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auntiechua
2021-07-23
Niceeee
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auntiechua
2021-07-19
Nice
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auntiechua
2021-07-19
Time to rethink
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auntiechua
2021-07-19
👍🏻👍🏻
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auntiechua
2021-07-15
💪🏼have a read
TSMC’s Second-Quarter Profit Rises 11% on Strong Chip Demand<blockquote>台积电第二季度利润因芯片需求强劲增长 11%</blockquote>
auntiechua
2021-07-11
A refreshing read
The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>
auntiechua
2021-07-11
A very interesting article and good read on the Apple battery especially for all Apple users!
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a read ","listText":"💪🏼have a read ","text":"💪🏼have a read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147954128","repostId":"1113252389","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113252389","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626327337,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1113252389?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 13:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSMC’s Second-Quarter Profit Rises 11% on Strong Chip Demand<blockquote>台积电第二季度利润因芯片需求强劲增长 11%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113252389","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported an 11% increase in quarterly profit, underscoring ho","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a> Co. reported an 11% increase in quarterly profit, underscoring how the company has benefited from a global chip shortage that’s driven up orders from the automotive and other industries.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>公司公布的季度利润增长了 11%,这凸显了该公司如何从全球芯片短缺中受益,全球芯片短缺推动了汽车和其他行业的订单增加。</blockquote></p><p> Net income for the quarter ended in June rose to NT$134.4 billion ($4.8 billion), slightly below the average analyst estimate of NT$136.15 billion. Revenue came in at NT$372.15 billion based on previously released monthly sales figures.</p><p><blockquote>截至 6 月的季度净利润升至新台币 1344 亿元(48 亿美元),略低于分析师平均预期的新台币 1361.5 亿元。根据之前公布的月度销售数据,营收为新台币3721.5亿元。</blockquote></p><p> While an ongoing semiconductor shortage has hampered the global economic recovery from Covid-19, suppliers like TSMC, the world’s largest contract chipmaker, are among beneficiaries as they race to fulfill orders. The Taiwanese company is also likely to get a lift from plans by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc., its largest customer, to ready 90 million units of upgraded iPhones for the second half of this year.</p><p><blockquote>虽然持续的半导体短缺阻碍了全球经济从 Covid-19 中复苏,但全球最大的合同芯片制造商台积电等供应商也是受益者之一,他们竞相完成订单。这家台湾公司也可能从计划中获得提升<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>其最大客户Inc.将在今年下半年准备9000万部升级版iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> “As TSMC will likely keep loading its capacity at extremely high utilization in upcoming quarters, we expect the strong revenue momentum to continue through end of 2021,” <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a> analyst Roland Shu wrote in a note last week. “Strong demand but limited capacity increases in the supply chain will continue to allow TSMC to best utilize its capacities and further strengthen its pricing power.”</p><p><blockquote>“由于台积电在未来几个季度可能会继续以极高的利用率装载产能,我们预计强劲的收入势头将持续到 2021 年底。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>分析师罗兰·舒上周在一份报告中写道。“需求强劲,但供应链产能增长有限,将继续使台积电能够最大限度地利用其产能,并进一步增强其定价能力。”</blockquote></p><p> In early July, Daimler AG and Jaguar Land Rover warned that sales will be further curtailed by the persistent chip shortage, with the latter saying deliveries in the second quarter will be 50% worse than initially thought. The U.K. economy’s growth slowed to 0.8% in May, partly due to a 16.4% slump in the production of transport equipment triggered by a lack of semiconductors.</p><p><blockquote>7月初,戴姆勒股份公司和捷豹路虎警告称,持续的芯片短缺将进一步削减销量,后者表示第二季度的交付量将比最初预期的差50%。5 月份英国经济增速放缓至 0.8%,部分原因是半导体短缺导致运输设备产量下滑 16.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">United Microelectronics</a> Corp., a smaller rival to TSMC, said last week that chip demand could continue to outpace supply until 2023.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">联合微电子</a>台积电的规模较小的竞争对手Corp.上周表示,芯片需求可能会继续超过供应,直到2023年。</blockquote></p><p> In response to the demand from carmakers, TSMC has said it will increase shipments to the sector. Revenue from automotive clients increased 12% from the first quarter, while high-performance computing climbed by a similar magnitude. Sales to smartphone clients, the biggest chunk of its revenue, eased 3% in the seasonally slower second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>为了响应汽车制造商的需求,台积电表示将增加对该行业的出货量。汽车客户的收入较第一季度增长了 12%,而高性能计算的收入也增长了类似的幅度。智能手机客户的销售额是其收入的最大组成部分,在季节性放缓的第二季度下降了 3%。</blockquote></p><p> Gross margin was 50%, below the roughly 51% average predicted by analysts. In early June, a cluster of Covid-19 infections at a factory in central Taiwan forced King Yuan Electronics Co., <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the world’s leading chip-testing service providers, to shut operations temporarily. That led to minor disruptions in the Taiwanese semiconductor supply chain which many around the world rely on. TSMC said on Monday three of its employees were confirmed to have been infected, though it doesn’t see any impact on operations.</p><p><blockquote>毛利率为 50%,低于分析师预测的约 51% 的平均水平。6 月初,台湾中部一家工厂发生聚集性 Covid-19 感染事件,迫使金源电子股份有限公司、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>世界领先的芯片测试服务提供商之一,将暂时关闭运营。这导致世界各地许多人所依赖的台湾半导体供应链出现轻微中断。台积电周一表示,该公司有三名员工被证实感染,但认为不会对运营造成任何影响。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8972f21d044da7c44c189d05e553355d\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>TSMC today announced consolidated <b>revenue of NT$372.15 billion, net income of NT$134.36 billion, and diluted earnings per share of NT$5.18(US$0.93 per ADR unit)</b> for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021.</li> <li>Year-over-year, second quarter <b>revenue increased 19.8% while net income and diluted EPS both increased 11.2%.</b> Compared to first quarter 2021, second quarter results represented a 2.7% increase in revenue and a 3.8% decrease in net income. All figures were prepared in accordance with TIFRS on a consolidated basis.</li> <li>In US dollars, second quarter revenue was $13.29 billion, which increased 28.0% year-over-year and increased 2.9% from the previous quarter.</li> <li><b>Gross margin for the quarter was 50.0%,</b> operating margin was 39.1%, and net profit margin was 36.1%.</li> <li>In the second quarter, <b>shipments of 5-nanometer accounted for 18% of total wafer revenue; 7- nanometer accounted for 31%.</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AEIS\">Advanced</a> technologies, defined as 7-nanometer and more advanced technologies, accounted for 49% of total wafer revenue.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1042154c2034c25d54d740e91d9a2e\" tg-width=\"658\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电今天宣布合并<b>营收3721.5亿元,净利润1343.6亿元,每股摊薄盈利5.18元(每ADR单位0.93美元)</b>截至2021年6月30日的第二季度。</li><li>第二季度同比<b>收入增长 19.8%,净利润和稀释每股收益均增长 11.2%。</b>与2021年第一季度相比,第二季度业绩显示收入增长2.7%,净利润下降3.8%。所有数字均根据国际财务报告准则按综合基准编制。</li><li>以美元计,第二季度营收为132.9亿美元,同比增长28.0%,环比增长2.9%。</li><li><b>本季度毛利率为50.0%,</b>营业利润率为39.1%,净利润率为36.1%。</li><li>第二季度,<b>5纳米出货量占晶圆总收入的18%;7-纳米占31%。</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AEIS\">先进的</a>技术(定义为 7 纳米和更先进的技术)占晶圆总收入的 49%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSMC’s Second-Quarter Profit Rises 11% on Strong Chip Demand<blockquote>台积电第二季度利润因芯片需求强劲增长 11%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-15 13:35</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a> Co. reported an 11% increase in quarterly profit, underscoring how the company has benefited from a global chip shortage that’s driven up orders from the automotive and other industries.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>公司公布的季度利润增长了 11%,这凸显了该公司如何从全球芯片短缺中受益,全球芯片短缺推动了汽车和其他行业的订单增加。</blockquote></p><p> Net income for the quarter ended in June rose to NT$134.4 billion ($4.8 billion), slightly below the average analyst estimate of NT$136.15 billion. Revenue came in at NT$372.15 billion based on previously released monthly sales figures.</p><p><blockquote>截至 6 月的季度净利润升至新台币 1344 亿元(48 亿美元),略低于分析师平均预期的新台币 1361.5 亿元。根据之前公布的月度销售数据,营收为新台币3721.5亿元。</blockquote></p><p> While an ongoing semiconductor shortage has hampered the global economic recovery from Covid-19, suppliers like TSMC, the world’s largest contract chipmaker, are among beneficiaries as they race to fulfill orders. The Taiwanese company is also likely to get a lift from plans by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc., its largest customer, to ready 90 million units of upgraded iPhones for the second half of this year.</p><p><blockquote>虽然持续的半导体短缺阻碍了全球经济从 Covid-19 中复苏,但全球最大的合同芯片制造商台积电等供应商也是受益者之一,他们竞相完成订单。这家台湾公司也可能从计划中获得提升<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>其最大客户Inc.将在今年下半年准备9000万部升级版iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> “As TSMC will likely keep loading its capacity at extremely high utilization in upcoming quarters, we expect the strong revenue momentum to continue through end of 2021,” <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a> analyst Roland Shu wrote in a note last week. “Strong demand but limited capacity increases in the supply chain will continue to allow TSMC to best utilize its capacities and further strengthen its pricing power.”</p><p><blockquote>“由于台积电在未来几个季度可能会继续以极高的利用率装载产能,我们预计强劲的收入势头将持续到 2021 年底。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>分析师罗兰·舒上周在一份报告中写道。“需求强劲,但供应链产能增长有限,将继续使台积电能够最大限度地利用其产能,并进一步增强其定价能力。”</blockquote></p><p> In early July, Daimler AG and Jaguar Land Rover warned that sales will be further curtailed by the persistent chip shortage, with the latter saying deliveries in the second quarter will be 50% worse than initially thought. The U.K. economy’s growth slowed to 0.8% in May, partly due to a 16.4% slump in the production of transport equipment triggered by a lack of semiconductors.</p><p><blockquote>7月初,戴姆勒股份公司和捷豹路虎警告称,持续的芯片短缺将进一步削减销量,后者表示第二季度的交付量将比最初预期的差50%。5 月份英国经济增速放缓至 0.8%,部分原因是半导体短缺导致运输设备产量下滑 16.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">United Microelectronics</a> Corp., a smaller rival to TSMC, said last week that chip demand could continue to outpace supply until 2023.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">联合微电子</a>台积电的规模较小的竞争对手Corp.上周表示,芯片需求可能会继续超过供应,直到2023年。</blockquote></p><p> In response to the demand from carmakers, TSMC has said it will increase shipments to the sector. Revenue from automotive clients increased 12% from the first quarter, while high-performance computing climbed by a similar magnitude. Sales to smartphone clients, the biggest chunk of its revenue, eased 3% in the seasonally slower second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>为了响应汽车制造商的需求,台积电表示将增加对该行业的出货量。汽车客户的收入较第一季度增长了 12%,而高性能计算的收入也增长了类似的幅度。智能手机客户的销售额是其收入的最大组成部分,在季节性放缓的第二季度下降了 3%。</blockquote></p><p> Gross margin was 50%, below the roughly 51% average predicted by analysts. In early June, a cluster of Covid-19 infections at a factory in central Taiwan forced King Yuan Electronics Co., <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the world’s leading chip-testing service providers, to shut operations temporarily. That led to minor disruptions in the Taiwanese semiconductor supply chain which many around the world rely on. TSMC said on Monday three of its employees were confirmed to have been infected, though it doesn’t see any impact on operations.</p><p><blockquote>毛利率为 50%,低于分析师预测的约 51% 的平均水平。6 月初,台湾中部一家工厂发生聚集性 Covid-19 感染事件,迫使金源电子股份有限公司、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>世界领先的芯片测试服务提供商之一,将暂时关闭运营。这导致世界各地许多人所依赖的台湾半导体供应链出现轻微中断。台积电周一表示,该公司有三名员工被证实感染,但认为不会对运营造成任何影响。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8972f21d044da7c44c189d05e553355d\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>TSMC today announced consolidated <b>revenue of NT$372.15 billion, net income of NT$134.36 billion, and diluted earnings per share of NT$5.18(US$0.93 per ADR unit)</b> for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021.