137bd706的个人主页 - 老虎社区

137bd706

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2021-09-18

Alone we are nothing. Together they will notice.

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2021-10-23

Nice and solid

Palantir Stock Price Prediction: Outlook After U.S. Army Selection<blockquote>Palantir股价预测：美国陆军选择后的展望</blockquote>

2021-08-08

China wants tech coy to list in HK so that they have full oversight and control

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2021-07-18

This will provide recurring revenue for Tesla.Smart move.

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2021-09-27

Usually compromise at last minute

Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week<blockquote>国会债务上限辩论、消费者信心：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>

2021-08-21

If they can have high efficacy across all variants, that would be great

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2021-06-13

Lots of logic there.

Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被愚弄了——通货膨胀对股市投资者来说是一个很大的风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>

2021-11-09

Please like

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2021-10-05

If Pepsi does well, should Coke Coka do better

PepsiCo Q3 Sales $20.19B Beat $19.39B Estimate<blockquote>百事可乐第三季度销售额$20.19 B超出预期$19.39 B</blockquote>

2021-07-30

done. Please like too

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10:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nikola soars after delivering two battery-electric trucks<blockquote>尼古拉在交付两辆纯电动卡车后股价飙升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108060975","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Nikola pops after announcing the deliveries of two Nikola Tre battery-electric vehicle pilot trucks ","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKLA\">Nikola </a>pops after announcing the deliveries of two Nikola Tre battery-electric vehicle pilot trucks to Total Transportation Services.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKLA\">尼古拉</a>pops宣布向Total Transportation Services交付两辆Nikola Tre纯电动汽车试点卡车后。</blockquote></p><p> Total Transportation Services is described as a prominent port trucking company that is working to expedite zero-emission transportation solutions at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach.</p><p><blockquote>Total Transportation Services被描述为一家著名的港口卡车运输公司，致力于加快洛杉矶和长滩港口的零排放运输解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> Total Transportation Services has a letter of intent for 100 zero-emission trucks beginning with a four-truck pilot of two BEVs and two FCEVs.</p><p><blockquote>Total Transportation Services签订了100辆零排放卡车的意向书，首先是两辆纯电动汽车和两辆燃料电池汽车的四辆卡车试点。</blockquote></p><p> Even with today's bounce higher, Nikola (NASDAQ:NKLA) still trades below its 50-day, 100-day and 200-day moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>即使今天反弹走高，尼古拉（纳斯达克：NKLA）的交易价格仍低于50日、100日和200日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59fc496bae675dcc5d90209dde904a2b\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"632\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nikola 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left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNikola soars after delivering two battery-electric trucks<blockquote>尼古拉在交付两辆纯电动卡车后股价飙升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 10:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKLA\">Nikola </a>pops after announcing the deliveries of two Nikola Tre battery-electric vehicle pilot trucks to Total Transportation Services.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKLA\">尼古拉</a>pops宣布向Total Transportation Services交付两辆Nikola Tre纯电动汽车试点卡车后。</blockquote></p><p> Total Transportation Services is described as a prominent port trucking company that is working to expedite zero-emission transportation solutions at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach.</p><p><blockquote>Total Transportation Services被描述为一家著名的港口卡车运输公司，致力于加快洛杉矶和长滩港口的零排放运输解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> Total Transportation Services has a letter of intent for 100 zero-emission trucks beginning with a four-truck pilot of two BEVs and two FCEVs.</p><p><blockquote>Total Transportation Services签订了100辆零排放卡车的意向书，首先是两辆纯电动汽车和两辆燃料电池汽车的四辆卡车试点。</blockquote></p><p> Even with today's bounce higher, Nikola (NASDAQ:NKLA) still trades below its 50-day, 100-day and 200-day moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>即使今天反弹走高，尼古拉（纳斯达克：NKLA）的交易价格仍低于50日、100日和200日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59fc496bae675dcc5d90209dde904a2b\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"632\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781401-nikola-soars-after-delivering-two-battery-electric-trucks-to-port-trucking-company\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781401-nikola-soars-after-delivering-two-battery-electric-trucks-to-port-trucking-company","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108060975","content_text":"Nikola pops after announcing the deliveries of two Nikola Tre battery-electric vehicle pilot trucks to Total Transportation Services.\nTotal Transportation Services is described as a prominent port trucking company that is working to expedite zero-emission transportation solutions at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach.\nTotal Transportation Services has a letter of intent for 100 zero-emission trucks beginning with a four-truck pilot of two BEVs and two FCEVs.\nEven with today's bounce higher, Nikola (NASDAQ:NKLA) still trades below its 50-day, 100-day and 200-day moving averages.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NKLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3007,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690543832,"gmtCreate":1639697053609,"gmtModify":1639697053933,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690543832","repostId":"2192920942","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3692,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690353667,"gmtCreate":1639640269460,"gmtModify":1639640269740,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"About time&nbsp;","listText":"About time&nbsp;","text":"About time","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690353667","repostId":"1180418146","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180418146","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639637604,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180418146?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 14:53","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Developer Stocks Fall as Government Moves to Cool Housing Market<blockquote>随着政府采取行动冷却房地产市场，新加坡开发商股价下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180418146","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"Shares of Singapore property developers fell Thursday amid fresh property-market cooling measures de","content":"<p>Shares of Singapore property developers fell Thursday amid fresh property-market cooling measures designed to rein in rising home prices, with analysts saying new taxes could curb property buying by foreigners in the city-state.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡房地产开发商的股价周四下跌，原因是新的房地产市场降温措施旨在抑制房价上涨，分析师表示，新税可能会抑制外国人在这个城市国家的房地产购买。</blockquote></p><p> City Developments Ltd.'s stock fell as much as 4.1% but pared losses to trade 3.0% lower by the midday break. UOL Group Ltd. declined 1.3%, Oxley Holdings Ltd. fell 2.7% and Frasers Property Ltd. lost 1.7%.</p><p><blockquote>City Developments Ltd.的股价一度下跌4.1%，但午间休息时收复跌幅，下跌3.0%。UOL集团有限公司下跌1.3%，Oxley Holdings Ltd.下跌2.7%，Frasers Property Ltd.下跌1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts said the government moves, which raise purchase taxes known as additional buyer's stamp duty on second and subsequent homes for citizens and permanent residents, could mean developers could face lower residential-unit sales in 2022. Real-estate consultancy CBRE lowered its forecast for Singapore's new home sales to 9,000-10,000 units in 2022 from 13,000 previously.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，政府的举措提高了公民和永久居民购买第二套及后续住房的购买税（即额外买家印花税），可能意味着开发商可能在2022年面临住宅单位销量下降。房地产咨询公司CBRE将新加坡2022年新房销售预期从此前的13,000套下调至9,000-10,000套。</blockquote></p><p> The new measures are also likely to hurt foreigners' demand for Singapore properties, potentially cutting foreign-capital inflows into the residential space, said Savills Singapore head of research and consultancy Alan Cheong.</p><p><blockquote>第一太平戴维斯新加坡研究和咨询主管Alan Cheong表示，新措施还可能损害外国人对新加坡房产的需求，可能会减少外国资本流入住宅领域。</blockquote></p><p> The new rules raise the home purchase tax for foreigners buying any residential property to 30% from 20%.</p><p><blockquote>新规定将外国人购买任何住宅物业的购房税从20%提高到30%。</blockquote></p><p> The effect on domestic homebuying sentiment is likely to be less negative, he said, given that most local home buyers would be buying first properties. Purchase taxes for first homes remain unchanged at 0% for Singapore citizens and 5% for permanent residents.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，鉴于大多数当地购房者将购买首套房产，对国内购房情绪的影响可能不会那么负面。新加坡公民的首套房购置税保持不变，为0%，永久居民为5%。</blockquote></p><p> \"There is nothing alarming about this [purchase tax] rate of increase because there should still be heightened levels of inflationary tailwinds next year,\" he added. He said that property-market cooling measures introduced in 2018 were already holding back a \"tidal wave\" of demand.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说：“[购置税]增长率没有什么值得担心的，因为明年通胀仍应会加剧。”他表示，2018年推出的房地产市场降温措施已经抑制了需求的“浪潮”。</blockquote></p><p> CBRE forecasts residential property prices to be in the range of flat to 3% higher in 2022. Savills expects home prices to rise 7%, in line with its expectations for Singapore's nominal GDP growth.</p><p><blockquote>CBRE预测，2022年住宅价格将持平至上涨3%。第一太平戴维斯预计房价将上涨7%，与其对新加坡名义GDP增长的预期一致。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Developer Stocks Fall as Government Moves to Cool Housing Market<blockquote>随着政府采取行动冷却房地产市场，新加坡开发商股价下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Developer Stocks Fall as Government Moves to Cool Housing Market<blockquote>随着政府采取行动冷却房地产市场，新加坡开发商股价下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-16 14:53</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Shares of Singapore property developers fell Thursday amid fresh property-market cooling measures designed to rein in rising home prices, with analysts saying new taxes could curb property buying by foreigners in the city-state.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡房地产开发商的股价周四下跌，原因是新的房地产市场降温措施旨在抑制房价上涨，分析师表示，新税可能会抑制外国人在这个城市国家的房地产购买。</blockquote></p><p> City Developments Ltd.'s stock fell as much as 4.1% but pared losses to trade 3.0% lower by the midday break. UOL Group Ltd. declined 1.3%, Oxley Holdings Ltd. fell 2.7% and Frasers Property Ltd. lost 1.7%.</p><p><blockquote>City Developments Ltd.的股价一度下跌4.1%，但午间休息时收复跌幅，下跌3.0%。UOL集团有限公司下跌1.3%，Oxley Holdings Ltd.下跌2.7%，Frasers Property Ltd.下跌1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts said the government moves, which raise purchase taxes known as additional buyer's stamp duty on second and subsequent homes for citizens and permanent residents, could mean developers could face lower residential-unit sales in 2022. Real-estate consultancy CBRE lowered its forecast for Singapore's new home sales to 9,000-10,000 units in 2022 from 13,000 previously.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，政府的举措提高了公民和永久居民购买第二套及后续住房的购买税（即额外买家印花税），可能意味着开发商可能在2022年面临住宅单位销量下降。房地产咨询公司CBRE将新加坡2022年新房销售预期从此前的13,000套下调至9,000-10,000套。</blockquote></p><p> The new measures are also likely to hurt foreigners' demand for Singapore properties, potentially cutting foreign-capital inflows into the residential space, said Savills Singapore head of research and consultancy Alan Cheong.</p><p><blockquote>第一太平戴维斯新加坡研究和咨询主管Alan Cheong表示，新措施还可能损害外国人对新加坡房产的需求，可能会减少外国资本流入住宅领域。</blockquote></p><p> The new rules raise the home purchase tax for foreigners buying any residential property to 30% from 20%.</p><p><blockquote>新规定将外国人购买任何住宅物业的购房税从20%提高到30%。</blockquote></p><p> The effect on domestic homebuying sentiment is likely to be less negative, he said, given that most local home buyers would be buying first properties. Purchase taxes for first homes remain unchanged at 0% for Singapore citizens and 5% for permanent residents.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，鉴于大多数当地购房者将购买首套房产，对国内购房情绪的影响可能不会那么负面。新加坡公民的首套房购置税保持不变，为0%，永久居民为5%。</blockquote></p><p> \"There is nothing alarming about this [purchase tax] rate of increase because there should still be heightened levels of inflationary tailwinds next year,\" he added. He said that property-market cooling measures introduced in 2018 were already holding back a \"tidal wave\" of demand.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说：“[购置税]增长率没有什么值得担心的，因为明年通胀仍应会加剧。”他表示，2018年推出的房地产市场降温措施已经抑制了需求的“浪潮”。</blockquote></p><p> CBRE forecasts residential property prices to be in the range of flat to 3% higher in 2022. Savills expects home prices to rise 7%, in line with its expectations for Singapore's nominal GDP growth.</p><p><blockquote>CBRE预测，2022年住宅价格将持平至上涨3%。第一太平戴维斯预计房价将上涨7%，与其对新加坡名义GDP增长的预期一致。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/singapore-developer-stocks-fall-as-government-moves-to-cool-housing-market-271639628040?mod=newsviewer_click\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"C09.SI":"城市发展","5UX.SI":"豪利","U14.SI":"华业集团"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/singapore-developer-stocks-fall-as-government-moves-to-cool-housing-market-271639628040?mod=newsviewer_click","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1180418146","content_text":"Shares of Singapore property developers fell Thursday amid fresh property-market cooling measures designed to rein in rising home prices, with analysts saying new taxes could curb property buying by foreigners in the city-state.\nCity Developments Ltd.'s stock fell as much as 4.1% but pared losses to trade 3.0% lower by the midday break. UOL Group Ltd. declined 1.3%, Oxley Holdings Ltd. fell 2.7% and Frasers Property Ltd. lost 1.7%.\nAnalysts said the government moves, which raise purchase taxes known as additional buyer's stamp duty on second and subsequent homes for citizens and permanent residents, could mean developers could face lower residential-unit sales in 2022. Real-estate consultancy CBRE lowered its forecast for Singapore's new home sales to 9,000-10,000 units in 2022 from 13,000 previously.\nThe new measures are also likely to hurt foreigners' demand for Singapore properties, potentially cutting foreign-capital inflows into the residential space, said Savills Singapore head of research and consultancy Alan Cheong.\nThe new rules raise the home purchase tax for foreigners buying any residential property to 30% from 20%.\nThe effect on domestic homebuying sentiment is likely to be less negative, he said, given that most local home buyers would be buying first properties. Purchase taxes for first homes remain unchanged at 0% for Singapore citizens and 5% for permanent residents.\n\"There is nothing alarming about this [purchase tax] rate of increase because there should still be heightened levels of inflationary tailwinds next year,\" he added. He said that property-market cooling measures introduced in 2018 were already holding back a \"tidal wave\" of demand.\nCBRE forecasts residential property prices to be in the range of flat to 3% higher in 2022. Savills expects home prices to rise 7%, in line with its expectations for Singapore's nominal GDP growth.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"U14.SI":0.9,"5UX.SI":0.9,"C09.