+关注
KMTEE01
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:未知
156
关注
10
粉丝
0
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
KMTEE01
2021-09-20
Ok
Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>
KMTEE01
2021-09-20
$CFM HOLDINGS LIMITED(5EB.SI)$
Why dropped
KMTEE01
2021-08-27
$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$
ii believe you can fly ..... All the way to the moon
KMTEE01
2021-08-25
$Alfi Inc.(ALF)$
anyone can help?
KMTEE01
2021-08-25
OK
Berkshire Hathaway Remains Undervalued<blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司仍被低估</blockquote>
KMTEE01
2021-08-23
To the 🌙!!!
KMTEE01
2021-08-18
Read
抱歉,原内容已删除
KMTEE01
2021-08-16
$Provention Bio, Inc(PRVB)$
which one should I save first?😂😂
KMTEE01
2021-08-16
$Bridgeline Digital(BLIN)$
It's time to buy in more? Please advise....thanks
KMTEE01
2021-08-13
Why drop
KMTEE01
2021-08-12
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
KMTEE01
2021-08-12
What happens?
KMTEE01
2021-08-11
Nice
The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks<blockquote>方舟基金减轻中国概念股的行动</blockquote>
KMTEE01
2021-08-10
Will this share rise up to the moon?
KMTEE01
2021-08-10
$XIAOMI-W(01810)$
when I can place sell order? I place at 1620hrs but rejected. Please advise. Thanks
KMTEE01
2021-08-10
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
KMTEE01
2021-07-30
When can fly to the 🌙
KMTEE01
2021-07-28
OK
抱歉,原内容已删除
KMTEE01
2021-07-28
到底几时才会飞升😭😭😭
KMTEE01
2021-07-25
No
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"4087814209928990","uuid":"4087814209928990","gmtCreate":1624747399981,"gmtModify":1624845919936,"name":"KMTEE01","pinyin":"kmtee01","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":10,"headSize":156,"tweetSize":62,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.04.22","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-1","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"精英交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到30次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"60.00%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":860065998,"gmtCreate":1632108746914,"gmtModify":1632802776779,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860065998","repostId":"1194891884","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194891884","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632091615,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1194891884?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-20 06:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194891884","media":"Barrons","summary":"The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also","content":"<p>The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.</p><p><blockquote>本周的重头戏将是美联储 9 月份的政策会议。投资者还将关注多项企业财报发布、投资者日和最新经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report on Thursday. Investor days this week include Biogen on Tuesday, Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and Salesforce.com on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar 将于周一公布季度收益,随后 Adobe、AutoZone 和 FedEx 将于周二公布业绩。通用磨坊周三发布报告,耐克、埃森哲、好市多批发和达顿餐厅周四发布报告。本周的投资者日包括周二的百健、周三的惠好和周四的 Salesforce.com。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely watched.</p><p><blockquote>美联储货币政策委员会将于本周二和周三召开会议。央行不太可能改变其目标利率区间,但可能会更新其开始减少每月资产购买的计划。周三下午美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的新闻发布会将受到密切关注。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’ existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括世界大型企业联合会周四公布的 8 月份领先经济指数。美国房地产市场还将发布多项最新消息,包括周一公布的全国房屋建筑商协会(National Association of Home Builders)9 月份住房市场指数、周二公布的人口普查局(Census Bureau)8 月份新住宅建设数据以及周三公布的全国房地产经纪人协会(National Association of Realtors)8 月份成屋销售数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/20星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar 报告 2021 财年第三季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Merck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司在欧洲肿瘤医学学会 2021 年大会上展示了其癌症药物组合的数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>Home Builders 发布 9 月份房地产市场指数。经济学家预测读数为 73,比 8 月份的数字低 2 个百分点,8 月份是一年多来的最低值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9月21日星期二</b></blockquote></p><p> Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe、AutoZone 和联邦快递发布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Biogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>百健举办投资者日活动,讨论其神经科学疗法管道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>8月份新住宅建设报告。普遍估计,经季节性调整后的新屋开工年率为 155 万套,比 7 月份的水平高出 1%。新屋开工率低于今年 3 月达到的金融危机后峰值 172.5 万套。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9月22日星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The FOMC announces</b> its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会宣布</b>其货币政策决定。美联储可能会将联邦基金利率维持在接近于零的水平不变,但可能会暗示将在今年晚些时候削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> General Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.</p><p><blockquote>通用磨坊公布 2022 财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and Yum China Holdings host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿科学、惠好和百胜中国控股公司举办 2021 年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TheBank of Japan</b> announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>日本银行</b>宣布货币政策决定。人们普遍预计日本央行将维持其关键短期利率在负0.1%不变,因为由于新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株,东京都和其他地区在9月底前仍处于紧急状态。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5% from July’s 599,000.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告8月份的现房销售情况。经季节性调整后,预计全年售出房屋57.8万套,比7月份的59.9万套下降3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9月23日星期四</b></blockquote></p><p> Accenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>埃森哲、好市多批发、达顿餐厅和耐克公司在评级举行会议,讨论他们的季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com 举办 2021 年投资者日。首席执行官马克·贝尼奥夫和Slack首席执行官斯图尔特·巴特菲尔德将出席。Salesforce 今年夏天完成了对 Slack 的 280 亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>会议委员会</b>发布8月份领先经济指数。经济学家预测,继 7 月份上涨 0.9% 之后,环比上涨 0.5%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计 2021 年国内生产总值增长 6%,2022 年增长 4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9月24日星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> Kansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.</p><p><blockquote>堪萨斯城南方公司召开特别股东大会,就与加拿大太平洋铁路公司的合并提案进行投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-20 06:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.</p><p><blockquote>本周的重头戏将是美联储 9 月份的政策会议。投资者还将关注多项企业财报发布、投资者日和最新经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report on Thursday. Investor days this week include Biogen on Tuesday, Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and Salesforce.com on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar 将于周一公布季度收益,随后 Adobe、AutoZone 和 FedEx 将于周二公布业绩。通用磨坊周三发布报告,耐克、埃森哲、好市多批发和达顿餐厅周四发布报告。本周的投资者日包括周二的百健、周三的惠好和周四的 Salesforce.com。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely watched.</p><p><blockquote>美联储货币政策委员会将于本周二和周三召开会议。央行不太可能改变其目标利率区间,但可能会更新其开始减少每月资产购买的计划。周三下午美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的新闻发布会将受到密切关注。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’ existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括世界大型企业联合会周四公布的 8 月份领先经济指数。美国房地产市场还将发布多项最新消息,包括周一公布的全国房屋建筑商协会(National Association of Home Builders)9 月份住房市场指数、周二公布的人口普查局(Census Bureau)8 月份新住宅建设数据以及周三公布的全国房地产经纪人协会(National Association of Realtors)8 月份成屋销售数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/20星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar 报告 2021 财年第三季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Merck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司在欧洲肿瘤医学学会 2021 年大会上展示了其癌症药物组合的数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>Home Builders 发布 9 月份房地产市场指数。经济学家预测读数为 73,比 8 月份的数字低 2 个百分点,8 月份是一年多来的最低值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9月21日星期二</b></blockquote></p><p> Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe、AutoZone 和联邦快递发布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Biogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>百健举办投资者日活动,讨论其神经科学疗法管道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>8月份新住宅建设报告。普遍估计,经季节性调整后的新屋开工年率为 155 万套,比 7 月份的水平高出 1%。新屋开工率低于今年 3 月达到的金融危机后峰值 172.5 万套。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9月22日星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The FOMC announces</b> its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会宣布</b>其货币政策决定。美联储可能会将联邦基金利率维持在接近于零的水平不变,但可能会暗示将在今年晚些时候削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> General Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.</p><p><blockquote>通用磨坊公布 2022 财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and Yum China Holdings host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿科学、惠好和百胜中国控股公司举办 2021 年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TheBank of Japan</b> announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>日本银行</b>宣布货币政策决定。人们普遍预计日本央行将维持其关键短期利率在负0.1%不变,因为由于新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株,东京都和其他地区在9月底前仍处于紧急状态。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5% from July’s 599,000.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告8月份的现房销售情况。经季节性调整后,预计全年售出房屋57.8万套,比7月份的59.9万套下降3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9月23日星期四</b></blockquote></p><p> Accenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>埃森哲、好市多批发、达顿餐厅和耐克公司在评级举行会议,讨论他们的季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com 举办 2021 年投资者日。首席执行官马克·贝尼奥夫和Slack首席执行官斯图尔特·巴特菲尔德将出席。Salesforce 今年夏天完成了对 Slack 的 280 亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>会议委员会</b>发布8月份领先经济指数。经济学家预测,继 7 月份上涨 0.9% 之后,环比上涨 0.5%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计 2021 年国内生产总值增长 6%,2022 年增长 4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9月24日星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> Kansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.</p><p><blockquote>堪萨斯城南方公司召开特别股东大会,就与加拿大太平洋铁路公司的合并提案进行投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-costco-fedex-salesforce-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51632078208?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","NKE":"耐克","FDX":"联邦快递",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","COST":"好市多","CRM":"赛富时","ADBE":"Adobe"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-costco-fedex-salesforce-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51632078208?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194891884","content_text":"The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.\nLennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report on Thursday. Investor days this week include Biogen on Tuesday, Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and Salesforce.com on Thursday.\nThe Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely watched.\nEconomic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’ existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.\nMonday 9/20\nLennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.\nMerck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.\nTuesday 9/21\nAdobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.\nBiogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.\nThe Census Bureau reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.\nWednesday 9/22\nThe FOMC announces its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.\nGeneral Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.\nBoston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and Yum China Holdings host their 2021 investor days.\nTheBank of Japan announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5% from July’s 599,000.\nThursday 9/23\nAccenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.\nSalesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.\nFriday 9/24\nKansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FDX":0.9,"COST":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"CRM":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"NKE":0.9,"ADBE":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1942,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860062343,"gmtCreate":1632108672082,"gmtModify":1632802777626,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5EB.SI\">$CFM HOLDINGS LIMITED(5EB.SI)$</a>Why dropped","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5EB.SI\">$CFM HOLDINGS LIMITED(5EB.SI)$</a>Why dropped","text":"$CFM HOLDINGS LIMITED(5EB.SI)$Why dropped","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bffb7233ab187dd0314f813eaf6b592","width":"1080","height":"3323"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860062343","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819828574,"gmtCreate":1630056251998,"gmtModify":1704955279598,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>ii believe you can fly ..... All the way to the moon ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>ii believe you can fly ..... All the way to the moon ","text":"$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$ii believe you can fly ..... All the way to the moon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5569803d2f8f4c5d4c5c1c1476600341","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819828574","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834751830,"gmtCreate":1629843635620,"gmtModify":1631888372734,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALF\">$Alfi Inc.