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2021-08-06

Yeah...

The S&P 500 looks strong — but these ‘internals’ are far less positive<blockquote>标普500看起来很强劲——但这些“内部因素”远没有那么积极</blockquote>

2021-08-05

Wow

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2021-08-05

Wow...

Toplines After Hours US Market on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场盘后顶线</blockquote>

2021-08-02

wow

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2021-07-31

Wow...

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2021-07-25

Wow...

Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>

2021-07-25

Yeah..

What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时多</blockquote>

2021-07-16

Yeah...

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2021-07-12

Cool

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2021-07-09

😀😀

Stamps.com shares surges 14% in premarket trading,as going private at $330 per share in $6.6B cash deal with Thoma Bravo<blockquote>Stamps.com股价在盘前交易中飙升14%，与Thoma Bravo达成6.6 B美元现金交易，以每股330美元的价格私有化</blockquote>

2021-07-09

Hai..

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2021-07-09

Lasted

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A new all-time closing high was registered ","content":"<p>The S&amp;P 500 index continues to accelerate to the upside. A new all-time closing high was registered on Tuesday. Yet, the “internals” of the market remain in a far worse state. This has been the case for some time (since June 11, at least), and it may continue to be the case for a while longer.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数继续加速上行。周二创下历史收盘新高。然而，市场的“内部”仍然处于更糟糕的状态。这种情况已经持续了一段时间（至少自6月11日以来），而且这种情况可能会持续一段时间。</blockquote></p><p> But as long as the S&amp;P&nbsp;chart is positive and above support, a “core” long position is recommended.</p><p><blockquote>但只要标普图表为正且高于支撑位，建议建立“核心”多头头寸。</blockquote></p><p> The first support level is now roughly 4370. That was the low on the two most recent days on which SPX sold off and then rebounded – July 27 and Tuesday (yes, the same day that SPX bounced back from that level and then closed at a new all-time high). Since it has been doubly tested, that makes it a viable support level. There is resistance at 4430, the all-time intraday high.</p><p><blockquote>第一支撑位现在大致在4370。这是SPX抛售然后反弹的最近两天的低点——7月27日和周二（是的，同一天SPX从该水平反弹，然后收于历史新高）。由于它已经过双重测试，这使它成为一个可行的支撑位。盘中历史高点4430有阻力。</blockquote></p><p> You can see from the accompanying chart that SPX has been in a rather right trading since July 23 – between 4370 and 4430.</p><p><blockquote>你可以从附图中看到，自7月23日以来，SPX一直处于相当正确的交易状态——在4370到4430之间。</blockquote></p><p> A breakout from that range will be significant. If it were to break to the downside, that would be a negative for the SPX chart. Below there, a major support area exists at 4233, and it would likely be tested quickly after a break below 4370.</p><p><blockquote>突破该范围将具有重要意义。如果它向下突破，这将对SPX图表不利。在此下方，主要支撑区域位于4233点，跌破4370点后可能会很快受到测试。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fde9899a8fd1227a022dfe59858d4c5\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So the SPX chart is still positive, but there is a McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal in place (green “S” on chart).</p><p><blockquote>因此，SPX图表仍然是积极的，但有一个麦克米兰波动带（MVB）卖出信号（图表上的绿色“S”）。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at some of the indicators that encompass a larger number of stocks. You will see that they are far less positive. First are the equity-only put-call ratios. These have been rising for a month, meaning they have been on sell signals during that time. Put volume has been heavy, relative to call volume, and that is what is causing these ratios to rise. It looks like there is a slight “wiggle” in the standard ratio’s chart, but the computer analysis programs say that is not significant.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看一些包含大量股票的指标。你会发现他们远没有那么积极。首先是仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率。这些价格已经上涨了一个月，这意味着在此期间它们一直在发出卖出信号。相对于看涨期权交易量，看跌交易量一直很大，这就是导致这些比率上升的原因。看起来标准比率的图表中有轻微的“波动”，但计算机分析程序说这并不显著。</blockquote></p><p> The larger picture here is that as many stocks have been declining, option traders have been buying puts on those stocks, forcing these equity-only put-call ratios higher. As long as the ratios are rising, they will remain on sell signals.</p><p><blockquote>这里更大的情况是，随着许多股票下跌，期权交易者一直在购买这些股票的看跌期权，迫使这些仅股票的看跌期权与看涨期权比率走高。只要比率上升，它们就会保持卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87099f2be31d9ce51b1b0c4708a9f046\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"535\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f08da61f702fd9abb483cd1d8f5b4ba\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Market breadth (advances minus declines) has been woeful since mid-June. That is, most stocks are going down, even though SPX is going up. In fact, what is driving this market is a handful of large-cap NASDAQ stocks (the FAANG stocks plus Microsoft are the strongest stocks).</p><p><blockquote>自6月中旬以来，市场广度（上涨减去下跌）一直很糟糕。也就是说，大多数股票都在下跌，尽管SPX在上涨。事实上，推动这个市场的是少数大盘股纳斯达克股票（FAANG股票加上微软是最强的股票）。</blockquote></p><p> Things have improved a little in the last couple of weeks, and so our breadth oscillators are on buy signals, but they are still in negative territory. Normally when SPX is making new all-time highs, the breadth oscillators are will into positive territory, reflecting a strong overall market. But that is not the case now.</p><p><blockquote>过去几周情况有所改善，因此我们的宽度振荡器发出买入信号，但仍处于负值区域。通常情况下，当SPX创下历史新高时，宽度振荡指标将进入正值区域，反映出整体市场强劲。但现在情况并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, cumulative breadth (the running total of daily advances minus declines) has not made a new all-time high since June 11. SPX has made a new closing or intraday high on 19 separate trading days since then. That is a huge, negative market divergence, but it alone is not a sell signal. Rather, it is a strong warning to be alert – to avoid complacency.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自6月11日以来，累计广度（每日涨幅减去跌幅）尚未创下历史新高。此后，SPX已连续19个交易日创下收盘或盘中新高。这是一个巨大的负面市场背离，但它本身并不是卖出信号。相反，这是一个强烈的警告，要保持警惕——避免自满。</blockquote></p><p> New 52-week highs on the NYSE continue to lead new 52-week lows. Recently, there have been some isolated days where new lows exceeded new highs using NASDAQ or “stocks only” data, but not when using NYSE data. That means this indicator remains bullish for stocks. It would turn negative if NYSE new lows exceeded new highs and were sufficiently large, but that has not happened.</p><p><blockquote>纽交所52周新高继续领涨52周新低。最近，有一些孤立的日子，使用纳斯达克或“仅股票”数据，新低超过新高，但使用纽约证券交易所数据时则不然。这意味着该指标仍然看涨股市。如果纽交所新低超过新高且足够大，则会转为负值，但这种情况并未发生。</blockquote></p><p> There is a realized volatility sell signal in place, as well. That occurred when the S&amp;P’s 20-day historical volatility first fell below 8% (in mid-June) and then later rose above 11% (in late July).</p><p><blockquote>还有一个已实现的波动性卖出信号。这发生在标准普尔20天历史波动率首先跌破8%（6月中旬），然后升至11%以上（7月下旬）。</blockquote></p><p> Implied volatility, on the other hand, remains in a bullish state, as far the stock market is concerned. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20 remains in place. Moreover, the VIX 200-day moving average is still declining and is well above the price of VIX.There has been a slow “creep” upward by VIX, from 15 to 19 over the last month, but that doesn’t appear to be a significant change of trend.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，就股市而言，隐含波动率仍处于看涨状态。7月20日的VIX“峰值”买入信号仍然存在。而且，VIX 200日均线仍在下降，远高于VIX的价格。上个月，VIX指数从15点缓慢“攀升”至19点，但这似乎并不是趋势的重大变化。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3501a851250cf90d4f08e0152a5d9a9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"524\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Finally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains positive for the stock market. The VIX futures are trading at a premium to VIX, and the term structures of those VIX futures and the CBOE Volatility Indices slope upward.</p><p><blockquote>最后，波动性衍生品的结构对股市仍然有利。VIX期货的交易价格高于VIX，这些VIX期货和CBOE波动率指数的期限结构向上倾斜。</blockquote></p><p> The SPX chart is still positive. That is the most important fact. Until that changes, a long “core” position is recommended. Around that, one can trade confirmed signals – both buy and sell. A violation of the 4370 area by SPX would change things for the negative, but a breakout to new all-time highs above 4430 would reinforce the bullish case.</p><p><blockquote>SPX图表仍然是积极的。这是最重要的事实。在这种情况发生变化之前，建议持有多头“核心”头寸。围绕这一点，人们可以交易确认的信号——买入和卖出。SPX突破4370区域将改变负面影响，但突破4430以上的历史新高将强化看涨理由。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New recommendation: Conditional SPX sell signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新建议：有条件SPX卖出信号</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the above article, we are going to lay out some parameters regarding taking a bearish position should SPX support be broken:</p><p><blockquote>根据上述文章，我们将列出一些有关在SPX支撑位被突破时采取看跌头寸的参数：</blockquote></p><p> <b>IF SPX trades below 4370 and stays there for an hour,</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果SPX低于4370并在那里停留一小时，</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>THEN buy 1 SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put</b></p><p><blockquote><b>然后买入1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）平价看跌期权</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; And sell 1 SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并以下跌25点的价格卖出1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）看跌期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> In addition,</p><p><blockquote>此外，</blockquote></p><p> <b>IF SPX closes below 4370,</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果SPX收盘低于4370，</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>THEN buy another bear spread:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>然后再买一个熊市价差：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Buy 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put</b></p><p><blockquote><b>购买1（更多）SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）平价看跌期权</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; And sell 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并以较低25点的价格卖出1（更多）SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）看跌期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> Note that it is possible that the second condition (close below 4370) could occur without the first condition being satisfied (if SPX breaks below 4370 late in a trading day). If that is the case, then buy 2 of these spreads on the close.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，在没有满足第一个条件的情况下，第二个条件（收盘低于4370）可能会发生（如果SPX在交易日晚些时候跌破4370）。如果是这样的话，那么在收盘时买入2个这样的价差。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, if these spreads are established, stop yourself out of all of these bear spreads on an SPX close above 4430.</p><p><blockquote>最后，如果这些价差成立，请在SPX收盘价高于4430时停止所有这些熊市价差。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 looks strong — but these ‘internals’ are far less positive<blockquote>标普500看起来很强劲——但这些“内部因素”远没有那么积极</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 looks strong — but these ‘internals’ are far less positive<blockquote>标普500看起来很强劲——但这些“内部因素”远没有那么积极</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-06 12:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 index continues to accelerate to the upside. A new all-time closing high was registered on Tuesday. Yet, the “internals” of the market remain in a far worse state. This has been the case for some time (since June 11, at least), and it may continue to be the case for a while longer.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数继续加速上行。周二创下历史收盘新高。然而，市场的“内部”仍然处于更糟糕的状态。这种情况已经持续了一段时间（至少自6月11日以来），而且这种情况可能会持续一段时间。</blockquote></p><p> But as long as the S&amp;P&nbsp;chart is positive and above support, a “core” long position is recommended.</p><p><blockquote>但只要标普图表为正且高于支撑位，建议建立“核心”多头头寸。</blockquote></p><p> The first support level is now roughly 4370. That was the low on the two most recent days on which SPX sold off and then rebounded – July 27 and Tuesday (yes, the same day that SPX bounced back from that level and then closed at a new all-time high). Since it has been doubly tested, that makes it a viable support level. There is resistance at 4430, the all-time intraday high.</p><p><blockquote>第一支撑位现在大致在4370。这是SPX抛售然后反弹的最近两天的低点——7月27日和周二（是的，同一天SPX从该水平反弹，然后收于历史新高）。由于它已经过双重测试，这使它成为一个可行的支撑位。盘中历史高点4430有阻力。</blockquote></p><p> You can see from the accompanying chart that SPX has been in a rather right trading since July 23 – between 4370 and 4430.</p><p><blockquote>你可以从附图中看到，自7月23日以来，SPX一直处于相当正确的交易状态——在4370到4430之间。</blockquote></p><p> A breakout from that range will be significant. If it were to break to the downside, that would be a negative for the SPX chart. Below there, a major support area exists at 4233, and it would likely be tested quickly after a break below 4370.</p><p><blockquote>突破该范围将具有重要意义。如果它向下突破，这将对SPX图表不利。在此下方，主要支撑区域位于4233点，跌破4370点后可能会很快受到测试。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fde9899a8fd1227a022dfe59858d4c5\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So the SPX chart is still positive, but there is a McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal in place (green “S” on chart).</p><p><blockquote>因此，SPX图表仍然是积极的，但有一个麦克米兰波动带（MVB）卖出信号（图表上的绿色“S”）。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at some of the indicators that encompass a larger number of stocks. You will see that they are far less positive. First are the equity-only put-call ratios. These have been rising for a month, meaning they have been on sell signals during that time. Put volume has been heavy, relative to call volume, and that is what is causing these ratios to rise. It looks like there is a slight “wiggle” in the standard ratio’s chart, but the computer analysis programs say that is not significant.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看一些包含大量股票的指标。你会发现他们远没有那么积极。首先是仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率。这些价格已经上涨了一个月，这意味着在此期间它们一直在发出卖出信号。相对于看涨期权交易量，看跌交易量一直很大，这就是导致这些比率上升的原因。看起来标准比率的图表中有轻微的“波动”，但计算机分析程序说这并不显著。</blockquote></p><p> The larger picture here is that as many stocks have been declining, option traders have been buying puts on those stocks, forcing these equity-only put-call ratios higher. As long as the ratios are rising, they will remain on sell signals.</p><p><blockquote>这里更大的情况是，随着许多股票下跌，期权交易者一直在购买这些股票的看跌期权，迫使这些仅股票的看跌期权与看涨期权比率走高。只要比率上升，它们就会保持卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87099f2be31d9ce51b1b0c4708a9f046\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"535\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f08da61f702fd9abb483cd1d8f5b4ba\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Market breadth (advances minus declines) has been woeful since mid-June. That is, most stocks are going down, even though SPX is going up. In fact, what is driving this market is a handful of large-cap NASDAQ stocks (the FAANG stocks plus Microsoft are the strongest stocks).</p><p><blockquote>自6月中旬以来，市场广度（上涨减去下跌）一直很糟糕。也就是说，大多数股票都在下跌，尽管SPX在上涨。事实上，推动这个市场的是少数大盘股纳斯达克股票（FAANG股票加上微软是最强的股票）。</blockquote></p><p> Things have improved a little in the last couple of weeks, and so our breadth oscillators are on buy signals, but they are still in negative territory. Normally when SPX is making new all-time highs, the breadth oscillators are will into positive territory, reflecting a strong overall market. But that is not the case now.</p><p><blockquote>过去几周情况有所改善，因此我们的宽度振荡器发出买入信号，但仍处于负值区域。通常情况下，当SPX创下历史新高时，宽度振荡指标将进入正值区域，反映出整体市场强劲。但现在情况并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, cumulative breadth (the running total of daily advances minus declines) has not made a new all-time high since June 11. SPX has made a new closing or intraday high on 19 separate trading days since then. That is a huge, negative market divergence, but it alone is not a sell signal. Rather, it is a strong warning to be alert – to avoid complacency.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自6月11日以来，累计广度（每日涨幅减去跌幅）尚未创下历史新高。此后，SPX已连续19个交易日创下收盘或盘中新高。这是一个巨大的负面市场背离，但它本身并不是卖出信号。相反，这是一个强烈的警告，要保持警惕——避免自满。</blockquote></p><p> New 52-week highs on the NYSE continue to lead new 52-week lows. Recently, there have been some isolated days where new lows exceeded new highs using NASDAQ or “stocks only” data, but not when using NYSE data. That means this indicator remains bullish for stocks. It would turn negative if NYSE new lows exceeded new highs and were sufficiently large, but that has not happened.</p><p><blockquote>纽交所52周新高继续领涨52周新低。最近，有一些孤立的日子，使用纳斯达克或“仅股票”数据，新低超过新高，但使用纽约证券交易所数据时则不然。这意味着该指标仍然看涨股市。如果纽交所新低超过新高且足够大，则会转为负值，但这种情况并未发生。</blockquote></p><p> There is a realized volatility sell signal in place, as well. That occurred when the S&amp;P’s 20-day historical volatility first fell below 8% (in mid-June) and then later rose above 11% (in late July).</p><p><blockquote>还有一个已实现的波动性卖出信号。这发生在标准普尔20天历史波动率首先跌破8%（6月中旬），然后升至11%以上（7月下旬）。</blockquote></p><p> Implied volatility, on the other hand, remains in a bullish state, as far the stock market is concerned. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20 remains in place. Moreover, the VIX 200-day moving average is still declining and is well above the price of VIX.There has been a slow “creep” upward by VIX, from 15 to 19 over the last month, but that doesn’t appear to be a significant change of trend.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，就股市而言，隐含波动率仍处于看涨状态。7月20日的VIX“峰值”买入信号仍然存在。而且，VIX 200日均线仍在下降，远高于VIX的价格。上个月，VIX指数从15点缓慢“攀升”至19点，但这似乎并不是趋势的重大变化。