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690920993,"gmtCreate":1639623246307,"gmtModify":1639623285414,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Within market expectation&nbsp;","listText":"Within market expectation&nbsp;","text":"Within market expectation","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690920993","repostId":"2191994940","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690965389,"gmtCreate":1639622927498,"gmtModify":1639622927831,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690965389","repostId":"1110613080","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607290955,"gmtCreate":1639540513280,"gmtModify":1639540557289,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Big potential&nbsp;","listText":"Big potential&nbsp;","text":"Big potential","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607290955","repostId":"1192399268","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192399268","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639538559,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1192399268?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-15 11:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Web Services to invest $5bn in Indonesia cloud business<blockquote>亚马逊网络服务将向印度尼西亚云业务投资50亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192399268","media":"Nikkei Asia","summary":"Tech group plans to build more data centers on back of Jakarta region launch\nAmazon Web Services, th","content":"<p>Tech group plans to build more data centers on back of Jakarta region launch</p><p><blockquote>科技集团计划在雅加达地区启动后建设更多数据中心</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffdd315a87e27f60d7f585dd34825ed1\" tg-width=\"1400\" tg-height=\"788\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Amazon Web Services, the cloud arm of U.S. e-commerce group Amazon, is betting big on Indonesia.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务集团亚马逊的云部门亚马逊网络服务在印度尼西亚上下了很大赌注。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> JAKARTA -- Amazon Web Services, the cloud arm of major U.S. e-commerce group Amazon, said it plans to invest $5 billion in Indonesia over the next 15 years as it launched its first cloud infrastructure region for the country.</p><p><blockquote>雅加达——美国主要电子商务集团亚马逊的云部门亚马逊网络服务表示，计划未来15年在印度尼西亚投资50亿美元，为该国推出第一个云基础设施区域。</blockquote></p><p> The AWS Asia Pacific (Jakarta) Region, announced Tuesday, is the cloud group's second such so-called active region in Southeast Asia after Singapore, its 10th in the Asia Pacific and 26th globally.</p><p><blockquote>周二宣布的AWS亚太（雅加达）地区是该云集团继新加坡之后在东南亚的第二个所谓活跃地区，在亚太地区排名第10，在全球排名第26。</blockquote></p><p> That means AWS' Indonesian customers -- including local tech unicorns, startups, enterprises and government institutions -- can now \"run their applications and serve end users,\" as well as \"drive innovation\" by \"leveraging AWS advanced technologies from data centers located in Indonesia,\" the company said in a news release.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着AWS的印度尼西亚客户——包括当地科技独角兽、初创公司、企业和政府机构——现在可以“运行他们的应用程序并为最终用户提供服务”，并通过“利用位于印度尼西亚的数据中心的AWS先进技术来“推动创新”，”该公司在一份新闻稿中表示。</blockquote></p><p> AWS added it is planning to invest an estimated $5 billion in Southeast Asia's largest economy through the new Jakarta region -- including for the construction of more data centers.</p><p><blockquote>AWS补充说，它计划通过新的雅加达地区向东南亚最大的经济体投资约50亿美元，包括建设更多数据中心。</blockquote></p><p> Indonesia boasts the world's fourth-largest population and has a booming digital economy spurred by a bevy of tech unicorns -- startups valued at more than $1 billion -- as well as surging demand for digital services during the coronavirus pandemic and related lockdowns. It is quickly becoming one of the hottest battlegrounds for data centers and cloud services in Asia -- a phenomenon partially driven by the government's local data storage requirements.</p><p><blockquote>印度尼西亚拥有世界第四大人口，数字经济蓬勃发展，这得益于一群科技独角兽（估值超过10亿美元的初创公司），以及冠状病毒大流行和相关封锁期间对数字服务的需求激增。它正迅速成为亚洲数据中心和云服务最热门的战场之一——这一现象部分是由政府对本地数据存储的要求推动的。</blockquote></p><p> International property consultant Jones Lang LaSalle in a July report said Indonesia was the second-highest earner in Southeast Asia's cloud business with $600 million in total cloud-based revenue last year, trailing Singapore's $1.8 billion. Indonesia's revenue is expected to more than triple by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>国际房地产咨询公司仲量联行在7月份的一份报告中表示，印度尼西亚是东南亚云业务收入第二高的国家，去年基于云的总收入为6亿美元，落后于新加坡的18亿美元。预计到2025年，印度尼西亚的收入将增加两倍以上。</blockquote></p><p> \"Demand for data centers in Indonesia is driven by local and international businesses' growing adoption of cloud based services, and is underpinned by technological advances,\" JLL said. \"Some corporations are heading towards remote working, which is also driving the demand for cloud computing.\"</p><p><blockquote>仲量联行表示：“本地和国际企业越来越多地采用基于云的服务，推动了印度尼西亚对数据中心的需求，并得到了技术进步的支持。”“一些企业正在走向远程工作，这也推动了对云计算的需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Citing its own economic impact study, AWS said that the new region's operations and spending plans will directly and indirectly create 24,700 local jobs in the country including for construction, facility maintenance, engineering and telecommunications as part of its supply chain. AWS said it will add more than $10.9 billion to Indonesia's gross domestic product over the next 15 years.</p><p><blockquote>AWS援引自己的经济影响研究表示，新地区的运营和支出计划将直接和间接在该国创造24,700个当地就业岗位，包括作为其供应链一部分的建筑、设施维护、工程和电信。AWS表示，未来15年将为印尼国内生产总值增加超过109亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The region will \"help Indonesian institutions, innovative startups, and world-leading companies deliver cloud-powered applications to fuel economic development across the country,\" Prasad Kalyanaraman, AWS vice-president for infrastructure services, said in the release.</p><p><blockquote>AWS基础设施服务副总裁Prasad Kalyanaraman在新闻稿中表示，该地区将“帮助印度尼西亚机构、创新型初创公司和世界领先的公司提供云驱动的应用程序，以推动全国的经济发展”。</blockquote></p><p> AWS, the global market leader in cloud computing services, lists among its clients in Indonesia Halodoc, a health tech startup which saw traffic soar significantly during the pandemic, and Indonesian media and property conglomerate MNC Group, which made a foray into digital banking this year. Other local clients include e-commerce group Tokopedia, travel site unicorn Traveloka, delivery company SiCepat and state-owned post office Pos Indonesia.</p><p><blockquote>云计算服务的全球市场领导者AWS在印度尼西亚的客户包括健康科技初创公司Halodoc和印度尼西亚媒体和房地产集团MNC Group，前者在疫情期间流量大幅飙升，后者今年进军数字银行业务。其他本地客户包括电子商务集团Tokopedia、旅游网站独角兽Traveloka、快递公司SiCepat和国有邮局Pos Indonesia。</blockquote></p><p> AWS, however, is not the only provider in Indonesia. Alibaba Cloud, the cloud arm of Chinese internet group Alibaba and an early entrant to Indonesia, launched its third data center in the country in June after starting its first two in 2018 and 2019, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AWS并不是印度尼西亚唯一的提供商。阿里巴巴-SW云是中国互联网集团阿里巴巴-SW的云部门，也是印尼的早期进入者，继分别于2018年和2019年启动前两个数据中心后，于6月在印尼启动了第三个数据中心。</blockquote></p><p> Tencent Holdings, another Chinese internet conglomerate, launched its first local data center in April and has announced plans to establish a second one in the near future.</p><p><blockquote>另一家中国互联网集团腾讯控股控股在4月份推出了第一个本地数据中心，并宣布计划在不久的将来建立第二个数据中心。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. tech group Microsoft, meanwhile, in February reiterated its plan to establish a data center in the country, while Google Cloud last year launched its Jakarta region to localize&nbsp;its cloud services for Indonesian clients by partnering with local data center operators after previously using overseas centers.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，美国科技集团微软在2月份重申了在该国建立数据中心的计划，而谷歌云去年推出了雅加达地区，在此前使用海外数据中心后，通过与当地数据中心运营商合作，为印度尼西亚客户本地化其云服务中心。</blockquote></p><p> The booming cloud business also has attracted local players including Data Center Indonesia and the country's largest telecommunications company, state-owned Telekomunikasi Indonesia. Foreign players such as Japan's Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone, Singapore's Keppel DC and Princeton Digital Group have also jumped in.</p><p><blockquote>蓬勃发展的云业务也吸引了当地参与者，包括印度尼西亚数据中心和该国最大的电信公司国有的印度尼西亚电信。日本的日本电报电话公司、新加坡的吉宝DC和普林斯顿数字集团等外国企业也纷纷加入进来。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Web Services to invest $5bn in Indonesia cloud business<blockquote>亚马逊网络服务将向印度尼西亚云业务投资50亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Web Services to invest $5bn in Indonesia cloud business<blockquote>亚马逊网络服务将向印度尼西亚云业务投资50亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Nikkei Asia</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-15 11:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tech group plans to build more data centers on back of Jakarta region launch</p><p><blockquote>科技集团计划在雅加达地区启动后建设更多数据中心</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffdd315a87e27f60d7f585dd34825ed1\" tg-width=\"1400\" tg-height=\"788\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Amazon Web Services, the cloud arm of U.S. e-commerce group Amazon, is betting big on Indonesia.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务集团亚马逊的云部门亚马逊网络服务在印度尼西亚上下了很大赌注。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> JAKARTA -- Amazon Web Services, the cloud arm of major U.S. e-commerce group Amazon, said it plans to invest $5 billion in Indonesia over the next 15 years as it launched its first cloud infrastructure region for the country.</p><p><blockquote>雅加达——美国主要电子商务集团亚马逊的云部门亚马逊网络服务表示，计划未来15年在印度尼西亚投资50亿美元，为该国推出第一个云基础设施区域。</blockquote></p><p> The AWS Asia Pacific (Jakarta) Region, announced Tuesday, is the cloud group's second such so-called active region in Southeast Asia after Singapore, its 10th in the Asia Pacific and 26th globally.</p><p><blockquote>周二宣布的AWS亚太（雅加达）地区是该云集团继新加坡之后在东南亚的第二个所谓活跃地区，在亚太地区排名第10，在全球排名第26。</blockquote></p><p> That means AWS' Indonesian customers -- including local tech unicorns, startups, enterprises and government institutions -- can now \"run their applications and serve end users,\" as well as \"drive innovation\" by \"leveraging AWS advanced technologies from data centers located in Indonesia,\" the company said in a news release.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着AWS的印度尼西亚客户——包括当地科技独角兽、初创公司、企业和政府机构——现在可以“运行他们的应用程序并为最终用户提供服务”，并通过“利用位于印度尼西亚的数据中心的AWS先进技术来“推动创新”，”该公司在一份新闻稿中表示。</blockquote></p><p> AWS added it is planning to invest an estimated $5 billion in Southeast Asia's largest economy through the new Jakarta region -- including for the construction of more data centers.</p><p><blockquote>AWS补充说，它计划通过新的雅加达地区向东南亚最大的经济体投资约50亿美元，包括建设更多数据中心。</blockquote></p><p> Indonesia boasts the world's fourth-largest population and has a booming digital economy spurred by a bevy of tech unicorns -- startups valued at more than $1 billion -- as well as surging demand for digital services during the coronavirus pandemic and related lockdowns. It is quickly becoming one of the hottest battlegrounds for data centers and cloud services in Asia -- a phenomenon partially driven by the government's local data storage requirements.</p><p><blockquote>印度尼西亚拥有世界第四大人口，数字经济蓬勃发展，这得益于一群科技独角兽（估值超过10亿美元的初创公司），以及冠状病毒大流行和相关封锁期间对数字服务的需求激增。它正迅速成为亚洲数据中心和云服务最热门的战场之一——这一现象部分是由政府对本地数据存储的要求推动的。</blockquote></p><p> International property consultant Jones Lang LaSalle in a July report said Indonesia was the second-highest earner in Southeast Asia's cloud business with $600 million in total cloud-based revenue last year, trailing Singapore's $1.8 billion. Indonesia's revenue is expected to more than triple by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>国际房地产咨询公司仲量联行在7月份的一份报告中表示，印度尼西亚是东南亚云业务收入第二高的国家，去年基于云的总收入为6亿美元，落后于新加坡的18亿美元。预计到2025年，印度尼西亚的收入将增加两倍以上。</blockquote></p><p> \"Demand for data centers in Indonesia is driven by local and international businesses' growing adoption of cloud based services, and is underpinned by technological advances,\" JLL said. \"Some corporations are heading towards remote working, which is also driving the demand for cloud computing.\"</p><p><blockquote>仲量联行表示：“本地和国际企业越来越多地采用基于云的服务，推动了印度尼西亚对数据中心的需求，并得到了技术进步的支持。”“一些企业正在走向远程工作，这也推动了对云计算的需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Citing its own economic impact study, AWS said that the new region's operations and spending plans will directly and indirectly create 24,700 local jobs in the country including for construction, facility maintenance, engineering and telecommunications as part of its supply chain. AWS said it will add more than $10.9 billion to Indonesia's gross domestic product over the next 15 years.</p><p><blockquote>AWS援引自己的经济影响研究表示，新地区的运营和支出计划将直接和间接在该国创造24,700个当地就业岗位，包括作为其供应链一部分的建筑、设施维护、工程和电信。AWS表示，未来15年将为印尼国内生产总值增加超过109亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The region will \"help Indonesian institutions, innovative startups, and world-leading companies deliver cloud-powered applications to fuel economic development across the country,\" Prasad Kalyanaraman, AWS vice-president for infrastructure services, said in the release.</p><p><blockquote>AWS基础设施服务副总裁Prasad Kalyanaraman在新闻稿中表示，该地区将“帮助印度尼西亚机构、创新型初创公司和世界领先的公司提供云驱动的应用程序，以推动全国的经济发展”。</blockquote></p><p> AWS, the global market leader in cloud computing services, lists among its clients in Indonesia Halodoc, a health tech startup which saw traffic soar significantly during the pandemic, and Indonesian media and property conglomerate MNC Group, which made a foray into digital banking this year. Other local clients include e-commerce group Tokopedia, travel site unicorn Traveloka, delivery company SiCepat and state-owned post office Pos Indonesia.</p><p><blockquote>云计算服务的全球市场领导者AWS在印度尼西亚的客户包括健康科技初创公司Halodoc和印度尼西亚媒体和房地产集团MNC Group，前者在疫情期间流量大幅飙升，后者今年进军数字银行业务。其他本地客户包括电子商务集团Tokopedia、旅游网站独角兽Traveloka、快递公司SiCepat和国有邮局Pos Indonesia。</blockquote></p><p> AWS, however, is not the only provider in Indonesia. Alibaba Cloud, the cloud arm of Chinese internet group Alibaba and an early entrant to Indonesia, launched its third data center in the country in June after starting its first two in 2018 and 2019, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AWS并不是印度尼西亚唯一的提供商。阿里巴巴-SW云是中国互联网集团阿里巴巴-SW的云部门，也是印尼的早期进入者，继分别于2018年和2019年启动前两个数据中心后，于6月在印尼启动了第三个数据中心。</blockquote></p><p> Tencent Holdings, another Chinese internet conglomerate, launched its first local data center in April and has announced plans to establish a second one in the near future.</p><p><blockquote>另一家中国互联网集团腾讯控股控股在4月份推出了第一个本地数据中心，并宣布计划在不久的将来建立第二个数据中心。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. tech group Microsoft, meanwhile, in February reiterated its plan to establish a data center in the country, while Google Cloud last year launched its Jakarta region to localize&nbsp;its cloud services for Indonesian clients by partnering with local data center operators after previously using overseas centers.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，美国科技集团微软在2月份重申了在该国建立数据中心的计划，而谷歌云去年推出了雅加达地区，在此前使用海外数据中心后，通过与当地数据中心运营商合作，为印度尼西亚客户本地化其云服务中心。</blockquote></p><p> The booming cloud business also has attracted local players including Data Center Indonesia and the country's largest telecommunications company, state-owned Telekomunikasi Indonesia. Foreign players such as Japan's Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone, Singapore's Keppel DC and Princeton Digital Group have also jumped in.</p><p><blockquote>蓬勃发展的云业务也吸引了当地参与者，包括印度尼西亚数据中心和该国最大的电信公司国有的印度尼西亚电信。日本的日本电报电话公司、新加坡的吉宝DC和普林斯顿数字集团等外国企业也纷纷加入进来。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Technology/Amazon-Web-Services-to-invest-5bn-in-Indonesia-cloud-business\">Nikkei Asia</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Technology/Amazon-Web-Services-to-invest-5bn-in-Indonesia-cloud-business","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192399268","content_text":"Tech group plans to build more data centers on back of Jakarta region launch\nAmazon Web Services, the cloud arm of U.S. e-commerce group Amazon, is betting big on Indonesia.\nJAKARTA -- Amazon Web Services, the cloud arm of major U.S. e-commerce group Amazon, said it plans to invest $5 billion in Indonesia over the next 15 years as it launched its first cloud infrastructure region for the country.\nThe AWS Asia Pacific (Jakarta) Region, announced Tuesday, is the cloud group's second such so-called active region in Southeast Asia after Singapore, its 10th in the Asia Pacific and 26th globally.\nThat means AWS' Indonesian customers -- including local tech unicorns, startups, enterprises and government institutions -- can now \"run their applications and serve end users,\" as well as \"drive innovation\" by \"leveraging AWS advanced technologies from data centers located in Indonesia,\" the company said in a news release.