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小韭菜_27

小韭菜_27

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2022-03-06

2021-08-14

Hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-01

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$hi there

2022-02-14

2021-11-11

$PayPal(PYPL)$WWooohhh...

2021-08-02

Like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-26

Like please

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-21

hi//@Mml:Informative

Moderna Announces FDA Authorization of Booster Dose of COVID-19 Vaccine in the U.S. for Adults 18 Years and Older<blockquote>Moderna宣布FDA授权美国18岁及以上成年人接种新冠疫苗加强剂量</blockquote>

2021-08-09

Hi

EV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>

2022-02-17

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$moon pls

2021-11-09

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$finally, you seem like waking up

2021-11-08

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$finally, you are half awake now :')

2021-10-28

$Microsoft(MSFT)$to da sun!!!

2021-08-16

Hi

Big tech stocks fell in morning trading, Apple fell over 1% after reaching record high<blockquote>大型科技股早盘下跌苹果创历史新高后跌超1%</blockquote>

2021-08-02

Like

Stocks open higher to kick off August on positive note<blockquote>股市高开，以积极的基调开启八月</blockquote>

2021-08-01

Like

Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote>

2021-07-27

Hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-03-11

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@捷克Jack:现在的BABA可能是最适合期权获利的标的

2021-10-28

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$to da moon!!!

