Shaine8862的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Shaine8862

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2021-07-19

[Strong]

Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be "Hotter But Shorter" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>

2021-07-19

[Cool]

Bond Yields Are Puking Again...<blockquote>债券收益率又吐了……</blockquote>

2021-10-07

[Miser]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-06

[Cool] [Cool]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-30

[Miser] [Miser] [Miser]

EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股周五早盘飙升</blockquote>

2021-07-30

[Smile]

Nvidia shares dived 3.2% in premarket trading<blockquote>英伟达股价在盘前交易中下跌3.2%</blockquote>

2021-07-20

[Miser]

(Forward-Looking) US Building Permits Plunge To 8-Month Lows In June<blockquote>（前瞻）美国6月建筑许可骤降至8个月低点</blockquote>

2021-12-17

[Cool]

昨夜今晨：大型科技股全线下挫！苹果欲开发自研无线芯片

2021-10-04

$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$[Cry] [Cry]

2021-10-04

[Cry]

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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[Cool]&nbsp;","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690416926","repostId":"1157750048","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1157750048","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639698910,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157750048?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 07:55","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"昨夜今晨：大型科技股全线下挫！苹果欲开发自研无线芯片","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157750048","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：①科技股拖累美股收跌，纳指大跌近2.5%；②热门中概股收盘涨跌不一，开心汽车涨超36%；③贝壳股价周四收盘跌近2% 此前遭浑水公司做空；④英国央行在疫情危机爆发以来首次加息，以对抗通胀飙升。\n\n","content":"<blockquote>\n 摘要：①科技股拖累美股收跌，纳指大跌近2.5%；②热门中概股收盘涨跌不一，开心汽车涨超36%；③贝壳股价周四收盘跌近2% 此前遭浑水公司做空；④英国央行在疫情危机爆发以来首次加息，以对抗通胀飙升。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p>1、科技股拖累美股收跌纳指大跌近2.5%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>下挫3.9%</p>\n<p>周四(12月16日)，美国股市下滑，大型科技股的疲软拖累了主要股指的表现。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.47%，创下9月以来的最大单日跌幅。标准普尔500指数下跌0.87%，道琼斯工业指数跌0.08%。</p>\n<p>周四的交易中，一些大型科技股走势艰难，苹果下跌3.9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>等主要半导体股分别下跌近5.4%和6.8%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a>公司的前瞻指导低于分析师预期，该公司股价下跌超过10%。</p>\n<p>2、热门中概股周四收盘涨跌不一 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KXIN\">开心汽车</a>涨超36% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>跌近2%</p>\n<p>热门中概股周四收盘涨跌不一，开心汽车涨超36%，此前该公司获超5亿美元新能源卡车订单；贝壳跌近2%，该公司此前遭知名做空机构浑水公司做空。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">趣头条</a>涨超9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UCL\">优克联</a>涨超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STG\">尚德机构</a>涨超6%，人人公司、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDH\">水滴</a>公司、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCM\">猎豹移动</a>涨超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LIZI\">荔枝</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VNET\">世纪互联</a>涨超4%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BQ\">波奇宠物</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBON\">亿邦国际</a>跌超8%，携程跌超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UXIN\">优信</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JG\">极光</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚</a>买菜跌超6%。</p>\n<p>3、石油及天然气行业领涨欧股 德国DAX30指数涨1%</p>\n<p>欧洲股市周四（12月16日）跳涨，受欧洲及英国央行的货币政策决定支持。泛欧斯托克600指数周四收盘上涨1.23%，石油和天然气股领涨涨幅2.8%，所有行业和主要股市都在积极区域交易。泛欧斯托克600指数上涨5.80点，涨幅1.23%，报476.56点；德国DAX30指数收盘上涨154.78点，涨幅1.00%，报15631.13点；</p>\n<p>4、美国库存下降 美元走软 双重利好支持油价上涨</p>\n<p>周四(12月16日)，在美国公布自9月以来最大的原油库存下降而美元下滑后，油价连续第二天上涨。截至发稿，美国WTI原油期货上涨117美分，涨幅1.65%，报72.04美元/桶；布伦特期货上涨93美分，涨幅1.26%，报74.81美元/桶。</p>\n<p>5、贵金属集体大爆发！黄金狂飙逾20美元</p>\n<p>周四(12月16日)，金价上涨逾1%，因美元走软，此前美联储决定加快退出在大流行时期推出的刺激措施，符合市场普遍预期。</p>\n<p>美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1798.87美元/盎司，上涨22.60美元或1.27%，日内最高触及1799.57美元高点，最低触及1775.43美元。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p>1、拜登签署提高美国政府债务上限法案</p>\n<p>CNBC报道，美国总统拜登于当地时间12月16日签署了将债务上限提高2.5万亿美元的法案，使美国财政部的借款授权延长至2023年，暂时避免政府债务违约。</p>\n<p>为避免出现债务违约，美国财政部长耶伦近期敦促国会在12月15日之前再次调高债务上限，但共和党不愿配合行动。经过协商，参议院民主党领袖舒默和共和党领袖麦康奈尔上周达成协议，允许参议院绕过多数立法批准所需的60票门槛、以简单多数通过相关决议案，从而使在参议院拥有50席的民主党可以不依靠共和党支持独自提高债务上限。</p>\n<p>2、福奇：奥密克戎将在几周内成为美国主要流行毒株</p>\n<p>美国国家过敏症和传染病研究所所长安东尼-福奇周四表示，奥密克戎将在几周内成为美国的主要流行新冠毒株，并敦促民众接种新冠疫苗和加强针。</p>\n<p>“这是我们面临的最具传染性的新冠毒株，它很快就会在这里占据主导地位。”福奇称。</p>\n<p>3、拜登2万亿美元经济支出计划据悉因党内分歧推迟到2022年表决</p>\n<p>参议院民主党人放弃了在今年通过总统拜登2万亿美元经济议程的打算，使白宫遭受政治打击。延期消息得到了两位知情人士证实。如此一来民主党内围绕支出法案的分歧可能会加剧，许多民主党人将该法案视为2022年中期选举的关键。</p>\n<p>4、欧洲央行维持三大利率不变 拉加德重申明年不太可能加息</p>\n<p>当地时间周四(12月16日)，欧洲央行在德国法兰克福举行的管委会会议上决定，维持三大关键利率不变，符合市场预期。同时决定在明年一季度放缓为应对疫情而采取的“紧急购债计划(PEPP)”，该计划也将按原定时间在明年三月底终止。</p>\n<p>5、英国央行在疫情危机爆发以来首次加息 以对抗通胀飙升</p>\n<p>在英国央行之前，美联储已经转向了更鹰派的立场大多数经济学家之前预计英国央行维持利率不变。英国央行自新冠疫情爆发以来首次加息。尽管创纪录的新冠感染病例给经济带来威胁，但该国依然在全球率先行动以对抗通胀飙升。</p>\n<p>6、美联储隔夜逆回购连续第二天创下历史新高</p>\n<p>周四，美联储隔夜逆回购协议的使用量增加365亿美元，达到1.658万亿美元。这超过了周三创下的历史纪录1.621万亿美元。周四有78家对手方利用了这一工具。</p>\n<p>随着机构对存放短期现金的需求增加，今年美联储逆回购工具的使用规模飙升。政府现金余额下降以及对突破债务上限的担忧也起到了推波助澜的作用。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192944121\" target=\"_blank\">贝壳股价周四收盘跌近2% 此前遭浑水公司做空</a></p>\n<p>贝壳股价周四收盘下跌1.98%，报18.31美元，该公司此前遭知名做空机构浑水公司（Muddy Waters Research）做空。在浑水公司造假指控下，贝壳股价周四经历了“过山车”行情。贝壳股价在浑水做空报告发布后，盘前跌一度大跌10%，随后该公司的回应令股价拉升，盘中一度大涨14%，但临近午盘再度回落，此后维持低位震荡。</p>\n<p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2191945453\" target=\"_blank\">携程Q3财报：前三季度总营收恢复至疫情前56%，国际业务成突破口</a></p>\n<p>12月16日，携程集团发布了截至2021年9月30日第三季度未经审计的财务业绩。财报显示，今年第三季度，携程实现营收53亿元，经调整EBITDA为5.37亿元，经调整EBITDA利润率为10%。同时，归属于携程股东的净亏损为8.49亿元（约合1.31亿美元），上年同期录得净利润16亿元。</p>\n<p>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192894268\" target=\"_blank\">美国疾控中心专家表示辉瑞和Moderna的疫苗优于强生</a></p>\n<p>美国公共卫生顾问表示，Moderna和辉瑞的mRNA疫苗比强生疫苗更适合成年人使用。美国疾控中心免疫实践咨询委员会周四开会，15名成员一致投票同意关于强生疫苗的建议。此前，美国监管机构修改关于强生疫苗的情况说明，就该疫苗可能引发罕见的血栓综合症发出警告。</p>\n<p>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192094908\" target=\"_blank\">报道称苹果为南加州办事处招聘工程师 以开发自研无线芯片</a></p>\n<p>据报道，苹果公司正在为南加州的一个办事处招聘工程师，以开发自研无线芯片，并最终取代<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRCM\">博通</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWKS\">思佳讯</a>制造的芯片。</p>\n<p>报道称，苹果公司正在寻找“数十名”人员在尔湾开发芯片，该地区靠近<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>、思佳讯和其他芯片制造商的所在地。</p>\n<h4>5、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192947198\" target=\"_blank\">Rivian Q3财报：净亏损扩大至12.3亿美元 官宣50亿美元建新厂</a></h4>\n<p>美股周四盘后，刚刚在11月IPO狂揽137亿美元融资的电动车概念股Rivian发布上市后首份财报，首次取得营收和亏损扩大也在市场的意料之中。</p>\n<p>根据财报披露，公司今年三季度总共实现营收100万美元，营运损失7.76亿美元，净亏损12.33亿美元，去年同期亏损2.88亿美元。</p>\n<p>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192414459\" target=\"_blank\">成长股逆风不止 Adobe疲软前瞻指引导致股价大跌逾10%</a></p>\n<p>当地时间周四，美股软件巨头Adobe发布截至12月3日的2021财年四季报，虽然财报本身创出营收新高，但逊于预期的前瞻指引再度引发了投资者抛售，截至发稿公司股价跌10.81%。</p>\n<p>7、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192085949\" target=\"_blank\">瑞幸咖啡4.6亿美元债务重组获得美国法院批准</a></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">瑞幸咖啡</a>的债务重组计划获得美国曼哈顿一名联邦法官的同意，意味着这项在开曼群岛法院制定的安排可以在美国实施。根据法院文件，4.6亿美元票据的持有人将获得3.2亿美元现金加新债券。该计划还了结了股东在瑞幸咖啡被指虚报销售额后发起的很多诉讼。该公司高层还在继续应对部分股东诉讼。瑞幸咖啡美股粉单市场目前跌2.2%。</p>\n<p>8、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2191943669\" target=\"_blank\">达美航空预计2022年会盈利，2024年营收有望超500亿美元</a></p>\n<p>达美航空(DAL.US)表示，该公司预计将在2022年实现有意义的盈利，并在2024年超越疫情前盈利水平。</p>\n<p>达美航空在其资本市场日活动上介绍了其战略重点，财务方面的首要任务是恢复其财务基础，重点关注效率和现金产生，到2024年实现投资级别指标。</p>\n<p>9、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192894799\" target=\"_blank\">卡骆驰：一双橡胶鞋撑起了股价五年飙升近2000%</a></p>\n<p>今年迄今为止，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CROX\">卡骆驰</a>股价已飙升近130%，5年涨幅超过1,900%，主导了标普400非必需消费品板块在此期间85%的涨幅。相比之下，以看似火箭式的涨幅和直言不讳的CEO而闻名的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>股价在这段时间飙升了约2100%。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>昨夜今晨：大型科技股全线下挫！苹果欲开发自研无线芯片</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨：大型科技股全线下挫！苹果欲开发自研无线芯片\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-17 07:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n 摘要：①科技股拖累美股收跌，纳指大跌近2.5%；②热门中概股收盘涨跌不一，开心汽车涨超36%；③贝壳股价周四收盘跌近2% 此前遭浑水公司做空；④英国央行在疫情危机爆发以来首次加息，以对抗通胀飙升。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p>1、科技股拖累美股收跌纳指大跌近2.5%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>下挫3.9%</p>\n<p>周四(12月16日)，美国股市下滑，大型科技股的疲软拖累了主要股指的表现。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.47%，创下9月以来的最大单日跌幅。标准普尔500指数下跌0.87%，道琼斯工业指数跌0.08%。</p>\n<p>周四的交易中，一些大型科技股走势艰难，苹果下跌3.9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>等主要半导体股分别下跌近5.4%和6.8%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a>公司的前瞻指导低于分析师预期，该公司股价下跌超过10%。</p>\n<p>2、热门中概股周四收盘涨跌不一 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KXIN\">开心汽车</a>涨超36% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>跌近2%</p>\n<p>热门中概股周四收盘涨跌不一，开心汽车涨超36%，此前该公司获超5亿美元新能源卡车订单；贝壳跌近2%，该公司此前遭知名做空机构浑水公司做空。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">趣头条</a>涨超9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UCL\">优克联</a>涨超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STG\">尚德机构</a>涨超6%，人人公司、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDH\">水滴</a>公司、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCM\">猎豹移动</a>涨超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LIZI\">荔枝</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VNET\">世纪互联</a>涨超4%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BQ\">波奇宠物</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBON\">亿邦国际</a>跌超8%，携程跌超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UXIN\">优信</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JG\">极光</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚</a>买菜跌超6%。</p>\n<p>3、石油及天然气行业领涨欧股 德国DAX30指数涨1%</p>\n<p>欧洲股市周四（12月16日）跳涨，受欧洲及英国央行的货币政策决定支持。泛欧斯托克600指数周四收盘上涨1.23%，石油和天然气股领涨涨幅2.8%，所有行业和主要股市都在积极区域交易。泛欧斯托克600指数上涨5.80点，涨幅1.23%，报476.56点；德国DAX30指数收盘上涨154.78点，涨幅1.00%，报15631.13点；</p>\n<p>4、美国库存下降 美元走软 双重利好支持油价上涨</p>\n<p>周四(12月16日)，在美国公布自9月以来最大的原油库存下降而美元下滑后，油价连续第二天上涨。截至发稿，美国WTI原油期货上涨117美分，涨幅1.65%，报72.04美元/桶；布伦特期货上涨93美分，涨幅1.26%，报74.81美元/桶。</p>\n<p>5、贵金属集体大爆发！黄金狂飙逾20美元</p>\n<p>周四(12月16日)，金价上涨逾1%，因美元走软，此前美联储决定加快退出在大流行时期推出的刺激措施，符合市场普遍预期。</p>\n<p>美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1798.87美元/盎司，上涨22.60美元或1.27%，日内最高触及1799.57美元高点，最低触及1775.43美元。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p>1、拜登签署提高美国政府债务上限法案</p>\n<p>CNBC报道，美国总统拜登于当地时间12月16日签署了将债务上限提高2.5万亿美元的法案，使美国财政部的借款授权延长至2023年，暂时避免政府债务违约。</p>\n<p>为避免出现债务违约，美国财政部长耶伦近期敦促国会在12月15日之前再次调高债务上限，但共和党不愿配合行动。经过协商，参议院民主党领袖舒默和共和党领袖麦康奈尔上周达成协议，允许参议院绕过多数立法批准所需的60票门槛、以简单多数通过相关决议案，从而使在参议院拥有50席的民主党可以不依靠共和党支持独自提高债务上限。