+关注
mikessss
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:未知
57
关注
5
粉丝
0
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
mikessss
2021-12-02
💩 company
Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading<blockquote>Grab股价首日交易由涨转跌</blockquote>
mikessss
2021-10-21
$Canaan Inc.(CAN)$
take your profits and run while you can
mikessss
2021-10-15
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
Be greedy when others are fearful 😊
mikessss
2021-07-27
🍎
抱歉,原内容已删除
mikessss
2021-07-24
Yup
抱歉,原内容已删除
mikessss
2021-07-19
Ok can
Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be "Hotter But Shorter" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利:本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>
mikessss
2021-07-19
,xiaochongmeng
抱歉,原内容已删除
mikessss
2021-07-18
Oi
抱歉,原内容已删除
mikessss
2021-07-18
Like
抱歉,原内容已删除
mikessss
2021-07-08
Hi
抱歉,原内容已删除
mikessss
2021-07-08
Wow like me
抱歉,原内容已删除
mikessss
2021-07-05
Like me
抱歉,原内容已删除
mikessss
2021-06-23
Like and comment
Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>
mikessss
2021-06-22
Wow like pls
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3587032407188232","uuid":"3587032407188232","gmtCreate":1623938536487,"gmtModify":1706620621959,"name":"mikessss","pinyin":"mikessss","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":5,"headSize":57,"tweetSize":14,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖(非转发)","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"93.40%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.10.31","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.24","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.24","exceedPercentage":"80.86%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":601012583,"gmtCreate":1638459240909,"gmtModify":1638459240974,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💩 company","listText":"💩 company","text":"💩 company","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601012583","repostId":"1189056654","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1189056654","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638458798,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189056654?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-02 23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading<blockquote>Grab股价首日交易由涨转跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189056654","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Singapore ride-hailing firm Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading.Grab had","content":"<p>Singapore ride-hailing firm Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading.Grab had previously risen more than 18%.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡网约车公司Grab股价在首日交易中由涨转跌。Grab此前涨超18%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26b2390eadbdda9e5198852be72c65d5\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">Grab</a>, Southeast Asia's biggest ride-hailing and food delivery firm,lists on Nasdaq on Thursday following its $40 billion merger with special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">Altimeter Growth Corp</a>.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">抓住</a>东南亚最大的网约车和食品配送公司在以400亿美元与特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并后于周四在纳斯达克上市<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">高度计增长公司</a>.</blockquote></p><p> The deal is the world's biggest ever by a blank-check company and the biggest U.S. listing by a Southeast Asian firm.</p><p><blockquote>这笔交易是全球有史以来最大的空白支票公司交易,也是东南亚公司在美国最大的上市交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading<blockquote>Grab股价首日交易由涨转跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading<blockquote>Grab股价首日交易由涨转跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-02 23:26</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Singapore ride-hailing firm Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading.Grab had previously risen more than 18%.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡网约车公司Grab股价在首日交易中由涨转跌。Grab此前涨超18%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26b2390eadbdda9e5198852be72c65d5\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">Grab</a>, Southeast Asia's biggest ride-hailing and food delivery firm,lists on Nasdaq on Thursday following its $40 billion merger with special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">Altimeter Growth Corp</a>.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">抓住</a>东南亚最大的网约车和食品配送公司在以400亿美元与特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并后于周四在纳斯达克上市<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">高度计增长公司</a>.</blockquote></p><p> The deal is the world's biggest ever by a blank-check company and the biggest U.S. listing by a Southeast Asian firm.</p><p><blockquote>这笔交易是全球有史以来最大的空白支票公司交易,也是东南亚公司在美国最大的上市交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189056654","content_text":"Singapore ride-hailing firm Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading.Grab had previously risen more than 18%.\n\nGrab, Southeast Asia's biggest ride-hailing and food delivery firm,lists on Nasdaq on Thursday following its $40 billion merger with special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) Altimeter Growth Corp.\nThe deal is the world's biggest ever by a blank-check company and the biggest U.S. listing by a Southeast Asian firm.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853524335,"gmtCreate":1634825714279,"gmtModify":1634825896019,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">$Canaan Inc.(CAN)$</a>take your profits and run while you can ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">$Canaan Inc.(CAN)$</a>take your profits and run while you can ","text":"$Canaan Inc.(CAN)$take your profits and run while you can","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65288bb5f7e066a6354c20193cac4202","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853524335","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824294066,"gmtCreate":1634313113126,"gmtModify":1634314410372,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Be greedy when others are fearful 😊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Be greedy when others are fearful 😊","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Be greedy when others are fearful 😊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824294066","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":809723056,"gmtCreate":1627393762375,"gmtModify":1631890961933,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🍎","listText":"🍎","text":"🍎","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809723056","repostId":"2154168569","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174985410,"gmtCreate":1627058268030,"gmtModify":1631890961944,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yup","listText":"Yup","text":"Yup","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174985410","repostId":"2153983997","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171939119,"gmtCreate":1626701659931,"gmtModify":1631890961957,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok can","listText":"Ok can","text":"Ok can","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171939119","repostId":"1146536243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146536243","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626683272,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146536243?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利:本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146536243","media":"zerohedge","summary":"This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","content":"<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说,疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后,在政策支持的帮助下,经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的,不同于其他周期性经历的理由是,这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念,记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好,但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反,让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式,这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式,如果它们仍然适用,它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件?是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏?他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家,如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属?他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should <i>continue</i> to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路,像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫,我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为,那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说,这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进,这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的,我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场,尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处,2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是,尽管最近对增长感到担忧,但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进(见增长恐慌周年纪念,2021年7月11日)。