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it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634699381","repostId":"632524031","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632524031,"gmtCreate":1646622113150,"gmtModify":1646647050185,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"07/08年的感觉回来了：黄金2000，原油不言顶","htmlText":"上周初的跳空主要缺口并未能得到回补，这确定了近期趋势的进一步强化。黄金开始涨向2000关口，原油则继续高歌猛进完全和美股指脱钩。上一次市场如此疯狂的时刻，还要回到07/08年金融危机。只不过，这次由地缘政治所引发的危机可能比当时还要猛烈。 远离原油 在上周中的直播中，我们对比了美油与标普的长线走势图，类似的情况出现在雷曼时刻前夕——美股已经开始见顶回落大幅修正，油价还继续猛冲了一段时间后才出现断崖式崩盘。基于此，再考虑到当前原油无任何调整的走法，任何左侧交易的猜测头部都是送钱。原油的波动率目前也不再适合普通投资者参与，安静的等待事情起变化或许是最好的选择。 做空欧洲 直播中比较推荐的做空欧洲+做多其他地区的主要逻辑十分明显：俄罗斯乌克兰的局势缺乏快速解决的机会和方法。虽然美国和北约都是遥控指挥，但是毕竟主战场是在欧洲大陆的。如果真有什么的新的大级别的冲突，欧洲是首当其中的倒霉蛋。 欧股和欧元的表现也已经体现了投资者对于这方面的担忧。虽然其他风险资产和非美货币也在下跌，但是最不抗跌的显然还是欧元和欧股。远离主战场（做空主要对应资产）+做多其他同类型资产是我们对于当前局势的看法。 同样的思路可以提前布局到其他可能会出现危机/问题的国家与地区，尤其是哪些前期相对看跌或者涨的比较高的地方。 黄金等待新高 黄金继续保持上涨，和我们的中长期目标方向吻合，多头从1900到2000几乎可以说没有费任何吹灰之力，下一个主要压制就是前期的历史高位了。和原油类似，目前的市场环境找不到任何压制黄金的理由，市场走势本身也是牛气冲天。因此继续待在车上拿稳了就行。 白银同步开始上涨，也取得了趋势线的突破，不过从相对表现来看，还是没有太出彩的地方，这多多少少有些令人失望。不过也不用过于着急，白银或许需要突破站稳30大关之后，才能让那些看空做空白银的资金彻底认输。到时候，类似原油的轧空行情就会到来。贵金属牛","listText":"上周初的跳空主要缺口并未能得到回补，这确定了近期趋势的进一步强化。黄金开始涨向2000关口，原油则继续高歌猛进完全和美股指脱钩。上一次市场如此疯狂的时刻，还要回到07/08年金融危机。只不过，这次由地缘政治所引发的危机可能比当时还要猛烈。 远离原油 在上周中的直播中，我们对比了美油与标普的长线走势图，类似的情况出现在雷曼时刻前夕——美股已经开始见顶回落大幅修正，油价还继续猛冲了一段时间后才出现断崖式崩盘。基于此，再考虑到当前原油无任何调整的走法，任何左侧交易的猜测头部都是送钱。原油的波动率目前也不再适合普通投资者参与，安静的等待事情起变化或许是最好的选择。 做空欧洲 直播中比较推荐的做空欧洲+做多其他地区的主要逻辑十分明显：俄罗斯乌克兰的局势缺乏快速解决的机会和方法。虽然美国和北约都是遥控指挥，但是毕竟主战场是在欧洲大陆的。如果真有什么的新的大级别的冲突，欧洲是首当其中的倒霉蛋。 欧股和欧元的表现也已经体现了投资者对于这方面的担忧。虽然其他风险资产和非美货币也在下跌，但是最不抗跌的显然还是欧元和欧股。远离主战场（做空主要对应资产）+做多其他同类型资产是我们对于当前局势的看法。 同样的思路可以提前布局到其他可能会出现危机/问题的国家与地区，尤其是哪些前期相对看跌或者涨的比较高的地方。 黄金等待新高 黄金继续保持上涨，和我们的中长期目标方向吻合，多头从1900到2000几乎可以说没有费任何吹灰之力，下一个主要压制就是前期的历史高位了。和原油类似，目前的市场环境找不到任何压制黄金的理由，市场走势本身也是牛气冲天。因此继续待在车上拿稳了就行。 白银同步开始上涨，也取得了趋势线的突破，不过从相对表现来看，还是没有太出彩的地方，这多多少少有些令人失望。不过也不用过于着急，白银或许需要突破站稳30大关之后，才能让那些看空做空白银的资金彻底认输。到时候，类似原油的轧空行情就会到来。贵金属牛","text":"上周初的跳空主要缺口并未能得到回补，这确定了近期趋势的进一步强化。黄金开始涨向2000关口，原油则继续高歌猛进完全和美股指脱钩。上一次市场如此疯狂的时刻，还要回到07/08年金融危机。只不过，这次由地缘政治所引发的危机可能比当时还要猛烈。 远离原油 在上周中的直播中，我们对比了美油与标普的长线走势图，类似的情况出现在雷曼时刻前夕——美股已经开始见顶回落大幅修正，油价还继续猛冲了一段时间后才出现断崖式崩盘。基于此，再考虑到当前原油无任何调整的走法，任何左侧交易的猜测头部都是送钱。原油的波动率目前也不再适合普通投资者参与，安静的等待事情起变化或许是最好的选择。 做空欧洲 直播中比较推荐的做空欧洲+做多其他地区的主要逻辑十分明显：俄罗斯乌克兰的局势缺乏快速解决的机会和方法。虽然美国和北约都是遥控指挥，但是毕竟主战场是在欧洲大陆的。如果真有什么的新的大级别的冲突，欧洲是首当其中的倒霉蛋。 欧股和欧元的表现也已经体现了投资者对于这方面的担忧。虽然其他风险资产和非美货币也在下跌，但是最不抗跌的显然还是欧元和欧股。远离主战场（做空主要对应资产）+做多其他同类型资产是我们对于当前局势的看法。 同样的思路可以提前布局到其他可能会出现危机/问题的国家与地区，尤其是哪些前期相对看跌或者涨的比较高的地方。 黄金等待新高 黄金继续保持上涨，和我们的中长期目标方向吻合，多头从1900到2000几乎可以说没有费任何吹灰之力，下一个主要压制就是前期的历史高位了。和原油类似，目前的市场环境找不到任何压制黄金的理由，市场走势本身也是牛气冲天。因此继续待在车上拿稳了就行。 白银同步开始上涨，也取得了趋势线的突破，不过从相对表现来看，还是没有太出彩的地方，这多多少少有些令人失望。不过也不用过于着急，白银或许需要突破站稳30大关之后，才能让那些看空做空白银的资金彻底认输。到时候，类似原油的轧空行情就会到来。贵金属牛","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/611f21bc44ab3370abb3533407653e44","width":"1363","height":"678"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632524031","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634699979,"gmtCreate":1647451061838,"gmtModify":1647451061997,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634699979","repostId":"635668752","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":635668752,"gmtCreate":1646982498762,"gmtModify":1744960797205,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"21347731130544","idStr":"21347731130544"},"themes":[],"title":"中概股再遭血洗，聊聊我是如何应对暴跌的！","htmlText":"昨夜，美国证监会将5家中概股列入《外国公司问责法》的暂定清单，包括百济神州、百胜中国、再鼎医药、盛美半导体、和黄医药。根据该法案，如果外国上市公司连续三年未能提交美国上市公司会计监督委员会所要求的报告，SEC有权将其从交易所摘牌。这则消息让中概股再遭血洗，拼多多一夜暴跌17%、爱奇艺暴跌22%！恐慌情绪传到港股，美团一度大跌12%；腾讯一度大跌6%，股价创调整新低；阿里巴巴一度大跌8%，跌破90港币大关。其他互联网企业一概遭遇血洗。恐慌之下，很多中概股投资者在犹豫要不要继续抄底？作为10年投资的老司机，也算是经历过2015年A股股灾和2018年的慢熊，分享几个熊市保命的经验。第一点：不用杠杆2015年首先杀的就是杠杆，但凡融资的投资者，基本没有善终的。因此，如果你想抄底中概股，不要用杠杆。第二点：别急着加仓抄底中概的投资者，很多人痛苦的来源就是频繁加仓。以腾讯为例，在410-480横盘震荡区间，很多人反复加仓，包括段永平。大家都认为腾讯长时间的震荡，是大底无疑，害怕错失20PE的腾讯，于是，稍微点几个点，就嚷嚷抄底。结果，腾讯无情的跌破了这个横盘震荡区间，刚跌破的时候有人喊抄底，如今遭遇SEC退市危机，仍然急着考虑要不要买点。个人经验，在熊市的时候，抄底不是按照几个点来规划的，而是腾讯20PE抄底1把、15PE抄一把、10PE打出最后的子弹。所以，20pe抄底的人，不应该在19PE、或者18PE的时候就动手，一定要把抄底加仓的区间拉大。第三点：单一个股设置仓位天花板很多投资者不设仓位天花板，有时候甚至卖出盈利的股，全仓买入亏损的股。我个人对单一股票，或者同行业股票，最大仓位30%，达到之后，无论是多么便宜的价格，都不会再加仓。如果亏损的股是好股，它会在后面涨回来，甚至创下历史新高，比如腾讯。而如果买入的股票是垃圾股，或者基本面恶化，那你加仓越多，亏损越多。所以，如果中概股占","listText":"昨夜，美国证监会将5家中概股列入《外国公司问责法》的暂定清单，包括百济神州、百胜中国、再鼎医药、盛美半导体、和黄医药。根据该法案，如果外国上市公司连续三年未能提交美国上市公司会计监督委员会所要求的报告，SEC有权将其从交易所摘牌。这则消息让中概股再遭血洗，拼多多一夜暴跌17%、爱奇艺暴跌22%！恐慌情绪传到港股，美团一度大跌12%；腾讯一度大跌6%，股价创调整新低；阿里巴巴一度大跌8%，跌破90港币大关。其他互联网企业一概遭遇血洗。恐慌之下，很多中概股投资者在犹豫要不要继续抄底？作为10年投资的老司机，也算是经历过2015年A股股灾和2018年的慢熊，分享几个熊市保命的经验。第一点：不用杠杆2015年首先杀的就是杠杆，但凡融资的投资者，基本没有善终的。因此，如果你想抄底中概股，不要用杠杆。第二点：别急着加仓抄底中概的投资者，很多人痛苦的来源就是频繁加仓。以腾讯为例，在410-480横盘震荡区间，很多人反复加仓，包括段永平。大家都认为腾讯长时间的震荡，是大底无疑，害怕错失20PE的腾讯，于是，稍微点几个点，就嚷嚷抄底。结果，腾讯无情的跌破了这个横盘震荡区间，刚跌破的时候有人喊抄底，如今遭遇SEC退市危机，仍然急着考虑要不要买点。个人经验，在熊市的时候，抄底不是按照几个点来规划的，而是腾讯20PE抄底1把、15PE抄一把、10PE打出最后的子弹。所以，20pe抄底的人，不应该在19PE、或者18PE的时候就动手，一定要把抄底加仓的区间拉大。第三点：单一个股设置仓位天花板很多投资者不设仓位天花板，有时候甚至卖出盈利的股，全仓买入亏损的股。我个人对单一股票，或者同行业股票，最大仓位30%，达到之后，无论是多么便宜的价格，都不会再加仓。如果亏损的股是好股，它会在后面涨回来，甚至创下历史新高，比如腾讯。而如果买入的股票是垃圾股，或者基本面恶化，那你加仓越多，亏损越多。所以，如果中概股占","text":"昨夜，美国证监会将5家中概股列入《外国公司问责法》的暂定清单，包括百济神州、百胜中国、再鼎医药、盛美半导体、和黄医药。根据该法案，如果外国上市公司连续三年未能提交美国上市公司会计监督委员会所要求的报告，SEC有权将其从交易所摘牌。这则消息让中概股再遭血洗，拼多多一夜暴跌17%、爱奇艺暴跌22%！恐慌情绪传到港股，美团一度大跌12%；腾讯一度大跌6%，股价创调整新低；阿里巴巴一度大跌8%，跌破90港币大关。其他互联网企业一概遭遇血洗。恐慌之下，很多中概股投资者在犹豫要不要继续抄底？作为10年投资的老司机，也算是经历过2015年A股股灾和2018年的慢熊，分享几个熊市保命的经验。第一点：不用杠杆2015年首先杀的就是杠杆，但凡融资的投资者，基本没有善终的。因此，如果你想抄底中概股，不要用杠杆。第二点：别急着加仓抄底中概的投资者，很多人痛苦的来源就是频繁加仓。以腾讯为例，在410-480横盘震荡区间，很多人反复加仓，包括段永平。大家都认为腾讯长时间的震荡，是大底无疑，害怕错失20PE的腾讯，于是，稍微点几个点，就嚷嚷抄底。结果，腾讯无情的跌破了这个横盘震荡区间，刚跌破的时候有人喊抄底，如今遭遇SEC退市危机，仍然急着考虑要不要买点。个人经验，在熊市的时候，抄底不是按照几个点来规划的，而是腾讯20PE抄底1把、15PE抄一把、10PE打出最后的子弹。所以，20pe抄底的人，不应该在19PE、或者18PE的时候就动手，一定要把抄底加仓的区间拉大。第三点：单一个股设置仓位天花板很多投资者不设仓位天花板，有时候甚至卖出盈利的股，全仓买入亏损的股。我个人对单一股票，或者同行业股票，最大仓位30%，达到之后，无论是多么便宜的价格，都不会再加仓。如果亏损的股是好股，它会在后面涨回来，甚至创下历史新高，比如腾讯。而如果买入的股票是垃圾股，或者基本面恶化，那你加仓越多，亏损越多。所以，如果中概股占","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635668752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1841,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634690707,"gmtCreate":1647451054029,"gmtModify":1647451054229,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634690707","repostId":"632710058","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632710058,"gmtCreate":1646703674412,"gmtModify":1744960795390,"author":{"id":"4087984885325640","authorId":"4087984885325640","name":"言财美股研究社","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e4b8de7e5193af177d4fd115494e4a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087984885325640","idStr":"4087984885325640"},"themes":[],"title":"以史为鉴：油价暴涨，超级滞胀期来临，大类资产怎么配？","htmlText":"大类资产轮动是否存在规律？今年以来，多件风险事件叠加监管政策因素持续冲击多个市场，各类资产走势分化。尤其是近期在俄乌冲突升级以后，石油价格以60年最快的速度暴涨，带动大宗商品集体暴动，铜、铝、镍等等近期都走出了摧枯拉朽的走势，暴涨的大宗商品给全球经济带来巨大的压力，经济衰退风险骤然提升，一边是高企的通胀，一边是下行的经济，这种组合，怎么配置？从大类资产轮动的角度出发，站在当下时点，市场所面临的是怎样的环境？回顾历史，以美林时钟以及杠杆周期的核心逻辑为出发点，试图回答这个问题。他山之石，可以攻玉，回顾历史：是否存在轮动规律？从美林时钟出发，回顾近十年来，大类资产的表现，其核心逻辑在于，在经济周期的不同阶段均有表现好于大市的资产出现，因此基于经济周期演变对股票、可转债、利率债以及信用债、房地产、大宗商品这六大类资产的价格走势进行分析。使用工业增加值作为经济增长的代指标，将CPI作为衡量通胀的指标，根据不同组合将经济周期分为：复苏期（经济上行、通胀下行）、过热期（经济上行、通胀上行）、滞涨期（经济下行、通胀上行）、衰退期(经济下行、通胀下行)。Ⅰ衰退：债券&gt;现金&gt;股票&gt;大宗商品Ⅱ复苏：大宗商品&gt;股票&gt;债券&gt;现金Ⅲ过热：股票&gt;大宗商品&gt;现金/债券Ⅳ滞胀：现金&gt;大宗商品/债券&gt;股票当下经济进入了典型的滞涨阶段，大宗商品暴涨，在本阶段，股票成为表现最差的资产，现金与大宗商品则成为表现更好的资产。本文以2007-2015年这一段时间来完整展现，大经济周期之下，各类资产的表现，来分析各类阶段大类资产配置的要点所在。2007 -2012年：回顾大类资产的历史走势，2007至2012年所经历的四年是由经济周期本身驱动的大类资产轮动历程。我们选取选取上证综指、中证转债指数、10年期国债到期收益率、3年期中票到期收益率（AA+）以及信用利","listText":"大类资产轮动是否存在规律？今年以来，多件风险事件叠加监管政策因素持续冲击多个市场，各类资产走势分化。尤其是近期在俄乌冲突升级以后，石油价格以60年最快的速度暴涨，带动大宗商品集体暴动，铜、铝、镍等等近期都走出了摧枯拉朽的走势，暴涨的大宗商品给全球经济带来巨大的压力，经济衰退风险骤然提升，一边是高企的通胀，一边是下行的经济，这种组合，怎么配置？从大类资产轮动的角度出发，站在当下时点，市场所面临的是怎样的环境？回顾历史，以美林时钟以及杠杆周期的核心逻辑为出发点，试图回答这个问题。他山之石，可以攻玉，回顾历史：是否存在轮动规律？从美林时钟出发，回顾近十年来，大类资产的表现，其核心逻辑在于，在经济周期的不同阶段均有表现好于大市的资产出现，因此基于经济周期演变对股票、可转债、利率债以及信用债、房地产、大宗商品这六大类资产的价格走势进行分析。使用工业增加值作为经济增长的代指标，将CPI作为衡量通胀的指标，根据不同组合将经济周期分为：复苏期（经济上行、通胀下行）、过热期（经济上行、通胀上行）、滞涨期（经济下行、通胀上行）、衰退期(经济下行、通胀下行)。Ⅰ衰退：债券&gt;现金&gt;股票&gt;大宗商品Ⅱ复苏：大宗商品&gt;股票&gt;债券&gt;现金Ⅲ过热：股票&gt;大宗商品&gt;现金/债券Ⅳ滞胀：现金&gt;大宗商品/债券&gt;股票当下经济进入了典型的滞涨阶段，大宗商品暴涨，在本阶段，股票成为表现最差的资产，现金与大宗商品则成为表现更好的资产。本文以2007-2015年这一段时间来完整展现，大经济周期之下，各类资产的表现，来分析各类阶段大类资产配置的要点所在。2007 -2012年：回顾大类资产的历史走势，2007至2012年所经历的四年是由经济周期本身驱动的大类资产轮动历程。我们选取选取上证综指、中证转债指数、10年期国债到期收益率、3年期中票到期收益率（AA+）以及信用利","text":"大类资产轮动是否存在规律？今年以来，多件风险事件叠加监管政策因素持续冲击多个市场，各类资产走势分化。尤其是近期在俄乌冲突升级以后，石油价格以60年最快的速度暴涨，带动大宗商品集体暴动，铜、铝、镍等等近期都走出了摧枯拉朽的走势，暴涨的大宗商品给全球经济带来巨大的压力，经济衰退风险骤然提升，一边是高企的通胀，一边是下行的经济，这种组合，怎么配置？从大类资产轮动的角度出发，站在当下时点，市场所面临的是怎样的环境？回顾历史，以美林时钟以及杠杆周期的核心逻辑为出发点，试图回答这个问题。他山之石，可以攻玉，回顾历史：是否存在轮动规律？从美林时钟出发，回顾近十年来，大类资产的表现，其核心逻辑在于，在经济周期的不同阶段均有表现好于大市的资产出现，因此基于经济周期演变对股票、可转债、利率债以及信用债、房地产、大宗商品这六大类资产的价格走势进行分析。使用工业增加值作为经济增长的代指标，将CPI作为衡量通胀的指标，根据不同组合将经济周期分为：复苏期（经济上行、通胀下行）、过热期（经济上行、通胀上行）、滞涨期（经济下行、通胀上行）、衰退期(经济下行、通胀下行)。Ⅰ衰退：债券>现金>股票>大宗商品Ⅱ复苏：大宗商品>股票>债券>现金Ⅲ过热：股票>大宗商品>现金/债券Ⅳ滞胀：现金>大宗商品/债券>股票当下经济进入了典型的滞涨阶段，大宗商品暴涨，在本阶段，股票成为表现最差的资产，现金与大宗商品则成为表现更好的资产。本文以2007-2015年这一段时间来完整展现，大经济周期之下，各类资产的表现，来分析各类阶段大类资产配置的要点所在。2007 -2012年：回顾大类资产的历史走势，2007至2012年所经历的四年是由经济周期本身驱动的大类资产轮动历程。我们选取选取上证综指、中证转债指数、10年期国债到期收益率、3年期中票到期收益率（AA+）以及信用利","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a808fea3ab7e2767b2ee0699f10b35a","width":"632","height":"136"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6db8bba48fc12eb6685da576f42c7d77","width":"632","height":"160"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4eb1642bde731c50808df9e508e98680","width":"632","height":"385"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632710058","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634355234,"gmtCreate":1647363500073,"gmtModify":1647363500246,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634355234","repostId":"632524031","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632524031,"gmtCreate":1646622113150,"gmtModify":1646647050185,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"07/08年的感觉回来了：黄金2000，原油不言顶","htmlText":"上周初的跳空主要缺口并未能得到回补，这确定了近期趋势的进一步强化。黄金开始涨向2000关口，原油则继续高歌猛进完全和美股指脱钩。上一次市场如此疯狂的时刻，还要回到07/08年金融危机。只不过，这次由地缘政治所引发的危机可能比当时还要猛烈。 远离原油 在上周中的直播中，我们对比了美油与标普的长线走势图，类似的情况出现在雷曼时刻前夕——美股已经开始见顶回落大幅修正，油价还继续猛冲了一段时间后才出现断崖式崩盘。基于此，再考虑到当前原油无任何调整的走法，任何左侧交易的猜测头部都是送钱。原油的波动率目前也不再适合普通投资者参与，安静的等待事情起变化或许是最好的选择。 做空欧洲 直播中比较推荐的做空欧洲+做多其他地区的主要逻辑十分明显：俄罗斯乌克兰的局势缺乏快速解决的机会和方法。虽然美国和北约都是遥控指挥，但是毕竟主战场是在欧洲大陆的。如果真有什么的新的大级别的冲突，欧洲是首当其中的倒霉蛋。 欧股和欧元的表现也已经体现了投资者对于这方面的担忧。虽然其他风险资产和非美货币也在下跌，但是最不抗跌的显然还是欧元和欧股。远离主战场（做空主要对应资产）+做多其他同类型资产是我们对于当前局势的看法。 同样的思路可以提前布局到其他可能会出现危机/问题的国家与地区，尤其是哪些前期相对看跌或者涨的比较高的地方。 黄金等待新高 黄金继续保持上涨，和我们的中长期目标方向吻合，多头从1900到2000几乎可以说没有费任何吹灰之力，下一个主要压制就是前期的历史高位了。和原油类似，目前的市场环境找不到任何压制黄金的理由，市场走势本身也是牛气冲天。因此继续待在车上拿稳了就行。 白银同步开始上涨，也取得了趋势线的突破，不过从相对表现来看，还是没有太出彩的地方，这多多少少有些令人失望。不过也不用过于着急，白银或许需要突破站稳30大关之后，才能让那些看空做空白银的资金彻底认输。到时候，类似原油的轧空行情就会到来。贵金属牛","listText":"上周初的跳空主要缺口并未能得到回补，这确定了近期趋势的进一步强化。黄金开始涨向2000关口，原油则继续高歌猛进完全和美股指脱钩。上一次市场如此疯狂的时刻，还要回到07/08年金融危机。只不过，这次由地缘政治所引发的危机可能比当时还要猛烈。 远离原油 在上周中的直播中，我们对比了美油与标普的长线走势图，类似的情况出现在雷曼时刻前夕——美股已经开始见顶回落大幅修正，油价还继续猛冲了一段时间后才出现断崖式崩盘。基于此，再考虑到当前原油无任何调整的走法，任何左侧交易的猜测头部都是送钱。原油的波动率目前也不再适合普通投资者参与，安静的等待事情起变化或许是最好的选择。 做空欧洲 直播中比较推荐的做空欧洲+做多其他地区的主要逻辑十分明显：俄罗斯乌克兰的局势缺乏快速解决的机会和方法。虽然美国和北约都是遥控指挥，但是毕竟主战场是在欧洲大陆的。如果真有什么的新的大级别的冲突，欧洲是首当其中的倒霉蛋。 欧股和欧元的表现也已经体现了投资者对于这方面的担忧。虽然其他风险资产和非美货币也在下跌，但是最不抗跌的显然还是欧元和欧股。远离主战场（做空主要对应资产）+做多其他同类型资产是我们对于当前局势的看法。 同样的思路可以提前布局到其他可能会出现危机/问题的国家与地区，尤其是哪些前期相对看跌或者涨的比较高的地方。 黄金等待新高 黄金继续保持上涨，和我们的中长期目标方向吻合，多头从1900到2000几乎可以说没有费任何吹灰之力，下一个主要压制就是前期的历史高位了。和原油类似，目前的市场环境找不到任何压制黄金的理由，市场走势本身也是牛气冲天。因此继续待在车上拿稳了就行。 白银同步开始上涨，也取得了趋势线的突破，不过从相对表现来看，还是没有太出彩的地方，这多多少少有些令人失望。不过也不用过于着急，白银或许需要突破站稳30大关之后，才能让那些看空做空白银的资金彻底认输。到时候，类似原油的轧空行情就会到来。贵金属牛","text":"上周初的跳空主要缺口并未能得到回补，这确定了近期趋势的进一步强化。黄金开始涨向2000关口，原油则继续高歌猛进完全和美股指脱钩。上一次市场如此疯狂的时刻，还要回到07/08年金融危机。只不过，这次由地缘政治所引发的危机可能比当时还要猛烈。 远离原油 在上周中的直播中，我们对比了美油与标普的长线走势图，类似的情况出现在雷曼时刻前夕——美股已经开始见顶回落大幅修正，油价还继续猛冲了一段时间后才出现断崖式崩盘。基于此，再考虑到当前原油无任何调整的走法，任何左侧交易的猜测头部都是送钱。原油的波动率目前也不再适合普通投资者参与，安静的等待事情起变化或许是最好的选择。 做空欧洲 直播中比较推荐的做空欧洲+做多其他地区的主要逻辑十分明显：俄罗斯乌克兰的局势缺乏快速解决的机会和方法。虽然美国和北约都是遥控指挥，但是毕竟主战场是在欧洲大陆的。如果真有什么的新的大级别的冲突，欧洲是首当其中的倒霉蛋。 欧股和欧元的表现也已经体现了投资者对于这方面的担忧。虽然其他风险资产和非美货币也在下跌，但是最不抗跌的显然还是欧元和欧股。远离主战场（做空主要对应资产）+做多其他同类型资产是我们对于当前局势的看法。 同样的思路可以提前布局到其他可能会出现危机/问题的国家与地区，尤其是哪些前期相对看跌或者涨的比较高的地方。 黄金等待新高 黄金继续保持上涨，和我们的中长期目标方向吻合，多头从1900到2000几乎可以说没有费任何吹灰之力，下一个主要压制就是前期的历史高位了。和原油类似，目前的市场环境找不到任何压制黄金的理由，市场走势本身也是牛气冲天。因此继续待在车上拿稳了就行。 