</p>\n<p>2、福奇：奥密克戎将在几周内成为美国主要流行毒株</p>\n<p>美国国家过敏症和传染病研究所所长安东尼-福奇周四表示，奥密克戎将在几周内成为美国的主要流行新冠毒株，并敦促民众接种新冠疫苗和加强针。</p>\n<p>“这是我们面临的最具传染性的新冠毒株，它很快就会在这里占据主导地位。”福奇称。</p>\n<p>3、拜登2万亿美元经济支出计划据悉因党内分歧推迟到2022年表决</p>\n<p>参议院民主党人放弃了在今年通过总统拜登2万亿美元经济议程的打算，使白宫遭受政治打击。延期消息得到了两位知情人士证实。如此一来民主党内围绕支出法案的分歧可能会加剧，许多民主党人将该法案视为2022年中期选举的关键。</p>\n<p>4、欧洲央行维持三大利率不变 拉加德重申明年不太可能加息</p>\n<p>当地时间周四(12月16日)，欧洲央行在德国法兰克福举行的管委会会议上决定，维持三大关键利率不变，符合市场预期。同时决定在明年一季度放缓为应对疫情而采取的“紧急购债计划(PEPP)”，该计划也将按原定时间在明年三月底终止。</p>\n<p>5、英国央行在疫情危机爆发以来首次加息 以对抗通胀飙升</p>\n<p>在英国央行之前，美联储已经转向了更鹰派的立场大多数经济学家之前预计英国央行维持利率不变。英国央行自新冠疫情爆发以来首次加息。尽管创纪录的新冠感染病例给经济带来威胁，但该国依然在全球率先行动以对抗通胀飙升。</p>\n<p>6、美联储隔夜逆回购连续第二天创下历史新高</p>\n<p>周四，美联储隔夜逆回购协议的使用量增加365亿美元，达到1.658万亿美元。这超过了周三创下的历史纪录1.621万亿美元。周四有78家对手方利用了这一工具。</p>\n<p>随着机构对存放短期现金的需求增加，今年美联储逆回购工具的使用规模飙升。政府现金余额下降以及对突破债务上限的担忧也起到了推波助澜的作用。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192944121\" target=\"_blank\">贝壳股价周四收盘跌近2% 此前遭浑水公司做空</a></p>\n<p>贝壳股价周四收盘下跌1.98%，报18.31美元，该公司此前遭知名做空机构浑水公司（Muddy Waters Research）做空。在浑水公司造假指控下，贝壳股价周四经历了“过山车”行情。贝壳股价在浑水做空报告发布后，盘前跌一度大跌10%，随后该公司的回应令股价拉升，盘中一度大涨14%，但临近午盘再度回落，此后维持低位震荡。</p>\n<p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2191945453\" target=\"_blank\">携程Q3财报：前三季度总营收恢复至疫情前56%，国际业务成突破口</a></p>\n<p>12月16日，携程集团发布了截至2021年9月30日第三季度未经审计的财务业绩。财报显示，今年第三季度，携程实现营收53亿元，经调整EBITDA为5.37亿元，经调整EBITDA利润率为10%。同时，归属于携程股东的净亏损为8.49亿元（约合1.31亿美元），上年同期录得净利润16亿元。</p>\n<p>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192894268\" target=\"_blank\">美国疾控中心专家表示辉瑞和Moderna的疫苗优于强生</a></p>\n<p>美国公共卫生顾问表示，Moderna和辉瑞的mRNA疫苗比强生疫苗更适合成年人使用。美国疾控中心免疫实践咨询委员会周四开会，15名成员一致投票同意关于强生疫苗的建议。此前，美国监管机构修改关于强生疫苗的情况说明，就该疫苗可能引发罕见的血栓综合症发出警告。</p>\n<p>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192094908\" target=\"_blank\">报道称苹果为南加州办事处招聘工程师 以开发自研无线芯片</a></p>\n<p>据报道，苹果公司正在为南加州的一个办事处招聘工程师，以开发自研无线芯片，并最终取代<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRCM\">博通</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWKS\">思佳讯</a>制造的芯片。</p>\n<p>报道称，苹果公司正在寻找“数十名”人员在尔湾开发芯片，该地区靠近<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>、思佳讯和其他芯片制造商的所在地。</p>\n<h4>5、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192947198\" target=\"_blank\">Rivian Q3财报：净亏损扩大至12.3亿美元 官宣50亿美元建新厂</a></h4>\n<p>美股周四盘后，刚刚在11月IPO狂揽137亿美元融资的电动车概念股Rivian发布上市后首份财报，首次取得营收和亏损扩大也在市场的意料之中。</p>\n<p>根据财报披露，公司今年三季度总共实现营收100万美元，营运损失7.76亿美元，净亏损12.33亿美元，去年同期亏损2.88亿美元。</p>\n<p>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192414459\" target=\"_blank\">成长股逆风不止 Adobe疲软前瞻指引导致股价大跌逾10%</a></p>\n<p>当地时间周四，美股软件巨头Adobe发布截至12月3日的2021财年四季报，虽然财报本身创出营收新高，但逊于预期的前瞻指引再度引发了投资者抛售，截至发稿公司股价跌10.81%。</p>\n<p>7、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192085949\" target=\"_blank\">瑞幸咖啡4.6亿美元债务重组获得美国法院批准</a></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">瑞幸咖啡</a>的债务重组计划获得美国曼哈顿一名联邦法官的同意，意味着这项在开曼群岛法院制定的安排可以在美国实施。根据法院文件，4.6亿美元票据的持有人将获得3.2亿美元现金加新债券。该计划还了结了股东在瑞幸咖啡被指虚报销售额后发起的很多诉讼。该公司高层还在继续应对部分股东诉讼。瑞幸咖啡美股粉单市场目前跌2.2%。</p>\n<p>8、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2191943669\" target=\"_blank\">达美航空预计2022年会盈利，2024年营收有望超500亿美元</a></p>\n<p>达美航空(DAL.US)表示，该公司预计将在2022年实现有意义的盈利，并在2024年超越疫情前盈利水平。</p>\n<p>达美航空在其资本市场日活动上介绍了其战略重点，财务方面的首要任务是恢复其财务基础，重点关注效率和现金产生，到2024年实现投资级别指标。</p>\n<p>9、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192894799\" target=\"_blank\">卡骆驰：一双橡胶鞋撑起了股价五年飙升近2000%</a></p>\n<p>今年迄今为止，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CROX\">卡骆驰</a>股价已飙升近130%，5年涨幅超过1,900%，主导了标普400非必需消费品板块在此期间85%的涨幅。相比之下，以看似火箭式的涨幅和直言不讳的CEO而闻名的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>股价在这段时间飙升了约2100%。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{"159813":"芯片","AAPL":"苹果","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","03086":"华夏纳指"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157750048","content_text":"摘要：①科技股拖累美股收跌，纳指大跌近2.5%；②热门中概股收盘涨跌不一，开心汽车涨超36%；③贝壳股价周四收盘跌近2% 此前遭浑水公司做空；④英国央行在疫情危机爆发以来首次加息，以对抗通胀飙升。\n\n海外市场\n1、科技股拖累美股收跌纳指大跌近2.5%、苹果下挫3.9%\n周四(12月16日)，美国股市下滑，大型科技股的疲软拖累了主要股指的表现。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.47%，创下9月以来的最大单日跌幅。标准普尔500指数下跌0.87%，道琼斯工业指数跌0.08%。\n周四的交易中，一些大型科技股走势艰难，苹果下跌3.9%，AMD和英伟达等主要半导体股分别下跌近5.4%和6.8%。Adobe公司的前瞻指导低于分析师预期，该公司股价下跌超过10%。\n2、热门中概股周四收盘涨跌不一 开心汽车涨超36% 贝壳跌近2%\n热门中概股周四收盘涨跌不一，开心汽车涨超36%，此前该公司获超5亿美元新能源卡车订单；贝壳跌近2%，该公司此前遭知名做空机构浑水公司做空。\n趣头条涨超9%，优克联涨超8%，尚德机构涨超6%，人人公司、水滴公司、猎豹移动涨超5%，荔枝、世纪互联涨超4%；波奇宠物、亿邦国际跌超8%，携程跌超7%，优信、极光、叮咚买菜跌超6%。\n3、石油及天然气行业领涨欧股 德国DAX30指数涨1%\n欧洲股市周四（12月16日）跳涨，受欧洲及英国央行的货币政策决定支持。泛欧斯托克600指数周四收盘上涨1.23%，石油和天然气股领涨涨幅2.8%，所有行业和主要股市都在积极区域交易。泛欧斯托克600指数上涨5.80点，涨幅1.23%，报476.56点；德国DAX30指数收盘上涨154.78点，涨幅1.00%，报15631.13点；\n4、美国库存下降 美元走软 双重利好支持油价上涨\n周四(12月16日)，在美国公布自9月以来最大的原油库存下降而美元下滑后，油价连续第二天上涨。截至发稿，美国WTI原油期货上涨117美分，涨幅1.65%，报72.04美元/桶；布伦特期货上涨93美分，涨幅1.26%，报74.81美元/桶。\n5、贵金属集体大爆发！黄金狂飙逾20美元\n周四(12月16日)，金价上涨逾1%，因美元走软，此前美联储决定加快退出在大流行时期推出的刺激措施，符合市场普遍预期。\n美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1798.87美元/盎司，上涨22.60美元或1.27%，日内最高触及1799.57美元高点，最低触及1775.43美元。\n国际宏观\n1、拜登签署提高美国政府债务上限法案\nCNBC报道，美国总统拜登于当地时间12月16日签署了将债务上限提高2.5万亿美元的法案，使美国财政部的借款授权延长至2023年，暂时避免政府债务违约。\n为避免出现债务违约，美国财政部长耶伦近期敦促国会在12月15日之前再次调高债务上限，但共和党不愿配合行动。经过协商，参议院民主党领袖舒默和共和党领袖麦康奈尔上周达成协议，允许参议院绕过多数立法批准所需的60票门槛、以简单多数通过相关决议案，从而使在参议院拥有50席的民主党可以不依靠共和党支持独自提高债务上限。\n2、福奇：奥密克戎将在几周内成为美国主要流行毒株\n美国国家过敏症和传染病研究所所长安东尼-福奇周四表示，奥密克戎将在几周内成为美国的主要流行新冠毒株，并敦促民众接种新冠疫苗和加强针。\n“这是我们面临的最具传染性的新冠毒株，它很快就会在这里占据主导地位。”福奇称。\n3、拜登2万亿美元经济支出计划据悉因党内分歧推迟到2022年表决\n参议院民主党人放弃了在今年通过总统拜登2万亿美元经济议程的打算，使白宫遭受政治打击。延期消息得到了两位知情人士证实。如此一来民主党内围绕支出法案的分歧可能会加剧，许多民主党人将该法案视为2022年中期选举的关键。\n4、欧洲央行维持三大利率不变 拉加德重申明年不太可能加息\n当地时间周四(12月16日)，欧洲央行在德国法兰克福举行的管委会会议上决定，维持三大关键利率不变，符合市场预期。同时决定在明年一季度放缓为应对疫情而采取的“紧急购债计划(PEPP)”，该计划也将按原定时间在明年三月底终止。\n5、英国央行在疫情危机爆发以来首次加息 以对抗通胀飙升\n在英国央行之前，美联储已经转向了更鹰派的立场大多数经济学家之前预计英国央行维持利率不变。英国央行自新冠疫情爆发以来首次加息。尽管创纪录的新冠感染病例给经济带来威胁，但该国依然在全球率先行动以对抗通胀飙升。\n6、美联储隔夜逆回购连续第二天创下历史新高\n周四，美联储隔夜逆回购协议的使用量增加365亿美元，达到1.658万亿美元。这超过了周三创下的历史纪录1.621万亿美元。周四有78家对手方利用了这一工具。\n随着机构对存放短期现金的需求增加，今年美联储逆回购工具的使用规模飙升。政府现金余额下降以及对突破债务上限的担忧也起到了推波助澜的作用。\n公司新闻\n1、贝壳股价周四收盘跌近2% 此前遭浑水公司做空\n贝壳股价周四收盘下跌1.98%，报18.31美元，该公司此前遭知名做空机构浑水公司（Muddy Waters Research）做空。在浑水公司造假指控下，贝壳股价周四经历了“过山车”行情。贝壳股价在浑水做空报告发布后，盘前跌一度大跌10%，随后该公司的回应令股价拉升，盘中一度大涨14%，但临近午盘再度回落，此后维持低位震荡。\n2、携程Q3财报：前三季度总营收恢复至疫情前56%，国际业务成突破口\n12月16日，携程集团发布了截至2021年9月30日第三季度未经审计的财务业绩。财报显示，今年第三季度，携程实现营收53亿元，经调整EBITDA为5.37亿元，经调整EBITDA利润率为10%。同时，归属于携程股东的净亏损为8.49亿元（约合1.31亿美元），上年同期录得净利润16亿元。\n3、美国疾控中心专家表示辉瑞和Moderna的疫苗优于强生\n美国公共卫生顾问表示，Moderna和辉瑞的mRNA疫苗比强生疫苗更适合成年人使用。美国疾控中心免疫实践咨询委员会周四开会，15名成员一致投票同意关于强生疫苗的建议。此前，美国监管机构修改关于强生疫苗的情况说明，就该疫苗可能引发罕见的血栓综合症发出警告。\n4、报道称苹果为南加州办事处招聘工程师 以开发自研无线芯片\n据报道，苹果公司正在为南加州的一个办事处招聘工程师，以开发自研无线芯片，并最终取代博通和思佳讯制造的芯片。\n报道称，苹果公司正在寻找“数十名”人员在尔湾开发芯片，该地区靠近博通、思佳讯和其他芯片制造商的所在地。\n5、Rivian Q3财报：净亏损扩大至12.3亿美元 官宣50亿美元建新厂\n美股周四盘后，刚刚在11月IPO狂揽137亿美元融资的电动车概念股Rivian发布上市后首份财报，首次取得营收和亏损扩大也在市场的意料之中。\n根据财报披露，公司今年三季度总共实现营收100万美元，营运损失7.76亿美元，净亏损12.33亿美元，去年同期亏损2.88亿美元。\n6、成长股逆风不止 Adobe疲软前瞻指引导致股价大跌逾10%\n当地时间周四，美股软件巨头Adobe发布截至12月3日的2021财年四季报，虽然财报本身创出营收新高，但逊于预期的前瞻指引再度引发了投资者抛售，截至发稿公司股价跌10.81%。\n7、瑞幸咖啡4.6亿美元债务重组获得美国法院批准\n瑞幸咖啡的债务重组计划获得美国曼哈顿一名联邦法官的同意，意味着这项在开曼群岛法院制定的安排可以在美国实施。根据法院文件，4.6亿美元票据的持有人将获得3.2亿美元现金加新债券。该计划还了结了股东在瑞幸咖啡被指虚报销售额后发起的很多诉讼。该公司高层还在继续应对部分股东诉讼。瑞幸咖啡美股粉单市场目前跌2.2%。\n8、达美航空预计2022年会盈利，2024年营收有望超500亿美元\n达美航空(DAL.US)表示，该公司预计将在2022年实现有意义的盈利，并在2024年超越疫情前盈利水平。\n达美航空在其资本市场日活动上介绍了其战略重点，财务方面的首要任务是恢复其财务基础，重点关注效率和现金产生，到2024年实现投资级别指标。\n9、卡骆驰：一双橡胶鞋撑起了股价五年飙升近2000%\n今年迄今为止，卡骆驰股价已飙升近130%，5年涨幅超过1,900%，主导了标普400非必需消费品板块在此期间85%的涨幅。相比之下，以看似火箭式的涨幅和直言不讳的CEO而闻名的特斯拉股价在这段时间飙升了约2100%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159813":0,"QNETCN":0,"AAPL":0,"TTTN":0,".IXIC":0,".DJI":0,".SPX":0,"03086":0}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823840368,"gmtCreate":1633614457892,"gmtModify":1633614478667,"author":{"id":"3583799564024432","authorId":"3583799564024432","name":"Shaine8862","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583799564024432","idStr":"3583799564024432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823840368","repostId":"1100842347","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3907,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829234464,"gmtCreate":1633511494271,"gmtModify":1633511494341,"author":{"id":"3583799564024432","authorId":"3583799564024432","name":"Shaine8862","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583799564024432","idStr":"3583799564024432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"[Cool]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;","text":"[Cool] 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627650457,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177914270?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-30 21:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia shares dived 3.2% in premarket trading<blockquote>英伟达股价在盘前交易中下跌3.2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177914270","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nvidia shares dived 3.2% in premarket trading.China antitrust officials delay review of Nvidia’s $40 Billion Arm Acquisition,according to&nbsp;The Information.","content":"<p>Nvidia shares dived 3.2% in premarket trading.China antitrust officials delay review of Nvidia’s $40 Billion Arm Acquisition,according to&nbsp;The Information.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价在盘前交易中下跌3.2%。据The Information报道，中国反垄断官员推迟了对英伟达400亿美元收购Arm的审查。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcb434863abbc50b64c8e9d4079a2b06\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"639\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/395304fa3e2a4eb8436058c29da9628c\" tg-width=\"1222\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia shares dived 3.2% in premarket trading<blockquote>英伟达股价在盘前交易中下跌3.2%</blockquote></title>\n<style 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia shares dived 3.2% in premarket trading<blockquote>英伟达股价在盘前交易中下跌3.2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-30 21:07</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nvidia shares dived 3.2% in premarket trading.China antitrust officials delay review of Nvidia’s $40 Billion Arm Acquisition,according to&nbsp;The Information.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价在盘前交易中下跌3.2%。据The Information报道，中国反垄断官员推迟了对英伟达400亿美元收购Arm的审查。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcb434863abbc50b64c8e9d4079a2b06\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"639\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/395304fa3e2a4eb8436058c29da9628c\" tg-width=\"1222\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177914270","content_text":"Nvidia shares dived 3.2% in premarket trading.China antitrust officials delay review of Nvidia’s $40 Billion Arm Acquisition,according to The Information.