%，高于 2019 年的 15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚法学院（Columbia Law School）专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚-米茨（Joshua Mitts）说：”这实际上反映了我们所看到的趋势的逆转，即与个别公司的接触越来越少。“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她所投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>— Matt Kohrs，26 岁，每天在 YouTube 上直播股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早早加入的人的生活，并且仍然在更高的名字上。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了纽约程序员的工作，搬到了费城，并开始在YouTube上每天7个小时直播股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube 拥有 35 万粉丝，它正在支付账单。科尔斯说，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以拿到与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给迷因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以阻止他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 甚至在上周取消了一项拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢 Reddit 人群的反响。过去一年，AMC 的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官亚当-阿伦（Adam Aron）在推特上表示，他看到了 “许多人赞成，许多人反对 ”对他增发 2500 万股股票的提议的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的 AMC 年会上进行表决。该公司没有回答有关如何调查股东的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室里决定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者正在花费更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕零售行动进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在 “阿尔法”，但要实现这一目标可能需要一些紧张的数字运算。当然，并不是所有的留言板聊天都会导致价格持续上涨，如果没有大量的数据分析，零售订单流很难与机构流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在购买哪些股票和正在出售哪些股票的投资者来说，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的 20% 的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的 20% 的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他说：”他们认为这几乎就像一份保险，以限制他们的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于零售商来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动是由社区精神支撑的。其背后的力量既是情感上的，也是道德上的，也是经济上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是希望证明自己，并像利润一样惩罚保守派。他们互相学习市场，有时会放大或揭穿关于华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票运动与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“26 岁的科尔斯说：”华尔街让我们的经济陷入困境，但没有人因此惹上麻烦。“所以，我认为他们认为我们不仅可以赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格 (Claire Hirschberg) 是一名 28 岁的工会组织者，她在 1 月份从朋友那里听说 Robinhood 上购买了价值约 50 美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他是一名长期的资金经理。“她笑着说：”他很生气我买了游戏驿站，还不肯卖。“这让我想永远拿着它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像老华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，在你成为合伙人之前，你不会打菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你从不离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而且不是按顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万散户交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认财务损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对本集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不规范语言。你是 “猿类 ”或 “弱智 ”大军的一员。你坚持住，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>集体行动不仅仅是为了精神支持。交易策略取决于人们保持买入压力，迫使做空，或买入看涨期权，从而引发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔 (Keith Gill) 在二月份众议院金融服务委员会听证会上虚拟露面，成为 Reddit 散户交易员大军推高游戏驿站股价的代言人。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来给备忘录运动注入氧气。6 月中旬，AMC 的空头权益占该股流通量的 17%，低于 1 月份的 28%，但降幅不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格上涨，空头们也控制不住自己。多年来一直关注游戏驿站的韦德布什证券分析师迈克尔-帕切特（Michael Pachter）说，他们开始 “流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”。“他说：”让我感到震惊的是精神错乱的定义，就是一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头却不断出现。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思-吉尔（Keith Gill）和他的 Reddit raiders 一直在挤压他们，而且一直在起作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit 人群需要团结起来，但该社区有时会出现裂缝。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和 AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经崩溃。 Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) 在 1 月底和 6 月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于 1 月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心 wallstreetbets——激发游戏驿站狂热的最初 Reddit 留言板——发展如此之快，以至于它已经失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。有些人搬到了其他留言板，如 r/superstonk，希望能重现老社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司 Hype Equity 的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔 (Travis Rehl) 表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣。现在，他看到了一种不断增长的趋势，即股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的聊天，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”这让人怀疑什么是真正的讨论，什么是某人只想炒作的东西。wallstreetbets 的版主禁止在该平台上操纵市场，Rehl 表示，他们似乎正在努力遏制错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>“索斯尼克说：”如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让一只股票在短时间内上涨 10%、20%，甚至 50%，那么你就有巨大的动力去做这件事。</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会正在关注留言板上的有趣交易。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，目的是增加保护散户交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减缓交易速度或使交易成本更高，也可能激怒零售人群。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一能遏制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment 行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根 (Dan Egan) 认为，这种势头可能会在 9 月份耗尽。即使是 “猿猴 ”也有责任。“他说：”孩子们开始重返校园；家长们也可以自由地再次上班了。“那是下一次从房间里抽出氧气的时候了。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金引发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪和游戏驿站乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，那么只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注，这几乎肯定是一件好事。许多新零售商表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，这是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授亨德里克-贝森宾德（Hendrik Bessembinder）在2018年发表了一项开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票，亏损的可能性大于赚钱的可能性”。简而言之，挑选单只股票并持有集中投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是对新一波交易感到鼓舞。“贝森宾德说：”我欢迎零售交易的增加，欢迎股票市场成为一个广泛参与的地方。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，它们何时会再次坠毁的时间已经在流逝。会是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经过去半年了，核心 “备忘录股票 ”的交易价格仍然处于研究这些股票多年的人认为离谱的水平。Clover Health Investments (CLOV) 和 Newegg Commerce (NEGG) 等新名称最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易员--长期以来被嘲笑为 “哑巴钱 ”--的集体努力成功地让股市飙升，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型的迹象，也没有表现出足以证明其估值的利润，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告称其关键的网络安全部门将达到收入指导的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大型经纪商的交易量较 2 月份的峰值略有下降，但仍高于疫情爆发前的两到三倍。数量惊人的这种活动发生在散户交易者青睐的股票中。例如，AMC院线控股公司（AMC）6 月份的日均交易额达到 131 亿美元，超过了苹果（AAPL）的 95 亿美元和亚马逊（AMZN）的 103 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍然致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多的交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉捏酸面团面包；交易者只会变得越来越饥饿。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种食欲，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。目前，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“美国海军电子技术员布兰登-卢切克（Brandon Luczek）在给《巴伦周刊》的一封电子邮件中写道：”我看到'逢低买入'的情绪一刻也没有减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票飙升是由散户投资者交易的增加推动的。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，超过1000万人开设了新账户。这一记录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，在今年不到一半的时间里，经纪商已经增加了超过 1000 万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这种现象的推车，也是马。他们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这一行动推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在 1 月底和 2 月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财（SCHW）最近的一项调查发现，15%的现有交易者在2020年后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>激增中最突出的参与者是 Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了 550 万个资金账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布，第一季度吸引了 160 万 35 岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了 223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在 Robinhood 零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在 2019 年将佣金降至零。这为新客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲置现金进行交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在套现。富达希望在投资者获得驾照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅 13 岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood 正在乘势而上进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的 10 倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与他们的老同行不同。E*Trade 交易主管克里斯-拉金（Chris Larkin）说，多年来，“ETF 一直备受青睐”，E*Trade 现归摩根士丹利（MS）所有。但挑选个股显然是 “2021 年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，随着世界各地的投资者押注疫情复苏并避免疲软的债券收益率，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但 ETF 不像股票那样点亮留言板。这并不是说顶级公司的单行道。游戏驿站二月份确实下跌，华尔街享受了幸灾乐祸的时刻。它并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>“盈透证券（Interactive Brokers）首席策略师史蒂夫-索斯尼克（Steve Sosnick）写道：”就像蝉一样，备忘录交易者在表面上隐匿了几个月后又重新活跃起来。索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种货币转向另一种货币。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”我不认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅回调后，备忘录股票卷土重来完全是巧合。</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为备忘录股票是一个 “独立的板块”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对备忘录股票革命的反应一直是孤立专业人士认为不理性的市场部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也在放弃报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样把零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来 17 年内消失。股票交易已经发生了永久性的变化。今年，零售活动占股本量的 24%，高于 2019 年的 15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚法学院（Columbia Law School）专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚-米茨（Joshua Mitts）说：”这实际上反映了我们所看到的趋势的逆转，即与个别公司的接触越来越少。“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她所投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>— Matt Kohrs，26 岁，每天在 YouTube 上直播股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早早加入的人的生活，并且仍然在更高的名字上。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了纽约程序员的工作，搬到了费城，并开始在YouTube上每天7个小时直播股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube 拥有 35 万粉丝，它正在支付账单。科尔斯说，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以拿到与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给迷因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以阻止他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 甚至在上周取消了一项拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢 Reddit 人群的反响。过去一年，AMC 的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官亚当-阿伦（Adam Aron）在推特上表示，他看到了 “许多人赞成，许多人反对 ”对他增发 2500 万股股票的提议的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的 AMC 年会上进行表决。该公司没有回答有关如何调查股东的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室里决定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者正在花费更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕零售行动进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在 “阿尔法”，但要实现这一目标可能需要一些紧张的数字运算。当然，并不是所有的留言板聊天都会导致价格持续上涨，如果没有大量的数据分析，零售订单流很难与机构流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在购买哪些股票和正在出售哪些股票的投资者来说，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的 20% 的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的 20% 的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他说：”他们认为这几乎就像一份保险，以限制他们的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于零售商来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动是由社区精神支撑的。