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3501a851250cf90d4f08e0152a5d9a9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"524\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Finally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains positive for the stock market. The VIX futures are trading at a premium to VIX, and the term structures of those VIX futures and the CBOE Volatility Indices slope upward.</p><p><blockquote>最后，波动性衍生品的结构对股市仍然有利。VIX期货的交易价格高于VIX，这些VIX期货和CBOE波动率指数的期限结构向上倾斜。</blockquote></p><p> The SPX chart is still positive. That is the most important fact. Until that changes, a long “core” position is recommended. Around that, one can trade confirmed signals – both buy and sell. A violation of the 4370 area by SPX would change things for the negative, but a breakout to new all-time highs above 4430 would reinforce the bullish case.</p><p><blockquote>SPX图表仍然是积极的。这是最重要的事实。在这种情况发生变化之前，建议持有多头“核心”头寸。围绕这一点，人们可以交易确认的信号——买入和卖出。SPX突破4370区域将改变负面影响，但突破4430以上的历史新高将强化看涨理由。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New recommendation: Conditional SPX sell signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新建议：有条件SPX卖出信号</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the above article, we are going to lay out some parameters regarding taking a bearish position should SPX support be broken:</p><p><blockquote>根据上述文章，我们将列出一些有关在SPX支撑位被突破时采取看跌头寸的参数：</blockquote></p><p> <b>IF SPX trades below 4370 and stays there for an hour,</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果SPX低于4370并在那里停留一小时，</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>THEN buy 1 SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put</b></p><p><blockquote><b>然后买入1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）平价看跌期权</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; And sell 1 SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并以下跌25点的价格卖出1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）看跌期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> In addition,</p><p><blockquote>此外，</blockquote></p><p> <b>IF SPX closes below 4370,</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果SPX收盘低于4370，</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>THEN buy another bear spread:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>然后再买一个熊市价差：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Buy 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put</b></p><p><blockquote><b>购买1（更多）SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）平价看跌期权</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; And sell 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并以较低25点的价格卖出1（更多）SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）看跌期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> Note that it is possible that the second condition (close below 4370) could occur without the first condition being satisfied (if SPX breaks below 4370 late in a trading day). If that is the case, then buy 2 of these spreads on the close.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，在没有满足第一个条件的情况下，第二个条件（收盘低于4370）可能会发生（如果SPX在交易日晚些时候跌破4370）。如果是这样的话，那么在收盘时买入2个这样的价差。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, if these spreads are established, stop yourself out of all of these bear spreads on an SPX close above 4430.</p><p><blockquote>最后，如果这些价差成立，请在SPX收盘价高于4430时停止所有这些熊市价差。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-looks-strong-but-these-internals-are-far-less-positive-01628176855?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-looks-strong-but-these-internals-are-far-less-positive-01628176855?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199377263","content_text":"The S&P 500 index continues to accelerate to the upside. A new all-time closing high was registered on Tuesday. Yet, the “internals” of the market remain in a far worse state. This has been the case for some time (since June 11, at least), and it may continue to be the case for a while longer.\nBut as long as the S&P chart is positive and above support, a “core” long position is recommended.\nThe first support level is now roughly 4370. That was the low on the two most recent days on which SPX sold off and then rebounded – July 27 and Tuesday (yes, the same day that SPX bounced back from that level and then closed at a new all-time high). Since it has been doubly tested, that makes it a viable support level. There is resistance at 4430, the all-time intraday high.\nYou can see from the accompanying chart that SPX has been in a rather right trading since July 23 – between 4370 and 4430.\nA breakout from that range will be significant. If it were to break to the downside, that would be a negative for the SPX chart. Below there, a major support area exists at 4233, and it would likely be tested quickly after a break below 4370.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nSo the SPX chart is still positive, but there is a McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal in place (green “S” on chart).\nNow let’s look at some of the indicators that encompass a larger number of stocks. You will see that they are far less positive. First are the equity-only put-call ratios. These have been rising for a month, meaning they have been on sell signals during that time. Put volume has been heavy, relative to call volume, and that is what is causing these ratios to rise. It looks like there is a slight “wiggle” in the standard ratio’s chart, but the computer analysis programs say that is not significant.\nThe larger picture here is that as many stocks have been declining, option traders have been buying puts on those stocks, forcing these equity-only put-call ratios higher. As long as the ratios are rising, they will remain on sell signals.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nMarket breadth (advances minus declines) has been woeful since mid-June. That is, most stocks are going down, even though SPX is going up. In fact, what is driving this market is a handful of large-cap NASDAQ stocks (the FAANG stocks plus Microsoft are the strongest stocks).\nThings have improved a little in the last couple of weeks, and so our breadth oscillators are on buy signals, but they are still in negative territory. Normally when SPX is making new all-time highs, the breadth oscillators are will into positive territory, reflecting a strong overall market. But that is not the case now.\nMoreover, cumulative breadth (the running total of daily advances minus declines) has not made a new all-time high since June 11. SPX has made a new closing or intraday high on 19 separate trading days since then. That is a huge, negative market divergence, but it alone is not a sell signal. Rather, it is a strong warning to be alert – to avoid complacency.\nNew 52-week highs on the NYSE continue to lead new 52-week lows. Recently, there have been some isolated days where new lows exceeded new highs using NASDAQ or “stocks only” data, but not when using NYSE data. That means this indicator remains bullish for stocks. It would turn negative if NYSE new lows exceeded new highs and were sufficiently large, but that has not happened.\nThere is a realized volatility sell signal in place, as well. That occurred when the S&P’s 20-day historical volatility first fell below 8% (in mid-June) and then later rose above 11% (in late July).\nImplied volatility, on the other hand, remains in a bullish state, as far the stock market is concerned. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20 remains in place. Moreover, the VIX 200-day moving average is still declining and is well above the price of VIX.There has been a slow “creep” upward by VIX, from 15 to 19 over the last month, but that doesn’t appear to be a significant change of trend.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nFinally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains positive for the stock market. The VIX futures are trading at a premium to VIX, and the term structures of those VIX futures and the CBOE Volatility Indices slope upward.\nThe SPX chart is still positive. That is the most important fact. Until that changes, a long “core” position is recommended. Around that, one can trade confirmed signals – both buy and sell. A violation of the 4370 area by SPX would change things for the negative, but a breakout to new all-time highs above 4430 would reinforce the bullish case.\nNew recommendation: Conditional SPX sell signal\nBased on the above article, we are going to lay out some parameters regarding taking a bearish position should SPX support be broken:\nIF SPX trades below 4370 and stays there for an hour,\nTHEN buy 1 SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put\n            And sell 1 SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.\nIn addition,\nIF SPX closes below 4370,\nTHEN buy another bear spread:\n            Buy 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put\n            And sell 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.\nNote that it is possible that the second condition (close below 4370) could occur without the first condition being satisfied (if SPX breaks below 4370 late in a trading day). If that is the case, then buy 2 of these spreads on the close.\nFinally, if these spreads are established, stop yourself out of all of these bear spreads on an SPX close above 4430.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890530200,"gmtCreate":1628122906500,"gmtModify":1633753426491,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583172240969692","authorIdStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890530200","repostId":"2157483930","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890593481,"gmtCreate":1628122708743,"gmtModify":1633753434579,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583172240969692","authorIdStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow...","listText":"Wow...","text":"Wow...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890593481","repostId":"1179402387","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179402387","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628120638,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179402387?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-05 07:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines After Hours US Market on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场盘后顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179402387","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Futures contracts tied to the major U.S. equity indexes were little changed at the start of the over","content":"<p>Futures contracts tied to the major U.S. equity indexes were little changed at the start of the overnight session Wednesday evening as Wall Street looked to improve upon a mixed week.</p><p><blockquote>周三晚间隔夜交易开始时，与美国主要股指相关的期货合约几乎没有变化，因为华尔街希望在涨跌互现的一周中有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:30&nbsp;p.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 19 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 2.25 points, or 0.05%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 7.50 points, or 0.05%.</p><p><blockquote>晚上七点半。ET，道指e-minis上涨19点，涨幅0.05%，标普500 e-minis上涨2.25点，涨幅0.05%，纳斯达克100 e-minis下跌7.50点，涨幅0.05%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15029cdb3b40554099587488dcc610a7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making biggest moves after hours: Etsy, Electronic Arts, Roku &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘后涨幅最大的股票：Etsy、艺电、Roku等</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FSLY\">Fastly, Inc.</a> (NYSE: FSLY)19.3% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.15), $0.02 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.17). Revenue for the quarter came in at $85 million versus the consensus estimate of $85.73 million. Fastly, Inc. sees Q3 2021 EPS of ($0.21)-($0.18), versus the consensus of ($0.09). Fastly, Inc. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $82-85 million, versus the consensus of $98.02 million. Fastly, Inc. sees FY2021 EPS of ($0.65)-($0.57), versus the consensus of ($0.43). Fastly, Inc. sees FY2021 revenue of $340-350 million, versus the consensus of $382.34 million.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FSLY\">法斯特利公司。</a>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：FSLY）下跌19.3%；报告第二季度每股收益为（0.15美元），比分析师预期的（0.17美元）高出0.02美元。该季度收入为8500万美元，而市场普遍预期为8573万美元。Fastly，Inc.预计2021年第三季度每股收益为（0.21美元）-（0.18美元），而市场普遍预期为（0.09美元）。Fastly，Inc.预计2021年第三季度收入为82-8500万美元，而市场普遍预期为9802万美元。Fastly，Inc.预计2021财年每股收益为（0.65美元）-（0.57美元），而市场普遍预期为（0.43美元）。Fastly，Inc.预计2021财年收入为3.40-3.5亿美元，而市场普遍预期为3.8234亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Ping Identity (NYSE: PING) 13.2% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.11, $0.07 better than the analyst estimate of $0.04. Revenue for the quarter came in at $78.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $66.09 million. Ping Identity sees Q3 2021 revenue of $65-70 million, versus the consensus of $65.1 million. Ping Identity sees FY2021 revenue of $278-285 million, versus the consensus of $269.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>Ping Identity(NYSE：PING)上涨13.2%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.11美元，比分析师预期的0.04美元好0.07美元。该季度营收为7890万美元，而市场普遍预期为6609万美元。Ping Identity预计2021年第三季度收入为65-7000万美元，而市场普遍预期为6510万美元。Ping Identity预计2021财年收入为2.78-2.85亿美元，而市场普遍预期为2.693亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Etsy (NASDAQ: ETSY)13.7% LOWER; reported Q2 revenue $528.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $524.84 million. Consolidated GMS was $3.0 billion, up 13.1% year-over-year; while Etsy marketplace GMS was $2.8 billion, up 14.2% year-over-year. Etsy sees Q3 2021 revenue of $500-525 million, versus the consensus of $524.91 million.</p><p><blockquote>Etsy（纳斯达克：ETSY）下跌13.7%；报告第二季度收入为5.289亿美元，而市场普遍预期为5.2484亿美元。综合GMS为30亿美元，同比增长13.1%；而Etsy marketplace GMS为28亿美元，同比增长14.2%。Etsy预计2021年第三季度收入为500-5.25亿美元，而市场普遍预期为5.2491亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> PetIQ, Inc. (NASDAQ: PETQ)11.7% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.14, $0.59 worse than the analyst estimate of $0.73. Revenue for the quarter came in at $271 million versus the consensus estimate of $304.72 million.</p><p><blockquote>PetIQ公司（纳斯达克：PETQ）下跌11.7%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.14美元，比分析师预期的0.73美元差0.59美元。该季度营收为2.71亿美元，而市场普遍预期为3.0472亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Lemonade (NYSE: LMND) 9.1% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.90), $0.01 worse than the analyst estimate of ($0.89). Revenue for the quarter came in at $28.2 million versus the consensus estimate of $26.8 million. Lemonade sees Q3 2021 revenue of $32.5-33.5 million, versus the consensus of $32.32 million. Lemonade sees FY2021 revenue of $123-125 million, versus the consensus of $118.94 million.</p><p><blockquote>柠檬水(NYSE：LMND)下跌9.1%；报告第二季度每股收益为（0.90美元），比分析师预期的（0.89美元）差0.01美元。该季度收入为2820万美元，而市场普遍预期为2680万美元。Lemonade预计2021年第三季度收入为32.5-3350万美元，而市场普遍预期为3232万美元。Lemonade预计2021财年收入为123-1.25亿美元，而市场普遍预期为1.1894亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAXR\">Maxar Technologies Ltd.</a> (NYSE: MAXR)10.9% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.60, $0.46 worse than the analyst estimate of $1.06. Revenue for the quarter came in at $473 million versus the consensus estimate of $560.3 million.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAXR\">Maxar技术有限公司。</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：MAXR）下跌10.9%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.60美元，比分析师预期的1.06美元差0.46美元。该季度营收为4.73亿美元，而市场普遍预期为5.603亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Roku (NASDAQ: ROKU)8.4% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.52, $0.40 better than the analyst estimate of $0.12. Revenue for the quarter came in at $645.1 million versus the consensus estimate of $618.54 million. Roku sees Q3 2021 revenue of $675-685 million, versus the consensus of $645 million.</p><p><blockquote>Roku（纳斯达克：Roku）下跌8.4%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.52美元，比分析师预期的0.12美元高出0.40美元。该季度营收为6.451亿美元，而市场普遍预期为6.1854亿美元。Roku预计2021年第三季度营收为6.75-6.85亿美元，而市场普遍预期为6.45亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Western Union (NYSE: WU)6.2% HIGHER; Goldfinch and Baupost will acquire Western Union Business Solutions for approximately $910 million in cash. reported Q2 EPS of $0.48, $0.01 better than the analyst estimate of $0.47. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.3 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.26 billion.</p><p><blockquote>西联汇款(NYSE：WU)上涨6.2%；Goldfinch和Baupost将以约9.1亿美元现金收购西联商业解决方案。报告第二季度每股收益为0.48美元，比分析师预期的0.47美元高出0.01美元。该季度营收为13亿美元，而市场普遍预期为12.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a> (NASDAQ: MELI)5.8% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $1.37, $1.26 better than the analyst estimate of $0.11. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.7 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.46 billion. Gross merchandise volume (“GMV”) grew to $7.0 billion, representing an increase of 39.2% in USD and 46.1% on an FX neutral basis.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">自由市场</a>（纳斯达克：MELI）上涨5.8%；报告第二季度每股收益为1.37美元，比分析师预期的0.11美元好1.26美元。该季度营收为17亿美元，而市场普遍预期为14.6亿美元。商品交易总额（“GMV”）增长至70亿美元，按美元计算增长39.2%，按外汇中性计算增长46.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Uber (NYSE: UBER)4.6% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.58, $1.09 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.51). Revenue for the quarter came in at $3.93 billion versus the consensus estimate of $3.74 billion.