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806659831,"gmtCreate":1627654576823,"gmtModify":1633757381940,"author":{"id":"3583799564024432","authorId":"3583799564024432","name":"Shaine8862","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583799564024432","idStr":"3583799564024432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser] [Miser] [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806659831","repostId":"1194710219","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194710219","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627652868,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194710219?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-30 21:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股周五早盘飙升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194710219","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 6%.","content":"<p>EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 6%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周五早盘飙升。特斯拉、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车上涨1%至6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c821968998f7b667eae78a4ed3ede421\" tg-width=\"352\" tg-height=\"594\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股周五早盘飙升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股周五早盘飙升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-30 21:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 6%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周五早盘飙升。特斯拉、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车上涨1%至6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c821968998f7b667eae78a4ed3ede421\" tg-width=\"352\" tg-height=\"594\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","NIO":"蔚来","LI":"理想汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","NIU":"小牛电动"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194710219","content_text":"EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto climbed between 1% and 6%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"NIU":0.9,"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2015,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178342639,"gmtCreate":1626789572321,"gmtModify":1633771018679,"author":{"id":"3583799564024432","authorId":"3583799564024432","name":"Shaine8862","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583799564024432","idStr":"3583799564024432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178342639","repostId":"1112457513","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112457513","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626785289,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112457513?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 20:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"(Forward-Looking) US Building Permits Plunge To 8-Month Lows In June<blockquote>（前瞻）美国6月建筑许可骤降至8个月低点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112457513","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Amid a slew of weak housing sales data, weak mortgage applications, crashing homebuyer sentiment, an","content":"<p>Amid a slew of weak housing sales data, weak mortgage applications, crashing homebuyer sentiment, and 11-month low homebuilder sentiment, analysts still expected both housing starts and permits to rise MoM in June... they were half right!</p><p><blockquote>在一系列疲软的房屋销售数据、疲软的抵押贷款申请、购房者情绪崩溃以及房屋建筑商情绪连续11个月低迷的情况下，分析师仍然预计6月份新屋开工和许可数量将环比上升...他们说对了一半！</blockquote></p><p> After a small downward revision in May, Housing Starts soared 6.3% MoM in June (massively beating expectations of +1.2% MoM), but... Building Permits, which are forward-looking of course, saw a third straight month of declines, plunging 5.1% MoM (far worse than the +0.7% MoM expected)...</p><p><blockquote>在5月份小幅下调后，6月份新屋开工量环比飙升6.3%（大大超出了环比+1.2%的预期），但是...建筑许可当然是前瞻性的，但连续第三个月下降，环比下降5.1%（远低于预期的+0.7%）...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b214cc5c7f50f8c1d773d1340ab8371\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> This pushed the Permits SAAR below Starts for the first time since Jan 2020, and to its weakest since Oct 2020...</p><p><blockquote>这使得萨尔的许可证自2020年1月以来首次低于开工水平，也是自2020年10月以来的最低水平...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f22146cea0299321e3b778b2c12f567\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"560\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Under the hood, Single Family Starts rose 6.3% SAAR to 1.160MM, the highest since March, and Multi Family (rentals) Starts were up 6.8% to 474K, highest since July 2020...</p><p><blockquote>在引擎盖下，SAAR的单户住宅开工率上涨6.3%，至1160毫米，为3月份以来的最高水平，多户住宅（租赁）开工率上涨6.8%，至47.4万毫米，为2020年7月以来的最高水平...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53df9fc958c939cc72809a5e5afd0a0e\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"619\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> But Permits were far more ugly, with Single Family Permits down 6.3% to 1.063MM SAAR, lowest since August 2020; and Multi Family Permits down 1.6% to 483K SAAR, lowest since Dec 2020.</p><p><blockquote>但许可证要糟糕得多，单身家庭许可证下降了6.3%，至1063毫米萨尔，为2020年8月以来的最低水平；多家庭许可证下降1.6%，至48.3万萨尔，为2020年12月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/069ebc904e3c351c7461b49c2e4abad5\" tg-width=\"872\" tg-height=\"560\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">This is not a pretty picture for the future.</p><p><blockquote>这不是一幅美好的未来图景。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Exorbitant materials costs, combined with shortages of land and labor, have thwarted developers seeking to ramp up construction.</b>Supply concerns and a slowdown in sales pushed builder confidence down to an 11-month low in July, a&nbsp;survey&nbsp;from the National Association of Home Builders showed Monday.</p><p><blockquote><b>高昂的材料成本，加上土地和劳动力的短缺，阻碍了寻求加快建设的开发商。</b>全国住宅建筑商协会周一的一项调查显示，供应担忧和销售放缓导致7月份建筑商信心降至11个月低点。</blockquote></p><p> An inventory crunch that followed solid demand last year has sent prices soaring, tempering buyer interest.<b>A&nbsp;record&nbsp;71% of consumers said higher prices were a reason why buying conditions have soured</b>, according to July data from the University of Michigan.</p><p><blockquote>去年需求强劲后出现库存紧缩，导致价格飙升，抑制了买家的兴趣。<b>创纪录的71%的消费者表示，价格上涨是购买条件恶化的原因</b>，根据密歇根大学7月份的数据。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>(Forward-Looking) US Building Permits Plunge To 8-Month Lows In June<blockquote>（前瞻）美国6月建筑许可骤降至8个月低点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n(Forward-Looking) US Building Permits Plunge To 8-Month Lows In June<blockquote>（前瞻）美国6月建筑许可骤降至8个月低点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-20 20:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amid a slew of weak housing sales data, weak mortgage applications, crashing homebuyer sentiment, and 11-month low homebuilder sentiment, analysts still expected both housing starts and permits to rise MoM in June... they were half right!</p><p><blockquote>在一系列疲软的房屋销售数据、疲软的抵押贷款申请、购房者情绪崩溃以及房屋建筑商情绪连续11个月低迷的情况下，分析师仍然预计6月份新屋开工和许可数量将环比上升...他们说对了一半！</blockquote></p><p> After a small downward revision in May, Housing Starts soared 6.3% MoM in June (massively beating expectations of +1.2% MoM), but... Building Permits, which are forward-looking of course, saw a third straight month of declines, plunging 5.1% MoM (far worse than the +0.7% MoM expected)...</p><p><blockquote>在5月份小幅下调后，6月份新屋开工量环比飙升6.3%（大大超出了环比+1.2%的预期），但是...建筑许可当然是前瞻性的，但连续第三个月下降，环比下降5.1%（远低于预期的+0.7%）...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b214cc5c7f50f8c1d773d1340ab8371\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> This pushed the Permits SAAR below Starts for the first time since Jan 2020, and to its weakest since Oct 2020...</p><p><blockquote>这使得萨尔的许可证自2020年1月以来首次低于开工水平，也是自2020年10月以来的最低水平...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f22146cea0299321e3b778b2c12f567\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"560\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Under the hood, Single Family Starts rose 6.3% SAAR to 1.160MM, the highest since March, and Multi Family (rentals) Starts were up 6.8% to 474K, highest since July 2020...</p><p><blockquote>在引擎盖下，SAAR的单户住宅开工率上涨6.3%，至1160毫米，为3月份以来的最高水平，多户住宅（租赁）开工率上涨6.8%，至47.4万毫米，为2020年7月以来的最高水平...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53df9fc958c939cc72809a5e5afd0a0e\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"619\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> But Permits were far more ugly, with Single Family Permits down 6.3% to 1.063MM SAAR, lowest since August 2020; and Multi Family Permits down 1.6% to 483K SAAR, lowest since Dec 2020.</p><p><blockquote>但许可证要糟糕得多，单身家庭许可证下降了6.3%，至1063毫米萨尔，为2020年8月以来的最低水平；多家庭许可证下降1.6%，至48.3万萨尔，为2020年12月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/069ebc904e3c351c7461b49c2e4abad5\" tg-width=\"872\" tg-height=\"560\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">This is not a pretty picture for the future.</p><p><blockquote>这不是一幅美好的未来图景。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Exorbitant materials costs, combined with shortages of land and labor, have thwarted developers seeking to ramp up construction.</b>Supply concerns and a slowdown in sales pushed builder confidence down to an 11-month low in July, a&nbsp;survey&nbsp;from the National Association of Home Builders showed Monday.</p><p><blockquote><b>高昂的材料成本，加上土地和劳动力的短缺，阻碍了寻求加快建设的开发商。</b>全国住宅建筑商协会周一的一项调查显示，供应担忧和销售放缓导致7月份建筑商信心降至11个月低点。</blockquote></p><p> An inventory crunch that followed solid demand last year has sent prices soaring, tempering buyer interest.<b>A&nbsp;record&nbsp;71% of consumers said higher prices were a reason why buying conditions have soured</b>, according to July data from the University of Michigan.</p><p><blockquote>去年需求强劲后出现库存紧缩，导致价格飙升，抑制了买家的兴趣。<b>创纪录的71%的消费者表示，价格上涨是购买条件恶化的原因</b>，根据密歇根大学7月份的数据。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/forward-looking-us-building-permits-plunge-8-month-lows-june\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/forward-looking-us-building-permits-plunge-8-month-lows-june","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112457513","content_text":"Amid a slew of weak housing sales data, weak mortgage applications, crashing homebuyer sentiment, and 11-month low homebuilder sentiment, analysts still expected both housing starts and permits to rise MoM in June... they were half right!\nAfter a small downward revision in May, Housing Starts soared 6.3% MoM in June (massively beating expectations of +1.2% MoM), but... Building Permits, which are forward-looking of course, saw a third straight month of declines, plunging 5.1% MoM (far worse than the +0.7% MoM expected)...