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标,所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”,它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标,以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后,该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快,以至于已经过了下一个阶段(“复苏”),直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件,<b>自1980年以来,“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明,在巨大的政策支持下,经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性:这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点,它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义:</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li> <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li> <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li> <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短,信贷相对于其他风险资产越差;信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少,如果下一次衰退提前到来,信贷就会面临风险,并且随着企业信心的增强,信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段,美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期,尽管违约率仍然很低,但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险:我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%,并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面,我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业,因为该行业具有几个良好的因素:质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看,欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”,我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段,美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债,而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的,而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利:本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利:本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 16:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说,疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后,在政策支持的帮助下,经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的,不同于其他周期性经历的理由是,这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念,记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好,但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反,让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式,这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式,如果它们仍然适用,它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件?是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏?他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家,如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属?他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should <i>continue</i> to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路,像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫,我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为,那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说,这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进,这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的,我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场,尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处,2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是,尽管最近对增长感到担忧,但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进(见增长恐慌周年纪念,2021年7月11日)。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标,所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”,它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标,以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后,该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快,以至于已经过了下一个阶段(“复苏”),直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件,<b>自1980年以来,“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明,在巨大的政策支持下,经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性:这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点,它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义:</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li> <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li> <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li> <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短,信贷相对于其他风险资产越差;信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少,如果下一次衰退提前到来,信贷就会面临风险,并且随着企业信心的增强,信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段,美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期,尽管违约率仍然很低,但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险:我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%,并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面,我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业,因为该行业具有几个良好的因素:质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看,欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”,我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段,美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债,而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的,而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146536243","content_text":"We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.\nBut 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.\nInstead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.\nWas last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.\nIf it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should continue to do so.\nSpecifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).\nBecause one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.\nThisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.\nAll this has a number of implications:\n\nThe shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.\nIn many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.\nIn equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.\nInterest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.\n\nThis cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":950,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171930631,"gmtCreate":1626701645523,"gmtModify":1631890961969,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":",xiaochongmeng","listText":",xiaochongmeng","text":",xiaochongmeng","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171930631","repostId":"1107082783","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2747,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173304671,"gmtCreate":1626611627593,"gmtModify":1631890961980,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oi","listText":"Oi","text":"Oi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173304671","repostId":"1123523681","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":998,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173304182,"gmtCreate":1626611605746,"gmtModify":1631890961994,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173304182","repostId":"1123523681","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149525322,"gmtCreate":1625737233366,"gmtModify":1631890962006,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149525322","repostId":"1169350772","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1013,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149522774,"gmtCreate":1625737154698,"gmtModify":1631890962015,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow like me ","listText":"Wow like me ","text":"Wow like me","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149522774","repostId":"2149734674","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154148306,"gmtCreate":1625492350405,"gmtModify":1631890962033,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like me","listText":"Like me","text":"Like me","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154148306","repostId":"2148980793","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":426,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121940207,"gmtCreate":1624451441309,"gmtModify":1631890962039,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121940207","repostId":"1146629706","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146629706","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624449285,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146629706?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 19:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146629706","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.\nBitcoin, ethe","content":"<p><ul> <li>Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.</li> <li>Bitcoin, ethereum and other crypto currenciesrose Wednesday after a tumultous few daysof trading. The SEC meanwhile,delayed a decision about allowing bitcoin ETFs.</li> <li>Crude prices hit multiyear highs on economic rebound hopes,with signs pointing to a stronger rebound in the U.S.than the rest of the world.</li> <li>Torchlight Energy, a hot stock among the Reddit crowd, tumbled premarket, extending a 29% drop the day before.</li> <li>GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more made the biggest moves.</li> </ul> (June 23) U.S. equity futures were steady, while stocks were mixed Wednesday as investors assessed prospects for an economic recovery and continued policy support.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股指期货在小幅上涨和下跌之间反弹,表明开盘平静。</li><li>经过几天的动荡交易后,比特币、以太币和其他加密货币周三上涨。与此同时,美国证券交易委员会推迟了允许比特币ETF的决定。</li><li>由于经济反弹的希望,原油价格触及多年高点,有迹象表明美国的反弹力度强于世界其他地区。</li><li>Reddit人群中的热门股票Torchlight Energy盘前暴跌,延续前一天29%的跌幅。</li><li>葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack等公司动作最大。</li></ul>(6月23日)美国。周三,由于投资者评估经济复苏和持续政策支持的前景,股指期货稳定,而股市涨跌互现。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:59AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 17 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 futures traded 0.25 points, or 0.01%, lower, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 4.25 points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:59,道指期货合约仅上涨17点,即0.05%,标普500期货下跌0.25点,即0.01%,纳斯达克100期货上涨4.25点,即0.03%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e352cd119b936c2cd0b2e789eff1776a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Contracts on all three U.S. equity benchmarks were little changed, after two days of gains for the S&P 500 Index. European equities fell despite better-than-forecast outputdata, after high-flying sectors such as luxury-goods makersslidon analyst downgrades. Asian equities advanced.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500指数连续两天上涨后,所有三个美国股市基准的合约几乎没有变化。尽管产出数据好于预期,但在奢侈品制造商等高速发展的行业被分析师下调评级后,欧洲股市仍下跌。亚洲股市上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Oil climbed above $73 a barrel after data signaling another decline in U.S. crude stockpiles added to a bullish outlook.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示美国原油库存再次下降,增加了看涨前景,油价攀升至每桶73美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/292b831ab7a8ddca43fdc5432203af34\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Markets are steadying this week after last week’s volatility spurred by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt at its meeting. Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday said the central bank would be patient in waiting to lift borrowing costs, andreiteratedthat while price increases are bigger than expected, they will likely wane.</p><p><blockquote>继上周美联储在会议上的鹰派倾向引发的波动之后,市场本周趋于稳定。主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二表示,央行将耐心等待提高借贷成本,并重申,虽然物价涨幅大于预期,但可能会减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s shift last week to acknowledge higher inflation and pull forward its rate hike projections is “a reflection of more positive longer-term dynamics,” BlackRock Investment Institute strategists led by Jean Boivin wrote in a report. “We believe the Fed’s new outlook will not translate into significantly higher policy rates any time soon. This, combined with the powerful restart, underpins our pro-risk stance.”</p><p><blockquote>以Jean Boivin为首的贝莱德投资研究所策略师在一份报告中写道,美联储上周转向承认通胀上升并提前加息预测,“反映了更积极的长期动态”。“我们认为,美联储的新前景不会很快转化为大幅提高的政策利率。这一点,再加上强有力的重启,支撑了我们的亲风险立场。”</blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, commodities including copper and iron ore climbed.Bitcoinrebounded, rising past $30,000.</p><p><blockquote>其他方面,铜和铁矿石等大宗商品上涨。比特币反弹,升至30,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1) GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) </b>– The drugmaker’s stock rose 3.5% in the premarket after it detailed plans to spin out its consumer health-care business into a separate company. Glaxo will eventually receive an $11 billion payment from the new company.</p><p><blockquote><b>1)葛兰素史克(GSK)</b>-该制药商详细计划将其消费者医疗保健业务分拆为一家独立公司后,其股价在盘前上涨3.5%。葛兰素史克最终将从新公司获得110亿美元的付款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2) MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b> – MicroStrategy rallied 4.4% in premarket trading, trading in sync with the price of bitcoin. The business analytics company holds several billion dollars worth of bitcoin and took advantage of the recent price drop to buy more.</p><p><blockquote><b>2)MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b>-MicroStrategy在盘前交易中上涨4.4%,与比特币的价格同步。这家商业分析公司持有价值数十亿美元的比特币,并利用最近价格下跌的机会购买了更多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3) Shake Shack(SHAK) </b>– Shake Shack announced an expansion of its footprint in China, where it currently has 16 restaurants. It will open 10 restaurants in new territories by 2031, and plans to have a total of 79 China locations by that time. Shake Shack gained 1.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>3)摇摇小屋(SHAK)</b>-Shake Shack宣布扩大其在中国的足迹,目前在中国拥有16家餐厅。它将于2031年前在新界开设10家餐厅,并计划届时在中国的分店总数为79家。Shake Shack在盘前上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4) Winnebago(WGO) </b>– The recreational vehicle maker reported quarterly earnings of $2.16 per share, well above the consensus estimate of $1.77 a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts by doubling to record levels. Sales of towable products nearly tripled from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)温尼贝戈(WGO)</b>-这家休闲车制造商公布的季度收益为每股2.16美元,远高于每股1.77美元的普遍预期。收入也超出了华尔街的预期,翻了一番,达到创纪录的水平。可牵引产品的销量同比增长近两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5) Microsoft(MSFT) </b>– Microsoft became the second company to surpass a $2 trillion market value, achieving that mark during Tuesday’s session.Apple(AAPL), currently worth $2.2 trillion, was the first.</p><p><blockquote><b>5)微软(MSFT)</b>–微软成为第二家市值突破2万亿美元的公司,并在周二的交易中实现了这一大关。目前市值2.2万亿美元的苹果(AAPL)是第一家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6) Carrier Global(CARR)</b> – Carrier shares rose 1.9% in the premarket after the stock was rated “buy” in new coverage at Deutsche Bank. The industrial equipment maker is poised to benefit from its exposure to non-residential construction as well as an increasing emphasis on indoor air quality, according to Deutsche Bank.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)Carrier Global(CARR)</b>-在德意志银行的新报道中,开利股价被评为“买入”后,该股盘前上涨1.9%。德意志银行表示,这家工业设备制造商将受益于其对非住宅建筑的投资以及对室内空气质量的日益重视。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7) Amazon.com(AMZN) </b>– Amazon will bethe target of a nationwide unionization effortby the Teamsters Union, which accuses the retail giant of mistreating warehouse and logistics workers. The effort was announced in a resolution presented at the union’s international convention.</p><p><blockquote><b>7)亚马逊。com(AMZN)</b>-亚马逊将成为卡车司机工会在全国范围内成立工会的目标,该工会指责这家零售巨头虐待仓库和物流工人。这项努力是在联盟国际大会上提交的一项决议中宣布的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8) Intel(INTC)</b> – The semiconductor maker is creating two new business units, one that will focus on software and the other on high-performance computing and graphics.</p><p><blockquote><b>8)英特尔(INTC)</b>-这家半导体制造商正在创建两个新的业务部门,一个专注于软件,另一个专注于高性能计算和图形。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>9) Alphabet(GOOGL)</b> – Alphabet’s Google unit will soon face a lawsuit by a number of state attorneys general, according to a Reuters report. The suit – which could be filed as soon as next week – will accuse the company’s Google Play app store of violating antitrust law.</p><p><blockquote><b>9)Alphabet(GOOGL)</b>——据路透社报道,Alphabet的谷歌部门很快将面临多位州总检察长的诉讼。该诉讼最早可能于下周提起,将指控该公司的Google Play应用商店违反反垄断法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10) Xpeng(XPEV) </b>– Xpeng received permission from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for an initial public offering there, with The Wall Street Journal reporting that the China-based electric car maker is planning to raise up to $2 billion with that offering. Xpeng is already listed in the U.S. with a market value of more than $30 billion. Xpeng jumped 3.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)小鹏汽车(XPEV)</b>-小鹏汽车获得香港联交所首次公开募股的许可,据《华尔街日报》报道,这家中国电动汽车制造商计划通过此次发行筹集至多20亿美元。小鹏汽车已经在美国上市,市值超过300亿美元。小鹏汽车盘前上涨3.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-23 19:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul> <li>Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.</li> <li>Bitcoin, ethereum and other crypto currenciesrose Wednesday after a tumultous few daysof trading. The SEC meanwhile,delayed a decision about allowing bitcoin ETFs.</li> <li>Crude prices hit multiyear highs on economic rebound hopes,with signs pointing to a stronger rebound in the U.S.than the rest of the world.</li> <li>Torchlight Energy, a hot stock among the Reddit crowd, tumbled premarket, extending a 29% drop the day before.</li> <li>GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more made the biggest moves.</li> </ul> (June 23) U.S. equity futures were steady, while stocks were mixed Wednesday as investors assessed prospects for an economic recovery and continued policy support.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股指期货在小幅上涨和下跌之间反弹,表明开盘平静。</li><li>经过几天的动荡交易后,比特币、以太币和其他加密货币周三上涨。与此同时,美国证券交易委员会推迟了允许比特币ETF的决定。</li><li>由于经济反弹的希望,原油价格触及多年高点,有迹象表明美国的反弹力度强于世界其他地区。</li><li>Reddit人群中的热门股票Torchlight Energy盘前暴跌,延续前一天29%的跌幅。</li><li>葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack等公司动作最大。</li></ul>(6月23日)美国。周三,由于投资者评估经济复苏和持续政策支持的前景,股指期货稳定,而股市涨跌互现。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:59AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 17 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 futures traded 0.25 points, or 0.01%, lower, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 4.25 points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:59,道指期货合约仅上涨17点,即0.05%,标普500期货下跌0.25点,即0.01%,纳斯达克100期货上涨4.25点,即0.03%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e352cd119b936c2cd0b2e789eff1776a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Contracts on all three U.S. equity benchmarks were little changed, after two days of gains for the S&P 500 Index. European equities fell despite better-than-forecast outputdata, after high-flying sectors such as luxury-goods makersslidon analyst downgrades. Asian equities advanced.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500指数连续两天上涨后,所有三个美国股市基准的合约几乎没有变化。尽管产出数据好于预期,但在奢侈品制造商等高速发展的行业被分析师下调评级后,欧洲股市仍下跌。亚洲股市上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Oil climbed above $73 a barrel after data signaling another decline in U.S. crude stockpiles added to a bullish outlook.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示美国原油库存再次下降,增加了看涨前景,油价攀升至每桶73美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/292b831ab7a8ddca43fdc5432203af34\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Markets are steadying this week after last week’s volatility spurred by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt at its meeting. Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday said the central bank would be patient in waiting to lift borrowing costs, andreiteratedthat while price increases are bigger than expected, they will likely wane.</p><p><blockquote>继上周美联储在会议上的鹰派倾向引发的波动之后,市场本周趋于稳定。主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二表示,央行将耐心等待提高借贷成本,并重申,虽然物价涨幅大于预期,但可能会减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s shift last week to acknowledge higher inflation and pull forward its rate hike projections is “a reflection of more positive longer-term dynamics,” BlackRock Investment Institute strategists led by Jean Boivin wrote in a report. “We believe the Fed’s new outlook will not translate into significantly higher policy rates any time soon. This, combined with the powerful restart, underpins our pro-risk stance.”</p><p><blockquote>以Jean Boivin为首的贝莱德投资研究所策略师在一份报告中写道,美联储上周转向承认通胀上升并提前加息预测,“反映了更积极的长期动态”。“我们认为,美联储的新前景不会很快转化为大幅提高的政策利率。这一点,再加上强有力的重启,支撑了我们的亲风险立场。”</blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, commodities including copper and iron ore climbed.Bitcoinrebounded, rising past $30,000.</p><p><blockquote>其他方面,铜和铁矿石等大宗商品上涨。