其背后的力量既是情感上的，也是道德上的，也是经济上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是希望证明自己，并像利润一样惩罚保守派。他们互相学习市场，有时会放大或揭穿关于华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票运动与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“26 岁的科尔斯说：”华尔街让我们的经济陷入困境，但没有人因此惹上麻烦。“所以，我认为他们认为我们不仅可以赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格 (Claire Hirschberg) 是一名 28 岁的工会组织者，她在 1 月份从朋友那里听说 Robinhood 上购买了价值约 50 美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他是一名长期的资金经理。“她笑着说：”他很生气我买了游戏驿站，还不肯卖。“这让我想永远拿着它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像老华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，在你成为合伙人之前，你不会打菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你从不离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而且不是按顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万散户交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认财务损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对本集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不规范语言。你是 “猿类 ”或 “弱智 ”大军的一员。你坚持住，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>集体行动不仅仅是为了精神支持。交易策略取决于人们保持买入压力，迫使做空，或买入看涨期权，从而引发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔 (Keith Gill) 在二月份众议院金融服务委员会听证会上虚拟露面，成为 Reddit 散户交易员大军推高游戏驿站股价的代言人。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来给备忘录运动注入氧气。6 月中旬，AMC 的空头权益占该股流通量的 17%，低于 1 月份的 28%，但降幅不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格上涨，空头们也控制不住自己。多年来一直关注游戏驿站的韦德布什证券分析师迈克尔-帕切特（Michael Pachter）说，他们开始 “流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”。“他说：”让我感到震惊的是精神错乱的定义，就是一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头却不断出现。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思-吉尔（Keith Gill）和他的 Reddit raiders 一直在挤压他们，而且一直在起作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit 人群需要团结起来，但该社区有时会出现裂缝。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和 AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经崩溃。 Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) 在 1 月底和 6 月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于 1 月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心 wallstreetbets——激发游戏驿站狂热的最初 Reddit 留言板——发展如此之快，以至于它已经失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。有些人搬到了其他留言板，如 r/superstonk，希望能重现老社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司 Hype Equity 的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔 (Travis Rehl) 表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣。现在，他看到了一种不断增长的趋势，即股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的聊天，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”这让人怀疑什么是真正的讨论，什么是某人只想炒作的东西。wallstreetbets 的版主禁止在该平台上操纵市场，Rehl 表示，他们似乎正在努力遏制错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>“索斯尼克说：”如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让一只股票在短时间内上涨 10%、20%，甚至 50%，那么你就有巨大的动力去做这件事。</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会正在关注留言板上的有趣交易。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，目的是增加保护散户交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减缓交易速度或使交易成本更高，也可能激怒零售人群。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一能遏制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment 行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根 (Dan Egan) 认为，这种势头可能会在 9 月份耗尽。即使是 “猿猴 ”也有责任。“他说：”孩子们开始重返校园；家长们也可以自由地再次上班了。“那是下一次从房间里抽出氧气的时候了。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金引发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪和游戏驿站乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，那么只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注，这几乎肯定是一件好事。许多新零售商表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，这是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授亨德里克-贝森宾德（Hendrik Bessembinder）在2018年发表了一项开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票，亏损的可能性大于赚钱的可能性”。简而言之，挑选单只股票并持有集中投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是对新一波交易感到鼓舞。“贝森宾德说：”我欢迎零售交易的增加，欢迎股票市场成为一个广泛参与的地方。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","BB":"黑莓","AMC":"AMC院线","SCHW":"嘉信理财","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SCHW":0.9,"CLOV":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,"BB":0.9,"NEGG":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"GME":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"CARV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148030059,"gmtCreate":1625897788471,"gmtModify":1631890225661,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148030059","repostId":"1195812364","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195812364","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625875523,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1195812364?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 08:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：房地产、大流行后的戏剧等 IPO 周第 9 周</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195812364","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Italian drug container supplier Stevanato Group plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.Shopping center REIT Phillips Edison & Company plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on l","content":"<p>After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在度过了缓慢的假期周之后，未来一周将有 9 笔 IPO 筹集超过 30 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Italian drug container supplier&nbsp;<b>Stevanato Group</b>(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.</p><p><blockquote>意大利药品容器供应商<b>斯特瓦纳托集团</b>(STVN) 计划以 68 亿美元的市值筹集 9 亿美元。这家盈利的公司由其创始家族控制，为 700 多家客户提供玻璃小瓶、注射器和其他医疗级容器，其中包括 41 家排名前 50 的制药公司。</blockquote></p><p> Shopping center REIT&nbsp;<b>Phillips Edison &amp; Company</b>(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.</p><p><blockquote>购物中心产业信讬基金<b>菲利普斯爱迪生公司</b>(PECO) 计划以 37 亿美元的市值筹集 5.02 亿美元。该房地产投资信托基金拥有美国 300 家购物中心的股权，专注于 Kroger 和 Public 等杂货商经营的地点。它的目标是中点年化收益率为 3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Known for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,<b>Membership Collective Group</b>(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>以会员专属豪华酒店品牌Soho House而闻名，<b>会员资格集体组</b>(MCG) 计划以 32 亿美元的市值筹集 450 美元。该公司拥有庞大而忠诚的会员基础，尽管它没有盈利记录，并且在2021年第一季度的收入下降了近一半。</blockquote></p><p> Mark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise&nbsp;<b>F45 Training</b>(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.</p><p><blockquote>马克·沃尔伯格支持的健身特许经营权<b>F45训练</b>(FXLV) 计划以 15 亿美元的市值筹集 3.25 亿美元。F45专注于45分钟的锻炼，在全球拥有1500多个工作室。该公司在过去 12 个月中实现了 37% 的 EBITDA，尽管该公司预期的大流行后增长尚未在数据中体现出来。</blockquote></p><p> Mortgage software provider&nbsp;<b>Blend Labs</b>(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&amp;D and S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>抵押软件提供商<b>混合实验室</b>(BLND) 计划以 45 亿美元的市值筹集 3.4 亿美元。Blend Labs为金融服务公司提供了一个数字平台，改善了消费者申请抵押贷款和贷款时的体验。尽管2020年收入翻了一番，但由于R&amp;D和S&amp;M支出，核心软件业务高度无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bridge Investment Group</b>(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.</p><p><blockquote><b>桥梁投资集团</b>(BRDG) 计划以 18 亿美元的市值筹集 3 亿美元。这位投资经理专门从事多个行业的房地产股权和债务。截至2021年3月31日，Bridge Investment Group拥有约260亿美元的资产管理规模，拥有25种投资工具的6,500多名个人投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Ocular medical device provider&nbsp;<b>Sight Sciences</b>(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>眼科医疗器械供应商<b>视觉科学</b>(SGHT) 计划以 10 亿美元的市值筹集 1.5 亿美元。该公司开发和销售医疗和外科设备，为眼部疾病提供新的治疗选择。在疫情推迟了2020年的选择性程序后，这家高度无利可图的公司在2021年第一季度显示出重新加速增长的迹象（+32%）。</blockquote></p><p> Pregnancy diagnostics company&nbsp;<b>Sera Prognostics</b>(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.</p><p><blockquote>妊娠诊断公司<b>血清预后</b>（SERA）计划以5.64亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。该公司利用其蛋白质组学和生物信息学平台开发生物标志物测试，旨在改善妊娠结局。Sera Prognostics 的唯一商业产品 PreTRM 测试可以预测早产的风险，但尚未产生有意义的收入。</blockquote></p><p> A hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech&nbsp;<b>Unicycive Therapeutics</b>(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.</p><p><blockquote>上周的延迟，早期肾病生物技术<b>Unicycive 疗法</b>(UNCY) 计划以 7900 万美元的市值筹集 2500 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad3dc9b07583a28aad047e44802c899e\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"732\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至21年7月8日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今下跌0.8%，而标普500上涨15.0%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Snowflake (SNOW) 和 Palantir Technologies (PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 5.2%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 7.3%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Smoore International 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：房地产、大流行后的戏剧等 IPO 周第 9 周</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：房地产、大流行后的戏剧等 IPO 周第 9 周</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 08:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在度过了缓慢的假期周之后，未来一周将有 9 笔 IPO 筹集超过 30 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Italian drug container supplier&nbsp;<b>Stevanato Group</b>(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.</p><p><blockquote>意大利药品容器供应商<b>斯特瓦纳托集团</b>(STVN) 计划以 68 亿美元的市值筹集 9 亿美元。这家盈利的公司由其创始家族控制，为 700 多家客户提供玻璃小瓶、注射器和其他医疗级容器，其中包括 41 家排名前 50 的制药公司。</blockquote></p><p> Shopping center REIT&nbsp;<b>Phillips Edison &amp; Company</b>(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.</p><p><blockquote>购物中心产业信讬基金<b>菲利普斯爱迪生公司</b>(PECO) 计划以 37 亿美元的市值筹集 5.02 亿美元。该房地产投资信托基金拥有美国 300 家购物中心的股权，专注于 Kroger 和 Public 等杂货商经营的地点。它的目标是中点年化收益率为 3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Known for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,<b>Membership Collective Group</b>(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>以会员专属豪华酒店品牌Soho House而闻名，<b>会员资格集体组</b>(MCG) 计划以 32 亿美元的市值筹集 450 美元。该公司拥有庞大而忠诚的会员基础，尽管它没有盈利记录，并且在2021年第一季度的收入下降了近一半。</blockquote></p><p> Mark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise&nbsp;<b>F45 Training</b>(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.</p><p><blockquote>马克·沃尔伯格支持的健身特许经营权<b>F45训练</b>(FXLV) 计划以 15 亿美元的市值筹集 3.25 亿美元。F45专注于45分钟的锻炼，在全球拥有1500多个工作室。该公司在过去 12 个月中实现了 37% 的 EBITDA，尽管该公司预期的大流行后增长尚未在数据中体现出来。</blockquote></p><p> Mortgage software provider&nbsp;<b>Blend Labs</b>(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&amp;D and S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>抵押软件提供商<b>混合实验室</b>(BLND) 计划以 45 亿美元的市值筹集 3.4 亿美元。Blend Labs为金融服务公司提供了一个数字平台，改善了消费者申请抵押贷款和贷款时的体验。尽管2020年收入翻了一番，但由于R&amp;D和S&amp;M支出，核心软件业务高度无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bridge Investment Group</b>(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.