SALLY123的个人主页 - 老虎社区

SALLY123

SALLY123

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

2关注

22粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-12-24

ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-18

ok

Tesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&T、Netflix、ASML、Snap等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>

2021-09-30

ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-28

ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-08

nice

SEC Moves First DeFi Unregistered Securities Lawsuit<blockquote>SEC提起首起DeFi未注册证券诉讼</blockquote>

2021-11-29

ok

November jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>11月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>

2021-10-28

ok

4 Ways Hertz Is Creating Value For Tesla<blockquote>赫兹为特斯拉创造价值的4种方式</blockquote>

2021-10-03

ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-12

okkk

Why Apple’s Risk Is Limited<blockquote>为什么苹果的风险有限</blockquote>

2021-12-21

ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3586512925725941","uuid":"3586512925725941","gmtCreate":1623420565715,"gmtModify":1628686607894,"name":"SALLY123","pinyin":"sally123","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":22,"headSize":2,"tweetSize":136,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-1","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"精英交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到30次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.12.27","exceedPercentage":"60.22%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.11.18","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":3,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":696850191,"gmtCreate":1640667849255,"gmtModify":1640667930716,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"oo","listText":"oo","text":"oo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696850191","repostId":"1137683837","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696922106,"gmtCreate":1640604979747,"gmtModify":1640604980038,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696922106","repostId":"2194177239","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2194177239","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640559609,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2194177239?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2194177239","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.The S&P 500  is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.According to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any ","content":"<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周中回归，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSanta Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 07:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周中回归，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4096":"电气部件与设备","BK4541":"氢能源","FCEL":"燃料电池能源","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2194177239","content_text":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.\nThe S&P 500 (^GSPC) is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.\nThe term, coined by Stock Trader's Almanac in the 1970s, encompasses the final five trading days of the year and first two sessions of the new year. This year, that Santa Claus Rally window is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27 — or the latest a Santa Claus rally has started in 11 years, due to the timing of the holidays this year.\nAccording to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any given year. Since 1950, the Santa Claus Rally period has produced a positive return for the S&P 500 78.9% of the time, with an average return of 1.33%.\n“Why are these seven days so strong?” wrote Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial chief market strategist, in a note. “Whether optimism over a coming new year, holiday spending, traders on vacation, institutions squaring up their books — or the holiday spirit — the bottom line is that bulls tend to believe in Santa.”\nAnd if history is any indication, the absence of a Santa Claus Rally has also typically served as a harbinger of lower near-term returns.\n\"Going back to the mid-1990s, there have been only six times Santa failed to show in December. January was lower five of those six times, and the full year had a solid gain only once (in 2016, but a mini-bear market early in the year),\" Detrick added.\n“Considering the bear markets of 2000 and 2008 both took place after one of the rare instances that Santa failed to show makes believers out of us,\" he said. A bear market typically refers to when stocks drop at least 20% from recent record highs. \"Should this seasonally strong period miss the mark, it could be a warning sign.\"\nAnd this year, investors do have considerable additional concerns to mull heading into the new year. Though stocks closed out Thursday's session at fresh record highs before the long holiday weekend, December still marked a volatile month to start, with renewed concerns over the Omicron variant and the potential for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve weighing on risk assets. Plus, prospects for more near-term fiscal support via the Biden administration's Build Back Better bill have dwindled, and inflation concerns spiked further. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — rose at a 4.7% year-over-year clip, or the fastest since 1983.\n\"If the U.S. was not battling the Omicron variant, U.S. stocks would be dancing higher as the Santa Claus Rally would have kept the climb going into uncharted territory,\" Edward Moya, chief market strategist at OANDA, wrote in a note last week. \"It is too early to say for sure if we will get a Santa Claus Rally, but given all the short-term risks of Fed tightening, Chinese weakness, fiscal support uncertainty and COVID, Wall Street is not complaining.\"\nA man in a Santa Claus costume gestures on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on December 5, 2019 in New York. (Photo by Bryan R. Smith / AFP) (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)BRYAN R. SMITH via Getty Images\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, Dec. (13.0 expected, 11.8 in November)\nTuesday: FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% expected, 0.96% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, year-over-year, October (18.6%. expected, 19.05% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, year-over-year, November (19.51% in October); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, December (11 expected,11 in November)\nWednesday: Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, November preliminary (1.7% expected, 2.3% in October); Advance Goods Trade Balance, November (-$89.0 billion expected, -$82.9 billion in October); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 0.1% in October); Pending Home Sales, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 7.5% in October)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended Dec. 25. (205,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Dec. 18 (1.859 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, December (62.2 expected, 61.8 in November)\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) before market open\nThursday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY.AU":0.9,"FCEL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698269286,"gmtCreate":1640409175088,"gmtModify":1640409233872,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698269286","repostId":"1156159690","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2882,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698123067,"gmtCreate":1640322218958,"gmtModify":1640322219192,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698123067","repostId":"2193078140","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3678,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691472129,"gmtCreate":1640234595564,"gmtModify":1640234595830,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691472129","repostId":"1108646940","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108646940","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640227968,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108646940?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 10:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SoFi Has Plenty on its Plate to Excite Investors for Next Year<blockquote>SoFi明年有很多事情可以让投资者兴奋</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108646940","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"SoFi's future bank charter and new platform additions will amplify growth to expand its margins in 2022.","content":"<p><div> Fintech start-upSoFi Technologies(NASDAQ:SOFI) went public earlier this year after merging with one of ‘SPAC king’ Chamath Palihapitiya’s companies. Despite the massive buzz surrounding SOFI stock, it...</p><p><blockquote><div>金融科技初创公司SoFi Technologies（纳斯达克股票代码：SOFI）在与“SPAC之王”Chamath Palihapitiya的公司之一合并后于今年早些时候上市。尽管围绕SOFI股票引起了广泛关注，但它……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/sofi-stock-has-plenty-on-its-plate-to-excite-investors-for-next-year/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/sofi-stock-has-plenty-on-its-plate-to-excite-investors-for-next-year/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SoFi Has Plenty on its Plate to Excite Investors for Next Year<blockquote>SoFi明年有很多事情可以让投资者兴奋</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSoFi Has Plenty on its Plate to Excite Investors for Next Year<blockquote>SoFi明年有很多事情可以让投资者兴奋</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 10:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Fintech start-upSoFi Technologies(NASDAQ:SOFI) went public earlier this year after merging with one of ‘SPAC king’ Chamath Palihapitiya’s companies. Despite the massive buzz surrounding SOFI stock, it...</p><p><blockquote><div>金融科技初创公司SoFi Technologies（纳斯达克股票代码：SOFI）在与“SPAC之王”Chamath Palihapitiya的公司之一合并后于今年早些时候上市。尽管围绕SOFI股票引起了广泛关注，但它……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/sofi-stock-has-plenty-on-its-plate-to-excite-investors-for-next-year/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/sofi-stock-has-plenty-on-its-plate-to-excite-investors-for-next-year/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/sofi-stock-has-plenty-on-its-plate-to-excite-investors-for-next-year/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOFI":"SoFi Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/sofi-stock-has-plenty-on-its-plate-to-excite-investors-for-next-year/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108646940","content_text":"Fintech start-upSoFi Technologies(NASDAQ:SOFI) went public earlier this year after merging with one of ‘SPAC king’ Chamath Palihapitiya’s companies. Despite the massive buzz surrounding SOFI stock, it currently trades at $14.97, more than 47% lower than its 52-week high of $28.26. Regardless of the market’s concerns, SoFi has an incredible 2022 ahead which could quickly reverse its fortunes.\nDigitization has been the norm for virtually every industry, including finance. However, we’ve seen how the sector has been dominated by a handful of legacy companies who have significantly comprised customer convenience.\nSoFi Technologies attempts to break the mold by eradicating the boundaries between various financial services. In essence, it plans to become a neobank, a one-stop shop for all its customers’ financial services. The platform’s diverse ecosystem of services has resulted in spectacular user growth so far, a trend that is likely to grow much bigger in the coming years.\nSuper Growth so Far\nSoFi’s recent growth numbers are a testament to the impeccable execution of its strategy so far.Its product offerings grew 108% from the prior-year period in its third quarter. In the past few quarters, revenue growth rates have been in the triple-digit range. Moreover, member growth has also been impressive at 96% on a year-over-year basis, with a 65% sequential improvement in cross-selling.\nOn top of that, the third quarter was another profitable one for the company. It posted an adjusted EBITDA of $10.3 million due to higher revenues across all its operating segments. However, profitability was offset by increased spending.\nMuch of it is attributable to Galileo, a platform that could potentially add value to SoFi’s business in the future. Galileo’s robust infrastructure powers more than 90% of the digital banking in the United States. It has a strong moat which will enable SoFi to curb its risks and result in healthy gains for SOFI stock\nFurthermore, the management raised revenue forecasts for the full year to sweeten the report even more. They expect to finish the year with aplomb, with adjusted net revenue of $272 to $282 million. The range represents a healthy 49% to 55% increase year-over-year.\nThe Penultimate Bank Charter\nSoFi has been chasing a bank charter for a long time now, and it appears its search could be over soon. I expect it to get the green signal by the first half of next year, as Chief Executive Officer Andrew Noto remarked how the company was in the late stages of approval. It had applied for the charter in the summer of 2020, and a safe estimate for approval would be in the first and second quarters of 2022.\nIt’s important to understand how the charter would benefit the company in the long run. Loans are a critical element of the banking business, with SoFi having to underwrite its loans using third-party banks. Those banks, in turn, charge a hefty fee, which robs SoFi of bottom-line expansion. However, once it has a bank charter, things are likely to change significantly, as it would do its underwriting.\nAccording to SoFi’s management, by 2025 its EBITDA could improve by a healthy 25.5% with the charter. With stronger margins and more competitive pricing, the company can invest more in its business. Moreover, the higher margins will amplify its digital services, enabling it to solidify its position in the sector.\nBottom Line on SOFI Stock\nSoFi has been a disruptor in the fintech space and is poised to grow exponentially in the coming years. It has several growth catalysts, including its bank charter, which will significantly improve margins and cash flows in the future. On top of that, the higher margins will have a trickle-down effect on other parts of its business, enabling the company to expand its horizons even further.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SOFI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3771,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691472027,"gmtCreate":1640234539630,"gmtModify":1640234539862,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691472027","repostId":"1144834386","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144834386","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640228239,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144834386?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 10:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SEAC Stock: 15 Things We Know as TikTok Competitor Triller Confirms Reverse Merger Plans<blockquote>SEAC股票：随着TikTok竞争对手Triller确认反向合并计划，我们所知道的15件事</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144834386","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"SeaChange International(NASDAQ:SEAC) stock is rocketing higher on Wednesday thanks to news of a merg","content":"<p><div> SeaChange International(NASDAQ:SEAC) stock is rocketing higher on Wednesday thanks to news of a merger agreement with Triller. Let’s take in all that news below!  The agreement will have Triller and ...</p><p><blockquote><div>由于与Triller达成合并协议的消息，SeaChange International（纳斯达克：SEAC）股价周三飙升。让我们来看看下面所有新闻吧！该协议将有特里勒和...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/seac-stock-15-things-we-know-as-tiktok-competitor-triller-confirms-reverse-merger-plans/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/seac-stock-15-things-we-know-as-tiktok-competitor-triller-confirms-reverse-merger-plans/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SEAC Stock: 15 Things We Know as TikTok Competitor Triller Confirms Reverse Merger Plans<blockquote>SEAC股票：随着TikTok竞争对手Triller确认反向合并计划，我们所知道的15件事</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSEAC Stock: 15 Things We Know as TikTok Competitor Triller Confirms Reverse Merger Plans<blockquote>SEAC股票：随着TikTok竞争对手Triller确认反向合并计划，我们所知道的15件事</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 10:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> SeaChange International(NASDAQ:SEAC) stock is rocketing higher on Wednesday thanks to news of a merger agreement with Triller. Let’s take in all that news below!  The agreement will have Triller and ...</p><p><blockquote><div>由于与Triller达成合并协议的消息，SeaChange International（纳斯达克：SEAC）股价周三飙升。让我们来看看下面所有新闻吧！该协议将有特里勒和...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/seac-stock-15-things-we-know-as-tiktok-competitor-triller-confirms-reverse-merger-plans/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/seac-stock-15-things-we-know-as-tiktok-competitor-triller-confirms-reverse-merger-plans/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/seac-stock-15-things-we-know-as-tiktok-competitor-triller-confirms-reverse-merger-plans/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SEAC":"海易国际"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/seac-stock-15-things-we-know-as-tiktok-competitor-triller-confirms-reverse-merger-plans/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144834386","content_text":"SeaChange International(NASDAQ:SEAC) stock is rocketing higher on Wednesday thanks to news of a merger agreement with Triller.\nLet’s take in all that news below!\n\nThe agreement will have Triller and SeaChange International enacting a reverse merger.\nThat means that once the merger is complete, the new company will operate as TrillerVerz.\nTo go along with that, the ticker for the company’s stock will switch from SEAC to ILLR.\nThis has the two companies expecting a value of $5 billion for the combined company.\nTrillerVerz is looking to create a business focused on the Web3.0 movement.\nThis has it looking to become the voice of users in the 18- to the 34-year-old age group.\nThat would have it challenging TikTok as a social media platform for creators and influencers.\nWhen the deal closes, the new company will be led by TrillerVerz CEO Mahi de Silva.\n\n\nPeter Aquino, current president and CEO of SeaChange International, will stick around as part of the new company’s team.\nThe Boards of Directors at both companies have given their support to the deal.\nThis has the two companies expecting the reverse merger to close sometime in the first quarter of 2022.\nRumors of a deal between the two companies kicked off last week.\nSEAC stock is experiencing heavy trading on today’s news.\nThat has some 137 million shares of the stock changing hands.\nFor the record, its daily average trading volume is closer to 7 million shares.\n\nSEAC stock is up 9.5% on Wednesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SEAC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691476759,"gmtCreate":1640234504818,"gmtModify":1640234505036,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691476759","repostId":"1138838604","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138838604","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640227242,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138838604?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 10:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"New NHTSA Probe Won’t Mean ‘Game Over’ for Tesla Stock in 2022<blockquote>NHTSA的新调查并不意味着2022年特斯拉股票“游戏结束”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138838604","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"After spending most of the 2021 holiday season dipping into the red, Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) is finally r","content":"<p><div> After spending most of the 2021 holiday season dipping into the red, Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) is finally regaining the market momentum that carried it through most of the year. The electric vehicle (EV) ...</p><p><blockquote><div>在经历了2021年假期的大部分时间陷入亏损后，特斯拉（纳斯达克：TSLA）终于恢复了全年大部分时间的市场势头。电动汽车(EV)...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/new-nhtsa-probe-wont-mean-game-over-for-tesla-stock-in-2022/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/new-nhtsa-probe-wont-mean-game-over-for-tesla-stock-in-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>New NHTSA Probe Won’t Mean ‘Game Over’ for Tesla Stock in 2022<blockquote>NHTSA的新调查并不意味着2022年特斯拉股票“游戏结束”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNew NHTSA Probe Won’t Mean ‘Game Over’ for Tesla Stock in 2022<blockquote>NHTSA的新调查并不意味着2022年特斯拉股票“游戏结束”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 10:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> After spending most of the 2021 holiday season dipping into the red, Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) is finally regaining the market momentum that carried it through most of the year. The electric vehicle (EV) ...</p><p><blockquote><div>在经历了2021年假期的大部分时间陷入亏损后，特斯拉（纳斯达克：TSLA）终于恢复了全年大部分时间的市场势头。电动汽车(EV)...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/new-nhtsa-probe-wont-mean-game-over-for-tesla-stock-in-2022/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/new-nhtsa-probe-wont-mean-game-over-for-tesla-stock-in-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/new-nhtsa-probe-wont-mean-game-over-for-tesla-stock-in-2022/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/new-nhtsa-probe-wont-mean-game-over-for-tesla-stock-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138838604","content_text":"After spending most of the 2021 holiday season dipping into the red, Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) is finally regaining the market momentum that carried it through most of the year. The electric vehicle (EV) innovator recently watched CEO Elon Musk offload shares, casting doubt over the future of the company. However, Tesla stock seems to be back on track, just in time to deliver promising returns to its investors. Today brought an announcement that sounded ominous, but so far it hasn’t pushed share prices down.\nTesla Stock’s Latest Driver\nWhat was the announcement? Today it was reported that the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) is looking into a unique feature of Tesla vehicles — the ability of drivers to play video games on their dashboard touch screens. When headlines report a regulatory probe, the first instinct of many investors is to panic. Since the news broke, though, Tesla stock has only been rising. As of this writing, it is up almost 5% and isn’t showing any signs of slowing down.\nThis development truly feels unique to Tesla, the company that set the stage for EV innovations. The function in question is titled Passenger Play. As its title implies, it was originally implemented for the entertainment of passengers. Additionally, it has been included in all the Tesla models. It certainly makes sense that road safety regulators would be concerned with gameplay function being extended to a car’s driver, particularly while the car is in motion. Let’s take a look at this news in more context, though.\nThe Road Ahead\nWhy hasn’t this been bad news for Tesla stock? The way it looks from here, investors are evaluating this news from a macro perspective and coming to the quick conclusion that it isn’t all bad.\nNotably, the NHTSA probe was only prompted by concerns, not by any actual incidents on the road. Indeed, The Guardian reports that the documents released by the agency “do not list any crashes or injuries caused by the problem.” While the initial complaint was filed by a Tesla owner who was shocked by his ability to play Solitaire while his car was moving, nothing bad actually happened to him or anyone else.\nWe all know that a future with self-driving cars is coming. While it’s unlikely to be here very soon, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Tesla has made significant progress in exactly that area. Earlier this week, a woman delivered a baby in her Model 3 Tesla while her car’s autopilot feature enabled her husband to assist her. I don’t have kids, but I’d wager that experience was more distracting than playing a video game. Tesla’s hands-off driving technology clearly works. More than that, it’s clear that it will help users in a new age of driving tech. Ultimately, we’re headed toward a self-driven world that so far we’ve only been able to see on the movie screen.\nThe Bottom Line\nWhile many feel uncomfortable with vehicles that allow drivers to take their eyes off the road, such a development doesn’t have to be all bad. Bluetooth technology has allowed drivers to make calls on the road with very minimal use of their hands, thereby ensuring a safer experience for everyone. Self-driving technology can provide many similar benefits.\nThis isn’t to suggest that we should be encouraging gameplay while driving. However, we should acknowledge that this development is likely an indicator of things to come. And it doesn’t have to be bad. Tesla stock isn’t going down because investors are casting their eyes on the road ahead.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2656,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691476640,"gmtCreate":1640234449973,"gmtModify":1640234450193,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691476640","repostId":"1164868978","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164868978","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640229309,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1164868978?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Does This Wildly Accurate S&P 500 Ratio Signal Doom for Investors in 2022?<blockquote>这种极其准确的标普500比率是否预示着2022年投资者的厄运？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164868978","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"While I'm generally skeptical of stock market indicators, investors might want to pay attention to this one.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Predicting stock market performance is a near-impossible task.</li>  <li>The Shiller P/E ratio may be as accurate an indicator as there is.</li>  <li>But investors would still do well to focus on the long term.</li> </ul> If someone ever asks me what I think the market is going to do next, I usually reply by saying I have no idea. I believe most investors would be wise to adopt this philosophy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>预测股市表现几乎是一项不可能完成的任务。</li><li>席勒市盈率可能是最准确的指标。</li><li>但投资者最好还是着眼于长期。</li></ul>如果有人问我认为市场下一步会做什么，我通常会回答说我不知道。我相信大多数投资者采用这种理念是明智的。</blockquote></p><p> This still doesn't prevent people from trying to forecast where things will go next. As investors, we want to appear like we know what the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s performance will be in the future. Then we can position our portfolios accordingly.</p><p><blockquote>这仍然不妨碍人们试图预测接下来事情的走向。作为投资者，我们希望表现得好像我们知道<b>标普500</b>的表现将在未来。然后我们可以相应地定位我们的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But is there a data point out there that can signal with any level of accuracy what future returns will be? Read on to find out.</p><p><blockquote>但是，有没有一个数据点可以以任何精度表明未来的回报？请继续阅读，找出答案。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2869216c7d0cbc4c220f60d370cc7938\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Not a bad&nbsp;indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不错的指标</b></blockquote></p><p> Every once in a while, I think the Shiller&nbsp;price-to-earnings(P/E) ratio, otherwise known as the cyclically adjusted P/E (CAPE) ratio, can provide a high-level view as to what prospective returns might be over the next decade.This&nbsp;metric is the P/E ratio of the S&amp;P 500 using the average net income of the previous 10 years, adjusted for inflation.</p><p><blockquote>每隔一段时间，我认为席勒市盈率（P/E），也称为周期性调整市盈率（CAPE），可以提供一个关于未来十年预期回报的高层次视图。该指标是标普500的市盈率，使用前10年的平均净收入，经通货膨胀调整。</blockquote></p><p> If that sounds like a mouthful, don't worry. The objective of this data point is to smooth out any fluctuations in earnings. The highest it has ever been previously was in 1929 and 2000, and these times directly preceded bear markets. As you can see below, we are currently at the second highest level in history.</p><p><blockquote>如果这听起来很拗口，不要担心。该数据点的目标是消除收益的任何波动。此前的最高纪录是在1929年和2000年，而这两次都是在熊市之前。正如你在下面看到的，我们目前处于历史第二高的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7fb9cd4886d330700f25d58806f67a\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>S&amp;P 500 SHILLER CAPE RATIO DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的标普500·席勒CAPE比率数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> According to Advisor Perspectives, which provides news and commentary for financial advisors, the CAPE ratio explained an incredible 90% of the variation in returns from 1995 to 2020. In other words, for an asset class that's completely random, this is as accurate an indicator as we're going to get.