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2021-06-16

我心里我是

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-16

你是谁呀

如果美联储真的缩减QE，投资者该配置哪些股票？

2021-06-15

I think nio is the strongest

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-15

Ex game

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-15

Ex apple

Apple: Meme Stocks Or Apple, I Choose Apple Every Time<blockquote>苹果：模因股票还是苹果，我每次都选择苹果</blockquote>

2021-06-15

Can we do it:

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2021-06-15

Best of the best

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2021-06-15

For the vest

What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议值得期待</blockquote>

2021-06-15

Can we do ig

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11:24","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"如果美联储真的缩减QE，投资者该配置哪些股票？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152483519","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"本周是“超级央行周”，美联储等多家央行要公布利率决议。美国5月份通胀高达5%，创出13年新高，美联储议息会议会不会宣布缩减QE？这成为市场关注焦点。\n美联储可能开始讨论缩减购债\n会议纪要显示，在上次会","content":"<p>本周是“超级央行周”，美联储等多家央行要公布利率决议。美国5月份通胀高达5%，创出13年新高，美联储议息会议会不会宣布缩减QE？这成为市场关注焦点。</p>\n<p><b>美联储可能开始讨论缩减购债</b></p>\n<p>会议纪要显示，在上次会议上，一些美联储官员指出，如果美国经济继续取得进展，开始讨论调整债券购买步伐的计划可能是合适的。</p>\n<p><b>北京时间6月17日02:00，美联储将公布利率决议。市场预计美联储这次不会采取任何政策举措，但可能会向市场发出信号，表明正在考虑改变购债政策。</b> 美联储随后还会发布新的预测，可能会在2023年首次加息。 分析师预计有关缩减购债计划的细节不会太多，但预计有人会提及该计划，而美联储更可能在夏季晚些时候进行更明确的讨论。</p>\n<p>据CNBC报道，有分析师预计，美联储有可能引发新的“缩减恐慌”。对此，CNBC研究了2013年利率飙升期间大放异彩的股票，CNBC认为，若利率再次飙升，这些股票有望复制2013年的走势。</p>\n<p>2013年，美联储表示，将通过放慢购买国债的步伐来逐步减少大衰退时期的经济刺激措施。随后来的投资者恐慌导致债券抛售和国债收益率飙升。</p>\n<p>亿万富翁对冲基金经理保罗·都铎·琼斯(Paul Tudor Jones)周一对 CNBC表示，如果美联储本周发出信号，随着CPI上涨，计划开始放缓资产购买，琼斯预计市场将再次出现缩减恐慌。</p>\n<p>琼斯称，投资者将会抛售固收类产品，股票也会得到修正。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7973ab073d39d8f41a6836cd3a8c18c6\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"469\"><span>Paul Tudor Jones</span></p>\n<p>CNBC盘点了2013年5月到年底最后一次缩减QE引发市场恐慌期间，市场表现最佳的股票。至少 75%的分析师表示，可以考虑今天买入这些股票，因为他们预计这些股票未来12个月将大幅上涨。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06d0e9e5ac58908b4b65795e2ad00c27\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"889\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>虽然缩减QE会令市场失望，但利率上升通常是因为经济正在复苏。这也是为什么我们在上述股票中看到了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a>等公司。随着经济逐渐走出疫情阴霾，这些公司可能再次成为今年的赢家。</p>\n<p>需要注意的是，我们只考虑了单一数据，因此，这些股票在2013年缩减恐慌期间的强劲表现可能是独有的，不可复制。尽管如此，这些股票也是今天华尔街的最爱。</p>\n<p>分析师一致预期显示，这些股票未来12个月内的平均收益率超过15%。</p>\n<p><b>是否调整短期利率，市场存在分歧</b></p>\n<p>对于美联储是否会对部分短期利率进行技术性调整，观察人士也存在分歧。</p>\n<p>作为美国银行美国短期利率策略主管，Cabana预计，由于短期贷款市场的压力不断增加，美联储将略微提高超额准备金的利率。</p>\n<p>财政刺激导致大量资金进入财政部一般账户，基本上是财政部的支票账户。由于这些资金一直在退出财政部，为各种计划买单，已经找到了进入货币市场和银行系统的途径，创造了对短期票据的巨大需求。这在隔夜借贷市场上刺激了大量异常活跃的活动，并压低了国库券的利率。</p>\n<p>Cabana表示：“在超额准备金利率和隔夜逆回购工具方面，我们认为美联储将对这些利率的设定进行适度调整，上调2或3个基点。这样做是为了确保(美联储的)零利率下限的弹性，并防止货币市场资金流出。”</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>如果美联储真的缩减QE，投资者该配置哪些股票？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n如果美联储真的缩减QE，投资者该配置哪些股票？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-16 11:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>本周是“超级央行周”，美联储等多家央行要公布利率决议。美国5月份通胀高达5%，创出13年新高，美联储议息会议会不会宣布缩减QE？这成为市场关注焦点。</p>\n<p><b>美联储可能开始讨论缩减购债</b></p>\n<p>会议纪要显示，在上次会议上，一些美联储官员指出，如果美国经济继续取得进展，开始讨论调整债券购买步伐的计划可能是合适的。</p>\n<p><b>北京时间6月17日02:00，美联储将公布利率决议。市场预计美联储这次不会采取任何政策举措，但可能会向市场发出信号，表明正在考虑改变购债政策。</b> 美联储随后还会发布新的预测，可能会在2023年首次加息。 分析师预计有关缩减购债计划的细节不会太多，但预计有人会提及该计划，而美联储更可能在夏季晚些时候进行更明确的讨论。</p>\n<p>据CNBC报道，有分析师预计，美联储有可能引发新的“缩减恐慌”。对此，CNBC研究了2013年利率飙升期间大放异彩的股票，CNBC认为，若利率再次飙升，这些股票有望复制2013年的走势。</p>\n<p>2013年，美联储表示，将通过放慢购买国债的步伐来逐步减少大衰退时期的经济刺激措施。随后来的投资者恐慌导致债券抛售和国债收益率飙升。</p>\n<p>亿万富翁对冲基金经理保罗·都铎·琼斯(Paul Tudor Jones)周一对 CNBC表示，如果美联储本周发出信号，随着CPI上涨，计划开始放缓资产购买，琼斯预计市场将再次出现缩减恐慌。</p>\n<p>琼斯称，投资者将会抛售固收类产品，股票也会得到修正。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7973ab073d39d8f41a6836cd3a8c18c6\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"469\"><span>Paul Tudor Jones</span></p>\n<p>CNBC盘点了2013年5月到年底最后一次缩减QE引发市场恐慌期间，市场表现最佳的股票。至少 75%的分析师表示，可以考虑今天买入这些股票，因为他们预计这些股票未来12个月将大幅上涨。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06d0e9e5ac58908b4b65795e2ad00c27\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"889\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>虽然缩减QE会令市场失望，但利率上升通常是因为经济正在复苏。这也是为什么我们在上述股票中看到了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a>等公司。随着经济逐渐走出疫情阴霾，这些公司可能再次成为今年的赢家。</p>\n<p>需要注意的是，我们只考虑了单一数据，因此，这些股票在2013年缩减恐慌期间的强劲表现可能是独有的，不可复制。尽管如此，这些股票也是今天华尔街的最爱。</p>\n<p>分析师一致预期显示，这些股票未来12个月内的平均收益率超过15%。</p>\n<p><b>是否调整短期利率，市场存在分歧</b></p>\n<p>对于美联储是否会对部分短期利率进行技术性调整，观察人士也存在分歧。</p>\n<p>作为美国银行美国短期利率策略主管，Cabana预计，由于短期贷款市场的压力不断增加，美联储将略微提高超额准备金的利率。</p>\n<p>财政刺激导致大量资金进入财政部一般账户，基本上是财政部的支票账户。由于这些资金一直在退出财政部，为各种计划买单，已经找到了进入货币市场和银行系统的途径，创造了对短期票据的巨大需求。这在隔夜借贷市场上刺激了大量异常活跃的活动，并压低了国库券的利率。</p>\n<p>Cabana表示：“在超额准备金利率和隔夜逆回购工具方面，我们认为美联储将对这些利率的设定进行适度调整，上调2或3个基点。这样做是为了确保(美联储的)零利率下限的弹性，并防止货币市场资金流出。”</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b366582fef27ac8db7ca3296d50b015","relate_stocks":{"AIZ":"安信龙保险",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","AMZN":"亚马逊","FANG":"Diamondback Energy","CI":"信诺保险",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TFX":"泰利福","ALK":"阿拉斯加航空集团有限公司","SPY":"标普500ETF","NKE":"耐克","GM":"通用汽车",".DJI":"道琼斯","MU":"美光科技","DHR":"丹纳赫","NOW":"ServiceNow"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152483519","content_text":"本周是“超级央行周”，美联储等多家央行要公布利率决议。美国5月份通胀高达5%，创出13年新高，美联储议息会议会不会宣布缩减QE？这成为市场关注焦点。\n美联储可能开始讨论缩减购债\n会议纪要显示，在上次会议上，一些美联储官员指出，如果美国经济继续取得进展，开始讨论调整债券购买步伐的计划可能是合适的。\n北京时间6月17日02:00，美联储将公布利率决议。市场预计美联储这次不会采取任何政策举措，但可能会向市场发出信号，表明正在考虑改变购债政策。 美联储随后还会发布新的预测，可能会在2023年首次加息。 分析师预计有关缩减购债计划的细节不会太多，但预计有人会提及该计划，而美联储更可能在夏季晚些时候进行更明确的讨论。\n据CNBC报道，有分析师预计，美联储有可能引发新的“缩减恐慌”。对此，CNBC研究了2013年利率飙升期间大放异彩的股票，CNBC认为，若利率再次飙升，这些股票有望复制2013年的走势。\n2013年，美联储表示，将通过放慢购买国债的步伐来逐步减少大衰退时期的经济刺激措施。随后来的投资者恐慌导致债券抛售和国债收益率飙升。\n亿万富翁对冲基金经理保罗·都铎·琼斯(Paul Tudor Jones)周一对 CNBC表示，如果美联储本周发出信号，随着CPI上涨，计划开始放缓资产购买，琼斯预计市场将再次出现缩减恐慌。\n琼斯称，投资者将会抛售固收类产品，股票也会得到修正。\nPaul Tudor Jones\nCNBC盘点了2013年5月到年底最后一次缩减QE引发市场恐慌期间，市场表现最佳的股票。至少 75%的分析师表示，可以考虑今天买入这些股票，因为他们预计这些股票未来12个月将大幅上涨。\n\n虽然缩减QE会令市场失望，但利率上升通常是因为经济正在复苏。这也是为什么我们在上述股票中看到了通用汽车、耐克等公司。随着经济逐渐走出疫情阴霾，这些公司可能再次成为今年的赢家。\n需要注意的是，我们只考虑了单一数据，因此，这些股票在2013年缩减恐慌期间的强劲表现可能是独有的，不可复制。尽管如此，这些股票也是今天华尔街的最爱。\n分析师一致预期显示，这些股票未来12个月内的平均收益率超过15%。\n是否调整短期利率，市场存在分歧\n对于美联储是否会对部分短期利率进行技术性调整，观察人士也存在分歧。\n作为美国银行美国短期利率策略主管，Cabana预计，由于短期贷款市场的压力不断增加，美联储将略微提高超额准备金的利率。\n财政刺激导致大量资金进入财政部一般账户，基本上是财政部的支票账户。由于这些资金一直在退出财政部，为各种计划买单，已经找到了进入货币市场和银行系统的途径，创造了对短期票据的巨大需求。这在隔夜借贷市场上刺激了大量异常活跃的活动，并压低了国库券的利率。\nCabana表示：“在超额准备金利率和隔夜逆回购工具方面，我们认为美联储将对这些利率的设定进行适度调整，上调2或3个基点。这样做是为了确保(美联储的)零利率下限的弹性，并防止货币市场资金流出。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DHR":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"FANG":0.9,"GM":0.9,"NKE":0.9,"AIZ":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"CI":0.9,"RE":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"NOW":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"MU":0.9,"TFX":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"ALK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":187907589,"gmtCreate":1623733199741,"gmtModify":1634029380692,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586078798795720","idStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"I think nio is the strongest","listText":"I think nio is the strongest","text":"I think nio is the strongest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187907589","repostId":"1140305126","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187907974,"gmtCreate":1623733176898,"gmtModify":1634029381281,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586078798795720","idStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ex game","listText":"Ex game","text":"Ex game","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187907974","repostId":"2143898782","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2841,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187904321,"gmtCreate":1623733156863,"gmtModify":1634029382113,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586078798795720","idStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ex apple","listText":"Ex apple","text":"Ex apple","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187904321","repostId":"1167720481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167720481","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623723356,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1167720481?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 10:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Meme Stocks Or Apple, I Choose Apple Every Time<blockquote>苹果：模因股票还是苹果，我每次都选择苹果</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167720481","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Apple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.Investors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.Apple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.Eventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.So what does AAPL do with all of the cash","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.</li>  <li>Investors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.</li>  <li>Apple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.</li>  <li>Eventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54c3b80a3353ef82f618688f13f74658\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在2021年一直是一项负面投资，而模因股票却爆炸式增长，这是荒谬的。</li><li>投资者有机会在苹果下一次上涨之前购买它，而注意力已转移到追逐模因股票的快速收益。</li><li>苹果预计 2021 财年收入将超过 3000 亿美元，净利润将达到 750 亿美元。</li><li>最终，苹果将被重新投入到党中，他们的数字将被庆祝。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In 2021, Apple (AAPL) has become a negative returning investment underperforming the SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) by a margin greater than 15%. In May of 2021, one of the hottest fund managers&nbsp;Cathie Wood&nbsp;of&nbsp;Ark Invest, sold nearly 300,000 shares of AAPL from the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF). It was reported that ARK, at one point, was reducing their stake in AAPL to add to their positions in&nbsp;Coinbase (COIN) and DraftKings (DKNG). Actively managed funds such as the one's ARK oversees buy and sell equities daily and could have been using AAPL as an alternative to cash. AAPL has a mixed bag of reviews as some believe its best days are ahead of it while others believe the glory days won't be reclaimed. I think the market is granting investors an opportunity as AAPL should breakout from its sideways pattern in the 2ndhalf of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，苹果（AAPL）已成为负回报投资，其表现逊于SPDR标普500信托ETF（SPDR标普500指数ETF）超过15%。2021 年 5 月，Ark Invest 最热门的基金经理之一 Cathie Wood 从 Ark Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF) 中出售了近 300,000 股 AAPL 股票。据报道，ARK 一度减持 AAPL 股份，以增加其在 Coinbase (COIN) 和 DraftKings (DKNG) 的头寸。one’s ARK 等主动管理基金每天监督股票的买卖，并可能使用 AAPL 作为现金的替代品。AAPL 的评论褒贬不一，一些人认为其最好的日子还在后头，而另一些人则认为辉煌的日子将无法重现。我认为市场正在给投资者一个机会，因为苹果公司应该会在 2021 年下半年摆脱横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> The market wasn't impressed by the blowout AAPL delivered in Q1 and Q2. Instead of an upside climb supported by fundamentals, shares of AAPL have been treading water. As an AAPL bull, it's perplexing that so much attention is placed on meme stocks instead of companies such as AAPL when it's setting the stage for their best year ever. After reading the comments of the recent articles on MEME stocks, I have written, then looking back at the comment sections of some AAPL articles, I just don't understand how the mindset is shifting to outright speculation &amp; gambling rather than investing. In the first 2 quarters of the fiscal year, 2021 AAPL has generated $3.08 in EPS while the entire 2020 fiscal year delivered $3.31 in EPS. AAPL is solidifying the foundation for its best year ever in many metrics, yet the market isn't impressed. I believe there will be impressive fireworks in the 2ndhalf of 2021, and patient shareholders will be rewarded as Q3 and Q4 numbers are reported.</p><p><blockquote>市场对 AAPL 在第一季度和第二季度的井喷并没有留下深刻印象。AAPL 股价并没有在基本面支撑下上涨，而是一直在下跌。作为一名 AAPL 多头，令人困惑的是，当 AAPL 等公司正在为其有史以来最好的一年奠定基础时，如此多的注意力却集中在模因股票上，而不是像 AAPL 这样的公司上。在阅读了最近关于模因股票的文章的评论后，我写道，然后回顾一些AAPL文章的评论部分，我只是不明白心态是如何转向彻底的投机和赌博而不是投资的。在本财年的前两个季度，AAPL 的每股收益为 3.08 美元，而整个 2020 财年的每股收益为 3.31 美元。AAPL 在许多指标上都在巩固其有史以来最好的一年的基础，但市场并没有留下深刻印象。我相信2021年下半年将会有令人印象深刻的烟火，随着第三季度和第四季度数据的公布，耐心的股东将会得到回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e86cb02096dfa9c6da05e350f274aa64\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"556\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Seeking Alpha）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple believes it's the best investment in the market and puts their money where their mouth is</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果相信这是市场上最好的投资，并说到做到</b></blockquote></p><p> So what does AAPL do with all of the cash it generates? For starters, they spend tens of billions annually building out their businesses while investing in research and development [R&amp;D]. In&nbsp;2020, AAPL spent $169.56 billion on their cost of generating revenue. The fruits of their labor can be seen in their product offerings and how quickly their newest business segments, including services and wearables, Home, and accessories, have grown. AAPL allocated $18.75 billion in 2020 to R&amp;D, generating advancements to their beloved products. One of the reasons AAPL has a cliental that could resemble a cult-like mentality is because AAPL doesn't stop innovating. They are always at the forefront pushing the boundaries of how technology can enhance an individual's daily life.</p><p><blockquote>那么，AAPL如何处理它产生的所有现金呢？首先，他们每年花费数百亿美元来发展业务，同时投资于研发[R&amp;D]。2020年，AAPL在创收成本上花费了1695.6亿美元。他们的劳动成果可以从他们的产品以及他们最新的业务部门（包括服务和可穿戴设备、家居和配件）的增长速度中看出。AAPL在2020年拨款187.5亿美元用于研发，为他们心爱的产品带来了进步。AAPL拥有类似于邪教心态的客户群的原因之一是因为AAPL没有停止创新。他们总是站在技术如何改善个人日常生活的最前沿。</blockquote></p><p> So what about the remaining cash after AAPL's business expenses are fulfilled? AAPL bets on themselves and views their stock as an investment. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has repurchased $421.7 billion in its own stock. In 2021 AAPL has repurchased $43 billion in stock, indicating that senior leadership believes there is tremendous value in owning shares of AAPL. I remember the days where everyone got excited when insiders purchased shares of their company. For AAPL buying back stock is just an ordinary Monday. AAPL has repurchased more in stock over the past decade than most companies will ever see their market caps grow to. AAPL's&nbsp;board&nbsp;authorized an additional $90 billion to its existing share repurchase plan, and AAPL returned almost&nbsp;$23 billion&nbsp;in capital to shareholders in Q2 2021, it doesn't get more bullish than that.</p><p><blockquote>那么AAPL的业务费用兑现后剩余的现金怎么办呢？AAPL 押注于自己，并将其股票视为一项投资。自2012财年以来，AAPL已回购了4217亿美元的自有股票。2021年，AAPL回购了430亿美元的股票，表明高层领导认为拥有AAPL股票具有巨大的价值。我记得当内部人士购买他们公司股票时，每个人都很兴奋的日子。对于 AAPL 来说，回购股票只是一个普通的星期一。过去十年，苹果公司回购的股票数量超过了大多数公司的市值增长。AAPL 董事会授权向其现有股票回购计划追加 900 亿美元，AAPL 在 2021 年第二季度向股东返还了近 230 亿美元的资本，没有比这更乐观的了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dbaf61374104ed17e51201af591ab7d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"349\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Meme stocks vs. Apple and the insanity of this market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>模因股票与苹果以及这个市场的疯狂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> GameStop (GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) have decimated AAPL in share price appreciation throughout the first half of 2021. Regardless of why GME and AMC are up, the fact of the matter is GME has generated a return that exceeds 1,100%, and AMC has returned over 2,000%. Anyone who has ridden GME or AMC up, I congratulate and tip my hat to you. The market is being fueled by delusions of grandeur as AAPL is negative for the year, yet GME &amp; AMC have absolutely exploded to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站 (GME) 和AMC院线控股公司 (AMC) 在 2021 年上半年的股价升值幅度大幅削弱了 AAPL。不管GME和AMC为什么上涨，事实是GME的回报率超过了1,100%，AMC的回报率超过了2,000%。任何骑过 GME 或 AMC 的人，我都向你们表示祝贺并脱帽致敬。由于 AAPL 今年表现不佳，市场受到了宏伟错觉的推动，而 GME 和 AMC 却绝对上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c85258331453c02381346f8b6c676cec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Seeking Alpha）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What's changed for AMC in the past several months? I can tell you, not a single thing. AMC is still a company that is in the red and barely makes money. I get it investing in companies like AMC can generate huge returns due to volatility, and I am not knocking it. If you can make money on it, by all means, don't let anyone stand in your way but be careful. When you read through&nbsp;AMC's income statement, they have never exceeded $400 million in net income. In the past decade, AMC's most profitable year was 2013, as their net income was $364.4 million. In 2019 which had zero ramifications from COVID, AMC generated $5.47 billion in revenue and couldn't even turn a profit as they lost -$149.1 million. AMC's last quarterly report had -$2.3 billion in equity on its balance sheet. The reality is AMC can issue additional shares and sell them to raise capital. This would benefit AMC by improving its balance sheet and increase its cash on hand. It seems like people don't understand that when a company issues more shares, the initial batch becomes diluted and is worthless because of the additional supply. AMC can issue shares and strengthen its balance sheet, but it won't solve its profit problems. AAPL pays more in dividends to its shareholders every quarter than the profit AMC has generated in the past decade, yet AMC is the stock generating larger returns.