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Cklvin

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2021-09-03

Great

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2021-08-22

Good info!

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2021-08-19

Great stuff!

Tesla's Ad Spending May Go From Zero To Meaningful In 2025: How Will Margins Be Impacted?<blockquote>特斯拉的广告支出可能会在2025年从零变为有意义：利润率将受到怎样的影响？</blockquote>

2021-07-31

Good info

5 Best Dividend Stocks to Buy in August<blockquote>8月份最值得买入的5只股息股票</blockquote>

2021-07-25

Good potential

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2021-07-25

Wow

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2021-07-24

Good info

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2021-07-20

Good info

Worried about inflation? Here’s how investments did in the 1970s<blockquote>担心通货膨胀？以下是20世纪70年代的投资表现</blockquote>

2021-07-18

Vaccine politics

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2021-07-18

Good information

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2021-07-16

Wow

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2021-07-15

Stock to watch

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2021-07-15

Stock to watch

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2021-07-15

Useful info

Microsoft to offer cloud-based version of Windows operating system<blockquote>微软将提供基于云的Windows操作系统版本</blockquote>

2021-07-14

Useful tips

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2021-07-11

Good info

2 Growth Stocks for the Next 10 Years<blockquote>未来10年的2只成长型股票</blockquote>

2021-07-11

Good chance

Could The iPad Be Apple’s Best Performer in Fiscal Q3?<blockquote>iPad会成为苹果第三财季表现最好的产品吗？</blockquote>