\nAWS added it is planning to invest an estimated $5 billion in Southeast Asia's largest economy through the new Jakarta region -- including for the construction of more data centers.\nIndonesia boasts the world's fourth-largest population and has a booming digital economy spurred by a bevy of tech unicorns -- startups valued at more than $1 billion -- as well as surging demand for digital services during the coronavirus pandemic and related lockdowns. It is quickly becoming one of the hottest battlegrounds for data centers and cloud services in Asia -- a phenomenon partially driven by the government's local data storage requirements.\nInternational property consultant Jones Lang LaSalle in a July report said Indonesia was the second-highest earner in Southeast Asia's cloud business with $600 million in total cloud-based revenue last year, trailing Singapore's $1.8 billion. Indonesia's revenue is expected to more than triple by 2025.\n\"Demand for data centers in Indonesia is driven by local and international businesses' growing adoption of cloud based services, and is underpinned by technological advances,\" JLL said. \"Some corporations are heading towards remote working, which is also driving the demand for cloud computing.\"\nCiting its own economic impact study, AWS said that the new region's operations and spending plans will directly and indirectly create 24,700 local jobs in the country including for construction, facility maintenance, engineering and telecommunications as part of its supply chain. AWS said it will add more than $10.9 billion to Indonesia's gross domestic product over the next 15 years.\nThe region will \"help Indonesian institutions, innovative startups, and world-leading companies deliver cloud-powered applications to fuel economic development across the country,\" Prasad Kalyanaraman, AWS vice-president for infrastructure services, said in the release.\nAWS, the global market leader in cloud computing services, lists among its clients in Indonesia Halodoc, a health tech startup which saw traffic soar significantly during the pandemic, and Indonesian media and property conglomerate MNC Group, which made a foray into digital banking this year. Other local clients include e-commerce group Tokopedia, travel site unicorn Traveloka, delivery company SiCepat and state-owned post office Pos Indonesia.\nAWS, however, is not the only provider in Indonesia. Alibaba Cloud, the cloud arm of Chinese internet group Alibaba and an early entrant to Indonesia, launched its third data center in the country in June after starting its first two in 2018 and 2019, respectively.\nTencent Holdings, another Chinese internet conglomerate, launched its first local data center in April and has announced plans to establish a second one in the near future.\nU.S. tech group Microsoft, meanwhile, in February reiterated its plan to establish a data center in the country, while Google Cloud last year launched its Jakarta region to localize its cloud services for Indonesian clients by partnering with local data center operators after previously using overseas centers.\nThe booming cloud business also has attracted local players including Data Center Indonesia and the country's largest telecommunications company, state-owned Telekomunikasi Indonesia. Foreign players such as Japan's Nippon Telegraph & Telephone, Singapore's Keppel DC and Princeton Digital Group have also jumped in.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3001,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604747762,"gmtCreate":1639450341685,"gmtModify":1639451318757,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Broom Broom&nbsp;","listText":"Broom Broom&nbsp;","text":"Broom Broom","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604747762","repostId":"1199128946","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199128946","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639449700,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199128946?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 10:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Harley-Davidson Stock Jumped 19.5%<blockquote>哈雷戴维森股价为何上涨19.5%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199128946","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nShares of motorcycle maker Harley-Davidson(NYSE:HOG)jumped as much as 19.5% in trading","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of motorcycle maker&nbsp;<b>Harley-Davidson</b>(NYSE:HOG)jumped as much as 19.5% in trading on Monday after the company announced that its&nbsp;electric-vehicle business&nbsp;will be acquired&nbsp;by a special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC). Shares didn't hold those gains, though, and are up just 4.7% at 4:00 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>摩托车制造商的股票<b>哈雷-戴维森</b>(NYSE：HOG)宣布其电动汽车业务将被一家特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)收购后，该公司周一股价上涨19.5%。不过，股价并没有保持这些涨幅，截至下午4:00仅上涨4.7%。等。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> This morning, Harley-Davidson announced that LiveWire will be acquired by&nbsp;<b>AEA-Bridges Impact Corp.</b>(NYSE:IMPX). The deal will put an enterprise value of $2.31 billion on the business, including about $600 million in cash expected on the balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>今天上午，哈雷戴维森宣布LiveWire将被<b>AEA-桥梁影响公司。</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：IMPX）。该交易将使该业务的企业价值达到23.1亿美元，其中包括资产负债表上预计的约6亿美元现金。</blockquote></p><p> Harley-Davidson will own 74% of the company, and will help with engineering and manufacturing. The theory here is that LiveWire as a separate company won't be bogged down by Harley-Davidson's brand with a new generation of electric motorcycle buyers.</p><p><blockquote>哈雷戴维森将拥有该公司74%的股份，并将在工程和制造方面提供帮助。这里的理论是，LiveWire作为一家独立公司，不会因哈雷戴维森的品牌而陷入新一代电动摩托车买家的困境。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Like most SPAC deals, there are very optimistic growth targets attached to this deal. In a presentation for investors, management said they expect to increase total unit sales from 387 in 2021 to 100,961 in 2026, with revenue jumping from $6 million to $1.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数SPAC交易一样，这笔交易附带了非常乐观的增长目标。在给投资者的演示中，管理层表示，他们预计总销量将从2021年的387辆增加到2026年的100,961辆，收入将从600万美元跃升至15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Those are incredibly optimistic targets given how small LiveWire's business is today. And given how choppy the SPAC market has been, I wouldn't assume that the merger will go off without a hitch. This is a deal I'm skeptical of, and I'm certainly not buying this struggling EV business today.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到LiveWire目前的业务规模如此之小，这些目标非常乐观。考虑到SPAC市场的波动性，我不认为合并会顺利进行。我对这笔交易持怀疑态度，今天我当然不会购买这家陷入困境的电动汽车业务。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Harley-Davidson Stock Jumped 19.5%<blockquote>哈雷戴维森股价为何上涨19.5%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Harley-Davidson Stock Jumped 19.5%<blockquote>哈雷戴维森股价为何上涨19.5%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 10:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of motorcycle maker&nbsp;<b>Harley-Davidson</b>(NYSE:HOG)jumped as much as 19.5% in trading on Monday after the company announced that its&nbsp;electric-vehicle business&nbsp;will be acquired&nbsp;by a special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC). Shares didn't hold those gains, though, and are up just 4.7% at 4:00 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>摩托车制造商的股票<b>哈雷-戴维森</b>(NYSE：HOG)宣布其电动汽车业务将被一家特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)收购后，该公司周一股价上涨19.5%。不过，股价并没有保持这些涨幅，截至下午4:00仅上涨4.7%。等。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> This morning, Harley-Davidson announced that LiveWire will be acquired by&nbsp;<b>AEA-Bridges Impact Corp.</b>(NYSE:IMPX). The deal will put an enterprise value of $2.31 billion on the business, including about $600 million in cash expected on the balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>今天上午，哈雷戴维森宣布LiveWire将被<b>AEA-桥梁影响公司。</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：IMPX）。该交易将使该业务的企业价值达到23.1亿美元，其中包括资产负债表上预计的约6亿美元现金。</blockquote></p><p> Harley-Davidson will own 74% of the company, and will help with engineering and manufacturing. The theory here is that LiveWire as a separate company won't be bogged down by Harley-Davidson's brand with a new generation of electric motorcycle buyers.</p><p><blockquote>哈雷戴维森将拥有该公司74%的股份，并将在工程和制造方面提供帮助。这里的理论是，LiveWire作为一家独立公司，不会因哈雷戴维森的品牌而陷入新一代电动摩托车买家的困境。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Like most SPAC deals, there are very optimistic growth targets attached to this deal. In a presentation for investors, management said they expect to increase total unit sales from 387 in 2021 to 100,961 in 2026, with revenue jumping from $6 million to $1.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数SPAC交易一样，这笔交易附带了非常乐观的增长目标。在给投资者的演示中，管理层表示，他们预计总销量将从2021年的387辆增加到2026年的100,961辆，收入将从600万美元跃升至15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Those are incredibly optimistic targets given how small LiveWire's business is today. And given how choppy the SPAC market has been, I wouldn't assume that the merger will go off without a hitch. This is a deal I'm skeptical of, and I'm certainly not buying this struggling EV business today.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到LiveWire目前的业务规模如此之小，这些目标非常乐观。考虑到SPAC市场的波动性，我不认为合并会顺利进行。我对这笔交易持怀疑态度，今天我当然不会购买这家陷入困境的电动汽车业务。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/13/why-harley-davidson-stock-jumped-195-today/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HOG":"哈雷戴维森"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/13/why-harley-davidson-stock-jumped-195-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199128946","content_text":"What happened\nShares of motorcycle maker Harley-Davidson(NYSE:HOG)jumped as much as 19.5% in trading on Monday after the company announced that its electric-vehicle business will be acquired by a special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC). Shares didn't hold those gains, though, and are up just 4.7% at 4:00 p.m. ET.\nSo what\nThis morning, Harley-Davidson announced that LiveWire will be acquired by AEA-Bridges Impact Corp.(NYSE:IMPX). The deal will put an enterprise value of $2.31 billion on the business, including about $600 million in cash expected on the balance sheet.\nHarley-Davidson will own 74% of the company, and will help with engineering and manufacturing. The theory here is that LiveWire as a separate company won't be bogged down by Harley-Davidson's brand with a new generation of electric motorcycle buyers.\nNow what\nLike most SPAC deals, there are very optimistic growth targets attached to this deal. In a presentation for investors, management said they expect to increase total unit sales from 387 in 2021 to 100,961 in 2026, with revenue jumping from $6 million to $1.5 billion.\nThose are incredibly optimistic targets given how small LiveWire's business is today. And given how choppy the SPAC market has been, I wouldn't assume that the merger will go off without a hitch. This is a deal I'm skeptical of, and I'm certainly not buying this struggling EV business today.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IMPX":0.9,"HOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1088,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604690825,"gmtCreate":1639380978177,"gmtModify":1639380978486,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stuck between a hard rock and a hard stone&nbsp;","listText":"Stuck between a hard rock and a hard stone&nbsp;","text":"Stuck between a hard rock and a hard stone","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604690825","repostId":"1141299243","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":839,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604930731,"gmtCreate":1639300615615,"gmtModify":1639300615891,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No one grabbing ?","listText":"No one grabbing ?","text":"No one grabbing ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604930731","repostId":"1133845166","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133845166","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639130022,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133845166?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 17:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab shares dropped another 2% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab股价在盘前交易中又下跌2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133845166","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab shares dropped another 2% in premarket trading.The stock fell more than 9% yesterday.","content":"<p>Grab shares dropped another 2% in premarket trading.The stock fell more than 9% yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>Grab股价在盘前交易中又下跌2%。该股昨日跌超9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c53085cee57f6060446a02aa58e6a691\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"619\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab shares dropped another 2% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab股价在盘前交易中又下跌2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab shares dropped another 2% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab股价在盘前交易中又下跌2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-10 17:53</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab shares dropped another 2% in premarket trading.The stock fell more than 9% yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>Grab股价在盘前交易中又下跌2%。该股昨日跌超9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c53085cee57f6060446a02aa58e6a691\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"619\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133845166","content_text":"Grab shares dropped another 2% in premarket trading.The stock fell more than 9% yesterday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605216028,"gmtCreate":1639180303360,"gmtModify":1639180303642,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605216028","repostId":"2190736016","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1053,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605336605,"gmtCreate":1639111180125,"gmtModify":1639111181303,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605336605","repostId":"2190649010","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1307,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605338123,"gmtCreate":1639110941471,"gmtModify":1639110942941,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So the shares sold are the&nbsp;option shares he exercise&nbsp;","listText":"So the shares sold are the&nbsp;option shares he exercise&nbsp;","text":"So the shares sold are the option shares he exercise","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605338123","repostId":"2190642899","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1058,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602652102,"gmtCreate":1639018045314,"gmtModify":1639018110736,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No stopping tsla&nbsp;","listText":"No stopping tsla&nbsp;","text":"No stopping tsla","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602652102","repostId":"1110875204","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110875204","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639017474,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110875204?