白银同步开始上涨，也取得了趋势线的突破，不过从相对表现来看，还是没有太出彩的地方，这多多少少有些令人失望。不过也不用过于着急，白银或许需要突破站稳30大关之后，才能让那些看空做空白银的资金彻底认输。到时候，类似原油的轧空行情就会到来。贵金属牛","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/611f21bc44ab3370abb3533407653e44","width":"1363","height":"678"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632524031","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3003,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634355667,"gmtCreate":1647363492326,"gmtModify":1647363492601,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634355667","repostId":"635668752","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":635668752,"gmtCreate":1646982498762,"gmtModify":1744960797205,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"21347731130544","idStr":"21347731130544"},"themes":[],"title":"中概股再遭血洗，聊聊我是如何应对暴跌的！","htmlText":"昨夜，美国证监会将5家中概股列入《外国公司问责法》的暂定清单，包括百济神州、百胜中国、再鼎医药、盛美半导体、和黄医药。根据该法案，如果外国上市公司连续三年未能提交美国上市公司会计监督委员会所要求的报告，SEC有权将其从交易所摘牌。这则消息让中概股再遭血洗，拼多多一夜暴跌17%、爱奇艺暴跌22%！恐慌情绪传到港股，美团一度大跌12%；腾讯一度大跌6%，股价创调整新低；阿里巴巴一度大跌8%，跌破90港币大关。其他互联网企业一概遭遇血洗。恐慌之下，很多中概股投资者在犹豫要不要继续抄底？作为10年投资的老司机，也算是经历过2015年A股股灾和2018年的慢熊，分享几个熊市保命的经验。第一点：不用杠杆2015年首先杀的就是杠杆，但凡融资的投资者，基本没有善终的。因此，如果你想抄底中概股，不要用杠杆。第二点：别急着加仓抄底中概的投资者，很多人痛苦的来源就是频繁加仓。以腾讯为例，在410-480横盘震荡区间，很多人反复加仓，包括段永平。大家都认为腾讯长时间的震荡，是大底无疑，害怕错失20PE的腾讯，于是，稍微点几个点，就嚷嚷抄底。结果，腾讯无情的跌破了这个横盘震荡区间，刚跌破的时候有人喊抄底，如今遭遇SEC退市危机，仍然急着考虑要不要买点。个人经验，在熊市的时候，抄底不是按照几个点来规划的，而是腾讯20PE抄底1把、15PE抄一把、10PE打出最后的子弹。所以，20pe抄底的人，不应该在19PE、或者18PE的时候就动手，一定要把抄底加仓的区间拉大。第三点：单一个股设置仓位天花板很多投资者不设仓位天花板，有时候甚至卖出盈利的股，全仓买入亏损的股。我个人对单一股票，或者同行业股票，最大仓位30%，达到之后，无论是多么便宜的价格，都不会再加仓。如果亏损的股是好股，它会在后面涨回来，甚至创下历史新高，比如腾讯。而如果买入的股票是垃圾股，或者基本面恶化，那你加仓越多，亏损越多。所以，如果中概股占","listText":"昨夜，美国证监会将5家中概股列入《外国公司问责法》的暂定清单，包括百济神州、百胜中国、再鼎医药、盛美半导体、和黄医药。根据该法案，如果外国上市公司连续三年未能提交美国上市公司会计监督委员会所要求的报告，SEC有权将其从交易所摘牌。这则消息让中概股再遭血洗，拼多多一夜暴跌17%、爱奇艺暴跌22%！恐慌情绪传到港股，美团一度大跌12%；腾讯一度大跌6%，股价创调整新低；阿里巴巴一度大跌8%，跌破90港币大关。其他互联网企业一概遭遇血洗。恐慌之下，很多中概股投资者在犹豫要不要继续抄底？作为10年投资的老司机，也算是经历过2015年A股股灾和2018年的慢熊，分享几个熊市保命的经验。第一点：不用杠杆2015年首先杀的就是杠杆，但凡融资的投资者，基本没有善终的。因此，如果你想抄底中概股，不要用杠杆。第二点：别急着加仓抄底中概的投资者，很多人痛苦的来源就是频繁加仓。以腾讯为例，在410-480横盘震荡区间，很多人反复加仓，包括段永平。大家都认为腾讯长时间的震荡，是大底无疑，害怕错失20PE的腾讯，于是，稍微点几个点，就嚷嚷抄底。结果，腾讯无情的跌破了这个横盘震荡区间，刚跌破的时候有人喊抄底，如今遭遇SEC退市危机，仍然急着考虑要不要买点。个人经验，在熊市的时候，抄底不是按照几个点来规划的，而是腾讯20PE抄底1把、15PE抄一把、10PE打出最后的子弹。所以，20pe抄底的人，不应该在19PE、或者18PE的时候就动手，一定要把抄底加仓的区间拉大。第三点：单一个股设置仓位天花板很多投资者不设仓位天花板，有时候甚至卖出盈利的股，全仓买入亏损的股。我个人对单一股票，或者同行业股票，最大仓位30%，达到之后，无论是多么便宜的价格，都不会再加仓。如果亏损的股是好股，它会在后面涨回来，甚至创下历史新高，比如腾讯。而如果买入的股票是垃圾股，或者基本面恶化，那你加仓越多，亏损越多。所以，如果中概股占","text":"昨夜，美国证监会将5家中概股列入《外国公司问责法》的暂定清单，包括百济神州、百胜中国、再鼎医药、盛美半导体、和黄医药。根据该法案，如果外国上市公司连续三年未能提交美国上市公司会计监督委员会所要求的报告，SEC有权将其从交易所摘牌。这则消息让中概股再遭血洗，拼多多一夜暴跌17%、爱奇艺暴跌22%！恐慌情绪传到港股，美团一度大跌12%；腾讯一度大跌6%，股价创调整新低；阿里巴巴一度大跌8%，跌破90港币大关。其他互联网企业一概遭遇血洗。恐慌之下，很多中概股投资者在犹豫要不要继续抄底？作为10年投资的老司机，也算是经历过2015年A股股灾和2018年的慢熊，分享几个熊市保命的经验。第一点：不用杠杆2015年首先杀的就是杠杆，但凡融资的投资者，基本没有善终的。因此，如果你想抄底中概股，不要用杠杆。第二点：别急着加仓抄底中概的投资者，很多人痛苦的来源就是频繁加仓。以腾讯为例，在410-480横盘震荡区间，很多人反复加仓，包括段永平。大家都认为腾讯长时间的震荡，是大底无疑，害怕错失20PE的腾讯，于是，稍微点几个点，就嚷嚷抄底。结果，腾讯无情的跌破了这个横盘震荡区间，刚跌破的时候有人喊抄底，如今遭遇SEC退市危机，仍然急着考虑要不要买点。个人经验，在熊市的时候，抄底不是按照几个点来规划的，而是腾讯20PE抄底1把、15PE抄一把、10PE打出最后的子弹。所以，20pe抄底的人，不应该在19PE、或者18PE的时候就动手，一定要把抄底加仓的区间拉大。第三点：单一个股设置仓位天花板很多投资者不设仓位天花板，有时候甚至卖出盈利的股，全仓买入亏损的股。我个人对单一股票，或者同行业股票，最大仓位30%，达到之后，无论是多么便宜的价格，都不会再加仓。如果亏损的股是好股，它会在后面涨回来，甚至创下历史新高，比如腾讯。而如果买入的股票是垃圾股，或者基本面恶化，那你加仓越多，亏损越多。所以，如果中概股占","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635668752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634355893,"gmtCreate":1647363484899,"gmtModify":1647363485162,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634355893","repostId":"632710058","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632710058,"gmtCreate":1646703674412,"gmtModify":1744960795390,"author":{"id":"4087984885325640","authorId":"4087984885325640","name":"言财美股研究社","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e4b8de7e5193af177d4fd115494e4a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087984885325640","idStr":"4087984885325640"},"themes":[],"title":"以史为鉴：油价暴涨，超级滞胀期来临，大类资产怎么配？","htmlText":"大类资产轮动是否存在规律？今年以来，多件风险事件叠加监管政策因素持续冲击多个市场，各类资产走势分化。尤其是近期在俄乌冲突升级以后，石油价格以60年最快的速度暴涨，带动大宗商品集体暴动，铜、铝、镍等等近期都走出了摧枯拉朽的走势，暴涨的大宗商品给全球经济带来巨大的压力，经济衰退风险骤然提升，一边是高企的通胀，一边是下行的经济，这种组合，怎么配置？从大类资产轮动的角度出发，站在当下时点，市场所面临的是怎样的环境？回顾历史，以美林时钟以及杠杆周期的核心逻辑为出发点，试图回答这个问题。他山之石，可以攻玉，回顾历史：是否存在轮动规律？从美林时钟出发，回顾近十年来，大类资产的表现，其核心逻辑在于，在经济周期的不同阶段均有表现好于大市的资产出现，因此基于经济周期演变对股票、可转债、利率债以及信用债、房地产、大宗商品这六大类资产的价格走势进行分析。使用工业增加值作为经济增长的代指标，将CPI作为衡量通胀的指标，根据不同组合将经济周期分为：复苏期（经济上行、通胀下行）、过热期（经济上行、通胀上行）、滞涨期（经济下行、通胀上行）、衰退期(经济下行、通胀下行)。Ⅰ衰退：债券&gt;现金&gt;股票&gt;大宗商品Ⅱ复苏：大宗商品&gt;股票&gt;债券&gt;现金Ⅲ过热：股票&gt;大宗商品&gt;现金/债券Ⅳ滞胀：现金&gt;大宗商品/债券&gt;股票当下经济进入了典型的滞涨阶段，大宗商品暴涨，在本阶段，股票成为表现最差的资产，现金与大宗商品则成为表现更好的资产。本文以2007-2015年这一段时间来完整展现，大经济周期之下，各类资产的表现，来分析各类阶段大类资产配置的要点所在。2007 -2012年：回顾大类资产的历史走势，2007至2012年所经历的四年是由经济周期本身驱动的大类资产轮动历程。我们选取选取上证综指、中证转债指数、10年期国债到期收益率、3年期中票到期收益率（AA+）以及信用利","listText":"大类资产轮动是否存在规律？今年以来，多件风险事件叠加监管政策因素持续冲击多个市场，各类资产走势分化。尤其是近期在俄乌冲突升级以后，石油价格以60年最快的速度暴涨，带动大宗商品集体暴动，铜、铝、镍等等近期都走出了摧枯拉朽的走势，暴涨的大宗商品给全球经济带来巨大的压力，经济衰退风险骤然提升，一边是高企的通胀，一边是下行的经济，这种组合，怎么配置？从大类资产轮动的角度出发，站在当下时点，市场所面临的是怎样的环境？回顾历史，以美林时钟以及杠杆周期的核心逻辑为出发点，试图回答这个问题。他山之石，可以攻玉，回顾历史：是否存在轮动规律？从美林时钟出发，回顾近十年来，大类资产的表现，其核心逻辑在于，在经济周期的不同阶段均有表现好于大市的资产出现，因此基于经济周期演变对股票、可转债、利率债以及信用债、房地产、大宗商品这六大类资产的价格走势进行分析。使用工业增加值作为经济增长的代指标，将CPI作为衡量通胀的指标，根据不同组合将经济周期分为：复苏期（经济上行、通胀下行）、过热期（经济上行、通胀上行）、滞涨期（经济下行、通胀上行）、衰退期(经济下行、通胀下行)。Ⅰ衰退：债券&gt;现金&gt;股票&gt;大宗商品Ⅱ复苏：大宗商品&gt;股票&gt;债券&gt;现金Ⅲ过热：股票&gt;大宗商品&gt;现金/债券Ⅳ滞胀：现金&gt;大宗商品/债券&gt;股票当下经济进入了典型的滞涨阶段，大宗商品暴涨，在本阶段，股票成为表现最差的资产，现金与大宗商品则成为表现更好的资产。本文以2007-2015年这一段时间来完整展现，大经济周期之下，各类资产的表现，来分析各类阶段大类资产配置的要点所在。2007 -2012年：回顾大类资产的历史走势，2007至2012年所经历的四年是由经济周期本身驱动的大类资产轮动历程。我们选取选取上证综指、中证转债指数、10年期国债到期收益率、3年期中票到期收益率（AA+）以及信用利","text":"大类资产轮动是否存在规律？今年以来，多件风险事件叠加监管政策因素持续冲击多个市场，各类资产走势分化。尤其是近期在俄乌冲突升级以后，石油价格以60年最快的速度暴涨，带动大宗商品集体暴动，铜、铝、镍等等近期都走出了摧枯拉朽的走势，暴涨的大宗商品给全球经济带来巨大的压力，经济衰退风险骤然提升，一边是高企的通胀，一边是下行的经济，这种组合，怎么配置？从大类资产轮动的角度出发，站在当下时点，市场所面临的是怎样的环境？回顾历史，以美林时钟以及杠杆周期的核心逻辑为出发点，试图回答这个问题。他山之石，可以攻玉，回顾历史：是否存在轮动规律？从美林时钟出发，回顾近十年来，大类资产的表现，其核心逻辑在于，在经济周期的不同阶段均有表现好于大市的资产出现，因此基于经济周期演变对股票、可转债、利率债以及信用债、房地产、大宗商品这六大类资产的价格走势进行分析。使用工业增加值作为经济增长的代指标，将CPI作为衡量通胀的指标，根据不同组合将经济周期分为：复苏期（经济上行、通胀下行）、过热期（经济上行、通胀上行）、滞涨期（经济下行、通胀上行）、衰退期(经济下行、通胀下行)。Ⅰ衰退：债券>现金>股票>大宗商品Ⅱ复苏：大宗商品>股票>债券>现金Ⅲ过热：股票>大宗商品>现金/债券Ⅳ滞胀：现金>大宗商品/债券>股票当下经济进入了典型的滞涨阶段，大宗商品暴涨，在本阶段，股票成为表现最差的资产，现金与大宗商品则成为表现更好的资产。本文以2007-2015年这一段时间来完整展现，大经济周期之下，各类资产的表现，来分析各类阶段大类资产配置的要点所在。2007 -2012年：回顾大类资产的历史走势，2007至2012年所经历的四年是由经济周期本身驱动的大类资产轮动历程。我们选取选取上证综指、中证转债指数、10年期国债到期收益率、3年期中票到期收益率（AA+）以及信用利","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a808fea3ab7e2767b2ee0699f10b35a","width":"632","height":"136"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6db8bba48fc12eb6685da576f42c7d77","width":"632","height":"160"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4eb1642bde731c50808df9e508e98680","width":"632","height":"385"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632710058","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634088391,"gmtCreate":1647278814535,"gmtModify":1647278814791,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$Alphabet(GOOGL)$</a>.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$Alphabet(GOOGL)$</a>.","text":"$Alphabet(GOOGL)$.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9feaeb55a193402bdd714a41631de8a","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634088391","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":747,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635436458,"gmtCreate":1647191804298,"gmtModify":1647191804550,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635436458","repostId":"632524031","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632524031,"gmtCreate":1646622113150,"gmtModify":1646647050185,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"07/08年的感觉回来了：黄金2000，原油不言顶","htmlText":"上周初的跳空主要缺口并未能得到回补，这确定了近期趋势的进一步强化。黄金开始涨向2000关口，原油则继续高歌猛进完全和美股指脱钩。上一次市场如此疯狂的时刻，还要回到07/08年金融危机。只不过，这次由地缘政治所引发的危机可能比当时还要猛烈。 远离原油 在上周中的直播中，我们对比了美油与标普的长线走势图，类似的情况出现在雷曼时刻前夕——美股已经开始见顶回落大幅修正，油价还继续猛冲了一段时间后才出现断崖式崩盘。基于此，再考虑到当前原油无任何调整的走法，任何左侧交易的猜测头部都是送钱。原油的波动率目前也不再适合普通投资者参与，安静的等待事情起变化或许是最好的选择。 做空欧洲 直播中比较推荐的做空欧洲+做多其他地区的主要逻辑十分明显：俄罗斯乌克兰的局势缺乏快速解决的机会和方法。虽然美国和北约都是遥控指挥，但是毕竟主战场是在欧洲大陆的。如果真有什么的新的大级别的冲突，欧洲是首当其中的倒霉蛋。 欧股和欧元的表现也已经体现了投资者对于这方面的担忧。虽然其他风险资产和非美货币也在下跌，但是最不抗跌的显然还是欧元和欧股。远离主战场（做空主要对应资产）+做多其他同类型资产是我们对于当前局势的看法。 同样的思路可以提前布局到其他可能会出现危机/问题的国家与地区，尤其是哪些前期相对看跌或者涨的比较高的地方。 黄金等待新高 黄金继续保持上涨，和我们的中长期目标方向吻合，多头从1900到2000几乎可以说没有费任何吹灰之力，下一个主要压制就是前期的历史高位了。和原油类似，目前的市场环境找不到任何压制黄金的理由，市场走势本身也是牛气冲天。因此继续待在车上拿稳了就行。 白银同步开始上涨，也取得了趋势线的突破，不过从相对表现来看，还是没有太出彩的地方，这多多少少有些令人失望。不过也不用过于着急，白银或许需要突破站稳30大关之后，才能让那些看空做空白银的资金彻底认输。到时候，类似原油的轧空行情就会到来。贵金属牛","listText":"上周初的跳空主要缺口并未能得到回补，这确定了近期趋势的进一步强化。黄金开始涨向2000关口，原油则继续高歌猛进完全和美股指脱钩。上一次市场如此疯狂的时刻，还要回到07/08年金融危机。只不过，这次由地缘政治所引发的危机可能比当时还要猛烈。 远离原油 在上周中的直播中，我们对比了美油与标普的长线走势图，类似的情况出现在雷曼时刻前夕——美股已经开始见顶回落大幅修正，油价还继续猛冲了一段时间后才出现断崖式崩盘。基于此，再考虑到当前原油无任何调整的走法，任何左侧交易的猜测头部都是送钱。原油的波动率目前也不再适合普通投资者参与，安静的等待事情起变化或许是最好的选择。 做空欧洲 直播中比较推荐的做空欧洲+做多其他地区的主要逻辑十分明显：俄罗斯乌克兰的局势缺乏快速解决的机会和方法。虽然美国和北约都是遥控指挥，但是毕竟主战场是在欧洲大陆的。如果真有什么的新的大级别的冲突，欧洲是首当其中的倒霉蛋。 欧股和欧元的表现也已经体现了投资者对于这方面的担忧。虽然其他风险资产和非美货币也在下跌，但是最不抗跌的显然还是欧元和欧股。远离主战场（做空主要对应资产）+做多其他同类型资产是我们对于当前局势的看法。 同样的思路可以提前布局到其他可能会出现危机/问题的国家与地区，尤其是哪些前期相对看跌或者涨的比较高的地方。 黄金等待新高 黄金继续保持上涨，和我们的中长期目标方向吻合，多头从1900到2000几乎可以说没有费任何吹灰之力，下一个主要压制就是前期的历史高位了。和原油类似，目前的市场环境找不到任何压制黄金的理由，市场走势本身也是牛气冲天。因此继续待在车上拿稳了就行。 白银同步开始上涨，也取得了趋势线的突破，不过从相对表现来看，还是没有太出彩的地方，这多多少少有些令人失望。不过也不用过于着急，白银或许需要突破站稳30大关之后，才能让那些看空做空白银的资金彻底认输。到时候，类似原油的轧空行情就会到来。贵金属牛","text":"上周初的跳空主要缺口并未能得到回补，这确定了近期趋势的进一步强化。黄金开始涨向2000关口，原油则继续高歌猛进完全和美股指脱钩。上一次市场如此疯狂的时刻，还要回到07/08年金融危机。只不过，这次由地缘政治所引发的危机可能比当时还要猛烈。 远离原油 在上周中的直播中，我们对比了美油与标普的长线走势图，类似的情况出现在雷曼时刻前夕——美股已经开始见顶回落大幅修正，油价还继续猛冲了一段时间后才出现断崖式崩盘。基于此，再考虑到当前原油无任何调整的走法，任何左侧交易的猜测头部都是送钱。原油的波动率目前也不再适合普通投资者参与，安静的等待事情起变化或许是最好的选择。 做空欧洲 直播中比较推荐的做空欧洲+做多其他地区的主要逻辑十分明显：俄罗斯乌克兰的局势缺乏快速解决的机会和方法。虽然美国和北约都是遥控指挥，但是毕竟主战场是在欧洲大陆的。如果真有什么的新的大级别的冲突，欧洲是首当其中的倒霉蛋。 欧股和欧元的表现也已经体现了投资者对于这方面的担忧。虽然其他风险资产和非美货币也在下跌，但是最不抗跌的显然还是欧元和欧股。远离主战场（做空主要对应资产）+做多其他同类型资产是我们对于当前局势的看法。 同样的思路可以提前布局到其他可能会出现危机/问题的国家与地区，尤其是哪些前期相对看跌或者涨的比较高的地方。 黄金等待新高 黄金继续保持上涨，和我们的中长期目标方向吻合，多头从1900到2000几乎可以说没有费任何吹灰之力，下一个主要压制就是前期的历史高位了。和原油类似，目前的市场环境找不到任何压制黄金的理由，市场走势本身也是牛气冲天。因此继续待在车上拿稳了就行。 白银同步开始上涨，也取得了趋势线的突破，不过从相对表现来看，还是没有太出彩的地方，这多多少少有些令人失望。不过也不用过于着急，白银或许需要突破站稳30大关之后，才能让那些看空做空白银的资金彻底认输。到时候，类似原油的轧空行情就会到来。贵金属牛","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/611f21bc44ab3370abb3533407653e44","width":"1363","height":"678"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632524031","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635436514,"gmtCreate":1647191797385,"gmtModify":1647191797626,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635436514","repostId":"635668752","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":635668752,"gmtCreate":1646982498762,"gmtModify":1744960797205,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"21347731130544","idStr":"21347731130544"},"themes":[],"title":"中概股再遭血洗，聊聊我是如何应对暴跌的！","htmlText":"昨夜，美国证监会将5家中概股列入《外国公司问责法》的暂定清单，包括百济神州、百胜中国、再鼎医药、盛美半导体、和黄医药。根据该法案，如果外国上市公司连续三年未能提交美国上市公司会计监督委员会所要求的报告，SEC有权将其从交易所摘牌。这则消息让中概股再遭血洗，拼多多一夜暴跌17%、爱奇艺暴跌22%！恐慌情绪传到港股，美团一度大跌12%；腾讯一度大跌6%，股价创调整新低；阿里巴巴一度大跌8%，跌破90港币大关。其他互联网企业一概遭遇血洗。恐慌之下，很多中概股投资者在犹豫要不要继续抄底？作为10年投资的老司机，也算是经历过2015年A股股灾和2018年的慢熊，分享几个熊市保命的经验。第一点：不用杠杆2015年首先杀的就是杠杆，但凡融资的投资者，基本没有善终的。因此，如果你想抄底中概股，不要用杠杆。第二点：别急着加仓抄底中概的投资者，很多人痛苦的来源就是频繁加仓。以腾讯为例，在410-480横盘震荡区间，很多人反复加仓，包括段永平。大家都认为腾讯长时间的震荡，是大底无疑，害怕错失20PE的腾讯，于是，稍微点几个点，就嚷嚷抄底。结果，腾讯无情的跌破了这个横盘震荡区间，刚跌破的时候有人喊抄底，如今遭遇SEC退市危机，仍然急着考虑要不要买点。个人经验，在熊市的时候，抄底不是按照几个点来规划的，而是腾讯20PE抄底1把、15PE抄一把、10PE打出最后的子弹。所以，20pe抄底的人，不应该在19PE、或者18PE的时候就动手，一定要把抄底加仓的区间拉大。第三点：单一个股设置仓位天花板很多投资者不设仓位天花板，有时候甚至卖出盈利的股，全仓买入亏损的股。我个人对单一股票，或者同行业股票，最大仓位30%，达到之后，无论是多么便宜的价格，都不会再加仓。如果亏损的股是好股，它会在后面涨回来，甚至创下历史新高，比如腾讯。而如果买入的股票是垃圾股，或者基本面恶化，那你加仓越多，亏损越多。所以，如果中概股占","listText":"昨夜，美国证监会将5家中概股列入《外国公司问责法》的暂定清单，包括百济神州、百胜中国、再鼎医药、盛美半导体、和黄医药。根据该法案，如果外国上市公司连续三年未能提交美国上市公司会计监督委员会所要求的报告，SEC有权将其从交易所摘牌。这则消息让中概股再遭血洗，拼多多一夜暴跌17%、爱奇艺暴跌22%！恐慌情绪传到港股，美团一度大跌12%；腾讯一度大跌6%，股价创调整新低；阿里巴巴一度大跌8%，跌破90港币大关。其他互联网企业一概遭遇血洗。恐慌之下，很多中概股投资者在犹豫要不要继续抄底？作为10年投资的老司机，也算是经历过2015年A股股灾和2018年的慢熊，分享几个熊市保命的经验。第一点：不用杠杆2015年首先杀的就是杠杆，但凡融资的投资者，基本没有善终的。因此，如果你想抄底中概股，不要用杠杆。第二点：别急着加仓抄底中概的投资者，很多人痛苦的来源就是频繁加仓。以腾讯为例，在410-480横盘震荡区间，很多人反复加仓，包括段永平。大家都认为腾讯长时间的震荡，是大底无疑，害怕错失20PE的腾讯，于是，稍微点几个点，就嚷嚷抄底。结果，腾讯无情的跌破了这个横盘震荡区间，刚跌破的时候有人喊抄底，如今遭遇SEC退市危机，仍然急着考虑要不要买点。个人经验，在熊市的时候，抄底不是按照几个点来规划的，而是腾讯20PE抄底1把、15PE抄一把、10PE打出最后的子弹。