比特币反弹,升至30,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1) GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) </b>– The drugmaker’s stock rose 3.5% in the premarket after it detailed plans to spin out its consumer health-care business into a separate company. Glaxo will eventually receive an $11 billion payment from the new company.</p><p><blockquote><b>1)葛兰素史克(GSK)</b>-该制药商详细计划将其消费者医疗保健业务分拆为一家独立公司后,其股价在盘前上涨3.5%。葛兰素史克最终将从新公司获得110亿美元的付款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2) MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b> – MicroStrategy rallied 4.4% in premarket trading, trading in sync with the price of bitcoin. The business analytics company holds several billion dollars worth of bitcoin and took advantage of the recent price drop to buy more.</p><p><blockquote><b>2)MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b>-MicroStrategy在盘前交易中上涨4.4%,与比特币的价格同步。这家商业分析公司持有价值数十亿美元的比特币,并利用最近价格下跌的机会购买了更多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3) Shake Shack(SHAK) </b>– Shake Shack announced an expansion of its footprint in China, where it currently has 16 restaurants. It will open 10 restaurants in new territories by 2031, and plans to have a total of 79 China locations by that time. Shake Shack gained 1.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>3)摇摇小屋(SHAK)</b>-Shake Shack宣布扩大其在中国的足迹,目前在中国拥有16家餐厅。它将于2031年前在新界开设10家餐厅,并计划届时在中国的分店总数为79家。Shake Shack在盘前上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4) Winnebago(WGO) </b>– The recreational vehicle maker reported quarterly earnings of $2.16 per share, well above the consensus estimate of $1.77 a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts by doubling to record levels. Sales of towable products nearly tripled from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)温尼贝戈(WGO)</b>-这家休闲车制造商公布的季度收益为每股2.16美元,远高于每股1.77美元的普遍预期。收入也超出了华尔街的预期,翻了一番,达到创纪录的水平。可牵引产品的销量同比增长近两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5) Microsoft(MSFT) </b>– Microsoft became the second company to surpass a $2 trillion market value, achieving that mark during Tuesday’s session.Apple(AAPL), currently worth $2.2 trillion, was the first.</p><p><blockquote><b>5)微软(MSFT)</b>–微软成为第二家市值突破2万亿美元的公司,并在周二的交易中实现了这一大关。目前市值2.2万亿美元的苹果(AAPL)是第一家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6) Carrier Global(CARR)</b> – Carrier shares rose 1.9% in the premarket after the stock was rated “buy” in new coverage at Deutsche Bank. The industrial equipment maker is poised to benefit from its exposure to non-residential construction as well as an increasing emphasis on indoor air quality, according to Deutsche Bank.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)Carrier Global(CARR)</b>-在德意志银行的新报道中,开利股价被评为“买入”后,该股盘前上涨1.9%。德意志银行表示,这家工业设备制造商将受益于其对非住宅建筑的投资以及对室内空气质量的日益重视。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7) Amazon.com(AMZN) </b>– Amazon will bethe target of a nationwide unionization effortby the Teamsters Union, which accuses the retail giant of mistreating warehouse and logistics workers. The effort was announced in a resolution presented at the union’s international convention.</p><p><blockquote><b>7)亚马逊。com(AMZN)</b>-亚马逊将成为卡车司机工会在全国范围内成立工会的目标,该工会指责这家零售巨头虐待仓库和物流工人。这项努力是在联盟国际大会上提交的一项决议中宣布的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8) Intel(INTC)</b> – The semiconductor maker is creating two new business units, one that will focus on software and the other on high-performance computing and graphics.</p><p><blockquote><b>8)英特尔(INTC)</b>-这家半导体制造商正在创建两个新的业务部门,一个专注于软件,另一个专注于高性能计算和图形。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>9) Alphabet(GOOGL)</b> – Alphabet’s Google unit will soon face a lawsuit by a number of state attorneys general, according to a Reuters report. The suit – which could be filed as soon as next week – will accuse the company’s Google Play app store of violating antitrust law.</p><p><blockquote><b>9)Alphabet(GOOGL)</b>——据路透社报道,Alphabet的谷歌部门很快将面临多位州总检察长的诉讼。该诉讼最早可能于下周提起,将指控该公司的Google Play应用商店违反反垄断法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10) Xpeng(XPEV) </b>– Xpeng received permission from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for an initial public offering there, with The Wall Street Journal reporting that the China-based electric car maker is planning to raise up to $2 billion with that offering. Xpeng is already listed in the U.S. with a market value of more than $30 billion. Xpeng jumped 3.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)小鹏汽车(XPEV)</b>-小鹏汽车获得香港联交所首次公开募股的许可,据《华尔街日报》报道,这家中国电动汽车制造商计划通过此次发行筹集至多20亿美元。小鹏汽车已经在美国上市,市值超过300亿美元。小鹏汽车盘前上涨3.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146629706","content_text":"Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.\nBitcoin, ethereum and other crypto currenciesrose Wednesday after a tumultous few daysof trading. The SEC meanwhile,delayed a decision about allowing bitcoin ETFs.\nCrude prices hit multiyear highs on economic rebound hopes,with signs pointing to a stronger rebound in the U.S.than the rest of the world.\nTorchlight Energy, a hot stock among the Reddit crowd, tumbled premarket, extending a 29% drop the day before.\nGlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more made the biggest moves.\n\n(June 23) U.S. equity futures were steady, while stocks were mixed Wednesday as investors assessed prospects for an economic recovery and continued policy support.\nAt 7:59AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 17 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 futures traded 0.25 points, or 0.01%, lower, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 4.25 points, or 0.03%.\n\nContracts on all three U.S. equity benchmarks were little changed, after two days of gains for the S&P 500 Index. European equities fell despite better-than-forecast outputdata, after high-flying sectors such as luxury-goods makersslidon analyst downgrades. Asian equities advanced.\nOil climbed above $73 a barrel after data signaling another decline in U.S. crude stockpiles added to a bullish outlook.\n\nMarkets are steadying this week after last week’s volatility spurred by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt at its meeting. Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday said the central bank would be patient in waiting to lift borrowing costs, andreiteratedthat while price increases are bigger than expected, they will likely wane.\nThe Fed’s shift last week to acknowledge higher inflation and pull forward its rate hike projections is “a reflection of more positive longer-term dynamics,” BlackRock Investment Institute strategists led by Jean Boivin wrote in a report. “We believe the Fed’s new outlook will not translate into significantly higher policy rates any time soon. This, combined with the powerful restart, underpins our pro-risk stance.”\nElsewhere, commodities including copper and iron ore climbed.Bitcoinrebounded, rising past $30,000.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more\n1) GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) – The drugmaker’s stock rose 3.5% in the premarket after it detailed plans to spin out its consumer health-care business into a separate company. Glaxo will eventually receive an $11 billion payment from the new company.\n2) MicroStrategy(MSTR) – MicroStrategy rallied 4.4% in premarket trading, trading in sync with the price of bitcoin. The business analytics company holds several billion dollars worth of bitcoin and took advantage of the recent price drop to buy more.\n3) Shake Shack(SHAK) – Shake Shack announced an expansion of its footprint in China, where it currently has 16 restaurants. It will open 10 restaurants in new territories by 2031, and plans to have a total of 79 China locations by that time. Shake Shack gained 1.5% in premarket action.\n4) Winnebago(WGO) – The recreational vehicle maker reported quarterly earnings of $2.16 per share, well above the consensus estimate of $1.77 a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts by doubling to record levels. Sales of towable products nearly tripled from a year earlier.\n5) Microsoft(MSFT) – Microsoft became the second company to surpass a $2 trillion market value, achieving that mark during Tuesday’s session.Apple(AAPL), currently worth $2.2 trillion, was the first.\n6) Carrier Global(CARR) – Carrier shares rose 1.9% in the premarket after the stock was rated “buy” in new coverage at Deutsche Bank. The industrial equipment maker is poised to benefit from its exposure to non-residential construction as well as an increasing emphasis on indoor air quality, according to Deutsche Bank.\n7) Amazon.com(AMZN) – Amazon will bethe target of a nationwide unionization effortby the Teamsters Union, which accuses the retail giant of mistreating warehouse and logistics workers. The effort was announced in a resolution presented at the union’s international convention.\n8) Intel(INTC) – The semiconductor maker is creating two new business units, one that will focus on software and the other on high-performance computing and graphics.\n9) Alphabet(GOOGL) – Alphabet’s Google unit will soon face a lawsuit by a number of state attorneys general, according to a Reuters report. The suit – which could be filed as soon as next week – will accuse the company’s Google Play app store of violating antitrust law.\n10) Xpeng(XPEV) – Xpeng received permission from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for an initial public offering there, with The Wall Street Journal reporting that the China-based electric car maker is planning to raise up to $2 billion with that offering. Xpeng is already listed in the U.S. with a market value of more than $30 billion. Xpeng jumped 3.8% in the premarket.