jupaby的个人主页 - 老虎社区

jupaby

jupaby

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0勋章

2021-07-25

Dang

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-25

Yay

@msmoo:$Walt Disney(DIS)$woo yeah

2021-07-01

Good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-29

Wow

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-21

Coke!!!!

2021-06-21

Ooooo

PPT Assemble: Biden Summons Powell, Yellen, Gensler After Market Rout<blockquote>PPT汇编：市场崩溃后拜登传唤鲍威尔、耶伦、根斯勒</blockquote>

2021-06-20

Raise!!!

2021-06-17

Just do it

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-17

Woohooo

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-16

Buy!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-16

Oooooo

Cathay working with Airbus on single-pilot system for long-haul<blockquote>国泰航空与空客合作开发长途单飞行员系统</blockquote>

2021-06-15

Oooooo

Big-Tech & Bitcoin Pumped As Banks, Bonds, & Bullion Dumped<blockquote>银行、债券和黄金抛售，大型科技公司和比特币上涨</blockquote>

2021-06-15

Oh.....

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-14

Good to buy?

2021-06-14

Why u no buy?

@msmoo:Oooo good

2021-06-13

Nice

2021-06-13

Drop

2021-06-13

Buy

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-12

Neat

Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被骗了--通货膨胀是股市投资者的一大风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>

2021-06-11

Buy!

Cruise line stocks fell as Two Guests Test Positive for COVID-19<blockquote>两名客人 COVID-19 检测呈阳性，邮轮公司股价下跌</blockquote>