</li> <li>Year-over-year, second quarter <b>revenue increased 19.8% while net income and diluted EPS both increased 11.2%.</b> Compared to first quarter 2021, second quarter results represented a 2.7% increase in revenue and a 3.8% decrease in net income. All figures were prepared in accordance with TIFRS on a consolidated basis.</li> <li>In US dollars, second quarter revenue was $13.29 billion, which increased 28.0% year-over-year and increased 2.9% from the previous quarter.</li> <li><b>Gross margin for the quarter was 50.0%,</b> operating margin was 39.1%, and net profit margin was 36.1%.</li> <li>In the second quarter, <b>shipments of 5-nanometer accounted for 18% of total wafer revenue; 7- nanometer accounted for 31%.</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AEIS\">Advanced</a> technologies, defined as 7-nanometer and more advanced technologies, accounted for 49% of total wafer revenue.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1042154c2034c25d54d740e91d9a2e\" tg-width=\"658\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电今天宣布合并<b>营收3721.5亿元,净利润1343.6亿元,每股摊薄盈利5.18元(每ADR单位0.93美元)</b>截至2021年6月30日的第二季度。</li><li>第二季度同比<b>收入增长 19.8%,净利润和稀释每股收益均增长 11.2%。</b>与2021年第一季度相比,第二季度业绩显示收入增长2.7%,净利润下降3.8%。所有数字均根据国际财务报告准则按综合基准编制。</li><li>以美元计,第二季度营收为132.9亿美元,同比增长28.0%,环比增长2.9%。</li><li><b>本季度毛利率为50.0%,</b>营业利润率为39.1%,净利润率为36.1%。</li><li>第二季度,<b>5纳米出货量占晶圆总收入的18%;7-纳米占31%。</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AEIS\">先进的</a>技术(定义为 7 纳米和更先进的技术)占晶圆总收入的 49%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113252389","content_text":"Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported an 11% increase in quarterly profit, underscoring how the company has benefited from a global chip shortage that’s driven up orders from the automotive and other industries.\nNet income for the quarter ended in June rose to NT$134.4 billion ($4.8 billion), slightly below the average analyst estimate of NT$136.15 billion. Revenue came in at NT$372.15 billion based on previously released monthly sales figures.\nWhile an ongoing semiconductor shortage has hampered the global economic recovery from Covid-19, suppliers like TSMC, the world’s largest contract chipmaker, are among beneficiaries as they race to fulfill orders. The Taiwanese company is also likely to get a lift from plans by Apple Inc., its largest customer, to ready 90 million units of upgraded iPhones for the second half of this year.\n“As TSMC will likely keep loading its capacity at extremely high utilization in upcoming quarters, we expect the strong revenue momentum to continue through end of 2021,” Citigroup analyst Roland Shu wrote in a note last week. “Strong demand but limited capacity increases in the supply chain will continue to allow TSMC to best utilize its capacities and further strengthen its pricing power.”\nIn early July, Daimler AG and Jaguar Land Rover warned that sales will be further curtailed by the persistent chip shortage, with the latter saying deliveries in the second quarter will be 50% worse than initially thought. The U.K. economy’s growth slowed to 0.8% in May, partly due to a 16.4% slump in the production of transport equipment triggered by a lack of semiconductors.\nUnited Microelectronics Corp., a smaller rival to TSMC, said last week that chip demand could continue to outpace supply until 2023.\nIn response to the demand from carmakers, TSMC has said it will increase shipments to the sector. Revenue from automotive clients increased 12% from the first quarter, while high-performance computing climbed by a similar magnitude. Sales to smartphone clients, the biggest chunk of its revenue, eased 3% in the seasonally slower second quarter.\nGross margin was 50%, below the roughly 51% average predicted by analysts. In early June, a cluster of Covid-19 infections at a factory in central Taiwan forced King Yuan Electronics Co., one of the world’s leading chip-testing service providers, to shut operations temporarily. That led to minor disruptions in the Taiwanese semiconductor supply chain which many around the world rely on. TSMC said on Monday three of its employees were confirmed to have been infected, though it doesn’t see any impact on operations.\n\n\nTSMC today announced consolidated revenue of NT$372.15 billion, net income of NT$134.36 billion, and diluted earnings per share of NT$5.18(US$0.93 per ADR unit) for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021.\nYear-over-year, second quarter revenue increased 19.8% while net income and diluted EPS both increased 11.2%. Compared to first quarter 2021, second quarter results represented a 2.7% increase in revenue and a 3.8% decrease in net income. All figures were prepared in accordance with TIFRS on a consolidated basis.\nIn US dollars, second quarter revenue was $13.29 billion, which increased 28.0% year-over-year and increased 2.9% from the previous quarter.\nGross margin for the quarter was 50.0%, operating margin was 39.1%, and net profit margin was 36.1%.\nIn the second quarter, shipments of 5-nanometer accounted for 18% of total wafer revenue; 7- nanometer accounted for 31%. Advanced technologies, defined as 7-nanometer and more advanced technologies, accounted for 49% of total wafer revenue.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1940,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148583229,"gmtCreate":1625988144161,"gmtModify":1633931057098,"author":{"id":"4087128285458480","authorId":"4087128285458480","name":"auntiechua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349b4414d18abd37890454c370ee081a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087128285458480","idStr":"4087128285458480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"A refreshing read ","listText":"A refreshing read ","text":"A refreshing read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148583229","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站(股票代码:GME)、黑莓(BB),甚至百视达的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时,它们何时会再次坠毁的时间已经在流逝。会是几个小时、几天还是几周?</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经过去半年了,核心 “备忘录股票 ”的交易价格仍然处于研究这些股票多年的人认为离谱的水平。Clover Health Investments (CLOV) 和 Newegg Commerce (NEGG) 等新名称最近出现在留言板上,它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易员--长期以来被嘲笑为 “哑巴钱 ”--的集体努力成功地让股市飙升,并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型的迹象,也没有表现出足以证明其估值的利润,但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱,并警告称其关键的网络安全部门将达到收入指导的低端;消息传出后,该股下跌,但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大型经纪商的交易量较 2 月份的峰值略有下降,但仍高于疫情爆发前的两到三倍。数量惊人的这种活动发生在散户交易者青睐的股票中。例如,AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6 月份的日均交易额达到 131 亿美元,超过了苹果(AAPL)的 95 亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的 103 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退,大多数新交易者表示,他们仍然致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中,58%的日内交易者表示,他们计划在未来进行更多的交易,只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉捏酸面团面包;交易者只会变得越来越饥饿。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种食欲,就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。目前,下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“美国海军电子技术员布兰登-卢切克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的一封电子邮件中写道:”我看到'逢低买入'的情绪一刻也没有减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票飙升是由散户投资者交易的增加推动的。2020年,在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户,超过1000万人开设了新账户。这一记录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露,在今年不到一半的时间里,经纪商已经增加了超过 1000 万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这种现象的推车,也是马。他们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的,然后这一行动推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在 1 月底和 2 月初下载了投资应用程序,只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现,15%的现有交易者在2020年后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>激增中最突出的参与者是 Robinhood,该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了 550 万个资金账户。但它并不孤单。例如,富达宣布,第一季度吸引了 160 万 35 岁以下的新客户,比去年同期增长了 223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在 Robinhood 零佣金模式的压力下,所有主要经纪商都在 2019 年将佣金降至零。这为新客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲置现金进行交易,但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在套现。富达希望在投资者获得驾照之前就吸引他们,允许年仅 13 岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood 正在乘势而上进行首次公开募股,分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的 10 倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与他们的老同行不同。E*Trade 交易主管克里斯-拉金(Chris Larkin)说,多年来,“ETF 一直备受青睐”,E*Trade 现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有。但挑选个股显然是 “2021 年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,随着世界各地的投资者押注疫情复苏并避免疲软的债券收益率,股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但 ETF 不像股票那样点亮留言板。这并不是说顶级公司的单行道。游戏驿站二月份确实下跌,华尔街享受了幸灾乐祸的时刻。它并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>“盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫-索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道:”就像蝉一样,备忘录交易者在表面上隐匿了几个月后又重新活跃起来。索斯尼克认为,模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反,因为随着势头的变化,它们的粉丝会从一种货币转向另一种货币。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道:”我不认为,在比特币和其他加密货币大幅回调后,备忘录股票卷土重来完全是巧合。</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为备忘录股票是一个 “独立的板块”,他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,华尔街对备忘录股票革命的反应一直是孤立专业人士认为不理性的市场部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票,分析师也在放弃报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样把零售大军赶走,也不能指望它们在未来 17 年内消失。股票交易已经发生了永久性的变化。今年,零售活动占股本量的 24%,高于 2019 年的 15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚法学院(Columbia Law School)专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚-米茨(Joshua Mitts)说:”这实际上反映了我们所看到的趋势的逆转,即与个别公司的接触越来越少。“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她所投资的公司的距离,而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>— Matt Kohrs,26 岁,每天在 YouTube 上直播股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早早加入的人的生活,并且仍然在更高的名字上。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯为例,他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月,他辞去了纽约程序员的工作,搬到了费城,并开始在YouTube上每天7个小时直播股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube 拥有 35 万粉丝,它正在支付账单。科尔斯说,凭借广告和股票的收入,他可以拿到与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道,像这样依赖股票收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人,要么付钱给迷因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言,这样他们就可以阻止他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 甚至在上周取消了一项拟议的股权融资,因为该公司显然不喜欢 Reddit 人群的反响。过去一年,AMC 的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官亚当-阿伦(Adam Aron)在推特上表示,他看到了 “许多人赞成,许多人反对 ”对他增发 2500 万股股票的提议的反应,因此该提议将被取消,而不是在本月晚些时候的 AMC 年会上进行表决。该公司没有回答有关如何调查股东的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室里决定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者正在花费更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现,大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪,但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里,美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕零售行动进行交易的报告,得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说,信号中可能存在 “阿尔法”,但要实现这一目标可能需要一些紧张的数字运算。当然,并不是所有的留言板聊天都会导致价格持续上涨,如果没有大量的数据分析,零售订单流很难与机构流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在购买哪些股票和正在出售哪些股票的投资者来说,摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的 20% 的股票,做空卖出兴趣最高的 20% 的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示,目前,许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险,而不是寻找新的机会。“他说:”他们认为这几乎就像一份保险,以限制他们的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于零售商来说,这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动是由社区精神支撑的。其背后的力量既是情感上的,也是道德上的,也是经济上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示,他们的动机是希望证明自己,并像利润一样惩罚保守派。他们互相学习市场,有时会放大或揭穿关于华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票运动与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“26 岁的科尔斯说:”华尔街让我们的经济陷入困境,但没有人因此惹上麻烦。“所以,我认为他们认为我们不仅可以赚钱,还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格 (Claire Hirschberg) 是一名 28 岁的工会组织者,她在 1 月份从朋友那里听说 Robinhood 上购买了价值约 50 美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法,但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应,他是一名长期的资金经理。“她笑着说:”他很生气我买了游戏驿站,还不肯卖。“这让我想永远拿着它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像老华尔街有仪式和准则一样,新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道,在你成为合伙人之前,你不会打菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前,你从不离开办公室,你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦,而且不是按顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万散户交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认财务损失是一种勇敢的行为,是内部坚韧和对本集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事,也不规范语言。