(ALF)$</a>anyone can help?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALF\">$Alfi Inc.(ALF)$</a>anyone can help?","text":"$Alfi Inc.(ALF)$anyone can help?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62baf63343282fcfea5a13c32c3f0c2d","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834751830","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1805,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834753408,"gmtCreate":1629843591404,"gmtModify":1631890275381,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"OK","listText":"OK","text":"OK","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834753408","repostId":"1147501136","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147501136","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629817852,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1147501136?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-24 23:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Berkshire Hathaway Remains Undervalued<blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司仍被低估</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147501136","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nCEO Warren Buffett has bought back a large number of shares in 2020 in the first half of 20","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>CEO Warren Buffett has bought back a large number of shares in 2020 in the first half of 2021.</li> <li>First half 2021 pre-tax operating earnings for manufacturing and service/retailing are up nicely over the first half of 2020.</li> <li>The stock portfolio is now in excess of $300 billion!</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b1ec40867d5f48e0522635854570624\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>RiverNorthPhotography/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特在2021年上半年回购了大量2020年股票。</li><li>2021年上半年制造业和服务/零售业的税前营业收入比2020年上半年大幅增长。</li><li>股票投资组合现在超过3000亿美元!</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>RiverNorthPhotography/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> My thesis is that Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)is undervalued. CEO Warren Buffett has been taking advantage of this by buying back shares. He repurchased the equivalent of 80,998 “A” shares in 2020 which increased the ownership for existing shareholders by 5.2%. In the first half of this year, the 2Q2110-Qcash flow statement shows $12.6 billion in buybacks which is more than the $6.7 billion they spent in the first half of 2020. In some ways CEO Buffett can be reticent in terms of vocalizing things when the stock is cheap; his buyback actions speak louder than his words.</p><p><blockquote>我的论点是伯克希尔哈撒韦公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:BRK.A)(纽约证券交易所股票代码:BRK.B)被低估了。首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特一直在利用这一点回购股票。彼于二零二零年购回相当于80,998股「A」股,使现有股东的所有权增加5.2%。今年上半年,2Q2110-Q现金流量表显示回购额为126亿美元,超过了2020年上半年的67亿美元。在某些方面,当股价便宜时,首席执行官巴菲特可能会保持沉默;他的回购行动比他的语言更有说服力。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the 2Q21 10-Q balance sheet, the first 5 lines are a big part of our valuation estimate:</p><p><blockquote>查看2021年第二季度 10-Q 资产负债表,前 5 行是我们估值估计的重要组成部分:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8aafe372259b0d3a4c58271edd28993\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"772\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Source: 2Q21 10-Q</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:2021年第二季度 10-Q</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>BNSF $115 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>BNSF 1150亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> BNSF has many similarities to Union Pacific(NYSE:UNP)including the approximate level of debt to enterprise value. The 2Q21 Union Pacific10-Qshows 652,122,933 shares outstanding as of July 16, 2021. Their share price for June 30, 2021 was $219.93 implying a June 30th market cap of $143.4 billion. I believe the market cap of BNSF is at least 80% of Union Pacific’s or $115 billion.</p><p><blockquote>BNSF 与联合太平洋 (NYSE:UNP) 有许多相似之处,包括债务与企业价值的大致水平。截至 2021 年 7 月 16 日,2021年第二季度联合 Pacific10-Q 显示有 652,122,933 股流通股。截至2021年6月30日,他们的股价为219.93美元,这意味着6月30日的市值为1434亿美元。我相信 BNSF 的市值至少是联合太平洋公司的 80%,即 1150 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Berkshire Hathaway Energy (“BHE”) $48.6 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伯克希尔哈撒韦能源公司(“BHE”)486亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> We can use the prices at which BHE was repurchased for a valuation estimate but that information is getting dated. Per the BHE 2Q2110-Q, the last batch was during the first half of 2020 when 180,358 shares were repurchased for $126 million implying a share price of $698.61. The BHE 2Q21 10-Q shows 76,368,874 shares outstanding as of August 5, 2021, implying a market cap of $53.4 billion if the price from the first half of 2020 is still sound.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以使用回购 BHE 的价格进行估值,但该信息已经过时。根据 BHE 2Q2110-Q,最后一批是在 2020 年上半年,当时以 1.26 亿美元的价格回购了 180,358 股股票,这意味着股价为 698.61 美元。BHE 2021年第二季度10-Q显示,截至2021年8月5日,有76,368,874股流通股,这意味着如果2020年上半年的价格仍然合理,市值将达到534亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire’s 2Q21 10-Q says they own 91.1% meaning non-controlling interests own the rest. In other words, Berkshire owns $48.6 billion and non-controlling interests own $4.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔的2021年第二季度 10-Q 表示,他们拥有 91.1% 的股份,这意味着非控股股东拥有其余部分。换句话说,伯克希尔拥有 486 亿美元,非控股股东拥有 48 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Other Non-Insurance Subsidiaries $195 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他非保险子公司1,950亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> The 2Q21 10-Q breaks down revenue and pre-tax earnings under Note 23, Business segment data:</p><p><blockquote>2021年第二季度第 10 季度在附注 23“业务部门数据”中细分了收入和税前利润:</blockquote></p><p> <i>Image Source: 2Q21 10-Q</i></p><p><blockquote><i>图片来源:2021年第二季度 10-Q</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f01f33ed3856e8b1eff604acc2ebe65\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"522\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Source: 2Q21 10-Q</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:2021年第二季度 10-Q</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I like to use a pre-tax earnings multiple of 13 times for manufacturing, McLane and service/retailing. Their 1H21 pre-tax earnings were $5.2 billion, $0.2 billion and $2.1 billion, respectively. These numbers are a huge improvement over the first half of 2020! Summing them up and annualizing gives us $15 billion. Applying a multiple of 13 times brings us to $195 billion.</p><p><blockquote>我喜欢对制造业、麦克莱恩和服务/零售业使用13倍的税前收入倍数。他们2021年上半年的税前利润分别为52亿美元、2亿美元和21亿美元。这些数字比2020年上半年有了巨大的进步!将它们加起来并按年计算,我们将获得 150 亿美元。应用13倍的倍数得出1950亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Cash, T-bills & Fixed Maturities $161.2 Billion</p><p><blockquote>现金、国库券和固定期限 1,612 亿美元</blockquote></p><p> This is the sum of the first 3 lines on the balance sheet which are $38.9 billion in cash and equivalents plus $101.8 billion in T-bills plus $20.5 billion in fixed maturities.</p><p><blockquote>这是资产负债表前 3 行的总和,即 389 亿美元现金及等价物加上 1018 亿美元国库券加上 205 亿美元固定到期债券。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks $307.9 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票 3079 亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Per the 4th line in the balance sheet, we have $307.9 billion in stocks. Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)is by far the biggest part of this portfolio. The13Fthrough June 2021 shows $121.5 billion in Apple stock.</p><p><blockquote>根据资产负债表的第四行,我们有3079亿美元的股票。苹果(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL)是迄今为止该投资组合中最大的部分。截至 2021 年 6 月的 13F 显示苹果股票价值 1215 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Equity Method Investments $16.5 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>权益法投资 165 亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> The 5th line of the balance sheet shows $16.5 billion here. Note 5, Equity method investments, on the 2020 10-K showed that the carrying value of $13.3 billion for Kraft Heinz(NASDAQ:KHC)on the balance sheet was $2 billion higher than the fair value of $11.3 billion. However note 5 on the 2Q21 10-Q shows that the fair value went up to the same range as the carrying value so we don’t need to make any adjustments here.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表的第五行显示165亿美元。注5,2020年10-K权益法投资显示,卡夫亨氏(纳斯达克股票代码:KHC)资产负债表上的账面价值为133亿美元,比公允价值113亿美元高出20亿美元。不过,2021年第二季度 10-Q 的注释 5 显示,公允价值已升至与账面价值相同的范围,因此我们无需在此进行任何调整。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deferred Tax Liability $(27) Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>递延税项负债(270)亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Note 18, Income taxes, isn’t as detailed on the 10-Qs as on the 10-Ks. I’m sticking with the $27 billion net investment tax liability estimate used in my February 2021article.</p><p><blockquote>注 18(所得税)在 10-Qs 中没有像 10-Ks 中那样详细。我坚持使用 2021 年 2 月文章中使用的 270 亿美元净投资纳税义务估算。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Non-Controlling Interests $(3.6) Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>非控股权益(36)亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> The balance sheet shows $8.4 billion in non-controlling interests but we attributed $4.8 billion to BHE investors. As such, there is another $3.6 billion or so of non-controlling interests outside of BHE.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表显示非控股权益为 84 亿美元,但我们将 48 亿美元归因于 BHE 投资者。因此,BHE 之外还有另外 36 亿美元左右的非控股权。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Other Considerations $0</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项$0</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> I treat the insurance operations and the float liability as a wash. I can see why fastidious accountants aren’t crazy about this but I don’t think it makes a huge difference to the overall valuation whether or not these are broken out separately.</p><p><blockquote>我把保险业务和浮动责任视为洗涤。我能理解为什么挑剔的会计师对此并不着迷,但我认为,无论这些会计师是否分开进行细分,对整体估值都不会产生太大影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Chart</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值图表</b></blockquote></p><p> The 2Q21 says that on an equivalent Class A common stock basis, there were 1,511,229 shares outstanding as of June 30, 2021:</p><p><blockquote>2021年第二季度表示,按同等 A 类普通股计算,截至 2021 年 6 月 30 日,共有 1,511,229 股流通股:</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81717a4c648c5027fde69b68d33cf46f\" tg-width=\"814\" tg-height=\"695\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c490184d538a90c0980d497e3b964523\" tg-width=\"813\" tg-height=\"584\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table> <tbody> <tr></tr> </tbody> </table> Here is a more visual interpretation:</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>下面是一个更直观的解释:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0183d76b73ebb2503f940ca5c3eec85\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"558\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Source: Author’s spreadsheet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:作者电子表格</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of course the above chart is somewhere near the middle of my range. Rather than thinking about a valuation of $814 billion exactly, I think it could be approximately $50 billion higher or lower such that my range with round numbers to the nearest $5 billion is about $765 billion to $865 billion.</p><p><blockquote>当然,上面的图表在我范围的中间附近。我认为它可能会高出或低约 500 亿美元,而不是准确地考虑 8140 亿美元的估值,因此我的整数范围约为 7650 亿美元至 8650 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Given the August 23rd (BRK.A) share price of $425,000, and the 1,511,229 class A share equivalents, the implied market cap is $642 billion. Seeing as the market cap is well below my valuation range, I think the stock is priced very reasonably for long-term investors.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到 8 月 23 日 (BRK.A) 的股价为 425,000 美元,以及 1,511,229 股 A 类股票等价物,隐含市值为 6,420 亿美元。鉴于市值远低于我的估值范围,我认为该股票的定价对于长期投资者来说非常合理。</blockquote></p><p> Some think it will be calamitous when CEO Buffett retires but he has built the company with a stable architecture that should hold up well for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>一些人认为首席执行官巴菲特退休将是灾难性的,但他已经建立了一个稳定的架构,应该会在未来几年保持良好。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Berkshire Hathaway Remains Undervalued<blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司仍被低估</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBerkshire Hathaway Remains Undervalued<blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司仍被低估</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-24 23:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>CEO Warren Buffett has bought back a large number of shares in 2020 in the first half of 2021.</li> <li>First half 2021 pre-tax operating earnings for manufacturing and service/retailing are up nicely over the first half of 2020.