</p><p><blockquote>过去几个月AMC发生了什么变化？我可以告诉你，一件事都没有。AMC仍然是一家亏损的公司，几乎不赚钱。我明白投资像 AMC 这样的公司可以由于波动性而产生巨大回报，我并没有否认这一点。如果你能在上面赚钱，无论如何，不要让任何人挡你的路，但要小心。当你通读AMC的损益表时，他们的净利润从未超过4亿美元。在过去十年中，AMC最赚钱的一年是2013年，净利润为3.644亿美元。2019 年，由于 COVID 的影响为零，AMC 创造了 54.7 亿美元的收入，但甚至无法盈利，因为他们亏损了 1.491 亿美元。AMC 上一季度报告显示其资产负债表上的股本为 -23 亿美元。现实情况是，AMC 可以发行额外股票并出售以筹集资金。这将使 AMC 受益，改善其资产负债表并增加手头现金。人们似乎不明白，当一家公司发行更多股票时，最初的一批股票会因为额外的供应量而被稀释，变得一文不值。AMC可以发行股票并加强其资产负债表，但这并不能解决其利润问题。AAPL 每个季度向股东支付的股息比 AMC 过去十年产生的利润还要多，但 AMC 是产生更大回报的股票。</blockquote></p><p> When investors purchase shares of AMC, they are buying a company with negative EPS. AMC's P/E ratio isn't measurable on a trailing twelve-month or a forward basis, yet investors are willing to pay for nonexistent earnings. In the comments of my&nbsp;AMC article, people said fundamentals don't matter. I understand that AMC has been a technical trade, but that doesn't change the reality that investors are paying for a company with negative earnings.Currently, the average PE Ratio for the S&amp;P is 45.02. If I use the EPS AAPL generated in the first 6 months of the fiscal year 2021 of $3.08, their PE Ratio would be 40.55. For the TTM, AAPL has generated $4.49 in EPS, which brings their PE Ratio down to 28.09. Currently, investors are paying $28.09 for every $1 in earnings AAPL generates, which is low for the tech industry.Amazon (AMZN)&nbsp;has a PE of 62.44,Microsoft (MSFT)34.93, and&nbsp;Google (GOOGL)of 32.05. Call me old-fashioned, but I like to invest in companies that turn a profit.</p><p><blockquote>当投资者购买 AMC 股票时，他们购买的是一家每股收益为负的公司。AMC 的市盈率无法在过去 12 个月或远期基础上衡量，但投资者愿意为不存在的收益买单。在我的AMC文章的评论中，人们说基本面并不重要。我知道 AMC 一直是一项技术性交易，但这并不能改变投资者为负收益公司买单的现实。目前，标准普尔的平均市盈率为45.02。如果我使用 AAPL 在 2021 财年前 6 个月产生的每股收益 3.08 美元，他们的市盈率将为 40.55。对于 TTM，AAPL 的每股收益为 4.49 美元，这使得他们的市盈率降至 28.09。目前，投资者为 AAPL 每产生 1 美元的收益支付 28.09 美元，这对于科技行业来说是较低的。亚马逊 (AMZN) 的市盈率为 62.44，微软 (MSFT) 为 34.93，谷歌 (GOOGL) 为 32.05。看涨期权我很守旧，但我喜欢投资盈利的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e06d9bc68454731c984429111ff056\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"661\"><span>(Source:multpl.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：multpl.com）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Laying out the bull case for Apple and why a breakout to the upside is inevitable</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阐述苹果的牛市理由以及为什么突破上行是不可避免的</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has a cult-like following that gravitates to its products and services. For the first 6 months of 2021,AAPLhas generated $201.02 billion in revenue, $82.41 billion in gross profit, and $52.39 billion in net income. In 2021 AAPL has already generated 73.23% ($201.02 billion) of 2020's total revenue, then 78.51% of 2020's gross income ($82.41 billion) and 91.25% of 2020's total net income ($52.39 billion). AAPL is on track to decimate its previous records, and unless something unfathomable occurs, 2021 will be AAPL's best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 拥有一批狂热的追随者，他们被其产品和服务所吸引。2021年前6个月，AAPLhas实现收入2010.2亿美元，毛利润824.1亿美元，净利润523.9亿美元。2021年，AAPL已经创造了2020年总收入的73.23%（2010.2亿美元），然后是2020年总收入的78.51%（824.1亿美元）和2020年总净收入的91.25%（523.9亿美元）。AAPL 有望打破其之前的记录，除非发生深不可测的事情，否则 2021 年将是 AAPL 有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> So the real questions are what's causing the surge in AAPL's financials, and are they sustainable? Part of the reason is AAPL has seen an increase in its hardware sales from iPhone 12's down to iPads. An argument can be made that many people needed to upgrade their technology during the pandemic due to working from home or remote learning, but that logic can't be used for 2021. At the end of April, when&nbsp;AAPL reported Q2,their iPhone sales exceeded expectations by $7.14 billion, Mac sales by $2.2 billion, and iPad sales by $2.01 billion. These numbers were a year later, and while the iPhone 12, which was AAPL's first 5G release, was expected to create tailwinds, I believe the pandemic pushed society into a place where a greater emphasis is placed on technology.</p><p><blockquote>因此，真正的问题是，是什么导致了 AAPL 财务状况的飙升，以及它们是否可持续？部分原因是苹果公司的硬件销量从 iPhone 12 到 iPad 都有所增长。可以说，由于在家工作或远程学习，许多人在疫情期间需要升级他们的技术，但这种逻辑不能用于2021年。4月底，苹果公司公布第二季度业绩时，其iPhone销售额超出预期71.4亿美元，Mac销售额超出预期22亿美元，iPad销售额超出预期20.1亿美元。这些数字是在一年后公布的，虽然苹果公司发布的第一款 5G 手机 iPhone 12 预计会带来顺风，但我相信疫情将社会推向了一个更加重视技术的地方。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> I believe AAPL will continue to see strong hardware sales, but that's only one piece of the puzzle. Services and Wearables Home and Accessories are becoming huge components of AAPL's financial metrics. In&nbsp;2018 Services&nbsp;generated $39.75 billion in revenue. In 2019 Services increased by $6.54 billion (16.46%) as they finished the year with $46.29 billion in revenue. In 2020 Services grew by $7.48 billion (16.15%) as its revenue totaled $53.77 billion. In the first 6 months of 2020, Services has already generated $32.66 billion in revenue, which is 60.75% of 2020's total revenue. Services continue to grow creating a true business segment of reoccurring revenue for AAPL. The beauty of Services is with each piece of hardware AAPL sells; there is an opportunity to generate additional revenue through Services every month.</p><p><blockquote>我相信 AAPL 将继续看到强劲的硬件销售，但这只是难题的一部分。服务、可穿戴设备、家居和配件正在成为 AAPL 财务指标的重要组成部分。2018年，服务业创造了397.5亿美元的收入。2019年，服务业增长了65.4亿美元（16.46%），年收入为462.9亿美元。2020年，服务业增长了74.8亿美元（16.15%），收入总计537.7亿美元。2020年前6个月，服务业已经创造了326.6亿美元的收入，占2020年总收入的60.75%。服务持续增长，为 AAPL 创造了一个真正的经常性收入业务部门。服务之美在于AAPL销售的每一件硬件；每个月都有机会通过服务产生额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Services are becoming a home run for AAPL as it diversifies its revenue mix away from being solely constructed from physical products. At the close of the fiscal year 2020, Services had increased its annual revenue by $29.42 billion (120.83%) in just 4 years. In the first 6 months of 2021, Services has generated $32.66 billion, which is 60% of 2020's annual revenue. AAPL is on track to crack $60 billion in revenue from Services in the fiscal year 2021. Looking further out, Services could be a $100 billion revenue generator in the not-too-distant future.</p><p><blockquote>随着 AAPL 实现收入结构多元化，不再仅仅依赖实体产品，服务正在成为 AAPL 的本垒打。截至 2020 财年末，Services 在短短 4 年内年收入增加了 294.2 亿美元（120.83%）。2021年前6个月，服务业创造了326.6亿美元，占2020年年收入的60%。AAPL 有望在 2021 财年实现 600 亿美元的服务收入。展望未来，在不久的将来，服务业可能会产生 1000 亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f044f79f7525038fb94ed27b6a92209\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Wearables Home and Accessories continues to follow in Service's footsteps as it has become a larger revenue segment than iPad and Mac. With the inception of the Apple Watch, this category has grown from generating $11.13 billion in 2016 to $30.62 billion in 2020. Over 4 fiscal years, Wearables Home and Accessories has increased its revenue by $24.48 billion (175.06%), and its growth keeps expanding. In the first 6 months of 2021, Wearables Home and Accessories have generated $20.81 billion in revenue, which is 67.95% of 2020's total revenue. AAPL is certainly on track to generate $35 billion-plus in revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories in the fiscal year 2021. Over the next several years, AAPL is on track to generate $50 billion in annual revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories.</p><p><blockquote>家庭可穿戴设备和配件继续追随 Service 的脚步，因为它已成为比 iPad 和 Mac 更大的收入领域。随着苹果观察的推出，这一类别已经从2016年的111.3亿美元增长到2020年的306.2亿美元。在4个财年中，可穿戴家居和配件的收入增加了244.8亿美元（175.06%），并且增长不断扩大。2021年前6个月，家用可穿戴设备和配件创造了208.1亿美元的收入，占2020年总收入的67.95%。AAPL 肯定有望在 2021 财年从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生超过 350 亿美元的收入。未来几年，AAPL 有望从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生 500 亿美元的年收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7071ec652302c6cab585fef4c408d65\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By the end of the Fiscal Year 2025, there is a good chance that Services can generate more than $78 billion, and Wearables Home and Accessories could generate over $44 billion in annual revenue if they both grow at a 10% rate. These two categories are on pace to exceed $100 billion in revenue combined, which could grow into $150 billion annually in the late 2020s. I am shocked investors haven't been piling into AAPL, and it's even more ludicrous that an emphasis on AAPL's numbers isn't being discussed in greater detail. What's AAPL worth down the road when Services reaches $100 billion in revenue and Wearables Home and Accessories reaches $50 billion? Over the past decade, AAPL has continued to innovate and change how technology is used, and to think their best days are behind them is a notion I refuse to believe.</p><p><blockquote>到 2025 财年末，服务很有可能产生超过 780 亿美元的收入，如果家用可穿戴设备和配件都以 10% 的速度增长，则年收入可能超过 440 亿美元。这两个类别的总收入有望超过 1000 亿美元，到 2020 年代末，每年可能会增长到 1500 亿美元。我感到震惊的是，投资者没有大量涌入 AAPL，更可笑的是，对 AAPL 数据的强调没有得到更详细的讨论。当服务收入达到 1000 亿美元，家用可穿戴设备和配件收入达到 500 亿美元时，AAPL 的未来价值是多少？在过去的十年里，AAPL不断创新和改变技术的使用方式，我拒绝相信他们最好的日子已经过去。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62cd231b75d9f875329f6713debe846b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"191\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> The meme stocks are causing a lot of excitement for some investors while they leave a whole other group shaking their heads. Other than a gamble, I can't understand why people want to invest in AMC when you could buy shares of AAPL on sale. AAPL should have exploded to the upside, but its 2 recent blowout quarters didn't move the needle. I believe it's going to be different once the Q3 numbers are reported. We're going to find out that once again, AAPL continues to buy shares by the billions while reporting that in 9 months, they have generated more net income than all of 2020. In the first 6 months of operations, AAPL has generated $201.02 billion in revenue and $52.39 billion in net income while giving back $53.2 billion in buybacks and dividends. Investors have been granted an opportunity to buy more AAPL before the next leg up. I am a shareholder of AAPL, and I plan on buying more before Q3 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票给一些投资者带来了极大的兴奋，而他们却让另一大群人摇头。除了赌博之外，我无法理解当你可以购买出售的 AAPL 股票时，为什么人们还要投资 AMC。苹果公司本应暴涨，但其最近两个季度的井喷并没有改变局面。我相信一旦第三季度数据公布，情况就会有所不同。我们将再次发现，AAPL 继续购买数十亿美元的股票，同时报告称，在 9 个月内，他们产生的净利润超过了 2020 年全年。在运营的前6个月，AAPL创造了2010.2亿美元的收入和523.9亿美元的净利润，同时返还了532亿美元的回购和股息。投资者有机会在下一次上涨之前购买更多 AAPL。我是 AAPL 的股东，我计划在第三季度财报公布之前购买更多股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Meme Stocks Or Apple, I Choose Apple Every Time<blockquote>苹果：模因股票还是苹果，我每次都选择苹果</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Meme Stocks Or Apple, I Choose Apple Every Time<blockquote>苹果：模因股票还是苹果，我每次都选择苹果</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 10:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.</li>  <li>Investors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.</li>  <li>Apple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.</li>  <li>Eventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54c3b80a3353ef82f618688f13f74658\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在2021年一直是一项负面投资，而模因股票却爆炸式增长，这是荒谬的。</li><li>投资者有机会在苹果下一次上涨之前购买它，而注意力已转移到追逐模因股票的快速收益。</li><li>苹果预计 2021 财年收入将超过 3000 亿美元，净利润将达到 750 亿美元。</li><li>最终，苹果将被重新投入到党中，他们的数字将被庆祝。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In 2021, Apple (AAPL) has become a negative returning investment underperforming the SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) by a margin greater than 15%. In May of 2021, one of the hottest fund managers&nbsp;Cathie Wood&nbsp;of&nbsp;Ark Invest, sold nearly 300,000 shares of AAPL from the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF). It was reported that ARK, at one point, was reducing their stake in AAPL to add to their positions in&nbsp;Coinbase (COIN) and DraftKings (DKNG). Actively managed funds such as the one's ARK oversees buy and sell equities daily and could have been using AAPL as an alternative to cash. AAPL has a mixed bag of reviews as some believe its best days are ahead of it while others believe the glory days won't be reclaimed. I think the market is granting investors an opportunity as AAPL should breakout from its sideways pattern in the 2ndhalf of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，苹果（AAPL）已成为负回报投资，其表现逊于SPDR标普500信托ETF（SPDR标普500指数ETF）超过15%。2021 年 5 月，Ark Invest 最热门的基金经理之一 Cathie Wood 从 Ark Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF) 中出售了近 300,000 股 AAPL 股票。据报道，ARK 一度减持 AAPL 股份，以增加其在 Coinbase (COIN) 和 DraftKings (DKNG) 的头寸。one’s ARK 等主动管理基金每天监督股票的买卖，并可能使用 AAPL 作为现金的替代品。AAPL 的评论褒贬不一，一些人认为其最好的日子还在后头，而另一些人则认为辉煌的日子将无法重现。我认为市场正在给投资者一个机会，因为苹果公司应该会在 2021 年下半年摆脱横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> The market wasn't impressed by the blowout AAPL delivered in Q1 and Q2. Instead of an upside climb supported by fundamentals, shares of AAPL have been treading water. As an AAPL bull, it's perplexing that so much attention is placed on meme stocks instead of companies such as AAPL when it's setting the stage for their best year ever. After reading the comments of the recent articles on MEME stocks, I have written, then looking back at the comment sections of some AAPL articles, I just don't understand how the mindset is shifting to outright speculation &amp; gambling rather than investing. In the first 2 quarters of the fiscal year, 2021 AAPL has generated $3.08 in EPS while the entire 2020 fiscal year delivered $3.31 in EPS. AAPL is solidifying the foundation for its best year ever in many metrics, yet the market isn't impressed. I believe there will be impressive fireworks in the 2ndhalf of 2021, and patient shareholders will be rewarded as Q3 and Q4 numbers are reported.</p><p><blockquote>市场对 AAPL 在第一季度和第二季度的井喷并没有留下深刻印象。AAPL 股价并没有在基本面支撑下上涨，而是一直在下跌。作为一名 AAPL 多头，令人困惑的是，当 AAPL 等公司正在为其有史以来最好的一年奠定基础时，如此多的注意力却集中在模因股票上，而不是像 AAPL 这样的公司上。在阅读了最近关于模因股票的文章的评论后，我写道，然后回顾一些AAPL文章的评论部分，我只是不明白心态是如何转向彻底的投机和赌博而不是投资的。在本财年的前两个季度，AAPL 的每股收益为 3.08 美元，而整个 2020 财年的每股收益为 3.31 美元。AAPL 在许多指标上都在巩固其有史以来最好的一年的基础，但市场并没有留下深刻印象。我相信2021年下半年将会有令人印象深刻的烟火，随着第三季度和第四季度数据的公布，耐心的股东将会得到回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e86cb02096dfa9c6da05e350f274aa64\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"556\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Seeking Alpha）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple believes it's the best investment in the market and puts their money where their mouth is</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果相信这是市场上最好的投资，并说到做到</b></blockquote></p><p> So what does AAPL do with all of the cash it generates? For starters, they spend tens of billions annually building out their businesses while investing in research and development [R&amp;D]. In&nbsp;2020, AAPL spent $169.56 billion on their cost of generating revenue. The fruits of their labor can be seen in their product offerings and how quickly their newest business segments, including services and wearables, Home, and accessories, have grown. AAPL allocated $18.75 billion in 2020 to R&amp;D, generating advancements to their beloved products. One of the reasons AAPL has a cliental that could resemble a cult-like mentality is because AAPL doesn't stop innovating. They are always at the forefront pushing the boundaries of how technology can enhance an individual's daily life.</p><p><blockquote>那么，AAPL如何处理它产生的所有现金呢？首先，他们每年花费数百亿美元来发展业务，同时投资于研发[R&amp;D]。2020年，AAPL在创收成本上花费了1695.6亿美元。他们的劳动成果可以从他们的产品以及他们最新的业务部门（包括服务和可穿戴设备、家居和配件）的增长速度中看出。AAPL在2020年拨款187.5亿美元用于研发，为他们心爱的产品带来了进步。AAPL拥有类似于邪教心态的客户群的原因之一是因为AAPL没有停止创新。他们总是站在技术如何改善个人日常生活的最前沿。</blockquote></p><p> So what about the remaining cash after AAPL's business expenses are fulfilled? AAPL bets on themselves and views their stock as an investment. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has repurchased $421.7 billion in its own stock. In 2021 AAPL has repurchased $43 billion in stock, indicating that senior leadership believes there is tremendous value in owning shares of AAPL. I remember the days where everyone got excited when insiders purchased shares of their company. For AAPL buying back stock is just an ordinary Monday. AAPL has repurchased more in stock over the past decade than most companies will ever see their market caps grow to. AAPL's&nbsp;board&nbsp;authorized an additional $90 billion to its existing share repurchase plan, and AAPL returned almost&nbsp;$23 billion&nbsp;in capital to shareholders in Q2 2021, it doesn't get more bullish than that.</p><p><blockquote>那么AAPL的业务费用兑现后剩余的现金怎么办呢？AAPL 押注于自己，并将其股票视为一项投资。自2012财年以来，AAPL已回购了4217亿美元的自有股票。2021年，AAPL回购了430亿美元的股票，表明高层领导认为拥有AAPL股票具有巨大的价值。我记得当内部人士购买他们公司股票时，每个人都很兴奋的日子。对于 AAPL 来说，回购股票只是一个普通的星期一。过去十年，苹果公司回购的股票数量超过了大多数公司的市值增长。