</p><p><blockquote>优步(NYSE：UBER)下跌4.6%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.58美元，比分析师预期的0.51美元高出1.09美元。该季度营收为39.3亿美元，而市场普遍预期为37.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: EA)3.5% HIGHER; reported Q1 EPS of $0.71, $0.09 better than the analyst estimate of $0.62. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.34 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.28 billion.</p><p><blockquote>艺电（纳斯达克：EA）上涨3.5%；报告第一季度每股收益为0.71美元，比分析师预期的0.62美元高出0.09美元。该季度营收为13.4亿美元，而市场普遍预期为12.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">Booking Holdings</a> (NASDAQ: BKNG)3.1% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of ($2.55), $0.45 worse than the analyst estimate of ($2.10). Revenue for the quarter came in at $2.16 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.9 billion.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">预订控股</a>（纳斯达克：BKNG）上涨3.1%；报告第二季度每股收益为（2.55美元），比分析师预期的（2.10美元）差0.45美元。该季度营收为21.6亿美元，而市场普遍预期为19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines After Hours US Market on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场盘后顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines After Hours US Market on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场盘后顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-05 07:43</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Futures contracts tied to the major U.S. equity indexes were little changed at the start of the overnight session Wednesday evening as Wall Street looked to improve upon a mixed week.</p><p><blockquote>周三晚间隔夜交易开始时，与美国主要股指相关的期货合约几乎没有变化，因为华尔街希望在涨跌互现的一周中有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:30&nbsp;p.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 19 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 2.25 points, or 0.05%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 7.50 points, or 0.05%.</p><p><blockquote>晚上七点半。ET，道指e-minis上涨19点，涨幅0.05%，标普500 e-minis上涨2.25点，涨幅0.05%，纳斯达克100 e-minis下跌7.50点，涨幅0.05%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15029cdb3b40554099587488dcc610a7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making biggest moves after hours: Etsy, Electronic Arts, Roku &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘后涨幅最大的股票：Etsy、艺电、Roku等</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FSLY\">Fastly, Inc.</a> (NYSE: FSLY)19.3% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.15), $0.02 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.17). Revenue for the quarter came in at $85 million versus the consensus estimate of $85.73 million. Fastly, Inc. sees Q3 2021 EPS of ($0.21)-($0.18), versus the consensus of ($0.09). Fastly, Inc. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $82-85 million, versus the consensus of $98.02 million. Fastly, Inc. sees FY2021 EPS of ($0.65)-($0.57), versus the consensus of ($0.43). Fastly, Inc. sees FY2021 revenue of $340-350 million, versus the consensus of $382.34 million.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FSLY\">法斯特利公司。</a>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：FSLY）下跌19.3%；报告第二季度每股收益为（0.15美元），比分析师预期的（0.17美元）高出0.02美元。该季度收入为8500万美元，而市场普遍预期为8573万美元。Fastly，Inc.预计2021年第三季度每股收益为（0.21美元）-（0.18美元），而市场普遍预期为（0.09美元）。Fastly，Inc.预计2021年第三季度收入为82-8500万美元，而市场普遍预期为9802万美元。Fastly，Inc.预计2021财年每股收益为（0.65美元）-（0.57美元），而市场普遍预期为（0.43美元）。Fastly，Inc.预计2021财年收入为3.40-3.5亿美元，而市场普遍预期为3.8234亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Ping Identity (NYSE: PING) 13.2% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.11, $0.07 better than the analyst estimate of $0.04. Revenue for the quarter came in at $78.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $66.09 million. Ping Identity sees Q3 2021 revenue of $65-70 million, versus the consensus of $65.1 million. Ping Identity sees FY2021 revenue of $278-285 million, versus the consensus of $269.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>Ping Identity(NYSE：PING)上涨13.2%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.11美元，比分析师预期的0.04美元好0.07美元。该季度营收为7890万美元，而市场普遍预期为6609万美元。Ping Identity预计2021年第三季度收入为65-7000万美元，而市场普遍预期为6510万美元。Ping Identity预计2021财年收入为2.78-2.85亿美元，而市场普遍预期为2.693亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Etsy (NASDAQ: ETSY)13.7% LOWER; reported Q2 revenue $528.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $524.84 million. Consolidated GMS was $3.0 billion, up 13.1% year-over-year; while Etsy marketplace GMS was $2.8 billion, up 14.2% year-over-year. Etsy sees Q3 2021 revenue of $500-525 million, versus the consensus of $524.91 million.</p><p><blockquote>Etsy（纳斯达克：ETSY）下跌13.7%；报告第二季度收入为5.289亿美元，而市场普遍预期为5.2484亿美元。综合GMS为30亿美元，同比增长13.1%；而Etsy marketplace GMS为28亿美元，同比增长14.2%。Etsy预计2021年第三季度收入为500-5.25亿美元，而市场普遍预期为5.2491亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> PetIQ, Inc. (NASDAQ: PETQ)11.7% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.14, $0.59 worse than the analyst estimate of $0.73. Revenue for the quarter came in at $271 million versus the consensus estimate of $304.72 million.</p><p><blockquote>PetIQ公司（纳斯达克：PETQ）下跌11.7%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.14美元，比分析师预期的0.73美元差0.59美元。该季度营收为2.71亿美元，而市场普遍预期为3.0472亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Lemonade (NYSE: LMND) 9.1% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.90), $0.01 worse than the analyst estimate of ($0.89). Revenue for the quarter came in at $28.2 million versus the consensus estimate of $26.8 million. Lemonade sees Q3 2021 revenue of $32.5-33.5 million, versus the consensus of $32.32 million. Lemonade sees FY2021 revenue of $123-125 million, versus the consensus of $118.94 million.</p><p><blockquote>柠檬水(NYSE：LMND)下跌9.1%；报告第二季度每股收益为（0.90美元），比分析师预期的（0.89美元）差0.01美元。该季度收入为2820万美元，而市场普遍预期为2680万美元。Lemonade预计2021年第三季度收入为32.5-3350万美元，而市场普遍预期为3232万美元。Lemonade预计2021财年收入为123-1.25亿美元，而市场普遍预期为1.1894亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAXR\">Maxar Technologies Ltd.</a> (NYSE: MAXR)10.9% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.60, $0.46 worse than the analyst estimate of $1.06. Revenue for the quarter came in at $473 million versus the consensus estimate of $560.3 million.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAXR\">Maxar技术有限公司。</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：MAXR）下跌10.9%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.60美元，比分析师预期的1.06美元差0.46美元。该季度营收为4.73亿美元，而市场普遍预期为5.603亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Roku (NASDAQ: ROKU)8.4% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.52, $0.40 better than the analyst estimate of $0.12. Revenue for the quarter came in at $645.1 million versus the consensus estimate of $618.54 million. Roku sees Q3 2021 revenue of $675-685 million, versus the consensus of $645 million.</p><p><blockquote>Roku（纳斯达克：Roku）下跌8.4%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.52美元，比分析师预期的0.12美元高出0.40美元。该季度营收为6.451亿美元，而市场普遍预期为6.1854亿美元。Roku预计2021年第三季度营收为6.75-6.85亿美元，而市场普遍预期为6.45亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Western Union (NYSE: WU)6.2% HIGHER; Goldfinch and Baupost will acquire Western Union Business Solutions for approximately $910 million in cash. reported Q2 EPS of $0.48, $0.01 better than the analyst estimate of $0.47. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.3 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.26 billion.</p><p><blockquote>西联汇款(NYSE：WU)上涨6.2%；Goldfinch和Baupost将以约9.1亿美元现金收购西联商业解决方案。报告第二季度每股收益为0.48美元，比分析师预期的0.47美元高出0.01美元。该季度营收为13亿美元，而市场普遍预期为12.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a> (NASDAQ: MELI)5.8% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $1.37, $1.26 better than the analyst estimate of $0.11. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.7 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.46 billion. Gross merchandise volume (“GMV”) grew to $7.0 billion, representing an increase of 39.2% in USD and 46.1% on an FX neutral basis.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">自由市场</a>（纳斯达克：MELI）上涨5.8%；报告第二季度每股收益为1.37美元，比分析师预期的0.11美元好1.26美元。该季度营收为17亿美元，而市场普遍预期为14.6亿美元。商品交易总额（“GMV”）增长至70亿美元，按美元计算增长39.2%，按外汇中性计算增长46.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Uber (NYSE: UBER)4.6% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.58, $1.09 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.51). Revenue for the quarter came in at $3.93 billion versus the consensus estimate of $3.74 billion.</p><p><blockquote>优步(NYSE：UBER)下跌4.6%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.58美元，比分析师预期的0.51美元高出1.09美元。该季度营收为39.3亿美元，而市场普遍预期为37.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: EA)3.5% HIGHER; reported Q1 EPS of $0.71, $0.09 better than the analyst estimate of $0.62. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.34 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.28 billion.</p><p><blockquote>艺电（纳斯达克：EA）上涨3.5%；报告第一季度每股收益为0.71美元，比分析师预期的0.62美元高出0.09美元。该季度营收为13.4亿美元，而市场普遍预期为12.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">Booking Holdings</a> (NASDAQ: BKNG)3.1% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of ($2.55), $0.45 worse than the analyst estimate of ($2.10). Revenue for the quarter came in at $2.16 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.9 billion.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">预订控股</a>（纳斯达克：BKNG）上涨3.1%；报告第二季度每股收益为（2.55美元），比分析师预期的（2.10美元）差0.45美元。该季度营收为21.6亿美元，而市场普遍预期为19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MELI":"MercadoLibre","ROKU":"Roku Inc",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","FSLY":"Fastly, Inc.","BKNG":"Booking Holdings","EA":"艺电","PING":"Ping Identity Holding",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","UBER":"优步","PETQ":"Petiq Inc.","WU":"西联汇款"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179402387","content_text":"Futures contracts tied to the major U.S. equity indexes were little changed at the start of the overnight session Wednesday evening as Wall Street looked to improve upon a mixed week.\nAt 7:30 p.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 19 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 2.25 points, or 0.05%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 7.50 points, or 0.05%.\n\nStocks making biggest moves after hours: Etsy, Electronic Arts, Roku & more\nFastly, Inc. (NYSE: FSLY)19.3% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.15), $0.02 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.17). Revenue for the quarter came in at $85 million versus the consensus estimate of $85.73 million. Fastly, Inc. sees Q3 2021 EPS of ($0.21)-($0.18), versus the consensus of ($0.09). Fastly, Inc. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $82-85 million, versus the consensus of $98.02 million. Fastly, Inc. sees FY2021 EPS of ($0.65)-($0.57), versus the consensus of ($0.43). Fastly, Inc. sees FY2021 revenue of $340-350 million, versus the consensus of $382.34 million.\nPing Identity (NYSE: PING) 13.2% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.11, $0.07 better than the analyst estimate of $0.04. Revenue for the quarter came in at $78.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $66.09 million. Ping Identity sees Q3 2021 revenue of $65-70 million, versus the consensus of $65.1 million. Ping Identity sees FY2021 revenue of $278-285 million, versus the consensus of $269.3 million.\nEtsy (NASDAQ: ETSY)13.7% LOWER; reported Q2 revenue $528.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $524.84 million. Consolidated GMS was $3.0 billion, up 13.1% year-over-year; while Etsy marketplace GMS was $2.8 billion, up 14.2% year-over-year. Etsy sees Q3 2021 revenue of $500-525 million, versus the consensus of $524.91 million.\nPetIQ, Inc. (NASDAQ: PETQ)11.7% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.14, $0.59 worse than the analyst estimate of $0.73. Revenue for the quarter came in at $271 million versus the consensus estimate of $304.72 million.\nLemonade (NYSE: LMND) 9.1% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.90), $0.01 worse than the analyst estimate of ($0.89). Revenue for the quarter came in at $28.2 million versus the consensus estimate of $26.8 million. Lemonade sees Q3 2021 revenue of $32.5-33.5 million, versus the consensus of $32.32 million. Lemonade sees FY2021 revenue of $123-125 million, versus the consensus of $118.94 million.\nMaxar Technologies Ltd. (NYSE: MAXR)10.9% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.60, $0.46 worse than the analyst estimate of $1.06. Revenue for the quarter came in at $473 million versus the consensus estimate of $560.3 million.\nRoku (NASDAQ: ROKU)8.4% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.52, $0.40 better than the analyst estimate of $0.12. Revenue for the quarter came in at $645.1 million versus the consensus estimate of $618.54 million. Roku sees Q3 2021 revenue of $675-685 million, versus the consensus of $645 million.\nWestern Union (NYSE: WU)6.2% HIGHER; Goldfinch and Baupost will acquire Western Union Business Solutions for approximately $910 million in cash. reported Q2 EPS of $0.48, $0.01 better than the analyst estimate of $0.47. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.3 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.26 billion.\nMercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI)5.8% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $1.37, $1.26 better than the analyst estimate of $0.11. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.7 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.46 billion. Gross merchandise volume (“GMV”) grew to $7.0 billion, representing an increase of 39.2% in USD and 46.1% on an FX neutral basis.\nUber (NYSE: UBER)4.6% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.58, $1.09 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.51). Revenue for the quarter came in at $3.93 billion versus the consensus estimate of $3.74 billion.\nElectronic Arts (NASDAQ: EA)3.5% HIGHER; reported Q1 EPS of $0.71, $0.09 better than the analyst estimate of $0.62. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.34 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.28 billion.\nBooking Holdings (NASDAQ: BKNG)3.1% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of ($2.55), $0.45 worse than the analyst estimate of ($2.10). Revenue for the quarter came in at $2.16 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.9 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FSLY":0.9,"EA":0.9,"PETQ":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"ROKU":0.9,"MELI":0.9,"PING":0.9,"WU":0.9,"BKNG":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":351,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805863373,"gmtCreate":1627870256392,"gmtModify":1633755758338,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583172240969692","authorIdStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805863373","repostId":"1162847379","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802108319,"gmtCreate":1627726771131,"gmtModify":1633756776454,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583172240969692","authorIdStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow...","listText":"Wow...","text":"Wow...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802108319","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177309534,"gmtCreate":1627178779228,"gmtModify":1633767448372,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583172240969692","authorIdStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow...","listText":"Wow...","text":"Wow...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177309534","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":79,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177974412,"gmtCreate":1627178657236,"gmtModify":1633767450861,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583172240969692","authorIdStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah..","listText":"Yeah..","text":"Yeah..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177974412","repostId":"2153938547","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153938547","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627085070,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153938547?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 08:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时多</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153938547","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few mo","content":"<p>Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon</p><p><blockquote>苹果财报预览：最近缺乏季度预测可能会导致高管在周二下午讨论业绩时透露更多有关下一次iPhone发布的暗示</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1694f71fa4dec194ef63e28ffc75776f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"495\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Heavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>无线行业的大力促销可能使苹果在第二季度的业务受益。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.</p><p><blockquote>这场大流行可能会给通常伴随苹果公司六月季度电话会议的猜谜游戏增添一丝皱纹。</blockquote></p><p> Typically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>通常最重要的花絮来自第三财季收益，苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>定于周二下午公布该公司对9月份季度收入的展望和评论，这可以为该公司在下一款智能手机发布初期的预期提供线索。强劲的预测可能意味着该公司打算在本财年的最后几天推出新产品线，而较弱的指引可能表明推出将推迟到第四季度。</blockquote></p><p> The problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.</p><p><blockquote>这一次的问题是，苹果在疫情期间推迟发布正式展望一年多，目前尚不清楚该公司何时或是否会恢复这种做法。相反，苹果一直在提供“方向性见解”，以表明其业绩与前几个季度的业绩相比如何，但众所周知，它对iPhone发布计划守口如瓶。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Co. analyst Brian White.