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sjfoo0108

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2021-07-01

$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$wait for the star

2021-11-22

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$support支持

2021-11-14

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Like Please

2021-11-13

Bear is coming熊来了

Apple: The Bear Argument, And Why It's Wrong<blockquote>苹果：熊市论点及其错误的原因</blockquote>

2021-09-28

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$耐心

2021-09-16

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$support to $18

2021-11-06

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$支持国产

2022-02-02

like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-12-10

like

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2021-12-08

Great

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2021-11-21

micron, you must be joking

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2021-11-04

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$支持国产

2021-12-10

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2021-11-17

$GrowGeneration Corp.(GRWG)$never give up不放弃

2021-11-09

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$继续努力

2021-10-30

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$支持国产

2021-09-23

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$continue to climb继续攀升

2022-01-15

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Morgan Stanley Promotes Biggest Class of Managing Directors Since 2012<blockquote>摩根士丹利提拔2012年以来最大规模的董事总经理</blockquote>

2021-10-23

$NIO to follow

Tesla Stock Closed Above $900 for First Time. What Could Come Next.<blockquote>特斯拉股价首次收于900美元以上。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>

2021-10-12

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$支持国产

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由于市场已经对3月加息有充足预期，由加息3次-4次甚至到7次都有较充分的定价，所以理论上来说，美联储如果只是嘴炮的话，那几乎对市场影响不大。但鉴于目前的高通胀预期，美联储议息会议会否出现意料之外，来一次提前加息呢？ 一、“死给你看”的美股 今年美股开场可谓让人出乎意料地弱势，很难想象加息预期会对美股的影响如此强烈。但其它大宗商品却对加息视而不见，纷纷继续上涨，尤其是原油，拜登政府高调打压+美联储打压均未能阻止油价上涨，反而原油节节新高。那即意味着，市场认为加息其实对打压通胀毫无帮助，但反而阻碍经济复苏。这就与美联储期望的结果完全相反，加息和缩表将会冲击经济，所以美股先跌为敬，甚至可能影响1月份美联储议息会议的措辞转鸽派。 救还是不救股市，这都是个问题。跌穿年线，美股通常都会伴随一波中级调整，而当前年线标普的位置在4300点附近，能否抗住就看议息会议的结果了。打算抄底超跌反弹的朋友，可在该位置附近布局。由于2022年是全球股市容易发生共振的年份，因此博不博反弹就看各位的偏好了。 二、“准备突破”的黄金？ 上两周的前瞻帖子就跟大家讨论过黄金的走势情况，现在就来到了关键时点。 是突破挑战前高？ 还是再一次沉沦？ 估计就看这次议息会议的结果了，鸽派突破上涨，强硬鹰派方向下跌。在此我并没有方向上的预期，所以策略上，大家可以双买期权博一下方向。而且这次的方向确定后，估计走势会维持至3月份，所以喜欢做黄金的朋友请务必重视。 三、提防逼仓的原油 当前WTI原油合约间的价差已经拉得比较开，0-12月合约价差在10%。历史极值可以高达20%-30%，但通常都在极度事件和战争背景下发生。而目前美国与俄罗斯及乌克兰的关系会否升温至该阶段？最少大家要保","listText":"本周将迎来今年首次的美联储议息会议，按以往的惯例，美联储通常不会在季度月以外的议息会议中宣布加息，所以市场关注的焦点一般都在会议结束后的政策措辞上。 由于市场已经对3月加息有充足预期，由加息3次-4次甚至到7次都有较充分的定价，所以理论上来说，美联储如果只是嘴炮的话，那几乎对市场影响不大。但鉴于目前的高通胀预期，美联储议息会议会否出现意料之外，来一次提前加息呢？ 一、“死给你看”的美股 今年美股开场可谓让人出乎意料地弱势，很难想象加息预期会对美股的影响如此强烈。但其它大宗商品却对加息视而不见，纷纷继续上涨，尤其是原油，拜登政府高调打压+美联储打压均未能阻止油价上涨，反而原油节节新高。那即意味着，市场认为加息其实对打压通胀毫无帮助，但反而阻碍经济复苏。这就与美联储期望的结果完全相反，加息和缩表将会冲击经济，所以美股先跌为敬，甚至可能影响1月份美联储议息会议的措辞转鸽派。 救还是不救股市，这都是个问题。跌穿年线，美股通常都会伴随一波中级调整，而当前年线标普的位置在4300点附近，能否抗住就看议息会议的结果了。打算抄底超跌反弹的朋友，可在该位置附近布局。由于2022年是全球股市容易发生共振的年份，因此博不博反弹就看各位的偏好了。 二、“准备突破”的黄金？ 上两周的前瞻帖子就跟大家讨论过黄金的走势情况，现在就来到了关键时点。 是突破挑战前高？ 还是再一次沉沦？ 估计就看这次议息会议的结果了，鸽派突破上涨，强硬鹰派方向下跌。在此我并没有方向上的预期，所以策略上，大家可以双买期权博一下方向。而且这次的方向确定后，估计走势会维持至3月份，所以喜欢做黄金的朋友请务必重视。 三、提防逼仓的原油 当前WTI原油合约间的价差已经拉得比较开，0-12月合约价差在10%。历史极值可以高达20%-30%，但通常都在极度事件和战争背景下发生。而目前美国与俄罗斯及乌克兰的关系会否升温至该阶段？最少大家要保","text":"本周将迎来今年首次的美联储议息会议，按以往的惯例，美联储通常不会在季度月以外的议息会议中宣布加息，所以市场关注的焦点一般都在会议结束后的政策措辞上。 由于市场已经对3月加息有充足预期，由加息3次-4次甚至到7次都有较充分的定价，所以理论上来说，美联储如果只是嘴炮的话，那几乎对市场影响不大。但鉴于目前的高通胀预期，美联储议息会议会否出现意料之外，来一次提前加息呢？ 一、“死给你看”的美股 今年美股开场可谓让人出乎意料地弱势，很难想象加息预期会对美股的影响如此强烈。但其它大宗商品却对加息视而不见，纷纷继续上涨，尤其是原油，拜登政府高调打压+美联储打压均未能阻止油价上涨，反而原油节节新高。那即意味着，市场认为加息其实对打压通胀毫无帮助，但反而阻碍经济复苏。这就与美联储期望的结果完全相反，加息和缩表将会冲击经济，所以美股先跌为敬，甚至可能影响1月份美联储议息会议的措辞转鸽派。 救还是不救股市，这都是个问题。跌穿年线，美股通常都会伴随一波中级调整，而当前年线标普的位置在4300点附近，能否抗住就看议息会议的结果了。打算抄底超跌反弹的朋友，可在该位置附近布局。由于2022年是全球股市容易发生共振的年份，因此博不博反弹就看各位的偏好了。 二、“准备突破”的黄金？ 上两周的前瞻帖子就跟大家讨论过黄金的走势情况，现在就来到了关键时点。 是突破挑战前高？ 还是再一次沉沦？ 估计就看这次议息会议的结果了，鸽派突破上涨，强硬鹰派方向下跌。在此我并没有方向上的预期，所以策略上，大家可以双买期权博一下方向。而且这次的方向确定后，估计走势会维持至3月份，所以喜欢做黄金的朋友请务必重视。 三、提防逼仓的原油 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$网易-S(09999)$</a> 涨超3%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度集团-SW(09888)$</a> 涨超2%； 新能源汽车股走低，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$</a> 跌超3%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02015\">$理想汽车-W(02015)$</a> 跌超2%； 地产股多数上涨，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03383\">$雅居乐集团(03383)$</a> 涨7.5%，碧桂园服务、融创中国涨近7%； <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03883\">$中国奥园(03883)$</a> 跌5.7%，此前官宣“违约”，将不支付2022年1月到期票据剩余本息； <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02018\">$瑞声科技(02018)$</a> 跌5%，预计2021年净利润同比减少约12","text":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 1月20日，香港恒生指数开盘上涨135.3点，涨幅0.56%，报24263.15点；国企指数开盘上涨63.69点，涨幅0.75%，报8505.38点；红筹指数开盘上涨25.04点，涨幅0.6%，报4178.41点。 恒生科技指数开涨0.88%，科技股多数上扬，$网易-S(09999)$ 涨超3%，$百度集团-SW(09888)$ 涨超2%； 新能源汽车股走低，$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$ 跌超3%，$理想汽车-W(02015)$ 跌超2%； 地产股多数上涨，$雅居乐集团(03383)$ 涨7.5%，碧桂园服务、融创中国涨近7%； $中国奥园(03883)$ 跌5.7%，此前官宣“违约”，将不支付2022年1月到期票据剩余本息； $瑞声科技(02018)$ 跌5%，预计2021年净利润同比减少约12","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c224c9889536a14f83eca563ae0bb07","width":"666","height":"284"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630048732","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639200442,"gmtCreate":1643293794291,"gmtModify":1643293794526,"author":{"id":"3586842860544589","authorId":"3586842860544589","name":"sjfoo0108","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58fb2fc0bc203e30e119c9756c22ca34","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586842860544589","authorIdStr":"3586842860544589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"push","listText":"push","text":"push","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639200442","repostId":"697815514","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":697815514,"gmtCreate":1642400304357,"gmtModify":1642423724583,"author":{"id":"4092209177497620","authorId":"4092209177497620","name":"美股研习社","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/504f9801d521d1863fa1d263ff8ea79d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092209177497620","authorIdStr":"4092209177497620"},"themes":[],"title":"美股掘金 | 议员股神佩洛西的财富密码","htmlText":"摘要：或许议员比机构持仓更有指导意义 作者：美股研习社 刚过去的21年无疑是资本市场极不寻常的一年：通胀爆表，成长股腰斩式杀估值，中概寒冬，美联储年末转鹰...投资者们面临了比往常更多的挑战。而迈入22年，美股一直处在大幅震荡中，焦虑的市场仿佛找不到方向。 那么今年到底应该买什么呢？或许这个问题可以从一个特殊的群体中找到些蛛丝马迹，比如女议员“股神”佩洛西。在说佩洛西之前，我们不妨先来对比看看20年一战封神的另一位女股神Cathie Wood，Ark基金的掌门人“木头姐”。 01 木头姐的韭菜之路？ 20年木头姐因为旗舰基金Arkk重仓特斯拉走上神坛，被誉为“牛市女王”，受到一众散户追捧。而且她的每日操作公开透明，所以也方便追踪和抄作业。然而时间进入21年，如上图可见Arkk的表现可谓是江河日下，近一年回报率为触目惊心的-44.7%。 如果说是熊市，也许情有可原，然而同期标普500的表现却是+24.5——一来一回是高达近70个点的差距，如果去年选择长持Arkk的朋友可想而知...这也就是越来越多网友怒称其是“大韭菜”的原因，以至于甚至有专门做空Ark的SARK基金横空出世——如下图，SARK 11月成立以来回报率尽然高达约50%。 SARK成立以来走势 进一步来看，木头姐去年除了特斯拉，基本没有任何可圈可点的地方。而且去年Q4，她还在连续卖出特斯拉，不断加仓她认为的未来有颠覆式创新能力的公司，比如Teladoc Health，Roku、Zoom等等。 也许这些木头姐的心水股在5年乃至更久的时间也会有不错的回报，但目前仍然没有看到困境反转的点。比如Arkk目前第四重仓的Roku（持仓占比5.91%，相较21Q3仍有上升），股价自高点已下跌近70%，而关键基本面数据仍没有向好的趋势—— 从最近季度21Q3的财报数据来看，Roku的营收同比增长51%，和华尔街预期基本in lin","listText":"摘要：或许议员比机构持仓更有指导意义 作者：美股研习社 刚过去的21年无疑是资本市场极不寻常的一年：通胀爆表，成长股腰斩式杀估值，中概寒冬，美联储年末转鹰...投资者们面临了比往常更多的挑战。而迈入22年，美股一直处在大幅震荡中，焦虑的市场仿佛找不到方向。 那么今年到底应该买什么呢？或许这个问题可以从一个特殊的群体中找到些蛛丝马迹，比如女议员“股神”佩洛西。在说佩洛西之前，我们不妨先来对比看看20年一战封神的另一位女股神Cathie Wood，Ark基金的掌门人“木头姐”。 01 木头姐的韭菜之路？ 20年木头姐因为旗舰基金Arkk重仓特斯拉走上神坛，被誉为“牛市女王”，受到一众散户追捧。而且她的每日操作公开透明，所以也方便追踪和抄作业。然而时间进入21年，如上图可见Arkk的表现可谓是江河日下，近一年回报率为触目惊心的-44.7%。 如果说是熊市，也许情有可原，然而同期标普500的表现却是+24.5——一来一回是高达近70个点的差距，如果去年选择长持Arkk的朋友可想而知...这也就是越来越多网友怒称其是“大韭菜”的原因，以至于甚至有专门做空Ark的SARK基金横空出世——如下图，SARK 11月成立以来回报率尽然高达约50%。 SARK成立以来走势 进一步来看，木头姐去年除了特斯拉，基本没有任何可圈可点的地方。而且去年Q4，她还在连续卖出特斯拉，不断加仓她认为的未来有颠覆式创新能力的公司，比如Teladoc Health，Roku、Zoom等等。 也许这些木头姐的心水股在5年乃至更久的时间也会有不错的回报，但目前仍然没有看到困境反转的点。比如Arkk目前第四重仓的Roku（持仓占比5.91%，相较21Q3仍有上升），股价自高点已下跌近70%，而关键基本面数据仍没有向好的趋势—— 从最近季度21Q3的财报数据来看，Roku的营收同比增长51%，和华尔街预期基本in lin","text":"摘要：或许议员比机构持仓更有指导意义 作者：美股研习社 刚过去的21年无疑是资本市场极不寻常的一年：通胀爆表，成长股腰斩式杀估值，中概寒冬，美联储年末转鹰...投资者们面临了比往常更多的挑战。而迈入22年，美股一直处在大幅震荡中，焦虑的市场仿佛找不到方向。 那么今年到底应该买什么呢？或许这个问题可以从一个特殊的群体中找到些蛛丝马迹，比如女议员“股神”佩洛西。在说佩洛西之前，我们不妨先来对比看看20年一战封神的另一位女股神Cathie Wood，Ark基金的掌门人“木头姐”。 01 木头姐的韭菜之路？ 20年木头姐因为旗舰基金Arkk重仓特斯拉走上神坛，被誉为“牛市女王”，受到一众散户追捧。而且她的每日操作公开透明，所以也方便追踪和抄作业。然而时间进入21年，如上图可见Arkk的表现可谓是江河日下，近一年回报率为触目惊心的-44.7%。 如果说是熊市，也许情有可原，然而同期标普500的表现却是+24.5——一来一回是高达近70个点的差距，如果去年选择长持Arkk的朋友可想而知...这也就是越来越多网友怒称其是“大韭菜”的原因，以至于甚至有专门做空Ark的SARK基金横空出世——如下图，SARK 11月成立以来回报率尽然高达约50%。 SARK成立以来走势 进一步来看，木头姐去年除了特斯拉，基本没有任何可圈可点的地方。而且去年Q4，她还在连续卖出特斯拉，不断加仓她认为的未来有颠覆式创新能力的公司，比如Teladoc Health，Roku、Zoom等等。 也许这些木头姐的心水股在5年乃至更久的时间也会有不错的回报，但目前仍然没有看到困境反转的点。比如Arkk目前第四重仓的Roku（持仓占比5.91%，相较21Q3仍有上升），股价自高点已下跌近70%，而关键基本面数据仍没有向好的趋势—— 从最近季度21Q3的财报数据来看，Roku的营收同比增长51%，和华尔街预期基本in 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<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> 在毫无征兆的情况下，宣布将以每股95美元的价格全现金<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">$动视暴雪(ATVI)$</a> ，交易总价值687亿美元，较ATVI的前天收盘溢价45%。全球游戏玩家和股民炸开了锅。 这不仅是迄今为止全球游戏行业内规模最大的收购案，也是微软自1975年成立以来所进行的最大一笔收购。交易完成后，微软将获得动视暴雪和子公司King旗下所有工作室的运营管理权，暴雪旗下的游戏我就不细数了，80年代的回忆杀。全现金、明年完成！微软和暴雪的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;16425609441647&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">电话会</a>中显示双方都认为这个收购是完美的！