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129652359,"gmtCreate":1624371983071,"gmtModify":1631892648209,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow like pls","listText":"Wow like pls","text":"Wow like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129652359","repostId":"2145056554","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":558,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":149522774,"gmtCreate":1625737154698,"gmtModify":1631890962015,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3587032407188232","idStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow like me ","listText":"Wow like me ","text":"Wow like me","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149522774","repostId":"2149734674","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174985410,"gmtCreate":1627058268030,"gmtModify":1631890961944,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3587032407188232","idStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yup","listText":"Yup","text":"Yup","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174985410","repostId":"2153983997","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173304671,"gmtCreate":1626611627593,"gmtModify":1631890961980,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3587032407188232","idStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oi","listText":"Oi","text":"Oi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173304671","repostId":"1123523681","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":998,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154148306,"gmtCreate":1625492350405,"gmtModify":1631890962033,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3587032407188232","idStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like me","listText":"Like me","text":"Like me","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154148306","repostId":"2148980793","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":426,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173304182,"gmtCreate":1626611605746,"gmtModify":1631890961994,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3587032407188232","idStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173304182","repostId":"1123523681","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":601012583,"gmtCreate":1638459240909,"gmtModify":1638459240974,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3587032407188232","idStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💩 company","listText":"💩 company","text":"💩 company","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601012583","repostId":"1189056654","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1189056654","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638458798,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189056654?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-02 23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading<blockquote>Grab股价首日交易由涨转跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189056654","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Singapore ride-hailing firm Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading.Grab had","content":"<p>Singapore ride-hailing firm Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading.Grab had previously risen more than 18%.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡网约车公司Grab股价在首日交易中由涨转跌。Grab此前涨超18%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26b2390eadbdda9e5198852be72c65d5\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">Grab</a>, Southeast Asia's biggest ride-hailing and food delivery firm,lists on Nasdaq on Thursday following its $40 billion merger with special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">Altimeter Growth Corp</a>.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">抓住</a>东南亚最大的网约车和食品配送公司在以400亿美元与特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并后于周四在纳斯达克上市<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">高度计增长公司</a>.</blockquote></p><p> The deal is the world's biggest ever by a blank-check company and the biggest U.S. listing by a Southeast Asian firm.</p><p><blockquote>这笔交易是全球有史以来最大的空白支票公司交易,也是东南亚公司在美国最大的上市交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading<blockquote>Grab股价首日交易由涨转跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading<blockquote>Grab股价首日交易由涨转跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-02 23:26</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Singapore ride-hailing firm Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading.Grab had previously risen more than 18%.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡网约车公司Grab股价在首日交易中由涨转跌。Grab此前涨超18%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26b2390eadbdda9e5198852be72c65d5\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">Grab</a>, Southeast Asia's biggest ride-hailing and food delivery firm,lists on Nasdaq on Thursday following its $40 billion merger with special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">Altimeter Growth Corp</a>.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">抓住</a>东南亚最大的网约车和食品配送公司在以400亿美元与特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并后于周四在纳斯达克上市<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">高度计增长公司</a>.</blockquote></p><p> The deal is the world's biggest ever by a blank-check company and the biggest U.S. listing by a Southeast Asian firm.</p><p><blockquote>这笔交易是全球有史以来最大的空白支票公司交易,也是东南亚公司在美国最大的上市交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189056654","content_text":"Singapore ride-hailing firm Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading.Grab had previously risen more than 18%.\n\nGrab, Southeast Asia's biggest ride-hailing and food delivery firm,lists on Nasdaq on Thursday following its $40 billion merger with special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) Altimeter Growth Corp.\nThe deal is the world's biggest ever by a blank-check company and the biggest U.S. listing by a Southeast Asian firm.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":809723056,"gmtCreate":1627393762375,"gmtModify":1631890961933,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3587032407188232","idStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🍎","listText":"🍎","text":"🍎","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809723056","repostId":"2154168569","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171939119,"gmtCreate":1626701659931,"gmtModify":1631890961957,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3587032407188232","idStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok can","listText":"Ok can","text":"Ok can","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171939119","repostId":"1146536243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146536243","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626683272,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146536243?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利:本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146536243","media":"zerohedge","summary":"This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","content":"<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说,疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后,在政策支持的帮助下,经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的,不同于其他周期性经历的理由是,这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念,记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好,但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反,让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式,这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式,如果它们仍然适用,它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件?是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏?他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家,如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属?他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should <i>continue</i> to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路,像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫,我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为,那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说,这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进,这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的,我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场,尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处,2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是,尽管最近对增长感到担忧,但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进(见增长恐慌周年纪念,2021年7月11日)。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标,所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”,它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标,以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后,该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快,以至于已经过了下一个阶段(“复苏”),直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件,<b>自1980年以来,“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明,在巨大的政策支持下,经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性:这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点,它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义:</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li> <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li> <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li> <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短,信贷相对于其他风险资产越差;信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少,如果下一次衰退提前到来,信贷就会面临风险,并且随着企业信心的增强,信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段,美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期,尽管违约率仍然很低,但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险:我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%,并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面,我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业,因为该行业具有几个良好的因素:质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看,欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”,我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段,美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债,而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的,而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利:本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利:本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 16:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说,疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后,在政策支持的帮助下,经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的,不同于其他周期性经历的理由是,这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念,记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好,但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反,让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式,这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式,如果它们仍然适用,它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件?