</p><p><blockquote>Monness、Crespi、Hardt&amp;Co.分析师Brian写道：“我们预计iPhone 13的上市时间最终将成为[第四财季]的摇摆因素，因此我们预计该公司将提供更精细的方向性评论。”怀特。</blockquote></p><p> The coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的阵容表现良好，即将推出的产品令人非常感兴趣。Barclays分析师Tim Long写道：“iPhone 12周期一直很强劲，但我们认为接下来的两个周期可能会充满挑战，2022财年和2023财年的销量可能会同比下降。”</blockquote></p><p> The June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于周二公布的六月季度数据传统上较慢<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>随着消费者等待下一款iPhone的发布，但该公司仍有望实现智能手机业务的大幅增长。该公司不仅可以轻松地与疫情早期进行比较，而且还应该从异常促销的无线行业中获得回报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>FactSet追踪的分析师预计苹果每股收益为1.01美元，高于去年同期的65美分。根据Estimize（对冲基金、学者和其他人的众包预测）的数据，平均预期每股收益为1.16美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue: </b>The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>FactSet一致认为评级的总收入为732.6亿美元，高于一年前的596.9亿美元。根据Estimize，平均估计为773.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> On a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.</p><p><blockquote>在细分市场层面，FactSet调查的分析师预计iPhone收入为341.9亿美元，iPad收入为71.7亿美元，Mac收入为78.6亿美元，服务收入为162.6亿美元，可穿戴设备、家居和配件类别的收入为78.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>苹果股价在过去五份财报中的四份后下跌，尽管该股在过去12个月内上涨了60%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet追踪的44名研究苹果股票的分析师中，33名给予买入评级，9名给予持有评级，2名给予卖出评级，平均目标价为157.88美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么值得注意的</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone业务有望实现至少三年来的第二大增长率，仅次于上一季度。FactSet追踪的分析师预计iPhone营收为342亿美元，同比增长29.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Some encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&amp;T Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></p><p><blockquote>威瑞森通信公司发出了一些令人鼓舞的信号。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>该公司最近进行了一次大规模的iPhone促销活动，试图与竞争对手AT&amp;T Inc.的折扣相匹配。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></blockquote></p><p> \"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .</p><p><blockquote>Verizon首席财务官Matthew Ellis在公司财报看涨期权上表示：“整个季度势头强劲，我们安排了促销活动，以充分利用经济复苏和客户活动增加的机会。”威瑞森大约20%的消费者现在使用支持5G的手机。</blockquote></p><p> Raymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James分析师Chris Caso指出，升级的数量甚至可能不是最重要的因素，因为他对去年iPhone运营商交易的分析发现，它们可能有助于推动更昂贵设备的更大“组合”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>“如果免费提供基本型号，消费者似乎愿意每月支付几美元升级到更高端型号，”他在分析去年补贴的基础上写道。</blockquote></p><p> UBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师David Vogt也对进入第三财季报告的业务感到乐观，他指出电信行业出现了积极迹象，例如“积极的促销活动”和无线商店零售流量的改善。</blockquote></p><p> But he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.</p><p><blockquote>但他指出，需求对苹果来说可能不是大问题，因为由于供应限制困扰更广泛的电子行业及其他行业，该公司的整体上涨空间受到“限制”。苹果在其收益看涨期权中解决了这些问题，预计6月份季度的负面收入影响将达到30亿至40亿美元，预计主要影响Mac和iPad业务。</blockquote></p><p> Another key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键的叙述是，考虑到家庭以外更正常的活动，这两个部分如何更普遍地保持下去。苹果的Mac和iPad在那些需要新硬件来支持远程工作和学校教育的人中很受欢迎，但分析师将关注个人电脑的繁荣是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> \"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"</p><p><blockquote>CFRA分析师安吉洛·齐诺(Angelo Zino)写道：“虽然苹果将不得不在[6月季度]及其后的几个季度应对非常困难的流行病比较，但我们看到这两个类别的近期有利因素。”“我们看到，随着全球经济全面重新开放，企业层面的企业升级将成为需求的更大贡献者。”</blockquote></p><p> The coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.</p><p><blockquote>即将发布的结果也将是苹果新的丰富多彩的iMac系列和功能强大的iPad Pro的第一个需求指标，这两款产品都是在春季推出的，并采用了该公司定制的M1芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时多</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时多</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 08:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon</p><p><blockquote>苹果财报预览：最近缺乏季度预测可能会导致高管在周二下午讨论业绩时透露更多有关下一次iPhone发布的暗示</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1694f71fa4dec194ef63e28ffc75776f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"495\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Heavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>无线行业的大力促销可能使苹果在第二季度的业务受益。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.</p><p><blockquote>这场大流行可能会给通常伴随苹果公司六月季度电话会议的猜谜游戏增添一丝皱纹。</blockquote></p><p> Typically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>通常最重要的花絮来自第三财季收益，苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>定于周二下午公布该公司对9月份季度收入的展望和评论，这可以为该公司在下一款智能手机发布初期的预期提供线索。强劲的预测可能意味着该公司打算在本财年的最后几天推出新产品线，而较弱的指引可能表明推出将推迟到第四季度。</blockquote></p><p> The problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.</p><p><blockquote>这一次的问题是，苹果在疫情期间推迟发布正式展望一年多，目前尚不清楚该公司何时或是否会恢复这种做法。相反，苹果一直在提供“方向性见解”，以表明其业绩与前几个季度的业绩相比如何，但众所周知，它对iPhone发布计划守口如瓶。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Co. analyst Brian White.</p><p><blockquote>Monness、Crespi、Hardt&amp;Co.分析师Brian写道：“我们预计iPhone 13的上市时间最终将成为[第四财季]的摇摆因素，因此我们预计该公司将提供更精细的方向性评论。”怀特。</blockquote></p><p> The coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的阵容表现良好，即将推出的产品令人非常感兴趣。Barclays分析师Tim Long写道：“iPhone 12周期一直很强劲，但我们认为接下来的两个周期可能会充满挑战，2022财年和2023财年的销量可能会同比下降。”</blockquote></p><p> The June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于周二公布的六月季度数据传统上较慢<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>随着消费者等待下一款iPhone的发布，但该公司仍有望实现智能手机业务的大幅增长。该公司不仅可以轻松地与疫情早期进行比较，而且还应该从异常促销的无线行业中获得回报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>FactSet追踪的分析师预计苹果每股收益为1.01美元，高于去年同期的65美分。根据Estimize（对冲基金、学者和其他人的众包预测）的数据，平均预期每股收益为1.16美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue: </b>The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>FactSet一致认为评级的总收入为732.6亿美元，高于一年前的596.9亿美元。根据Estimize，平均估计为773.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> On a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.</p><p><blockquote>在细分市场层面，FactSet调查的分析师预计iPhone收入为341.9亿美元，iPad收入为71.7亿美元，Mac收入为78.6亿美元，服务收入为162.6亿美元，可穿戴设备、家居和配件类别的收入为78.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>苹果股价在过去五份财报中的四份后下跌，尽管该股在过去12个月内上涨了60%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet追踪的44名研究苹果股票的分析师中，33名给予买入评级，9名给予持有评级，2名给予卖出评级，平均目标价为157.88美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么值得注意的</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone业务有望实现至少三年来的第二大增长率，仅次于上一季度。FactSet追踪的分析师预计iPhone营收为342亿美元，同比增长29.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Some encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&amp;T Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></p><p><blockquote>威瑞森通信公司发出了一些令人鼓舞的信号。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>该公司最近进行了一次大规模的iPhone促销活动，试图与竞争对手AT&amp;T Inc.的折扣相匹配。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></blockquote></p><p> \"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .</p><p><blockquote>Verizon首席财务官Matthew Ellis在公司财报看涨期权上表示：“整个季度势头强劲，我们安排了促销活动，以充分利用经济复苏和客户活动增加的机会。”威瑞森大约20%的消费者现在使用支持5G的手机。</blockquote></p><p> Raymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James分析师Chris Caso指出，升级的数量甚至可能不是最重要的因素，因为他对去年iPhone运营商交易的分析发现，它们可能有助于推动更昂贵设备的更大“组合”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>“如果免费提供基本型号，消费者似乎愿意每月支付几美元升级到更高端型号，”他在分析去年补贴的基础上写道。</blockquote></p><p> UBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师David Vogt也对进入第三财季报告的业务感到乐观，他指出电信行业出现了积极迹象，例如“积极的促销活动”和无线商店零售流量的改善。</blockquote></p><p> But he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.</p><p><blockquote>但他指出，需求对苹果来说可能不是大问题，因为由于供应限制困扰更广泛的电子行业及其他行业，该公司的整体上涨空间受到“限制”。苹果在其收益看涨期权中解决了这些问题，预计6月份季度的负面收入影响将达到30亿至40亿美元，预计主要影响Mac和iPad业务。</blockquote></p><p> Another key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键的叙述是，考虑到家庭以外更正常的活动，这两个部分如何更普遍地保持下去。苹果的Mac和iPad在那些需要新硬件来支持远程工作和学校教育的人中很受欢迎，但分析师将关注个人电脑的繁荣是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> \"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"</p><p><blockquote>CFRA分析师安吉洛·齐诺(Angelo Zino)写道：“虽然苹果将不得不在[6月季度]及其后的几个季度应对非常困难的流行病比较，但我们看到这两个类别的近期有利因素。”“我们看到，随着全球经济全面重新开放，企业层面的企业升级将成为需求的更大贡献者。”</blockquote></p><p> The coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.</p><p><blockquote>即将发布的结果也将是苹果新的丰富多彩的iMac系列和功能强大的iPad Pro的第一个需求指标，这两款产品都是在春季推出的，并采用了该公司定制的M1芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-will-apple-say-about-the-next-iphone-at-earnings-time-maybe-more-than-usual-11627077819?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-will-apple-say-about-the-next-iphone-at-earnings-time-maybe-more-than-usual-11627077819?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153938547","content_text":"Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon\nHeavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.\nThe pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.\nTypically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple $(AAPL)$ is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.\nThe problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.\n\"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co. analyst Brian White.\nThe coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.\nThe June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower one, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.\nWhat to watch for\nEarnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.\nRevenue: The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.\nOn a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.\nStock movement: Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.\nOf the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.\nWhat else to watch for\nApple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.\nSome encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. $(VZ)$, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&T Inc. $(T)$\n\"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .\nRaymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.\n\"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.\nUBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.\nBut he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.\nAnother key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.\n\"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"\nThe coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170198513,"gmtCreate":1626410077332,"gmtModify":1633926986884,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583172240969692","authorIdStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah...","listText":"Yeah...","text":"Yeah...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170198513","repostId":"1178506488","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146087626,"gmtCreate":1626044684665,"gmtModify":1633930801506,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583172240969692","authorIdStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146087626","repostId":"1166379040","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141918205,"gmtCreate":1625832586807,"gmtModify":1633936906482,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583172240969692","authorIdStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😀😀","listText":"😀😀","text":"😀😀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141918205","repostId":"1132560832","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132560832","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625831887,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132560832?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-09 19:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stamps.com shares surges 14% in premarket trading,as going private at $330 per share in $6.6B cash deal with Thoma Bravo<blockquote>Stamps.com股价在盘前交易中飙升14%，与Thoma Bravo达成6.6 B美元现金交易，以每股330美元的价格私有化</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132560832","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stamps.com shares surges 14% in premarket trading,as going private at $330 per share in $6.6B cash d","content":"<p>Stamps.com&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surges&nbsp;14%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;going private at $330 per share in $6.6B cash deal with Thoma Bravo.</p><p><blockquote>邮票。com股价在盘前交易中飙升14%，与Thoma Bravo达成6.6 B美元现金交易，以每股330美元的价格私有化。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04f161f070e63ab83519e4d884ce773d\" tg-width=\"1272\" tg-height=\"604\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Stamps.com(NASDAQ:STMP)stockholders toreceive $330.00 per share in cash.</li>  <li>The offer price per share represents a&nbsp;<b>premium of 66.9% over Stamps.com's closing share price</b>&nbsp;on July 08, 2021.</li>  <li>Stamps.com’s Board of Directors has unanimously approved the agreement with Thoma Bravo.</li>  <li>Post-completion, Stamps.com will become a private company with the flexibility and resources to provide global e-commerce technology solutions.</li>  <li>Additionally, Stamps.com will benefit from the operating capabilities, capital support, and deep sector expertise of Thoma Bravo.</li>  <li>The agreement includes a 40-day “go-shop” period expiring August 18, 2021, allowing the Board and its advisors to actively initiate, solicit and consider alternative acquisition proposals from third parties.</li>  <li>The transaction is expected to close in Q3'21, subject to customary closing conditions, including approval by Stamps.com stockholders and receipt of regulatory approvals.</li>  <li>Stamps.com to resume trading at 8 a.m. ET</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Stamps.com（纳斯达克：STMP）股东将获得每股330.00美元现金。</li><li>每股发售价相当于<b>较Stamps.com收盘价溢价66.9%</b>2021年7月8日。</li><li>Stamps.com董事会一致批准了与Thoma Bravo的协议。</li><li>完成后，Stamps.com将成为一家私营公司，拥有提供全球电子商务技术解决方案的灵活性和资源。</li><li>此外，Stamps.com将受益于Thoma Bravo的运营能力、资本支持和深厚的行业专业知识。</li><li>该协议包括将于2021年8月18日到期的40天“go-shop”期，允许董事会及其顾问积极发起、征求和考虑第三方的替代收购提案。</li><li>该交易预计将于21年第三季度完成，但须满足惯例成交条件，包括获得Stamps.com股东的批准和获得监管部门的批准。</li><li>Stamps.com将于美国东部时间上午8点恢复交易</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stamps.com shares surges 14% in premarket trading,as going private at $330 per share in $6.6B cash deal with Thoma Bravo<blockquote>Stamps.com股价在盘前交易中飙升14%，与Thoma Bravo达成6.6 B美元现金交易，以每股330美元的价格私有化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStamps.com shares surges 14% in premarket trading,as going private at $330 per share in $6.6B cash deal with Thoma Bravo<blockquote>Stamps.com股价在盘前交易中飙升14%，与Thoma Bravo达成6.6 B美元现金交易，以每股330美元的价格私有化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-09 19:58</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stamps.com&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surges&nbsp;14%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;going private at $330 per share in $6.6B cash deal with Thoma Bravo.</p><p><blockquote>邮票。com股价在盘前交易中飙升14%，与Thoma Bravo达成6.6 B美元现金交易，以每股330美元的价格私有化。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04f161f070e63ab83519e4d884ce773d\" tg-width=\"1272\" tg-height=\"604\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Stamps.com(NASDAQ:STMP)stockholders toreceive $330.00 per share in cash.</li>  <li>The offer price per share represents a&nbsp;<b>premium of 66.9% over Stamps.com's closing share price</b>&nbsp;on July 08, 2021.</li>  <li>Stamps.com’s Board of Directors has unanimously approved the agreement with Thoma Bravo.</li>  <li>Post-completion, Stamps.com will become a private company with the flexibility and resources to provide global e-commerce technology solutions.</li>  <li>Additionally, Stamps.com will benefit from the operating capabilities, capital support, and deep sector expertise of Thoma Bravo.</li>  <li>The agreement includes a 40-day “go-shop” period expiring August 18, 2021, allowing the Board and its advisors to actively initiate, solicit and consider alternative acquisition proposals from third parties.</li>  <li>The transaction is expected to close in Q3'21, subject to customary closing conditions, including approval by Stamps.com stockholders and receipt of regulatory approvals.</li>  <li>Stamps.com to resume trading at 8 a.m. ET</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Stamps.com（纳斯达克：STMP）股东将获得每股330.00美元现金。</li><li>每股发售价相当于<b>较Stamps.com收盘价溢价66.9%</b>2021年7月8日。</li><li>Stamps.com董事会一致批准了与Thoma Bravo的协议。</li><li>完成后，Stamps.com将成为一家私营公司，拥有提供全球电子商务技术解决方案的灵活性和资源。</li><li>此外，Stamps.com将受益于Thoma Bravo的运营能力、资本支持和深厚的行业专业知识。</li><li>该协议包括将于2021年8月18日到期的40天“go-shop”期，允许董事会及其顾问积极发起、征求和考虑第三方的替代收购提案。</li><li>该交易预计将于21年第三季度完成，但须满足惯例成交条件，包括获得Stamps.com股东的批准和获得监管部门的批准。</li><li>Stamps.com将于美国东部时间上午8点恢复交易</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STMP":"Stamps.com Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132560832","content_text":"Stamps.com shares surges 14% in premarket trading,as going private at $330 per share in $6.6B cash deal with Thoma Bravo.\n\n\nStamps.com(NASDAQ:STMP)stockholders toreceive $330.00 per share in cash.\nThe offer price per share represents a premium of 66.9% over Stamps.com's closing share price on July 08, 2021.\nStamps.com’s Board of Directors has unanimously approved the agreement with Thoma Bravo.\nPost-completion, Stamps.com will become a private company with the flexibility and resources to provide global e-commerce technology solutions.\nAdditionally, Stamps.com will benefit from the operating capabilities, capital support, and deep sector expertise of Thoma Bravo.\nThe agreement includes a 40-day “go-shop” period expiring August 18, 2021, allowing the Board and its advisors to actively initiate, solicit and consider alternative acquisition proposals from third parties.\nThe transaction is expected to close in Q3'21, subject to customary closing conditions, including approval by Stamps.com stockholders and receipt of regulatory approvals.\nStamps.com to resume trading at 8 a.m. ET","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STMP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143266303,"gmtCreate":1625796451102,"gmtModify":1633937228698,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583172240969692","authorIdStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hai..","listText":"Hai..","text":"Hai..