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20:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PPT Assemble: Biden Summons Powell, Yellen, Gensler After Market Rout<blockquote>PPT汇编：市场崩溃后拜登传唤鲍威尔、耶伦、根斯勒</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157580942","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Did President Joe Biden just call an emergency meeting of the PPT after the Dow's worst week in 8 months?","content":"<p>Did President Joe Biden just call an emergency meeting of the PPT?</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统刚刚看涨期权召开了PPT的紧急会议吗？</blockquote></p><p> Bloomberg reported Monday morning that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and a coterie of senior financial regulators have been summoned to a meeting with President Biden at the White House<b>following last week's selloff, which marked the worst week for the Dow in eight months.</b></p><p><blockquote>彭博社周一上午报道称，财政部长珍妮特·耶伦和一群高级金融监管机构已被传唤到白宫与拜登总统会面<b>上周的抛售标志着道琼斯指数八个月来最糟糕的一周。</b></blockquote></p><p>   Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, Acting Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission Rostin Behnam will attend meeting with President Biden today.Attendees also include:  The meeting, set for Tuesday, has been called to<b>discuss \"the state of the country's financial system and institutions\",</b>including discussions of climate risk and \"financial inclusion\".</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔、财政部长珍妮特·耶伦、商品期货交易委员会代理主席罗斯汀·贝纳姆今天将出席与拜登总统的会议。出席者还包括： 定于周二举行的会议已被召集<b>讨论“国家金融体系和机构的状况”，</b>包括讨论气候风险和“金融包容性”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/370a41562d7254377e2252191c713e20\" tg-width=\"517\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Now that the FOMC has signaled that the 'tapering talk' has finally begun via the latest hawkish tilt in its dot plot, released after the close of last week's two-day policy meeting, it's clear that America's economic policymakers are growing increasingly nervous about market stability, given last week's reaction to the Fed. As Lance Roberts pointed out, the implications of tapering are clear: it's positive for rates, and negative for equities.</p><p><blockquote>既然联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）已经通过上周为期两天的政策会议结束后发布的最新点阵图中的鹰派倾向发出信号，表明“缩减规模谈判”终于开始了，很明显，鉴于上周对美联储的反应，美国经济政策制定者对市场的稳定性越来越紧张。正如兰斯·罗伯茨指出的那样，缩减规模的影响是显而易见的：它对利率有利，对股市不利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8e1f7b0023a0bca720afb4bb5822567\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And with President Biden preparing to raise taxes to finance his \"Build Back Better\" program of \"infrastructure\" investment, it's clearly in the White House's interest to do whatever it can to ensure an orderly market transition to the rising rate regime.</p><p><blockquote>随着拜登总统准备提高税收来资助他的“重建得更好”的“基础设施”投资计划，尽一切努力确保市场有序过渡到不断上升的利率制度显然符合白宫的利益。</blockquote></p><p> It's not like the PPT has been entirely absent from markets: wehave already seensuspected PPT interventions this year.</p><p><blockquote>PPT 并不是完全没有出现在市场上：今年我们已经看到了可疑的 PPT 干预。</blockquote></p><p> If our instincts are correct, this would markthe first meeting of the PPT since a call to discuss \"market conditions\"held last March as equity markets were in the middle of a brutal (if short-lived) bear market.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们的直觉是正确的，这将标志着自去年3月举行的讨论“市场状况”的看涨期权以来，PPT首次召开会议，当时股市正处于残酷的（如果是短暂的）熊市之中。</blockquote></p><p> Powell is also expected to testify before Congress tomorrow in his latest testimony on the economy as required by the COVID stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔预计还将于明天在国会作证，按照新冠刺激计划的要求，就经济问题作证。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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}\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPPT Assemble: Biden Summons Powell, Yellen, Gensler After Market Rout<blockquote>PPT汇编：市场崩溃后拜登传唤鲍威尔、耶伦、根斯勒</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 20:53</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Did President Joe Biden just call an emergency meeting of the PPT?</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统刚刚看涨期权召开了PPT的紧急会议吗？</blockquote></p><p> Bloomberg reported Monday morning that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and a coterie of senior financial regulators have been summoned to a meeting with President Biden at the White House<b>following last week's selloff, which marked the worst week for the Dow in eight months.</b></p><p><blockquote>彭博社周一上午报道称，财政部长珍妮特·耶伦和一群高级金融监管机构已被传唤到白宫与拜登总统会面<b>上周的抛售标志着道琼斯指数八个月来最糟糕的一周。</b></blockquote></p><p>   Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, Acting Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission Rostin Behnam will attend meeting with President Biden today.Attendees also include:  The meeting, set for Tuesday, has been called to<b>discuss \"the state of the country's financial system and institutions\",</b>including discussions of climate risk and \"financial inclusion\".</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔、财政部长珍妮特·耶伦、商品期货交易委员会代理主席罗斯汀·贝纳姆今天将出席与拜登总统的会议。出席者还包括： 定于周二举行的会议已被召集<b>讨论“国家金融体系和机构的状况”，</b>包括讨论气候风险和“金融包容性”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/370a41562d7254377e2252191c713e20\" tg-width=\"517\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Now that the FOMC has signaled that the 'tapering talk' has finally begun via the latest hawkish tilt in its dot plot, released after the close of last week's two-day policy meeting, it's clear that America's economic policymakers are growing increasingly nervous about market stability, given last week's reaction to the Fed. As Lance Roberts pointed out, the implications of tapering are clear: it's positive for rates, and negative for equities.</p><p><blockquote>既然联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）已经通过上周为期两天的政策会议结束后发布的最新点阵图中的鹰派倾向发出信号，表明“缩减规模谈判”终于开始了，很明显，鉴于上周对美联储的反应，美国经济政策制定者对市场的稳定性越来越紧张。正如兰斯·罗伯茨指出的那样，缩减规模的影响是显而易见的：它对利率有利，对股市不利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8e1f7b0023a0bca720afb4bb5822567\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And with President Biden preparing to raise taxes to finance his \"Build Back Better\" program of \"infrastructure\" investment, it's clearly in the White House's interest to do whatever it can to ensure an orderly market transition to the rising rate regime.</p><p><blockquote>随着拜登总统准备提高税收来资助他的“重建得更好”的“基础设施”投资计划，尽一切努力确保市场有序过渡到不断上升的利率制度显然符合白宫的利益。</blockquote></p><p> It's not like the PPT has been entirely absent from markets: wehave already seensuspected PPT interventions this year.</p><p><blockquote>PPT 并不是完全没有出现在市场上：今年我们已经看到了可疑的 PPT 干预。</blockquote></p><p> If our instincts are correct, this would markthe first meeting of the PPT since a call to discuss \"market conditions\"held last March as equity markets were in the middle of a brutal (if short-lived) bear market.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们的直觉是正确的，这将标志着自去年3月举行的讨论“市场状况”的看涨期权以来，PPT首次召开会议，当时股市正处于残酷的（如果是短暂的）熊市之中。</blockquote></p><p> Powell is also expected to testify before Congress tomorrow in his latest testimony on the economy as required by the COVID stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔预计还将于明天在国会作证，按照新冠刺激计划的要求，就经济问题作证。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ppt-assemble-biden-summons-powel-yellen-gensler-after-market-rout\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ppt-assemble-biden-summons-powel-yellen-gensler-after-market-rout","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157580942","content_text":"Did President Joe Biden just call an emergency meeting of the PPT?\nBloomberg reported Monday morning that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and a coterie of senior financial regulators have been summoned to a meeting with President Biden at the White Housefollowing last week's selloff, which marked the worst week for the Dow in eight months.\n\n Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, Acting Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission Rostin Behnam will attend meeting with President Biden today.Attendees also include:\n\nThe meeting, set for Tuesday, has been called todiscuss \"the state of the country's financial system and institutions\",including discussions of climate risk and \"financial inclusion\".\nNow that the FOMC has signaled that the 'tapering talk' has finally begun via the latest hawkish tilt in its dot plot, released after the close of last week's two-day policy meeting, it's clear that America's economic policymakers are growing increasingly nervous about market stability, given last week's reaction to the Fed. As Lance Roberts pointed out, the implications of tapering are clear: it's positive for rates, and negative for equities.\nAnd with President Biden preparing to raise taxes to finance his \"Build Back Better\" program of \"infrastructure\" investment, it's clearly in the White House's interest to do whatever it can to ensure an orderly market transition to the rising rate regime.\nIt's not like the PPT has been entirely absent from markets: wehave already seensuspected PPT interventions this year.\nIf our instincts are correct, this would markthe first meeting of the PPT since a call to discuss \"market conditions\"held last March as equity markets were in the middle of a brutal (if short-lived) bear market.\nPowell is also expected to testify before Congress tomorrow in his latest testimony on the economy as required by the COVID stimulus.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1983,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164876252,"gmtCreate":1624196439176,"gmtModify":1631887338419,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584698735314345","idStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Raise!!!","listText":"Raise!!!","text":"Raise!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0771a160437537a64132ea9e7e0612bd","width":"1080","height":"2146"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164876252","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161414006,"gmtCreate":1623938142105,"gmtModify":1631884219912,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584698735314345","idStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Just do it","listText":"Just do it","text":"Just do it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161414006","repostId":"2144174158","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2043,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161416240,"gmtCreate":1623938083080,"gmtModify":1631887338455,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584698735314345","idStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Woohooo","listText":"Woohooo","text":"Woohooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161416240","repostId":"2144174158","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169527622,"gmtCreate":1623844296266,"gmtModify":1631887338463,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584698735314345","idStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy!","listText":"Buy!","text":"Buy!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169527622","repostId":"1139396497","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169528262,"gmtCreate":1623844078756,"gmtModify":1631887338476,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584698735314345","idStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oooooo","listText":"Oooooo","text":"Oooooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169528262","repostId":"1128941988","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128941988","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623841860,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1128941988?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 19:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathay working with Airbus on single-pilot system for long-haul<blockquote>国泰航空与空客合作开发长途单飞行员系统</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128941988","media":"Reuters","summary":"PARIS (Reuters) - Cathay Pacific is working with Airbus to introduce \"reduced crew\" long-haul flight","content":"<p>PARIS (Reuters) - Cathay Pacific is working with Airbus to introduce \"reduced crew\" long-haul flights with a sole pilot in the cockpit much of the time, industry sources told Reuters.</p><p><blockquote>巴黎（路透社）-行业消息人士告诉路透社，国泰航空正在与空中客车公司合作，推出“减少机组人员”的长途航班，驾驶舱大部分时间只有一名飞行员。</blockquote></p><p> The programme, known within Airbus as Project Connect, aims to certify its A350 jet for single-pilot operations during high-altitude cruise, starting in 2025 on Cathay passenger flights, the sources said.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，该计划在空客内部被称为 Project Connect，旨在从 2025 年开始在国泰客运航班上对其 A350 喷气式飞机进行高空巡航期间的单飞行员操作认证。</blockquote></p><p> High hurdles remain on the path to international acceptance. Once cleared, longer flights would become possible with a pair of pilots alternating rest breaks, instead of the three or four currently needed to maintain at least two in the cockpit.</p><p><blockquote>在获得国际认可的道路上仍然存在很高的障碍。一旦获得批准，更长时间的飞行将成为可能，两名飞行员交替休息，而不是目前需要三四名飞行员在驾驶舱中保持至少两名飞行员。</blockquote></p><p> That promises savings for airlines, amid uncertainty over the post-pandemic economics of intercontinental flying. But it is likely to encounter resistance from pilots already hit by mass layoffs, and safety concerns about aircraft automation.</p><p><blockquote>在大流行后洲际航班经济存在不确定性的情况下，这有望为航空公司节省成本。但它可能会遇到已经受到大规模裁员打击的飞行员的阻力，以及对飞机自动化的安全担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Lufthansa has also worked on the single-pilot programme but currently has no plans to use it, a spokesman for the German carrier told Reuters.</p><p><blockquote>德国汉莎航空公司发言人告诉路透社，汉莎航空公司也致力于单人飞行员计划，但目前没有使用该计划的计划。</blockquote></p><p> Cathay Pacific Airways confirmed its involvement but said no decision had been made on eventual deployment.</p><p><blockquote>国泰航空证实了其参与，但表示尚未就最终部署做出决定。</blockquote></p><p> \"While we are engaging with Airbus in the development of the concept of reduced crew operations, we have not committed in any way to being the launch customer,\" the Hong Kong carrier said.</p><p><blockquote>这家香港航空公司表示：“虽然我们正在与空客合作开发减少机组人员运营的概念，但我们并未以任何方式承诺成为发射客户。”</blockquote></p><p> Commercial implementation would first require extensive testing, regulatory approval and pilot training with \"absolutely no compromise on safety\", Cathay said.</p><p><blockquote>国泰表示，商业实施首先需要广泛的测试、监管部门批准和飞行员培训，“绝对不影响安全”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The appropriateness and effectiveness of any such rollout as well as (the) overall cost-benefit analysis (will) ultimately depend on how the pandemic plays out.\"</p><p><blockquote>“任何此类推出的适当性和有效性以及总体成本效益分析最终将取决于疫情的发展情况。”</blockquote></p><p> It added: \"Having said that, we will continue to engage with Airbus and to support development of the concept.\"</p><p><blockquote>它补充道：“话虽如此，我们将继续与空客合作并支持这一概念的开发。”</blockquote></p><p> Airbus has previously disclosed plans to add single-pilot capability to the A350, but the airlines' participation had not been reported. Work has resumed after the COVID-19 crisis paused the programme, Chief Test Pilot Christophe Cail said.</p><p><blockquote>空客此前曾透露计划为 A350 增加单人飞行员功能，但尚未有航空公司参与的报道。首席试飞员克里斯托夫·凯尔说，在新冠肺炎危机暂停该计划后，工作已经恢复。</blockquote></p><p> \"We've proven over decades we can enhance safety by putting the latest technology in aircraft,\" Cail told Reuters, declining to identify project partners. \"As for any design evolution, we are working with airlines.\"</p><p><blockquote>凯尔告诉路透社：“几十年来，我们已经证明，我们可以通过在飞机上安装最新技术来提高安全性。”但他拒绝透露项目合作伙伴的身份。“至于任何设计演变，我们正在与航空公司合作。”</blockquote></p><p> VITAL SIGNS</p><p><blockquote>生命体征</blockquote></p><p> Safe deployment will require constant monitoring of the solo pilot's alertness and vital signs by on-board systems, the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) has said.</p><p><blockquote>欧盟航空安全局 (EASA) 表示，安全部署需要通过机载系统持续监控单人飞行员的警觉性和生命体征。</blockquote></p><p> If the flight encounters a problem or the pilot flying is incapacitated, the resting copilot can be summoned within minutes. Both remain in the cockpit for take-off and landing.</p><p><blockquote>如果飞行遇到问题或飞行员无法飞行，休息的副驾驶可以在几分钟内被召唤。两者都留在驾驶舱内进行起飞和着陆。</blockquote></p><p> \"Typically on long-haul flights when you're at cruise altitude there's very little happening in the cockpit,\" EASA chief Patrick Ky told a German press briefing in January.</p><p><blockquote>EASA 负责人帕特里克·基 (Patrick Ky) 在一月份的德国新闻发布会上表示：“通常在长途航班上，当你处于巡航高度时，驾驶舱内几乎不会发生什么事情。”