2021-07-10

Great

The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>

2021-07-10

Great stuff

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2021-07-09

Good info

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info!","listText":"Good info!","text":"Good info!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832951384","repostId":"2161745179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831429220,"gmtCreate":1629341948660,"gmtModify":1633685533326,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great stuff!","listText":"Great stuff!","text":"Great stuff!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831429220","repostId":"2160758681","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2160758681","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1629341030,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2160758681?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-19 10:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla's Ad Spending May Go From Zero To Meaningful In 2025: How Will Margins Be Impacted?<blockquote>特斯拉的广告支出可能会在2025年从零变为有意义：利润率将受到怎样的影响？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2160758681","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Unlike traditional automakers, which aggressively spend on advertising, electric vehicle giant Tesla","content":"<p><img src=\"https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/ujl8oNRbSxqq5vMjYQ.nIA--/cT03NTthcHBpZD15dmlkZW9mZWVkczs-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/Benzinga/f8071bb441937f6c0fff91a10827e648\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Unlike traditional automakers, which aggressively spend on advertising, electric vehicle&nbsp;giant <b>Tesla, Inc. </b>(NASDAQ: TSLA) allocates virtually nothing for this avenue of promotion.</p><p><blockquote>与传统汽车制造商大举投入广告不同，电动汽车巨头<b>特斯拉公司。</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）几乎没有为这种促销途径分配任何资金。</blockquote></p><p> Loup Funds'&nbsp;<b>Gene Munster&nbsp;</b>delved into the prospects of Tesla eventually warming up to ads and the likely impact on its margins.</p><p><blockquote>卢普基金<b>吉恩·蒙斯特</b>深入研究了特斯拉最终转向广告的前景以及对其利润率可能产生的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Will Tesla Advertise? </b> Tesla&nbsp;CEO <b>Elon Musk</b> is not a big fan of traditional advertising but has hinted recently that he prefers informational advertising that can provide potential buyers a better knowledge of Tesla products, Munster said in a note.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉会打广告吗？</b>特斯拉首席执行官<b>埃隆·马斯克</b>蒙斯特在一份报告中表示，他不太喜欢传统广告，但最近暗示他更喜欢可以让潜在买家更好地了解特斯拉产品的信息广告。</blockquote></p><p> Teslas have sold themselves until now thanks to a tech-focused customer base that has formed a passionate community around the brand, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，特斯拉迄今为止一直在推销自己，这要归功于以技术为中心的客户群，他们围绕该品牌形成了一个充满激情的社区。</blockquote></p><p> Over time, as the uptake of EVs improves and more players enter the market, Tesla's market positioning will likely see dilution, the analyst turned tech venture capitalist said.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师出身的科技风险投资家表示，随着时间的推移，随着电动汽车普及程度的提高以及更多参与者进入市场，特斯拉的市场定位可能会被稀释。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our best guess is that competition becomes more measurable in the next couple years and that Tesla starts advertising meaningfully in 2025,\" Munster said.</p><p><blockquote>蒙斯特表示：“我们最好的猜测是，未来几年竞争将变得更加可衡量，特斯拉将在2025年开始有意义地投放广告。”</blockquote></p><p> The company will unlikely to turn to advertising ahead of the period, given supply has been the rare limiting factor for growth rather than demand, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，鉴于供应而不是需求一直是增长的罕见限制因素，该公司不太可能在此之前转向广告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Margin Impact From Ads: </b> Tesla's advertising will likely be a \"slow lift\" and end up below&nbsp;auto industry'sevels, Munster said.</p><p><blockquote><b>Ads对利润率的影响：</b>蒙斯特说，特斯拉的广告可能会“缓慢上升”，最终低于汽车行业的水平。</blockquote></p><p> As opposed to <b>General Motors Company </b>(NYSE: GM) and <b>Ford Motor Company </b>(NYSE: F), which spend about 2.5% of&nbsp;total revenue&nbsp;on advertising, Tesla will eventually spend about 1% or $1.5 billion of its revenue&nbsp;in 2025, the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>与<b>通用汽车公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：GM）和<b>福特汽车公司</b>该分析师表示，特斯拉（NYSE：F）的广告支出约占总收入的2.5%，最终将在2025年花费约1%或15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This, he said, would equate to about $400 per vehicle.</p><p><blockquote>他说，这相当于每辆车400美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Taking out $1.5 billion in advertising expenses out of operating income, operating margins would decrease from 15.3% to 14.3%, according to Munster's projections.</p><p><blockquote>根据明斯特的预测，从营业收入中扣除15亿美元的广告费用，营业利润率将从15.3%下降至14.3%。</blockquote></p><p> The margin impact, therefore, is measurable, yet moderate, he said. Increasing advertising spend will likely weigh on Tesla shares&nbsp;given that margins are a big piece of the Tesla story, the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>因此，他表示，对利润率的影响是可以衡量的，但幅度不大。这位分析师表示，鉴于利润率是特斯拉故事的重要组成部分，广告支出的增加可能会给特斯拉股价带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the end, we see Tesla's advertising advantage as durable for the short to medium term.\"</p><p><blockquote>“最终，我们认为特斯拉的广告优势在中短期内是持久的。”</blockquote></p><p> At last check, Tesla shares were up 3.5% at $688.99.</p><p><blockquote>截至上次检查，特斯拉股价上涨3.5%，至688.99美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla's Ad Spending May Go From Zero To Meaningful In 2025: How Will Margins Be Impacted?<blockquote>特斯拉的广告支出可能会在2025年从零变为有意义：利润率将受到怎样的影响？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla's Ad Spending May Go From Zero To Meaningful In 2025: How Will Margins Be Impacted?<blockquote>特斯拉的广告支出可能会在2025年从零变为有意义：利润率将受到怎样的影响？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-19 10:43</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><img src=\"https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/ujl8oNRbSxqq5vMjYQ.nIA--/cT03NTthcHBpZD15dmlkZW9mZWVkczs-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/Benzinga/f8071bb441937f6c0fff91a10827e648\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Unlike traditional automakers, which aggressively spend on advertising, electric vehicle&nbsp;giant <b>Tesla, Inc. </b>(NASDAQ: TSLA) allocates virtually nothing for this avenue of promotion.</p><p><blockquote>与传统汽车制造商大举投入广告不同，电动汽车巨头<b>特斯拉公司。</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）几乎没有为这种促销途径分配任何资金。</blockquote></p><p> Loup Funds'&nbsp;<b>Gene Munster&nbsp;</b>delved into the prospects of Tesla eventually warming up to ads and the likely impact on its margins.</p><p><blockquote>卢普基金<b>吉恩·蒙斯特</b>深入研究了特斯拉最终转向广告的前景以及对其利润率可能产生的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Will Tesla Advertise? </b> Tesla&nbsp;CEO <b>Elon Musk</b> is not a big fan of traditional advertising but has hinted recently that he prefers informational advertising that can provide potential buyers a better knowledge of Tesla products, Munster said in a note.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉会打广告吗？</b>特斯拉首席执行官<b>埃隆·马斯克</b>蒙斯特在一份报告中表示，他不太喜欢传统广告，但最近暗示他更喜欢可以让潜在买家更好地了解特斯拉产品的信息广告。</blockquote></p><p> Teslas have sold themselves until now thanks to a tech-focused customer base that has formed a passionate community around the brand, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，特斯拉迄今为止一直在推销自己，这要归功于以技术为中心的客户群，他们围绕该品牌形成了一个充满激情的社区。</blockquote></p><p> Over time, as the uptake of EVs improves and more players enter the market, Tesla's market positioning will likely see dilution, the analyst turned tech venture capitalist said.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师出身的科技风险投资家表示，随着时间的推移，随着电动汽车普及程度的提高以及更多参与者进入市场，特斯拉的市场定位可能会被稀释。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our best guess is that competition becomes more measurable in the next couple years and that Tesla starts advertising meaningfully in 2025,\" Munster said.</p><p><blockquote>蒙斯特表示：“我们最好的猜测是，未来几年竞争将变得更加可衡量，特斯拉将在2025年开始有意义地投放广告。”</blockquote></p><p> The company will unlikely to turn to advertising ahead of the period, given supply has been the rare limiting factor for growth rather than demand, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，鉴于供应而不是需求一直是增长的罕见限制因素，该公司不太可能在此之前转向广告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Margin Impact From Ads: </b> Tesla's advertising will likely be a \"slow lift\" and end up below&nbsp;auto industry'sevels, Munster said.</p><p><blockquote><b>Ads对利润率的影响：</b>蒙斯特说，特斯拉的广告可能会“缓慢上升”，最终低于汽车行业的水平。</blockquote></p><p> As opposed to <b>General Motors Company </b>(NYSE: GM) and <b>Ford Motor Company </b>(NYSE: F), which spend about 2.5% of&nbsp;total revenue&nbsp;on advertising, Tesla will eventually spend about 1% or $1.5 billion of its revenue&nbsp;in 2025, the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>与<b>通用汽车公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：GM）和<b>福特汽车公司</b>该分析师表示，特斯拉（NYSE：F）的广告支出约占总收入的2.5%，最终将在2025年花费约1%或15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This, he said, would equate to about $400 per vehicle.</p><p><blockquote>他说，这相当于每辆车400美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Taking out $1.5 billion in advertising expenses out of operating income, operating margins would decrease from 15.3% to 14.3%, according to Munster's projections.</p><p><blockquote>根据明斯特的预测，从营业收入中扣除15亿美元的广告费用，营业利润率将从15.3%下降至14.3%。</blockquote></p><p> The margin impact, therefore, is measurable, yet moderate, he said. Increasing advertising spend will likely weigh on Tesla shares&nbsp;given that margins are a big piece of the Tesla story, the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>因此，他表示，对利润率的影响是可以衡量的，但幅度不大。这位分析师表示，鉴于利润率是特斯拉故事的重要组成部分，广告支出的增加可能会给特斯拉股价带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the end, we see Tesla's advertising advantage as durable for the short to medium term.\"</p><p><blockquote>“最终，我们认为特斯拉的广告优势在中短期内是持久的。”</blockquote></p><p> At last check, Tesla shares were up 3.5% at $688.99.</p><p><blockquote>截至上次检查，特斯拉股价上涨3.5%，至688.99美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","F":"福特汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2160758681","content_text":"Unlike traditional automakers, which aggressively spend on advertising, electric vehicle giant Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) allocates virtually nothing for this avenue of promotion.\nLoup Funds' Gene Munster delved into the prospects of Tesla eventually warming up to ads and the likely impact on its margins.\nWill Tesla Advertise?  Tesla CEO Elon Musk is not a big fan of traditional advertising but has hinted recently that he prefers informational advertising that can provide potential buyers a better knowledge of Tesla products, Munster said in a note.\nTeslas have sold themselves until now thanks to a tech-focused customer base that has formed a passionate community around the brand, he said.\nOver time, as the uptake of EVs improves and more players enter the market, Tesla's market positioning will likely see dilution, the analyst turned tech venture capitalist said.\n\"Our best guess is that competition becomes more measurable in the next couple years and that Tesla starts advertising meaningfully in 2025,\" Munster said.\nThe company will unlikely to turn to advertising ahead of the period, given supply has been the rare limiting factor for growth rather than demand, he added.\nThe Margin Impact From Ads:  Tesla's advertising will likely be a \"slow lift\" and end up below auto industry'sevels, Munster said.\nAs opposed to General Motors Company (NYSE: GM) and Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F), which spend about 2.5% of total revenue on advertising, Tesla will eventually spend about 1% or $1.5 billion of its revenue in 2025, the analyst said.\nThis, he said, would equate to about $400 per vehicle.\nTaking out $1.5 billion in advertising expenses out of operating income, operating margins would decrease from 15.3% to 14.3%, according to Munster's projections.\nThe margin impact, therefore, is measurable, yet moderate, he said. Increasing advertising spend will likely weigh on Tesla shares given that margins are a big piece of the Tesla story, the analyst said.\n\"In the end, we see Tesla's advertising advantage as durable for the short to medium term.\"\nAt last check, Tesla shares were up 3.5% at $688.99.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1096,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802304341,"gmtCreate":1627714067483,"gmtModify":1633756852557,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info","listText":"Good info","text":"Good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802304341","repostId":"1173075225","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173075225","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627704977,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173075225?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 12:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Best Dividend Stocks to Buy in August<blockquote>8月份最值得买入的5只股息股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173075225","media":"US News","summary":"In late July, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid more than 700 points in a single session to log its worst single-day decline since October. Shares have since rebounded, and the majorstock market indexesall continue to flirt with new all-time highs, but it's worth noting that the big gains of the last year or two seem much harder to come by. Specifically, the Dow Jones is more or less flat from where it was at the start of May.That hints that gains could be tougher to score in the months ahea","content":"<p>In late July, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid more than 700 points in a single session to log its worst single-day decline since October. Shares have since rebounded, and the majorstock market indexesall continue to flirt with new all-time highs, but it's worth noting that the big gains of the last year or two seem much harder to come by. Specifically, the Dow Jones is more or less flat from where it was at the start of May.</p><p><blockquote>7月下旬，道琼斯工业平均指数单日下跌超过700点，创下10月以来最大单日跌幅。此后，股价出现反弹，主要股市指数均继续创下历史新高，但值得注意的是，过去一两年的大幅上涨似乎更难实现。具体来说，道琼斯指数与五月初的水平大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> That hints that gains could be tougher to score in the months ahead -- and could be a sign that income-oriented dividend stocks may provide not just stability but also a nice flow of cash to ensure your nest egg keeps growing.</p><p><blockquote>这暗示未来几个月可能更难获得收益，这可能表明以收入为导向的股息股票不仅可以提供稳定性，还可以提供良好的现金流，以确保您的储蓄持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> If you're interested individend stocksright now, here are five that look particularly strong at the start of August:</p><p><blockquote>如果您现在对个股感兴趣，这里有五只在八月初看起来特别强劲的股票：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>EPR Properties (ticker:EPR)</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NAVI\">Navient Corp</a>. (NAVI)</li>  <li>Pfizer Inc. (PFE)</li>  <li>Vedanta Ltd. (VEDL)</li>  <li>Vistra Corp. (VST)</li> </ul> [Sign up for stock news with our Invested newsletter.]</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>EPR Properties（股票代码：EPR）</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NAVI\">纳维特公司</a>.（船舶）</li><li>辉瑞公司(PFE)</li><li>韦丹塔有限公司（领导）</li><li>瑞致达公司(VST)</li></ul>[通过我们的投资时事通讯订阅股票新闻。]</blockquote></p><p> <b>EPR Properties (EPR)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EPR特性(EPR)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>5.7%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>5.7%</blockquote></p><p> EPR is a leading \"net lease\" real estate investment trust, meaning it demands clients pay for ancillary expenses like maintenance or insurance on the properties while it just cashes the rent check. It's not a shopping mall or residential real estate firm, however, and focuses on \"out of home leisure and recreation experiences,\" including movie theaters, beach resorts and ski slopes across more than 40 states. Obviously, with the overall easing of coronavirus restrictions, EPR has been seeing a huge recovery to its business compared with its performance last summer in the throes of lockdowns. Shares are up about 60% year to date, and EPR just resumed a 25 cent quarterly dividend in July. That bodes well both for future performance and future dividends.</p><p><blockquote>EPR是一家领先的“净租赁”房地产投资信托公司，这意味着它要求客户支付物业维护或保险等辅助费用，同时只兑现租金支票。然而，它不是一家购物中心或住宅房地产公司，专注于“户外休闲和娱乐体验”，包括遍布40多个州的电影院、海滩度假村和滑雪场。显然，随着冠状病毒限制的全面放松，与去年夏天在封锁阵痛中的表现相比，EPR的业务已经出现了巨大的复苏。今年迄今为止，股价已上涨约60%，EPR刚刚在7月份恢复了25美分的季度股息。这对于未来的业绩和未来的股息来说都是个好兆头。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Navient Corp. (NAVI)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳维特公司(NAVI)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>3.2%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>3.2%</blockquote></p><p> Student loan provider Navient was not exactly a popular stock a year or two ago amid political discussions ofstudent debtforgiveness, which were followed closely by fears of an economic downturn caused by coronavirus disruptions that would upset the payments of young graduates. The financial firm's quarterly dividend of 16 cents, however, went uninterrupted throughout the upheaval, and now NAVI stock is facing an uptrend considering that both the economic and political outlook have improved. Shares are up a huge 150% or so in the last 12 months, and it still offers a dividend that's more than twice the S&amp;P 500, even after that run.</p><p><blockquote>一两年前，在关于学生债务减免的政治讨论中，学生贷款提供商Navient并不是一只受欢迎的股票，紧随其后的是人们担心冠状病毒干扰会导致经济衰退，从而扰乱年轻毕业生的还款。然而，该金融公司16美分的季度股息在整个动荡期间没有中断，考虑到经济和政治前景都有所改善，现在NAVI股票面临上升趋势。过去12个月，股价大幅上涨了150%左右，即使在那次上涨之后，它的股息仍然是标普500的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pfizer Inc. (PFE)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞公司(PFE)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>3.6%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>3.6%</blockquote></p><p> Big Pharma mainstay Pfizer has outperformed the broader stock market slightly in 2021, continuing to ride high on its high-profile success developing an effective coronavirus vaccine. Given the risk posed by variants of the disease, along with a continued push to vaccinate worldwide now that many developed markets have gotten their shots, investors could continue to see a decent tailwind for PFE in the near term. On top of that, don't forget this $240 billion drugmaker remains <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the most dominanthealth care companieson the planet, and one of the most reliable dividend stocks out there with an amazing streak of 330 consecutive quarterly dividends paid to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>大型制药公司的中流砥柱辉瑞在2021年的表现略好于大盘，继续因其在开发有效的冠状病毒疫苗方面取得的高调成功而高居榜首。鉴于该疾病变种带来的风险，以及许多发达市场已经接种疫苗后全球范围内持续推动疫苗接种，投资者在短期内可能会继续看到PFE的良好推动力。最重要的是，不要忘记这家价值2400亿美元的制药商仍然<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>是全球最具主导地位的医疗保健公司之一，也是最可靠的股息股票之一，连续330个季度向股东支付股息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vedanta Ltd. (VEDL)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>韦丹塔有限公司（领导）</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>5.1%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>5.1%</blockquote></p><p> Vedanta is an India-based industrial conglomerate that operates a diversified natural resources business spanning oil and gas production as well as coal,silverandcoppermining. It also takes the energy sources it extracts and operates power generation facilities, operating an arm that is a major electric utility in the nation. Given that this stock is in an emerging market and not as large as other materials stocks at only about $14 billion, there's a bit more risk here than in other similar stocks. But with a generous dividend and rising revenues, thanks to the global economic recovery, this stock has been a top performer lately with year-to-date returns of more than 60% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Vedanta是一家总部位于印度的工业集团，经营多元化的自然资源业务，涵盖石油和天然气生产以及煤炭、白银和铜矿开采。它还获取其提取的能源并运营发电设施，运营着美国主要电力公司的分支机构。鉴于该股票位于新兴市场，规模不像其他材料股那么大，仅约140亿美元，因此这里的风险比其他类似股票要大一些。但得益于全球经济复苏，凭借丰厚的股息和不断增长的收入，该股最近表现最佳，2021年年初至今的回报率超过60%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vistra Corp. (VST)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>瑞致达公司(VST)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>3.1%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>3.1%</blockquote></p><p> A Texas-based utility company, Vistra is an electricity provider -- one of the most stable businesses on Wall Street. But VST also has modest growth potential as it operates in six of the seven wholesale markets where utilities compete for customers, thanks to deregulation. Right now, it has nearly 5 million residential, commercial and industrial connections in about 20 states. Additionally, it announced construction of a 1,600 megawatt-hour battery energy storage system in California, which has captivated investors. Shares have underperformed year to date in 2021, but are up about 30% from their spring lows -- and continue to offer a generous dividend on top of this short-term momentum.</p><p><blockquote>瑞致达是一家总部位于德克萨斯州的公用事业公司，是一家电力供应商，也是华尔街最稳定的企业之一。但伟仕佳杰也具有适度的增长潜力，因为由于放松管制，它在公用事业公司争夺客户的七个批发市场中的六个市场开展业务。目前，它在大约20个州拥有近500万个住宅、商业和工业连接。此外，它还宣布在加州建设一个1600兆瓦时的电池能量储存系统，这也吸引了投资者。2021年迄今为止，该股表现不佳，但较春季低点上涨了约30%，并且在这种短期势头的基础上继续提供丰厚的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1627705648360","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Best Dividend Stocks to Buy in August<blockquote>8月份最值得买入的5只股息股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Best Dividend Stocks to Buy in August<blockquote>8月份最值得买入的5只股息股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">US News</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 12:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In late July, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid more than 700 points in a single session to log its worst single-day decline since October. Shares have since rebounded, and the majorstock market indexesall continue to flirt with new all-time highs, but it's worth noting that the big gains of the last year or two seem much harder to come by. Specifically, the Dow Jones is more or less flat from where it was at the start of May.</p><p><blockquote>7月下旬，道琼斯工业平均指数单日下跌超过700点，创下10月以来最大单日跌幅。此后，股价出现反弹，主要股市指数均继续创下历史新高，但值得注意的是，过去一两年的大幅上涨似乎更难实现。具体来说，道琼斯指数与五月初的水平大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> That hints that gains could be tougher to score in the months ahead -- and could be a sign that income-oriented dividend stocks may provide not just stability but also a nice flow of cash to ensure your nest egg keeps growing.</p><p><blockquote>这暗示未来几个月可能更难获得收益，这可能表明以收入为导向的股息股票不仅可以提供稳定性，还可以提供良好的现金流，以确保您的储蓄持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> If you're interested individend stocksright now, here are five that look particularly strong at the start of August:</p><p><blockquote>如果您现在对个股感兴趣，这里有五只在八月初看起来特别强劲的股票：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>EPR Properties (ticker:EPR)</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NAVI\">Navient Corp</a>. (NAVI)</li>  <li>Pfizer Inc. (PFE)</li>  <li>Vedanta Ltd. (VEDL)</li>  <li>Vistra Corp. (VST)</li> </ul> [Sign up for stock news with our Invested newsletter.]</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>EPR Properties（股票代码：EPR）</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NAVI\">纳维特公司</a>.（船舶）</li><li>辉瑞公司(PFE)</li><li>韦丹塔有限公司（领导）</li><li>瑞致达公司(VST)</li></ul>[通过我们的投资时事通讯订阅股票新闻。]</blockquote></p><p> <b>EPR Properties (EPR)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EPR特性(EPR)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>5.7%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>5.7%</blockquote></p><p> EPR is a leading \"net lease\" real estate investment trust, meaning it demands clients pay for ancillary expenses like maintenance or insurance on the properties while it just cashes the rent check. It's not a shopping mall or residential real estate firm, however, and focuses on \"out of home leisure and recreation experiences,\" including movie theaters, beach resorts and ski slopes across more than 40 states. Obviously, with the overall easing of coronavirus restrictions, EPR has been seeing a huge recovery to its business compared with its performance last summer in the throes of lockdowns. Shares are up about 60% year to date, and EPR just resumed a 25 cent quarterly dividend in July. That bodes well both for future performance and future dividends.</p><p><blockquote>EPR是一家领先的“净租赁”房地产投资信托公司，这意味着它要求客户支付物业维护或保险等辅助费用，同时只兑现租金支票。然而，它不是一家购物中心或住宅房地产公司，专注于“户外休闲和娱乐体验”，包括遍布40多个州的电影院、海滩度假村和滑雪场。显然，随着冠状病毒限制的全面放松，与去年夏天在封锁阵痛中的表现相比，EPR的业务已经出现了巨大的复苏。今年迄今为止，股价已上涨约60%，EPR刚刚在7月份恢复了25美分的季度股息。这对于未来的业绩和未来的股息来说都是个好兆头。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Navient Corp. (NAVI)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳维特公司(NAVI)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>3.2%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>3.2%</blockquote></p><p> Student loan provider Navient was not exactly a popular stock a year or two ago amid political discussions ofstudent debtforgiveness, which were followed closely by fears of an economic downturn caused by coronavirus disruptions that would upset the payments of young graduates. The financial firm's quarterly dividend of 16 cents, however, went uninterrupted throughout the upheaval, and now NAVI stock is facing an uptrend considering that both the economic and political outlook have improved. Shares are up a huge 150% or so in the last 12 months, and it still offers a dividend that's more than twice the S&amp;P 500, even after that run.</p><p><blockquote>一两年前，在关于学生债务减免的政治讨论中，学生贷款提供商Navient并不是一只受欢迎的股票，紧随其后的是人们担心冠状病毒干扰会导致经济衰退，从而扰乱年轻毕业生的还款。然而，该金融公司16美分的季度股息在整个动荡期间没有中断，考虑到经济和政治前景都有所改善，现在NAVI股票面临上升趋势。过去12个月，股价大幅上涨了150%左右，即使在那次上涨之后，它的股息仍然是标普500的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pfizer Inc. (PFE)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞公司(PFE)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>3.6%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>3.6%</blockquote></p><p> Big Pharma mainstay Pfizer has outperformed the broader stock market slightly in 2021, continuing to ride high on its high-profile success developing an effective coronavirus vaccine. Given the risk posed by variants of the disease, along with a continued push to vaccinate worldwide now that many developed markets have gotten their shots, investors could continue to see a decent tailwind for PFE in the near term. On top of that, don't forget this $240 billion drugmaker remains <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the most dominanthealth care companieson the planet, and one of the most reliable dividend stocks out there with an amazing streak of 330 consecutive quarterly dividends paid to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>大型制药公司的中流砥柱辉瑞在2021年的表现略好于大盘，继续因其在开发有效的冠状病毒疫苗方面取得的高调成功而高居榜首。鉴于该疾病变种带来的风险，以及许多发达市场已经接种疫苗后全球范围内持续推动疫苗接种，投资者在短期内可能会继续看到PFE的良好推动力。最重要的是，不要忘记这家价值2400亿美元的制药商仍然<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>是全球最具主导地位的医疗保健公司之一，也是最可靠的股息股票之一，连续330个季度向股东支付股息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vedanta Ltd. (VEDL)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>韦丹塔有限公司（领导）</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>5.1%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>5.1%</blockquote></p><p> Vedanta is an India-based industrial conglomerate that operates a diversified natural resources business spanning oil and gas production as well as coal,silverandcoppermining. It also takes the energy sources it extracts and operates power generation facilities, operating an arm that is a major electric utility in the nation. Given that this stock is in an emerging market and not as large as other materials stocks at only about $14 billion, there's a bit more risk here than in other similar stocks. But with a generous dividend and rising revenues, thanks to the global economic recovery, this stock has been a top performer lately with year-to-date returns of more than 60% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Vedanta是一家总部位于印度的工业集团，经营多元化的自然资源业务，涵盖石油和天然气生产以及煤炭、白银和铜矿开采。它还获取其提取的能源并运营发电设施，运营着美国主要电力公司的分支机构。鉴于该股票位于新兴市场，规模不像其他材料股那么大，仅约140亿美元，因此这里的风险比其他类似股票要大一些。