所以，20pe抄底的人，不应该在19PE、或者18PE的时候就动手，一定要把抄底加仓的区间拉大。第三点：单一个股设置仓位天花板很多投资者不设仓位天花板，有时候甚至卖出盈利的股，全仓买入亏损的股。我个人对单一股票，或者同行业股票，最大仓位30%，达到之后，无论是多么便宜的价格，都不会再加仓。如果亏损的股是好股，它会在后面涨回来，甚至创下历史新高，比如腾讯。而如果买入的股票是垃圾股，或者基本面恶化，那你加仓越多，亏损越多。所以，如果中概股占","text":"昨夜，美国证监会将5家中概股列入《外国公司问责法》的暂定清单，包括百济神州、百胜中国、再鼎医药、盛美半导体、和黄医药。根据该法案，如果外国上市公司连续三年未能提交美国上市公司会计监督委员会所要求的报告，SEC有权将其从交易所摘牌。这则消息让中概股再遭血洗，拼多多一夜暴跌17%、爱奇艺暴跌22%！恐慌情绪传到港股，美团一度大跌12%；腾讯一度大跌6%，股价创调整新低；阿里巴巴一度大跌8%，跌破90港币大关。其他互联网企业一概遭遇血洗。恐慌之下，很多中概股投资者在犹豫要不要继续抄底？作为10年投资的老司机，也算是经历过2015年A股股灾和2018年的慢熊，分享几个熊市保命的经验。第一点：不用杠杆2015年首先杀的就是杠杆，但凡融资的投资者，基本没有善终的。因此，如果你想抄底中概股，不要用杠杆。第二点：别急着加仓抄底中概的投资者，很多人痛苦的来源就是频繁加仓。以腾讯为例，在410-480横盘震荡区间，很多人反复加仓，包括段永平。大家都认为腾讯长时间的震荡，是大底无疑，害怕错失20PE的腾讯，于是，稍微点几个点，就嚷嚷抄底。结果，腾讯无情的跌破了这个横盘震荡区间，刚跌破的时候有人喊抄底，如今遭遇SEC退市危机，仍然急着考虑要不要买点。个人经验，在熊市的时候，抄底不是按照几个点来规划的，而是腾讯20PE抄底1把、15PE抄一把、10PE打出最后的子弹。所以，20pe抄底的人，不应该在19PE、或者18PE的时候就动手，一定要把抄底加仓的区间拉大。第三点：单一个股设置仓位天花板很多投资者不设仓位天花板，有时候甚至卖出盈利的股，全仓买入亏损的股。我个人对单一股票，或者同行业股票，最大仓位30%，达到之后，无论是多么便宜的价格，都不会再加仓。如果亏损的股是好股，它会在后面涨回来，甚至创下历史新高，比如腾讯。而如果买入的股票是垃圾股，或者基本面恶化，那你加仓越多，亏损越多。所以，如果中概股占","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635668752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635436263,"gmtCreate":1647191789572,"gmtModify":1647191789735,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635436263","repostId":"632710058","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632710058,"gmtCreate":1646703674412,"gmtModify":1744960795390,"author":{"id":"4087984885325640","authorId":"4087984885325640","name":"言财美股研究社","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e4b8de7e5193af177d4fd115494e4a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087984885325640","idStr":"4087984885325640"},"themes":[],"title":"以史为鉴：油价暴涨，超级滞胀期来临，大类资产怎么配？","htmlText":"大类资产轮动是否存在规律？今年以来，多件风险事件叠加监管政策因素持续冲击多个市场，各类资产走势分化。尤其是近期在俄乌冲突升级以后，石油价格以60年最快的速度暴涨，带动大宗商品集体暴动，铜、铝、镍等等近期都走出了摧枯拉朽的走势，暴涨的大宗商品给全球经济带来巨大的压力，经济衰退风险骤然提升，一边是高企的通胀，一边是下行的经济，这种组合，怎么配置？从大类资产轮动的角度出发，站在当下时点，市场所面临的是怎样的环境？回顾历史，以美林时钟以及杠杆周期的核心逻辑为出发点，试图回答这个问题。他山之石，可以攻玉，回顾历史：是否存在轮动规律？从美林时钟出发，回顾近十年来，大类资产的表现，其核心逻辑在于，在经济周期的不同阶段均有表现好于大市的资产出现，因此基于经济周期演变对股票、可转债、利率债以及信用债、房地产、大宗商品这六大类资产的价格走势进行分析。使用工业增加值作为经济增长的代指标，将CPI作为衡量通胀的指标，根据不同组合将经济周期分为：复苏期（经济上行、通胀下行）、过热期（经济上行、通胀上行）、滞涨期（经济下行、通胀上行）、衰退期(经济下行、通胀下行)。Ⅰ衰退：债券&gt;现金&gt;股票&gt;大宗商品Ⅱ复苏：大宗商品&gt;股票&gt;债券&gt;现金Ⅲ过热：股票&gt;大宗商品&gt;现金/债券Ⅳ滞胀：现金&gt;大宗商品/债券&gt;股票当下经济进入了典型的滞涨阶段，大宗商品暴涨，在本阶段，股票成为表现最差的资产，现金与大宗商品则成为表现更好的资产。本文以2007-2015年这一段时间来完整展现，大经济周期之下，各类资产的表现，来分析各类阶段大类资产配置的要点所在。2007 -2012年：回顾大类资产的历史走势，2007至2012年所经历的四年是由经济周期本身驱动的大类资产轮动历程。我们选取选取上证综指、中证转债指数、10年期国债到期收益率、3年期中票到期收益率（AA+）以及信用利","listText":"大类资产轮动是否存在规律？今年以来，多件风险事件叠加监管政策因素持续冲击多个市场，各类资产走势分化。尤其是近期在俄乌冲突升级以后，石油价格以60年最快的速度暴涨，带动大宗商品集体暴动，铜、铝、镍等等近期都走出了摧枯拉朽的走势，暴涨的大宗商品给全球经济带来巨大的压力，经济衰退风险骤然提升，一边是高企的通胀，一边是下行的经济，这种组合，怎么配置？从大类资产轮动的角度出发，站在当下时点，市场所面临的是怎样的环境？回顾历史，以美林时钟以及杠杆周期的核心逻辑为出发点，试图回答这个问题。他山之石，可以攻玉，回顾历史：是否存在轮动规律？从美林时钟出发，回顾近十年来，大类资产的表现，其核心逻辑在于，在经济周期的不同阶段均有表现好于大市的资产出现，因此基于经济周期演变对股票、可转债、利率债以及信用债、房地产、大宗商品这六大类资产的价格走势进行分析。使用工业增加值作为经济增长的代指标，将CPI作为衡量通胀的指标，根据不同组合将经济周期分为：复苏期（经济上行、通胀下行）、过热期（经济上行、通胀上行）、滞涨期（经济下行、通胀上行）、衰退期(经济下行、通胀下行)。Ⅰ衰退：债券&gt;现金&gt;股票&gt;大宗商品Ⅱ复苏：大宗商品&gt;股票&gt;债券&gt;现金Ⅲ过热：股票&gt;大宗商品&gt;现金/债券Ⅳ滞胀：现金&gt;大宗商品/债券&gt;股票当下经济进入了典型的滞涨阶段，大宗商品暴涨，在本阶段，股票成为表现最差的资产，现金与大宗商品则成为表现更好的资产。本文以2007-2015年这一段时间来完整展现，大经济周期之下，各类资产的表现，来分析各类阶段大类资产配置的要点所在。2007 -2012年：回顾大类资产的历史走势，2007至2012年所经历的四年是由经济周期本身驱动的大类资产轮动历程。我们选取选取上证综指、中证转债指数、10年期国债到期收益率、3年期中票到期收益率（AA+）以及信用利","text":"大类资产轮动是否存在规律？今年以来，多件风险事件叠加监管政策因素持续冲击多个市场，各类资产走势分化。尤其是近期在俄乌冲突升级以后，石油价格以60年最快的速度暴涨，带动大宗商品集体暴动，铜、铝、镍等等近期都走出了摧枯拉朽的走势，暴涨的大宗商品给全球经济带来巨大的压力，经济衰退风险骤然提升，一边是高企的通胀，一边是下行的经济，这种组合，怎么配置？从大类资产轮动的角度出发，站在当下时点，市场所面临的是怎样的环境？回顾历史，以美林时钟以及杠杆周期的核心逻辑为出发点，试图回答这个问题。他山之石，可以攻玉，回顾历史：是否存在轮动规律？从美林时钟出发，回顾近十年来，大类资产的表现，其核心逻辑在于，在经济周期的不同阶段均有表现好于大市的资产出现，因此基于经济周期演变对股票、可转债、利率债以及信用债、房地产、大宗商品这六大类资产的价格走势进行分析。使用工业增加值作为经济增长的代指标，将CPI作为衡量通胀的指标，根据不同组合将经济周期分为：复苏期（经济上行、通胀下行）、过热期（经济上行、通胀上行）、滞涨期（经济下行、通胀上行）、衰退期(经济下行、通胀下行)。Ⅰ衰退：债券>现金>股票>大宗商品Ⅱ复苏：大宗商品>股票>债券>现金Ⅲ过热：股票>大宗商品>现金/债券Ⅳ滞胀：现金>大宗商品/债券>股票当下经济进入了典型的滞涨阶段，大宗商品暴涨，在本阶段，股票成为表现最差的资产，现金与大宗商品则成为表现更好的资产。本文以2007-2015年这一段时间来完整展现，大经济周期之下，各类资产的表现，来分析各类阶段大类资产配置的要点所在。2007 -2012年：回顾大类资产的历史走势，2007至2012年所经历的四年是由经济周期本身驱动的大类资产轮动历程。我们选取选取上证综指、中证转债指数、10年期国债到期收益率、3年期中票到期收益率（AA+）以及信用利","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a808fea3ab7e2767b2ee0699f10b35a","width":"632","height":"136"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6db8bba48fc12eb6685da576f42c7d77","width":"632","height":"160"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4eb1642bde731c50808df9e508e98680","width":"632","height":"385"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632710058","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":649,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635528987,"gmtCreate":1647105350783,"gmtModify":1647105350970,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>.","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71d1fab03f0612ce68a245f2f9621fb8","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635528987","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":885,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635228715,"gmtCreate":1647014730002,"gmtModify":1647014774944,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">$Visa(V)$</a>.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">$Visa(V)$</a>.","text":"$Visa(V)$.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8c1986c8b3ce1a457b2a7ef4a1efbd7","width":"1080","height":"3573"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635228715","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635862413,"gmtCreate":1646929919617,"gmtModify":1646929919790,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">$Visa(V)$</a>.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">$Visa(V)$</a>.","text":"$Visa(V)$.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2db9e67745c05a43599ce5a4fe12c547","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635862413","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":908,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635862257,"gmtCreate":1646929865579,"gmtModify":1646929865810,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635862257","repostId":"632942849","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632942849,"gmtCreate":1646214905941,"gmtModify":1646264074427,"author":{"id":"3582524673862453","authorId":"3582524673862453","name":"库巴财经","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582524673862453","idStr":"3582524673862453"},"themes":[],"title":"股市里最大的穷人思维就是，我只要每天赚1个点，一年就能3倍了","htmlText":"股市里最大的穷人思维就是，如果我每天能赚1个点，一年就能3倍，日积月累下去就可以实现财富自由。如果你脑袋里有这个想法，我得给你泼盆冷水，因为每天赚一个点是一个不可能实现的情况。大多时候，我们的账户是今天赚1个点，明天亏5个点，后天赚3个点，然后继续亏10个点，账户资金稳定下滑。真正能在这个市场赚到钱的人，脑袋里是没有这种每天赚一个点的思维的。想在股市赚到钱的前提有两个，一个是要学会择机重仓，一个是要学会熬得住。择机重仓是什么？是在这个市场看到机会要敢于重仓，因为重仓是改变收益的唯一途径，交易中最大的一次获利决定了一个人能否在这个市场中赚到钱。在这个市场有一个定律，那就是80%的收益，都是在20%的时间里完成的，其余的时间要么在躺平，要么在煎熬。 熬得住是什么呢？当你发现机会并买入知乎，你必须要熬到属于你的那个风口出现的那一天。就像张坤长期重仓白酒，葛兰长期重仓医药一样，他们都等来了自己的高光时刻。所以在这个市场，一定要有赚大钱的豪情，也要有10年饮冰，难凉热血的气魄。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">$贵州茅台(600519)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600276\">$恒瑞医药(600276)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"股市里最大的穷人思维就是，如果我每天能赚1个点，一年就能3倍，日积月累下去就可以实现财富自由。如果你脑袋里有这个想法，我得给你泼盆冷水，因为每天赚一个点是一个不可能实现的情况。大多时候，我们的账户是今天赚1个点，明天亏5个点，后天赚3个点，然后继续亏10个点，账户资金稳定下滑。真正能在这个市场赚到钱的人，脑袋里是没有这种每天赚一个点的思维的。想在股市赚到钱的前提有两个，一个是要学会择机重仓，一个是要学会熬得住。择机重仓是什么？是在这个市场看到机会要敢于重仓，因为重仓是改变收益的唯一途径，交易中最大的一次获利决定了一个人能否在这个市场中赚到钱。在这个市场有一个定律，那就是80%的收益，都是在20%的时间里完成的，其余的时间要么在躺平，要么在煎熬。 熬得住是什么呢？当你发现机会并买入知乎，你必须要熬到属于你的那个风口出现的那一天。就像张坤长期重仓白酒，葛兰长期重仓医药一样，他们都等来了自己的高光时刻。所以在这个市场，一定要有赚大钱的豪情，也要有10年饮冰，难凉热血的气魄。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">$贵州茅台(600519)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600276\">$恒瑞医药(600276)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"股市里最大的穷人思维就是，如果我每天能赚1个点，一年就能3倍，日积月累下去就可以实现财富自由。如果你脑袋里有这个想法，我得给你泼盆冷水，因为每天赚一个点是一个不可能实现的情况。大多时候，我们的账户是今天赚1个点，明天亏5个点，后天赚3个点，然后继续亏10个点，账户资金稳定下滑。真正能在这个市场赚到钱的人，脑袋里是没有这种每天赚一个点的思维的。想在股市赚到钱的前提有两个，一个是要学会择机重仓，一个是要学会熬得住。择机重仓是什么？是在这个市场看到机会要敢于重仓，因为重仓是改变收益的唯一途径，交易中最大的一次获利决定了一个人能否在这个市场中赚到钱。在这个市场有一个定律，那就是80%的收益，都是在20%的时间里完成的，其余的时间要么在躺平，要么在煎熬。 熬得住是什么呢？当你发现机会并买入知乎，你必须要熬到属于你的那个风口出现的那一天。就像张坤长期重仓白酒，葛兰长期重仓医药一样，他们都等来了自己的高光时刻。所以在这个市场，一定要有赚大钱的豪情，也要有10年饮冰，难凉热血的气魄。$贵州茅台(600519)$ $恒瑞医药(600276)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632942849","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":632597470,"gmtCreate":1646575290813,"gmtModify":1646575290981,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>.","listText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>hi there","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>hi there","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$hi there","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a08bb1a6e72433b5020055a6ba9ab125","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849737472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":631514144,"gmtCreate":1644829929818,"gmtModify":1644829930009,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$</a>WWooohhh...","text":"$PayPal(PYPL)$WWooohhh...","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ab0df8eaf9627d1b1c83a3b41ce8c31","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870570620","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":804017447,"gmtCreate":1627912149489,"gmtModify":1633755358884,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804017447","repostId":"1191057621","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800417329,"gmtCreate":1627312140961,"gmtModify":1633766218497,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800417329","repostId":"2154957883","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":559,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":872362003,"gmtCreate":1637427765202,"gmtModify":1637427765314,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3584863771682470\">@Mml</a>:Informative&nbsp;","listText":"hi//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3584863771682470\">@Mml</a>:Informative&nbsp;","text":"hi//@Mml:Informative","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872362003","repostId":"1138047553","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138047553","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637327403,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138047553?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-19 21:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna Announces FDA Authorization of Booster Dose of COVID-19 Vaccine in the U.S. for Adults 18 Years and Older<blockquote>Moderna宣布FDA授权美国18岁及以上成年人接种新冠疫苗加强剂量</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138047553","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Moderna stock surged 4% in premarket trading after announcing FDA authorization of booster dose of C","content":"<p>Moderna stock surged 4% in premarket trading&nbsp;after announcing FDA authorization of booster dose of COVID-19 Vaccine in the U.S. for adults 18 years and older.</p><p><blockquote>在宣布FDA授权美国18岁及以上成年人接种加强剂量的COVID-19疫苗后，Moderna股价在盘前交易中飙升4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8db683899273d344e819a53f4b3366b\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"620\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Moderna, Inc.&nbsp;today announced that theU.S. Food and Drug Administration(FDA) has extended the emergency use authorization of a booster dose of the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine at the 50 µg dose level to all adults aged 18 and older. This booster can be used in all individuals 18 years and older who have completed a primary vaccination with any other authorized or approved COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna公司今天宣布，美国。美国食品药品监督管理局(FDA)已将50µg剂量水平的Moderna COVID-19疫苗加强剂量的紧急使用授权扩大到所有18岁及以上的成年人。这种加强剂可用于所有18岁及以上已完成任何其他授权或批准的新冠肺炎疫苗初次接种的个人。</blockquote></p><p> “This emergency use authorization comes at a critical time as we enter the winter months and face increasing COVID-19 case counts and hospitalizations across the country,” saidStéphane Bancel, Chief Executive Officer ofModerna. “We thank the FDA for their review, and are confident in the robust clinical evidence that a 50 µg booster dose of mRNA-1273 induces a strong immune response against COVID-19.”