AAPL 董事会授权向其现有股票回购计划追加 900 亿美元，AAPL 在 2021 年第二季度向股东返还了近 230 亿美元的资本，没有比这更乐观的了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dbaf61374104ed17e51201af591ab7d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"349\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Meme stocks vs. Apple and the insanity of this market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>模因股票与苹果以及这个市场的疯狂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> GameStop (GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) have decimated AAPL in share price appreciation throughout the first half of 2021. Regardless of why GME and AMC are up, the fact of the matter is GME has generated a return that exceeds 1,100%, and AMC has returned over 2,000%. Anyone who has ridden GME or AMC up, I congratulate and tip my hat to you. The market is being fueled by delusions of grandeur as AAPL is negative for the year, yet GME &amp; AMC have absolutely exploded to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站 (GME) 和AMC院线控股公司 (AMC) 在 2021 年上半年的股价升值幅度大幅削弱了 AAPL。不管GME和AMC为什么上涨，事实是GME的回报率超过了1,100%，AMC的回报率超过了2,000%。任何骑过 GME 或 AMC 的人，我都向你们表示祝贺并脱帽致敬。由于 AAPL 今年表现不佳，市场受到了宏伟错觉的推动，而 GME 和 AMC 却绝对上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c85258331453c02381346f8b6c676cec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Seeking Alpha）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What's changed for AMC in the past several months? I can tell you, not a single thing. AMC is still a company that is in the red and barely makes money. I get it investing in companies like AMC can generate huge returns due to volatility, and I am not knocking it. If you can make money on it, by all means, don't let anyone stand in your way but be careful. When you read through&nbsp;AMC's income statement, they have never exceeded $400 million in net income. In the past decade, AMC's most profitable year was 2013, as their net income was $364.4 million. In 2019 which had zero ramifications from COVID, AMC generated $5.47 billion in revenue and couldn't even turn a profit as they lost -$149.1 million. AMC's last quarterly report had -$2.3 billion in equity on its balance sheet. The reality is AMC can issue additional shares and sell them to raise capital. This would benefit AMC by improving its balance sheet and increase its cash on hand. It seems like people don't understand that when a company issues more shares, the initial batch becomes diluted and is worthless because of the additional supply. AMC can issue shares and strengthen its balance sheet, but it won't solve its profit problems. AAPL pays more in dividends to its shareholders every quarter than the profit AMC has generated in the past decade, yet AMC is the stock generating larger returns.</p><p><blockquote>过去几个月AMC发生了什么变化？我可以告诉你，一件事都没有。AMC仍然是一家亏损的公司，几乎不赚钱。我明白投资像 AMC 这样的公司可以由于波动性而产生巨大回报，我并没有否认这一点。如果你能在上面赚钱，无论如何，不要让任何人挡你的路，但要小心。当你通读AMC的损益表时，他们的净利润从未超过4亿美元。在过去十年中，AMC最赚钱的一年是2013年，净利润为3.644亿美元。2019 年，由于 COVID 的影响为零，AMC 创造了 54.7 亿美元的收入，但甚至无法盈利，因为他们亏损了 1.491 亿美元。AMC 上一季度报告显示其资产负债表上的股本为 -23 亿美元。现实情况是，AMC 可以发行额外股票并出售以筹集资金。这将使 AMC 受益，改善其资产负债表并增加手头现金。人们似乎不明白，当一家公司发行更多股票时，最初的一批股票会因为额外的供应量而被稀释，变得一文不值。AMC可以发行股票并加强其资产负债表，但这并不能解决其利润问题。AAPL 每个季度向股东支付的股息比 AMC 过去十年产生的利润还要多，但 AMC 是产生更大回报的股票。</blockquote></p><p> When investors purchase shares of AMC, they are buying a company with negative EPS. AMC's P/E ratio isn't measurable on a trailing twelve-month or a forward basis, yet investors are willing to pay for nonexistent earnings. In the comments of my&nbsp;AMC article, people said fundamentals don't matter. I understand that AMC has been a technical trade, but that doesn't change the reality that investors are paying for a company with negative earnings.Currently, the average PE Ratio for the S&amp;P is 45.02. If I use the EPS AAPL generated in the first 6 months of the fiscal year 2021 of $3.08, their PE Ratio would be 40.55. For the TTM, AAPL has generated $4.49 in EPS, which brings their PE Ratio down to 28.09. Currently, investors are paying $28.09 for every $1 in earnings AAPL generates, which is low for the tech industry.Amazon (AMZN)&nbsp;has a PE of 62.44,Microsoft (MSFT)34.93, and&nbsp;Google (GOOGL)of 32.05. Call me old-fashioned, but I like to invest in companies that turn a profit.</p><p><blockquote>当投资者购买 AMC 股票时，他们购买的是一家每股收益为负的公司。AMC 的市盈率无法在过去 12 个月或远期基础上衡量，但投资者愿意为不存在的收益买单。在我的AMC文章的评论中，人们说基本面并不重要。我知道 AMC 一直是一项技术性交易，但这并不能改变投资者为负收益公司买单的现实。目前，标准普尔的平均市盈率为45.02。如果我使用 AAPL 在 2021 财年前 6 个月产生的每股收益 3.08 美元，他们的市盈率将为 40.55。对于 TTM，AAPL 的每股收益为 4.49 美元，这使得他们的市盈率降至 28.09。目前，投资者为 AAPL 每产生 1 美元的收益支付 28.09 美元，这对于科技行业来说是较低的。亚马逊 (AMZN) 的市盈率为 62.44，微软 (MSFT) 为 34.93，谷歌 (GOOGL) 为 32.05。看涨期权我很守旧，但我喜欢投资盈利的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e06d9bc68454731c984429111ff056\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"661\"><span>(Source:multpl.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：multpl.com）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Laying out the bull case for Apple and why a breakout to the upside is inevitable</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阐述苹果的牛市理由以及为什么突破上行是不可避免的</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has a cult-like following that gravitates to its products and services. For the first 6 months of 2021,AAPLhas generated $201.02 billion in revenue, $82.41 billion in gross profit, and $52.39 billion in net income. In 2021 AAPL has already generated 73.23% ($201.02 billion) of 2020's total revenue, then 78.51% of 2020's gross income ($82.41 billion) and 91.25% of 2020's total net income ($52.39 billion). AAPL is on track to decimate its previous records, and unless something unfathomable occurs, 2021 will be AAPL's best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 拥有一批狂热的追随者，他们被其产品和服务所吸引。2021年前6个月，AAPLhas实现收入2010.2亿美元，毛利润824.1亿美元，净利润523.9亿美元。2021年，AAPL已经创造了2020年总收入的73.23%（2010.2亿美元），然后是2020年总收入的78.51%（824.1亿美元）和2020年总净收入的91.25%（523.9亿美元）。AAPL 有望打破其之前的记录，除非发生深不可测的事情，否则 2021 年将是 AAPL 有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> So the real questions are what's causing the surge in AAPL's financials, and are they sustainable? Part of the reason is AAPL has seen an increase in its hardware sales from iPhone 12's down to iPads. An argument can be made that many people needed to upgrade their technology during the pandemic due to working from home or remote learning, but that logic can't be used for 2021. At the end of April, when&nbsp;AAPL reported Q2,their iPhone sales exceeded expectations by $7.14 billion, Mac sales by $2.2 billion, and iPad sales by $2.01 billion. These numbers were a year later, and while the iPhone 12, which was AAPL's first 5G release, was expected to create tailwinds, I believe the pandemic pushed society into a place where a greater emphasis is placed on technology.</p><p><blockquote>因此，真正的问题是，是什么导致了 AAPL 财务状况的飙升，以及它们是否可持续？部分原因是苹果公司的硬件销量从 iPhone 12 到 iPad 都有所增长。可以说，由于在家工作或远程学习，许多人在疫情期间需要升级他们的技术，但这种逻辑不能用于2021年。4月底，苹果公司公布第二季度业绩时，其iPhone销售额超出预期71.4亿美元，Mac销售额超出预期22亿美元，iPad销售额超出预期20.1亿美元。这些数字是在一年后公布的，虽然苹果公司发布的第一款 5G 手机 iPhone 12 预计会带来顺风，但我相信疫情将社会推向了一个更加重视技术的地方。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> I believe AAPL will continue to see strong hardware sales, but that's only one piece of the puzzle. Services and Wearables Home and Accessories are becoming huge components of AAPL's financial metrics. In&nbsp;2018 Services&nbsp;generated $39.75 billion in revenue. In 2019 Services increased by $6.54 billion (16.46%) as they finished the year with $46.29 billion in revenue. In 2020 Services grew by $7.48 billion (16.15%) as its revenue totaled $53.77 billion. In the first 6 months of 2020, Services has already generated $32.66 billion in revenue, which is 60.75% of 2020's total revenue. Services continue to grow creating a true business segment of reoccurring revenue for AAPL. The beauty of Services is with each piece of hardware AAPL sells; there is an opportunity to generate additional revenue through Services every month.</p><p><blockquote>我相信 AAPL 将继续看到强劲的硬件销售，但这只是难题的一部分。服务、可穿戴设备、家居和配件正在成为 AAPL 财务指标的重要组成部分。2018年，服务业创造了397.5亿美元的收入。2019年，服务业增长了65.4亿美元（16.46%），年收入为462.9亿美元。2020年，服务业增长了74.8亿美元（16.15%），收入总计537.7亿美元。2020年前6个月，服务业已经创造了326.6亿美元的收入，占2020年总收入的60.75%。服务持续增长，为 AAPL 创造了一个真正的经常性收入业务部门。服务之美在于AAPL销售的每一件硬件；每个月都有机会通过服务产生额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Services are becoming a home run for AAPL as it diversifies its revenue mix away from being solely constructed from physical products. At the close of the fiscal year 2020, Services had increased its annual revenue by $29.42 billion (120.83%) in just 4 years. In the first 6 months of 2021, Services has generated $32.66 billion, which is 60% of 2020's annual revenue. AAPL is on track to crack $60 billion in revenue from Services in the fiscal year 2021. Looking further out, Services could be a $100 billion revenue generator in the not-too-distant future.</p><p><blockquote>随着 AAPL 实现收入结构多元化，不再仅仅依赖实体产品，服务正在成为 AAPL 的本垒打。截至 2020 财年末，Services 在短短 4 年内年收入增加了 294.2 亿美元（120.83%）。2021年前6个月，服务业创造了326.6亿美元，占2020年年收入的60%。AAPL 有望在 2021 财年实现 600 亿美元的服务收入。展望未来，在不久的将来，服务业可能会产生 1000 亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f044f79f7525038fb94ed27b6a92209\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Wearables Home and Accessories continues to follow in Service's footsteps as it has become a larger revenue segment than iPad and Mac. With the inception of the Apple Watch, this category has grown from generating $11.13 billion in 2016 to $30.62 billion in 2020. Over 4 fiscal years, Wearables Home and Accessories has increased its revenue by $24.48 billion (175.06%), and its growth keeps expanding. In the first 6 months of 2021, Wearables Home and Accessories have generated $20.81 billion in revenue, which is 67.95% of 2020's total revenue. AAPL is certainly on track to generate $35 billion-plus in revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories in the fiscal year 2021. Over the next several years, AAPL is on track to generate $50 billion in annual revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories.</p><p><blockquote>家庭可穿戴设备和配件继续追随 Service 的脚步，因为它已成为比 iPad 和 Mac 更大的收入领域。随着苹果观察的推出，这一类别已经从2016年的111.3亿美元增长到2020年的306.2亿美元。在4个财年中，可穿戴家居和配件的收入增加了244.8亿美元（175.06%），并且增长不断扩大。2021年前6个月，家用可穿戴设备和配件创造了208.1亿美元的收入，占2020年总收入的67.95%。AAPL 肯定有望在 2021 财年从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生超过 350 亿美元的收入。未来几年，AAPL 有望从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生 500 亿美元的年收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7071ec652302c6cab585fef4c408d65\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By the end of the Fiscal Year 2025, there is a good chance that Services can generate more than $78 billion, and Wearables Home and Accessories could generate over $44 billion in annual revenue if they both grow at a 10% rate. These two categories are on pace to exceed $100 billion in revenue combined, which could grow into $150 billion annually in the late 2020s. I am shocked investors haven't been piling into AAPL, and it's even more ludicrous that an emphasis on AAPL's numbers isn't being discussed in greater detail. What's AAPL worth down the road when Services reaches $100 billion in revenue and Wearables Home and Accessories reaches $50 billion? Over the past decade, AAPL has continued to innovate and change how technology is used, and to think their best days are behind them is a notion I refuse to believe.</p><p><blockquote>到 2025 财年末，服务很有可能产生超过 780 亿美元的收入，如果家用可穿戴设备和配件都以 10% 的速度增长，则年收入可能超过 440 亿美元。这两个类别的总收入有望超过 1000 亿美元，到 2020 年代末，每年可能会增长到 1500 亿美元。我感到震惊的是，投资者没有大量涌入 AAPL，更可笑的是，对 AAPL 数据的强调没有得到更详细的讨论。当服务收入达到 1000 亿美元，家用可穿戴设备和配件收入达到 500 亿美元时，AAPL 的未来价值是多少？在过去的十年里，AAPL不断创新和改变技术的使用方式，我拒绝相信他们最好的日子已经过去。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62cd231b75d9f875329f6713debe846b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"191\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> The meme stocks are causing a lot of excitement for some investors while they leave a whole other group shaking their heads. Other than a gamble, I can't understand why people want to invest in AMC when you could buy shares of AAPL on sale. AAPL should have exploded to the upside, but its 2 recent blowout quarters didn't move the needle. I believe it's going to be different once the Q3 numbers are reported. We're going to find out that once again, AAPL continues to buy shares by the billions while reporting that in 9 months, they have generated more net income than all of 2020. In the first 6 months of operations, AAPL has generated $201.02 billion in revenue and $52.39 billion in net income while giving back $53.2 billion in buybacks and dividends. Investors have been granted an opportunity to buy more AAPL before the next leg up. I am a shareholder of AAPL, and I plan on buying more before Q3 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票给一些投资者带来了极大的兴奋，而他们却让另一大群人摇头。除了赌博之外，我无法理解当你可以购买出售的 AAPL 股票时，为什么人们还要投资 AMC。苹果公司本应暴涨，但其最近两个季度的井喷并没有改变局面。我相信一旦第三季度数据公布，情况就会有所不同。我们将再次发现，AAPL 继续购买数十亿美元的股票，同时报告称，在 9 个月内，他们产生的净利润超过了 2020 年全年。在运营的前6个月，AAPL创造了2010.2亿美元的收入和523.9亿美元的净利润，同时返还了532亿美元的回购和股息。投资者有机会在下一次上涨之前购买更多 AAPL。我是 AAPL 的股东，我计划在第三季度财报公布之前购买更多股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434600-apple-meme-stocks-or-apple-i-choose-apple-every-time\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434600-apple-meme-stocks-or-apple-i-choose-apple-every-time","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167720481","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.\nInvestors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.\nApple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.\nEventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nIn 2021, Apple (AAPL) has become a negative returning investment underperforming the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) by a margin greater than 15%. In May of 2021, one of the hottest fund managers Cathie Wood of Ark Invest, sold nearly 300,000 shares of AAPL from the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF). It was reported that ARK, at one point, was reducing their stake in AAPL to add to their positions in Coinbase (COIN) and DraftKings (DKNG). Actively managed funds such as the one's ARK oversees buy and sell equities daily and could have been using AAPL as an alternative to cash. AAPL has a mixed bag of reviews as some believe its best days are ahead of it while others believe the glory days won't be reclaimed. I think the market is granting investors an opportunity as AAPL should breakout from its sideways pattern in the 2ndhalf of 2021.\nThe market wasn't impressed by the blowout AAPL delivered in Q1 and Q2. Instead of an upside climb supported by fundamentals, shares of AAPL have been treading water. As an AAPL bull, it's perplexing that so much attention is placed on meme stocks instead of companies such as AAPL when it's setting the stage for their best year ever. After reading the comments of the recent articles on MEME stocks, I have written, then looking back at the comment sections of some AAPL articles, I just don't understand how the mindset is shifting to outright speculation & gambling rather than investing. In the first 2 quarters of the fiscal year, 2021 AAPL has generated $3.08 in EPS while the entire 2020 fiscal year delivered $3.31 in EPS. AAPL is solidifying the foundation for its best year ever in many metrics, yet the market isn't impressed. I believe there will be impressive fireworks in the 2ndhalf of 2021, and patient shareholders will be rewarded as Q3 and Q4 numbers are reported.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nApple believes it's the best investment in the market and puts their money where their mouth is\nSo what does AAPL do with all of the cash it generates? For starters, they spend tens of billions annually building out their businesses while investing in research and development [R&D]. In 2020, AAPL spent $169.56 billion on their cost of generating revenue. The fruits of their labor can be seen in their product offerings and how quickly their newest business segments, including services and wearables, Home, and accessories, have grown. AAPL allocated $18.75 billion in 2020 to R&D, generating advancements to their beloved products. One of the reasons AAPL has a cliental that could resemble a cult-like mentality is because AAPL doesn't stop innovating. They are always at the forefront pushing the boundaries of how technology can enhance an individual's daily life.\nSo what about the remaining cash after AAPL's business expenses are fulfilled? AAPL bets on themselves and views their stock as an investment. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has repurchased $421.7 billion in its own stock. In 2021 AAPL has repurchased $43 billion in stock, indicating that senior leadership believes there is tremendous value in owning shares of AAPL. I remember the days where everyone got excited when insiders purchased shares of their company. For AAPL buying back stock is just an ordinary Monday. AAPL has repurchased more in stock over the past decade than most companies will ever see their market caps grow to. AAPL's board authorized an additional $90 billion to its existing share repurchase plan, and AAPL returned almost $23 billion in capital to shareholders in Q2 2021, it doesn't get more bullish than that.