说明交易成功性非常高，这对近期深陷丑闻漩涡暴雪来说无疑是迎来了一次涅槃重生的机会。而这笔交易的完成，也意味着微软将超过任天堂成为全球收入第三高的游戏公司，仅次于腾讯和索尼。微软CEO纳德拉表示，这笔交易将对微软下一步开发元宇宙发挥关键作用，这些游戏IP将是元宇宙的入口。 关于收购的分析今天已经很多，推荐大家看今天电话会的文字稿，非常具有前瞻指导。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/697415374\" target=\"_blank\">微软687亿美元并购动视暴雪会议纪要完整版</a>","listText":"“上帝给暴雪关上了一个door，就会给他开一扇Windows”。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> 在毫无征兆的情况下，宣布将以每股95美元的价格全现金<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">$动视暴雪(ATVI)$</a> ，交易总价值687亿美元，较ATVI的前天收盘溢价45%。全球游戏玩家和股民炸开了锅。 这不仅是迄今为止全球游戏行业内规模最大的收购案，也是微软自1975年成立以来所进行的最大一笔收购。交易完成后，微软将获得动视暴雪和子公司King旗下所有工作室的运营管理权，暴雪旗下的游戏我就不细数了，80年代的回忆杀。全现金、明年完成！微软和暴雪的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;16425609441647&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">电话会</a>中显示双方都认为这个收购是完美的！说明交易成功性非常高，这对近期深陷丑闻漩涡暴雪来说无疑是迎来了一次涅槃重生的机会。而这笔交易的完成，也意味着微软将超过任天堂成为全球收入第三高的游戏公司，仅次于腾讯和索尼。微软CEO纳德拉表示，这笔交易将对微软下一步开发元宇宙发挥关键作用，这些游戏IP将是元宇宙的入口。 关于收购的分析今天已经很多，推荐大家看今天电话会的文字稿，非常具有前瞻指导。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/697415374\" target=\"_blank\">微软687亿美元并购动视暴雪会议纪要完整版</a>","text":"“上帝给暴雪关上了一个door，就会给他开一扇Windows”。 $微软(MSFT)$ 在毫无征兆的情况下，宣布将以每股95美元的价格全现金$动视暴雪(ATVI)$ ，交易总价值687亿美元，较ATVI的前天收盘溢价45%。全球游戏玩家和股民炸开了锅。 这不仅是迄今为止全球游戏行业内规模最大的收购案，也是微软自1975年成立以来所进行的最大一笔收购。交易完成后，微软将获得动视暴雪和子公司King旗下所有工作室的运营管理权，暴雪旗下的游戏我就不细数了，80年代的回忆杀。全现金、明年完成！微软和暴雪的电话会中显示双方都认为这个收购是完美的！说明交易成功性非常高，这对近期深陷丑闻漩涡暴雪来说无疑是迎来了一次涅槃重生的机会。而这笔交易的完成，也意味着微软将超过任天堂成为全球收入第三高的游戏公司，仅次于腾讯和索尼。微软CEO纳德拉表示，这笔交易将对微软下一步开发元宇宙发挥关键作用，这些游戏IP将是元宇宙的入口。 关于收购的分析今天已经很多，推荐大家看今天电话会的文字稿，非常具有前瞻指导。 微软687亿美元并购动视暴雪会议纪要完整版","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd4d2f45c217529a7e6c7582585fd3ee","width":"890","height":"894"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96914bbe34bd1729e28e4b2efe18e428","width":"902","height":"922"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bdd90625e539365f110b177070842bf","width":"1272","height":"372"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697422155","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2186,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630744247,"gmtCreate":1643068500475,"gmtModify":1643068500681,"author":{"id":"3586842860544589","authorId":"3586842860544589","name":"sjfoo0108","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58fb2fc0bc203e30e119c9756c22ca34","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586842860544589","authorIdStr":"3586842860544589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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Brokers(TIGR)$</a>push","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>push","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$push","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5572b9ffa867c8a39372c51df489b691","width":"1042","height":"4010"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630255898","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":976,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697560553,"gmtCreate":1642518971238,"gmtModify":1642518971479,"author":{"id":"3586842860544589","authorId":"3586842860544589","name":"sjfoo0108","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58fb2fc0bc203e30e119c9756c22ca34","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586842860544589","authorIdStr":"3586842860544589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697560553","repostId":"1128156832","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128156832","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642518743,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128156832?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-18 23:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Snowflake Stock Gets Another Upgrade. Why an Analyst Sees a Buying Opportunity.<blockquote>雪花股票再次升级。为什么分析师会看到买入机会。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128156832","media":"Barrons","summary":"Snowflake received another upgrade on Tuesday, as Wall Street continues to see positive trends ahead","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Snowflake received another upgrade on Tuesday, as Wall Street continues to see positive trends ahead for the cloud-based data analytics company.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>Snowflake周二再次获得升级，华尔街继续看到这家基于云的数据分析公司未来的积极趋势。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>William Blair analyst Kamil Mielczarek lifted the stock’s rating to Outperform from Market Perform. Last week, Barclays <a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/snowflake-stock-upgrade-51642003586?mod=md_stockoverview_news\" target=\"_blank\">upgrade</a>d the stock to Overweight.</p><p><blockquote>William Blair分析师Kamil Mielczarek将该股评级从大盘表现上调至跑赢大盘。上周，巴克莱<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/snowflake-stock-upgrade-51642003586?mod=md_stockoverview_news\" target=\"_blank\">升级</a>d库存到跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p>Mielczarek’s take is based on Snowflake’s (ticker: SNOW) “better-than-expected growth in 2021 and the recent pullback in the stock price.” The analyst has a $330  price target.</p><p><blockquote>Mielczarek的观点是基于Snowflake（股票代码：SNOW）“2021年好于预期的增长以及近期股价的回调”。分析师的目标价为330美元。</blockquote></p><p>Shares fell 1.9% to $ 284.20 shortly after the market open Tuesday, while the Nasdaq Composite was down 1.7%.</p><p><blockquote>周二开盘后不久，股价下跌1.9%，至284.20美元，而纳斯达克综合指数下跌1.7%。</blockquote></p><p>Snowflake, founded in 2013, provides cloud data warehousing software. It provides a host of products and security analysis tools to the federal government, financial services, healthcare, media and entertainment, and other industries.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake成立于2013年，提供云数据仓库软件。它为联邦政府、金融服务、医疗保健、媒体和娱乐以及其他行业提供大量产品和安全分析工具。</blockquote></p><p>Mielczarek listed several tailwinds, many of which were accelerated by the pandemic, including the “accelerated pace of digitization, the growth in data, and the increased need for analytics to deliver competitive differentiation.”</p><p><blockquote>Mielczarek列出了几个有利因素，其中许多因素因疫情而加速，包括“数字化步伐加快、数据增长以及对分析以实现竞争差异化的需求增加”。</blockquote></p><p>The stock has declined by 12.3% since WIliam Blair initiated coverage in mid-December 2020, while the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have increased by a respective 25.7% and 16.8%.</p><p><blockquote>自WIliam Blair于2020年12月中旬开始报道以来，该股已下跌12.3%，而标普500和纳斯达克综合指数分别上涨了25.7%和16.8%。</blockquote></p><p>“We remain cautious about increased competition and market pressures long term,” said Mielczarek. “But believe the company will be able to sustain strong growth over the next few years.”</p><p><blockquote>Mielczarek表示：“从长远来看，我们对竞争加剧和市场压力保持谨慎态度。”“但相信公司将能够在未来几年保持强劲增长。”</blockquote></p><p>Barclays’ call on Snowflake was part of a broad look at enterprise software companies for 2022. Analyst Raimo Lenschow said that end-demand for enterprise software remains strong, though noted that investors should stay selective.</p><p><blockquote>Barclays对Snowflake的看涨期权是2022年企业软件公司广泛审视的一部分。分析师Raimo Lenschow表示，企业软件的最终需求仍然强劲，但指出投资者应保持选择性。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Snowflake Stock Gets Another Upgrade. 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Why an Analyst Sees a Buying Opportunity.<blockquote>雪花股票再次升级。为什么分析师会看到买入机会。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-18 23:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Snowflake received another upgrade on Tuesday, as Wall Street continues to see positive trends ahead for the cloud-based data analytics company.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>Snowflake周二再次获得升级，华尔街继续看到这家基于云的数据分析公司未来的积极趋势。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>William Blair analyst Kamil Mielczarek lifted the stock’s rating to Outperform from Market Perform. Last week, Barclays <a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/snowflake-stock-upgrade-51642003586?mod=md_stockoverview_news\" target=\"_blank\">upgrade</a>d the stock to Overweight.</p><p><blockquote>William Blair分析师Kamil Mielczarek将该股评级从大盘表现上调至跑赢大盘。上周，巴克莱<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/snowflake-stock-upgrade-51642003586?mod=md_stockoverview_news\" target=\"_blank\">升级</a>d库存到跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p>Mielczarek’s take is based on Snowflake’s (ticker: SNOW) “better-than-expected growth in 2021 and the recent pullback in the stock price.” The analyst has a $330  price target.</p><p><blockquote>Mielczarek的观点是基于Snowflake（股票代码：SNOW）“2021年好于预期的增长以及近期股价的回调”。分析师的目标价为330美元。</blockquote></p><p>Shares fell 1.9% to $ 284.20 shortly after the market open Tuesday, while the Nasdaq Composite was down 1.7%.</p><p><blockquote>周二开盘后不久，股价下跌1.9%，至284.20美元，而纳斯达克综合指数下跌1.7%。</blockquote></p><p>Snowflake, founded in 2013, provides cloud data warehousing software. It provides a host of products and security analysis tools to the federal government, financial services, healthcare, media and entertainment, and other industries.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake成立于2013年，提供云数据仓库软件。它为联邦政府、金融服务、医疗保健、媒体和娱乐以及其他行业提供大量产品和安全分析工具。</blockquote></p><p>Mielczarek listed several tailwinds, many of which were accelerated by the pandemic, including the “accelerated pace of digitization, the growth in data, and the increased need for analytics to deliver competitive differentiation.”