</p><p><blockquote>Moderna首席执行官Stéphane Bancel表示：“这项紧急使用授权是在我们进入冬季并面临全国范围内不断增加的COVID-19病例数和住院人数的关键时刻发布的。”“我们感谢FDA的审查，并对强有力的临床证据充满信心，即50µg加强剂量的mRNA-1273可诱导针对COVID-19的强烈免疫反应。”</blockquote></p><p> The booster dose is to be administered at least six months after completion of any primary series COVID-19 vaccination. OnOctober 20th, the FDAauthorizedfor emergency use a booster dose of the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine at the 50 µg dose level for people aged 65 and older as well as adults aged 18 to 64 who are at high risk of severe COVID-19; and people aged 18 to 64 with frequent institutional or occupational exposure to SARS-CoV-2. The Moderna COVID-19 booster vaccine is authorized for adults ages 18 and above regardless of occupational risk factors in many international markets. This follows the earlier approval of the 100 µg mRNA 1273 third dose in immunocompromised individuals.</p><p><blockquote>加强剂量将在完成任何初级系列新冠肺炎疫苗接种后至少六个月进行。10月20日，FDA授权65岁及以上人群以及18至64岁严重COVID-19高风险成年人紧急使用50µg剂量水平的Moderna COVID-19疫苗加强剂量；以及经常在机构或职业上接触新型冠状病毒的18至64岁人群。在许多国际市场上，Moderna新冠肺炎加强疫苗被授权用于18岁及以上的成年人，无论职业风险因素如何。此前，100µg mRNA 1273第三剂在免疫功能低下个体中获得批准。</blockquote></p><p> The FDA based this EUA on the totality of scientific evidence shared by the company including a data analysis from the Phase 2 clinical study of mRNA-1273, which was amended to offer a booster dose of mRNA-1273 at the 50 µg dose level to interested participants 6-8 months following their second dose (n=344). Neutralizing antibody titers had waned prior to boosting, particularly against variants of concern, at approximately 6 months. Notably, a booster dose of mRNA-1273 at the 50 µg dose level boosted neutralizing titers significantly above the Phase 3 benchmark. The safety profile following the booster dose was similar to that observed previously for dose 2 of mRNA-1273.</p><p><blockquote>FDA根据该公司分享的全部科学证据制定了该EUA，包括mRNA-1273 2期临床研究的数据分析，该研究经过修订，以提供50µg剂量水平的mRNA-1273加强剂量。第二次给药后6-8个月感兴趣的参与者(n=344)。中和抗体滴度在加强之前减弱，特别是针对关注的变体，在大约6个月时。值得注意的是，50µg剂量水平的mRNA-1273加强剂量将中和滴度提高到显著高于3期基准。加强剂量后的安全性概况与先前针对mRNA-1273剂量2观察到的相似。</blockquote></p><p> As a next step, theU.S. Centers for Disease Controland Prevention’s (CDC)&nbsp;Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices(ACIP) will meet to discuss a potential recommendation for rollout of COVID-19 boosters to Americans.</p><p><blockquote>下一步，美国。美国疾病控制和预防中心（CDC）免疫实践咨询委员会（ACIP）将开会讨论向美国人推出新冠肺炎加强剂的潜在建议。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna Announces FDA Authorization of Booster Dose of COVID-19 Vaccine in the U.S. for Adults 18 Years and Older<blockquote>Moderna宣布FDA授权美国18岁及以上成年人接种新冠疫苗加强剂量</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna Announces FDA Authorization of Booster Dose of COVID-19 Vaccine in the U.S. for Adults 18 Years and Older<blockquote>Moderna宣布FDA授权美国18岁及以上成年人接种新冠疫苗加强剂量</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-19 21:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Moderna stock surged 4% in premarket trading&nbsp;after announcing FDA authorization of booster dose of COVID-19 Vaccine in the U.S. for adults 18 years and older.</p><p><blockquote>在宣布FDA授权美国18岁及以上成年人接种加强剂量的COVID-19疫苗后，Moderna股价在盘前交易中飙升4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8db683899273d344e819a53f4b3366b\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"620\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Moderna, Inc.&nbsp;today announced that theU.S. Food and Drug Administration(FDA) has extended the emergency use authorization of a booster dose of the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine at the 50 µg dose level to all adults aged 18 and older. This booster can be used in all individuals 18 years and older who have completed a primary vaccination with any other authorized or approved COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna公司今天宣布，美国。美国食品药品监督管理局(FDA)已将50µg剂量水平的Moderna COVID-19疫苗加强剂量的紧急使用授权扩大到所有18岁及以上的成年人。这种加强剂可用于所有18岁及以上已完成任何其他授权或批准的新冠肺炎疫苗初次接种的个人。</blockquote></p><p> “This emergency use authorization comes at a critical time as we enter the winter months and face increasing COVID-19 case counts and hospitalizations across the country,” saidStéphane Bancel, Chief Executive Officer ofModerna. “We thank the FDA for their review, and are confident in the robust clinical evidence that a 50 µg booster dose of mRNA-1273 induces a strong immune response against COVID-19.”</p><p><blockquote>Moderna首席执行官Stéphane Bancel表示：“这项紧急使用授权是在我们进入冬季并面临全国范围内不断增加的COVID-19病例数和住院人数的关键时刻发布的。”“我们感谢FDA的审查，并对强有力的临床证据充满信心，即50µg加强剂量的mRNA-1273可诱导针对COVID-19的强烈免疫反应。”</blockquote></p><p> The booster dose is to be administered at least six months after completion of any primary series COVID-19 vaccination. OnOctober 20th, the FDAauthorizedfor emergency use a booster dose of the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine at the 50 µg dose level for people aged 65 and older as well as adults aged 18 to 64 who are at high risk of severe COVID-19; and people aged 18 to 64 with frequent institutional or occupational exposure to SARS-CoV-2. The Moderna COVID-19 booster vaccine is authorized for adults ages 18 and above regardless of occupational risk factors in many international markets. This follows the earlier approval of the 100 µg mRNA 1273 third dose in immunocompromised individuals.</p><p><blockquote>加强剂量将在完成任何初级系列新冠肺炎疫苗接种后至少六个月进行。10月20日，FDA授权65岁及以上人群以及18至64岁严重COVID-19高风险成年人紧急使用50µg剂量水平的Moderna COVID-19疫苗加强剂量；以及经常在机构或职业上接触新型冠状病毒的18至64岁人群。在许多国际市场上，Moderna新冠肺炎加强疫苗被授权用于18岁及以上的成年人，无论职业风险因素如何。此前，100µg mRNA 1273第三剂在免疫功能低下个体中获得批准。</blockquote></p><p> The FDA based this EUA on the totality of scientific evidence shared by the company including a data analysis from the Phase 2 clinical study of mRNA-1273, which was amended to offer a booster dose of mRNA-1273 at the 50 µg dose level to interested participants 6-8 months following their second dose (n=344). Neutralizing antibody titers had waned prior to boosting, particularly against variants of concern, at approximately 6 months. Notably, a booster dose of mRNA-1273 at the 50 µg dose level boosted neutralizing titers significantly above the Phase 3 benchmark. The safety profile following the booster dose was similar to that observed previously for dose 2 of mRNA-1273.</p><p><blockquote>FDA根据该公司分享的全部科学证据制定了该EUA，包括mRNA-1273 2期临床研究的数据分析，该研究经过修订，以提供50µg剂量水平的mRNA-1273加强剂量。第二次给药后6-8个月感兴趣的参与者(n=344)。中和抗体滴度在加强之前减弱，特别是针对关注的变体，在大约6个月时。值得注意的是，50µg剂量水平的mRNA-1273加强剂量将中和滴度提高到显著高于3期基准。加强剂量后的安全性概况与先前针对mRNA-1273剂量2观察到的相似。</blockquote></p><p> As a next step, theU.S. Centers for Disease Controland Prevention’s (CDC)&nbsp;Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices(ACIP) will meet to discuss a potential recommendation for rollout of COVID-19 boosters to Americans.</p><p><blockquote>下一步，美国。美国疾病控制和预防中心（CDC）免疫实践咨询委员会（ACIP）将开会讨论向美国人推出新冠肺炎加强剂的潜在建议。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138047553","content_text":"Moderna stock surged 4% in premarket trading after announcing FDA authorization of booster dose of COVID-19 Vaccine in the U.S. for adults 18 years and older.\n\nModerna, Inc. today announced that theU.S. Food and Drug Administration(FDA) has extended the emergency use authorization of a booster dose of the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine at the 50 µg dose level to all adults aged 18 and older. This booster can be used in all individuals 18 years and older who have completed a primary vaccination with any other authorized or approved COVID-19 vaccine.\n“This emergency use authorization comes at a critical time as we enter the winter months and face increasing COVID-19 case counts and hospitalizations across the country,” saidStéphane Bancel, Chief Executive Officer ofModerna. “We thank the FDA for their review, and are confident in the robust clinical evidence that a 50 µg booster dose of mRNA-1273 induces a strong immune response against COVID-19.”\nThe booster dose is to be administered at least six months after completion of any primary series COVID-19 vaccination. OnOctober 20th, the FDAauthorizedfor emergency use a booster dose of the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine at the 50 µg dose level for people aged 65 and older as well as adults aged 18 to 64 who are at high risk of severe COVID-19; and people aged 18 to 64 with frequent institutional or occupational exposure to SARS-CoV-2. The Moderna COVID-19 booster vaccine is authorized for adults ages 18 and above regardless of occupational risk factors in many international markets. This follows the earlier approval of the 100 µg mRNA 1273 third dose in immunocompromised individuals.\nThe FDA based this EUA on the totality of scientific evidence shared by the company including a data analysis from the Phase 2 clinical study of mRNA-1273, which was amended to offer a booster dose of mRNA-1273 at the 50 µg dose level to interested participants 6-8 months following their second dose (n=344). Neutralizing antibody titers had waned prior to boosting, particularly against variants of concern, at approximately 6 months. Notably, a booster dose of mRNA-1273 at the 50 µg dose level boosted neutralizing titers significantly above the Phase 3 benchmark. The safety profile following the booster dose was similar to that observed previously for dose 2 of mRNA-1273.\nAs a next step, theU.S. Centers for Disease Controland Prevention’s (CDC) Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices(ACIP) will meet to discuss a potential recommendation for rollout of COVID-19 boosters to Americans.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":720,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":898870265,"gmtCreate":1628488065957,"gmtModify":1633746744149,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898870265","repostId":"1122174975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122174975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628257533,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122174975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 21:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122174975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 6)&nbsp;$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ fell 0.41%; $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ , $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ fell over 1%; $Li Auto(LI)$ fell 0.80%.","content":"<p>(Aug 6)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> fell 0.41%; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a> fell over 1%; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a> fell 0.80%.</p><p><blockquote>（8月6日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌0.41%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌超1%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>下跌0.80%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cc49234e47a8e48665d95c05d103786\" tg-width=\"345\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-06 21:45</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 6)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> fell 0.41%; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a> fell over 1%; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a> fell 0.80%.