</p><p><blockquote><b>桥梁投资集团</b>(BRDG) 计划以 18 亿美元的市值筹集 3 亿美元。这位投资经理专门从事多个行业的房地产股权和债务。截至2021年3月31日，Bridge Investment Group拥有约260亿美元的资产管理规模，拥有25种投资工具的6,500多名个人投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Ocular medical device provider&nbsp;<b>Sight Sciences</b>(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>眼科医疗器械供应商<b>视觉科学</b>(SGHT) 计划以 10 亿美元的市值筹集 1.5 亿美元。该公司开发和销售医疗和外科设备，为眼部疾病提供新的治疗选择。在疫情推迟了2020年的选择性程序后，这家高度无利可图的公司在2021年第一季度显示出重新加速增长的迹象（+32%）。</blockquote></p><p> Pregnancy diagnostics company&nbsp;<b>Sera Prognostics</b>(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.</p><p><blockquote>妊娠诊断公司<b>血清预后</b>（SERA）计划以5.64亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。该公司利用其蛋白质组学和生物信息学平台开发生物标志物测试，旨在改善妊娠结局。Sera Prognostics 的唯一商业产品 PreTRM 测试可以预测早产的风险，但尚未产生有意义的收入。</blockquote></p><p> A hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech&nbsp;<b>Unicycive Therapeutics</b>(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.</p><p><blockquote>上周的延迟，早期肾病生物技术<b>Unicycive 疗法</b>(UNCY) 计划以 7900 万美元的市值筹集 2500 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad3dc9b07583a28aad047e44802c899e\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"732\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至21年7月8日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今下跌0.8%，而标普500上涨15.0%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Snowflake (SNOW) 和 Palantir Technologies (PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 5.2%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 7.3%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Smoore International 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83879/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Real-estate-post-pandemic-plays-and-more-in-an-9-IPO-week\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","FXLV":"F45 Training Holdings Inc.","PECO":"Phillips Edison & Company, Inc.","SGHT":"Sight Sciences, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SERA":"Sera Prognostics, Inc.","BRDG":"Bridge Investment Group Holdings Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","STVN":"Stevanato Group S.p.A.","BLND":"Blend Labs, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83879/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Real-estate-post-pandemic-plays-and-more-in-an-9-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195812364","content_text":"After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.\nItalian drug container supplier Stevanato Group(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.\nShopping center REIT Phillips Edison & Company(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.\nKnown for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,Membership Collective Group(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.\nMark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise F45 Training(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.\nMortgage software provider Blend Labs(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&D and S&M spend.\nBridge Investment Group(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.\nOcular medical device provider Sight Sciences(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.\nPregnancy diagnostics company Sera Prognostics(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.\nA hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech Unicycive Therapeutics(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRDG":0.9,"SERA":0.9,"STVN":0.9,"BLND":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"FXLV":0.9,"SGHT":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"MCG":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"PECO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143209825,"gmtCreate":1625794358167,"gmtModify":1631890225666,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143209825","repostId":"1166950637","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":747,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143388072,"gmtCreate":1625760839196,"gmtModify":1631892531622,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143388072","repostId":"1195354281","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":880,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149167136,"gmtCreate":1625709982125,"gmtModify":1631892531626,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149167136","repostId":"1176865752","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154405386,"gmtCreate":1625537054045,"gmtModify":1631892531638,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154405386","repostId":"1116255026","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":898,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155738438,"gmtCreate":1625452569324,"gmtModify":1631892531658,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155738438","repostId":"1169840279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":905,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155360638,"gmtCreate":1625376564824,"gmtModify":1631892531667,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Maybe","listText":"Maybe","text":"Maybe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155360638","repostId":"2148807114","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152683325,"gmtCreate":1625287682767,"gmtModify":1631892531677,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152683325","repostId":"1165340887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":742,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156667044,"gmtCreate":1625219249688,"gmtModify":1631892531690,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Things don't always go short it goes long as well&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"Things don't always go short it goes long as well&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","text":"Things don't always go short it goes long as well [得意] [得意] [得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156667044","repostId":"1121860286","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1121860286","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625212613,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1121860286?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: 'Record' Weekend Is Terrible News For The Stock<blockquote>AMC：“创纪录”的周末对该股来说是个坏消息</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121860286","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAttendance of 2 million is terrible for AMC.\nThe company needs to more than double attendan","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Attendance of 2 million is terrible for AMC.</li>  <li>The company needs to more&nbsp;than double attendance to return to 2019 - when it still lost money.</li>  <li>Someday shares will fall 90% from this point.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798af80ddf8412e6beabc5bf60891141\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"576\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>RichLegg/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>200万的观众对AMC来说是可怕的。</li><li>该公司需要增加一倍以上的上座率才能重返 2019 年——当时它仍在亏损。</li><li>有一天股价会从这一点下跌90%。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>RichLegg/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I'm pretty bad at predicting what makes AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC)go up or down in the short term. After all, I said to short it at $26/share (Short Squeeze Presents Many Ways to Make Money) and then explained why there was no fundamental news behind the run up at $58/share (Recent Events are Just Re-Runs). But I'm pretty good at reading press releases, news articles and financial statements, and it's clear from recent news just how big a hole AMC has to climb out of on an operating basis.</p><p><blockquote>我非常不擅长预测AMC院线（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）在短期内上涨或下跌的原因。毕竟，我说在26美元/股做空（挤空呈现了很多赚钱的方式），然后解释了为什么在58美元/股的上涨背后没有基本面消息（最近的事件只是重演）。但我非常擅长阅读新闻稿、新闻文章和财务报表，从最近的新闻中可以清楚地看出，AMC 在运营方面必须摆脱多大的困境。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Attendance at theaters is terrible and AMC will continue to lose money</b></p><p><blockquote><b>影院上座率很糟糕，AMC 将继续亏损</b></blockquote></p><p> On Monday, AMC put out a&nbsp;press release&nbsp;touting its \"post-reopening record\" of 2 million attendees and highlighting the biggest box office draw \"Fast and the Furious 9\" which grossed $70 million:</p><p><blockquote>周一，AMC 发布了一份新闻稿，吹捧其 200 万名观众的“重新开放后记录”，并重点介绍了票房最高的《速度与激情 9》，票房收入达 7000 万美元：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6c54d7e40d29666bf8b78f554f233e9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"83\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b9f8c597b1ba417c6b478358caa9cc7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"62\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Businesswire</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：美国商业资讯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For reasons that should be clear to all,these numbers are terrible. As you can see from the company's earnings release showing results for 2018 and 2019:</p><p><blockquote>出于所有人都清楚的原因，这些数字是可怕的。正如您从公司显示 2018 年和 2019 年业绩的财报中看到的那样：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b604e216de76939782f86a868e40889d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"412\"><span>Source: AMC Entertainment</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：AMC院线</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pace for attendance in 2019 was 250 million in the US, or 4.8 million customers per week and in 2018 it was 4.9 million customers. So it's very nice to learn that 2 million customers is the largest number of people to see a movie at AMC since COVID-19 led to lockdowns, but the real numbers mean show attendance is down almost 60% from 2018 and 2019.</p><p><blockquote>2019年，美国的上座率为2.5亿，即每周480万客户，2018年为490万客户。因此，很高兴得知200万顾客是自新冠肺炎导致封锁以来在AMC看电影的最多人数，但实际数字意味着演出上座率比2018年和2019年下降了近60%。</blockquote></p><p> As you can see above, 2018 and 2019 were not great years for the company, either. AMC lost $149 million in the second of two years and made $110 million in the first one. At the end of 2019, the stock price of a money-losing AMC was just over $7/share. Bullish shareholders (\"Apes\" as they style themselves) are excited about the move of more than 700% to this week's price of over $55/share:</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，2018 年和 2019 年对公司来说也不是好年份。