</p><p><blockquote>根据为财务顾问提供新闻和评论的Advisor Perspectives的数据，CAPE比率解释了1995年至2020年90%的回报变化。换句话说，对于完全随机的资产类别，这是我们将得到的最准确的指标。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 has historically&nbsp;returned an average of 10% per year. But based on today's Shiller P/E ratio of 38, the market could be in for disappointing returns in 2022 and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>标普500历史上平均每年回报率为10%。但根据目前38的席勒市盈率，市场在2022年及以后的回报可能会令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> However, I don't think investors should panic just yet. The Great Recession of 2008 and 2009 and the coronavirus pandemic led to unprecedented amounts of government stimulus to support economic growth. Even with an elevated CAPE ratio over the past 10 years, the stock market just kept climbing higher. Credit the Federal Reserve for perhaps distorting the correlation between the Shiller P/E ratio and future returns.</p><p><blockquote>不过，我认为投资者现在还不应该恐慌。2008年和2009年的大衰退以及冠状病毒大流行导致政府采取了前所未有的刺激措施来支持经济增长。尽管过去10年CAPE比率有所上升，但股市仍在不断攀升。相信美联储可能扭曲了席勒市盈率和未来回报之间的相关性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What should&nbsp;investors do?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应该怎么做？</b></blockquote></p><p> I firmly believe that you should only invest money in the stock market that you don't need for the next five years. This is because in the near term, the market is extremely unpredictable, but over longer time horizons, the probability of a positive return increases dramatically.</p><p><blockquote>我坚信，你应该只把未来五年不需要的钱投入股市。这是因为在短期内，市场是极其不可预测的，但在更长的时间范围内，正回报的概率会急剧增加。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, if you're looking to put capital to work right now when interest rates are near zero, you really don't have any other option than to invest in the stock market. Although the Shiller P/E ratio might signal a poor decade of returns ahead, where else would you park your money?</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，如果你想在利率接近于零的时候立即投入资金，除了投资股市，你真的没有任何其他选择。尽管席勒市盈率可能预示着未来十年的回报不佳，但你还会把钱放在哪里呢？</blockquote></p><p> I believe that owning a well-diversified portfolio (at least 25 stocks) of competitively advantaged businesses that have proven track records and solid growth prospects is the best&nbsp;strategy&nbsp;you can pursue. Names like&nbsp;<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:HD)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Starbucks</b>(NASDAQ:SBUX)immediately come to mind.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，拥有一个多元化的投资组合（至少25只股票），其中包括具有竞争优势的企业，这些企业具有良好的业绩记录和稳健的增长前景，是您可以追求的最佳策略。名字像<b>家得宝</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：HD）和<b>星巴克</b>（纳斯达克：SBUX）立即浮现在脑海中。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;home-improvement giant&nbsp;has grown profits 16% annually over the past 10 years, is able to outshine competitors thanks to its massive scale, and still has huge expansion opportunities thanks to a robust U.S. housing market.</p><p><blockquote>这家家装巨头在过去10年中利润每年增长16%，凭借其庞大的规模能够超越竞争对手，并且由于美国房地产市场强劲，仍然拥有巨大的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> The giant coffeehouse chain possesses a powerful brand, supported by a top-notch loyalty program and premium status that resonates strongly with consumers. Starbucks' management estimates that by 2030, there'll be a&nbsp;whopping 55,000&nbsp;locations worldwide, 63%&nbsp;higher&nbsp;than today's count.</p><p><blockquote>这家大型连锁咖啡馆拥有强大的品牌，由一流的忠诚度计划和与消费者产生强烈共鸣的优质地位提供支持。星巴克管理层估计，到2030年，全球门店数量将达到55,000家，比目前的数量增加63%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Focus on what really matters</b></p><p><blockquote><b>专注于真正重要的事情</b></blockquote></p><p> No matter what the Shiller P/E ratio says, I think Home Depot and Starbucks will continue to do well and be solid additions to anyone's portfolio. This is what investors must focus on. Concentrate intensely on the quality of the companies you own, and you'll surely do well over time.</p><p><blockquote>无论席勒市盈率如何，我认为家得宝和星巴克将继续表现良好，并成为任何人投资组合的坚实补充。这是投资者必须重点关注的。专注于你所拥有的公司的质量，随着时间的推移，你肯定会做得很好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Trying to time the market based on whether you think it's cheap or expensive is not a game you want to play. Adding savings at regular intervals -- known as&nbsp;dollar-cost averaging-- reduces any biases you may have andallows you to improve your cost basis on stocks you buy.</p><p><blockquote>试图根据您认为市场便宜还是昂贵来把握市场时机并不是您想玩的游戏。定期增加储蓄（称为平均成本法）可以减少您可能存在的任何偏见，并允许您改善购买股票的成本基础。</blockquote></p><p> We're living in interesting times. There's still lots of uncertainty in the market today with no shortage of so-called experts telling us what we should do with our money. While the Shiller P/E ratio is a tool you can add to your investing arsenal, ignore the noise and keep your eyes on the long term.</p><p><blockquote>我们生活在一个有趣的时代。今天的市场仍然存在很多不确定性，不乏所谓的专家告诉我们应该如何处理我们的钱。虽然席勒市盈率是您可以添加到投资武器库中的工具，但请忽略噪音并着眼于长期。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Does This Wildly Accurate S&P 500 Ratio Signal Doom for Investors in 2022?<blockquote>这种极其准确的标普500比率是否预示着2022年投资者的厄运？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDoes This Wildly Accurate S&P 500 Ratio Signal Doom for Investors in 2022?<blockquote>这种极其准确的标普500比率是否预示着2022年投资者的厄运？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Predicting stock market performance is a near-impossible task.</li>  <li>The Shiller P/E ratio may be as accurate an indicator as there is.</li>  <li>But investors would still do well to focus on the long term.</li> </ul> If someone ever asks me what I think the market is going to do next, I usually reply by saying I have no idea. I believe most investors would be wise to adopt this philosophy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>预测股市表现几乎是一项不可能完成的任务。</li><li>席勒市盈率可能是最准确的指标。</li><li>但投资者最好还是着眼于长期。</li></ul>如果有人问我认为市场下一步会做什么，我通常会回答说我不知道。我相信大多数投资者采用这种理念是明智的。</blockquote></p><p> This still doesn't prevent people from trying to forecast where things will go next. As investors, we want to appear like we know what the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s performance will be in the future. Then we can position our portfolios accordingly.</p><p><blockquote>这仍然不妨碍人们试图预测接下来事情的走向。作为投资者，我们希望表现得好像我们知道<b>标普500</b>的表现将在未来。然后我们可以相应地定位我们的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But is there a data point out there that can signal with any level of accuracy what future returns will be? Read on to find out.</p><p><blockquote>但是，有没有一个数据点可以以任何精度表明未来的回报？请继续阅读，找出答案。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2869216c7d0cbc4c220f60d370cc7938\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Not a bad&nbsp;indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不错的指标</b></blockquote></p><p> Every once in a while, I think the Shiller&nbsp;price-to-earnings(P/E) ratio, otherwise known as the cyclically adjusted P/E (CAPE) ratio, can provide a high-level view as to what prospective returns might be over the next decade.This&nbsp;metric is the P/E ratio of the S&amp;P 500 using the average net income of the previous 10 years, adjusted for inflation.</p><p><blockquote>每隔一段时间，我认为席勒市盈率（P/E），也称为周期性调整市盈率（CAPE），可以提供一个关于未来十年预期回报的高层次视图。该指标是标普500的市盈率，使用前10年的平均净收入，经通货膨胀调整。</blockquote></p><p> If that sounds like a mouthful, don't worry. The objective of this data point is to smooth out any fluctuations in earnings. The highest it has ever been previously was in 1929 and 2000, and these times directly preceded bear markets. As you can see below, we are currently at the second highest level in history.</p><p><blockquote>如果这听起来很拗口，不要担心。该数据点的目标是消除收益的任何波动。此前的最高纪录是在1929年和2000年，而这两次都是在熊市之前。正如你在下面看到的，我们目前处于历史第二高的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7fb9cd4886d330700f25d58806f67a\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>S&amp;P 500 SHILLER CAPE RATIO DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的标普500·席勒CAPE比率数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> According to Advisor Perspectives, which provides news and commentary for financial advisors, the CAPE ratio explained an incredible 90% of the variation in returns from 1995 to 2020. In other words, for an asset class that's completely random, this is as accurate an indicator as we're going to get.</p><p><blockquote>根据为财务顾问提供新闻和评论的Advisor Perspectives的数据，CAPE比率解释了1995年至2020年90%的回报变化。换句话说，对于完全随机的资产类别，这是我们将得到的最准确的指标。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 has historically&nbsp;returned an average of 10% per year. But based on today's Shiller P/E ratio of 38, the market could be in for disappointing returns in 2022 and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>标普500历史上平均每年回报率为10%。但根据目前38的席勒市盈率，市场在2022年及以后的回报可能会令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> However, I don't think investors should panic just yet. The Great Recession of 2008 and 2009 and the coronavirus pandemic led to unprecedented amounts of government stimulus to support economic growth. Even with an elevated CAPE ratio over the past 10 years, the stock market just kept climbing higher. Credit the Federal Reserve for perhaps distorting the correlation between the Shiller P/E ratio and future returns.</p><p><blockquote>不过，我认为投资者现在还不应该恐慌。2008年和2009年的大衰退以及冠状病毒大流行导致政府采取了前所未有的刺激措施来支持经济增长。尽管过去10年CAPE比率有所上升，但股市仍在不断攀升。相信美联储可能扭曲了席勒市盈率和未来回报之间的相关性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What should&nbsp;investors do?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应该怎么做？</b></blockquote></p><p> I firmly believe that you should only invest money in the stock market that you don't need for the next five years. This is because in the near term, the market is extremely unpredictable, but over longer time horizons, the probability of a positive return increases dramatically.</p><p><blockquote>我坚信，你应该只把未来五年不需要的钱投入股市。这是因为在短期内，市场是极其不可预测的，但在更长的时间范围内，正回报的概率会急剧增加。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, if you're looking to put capital to work right now when interest rates are near zero, you really don't have any other option than to invest in the stock market. Although the Shiller P/E ratio might signal a poor decade of returns ahead, where else would you park your money?</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，如果你想在利率接近于零的时候立即投入资金，除了投资股市，你真的没有任何其他选择。尽管席勒市盈率可能预示着未来十年的回报不佳，但你还会把钱放在哪里呢？</blockquote></p><p> I believe that owning a well-diversified portfolio (at least 25 stocks) of competitively advantaged businesses that have proven track records and solid growth prospects is the best&nbsp;strategy&nbsp;you can pursue. Names like&nbsp;<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:HD)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Starbucks</b>(NASDAQ:SBUX)immediately come to mind.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，拥有一个多元化的投资组合（至少25只股票），其中包括具有竞争优势的企业，这些企业具有良好的业绩记录和稳健的增长前景，是您可以追求的最佳策略。名字像<b>家得宝</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：HD）和<b>星巴克</b>（纳斯达克：SBUX）立即浮现在脑海中。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;home-improvement giant&nbsp;has grown profits 16% annually over the past 10 years, is able to outshine competitors thanks to its massive scale, and still has huge expansion opportunities thanks to a robust U.S. housing market.</p><p><blockquote>这家家装巨头在过去10年中利润每年增长16%，凭借其庞大的规模能够超越竞争对手，并且由于美国房地产市场强劲，仍然拥有巨大的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> The giant coffeehouse chain possesses a powerful brand, supported by a top-notch loyalty program and premium status that resonates strongly with consumers. Starbucks' management estimates that by 2030, there'll be a&nbsp;whopping 55,000&nbsp;locations worldwide, 63%&nbsp;higher&nbsp;than today's count.</p><p><blockquote>这家大型连锁咖啡馆拥有强大的品牌，由一流的忠诚度计划和与消费者产生强烈共鸣的优质地位提供支持。星巴克管理层估计，到2030年，全球门店数量将达到55,000家，比目前的数量增加63%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Focus on what really matters</b></p><p><blockquote><b>专注于真正重要的事情</b></blockquote></p><p> No matter what the Shiller P/E ratio says, I think Home Depot and Starbucks will continue to do well and be solid additions to anyone's portfolio. This is what investors must focus on. Concentrate intensely on the quality of the companies you own, and you'll surely do well over time.</p><p><blockquote>无论席勒市盈率如何，我认为家得宝和星巴克将继续表现良好，并成为任何人投资组合的坚实补充。这是投资者必须重点关注的。专注于你所拥有的公司的质量，随着时间的推移，你肯定会做得很好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Trying to time the market based on whether you think it's cheap or expensive is not a game you want to play. Adding savings at regular intervals -- known as&nbsp;dollar-cost averaging-- reduces any biases you may have andallows you to improve your cost basis on stocks you buy.</p><p><blockquote>试图根据您认为市场便宜还是昂贵来把握市场时机并不是您想玩的游戏。定期增加储蓄（称为平均成本法）可以减少您可能存在的任何偏见，并允许您改善购买股票的成本基础。</blockquote></p><p> We're living in interesting times. There's still lots of uncertainty in the market today with no shortage of so-called experts telling us what we should do with our money. While the Shiller P/E ratio is a tool you can add to your investing arsenal, ignore the noise and keep your eyes on the long term.</p><p><blockquote>我们生活在一个有趣的时代。今天的市场仍然存在很多不确定性，不乏所谓的专家告诉我们应该如何处理我们的钱。虽然席勒市盈率是您可以添加到投资武器库中的工具，但请忽略噪音并着眼于长期。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/22/wildly-accurate-sp-500-ratio-signal-doom-2022/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HD":"家得宝",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SBUX":"星巴克",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/22/wildly-accurate-sp-500-ratio-signal-doom-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164868978","content_text":"Key Points\n\nPredicting stock market performance is a near-impossible task.\nThe Shiller P/E ratio may be as accurate an indicator as there is.\nBut investors would still do well to focus on the long term.\n\nIf someone ever asks me what I think the market is going to do next, I usually reply by saying I have no idea. I believe most investors would be wise to adopt this philosophy.\nThis still doesn't prevent people from trying to forecast where things will go next. As investors, we want to appear like we know what the S&P 500's performance will be in the future. Then we can position our portfolios accordingly.\nBut is there a data point out there that can signal with any level of accuracy what future returns will be? Read on to find out.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nNot a bad indicator\nEvery once in a while, I think the Shiller price-to-earnings(P/E) ratio, otherwise known as the cyclically adjusted P/E (CAPE) ratio, can provide a high-level view as to what prospective returns might be over the next decade.This metric is the P/E ratio of the S&P 500 using the average net income of the previous 10 years, adjusted for inflation.\nIf that sounds like a mouthful, don't worry. The objective of this data point is to smooth out any fluctuations in earnings. The highest it has ever been previously was in 1929 and 2000, and these times directly preceded bear markets. As you can see below, we are currently at the second highest level in history.\nS&P 500 SHILLER CAPE RATIO DATA BY YCHARTS.\nAccording to Advisor Perspectives, which provides news and commentary for financial advisors, the CAPE ratio explained an incredible 90% of the variation in returns from 1995 to 2020. In other words, for an asset class that's completely random, this is as accurate an indicator as we're going to get.\nThe S&P 500 has historically returned an average of 10% per year. But based on today's Shiller P/E ratio of 38, the market could be in for disappointing returns in 2022 and beyond.\nHowever, I don't think investors should panic just yet. The Great Recession of 2008 and 2009 and the coronavirus pandemic led to unprecedented amounts of government stimulus to support economic growth. Even with an elevated CAPE ratio over the past 10 years, the stock market just kept climbing higher. Credit the Federal Reserve for perhaps distorting the correlation between the Shiller P/E ratio and future returns.\nWhat should investors do?\nI firmly believe that you should only invest money in the stock market that you don't need for the next five years. This is because in the near term, the market is extremely unpredictable, but over longer time horizons, the probability of a positive return increases dramatically.\nWith that in mind, if you're looking to put capital to work right now when interest rates are near zero, you really don't have any other option than to invest in the stock market. Although the Shiller P/E ratio might signal a poor decade of returns ahead, where else would you park your money?\nI believe that owning a well-diversified portfolio (at least 25 stocks) of competitively advantaged businesses that have proven track records and solid growth prospects is the best strategy you can pursue. Names like Home Depot (NYSE:HD) and Starbucks(NASDAQ:SBUX)immediately come to mind.\nThe home-improvement giant has grown profits 16% annually over the past 10 years, is able to outshine competitors thanks to its massive scale, and still has huge expansion opportunities thanks to a robust U.S. housing market.\nThe giant coffeehouse chain possesses a powerful brand, supported by a top-notch loyalty program and premium status that resonates strongly with consumers. Starbucks' management estimates that by 2030, there'll be a whopping 55,000 locations worldwide, 63% higher than today's count.\nFocus on what really matters\nNo matter what the Shiller P/E ratio says, I think Home Depot and Starbucks will continue to do well and be solid additions to anyone's portfolio. This is what investors must focus on. Concentrate intensely on the quality of the companies you own, and you'll surely do well over time.\nTrying to time the market based on whether you think it's cheap or expensive is not a game you want to play. Adding savings at regular intervals -- known as dollar-cost averaging-- reduces any biases you may have andallows you to improve your cost basis on stocks you buy.\nWe're living in interesting times. There's still lots of uncertainty in the market today with no shortage of so-called experts telling us what we should do with our money. While the Shiller P/E ratio is a tool you can add to your investing arsenal, ignore the noise and keep your eyes on the long term.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"HD":0.9,"SBUX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691471756,"gmtCreate":1640234255388,"gmtModify":1640234255690,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691471756","repostId":"2193113147","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2813,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691189925,"gmtCreate":1640148885010,"gmtModify":1640148885237,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691189925","repostId":"1157657338","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157657338","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640144039,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157657338?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-22 11:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Buy in a Heartbeat If There's a Stock Market Crash in 2022<blockquote>如果2022年股市崩盘，值得立即买入的3只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157657338","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Each has an excellent future, and a stock market crash could give investors a chance to buy them at lower prices.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Airbnb is arguably a better business now than before the pandemic.</li>  <li>Apple's iPhone is capturing new customers for its ecosystem.</li>  <li>Amazon's more profitable segments are growing faster.</li> </ul> Stock market crashes are nearly impossible to predict with any precision. However, investors can prepare for a crash by setting aside extra cash in their portfolios in anticipation. That way, if there is a market crash, investors have cash on hand and are ready to deploy it in buying excellent stocks at lower prices.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>爱彼迎现在的业务可以说比大流行之前更好。</li><li>苹果的iPhone正在为其生态系统吸引新客户。</li><li>亚马逊利润更高的细分市场增长更快。</li></ul>股市崩盘几乎不可能精确预测。然而，投资者可以通过在投资组合中留出额外现金来应对崩盘。这样，如果市场崩盘，投资者手头就有现金，并准备好以较低的价格购买优质股票。</blockquote></p><p> In that regard, if there is a stock market crash in 2022,<b>Airbnb</b>(NASDAQ:ABNB),<b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL), and&nbsp;<b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:AMZN)&nbsp;are three stocks you can buy in a heartbeat. Let's look closer at the case for why each stock deserves a spot in your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>就此而言，如果2022年出现股灾，<b>爱彼迎</b>（纳斯达克：ABNB），<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL），以及<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）是您可以立即购买的三只股票。让我们仔细看看为什么每只股票都值得在您的投资组合中占有一席之地。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3131619f7941ecc473ad8787d0fa380d\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Airbnb</b></p><p><blockquote><b>爱彼迎</b></blockquote></p><p> The worldwide facilitator of travel, Airbnb is steadily recovering from the devastation caused by the&nbsp;coronavirus pandemic. After two years of growth, Airbnb's revenue decreased 30% to $3.4 billion in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球旅行的推动者，爱彼迎正在从冠状病毒疫情造成的破坏中稳步恢复。经过两年的增长，爱彼迎的收入在2020年下降了30%，至34亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Thankfully, several effective vaccines have been developed against COVID-19, and that's made folks more willing to travel again in 2021. So sales are bouncing back at Airbnb. In its most recent fiscal quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue was up 36% over the comparable pre-pandemic quarter in 2019. Even more impressively, net income increased to $834 million in the third quarter, up from $267 million in Q3 of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>值得庆幸的是，已经开发出了几种针对新冠肺炎的有效疫苗，这使得人们更愿意在2021年再次旅行。因此，爱彼迎的销售额正在反弹。在截至9月30日的最近一个财季中，收入比2019年大流行前的可比季度增长了36%。更令人印象深刻的是，第三季度净利润从2019年第三季度的2.67亿美元增至8.34亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company is gaining traction&nbsp;in the lucrative travel and resort industry that could be worth over $1 trillion in sales annually. Folks can often find places to stay on Airbnb's platform that are better fitted to their needs compared to hotels, which are less customizable.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在利润丰厚的旅游和度假村行业越来越受欢迎，年销售额可能超过1万亿美元。与定制性较差的酒店相比，人们通常可以在爱彼迎的平台上找到更适合他们需求的住宿地点。</blockquote></p><p> Airbnb's stock is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 59 -- its lowest all year -- and a stock market crash could cause it to sell at an even lower price.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎的股价与自由现金流比率为59，为全年最低水平，股市崩盘可能会导致其以更低的价格出售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> Unlike Airbnb, Apple's business has been thriving since the pandemic's onset. The company's products are more valuable to people working, learning, and entertaining themselves at home.</p><p><blockquote>与Airbnb不同的是，自疫情爆发以来，苹果的业务一直蓬勃发展。该公司的产品对在家工作、学习和娱乐的人更有价值。</blockquote></p><p> But that's not the only factor driving sales higher for Apple. The tech giant has done a masterful job updating legacy products like the iPhone in a fashion that keeps consumers interested. The most recent iPhone update has increased sales of the product to $192 billion in its latest fiscal year ended Sept. 25, up from $138 billion a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>但这并不是推动苹果销量上升的唯一因素。这家科技巨头在更新iPhone等传统产品方面做得非常出色，让消费者保持兴趣。最新的iPhone更新使该产品在截至9月25日的最新财年的销售额从一年前的1380亿美元增至1920亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has proven this capability for years. In the past decade alone, its revenue has grown at a compound annual rate of 12.9%. That's a difficult feat for a company the size of Apple with sales of $366 billion in its fiscal 2021.</p><p><blockquote>苹果多年来已经证明了这种能力。仅在过去十年，其收入就以12.9%的复合年增长率增长。对于像苹果这样规模、2021财年销售额为3660亿美元的公司来说，这是一项艰巨的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, sales of its products are bringing customers into its ecosystem -- and once with Apple, consumers tend to stick around. Indeed, sales from its services segment totaled $54 billion in 2021, and those sales produce a higher profit margin than its products do.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，其产品的销售正在将客户带入其生态系统——一旦有了苹果，消费者往往会留下来。事实上，2021年其服务部门的销售额总计540亿美元，这些销售额产生的利润率高于其产品。</blockquote></p><p> One of the only downsides to Apple's stock is its price. The company is&nbsp;approaching a $3 trillion market cap&nbsp;and is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 31 -- near the highs of the past decade. A stock market crash could alleviate some valuation concerns and allow you to buy Apple stock at a lower price.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票唯一的缺点之一是其价格。该公司市值接近3万亿美元，市盈率与自由现金流比率为31，接近过去十年的高点。股市崩盘可能会缓解一些估值担忧，并让您以较低的价格购买苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊</b></blockquote></p><p> Sales at Amazon, the titan of online retailers, have been surging throughout the pandemic. The company stepped up and delivered while hundreds of millions of folks were looking to avoid shopping in person for fear of contracting COVID-19. Indeed, from fiscal 2019 to 2020, Amazon's sales rose by more than $100 billion. The 37.6% increase in year-over-year sales drove operating profits from $14.5 billion to $22.9 billion. Amazon has gained millions of customers during the pandemic, and undoubtedly many of them will stick around long after.</p><p><blockquote>在线零售商巨头亚马逊的销售额在整个疫情期间一直在飙升。当数亿人因担心感染COVID-19而避免亲自购物时，该公司挺身而出并交付了产品。事实上，从2019财年到2020财年，亚马逊的销售额增长了超过1000亿美元。销售额同比增长37.6%，营业利润从145亿美元增至229亿美元。亚马逊在疫情期间赢得了数百万客户，毫无疑问，他们中的许多人会在很长一段时间后留下来。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, Amazon's more profitable segments are growing faster than the company overall. In the most recent quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue from its Amazon Web Services segment (which provides cloud computing to businesses) rose 39% year over year to $16.1 billion while the category that includes advertising revenue jumped 49% to $8.1 billion. In fact, since Q2 2020, the ad revenue category has nearly doubled.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，亚马逊利润更高的部门的增长速度快于公司整体。在截至9月30日的最近一个季度，亚马逊网络服务部门（为企业提供云计算）的收入同比增长39%，达到161亿美元，而包括广告收入在内的类别增长49%，达到81亿美元。事实上，自2020年第二季度以来，广告收入类别几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon is riding multiple tailwinds, including increased shopping online as well as greater&nbsp;advertising online. These trends could propel sales growth for several more years. Amazon's stock is not cheap, trading at a price-to-free-cash flow ratio of 239 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 66, but a stock market crash could give investors a chance to buy it at a lower price.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊正乘着多种顺风车，包括在线购物的增加以及在线广告的增加。这些趋势可能会推动销售增长几年。亚马逊的股票并不便宜，市盈率为239，市盈率为66，但股市崩盘可能会让投资者有机会以更低的价格买入。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Airbnb, Apple, and Amazon are all excellent businesses with solid prospects over several years. If there's a stock market crash in 2022 that sends these&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;lower, investors should jump at the opportunity to buy them.</p><p><blockquote>Airbnb、苹果和Amazon都是优秀的企业，未来几年前景良好。如果2022年股市崩盘导致这些股票走低，投资者应该抓住机会买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Buy in a Heartbeat If There's a Stock Market Crash in 2022<blockquote>如果2022年股市崩盘，值得立即买入的3只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Buy in a Heartbeat If There's a Stock Market Crash in 2022<blockquote>如果2022年股市崩盘，值得立即买入的3只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-22 11:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Airbnb is arguably a better business now than before the pandemic.</li>  <li>Apple's iPhone is capturing new customers for its ecosystem.</li>  <li>Amazon's more profitable segments are growing faster.</li> </ul> Stock market crashes are nearly impossible to predict with any precision. However, investors can prepare for a crash by setting aside extra cash in their portfolios in anticipation. That way, if there is a market crash, investors have cash on hand and are ready to deploy it in buying excellent stocks at lower prices.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>爱彼迎现在的业务可以说比大流行之前更好。</li><li>苹果的iPhone正在为其生态系统吸引新客户。</li><li>亚马逊利润更高的细分市场增长更快。</li></ul>股市崩盘几乎不可能精确预测。然而，投资者可以通过在投资组合中留出额外现金来应对崩盘。这样，如果市场崩盘，投资者手头就有现金，并准备好以较低的价格购买优质股票。</blockquote></p><p> In that regard, if there is a stock market crash in 2022,<b>Airbnb</b>(NASDAQ:ABNB),<b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL), and&nbsp;<b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:AMZN)&nbsp;are three stocks you can buy in a heartbeat. Let's look closer at the case for why each stock deserves a spot in your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>就此而言，如果2022年出现股灾，<b>爱彼迎</b>（纳斯达克：ABNB），<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL），以及<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）是您可以立即购买的三只股票。