</p><p><blockquote>（8月6日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌0.41%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌超1%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>下跌0.80%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cc49234e47a8e48665d95c05d103786\" tg-width=\"345\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122174975","content_text":"(Aug 6) Tesla Motors fell 0.41%; NIO Inc. , XPeng Inc. fell over 1%; Li Auto fell 0.80%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":638985146,"gmtCreate":1645028674595,"gmtModify":1645028674828,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>moon pls","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>moon pls","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$moon pls","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e206613ebccababe1056a89583e05e7","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/638985146","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847917258,"gmtCreate":1636471802863,"gmtModify":1636471803081,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>finally, you seem like waking up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>finally, you seem like waking up","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$finally, you seem like waking up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51228b579d65d5eee9937e0dadba37ed","width":"1080","height":"3642"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847917258","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":727,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844936526,"gmtCreate":1636382374836,"gmtModify":1636382375053,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>finally, you are half awake now :')","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>finally, you are half awake now :')","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$finally, you are half awake now :')","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/021dbb401106f29e3a5fcf390d09cbd5","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844936526","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855708716,"gmtCreate":1635396834894,"gmtModify":1635396834894,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>to da sun!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>to da sun!!!","text":"$Microsoft(MSFT)$to da sun!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cd2cfa3c209663a44cd7b8f0ae180aa","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855708716","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1732,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":839183400,"gmtCreate":1629126648500,"gmtModify":1633687187052,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839183400","repostId":"1135212237","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135212237","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629125001,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135212237?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 22:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Big tech stocks fell in morning trading, Apple fell over 1% after reaching record high<blockquote>大型科技股早盘下跌苹果创历史新高后跌超1%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135212237","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 16) Big tech stocks fell in morning trading. Apple fell over 1% after reaching record high at $","content":"<p>(Aug 16)&nbsp;Big tech stocks fell in morning trading. Apple fell over 1% after reaching record high at $150.59.</p><p><blockquote>（8月16日）大型科技股早盘下跌。苹果在触及150.59美元的历史新高后跌超1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7c0f1effcd77008de0ea3edac4e6766\" tg-width=\"309\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big tech stocks fell in morning trading, Apple fell over 1% after reaching record high<blockquote>大型科技股早盘下跌苹果创历史新高后跌超1%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig tech stocks fell in morning trading, Apple fell over 1% after reaching record high<blockquote>大型科技股早盘下跌苹果创历史新高后跌超1%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-16 22:43</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 16)&nbsp;Big tech stocks fell in morning trading. Apple fell over 1% after reaching record high at $150.59.</p><p><blockquote>（8月16日）大型科技股早盘下跌。苹果在触及150.59美元的历史新高后跌超1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7c0f1effcd77008de0ea3edac4e6766\" tg-width=\"309\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135212237","content_text":"(Aug 16) Big tech stocks fell in morning trading. Apple fell over 1% after reaching record high at $150.59.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804017058,"gmtCreate":1627912126974,"gmtModify":1633755359458,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804017058","repostId":"1146501234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146501234","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627911092,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146501234?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 21:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks open higher to kick off August on positive note<blockquote>股市高开，以积极的基调开启八月</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146501234","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(August 2) Stocks open higher to kick off August on positive note.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average ","content":"<p>(August 2)&nbsp;Stocks open higher to kick off August on positive note.</p><p><blockquote>（8月2日）股市高开，以积极的基调开启8月。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 179 points, or about 0.5%. S&amp;P 500 gained 0.6% and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite added 0.5%. The S&amp;P 500 and the Dow sit less than 1% from new all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨179点，涨幅约0.5%。标普500上涨0.6%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>复合材料增加了0.5%。标普500和道琼斯指数距离历史新高不到1%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks continued to shake off concerns about the delta variant of Covid, and stocks that would benefit the most from a continued economic recovery led the gains in premarket trading Monday.</p><p><blockquote>股市继续摆脱对新冠疫情德尔塔变异毒株的担忧，从经济持续复苏中受益最多的股票在周一盘前交易中领涨。</blockquote></p><p> EV&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;rose&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> stock swings to a gain of 2.37% toward 4th-straight gain after July deliveries data.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股早盘上涨。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>7月份交付数据公布后，股价上涨2.37%，连续第四次上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b07d02e81b388039bda713efd01303f\" tg-width=\"311\" tg-height=\"157\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Among individual stocks, Square gained about&nbsp;7%. The payments company agreed to buy Australia’s Afterpay—which allows users to pay for goods in interest-free installments—in an all-stockdeal valued at around $29 billion.</p><p><blockquote>个股中，Square涨约7%。这家支付公司同意以价值约290亿美元的全股票交易收购澳大利亚的Afterpay，该公司允许用户以无息分期付款的方式支付商品费用。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32530bdd06153792ae5e34fcc36920b4\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"633\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Shares of Carnival Corp. were up 2.52% in early trading. Major banks including Morgan Stanley and Bank of America were higher. Airline shares were mostly higher.</p><p><blockquote>嘉年华公司股价早盘上涨2.52%。摩根士丹利和美国银行等主要银行走高。航空公司股价大多走高。</blockquote></p><p> “We believe the reopening and recovery trend is on track and continue to see upside for equities,” wrote Mark Haefele, chief investment officer of global wealth management at UBS. “We expect the S&amp;P 500 to climb to around 4,650 by June next year, versus 4,395 at present. But we see the greatest upside for cyclical parts of the market, including energy, financials, and Japanese stocks.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理首席投资官马克·海菲尔写道：“我们相信重新开放和复苏趋势已步入正轨，股市将继续上涨。”“我们预计，到明年6月，标普500将攀升至4,650点左右，而目前为4,395点。但我们认为市场周期性部分的上涨空间最大，包括能源、金融和日本股市。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d1f8013a64fda7879ad10c4e7559aec\" tg-width=\"313\" tg-height=\"363\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks open higher to kick off August on positive note<blockquote>股市高开，以积极的基调开启八月</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks open higher to kick off August on positive note<blockquote>股市高开，以积极的基调开启八月</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 21:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(August 2)&nbsp;Stocks open higher to kick off August on positive note.</p><p><blockquote>（8月2日）股市高开，以积极的基调开启8月。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 179 points, or about 0.5%. S&amp;P 500 gained 0.6% and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite added 0.5%. The S&amp;P 500 and the Dow sit less than 1% from new all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨179点，涨幅约0.5%。标普500上涨0.6%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>复合材料增加了0.5%。标普500和道琼斯指数距离历史新高不到1%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks continued to shake off concerns about the delta variant of Covid, and stocks that would benefit the most from a continued economic recovery led the gains in premarket trading Monday.</p><p><blockquote>股市继续摆脱对新冠疫情德尔塔变异毒株的担忧，从经济持续复苏中受益最多的股票在周一盘前交易中领涨。</blockquote></p><p> EV&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;rose&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> stock swings to a gain of 2.37% toward 4th-straight gain after July deliveries data.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股早盘上涨。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>7月份交付数据公布后，股价上涨2.37%，连续第四次上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b07d02e81b388039bda713efd01303f\" tg-width=\"311\" tg-height=\"157\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Among individual stocks, Square gained about&nbsp;7%. The payments company agreed to buy Australia’s Afterpay—which allows users to pay for goods in interest-free installments—in an all-stockdeal valued at around $29 billion.</p><p><blockquote>个股中，Square涨约7%。这家支付公司同意以价值约290亿美元的全股票交易收购澳大利亚的Afterpay，该公司允许用户以无息分期付款的方式支付商品费用。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32530bdd06153792ae5e34fcc36920b4\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"633\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Shares of Carnival Corp. were up 2.52% in early trading. Major banks including Morgan Stanley and Bank of America were higher. Airline shares were mostly higher.</p><p><blockquote>嘉年华公司股价早盘上涨2.52%。摩根士丹利和美国银行等主要银行走高。航空公司股价大多走高。</blockquote></p><p> “We believe the reopening and recovery trend is on track and continue to see upside for equities,” wrote Mark Haefele, chief investment officer of global wealth management at UBS. “We expect the S&amp;P 500 to climb to around 4,650 by June next year, versus 4,395 at present. But we see the greatest upside for cyclical parts of the market, including energy, financials, and Japanese stocks.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理首席投资官马克·海菲尔写道：“我们相信重新开放和复苏趋势已步入正轨，股市将继续上涨。”“我们预计，到明年6月，标普500将攀升至4,650点左右，而目前为4,395点。但我们认为市场周期性部分的上涨空间最大，包括能源、金融和日本股市。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d1f8013a64fda7879ad10c4e7559aec\" tg-width=\"313\" tg-height=\"363\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146501234","content_text":"(August 2) Stocks open higher to kick off August on positive note.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 179 points, or about 0.5%. S&P 500 gained 0.6% and Nasdaq Composite added 0.5%. The S&P 500 and the Dow sit less than 1% from new all-time highs.\nStocks continued to shake off concerns about the delta variant of Covid, and stocks that would benefit the most from a continued economic recovery led the gains in premarket trading Monday.\nEV stocks rose in morning trading. NIO Inc. stock swings to a gain of 2.37% toward 4th-straight gain after July deliveries data.\n\nAmong individual stocks, Square gained about 7%. The payments company agreed to buy Australia’s Afterpay—which allows users to pay for goods in interest-free installments—in an all-stockdeal valued at around $29 billion.\n\nShares of Carnival Corp. were up 2.52% in early trading. Major banks including Morgan Stanley and Bank of America were higher. Airline shares were mostly higher.\n“We believe the reopening and recovery trend is on track and continue to see upside for equities,” wrote Mark Haefele, chief investment officer of global wealth management at UBS. “We expect the S&P 500 to climb to around 4,650 by June next year, versus 4,395 at present. But we see the greatest upside for cyclical parts of the market, including energy, financials, and Japanese stocks.