AMC 在两年中的第二年亏损 1.49 亿美元，在第一年盈利 1.1 亿美元。2019年底，一家亏损的AMC股价刚刚超过7美元/股。看涨股东（他们自称为“猿”）对本周超过 55 美元/股的价格上涨超过 700% 感到兴奋：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ce4607284db107f9758f4735a99ccd3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\"><span>Source: Koyfin</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Koyfin</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But what many of them don't seem to be paying attention to is the market capitalization. As you can see in the chart above, increasing the share count from 100 million to almost 480 million shares outstanding in the last year has pushed the market cap far higher leading to an increase of almost 3,900%.</p><p><blockquote>但他们中的许多人似乎没有关注的是市值。如上图所示，去年流通股数量从 1 亿股增加到近 4.8 亿股，推动市值大幅上升，导致市值增长近 3,900%。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of securities analysis is not \"optional\" and shareholders are now paying almost 40 times as much to own this company as they did at the end of the last full year before COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>这种证券分析不是“可选的”，股东现在为拥有这家公司支付的费用几乎是 COVID-19 之前最后一整年年底的 40 倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Not all MemeStocks are created Equal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并非所有的MemeStocks都是平等的</b></blockquote></p><p> The first \"memestock\" to capture everyone's attention this year was GameStop (GME). After a number of years of declining sales, a new class of investors such as&nbsp;Chewy founder Ryan&nbsp;took interest in the company and eventually took over the board of directors. At the same time this change in leadership was underway, a number of hedge funds who had been short the stock&nbsp;began losing money&nbsp;at an alarming clip.</p><p><blockquote>今年第一个吸引所有人注意力的“memestock”是游戏驿站（GME）。在经历了几年销售额下滑后，Chewy 创始人 Ryan 等新投资者对该公司产生了兴趣，并最终接管了董事会。在领导层变动正在进行的同时，一些做空该股的对冲基金开始以惊人的速度亏损。</blockquote></p><p> In the popular imagination, the rise in GameStop shares was a&nbsp;win for retail investors&nbsp;sharing information on Reddit such as the now-famous \"Roaring Kitty,\" but the evidence is the biggest winners were in fact other hedge funds (see \"This Hedge Fund Made $700 million on GameStop\"). Since Cohen took over the company, he is shifting its business model to online sales and hiring executives from leading companies such as&nbsp;Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN).</p><p><blockquote>在大众的想象中，游戏驿站股价的上涨对于在Reddit上分享信息（如现在著名的“咆哮的小猫”）的散户投资者来说是一个胜利，但证据是最大的赢家实际上是其他对冲基金（见“这家对冲基金在游戏驿站赚了7亿美元”）。自科恩接管公司以来，他正在将其商业模式转向在线销售，并从亚马逊（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN）等领先公司招聘高管。</blockquote></p><p> None of the kinds of positive things that are happening at GameStop are even close to being talked about at AMC. AMC has had thesame CEO since 2015. There is no change in business model, and now that he has cash from equity sales, thebest ideahe's come up with is just buying more movie theaters! Meanwhile, many of the most successful companies on the planet such as Disney(NYSE:DIS), Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)and Amazon are all developing streaming services to entertain customers at home - which keeps them from going to the movies.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站正在发生的那些积极的事情在 AMC 甚至都没有被谈论。自 2015 年以来，AMC 一直由同一位首席执行官担任。商业模式没有改变，现在他从股权出售中获得了现金，他想出的最好主意就是购买更多的电影院!与此同时，地球上许多最成功的公司，如迪士尼（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）、Netflix（纳斯达克股票代码：NFLX）和亚马逊，都在开发流媒体服务来娱乐客户，这让他们无法去看电影。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Likewise, the entire growth of the online gaming industry with services such as Twitch from Amazon and Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)with Xbox is another substantial competitor getting in the way of customers going to the movies. All this is to say that the future is not getting brighter for AMC.</p><p><blockquote>同样，亚马逊和微软（纳斯达克股票代码：MSFT）的 Twitch 等服务以及 Xbox 等在线游戏行业的整体增长是另一个阻碍客户看电影的主要竞争对手。所有这些都表明，AMC 的未来并没有变得更加光明。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Maybe AMC's share price will double next week. Maybe it will get cut in half. I don't know and neither does anyone else. But one month, one quarter or one year from now, shareholders will own a money-losing company in a fading industry at an extremely high valuation.</p><p><blockquote>也许下周AMC的股价会翻倍。也许它会被切成两半。我不知道，其他人也不知道。但一个月、一个季度或一年后，股东们将以极高的估值拥有一家正在衰落的行业中亏损的公司。</blockquote></p><p> I'm short shares in this stock because one day in the not-too-distant future, those shareholders will start selling, and then once the stock goes down regularly I expect them to start selling shares rapidly. Ultimately, I expect the shares to go back to the level they were at the end of 2019 - only when that happens, they won't be $7/share anymore. They'll be closer to $2.00.</p><p><blockquote>我做空这只股票，因为在不久的将来有一天，这些股东将开始抛售，然后一旦股票定期下跌，我预计他们将开始迅速抛售股票。最终，我预计股价将回到 2019 年底的水平——只有当这种情况发生时，股价才不会再是 7 美元/股。它们将接近2美元。</blockquote></p><p> Good luck to all!</p><p><blockquote>祝大家好运!</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: 'Record' Weekend Is Terrible News For The Stock<blockquote>AMC：“创纪录”的周末对该股来说是个坏消息</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: 'Record' Weekend Is Terrible News For The Stock<blockquote>AMC：“创纪录”的周末对该股来说是个坏消息</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 15:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Attendance of 2 million is terrible for AMC.</li>  <li>The company needs to more&nbsp;than double attendance to return to 2019 - when it still lost money.</li>  <li>Someday shares will fall 90% from this point.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798af80ddf8412e6beabc5bf60891141\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"576\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>RichLegg/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>200万的观众对AMC来说是可怕的。</li><li>该公司需要增加一倍以上的上座率才能重返 2019 年——当时它仍在亏损。</li><li>有一天股价会从这一点下跌90%。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>RichLegg/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I'm pretty bad at predicting what makes AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC)go up or down in the short term. After all, I said to short it at $26/share (Short Squeeze Presents Many Ways to Make Money) and then explained why there was no fundamental news behind the run up at $58/share (Recent Events are Just Re-Runs). But I'm pretty good at reading press releases, news articles and financial statements, and it's clear from recent news just how big a hole AMC has to climb out of on an operating basis.</p><p><blockquote>我非常不擅长预测AMC院线（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）在短期内上涨或下跌的原因。毕竟，我说在26美元/股做空（挤空呈现了很多赚钱的方式），然后解释了为什么在58美元/股的上涨背后没有基本面消息（最近的事件只是重演）。但我非常擅长阅读新闻稿、新闻文章和财务报表，从最近的新闻中可以清楚地看出，AMC 在运营方面必须摆脱多大的困境。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Attendance at theaters is terrible and AMC will continue to lose money</b></p><p><blockquote><b>影院上座率很糟糕，AMC 将继续亏损</b></blockquote></p><p> On Monday, AMC put out a&nbsp;press release&nbsp;touting its \"post-reopening record\" of 2 million attendees and highlighting the biggest box office draw \"Fast and the Furious 9\" which grossed $70 million:</p><p><blockquote>周一，AMC 发布了一份新闻稿，吹捧其 200 万名观众的“重新开放后记录”，并重点介绍了票房最高的《速度与激情 9》，票房收入达 7000 万美元：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6c54d7e40d29666bf8b78f554f233e9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"83\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b9f8c597b1ba417c6b478358caa9cc7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"62\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Businesswire</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：美国商业资讯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For reasons that should be clear to all,these numbers are terrible. As you can see from the company's earnings release showing results for 2018 and 2019:</p><p><blockquote>出于所有人都清楚的原因，这些数字是可怕的。正如您从公司显示 2018 年和 2019 年业绩的财报中看到的那样：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b604e216de76939782f86a868e40889d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"412\"><span>Source: AMC Entertainment</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：AMC院线</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pace for attendance in 2019 was 250 million in the US, or 4.8 million customers per week and in 2018 it was 4.9 million customers. So it's very nice to learn that 2 million customers is the largest number of people to see a movie at AMC since COVID-19 led to lockdowns, but the real numbers mean show attendance is down almost 60% from 2018 and 2019.</p><p><blockquote>2019年，美国的上座率为2.5亿，即每周480万客户，2018年为490万客户。因此，很高兴得知200万顾客是自新冠肺炎导致封锁以来在AMC看电影的最多人数，但实际数字意味着演出上座率比2018年和2019年下降了近60%。</blockquote></p><p> As you can see above, 2018 and 2019 were not great years for the company, either. AMC lost $149 million in the second of two years and made $110 million in the first one. At the end of 2019, the stock price of a money-losing AMC was just over $7/share. Bullish shareholders (\"Apes\" as they style themselves) are excited about the move of more than 700% to this week's price of over $55/share:</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，2018 年和 2019 年对公司来说也不是好年份。AMC 在两年中的第二年亏损 1.49 亿美元，在第一年盈利 1.1 亿美元。2019年底，一家亏损的AMC股价刚刚超过7美元/股。看涨股东（他们自称为“猿”）对本周超过 55 美元/股的价格上涨超过 700% 感到兴奋：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ce4607284db107f9758f4735a99ccd3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\"><span>Source: Koyfin</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Koyfin</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But what many of them don't seem to be paying attention to is the market capitalization. As you can see in the chart above, increasing the share count from 100 million to almost 480 million shares outstanding in the last year has pushed the market cap far higher leading to an increase of almost 3,900%.</p><p><blockquote>但他们中的许多人似乎没有关注的是市值。如上图所示，去年流通股数量从 1 亿股增加到近 4.8 亿股，推动市值大幅上升，导致市值增长近 3,900%。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of securities analysis is not \"optional\" and shareholders are now paying almost 40 times as much to own this company as they did at the end of the last full year before COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>这种证券分析不是“可选的”，股东现在为拥有这家公司支付的费用几乎是 COVID-19 之前最后一整年年底的 40 倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Not all MemeStocks are created Equal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并非所有的MemeStocks都是平等的</b></blockquote></p><p> The first \"memestock\" to capture everyone's attention this year was GameStop (GME). After a number of years of declining sales, a new class of investors such as&nbsp;Chewy founder Ryan&nbsp;took interest in the company and eventually took over the board of directors. At the same time this change in leadership was underway, a number of hedge funds who had been short the stock&nbsp;began losing money&nbsp;at an alarming clip.