\n(Source: Apple)\nMeme stocks vs. Apple and the insanity of this market\nGameStop (GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) have decimated AAPL in share price appreciation throughout the first half of 2021. Regardless of why GME and AMC are up, the fact of the matter is GME has generated a return that exceeds 1,100%, and AMC has returned over 2,000%. Anyone who has ridden GME or AMC up, I congratulate and tip my hat to you. The market is being fueled by delusions of grandeur as AAPL is negative for the year, yet GME & AMC have absolutely exploded to the upside.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nWhat's changed for AMC in the past several months? I can tell you, not a single thing. AMC is still a company that is in the red and barely makes money. I get it investing in companies like AMC can generate huge returns due to volatility, and I am not knocking it. If you can make money on it, by all means, don't let anyone stand in your way but be careful. When you read through AMC's income statement, they have never exceeded $400 million in net income. In the past decade, AMC's most profitable year was 2013, as their net income was $364.4 million. In 2019 which had zero ramifications from COVID, AMC generated $5.47 billion in revenue and couldn't even turn a profit as they lost -$149.1 million. AMC's last quarterly report had -$2.3 billion in equity on its balance sheet. The reality is AMC can issue additional shares and sell them to raise capital. This would benefit AMC by improving its balance sheet and increase its cash on hand. It seems like people don't understand that when a company issues more shares, the initial batch becomes diluted and is worthless because of the additional supply. AMC can issue shares and strengthen its balance sheet, but it won't solve its profit problems. AAPL pays more in dividends to its shareholders every quarter than the profit AMC has generated in the past decade, yet AMC is the stock generating larger returns.\nWhen investors purchase shares of AMC, they are buying a company with negative EPS. AMC's P/E ratio isn't measurable on a trailing twelve-month or a forward basis, yet investors are willing to pay for nonexistent earnings. In the comments of my AMC article, people said fundamentals don't matter. I understand that AMC has been a technical trade, but that doesn't change the reality that investors are paying for a company with negative earnings.Currently, the average PE Ratio for the S&P is 45.02. If I use the EPS AAPL generated in the first 6 months of the fiscal year 2021 of $3.08, their PE Ratio would be 40.55. For the TTM, AAPL has generated $4.49 in EPS, which brings their PE Ratio down to 28.09. Currently, investors are paying $28.09 for every $1 in earnings AAPL generates, which is low for the tech industry.Amazon (AMZN) has a PE of 62.44,Microsoft (MSFT)34.93, and Google (GOOGL)of 32.05. Call me old-fashioned, but I like to invest in companies that turn a profit.\n(Source:multpl.com)\nLaying out the bull case for Apple and why a breakout to the upside is inevitable\nAAPL has a cult-like following that gravitates to its products and services. For the first 6 months of 2021,AAPLhas generated $201.02 billion in revenue, $82.41 billion in gross profit, and $52.39 billion in net income. In 2021 AAPL has already generated 73.23% ($201.02 billion) of 2020's total revenue, then 78.51% of 2020's gross income ($82.41 billion) and 91.25% of 2020's total net income ($52.39 billion). AAPL is on track to decimate its previous records, and unless something unfathomable occurs, 2021 will be AAPL's best year ever.\nSo the real questions are what's causing the surge in AAPL's financials, and are they sustainable? Part of the reason is AAPL has seen an increase in its hardware sales from iPhone 12's down to iPads. An argument can be made that many people needed to upgrade their technology during the pandemic due to working from home or remote learning, but that logic can't be used for 2021. At the end of April, when AAPL reported Q2,their iPhone sales exceeded expectations by $7.14 billion, Mac sales by $2.2 billion, and iPad sales by $2.01 billion. These numbers were a year later, and while the iPhone 12, which was AAPL's first 5G release, was expected to create tailwinds, I believe the pandemic pushed society into a place where a greater emphasis is placed on technology.\nI believe AAPL will continue to see strong hardware sales, but that's only one piece of the puzzle. Services and Wearables Home and Accessories are becoming huge components of AAPL's financial metrics. In 2018 Services generated $39.75 billion in revenue. In 2019 Services increased by $6.54 billion (16.46%) as they finished the year with $46.29 billion in revenue. In 2020 Services grew by $7.48 billion (16.15%) as its revenue totaled $53.77 billion. In the first 6 months of 2020, Services has already generated $32.66 billion in revenue, which is 60.75% of 2020's total revenue. Services continue to grow creating a true business segment of reoccurring revenue for AAPL. The beauty of Services is with each piece of hardware AAPL sells; there is an opportunity to generate additional revenue through Services every month.\nServices are becoming a home run for AAPL as it diversifies its revenue mix away from being solely constructed from physical products. At the close of the fiscal year 2020, Services had increased its annual revenue by $29.42 billion (120.83%) in just 4 years. In the first 6 months of 2021, Services has generated $32.66 billion, which is 60% of 2020's annual revenue. AAPL is on track to crack $60 billion in revenue from Services in the fiscal year 2021. Looking further out, Services could be a $100 billion revenue generator in the not-too-distant future.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)\nWearables Home and Accessories continues to follow in Service's footsteps as it has become a larger revenue segment than iPad and Mac. With the inception of the Apple Watch, this category has grown from generating $11.13 billion in 2016 to $30.62 billion in 2020. Over 4 fiscal years, Wearables Home and Accessories has increased its revenue by $24.48 billion (175.06%), and its growth keeps expanding. In the first 6 months of 2021, Wearables Home and Accessories have generated $20.81 billion in revenue, which is 67.95% of 2020's total revenue. AAPL is certainly on track to generate $35 billion-plus in revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories in the fiscal year 2021. Over the next several years, AAPL is on track to generate $50 billion in annual revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)\nBy the end of the Fiscal Year 2025, there is a good chance that Services can generate more than $78 billion, and Wearables Home and Accessories could generate over $44 billion in annual revenue if they both grow at a 10% rate. These two categories are on pace to exceed $100 billion in revenue combined, which could grow into $150 billion annually in the late 2020s. I am shocked investors haven't been piling into AAPL, and it's even more ludicrous that an emphasis on AAPL's numbers isn't being discussed in greater detail. What's AAPL worth down the road when Services reaches $100 billion in revenue and Wearables Home and Accessories reaches $50 billion? Over the past decade, AAPL has continued to innovate and change how technology is used, and to think their best days are behind them is a notion I refuse to believe.\n(Source: Apple)\nConclusion\nThe meme stocks are causing a lot of excitement for some investors while they leave a whole other group shaking their heads. Other than a gamble, I can't understand why people want to invest in AMC when you could buy shares of AAPL on sale. AAPL should have exploded to the upside, but its 2 recent blowout quarters didn't move the needle. I believe it's going to be different once the Q3 numbers are reported. We're going to find out that once again, AAPL continues to buy shares by the billions while reporting that in 9 months, they have generated more net income than all of 2020. In the first 6 months of operations, AAPL has generated $201.02 billion in revenue and $52.39 billion in net income while giving back $53.2 billion in buybacks and dividends. Investors have been granted an opportunity to buy more AAPL before the next leg up. I am a shareholder of AAPL, and I plan on buying more before Q3 earnings.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2569,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187905103,"gmtCreate":1623733133302,"gmtModify":1634029383168,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586078798795720","idStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Can we do it:","listText":"Can we do it:","text":"Can we do it:","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187905103","repostId":"2143314917","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187908742,"gmtCreate":1623733033086,"gmtModify":1631883954460,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586078798795720","idStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Best of the best","listText":"Best of the best","text":"Best of the best","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187908742","repostId":"2143733619","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2651,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187900398,"gmtCreate":1623732749614,"gmtModify":1634029390036,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586078798795720","idStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"For the vest","listText":"For the vest","text":"For the vest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187900398","repostId":"1138219989","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138219989","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623650085,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1138219989?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 13:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议值得期待</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138219989","media":"Barrons","summary":"As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again a","content":"<p>As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>随着联邦公开市场委员会下周召开定期政策会议，分析师和投资者应该再次颠覆尼克松时代的陈词滥调，关注他们所说的，而不是他们所做的。每个人都想知道的是，该小组是否最终开始谈论放弃其超级宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> We all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).</p><p><blockquote>我们都知道，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）不会在其大规模证券购买方面采取任何实质性措施，而这些证券购买仍在以每月1200亿美元的速度进行。至于其主要的联邦基金利率目标，则停留在 0% 至 0.25%（尽管美联储管理的其他一些利率有可能进行技术性调整，以解决货币市场上数十亿美元的过剩现金问题）。</blockquote></p><p> We’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted&nbsp;on the Fed’s website&nbsp;at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.</p><p><blockquote>我们将关注联邦公开市场委员会的正式政策声明和该小组最新的经济预测摘要，其中将包括委员会成员对国内生产总值、通货膨胀和失业率等关键经济指标的猜测。最有可能的是，当美联储网站于美国东部时间周三下午 2 点公布这一消息时，大多数人可能会直奔联邦公开市场委员会对联邦基金利率的猜测，特别是何时最终有望从接近于零的水平回升。</blockquote></p><p> The “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.</p><p><blockquote>“点阵图”--或联邦公开市场委员会成员一致猜测的图表--将首次加息一直推迟到 2023 年之后。这似乎是一个非常长期的预测，正如约翰-梅纳德-凯恩斯（John Maynard Keynes）的名言，从长远来看，我们都死了。摩根大通（J.P. Morgan）首席美国经济学家迈克尔-费罗利（Michael Feroli）等一些美联储观察家认为，美联储将在2023年有所回升。</blockquote></p><p> The markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for&nbsp;Natixis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经预计到 2023 年联邦基金将加息一次或多次。但在之前讨论的长期债券收益率下滑的同时，利率期货市场实际上已经将其中一次短期加息定价。此外，据 Natixis 分析师称，衍生品市场目前联邦基金利率峰值低于 2%，比今年早些时候的定价低约 0.4 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Long before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>早在加息之前，美联储就会开始通过放缓目前的证券购买步伐来减少宽松，其中包括每月 800 亿美元的国债和 400 亿美元的机构抵押贷款支持证券。根据美联储上周发布的新数据，美联储和其他央行创造的数万亿美元对第一季度资产价值的提升大有帮助，资产价值增加了5万亿美元，达到136.9万亿美元。其中包括家庭持有的股票价值增加 3.2 万亿美元，家庭持有的房地产增加 9,680 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.</p><p><blockquote>美联储减少宽松政策的关键标准是货币当局是否认为在实现他们认为的最大就业方面取得了 “实质性的进一步进展”，这可能是一个故意模糊的标准。</blockquote></p><p> But the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed&nbsp;a record 9.3 million unfilled openings&nbsp;in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.</p><p><blockquote>但就业人数的增长似乎既受到劳动力供应的制约，也受到企业招聘意愿的制约。最新的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查（Jolts）显示，4月份有创纪录的930万个职位空缺。此外，当月有384,000人离职，使自愿离职的总人数达到创纪录的400万。</blockquote></p><p> Anecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.</p><p><blockquote>一些轶事证据，包括美联储为即将召开的会议准备的褐皮书《经济状况摘要》中的一些轶事证据，表明由于丰厚的失业救济金，雇主找不到足够的工人。对于经济学等社会科学来说，这是不寻常的，随着 25 个州提前结束每周额外 300 美元的付款，将会有一个实时实验来检验这一假设。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons在一份研究报告中写道，这25个州约占所有失业工人的四分之一。他们估计，结束额外的失业救济金可能会在未来几个月内增加大约200万人的就业机会。在其余州的额外失业保险到期后，9月和10月应该会出现另一次增长激增；学校重新开放——为一些未来的工人，尤其是妇女提供免费日托；他们补充说，许多上班族回到了办公桌前。</blockquote></p><p> At that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.</p><p><blockquote>到那时，美联储可能会开始谈论实际减少其大规模证券购买。鉴于美联储在 2013 年放缓债券购买速度时市场掀起了 “缩减债券狂潮”，本届美联储将希望披露其计划如何、何时以及以多快的速度放缓向潘趣酒碗中注入债券。这就是我们本周将收听的内容。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议值得期待</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议值得期待</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-14 13:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>随着联邦公开市场委员会下周召开定期政策会议，分析师和投资者应该再次颠覆尼克松时代的陈词滥调，关注他们所说的，而不是他们所做的。每个人都想知道的是，该小组是否最终开始谈论放弃其超级宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> We all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).</p><p><blockquote>我们都知道，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）不会在其大规模证券购买方面采取任何实质性措施，而这些证券购买仍在以每月1200亿美元的速度进行。至于其主要的联邦基金利率目标，则停留在 0% 至 0.25%（尽管美联储管理的其他一些利率有可能进行技术性调整，以解决货币市场上数十亿美元的过剩现金问题）。</blockquote></p><p> We’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted&nbsp;on the Fed’s website&nbsp;at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.</p><p><blockquote>我们将关注联邦公开市场委员会的正式政策声明和该小组最新的经济预测摘要，其中将包括委员会成员对国内生产总值、通货膨胀和失业率等关键经济指标的猜测。最有可能的是，当美联储网站于美国东部时间周三下午 2 点公布这一消息时，大多数人可能会直奔联邦公开市场委员会对联邦基金利率的猜测，特别是何时最终有望从接近于零的水平回升。</blockquote></p><p> The “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.</p><p><blockquote>“点阵图”--或联邦公开市场委员会成员一致猜测的图表--将首次加息一直推迟到 2023 年之后。这似乎是一个非常长期的预测，正如约翰-梅纳德-凯恩斯（John Maynard Keynes）的名言，从长远来看，我们都死了。摩根大通（J.P. Morgan）首席美国经济学家迈克尔-费罗利（Michael Feroli）等一些美联储观察家认为，美联储将在2023年有所回升。</blockquote></p><p> The markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for&nbsp;Natixis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经预计到 2023 年联邦基金将加息一次或多次。但在之前讨论的长期债券收益率下滑的同时，利率期货市场实际上已经将其中一次短期加息定价。此外，据 Natixis 分析师称，衍生品市场目前联邦基金利率峰值低于 2%，比今年早些时候的定价低约 0.4 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Long before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>早在加息之前，美联储就会开始通过放缓目前的证券购买步伐来减少宽松，其中包括每月 800 亿美元的国债和 400 亿美元的机构抵押贷款支持证券。根据美联储上周发布的新数据，美联储和其他央行创造的数万亿美元对第一季度资产价值的提升大有帮助，资产价值增加了5万亿美元，达到136.9万亿美元。其中包括家庭持有的股票价值增加 3.2 万亿美元，家庭持有的房地产增加 9,680 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.</p><p><blockquote>美联储减少宽松政策的关键标准是货币当局是否认为在实现他们认为的最大就业方面取得了 “实质性的进一步进展”，这可能是一个故意模糊的标准。</blockquote></p><p> But the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed&nbsp;a record 9.3 million unfilled openings&nbsp;in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.</p><p><blockquote>但就业人数的增长似乎既受到劳动力供应的制约，也受到企业招聘意愿的制约。最新的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查（Jolts）显示，4月份有创纪录的930万个职位空缺。此外，当月有384,000人离职，使自愿离职的总人数达到创纪录的400万。</blockquote></p><p> Anecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.</p><p><blockquote>一些轶事证据，包括美联储为即将召开的会议准备的褐皮书《经济状况摘要》中的一些轶事证据，表明由于丰厚的失业救济金，雇主找不到足够的工人。对于经济学等社会科学来说，这是不寻常的，随着 25 个州提前结束每周额外 300 美元的付款，将会有一个实时实验来检验这一假设。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons在一份研究报告中写道，这25个州约占所有失业工人的四分之一。他们估计，结束额外的失业救济金可能会在未来几个月内增加大约200万人的就业机会。在其余州的额外失业保险到期后，9月和10月应该会出现另一次增长激增；学校重新开放——为一些未来的工人，尤其是妇女提供免费日托；他们补充说，许多上班族回到了办公桌前。</blockquote></p><p> At that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.</p><p><blockquote>到那时，美联储可能会开始谈论实际减少其大规模证券购买。鉴于美联储在 2013 年放缓债券购买速度时市场掀起了 “缩减债券狂潮”，本届美联储将希望披露其计划如何、何时以及以多快的速度放缓向潘趣酒碗中注入债券。这就是我们本周将收听的内容。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-to-expect-in-next-weeks-federal-reserve-meeting-51623457837?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-to-expect-in-next-weeks-federal-reserve-meeting-51623457837?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138219989","content_text":"As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.\nWe all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).\nWe’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted on the Fed’s website at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.\nThe “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.\nThe markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for Natixis.\nLong before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.\nThe key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.\nBut the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed a record 9.3 million unfilled openings in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.\nAnecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.\nJefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.