让我们仔细看看为什么每只股票都值得在您的投资组合中占有一席之地。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3131619f7941ecc473ad8787d0fa380d\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Airbnb</b></p><p><blockquote><b>爱彼迎</b></blockquote></p><p> The worldwide facilitator of travel, Airbnb is steadily recovering from the devastation caused by the&nbsp;coronavirus pandemic. After two years of growth, Airbnb's revenue decreased 30% to $3.4 billion in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球旅行的推动者，爱彼迎正在从冠状病毒疫情造成的破坏中稳步恢复。经过两年的增长，爱彼迎的收入在2020年下降了30%，至34亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Thankfully, several effective vaccines have been developed against COVID-19, and that's made folks more willing to travel again in 2021. So sales are bouncing back at Airbnb. In its most recent fiscal quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue was up 36% over the comparable pre-pandemic quarter in 2019. Even more impressively, net income increased to $834 million in the third quarter, up from $267 million in Q3 of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>值得庆幸的是，已经开发出了几种针对新冠肺炎的有效疫苗，这使得人们更愿意在2021年再次旅行。因此，爱彼迎的销售额正在反弹。在截至9月30日的最近一个财季中，收入比2019年大流行前的可比季度增长了36%。更令人印象深刻的是，第三季度净利润从2019年第三季度的2.67亿美元增至8.34亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company is gaining traction&nbsp;in the lucrative travel and resort industry that could be worth over $1 trillion in sales annually. Folks can often find places to stay on Airbnb's platform that are better fitted to their needs compared to hotels, which are less customizable.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在利润丰厚的旅游和度假村行业越来越受欢迎，年销售额可能超过1万亿美元。与定制性较差的酒店相比，人们通常可以在爱彼迎的平台上找到更适合他们需求的住宿地点。</blockquote></p><p> Airbnb's stock is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 59 -- its lowest all year -- and a stock market crash could cause it to sell at an even lower price.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎的股价与自由现金流比率为59，为全年最低水平，股市崩盘可能会导致其以更低的价格出售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> Unlike Airbnb, Apple's business has been thriving since the pandemic's onset. The company's products are more valuable to people working, learning, and entertaining themselves at home.</p><p><blockquote>与Airbnb不同的是，自疫情爆发以来，苹果的业务一直蓬勃发展。该公司的产品对在家工作、学习和娱乐的人更有价值。</blockquote></p><p> But that's not the only factor driving sales higher for Apple. The tech giant has done a masterful job updating legacy products like the iPhone in a fashion that keeps consumers interested. The most recent iPhone update has increased sales of the product to $192 billion in its latest fiscal year ended Sept. 25, up from $138 billion a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>但这并不是推动苹果销量上升的唯一因素。这家科技巨头在更新iPhone等传统产品方面做得非常出色，让消费者保持兴趣。最新的iPhone更新使该产品在截至9月25日的最新财年的销售额从一年前的1380亿美元增至1920亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has proven this capability for years. In the past decade alone, its revenue has grown at a compound annual rate of 12.9%. That's a difficult feat for a company the size of Apple with sales of $366 billion in its fiscal 2021.</p><p><blockquote>苹果多年来已经证明了这种能力。仅在过去十年，其收入就以12.9%的复合年增长率增长。对于像苹果这样规模、2021财年销售额为3660亿美元的公司来说，这是一项艰巨的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, sales of its products are bringing customers into its ecosystem -- and once with Apple, consumers tend to stick around. Indeed, sales from its services segment totaled $54 billion in 2021, and those sales produce a higher profit margin than its products do.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，其产品的销售正在将客户带入其生态系统——一旦有了苹果，消费者往往会留下来。事实上，2021年其服务部门的销售额总计540亿美元，这些销售额产生的利润率高于其产品。</blockquote></p><p> One of the only downsides to Apple's stock is its price. The company is&nbsp;approaching a $3 trillion market cap&nbsp;and is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 31 -- near the highs of the past decade. A stock market crash could alleviate some valuation concerns and allow you to buy Apple stock at a lower price.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票唯一的缺点之一是其价格。该公司市值接近3万亿美元，市盈率与自由现金流比率为31，接近过去十年的高点。股市崩盘可能会缓解一些估值担忧，并让您以较低的价格购买苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊</b></blockquote></p><p> Sales at Amazon, the titan of online retailers, have been surging throughout the pandemic. The company stepped up and delivered while hundreds of millions of folks were looking to avoid shopping in person for fear of contracting COVID-19. Indeed, from fiscal 2019 to 2020, Amazon's sales rose by more than $100 billion. The 37.6% increase in year-over-year sales drove operating profits from $14.5 billion to $22.9 billion. Amazon has gained millions of customers during the pandemic, and undoubtedly many of them will stick around long after.</p><p><blockquote>在线零售商巨头亚马逊的销售额在整个疫情期间一直在飙升。当数亿人因担心感染COVID-19而避免亲自购物时，该公司挺身而出并交付了产品。事实上，从2019财年到2020财年，亚马逊的销售额增长了超过1000亿美元。销售额同比增长37.6%，营业利润从145亿美元增至229亿美元。亚马逊在疫情期间赢得了数百万客户，毫无疑问，他们中的许多人会在很长一段时间后留下来。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, Amazon's more profitable segments are growing faster than the company overall. In the most recent quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue from its Amazon Web Services segment (which provides cloud computing to businesses) rose 39% year over year to $16.1 billion while the category that includes advertising revenue jumped 49% to $8.1 billion. In fact, since Q2 2020, the ad revenue category has nearly doubled.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，亚马逊利润更高的部门的增长速度快于公司整体。在截至9月30日的最近一个季度，亚马逊网络服务部门（为企业提供云计算）的收入同比增长39%，达到161亿美元，而包括广告收入在内的类别增长49%，达到81亿美元。事实上，自2020年第二季度以来，广告收入类别几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon is riding multiple tailwinds, including increased shopping online as well as greater&nbsp;advertising online. These trends could propel sales growth for several more years. Amazon's stock is not cheap, trading at a price-to-free-cash flow ratio of 239 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 66, but a stock market crash could give investors a chance to buy it at a lower price.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊正乘着多种顺风车，包括在线购物的增加以及在线广告的增加。这些趋势可能会推动销售增长几年。亚马逊的股票并不便宜，市盈率为239，市盈率为66，但股市崩盘可能会让投资者有机会以更低的价格买入。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Airbnb, Apple, and Amazon are all excellent businesses with solid prospects over several years. If there's a stock market crash in 2022 that sends these&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;lower, investors should jump at the opportunity to buy them.</p><p><blockquote>Airbnb、苹果和Amazon都是优秀的企业，未来几年前景良好。如果2022年股市崩盘导致这些股票走低，投资者应该抓住机会买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/21/3-stocks-to-buy-in-stockmarket-crash-in-2022/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABNB":"爱彼迎","AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/21/3-stocks-to-buy-in-stockmarket-crash-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157657338","content_text":"Key Points\n\nAirbnb is arguably a better business now than before the pandemic.\nApple's iPhone is capturing new customers for its ecosystem.\nAmazon's more profitable segments are growing faster.\n\nStock market crashes are nearly impossible to predict with any precision. However, investors can prepare for a crash by setting aside extra cash in their portfolios in anticipation. That way, if there is a market crash, investors have cash on hand and are ready to deploy it in buying excellent stocks at lower prices.\nIn that regard, if there is a stock market crash in 2022,Airbnb(NASDAQ:ABNB),Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), and Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) are three stocks you can buy in a heartbeat. Let's look closer at the case for why each stock deserves a spot in your portfolio.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nAirbnb\nThe worldwide facilitator of travel, Airbnb is steadily recovering from the devastation caused by the coronavirus pandemic. After two years of growth, Airbnb's revenue decreased 30% to $3.4 billion in 2020.\nThankfully, several effective vaccines have been developed against COVID-19, and that's made folks more willing to travel again in 2021. So sales are bouncing back at Airbnb. In its most recent fiscal quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue was up 36% over the comparable pre-pandemic quarter in 2019. Even more impressively, net income increased to $834 million in the third quarter, up from $267 million in Q3 of 2019.\nThe company is gaining traction in the lucrative travel and resort industry that could be worth over $1 trillion in sales annually. Folks can often find places to stay on Airbnb's platform that are better fitted to their needs compared to hotels, which are less customizable.\nAirbnb's stock is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 59 -- its lowest all year -- and a stock market crash could cause it to sell at an even lower price.\nApple\nUnlike Airbnb, Apple's business has been thriving since the pandemic's onset. The company's products are more valuable to people working, learning, and entertaining themselves at home.\nBut that's not the only factor driving sales higher for Apple. The tech giant has done a masterful job updating legacy products like the iPhone in a fashion that keeps consumers interested. The most recent iPhone update has increased sales of the product to $192 billion in its latest fiscal year ended Sept. 25, up from $138 billion a year ago.\nApple has proven this capability for years. In the past decade alone, its revenue has grown at a compound annual rate of 12.9%. That's a difficult feat for a company the size of Apple with sales of $366 billion in its fiscal 2021.\nWhat's more, sales of its products are bringing customers into its ecosystem -- and once with Apple, consumers tend to stick around. Indeed, sales from its services segment totaled $54 billion in 2021, and those sales produce a higher profit margin than its products do.\nOne of the only downsides to Apple's stock is its price. The company is approaching a $3 trillion market cap and is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 31 -- near the highs of the past decade. A stock market crash could alleviate some valuation concerns and allow you to buy Apple stock at a lower price.\nAmazon\nSales at Amazon, the titan of online retailers, have been surging throughout the pandemic. The company stepped up and delivered while hundreds of millions of folks were looking to avoid shopping in person for fear of contracting COVID-19. Indeed, from fiscal 2019 to 2020, Amazon's sales rose by more than $100 billion. The 37.6% increase in year-over-year sales drove operating profits from $14.5 billion to $22.9 billion. Amazon has gained millions of customers during the pandemic, and undoubtedly many of them will stick around long after.\nInterestingly, Amazon's more profitable segments are growing faster than the company overall. In the most recent quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue from its Amazon Web Services segment (which provides cloud computing to businesses) rose 39% year over year to $16.1 billion while the category that includes advertising revenue jumped 49% to $8.1 billion. In fact, since Q2 2020, the ad revenue category has nearly doubled.\nAmazon is riding multiple tailwinds, including increased shopping online as well as greater advertising online. These trends could propel sales growth for several more years. Amazon's stock is not cheap, trading at a price-to-free-cash flow ratio of 239 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 66, but a stock market crash could give investors a chance to buy it at a lower price.\nAirbnb, Apple, and Amazon are all excellent businesses with solid prospects over several years. If there's a stock market crash in 2022 that sends these stocks lower, investors should jump at the opportunity to buy them.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"ABNB":0.9,"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3054,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693480535,"gmtCreate":1640061491330,"gmtModify":1640061491555,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693480535","repostId":"2192358181","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699703194,"gmtCreate":1639886146430,"gmtModify":1639886146692,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699703194","repostId":"1122414343","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122414343","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639884070,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122414343?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-19 11:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Novavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列，辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122414343","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"The healthcare stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5","content":"<p>The healthcare stocks in the S&amp;P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5% gain thanks mainly to M&amp;A prospects. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> technology, along with names battling the resurgence of COVID-19, led the gainers while the overall index fell ~1.9%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的医疗保健股表现优于大盘指数中的所有其他板块，涨幅约为2.5%，主要得益于并购前景。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>科技股以及与COVID-19死灰复燃作斗争的股票领涨，而整体指数下跌约1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Among stocks with more than $2B market capitalization and 100K average daily volume over the past week, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena Pharmaceuticals </a> dominated with a ~83.8% rise after <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer </a> agreed to acquire it in a ~$6.7B deal with 100% premium for the biotech. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">Cerner </a> also joined the M&amp;A-driven rally to gain ~20.7% over the week amid reports of a potential ~$30B bid from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">Oracle </a> for the electronic-medical-records company.</p><p><blockquote>在过去一周市值超过20亿美元、日均成交量超过10万的股票中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena制药公司</a>之后上涨约83.8%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>同意以约6.7 B美元的价格收购该生物技术公司，溢价100%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">塞尔纳</a>也加入了并购推动的涨势，本周上涨约20.7%，有报道称来自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">神谕</a>电子病历公司。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccine developer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax </a> jumped ~30.5% as investors welcomed the WHO clearance for the company’s COVID-19 shot. Further gains for the Maryland-based biotech are likely when an expert panel of the European regulators is set to review the marketing authorization for the vaccine next week.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗开发商、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>由于投资者欢迎世界卫生组织批准该公司的COVID-19疫苗，股价上涨约30.5%。当欧洲监管机构的专家小组将于下周审查该疫苗的营销授权时，这家总部位于马里兰州的生物技术公司可能会进一步受益。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven Pharmaceutical </a> posted a ~25.2% weekly rise after the company announced the approval for NURTEC ODT (rimegepant) in Israel, making it the first regulatory win for the migraine drug outside the U.S. Meanwhile, Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) surged ~23.7% to stand among best gainers for the second week this month. More data emerged this week confirming the Omicron-neutralizing effect of the company’s COVID-19 therapy developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Rounding out the top five gainers, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant Sciences </a> added ~22.6%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven制药</a>在该公司宣布NURTEC ODT(rimegepant)在以色列获得批准后，该公司每周上涨约25.2%，使其成为该偏头痛药物在美国以外的首个监管胜利。与此同时，Vir Biotechnology（纳斯达克股票代码：VIR）飙升约23.7%，成为本月第二周涨幅最大的股票之一。本周出现的更多数据证实了该公司与葛兰素史克（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GSK）合作开发的COVID-19疗法具有奥密克戎中和作用。跻身涨幅前五名的还有，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant科学</a>增加了约22.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Notable gainer: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> (PFE) made headlines throughout the week, raising its sales guidance for the COVID-19 vaccine once again as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant highlighted the need for booster shots. Despite an abrupt end to its six-day rally on Friday, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>-based pharma giant with a ~12.7% rise recorded its best weekly gain since March 2009.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的赢家：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>(PFE)本周成为头条新闻，再次提高了COVID-19疫苗的销售指引，因为迅速传播的奥密克戎变种凸显了加强注射的必要性。尽管周五突然结束了连续六天的涨势，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>总部位于美国的制药巨头股价上涨约12.7%，创下2009年3月以来的最佳单周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Among worst performers of the week, two newly IPO’ed biotechs, Instil Bio (NASDAQ:TIL) and Exscientia (NASDAQ:EXAI), stood out, falling 19.3% and ~13.5%, respectively, despite their favorable ratings on Wall Street. Meanwhile, GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ:GDRX), an operator of a price comparison platform for prescription medicine slumped ~15.6%.</p><p><blockquote>在本周表现最差的公司中，两家新IPO的生物技术公司Instil Bio（纳斯达克股票代码：TIL）和Exscientia（纳斯达克股票代码：EXAI）脱颖而出，尽管它们在华尔街获得了良好的评级，但分别下跌了19.3%和约13.5%。与此同时，处方药比价平台运营商GoodRx Holdings（纳斯达克股票代码：GDRX）股价下跌约15.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Last week’s best performer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">Bright Health Group</a>, crashed ~13.1%, hurt by the sole Sell rating issued by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a> even as the investment bank kicked off its coverage on managed care with largely positive views.</p><p><blockquote>上周表现最好的，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">光明健康集团</a>，暴跌约13.1%，受到唯一卖出评级的伤害<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>尽管这家投资银行以基本积极的观点开始了对管理式医疗的报道。</blockquote></p><p> Allogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ALLO) dropped ~12.3% after the company’s ASH presentations on Phase 1 data for experimental allogeneic <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">CAR</a> T therapies failed to excite investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, which sold ~1.6M shares of the biotech several days later.</p><p><blockquote>Allogene Therapeutics（纳斯达克股票代码：ALLO）在ASH介绍实验性同种异体药物1期数据后股价下跌约12.3%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">车</a>T疗法未能让投资者兴奋，其中包括Cathie Wood的Ark Investment Management，该公司几天后出售了约160万股该生物技术公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Novavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列，辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNovavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列，辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-19 11:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The healthcare stocks in the S&amp;P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5% gain thanks mainly to M&amp;A prospects. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> technology, along with names battling the resurgence of COVID-19, led the gainers while the overall index fell ~1.9%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的医疗保健股表现优于大盘指数中的所有其他板块，涨幅约为2.5%，主要得益于并购前景。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>科技股以及与COVID-19死灰复燃作斗争的股票领涨，而整体指数下跌约1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Among stocks with more than $2B market capitalization and 100K average daily volume over the past week, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena Pharmaceuticals </a> dominated with a ~83.8% rise after <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer </a> agreed to acquire it in a ~$6.7B deal with 100% premium for the biotech. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">Cerner </a> also joined the M&amp;A-driven rally to gain ~20.7% over the week amid reports of a potential ~$30B bid from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">Oracle </a> for the electronic-medical-records company.</p><p><blockquote>在过去一周市值超过20亿美元、日均成交量超过10万的股票中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena制药公司</a>之后上涨约83.8%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>同意以约6.7 B美元的价格收购该生物技术公司，溢价100%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">塞尔纳</a>也加入了并购推动的涨势，本周上涨约20.7%，有报道称来自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">神谕</a>电子病历公司。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccine developer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax </a> jumped ~30.5% as investors welcomed the WHO clearance for the company’s COVID-19 shot. Further gains for the Maryland-based biotech are likely when an expert panel of the European regulators is set to review the marketing authorization for the vaccine next week.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗开发商、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>由于投资者欢迎世界卫生组织批准该公司的COVID-19疫苗，股价上涨约30.5%。当欧洲监管机构的专家小组将于下周审查该疫苗的营销授权时，这家总部位于马里兰州的生物技术公司可能会进一步受益。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven Pharmaceutical </a> posted a ~25.2% weekly rise after the company announced the approval for NURTEC ODT (rimegepant) in Israel, making it the first regulatory win for the migraine drug outside the U.S. Meanwhile, Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) surged ~23.7% to stand among best gainers for the second week this month. More data emerged this week confirming the Omicron-neutralizing effect of the company’s COVID-19 therapy developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Rounding out the top five gainers, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant Sciences </a> added ~22.6%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven制药</a>在该公司宣布NURTEC ODT(rimegepant)在以色列获得批准后，该公司每周上涨约25.2%，使其成为该偏头痛药物在美国以外的首个监管胜利。与此同时，Vir Biotechnology（纳斯达克股票代码：VIR）飙升约23.7%，成为本月第二周涨幅最大的股票之一。本周出现的更多数据证实了该公司与葛兰素史克（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GSK）合作开发的COVID-19疗法具有奥密克戎中和作用。跻身涨幅前五名的还有，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant科学</a>增加了约22.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Notable gainer: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> (PFE) made headlines throughout the week, raising its sales guidance for the COVID-19 vaccine once again as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant highlighted the need for booster shots. Despite an abrupt end to its six-day rally on Friday, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>-based pharma giant with a ~12.7% rise recorded its best weekly gain since March 2009.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的赢家：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>(PFE)本周成为头条新闻，再次提高了COVID-19疫苗的销售指引，因为迅速传播的奥密克戎变种凸显了加强注射的必要性。尽管周五突然结束了连续六天的涨势，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>总部位于美国的制药巨头股价上涨约12.7%，创下2009年3月以来的最佳单周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Among worst performers of the week, two newly IPO’ed biotechs, Instil Bio (NASDAQ:TIL) and Exscientia (NASDAQ:EXAI), stood out, falling 19.3% and ~13.5%, respectively, despite their favorable ratings on Wall Street. Meanwhile, GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ:GDRX), an operator of a price comparison platform for prescription medicine slumped ~15.6%.</p><p><blockquote>在本周表现最差的公司中，两家新IPO的生物技术公司Instil Bio（纳斯达克股票代码：TIL）和Exscientia（纳斯达克股票代码：EXAI）脱颖而出，尽管它们在华尔街获得了良好的评级，但分别下跌了19.3%和约13.5%。与此同时，处方药比价平台运营商GoodRx Holdings（纳斯达克股票代码：GDRX）股价下跌约15.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Last week’s best performer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">Bright Health Group</a>, crashed ~13.1%, hurt by the sole Sell rating issued by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a> even as the investment bank kicked off its coverage on managed care with largely positive views.</p><p><blockquote>上周表现最好的，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">光明健康集团</a>，暴跌约13.1%，受到唯一卖出评级的伤害<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>尽管这家投资银行以基本积极的观点开始了对管理式医疗的报道。</blockquote></p><p> Allogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ALLO) dropped ~12.3% after the company’s ASH presentations on Phase 1 data for experimental allogeneic <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">CAR</a> T therapies failed to excite investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, which sold ~1.6M shares of the biotech several days later.</p><p><blockquote>Allogene Therapeutics（纳斯达克股票代码：ALLO）在ASH介绍实验性同种异体药物1期数据后股价下跌约12.3%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">车</a>T疗法未能让投资者兴奋，其中包括Cathie Wood的Ark Investment Management，该公司几天后出售了约160万股该生物技术公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781487-novavax-vir-among-healthcare-gainers-pfizer-posts-best-rally-in-a-decade\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CERN":"美国塞纳","PFE":"辉瑞","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4568":"美国抗疫概念","ARNA":"阿里那","BK4007":"制药","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","ORCL":"甲骨文","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781487-novavax-vir-among-healthcare-gainers-pfizer-posts-best-rally-in-a-decade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122414343","content_text":"The healthcare stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5% gain thanks mainly to M&A prospects. Healthcare technology, along with names battling the resurgence of COVID-19, led the gainers while the overall index fell ~1.9%.\nAmong stocks with more than $2B market capitalization and 100K average daily volume over the past week, Arena Pharmaceuticals  dominated with a ~83.8% rise after Pfizer  agreed to acquire it in a ~$6.7B deal with 100% premium for the biotech. Cerner  also joined the M&A-driven rally to gain ~20.7% over the week amid reports of a potential ~$30B bid from Oracle  for the electronic-medical-records company.\nVaccine developer, Novavax  jumped ~30.5% as investors welcomed the WHO clearance for the company’s COVID-19 shot. Further gains for the Maryland-based biotech are likely when an expert panel of the European regulators is set to review the marketing authorization for the vaccine next week.\nBiohaven Pharmaceutical  posted a ~25.2% weekly rise after the company announced the approval for NURTEC ODT (rimegepant) in Israel, making it the first regulatory win for the migraine drug outside the U.S. Meanwhile, Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) surged ~23.7% to stand among best gainers for the second week this month. More data emerged this week confirming the Omicron-neutralizing effect of the company’s COVID-19 therapy developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Rounding out the top five gainers, Roivant Sciences  added ~22.6%.\nNotable gainer: Pfizer (PFE) made headlines throughout the week, raising its sales guidance for the COVID-19 vaccine once again as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant highlighted the need for booster shots. Despite an abrupt end to its six-day rally on Friday, the New York-based pharma giant with a ~12.7% rise recorded its best weekly gain since March 2009.\nAmong worst performers of the week, two newly IPO’ed biotechs, Instil Bio (NASDAQ:TIL) and Exscientia (NASDAQ:EXAI), stood out, falling 19.3% and ~13.5%, respectively, despite their favorable ratings on Wall Street. Meanwhile, GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ:GDRX), an operator of a price comparison platform for prescription medicine slumped ~15.6%.\nLast week’s best performer, Bright Health Group, crashed ~13.1%, hurt by the sole Sell rating issued by Goldman Sachs even as the investment bank kicked off its coverage on managed care with largely positive views.\nAllogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ALLO) dropped ~12.3% after the company’s ASH presentations on Phase 1 data for experimental allogeneic CAR T therapies failed to excite investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, which sold ~1.6M shares of the biotech several days later.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"CERN":0.9,"ORCL":0.9,"ARNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699294629,"gmtCreate":1639803555272,"gmtModify":1639803556275,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699294629","repostId":"1116106959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116106959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785552,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116106959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116106959","media":"Reuters","summary":" - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The S","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对飙升的通胀后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会延续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对飙升的通胀后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会延续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116106959","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.