</li> <li>The stock portfolio is now in excess of $300 billion!</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b1ec40867d5f48e0522635854570624\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>RiverNorthPhotography/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特在2021年上半年回购了大量2020年股票。</li><li>2021年上半年制造业和服务/零售业的税前营业收入比2020年上半年大幅增长。</li><li>股票投资组合现在超过3000亿美元!</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>RiverNorthPhotography/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> My thesis is that Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)is undervalued. CEO Warren Buffett has been taking advantage of this by buying back shares. He repurchased the equivalent of 80,998 “A” shares in 2020 which increased the ownership for existing shareholders by 5.2%. In the first half of this year, the 2Q2110-Qcash flow statement shows $12.6 billion in buybacks which is more than the $6.7 billion they spent in the first half of 2020. In some ways CEO Buffett can be reticent in terms of vocalizing things when the stock is cheap; his buyback actions speak louder than his words.</p><p><blockquote>我的论点是伯克希尔哈撒韦公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:BRK.A)(纽约证券交易所股票代码:BRK.B)被低估了。首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特一直在利用这一点回购股票。彼于二零二零年购回相当于80,998股「A」股,使现有股东的所有权增加5.2%。今年上半年,2Q2110-Q现金流量表显示回购额为126亿美元,超过了2020年上半年的67亿美元。在某些方面,当股价便宜时,首席执行官巴菲特可能会保持沉默;他的回购行动比他的语言更有说服力。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the 2Q21 10-Q balance sheet, the first 5 lines are a big part of our valuation estimate:</p><p><blockquote>查看2021年第二季度 10-Q 资产负债表,前 5 行是我们估值估计的重要组成部分:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8aafe372259b0d3a4c58271edd28993\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"772\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Source: 2Q21 10-Q</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:2021年第二季度 10-Q</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>BNSF $115 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>BNSF 1150亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> BNSF has many similarities to Union Pacific(NYSE:UNP)including the approximate level of debt to enterprise value. The 2Q21 Union Pacific10-Qshows 652,122,933 shares outstanding as of July 16, 2021. Their share price for June 30, 2021 was $219.93 implying a June 30th market cap of $143.4 billion. I believe the market cap of BNSF is at least 80% of Union Pacific’s or $115 billion.</p><p><blockquote>BNSF 与联合太平洋 (NYSE:UNP) 有许多相似之处,包括债务与企业价值的大致水平。截至 2021 年 7 月 16 日,2021年第二季度联合 Pacific10-Q 显示有 652,122,933 股流通股。截至2021年6月30日,他们的股价为219.93美元,这意味着6月30日的市值为1434亿美元。我相信 BNSF 的市值至少是联合太平洋公司的 80%,即 1150 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Berkshire Hathaway Energy (“BHE”) $48.6 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伯克希尔哈撒韦能源公司(“BHE”)486亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> We can use the prices at which BHE was repurchased for a valuation estimate but that information is getting dated. Per the BHE 2Q2110-Q, the last batch was during the first half of 2020 when 180,358 shares were repurchased for $126 million implying a share price of $698.61. The BHE 2Q21 10-Q shows 76,368,874 shares outstanding as of August 5, 2021, implying a market cap of $53.4 billion if the price from the first half of 2020 is still sound.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以使用回购 BHE 的价格进行估值,但该信息已经过时。根据 BHE 2Q2110-Q,最后一批是在 2020 年上半年,当时以 1.26 亿美元的价格回购了 180,358 股股票,这意味着股价为 698.61 美元。BHE 2021年第二季度10-Q显示,截至2021年8月5日,有76,368,874股流通股,这意味着如果2020年上半年的价格仍然合理,市值将达到534亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire’s 2Q21 10-Q says they own 91.1% meaning non-controlling interests own the rest. In other words, Berkshire owns $48.6 billion and non-controlling interests own $4.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔的2021年第二季度 10-Q 表示,他们拥有 91.1% 的股份,这意味着非控股股东拥有其余部分。换句话说,伯克希尔拥有 486 亿美元,非控股股东拥有 48 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Other Non-Insurance Subsidiaries $195 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他非保险子公司1,950亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> The 2Q21 10-Q breaks down revenue and pre-tax earnings under Note 23, Business segment data:</p><p><blockquote>2021年第二季度第 10 季度在附注 23“业务部门数据”中细分了收入和税前利润:</blockquote></p><p> <i>Image Source: 2Q21 10-Q</i></p><p><blockquote><i>图片来源:2021年第二季度 10-Q</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f01f33ed3856e8b1eff604acc2ebe65\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"522\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Source: 2Q21 10-Q</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:2021年第二季度 10-Q</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I like to use a pre-tax earnings multiple of 13 times for manufacturing, McLane and service/retailing. Their 1H21 pre-tax earnings were $5.2 billion, $0.2 billion and $2.1 billion, respectively. These numbers are a huge improvement over the first half of 2020! Summing them up and annualizing gives us $15 billion. Applying a multiple of 13 times brings us to $195 billion.</p><p><blockquote>我喜欢对制造业、麦克莱恩和服务/零售业使用13倍的税前收入倍数。他们2021年上半年的税前利润分别为52亿美元、2亿美元和21亿美元。这些数字比2020年上半年有了巨大的进步!将它们加起来并按年计算,我们将获得 150 亿美元。应用13倍的倍数得出1950亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Cash, T-bills & Fixed Maturities $161.2 Billion</p><p><blockquote>现金、国库券和固定期限 1,612 亿美元</blockquote></p><p> This is the sum of the first 3 lines on the balance sheet which are $38.9 billion in cash and equivalents plus $101.8 billion in T-bills plus $20.5 billion in fixed maturities.</p><p><blockquote>这是资产负债表前 3 行的总和,即 389 亿美元现金及等价物加上 1018 亿美元国库券加上 205 亿美元固定到期债券。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks $307.9 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票 3079 亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Per the 4th line in the balance sheet, we have $307.9 billion in stocks. Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)is by far the biggest part of this portfolio. The13Fthrough June 2021 shows $121.5 billion in Apple stock.</p><p><blockquote>根据资产负债表的第四行,我们有3079亿美元的股票。苹果(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL)是迄今为止该投资组合中最大的部分。截至 2021 年 6 月的 13F 显示苹果股票价值 1215 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Equity Method Investments $16.5 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>权益法投资 165 亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> The 5th line of the balance sheet shows $16.5 billion here. Note 5, Equity method investments, on the 2020 10-K showed that the carrying value of $13.3 billion for Kraft Heinz(NASDAQ:KHC)on the balance sheet was $2 billion higher than the fair value of $11.3 billion. However note 5 on the 2Q21 10-Q shows that the fair value went up to the same range as the carrying value so we don’t need to make any adjustments here.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表的第五行显示165亿美元。注5,2020年10-K权益法投资显示,卡夫亨氏(纳斯达克股票代码:KHC)资产负债表上的账面价值为133亿美元,比公允价值113亿美元高出20亿美元。不过,2021年第二季度 10-Q 的注释 5 显示,公允价值已升至与账面价值相同的范围,因此我们无需在此进行任何调整。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deferred Tax Liability $(27) Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>递延税项负债(270)亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Note 18, Income taxes, isn’t as detailed on the 10-Qs as on the 10-Ks. I’m sticking with the $27 billion net investment tax liability estimate used in my February 2021article.</p><p><blockquote>注 18(所得税)在 10-Qs 中没有像 10-Ks 中那样详细。我坚持使用 2021 年 2 月文章中使用的 270 亿美元净投资纳税义务估算。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Non-Controlling Interests $(3.6) Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>非控股权益(36)亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> The balance sheet shows $8.4 billion in non-controlling interests but we attributed $4.8 billion to BHE investors. As such, there is another $3.6 billion or so of non-controlling interests outside of BHE.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表显示非控股权益为 84 亿美元,但我们将 48 亿美元归因于 BHE 投资者。因此,BHE 之外还有另外 36 亿美元左右的非控股权。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Other Considerations $0</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项$0</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> I treat the insurance operations and the float liability as a wash. I can see why fastidious accountants aren’t crazy about this but I don’t think it makes a huge difference to the overall valuation whether or not these are broken out separately.</p><p><blockquote>我把保险业务和浮动责任视为洗涤。我能理解为什么挑剔的会计师对此并不着迷,但我认为,无论这些会计师是否分开进行细分,对整体估值都不会产生太大影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Chart</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值图表</b></blockquote></p><p> The 2Q21 says that on an equivalent Class A common stock basis, there were 1,511,229 shares outstanding as of June 30, 2021:</p><p><blockquote>2021年第二季度表示,按同等 A 类普通股计算,截至 2021 年 6 月 30 日,共有 1,511,229 股流通股:</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81717a4c648c5027fde69b68d33cf46f\" tg-width=\"814\" tg-height=\"695\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c490184d538a90c0980d497e3b964523\" tg-width=\"813\" tg-height=\"584\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table> <tbody> <tr></tr> </tbody> </table> Here is a more visual interpretation:</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>下面是一个更直观的解释:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0183d76b73ebb2503f940ca5c3eec85\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"558\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Source: Author’s spreadsheet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:作者电子表格</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of course the above chart is somewhere near the middle of my range. Rather than thinking about a valuation of $814 billion exactly, I think it could be approximately $50 billion higher or lower such that my range with round numbers to the nearest $5 billion is about $765 billion to $865 billion.</p><p><blockquote>当然,上面的图表在我范围的中间附近。我认为它可能会高出或低约 500 亿美元,而不是准确地考虑 8140 亿美元的估值,因此我的整数范围约为 7650 亿美元至 8650 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Given the August 23rd (BRK.A) share price of $425,000, and the 1,511,229 class A share equivalents, the implied market cap is $642 billion. Seeing as the market cap is well below my valuation range, I think the stock is priced very reasonably for long-term investors.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到 8 月 23 日 (BRK.A) 的股价为 425,000 美元,以及 1,511,229 股 A 类股票等价物,隐含市值为 6,420 亿美元。鉴于市值远低于我的估值范围,我认为该股票的定价对于长期投资者来说非常合理。</blockquote></p><p> Some think it will be calamitous when CEO Buffett retires but he has built the company with a stable architecture that should hold up well for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>一些人认为首席执行官巴菲特退休将是灾难性的,但他已经建立了一个稳定的架构,应该会在未来几年保持良好。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4451491-berkshire-hathaway-remains-undervalued\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4451491-berkshire-hathaway-remains-undervalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147501136","content_text":"Summary\n\nCEO Warren Buffett has bought back a large number of shares in 2020 in the first half of 2021.\nFirst half 2021 pre-tax operating earnings for manufacturing and service/retailing are up nicely over the first half of 2020.\nThe stock portfolio is now in excess of $300 billion!\n\nRiverNorthPhotography/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nIntroduction\nMy thesis is that Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)is undervalued. CEO Warren Buffett has been taking advantage of this by buying back shares. He repurchased the equivalent of 80,998 “A” shares in 2020 which increased the ownership for existing shareholders by 5.2%. In the first half of this year, the 2Q2110-Qcash flow statement shows $12.6 billion in buybacks which is more than the $6.7 billion they spent in the first half of 2020. In some ways CEO Buffett can be reticent in terms of vocalizing things when the stock is cheap; his buyback actions speak louder than his words.\nLooking at the 2Q21 10-Q balance sheet, the first 5 lines are a big part of our valuation estimate:\nImage Source: 2Q21 10-Q\nBNSF $115 Billion\nBNSF has many similarities to Union Pacific(NYSE:UNP)including the approximate level of debt to enterprise value. The 2Q21 Union Pacific10-Qshows 652,122,933 shares outstanding as of July 16, 2021. Their share price for June 30, 2021 was $219.93 implying a June 30th market cap of $143.4 billion. I believe the market cap of BNSF is at least 80% of Union Pacific’s or $115 billion.\nBerkshire Hathaway Energy (“BHE”) $48.6 Billion\nWe can use the prices at which BHE was repurchased for a valuation estimate but that information is getting dated. Per the BHE 2Q2110-Q, the last batch was during the first half of 2020 when 180,358 shares were repurchased for $126 million implying a share price of $698.61. The BHE 2Q21 10-Q shows 76,368,874 shares outstanding as of August 5, 2021, implying a market cap of $53.4 billion if the price from the first half of 2020 is still sound.\nBerkshire’s 2Q21 10-Q says they own 91.1% meaning non-controlling interests own the rest. In other words, Berkshire owns $48.6 billion and non-controlling interests own $4.8 billion.