\nAt that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187074709,"gmtCreate":1623732706301,"gmtModify":1634029390871,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586078798795720","idStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Can we do ig","listText":"Can we do ig","text":"Can we do ig","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187074709","repostId":"2143178756","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":187905103,"gmtCreate":1623733133302,"gmtModify":1634029383168,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Can we do it:","listText":"Can we do it:","text":"Can we do it:","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187905103","repostId":"2143314917","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187908742,"gmtCreate":1623733033086,"gmtModify":1631883954460,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Best of the best","listText":"Best of the best","text":"Best of the best","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187908742","repostId":"2143733619","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2651,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187900398,"gmtCreate":1623732749614,"gmtModify":1634029390036,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"For the vest","listText":"For the vest","text":"For the vest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187900398","repostId":"1138219989","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138219989","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623650085,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1138219989?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 13:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议值得期待</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138219989","media":"Barrons","summary":"As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again a","content":"<p>As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>随着联邦公开市场委员会下周召开定期政策会议，分析师和投资者应该再次颠覆尼克松时代的陈词滥调，关注他们所说的，而不是他们所做的。每个人都想知道的是，该小组是否最终开始谈论放弃其超级宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> We all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).</p><p><blockquote>我们都知道，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）不会在其大规模证券购买方面采取任何实质性措施，而这些证券购买仍在以每月1200亿美元的速度进行。至于其主要的联邦基金利率目标，则停留在 0% 至 0.25%（尽管美联储管理的其他一些利率有可能进行技术性调整，以解决货币市场上数十亿美元的过剩现金问题）。</blockquote></p><p> We’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted&nbsp;on the Fed’s website&nbsp;at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.</p><p><blockquote>我们将关注联邦公开市场委员会的正式政策声明和该小组最新的经济预测摘要，其中将包括委员会成员对国内生产总值、通货膨胀和失业率等关键经济指标的猜测。最有可能的是，当美联储网站于美国东部时间周三下午 2 点公布这一消息时，大多数人可能会直奔联邦公开市场委员会对联邦基金利率的猜测，特别是何时最终有望从接近于零的水平回升。</blockquote></p><p> The “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.</p><p><blockquote>“点阵图”--或联邦公开市场委员会成员一致猜测的图表--将首次加息一直推迟到 2023 年之后。这似乎是一个非常长期的预测，正如约翰-梅纳德-凯恩斯（John Maynard Keynes）的名言，从长远来看，我们都死了。摩根大通（J.P. Morgan）首席美国经济学家迈克尔-费罗利（Michael Feroli）等一些美联储观察家认为，美联储将在2023年有所回升。</blockquote></p><p> The markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for&nbsp;Natixis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经预计到 2023 年联邦基金将加息一次或多次。但在之前讨论的长期债券收益率下滑的同时，利率期货市场实际上已经将其中一次短期加息定价。此外，据 Natixis 分析师称，衍生品市场目前联邦基金利率峰值低于 2%，比今年早些时候的定价低约 0.4 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Long before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>早在加息之前，美联储就会开始通过放缓目前的证券购买步伐来减少宽松，其中包括每月 800 亿美元的国债和 400 亿美元的机构抵押贷款支持证券。根据美联储上周发布的新数据，美联储和其他央行创造的数万亿美元对第一季度资产价值的提升大有帮助，资产价值增加了5万亿美元，达到136.9万亿美元。其中包括家庭持有的股票价值增加 3.2 万亿美元，家庭持有的房地产增加 9,680 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.</p><p><blockquote>美联储减少宽松政策的关键标准是货币当局是否认为在实现他们认为的最大就业方面取得了 “实质性的进一步进展”，这可能是一个故意模糊的标准。</blockquote></p><p> But the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed&nbsp;a record 9.3 million unfilled openings&nbsp;in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.</p><p><blockquote>但就业人数的增长似乎既受到劳动力供应的制约，也受到企业招聘意愿的制约。最新的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查（Jolts）显示，4月份有创纪录的930万个职位空缺。此外，当月有384,000人离职，使自愿离职的总人数达到创纪录的400万。</blockquote></p><p> Anecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.</p><p><blockquote>一些轶事证据，包括美联储为即将召开的会议准备的褐皮书《经济状况摘要》中的一些轶事证据，表明由于丰厚的失业救济金，雇主找不到足够的工人。对于经济学等社会科学来说，这是不寻常的，随着 25 个州提前结束每周额外 300 美元的付款，将会有一个实时实验来检验这一假设。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons在一份研究报告中写道，这25个州约占所有失业工人的四分之一。他们估计，结束额外的失业救济金可能会在未来几个月内增加大约200万人的就业机会。在其余州的额外失业保险到期后，9月和10月应该会出现另一次增长激增；学校重新开放——为一些未来的工人，尤其是妇女提供免费日托；他们补充说，许多上班族回到了办公桌前。</blockquote></p><p> At that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.</p><p><blockquote>到那时，美联储可能会开始谈论实际减少其大规模证券购买。鉴于美联储在 2013 年放缓债券购买速度时市场掀起了 “缩减债券狂潮”，本届美联储将希望披露其计划如何、何时以及以多快的速度放缓向潘趣酒碗中注入债券。这就是我们本周将收听的内容。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议值得期待</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议值得期待</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-14 13:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>随着联邦公开市场委员会下周召开定期政策会议，分析师和投资者应该再次颠覆尼克松时代的陈词滥调，关注他们所说的，而不是他们所做的。每个人都想知道的是，该小组是否最终开始谈论放弃其超级宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> We all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).</p><p><blockquote>我们都知道，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）不会在其大规模证券购买方面采取任何实质性措施，而这些证券购买仍在以每月1200亿美元的速度进行。至于其主要的联邦基金利率目标，则停留在 0% 至 0.25%（尽管美联储管理的其他一些利率有可能进行技术性调整，以解决货币市场上数十亿美元的过剩现金问题）。</blockquote></p><p> We’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted&nbsp;on the Fed’s website&nbsp;at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.</p><p><blockquote>我们将关注联邦公开市场委员会的正式政策声明和该小组最新的经济预测摘要，其中将包括委员会成员对国内生产总值、通货膨胀和失业率等关键经济指标的猜测。最有可能的是，当美联储网站于美国东部时间周三下午 2 点公布这一消息时，大多数人可能会直奔联邦公开市场委员会对联邦基金利率的猜测，特别是何时最终有望从接近于零的水平回升。</blockquote></p><p> The “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.</p><p><blockquote>“点阵图”--或联邦公开市场委员会成员一致猜测的图表--将首次加息一直推迟到 2023 年之后。这似乎是一个非常长期的预测，正如约翰-梅纳德-凯恩斯（John Maynard Keynes）的名言，从长远来看，我们都死了。摩根大通（J.P. Morgan）首席美国经济学家迈克尔-费罗利（Michael Feroli）等一些美联储观察家认为，美联储将在2023年有所回升。</blockquote></p><p> The markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for&nbsp;Natixis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经预计到 2023 年联邦基金将加息一次或多次。但在之前讨论的长期债券收益率下滑的同时，利率期货市场实际上已经将其中一次短期加息定价。此外，据 Natixis 分析师称，衍生品市场目前联邦基金利率峰值低于 2%，比今年早些时候的定价低约 0.4 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Long before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>早在加息之前，美联储就会开始通过放缓目前的证券购买步伐来减少宽松，其中包括每月 800 亿美元的国债和 400 亿美元的机构抵押贷款支持证券。根据美联储上周发布的新数据，美联储和其他央行创造的数万亿美元对第一季度资产价值的提升大有帮助，资产价值增加了5万亿美元，达到136.9万亿美元。其中包括家庭持有的股票价值增加 3.2 万亿美元，家庭持有的房地产增加 9,680 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.</p><p><blockquote>美联储减少宽松政策的关键标准是货币当局是否认为在实现他们认为的最大就业方面取得了 “实质性的进一步进展”，这可能是一个故意模糊的标准。</blockquote></p><p> But the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed&nbsp;a record 9.3 million unfilled openings&nbsp;in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.</p><p><blockquote>但就业人数的增长似乎既受到劳动力供应的制约，也受到企业招聘意愿的制约。最新的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查（Jolts）显示，4月份有创纪录的930万个职位空缺。此外，当月有384,000人离职，使自愿离职的总人数达到创纪录的400万。</blockquote></p><p> Anecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.</p><p><blockquote>一些轶事证据，包括美联储为即将召开的会议准备的褐皮书《经济状况摘要》中的一些轶事证据，表明由于丰厚的失业救济金，雇主找不到足够的工人。对于经济学等社会科学来说，这是不寻常的，随着 25 个州提前结束每周额外 300 美元的付款，将会有一个实时实验来检验这一假设。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons在一份研究报告中写道，这25个州约占所有失业工人的四分之一。他们估计，结束额外的失业救济金可能会在未来几个月内增加大约200万人的就业机会。在其余州的额外失业保险到期后，9月和10月应该会出现另一次增长激增；学校重新开放——为一些未来的工人，尤其是妇女提供免费日托；他们补充说，许多上班族回到了办公桌前。</blockquote></p><p> At that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.</p><p><blockquote>到那时，美联储可能会开始谈论实际减少其大规模证券购买。鉴于美联储在 2013 年放缓债券购买速度时市场掀起了 “缩减债券狂潮”，本届美联储将希望披露其计划如何、何时以及以多快的速度放缓向潘趣酒碗中注入债券。这就是我们本周将收听的内容。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-to-expect-in-next-weeks-federal-reserve-meeting-51623457837?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-to-expect-in-next-weeks-federal-reserve-meeting-51623457837?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138219989","content_text":"As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.\nWe all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).\nWe’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted on the Fed’s website at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.\nThe “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.\nThe markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for Natixis.\nLong before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.\nThe key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.\nBut the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed a record 9.3 million unfilled openings in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.\nAnecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.\nJefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.\nAt that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187074709,"gmtCreate":1623732706301,"gmtModify":1634029390871,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Can we do ig","listText":"Can we do ig","text":"Can we do ig","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187074709","repostId":"2143178756","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169114815,"gmtCreate":1623821407737,"gmtModify":1634027555470,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"我心里我是","listText":"我心里我是","text":"我心里我是","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169114815","repostId":"1161735706","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3882,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":169112783,"gmtCreate":1623821337942,"gmtModify":1634027556410,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"你是谁呀","listText":"你是谁呀","text":"你是谁呀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169112783","repostId":"1152483519","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152483519","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623813890,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1152483519?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 11:24","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"如果美联储真的缩减QE，投资者该配置哪些股票？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152483519","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"本周是“超级央行周”，美联储等多家央行要公布利率决议。美国5月份通胀高达5%，创出13年新高，美联储议息会议会不会宣布缩减QE？这成为市场关注焦点。\n美联储可能开始讨论缩减购债\n会议纪要显示，在上次会","content":"<p>本周是“超级央行周”，美联储等多家央行要公布利率决议。美国5月份通胀高达5%，创出13年新高，美联储议息会议会不会宣布缩减QE？这成为市场关注焦点。</p>\n<p><b>美联储可能开始讨论缩减购债</b></p>\n<p>会议纪要显示，在上次会议上，一些美联储官员指出，如果美国经济继续取得进展，开始讨论调整债券购买步伐的计划可能是合适的。</p>\n<p><b>北京时间6月17日02:00，美联储将公布利率决议。市场预计美联储这次不会采取任何政策举措，但可能会向市场发出信号，表明正在考虑改变购债政策。</b> 美联储随后还会发布新的预测，可能会在2023年首次加息。 分析师预计有关缩减购债计划的细节不会太多，但预计有人会提及该计划，而美联储更可能在夏季晚些时候进行更明确的讨论。</p>\n<p>据CNBC报道，有分析师预计，美联储有可能引发新的“缩减恐慌”。对此，CNBC研究了2013年利率飙升期间大放异彩的股票，CNBC认为，若利率再次飙升，这些股票有望复制2013年的走势。</p>\n<p>2013年，美联储表示，将通过放慢购买国债的步伐来逐步减少大衰退时期的经济刺激措施。随后来的投资者恐慌导致债券抛售和国债收益率飙升。</p>\n<p>亿万富翁对冲基金经理保罗·都铎·琼斯(Paul Tudor Jones)周一对 CNBC表示，如果美联储本周发出信号，随着CPI上涨，计划开始放缓资产购买，琼斯预计市场将再次出现缩减恐慌。</p>\n<p>琼斯称，投资者将会抛售固收类产品，股票也会得到修正。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7973ab073d39d8f41a6836cd3a8c18c6\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"469\"><span>Paul Tudor Jones</span></p>\n<p>CNBC盘点了2013年5月到年底最后一次缩减QE引发市场恐慌期间，市场表现最佳的股票。至少 75%的分析师表示，可以考虑今天买入这些股票，因为他们预计这些股票未来12个月将大幅上涨。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06d0e9e5ac58908b4b65795e2ad00c27\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"889\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>虽然缩减QE会令市场失望，但利率上升通常是因为经济正在复苏。这也是为什么我们在上述股票中看到了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a>等公司。随着经济逐渐走出疫情阴霾，这些公司可能再次成为今年的赢家。</p>\n<p>需要注意的是，我们只考虑了单一数据，因此，这些股票在2013年缩减恐慌期间的强劲表现可能是独有的，不可复制。尽管如此，这些股票也是今天华尔街的最爱。</p>\n<p>分析师一致预期显示，这些股票未来12个月内的平均收益率超过15%。</p>\n<p><b>是否调整短期利率，市场存在分歧</b></p>\n<p>对于美联储是否会对部分短期利率进行技术性调整，观察人士也存在分歧。</p>\n<p>作为美国银行美国短期利率策略主管，Cabana预计，由于短期贷款市场的压力不断增加，美联储将略微提高超额准备金的利率。</p>\n<p>财政刺激导致大量资金进入财政部一般账户，基本上是财政部的支票账户。由于这些资金一直在退出财政部，为各种计划买单，已经找到了进入货币市场和银行系统的途径，创造了对短期票据的巨大需求。这在隔夜借贷市场上刺激了大量异常活跃的活动，并压低了国库券的利率。</p>\n<p>Cabana表示：“在超额准备金利率和隔夜逆回购工具方面，我们认为美联储将对这些利率的设定进行适度调整，上调2或3个基点。这样做是为了确保(美联储的)零利率下限的弹性，并防止货币市场资金流出。”</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>如果美联储真的缩减QE，投资者该配置哪些股票？</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n如果美联储真的缩减QE，投资者该配置哪些股票？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-16 11:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>本周是“超级央行周”，美联储等多家央行要公布利率决议。美国5月份通胀高达5%，创出13年新高，美联储议息会议会不会宣布缩减QE？这成为市场关注焦点。</p>\n<p><b>美联储可能开始讨论缩减购债</b></p>\n<p>会议纪要显示，在上次会议上，一些美联储官员指出，如果美国经济继续取得进展，开始讨论调整债券购买步伐的计划可能是合适的。</p>\n<p><b>北京时间6月17日02:00，美联储将公布利率决议。市场预计美联储这次不会采取任何政策举措，但可能会向市场发出信号，表明正在考虑改变购债政策。</b> 美联储随后还会发布新的预测，可能会在2023年首次加息。 分析师预计有关缩减购债计划的细节不会太多，但预计有人会提及该计划，而美联储更可能在夏季晚些时候进行更明确的讨论。</p>\n<p>据CNBC报道，有分析师预计，美联储有可能引发新的“缩减恐慌”。对此，CNBC研究了2013年利率飙升期间大放异彩的股票，CNBC认为，若利率再次飙升，这些股票有望复制2013年的走势。</p>\n<p>2013年，美联储表示，将通过放慢购买国债的步伐来逐步减少大衰退时期的经济刺激措施。随后来的投资者恐慌导致债券抛售和国债收益率飙升。</p>\n<p>亿万富翁对冲基金经理保罗·都铎·琼斯(Paul Tudor Jones)周一对 CNBC表示，如果美联储本周发出信号，随着CPI上涨，计划开始放缓资产购买，琼斯预计市场将再次出现缩减恐慌。</p>\n<p>琼斯称，投资者将会抛售固收类产品，股票也会得到修正。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7973ab073d39d8f41a6836cd3a8c18c6\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"469\"><span>Paul Tudor Jones</span></p>\n<p>CNBC盘点了2013年5月到年底最后一次缩减QE引发市场恐慌期间，市场表现最佳的股票。至少 75%的分析师表示，可以考虑今天买入这些股票，因为他们预计这些股票未来12个月将大幅上涨。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06d0e9e5ac58908b4b65795e2ad00c27\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"889\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>虽然缩减QE会令市场失望，但利率上升通常是因为经济正在复苏。这也是为什么我们在上述股票中看到了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a>等公司。随着经济逐渐走出疫情阴霾，这些公司可能再次成为今年的赢家。</p>\n<p>需要注意的是，我们只考虑了单一数据，因此，这些股票在2013年缩减恐慌期间的强劲表现可能是独有的，不可复制。尽管如此，这些股票也是今天华尔街的最爱。</p>\n<p>分析师一致预期显示，这些股票未来12个月内的平均收益率超过15%。</p>\n<p><b>是否调整短期利率，市场存在分歧</b></p>\n<p>对于美联储是否会对部分短期利率进行技术性调整，观察人士也存在分歧。</p>\n<p>作为美国银行美国短期利率策略主管，Cabana预计，由于短期贷款市场的压力不断增加，美联储将略微提高超额准备金的利率。</p>\n<p>财政刺激导致大量资金进入财政部一般账户，基本上是财政部的支票账户。由于这些资金一直在退出财政部，为各种计划买单，已经找到了进入货币市场和银行系统的途径，创造了对短期票据的巨大需求。这在隔夜借贷市场上刺激了大量异常活跃的活动，并压低了国库券的利率。</p>\n<p>Cabana表示：“在超额准备金利率和隔夜逆回购工具方面，我们认为美联储将对这些利率的设定进行适度调整，上调2或3个基点。这样做是为了确保(美联储的)零利率下限的弹性，并防止货币市场资金流出。”</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b366582fef27ac8db7ca3296d50b015","relate_stocks":{"AIZ":"安信龙保险",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","AMZN":"亚马逊","FANG":"Diamondback Energy","CI":"信诺保险",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TFX":"泰利福","ALK":"阿拉斯加航空集团有限公司","SPY":"标普500ETF","NKE":"耐克","GM":"通用汽车",".DJI":"道琼斯","MU":"美光科技","DHR":"丹纳赫","NOW":"ServiceNow"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152483519","content_text":"本周是“超级央行周”，美联储等多家央行要公布利率决议。美国5月份通胀高达5%，创出13年新高，美联储议息会议会不会宣布缩减QE？这成为市场关注焦点。\n美联储可能开始讨论缩减购债\n会议纪要显示，在上次会议上，一些美联储官员指出，如果美国经济继续取得进展，开始讨论调整债券购买步伐的计划可能是合适的。\n北京时间6月17日02:00，美联储将公布利率决议。市场预计美联储这次不会采取任何政策举措，但可能会向市场发出信号，表明正在考虑改变购债政策。 美联储随后还会发布新的预测，可能会在2023年首次加息。 分析师预计有关缩减购债计划的细节不会太多，但预计有人会提及该计划，而美联储更可能在夏季晚些时候进行更明确的讨论。\n据CNBC报道，有分析师预计，美联储有可能引发新的“缩减恐慌”。对此，CNBC研究了2013年利率飙升期间大放异彩的股票，CNBC认为，若利率再次飙升，这些股票有望复制2013年的走势。\n2013年，美联储表示，将通过放慢购买国债的步伐来逐步减少大衰退时期的经济刺激措施。随后来的投资者恐慌导致债券抛售和国债收益率飙升。\n亿万富翁对冲基金经理保罗·都铎·琼斯(Paul Tudor Jones)周一对 CNBC表示，如果美联储本周发出信号，随着CPI上涨，计划开始放缓资产购买，琼斯预计市场将再次出现缩减恐慌。\n琼斯称，投资者将会抛售固收类产品，股票也会得到修正。\nPaul Tudor Jones\nCNBC盘点了2013年5月到年底最后一次缩减QE引发市场恐慌期间，市场表现最佳的股票。至少 75%的分析师表示，可以考虑今天买入这些股票，因为他们预计这些股票未来12个月将大幅上涨。\n\n虽然缩减QE会令市场失望，但利率上升通常是因为经济正在复苏。这也是为什么我们在上述股票中看到了通用汽车、耐克等公司。随着经济逐渐走出疫情阴霾，这些公司可能再次成为今年的赢家。\n需要注意的是，我们只考虑了单一数据，因此，这些股票在2013年缩减恐慌期间的强劲表现可能是独有的，不可复制。尽管如此，这些股票也是今天华尔街的最爱。\n分析师一致预期显示，这些股票未来12个月内的平均收益率超过15%。\n是否调整短期利率，市场存在分歧\n对于美联储是否会对部分短期利率进行技术性调整，观察人士也存在分歧。\n作为美国银行美国短期利率策略主管，Cabana预计，由于短期贷款市场的压力不断增加，美联储将略微提高超额准备金的利率。\n财政刺激导致大量资金进入财政部一般账户，基本上是财政部的支票账户。由于这些资金一直在退出财政部，为各种计划买单，已经找到了进入货币市场和银行系统的途径，创造了对短期票据的巨大需求。这在隔夜借贷市场上刺激了大量异常活跃的活动，并压低了国库券的利率。\nCabana表示：“在超额准备金利率和隔夜逆回购工具方面，我们认为美联储将对这些利率的设定进行适度调整，上调2或3个基点。这样做是为了确保(美联储的)零利率下限的弹性，并防止货币市场资金流出。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DHR":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"FANG":0.9,"GM":0.9,"NKE":0.9,"AIZ":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"CI":0.9,"RE":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"NOW":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"MU":0.9,"TFX":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"ALK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":187907589,"gmtCreate":1623733199741,"gmtModify":1634029380692,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"I think nio is the strongest","listText":"I think nio is the strongest","text":"I think nio is the strongest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187907589","repostId":"1140305126","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187907974,"gmtCreate":1623733176898,"gmtModify":1634029381281,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ex game","listText":"Ex game","text":"Ex game","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187907974","repostId":"2143898782","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2841,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187904321,"gmtCreate":1623733156863,"gmtModify":1634029382113,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ex apple","listText":"Ex apple","text":"Ex apple","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187904321","repostId":"1167720481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167720481","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623723356,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1167720481?