</blockquote></p><p> \"It makes sense to say OK, instead of having two in the cockpit, we can have one in the cockpit, the other one taking a rest, provided we're implementing technical solutions which make sure that if the single one falls asleep or has any problem, there won't be any unsafe conditions.\"</p><p><blockquote>“说好吧，我们可以让一个在驾驶舱里，而不是在驾驶舱里放两个，另一个在休息，前提是我们正在实施技术解决方案，以确保如果单个睡着或有任何问题，就不会有任何不安全的情况。”</blockquote></p><p> Pilot groups have voiced alarm.</p><p><blockquote>飞行员小组已经发出警报。</blockquote></p><p> \"We struggle to understand the rationale,\" said Otjan de Bruijn, head of the European Cockpit Association representing EU pilots.</p><p><blockquote>“我们很难理解其中的基本原理，”代表欧盟飞行员的欧洲驾驶舱协会主席奥特扬·德·布鲁因说。</blockquote></p><p> Invoking the 737 MAX crisis, which exposed Boeing's inappropriate links to U.S. regulators, De Bruijn said the programme's cost-cutting approach \"could lead to higher risks\".</p><p><blockquote>德布鲁因援引 737 MAX 危机（该危机暴露了波音公司与美国监管机构的不当联系）表示，该计划的成本削减方法“可能会导致更高的风险”。</blockquote></p><p> Single-pilot operations, currently limited to planes with up to nine passengers, would need backing from U.N. aviation body ICAO and countries whose airspace they cross. China's support is key to any Cathay deployment.</p><p><blockquote>单飞行员运营目前仅限于最多可搭载 9 名乘客的飞机，需要联合国航空机构 ICAO 及其领空穿越国家的支持。中国的支持是国泰航空部署的关键。</blockquote></p><p> EASA plans consultations this year and certification work in 2022, while acknowledging \"significant risk\" to the 2025 launch date, a spokesman said.</p><p><blockquote>一位发言人表示，EASA 计划今年进行磋商，2022 年开展认证工作，同时承认 2025 年发射日期存在“重大风险”。</blockquote></p><p> In a closed-door industry briefing this year, the agency suggested reduced-crew flights would begin with a single operator, according to notes of the meeting reviewed by Reuters.</p><p><blockquote>根据路透社查阅的会议记录，在今年的一次闭门行业简报会上，该机构建议减少机组人员的航班将从单一运营商开始。</blockquote></p><p> EMERGENCY DESCENT</p><p><blockquote>紧急下降</blockquote></p><p> Airbus has designed an A350 autopilot upgrade and flight warning system changes to help a lone pilot manage failures, sources close to the project said.</p><p><blockquote>接近该项目的消息人士称，空客设计了 A350 自动驾驶仪升级和飞行预警系统更改，以帮助单独飞行员管理故障。</blockquote></p><p> The mid-sized plane is suitable because of its \"emergency descent\" feature that quickly reduces altitude without pilot input in the event of cabin depressurisation.</p><p><blockquote>中型飞机之所以合适，是因为它具有“紧急下降”功能，在机舱减压的情况下，无需飞行员输入即可快速降低高度。</blockquote></p><p> Proponents suggest single-pilot operations may be accepted by a flying public used to crew leaving the cockpit for bathroom breaks. They also point to higher error rates from human pilots than automated systems.</p><p><blockquote>支持者建议，单飞行员操作可能会被习惯于机组人员离开驾驶舱去上厕所的飞行公众所接受。他们还指出，与自动化系统相比，人类飞行员的错误率更高。</blockquote></p><p> Both arguments miss the point, according to a source close to Lufthansa - who said the airline's executives were advised last year that the programme could not meet safety goals.</p><p><blockquote>据一位接近汉莎航空的消息人士称，这两种论点都没有抓住要点，该消息人士称，该航空公司的高管去年被告知该计划无法实现安全目标。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Flying solo for hours is a \"completely different story\", the source said, citing the 2009 AF447 disaster as an example of malfunctions occurring in cruise. The Air France A330's copilots lost control after its speed sensors failed over the Atlantic, while the captain was resting.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，单独飞行数小时是一个“完全不同的故事”，并引用了 2009 年 AF447 灾难作为巡航中发生故障的一个例子。法航 A330 的副驾驶在大西洋上空的速度传感器发生故障后失去了控制，当时机长正在休息。</blockquote></p><p> \"Airbus would have had to make sure every situation can be handled autonomously without any pilot input for 15 minutes,\" the source said. \"And that couldn't be guaranteed.\"</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称：“空客必须确保每种情况都能在 15 分钟内无需任何飞行员输入即可自主处理。”“这不能保证。”</blockquote></p><p> Lufthansa has not withdrawn from Project Connect and remains involved as an adviser, its spokesman said.</p><p><blockquote>汉莎航空发言人表示，汉莎航空并未退出 Project Connect，仍以顾问身份参与其中。</blockquote></p><p> While the airline has no plans to deploy single-pilot operations, he added, \"the suggestion that Lufthansa was an essential part of the project and then pulled back is not true.\"</p><p><blockquote>虽然该航空公司没有部署单人飞行员运营的计划，但他补充说，“汉莎航空是该项目的重要组成部分，然后又撤回的说法是不正确的。”</blockquote></p><p> Single-pilot capability would add an A350 sales argument, experts say, and rival Boeing lacks an equivalent model with sufficient automation.</p><p><blockquote>专家表示，单飞行员能力将增加 A350 的销售论点，而竞争对手波音公司缺乏具有足够自动化的同等机型。</blockquote></p><p> Filippo Tomasello, a former EASA official, said the payroll and accommodation savings for long-haul crew would not be lost on airlines.</p><p><blockquote>EASA 前官员 Filippo Tomasello 表示，航空公司不会损失长途机组人员的工资和住宿节省。</blockquote></p><p> \"COVID may end up accelerating this evolution because it's putting tremendous economic pressure on aviation,\" Tomasello predicted.</p><p><blockquote>托马塞洛预测：“新冠疫情最终可能会加速这一演变，因为它给航空业带来了巨大的经济压力。”</blockquote></p><p> \"If EASA certifies this solution, airlines will use it.\"</p><p><blockquote>“如果 EASA 认证该解决方案，航空公司将使用它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathay working with Airbus on single-pilot system for long-haul<blockquote>国泰航空与空客合作开发长途单飞行员系统</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 19:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>PARIS (Reuters) - Cathay Pacific is working with Airbus to introduce \"reduced crew\" long-haul flights with a sole pilot in the cockpit much of the time, industry sources told Reuters.</p><p><blockquote>巴黎（路透社）-行业消息人士告诉路透社，国泰航空正在与空中客车公司合作，推出“减少机组人员”的长途航班，驾驶舱大部分时间只有一名飞行员。</blockquote></p><p> The programme, known within Airbus as Project Connect, aims to certify its A350 jet for single-pilot operations during high-altitude cruise, starting in 2025 on Cathay passenger flights, the sources said.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，该计划在空客内部被称为 Project Connect，旨在从 2025 年开始在国泰客运航班上对其 A350 喷气式飞机进行高空巡航期间的单飞行员操作认证。</blockquote></p><p> High hurdles remain on the path to international acceptance. Once cleared, longer flights would become possible with a pair of pilots alternating rest breaks, instead of the three or four currently needed to maintain at least two in the cockpit.</p><p><blockquote>在获得国际认可的道路上仍然存在很高的障碍。一旦获得批准，更长时间的飞行将成为可能，两名飞行员交替休息，而不是目前需要三四名飞行员在驾驶舱中保持至少两名飞行员。</blockquote></p><p> That promises savings for airlines, amid uncertainty over the post-pandemic economics of intercontinental flying. But it is likely to encounter resistance from pilots already hit by mass layoffs, and safety concerns about aircraft automation.</p><p><blockquote>在大流行后洲际航班经济存在不确定性的情况下，这有望为航空公司节省成本。但它可能会遇到已经受到大规模裁员打击的飞行员的阻力，以及对飞机自动化的安全担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Lufthansa has also worked on the single-pilot programme but currently has no plans to use it, a spokesman for the German carrier told Reuters.</p><p><blockquote>德国汉莎航空公司发言人告诉路透社，汉莎航空公司也致力于单人飞行员计划，但目前没有使用该计划的计划。</blockquote></p><p> Cathay Pacific Airways confirmed its involvement but said no decision had been made on eventual deployment.</p><p><blockquote>国泰航空证实了其参与，但表示尚未就最终部署做出决定。</blockquote></p><p> \"While we are engaging with Airbus in the development of the concept of reduced crew operations, we have not committed in any way to being the launch customer,\" the Hong Kong carrier said.</p><p><blockquote>这家香港航空公司表示：“虽然我们正在与空客合作开发减少机组人员运营的概念，但我们并未以任何方式承诺成为发射客户。”</blockquote></p><p> Commercial implementation would first require extensive testing, regulatory approval and pilot training with \"absolutely no compromise on safety\", Cathay said.</p><p><blockquote>国泰表示，商业实施首先需要广泛的测试、监管部门批准和飞行员培训，“绝对不影响安全”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The appropriateness and effectiveness of any such rollout as well as (the) overall cost-benefit analysis (will) ultimately depend on how the pandemic plays out.\"</p><p><blockquote>“任何此类推出的适当性和有效性以及总体成本效益分析最终将取决于疫情的发展情况。”</blockquote></p><p> It added: \"Having said that, we will continue to engage with Airbus and to support development of the concept.\"</p><p><blockquote>它补充道：“话虽如此，我们将继续与空客合作并支持这一概念的开发。”</blockquote></p><p> Airbus has previously disclosed plans to add single-pilot capability to the A350, but the airlines' participation had not been reported. Work has resumed after the COVID-19 crisis paused the programme, Chief Test Pilot Christophe Cail said.</p><p><blockquote>空客此前曾透露计划为 A350 增加单人飞行员功能，但尚未有航空公司参与的报道。首席试飞员克里斯托夫·凯尔说，在新冠肺炎危机暂停该计划后，工作已经恢复。</blockquote></p><p> \"We've proven over decades we can enhance safety by putting the latest technology in aircraft,\" Cail told Reuters, declining to identify project partners. \"As for any design evolution, we are working with airlines.\"</p><p><blockquote>凯尔告诉路透社：“几十年来，我们已经证明，我们可以通过在飞机上安装最新技术来提高安全性。”但他拒绝透露项目合作伙伴的身份。“至于任何设计演变，我们正在与航空公司合作。”</blockquote></p><p> VITAL SIGNS</p><p><blockquote>生命体征</blockquote></p><p> Safe deployment will require constant monitoring of the solo pilot's alertness and vital signs by on-board systems, the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) has said.</p><p><blockquote>欧盟航空安全局 (EASA) 表示，安全部署需要通过机载系统持续监控单人飞行员的警觉性和生命体征。</blockquote></p><p> If the flight encounters a problem or the pilot flying is incapacitated, the resting copilot can be summoned within minutes. Both remain in the cockpit for take-off and landing.</p><p><blockquote>如果飞行遇到问题或飞行员无法飞行，休息的副驾驶可以在几分钟内被召唤。两者都留在驾驶舱内进行起飞和着陆。</blockquote></p><p> \"Typically on long-haul flights when you're at cruise altitude there's very little happening in the cockpit,\" EASA chief Patrick Ky told a German press briefing in January.</p><p><blockquote>EASA 负责人帕特里克·基 (Patrick Ky) 在一月份的德国新闻发布会上表示：“通常在长途航班上，当你处于巡航高度时，驾驶舱内几乎不会发生什么事情。”</blockquote></p><p> \"It makes sense to say OK, instead of having two in the cockpit, we can have one in the cockpit, the other one taking a rest, provided we're implementing technical solutions which make sure that if the single one falls asleep or has any problem, there won't be any unsafe conditions.\"</p><p><blockquote>“说好吧，我们可以让一个在驾驶舱里，而不是在驾驶舱里放两个，另一个在休息，前提是我们正在实施技术解决方案，以确保如果单个睡着或有任何问题，就不会有任何不安全的情况。”</blockquote></p><p> Pilot groups have voiced alarm.</p><p><blockquote>飞行员小组已经发出警报。</blockquote></p><p> \"We struggle to understand the rationale,\" said Otjan de Bruijn, head of the European Cockpit Association representing EU pilots.</p><p><blockquote>“我们很难理解其中的基本原理，”代表欧盟飞行员的欧洲驾驶舱协会主席奥特扬·德·布鲁因说。</blockquote></p><p> Invoking the 737 MAX crisis, which exposed Boeing's inappropriate links to U.S. regulators, De Bruijn said the programme's cost-cutting approach \"could lead to higher risks\".</p><p><blockquote>德布鲁因援引 737 MAX 危机（该危机暴露了波音公司与美国监管机构的不当联系）表示，该计划的成本削减方法“可能会导致更高的风险”。</blockquote></p><p> Single-pilot operations, currently limited to planes with up to nine passengers, would need backing from U.N. aviation body ICAO and countries whose airspace they cross. China's support is key to any Cathay deployment.</p><p><blockquote>单飞行员运营目前仅限于最多可搭载 9 名乘客的飞机，需要联合国航空机构 ICAO 及其领空穿越国家的支持。中国的支持是国泰航空部署的关键。</blockquote></p><p> EASA plans consultations this year and certification work in 2022, while acknowledging \"significant risk\" to the 2025 launch date, a spokesman said.</p><p><blockquote>一位发言人表示，EASA 计划今年进行磋商，2022 年开展认证工作，同时承认 2025 年发射日期存在“重大风险”。</blockquote></p><p> In a closed-door industry briefing this year, the agency suggested reduced-crew flights would begin with a single operator, according to notes of the meeting reviewed by Reuters.</p><p><blockquote>根据路透社查阅的会议记录，在今年的一次闭门行业简报会上，该机构建议减少机组人员的航班将从单一运营商开始。</blockquote></p><p> EMERGENCY DESCENT</p><p><blockquote>紧急下降</blockquote></p><p> Airbus has designed an A350 autopilot upgrade and flight warning system changes to help a lone pilot manage failures, sources close to the project said.</p><p><blockquote>接近该项目的消息人士称，空客设计了 A350 自动驾驶仪升级和飞行预警系统更改，以帮助单独飞行员管理故障。</blockquote></p><p> The mid-sized plane is suitable because of its \"emergency descent\" feature that quickly reduces altitude without pilot input in the event of cabin depressurisation.</p><p><blockquote>中型飞机之所以合适，是因为它具有“紧急下降”功能，在机舱减压的情况下，无需飞行员输入即可快速降低高度。</blockquote></p><p> Proponents suggest single-pilot operations may be accepted by a flying public used to crew leaving the cockpit for bathroom breaks. They also point to higher error rates from human pilots than automated systems.</p><p><blockquote>支持者建议，单飞行员操作可能会被习惯于机组人员离开驾驶舱去上厕所的飞行公众所接受。他们还指出，与自动化系统相比，人类飞行员的错误率更高。</blockquote></p><p> Both arguments miss the point, according to a source close to Lufthansa - who said the airline's executives were advised last year that the programme could not meet safety goals.</p><p><blockquote>据一位接近汉莎航空的消息人士称，这两种论点都没有抓住要点，该消息人士称，该航空公司的高管去年被告知该计划无法实现安全目标。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Flying solo for hours is a \"completely different story\", the source said, citing the 2009 AF447 disaster as an example of malfunctions occurring in cruise. The Air France A330's copilots lost control after its speed sensors failed over the Atlantic, while the captain was resting.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，单独飞行数小时是一个“完全不同的故事”，并引用了 2009 年 AF447 灾难作为巡航中发生故障的一个例子。法航 A330 的副驾驶在大西洋上空的速度传感器发生故障后失去了控制，当时机长正在休息。</blockquote></p><p> \"Airbus would have had to make sure every situation can be handled autonomously without any pilot input for 15 minutes,\" the source said. \"And that couldn't be guaranteed.\"</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称：“空客必须确保每种情况都能在 15 分钟内无需任何飞行员输入即可自主处理。”“这不能保证。”</blockquote></p><p> Lufthansa has not withdrawn from Project Connect and remains involved as an adviser, its spokesman said.</p><p><blockquote>汉莎航空发言人表示，汉莎航空并未退出 Project Connect，仍以顾问身份参与其中。</blockquote></p><p> While the airline has no plans to deploy single-pilot operations, he added, \"the suggestion that Lufthansa was an essential part of the project and then pulled back is not true.\"</p><p><blockquote>虽然该航空公司没有部署单人飞行员运营的计划，但他补充说，“汉莎航空是该项目的重要组成部分，然后又撤回的说法是不正确的。”</blockquote></p><p> Single-pilot capability would add an A350 sales argument, experts say, and rival Boeing lacks an equivalent model with sufficient automation.</p><p><blockquote>专家表示，单飞行员能力将增加 A350 的销售论点，而竞争对手波音公司缺乏具有足够自动化的同等机型。</blockquote></p><p> Filippo Tomasello, a former EASA official, said the payroll and accommodation savings for long-haul crew would not be lost on airlines.</p><p><blockquote>EASA 前官员 Filippo Tomasello 表示，航空公司不会损失长途机组人员的工资和住宿节省。</blockquote></p><p> \"COVID may end up accelerating this evolution because it's putting tremendous economic pressure on aviation,\" Tomasello predicted.</p><p><blockquote>托马塞洛预测：“新冠疫情最终可能会加速这一演变，因为它给航空业带来了巨大的经济压力。”</blockquote></p><p> \"If EASA certifies this solution, airlines will use it.\"</p><p><blockquote>“如果 EASA 认证该解决方案，航空公司将使用它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-cathay-working-airbus-single-110037523.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"0KVV.UK":"空中客车集团"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-cathay-working-airbus-single-110037523.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128941988","content_text":"PARIS (Reuters) - Cathay Pacific is working with Airbus to introduce \"reduced crew\" long-haul flights with a sole pilot in the cockpit much of the time, industry sources told Reuters.\nThe programme, known within Airbus as Project Connect, aims to certify its A350 jet for single-pilot operations during high-altitude cruise, starting in 2025 on Cathay passenger flights, the sources said.\nHigh hurdles remain on the path to international acceptance. Once cleared, longer flights would become possible with a pair of pilots alternating rest breaks, instead of the three or four currently needed to maintain at least two in the cockpit.\nThat promises savings for airlines, amid uncertainty over the post-pandemic economics of intercontinental flying. But it is likely to encounter resistance from pilots already hit by mass layoffs, and safety concerns about aircraft automation.\nLufthansa has also worked on the single-pilot programme but currently has no plans to use it, a spokesman for the German carrier told Reuters.\nCathay Pacific Airways confirmed its involvement but said no decision had been made on eventual deployment.\n\"While we are engaging with Airbus in the development of the concept of reduced crew operations, we have not committed in any way to being the launch customer,\" the Hong Kong carrier said.\nCommercial implementation would first require extensive testing, regulatory approval and pilot training with \"absolutely no compromise on safety\", Cathay said.\n\"The appropriateness and effectiveness of any such rollout as well as (the) overall cost-benefit analysis (will) ultimately depend on how the pandemic plays out.\"\nIt added: \"Having said that, we will continue to engage with Airbus and to support development of the concept.