</p><p><blockquote>今年第一个吸引所有人注意力的“memestock”是游戏驿站（GME）。在经历了几年销售额下滑后，Chewy 创始人 Ryan 等新投资者对该公司产生了兴趣，并最终接管了董事会。在领导层变动正在进行的同时，一些做空该股的对冲基金开始以惊人的速度亏损。</blockquote></p><p> In the popular imagination, the rise in GameStop shares was a&nbsp;win for retail investors&nbsp;sharing information on Reddit such as the now-famous \"Roaring Kitty,\" but the evidence is the biggest winners were in fact other hedge funds (see \"This Hedge Fund Made $700 million on GameStop\"). Since Cohen took over the company, he is shifting its business model to online sales and hiring executives from leading companies such as&nbsp;Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN).</p><p><blockquote>在大众的想象中，游戏驿站股价的上涨对于在Reddit上分享信息（如现在著名的“咆哮的小猫”）的散户投资者来说是一个胜利，但证据是最大的赢家实际上是其他对冲基金（见“这家对冲基金在游戏驿站赚了7亿美元”）。自科恩接管公司以来，他正在将其商业模式转向在线销售，并从亚马逊（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN）等领先公司招聘高管。</blockquote></p><p> None of the kinds of positive things that are happening at GameStop are even close to being talked about at AMC. AMC has had thesame CEO since 2015. There is no change in business model, and now that he has cash from equity sales, thebest ideahe's come up with is just buying more movie theaters! Meanwhile, many of the most successful companies on the planet such as Disney(NYSE:DIS), Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)and Amazon are all developing streaming services to entertain customers at home - which keeps them from going to the movies.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站正在发生的那些积极的事情在 AMC 甚至都没有被谈论。自 2015 年以来，AMC 一直由同一位首席执行官担任。商业模式没有改变，现在他从股权出售中获得了现金，他想出的最好主意就是购买更多的电影院!与此同时，地球上许多最成功的公司，如迪士尼（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）、Netflix（纳斯达克股票代码：NFLX）和亚马逊，都在开发流媒体服务来娱乐客户，这让他们无法去看电影。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Likewise, the entire growth of the online gaming industry with services such as Twitch from Amazon and Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)with Xbox is another substantial competitor getting in the way of customers going to the movies. All this is to say that the future is not getting brighter for AMC.</p><p><blockquote>同样，亚马逊和微软（纳斯达克股票代码：MSFT）的 Twitch 等服务以及 Xbox 等在线游戏行业的整体增长是另一个阻碍客户看电影的主要竞争对手。所有这些都表明，AMC 的未来并没有变得更加光明。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Maybe AMC's share price will double next week. Maybe it will get cut in half. I don't know and neither does anyone else. But one month, one quarter or one year from now, shareholders will own a money-losing company in a fading industry at an extremely high valuation.</p><p><blockquote>也许下周AMC的股价会翻倍。也许它会被切成两半。我不知道，其他人也不知道。但一个月、一个季度或一年后，股东们将以极高的估值拥有一家正在衰落的行业中亏损的公司。</blockquote></p><p> I'm short shares in this stock because one day in the not-too-distant future, those shareholders will start selling, and then once the stock goes down regularly I expect them to start selling shares rapidly. Ultimately, I expect the shares to go back to the level they were at the end of 2019 - only when that happens, they won't be $7/share anymore. They'll be closer to $2.00.</p><p><blockquote>我做空这只股票，因为在不久的将来有一天，这些股东将开始抛售，然后一旦股票定期下跌，我预计他们将开始迅速抛售股票。最终，我预计股价将回到 2019 年底的水平——只有当这种情况发生时，股价才不会再是 7 美元/股。它们将接近2美元。</blockquote></p><p> Good luck to all!</p><p><blockquote>祝大家好运!</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437461-amc-record-weekend-is-terrible-news-for-the-stock\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437461-amc-record-weekend-is-terrible-news-for-the-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121860286","content_text":"Summary\n\nAttendance of 2 million is terrible for AMC.\nThe company needs to more than double attendance to return to 2019 - when it still lost money.\nSomeday shares will fall 90% from this point.\n\nRichLegg/E+ via Getty Images\nI'm pretty bad at predicting what makes AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC)go up or down in the short term. After all, I said to short it at $26/share (Short Squeeze Presents Many Ways to Make Money) and then explained why there was no fundamental news behind the run up at $58/share (Recent Events are Just Re-Runs). But I'm pretty good at reading press releases, news articles and financial statements, and it's clear from recent news just how big a hole AMC has to climb out of on an operating basis.\nAttendance at theaters is terrible and AMC will continue to lose money\nOn Monday, AMC put out a press release touting its \"post-reopening record\" of 2 million attendees and highlighting the biggest box office draw \"Fast and the Furious 9\" which grossed $70 million:\n\nSource: Businesswire\nFor reasons that should be clear to all,these numbers are terrible. As you can see from the company's earnings release showing results for 2018 and 2019:\nSource: AMC Entertainment\nThe pace for attendance in 2019 was 250 million in the US, or 4.8 million customers per week and in 2018 it was 4.9 million customers. So it's very nice to learn that 2 million customers is the largest number of people to see a movie at AMC since COVID-19 led to lockdowns, but the real numbers mean show attendance is down almost 60% from 2018 and 2019.\nAs you can see above, 2018 and 2019 were not great years for the company, either. AMC lost $149 million in the second of two years and made $110 million in the first one. At the end of 2019, the stock price of a money-losing AMC was just over $7/share. Bullish shareholders (\"Apes\" as they style themselves) are excited about the move of more than 700% to this week's price of over $55/share:\nSource: Koyfin\nBut what many of them don't seem to be paying attention to is the market capitalization. As you can see in the chart above, increasing the share count from 100 million to almost 480 million shares outstanding in the last year has pushed the market cap far higher leading to an increase of almost 3,900%.\nThis kind of securities analysis is not \"optional\" and shareholders are now paying almost 40 times as much to own this company as they did at the end of the last full year before COVID-19.\nNot all MemeStocks are created Equal\nThe first \"memestock\" to capture everyone's attention this year was GameStop (GME). After a number of years of declining sales, a new class of investors such as Chewy founder Ryan took interest in the company and eventually took over the board of directors. At the same time this change in leadership was underway, a number of hedge funds who had been short the stock began losing money at an alarming clip.\nIn the popular imagination, the rise in GameStop shares was a win for retail investors sharing information on Reddit such as the now-famous \"Roaring Kitty,\" but the evidence is the biggest winners were in fact other hedge funds (see \"This Hedge Fund Made $700 million on GameStop\"). Since Cohen took over the company, he is shifting its business model to online sales and hiring executives from leading companies such as Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN).\nNone of the kinds of positive things that are happening at GameStop are even close to being talked about at AMC. AMC has had thesame CEO since 2015. There is no change in business model, and now that he has cash from equity sales, thebest ideahe's come up with is just buying more movie theaters! Meanwhile, many of the most successful companies on the planet such as Disney(NYSE:DIS), Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)and Amazon are all developing streaming services to entertain customers at home - which keeps them from going to the movies.\nLikewise, the entire growth of the online gaming industry with services such as Twitch from Amazon and Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)with Xbox is another substantial competitor getting in the way of customers going to the movies. All this is to say that the future is not getting brighter for AMC.\nConclusion\nMaybe AMC's share price will double next week. Maybe it will get cut in half. I don't know and neither does anyone else. But one month, one quarter or one year from now, shareholders will own a money-losing company in a fading industry at an extremely high valuation.\nI'm short shares in this stock because one day in the not-too-distant future, those shareholders will start selling, and then once the stock goes down regularly I expect them to start selling shares rapidly. Ultimately, I expect the shares to go back to the level they were at the end of 2019 - only when that happens, they won't be $7/share anymore. They'll be closer to $2.00.\nGood luck to all!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":156180803,"gmtCreate":1625201906402,"gmtModify":1631892531700,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Stock market is full of risk to begin with&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"Stock market is full of risk to begin with&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"Stock market is full of risk to begin with [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156180803","repostId":"1133090424","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":156305477,"gmtCreate":1625193558499,"gmtModify":1631883984773,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582883940430405","authorIdStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice one","listText":"Nice one","text":"Nice one","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156305477","repostId":"2148781558","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":155738438,"gmtCreate":1625452569324,"gmtModify":1631892531658,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883940430405","idStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155738438","repostId":"1169840279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":905,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159065724,"gmtCreate":1624931805568,"gmtModify":1631893966352,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883940430405","idStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good company","listText":"Good company","text":"Good company","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159065724","repostId":"2147539638","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148239862,"gmtCreate":1625976726656,"gmtModify":1631890225659,"author":{"id":"3582883940430405","authorId":"3582883940430405","name":"annyeonggg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a24793800dbc5c64a06fb4d43641145","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582883940430405","idStr":"3582883940430405"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hodl hodl&nbsp;","listText":"Hodl hodl&nbsp;","text":"Hodl hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148239862","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，它们何时会再次坠毁的时间已经在流逝。