但得益于全球经济复苏，凭借丰厚的股息和不断增长的收入，该股最近表现最佳，2021年年初至今的回报率超过60%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vistra Corp. (VST)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>瑞致达公司(VST)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>3.1%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>3.1%</blockquote></p><p> A Texas-based utility company, Vistra is an electricity provider -- one of the most stable businesses on Wall Street. But VST also has modest growth potential as it operates in six of the seven wholesale markets where utilities compete for customers, thanks to deregulation. Right now, it has nearly 5 million residential, commercial and industrial connections in about 20 states. Additionally, it announced construction of a 1,600 megawatt-hour battery energy storage system in California, which has captivated investors. Shares have underperformed year to date in 2021, but are up about 30% from their spring lows -- and continue to offer a generous dividend on top of this short-term momentum.</p><p><blockquote>瑞致达是一家总部位于德克萨斯州的公用事业公司，是一家电力供应商，也是华尔街最稳定的企业之一。但伟仕佳杰也具有适度的增长潜力，因为由于放松管制，它在公用事业公司争夺客户的七个批发市场中的六个市场开展业务。目前，它在大约20个州拥有近500万个住宅、商业和工业连接。此外，它还宣布在加州建设一个1600兆瓦时的电池能量储存系统，这也吸引了投资者。2021年迄今为止，该股表现不佳，但较春季低点上涨了约30%，并且在这种短期势头的基础上继续提供丰厚的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/5-best-dividend-stocks-buy-175503089.html\">US News</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞","VST":"Vistra Energy Corp.","VEDL":"Vedanta  Limited","EPR":"EPR不动产","NAVI":"Navient Corp"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/5-best-dividend-stocks-buy-175503089.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173075225","content_text":"In late July, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid more than 700 points in a single session to log its worst single-day decline since October. Shares have since rebounded, and the majorstock market indexesall continue to flirt with new all-time highs, but it's worth noting that the big gains of the last year or two seem much harder to come by. Specifically, the Dow Jones is more or less flat from where it was at the start of May.\nThat hints that gains could be tougher to score in the months ahead -- and could be a sign that income-oriented dividend stocks may provide not just stability but also a nice flow of cash to ensure your nest egg keeps growing.\nIf you're interested individend stocksright now, here are five that look particularly strong at the start of August:\n\nEPR Properties (ticker:EPR)\nNavient Corp. (NAVI)\nPfizer Inc. (PFE)\nVedanta Ltd. (VEDL)\nVistra Corp. (VST)\n\n[Sign up for stock news with our Invested newsletter.]\nEPR Properties (EPR)\nDividend yield:5.7%\nEPR is a leading \"net lease\" real estate investment trust, meaning it demands clients pay for ancillary expenses like maintenance or insurance on the properties while it just cashes the rent check. It's not a shopping mall or residential real estate firm, however, and focuses on \"out of home leisure and recreation experiences,\" including movie theaters, beach resorts and ski slopes across more than 40 states. Obviously, with the overall easing of coronavirus restrictions, EPR has been seeing a huge recovery to its business compared with its performance last summer in the throes of lockdowns. Shares are up about 60% year to date, and EPR just resumed a 25 cent quarterly dividend in July. That bodes well both for future performance and future dividends.\nNavient Corp. (NAVI)\nDividend yield:3.2%\nStudent loan provider Navient was not exactly a popular stock a year or two ago amid political discussions ofstudent debtforgiveness, which were followed closely by fears of an economic downturn caused by coronavirus disruptions that would upset the payments of young graduates. The financial firm's quarterly dividend of 16 cents, however, went uninterrupted throughout the upheaval, and now NAVI stock is facing an uptrend considering that both the economic and political outlook have improved. Shares are up a huge 150% or so in the last 12 months, and it still offers a dividend that's more than twice the S&P 500, even after that run.\nPfizer Inc. (PFE)\nDividend yield:3.6%\nBig Pharma mainstay Pfizer has outperformed the broader stock market slightly in 2021, continuing to ride high on its high-profile success developing an effective coronavirus vaccine. Given the risk posed by variants of the disease, along with a continued push to vaccinate worldwide now that many developed markets have gotten their shots, investors could continue to see a decent tailwind for PFE in the near term. On top of that, don't forget this $240 billion drugmaker remains one of the most dominanthealth care companieson the planet, and one of the most reliable dividend stocks out there with an amazing streak of 330 consecutive quarterly dividends paid to shareholders.\nVedanta Ltd. (VEDL)\nDividend yield:5.1%\nVedanta is an India-based industrial conglomerate that operates a diversified natural resources business spanning oil and gas production as well as coal,silverandcoppermining. It also takes the energy sources it extracts and operates power generation facilities, operating an arm that is a major electric utility in the nation. Given that this stock is in an emerging market and not as large as other materials stocks at only about $14 billion, there's a bit more risk here than in other similar stocks. But with a generous dividend and rising revenues, thanks to the global economic recovery, this stock has been a top performer lately with year-to-date returns of more than 60% in 2021.\nVistra Corp. (VST)\nDividend yield:3.1%\nA Texas-based utility company, Vistra is an electricity provider -- one of the most stable businesses on Wall Street. But VST also has modest growth potential as it operates in six of the seven wholesale markets where utilities compete for customers, thanks to deregulation. Right now, it has nearly 5 million residential, commercial and industrial connections in about 20 states. Additionally, it announced construction of a 1,600 megawatt-hour battery energy storage system in California, which has captivated investors. Shares have underperformed year to date in 2021, but are up about 30% from their spring lows -- and continue to offer a generous dividend on top of this short-term momentum.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"NAVI":0.9,"VEDL":0.9,"BOTB.UK":0.9,"EPR":0.9,"VST":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177222611,"gmtCreate":1627226425433,"gmtModify":1633767043575,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good potential&nbsp;","listText":"Good potential&nbsp;","text":"Good potential","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177222611","repostId":"2153936352","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177226861,"gmtCreate":1627226302853,"gmtModify":1633767044287,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177226861","repostId":"1115106146","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174407078,"gmtCreate":1627119842594,"gmtModify":1633767798211,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info&nbsp;","listText":"Good info&nbsp;","text":"Good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174407078","repostId":"1109439356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171452688,"gmtCreate":1626759019445,"gmtModify":1633771284921,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info","listText":"Good info","text":"Good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171452688","repostId":"1129846769","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129846769","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626751789,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129846769?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Worried about inflation? Here’s how investments did in the 1970s<blockquote>担心通货膨胀？以下是20世纪70年代的投资表现</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129846769","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"In the 1990s movie The Shipping News, an old newspaperman explains to Kevin Spacey how to cover the ","content":"<p>In the 1990s movie The Shipping News, an old newspaperman explains to Kevin Spacey how to cover the news. If there is a storm visible anywhere, he explains, you write “Storm threatens the town,” even if the storm is nowhere near and is unlikely to hit. If—as expected—the storm never hits, you just write the follow up: “Town spared by storm.”</p><p><blockquote>在20世纪90年代的电影《航运新闻》中，一位老记者向凯文·史派西解释如何报道新闻。他解释说，如果任何地方都有可见的风暴，你就会写“风暴威胁着城镇”，即使风暴不在附近，也不太可能来袭。如果——正如预期的那样——风暴从未袭击，你只需写下后续内容：“城镇幸免于风暴。”</blockquote></p><p> Readers may be excused for thinking something similar about the latest stories about looming, threatening, surging, terrifying inflation. Yes, the inflation forecasts were surging months ago, and hit 8-year highs. Had they continued there would be grounds to worry. But they haven’t continued. On the contrary, they’ve been falling for two months. The bond market’s 5-year inflation forecast is now lower than it was in mid-March. The market sees five-year inflation running at around 2.6%. That’s higher than we’ve been used to for a decade, but it’s nothing to cause any significant alarm.</p><p><blockquote>读者可能会对最近关于迫在眉睫、威胁、飙升、可怕的通货膨胀的故事有类似的想法。是的，几个月前通胀预测飙升，并创下8年来的新高。如果他们继续下去，就有理由担心。但他们没有继续。相反，他们已经下跌了两个月。债券市场的5年通胀预期现在低于3月中旬。市场预计五年通胀率约为2.6%。这比我们十年来所习惯的要高，但这并没有引起任何重大恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> That can change, of course. Maybe it will. We’ll see.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这种情况可能会改变。也许会。我们走着瞧。</blockquote></p><p> But with all this talk I got to thinking about the obvious question. If serious inflation really does hit, what can we do about it? How can we protect our investments?</p><p><blockquote>但是通过这些谈话，我开始思考一个显而易见的问题。如果严重的通货膨胀真的来袭，我们能做些什么呢？我们如何保护我们的投资？</blockquote></p><p> That’s an especially key question for today’s retirees and those expecting to retire soon. When we’re older we’re generally advised to keep most of our money in more “conservative” investments, meaning things like bonds, that involve less risk. Someone in their 20s or 30s may not worry unduly if their retirement savings plunge 30% in a market rout or an inflationary spiral. For someone in their 60s, let alone older, that can become a major financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>对于今天的退休人员和那些预计很快退休的人来说，这是一个特别关键的问题。当我们长大后，通常建议我们将大部分资金投资于更“保守”的投资，即债券等风险较小的投资。如果20多岁或30多岁的人的退休储蓄在市场暴跌或通胀螺旋中暴跌30%，他们可能不会过度担心。对于60多岁的人来说，更不用说老年人了，这可能会成为一场重大的财务危机。</blockquote></p><p> So I went back and dug up the information from the last, infamous inflationary spiral in the 1970s, when consumer price inflation often topped 10% a year. The Greek philosopher Heraclitus pointed out that no one ever walks through the same stream twice, because the second time it’s not the same stream, and we’re not the same person. Everything changes. There is no guarantee the next inflationary boom, even if it happens, will look anything like the last one — any more than we should assume that it will be accompanied by outbreaks of disco music and flared jeans.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我回去挖掘了20世纪70年代上一次臭名昭著的通胀螺旋的信息，当时消费者价格通胀经常超过每年10%。希腊哲学家赫拉克利特指出，没有人会两次走过同一条小溪，因为第二次就不是同一条小溪了，我们也不是同一个人了。一切都变了。不能保证下一次通胀繁荣，即使发生了，看起来也会像上一次一样——就像我们不应该假设它会伴随着迪斯科音乐和喇叭牛仔裤的爆发一样。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless the chart above shows the total returns, after adjusting for inflation, of various asset classes from December 1971 to December 1981. (I used those dates because the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts, or NAREIT, starts their data series then.) The data on energy stocks came from data compiled by professor Ken French at Dartmouth College’s Tuck School of Business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，上图显示了1971年12月至1981年12月各种资产类别经通胀调整后的总回报。（我使用这些日期是因为全国房地产投资信托协会（NAREIT）在那时开始他们的数据系列。）能源股的数据来自达特茅斯学院塔克商学院肯·弗伦奇教授汇编的数据。</blockquote></p><p> This is what happened to your purchasing power if you invested in these assets and hung on for 10 years. (I’ve excluded gold, which is a different story.)</p><p><blockquote>如果你投资这些资产并坚持10年，你的购买力就会发生这种情况。（我已经排除了黄金，这是一个不同的故事。）</blockquote></p><p> The key standout is that you really didn’t want to own Treasury bonds. The near 40% loss of purchasing power over 10 years is somewhat notional—it is derived from the compound annual returns on 10 Year Treasurys compiled by New York University’s Stern School of Business, divided by the consumer-price index—but tells a story nonetheless. (In Great Britain, where inflation was even worse, government bonds during the 1970s became known as “certificates of confiscation.” Ouch.)</p><p><blockquote>关键的突出之处在于，你真的不想拥有国债。10年内购买力损失近40%在某种程度上是名义上的——它来自纽约大学斯特恩商学院编制的10年期美国国债的复合年回报率除以消费者价格指数——但仍然讲述了一个故事。（在通货膨胀更严重的英国，20世纪70年代的政府债券被称为“没收证书”。哎哟。）</blockquote></p><p> Holding them cost you money. Lots of it.</p><p><blockquote>拿着它们要花钱。很多。</blockquote></p><p> You could argue that the danger today is even greater, simply because the yields on long-term Treasury bonds are so low. Federal Reserve quantitative easing, bond buying, and zero interest-rate policies have left Treasury yields at their lowest on record—which means the turns would be a disaster if inflation reared its head.</p><p><blockquote>你可能会说，今天的危险甚至更大，仅仅是因为长期国债的收益率如此之低。美联储的量化宽松、债券购买和零利率政策使美国国债收益率处于有记录以来的最低水平——这意味着如果通胀抬头，这将是一场灾难。</blockquote></p><p> Corporate bonds and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;were also terrible investments. It’s worth remembering that these are real term losses over a decade, which means investors didn’t just lose a lot of money—they also lost a lot of time.</p><p><blockquote>公司债券和标普500也是糟糕的投资。值得记住的是，这些是十年来的实际定期损失，这意味着投资者不仅损失了很多钱，还损失了很多时间。</blockquote></p><p> Utility stocks weren’t great, but they held up better. And Treasury bills—short-term paper—did better still. But once again you were going backward when you needed to be going forwards.</p><p><blockquote>公用事业股表现不佳，但表现较好。短期票据——国库券——表现更好。但是当你需要前进的时候，你又一次倒退了。</blockquote></p><p> No one who remembers the 1970s will be surprised that energy companies boomed. Less well-remembered, maybe, is that REITs also did pretty well. These numbers, incidentally, represented property-owning REITs and excluded mortgage REITs, which own loans.</p><p><blockquote>任何记得20世纪70年代的人都不会对能源公司的蓬勃发展感到惊讶。也许不太为人所知的是，房地产投资信托基金的表现也相当不错。顺便说一句，这些数字代表拥有财产的房地产投资信托基金，不包括拥有贷款的抵押房地产投资信托基金。</blockquote></p><p> But there are two caveats to this. The first is that of course energy stocks did well, because a key driver of inflation in the 1970s was the rise of OPEC and two oil embargoes it imposed on the West for political reasons. Cue Heraclitus. There is no particular reason to assume that the next inflationary surge will be the same.</p><p><blockquote>但对此有两个警告。首先，能源股当然表现良好，因为20世纪70年代通胀的一个关键驱动因素是欧佩克的崛起及其出于政治原因对西方实施的两次石油禁运。提示赫拉克利特。没有特别的理由假设下一次通胀飙升会是一样的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The second caveat is that although REITs ended up doing well, they were volatile along the way. In particular, REIT prices collapsed in the OPEC-driven recession of 1972-4. And according to FactSet, U.S. REITs today already look pretty expensive on some measures. For instance it reckons that the forecast dividend yield on the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (a reasonable benchmark for the industry) is just 2.9% — by far the lowest since it was launched in 2004. Looking through NAREIT data, I can’t find a moment since 1971 when the overall yield on REITs was this low. During the real estate bubble in 2007, incidentally, the yield bottomed out no lower than 3.6%</p><p><blockquote>第二个警告是，尽管房地产投资信托基金最终表现良好，但一路上波动较大。特别是，房地产投资信托基金价格在1972-1974年欧佩克引发的经济衰退中暴跌。根据FactSet的数据，从某些指标来看，如今的美国房地产投资信托基金看起来已经相当昂贵。例如，它估计Vanguard Real Estate ETF（该行业的合理基准）的预测股息收益率仅为2.9%，是自2004年推出以来的最低水平。翻阅NAREIT数据，自1971年以来，我找不到REITs整体收益率如此之低的时刻。2007年房地产泡沫期间，顺带一提，收益率见底不低于3.6%</blockquote></p><p> So it may be that REITs offer less inflation protection today than we would hope.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如今房地产投资信托基金提供的通胀保护可能比我们希望的要少。</blockquote></p><p> One key difference in the 1970s is that there were no “inflation-protected” Treasury bonds to keep investors protected. So-called TIPS are in theory almost the perfect investment for retirees. They are issued by the U.S. government and their coupons are safe against default. Meanwhile their coupons effectively adjust to reflect changes in consumer prices.</p><p><blockquote>20世纪70年代的一个关键区别是，没有“通胀保值”国债来保护投资者。理论上，所谓的小费几乎是退休人员的完美投资。它们由美国政府发行，其优惠券不会违约。与此同时，他们的优惠券有效地调整以反映消费价格的变化。</blockquote></p><p> The problem today is that TIPS—like almost everything else in the bond market—look incredibly expensive. Most TIPS already lock in an actual loss of purchasing power if you buy them today. For example if you buy 5 year TIPS bonds and hold them for 5 years you’ll end up losing 9% of your purchasing power. And 30-year TIPS bonds offer the same 9% loss, though stretched out over 30 years.</p><p><blockquote>今天的问题是，TIPS——就像债券市场上的几乎所有东西一样——看起来非常昂贵。如果你今天购买，大多数建议已经锁定了购买力的实际损失。例如，如果你购买5年期TIPS债券并持有5年，你最终会损失9%的购买力。30年期TIPS债券的损失同样为9%，尽管期限延长了30年。</blockquote></p><p> It’s not very compelling. And it shows the risks that the government’s policy responses have created for those in retirement and near it.</p><p><blockquote>这不是很引人注目。它还显示了政府的政策应对给退休和接近退休年龄的人带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Worried about inflation? Here’s how investments did in the 1970s<blockquote>担心通货膨胀？以下是20世纪70年代的投资表现</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWorried about inflation? Here’s how investments did in the 1970s<blockquote>担心通货膨胀？以下是20世纪70年代的投资表现</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-20 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In the 1990s movie The Shipping News, an old newspaperman explains to Kevin Spacey how to cover the news. If there is a storm visible anywhere, he explains, you write “Storm threatens the town,” even if the storm is nowhere near and is unlikely to hit. If—as expected—the storm never hits, you just write the follow up: “Town spared by storm.”</p><p><blockquote>在20世纪90年代的电影《航运新闻》中，一位老记者向凯文·史派西解释如何报道新闻。他解释说，如果任何地方都有可见的风暴，你就会写“风暴威胁着城镇”，即使风暴不在附近，也不太可能来袭。如果——正如预期的那样——风暴从未袭击，你只需写下后续内容：“城镇幸免于风暴。”</blockquote></p><p> Readers may be excused for thinking something similar about the latest stories about looming, threatening, surging, terrifying inflation. Yes, the inflation forecasts were surging months ago, and hit 8-year highs. Had they continued there would be grounds to worry. But they haven’t continued. On the contrary, they’ve been falling for two months. The bond market’s 5-year inflation forecast is now lower than it was in mid-March. The market sees five-year inflation running at around 2.6%. That’s higher than we’ve been used to for a decade, but it’s nothing to cause any significant alarm.</p><p><blockquote>读者可能会对最近关于迫在眉睫、威胁、飙升、可怕的通货膨胀的故事有类似的想法。是的，几个月前通胀预测飙升，并创下8年来的新高。如果他们继续下去，就有理由担心。但他们没有继续。相反，他们已经下跌了两个月。债券市场的5年通胀预期现在低于3月中旬。市场预计五年通胀率约为2.6%。这比我们十年来所习惯的要高，但这并没有引起任何重大恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> That can change, of course. Maybe it will. We’ll see.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这种情况可能会改变。也许会。我们走着瞧。</blockquote></p><p> But with all this talk I got to thinking about the obvious question. If serious inflation really does hit, what can we do about it? How can we protect our investments?</p><p><blockquote>但是通过这些谈话，我开始思考一个显而易见的问题。如果严重的通货膨胀真的来袭，我们能做些什么呢？我们如何保护我们的投资？</blockquote></p><p> That’s an especially key question for today’s retirees and those expecting to retire soon. When we’re older we’re generally advised to keep most of our money in more “conservative” investments, meaning things like bonds, that involve less risk. Someone in their 20s or 30s may not worry unduly if their retirement savings plunge 30% in a market rout or an inflationary spiral. For someone in their 60s, let alone older, that can become a major financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>对于今天的退休人员和那些预计很快退休的人来说，这是一个特别关键的问题。当我们长大后，通常建议我们将大部分资金投资于更“保守”的投资，即债券等风险较小的投资。如果20多岁或30多岁的人的退休储蓄在市场暴跌或通胀螺旋中暴跌30%，他们可能不会过度担心。对于60多岁的人来说，更不用说老年人了，这可能会成为一场重大的财务危机。</blockquote></p><p> So I went back and dug up the information from the last, infamous inflationary spiral in the 1970s, when consumer price inflation often topped 10% a year. The Greek philosopher Heraclitus pointed out that no one ever walks through the same stream twice, because the second time it’s not the same stream, and we’re not the same person. Everything changes. There is no guarantee the next inflationary boom, even if it happens, will look anything like the last one — any more than we should assume that it will be accompanied by outbreaks of disco music and flared jeans.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我回去挖掘了20世纪70年代上一次臭名昭著的通胀螺旋的信息，当时消费者价格通胀经常超过每年10%。希腊哲学家赫拉克利特指出，没有人会两次走过同一条小溪，因为第二次就不是同一条小溪了，我们也不是同一个人了。一切都变了。不能保证下一次通胀繁荣，即使发生了，看起来也会像上一次一样——就像我们不应该假设它会伴随着迪斯科音乐和喇叭牛仔裤的爆发一样。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless the chart above shows the total returns, after adjusting for inflation, of various asset classes from December 1971 to December 1981. (I used those dates because the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts, or NAREIT, starts their data series then.) The data on energy stocks came from data compiled by professor Ken French at Dartmouth College’s Tuck School of Business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，上图显示了1971年12月至1981年12月各种资产类别经通胀调整后的总回报。（我使用这些日期是因为全国房地产投资信托协会（NAREIT）在那时开始他们的数据系列。）能源股的数据来自达特茅斯学院塔克商学院肯·弗伦奇教授汇编的数据。</blockquote></p><p> This is what happened to your purchasing power if you invested in these assets and hung on for 10 years. (I’ve excluded gold, which is a different story.)</p><p><blockquote>如果你投资这些资产并坚持10年，你的购买力就会发生这种情况。（我已经排除了黄金，这是一个不同的故事。）</blockquote></p><p> The key standout is that you really didn’t want to own Treasury bonds. The near 40% loss of purchasing power over 10 years is somewhat notional—it is derived from the compound annual returns on 10 Year Treasurys compiled by New York University’s Stern School of Business, divided by the consumer-price index—but tells a story nonetheless. (In Great Britain, where inflation was even worse, government bonds during the 1970s became known as “certificates of confiscation.” Ouch.)</p><p><blockquote>关键的突出之处在于，你真的不想拥有国债。10年内购买力损失近40%在某种程度上是名义上的——它来自纽约大学斯特恩商学院编制的10年期美国国债的复合年回报率除以消费者价格指数——但仍然讲述了一个故事。（在通货膨胀更严重的英国，20世纪70年代的政府债券被称为“没收证书”。哎哟。）</blockquote></p><p> Holding them cost you money. Lots of it.</p><p><blockquote>拿着它们要花钱。很多。</blockquote></p><p> You could argue that the danger today is even greater, simply because the yields on long-term Treasury bonds are so low. Federal Reserve quantitative easing, bond buying, and zero interest-rate policies have left Treasury yields at their lowest on record—which means the turns would be a disaster if inflation reared its head.</p><p><blockquote>你可能会说，今天的危险甚至更大，仅仅是因为长期国债的收益率如此之低。美联储的量化宽松、债券购买和零利率政策使美国国债收益率处于有记录以来的最低水平——这意味着如果通胀抬头，这将是一场灾难。</blockquote></p><p> Corporate bonds and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;were also terrible investments. It’s worth remembering that these are real term losses over a decade, which means investors didn’t just lose a lot of money—they also lost a lot of time.</p><p><blockquote>公司债券和标普500也是糟糕的投资。值得记住的是，这些是十年来的实际定期损失，这意味着投资者不仅损失了很多钱，还损失了很多时间。</blockquote></p><p> Utility stocks weren’t great, but they held up better. And Treasury bills—short-term paper—did better still. But once again you were going backward when you needed to be going forwards.</p><p><blockquote>公用事业股表现不佳，但表现较好。短期票据——国库券——表现更好。但是当你需要前进的时候，你又一次倒退了。</blockquote></p><p> No one who remembers the 1970s will be surprised that energy companies boomed. Less well-remembered, maybe, is that REITs also did pretty well. These numbers, incidentally, represented property-owning REITs and excluded mortgage REITs, which own loans.</p><p><blockquote>任何记得20世纪70年代的人都不会对能源公司的蓬勃发展感到惊讶。也许不太为人所知的是，房地产投资信托基金的表现也相当不错。顺便说一句，这些数字代表拥有财产的房地产投资信托基金，不包括拥有贷款的抵押房地产投资信托基金。</blockquote></p><p> But there are two caveats to this. The first is that of course energy stocks did well, because a key driver of inflation in the 1970s was the rise of OPEC and two oil embargoes it imposed on the West for political reasons. Cue Heraclitus. There is no particular reason to assume that the next inflationary surge will be the same.</p><p><blockquote>但对此有两个警告。首先，能源股当然表现良好，因为20世纪70年代通胀的一个关键驱动因素是欧佩克的崛起及其出于政治原因对西方实施的两次石油禁运。提示赫拉克利特。没有特别的理由假设下一次通胀飙升会是一样的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The second caveat is that although REITs ended up doing well, they were volatile along the way. In particular, REIT prices collapsed in the OPEC-driven recession of 1972-4. And according to FactSet, U.S. REITs today already look pretty expensive on some measures. For instance it reckons that the forecast dividend yield on the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (a reasonable benchmark for the industry) is just 2.9% — by far the lowest since it was launched in 2004. Looking through NAREIT data, I can’t find a moment since 1971 when the overall yield on REITs was this low. During the real estate bubble in 2007, incidentally, the yield bottomed out no lower than 3.6%</p><p><blockquote>第二个警告是，尽管房地产投资信托基金最终表现良好，但一路上波动较大。特别是，房地产投资信托基金价格在1972-1974年欧佩克引发的经济衰退中暴跌。根据FactSet的数据，从某些指标来看，如今的美国房地产投资信托基金看起来已经相当昂贵。例如，它估计Vanguard Real Estate ETF（该行业的合理基准）的预测股息收益率仅为2.9%，是自2004年推出以来的最低水平。翻阅NAREIT数据，自1971年以来，我找不到REITs整体收益率如此之低的时刻。2007年房地产泡沫期间，顺带一提，收益率见底不低于3.6%</blockquote></p><p> So it may be that REITs offer less inflation protection today than we would hope.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如今房地产投资信托基金提供的通胀保护可能比我们希望的要少。</blockquote></p><p> One key difference in the 1970s is that there were no “inflation-protected” Treasury bonds to keep investors protected. So-called TIPS are in theory almost the perfect investment for retirees. They are issued by the U.S. government and their coupons are safe against default. Meanwhile their coupons effectively adjust to reflect changes in consumer prices.</p><p><blockquote>20世纪70年代的一个关键区别是，没有“通胀保值”国债来保护投资者。理论上，所谓的小费几乎是退休人员的完美投资。它们由美国政府发行，其优惠券不会违约。与此同时，他们的优惠券有效地调整以反映消费价格的变化。</blockquote></p><p> The problem today is that TIPS—like almost everything else in the bond market—look incredibly expensive. Most TIPS already lock in an actual loss of purchasing power if you buy them today. For example if you buy 5 year TIPS bonds and hold them for 5 years you’ll end up losing 9% of your purchasing power. And 30-year TIPS bonds offer the same 9% loss, though stretched out over 30 years.</p><p><blockquote>今天的问题是，TIPS——就像债券市场上的几乎所有东西一样——看起来非常昂贵。如果你今天购买，大多数建议已经锁定了购买力的实际损失。例如，如果你购买5年期TIPS债券并持有5年，你最终会损失9%的购买力。30年期TIPS债券的损失同样为9%，尽管期限延长了30年。</blockquote></p><p> It’s not very compelling. And it shows the risks that the government’s policy responses have created for those in retirement and near it.</p><p><blockquote>这不是很引人注目。它还显示了政府的政策应对给退休和接近退休年龄的人带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/worried-about-inflation-heres-how-investments-did-in-the-1970s-11626658251?siteid=yhoof2\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","XOM":"埃克森美孚"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/worried-about-inflation-heres-how-investments-did-in-the-1970s-11626658251?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1129846769","content_text":"In the 1990s movie The Shipping News, an old newspaperman explains to Kevin Spacey how to cover the news. If there is a storm visible anywhere, he explains, you write “Storm threatens the town,” even if the storm is nowhere near and is unlikely to hit. If—as expected—the storm never hits, you just write the follow up: “Town spared by storm.”\nReaders may be excused for thinking something similar about the latest stories about looming, threatening, surging, terrifying inflation. Yes, the inflation forecasts were surging months ago, and hit 8-year highs. Had they continued there would be grounds to worry. But they haven’t continued. On the contrary, they’ve been falling for two months. The bond market’s 5-year inflation forecast is now lower than it was in mid-March. The market sees five-year inflation running at around 2.6%. That’s higher than we’ve been used to for a decade, but it’s nothing to cause any significant alarm.\nThat can change, of course. Maybe it will. We’ll see.\nBut with all this talk I got to thinking about the obvious question. If serious inflation really does hit, what can we do about it? How can we protect our investments?\nThat’s an especially key question for today’s retirees and those expecting to retire soon. When we’re older we’re generally advised to keep most of our money in more “conservative” investments, meaning things like bonds, that involve less risk. Someone in their 20s or 30s may not worry unduly if their retirement savings plunge 30% in a market rout or an inflationary spiral. For someone in their 60s, let alone older, that can become a major financial crisis.