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Jmonster

Jmonster

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2021-08-07

Legendary. Does crime pay?!

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2021-07-31

Time to buy-the-dip!

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2021-07-30

Looking forward

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2021-07-30

Good read

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2021-07-26

Interesting choices

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2021-07-24

In the face of delta virus, Vaccine stock does provide some comfort in the "crash" resistance.

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2021-07-23

Can never be wrong with tech

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2021-07-22

Agree to disagree

Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场疯狂逆转的背后：创纪录的高位偏差</blockquote>

2021-07-22

Hope travel stays up...

Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading<blockquote>航空股、邮轮股早盘继续上涨</blockquote>

2021-07-21

Watch and see

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choices","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800873798","repostId":"2154931205","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1472,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174819342,"gmtCreate":1627090041686,"gmtModify":1633768111998,"author":{"id":"3586858801552030","authorId":"3586858801552030","name":"Jmonster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8087de32037e0cada3980a84e2ced42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586858801552030","authorIdStr":"3586858801552030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"In the face of delta virus, Vaccine stock does provide some comfort in the \"crash\" resistance.","listText":"In the face of delta virus, Vaccine stock does provide some comfort in the \"crash\" resistance.","text":"In the face of delta virus, Vaccine stock does provide some comfort in the \"crash\" resistance.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174819342","repostId":"2153983997","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175092034,"gmtCreate":1626997819228,"gmtModify":1633769018546,"author":{"id":"3586858801552030","authorId":"3586858801552030","name":"Jmonster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8087de32037e0cada3980a84e2ced42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586858801552030","authorIdStr":"3586858801552030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can never be wrong with tech","listText":"Can never be wrong with tech","text":"Can never be wrong with tech","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175092034","repostId":"1164478982","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1789,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176529087,"gmtCreate":1626908761949,"gmtModify":1631888360962,"author":{"id":"3586858801552030","authorId":"3586858801552030","name":"Jmonster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8087de32037e0cada3980a84e2ced42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586858801552030","authorIdStr":"3586858801552030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agree to disagree","listText":"Agree to disagree","text":"Agree to disagree","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176529087","repostId":"1144363960","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144363960","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626877711,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144363960?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 22:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场疯狂逆转的背后：创纪录的高位偏差</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144363960","media":"zerohedge","summary":"At the end of June, when the S&P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was t","content":"<p>At the end of June, when the S&amp;P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high,&nbsp;<b>and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.</b></p><p><blockquote>6月底，当标准普尔指数日复一日地创下历史新高，当VIX触及2021年新低时，我们警告称，skew指数刚刚创下历史新高——这意味着看跌期权已经异常昂贵相对于平值期权，有助于支撑以看跌期权为主的VIX指数。正如我们进一步补充的那样，将看跌期权价格与平值期权价格进行比较的high skew已达到历史新高，<b>并反映了投资者的看法，即如果市场抛售，高波动性将会回归。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b30d4664cf3c973cc1a86d743bcae379\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,<b>\"</b><b><u>they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash</u></b><b>.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>在评论这一不寻常的举动时，我们说，这表明，虽然一方面交易者似乎自满，但他们从未如此紧张，即使市场的适度波动也可能引发崩盘。推而广之，<b>\"</b><b><u>他们也从未像现在这样免受全面市场崩盘的影响</u></b><b>.\"</b></blockquote></p><p> So fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.</p><p><blockquote>快进到上周晚些时候和周一市场经历的剧烈（尽管短暂）的气穴（而不是全面崩盘），股市出现了几个月来的最大跌幅...只是在那之后飞翔。回想起来，交易者对此要感谢创纪录的高偏差，因为尽管风险在周二急剧逆转并持续到今天，但交易者已经完全对冲并准备好突袭。</blockquote></p><p> So following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...</p><p><blockquote>因此，继一个月前他首次注意到创纪录的高位偏差时的观察之后，高盛的衍生品策略师洛奇·菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）写道，本周的波动性推高了股票隐含波动性和已实现波动性，VIX在周一（7月19日）白天短暂触及25...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c28ca21fe15a17f5b7fa1e3236e5ad\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,<b>in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&amp;P 500.</b></p><p><blockquote>...即使从绝对值来看，成交量并不高：三周SPX实现成交量（12.1%）仍低于年初至今实现成交量（13.4%），周二的反弹使VIX回到20以下。更重要的是，<b>为了应对创纪录的下行偏斜，正确地暗示抛售将带来更高的波动性，偏斜现在已经走得更高——至少对标普500来说是这样。</b></blockquote></p><p> Some more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"</p><p><blockquote>Fishman的更多观察：“尽管周二SPX的大幅波动和隐含波动率的下降降低了波动率风险溢价，但VIX相对于最近实现的波动率仍然很高。”</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,<b>which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in</b>.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自11月以来，SPX的一个月实现波动率从未达到当前VIX水平（19.7）的水平，这表明期权仍然持续昂贵，<b>这也意味着交易者正在对冲大幅上涨和下跌，随着对冲兑现，任何抛售都可能转瞬即逝</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002e0c79da541efcfb85fe1e04e29088\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，考虑到最近快速抛售之后迅速出现低波动性的先例，高盛预计波动性将在短期内消退，第四季度持续上升的可能性更大，而造成这种情况的一个重要原因是指数持续高位倾斜。</blockquote></p><p>   SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers  <b>as much as demand for hedging.</b>The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,  <b>proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....</b>on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.  Meanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plunge<i><b>too</b></i>fast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.</p><p><blockquote>SPX指数偏差继续处于接近创纪录水平，我们认为这是由缺乏下行卖家推动的<b>以及对冲的需求。</b>VIX对周一抛售的强烈反应，VIX盘中一度上涨超过6点，<b>证明了高偏斜是合理的——至少在非常局部的层面上....</b>如果出现更持续的抛售，则很难维持skew所指示的隐含波动率水平。与此同时，从跨资产的角度来看，菲什曼补充说，如果利率保持在如此低的水平，有可能成为股市进一步上涨的催化剂（除非利率暴跌<i><b>也</b></i>快速），使得SPX潜在回报存在近期不对称的可能性，这与期权市场的含义相反。</blockquote></p><p> So how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.</p><p><blockquote>那么，如何交易持续粘性的创纪录高位偏差呢？高盛仍然喜欢杠杆风险逆转，以此作为利用这种动态的一种方式：出售9月17日3800执行权（12.1%OTM）的看跌期权，以零净溢价为2倍4550执行权（5.2%OTM）的评级提供资金。如果SPX指数在到期时收盘价低于下行价格，该交易将遭受美元对美元的损失。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场疯狂逆转的背后：创纪录的高位偏差</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBehind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场疯狂逆转的背后：创纪录的高位偏差</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-21 22:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>At the end of June, when the S&amp;P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high,&nbsp;<b>and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.</b></p><p><blockquote>6月底，当标准普尔指数日复一日地创下历史新高，当VIX触及2021年新低时，我们警告称，skew指数刚刚创下历史新高——这意味着看跌期权已经异常昂贵相对于平值期权，有助于支撑以看跌期权为主的VIX指数。正如我们进一步补充的那样，将看跌期权价格与平值期权价格进行比较的high skew已达到历史新高，<b>并反映了投资者的看法，即如果市场抛售，高波动性将会回归。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b30d4664cf3c973cc1a86d743bcae379\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,<b>\"</b><b><u>they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash</u></b><b>.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>在评论这一不寻常的举动时，我们说，这表明，虽然一方面交易者似乎自满，但他们从未如此紧张，即使市场的适度波动也可能引发崩盘。推而广之，<b>\"</b><b><u>他们也从未像现在这样免受全面市场崩盘的影响</u></b><b>.\"</b></blockquote></p><p> So fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.</p><p><blockquote>快进到上周晚些时候和周一市场经历的剧烈（尽管短暂）的气穴（而不是全面崩盘），股市出现了几个月来的最大跌幅...只是在那之后飞翔。回想起来，交易者对此要感谢创纪录的高偏差，因为尽管风险在周二急剧逆转并持续到今天，但交易者已经完全对冲并准备好突袭。</blockquote></p><p> So following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...</p><p><blockquote>因此，继一个月前他首次注意到创纪录的高位偏差时的观察之后，高盛的衍生品策略师洛奇·菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）写道，本周的波动性推高了股票隐含波动性和已实现波动性，VIX在周一（7月19日）白天短暂触及25...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c28ca21fe15a17f5b7fa1e3236e5ad\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,<b>in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&amp;P 500.</b></p><p><blockquote>...即使从绝对值来看，成交量并不高：三周SPX实现成交量（12.1%）仍低于年初至今实现成交量（13.4%），周二的反弹使VIX回到20以下。更重要的是，<b>为了应对创纪录的下行偏斜，正确地暗示抛售将带来更高的波动性，偏斜现在已经走得更高——至少对标普500来说是这样。</b></blockquote></p><p> Some more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"</p><p><blockquote>Fishman的更多观察：“尽管周二SPX的大幅波动和隐含波动率的下降降低了波动率风险溢价，但VIX相对于最近实现的波动率仍然很高。”</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,<b>which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in</b>.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自11月以来，SPX的一个月实现波动率从未达到当前VIX水平（19.7）的水平，这表明期权仍然持续昂贵，<b>这也意味着交易者正在对冲大幅上涨和下跌，随着对冲兑现，任何抛售都可能转瞬即逝</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002e0c79da541efcfb85fe1e04e29088\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，考虑到最近快速抛售之后迅速出现低波动性的先例，高盛预计波动性将在短期内消退，第四季度持续上升的可能性更大，而造成这种情况的一个重要原因是指数持续高位倾斜。</blockquote></p><p>   SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers  <b>as much as demand for hedging.</b>The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,  <b>proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....</b>on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.  Meanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plunge<i><b>too</b></i>fast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.</p><p><blockquote>SPX指数偏差继续处于接近创纪录水平，我们认为这是由缺乏下行卖家推动的<b>以及对冲的需求。</b>VIX对周一抛售的强烈反应，VIX盘中一度上涨超过6点，<b>证明了高偏斜是合理的——至少在非常局部的层面上....</b>如果出现更持续的抛售，则很难维持skew所指示的隐含波动率水平。与此同时，从跨资产的角度来看，菲什曼补充说，如果利率保持在如此低的水平，有可能成为股市进一步上涨的催化剂（除非利率暴跌<i><b>也</b></i>快速），使得SPX潜在回报存在近期不对称的可能性，这与期权市场的含义相反。</blockquote></p><p> So how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.</p><p><blockquote>那么，如何交易持续粘性的创纪录高位偏差呢？高盛仍然喜欢杠杆风险逆转，以此作为利用这种动态的一种方式：出售9月17日3800执行权（12.1%OTM）的看跌期权，以零净溢价为2倍4550执行权（5.2%OTM）的评级提供资金。如果SPX指数在到期时收盘价低于下行价格，该交易将遭受美元对美元的损失。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-markets-furious-reversal-record-high-skew?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-markets-furious-reversal-record-high-skew?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144363960","content_text":"At the end of June, when the S&P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high, and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.\nCommenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,\"they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash.\"\nSo fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.\nSo following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...\n... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&P 500.\nSome more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"\nFurthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in.\n\nThat said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.\n\n SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers\n as much as demand for hedging.The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,\n proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.\n\nMeanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plungetoofast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.\nSo how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176586022,"gmtCreate":1626907773666,"gmtModify":1631884320828,"author":{"id":"3586858801552030","authorId":"3586858801552030","name":"Jmonster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8087de32037e0cada3980a84e2ced42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586858801552030","authorIdStr":"3586858801552030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope travel stays up...","listText":"Hope travel stays up...","text":"Hope travel stays up...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176586022","repostId":"1156292040","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156292040","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626880084,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156292040?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 23:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading<blockquote>航空股、邮轮股早盘继续上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156292040","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 21) Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading.\nShares of Carnival  rose","content":"<p>(July&nbsp;21)&nbsp;Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/552c4c7cf72c26141391a54bd44731bc\" tg-width=\"307\" tg-height=\"364\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>（7月21日）航空股、邮轮股早盘继续反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">Carnival</a> &nbsp;rose&nbsp;over&nbsp;3%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket trading,&nbsp;after&nbsp;the company said it plans to resume guest cruise operations across eight of its cruise line brands by the end of 2021. This would bring Carnival's total operating capacity to nearly 75% by the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">狂欢节</a>该公司表示计划在2021年底前恢复其八个邮轮品牌的客轮运营，盘前交易中股价上涨超过3%。到2021年底，这将使嘉年华的总运营能力达到近75%。</blockquote></p><p> A total of 54 ships across AIDA Cruises, Carnival Cruise Line, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Holland America Line, Princess Cruises, P&amp;O Cruises, and Seabourn plan to resume operations by the end of 2021.&nbsp;Carnival Cruise Line plans to return its full fleet to service this year, which would bring a total of 63 ships back to operations in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>AIDA Cruises、嘉年华邮轮、歌诗达邮轮、冠达邮轮、荷美邮轮、公主邮轮、P&amp;O邮轮和世邦邮轮共有54艘船舶计划在2021年底前恢复运营。嘉年华邮轮计划将其全部船队恢复运营今年，这将使2021年共有63艘船舶恢复运营。</blockquote></p><p> Carnival stock has rebounded 32% over the last year but tumbled in June&nbsp;as it ran into some hurdles with the state of Florida's pushback over COVID-19 vaccine mandates, which Carnival views as important to making passengers feel safe on board.Cruise stockshave come under more selling pressure in July over a recent spike in COVID-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>嘉年华股价在去年反弹了32%，但在6月份暴跌，因为佛罗里达州对COVID-19疫苗强制令的抵制遇到了一些障碍，嘉年华认为这对于让乘客在船上感到安全非常重要。由于近期COVID-19病例激增，7月份面临更多抛售压力。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, the updated roadmap on returning to normal operations gives investors some near-term visibility on Carnival's recovery. There seems to be tremendous pent-up demand for people to travel again. Carnival announced in early July that a 40-night winter sun Caribbean cruise on P&amp;O Cruises sold out in the first day.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，恢复正常运营的更新路线图让投资者对嘉年华的复苏有了一些近期的了解。人们似乎有巨大的被压抑的再次旅行的需求。嘉年华于7月初宣布，P&amp;O Cruises为期40晚的冬日阳光加勒比游轮首日售罄。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading<blockquote>航空股、邮轮股早盘继续上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAirline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading<blockquote>航空股、邮轮股早盘继续上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-21 23:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(July&nbsp;21)&nbsp;Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/552c4c7cf72c26141391a54bd44731bc\" tg-width=\"307\" tg-height=\"364\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>（7月21日）航空股、邮轮股早盘继续反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">Carnival</a> &nbsp;rose&nbsp;over&nbsp;3%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket trading,&nbsp;after&nbsp;the company said it plans to resume guest cruise operations across eight of its cruise line brands by the end of 2021. This would bring Carnival's total operating capacity to nearly 75% by the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">狂欢节</a>该公司表示计划在2021年底前恢复其八个邮轮品牌的客轮运营，盘前交易中股价上涨超过3%。到2021年底，这将使嘉年华的总运营能力达到近75%。</blockquote></p><p> A total of 54 ships across AIDA Cruises, Carnival Cruise Line, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Holland America Line, Princess Cruises, P&amp;O Cruises, and Seabourn plan to resume operations by the end of 2021.&nbsp;Carnival Cruise Line plans to return its full fleet to service this year, which would bring a total of 63 ships back to operations in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>AIDA Cruises、嘉年华邮轮、歌诗达邮轮、冠达邮轮、荷美邮轮、公主邮轮、P&amp;O邮轮和世邦邮轮共有54艘船舶计划在2021年底前恢复运营。嘉年华邮轮计划将其全部船队恢复运营今年，这将使2021年共有63艘船舶恢复运营。</blockquote></p><p> Carnival stock has rebounded 32% over the last year but tumbled in June&nbsp;as it ran into some hurdles with the state of Florida's pushback over COVID-19 vaccine mandates, which Carnival views as important to making passengers feel safe on board.Cruise stockshave come under more selling pressure in July over a recent spike in COVID-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>嘉年华股价在去年反弹了32%，但在6月份暴跌，因为佛罗里达州对COVID-19疫苗强制令的抵制遇到了一些障碍，嘉年华认为这对于让乘客在船上感到安全非常重要。由于近期COVID-19病例激增，7月份面临更多抛售压力。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, the updated roadmap on returning to normal operations gives investors some near-term visibility on Carnival's recovery. There seems to be tremendous pent-up demand for people to travel again. Carnival announced in early July that a 40-night winter sun Caribbean cruise on P&amp;O Cruises sold out in the first day.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，恢复正常运营的更新路线图让投资者对嘉年华的复苏有了一些近期的了解。人们似乎有巨大的被压抑的再次旅行的需求。嘉年华于7月初宣布，P&amp;O Cruises为期40晚的冬日阳光加勒比游轮首日售罄。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SAVE":"Spirit Airlines","AAL":"美国航空","CCL":"嘉年华邮轮","RCL":"皇家加勒比邮轮","BA":"波音","DAL":"达美航空","NCLH":"挪威邮轮","LUV":"西南航空","UAL":"联合大陆航空"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156292040","content_text":"(July 21) Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading.\nShares of Carnival  rose over 3% in premarket trading, after the company said it plans to resume guest cruise operations across eight of its cruise line brands by the end of 2021. This would bring Carnival's total operating capacity to nearly 75% by the end of 2021.\nA total of 54 ships across AIDA Cruises, Carnival Cruise Line, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Holland America Line, Princess Cruises, P&O Cruises, and Seabourn plan to resume operations by the end of 2021. Carnival Cruise Line plans to return its full fleet to service this year, which would bring a total of 63 ships back to operations in 2021.\nCarnival stock has rebounded 32% over the last year but tumbled in June as it ran into some hurdles with the state of Florida's pushback over COVID-19 vaccine mandates, which Carnival views as important to making passengers feel safe on board.Cruise stockshave come under more selling pressure in July over a recent spike in COVID-19 cases.