会是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经过去半年了，核心 “备忘录股票 ”的交易价格仍然处于研究这些股票多年的人认为离谱的水平。Clover Health Investments (CLOV) 和 Newegg Commerce (NEGG) 等新名称最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易员--长期以来被嘲笑为 “哑巴钱 ”--的集体努力成功地让股市飙升，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型的迹象，也没有表现出足以证明其估值的利润，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告称其关键的网络安全部门将达到收入指导的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大型经纪商的交易量较 2 月份的峰值略有下降，但仍高于疫情爆发前的两到三倍。数量惊人的这种活动发生在散户交易者青睐的股票中。例如，AMC院线控股公司（AMC）6 月份的日均交易额达到 131 亿美元，超过了苹果（AAPL）的 95 亿美元和亚马逊（AMZN）的 103 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍然致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多的交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉捏酸面团面包；交易者只会变得越来越饥饿。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种食欲，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。目前，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“美国海军电子技术员布兰登-卢切克（Brandon Luczek）在给《巴伦周刊》的一封电子邮件中写道：”我看到'逢低买入'的情绪一刻也没有减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票飙升是由散户投资者交易的增加推动的。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，超过1000万人开设了新账户。这一记录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，在今年不到一半的时间里，经纪商已经增加了超过 1000 万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这种现象的推车，也是马。他们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这一行动推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在 1 月底和 2 月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财（SCHW）最近的一项调查发现，15%的现有交易者在2020年后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>激增中最突出的参与者是 Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了 550 万个资金账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布，第一季度吸引了 160 万 35 岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了 223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在 Robinhood 零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在 2019 年将佣金降至零。这为新客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲置现金进行交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在套现。富达希望在投资者获得驾照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅 13 岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood 正在乘势而上进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的 10 倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与他们的老同行不同。E*Trade 交易主管克里斯-拉金（Chris Larkin）说，多年来，“ETF 一直备受青睐”，E*Trade 现归摩根士丹利（MS）所有。但挑选个股显然是 “2021 年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，随着世界各地的投资者押注疫情复苏并避免疲软的债券收益率，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但 ETF 不像股票那样点亮留言板。这并不是说顶级公司的单行道。游戏驿站二月份确实下跌，华尔街享受了幸灾乐祸的时刻。它并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>“盈透证券（Interactive Brokers）首席策略师史蒂夫-索斯尼克（Steve Sosnick）写道：”就像蝉一样，备忘录交易者在表面上隐匿了几个月后又重新活跃起来。索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种货币转向另一种货币。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”我不认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅回调后，备忘录股票卷土重来完全是巧合。</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为备忘录股票是一个 “独立的板块”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对备忘录股票革命的反应一直是孤立专业人士认为不理性的市场部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也在放弃报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样把零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来 17 年内消失。股票交易已经发生了永久性的变化。今年，零售活动占股本量的 24%，高于 2019 年的 15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚法学院（Columbia Law School）专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚-米茨（Joshua Mitts）说：”这实际上反映了我们所看到的趋势的逆转，即与个别公司的接触越来越少。“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她所投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>— Matt Kohrs，26 岁，每天在 YouTube 上直播股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早早加入的人的生活，并且仍然在更高的名字上。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了纽约程序员的工作，搬到了费城，并开始在YouTube上每天7个小时直播股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube 拥有 35 万粉丝，它正在支付账单。科尔斯说，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以拿到与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给迷因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以阻止他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 甚至在上周取消了一项拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢 Reddit 人群的反响。过去一年，AMC 的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官亚当-阿伦（Adam Aron）在推特上表示，他看到了 “许多人赞成，许多人反对 ”对他增发 2500 万股股票的提议的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的 AMC 年会上进行表决。该公司没有回答有关如何调查股东的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室里决定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者正在花费更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕零售行动进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在 “阿尔法”，但要实现这一目标可能需要一些紧张的数字运算。当然，并不是所有的留言板聊天都会导致价格持续上涨，如果没有大量的数据分析，零售订单流很难与机构流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在购买哪些股票和正在出售哪些股票的投资者来说，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的 20% 的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的 20% 的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他说：”他们认为这几乎就像一份保险，以限制他们的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于零售商来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动是由社区精神支撑的。其背后的力量既是情感上的，也是道德上的，也是经济上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是希望证明自己，并像利润一样惩罚保守派。他们互相学习市场，有时会放大或揭穿关于华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票运动与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“26 岁的科尔斯说：”华尔街让我们的经济陷入困境，但没有人因此惹上麻烦。“所以，我认为他们认为我们不仅可以赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格 (Claire Hirschberg) 是一名 28 岁的工会组织者，她在 1 月份从朋友那里听说 Robinhood 上购买了价值约 50 美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他是一名长期的资金经理。“她笑着说：”他很生气我买了游戏驿站，还不肯卖。“这让我想永远拿着它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像老华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，在你成为合伙人之前，你不会打菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你从不离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而且不是按顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万散户交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认财务损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对本集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不规范语言。你是 “猿类 ”或 “弱智 ”大军的一员。你坚持住，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>集体行动不仅仅是为了精神支持。交易策略取决于人们保持买入压力，迫使做空，或买入看涨期权，从而引发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔 (Keith Gill) 在二月份众议院金融服务委员会听证会上虚拟露面，成为 Reddit 散户交易员大军推高游戏驿站股价的代言人。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来给备忘录运动注入氧气。6 月中旬，AMC 的空头权益占该股流通量的 17%，低于 1 月份的 28%，但降幅不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格上涨，空头们也控制不住自己。多年来一直关注游戏驿站的韦德布什证券分析师迈克尔-帕切特（Michael Pachter）说，他们开始 “流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”。“他说：”让我感到震惊的是精神错乱的定义，就是一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头却不断出现。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思-吉尔（Keith Gill）和他的 Reddit raiders 一直在挤压他们，而且一直在起作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit 人群需要团结起来，但该社区有时会出现裂缝。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和 AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经崩溃。 Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) 在 1 月底和 6 月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于 1 月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心 wallstreetbets——激发游戏驿站狂热的最初 Reddit 留言板——发展如此之快，以至于它已经失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。有些人搬到了其他留言板，如 r/superstonk，希望能重现老社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司 Hype Equity 的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔 (Travis Rehl) 表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣。现在，他看到了一种不断增长的趋势，即股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的聊天，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”这让人怀疑什么是真正的讨论，什么是某人只想炒作的东西。wallstreetbets 的版主禁止在该平台上操纵市场，Rehl 表示，他们似乎正在努力遏制错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>“索斯尼克说：”如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让一只股票在短时间内上涨 10%、20%，甚至 50%，那么你就有巨大的动力去做这件事。</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会正在关注留言板上的有趣交易。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，目的是增加保护散户交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减缓交易速度或使交易成本更高，也可能激怒零售人群。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一能遏制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment 行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根 (Dan Egan) 认为，这种势头可能会在 9 月份耗尽。即使是 “猿猴 ”也有责任。“他说：”孩子们开始重返校园；家长们也可以自由地再次上班了。“那是下一次从房间里抽出氧气的时候了。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金引发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪和游戏驿站乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，那么只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注，这几乎肯定是一件好事。许多新零售商表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，这是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授亨德里克-贝森宾德（Hendrik Bessembinder）在2018年发表了一项开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票，亏损的可能性大于赚钱的可能性”。简而言之，挑选单只股票并持有集中投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是对新一波交易感到鼓舞。“贝森宾德说：”我欢迎零售交易的增加，欢迎股票市场成为一个广泛参与的地方。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，它们何时会再次坠毁的时间已经在流逝。会是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经过去半年了，核心 “备忘录股票 ”的交易价格仍然处于研究这些股票多年的人认为离谱的水平。Clover Health Investments (CLOV) 和 Newegg Commerce (NEGG) 等新名称最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易员--长期以来被嘲笑为 “哑巴钱 ”--的集体努力成功地让股市飙升，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型的迹象，也没有表现出足以证明其估值的利润，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告称其关键的网络安全部门将达到收入指导的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大型经纪商的交易量较 2 月份的峰值略有下降，但仍高于疫情爆发前的两到三倍。数量惊人的这种活动发生在散户交易者青睐的股票中。例如，AMC院线控股公司（AMC）6 月份的日均交易额达到 131 亿美元，超过了苹果（AAPL）的 95 亿美元和亚马逊（AMZN）的 103 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍然致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多的交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉捏酸面团面包；交易者只会变得越来越饥饿。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种食欲，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。目前，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“美国海军电子技术员布兰登-卢切克（Brandon Luczek）在给《巴伦周刊》的一封电子邮件中写道：”我看到'逢低买入'的情绪一刻也没有减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票飙升是由散户投资者交易的增加推动的。