</p><p><blockquote>Mielczarek列出了几个有利因素，其中许多因素因疫情而加速，包括“数字化步伐加快、数据增长以及对分析以实现竞争差异化的需求增加”。</blockquote></p><p>The stock has declined by 12.3% since WIliam Blair initiated coverage in mid-December 2020, while the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have increased by a respective 25.7% and 16.8%.</p><p><blockquote>自WIliam Blair于2020年12月中旬开始报道以来，该股已下跌12.3%，而标普500和纳斯达克综合指数分别上涨了25.7%和16.8%。</blockquote></p><p>“We remain cautious about increased competition and market pressures long term,” said Mielczarek. “But believe the company will be able to sustain strong growth over the next few years.”</p><p><blockquote>Mielczarek表示：“从长远来看，我们对竞争加剧和市场压力保持谨慎态度。”“但相信公司将能够在未来几年保持强劲增长。”</blockquote></p><p>Barclays’ call on Snowflake was part of a broad look at enterprise software companies for 2022. Analyst Raimo Lenschow said that end-demand for enterprise software remains strong, though noted that investors should stay selective.</p><p><blockquote>Barclays对Snowflake的看涨期权是2022年企业软件公司广泛审视的一部分。分析师Raimo Lenschow表示，企业软件的最终需求仍然强劲，但指出投资者应保持选择性。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/snowflake-stock-another-upgrade-51642517269?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNOW":"Snowflake"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/snowflake-stock-another-upgrade-51642517269?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128156832","content_text":"Snowflake received another upgrade on Tuesday, as Wall Street continues to see positive trends ahead for the cloud-based data analytics company.William Blair analyst Kamil Mielczarek lifted the stock’s rating to Outperform from Market Perform. Last week, Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight.Mielczarek’s take is based on Snowflake’s (ticker: SNOW) “better-than-expected growth in 2021 and the recent pullback in the stock price.” The analyst has a $330  price target.Shares fell 1.9% to $ 284.20 shortly after the market open Tuesday, while the Nasdaq Composite was down 1.7%.Snowflake, founded in 2013, provides cloud data warehousing software. It provides a host of products and security analysis tools to the federal government, financial services, healthcare, media and entertainment, and other industries.Mielczarek listed several tailwinds, many of which were accelerated by the pandemic, including the “accelerated pace of digitization, the growth in data, and the increased need for analytics to deliver competitive differentiation.”The stock has declined by 12.3% since WIliam Blair initiated coverage in mid-December 2020, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have increased by a respective 25.7% and 16.8%.“We remain cautious about increased competition and market pressures long term,” said Mielczarek. “But believe the company will be able to sustain strong growth over the next few years.”Barclays’ call on Snowflake was part of a broad look at enterprise software companies for 2022. Analyst Raimo Lenschow said that end-demand for enterprise software remains strong, though noted that investors should stay selective.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SNOW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697560815,"gmtCreate":1642518947154,"gmtModify":1642518947359,"author":{"id":"3586842860544589","authorId":"3586842860544589","name":"sjfoo0108","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58fb2fc0bc203e30e119c9756c22ca34","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586842860544589","authorIdStr":"3586842860544589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRWG\">$GrowGeneration Corp.(GRWG)$</a>up and away","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRWG\">$GrowGeneration Corp.(GRWG)$</a>up and away","text":"$GrowGeneration Corp.(GRWG)$up and 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Brokers(TIGR)$support支持","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ded5510da284db8170079e32c25e4c75","width":"1200","height":"2133"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872282454","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873177949,"gmtCreate":1636901236765,"gmtModify":1636901236890,"author":{"id":"3586842860544589","authorId":"3586842860544589","name":"sjfoo0108","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58fb2fc0bc203e30e119c9756c22ca34","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586842860544589","authorIdStr":"3586842860544589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Like Please","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Like Please","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Like Please","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36e663ee3202c3e7cbd026bf48a039b1","width":"1200","height":"2133"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873177949","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879457539,"gmtCreate":1636767251439,"gmtModify":1636767251439,"author":{"id":"3586842860544589","authorId":"3586842860544589","name":"sjfoo0108","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58fb2fc0bc203e30e119c9756c22ca34","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586842860544589","authorIdStr":"3586842860544589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bear is coming熊来了","listText":"Bear is coming熊来了","text":"Bear is coming熊来了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879457539","repostId":"1129004768","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129004768","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636764434,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129004768?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-13 08:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: The Bear Argument, And Why It's Wrong<blockquote>苹果：熊市论点及其错误的原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129004768","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Apple has failed to stay above $150 per share for long, and bears are starting to pay attention to the recent weakness in price.I list a couple of the most popular bearish arguments, and explain why I believe that they are either short-sighted or most likely incorrect.Maybe AAPL is not the same pound-the-table buy, but I continue to think that this is a stock to own today through the next several years.This may also help to explain, in part, why Apple's revenues in Greater China shot through the","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has failed to stay above $150 per share for long, and bears are starting to pay attention to the recent weakness in price.</li>  <li>I list a couple of the most popular bearish arguments, and explain why I believe that they are either short-sighted or most likely incorrect.</li>  <li>Maybe AAPL is not the same pound-the-table buy, but I continue to think that this is a stock to own today through the next several years.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bc955cc5d27328c3b89b327b9368d27\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1020\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>kmwphotography/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果未能长期保持在每股150美元以上，空头开始关注近期价格的疲软。</li><li>我列出了几个最流行的看跌论点，并解释了为什么我认为它们要么是短视的，要么很可能是不正确的。</li><li>也许苹果公司并不是同样值得买入的股票，但我仍然认为这是一只今天值得在未来几年持有的股票。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>kmwphotography/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Apple (AAPL) once again failing to make fresh all-time highs, now down around 6% from the peak and dipping closer towards key moving-average support, bears have started to pay attention. Still, I think that the case for selling (or shorting) this stock does not hold much water in the long term, and I believe that bears will ultimately tire of swimming against the current.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果(AAPL)再次未能创下历史新高，目前较峰值下跌约6%，并接近关键移动平均线支撑位，空头开始关注。尽管如此，我认为从长远来看，出售（或做空）这只股票的理由并不成立，而且我相信空头最终会厌倦逆流而上。</blockquote></p><p> Below, I list the most common few reasons why one might want to dump or stay away from Apple shares – and why I think that the bearish case is either short-sighted or most likely incorrect.</p><p><blockquote>下面，我列出了人们可能想要抛售或远离苹果股票的几个最常见的原因，以及为什么我认为看跌情况要么是短视的，要么很可能是不正确的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key risk #1: drop-off in demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键风险#1：需求下降</b></blockquote></p><p> Not many analysts and portfolio managers have been vocal about avoiding or selling Apple. Experts like New Street's&nbsp;Pierre Ferragu&nbsp;and Satori Fund's&nbsp;Dan Niles&nbsp;are the few that come to mind, and their theses seem to align pretty well with every other bearish call on AAPL that I have seen recently.</p><p><blockquote>没有多少分析师和投资组合经理公开表示要避免或出售苹果。像New Street的Pierre Ferragu和Satori Fund的Dan Niles这样的专家是我想到的少数几个，他们的论点似乎与我最近看到的所有其他看跌AAPL的看涨期权非常一致。</blockquote></p><p> The first common reason to sell the stock is often phrased in different ways, but can effectively be summarized as follows: Apple's financial results in the near term should suffer from demand that has already turned into revenues in calendar 2020, during the thick of the pandemic and stay-at-home consumption wave. This is particularly true following the launch of the iPhone 13 that some (including legendary Apple founder&nbsp;Steve Wozniak) see as merely a minor upgrade from the previous model.