\nOther Non-Insurance Subsidiaries $195 Billion\nThe 2Q21 10-Q breaks down revenue and pre-tax earnings under Note 23, Business segment data:\nImage Source: 2Q21 10-Q\nImage Source: 2Q21 10-Q\nI like to use a pre-tax earnings multiple of 13 times for manufacturing, McLane and service/retailing. Their 1H21 pre-tax earnings were $5.2 billion, $0.2 billion and $2.1 billion, respectively. These numbers are a huge improvement over the first half of 2020! Summing them up and annualizing gives us $15 billion. Applying a multiple of 13 times brings us to $195 billion.\nCash, T-bills & Fixed Maturities $161.2 Billion\nThis is the sum of the first 3 lines on the balance sheet which are $38.9 billion in cash and equivalents plus $101.8 billion in T-bills plus $20.5 billion in fixed maturities.\nStocks $307.9 Billion\nPer the 4th line in the balance sheet, we have $307.9 billion in stocks. Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)is by far the biggest part of this portfolio. The13Fthrough June 2021 shows $121.5 billion in Apple stock.\nEquity Method Investments $16.5 Billion\nThe 5th line of the balance sheet shows $16.5 billion here. Note 5, Equity method investments, on the 2020 10-K showed that the carrying value of $13.3 billion for Kraft Heinz(NASDAQ:KHC)on the balance sheet was $2 billion higher than the fair value of $11.3 billion. However note 5 on the 2Q21 10-Q shows that the fair value went up to the same range as the carrying value so we don’t need to make any adjustments here.\nDeferred Tax Liability $(27) Billion\nNote 18, Income taxes, isn’t as detailed on the 10-Qs as on the 10-Ks. I’m sticking with the $27 billion net investment tax liability estimate used in my February 2021article.\nNon-Controlling Interests $(3.6) Billion\nThe balance sheet shows $8.4 billion in non-controlling interests but we attributed $4.8 billion to BHE investors. As such, there is another $3.6 billion or so of non-controlling interests outside of BHE.\nOther Considerations $0\nI treat the insurance operations and the float liability as a wash. I can see why fastidious accountants aren’t crazy about this but I don’t think it makes a huge difference to the overall valuation whether or not these are broken out separately.\nValuation Chart\nThe 2Q21 says that on an equivalent Class A common stock basis, there were 1,511,229 shares outstanding as of June 30, 2021:\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nHere is a more visual interpretation:\nImage Source: Author’s spreadsheet\nOf course the above chart is somewhere near the middle of my range. Rather than thinking about a valuation of $814 billion exactly, I think it could be approximately $50 billion higher or lower such that my range with round numbers to the nearest $5 billion is about $765 billion to $865 billion.\nGiven the August 23rd (BRK.A) share price of $425,000, and the 1,511,229 class A share equivalents, the implied market cap is $642 billion. Seeing as the market cap is well below my valuation range, I think the stock is priced very reasonably for long-term investors.\nSome think it will be calamitous when CEO Buffett retires but he has built the company with a stable architecture that should hold up well for years to come.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.B":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2374,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835877430,"gmtCreate":1629707804320,"gmtModify":1631890275394,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"To the 🌙!!!","listText":"To the 🌙!!!","text":"To the 🌙!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a10823da8c6899681f882fa2c90ee530","width":"1080","height":"2351"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835877430","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833790958,"gmtCreate":1629260440174,"gmtModify":1631890275409,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833790958","repostId":"2160207426","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2032,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839166958,"gmtCreate":1629127398974,"gmtModify":1631890275420,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRVB\">$Provention Bio, Inc(PRVB)$</a>which one should I save first?😂😂","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRVB\">$Provention Bio, Inc(PRVB)$</a>which one should I save first?😂😂","text":"$Provention Bio, Inc(PRVB)$which one should I save first?😂😂","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05d3c6a1fdb9dd2d63b61460a9d1b1f8","width":"1640","height":"1888"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839166958","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839186745,"gmtCreate":1629126816987,"gmtModify":1631885494005,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLIN\">$Bridgeline Digital(BLIN)$</a>It's time to buy in more? Please advise....thanks ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLIN\">$Bridgeline Digital(BLIN)$</a>It's time to buy in more? Please advise....thanks ","text":"$Bridgeline Digital(BLIN)$It's time to buy in more? Please advise....thanks","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce79035fd3289f91f03d91999207445d","width":"1640","height":"1888"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839186745","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894179772,"gmtCreate":1628813884696,"gmtModify":1631890275433,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Why drop","listText":"Why drop","text":"Why drop","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2b98712290e37a0f2692dfabc6b7364","width":"1080","height":"3650"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894179772","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895751264,"gmtCreate":1628775425858,"gmtModify":1631890275445,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895751264","repostId":"1163871448","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895995119,"gmtCreate":1628699872631,"gmtModify":1631890275457,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"What happens?","listText":"What happens?","text":"What happens?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41179fd7db6f56840fe9ca7b021c180b","width":"1080","height":"2509"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895995119","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892683444,"gmtCreate":1628655018688,"gmtModify":1631890275490,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892683444","repostId":"1163924715","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163924715","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628654753,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1163924715?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-11 12:05","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks<blockquote>方舟基金减轻中国概念股的行动</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163924715","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Pre-market overview\nU.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond","content":"<p><b>Pre-market overview</b></p><p><blockquote><b>上市前概述</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yields dropped again in Asias hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%. China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>美股盘前交易下跌,亚洲时段美国10年期国债收益率再度下跌,拖累大宗商品价格,原油跌幅高达5%,中国概念股盘前交易小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> In the secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在二级市场上,有两类美国基金愿意在中国进行投资。其中,其中一人已清盘或正在逐步清盘其持有的股份。从方舟基金的日常操作来看,其一直在减仓包括腾讯控股在内的中概股,从未加仓,尽管上述个股近期出现了一定程度的反弹。最近出现的一个更令人鼓舞的信号是,方舟基金已经停止减持中国股票。</blockquote></p><p> On July 1st, a total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including 8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC). Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as shown in the following figure.</p><p><blockquote>7月1日,共有10只在美国上市的中国股票被方舟基金覆盖,其中包括8只中国概念股和2只在美国场外交易(OTC)交易的港股,以当日收盘价计算,这10只股票合计18亿美元,如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be54c5dfdf52cd1c4ea28364f2dc37a\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>About Its Positions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于其立场</b></blockquote></p><p> As a fund that is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.</p><p><blockquote>作为一只投资中国股票不够积极的基金,18亿美元的仓位规模很难说小。投资新兴市场的最大共同基金是景顺新兴市场基金,在华投资150亿美元,涵盖中概股、港股和A股。因此,方舟在中国的投资并非微不足道。</blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American investor as well as the CEO & CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a>, but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">Niu Technologies</a> are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".</p><p><blockquote>方舟基金号称以技术为基础,但基金似乎并不完全信任中国的技术。通过分析其持有的中国股票,方舟基金现在持有的最多头寸是拥有巨大购买力的电子商务股票,而不是科技公司的股票。美国投资者、Ark Invest 首席执行官兼首席信息官凯西-伍德(Cathie Wood)曾在电视上称赞百度的无人驾驶技术,而他们对百度股票的持仓并没有那么大。然后,中国的新能源汽车来了。方舟基金的投资目标并非中国电动汽车三驾马车,包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>但是小牛电动。生产的电动汽车<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">小牛电动</a>在纽约很畅销,而另外三家制造商尚未扩展到美国。这再次反映了凯西·伍德对中国“技术”的怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Let’s look into the lightening of the Ark Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>让我们来看看方舟基金的闪电</b></blockquote></p><p> 10 stocks are chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5 billion, accounting for about 80%. Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA, BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key dates are marked below.</p><p><blockquote>选择了10只股票来分析它们的份额变化。7月1日持仓最多的5只个股(京东、TCEHY、贝科、PDD、百度)如图1所示,合计15亿美元,约占80%,另外5只个股分别是阿里巴巴、小牛、虎牙、比亚迪、百度,合计3亿美元,约占20%(图2)。关键日期标记在下面。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41b4d86b2c5953dc32e4a31fb13ee410\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09631c97e67c3aa9711d607bca310526\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"252\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds cleared all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and continued the pace in the past few days. </p><p><blockquote>方舟基金于7月13日、14日清仓虎牙全部持仓(上图标注)。虎牙与斗鱼合并失败的消息在7月12日公布,但方舟基金当天并未实质性减仓,延续了过去几天的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> Another marked date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's suspicion of high-growth companies in China.</p><p><blockquote>另一个标记的日期是7月26日(图1)。7月23日星期五,中国教育股暴跌超过50%。那一天,很少有人意识到连锁反应已经发生,在香港上市的中国股票将在接下来的一周内暴跌。方舟基金也没有意识到这一点。7月26日,方舟基金不得不减仓。前5大持仓均被方舟减仓,科控股站上破位。这反映出Cathie Wood对中国高成长性公司的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The third marked date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">Kanzhun Limited</a>), which is also a company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三个标记日期是7月28日,如图2所示。在这一轮风波中,方舟基金仅减仓了老板直聘股票(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">看准有限公司</a>),这也是一家市值相对较小的公司。与此同时,凯西·伍德仍然非常坚持在小牛电动的投资。</blockquote></p><p> In the past week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7 stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450 million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.</p><p><blockquote>近一周,中国概念股价格仍在低位徘徊,但方舟基金不再减仓。目前只剩下7只股票。以上周五收盘价计算,仓位为4.5亿美元,较7月1日减少75%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks<blockquote>方舟基金减轻中国概念股的行动</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks<blockquote>方舟基金减轻中国概念股的行动</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-11 12:05</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Pre-market overview</b></p><p><blockquote><b>上市前概述</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yields dropped again in Asias hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%. China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>美股盘前交易下跌,亚洲时段美国10年期国债收益率再度下跌,拖累大宗商品价格,原油跌幅高达5%,中国概念股盘前交易小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> In the secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在二级市场上,有两类美国基金愿意在中国进行投资。其中,其中一人已清盘或正在逐步清盘其持有的股份。从方舟基金的日常操作来看,其一直在减仓包括腾讯控股在内的中概股,从未加仓,尽管上述个股近期出现了一定程度的反弹。最近出现的一个更令人鼓舞的信号是,方舟基金已经停止减持中国股票。</blockquote></p><p> On July 1st, a total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including 8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC). Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as shown in the following figure.</p><p><blockquote>7月1日,共有10只在美国上市的中国股票被方舟基金覆盖,其中包括8只中国概念股和2只在美国场外交易(OTC)交易的港股,以当日收盘价计算,这10只股票合计18亿美元,如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be54c5dfdf52cd1c4ea28364f2dc37a\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>About Its Positions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于其立场</b></blockquote></p><p> As a fund that is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.</p><p><blockquote>作为一只投资中国股票不够积极的基金,18亿美元的仓位规模很难说小。投资新兴市场的最大共同基金是景顺新兴市场基金,在华投资150亿美元,涵盖中概股、港股和A股。因此,方舟在中国的投资并非微不足道。</blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American investor as well as the CEO & CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a>, but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">Niu Technologies</a> are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".</p><p><blockquote>方舟基金号称以技术为基础,但基金似乎并不完全信任中国的技术。