\"\nAirbus has previously disclosed plans to add single-pilot capability to the A350, but the airlines' participation had not been reported. Work has resumed after the COVID-19 crisis paused the programme, Chief Test Pilot Christophe Cail said.\n\"We've proven over decades we can enhance safety by putting the latest technology in aircraft,\" Cail told Reuters, declining to identify project partners. \"As for any design evolution, we are working with airlines.\"\nVITAL SIGNS\nSafe deployment will require constant monitoring of the solo pilot's alertness and vital signs by on-board systems, the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) has said.\nIf the flight encounters a problem or the pilot flying is incapacitated, the resting copilot can be summoned within minutes. Both remain in the cockpit for take-off and landing.\n\"Typically on long-haul flights when you're at cruise altitude there's very little happening in the cockpit,\" EASA chief Patrick Ky told a German press briefing in January.\n\"It makes sense to say OK, instead of having two in the cockpit, we can have one in the cockpit, the other one taking a rest, provided we're implementing technical solutions which make sure that if the single one falls asleep or has any problem, there won't be any unsafe conditions.\"\nPilot groups have voiced alarm.\n\"We struggle to understand the rationale,\" said Otjan de Bruijn, head of the European Cockpit Association representing EU pilots.\nInvoking the 737 MAX crisis, which exposed Boeing's inappropriate links to U.S. regulators, De Bruijn said the programme's cost-cutting approach \"could lead to higher risks\".\nSingle-pilot operations, currently limited to planes with up to nine passengers, would need backing from U.N. aviation body ICAO and countries whose airspace they cross. China's support is key to any Cathay deployment.\nEASA plans consultations this year and certification work in 2022, while acknowledging \"significant risk\" to the 2025 launch date, a spokesman said.\nIn a closed-door industry briefing this year, the agency suggested reduced-crew flights would begin with a single operator, according to notes of the meeting reviewed by Reuters.\nEMERGENCY DESCENT\nAirbus has designed an A350 autopilot upgrade and flight warning system changes to help a lone pilot manage failures, sources close to the project said.\nThe mid-sized plane is suitable because of its \"emergency descent\" feature that quickly reduces altitude without pilot input in the event of cabin depressurisation.\nProponents suggest single-pilot operations may be accepted by a flying public used to crew leaving the cockpit for bathroom breaks. They also point to higher error rates from human pilots than automated systems.\nBoth arguments miss the point, according to a source close to Lufthansa - who said the airline's executives were advised last year that the programme could not meet safety goals.\nFlying solo for hours is a \"completely different story\", the source said, citing the 2009 AF447 disaster as an example of malfunctions occurring in cruise. The Air France A330's copilots lost control after its speed sensors failed over the Atlantic, while the captain was resting.\n\"Airbus would have had to make sure every situation can be handled autonomously without any pilot input for 15 minutes,\" the source said. \"And that couldn't be guaranteed.\"\nLufthansa has not withdrawn from Project Connect and remains involved as an adviser, its spokesman said.\nWhile the airline has no plans to deploy single-pilot operations, he added, \"the suggestion that Lufthansa was an essential part of the project and then pulled back is not true.\"\nSingle-pilot capability would add an A350 sales argument, experts say, and rival Boeing lacks an equivalent model with sufficient automation.\nFilippo Tomasello, a former EASA official, said the payroll and accommodation savings for long-haul crew would not be lost on airlines.\n\"COVID may end up accelerating this evolution because it's putting tremendous economic pressure on aviation,\" Tomasello predicted.\n\"If EASA certifies this solution, airlines will use it.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"0KVV.UK":0.9,"EADSF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187354635,"gmtCreate":1623743587527,"gmtModify":1631890327647,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584698735314345","idStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oooooo","listText":"Oooooo","text":"Oooooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187354635","repostId":"1183190766","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183190766","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623740790,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1183190766?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 15:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Big-Tech & Bitcoin Pumped As Banks, Bonds, & Bullion Dumped<blockquote>银行、债券和黄金抛售，大型科技公司和比特币上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183190766","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Big-tech was bid as soon as the cash market opened and both Small Caps (Russell 2000) and Big-Caps (","content":"<p>Big-tech was bid as soon as the cash market opened and both Small Caps (Russell 2000) and Big-Caps (Dow Industrials) were dumped with the S&amp;P under water most of the day until the late day panic-bid hit as the<b>gamma-meltup struck</b>...</p><p><blockquote>现金市场一开盘，大型科技股就遭到收购，小盘股（罗素 2000）和大盘股（道琼斯工业指数）都被抛售，标准普尔指数在当天大部分时间里都处于水下，直到晚些时候出现恐慌性收购。<b>伽马熔融撞击</b>...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b2e9a8b272b493af999d0ceae800b8\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"293\">That's a record close for the S&amp;P and Nasdaq thanks to this utterly ridiculous meltup...</p><p><blockquote>由于这种完全荒谬的融化，这对标准普尔和纳斯达克来说是创纪录的收盘……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8111401f1c57064e42f7db7836fc08f4\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"283\">The Nasdaq's outperformance pushed it to its highest relative to The Dow since April...</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克指数的优异表现将其相对于道琼斯指数推至4月份以来的最高水平……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58a5974b095ffdd321cc0542d8e79f9c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"270\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Lordstown Motors was clubbed like a baby seal today as its CEO/CFO abandoned ship...</p><p><blockquote>洛兹敦汽车公司今天像一只小海豹一样被宠坏了，因为它的首席执行官/首席财务官弃船了……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25e0168b578ceffd190a198be1dc12fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\">Retail traders were back buying today...</p><p><blockquote>零售商今天又开始买入了……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23530164a0be04b223851688d160207d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"270\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Elon Musk's ability to influence crypto is as evident as ever as he tweeted that he is not full of FUD and bitcoin ripped over 10% higher (helped by PTJ's positive perspective on crypto in an inflationary environment)...</p><p><blockquote>埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）影响加密货币的能力一如既往地显而易见，因为他在推特上表示，他并不充满FUD，比特币的股价上涨了10%以上（得益于PTJ在通胀环境下对加密货币的积极看法）...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08afe4b38b0f2ae3f7156be3ebfd3b2\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> JPM's Dimon spooked bank stocks even further - despite rising yields today...</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通的戴蒙进一步恐吓了银行股——尽管今天收益率上升……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18e0c996017633d636ae90deef9014c1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Uranium/Nuclear-related stocks tumbled on the China Nuke emissions headlines...</p><p><blockquote>铀/核相关股票因中国核排放头条新闻而暴跌……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a356aabbf1d4f837b7ba2bce85cc222\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> VIX jumped back above 17 intraday...</p><p><blockquote>VIX盘中反弹至17以上……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e43410dc971e3e8776003333e0e28f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"283\"><b>S&amp;P 500 Realized vol has tumbled to its lowest since Nov 2019...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500意识到vol已跌至2019年11月以来的最低水平……</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01d778bf240b8823a5bb1e6c028dd3ef\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"292\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Will The Fed's \"most important meeting in years\" this week get it moving?</p><p><blockquote>美联储本周举行的“多年来最重要的会议”会让它继续前进吗？</blockquote></p><p> Treasuries were sold today, erasing more of the gains from Thursday's CPI malarkey. The short-end yield rose 1-2bps, the long-end yields rose 4-5bps...</p><p><blockquote>美国国债今天被抛售，抹去了周四消费者物价指数上涨的大部分涨幅。短端收益率上升1-2bps，长端收益率上升4-5bps……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ef5c4ac58ce44530cd76f5bcee30b4c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> We note that 10Y yields hit 1.50% and the selloff stalled...</p><p><blockquote>我们注意到 10 年期国债收益率达到 1.50%，抛售陷入停滞……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4b856ca9fe863397f4654ab0fe9c498\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"274\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Amid all the chatter on inflation, breakevens went nowhere at all...</p><p><blockquote>在所有关于通货膨胀的讨论中，盈亏平衡根本没有任何进展……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0c3a45693e92514889b7f5996325660\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> The Dollar trod water after spiking Friday up to fill the payrolls gap down...</p><p><blockquote>美元在周五飙升以填补就业缺口后下跌……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5878dae244b0a9c90c95c121c6e18ec1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Gold ended the day lower despite the dollar going nowhere...</p><p><blockquote>尽管美元毫无进展，但黄金收盘走低……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f17e358c769f54cac481cec61ed19b7f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"283\">Oil prices rollercoasted on the day but ended unchanged with WTI pushing up near $71.80 at its highs...</p><p><blockquote>油价当天起伏不定，但最终持平，WTI 在高点上涨至 71.80 美元附近……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46c8f08f012d23ff95f167708c2598f7\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"282\">Finally, if you're wondering why people are buying USTs again... here's one reason...<b>5Y greek debt is now trading at a negative yield (yes, really)</b>... so which would you rather own 5Y UST at 75bps or 5Y GGB at -0.4bps!?</p><p><blockquote>最后，如果你想知道为什么人们又开始购买UST了……这里有一个原因……<b>5 年期希腊债务目前处于负收益率（是的，确实如此）</b>...那么，你更愿意持有75个基点的5年期UST还是-0.4个基点的5年期GGB!？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89cc32e484870131a463b81b2307f870\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"270\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big-Tech & Bitcoin Pumped As Banks, Bonds, & Bullion Dumped<blockquote>银行、债券和黄金抛售，大型科技公司和比特币上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig-Tech & Bitcoin Pumped As Banks, Bonds, & Bullion Dumped<blockquote>银行、债券和黄金抛售，大型科技公司和比特币上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 15:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Big-tech was bid as soon as the cash market opened and both Small Caps (Russell 2000) and Big-Caps (Dow Industrials) were dumped with the S&amp;P under water most of the day until the late day panic-bid hit as the<b>gamma-meltup struck</b>...</p><p><blockquote>现金市场一开盘，大型科技股就遭到收购，小盘股（罗素 2000）和大盘股（道琼斯工业指数）都被抛售，标准普尔指数在当天大部分时间里都处于水下，直到晚些时候出现恐慌性收购。<b>伽马熔融撞击</b>...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b2e9a8b272b493af999d0ceae800b8\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"293\">That's a record close for the S&amp;P and Nasdaq thanks to this utterly ridiculous meltup...</p><p><blockquote>由于这种完全荒谬的融化，这对标准普尔和纳斯达克来说是创纪录的收盘……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8111401f1c57064e42f7db7836fc08f4\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"283\">The Nasdaq's outperformance pushed it to its highest relative to The Dow since April...</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克指数的优异表现将其相对于道琼斯指数推至4月份以来的最高水平……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58a5974b095ffdd321cc0542d8e79f9c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"270\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Lordstown Motors was clubbed like a baby seal today as its CEO/CFO abandoned ship...</p><p><blockquote>洛兹敦汽车公司今天像一只小海豹一样被宠坏了，因为它的首席执行官/首席财务官弃船了……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25e0168b578ceffd190a198be1dc12fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\">Retail traders were back buying today...</p><p><blockquote>零售商今天又开始买入了……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23530164a0be04b223851688d160207d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"270\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Elon Musk's ability to influence crypto is as evident as ever as he tweeted that he is not full of FUD and bitcoin ripped over 10% higher (helped by PTJ's positive perspective on crypto in an inflationary environment)...</p><p><blockquote>埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）影响加密货币的能力一如既往地显而易见，因为他在推特上表示，他并不充满FUD，比特币的股价上涨了10%以上（得益于PTJ在通胀环境下对加密货币的积极看法）...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08afe4b38b0f2ae3f7156be3ebfd3b2\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> JPM's Dimon spooked bank stocks even further - despite rising yields today...</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通的戴蒙进一步恐吓了银行股——尽管今天收益率上升……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18e0c996017633d636ae90deef9014c1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Uranium/Nuclear-related stocks tumbled on the China Nuke emissions headlines...</p><p><blockquote>铀/核相关股票因中国核排放头条新闻而暴跌……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a356aabbf1d4f837b7ba2bce85cc222\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> VIX jumped back above 17 intraday...</p><p><blockquote>VIX盘中反弹至17以上……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e43410dc971e3e8776003333e0e28f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"283\"><b>S&amp;P 500 Realized vol has tumbled to its lowest since Nov 2019...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500意识到vol已跌至2019年11月以来的最低水平……</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01d778bf240b8823a5bb1e6c028dd3ef\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"292\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Will The Fed's \"most important meeting in years\" this week get it moving?</p><p><blockquote>美联储本周举行的“多年来最重要的会议”会让它继续前进吗？</blockquote></p><p> Treasuries were sold today, erasing more of the gains from Thursday's CPI malarkey. The short-end yield rose 1-2bps, the long-end yields rose 4-5bps...</p><p><blockquote>美国国债今天被抛售，抹去了周四消费者物价指数上涨的大部分涨幅。短端收益率上升1-2bps，长端收益率上升4-5bps……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ef5c4ac58ce44530cd76f5bcee30b4c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> We note that 10Y yields hit 1.50% and the selloff stalled...</p><p><blockquote>我们注意到 10 年期国债收益率达到 1.50%，抛售陷入停滞……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4b856ca9fe863397f4654ab0fe9c498\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"274\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Amid all the chatter on inflation, breakevens went nowhere at all...</p><p><blockquote>在所有关于通货膨胀的讨论中，盈亏平衡根本没有任何进展……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0c3a45693e92514889b7f5996325660\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> The Dollar trod water after spiking Friday up to fill the payrolls gap down...</p><p><blockquote>美元在周五飙升以填补就业缺口后下跌……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5878dae244b0a9c90c95c121c6e18ec1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Gold ended the day lower despite the dollar going nowhere...</p><p><blockquote>尽管美元毫无进展，但黄金收盘走低……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f17e358c769f54cac481cec61ed19b7f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"283\">Oil prices rollercoasted on the day but ended unchanged with WTI pushing up near $71.80 at its highs...</p><p><blockquote>油价当天起伏不定，但最终持平，WTI 在高点上涨至 71.80 美元附近……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46c8f08f012d23ff95f167708c2598f7\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"282\">Finally, if you're wondering why people are buying USTs again... here's one reason...