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 10:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSLA Stock Price Prediction: Why (and When) One Analyst Sees Tesla Soaring to $1,580<blockquote>TSLA股价预测：为什么（以及何时）一位分析师认为特斯拉将飙升至1,580美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110875204","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"A new price prediction is in for Tesla stock today and it has one analyst expecting major gains in not much time.New Street analyst Pierre Ferragu is the analyst behind the new price prediction for TSLA stock today. He increased the firm’s price target for the shares from $1,298 to $1,580. Ferragu’s price target is incredibly bullish compared to his peers. The consensus price target for TLSA is sitting at$798.24.Of course, today’s news isn’t just that the New Street analyst is expecting major ga","content":"<p><div> A new price prediction is in for Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) stock today and it has one analyst expecting major gains in not much time. New Street analyst Pierre Ferragu is the analyst behind the new price ...</p><p><blockquote><div>特斯拉（纳斯达克：TSLA）股票今天发布了新的价格预测，一位分析师预计很快就会大幅上涨。新街分析师Pierre Ferragu是新价格背后的分析师...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/tsla-stock-price-prediction-why-and-when-one-analyst-sees-tesla-soaring-to-1580/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/tsla-stock-price-prediction-why-and-when-one-analyst-sees-tesla-soaring-to-1580/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSLA Stock Price Prediction: Why (and When) One Analyst Sees Tesla Soaring to $1,580<blockquote>TSLA股价预测：为什么（以及何时）一位分析师认为特斯拉将飙升至1,580美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSLA Stock Price Prediction: Why (and When) One Analyst Sees Tesla Soaring to $1,580<blockquote>TSLA股价预测：为什么（以及何时）一位分析师认为特斯拉将飙升至1,580美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-09 10:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> A new price prediction is in for Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) stock today and it has one analyst expecting major gains in not much time. New Street analyst Pierre Ferragu is the analyst behind the new price ...</p><p><blockquote><div>特斯拉（纳斯达克：TSLA）股票今天发布了新的价格预测，一位分析师预计很快就会大幅上涨。新街分析师Pierre Ferragu是新价格背后的分析师...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/tsla-stock-price-prediction-why-and-when-one-analyst-sees-tesla-soaring-to-1580/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/tsla-stock-price-prediction-why-and-when-one-analyst-sees-tesla-soaring-to-1580/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/tsla-stock-price-prediction-why-and-when-one-analyst-sees-tesla-soaring-to-1580/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/tsla-stock-price-prediction-why-and-when-one-analyst-sees-tesla-soaring-to-1580/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110875204","content_text":"A new price prediction is in for Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) stock today and it has one analyst expecting major gains in not much time.\nNew Street analyst Pierre Ferragu is the analyst behind the new price prediction for TSLA stock today. He increased the firm’s price target for the shares from $1,298 to $1,580. Ferragu’s price target is incredibly bullish compared to his peers. The consensus price target for TLSA is sitting at$798.24.\nOf course, today’s news isn’t just that the New Street analyst is expecting major gains from Telsa, it’s also how quickly he expects them. Ferragu is estimating that TSLA stock will be trading at his price prediction by the end of the year.\nIt’s also worth pointing out that the new price target has Ferragu keeping a buy rating for TSLA. For comparison, the analyst consensus rating is hold. That comes from 14 buys, 10, holds, and 10 sells.\nSo why is this analyst taking such a bullish stance on TSLA stock? First off, the New Street analyst thinks that Tesla will surpass delivery estimates of 266,000 units in Q4. This has him predicting between 280,000 and 285,000 deliveries during the period.\nAnother reason for the bull position from Ferragu is high expectations for the company’s Shanghai plant. The analyst believes that this plan as an annual turnout of over 700,000 vehicles. That’s much higher than the initial 450,000 unit target.\nTSLA stock rose 1.64% on Wednesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606434029,"gmtCreate":1638918930211,"gmtModify":1638918930541,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice job","listText":"Nice job","text":"Nice job","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606434029","repostId":"1156307830","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":799,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608904325,"gmtCreate":1638589734867,"gmtModify":1638589735031,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time for correction ?","listText":"Time for correction ?","text":"Time for correction ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608904325","repostId":"2188853578","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":856,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609336428,"gmtCreate":1638237607221,"gmtModify":1638237607381,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Finding it’s feet","listText":"Finding it’s feet","text":"Finding it’s feet","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609336428","repostId":"1102611148","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1095,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":887056332,"gmtCreate":1631948398526,"gmtModify":1632805127075,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alone we are nothing. Together they will notice.&nbsp;","listText":"Alone we are nothing. Together they will notice.&nbsp;","text":"Alone we are nothing. Together they will notice.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887056332","repostId":"2168246571","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":858385021,"gmtCreate":1634981696189,"gmtModify":1634981696601,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice and solid&nbsp;","listText":"Nice and solid&nbsp;","text":"Nice and solid","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858385021","repostId":"1177255738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177255738","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634953820,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177255738?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-23 09:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Stock Price Prediction: Outlook After U.S. Army Selection<blockquote>Palantir股价预测：美国陆军选择后的展望</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177255738","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir's US Army contract is huge news for the company due to the contract's large size. ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir's US Army contract is huge news for the company due to the contract's large size. The bigger picture is important as well - PLTR is highly competitive and trusted.</li>  <li>PLTR is one of just four IL-5 DoD-certified companies and is moving to IL-6, which should increase its moat further.</li>  <li>The company is seemingly expensive on a profit basis, but when we consider PLTR's growth outlook, shares could be a pretty good investment, nevertheless.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa0d32030c1112ab6f00943f9091b85b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"516\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Scott Olson/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir的美国陆军合同对该公司来说是一个巨大的新闻，因为合同规模很大。大局也很重要——PLTR极具竞争力且值得信赖。</li><li>PLTR是仅有的四家获得国防部认证的IL-5公司之一，并且正在转向IL-6，这应该会进一步增加其护城河。</li><li>该公司的利润似乎很昂贵，但当我们考虑PLTR的增长前景时，股票可能是一项相当不错的投资。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>斯科特·奥尔森/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir Technologies (PLTR) remains a highly exciting, fast-growing tech company that continues to trade at an expensive valuation. The recent contract with the US Army shows, again, that its proprietary solutions are in a class of their own and that Palantir Technologies is very entrenched in government bodies, which should allow the company to deliver strong growth for many years. Palantir Technologies is not a low-risk pick, but I do believe that, in the long run, investors could see sizeable gains from this stock.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies(PLTR)仍然是一家非常令人兴奋、快速增长的科技公司，其估值仍然很高。最近与美国陆军签订的合同再次表明，其专有解决方案是独一无二的，并且Palantir Technologies在政府机构中根深蒂固，这应该使该公司能够实现多年的强劲增长。Palantir Technologies并不是一个低风险的选择，但我确实相信，从长远来看，投资者可以从这只股票中看到可观的收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir &amp; US Army Contract</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir与美国陆军合同</b></blockquote></p><p> In early October, Palantir Technologies announced that it was selected by the US Army for a contract worth&nbsp;$823 million&nbsp;that will see the company deliver the Army Intelligence data fabric and analytics foundation for the&nbsp;<i>Capability Drop 2</i>&nbsp;(CD-2) program.</p><p><blockquote>10月初，Palantir Technologies宣布被美国陆军选中签订一份价值8.23亿美元的合同，该公司将为<i>能力下降2</i>（CD-2）程序。</blockquote></p><p> For a company like Palantir, which generates revenue of around $1.5 billion a year right now, an $800+ million contract is huge, of course, but it should be noted that this contract will not see Palantir capture all of that revenue in a short period of time. On top of that, not necessarily all of that revenue will go to Palantir Technologies, as other vendors, e.g., for hardware, might take some share of the contract as well. A more bearish analyst&nbsp;noted&nbsp;that the administration has requested around $100 million for that contract in fiscal 2022, suggesting that it will take several years for Palantir to capture all of the revenue from that contract.</p><p><blockquote>对于像Palantir这样目前年收入约为15亿美元的公司来说，一份8亿多美元的合同当然是巨大的，但应该指出的是，这份合同不会让Palantir在短时间内获得所有这些收入。最重要的是，不一定所有收入都会流向Palantir Technologies，因为其他供应商（例如硬件供应商）也可能会从合同中获得一些份额。一位更为悲观的分析师指出，政府已要求在2022财年为该合同提供约1亿美元，这表明Palantir需要几年时间才能从该合同中获得所有收入。</blockquote></p><p> Still, this contract is a major positive, I believe, due to several reasons. First, the decision by the US Army to award the contract to Palantir Technologies suggests that Palantir remains a forerunner on a tech basis in the defense space, despite some analysts and commenters believing that Palantir's offering/services are very commoditized. If that were the case, the contract would likely have gone to a different company that sells its services and products at lower prices - remember that Palantir demands gross margins north of 70% on a company-wide basis. Customers would not be willing to pay that much for a commoditized product that could be supplied by anyone.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我认为这份合同是一个重大的积极因素，原因有几个。首先，美国陆军将合同授予Palantir Technologies的决定表明，Palantir仍然是国防领域技术基础的先驱，尽管一些分析师和评论者认为Palantir的产品/服务非常商品化。如果是这样的话，该合同可能会交给另一家以较低价格销售其服务和产品的公司——请记住，Palantir要求全公司毛利率超过70%。顾客不会愿意为任何人都可以提供的商品化产品支付那么多钱。</blockquote></p><p> The contract award by the US Army for such a large single contract also indicates that officials see Palantir as capable of delivering on large-scale contracts, despite the fact that Palantir Technologies is, by revenue and employer count, not a very large company today. Officials seem to believe that Palantir is able to execute well on these contracts, which, in turn, suggests that Palantir should have a good chance of getting other contracts of a similar size in the future.</p><p><blockquote>美国陆军授予如此大的单个合同也表明，官员们认为Palantir有能力交付大规模合同，尽管从收入和雇主数量来看，Palantir Technologies目前并不是一家非常大的公司。官员们似乎相信Palantir能够很好地执行这些合同，这反过来表明Palantir未来应该有很大的机会获得其他类似规模的合同。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir's strong position in the defense space versus possible competitors is also indicated by the fact that Palantir Technologies is one of just four companies with a level 5 (IL-5) Department of Defense SaaS approval:</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies是仅有的四家获得国防部SaaS 5级(IL-5)批准的公司之一，这一事实也表明了Palantir在国防领域相对于可能的竞争对手的强势地位：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9381e77c84c44423e48d0947838946a3\" tg-width=\"1273\" tg-height=\"841\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Palantir</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Palantir</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This alone gives Palantir a major edge versus competitors that are not approved for services this critical. Once Palantir moves to IL-6 approval - at which point the company could also handle DoD classified information - Palantir's moat versus competitors should grow further. Palantir's management believes that this will happen in the foreseeable future and that Palantir will likely be the first company to receive IL-6 approval overall. The defense market could be a huge market opportunity for Palantir Technologies over the next couple of years:</p><p><blockquote>仅此一点就为Palantir提供了相对于未获准提供如此关键服务的竞争对手的主要优势。一旦Palantir获得IL-6批准（届时该公司还可以处理国防部机密信息），Palantir相对于竞争对手的护城河应该会进一步扩大。Palantir管理层认为，这将在可预见的未来发生，Palantir很可能成为第一家获得IL-6整体批准的公司。未来几年，国防市场可能是Palantir Technologies的巨大市场机遇：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c9bdfc460b29e6a19e05ad9f2b1278\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: nscai.gov (page 67 of full report)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：nscai.gov（完整报告第67页）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence forecasts that AI R&amp;D investments will grow to close to $80 billion by 2030. Palantir Technologies will not be able to address all of that market, as this does include hardware, implementation, etc., but even a couple of percentage points of market share would turn into a $1+ billion a year business. Considering that defense is just one of many markets Palantir Technologies is able to address, this seems highly encouraging - especially when we consider that Palantir is doing around $1.5 billion in revenue this year across all markets the company is active in.</p><p><blockquote>美国国家人工智能安全委员会预测，到2030年，人工智能研发投资将增长至接近800亿美元。Palantir Technologies将无法解决所有市场，因为这确实包括硬件、实施等。，但即使是几个百分点的市场份额也会变成每年超过10亿美元的业务。考虑到国防只是Palantir Technologies能够解决的众多市场之一，这似乎非常令人鼓舞——特别是当我们考虑到Palantir今年在该公司活跃的所有市场的收入约为15亿美元时。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir Technologies has, thanks to other contracts with military customers, proven that the US Army contract was not an outlier. Instead, Palantir seems to work well with defense customers, which is why the company gets chosen for new contracts again and again - even by the US&nbsp;Space Force.</p><p><blockquote>得益于与军事客户的其他合同，Palantir Technologies证明了美国陆军合同并非例外。相反，Palantir似乎与国防客户合作良好，这就是为什么该公司一次又一次地被选中签订新合同——甚至被美国太空军选中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PLTR Stock Forecast</b></p><p><blockquote><b>PLTR库存预测</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir's management believes that the company will be the most important software player in the world one day, and even though I believe that this is far from guaranteed, I do believe that Palantir has massive growth potential for many years to come. Its solutions could have a huge impact in commerce as well as in the military and security fields. Thanks to close relations with customers (as laid out above), a proven track record, and strong talent - which is why stock-based compensation is so high, as that talent is expensive - Palantir should be able to deliver huge revenue growth throughout the 2020s.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的管理层相信，该公司有一天将成为世界上最重要的软件公司，尽管我认为这远不能保证，但我确实相信Palantir在未来许多年都具有巨大的增长潜力。它的解决方案可能会在商业以及军事和安全领域产生巨大影响。得益于与客户的密切关系（如上所述）、良好的业绩记录和强大的人才——这就是股票薪酬如此之高的原因，因为人才价格昂贵——Palantir应该能够在整个2020年代实现巨大的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Management believes that revenue in 2024 will come in around $4 billion, and that aligns pretty well with&nbsp;analyst estimates. During its four quarters as a publicly traded company, Palantir has beaten analyst estimates on both lines four times, thus the company is establishing a pretty clear track record of outperforming expectations. It is, of course, not guaranteed that this will happen in the future, too, but I do believe that there is a pretty solid chance that Palantir could generate more than $4 billion in revenue in 2024. Let's still go with the $4 billion estimate and assume that revenue grows by 30% for the following three years, and by 25% between 2028 and 2030. If that were to happen, then Palantir would generate revenue of $17 billion in 2030, which would pencil out to a ~11x increase in nine years. What could a company with $17 billion in annual sales and 25% revenue growth be valued at?