\nNonetheless, the updated roadmap on returning to normal operations gives investors some near-term visibility on Carnival's recovery. There seems to be tremendous pent-up demand for people to travel again. Carnival announced in early July that a 40-night winter sun Caribbean cruise on P&O Cruises sold out in the first day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LUV":0.9,"SAVE":0.9,"NCLH":0.9,"AAL":0.9,"UAL":0.9,"CCL":0.9,"RCL":0.9,"DAL":0.9,"BA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178514598,"gmtCreate":1626827366114,"gmtModify":1633770674516,"author":{"id":"3586858801552030","authorId":"3586858801552030","name":"Jmonster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8087de32037e0cada3980a84e2ced42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586858801552030","authorIdStr":"3586858801552030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Watch and see","listText":"Watch and see","text":"Watch and see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178514598","repostId":"2152693458","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":808257407,"gmtCreate":1627598202509,"gmtModify":1633758032647,"author":{"id":"3586858801552030","authorId":"3586858801552030","name":"Jmonster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8087de32037e0cada3980a84e2ced42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586858801552030","idStr":"3586858801552030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good read","listText":"Good read","text":"Good read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808257407","repostId":"2155290035","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806425799,"gmtCreate":1627690247811,"gmtModify":1631885102441,"author":{"id":"3586858801552030","authorId":"3586858801552030","name":"Jmonster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8087de32037e0cada3980a84e2ced42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586858801552030","idStr":"3586858801552030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to buy-the-dip!","listText":"Time to buy-the-dip!","text":"Time to buy-the-dip!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806425799","repostId":"1137888611","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137888611","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627688479,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137888611?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 07:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio, XPeng, Li Shares Rise, as China EV Stocks Rebound<blockquote>随着中国电动汽车股反弹，蔚来、小鹏汽车、理想汽车股价上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137888611","media":"The Street","summary":"NIO, Li Auto and Xpeng continued the recovery from their July 21-27 drop Friday, even as other U.S.-","content":"<p>  NIO, Li Auto and Xpeng continued the recovery from their July 21-27 drop Friday, even as other U.S.-listed China stocks fell.  Chinese electric vehicle stocks, including NIO&nbsp;(<b>NIO</b>) , Li Auto&nbsp;(<b>LI</b>) and Xpeng&nbsp;(<b>XPEV</b>) , continued the rebound from their July 21-27 drop Friday, even as other U.S.-listed China stocks fell.</p><p><blockquote>尽管其他在美上市的中概股下跌，但蔚来、理想汽车和小鹏汽车周五继续从7月21日至27日的下跌中复苏。中国电动汽车股，包括蔚来(<b>蔚来</b>)、理想汽车(<b>李</b>）和小鹏（<b>XPEV</b>）周五继续从7月21日至27日的下跌中反弹，尽管其他在美国上市的中国股票下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nio gained 4% to $44.50, Li 11% to $33.97 and Xpeng 9% to $41.38. Meanwhile, Alibaba BABA slid 2% to $195.19 and Didi DIDI 3% to $9.57.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来上涨4%，至44.50美元，理想汽车上涨11%，至33.97美元，小鹏汽车上涨9%，至41.38美元。与此同时，阿里巴巴-SW下跌2%，至195.19美元，滴滴下跌3%，至9.57美元。</blockquote></p><p> Fear of stringent Chinese regulation is depressing non-EV stocks. But China hasn’t made much noise about cracking down on EV makers. It’s an industry the government would like to dominate.</p><p><blockquote>对中国严格监管的担忧正在打压非电动汽车股票。但中国并没有在打击电动汽车制造商方面发出太多声音。这是一个政府想要主导的行业。</blockquote></p><p> So it may have no desire to put the hammer down on EV companies, and that’s likely buttressing their shares Friday.</p><p><blockquote>因此，它可能不想打击电动汽车公司，这可能会在周五支撑它们的股价。</blockquote></p><p> When it comes to U.S. EV stocks, Tesla&nbsp;(<b>TSLA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;is the big daddy, of course. Its shares are up 5% to $677.75 Friday, leaving them up 8% for the past five days.</p><p><blockquote>谈到美国电动汽车股票，特斯拉（<b>特斯拉</b>）-当然，Get Report是最重要的。周五，其股价上涨5%，至677.75美元，过去五天上涨8%。</blockquote></p><p> The companyposted stronger-than-expected earningsfor the second quarter Monday and said it's on track to build the first Model Y sedans from new facilities in Austin and Berlin before year-end.</p><p><blockquote>该公司周一公布了强于预期的第二季度收益，并表示有望在年底前在奥斯汀和柏林的新工厂生产首批Model Y轿车。</blockquote></p><p> Chief Executive Elon Musk, however, added in an investor call following the earnings report that the global shortage in semiconductor supplies remains \"quite serious\" and could impact production rates over the second half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>然而，首席执行官Elon Musk在财报发布后的投资者看涨期权中补充称，全球半导体供应短缺仍然“相当严重”，可能会影响下半年的生产率。</blockquote></p><p> Volume growth will depend on the availability of other parts in the global supply chain, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，销量增长将取决于全球供应链中其他零部件的供应情况。</blockquote></p><p> Musk also said he would no longer participate in regular earnings calls, unless he had \"something really important to say\".</p><p><blockquote>马斯克还表示，他将不再参加定期收益评级，除非他有“真正重要的事情要说”。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said adjusted profit for the latest quarter was $1.45 per share, creaming analysts’ consensus forecast of 98 cents.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示，最新季度调整后利润为每股1.45美元，高于分析师普遍预期的98美分。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio, XPeng, Li Shares Rise, as China EV Stocks Rebound<blockquote>随着中国电动汽车股反弹，蔚来、小鹏汽车、理想汽车股价上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio, XPeng, Li Shares Rise, as China EV Stocks Rebound<blockquote>随着中国电动汽车股反弹，蔚来、小鹏汽车、理想汽车股价上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 07:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  NIO, Li Auto and Xpeng continued the recovery from their July 21-27 drop Friday, even as other U.S.-listed China stocks fell.  Chinese electric vehicle stocks, including NIO&nbsp;(<b>NIO</b>) , Li Auto&nbsp;(<b>LI</b>) and Xpeng&nbsp;(<b>XPEV</b>) , continued the rebound from their July 21-27 drop Friday, even as other U.S.