通过分析其持有的中国股票,方舟基金现在持有的最多头寸是拥有巨大购买力的电子商务股票,而不是科技公司的股票。美国投资者、Ark Invest 首席执行官兼首席信息官凯西-伍德(Cathie Wood)曾在电视上称赞百度的无人驾驶技术,而他们对百度股票的持仓并没有那么大。然后,中国的新能源汽车来了。方舟基金的投资目标并非中国电动汽车三驾马车,包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>但是小牛电动。生产的电动汽车<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">小牛电动</a>在纽约很畅销,而另外三家制造商尚未扩展到美国。这再次反映了凯西·伍德对中国“技术”的怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Let’s look into the lightening of the Ark Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>让我们来看看方舟基金的闪电</b></blockquote></p><p> 10 stocks are chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5 billion, accounting for about 80%. Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA, BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key dates are marked below.</p><p><blockquote>选择了10只股票来分析它们的份额变化。7月1日持仓最多的5只个股(京东、TCEHY、贝科、PDD、百度)如图1所示,合计15亿美元,约占80%,另外5只个股分别是阿里巴巴、小牛、虎牙、比亚迪、百度,合计3亿美元,约占20%(图2)。关键日期标记在下面。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41b4d86b2c5953dc32e4a31fb13ee410\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09631c97e67c3aa9711d607bca310526\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"252\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds cleared all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and continued the pace in the past few days. </p><p><blockquote>方舟基金于7月13日、14日清仓虎牙全部持仓(上图标注)。虎牙与斗鱼合并失败的消息在7月12日公布,但方舟基金当天并未实质性减仓,延续了过去几天的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> Another marked date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's suspicion of high-growth companies in China.</p><p><blockquote>另一个标记的日期是7月26日(图1)。7月23日星期五,中国教育股暴跌超过50%。那一天,很少有人意识到连锁反应已经发生,在香港上市的中国股票将在接下来的一周内暴跌。方舟基金也没有意识到这一点。7月26日,方舟基金不得不减仓。前5大持仓均被方舟减仓,科控股站上破位。这反映出Cathie Wood对中国高成长性公司的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The third marked date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">Kanzhun Limited</a>), which is also a company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三个标记日期是7月28日,如图2所示。在这一轮风波中,方舟基金仅减仓了老板直聘股票(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">看准有限公司</a>),这也是一家市值相对较小的公司。与此同时,凯西·伍德仍然非常坚持在小牛电动的投资。</blockquote></p><p> In the past week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7 stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450 million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.</p><p><blockquote>近一周,中国概念股价格仍在低位徘徊,但方舟基金不再减仓。目前只剩下7只股票。以上周五收盘价计算,仓位为4.5亿美元,较7月1日减少75%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏集团","NIU":"小牛电动","BZ":"BOSS直聘","LI":"理想汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163924715","content_text":"Pre-market overview\nU.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yields dropped again in Asias hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%. China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.\nIn the secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.\nOn July 1st, a total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including 8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC). Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as shown in the following figure.\n\nAbout Its Positions\nAs a fund that is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.\nThe Ark Funds claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American investor as well as the CEO & CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including Li Auto, NIO Inc. and XPeng Inc., but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by Niu Technologies are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".\nLet’s look into the lightening of the Ark Funds\n10 stocks are chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5 billion, accounting for about 80%. Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA, BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key dates are marked below.\nFigure 1\nFigure 2\nThe Ark Funds cleared all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and continued the pace in the past few days. \nAnother marked date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's suspicion of high-growth companies in China.\nThe third marked date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin (Kanzhun Limited), which is also a company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.\nIn the past week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7 stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450 million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"BZ":0.9,"NIU":0.9,"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896216669,"gmtCreate":1628584420751,"gmtModify":1631890275491,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Will this share rise up to the moon?","listText":"Will this share rise up to the moon?","text":"Will this share rise up to the moon?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f233de1816eb976c0fad0af56973d88","width":"1080","height":"2608"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896216669","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":692,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896218607,"gmtCreate":1628584381609,"gmtModify":1631890275509,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$XIAOMI-W(01810)$</a>when I can place sell order? I place at 1620hrs but rejected. Please advise. Thanks","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$XIAOMI-W(01810)$</a>when I can place sell order? I place at 1620hrs but rejected. Please advise. Thanks","text":"$XIAOMI-W(01810)$when I can place sell order? I place at 1620hrs but rejected. Please advise. Thanks","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4555a5f029e5bf6db2efe8e6da8cd319","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896218607","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":569,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896029904,"gmtCreate":1628544528308,"gmtModify":1633746383144,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896029904","repostId":"1178202513","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":641,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808502864,"gmtCreate":1627600055658,"gmtModify":1633758007452,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"When can fly to the 🌙","listText":"When can fly to the 🌙","text":"When can fly to the 🌙","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69498e9754f6e98b0e7115fa71404413","width":"1080","height":"3695"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808502864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803166971,"gmtCreate":1627428526793,"gmtModify":1633765180863,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"OK","listText":"OK","text":"OK","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803166971","repostId":"1130824999","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803187688,"gmtCreate":1627428299644,"gmtModify":1633765186873,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"到底几时才会飞升😭😭😭","listText":"到底几时才会飞升😭😭😭","text":"到底几时才会飞升😭😭😭","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99ac8888ff3c1c4a5a801f0c81cfbcd3","width":"1080","height":"3695"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803187688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":177846587,"gmtCreate":1627200543649,"gmtModify":1633767196901,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087814209928990","idStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"No","listText":"No","text":"No","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177846587","repostId":"2153936352","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":961,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":171179520,"gmtCreate":1626730042560,"gmtModify":1631884922361,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087814209928990","authorIdStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMAT\">$Meta Materials Inc.(MMAT)$</a>let go or hold?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMAT\">$Meta Materials Inc.(MMAT)$</a>let go or hold?","text":"$Meta Materials Inc.(MMAT)$let go or hold?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48375ca6d475b013af7114d492e58046","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171179520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839186745,"gmtCreate":1629126816987,"gmtModify":1631885494005,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087814209928990","authorIdStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLIN\">$Bridgeline Digital(BLIN)$</a>It's time to buy in more? Please advise....thanks ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLIN\">$Bridgeline Digital(BLIN)$</a>It's time to buy in more? Please advise....thanks ","text":"$Bridgeline Digital(BLIN)$It's time to buy in more? Please advise....thanks","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce79035fd3289f91f03d91999207445d","width":"1640","height":"1888"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839186745","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154557759,"gmtCreate":1625535941071,"gmtModify":1633939891549,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087814209928990","authorIdStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Try to avoid [笑哭] ","listText":"Try to avoid [笑哭] ","text":"Try to avoid [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154557759","repostId":"2149466331","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":896029904,"gmtCreate":1628544528308,"gmtModify":1633746383144,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087814209928990","authorIdStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896029904","repostId":"1178202513","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":641,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803166971,"gmtCreate":1627428526793,"gmtModify":1633765180863,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087814209928990","authorIdStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"OK","listText":"OK","text":"OK","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803166971","repostId":"1130824999","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156918404,"gmtCreate":1625190021708,"gmtModify":1633942725537,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087814209928990","authorIdStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156918404","repostId":"2148820668","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153405477,"gmtCreate":1625040607499,"gmtModify":1631888475142,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087814209928990","authorIdStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5EB.SI\">$CFM HOLDINGS LIMITED(5EB.SI)$</a>hhahaha, earned some money for dinner[开心] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5EB.SI\">$CFM HOLDINGS LIMITED(5EB.SI)$</a>hhahaha, earned some money for dinner[开心] ","text":"$CFM HOLDINGS LIMITED(5EB.SI)$hhahaha, earned some money for dinner[开心]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/571e328b564cd3d3f476f6827db67cc4","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153405477","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1926,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":834753408,"gmtCreate":1629843591404,"gmtModify":1631890275381,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087814209928990","authorIdStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"OK","listText":"OK","text":"OK","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834753408","repostId":"1147501136","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147501136","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629817852,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1147501136?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-24 23:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Berkshire Hathaway Remains Undervalued<blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司仍被低估</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147501136","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nCEO Warren Buffett has bought back a large number of shares in 2020 in the first half of 20","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>CEO Warren Buffett has bought back a large number of shares in 2020 in the first half of 2021.</li> <li>First half 2021 pre-tax operating earnings for manufacturing and service/retailing are up nicely over the first half of 2020.</li> <li>The stock portfolio is now in excess of $300 billion!</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b1ec40867d5f48e0522635854570624\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>RiverNorthPhotography/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特在2021年上半年回购了大量2020年股票。</li><li>2021年上半年制造业和服务/零售业的税前营业收入比2020年上半年大幅增长。</li><li>股票投资组合现在超过3000亿美元!</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>RiverNorthPhotography/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> My thesis is that Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)is undervalued. CEO Warren Buffett has been taking advantage of this by buying back shares. He repurchased the equivalent of 80,998 “A” shares in 2020 which increased the ownership for existing shareholders by 5.2%. In the first half of this year, the 2Q2110-Qcash flow statement shows $12.6 billion in buybacks which is more than the $6.7 billion they spent in the first half of 2020. In some ways CEO Buffett can be reticent in terms of vocalizing things when the stock is cheap; his buyback actions speak louder than his words.