</p><p><blockquote>管理层认为2024年的收入将达到40亿美元左右，这与分析师的预期非常一致。在作为上市公司的四个季度中，Palantir在这两条线上四次超出了分析师的预期，因此该公司正在建立一个非常明确的超出预期的业绩记录。当然，不能保证这种情况在未来也会发生，但我确实相信Palantir很有可能在2024年产生超过40亿美元的收入。我们仍然采用40亿美元的估计，并假设未来三年收入增长30%，2028年至2030年间增长25%。如果这种情况发生，那么Palantir到2030年的收入将达到170亿美元，预计九年内将增长约11倍。一家年销售额170亿美元、收入增长25%的公司的估值是多少？</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52c4b159657eb14f408b680d91dd91ca\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Major software players such as Microsoft (MSFT), Salesforce.com (CRM), and Adobe (ADBE) are growing by 15%-25% right now, and trade for 11x to 19x this year's sales today. Considering that Palantir does, in our scenario, grow a little faster than these three companies, a 15x sales multiple does not seem outrageous at all, I believe. Based on estimated sales of $17 billion, this gets us to a market capitalization of $255 billion nine years from now, or roughly 5.3x as much as today's market capitalization of $48 billion. This does, however, not mean that PLTR will see its shares climb by 430%, as we also have to consider the company's share count, which has been rising and which will likely continue to rise. It is hard to forecast where exactly the share count will stand nine years from now, as we don't know the trajectory of future share-based compensation and since PLTR might start to repurchase shares in the future. If we assume that the share count rises by 100 million a year (the share count has risen by 80 million shares over the last year, per YCharts), that pencils out to a share count of ~2.9 billion in 2030. Based on an expected market capitalization of $255 billion, this gets us to a share price of around $90 - or roughly 3.5x as much as today. In other words, if this scenario comes true, investors will generate a 9-year return of around 250%, or roughly 15% a year. That is not as outstanding as the returns one would have gotten when one held AMZN(AMZN)over the last nine years, for example, but an annual return in the ballpark of 15% is still highly attractive, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>微软(MSFT)、Salesforce.com(CRM)和Adobe(ADBE)等主要软件公司目前的增长率为15%-25%，目前的交易价格是今年销售额的11至19倍。考虑到在我们的场景中，Palantir的增长速度确实比这三家公司快一点，我相信15倍的销售倍数似乎一点也不离谱。根据170亿美元的估计销售额，九年后我们的市值将达到2550亿美元，大约是当今480亿美元市值的5.3倍。然而，这并不意味着PLTR的股价将上涨430%，因为我们还必须考虑该公司的股票数量，该数量一直在上升，并且可能会继续上升。很难预测九年后股票数量的确切情况，因为我们不知道未来股权薪酬的轨迹，而且PLTR未来可能会开始回购股票。如果我们假设股票数量每年增加1亿股（根据YCharts的数据，去年股票数量增加了8000万股），那么2030年股票数量将达到约29亿股。根据2550亿美元的预期市值，我们的股价约为90美元，大约是今天的3.5倍。换句话说，如果这种情况成真，投资者将获得250%左右的9年回报率，即每年约15%。例如，这并不像过去九年持有AMZN(AMZN)时获得的回报那么出色，但我相信15%左右的年回报率仍然非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> One can, of course, argue that this scenario is not realistic and that the growth rate should be higher or lower, or that the sales multiple in 2030 should be different. Still, I believe that this is a solid base case scenario that<i>might</i>be on the conservative side, considering Palantir Technologies' large potential across many different industries.</p><p><blockquote>当然，人们可以认为这种情况是不现实的，增长率应该更高或更低，或者2030年的销售倍数应该不同。尽管如此，我相信这是一个可靠的基本情况<i>可能</i>考虑到Palantir Technologies在许多不同行业的巨大潜力，请保持保守。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PLTR Stock: Is Now A Good Time To Buy Or Sell?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>PLTR股票：现在是买入或卖出的好时机吗？</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Palantir is a very different stock compared to what I mostly cover, and what I primarily invest in. At current prices, PLTR looks quite expensive at first sight, trading at ~150x forward earnings. The company, however, offers massive growth potential, attractive fundamentals, and has a huge moat that could grow further once PLTR is IL-6 DoD approved.</p><p><blockquote>与我主要报道的股票和我主要投资的股票相比，Palantir是一只非常不同的股票。按照目前的价格，PLTR乍一看似乎相当昂贵，其预期市盈率约为150倍。然而，该公司提供了巨大的增长潜力、有吸引力的基本面，并且拥有巨大的护城河，一旦PLTR获得IL-6国防部批准，该护城河可能会进一步增长。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir is not a low-risk stock, as the company is, like other high-growth stocks trading at high valuations, vulnerable to interest rate movements. On top of that, profitability has not been proven on a lasting basis yet, and we don't know the trajectory of share-based compensation expenses.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir不是一只低风险股票，因为该公司与其他高估值交易的高增长股票一样，容易受到利率变动的影响。最重要的是，盈利能力尚未得到持久的证实，我们也不知道股权激励费用的轨迹。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, I believe that Palantir is a high-growth company that could deliver double-digit total returns in the long run, and due to a huge and fast-growing addressable market and a wide moat, I am willing to invest in this company - unlike many other highly-valued growth companies that I deem unattractive. Whether Palantir Technologies is a good fit for your portfolio depends on your individual goals and risk tolerance, of course, but I wouldn't be surprised to see PLTR rise at least three-fold by the end of the decade.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我相信Palantir是一家高增长公司，从长远来看可以带来两位数的总回报，并且由于巨大且快速增长的潜在市场和宽阔的护城河，我愿意投资这家公司——不像许多其他我认为没有吸引力的高估值成长型公司。当然，Palantir Technologies是否适合您的投资组合取决于您的个人目标和风险承受能力，但如果PLTR到本世纪末至少增长三倍，我不会感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is This an Income Stream Which Induces Fear?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这是一种引发恐惧的收入来源吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a958be03c050d5cdb47e6524217c231\" tg-width=\"542\" tg-height=\"324\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The primary goal of the&nbsp;Cash Flow Kingdom Income Portfolio&nbsp;is to produce an overall yield in the 7% - 10% range. We accomplish this by combining several different income streams to form an attractive, steady portfolio payout. The portfolio's price can fluctuate, but the income stream remains consistent.</p><p><blockquote>现金流王国收益投资组合的主要目标是产生7%-10%范围内的总体收益率。我们通过结合几种不同的收入流来形成有吸引力、稳定的投资组合支出来实现这一目标。投资组合的价格可能会波动，但收入流保持一致。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Stock Price Prediction: Outlook After U.S. Army Selection<blockquote>Palantir股价预测：美国陆军选择后的展望</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Stock Price Prediction: Outlook After U.S. Army Selection<blockquote>Palantir股价预测：美国陆军选择后的展望</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-23 09:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir's US Army contract is huge news for the company due to the contract's large size. The bigger picture is important as well - PLTR is highly competitive and trusted.</li>  <li>PLTR is one of just four IL-5 DoD-certified companies and is moving to IL-6, which should increase its moat further.</li>  <li>The company is seemingly expensive on a profit basis, but when we consider PLTR's growth outlook, shares could be a pretty good investment, nevertheless.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa0d32030c1112ab6f00943f9091b85b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"516\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Scott Olson/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir的美国陆军合同对该公司来说是一个巨大的新闻，因为合同规模很大。大局也很重要——PLTR极具竞争力且值得信赖。</li><li>PLTR是仅有的四家获得国防部认证的IL-5公司之一，并且正在转向IL-6，这应该会进一步增加其护城河。</li><li>该公司的利润似乎很昂贵，但当我们考虑PLTR的增长前景时，股票可能是一项相当不错的投资。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>斯科特·奥尔森/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir Technologies (PLTR) remains a highly exciting, fast-growing tech company that continues to trade at an expensive valuation. The recent contract with the US Army shows, again, that its proprietary solutions are in a class of their own and that Palantir Technologies is very entrenched in government bodies, which should allow the company to deliver strong growth for many years. Palantir Technologies is not a low-risk pick, but I do believe that, in the long run, investors could see sizeable gains from this stock.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies(PLTR)仍然是一家非常令人兴奋、快速增长的科技公司，其估值仍然很高。最近与美国陆军签订的合同再次表明，其专有解决方案是独一无二的，并且Palantir Technologies在政府机构中根深蒂固，这应该使该公司能够实现多年的强劲增长。Palantir Technologies并不是一个低风险的选择，但我确实相信，从长远来看，投资者可以从这只股票中看到可观的收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir &amp; US Army Contract</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir与美国陆军合同</b></blockquote></p><p> In early October, Palantir Technologies announced that it was selected by the US Army for a contract worth&nbsp;$823 million&nbsp;that will see the company deliver the Army Intelligence data fabric and analytics foundation for the&nbsp;<i>Capability Drop 2</i>&nbsp;(CD-2) program.</p><p><blockquote>10月初，Palantir Technologies宣布被美国陆军选中签订一份价值8.23亿美元的合同，该公司将为<i>能力下降2</i>（CD-2）程序。</blockquote></p><p> For a company like Palantir, which generates revenue of around $1.5 billion a year right now, an $800+ million contract is huge, of course, but it should be noted that this contract will not see Palantir capture all of that revenue in a short period of time. On top of that, not necessarily all of that revenue will go to Palantir Technologies, as other vendors, e.g., for hardware, might take some share of the contract as well. A more bearish analyst&nbsp;noted&nbsp;that the administration has requested around $100 million for that contract in fiscal 2022, suggesting that it will take several years for Palantir to capture all of the revenue from that contract.</p><p><blockquote>对于像Palantir这样目前年收入约为15亿美元的公司来说，一份8亿多美元的合同当然是巨大的，但应该指出的是，这份合同不会让Palantir在短时间内获得所有这些收入。最重要的是，不一定所有收入都会流向Palantir Technologies，因为其他供应商（例如硬件供应商）也可能会从合同中获得一些份额。一位更为悲观的分析师指出，政府已要求在2022财年为该合同提供约1亿美元，这表明Palantir需要几年时间才能从该合同中获得所有收入。</blockquote></p><p> Still, this contract is a major positive, I believe, due to several reasons. First, the decision by the US Army to award the contract to Palantir Technologies suggests that Palantir remains a forerunner on a tech basis in the defense space, despite some analysts and commenters believing that Palantir's offering/services are very commoditized. If that were the case, the contract would likely have gone to a different company that sells its services and products at lower prices - remember that Palantir demands gross margins north of 70% on a company-wide basis. Customers would not be willing to pay that much for a commoditized product that could be supplied by anyone.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我认为这份合同是一个重大的积极因素，原因有几个。首先，美国陆军将合同授予Palantir Technologies的决定表明，Palantir仍然是国防领域技术基础的先驱，尽管一些分析师和评论者认为Palantir的产品/服务非常商品化。如果是这样的话，该合同可能会交给另一家以较低价格销售其服务和产品的公司——请记住，Palantir要求全公司毛利率超过70%。顾客不会愿意为任何人都可以提供的商品化产品支付那么多钱。</blockquote></p><p> The contract award by the US Army for such a large single contract also indicates that officials see Palantir as capable of delivering on large-scale contracts, despite the fact that Palantir Technologies is, by revenue and employer count, not a very large company today. Officials seem to believe that Palantir is able to execute well on these contracts, which, in turn, suggests that Palantir should have a good chance of getting other contracts of a similar size in the future.</p><p><blockquote>美国陆军授予如此大的单个合同也表明，官员们认为Palantir有能力交付大规模合同，尽管从收入和雇主数量来看，Palantir Technologies目前并不是一家非常大的公司。官员们似乎相信Palantir能够很好地执行这些合同，这反过来表明Palantir未来应该有很大的机会获得其他类似规模的合同。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir's strong position in the defense space versus possible competitors is also indicated by the fact that Palantir Technologies is one of just four companies with a level 5 (IL-5) Department of Defense SaaS approval:</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies是仅有的四家获得国防部SaaS 5级(IL-5)批准的公司之一，这一事实也表明了Palantir在国防领域相对于可能的竞争对手的强势地位：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9381e77c84c44423e48d0947838946a3\" tg-width=\"1273\" tg-height=\"841\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Palantir</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Palantir</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This alone gives Palantir a major edge versus competitors that are not approved for services this critical. Once Palantir moves to IL-6 approval - at which point the company could also handle DoD classified information - Palantir's moat versus competitors should grow further. Palantir's management believes that this will happen in the foreseeable future and that Palantir will likely be the first company to receive IL-6 approval overall. The defense market could be a huge market opportunity for Palantir Technologies over the next couple of years:</p><p><blockquote>仅此一点就为Palantir提供了相对于未获准提供如此关键服务的竞争对手的主要优势。一旦Palantir获得IL-6批准（届时该公司还可以处理国防部机密信息），Palantir相对于竞争对手的护城河应该会进一步扩大。Palantir管理层认为，这将在可预见的未来发生，Palantir很可能成为第一家获得IL-6整体批准的公司。未来几年，国防市场可能是Palantir Technologies的巨大市场机遇：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c9bdfc460b29e6a19e05ad9f2b1278\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: nscai.gov (page 67 of full report)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：nscai.gov（完整报告第67页）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence forecasts that AI R&amp;D investments will grow to close to $80 billion by 2030. Palantir Technologies will not be able to address all of that market, as this does include hardware, implementation, etc., but even a couple of percentage points of market share would turn into a $1+ billion a year business. Considering that defense is just one of many markets Palantir Technologies is able to address, this seems highly encouraging - especially when we consider that Palantir is doing around $1.5 billion in revenue this year across all markets the company is active in.</p><p><blockquote>美国国家人工智能安全委员会预测，到2030年，人工智能研发投资将增长至接近800亿美元。Palantir Technologies将无法解决所有市场，因为这确实包括硬件、实施等。，但即使是几个百分点的市场份额也会变成每年超过10亿美元的业务。考虑到国防只是Palantir Technologies能够解决的众多市场之一，这似乎非常令人鼓舞——特别是当我们考虑到Palantir今年在该公司活跃的所有市场的收入约为15亿美元时。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir Technologies has, thanks to other contracts with military customers, proven that the US Army contract was not an outlier. Instead, Palantir seems to work well with defense customers, which is why the company gets chosen for new contracts again and again - even by the US&nbsp;Space Force.</p><p><blockquote>得益于与军事客户的其他合同，Palantir Technologies证明了美国陆军合同并非例外。相反，Palantir似乎与国防客户合作良好，这就是为什么该公司一次又一次地被选中签订新合同——甚至被美国太空军选中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PLTR Stock Forecast</b></p><p><blockquote><b>PLTR库存预测</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir's management believes that the company will be the most important software player in the world one day, and even though I believe that this is far from guaranteed, I do believe that Palantir has massive growth potential for many years to come. Its solutions could have a huge impact in commerce as well as in the military and security fields. Thanks to close relations with customers (as laid out above), a proven track record, and strong talent - which is why stock-based compensation is so high, as that talent is expensive - Palantir should be able to deliver huge revenue growth throughout the 2020s.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的管理层相信，该公司有一天将成为世界上最重要的软件公司，尽管我认为这远不能保证，但我确实相信Palantir在未来许多年都具有巨大的增长潜力。它的解决方案可能会在商业以及军事和安全领域产生巨大影响。得益于与客户的密切关系（如上所述）、良好的业绩记录和强大的人才——这就是股票薪酬如此之高的原因，因为人才价格昂贵——Palantir应该能够在整个2020年代实现巨大的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Management believes that revenue in 2024 will come in around $4 billion, and that aligns pretty well with&nbsp;analyst estimates. During its four quarters as a publicly traded company, Palantir has beaten analyst estimates on both lines four times, thus the company is establishing a pretty clear track record of outperforming expectations. It is, of course, not guaranteed that this will happen in the future, too, but I do believe that there is a pretty solid chance that Palantir could generate more than $4 billion in revenue in 2024. Let's still go with the $4 billion estimate and assume that revenue grows by 30% for the following three years, and by 25% between 2028 and 2030. If that were to happen, then Palantir would generate revenue of $17 billion in 2030, which would pencil out to a ~11x increase in nine years. What could a company with $17 billion in annual sales and 25% revenue growth be valued at?</p><p><blockquote>管理层认为2024年的收入将达到40亿美元左右，这与分析师的预期非常一致。