\nAll three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.\nNvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.\nAll of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.\nAdding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.\nTraders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.\n\"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"\nHeavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.\nIn Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.\nOn a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.\nWith options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.\nIn Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.\nFedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":841,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699094326,"gmtCreate":1639718544078,"gmtModify":1639718544298,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699094326","repostId":"1144273047","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144273047","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639712173,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144273047?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 11:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Former McDonald’s C.E.O. Repays Company $105 Million<blockquote>麦当劳前CEO偿还公司1.05亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144273047","media":"The New York Times","summary":"The settlement with Steve Easterbrook, who was ousted in 2019 for an inappropriate relationship, is ","content":"<p>The settlement with Steve Easterbrook, who was ousted in 2019 for an inappropriate relationship, is one of the largest ever clawbacks of executive compensation.</p><p><blockquote>与史蒂夫·伊斯特布鲁克(Steve Easterbrook)达成的和解是有史以来最大的高管薪酬追回之一。史蒂夫·伊斯特布鲁克(Steve Easterbrook)于2019年因不正当关系被赶下台。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/850a4bcfa411d4e4884c31fe03bdb585\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"683\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>The agreement with Steve Easterbrook will end a contentious legal battle.Credit...Richard Drew/Associated Press</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>与史蒂夫·伊斯特布鲁克的协议将结束一场有争议的法律战。图片来源...理查德·德鲁/美联社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The former McDonald’s chief executive&nbsp;Steve Easterbrook, who was ousted by the company in 2019 for having an inappropriate relationship with a subordinate, has returned $105 million in cash and stock to the company in one of the largest clawbacks in the history of corporate America.</p><p><blockquote>麦当劳前首席执行官史蒂夫·伊斯特布鲁克(Steve Easterbrook)因与下属存在不正当关系而于2019年被公司罢免，他已向公司返还了1.05亿美元的现金和股票，这是美国企业史上最大的追回之一。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Easterbrook has been engaged in a&nbsp;contentious battle with McDonald’s&nbsp;for the past year, after the company sued him for lying to investigators at the time of his dismissal. As part of the deal announced on Thursday, McDonald’s agreed to drop its lawsuit against Mr. Easterbrook.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，伊斯特布鲁克一直在与麦当劳进行一场有争议的斗争，此前该公司起诉他在解雇他时向调查人员撒谎。作为周四宣布的交易的一部分，麦当劳同意放弃对伊斯特布鲁克的诉讼。</blockquote></p><p> In a message to employees, Enrique Hernandez Jr., the McDonald’s chairman, said that the company wanted to hold Mr. Easterbrook “accountable for his lies and misconduct, including the way in which he exploited his position as C.E.O.,” and that this settlement achieved that goal.</p><p><blockquote>麦当劳董事长小恩里克·埃尔南德斯（Enrique Hernandez Jr.）在给员工的一封信中表示，公司希望让伊斯特布鲁克“为他的谎言和不当行为负责，包括他利用首席执行官职位的方式”，这一和解协议实现了这一目标。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Easterbrook was fired in 2019 after he engaged in a consensual relationship with an employee in violation of company policy, eventually setting off an unusually acrimonious fight between a wealthy executive and one of the country’s most prominent companies.</p><p><blockquote>伊斯特布鲁克先生于2019年被解雇，此前他违反公司政策与一名员工建立了两厢情愿的关系，最终引发了一位富有的高管与美国最著名的公司之一之间异常激烈的斗争。</blockquote></p><p> At the time of his dismissal, the McDonald’s board determined that Mr. Easterbrook had “demonstrated poor judgment,” but decided not to fire him “for cause” — that is, for being dishonest or committing a criminal act. That decision, the board hoped, would avoid a lengthy legal dispute. It also allowed Mr. Easterbrook to walk away with a compensation package worth more than $40 million. .</p><p><blockquote>在解雇伊斯特布鲁克时，麦当劳董事会认定伊斯特布鲁克先生“表现出糟糕的判断力”，但决定不“有理由”解雇他——即不诚实或犯有犯罪行为。董事会希望这一决定能够避免一场漫长的法律纠纷。它还允许伊斯特布鲁克先生带着价值超过4000万美元的薪酬离开。.</blockquote></p><p> But according to the company’s lawsuit against Mr. Easterbrook, his contract contained a provision that would let McDonald’s recoup severance payments if it later determined the employee should have been fired for cause.</p><p><blockquote>但根据该公司对伊斯特布鲁克的诉讼，他的合同中包含一项条款，如果麦当劳后来确定该员工应该因故被解雇，该条款将允许麦当劳收回遣散费。</blockquote></p><p> That clause became relevant in 2020, when a McDonald’s employee said that Mr. Easterbrook had a sexual relationship with another subordinate while he was chief executive. The new accusation spurred another investigation of Mr. Easterbrook’s records, and prompted the company to sue him last year, accusing its former chief of lying, concealing evidence and fraud.</p><p><blockquote>该条款在2020年变得相关，当时一名麦当劳员工表示，伊斯特布鲁克先生在担任首席执行官期间与另一名下属发生了性关系。新的指控引发了对伊斯特布鲁克记录的另一项调查，并促使该公司去年起诉他，指控其前首席执行官撒谎、隐瞒证据和欺诈。</blockquote></p><p> During its investigation into the second accusation, McDonald’s said it found “dozens of nude, partially nude or sexually explicit photographs and videos of various women, including photographs of these company employees, that Easterbrook had sent as attachments to messages from his company email account to his personal email account.”</p><p><blockquote>在对第二项指控的调查中，麦当劳表示，它发现了“数十张不同女性的裸体、部分裸体或露骨的性照片和视频，包括这些公司员工的照片，伊斯特布鲁克将这些照片和视频作为附件从其公司电子邮件帐户发送到他的个人电子邮件帐户。”</blockquote></p><p> The company also revealed that Mr. Easterbrook had awarded hundreds of thousands of dollars’ worth of stock to one of the women with whom he was having a sexual relationship. In its lawsuit, McDonald’s said that its former chief had lied to investigators in the initial inquiry, and that if he had “been candid with McDonald’s investigators and not concealed evidence, McDonald’s would have known that it had legal cause to terminate him in 2019.”</p><p><blockquote>该公司还透露，伊斯特布鲁克先生将价值数十万美元的股票授予了与他发生性关系的一名女性。麦当劳在诉讼中表示，其前首席执行官在最初的调查中向调查人员撒谎，如果他“对麦当劳调查人员坦诚，没有隐瞒证据，麦当劳就会知道有合法理由在2019年解雇他。”</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Easterbrook initially decided to fight the lawsuit, and his lawyers filed a motion to dismiss, calling it “meritless and misleading.”</p><p><blockquote>伊斯特布鲁克先生最初决定打这场官司，他的律师提出了驳回诉讼的动议，称其“毫无根据且具有误导性”。</blockquote></p><p> During his time as chief executive, Mr. Easterbrook sold more than $64 million in stock; when he departed in 2019, the value of the stock and options he had been awarded was worth $41 million. But as McDonald’s stock has soared to $264 a share from $193 in 2019, the value of those stock and options has grown to $89 million, according to the executive compensation consulting firm Equilar. It is not clear whether Mr. Easterbrook sold any of his shares after he left the company.</p><p><blockquote>在担任首席执行官期间，伊斯特布鲁克先生出售了超过6400万美元的股票；当他在2019年离职时，他获得的股票和期权价值为4100万美元。但根据高管薪酬咨询公司Equilar的数据，随着麦当劳股价从2019年的193美元飙升至每股264美元，这些股票和期权的价值已增长至8900万美元。目前尚不清楚伊斯特布鲁克离开公司后是否出售了任何股份。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, with his agreement to return the huge sum of cash and stock to the company, Mr. Easterbrook has effectively conceded what was shaping up to be a long and costly legal battle. Mr. Easterbrook apologized in a statement released by the company.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，伊斯特布鲁克先生同意将巨额现金和股票返还给公司，实际上是承认了这场漫长而昂贵的法律战。伊斯特布鲁克先生在公司发布的一份声明中道歉。</blockquote></p><p> “During my tenure as C.E.O., I failed at times to uphold McDonald’s values and fulfill certain of my responsibilities as a leader of the company,” he said. “I apologize to my former co-workers, the board and the company’s franchisees and suppliers for doing so.”</p><p><blockquote>“在我担任首席执行官期间，我有时未能坚持麦当劳的价值观，也未能履行作为公司领导者的某些职责，”他说。“我为此向我的前同事、董事会以及公司的特许经营商和供应商道歉。”</blockquote></p><p> Under Mr. Easterbrook’s successor,Chris Kempczinski, McDonald’s has emerged as a clear winner during the pandemic the past two years. Thanks to a combination of increased drive-through business; a robust push of its mobile app and loyalty programs; and&nbsp;meal collaborations with various celebrities and groups, including the K-pop sensation BTS, revenues at McDonald’s are on track to top $23 billion this year, the highest level in five years.</p><p><blockquote>在伊斯特布鲁克的继任者克里斯·肯普钦斯基(Chris Kempczinski)的领导下，麦当劳在过去两年的疫情期间明显成为赢家。得益于免下车业务的增加；大力推广其移动应用程序和忠诚度计划；以及与包括韩国流行歌手BTS在内的各种名人和团体的餐饮合作，麦当劳今年的收入有望突破230亿美元，为五年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Earlier this year, Mr. Kempczinski defended the board’s handling of Mr. Easterbrook’s firing. “I thought they handled it as best as they could,”he said.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，肯普钦斯基为董事会对伊斯特布鲁克被解雇的处理方式进行了辩护。“我认为他们已经尽力处理了，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Still, despite the company’s financial gains, a new&nbsp;training&nbsp;program for its restaurants and&nbsp;efforts&nbsp;to improve diversity and inclusion, some critics say not enough has been done to fix other problems that run deep in McDonald’s culture. The fast-food giant has faced myriad lawsuits and claims in recent years, some involving allegations of&nbsp;sexual harassment&nbsp;and others around&nbsp;racial&nbsp;discrimination.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，尽管该公司取得了财务收益，为其餐厅制定了新的培训计划，并努力提高多样性和包容性，但一些批评者表示，在解决麦当劳文化中根深蒂固的其他问题方面做得还不够。这家快餐巨头近年来面临无数诉讼和索赔，其中一些涉及性骚扰指控，另一些涉及种族歧视指控。</blockquote></p><p> “McDonald’s should use the money it got back from the former C.E.O. to develop a real plan to stop the rampant sexual harassment occurring from the drive-throughs to the C-suite,” the advocacy group Fight for $15 said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>倡导组织Fight for 15在一份声明中表示：“麦当劳应该利用从前首席执行官那里收回的钱制定一项真正的计划，以阻止从得来速餐厅到高管层的猖獗性骚扰。”</blockquote></p><p> In November, the release oftextmessages between Mr. Kempczinski and Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot — in which he seemed to blame the deaths of two Black and Latino children on their parents — prompted calls for his resignation. An investment group representing union pension funds issued a shareholder proposal asking McDonald’s to conduct a third-party audit of its policies and practices around the civil rights of employees and consumers. Mr. Kempczinski has repeatedly&nbsp;apologized&nbsp;for the comments.</p><p><blockquote>11月，肯普钦斯基与芝加哥市长洛里·莱特富特（Lori Lightfoot）之间的短信被公开——他似乎将两名黑人和拉丁裔儿童的死亡归咎于他们的父母——促使评级辞职。一个代表工会养老基金的投资集团发布了一份股东提案，要求麦当劳对其围绕员工和消费者公民权利的政策和做法进行第三方审计。肯普钦斯基多次为这些言论道歉。</blockquote></p><p> Dieter Waizenegger, the executive director of the SOC Investment Group, said that as a shareholder, he was pleased the compensation had been returned, but still felt the board failed to do its job.</p><p><blockquote>SOC投资集团执行董事迪特·怀辛格(Dieter Waizenegger)表示，作为股东，他很高兴薪酬已退还，但仍认为董事会未能做好自己的工作。</blockquote></p><p> “The board could have saved itself a lot of time and probably a lot in legal fees if they had conducted a thorough initial investigation of Easterbrook’s behavior in the first place,” said Mr. Waizenegger. “This settlement comes after two years of wrangling and airing of dirty laundry in the media.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果董事会一开始就对伊斯特布鲁克的行为进行彻底的初步调查，他们本可以节省大量时间，甚至可能节省大量法律费用，”怀辛格先生说。“这一和解是在两年的争吵和媒体曝光之后达成的。”</blockquote></p><p> McDonald’s also still faces numerous shareholder lawsuits over the firing of the executive.</p><p><blockquote>麦当劳还因解雇这位高管而面临众多股东诉讼。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the company said that “Mr. Easterbrook would return equity awards and cash, with&nbsp;a&nbsp;current&nbsp;value of&nbsp;more than&nbsp;$105 million, which&nbsp;he&nbsp;would have forfeited had he been truthful at the time of his termination and, as a result, been terminated for cause.” It did not specify the proportion of cash and stock. McDonald’s shares are up more than 25 percent this year.</p><p><blockquote>周四，该公司表示，“伊斯特布鲁克先生将返还目前价值超过1.05亿美元的股权奖励和现金，如果他在解雇时说实话，他将被没收这些奖励和现金，并因此被解雇。”原因。”它没有具体说明现金和股票的比例。麦当劳股价今年上涨了25%以上。</blockquote></p><p> In his more than four years on the job, Mr. Easterbrook was credited with turning around McDonald’s and reviving its languishing stock price. As chief executive, he reduced costs, introduced&nbsp;touch-screen ordering&nbsp;and established all-day breakfast. Shares in the company roughly doubled.</p><p><blockquote>在四年多的工作中，伊斯特布鲁克先生被认为扭转了麦当劳的局面并重振了其萎靡不振的股价。作为首席执行官，他降低了成本，引入了触摸屏点餐，并建立了全天早餐。该公司的股价大约翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> The clawback of his compensation, while large, is not the biggest in corporate history, although many earlier situations involved allegations of financial or accounting fraud. In 2007, the Securities and Exchange Commissionrecoveredmore than $400 million in profits made by William McGuire, the former chief executive of United Health, to settle claims related to a scheme involving the backdating of options. Later, Tyco International sued a former chief executive, Dennis Kozlowski, who had been convicted of looting the company, in an effort&nbsp;to collect&nbsp;$500 million he had received in compensation and benefits.</p><p><blockquote>他的薪酬虽然很大，但并不是公司历史上最大的一次，尽管许多早期的情况都涉及财务或会计欺诈的指控。2007年，美国证券交易委员会追回了联合健康公司前首席执行官威廉·麦奎尔(William McGuire)赚取的超过4亿美元利润，以解决与涉及期权回溯计划相关的索赔。后来，泰科国际起诉了前首席执行官丹尼斯·科兹洛夫斯基（Dennis Kozlowski），他被判抢劫公司，试图收回他获得的5亿美元赔偿和福利。</blockquote></p><p> “While Steve’s misconduct&nbsp;need&nbsp;not be forgiven by any member of this community, he has apologized to his former co-workers, franchisees, suppliers and the board for the profound errors he made,” said Mr. Hernandez, the McDonald’s chairman. “Today’s resolution avoids a protracted court process and moves us beyond a chapter that belongs in our past.”</p><p><blockquote>麦当劳董事长埃尔南德斯表示：“虽然史蒂夫的不当行为不需要得到这个社区任何成员的原谅，但他已经为自己犯下的严重错误向他的前同事、特许经营商、供应商和董事会道歉。”“今天的决议避免了旷日持久的法庭程序，并使我们超越了属于我们过去的一章。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1608616134662","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Former McDonald’s C.E.O. Repays Company $105 Million<blockquote>麦当劳前CEO偿还公司1.05亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFormer McDonald’s C.E.O. Repays Company $105 Million<blockquote>麦当劳前CEO偿还公司1.05亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The New York Times</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-17 11:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The settlement with Steve Easterbrook, who was ousted in 2019 for an inappropriate relationship, is one of the largest ever clawbacks of executive compensation.</p><p><blockquote>与史蒂夫·伊斯特布鲁克(Steve Easterbrook)达成的和解是有史以来最大的高管薪酬追回之一。史蒂夫·伊斯特布鲁克(Steve Easterbrook)于2019年因不正当关系被赶下台。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/850a4bcfa411d4e4884c31fe03bdb585\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"683\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>The agreement with Steve Easterbrook will end a contentious legal battle.Credit...Richard Drew/Associated Press</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>与史蒂夫·伊斯特布鲁克的协议将结束一场有争议的法律战。图片来源...理查德·德鲁/美联社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The former McDonald’s chief executive&nbsp;Steve Easterbrook, who was ousted by the company in 2019 for having an inappropriate relationship with a subordinate, has returned $105 million in cash and stock to the company in one of the largest clawbacks in the history of corporate America.</p><p><blockquote>麦当劳前首席执行官史蒂夫·伊斯特布鲁克(Steve Easterbrook)因与下属存在不正当关系而于2019年被公司罢免，他已向公司返还了1.05亿美元的现金和股票，这是美国企业史上最大的追回之一。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Easterbrook has been engaged in a&nbsp;contentious battle with McDonald’s&nbsp;for the past year, after the company sued him for lying to investigators at the time of his dismissal. As part of the deal announced on Thursday, McDonald’s agreed to drop its lawsuit against Mr. Easterbrook.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，伊斯特布鲁克一直在与麦当劳进行一场有争议的斗争，此前该公司起诉他在解雇他时向调查人员撒谎。作为周四宣布的交易的一部分，麦当劳同意放弃对伊斯特布鲁克的诉讼。</blockquote></p><p> In a message to employees, Enrique Hernandez Jr., the McDonald’s chairman, said that the company wanted to hold Mr. Easterbrook “accountable for his lies and misconduct, including the way in which he exploited his position as C.E.O.,” and that this settlement achieved that goal.</p><p><blockquote>麦当劳董事长小恩里克·埃尔南德斯（Enrique Hernandez Jr.）在给员工的一封信中表示，公司希望让伊斯特布鲁克“为他的谎言和不当行为负责，包括他利用首席执行官职位的方式”，这一和解协议实现了这一目标。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Easterbrook was fired in 2019 after he engaged in a consensual relationship with an employee in violation of company policy, eventually setting off an unusually acrimonious fight between a wealthy executive and one of the country’s most prominent companies.</p><p><blockquote>伊斯特布鲁克先生于2019年被解雇，此前他违反公司政策与一名员工建立了两厢情愿的关系，最终引发了一位富有的高管与美国最著名的公司之一之间异常激烈的斗争。</blockquote></p><p> At the time of his dismissal, the McDonald’s board determined that Mr. Easterbrook had “demonstrated poor judgment,” but decided not to fire him “for cause” — that is, for being dishonest or committing a criminal act. That decision, the board hoped, would avoid a lengthy legal dispute. It also allowed Mr. Easterbrook to walk away with a compensation package worth more than $40 million. .</p><p><blockquote>在解雇伊斯特布鲁克时，麦当劳董事会认定伊斯特布鲁克先生“表现出糟糕的判断力”，但决定不“有理由”解雇他——即不诚实或犯有犯罪行为。董事会希望这一决定能够避免一场漫长的法律纠纷。它还允许伊斯特布鲁克先生带着价值超过4000万美元的薪酬离开。.</blockquote></p><p> But according to the company’s lawsuit against Mr. Easterbrook, his contract contained a provision that would let McDonald’s recoup severance payments if it later determined the employee should have been fired for cause.</p><p><blockquote>但根据该公司对伊斯特布鲁克的诉讼，他的合同中包含一项条款，如果麦当劳后来确定该员工应该因故被解雇，该条款将允许麦当劳收回遣散费。</blockquote></p><p> That clause became relevant in 2020, when a McDonald’s employee said that Mr. Easterbrook had a sexual relationship with another subordinate while he was chief executive. The new accusation spurred another investigation of Mr. Easterbrook’s records, and prompted the company to sue him last year, accusing its former chief of lying, concealing evidence and fraud.</p><p><blockquote>该条款在2020年变得相关，当时一名麦当劳员工表示，伊斯特布鲁克先生在担任首席执行官期间与另一名下属发生了性关系。新的指控引发了对伊斯特布鲁克记录的另一项调查，并促使该公司去年起诉他，指控其前首席执行官撒谎、隐瞒证据和欺诈。</blockquote></p><p> During its investigation into the second accusation, McDonald’s said it found “dozens of nude, partially nude or sexually explicit photographs and videos of various women, including photographs of these company employees, that Easterbrook had sent as attachments to messages from his company email account to his personal email account.”</p><p><blockquote>在对第二项指控的调查中，麦当劳表示，它发现了“数十张不同女性的裸体、部分裸体或露骨的性照片和视频，包括这些公司员工的照片，伊斯特布鲁克将这些照片和视频作为附件从其公司电子邮件帐户发送到他的个人电子邮件帐户。”</blockquote></p><p> The company also revealed that Mr. Easterbrook had awarded hundreds of thousands of dollars’ worth of stock to one of the women with whom he was having a sexual relationship. In its lawsuit, McDonald’s said that its former chief had lied to investigators in the initial inquiry, and that if he had “been candid with McDonald’s investigators and not concealed evidence, McDonald’s would have known that it had legal cause to terminate him in 2019.”</p><p><blockquote>该公司还透露，伊斯特布鲁克先生将价值数十万美元的股票授予了与他发生性关系的一名女性。麦当劳在诉讼中表示，其前首席执行官在最初的调查中向调查人员撒谎，如果他“对麦当劳调查人员坦诚，没有隐瞒证据，麦当劳就会知道有合法理由在2019年解雇他。”</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Easterbrook initially decided to fight the lawsuit, and his lawyers filed a motion to dismiss, calling it “meritless and misleading.”</p><p><blockquote>伊斯特布鲁克先生最初决定打这场官司，他的律师提出了驳回诉讼的动议，称其“毫无根据且具有误导性”。</blockquote></p><p> During his time as chief executive, Mr. Easterbrook sold more than $64 million in stock; when he departed in 2019, the value of the stock and options he had been awarded was worth $41 million. But as McDonald’s stock has soared to $264 a share from $193 in 2019, the value of those stock and options has grown to $89 million, according to the executive compensation consulting firm Equilar. It is not clear whether Mr. Easterbrook sold any of his shares after he left the company.</p><p><blockquote>在担任首席执行官期间，伊斯特布鲁克先生出售了超过6400万美元的股票；当他在2019年离职时，他获得的股票和期权价值为4100万美元。但根据高管薪酬咨询公司Equilar的数据，随着麦当劳股价从2019年的193美元飙升至每股264美元，这些股票和期权的价值已增长至8900万美元。目前尚不清楚伊斯特布鲁克离开公司后是否出售了任何股份。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, with his agreement to return the huge sum of cash and stock to the company, Mr. Easterbrook has effectively conceded what was shaping up to be a long and costly legal battle. Mr. Easterbrook apologized in a statement released by the company.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，伊斯特布鲁克先生同意将巨额现金和股票返还给公司，实际上是承认了这场漫长而昂贵的法律战。伊斯特布鲁克先生在公司发布的一份声明中道歉。</blockquote></p><p> “During my tenure as C.E.O., I failed at times to uphold McDonald’s values and fulfill certain of my responsibilities as a leader of the company,” he said. “I apologize to my former co-workers, the board and the company’s franchisees and suppliers for doing so.”</p><p><blockquote>“在我担任首席执行官期间，我有时未能坚持麦当劳的价值观，也未能履行作为公司领导者的某些职责，”他说。“我为此向我的前同事、董事会以及公司的特许经营商和供应商道歉。”</blockquote></p><p> Under Mr. Easterbrook’s successor,Chris Kempczinski, McDonald’s has emerged as a clear winner during the pandemic the past two years. Thanks to a combination of increased drive-through business; a robust push of its mobile app and loyalty programs; and&nbsp;meal collaborations with various celebrities and groups, including the K-pop sensation BTS, revenues at McDonald’s are on track to top $23 billion this year, the highest level in five years.</p><p><blockquote>在伊斯特布鲁克的继任者克里斯·肯普钦斯基(Chris Kempczinski)的领导下，麦当劳在过去两年的疫情期间明显成为赢家。得益于免下车业务的增加；大力推广其移动应用程序和忠诚度计划；以及与包括韩国流行歌手BTS在内的各种名人和团体的餐饮合作，麦当劳今年的收入有望突破230亿美元，为五年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Earlier this year, Mr. Kempczinski defended the board’s handling of Mr. Easterbrook’s firing. “I thought they handled it as best as they could,”he said.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，肯普钦斯基为董事会对伊斯特布鲁克被解雇的处理方式进行了辩护。“我认为他们已经尽力处理了，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Still, despite the company’s financial gains, a new&nbsp;training&nbsp;program for its restaurants and&nbsp;efforts&nbsp;to improve diversity and inclusion, some critics say not enough has been done to fix other problems that run deep in McDonald’s culture. The fast-food giant has faced myriad lawsuits and claims in recent years, some involving allegations of&nbsp;sexual harassment&nbsp;and others around&nbsp;racial&nbsp;discrimination.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，尽管该公司取得了财务收益，为其餐厅制定了新的培训计划，并努力提高多样性和包容性，但一些批评者表示，在解决麦当劳文化中根深蒂固的其他问题方面做得还不够。这家快餐巨头近年来面临无数诉讼和索赔，其中一些涉及性骚扰指控，另一些涉及种族歧视指控。</blockquote></p><p> “McDonald’s should use the money it got back from the former C.E.O. to develop a real plan to stop the rampant sexual harassment occurring from the drive-throughs to the C-suite,” the advocacy group Fight for $15 said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>倡导组织Fight for 15在一份声明中表示：“麦当劳应该利用从前首席执行官那里收回的钱制定一项真正的计划，以阻止从得来速餐厅到高管层的猖獗性骚扰。”</blockquote></p><p> In November, the release oftextmessages between Mr. Kempczinski and Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot — in which he seemed to blame the deaths of two Black and Latino children on their parents — prompted calls for his resignation. An investment group representing union pension funds issued a shareholder proposal asking McDonald’s to conduct a third-party audit of its policies and practices around the civil rights of employees and consumers. Mr. Kempczinski has repeatedly&nbsp;apologized&nbsp;for the comments.</p><p><blockquote>11月，肯普钦斯基与芝加哥市长洛里·莱特富特（Lori Lightfoot）之间的短信被公开——他似乎将两名黑人和拉丁裔儿童的死亡归咎于他们的父母——促使评级辞职。一个代表工会养老基金的投资集团发布了一份股东提案，要求麦当劳对其围绕员工和消费者公民权利的政策和做法进行第三方审计。肯普钦斯基多次为这些言论道歉。</blockquote></p><p> Dieter Waizenegger, the executive director of the SOC Investment Group, said that as a shareholder, he was pleased the compensation had been returned, but still felt the board failed to do its job.</p><p><blockquote>SOC投资集团执行董事迪特·怀辛格(Dieter Waizenegger)表示，作为股东，他很高兴薪酬已退还，但仍认为董事会未能做好自己的工作。</blockquote></p><p> “The board could have saved itself a lot of time and probably a lot in legal fees if they had conducted a thorough initial investigation of Easterbrook’s behavior in the first place,” said Mr. Waizenegger. “This settlement comes after two years of wrangling and airing of dirty laundry in the media.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果董事会一开始就对伊斯特布鲁克的行为进行彻底的初步调查，他们本可以节省大量时间，甚至可能节省大量法律费用，”怀辛格先生说。“这一和解是在两年的争吵和媒体曝光之后达成的。”</blockquote></p><p> McDonald’s also still faces numerous shareholder lawsuits over the firing of the executive.</p><p><blockquote>麦当劳还因解雇这位高管而面临众多股东诉讼。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the company said that “Mr. Easterbrook would return equity awards and cash, with&nbsp;a&nbsp;current&nbsp;value of&nbsp;more than&nbsp;$105 million, which&nbsp;he&nbsp;would have forfeited had he been truthful at the time of his termination and, as a result, been terminated for cause.” It did not specify the proportion of cash and stock. McDonald’s shares are up more than 25 percent this year.</p><p><blockquote>周四，该公司表示，“伊斯特布鲁克先生将返还目前价值超过1.05亿美元的股权奖励和现金，如果他在解雇时说实话，他将被没收这些奖励和现金，并因此被解雇。”原因。”它没有具体说明现金和股票的比例。麦当劳股价今年上涨了25%以上。</blockquote></p><p> In his more than four years on the job, Mr. Easterbrook was credited with turning around McDonald’s and reviving its languishing stock price. As chief executive, he reduced costs, introduced&nbsp;touch-screen ordering&nbsp;and established all-day breakfast. Shares in the company roughly doubled.</p><p><blockquote>在四年多的工作中，伊斯特布鲁克先生被认为扭转了麦当劳的局面并重振了其萎靡不振的股价。作为首席执行官，他降低了成本，引入了触摸屏点餐，并建立了全天早餐。该公司的股价大约翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> The clawback of his compensation, while large, is not the biggest in corporate history, although many earlier situations involved allegations of financial or accounting fraud. In 2007, the Securities and Exchange Commissionrecoveredmore than $400 million in profits made by William McGuire, the former chief executive of United Health, to settle claims related to a scheme involving the backdating of options. Later, Tyco International sued a former chief executive, Dennis Kozlowski, who had been convicted of looting the company, in an effort&nbsp;to collect&nbsp;$500 million he had received in compensation and benefits.</p><p><blockquote>他的薪酬虽然很大，但并不是公司历史上最大的一次，尽管许多早期的情况都涉及财务或会计欺诈的指控。2007年，美国证券交易委员会追回了联合健康公司前首席执行官威廉·麦奎尔(William McGuire)赚取的超过4亿美元利润，以解决与涉及期权回溯计划相关的索赔。后来，泰科国际起诉了前首席执行官丹尼斯·科兹洛夫斯基（Dennis Kozlowski），他被判抢劫公司，试图收回他获得的5亿美元赔偿和福利。</blockquote></p><p> “While Steve’s misconduct&nbsp;need&nbsp;not be forgiven by any member of this community, he has apologized to his former co-workers, franchisees, suppliers and the board for the profound errors he made,” said Mr. Hernandez, the McDonald’s chairman. “Today’s resolution avoids a protracted court process and moves us beyond a chapter that belongs in our past.”</p><p><blockquote>麦当劳董事长埃尔南德斯表示：“虽然史蒂夫的不当行为不需要得到这个社区任何成员的原谅，但他已经为自己犯下的严重错误向他的前同事、特许经营商、供应商和董事会道歉。”“今天的决议避免了旷日持久的法庭程序，并使我们超越了属于我们过去的一章。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/16/business/mcdonalds-steve-easterbrook.html?searchResultPosition=1\">The New York Times</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MCD":"麦当劳"},"source_url":"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/16/business/mcdonalds-steve-easterbrook.html?searchResultPosition=1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144273047","content_text":"The settlement with Steve Easterbrook, who was ousted in 2019 for an inappropriate relationship, is one of the largest ever clawbacks of executive compensation.\nThe agreement with Steve Easterbrook will end a contentious legal battle.Credit...Richard Drew/Associated Press\nThe former McDonald’s chief executive Steve Easterbrook, who was ousted by the company in 2019 for having an inappropriate relationship with a subordinate, has returned $105 million in cash and stock to the company in one of the largest clawbacks in the history of corporate America.\nMr. Easterbrook has been engaged in a contentious battle with McDonald’s for the past year, after the company sued him for lying to investigators at the time of his dismissal. As part of the deal announced on Thursday, McDonald’s agreed to drop its lawsuit against Mr. Easterbrook.