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 10:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Meme Stocks Or Apple, I Choose Apple Every Time<blockquote>苹果：模因股票还是苹果，我每次都选择苹果</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167720481","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Apple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.Investors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.Apple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.Eventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.So what does AAPL do with all of the cash","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.</li>  <li>Investors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.</li>  <li>Apple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.</li>  <li>Eventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54c3b80a3353ef82f618688f13f74658\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在2021年一直是一项负面投资，而模因股票却爆炸式增长，这是荒谬的。</li><li>投资者有机会在苹果下一次上涨之前购买它，而注意力已转移到追逐模因股票的快速收益。</li><li>苹果预计 2021 财年收入将超过 3000 亿美元，净利润将达到 750 亿美元。</li><li>最终，苹果将被重新投入到党中，他们的数字将被庆祝。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In 2021, Apple (AAPL) has become a negative returning investment underperforming the SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) by a margin greater than 15%. In May of 2021, one of the hottest fund managers&nbsp;Cathie Wood&nbsp;of&nbsp;Ark Invest, sold nearly 300,000 shares of AAPL from the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF). It was reported that ARK, at one point, was reducing their stake in AAPL to add to their positions in&nbsp;Coinbase (COIN) and DraftKings (DKNG). Actively managed funds such as the one's ARK oversees buy and sell equities daily and could have been using AAPL as an alternative to cash. AAPL has a mixed bag of reviews as some believe its best days are ahead of it while others believe the glory days won't be reclaimed. I think the market is granting investors an opportunity as AAPL should breakout from its sideways pattern in the 2ndhalf of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，苹果（AAPL）已成为负回报投资，其表现逊于SPDR标普500信托ETF（SPDR标普500指数ETF）超过15%。2021 年 5 月，Ark Invest 最热门的基金经理之一 Cathie Wood 从 Ark Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF) 中出售了近 300,000 股 AAPL 股票。据报道，ARK 一度减持 AAPL 股份，以增加其在 Coinbase (COIN) 和 DraftKings (DKNG) 的头寸。one’s ARK 等主动管理基金每天监督股票的买卖，并可能使用 AAPL 作为现金的替代品。AAPL 的评论褒贬不一，一些人认为其最好的日子还在后头，而另一些人则认为辉煌的日子将无法重现。我认为市场正在给投资者一个机会，因为苹果公司应该会在 2021 年下半年摆脱横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> The market wasn't impressed by the blowout AAPL delivered in Q1 and Q2. Instead of an upside climb supported by fundamentals, shares of AAPL have been treading water. As an AAPL bull, it's perplexing that so much attention is placed on meme stocks instead of companies such as AAPL when it's setting the stage for their best year ever. After reading the comments of the recent articles on MEME stocks, I have written, then looking back at the comment sections of some AAPL articles, I just don't understand how the mindset is shifting to outright speculation &amp; gambling rather than investing. In the first 2 quarters of the fiscal year, 2021 AAPL has generated $3.08 in EPS while the entire 2020 fiscal year delivered $3.31 in EPS. AAPL is solidifying the foundation for its best year ever in many metrics, yet the market isn't impressed. I believe there will be impressive fireworks in the 2ndhalf of 2021, and patient shareholders will be rewarded as Q3 and Q4 numbers are reported.</p><p><blockquote>市场对 AAPL 在第一季度和第二季度的井喷并没有留下深刻印象。AAPL 股价并没有在基本面支撑下上涨，而是一直在下跌。作为一名 AAPL 多头，令人困惑的是，当 AAPL 等公司正在为其有史以来最好的一年奠定基础时，如此多的注意力却集中在模因股票上，而不是像 AAPL 这样的公司上。在阅读了最近关于模因股票的文章的评论后，我写道，然后回顾一些AAPL文章的评论部分，我只是不明白心态是如何转向彻底的投机和赌博而不是投资的。在本财年的前两个季度，AAPL 的每股收益为 3.08 美元，而整个 2020 财年的每股收益为 3.31 美元。AAPL 在许多指标上都在巩固其有史以来最好的一年的基础，但市场并没有留下深刻印象。我相信2021年下半年将会有令人印象深刻的烟火，随着第三季度和第四季度数据的公布，耐心的股东将会得到回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e86cb02096dfa9c6da05e350f274aa64\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"556\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Seeking Alpha）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple believes it's the best investment in the market and puts their money where their mouth is</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果相信这是市场上最好的投资，并说到做到</b></blockquote></p><p> So what does AAPL do with all of the cash it generates? For starters, they spend tens of billions annually building out their businesses while investing in research and development [R&amp;D]. In&nbsp;2020, AAPL spent $169.56 billion on their cost of generating revenue. The fruits of their labor can be seen in their product offerings and how quickly their newest business segments, including services and wearables, Home, and accessories, have grown. AAPL allocated $18.75 billion in 2020 to R&amp;D, generating advancements to their beloved products. One of the reasons AAPL has a cliental that could resemble a cult-like mentality is because AAPL doesn't stop innovating. They are always at the forefront pushing the boundaries of how technology can enhance an individual's daily life.</p><p><blockquote>那么，AAPL如何处理它产生的所有现金呢？首先，他们每年花费数百亿美元来发展业务，同时投资于研发[R&amp;D]。2020年，AAPL在创收成本上花费了1695.6亿美元。他们的劳动成果可以从他们的产品以及他们最新的业务部门（包括服务和可穿戴设备、家居和配件）的增长速度中看出。AAPL在2020年拨款187.5亿美元用于研发，为他们心爱的产品带来了进步。AAPL拥有类似于邪教心态的客户群的原因之一是因为AAPL没有停止创新。他们总是站在技术如何改善个人日常生活的最前沿。</blockquote></p><p> So what about the remaining cash after AAPL's business expenses are fulfilled? AAPL bets on themselves and views their stock as an investment. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has repurchased $421.7 billion in its own stock. In 2021 AAPL has repurchased $43 billion in stock, indicating that senior leadership believes there is tremendous value in owning shares of AAPL. I remember the days where everyone got excited when insiders purchased shares of their company. For AAPL buying back stock is just an ordinary Monday. AAPL has repurchased more in stock over the past decade than most companies will ever see their market caps grow to. AAPL's&nbsp;board&nbsp;authorized an additional $90 billion to its existing share repurchase plan, and AAPL returned almost&nbsp;$23 billion&nbsp;in capital to shareholders in Q2 2021, it doesn't get more bullish than that.</p><p><blockquote>那么AAPL的业务费用兑现后剩余的现金怎么办呢？AAPL 押注于自己，并将其股票视为一项投资。自2012财年以来，AAPL已回购了4217亿美元的自有股票。2021年，AAPL回购了430亿美元的股票，表明高层领导认为拥有AAPL股票具有巨大的价值。我记得当内部人士购买他们公司股票时，每个人都很兴奋的日子。对于 AAPL 来说，回购股票只是一个普通的星期一。过去十年，苹果公司回购的股票数量超过了大多数公司的市值增长。AAPL 董事会授权向其现有股票回购计划追加 900 亿美元，AAPL 在 2021 年第二季度向股东返还了近 230 亿美元的资本，没有比这更乐观的了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dbaf61374104ed17e51201af591ab7d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"349\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Meme stocks vs. Apple and the insanity of this market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>模因股票与苹果以及这个市场的疯狂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> GameStop (GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) have decimated AAPL in share price appreciation throughout the first half of 2021. Regardless of why GME and AMC are up, the fact of the matter is GME has generated a return that exceeds 1,100%, and AMC has returned over 2,000%. Anyone who has ridden GME or AMC up, I congratulate and tip my hat to you. The market is being fueled by delusions of grandeur as AAPL is negative for the year, yet GME &amp; AMC have absolutely exploded to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站 (GME) 和AMC院线控股公司 (AMC) 在 2021 年上半年的股价升值幅度大幅削弱了 AAPL。不管GME和AMC为什么上涨，事实是GME的回报率超过了1,100%，AMC的回报率超过了2,000%。任何骑过 GME 或 AMC 的人，我都向你们表示祝贺并脱帽致敬。由于 AAPL 今年表现不佳，市场受到了宏伟错觉的推动，而 GME 和 AMC 却绝对上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c85258331453c02381346f8b6c676cec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Seeking Alpha）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What's changed for AMC in the past several months? I can tell you, not a single thing. AMC is still a company that is in the red and barely makes money. I get it investing in companies like AMC can generate huge returns due to volatility, and I am not knocking it. If you can make money on it, by all means, don't let anyone stand in your way but be careful. When you read through&nbsp;AMC's income statement, they have never exceeded $400 million in net income. In the past decade, AMC's most profitable year was 2013, as their net income was $364.4 million. In 2019 which had zero ramifications from COVID, AMC generated $5.47 billion in revenue and couldn't even turn a profit as they lost -$149.1 million. AMC's last quarterly report had -$2.3 billion in equity on its balance sheet. The reality is AMC can issue additional shares and sell them to raise capital. This would benefit AMC by improving its balance sheet and increase its cash on hand. It seems like people don't understand that when a company issues more shares, the initial batch becomes diluted and is worthless because of the additional supply. AMC can issue shares and strengthen its balance sheet, but it won't solve its profit problems. AAPL pays more in dividends to its shareholders every quarter than the profit AMC has generated in the past decade, yet AMC is the stock generating larger returns.</p><p><blockquote>过去几个月AMC发生了什么变化？我可以告诉你，一件事都没有。AMC仍然是一家亏损的公司，几乎不赚钱。我明白投资像 AMC 这样的公司可以由于波动性而产生巨大回报，我并没有否认这一点。如果你能在上面赚钱，无论如何，不要让任何人挡你的路，但要小心。当你通读AMC的损益表时，他们的净利润从未超过4亿美元。在过去十年中，AMC最赚钱的一年是2013年，净利润为3.644亿美元。2019 年，由于 COVID 的影响为零，AMC 创造了 54.7 亿美元的收入，但甚至无法盈利，因为他们亏损了 1.491 亿美元。AMC 上一季度报告显示其资产负债表上的股本为 -23 亿美元。现实情况是，AMC 可以发行额外股票并出售以筹集资金。这将使 AMC 受益，改善其资产负债表并增加手头现金。人们似乎不明白，当一家公司发行更多股票时，最初的一批股票会因为额外的供应量而被稀释，变得一文不值。AMC可以发行股票并加强其资产负债表，但这并不能解决其利润问题。AAPL 每个季度向股东支付的股息比 AMC 过去十年产生的利润还要多，但 AMC 是产生更大回报的股票。</blockquote></p><p> When investors purchase shares of AMC, they are buying a company with negative EPS. AMC's P/E ratio isn't measurable on a trailing twelve-month or a forward basis, yet investors are willing to pay for nonexistent earnings. In the comments of my&nbsp;AMC article, people said fundamentals don't matter. I understand that AMC has been a technical trade, but that doesn't change the reality that investors are paying for a company with negative earnings.Currently, the average PE Ratio for the S&amp;P is 45.02. If I use the EPS AAPL generated in the first 6 months of the fiscal year 2021 of $3.08, their PE Ratio would be 40.55. For the TTM, AAPL has generated $4.49 in EPS, which brings their PE Ratio down to 28.09. Currently, investors are paying $28.09 for every $1 in earnings AAPL generates, which is low for the tech industry.Amazon (AMZN)&nbsp;has a PE of 62.44,Microsoft (MSFT)34.93, and&nbsp;Google (GOOGL)of 32.05. Call me old-fashioned, but I like to invest in companies that turn a profit.</p><p><blockquote>当投资者购买 AMC 股票时，他们购买的是一家每股收益为负的公司。AMC 的市盈率无法在过去 12 个月或远期基础上衡量，但投资者愿意为不存在的收益买单。在我的AMC文章的评论中，人们说基本面并不重要。我知道 AMC 一直是一项技术性交易，但这并不能改变投资者为负收益公司买单的现实。目前，标准普尔的平均市盈率为45.02。如果我使用 AAPL 在 2021 财年前 6 个月产生的每股收益 3.08 美元，他们的市盈率将为 40.55。对于 TTM，AAPL 的每股收益为 4.49 美元，这使得他们的市盈率降至 28.09。目前，投资者为 AAPL 每产生 1 美元的收益支付 28.09 美元，这对于科技行业来说是较低的。亚马逊 (AMZN) 的市盈率为 62.44，微软 (MSFT) 为 34.93，谷歌 (GOOGL) 为 32.05。看涨期权我很守旧，但我喜欢投资盈利的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e06d9bc68454731c984429111ff056\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"661\"><span>(Source:multpl.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：multpl.com）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Laying out the bull case for Apple and why a breakout to the upside is inevitable</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阐述苹果的牛市理由以及为什么突破上行是不可避免的</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has a cult-like following that gravitates to its products and services. For the first 6 months of 2021,AAPLhas generated $201.02 billion in revenue, $82.41 billion in gross profit, and $52.39 billion in net income. In 2021 AAPL has already generated 73.23% ($201.02 billion) of 2020's total revenue, then 78.51% of 2020's gross income ($82.41 billion) and 91.25% of 2020's total net income ($52.39 billion). AAPL is on track to decimate its previous records, and unless something unfathomable occurs, 2021 will be AAPL's best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 拥有一批狂热的追随者，他们被其产品和服务所吸引。2021年前6个月，AAPLhas实现收入2010.2亿美元，毛利润824.1亿美元，净利润523.9亿美元。2021年，AAPL已经创造了2020年总收入的73.23%（2010.2亿美元），然后是2020年总收入的78.51%（824.1亿美元）和2020年总净收入的91.25%（523.9亿美元）。AAPL 有望打破其之前的记录，除非发生深不可测的事情，否则 2021 年将是 AAPL 有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> So the real questions are what's causing the surge in AAPL's financials, and are they sustainable? Part of the reason is AAPL has seen an increase in its hardware sales from iPhone 12's down to iPads. An argument can be made that many people needed to upgrade their technology during the pandemic due to working from home or remote learning, but that logic can't be used for 2021. At the end of April, when&nbsp;AAPL reported Q2,their iPhone sales exceeded expectations by $7.14 billion, Mac sales by $2.2 billion, and iPad sales by $2.01 billion. These numbers were a year later, and while the iPhone 12, which was AAPL's first 5G release, was expected to create tailwinds, I believe the pandemic pushed society into a place where a greater emphasis is placed on technology.</p><p><blockquote>因此，真正的问题是，是什么导致了 AAPL 财务状况的飙升，以及它们是否可持续？部分原因是苹果公司的硬件销量从 iPhone 12 到 iPad 都有所增长。可以说，由于在家工作或远程学习，许多人在疫情期间需要升级他们的技术，但这种逻辑不能用于2021年。4月底，苹果公司公布第二季度业绩时，其iPhone销售额超出预期71.4亿美元，Mac销售额超出预期22亿美元，iPad销售额超出预期20.1亿美元。这些数字是在一年后公布的，虽然苹果公司发布的第一款 5G 手机 iPhone 12 预计会带来顺风，但我相信疫情将社会推向了一个更加重视技术的地方。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> I believe AAPL will continue to see strong hardware sales, but that's only one piece of the puzzle. Services and Wearables Home and Accessories are becoming huge components of AAPL's financial metrics. In&nbsp;2018 Services&nbsp;generated $39.75 billion in revenue. In 2019 Services increased by $6.54 billion (16.46%) as they finished the year with $46.29 billion in revenue. In 2020 Services grew by $7.48 billion (16.15%) as its revenue totaled $53.77 billion. In the first 6 months of 2020, Services has already generated $32.66 billion in revenue, which is 60.75% of 2020's total revenue. Services continue to grow creating a true business segment of reoccurring revenue for AAPL. The beauty of Services is with each piece of hardware AAPL sells; there is an opportunity to generate additional revenue through Services every month.</p><p><blockquote>我相信 AAPL 将继续看到强劲的硬件销售，但这只是难题的一部分。服务、可穿戴设备、家居和配件正在成为 AAPL 财务指标的重要组成部分。2018年，服务业创造了397.5亿美元的收入。2019年，服务业增长了65.4亿美元（16.46%），年收入为462.9亿美元。2020年，服务业增长了74.8亿美元（16.15%），收入总计537.7亿美元。2020年前6个月，服务业已经创造了326.6亿美元的收入，占2020年总收入的60.75%。服务持续增长，为 AAPL 创造了一个真正的经常性收入业务部门。服务之美在于AAPL销售的每一件硬件；每个月都有机会通过服务产生额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Services are becoming a home run for AAPL as it diversifies its revenue mix away from being solely constructed from physical products. At the close of the fiscal year 2020, Services had increased its annual revenue by $29.42 billion (120.83%) in just 4 years. In the first 6 months of 2021, Services has generated $32.66 billion, which is 60% of 2020's annual revenue. AAPL is on track to crack $60 billion in revenue from Services in the fiscal year 2021. Looking further out, Services could be a $100 billion revenue generator in the not-too-distant future.</p><p><blockquote>随着 AAPL 实现收入结构多元化，不再仅仅依赖实体产品，服务正在成为 AAPL 的本垒打。截至 2020 财年末，Services 在短短 4 年内年收入增加了 294.2 亿美元（120.83%）。2021年前6个月，服务业创造了326.6亿美元，占2020年年收入的60%。AAPL 有望在 2021 财年实现 600 亿美元的服务收入。展望未来，在不久的将来，服务业可能会产生 1000 亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f044f79f7525038fb94ed27b6a92209\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Wearables Home and Accessories continues to follow in Service's footsteps as it has become a larger revenue segment than iPad and Mac. With the inception of the Apple Watch, this category has grown from generating $11.13 billion in 2016 to $30.62 billion in 2020. Over 4 fiscal years, Wearables Home and Accessories has increased its revenue by $24.48 billion (175.06%), and its growth keeps expanding. In the first 6 months of 2021, Wearables Home and Accessories have generated $20.81 billion in revenue, which is 67.95% of 2020's total revenue. AAPL is certainly on track to generate $35 billion-plus in revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories in the fiscal year 2021. Over the next several years, AAPL is on track to generate $50 billion in annual revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories.</p><p><blockquote>家庭可穿戴设备和配件继续追随 Service 的脚步，因为它已成为比 iPad 和 Mac 更大的收入领域。随着苹果观察的推出，这一类别已经从2016年的111.3亿美元增长到2020年的306.2亿美元。在4个财年中，可穿戴家居和配件的收入增加了244.8亿美元（175.06%），并且增长不断扩大。2021年前6个月，家用可穿戴设备和配件创造了208.1亿美元的收入，占2020年总收入的67.95%。AAPL 肯定有望在 2021 财年从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生超过 350 亿美元的收入。未来几年，AAPL 有望从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生 500 亿美元的年收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7071ec652302c6cab585fef4c408d65\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By the end of the Fiscal Year 2025, there is a good chance that Services can generate more than $78 billion, and Wearables Home and Accessories could generate over $44 billion in annual revenue if they both grow at a 10% rate. These two categories are on pace to exceed $100 billion in revenue combined, which could grow into $150 billion annually in the late 2020s. I am shocked investors haven't been piling into AAPL, and it's even more ludicrous that an emphasis on AAPL's numbers isn't being discussed in greater detail. What's AAPL worth down the road when Services reaches $100 billion in revenue and Wearables Home and Accessories reaches $50 billion? Over the past decade, AAPL has continued to innovate and change how technology is used, and to think their best days are behind them is a notion I refuse to believe.