在作为上市公司的四个季度中，Palantir在这两条线上四次超出了分析师的预期，因此该公司正在建立一个非常明确的超出预期的业绩记录。当然，不能保证这种情况在未来也会发生，但我确实相信Palantir很有可能在2024年产生超过40亿美元的收入。我们仍然采用40亿美元的估计，并假设未来三年收入增长30%，2028年至2030年间增长25%。如果这种情况发生，那么Palantir到2030年的收入将达到170亿美元，预计九年内将增长约11倍。一家年销售额170亿美元、收入增长25%的公司的估值是多少？</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52c4b159657eb14f408b680d91dd91ca\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Major software players such as Microsoft (MSFT), Salesforce.com (CRM), and Adobe (ADBE) are growing by 15%-25% right now, and trade for 11x to 19x this year's sales today. Considering that Palantir does, in our scenario, grow a little faster than these three companies, a 15x sales multiple does not seem outrageous at all, I believe. Based on estimated sales of $17 billion, this gets us to a market capitalization of $255 billion nine years from now, or roughly 5.3x as much as today's market capitalization of $48 billion. This does, however, not mean that PLTR will see its shares climb by 430%, as we also have to consider the company's share count, which has been rising and which will likely continue to rise. It is hard to forecast where exactly the share count will stand nine years from now, as we don't know the trajectory of future share-based compensation and since PLTR might start to repurchase shares in the future. If we assume that the share count rises by 100 million a year (the share count has risen by 80 million shares over the last year, per YCharts), that pencils out to a share count of ~2.9 billion in 2030. Based on an expected market capitalization of $255 billion, this gets us to a share price of around $90 - or roughly 3.5x as much as today. In other words, if this scenario comes true, investors will generate a 9-year return of around 250%, or roughly 15% a year. That is not as outstanding as the returns one would have gotten when one held AMZN(AMZN)over the last nine years, for example, but an annual return in the ballpark of 15% is still highly attractive, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>微软(MSFT)、Salesforce.com(CRM)和Adobe(ADBE)等主要软件公司目前的增长率为15%-25%，目前的交易价格是今年销售额的11至19倍。考虑到在我们的场景中，Palantir的增长速度确实比这三家公司快一点，我相信15倍的销售倍数似乎一点也不离谱。根据170亿美元的估计销售额，九年后我们的市值将达到2550亿美元，大约是当今480亿美元市值的5.3倍。然而，这并不意味着PLTR的股价将上涨430%，因为我们还必须考虑该公司的股票数量，该数量一直在上升，并且可能会继续上升。很难预测九年后股票数量的确切情况，因为我们不知道未来股权薪酬的轨迹，而且PLTR未来可能会开始回购股票。如果我们假设股票数量每年增加1亿股（根据YCharts的数据，去年股票数量增加了8000万股），那么2030年股票数量将达到约29亿股。根据2550亿美元的预期市值，我们的股价约为90美元，大约是今天的3.5倍。换句话说，如果这种情况成真，投资者将获得250%左右的9年回报率，即每年约15%。例如，这并不像过去九年持有AMZN(AMZN)时获得的回报那么出色，但我相信15%左右的年回报率仍然非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> One can, of course, argue that this scenario is not realistic and that the growth rate should be higher or lower, or that the sales multiple in 2030 should be different. Still, I believe that this is a solid base case scenario that<i>might</i>be on the conservative side, considering Palantir Technologies' large potential across many different industries.</p><p><blockquote>当然，人们可以认为这种情况是不现实的，增长率应该更高或更低，或者2030年的销售倍数应该不同。尽管如此，我相信这是一个可靠的基本情况<i>可能</i>考虑到Palantir Technologies在许多不同行业的巨大潜力，请保持保守。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PLTR Stock: Is Now A Good Time To Buy Or Sell?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>PLTR股票：现在是买入或卖出的好时机吗？</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Palantir is a very different stock compared to what I mostly cover, and what I primarily invest in. At current prices, PLTR looks quite expensive at first sight, trading at ~150x forward earnings. The company, however, offers massive growth potential, attractive fundamentals, and has a huge moat that could grow further once PLTR is IL-6 DoD approved.</p><p><blockquote>与我主要报道的股票和我主要投资的股票相比，Palantir是一只非常不同的股票。按照目前的价格，PLTR乍一看似乎相当昂贵，其预期市盈率约为150倍。然而，该公司提供了巨大的增长潜力、有吸引力的基本面，并且拥有巨大的护城河，一旦PLTR获得IL-6国防部批准，该护城河可能会进一步增长。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir is not a low-risk stock, as the company is, like other high-growth stocks trading at high valuations, vulnerable to interest rate movements. On top of that, profitability has not been proven on a lasting basis yet, and we don't know the trajectory of share-based compensation expenses.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir不是一只低风险股票，因为该公司与其他高估值交易的高增长股票一样，容易受到利率变动的影响。最重要的是，盈利能力尚未得到持久的证实，我们也不知道股权激励费用的轨迹。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, I believe that Palantir is a high-growth company that could deliver double-digit total returns in the long run, and due to a huge and fast-growing addressable market and a wide moat, I am willing to invest in this company - unlike many other highly-valued growth companies that I deem unattractive. Whether Palantir Technologies is a good fit for your portfolio depends on your individual goals and risk tolerance, of course, but I wouldn't be surprised to see PLTR rise at least three-fold by the end of the decade.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我相信Palantir是一家高增长公司，从长远来看可以带来两位数的总回报，并且由于巨大且快速增长的潜在市场和宽阔的护城河，我愿意投资这家公司——不像许多其他我认为没有吸引力的高估值成长型公司。当然，Palantir Technologies是否适合您的投资组合取决于您的个人目标和风险承受能力，但如果PLTR到本世纪末至少增长三倍，我不会感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is This an Income Stream Which Induces Fear?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这是一种引发恐惧的收入来源吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a958be03c050d5cdb47e6524217c231\" tg-width=\"542\" tg-height=\"324\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The primary goal of the&nbsp;Cash Flow Kingdom Income Portfolio&nbsp;is to produce an overall yield in the 7% - 10% range. We accomplish this by combining several different income streams to form an attractive, steady portfolio payout. The portfolio's price can fluctuate, but the income stream remains consistent.</p><p><blockquote>现金流王国收益投资组合的主要目标是产生7%-10%范围内的总体收益率。我们通过结合几种不同的收入流来形成有吸引力、稳定的投资组合支出来实现这一目标。投资组合的价格可能会波动，但收入流保持一致。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4461220-palantir-stock-price-prediction\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4461220-palantir-stock-price-prediction","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177255738","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir's US Army contract is huge news for the company due to the contract's large size. The bigger picture is important as well - PLTR is highly competitive and trusted.\nPLTR is one of just four IL-5 DoD-certified companies and is moving to IL-6, which should increase its moat further.\nThe company is seemingly expensive on a profit basis, but when we consider PLTR's growth outlook, shares could be a pretty good investment, nevertheless.\n\nScott Olson/Getty Images News\nArticle Thesis\nPalantir Technologies (PLTR) remains a highly exciting, fast-growing tech company that continues to trade at an expensive valuation. The recent contract with the US Army shows, again, that its proprietary solutions are in a class of their own and that Palantir Technologies is very entrenched in government bodies, which should allow the company to deliver strong growth for many years. Palantir Technologies is not a low-risk pick, but I do believe that, in the long run, investors could see sizeable gains from this stock.\nPalantir & US Army Contract\nIn early October, Palantir Technologies announced that it was selected by the US Army for a contract worth $823 million that will see the company deliver the Army Intelligence data fabric and analytics foundation for the Capability Drop 2 (CD-2) program.\nFor a company like Palantir, which generates revenue of around $1.5 billion a year right now, an $800+ million contract is huge, of course, but it should be noted that this contract will not see Palantir capture all of that revenue in a short period of time. On top of that, not necessarily all of that revenue will go to Palantir Technologies, as other vendors, e.g., for hardware, might take some share of the contract as well. A more bearish analyst noted that the administration has requested around $100 million for that contract in fiscal 2022, suggesting that it will take several years for Palantir to capture all of the revenue from that contract.\nStill, this contract is a major positive, I believe, due to several reasons. First, the decision by the US Army to award the contract to Palantir Technologies suggests that Palantir remains a forerunner on a tech basis in the defense space, despite some analysts and commenters believing that Palantir's offering/services are very commoditized. If that were the case, the contract would likely have gone to a different company that sells its services and products at lower prices - remember that Palantir demands gross margins north of 70% on a company-wide basis. Customers would not be willing to pay that much for a commoditized product that could be supplied by anyone.\nThe contract award by the US Army for such a large single contract also indicates that officials see Palantir as capable of delivering on large-scale contracts, despite the fact that Palantir Technologies is, by revenue and employer count, not a very large company today. Officials seem to believe that Palantir is able to execute well on these contracts, which, in turn, suggests that Palantir should have a good chance of getting other contracts of a similar size in the future.\nPalantir's strong position in the defense space versus possible competitors is also indicated by the fact that Palantir Technologies is one of just four companies with a level 5 (IL-5) Department of Defense SaaS approval:\nSource: Palantir\nThis alone gives Palantir a major edge versus competitors that are not approved for services this critical. Once Palantir moves to IL-6 approval - at which point the company could also handle DoD classified information - Palantir's moat versus competitors should grow further. Palantir's management believes that this will happen in the foreseeable future and that Palantir will likely be the first company to receive IL-6 approval overall. The defense market could be a huge market opportunity for Palantir Technologies over the next couple of years:\nSource: nscai.gov (page 67 of full report)\nThe National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence forecasts that AI R&D investments will grow to close to $80 billion by 2030. Palantir Technologies will not be able to address all of that market, as this does include hardware, implementation, etc., but even a couple of percentage points of market share would turn into a $1+ billion a year business. Considering that defense is just one of many markets Palantir Technologies is able to address, this seems highly encouraging - especially when we consider that Palantir is doing around $1.5 billion in revenue this year across all markets the company is active in.\nPalantir Technologies has, thanks to other contracts with military customers, proven that the US Army contract was not an outlier. Instead, Palantir seems to work well with defense customers, which is why the company gets chosen for new contracts again and again - even by the US Space Force.\nPLTR Stock Forecast\nPalantir's management believes that the company will be the most important software player in the world one day, and even though I believe that this is far from guaranteed, I do believe that Palantir has massive growth potential for many years to come. Its solutions could have a huge impact in commerce as well as in the military and security fields. Thanks to close relations with customers (as laid out above), a proven track record, and strong talent - which is why stock-based compensation is so high, as that talent is expensive - Palantir should be able to deliver huge revenue growth throughout the 2020s.\nManagement believes that revenue in 2024 will come in around $4 billion, and that aligns pretty well with analyst estimates. During its four quarters as a publicly traded company, Palantir has beaten analyst estimates on both lines four times, thus the company is establishing a pretty clear track record of outperforming expectations. It is, of course, not guaranteed that this will happen in the future, too, but I do believe that there is a pretty solid chance that Palantir could generate more than $4 billion in revenue in 2024. Let's still go with the $4 billion estimate and assume that revenue grows by 30% for the following three years, and by 25% between 2028 and 2030. If that were to happen, then Palantir would generate revenue of $17 billion in 2030, which would pencil out to a ~11x increase in nine years. What could a company with $17 billion in annual sales and 25% revenue growth be valued at?\nData by YCharts\nMajor software players such as Microsoft (MSFT), Salesforce.com (CRM), and Adobe (ADBE) are growing by 15%-25% right now, and trade for 11x to 19x this year's sales today. Considering that Palantir does, in our scenario, grow a little faster than these three companies, a 15x sales multiple does not seem outrageous at all, I believe. Based on estimated sales of $17 billion, this gets us to a market capitalization of $255 billion nine years from now, or roughly 5.3x as much as today's market capitalization of $48 billion. This does, however, not mean that PLTR will see its shares climb by 430%, as we also have to consider the company's share count, which has been rising and which will likely continue to rise. It is hard to forecast where exactly the share count will stand nine years from now, as we don't know the trajectory of future share-based compensation and since PLTR might start to repurchase shares in the future. If we assume that the share count rises by 100 million a year (the share count has risen by 80 million shares over the last year, per YCharts), that pencils out to a share count of ~2.9 billion in 2030. Based on an expected market capitalization of $255 billion, this gets us to a share price of around $90 - or roughly 3.5x as much as today. In other words, if this scenario comes true, investors will generate a 9-year return of around 250%, or roughly 15% a year. That is not as outstanding as the returns one would have gotten when one held AMZN(AMZN)over the last nine years, for example, but an annual return in the ballpark of 15% is still highly attractive, I believe.\nOne can, of course, argue that this scenario is not realistic and that the growth rate should be higher or lower, or that the sales multiple in 2030 should be different. Still, I believe that this is a solid base case scenario thatmightbe on the conservative side, considering Palantir Technologies' large potential across many different industries.\nPLTR Stock: Is Now A Good Time To Buy Or Sell?\nPalantir is a very different stock compared to what I mostly cover, and what I primarily invest in. At current prices, PLTR looks quite expensive at first sight, trading at ~150x forward earnings. The company, however, offers massive growth potential, attractive fundamentals, and has a huge moat that could grow further once PLTR is IL-6 DoD approved.\nPalantir is not a low-risk stock, as the company is, like other high-growth stocks trading at high valuations, vulnerable to interest rate movements. On top of that, profitability has not been proven on a lasting basis yet, and we don't know the trajectory of share-based compensation expenses.\nNevertheless, I believe that Palantir is a high-growth company that could deliver double-digit total returns in the long run, and due to a huge and fast-growing addressable market and a wide moat, I am willing to invest in this company - unlike many other highly-valued growth companies that I deem unattractive. Whether Palantir Technologies is a good fit for your portfolio depends on your individual goals and risk tolerance, of course, but I wouldn't be surprised to see PLTR rise at least three-fold by the end of the decade.\nIs This an Income Stream Which Induces Fear?\n\nThe primary goal of the Cash Flow Kingdom Income Portfolio is to produce an overall yield in the 7% - 10% range. We accomplish this by combining several different income streams to form an attractive, steady portfolio payout. The portfolio's price can fluctuate, but the income stream remains consistent.