-listed China stocks fell.</p><p><blockquote>尽管其他在美上市的中概股下跌，但蔚来、理想汽车和小鹏汽车周五继续从7月21日至27日的下跌中复苏。中国电动汽车股，包括蔚来(<b>蔚来</b>)、理想汽车(<b>李</b>）和小鹏（<b>XPEV</b>）周五继续从7月21日至27日的下跌中反弹，尽管其他在美国上市的中国股票下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nio gained 4% to $44.50, Li 11% to $33.97 and Xpeng 9% to $41.38. Meanwhile, Alibaba BABA slid 2% to $195.19 and Didi DIDI 3% to $9.57.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来上涨4%，至44.50美元，理想汽车上涨11%，至33.97美元，小鹏汽车上涨9%，至41.38美元。与此同时，阿里巴巴-SW下跌2%，至195.19美元，滴滴下跌3%，至9.57美元。</blockquote></p><p> Fear of stringent Chinese regulation is depressing non-EV stocks. But China hasn’t made much noise about cracking down on EV makers. It’s an industry the government would like to dominate.</p><p><blockquote>对中国严格监管的担忧正在打压非电动汽车股票。但中国并没有在打击电动汽车制造商方面发出太多声音。这是一个政府想要主导的行业。</blockquote></p><p> So it may have no desire to put the hammer down on EV companies, and that’s likely buttressing their shares Friday.</p><p><blockquote>因此，它可能不想打击电动汽车公司，这可能会在周五支撑它们的股价。</blockquote></p><p> When it comes to U.S. EV stocks, Tesla&nbsp;(<b>TSLA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;is the big daddy, of course. Its shares are up 5% to $677.75 Friday, leaving them up 8% for the past five days.</p><p><blockquote>谈到美国电动汽车股票，特斯拉（<b>特斯拉</b>）-当然，Get Report是最重要的。周五，其股价上涨5%，至677.75美元，过去五天上涨8%。</blockquote></p><p> The companyposted stronger-than-expected earningsfor the second quarter Monday and said it's on track to build the first Model Y sedans from new facilities in Austin and Berlin before year-end.</p><p><blockquote>该公司周一公布了强于预期的第二季度收益，并表示有望在年底前在奥斯汀和柏林的新工厂生产首批Model Y轿车。</blockquote></p><p> Chief Executive Elon Musk, however, added in an investor call following the earnings report that the global shortage in semiconductor supplies remains \"quite serious\" and could impact production rates over the second half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>然而，首席执行官Elon Musk在财报发布后的投资者看涨期权中补充称，全球半导体供应短缺仍然“相当严重”，可能会影响下半年的生产率。</blockquote></p><p> Volume growth will depend on the availability of other parts in the global supply chain, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，销量增长将取决于全球供应链中其他零部件的供应情况。</blockquote></p><p> Musk also said he would no longer participate in regular earnings calls, unless he had \"something really important to say\".</p><p><blockquote>马斯克还表示，他将不再参加定期收益评级，除非他有“真正重要的事情要说”。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said adjusted profit for the latest quarter was $1.45 per share, creaming analysts’ consensus forecast of 98 cents.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示，最新季度调整后利润为每股1.45美元，高于分析师普遍预期的98美分。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/china-ev-stocks-rebound-nio-xpeng-li\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","NIO":"蔚来","LI":"理想汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/china-ev-stocks-rebound-nio-xpeng-li","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137888611","content_text":"NIO, Li Auto and Xpeng continued the recovery from their July 21-27 drop Friday, even as other U.S.-listed China stocks fell.\n\nChinese electric vehicle stocks, including NIO (NIO) , Li Auto (LI) and Xpeng (XPEV) , continued the rebound from their July 21-27 drop Friday, even as other U.S.-listed China stocks fell.\nNio gained 4% to $44.50, Li 11% to $33.97 and Xpeng 9% to $41.38. Meanwhile, Alibaba BABA slid 2% to $195.19 and Didi DIDI 3% to $9.57.\nFear of stringent Chinese regulation is depressing non-EV stocks. But China hasn’t made much noise about cracking down on EV makers. It’s an industry the government would like to dominate.\nSo it may have no desire to put the hammer down on EV companies, and that’s likely buttressing their shares Friday.\nWhen it comes to U.S. EV stocks, Tesla (TSLA) -Get Report is the big daddy, of course. Its shares are up 5% to $677.75 Friday, leaving them up 8% for the past five days.\nThe companyposted stronger-than-expected earningsfor the second quarter Monday and said it's on track to build the first Model Y sedans from new facilities in Austin and Berlin before year-end.\nChief Executive Elon Musk, however, added in an investor call following the earnings report that the global shortage in semiconductor supplies remains \"quite serious\" and could impact production rates over the second half of the year.\nVolume growth will depend on the availability of other parts in the global supply chain, he said.\nMusk also said he would no longer participate in regular earnings calls, unless he had \"something really important to say\".\nTesla said adjusted profit for the latest quarter was $1.45 per share, creaming analysts’ consensus forecast of 98 cents.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LI":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1335,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808241461,"gmtCreate":1627598439453,"gmtModify":1633758028943,"author":{"id":"3586858801552030","authorId":"3586858801552030","name":"Jmonster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8087de32037e0cada3980a84e2ced42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586858801552030","idStr":"3586858801552030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looking forward","listText":"Looking forward","text":"Looking forward","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808241461","repostId":"1165497040","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1805,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176529087,"gmtCreate":1626908761949,"gmtModify":1631888360962,"author":{"id":"3586858801552030","authorId":"3586858801552030","name":"Jmonster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8087de32037e0cada3980a84e2ced42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586858801552030","idStr":"3586858801552030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agree to disagree","listText":"Agree to disagree","text":"Agree to disagree","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176529087","repostId":"1144363960","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144363960","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626877711,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144363960?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 22:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场疯狂逆转的背后：创纪录的高位偏差</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144363960","media":"zerohedge","summary":"At the end of June, when the S&P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was t","content":"<p>At the end of June, when the S&amp;P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high,&nbsp;<b>and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.