</p><p><blockquote>出售股票的第一个常见原因通常以不同的方式表述，但可以有效地总结如下：苹果近期的财务业绩应该会受到需求的影响，而需求已经在2020年疫情最严重的时候转化为收入和居家消费浪潮。在iPhone 13发布之后尤其如此，一些人（包括传奇的苹果创始人Steve Wozniak）认为iPhone 13只是对上一款机型的小幅升级。</blockquote></p><p> I see the concern here, especially considering that Apple will start to face unsurmountable iPhone comps in the holidays and post-holiday quarters – see graph below. But the same chart also shows that there seemed to exist quite a bit of pent-up demand over the many quarters that preceded the iPhone 12 launch. One possible justification for this shift in sales from fiscal 2019-2020 to 2021 is Apple's late entry into the 5G space. Consumers that are loyal to or just prefer the iOS device probably waited patiently to upgrade or switch, and then they did it all at once.</p><p><blockquote>我看到了这里的担忧，特别是考虑到苹果将在假期和节后季度开始面临无法克服的iPhone竞争——见下图。但同一张图表还显示，在iPhone 12发布之前的许多季度中，似乎存在相当多被压抑的需求。销售额从2019-2020财年转移到2021财年的一个可能原因是苹果进入5G领域较晚。忠于或只是喜欢iOS设备的消费者可能会耐心等待升级或切换，然后他们一下子就完成了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dc677f0a1c77dd39f40b4cc99c6fc15\" tg-width=\"460\" tg-height=\"322\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: DM Martins Research, data from company reports</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：DM Martins Research，数据来自公司报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This may also help to explain, in part, why Apple's revenues in Greater China shot through the roof in the past 6 to 12 months. With the country's 5G infrastructure being further developed, owning a device that can handle the faster speeds probably makes most sense. Sales in the region had been lackluster to say the least since 2015, and dropped YOY by as much as 29% in fiscal Q4 of 2020. In the past three quarters, however, revenues climbed by at least 57% in each period.</p><p><blockquote>这也可能有助于部分解释为什么苹果在大中华区的收入在过去6至12个月内飙升。随着该国5G基础设施的进一步发展，拥有一款能够处理更快速度的设备可能是最有意义的。至少可以说，自2015年以来，该地区的销售额一直低迷，2020财年第四季度同比下降了29%。然而，在过去三个季度中，每个季度的收入都至少增长了57%。</blockquote></p><p> In the end, over the last 12 quarters – i.e. roughly the useful life of the average iPhone – Apple's smartphone sales have risen by only 4.8% per year. Considering that ASP (average selling price) has likely increased during the period, this figure barely represents any meaningful growth in device shipments over a full cycle. Therefore, to think that demand for Apple's products will fall off a cliff next seems like a stretch, especially if one also considers chip innovation and design updates in Mac and iPad.</p><p><blockquote>最终，在过去的12个季度（大约是iPhone的平均使用寿命）中，苹果的智能手机销量每年仅增长4.8%。考虑到ASP（平均售价）在此期间可能有所上涨，这一数字几乎不能代表整个周期内设备出货量的任何有意义的增长。因此，认为接下来对苹果产品的需求会断崖式下跌似乎有些牵强，特别是如果还考虑到Mac和iPad的芯片创新和设计更新的话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key risk #2: valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键风险#2：估值</b></blockquote></p><p> The other key risk of investing in Apple that is often brought up is valuation. Dan Niles, mentioned above, suggests that a next-year P/E of 26 times might not even be the biggest deal. The problem is that this multiple looks too rich against growth expectations that are modest.Analysts expect Apple's EPS&nbsp;to rise by only 4% per year through fiscal 2025. Alphabet (GOOG)(GOOGL), valued at a similar earnings multiple, is expected to drive earnings 16% higher per year over a similar period.</p><p><blockquote>投资苹果经常被提及的另一个主要风险是估值。上面提到的丹·奈尔斯(Dan Niles)表示，明年26倍的市盈率可能甚至不是最大的交易。问题是，与温和的增长预期相比，这个市盈率看起来太高了。分析师预计，到2025财年，苹果的每股收益每年仅增长4%。Alphabet(GOOG)（GOOGL）的市盈率相似，预计同期盈利每年将增长16%。</blockquote></p><p> That, in my view, is a more reasonable bearish argument. Per my estimates, Apple is by far the stock with the highest PEG ratio (P/E over long-term EPS growth) of 6.5 times. Amazon (AMZN) is a very distant second on this metric, at 2.3 times. But even here, I see a good argument to be made in favor of Apple.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，这是一个更合理的看跌论点。根据我的估计，苹果是迄今为止PEG比率（市盈率超过长期每股收益增长）最高的股票，为6.5倍。亚马逊(AMZN)在这一指标上远远落后于第二名，为2.3倍。但即使在这里，我也看到了一个支持苹果的好理由。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> First, the company has been proving to be a powerful gatekeeper in the tech world. Here is one example: the first, most blatant sign that Apple's iOS privacy policy changes in the summer&nbsp;have been hurting social media companies&nbsp;and their financial statements&nbsp;led to the Nasdaqe&nbsp;rasing $120 billion in market value in a matter of minutes – most of which coming from internet stocks. Should one be expected to pay a premium for a stock in the face of such market control? I would say so.</p><p><blockquote>首先，该公司已被证明是科技界强大的看门人。这里有一个例子：第一个也是最明显的迹象表明，苹果今年夏天iOS隐私政策的变化一直在损害社交媒体公司，它们的财务报表导致纳斯达克在几分钟内市值飙升1200亿美元——其中大部分来自互联网股票。面对这种市场控制，人们应该为股票支付溢价吗？我会这么说。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0946db3f3bc62569a56f2dbe2aa75922\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Also, as the chart above depicts, Apple's forward-year P/E has certainly expanded relative to what it used to be a few years ago. But the multi-year move higher seems consistent with (1) a wave of increased demand for Apple's products and services, (2) better margins, (3) a drop in interest rates in 2020, and (4) a broad stock market that has become generally more expensive. Compared to how AAPL traded only about three months ago, P/E has in fact dipped about three turns and returned to early 2021 levels.</p><p><blockquote>此外，如上图所示，苹果的远期市盈率相对于几年前肯定有所扩大。但多年来的上涨似乎与(1)对苹果产品和服务的需求增加浪潮、(2)利润率提高、(3)2020年利率下降以及(4)广泛的股市一致市场普遍变得更加昂贵。与大约三个月前AAPL的交易方式相比，市盈率实际上已经下降了大约三圈，并回到了2021年初的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key risk #3: lack of positive catalysts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键风险#3：缺乏积极的催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p> The next risk to investing in Apple that is often cited are short-term catalysts. The iPhone 13 was announced a few weeks ago, and&nbsp;so has the refreshed lineup&nbsp;of MacBook Pro devices equipped with the new M1 Pro and Max chips. Fiscal fourth quarter earnings is also in the rearview mirror. In fact, I think that the drop off in relevant Apple news in the fourth quarter correlates well with a stock that, seasonally, tends to perform worse in the November-to-January period. Bears may also argue that, with a few quarters of tough comps ahead, investors might have a hard time finding reasons to buy AAPL in the next few months.</p><p><blockquote>经常提到的投资苹果的下一个风险是短期催化剂。iPhone 13在几周前发布，配备新M1 Pro和Max芯片的MacBook Pro设备的更新阵容也是如此。第四财季盈利也已成为过去。事实上，我认为第四季度相关苹果新闻的下降与一只股票在11月至1月期间季节性表现往往较差的股票密切相关。看空者还可能辩称，由于未来几个季度的业绩艰难，投资者可能很难在未来几个月内找到购买苹果公司的理由。</blockquote></p><p> But here, I believe that a bit of patience is warranted. First, the recent malaise in share price alone may be enough to attract new money from investors looking for a good deal on a high-quality stock. But more importantly, longer-term catalysts are likely to make more of a difference on share price and financial performance over the next, say, five years.</p><p><blockquote>但在这里，我认为需要一点耐心。首先，仅最近股价的低迷就足以吸引寻求优质股票优惠的投资者的新资金。但更重要的是，长期催化剂可能会在未来五年内对股价和财务业绩产生更大影响。</blockquote></p><p> I have previously talked in more detail about two catalysts that quickly come to mind. I doubt that much upside from initiatives like mixed reality and&nbsp;autonomous vehicle&nbsp;has been factored into analysts' financial models – and hence, properly priced into the stock. Because Apple is run by a conservative team of executives, I bet that both massive growth opportunities will be pursued if and when they are accretive to the company's earnings. They should, therefore, serve as the key catalysts driving long-term growth expectations (which is relevant for risk #1 above) and share price higher.</p><p><blockquote>我之前已经更详细地谈到了两个很快浮现在脑海中的催化剂。我怀疑混合现实和自动驾驶汽车等举措的太大好处是否已纳入分析师的财务模型，因此也无法正确定价到股票中。由于苹果是由一个保守的高管团队运营的，我敢打赌，如果这两个巨大的增长机会能够增加公司的盈利，那么它们就会被追求。因此，它们应该成为推动长期增长预期（与上述风险#1相关）和股价上涨的关键催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总之</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple may not be the same pound-the-table opportunity that I believed it to be&nbsp;in February 2021&nbsp;or, better yet,in April 2018&nbsp;– in both cases, I believed that shares had sold off for no good reason. But I continue to think that AAPL is a stock to own today through the next several years, especially now that the earnings multiple has started to rerate towards year-ago levels. Should Apple continue to head lower in the near term, the pullback (assuming no meaningful change in business fundamentals) would present an even better chance to buy.</p><p><blockquote>苹果可能不像我在2021年2月或更好的2018年4月那样是一个巨大的机会——在这两种情况下，我都认为股票毫无理由地遭到抛售。但我仍然认为，苹果公司是一只值得在未来几年持有的股票，尤其是现在市盈率已开始重估至去年同期的水平。如果苹果短期内继续走低，回调（假设商业基本面没有发生有意义的变化）将提供更好的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: The Bear Argument, And Why It's Wrong<blockquote>苹果：熊市论点及其错误的原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: The Bear Argument, And Why It's Wrong<blockquote>苹果：熊市论点及其错误的原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-13 08:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has failed to stay above $150 per share for long, and bears are starting to pay attention to the recent weakness in price.</li>  <li>I list a couple of the most popular bearish arguments, and explain why I believe that they are either short-sighted or most likely incorrect.