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143266303","repostId":"1153646457","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":43,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143855883,"gmtCreate":1625789087742,"gmtModify":1633937377311,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583172240969692","authorIdStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lasted","listText":"Lasted","text":"Lasted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143855883","repostId":"1195657546","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":51,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":143266303,"gmtCreate":1625796451102,"gmtModify":1633937228698,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583172240969692","idStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hai..","listText":"Hai..","text":"Hai..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143266303","repostId":"1153646457","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":43,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893054547,"gmtCreate":1628223751789,"gmtModify":1633752434185,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583172240969692","idStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah...","listText":"Yeah...","text":"Yeah...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893054547","repostId":"1199377263","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199377263","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628222564,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199377263?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 12:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 looks strong — but these ‘internals’ are far less positive<blockquote>标普500看起来很强劲——但这些“内部因素”远没有那么积极</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199377263","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The S&P 500 index continues to accelerate to the upside. A new all-time closing high was registered ","content":"<p>The S&amp;P 500 index continues to accelerate to the upside. A new all-time closing high was registered on Tuesday. Yet, the “internals” of the market remain in a far worse state. This has been the case for some time (since June 11, at least), and it may continue to be the case for a while longer.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数继续加速上行。周二创下历史收盘新高。然而，市场的“内部”仍然处于更糟糕的状态。这种情况已经持续了一段时间（至少自6月11日以来），而且这种情况可能会持续一段时间。</blockquote></p><p> But as long as the S&amp;P&nbsp;chart is positive and above support, a “core” long position is recommended.</p><p><blockquote>但只要标普图表为正且高于支撑位，建议建立“核心”多头头寸。</blockquote></p><p> The first support level is now roughly 4370. That was the low on the two most recent days on which SPX sold off and then rebounded – July 27 and Tuesday (yes, the same day that SPX bounced back from that level and then closed at a new all-time high). Since it has been doubly tested, that makes it a viable support level. There is resistance at 4430, the all-time intraday high.</p><p><blockquote>第一支撑位现在大致在4370。这是SPX抛售然后反弹的最近两天的低点——7月27日和周二（是的，同一天SPX从该水平反弹，然后收于历史新高）。由于它已经过双重测试，这使它成为一个可行的支撑位。盘中历史高点4430有阻力。</blockquote></p><p> You can see from the accompanying chart that SPX has been in a rather right trading since July 23 – between 4370 and 4430.</p><p><blockquote>你可以从附图中看到，自7月23日以来，SPX一直处于相当正确的交易状态——在4370到4430之间。</blockquote></p><p> A breakout from that range will be significant. If it were to break to the downside, that would be a negative for the SPX chart. Below there, a major support area exists at 4233, and it would likely be tested quickly after a break below 4370.</p><p><blockquote>突破该范围将具有重要意义。如果它向下突破，这将对SPX图表不利。在此下方，主要支撑区域位于4233点，跌破4370点后可能会很快受到测试。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fde9899a8fd1227a022dfe59858d4c5\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So the SPX chart is still positive, but there is a McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal in place (green “S” on chart).</p><p><blockquote>因此，SPX图表仍然是积极的，但有一个麦克米兰波动带（MVB）卖出信号（图表上的绿色“S”）。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at some of the indicators that encompass a larger number of stocks. You will see that they are far less positive. First are the equity-only put-call ratios. These have been rising for a month, meaning they have been on sell signals during that time. Put volume has been heavy, relative to call volume, and that is what is causing these ratios to rise. It looks like there is a slight “wiggle” in the standard ratio’s chart, but the computer analysis programs say that is not significant.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看一些包含大量股票的指标。你会发现他们远没有那么积极。首先是仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率。这些价格已经上涨了一个月，这意味着在此期间它们一直在发出卖出信号。相对于看涨期权交易量，看跌交易量一直很大，这就是导致这些比率上升的原因。看起来标准比率的图表中有轻微的“波动”，但计算机分析程序说这并不显著。</blockquote></p><p> The larger picture here is that as many stocks have been declining, option traders have been buying puts on those stocks, forcing these equity-only put-call ratios higher. As long as the ratios are rising, they will remain on sell signals.</p><p><blockquote>这里更大的情况是，随着许多股票下跌，期权交易者一直在购买这些股票的看跌期权，迫使这些仅股票的看跌期权与看涨期权比率走高。只要比率上升，它们就会保持卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87099f2be31d9ce51b1b0c4708a9f046\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"535\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f08da61f702fd9abb483cd1d8f5b4ba\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Market breadth (advances minus declines) has been woeful since mid-June. That is, most stocks are going down, even though SPX is going up. In fact, what is driving this market is a handful of large-cap NASDAQ stocks (the FAANG stocks plus Microsoft are the strongest stocks).</p><p><blockquote>自6月中旬以来，市场广度（上涨减去下跌）一直很糟糕。也就是说，大多数股票都在下跌，尽管SPX在上涨。事实上，推动这个市场的是少数大盘股纳斯达克股票（FAANG股票加上微软是最强的股票）。</blockquote></p><p> Things have improved a little in the last couple of weeks, and so our breadth oscillators are on buy signals, but they are still in negative territory. Normally when SPX is making new all-time highs, the breadth oscillators are will into positive territory, reflecting a strong overall market. But that is not the case now.</p><p><blockquote>过去几周情况有所改善，因此我们的宽度振荡器发出买入信号，但仍处于负值区域。通常情况下，当SPX创下历史新高时，宽度振荡指标将进入正值区域，反映出整体市场强劲。但现在情况并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, cumulative breadth (the running total of daily advances minus declines) has not made a new all-time high since June 11. SPX has made a new closing or intraday high on 19 separate trading days since then. That is a huge, negative market divergence, but it alone is not a sell signal. Rather, it is a strong warning to be alert – to avoid complacency.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自6月11日以来，累计广度（每日涨幅减去跌幅）尚未创下历史新高。此后，SPX已连续19个交易日创下收盘或盘中新高。这是一个巨大的负面市场背离，但它本身并不是卖出信号。相反，这是一个强烈的警告，要保持警惕——避免自满。</blockquote></p><p> New 52-week highs on the NYSE continue to lead new 52-week lows. Recently, there have been some isolated days where new lows exceeded new highs using NASDAQ or “stocks only” data, but not when using NYSE data. That means this indicator remains bullish for stocks. It would turn negative if NYSE new lows exceeded new highs and were sufficiently large, but that has not happened.</p><p><blockquote>纽交所52周新高继续领涨52周新低。最近，有一些孤立的日子，使用纳斯达克或“仅股票”数据，新低超过新高，但使用纽约证券交易所数据时则不然。这意味着该指标仍然看涨股市。如果纽交所新低超过新高且足够大，则会转为负值，但这种情况并未发生。</blockquote></p><p> There is a realized volatility sell signal in place, as well. That occurred when the S&amp;P’s 20-day historical volatility first fell below 8% (in mid-June) and then later rose above 11% (in late July).</p><p><blockquote>还有一个已实现的波动性卖出信号。这发生在标准普尔20天历史波动率首先跌破8%（6月中旬），然后升至11%以上（7月下旬）。</blockquote></p><p> Implied volatility, on the other hand, remains in a bullish state, as far the stock market is concerned. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20 remains in place. Moreover, the VIX 200-day moving average is still declining and is well above the price of VIX.There has been a slow “creep” upward by VIX, from 15 to 19 over the last month, but that doesn’t appear to be a significant change of trend.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，就股市而言，隐含波动率仍处于看涨状态。7月20日的VIX“峰值”买入信号仍然存在。而且，VIX 200日均线仍在下降，远高于VIX的价格。上个月，VIX指数从15点缓慢“攀升”至19点，但这似乎并不是趋势的重大变化。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3501a851250cf90d4f08e0152a5d9a9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"524\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Finally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains positive for the stock market. The VIX futures are trading at a premium to VIX, and the term structures of those VIX futures and the CBOE Volatility Indices slope upward.</p><p><blockquote>最后，波动性衍生品的结构对股市仍然有利。VIX期货的交易价格高于VIX，这些VIX期货和CBOE波动率指数的期限结构向上倾斜。</blockquote></p><p> The SPX chart is still positive. That is the most important fact. Until that changes, a long “core” position is recommended. Around that, one can trade confirmed signals – both buy and sell. A violation of the 4370 area by SPX would change things for the negative, but a breakout to new all-time highs above 4430 would reinforce the bullish case.</p><p><blockquote>SPX图表仍然是积极的。这是最重要的事实。在这种情况发生变化之前，建议持有多头“核心”头寸。围绕这一点，人们可以交易确认的信号——买入和卖出。SPX突破4370区域将改变负面影响，但突破4430以上的历史新高将强化看涨理由。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New recommendation: Conditional SPX sell signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新建议：有条件SPX卖出信号</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the above article, we are going to lay out some parameters regarding taking a bearish position should SPX support be broken:</p><p><blockquote>根据上述文章，我们将列出一些有关在SPX支撑位被突破时采取看跌头寸的参数：</blockquote></p><p> <b>IF SPX trades below 4370 and stays there for an hour,</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果SPX低于4370并在那里停留一小时，</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>THEN buy 1 SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put</b></p><p><blockquote><b>然后买入1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）平价看跌期权</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; And sell 1 SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并以下跌25点的价格卖出1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）看跌期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> In addition,</p><p><blockquote>此外，</blockquote></p><p> <b>IF SPX closes below 4370,</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果SPX收盘低于4370，</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>THEN buy another bear spread:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>然后再买一个熊市价差：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Buy 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put</b></p><p><blockquote><b>购买1（更多）SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）平价看跌期权</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; And sell 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并以较低25点的价格卖出1（更多）SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）看跌期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> Note that it is possible that the second condition (close below 4370) could occur without the first condition being satisfied (if SPX breaks below 4370 late in a trading day). If that is the case, then buy 2 of these spreads on the close.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，在没有满足第一个条件的情况下，第二个条件（收盘低于4370）可能会发生（如果SPX在交易日晚些时候跌破4370）。如果是这样的话，那么在收盘时买入2个这样的价差。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, if these spreads are established, stop yourself out of all of these bear spreads on an SPX close above 4430.</p><p><blockquote>最后，如果这些价差成立，请在SPX收盘价高于4430时停止所有这些熊市价差。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 looks strong — but these ‘internals’ are far less positive<blockquote>标普500看起来很强劲——但这些“内部因素”远没有那么积极</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 looks strong — but these ‘internals’ are far less positive<blockquote>标普500看起来很强劲——但这些“内部因素”远没有那么积极</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-06 12:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 index continues to accelerate to the upside. A new all-time closing high was registered on Tuesday. Yet, the “internals” of the market remain in a far worse state. This has been the case for some time (since June 11, at least), and it may continue to be the case for a while longer.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数继续加速上行。周二创下历史收盘新高。然而，市场的“内部”仍然处于更糟糕的状态。这种情况已经持续了一段时间（至少自6月11日以来），而且这种情况可能会持续一段时间。</blockquote></p><p> But as long as the S&amp;P&nbsp;chart is positive and above support, a “core” long position is recommended.</p><p><blockquote>但只要标普图表为正且高于支撑位，建议建立“核心”多头头寸。</blockquote></p><p> The first support level is now roughly 4370. That was the low on the two most recent days on which SPX sold off and then rebounded – July 27 and Tuesday (yes, the same day that SPX bounced back from that level and then closed at a new all-time high). Since it has been doubly tested, that makes it a viable support level. There is resistance at 4430, the all-time intraday high.</p><p><blockquote>第一支撑位现在大致在4370。这是SPX抛售然后反弹的最近两天的低点——7月27日和周二（是的，同一天SPX从该水平反弹，然后收于历史新高）。由于它已经过双重测试，这使它成为一个可行的支撑位。盘中历史高点4430有阻力。</blockquote></p><p> You can see from the accompanying chart that SPX has been in a rather right trading since July 23 – between 4370 and 4430.</p><p><blockquote>你可以从附图中看到，自7月23日以来，SPX一直处于相当正确的交易状态——在4370到4430之间。</blockquote></p><p> A breakout from that range will be significant. If it were to break to the downside, that would be a negative for the SPX chart. Below there, a major support area exists at 4233, and it would likely be tested quickly after a break below 4370.</p><p><blockquote>突破该范围将具有重要意义。如果它向下突破，这将对SPX图表不利。在此下方，主要支撑区域位于4233点，跌破4370点后可能会很快受到测试。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fde9899a8fd1227a022dfe59858d4c5\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So the SPX chart is still positive, but there is a McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal in place (green “S” on chart).</p><p><blockquote>因此，SPX图表仍然是积极的，但有一个麦克米兰波动带（MVB）卖出信号（图表上的绿色“S”）。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at some of the indicators that encompass a larger number of stocks. You will see that they are far less positive. First are the equity-only put-call ratios. These have been rising for a month, meaning they have been on sell signals during that time. Put volume has been heavy, relative to call volume, and that is what is causing these ratios to rise. It looks like there is a slight “wiggle” in the standard ratio’s chart, but the computer analysis programs say that is not significant.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看一些包含大量股票的指标。你会发现他们远没有那么积极。首先是仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率。这些价格已经上涨了一个月，这意味着在此期间它们一直在发出卖出信号。相对于看涨期权交易量，看跌交易量一直很大，这就是导致这些比率上升的原因。看起来标准比率的图表中有轻微的“波动”，但计算机分析程序说这并不显著。</blockquote></p><p> The larger picture here is that as many stocks have been declining, option traders have been buying puts on those stocks, forcing these equity-only put-call ratios higher. As long as the ratios are rising, they will remain on sell signals.</p><p><blockquote>这里更大的情况是，随着许多股票下跌，期权交易者一直在购买这些股票的看跌期权，迫使这些仅股票的看跌期权与看涨期权比率走高。只要比率上升，它们就会保持卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87099f2be31d9ce51b1b0c4708a9f046\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"535\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f08da61f702fd9abb483cd1d8f5b4ba\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Market breadth (advances minus declines) has been woeful since mid-June. That is, most stocks are going down, even though SPX is going up. In fact, what is driving this market is a handful of large-cap NASDAQ stocks (the FAANG stocks plus Microsoft are the strongest stocks).</p><p><blockquote>自6月中旬以来，市场广度（上涨减去下跌）一直很糟糕。也就是说，大多数股票都在下跌，尽管SPX在上涨。事实上，推动这个市场的是少数大盘股纳斯达克股票（FAANG股票加上微软是最强的股票）。</blockquote></p><p> Things have improved a little in the last couple of weeks, and so our breadth oscillators are on buy signals, but they are still in negative territory. Normally when SPX is making new all-time highs, the breadth oscillators are will into positive territory, reflecting a strong overall market. But that is not the case now.</p><p><blockquote>过去几周情况有所改善，因此我们的宽度振荡器发出买入信号，但仍处于负值区域。通常情况下，当SPX创下历史新高时，宽度振荡指标将进入正值区域，反映出整体市场强劲。但现在情况并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, cumulative breadth (the running total of daily advances minus declines) has not made a new all-time high since June 11. SPX has made a new closing or intraday high on 19 separate trading days since then. That is a huge, negative market divergence, but it alone is not a sell signal. Rather, it is a strong warning to be alert – to avoid complacency.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自6月11日以来，累计广度（每日涨幅减去跌幅）尚未创下历史新高。此后，SPX已连续19个交易日创下收盘或盘中新高。这是一个巨大的负面市场背离，但它本身并不是卖出信号。相反，这是一个强烈的警告，要保持警惕——避免自满。</blockquote></p><p> New 52-week highs on the NYSE continue to lead new 52-week lows. Recently, there have been some isolated days where new lows exceeded new highs using NASDAQ or “stocks only” data, but not when using NYSE data. That means this indicator remains bullish for stocks. It would turn negative if NYSE new lows exceeded new highs and were sufficiently large, but that has not happened.</p><p><blockquote>纽交所52周新高继续领涨52周新低。最近，有一些孤立的日子，使用纳斯达克或“仅股票”数据，新低超过新高，但使用纽约证券交易所数据时则不然。这意味着该指标仍然看涨股市。如果纽交所新低超过新高且足够大，则会转为负值，但这种情况并未发生。