你是 “猿类 ”或 “弱智 ”大军的一员。你坚持住,即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>集体行动不仅仅是为了精神支持。交易策略取决于人们保持买入压力,迫使做空,或买入看涨期权,从而引发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔 (Keith Gill) 在二月份众议院金融服务委员会听证会上虚拟露面,成为 Reddit 散户交易员大军推高游戏驿站股价的代言人。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示,他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然,其他人并没有采纳这一建议,而是通过反复做空股票来给备忘录运动注入氧气。6 月中旬,AMC 的空头权益占该股流通量的 17%,低于 1 月份的 28%,但降幅不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格上涨,空头们也控制不住自己。多年来一直关注游戏驿站的韦德布什证券分析师迈克尔-帕切特(Michael Pachter)说,他们开始 “流口水,耳朵里冒出火焰”。“他说:”让我感到震惊的是精神错乱的定义,就是一遍又一遍地做同样的事情,每次都希望有不同的结果,而空头却不断出现。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思-吉尔(Keith Gill)和他的 Reddit raiders 一直在挤压他们,而且一直在起作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者,Reddit 人群需要团结起来,但该社区有时会出现裂缝。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和 AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军,他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经崩溃。 Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) 在 1 月底和 6 月初两次飙升,但现在的交易价格仅略高于 1 月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延,一些交易员担心 wallstreetbets——激发游戏驿站狂热的最初 Reddit 留言板——发展如此之快,以至于它已经失去了最初的精神,并可能变得容易受到操纵。有些人搬到了其他留言板,如 r/superstonk,希望能重现老社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司 Hype Equity 的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔 (Travis Rehl) 表示,他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说,炒作股权通常由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣。现在,他看到了一种不断增长的趋势,即股票突然出现在留言板上,收到积极的聊天,然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”这让人怀疑什么是真正的讨论,什么是某人只想炒作的东西。wallstreetbets 的版主禁止在该平台上操纵市场,Rehl 表示,他们似乎正在努力遏制错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>“索斯尼克说:”如果你能制造足够的轰动效应,让一只股票在短时间内上涨 10%、20%,甚至 50%,那么你就有巨大的动力去做这件事。</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会正在关注留言板上的有趣交易。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则,目的是增加保护散户交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减缓交易速度或使交易成本更高,也可能激怒零售人群。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一能遏制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment 行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根 (Dan Egan) 认为,这种势头可能会在 9 月份耗尽。即使是 “猿猴 ”也有责任。“他说:”孩子们开始重返校园;家长们也可以自由地再次上班了。“那是下一次从房间里抽出氧气的时候了。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金引发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪和游戏驿站乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍,那么只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注,这几乎肯定是一件好事。许多新零售商表示,他们正在自学如何交易,并开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何,这是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授亨德里克-贝森宾德(Hendrik Bessembinder)在2018年发表了一项开创性的研究,发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票,亏损的可能性大于赚钱的可能性”。简而言之,挑选单只股票并持有集中投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此,他还是对新一波交易感到鼓舞。“贝森宾德说:”我欢迎零售交易的增加,欢迎股票市场成为一个广泛参与的地方。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站(股票代码:GME)、黑莓(BB),甚至百视达的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时,它们何时会再次坠毁的时间已经在流逝。会是几个小时、几天还是几周?</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经过去半年了,核心 “备忘录股票 ”的交易价格仍然处于研究这些股票多年的人认为离谱的水平。Clover Health Investments (CLOV) 和 Newegg Commerce (NEGG) 等新名称最近出现在留言板上,它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易员--长期以来被嘲笑为 “哑巴钱 ”--的集体努力成功地让股市飙升,并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型的迹象,也没有表现出足以证明其估值的利润,但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱,并警告称其关键的网络安全部门将达到收入指导的低端;消息传出后,该股下跌,但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大型经纪商的交易量较 2 月份的峰值略有下降,但仍高于疫情爆发前的两到三倍。数量惊人的这种活动发生在散户交易者青睐的股票中。例如,AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6 月份的日均交易额达到 131 亿美元,超过了苹果(AAPL)的 95 亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的 103 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退,大多数新交易者表示,他们仍然致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中,58%的日内交易者表示,他们计划在未来进行更多的交易,只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉捏酸面团面包;交易者只会变得越来越饥饿。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种食欲,就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。目前,下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“美国海军电子技术员布兰登-卢切克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的一封电子邮件中写道:”我看到'逢低买入'的情绪一刻也没有减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票飙升是由散户投资者交易的增加推动的。2020年,在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户,超过1000万人开设了新账户。这一记录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露,在今年不到一半的时间里,经纪商已经增加了超过 1000 万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这种现象的推车,也是马。他们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的,然后这一行动推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在 1 月底和 2 月初下载了投资应用程序,只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现,15%的现有交易者在2020年后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>激增中最突出的参与者是 Robinhood,该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了 550 万个资金账户。但它并不孤单。例如,富达宣布,第一季度吸引了 160 万 35 岁以下的新客户,比去年同期增长了 223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在 Robinhood 零佣金模式的压力下,所有主要经纪商都在 2019 年将佣金降至零。这为新客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲置现金进行交易,但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在套现。富达希望在投资者获得驾照之前就吸引他们,允许年仅 13 岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood 正在乘势而上进行首次公开募股,分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的 10 倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与他们的老同行不同。E*Trade 交易主管克里斯-拉金(Chris Larkin)说,多年来,“ETF 一直备受青睐”,E*Trade 现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有。但挑选个股显然是 “2021 年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,随着世界各地的投资者押注疫情复苏并避免疲软的债券收益率,股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但 ETF 不像股票那样点亮留言板。这并不是说顶级公司的单行道。游戏驿站二月份确实下跌,华尔街享受了幸灾乐祸的时刻。它并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>“盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫-索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道:”就像蝉一样,备忘录交易者在表面上隐匿了几个月后又重新活跃起来。索斯尼克认为,模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反,因为随着势头的变化,它们的粉丝会从一种货币转向另一种货币。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道:”我不认为,在比特币和其他加密货币大幅回调后,备忘录股票卷土重来完全是巧合。</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为备忘录股票是一个 “独立的板块”,他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,华尔街对备忘录股票革命的反应一直是孤立专业人士认为不理性的市场部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票,分析师也在放弃报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样把零售大军赶走,也不能指望它们在未来 17 年内消失。股票交易已经发生了永久性的变化。今年,零售活动占股本量的 24%,高于 2019 年的 15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚法学院(Columbia Law School)专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚-米茨(Joshua Mitts)说:”这实际上反映了我们所看到的趋势的逆转,即与个别公司的接触越来越少。“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她所投资的公司的距离,而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>— Matt Kohrs,26 岁,每天在 YouTube 上直播股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早早加入的人的生活,并且仍然在更高的名字上。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯为例,他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月,他辞去了纽约程序员的工作,搬到了费城,并开始在YouTube上每天7个小时直播股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube 拥有 35 万粉丝,它正在支付账单。科尔斯说,凭借广告和股票的收入,他可以拿到与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道,像这样依赖股票收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人,要么付钱给迷因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言,这样他们就可以阻止他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 甚至在上周取消了一项拟议的股权融资,因为该公司显然不喜欢 Reddit 人群的反响。过去一年,AMC 的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官亚当-阿伦(Adam Aron)在推特上表示,他看到了 “许多人赞成,许多人反对 ”对他增发 2500 万股股票的提议的反应,因此该提议将被取消,而不是在本月晚些时候的 AMC 年会上进行表决。该公司没有回答有关如何调查股东的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室里决定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者正在花费更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现,大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪,但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里,美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕零售行动进行交易的报告,得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说,信号中可能存在 “阿尔法”,但要实现这一目标可能需要一些紧张的数字运算。当然,并不是所有的留言板聊天都会导致价格持续上涨,如果没有大量的数据分析,零售订单流很难与机构流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在购买哪些股票和正在出售哪些股票的投资者来说,摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的 20% 的股票,做空卖出兴趣最高的 20% 的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示,目前,许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险,而不是寻找新的机会。“他说:”他们认为这几乎就像一份保险,以限制他们的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于零售商来说,这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动是由社区精神支撑的。其背后的力量既是情感上的,也是道德上的,也是经济上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示,他们的动机是希望证明自己,并像利润一样惩罚保守派。他们互相学习市场,有时会放大或揭穿关于华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票运动与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“26 岁的科尔斯说:”华尔街让我们的经济陷入困境,但没有人因此惹上麻烦。“所以,我认为他们认为我们不仅可以赚钱,还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格 (Claire Hirschberg) 是一名 28 岁的工会组织者,她在 1 月份从朋友那里听说 Robinhood 上购买了价值约 50 美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法,但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应,他是一名长期的资金经理。“她笑着说:”他很生气我买了游戏驿站,还不肯卖。“这让我想永远拿着它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像老华尔街有仪式和准则一样,新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道,在你成为合伙人之前,你不会打菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前,你从不离开办公室,你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦,而且不是按顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万散户交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认财务损失是一种勇敢的行为,是内部坚韧和对本集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事,也不规范语言。你是 “猿类 ”或 “弱智 ”大军的一员。你坚持住,即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>集体行动不仅仅是为了精神支持。交易策略取决于人们保持买入压力,迫使做空,或买入看涨期权,从而引发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔 (Keith Gill) 在二月份众议院金融服务委员会听证会上虚拟露面,成为 Reddit 散户交易员大军推高游戏驿站股价的代言人。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示,他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然,其他人并没有采纳这一建议,而是通过反复做空股票来给备忘录运动注入氧气。6 月中旬,AMC 的空头权益占该股流通量的 17%,低于 1 月份的 28%,但降幅不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格上涨,空头们也控制不住自己。多年来一直关注游戏驿站的韦德布什证券分析师迈克尔-帕切特(Michael Pachter)说,他们开始 “流口水,耳朵里冒出火焰”。“他说:”让我感到震惊的是精神错乱的定义,就是一遍又一遍地做同样的事情,每次都希望有不同的结果,而空头却不断出现。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思-吉尔(Keith Gill)和他的 Reddit raiders 一直在挤压他们,而且一直在起作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者,Reddit 人群需要团结起来,但该社区有时会出现裂缝。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和 AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军,他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经崩溃。 Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) 在 1 月底和 6 月初两次飙升,但现在的交易价格仅略高于 1 月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延,一些交易员担心 wallstreetbets——激发游戏驿站狂热的最初 Reddit 留言板——发展如此之快,以至于它已经失去了最初的精神,并可能变得容易受到操纵。有些人搬到了其他留言板,如 r/superstonk,希望能重现老社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司 Hype Equity 的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔 (Travis Rehl) 表示,他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说,炒作股权通常由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣。现在,他看到了一种不断增长的趋势,即股票突然出现在留言板上,收到积极的聊天,然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”这让人怀疑什么是真正的讨论,什么是某人只想炒作的东西。wallstreetbets 的版主禁止在该平台上操纵市场,Rehl 表示,他们似乎正在努力遏制错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>“索斯尼克说:”如果你能制造足够的轰动效应,让一只股票在短时间内上涨 10%、20%,甚至 50%,那么你就有巨大的动力去做这件事。</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会正在关注留言板上的有趣交易。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则,目的是增加保护散户交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减缓交易速度或使交易成本更高,也可能激怒零售人群。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一能遏制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment 行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根 (Dan Egan) 认为,这种势头可能会在 9 月份耗尽。即使是 “猿猴 ”也有责任。“他说:”孩子们开始重返校园;家长们也可以自由地再次上班了。“那是下一次从房间里抽出氧气的时候了。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金引发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪和游戏驿站乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍,那么只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注,这几乎肯定是一件好事。许多新零售商表示,他们正在自学如何交易,并开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何,这是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授亨德里克-贝森宾德(Hendrik Bessembinder)在2018年发表了一项开创性的研究,发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票,亏损的可能性大于赚钱的可能性”。