</b></p><p><blockquote>6月底，当标准普尔指数日复一日地创下历史新高，当VIX触及2021年新低时，我们警告称，skew指数刚刚创下历史新高——这意味着看跌期权已经异常昂贵相对于平值期权，有助于支撑以看跌期权为主的VIX指数。正如我们进一步补充的那样，将看跌期权价格与平值期权价格进行比较的high skew已达到历史新高，<b>并反映了投资者的看法，即如果市场抛售，高波动性将会回归。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b30d4664cf3c973cc1a86d743bcae379\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,<b>\"</b><b><u>they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash</u></b><b>.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>在评论这一不寻常的举动时，我们说，这表明，虽然一方面交易者似乎自满，但他们从未如此紧张，即使市场的适度波动也可能引发崩盘。推而广之，<b>\"</b><b><u>他们也从未像现在这样免受全面市场崩盘的影响</u></b><b>.\"</b></blockquote></p><p> So fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.</p><p><blockquote>快进到上周晚些时候和周一市场经历的剧烈（尽管短暂）的气穴（而不是全面崩盘），股市出现了几个月来的最大跌幅...只是在那之后飞翔。回想起来，交易者对此要感谢创纪录的高偏差，因为尽管风险在周二急剧逆转并持续到今天，但交易者已经完全对冲并准备好突袭。</blockquote></p><p> So following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...</p><p><blockquote>因此，继一个月前他首次注意到创纪录的高位偏差时的观察之后，高盛的衍生品策略师洛奇·菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）写道，本周的波动性推高了股票隐含波动性和已实现波动性，VIX在周一（7月19日）白天短暂触及25...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c28ca21fe15a17f5b7fa1e3236e5ad\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,<b>in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&amp;P 500.</b></p><p><blockquote>...即使从绝对值来看，成交量并不高：三周SPX实现成交量（12.1%）仍低于年初至今实现成交量（13.4%），周二的反弹使VIX回到20以下。更重要的是，<b>为了应对创纪录的下行偏斜，正确地暗示抛售将带来更高的波动性，偏斜现在已经走得更高——至少对标普500来说是这样。</b></blockquote></p><p> Some more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"</p><p><blockquote>Fishman的更多观察：“尽管周二SPX的大幅波动和隐含波动率的下降降低了波动率风险溢价，但VIX相对于最近实现的波动率仍然很高。”</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,<b>which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in</b>.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自11月以来，SPX的一个月实现波动率从未达到当前VIX水平（19.7）的水平，这表明期权仍然持续昂贵，<b>这也意味着交易者正在对冲大幅上涨和下跌，随着对冲兑现，任何抛售都可能转瞬即逝</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002e0c79da541efcfb85fe1e04e29088\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，考虑到最近快速抛售之后迅速出现低波动性的先例，高盛预计波动性将在短期内消退，第四季度持续上升的可能性更大，而造成这种情况的一个重要原因是指数持续高位倾斜。</blockquote></p><p>   SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers  <b>as much as demand for hedging.</b>The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,  <b>proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....</b>on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.  Meanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plunge<i><b>too</b></i>fast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.</p><p><blockquote>SPX指数偏差继续处于接近创纪录水平，我们认为这是由缺乏下行卖家推动的<b>以及对冲的需求。</b>VIX对周一抛售的强烈反应，VIX盘中一度上涨超过6点，<b>证明了高偏斜是合理的——至少在非常局部的层面上....</b>如果出现更持续的抛售，则很难维持skew所指示的隐含波动率水平。与此同时，从跨资产的角度来看，菲什曼补充说，如果利率保持在如此低的水平，有可能成为股市进一步上涨的催化剂（除非利率暴跌<i><b>也</b></i>快速），使得SPX潜在回报存在近期不对称的可能性，这与期权市场的含义相反。</blockquote></p><p> So how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.</p><p><blockquote>那么，如何交易持续粘性的创纪录高位偏差呢？高盛仍然喜欢杠杆风险逆转，以此作为利用这种动态的一种方式：出售9月17日3800执行权（12.1%OTM）的看跌期权，以零净溢价为2倍4550执行权（5.2%OTM）的评级提供资金。如果SPX指数在到期时收盘价低于下行价格，该交易将遭受美元对美元的损失。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场疯狂逆转的背后：创纪录的高位偏差</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBehind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场疯狂逆转的背后：创纪录的高位偏差</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-21 22:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>At the end of June, when the S&amp;P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high,&nbsp;<b>and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.</b></p><p><blockquote>6月底，当标准普尔指数日复一日地创下历史新高，当VIX触及2021年新低时，我们警告称，skew指数刚刚创下历史新高——这意味着看跌期权已经异常昂贵相对于平值期权，有助于支撑以看跌期权为主的VIX指数。正如我们进一步补充的那样，将看跌期权价格与平值期权价格进行比较的high skew已达到历史新高，<b>并反映了投资者的看法，即如果市场抛售，高波动性将会回归。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b30d4664cf3c973cc1a86d743bcae379\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,<b>\"</b><b><u>they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash</u></b><b>.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>在评论这一不寻常的举动时，我们说，这表明，虽然一方面交易者似乎自满，但他们从未如此紧张，即使市场的适度波动也可能引发崩盘。推而广之，<b>\"</b><b><u>他们也从未像现在这样免受全面市场崩盘的影响</u></b><b>.\"</b></blockquote></p><p> So fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.</p><p><blockquote>快进到上周晚些时候和周一市场经历的剧烈（尽管短暂）的气穴（而不是全面崩盘），股市出现了几个月来的最大跌幅...只是在那之后飞翔。回想起来，交易者对此要感谢创纪录的高偏差，因为尽管风险在周二急剧逆转并持续到今天，但交易者已经完全对冲并准备好突袭。</blockquote></p><p> So following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...</p><p><blockquote>因此，继一个月前他首次注意到创纪录的高位偏差时的观察之后，高盛的衍生品策略师洛奇·菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）写道，本周的波动性推高了股票隐含波动性和已实现波动性，VIX在周一（7月19日）白天短暂触及25...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c28ca21fe15a17f5b7fa1e3236e5ad\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,<b>in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&amp;P 500.</b></p><p><blockquote>...即使从绝对值来看，成交量并不高：三周SPX实现成交量（12.1%）仍低于年初至今实现成交量（13.4%），周二的反弹使VIX回到20以下。更重要的是，<b>为了应对创纪录的下行偏斜，正确地暗示抛售将带来更高的波动性，偏斜现在已经走得更高——至少对标普500来说是这样。</b></blockquote></p><p> Some more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"</p><p><blockquote>Fishman的更多观察：“尽管周二SPX的大幅波动和隐含波动率的下降降低了波动率风险溢价，但VIX相对于最近实现的波动率仍然很高。”</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,<b>which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in</b>.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自11月以来，SPX的一个月实现波动率从未达到当前VIX水平（19.7）的水平，这表明期权仍然持续昂贵，<b>这也意味着交易者正在对冲大幅上涨和下跌，随着对冲兑现，任何抛售都可能转瞬即逝</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002e0c79da541efcfb85fe1e04e29088\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，考虑到最近快速抛售之后迅速出现低波动性的先例，高盛预计波动性将在短期内消退，第四季度持续上升的可能性更大，而造成这种情况的一个重要原因是指数持续高位倾斜。</blockquote></p><p>   SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers  <b>as much as demand for hedging.</b>The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,  <b>proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....</b>on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.  Meanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plunge<i><b>too</b></i>fast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.</p><p><blockquote>SPX指数偏差继续处于接近创纪录水平，我们认为这是由缺乏下行卖家推动的<b>以及对冲的需求。</b>VIX对周一抛售的强烈反应，VIX盘中一度上涨超过6点，<b>证明了高偏斜是合理的——至少在非常局部的层面上....</b>如果出现更持续的抛售，则很难维持skew所指示的隐含波动率水平。