\nSource: Bloomberg\nThis pushed the Permits SAAR below Starts for the first time since Jan 2020, and to its weakest since Oct 2020...\nSource: Bloomberg\nUnder the hood, Single Family Starts rose 6.3% SAAR to 1.160MM, the highest since March, and Multi Family (rentals) Starts were up 6.8% to 474K, highest since July 2020...\n\nBut Permits were far more ugly, with Single Family Permits down 6.3% to 1.063MM SAAR, lowest since August 2020; and Multi Family Permits down 1.6% to 483K SAAR, lowest since Dec 2020.\nThis is not a pretty picture for the future.\nExorbitant materials costs, combined with shortages of land and labor, have thwarted developers seeking to ramp up construction.Supply concerns and a slowdown in sales pushed builder confidence down to an 11-month low in July, a survey from the National Association of Home Builders showed Monday.\nAn inventory crunch that followed solid demand last year has sent prices soaring, tempering buyer interest.A record 71% of consumers said higher prices were a reason why buying conditions have soured, according to July data from the University of Michigan.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2233,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171387501,"gmtCreate":1626706625503,"gmtModify":1633924749166,"author":{"id":"3583799564024432","authorId":"3583799564024432","name":"Shaine8862","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583799564024432","idStr":"3583799564024432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Strong]&nbsp;","listText":"[Strong]&nbsp;","text":"[Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171387501","repostId":"1146536243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146536243","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626683272,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146536243?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146536243","media":"zerohedge","summary":"This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","content":"<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式，这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件？是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家，如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为，那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进，这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处，2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（见增长恐慌周年纪念，2021年7月11日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标，所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”，它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后，该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快，以至于已经过了下一个阶段（“复苏”），直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件，<b>自1980年以来，“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点，它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，信贷相对于其他风险资产越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次衰退提前到来，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%，并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为该行业具有几个良好的因素：质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”，我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债，而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 16:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式，这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件？是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家，如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为，那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进，这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处，2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（见增长恐慌周年纪念，2021年7月11日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标，所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”，它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后，该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快，以至于已经过了下一个阶段（“复苏”），直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件，<b>自1980年以来，“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点，它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，信贷相对于其他风险资产越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次衰退提前到来，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%，并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为该行业具有几个良好的因素：质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”，我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债，而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146536243","content_text":"We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.\nBut 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.\nInstead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.\nWas last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.\nIf it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should continue to do so.\nSpecifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).\nBecause one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.\nThisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.\nAll this has a number of implications:\n\nThe shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.\nIn many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.\nIn equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.\nInterest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.\n\nThis cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3532,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171382459,"gmtCreate":1626706504971,"gmtModify":1633924751375,"author":{"id":"3583799564024432","authorId":"3583799564024432","name":"Shaine8862","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583799564024432","idStr":"3583799564024432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171382459","repostId":"1154837794","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154837794","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626705505,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154837794?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 22:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bond Yields Are Puking Again...<blockquote>债券收益率又吐了……</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154837794","media":"zerohedge","summary":"US Treasury yields are plunging again this morning as investors take their pick of factors, but Delt","content":"<p>US Treasury yields are plunging again this morning as investors take their pick of factors, but Delta variant fearmongering appears to dominate (and a continued short squeeze)...</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者选择因素，美国国债收益率今天上午再次暴跌，但德尔塔变异毒株的恐慌情绪似乎占主导地位（以及持续的空头挤压）...</blockquote></p><p> 10Y Yields are down 12bps this morning, trading below 1.20% back at 5-month lows...</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债收益率今早下跌12个基点，跌破1.20%，回到5个月低点……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4e92791f9670d35afd7667c701520d8\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Pretty clear that hopes for a return to an old normal growthy-ness failed...</p><p><blockquote>很明显，回归旧的正常增长的希望失败了...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaa41324065aee5d3c6313f159661d3c\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">For almost four months, bonds have been screaming a very different story from stocks...</p><p><blockquote>近四个月来，债券一直在尖叫着与股票截然不同的故事……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2a9b7d477c41dd3fe42f6eaaad14ef1\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"557\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The last time this happened, did not end well for the somewhat oblivious stock market...</p><p><blockquote>上一次发生这种情况，对于有点健忘的股市来说并没有好结果...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa095fb179dc579e6ff28af71309451b\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"555\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Brace!!</p><p><blockquote>撑住！！</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bond Yields Are Puking Again...<blockquote>债券收益率又吐了……</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBond Yields Are Puking Again...<blockquote>债券收益率又吐了……</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 22:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>US Treasury yields are plunging again this morning as investors take their pick of factors, but Delta variant fearmongering appears to dominate (and a continued short squeeze)...</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者选择因素，美国国债收益率今天上午再次暴跌，但德尔塔变异毒株的恐慌情绪似乎占主导地位（以及持续的空头挤压）...</blockquote></p><p> 10Y Yields are down 12bps this morning, trading below 1.20% back at 5-month lows...</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债收益率今早下跌12个基点，跌破1.20%，回到5个月低点……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4e92791f9670d35afd7667c701520d8\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Pretty clear that hopes for a return to an old normal growthy-ness failed...</p><p><blockquote>很明显，回归旧的正常增长的希望失败了...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaa41324065aee5d3c6313f159661d3c\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">For almost four months, bonds have been screaming a very different story from stocks...</p><p><blockquote>近四个月来，债券一直在尖叫着与股票截然不同的故事……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2a9b7d477c41dd3fe42f6eaaad14ef1\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"557\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The last time this happened, did not end well for the somewhat oblivious stock market...</p><p><blockquote>上一次发生这种情况，对于有点健忘的股市来说并没有好结果...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa095fb179dc579e6ff28af71309451b\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"555\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Brace!!</p><p><blockquote>撑住！！</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bond-yields-are-puking-again?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bond-yields-are-puking-again?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154837794","content_text":"US Treasury yields are plunging again this morning as investors take their pick of factors, but Delta variant fearmongering appears to dominate (and a continued short squeeze)...\n10Y Yields are down 12bps this morning, trading below 1.20% back at 5-month lows...\nPretty clear that hopes for a return to an old normal growthy-ness failed...\nFor almost four months, bonds have been screaming a very different story from stocks...\nThe last time this happened, did not end well for the somewhat oblivious stock market...\n\nBrace!!