简而言之,挑选单只股票并持有集中投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此,他还是对新一波交易感到鼓舞。“贝森宾德说:”我欢迎零售交易的增加,欢迎股票市场成为一个广泛参与的地方。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","SCHW":"嘉信理财","GME":"游戏驿站","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","AMC":"AMC院线","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","BB":"黑莓"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CARV":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"GME":0.9,"CLOV":0.9,"NEGG":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"BB":0.9,"SCHW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148589957,"gmtCreate":1625987885679,"gmtModify":1633931058708,"author":{"id":"4087128285458480","authorId":"4087128285458480","name":"auntiechua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349b4414d18abd37890454c370ee081a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087128285458480","idStr":"4087128285458480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"A very interesting article and good read on the Apple battery especially for all Apple users! ","listText":"A very interesting article and good read on the Apple battery especially for all Apple users! ","text":"A very interesting article and good read on the Apple battery especially for all Apple users!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148589957","repostId":"1166379040","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3016,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":175046335,"gmtCreate":1627000159127,"gmtModify":1633768955086,"author":{"id":"4087128285458480","authorId":"4087128285458480","name":"auntiechua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349b4414d18abd37890454c370ee081a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087128285458480","authorIdStr":"4087128285458480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Niceeee ","listText":"Niceeee ","text":"Niceeee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175046335","repostId":"2153605507","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171386298,"gmtCreate":1626706457614,"gmtModify":1633924752524,"author":{"id":"4087128285458480","authorId":"4087128285458480","name":"auntiechua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349b4414d18abd37890454c370ee081a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087128285458480","authorIdStr":"4087128285458480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍🏻👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻👍🏻","text":"👍🏻👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171386298","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2745,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171385871,"gmtCreate":1626706534093,"gmtModify":1633924750797,"author":{"id":"4087128285458480","authorId":"4087128285458480","name":"auntiechua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349b4414d18abd37890454c370ee081a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087128285458480","authorIdStr":"4087128285458480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice ","listText":"Nice ","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171385871","repostId":"1154863272","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154863272","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626705014,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1154863272?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 22:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow Jones Dives 700 Points On Covid-19 Fears; Apple, Tesla Stock Sell Off<blockquote>由于 Covid-19 担忧,道琼斯指数暴跌 700 点;苹果、特斯拉股票抛售</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154863272","media":"Investors","summary":"The Dow Jones Industrial Average dived 700 points Monday on rising Covid-19 fears. Apple and Tesla s","content":"<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average dived 700 points Monday on rising Covid-19 fears. Apple and Tesla stock sold off in morning trade.</p><p><blockquote>由于对 Covid-19 的担忧加剧,道琼斯工业平均指数周一暴跌 700 点。苹果和特斯拉的股票在早盘交易中遭到抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Among theDow Jones leaders,<b>Apple</b>(AAPL) moved down nearly 3% Monday, while<b>Microsoft</b>(MSFT) dropped 0.7% intoday's stock market.<b>McDonald's</b>(MCD) broke out past a new buy point last week, but is back below the entry.</p><p><blockquote>在道琼斯的领导人中,<b>苹果</b>(AAPL)周一下跌近 3%,而<b>微软</b>(MSFT) 今天股市下跌 0.7%。<b>麦当劳</b>(MCD)上周突破了一个新的买点,但又回到了入场点下方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) was on track to extend a four-day losing streak, sliding about 2.5% Monday.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉</b>(TSLA) 有望延续四连跌,周一下跌约 2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among the top stocks to buy and watch,<b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>) and<b>BioNTech</b>(BNTX) are in or near new buy zones.</p><p><blockquote>在最值得买入和关注的股票中,<b>先进微器件</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>)和<b>生物技术</b>(BNTX)位于新的购买区或附近。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft and Tesla areIBD Leaderboard stocks. BioNTech is anIBD SwingTraderstock.</p><p><blockquote>微软和特斯拉是 BD 排行榜股票。BioNTech 是 anIBD SwingTraderstock。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dow Jones Today: Covid-19 Fears</b></p><p><blockquote><b>今日道琼斯指数:Covid-19 担忧</b></blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 2% Monday, while the S&P 500 sold off 1.7%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq declined 1.55% in morning trade.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数周一下跌 2%,标普500指数下跌 1.7%。以科技股为主的纳斯达克早盘下跌 1.55%。</blockquote></p><p> The recent resurgence in Covid-19 cases in many parts of the world — including highly-vaccinated countries like the U.K. — could hamper economic growth. In the U.S., coronavirus cases jumped 37% over the last seven days to 203,082, according toWorldometer.</p><p><blockquote>最近世界许多地区(包括英国等疫苗接种率高的国家)新冠肺炎病例的死灰复燃可能会阻碍经济增长。根据Worldometer的数据,在美国,冠状病毒病例在过去7天内增加了37%,达到203,082例。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock Market Rally Weakens</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股市涨势减弱</b></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 continued to pull back from record highs Monday, while the Nasdaq looked to extend a losing streak to five sessions. The Dow Jones industrials are again trying to find support around their 50-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>标普500周一继续从创纪录高点回落,而纳斯达克则希望将连跌延长至五个交易日。道琼斯工业平均指数再次试图在其 50 天移动平均线附近寻找支撑。</blockquote></p><p> Friday's Big Picturecolumn noted, \"An early rebound attempt quickly deflated into another day of losses for stocks today. The weakening action, not just among key indexes but also vital sectors this year, prompts a more cautious stance.\"</p><p><blockquote>周五的 Big Picturecolumn 指出:“今天股市早些时候的反弹尝试很快就变成了又一天的下跌。不仅是主要指数,还有今年重要行业的走弱,促使人们采取更加谨慎的立场。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dow Jones Stocks: McDonald's</b></p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯股票:麦当劳</b></blockquote></p><p> Dow Jones restaurant giant McDonald's is trading below a 238.28 buy point in a flat base, according toIBD MarketSmithchart analysis, after last week's brief breakout attempt.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD MarketSmithchart 分析,在上周短暂突破尝试后,道琼斯餐饮巨头麦当劳的交易价格低于 238.28 个买入点,基础持平。</blockquote></p><p> Shares were down nearly 1% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>周一股价下跌近 1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks To Buy And Watch: AMD, BioNTech</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得买入和关注的股票:AMD、BioNTech</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip giant Advanced Micro Devices is tracing a cup with handle that shows a 95.54 buy point, according to IBD MarketSmith chart analysis. Shares dropped 0.5% Monday morning and are about 10% away from the new buy point.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD MarketSmith 图表分析,芯片巨头 Advanced Micro Devices 正在追踪一款带手柄的杯子,该杯子的买入点为 95.54。周一上午股价下跌 0.5%,距离新的买入点约 10%。</blockquote></p><p> According to IBD Stock Checkup, AMD stockshows a solid 95 out of 99IBD Composite Rating. The IBD Composite Rating identifies stocks with a blend of strong fundamental and technical characteristics. AMD wasone of last week's IBD Stocks Of The Day.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD 股票检查,AMD 股票在 99IBD 综合评级中获得了 95 分。IBD 综合评级识别具有强劲基本面和技术特征的股票。AMD 是上周每日 IBD 股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> IBD Leaderboardstock and Covid-19 vaccine leader BioNTech is rebounding from its key 50-day moving average, placing the stock in a new buy area. The stock cut losses to 0.5% Monday morning.</p><p><blockquote>IBD 排行榜股票和 Covid-19 疫苗领导者 BioNTech 正在从其关键的 50 天移动平均线反弹,使该股处于新的买入区域。该股周一上午将跌幅缩小至 0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Per Leaderboard analysis, \"BioNTech is clearing a trend line following a recent pullback near 222, offering a new entry. The stock also is rebounding off its 10-week moving average. It joins Leaders as a new half-size position.\"</p><p><blockquote>根据 Leaderboard 分析,“BioNTech 在最近回调至 222 点附近后正在清除趋势线,提供了一个新的入场点。该股也从 10 周移动平均线反弹。它加入了 Leaders 的行列,成为新的半仓头寸。”</blockquote></p><p> BioNTech is also anIBD SwingTraderstock.</p><p><blockquote>BioNTech 也是 anIBD SwingTraderstock。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock skidded 2.5% Monday morning, on pace to extend a four-day losing streak. The electric-vehicle giant is again testing support around its long-term 200-day moving average. Another strong show of support at these levels would be bullish for the stock's prospects.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周一上午下跌 2.5%,有望延续四连跌势头。这家电动汽车巨头再次测试其长期 200 天移动平均线附近的支撑位。这些水平的另一个强劲支撑将利好该股的前景。</blockquote></p><p> On Jan. 25, Tesla stock hit a record high at 900.40, after climbing as much as 93% from a 466 buy point in a cup with handle.</p><p><blockquote>1 月 25 日,特斯拉股价创下 900.40 的历史新高,此前该股价从 466 个买点上涨了 93%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dow Jones Leaders: Apple, Microsoft</b></p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯领头羊:苹果、微软</b></blockquote></p><p> Among the top Dow Jones stocks, Apple sold off almost 3% Monday, on pace to extend a losing streak to three sessions. The stock hit an all-time high last week at 150.00.</p><p><blockquote>在道琼斯顶级股票中,苹果周一下跌近 3%,有望将连跌延长至三个交易日。该股上周创下历史新高 150.00 点。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock is extended past the 5% buy zone from a 137.17 entry in a cup base, according toIBD MarketSmithchart analysis.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD MarketSmithchart 的分析,苹果股票从 137.17 的杯状基数入场点突破了 5% 的买入区。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft continues to trade solidly above a cup base's 263.29 buy point. Shares lost 0.7% Monday. The stock is extended above the 5% buy zone, which goes up to 276.45.</p><p><blockquote>微软继续稳步高于 A cup base 263.29 买入点。周一股价下跌 0.7%。该股延伸至 5% 买入区上方,升至 276.45。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow Jones Dives 700 Points On Covid-19 Fears; Apple, Tesla Stock Sell Off<blockquote>由于 Covid-19 担忧,道琼斯指数暴跌 700 点;苹果、特斯拉股票抛售</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow Jones Dives 700 Points On Covid-19 Fears; Apple, Tesla Stock Sell Off<blockquote>由于 Covid-19 担忧,道琼斯指数暴跌 700 点;苹果、特斯拉股票抛售</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 22:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average dived 700 points Monday on rising Covid-19 fears. Apple and Tesla stock sold off in morning trade.</p><p><blockquote>由于对 Covid-19 的担忧加剧,道琼斯工业平均指数周一暴跌 700 点。苹果和特斯拉的股票在早盘交易中遭到抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Among theDow Jones leaders,<b>Apple</b>(AAPL) moved down nearly 3% Monday, while<b>Microsoft</b>(MSFT) dropped 0.7% intoday's stock market.<b>McDonald's</b>(MCD) broke out past a new buy point last week, but is back below the entry.</p><p><blockquote>在道琼斯的领导人中,<b>苹果</b>(AAPL)周一下跌近 3%,而<b>微软</b>(MSFT) 今天股市下跌 0.7%。<b>麦当劳</b>(MCD)上周突破了一个新的买点,但又回到了入场点下方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) was on track to extend a four-day losing streak, sliding about 2.5% Monday.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉</b>(TSLA) 有望延续四连跌,周一下跌约 2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among the top stocks to buy and watch,<b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>) and<b>BioNTech</b>(BNTX) are in or near new buy zones.