<b>5Y greek debt is now trading at a negative yield (yes, really)</b>... so which would you rather own 5Y UST at 75bps or 5Y GGB at -0.4bps!?</p><p><blockquote>最后，如果你想知道为什么人们又开始购买UST了……这里有一个原因……<b>5 年期希腊债务目前处于负收益率（是的，确实如此）</b>...那么，你更愿意持有75个基点的5年期UST还是-0.4个基点的5年期GGB!？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89cc32e484870131a463b81b2307f870\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"270\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/big-tech-bitcoin-pumped-banks-bonds-bullion-dumped\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/big-tech-bitcoin-pumped-banks-bonds-bullion-dumped","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183190766","content_text":"Big-tech was bid as soon as the cash market opened and both Small Caps (Russell 2000) and Big-Caps (Dow Industrials) were dumped with the S&P under water most of the day until the late day panic-bid hit as thegamma-meltup struck...\nThat's a record close for the S&P and Nasdaq thanks to this utterly ridiculous meltup...\nThe Nasdaq's outperformance pushed it to its highest relative to The Dow since April...\nSource: Bloomberg\nLordstown Motors was clubbed like a baby seal today as its CEO/CFO abandoned ship...\nRetail traders were back buying today...\nSource: Bloomberg\nElon Musk's ability to influence crypto is as evident as ever as he tweeted that he is not full of FUD and bitcoin ripped over 10% higher (helped by PTJ's positive perspective on crypto in an inflationary environment)...\nSource: Bloomberg\nJPM's Dimon spooked bank stocks even further - despite rising yields today...\nSource: Bloomberg\nUranium/Nuclear-related stocks tumbled on the China Nuke emissions headlines...\nSource: Bloomberg\nVIX jumped back above 17 intraday...\nS&P 500 Realized vol has tumbled to its lowest since Nov 2019...\nSource: Bloomberg\nWill The Fed's \"most important meeting in years\" this week get it moving?\nTreasuries were sold today, erasing more of the gains from Thursday's CPI malarkey. The short-end yield rose 1-2bps, the long-end yields rose 4-5bps...\nSource: Bloomberg\nWe note that 10Y yields hit 1.50% and the selloff stalled...\nSource: Bloomberg\nAmid all the chatter on inflation, breakevens went nowhere at all...\nSource: Bloomberg\nThe Dollar trod water after spiking Friday up to fill the payrolls gap down...\nSource: Bloomberg\nGold ended the day lower despite the dollar going nowhere...\nOil prices rollercoasted on the day but ended unchanged with WTI pushing up near $71.80 at its highs...\nFinally, if you're wondering why people are buying USTs again... here's one reason...5Y greek debt is now trading at a negative yield (yes, really)... so which would you rather own 5Y UST at 75bps or 5Y GGB at -0.4bps!?\nSource: Bloomberg","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187352775,"gmtCreate":1623743489697,"gmtModify":1631890327647,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584698735314345","idStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh.....","listText":"Oh.....","text":"Oh.....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187352775","repostId":"1122399963","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185221499,"gmtCreate":1623654924211,"gmtModify":1631890327656,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584698735314345","idStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good to buy?","listText":"Good to buy?","text":"Good to buy?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56a1613a219f3ecb147946bbeaaa4ef9","width":"1080","height":"2011"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185221499","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185223837,"gmtCreate":1623654758029,"gmtModify":1631890327656,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584698735314345","idStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Why u no buy?","listText":"Why u no buy?","text":"Why u no buy?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185223837","repostId":"182453133","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":182453133,"gmtCreate":1623600495022,"gmtModify":1634031277575,"author":{"id":"3581938757907923","authorId":"3581938757907923","name":"msmoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/408f7e12b5e28c5c371917d90a45aae3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581938757907923","idStr":"3581938757907923"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oooo good","listText":"Oooo good","text":"Oooo good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16d3324e929e4296e2004808cbce64da","width":"1080","height":"1492"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182453133","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182841479,"gmtCreate":1623564942091,"gmtModify":1631890327661,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584698735314345","idStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fef45b2e8c67004003bacd23a0661b8","width":"1080","height":"2124"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182841479","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":587,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182854001,"gmtCreate":1623564546103,"gmtModify":1631890327664,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584698735314345","idStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Drop&nbsp;","listText":"Drop&nbsp;","text":"Drop","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e51bbe150c1058e0685391f7e6515757","width":"1080","height":"2011"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182854001","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":641,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182859495,"gmtCreate":1623564229117,"gmtModify":1631890327670,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584698735314345","idStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182859495","repostId":"1191179846","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":797,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186253382,"gmtCreate":1623504336746,"gmtModify":1631890327670,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584698735314345","idStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Neat","listText":"Neat","text":"Neat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186253382","repostId":"1118102755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118102755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623469189,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1118102755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-12 11:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被骗了--通货膨胀是股市投资者的一大风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118102755","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank ","content":"<p>  <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b>  Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什 (Michael Brush) 就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足够高的水平，足以撼动股市，可能导致高达 15% 的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是：持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%，并促使美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都将扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示，5月份生活成本飙升，将通货膨胀率推至5%的13年来新高。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办？可能和你想的相反。在此之前，我们先来看看今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452%&nbsp;moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候，10 年期国债收益率 TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% 升至 1.7%？好吧，期待重复。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“凯投宏观经济学家弗兰齐斯卡-帕尔马斯（Franziska Palmas）说：”我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。她的研究小组预计，到今年年底，10年期国债收益率为2.25%，到2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>这将比目前的 1.5% 水平有很大的进步。当利率大幅上升时，股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Fed渐缩</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;(FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）淡化了央行缩减债券购买规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）的12名成员中有一半最近表示，他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。联邦公开市场委员会是制定货币政策的美联储部门。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>“《预测市场》（Predicting the Markets）一书的作者、亚德尼研究公司（Yardeni Research）负责人埃德-亚德尼（Ed Yardeni）说：”在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前，鲍威尔将越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得'实质性进一步进展'。鲍威尔曾多次表示，美联储正在等待经济取得 “实质性进一步进展”，然后再终止刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼预测：”鉴于经济的表现，有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模，几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。缩减规模是指美联储减少债券购买。这收紧了货币供应，从而抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零，美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&amp;P 500 SPX,+0.19%,&nbsp;the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04%&nbsp;and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，缩减规模会在股市中引发 “缩减规模狂潮”，这意味着标普500 SPX 指数（+0.19%）、道琼斯工业平均指数（+0.04%）和纳斯达克综合指数（+0.35%）等指数将大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑如何应对债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩可能导致的抛售时，要记住的关键是为什么这些事情会发生，以及历史告诉我们股票如何表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为，缩减收益率和不断上升的债券收益率会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但事实并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的，最初，紧缩可能会导致股市下跌，或者充其量是横盘波动。但随后随着牛市的持续，股市摆脱了困境并走高。这是有道理的，因为紧缩政策的发生是有充分理由的，有助于企业——强劲的经济增长。这将收益推高很多，从而将估值重置为较低的水平——回到投资者感到舒适的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>“Leuthold 市场策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说：”缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分，让市场走高。这是一个健康的发展”。</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&amp;P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&amp;P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场烟火，保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将把标普500的收益推至年底的220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低，该指数的市盈率（P/E）将降至 18-19，接近或低于 1990 年以来的平均水平。“他说：”这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 不要采取“防御”策略</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时，下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的 “稳定”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时，你想采取守势，而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性的名字会带来收益。因此，与债券一样，它们也受到利率上升的打击，这会降低股息以及支付股息的股票和债券的价值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最好方法是将你的投资组合与过热的经济联系起来。这是利润增长和利润杠杆最好的地方，”保尔森说。“防守是得不到的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 选择受益于增长的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济快速增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着工业股、基础材料消费品、小盘股和国际股票等周期性股票。“保尔森说：”增长放缓的消费品和公用事业将跟不上市场的增长领域。</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17%&nbsp;and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%&nbsp;and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&amp;P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议 Lindblad Expeditions LIND，+0.17% 和 Cardlytics CDLX，+4.54%，并在我的股票信中，在 2020 年 9 月和 2019 年 11 月温习股票（我网站的链接在下面的简历中）。我仍然喜欢并拥有这两款产品，尽管它们分别上涨了 48% 和 157%，是标普500的两到四倍。最近的内部买入证实他们正在买入并持有当前水平附近。另外，两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。林德布拉德提供前往异国情调的专门邮轮探险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.不要出货</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来，那么在此之前尝试卖出股票，并在疲软发生后回购可能很有诱惑力。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示，事实上，几乎不可能把握正确的时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼说：”你必须做出两个明智的决定。“你必须在纠错前下车，然后再决定什么时候回来。我不知道有多少人能坚持这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器经常出局后再也进不来，他们会错过下一轮上涨。“保尔森说：”试图避免更正可能会给自己带来麻烦。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底，债券收益率将达到 2% 或更高。因此，不要持有债券，因为当收益率上升时，债券的价格就会下跌--除非你只是打算持有到期以获得收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 理财</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜，这意味着 10 年期国债的长期利率上升速度比短期利率快得多。由于银行在短端借款，在长端放贷，陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07%&nbsp;and Bank of America BAC,+0.41%&nbsp;are up over twice as much as the S&amp;P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出，强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金，这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年 8 月在股票信中提出建议以来，摩根大通 JPM（-0.07%）和美国银行 BAC（+0.41%）的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实，尽管过去几个季度表现强劲，但该行业仍然值得拥有。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被骗了--通货膨胀是股市投资者的一大风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被骗了--通货膨胀是股市投资者的一大风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-12 11:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b>  Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什 (Michael Brush) 就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足够高的水平，足以撼动股市，可能导致高达 15% 的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是：持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%，并促使美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都将扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示，5月份生活成本飙升，将通货膨胀率推至5%的13年来新高。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办？可能和你想的相反。在此之前，我们先来看看今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452%&nbsp;moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候，10 年期国债收益率 TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% 升至 1.7%？好吧，期待重复。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“凯投宏观经济学家弗兰齐斯卡-帕尔马斯（Franziska Palmas）说：”我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。她的研究小组预计，到今年年底，10年期国债收益率为2.25%，到2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>这将比目前的 1.5% 水平有很大的进步。当利率大幅上升时，股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Fed渐缩</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;(FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）淡化了央行缩减债券购买规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）的12名成员中有一半最近表示，他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。联邦公开市场委员会是制定货币政策的美联储部门。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>“《预测市场》（Predicting the Markets）一书的作者、亚德尼研究公司（Yardeni Research）负责人埃德-亚德尼（Ed Yardeni）说：”在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前，鲍威尔将越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得'实质性进一步进展'。鲍威尔曾多次表示，美联储正在等待经济取得 “实质性进一步进展”，然后再终止刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼预测：”鉴于经济的表现，有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模，几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。缩减规模是指美联储减少债券购买。这收紧了货币供应，从而抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零，美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&amp;P 500 SPX,+0.19%,&nbsp;the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04%&nbsp;and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，缩减规模会在股市中引发 “缩减规模狂潮”，这意味着标普500 SPX 指数（+0.19%）、道琼斯工业平均指数（+0.04%）和纳斯达克综合指数（+0.35%）等指数将大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑如何应对债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩可能导致的抛售时，要记住的关键是为什么这些事情会发生，以及历史告诉我们股票如何表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为，缩减收益率和不断上升的债券收益率会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但事实并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的，最初，紧缩可能会导致股市下跌，或者充其量是横盘波动。但随后随着牛市的持续，股市摆脱了困境并走高。这是有道理的，因为紧缩政策的发生是有充分理由的，有助于企业——强劲的经济增长。这将收益推高很多，从而将估值重置为较低的水平——回到投资者感到舒适的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>“Leuthold 市场策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说：”缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分，让市场走高。这是一个健康的发展”。</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&amp;P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&amp;P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场烟火，保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将把标普500的收益推至年底的220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低，该指数的市盈率（P/E）将降至 18-19，接近或低于 1990 年以来的平均水平。“他说：”这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 不要采取“防御”策略</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时，下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的 “稳定”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时，你想采取守势，而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性的名字会带来收益。因此，与债券一样，它们也受到利率上升的打击，这会降低股息以及支付股息的股票和债券的价值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最好方法是将你的投资组合与过热的经济联系起来。这是利润增长和利润杠杆最好的地方，”保尔森说。“防守是得不到的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 选择受益于增长的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济快速增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着工业股、基础材料消费品、小盘股和国际股票等周期性股票。“保尔森说：”增长放缓的消费品和公用事业将跟不上市场的增长领域。</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17%&nbsp;and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%&nbsp;and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&amp;P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议 Lindblad Expeditions LIND，+0.17% 和 Cardlytics CDLX，+4.54%，并在我的股票信中，在 2020 年 9 月和 2019 年 11 月温习股票（我网站的链接在下面的简历中）。