</li>  <li>Maybe AAPL is not the same pound-the-table buy, but I continue to think that this is a stock to own today through the next several years.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bc955cc5d27328c3b89b327b9368d27\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1020\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>kmwphotography/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果未能长期保持在每股150美元以上，空头开始关注近期价格的疲软。</li><li>我列出了几个最流行的看跌论点，并解释了为什么我认为它们要么是短视的，要么很可能是不正确的。</li><li>也许苹果公司并不是同样值得买入的股票，但我仍然认为这是一只今天值得在未来几年持有的股票。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>kmwphotography/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Apple (AAPL) once again failing to make fresh all-time highs, now down around 6% from the peak and dipping closer towards key moving-average support, bears have started to pay attention. Still, I think that the case for selling (or shorting) this stock does not hold much water in the long term, and I believe that bears will ultimately tire of swimming against the current.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果(AAPL)再次未能创下历史新高，目前较峰值下跌约6%，并接近关键移动平均线支撑位，空头开始关注。尽管如此，我认为从长远来看，出售（或做空）这只股票的理由并不成立，而且我相信空头最终会厌倦逆流而上。</blockquote></p><p> Below, I list the most common few reasons why one might want to dump or stay away from Apple shares – and why I think that the bearish case is either short-sighted or most likely incorrect.</p><p><blockquote>下面，我列出了人们可能想要抛售或远离苹果股票的几个最常见的原因，以及为什么我认为看跌情况要么是短视的，要么很可能是不正确的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key risk #1: drop-off in demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键风险#1：需求下降</b></blockquote></p><p> Not many analysts and portfolio managers have been vocal about avoiding or selling Apple. Experts like New Street's&nbsp;Pierre Ferragu&nbsp;and Satori Fund's&nbsp;Dan Niles&nbsp;are the few that come to mind, and their theses seem to align pretty well with every other bearish call on AAPL that I have seen recently.</p><p><blockquote>没有多少分析师和投资组合经理公开表示要避免或出售苹果。像New Street的Pierre Ferragu和Satori Fund的Dan Niles这样的专家是我想到的少数几个，他们的论点似乎与我最近看到的所有其他看跌AAPL的看涨期权非常一致。</blockquote></p><p> The first common reason to sell the stock is often phrased in different ways, but can effectively be summarized as follows: Apple's financial results in the near term should suffer from demand that has already turned into revenues in calendar 2020, during the thick of the pandemic and stay-at-home consumption wave. This is particularly true following the launch of the iPhone 13 that some (including legendary Apple founder&nbsp;Steve Wozniak) see as merely a minor upgrade from the previous model.</p><p><blockquote>出售股票的第一个常见原因通常以不同的方式表述，但可以有效地总结如下：苹果近期的财务业绩应该会受到需求的影响，而需求已经在2020年疫情最严重的时候转化为收入和居家消费浪潮。在iPhone 13发布之后尤其如此，一些人（包括传奇的苹果创始人Steve Wozniak）认为iPhone 13只是对上一款机型的小幅升级。</blockquote></p><p> I see the concern here, especially considering that Apple will start to face unsurmountable iPhone comps in the holidays and post-holiday quarters – see graph below. But the same chart also shows that there seemed to exist quite a bit of pent-up demand over the many quarters that preceded the iPhone 12 launch. One possible justification for this shift in sales from fiscal 2019-2020 to 2021 is Apple's late entry into the 5G space. Consumers that are loyal to or just prefer the iOS device probably waited patiently to upgrade or switch, and then they did it all at once.</p><p><blockquote>我看到了这里的担忧，特别是考虑到苹果将在假期和节后季度开始面临无法克服的iPhone竞争——见下图。但同一张图表还显示，在iPhone 12发布之前的许多季度中，似乎存在相当多被压抑的需求。销售额从2019-2020财年转移到2021财年的一个可能原因是苹果进入5G领域较晚。忠于或只是喜欢iOS设备的消费者可能会耐心等待升级或切换，然后他们一下子就完成了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dc677f0a1c77dd39f40b4cc99c6fc15\" tg-width=\"460\" tg-height=\"322\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: DM Martins Research, data from company reports</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：DM Martins Research，数据来自公司报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This may also help to explain, in part, why Apple's revenues in Greater China shot through the roof in the past 6 to 12 months. With the country's 5G infrastructure being further developed, owning a device that can handle the faster speeds probably makes most sense. Sales in the region had been lackluster to say the least since 2015, and dropped YOY by as much as 29% in fiscal Q4 of 2020. In the past three quarters, however, revenues climbed by at least 57% in each period.</p><p><blockquote>这也可能有助于部分解释为什么苹果在大中华区的收入在过去6至12个月内飙升。随着该国5G基础设施的进一步发展，拥有一款能够处理更快速度的设备可能是最有意义的。至少可以说，自2015年以来，该地区的销售额一直低迷，2020财年第四季度同比下降了29%。然而，在过去三个季度中，每个季度的收入都至少增长了57%。</blockquote></p><p> In the end, over the last 12 quarters – i.e. roughly the useful life of the average iPhone – Apple's smartphone sales have risen by only 4.8% per year. Considering that ASP (average selling price) has likely increased during the period, this figure barely represents any meaningful growth in device shipments over a full cycle. Therefore, to think that demand for Apple's products will fall off a cliff next seems like a stretch, especially if one also considers chip innovation and design updates in Mac and iPad.</p><p><blockquote>最终，在过去的12个季度（大约是iPhone的平均使用寿命）中，苹果的智能手机销量每年仅增长4.8%。考虑到ASP（平均售价）在此期间可能有所上涨，这一数字几乎不能代表整个周期内设备出货量的任何有意义的增长。因此，认为接下来对苹果产品的需求会断崖式下跌似乎有些牵强，特别是如果还考虑到Mac和iPad的芯片创新和设计更新的话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key risk #2: valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键风险#2：估值</b></blockquote></p><p> The other key risk of investing in Apple that is often brought up is valuation. Dan Niles, mentioned above, suggests that a next-year P/E of 26 times might not even be the biggest deal. The problem is that this multiple looks too rich against growth expectations that are modest.Analysts expect Apple's EPS&nbsp;to rise by only 4% per year through fiscal 2025. Alphabet (GOOG)(GOOGL), valued at a similar earnings multiple, is expected to drive earnings 16% higher per year over a similar period.</p><p><blockquote>投资苹果经常被提及的另一个主要风险是估值。上面提到的丹·奈尔斯(Dan Niles)表示，明年26倍的市盈率可能甚至不是最大的交易。问题是，与温和的增长预期相比，这个市盈率看起来太高了。分析师预计，到2025财年，苹果的每股收益每年仅增长4%。Alphabet(GOOG)（GOOGL）的市盈率相似，预计同期盈利每年将增长16%。</blockquote></p><p> That, in my view, is a more reasonable bearish argument. Per my estimates, Apple is by far the stock with the highest PEG ratio (P/E over long-term EPS growth) of 6.5 times. Amazon (AMZN) is a very distant second on this metric, at 2.3 times. But even here, I see a good argument to be made in favor of Apple.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，这是一个更合理的看跌论点。根据我的估计，苹果是迄今为止PEG比率（市盈率超过长期每股收益增长）最高的股票，为6.5倍。亚马逊(AMZN)在这一指标上远远落后于第二名，为2.3倍。但即使在这里，我也看到了一个支持苹果的好理由。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> First, the company has been proving to be a powerful gatekeeper in the tech world. Here is one example: the first, most blatant sign that Apple's iOS privacy policy changes in the summer&nbsp;have been hurting social media companies&nbsp;and their financial statements&nbsp;led to the Nasdaqe&nbsp;rasing $120 billion in market value in a matter of minutes – most of which coming from internet stocks. Should one be expected to pay a premium for a stock in the face of such market control? I would say so.</p><p><blockquote>首先，该公司已被证明是科技界强大的看门人。这里有一个例子：第一个也是最明显的迹象表明，苹果今年夏天iOS隐私政策的变化一直在损害社交媒体公司，它们的财务报表导致纳斯达克在几分钟内市值飙升1200亿美元——其中大部分来自互联网股票。面对这种市场控制，人们应该为股票支付溢价吗？我会这么说。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0946db3f3bc62569a56f2dbe2aa75922\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Also, as the chart above depicts, Apple's forward-year P/E has certainly expanded relative to what it used to be a few years ago. But the multi-year move higher seems consistent with (1) a wave of increased demand for Apple's products and services, (2) better margins, (3) a drop in interest rates in 2020, and (4) a broad stock market that has become generally more expensive. Compared to how AAPL traded only about three months ago, P/E has in fact dipped about three turns and returned to early 2021 levels.</p><p><blockquote>此外，如上图所示，苹果的远期市盈率相对于几年前肯定有所扩大。但多年来的上涨似乎与(1)对苹果产品和服务的需求增加浪潮、(2)利润率提高、(3)2020年利率下降以及(4)广泛的股市一致市场普遍变得更加昂贵。与大约三个月前AAPL的交易方式相比，市盈率实际上已经下降了大约三圈，并回到了2021年初的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key risk #3: lack of positive catalysts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键风险#3：缺乏积极的催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p> The next risk to investing in Apple that is often cited are short-term catalysts. The iPhone 13 was announced a few weeks ago, and&nbsp;so has the refreshed lineup&nbsp;of MacBook Pro devices equipped with the new M1 Pro and Max chips. Fiscal fourth quarter earnings is also in the rearview mirror. In fact, I think that the drop off in relevant Apple news in the fourth quarter correlates well with a stock that, seasonally, tends to perform worse in the November-to-January period. Bears may also argue that, with a few quarters of tough comps ahead, investors might have a hard time finding reasons to buy AAPL in the next few months.</p><p><blockquote>经常提到的投资苹果的下一个风险是短期催化剂。iPhone 13在几周前发布，配备新M1 Pro和Max芯片的MacBook Pro设备的更新阵容也是如此。第四财季盈利也已成为过去。事实上，我认为第四季度相关苹果新闻的下降与一只股票在11月至1月期间季节性表现往往较差的股票密切相关。看空者还可能辩称，由于未来几个季度的业绩艰难，投资者可能很难在未来几个月内找到购买苹果公司的理由。