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，超过1000万人开设了新账户。这一记录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，在今年不到一半的时间里，经纪商已经增加了超过 1000 万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这种现象的推车，也是马。他们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这一行动推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在 1 月底和 2 月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财（SCHW）最近的一项调查发现，15%的现有交易者在2020年后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>激增中最突出的参与者是 Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了 550 万个资金账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布，第一季度吸引了 160 万 35 岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了 223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在 Robinhood 零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在 2019 年将佣金降至零。这为新客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲置现金进行交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在套现。富达希望在投资者获得驾照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅 13 岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood 正在乘势而上进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的 10 倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与他们的老同行不同。E*Trade 交易主管克里斯-拉金（Chris Larkin）说，多年来，“ETF 一直备受青睐”，E*Trade 现归摩根士丹利（MS）所有。但挑选个股显然是 “2021 年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，随着世界各地的投资者押注疫情复苏并避免疲软的债券收益率，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但 ETF 不像股票那样点亮留言板。这并不是说顶级公司的单行道。游戏驿站二月份确实下跌，华尔街享受了幸灾乐祸的时刻。它并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>“盈透证券（Interactive Brokers）首席策略师史蒂夫-索斯尼克（Steve Sosnick）写道：”就像蝉一样，备忘录交易者在表面上隐匿了几个月后又重新活跃起来。索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种货币转向另一种货币。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”我不认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅回调后，备忘录股票卷土重来完全是巧合。</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为备忘录股票是一个 “独立的板块”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对备忘录股票革命的反应一直是孤立专业人士认为不理性的市场部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也在放弃报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样把零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来 17 年内消失。股票交易已经发生了永久性的变化。今年，零售活动占股本量的 24%，高于 2019 年的 15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚法学院（Columbia Law School）专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚-米茨（Joshua Mitts）说：”这实际上反映了我们所看到的趋势的逆转，即与个别公司的接触越来越少。“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她所投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>— Matt Kohrs，26 岁，每天在 YouTube 上直播股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早早加入的人的生活，并且仍然在更高的名字上。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了纽约程序员的工作，搬到了费城，并开始在YouTube上每天7个小时直播股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube 拥有 35 万粉丝，它正在支付账单。科尔斯说，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以拿到与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给迷因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以阻止他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 甚至在上周取消了一项拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢 Reddit 人群的反响。过去一年，AMC 的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官亚当-阿伦（Adam Aron）在推特上表示，他看到了 “许多人赞成，许多人反对 ”对他增发 2500 万股股票的提议的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的 AMC 年会上进行表决。该公司没有回答有关如何调查股东的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室里决定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者正在花费更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕零售行动进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在 “阿尔法”，但要实现这一目标可能需要一些紧张的数字运算。当然，并不是所有的留言板聊天都会导致价格持续上涨，如果没有大量的数据分析，零售订单流很难与机构流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在购买哪些股票和正在出售哪些股票的投资者来说，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的 20% 的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的 20% 的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他说：”他们认为这几乎就像一份保险，以限制他们的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于零售商来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动是由社区精神支撑的。其背后的力量既是情感上的，也是道德上的，也是经济上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是希望证明自己，并像利润一样惩罚保守派。他们互相学习市场，有时会放大或揭穿关于华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票运动与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“26 岁的科尔斯说：”华尔街让我们的经济陷入困境，但没有人因此惹上麻烦。“所以，我认为他们认为我们不仅可以赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格 (Claire Hirschberg) 是一名 28 岁的工会组织者，她在 1 月份从朋友那里听说 Robinhood 上购买了价值约 50 美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他是一名长期的资金经理。“她笑着说：”他很生气我买了游戏驿站，还不肯卖。“这让我想永远拿着它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像老华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，在你成为合伙人之前，你不会打菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你从不离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而且不是按顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万散户交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认财务损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对本集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不规范语言。你是 “猿类 ”或 “弱智 ”大军的一员。你坚持住，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>集体行动不仅仅是为了精神支持。交易策略取决于人们保持买入压力，迫使做空，或买入看涨期权，从而引发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔 (Keith Gill) 在二月份众议院金融服务委员会听证会上虚拟露面，成为 Reddit 散户交易员大军推高游戏驿站股价的代言人。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来给备忘录运动注入氧气。6 月中旬，AMC 的空头权益占该股流通量的 17%，低于 1 月份的 28%，但降幅不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格上涨，空头们也控制不住自己。多年来一直关注游戏驿站的韦德布什证券分析师迈克尔-帕切特（Michael Pachter）说，他们开始 “流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”。“他说：”让我感到震惊的是精神错乱的定义，就是一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头却不断出现。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思-吉尔（Keith Gill）和他的 Reddit raiders 一直在挤压他们，而且一直在起作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit 人群需要团结起来，但该社区有时会出现裂缝。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和 AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经崩溃。 Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) 在 1 月底和 6 月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于 1 月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心 wallstreetbets——激发游戏驿站狂热的最初 Reddit 留言板——发展如此之快，以至于它已经失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。有些人搬到了其他留言板，如 r/superstonk，希望能重现老社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司 Hype Equity 的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔 (Travis Rehl) 表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣。现在，他看到了一种不断增长的趋势，即股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的聊天，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”这让人怀疑什么是真正的讨论，什么是某人只想炒作的东西。wallstreetbets 的版主禁止在该平台上操纵市场，Rehl 表示，他们似乎正在努力遏制错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>“索斯尼克说：”如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让一只股票在短时间内上涨 10%、20%，甚至 50%，那么你就有巨大的动力去做这件事。</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会正在关注留言板上的有趣交易。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，目的是增加保护散户交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减缓交易速度或使交易成本更高，也可能激怒零售人群。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一能遏制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment 行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根 (Dan Egan) 认为，这种势头可能会在 9 月份耗尽。即使是 “猿猴 ”也有责任。“他说：”孩子们开始重返校园；家长们也可以自由地再次上班了。“那是下一次从房间里抽出氧气的时候了。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金引发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪和游戏驿站乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，那么只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注，这几乎肯定是一件好事。许多新零售商表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，这是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授亨德里克-贝森宾德（Hendrik Bessembinder）在2018年发表了一项开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票，亏损的可能性大于赚钱的可能性”。简而言之，挑选单只股票并持有集中投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是对新一波交易感到鼓舞。“贝森宾德说：”我欢迎零售交易的增加，欢迎股票市场成为一个广泛参与的地方。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","BB":"黑莓","AMC":"AMC院线","SCHW":"嘉信理财","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some 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11:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Reports Earnings Thursday. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>台积电周四公布财报。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138248041","media":"Barron's","summary":"With any luck, investors will get some fresh insight about the global chip shortage Thursday when Ta","content":"<p>With any luck, investors will get some fresh insight about the global chip shortage Thursday when Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing reports earnings—and about whether the company is still on track to pour billions into meeting demand.</p><p><blockquote>如果幸运的话，投资者将在周四台积电公布财报时对全球芯片短缺问题有一些新的认识，以及该公司是否仍有望投入数十亿美元来满足需求。</blockquote></p><p> But if the chip maker’s executives stick with their tradition of being tight-lipped, investors might not get much more than the numbers for insight.</p><p><blockquote>但是，如果这家芯片制造商的高管们坚持守口如瓶的传统，投资者可能只能从数字中获得更多的洞察力。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street has high expectations for Taiwan Semi (ticker: TSM), which is set to release second-quarter results before the opening bell.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街对台森（股票代码：TSM）寄予厚望，该公司将在开盘前发布第二季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus calls for earnings to grow nearly 13% to NT$5.24 a share on revenue of NT$371.7 billion ($13.3 billion), an increase of 19% compared to the year-ago period. Revenue is all but a lock because Taiwan Semi discloses its monthly figure every month—that sum is about NT$372 billion.</p><p><blockquote>评级普遍预期盈利将增长近 13%，达到每股 5.24 新台币，营收为 3717 亿新台币（133 亿美元），比去年同期增长 19%。营收几乎是锁定的，因为台湾森美每个月都会披露其月度数字——这个数字大约是新台币3720亿元。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this year, Taiwan Semi executives increased the company’s 2021 capital spending plan to $30 billion, from an expected $25 billion to $28 billion—and put the three-year figure at $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，Taiwan Semi 高管将公司 2021 年的资本支出计划从预期的 250 亿美元提高到 300 亿美元，并将三年内的数字定为 1000 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company will divert most of the capital spending cash to building manufacturing capacity for its most advanced processors used by Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Apple (AAPL), and Intel (INTC).</p><p><blockquote>该公司将把大部分资本支出现金用于建设先进微设备公司 (AMD)、苹果 (AAPL) 和英特尔 (INTC) 使用的最先进处理器的制造能力。</blockquote></p><p> J.P. Morgan analyst Gokul Hariharan expects Apple to contribute a hefty amount to Taiwan Semi’s sales since Apple’s new iPhone and Mac processors are manufactured by Taiwan chip giant. The analyst didn’t offer an dollar estimate, though.