\nSo I went back and dug up the information from the last, infamous inflationary spiral in the 1970s, when consumer price inflation often topped 10% a year. The Greek philosopher Heraclitus pointed out that no one ever walks through the same stream twice, because the second time it’s not the same stream, and we’re not the same person. Everything changes. There is no guarantee the next inflationary boom, even if it happens, will look anything like the last one — any more than we should assume that it will be accompanied by outbreaks of disco music and flared jeans.\nNonetheless the chart above shows the total returns, after adjusting for inflation, of various asset classes from December 1971 to December 1981. (I used those dates because the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts, or NAREIT, starts their data series then.) The data on energy stocks came from data compiled by professor Ken French at Dartmouth College’s Tuck School of Business.\nThis is what happened to your purchasing power if you invested in these assets and hung on for 10 years. (I’ve excluded gold, which is a different story.)\nThe key standout is that you really didn’t want to own Treasury bonds. The near 40% loss of purchasing power over 10 years is somewhat notional—it is derived from the compound annual returns on 10 Year Treasurys compiled by New York University’s Stern School of Business, divided by the consumer-price index—but tells a story nonetheless. (In Great Britain, where inflation was even worse, government bonds during the 1970s became known as “certificates of confiscation.” Ouch.)\nHolding them cost you money. Lots of it.\nYou could argue that the danger today is even greater, simply because the yields on long-term Treasury bonds are so low. Federal Reserve quantitative easing, bond buying, and zero interest-rate policies have left Treasury yields at their lowest on record—which means the turns would be a disaster if inflation reared its head.\nCorporate bonds and the S&P 500 were also terrible investments. It’s worth remembering that these are real term losses over a decade, which means investors didn’t just lose a lot of money—they also lost a lot of time.\nUtility stocks weren’t great, but they held up better. And Treasury bills—short-term paper—did better still. But once again you were going backward when you needed to be going forwards.\nNo one who remembers the 1970s will be surprised that energy companies boomed. Less well-remembered, maybe, is that REITs also did pretty well. These numbers, incidentally, represented property-owning REITs and excluded mortgage REITs, which own loans.\nBut there are two caveats to this. The first is that of course energy stocks did well, because a key driver of inflation in the 1970s was the rise of OPEC and two oil embargoes it imposed on the West for political reasons. Cue Heraclitus. There is no particular reason to assume that the next inflationary surge will be the same.\nThe second caveat is that although REITs ended up doing well, they were volatile along the way. In particular, REIT prices collapsed in the OPEC-driven recession of 1972-4. And according to FactSet, U.S. REITs today already look pretty expensive on some measures. For instance it reckons that the forecast dividend yield on the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (a reasonable benchmark for the industry) is just 2.9% — by far the lowest since it was launched in 2004. Looking through NAREIT data, I can’t find a moment since 1971 when the overall yield on REITs was this low. During the real estate bubble in 2007, incidentally, the yield bottomed out no lower than 3.6%\nSo it may be that REITs offer less inflation protection today than we would hope.\nOne key difference in the 1970s is that there were no “inflation-protected” Treasury bonds to keep investors protected. So-called TIPS are in theory almost the perfect investment for retirees. They are issued by the U.S. government and their coupons are safe against default. Meanwhile their coupons effectively adjust to reflect changes in consumer prices.\nThe problem today is that TIPS—like almost everything else in the bond market—look incredibly expensive. Most TIPS already lock in an actual loss of purchasing power if you buy them today. For example if you buy 5 year TIPS bonds and hold them for 5 years you’ll end up losing 9% of your purchasing power. And 30-year TIPS bonds offer the same 9% loss, though stretched out over 30 years.\nIt’s not very compelling. And it shows the risks that the government’s policy responses have created for those in retirement and near it.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"XOM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1692,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173970414,"gmtCreate":1626608672638,"gmtModify":1633925520671,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Vaccine politics","listText":"Vaccine politics","text":"Vaccine 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information","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173970044","repostId":"2152899486","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1587,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170547406,"gmtCreate":1626444118705,"gmtModify":1633926691188,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170547406","repostId":"2151502530","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":781,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147374045,"gmtCreate":1626338368687,"gmtModify":1633927731201,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stock to watch","listText":"Stock to watch","text":"Stock to watch","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147374045","repostId":"2151544104","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":350,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144638505,"gmtCreate":1626278505807,"gmtModify":1633928295022,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stock to watch","listText":"Stock to watch","text":"Stock to watch","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144638505","repostId":"1110985217","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":894,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144633539,"gmtCreate":1626278412221,"gmtModify":1633928296035,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Useful info","listText":"Useful info","text":"Useful info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144633539","repostId":"1103407312","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103407312","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626275222,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103407312?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-14 23:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft to offer cloud-based version of Windows operating system<blockquote>微软将提供基于云的Windows操作系统版本</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103407312","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Microsoft Corp on Wednesday said it will offer its Windows operating system as a cloud-b","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Microsoft Corp on Wednesday said it will offer its Windows operating system as a cloud-based service, aiming to make it easier to access business apps that need Windows from a broader range of devices.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-微软公司周三表示，将提供其Windows操作系统作为基于云的服务，旨在使从更广泛的设备更容易访问需要Windows的商业应用程序。</blockquote></p><p> Windows 365, as the service will be called, will roll out on Aug. 2 and will work somewhat like buying a new Windows PC: A business or school will pick how much computing power, memory and storage they would like for an the new machine.</p><p><blockquote>这项服务将被称为Windows 365，将于8月2日推出，其工作方式有点像购买一台新的Windows PC：企业或学校将选择他们希望为新机器提供多少计算能力、内存和存储空间。</blockquote></p><p> But instead of waiting for a physical machine to arrive in the mail, the employee or student will access the operating system in the cloud via an existing PC, a Mac, iPhone, Android phone or Chromebook, as long as it has a web browser compatible with HTML 5, a widely used internet standard.</p><p><blockquote>但是，员工或学生将通过现有的PC、Mac、iPhone、Android手机或Chromebook访问云中的操作系统，而不是等待物理机器到达邮件，只要它有一个与广泛使用的互联网标准HTML 5兼容的网络浏览器。</blockquote></p><p> The cloud-based version was created in response to feedback from clients who wanted employees and students to have quicker and easier PC access regardless of physical location.</p><p><blockquote>基于云的版本是为了响应客户的反馈而创建的，这些客户希望员工和学生无论身在何处都能更快、更轻松地访问PC。</blockquote></p><p> \"We define that shift to hybrid work as really being flexibility in how, when and where you work. That's really the pattern that we're seeing develop all across the world as people are starting to experiment,\" said Jared Spataro, corporate vice president for Microsoft 365 software.</p><p><blockquote>公司副总裁Jared Spataro表示：“我们将向混合工作的转变定义为工作方式、时间和地点的真正灵活性。随着人们开始尝试，这确实是我们在世界各地看到的发展模式。”微软365软件总裁。</blockquote></p><p> The service is akin to so-called \"virtual\" and \"remote\" desktops that have been around for decades but which require a sophisticated IT department to set up and manage. Those costs can also be unpredictable because they are based on how much the desktops are used.</p><p><blockquote>这项服务类似于所谓的“虚拟”和“远程”桌面，这些桌面已经存在了几十年，但需要复杂的IT部门来设置和管理。这些成本也可能是不可预测的，因为它们是基于桌面的使用量。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft hopes the Windows 365 technology will be easy enough for small-business owners or smaller schools to introduce without a large IT department, with a predictable monthly bill based on the size of each virtual computer.</p><p><blockquote>微软希望Windows 365技术对于小企业主或小型学校来说足够容易引入，而无需大型IT部门，并根据每台虚拟计算机的大小提供可预测的每月账单。</blockquote></p><p> Andrew Hewitt, an analyst at Forrester Research, said the move would help Microsoft defend its dominant market share in the face of strong competition from operating systems from Apple Inc and Alphabet's Google that are easier for schools and businesses to manage.</p><p><blockquote>Forrester Research分析师Andrew Hewitt表示，面对来自苹果公司和Alphabet谷歌操作系统的激烈竞争，此举将有助于微软捍卫其主导市场份额，这些操作系统更易于学校和企业管理。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft to offer cloud-based version of Windows operating system<blockquote>微软将提供基于云的Windows操作系统版本</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft to offer cloud-based version of Windows operating system<blockquote>微软将提供基于云的Windows操作系统版本</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-14 23:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Microsoft Corp on Wednesday said it will offer its Windows operating system as a cloud-based service, aiming to make it easier to access business apps that need Windows from a broader range of devices.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-微软公司周三表示，将提供其Windows操作系统作为基于云的服务，旨在使从更广泛的设备更容易访问需要Windows的商业应用程序。</blockquote></p><p> Windows 365, as the service will be called, will roll out on Aug. 2 and will work somewhat like buying a new Windows PC: A business or school will pick how much computing power, memory and storage they would like for an the new machine.</p><p><blockquote>这项服务将被称为Windows 365，将于8月2日推出，其工作方式有点像购买一台新的Windows PC：企业或学校将选择他们希望为新机器提供多少计算能力、内存和存储空间。</blockquote></p><p> But instead of waiting for a physical machine to arrive in the mail, the employee or student will access the operating system in the cloud via an existing PC, a Mac, iPhone, Android phone or Chromebook, as long as it has a web browser compatible with HTML 5, a widely used internet standard.</p><p><blockquote>但是，员工或学生将通过现有的PC、Mac、iPhone、Android手机或Chromebook访问云中的操作系统，而不是等待物理机器到达邮件，只要它有一个与广泛使用的互联网标准HTML 5兼容的网络浏览器。</blockquote></p><p> The cloud-based version was created in response to feedback from clients who wanted employees and students to have quicker and easier PC access regardless of physical location.</p><p><blockquote>基于云的版本是为了响应客户的反馈而创建的，这些客户希望员工和学生无论身在何处都能更快、更轻松地访问PC。</blockquote></p><p> \"We define that shift to hybrid work as really being flexibility in how, when and where you work. That's really the pattern that we're seeing develop all across the world as people are starting to experiment,\" said Jared Spataro, corporate vice president for Microsoft 365 software.</p><p><blockquote>公司副总裁Jared Spataro表示：“我们将向混合工作的转变定义为工作方式、时间和地点的真正灵活性。随着人们开始尝试，这确实是我们在世界各地看到的发展模式。”微软365软件总裁。</blockquote></p><p> The service is akin to so-called \"virtual\" and \"remote\" desktops that have been around for decades but which require a sophisticated IT department to set up and manage. Those costs can also be unpredictable because they are based on how much the desktops are used.</p><p><blockquote>这项服务类似于所谓的“虚拟”和“远程”桌面，这些桌面已经存在了几十年，但需要复杂的IT部门来设置和管理。这些成本也可能是不可预测的，因为它们是基于桌面的使用量。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft hopes the Windows 365 technology will be easy enough for small-business owners or smaller schools to introduce without a large IT department, with a predictable monthly bill based on the size of each virtual computer.</p><p><blockquote>微软希望Windows 365技术对于小企业主或小型学校来说足够容易引入，而无需大型IT部门，并根据每台虚拟计算机的大小提供可预测的每月账单。</blockquote></p><p> Andrew Hewitt, an analyst at Forrester Research, said the move would help Microsoft defend its dominant market share in the face of strong competition from operating systems from Apple Inc and Alphabet's Google that are easier for schools and businesses to manage.</p><p><blockquote>Forrester Research分析师Andrew Hewitt表示，面对来自苹果公司和Alphabet谷歌操作系统的激烈竞争，此举将有助于微软捍卫其主导市场份额，这些操作系统更易于学校和企业管理。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-offer-cloud-based-version-150308733.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-offer-cloud-based-version-150308733.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103407312","content_text":"(Reuters) - Microsoft Corp on Wednesday said it will offer its Windows operating system as a cloud-based service, aiming to make it easier to access business apps that need Windows from a broader range of devices.\nWindows 365, as the service will be called, will roll out on Aug. 2 and will work somewhat like buying a new Windows PC: A business or school will pick how much computing power, memory and storage they would like for an the new machine.\nBut instead of waiting for a physical machine to arrive in the mail, the employee or student will access the operating system in the cloud via an existing PC, a Mac, iPhone, Android phone or Chromebook, as long as it has a web browser compatible with HTML 5, a widely used internet standard.\nThe cloud-based version was created in response to feedback from clients who wanted employees and students to have quicker and easier PC access regardless of physical location.\n\"We define that shift to hybrid work as really being flexibility in how, when and where you work. That's really the pattern that we're seeing develop all across the world as people are starting to experiment,\" said Jared Spataro, corporate vice president for Microsoft 365 software.\nThe service is akin to so-called \"virtual\" and \"remote\" desktops that have been around for decades but which require a sophisticated IT department to set up and manage. Those costs can also be unpredictable because they are based on how much the desktops are used.\nMicrosoft hopes the Windows 365 technology will be easy enough for small-business owners or smaller schools to introduce without a large IT department, with a predictable monthly bill based on the size of each virtual computer.\nAndrew Hewitt, an analyst at Forrester Research, said the move would help Microsoft defend its dominant market share in the face of strong competition from operating systems from Apple Inc and Alphabet's Google that are easier for schools and businesses to manage.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145191623,"gmtCreate":1626193796462,"gmtModify":1633929154071,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Useful tips","listText":"Useful tips","text":"Useful tips","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145191623","repostId":"1129044669","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148823191,"gmtCreate":1625968096713,"gmtModify":1633931313821,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info","listText":"Good info","text":"Good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148823191","repostId":"1196440758","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196440758","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625967335,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196440758?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Growth Stocks for the Next 10 Years<blockquote>未来10年的2只成长型股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196440758","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Both of these companies grew revenue by triple-digit rates in their most recent quarters. More importantly, their futures look bright.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Growth stocks may be riskier than stable and established companies, but carefully selected ones may be worth it.</li>  <li>Stay-at-home trends have helped these companies, but their growth rates were high before the pandemic, too.</li>  <li>Both of these fast-growing tech businesses are already profitable.</li> </ul> There's an interesting dilemma when it comes to picking stocks investors can likely hold for years or even decades. On the one hand, investors looking to hold shares for the long haul can stick with stable and established companies that have been around for decades and will likely continue succeeding for the foreseeable future -- companies like&nbsp;<b>Waste Management</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>. The downside to this approach, however, is that investors may miss out on the potential outperformance that could come from fast-growing companies over the long haul.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>成长型股票可能比稳定、成熟的公司风险更大，但精心挑选的股票可能是值得的。</li><li>居家趋势帮助了这些公司，但它们的增长率在大流行之前也很高。</li><li>这两项快速增长的科技业务都已经盈利。</li></ul>在选择投资者可能持有数年甚至数十年的股票时，存在一个有趣的困境。一方面，希望长期持有股票的投资者可以坚持持有稳定且成熟的公司，这些公司已经存在了数十年，并且在可预见的未来可能会继续取得成功——例如<b>废物管理</b>和<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>然而，这种方法的缺点是，投资者可能会错过长期快速增长的公司可能带来的潜在优异表现。</blockquote></p><p> The issue with buying&nbsp;growth stocks, however, is that it's extremely difficult to gauge how long their rapid top-line growth rates can persist. Further, these companies' stock prices could perform very poorly if the growth prospects already baked into the stock price don't pan out. In other words, there's arguably more risk when it comes to betting on growth stocks for the next decade than there is for stable and established companies with decades of success behind them.</p><p><blockquote>然而，购买成长型股票的问题在于，很难衡量其快速的营收增长率能持续多久。此外，如果股价中已经体现的增长前景没有实现，这些公司的股价可能会表现非常糟糕。换句话说，押注未来十年的成长型股票可能比押注拥有数十年成功经验的稳定成熟公司的风险更大。</blockquote></p><p> So if an&nbsp;investor&nbsp;wants to buy growth stocks with a high chance of exceeding expectations over the next 10 years, they better have some pretty good reasons to believe these companies can do exactly that.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果投资者想购买未来10年极有可能超出预期的成长型股票，他们最好有一些很好的理由相信这些公司能够做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257045ef62f724806bce2b35390a5e4f\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1500\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Here are two growth stocks that have a shot at not only living up to high expectations over the next 10 years but possibly even exceeding them:<b>Zoom Video Communications</b>(NASDAQ:ZM)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Peloton Interactive</b>(NASDAQ:PTON).</p><p><blockquote>以下是两只成长型股票，它们不仅有可能在未来10年达到高预期，甚至可能超过预期：<b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>（纳斯达克：ZM）及<b>Peloton互动</b>（纳斯达克：PTON）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom and Peloton were already thriving before the pandemic</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom和Peloton在大流行之前就已经蓬勃发展</b></blockquote></p><p> At first glance, investors may conclude that Zoom is nothing more than a pandemic stock. They may argue that the company's success was predicated almost entirely on the fact that much of the world was in lockdown in 2020 and going into 2021.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，投资者可能会得出结论，Zoom只不过是一只流行病股票。他们可能会说，该公司的成功几乎完全取决于这样一个事实，即世界大部分地区在2020年和2021年都处于封锁状态。</blockquote></p><p> It's true that Zoom benefited significantly from the rise of virtual work in 2020. After all, revenue for the company's fiscal 2021 (a fiscal year ending Jan. 31, 2021) skyrocketed 326% year over year. But investors should note that the trend of using video to collaborate virtually was already extremely strong before the pandemic; fiscal 2020 revenue rose 88% year over year. Growth at the time was particularly strong from large customers. Zoom's customers contributing more than $100,000 of trailing-12-month revenue increased 86% year over year in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2020.</p><p><blockquote>确实，Zoom从2020年虚拟工作的兴起中受益匪浅。毕竟，该公司2021财年（截至2021年1月31日的财年）的收入同比飙升326%。但投资者应该注意到，在大流行之前，使用视频进行虚拟协作的趋势就已经非常强劲；2020财年收入同比增长88%。当时来自大客户的增长尤其强劲。2020财年第四季度，Zoom的客户过去12个月收入贡献超过10万美元，同比增长86%。</blockquote></p><p> The same goes for Peloton. The company certainly benefited from the pandemic, but revenue during the quarter ending Dec. 31, 2019 was growing at a year-over-year rate of 77%, with connected fitness subscribers increasing 96% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Peloton也是如此。该公司当然受益于疫情，但截至2019年12月31日的季度收入同比增长77%，联网健身订户同比增长96%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Continued momentum</b></p><p><blockquote><b>持续的势头</b></blockquote></p><p> The underlying catalysts driving Zoom and Peloton are both still alive and well. Strong growth persists at both companies.</p><p><blockquote>推动Zoom和Peloton的潜在催化剂仍然存在。两家公司都持续强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> Despite facing extremely tough comparisons in the year-ago quarter, from when both companies were benefiting from soaring demand amid lockdowns, Zoom's and Peloton's revenue in their most recently reported quarters grew 191% and 141% year over year, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>尽管与去年同期相比面临极其严峻的比较，但Zoom和Peloton在最近报告的季度中的收入分别同比增长了191%和141%，当时两家公司都受益于封锁期间需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, Zoom notably guided for fiscal 2022 revenue of nearly $4 billion, up from fiscal 2021 revenue of about $2.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，Zoom特别预计2022财年营收将接近40亿美元，高于2021财年约27亿美元的营收。</blockquote></p><p> Boding well for Peloton's continued momentum, management said in its most recent quarterly update that its monthly average workouts per connected fitness subscription rose to an all-time high, showing how the company's products are still yielding high engagement even as the economy reopens.</p><p><blockquote>管理层在最近的季度更新中表示，其每个互联健身订阅的月平均锻炼次数升至历史新高，这预示着Peloton的持续势头，这表明即使经济重新开放，该公司的产品仍然产生高参与度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Healthy profits</b></p><p><blockquote><b>健康利润</b></blockquote></p><p> Finally, another factor that makes these companies unique from many other growth stocks is that they are already very profitable. Zoom generated $873 million of net income on $3.3 billion of trailing-12-month sales, and Peloton served up $213 million of net income from $3.7 billion in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>最后，这些公司与许多其他成长型股票不同的另一个因素是，它们已经非常有利可图。Zoom过去12个月的销售额为33亿美元，净利润为8.73亿美元，Peloton的净利润为37亿美元，净利润为2.13亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Substantial profits give these companies an edge when it comes to reinvesting in growth opportunities ahead of them and spending on efforts to enhance their competitive positioning and first-mover advantages in their respective industries.</p><p><blockquote>可观的利润使这些公司在对未来的增长机会进行再投资以及努力增强其在各自行业的竞争地位和先发优势方面具有优势。</blockquote></p><p> While there's no guarantee these two stocks will beat the market over the next 10 years, their recent momentum -- before, during, and after the worst part of the pandemic -- suggests they likely have a promising future.</p><p><blockquote>虽然不能保证这两只股票在未来10年内会跑赢市场，但它们最近的势头——在大流行最严重的时期之前、期间和之后——表明它们的未来可能充满希望。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Growth Stocks for the Next 10 Years<blockquote>未来10年的2只成长型股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Growth Stocks for the Next 10 Years<blockquote>未来10年的2只成长型股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Growth stocks may be riskier than stable and established companies, but carefully selected ones may be worth it.</li>  <li>Stay-at-home trends have helped these companies, but their growth rates were high before the pandemic, too.</li>  <li>Both of these fast-growing tech businesses are already profitable.</li> </ul> There's an interesting dilemma when it comes to picking stocks investors can likely hold for years or even decades. On the one hand, investors looking to hold shares for the long haul can stick with stable and established companies that have been around for decades and will likely continue succeeding for the foreseeable future -- companies like&nbsp;<b>Waste Management</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>. The downside to this approach, however, is that investors may miss out on the potential outperformance that could come from fast-growing companies over the long haul.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>成长型股票可能比稳定、成熟的公司风险更大，但精心挑选的股票可能是值得的。</li><li>居家趋势帮助了这些公司，但它们的增长率在大流行之前也很高。</li><li>这两项快速增长的科技业务都已经盈利。</li></ul>在选择投资者可能持有数年甚至数十年的股票时，存在一个有趣的困境。一方面，希望长期持有股票的投资者可以坚持持有稳定且成熟的公司，这些公司已经存在了数十年，并且在可预见的未来可能会继续取得成功——例如<b>废物管理</b>和<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>然而，这种方法的缺点是，投资者可能会错过长期快速增长的公司可能带来的潜在优异表现。</blockquote></p><p> The issue with buying&nbsp;growth stocks, however, is that it's extremely difficult to gauge how long their rapid top-line growth rates can persist. Further, these companies' stock prices could perform very poorly if the growth prospects already baked into the stock price don't pan out. In other words, there's arguably more risk when it comes to betting on growth stocks for the next decade than there is for stable and established companies with decades of success behind them.</p><p><blockquote>然而，购买成长型股票的问题在于，很难衡量其快速的营收增长率能持续多久。此外，如果股价中已经体现的增长前景没有实现，这些公司的股价可能会表现非常糟糕。换句话说，押注未来十年的成长型股票可能比押注拥有数十年成功经验的稳定成熟公司的风险更大。</blockquote></p><p> So if an&nbsp;investor&nbsp;wants to buy growth stocks with a high chance of exceeding expectations over the next 10 years, they better have some pretty good reasons to believe these companies can do exactly that.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果投资者想购买未来10年极有可能超出预期的成长型股票，他们最好有一些很好的理由相信这些公司能够做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257045ef62f724806bce2b35390a5e4f\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1500\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Here are two growth stocks that have a shot at not only living up to high expectations over the next 10 years but possibly even exceeding them:<b>Zoom Video Communications</b>(NASDAQ:ZM)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Peloton Interactive</b>(NASDAQ:PTON).</p><p><blockquote>以下是两只成长型股票，它们不仅有可能在未来10年达到高预期，甚至可能超过预期：<b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>（纳斯达克：ZM）及<b>Peloton互动</b>（纳斯达克：PTON）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom and Peloton were already thriving before the pandemic</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom和Peloton在大流行之前就已经蓬勃发展</b></blockquote></p><p> At first glance, investors may conclude that Zoom is nothing more than a pandemic stock. They may argue that the company's success was predicated almost entirely on the fact that much of the world was in lockdown in 2020 and going into 2021.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，投资者可能会得出结论，Zoom只不过是一只流行病股票。他们可能会说，该公司的成功几乎完全取决于这样一个事实，即世界大部分地区在2020年和2021年都处于封锁状态。</blockquote></p><p> It's true that Zoom benefited significantly from the rise of virtual work in 2020. After all, revenue for the company's fiscal 2021 (a fiscal year ending Jan. 31, 2021) skyrocketed 326% year over year. But investors should note that the trend of using video to collaborate virtually was already extremely strong before the pandemic; fiscal 2020 revenue rose 88% year over year. Growth at the time was particularly strong from large customers. Zoom's customers contributing more than $100,000 of trailing-12-month revenue increased 86% year over year in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2020.</p><p><blockquote>确实，Zoom从2020年虚拟工作的兴起中受益匪浅。毕竟，该公司2021财年（截至2021年1月31日的财年）的收入同比飙升326%。但投资者应该注意到，在大流行之前，使用视频进行虚拟协作的趋势就已经非常强劲；2020财年收入同比增长88%。