</blockquote></p><p> But here, I believe that a bit of patience is warranted. First, the recent malaise in share price alone may be enough to attract new money from investors looking for a good deal on a high-quality stock. But more importantly, longer-term catalysts are likely to make more of a difference on share price and financial performance over the next, say, five years.</p><p><blockquote>但在这里，我认为需要一点耐心。首先，仅最近股价的低迷就足以吸引寻求优质股票优惠的投资者的新资金。但更重要的是，长期催化剂可能会在未来五年内对股价和财务业绩产生更大影响。</blockquote></p><p> I have previously talked in more detail about two catalysts that quickly come to mind. I doubt that much upside from initiatives like mixed reality and&nbsp;autonomous vehicle&nbsp;has been factored into analysts' financial models – and hence, properly priced into the stock. Because Apple is run by a conservative team of executives, I bet that both massive growth opportunities will be pursued if and when they are accretive to the company's earnings. They should, therefore, serve as the key catalysts driving long-term growth expectations (which is relevant for risk #1 above) and share price higher.</p><p><blockquote>我之前已经更详细地谈到了两个很快浮现在脑海中的催化剂。我怀疑混合现实和自动驾驶汽车等举措的太大好处是否已纳入分析师的财务模型，因此也无法正确定价到股票中。由于苹果是由一个保守的高管团队运营的，我敢打赌，如果这两个巨大的增长机会能够增加公司的盈利，那么它们就会被追求。因此，它们应该成为推动长期增长预期（与上述风险#1相关）和股价上涨的关键催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总之</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple may not be the same pound-the-table opportunity that I believed it to be&nbsp;in February 2021&nbsp;or, better yet,in April 2018&nbsp;– in both cases, I believed that shares had sold off for no good reason. But I continue to think that AAPL is a stock to own today through the next several years, especially now that the earnings multiple has started to rerate towards year-ago levels. Should Apple continue to head lower in the near term, the pullback (assuming no meaningful change in business fundamentals) would present an even better chance to buy.</p><p><blockquote>苹果可能不像我在2021年2月或更好的2018年4月那样是一个巨大的机会——在这两种情况下，我都认为股票毫无理由地遭到抛售。但我仍然认为，苹果公司是一只值得在未来几年持有的股票，尤其是现在市盈率已开始重估至去年同期的水平。如果苹果短期内继续走低，回调（假设商业基本面没有发生有意义的变化）将提供更好的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468890-apple-the-bear-argument-and-why-its-wrong\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468890-apple-the-bear-argument-and-why-its-wrong","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129004768","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has failed to stay above $150 per share for long, and bears are starting to pay attention to the recent weakness in price.\nI list a couple of the most popular bearish arguments, and explain why I believe that they are either short-sighted or most likely incorrect.\nMaybe AAPL is not the same pound-the-table buy, but I continue to think that this is a stock to own today through the next several years.\n\nkmwphotography/iStock via Getty Images\nWith Apple (AAPL) once again failing to make fresh all-time highs, now down around 6% from the peak and dipping closer towards key moving-average support, bears have started to pay attention. Still, I think that the case for selling (or shorting) this stock does not hold much water in the long term, and I believe that bears will ultimately tire of swimming against the current.\nBelow, I list the most common few reasons why one might want to dump or stay away from Apple shares – and why I think that the bearish case is either short-sighted or most likely incorrect.\nKey risk #1: drop-off in demand\nNot many analysts and portfolio managers have been vocal about avoiding or selling Apple. Experts like New Street's Pierre Ferragu and Satori Fund's Dan Niles are the few that come to mind, and their theses seem to align pretty well with every other bearish call on AAPL that I have seen recently.\nThe first common reason to sell the stock is often phrased in different ways, but can effectively be summarized as follows: Apple's financial results in the near term should suffer from demand that has already turned into revenues in calendar 2020, during the thick of the pandemic and stay-at-home consumption wave. This is particularly true following the launch of the iPhone 13 that some (including legendary Apple founder Steve Wozniak) see as merely a minor upgrade from the previous model.\nI see the concern here, especially considering that Apple will start to face unsurmountable iPhone comps in the holidays and post-holiday quarters – see graph below. But the same chart also shows that there seemed to exist quite a bit of pent-up demand over the many quarters that preceded the iPhone 12 launch. One possible justification for this shift in sales from fiscal 2019-2020 to 2021 is Apple's late entry into the 5G space. Consumers that are loyal to or just prefer the iOS device probably waited patiently to upgrade or switch, and then they did it all at once.\nSource: DM Martins Research, data from company reports\nThis may also help to explain, in part, why Apple's revenues in Greater China shot through the roof in the past 6 to 12 months. With the country's 5G infrastructure being further developed, owning a device that can handle the faster speeds probably makes most sense. Sales in the region had been lackluster to say the least since 2015, and dropped YOY by as much as 29% in fiscal Q4 of 2020. In the past three quarters, however, revenues climbed by at least 57% in each period.\nIn the end, over the last 12 quarters – i.e. roughly the useful life of the average iPhone – Apple's smartphone sales have risen by only 4.8% per year. Considering that ASP (average selling price) has likely increased during the period, this figure barely represents any meaningful growth in device shipments over a full cycle. Therefore, to think that demand for Apple's products will fall off a cliff next seems like a stretch, especially if one also considers chip innovation and design updates in Mac and iPad.\nKey risk #2: valuation\nThe other key risk of investing in Apple that is often brought up is valuation. Dan Niles, mentioned above, suggests that a next-year P/E of 26 times might not even be the biggest deal. The problem is that this multiple looks too rich against growth expectations that are modest.Analysts expect Apple's EPS to rise by only 4% per year through fiscal 2025. Alphabet (GOOG)(GOOGL), valued at a similar earnings multiple, is expected to drive earnings 16% higher per year over a similar period.\nThat, in my view, is a more reasonable bearish argument. Per my estimates, Apple is by far the stock with the highest PEG ratio (P/E over long-term EPS growth) of 6.5 times. Amazon (AMZN) is a very distant second on this metric, at 2.3 times. But even here, I see a good argument to be made in favor of Apple.\nFirst, the company has been proving to be a powerful gatekeeper in the tech world. Here is one example: the first, most blatant sign that Apple's iOS privacy policy changes in the summer have been hurting social media companies and their financial statements led to the Nasdaqe rasing $120 billion in market value in a matter of minutes – most of which coming from internet stocks. Should one be expected to pay a premium for a stock in the face of such market control? I would say so.\nData by YCharts\nAlso, as the chart above depicts, Apple's forward-year P/E has certainly expanded relative to what it used to be a few years ago. But the multi-year move higher seems consistent with (1) a wave of increased demand for Apple's products and services, (2) better margins, (3) a drop in interest rates in 2020, and (4) a broad stock market that has become generally more expensive. Compared to how AAPL traded only about three months ago, P/E has in fact dipped about three turns and returned to early 2021 levels.\nKey risk #3: lack of positive catalysts\nThe next risk to investing in Apple that is often cited are short-term catalysts. The iPhone 13 was announced a few weeks ago, and so has the refreshed lineup of MacBook Pro devices equipped with the new M1 Pro and Max chips. Fiscal fourth quarter earnings is also in the rearview mirror. In fact, I think that the drop off in relevant Apple news in the fourth quarter correlates well with a stock that, seasonally, tends to perform worse in the November-to-January period. Bears may also argue that, with a few quarters of tough comps ahead, investors might have a hard time finding reasons to buy AAPL in the next few months.\nBut here, I believe that a bit of patience is warranted. First, the recent malaise in share price alone may be enough to attract new money from investors looking for a good deal on a high-quality stock. But more importantly, longer-term catalysts are likely to make more of a difference on share price and financial performance over the next, say, five years.\nI have previously talked in more detail about two catalysts that quickly come to mind. I doubt that much upside from initiatives like mixed reality and autonomous vehicle has been factored into analysts' financial models – and hence, properly priced into the stock. Because Apple is run by a conservative team of executives, I bet that both massive growth opportunities will be pursued if and when they are accretive to the company's earnings. They should, therefore, serve as the key catalysts driving long-term growth expectations (which is relevant for risk #1 above) and share price higher.