我仍然喜欢并拥有这两款产品，尽管它们分别上涨了 48% 和 157%，是标普500的两到四倍。最近的内部买入证实他们正在买入并持有当前水平附近。另外，两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。林德布拉德提供前往异国情调的专门邮轮探险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.不要出货</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来，那么在此之前尝试卖出股票，并在疲软发生后回购可能很有诱惑力。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示，事实上，几乎不可能把握正确的时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼说：”你必须做出两个明智的决定。“你必须在纠错前下车，然后再决定什么时候回来。我不知道有多少人能坚持这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器经常出局后再也进不来，他们会错过下一轮上涨。“保尔森说：”试图避免更正可能会给自己带来麻烦。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底，债券收益率将达到 2% 或更高。因此，不要持有债券，因为当收益率上升时，债券的价格就会下跌--除非你只是打算持有到期以获得收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 理财</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜，这意味着 10 年期国债的长期利率上升速度比短期利率快得多。由于银行在短端借款，在长端放贷，陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07%&nbsp;and Bank of America BAC,+0.41%&nbsp;are up over twice as much as the S&amp;P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出，强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金，这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年 8 月在股票信中提出建议以来，摩根大通 JPM（-0.07%）和美国银行 BAC（+0.41%）的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实，尽管过去几个季度表现强劲，但该行业仍然值得拥有。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118102755","content_text":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.\n\nDon’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.\nThe reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.\nThe government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.\nWhat should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.\nRising yields\nRemember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.\n“We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.\nThat’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.\nFed tapering\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.\n“It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.\n“Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.\nHe thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.\nAs we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&P 500 SPX,+0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04% and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.\nHow to prepare\nWhen considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.\nThe consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.\nYes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.\n“Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”\nLooking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.\nYour five-point game plan\n1. Do not go to “defensives”\nWhen people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.\n“The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”\n2. Go with companies that benefit from growth\nSince rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.\nI first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17% and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54% and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.\n3. Do not get out of stocks\nIf you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.\n“You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”\nMarket timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.\n4. Do not own bonds\nBond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.\n5. Go with financials\nStrong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.\nThe strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07% and Bank of America BAC,+0.41% are up over twice as much as the S&P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188385100,"gmtCreate":1623421658900,"gmtModify":1631890327668,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584698735314345","idStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy!","listText":"Buy!","text":"Buy!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188385100","repostId":"1102090194","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102090194","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623419256,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1102090194?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-11 21:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cruise line stocks fell as Two Guests Test Positive for COVID-19<blockquote>两名客人 COVID-19 检测呈阳性，邮轮公司股价下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102090194","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 11) Cruise line stocks fell as two guests on Royal Caribbean's Celebrity Millennium ship teste","content":"<p>(June 11)&nbsp;Cruise line stocks fell&nbsp;as two guests on Royal Caribbean's Celebrity Millennium ship tested positive for COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>（6 月 11 日）皇家加勒比名人千禧号邮轮上的两名客人 COVID-19 检测呈阳性，邮轮股票下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Airline&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;rose&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>航空股早盘上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f60ad4e95f4cf84c7310ed909e0fa7c5\" tg-width=\"301\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>   The duo were on a trip that began in St. Maarten aboard Royal Caribbean's Celebrity Millennium ship. They are asymptomatic and in isolation, RCL said.  Royal Caribbean Group&nbsp;(<b>RCL</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;shares fell Friday after the company said two guests on its Celebrity Millennium ship tested positive for COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>两人乘坐皇家加勒比的名人千年号游轮从圣马丁岛开始旅行。RCL说，他们没有症状，处于隔离状态。皇家加勒比集团（<b>RCL</b>) - 据报道，该公司表示其 Celebrity Millennium 邮轮上的两名客人 COVID-19 检测呈阳性，该公司股价周五下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The two cruisers are asymptomatic and in isolation, RCL said. They were sharing a room and tested positive toward the end of the cruise, which began in St. Maarten.</p><p><blockquote>RCL说，这两艘巡洋舰没有症状，处于隔离状态。他们共用一个房间，在从圣马丁岛开始的巡航接近尾声时检测呈阳性。</blockquote></p><p> The trip was one of RCL’s first to resume in the region after the pandemic forced a shutdown in March 2020. RCL said it’s going through contact tracing, conducting testing on all of the duo’s close contacts and is closely monitoring what’s happening on the ship.</p><p><blockquote>这次旅行是 RCL 在 2020 年 3 月大流行病被迫关闭后在该地区恢复的首批旅行之一。RCL表示，它正在进行接触者追踪，对两人的所有密切接触者进行检测，并密切关注船上发生的事情。</blockquote></p><p> RCL recently traded at $88.78, down 2.04%, in pre-market trading on Friday. It has climbed 12% in the past six months amid enthusiasm for reopenings in the cruise industry and the economy as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>周五盘前交易中，RCL 最新交易价格为 88.78 美元，下跌 2.04%。由于邮轮业和整个经济对重新开放的热情，过去六个月该指数上涨了 12%。</blockquote></p><p> In May and early June,the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention gavetwo RCL ships the nod to do a test sailing in U.S. waters.</p><p><blockquote>5 月和 6 月初，美国疾病控制和预防中心向两艘 RCL 船赠送了 nod 船，在美国水域进行试航。</blockquote></p><p> Allure of the Seas is set to start test cruises from Port Canaveral July 27 to July 29, and Symphony of the Seas will do the same from PortMiami Aug. 1 through Aug. 3.</p><p><blockquote>“海洋诱惑”号将于 7 月 27 日至 7 月 29 日从卡纳维拉尔港开始试航，“海洋交响曲”号将于 8 月 1 日至 8 月 3 日从迈阿密港开始试航。</blockquote></p><p> In March,RCL announced it would resume Caribbeansailings in June.</p><p><blockquote>今年3月，RCL宣布将于6月恢复加勒比海航行。</blockquote></p><p> Also in March, RCL, Carnival Corp.(<b>CCL</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;and Norwegian Cruise Line&nbsp;(<b>NCLH</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;all&nbsp;received price-target increasesfrom J.P. Morgan, based on the prospect of economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>同样在三月份，RCL、嘉年华公司（<b>CCL</b>）-获取报告和挪威邮轮公司（<b>NCLH</b>) -获取摩根大通根据经济复苏前景提出的所有目标价上调报告。</blockquote></p><p> J.P. Morgan analyst Brandt Montour lifted his target price on RCL to $110 from $100,</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师 Brandt Montour 将 RCL 目标价从 100 美元上调至 110 美元，</blockquote></p><p> “We … raise our price targets on slightly higher target multiples driven by positively evolving expectations for potential pricing power,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”在对潜在定价权的积极预期的推动下，我们.在略微提高目标倍数的情况下提高了价格目标。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cruise line stocks fell as Two Guests Test Positive for COVID-19<blockquote>两名客人 COVID-19 检测呈阳性，邮轮公司股价下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCruise line stocks fell as Two Guests Test Positive for COVID-19<blockquote>两名客人 COVID-19 检测呈阳性，邮轮公司股价下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-11 21:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 11)&nbsp;Cruise line stocks fell&nbsp;as two guests on Royal Caribbean's Celebrity Millennium ship tested positive for COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>（6 月 11 日）皇家加勒比名人千禧号邮轮上的两名客人 COVID-19 检测呈阳性，邮轮股票下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Airline&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;rose&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>航空股早盘上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f60ad4e95f4cf84c7310ed909e0fa7c5\" tg-width=\"301\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>   The duo were on a trip that began in St. Maarten aboard Royal Caribbean's Celebrity Millennium ship. They are asymptomatic and in isolation, RCL said.  Royal Caribbean Group&nbsp;(<b>RCL</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;shares fell Friday after the company said two guests on its Celebrity Millennium ship tested positive for COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>两人乘坐皇家加勒比的名人千年号游轮从圣马丁岛开始旅行。RCL说，他们没有症状，处于隔离状态。皇家加勒比集团（<b>RCL</b>) - 据报道，该公司表示其 Celebrity Millennium 邮轮上的两名客人 COVID-19 检测呈阳性，该公司股价周五下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The two cruisers are asymptomatic and in isolation, RCL said. They were sharing a room and tested positive toward the end of the cruise, which began in St. Maarten.</p><p><blockquote>RCL说，这两艘巡洋舰没有症状，处于隔离状态。他们共用一个房间，在从圣马丁岛开始的巡航接近尾声时检测呈阳性。</blockquote></p><p> The trip was one of RCL’s first to resume in the region after the pandemic forced a shutdown in March 2020. RCL said it’s going through contact tracing, conducting testing on all of the duo’s close contacts and is closely monitoring what’s happening on the ship.</p><p><blockquote>这次旅行是 RCL 在 2020 年 3 月大流行病被迫关闭后在该地区恢复的首批旅行之一。RCL表示，它正在进行接触者追踪，对两人的所有密切接触者进行检测，并密切关注船上发生的事情。</blockquote></p><p> RCL recently traded at $88.78, down 2.04%, in pre-market trading on Friday. It has climbed 12% in the past six months amid enthusiasm for reopenings in the cruise industry and the economy as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>周五盘前交易中，RCL 最新交易价格为 88.78 美元，下跌 2.04%。由于邮轮业和整个经济对重新开放的热情，过去六个月该指数上涨了 12%。</blockquote></p><p> In May and early June,the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention gavetwo RCL ships the nod to do a test sailing in U.S. waters.</p><p><blockquote>5 月和 6 月初，美国疾病控制和预防中心向两艘 RCL 船赠送了 nod 船，在美国水域进行试航。</blockquote></p><p> Allure of the Seas is set to start test cruises from Port Canaveral July 27 to July 29, and Symphony of the Seas will do the same from PortMiami Aug. 1 through Aug. 3.</p><p><blockquote>“海洋诱惑”号将于 7 月 27 日至 7 月 29 日从卡纳维拉尔港开始试航，“海洋交响曲”号将于 8 月 1 日至 8 月 3 日从迈阿密港开始试航。</blockquote></p><p> In March,RCL announced it would resume Caribbeansailings in June.</p><p><blockquote>今年3月，RCL宣布将于6月恢复加勒比海航行。</blockquote></p><p> Also in March, RCL, Carnival Corp.(<b>CCL</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;and Norwegian Cruise Line&nbsp;(<b>NCLH</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;all&nbsp;received price-target increasesfrom J.P. Morgan, based on the prospect of economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>同样在三月份，RCL、嘉年华公司（<b>CCL</b>）-获取报告和挪威邮轮公司（<b>NCLH</b>) -获取摩根大通根据经济复苏前景提出的所有目标价上调报告。</blockquote></p><p> J.P. Morgan analyst Brandt Montour lifted his target price on RCL to $110 from $100,</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师 Brandt Montour 将 RCL 目标价从 100 美元上调至 110 美元，</blockquote></p><p> “We … raise our price targets on slightly higher target multiples driven by positively evolving expectations for potential pricing power,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”在对潜在定价权的积极预期的推动下，我们.在略微提高目标倍数的情况下提高了价格目标。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RCL":"皇家加勒比邮轮","CCL":"嘉年华邮轮","NCLH":"挪威邮轮"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102090194","content_text":"(June 11) Cruise line stocks fell as two guests on Royal Caribbean's Celebrity Millennium ship tested positive for COVID-19.\nAirline stocks rose in morning trading.\n\n\n The duo were on a trip that began in St. Maarten aboard Royal Caribbean's Celebrity Millennium ship. They are asymptomatic and in isolation, RCL said.\n\nRoyal Caribbean Group (RCL) -Get Report shares fell Friday after the company said two guests on its Celebrity Millennium ship tested positive for COVID-19.\nThe two cruisers are asymptomatic and in isolation, RCL said. They were sharing a room and tested positive toward the end of the cruise, which began in St. Maarten.\nThe trip was one of RCL’s first to resume in the region after the pandemic forced a shutdown in March 2020. RCL said it’s going through contact tracing, conducting testing on all of the duo’s close contacts and is closely monitoring what’s happening on the ship.\nRCL recently traded at $88.78, down 2.04%, in pre-market trading on Friday. It has climbed 12% in the past six months amid enthusiasm for reopenings in the cruise industry and the economy as a whole.\nIn May and early June,the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention gavetwo RCL ships the nod to do a test sailing in U.S. waters.\nAllure of the Seas is set to start test cruises from Port Canaveral July 27 to July 29, and Symphony of the Seas will do the same from PortMiami Aug. 1 through Aug. 3.\nIn March,RCL announced it would resume Caribbeansailings in June.\nAlso in March, RCL, Carnival Corp.(CCL) -Get Report and Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) -Get Report all received price-target increasesfrom J.P. Morgan, based on the prospect of economic recovery.\nJ.P. Morgan analyst Brandt Montour lifted his target price on RCL to $110 from $100,\n“We … raise our price targets on slightly higher target multiples driven by positively evolving expectations for potential pricing power,” he 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621944646,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1140046763?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-25 20:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140046763","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures rose on Tuesday, buoyed by gains in mega-cap technology-related stocks as i","content":"<p>U.S. stock index futures rose on Tuesday, buoyed by gains in mega-cap technology-related stocks as inflation worries ebbed and U.S. bond yields eased for the fourth straight day.</p><p><blockquote>由于通胀担忧消退和美国债券收益率连续第四天放缓，美国股指期货周二上涨，大型科技相关股票上涨。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:05 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 93 points, or 0.27%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 14.5 points, or 0.35% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 80.5 points, or 0.59%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 8:05，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 93 点，涨幅 0.27%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨 14.5 点，涨幅 0.35%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 80.5 点，涨幅 0.59%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cb3de938a9511fee104454b3e726612\" tg-width=\"818\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:05</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*资料来源：Tiger Trade，美国东部时间 08:05</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Microsoft Corp and Alphabet Inc added between 0.4% and 1% in premarket trading as the yield on 10-year bond slipped to a fresh two-week low on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>苹果、亚马逊、微软和Alphabet在盘前交易中上涨 0.4% 至 1%，10 年期债券收益率周二跌至两周新低。</blockquote></p><p>Higher yields pressure valuations for tech and other growth stocks, whose future cash flows are discounted at higher rates.</p><p><blockquote>较高的收益率给科技股和其他成长型股票的估值带来压力，这些股票的未来现金流折现率较高。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Moderna(MRNA)</b>-Moderna&nbsp;rose&nbsp;2.33%&nbsp;in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;its Covid-19 vaccine was 100% effective in a study of adolescents ages 12 to 17, making it the second shot behind&nbsp;Pfizer's to demonstrate high efficacy in younger age groups.