是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏?他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家,如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属?他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should <i>continue</i> to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路,像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫,我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为,那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说,这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进,这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的,我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场,尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处,2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是,尽管最近对增长感到担忧,但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进(见增长恐慌周年纪念,2021年7月11日)。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标,所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”,它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标,以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后,该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快,以至于已经过了下一个阶段(“复苏”),直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件,<b>自1980年以来,“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明,在巨大的政策支持下,经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性:这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点,它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义:</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li> <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li> <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li> <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短,信贷相对于其他风险资产越差;信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少,如果下一次衰退提前到来,信贷就会面临风险,并且随着企业信心的增强,信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段,美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期,尽管违约率仍然很低,但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险:我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%,并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面,我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业,因为该行业具有几个良好的因素:质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看,欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”,我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段,美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债,而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的,而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146536243","content_text":"We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.\nBut 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.\nInstead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.\nWas last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.\nIf it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should continue to do so.\nSpecifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).\nBecause one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.\nThisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.\nAll this has a number of implications:\n\nThe shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.\nIn many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.\nIn equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.\nInterest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.\n\nThis cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":950,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129652359,"gmtCreate":1624371983071,"gmtModify":1631892648209,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3587032407188232","idStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow like pls","listText":"Wow like pls","text":"Wow like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129652359","repostId":"2145056554","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":558,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121940207,"gmtCreate":1624451441309,"gmtModify":1631890962039,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3587032407188232","idStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121940207","repostId":"1146629706","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146629706","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624449285,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146629706?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 19:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146629706","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.\nBitcoin, ethe","content":"<p><ul> <li>Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.</li> <li>Bitcoin, ethereum and other crypto currenciesrose Wednesday after a tumultous few daysof trading. The SEC meanwhile,delayed a decision about allowing bitcoin ETFs.</li> <li>Crude prices hit multiyear highs on economic rebound hopes,with signs pointing to a stronger rebound in the U.S.than the rest of the world.</li> <li>Torchlight Energy, a hot stock among the Reddit crowd, tumbled premarket, extending a 29% drop the day before.</li> <li>GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more made the biggest moves.</li> </ul> (June 23) U.S. equity futures were steady, while stocks were mixed Wednesday as investors assessed prospects for an economic recovery and continued policy support.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股指期货在小幅上涨和下跌之间反弹,表明开盘平静。</li><li>经过几天的动荡交易后,比特币、以太币和其他加密货币周三上涨。与此同时,美国证券交易委员会推迟了允许比特币ETF的决定。</li><li>由于经济反弹的希望,原油价格触及多年高点,有迹象表明美国的反弹力度强于世界其他地区。</li><li>Reddit人群中的热门股票Torchlight Energy盘前暴跌,延续前一天29%的跌幅。</li><li>葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack等公司动作最大。</li></ul>(6月23日)美国。周三,由于投资者评估经济复苏和持续政策支持的前景,股指期货稳定,而股市涨跌互现。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:59AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 17 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 futures traded 0.25 points, or 0.01%, lower, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 4.25 points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:59,道指期货合约仅上涨17点,即0.05%,标普500期货下跌0.25点,即0.01%,纳斯达克100期货上涨4.25点,即0.03%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e352cd119b936c2cd0b2e789eff1776a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Contracts on all three U.S. equity benchmarks were little changed, after two days of gains for the S&P 500 Index. European equities fell despite better-than-forecast outputdata, after high-flying sectors such as luxury-goods makersslidon analyst downgrades. Asian equities advanced.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500指数连续两天上涨后,所有三个美国股市基准的合约几乎没有变化。尽管产出数据好于预期,但在奢侈品制造商等高速发展的行业被分析师下调评级后,欧洲股市仍下跌。亚洲股市上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Oil climbed above $73 a barrel after data signaling another decline in U.S. crude stockpiles added to a bullish outlook.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示美国原油库存再次下降,增加了看涨前景,油价攀升至每桶73美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/292b831ab7a8ddca43fdc5432203af34\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Markets are steadying this week after last week’s volatility spurred by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt at its meeting. Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday said the central bank would be patient in waiting to lift borrowing costs, andreiteratedthat while price increases are bigger than expected, they will likely wane.</p><p><blockquote>继上周美联储在会议上的鹰派倾向引发的波动之后,市场本周趋于稳定。主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二表示,央行将耐心等待提高借贷成本,并重申,虽然物价涨幅大于预期,但可能会减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s shift last week to acknowledge higher inflation and pull forward its rate hike projections is “a reflection of more positive longer-term dynamics,” BlackRock Investment Institute strategists led by Jean Boivin wrote in a report. “We believe the Fed’s new outlook will not translate into significantly higher policy rates any time soon. This, combined with the powerful restart, underpins our pro-risk stance.”</p><p><blockquote>以Jean Boivin为首的贝莱德投资研究所策略师在一份报告中写道,美联储上周转向承认通胀上升并提前加息预测,“反映了更积极的长期动态”。“我们认为,美联储的新前景不会很快转化为大幅提高的政策利率。这一点,再加上强有力的重启,支撑了我们的亲风险立场。”</blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, commodities including copper and iron ore climbed.Bitcoinrebounded, rising past $30,000.</p><p><blockquote>其他方面,铜和铁矿石等大宗商品上涨。比特币反弹,升至30,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1) GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) </b>– The drugmaker’s stock rose 3.5% in the premarket after it detailed plans to spin out its consumer health-care business into a separate company. Glaxo will eventually receive an $11 billion payment from the new company.</p><p><blockquote><b>1)葛兰素史克(GSK)</b>-该制药商详细计划将其消费者医疗保健业务分拆为一家独立公司后,其股价在盘前上涨3.5%。葛兰素史克最终将从新公司获得110亿美元的付款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2) MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b> – MicroStrategy rallied 4.4% in premarket trading, trading in sync with the price of bitcoin. The business analytics company holds several billion dollars worth of bitcoin and took advantage of the recent price drop to buy more.