</p><p><blockquote>在最值得买入和关注的股票中,<b>先进微器件</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>)和<b>生物技术</b>(BNTX)位于新的购买区或附近。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft and Tesla areIBD Leaderboard stocks. BioNTech is anIBD SwingTraderstock.</p><p><blockquote>微软和特斯拉是 BD 排行榜股票。BioNTech 是 anIBD SwingTraderstock。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dow Jones Today: Covid-19 Fears</b></p><p><blockquote><b>今日道琼斯指数:Covid-19 担忧</b></blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 2% Monday, while the S&P 500 sold off 1.7%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq declined 1.55% in morning trade.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数周一下跌 2%,标普500指数下跌 1.7%。以科技股为主的纳斯达克早盘下跌 1.55%。</blockquote></p><p> The recent resurgence in Covid-19 cases in many parts of the world — including highly-vaccinated countries like the U.K. — could hamper economic growth. In the U.S., coronavirus cases jumped 37% over the last seven days to 203,082, according toWorldometer.</p><p><blockquote>最近世界许多地区(包括英国等疫苗接种率高的国家)新冠肺炎病例的死灰复燃可能会阻碍经济增长。根据Worldometer的数据,在美国,冠状病毒病例在过去7天内增加了37%,达到203,082例。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock Market Rally Weakens</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股市涨势减弱</b></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 continued to pull back from record highs Monday, while the Nasdaq looked to extend a losing streak to five sessions. The Dow Jones industrials are again trying to find support around their 50-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>标普500周一继续从创纪录高点回落,而纳斯达克则希望将连跌延长至五个交易日。道琼斯工业平均指数再次试图在其 50 天移动平均线附近寻找支撑。</blockquote></p><p> Friday's Big Picturecolumn noted, \"An early rebound attempt quickly deflated into another day of losses for stocks today. The weakening action, not just among key indexes but also vital sectors this year, prompts a more cautious stance.\"</p><p><blockquote>周五的 Big Picturecolumn 指出:“今天股市早些时候的反弹尝试很快就变成了又一天的下跌。不仅是主要指数,还有今年重要行业的走弱,促使人们采取更加谨慎的立场。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dow Jones Stocks: McDonald's</b></p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯股票:麦当劳</b></blockquote></p><p> Dow Jones restaurant giant McDonald's is trading below a 238.28 buy point in a flat base, according toIBD MarketSmithchart analysis, after last week's brief breakout attempt.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD MarketSmithchart 分析,在上周短暂突破尝试后,道琼斯餐饮巨头麦当劳的交易价格低于 238.28 个买入点,基础持平。</blockquote></p><p> Shares were down nearly 1% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>周一股价下跌近 1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks To Buy And Watch: AMD, BioNTech</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得买入和关注的股票:AMD、BioNTech</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip giant Advanced Micro Devices is tracing a cup with handle that shows a 95.54 buy point, according to IBD MarketSmith chart analysis. Shares dropped 0.5% Monday morning and are about 10% away from the new buy point.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD MarketSmith 图表分析,芯片巨头 Advanced Micro Devices 正在追踪一款带手柄的杯子,该杯子的买入点为 95.54。周一上午股价下跌 0.5%,距离新的买入点约 10%。</blockquote></p><p> According to IBD Stock Checkup, AMD stockshows a solid 95 out of 99IBD Composite Rating. The IBD Composite Rating identifies stocks with a blend of strong fundamental and technical characteristics. AMD wasone of last week's IBD Stocks Of The Day.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD 股票检查,AMD 股票在 99IBD 综合评级中获得了 95 分。IBD 综合评级识别具有强劲基本面和技术特征的股票。AMD 是上周每日 IBD 股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> IBD Leaderboardstock and Covid-19 vaccine leader BioNTech is rebounding from its key 50-day moving average, placing the stock in a new buy area. The stock cut losses to 0.5% Monday morning.</p><p><blockquote>IBD 排行榜股票和 Covid-19 疫苗领导者 BioNTech 正在从其关键的 50 天移动平均线反弹,使该股处于新的买入区域。该股周一上午将跌幅缩小至 0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Per Leaderboard analysis, \"BioNTech is clearing a trend line following a recent pullback near 222, offering a new entry. The stock also is rebounding off its 10-week moving average. It joins Leaders as a new half-size position.\"</p><p><blockquote>根据 Leaderboard 分析,“BioNTech 在最近回调至 222 点附近后正在清除趋势线,提供了一个新的入场点。该股也从 10 周移动平均线反弹。它加入了 Leaders 的行列,成为新的半仓头寸。”</blockquote></p><p> BioNTech is also anIBD SwingTraderstock.</p><p><blockquote>BioNTech 也是 anIBD SwingTraderstock。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock skidded 2.5% Monday morning, on pace to extend a four-day losing streak. The electric-vehicle giant is again testing support around its long-term 200-day moving average. Another strong show of support at these levels would be bullish for the stock's prospects.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周一上午下跌 2.5%,有望延续四连跌势头。这家电动汽车巨头再次测试其长期 200 天移动平均线附近的支撑位。这些水平的另一个强劲支撑将利好该股的前景。</blockquote></p><p> On Jan. 25, Tesla stock hit a record high at 900.40, after climbing as much as 93% from a 466 buy point in a cup with handle.</p><p><blockquote>1 月 25 日,特斯拉股价创下 900.40 的历史新高,此前该股价从 466 个买点上涨了 93%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dow Jones Leaders: Apple, Microsoft</b></p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯领头羊:苹果、微软</b></blockquote></p><p> Among the top Dow Jones stocks, Apple sold off almost 3% Monday, on pace to extend a losing streak to three sessions. The stock hit an all-time high last week at 150.00.</p><p><blockquote>在道琼斯顶级股票中,苹果周一下跌近 3%,有望将连跌延长至三个交易日。该股上周创下历史新高 150.00 点。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock is extended past the 5% buy zone from a 137.17 entry in a cup base, according toIBD MarketSmithchart analysis.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD MarketSmithchart 的分析,苹果股票从 137.17 的杯状基数入场点突破了 5% 的买入区。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft continues to trade solidly above a cup base's 263.29 buy point. Shares lost 0.7% Monday. The stock is extended above the 5% buy zone, which goes up to 276.45.</p><p><blockquote>微软继续稳步高于 A cup base 263.29 买入点。周一股价下跌 0.7%。该股延伸至 5% 买入区上方,升至 276.45。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-dives-on-covid-19-fears-apple-tesla-stock-sell-off/?src=A00220\">Investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MCD":"麦当劳","MSFT":"微软","AMD":"美国超微公司","AAPL":"苹果",".DJI":"道琼斯","PCOM":"Points International","TSLA":"特斯拉","BNTX":"BioNTech SE"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-dives-on-covid-19-fears-apple-tesla-stock-sell-off/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154863272","content_text":"The Dow Jones Industrial Average dived 700 points Monday on rising Covid-19 fears. Apple and Tesla stock sold off in morning trade.\nAmong theDow Jones leaders,Apple(AAPL) moved down nearly 3% Monday, whileMicrosoft(MSFT) dropped 0.7% intoday's stock market.McDonald's(MCD) broke out past a new buy point last week, but is back below the entry.\nTesla(TSLA) was on track to extend a four-day losing streak, sliding about 2.5% Monday.\nAmong the top stocks to buy and watch,Advanced Micro Devices(AMD) andBioNTech(BNTX) are in or near new buy zones.\nMicrosoft and Tesla areIBD Leaderboard stocks. BioNTech is anIBD SwingTraderstock.\nDow Jones Today: Covid-19 Fears\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 2% Monday, while the S&P 500 sold off 1.7%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq declined 1.55% in morning trade.\nThe recent resurgence in Covid-19 cases in many parts of the world — including highly-vaccinated countries like the U.K. — could hamper economic growth. In the U.S., coronavirus cases jumped 37% over the last seven days to 203,082, according toWorldometer.\nStock Market Rally Weakens\nThe S&P 500 continued to pull back from record highs Monday, while the Nasdaq looked to extend a losing streak to five sessions. The Dow Jones industrials are again trying to find support around their 50-day moving average.\nFriday's Big Picturecolumn noted, \"An early rebound attempt quickly deflated into another day of losses for stocks today. The weakening action, not just among key indexes but also vital sectors this year, prompts a more cautious stance.\"\nDow Jones Stocks: McDonald's\nDow Jones restaurant giant McDonald's is trading below a 238.28 buy point in a flat base, according toIBD MarketSmithchart analysis, after last week's brief breakout attempt.\nShares were down nearly 1% Monday.\nStocks To Buy And Watch: AMD, BioNTech\nChip giant Advanced Micro Devices is tracing a cup with handle that shows a 95.54 buy point, according to IBD MarketSmith chart analysis. Shares dropped 0.5% Monday morning and are about 10% away from the new buy point.\nAccording to IBD Stock Checkup, AMD stockshows a solid 95 out of 99IBD Composite Rating. The IBD Composite Rating identifies stocks with a blend of strong fundamental and technical characteristics. AMD wasone of last week's IBD Stocks Of The Day.\nIBD Leaderboardstock and Covid-19 vaccine leader BioNTech is rebounding from its key 50-day moving average, placing the stock in a new buy area. The stock cut losses to 0.5% Monday morning.\nPer Leaderboard analysis, \"BioNTech is clearing a trend line following a recent pullback near 222, offering a new entry. The stock also is rebounding off its 10-week moving average. It joins Leaders as a new half-size position.\"\nBioNTech is also anIBD SwingTraderstock.\nTesla Stock\nTesla stock skidded 2.5% Monday morning, on pace to extend a four-day losing streak. The electric-vehicle giant is again testing support around its long-term 200-day moving average. Another strong show of support at these levels would be bullish for the stock's prospects.\nOn Jan. 25, Tesla stock hit a record high at 900.40, after climbing as much as 93% from a 466 buy point in a cup with handle.\nDow Jones Leaders: Apple, Microsoft\nAmong the top Dow Jones stocks, Apple sold off almost 3% Monday, on pace to extend a losing streak to three sessions. The stock hit an all-time high last week at 150.00.\nApple stock is extended past the 5% buy zone from a 137.17 entry in a cup base, according toIBD MarketSmithchart analysis.\nMicrosoft continues to trade solidly above a cup base's 263.29 buy point. Shares lost 0.7% Monday. The stock is extended above the 5% buy zone, which goes up to 276.45.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"BNTX":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"MCD":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,"PCOM":0.9,"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171382287,"gmtCreate":1626706491649,"gmtModify":1631885481110,"author":{"id":"4087128285458480","authorId":"4087128285458480","name":"auntiechua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349b4414d18abd37890454c370ee081a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087128285458480","authorIdStr":"4087128285458480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Time to rethink ","listText":"Time to rethink ","text":"Time to rethink","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171382287","repostId":"1133373816","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1855,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148583229,"gmtCreate":1625988144161,"gmtModify":1633931057098,"author":{"id":"4087128285458480","authorId":"4087128285458480","name":"auntiechua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349b4414d18abd37890454c370ee081a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087128285458480","authorIdStr":"4087128285458480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"A refreshing read ","listText":"A refreshing read ","text":"A refreshing read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148583229","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站(股票代码:GME)、黑莓(BB),甚至百视达的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时,它们何时会再次坠毁的时间已经在流逝。会是几个小时、几天还是几周?</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经过去半年了,核心 “备忘录股票 ”的交易价格仍然处于研究这些股票多年的人认为离谱的水平。Clover Health Investments (CLOV) 和 Newegg Commerce (NEGG) 等新名称最近出现在留言板上,它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易员--长期以来被嘲笑为 “哑巴钱 ”--的集体努力成功地让股市飙升,并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型的迹象,也没有表现出足以证明其估值的利润,但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱,并警告称其关键的网络安全部门将达到收入指导的低端;消息传出后,该股下跌,但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大型经纪商的交易量较 2 月份的峰值略有下降,但仍高于疫情爆发前的两到三倍。