</p><p><blockquote>到 2025 财年末，服务很有可能产生超过 780 亿美元的收入，如果家用可穿戴设备和配件都以 10% 的速度增长，则年收入可能超过 440 亿美元。这两个类别的总收入有望超过 1000 亿美元，到 2020 年代末，每年可能会增长到 1500 亿美元。我感到震惊的是，投资者没有大量涌入 AAPL，更可笑的是，对 AAPL 数据的强调没有得到更详细的讨论。当服务收入达到 1000 亿美元，家用可穿戴设备和配件收入达到 500 亿美元时，AAPL 的未来价值是多少？在过去的十年里，AAPL不断创新和改变技术的使用方式，我拒绝相信他们最好的日子已经过去。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62cd231b75d9f875329f6713debe846b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"191\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> The meme stocks are causing a lot of excitement for some investors while they leave a whole other group shaking their heads. Other than a gamble, I can't understand why people want to invest in AMC when you could buy shares of AAPL on sale. AAPL should have exploded to the upside, but its 2 recent blowout quarters didn't move the needle. I believe it's going to be different once the Q3 numbers are reported. We're going to find out that once again, AAPL continues to buy shares by the billions while reporting that in 9 months, they have generated more net income than all of 2020. In the first 6 months of operations, AAPL has generated $201.02 billion in revenue and $52.39 billion in net income while giving back $53.2 billion in buybacks and dividends. Investors have been granted an opportunity to buy more AAPL before the next leg up. I am a shareholder of AAPL, and I plan on buying more before Q3 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票给一些投资者带来了极大的兴奋，而他们却让另一大群人摇头。除了赌博之外，我无法理解当你可以购买出售的 AAPL 股票时，为什么人们还要投资 AMC。苹果公司本应暴涨，但其最近两个季度的井喷并没有改变局面。我相信一旦第三季度数据公布，情况就会有所不同。我们将再次发现，AAPL 继续购买数十亿美元的股票，同时报告称，在 9 个月内，他们产生的净利润超过了 2020 年全年。在运营的前6个月，AAPL创造了2010.2亿美元的收入和523.9亿美元的净利润，同时返还了532亿美元的回购和股息。投资者有机会在下一次上涨之前购买更多 AAPL。我是 AAPL 的股东，我计划在第三季度财报公布之前购买更多股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Meme Stocks Or Apple, I Choose Apple Every Time<blockquote>苹果：模因股票还是苹果，我每次都选择苹果</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Meme Stocks Or Apple, I Choose Apple Every Time<blockquote>苹果：模因股票还是苹果，我每次都选择苹果</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 10:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.</li>  <li>Investors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.</li>  <li>Apple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.</li>  <li>Eventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54c3b80a3353ef82f618688f13f74658\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在2021年一直是一项负面投资，而模因股票却爆炸式增长，这是荒谬的。</li><li>投资者有机会在苹果下一次上涨之前购买它，而注意力已转移到追逐模因股票的快速收益。</li><li>苹果预计 2021 财年收入将超过 3000 亿美元，净利润将达到 750 亿美元。</li><li>最终，苹果将被重新投入到党中，他们的数字将被庆祝。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In 2021, Apple (AAPL) has become a negative returning investment underperforming the SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) by a margin greater than 15%. In May of 2021, one of the hottest fund managers&nbsp;Cathie Wood&nbsp;of&nbsp;Ark Invest, sold nearly 300,000 shares of AAPL from the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF). It was reported that ARK, at one point, was reducing their stake in AAPL to add to their positions in&nbsp;Coinbase (COIN) and DraftKings (DKNG). Actively managed funds such as the one's ARK oversees buy and sell equities daily and could have been using AAPL as an alternative to cash. AAPL has a mixed bag of reviews as some believe its best days are ahead of it while others believe the glory days won't be reclaimed. I think the market is granting investors an opportunity as AAPL should breakout from its sideways pattern in the 2ndhalf of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，苹果（AAPL）已成为负回报投资，其表现逊于SPDR标普500信托ETF（SPDR标普500指数ETF）超过15%。2021 年 5 月，Ark Invest 最热门的基金经理之一 Cathie Wood 从 Ark Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF) 中出售了近 300,000 股 AAPL 股票。据报道，ARK 一度减持 AAPL 股份，以增加其在 Coinbase (COIN) 和 DraftKings (DKNG) 的头寸。one’s ARK 等主动管理基金每天监督股票的买卖，并可能使用 AAPL 作为现金的替代品。AAPL 的评论褒贬不一，一些人认为其最好的日子还在后头，而另一些人则认为辉煌的日子将无法重现。我认为市场正在给投资者一个机会，因为苹果公司应该会在 2021 年下半年摆脱横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> The market wasn't impressed by the blowout AAPL delivered in Q1 and Q2. Instead of an upside climb supported by fundamentals, shares of AAPL have been treading water. As an AAPL bull, it's perplexing that so much attention is placed on meme stocks instead of companies such as AAPL when it's setting the stage for their best year ever. After reading the comments of the recent articles on MEME stocks, I have written, then looking back at the comment sections of some AAPL articles, I just don't understand how the mindset is shifting to outright speculation &amp; gambling rather than investing. In the first 2 quarters of the fiscal year, 2021 AAPL has generated $3.08 in EPS while the entire 2020 fiscal year delivered $3.31 in EPS. AAPL is solidifying the foundation for its best year ever in many metrics, yet the market isn't impressed. I believe there will be impressive fireworks in the 2ndhalf of 2021, and patient shareholders will be rewarded as Q3 and Q4 numbers are reported.</p><p><blockquote>市场对 AAPL 在第一季度和第二季度的井喷并没有留下深刻印象。AAPL 股价并没有在基本面支撑下上涨，而是一直在下跌。作为一名 AAPL 多头，令人困惑的是，当 AAPL 等公司正在为其有史以来最好的一年奠定基础时，如此多的注意力却集中在模因股票上，而不是像 AAPL 这样的公司上。在阅读了最近关于模因股票的文章的评论后，我写道，然后回顾一些AAPL文章的评论部分，我只是不明白心态是如何转向彻底的投机和赌博而不是投资的。在本财年的前两个季度，AAPL 的每股收益为 3.08 美元，而整个 2020 财年的每股收益为 3.31 美元。AAPL 在许多指标上都在巩固其有史以来最好的一年的基础，但市场并没有留下深刻印象。我相信2021年下半年将会有令人印象深刻的烟火，随着第三季度和第四季度数据的公布，耐心的股东将会得到回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e86cb02096dfa9c6da05e350f274aa64\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"556\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Seeking Alpha）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple believes it's the best investment in the market and puts their money where their mouth is</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果相信这是市场上最好的投资，并说到做到</b></blockquote></p><p> So what does AAPL do with all of the cash it generates? For starters, they spend tens of billions annually building out their businesses while investing in research and development [R&amp;D]. In&nbsp;2020, AAPL spent $169.56 billion on their cost of generating revenue. The fruits of their labor can be seen in their product offerings and how quickly their newest business segments, including services and wearables, Home, and accessories, have grown. AAPL allocated $18.75 billion in 2020 to R&amp;D, generating advancements to their beloved products. One of the reasons AAPL has a cliental that could resemble a cult-like mentality is because AAPL doesn't stop innovating. They are always at the forefront pushing the boundaries of how technology can enhance an individual's daily life.</p><p><blockquote>那么，AAPL如何处理它产生的所有现金呢？首先，他们每年花费数百亿美元来发展业务，同时投资于研发[R&amp;D]。2020年，AAPL在创收成本上花费了1695.6亿美元。他们的劳动成果可以从他们的产品以及他们最新的业务部门（包括服务和可穿戴设备、家居和配件）的增长速度中看出。AAPL在2020年拨款187.5亿美元用于研发，为他们心爱的产品带来了进步。AAPL拥有类似于邪教心态的客户群的原因之一是因为AAPL没有停止创新。他们总是站在技术如何改善个人日常生活的最前沿。</blockquote></p><p> So what about the remaining cash after AAPL's business expenses are fulfilled? AAPL bets on themselves and views their stock as an investment. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has repurchased $421.7 billion in its own stock. In 2021 AAPL has repurchased $43 billion in stock, indicating that senior leadership believes there is tremendous value in owning shares of AAPL. I remember the days where everyone got excited when insiders purchased shares of their company. For AAPL buying back stock is just an ordinary Monday. AAPL has repurchased more in stock over the past decade than most companies will ever see their market caps grow to. AAPL's&nbsp;board&nbsp;authorized an additional $90 billion to its existing share repurchase plan, and AAPL returned almost&nbsp;$23 billion&nbsp;in capital to shareholders in Q2 2021, it doesn't get more bullish than that.</p><p><blockquote>那么AAPL的业务费用兑现后剩余的现金怎么办呢？AAPL 押注于自己，并将其股票视为一项投资。自2012财年以来，AAPL已回购了4217亿美元的自有股票。2021年，AAPL回购了430亿美元的股票，表明高层领导认为拥有AAPL股票具有巨大的价值。我记得当内部人士购买他们公司股票时，每个人都很兴奋的日子。对于 AAPL 来说，回购股票只是一个普通的星期一。过去十年，苹果公司回购的股票数量超过了大多数公司的市值增长。AAPL 董事会授权向其现有股票回购计划追加 900 亿美元，AAPL 在 2021 年第二季度向股东返还了近 230 亿美元的资本，没有比这更乐观的了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dbaf61374104ed17e51201af591ab7d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"349\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Meme stocks vs. Apple and the insanity of this market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>模因股票与苹果以及这个市场的疯狂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> GameStop (GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) have decimated AAPL in share price appreciation throughout the first half of 2021. Regardless of why GME and AMC are up, the fact of the matter is GME has generated a return that exceeds 1,100%, and AMC has returned over 2,000%. Anyone who has ridden GME or AMC up, I congratulate and tip my hat to you. The market is being fueled by delusions of grandeur as AAPL is negative for the year, yet GME &amp; AMC have absolutely exploded to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站 (GME) 和AMC院线控股公司 (AMC) 在 2021 年上半年的股价升值幅度大幅削弱了 AAPL。不管GME和AMC为什么上涨，事实是GME的回报率超过了1,100%，AMC的回报率超过了2,000%。任何骑过 GME 或 AMC 的人，我都向你们表示祝贺并脱帽致敬。由于 AAPL 今年表现不佳，市场受到了宏伟错觉的推动，而 GME 和 AMC 却绝对上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c85258331453c02381346f8b6c676cec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Seeking Alpha）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What's changed for AMC in the past several months? I can tell you, not a single thing. AMC is still a company that is in the red and barely makes money. I get it investing in companies like AMC can generate huge returns due to volatility, and I am not knocking it. If you can make money on it, by all means, don't let anyone stand in your way but be careful. When you read through&nbsp;AMC's income statement, they have never exceeded $400 million in net income. In the past decade, AMC's most profitable year was 2013, as their net income was $364.4 million. In 2019 which had zero ramifications from COVID, AMC generated $5.47 billion in revenue and couldn't even turn a profit as they lost -$149.1 million. AMC's last quarterly report had -$2.3 billion in equity on its balance sheet. The reality is AMC can issue additional shares and sell them to raise capital. This would benefit AMC by improving its balance sheet and increase its cash on hand. It seems like people don't understand that when a company issues more shares, the initial batch becomes diluted and is worthless because of the additional supply. AMC can issue shares and strengthen its balance sheet, but it won't solve its profit problems. AAPL pays more in dividends to its shareholders every quarter than the profit AMC has generated in the past decade, yet AMC is the stock generating larger returns.</p><p><blockquote>过去几个月AMC发生了什么变化？我可以告诉你，一件事都没有。AMC仍然是一家亏损的公司，几乎不赚钱。我明白投资像 AMC 这样的公司可以由于波动性而产生巨大回报，我并没有否认这一点。如果你能在上面赚钱，无论如何，不要让任何人挡你的路，但要小心。当你通读AMC的损益表时，他们的净利润从未超过4亿美元。在过去十年中，AMC最赚钱的一年是2013年，净利润为3.644亿美元。2019 年，由于 COVID 的影响为零，AMC 创造了 54.7 亿美元的收入，但甚至无法盈利，因为他们亏损了 1.491 亿美元。AMC 上一季度报告显示其资产负债表上的股本为 -23 亿美元。现实情况是，AMC 可以发行额外股票并出售以筹集资金。这将使 AMC 受益，改善其资产负债表并增加手头现金。人们似乎不明白，当一家公司发行更多股票时，最初的一批股票会因为额外的供应量而被稀释，变得一文不值。AMC可以发行股票并加强其资产负债表，但这并不能解决其利润问题。AAPL 每个季度向股东支付的股息比 AMC 过去十年产生的利润还要多，但 AMC 是产生更大回报的股票。</blockquote></p><p> When investors purchase shares of AMC, they are buying a company with negative EPS. AMC's P/E ratio isn't measurable on a trailing twelve-month or a forward basis, yet investors are willing to pay for nonexistent earnings. In the comments of my&nbsp;AMC article, people said fundamentals don't matter. I understand that AMC has been a technical trade, but that doesn't change the reality that investors are paying for a company with negative earnings.Currently, the average PE Ratio for the S&amp;P is 45.02. If I use the EPS AAPL generated in the first 6 months of the fiscal year 2021 of $3.08, their PE Ratio would be 40.55. For the TTM, AAPL has generated $4.49 in EPS, which brings their PE Ratio down to 28.09. Currently, investors are paying $28.09 for every $1 in earnings AAPL generates, which is low for the tech industry.Amazon (AMZN)&nbsp;has a PE of 62.44,Microsoft (MSFT)34.93, and&nbsp;Google (GOOGL)of 32.05. Call me old-fashioned, but I like to invest in companies that turn a profit.</p><p><blockquote>当投资者购买 AMC 股票时，他们购买的是一家每股收益为负的公司。AMC 的市盈率无法在过去 12 个月或远期基础上衡量，但投资者愿意为不存在的收益买单。在我的AMC文章的评论中，人们说基本面并不重要。我知道 AMC 一直是一项技术性交易，但这并不能改变投资者为负收益公司买单的现实。目前，标准普尔的平均市盈率为45.02。如果我使用 AAPL 在 2021 财年前 6 个月产生的每股收益 3.08 美元，他们的市盈率将为 40.55。对于 TTM，AAPL 的每股收益为 4.49 美元，这使得他们的市盈率降至 28.09。目前，投资者为 AAPL 每产生 1 美元的收益支付 28.09 美元，这对于科技行业来说是较低的。亚马逊 (AMZN) 的市盈率为 62.44，微软 (MSFT) 为 34.93，谷歌 (GOOGL) 为 32.05。看涨期权我很守旧，但我喜欢投资盈利的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e06d9bc68454731c984429111ff056\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"661\"><span>(Source:multpl.com)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：multpl.com）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Laying out the bull case for Apple and why a breakout to the upside is inevitable</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阐述苹果的牛市理由以及为什么突破上行是不可避免的</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has a cult-like following that gravitates to its products and services. For the first 6 months of 2021,AAPLhas generated $201.02 billion in revenue, $82.41 billion in gross profit, and $52.39 billion in net income. In 2021 AAPL has already generated 73.23% ($201.02 billion) of 2020's total revenue, then 78.51% of 2020's gross income ($82.41 billion) and 91.25% of 2020's total net income ($52.39 billion). AAPL is on track to decimate its previous records, and unless something unfathomable occurs, 2021 will be AAPL's best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 拥有一批狂热的追随者，他们被其产品和服务所吸引。2021年前6个月，AAPLhas实现收入2010.2亿美元，毛利润824.1亿美元，净利润523.9亿美元。2021年，AAPL已经创造了2020年总收入的73.23%（2010.2亿美元），然后是2020年总收入的78.51%（824.1亿美元）和2020年总净收入的91.25%（523.9亿美元）。AAPL 有望打破其之前的记录，除非发生深不可测的事情，否则 2021 年将是 AAPL 有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> So the real questions are what's causing the surge in AAPL's financials, and are they sustainable? Part of the reason is AAPL has seen an increase in its hardware sales from iPhone 12's down to iPads. An argument can be made that many people needed to upgrade their technology during the pandemic due to working from home or remote learning, but that logic can't be used for 2021. At the end of April, when&nbsp;AAPL reported Q2,their iPhone sales exceeded expectations by $7.14 billion, Mac sales by $2.2 billion, and iPad sales by $2.01 billion. These numbers were a year later, and while the iPhone 12, which was AAPL's first 5G release, was expected to create tailwinds, I believe the pandemic pushed society into a place where a greater emphasis is placed on technology.</p><p><blockquote>因此，真正的问题是，是什么导致了 AAPL 财务状况的飙升，以及它们是否可持续？部分原因是苹果公司的硬件销量从 iPhone 12 到 iPad 都有所增长。可以说，由于在家工作或远程学习，许多人在疫情期间需要升级他们的技术，但这种逻辑不能用于2021年。4月底，苹果公司公布第二季度业绩时，其iPhone销售额超出预期71.4亿美元，Mac销售额超出预期22亿美元，iPad销售额超出预期20.1亿美元。这些数字是在一年后公布的，虽然苹果公司发布的第一款 5G 手机 iPhone 12 预计会带来顺风，但我相信疫情将社会推向了一个更加重视技术的地方。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> I believe AAPL will continue to see strong hardware sales, but that's only one piece of the puzzle. Services and Wearables Home and Accessories are becoming huge components of AAPL's financial metrics. In&nbsp;2018 Services&nbsp;generated $39.75 billion in revenue. In 2019 Services increased by $6.54 billion (16.46%) as they finished the year with $46.29 billion in revenue. In 2020 Services grew by $7.48 billion (16.15%) as its revenue totaled $53.77 billion. In the first 6 months of 2020, Services has already generated $32.66 billion in revenue, which is 60.75% of 2020's total revenue. Services continue to grow creating a true business segment of reoccurring revenue for AAPL. The beauty of Services is with each piece of hardware AAPL sells; there is an opportunity to generate additional revenue through Services every month.</p><p><blockquote>我相信 AAPL 将继续看到强劲的硬件销售，但这只是难题的一部分。服务、可穿戴设备、家居和配件正在成为 AAPL 财务指标的重要组成部分。2018年，服务业创造了397.5亿美元的收入。2019年，服务业增长了65.4亿美元（16.46%），年收入为462.9亿美元。2020年，服务业增长了74.8亿美元（16.15%），收入总计537.7亿美元。2020年前6个月，服务业已经创造了326.6亿美元的收入，占2020年总收入的60.75%。服务持续增长，为 AAPL 创造了一个真正的经常性收入业务部门。服务之美在于AAPL销售的每一件硬件；每个月都有机会通过服务产生额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Services are becoming a home run for AAPL as it diversifies its revenue mix away from being solely constructed from physical products. At the close of the fiscal year 2020, Services had increased its annual revenue by $29.42 billion (120.83%) in just 4 years. In the first 6 months of 2021, Services has generated $32.66 billion, which is 60% of 2020's annual revenue. AAPL is on track to crack $60 billion in revenue from Services in the fiscal year 2021. Looking further out, Services could be a $100 billion revenue generator in the not-too-distant future.</p><p><blockquote>随着 AAPL 实现收入结构多元化，不再仅仅依赖实体产品，服务正在成为 AAPL 的本垒打。