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802834497,"gmtCreate":1627747504719,"gmtModify":1633756670187,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802834497","repostId":"1127411624","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127411624","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627715622,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127411624?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 15:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127411624","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, t","content":"<p>After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.42%tumbled 725 points or 2.1%. The bears hit a home run — at least for a day.</p><p><blockquote>经过几个月的冬眠，股市空头于7月19日走出了洞穴。当天，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA下跌725点，跌幅2.1%，-0.42%。熊队打出了一个本垒打——至少一天。</blockquote></p><p> As usual, everyone wanted to know why the market fell, and the analysts had prepared answers, from COVID-19’s Delta variant to the Consumer Price Index to overbought technical indicators.</p><p><blockquote>像往常一样，每个人都想知道市场下跌的原因，分析师们已经准备好了答案，从COVID-19的德尔塔变异毒株到消费者价格指数，再到超买的技术指标。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that nobody knows. People have multiple reasons for selling, so it’s ridiculous to blame one event. That said, a big contributor to the decline was automatic, computer-generated selling. Once large market participants, especially algos, started selling, there was a mad rush out of the door. No one wanted to be the last one out, so retail traders and institutions sold in a panic, which got more intense as the day went on.</p><p><blockquote>事实是没人知道。人们出售有多种原因，因此将责任归咎于一个事件是荒谬的。也就是说，下降的一个重要原因是计算机生成的自动销售。一旦大型市场参与者，尤其是算法，开始抛售，就会出现疯狂的抛售。没有人想成为最后一个出局的人，因此散户和机构在恐慌中抛售，随着时间的推移，恐慌情绪变得更加强烈。</blockquote></p><p> Technical indicators contributed as well: The weekly relative strength indicator (RSI) has been remarkably accurate in warning of a market reversal. Once RSI goes over 70 and stays there, buyers beware.&nbsp; After the July 26 market close, the RSI of the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.54%stood at 71.36 on the weekly chart — an extremely overbought reading. Does this mean that the index is going to plunge tomorrow? No one knows. But RSI is giving a clue that the U.S. market is in the danger zone.</p><p><blockquote>技术指标也做出了贡献：每周相对强弱指标（RSI）在警告市场逆转方面非常准确。一旦RSI超过70并保持在那里，买家就要小心了。7月26日收盘后，标准普尔500SPX的RSI，-0.54%在周线图上站在71.36——这是一个极度超买的读数。这是不是意味着指数明天要暴跌了？没人知道。但RSI给出了美国市场处于危险区域的线索。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bad news bears can’t catch a break</b></p><p><blockquote><b>坏消息空头无法休息</b></blockquote></p><p> Before the bears could say, “I told you so,” the next day, July 20, the 700-plus point Dow selloff was erased by a 550-point Dow rally. The bulls forgot about the selloff and returned to celebrating, and gulping glass after glass of their favorite drink, “bull-ade.” Once again, the storm passed, but this time a little fear creeped into the bulls’ psyche. Before, the only fear was the fear of missing out on the next rally. Now, many investors realize the market can actually go down.</p><p><blockquote>在空头说“我告诉过你”之前，第二天，即7月20日，道琼斯指数700多点的抛售被道琼斯指数550点的反弹抹去了。多头忘记了抛售，重新开始庆祝，一杯又一杯地喝着他们最喜欢的饮料“bull-ade”。风暴又一次过去了，但这一次有点恐惧爬进了公牛的心灵。之前，唯一的恐惧是害怕错过下一次反弹。现在，许多投资者意识到市场实际上可能会下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to do now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> The next time the market plunges and you’re experiencing a variety of emotions, the following guide might help:</p><p><blockquote>下次市场暴跌并且您正在经历各种情绪时，以下指南可能会有所帮助：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. If you’re panicked</b>: Don’t do something; sit there. Do not buy, do not sell, just sit tight. In fact, turn off the computer or other devices. Don’t fret over how much paper money you lost that day. Exercise, walk, run, swim, ride a bike. Your goal is to reduce emotions so you can get a good night’s sleep. When the market stabilizes, reevaluate what you own. Do not make any big financial decisions on days like this.</p><p><blockquote><b>1.如果你感到恐慌</b>：不做某事；坐在那里。不买，不卖，坐稳。事实上，关掉电脑或其他设备。不要担心那天你丢了多少纸币。锻炼，散步，跑步，游泳，骑自行车。你的目标是减少情绪，这样你就能睡个好觉。当市场稳定时，重新评估你所拥有的。在这样的日子里，不要做任何重大的财务决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. If you’re afraid</b>: Take it easy. The selloff will end eventually. There is no reason to panic. Again, reevaluate what you own when the market comes to its senses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2.如果你害怕</b>：放轻松。抛售最终会结束。没有理由恐慌。同样，当市场恢复理智时，重新评估你所拥有的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. If you’re unaffected:</b>Still, check your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. While it’s find to not care if the market falls, be sure you are hedged for a worst-case scenario. One day there will be a bear market that will last months or years. Be prepared.</p><p><blockquote><b>3.如果您没有受到影响：</b>不过，请检查您的投资组合以确保您的投资组合适当多元化。虽然人们发现不要关心市场是否下跌，但要确保你为最坏的情况做好了对冲。总有一天会出现持续数月或数年的熊市。做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What specific actions should you take?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你应该采取什么具体行动？</b></blockquote></p><p> Now that you’ve taken care of your emotional health, there are other financial decisions you can make. Let’s take a look atsome strategies and tacticsthat may help:</p><p><blockquote>既然你已经照顾好了自己的情绪健康，你还可以做出其他的财务决定。让我们来看看一些可能有帮助的战略和战术：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>Sell if the stocks or indexes you own fall below their 200-day moving averages. Note: The major indexes such as the Standard &amp; Poor’s 500SPX,-0.54%have not fallen below (and stayed below) their 200-day averages for a decade. When they do eventually, that is a clear sell signal.</li>  <li>Create a long-term investment plan and follow it no matter what happens in the short term.</li>  <li>Dollar-cost average into index funds.</li>  <li>Diversify. This is the key to success in the stock market and in life. If you own only stocks, consider bonds, but talk to a financial professional (not your neighbor) before taking this step.</li>  <li>Buy the big dips. This strategy still works. If you had bought the dip on July 19, you would have cleaned up on July 20. One day this strategy won’t work, but that day hasn’t come yet.</li>  <li>Sell covered-call options. This is still an excellent way to generate extra income. This strategy is also ideal for disposing of unwanted stocks, and getting paid for it.</li> </ol> <b>Plan for the next correction or bear market</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果您持有的股票或指数跌破200日移动平均线，则卖出。注：标准普尔500SPX,-0.54%等主要指数十年来没有跌破（并保持在低于）200日平均水平。当他们最终这样做时，这是一个明确的卖出信号。</li><li>制定一个长期投资计划，无论短期内发生什么都要遵循它。</li><li>指数基金的平均成本。</li><li>多样化。这是股市和人生成功的关键。如果您只持有股票，请考虑债券，但在采取这一步骤之前请与金融专业人士（而不是您的邻居）交谈。</li><li>逢低买入。这个策略仍然有效。如果你在7月19日逢低买入，你就会在7月20日清理干净。总有一天这种策略行不通了，但那一天还没有到来。</li><li>出售备兑看涨期权期权。这仍然是产生额外收入的绝佳方式。这种策略也非常适合处理不需要的股票并获得报酬。</li></ol><b>为下一次调整或熊市做好计划</b></blockquote></p><p> After a 13-year bull market, the clock is ticking for U.S. stocks. While the bulls scored another victory this time, one day the market won’t reverse direction and will begin a steep correction, or worse yet, a bear market. That’s when you will be glad that you have a plan and an investment script to follow on the worst days.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了13年的牛市之后，美国股市的时间已经不多了。虽然多头这次又取得了胜利，但有一天市场不会逆转方向，将开始急剧调整，或者更糟的是，进入熊市。那时你会很高兴你有一个计划和一个在最糟糕的日子里可以遵循的投资脚本。</blockquote></p><p> Know what you own, sell to the “sleep-well” point and diversify into a variety of financial products including cash and bonds. This way, when the market plunges again, you won’t make knee-jerk emotional decisions or suffer an anxiety attack.</p><p><blockquote>了解您拥有什么，将其出售到“睡眠良好”点，并多元化投资于包括现金和债券在内的各种金融产品。这样，当市场再次暴跌时，你就不会做出下意识的情绪化决定或遭受焦虑发作。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 15:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.42%tumbled 725 points or 2.1%. The bears hit a home run — at least for a day.</p><p><blockquote>经过几个月的冬眠，股市空头于7月19日走出了洞穴。当天，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA下跌725点，跌幅2.1%，-0.42%。熊队打出了一个本垒打——至少一天。</blockquote></p><p> As usual, everyone wanted to know why the market fell, and the analysts had prepared answers, from COVID-19’s Delta variant to the Consumer Price Index to overbought technical indicators.</p><p><blockquote>像往常一样，每个人都想知道市场下跌的原因，分析师们已经准备好了答案，从COVID-19的德尔塔变异毒株到消费者价格指数，再到超买的技术指标。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that nobody knows. People have multiple reasons for selling, so it’s ridiculous to blame one event. That said, a big contributor to the decline was automatic, computer-generated selling. Once large market participants, especially algos, started selling, there was a mad rush out of the door. No one wanted to be the last one out, so retail traders and institutions sold in a panic, which got more intense as the day went on.</p><p><blockquote>事实是没人知道。人们出售有多种原因，因此将责任归咎于一个事件是荒谬的。也就是说，下降的一个重要原因是计算机生成的自动销售。一旦大型市场参与者，尤其是算法，开始抛售，就会出现疯狂的抛售。没有人想成为最后一个出局的人，因此散户和机构在恐慌中抛售，随着时间的推移，恐慌情绪变得更加强烈。</blockquote></p><p> Technical indicators contributed as well: The weekly relative strength indicator (RSI) has been remarkably accurate in warning of a market reversal. Once RSI goes over 70 and stays there, buyers beware.&nbsp; After the July 26 market close, the RSI of the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.54%stood at 71.36 on the weekly chart — an extremely overbought reading. Does this mean that the index is going to plunge tomorrow? No one knows. But RSI is giving a clue that the U.S. market is in the danger zone.</p><p><blockquote>技术指标也做出了贡献：每周相对强弱指标（RSI）在警告市场逆转方面非常准确。一旦RSI超过70并保持在那里，买家就要小心了。7月26日收盘后，标准普尔500SPX的RSI，-0.54%在周线图上站在71.36——这是一个极度超买的读数。这是不是意味着指数明天要暴跌了？没人知道。但RSI给出了美国市场处于危险区域的线索。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bad news bears can’t catch a break</b></p><p><blockquote><b>坏消息空头无法休息</b></blockquote></p><p> Before the bears could say, “I told you so,” the next day, July 20, the 700-plus point Dow selloff was erased by a 550-point Dow rally. The bulls forgot about the selloff and returned to celebrating, and gulping glass after glass of their favorite drink, “bull-ade.” Once again, the storm passed, but this time a little fear creeped into the bulls’ psyche. Before, the only fear was the fear of missing out on the next rally. Now, many investors realize the market can actually go down.</p><p><blockquote>在空头说“我告诉过你”之前，第二天，即7月20日，道琼斯指数700多点的抛售被道琼斯指数550点的反弹抹去了。多头忘记了抛售，重新开始庆祝，一杯又一杯地喝着他们最喜欢的饮料“bull-ade”。风暴又一次过去了，但这一次有点恐惧爬进了公牛的心灵。之前，唯一的恐惧是害怕错过下一次反弹。现在，许多投资者意识到市场实际上可能会下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to do now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> The next time the market plunges and you’re experiencing a variety of emotions, the following guide might help:</p><p><blockquote>下次市场暴跌并且您正在经历各种情绪时，以下指南可能会有所帮助：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. If you’re panicked</b>: Don’t do something; sit there. Do not buy, do not sell, just sit tight. In fact, turn off the computer or other devices. Don’t fret over how much paper money you lost that day. Exercise, walk, run, swim, ride a bike. Your goal is to reduce emotions so you can get a good night’s sleep. When the market stabilizes, reevaluate what you own. Do not make any big financial decisions on days like this.</p><p><blockquote><b>1.如果你感到恐慌</b>：不做某事；坐在那里。不买，不卖，坐稳。事实上，关掉电脑或其他设备。不要担心那天你丢了多少纸币。锻炼，散步，跑步，游泳，骑自行车。你的目标是减少情绪，这样你就能睡个好觉。当市场稳定时，重新评估你所拥有的。在这样的日子里，不要做任何重大的财务决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. If you’re afraid</b>: Take it easy. The selloff will end eventually. There is no reason to panic. Again, reevaluate what you own when the market comes to its senses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2.如果你害怕</b>：放轻松。抛售最终会结束。没有理由恐慌。同样，当市场恢复理智时，重新评估你所拥有的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. If you’re unaffected:</b>Still, check your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. While it’s find to not care if the market falls, be sure you are hedged for a worst-case scenario. One day there will be a bear market that will last months or years. Be prepared.