当时来自大客户的增长尤其强劲。2020财年第四季度，Zoom的客户过去12个月收入贡献超过10万美元，同比增长86%。</blockquote></p><p> The same goes for Peloton. The company certainly benefited from the pandemic, but revenue during the quarter ending Dec. 31, 2019 was growing at a year-over-year rate of 77%, with connected fitness subscribers increasing 96% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Peloton也是如此。该公司当然受益于疫情，但截至2019年12月31日的季度收入同比增长77%，联网健身订户同比增长96%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Continued momentum</b></p><p><blockquote><b>持续的势头</b></blockquote></p><p> The underlying catalysts driving Zoom and Peloton are both still alive and well. Strong growth persists at both companies.</p><p><blockquote>推动Zoom和Peloton的潜在催化剂仍然存在。两家公司都持续强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> Despite facing extremely tough comparisons in the year-ago quarter, from when both companies were benefiting from soaring demand amid lockdowns, Zoom's and Peloton's revenue in their most recently reported quarters grew 191% and 141% year over year, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>尽管与去年同期相比面临极其严峻的比较，但Zoom和Peloton在最近报告的季度中的收入分别同比增长了191%和141%，当时两家公司都受益于封锁期间需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, Zoom notably guided for fiscal 2022 revenue of nearly $4 billion, up from fiscal 2021 revenue of about $2.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，Zoom特别预计2022财年营收将接近40亿美元，高于2021财年约27亿美元的营收。</blockquote></p><p> Boding well for Peloton's continued momentum, management said in its most recent quarterly update that its monthly average workouts per connected fitness subscription rose to an all-time high, showing how the company's products are still yielding high engagement even as the economy reopens.</p><p><blockquote>管理层在最近的季度更新中表示，其每个互联健身订阅的月平均锻炼次数升至历史新高，这预示着Peloton的持续势头，这表明即使经济重新开放，该公司的产品仍然产生高参与度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Healthy profits</b></p><p><blockquote><b>健康利润</b></blockquote></p><p> Finally, another factor that makes these companies unique from many other growth stocks is that they are already very profitable. Zoom generated $873 million of net income on $3.3 billion of trailing-12-month sales, and Peloton served up $213 million of net income from $3.7 billion in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>最后，这些公司与许多其他成长型股票不同的另一个因素是，它们已经非常有利可图。Zoom过去12个月的销售额为33亿美元，净利润为8.73亿美元，Peloton的净利润为37亿美元，净利润为2.13亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Substantial profits give these companies an edge when it comes to reinvesting in growth opportunities ahead of them and spending on efforts to enhance their competitive positioning and first-mover advantages in their respective industries.</p><p><blockquote>可观的利润使这些公司在对未来的增长机会进行再投资以及努力增强其在各自行业的竞争地位和先发优势方面具有优势。</blockquote></p><p> While there's no guarantee these two stocks will beat the market over the next 10 years, their recent momentum -- before, during, and after the worst part of the pandemic -- suggests they likely have a promising future.</p><p><blockquote>虽然不能保证这两只股票在未来10年内会跑赢市场，但它们最近的势头——在大流行最严重的时期之前、期间和之后——表明它们的未来可能充满希望。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/10/2-growth-stocks-for-the-next-10-years/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/10/2-growth-stocks-for-the-next-10-years/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196440758","content_text":"Key Points\n\nGrowth stocks may be riskier than stable and established companies, but carefully selected ones may be worth it.\nStay-at-home trends have helped these companies, but their growth rates were high before the pandemic, too.\nBoth of these fast-growing tech businesses are already profitable.\n\nThere's an interesting dilemma when it comes to picking stocks investors can likely hold for years or even decades. On the one hand, investors looking to hold shares for the long haul can stick with stable and established companies that have been around for decades and will likely continue succeeding for the foreseeable future -- companies like Waste Management and Berkshire Hathaway. The downside to this approach, however, is that investors may miss out on the potential outperformance that could come from fast-growing companies over the long haul.\nThe issue with buying growth stocks, however, is that it's extremely difficult to gauge how long their rapid top-line growth rates can persist. Further, these companies' stock prices could perform very poorly if the growth prospects already baked into the stock price don't pan out. In other words, there's arguably more risk when it comes to betting on growth stocks for the next decade than there is for stable and established companies with decades of success behind them.\nSo if an investor wants to buy growth stocks with a high chance of exceeding expectations over the next 10 years, they better have some pretty good reasons to believe these companies can do exactly that.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nHere are two growth stocks that have a shot at not only living up to high expectations over the next 10 years but possibly even exceeding them:Zoom Video Communications(NASDAQ:ZM) and Peloton Interactive(NASDAQ:PTON).\nZoom and Peloton were already thriving before the pandemic\nAt first glance, investors may conclude that Zoom is nothing more than a pandemic stock. They may argue that the company's success was predicated almost entirely on the fact that much of the world was in lockdown in 2020 and going into 2021.\nIt's true that Zoom benefited significantly from the rise of virtual work in 2020. After all, revenue for the company's fiscal 2021 (a fiscal year ending Jan. 31, 2021) skyrocketed 326% year over year. But investors should note that the trend of using video to collaborate virtually was already extremely strong before the pandemic; fiscal 2020 revenue rose 88% year over year. Growth at the time was particularly strong from large customers. Zoom's customers contributing more than $100,000 of trailing-12-month revenue increased 86% year over year in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2020.\nThe same goes for Peloton. The company certainly benefited from the pandemic, but revenue during the quarter ending Dec. 31, 2019 was growing at a year-over-year rate of 77%, with connected fitness subscribers increasing 96% year over year.\nContinued momentum\nThe underlying catalysts driving Zoom and Peloton are both still alive and well. Strong growth persists at both companies.\nDespite facing extremely tough comparisons in the year-ago quarter, from when both companies were benefiting from soaring demand amid lockdowns, Zoom's and Peloton's revenue in their most recently reported quarters grew 191% and 141% year over year, respectively.\nLooking ahead, Zoom notably guided for fiscal 2022 revenue of nearly $4 billion, up from fiscal 2021 revenue of about $2.7 billion.\nBoding well for Peloton's continued momentum, management said in its most recent quarterly update that its monthly average workouts per connected fitness subscription rose to an all-time high, showing how the company's products are still yielding high engagement even as the economy reopens.\nHealthy profits\nFinally, another factor that makes these companies unique from many other growth stocks is that they are already very profitable. Zoom generated $873 million of net income on $3.3 billion of trailing-12-month sales, and Peloton served up $213 million of net income from $3.7 billion in revenue.\nSubstantial profits give these companies an edge when it comes to reinvesting in growth opportunities ahead of them and spending on efforts to enhance their competitive positioning and first-mover advantages in their respective industries.\nWhile there's no guarantee these two stocks will beat the market over the next 10 years, their recent momentum -- before, during, and after the worst part of the pandemic -- suggests they likely have a promising future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZM":0.9,"PTON":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148829620,"gmtCreate":1625968075960,"gmtModify":1633931314773,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good chance","listText":"Good chance","text":"Good chance","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148829620","repostId":"1176789091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176789091","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966668,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176789091?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Could The iPad Be Apple’s Best Performer in Fiscal Q3?<blockquote>iPad会成为苹果第三财季表现最好的产品吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176789091","media":"TheStreet","summary":"The Apple Maven believes that the iPad could be Apple’s best performer in fiscal Q3. Here is why.\nTh","content":"<p>The Apple Maven believes that the iPad could be Apple’s best performer in fiscal Q3. Here is why.</p><p><blockquote>这位苹果专家认为，iPad可能是苹果第三财季表现最好的产品。原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> The Apple Maven continues its preview of the Cupertino company’s fiscal third quarter earnings day. So far, we have discussed (1)Wall Street’s expectationsfor revenues and earnings and (2) the expected performance of the iPhone in the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>苹果专家继续预览库比蒂诺公司第三财季财报日。到目前为止，我们已经讨论了(1)华尔街对收入和盈利的预期，以及(2)iPhone本季度的预期表现。</blockquote></p><p> Today, we address what could be Apple’s most successful product category in the third fiscal period of 2021: the iPad.</p><p><blockquote>今天，我们将讨论苹果在2021年第三财年最成功的产品类别：iPad。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/544b629337019373222b755bf493104b\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"630\"><span>Figure 1: The latest iPad Pro model.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：最新的iPad Pro型号。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The 2020 pandemic has made winners of tech companies that managed to capitalize on shifting consumer behavior – also known as the “stay at home” trends. This partially explains why iPad revenues have shot through the roof in the past several quarters: growth of at least 30% since fiscal Q2 last year.</p><p><blockquote>2020年的疫情让成功利用消费者行为转变（也称为“呆在家里”趋势）的科技公司成为赢家。这部分解释了为什么iPad收入在过去几个季度飙升：自去年第二财季以来增长了至少30%。</blockquote></p><p> For starters,it has become increasingly obviousthat consumers are not returning to old spending habits, even as the COVID-19 crisis gets closer to an end. Therefore, I see no reason to doubt that iPad sales will impress once again this time, although the growth rate will be partially eclipsed by tough 2020 comps.</p><p><blockquote>首先，越来越明显的是，即使新冠肺炎危机即将结束，消费者也不会恢复旧的消费习惯。因此，我认为没有理由怀疑iPad的销量这次将再次令人印象深刻，尽管增长率将被2020年的强劲业绩部分掩盖。</blockquote></p><p> But the story does not end with the effects of the pandemic. The chart below shows that, since around 2017, Apple has been able to reignite demand for its tablets. Even in 2019, before the pandemic turned the world upside down, iPad sales had already been growing at a respectable 13% pace.</p><p><blockquote>但故事并没有随着疫情的影响而结束。下图显示，自2017年左右以来，苹果已经能够重新点燃对其平板电脑的需求。即使在2019年，在疫情颠覆世界之前，iPad的销量也已经以13%的可观速度增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b463e314374d0f90f3cedbd13430a0ae\" tg-width=\"631\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Figure 2: iPad revenue in millions U.S dollars.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：iPad营收百万美元。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The rebirth of the tablet business, I will be frank,caught me by surprise. The phenomenon can be probably attributed to technological advancements allowing products like the iPad to better replace personal computers (more storage, better graphics, fast processor speed) and even smartphones (wider range of screen sizes, better cameras, introduction of 5G capability).</p><p><blockquote>坦率地说，平板电脑业务的重生让我大吃一惊。这种现象可能归因于技术进步，使iPad等产品能够更好地取代个人电脑（更大的存储空间、更好的图形、更快的处理器速度）甚至智能手机（更广泛的屏幕尺寸、更好的摄像头、5G功能的引入）。</blockquote></p><p> Case in point, Research and Marketsbelievesthat tablet revenues across the industry will continue to grow at a CAGR of over 10% through 2023. This is quite an improvement from the days that iPad sales were declining sharply, between 2014 and 2018.</p><p><blockquote>举个例子，Research and Markets认为，到2023年，整个行业的平板电脑收入将继续以超过10%的复合年增长率增长。与2014年至2018年间iPad销量急剧下降的日子相比，这是一个很大的进步。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, Apple may have performed even better than its tablet competitors in the most recent quarter. First, the company has provenmore capable of managing its supply chain, which could be a plus during times of component shortages.</p><p><blockquote>最后，苹果最近一个季度的表现可能甚至比平板电脑竞争对手还要好。首先，该公司有能力管理其供应链，这在零部件短缺时期可能是一个优势。</blockquote></p><p> But also, Applereleased its new M1-equipped iPad Pro in April. Consumers have been more willing to pay up for better mobile devices lately, which might bode well for Apple’s top-of-the-line tablet. In fact, the iPad’s two percentage pointgainin market share in June could be explained by this product launch.</p><p><blockquote>而且，苹果在4月份发布了搭载M1的新款iPad Pro。消费者最近更愿意为更好的移动设备付费，这对苹果的顶级平板电脑来说可能是个好兆头。事实上，iPad 6月份市场份额增长了两个百分点可以用这次产品发布来解释。</blockquote></p><p> With the most recent tablet release, the entire iPad lineup (except for the less relevant mini version) is only about nine months old today. On the back of a strong product portfolio, the iPad could very well be the brightest star on Apple’s fiscal third quarter earnings day.</p><p><blockquote>随着最新平板电脑的发布，整个iPad系列（除了不太相关的迷你版本）今天只有大约九个月的历史。凭借强大的产品组合，iPad很可能成为苹果第三财季财报日最耀眼的明星。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Could The iPad Be Apple’s Best Performer in Fiscal Q3?<blockquote>iPad会成为苹果第三财季表现最好的产品吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCould The iPad Be Apple’s Best Performer in Fiscal Q3?<blockquote>iPad会成为苹果第三财季表现最好的产品吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Apple Maven believes that the iPad could be Apple’s best performer in fiscal Q3. Here is why.</p><p><blockquote>这位苹果专家认为，iPad可能是苹果第三财季表现最好的产品。原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> The Apple Maven continues its preview of the Cupertino company’s fiscal third quarter earnings day. So far, we have discussed (1)Wall Street’s expectationsfor revenues and earnings and (2) the expected performance of the iPhone in the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>苹果专家继续预览库比蒂诺公司第三财季财报日。到目前为止，我们已经讨论了(1)华尔街对收入和盈利的预期，以及(2)iPhone本季度的预期表现。</blockquote></p><p> Today, we address what could be Apple’s most successful product category in the third fiscal period of 2021: the iPad.</p><p><blockquote>今天，我们将讨论苹果在2021年第三财年最成功的产品类别：iPad。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/544b629337019373222b755bf493104b\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"630\"><span>Figure 1: The latest iPad Pro model.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：最新的iPad Pro型号。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The 2020 pandemic has made winners of tech companies that managed to capitalize on shifting consumer behavior – also known as the “stay at home” trends. This partially explains why iPad revenues have shot through the roof in the past several quarters: growth of at least 30% since fiscal Q2 last year.</p><p><blockquote>2020年的疫情让成功利用消费者行为转变（也称为“呆在家里”趋势）的科技公司成为赢家。这部分解释了为什么iPad收入在过去几个季度飙升：自去年第二财季以来增长了至少30%。</blockquote></p><p> For starters,it has become increasingly obviousthat consumers are not returning to old spending habits, even as the COVID-19 crisis gets closer to an end. Therefore, I see no reason to doubt that iPad sales will impress once again this time, although the growth rate will be partially eclipsed by tough 2020 comps.</p><p><blockquote>首先，越来越明显的是，即使新冠肺炎危机即将结束，消费者也不会恢复旧的消费习惯。因此，我认为没有理由怀疑iPad的销量这次将再次令人印象深刻，尽管增长率将被2020年的强劲业绩部分掩盖。</blockquote></p><p> But the story does not end with the effects of the pandemic. The chart below shows that, since around 2017, Apple has been able to reignite demand for its tablets. Even in 2019, before the pandemic turned the world upside down, iPad sales had already been growing at a respectable 13% pace.</p><p><blockquote>但故事并没有随着疫情的影响而结束。下图显示，自2017年左右以来，苹果已经能够重新点燃对其平板电脑的需求。即使在2019年，在疫情颠覆世界之前，iPad的销量也已经以13%的可观速度增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b463e314374d0f90f3cedbd13430a0ae\" tg-width=\"631\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Figure 2: iPad revenue in millions U.S dollars.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：iPad营收百万美元。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The rebirth of the tablet business, I will be frank,caught me by surprise. The phenomenon can be probably attributed to technological advancements allowing products like the iPad to better replace personal computers (more storage, better graphics, fast processor speed) and even smartphones (wider range of screen sizes, better cameras, introduction of 5G capability).</p><p><blockquote>坦率地说，平板电脑业务的重生让我大吃一惊。这种现象可能归因于技术进步，使iPad等产品能够更好地取代个人电脑（更大的存储空间、更好的图形、更快的处理器速度）甚至智能手机（更广泛的屏幕尺寸、更好的摄像头、5G功能的引入）。</blockquote></p><p> Case in point, Research and Marketsbelievesthat tablet revenues across the industry will continue to grow at a CAGR of over 10% through 2023. This is quite an improvement from the days that iPad sales were declining sharply, between 2014 and 2018.</p><p><blockquote>举个例子，Research and Markets认为，到2023年，整个行业的平板电脑收入将继续以超过10%的复合年增长率增长。与2014年至2018年间iPad销量急剧下降的日子相比，这是一个很大的进步。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, Apple may have performed even better than its tablet competitors in the most recent quarter. First, the company has provenmore capable of managing its supply chain, which could be a plus during times of component shortages.</p><p><blockquote>最后，苹果最近一个季度的表现可能甚至比平板电脑竞争对手还要好。首先，该公司有能力管理其供应链，这在零部件短缺时期可能是一个优势。</blockquote></p><p> But also, Applereleased its new M1-equipped iPad Pro in April. Consumers have been more willing to pay up for better mobile devices lately, which might bode well for Apple’s top-of-the-line tablet. In fact, the iPad’s two percentage pointgainin market share in June could be explained by this product launch.</p><p><blockquote>而且，苹果在4月份发布了搭载M1的新款iPad Pro。消费者最近更愿意为更好的移动设备付费，这对苹果的顶级平板电脑来说可能是个好兆头。事实上，iPad 6月份市场份额增长了两个百分点可以用这次产品发布来解释。</blockquote></p><p> With the most recent tablet release, the entire iPad lineup (except for the less relevant mini version) is only about nine months old today. On the back of a strong product portfolio, the iPad could very well be the brightest star on Apple’s fiscal third quarter earnings day.</p><p><blockquote>随着最新平板电脑的发布，整个iPad系列（除了不太相关的迷你版本）今天只有大约九个月的历史。凭借强大的产品组合，iPad很可能成为苹果第三财季财报日最耀眼的明星。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/other-products/could-the-ipad-be-apples-best-performer-in-fiscal-q3\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/other-products/could-the-ipad-be-apples-best-performer-in-fiscal-q3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176789091","content_text":"The Apple Maven believes that the iPad could be Apple’s best performer in fiscal Q3. Here is why.\nThe Apple Maven continues its preview of the Cupertino company’s fiscal third quarter earnings day. So far, we have discussed (1)Wall Street’s expectationsfor revenues and earnings and (2) the expected performance of the iPhone in the quarter.\nToday, we address what could be Apple’s most successful product category in the third fiscal period of 2021: the iPad.\nFigure 1: The latest iPad Pro model.\nThe 2020 pandemic has made winners of tech companies that managed to capitalize on shifting consumer behavior – also known as the “stay at home” trends. This partially explains why iPad revenues have shot through the roof in the past several quarters: growth of at least 30% since fiscal Q2 last year.\nFor starters,it has become increasingly obviousthat consumers are not returning to old spending habits, even as the COVID-19 crisis gets closer to an end. Therefore, I see no reason to doubt that iPad sales will impress once again this time, although the growth rate will be partially eclipsed by tough 2020 comps.\nBut the story does not end with the effects of the pandemic. The chart below shows that, since around 2017, Apple has been able to reignite demand for its tablets. Even in 2019, before the pandemic turned the world upside down, iPad sales had already been growing at a respectable 13% pace.\nFigure 2: iPad revenue in millions U.S dollars.\nThe rebirth of the tablet business, I will be frank,caught me by surprise. The phenomenon can be probably attributed to technological advancements allowing products like the iPad to better replace personal computers (more storage, better graphics, fast processor speed) and even smartphones (wider range of screen sizes, better cameras, introduction of 5G capability).\nCase in point, Research and Marketsbelievesthat tablet revenues across the industry will continue to grow at a CAGR of over 10% through 2023. This is quite an improvement from the days that iPad sales were declining sharply, between 2014 and 2018.\nLastly, Apple may have performed even better than its tablet competitors in the most recent quarter. First, the company has provenmore capable of managing its supply chain, which could be a plus during times of component shortages.\nBut also, Applereleased its new M1-equipped iPad Pro in April. Consumers have been more willing to pay up for better mobile devices lately, which might bode well for Apple’s top-of-the-line tablet. In fact, the iPad’s two percentage pointgainin market share in June could be explained by this product launch.\nWith the most recent tablet release, the entire iPad lineup (except for the less relevant mini version) is only about nine months old today. On the back of a strong product portfolio, the iPad could very well be the brightest star on Apple’s fiscal third quarter earnings day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148095916,"gmtCreate":1625897562235,"gmtModify":1633936236480,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148095916","repostId":"1185154176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185154176","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625886925,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185154176?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185154176","media":"marketwatch","summary":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support. When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit n","content":"<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p><p><blockquote>经济蓬勃发展，盈利上升，美联储给予前所未有的支持</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（豪尔赫·格雷罗/法新社，盖蒂图片社摄）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p><p><blockquote>当股市抛售时，就像周四一样，正确的做法是购买你最喜欢的股票。周五的市场走势证明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于标普500指数今年已经大幅上涨17%，确实可能会出现回调。但你也应该买。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p><p><blockquote>由于这六个原因，我们仍处于股市三到五年牛市的早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.有巨大的被压抑的需求</b></blockquote></p><p> Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都在向美联储寻求有关刺激的线索。他们忽视了将推高股市的私营部门力量。总而言之，巨大的被压抑的私营部门需求将有助于推动美国今年的GDP增长达到8%，并在此后几年达到3.5%-4.5%。Leuthold Group首席策略师兼经济学家吉姆·保尔森指出，被压抑的需求来自以下来源。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p><p><blockquote>首先，随着千禧一代进入家庭年，家庭组建激增。这有助于解释家庭需求的大幅上升。一旦你买了房子，你就得把它装满东西。更多的消费者需求即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>在幕后，消费者有大量未用完的储蓄，因为他们为疫情做好了准备。个人储蓄率接近GDP的16%，而战后的平均水平为6.5%。之前的高点是20世纪70年代的10%。</blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是，家庭资产负债表显著改善。债务收入比是20世纪90年代以来的最低水平。消费者将继续利用更多的银行贷款和信用卡容量，因为就业和经济保持强劲，他们的信心增强。</blockquote></p><p> Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，一旦额外的失业救济金在9月份到期，将会有更多的新就业人口。这意味着消费者信心将会提高，这必然会促进经济增长。劳动参与率还有提高的空间，在我们达到可能限制经济增长的充分就业之前，留下了闲置的就业能力。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看企业被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p><p><blockquote>你知道你经常遇到或听说的所有短缺的东西吗？这就是为什么会发生这种情况。为了应对长期的疫情，企业大幅削减库存。这是有史以来最大的库存清理。但现在，企业不得不重建库存。正在进行的库存重建将是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p><p><blockquote>公司也削减了产能，并再次扩大产能。资本货物支出在过去二十年的大部分时间里基本持平，去年飙升至历史新高，增长了近23%。这创造了持续的增长，它告诉我们很多关于商业信心的信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b>：我们今年将看到7%-8%的GDP增长，明年将达到4%-4.5%，之后将高于平均水平的增长，支持股市持续牛市。期待一路上的正常修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.被低估的盈利繁荣即将到来</b></blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹发生得如此之快，分析师们跟不上。分析师预计标普500今年的每股收益为190美元。但考虑到预期的7%-8%的GDP增长和尚未生效的大规模刺激措施，这一数字低得可怜。刺激通常需要六到八个月才能生效，最近的很多刺激都发生在这个窗口内。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预计，2021年标普500的盈利将更接近220美元，而不是普遍预期的190美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森表示：“分析师仍然低估了利润的改善程度以及将会改善多少。”“我们从政策官员那里得到了戏剧性的过度反应。他们解决了崩溃的问题，但在基本面上创造了巨大的改善。这在利润复苏方面仍在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>此外，更多的财政刺激可能即将以基础设施支出的形式出现。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.城里有一个新的美联储</b></blockquote></p><p> For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p><p><blockquote>在过去三十年的大部分时间里，美联储一直在迅速收紧政策以抵御通胀。在此过程中，央行扼杀了经济增长。这就是过去20年是战后经济增长最慢的原因之一。然而现在，美联储更加宽松，这种情况可能会持续下去，因为通胀将保持低迷（更多内容见下文）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个简单的衡量标准来衡量这一点。以GDP增长减去10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y，1.359%。该指标在1980年至2010年的大部分时间里都为负值，当时美联储保持增长降温以遏制通胀。但现在，美联储的政策正在帮助将10年期国债收益率保持在远低于GDP增长的水平，从而使经济过热。这就是1950-1965年的情况，一些分析家将其看涨期权为“资本主义的黄金时代”，因为增长的下滑路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀不会杀死公牛</b></blockquote></p><p> Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济如此火爆，通胀短期内可能会上升。但从中期来看，通胀杀手将获胜。这是一个综述。人口老龄化，老年人消费减少。企业资本支出的繁荣将继续提高企业的生产率。这使他们能够避免将上升的成本转嫁给客户。全球贸易和竞争并没有消失。这给价格带来了下行压力，因为在许多外国可以更便宜地制造商品。持续的技术进步不断给科技产品带来下行压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五、估值将改善</b></blockquote></p><p> We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在正处于经济反弹的阶段，通常会出现以下动态。股市连续几个月横盘整理，主要是因为对通胀和债券收益率上升的担忧。与此同时，经济和盈利持续增长，压低了股票估值。在1983-84年、1993-94年、2004-05年和2009-10年的经济反弹中，这种动态大约在这一点上发挥了作用。简而言之，我们将看到盈利大幅飙升，而股市则标志着时间的到来，甚至是回调。</blockquote></p><p> This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p><p><blockquote>这将降低股票估值，消除投资者的主要担忧之一——高估值。如果标普500的盈利在年底达到220美元，并且该指数因回调而达到4,000至4,100点，那么股票的市盈率将达到18-19倍，低于1990年以来的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA+1.30%和罗素2000小盘股指数已经横盘整理了两到四个月。标普500和纳斯达克最近突破了交易区间，但更大的回调将使它们重新进入横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.情绪并不极端</b></blockquote></p><p> As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名逆向投资者，我将过度情绪视为是时候筹集一些现金的迹象。我们还没有看到这一点。一个简单的衡量标准是投资者情报牛熊比率。最近的价格是3.92。那是在警告路径附近，对我来说从4点开始。另一方面，共同基金现金最近为4.6万亿美元，接近历史高位。这代表了投资者的谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Three themes to follow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵循三个主题</b></blockquote></p><p> If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们即将迎来持续的经济复苏和股市多年牛市，那么遵循这三个主题是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐周期性股票。</b>继续投资对经济敏感的企业，并在回调时增持这些企业。这意味着金融、材料、工业和非必需消费品业务等领域的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p><p><blockquote><b>避免防御。</b>如果您想要收益，请选择支付股息但具有资本增值潜力的股票，而不是销售消费品等稳定增长的公司。关于这个主题，在我的股票信Brush Up on Stocks（链接在下面的简介中）中，我最近建议或重申了零售业的家得宝、市场和投资银行名称B.Riley Financial以及消费者金融领域的区域管理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐新兴市场。</b>在扩张期间，它们的增长率往往更高。小心中国。它的人口正在老龄化。劳动力增长有限可能会限制经济增长。另一个挑战是，持续的美中紧张局势以及持续关税和贸易壁垒的相关威胁导致全球公司将供应链转移到其他地方。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p><p><blockquote>经济蓬勃发展，盈利上升，美联储给予前所未有的支持</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（豪尔赫·格雷罗/法新社，盖蒂图片社摄）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p><p><blockquote>当股市抛售时，就像周四一样，正确的做法是购买你最喜欢的股票。周五的市场走势证明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于标普500指数今年已经大幅上涨17%，确实可能会出现回调。但你也应该买。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p><p><blockquote>由于这六个原因，我们仍处于股市三到五年牛市的早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.有巨大的被压抑的需求</b></blockquote></p><p> Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都在向美联储寻求有关刺激的线索。他们忽视了将推高股市的私营部门力量。总而言之，巨大的被压抑的私营部门需求将有助于推动美国今年的GDP增长达到8%，并在此后几年达到3.5%-4.5%。Leuthold Group首席策略师兼经济学家吉姆·保尔森指出，被压抑的需求来自以下来源。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p><p><blockquote>首先，随着千禧一代进入家庭年，家庭组建激增。这有助于解释家庭需求的大幅上升。一旦你买了房子，你就得把它装满东西。更多的消费者需求即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>在幕后，消费者有大量未用完的储蓄，因为他们为疫情做好了准备。个人储蓄率接近GDP的16%，而战后的平均水平为6.5%。之前的高点是20世纪70年代的10%。</blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是，家庭资产负债表显著改善。债务收入比是20世纪90年代以来的最低水平。消费者将继续利用更多的银行贷款和信用卡容量，因为就业和经济保持强劲，他们的信心增强。</blockquote></p><p> Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，一旦额外的失业救济金在9月份到期，将会有更多的新就业人口。这意味着消费者信心将会提高，这必然会促进经济增长。劳动参与率还有提高的空间，在我们达到可能限制经济增长的充分就业之前，留下了闲置的就业能力。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看企业被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p><p><blockquote>你知道你经常遇到或听说的所有短缺的东西吗？这就是为什么会发生这种情况。为了应对长期的疫情，企业大幅削减库存。