</p><p><blockquote>我的论点是伯克希尔哈撒韦公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:BRK.A)(纽约证券交易所股票代码:BRK.B)被低估了。首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特一直在利用这一点回购股票。彼于二零二零年购回相当于80,998股「A」股,使现有股东的所有权增加5.2%。今年上半年,2Q2110-Q现金流量表显示回购额为126亿美元,超过了2020年上半年的67亿美元。在某些方面,当股价便宜时,首席执行官巴菲特可能会保持沉默;他的回购行动比他的语言更有说服力。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the 2Q21 10-Q balance sheet, the first 5 lines are a big part of our valuation estimate:</p><p><blockquote>查看2021年第二季度 10-Q 资产负债表,前 5 行是我们估值估计的重要组成部分:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8aafe372259b0d3a4c58271edd28993\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"772\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Source: 2Q21 10-Q</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:2021年第二季度 10-Q</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>BNSF $115 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>BNSF 1150亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> BNSF has many similarities to Union Pacific(NYSE:UNP)including the approximate level of debt to enterprise value. The 2Q21 Union Pacific10-Qshows 652,122,933 shares outstanding as of July 16, 2021. Their share price for June 30, 2021 was $219.93 implying a June 30th market cap of $143.4 billion. I believe the market cap of BNSF is at least 80% of Union Pacific’s or $115 billion.</p><p><blockquote>BNSF 与联合太平洋 (NYSE:UNP) 有许多相似之处,包括债务与企业价值的大致水平。截至 2021 年 7 月 16 日,2021年第二季度联合 Pacific10-Q 显示有 652,122,933 股流通股。截至2021年6月30日,他们的股价为219.93美元,这意味着6月30日的市值为1434亿美元。我相信 BNSF 的市值至少是联合太平洋公司的 80%,即 1150 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Berkshire Hathaway Energy (“BHE”) $48.6 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伯克希尔哈撒韦能源公司(“BHE”)486亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> We can use the prices at which BHE was repurchased for a valuation estimate but that information is getting dated. Per the BHE 2Q2110-Q, the last batch was during the first half of 2020 when 180,358 shares were repurchased for $126 million implying a share price of $698.61. The BHE 2Q21 10-Q shows 76,368,874 shares outstanding as of August 5, 2021, implying a market cap of $53.4 billion if the price from the first half of 2020 is still sound.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以使用回购 BHE 的价格进行估值,但该信息已经过时。根据 BHE 2Q2110-Q,最后一批是在 2020 年上半年,当时以 1.26 亿美元的价格回购了 180,358 股股票,这意味着股价为 698.61 美元。BHE 2021年第二季度10-Q显示,截至2021年8月5日,有76,368,874股流通股,这意味着如果2020年上半年的价格仍然合理,市值将达到534亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire’s 2Q21 10-Q says they own 91.1% meaning non-controlling interests own the rest. In other words, Berkshire owns $48.6 billion and non-controlling interests own $4.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔的2021年第二季度 10-Q 表示,他们拥有 91.1% 的股份,这意味着非控股股东拥有其余部分。换句话说,伯克希尔拥有 486 亿美元,非控股股东拥有 48 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Other Non-Insurance Subsidiaries $195 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他非保险子公司1,950亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> The 2Q21 10-Q breaks down revenue and pre-tax earnings under Note 23, Business segment data:</p><p><blockquote>2021年第二季度第 10 季度在附注 23“业务部门数据”中细分了收入和税前利润:</blockquote></p><p> <i>Image Source: 2Q21 10-Q</i></p><p><blockquote><i>图片来源:2021年第二季度 10-Q</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f01f33ed3856e8b1eff604acc2ebe65\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"522\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Source: 2Q21 10-Q</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:2021年第二季度 10-Q</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I like to use a pre-tax earnings multiple of 13 times for manufacturing, McLane and service/retailing. Their 1H21 pre-tax earnings were $5.2 billion, $0.2 billion and $2.1 billion, respectively. These numbers are a huge improvement over the first half of 2020! Summing them up and annualizing gives us $15 billion. Applying a multiple of 13 times brings us to $195 billion.</p><p><blockquote>我喜欢对制造业、麦克莱恩和服务/零售业使用13倍的税前收入倍数。他们2021年上半年的税前利润分别为52亿美元、2亿美元和21亿美元。这些数字比2020年上半年有了巨大的进步!将它们加起来并按年计算,我们将获得 150 亿美元。应用13倍的倍数得出1950亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Cash, T-bills & Fixed Maturities $161.2 Billion</p><p><blockquote>现金、国库券和固定期限 1,612 亿美元</blockquote></p><p> This is the sum of the first 3 lines on the balance sheet which are $38.9 billion in cash and equivalents plus $101.8 billion in T-bills plus $20.5 billion in fixed maturities.</p><p><blockquote>这是资产负债表前 3 行的总和,即 389 亿美元现金及等价物加上 1018 亿美元国库券加上 205 亿美元固定到期债券。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks $307.9 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票 3079 亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Per the 4th line in the balance sheet, we have $307.9 billion in stocks. Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)is by far the biggest part of this portfolio. The13Fthrough June 2021 shows $121.5 billion in Apple stock.</p><p><blockquote>根据资产负债表的第四行,我们有3079亿美元的股票。苹果(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL)是迄今为止该投资组合中最大的部分。截至 2021 年 6 月的 13F 显示苹果股票价值 1215 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Equity Method Investments $16.5 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>权益法投资 165 亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> The 5th line of the balance sheet shows $16.5 billion here. Note 5, Equity method investments, on the 2020 10-K showed that the carrying value of $13.3 billion for Kraft Heinz(NASDAQ:KHC)on the balance sheet was $2 billion higher than the fair value of $11.3 billion. However note 5 on the 2Q21 10-Q shows that the fair value went up to the same range as the carrying value so we don’t need to make any adjustments here.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表的第五行显示165亿美元。注5,2020年10-K权益法投资显示,卡夫亨氏(纳斯达克股票代码:KHC)资产负债表上的账面价值为133亿美元,比公允价值113亿美元高出20亿美元。不过,2021年第二季度 10-Q 的注释 5 显示,公允价值已升至与账面价值相同的范围,因此我们无需在此进行任何调整。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deferred Tax Liability $(27) Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>递延税项负债(270)亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Note 18, Income taxes, isn’t as detailed on the 10-Qs as on the 10-Ks. I’m sticking with the $27 billion net investment tax liability estimate used in my February 2021article.</p><p><blockquote>注 18(所得税)在 10-Qs 中没有像 10-Ks 中那样详细。我坚持使用 2021 年 2 月文章中使用的 270 亿美元净投资纳税义务估算。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Non-Controlling Interests $(3.6) Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>非控股权益(36)亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> The balance sheet shows $8.4 billion in non-controlling interests but we attributed $4.8 billion to BHE investors. As such, there is another $3.6 billion or so of non-controlling interests outside of BHE.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表显示非控股权益为 84 亿美元,但我们将 48 亿美元归因于 BHE 投资者。因此,BHE 之外还有另外 36 亿美元左右的非控股权。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Other Considerations $0</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项$0</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> I treat the insurance operations and the float liability as a wash. I can see why fastidious accountants aren’t crazy about this but I don’t think it makes a huge difference to the overall valuation whether or not these are broken out separately.</p><p><blockquote>我把保险业务和浮动责任视为洗涤。我能理解为什么挑剔的会计师对此并不着迷,但我认为,无论这些会计师是否分开进行细分,对整体估值都不会产生太大影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Chart</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值图表</b></blockquote></p><p> The 2Q21 says that on an equivalent Class A common stock basis, there were 1,511,229 shares outstanding as of June 30, 2021:</p><p><blockquote>2021年第二季度表示,按同等 A 类普通股计算,截至 2021 年 6 月 30 日,共有 1,511,229 股流通股:</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81717a4c648c5027fde69b68d33cf46f\" tg-width=\"814\" tg-height=\"695\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c490184d538a90c0980d497e3b964523\" tg-width=\"813\" tg-height=\"584\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table> <tbody> <tr></tr> </tbody> </table> Here is a more visual interpretation:</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>下面是一个更直观的解释:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0183d76b73ebb2503f940ca5c3eec85\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"558\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Source: Author’s spreadsheet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:作者电子表格</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of course the above chart is somewhere near the middle of my range. Rather than thinking about a valuation of $814 billion exactly, I think it could be approximately $50 billion higher or lower such that my range with round numbers to the nearest $5 billion is about $765 billion to $865 billion.</p><p><blockquote>当然,上面的图表在我范围的中间附近。我认为它可能会高出或低约 500 亿美元,而不是准确地考虑 8140 亿美元的估值,因此我的整数范围约为 7650 亿美元至 8650 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Given the August 23rd (BRK.A) share price of $425,000, and the 1,511,229 class A share equivalents, the implied market cap is $642 billion. Seeing as the market cap is well below my valuation range, I think the stock is priced very reasonably for long-term investors.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到 8 月 23 日 (BRK.A) 的股价为 425,000 美元,以及 1,511,229 股 A 类股票等价物,隐含市值为 6,420 亿美元。鉴于市值远低于我的估值范围,我认为该股票的定价对于长期投资者来说非常合理。</blockquote></p><p> Some think it will be calamitous when CEO Buffett retires but he has built the company with a stable architecture that should hold up well for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>一些人认为首席执行官巴菲特退休将是灾难性的,但他已经建立了一个稳定的架构,应该会在未来几年保持良好。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Berkshire Hathaway Remains Undervalued<blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司仍被低估</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBerkshire Hathaway Remains Undervalued<blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司仍被低估</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-24 23:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>CEO Warren Buffett has bought back a large number of shares in 2020 in the first half of 2021.</li> <li>First half 2021 pre-tax operating earnings for manufacturing and service/retailing are up nicely over the first half of 2020.</li> <li>The stock portfolio is now in excess of $300 billion!</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b1ec40867d5f48e0522635854570624\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>RiverNorthPhotography/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特在2021年上半年回购了大量2020年股票。</li><li>2021年上半年制造业和服务/零售业的税前营业收入比2020年上半年大幅增长。</li><li>股票投资组合现在超过3000亿美元!</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>RiverNorthPhotography/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> My thesis is that Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)is undervalued. CEO Warren Buffett has been taking advantage of this by buying back shares. He repurchased the equivalent of 80,998 “A” shares in 2020 which increased the ownership for existing shareholders by 5.2%. In the first half of this year, the 2Q2110-Qcash flow statement shows $12.6 billion in buybacks which is more than the $6.7 billion they spent in the first half of 2020. In some ways CEO Buffett can be reticent in terms of vocalizing things when the stock is cheap; his buyback actions speak louder than his words.</p><p><blockquote>我的论点是伯克希尔哈撒韦公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:BRK.A)(纽约证券交易所股票代码:BRK.B)被低估了。首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特一直在利用这一点回购股票。彼于二零二零年购回相当于80,998股「A」股,使现有股东的所有权增加5.2%。今年上半年,2Q2110-Q现金流量表显示回购额为126亿美元,超过了2020年上半年的67亿美元。在某些方面,当股价便宜时,首席执行官巴菲特可能会保持沉默;他的回购行动比他的语言更有说服力。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the 2Q21 10-Q balance sheet, the first 5 lines are a big part of our valuation estimate:</p><p><blockquote>查看2021年第二季度 10-Q 资产负债表,前 5 行是我们估值估计的重要组成部分:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8aafe372259b0d3a4c58271edd28993\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"772\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Source: 2Q21 10-Q</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:2021年第二季度 10-Q</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>BNSF $115 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>BNSF 1150亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> BNSF has many similarities to Union Pacific(NYSE:UNP)including the approximate level of debt to enterprise value. The 2Q21 Union Pacific10-Qshows 652,122,933 shares outstanding as of July 16, 2021. Their share price for June 30, 2021 was $219.93 implying a June 30th market cap of $143.4 billion. I believe the market cap of BNSF is at least 80% of Union Pacific’s or $115 billion.</p><p><blockquote>BNSF 与联合太平洋 (NYSE:UNP) 有许多相似之处,包括债务与企业价值的大致水平。