</blockquote></p><p> There is a realized volatility sell signal in place, as well. That occurred when the S&amp;P’s 20-day historical volatility first fell below 8% (in mid-June) and then later rose above 11% (in late July).</p><p><blockquote>还有一个已实现的波动性卖出信号。这发生在标准普尔20天历史波动率首先跌破8%（6月中旬），然后升至11%以上（7月下旬）。</blockquote></p><p> Implied volatility, on the other hand, remains in a bullish state, as far the stock market is concerned. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20 remains in place. Moreover, the VIX 200-day moving average is still declining and is well above the price of VIX.There has been a slow “creep” upward by VIX, from 15 to 19 over the last month, but that doesn’t appear to be a significant change of trend.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，就股市而言，隐含波动率仍处于看涨状态。7月20日的VIX“峰值”买入信号仍然存在。而且，VIX 200日均线仍在下降，远高于VIX的价格。上个月，VIX指数从15点缓慢“攀升”至19点，但这似乎并不是趋势的重大变化。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3501a851250cf90d4f08e0152a5d9a9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"524\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Finally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains positive for the stock market. The VIX futures are trading at a premium to VIX, and the term structures of those VIX futures and the CBOE Volatility Indices slope upward.</p><p><blockquote>最后，波动性衍生品的结构对股市仍然有利。VIX期货的交易价格高于VIX，这些VIX期货和CBOE波动率指数的期限结构向上倾斜。</blockquote></p><p> The SPX chart is still positive. That is the most important fact. Until that changes, a long “core” position is recommended. Around that, one can trade confirmed signals – both buy and sell. A violation of the 4370 area by SPX would change things for the negative, but a breakout to new all-time highs above 4430 would reinforce the bullish case.</p><p><blockquote>SPX图表仍然是积极的。这是最重要的事实。在这种情况发生变化之前，建议持有多头“核心”头寸。围绕这一点，人们可以交易确认的信号——买入和卖出。SPX突破4370区域将改变负面影响，但突破4430以上的历史新高将强化看涨理由。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New recommendation: Conditional SPX sell signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新建议：有条件SPX卖出信号</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the above article, we are going to lay out some parameters regarding taking a bearish position should SPX support be broken:</p><p><blockquote>根据上述文章，我们将列出一些有关在SPX支撑位被突破时采取看跌头寸的参数：</blockquote></p><p> <b>IF SPX trades below 4370 and stays there for an hour,</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果SPX低于4370并在那里停留一小时，</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>THEN buy 1 SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put</b></p><p><blockquote><b>然后买入1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）平价看跌期权</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; And sell 1 SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并以下跌25点的价格卖出1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）看跌期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> In addition,</p><p><blockquote>此外，</blockquote></p><p> <b>IF SPX closes below 4370,</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果SPX收盘低于4370，</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>THEN buy another bear spread:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>然后再买一个熊市价差：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Buy 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put</b></p><p><blockquote><b>购买1（更多）SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）平价看跌期权</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; And sell 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并以较低25点的价格卖出1（更多）SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（27日）看跌期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> Note that it is possible that the second condition (close below 4370) could occur without the first condition being satisfied (if SPX breaks below 4370 late in a trading day). If that is the case, then buy 2 of these spreads on the close.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，在没有满足第一个条件的情况下，第二个条件（收盘低于4370）可能会发生（如果SPX在交易日晚些时候跌破4370）。如果是这样的话，那么在收盘时买入2个这样的价差。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, if these spreads are established, stop yourself out of all of these bear spreads on an SPX close above 4430.</p><p><blockquote>最后，如果这些价差成立，请在SPX收盘价高于4430时停止所有这些熊市价差。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-looks-strong-but-these-internals-are-far-less-positive-01628176855?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-looks-strong-but-these-internals-are-far-less-positive-01628176855?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199377263","content_text":"The S&P 500 index continues to accelerate to the upside. A new all-time closing high was registered on Tuesday. Yet, the “internals” of the market remain in a far worse state. This has been the case for some time (since June 11, at least), and it may continue to be the case for a while longer.\nBut as long as the S&P chart is positive and above support, a “core” long position is recommended.\nThe first support level is now roughly 4370. That was the low on the two most recent days on which SPX sold off and then rebounded – July 27 and Tuesday (yes, the same day that SPX bounced back from that level and then closed at a new all-time high). Since it has been doubly tested, that makes it a viable support level. There is resistance at 4430, the all-time intraday high.\nYou can see from the accompanying chart that SPX has been in a rather right trading since July 23 – between 4370 and 4430.\nA breakout from that range will be significant. If it were to break to the downside, that would be a negative for the SPX chart. Below there, a major support area exists at 4233, and it would likely be tested quickly after a break below 4370.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nSo the SPX chart is still positive, but there is a McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal in place (green “S” on chart).\nNow let’s look at some of the indicators that encompass a larger number of stocks. You will see that they are far less positive. First are the equity-only put-call ratios. These have been rising for a month, meaning they have been on sell signals during that time. Put volume has been heavy, relative to call volume, and that is what is causing these ratios to rise. It looks like there is a slight “wiggle” in the standard ratio’s chart, but the computer analysis programs say that is not significant.\nThe larger picture here is that as many stocks have been declining, option traders have been buying puts on those stocks, forcing these equity-only put-call ratios higher. As long as the ratios are rising, they will remain on sell signals.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nMarket breadth (advances minus declines) has been woeful since mid-June. That is, most stocks are going down, even though SPX is going up. In fact, what is driving this market is a handful of large-cap NASDAQ stocks (the FAANG stocks plus Microsoft are the strongest stocks).\nThings have improved a little in the last couple of weeks, and so our breadth oscillators are on buy signals, but they are still in negative territory. Normally when SPX is making new all-time highs, the breadth oscillators are will into positive territory, reflecting a strong overall market. But that is not the case now.\nMoreover, cumulative breadth (the running total of daily advances minus declines) has not made a new all-time high since June 11. SPX has made a new closing or intraday high on 19 separate trading days since then. That is a huge, negative market divergence, but it alone is not a sell signal. Rather, it is a strong warning to be alert – to avoid complacency.\nNew 52-week highs on the NYSE continue to lead new 52-week lows. Recently, there have been some isolated days where new lows exceeded new highs using NASDAQ or “stocks only” data, but not when using NYSE data. That means this indicator remains bullish for stocks. It would turn negative if NYSE new lows exceeded new highs and were sufficiently large, but that has not happened.\nThere is a realized volatility sell signal in place, as well. That occurred when the S&P’s 20-day historical volatility first fell below 8% (in mid-June) and then later rose above 11% (in late July).\nImplied volatility, on the other hand, remains in a bullish state, as far the stock market is concerned. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20 remains in place. Moreover, the VIX 200-day moving average is still declining and is well above the price of VIX.There has been a slow “creep” upward by VIX, from 15 to 19 over the last month, but that doesn’t appear to be a significant change of trend.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nFinally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains positive for the stock market. The VIX futures are trading at a premium to VIX, and the term structures of those VIX futures and the CBOE Volatility Indices slope upward.\nThe SPX chart is still positive. That is the most important fact. Until that changes, a long “core” position is recommended. Around that, one can trade confirmed signals – both buy and sell. A violation of the 4370 area by SPX would change things for the negative, but a breakout to new all-time highs above 4430 would reinforce the bullish case.\nNew recommendation: Conditional SPX sell signal\nBased on the above article, we are going to lay out some parameters regarding taking a bearish position should SPX support be broken:\nIF SPX trades below 4370 and stays there for an hour,\nTHEN buy 1 SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put\n            And sell 1 SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.\nIn addition,\nIF SPX closes below 4370,\nTHEN buy another bear spread:\n            Buy 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put\n            And sell 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.\nNote that it is possible that the second condition (close below 4370) could occur without the first condition being satisfied (if SPX breaks below 4370 late in a trading day). If that is the case, then buy 2 of these spreads on the close.\nFinally, if these spreads are established, stop yourself out of all of these bear spreads on an SPX close above 4430.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170198513,"gmtCreate":1626410077332,"gmtModify":1633926986884,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583172240969692","idStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah...","listText":"Yeah...","text":"Yeah...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170198513","repostId":"1178506488","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177309534,"gmtCreate":1627178779228,"gmtModify":1633767448372,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583172240969692","idStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow...","listText":"Wow...","text":"Wow...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177309534","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":79,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177974412,"gmtCreate":1627178657236,"gmtModify":1633767450861,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583172240969692","idStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah..","listText":"Yeah..","text":"Yeah..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177974412","repostId":"2153938547","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153938547","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627085070,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153938547?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 08:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时多</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153938547","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few mo","content":"<p>Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon</p><p><blockquote>苹果财报预览：最近缺乏季度预测可能会导致高管在周二下午讨论业绩时透露更多有关下一次iPhone发布的暗示</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1694f71fa4dec194ef63e28ffc75776f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"495\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Heavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>无线行业的大力促销可能使苹果在第二季度的业务受益。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.</p><p><blockquote>这场大流行可能会给通常伴随苹果公司六月季度电话会议的猜谜游戏增添一丝皱纹。</blockquote></p><p> Typically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>通常最重要的花絮来自第三财季收益，苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>定于周二下午公布该公司对9月份季度收入的展望和评论，这可以为该公司在下一款智能手机发布初期的预期提供线索。强劲的预测可能意味着该公司打算在本财年的最后几天推出新产品线，而较弱的指引可能表明推出将推迟到第四季度。</blockquote></p><p> The problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.</p><p><blockquote>这一次的问题是，苹果在疫情期间推迟发布正式展望一年多，目前尚不清楚该公司何时或是否会恢复这种做法。相反，苹果一直在提供“方向性见解”，以表明其业绩与前几个季度的业绩相比如何，但众所周知，它对iPhone发布计划守口如瓶。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Co. analyst Brian White.</p><p><blockquote>Monness、Crespi、Hardt&amp;Co.分析师Brian写道：“我们预计iPhone 13的上市时间最终将成为[第四财季]的摇摆因素，因此我们预计该公司将提供更精细的方向性评论。”怀特。</blockquote></p><p> The coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的阵容表现良好，即将推出的产品令人非常感兴趣。Barclays分析师Tim Long写道：“iPhone 12周期一直很强劲，但我们认为接下来的两个周期可能会充满挑战，2022财年和2023财年的销量可能会同比下降。”</blockquote></p><p> The June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于周二公布的六月季度数据传统上较慢<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>随着消费者等待下一款iPhone的发布，但该公司仍有望实现智能手机业务的大幅增长。该公司不仅可以轻松地与疫情早期进行比较，而且还应该从异常促销的无线行业中获得回报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>FactSet追踪的分析师预计苹果每股收益为1.01美元，高于去年同期的65美分。根据Estimize（对冲基金、学者和其他人的众包预测）的数据，平均预期每股收益为1.16美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue: </b>The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>FactSet一致认为评级的总收入为732.6亿美元，高于一年前的596.9亿美元。根据Estimize，平均估计为773.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> On a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.</p><p><blockquote>在细分市场层面，FactSet调查的分析师预计iPhone收入为341.9亿美元，iPad收入为71.7亿美元，Mac收入为78.6亿美元，服务收入为162.6亿美元，可穿戴设备、家居和配件类别的收入为78.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>苹果股价在过去五份财报中的四份后下跌，尽管该股在过去12个月内上涨了60%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet追踪的44名研究苹果股票的分析师中，33名给予买入评级，9名给予持有评级，2名给予卖出评级，平均目标价为157.88美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么值得注意的</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone业务有望实现至少三年来的第二大增长率，仅次于上一季度。FactSet追踪的分析师预计iPhone营收为342亿美元，同比增长29.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Some encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&amp;T Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></p><p><blockquote>威瑞森通信公司发出了一些令人鼓舞的信号。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>该公司最近进行了一次大规模的iPhone促销活动，试图与竞争对手AT&amp;T Inc.的折扣相匹配。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></blockquote></p><p> \"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .</p><p><blockquote>Verizon首席财务官Matthew Ellis在公司财报看涨期权上表示：“整个季度势头强劲，我们安排了促销活动，以充分利用经济复苏和客户活动增加的机会。”威瑞森大约20%的消费者现在使用支持5G的手机。</blockquote></p><p> Raymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James分析师Chris Caso指出，升级的数量甚至可能不是最重要的因素，因为他对去年iPhone运营商交易的分析发现，它们可能有助于推动更昂贵设备的更大“组合”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>“如果免费提供基本型号，消费者似乎愿意每月支付几美元升级到更高端型号，”他在分析去年补贴的基础上写道。</blockquote></p><p> UBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师David Vogt也对进入第三财季报告的业务感到乐观，他指出电信行业出现了积极迹象，例如“积极的促销活动”和无线商店零售流量的改善。</blockquote></p><p> But he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.</p><p><blockquote>但他指出，需求对苹果来说可能不是大问题，因为由于供应限制困扰更广泛的电子行业及其他行业，该公司的整体上涨空间受到“限制”。苹果在其收益看涨期权中解决了这些问题，预计6月份季度的负面收入影响将达到30亿至40亿美元，预计主要影响Mac和iPad业务。</blockquote></p><p> Another key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键的叙述是，考虑到家庭以外更正常的活动，这两个部分如何更普遍地保持下去。苹果的Mac和iPad在那些需要新硬件来支持远程工作和学校教育的人中很受欢迎，但分析师将关注个人电脑的繁荣是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> \"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"</p><p><blockquote>CFRA分析师安吉洛·齐诺(Angelo Zino)写道：“虽然苹果将不得不在[6月季度]及其后的几个季度应对非常困难的流行病比较，但我们看到这两个类别的近期有利因素。”“我们看到，随着全球经济全面重新开放，企业层面的企业升级将成为需求的更大贡献者。”</blockquote></p><p> The coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.</p><p><blockquote>即将发布的结果也将是苹果新的丰富多彩的iMac系列和功能强大的iPad Pro的第一个需求指标，这两款产品都是在春季推出的，并采用了该公司定制的M1芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时多</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时多</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 08:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon</p><p><blockquote>苹果财报预览：最近缺乏季度预测可能会导致高管在周二下午讨论业绩时透露更多有关下一次iPhone发布的暗示</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1694f71fa4dec194ef63e28ffc75776f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"495\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Heavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>无线行业的大力促销可能使苹果在第二季度的业务受益。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.</p><p><blockquote>这场大流行可能会给通常伴随苹果公司六月季度电话会议的猜谜游戏增添一丝皱纹。</blockquote></p><p> Typically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>通常最重要的花絮来自第三财季收益，苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>定于周二下午公布该公司对9月份季度收入的展望和评论，这可以为该公司在下一款智能手机发布初期的预期提供线索。强劲的预测可能意味着该公司打算在本财年的最后几天推出新产品线，而较弱的指引可能表明推出将推迟到第四季度。</blockquote></p><p> The problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.</p><p><blockquote>这一次的问题是，苹果在疫情期间推迟发布正式展望一年多，目前尚不清楚该公司何时或是否会恢复这种做法。相反，苹果一直在提供“方向性见解”，以表明其业绩与前几个季度的业绩相比如何，但众所周知，它对iPhone发布计划守口如瓶。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Co. analyst Brian White.</p><p><blockquote>Monness、Crespi、Hardt&amp;Co.分析师Brian写道：“我们预计iPhone 13的上市时间最终将成为[第四财季]的摇摆因素，因此我们预计该公司将提供更精细的方向性评论。”怀特。</blockquote></p><p> The coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的阵容表现良好，即将推出的产品令人非常感兴趣。