数量惊人的这种活动发生在散户交易者青睐的股票中。例如,AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6 月份的日均交易额达到 131 亿美元,超过了苹果(AAPL)的 95 亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的 103 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退,大多数新交易者表示,他们仍然致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中,58%的日内交易者表示,他们计划在未来进行更多的交易,只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉捏酸面团面包;交易者只会变得越来越饥饿。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种食欲,就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。目前,下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“美国海军电子技术员布兰登-卢切克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的一封电子邮件中写道:”我看到'逢低买入'的情绪一刻也没有减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票飙升是由散户投资者交易的增加推动的。2020年,在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户,超过1000万人开设了新账户。这一记录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露,在今年不到一半的时间里,经纪商已经增加了超过 1000 万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这种现象的推车,也是马。他们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的,然后这一行动推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在 1 月底和 2 月初下载了投资应用程序,只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现,15%的现有交易者在2020年后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>激增中最突出的参与者是 Robinhood,该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了 550 万个资金账户。但它并不孤单。例如,富达宣布,第一季度吸引了 160 万 35 岁以下的新客户,比去年同期增长了 223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在 Robinhood 零佣金模式的压力下,所有主要经纪商都在 2019 年将佣金降至零。这为新客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲置现金进行交易,但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在套现。富达希望在投资者获得驾照之前就吸引他们,允许年仅 13 岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood 正在乘势而上进行首次公开募股,分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的 10 倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与他们的老同行不同。E*Trade 交易主管克里斯-拉金(Chris Larkin)说,多年来,“ETF 一直备受青睐”,E*Trade 现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有。但挑选个股显然是 “2021 年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,随着世界各地的投资者押注疫情复苏并避免疲软的债券收益率,股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但 ETF 不像股票那样点亮留言板。这并不是说顶级公司的单行道。游戏驿站二月份确实下跌,华尔街享受了幸灾乐祸的时刻。它并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>“盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫-索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道:”就像蝉一样,备忘录交易者在表面上隐匿了几个月后又重新活跃起来。索斯尼克认为,模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反,因为随着势头的变化,它们的粉丝会从一种货币转向另一种货币。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道:”我不认为,在比特币和其他加密货币大幅回调后,备忘录股票卷土重来完全是巧合。</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为备忘录股票是一个 “独立的板块”,他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,华尔街对备忘录股票革命的反应一直是孤立专业人士认为不理性的市场部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票,分析师也在放弃报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样把零售大军赶走,也不能指望它们在未来 17 年内消失。股票交易已经发生了永久性的变化。今年,零售活动占股本量的 24%,高于 2019 年的 15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚法学院(Columbia Law School)专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚-米茨(Joshua Mitts)说:”这实际上反映了我们所看到的趋势的逆转,即与个别公司的接触越来越少。“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她所投资的公司的距离,而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>— Matt Kohrs,26 岁,每天在 YouTube 上直播股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早早加入的人的生活,并且仍然在更高的名字上。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯为例,他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月,他辞去了纽约程序员的工作,搬到了费城,并开始在YouTube上每天7个小时直播股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube 拥有 35 万粉丝,它正在支付账单。科尔斯说,凭借广告和股票的收入,他可以拿到与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道,像这样依赖股票收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人,要么付钱给迷因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言,这样他们就可以阻止他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 甚至在上周取消了一项拟议的股权融资,因为该公司显然不喜欢 Reddit 人群的反响。过去一年,AMC 的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官亚当-阿伦(Adam Aron)在推特上表示,他看到了 “许多人赞成,许多人反对 ”对他增发 2500 万股股票的提议的反应,因此该提议将被取消,而不是在本月晚些时候的 AMC 年会上进行表决。该公司没有回答有关如何调查股东的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室里决定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者正在花费更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现,大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪,但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里,美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕零售行动进行交易的报告,得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说,信号中可能存在 “阿尔法”,但要实现这一目标可能需要一些紧张的数字运算。当然,并不是所有的留言板聊天都会导致价格持续上涨,如果没有大量的数据分析,零售订单流很难与机构流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在购买哪些股票和正在出售哪些股票的投资者来说,摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的 20% 的股票,做空卖出兴趣最高的 20% 的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示,目前,许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险,而不是寻找新的机会。“他说:”他们认为这几乎就像一份保险,以限制他们的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于零售商来说,这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动是由社区精神支撑的。其背后的力量既是情感上的,也是道德上的,也是经济上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示,他们的动机是希望证明自己,并像利润一样惩罚保守派。他们互相学习市场,有时会放大或揭穿关于华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票运动与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“26 岁的科尔斯说:”华尔街让我们的经济陷入困境,但没有人因此惹上麻烦。“所以,我认为他们认为我们不仅可以赚钱,还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格 (Claire Hirschberg) 是一名 28 岁的工会组织者,她在 1 月份从朋友那里听说 Robinhood 上购买了价值约 50 美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法,但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应,他是一名长期的资金经理。“她笑着说:”他很生气我买了游戏驿站,还不肯卖。“这让我想永远拿着它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像老华尔街有仪式和准则一样,新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道,在你成为合伙人之前,你不会打菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前,你从不离开办公室,你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦,而且不是按顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万散户交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认财务损失是一种勇敢的行为,是内部坚韧和对本集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事,也不规范语言。你是 “猿类 ”或 “弱智 ”大军的一员。你坚持住,即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>集体行动不仅仅是为了精神支持。交易策略取决于人们保持买入压力,迫使做空,或买入看涨期权,从而引发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔 (Keith Gill) 在二月份众议院金融服务委员会听证会上虚拟露面,成为 Reddit 散户交易员大军推高游戏驿站股价的代言人。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示,他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然,其他人并没有采纳这一建议,而是通过反复做空股票来给备忘录运动注入氧气。6 月中旬,AMC 的空头权益占该股流通量的 17%,低于 1 月份的 28%,但降幅不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格上涨,空头们也控制不住自己。多年来一直关注游戏驿站的韦德布什证券分析师迈克尔-帕切特(Michael Pachter)说,他们开始 “流口水,耳朵里冒出火焰”。“他说:”让我感到震惊的是精神错乱的定义,就是一遍又一遍地做同样的事情,每次都希望有不同的结果,而空头却不断出现。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思-吉尔(Keith Gill)和他的 Reddit raiders 一直在挤压他们,而且一直在起作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者,Reddit 人群需要团结起来,但该社区有时会出现裂缝。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和 AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军,他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经崩溃。 Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) 在 1 月底和 6 月初两次飙升,但现在的交易价格仅略高于 1 月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延,一些交易员担心 wallstreetbets——激发游戏驿站狂热的最初 Reddit 留言板——发展如此之快,以至于它已经失去了最初的精神,并可能变得容易受到操纵。有些人搬到了其他留言板,如 r/superstonk,希望能重现老社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司 Hype Equity 的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔 (Travis Rehl) 表示,他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说,炒作股权通常由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣。现在,他看到了一种不断增长的趋势,即股票突然出现在留言板上,收到积极的聊天,然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”这让人怀疑什么是真正的讨论,什么是某人只想炒作的东西。wallstreetbets 的版主禁止在该平台上操纵市场,Rehl 表示,他们似乎正在努力遏制错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>“索斯尼克说:”如果你能制造足够的轰动效应,让一只股票在短时间内上涨 10%、20%,甚至 50%,那么你就有巨大的动力去做这件事。</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会正在关注留言板上的有趣交易。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则,目的是增加保护散户交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减缓交易速度或使交易成本更高,也可能激怒零售人群。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一能遏制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment 行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根 (Dan Egan) 认为,这种势头可能会在 9 月份耗尽。即使是 “猿猴 ”也有责任。“他说:”孩子们开始重返校园;家长们也可以自由地再次上班了。“那是下一次从房间里抽出氧气的时候了。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金引发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪和游戏驿站乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍,那么只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注,这几乎肯定是一件好事。许多新零售商表示,他们正在自学如何交易,并开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何,这是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授亨德里克-贝森宾德(Hendrik Bessembinder)在2018年发表了一项开创性的研究,发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票,亏损的可能性大于赚钱的可能性”。简而言之,挑选单只股票并持有集中投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此,他还是对新一波交易感到鼓舞。“贝森宾德说:”我欢迎零售交易的增加,欢迎股票市场成为一个广泛参与的地方。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站(股票代码:GME)、黑莓(BB),甚至百视达的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时,它们何时会再次坠毁的时间已经在流逝。会是几个小时、几天还是几周?</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经过去半年了,核心 “备忘录股票 ”的交易价格仍然处于研究这些股票多年的人认为离谱的水平。Clover Health Investments (CLOV) 和 Newegg Commerce (NEGG) 等新名称最近出现在留言板上,它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易员--长期以来被嘲笑为 “哑巴钱 ”--的集体努力成功地让股市飙升,并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型的迹象,也没有表现出足以证明其估值的利润,但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱,并警告称其关键的网络安全部门将达到收入指导的低端;消息传出后,该股下跌,但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大型经纪商的交易量较 2 月份的峰值略有下降,但仍高于疫情爆发前的两到三倍。数量惊人的这种活动发生在散户交易者青睐的股票中。例如,AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6 月份的日均交易额达到 131 亿美元,超过了苹果(AAPL)的 95 亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的 103 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退,大多数新交易者表示,他们仍然致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中,58%的日内交易者表示,他们计划在未来进行更多的交易,只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉捏酸面团面包;交易者只会变得越来越饥饿。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种食欲,就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。目前,下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“美国海军电子技术员布兰登-卢切克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的一封电子邮件中写道:”我看到'逢低买入'的情绪一刻也没有减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票飙升是由散户投资者交易的增加推动的。2020年,在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户,超过1000万人开设了新账户。这一记录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露,在今年不到一半的时间里,经纪商已经增加了超过 1000 万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这种现象的推车,也是马。他们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的,然后这一行动推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在 1 月底和 2 月初下载了投资应用程序,只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现,15%的现有交易者在2020年后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>激增中最突出的参与者是 Robinhood,该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了 550 万个资金账户。但它并不孤单。例如,富达宣布,第一季度吸引了 160 万 35 岁以下的新客户,比去年同期增长了 223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在 Robinhood 零佣金模式的压力下,所有主要经纪商都在 2019 年将佣金降至零。这为新客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲置现金进行交易,但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在套现。富达希望在投资者获得驾照之前就吸引他们,允许年仅 13 岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood 正在乘势而上进行首次公开募股,分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的 10 倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与他们的老同行不同。E*Trade 交易主管克里斯-拉金(Chris Larkin)说,多年来,“ETF 一直备受青睐”,E*Trade 现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有。但挑选个股显然是 “2021 年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,随着世界各地的投资者押注疫情复苏并避免疲软的债券收益率,股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但 ETF 不像股票那样点亮留言板。这并不是说顶级公司的单行道。游戏驿站二月份确实下跌,华尔街享受了幸灾乐祸的时刻。它并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>“盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫-索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道:”就像蝉一样,备忘录交易者在表面上隐匿了几个月后又重新活跃起来。索斯尼克认为,模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反,因为随着势头的变化,它们的粉丝会从一种货币转向另一种货币。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道:”我不认为,在比特币和其他加密货币大幅回调后,备忘录股票卷土重来完全是巧合。</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为备忘录股票是一个 “独立的板块”,他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,华尔街对备忘录股票革命的反应一直是孤立专业人士认为不理性的市场部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票,分析师也在放弃报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样把零售大军赶走,也不能指望它们在未来 17 年内消失。股票交易已经发生了永久性的变化。