这是有史以来最大的库存清理。但现在，企业不得不重建库存。正在进行的库存重建将是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p><p><blockquote>公司也削减了产能，并再次扩大产能。资本货物支出在过去二十年的大部分时间里基本持平，去年飙升至历史新高，增长了近23%。这创造了持续的增长，它告诉我们很多关于商业信心的信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b>：我们今年将看到7%-8%的GDP增长，明年将达到4%-4.5%，之后将高于平均水平的增长，支持股市持续牛市。期待一路上的正常修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.被低估的盈利繁荣即将到来</b></blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹发生得如此之快，分析师们跟不上。分析师预计标普500今年的每股收益为190美元。但考虑到预期的7%-8%的GDP增长和尚未生效的大规模刺激措施，这一数字低得可怜。刺激通常需要六到八个月才能生效，最近的很多刺激都发生在这个窗口内。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预计，2021年标普500的盈利将更接近220美元，而不是普遍预期的190美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森表示：“分析师仍然低估了利润的改善程度以及将会改善多少。”“我们从政策官员那里得到了戏剧性的过度反应。他们解决了崩溃的问题，但在基本面上创造了巨大的改善。这在利润复苏方面仍在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>此外，更多的财政刺激可能即将以基础设施支出的形式出现。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.城里有一个新的美联储</b></blockquote></p><p> For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p><p><blockquote>在过去三十年的大部分时间里，美联储一直在迅速收紧政策以抵御通胀。在此过程中，央行扼杀了经济增长。这就是过去20年是战后经济增长最慢的原因之一。然而现在，美联储更加宽松，这种情况可能会持续下去，因为通胀将保持低迷（更多内容见下文）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个简单的衡量标准来衡量这一点。以GDP增长减去10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y，1.359%。该指标在1980年至2010年的大部分时间里都为负值，当时美联储保持增长降温以遏制通胀。但现在，美联储的政策正在帮助将10年期国债收益率保持在远低于GDP增长的水平，从而使经济过热。这就是1950-1965年的情况，一些分析家将其看涨期权为“资本主义的黄金时代”，因为增长的下滑路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀不会杀死公牛</b></blockquote></p><p> Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济如此火爆，通胀短期内可能会上升。但从中期来看，通胀杀手将获胜。这是一个综述。人口老龄化，老年人消费减少。企业资本支出的繁荣将继续提高企业的生产率。这使他们能够避免将上升的成本转嫁给客户。全球贸易和竞争并没有消失。这给价格带来了下行压力，因为在许多外国可以更便宜地制造商品。持续的技术进步不断给科技产品带来下行压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五、估值将改善</b></blockquote></p><p> We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在正处于经济反弹的阶段，通常会出现以下动态。股市连续几个月横盘整理，主要是因为对通胀和债券收益率上升的担忧。与此同时，经济和盈利持续增长，压低了股票估值。在1983-84年、1993-94年、2004-05年和2009-10年的经济反弹中，这种动态大约在这一点上发挥了作用。简而言之，我们将看到盈利大幅飙升，而股市则标志着时间的到来，甚至是回调。</blockquote></p><p> This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p><p><blockquote>这将降低股票估值，消除投资者的主要担忧之一——高估值。如果标普500的盈利在年底达到220美元，并且该指数因回调而达到4,000至4,100点，那么股票的市盈率将达到18-19倍，低于1990年以来的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA+1.30%和罗素2000小盘股指数已经横盘整理了两到四个月。标普500和纳斯达克最近突破了交易区间，但更大的回调将使它们重新进入横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.情绪并不极端</b></blockquote></p><p> As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名逆向投资者，我将过度情绪视为是时候筹集一些现金的迹象。我们还没有看到这一点。一个简单的衡量标准是投资者情报牛熊比率。最近的价格是3.92。那是在警告路径附近，对我来说从4点开始。另一方面，共同基金现金最近为4.6万亿美元，接近历史高位。这代表了投资者的谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Three themes to follow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵循三个主题</b></blockquote></p><p> If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们即将迎来持续的经济复苏和股市多年牛市，那么遵循这三个主题是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐周期性股票。</b>继续投资对经济敏感的企业，并在回调时增持这些企业。这意味着金融、材料、工业和非必需消费品业务等领域的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p><p><blockquote><b>避免防御。</b>如果您想要收益，请选择支付股息但具有资本增值潜力的股票，而不是销售消费品等稳定增长的公司。关于这个主题，在我的股票信Brush Up on Stocks（链接在下面的简介中）中，我最近建议或重申了零售业的家得宝、市场和投资银行名称B.Riley Financial以及消费者金融领域的区域管理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐新兴市场。</b>在扩张期间，它们的增长率往往更高。小心中国。它的人口正在老龄化。劳动力增长有限可能会限制经济增长。另一个挑战是，持续的美中紧张局势以及持续关税和贸易壁垒的相关威胁导致全球公司将供应链转移到其他地方。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185154176","content_text":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support\n(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)\nWhen the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.\nIt’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&P 500 Index this year. But you should buy then, too.\nHere’s why.\nWe are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.\n1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand\nEveryone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.\nFirst, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.\nBehind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.\nRelatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.\nNext, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.\nNow let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.\nYou know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.\nCompanies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.\nThe bottom line: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.\n2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead\nThe economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.\nPaulsen expects 2021 S&P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.\n“Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”\nPlus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.\n3. There’s a new Fed in town\nFor much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).\nHere’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.\n4. Inflation won’t kill the bull\nInflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.\n5. Valuations will improve\nWe’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.\nThis will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.\nTrue to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000 small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.\n6. Sentiment isn’t extreme\nAs a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.\nThree themes to follow\nIf we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.\nFavor cyclicals.Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.\nAvoid defensives.If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management in consumer finance.\nFavor emerging markets.Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148007408,"gmtCreate":1625897043904,"gmtModify":1633936243728,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great stuff","listText":"Great stuff","text":"Great stuff","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148007408","repostId":"1177397700","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":491,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143388548,"gmtCreate":1625760902484,"gmtModify":1633937569836,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087965431046850","idStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info","listText":"Good info","text":"Good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143388548","repostId":"1162204971","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":149508771,"gmtCreate":1625733500993,"gmtModify":1633937899078,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks bad","listText":"Looks bad","text":"Looks bad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149508771","repostId":"1149987482","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149987482","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625731317,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149987482?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 16:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Newegg shares fell 17% in premarket trading,as rose nearly 150% on Wednesday.<blockquote>新蛋股价在盘前交易中下跌17%，周三上涨近150%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149987482","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Newegg shares fell  17% in premarket trading,as rose nearly 150% on Wednesday.\n\nNewegg is one of the","content":"<p>Newegg&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell &nbsp;17% in premarket&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;rose&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;150%&nbsp;on&nbsp;Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>新蛋股价在盘前交易中下跌17%，周三上涨近150%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b873a3712fb610cafbc3a3696de3f63f\" tg-width=\"1287\" tg-height=\"617\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Newegg</b>&nbsp;is one of the largest tech retailers in the country, and now, it’s a retail investor favorite for an upcoming moonshot.</p><p><blockquote><b>新蛋</b>是美国最大的科技零售商之一，现在，它是散户投资者对即将到来的登月计划的最爱。</blockquote></p><p> With the GPU shortage still an issue, Newegg’s recently announced PC parts lottery is a very welcome event. Through the lottery, customers will be able to buy the newest line of GPUs from&nbsp;<b>Nvidia</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>NVDA</u></b>). The company is also implementing a custom PC building service, allowing the retail giant tocompete with bespoke PC crafterson a commercial level.</p><p><blockquote>由于GPU短缺仍然是一个问题，新蛋最近宣布的PC零件抽奖是一个非常受欢迎的事件。通过抽奖，客户将能够从<b>英伟达</b>（纳斯达克：<b><u>NVDA</u></b>).该公司还在实施定制PC构建服务，使这家零售巨头能够在商业层面上与定制PC Crafters竞争。</blockquote></p><p> These additions by Newegg are pushing the stock higher. However, there is more driving NEGG stock skyward&nbsp;. It seems social media investors think Newegg could be the next<b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GME</u></b>) or&nbsp;<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:<b><u>AMC</u></b>).</p><p><blockquote>新蛋的这些补充正在推高股价。然而，还有更多因素推动NEGG股票上涨。社交媒体投资者似乎认为新蛋可能是下一个<b>游戏驿站</b>（纽约证券交易所：<b><u>GME</u></b>）或<b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所：<b><u>AMC</u></b>).</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Newegg shares fell 17% in premarket trading,as rose nearly 150% on Wednesday.<blockquote>新蛋股价在盘前交易中下跌17%，周三上涨近150%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNewegg shares fell 17% in premarket trading,as rose nearly 150% on Wednesday.<blockquote>新蛋股价在盘前交易中下跌17%，周三上涨近150%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-08 16:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Newegg&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell &nbsp;17% in premarket&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;rose&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;150%&nbsp;on&nbsp;Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>新蛋股价在盘前交易中下跌17%，周三上涨近150%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b873a3712fb610cafbc3a3696de3f63f\" tg-width=\"1287\" tg-height=\"617\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Newegg</b>&nbsp;is one of the largest tech retailers in the country, and now, it’s a retail investor favorite for an upcoming moonshot.</p><p><blockquote><b>新蛋</b>是美国最大的科技零售商之一，现在，它是散户投资者对即将到来的登月计划的最爱。</blockquote></p><p> With the GPU shortage still an issue, Newegg’s recently announced PC parts lottery is a very welcome event. Through the lottery, customers will be able to buy the newest line of GPUs from&nbsp;<b>Nvidia</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>NVDA</u></b>). The company is also implementing a custom PC building service, allowing the retail giant tocompete with bespoke PC crafterson a commercial level.</p><p><blockquote>由于GPU短缺仍然是一个问题，新蛋最近宣布的PC零件抽奖是一个非常受欢迎的事件。通过抽奖，客户将能够从<b>英伟达</b>（纳斯达克：<b><u>NVDA</u></b>).该公司还在实施定制PC构建服务，使这家零售巨头能够在商业层面上与定制PC Crafters竞争。</blockquote></p><p> These additions by Newegg are pushing the stock higher. However, there is more driving NEGG stock skyward&nbsp;. It seems social media investors think Newegg could be the next<b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GME</u></b>) or&nbsp;<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:<b><u>AMC</u></b>).</p><p><blockquote>新蛋的这些补充正在推高股价。然而，还有更多因素推动NEGG股票上涨。社交媒体投资者似乎认为新蛋可能是下一个<b>游戏驿站</b>（纽约证券交易所：<b><u>GME</u></b>）或<b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所：<b><u>AMC</u></b>).</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149987482","content_text":"Newegg shares fell  17% in premarket trading,as rose nearly 150% on Wednesday.\n\nNewegg is one of the largest tech retailers in the country, and now, it’s a retail investor favorite for an upcoming moonshot.\nWith the GPU shortage still an issue, Newegg’s recently announced PC parts lottery is a very welcome event. Through the lottery, customers will be able to buy the newest line of GPUs from Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA). The company is also implementing a custom PC building service, allowing the retail giant tocompete with bespoke PC crafterson a commercial level.\nThese additions by Newegg are pushing the stock higher. However, there is more driving NEGG stock skyward . It seems social media investors think Newegg could be the nextGameStop(NYSE:GME) or AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NEGG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802304341,"gmtCreate":1627714067483,"gmtModify":1633756852557,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info","listText":"Good info","text":"Good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802304341","repostId":"1173075225","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173075225","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627704977,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173075225?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 12:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Best Dividend Stocks to Buy in August<blockquote>8月份最值得买入的5只股息股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173075225","media":"US News","summary":"In late July, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid more than 700 points in a single session to log its worst single-day decline since October. Shares have since rebounded, and the majorstock market indexesall continue to flirt with new all-time highs, but it's worth noting that the big gains of the last year or two seem much harder to come by. Specifically, the Dow Jones is more or less flat from where it was at the start of May.That hints that gains could be tougher to score in the months ahea","content":"<p>In late July, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid more than 700 points in a single session to log its worst single-day decline since October. Shares have since rebounded, and the majorstock market indexesall continue to flirt with new all-time highs, but it's worth noting that the big gains of the last year or two seem much harder to come by. Specifically, the Dow Jones is more or less flat from where it was at the start of May.</p><p><blockquote>7月下旬，道琼斯工业平均指数单日下跌超过700点，创下10月以来最大单日跌幅。此后，股价出现反弹，主要股市指数均继续创下历史新高，但值得注意的是，过去一两年的大幅上涨似乎更难实现。具体来说，道琼斯指数与五月初的水平大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> That hints that gains could be tougher to score in the months ahead -- and could be a sign that income-oriented dividend stocks may provide not just stability but also a nice flow of cash to ensure your nest egg keeps growing.</p><p><blockquote>这暗示未来几个月可能更难获得收益，这可能表明以收入为导向的股息股票不仅可以提供稳定性，还可以提供良好的现金流，以确保您的储蓄持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> If you're interested individend stocksright now, here are five that look particularly strong at the start of August:</p><p><blockquote>如果您现在对个股感兴趣，这里有五只在八月初看起来特别强劲的股票：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>EPR Properties (ticker:EPR)</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NAVI\">Navient Corp</a>. (NAVI)</li>  <li>Pfizer Inc. (PFE)</li>  <li>Vedanta Ltd. (VEDL)</li>  <li>Vistra Corp. (VST)</li> </ul> [Sign up for stock news with our Invested newsletter.]</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>EPR Properties（股票代码：EPR）</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NAVI\">纳维特公司</a>.（船舶）</li><li>辉瑞公司(PFE)</li><li>韦丹塔有限公司（领导）</li><li>瑞致达公司(VST)</li></ul>[通过我们的投资时事通讯订阅股票新闻。]</blockquote></p><p> <b>EPR Properties (EPR)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EPR特性(EPR)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>5.7%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>5.7%</blockquote></p><p> EPR is a leading \"net lease\" real estate investment trust, meaning it demands clients pay for ancillary expenses like maintenance or insurance on the properties while it just cashes the rent check. It's not a shopping mall or residential real estate firm, however, and focuses on \"out of home leisure and recreation experiences,\" including movie theaters, beach resorts and ski slopes across more than 40 states. Obviously, with the overall easing of coronavirus restrictions, EPR has been seeing a huge recovery to its business compared with its performance last summer in the throes of lockdowns. Shares are up about 60% year to date, and EPR just resumed a 25 cent quarterly dividend in July. That bodes well both for future performance and future dividends.</p><p><blockquote>EPR是一家领先的“净租赁”房地产投资信托公司，这意味着它要求客户支付物业维护或保险等辅助费用，同时只兑现租金支票。然而，它不是一家购物中心或住宅房地产公司，专注于“户外休闲和娱乐体验”，包括遍布40多个州的电影院、海滩度假村和滑雪场。显然，随着冠状病毒限制的全面放松，与去年夏天在封锁阵痛中的表现相比，EPR的业务已经出现了巨大的复苏。今年迄今为止，股价已上涨约60%，EPR刚刚在7月份恢复了25美分的季度股息。这对于未来的业绩和未来的股息来说都是个好兆头。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Navient Corp. (NAVI)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳维特公司(NAVI)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>3.2%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>3.2%</blockquote></p><p> Student loan provider Navient was not exactly a popular stock a year or two ago amid political discussions ofstudent debtforgiveness, which were followed closely by fears of an economic downturn caused by coronavirus disruptions that would upset the payments of young graduates. The financial firm's quarterly dividend of 16 cents, however, went uninterrupted throughout the upheaval, and now NAVI stock is facing an uptrend considering that both the economic and political outlook have improved. Shares are up a huge 150% or so in the last 12 months, and it still offers a dividend that's more than twice the S&amp;P 500, even after that run.</p><p><blockquote>一两年前，在关于学生债务减免的政治讨论中，学生贷款提供商Navient并不是一只受欢迎的股票，紧随其后的是人们担心冠状病毒干扰会导致经济衰退，从而扰乱年轻毕业生的还款。然而，该金融公司16美分的季度股息在整个动荡期间没有中断，考虑到经济和政治前景都有所改善，现在NAVI股票面临上升趋势。过去12个月，股价大幅上涨了150%左右，即使在那次上涨之后，它的股息仍然是标普500的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pfizer Inc. (PFE)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞公司(PFE)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>3.6%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>3.6%</blockquote></p><p> Big Pharma mainstay Pfizer has outperformed the broader stock market slightly in 2021, continuing to ride high on its high-profile success developing an effective coronavirus vaccine. Given the risk posed by variants of the disease, along with a continued push to vaccinate worldwide now that many developed markets have gotten their shots, investors could continue to see a decent tailwind for PFE in the near term. On top of that, don't forget this $240 billion drugmaker remains <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the most dominanthealth care companieson the planet, and one of the most reliable dividend stocks out there with an amazing streak of 330 consecutive quarterly dividends paid to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>大型制药公司的中流砥柱辉瑞在2021年的表现略好于大盘，继续因其在开发有效的冠状病毒疫苗方面取得的高调成功而高居榜首。鉴于该疾病变种带来的风险，以及许多发达市场已经接种疫苗后全球范围内持续推动疫苗接种，投资者在短期内可能会继续看到PFE的良好推动力。最重要的是，不要忘记这家价值2400亿美元的制药商仍然<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>是全球最具主导地位的医疗保健公司之一，也是最可靠的股息股票之一，连续330个季度向股东支付股息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vedanta Ltd. (VEDL)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>韦丹塔有限公司（领导）</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>5.1%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>5.1%</blockquote></p><p> Vedanta is an India-based industrial conglomerate that operates a diversified natural resources business spanning oil and gas production as well as coal,silverandcoppermining. It also takes the energy sources it extracts and operates power generation facilities, operating an arm that is a major electric utility in the nation. Given that this stock is in an emerging market and not as large as other materials stocks at only about $14 billion, there's a bit more risk here than in other similar stocks. But with a generous dividend and rising revenues, thanks to the global economic recovery, this stock has been a top performer lately with year-to-date returns of more than 60% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Vedanta是一家总部位于印度的工业集团，经营多元化的自然资源业务，涵盖石油和天然气生产以及煤炭、白银和铜矿开采。它还获取其提取的能源并运营发电设施，运营着美国主要电力公司的分支机构。鉴于该股票位于新兴市场，规模不像其他材料股那么大，仅约140亿美元，因此这里的风险比其他类似股票要大一些。但得益于全球经济复苏，凭借丰厚的股息和不断增长的收入，该股最近表现最佳，2021年年初至今的回报率超过60%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vistra Corp. (VST)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>瑞致达公司(VST)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>3.1%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>3.1%</blockquote></p><p> A Texas-based utility company, Vistra is an electricity provider -- one of the most stable businesses on Wall Street. But VST also has modest growth potential as it operates in six of the seven wholesale markets where utilities compete for customers, thanks to deregulation. Right now, it has nearly 5 million residential, commercial and industrial connections in about 20 states. Additionally, it announced construction of a 1,600 megawatt-hour battery energy storage system in California, which has captivated investors. Shares have underperformed year to date in 2021, but are up about 30% from their spring lows -- and continue to offer a generous dividend on top of this short-term momentum.</p><p><blockquote>瑞致达是一家总部位于德克萨斯州的公用事业公司，是一家电力供应商，也是华尔街最稳定的企业之一。但伟仕佳杰也具有适度的增长潜力，因为由于放松管制，它在公用事业公司争夺客户的七个批发市场中的六个市场开展业务。目前，它在大约20个州拥有近500万个住宅、商业和工业连接。此外，它还宣布在加州建设一个1600兆瓦时的电池能量储存系统，这也吸引了投资者。2021年迄今为止，该股表现不佳，但较春季低点上涨了约30%，并且在这种短期势头的基础上继续提供丰厚的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1627705648360","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Best Dividend Stocks to Buy in August<blockquote>8月份最值得买入的5只股息股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Best Dividend Stocks to Buy in August<blockquote>8月份最值得买入的5只股息股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">US News</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 12:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In late July, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid more than 700 points in a single session to log its worst single-day decline since October. Shares have since rebounded, and the majorstock market indexesall continue to flirt with new all-time highs, but it's worth noting that the big gains of the last year or two seem much harder to come by. Specifically, the Dow Jones is more or less flat from where it was at the start of May.</p><p><blockquote>7月下旬，道琼斯工业平均指数单日下跌超过700点，创下10月以来最大单日跌幅。此后，股价出现反弹，主要股市指数均继续创下历史新高，但值得注意的是，过去一两年的大幅上涨似乎更难实现。具体来说，道琼斯指数与五月初的水平大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> That hints that gains could be tougher to score in the months ahead -- and could be a sign that income-oriented dividend stocks may provide not just stability but also a nice flow of cash to ensure your nest egg keeps growing.</p><p><blockquote>这暗示未来几个月可能更难获得收益，这可能表明以收入为导向的股息股票不仅可以提供稳定性，还可以提供良好的现金流，以确保您的储蓄持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> If you're interested individend stocksright now, here are five that look particularly strong at the start of August:</p><p><blockquote>如果您现在对个股感兴趣，这里有五只在八月初看起来特别强劲的股票：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>EPR Properties (ticker:EPR)</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NAVI\">Navient Corp</a>. (NAVI)</li>  <li>Pfizer Inc. (PFE)</li>  <li>Vedanta Ltd. (VEDL)</li>  <li>Vistra Corp. (VST)</li> </ul> [Sign up for stock news with our Invested newsletter.]</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>EPR Properties（股票代码：EPR）</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NAVI\">纳维特公司</a>.（船舶）</li><li>辉瑞公司(PFE)</li><li>韦丹塔有限公司（领导）</li><li>瑞致达公司(VST)</li></ul>[通过我们的投资时事通讯订阅股票新闻。]</blockquote></p><p> <b>EPR Properties (EPR)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EPR特性(EPR)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>5.7%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>5.7%</blockquote></p><p> EPR is a leading \"net lease\" real estate investment trust, meaning it demands clients pay for ancillary expenses like maintenance or insurance on the properties while it just cashes the rent check. It's not a shopping mall or residential real estate firm, however, and focuses on \"out of home leisure and recreation experiences,\" including movie theaters, beach resorts and ski slopes across more than 40 states. Obviously, with the overall easing of coronavirus restrictions, EPR has been seeing a huge recovery to its business compared with its performance last summer in the throes of lockdowns. Shares are up about 60% year to date, and EPR just resumed a 25 cent quarterly dividend in July. That bodes well both for future performance and future dividends.</p><p><blockquote>EPR是一家领先的“净租赁”房地产投资信托公司，这意味着它要求客户支付物业维护或保险等辅助费用，同时只兑现租金支票。然而，它不是一家购物中心或住宅房地产公司，专注于“户外休闲和娱乐体验”，包括遍布40多个州的电影院、海滩度假村和滑雪场。显然，随着冠状病毒限制的全面放松，与去年夏天在封锁阵痛中的表现相比，EPR的业务已经出现了巨大的复苏。今年迄今为止，股价已上涨约60%，EPR刚刚在7月份恢复了25美分的季度股息。这对于未来的业绩和未来的股息来说都是个好兆头。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Navient Corp. (NAVI)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳维特公司(NAVI)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>3.2%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>3.2%</blockquote></p><p> Student loan provider Navient was not exactly a popular stock a year or two ago amid political discussions ofstudent debtforgiveness, which were followed closely by fears of an economic downturn caused by coronavirus disruptions that would upset the payments of young graduates. The financial firm's quarterly dividend of 16 cents, however, went uninterrupted throughout the upheaval, and now NAVI stock is facing an uptrend considering that both the economic and political outlook have improved. Shares are up a huge 150% or so in the last 12 months, and it still offers a dividend that's more than twice the S&amp;P 500, even after that run.</p><p><blockquote>一两年前，在关于学生债务减免的政治讨论中，学生贷款提供商Navient并不是一只受欢迎的股票，紧随其后的是人们担心冠状病毒干扰会导致经济衰退，从而扰乱年轻毕业生的还款。然而，该金融公司16美分的季度股息在整个动荡期间没有中断，考虑到经济和政治前景都有所改善，现在NAVI股票面临上升趋势。过去12个月，股价大幅上涨了150%左右，即使在那次上涨之后，它的股息仍然是标普500的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pfizer Inc. (PFE)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞公司(PFE)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>3.6%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>3.6%</blockquote></p><p> Big Pharma mainstay Pfizer has outperformed the broader stock market slightly in 2021, continuing to ride high on its high-profile success developing an effective coronavirus vaccine. Given the risk posed by variants of the disease, along with a continued push to vaccinate worldwide now that many developed markets have gotten their shots, investors could continue to see a decent tailwind for PFE in the near term. On top of that, don't forget this $240 billion drugmaker remains <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the most dominanthealth care companieson the planet, and one of the most reliable dividend stocks out there with an amazing streak of 330 consecutive quarterly dividends paid to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>大型制药公司的中流砥柱辉瑞在2021年的表现略好于大盘，继续因其在开发有效的冠状病毒疫苗方面取得的高调成功而高居榜首。鉴于该疾病变种带来的风险，以及许多发达市场已经接种疫苗后全球范围内持续推动疫苗接种，投资者在短期内可能会继续看到PFE的良好推动力。最重要的是，不要忘记这家价值2400亿美元的制药商仍然<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>是全球最具主导地位的医疗保健公司之一，也是最可靠的股息股票之一，连续330个季度向股东支付股息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vedanta Ltd. (VEDL)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>韦丹塔有限公司（领导）</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>5.1%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>5.1%</blockquote></p><p> Vedanta is an India-based industrial conglomerate that operates a diversified natural resources business spanning oil and gas production as well as coal,silverandcoppermining. It also takes the energy sources it extracts and operates power generation facilities, operating an arm that is a major electric utility in the nation. Given that this stock is in an emerging market and not as large as other materials stocks at only about $14 billion, there's a bit more risk here than in other similar stocks. But with a generous dividend and rising revenues, thanks to the global economic recovery, this stock has been a top performer lately with year-to-date returns of more than 60% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Vedanta是一家总部位于印度的工业集团，经营多元化的自然资源业务，涵盖石油和天然气生产以及煤炭、白银和铜矿开采。它还获取其提取的能源并运营发电设施，运营着美国主要电力公司的分支机构。鉴于该股票位于新兴市场，规模不像其他材料股那么大，仅约140亿美元，因此这里的风险比其他类似股票要大一些。