Barclays分析师Tim Long写道：“iPhone 12周期一直很强劲，但我们认为接下来的两个周期可能会充满挑战，2022财年和2023财年的销量可能会同比下降。”</blockquote></p><p> The June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于周二公布的六月季度数据传统上较慢<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>随着消费者等待下一款iPhone的发布，但该公司仍有望实现智能手机业务的大幅增长。该公司不仅可以轻松地与疫情早期进行比较，而且还应该从异常促销的无线行业中获得回报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>FactSet追踪的分析师预计苹果每股收益为1.01美元，高于去年同期的65美分。根据Estimize（对冲基金、学者和其他人的众包预测）的数据，平均预期每股收益为1.16美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue: </b>The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>FactSet一致认为评级的总收入为732.6亿美元，高于一年前的596.9亿美元。根据Estimize，平均估计为773.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> On a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.</p><p><blockquote>在细分市场层面，FactSet调查的分析师预计iPhone收入为341.9亿美元，iPad收入为71.7亿美元，Mac收入为78.6亿美元，服务收入为162.6亿美元，可穿戴设备、家居和配件类别的收入为78.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>苹果股价在过去五份财报中的四份后下跌，尽管该股在过去12个月内上涨了60%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet追踪的44名研究苹果股票的分析师中，33名给予买入评级，9名给予持有评级，2名给予卖出评级，平均目标价为157.88美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么值得注意的</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone业务有望实现至少三年来的第二大增长率，仅次于上一季度。FactSet追踪的分析师预计iPhone营收为342亿美元，同比增长29.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Some encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&amp;T Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></p><p><blockquote>威瑞森通信公司发出了一些令人鼓舞的信号。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>该公司最近进行了一次大规模的iPhone促销活动，试图与竞争对手AT&amp;T Inc.的折扣相匹配。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></blockquote></p><p> \"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .</p><p><blockquote>Verizon首席财务官Matthew Ellis在公司财报看涨期权上表示：“整个季度势头强劲，我们安排了促销活动，以充分利用经济复苏和客户活动增加的机会。”威瑞森大约20%的消费者现在使用支持5G的手机。</blockquote></p><p> Raymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James分析师Chris Caso指出，升级的数量甚至可能不是最重要的因素，因为他对去年iPhone运营商交易的分析发现，它们可能有助于推动更昂贵设备的更大“组合”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>“如果免费提供基本型号，消费者似乎愿意每月支付几美元升级到更高端型号，”他在分析去年补贴的基础上写道。</blockquote></p><p> UBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师David Vogt也对进入第三财季报告的业务感到乐观，他指出电信行业出现了积极迹象，例如“积极的促销活动”和无线商店零售流量的改善。</blockquote></p><p> But he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.</p><p><blockquote>但他指出，需求对苹果来说可能不是大问题，因为由于供应限制困扰更广泛的电子行业及其他行业，该公司的整体上涨空间受到“限制”。苹果在其收益看涨期权中解决了这些问题，预计6月份季度的负面收入影响将达到30亿至40亿美元，预计主要影响Mac和iPad业务。</blockquote></p><p> Another key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键的叙述是，考虑到家庭以外更正常的活动，这两个部分如何更普遍地保持下去。苹果的Mac和iPad在那些需要新硬件来支持远程工作和学校教育的人中很受欢迎，但分析师将关注个人电脑的繁荣是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> \"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"</p><p><blockquote>CFRA分析师安吉洛·齐诺(Angelo Zino)写道：“虽然苹果将不得不在[6月季度]及其后的几个季度应对非常困难的流行病比较，但我们看到这两个类别的近期有利因素。”“我们看到，随着全球经济全面重新开放，企业层面的企业升级将成为需求的更大贡献者。”</blockquote></p><p> The coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.</p><p><blockquote>即将发布的结果也将是苹果新的丰富多彩的iMac系列和功能强大的iPad Pro的第一个需求指标，这两款产品都是在春季推出的，并采用了该公司定制的M1芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-will-apple-say-about-the-next-iphone-at-earnings-time-maybe-more-than-usual-11627077819?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-will-apple-say-about-the-next-iphone-at-earnings-time-maybe-more-than-usual-11627077819?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153938547","content_text":"Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon\nHeavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.\nThe pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.\nTypically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple $(AAPL)$ is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.\nThe problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.\n\"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co. analyst Brian White.\nThe coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.\nThe June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower one, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.\nWhat to watch for\nEarnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.\nRevenue: The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.\nOn a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.\nStock movement: Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.\nOf the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.\nWhat else to watch for\nApple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.\nSome encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. $(VZ)$, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&T Inc. $(T)$\n\"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .\nRaymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.\n\"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.\nUBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.\nBut he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.\nAnother key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.\n\"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"\nThe coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890530200,"gmtCreate":1628122906500,"gmtModify":1633753426491,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583172240969692","idStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890530200","repostId":"2157483930","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890593481,"gmtCreate":1628122708743,"gmtModify":1633753434579,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583172240969692","idStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow...","listText":"Wow...","text":"Wow...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890593481","repostId":"1179402387","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179402387","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628120638,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179402387?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-05 07:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines After Hours US Market on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场盘后顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179402387","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Futures contracts tied to the major U.S. equity indexes were little changed at the start of the over","content":"<p>Futures contracts tied to the major U.S. equity indexes were little changed at the start of the overnight session Wednesday evening as Wall Street looked to improve upon a mixed week.</p><p><blockquote>周三晚间隔夜交易开始时，与美国主要股指相关的期货合约几乎没有变化，因为华尔街希望在涨跌互现的一周中有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:30&nbsp;p.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 19 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 2.25 points, or 0.05%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 7.50 points, or 0.05%.</p><p><blockquote>晚上七点半。ET，道指e-minis上涨19点，涨幅0.05%，标普500 e-minis上涨2.25点，涨幅0.05%，纳斯达克100 e-minis下跌7.50点，涨幅0.05%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15029cdb3b40554099587488dcc610a7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making biggest moves after hours: Etsy, Electronic Arts, Roku &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘后涨幅最大的股票：Etsy、艺电、Roku等</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FSLY\">Fastly, Inc.</a> (NYSE: FSLY)19.3% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.15), $0.02 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.17). Revenue for the quarter came in at $85 million versus the consensus estimate of $85.73 million. Fastly, Inc. sees Q3 2021 EPS of ($0.21)-($0.18), versus the consensus of ($0.09). Fastly, Inc. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $82-85 million, versus the consensus of $98.02 million. Fastly, Inc. sees FY2021 EPS of ($0.65)-($0.57), versus the consensus of ($0.43). Fastly, Inc. sees FY2021 revenue of $340-350 million, versus the consensus of $382.34 million.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FSLY\">法斯特利公司。</a>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：FSLY）下跌19.3%；报告第二季度每股收益为（0.15美元），比分析师预期的（0.17美元）高出0.02美元。该季度收入为8500万美元，而市场普遍预期为8573万美元。Fastly，Inc.预计2021年第三季度每股收益为（0.21美元）-（0.18美元），而市场普遍预期为（0.09美元）。Fastly，Inc.预计2021年第三季度收入为82-8500万美元，而市场普遍预期为9802万美元。Fastly，Inc.预计2021财年每股收益为（0.65美元）-（0.57美元），而市场普遍预期为（0.43美元）。Fastly，Inc.预计2021财年收入为3.40-3.5亿美元，而市场普遍预期为3.8234亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Ping Identity (NYSE: PING) 13.2% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.11, $0.07 better than the analyst estimate of $0.04. Revenue for the quarter came in at $78.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $66.09 million. Ping Identity sees Q3 2021 revenue of $65-70 million, versus the consensus of $65.1 million. Ping Identity sees FY2021 revenue of $278-285 million, versus the consensus of $269.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>Ping Identity(NYSE：PING)上涨13.2%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.11美元，比分析师预期的0.04美元好0.07美元。该季度营收为7890万美元，而市场普遍预期为6609万美元。Ping Identity预计2021年第三季度收入为65-7000万美元，而市场普遍预期为6510万美元。Ping Identity预计2021财年收入为2.78-2.85亿美元，而市场普遍预期为2.693亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Etsy (NASDAQ: ETSY)13.7% LOWER; reported Q2 revenue $528.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $524.84 million. Consolidated GMS was $3.0 billion, up 13.1% year-over-year; while Etsy marketplace GMS was $2.8 billion, up 14.2% year-over-year. Etsy sees Q3 2021 revenue of $500-525 million, versus the consensus of $524.91 million.</p><p><blockquote>Etsy（纳斯达克：ETSY）下跌13.7%；报告第二季度收入为5.289亿美元，而市场普遍预期为5.2484亿美元。综合GMS为30亿美元，同比增长13.1%；而Etsy marketplace GMS为28亿美元，同比增长14.2%。Etsy预计2021年第三季度收入为500-5.25亿美元，而市场普遍预期为5.2491亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> PetIQ, Inc. (NASDAQ: PETQ)11.7% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.14, $0.59 worse than the analyst estimate of $0.73. Revenue for the quarter came in at $271 million versus the consensus estimate of $304.72 million.</p><p><blockquote>PetIQ公司（纳斯达克：PETQ）下跌11.7%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.14美元，比分析师预期的0.73美元差0.59美元。该季度营收为2.71亿美元，而市场普遍预期为3.0472亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Lemonade (NYSE: LMND) 9.1% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.90), $0.01 worse than the analyst estimate of ($0.89). Revenue for the quarter came in at $28.2 million versus the consensus estimate of $26.8 million. Lemonade sees Q3 2021 revenue of $32.5-33.5 million, versus the consensus of $32.32 million. Lemonade sees FY2021 revenue of $123-125 million, versus the consensus of $118.94 million.</p><p><blockquote>柠檬水(NYSE：LMND)下跌9.1%；报告第二季度每股收益为（0.90美元），比分析师预期的（0.89美元）差0.01美元。该季度收入为2820万美元，而市场普遍预期为2680万美元。Lemonade预计2021年第三季度收入为32.5-3350万美元，而市场普遍预期为3232万美元。Lemonade预计2021财年收入为123-1.25亿美元，而市场普遍预期为1.1894亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAXR\">Maxar Technologies Ltd.</a> (NYSE: MAXR)10.9% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.60, $0.46 worse than the analyst estimate of $1.06. Revenue for the quarter came in at $473 million versus the consensus estimate of $560.3 million.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAXR\">Maxar技术有限公司。</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：MAXR）下跌10.9%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.60美元，比分析师预期的1.06美元差0.46美元。该季度营收为4.73亿美元，而市场普遍预期为5.603亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Roku (NASDAQ: ROKU)8.4% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.52, $0.40 better than the analyst estimate of $0.12. Revenue for the quarter came in at $645.1 million versus the consensus estimate of $618.54 million. Roku sees Q3 2021 revenue of $675-685 million, versus the consensus of $645 million.</p><p><blockquote>Roku（纳斯达克：Roku）下跌8.4%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.52美元，比分析师预期的0.12美元高出0.40美元。该季度营收为6.451亿美元，而市场普遍预期为6.1854亿美元。Roku预计2021年第三季度营收为6.75-6.85亿美元，而市场普遍预期为6.45亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Western Union (NYSE: WU)6.2% HIGHER; Goldfinch and Baupost will acquire Western Union Business Solutions for approximately $910 million in cash. reported Q2 EPS of $0.48, $0.01 better than the analyst estimate of $0.47. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.3 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.26 billion.</p><p><blockquote>西联汇款(NYSE：WU)上涨6.2%；Goldfinch和Baupost将以约9.1亿美元现金收购西联商业解决方案。报告第二季度每股收益为0.48美元，比分析师预期的0.47美元高出0.01美元。该季度营收为13亿美元，而市场普遍预期为12.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a> (NASDAQ: MELI)5.8% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $1.37, $1.26 better than the analyst estimate of $0.11. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.7 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.46 billion. Gross merchandise volume (“GMV”) grew to $7.0 billion, representing an increase of 39.2% in USD and 46.1% on an FX neutral basis.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">自由市场</a>（纳斯达克：MELI）上涨5.8%；报告第二季度每股收益为1.37美元，比分析师预期的0.11美元好1.26美元。该季度营收为17亿美元，而市场普遍预期为14.6亿美元。商品交易总额（“GMV”）增长至70亿美元，按美元计算增长39.2%，按外汇中性计算增长46.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Uber (NYSE: UBER)4.6% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.58, $1.09 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.51). Revenue for the quarter came in at $3.93 billion versus the consensus estimate of $3.74 billion.</p><p><blockquote>优步(NYSE：UBER)下跌4.6%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.58美元，比分析师预期的0.51美元高出1.09美元。该季度营收为39.3亿美元，而市场普遍预期为37.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: EA)3.5% HIGHER; reported Q1 EPS of $0.71, $0.09 better than the analyst estimate of $0.62. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.34 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.28 billion.</p><p><blockquote>艺电（纳斯达克：EA）上涨3.5%；报告第一季度每股收益为0.71美元，比分析师预期的0.62美元高出0.09美元。该季度营收为13.4亿美元，而市场普遍预期为12.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">Booking Holdings</a> (NASDAQ: BKNG)3.1% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of ($2.55), $0.45 worse than the analyst estimate of ($2.10). Revenue for the quarter came in at $2.16 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.9 billion.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">预订控股</a>（纳斯达克：BKNG）上涨3.1%；报告第二季度每股收益为（2.55美元），比分析师预期的（2.10美元）差0.45美元。该季度营收为21.6亿美元，而市场普遍预期为19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines After Hours US Market on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场盘后顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines After Hours US Market on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场盘后顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-05 07:43</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Futures contracts tied to the major U.S. equity indexes were little changed at the start of the overnight session Wednesday evening as Wall Street looked to improve upon a mixed week.</p><p><blockquote>周三晚间隔夜交易开始时，与美国主要股指相关的期货合约几乎没有变化，因为华尔街希望在涨跌互现的一周中有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:30&nbsp;p.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 19 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 2.25 points, or 0.05%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 7.50 points, or 0.05%.</p><p><blockquote>晚上七点半。ET，道指e-minis上涨19点，涨幅0.05%，标普500 e-minis上涨2.25点，涨幅0.05%，纳斯达克100 e-minis下跌7.50点，涨幅0.05%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15029cdb3b40554099587488dcc610a7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making biggest moves after hours: Etsy, Electronic Arts, Roku &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘后涨幅最大的股票：Etsy、艺电、Roku等</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FSLY\">Fastly, Inc.</a> (NYSE: FSLY)19.3% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.15), $0.02 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.17). Revenue for the quarter came in at $85 million versus the consensus estimate of $85.73 million. Fastly, Inc. sees Q3 2021 EPS of ($0.21)-($0.18), versus the consensus of ($0.09). Fastly, Inc. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $82-85 million, versus the consensus of $98.02 million. Fastly, Inc. sees FY2021 EPS of ($0.65)-($0.57), versus the consensus of ($0.43). Fastly, Inc. sees FY2021 revenue of $340-350 million, versus the consensus of $382.34 million.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FSLY\">法斯特利公司。</a>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：FSLY）下跌19.3%；报告第二季度每股收益为（0.15美元），比分析师预期的（0.17美元）高出0.02美元。该季度收入为8500万美元，而市场普遍预期为8573万美元。Fastly，Inc.预计2021年第三季度每股收益为（0.21美元）-（0.18美元），而市场普遍预期为（0.09美元）。Fastly，Inc.预计2021年第三季度收入为82-8500万美元，而市场普遍预期为9802万美元。Fastly，Inc.预计2021财年每股收益为（0.65美元）-（0.57美元），而市场普遍预期为（0.43美元）。Fastly，Inc.预计2021财年收入为3.40-3.5亿美元，而市场普遍预期为3.8234亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Ping Identity (NYSE: PING) 13.2% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.11, $0.07 better than the analyst estimate of $0.04. Revenue for the quarter came in at $78.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $66.09 million. Ping Identity sees Q3 2021 revenue of $65-70 million, versus the consensus of $65.1 million. Ping Identity sees FY2021 revenue of $278-285 million, versus the consensus of $269.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>Ping Identity(NYSE：PING)上涨13.2%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.11美元，比分析师预期的0.04美元好0.07美元。该季度营收为7890万美元，而市场普遍预期为6609万美元。Ping Identity预计2021年第三季度收入为65-7000万美元，而市场普遍预期为6510万美元。Ping Identity预计2021财年收入为2.78-2.85亿美元，而市场普遍预期为2.693亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Etsy (NASDAQ: ETSY)13.7% LOWER; reported Q2 revenue $528.