\nIn a message to employees, Enrique Hernandez Jr., the McDonald’s chairman, said that the company wanted to hold Mr. Easterbrook “accountable for his lies and misconduct, including the way in which he exploited his position as C.E.O.,” and that this settlement achieved that goal.\nMr. Easterbrook was fired in 2019 after he engaged in a consensual relationship with an employee in violation of company policy, eventually setting off an unusually acrimonious fight between a wealthy executive and one of the country’s most prominent companies.\nAt the time of his dismissal, the McDonald’s board determined that Mr. Easterbrook had “demonstrated poor judgment,” but decided not to fire him “for cause” — that is, for being dishonest or committing a criminal act. That decision, the board hoped, would avoid a lengthy legal dispute. It also allowed Mr. Easterbrook to walk away with a compensation package worth more than $40 million. .\nBut according to the company’s lawsuit against Mr. Easterbrook, his contract contained a provision that would let McDonald’s recoup severance payments if it later determined the employee should have been fired for cause.\nThat clause became relevant in 2020, when a McDonald’s employee said that Mr. Easterbrook had a sexual relationship with another subordinate while he was chief executive. The new accusation spurred another investigation of Mr. Easterbrook’s records, and prompted the company to sue him last year, accusing its former chief of lying, concealing evidence and fraud.\nDuring its investigation into the second accusation, McDonald’s said it found “dozens of nude, partially nude or sexually explicit photographs and videos of various women, including photographs of these company employees, that Easterbrook had sent as attachments to messages from his company email account to his personal email account.”\nThe company also revealed that Mr. Easterbrook had awarded hundreds of thousands of dollars’ worth of stock to one of the women with whom he was having a sexual relationship. In its lawsuit, McDonald’s said that its former chief had lied to investigators in the initial inquiry, and that if he had “been candid with McDonald’s investigators and not concealed evidence, McDonald’s would have known that it had legal cause to terminate him in 2019.”\nMr. Easterbrook initially decided to fight the lawsuit, and his lawyers filed a motion to dismiss, calling it “meritless and misleading.”\nDuring his time as chief executive, Mr. Easterbrook sold more than $64 million in stock; when he departed in 2019, the value of the stock and options he had been awarded was worth $41 million. But as McDonald’s stock has soared to $264 a share from $193 in 2019, the value of those stock and options has grown to $89 million, according to the executive compensation consulting firm Equilar. It is not clear whether Mr. Easterbrook sold any of his shares after he left the company.\nNonetheless, with his agreement to return the huge sum of cash and stock to the company, Mr. Easterbrook has effectively conceded what was shaping up to be a long and costly legal battle. Mr. Easterbrook apologized in a statement released by the company.\n“During my tenure as C.E.O., I failed at times to uphold McDonald’s values and fulfill certain of my responsibilities as a leader of the company,” he said. “I apologize to my former co-workers, the board and the company’s franchisees and suppliers for doing so.”\nUnder Mr. Easterbrook’s successor,Chris Kempczinski, McDonald’s has emerged as a clear winner during the pandemic the past two years. Thanks to a combination of increased drive-through business; a robust push of its mobile app and loyalty programs; and meal collaborations with various celebrities and groups, including the K-pop sensation BTS, revenues at McDonald’s are on track to top $23 billion this year, the highest level in five years.\nEarlier this year, Mr. Kempczinski defended the board’s handling of Mr. Easterbrook’s firing. “I thought they handled it as best as they could,”he said.\nStill, despite the company’s financial gains, a new training program for its restaurants and efforts to improve diversity and inclusion, some critics say not enough has been done to fix other problems that run deep in McDonald’s culture. The fast-food giant has faced myriad lawsuits and claims in recent years, some involving allegations of sexual harassment and others around racial discrimination.\n“McDonald’s should use the money it got back from the former C.E.O. to develop a real plan to stop the rampant sexual harassment occurring from the drive-throughs to the C-suite,” the advocacy group Fight for $15 said in a statement.\nIn November, the release oftextmessages between Mr. Kempczinski and Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot — in which he seemed to blame the deaths of two Black and Latino children on their parents — prompted calls for his resignation. An investment group representing union pension funds issued a shareholder proposal asking McDonald’s to conduct a third-party audit of its policies and practices around the civil rights of employees and consumers. Mr. Kempczinski has repeatedly apologized for the comments.\nDieter Waizenegger, the executive director of the SOC Investment Group, said that as a shareholder, he was pleased the compensation had been returned, but still felt the board failed to do its job.\n“The board could have saved itself a lot of time and probably a lot in legal fees if they had conducted a thorough initial investigation of Easterbrook’s behavior in the first place,” said Mr. Waizenegger. “This settlement comes after two years of wrangling and airing of dirty laundry in the media.”\nMcDonald’s also still faces numerous shareholder lawsuits over the firing of the executive.\nOn Thursday, the company said that “Mr. Easterbrook would return equity awards and cash, with a current value of more than $105 million, which he would have forfeited had he been truthful at the time of his termination and, as a result, been terminated for cause.” It did not specify the proportion of cash and stock. McDonald’s shares are up more than 25 percent this year.\nIn his more than four years on the job, Mr. Easterbrook was credited with turning around McDonald’s and reviving its languishing stock price. As chief executive, he reduced costs, introduced touch-screen ordering and established all-day breakfast. Shares in the company roughly doubled.\nThe clawback of his compensation, while large, is not the biggest in corporate history, although many earlier situations involved allegations of financial or accounting fraud. In 2007, the Securities and Exchange Commissionrecoveredmore than $400 million in profits made by William McGuire, the former chief executive of United Health, to settle claims related to a scheme involving the backdating of options. Later, Tyco International sued a former chief executive, Dennis Kozlowski, who had been convicted of looting the company, in an effort to collect $500 million he had received in compensation and benefits.\n“While Steve’s misconduct need not be forgiven by any member of this community, he has apologized to his former co-workers, franchisees, suppliers and the board for the profound errors he made,” said Mr. Hernandez, the McDonald’s chairman. “Today’s resolution avoids a protracted court process and moves us beyond a chapter that belongs in our past.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MCD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690157379,"gmtCreate":1639649112254,"gmtModify":1639649112463,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690157379","repostId":"1174747764","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174747764","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639648142,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174747764?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 17:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Bags Top-Rated EV Badge From Edmunds, Rivian Gets Editor's Choice Crown<blockquote>特斯拉获得埃德蒙兹顶级电动汽车徽章，Rivian获得编辑选择桂冠</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174747764","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Tesla Inc and Rivian Automotive Inc have secured top awards from automotive research agency Edmunds ","content":"<p><div> Tesla Inc and Rivian Automotive Inc have secured top awards from automotive research agency Edmunds as part of its 2022 rankings. What Happened: Tesla’s affordable, compact sedan Model 3 has been ...</p><p><blockquote><div>特斯拉公司和Rivian汽车公司获得了汽车研究机构埃德蒙兹2022年排名的最高奖项。发生了什么：特斯拉经济实惠的紧凑型轿车Model 3已经……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24637741/tesla-bags-top-rated-ev-badge-from-edmunds-rivian-gets-editors-choice-crown\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24637741/tesla-bags-top-rated-ev-badge-from-edmunds-rivian-gets-editors-choice-crown\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Bags Top-Rated EV Badge From Edmunds, Rivian Gets Editor's Choice Crown<blockquote>特斯拉获得埃德蒙兹顶级电动汽车徽章，Rivian获得编辑选择桂冠</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Bags Top-Rated EV Badge From Edmunds, Rivian Gets Editor's Choice Crown<blockquote>特斯拉获得埃德蒙兹顶级电动汽车徽章，Rivian获得编辑选择桂冠</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-16 17:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Tesla Inc and Rivian Automotive Inc have secured top awards from automotive research agency Edmunds as part of its 2022 rankings. What Happened: Tesla’s affordable, compact sedan Model 3 has been ...</p><p><blockquote><div>特斯拉公司和Rivian汽车公司获得了汽车研究机构埃德蒙兹2022年排名的最高奖项。发生了什么：特斯拉经济实惠的紧凑型轿车Model 3已经……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24637741/tesla-bags-top-rated-ev-badge-from-edmunds-rivian-gets-editors-choice-crown\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24637741/tesla-bags-top-rated-ev-badge-from-edmunds-rivian-gets-editors-choice-crown\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24637741/tesla-bags-top-rated-ev-badge-from-edmunds-rivian-gets-editors-choice-crown\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24637741/tesla-bags-top-rated-ev-badge-from-edmunds-rivian-gets-editors-choice-crown","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174747764","content_text":"Tesla Inc and Rivian Automotive Inc have secured top awards from automotive research agency Edmunds as part of its 2022 rankings.\nWhat Happened: Tesla’s affordable, compact sedan Model 3 has been named the top-rated electric vehicle of the year and the recently launched R1T electric pickup truck from Rivian has been crowned the editor’s choice award.\nModel 3 has now bagged the title for three years in a row, the research agency said.\n“The first all-electric pickup truck to market, it offers an impressive combination of on- and off-road performance, cutting-edge technology and thoughtful utility,” Edmunds said on why R1T bagged editor’s choice award.\nThe recently-listed Rivian is backed by Amazon.com Inc and Ford Motor Co. The pre-revenue electric automaker has delivered just 156 electric vehicles but has secured a higher valuation than legacy rivals Ford and General Motors Co.\nThe development comes on the heels of Tesla CEO Elon Musk securing two back-to-back Person of The Year awards this week.\nAuthor's Take:Tesla has disrupted the automotive sector with electric vehicles despite resistance from traditional players.\nThose results are now showing as the entire industry, under pressure from governments and consumers, is taking big steps to shift to an all-electric future.\nPrice Action:Tesla shares closed 1.82% higher at $975.99 a share on Wednesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RIVN":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607017537,"gmtCreate":1639457351542,"gmtModify":1639457351764,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607017537","repostId":"1120286910","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120286910","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639453388,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120286910?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股身上</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120286910","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.\nI wa","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.</li>  <li>I warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.</li>  <li>That warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.</li>  <li>PayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/847095b0be294275f55f7e8f700d56b4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1229\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BsWei/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal股价较今年高点下跌超过-35%，而且该股仍然不便宜。</li><li>我早在2021年2月就警告投资者，PayPal的估值被严重高估，值得出售。</li><li>这一警告可能是针对数十只被高估的科技股发出的，这些股在未来3年内仍有超过-50%的下跌空间。</li><li>PayPal仍然是一家我想拥有的伟大公司，因此我分析该股票以确定我愿意购买它的价格。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BsWei/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Back on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&amp;P 500 (SPY).</p><p><blockquote>早在2021年2月6日，我就制作了一段视频，与投资者分享了为什么PayPal(PYPL)股票被高估到足以出售。我在我的Seeking Alpha bloghere上分享了该视频。自那时以来，PayPal的绝对表现和相对于标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）的表现都很差。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8252b7218af36cce8b5a591f56abaecd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自从我向投资者发出警告以来，该股股价已下跌约-30%，较今年的高点下跌约-38%。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.</p><p><blockquote>事实是，我本可以对许多其他被高估的科技股发出同样的警告，但如果价格跌至合理水平，我实际上想买入PayPal。这是一个公司绝对没有问题的案例。没有什么不好的故事可讲。这个价格被高估了。二月份围绕PayPal的故事有多好并不重要。从长远来看，数字几乎总是胜过叙事。当时的数字没有意义。</blockquote></p><p> This should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.</p><p><blockquote>这应该是中长线投资者的重要一课。如果数字不起作用，故事是什么并不重要。</blockquote></p><p> The difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investors<i>love</i>narratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于像我这样的股票作家来说，困难的是投资者<i>爱</i>叙事和故事。这不是我们的错。我们人类的大脑天生就是这样。自从我分享了我看跌的2月份PayPal视频以来，Seeking Alpha上报道PayPal的62篇文章中，没有一篇“看跌”文章。主要原因是PayPal的叙述如此吸引人，以至于估值数字要么被忽视，要么围绕这些数字的假设不现实。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将分享我目前基于盈利和盈利增长预测的PayPal估值。我还将分享我认为PayPal股票的公允价值范围，以及我希望在安全边际的情况下购买的价格。这与我在2021年2月用来确定PayPal股票被高估的基本过程相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全周期盈利分析</b></blockquote></p><p> As part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.</p><p><blockquote>作为分析的一部分，我计算了我认为未来总回报的两个主要驱动因素：市场情绪回报和商业回报。然后，我将这些预期回报以10年复合年增长率预期的形式组合在一起，并用它来评估股票。</blockquote></p><p> Before I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.</p><p><blockquote>在我开始这种分析之前，我总是检查企业的长期盈利模式，以确保企业适合这种分析。如果历史收益1）没有足够长的历史2）本质上不稳定，或者3）周期性太强，那么我要么完全避免分析股票，要么使用更合适的不同类型的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70078307e65a5a1d0e37f9e70b726b77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以看到，自2015年以来，PayPal的每股收益每年都在增长。这是一个明显的长期增长模式，它使该股票作为长期投资非常有吸引力。自2015年以来，没有出现过任何盈利负增长的年份，因此该股票可能非常适合我将要进行的盈利分析类型。不过，要问的一个重要问题是，虽然我们在2020年确实经历了短暂的衰退，但这是一次非常不寻常的衰退。在更长、更持久的经济衰退期间，PayPal的业务可能会对经济更加敏感。所以，这是一个风险。然而，当我考察eBay(EBAY)在2008/9年经济衰退中的表现时，其盈利增长基本持平，从未出现过负增长。如果让我猜测的话，我认为PayPal的盈利增长率可能会在“正常”衰退期间下降，但仍然不会特别具有周期性。出于这些原因，尽管我们没有PayPal“正常”衰退的硬历史数据，但我仍将继续进行全周期盈利分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Sentiment Return Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场情绪回归预期</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.</p><p><blockquote>为了估计未来10年我们可能预期的回报，让我们首先研究一下，如果市盈率倍数恢复到上一个经济周期的平均值，我们从现在起10年后可以预期的回报。由于我们最近经历了一次衰退（尽管是一次不寻常的衰退），我将在2015财年开始这个周期，并通过2021年的估计运行它。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d2c3455962a02d96b8c88c32eadce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> PayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of<b>-1.75%</b>. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal从2015年至今的平均市盈率为34.11（快速图上用金色圈出的蓝色条）。使用2021年4.60美元的预期盈利预测（也用金色圈出），PayPal目前的市盈率为40.73。如果40.73市盈率在未来10年恢复到34.11的平均市盈率，而其他条件保持不变，PayPal的股价将会下跌，10年复合年增长率将为<b>-1.75%</b>如果情绪回归需要十年时间，这就是我们可以从情绪均值回归中预期的年回报率。如果恢复所需的时间更短，价格可能会下跌得更快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Earnings Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务盈利预期</b></blockquote></p><p> We previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.</p><p><blockquote>我们之前研究了如果市场情绪恢复到均值会发生什么。这完全由市场情绪决定，并且通常与实际业务的表现脱节，或者只是松散地联系在一起。在本节中，我们将检查企业的实际收益。这里的目标很简单：我们想知道如果我们以今天的价格收购企业并将所有收益留给自己，我们在10年内会赚多少钱（以CAGR%的形式表示）。</blockquote></p><p> There are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>这有两个主要组成部分：第一个是收益收益率，第二个是收益的预期增长率。让我们从收益率（这是一个倒置的市盈率，因此，市盈率）开始。目前的收益率约为+2.46%。我喜欢思考这个问题的方式是，如果我现在以100美元购买公司的整个业务，如果未来10年收益保持不变，我每年的投资将获得2.46美元。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).</p><p><blockquote>下一步是估计公司在这段时间内的盈利增长。我通过计算上一个周期的收益增长率并将该增长率应用于未来10年来做到这一点。这涉及计算自2015年以来的每股收益增长率，考虑每年的每股收益增长或下降，然后退出该时期发生的任何股票回购（因为减持股票会因股票减少而增加每股收益）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31b7d8ed5f59c82c2531cc686324d1a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Due to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.</p><p><blockquote>由于图表的规模，回购看起来比实际要大得多，这里没有太多调整。此外，由于PayPal的盈利每年都在增长，因此无需调整盈利增长下降。这使得估计PayPal的盈利增长变得相对简单，我估计PayPal的盈利增长约为+23.65%。</blockquote></p><p> Now, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.</p><p><blockquote>现在，当我问自己“出于估值目的，未来10年的合理预期是什么？”对于企业来说，在整整十年的时间里，收入每年增长超过20%是非常非常困难的（特别是如果他们在过去十年里已经这样做了）。因此，在用于估值目的时，我将所有长期预期盈利增长预测限制在20%。当股票的市盈率可能会随着时间的推移而收缩时，这只是一种帮助我避免为股票支付过高价格的方法。因此，对于这次估值工作，我将盈利增长假设限制在20%。</blockquote></p><p> Next, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a<b>+5.85%</b>10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我将将该增长率应用于当前收益，展望10年，以获得最终的10年复合年增长率估计。我的想法是，如果我以100美元收购PayPal的整个业务，它将在第一年偿还我2.46美元，外加+20.00%的增长，并且在那之后的10年里，这个数额将以每年+20.00%的速度增长。我想知道我的100美元投资在10年后总共会有多少钱，我计算出大约是176.50美元（包括最初的100美元）。当我将这种增长插入CAGR计算器时，就会转化为<b>+5.85%</b>预期业务盈利回报的10年复合年增长率估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年全周期复合年增长率估计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Potential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of<b>+4.10%</b>at today's price.</p><p><blockquote>潜在的未来回报可以来自两个主要地方：市场情绪回报或业务收益回报。如果我们假设PayPal未来10年的市场情绪恢复到上一个周期的平均值，则复合年增长率将为-1.75%。如果盈利收益率和增长与上一个周期相似，该公司的10年复合年增长率应该在+5.85%左右。如果我们将两者放在一起，我们会得到预期的10年全周期复合年增长率为<b>+4.10%</b>以今天的价格。</blockquote></p><p> My Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.</p><p><blockquote>我对此类股票的买入/卖出/持有范围是：复合年增长率高于12%为买入，预期复合年增长率低于4%为卖出，4%至12%之间为持有。这使得PayPal股票在今天的价格水平上勉强属于“持有”类别。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Additional Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项</b></blockquote></p><p> I consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal是目前市场上质量最高的成长型股票之一，这就是为什么我一直相对密切地关注其估值。在本节中，我将分享我对PayPal的公允价值范围，以及我愿意在基于收益的安全边际下购买该股票的价格，以及我考虑使用更激进和不太保守的估值方法购买的价格。因此，我将从各种不同的角度来看PayPal的估值，让我们更清楚地了解购买该股票的合适价格。</blockquote></p><p> First, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我将使用本文中使用的相同假设和输入从我的购买价格和公允价值范围开始。如果我们使用所有这些相同的输入，我目前对PayPal的公允价值范围约为每股126.50美元至164.00美元。我目前的买入价格（包括安全边际）是112.10美元。低于该价格买入的投资者在中期内很有可能获得丰厚的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Once we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.</p><p><blockquote>一旦我们进入新的一年和2022年，我将开始提前预测PayPal 2022年的盈利。目前，分析师预计2022年每股收益为5.25美元。如果PayPal的其他指标保持不变，这将大大提高其估值，并将其公允价值范围提高至每股145.00美元至187.50美元，安全买入价格为每股128.00美元。当然，这是假设分析师维持对2022年的预期不变，并且在未来几个月内不会降低预期。这也意味着，根据未来的收益，如果PayPal在一两个月内保持接近当前价格的交易，它已经处于“公允价值”价格范围的上限。这可能是当前所有者继续持有的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> The Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.</p><p><blockquote>我在本文中使用的全周期收益分析并不是我使用的唯一分析类型。对于某些利润快速增长的罕见企业，我最近开发了一种新的分析方法，以帮助识别仅根据收益可能永远不会变得足够便宜的快速增长企业。这种分析的方法是我的私人服务机构周期性投资者俱乐部独有的，但由于PayPal的利润增长非常强劲，它实际上也有资格进行这种类型的分析，我想我至少会分享这种分析产生的“购买价格”，因为它比基于收益的分析更激进一些。</blockquote></p><p> When I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.</p><p><blockquote>当我使用利润增长分析来检查PayPal时，它得出的买入价格为144.90美元。我觉得这很有趣，因为如果本季度利润继续增长，价格可能会上涨一点，并使用我的基于收益的方法，使用明年的收益，使其非常接近公允价值的中间值。这是假设PayPal的指标从现在到那时不会恶化，而且PayPal也必须满足一些技术要求，但我认为到2022年2月，我很有可能成为PayPal股票的买家，大约在我警告投资者其高估值一年后。看看结果会很有趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> I think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal 2021年的衰落是一个有趣且有用的案例研究，超越了PayPal本身。我们今年看到的PayPal股价下跌是完全可以预见的，还有许多其他估值丰厚的科技股也将经历类似的下跌，其中大多数可能在2022年。对于跑赢大盘此类股票的投资者来说，现在可能是考虑多元化的时候了，以帮助保持过去几年的收益。虽然会有一些被高估的股票停滞不前几年，毫无进展，也有极少数股票设法继续上涨，但绝大多数股票将经历像PayPal那样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股身上</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股身上</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 11:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.</li>  <li>I warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.</li>  <li>That warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.</li>  <li>PayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/847095b0be294275f55f7e8f700d56b4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1229\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BsWei/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal股价较今年高点下跌超过-35%，而且该股仍然不便宜。</li><li>我早在2021年2月就警告投资者，PayPal的估值被严重高估，值得出售。</li><li>这一警告可能是针对数十只被高估的科技股发出的，这些股在未来3年内仍有超过-50%的下跌空间。</li><li>PayPal仍然是一家我想拥有的伟大公司，因此我分析该股票以确定我愿意购买它的价格。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BsWei/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Back on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&amp;P 500 (SPY).</p><p><blockquote>早在2021年2月6日，我就制作了一段视频，与投资者分享了为什么PayPal(PYPL)股票被高估到足以出售。我在我的Seeking Alpha bloghere上分享了该视频。自那时以来，PayPal的绝对表现和相对于标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）的表现都很差。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8252b7218af36cce8b5a591f56abaecd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自从我向投资者发出警告以来，该股股价已下跌约-30%，较今年的高点下跌约-38%。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.</p><p><blockquote>事实是，我本可以对许多其他被高估的科技股发出同样的警告，但如果价格跌至合理水平，我实际上想买入PayPal。这是一个公司绝对没有问题的案例。没有什么不好的故事可讲。这个价格被高估了。二月份围绕PayPal的故事有多好并不重要。从长远来看，数字几乎总是胜过叙事。当时的数字没有意义。</blockquote></p><p> This should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.</p><p><blockquote>这应该是中长线投资者的重要一课。如果数字不起作用，故事是什么并不重要。</blockquote></p><p> The difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investors<i>love</i>narratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于像我这样的股票作家来说，困难的是投资者<i>爱</i>叙事和故事。这不是我们的错。我们人类的大脑天生就是这样。自从我分享了我看跌的2月份PayPal视频以来，Seeking Alpha上报道PayPal的62篇文章中，没有一篇“看跌”文章。主要原因是PayPal的叙述如此吸引人，以至于估值数字要么被忽视，要么围绕这些数字的假设不现实。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将分享我目前基于盈利和盈利增长预测的PayPal估值。我还将分享我认为PayPal股票的公允价值范围，以及我希望在安全边际的情况下购买的价格。这与我在2021年2月用来确定PayPal股票被高估的基本过程相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全周期盈利分析</b></blockquote></p><p> As part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.</p><p><blockquote>作为分析的一部分，我计算了我认为未来总回报的两个主要驱动因素：市场情绪回报和商业回报。然后，我将这些预期回报以10年复合年增长率预期的形式组合在一起，并用它来评估股票。</blockquote></p><p> Before I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.</p><p><blockquote>在我开始这种分析之前，我总是检查企业的长期盈利模式，以确保企业适合这种分析。如果历史收益1）没有足够长的历史2）本质上不稳定，或者3）周期性太强，那么我要么完全避免分析股票，要么使用更合适的不同类型的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70078307e65a5a1d0e37f9e70b726b77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以看到，自2015年以来，PayPal的每股收益每年都在增长。这是一个明显的长期增长模式，它使该股票作为长期投资非常有吸引力。自2015年以来，没有出现过任何盈利负增长的年份，因此该股票可能非常适合我将要进行的盈利分析类型。不过，要问的一个重要问题是，虽然我们在2020年确实经历了短暂的衰退，但这是一次非常不寻常的衰退。在更长、更持久的经济衰退期间，PayPal的业务可能会对经济更加敏感。所以，这是一个风险。然而，当我考察eBay(EBAY)在2008/9年经济衰退中的表现时，其盈利增长基本持平，从未出现过负增长。如果让我猜测的话，我认为PayPal的盈利增长率可能会在“正常”衰退期间下降，但仍然不会特别具有周期性。出于这些原因，尽管我们没有PayPal“正常”衰退的硬历史数据，但我仍将继续进行全周期盈利分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Sentiment Return Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场情绪回归预期</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.</p><p><blockquote>为了估计未来10年我们可能预期的回报，让我们首先研究一下，如果市盈率倍数恢复到上一个经济周期的平均值，我们从现在起10年后可以预期的回报。由于我们最近经历了一次衰退（尽管是一次不寻常的衰退），我将在2015财年开始这个周期，并通过2021年的估计运行它。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d2c3455962a02d96b8c88c32eadce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> PayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of<b>-1.75%</b>. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal从2015年至今的平均市盈率为34.11（快速图上用金色圈出的蓝色条）。使用2021年4.60美元的预期盈利预测（也用金色圈出），PayPal目前的市盈率为40.73。如果40.73市盈率在未来10年恢复到34.11的平均市盈率，而其他条件保持不变，PayPal的股价将会下跌，10年复合年增长率将为<b>-1.75%</b>如果情绪回归需要十年时间，这就是我们可以从情绪均值回归中预期的年回报率。如果恢复所需的时间更短，价格可能会下跌得更快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Earnings Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务盈利预期</b></blockquote></p><p> We previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.</p><p><blockquote>我们之前研究了如果市场情绪恢复到均值会发生什么。这完全由市场情绪决定，并且通常与实际业务的表现脱节，或者只是松散地联系在一起。在本节中，我们将检查企业的实际收益。这里的目标很简单：我们想知道如果我们以今天的价格收购企业并将所有收益留给自己，我们在10年内会赚多少钱（以CAGR%的形式表示）。</blockquote></p><p> There are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>这有两个主要组成部分：第一个是收益收益率，第二个是收益的预期增长率。让我们从收益率（这是一个倒置的市盈率，因此，市盈率）开始。目前的收益率约为+2.46%。我喜欢思考这个问题的方式是，如果我现在以100美元购买公司的整个业务，如果未来10年收益保持不变，我每年的投资将获得2.46美元。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).</p><p><blockquote>下一步是估计公司在这段时间内的盈利增长。我通过计算上一个周期的收益增长率并将该增长率应用于未来10年来做到这一点。这涉及计算自2015年以来的每股收益增长率，考虑每年的每股收益增长或下降，然后退出该时期发生的任何股票回购（因为减持股票会因股票减少而增加每股收益）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31b7d8ed5f59c82c2531cc686324d1a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Due to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.</p><p><blockquote>由于图表的规模，回购看起来比实际要大得多，这里没有太多调整。此外，由于PayPal的盈利每年都在增长，因此无需调整盈利增长下降。这使得估计PayPal的盈利增长变得相对简单，我估计PayPal的盈利增长约为+23.65%。</blockquote></p><p> Now, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.</p><p><blockquote>现在，当我问自己“出于估值目的，未来10年的合理预期是什么？”对于企业来说，在整整十年的时间里，收入每年增长超过20%是非常非常困难的（特别是如果他们在过去十年里已经这样做了）。因此，在用于估值目的时，我将所有长期预期盈利增长预测限制在20%。当股票的市盈率可能会随着时间的推移而收缩时，这只是一种帮助我避免为股票支付过高价格的方法。因此，对于这次估值工作，我将盈利增长假设限制在20%。</blockquote></p><p> Next, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a<b>+5.85%</b>10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我将将该增长率应用于当前收益，展望10年，以获得最终的10年复合年增长率估计。我的想法是，如果我以100美元收购PayPal的整个业务，它将在第一年偿还我2.46美元，外加+20.00%的增长，并且在那之后的10年里，这个数额将以每年+20.00%的速度增长。我想知道我的100美元投资在10年后总共会有多少钱，我计算出大约是176.50美元（包括最初的100美元）。当我将这种增长插入CAGR计算器时，就会转化为<b>+5.85%</b>预期业务盈利回报的10年复合年增长率估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年全周期复合年增长率估计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Potential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of<b>+4.10%</b>at today's price.</p><p><blockquote>潜在的未来回报可以来自两个主要地方：市场情绪回报或业务收益回报。如果我们假设PayPal未来10年的市场情绪恢复到上一个周期的平均值，则复合年增长率将为-1.75%。如果盈利收益率和增长与上一个周期相似，该公司的10年复合年增长率应该在+5.85%左右。如果我们将两者放在一起，我们会得到预期的10年全周期复合年增长率为<b>+4.10%</b>以今天的价格。</blockquote></p><p> My Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.</p><p><blockquote>我对此类股票的买入/卖出/持有范围是：复合年增长率高于12%为买入，预期复合年增长率低于4%为卖出，4%至12%之间为持有。这使得PayPal股票在今天的价格水平上勉强属于“持有”类别。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Additional Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项</b></blockquote></p><p> I consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal是目前市场上质量最高的成长型股票之一，这就是为什么我一直相对密切地关注其估值。在本节中，我将分享我对PayPal的公允价值范围，以及我愿意在基于收益的安全边际下购买该股票的价格，以及我考虑使用更激进和不太保守的估值方法购买的价格。因此，我将从各种不同的角度来看PayPal的估值，让我们更清楚地了解购买该股票的合适价格。</blockquote></p><p> First, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我将使用本文中使用的相同假设和输入从我的购买价格和公允价值范围开始。如果我们使用所有这些相同的输入，我目前对PayPal的公允价值范围约为每股126.50美元至164.00美元。我目前的买入价格（包括安全边际）是112.10美元。低于该价格买入的投资者在中期内很有可能获得丰厚的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Once we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.</p><p><blockquote>一旦我们进入新的一年和2022年，我将开始提前预测PayPal 2022年的盈利。目前，分析师预计2022年每股收益为5.25美元。如果PayPal的其他指标保持不变，这将大大提高其估值，并将其公允价值范围提高至每股145.00美元至187.50美元，安全买入价格为每股128.00美元。当然，这是假设分析师维持对2022年的预期不变，并且在未来几个月内不会降低预期。这也意味着，根据未来的收益，如果PayPal在一两个月内保持接近当前价格的交易，它已经处于“公允价值”价格范围的上限。这可能是当前所有者继续持有的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> The Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.</p><p><blockquote>我在本文中使用的全周期收益分析并不是我使用的唯一分析类型。对于某些利润快速增长的罕见企业，我最近开发了一种新的分析方法，以帮助识别仅根据收益可能永远不会变得足够便宜的快速增长企业。这种分析的方法是我的私人服务机构周期性投资者俱乐部独有的，但由于PayPal的利润增长非常强劲，它实际上也有资格进行这种类型的分析，我想我至少会分享这种分析产生的“购买价格”，因为它比基于收益的分析更激进一些。</blockquote></p><p> When I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.</p><p><blockquote>当我使用利润增长分析来检查PayPal时，它得出的买入价格为144.90美元。我觉得这很有趣，因为如果本季度利润继续增长，价格可能会上涨一点，并使用我的基于收益的方法，使用明年的收益，使其非常接近公允价值的中间值。这是假设PayPal的指标从现在到那时不会恶化，而且PayPal也必须满足一些技术要求，但我认为到2022年2月，我很有可能成为PayPal股票的买家，大约在我警告投资者其高估值一年后。看看结果会很有趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> I think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal 2021年的衰落是一个有趣且有用的案例研究，超越了PayPal本身。我们今年看到的PayPal股价下跌是完全可以预见的，还有许多其他估值丰厚的科技股也将经历类似的下跌，其中大多数可能在2022年。对于跑赢大盘此类股票的投资者来说，现在可能是考虑多元化的时候了，以帮助保持过去几年的收益。虽然会有一些被高估的股票停滞不前几年，毫无进展，也有极少数股票设法继续上涨，但绝大多数股票将经历像PayPal那样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474960-paypal-share-price-decline-overvalued-technology-stocks\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474960-paypal-share-price-decline-overvalued-technology-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120286910","content_text":"Summary\n\nPayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.