</p><p><blockquote><b>2)MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b>-MicroStrategy在盘前交易中上涨4.4%,与比特币的价格同步。这家商业分析公司持有价值数十亿美元的比特币,并利用最近价格下跌的机会购买了更多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3) Shake Shack(SHAK) </b>– Shake Shack announced an expansion of its footprint in China, where it currently has 16 restaurants. It will open 10 restaurants in new territories by 2031, and plans to have a total of 79 China locations by that time. Shake Shack gained 1.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>3)摇摇小屋(SHAK)</b>-Shake Shack宣布扩大其在中国的足迹,目前在中国拥有16家餐厅。它将于2031年前在新界开设10家餐厅,并计划届时在中国的分店总数为79家。Shake Shack在盘前上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4) Winnebago(WGO) </b>– The recreational vehicle maker reported quarterly earnings of $2.16 per share, well above the consensus estimate of $1.77 a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts by doubling to record levels. Sales of towable products nearly tripled from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)温尼贝戈(WGO)</b>-这家休闲车制造商公布的季度收益为每股2.16美元,远高于每股1.77美元的普遍预期。收入也超出了华尔街的预期,翻了一番,达到创纪录的水平。可牵引产品的销量同比增长近两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5) Microsoft(MSFT) </b>– Microsoft became the second company to surpass a $2 trillion market value, achieving that mark during Tuesday’s session.Apple(AAPL), currently worth $2.2 trillion, was the first.</p><p><blockquote><b>5)微软(MSFT)</b>–微软成为第二家市值突破2万亿美元的公司,并在周二的交易中实现了这一大关。目前市值2.2万亿美元的苹果(AAPL)是第一家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6) Carrier Global(CARR)</b> – Carrier shares rose 1.9% in the premarket after the stock was rated “buy” in new coverage at Deutsche Bank. The industrial equipment maker is poised to benefit from its exposure to non-residential construction as well as an increasing emphasis on indoor air quality, according to Deutsche Bank.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)Carrier Global(CARR)</b>-在德意志银行的新报道中,开利股价被评为“买入”后,该股盘前上涨1.9%。德意志银行表示,这家工业设备制造商将受益于其对非住宅建筑的投资以及对室内空气质量的日益重视。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7) Amazon.com(AMZN) </b>– Amazon will bethe target of a nationwide unionization effortby the Teamsters Union, which accuses the retail giant of mistreating warehouse and logistics workers. The effort was announced in a resolution presented at the union’s international convention.</p><p><blockquote><b>7)亚马逊。com(AMZN)</b>-亚马逊将成为卡车司机工会在全国范围内成立工会的目标,该工会指责这家零售巨头虐待仓库和物流工人。这项努力是在联盟国际大会上提交的一项决议中宣布的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8) Intel(INTC)</b> – The semiconductor maker is creating two new business units, one that will focus on software and the other on high-performance computing and graphics.</p><p><blockquote><b>8)英特尔(INTC)</b>-这家半导体制造商正在创建两个新的业务部门,一个专注于软件,另一个专注于高性能计算和图形。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>9) Alphabet(GOOGL)</b> – Alphabet’s Google unit will soon face a lawsuit by a number of state attorneys general, according to a Reuters report. The suit – which could be filed as soon as next week – will accuse the company’s Google Play app store of violating antitrust law.</p><p><blockquote><b>9)Alphabet(GOOGL)</b>——据路透社报道,Alphabet的谷歌部门很快将面临多位州总检察长的诉讼。该诉讼最早可能于下周提起,将指控该公司的Google Play应用商店违反反垄断法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10) Xpeng(XPEV) </b>– Xpeng received permission from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for an initial public offering there, with The Wall Street Journal reporting that the China-based electric car maker is planning to raise up to $2 billion with that offering. Xpeng is already listed in the U.S. with a market value of more than $30 billion. Xpeng jumped 3.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)小鹏汽车(XPEV)</b>-小鹏汽车获得香港联交所首次公开募股的许可,据《华尔街日报》报道,这家中国电动汽车制造商计划通过此次发行筹集至多20亿美元。小鹏汽车已经在美国上市,市值超过300亿美元。小鹏汽车盘前上涨3.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-23 19:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul> <li>Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.</li> <li>Bitcoin, ethereum and other crypto currenciesrose Wednesday after a tumultous few daysof trading. The SEC meanwhile,delayed a decision about allowing bitcoin ETFs.</li> <li>Crude prices hit multiyear highs on economic rebound hopes,with signs pointing to a stronger rebound in the U.S.than the rest of the world.</li> <li>Torchlight Energy, a hot stock among the Reddit crowd, tumbled premarket, extending a 29% drop the day before.</li> <li>GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more made the biggest moves.</li> </ul> (June 23) U.S. equity futures were steady, while stocks were mixed Wednesday as investors assessed prospects for an economic recovery and continued policy support.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股指期货在小幅上涨和下跌之间反弹,表明开盘平静。</li><li>经过几天的动荡交易后,比特币、以太币和其他加密货币周三上涨。与此同时,美国证券交易委员会推迟了允许比特币ETF的决定。</li><li>由于经济反弹的希望,原油价格触及多年高点,有迹象表明美国的反弹力度强于世界其他地区。</li><li>Reddit人群中的热门股票Torchlight Energy盘前暴跌,延续前一天29%的跌幅。</li><li>葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack等公司动作最大。</li></ul>(6月23日)美国。周三,由于投资者评估经济复苏和持续政策支持的前景,股指期货稳定,而股市涨跌互现。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:59AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 17 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 futures traded 0.25 points, or 0.01%, lower, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 4.25 points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:59,道指期货合约仅上涨17点,即0.05%,标普500期货下跌0.25点,即0.01%,纳斯达克100期货上涨4.25点,即0.03%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e352cd119b936c2cd0b2e789eff1776a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Contracts on all three U.S. equity benchmarks were little changed, after two days of gains for the S&P 500 Index. European equities fell despite better-than-forecast outputdata, after high-flying sectors such as luxury-goods makersslidon analyst downgrades. Asian equities advanced.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500指数连续两天上涨后,所有三个美国股市基准的合约几乎没有变化。尽管产出数据好于预期,但在奢侈品制造商等高速发展的行业被分析师下调评级后,欧洲股市仍下跌。亚洲股市上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Oil climbed above $73 a barrel after data signaling another decline in U.S. crude stockpiles added to a bullish outlook.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示美国原油库存再次下降,增加了看涨前景,油价攀升至每桶73美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/292b831ab7a8ddca43fdc5432203af34\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Markets are steadying this week after last week’s volatility spurred by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt at its meeting. Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday said the central bank would be patient in waiting to lift borrowing costs, andreiteratedthat while price increases are bigger than expected, they will likely wane.</p><p><blockquote>继上周美联储在会议上的鹰派倾向引发的波动之后,市场本周趋于稳定。主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二表示,央行将耐心等待提高借贷成本,并重申,虽然物价涨幅大于预期,但可能会减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s shift last week to acknowledge higher inflation and pull forward its rate hike projections is “a reflection of more positive longer-term dynamics,” BlackRock Investment Institute strategists led by Jean Boivin wrote in a report. “We believe the Fed’s new outlook will not translate into significantly higher policy rates any time soon. This, combined with the powerful restart, underpins our pro-risk stance.”</p><p><blockquote>以Jean Boivin为首的贝莱德投资研究所策略师在一份报告中写道,美联储上周转向承认通胀上升并提前加息预测,“反映了更积极的长期动态”。“我们认为,美联储的新前景不会很快转化为大幅提高的政策利率。这一点,再加上强有力的重启,支撑了我们的亲风险立场。”</blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, commodities including copper and iron ore climbed.Bitcoinrebounded, rising past $30,000.</p><p><blockquote>其他方面,铜和铁矿石等大宗商品上涨。比特币反弹,升至30,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:葛兰素史克、MicroStrategy、Shake Shack等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1) GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) </b>– The drugmaker’s stock rose 3.5% in the premarket after it detailed plans to spin out its consumer health-care business into a separate company. Glaxo will eventually receive an $11 billion payment from the new company.</p><p><blockquote><b>1)葛兰素史克(GSK)</b>-该制药商详细计划将其消费者医疗保健业务分拆为一家独立公司后,其股价在盘前上涨3.5%。葛兰素史克最终将从新公司获得110亿美元的付款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2) MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b> – MicroStrategy rallied 4.4% in premarket trading, trading in sync with the price of bitcoin. The business analytics company holds several billion dollars worth of bitcoin and took advantage of the recent price drop to buy more.</p><p><blockquote><b>2)MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b>-MicroStrategy在盘前交易中上涨4.4%,与比特币的价格同步。这家商业分析公司持有价值数十亿美元的比特币,并利用最近价格下跌的机会购买了更多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3) Shake Shack(SHAK) </b>– Shake Shack announced an expansion of its footprint in China, where it currently has 16 restaurants. It will open 10 restaurants in new territories by 2031, and plans to have a total of 79 China locations by that time. Shake Shack gained 1.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>3)摇摇小屋(SHAK)</b>-Shake Shack宣布扩大其在中国的足迹,目前在中国拥有16家餐厅。它将于2031年前在新界开设10家餐厅,并计划届时在中国的分店总数为79家。Shake Shack在盘前上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4) Winnebago(WGO) </b>– The recreational vehicle maker reported quarterly earnings of $2.16 per share, well above the consensus estimate of $1.77 a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts by doubling to record levels. Sales of towable products nearly tripled from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)温尼贝戈(WGO)</b>-这家休闲车制造商公布的季度收益为每股2.16美元,远高于每股1.77美元的普遍预期。收入也超出了华尔街的预期,翻了一番,达到创纪录的水平。