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $524.84 million. Consolidated GMS was $3.0 billion, up 13.1% year-over-year; while Etsy marketplace GMS was $2.8 billion, up 14.2% year-over-year. Etsy sees Q3 2021 revenue of $500-525 million, versus the consensus of $524.91 million.</p><p><blockquote>Etsy（纳斯达克：ETSY）下跌13.7%；报告第二季度收入为5.289亿美元，而市场普遍预期为5.2484亿美元。综合GMS为30亿美元，同比增长13.1%；而Etsy marketplace GMS为28亿美元，同比增长14.2%。Etsy预计2021年第三季度收入为500-5.25亿美元，而市场普遍预期为5.2491亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> PetIQ, Inc. (NASDAQ: PETQ)11.7% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.14, $0.59 worse than the analyst estimate of $0.73. Revenue for the quarter came in at $271 million versus the consensus estimate of $304.72 million.</p><p><blockquote>PetIQ公司（纳斯达克：PETQ）下跌11.7%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.14美元，比分析师预期的0.73美元差0.59美元。该季度营收为2.71亿美元，而市场普遍预期为3.0472亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Lemonade (NYSE: LMND) 9.1% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.90), $0.01 worse than the analyst estimate of ($0.89). Revenue for the quarter came in at $28.2 million versus the consensus estimate of $26.8 million. Lemonade sees Q3 2021 revenue of $32.5-33.5 million, versus the consensus of $32.32 million. Lemonade sees FY2021 revenue of $123-125 million, versus the consensus of $118.94 million.</p><p><blockquote>柠檬水(NYSE：LMND)下跌9.1%；报告第二季度每股收益为（0.90美元），比分析师预期的（0.89美元）差0.01美元。该季度收入为2820万美元，而市场普遍预期为2680万美元。Lemonade预计2021年第三季度收入为32.5-3350万美元，而市场普遍预期为3232万美元。Lemonade预计2021财年收入为123-1.25亿美元，而市场普遍预期为1.1894亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAXR\">Maxar Technologies Ltd.</a> (NYSE: MAXR)10.9% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.60, $0.46 worse than the analyst estimate of $1.06. Revenue for the quarter came in at $473 million versus the consensus estimate of $560.3 million.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAXR\">Maxar技术有限公司。</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：MAXR）下跌10.9%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.60美元，比分析师预期的1.06美元差0.46美元。该季度营收为4.73亿美元，而市场普遍预期为5.603亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Roku (NASDAQ: ROKU)8.4% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.52, $0.40 better than the analyst estimate of $0.12. Revenue for the quarter came in at $645.1 million versus the consensus estimate of $618.54 million. Roku sees Q3 2021 revenue of $675-685 million, versus the consensus of $645 million.</p><p><blockquote>Roku（纳斯达克：Roku）下跌8.4%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.52美元，比分析师预期的0.12美元高出0.40美元。该季度营收为6.451亿美元，而市场普遍预期为6.1854亿美元。Roku预计2021年第三季度营收为6.75-6.85亿美元，而市场普遍预期为6.45亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Western Union (NYSE: WU)6.2% HIGHER; Goldfinch and Baupost will acquire Western Union Business Solutions for approximately $910 million in cash. reported Q2 EPS of $0.48, $0.01 better than the analyst estimate of $0.47. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.3 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.26 billion.</p><p><blockquote>西联汇款(NYSE：WU)上涨6.2%；Goldfinch和Baupost将以约9.1亿美元现金收购西联商业解决方案。报告第二季度每股收益为0.48美元，比分析师预期的0.47美元高出0.01美元。该季度营收为13亿美元，而市场普遍预期为12.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a> (NASDAQ: MELI)5.8% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $1.37, $1.26 better than the analyst estimate of $0.11. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.7 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.46 billion. Gross merchandise volume (“GMV”) grew to $7.0 billion, representing an increase of 39.2% in USD and 46.1% on an FX neutral basis.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">自由市场</a>（纳斯达克：MELI）上涨5.8%；报告第二季度每股收益为1.37美元，比分析师预期的0.11美元好1.26美元。该季度营收为17亿美元，而市场普遍预期为14.6亿美元。商品交易总额（“GMV”）增长至70亿美元，按美元计算增长39.2%，按外汇中性计算增长46.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Uber (NYSE: UBER)4.6% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.58, $1.09 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.51). Revenue for the quarter came in at $3.93 billion versus the consensus estimate of $3.74 billion.</p><p><blockquote>优步(NYSE：UBER)下跌4.6%；报告第二季度每股收益为0.58美元，比分析师预期的0.51美元高出1.09美元。该季度营收为39.3亿美元，而市场普遍预期为37.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: EA)3.5% HIGHER; reported Q1 EPS of $0.71, $0.09 better than the analyst estimate of $0.62. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.34 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.28 billion.</p><p><blockquote>艺电（纳斯达克：EA）上涨3.5%；报告第一季度每股收益为0.71美元，比分析师预期的0.62美元高出0.09美元。该季度营收为13.4亿美元，而市场普遍预期为12.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">Booking Holdings</a> (NASDAQ: BKNG)3.1% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of ($2.55), $0.45 worse than the analyst estimate of ($2.10). Revenue for the quarter came in at $2.16 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.9 billion.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">预订控股</a>（纳斯达克：BKNG）上涨3.1%；报告第二季度每股收益为（2.55美元），比分析师预期的（2.10美元）差0.45美元。该季度营收为21.6亿美元，而市场普遍预期为19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MELI":"MercadoLibre","ROKU":"Roku Inc",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","FSLY":"Fastly, Inc.","BKNG":"Booking Holdings","EA":"艺电","PING":"Ping Identity Holding",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","UBER":"优步","PETQ":"Petiq Inc.","WU":"西联汇款"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179402387","content_text":"Futures contracts tied to the major U.S. equity indexes were little changed at the start of the overnight session Wednesday evening as Wall Street looked to improve upon a mixed week.\nAt 7:30 p.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 19 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 2.25 points, or 0.05%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 7.50 points, or 0.05%.\n\nStocks making biggest moves after hours: Etsy, Electronic Arts, Roku & more\nFastly, Inc. (NYSE: FSLY)19.3% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.15), $0.02 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.17). Revenue for the quarter came in at $85 million versus the consensus estimate of $85.73 million. Fastly, Inc. sees Q3 2021 EPS of ($0.21)-($0.18), versus the consensus of ($0.09). Fastly, Inc. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $82-85 million, versus the consensus of $98.02 million. Fastly, Inc. sees FY2021 EPS of ($0.65)-($0.57), versus the consensus of ($0.43). Fastly, Inc. sees FY2021 revenue of $340-350 million, versus the consensus of $382.34 million.\nPing Identity (NYSE: PING) 13.2% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.11, $0.07 better than the analyst estimate of $0.04. Revenue for the quarter came in at $78.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $66.09 million. Ping Identity sees Q3 2021 revenue of $65-70 million, versus the consensus of $65.1 million. Ping Identity sees FY2021 revenue of $278-285 million, versus the consensus of $269.3 million.\nEtsy (NASDAQ: ETSY)13.7% LOWER; reported Q2 revenue $528.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $524.84 million. Consolidated GMS was $3.0 billion, up 13.1% year-over-year; while Etsy marketplace GMS was $2.8 billion, up 14.2% year-over-year. Etsy sees Q3 2021 revenue of $500-525 million, versus the consensus of $524.91 million.\nPetIQ, Inc. (NASDAQ: PETQ)11.7% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.14, $0.59 worse than the analyst estimate of $0.73. Revenue for the quarter came in at $271 million versus the consensus estimate of $304.72 million.\nLemonade (NYSE: LMND) 9.1% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.90), $0.01 worse than the analyst estimate of ($0.89). Revenue for the quarter came in at $28.2 million versus the consensus estimate of $26.8 million. Lemonade sees Q3 2021 revenue of $32.5-33.5 million, versus the consensus of $32.32 million. Lemonade sees FY2021 revenue of $123-125 million, versus the consensus of $118.94 million.\nMaxar Technologies Ltd. (NYSE: MAXR)10.9% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.60, $0.46 worse than the analyst estimate of $1.06. Revenue for the quarter came in at $473 million versus the consensus estimate of $560.3 million.\nRoku (NASDAQ: ROKU)8.4% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.52, $0.40 better than the analyst estimate of $0.12. Revenue for the quarter came in at $645.1 million versus the consensus estimate of $618.54 million. Roku sees Q3 2021 revenue of $675-685 million, versus the consensus of $645 million.\nWestern Union (NYSE: WU)6.2% HIGHER; Goldfinch and Baupost will acquire Western Union Business Solutions for approximately $910 million in cash. reported Q2 EPS of $0.48, $0.01 better than the analyst estimate of $0.47. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.3 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.26 billion.\nMercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI)5.8% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $1.37, $1.26 better than the analyst estimate of $0.11. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.7 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.46 billion. Gross merchandise volume (“GMV”) grew to $7.0 billion, representing an increase of 39.2% in USD and 46.1% on an FX neutral basis.\nUber (NYSE: UBER)4.6% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.58, $1.09 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.51). Revenue for the quarter came in at $3.93 billion versus the consensus estimate of $3.74 billion.\nElectronic Arts (NASDAQ: EA)3.5% HIGHER; reported Q1 EPS of $0.71, $0.09 better than the analyst estimate of $0.62. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.34 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.28 billion.\nBooking Holdings (NASDAQ: BKNG)3.1% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of ($2.55), $0.45 worse than the analyst estimate of ($2.10). Revenue for the quarter came in at $2.16 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.9 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625831887,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132560832?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-09 19:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stamps.com shares surges 14% in premarket trading,as going private at $330 per share in $6.6B cash deal with Thoma Bravo<blockquote>Stamps.com股价在盘前交易中飙升14%，与Thoma Bravo达成6.6 B美元现金交易，以每股330美元的价格私有化</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132560832","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stamps.com shares surges 14% in premarket trading,as going private at $330 per share in $6.6B cash d","content":"<p>Stamps.com&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surges&nbsp;14%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;going private at $330 per share in $6.6B cash deal with Thoma Bravo.</p><p><blockquote>邮票。com股价在盘前交易中飙升14%，与Thoma Bravo达成6.6 B美元现金交易，以每股330美元的价格私有化。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04f161f070e63ab83519e4d884ce773d\" tg-width=\"1272\" tg-height=\"604\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Stamps.com(NASDAQ:STMP)stockholders toreceive $330.00 per share in cash.</li>  <li>The offer price per share represents a&nbsp;<b>premium of 66.9% over Stamps.com's closing share price</b>&nbsp;on July 08, 2021.</li>  <li>Stamps.com’s Board of Directors has unanimously approved the agreement with Thoma Bravo.</li>  <li>Post-completion, Stamps.com will become a private company with the flexibility and resources to provide global e-commerce technology solutions.</li>  <li>Additionally, Stamps.com will benefit from the operating capabilities, capital support, and deep sector expertise of Thoma Bravo.</li>  <li>The agreement includes a 40-day “go-shop” period expiring August 18, 2021, allowing the Board and its advisors to actively initiate, solicit and consider alternative acquisition proposals from third parties.</li>  <li>The transaction is expected to close in Q3'21, subject to customary closing conditions, including approval by Stamps.com stockholders and receipt of regulatory approvals.</li>  <li>Stamps.com to resume trading at 8 a.m. ET</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Stamps.com（纳斯达克：STMP）股东将获得每股330.00美元现金。</li><li>每股发售价相当于<b>较Stamps.com收盘价溢价66.9%</b>2021年7月8日。</li><li>Stamps.com董事会一致批准了与Thoma Bravo的协议。</li><li>完成后，Stamps.com将成为一家私营公司，拥有提供全球电子商务技术解决方案的灵活性和资源。</li><li>此外，Stamps.com将受益于Thoma Bravo的运营能力、资本支持和深厚的行业专业知识。</li><li>该协议包括将于2021年8月18日到期的40天“go-shop”期，允许董事会及其顾问积极发起、征求和考虑第三方的替代收购提案。</li><li>该交易预计将于21年第三季度完成，但须满足惯例成交条件，包括获得Stamps.com股东的批准和获得监管部门的批准。</li><li>Stamps.com将于美国东部时间上午8点恢复交易</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stamps.com shares surges 14% in premarket trading,as going private at $330 per share in $6.6B cash deal with Thoma Bravo<blockquote>Stamps.com股价在盘前交易中飙升14%，与Thoma Bravo达成6.6 B美元现金交易，以每股330美元的价格私有化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStamps.com shares surges 14% in premarket trading,as going private at $330 per share in $6.6B cash deal with Thoma Bravo<blockquote>Stamps.com股价在盘前交易中飙升14%，与Thoma Bravo达成6.6 B美元现金交易，以每股330美元的价格私有化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-09 19:58</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stamps.com&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surges&nbsp;14%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;going private at $330 per share in $6.6B cash deal with Thoma Bravo.</p><p><blockquote>邮票。com股价在盘前交易中飙升14%，与Thoma Bravo达成6.6 B美元现金交易，以每股330美元的价格私有化。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04f161f070e63ab83519e4d884ce773d\" tg-width=\"1272\" tg-height=\"604\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Stamps.com(NASDAQ:STMP)stockholders toreceive $330.00 per share in cash.</li>  <li>The offer price per share represents a&nbsp;<b>premium of 66.9% over Stamps.com's closing share price</b>&nbsp;on July 08, 2021.</li>  <li>Stamps.com’s Board of Directors has unanimously approved the agreement with Thoma Bravo.</li>  <li>Post-completion, Stamps.com will become a private company with the flexibility and resources to provide global e-commerce technology solutions.</li>  <li>Additionally, Stamps.com will benefit from the operating capabilities, capital support, and deep sector expertise of Thoma Bravo.</li>  <li>The agreement includes a 40-day “go-shop” period expiring August 18, 2021, allowing the Board and its advisors to actively initiate, solicit and consider alternative acquisition proposals from third parties.</li>  <li>The transaction is expected to close in Q3'21, subject to customary closing conditions, including approval by Stamps.com stockholders and receipt of regulatory approvals.</li>  <li>Stamps.com to resume trading at 8 a.m. ET</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Stamps.com（纳斯达克：STMP）股东将获得每股330.00美元现金。</li><li>每股发售价相当于<b>较Stamps.com收盘价溢价66.9%</b>2021年7月8日。</li><li>Stamps.com董事会一致批准了与Thoma Bravo的协议。</li><li>完成后，Stamps.com将成为一家私营公司，拥有提供全球电子商务技术解决方案的灵活性和资源。</li><li>此外，Stamps.com将受益于Thoma Bravo的运营能力、资本支持和深厚的行业专业知识。</li><li>该协议包括将于2021年8月18日到期的40天“go-shop”期，允许董事会及其顾问积极发起、征求和考虑第三方的替代收购提案。</li><li>该交易预计将于21年第三季度完成，但须满足惯例成交条件，包括获得Stamps.com股东的批准和获得监管部门的批准。</li><li>Stamps.com将于美国东部时间上午8点恢复交易</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STMP":"Stamps.com Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132560832","content_text":"Stamps.com shares surges 14% in premarket trading,as going private at $330 per share in $6.6B cash deal with Thoma Bravo.\n\n\nStamps.com(NASDAQ:STMP)stockholders toreceive $330.00 per share in cash.\nThe offer price per share represents a premium of 66.9% over Stamps.com's closing share price on July 08, 2021.\nStamps.com’s Board of Directors has unanimously approved the agreement with Thoma Bravo.\nPost-completion, Stamps.com will become a private company with the flexibility and resources to provide global e-commerce technology solutions.\nAdditionally, Stamps.com will benefit from the operating capabilities, capital support, and deep sector expertise of Thoma Bravo.\nThe agreement includes a 40-day “go-shop” period expiring August 18, 2021, allowing the Board and its advisors to actively initiate, solicit and consider alternative acquisition proposals from third parties.\nThe transaction is expected to close in Q3'21, subject to customary closing conditions, including approval by Stamps.com stockholders and receipt of regulatory approvals.\nStamps.com to resume trading at 8 a.m. ET","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STMP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143855883,"gmtCreate":1625789087742,"gmtModify":1633937377311,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583172240969692","idStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lasted","listText":"Lasted","text":"Lasted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143855883","repostId":"1195657546","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":51,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805863373,"gmtCreate":1627870256392,"gmtModify":1633755758338,"author":{"id":"3583172240969692","authorId":"3583172240969692","name":"remember721","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a26c470e07711af9299771c76afc97c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583172240969692","idStr":"3583172240969692"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805863373","repostId":"1162847379","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}