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":891425342,"gmtCreate":1628414982586,"gmtModify":1631884235662,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"China wants tech coy to list in HK so that they have full oversight and control","listText":"China wants tech coy to list in HK so that they have full oversight and control","text":"China wants tech coy to list in HK so that they have full oversight and control","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891425342","repostId":"2157490509","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":522,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179493454,"gmtCreate":1626569769978,"gmtModify":1633925860111,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This will provide recurring revenue for Tesla.Smart move.&nbsp;","listText":"This will provide recurring revenue for Tesla.Smart move.&nbsp;","text":"This will provide recurring revenue for Tesla.Smart move.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179493454","repostId":"2152681854","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":866071816,"gmtCreate":1632716528935,"gmtModify":1632798334272,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Usually compromise at last minute&nbsp;","listText":"Usually compromise at last minute&nbsp;","text":"Usually compromise at last minute","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866071816","repostId":"2170488786","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2170488786","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632685409,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2170488786?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-27 03:43","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week<blockquote>国会债务上限辩论、消费者信心：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2170488786","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race t","content":"<p><div> Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>投资者本周将密切关注华盛顿特区的事态发展，因为议员们竞相通过立法，以避免政府在本月底关闭，并就提高...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week<blockquote>国会债务上限辩论、消费者信心：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDebt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week<blockquote>国会债务上限辩论、消费者信心：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-27 03:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>投资者本周将密切关注华盛顿特区的事态发展，因为议员们竞相通过立法，以避免政府在本月底关闭，并就提高...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7e749e88d2580d292ffc6ae18d03b65","relate_stocks":{"SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2170488786","content_text":"Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the debt ceiling. Elsewhere, economic data on consumer confidence is also due for release.\nThe Senate is expected to vote Monday on a procedural motion over the legislation passed by the House of Representatives last week. That bill included a plan to temporarily fund the government through early December, and came alongside a measure to raise the government debt ceiling through December 2022.\nThe latter point has been an area of contention for Senate Republicans, who are only narrowly outnumbered by Democratic lawmakers in both chambers and who have threatened to block the bill in its current form.\nSenate Republicans including Minority Leader Mitch McConnell have suggested that Democratic lawmakers should use the budget reconciliation process to raise the debt ceiling without Republican support. McConnell has, however, supported a short-term government funding bill that excludes a debt ceiling suspension.\n\"If they [the Democrats] want to tax, borrow and spend historic sums of money without our input, they’ll have to raise the debt limit without our help. This is the reality,” McConnell said on the Senate floor last week.\nDemocratic lawmakers, for their part, have called for the move to raise the debt limit be bipartisan to prevent the government from defaulting on its obligations. The Treasury Department has warned that the U.S. could default on its debts as soon as October in absence of congressional action.\n\"The U.S. has always paid its bills on time, but the overwhelming consensus among economists and Treasury officials of both parties is that failing to raise the debt limit would produce widespread economic catastrophe,\" Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen wrote in an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal last week.\nFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell also warned of the consequences of a failure to raise the debt ceiling during his post-FOMC meeting press conference last week.\n\"It's just very important that the debt ceiling be raised in a timely fashion so that the United States can pay its bills when and as they come due. That's a critically important thing,\" he said. \"The failure to do that is something that could result in severe reactions, severe damage to the economy and to the financial markets ... no one should assume that the Fed or anyone else can protect the markets or the economy in the event of a failure.\"\nA dead Elm tree is removed on the West Front of the Capitol in Washington, Friday, Sept. 10, 2021. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)ASSOCIATED PRESS\nAmid the standoff, the Office of Management and Budget began warning federal agencies last week to prepare for a potential government shutdown. The reminder served as a standard warning one week out from Congress's deadline to reach an agreement to at least temporarily continue funding the government.\nThough leaders of both political parties have agreed that a continuing resolution to avoid the shutdown at the end of the month is needed, the ongoing tension over raising the debt limit has served as a potential roadblock in this effort.\n\"We still expect Congress to avert a partial government shutdown at the start of October. Republicans won’t vote for the current continuing resolution being touted by the Democratic leadership, which also includes a new debt ceiling suspension,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note Friday. \"But we expect a Plan B to emerge next week with the latter stripped out, which Republicans will support.\"\n\"The bigger issue is that there doesn’t appear to be an easy path to raising the debt ceiling by mid-October, which is when estimates suggest the Treasury’s will exhaust the 'extraordinary measures it is currently using to keep the lights on,\" he added.\nInvestors have also grown jittery as the debates wore on, with stocks posting their worst day since May last week amid a confluence of concerns that also included debt concerns with China Evergrande.\nMany strategists, however, have suggested market participants need not be overly concerned about the impacts of a potential government shutdown.\n\"Historically, we've seen that government shutdowns tend to be short-lived,\" Jordan Jackson, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday. \"We also know that for those non-essential federal employees, they do get furlough pay as well.\"\n\"If it lasts more than 30 days, it's certainly going to have a bigger impact on the economy. But generally speaking, these shutdowns tend to be short-lived and markets — while they may correct in the short-term — they do sort of continue to grind higher,\" he added. \"I think it's certainly a risk in terms of a short-term mini correction there. But again, with all the liquidity out there, I think any sort of blip in the markets will be short-lived.\"\nHistorical equity performance during and immediately following a government shutdown has also tended to point to a muted market impact.\n\"In the 14 government shutdowns since 1980, the S&P 500 generated median returns of -0.1% on the dates of budget authority expiration, 0.1% during the shutdown periods, and 0.3% on the dates of resolution,\" David Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief equity strategist, wrote in a note published on Sept. 21.\n\"One notable exception was the most recent federal shutdown in December 2018, when the S&P 500 fell 2% on the spending authority expiration date,\" he added. \"However, this decline was likely driven primarily by investor concerns about Fed tightening.\"\nKostin also noted that the typical government shutdown since 1980 has only lasted three days before ultimately being resolved. More recent shutdowns have lasted several times longer, however, with the duration of the four most recent federal shutdowns averaging 18 days, Kostin said.\nConsumer confidence\nOn the economic data front, one of the most closely watched new pieces of data will be on consumer confidence.\nThe Conference Board is set to release its September consumer confidence index Tuesday morning. Economists expect the index to tick up only slightly compared to August, with consumers' views on the coronavirus and rising prices stabilizing near the lowest level since February.\nSpecifically, consensus economists are looking for the index to rise to 115.0 in September after dropping to 113.8 in August. During the last monthly report, consumers' assessments of current business and labor market conditions both eased, and expectations for the next six months out also deteriorated.\n\"Consumer confidence fell to a six-month low in August, due to concerns around the Delta variant and inflation,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note on Friday. \"We think these concerns largely remained in September.\"\nAt the time, Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at the Conference Board, said it was still \"too soon to conclude\" whether decline in consumer confidence would \"result in consumers significantly curtailing their spending in the months ahead.\"\nThe latest spending data has also been equivocal. The Commerce Department's latest report showed retail sales rose 0.7% in August after declining in July. However, the categories posting the biggest declines were areas like e-commerce shops and grocery stores, suggesting consumer behavior was shifting back toward stay-in-place trends and away from in-person events like restaurant dining amid the latest wave of the coronavirus.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Durable goods orders, August preliminary (0.6% expected, -0.1% in July); Durable goods excluding transportation, August preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.8% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.3% expected, 0.1% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.9% in July); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, September (11.0 expected, 9.0 in July)\nTuesday: Advance goods trade balance, August (-$87.0 billion expected, -$86.4 billion in July); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, August preliminary (0.6% in July); Retail inventories, month-over-month, August (0.4% in July); FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, July (1.5% expected, 1.6% in July); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (1.62% expected, 1.77% in June); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (20.1% expected, 19.08% in June); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, September (114.2 expected, 113.8 in August); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, September (9 in August)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended September 24 (4.9% during prior month); Pending home sales, month-over-month, August (1.0% expected, -1.8% in July)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended September 25 (320,000 expected, 351,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended September 18 (2.845 million during prior week); GDP annualized, quarter-over-quarter, second-quarter third estimate (6.7% expected, 6.6% in prior estimate); Personal consumption, second-quarter third estimate (11.9% in prior estimate); Core personal consumption expenditures, second quarter third estimate (6.1% in prior estimate); MNI Chicago PMI, September (65.0 expected, 66.8 in August)\nFriday: Personal income, August (0.2% expected, 1.1% in July); Personal spending, August (0.7% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, month-over-over, August (0.2% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, year-over-year, August (3.6% expected, 3.6% in July); Markit manufacturing PMI, September final (60.5 in prior estimate); Construction spending, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% in July); University of Michigan sentiment, September final (71.0 expected, 71.0 in prior print); ISM Manufacturing, September (59.5 expected, 59.9 in August)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Aurora Cannabis (ACB) after market close\nTuesday: Micron Technology (MU) after market close.\nWednesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nThursday: CarMax (KMX), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) before market open; Jefferies (JEF) after market close\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for releas","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY.AU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":472,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":836475439,"gmtCreate":1629519092221,"gmtModify":1631893257546,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If they can have high efficacy across all variants, that would be great&nbsp;","listText":"If they can have high efficacy across all variants, that would be great&nbsp;","text":"If they can have high efficacy across all variants, that would be great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836475439","repostId":"2161745179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":529,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182941672,"gmtCreate":1623551840696,"gmtModify":1634031861965,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lots of logic there.&nbsp;","listText":"Lots of logic there.&nbsp;","text":"Lots of logic there.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182941672","repostId":"1118102755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118102755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623469189,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118102755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-12 11:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被愚弄了——通货膨胀对股市投资者来说是一个很大的风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118102755","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank ","content":"<p>  <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b>  Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什(Michael Brush)就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被对十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足以撼动股市的高位，可能导致高达15%的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是：持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%，并让美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都会扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示，5月份生活成本飙升，推动通胀率升至5%的13年高点。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办？可能和你想的正好相反。在我们讨论这个问题之前，我们先来看看从今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452%&nbsp;moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候，当10年期国债收益率TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.452%升至1.7%左右时，股市是如何恐慌的吗？好吧，期待重演。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)经济学家弗兰齐斯卡·帕尔马斯(Franziska Palmas)以劳动力市场紧张和工资增长为由表示：“我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。”她的研究小组预计今年年底10年期国债收益率为2.25%，2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>与目前1.5%的水平相比，这将是一个很大的变化。当利率大幅上升时，股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储缩减规模</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;(FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔淡化了央行缩减购债规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）12名成员中有一半最近表示，他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。FOMC是美联储制定货币政策的分支机构。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>《预测市场》一书的作者兼亚德尼研究主管埃德·亚德尼(Ed Yardeni)表示：“在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前，鲍威尔越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得‘实质性的进一步进展’。”鲍威尔多次表示，美联储正在等待经济取得“实质性的进一步进展”，然后再终止刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼预测：“鉴于经济表现，有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模，几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。”