截至 2020 财年末，Services 在短短 4 年内年收入增加了 294.2 亿美元（120.83%）。2021年前6个月，服务业创造了326.6亿美元，占2020年年收入的60%。AAPL 有望在 2021 财年实现 600 亿美元的服务收入。展望未来，在不久的将来，服务业可能会产生 1000 亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f044f79f7525038fb94ed27b6a92209\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Wearables Home and Accessories continues to follow in Service's footsteps as it has become a larger revenue segment than iPad and Mac. With the inception of the Apple Watch, this category has grown from generating $11.13 billion in 2016 to $30.62 billion in 2020. Over 4 fiscal years, Wearables Home and Accessories has increased its revenue by $24.48 billion (175.06%), and its growth keeps expanding. In the first 6 months of 2021, Wearables Home and Accessories have generated $20.81 billion in revenue, which is 67.95% of 2020's total revenue. AAPL is certainly on track to generate $35 billion-plus in revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories in the fiscal year 2021. Over the next several years, AAPL is on track to generate $50 billion in annual revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories.</p><p><blockquote>家庭可穿戴设备和配件继续追随 Service 的脚步，因为它已成为比 iPad 和 Mac 更大的收入领域。随着苹果观察的推出，这一类别已经从2016年的111.3亿美元增长到2020年的306.2亿美元。在4个财年中，可穿戴家居和配件的收入增加了244.8亿美元（175.06%），并且增长不断扩大。2021年前6个月，家用可穿戴设备和配件创造了208.1亿美元的收入，占2020年总收入的67.95%。AAPL 肯定有望在 2021 财年从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生超过 350 亿美元的收入。未来几年，AAPL 有望从家用可穿戴设备和配件中产生 500 亿美元的年收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7071ec652302c6cab585fef4c408d65\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By the end of the Fiscal Year 2025, there is a good chance that Services can generate more than $78 billion, and Wearables Home and Accessories could generate over $44 billion in annual revenue if they both grow at a 10% rate. These two categories are on pace to exceed $100 billion in revenue combined, which could grow into $150 billion annually in the late 2020s. I am shocked investors haven't been piling into AAPL, and it's even more ludicrous that an emphasis on AAPL's numbers isn't being discussed in greater detail. What's AAPL worth down the road when Services reaches $100 billion in revenue and Wearables Home and Accessories reaches $50 billion? Over the past decade, AAPL has continued to innovate and change how technology is used, and to think their best days are behind them is a notion I refuse to believe.</p><p><blockquote>到 2025 财年末，服务很有可能产生超过 780 亿美元的收入，如果家用可穿戴设备和配件都以 10% 的速度增长，则年收入可能超过 440 亿美元。这两个类别的总收入有望超过 1000 亿美元，到 2020 年代末，每年可能会增长到 1500 亿美元。我感到震惊的是，投资者没有大量涌入 AAPL，更可笑的是，对 AAPL 数据的强调没有得到更详细的讨论。当服务收入达到 1000 亿美元，家用可穿戴设备和配件收入达到 500 亿美元时，AAPL 的未来价值是多少？在过去的十年里，AAPL不断创新和改变技术的使用方式，我拒绝相信他们最好的日子已经过去。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62cd231b75d9f875329f6713debe846b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"191\"><span>(Source: Apple)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：苹果）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> The meme stocks are causing a lot of excitement for some investors while they leave a whole other group shaking their heads. Other than a gamble, I can't understand why people want to invest in AMC when you could buy shares of AAPL on sale. AAPL should have exploded to the upside, but its 2 recent blowout quarters didn't move the needle. I believe it's going to be different once the Q3 numbers are reported. We're going to find out that once again, AAPL continues to buy shares by the billions while reporting that in 9 months, they have generated more net income than all of 2020. In the first 6 months of operations, AAPL has generated $201.02 billion in revenue and $52.39 billion in net income while giving back $53.2 billion in buybacks and dividends. Investors have been granted an opportunity to buy more AAPL before the next leg up. I am a shareholder of AAPL, and I plan on buying more before Q3 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票给一些投资者带来了极大的兴奋，而他们却让另一大群人摇头。除了赌博之外，我无法理解当你可以购买出售的 AAPL 股票时，为什么人们还要投资 AMC。苹果公司本应暴涨，但其最近两个季度的井喷并没有改变局面。我相信一旦第三季度数据公布，情况就会有所不同。我们将再次发现，AAPL 继续购买数十亿美元的股票，同时报告称，在 9 个月内，他们产生的净利润超过了 2020 年全年。在运营的前6个月，AAPL创造了2010.2亿美元的收入和523.9亿美元的净利润，同时返还了532亿美元的回购和股息。投资者有机会在下一次上涨之前购买更多 AAPL。我是 AAPL 的股东，我计划在第三季度财报公布之前购买更多股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434600-apple-meme-stocks-or-apple-i-choose-apple-every-time\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434600-apple-meme-stocks-or-apple-i-choose-apple-every-time","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167720481","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a negative investment in 2021 while Meme stocks have exploded which is ridiculous.\nInvestors have been granted an opportunity to purchase Apple before its next leg up while the attention has shifted to chasing the quick buck with Meme stocks.\nApple is on pace to generate more than $300 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2021 and $75 billion in net income.\nEventually Apple will be invested back to the party and their numbers will be celebrated.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nIn 2021, Apple (AAPL) has become a negative returning investment underperforming the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) by a margin greater than 15%. In May of 2021, one of the hottest fund managers Cathie Wood of Ark Invest, sold nearly 300,000 shares of AAPL from the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF). It was reported that ARK, at one point, was reducing their stake in AAPL to add to their positions in Coinbase (COIN) and DraftKings (DKNG). Actively managed funds such as the one's ARK oversees buy and sell equities daily and could have been using AAPL as an alternative to cash. AAPL has a mixed bag of reviews as some believe its best days are ahead of it while others believe the glory days won't be reclaimed. I think the market is granting investors an opportunity as AAPL should breakout from its sideways pattern in the 2ndhalf of 2021.\nThe market wasn't impressed by the blowout AAPL delivered in Q1 and Q2. Instead of an upside climb supported by fundamentals, shares of AAPL have been treading water. As an AAPL bull, it's perplexing that so much attention is placed on meme stocks instead of companies such as AAPL when it's setting the stage for their best year ever. After reading the comments of the recent articles on MEME stocks, I have written, then looking back at the comment sections of some AAPL articles, I just don't understand how the mindset is shifting to outright speculation & gambling rather than investing. In the first 2 quarters of the fiscal year, 2021 AAPL has generated $3.08 in EPS while the entire 2020 fiscal year delivered $3.31 in EPS. AAPL is solidifying the foundation for its best year ever in many metrics, yet the market isn't impressed. I believe there will be impressive fireworks in the 2ndhalf of 2021, and patient shareholders will be rewarded as Q3 and Q4 numbers are reported.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nApple believes it's the best investment in the market and puts their money where their mouth is\nSo what does AAPL do with all of the cash it generates? For starters, they spend tens of billions annually building out their businesses while investing in research and development [R&D]. In 2020, AAPL spent $169.56 billion on their cost of generating revenue. The fruits of their labor can be seen in their product offerings and how quickly their newest business segments, including services and wearables, Home, and accessories, have grown. AAPL allocated $18.75 billion in 2020 to R&D, generating advancements to their beloved products. One of the reasons AAPL has a cliental that could resemble a cult-like mentality is because AAPL doesn't stop innovating. They are always at the forefront pushing the boundaries of how technology can enhance an individual's daily life.\nSo what about the remaining cash after AAPL's business expenses are fulfilled? AAPL bets on themselves and views their stock as an investment. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has repurchased $421.7 billion in its own stock. In 2021 AAPL has repurchased $43 billion in stock, indicating that senior leadership believes there is tremendous value in owning shares of AAPL. I remember the days where everyone got excited when insiders purchased shares of their company. For AAPL buying back stock is just an ordinary Monday. AAPL has repurchased more in stock over the past decade than most companies will ever see their market caps grow to. AAPL's board authorized an additional $90 billion to its existing share repurchase plan, and AAPL returned almost $23 billion in capital to shareholders in Q2 2021, it doesn't get more bullish than that.\n(Source: Apple)\nMeme stocks vs. Apple and the insanity of this market\nGameStop (GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) have decimated AAPL in share price appreciation throughout the first half of 2021. Regardless of why GME and AMC are up, the fact of the matter is GME has generated a return that exceeds 1,100%, and AMC has returned over 2,000%. Anyone who has ridden GME or AMC up, I congratulate and tip my hat to you. The market is being fueled by delusions of grandeur as AAPL is negative for the year, yet GME & AMC have absolutely exploded to the upside.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nWhat's changed for AMC in the past several months? I can tell you, not a single thing. AMC is still a company that is in the red and barely makes money. I get it investing in companies like AMC can generate huge returns due to volatility, and I am not knocking it. If you can make money on it, by all means, don't let anyone stand in your way but be careful. When you read through AMC's income statement, they have never exceeded $400 million in net income. In the past decade, AMC's most profitable year was 2013, as their net income was $364.4 million. In 2019 which had zero ramifications from COVID, AMC generated $5.47 billion in revenue and couldn't even turn a profit as they lost -$149.1 million. AMC's last quarterly report had -$2.3 billion in equity on its balance sheet. The reality is AMC can issue additional shares and sell them to raise capital. This would benefit AMC by improving its balance sheet and increase its cash on hand. It seems like people don't understand that when a company issues more shares, the initial batch becomes diluted and is worthless because of the additional supply. AMC can issue shares and strengthen its balance sheet, but it won't solve its profit problems. AAPL pays more in dividends to its shareholders every quarter than the profit AMC has generated in the past decade, yet AMC is the stock generating larger returns.\nWhen investors purchase shares of AMC, they are buying a company with negative EPS. AMC's P/E ratio isn't measurable on a trailing twelve-month or a forward basis, yet investors are willing to pay for nonexistent earnings. In the comments of my AMC article, people said fundamentals don't matter. I understand that AMC has been a technical trade, but that doesn't change the reality that investors are paying for a company with negative earnings.Currently, the average PE Ratio for the S&P is 45.02. If I use the EPS AAPL generated in the first 6 months of the fiscal year 2021 of $3.08, their PE Ratio would be 40.55. For the TTM, AAPL has generated $4.49 in EPS, which brings their PE Ratio down to 28.09. Currently, investors are paying $28.09 for every $1 in earnings AAPL generates, which is low for the tech industry.Amazon (AMZN) has a PE of 62.44,Microsoft (MSFT)34.93, and Google (GOOGL)of 32.05. Call me old-fashioned, but I like to invest in companies that turn a profit.\n(Source:multpl.com)\nLaying out the bull case for Apple and why a breakout to the upside is inevitable\nAAPL has a cult-like following that gravitates to its products and services. For the first 6 months of 2021,AAPLhas generated $201.02 billion in revenue, $82.41 billion in gross profit, and $52.39 billion in net income. In 2021 AAPL has already generated 73.23% ($201.02 billion) of 2020's total revenue, then 78.51% of 2020's gross income ($82.41 billion) and 91.25% of 2020's total net income ($52.39 billion). AAPL is on track to decimate its previous records, and unless something unfathomable occurs, 2021 will be AAPL's best year ever.\nSo the real questions are what's causing the surge in AAPL's financials, and are they sustainable? Part of the reason is AAPL has seen an increase in its hardware sales from iPhone 12's down to iPads. An argument can be made that many people needed to upgrade their technology during the pandemic due to working from home or remote learning, but that logic can't be used for 2021. At the end of April, when AAPL reported Q2,their iPhone sales exceeded expectations by $7.14 billion, Mac sales by $2.2 billion, and iPad sales by $2.01 billion. These numbers were a year later, and while the iPhone 12, which was AAPL's first 5G release, was expected to create tailwinds, I believe the pandemic pushed society into a place where a greater emphasis is placed on technology.\nI believe AAPL will continue to see strong hardware sales, but that's only one piece of the puzzle. Services and Wearables Home and Accessories are becoming huge components of AAPL's financial metrics. In 2018 Services generated $39.75 billion in revenue. In 2019 Services increased by $6.54 billion (16.46%) as they finished the year with $46.29 billion in revenue. In 2020 Services grew by $7.48 billion (16.15%) as its revenue totaled $53.77 billion. In the first 6 months of 2020, Services has already generated $32.66 billion in revenue, which is 60.75% of 2020's total revenue. Services continue to grow creating a true business segment of reoccurring revenue for AAPL. The beauty of Services is with each piece of hardware AAPL sells; there is an opportunity to generate additional revenue through Services every month.\nServices are becoming a home run for AAPL as it diversifies its revenue mix away from being solely constructed from physical products. At the close of the fiscal year 2020, Services had increased its annual revenue by $29.42 billion (120.83%) in just 4 years. In the first 6 months of 2021, Services has generated $32.66 billion, which is 60% of 2020's annual revenue. AAPL is on track to crack $60 billion in revenue from Services in the fiscal year 2021. Looking further out, Services could be a $100 billion revenue generator in the not-too-distant future.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)\nWearables Home and Accessories continues to follow in Service's footsteps as it has become a larger revenue segment than iPad and Mac. With the inception of the Apple Watch, this category has grown from generating $11.13 billion in 2016 to $30.62 billion in 2020. Over 4 fiscal years, Wearables Home and Accessories has increased its revenue by $24.48 billion (175.06%), and its growth keeps expanding. In the first 6 months of 2021, Wearables Home and Accessories have generated $20.81 billion in revenue, which is 67.95% of 2020's total revenue. AAPL is certainly on track to generate $35 billion-plus in revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories in the fiscal year 2021. Over the next several years, AAPL is on track to generate $50 billion in annual revenue from Wearables Home and Accessories.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)\nBy the end of the Fiscal Year 2025, there is a good chance that Services can generate more than $78 billion, and Wearables Home and Accessories could generate over $44 billion in annual revenue if they both grow at a 10% rate. These two categories are on pace to exceed $100 billion in revenue combined, which could grow into $150 billion annually in the late 2020s. I am shocked investors haven't been piling into AAPL, and it's even more ludicrous that an emphasis on AAPL's numbers isn't being discussed in greater detail. What's AAPL worth down the road when Services reaches $100 billion in revenue and Wearables Home and Accessories reaches $50 billion? Over the past decade, AAPL has continued to innovate and change how technology is used, and to think their best days are behind them is a notion I refuse to believe.\n(Source: Apple)\nConclusion\nThe meme stocks are causing a lot of excitement for some investors while they leave a whole other group shaking their heads. Other than a gamble, I can't understand why people want to invest in AMC when you could buy shares of AAPL on sale. AAPL should have exploded to the upside, but its 2 recent blowout quarters didn't move the needle. I believe it's going to be different once the Q3 numbers are reported. We're going to find out that once again, AAPL continues to buy shares by the billions while reporting that in 9 months, they have generated more net income than all of 2020. In the first 6 months of operations, AAPL has generated $201.02 billion in revenue and $52.39 billion in net income while giving back $53.2 billion in buybacks and dividends. Investors have been granted an opportunity to buy more AAPL before the next leg up. I am a shareholder of AAPL, and I plan on buying more before Q3 earnings.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2569,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}