今年,零售活动占股本量的 24%,高于 2019 年的 15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚法学院(Columbia Law School)专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚-米茨(Joshua Mitts)说:”这实际上反映了我们所看到的趋势的逆转,即与个别公司的接触越来越少。“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她所投资的公司的距离,而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>— Matt Kohrs,26 岁,每天在 YouTube 上直播股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早早加入的人的生活,并且仍然在更高的名字上。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯为例,他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月,他辞去了纽约程序员的工作,搬到了费城,并开始在YouTube上每天7个小时直播股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube 拥有 35 万粉丝,它正在支付账单。科尔斯说,凭借广告和股票的收入,他可以拿到与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道,像这样依赖股票收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人,要么付钱给迷因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言,这样他们就可以阻止他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 甚至在上周取消了一项拟议的股权融资,因为该公司显然不喜欢 Reddit 人群的反响。过去一年,AMC 的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官亚当-阿伦(Adam Aron)在推特上表示,他看到了 “许多人赞成,许多人反对 ”对他增发 2500 万股股票的提议的反应,因此该提议将被取消,而不是在本月晚些时候的 AMC 年会上进行表决。该公司没有回答有关如何调查股东的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室里决定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者正在花费更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现,大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪,但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里,美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕零售行动进行交易的报告,得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说,信号中可能存在 “阿尔法”,但要实现这一目标可能需要一些紧张的数字运算。当然,并不是所有的留言板聊天都会导致价格持续上涨,如果没有大量的数据分析,零售订单流很难与机构流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在购买哪些股票和正在出售哪些股票的投资者来说,摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的 20% 的股票,做空卖出兴趣最高的 20% 的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示,目前,许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险,而不是寻找新的机会。“他说:”他们认为这几乎就像一份保险,以限制他们的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于零售商来说,这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动是由社区精神支撑的。其背后的力量既是情感上的,也是道德上的,也是经济上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示,他们的动机是希望证明自己,并像利润一样惩罚保守派。他们互相学习市场,有时会放大或揭穿关于华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票运动与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“26 岁的科尔斯说:”华尔街让我们的经济陷入困境,但没有人因此惹上麻烦。“所以,我认为他们认为我们不仅可以赚钱,还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格 (Claire Hirschberg) 是一名 28 岁的工会组织者,她在 1 月份从朋友那里听说 Robinhood 上购买了价值约 50 美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法,但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应,他是一名长期的资金经理。“她笑着说:”他很生气我买了游戏驿站,还不肯卖。“这让我想永远拿着它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像老华尔街有仪式和准则一样,新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道,在你成为合伙人之前,你不会打菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前,你从不离开办公室,你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦,而且不是按顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万散户交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认财务损失是一种勇敢的行为,是内部坚韧和对本集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事,也不规范语言。你是 “猿类 ”或 “弱智 ”大军的一员。你坚持住,即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>集体行动不仅仅是为了精神支持。交易策略取决于人们保持买入压力,迫使做空,或买入看涨期权,从而引发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔 (Keith Gill) 在二月份众议院金融服务委员会听证会上虚拟露面,成为 Reddit 散户交易员大军推高游戏驿站股价的代言人。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示,他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然,其他人并没有采纳这一建议,而是通过反复做空股票来给备忘录运动注入氧气。6 月中旬,AMC 的空头权益占该股流通量的 17%,低于 1 月份的 28%,但降幅不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格上涨,空头们也控制不住自己。多年来一直关注游戏驿站的韦德布什证券分析师迈克尔-帕切特(Michael Pachter)说,他们开始 “流口水,耳朵里冒出火焰”。“他说:”让我感到震惊的是精神错乱的定义,就是一遍又一遍地做同样的事情,每次都希望有不同的结果,而空头却不断出现。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思-吉尔(Keith Gill)和他的 Reddit raiders 一直在挤压他们,而且一直在起作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者,Reddit 人群需要团结起来,但该社区有时会出现裂缝。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和 AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军,他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经崩溃。 Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) 在 1 月底和 6 月初两次飙升,但现在的交易价格仅略高于 1 月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延,一些交易员担心 wallstreetbets——激发游戏驿站狂热的最初 Reddit 留言板——发展如此之快,以至于它已经失去了最初的精神,并可能变得容易受到操纵。有些人搬到了其他留言板,如 r/superstonk,希望能重现老社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司 Hype Equity 的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔 (Travis Rehl) 表示,他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说,炒作股权通常由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣。现在,他看到了一种不断增长的趋势,即股票突然出现在留言板上,收到积极的聊天,然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”这让人怀疑什么是真正的讨论,什么是某人只想炒作的东西。wallstreetbets 的版主禁止在该平台上操纵市场,Rehl 表示,他们似乎正在努力遏制错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>“索斯尼克说:”如果你能制造足够的轰动效应,让一只股票在短时间内上涨 10%、20%,甚至 50%,那么你就有巨大的动力去做这件事。</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会正在关注留言板上的有趣交易。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则,目的是增加保护散户交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减缓交易速度或使交易成本更高,也可能激怒零售人群。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一能遏制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment 行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根 (Dan Egan) 认为,这种势头可能会在 9 月份耗尽。即使是 “猿猴 ”也有责任。“他说:”孩子们开始重返校园;家长们也可以自由地再次上班了。“那是下一次从房间里抽出氧气的时候了。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金引发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪和游戏驿站乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍,那么只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注,这几乎肯定是一件好事。许多新零售商表示,他们正在自学如何交易,并开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何,这是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授亨德里克-贝森宾德(Hendrik Bessembinder)在2018年发表了一项开创性的研究,发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票,亏损的可能性大于赚钱的可能性”。简而言之,挑选单只股票并持有集中投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此,他还是对新一波交易感到鼓舞。“贝森宾德说:”我欢迎零售交易的增加,欢迎股票市场成为一个广泛参与的地方。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","SCHW":"嘉信理财","GME":"游戏驿站","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","AMC":"AMC院线","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","BB":"黑莓"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CARV":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"GME":0.9,"CLOV":0.9,"NEGG":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"BB":0.9,"SCHW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147954128,"gmtCreate":1626329825564,"gmtModify":1633927794769,"author":{"id":"4087128285458480","authorId":"4087128285458480","name":"auntiechua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349b4414d18abd37890454c370ee081a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087128285458480","authorIdStr":"4087128285458480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪🏼have a read ","listText":"💪🏼have a read ","text":"💪🏼have a read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147954128","repostId":"1113252389","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113252389","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626327337,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1113252389?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 13:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSMC’s Second-Quarter Profit Rises 11% on Strong Chip Demand<blockquote>台积电第二季度利润因芯片需求强劲增长 11%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113252389","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported an 11% increase in quarterly profit, underscoring ho","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a> Co. reported an 11% increase in quarterly profit, underscoring how the company has benefited from a global chip shortage that’s driven up orders from the automotive and other industries.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>公司公布的季度利润增长了 11%,这凸显了该公司如何从全球芯片短缺中受益,全球芯片短缺推动了汽车和其他行业的订单增加。</blockquote></p><p> Net income for the quarter ended in June rose to NT$134.4 billion ($4.8 billion), slightly below the average analyst estimate of NT$136.15 billion. Revenue came in at NT$372.15 billion based on previously released monthly sales figures.</p><p><blockquote>截至 6 月的季度净利润升至新台币 1344 亿元(48 亿美元),略低于分析师平均预期的新台币 1361.5 亿元。根据之前公布的月度销售数据,营收为新台币3721.5亿元。</blockquote></p><p> While an ongoing semiconductor shortage has hampered the global economic recovery from Covid-19, suppliers like TSMC, the world’s largest contract chipmaker, are among beneficiaries as they race to fulfill orders. The Taiwanese company is also likely to get a lift from plans by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc., its largest customer, to ready 90 million units of upgraded iPhones for the second half of this year.</p><p><blockquote>虽然持续的半导体短缺阻碍了全球经济从 Covid-19 中复苏,但全球最大的合同芯片制造商台积电等供应商也是受益者之一,他们竞相完成订单。这家台湾公司也可能从计划中获得提升<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>其最大客户Inc.将在今年下半年准备9000万部升级版iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> “As TSMC will likely keep loading its capacity at extremely high utilization in upcoming quarters, we expect the strong revenue momentum to continue through end of 2021,” <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a> analyst Roland Shu wrote in a note last week. “Strong demand but limited capacity increases in the supply chain will continue to allow TSMC to best utilize its capacities and further strengthen its pricing power.”</p><p><blockquote>“由于台积电在未来几个季度可能会继续以极高的利用率装载产能,我们预计强劲的收入势头将持续到 2021 年底。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>分析师罗兰·舒上周在一份报告中写道。“需求强劲,但供应链产能增长有限,将继续使台积电能够最大限度地利用其产能,并进一步增强其定价能力。”</blockquote></p><p> In early July, Daimler AG and Jaguar Land Rover warned that sales will be further curtailed by the persistent chip shortage, with the latter saying deliveries in the second quarter will be 50% worse than initially thought. The U.K. economy’s growth slowed to 0.8% in May, partly due to a 16.4% slump in the production of transport equipment triggered by a lack of semiconductors.</p><p><blockquote>7月初,戴姆勒股份公司和捷豹路虎警告称,持续的芯片短缺将进一步削减销量,后者表示第二季度的交付量将比最初预期的差50%。5 月份英国经济增速放缓至 0.8%,部分原因是半导体短缺导致运输设备产量下滑 16.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">United Microelectronics</a> Corp., a smaller rival to TSMC, said last week that chip demand could continue to outpace supply until 2023.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">联合微电子</a>台积电的规模较小的竞争对手Corp.上周表示,芯片需求可能会继续超过供应,直到2023年。</blockquote></p><p> In response to the demand from carmakers, TSMC has said it will increase shipments to the sector. Revenue from automotive clients increased 12% from the first quarter, while high-performance computing climbed by a similar magnitude. Sales to smartphone clients, the biggest chunk of its revenue, eased 3% in the seasonally slower second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>为了响应汽车制造商的需求,台积电表示将增加对该行业的出货量。汽车客户的收入较第一季度增长了 12%,而高性能计算的收入也增长了类似的幅度。智能手机客户的销售额是其收入的最大组成部分,在季节性放缓的第二季度下降了 3%。</blockquote></p><p> Gross margin was 50%, below the roughly 51% average predicted by analysts. In early June, a cluster of Covid-19 infections at a factory in central Taiwan forced King Yuan Electronics Co., <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the world’s leading chip-testing service providers, to shut operations temporarily. That led to minor disruptions in the Taiwanese semiconductor supply chain which many around the world rely on. TSMC said on Monday three of its employees were confirmed to have been infected, though it doesn’t see any impact on operations.</p><p><blockquote>毛利率为 50%,低于分析师预测的约 51% 的平均水平。6 月初,台湾中部一家工厂发生聚集性 Covid-19 感染事件,迫使金源电子股份有限公司、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>世界领先的芯片测试服务提供商之一,将暂时关闭运营。这导致世界各地许多人所依赖的台湾半导体供应链出现轻微中断。台积电周一表示,该公司有三名员工被证实感染,但认为不会对运营造成任何影响。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8972f21d044da7c44c189d05e553355d\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>TSMC today announced consolidated <b>revenue of NT$372.15 billion, net income of NT$134.36 billion, and diluted earnings per share of NT$5.18(US$0.93 per ADR unit)</b> for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021.</li> <li>Year-over-year, second quarter <b>revenue increased 19.8% while net income and diluted EPS both increased 11.2%.</b> Compared to first quarter 2021, second quarter results represented a 2.7% increase in revenue and a 3.8% decrease in net income. All figures were prepared in accordance with TIFRS on a consolidated basis.