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":171387501,"gmtCreate":1626706625503,"gmtModify":1633924749166,"author":{"id":"3583799564024432","authorId":"3583799564024432","name":"Shaine8862","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583799564024432","idStr":"3583799564024432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Strong]&nbsp;","listText":"[Strong]&nbsp;","text":"[Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171387501","repostId":"1146536243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146536243","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626683272,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146536243?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146536243","media":"zerohedge","summary":"This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","content":"<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式，这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件？是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家，如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为，那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进，这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处，2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（见增长恐慌周年纪念，2021年7月11日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标，所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”，它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后，该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快，以至于已经过了下一个阶段（“复苏”），直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件，<b>自1980年以来，“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点，它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，信贷相对于其他风险资产越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次衰退提前到来，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%，并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为该行业具有几个良好的因素：质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”，我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债，而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 16:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式，这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件？是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家，如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为，那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进，这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处，2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（见增长恐慌周年纪念，2021年7月11日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标，所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”，它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后，该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快，以至于已经过了下一个阶段（“复苏”），直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件，<b>自1980年以来，“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点，它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，信贷相对于其他风险资产越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次衰退提前到来，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%，并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为该行业具有几个良好的因素：质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”，我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债，而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146536243","content_text":"We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.\nBut 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.\nInstead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.\nWas last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.\nIf it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should continue to do so.\nSpecifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).\nBecause one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.\nThisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.\nAll this has a number of implications:\n\nThe shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.\nIn many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.\nIn equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.\nInterest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.\n\nThis cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3532,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171382459,"gmtCreate":1626706504971,"gmtModify":1633924751375,"author":{"id":"3583799564024432","authorId":"3583799564024432","name":"Shaine8862","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583799564024432","idStr":"3583799564024432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171382459","repostId":"1154837794","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154837794","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626705505,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154837794?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 22:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bond Yields Are Puking Again...<blockquote>债券收益率又吐了……</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154837794","media":"zerohedge","summary":"US Treasury yields are plunging again this morning as investors take their pick of factors, but Delt","content":"<p>US Treasury yields are plunging again this morning as investors take their pick of factors, but Delta variant fearmongering appears to dominate (and a continued short squeeze)...</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者选择因素，美国国债收益率今天上午再次暴跌，但德尔塔变异毒株的恐慌情绪似乎占主导地位（以及持续的空头挤压）...</blockquote></p><p> 10Y Yields are down 12bps this morning, trading below 1.20% back at 5-month lows...</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债收益率今早下跌12个基点，跌破1.20%，回到5个月低点……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4e92791f9670d35afd7667c701520d8\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Pretty clear that hopes for a return to an old normal growthy-ness failed...</p><p><blockquote>很明显，回归旧的正常增长的希望失败了...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaa41324065aee5d3c6313f159661d3c\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">For almost four months, bonds have been screaming a very different story from stocks...</p><p><blockquote>近四个月来，债券一直在尖叫着与股票截然不同的故事……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2a9b7d477c41dd3fe42f6eaaad14ef1\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"557\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The last time this happened, did not end well for the somewhat oblivious stock market...</p><p><blockquote>上一次发生这种情况，对于有点健忘的股市来说并没有好结果...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa095fb179dc579e6ff28af71309451b\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"555\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Brace!!</p><p><blockquote>撑住！！</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bond Yields Are Puking Again...<blockquote>债券收益率又吐了……</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBond Yields Are Puking Again...<blockquote>债券收益率又吐了……</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 22:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>US Treasury yields are plunging again this morning as investors take their pick of factors, but Delta variant fearmongering appears to dominate (and a continued short squeeze)...</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者选择因素，美国国债收益率今天上午再次暴跌，但德尔塔变异毒株的恐慌情绪似乎占主导地位（以及持续的空头挤压）...</blockquote></p><p> 10Y Yields are down 12bps this morning, trading below 1.20% back at 5-month lows...</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债收益率今早下跌12个基点，跌破1.20%，回到5个月低点……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4e92791f9670d35afd7667c701520d8\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Pretty clear that hopes for a return to an old normal growthy-ness failed...</p><p><blockquote>很明显，回归旧的正常增长的希望失败了...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaa41324065aee5d3c6313f159661d3c\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">For almost four months, bonds have been screaming a very different story from stocks...</p><p><blockquote>近四个月来，债券一直在尖叫着与股票截然不同的故事……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2a9b7d477c41dd3fe42f6eaaad14ef1\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"557\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The last time this happened, did not end well for the somewhat oblivious stock market...</p><p><blockquote>上一次发生这种情况，对于有点健忘的股市来说并没有好结果...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa095fb179dc579e6ff28af71309451b\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"555\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Brace!!</p><p><blockquote>撑住！！</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bond-yields-are-puking-again?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bond-yields-are-puking-again?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154837794","content_text":"US Treasury yields are plunging again this morning as investors take their pick of factors, but Delta variant fearmongering appears to dominate (and a continued short squeeze)...\n10Y Yields are down 12bps this morning, trading below 1.20% back at 5-month lows...\nPretty clear that hopes for a return to an old normal growthy-ness failed...\nFor almost four months, bonds have been screaming a very different story from stocks...\nThe last time this happened, did not end well for the somewhat oblivious stock market...\n\nBrace!!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":823840368,"gmtCreate":1633614457892,"gmtModify":1633614478667,"author":{"id":"3583799564024432","authorId":"3583799564024432","name":"Shaine8862","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583799564024432","idStr":"3583799564024432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823840368","repostId":"1100842347","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3907,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829234464,"gmtCreate":1633511494271,"gmtModify":1633511494341,"author":{"id":"3583799564024432","authorId":"3583799564024432","name":"Shaine8862","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583799564024432","idStr":"3583799564024432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"[Cool]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;","text":"[Cool] [Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829234464","repostId":"1123518290","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":806659831,"gmtCreate":1627654576823,"gmtModify":1633757381940,"author":{"id":"3583799564024432","authorId":"3583799564024432","name":"Shaine8862","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583799564024432","idStr":"3583799564024432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser] [Miser] [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806659831","repostId":"1194710219","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194710219","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627652868,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194710219?