截至 2021 年 7 月 16 日,2021年第二季度联合 Pacific10-Q 显示有 652,122,933 股流通股。截至2021年6月30日,他们的股价为219.93美元,这意味着6月30日的市值为1434亿美元。我相信 BNSF 的市值至少是联合太平洋公司的 80%,即 1150 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Berkshire Hathaway Energy (“BHE”) $48.6 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伯克希尔哈撒韦能源公司(“BHE”)486亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> We can use the prices at which BHE was repurchased for a valuation estimate but that information is getting dated. Per the BHE 2Q2110-Q, the last batch was during the first half of 2020 when 180,358 shares were repurchased for $126 million implying a share price of $698.61. The BHE 2Q21 10-Q shows 76,368,874 shares outstanding as of August 5, 2021, implying a market cap of $53.4 billion if the price from the first half of 2020 is still sound.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以使用回购 BHE 的价格进行估值,但该信息已经过时。根据 BHE 2Q2110-Q,最后一批是在 2020 年上半年,当时以 1.26 亿美元的价格回购了 180,358 股股票,这意味着股价为 698.61 美元。BHE 2021年第二季度10-Q显示,截至2021年8月5日,有76,368,874股流通股,这意味着如果2020年上半年的价格仍然合理,市值将达到534亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire’s 2Q21 10-Q says they own 91.1% meaning non-controlling interests own the rest. In other words, Berkshire owns $48.6 billion and non-controlling interests own $4.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔的2021年第二季度 10-Q 表示,他们拥有 91.1% 的股份,这意味着非控股股东拥有其余部分。换句话说,伯克希尔拥有 486 亿美元,非控股股东拥有 48 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Other Non-Insurance Subsidiaries $195 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他非保险子公司1,950亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> The 2Q21 10-Q breaks down revenue and pre-tax earnings under Note 23, Business segment data:</p><p><blockquote>2021年第二季度第 10 季度在附注 23“业务部门数据”中细分了收入和税前利润:</blockquote></p><p> <i>Image Source: 2Q21 10-Q</i></p><p><blockquote><i>图片来源:2021年第二季度 10-Q</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f01f33ed3856e8b1eff604acc2ebe65\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"522\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Source: 2Q21 10-Q</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:2021年第二季度 10-Q</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I like to use a pre-tax earnings multiple of 13 times for manufacturing, McLane and service/retailing. Their 1H21 pre-tax earnings were $5.2 billion, $0.2 billion and $2.1 billion, respectively. These numbers are a huge improvement over the first half of 2020! Summing them up and annualizing gives us $15 billion. Applying a multiple of 13 times brings us to $195 billion.</p><p><blockquote>我喜欢对制造业、麦克莱恩和服务/零售业使用13倍的税前收入倍数。他们2021年上半年的税前利润分别为52亿美元、2亿美元和21亿美元。这些数字比2020年上半年有了巨大的进步!将它们加起来并按年计算,我们将获得 150 亿美元。应用13倍的倍数得出1950亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Cash, T-bills & Fixed Maturities $161.2 Billion</p><p><blockquote>现金、国库券和固定期限 1,612 亿美元</blockquote></p><p> This is the sum of the first 3 lines on the balance sheet which are $38.9 billion in cash and equivalents plus $101.8 billion in T-bills plus $20.5 billion in fixed maturities.</p><p><blockquote>这是资产负债表前 3 行的总和,即 389 亿美元现金及等价物加上 1018 亿美元国库券加上 205 亿美元固定到期债券。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks $307.9 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票 3079 亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Per the 4th line in the balance sheet, we have $307.9 billion in stocks. Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)is by far the biggest part of this portfolio. The13Fthrough June 2021 shows $121.5 billion in Apple stock.</p><p><blockquote>根据资产负债表的第四行,我们有3079亿美元的股票。苹果(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL)是迄今为止该投资组合中最大的部分。截至 2021 年 6 月的 13F 显示苹果股票价值 1215 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Equity Method Investments $16.5 Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>权益法投资 165 亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> The 5th line of the balance sheet shows $16.5 billion here. Note 5, Equity method investments, on the 2020 10-K showed that the carrying value of $13.3 billion for Kraft Heinz(NASDAQ:KHC)on the balance sheet was $2 billion higher than the fair value of $11.3 billion. However note 5 on the 2Q21 10-Q shows that the fair value went up to the same range as the carrying value so we don’t need to make any adjustments here.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表的第五行显示165亿美元。注5,2020年10-K权益法投资显示,卡夫亨氏(纳斯达克股票代码:KHC)资产负债表上的账面价值为133亿美元,比公允价值113亿美元高出20亿美元。不过,2021年第二季度 10-Q 的注释 5 显示,公允价值已升至与账面价值相同的范围,因此我们无需在此进行任何调整。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deferred Tax Liability $(27) Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>递延税项负债(270)亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Note 18, Income taxes, isn’t as detailed on the 10-Qs as on the 10-Ks. I’m sticking with the $27 billion net investment tax liability estimate used in my February 2021article.</p><p><blockquote>注 18(所得税)在 10-Qs 中没有像 10-Ks 中那样详细。我坚持使用 2021 年 2 月文章中使用的 270 亿美元净投资纳税义务估算。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Non-Controlling Interests $(3.6) Billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>非控股权益(36)亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> The balance sheet shows $8.4 billion in non-controlling interests but we attributed $4.8 billion to BHE investors. As such, there is another $3.6 billion or so of non-controlling interests outside of BHE.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表显示非控股权益为 84 亿美元,但我们将 48 亿美元归因于 BHE 投资者。因此,BHE 之外还有另外 36 亿美元左右的非控股权。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Other Considerations $0</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项$0</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> I treat the insurance operations and the float liability as a wash. I can see why fastidious accountants aren’t crazy about this but I don’t think it makes a huge difference to the overall valuation whether or not these are broken out separately.</p><p><blockquote>我把保险业务和浮动责任视为洗涤。我能理解为什么挑剔的会计师对此并不着迷,但我认为,无论这些会计师是否分开进行细分,对整体估值都不会产生太大影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Chart</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值图表</b></blockquote></p><p> The 2Q21 says that on an equivalent Class A common stock basis, there were 1,511,229 shares outstanding as of June 30, 2021:</p><p><blockquote>2021年第二季度表示,按同等 A 类普通股计算,截至 2021 年 6 月 30 日,共有 1,511,229 股流通股:</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81717a4c648c5027fde69b68d33cf46f\" tg-width=\"814\" tg-height=\"695\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c490184d538a90c0980d497e3b964523\" tg-width=\"813\" tg-height=\"584\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table> <tbody> <tr></tr> </tbody> </table> Here is a more visual interpretation:</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>下面是一个更直观的解释:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0183d76b73ebb2503f940ca5c3eec85\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"558\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Source: Author’s spreadsheet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:作者电子表格</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of course the above chart is somewhere near the middle of my range. Rather than thinking about a valuation of $814 billion exactly, I think it could be approximately $50 billion higher or lower such that my range with round numbers to the nearest $5 billion is about $765 billion to $865 billion.</p><p><blockquote>当然,上面的图表在我范围的中间附近。我认为它可能会高出或低约 500 亿美元,而不是准确地考虑 8140 亿美元的估值,因此我的整数范围约为 7650 亿美元至 8650 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Given the August 23rd (BRK.A) share price of $425,000, and the 1,511,229 class A share equivalents, the implied market cap is $642 billion. Seeing as the market cap is well below my valuation range, I think the stock is priced very reasonably for long-term investors.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到 8 月 23 日 (BRK.A) 的股价为 425,000 美元,以及 1,511,229 股 A 类股票等价物,隐含市值为 6,420 亿美元。鉴于市值远低于我的估值范围,我认为该股票的定价对于长期投资者来说非常合理。</blockquote></p><p> Some think it will be calamitous when CEO Buffett retires but he has built the company with a stable architecture that should hold up well for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>一些人认为首席执行官巴菲特退休将是灾难性的,但他已经建立了一个稳定的架构,应该会在未来几年保持良好。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4451491-berkshire-hathaway-remains-undervalued\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4451491-berkshire-hathaway-remains-undervalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147501136","content_text":"Summary\n\nCEO Warren Buffett has bought back a large number of shares in 2020 in the first half of 2021.\nFirst half 2021 pre-tax operating earnings for manufacturing and service/retailing are up nicely over the first half of 2020.\nThe stock portfolio is now in excess of $300 billion!\n\nRiverNorthPhotography/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nIntroduction\nMy thesis is that Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)is undervalued. CEO Warren Buffett has been taking advantage of this by buying back shares. He repurchased the equivalent of 80,998 “A” shares in 2020 which increased the ownership for existing shareholders by 5.2%. In the first half of this year, the 2Q2110-Qcash flow statement shows $12.6 billion in buybacks which is more than the $6.7 billion they spent in the first half of 2020. In some ways CEO Buffett can be reticent in terms of vocalizing things when the stock is cheap; his buyback actions speak louder than his words.\nLooking at the 2Q21 10-Q balance sheet, the first 5 lines are a big part of our valuation estimate:\nImage Source: 2Q21 10-Q\nBNSF $115 Billion\nBNSF has many similarities to Union Pacific(NYSE:UNP)including the approximate level of debt to enterprise value. The 2Q21 Union Pacific10-Qshows 652,122,933 shares outstanding as of July 16, 2021. Their share price for June 30, 2021 was $219.93 implying a June 30th market cap of $143.4 billion. I believe the market cap of BNSF is at least 80% of Union Pacific’s or $115 billion.\nBerkshire Hathaway Energy (“BHE”) $48.6 Billion\nWe can use the prices at which BHE was repurchased for a valuation estimate but that information is getting dated. Per the BHE 2Q2110-Q, the last batch was during the first half of 2020 when 180,358 shares were repurchased for $126 million implying a share price of $698.61. The BHE 2Q21 10-Q shows 76,368,874 shares outstanding as of August 5, 2021, implying a market cap of $53.4 billion if the price from the first half of 2020 is still sound.\nBerkshire’s 2Q21 10-Q says they own 91.1% meaning non-controlling interests own the rest. In other words, Berkshire owns $48.6 billion and non-controlling interests own $4.8 billion.\nOther Non-Insurance Subsidiaries $195 Billion\nThe 2Q21 10-Q breaks down revenue and pre-tax earnings under Note 23, Business segment data:\nImage Source: 2Q21 10-Q\nImage Source: 2Q21 10-Q\nI like to use a pre-tax earnings multiple of 13 times for manufacturing, McLane and service/retailing. Their 1H21 pre-tax earnings were $5.2 billion, $0.2 billion and $2.1 billion, respectively. These numbers are a huge improvement over the first half of 2020! Summing them up and annualizing gives us $15 billion. Applying a multiple of 13 times brings us to $195 billion.\nCash, T-bills & Fixed Maturities $161.2 Billion\nThis is the sum of the first 3 lines on the balance sheet which are $38.9 billion in cash and equivalents plus $101.8 billion in T-bills plus $20.5 billion in fixed maturities.\nStocks $307.9 Billion\nPer the 4th line in the balance sheet, we have $307.9 billion in stocks. Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)is by far the biggest part of this portfolio. The13Fthrough June 2021 shows $121.5 billion in Apple stock.\nEquity Method Investments $16.5 Billion\nThe 5th line of the balance sheet shows $16.5 billion here. Note 5, Equity method investments, on the 2020 10-K showed that the carrying value of $13.3 billion for Kraft Heinz(NASDAQ:KHC)on the balance sheet was $2 billion higher than the fair value of $11.3 billion. However note 5 on the 2Q21 10-Q shows that the fair value went up to the same range as the carrying value so we don’t need to make any adjustments here.\nDeferred Tax Liability $(27) Billion\nNote 18, Income taxes, isn’t as detailed on the 10-Qs as on the 10-Ks. I’m sticking with the $27 billion net investment tax liability estimate used in my February 2021article.\nNon-Controlling Interests $(3.6) Billion\nThe balance sheet shows $8.4 billion in non-controlling interests but we attributed $4.8 billion to BHE investors. As such, there is another $3.6 billion or so of non-controlling interests outside of BHE.\nOther Considerations $0\nI treat the insurance operations and the float liability as a wash. I can see why fastidious accountants aren’t crazy about this but I don’t think it makes a huge difference to the overall valuation whether or not these are broken out separately.