与此同时，从跨资产的角度来看，菲什曼补充说，如果利率保持在如此低的水平，有可能成为股市进一步上涨的催化剂（除非利率暴跌<i><b>也</b></i>快速），使得SPX潜在回报存在近期不对称的可能性，这与期权市场的含义相反。</blockquote></p><p> So how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.</p><p><blockquote>那么，如何交易持续粘性的创纪录高位偏差呢？高盛仍然喜欢杠杆风险逆转，以此作为利用这种动态的一种方式：出售9月17日3800执行权（12.1%OTM）的看跌期权，以零净溢价为2倍4550执行权（5.2%OTM）的评级提供资金。如果SPX指数在到期时收盘价低于下行价格，该交易将遭受美元对美元的损失。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-markets-furious-reversal-record-high-skew?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-markets-furious-reversal-record-high-skew?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144363960","content_text":"At the end of June, when the S&P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high, and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.\nCommenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,\"they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash.\"\nSo fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.\nSo following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...\n... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&P 500.\nSome more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"\nFurthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in.\n\nThat said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.\n\n SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers\n as much as demand for hedging.The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,\n proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.\n\nMeanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plungetoofast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.\nSo how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891917355,"gmtCreate":1628316879777,"gmtModify":1633751686263,"author":{"id":"3586858801552030","authorId":"3586858801552030","name":"Jmonster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8087de32037e0cada3980a84e2ced42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586858801552030","idStr":"3586858801552030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Legendary. Does crime&nbsp;pay?!","listText":"Legendary. Does crime&nbsp;pay?!","text":"Legendary. Does crime pay?!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891917355","repostId":"1119792130","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175092034,"gmtCreate":1626997819228,"gmtModify":1633769018546,"author":{"id":"3586858801552030","authorId":"3586858801552030","name":"Jmonster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8087de32037e0cada3980a84e2ced42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586858801552030","idStr":"3586858801552030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can never be wrong with tech","listText":"Can never be wrong with tech","text":"Can never be wrong with tech","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175092034","repostId":"1164478982","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1789,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174819342,"gmtCreate":1627090041686,"gmtModify":1633768111998,"author":{"id":"3586858801552030","authorId":"3586858801552030","name":"Jmonster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8087de32037e0cada3980a84e2ced42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586858801552030","idStr":"3586858801552030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"In the face of delta virus, Vaccine stock does provide some comfort in the \"crash\" resistance.","listText":"In the face of delta virus, Vaccine stock does provide some comfort in the \"crash\" resistance.","text":"In the face of delta virus, Vaccine stock does provide some comfort in the \"crash\" resistance.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174819342","repostId":"2153983997","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176586022,"gmtCreate":1626907773666,"gmtModify":1631884320828,"author":{"id":"3586858801552030","authorId":"3586858801552030","name":"Jmonster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8087de32037e0cada3980a84e2ced42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586858801552030","idStr":"3586858801552030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope travel stays up...","listText":"Hope travel stays up...","text":"Hope travel stays up...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176586022","repostId":"1156292040","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156292040","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626880084,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156292040?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 23:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading<blockquote>航空股、邮轮股早盘继续上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156292040","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 21) Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading.\nShares of Carnival  rose","content":"<p>(July&nbsp;21)&nbsp;Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/552c4c7cf72c26141391a54bd44731bc\" tg-width=\"307\" tg-height=\"364\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>（7月21日）航空股、邮轮股早盘继续反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">Carnival</a> &nbsp;rose&nbsp;over&nbsp;3%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket trading,&nbsp;after&nbsp;the company said it plans to resume guest cruise operations across eight of its cruise line brands by the end of 2021. This would bring Carnival's total operating capacity to nearly 75% by the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">狂欢节</a>该公司表示计划在2021年底前恢复其八个邮轮品牌的客轮运营，盘前交易中股价上涨超过3%。到2021年底，这将使嘉年华的总运营能力达到近75%。</blockquote></p><p> A total of 54 ships across AIDA Cruises, Carnival Cruise Line, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Holland America Line, Princess Cruises, P&amp;O Cruises, and Seabourn plan to resume operations by the end of 2021.&nbsp;Carnival Cruise Line plans to return its full fleet to service this year, which would bring a total of 63 ships back to operations in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>AIDA Cruises、嘉年华邮轮、歌诗达邮轮、冠达邮轮、荷美邮轮、公主邮轮、P&amp;O邮轮和世邦邮轮共有54艘船舶计划在2021年底前恢复运营。嘉年华邮轮计划将其全部船队恢复运营今年，这将使2021年共有63艘船舶恢复运营。</blockquote></p><p> Carnival stock has rebounded 32% over the last year but tumbled in June&nbsp;as it ran into some hurdles with the state of Florida's pushback over COVID-19 vaccine mandates, which Carnival views as important to making passengers feel safe on board.Cruise stockshave come under more selling pressure in July over a recent spike in COVID-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>嘉年华股价在去年反弹了32%，但在6月份暴跌，因为佛罗里达州对COVID-19疫苗强制令的抵制遇到了一些障碍，嘉年华认为这对于让乘客在船上感到安全非常重要。