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-30 21:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股周五早盘飙升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194710219","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 6%.","content":"<p>EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 6%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周五早盘飙升。特斯拉、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车上涨1%至6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c821968998f7b667eae78a4ed3ede421\" tg-width=\"352\" tg-height=\"594\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股周五早盘飙升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股周五早盘飙升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-30 21:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 6%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周五早盘飙升。特斯拉、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车上涨1%至6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c821968998f7b667eae78a4ed3ede421\" tg-width=\"352\" tg-height=\"594\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","NIO":"蔚来","LI":"理想汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","NIU":"小牛电动"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194710219","content_text":"EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto climbed between 1% and 6%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"NIU":0.9,"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2015,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806651578,"gmtCreate":1627654662594,"gmtModify":1633757380421,"author":{"id":"3583799564024432","authorId":"3583799564024432","name":"Shaine8862","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583799564024432","idStr":"3583799564024432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806651578","repostId":"1177914270","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177914270","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627650457,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177914270?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-30 21:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia shares dived 3.2% in premarket trading<blockquote>英伟达股价在盘前交易中下跌3.2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177914270","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nvidia shares dived 3.2% in premarket trading.China antitrust officials delay review of Nvidia’s $40 Billion Arm Acquisition,according to&nbsp;The Information.","content":"<p>Nvidia shares dived 3.2% in premarket trading.China antitrust officials delay review of Nvidia’s $40 Billion Arm Acquisition,according to&nbsp;The Information.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价在盘前交易中下跌3.2%。据The Information报道，中国反垄断官员推迟了对英伟达400亿美元收购Arm的审查。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcb434863abbc50b64c8e9d4079a2b06\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"639\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/395304fa3e2a4eb8436058c29da9628c\" tg-width=\"1222\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia shares dived 3.2% in premarket trading<blockquote>英伟达股价在盘前交易中下跌3.2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia shares dived 3.2% in premarket trading<blockquote>英伟达股价在盘前交易中下跌3.2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-30 21:07</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nvidia shares dived 3.2% in premarket trading.China antitrust officials delay review of Nvidia’s $40 Billion Arm Acquisition,according to&nbsp;The Information.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价在盘前交易中下跌3.2%。据The Information报道，中国反垄断官员推迟了对英伟达400亿美元收购Arm的审查。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcb434863abbc50b64c8e9d4079a2b06\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"639\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/395304fa3e2a4eb8436058c29da9628c\" tg-width=\"1222\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177914270","content_text":"Nvidia shares dived 3.2% in premarket trading.China antitrust officials delay review of Nvidia’s $40 Billion Arm Acquisition,according to The Information.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178342639,"gmtCreate":1626789572321,"gmtModify":1633771018679,"author":{"id":"3583799564024432","authorId":"3583799564024432","name":"Shaine8862","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583799564024432","idStr":"3583799564024432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178342639","repostId":"1112457513","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112457513","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626785289,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112457513?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 20:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"(Forward-Looking) US Building Permits Plunge To 8-Month Lows In June<blockquote>（前瞻）美国6月建筑许可骤降至8个月低点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112457513","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Amid a slew of weak housing sales data, weak mortgage applications, crashing homebuyer sentiment, an","content":"<p>Amid a slew of weak housing sales data, weak mortgage applications, crashing homebuyer sentiment, and 11-month low homebuilder sentiment, analysts still expected both housing starts and permits to rise MoM in June... they were half right!</p><p><blockquote>在一系列疲软的房屋销售数据、疲软的抵押贷款申请、购房者情绪崩溃以及房屋建筑商情绪连续11个月低迷的情况下，分析师仍然预计6月份新屋开工和许可数量将环比上升...他们说对了一半！</blockquote></p><p> After a small downward revision in May, Housing Starts soared 6.3% MoM in June (massively beating expectations of +1.2% MoM), but... Building Permits, which are forward-looking of course, saw a third straight month of declines, plunging 5.1% MoM (far worse than the +0.7% MoM expected)...</p><p><blockquote>在5月份小幅下调后，6月份新屋开工量环比飙升6.3%（大大超出了环比+1.2%的预期），但是...建筑许可当然是前瞻性的，但连续第三个月下降，环比下降5.1%（远低于预期的+0.7%）...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b214cc5c7f50f8c1d773d1340ab8371\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> This pushed the Permits SAAR below Starts for the first time since Jan 2020, and to its weakest since Oct 2020...</p><p><blockquote>这使得萨尔的许可证自2020年1月以来首次低于开工水平，也是自2020年10月以来的最低水平...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f22146cea0299321e3b778b2c12f567\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"560\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Under the hood, Single Family Starts rose 6.3% SAAR to 1.160MM, the highest since March, and Multi Family (rentals) Starts were up 6.8% to 474K, highest since July 2020...</p><p><blockquote>在引擎盖下，SAAR的单户住宅开工率上涨6.3%，至1160毫米，为3月份以来的最高水平，多户住宅（租赁）开工率上涨6.8%，至47.4万毫米，为2020年7月以来的最高水平...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53df9fc958c939cc72809a5e5afd0a0e\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"619\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> But Permits were far more ugly, with Single Family Permits down 6.3% to 1.063MM SAAR, lowest since August 2020; and Multi Family Permits down 1.6% to 483K SAAR, lowest since Dec 2020.</p><p><blockquote>但许可证要糟糕得多，单身家庭许可证下降了6.3%，至1063毫米萨尔，为2020年8月以来的最低水平；多家庭许可证下降1.6%，至48.3万萨尔，为2020年12月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/069ebc904e3c351c7461b49c2e4abad5\" tg-width=\"872\" tg-height=\"560\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">This is not a pretty picture for the future.</p><p><blockquote>这不是一幅美好的未来图景。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Exorbitant materials costs, combined with shortages of land and labor, have thwarted developers seeking to ramp up construction.</b>Supply concerns and a slowdown in sales pushed builder confidence down to an 11-month low in July, a&nbsp;survey&nbsp;from the National Association of Home Builders showed Monday.</p><p><blockquote><b>高昂的材料成本，加上土地和劳动力的短缺，阻碍了寻求加快建设的开发商。</b>全国住宅建筑商协会周一的一项调查显示，供应担忧和销售放缓导致7月份建筑商信心降至11个月低点。</blockquote></p><p> An inventory crunch that followed solid demand last year has sent prices soaring, tempering buyer interest.<b>A&nbsp;record&nbsp;71% of consumers said higher prices were a reason why buying conditions have soured</b>, according to July data from the University of Michigan.</p><p><blockquote>去年需求强劲后出现库存紧缩，导致价格飙升，抑制了买家的兴趣。<b>创纪录的71%的消费者表示，价格上涨是购买条件恶化的原因</b>，根据密歇根大学7月份的数据。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>(Forward-Looking) US Building Permits Plunge To 8-Month Lows In June<blockquote>（前瞻）美国6月建筑许可骤降至8个月低点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n(Forward-Looking) US Building Permits Plunge To 8-Month Lows In June<blockquote>（前瞻）美国6月建筑许可骤降至8个月低点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-20 20:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amid a slew of weak housing sales data, weak mortgage applications, crashing homebuyer sentiment, and 11-month low homebuilder sentiment, analysts still expected both housing starts and permits to rise MoM in June... they were half right!</p><p><blockquote>在一系列疲软的房屋销售数据、疲软的抵押贷款申请、购房者情绪崩溃以及房屋建筑商情绪连续11个月低迷的情况下，分析师仍然预计6月份新屋开工和许可数量将环比上升...他们说对了一半！</blockquote></p><p> After a small downward revision in May, Housing Starts soared 6.3% MoM in June (massively beating expectations of +1.2% MoM), but... Building Permits, which are forward-looking of course, saw a third straight month of declines, plunging 5.1% MoM (far worse than the +0.7% MoM expected)...</p><p><blockquote>在5月份小幅下调后，6月份新屋开工量环比飙升6.3%（大大超出了环比+1.2%的预期），但是...建筑许可当然是前瞻性的，但连续第三个月下降，环比下降5.1%（远低于预期的+0.7%）...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b214cc5c7f50f8c1d773d1340ab8371\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> This pushed the Permits SAAR below Starts for the first time since Jan 2020, and to its weakest since Oct 2020...</p><p><blockquote>这使得萨尔的许可证自2020年1月以来首次低于开工水平，也是自2020年10月以来的最低水平...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f22146cea0299321e3b778b2c12f567\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"560\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Under the hood, Single Family Starts rose 6.3% SAAR to 1.160MM, the highest since March, and Multi Family (rentals) Starts were up 6.8% to 474K, highest since July 2020...</p><p><blockquote>在引擎盖下，SAAR的单户住宅开工率上涨6.3%，至1160毫米，为3月份以来的最高水平，多户住宅（租赁）开工率上涨6.8%，至47.4万毫米，为2020年7月以来的最高水平...