\nI warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.\nThat warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.\nPayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.\n\nBsWei/iStock via Getty Images\nIntroduction\nBack on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&P 500 (SPY).\nData by YCharts\nThe stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.\nThe truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.\nThis should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.\nThe difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investorslovenarratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.\nIn this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.\nFull-Cycle Earnings Analysis\nAs part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.\nBefore I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.\n\nWe can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.\nMarket Sentiment Return Expectations\nIn order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.\n\nPayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of-1.75%. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.\nBusiness Earnings Expectations\nWe previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.\nThere are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.\nThe next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).\nData by YCharts\nDue to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.\nNow, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.\nNext, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a+5.85%10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.\n10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate\nPotential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of+4.10%at today's price.\nMy Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.\nAdditional Considerations\nI consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.\nFirst, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.\nOnce we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.\nThe Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.\nWhen I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.\nConclusion\nI think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PYPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604208060,"gmtCreate":1639397144855,"gmtModify":1639397145127,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604208060","repostId":"1171271872","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171271872","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639348466,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171271872?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-13 06:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171271872","media":"Barrons","summary":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.Earnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and","content":"<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s&nbsp;last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要事件将是美联储利率制定委员会2021年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include&nbsp;Campbell Soup&nbsp;on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian&nbsp;Automotive, and&nbsp;Adobe&nbsp;on Thursday; and&nbsp;Darden Restaurants&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但周二将包括金宝汤；Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Rivian汽车和Adobe周四；周五还有达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的11月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计整体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都与10月份的生产者通胀速度大致相当。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment&nbsp;index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他发布的数据包括周二全国独立企业联合会的信心指数、周三人口普查局公布的11月零售支出以及周四公布的11月新屋开工率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/13</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill&nbsp;and&nbsp;PHX Minerals&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill和PHX Minerals在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and&nbsp;Avaya Holdings&nbsp;host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤、巴恩斯集团和Avaya Holdings举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布11月份生产者价格指数。市场普遍预计环比上涨0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心PPI将上涨0.4%。相比之下，10月份的增幅分别为0.6%和0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5,000名小企业主。预期看涨期权为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/15</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束了为期两天的会议，届时政策制定者将讨论加快缩减月度证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>11月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨0.5%，而进口价格预计上涨0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为1.5%和1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了12月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11月份零售支出报告。预计经季节调整后零售额环比增长0.7%，而10月份为增长1.7%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.8%，而上一时期为1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Jabil、Adobe、Rivian汽车和Nordson等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。季调后成屋开工年率料为156.3万套，10月为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开工被计算在内。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议记录。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继10月份增长1.6%后，经济学家预计增长0.6%。产能利用率预计为76.8，与10月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/17</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and&nbsp;Quanex Building Products&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants和Quanex Building Products在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-13 06:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s&nbsp;last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要事件将是美联储利率制定委员会2021年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include&nbsp;Campbell Soup&nbsp;on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian&nbsp;Automotive, and&nbsp;Adobe&nbsp;on Thursday; and&nbsp;Darden Restaurants&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但周二将包括金宝汤；Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Rivian汽车和Adobe周四；周五还有达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的11月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计整体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都与10月份的生产者通胀速度大致相当。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment&nbsp;index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他发布的数据包括周二全国独立企业联合会的信心指数、周三人口普查局公布的11月零售支出以及周四公布的11月新屋开工率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/13</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill&nbsp;and&nbsp;PHX Minerals&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill和PHX Minerals在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and&nbsp;Avaya Holdings&nbsp;host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤、巴恩斯集团和Avaya Holdings举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布11月份生产者价格指数。市场普遍预计环比上涨0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心PPI将上涨0.4%。相比之下，10月份的增幅分别为0.6%和0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5,000名小企业主。预期看涨期权为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/15</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束了为期两天的会议，届时政策制定者将讨论加快缩减月度证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>11月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨0.5%，而进口价格预计上涨0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为1.5%和1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了12月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11月份零售支出报告。预计经季节调整后零售额环比增长0.7%，而10月份为增长1.7%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.8%，而上一时期为1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Jabil、Adobe、Rivian汽车和Nordson等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。季调后成屋开工年率料为156.3万套，10月为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开工被计算在内。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议记录。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继10月份增长1.6%后，经济学家预计增长0.6%。产能利用率预计为76.8，与10月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/17</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and&nbsp;Quanex Building Products&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants和Quanex Building Products在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SCS":"Steelcase Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司","FDX":"联邦快递",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","JILL":"J.Jill Inc.","ADBE":"Adobe","HEI":"海科航空",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","CPB":"金宝汤","DRI":"达登饭店","PHX":"潘汉德尔油气","ACN":"埃森哲"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171271872","content_text":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.\nEarnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and Darden Restaurants on Friday.\nEconomic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.\nOther data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.\nMonday 12/13\nJ.Jill and PHX Minerals host earnings conference calls.\nTuesday 12/14\nCampbell Soup, Barnes Group, and Avaya Holdings host investor days.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Federation of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.\nWednesday 12/15\nThe Federal Open Market Committee concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.\nThe BLS reports export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.\nThe Census Bureau reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.\nThursday 12/16\nHeico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nThe Census Bureaureleases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.\nThe Bank of England announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.\nThe Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.\nFriday 12/17\nSteelcase,Darden Restaurants, and Quanex Building Products host earnings conference calls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JILL":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"PHX":0.9,"ADBE":0.9,"ACN":0.9,"AVYA":0.9,"LEN":0.9,"RIVN":0.9,"HEI":0.9,"FDX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"CPB":0.9,"SCS":0.9,"DRI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605400014,"gmtCreate":1639202023646,"gmtModify":1639202023885,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605400014","repostId":"2190767366","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":939,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605335458,"gmtCreate":1639111435367,"gmtModify":1639111630772,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605335458","repostId":"2190964556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1058,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602289509,"gmtCreate":1639025920953,"gmtModify":1639026173339,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586512925725941","authorIdStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602289509","repostId":"2190169579","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":707,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":698123067,"gmtCreate":1640322218958,"gmtModify":1640322219192,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586512925725941","idStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698123067","repostId":"2193078140","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3678,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850037109,"gmtCreate":1634533322548,"gmtModify":1634533322783,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586512925725941","idStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850037109","repostId":"1185155570","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185155570","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634511079,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185155570?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-18 06:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&amp;T、Netflix、ASML、Snap等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185155570","media":"Barrons","summary":"Seventy-two S&P 500 companies report earnings this week, as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. ","content":"<p>Seventy-two&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies report earnings this week,&nbsp;as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. Several big U.S. banks got things off to a strong start last week. This week’s earnings highlights&nbsp;will include&nbsp;results from notable companies in telecom, consumer staples, energy, technology, health care, and the airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近，本周有72家标准普尔500指数公司公布了财报。美国几家大型银行上周开局良好。本周的财报亮点将包括电信、必需消费品、能源、科技、医疗保健和航空业著名公司的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/685ba1e7f4763c12a3c0159fc2469ded\" tg-width=\"1878\" tg-height=\"2461\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Albertsons and&nbsp;State Street&nbsp;get the ball rolling on Monday.Procter &amp; Gamble,Halliburton,and&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;are Tuesday morning’s highlights, followed by&nbsp;Netflix&nbsp;and&nbsp;United Airlines Holdings&nbsp;after the market closes.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森(Albertsons)和道富银行(State Street)将于周一启动。宝洁(Procter&amp;Gamble)、哈里伯顿(Halliburton)和强生(Johnson&amp;Johnson)是周二上午的亮点，收盘后紧随其后的是Netflix和联合航空控股(United Airlines Holdings)。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,Verizon Communications,IBM,and Tesla will get the most attention.AT&amp;T, American Airlines Group,Southwest Airlines,and&nbsp;Chipotle Mexican Grill&nbsp;report on Thursday, then&nbsp;American Express,Schlumberger,and&nbsp;Honeywell International&nbsp;close the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，Verizon Communications、IBM和特斯拉将受到最多关注。AT&amp;T、美国航空集团、西南航空和Chipotle Mexican Grill将于周四发布报告，然后美国运通、Schlumberger和Honeywell International将于周五收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data highlights this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday and&nbsp;IHS Markit’s&nbsp;Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October on Friday. All are seen easing back from their prior months’ levels.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济数据亮点包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会9月份领先经济指数和周五公布的IHS Markit 10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。所有这些都较前几个月的水平有所回落。</blockquote></p><p> Other releases this week include the Federal Reserve’s most recent Beige Book, describing economic conditions across the U.S., and a pair of September housing-market indicators: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布的其他数据包括美联储最新的褐皮书，描述了美国各地的经济状况，以及两个9月份的房地产市场指标：人口普查局（Census Bureau）周二报告新的住宅建设数据，全国房地产经纪人协会（National Association of Realtors）周四报告现房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 10/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一10/18</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for a 0.20% rise after a 0.4% increase in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.5% for September, roughly in line with August’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布9月份工业生产数据。继8月份增长0.4%后，经济学家预计增长0.20%。预计9月份产能利用率为76.5%，与8月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> Albertsons, Philips, Steel Dynamics, and State Street are among companies releasing quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森、飞利浦、Steel Dynamics和道富银行等公司发布了季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 10/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二10/19</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.623 million housing starts, compared with 1.615 million in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告9月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为162.3万套，8月为161.5万套。</blockquote></p><p> Halliburton, Procter &amp; Gamble, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Synchrony, Travelers, Philip Morris International, Kansas City Southern, WD-40, Interactive Brokers Group, Netflix, ManpowerGroup, Dover, and Canadian National Railway are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>哈里伯顿、宝洁、强生、Synchrony、Travelers、Philip Morris International、Kansas City Southern、WD-40、盈透证券集团、Netflix、万宝盛华、Dover和加拿大国家铁路等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 10/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三10/20</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases its beige book about current economic conditions across the central bank’s 12 districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布了关于央行12个地区当前经济状况的褐皮书。</blockquote></p><p> Abbott Laboratories, Biogen, NextEra Energy, ASML Holding, Nasdaq, Canadian Pacific Railway, Verizon Communications, CSX, Lam Research, Tesla, IBM, and Anthem discuss quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>雅培实验室、Biogen、NextEra Energy、ASML Holding、纳斯达克、加拿大太平洋铁路、Verizon Communications、CSX、Lam Research、特斯拉、IBM和Anthem讨论季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 10/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四10/21</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.10 million homes sold, compared with 5.88 million homes in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告9月份现房销售情况。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为610万套，而8月份为588万套。</blockquote></p><p> Dow, Freeport-McMoRan, Genuine Parts, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Blackstone, Quest Diagnostics, Snap-on, Tractor Supply, Barclays, Danaher, AT&amp;T, Nucor, American Airlines Group, AutoNation, Valero Energy, SL Green Realty, Intel, Snap, Boston Beer, Mattel, and Chipotle Mexican Grill host earnings conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>陶氏化学、自由港麦克莫兰、原厂零件、西南航空、Valero Energy、Blackstone、Quest Diagnostics、Snap-on、Tractor Supply、Barclays、Danaher、AT&amp;T、Nucor、美国航空集团、AutoNation、Valero Energy、SL Green Realty、英特尔、Snap、Boston Beer、Mattel和Chipotle Mexican Grill在评级举办财报会议，讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Philadelphia Fed</b>&nbsp;diffusion index, a measure of overall manufacturing activity, is expected to fall to 24 in October from September’s 30.7 reading.</p><p><blockquote><b>费城联储</b>衡量整体制造业活动的扩散指数预计将从9月份的30.7降至10月份的24。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Expectations are for a 0.50% rise, after August’s 0.90% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布9月份领先经济指数。继8月份上涨0.90%后，预计上涨0.50%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 10/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五10/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b>&nbsp;the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October. Consensus estimate for the Manufacturing PMI is 60.3, while the Services PMI is expected to be 54.7, compared with 60.7 and 54.9, respectively, in September.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit发布</b>10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业PMI普遍预期为60.3，服务业PMI预计为54.7，9月份分别为60.7和54.9。</blockquote></p><p> Whirlpool, Honeywell, Cleveland-Cliffs, Celanese, HCA Healthcare, Schlumberger, Seagate Technology Holdings, VF Corp., and American Express host investor conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Whirlpool、Honeywell、Cleveland-Cliffs、Celanese、HCA Healthcare、Schlumberger、Seagate Technology Holdings、VF Corp.和American Express在评级举办投资者大会。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&amp;T、Netflix、ASML、Snap等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&amp;T、Netflix、ASML、Snap等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-18 06:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Seventy-two&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies report earnings this week,&nbsp;as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. Several big U.S. banks got things off to a strong start last week. This week’s earnings highlights&nbsp;will include&nbsp;results from notable companies in telecom, consumer staples, energy, technology, health care, and the airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近，本周有72家标准普尔500指数公司公布了财报。美国几家大型银行上周开局良好。本周的财报亮点将包括电信、必需消费品、能源、科技、医疗保健和航空业著名公司的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/685ba1e7f4763c12a3c0159fc2469ded\" tg-width=\"1878\" tg-height=\"2461\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Albertsons and&nbsp;State Street&nbsp;get the ball rolling on Monday.Procter &amp; Gamble,Halliburton,and&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;are Tuesday morning’s highlights, followed by&nbsp;Netflix&nbsp;and&nbsp;United Airlines Holdings&nbsp;after the market closes.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森(Albertsons)和道富银行(State Street)将于周一启动。宝洁(Procter&amp;Gamble)、哈里伯顿(Halliburton)和强生(Johnson&amp;Johnson)是周二上午的亮点，收盘后紧随其后的是Netflix和联合航空控股(United Airlines Holdings)。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,Verizon Communications,IBM,and Tesla will get the most attention.AT&amp;T, American Airlines Group,Southwest Airlines,and&nbsp;Chipotle Mexican Grill&nbsp;report on Thursday, then&nbsp;American Express,Schlumberger,and&nbsp;Honeywell International&nbsp;close the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，Verizon Communications、IBM和特斯拉将受到最多关注。AT&amp;T、美国航空集团、西南航空和Chipotle Mexican Grill将于周四发布报告，然后美国运通、Schlumberger和Honeywell International将于周五收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data highlights this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday and&nbsp;IHS Markit’s&nbsp;Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October on Friday. All are seen easing back from their prior months’ levels.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济数据亮点包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会9月份领先经济指数和周五公布的IHS Markit 10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。所有这些都较前几个月的水平有所回落。</blockquote></p><p> Other releases this week include the Federal Reserve’s most recent Beige Book, describing economic conditions across the U.S., and a pair of September housing-market indicators: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布的其他数据包括美联储最新的褐皮书，描述了美国各地的经济状况，以及两个9月份的房地产市场指标：人口普查局（Census Bureau）周二报告新的住宅建设数据，全国房地产经纪人协会（National Association of Realtors）周四报告现房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 10/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一10/18</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for a 0.20% rise after a 0.4% increase in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.5% for September, roughly in line with August’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布9月份工业生产数据。继8月份增长0.4%后，经济学家预计增长0.20%。预计9月份产能利用率为76.5%，与8月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> Albertsons, Philips, Steel Dynamics, and State Street are among companies releasing quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森、飞利浦、Steel Dynamics和道富银行等公司发布了季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 10/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二10/19</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.623 million housing starts, compared with 1.615 million in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告9月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为162.3万套，8月为161.5万套。</blockquote></p><p> Halliburton, Procter &amp; Gamble, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Synchrony, Travelers, Philip Morris International, Kansas City Southern, WD-40, Interactive Brokers Group, Netflix, ManpowerGroup, Dover, and Canadian National Railway are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>哈里伯顿、宝洁、强生、Synchrony、Travelers、Philip Morris International、Kansas City Southern、WD-40、盈透证券集团、Netflix、万宝盛华、Dover和加拿大国家铁路等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 10/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三10/20</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases its beige book about current economic conditions across the central bank’s 12 districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布了关于央行12个地区当前经济状况的褐皮书。</blockquote></p><p> Abbott Laboratories, Biogen, NextEra Energy, ASML Holding, Nasdaq, Canadian Pacific Railway, Verizon Communications, CSX, Lam Research, Tesla, IBM, and Anthem discuss quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>雅培实验室、Biogen、NextEra Energy、ASML Holding、纳斯达克、加拿大太平洋铁路、Verizon Communications、CSX、Lam Research、特斯拉、IBM和Anthem讨论季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 10/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四10/21</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.10 million homes sold, compared with 5.88 million homes in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告9月份现房销售情况。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为610万套，而8月份为588万套。</blockquote></p><p> Dow, Freeport-McMoRan, Genuine Parts, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Blackstone, Quest Diagnostics, Snap-on, Tractor Supply, Barclays, Danaher, AT&amp;T, Nucor, American Airlines Group, AutoNation, Valero Energy, SL Green Realty, Intel, Snap, Boston Beer, Mattel, and Chipotle Mexican Grill host earnings conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>陶氏化学、自由港麦克莫兰、原厂零件、西南航空、Valero Energy、Blackstone、Quest Diagnostics、Snap-on、Tractor Supply、Barclays、Danaher、AT&amp;T、Nucor、美国航空集团、AutoNation、Valero Energy、SL Green Realty、英特尔、Snap、Boston Beer、Mattel和Chipotle Mexican Grill在评级举办财报会议，讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Philadelphia Fed</b>&nbsp;diffusion index, a measure of overall manufacturing activity, is expected to fall to 24 in October from September’s 30.7 reading.</p><p><blockquote><b>费城联储</b>衡量整体制造业活动的扩散指数预计将从9月份的30.7降至10月份的24。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Expectations are for a 0.50% rise, after August’s 0.90% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布9月份领先经济指数。继8月份上涨0.90%后，预计上涨0.50%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 10/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五10/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b>&nbsp;the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October. Consensus estimate for the Manufacturing PMI is 60.3, while the Services PMI is expected to be 54.7, compared with 60.7 and 54.9, respectively, in September.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit发布</b>10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业PMI普遍预期为60.3，服务业PMI预计为54.7，9月份分别为60.7和54.9。</blockquote></p><p> Whirlpool, Honeywell, Cleveland-Cliffs, Celanese, HCA Healthcare, Schlumberger, Seagate Technology Holdings, VF Corp., and American Express host investor conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Whirlpool、Honeywell、Cleveland-Cliffs、Celanese、HCA Healthcare、Schlumberger、Seagate Technology Holdings、VF Corp.和American Express在评级举办投资者大会。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-at-t-netflix-chipotle-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51634497206?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞","CMG":"墨式烧烤","UAL":"联合大陆航空","JNJ":"强生","AAL":"美国航空","IBM":"IBM",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","HAL":"哈里伯顿",".DJI":"道琼斯","LUV":"西南航空","T":"At&T","INTC":"英特尔","TSLA":"特斯拉",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AXP":"美国运通"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-at-t-netflix-chipotle-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51634497206?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185155570","content_text":"Seventy-two S&P 500 companies report earnings this week, as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. Several big U.S. banks got things off to a strong start last week. This week’s earnings highlights will include results from notable companies in telecom, consumer staples, energy, technology, health care, and the airline industry.\n\nAlbertsons and State Street get the ball rolling on Monday.Procter & Gamble,Halliburton,and Johnson & Johnson are Tuesday morning’s highlights, followed by Netflix and United Airlines Holdings after the market closes.\nOn Wednesday,Verizon Communications,IBM,and Tesla will get the most attention.AT&T, American Airlines Group,Southwest Airlines,and Chipotle Mexican Grill report on Thursday, then American Express,Schlumberger,and Honeywell International close the week on Friday.\nEconomic data highlights this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday and IHS Markit’s Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October on Friday. All are seen easing back from their prior months’ levels.\nOther releases this week include the Federal Reserve’s most recent Beige Book, describing economic conditions across the U.S., and a pair of September housing-market indicators: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales on Thursday.\nMonday 10/18\nThe Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for a 0.20% rise after a 0.4% increase in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.5% for September, roughly in line with August’s 76.4%.\nAlbertsons, Philips, Steel Dynamics, and State Street are among companies releasing quarterly financial results.\nTuesday 10/19\nThe Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.623 million housing starts, compared with 1.615 million in August.