</p><p><blockquote><b>现代（MRNA）</b>-Moderna 在盘前交易中上涨 2.33%，此前其 Covid-19 疫苗在一项针对 12 至 17 岁青少年的研究中 100% 有效，使其成为继辉瑞公司之后第二支在年轻年龄组中证明高效的疫苗。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lordstown Motors(RIDE)</b> – Lordstown tumbled 13.7% in premarket trading after the electric vehicle startupsaid it needed to raise capitalto fund operations and that its production this year would be, at best, 50% of prior projections.</p><p><blockquote><b>洛兹敦汽车公司（RIDE）</b>– Lordstown 在盘前交易中暴跌 13.7%，此前这家电动汽车初创公司表示需要筹集资金为运营提供资金，并且今年的产量最多只能达到之前预测的 50%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Canopy Growth(CGC) </b>– The cannabis producer’s shares rose 2.4% in the premarket after MKM Partners upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral.” MKM said sentiment surrounding the stock is so low that the current risk/reward profile is very favorable.</p><p><blockquote><b>冠层生长(CGC)</b>- 在 MKM Partners 将大麻生产商的股票评级从 “中性 ”上调至 “买入 ”后，该大麻生产商的股价在盘前上涨了 2.4%。MKM表示，围绕该股的情绪非常低，目前的风险/回报状况非常有利。</blockquote></p><p><b>Shake Shack(SHAK)</b> – The restaurant chain’s stock rallied 5.2% in premarket trading after Goldman Sachs upgraded it to “buy” from “neutral.” Goldman believes a recent pullback presents a buying opportunity, given Shake Shack’s strong balance sheet and favorable long-term growth prospects. Additionally, Wedbush upgraded the stock to “outperform” from “neutral,” citing similar reasons.</p><p><blockquote><b>摇晃小屋（摇晃）</b>- 在高盛将该连锁餐厅的评级从 “中性 ”上调至 “买入 ”后，该连锁餐厅的股价在盘前交易中上涨了 5.2%。高盛认为，鉴于 Shake Shack 强劲的资产负债表和良好的长期增长前景，最近的回调是一个买入机会。此外，韦德布什还以类似理由将该股评级从 “中性 ”上调至 “跑赢大盘”。</blockquote></p><p><b>AutoZone(AZO)</b> – The auto parts retailer reported quarterly profit of $26.48 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $20.14 a share. Revenue also came in above estimates. Comparable-store sales surged 28.9%, well above the consensus FactSet estimate of 17.1%. AutoZone’s gross margins dropped, however, due in part to an acceleration of the company’s commercial business. AutoZone added 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>自动区（偶氮）</b>– 这家汽车零部件零售商公布季度利润为每股 26.48 美元，超出市场普遍预期的每股 20.14 美元。收入也高于预期。可比商店销售额飙升 28.9%，远高于 FactSet 普遍预期的 17.1%。不过，AutoZone 的毛利率有所下降，部分原因是公司商业业务的加速发展。AutoZone 在盘前交易中上涨 1.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Amazon(AMZN)</b> – Amazon could announcea deal to buy MGM Studiosas soon as this week, according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke to CNBC. The projected price of up to $9 billion would make this Amazon’s largest acquisition since it bought Whole Foods in 2017 for $13.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊（AMZN）</b>– 据一位知情人士向 CNBC 透露，亚马逊最早可能在本周宣布收购米高梅影业的交易。预计高达 90 亿美元的价格将成为亚马逊自 2017 年以 137 亿美元收购全食超市以来最大的一笔收购。</blockquote></p><p><b>AstraZeneca(AZN)</b> – AstraZeneca’s $39 billion takeover of U.S. drugmakerAlexion Pharmaceuticals(ALXN) is the subject of a probe by British competition regulators, who want to determine if the deal will reduce competition in the U.K. and elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿斯利康(AZN)</b>- 阿斯利康以 390 亿美元收购美国制药商 Alexion Pharmaceuticals（ALXN）的交易正在接受英国竞争监管机构的调查，他们希望确定这笔交易是否会减少英国和其他地区的竞争。</blockquote></p><p><b>United Airlines(UAL)</b> – United said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that ticketed yields have accelerated during the second quarter ahead of its prior projections. It now sees the key metric of revenue per available seat mile falling about 12% this quarter compared to its prior estimate of a 20% drop.</p><p><blockquote><b>联合航空公司(UAL)</b>– 美联航在向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中表示，第二季度票据收益率加速增长，超出了之前的预测。目前，该公司预计本季度每可用座位英里收入的关键指标将下降约 12%，而之前预计的下降 20%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Live Nation Entertainment(LYV)</b> – Live Nation President Joe Berchtold told CNBC’s “Closing Bell” that concert venue bookings are rebounding, and that it is expecting a better year in 2022 than it had in 2019. Shares added 1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>Live Nation Entertainment（LYV）</b>- Live Nation 总裁乔-贝希托尔德（Joe Berchtold）在 CNBC 的《闭幕钟声》节目中表示，音乐会场地预订量正在反弹，预计 2022 年将比 2019 年更好。股价在盘前交易中上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>IAC/Interactive(IAC) </b>– IAC shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading ahead of today’s spinoff of Vimeo to IAC shareholders. Vimeo will begin trading on the Nasdaq today, with the producer of video tools valued at roughly $10 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>IAC/互动(IAC)</b>- 在今天将 Vimeo 分拆给 IAC 股东之前，IAC 股价在盘前交易中大涨 5.3%。Vimeo 将于今天开始在纳斯达克上交易，这家视频工具生产商的估值约为 100 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>Petco(WOOF) </b>– The pet products retailer announced a secondary stock offering of 22 million shares, with the selling stockholder granting underwriters the option to purchase another 3.3 million shares within 30 days. Petco will not receive any proceeds from the offering. The stock fell 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>佩特科（汪汪）</b>– 这家宠物用品零售商宣布二次发行 2200 万股股票，出售股东授予承销商在 30 天内再购买 330 万股股票的选择权。Petco 不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。该股盘前下跌1.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Alaska Air(ALK)</b> – Alaska Air boosted its cash flow outlook for the current quarter, saying it now expects positive cash flow of $550 million to $650 million compared to a prior projection of $450 million to $550 million. The airline cites improved travel demand as well as better-than-expected affinity card inflows. Alaska Air shares fell 2.8% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿拉斯加航空(ALK)</b>– 阿拉斯加航空上调了本季度的现金流前景，表示目前预计正现金流为 5.5 亿至 6.5 亿美元，而之前的预测为 4.5 亿至 5.5 亿美元。该航空公司表示，旅行需求有所改善，亲和卡流入量好于预期。阿拉斯加航空股价在盘前交易中下跌 2.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-25 20:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock index futures rose on Tuesday, buoyed by gains in mega-cap technology-related stocks as inflation worries ebbed and U.S. bond yields eased for the fourth straight day.</p><p><blockquote>由于通胀担忧消退和美国债券收益率连续第四天放缓，美国股指期货周二上涨，大型科技相关股票上涨。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:05 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 93 points, or 0.27%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 14.5 points, or 0.35% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 80.5 points, or 0.59%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 8:05，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 93 点，涨幅 0.27%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨 14.5 点，涨幅 0.35%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 80.5 点，涨幅 0.59%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cb3de938a9511fee104454b3e726612\" tg-width=\"818\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:05</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*资料来源：Tiger Trade，美国东部时间 08:05</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Microsoft Corp and Alphabet Inc added between 0.4% and 1% in premarket trading as the yield on 10-year bond slipped to a fresh two-week low on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>苹果、亚马逊、微软和Alphabet在盘前交易中上涨 0.4% 至 1%，10 年期债券收益率周二跌至两周新低。</blockquote></p><p>Higher yields pressure valuations for tech and other growth stocks, whose future cash flows are discounted at higher rates.</p><p><blockquote>较高的收益率给科技股和其他成长型股票的估值带来压力，这些股票的未来现金流折现率较高。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Moderna(MRNA)</b>-Moderna&nbsp;rose&nbsp;2.33%&nbsp;in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;its Covid-19 vaccine was 100% effective in a study of adolescents ages 12 to 17, making it the second shot behind&nbsp;Pfizer's to demonstrate high efficacy in younger age groups.</p><p><blockquote><b>现代（MRNA）</b>-Moderna 在盘前交易中上涨 2.33%，此前其 Covid-19 疫苗在一项针对 12 至 17 岁青少年的研究中 100% 有效，使其成为继辉瑞公司之后第二支在年轻年龄组中证明高效的疫苗。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lordstown Motors(RIDE)</b> – Lordstown tumbled 13.7% in premarket trading after the electric vehicle startupsaid it needed to raise capitalto fund operations and that its production this year would be, at best, 50% of prior projections.</p><p><blockquote><b>洛兹敦汽车公司（RIDE）</b>– Lordstown 在盘前交易中暴跌 13.7%，此前这家电动汽车初创公司表示需要筹集资金为运营提供资金，并且今年的产量最多只能达到之前预测的 50%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Canopy Growth(CGC) </b>– The cannabis producer’s shares rose 2.4% in the premarket after MKM Partners upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral.” MKM said sentiment surrounding the stock is so low that the current risk/reward profile is very favorable.</p><p><blockquote><b>冠层生长(CGC)</b>- 在 MKM Partners 将大麻生产商的股票评级从 “中性 ”上调至 “买入 ”后，该大麻生产商的股价在盘前上涨了 2.4%。MKM表示，围绕该股的情绪非常低，目前的风险/回报状况非常有利。</blockquote></p><p><b>Shake Shack(SHAK)</b> – The restaurant chain’s stock rallied 5.2% in premarket trading after Goldman Sachs upgraded it to “buy” from “neutral.” Goldman believes a recent pullback presents a buying opportunity, given Shake Shack’s strong balance sheet and favorable long-term growth prospects. Additionally, Wedbush upgraded the stock to “outperform” from “neutral,” citing similar reasons.</p><p><blockquote><b>摇晃小屋（摇晃）</b>- 在高盛将该连锁餐厅的评级从 “中性 ”上调至 “买入 ”后，该连锁餐厅的股价在盘前交易中上涨了 5.2%。高盛认为，鉴于 Shake Shack 强劲的资产负债表和良好的长期增长前景，最近的回调是一个买入机会。此外，韦德布什还以类似理由将该股评级从 “中性 ”上调至 “跑赢大盘”。</blockquote></p><p><b>AutoZone(AZO)</b> – The auto parts retailer reported quarterly profit of $26.48 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $20.14 a share. Revenue also came in above estimates. Comparable-store sales surged 28.9%, well above the consensus FactSet estimate of 17.1%. AutoZone’s gross margins dropped, however, due in part to an acceleration of the company’s commercial business. AutoZone added 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>自动区（偶氮）</b>– 这家汽车零部件零售商公布季度利润为每股 26.48 美元，超出市场普遍预期的每股 20.14 美元。收入也高于预期。可比商店销售额飙升 28.9%，远高于 FactSet 普遍预期的 17.1%。不过，AutoZone 的毛利率有所下降，部分原因是公司商业业务的加速发展。AutoZone 在盘前交易中上涨 1.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Amazon(AMZN)</b> – Amazon could announcea deal to buy MGM Studiosas soon as this week, according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke to CNBC. The projected price of up to $9 billion would make this Amazon’s largest acquisition since it bought Whole Foods in 2017 for $13.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊（AMZN）</b>– 据一位知情人士向 CNBC 透露，亚马逊最早可能在本周宣布收购米高梅影业的交易。预计高达 90 亿美元的价格将成为亚马逊自 2017 年以 137 亿美元收购全食超市以来最大的一笔收购。</blockquote></p><p><b>AstraZeneca(AZN)</b> – AstraZeneca’s $39 billion takeover of U.S. drugmakerAlexion Pharmaceuticals(ALXN) is the subject of a probe by British competition regulators, who want to determine if the deal will reduce competition in the U.K. and elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿斯利康(AZN)</b>- 阿斯利康以 390 亿美元收购美国制药商 Alexion Pharmaceuticals（ALXN）的交易正在接受英国竞争监管机构的调查，他们希望确定这笔交易是否会减少英国和其他地区的竞争。</blockquote></p><p><b>United Airlines(UAL)</b> – United said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that ticketed yields have accelerated during the second quarter ahead of its prior projections. It now sees the key metric of revenue per available seat mile falling about 12% this quarter compared to its prior estimate of a 20% drop.</p><p><blockquote><b>联合航空公司(UAL)</b>– 美联航在向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中表示，第二季度票据收益率加速增长，超出了之前的预测。目前，该公司预计本季度每可用座位英里收入的关键指标将下降约 12%，而之前预计的下降 20%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Live Nation Entertainment(LYV)</b> – Live Nation President Joe Berchtold told CNBC’s “Closing Bell” that concert venue bookings are rebounding, and that it is expecting a better year in 2022 than it had in 2019. Shares added 1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>Live Nation Entertainment（LYV）</b>- Live Nation 总裁乔-贝希托尔德（Joe Berchtold）在 CNBC 的《闭幕钟声》节目中表示，音乐会场地预订量正在反弹，预计 2022 年将比 2019 年更好。股价在盘前交易中上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>IAC/Interactive(IAC) </b>– IAC shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading ahead of today’s spinoff of Vimeo to IAC shareholders. Vimeo will begin trading on the Nasdaq today, with the producer of video tools valued at roughly $10 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>IAC/互动(IAC)</b>- 在今天将 Vimeo 分拆给 IAC 股东之前，IAC 股价在盘前交易中大涨 5.3%。Vimeo 将于今天开始在纳斯达克上交易，这家视频工具生产商的估值约为 100 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>Petco(WOOF) </b>– The pet products retailer announced a secondary stock offering of 22 million shares, with the selling stockholder granting underwriters the option to purchase another 3.3 million shares within 30 days. Petco will not receive any proceeds from the offering. The stock fell 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>佩特科（汪汪）</b>– 这家宠物用品零售商宣布二次发行 2200 万股股票，出售股东授予承销商在 30 天内再购买 330 万股股票的选择权。Petco 不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。该股盘前下跌1.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Alaska Air(ALK)</b> – Alaska Air boosted its cash flow outlook for the current quarter, saying it now expects positive cash flow of $550 million to $650 million compared to a prior projection of $450 million to $550 million. The airline cites improved travel demand as well as better-than-expected affinity card inflows. Alaska Air shares fell 2.8% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿拉斯加航空(ALK)</b>– 阿拉斯加航空上调了本季度的现金流前景，表示目前预计正现金流为 5.5 亿至 6.5 亿美元，而之前的预测为 4.5 亿至 5.5 亿美元。该航空公司表示，旅行需求有所改善，亲和卡流入量好于预期。阿拉斯加航空股价在盘前交易中下跌 2.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140046763","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures rose on Tuesday, buoyed by gains in mega-cap technology-related stocks as inflation worries ebbed and U.S. bond yields eased for the fourth straight day.At 8:05 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 93 points, or 0.27%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 14.5 points, or 0.35% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 80.5 points, or 0.59%.*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:05Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Microsoft Corp and Alphabet Inc added between 0.4% and 1% in premarket trading as the yield on 10-year bond slipped to a fresh two-week low on Tuesday.Higher yields pressure valuations for tech and other growth stocks, whose future cash flows are discounted at higher rates.Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:Moderna(MRNA)-Moderna rose 2.33% in premarket trading after its Covid-19 vaccine was 100% effective in a study of adolescents ages 12 to 17, making it the second shot behind Pfizer's to demonstrate high efficacy in younger age groups.Lordstown Motors(RIDE) – Lordstown tumbled 13.7% in premarket trading after the electric vehicle startupsaid it needed to raise capitalto fund operations and that its production this year would be, at best, 50% of prior projections.Canopy Growth(CGC) – The cannabis producer’s shares rose 2.4% in the premarket after MKM Partners upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral.” MKM said sentiment surrounding the stock is so low that the current risk/reward profile is very favorable.Shake Shack(SHAK) – The restaurant chain’s stock rallied 5.2% in premarket trading after Goldman Sachs upgraded it to “buy” from “neutral.” Goldman believes a recent pullback presents a buying opportunity, given Shake Shack’s strong balance sheet and favorable long-term growth prospects. Additionally, Wedbush upgraded the stock to “outperform” from “neutral,” citing similar reasons.AutoZone(AZO) – The auto parts retailer reported quarterly profit of $26.48 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $20.14 a share. Revenue also came in above estimates. Comparable-store sales surged 28.9%, well above the consensus FactSet estimate of 17.1%. AutoZone’s gross margins dropped, however, due in part to an acceleration of the company’s commercial business. AutoZone added 1.1% in premarket trading.Amazon(AMZN) – Amazon could announcea deal to buy MGM Studiosas soon as this week, according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke to CNBC. The projected price of up to $9 billion would make this Amazon’s largest acquisition since it bought Whole Foods in 2017 for $13.7 billion.AstraZeneca(AZN) – AstraZeneca’s $39 billion takeover of U.S. drugmakerAlexion Pharmaceuticals(ALXN) is the subject of a probe by British competition regulators, who want to determine if the deal will reduce competition in the U.K. and elsewhere.United Airlines(UAL) – United said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that ticketed yields have accelerated during the second quarter ahead of its prior projections. It now sees the key metric of revenue per available seat mile falling about 12% this quarter compared to its prior estimate of a 20% drop.Live Nation Entertainment(LYV) – Live Nation President Joe Berchtold told CNBC’s “Closing Bell” that concert venue bookings are rebounding, and that it is expecting a better year in 2022 than it had in 2019. Shares added 1% in premarket action.IAC/Interactive(IAC) – IAC shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading ahead of today’s spinoff of Vimeo to IAC shareholders. Vimeo will begin trading on the Nasdaq today, with the producer of video tools valued at roughly $10 billion.Petco(WOOF) – The pet products retailer announced a secondary stock offering of 22 million shares, with the selling stockholder granting underwriters the option to purchase another 3.3 million shares within 30 days. Petco will not receive any proceeds from the offering. The stock fell 1.1% in the premarket.Alaska Air(ALK) – Alaska Air boosted its cash flow outlook for the current quarter, saying it now expects positive cash flow of $550 million to $650 million compared to a prior projection of $450 million to $550 million. The airline cites improved travel demand as well as better-than-expected affinity card inflows. Alaska Air shares fell 2.8% in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182859495,"gmtCreate":1623564229117,"gmtModify":1631890327670,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584698735314345","authorIdStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182859495","repostId":"1191179846","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":797,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131285239,"gmtCreate":1621863337821,"gmtModify":1634186005967,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584698735314345","authorIdStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Woohoo","listText":"Woohoo","text":"Woohoo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131285239","repostId":"2137130218","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186253382,"gmtCreate":1623504336746,"gmtModify":1631890327670,"author":{"id":"3584698735314345","authorId":"3584698735314345","name":"jupaby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7448e766050ccb251de813667b4ac7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584698735314345","authorIdStr":"3584698735314345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Neat","listText":"Neat","text":"Neat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186253382","repostId":"1118102755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118102755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623469189,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1118102755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-12 11:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被骗了--通货膨胀是股市投资者的一大风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118102755","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank ","content":"<p>  <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b>  Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什 (Michael Brush) 就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足够高的水平，足以撼动股市，可能导致高达 15% 的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是：持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%，并促使美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都将扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示，5月份生活成本飙升，将通货膨胀率推至5%的13年来新高。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办？可能和你想的相反。在此之前，我们先来看看今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452%&nbsp;moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候，10 年期国债收益率 TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% 升至 1.7%？好吧，期待重复。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“凯投宏观经济学家弗兰齐斯卡-帕尔马斯（Franziska Palmas）说：”我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。她的研究小组预计，到今年年底，10年期国债收益率为2.25%，到2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>这将比目前的 1.5% 水平有很大的进步。当利率大幅上升时，股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Fed渐缩</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;(FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）淡化了央行缩减债券购买规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）的12名成员中有一半最近表示，他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。联邦公开市场委员会是制定货币政策的美联储部门。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>“《预测市场》（Predicting the Markets）一书的作者、亚德尼研究公司（Yardeni Research）负责人埃德-亚德尼（Ed Yardeni）说：”在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前，鲍威尔将越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得'实质性进一步进展'。鲍威尔曾多次表示，美联储正在等待经济取得 “实质性进一步进展”，然后再终止刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼预测：”鉴于经济的表现，有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模，几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。缩减规模是指美联储减少债券购买。这收紧了货币供应，从而抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零，美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&amp;P 500 SPX,+0.19%,&nbsp;the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04%&nbsp;and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，缩减规模会在股市中引发 “缩减规模狂潮”，这意味着标普500 SPX 指数（+0.19%）、道琼斯工业平均指数（+0.04%）和纳斯达克综合指数（+0.35%）等指数将大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑如何应对债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩可能导致的抛售时，要记住的关键是为什么这些事情会发生，以及历史告诉我们股票如何表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为，缩减收益率和不断上升的债券收益率会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但事实并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的，最初，紧缩可能会导致股市下跌，或者充其量是横盘波动。但随后随着牛市的持续，股市摆脱了困境并走高。这是有道理的，因为紧缩政策的发生是有充分理由的，有助于企业——强劲的经济增长。这将收益推高很多，从而将估值重置为较低的水平——回到投资者感到舒适的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>“Leuthold 市场策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说：”缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分，让市场走高。这是一个健康的发展”。</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&amp;P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&amp;P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场烟火，保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将把标普500的收益推至年底的220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低，该指数的市盈率（P/E）将降至 18-19，接近或低于 1990 年以来的平均水平。“他说：”这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 不要采取“防御”策略</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时，下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的 “稳定”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时，你想采取守势，而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性的名字会带来收益。因此，与债券一样，它们也受到利率上升的打击，这会降低股息以及支付股息的股票和债券的价值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最好方法是将你的投资组合与过热的经济联系起来。这是利润增长和利润杠杆最好的地方，”保尔森说。“防守是得不到的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 选择受益于增长的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济快速增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着工业股、基础材料消费品、小盘股和国际股票等周期性股票。“保尔森说：”增长放缓的消费品和公用事业将跟不上市场的增长领域。</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17%&nbsp;and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%&nbsp;and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&amp;P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议 Lindblad Expeditions LIND，+0.17% 和 Cardlytics CDLX，+4.54%，并在我的股票信中，在 2020 年 9 月和 2019 年 11 月温习股票（我网站的链接在下面的简历中）。我仍然喜欢并拥有这两款产品，尽管它们分别上涨了 48% 和 157%，是标普500的两到四倍。最近的内部买入证实他们正在买入并持有当前水平附近。另外，两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。林德布拉德提供前往异国情调的专门邮轮探险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.不要出货</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来，那么在此之前尝试卖出股票，并在疲软发生后回购可能很有诱惑力。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示，事实上，几乎不可能把握正确的时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼说：”你必须做出两个明智的决定。“你必须在纠错前下车，然后再决定什么时候回来。我不知道有多少人能坚持这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器经常出局后再也进不来，他们会错过下一轮上涨。“保尔森说：”试图避免更正可能会给自己带来麻烦。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底，债券收益率将达到 2% 或更高。因此，不要持有债券，因为当收益率上升时，债券的价格就会下跌--除非你只是打算持有到期以获得收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 理财</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜，这意味着 10 年期国债的长期利率上升速度比短期利率快得多。由于银行在短端借款，在长端放贷，陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07%&nbsp;and Bank of America BAC,+0.41%&nbsp;are up over twice as much as the S&amp;P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出，强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金，这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年 8 月在股票信中提出建议以来，摩根大通 JPM（-0.07%）和美国银行 BAC（+0.41%）的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实，尽管过去几个季度表现强劲，但该行业仍然值得拥有。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被骗了--通货膨胀是股市投资者的一大风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被骗了--通货膨胀是股市投资者的一大风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-12 11:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b>  Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什 (Michael Brush) 就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足够高的水平，足以撼动股市，可能导致高达 15% 的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是：持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%，并促使美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都将扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示，5月份生活成本飙升，将通货膨胀率推至5%的13年来新高。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办？可能和你想的相反。在此之前，我们先来看看今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452%&nbsp;moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候，10 年期国债收益率 TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% 升至 1.7%？好吧，期待重复。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“凯投宏观经济学家弗兰齐斯卡-帕尔马斯（Franziska Palmas）说：”我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。她的研究小组预计，到今年年底，10年期国债收益率为2.25%，到2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>这将比目前的 1.5% 水平有很大的进步。当利率大幅上升时，股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Fed渐缩</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;(FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）淡化了央行缩减债券购买规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）的12名成员中有一半最近表示，他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。联邦公开市场委员会是制定货币政策的美联储部门。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>“《预测市场》（Predicting the Markets）一书的作者、亚德尼研究公司（Yardeni Research）负责人埃德-亚德尼（Ed Yardeni）说：”在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前，鲍威尔将越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得'实质性进一步进展'。鲍威尔曾多次表示，美联储正在等待经济取得 “实质性进一步进展”，然后再终止刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼预测：”鉴于经济的表现，有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模，几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。缩减规模是指美联储减少债券购买。这收紧了货币供应，从而抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零，美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&amp;P 500 SPX,+0.19%,&nbsp;the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04%&nbsp;and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，缩减规模会在股市中引发 “缩减规模狂潮”，这意味着标普500 SPX 指数（+0.19%）、道琼斯工业平均指数（+0.04%）和纳斯达克综合指数（+0.35%）等指数将大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑如何应对债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩可能导致的抛售时，要记住的关键是为什么这些事情会发生，以及历史告诉我们股票如何表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为，缩减收益率和不断上升的债券收益率会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但事实并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的，最初，紧缩可能会导致股市下跌，或者充其量是横盘波动。但随后随着牛市的持续，股市摆脱了困境并走高。这是有道理的，因为紧缩政策的发生是有充分理由的，有助于企业——强劲的经济增长。这将收益推高很多，从而将估值重置为较低的水平——回到投资者感到舒适的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>“Leuthold 市场策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说：”缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分，让市场走高。这是一个健康的发展”。</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&amp;P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&amp;P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场烟火，保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将把标普500的收益推至年底的220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低，该指数的市盈率（P/E）将降至 18-19，接近或低于 1990 年以来的平均水平。“他说：”这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 不要采取“防御”策略</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时，下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的 “稳定”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时，你想采取守势，而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性的名字会带来收益。因此，与债券一样，它们也受到利率上升的打击，这会降低股息以及支付股息的股票和债券的价值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最好方法是将你的投资组合与过热的经济联系起来。这是利润增长和利润杠杆最好的地方，”保尔森说。“防守是得不到的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 选择受益于增长的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济快速增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着工业股、基础材料消费品、小盘股和国际股票等周期性股票。“保尔森说：”增长放缓的消费品和公用事业将跟不上市场的增长领域。</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17%&nbsp;and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%&nbsp;and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&amp;P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议 Lindblad Expeditions LIND，+0.17% 和 Cardlytics CDLX，+4.54%，并在我的股票信中，在 2020 年 9 月和 2019 年 11 月温习股票（我网站的链接在下面的简历中）。我仍然喜欢并拥有这两款产品，尽管它们分别上涨了 48% 和 157%，是标普500的两到四倍。最近的内部买入证实他们正在买入并持有当前水平附近。另外，两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。林德布拉德提供前往异国情调的专门邮轮探险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.不要出货</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来，那么在此之前尝试卖出股票，并在疲软发生后回购可能很有诱惑力。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示，事实上，几乎不可能把握正确的时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼说：”你必须做出两个明智的决定。“你必须在纠错前下车，然后再决定什么时候回来。我不知道有多少人能坚持这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器经常出局后再也进不来，他们会错过下一轮上涨。“保尔森说：”试图避免更正可能会给自己带来麻烦。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底，债券收益率将达到 2% 或更高。因此，不要持有债券，因为当收益率上升时，债券的价格就会下跌--除非你只是打算持有到期以获得收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 理财</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜，这意味着 10 年期国债的长期利率上升速度比短期利率快得多。由于银行在短端借款，在长端放贷，陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07%&nbsp;and Bank of America BAC,+0.41%&nbsp;are up over twice as much as the S&amp;P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出，强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金，这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年 8 月在股票信中提出建议以来，摩根大通 JPM（-0.07%）和美国银行 BAC（+0.41%）的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实，尽管过去几个季度表现强劲，但该行业仍然值得拥有。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118102755","content_text":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.\n\nDon’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.\nThe reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.\nThe government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.\nWhat should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.\nRising yields\nRemember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.\n“We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.\nThat’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.\nFed tapering\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.\n“It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.\n“Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.\nHe thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.\nAs we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&P 500 SPX,+0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04% and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.\nHow to prepare\nWhen considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.\nThe consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.\nYes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.\n“Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”\nLooking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.\nYour five-point game plan\n1. Do not go to “defensives”\nWhen people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.\n“The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”\n2. Go with companies that benefit from growth\nSince rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.\nI first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17% and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54% and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.\n3. Do not get out of stocks\nIf you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.\n“You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”\nMarket timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.\n4. Do not own bonds\nBond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.\n5. Go with financials\nStrong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.\nThe strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07% and Bank of America BAC,+0.41% are up over twice as much as the S&P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}