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53df9fc958c939cc72809a5e5afd0a0e\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"619\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> But Permits were far more ugly, with Single Family Permits down 6.3% to 1.063MM SAAR, lowest since August 2020; and Multi Family Permits down 1.6% to 483K SAAR, lowest since Dec 2020.</p><p><blockquote>但许可证要糟糕得多，单身家庭许可证下降了6.3%，至1063毫米萨尔，为2020年8月以来的最低水平；多家庭许可证下降1.6%，至48.3万萨尔，为2020年12月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/069ebc904e3c351c7461b49c2e4abad5\" tg-width=\"872\" tg-height=\"560\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">This is not a pretty picture for the future.</p><p><blockquote>这不是一幅美好的未来图景。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Exorbitant materials costs, combined with shortages of land and labor, have thwarted developers seeking to ramp up construction.</b>Supply concerns and a slowdown in sales pushed builder confidence down to an 11-month low in July, a&nbsp;survey&nbsp;from the National Association of Home Builders showed Monday.</p><p><blockquote><b>高昂的材料成本，加上土地和劳动力的短缺，阻碍了寻求加快建设的开发商。</b>全国住宅建筑商协会周一的一项调查显示，供应担忧和销售放缓导致7月份建筑商信心降至11个月低点。</blockquote></p><p> An inventory crunch that followed solid demand last year has sent prices soaring, tempering buyer interest.<b>A&nbsp;record&nbsp;71% of consumers said higher prices were a reason why buying conditions have soured</b>, according to July data from the University of Michigan.</p><p><blockquote>去年需求强劲后出现库存紧缩，导致价格飙升，抑制了买家的兴趣。<b>创纪录的71%的消费者表示，价格上涨是购买条件恶化的原因</b>，根据密歇根大学7月份的数据。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/forward-looking-us-building-permits-plunge-8-month-lows-june\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/forward-looking-us-building-permits-plunge-8-month-lows-june","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112457513","content_text":"Amid a slew of weak housing sales data, weak mortgage applications, crashing homebuyer sentiment, and 11-month low homebuilder sentiment, analysts still expected both housing starts and permits to rise MoM in June... they were half right!\nAfter a small downward revision in May, Housing Starts soared 6.3% MoM in June (massively beating expectations of +1.2% MoM), but... Building Permits, which are forward-looking of course, saw a third straight month of declines, plunging 5.1% MoM (far worse than the +0.7% MoM expected)...\nSource: Bloomberg\nThis pushed the Permits SAAR below Starts for the first time since Jan 2020, and to its weakest since Oct 2020...\nSource: Bloomberg\nUnder the hood, Single Family Starts rose 6.3% SAAR to 1.160MM, the highest since March, and Multi Family (rentals) Starts were up 6.8% to 474K, highest since July 2020...\n\nBut Permits were far more ugly, with Single Family Permits down 6.3% to 1.063MM SAAR, lowest since August 2020; and Multi Family Permits down 1.6% to 483K SAAR, lowest since Dec 2020.\nThis is not a pretty picture for the future.\nExorbitant materials costs, combined with shortages of land and labor, have thwarted developers seeking to ramp up construction.Supply concerns and a slowdown in sales pushed builder confidence down to an 11-month low in July, a survey from the National Association of Home Builders showed Monday.\nAn inventory crunch that followed solid demand last year has sent prices soaring, tempering buyer interest.A record 71% of consumers said higher prices were a reason why buying conditions have soured, according to July data from the University of Michigan.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2233,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":690416926,"gmtCreate":1639700896673,"gmtModify":1639700896768,"author":{"id":"3583799564024432","authorId":"3583799564024432","name":"Shaine8862","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583799564024432","idStr":"3583799564024432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690416926","repostId":"1157750048","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1157750048","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639698910,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157750048?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 07:55","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"昨夜今晨：大型科技股全线下挫！苹果欲开发自研无线芯片","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157750048","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：①科技股拖累美股收跌，纳指大跌近2.5%；②热门中概股收盘涨跌不一，开心汽车涨超36%；③贝壳股价周四收盘跌近2% 此前遭浑水公司做空；④英国央行在疫情危机爆发以来首次加息，以对抗通胀飙升。\n\n","content":"<blockquote>\n 摘要：①科技股拖累美股收跌，纳指大跌近2.5%；②热门中概股收盘涨跌不一，开心汽车涨超36%；③贝壳股价周四收盘跌近2% 此前遭浑水公司做空；④英国央行在疫情危机爆发以来首次加息，以对抗通胀飙升。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p>1、科技股拖累美股收跌纳指大跌近2.5%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>下挫3.9%</p>\n<p>周四(12月16日)，美国股市下滑，大型科技股的疲软拖累了主要股指的表现。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.47%，创下9月以来的最大单日跌幅。标准普尔500指数下跌0.87%，道琼斯工业指数跌0.08%。</p>\n<p>周四的交易中，一些大型科技股走势艰难，苹果下跌3.9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>等主要半导体股分别下跌近5.4%和6.8%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a>公司的前瞻指导低于分析师预期，该公司股价下跌超过10%。</p>\n<p>2、热门中概股周四收盘涨跌不一 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KXIN\">开心汽车</a>涨超36% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>跌近2%</p>\n<p>热门中概股周四收盘涨跌不一，开心汽车涨超36%，此前该公司获超5亿美元新能源卡车订单；贝壳跌近2%，该公司此前遭知名做空机构浑水公司做空。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">趣头条</a>涨超9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UCL\">优克联</a>涨超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STG\">尚德机构</a>涨超6%，人人公司、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDH\">水滴</a>公司、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCM\">猎豹移动</a>涨超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LIZI\">荔枝</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VNET\">世纪互联</a>涨超4%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BQ\">波奇宠物</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBON\">亿邦国际</a>跌超8%，携程跌超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UXIN\">优信</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JG\">极光</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚</a>买菜跌超6%。</p>\n<p>3、石油及天然气行业领涨欧股 德国DAX30指数涨1%</p>\n<p>欧洲股市周四（12月16日）跳涨，受欧洲及英国央行的货币政策决定支持。泛欧斯托克600指数周四收盘上涨1.23%，石油和天然气股领涨涨幅2.8%，所有行业和主要股市都在积极区域交易。泛欧斯托克600指数上涨5.80点，涨幅1.23%，报476.56点；德国DAX30指数收盘上涨154.78点，涨幅1.00%，报15631.13点；</p>\n<p>4、美国库存下降 美元走软 双重利好支持油价上涨</p>\n<p>周四(12月16日)，在美国公布自9月以来最大的原油库存下降而美元下滑后，油价连续第二天上涨。截至发稿，美国WTI原油期货上涨117美分，涨幅1.65%，报72.04美元/桶；布伦特期货上涨93美分，涨幅1.26%，报74.81美元/桶。</p>\n<p>5、贵金属集体大爆发！黄金狂飙逾20美元</p>\n<p>周四(12月16日)，金价上涨逾1%，因美元走软，此前美联储决定加快退出在大流行时期推出的刺激措施，符合市场普遍预期。</p>\n<p>美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1798.87美元/盎司，上涨22.60美元或1.27%，日内最高触及1799.57美元高点，最低触及1775.43美元。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p>1、拜登签署提高美国政府债务上限法案</p>\n<p>CNBC报道，美国总统拜登于当地时间12月16日签署了将债务上限提高2.5万亿美元的法案，使美国财政部的借款授权延长至2023年，暂时避免政府债务违约。</p>\n<p>为避免出现债务违约，美国财政部长耶伦近期敦促国会在12月15日之前再次调高债务上限，但共和党不愿配合行动。经过协商，参议院民主党领袖舒默和共和党领袖麦康奈尔上周达成协议，允许参议院绕过多数立法批准所需的60票门槛、以简单多数通过相关决议案，从而使在参议院拥有50席的民主党可以不依靠共和党支持独自提高债务上限。</p>\n<p>2、福奇：奥密克戎将在几周内成为美国主要流行毒株</p>\n<p>美国国家过敏症和传染病研究所所长安东尼-福奇周四表示，奥密克戎将在几周内成为美国的主要流行新冠毒株，并敦促民众接种新冠疫苗和加强针。</p>\n<p>“这是我们面临的最具传染性的新冠毒株，它很快就会在这里占据主导地位。”福奇称。</p>\n<p>3、拜登2万亿美元经济支出计划据悉因党内分歧推迟到2022年表决</p>\n<p>参议院民主党人放弃了在今年通过总统拜登2万亿美元经济议程的打算，使白宫遭受政治打击。延期消息得到了两位知情人士证实。如此一来民主党内围绕支出法案的分歧可能会加剧，许多民主党人将该法案视为2022年中期选举的关键。</p>\n<p>4、欧洲央行维持三大利率不变 拉加德重申明年不太可能加息</p>\n<p>当地时间周四(12月16日)，欧洲央行在德国法兰克福举行的管委会会议上决定，维持三大关键利率不变，符合市场预期。同时决定在明年一季度放缓为应对疫情而采取的“紧急购债计划(PEPP)”，该计划也将按原定时间在明年三月底终止。</p>\n<p>5、英国央行在疫情危机爆发以来首次加息 以对抗通胀飙升</p>\n<p>在英国央行之前，美联储已经转向了更鹰派的立场大多数经济学家之前预计英国央行维持利率不变。英国央行自新冠疫情爆发以来首次加息。尽管创纪录的新冠感染病例给经济带来威胁，但该国依然在全球率先行动以对抗通胀飙升。</p>\n<p>6、美联储隔夜逆回购连续第二天创下历史新高</p>\n<p>周四，美联储隔夜逆回购协议的使用量增加365亿美元，达到1.658万亿美元。这超过了周三创下的历史纪录1.621万亿美元。周四有78家对手方利用了这一工具。</p>\n<p>随着机构对存放短期现金的需求增加，今年美联储逆回购工具的使用规模飙升。政府现金余额下降以及对突破债务上限的担忧也起到了推波助澜的作用。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192944121\" target=\"_blank\">贝壳股价周四收盘跌近2% 此前遭浑水公司做空</a></p>\n<p>贝壳股价周四收盘下跌1.98%，报18.31美元，该公司此前遭知名做空机构浑水公司（Muddy Waters Research）做空。在浑水公司造假指控下，贝壳股价周四经历了“过山车”行情。贝壳股价在浑水做空报告发布后，盘前跌一度大跌10%，随后该公司的回应令股价拉升，盘中一度大涨14%，但临近午盘再度回落，此后维持低位震荡。</p>\n<p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2191945453\" target=\"_blank\">携程Q3财报：前三季度总营收恢复至疫情前56%，国际业务成突破口</a></p>\n<p>12月16日，携程集团发布了截至2021年9月30日第三季度未经审计的财务业绩。财报显示，今年第三季度，携程实现营收53亿元，经调整EBITDA为5.37亿元，经调整EBITDA利润率为10%。同时，归属于携程股东的净亏损为8.49亿元（约合1.31亿美元），上年同期录得净利润16亿元。</p>\n<p>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192894268\" target=\"_blank\">美国疾控中心专家表示辉瑞和Moderna的疫苗优于强生</a></p>\n<p>美国公共卫生顾问表示，Moderna和辉瑞的mRNA疫苗比强生疫苗更适合成年人使用。美国疾控中心免疫实践咨询委员会周四开会，15名成员一致投票同意关于强生疫苗的建议。此前，美国监管机构修改关于强生疫苗的情况说明，就该疫苗可能引发罕见的血栓综合症发出警告。</p>\n<p>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192094908\" target=\"_blank\">报道称苹果为南加州办事处招聘工程师 以开发自研无线芯片</a></p>\n<p>据报道，苹果公司正在为南加州的一个办事处招聘工程师，以开发自研无线芯片，并最终取代<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRCM\">博通</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWKS\">思佳讯</a>制造的芯片。</p>\n<p>报道称，苹果公司正在寻找“数十名”人员在尔湾开发芯片，该地区靠近<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>、思佳讯和其他芯片制造商的所在地。</p>\n<h4>5、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192947198\" target=\"_blank\">Rivian Q3财报：净亏损扩大至12.3亿美元 官宣50亿美元建新厂</a></h4>\n<p>美股周四盘后，刚刚在11月IPO狂揽137亿美元融资的电动车概念股Rivian发布上市后首份财报，首次取得营收和亏损扩大也在市场的意料之中。</p>\n<p>根据财报披露，公司今年三季度总共实现营收100万美元，营运损失7.76亿美元，净亏损12.33亿美元，去年同期亏损2.88亿美元。</p>\n<p>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192414459\" target=\"_blank\">成长股逆风不止 Adobe疲软前瞻指引导致股价大跌逾10%</a></p>\n<p>当地时间周四，美股软件巨头Adobe发布截至12月3日的2021财年四季报，虽然财报本身创出营收新高，但逊于预期的前瞻指引再度引发了投资者抛售，截至发稿公司股价跌10.81%。</p>\n<p>7、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192085949\" target=\"_blank\">瑞幸咖啡4.6亿美元债务重组获得美国法院批准</a></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">瑞幸咖啡</a>的债务重组计划获得美国曼哈顿一名联邦法官的同意，意味着这项在开曼群岛法院制定的安排可以在美国实施。根据法院文件，4.6亿美元票据的持有人将获得3.2亿美元现金加新债券。该计划还了结了股东在瑞幸咖啡被指虚报销售额后发起的很多诉讼。该公司高层还在继续应对部分股东诉讼。瑞幸咖啡美股粉单市场目前跌2.2%。</p>\n<p>8、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2191943669\" target=\"_blank\">达美航空预计2022年会盈利，2024年营收有望超500亿美元</a></p>\n<p>达美航空(DAL.US)表示，该公司预计将在2022年实现有意义的盈利，并在2024年超越疫情前盈利水平。</p>\n<p>达美航空在其资本市场日活动上介绍了其战略重点，财务方面的首要任务是恢复其财务基础，重点关注效率和现金产生，到2024年实现投资级别指标。</p>\n<p>9、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192894799\" target=\"_blank\">卡骆驰：一双橡胶鞋撑起了股价五年飙升近2000%</a></p>\n<p>今年迄今为止，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CROX\">卡骆驰</a>股价已飙升近130%，5年涨幅超过1,900%，主导了标普400非必需消费品板块在此期间85%的涨幅。相比之下，以看似火箭式的涨幅和直言不讳的CEO而闻名的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>股价在这段时间飙升了约2100%。