\nHalliburton, Procter & Gamble, Johnson & Johnson, Synchrony, Travelers, Philip Morris International, Kansas City Southern, WD-40, Interactive Brokers Group, Netflix, ManpowerGroup, Dover, and Canadian National Railway are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nWednesday 10/20\nThe Federal Reserve releases its beige book about current economic conditions across the central bank’s 12 districts.\nAbbott Laboratories, Biogen, NextEra Energy, ASML Holding, Nasdaq, Canadian Pacific Railway, Verizon Communications, CSX, Lam Research, Tesla, IBM, and Anthem discuss quarterly financial results.\nThursday 10/21\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.10 million homes sold, compared with 5.88 million homes in August.\nDow, Freeport-McMoRan, Genuine Parts, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Blackstone, Quest Diagnostics, Snap-on, Tractor Supply, Barclays, Danaher, AT&T, Nucor, American Airlines Group, AutoNation, Valero Energy, SL Green Realty, Intel, Snap, Boston Beer, Mattel, and Chipotle Mexican Grill host earnings conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nThe Philadelphia Fed diffusion index, a measure of overall manufacturing activity, is expected to fall to 24 in October from September’s 30.7 reading.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Expectations are for a 0.50% rise, after August’s 0.90% gain.\nFriday 10/22\nIHS Markit releases the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October. Consensus estimate for the Manufacturing PMI is 60.3, while the Services PMI is expected to be 54.7, compared with 60.7 and 54.9, respectively, in September.\nWhirlpool, Honeywell, Cleveland-Cliffs, Celanese, HCA Healthcare, Schlumberger, Seagate Technology Holdings, VF Corp., and American Express host investor conference calls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"AXP":0.9,"HAL":0.9,"AAL":0.9,"NFLX":0.9,"CMG":0.9,"INTC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"UAL":0.9,"IBM":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"JNJ":0.9,"LUV":0.9,"T":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865707532,"gmtCreate":1633015610966,"gmtModify":1633015611139,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586512925725941","idStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865707532","repostId":"2171956958","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866733032,"gmtCreate":1632803874326,"gmtModify":1632803874326,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586512925725941","idStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866733032","repostId":"2170624172","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":891414391,"gmtCreate":1628410580613,"gmtModify":1633747267688,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586512925725941","idStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891414391","repostId":"1180529438","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180529438","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628386129,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180529438?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-08 09:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SEC Moves First DeFi Unregistered Securities Lawsuit<blockquote>SEC提起首起DeFi未注册证券诉讼</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180529438","media":"Benzinga","summary":"The United States Securities and Exchange Commission  sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance  protocol over activities involved with the project for the first time.What Happened: According to a Friday SEC announcement, the agency has sued Cayman Islands-based Blockchain Credit Partners and two of its top executives over allegedly selling unregistered securities through its DeFi Money Market platform from February 2020 to February 2021. The firm purported","content":"<p><div> The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol over activities involved with the project ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美国证券交易委员会（SEC）就该项目涉及的活动起诉了负责开发分散金融（DeFi）协议的组织...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SEC Moves First DeFi Unregistered Securities Lawsuit<blockquote>SEC提起首起DeFi未注册证券诉讼</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSEC Moves First DeFi Unregistered Securities Lawsuit<blockquote>SEC提起首起DeFi未注册证券诉讼</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-08 09:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol over activities involved with the project ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美国证券交易委员会（SEC）就该项目涉及的活动起诉了负责开发分散金融（DeFi）协议的组织...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180529438","content_text":"The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol over activities involved with the project for the first time.\nWhat Happened: According to a Friday SEC announcement, the agency has sued Cayman Islands-based Blockchain Credit Partners and two of its top executives over allegedly selling unregistered securities through its DeFi Money Market platform from February 2020 to February 2021. The firm purportedly sold over $30 million worth of two types of tokens that the SEC deemed to be securities that should have been registered as such.\nThe SEC notes that Blockchain Credit Partners founders Gregory Keough and Derek Acree will have to pay fines of $125,000 while the company itself also agreed to pay $12.8 million in disgorgement. The settlement does not indicate an admition or denial the accusations.\nNew Game, Old Rules?\nSEC Enforcement Director Gurbir Grewal explained that \"full and honest disclosure remains the cornerstone of our securities laws — no matter what technologies are used to offer and sell those securities.\" This comment makes it very clear that slapping the DeFi label on a project and hoping to avoid regulation this way works no better than calling it a \"utility token\" prevented falling under the SEC's scrutiny during 2017's initial coin offering craze.\nThe SEC is trying to send the clear rule that the new kind of financial organizations that operate on blockchains have to still play by the old rules that govern traditional finance. At the same time, market onlookers are not sure if the regulator is actually right.\nIn a way, it is a tour de force where the regulator wins every time it has a way to take enforcement action, but these new organizations potentially have a very real way to make enforcement impossible — or at the very least impractical. The only protection against enforcement by the SEC and other regulators is decentralization and the only reason why the SEC was able to act in this case is that a centralized organization such as Blockchain Credit Partners exists.\nWhat's Next:If no company exists and all that there is to a DeFi protocol is a set of smart contracts deployed on a blockchain by a group of anonymous developers scattered around the world there is very little that the SEC can do short of attacking the blockchain itself. This is where the decentralization of the underlying blockchain comes into play: will the regulators for instance be able to force Ethereum's (CRYPTO: ETH) core development team to write an update stopping such a project?\nIf the regulators would actually be able to force the blockchain's developers to write such an update, would node operators and miners or stakers adopt this software or would they refuse to? Such situations will be the real test of the decentralization and reliability of any blockchain that many are waiting to happen. Regulators are seeing power slipping away between their fingers like sand, and they are going to try to grab it.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":600227456,"gmtCreate":1638161780906,"gmtModify":1638161781041,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586512925725941","idStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600227456","repostId":"1124072014","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124072014","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638140765,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124072014?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-29 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"November jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>11月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124072014","media":"yahoo","summary":"As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor","content":"<p>As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor market.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者从感恩节缩短的交易周回归，焦点将转向美国劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department's monthly jobs report due for release on Friday is set to provide an updated snapshot of the strength in hiring and labor force participation in the U.S. economy. Consensus economists are looking for a half-million jobs to have returned in November, with the pace of hiring slowing only slightly from October's 531,000 gain. The unemployment rate is also expected to improve further to 4.5% from October's 4.6%, reaching the lowest level since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周五发布的月度就业报告将提供美国经济中招聘和劳动力参与实力的最新快照。经济学家一致认为，11月份将有50万个工作岗位回归，招聘速度仅较10月份的531,000个略有放缓。失业率也有望从10月的4.6%进一步改善至4.5%，达到2020年3月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect non-farm payrolls to have risen by 500,000 in November, but the growing risk of a winter COVID wave and a dwindling supply of available workers will weigh on jobs growth soon,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note last week.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)首席北美经济学家保罗·阿什沃斯(Paul Ashworth)写道：“我们预计11月份非农就业人数将增加50万人，但冬季新冠疫情风险不断增加以及可用工人供应减少将很快拖累就业增长。”，在上周的一份报告中。</blockquote></p><p> \"Employment growth can’t continue at this pace for much longer unless the labor force stages a more notable recovery. If anything, labor supply could<i>worsen</i>over the coming months as the federal vaccine mandate covering 100 [million] workers begins on January 4,\" Ashworth added. \"That suggests wage growth will remain strong, and we expect a 0.4% [month-over-month] rise in average hourly earnings in October.\"</p><p><blockquote>“除非劳动力出现更显著的复苏，否则就业增长不可能以这种速度持续太久。如果说有什么不同的话，那就是劳动力供应可以<i>恶化</i>随着覆盖1亿工人的联邦疫苗授权于1月4日开始，未来几个月，”阿什沃斯补充道。“这表明工资增长将保持强劲，我们预计10月份平均时薪将[环比]增长0.4%。”</blockquote></p><p> On a year-over-year basis, average hourly earnings are expected to rise by 5.0%, accelerating even further after October's already marked 4.9% rise and representing the fastest wage growth rate since February.</p><p><blockquote>与去年同期相比，平均时薪预计将增长5.0%，继10月份已经显着增长4.9%之后进一步加速，这是自2月份以来最快的工资增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Growing average wages and a tight labor market — while a positive for consumers and their ability to spend — has also stoked concerns over persistent inflation. Last week's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator from the Bureau of Economic Analysis for October showed an annual jump of 5.0% in the index, or the biggest rise since 1990. And the core PCE, or the Fed's preferred inflation gauge stripping out volatile food and energy prices, rose by 4.1% year-over-year — the most in three decades.</p><p><blockquote>平均工资增长和劳动力市场紧张虽然对消费者及其消费能力有利，但也引发了人们对持续通胀的担忧。上周经济分析局公布的10月份个人消费支出(PCE)平减指数显示，该指数年率上涨5.0%，创1990年以来最大涨幅。核心PCE（即美联储首选的剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的通胀指标）同比上涨4.1%，为三十年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Other recent data have homed in on the tight labor market and presaged a potentially strong November jobs report. Last week'sinitial jobless claims fell to a 52-year low of 199,000, taking out both the prior pandemic-era low and pre-pandemic average for new first-time filings. This served as yet another point underscoring the steep competition for labor among U.S. employers, with companies attempting to hire and retain their existing workforces amid widespread labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>最近的其他数据集中在紧张的劳动力市场上，并预示着11月份就业报告可能强劲。上周首次申请失业救济人数降至19.9万人的52年低点，打破了之前大流行时期的低点和大流行前新首次申请失业救济人数的平均值。这再次凸显了美国雇主之间对劳动力的激烈竞争，在劳动力普遍短缺的情况下，公司试图雇用和留住现有劳动力。</blockquote></p><p> Even given these lingering scarcities, the labor force participation rate has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels. The civilian labor force was still down by nearly 3 million participants compared to February 2020, with lingering concerns over the virus and adesire by many working-age individuals to seek out new roles with better flexibility and benefitsstill keeping many individuals on the sidelines of the workforce. Consensus economists expect the labor force participation rate to tick up only slightly in November to reach 61.7%, growing from October's 61.6% but coming in well below the 63.3% rate from February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>即使考虑到这些挥之不去的短缺，劳动力参与率仍未恢复到大流行前的水平。与2020年2月相比，平民劳动力仍减少了近300万参与者，对病毒的担忧挥之不去，许多工作年龄的人渴望寻找具有更好灵活性和福利的新角色，这仍然使许多人处于劳动力的边缘。经济学家普遍预计，11月份劳动力参与率仅略有上升，达到61.7%，高于10月份的61.6%，但远低于2020年2月的63.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Returning the economy back to pre-pandemic labor force participation levels and ensuring job gains are seen equitably across different groups has become a key focus for the Federal Reserve. And the distance still left to make up on these fronts has also been the biggest factor keeping the Fed ultra-accommodative with its monetary policy support, even after a parade of hotter-than-expected inflation reports that would appear to warrant a more hawkish policy tilt and a quicker-than-expected hike to interest rates.Fed Chair Jerome Powell's renomination to remain as head of the central bankfurther suggests the Fed's focus on the labor market as a critical informing factor for monetary policy will remain.</p><p><blockquote>将经济恢复到大流行前的劳动力参与水平，并确保不同群体公平地看到就业增长，已成为美联储的一个重点关注点。在这些方面仍有待弥补的距离也是美联储货币政策支持保持超宽松的最大因素，即使在一系列高于预期的通胀报告似乎需要采取更强硬的政策倾斜美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔再次被提名继续担任央行行长进一步表明，美联储将继续关注劳动力市场，将其作为货币政策的关键信息因素。</blockquote></p><p> \"Market views for future Fed rate increases have been pulled forward aggressively in response to evidence that elevated inflation pressures are likely to persist for longer,\" wrote Deutsche Bank economist Justin Weidner in a note last week. \"However, as Chair Powell's November press conference made evident, prospects for the labor market to return to maximum employment remain a critical consideration for when the Fed will eventually begin to actively tighten monetary policy.\"</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行经济学家贾斯汀·魏德纳(Justin Weidner)上周在一份报告中写道：“由于有证据表明通胀压力上升可能会持续更长时间，市场对美联储未来加息的看法已大幅提前。”“然而，正如鲍威尔主席11月新闻发布会所表明的那样，劳动力市场恢复最大就业的前景仍然是美联储最终何时开始积极收紧货币政策的关键考虑因素。”</blockquote></p><p> Economic calendar</p><p><blockquote>经济日历</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Monday:</b>Pending home sales, month-over-month, October (0.7% expected, -2.3% in September); Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, November (17.0 expected, 14.6 in October)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>星期一：</b>10月份待售房屋环比（预期0.7%，9月份-2.3%）；11月达拉斯联储制造业活动指数（预期17.0，10月14.6）</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li>  <li><b>Tuesday:</b>FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, September (1.2% expected, 1.0% in August); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, September (1.30% expected, 1.17% in August); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, September (19.66% during prior month); MNI Chicago PMI, November (67.0 expected, 68.4 in October); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, November (110.0 expected, 113.8 in October)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期二：</b>9月FHFA房价指数环比（预期为1.2%，8月为1.0%）；S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20城综合指数，9月环比（预期1.30%，8月1.17%）；S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20城市综合指数，9月（上月为19.66%）；11月MNI芝加哥PMI（预期67.0，10月68.4）；世界大型企业联合会11月消费者信心指数（预期110.0，10月113.8）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Wednesday:</b>MBA Mortgage Applications, November 26 (1.8% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, November (515,000 expected, 571,000 in October); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, November final (59.1 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, October (0.5% expected, -0.5% in September); ISM Manufacturing, November (61.0 expected, 60.8 in October); Federal Reserve releases Beige Book</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期三：</b>MBA抵押贷款申请，11月26日（前一周为1.8%）；11月ADP就业变化（预期51.5万人，10月57.1万人）；Markit美国制造业PMI，11月终值（上月为59.1）；10月份建筑支出环比（预期0.5%，9月份-0.5%）；ISM制造业，11月（预期61.0，10月60.8）；美联储发布褐皮书</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Thursday:</b>Challenger job cuts, November (-71.7% in October); Initial jobless claims, week ended Nov. 27 (199,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, Nov. 20 (2.049 during prior week)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期四：</b>挑战者裁员，11月（10月为-71.7%）；截至11月27日当周首次申请失业救济人数（前一周为199,000人）；11月20日持续申请失业救济人数（前一周为2.049）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Friday:</b>Change in non-farm payrolls, November (500,000 expected, 531,000 in October); Unemployment rate, November (4.5% expected, 4.6% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, November (0.4% expected, 0.4% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, November (5.0% expected, 4.9% in October); Markit U.S. Services PMI, November final (57.0 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, November final (56.5 in prior print); ISM Services Index, November (65.0 expected, 66.7 in October); Factory Orders, October (0.5% expected, 0.2% in September); Durable Goods Orders, October final (-0.5% in prior print)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期五：</b>11月非农就业人数变化（预期50万，10月53.1万）；11月失业率（预期4.5%，10月4.6%）；11月平均时薪环比（预期0.4%，10月0.4%）；11月平均时薪同比（预期5.0%，10月4.9%）；Markit美国服务业PMI，11月最终数据（上一期为57.0）；Markit美国综合PMI，11月最终数据（上一期为56.5）；ISM服务业指数，11月（预期65.0，10月66.7）；10月工厂订单（预期0.5%，9月0.2%）；耐用品订单，10月份最终（上次打印为-0.5%）</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Earnings calendar</p><p><blockquote>盈利日历</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Monday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>星期一：</b><i>没有计划发布值得注意的报告</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Tuesday:</b>Salesforce.com (CRM) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期二：</b>Salesforce.com(CRM)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Wednesday:</b>PVH Corp. (PVH) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期三：</b>PVH Corp.(PVH)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Thursday:</b>Dollar General (DG), Kroger (KR) before market open; Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期四：</b>Dollar General(DG)、Kroger(KR)开盘前；Ulta Beauty(ULTA)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Friday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期五：</b><i>没有计划发布值得注意的报告</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>November jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>11月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNovember jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>11月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-29 07:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor market.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者从感恩节缩短的交易周回归，焦点将转向美国劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department's monthly jobs report due for release on Friday is set to provide an updated snapshot of the strength in hiring and labor force participation in the U.S. economy. Consensus economists are looking for a half-million jobs to have returned in November, with the pace of hiring slowing only slightly from October's 531,000 gain. The unemployment rate is also expected to improve further to 4.5% from October's 4.6%, reaching the lowest level since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周五发布的月度就业报告将提供美国经济中招聘和劳动力参与实力的最新快照。经济学家一致认为，11月份将有50万个工作岗位回归，招聘速度仅较10月份的531,000个略有放缓。失业率也有望从10月的4.6%进一步改善至4.5%，达到2020年3月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect non-farm payrolls to have risen by 500,000 in November, but the growing risk of a winter COVID wave and a dwindling supply of available workers will weigh on jobs growth soon,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note last week.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)首席北美经济学家保罗·阿什沃斯(Paul Ashworth)写道：“我们预计11月份非农就业人数将增加50万人，但冬季新冠疫情风险不断增加以及可用工人供应减少将很快拖累就业增长。”，在上周的一份报告中。</blockquote></p><p> \"Employment growth can’t continue at this pace for much longer unless the labor force stages a more notable recovery. If anything, labor supply could<i>worsen</i>over the coming months as the federal vaccine mandate covering 100 [million] workers begins on January 4,\" Ashworth added. \"That suggests wage growth will remain strong, and we expect a 0.4% [month-over-month] rise in average hourly earnings in October.\"</p><p><blockquote>“除非劳动力出现更显著的复苏，否则就业增长不可能以这种速度持续太久。如果说有什么不同的话，那就是劳动力供应可以<i>恶化</i>随着覆盖1亿工人的联邦疫苗授权于1月4日开始，未来几个月，”阿什沃斯补充道。“这表明工资增长将保持强劲，我们预计10月份平均时薪将[环比]增长0.4%。”</blockquote></p><p> On a year-over-year basis, average hourly earnings are expected to rise by 5.0%, accelerating even further after October's already marked 4.9% rise and representing the fastest wage growth rate since February.</p><p><blockquote>与去年同期相比，平均时薪预计将增长5.0%，继10月份已经显着增长4.9%之后进一步加速，这是自2月份以来最快的工资增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Growing average wages and a tight labor market — while a positive for consumers and their ability to spend — has also stoked concerns over persistent inflation. Last week's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator from the Bureau of Economic Analysis for October showed an annual jump of 5.0% in the index, or the biggest rise since 1990. And the core PCE, or the Fed's preferred inflation gauge stripping out volatile food and energy prices, rose by 4.1% year-over-year — the most in three decades.</p><p><blockquote>平均工资增长和劳动力市场紧张虽然对消费者及其消费能力有利，但也引发了人们对持续通胀的担忧。上周经济分析局公布的10月份个人消费支出(PCE)平减指数显示，该指数年率上涨5.0%，创1990年以来最大涨幅。核心PCE（即美联储首选的剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的通胀指标）同比上涨4.1%，为三十年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Other recent data have homed in on the tight labor market and presaged a potentially strong November jobs report. Last week'sinitial jobless claims fell to a 52-year low of 199,000, taking out both the prior pandemic-era low and pre-pandemic average for new first-time filings. This served as yet another point underscoring the steep competition for labor among U.S. employers, with companies attempting to hire and retain their existing workforces amid widespread labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>最近的其他数据集中在紧张的劳动力市场上，并预示着11月份就业报告可能强劲。上周首次申请失业救济人数降至19.9万人的52年低点，打破了之前大流行时期的低点和大流行前新首次申请失业救济人数的平均值。这再次凸显了美国雇主之间对劳动力的激烈竞争，在劳动力普遍短缺的情况下，公司试图雇用和留住现有劳动力。</blockquote></p><p> Even given these lingering scarcities, the labor force participation rate has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels. The civilian labor force was still down by nearly 3 million participants compared to February 2020, with lingering concerns over the virus and adesire by many working-age individuals to seek out new roles with better flexibility and benefitsstill keeping many individuals on the sidelines of the workforce. Consensus economists expect the labor force participation rate to tick up only slightly in November to reach 61.7%, growing from October's 61.6% but coming in well below the 63.3% rate from February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>即使考虑到这些挥之不去的短缺，劳动力参与率仍未恢复到大流行前的水平。与2020年2月相比，平民劳动力仍减少了近300万参与者，对病毒的担忧挥之不去，许多工作年龄的人渴望寻找具有更好灵活性和福利的新角色，这仍然使许多人处于劳动力的边缘。经济学家普遍预计，11月份劳动力参与率仅略有上升，达到61.7%，高于10月份的61.6%，但远低于2020年2月的63.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Returning the economy back to pre-pandemic labor force participation levels and ensuring job gains are seen equitably across different groups has become a key focus for the Federal Reserve. And the distance still left to make up on these fronts has also been the biggest factor keeping the Fed ultra-accommodative with its monetary policy support, even after a parade of hotter-than-expected inflation reports that would appear to warrant a more hawkish policy tilt and a quicker-than-expected hike to interest rates.Fed Chair Jerome Powell's renomination to remain as head of the central bankfurther suggests the Fed's focus on the labor market as a critical informing factor for monetary policy will remain.</p><p><blockquote>将经济恢复到大流行前的劳动力参与水平，并确保不同群体公平地看到就业增长，已成为美联储的一个重点关注点。在这些方面仍有待弥补的距离也是美联储货币政策支持保持超宽松的最大因素，即使在一系列高于预期的通胀报告似乎需要采取更强硬的政策倾斜美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔再次被提名继续担任央行行长进一步表明，美联储将继续关注劳动力市场，将其作为货币政策的关键信息因素。</blockquote></p><p> \"Market views for future Fed rate increases have been pulled forward aggressively in response to evidence that elevated inflation pressures are likely to persist for longer,\" wrote Deutsche Bank economist Justin Weidner in a note last week. \"However, as Chair Powell's November press conference made evident, prospects for the labor market to return to maximum employment remain a critical consideration for when the Fed will eventually begin to actively tighten monetary policy.\"</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行经济学家贾斯汀·魏德纳(Justin Weidner)上周在一份报告中写道：“由于有证据表明通胀压力上升可能会持续更长时间，市场对美联储未来加息的看法已大幅提前。”“然而，正如鲍威尔主席11月新闻发布会所表明的那样，劳动力市场恢复最大就业的前景仍然是美联储最终何时开始积极收紧货币政策的关键考虑因素。”</blockquote></p><p> Economic calendar</p><p><blockquote>经济日历</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Monday:</b>Pending home sales, month-over-month, October (0.7% expected, -2.3% in September); Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, November (17.0 expected, 14.6 in October)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>星期一：</b>10月份待售房屋环比（预期0.7%，9月份-2.3%）；11月达拉斯联储制造业活动指数（预期17.0，10月14.6）</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li>  <li><b>Tuesday:</b>FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, September (1.2% expected, 1.0% in August); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, September (1.30% expected, 1.17% in August); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, September (19.66% during prior month); MNI Chicago PMI, November (67.0 expected, 68.4 in October); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, November (110.0 expected, 113.8 in October)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期二：</b>9月FHFA房价指数环比（预期为1.2%，8月为1.0%）；S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20城综合指数，9月环比（预期1.30%，8月1.17%）；S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20城市综合指数，9月（上月为19.66%）；11月MNI芝加哥PMI（预期67.0，10月68.4）；世界大型企业联合会11月消费者信心指数（预期110.0，10月113.8）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Wednesday:</b>MBA Mortgage Applications, November 26 (1.8% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, November (515,000 expected, 571,000 in October); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, November final (59.1 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, October (0.5% expected, -0.5% in September); ISM Manufacturing, November (61.0 expected, 60.8 in October); Federal Reserve releases Beige Book</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期三：</b>MBA抵押贷款申请，11月26日（前一周为1.8%）；11月ADP就业变化（预期51.5万人，10月57.1万人）；Markit美国制造业PMI，11月终值（上月为59.1）；10月份建筑支出环比（预期0.5%，9月份-0.5%）；ISM制造业，11月（预期61.0，10月60.8）；美联储发布褐皮书</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Thursday:</b>Challenger job cuts, November (-71.7% in October); Initial jobless claims, week ended Nov. 27 (199,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, Nov. 20 (2.049 during prior week)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期四：</b>挑战者裁员，11月（10月为-71.7%）；截至11月27日当周首次申请失业救济人数（前一周为199,000人）；11月20日持续申请失业救济人数（前一周为2.049）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Friday:</b>Change in non-farm payrolls, November (500,000 expected, 531,000 in October); Unemployment rate, November (4.5% expected, 4.6% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, November (0.4% expected, 0.4% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, November (5.0% expected, 4.9% in October); Markit U.S. Services PMI, November final (57.0 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, November final (56.5 in prior print); ISM Services Index, November (65.0 expected, 66.7 in October); Factory Orders, October (0.5% expected, 0.2% in September); Durable Goods Orders, October final (-0.5% in prior print)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期五：</b>11月非农就业人数变化（预期50万，10月53.1万）；11月失业率（预期4.5%，10月4.6%）；11月平均时薪环比（预期0.4%，10月0.4%）；11月平均时薪同比（预期5.0%，10月4.9%）；Markit美国服务业PMI，11月最终数据（上一期为57.0）；Markit美国综合PMI，11月最终数据（上一期为56.5）；ISM服务业指数，11月（预期65.0，10月66.7）；10月工厂订单（预期0.5%，9月0.2%）；耐用品订单，10月份最终（上次打印为-0.5%）</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Earnings calendar</p><p><blockquote>盈利日历</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Monday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>星期一：</b><i>没有计划发布值得注意的报告</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Tuesday:</b>Salesforce.com (CRM) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期二：</b>Salesforce.com(CRM)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Wednesday:</b>PVH Corp. (PVH) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期三：</b>PVH Corp.