由于近期COVID-19病例激增，7月份面临更多抛售压力。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, the updated roadmap on returning to normal operations gives investors some near-term visibility on Carnival's recovery. There seems to be tremendous pent-up demand for people to travel again. Carnival announced in early July that a 40-night winter sun Caribbean cruise on P&amp;O Cruises sold out in the first day.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，恢复正常运营的更新路线图让投资者对嘉年华的复苏有了一些近期的了解。人们似乎有巨大的被压抑的再次旅行的需求。嘉年华于7月初宣布，P&amp;O Cruises为期40晚的冬日阳光加勒比游轮首日售罄。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading<blockquote>航空股、邮轮股早盘继续上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAirline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading<blockquote>航空股、邮轮股早盘继续上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-21 23:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(July&nbsp;21)&nbsp;Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/552c4c7cf72c26141391a54bd44731bc\" tg-width=\"307\" tg-height=\"364\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>（7月21日）航空股、邮轮股早盘继续反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">Carnival</a> &nbsp;rose&nbsp;over&nbsp;3%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket trading,&nbsp;after&nbsp;the company said it plans to resume guest cruise operations across eight of its cruise line brands by the end of 2021. This would bring Carnival's total operating capacity to nearly 75% by the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">狂欢节</a>该公司表示计划在2021年底前恢复其八个邮轮品牌的客轮运营，盘前交易中股价上涨超过3%。到2021年底，这将使嘉年华的总运营能力达到近75%。</blockquote></p><p> A total of 54 ships across AIDA Cruises, Carnival Cruise Line, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Holland America Line, Princess Cruises, P&amp;O Cruises, and Seabourn plan to resume operations by the end of 2021.&nbsp;Carnival Cruise Line plans to return its full fleet to service this year, which would bring a total of 63 ships back to operations in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>AIDA Cruises、嘉年华邮轮、歌诗达邮轮、冠达邮轮、荷美邮轮、公主邮轮、P&amp;O邮轮和世邦邮轮共有54艘船舶计划在2021年底前恢复运营。嘉年华邮轮计划将其全部船队恢复运营今年，这将使2021年共有63艘船舶恢复运营。</blockquote></p><p> Carnival stock has rebounded 32% over the last year but tumbled in June&nbsp;as it ran into some hurdles with the state of Florida's pushback over COVID-19 vaccine mandates, which Carnival views as important to making passengers feel safe on board.Cruise stockshave come under more selling pressure in July over a recent spike in COVID-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>嘉年华股价在去年反弹了32%，但在6月份暴跌，因为佛罗里达州对COVID-19疫苗强制令的抵制遇到了一些障碍，嘉年华认为这对于让乘客在船上感到安全非常重要。由于近期COVID-19病例激增，7月份面临更多抛售压力。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, the updated roadmap on returning to normal operations gives investors some near-term visibility on Carnival's recovery. There seems to be tremendous pent-up demand for people to travel again. Carnival announced in early July that a 40-night winter sun Caribbean cruise on P&amp;O Cruises sold out in the first day.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，恢复正常运营的更新路线图让投资者对嘉年华的复苏有了一些近期的了解。人们似乎有巨大的被压抑的再次旅行的需求。嘉年华于7月初宣布，P&amp;O Cruises为期40晚的冬日阳光加勒比游轮首日售罄。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SAVE":"Spirit Airlines","AAL":"美国航空","CCL":"嘉年华邮轮","RCL":"皇家加勒比邮轮","BA":"波音","DAL":"达美航空","NCLH":"挪威邮轮","LUV":"西南航空","UAL":"联合大陆航空"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156292040","content_text":"(July 21) Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading.\nShares of Carnival  rose over 3% in premarket trading, after the company said it plans to resume guest cruise operations across eight of its cruise line brands by the end of 2021. This would bring Carnival's total operating capacity to nearly 75% by the end of 2021.\nA total of 54 ships across AIDA Cruises, Carnival Cruise Line, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Holland America Line, Princess Cruises, P&O Cruises, and Seabourn plan to resume operations by the end of 2021. Carnival Cruise Line plans to return its full fleet to service this year, which would bring a total of 63 ships back to operations in 2021.\nCarnival stock has rebounded 32% over the last year but tumbled in June as it ran into some hurdles with the state of Florida's pushback over COVID-19 vaccine mandates, which Carnival views as important to making passengers feel safe on board.Cruise stockshave come under more selling pressure in July over a recent spike in COVID-19 cases.\nNonetheless, the updated roadmap on returning to normal operations gives investors some near-term visibility on Carnival's recovery. There seems to be tremendous pent-up demand for people to travel again. Carnival announced in early July that a 40-night winter sun Caribbean cruise on P&O Cruises sold out in the first day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LUV":0.9,"SAVE":0.9,"NCLH":0.9,"AAL":0.9,"UAL":0.9,"CCL":0.9,"RCL":0.9,"DAL":0.9,"BA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800873798,"gmtCreate":1627294207714,"gmtModify":1633766441970,"author":{"id":"3586858801552030","authorId":"3586858801552030","name":"Jmonster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8087de32037e0cada3980a84e2ced42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586858801552030","idStr":"3586858801552030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting choices","listText":"Interesting choices","text":"Interesting choices","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800873798","repostId":"2154931205","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1472,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178514598,"gmtCreate":1626827366114,"gmtModify":1633770674516,"author":{"id":"3586858801552030","authorId":"3586858801552030","name":"Jmonster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8087de32037e0cada3980a84e2ced42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586858801552030","idStr":"3586858801552030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Watch and see","listText":"Watch and see","text":"Watch and see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178514598","repostId":"2152693458","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}