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>昨夜今晨：大型科技股全线下挫！苹果欲开发自研无线芯片</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨：大型科技股全线下挫！苹果欲开发自研无线芯片\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-17 07:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n 摘要：①科技股拖累美股收跌，纳指大跌近2.5%；②热门中概股收盘涨跌不一，开心汽车涨超36%；③贝壳股价周四收盘跌近2% 此前遭浑水公司做空；④英国央行在疫情危机爆发以来首次加息，以对抗通胀飙升。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p>1、科技股拖累美股收跌纳指大跌近2.5%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>下挫3.9%</p>\n<p>周四(12月16日)，美国股市下滑，大型科技股的疲软拖累了主要股指的表现。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.47%，创下9月以来的最大单日跌幅。标准普尔500指数下跌0.87%，道琼斯工业指数跌0.08%。</p>\n<p>周四的交易中，一些大型科技股走势艰难，苹果下跌3.9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>等主要半导体股分别下跌近5.4%和6.8%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a>公司的前瞻指导低于分析师预期，该公司股价下跌超过10%。</p>\n<p>2、热门中概股周四收盘涨跌不一 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KXIN\">开心汽车</a>涨超36% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>跌近2%</p>\n<p>热门中概股周四收盘涨跌不一，开心汽车涨超36%，此前该公司获超5亿美元新能源卡车订单；贝壳跌近2%，该公司此前遭知名做空机构浑水公司做空。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">趣头条</a>涨超9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UCL\">优克联</a>涨超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STG\">尚德机构</a>涨超6%，人人公司、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDH\">水滴</a>公司、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCM\">猎豹移动</a>涨超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LIZI\">荔枝</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VNET\">世纪互联</a>涨超4%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BQ\">波奇宠物</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBON\">亿邦国际</a>跌超8%，携程跌超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UXIN\">优信</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JG\">极光</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚</a>买菜跌超6%。</p>\n<p>3、石油及天然气行业领涨欧股 德国DAX30指数涨1%</p>\n<p>欧洲股市周四（12月16日）跳涨，受欧洲及英国央行的货币政策决定支持。泛欧斯托克600指数周四收盘上涨1.23%，石油和天然气股领涨涨幅2.8%，所有行业和主要股市都在积极区域交易。泛欧斯托克600指数上涨5.80点，涨幅1.23%，报476.56点；德国DAX30指数收盘上涨154.78点，涨幅1.00%，报15631.13点；</p>\n<p>4、美国库存下降 美元走软 双重利好支持油价上涨</p>\n<p>周四(12月16日)，在美国公布自9月以来最大的原油库存下降而美元下滑后，油价连续第二天上涨。截至发稿，美国WTI原油期货上涨117美分，涨幅1.65%，报72.04美元/桶；布伦特期货上涨93美分，涨幅1.26%，报74.81美元/桶。</p>\n<p>5、贵金属集体大爆发！黄金狂飙逾20美元</p>\n<p>周四(12月16日)，金价上涨逾1%，因美元走软，此前美联储决定加快退出在大流行时期推出的刺激措施，符合市场普遍预期。</p>\n<p>美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1798.87美元/盎司，上涨22.60美元或1.27%，日内最高触及1799.57美元高点，最低触及1775.43美元。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p>1、拜登签署提高美国政府债务上限法案</p>\n<p>CNBC报道，美国总统拜登于当地时间12月16日签署了将债务上限提高2.5万亿美元的法案，使美国财政部的借款授权延长至2023年，暂时避免政府债务违约。</p>\n<p>为避免出现债务违约，美国财政部长耶伦近期敦促国会在12月15日之前再次调高债务上限，但共和党不愿配合行动。经过协商，参议院民主党领袖舒默和共和党领袖麦康奈尔上周达成协议，允许参议院绕过多数立法批准所需的60票门槛、以简单多数通过相关决议案，从而使在参议院拥有50席的民主党可以不依靠共和党支持独自提高债务上限。</p>\n<p>2、福奇：奥密克戎将在几周内成为美国主要流行毒株</p>\n<p>美国国家过敏症和传染病研究所所长安东尼-福奇周四表示，奥密克戎将在几周内成为美国的主要流行新冠毒株，并敦促民众接种新冠疫苗和加强针。</p>\n<p>“这是我们面临的最具传染性的新冠毒株，它很快就会在这里占据主导地位。”福奇称。</p>\n<p>3、拜登2万亿美元经济支出计划据悉因党内分歧推迟到2022年表决</p>\n<p>参议院民主党人放弃了在今年通过总统拜登2万亿美元经济议程的打算，使白宫遭受政治打击。延期消息得到了两位知情人士证实。如此一来民主党内围绕支出法案的分歧可能会加剧，许多民主党人将该法案视为2022年中期选举的关键。</p>\n<p>4、欧洲央行维持三大利率不变 拉加德重申明年不太可能加息</p>\n<p>当地时间周四(12月16日)，欧洲央行在德国法兰克福举行的管委会会议上决定，维持三大关键利率不变，符合市场预期。同时决定在明年一季度放缓为应对疫情而采取的“紧急购债计划(PEPP)”，该计划也将按原定时间在明年三月底终止。</p>\n<p>5、英国央行在疫情危机爆发以来首次加息 以对抗通胀飙升</p>\n<p>在英国央行之前，美联储已经转向了更鹰派的立场大多数经济学家之前预计英国央行维持利率不变。英国央行自新冠疫情爆发以来首次加息。尽管创纪录的新冠感染病例给经济带来威胁，但该国依然在全球率先行动以对抗通胀飙升。</p>\n<p>6、美联储隔夜逆回购连续第二天创下历史新高</p>\n<p>周四，美联储隔夜逆回购协议的使用量增加365亿美元，达到1.658万亿美元。这超过了周三创下的历史纪录1.621万亿美元。周四有78家对手方利用了这一工具。</p>\n<p>随着机构对存放短期现金的需求增加，今年美联储逆回购工具的使用规模飙升。政府现金余额下降以及对突破债务上限的担忧也起到了推波助澜的作用。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192944121\" target=\"_blank\">贝壳股价周四收盘跌近2% 此前遭浑水公司做空</a></p>\n<p>贝壳股价周四收盘下跌1.98%，报18.31美元，该公司此前遭知名做空机构浑水公司（Muddy Waters Research）做空。在浑水公司造假指控下，贝壳股价周四经历了“过山车”行情。贝壳股价在浑水做空报告发布后，盘前跌一度大跌10%，随后该公司的回应令股价拉升，盘中一度大涨14%，但临近午盘再度回落，此后维持低位震荡。</p>\n<p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2191945453\" target=\"_blank\">携程Q3财报：前三季度总营收恢复至疫情前56%，国际业务成突破口</a></p>\n<p>12月16日，携程集团发布了截至2021年9月30日第三季度未经审计的财务业绩。财报显示，今年第三季度，携程实现营收53亿元，经调整EBITDA为5.37亿元，经调整EBITDA利润率为10%。同时，归属于携程股东的净亏损为8.49亿元（约合1.31亿美元），上年同期录得净利润16亿元。</p>\n<p>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192894268\" target=\"_blank\">美国疾控中心专家表示辉瑞和Moderna的疫苗优于强生</a></p>\n<p>美国公共卫生顾问表示，Moderna和辉瑞的mRNA疫苗比强生疫苗更适合成年人使用。美国疾控中心免疫实践咨询委员会周四开会，15名成员一致投票同意关于强生疫苗的建议。此前，美国监管机构修改关于强生疫苗的情况说明，就该疫苗可能引发罕见的血栓综合症发出警告。</p>\n<p>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192094908\" target=\"_blank\">报道称苹果为南加州办事处招聘工程师 以开发自研无线芯片</a></p>\n<p>据报道，苹果公司正在为南加州的一个办事处招聘工程师，以开发自研无线芯片，并最终取代<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRCM\">博通</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWKS\">思佳讯</a>制造的芯片。</p>\n<p>报道称，苹果公司正在寻找“数十名”人员在尔湾开发芯片，该地区靠近<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>、思佳讯和其他芯片制造商的所在地。</p>\n<h4>5、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192947198\" target=\"_blank\">Rivian Q3财报：净亏损扩大至12.3亿美元 官宣50亿美元建新厂</a></h4>\n<p>美股周四盘后，刚刚在11月IPO狂揽137亿美元融资的电动车概念股Rivian发布上市后首份财报，首次取得营收和亏损扩大也在市场的意料之中。</p>\n<p>根据财报披露，公司今年三季度总共实现营收100万美元，营运损失7.76亿美元，净亏损12.33亿美元，去年同期亏损2.88亿美元。</p>\n<p>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192414459\" target=\"_blank\">成长股逆风不止 Adobe疲软前瞻指引导致股价大跌逾10%</a></p>\n<p>当地时间周四，美股软件巨头Adobe发布截至12月3日的2021财年四季报，虽然财报本身创出营收新高，但逊于预期的前瞻指引再度引发了投资者抛售，截至发稿公司股价跌10.81%。</p>\n<p>7、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192085949\" target=\"_blank\">瑞幸咖啡4.6亿美元债务重组获得美国法院批准</a></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">瑞幸咖啡</a>的债务重组计划获得美国曼哈顿一名联邦法官的同意，意味着这项在开曼群岛法院制定的安排可以在美国实施。根据法院文件，4.6亿美元票据的持有人将获得3.2亿美元现金加新债券。该计划还了结了股东在瑞幸咖啡被指虚报销售额后发起的很多诉讼。该公司高层还在继续应对部分股东诉讼。瑞幸咖啡美股粉单市场目前跌2.2%。</p>\n<p>8、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2191943669\" target=\"_blank\">达美航空预计2022年会盈利，2024年营收有望超500亿美元</a></p>\n<p>达美航空(DAL.US)表示，该公司预计将在2022年实现有意义的盈利，并在2024年超越疫情前盈利水平。</p>\n<p>达美航空在其资本市场日活动上介绍了其战略重点，财务方面的首要任务是恢复其财务基础，重点关注效率和现金产生，到2024年实现投资级别指标。</p>\n<p>9、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2192894799\" target=\"_blank\">卡骆驰：一双橡胶鞋撑起了股价五年飙升近2000%</a></p>\n<p>今年迄今为止，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CROX\">卡骆驰</a>股价已飙升近130%，5年涨幅超过1,900%，主导了标普400非必需消费品板块在此期间85%的涨幅。相比之下，以看似火箭式的涨幅和直言不讳的CEO而闻名的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>股价在这段时间飙升了约2100%。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{"159813":"芯片","AAPL":"苹果","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","03086":"华夏纳指"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157750048","content_text":"摘要：①科技股拖累美股收跌，纳指大跌近2.5%；②热门中概股收盘涨跌不一，开心汽车涨超36%；③贝壳股价周四收盘跌近2% 此前遭浑水公司做空；④英国央行在疫情危机爆发以来首次加息，以对抗通胀飙升。\n\n海外市场\n1、科技股拖累美股收跌纳指大跌近2.5%、苹果下挫3.9%\n周四(12月16日)，美国股市下滑，大型科技股的疲软拖累了主要股指的表现。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.47%，创下9月以来的最大单日跌幅。标准普尔500指数下跌0.87%，道琼斯工业指数跌0.08%。\n周四的交易中，一些大型科技股走势艰难，苹果下跌3.9%，AMD和英伟达等主要半导体股分别下跌近5.4%和6.8%。Adobe公司的前瞻指导低于分析师预期，该公司股价下跌超过10%。\n2、热门中概股周四收盘涨跌不一 开心汽车涨超36% 贝壳跌近2%\n热门中概股周四收盘涨跌不一，开心汽车涨超36%，此前该公司获超5亿美元新能源卡车订单；贝壳跌近2%，该公司此前遭知名做空机构浑水公司做空。\n趣头条涨超9%，优克联涨超8%，尚德机构涨超6%，人人公司、水滴公司、猎豹移动涨超5%，荔枝、世纪互联涨超4%；波奇宠物、亿邦国际跌超8%，携程跌超7%，优信、极光、叮咚买菜跌超6%。\n3、石油及天然气行业领涨欧股 德国DAX30指数涨1%\n欧洲股市周四（12月16日）跳涨，受欧洲及英国央行的货币政策决定支持。泛欧斯托克600指数周四收盘上涨1.23%，石油和天然气股领涨涨幅2.8%，所有行业和主要股市都在积极区域交易。泛欧斯托克600指数上涨5.80点，涨幅1.23%，报476.56点；德国DAX30指数收盘上涨154.78点，涨幅1.00%，报15631.13点；\n4、美国库存下降 美元走软 双重利好支持油价上涨\n周四(12月16日)，在美国公布自9月以来最大的原油库存下降而美元下滑后，油价连续第二天上涨。截至发稿，美国WTI原油期货上涨117美分，涨幅1.65%，报72.04美元/桶；布伦特期货上涨93美分，涨幅1.26%，报74.81美元/桶。\n5、贵金属集体大爆发！黄金狂飙逾20美元\n周四(12月16日)，金价上涨逾1%，因美元走软，此前美联储决定加快退出在大流行时期推出的刺激措施，符合市场普遍预期。\n美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1798.87美元/盎司，上涨22.60美元或1.27%，日内最高触及1799.57美元高点，最低触及1775.43美元。\n国际宏观\n1、拜登签署提高美国政府债务上限法案\nCNBC报道，美国总统拜登于当地时间12月16日签署了将债务上限提高2.5万亿美元的法案，使美国财政部的借款授权延长至2023年，暂时避免政府债务违约。\n为避免出现债务违约，美国财政部长耶伦近期敦促国会在12月15日之前再次调高债务上限，但共和党不愿配合行动。经过协商，参议院民主党领袖舒默和共和党领袖麦康奈尔上周达成协议，允许参议院绕过多数立法批准所需的60票门槛、以简单多数通过相关决议案，从而使在参议院拥有50席的民主党可以不依靠共和党支持独自提高债务上限。\n2、福奇：奥密克戎将在几周内成为美国主要流行毒株\n美国国家过敏症和传染病研究所所长安东尼-福奇周四表示，奥密克戎将在几周内成为美国的主要流行新冠毒株，并敦促民众接种新冠疫苗和加强针。\n“这是我们面临的最具传染性的新冠毒株，它很快就会在这里占据主导地位。”福奇称。\n3、拜登2万亿美元经济支出计划据悉因党内分歧推迟到2022年表决\n参议院民主党人放弃了在今年通过总统拜登2万亿美元经济议程的打算，使白宫遭受政治打击。延期消息得到了两位知情人士证实。如此一来民主党内围绕支出法案的分歧可能会加剧，许多民主党人将该法案视为2022年中期选举的关键。\n4、欧洲央行维持三大利率不变 拉加德重申明年不太可能加息\n当地时间周四(12月16日)，欧洲央行在德国法兰克福举行的管委会会议上决定，维持三大关键利率不变，符合市场预期。同时决定在明年一季度放缓为应对疫情而采取的“紧急购债计划(PEPP)”，该计划也将按原定时间在明年三月底终止。\n5、英国央行在疫情危机爆发以来首次加息 以对抗通胀飙升\n在英国央行之前，美联储已经转向了更鹰派的立场大多数经济学家之前预计英国央行维持利率不变。英国央行自新冠疫情爆发以来首次加息。尽管创纪录的新冠感染病例给经济带来威胁，但该国依然在全球率先行动以对抗通胀飙升。\n6、美联储隔夜逆回购连续第二天创下历史新高\n周四，美联储隔夜逆回购协议的使用量增加365亿美元，达到1.658万亿美元。这超过了周三创下的历史纪录1.621万亿美元。周四有78家对手方利用了这一工具。\n随着机构对存放短期现金的需求增加，今年美联储逆回购工具的使用规模飙升。政府现金余额下降以及对突破债务上限的担忧也起到了推波助澜的作用。\n公司新闻\n1、贝壳股价周四收盘跌近2% 此前遭浑水公司做空\n贝壳股价周四收盘下跌1.98%，报18.31美元，该公司此前遭知名做空机构浑水公司（Muddy Waters Research）做空。在浑水公司造假指控下，贝壳股价周四经历了“过山车”行情。贝壳股价在浑水做空报告发布后，盘前跌一度大跌10%，随后该公司的回应令股价拉升，盘中一度大涨14%，但临近午盘再度回落，此后维持低位震荡。\n2、携程Q3财报：前三季度总营收恢复至疫情前56%，国际业务成突破口\n12月16日，携程集团发布了截至2021年9月30日第三季度未经审计的财务业绩。财报显示，今年第三季度，携程实现营收53亿元，经调整EBITDA为5.37亿元，经调整EBITDA利润率为10%。同时，归属于携程股东的净亏损为8.49亿元（约合1.31亿美元），上年同期录得净利润16亿元。\n3、美国疾控中心专家表示辉瑞和Moderna的疫苗优于强生\n美国公共卫生顾问表示，Moderna和辉瑞的mRNA疫苗比强生疫苗更适合成年人使用。美国疾控中心免疫实践咨询委员会周四开会，15名成员一致投票同意关于强生疫苗的建议。此前，美国监管机构修改关于强生疫苗的情况说明，就该疫苗可能引发罕见的血栓综合症发出警告。\n4、报道称苹果为南加州办事处招聘工程师 以开发自研无线芯片\n据报道，苹果公司正在为南加州的一个办事处招聘工程师，以开发自研无线芯片，并最终取代博通和思佳讯制造的芯片。\n报道称，苹果公司正在寻找“数十名”人员在尔湾开发芯片，该地区靠近博通、思佳讯和其他芯片制造商的所在地。\n5、Rivian Q3财报：净亏损扩大至12.3亿美元 官宣50亿美元建新厂\n美股周四盘后，刚刚在11月IPO狂揽137亿美元融资的电动车概念股Rivian发布上市后首份财报，首次取得营收和亏损扩大也在市场的意料之中。\n根据财报披露，公司今年三季度总共实现营收100万美元，营运损失7.76亿美元，净亏损12.33亿美元，去年同期亏损2.88亿美元。\n6、成长股逆风不止 Adobe疲软前瞻指引导致股价大跌逾10%\n当地时间周四，美股软件巨头Adobe发布截至12月3日的2021财年四季报，虽然财报本身创出营收新高，但逊于预期的前瞻指引再度引发了投资者抛售，截至发稿公司股价跌10.81%。\n7、瑞幸咖啡4.6亿美元债务重组获得美国法院批准\n瑞幸咖啡的债务重组计划获得美国曼哈顿一名联邦法官的同意，意味着这项在开曼群岛法院制定的安排可以在美国实施。根据法院文件，4.6亿美元票据的持有人将获得3.2亿美元现金加新债券。该计划还了结了股东在瑞幸咖啡被指虚报销售额后发起的很多诉讼。该公司高层还在继续应对部分股东诉讼。瑞幸咖啡美股粉单市场目前跌2.2%。\n8、达美航空预计2022年会盈利，2024年营收有望超500亿美元\n达美航空(DAL.US)表示，该公司预计将在2022年实现有意义的盈利，并在2024年超越疫情前盈利水平。\n达美航空在其资本市场日活动上介绍了其战略重点，财务方面的首要任务是恢复其财务基础，重点关注效率和现金产生，到2024年实现投资级别指标。\n9、卡骆驰：一双橡胶鞋撑起了股价五年飙升近2000%\n今年迄今为止，卡骆驰股价已飙升近130%，5年涨幅超过1,900%，主导了标普400非必需消费品板块在此期间85%的涨幅。相比之下，以看似火箭式的涨幅和直言不讳的CEO而闻名的特斯拉股价在这段时间飙升了约2100%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159813":0,"QNETCN":0,"AAPL":0,"TTTN":0,".IXIC":0,".DJI":0,".SPX":0,"03086":0}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820345374,"gmtCreate":1633355857809,"gmtModify":1633355897427,"author":{"id":"3583799564024432","authorId":"3583799564024432","name":"Shaine8862","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583799564024432","idStr":"3583799564024432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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