但得益于全球经济复苏，凭借丰厚的股息和不断增长的收入，该股最近表现最佳，2021年年初至今的回报率超过60%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vistra Corp. (VST)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>瑞致达公司(VST)</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield:</b>3.1%</p><p><blockquote><b>股息率：</b>3.1%</blockquote></p><p> A Texas-based utility company, Vistra is an electricity provider -- one of the most stable businesses on Wall Street. But VST also has modest growth potential as it operates in six of the seven wholesale markets where utilities compete for customers, thanks to deregulation. Right now, it has nearly 5 million residential, commercial and industrial connections in about 20 states. Additionally, it announced construction of a 1,600 megawatt-hour battery energy storage system in California, which has captivated investors. Shares have underperformed year to date in 2021, but are up about 30% from their spring lows -- and continue to offer a generous dividend on top of this short-term momentum.</p><p><blockquote>瑞致达是一家总部位于德克萨斯州的公用事业公司，是一家电力供应商，也是华尔街最稳定的企业之一。但伟仕佳杰也具有适度的增长潜力，因为由于放松管制，它在公用事业公司争夺客户的七个批发市场中的六个市场开展业务。目前，它在大约20个州拥有近500万个住宅、商业和工业连接。此外，它还宣布在加州建设一个1600兆瓦时的电池能量储存系统，这也吸引了投资者。2021年迄今为止，该股表现不佳，但较春季低点上涨了约30%，并且在这种短期势头的基础上继续提供丰厚的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/5-best-dividend-stocks-buy-175503089.html\">US News</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞","VST":"Vistra Energy Corp.","VEDL":"Vedanta  Limited","EPR":"EPR不动产","NAVI":"Navient Corp"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/5-best-dividend-stocks-buy-175503089.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173075225","content_text":"In late July, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid more than 700 points in a single session to log its worst single-day decline since October. Shares have since rebounded, and the majorstock market indexesall continue to flirt with new all-time highs, but it's worth noting that the big gains of the last year or two seem much harder to come by. Specifically, the Dow Jones is more or less flat from where it was at the start of May.\nThat hints that gains could be tougher to score in the months ahead -- and could be a sign that income-oriented dividend stocks may provide not just stability but also a nice flow of cash to ensure your nest egg keeps growing.\nIf you're interested individend stocksright now, here are five that look particularly strong at the start of August:\n\nEPR Properties (ticker:EPR)\nNavient Corp. (NAVI)\nPfizer Inc. (PFE)\nVedanta Ltd. (VEDL)\nVistra Corp. (VST)\n\n[Sign up for stock news with our Invested newsletter.]\nEPR Properties (EPR)\nDividend yield:5.7%\nEPR is a leading \"net lease\" real estate investment trust, meaning it demands clients pay for ancillary expenses like maintenance or insurance on the properties while it just cashes the rent check. It's not a shopping mall or residential real estate firm, however, and focuses on \"out of home leisure and recreation experiences,\" including movie theaters, beach resorts and ski slopes across more than 40 states. Obviously, with the overall easing of coronavirus restrictions, EPR has been seeing a huge recovery to its business compared with its performance last summer in the throes of lockdowns. Shares are up about 60% year to date, and EPR just resumed a 25 cent quarterly dividend in July. That bodes well both for future performance and future dividends.\nNavient Corp. (NAVI)\nDividend yield:3.2%\nStudent loan provider Navient was not exactly a popular stock a year or two ago amid political discussions ofstudent debtforgiveness, which were followed closely by fears of an economic downturn caused by coronavirus disruptions that would upset the payments of young graduates. The financial firm's quarterly dividend of 16 cents, however, went uninterrupted throughout the upheaval, and now NAVI stock is facing an uptrend considering that both the economic and political outlook have improved. Shares are up a huge 150% or so in the last 12 months, and it still offers a dividend that's more than twice the S&P 500, even after that run.\nPfizer Inc. (PFE)\nDividend yield:3.6%\nBig Pharma mainstay Pfizer has outperformed the broader stock market slightly in 2021, continuing to ride high on its high-profile success developing an effective coronavirus vaccine. Given the risk posed by variants of the disease, along with a continued push to vaccinate worldwide now that many developed markets have gotten their shots, investors could continue to see a decent tailwind for PFE in the near term. On top of that, don't forget this $240 billion drugmaker remains one of the most dominanthealth care companieson the planet, and one of the most reliable dividend stocks out there with an amazing streak of 330 consecutive quarterly dividends paid to shareholders.\nVedanta Ltd. (VEDL)\nDividend yield:5.1%\nVedanta is an India-based industrial conglomerate that operates a diversified natural resources business spanning oil and gas production as well as coal,silverandcoppermining. It also takes the energy sources it extracts and operates power generation facilities, operating an arm that is a major electric utility in the nation. Given that this stock is in an emerging market and not as large as other materials stocks at only about $14 billion, there's a bit more risk here than in other similar stocks. But with a generous dividend and rising revenues, thanks to the global economic recovery, this stock has been a top performer lately with year-to-date returns of more than 60% in 2021.\nVistra Corp. (VST)\nDividend yield:3.1%\nA Texas-based utility company, Vistra is an electricity provider -- one of the most stable businesses on Wall Street. But VST also has modest growth potential as it operates in six of the seven wholesale markets where utilities compete for customers, thanks to deregulation. Right now, it has nearly 5 million residential, commercial and industrial connections in about 20 states. Additionally, it announced construction of a 1,600 megawatt-hour battery energy storage system in California, which has captivated investors. Shares have underperformed year to date in 2021, but are up about 30% from their spring lows -- and continue to offer a generous dividend on top of this short-term momentum.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"NAVI":0.9,"VEDL":0.9,"BOTB.UK":0.9,"EPR":0.9,"VST":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149278795,"gmtCreate":1625733108117,"gmtModify":1633937904029,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good update","listText":"Good update","text":"Good update","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149278795","repostId":"2149345974","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815500891,"gmtCreate":1630684510913,"gmtModify":1632466962183,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815500891","repostId":"1128877475","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832951384,"gmtCreate":1629565364548,"gmtModify":1633684019347,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info!","listText":"Good info!","text":"Good info!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832951384","repostId":"2161745179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148823191,"gmtCreate":1625968096713,"gmtModify":1633931313821,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info","listText":"Good info","text":"Good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148823191","repostId":"1196440758","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196440758","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625967335,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196440758?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Growth Stocks for the Next 10 Years<blockquote>未来10年的2只成长型股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196440758","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Both of these companies grew revenue by triple-digit rates in their most recent quarters. More importantly, their futures look bright.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Growth stocks may be riskier than stable and established companies, but carefully selected ones may be worth it.</li>  <li>Stay-at-home trends have helped these companies, but their growth rates were high before the pandemic, too.</li>  <li>Both of these fast-growing tech businesses are already profitable.</li> </ul> There's an interesting dilemma when it comes to picking stocks investors can likely hold for years or even decades. On the one hand, investors looking to hold shares for the long haul can stick with stable and established companies that have been around for decades and will likely continue succeeding for the foreseeable future -- companies like&nbsp;<b>Waste Management</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>. The downside to this approach, however, is that investors may miss out on the potential outperformance that could come from fast-growing companies over the long haul.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>成长型股票可能比稳定、成熟的公司风险更大，但精心挑选的股票可能是值得的。</li><li>居家趋势帮助了这些公司，但它们的增长率在大流行之前也很高。</li><li>这两项快速增长的科技业务都已经盈利。</li></ul>在选择投资者可能持有数年甚至数十年的股票时，存在一个有趣的困境。一方面，希望长期持有股票的投资者可以坚持持有稳定且成熟的公司，这些公司已经存在了数十年，并且在可预见的未来可能会继续取得成功——例如<b>废物管理</b>和<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>然而，这种方法的缺点是，投资者可能会错过长期快速增长的公司可能带来的潜在优异表现。</blockquote></p><p> The issue with buying&nbsp;growth stocks, however, is that it's extremely difficult to gauge how long their rapid top-line growth rates can persist. Further, these companies' stock prices could perform very poorly if the growth prospects already baked into the stock price don't pan out. In other words, there's arguably more risk when it comes to betting on growth stocks for the next decade than there is for stable and established companies with decades of success behind them.</p><p><blockquote>然而，购买成长型股票的问题在于，很难衡量其快速的营收增长率能持续多久。此外，如果股价中已经体现的增长前景没有实现，这些公司的股价可能会表现非常糟糕。换句话说，押注未来十年的成长型股票可能比押注拥有数十年成功经验的稳定成熟公司的风险更大。</blockquote></p><p> So if an&nbsp;investor&nbsp;wants to buy growth stocks with a high chance of exceeding expectations over the next 10 years, they better have some pretty good reasons to believe these companies can do exactly that.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果投资者想购买未来10年极有可能超出预期的成长型股票，他们最好有一些很好的理由相信这些公司能够做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257045ef62f724806bce2b35390a5e4f\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1500\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Here are two growth stocks that have a shot at not only living up to high expectations over the next 10 years but possibly even exceeding them:<b>Zoom Video Communications</b>(NASDAQ:ZM)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Peloton Interactive</b>(NASDAQ:PTON).</p><p><blockquote>以下是两只成长型股票，它们不仅有可能在未来10年达到高预期，甚至可能超过预期：<b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>（纳斯达克：ZM）及<b>Peloton互动</b>（纳斯达克：PTON）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom and Peloton were already thriving before the pandemic</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom和Peloton在大流行之前就已经蓬勃发展</b></blockquote></p><p> At first glance, investors may conclude that Zoom is nothing more than a pandemic stock. They may argue that the company's success was predicated almost entirely on the fact that much of the world was in lockdown in 2020 and going into 2021.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，投资者可能会得出结论，Zoom只不过是一只流行病股票。他们可能会说，该公司的成功几乎完全取决于这样一个事实，即世界大部分地区在2020年和2021年都处于封锁状态。</blockquote></p><p> It's true that Zoom benefited significantly from the rise of virtual work in 2020. After all, revenue for the company's fiscal 2021 (a fiscal year ending Jan. 31, 2021) skyrocketed 326% year over year. But investors should note that the trend of using video to collaborate virtually was already extremely strong before the pandemic; fiscal 2020 revenue rose 88% year over year. Growth at the time was particularly strong from large customers. Zoom's customers contributing more than $100,000 of trailing-12-month revenue increased 86% year over year in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2020.</p><p><blockquote>确实，Zoom从2020年虚拟工作的兴起中受益匪浅。毕竟，该公司2021财年（截至2021年1月31日的财年）的收入同比飙升326%。但投资者应该注意到，在大流行之前，使用视频进行虚拟协作的趋势就已经非常强劲；2020财年收入同比增长88%。当时来自大客户的增长尤其强劲。2020财年第四季度，Zoom的客户过去12个月收入贡献超过10万美元，同比增长86%。</blockquote></p><p> The same goes for Peloton. The company certainly benefited from the pandemic, but revenue during the quarter ending Dec. 31, 2019 was growing at a year-over-year rate of 77%, with connected fitness subscribers increasing 96% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Peloton也是如此。该公司当然受益于疫情，但截至2019年12月31日的季度收入同比增长77%，联网健身订户同比增长96%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Continued momentum</b></p><p><blockquote><b>持续的势头</b></blockquote></p><p> The underlying catalysts driving Zoom and Peloton are both still alive and well. Strong growth persists at both companies.</p><p><blockquote>推动Zoom和Peloton的潜在催化剂仍然存在。两家公司都持续强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> Despite facing extremely tough comparisons in the year-ago quarter, from when both companies were benefiting from soaring demand amid lockdowns, Zoom's and Peloton's revenue in their most recently reported quarters grew 191% and 141% year over year, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>尽管与去年同期相比面临极其严峻的比较，但Zoom和Peloton在最近报告的季度中的收入分别同比增长了191%和141%，当时两家公司都受益于封锁期间需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, Zoom notably guided for fiscal 2022 revenue of nearly $4 billion, up from fiscal 2021 revenue of about $2.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，Zoom特别预计2022财年营收将接近40亿美元，高于2021财年约27亿美元的营收。</blockquote></p><p> Boding well for Peloton's continued momentum, management said in its most recent quarterly update that its monthly average workouts per connected fitness subscription rose to an all-time high, showing how the company's products are still yielding high engagement even as the economy reopens.</p><p><blockquote>管理层在最近的季度更新中表示，其每个互联健身订阅的月平均锻炼次数升至历史新高，这预示着Peloton的持续势头，这表明即使经济重新开放，该公司的产品仍然产生高参与度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Healthy profits</b></p><p><blockquote><b>健康利润</b></blockquote></p><p> Finally, another factor that makes these companies unique from many other growth stocks is that they are already very profitable. Zoom generated $873 million of net income on $3.3 billion of trailing-12-month sales, and Peloton served up $213 million of net income from $3.7 billion in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>最后，这些公司与许多其他成长型股票不同的另一个因素是，它们已经非常有利可图。Zoom过去12个月的销售额为33亿美元，净利润为8.73亿美元，Peloton的净利润为37亿美元，净利润为2.13亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Substantial profits give these companies an edge when it comes to reinvesting in growth opportunities ahead of them and spending on efforts to enhance their competitive positioning and first-mover advantages in their respective industries.</p><p><blockquote>可观的利润使这些公司在对未来的增长机会进行再投资以及努力增强其在各自行业的竞争地位和先发优势方面具有优势。</blockquote></p><p> While there's no guarantee these two stocks will beat the market over the next 10 years, their recent momentum -- before, during, and after the worst part of the pandemic -- suggests they likely have a promising future.</p><p><blockquote>虽然不能保证这两只股票在未来10年内会跑赢市场，但它们最近的势头——在大流行最严重的时期之前、期间和之后——表明它们的未来可能充满希望。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Growth Stocks for the Next 10 Years<blockquote>未来10年的2只成长型股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Growth Stocks for the Next 10 Years<blockquote>未来10年的2只成长型股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Growth stocks may be riskier than stable and established companies, but carefully selected ones may be worth it.</li>  <li>Stay-at-home trends have helped these companies, but their growth rates were high before the pandemic, too.</li>  <li>Both of these fast-growing tech businesses are already profitable.</li> </ul> There's an interesting dilemma when it comes to picking stocks investors can likely hold for years or even decades. On the one hand, investors looking to hold shares for the long haul can stick with stable and established companies that have been around for decades and will likely continue succeeding for the foreseeable future -- companies like&nbsp;<b>Waste Management</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>. The downside to this approach, however, is that investors may miss out on the potential outperformance that could come from fast-growing companies over the long haul.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>成长型股票可能比稳定、成熟的公司风险更大，但精心挑选的股票可能是值得的。</li><li>居家趋势帮助了这些公司，但它们的增长率在大流行之前也很高。</li><li>这两项快速增长的科技业务都已经盈利。</li></ul>在选择投资者可能持有数年甚至数十年的股票时，存在一个有趣的困境。一方面，希望长期持有股票的投资者可以坚持持有稳定且成熟的公司，这些公司已经存在了数十年，并且在可预见的未来可能会继续取得成功——例如<b>废物管理</b>和<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>然而，这种方法的缺点是，投资者可能会错过长期快速增长的公司可能带来的潜在优异表现。</blockquote></p><p> The issue with buying&nbsp;growth stocks, however, is that it's extremely difficult to gauge how long their rapid top-line growth rates can persist. Further, these companies' stock prices could perform very poorly if the growth prospects already baked into the stock price don't pan out. In other words, there's arguably more risk when it comes to betting on growth stocks for the next decade than there is for stable and established companies with decades of success behind them.</p><p><blockquote>然而，购买成长型股票的问题在于，很难衡量其快速的营收增长率能持续多久。此外，如果股价中已经体现的增长前景没有实现，这些公司的股价可能会表现非常糟糕。换句话说，押注未来十年的成长型股票可能比押注拥有数十年成功经验的稳定成熟公司的风险更大。</blockquote></p><p> So if an&nbsp;investor&nbsp;wants to buy growth stocks with a high chance of exceeding expectations over the next 10 years, they better have some pretty good reasons to believe these companies can do exactly that.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果投资者想购买未来10年极有可能超出预期的成长型股票，他们最好有一些很好的理由相信这些公司能够做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257045ef62f724806bce2b35390a5e4f\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1500\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Here are two growth stocks that have a shot at not only living up to high expectations over the next 10 years but possibly even exceeding them:<b>Zoom Video Communications</b>(NASDAQ:ZM)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Peloton Interactive</b>(NASDAQ:PTON).</p><p><blockquote>以下是两只成长型股票，它们不仅有可能在未来10年达到高预期，甚至可能超过预期：<b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>（纳斯达克：ZM）及<b>Peloton互动</b>（纳斯达克：PTON）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom and Peloton were already thriving before the pandemic</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom和Peloton在大流行之前就已经蓬勃发展</b></blockquote></p><p> At first glance, investors may conclude that Zoom is nothing more than a pandemic stock. They may argue that the company's success was predicated almost entirely on the fact that much of the world was in lockdown in 2020 and going into 2021.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，投资者可能会得出结论，Zoom只不过是一只流行病股票。他们可能会说，该公司的成功几乎完全取决于这样一个事实，即世界大部分地区在2020年和2021年都处于封锁状态。</blockquote></p><p> It's true that Zoom benefited significantly from the rise of virtual work in 2020. After all, revenue for the company's fiscal 2021 (a fiscal year ending Jan. 31, 2021) skyrocketed 326% year over year. But investors should note that the trend of using video to collaborate virtually was already extremely strong before the pandemic; fiscal 2020 revenue rose 88% year over year. Growth at the time was particularly strong from large customers. Zoom's customers contributing more than $100,000 of trailing-12-month revenue increased 86% year over year in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2020.</p><p><blockquote>确实，Zoom从2020年虚拟工作的兴起中受益匪浅。毕竟，该公司2021财年（截至2021年1月31日的财年）的收入同比飙升326%。但投资者应该注意到，在大流行之前，使用视频进行虚拟协作的趋势就已经非常强劲；2020财年收入同比增长88%。当时来自大客户的增长尤其强劲。2020财年第四季度，Zoom的客户过去12个月收入贡献超过10万美元，同比增长86%。</blockquote></p><p> The same goes for Peloton. The company certainly benefited from the pandemic, but revenue during the quarter ending Dec. 31, 2019 was growing at a year-over-year rate of 77%, with connected fitness subscribers increasing 96% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Peloton也是如此。该公司当然受益于疫情，但截至2019年12月31日的季度收入同比增长77%，联网健身订户同比增长96%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Continued momentum</b></p><p><blockquote><b>持续的势头</b></blockquote></p><p> The underlying catalysts driving Zoom and Peloton are both still alive and well. Strong growth persists at both companies.</p><p><blockquote>推动Zoom和Peloton的潜在催化剂仍然存在。两家公司都持续强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> Despite facing extremely tough comparisons in the year-ago quarter, from when both companies were benefiting from soaring demand amid lockdowns, Zoom's and Peloton's revenue in their most recently reported quarters grew 191% and 141% year over year, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>尽管与去年同期相比面临极其严峻的比较，但Zoom和Peloton在最近报告的季度中的收入分别同比增长了191%和141%，当时两家公司都受益于封锁期间需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, Zoom notably guided for fiscal 2022 revenue of nearly $4 billion, up from fiscal 2021 revenue of about $2.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，Zoom特别预计2022财年营收将接近40亿美元，高于2021财年约27亿美元的营收。</blockquote></p><p> Boding well for Peloton's continued momentum, management said in its most recent quarterly update that its monthly average workouts per connected fitness subscription rose to an all-time high, showing how the company's products are still yielding high engagement even as the economy reopens.</p><p><blockquote>管理层在最近的季度更新中表示，其每个互联健身订阅的月平均锻炼次数升至历史新高，这预示着Peloton的持续势头，这表明即使经济重新开放，该公司的产品仍然产生高参与度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Healthy profits</b></p><p><blockquote><b>健康利润</b></blockquote></p><p> Finally, another factor that makes these companies unique from many other growth stocks is that they are already very profitable. Zoom generated $873 million of net income on $3.3 billion of trailing-12-month sales, and Peloton served up $213 million of net income from $3.7 billion in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>最后，这些公司与许多其他成长型股票不同的另一个因素是，它们已经非常有利可图。Zoom过去12个月的销售额为33亿美元，净利润为8.73亿美元，Peloton的净利润为37亿美元，净利润为2.13亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Substantial profits give these companies an edge when it comes to reinvesting in growth opportunities ahead of them and spending on efforts to enhance their competitive positioning and first-mover advantages in their respective industries.</p><p><blockquote>可观的利润使这些公司在对未来的增长机会进行再投资以及努力增强其在各自行业的竞争地位和先发优势方面具有优势。</blockquote></p><p> While there's no guarantee these two stocks will beat the market over the next 10 years, their recent momentum -- before, during, and after the worst part of the pandemic -- suggests they likely have a promising future.</p><p><blockquote>虽然不能保证这两只股票在未来10年内会跑赢市场，但它们最近的势头——在大流行最严重的时期之前、期间和之后——表明它们的未来可能充满希望。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/10/2-growth-stocks-for-the-next-10-years/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/10/2-growth-stocks-for-the-next-10-years/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196440758","content_text":"Key Points\n\nGrowth stocks may be riskier than stable and established companies, but carefully selected ones may be worth it.\nStay-at-home trends have helped these companies, but their growth rates were high before the pandemic, too.\nBoth of these fast-growing tech businesses are already profitable.\n\nThere's an interesting dilemma when it comes to picking stocks investors can likely hold for years or even decades. On the one hand, investors looking to hold shares for the long haul can stick with stable and established companies that have been around for decades and will likely continue succeeding for the foreseeable future -- companies like Waste Management and Berkshire Hathaway. The downside to this approach, however, is that investors may miss out on the potential outperformance that could come from fast-growing companies over the long haul.\nThe issue with buying growth stocks, however, is that it's extremely difficult to gauge how long their rapid top-line growth rates can persist. Further, these companies' stock prices could perform very poorly if the growth prospects already baked into the stock price don't pan out. In other words, there's arguably more risk when it comes to betting on growth stocks for the next decade than there is for stable and established companies with decades of success behind them.\nSo if an investor wants to buy growth stocks with a high chance of exceeding expectations over the next 10 years, they better have some pretty good reasons to believe these companies can do exactly that.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nHere are two growth stocks that have a shot at not only living up to high expectations over the next 10 years but possibly even exceeding them:Zoom Video Communications(NASDAQ:ZM) and Peloton Interactive(NASDAQ:PTON).\nZoom and Peloton were already thriving before the pandemic\nAt first glance, investors may conclude that Zoom is nothing more than a pandemic stock. They may argue that the company's success was predicated almost entirely on the fact that much of the world was in lockdown in 2020 and going into 2021.\nIt's true that Zoom benefited significantly from the rise of virtual work in 2020. After all, revenue for the company's fiscal 2021 (a fiscal year ending Jan. 31, 2021) skyrocketed 326% year over year. But investors should note that the trend of using video to collaborate virtually was already extremely strong before the pandemic; fiscal 2020 revenue rose 88% year over year. Growth at the time was particularly strong from large customers. Zoom's customers contributing more than $100,000 of trailing-12-month revenue increased 86% year over year in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2020.\nThe same goes for Peloton. The company certainly benefited from the pandemic, but revenue during the quarter ending Dec. 31, 2019 was growing at a year-over-year rate of 77%, with connected fitness subscribers increasing 96% year over year.\nContinued momentum\nThe underlying catalysts driving Zoom and Peloton are both still alive and well. Strong growth persists at both companies.\nDespite facing extremely tough comparisons in the year-ago quarter, from when both companies were benefiting from soaring demand amid lockdowns, Zoom's and Peloton's revenue in their most recently reported quarters grew 191% and 141% year over year, respectively.\nLooking ahead, Zoom notably guided for fiscal 2022 revenue of nearly $4 billion, up from fiscal 2021 revenue of about $2.7 billion.\nBoding well for Peloton's continued momentum, management said in its most recent quarterly update that its monthly average workouts per connected fitness subscription rose to an all-time high, showing how the company's products are still yielding high engagement even as the economy reopens.\nHealthy profits\nFinally, another factor that makes these companies unique from many other growth stocks is that they are already very profitable. Zoom generated $873 million of net income on $3.3 billion of trailing-12-month sales, and Peloton served up $213 million of net income from $3.7 billion in revenue.\nSubstantial profits give these companies an edge when it comes to reinvesting in growth opportunities ahead of them and spending on efforts to enhance their competitive positioning and first-mover advantages in their respective industries.\nWhile there's no guarantee these two stocks will beat the market over the next 10 years, their recent momentum -- before, during, and after the worst part of the pandemic -- suggests they likely have a promising future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZM":0.9,"PTON":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144638505,"gmtCreate":1626278505807,"gmtModify":1633928295022,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stock to watch","listText":"Stock to watch","text":"Stock to watch","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144638505","repostId":"1110985217","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":894,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148095916,"gmtCreate":1625897562235,"gmtModify":1633936236480,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148095916","repostId":"1185154176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185154176","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625886925,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185154176?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185154176","media":"marketwatch","summary":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support. When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit n","content":"<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p><p><blockquote>经济蓬勃发展，盈利上升，美联储给予前所未有的支持</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（豪尔赫·格雷罗/法新社，盖蒂图片社摄）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p><p><blockquote>当股市抛售时，就像周四一样，正确的做法是购买你最喜欢的股票。周五的市场走势证明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于标普500指数今年已经大幅上涨17%，确实可能会出现回调。