</li> <li>In US dollars, second quarter revenue was $13.29 billion, which increased 28.0% year-over-year and increased 2.9% from the previous quarter.</li> <li><b>Gross margin for the quarter was 50.0%,</b> operating margin was 39.1%, and net profit margin was 36.1%.</li> <li>In the second quarter, <b>shipments of 5-nanometer accounted for 18% of total wafer revenue; 7- nanometer accounted for 31%.</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AEIS\">Advanced</a> technologies, defined as 7-nanometer and more advanced technologies, accounted for 49% of total wafer revenue.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1042154c2034c25d54d740e91d9a2e\" tg-width=\"658\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电今天宣布合并<b>营收3721.5亿元,净利润1343.6亿元,每股摊薄盈利5.18元(每ADR单位0.93美元)</b>截至2021年6月30日的第二季度。</li><li>第二季度同比<b>收入增长 19.8%,净利润和稀释每股收益均增长 11.2%。</b>与2021年第一季度相比,第二季度业绩显示收入增长2.7%,净利润下降3.8%。所有数字均根据国际财务报告准则按综合基准编制。</li><li>以美元计,第二季度营收为132.9亿美元,同比增长28.0%,环比增长2.9%。</li><li><b>本季度毛利率为50.0%,</b>营业利润率为39.1%,净利润率为36.1%。</li><li>第二季度,<b>5纳米出货量占晶圆总收入的18%;7-纳米占31%。</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AEIS\">先进的</a>技术(定义为 7 纳米和更先进的技术)占晶圆总收入的 49%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSMC’s Second-Quarter Profit Rises 11% on Strong Chip Demand<blockquote>台积电第二季度利润因芯片需求强劲增长 11%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSMC’s Second-Quarter Profit Rises 11% on Strong Chip Demand<blockquote>台积电第二季度利润因芯片需求强劲增长 11%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-15 13:35</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a> Co. reported an 11% increase in quarterly profit, underscoring how the company has benefited from a global chip shortage that’s driven up orders from the automotive and other industries.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>公司公布的季度利润增长了 11%,这凸显了该公司如何从全球芯片短缺中受益,全球芯片短缺推动了汽车和其他行业的订单增加。</blockquote></p><p> Net income for the quarter ended in June rose to NT$134.4 billion ($4.8 billion), slightly below the average analyst estimate of NT$136.15 billion. Revenue came in at NT$372.15 billion based on previously released monthly sales figures.</p><p><blockquote>截至 6 月的季度净利润升至新台币 1344 亿元(48 亿美元),略低于分析师平均预期的新台币 1361.5 亿元。根据之前公布的月度销售数据,营收为新台币3721.5亿元。</blockquote></p><p> While an ongoing semiconductor shortage has hampered the global economic recovery from Covid-19, suppliers like TSMC, the world’s largest contract chipmaker, are among beneficiaries as they race to fulfill orders. The Taiwanese company is also likely to get a lift from plans by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc., its largest customer, to ready 90 million units of upgraded iPhones for the second half of this year.</p><p><blockquote>虽然持续的半导体短缺阻碍了全球经济从 Covid-19 中复苏,但全球最大的合同芯片制造商台积电等供应商也是受益者之一,他们竞相完成订单。这家台湾公司也可能从计划中获得提升<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>其最大客户Inc.将在今年下半年准备9000万部升级版iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> “As TSMC will likely keep loading its capacity at extremely high utilization in upcoming quarters, we expect the strong revenue momentum to continue through end of 2021,” <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a> analyst Roland Shu wrote in a note last week. “Strong demand but limited capacity increases in the supply chain will continue to allow TSMC to best utilize its capacities and further strengthen its pricing power.”</p><p><blockquote>“由于台积电在未来几个季度可能会继续以极高的利用率装载产能,我们预计强劲的收入势头将持续到 2021 年底。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>分析师罗兰·舒上周在一份报告中写道。“需求强劲,但供应链产能增长有限,将继续使台积电能够最大限度地利用其产能,并进一步增强其定价能力。”</blockquote></p><p> In early July, Daimler AG and Jaguar Land Rover warned that sales will be further curtailed by the persistent chip shortage, with the latter saying deliveries in the second quarter will be 50% worse than initially thought. The U.K. economy’s growth slowed to 0.8% in May, partly due to a 16.4% slump in the production of transport equipment triggered by a lack of semiconductors.</p><p><blockquote>7月初,戴姆勒股份公司和捷豹路虎警告称,持续的芯片短缺将进一步削减销量,后者表示第二季度的交付量将比最初预期的差50%。5 月份英国经济增速放缓至 0.8%,部分原因是半导体短缺导致运输设备产量下滑 16.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">United Microelectronics</a> Corp., a smaller rival to TSMC, said last week that chip demand could continue to outpace supply until 2023.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">联合微电子</a>台积电的规模较小的竞争对手Corp.上周表示,芯片需求可能会继续超过供应,直到2023年。</blockquote></p><p> In response to the demand from carmakers, TSMC has said it will increase shipments to the sector. Revenue from automotive clients increased 12% from the first quarter, while high-performance computing climbed by a similar magnitude. Sales to smartphone clients, the biggest chunk of its revenue, eased 3% in the seasonally slower second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>为了响应汽车制造商的需求,台积电表示将增加对该行业的出货量。汽车客户的收入较第一季度增长了 12%,而高性能计算的收入也增长了类似的幅度。智能手机客户的销售额是其收入的最大组成部分,在季节性放缓的第二季度下降了 3%。</blockquote></p><p> Gross margin was 50%, below the roughly 51% average predicted by analysts. In early June, a cluster of Covid-19 infections at a factory in central Taiwan forced King Yuan Electronics Co., <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the world’s leading chip-testing service providers, to shut operations temporarily. That led to minor disruptions in the Taiwanese semiconductor supply chain which many around the world rely on. TSMC said on Monday three of its employees were confirmed to have been infected, though it doesn’t see any impact on operations.</p><p><blockquote>毛利率为 50%,低于分析师预测的约 51% 的平均水平。6 月初,台湾中部一家工厂发生聚集性 Covid-19 感染事件,迫使金源电子股份有限公司、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>世界领先的芯片测试服务提供商之一,将暂时关闭运营。这导致世界各地许多人所依赖的台湾半导体供应链出现轻微中断。台积电周一表示,该公司有三名员工被证实感染,但认为不会对运营造成任何影响。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8972f21d044da7c44c189d05e553355d\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>TSMC today announced consolidated <b>revenue of NT$372.15 billion, net income of NT$134.36 billion, and diluted earnings per share of NT$5.18(US$0.93 per ADR unit)</b> for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021.</li> <li>Year-over-year, second quarter <b>revenue increased 19.8% while net income and diluted EPS both increased 11.2%.</b> Compared to first quarter 2021, second quarter results represented a 2.7% increase in revenue and a 3.8% decrease in net income. All figures were prepared in accordance with TIFRS on a consolidated basis.</li> <li>In US dollars, second quarter revenue was $13.29 billion, which increased 28.0% year-over-year and increased 2.9% from the previous quarter.</li> <li><b>Gross margin for the quarter was 50.0%,</b> operating margin was 39.1%, and net profit margin was 36.1%.</li> <li>In the second quarter, <b>shipments of 5-nanometer accounted for 18% of total wafer revenue; 7- nanometer accounted for 31%.</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AEIS\">Advanced</a> technologies, defined as 7-nanometer and more advanced technologies, accounted for 49% of total wafer revenue.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1042154c2034c25d54d740e91d9a2e\" tg-width=\"658\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电今天宣布合并<b>营收3721.5亿元,净利润1343.6亿元,每股摊薄盈利5.18元(每ADR单位0.93美元)</b>截至2021年6月30日的第二季度。</li><li>第二季度同比<b>收入增长 19.8%,净利润和稀释每股收益均增长 11.2%。</b>与2021年第一季度相比,第二季度业绩显示收入增长2.7%,净利润下降3.8%。所有数字均根据国际财务报告准则按综合基准编制。</li><li>以美元计,第二季度营收为132.9亿美元,同比增长28.0%,环比增长2.9%。</li><li><b>本季度毛利率为50.0%,</b>营业利润率为39.1%,净利润率为36.1%。</li><li>第二季度,<b>5纳米出货量占晶圆总收入的18%;7-纳米占31%。</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AEIS\">先进的</a>技术(定义为 7 纳米和更先进的技术)占晶圆总收入的 49%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113252389","content_text":"Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported an 11% increase in quarterly profit, underscoring how the company has benefited from a global chip shortage that’s driven up orders from the automotive and other industries.\nNet income for the quarter ended in June rose to NT$134.4 billion ($4.8 billion), slightly below the average analyst estimate of NT$136.15 billion. Revenue came in at NT$372.15 billion based on previously released monthly sales figures.\nWhile an ongoing semiconductor shortage has hampered the global economic recovery from Covid-19, suppliers like TSMC, the world’s largest contract chipmaker, are among beneficiaries as they race to fulfill orders. The Taiwanese company is also likely to get a lift from plans by Apple Inc., its largest customer, to ready 90 million units of upgraded iPhones for the second half of this year.\n“As TSMC will likely keep loading its capacity at extremely high utilization in upcoming quarters, we expect the strong revenue momentum to continue through end of 2021,” Citigroup analyst Roland Shu wrote in a note last week. “Strong demand but limited capacity increases in the supply chain will continue to allow TSMC to best utilize its capacities and further strengthen its pricing power.”\nIn early July, Daimler AG and Jaguar Land Rover warned that sales will be further curtailed by the persistent chip shortage, with the latter saying deliveries in the second quarter will be 50% worse than initially thought. The U.K. economy’s growth slowed to 0.8% in May, partly due to a 16.4% slump in the production of transport equipment triggered by a lack of semiconductors.\nUnited Microelectronics Corp., a smaller rival to TSMC, said last week that chip demand could continue to outpace supply until 2023.\nIn response to the demand from carmakers, TSMC has said it will increase shipments to the sector. Revenue from automotive clients increased 12% from the first quarter, while high-performance computing climbed by a similar magnitude. Sales to smartphone clients, the biggest chunk of its revenue, eased 3% in the seasonally slower second quarter.\nGross margin was 50%, below the roughly 51% average predicted by analysts. In early June, a cluster of Covid-19 infections at a factory in central Taiwan forced King Yuan Electronics Co., one of the world’s leading chip-testing service providers, to shut operations temporarily. That led to minor disruptions in the Taiwanese semiconductor supply chain which many around the world rely on. TSMC said on Monday three of its employees were confirmed to have been infected, though it doesn’t see any impact on operations.\n\n\nTSMC today announced consolidated revenue of NT$372.15 billion, net income of NT$134.36 billion, and diluted earnings per share of NT$5.18(US$0.93 per ADR unit) for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021.\nYear-over-year, second quarter revenue increased 19.8% while net income and diluted EPS both increased 11.2%. Compared to first quarter 2021, second quarter results represented a 2.7% increase in revenue and a 3.8% decrease in net income. All figures were prepared in accordance with TIFRS on a consolidated basis.\nIn US dollars, second quarter revenue was $13.29 billion, which increased 28.0% year-over-year and increased 2.9% from the previous quarter.\nGross margin for the quarter was 50.0%, operating margin was 39.1%, and net profit margin was 36.1%.\nIn the second quarter, shipments of 5-nanometer accounted for 18% of total wafer revenue; 7- nanometer accounted for 31%. Advanced technologies, defined as 7-nanometer and more advanced technologies, accounted for 49% of total wafer revenue.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1940,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148589957,"gmtCreate":1625987885679,"gmtModify":1633931058708,"author":{"id":"4087128285458480","authorId":"4087128285458480","name":"auntiechua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349b4414d18abd37890454c370ee081a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087128285458480","authorIdStr":"4087128285458480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"A very interesting article and good read on the Apple battery especially for all Apple users! ","listText":"A very interesting article and good read on the Apple battery especially for all Apple users! ","text":"A very interesting article and good read on the Apple battery especially for all Apple users!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148589957","repostId":"1166379040","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3016,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}