\nIn summary\nApple may not be the same pound-the-table opportunity that I believed it to be in February 2021 or, better yet,in April 2018 – in both cases, I believed that shares had sold off for no good reason. But I continue to think that AAPL is a stock to own today through the next several years, especially now that the earnings multiple has started to rerate towards year-ago levels. Should Apple continue to head lower in the near term, the pullback (assuming no meaningful change in business fundamentals) would present an even better chance to buy.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":740,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866760833,"gmtCreate":1632807180422,"gmtModify":1632807180487,"author":{"id":"3586842860544589","authorId":"3586842860544589","name":"sjfoo0108","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58fb2fc0bc203e30e119c9756c22ca34","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586842860544589","authorIdStr":"3586842860544589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>耐心","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>耐心","text":"$Tiger 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climb继续攀升","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dd1c33a4665f9b5994f4e81703a8029","width":"1200","height":"4049"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863136193","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697390841,"gmtCreate":1642258019447,"gmtModify":1642258019641,"author":{"id":"3586842860544589","authorId":"3586842860544589","name":"sjfoo0108","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58fb2fc0bc203e30e119c9756c22ca34","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586842860544589","authorIdStr":"3586842860544589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697390841","repostId":"1167122618","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167122618","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642212214,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167122618?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-15 10:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley Promotes Biggest Class of Managing Directors Since 2012<blockquote>摩根士丹利提拔2012年以来最大规模的董事总经理</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167122618","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"While efforts to hire and retain workers pick up across Wall Street, Morgan Stanley(NYSE:MS)names 19","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><ul><li>While efforts to hire and retain workers pick up across Wall Street, Morgan Stanley(NYSE:MS)names 199 employees as new managing directors, a person with knowledge on the matter told Bloomberg.</li><li>This is up from 171 last year and 130 in 2020, Bloomberg reports. The U.S. region counts for 64% of the promotions, with 23% in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and 14% in Asia.</li><li>A third of the new managing directors are women, the person told Bloomberg. This means 23% of the bank&#39;s managing directors are female, a new record, Bloomberg notes.</li><li>Recall Goldman Sachs(NYSE:GS)recently said it plans to boost hiring in Latin America after a record year.</li><li>Previously, (Jan. 4, 2021) Morgan Stanley inked a lease for BlackRock&#39;sheadquarters in New York City.</li></ul></body></html></p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body><ul><li>一位知情人士告诉彭博社，尽管华尔街招聘和留住员工的努力有所加强，但摩根士丹利(NYSE：MS)任命199名员工为新董事总经理。</li><li>据彭博社报道，这一数字高于去年的171人和2020年的130人。美国地区占促销活动的64%，欧洲、中东和非洲占23%，亚洲占14%。</li><li>该人士告诉彭博社，三分之一的新任董事总经理是女性。彭博社指出，这意味着该银行23%的董事总经理是女性，创下新纪录。</li><li>回想一下高盛（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GS）最近表示，在创纪录的一年后，它计划增加在拉丁美洲的招聘。</li><li>此前，（2021年1月4日）摩根士丹利签署了贝莱德纽约总部的租约。</li></ul></body></html></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley Promotes Biggest Class of Managing Directors Since 2012<blockquote>摩根士丹利提拔2012年以来最大规模的董事总经理</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley Promotes Biggest Class of Managing Directors Since 2012<blockquote>摩根士丹利提拔2012年以来最大规模的董事总经理</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-15 10:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><ul><li>While efforts to hire and retain workers pick up across Wall Street, Morgan Stanley(NYSE:MS)names 199 employees as new managing directors, a person with knowledge on the matter told Bloomberg.</li><li>This is up from 171 last year and 130 in 2020, Bloomberg reports. The U.S. region counts for 64% of the promotions, with 23% in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and 14% in Asia.</li><li>A third of the new managing directors are women, the person told Bloomberg. This means 23% of the bank&#39;s managing directors are female, a new record, Bloomberg notes.</li><li>Recall Goldman Sachs(NYSE:GS)recently said it plans to boost hiring in Latin America after a record year.</li><li>Previously, (Jan. 4, 2021) Morgan Stanley inked a lease for BlackRock&#39;sheadquarters in New York City.</li></ul></body></html></p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body><ul><li>一位知情人士告诉彭博社，尽管华尔街招聘和留住员工的努力有所加强，但摩根士丹利(NYSE：MS)任命199名员工为新董事总经理。</li><li>据彭博社报道，这一数字高于去年的171人和2020年的130人。美国地区占促销活动的64%，欧洲、中东和非洲占23%，亚洲占14%。</li><li>该人士告诉彭博社，三分之一的新任董事总经理是女性。彭博社指出，这意味着该银行23%的董事总经理是女性，创下新纪录。</li><li>回想一下高盛（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GS）最近表示，在创纪录的一年后，它计划增加在拉丁美洲的招聘。</li><li>此前，（2021年1月4日）摩根士丹利签署了贝莱德纽约总部的租约。</li></ul></body></html></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3788415-morgan-stanley-promotes-most-staff-to-managing-directors-since-2012-bloomberg\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MS":"摩根士丹利"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3788415-morgan-stanley-promotes-most-staff-to-managing-directors-since-2012-bloomberg","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167122618","content_text":"While efforts to hire and retain workers pick up across Wall Street, Morgan Stanley(NYSE:MS)names 199 employees as new managing directors, a person with knowledge on the matter told Bloomberg.This is up from 171 last year and 130 in 2020, Bloomberg reports. The U.S. region counts for 64% of the promotions, with 23% in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and 14% in Asia.A third of the new managing directors are women, the person told Bloomberg. This means 23% of the bank's managing directors are female, a new record, Bloomberg notes.Recall Goldman Sachs(NYSE:GS)recently said it plans to boost hiring in Latin America after a record year.Previously, (Jan. 4, 2021) Morgan Stanley inked a lease for BlackRock'sheadquarters in New York City.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858988420,"gmtCreate":1634963146504,"gmtModify":1634963146708,"author":{"id":"3586842860544589","authorId":"3586842860544589","name":"sjfoo0108","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58fb2fc0bc203e30e119c9756c22ca34","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586842860544589","authorIdStr":"3586842860544589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$NIO to follow","listText":"$NIO to follow","text":"$NIO to follow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858988420","repostId":"1166213725","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166213725","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634948473,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166213725?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-23 08:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Closed Above $900 for First Time. What Could Come Next.<blockquote>特斯拉股价首次收于900美元以上。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166213725","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?Tesla  stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The S&P 500 dropped about 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.2%.Shares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.Tesla stoc","content":"<p>Tesla&nbsp;stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在周五交易中创下历史新高，收盘价创历史新高。该股最近的走势令人难以置信。能涨到多高？</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dropped about 0.1%, while the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;added about 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）股价收于909.68美元，上涨约1.8%。标准普尔500指数下跌约0.1%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&amp;P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的交付量和盈利提振了这家电动汽车巨头的股价。周五，标准普尔的信用升级也提振了股价。特斯拉债务目前评级为BB+，比投资级低一级。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock’s new 52-week intraday high is $910 on the nose. The old high-water mark of $900.40 was set on Jan. 25, according to Dow Jones Market Data. On Thursday, Tesla closed at a record for the first time since Jan. 26.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价创52周盘中新高910美元。根据道琼斯市场数据，900.40美元的旧高水位是在1月25日创下的。周四，特斯拉自1月26日以来首次收于创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> Shares are up about 40% over the past three months, pushing the market cap to roughly $910 billion. (Tesla has about 1 billion shares outstanding, making the math easy.)</p><p><blockquote>过去三个月，股价上涨了约40%，市值达到约9100亿美元。（特斯拉拥有约10亿股已发行股票，这使得计算变得很容易。）</blockquote></p><p> Bulls, naturally, see more gains ahead. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his bull-case Tesla stock price target to $1,500 from $1,300 after the company reported better-than-expected earnings on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>多头自然会看到未来会有更多收益。Wedbush分析师Dan Ives将牛市特斯拉股价目标从1300美元上调至1500美元，此前该公司周三公布了好于预期的财报。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is rising because earnings revisions are soaring,” points out Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund Active exchange-traded fund. Analyst estimates for Tesla’s 2022 earnings have risen to about $8 a share from $6 over the past few weeks. “Rising estimates drove Tesla to the moon in 2020. They will drive Tesla to $1,000-plus in 2022,” Black says.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉正在上涨，因为盈利修正正在飙升，”未来基金主动交易所交易基金管理合伙人Gary Black指出。过去几周，分析师对特斯拉2022年每股收益的预期已从每股6美元升至约8美元。“不断上涨的估值推动特斯拉在2020年登上了月球。它们将推动特斯拉在2022年达到1,000美元以上，”Black说。</blockquote></p><p> Ives rates Tesla stock Buy, and Tesla is the largest position in Black’s fund.</p><p><blockquote>Ives将特斯拉股票评级为买入，特斯拉是Black基金的最大持仓。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, there are still Tesla bears out there who believe the stock is overvalued. The bottom third of analyst price targets averages about $425, less than half of Friday’s close.</p><p><blockquote>是的，仍然有看空特斯拉的人认为该股被高估了。分析师目标价的底部三分之一平均约为425美元，不到周五收盘价的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Bears expect the sky-high valuation to give investors pause eventually. Stocks don’t usually fall just because investors, collectively, wake up one morning and feel differently about valuation. Something has to happen. The overall market could tumble, or the business could trip up. Analysts expect Tesla deliveries to grow to 1.3 million units in 2022 from about 890,000 units in 2021. Any hiccup to growth would be a negative catalyst for shares.</p><p><blockquote>看空者预计天价估值最终会让投资者犹豫不决。股票通常不会因为投资者集体某天早上醒来对估值有不同的感觉而下跌。总得有事发生。整体市场可能会暴跌，或者企业可能会陷入困境。分析师预计，特斯拉的交付量将从2021年的约89万辆增长到2022年的130万辆。增长的任何问题都将成为股市的负面催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Whether the stock rises or falls in the short run is anyone’s guess. For now, though, the momentum belongs to Tesla bulls.</p><p><blockquote>该股短期内是上涨还是下跌，谁也说不准。不过，就目前而言，势头属于特斯拉多头。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Closed Above $900 for First Time. What Could Come Next.<blockquote>特斯拉股价首次收于900美元以上。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Closed Above $900 for First Time. What Could Come Next.<blockquote>特斯拉股价首次收于900美元以上。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-23 08:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla&nbsp;stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在周五交易中创下历史新高，收盘价创历史新高。该股最近的走势令人难以置信。能涨到多高？</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dropped about 0.1%, while the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;added about 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）股价收于909.68美元，上涨约1.8%。标准普尔500指数下跌约0.1%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&amp;P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的交付量和盈利提振了这家电动汽车巨头的股价。周五，标准普尔的信用升级也提振了股价。特斯拉债务目前评级为BB+，比投资级低一级。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock’s new 52-week intraday high is $910 on the nose. The old high-water mark of $900.40 was set on Jan. 25, according to Dow Jones Market Data. On Thursday, Tesla closed at a record for the first time since Jan. 26.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价创52周盘中新高910美元。根据道琼斯市场数据，900.40美元的旧高水位是在1月25日创下的。周四，特斯拉自1月26日以来首次收于创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> Shares are up about 40% over the past three months, pushing the market cap to roughly $910 billion. (Tesla has about 1 billion shares outstanding, making the math easy.)</p><p><blockquote>过去三个月，股价上涨了约40%，市值达到约9100亿美元。（特斯拉拥有约10亿股已发行股票，这使得计算变得很容易。）</blockquote></p><p> Bulls, naturally, see more gains ahead. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his bull-case Tesla stock price target to $1,500 from $1,300 after the company reported better-than-expected earnings on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>多头自然会看到未来会有更多收益。Wedbush分析师Dan Ives将牛市特斯拉股价目标从1300美元上调至1500美元，此前该公司周三公布了好于预期的财报。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is rising because earnings revisions are soaring,” points out Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund Active exchange-traded fund. Analyst estimates for Tesla’s 2022 earnings have risen to about $8 a share from $6 over the past few weeks. “Rising estimates drove Tesla to the moon in 2020. They will drive Tesla to $1,000-plus in 2022,” Black says.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉正在上涨，因为盈利修正正在飙升，”未来基金主动交易所交易基金管理合伙人Gary Black指出。过去几周，分析师对特斯拉2022年每股收益的预期已从每股6美元升至约8美元。“不断上涨的估值推动特斯拉在2020年登上了月球。它们将推动特斯拉在2022年达到1,000美元以上，”Black说。</blockquote></p><p> Ives rates Tesla stock Buy, and Tesla is the largest position in Black’s fund.</p><p><blockquote>Ives将特斯拉股票评级为买入，特斯拉是Black基金的最大持仓。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, there are still Tesla bears out there who believe the stock is overvalued. The bottom third of analyst price targets averages about $425, less than half of Friday’s close.</p><p><blockquote>是的，仍然有看空特斯拉的人认为该股被高估了。分析师目标价的底部三分之一平均约为425美元，不到周五收盘价的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Bears expect the sky-high valuation to give investors pause eventually. Stocks don’t usually fall just because investors, collectively, wake up one morning and feel differently about valuation. Something has to happen. The overall market could tumble, or the business could trip up. Analysts expect Tesla deliveries to grow to 1.3 million units in 2022 from about 890,000 units in 2021. Any hiccup to growth would be a negative catalyst for shares.</p><p><blockquote>看空者预计天价估值最终会让投资者犹豫不决。股票通常不会因为投资者集体某天早上醒来对估值有不同的感觉而下跌。总得有事发生。整体市场可能会暴跌，或者企业可能会陷入困境。分析师预计，特斯拉的交付量将从2021年的约89万辆增长到2022年的130万辆。增长的任何问题都将成为股市的负面催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Whether the stock rises or falls in the short run is anyone’s guess. For now, though, the momentum belongs to Tesla bulls.</p><p><blockquote>该股短期内是上涨还是下跌，谁也说不准。不过，就目前而言，势头属于特斯拉多头。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-record-high-51634913773?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-record-high-51634913773?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166213725","content_text":"Tesla stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?\nTesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The S&P 500 dropped about 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.2%.\nShares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.\nTesla stock’s new 52-week intraday high is $910 on the nose. The old high-water mark of $900.40 was set on Jan. 25, according to Dow Jones Market Data. On Thursday, Tesla closed at a record for the first time since Jan. 26.\nShares are up about 40% over the past three months, pushing the market cap to roughly $910 billion. (Tesla has about 1 billion shares outstanding, making the math easy.)\nBulls, naturally, see more gains ahead. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his bull-case Tesla stock price target to $1,500 from $1,300 after the company reported better-than-expected earnings on Wednesday.\n“Tesla is rising because earnings revisions are soaring,” points out Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund Active exchange-traded fund. Analyst estimates for Tesla’s 2022 earnings have risen to about $8 a share from $6 over the past few weeks. “Rising estimates drove Tesla to the moon in 2020. They will drive Tesla to $1,000-plus in 2022,” Black says.\nIves rates Tesla stock Buy, and Tesla is the largest position in Black’s fund.\nYes, there are still Tesla bears out there who believe the stock is overvalued. The bottom third of analyst price targets averages about $425, less than half of Friday’s close.\nBears expect the sky-high valuation to give investors pause eventually. Stocks don’t usually fall just because investors, collectively, wake up one morning and feel differently about valuation. Something has to happen. The overall market could tumble, or the business could trip up. Analysts expect Tesla deliveries to grow to 1.3 million units in 2022 from about 890,000 units in 2021. Any hiccup to growth would be a negative catalyst for shares.\nWhether the stock rises or falls in the short run is anyone’s guess. For now, though, the momentum belongs to Tesla bulls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826664629,"gmtCreate":1634014881925,"gmtModify":1634014881999,"author":{"id":"3586842860544589","authorId":"3586842860544589","name":"sjfoo0108","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58fb2fc0bc203e30e119c9756c22ca34","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586842860544589","authorIdStr":"3586842860544589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>支持国产","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>支持国产","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$支持国产","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a7a0e5b98fde931cb39d019749df107","width":"1200","height":"2133"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826664629","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":676,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}