</p><p><blockquote><b>3.如果您没有受到影响：</b>不过，请检查您的投资组合以确保您的投资组合适当多元化。虽然人们发现不要关心市场是否下跌，但要确保你为最坏的情况做好了对冲。总有一天会出现持续数月或数年的熊市。做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What specific actions should you take?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你应该采取什么具体行动？</b></blockquote></p><p> Now that you’ve taken care of your emotional health, there are other financial decisions you can make. Let’s take a look atsome strategies and tacticsthat may help:</p><p><blockquote>既然你已经照顾好了自己的情绪健康，你还可以做出其他的财务决定。让我们来看看一些可能有帮助的战略和战术：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>Sell if the stocks or indexes you own fall below their 200-day moving averages. Note: The major indexes such as the Standard &amp; Poor’s 500SPX,-0.54%have not fallen below (and stayed below) their 200-day averages for a decade. When they do eventually, that is a clear sell signal.</li>  <li>Create a long-term investment plan and follow it no matter what happens in the short term.</li>  <li>Dollar-cost average into index funds.</li>  <li>Diversify. This is the key to success in the stock market and in life. If you own only stocks, consider bonds, but talk to a financial professional (not your neighbor) before taking this step.</li>  <li>Buy the big dips. This strategy still works. If you had bought the dip on July 19, you would have cleaned up on July 20. One day this strategy won’t work, but that day hasn’t come yet.</li>  <li>Sell covered-call options. This is still an excellent way to generate extra income. This strategy is also ideal for disposing of unwanted stocks, and getting paid for it.</li> </ol> <b>Plan for the next correction or bear market</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果您持有的股票或指数跌破200日移动平均线，则卖出。注：标准普尔500SPX,-0.54%等主要指数十年来没有跌破（并保持在低于）200日平均水平。当他们最终这样做时，这是一个明确的卖出信号。</li><li>制定一个长期投资计划，无论短期内发生什么都要遵循它。</li><li>指数基金的平均成本。</li><li>多样化。这是股市和人生成功的关键。如果您只持有股票，请考虑债券，但在采取这一步骤之前请与金融专业人士（而不是您的邻居）交谈。</li><li>逢低买入。这个策略仍然有效。如果你在7月19日逢低买入，你就会在7月20日清理干净。总有一天这种策略行不通了，但那一天还没有到来。</li><li>出售备兑看涨期权期权。这仍然是产生额外收入的绝佳方式。这种策略也非常适合处理不需要的股票并获得报酬。</li></ol><b>为下一次调整或熊市做好计划</b></blockquote></p><p> After a 13-year bull market, the clock is ticking for U.S. stocks. While the bulls scored another victory this time, one day the market won’t reverse direction and will begin a steep correction, or worse yet, a bear market. That’s when you will be glad that you have a plan and an investment script to follow on the worst days.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了13年的牛市之后，美国股市的时间已经不多了。虽然多头这次又取得了胜利，但有一天市场不会逆转方向，将开始急剧调整，或者更糟的是，进入熊市。那时你会很高兴你有一个计划和一个在最糟糕的日子里可以遵循的投资脚本。</blockquote></p><p> Know what you own, sell to the “sleep-well” point and diversify into a variety of financial products including cash and bonds. This way, when the market plunges again, you won’t make knee-jerk emotional decisions or suffer an anxiety attack.</p><p><blockquote>了解您拥有什么，将其出售到“睡眠良好”点，并多元化投资于包括现金和债券在内的各种金融产品。这样，当市场再次暴跌时，你就不会做出下意识的情绪化决定或遭受焦虑发作。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-your-to-do-list-before-the-stock-markets-next-dive-11627360870?mod=article_inline\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-your-to-do-list-before-the-stock-markets-next-dive-11627360870?mod=article_inline","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127411624","content_text":"After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.42%tumbled 725 points or 2.1%. The bears hit a home run — at least for a day.\nAs usual, everyone wanted to know why the market fell, and the analysts had prepared answers, from COVID-19’s Delta variant to the Consumer Price Index to overbought technical indicators.\nThe truth is that nobody knows. People have multiple reasons for selling, so it’s ridiculous to blame one event. That said, a big contributor to the decline was automatic, computer-generated selling. Once large market participants, especially algos, started selling, there was a mad rush out of the door. No one wanted to be the last one out, so retail traders and institutions sold in a panic, which got more intense as the day went on.\nTechnical indicators contributed as well: The weekly relative strength indicator (RSI) has been remarkably accurate in warning of a market reversal. Once RSI goes over 70 and stays there, buyers beware.  After the July 26 market close, the RSI of the S&P 500SPX,-0.54%stood at 71.36 on the weekly chart — an extremely overbought reading. Does this mean that the index is going to plunge tomorrow? No one knows. But RSI is giving a clue that the U.S. market is in the danger zone.\nThe bad news bears can’t catch a break\nBefore the bears could say, “I told you so,” the next day, July 20, the 700-plus point Dow selloff was erased by a 550-point Dow rally. The bulls forgot about the selloff and returned to celebrating, and gulping glass after glass of their favorite drink, “bull-ade.” Once again, the storm passed, but this time a little fear creeped into the bulls’ psyche. Before, the only fear was the fear of missing out on the next rally. Now, many investors realize the market can actually go down.\nWhat to do now\nThe next time the market plunges and you’re experiencing a variety of emotions, the following guide might help:\n1. If you’re panicked: Don’t do something; sit there. Do not buy, do not sell, just sit tight. In fact, turn off the computer or other devices. Don’t fret over how much paper money you lost that day. Exercise, walk, run, swim, ride a bike. Your goal is to reduce emotions so you can get a good night’s sleep. When the market stabilizes, reevaluate what you own. Do not make any big financial decisions on days like this.\n2. If you’re afraid: Take it easy. The selloff will end eventually. There is no reason to panic. Again, reevaluate what you own when the market comes to its senses.\n3. If you’re unaffected:Still, check your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. While it’s find to not care if the market falls, be sure you are hedged for a worst-case scenario. One day there will be a bear market that will last months or years. Be prepared.\nWhat specific actions should you take?\nNow that you’ve taken care of your emotional health, there are other financial decisions you can make. Let’s take a look atsome strategies and tacticsthat may help:\n\nSell if the stocks or indexes you own fall below their 200-day moving averages. Note: The major indexes such as the Standard & Poor’s 500SPX,-0.54%have not fallen below (and stayed below) their 200-day averages for a decade. When they do eventually, that is a clear sell signal.\nCreate a long-term investment plan and follow it no matter what happens in the short term.\nDollar-cost average into index funds.\nDiversify. This is the key to success in the stock market and in life. If you own only stocks, consider bonds, but talk to a financial professional (not your neighbor) before taking this step.\nBuy the big dips. This strategy still works. If you had bought the dip on July 19, you would have cleaned up on July 20. One day this strategy won’t work, but that day hasn’t come yet.\nSell covered-call options. This is still an excellent way to generate extra income. This strategy is also ideal for disposing of unwanted stocks, and getting paid for it.\n\nPlan for the next correction or bear market\nAfter a 13-year bull market, the clock is ticking for U.S. stocks. While the bulls scored another victory this time, one day the market won’t reverse direction and will begin a steep correction, or worse yet, a bear market. That’s when you will be glad that you have a plan and an investment script to follow on the worst days.\nKnow what you own, sell to the “sleep-well” point and diversify into a variety of financial products including cash and bonds. This way, when the market plunges again, you won’t make knee-jerk emotional decisions or suffer an anxiety attack.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":272,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803987454,"gmtCreate":1627401552178,"gmtModify":1633765334150,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803987454","repostId":"1108849761","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":635862672,"gmtCreate":1646929859111,"gmtModify":1646929859403,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635862672","repostId":"632090921","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632090921,"gmtCreate":1646128089266,"gmtModify":1646200337815,"author":{"id":"212008496769156","authorId":"212008496769156","name":"捷克Jack","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cc48e563d37c21562541a2874ce20e4","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"212008496769156","idStr":"212008496769156"},"themes":[],"title":"现在的BABA可能是最适合期权获利的标的","htmlText":"上一次参与<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3542528121404732\">@麦麦max</a> &nbsp;的直播中，我们聊到了<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> 关于阿里巴巴，大家最近关注的几个点无非就是： 最新季度的财报收入增速创下IPO以来新低； 阿里云因为某些原因被人为限制了； 淘系电商面临短视频竞争激烈； “反垄断”政策的影响后续； 芒格的基金开始大量抄底。 其实，这些所有散户都能很容易触达的信息，往往都是明牌，是很容易“已经”体现在股价中的（Already&nbsp;Priced-in）。而对于投资者来说，无论你下注“多头”（Long）还是“空头”（Short），参与的都是对未来的预期。 刚刚发完财报的公司，往往会有一段时间来消化完财报信息，而这时候的股价波动就并不会特别显著。除非对于财报的一致性预期特别大，比如说强烈的看好或者强烈地看衰，要不然股价都会呈现出“均值回归”的特点。 BABA的股票，已经回到了2017年的水平。 而且目前空头占比只有1.71%，与其说是回补得差不多，不如说是都不愿有人去空它了。 说实话，面对这样基本面的一家公司，抄底的确是个好选择。但是对于我们期权玩家来说，可以用一些期权策略获得更大概率的收益。 我个人认为，一份简单的垂直差价（vertical&nbsp;Spread）就够，当然，是一份看涨的Spread。 卖出，3月18日90美元的PUT，获得权利金1.31美元，","listText":"上一次参与<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3542528121404732\">@麦麦max</a> &nbsp;的直播中，我们聊到了<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> 关于阿里巴巴，大家最近关注的几个点无非就是： 最新季度的财报收入增速创下IPO以来新低； 阿里云因为某些原因被人为限制了； 淘系电商面临短视频竞争激烈； “反垄断”政策的影响后续； 芒格的基金开始大量抄底。 其实，这些所有散户都能很容易触达的信息，往往都是明牌，是很容易“已经”体现在股价中的（Already&nbsp;Priced-in）。而对于投资者来说，无论你下注“多头”（Long）还是“空头”（Short），参与的都是对未来的预期。 刚刚发完财报的公司，往往会有一段时间来消化完财报信息，而这时候的股价波动就并不会特别显著。除非对于财报的一致性预期特别大，比如说强烈的看好或者强烈地看衰，要不然股价都会呈现出“均值回归”的特点。 BABA的股票，已经回到了2017年的水平。 而且目前空头占比只有1.71%，与其说是回补得差不多，不如说是都不愿有人去空它了。 说实话，面对这样基本面的一家公司，抄底的确是个好选择。但是对于我们期权玩家来说，可以用一些期权策略获得更大概率的收益。 我个人认为，一份简单的垂直差价（vertical&nbsp;Spread）就够，当然，是一份看涨的Spread。 卖出，3月18日90美元的PUT，获得权利金1.31美元，","text":"上一次参与@麦麦max 的直播中，我们聊到了$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ $阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$ 关于阿里巴巴，大家最近关注的几个点无非就是： 最新季度的财报收入增速创下IPO以来新低； 阿里云因为某些原因被人为限制了； 淘系电商面临短视频竞争激烈； “反垄断”政策的影响后续； 芒格的基金开始大量抄底。 其实，这些所有散户都能很容易触达的信息，往往都是明牌，是很容易“已经”体现在股价中的（Already Priced-in）。而对于投资者来说，无论你下注“多头”（Long）还是“空头”（Short），参与的都是对未来的预期。 刚刚发完财报的公司，往往会有一段时间来消化完财报信息，而这时候的股价波动就并不会特别显著。除非对于财报的一致性预期特别大，比如说强烈的看好或者强烈地看衰，要不然股价都会呈现出“均值回归”的特点。 BABA的股票，已经回到了2017年的水平。 而且目前空头占比只有1.71%，与其说是回补得差不多，不如说是都不愿有人去空它了。 说实话，面对这样基本面的一家公司，抄底的确是个好选择。但是对于我们期权玩家来说，可以用一些期权策略获得更大概率的收益。 我个人认为，一份简单的垂直差价（vertical Spread）就够，当然，是一份看涨的Spread。 卖出，3月18日90美元的PUT，获得权利金1.31美元，","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd288c41e6cc6a8c3bfdd37ece38327d","width":"1757","height":"733"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ced7ea70d28163182b389c8c498be32","width":"590","height":"342"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20742f1d38218a6937b40ce9ce6a572e","width":"1756","height":"730"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632090921","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855706305,"gmtCreate":1635396872357,"gmtModify":1635396872423,"author":{"id":"3585997004102901","authorId":"3585997004102901","name":"小韭菜_27","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d34baf6393f3a1aa7bcc56f9b7731a1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585997004102901","idStr":"3585997004102901"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>to da moon!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>to da moon!!!","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$to da moon!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8bff03b477b99334b064402f4be016b","width":"1080","height":"3741"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855706305","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":507,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}