</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。Tapering是指美联储缩减购债规模。这收紧了货币供应，抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零，美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&amp;P 500 SPX,+0.19%,&nbsp;the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04%&nbsp;and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，缩减规模会导致股市出现“缩减恐慌”，这意味着标普500 SPX指数+0.19%、道琼斯工业平均指数道琼斯指数+0.04%和纳斯达克综合指数+0.35%等指数大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>在考虑如何为债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩政策可能引发的抛售做好准备时，要记住的关键事情是为什么会发生这些事情，以及历史告诉我们股票的表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为，缩减购债规模和债券收益率上升会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但这实际上不是真的。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的，最初，紧缩可能会导致股市下跌——或者充其量是横盘震荡。但随着牛市的持续，股市摆脱了这一局面并走高。这是有道理的，因为紧缩的发生是有帮助企业的充分理由的——强劲的经济增长。这大幅推高了盈利，从而将估值重置为较低——回落到投资者感到满意的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold市场策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。”“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分，允许市场走高。这是一种健康的发展。”</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&amp;P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&amp;P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场亮点，保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将推动标普500的盈利在年底前达到220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低，这将使该指数的市盈率(P/E)降至18-19——接近或低于1990年以来的平均水平。“这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.不要去“防御性”</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时，下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的“稳定性”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时，你想采取防御措施，而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性名称需要支付收益。因此，与债券一样，它们也会受到利率上升的打击，利率上升会使股息以及支付股息的股票和债券贬值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最佳方式是将您的投资组合与过热的经济挂钩。这是最佳利润增长和利润杠杆的地方，”保尔森说。“防御性药物是不会有这种感觉的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.与受益于增长的公司同行</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于快速的经济增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着周期性股票，如工业股、基础材料消费股、小盘股和国际股票。保尔森表示：“消费必需品和公用事业增长放缓将无法跟上市场增长领域的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17%&nbsp;and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%&nbsp;and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&amp;P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议Lindblad Expeditions LIND，+0.17%和Cardlytics CDLX，+4.54%，并在我的股票信中，在2020年9月和2019年11月重温股票（我网站的链接在下面的简历中）。尽管它们的股价分别上涨了48%和157%，即标普500的两到四倍，但我仍然喜欢并拥有这两家公司。最近的内部买入证实了他们在当前水平附近买入并持有。另外，两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。Lindblad提供专门的异国情调的邮轮冒险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、不脱销库存</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来，那么在此之前尝试卖出股票，并在疲软发生后回购股票可能很诱人。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示，事实上，几乎不可能把握好时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须做出两个明智的决定，”亚德尼说。“你必须在修正之前退出，然后你必须决定何时重新加入。我不知道有多少人能始终如一地做到这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器通常会退出，不会再回来，他们会错过下一轮上涨。“试图避免调整可能会给自己带来麻烦，”保尔森说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底，债券收益率将达到2%或更高。因此，不要持有债券，当收益率上升时，债券的价格就会下跌——除非您只是计划持有至到期以收取收入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.选择财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济体通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜，这意味着10年期国债的长期利率上升速度远快于短期利率。由于银行在短端借款，在长端放贷，陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07%&nbsp;and Bank of America BAC,+0.41%&nbsp;are up over twice as much as the S&amp;P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出，强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金，这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年8月在股票信中提出建议以来，摩根大通JPM(-0.07%)和美国银行BAC(+0.41%)的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实，尽管过去几个季度表现强劲，但该行业仍然值得持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被愚弄了——通货膨胀对股市投资者来说是一个很大的风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被愚弄了——通货膨胀对股市投资者来说是一个很大的风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-12 11:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b>  Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什(Michael Brush)就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被对十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足以撼动股市的高位，可能导致高达15%的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是：持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%，并让美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都会扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示，5月份生活成本飙升，推动通胀率升至5%的13年高点。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办？可能和你想的正好相反。在我们讨论这个问题之前，我们先来看看从今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452%&nbsp;moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候，当10年期国债收益率TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.452%升至1.7%左右时，股市是如何恐慌的吗？好吧，期待重演。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)经济学家弗兰齐斯卡·帕尔马斯(Franziska Palmas)以劳动力市场紧张和工资增长为由表示：“我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。”她的研究小组预计今年年底10年期国债收益率为2.25%，2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>与目前1.5%的水平相比，这将是一个很大的变化。当利率大幅上升时，股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储缩减规模</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;(FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔淡化了央行缩减购债规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）12名成员中有一半最近表示，他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。FOMC是美联储制定货币政策的分支机构。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>《预测市场》一书的作者兼亚德尼研究主管埃德·亚德尼(Ed Yardeni)表示：“在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前，鲍威尔越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得‘实质性的进一步进展’。”鲍威尔多次表示，美联储正在等待经济取得“实质性的进一步进展”，然后再终止刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼预测：“鉴于经济表现，有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模，几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。”</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。Tapering是指美联储缩减购债规模。这收紧了货币供应，抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零，美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&amp;P 500 SPX,+0.19%,&nbsp;the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04%&nbsp;and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，缩减规模会导致股市出现“缩减恐慌”，这意味着标普500 SPX指数+0.19%、道琼斯工业平均指数道琼斯指数+0.04%和纳斯达克综合指数+0.35%等指数大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>在考虑如何为债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩政策可能引发的抛售做好准备时，要记住的关键事情是为什么会发生这些事情，以及历史告诉我们股票的表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为，缩减购债规模和债券收益率上升会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但这实际上不是真的。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的，最初，紧缩可能会导致股市下跌——或者充其量是横盘震荡。但随着牛市的持续，股市摆脱了这一局面并走高。这是有道理的，因为紧缩的发生是有帮助企业的充分理由的——强劲的经济增长。这大幅推高了盈利，从而将估值重置为较低——回落到投资者感到满意的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold市场策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。”“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分，允许市场走高。这是一种健康的发展。”</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&amp;P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&amp;P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场亮点，保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将推动标普500的盈利在年底前达到220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低，这将使该指数的市盈率(P/E)降至18-19——接近或低于1990年以来的平均水平。“这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.不要去“防御性”</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时，下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的“稳定性”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时，你想采取防御措施，而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性名称需要支付收益。因此，与债券一样，它们也会受到利率上升的打击，利率上升会使股息以及支付股息的股票和债券贬值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最佳方式是将您的投资组合与过热的经济挂钩。这是最佳利润增长和利润杠杆的地方，”保尔森说。“防御性药物是不会有这种感觉的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.与受益于增长的公司同行</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于快速的经济增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着周期性股票，如工业股、基础材料消费股、小盘股和国际股票。保尔森表示：“消费必需品和公用事业增长放缓将无法跟上市场增长领域的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17%&nbsp;and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%&nbsp;and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&amp;P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议Lindblad Expeditions LIND，+0.17%和Cardlytics CDLX，+4.54%，并在我的股票信中，在2020年9月和2019年11月重温股票（我网站的链接在下面的简历中）。尽管它们的股价分别上涨了48%和157%，即标普500的两到四倍，但我仍然喜欢并拥有这两家公司。最近的内部买入证实了他们在当前水平附近买入并持有。另外，两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。Lindblad提供专门的异国情调的邮轮冒险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、不脱销库存</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来，那么在此之前尝试卖出股票，并在疲软发生后回购股票可能很诱人。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示，事实上，几乎不可能把握好时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须做出两个明智的决定，”亚德尼说。“你必须在修正之前退出，然后你必须决定何时重新加入。我不知道有多少人能始终如一地做到这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器通常会退出，不会再回来，他们会错过下一轮上涨。“试图避免调整可能会给自己带来麻烦，”保尔森说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底，债券收益率将达到2%或更高。因此，不要持有债券，当收益率上升时，债券的价格就会下跌——除非您只是计划持有至到期以收取收入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.选择财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济体通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜，这意味着10年期国债的长期利率上升速度远快于短期利率。由于银行在短端借款，在长端放贷，陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07%&nbsp;and Bank of America BAC,+0.41%&nbsp;are up over twice as much as the S&amp;P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出，强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金，这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年8月在股票信中提出建议以来，摩根大通JPM(-0.07%)和美国银行BAC(+0.41%)的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实，尽管过去几个季度表现强劲，但该行业仍然值得持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118102755","content_text":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.\n\nDon’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.\nThe reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.\nThe government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.\nWhat should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.\nRising yields\nRemember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.\n“We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.\nThat’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.\nFed tapering\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.\n“It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.\n“Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.\nHe thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.\nAs we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&P 500 SPX,+0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04% and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.\nHow to prepare\nWhen considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.\nThe consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.\nYes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.\n“Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”\nLooking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.\nYour five-point game plan\n1. Do not go to “defensives”\nWhen people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.\n“The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”\n2. Go with companies that benefit from growth\nSince rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.\nI first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17% and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54% and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.\n3. Do not get out of stocks\nIf you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.\n“You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”\nMarket timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.\n4. Do not own bonds\nBond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.\n5. Go with financials\nStrong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.\nThe strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07% and Bank of America BAC,+0.41% are up over twice as much as the S&P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":844898510,"gmtCreate":1636415065966,"gmtModify":1636415066403,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844898510","repostId":"2182772820","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820795806,"gmtCreate":1633428968441,"gmtModify":1633428968900,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If Pepsi does well, should Coke Coka do better","listText":"If Pepsi does well, should Coke Coka do better","text":"If Pepsi does well, should Coke Coka do better","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820795806","repostId":"1187746935","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187746935","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633428598,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187746935?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-05 18:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PepsiCo Q3 Sales $20.19B Beat $19.39B Estimate<blockquote>百事可乐第三季度销售额$20.19 B超出预期$19.39 B</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187746935","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"PepsiCo: Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.79beats by $0.06; GAAP EPS of $1.60misses by $0.10.\nRevenue of $20.19","content":"<p><ul>  <li>PepsiCo: Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.79beats by $0.06; GAAP EPS of $1.60misses by $0.10.</li>  <li>Revenue of $20.19B (+11.6% Y/Y)beats by $800M.</li>  <li>The company saw organic revenue growth of 9% in the quarter.</li>  <li>The company now expects to deliver ~8% organic revenue growth vs. previous guidance of 6%; foresees EPS of $6.20 vs. consensus of $6.24.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>百事可乐：第三季度非GAAP每股收益1.79美元超过预期0.06美元；GAAP每股收益为1.60美元，低于预期为0.10美元。</li><li>收入为$20.19 B（同比增长11.6%）超过预期为$8亿。</li><li>该公司本季度有机收入增长9%。</li><li>该公司目前预计有机收入增长约8%，而之前的指导为6%；预计每股收益为6.20美元，而市场普遍预期为6.24美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PepsiCo Q3 Sales $20.19B Beat $19.39B Estimate<blockquote>百事可乐第三季度销售额$20.19 B超出预期$19.39 B</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPepsiCo Q3 Sales $20.19B Beat $19.39B Estimate<blockquote>百事可乐第三季度销售额$20.19 B超出预期$19.39 B</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-05 18:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>PepsiCo: Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.79beats by $0.06; GAAP EPS of $1.60misses by $0.10.</li>  <li>Revenue of $20.19B (+11.6% Y/Y)beats by $800M.</li>  <li>The company saw organic revenue growth of 9% in the quarter.</li>  <li>The company now expects to deliver ~8% organic revenue growth vs. previous guidance of 6%; foresees EPS of $6.20 vs. consensus of $6.24.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>百事可乐：第三季度非GAAP每股收益1.79美元超过预期0.06美元；GAAP每股收益为1.60美元，低于预期为0.10美元。</li><li>收入为$20.19 B（同比增长11.6%）超过预期为$8亿。</li><li>该公司本季度有机收入增长9%。</li><li>该公司目前预计有机收入增长约8%，而之前的指导为6%；预计每股收益为6.20美元，而市场普遍预期为6.24美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PEP":"百事可乐"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187746935","content_text":"PepsiCo: Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.79beats by $0.06; GAAP EPS of $1.60misses by $0.10.\nRevenue of $20.19B (+11.6% Y/Y)beats by $800M.\nThe company saw organic revenue growth of 9% in the quarter.\nThe company now expects to deliver ~8% organic revenue growth vs. previous guidance of 6%; foresees EPS of $6.20 vs. consensus of $6.24.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PEP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":808504913,"gmtCreate":1627600158032,"gmtModify":1633758005820,"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"137bd706","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584415246670106","authorIdStr":"3584415246670106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"done. Please like too","listText":"done. Please like too","text":"done. Please like too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808504913","repostId":"1165345369","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":596,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}