(PVH)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Thursday:</b>Dollar General (DG), Kroger (KR) before market open; Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期四：</b>Dollar General(DG)、Kroger(KR)开盘前；Ulta Beauty(ULTA)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Friday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期五：</b><i>没有计划发布值得注意的报告</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/november-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-144428419.html\">yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRM":"赛富时"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/november-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-144428419.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124072014","content_text":"As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor market.\nThe Labor Department's monthly jobs report due for release on Friday is set to provide an updated snapshot of the strength in hiring and labor force participation in the U.S. economy. Consensus economists are looking for a half-million jobs to have returned in November, with the pace of hiring slowing only slightly from October's 531,000 gain. The unemployment rate is also expected to improve further to 4.5% from October's 4.6%, reaching the lowest level since March 2020.\n\"We expect non-farm payrolls to have risen by 500,000 in November, but the growing risk of a winter COVID wave and a dwindling supply of available workers will weigh on jobs growth soon,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note last week.\n\"Employment growth can’t continue at this pace for much longer unless the labor force stages a more notable recovery. If anything, labor supply couldworsenover the coming months as the federal vaccine mandate covering 100 [million] workers begins on January 4,\" Ashworth added. \"That suggests wage growth will remain strong, and we expect a 0.4% [month-over-month] rise in average hourly earnings in October.\"\nOn a year-over-year basis, average hourly earnings are expected to rise by 5.0%, accelerating even further after October's already marked 4.9% rise and representing the fastest wage growth rate since February.\nGrowing average wages and a tight labor market — while a positive for consumers and their ability to spend — has also stoked concerns over persistent inflation. Last week's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator from the Bureau of Economic Analysis for October showed an annual jump of 5.0% in the index, or the biggest rise since 1990. And the core PCE, or the Fed's preferred inflation gauge stripping out volatile food and energy prices, rose by 4.1% year-over-year — the most in three decades.\nOther recent data have homed in on the tight labor market and presaged a potentially strong November jobs report. Last week'sinitial jobless claims fell to a 52-year low of 199,000, taking out both the prior pandemic-era low and pre-pandemic average for new first-time filings. This served as yet another point underscoring the steep competition for labor among U.S. employers, with companies attempting to hire and retain their existing workforces amid widespread labor shortages.\nEven given these lingering scarcities, the labor force participation rate has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels. The civilian labor force was still down by nearly 3 million participants compared to February 2020, with lingering concerns over the virus and adesire by many working-age individuals to seek out new roles with better flexibility and benefitsstill keeping many individuals on the sidelines of the workforce. Consensus economists expect the labor force participation rate to tick up only slightly in November to reach 61.7%, growing from October's 61.6% but coming in well below the 63.3% rate from February 2020.\nReturning the economy back to pre-pandemic labor force participation levels and ensuring job gains are seen equitably across different groups has become a key focus for the Federal Reserve. And the distance still left to make up on these fronts has also been the biggest factor keeping the Fed ultra-accommodative with its monetary policy support, even after a parade of hotter-than-expected inflation reports that would appear to warrant a more hawkish policy tilt and a quicker-than-expected hike to interest rates.Fed Chair Jerome Powell's renomination to remain as head of the central bankfurther suggests the Fed's focus on the labor market as a critical informing factor for monetary policy will remain.\n\"Market views for future Fed rate increases have been pulled forward aggressively in response to evidence that elevated inflation pressures are likely to persist for longer,\" wrote Deutsche Bank economist Justin Weidner in a note last week. \"However, as Chair Powell's November press conference made evident, prospects for the labor market to return to maximum employment remain a critical consideration for when the Fed will eventually begin to actively tighten monetary policy.\"\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday:Pending home sales, month-over-month, October (0.7% expected, -2.3% in September); Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, November (17.0 expected, 14.6 in October)\nTuesday:FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, September (1.2% expected, 1.0% in August); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, September (1.30% expected, 1.17% in August); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, September (19.66% during prior month); MNI Chicago PMI, November (67.0 expected, 68.4 in October); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, November (110.0 expected, 113.8 in October)\nWednesday:MBA Mortgage Applications, November 26 (1.8% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, November (515,000 expected, 571,000 in October); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, November final (59.1 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, October (0.5% expected, -0.5% in September); ISM Manufacturing, November (61.0 expected, 60.8 in October); Federal Reserve releases Beige Book\nThursday:Challenger job cuts, November (-71.7% in October); Initial jobless claims, week ended Nov. 27 (199,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, Nov. 20 (2.049 during prior week)\nFriday:Change in non-farm payrolls, November (500,000 expected, 531,000 in October); Unemployment rate, November (4.5% expected, 4.6% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, November (0.4% expected, 0.4% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, November (5.0% expected, 4.9% in October); Markit U.S. Services PMI, November final (57.0 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, November final (56.5 in prior print); ISM Services Index, November (65.0 expected, 66.7 in October); Factory Orders, October (0.5% expected, 0.2% in September); Durable Goods Orders, October final (-0.5% in prior print)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday:No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday:Salesforce.com (CRM) after market close\nWednesday:PVH Corp. (PVH) after market close\nThursday:Dollar General (DG), Kroger (KR) before market open; Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close\nFriday:No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CRM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855790254,"gmtCreate":1635397711791,"gmtModify":1635397711922,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586512925725941","idStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855790254","repostId":"1120494800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120494800","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1635387959,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120494800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-28 10:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Ways Hertz Is Creating Value For Tesla<blockquote>赫兹为特斯拉创造价值的4种方式</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120494800","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Tesla Inc shares rallied once again on Wednesday after ridesharing giant Uber Technologies Inc announced a new partnership with Hertz Global Holdings Inc to offer 50,000 Tesla rentals to U.S. drivers.On Tuesday, Colas said at first glance, the market’s reaction to Hertz’s order of 100,000 Tesla Model 3s may be surprising to investors who remember when General Motors Company,Ford Motor Company and other auto companies owned Hertz,Avis Budget Group Inc. and other rental companies, which created ve","content":"<p><b>Tesla Inc</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA) shares rallied once again on Wednesday after ridesharing giant&nbsp;<b>Uber Technologies Inc</b>(NYSE:UBER) announced a new partnership with&nbsp;<b>Hertz Global Holdings Inc</b>(OTC:HTZZ) to offer 50,000 Tesla rentals to U.S. drivers.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉公司</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）继拼车巨头之后，股价周三再次上涨<b>优步科技公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：UBER）宣布与<b>赫兹全球控股公司</b>（场外交易代码：HTZZ）向美国司机提供50,000辆特斯拉租赁服务。</blockquote></p><p> The latest Uber news is one of several ways&nbsp;Tesla’s partnership with Hertz&nbsp;is creating value for the electric vehicle pioneer, according to DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas&nbsp;Colas.</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek Research联合创始人Nicholas Colas表示，Uber的最新消息是特斯拉与赫兹的合作为这家电动汽车先驱创造价值的几种方式之一。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, Colas said at first glance, the market’s reaction to Hertz’s order of 100,000 Tesla Model 3s may be surprising to investors who remember when&nbsp;<b>General Motors Company</b>,<b>Ford Motor Company</b>&nbsp;and other auto companies owned Hertz,<b>Avis Budget Group Inc.</b>&nbsp;and other rental companies, which created very little value for shareholders. However, Colas said there are at least our reasons why the Hertz deal is boosting Tesla’s stock.</p><p><blockquote>周二，Colas表示，乍一看，市场对赫兹订购10万辆特斯拉Model 3的反应可能会让投资者感到惊讶，他们还记得<b>通用汽车公司</b>,<b>福特汽车公司</b>和其他汽车公司拥有赫兹，<b>阿维斯预算集团公司。</b>和其他租赁公司，为股东创造的价值很少。然而，科拉斯表示，赫兹交易提振特斯拉股价至少是有原因的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4 Reasons The Stock Is Moving:</b>First, despite its&nbsp;$1 trillion valuation,<b>Tesla’s business is still relatively small</b>&nbsp;compared to Ford, GM and others. Colas said the 100,000 vehicle orders will lock up a significant portion of Tesla’s production in the next year at a high-margin selling price of $42,000 per vehicle.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动的4个原因：</b>首先，尽管其估值高达1万亿美元，<b>特斯拉的业务还比较小</b>与福特、通用等公司相比。Colas表示，10万辆汽车订单将以每辆汽车4.2万美元的高利润售价锁定特斯拉明年的很大一部分产量。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the&nbsp;<b>partnership with Hertz will allow car renters to get behind the wheel of a Tesla for the first time</b>. These rentals can essentially serve as test drives that may convince more people to buy the cars, Colas said.</p><p><blockquote>第二，<b>与赫兹的合作将使汽车租赁者首次能够驾驶特斯拉</b>.科拉斯说，这些租赁本质上可以作为试驾，可能会说服更多的人购买汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Third,<b>Hertz’s large national network of locations could be helpful</b>&nbsp;as Tesla grows its number of charging stations. Colas said Hertz’s airport locations may be particularly convenient locations for business travelers to leave their cars to charge when they are out of town.</p><p><blockquote>第三，<b>赫兹庞大的全国网点网络可能会有所帮助</b>随着特斯拉充电站数量的增加。科拉斯表示，赫兹的机场位置可能是商务旅客出城时停车充电的特别方便的位置。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, Colas said Hertz and other rental car companies missed the boat on ridesharing disruption, but&nbsp;<b>partnering with Tesla and other next-generation auto tech companies can help rental companies make sure they are well-positioned for the next major disruptor: autonomous vehicles</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后，科拉斯表示，赫兹和其他租车公司错过了拼车中断的机会，但<b>与特斯拉和其他下一代汽车技术公司合作可以帮助租赁公司确保他们为下一个重大颠覆者：自动驾驶汽车做好准备</b>.</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla/Hertz is a fascinating case study in how new and old industries still need each other to maximize the impact of disruptive technologies on the one hand and leverage that same technology to remake a stale business model on the other,” Colas said.</p><p><blockquote>Colas表示：“特斯拉/赫兹是一个引人入胜的案例研究，一方面说明新旧行业仍然需要彼此最大限度地发挥颠覆性技术的影响，另一方面利用相同的技术重塑陈旧的商业模式。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>With business booming, the only question mark these days when it comes to Tesla is its valuation. Tesla shares trade at 20.9 times sales, more than double the multiple of all the other trillion-dollar S&amp;P 500 tech companies other than&nbsp;<b>Microsoft Corporation</b>&nbsp;(13.9).</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>随着业务的蓬勃发展，如今特斯拉唯一的问号是其估值。特斯拉股价是销售额的20.9倍，是除其他外所有其他万亿美元标普500科技公司的两倍多<b>微软公司</b> (13.9).</blockquote></p><p> Read:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1127302287\" target=\"_blank\">Tesla Lands A Massive Deal And Breaks $1 Trillion: Are Shares A Buy?</a></p><p><blockquote>阅读：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1127302287\" target=\"_blank\">特斯拉达成巨额交易并突破1万亿美元：股票值得买入吗？</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Ways Hertz Is Creating Value For Tesla<blockquote>赫兹为特斯拉创造价值的4种方式</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Ways Hertz Is Creating Value For Tesla<blockquote>赫兹为特斯拉创造价值的4种方式</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-28 10:25</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Tesla Inc</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA) shares rallied once again on Wednesday after ridesharing giant&nbsp;<b>Uber Technologies Inc</b>(NYSE:UBER) announced a new partnership with&nbsp;<b>Hertz Global Holdings Inc</b>(OTC:HTZZ) to offer 50,000 Tesla rentals to U.S. drivers.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉公司</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）继拼车巨头之后，股价周三再次上涨<b>优步科技公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：UBER）宣布与<b>赫兹全球控股公司</b>（场外交易代码：HTZZ）向美国司机提供50,000辆特斯拉租赁服务。</blockquote></p><p> The latest Uber news is one of several ways&nbsp;Tesla’s partnership with Hertz&nbsp;is creating value for the electric vehicle pioneer, according to DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas&nbsp;Colas.</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek Research联合创始人Nicholas Colas表示，Uber的最新消息是特斯拉与赫兹的合作为这家电动汽车先驱创造价值的几种方式之一。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, Colas said at first glance, the market’s reaction to Hertz’s order of 100,000 Tesla Model 3s may be surprising to investors who remember when&nbsp;<b>General Motors Company</b>,<b>Ford Motor Company</b>&nbsp;and other auto companies owned Hertz,<b>Avis Budget Group Inc.</b>&nbsp;and other rental companies, which created very little value for shareholders. However, Colas said there are at least our reasons why the Hertz deal is boosting Tesla’s stock.</p><p><blockquote>周二，Colas表示，乍一看，市场对赫兹订购10万辆特斯拉Model 3的反应可能会让投资者感到惊讶，他们还记得<b>通用汽车公司</b>,<b>福特汽车公司</b>和其他汽车公司拥有赫兹，<b>阿维斯预算集团公司。</b>和其他租赁公司，为股东创造的价值很少。然而，科拉斯表示，赫兹交易提振特斯拉股价至少是有原因的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4 Reasons The Stock Is Moving:</b>First, despite its&nbsp;$1 trillion valuation,<b>Tesla’s business is still relatively small</b>&nbsp;compared to Ford, GM and others. Colas said the 100,000 vehicle orders will lock up a significant portion of Tesla’s production in the next year at a high-margin selling price of $42,000 per vehicle.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动的4个原因：</b>首先，尽管其估值高达1万亿美元，<b>特斯拉的业务还比较小</b>与福特、通用等公司相比。Colas表示，10万辆汽车订单将以每辆汽车4.2万美元的高利润售价锁定特斯拉明年的很大一部分产量。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the&nbsp;<b>partnership with Hertz will allow car renters to get behind the wheel of a Tesla for the first time</b>. These rentals can essentially serve as test drives that may convince more people to buy the cars, Colas said.</p><p><blockquote>第二，<b>与赫兹的合作将使汽车租赁者首次能够驾驶特斯拉</b>.科拉斯说，这些租赁本质上可以作为试驾，可能会说服更多的人购买汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Third,<b>Hertz’s large national network of locations could be helpful</b>&nbsp;as Tesla grows its number of charging stations. Colas said Hertz’s airport locations may be particularly convenient locations for business travelers to leave their cars to charge when they are out of town.</p><p><blockquote>第三，<b>赫兹庞大的全国网点网络可能会有所帮助</b>随着特斯拉充电站数量的增加。科拉斯表示，赫兹的机场位置可能是商务旅客出城时停车充电的特别方便的位置。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, Colas said Hertz and other rental car companies missed the boat on ridesharing disruption, but&nbsp;<b>partnering with Tesla and other next-generation auto tech companies can help rental companies make sure they are well-positioned for the next major disruptor: autonomous vehicles</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后，科拉斯表示，赫兹和其他租车公司错过了拼车中断的机会，但<b>与特斯拉和其他下一代汽车技术公司合作可以帮助租赁公司确保他们为下一个重大颠覆者：自动驾驶汽车做好准备</b>.</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla/Hertz is a fascinating case study in how new and old industries still need each other to maximize the impact of disruptive technologies on the one hand and leverage that same technology to remake a stale business model on the other,” Colas said.</p><p><blockquote>Colas表示：“特斯拉/赫兹是一个引人入胜的案例研究，一方面说明新旧行业仍然需要彼此最大限度地发挥颠覆性技术的影响，另一方面利用相同的技术重塑陈旧的商业模式。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>With business booming, the only question mark these days when it comes to Tesla is its valuation. Tesla shares trade at 20.9 times sales, more than double the multiple of all the other trillion-dollar S&amp;P 500 tech companies other than&nbsp;<b>Microsoft Corporation</b>&nbsp;(13.9).</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>随着业务的蓬勃发展，如今特斯拉唯一的问号是其估值。特斯拉股价是销售额的20.9倍，是除其他外所有其他万亿美元标普500科技公司的两倍多<b>微软公司</b> (13.9).</blockquote></p><p> Read:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1127302287\" target=\"_blank\">Tesla Lands A Massive Deal And Breaks $1 Trillion: Are Shares A Buy?</a></p><p><blockquote>阅读：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1127302287\" target=\"_blank\">特斯拉达成巨额交易并突破1万亿美元：股票值得买入吗？</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","HTZZ":"Hertz Global Holdings, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120494800","content_text":"Tesla Inc(NASDAQ:TSLA) shares rallied once again on Wednesday after ridesharing giant Uber Technologies Inc(NYSE:UBER) announced a new partnership with Hertz Global Holdings Inc(OTC:HTZZ) to offer 50,000 Tesla rentals to U.S. drivers.\nThe latest Uber news is one of several ways Tesla’s partnership with Hertz is creating value for the electric vehicle pioneer, according to DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas.\nOn Tuesday, Colas said at first glance, the market’s reaction to Hertz’s order of 100,000 Tesla Model 3s may be surprising to investors who remember when General Motors Company,Ford Motor Company and other auto companies owned Hertz,Avis Budget Group Inc. and other rental companies, which created very little value for shareholders. However, Colas said there are at least our reasons why the Hertz deal is boosting Tesla’s stock.\n4 Reasons The Stock Is Moving:First, despite its $1 trillion valuation,Tesla’s business is still relatively small compared to Ford, GM and others. Colas said the 100,000 vehicle orders will lock up a significant portion of Tesla’s production in the next year at a high-margin selling price of $42,000 per vehicle.\nSecond, the partnership with Hertz will allow car renters to get behind the wheel of a Tesla for the first time. These rentals can essentially serve as test drives that may convince more people to buy the cars, Colas said.\nThird,Hertz’s large national network of locations could be helpful as Tesla grows its number of charging stations. Colas said Hertz’s airport locations may be particularly convenient locations for business travelers to leave their cars to charge when they are out of town.\nFinally, Colas said Hertz and other rental car companies missed the boat on ridesharing disruption, but partnering with Tesla and other next-generation auto tech companies can help rental companies make sure they are well-positioned for the next major disruptor: autonomous vehicles.\n“Tesla/Hertz is a fascinating case study in how new and old industries still need each other to maximize the impact of disruptive technologies on the one hand and leverage that same technology to remake a stale business model on the other,” Colas said.\nBenzinga’s Take:With business booming, the only question mark these days when it comes to Tesla is its valuation. Tesla shares trade at 20.9 times sales, more than double the multiple of all the other trillion-dollar S&P 500 tech companies other than Microsoft Corporation (13.9).\nRead:Tesla Lands A Massive Deal And Breaks $1 Trillion: Are Shares A Buy?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"HTZZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867671505,"gmtCreate":1633264176449,"gmtModify":1633264176674,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586512925725941","idStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867671505","repostId":"2172647479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":881425760,"gmtCreate":1631381065850,"gmtModify":1631889542140,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586512925725941","idStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okkk","listText":"okkk","text":"okkk","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881425760","repostId":"1147045390","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147045390","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631321547,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147045390?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-11 08:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Apple’s Risk Is Limited<blockquote>为什么苹果的风险有限</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147045390","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple  to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30%","content":"<p>Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.</p><p><blockquote>周五的裁决要求苹果允许开发者为通过苹果应用商店下载的应用程序中的购买提供替代支付方式，这给其收入和利润带来了真实但有限的风险。</blockquote></p><p> In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.</p><p><blockquote>在堡垒之夜发行商Epic Games提起的案件中，美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers发布了一项永久禁令，要求苹果（股票代码：AAPL）允许开发者选择在其应用程序中包含替代支付方式的链接。苹果自己的支付系统从大型开发商那里收取30%的提成。</blockquote></p><p> Data from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.</p><p><blockquote>应用追踪器SensorTower的数据显示，2020年，苹果从App Store获得的总收入为723亿美元，产生的费用估计为217亿美元，约占苹果总收入的7%。其中包括在美国的210亿美元支出，产生约63亿美元的费用，约占年收入的2%。</blockquote></p><p> SensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.</p><p><blockquote>SensorTower估计，2020年App Store中的手机游戏支出为476亿美元，产生143亿美元的费用，略低于苹果总收入的5%。</blockquote></p><p> Gene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.</p><p><blockquote>风险投资公司Loup Capital董事总经理、长期跟踪苹果的前卖方分析师吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)估计，App Store约占该公司利润的14%。但他认为周五裁决的风险有限。</blockquote></p><p> Munster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.</p><p><blockquote>蒙斯特认为大多数应用程序开发人员将留在苹果系统内。他认为整体收入“最多”会受到2%的阻力，利润可能会受到4%的打击。</blockquote></p><p> “After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”</p><p><blockquote>“在这些变化的第一年之后，app store的增长率将恢复正常，”他说。“最重要的是，这最多是一年的逆风，不会改变苹果未来5年的发展方向。”</blockquote></p><p> Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.</p><p><blockquote>Evercore ISI分析师Amit Daryanani在一份研究报告中表示，这一裁决对苹果来说是一次挫折，但鉴于苹果有其他方式从商店创收，包括其不断增长的店内广告业务，最终的影响可能是可控的。他指出，苹果实际上在该案中的一个更大问题上取得了胜利：法官驳回了Epic关于App Store是非法垄断的主张。Daryanani估计苹果每股收益面临的风险为2%至4%。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analyst Dan Ives told&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush分析师Dan Ives告诉<i>巴伦周刊</i>他认为最坏的情况是收入受到3%至4%的打击，并将这种风险描述为“舍入误差”。虽然Ives表示，华尔街原本预计苹果会全面获胜，但这一喜忧参半的决定消除了该股的悬念，投资者可能会因为解决这个问题而松一口气。</blockquote></p><p> The ruling is more a positive for companies like&nbsp;Spotify Technology&nbsp;and&nbsp;Match Group&nbsp;than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97&nbsp;on&nbsp;Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and&nbsp;4.2%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，这一裁决对Spotify Technology和Match Group等公司来说更多的是积极的，而不是对苹果的负面影响。苹果股价周五下跌3.3%，至148.97美元，Spotify和March分别上涨0.7%和4.</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Apple’s Risk Is Limited<blockquote>为什么苹果的风险有限</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Apple’s Risk Is Limited<blockquote>为什么苹果的风险有限</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-11 08:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.</p><p><blockquote>周五的裁决要求苹果允许开发者为通过苹果应用商店下载的应用程序中的购买提供替代支付方式，这给其收入和利润带来了真实但有限的风险。</blockquote></p><p> In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.</p><p><blockquote>在堡垒之夜发行商Epic Games提起的案件中，美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers发布了一项永久禁令，要求苹果（股票代码：AAPL）允许开发者选择在其应用程序中包含替代支付方式的链接。苹果自己的支付系统从大型开发商那里收取30%的提成。</blockquote></p><p> Data from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.</p><p><blockquote>应用追踪器SensorTower的数据显示，2020年，苹果从App Store获得的总收入为723亿美元，产生的费用估计为217亿美元，约占苹果总收入的7%。其中包括在美国的210亿美元支出，产生约63亿美元的费用，约占年收入的2%。</blockquote></p><p> SensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.</p><p><blockquote>SensorTower估计，2020年App Store中的手机游戏支出为476亿美元，产生143亿美元的费用，略低于苹果总收入的5%。</blockquote></p><p> Gene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.</p><p><blockquote>风险投资公司Loup Capital董事总经理、长期跟踪苹果的前卖方分析师吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)估计，App Store约占该公司利润的14%。但他认为周五裁决的风险有限。</blockquote></p><p> Munster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.</p><p><blockquote>蒙斯特认为大多数应用程序开发人员将留在苹果系统内。他认为整体收入“最多”会受到2%的阻力，利润可能会受到4%的打击。</blockquote></p><p> “After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”</p><p><blockquote>“在这些变化的第一年之后，app store的增长率将恢复正常，”他说。“最重要的是，这最多是一年的逆风，不会改变苹果未来5年的发展方向。”</blockquote></p><p> Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.</p><p><blockquote>Evercore ISI分析师Amit Daryanani在一份研究报告中表示，这一裁决对苹果来说是一次挫折，但鉴于苹果有其他方式从商店创收，包括其不断增长的店内广告业务，最终的影响可能是可控的。他指出，苹果实际上在该案中的一个更大问题上取得了胜利：法官驳回了Epic关于App Store是非法垄断的主张。Daryanani估计苹果每股收益面临的风险为2%至4%。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analyst Dan Ives told&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush分析师Dan Ives告诉<i>巴伦周刊</i>他认为最坏的情况是收入受到3%至4%的打击，并将这种风险描述为“舍入误差”。虽然Ives表示，华尔街原本预计苹果会全面获胜，但这一喜忧参半的决定消除了该股的悬念，投资者可能会因为解决这个问题而松一口气。</blockquote></p><p> The ruling is more a positive for companies like&nbsp;Spotify Technology&nbsp;and&nbsp;Match Group&nbsp;than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97&nbsp;on&nbsp;Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and&nbsp;4.2%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，这一裁决对Spotify Technology和Match Group等公司来说更多的是积极的，而不是对苹果的负面影响。苹果股价周五下跌3.3%，至148.97美元，Spotify和March分别上涨0.7%和4.</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-app-store-epic-51631304007?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-app-store-epic-51631304007?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147045390","content_text":"Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.\nIn a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.\nData from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.\nSensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.\nGene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.\nMunster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.\n“After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”\nEvercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.\nWedbush analyst Dan Ives told Barron’s he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.\nThe ruling is more a positive for companies like Spotify Technology and Match Group than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97 on Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and 4.2%, respectively.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":537,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":693480535,"gmtCreate":1640061491330,"gmtModify":1640061491555,"author":{"id":"3586512925725941","authorId":"3586512925725941","name":"SALLY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3645082e74bb8034e0163391e44f18e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586512925725941","idStr":"3586512925725941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693480535","repostId":"2192358181","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}