\nValuation Chart\nThe 2Q21 says that on an equivalent Class A common stock basis, there were 1,511,229 shares outstanding as of June 30, 2021:\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nHere is a more visual interpretation:\nImage Source: Author’s spreadsheet\nOf course the above chart is somewhere near the middle of my range. Rather than thinking about a valuation of $814 billion exactly, I think it could be approximately $50 billion higher or lower such that my range with round numbers to the nearest $5 billion is about $765 billion to $865 billion.\nGiven the August 23rd (BRK.A) share price of $425,000, and the 1,511,229 class A share equivalents, the implied market cap is $642 billion. Seeing as the market cap is well below my valuation range, I think the stock is priced very reasonably for long-term investors.\nSome think it will be calamitous when CEO Buffett retires but he has built the company with a stable architecture that should hold up well for years to come.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.B":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2374,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892683444,"gmtCreate":1628655018688,"gmtModify":1631890275490,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087814209928990","authorIdStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892683444","repostId":"1163924715","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163924715","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628654753,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1163924715?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-11 12:05","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks<blockquote>方舟基金减轻中国概念股的行动</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163924715","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Pre-market overview\nU.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond","content":"<p><b>Pre-market overview</b></p><p><blockquote><b>上市前概述</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yields dropped again in Asias hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%. China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>美股盘前交易下跌,亚洲时段美国10年期国债收益率再度下跌,拖累大宗商品价格,原油跌幅高达5%,中国概念股盘前交易小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> In the secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在二级市场上,有两类美国基金愿意在中国进行投资。其中,其中一人已清盘或正在逐步清盘其持有的股份。从方舟基金的日常操作来看,其一直在减仓包括腾讯控股在内的中概股,从未加仓,尽管上述个股近期出现了一定程度的反弹。最近出现的一个更令人鼓舞的信号是,方舟基金已经停止减持中国股票。</blockquote></p><p> On July 1st, a total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including 8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC). Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as shown in the following figure.</p><p><blockquote>7月1日,共有10只在美国上市的中国股票被方舟基金覆盖,其中包括8只中国概念股和2只在美国场外交易(OTC)交易的港股,以当日收盘价计算,这10只股票合计18亿美元,如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be54c5dfdf52cd1c4ea28364f2dc37a\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>About Its Positions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于其立场</b></blockquote></p><p> As a fund that is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.</p><p><blockquote>作为一只投资中国股票不够积极的基金,18亿美元的仓位规模很难说小。投资新兴市场的最大共同基金是景顺新兴市场基金,在华投资150亿美元,涵盖中概股、港股和A股。因此,方舟在中国的投资并非微不足道。</blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American investor as well as the CEO & CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a>, but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">Niu Technologies</a> are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".</p><p><blockquote>方舟基金号称以技术为基础,但基金似乎并不完全信任中国的技术。通过分析其持有的中国股票,方舟基金现在持有的最多头寸是拥有巨大购买力的电子商务股票,而不是科技公司的股票。美国投资者、Ark Invest 首席执行官兼首席信息官凯西-伍德(Cathie Wood)曾在电视上称赞百度的无人驾驶技术,而他们对百度股票的持仓并没有那么大。然后,中国的新能源汽车来了。方舟基金的投资目标并非中国电动汽车三驾马车,包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>但是小牛电动。生产的电动汽车<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">小牛电动</a>在纽约很畅销,而另外三家制造商尚未扩展到美国。这再次反映了凯西·伍德对中国“技术”的怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Let’s look into the lightening of the Ark Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>让我们来看看方舟基金的闪电</b></blockquote></p><p> 10 stocks are chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5 billion, accounting for about 80%. Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA, BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key dates are marked below.</p><p><blockquote>选择了10只股票来分析它们的份额变化。7月1日持仓最多的5只个股(京东、TCEHY、贝科、PDD、百度)如图1所示,合计15亿美元,约占80%,另外5只个股分别是阿里巴巴、小牛、虎牙、比亚迪、百度,合计3亿美元,约占20%(图2)。关键日期标记在下面。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41b4d86b2c5953dc32e4a31fb13ee410\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09631c97e67c3aa9711d607bca310526\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"252\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds cleared all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and continued the pace in the past few days. </p><p><blockquote>方舟基金于7月13日、14日清仓虎牙全部持仓(上图标注)。虎牙与斗鱼合并失败的消息在7月12日公布,但方舟基金当天并未实质性减仓,延续了过去几天的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> Another marked date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's suspicion of high-growth companies in China.</p><p><blockquote>另一个标记的日期是7月26日(图1)。7月23日星期五,中国教育股暴跌超过50%。那一天,很少有人意识到连锁反应已经发生,在香港上市的中国股票将在接下来的一周内暴跌。方舟基金也没有意识到这一点。7月26日,方舟基金不得不减仓。前5大持仓均被方舟减仓,科控股站上破位。这反映出Cathie Wood对中国高成长性公司的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The third marked date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">Kanzhun Limited</a>), which is also a company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三个标记日期是7月28日,如图2所示。在这一轮风波中,方舟基金仅减仓了老板直聘股票(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">看准有限公司</a>),这也是一家市值相对较小的公司。与此同时,凯西·伍德仍然非常坚持在小牛电动的投资。</blockquote></p><p> In the past week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7 stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450 million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.</p><p><blockquote>近一周,中国概念股价格仍在低位徘徊,但方舟基金不再减仓。目前只剩下7只股票。以上周五收盘价计算,仓位为4.5亿美元,较7月1日减少75%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks<blockquote>方舟基金减轻中国概念股的行动</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks<blockquote>方舟基金减轻中国概念股的行动</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-11 12:05</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Pre-market overview</b></p><p><blockquote><b>上市前概述</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yields dropped again in Asias hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%. China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>美股盘前交易下跌,亚洲时段美国10年期国债收益率再度下跌,拖累大宗商品价格,原油跌幅高达5%,中国概念股盘前交易小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> In the secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在二级市场上,有两类美国基金愿意在中国进行投资。其中,其中一人已清盘或正在逐步清盘其持有的股份。从方舟基金的日常操作来看,其一直在减仓包括腾讯控股在内的中概股,从未加仓,尽管上述个股近期出现了一定程度的反弹。最近出现的一个更令人鼓舞的信号是,方舟基金已经停止减持中国股票。</blockquote></p><p> On July 1st, a total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including 8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC). Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as shown in the following figure.</p><p><blockquote>7月1日,共有10只在美国上市的中国股票被方舟基金覆盖,其中包括8只中国概念股和2只在美国场外交易(OTC)交易的港股,以当日收盘价计算,这10只股票合计18亿美元,如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be54c5dfdf52cd1c4ea28364f2dc37a\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>About Its Positions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于其立场</b></blockquote></p><p> As a fund that is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.</p><p><blockquote>作为一只投资中国股票不够积极的基金,18亿美元的仓位规模很难说小。投资新兴市场的最大共同基金是景顺新兴市场基金,在华投资150亿美元,涵盖中概股、港股和A股。因此,方舟在中国的投资并非微不足道。</blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American investor as well as the CEO & CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a>, but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">Niu Technologies</a> are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".</p><p><blockquote>方舟基金号称以技术为基础,但基金似乎并不完全信任中国的技术。通过分析其持有的中国股票,方舟基金现在持有的最多头寸是拥有巨大购买力的电子商务股票,而不是科技公司的股票。美国投资者、Ark Invest 首席执行官兼首席信息官凯西-伍德(Cathie Wood)曾在电视上称赞百度的无人驾驶技术,而他们对百度股票的持仓并没有那么大。然后,中国的新能源汽车来了。方舟基金的投资目标并非中国电动汽车三驾马车,包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>但是小牛电动。生产的电动汽车<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">小牛电动</a>在纽约很畅销,而另外三家制造商尚未扩展到美国。这再次反映了凯西·伍德对中国“技术”的怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Let’s look into the lightening of the Ark Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>让我们来看看方舟基金的闪电</b></blockquote></p><p> 10 stocks are chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5 billion, accounting for about 80%. Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA, BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key dates are marked below.</p><p><blockquote>选择了10只股票来分析它们的份额变化。7月1日持仓最多的5只个股(京东、TCEHY、贝科、PDD、百度)如图1所示,合计15亿美元,约占80%,另外5只个股分别是阿里巴巴、小牛、虎牙、比亚迪、百度,合计3亿美元,约占20%(图2)。关键日期标记在下面。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41b4d86b2c5953dc32e4a31fb13ee410\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09631c97e67c3aa9711d607bca310526\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"252\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds cleared all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and continued the pace in the past few days. </p><p><blockquote>方舟基金于7月13日、14日清仓虎牙全部持仓(上图标注)。虎牙与斗鱼合并失败的消息在7月12日公布,但方舟基金当天并未实质性减仓,延续了过去几天的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> Another marked date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's suspicion of high-growth companies in China.</p><p><blockquote>另一个标记的日期是7月26日(图1)。7月23日星期五,中国教育股暴跌超过50%。那一天,很少有人意识到连锁反应已经发生,在香港上市的中国股票将在接下来的一周内暴跌。方舟基金也没有意识到这一点。7月26日,方舟基金不得不减仓。前5大持仓均被方舟减仓,科控股站上破位。这反映出Cathie Wood对中国高成长性公司的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The third marked date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">Kanzhun Limited</a>), which is also a company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三个标记日期是7月28日,如图2所示。在这一轮风波中,方舟基金仅减仓了老板直聘股票(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">看准有限公司</a>),这也是一家市值相对较小的公司。与此同时,凯西·伍德仍然非常坚持在小牛电动的投资。</blockquote></p><p> In the past week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7 stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450 million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.</p><p><blockquote>近一周,中国概念股价格仍在低位徘徊,但方舟基金不再减仓。目前只剩下7只股票。以上周五收盘价计算,仓位为4.5亿美元,较7月1日减少75%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏集团","NIU":"小牛电动","BZ":"BOSS直聘","LI":"理想汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163924715","content_text":"Pre-market overview\nU.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yields dropped again in Asias hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%. China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.\nIn the secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.\nOn July 1st, a total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including 8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC). Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as shown in the following figure.\n\nAbout Its Positions\nAs a fund that is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.\nThe Ark Funds claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American investor as well as the CEO & CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including Li Auto, NIO Inc. and XPeng Inc., but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by Niu Technologies are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".\nLet’s look into the lightening of the Ark Funds\n10 stocks are chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5 billion, accounting for about 80%. Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA, BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key dates are marked below.\nFigure 1\nFigure 2\nThe Ark Funds cleared all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and continued the pace in the past few days. \nAnother marked date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's suspicion of high-growth companies in China.\nThe third marked date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin (Kanzhun Limited), which is also a company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.\nIn the past week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7 stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450 million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"BZ":0.9,"NIU":0.9,"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170944466,"gmtCreate":1626401635955,"gmtModify":1631888372847,"author":{"id":"4087814209928990","authorId":"4087814209928990","name":"KMTEE01","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef64cc21f2b2399d2bb12c10caadcc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087814209928990","authorIdStr":"4087814209928990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALF\">$Alfi Inc.(ALF)$</a>when u will fly up to the moon 😤😤","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALF\">$Alfi Inc.(ALF)$</a>when u will fly up to the moon 😤😤","text":"$Alfi Inc.(ALF)$when u will fly up to the moon 😤😤","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d8b2147481017cfa05d6ef3680df480","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170944466","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}