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通（J.P. Morgan）分析师戈库尔-哈里哈兰（Gokul Hariharan）预计，由于苹果的新 iPhone 和 Mac 处理器都是由这家台湾芯片巨头制造的，因此苹果将为台湾半导体的销售额做出巨大贡献。不过，这位分析师没有提供美元估算。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein analyst Mark Li sees a risk for Taiwan Semi in the possible slowing of demand for smartphone and cryptocurrency mining chips. He softened his assessment, however, by pointing out that the company’s older processing manufacturing capacity would be full, and that Apple could be expected to make a big contribution to third-quarter revenue. Li predicts Taiwan Semi may grow revenue about 15% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>Bernstein 分析师 Mark Li 认为，台湾半导体面临的风险在于智能手机和加密货币挖矿芯片的需求可能放缓。不过，他软化了评估，指出公司老旧的加工制造产能将满负荷运转，预计苹果将为第三季度收入做出巨大贡献。李预测，台湾半导体2022年收入可能增长约15%。</blockquote></p><p> If Taiwan Semi executives do talk about the future, they could touch on the company’s new 3-nanometer production technology. Intel and Apple may be the first two companies to adopt the technology, according to Nikkei Asia, a financial news website. Mass production is set to begin in 2022, with Intel taking more chip volume than Apple, the report said.</p><p><blockquote>如果台湾半导体公司的高管真的在谈论未来，他们可能会谈到该公司新的 3 纳米生产技术。据财经新闻网站《日经亚洲》报道，英特尔和苹果可能是首批采用该技术的两家公司。报告称，量产将于 2022 年开始，英特尔的芯片产量将超过苹果。</blockquote></p><p> New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu writes that Intel’s decision to outsource production to Taiwan Semi “remains more tactical than strategic.” Given the report in Nikkei, Intel appears to be adopting the production technology ahead of AMD, Ferragu said.</p><p><blockquote>New Street Research 分析师皮埃尔-费拉古（Pierre Ferragu）写道，英特尔将生产外包给台湾半导体的决定 “仍然是战术性的，而不是战略性的”。Ferragu 表示，鉴于《日经新闻》的报道，英特尔似乎领先于 AMD 采用了生产技术。</blockquote></p><p> Of the analysts that cover Taiwan Semi, 34 rate the stock a Buy, and three have Hold ratings. There are no Sell ratings. The average target price for American depositary receipts is $146.18, which implies upside of about 17%.</p><p><blockquote>在研究 Taiwan Semi 的分析师中，34 名分析师给予该股买入评级，3 名分析师给予持有评级。没有卖出评级。美国存托凭证的平均目标价为 146.18 美元，这意味着上涨空间约为 17%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semi shares advanced roughly 90% this year, as the PHLX Semiconductor index, or Sox, gained about 63%.</p><p><blockquote>台股今年上涨了约 90%，PHLX 半导体指数 (Sox) 上涨了约 63%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Reports Earnings Thursday. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>台积电周四公布财报。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Reports Earnings Thursday. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>台积电周四公布财报。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-15 11:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>With any luck, investors will get some fresh insight about the global chip shortage Thursday when Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing reports earnings—and about whether the company is still on track to pour billions into meeting demand.</p><p><blockquote>如果幸运的话，投资者将在周四台积电公布财报时对全球芯片短缺问题有一些新的认识，以及该公司是否仍有望投入数十亿美元来满足需求。</blockquote></p><p> But if the chip maker’s executives stick with their tradition of being tight-lipped, investors might not get much more than the numbers for insight.</p><p><blockquote>但是，如果这家芯片制造商的高管们坚持守口如瓶的传统，投资者可能只能从数字中获得更多的洞察力。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street has high expectations for Taiwan Semi (ticker: TSM), which is set to release second-quarter results before the opening bell.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街对台森（股票代码：TSM）寄予厚望，该公司将在开盘前发布第二季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus calls for earnings to grow nearly 13% to NT$5.24 a share on revenue of NT$371.7 billion ($13.3 billion), an increase of 19% compared to the year-ago period. Revenue is all but a lock because Taiwan Semi discloses its monthly figure every month—that sum is about NT$372 billion.</p><p><blockquote>评级普遍预期盈利将增长近 13%，达到每股 5.24 新台币，营收为 3717 亿新台币（133 亿美元），比去年同期增长 19%。营收几乎是锁定的，因为台湾森美每个月都会披露其月度数字——这个数字大约是新台币3720亿元。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this year, Taiwan Semi executives increased the company’s 2021 capital spending plan to $30 billion, from an expected $25 billion to $28 billion—and put the three-year figure at $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，Taiwan Semi 高管将公司 2021 年的资本支出计划从预期的 250 亿美元提高到 300 亿美元，并将三年内的数字定为 1000 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company will divert most of the capital spending cash to building manufacturing capacity for its most advanced processors used by Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Apple (AAPL), and Intel (INTC).</p><p><blockquote>该公司将把大部分资本支出现金用于建设先进微设备公司 (AMD)、苹果 (AAPL) 和英特尔 (INTC) 使用的最先进处理器的制造能力。</blockquote></p><p> J.P. Morgan analyst Gokul Hariharan expects Apple to contribute a hefty amount to Taiwan Semi’s sales since Apple’s new iPhone and Mac processors are manufactured by Taiwan chip giant. The analyst didn’t offer an dollar estimate, though.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通（J.P. Morgan）分析师戈库尔-哈里哈兰（Gokul Hariharan）预计，由于苹果的新 iPhone 和 Mac 处理器都是由这家台湾芯片巨头制造的，因此苹果将为台湾半导体的销售额做出巨大贡献。不过，这位分析师没有提供美元估算。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein analyst Mark Li sees a risk for Taiwan Semi in the possible slowing of demand for smartphone and cryptocurrency mining chips. He softened his assessment, however, by pointing out that the company’s older processing manufacturing capacity would be full, and that Apple could be expected to make a big contribution to third-quarter revenue. Li predicts Taiwan Semi may grow revenue about 15% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>Bernstein 分析师 Mark Li 认为，台湾半导体面临的风险在于智能手机和加密货币挖矿芯片的需求可能放缓。不过，他软化了评估，指出公司老旧的加工制造产能将满负荷运转，预计苹果将为第三季度收入做出巨大贡献。李预测，台湾半导体2022年收入可能增长约15%。</blockquote></p><p> If Taiwan Semi executives do talk about the future, they could touch on the company’s new 3-nanometer production technology. Intel and Apple may be the first two companies to adopt the technology, according to Nikkei Asia, a financial news website. Mass production is set to begin in 2022, with Intel taking more chip volume than Apple, the report said.</p><p><blockquote>如果台湾半导体公司的高管真的在谈论未来，他们可能会谈到该公司新的 3 纳米生产技术。据财经新闻网站《日经亚洲》报道，英特尔和苹果可能是首批采用该技术的两家公司。报告称，量产将于 2022 年开始，英特尔的芯片产量将超过苹果。</blockquote></p><p> New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu writes that Intel’s decision to outsource production to Taiwan Semi “remains more tactical than strategic.” Given the report in Nikkei, Intel appears to be adopting the production technology ahead of AMD, Ferragu said.</p><p><blockquote>New Street Research 分析师皮埃尔-费拉古（Pierre Ferragu）写道，英特尔将生产外包给台湾半导体的决定 “仍然是战术性的，而不是战略性的”。Ferragu 表示，鉴于《日经新闻》的报道，英特尔似乎领先于 AMD 采用了生产技术。</blockquote></p><p> Of the analysts that cover Taiwan Semi, 34 rate the stock a Buy, and three have Hold ratings. There are no Sell ratings. The average target price for American depositary receipts is $146.18, which implies upside of about 17%.</p><p><blockquote>在研究 Taiwan Semi 的分析师中，34 名分析师给予该股买入评级，3 名分析师给予持有评级。没有卖出评级。美国存托凭证的平均目标价为 146.18 美元，这意味着上涨空间约为 17%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semi shares advanced roughly 90% this year, as the PHLX Semiconductor index, or Sox, gained about 63%.</p><p><blockquote>台股今年上涨了约 90%，PHLX 半导体指数 (Sox) 上涨了约 63%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-earnings-51626299252?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-earnings-51626299252?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138248041","content_text":"With any luck, investors will get some fresh insight about the global chip shortage Thursday when Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing reports earnings—and about whether the company is still on track to pour billions into meeting demand.\nBut if the chip maker’s executives stick with their tradition of being tight-lipped, investors might not get much more than the numbers for insight.\nWall Street has high expectations for Taiwan Semi (ticker: TSM), which is set to release second-quarter results before the opening bell.\nThe consensus calls for earnings to grow nearly 13% to NT$5.24 a share on revenue of NT$371.7 billion ($13.3 billion), an increase of 19% compared to the year-ago period. Revenue is all but a lock because Taiwan Semi discloses its monthly figure every month—that sum is about NT$372 billion.\nEarlier this year, Taiwan Semi executives increased the company’s 2021 capital spending plan to $30 billion, from an expected $25 billion to $28 billion—and put the three-year figure at $100 billion.\nThe company will divert most of the capital spending cash to building manufacturing capacity for its most advanced processors used by Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Apple (AAPL), and Intel (INTC).\nJ.P. Morgan analyst Gokul Hariharan expects Apple to contribute a hefty amount to Taiwan Semi’s sales since Apple’s new iPhone and Mac processors are manufactured by Taiwan chip giant. The analyst didn’t offer an dollar estimate, though.\nBernstein analyst Mark Li sees a risk for Taiwan Semi in the possible slowing of demand for smartphone and cryptocurrency mining chips. He softened his assessment, however, by pointing out that the company’s older processing manufacturing capacity would be full, and that Apple could be expected to make a big contribution to third-quarter revenue. Li predicts Taiwan Semi may grow revenue about 15% in 2022.\nIf Taiwan Semi executives do talk about the future, they could touch on the company’s new 3-nanometer production technology. Intel and Apple may be the first two companies to adopt the technology, according to Nikkei Asia, a financial news website. Mass production is set to begin in 2022, with Intel taking more chip volume than Apple, the report said.\nNew Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu writes that Intel’s decision to outsource production to Taiwan Semi “remains more tactical than strategic.” Given the report in Nikkei, Intel appears to be adopting the production technology ahead of AMD, Ferragu said.\nOf the analysts that cover Taiwan Semi, 34 rate the stock a Buy, and three have Hold ratings. There are no Sell ratings. The average target price for American depositary receipts is $146.18, which implies upside of about 17%.\nTaiwan Semi shares advanced roughly 90% this year, as the PHLX Semiconductor index, or Sox, gained about 63%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}