可牵引产品的销量同比增长近两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5) Microsoft(MSFT) </b>– Microsoft became the second company to surpass a $2 trillion market value, achieving that mark during Tuesday’s session.Apple(AAPL), currently worth $2.2 trillion, was the first.</p><p><blockquote><b>5)微软(MSFT)</b>–微软成为第二家市值突破2万亿美元的公司,并在周二的交易中实现了这一大关。目前市值2.2万亿美元的苹果(AAPL)是第一家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6) Carrier Global(CARR)</b> – Carrier shares rose 1.9% in the premarket after the stock was rated “buy” in new coverage at Deutsche Bank. The industrial equipment maker is poised to benefit from its exposure to non-residential construction as well as an increasing emphasis on indoor air quality, according to Deutsche Bank.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)Carrier Global(CARR)</b>-在德意志银行的新报道中,开利股价被评为“买入”后,该股盘前上涨1.9%。德意志银行表示,这家工业设备制造商将受益于其对非住宅建筑的投资以及对室内空气质量的日益重视。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7) Amazon.com(AMZN) </b>– Amazon will bethe target of a nationwide unionization effortby the Teamsters Union, which accuses the retail giant of mistreating warehouse and logistics workers. The effort was announced in a resolution presented at the union’s international convention.</p><p><blockquote><b>7)亚马逊。com(AMZN)</b>-亚马逊将成为卡车司机工会在全国范围内成立工会的目标,该工会指责这家零售巨头虐待仓库和物流工人。这项努力是在联盟国际大会上提交的一项决议中宣布的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8) Intel(INTC)</b> – The semiconductor maker is creating two new business units, one that will focus on software and the other on high-performance computing and graphics.</p><p><blockquote><b>8)英特尔(INTC)</b>-这家半导体制造商正在创建两个新的业务部门,一个专注于软件,另一个专注于高性能计算和图形。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>9) Alphabet(GOOGL)</b> – Alphabet’s Google unit will soon face a lawsuit by a number of state attorneys general, according to a Reuters report. The suit – which could be filed as soon as next week – will accuse the company’s Google Play app store of violating antitrust law.</p><p><blockquote><b>9)Alphabet(GOOGL)</b>——据路透社报道,Alphabet的谷歌部门很快将面临多位州总检察长的诉讼。该诉讼最早可能于下周提起,将指控该公司的Google Play应用商店违反反垄断法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10) Xpeng(XPEV) </b>– Xpeng received permission from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for an initial public offering there, with The Wall Street Journal reporting that the China-based electric car maker is planning to raise up to $2 billion with that offering. Xpeng is already listed in the U.S. with a market value of more than $30 billion. Xpeng jumped 3.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)小鹏汽车(XPEV)</b>-小鹏汽车获得香港联交所首次公开募股的许可,据《华尔街日报》报道,这家中国电动汽车制造商计划通过此次发行筹集至多20亿美元。小鹏汽车已经在美国上市,市值超过300亿美元。小鹏汽车盘前上涨3.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146629706","content_text":"Stock futures are bouncing between small gains and losses, indicating a quiet opening.\nBitcoin, ethereum and other crypto currenciesrose Wednesday after a tumultous few daysof trading. The SEC meanwhile,delayed a decision about allowing bitcoin ETFs.\nCrude prices hit multiyear highs on economic rebound hopes,with signs pointing to a stronger rebound in the U.S.than the rest of the world.\nTorchlight Energy, a hot stock among the Reddit crowd, tumbled premarket, extending a 29% drop the day before.\nGlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more made the biggest moves.\n\n(June 23) U.S. equity futures were steady, while stocks were mixed Wednesday as investors assessed prospects for an economic recovery and continued policy support.\nAt 7:59AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 17 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 futures traded 0.25 points, or 0.01%, lower, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 4.25 points, or 0.03%.\n\nContracts on all three U.S. equity benchmarks were little changed, after two days of gains for the S&P 500 Index. European equities fell despite better-than-forecast outputdata, after high-flying sectors such as luxury-goods makersslidon analyst downgrades. Asian equities advanced.\nOil climbed above $73 a barrel after data signaling another decline in U.S. crude stockpiles added to a bullish outlook.\n\nMarkets are steadying this week after last week’s volatility spurred by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt at its meeting. Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday said the central bank would be patient in waiting to lift borrowing costs, andreiteratedthat while price increases are bigger than expected, they will likely wane.\nThe Fed’s shift last week to acknowledge higher inflation and pull forward its rate hike projections is “a reflection of more positive longer-term dynamics,” BlackRock Investment Institute strategists led by Jean Boivin wrote in a report. “We believe the Fed’s new outlook will not translate into significantly higher policy rates any time soon. This, combined with the powerful restart, underpins our pro-risk stance.”\nElsewhere, commodities including copper and iron ore climbed.Bitcoinrebounded, rising past $30,000.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GlaxoSmithKline, MicroStrategy, Shake Shack & more\n1) GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) – The drugmaker’s stock rose 3.5% in the premarket after it detailed plans to spin out its consumer health-care business into a separate company. Glaxo will eventually receive an $11 billion payment from the new company.\n2) MicroStrategy(MSTR) – MicroStrategy rallied 4.4% in premarket trading, trading in sync with the price of bitcoin. The business analytics company holds several billion dollars worth of bitcoin and took advantage of the recent price drop to buy more.\n3) Shake Shack(SHAK) – Shake Shack announced an expansion of its footprint in China, where it currently has 16 restaurants. It will open 10 restaurants in new territories by 2031, and plans to have a total of 79 China locations by that time. Shake Shack gained 1.5% in premarket action.\n4) Winnebago(WGO) – The recreational vehicle maker reported quarterly earnings of $2.16 per share, well above the consensus estimate of $1.77 a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts by doubling to record levels. Sales of towable products nearly tripled from a year earlier.\n5) Microsoft(MSFT) – Microsoft became the second company to surpass a $2 trillion market value, achieving that mark during Tuesday’s session.Apple(AAPL), currently worth $2.2 trillion, was the first.\n6) Carrier Global(CARR) – Carrier shares rose 1.9% in the premarket after the stock was rated “buy” in new coverage at Deutsche Bank. The industrial equipment maker is poised to benefit from its exposure to non-residential construction as well as an increasing emphasis on indoor air quality, according to Deutsche Bank.\n7) Amazon.com(AMZN) – Amazon will bethe target of a nationwide unionization effortby the Teamsters Union, which accuses the retail giant of mistreating warehouse and logistics workers. The effort was announced in a resolution presented at the union’s international convention.\n8) Intel(INTC) – The semiconductor maker is creating two new business units, one that will focus on software and the other on high-performance computing and graphics.\n9) Alphabet(GOOGL) – Alphabet’s Google unit will soon face a lawsuit by a number of state attorneys general, according to a Reuters report. The suit – which could be filed as soon as next week – will accuse the company’s Google Play app store of violating antitrust law.\n10) Xpeng(XPEV) – Xpeng received permission from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for an initial public offering there, with The Wall Street Journal reporting that the China-based electric car maker is planning to raise up to $2 billion with that offering. Xpeng is already listed in the U.S. with a market value of more than $30 billion. Xpeng jumped 3.8% in the premarket.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":824294066,"gmtCreate":1634313113126,"gmtModify":1634314410372,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3587032407188232","idStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Be greedy when others are fearful 😊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Be greedy when others are fearful 😊","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Be greedy when others are fearful 😊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824294066","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":149525322,"gmtCreate":1625737233366,"gmtModify":1631890962006,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3587032407188232","idStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149525322","repostId":"1169350772","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1013,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":853524335,"gmtCreate":1634825714279,"gmtModify":1634825896019,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3587032407188232","idStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">$Canaan Inc.(CAN)$</a>take your profits and run while you can ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">$Canaan Inc.(CAN)$</a>take your profits and run while you can ","text":"$Canaan Inc.(CAN)$take your profits and run while you can","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65288bb5f7e066a6354c20193cac4202","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853524335","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":171930631,"gmtCreate":1626701645523,"gmtModify":1631890961969,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3587032407188232","idStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":",xiaochongmeng","listText":",xiaochongmeng","text":",xiaochongmeng","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171930631","repostId":"1107082783","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2747,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}