但你也应该买。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p><p><blockquote>由于这六个原因，我们仍处于股市三到五年牛市的早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.有巨大的被压抑的需求</b></blockquote></p><p> Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都在向美联储寻求有关刺激的线索。他们忽视了将推高股市的私营部门力量。总而言之，巨大的被压抑的私营部门需求将有助于推动美国今年的GDP增长达到8%，并在此后几年达到3.5%-4.5%。Leuthold Group首席策略师兼经济学家吉姆·保尔森指出，被压抑的需求来自以下来源。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p><p><blockquote>首先，随着千禧一代进入家庭年，家庭组建激增。这有助于解释家庭需求的大幅上升。一旦你买了房子，你就得把它装满东西。更多的消费者需求即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>在幕后，消费者有大量未用完的储蓄，因为他们为疫情做好了准备。个人储蓄率接近GDP的16%，而战后的平均水平为6.5%。之前的高点是20世纪70年代的10%。</blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是，家庭资产负债表显著改善。债务收入比是20世纪90年代以来的最低水平。消费者将继续利用更多的银行贷款和信用卡容量，因为就业和经济保持强劲，他们的信心增强。</blockquote></p><p> Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，一旦额外的失业救济金在9月份到期，将会有更多的新就业人口。这意味着消费者信心将会提高，这必然会促进经济增长。劳动参与率还有提高的空间，在我们达到可能限制经济增长的充分就业之前，留下了闲置的就业能力。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看企业被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p><p><blockquote>你知道你经常遇到或听说的所有短缺的东西吗？这就是为什么会发生这种情况。为了应对长期的疫情，企业大幅削减库存。这是有史以来最大的库存清理。但现在，企业不得不重建库存。正在进行的库存重建将是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p><p><blockquote>公司也削减了产能，并再次扩大产能。资本货物支出在过去二十年的大部分时间里基本持平，去年飙升至历史新高，增长了近23%。这创造了持续的增长，它告诉我们很多关于商业信心的信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b>：我们今年将看到7%-8%的GDP增长，明年将达到4%-4.5%，之后将高于平均水平的增长，支持股市持续牛市。期待一路上的正常修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.被低估的盈利繁荣即将到来</b></blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹发生得如此之快，分析师们跟不上。分析师预计标普500今年的每股收益为190美元。但考虑到预期的7%-8%的GDP增长和尚未生效的大规模刺激措施，这一数字低得可怜。刺激通常需要六到八个月才能生效，最近的很多刺激都发生在这个窗口内。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预计，2021年标普500的盈利将更接近220美元，而不是普遍预期的190美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森表示：“分析师仍然低估了利润的改善程度以及将会改善多少。”“我们从政策官员那里得到了戏剧性的过度反应。他们解决了崩溃的问题，但在基本面上创造了巨大的改善。这在利润复苏方面仍在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>此外，更多的财政刺激可能即将以基础设施支出的形式出现。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.城里有一个新的美联储</b></blockquote></p><p> For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p><p><blockquote>在过去三十年的大部分时间里，美联储一直在迅速收紧政策以抵御通胀。在此过程中，央行扼杀了经济增长。这就是过去20年是战后经济增长最慢的原因之一。然而现在，美联储更加宽松，这种情况可能会持续下去，因为通胀将保持低迷（更多内容见下文）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个简单的衡量标准来衡量这一点。以GDP增长减去10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y，1.359%。该指标在1980年至2010年的大部分时间里都为负值，当时美联储保持增长降温以遏制通胀。但现在，美联储的政策正在帮助将10年期国债收益率保持在远低于GDP增长的水平，从而使经济过热。这就是1950-1965年的情况，一些分析家将其看涨期权为“资本主义的黄金时代”，因为增长的下滑路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀不会杀死公牛</b></blockquote></p><p> Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济如此火爆，通胀短期内可能会上升。但从中期来看，通胀杀手将获胜。这是一个综述。人口老龄化，老年人消费减少。企业资本支出的繁荣将继续提高企业的生产率。这使他们能够避免将上升的成本转嫁给客户。全球贸易和竞争并没有消失。这给价格带来了下行压力，因为在许多外国可以更便宜地制造商品。持续的技术进步不断给科技产品带来下行压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五、估值将改善</b></blockquote></p><p> We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在正处于经济反弹的阶段，通常会出现以下动态。股市连续几个月横盘整理，主要是因为对通胀和债券收益率上升的担忧。与此同时，经济和盈利持续增长，压低了股票估值。在1983-84年、1993-94年、2004-05年和2009-10年的经济反弹中，这种动态大约在这一点上发挥了作用。简而言之，我们将看到盈利大幅飙升，而股市则标志着时间的到来，甚至是回调。</blockquote></p><p> This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p><p><blockquote>这将降低股票估值，消除投资者的主要担忧之一——高估值。如果标普500的盈利在年底达到220美元，并且该指数因回调而达到4,000至4,100点，那么股票的市盈率将达到18-19倍，低于1990年以来的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA+1.30%和罗素2000小盘股指数已经横盘整理了两到四个月。标普500和纳斯达克最近突破了交易区间，但更大的回调将使它们重新进入横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.情绪并不极端</b></blockquote></p><p> As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名逆向投资者，我将过度情绪视为是时候筹集一些现金的迹象。我们还没有看到这一点。一个简单的衡量标准是投资者情报牛熊比率。最近的价格是3.92。那是在警告路径附近，对我来说从4点开始。另一方面，共同基金现金最近为4.6万亿美元，接近历史高位。这代表了投资者的谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Three themes to follow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵循三个主题</b></blockquote></p><p> If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们即将迎来持续的经济复苏和股市多年牛市，那么遵循这三个主题是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐周期性股票。</b>继续投资对经济敏感的企业，并在回调时增持这些企业。这意味着金融、材料、工业和非必需消费品业务等领域的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p><p><blockquote><b>避免防御。</b>如果您想要收益，请选择支付股息但具有资本增值潜力的股票，而不是销售消费品等稳定增长的公司。关于这个主题，在我的股票信Brush Up on Stocks（链接在下面的简介中）中，我最近建议或重申了零售业的家得宝、市场和投资银行名称B.Riley Financial以及消费者金融领域的区域管理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐新兴市场。</b>在扩张期间，它们的增长率往往更高。小心中国。它的人口正在老龄化。劳动力增长有限可能会限制经济增长。另一个挑战是，持续的美中紧张局势以及持续关税和贸易壁垒的相关威胁导致全球公司将供应链转移到其他地方。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p><p><blockquote>经济蓬勃发展，盈利上升，美联储给予前所未有的支持</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（豪尔赫·格雷罗/法新社，盖蒂图片社摄）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p><p><blockquote>当股市抛售时，就像周四一样，正确的做法是购买你最喜欢的股票。周五的市场走势证明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于标普500指数今年已经大幅上涨17%，确实可能会出现回调。但你也应该买。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p><p><blockquote>由于这六个原因，我们仍处于股市三到五年牛市的早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.有巨大的被压抑的需求</b></blockquote></p><p> Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都在向美联储寻求有关刺激的线索。他们忽视了将推高股市的私营部门力量。总而言之，巨大的被压抑的私营部门需求将有助于推动美国今年的GDP增长达到8%，并在此后几年达到3.5%-4.5%。Leuthold Group首席策略师兼经济学家吉姆·保尔森指出，被压抑的需求来自以下来源。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p><p><blockquote>首先，随着千禧一代进入家庭年，家庭组建激增。这有助于解释家庭需求的大幅上升。一旦你买了房子，你就得把它装满东西。更多的消费者需求即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>在幕后，消费者有大量未用完的储蓄，因为他们为疫情做好了准备。个人储蓄率接近GDP的16%，而战后的平均水平为6.5%。之前的高点是20世纪70年代的10%。</blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是，家庭资产负债表显著改善。债务收入比是20世纪90年代以来的最低水平。消费者将继续利用更多的银行贷款和信用卡容量，因为就业和经济保持强劲，他们的信心增强。</blockquote></p><p> Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，一旦额外的失业救济金在9月份到期，将会有更多的新就业人口。这意味着消费者信心将会提高，这必然会促进经济增长。劳动参与率还有提高的空间，在我们达到可能限制经济增长的充分就业之前，留下了闲置的就业能力。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看企业被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p><p><blockquote>你知道你经常遇到或听说的所有短缺的东西吗？这就是为什么会发生这种情况。为了应对长期的疫情，企业大幅削减库存。这是有史以来最大的库存清理。但现在，企业不得不重建库存。正在进行的库存重建将是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p><p><blockquote>公司也削减了产能，并再次扩大产能。资本货物支出在过去二十年的大部分时间里基本持平，去年飙升至历史新高，增长了近23%。这创造了持续的增长，它告诉我们很多关于商业信心的信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b>：我们今年将看到7%-8%的GDP增长，明年将达到4%-4.5%，之后将高于平均水平的增长，支持股市持续牛市。期待一路上的正常修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.被低估的盈利繁荣即将到来</b></blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹发生得如此之快，分析师们跟不上。分析师预计标普500今年的每股收益为190美元。但考虑到预期的7%-8%的GDP增长和尚未生效的大规模刺激措施，这一数字低得可怜。刺激通常需要六到八个月才能生效，最近的很多刺激都发生在这个窗口内。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预计，2021年标普500的盈利将更接近220美元，而不是普遍预期的190美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森表示：“分析师仍然低估了利润的改善程度以及将会改善多少。”“我们从政策官员那里得到了戏剧性的过度反应。他们解决了崩溃的问题，但在基本面上创造了巨大的改善。这在利润复苏方面仍在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>此外，更多的财政刺激可能即将以基础设施支出的形式出现。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.城里有一个新的美联储</b></blockquote></p><p> For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p><p><blockquote>在过去三十年的大部分时间里，美联储一直在迅速收紧政策以抵御通胀。在此过程中，央行扼杀了经济增长。这就是过去20年是战后经济增长最慢的原因之一。然而现在，美联储更加宽松，这种情况可能会持续下去，因为通胀将保持低迷（更多内容见下文）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个简单的衡量标准来衡量这一点。以GDP增长减去10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y，1.359%。该指标在1980年至2010年的大部分时间里都为负值，当时美联储保持增长降温以遏制通胀。但现在，美联储的政策正在帮助将10年期国债收益率保持在远低于GDP增长的水平，从而使经济过热。这就是1950-1965年的情况，一些分析家将其看涨期权为“资本主义的黄金时代”，因为增长的下滑路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀不会杀死公牛</b></blockquote></p><p> Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济如此火爆，通胀短期内可能会上升。但从中期来看，通胀杀手将获胜。这是一个综述。人口老龄化，老年人消费减少。企业资本支出的繁荣将继续提高企业的生产率。这使他们能够避免将上升的成本转嫁给客户。全球贸易和竞争并没有消失。这给价格带来了下行压力，因为在许多外国可以更便宜地制造商品。持续的技术进步不断给科技产品带来下行压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五、估值将改善</b></blockquote></p><p> We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在正处于经济反弹的阶段，通常会出现以下动态。股市连续几个月横盘整理，主要是因为对通胀和债券收益率上升的担忧。与此同时，经济和盈利持续增长，压低了股票估值。在1983-84年、1993-94年、2004-05年和2009-10年的经济反弹中，这种动态大约在这一点上发挥了作用。简而言之，我们将看到盈利大幅飙升，而股市则标志着时间的到来，甚至是回调。</blockquote></p><p> This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p><p><blockquote>这将降低股票估值，消除投资者的主要担忧之一——高估值。如果标普500的盈利在年底达到220美元，并且该指数因回调而达到4,000至4,100点，那么股票的市盈率将达到18-19倍，低于1990年以来的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA+1.30%和罗素2000小盘股指数已经横盘整理了两到四个月。标普500和纳斯达克最近突破了交易区间，但更大的回调将使它们重新进入横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.情绪并不极端</b></blockquote></p><p> As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名逆向投资者，我将过度情绪视为是时候筹集一些现金的迹象。我们还没有看到这一点。一个简单的衡量标准是投资者情报牛熊比率。最近的价格是3.92。那是在警告路径附近，对我来说从4点开始。另一方面，共同基金现金最近为4.6万亿美元，接近历史高位。这代表了投资者的谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Three themes to follow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵循三个主题</b></blockquote></p><p> If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们即将迎来持续的经济复苏和股市多年牛市，那么遵循这三个主题是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐周期性股票。</b>继续投资对经济敏感的企业，并在回调时增持这些企业。这意味着金融、材料、工业和非必需消费品业务等领域的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p><p><blockquote><b>避免防御。</b>如果您想要收益，请选择支付股息但具有资本增值潜力的股票，而不是销售消费品等稳定增长的公司。关于这个主题，在我的股票信Brush Up on Stocks（链接在下面的简介中）中，我最近建议或重申了零售业的家得宝、市场和投资银行名称B.Riley Financial以及消费者金融领域的区域管理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐新兴市场。</b>在扩张期间，它们的增长率往往更高。小心中国。它的人口正在老龄化。劳动力增长有限可能会限制经济增长。另一个挑战是，持续的美中紧张局势以及持续关税和贸易壁垒的相关威胁导致全球公司将供应链转移到其他地方。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185154176","content_text":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support\n(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)\nWhen the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.\nIt’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&P 500 Index this year. But you should buy then, too.\nHere’s why.\nWe are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.\n1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand\nEveryone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.\nFirst, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.\nBehind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.\nRelatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.\nNext, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.\nNow let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.\nYou know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.\nCompanies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.\nThe bottom line: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.\n2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead\nThe economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.\nPaulsen expects 2021 S&P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.\n“Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”\nPlus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.\n3. There’s a new Fed in town\nFor much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).\nHere’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.\n4. Inflation won’t kill the bull\nInflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.\n5. Valuations will improve\nWe’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.\nThis will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.\nTrue to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000 small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.\n6. Sentiment isn’t extreme\nAs a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.\nThree themes to follow\nIf we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.\nFavor cyclicals.Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.\nAvoid defensives.If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management in consumer finance.\nFavor emerging markets.Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831429220,"gmtCreate":1629341948660,"gmtModify":1633685533326,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great stuff!","listText":"Great stuff!","text":"Great stuff!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831429220","repostId":"2160758681","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2160758681","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1629341030,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2160758681?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-19 10:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla's Ad Spending May Go From Zero To Meaningful In 2025: How Will Margins Be Impacted?<blockquote>特斯拉的广告支出可能会在2025年从零变为有意义：利润率将受到怎样的影响？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2160758681","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Unlike traditional automakers, which aggressively spend on advertising, electric vehicle giant Tesla","content":"<p><img src=\"https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/ujl8oNRbSxqq5vMjYQ.nIA--/cT03NTthcHBpZD15dmlkZW9mZWVkczs-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/Benzinga/f8071bb441937f6c0fff91a10827e648\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Unlike traditional automakers, which aggressively spend on advertising, electric vehicle&nbsp;giant <b>Tesla, Inc. </b>(NASDAQ: TSLA) allocates virtually nothing for this avenue of promotion.</p><p><blockquote>与传统汽车制造商大举投入广告不同，电动汽车巨头<b>特斯拉公司。</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）几乎没有为这种促销途径分配任何资金。</blockquote></p><p> Loup Funds'&nbsp;<b>Gene Munster&nbsp;</b>delved into the prospects of Tesla eventually warming up to ads and the likely impact on its margins.</p><p><blockquote>卢普基金<b>吉恩·蒙斯特</b>深入研究了特斯拉最终转向广告的前景以及对其利润率可能产生的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Will Tesla Advertise? </b> Tesla&nbsp;CEO <b>Elon Musk</b> is not a big fan of traditional advertising but has hinted recently that he prefers informational advertising that can provide potential buyers a better knowledge of Tesla products, Munster said in a note.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉会打广告吗？</b>特斯拉首席执行官<b>埃隆·马斯克</b>蒙斯特在一份报告中表示，他不太喜欢传统广告，但最近暗示他更喜欢可以让潜在买家更好地了解特斯拉产品的信息广告。</blockquote></p><p> Teslas have sold themselves until now thanks to a tech-focused customer base that has formed a passionate community around the brand, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，特斯拉迄今为止一直在推销自己，这要归功于以技术为中心的客户群，他们围绕该品牌形成了一个充满激情的社区。</blockquote></p><p> Over time, as the uptake of EVs improves and more players enter the market, Tesla's market positioning will likely see dilution, the analyst turned tech venture capitalist said.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师出身的科技风险投资家表示，随着时间的推移，随着电动汽车普及程度的提高以及更多参与者进入市场，特斯拉的市场定位可能会被稀释。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our best guess is that competition becomes more measurable in the next couple years and that Tesla starts advertising meaningfully in 2025,\" Munster said.</p><p><blockquote>蒙斯特表示：“我们最好的猜测是，未来几年竞争将变得更加可衡量，特斯拉将在2025年开始有意义地投放广告。”</blockquote></p><p> The company will unlikely to turn to advertising ahead of the period, given supply has been the rare limiting factor for growth rather than demand, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，鉴于供应而不是需求一直是增长的罕见限制因素，该公司不太可能在此之前转向广告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Margin Impact From Ads: </b> Tesla's advertising will likely be a \"slow lift\" and end up below&nbsp;auto industry'sevels, Munster said.</p><p><blockquote><b>Ads对利润率的影响：</b>蒙斯特说，特斯拉的广告可能会“缓慢上升”，最终低于汽车行业的水平。</blockquote></p><p> As opposed to <b>General Motors Company </b>(NYSE: GM) and <b>Ford Motor Company </b>(NYSE: F), which spend about 2.5% of&nbsp;total revenue&nbsp;on advertising, Tesla will eventually spend about 1% or $1.5 billion of its revenue&nbsp;in 2025, the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>与<b>通用汽车公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：GM）和<b>福特汽车公司</b>该分析师表示，特斯拉（NYSE：F）的广告支出约占总收入的2.5%，最终将在2025年花费约1%或15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This, he said, would equate to about $400 per vehicle.</p><p><blockquote>他说，这相当于每辆车400美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Taking out $1.5 billion in advertising expenses out of operating income, operating margins would decrease from 15.3% to 14.3%, according to Munster's projections.</p><p><blockquote>根据明斯特的预测，从营业收入中扣除15亿美元的广告费用，营业利润率将从15.3%下降至14.3%。</blockquote></p><p> The margin impact, therefore, is measurable, yet moderate, he said. Increasing advertising spend will likely weigh on Tesla shares&nbsp;given that margins are a big piece of the Tesla story, the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>因此，他表示，对利润率的影响是可以衡量的，但幅度不大。这位分析师表示，鉴于利润率是特斯拉故事的重要组成部分，广告支出的增加可能会给特斯拉股价带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the end, we see Tesla's advertising advantage as durable for the short to medium term.\"</p><p><blockquote>“最终，我们认为特斯拉的广告优势在中短期内是持久的。”</blockquote></p><p> At last check, Tesla shares were up 3.5% at $688.99.</p><p><blockquote>截至上次检查，特斯拉股价上涨3.5%，至688.99美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla's Ad Spending May Go From Zero To Meaningful In 2025: How Will Margins Be Impacted?<blockquote>特斯拉的广告支出可能会在2025年从零变为有意义：利润率将受到怎样的影响？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla's Ad Spending May Go From Zero To Meaningful In 2025: How Will Margins Be Impacted?<blockquote>特斯拉的广告支出可能会在2025年从零变为有意义：利润率将受到怎样的影响？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-19 10:43</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><img src=\"https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/ujl8oNRbSxqq5vMjYQ.nIA--/cT03NTthcHBpZD15dmlkZW9mZWVkczs-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/Benzinga/f8071bb441937f6c0fff91a10827e648\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Unlike traditional automakers, which aggressively spend on advertising, electric vehicle&nbsp;giant <b>Tesla, Inc. </b>(NASDAQ: TSLA) allocates virtually nothing for this avenue of promotion.</p><p><blockquote>与传统汽车制造商大举投入广告不同，电动汽车巨头<b>特斯拉公司。</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）几乎没有为这种促销途径分配任何资金。</blockquote></p><p> Loup Funds'&nbsp;<b>Gene Munster&nbsp;</b>delved into the prospects of Tesla eventually warming up to ads and the likely impact on its margins.</p><p><blockquote>卢普基金<b>吉恩·蒙斯特</b>深入研究了特斯拉最终转向广告的前景以及对其利润率可能产生的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Will Tesla Advertise? </b> Tesla&nbsp;CEO <b>Elon Musk</b> is not a big fan of traditional advertising but has hinted recently that he prefers informational advertising that can provide potential buyers a better knowledge of Tesla products, Munster said in a note.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉会打广告吗？</b>特斯拉首席执行官<b>埃隆·马斯克</b>蒙斯特在一份报告中表示，他不太喜欢传统广告，但最近暗示他更喜欢可以让潜在买家更好地了解特斯拉产品的信息广告。</blockquote></p><p> Teslas have sold themselves until now thanks to a tech-focused customer base that has formed a passionate community around the brand, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，特斯拉迄今为止一直在推销自己，这要归功于以技术为中心的客户群，他们围绕该品牌形成了一个充满激情的社区。</blockquote></p><p> Over time, as the uptake of EVs improves and more players enter the market, Tesla's market positioning will likely see dilution, the analyst turned tech venture capitalist said.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师出身的科技风险投资家表示，随着时间的推移，随着电动汽车普及程度的提高以及更多参与者进入市场，特斯拉的市场定位可能会被稀释。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our best guess is that competition becomes more measurable in the next couple years and that Tesla starts advertising meaningfully in 2025,\" Munster said.</p><p><blockquote>蒙斯特表示：“我们最好的猜测是，未来几年竞争将变得更加可衡量，特斯拉将在2025年开始有意义地投放广告。”</blockquote></p><p> The company will unlikely to turn to advertising ahead of the period, given supply has been the rare limiting factor for growth rather than demand, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，鉴于供应而不是需求一直是增长的罕见限制因素，该公司不太可能在此之前转向广告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Margin Impact From Ads: </b> Tesla's advertising will likely be a \"slow lift\" and end up below&nbsp;auto industry'sevels, Munster said.</p><p><blockquote><b>Ads对利润率的影响：</b>蒙斯特说，特斯拉的广告可能会“缓慢上升”，最终低于汽车行业的水平。</blockquote></p><p> As opposed to <b>General Motors Company </b>(NYSE: GM) and <b>Ford Motor Company </b>(NYSE: F), which spend about 2.5% of&nbsp;total revenue&nbsp;on advertising, Tesla will eventually spend about 1% or $1.5 billion of its revenue&nbsp;in 2025, the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>与<b>通用汽车公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：GM）和<b>福特汽车公司</b>该分析师表示，特斯拉（NYSE：F）的广告支出约占总收入的2.5%，最终将在2025年花费约1%或15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This, he said, would equate to about $400 per vehicle.</p><p><blockquote>他说，这相当于每辆车400美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Taking out $1.5 billion in advertising expenses out of operating income, operating margins would decrease from 15.3% to 14.3%, according to Munster's projections.</p><p><blockquote>根据明斯特的预测，从营业收入中扣除15亿美元的广告费用，营业利润率将从15.3%下降至14.3%。</blockquote></p><p> The margin impact, therefore, is measurable, yet moderate, he said. Increasing advertising spend will likely weigh on Tesla shares&nbsp;given that margins are a big piece of the Tesla story, the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>因此，他表示，对利润率的影响是可以衡量的，但幅度不大。这位分析师表示，鉴于利润率是特斯拉故事的重要组成部分，广告支出的增加可能会给特斯拉股价带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the end, we see Tesla's advertising advantage as durable for the short to medium term.\"</p><p><blockquote>“最终，我们认为特斯拉的广告优势在中短期内是持久的。”</blockquote></p><p> At last check, Tesla shares were up 3.5% at $688.99.</p><p><blockquote>截至上次检查，特斯拉股价上涨3.5%，至688.99美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","F":"福特汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2160758681","content_text":"Unlike traditional automakers, which aggressively spend on advertising, electric vehicle giant Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) allocates virtually nothing for this avenue of promotion.\nLoup Funds' Gene Munster delved into the prospects of Tesla eventually warming up to ads and the likely impact on its margins.\nWill Tesla Advertise?  Tesla CEO Elon Musk is not a big fan of traditional advertising but has hinted recently that he prefers informational advertising that can provide potential buyers a better knowledge of Tesla products, Munster said in a note.\nTeslas have sold themselves until now thanks to a tech-focused customer base that has formed a passionate community around the brand, he said.\nOver time, as the uptake of EVs improves and more players enter the market, Tesla's market positioning will likely see dilution, the analyst turned tech venture capitalist said.\n\"Our best guess is that competition becomes more measurable in the next couple years and that Tesla starts advertising meaningfully in 2025,\" Munster said.\nThe company will unlikely to turn to advertising ahead of the period, given supply has been the rare limiting factor for growth rather than demand, he added.\nThe Margin Impact From Ads:  Tesla's advertising will likely be a \"slow lift\" and end up below auto industry'sevels, Munster said.\nAs opposed to General Motors Company (NYSE: GM) and Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F), which spend about 2.5% of total revenue on advertising, Tesla will eventually spend about 1% or $1.5 billion of its revenue in 2025, the analyst said.\nThis, he said, would equate to about $400 per vehicle.\nTaking out $1.5 billion in advertising expenses out of operating income, operating margins would decrease from 15.3% to 14.3%, according to Munster's projections.\nThe margin impact, therefore, is measurable, yet moderate, he said. Increasing advertising spend will likely weigh on Tesla shares given that margins are a big piece of the Tesla story, the analyst said.\n\"In the end, we see Tesla's advertising advantage as durable for the short to medium term.\"\nAt last check, Tesla shares were up 3.5% at $688.99.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1096,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177222611,"gmtCreate":1627226425433,"gmtModify":1633767043575,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good potential&nbsp;","listText":"Good potential&nbsp;","text":"Good potential","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177222611","repostId":"2153936352","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144633539,"gmtCreate":1626278412221,"gmtModify":1633928296035,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Useful info","listText":"Useful info","text":"Useful info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144633539","repostId":"1103407312","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103407312","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626275222,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103407312?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-14 23:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft to offer cloud-based version of Windows operating system<blockquote>微软将提供基于云的Windows操作系统版本</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103407312","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Microsoft Corp on Wednesday said it will offer its Windows operating system as a cloud-b","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Microsoft Corp on Wednesday said it will offer its Windows operating system as a cloud-based service, aiming to make it easier to access business apps that need Windows from a broader range of devices.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-微软公司周三表示，将提供其Windows操作系统作为基于云的服务，旨在使从更广泛的设备更容易访问需要Windows的商业应用程序。</blockquote></p><p> Windows 365, as the service will be called, will roll out on Aug. 2 and will work somewhat like buying a new Windows PC: A business or school will pick how much computing power, memory and storage they would like for an the new machine.</p><p><blockquote>这项服务将被称为Windows 365，将于8月2日推出，其工作方式有点像购买一台新的Windows PC：企业或学校将选择他们希望为新机器提供多少计算能力、内存和存储空间。</blockquote></p><p> But instead of waiting for a physical machine to arrive in the mail, the employee or student will access the operating system in the cloud via an existing PC, a Mac, iPhone, Android phone or Chromebook, as long as it has a web browser compatible with HTML 5, a widely used internet standard.</p><p><blockquote>但是，员工或学生将通过现有的PC、Mac、iPhone、Android手机或Chromebook访问云中的操作系统，而不是等待物理机器到达邮件，只要它有一个与广泛使用的互联网标准HTML 5兼容的网络浏览器。</blockquote></p><p> The cloud-based version was created in response to feedback from clients who wanted employees and students to have quicker and easier PC access regardless of physical location.</p><p><blockquote>基于云的版本是为了响应客户的反馈而创建的，这些客户希望员工和学生无论身在何处都能更快、更轻松地访问PC。</blockquote></p><p> \"We define that shift to hybrid work as really being flexibility in how, when and where you work. That's really the pattern that we're seeing develop all across the world as people are starting to experiment,\" said Jared Spataro, corporate vice president for Microsoft 365 software.</p><p><blockquote>公司副总裁Jared Spataro表示：“我们将向混合工作的转变定义为工作方式、时间和地点的真正灵活性。随着人们开始尝试，这确实是我们在世界各地看到的发展模式。”微软365软件总裁。</blockquote></p><p> The service is akin to so-called \"virtual\" and \"remote\" desktops that have been around for decades but which require a sophisticated IT department to set up and manage. Those costs can also be unpredictable because they are based on how much the desktops are used.</p><p><blockquote>这项服务类似于所谓的“虚拟”和“远程”桌面，这些桌面已经存在了几十年，但需要复杂的IT部门来设置和管理。这些成本也可能是不可预测的，因为它们是基于桌面的使用量。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft hopes the Windows 365 technology will be easy enough for small-business owners or smaller schools to introduce without a large IT department, with a predictable monthly bill based on the size of each virtual computer.</p><p><blockquote>微软希望Windows 365技术对于小企业主或小型学校来说足够容易引入，而无需大型IT部门，并根据每台虚拟计算机的大小提供可预测的每月账单。</blockquote></p><p> Andrew Hewitt, an analyst at Forrester Research, said the move would help Microsoft defend its dominant market share in the face of strong competition from operating systems from Apple Inc and Alphabet's Google that are easier for schools and businesses to manage.</p><p><blockquote>Forrester Research分析师Andrew Hewitt表示，面对来自苹果公司和Alphabet谷歌操作系统的激烈竞争，此举将有助于微软捍卫其主导市场份额，这些操作系统更易于学校和企业管理。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft to offer cloud-based version of Windows operating system<blockquote>微软将提供基于云的Windows操作系统版本</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft to offer cloud-based version of Windows operating system<blockquote>微软将提供基于云的Windows操作系统版本</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-14 23:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Microsoft Corp on Wednesday said it will offer its Windows operating system as a cloud-based service, aiming to make it easier to access business apps that need Windows from a broader range of devices.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-微软公司周三表示，将提供其Windows操作系统作为基于云的服务，旨在使从更广泛的设备更容易访问需要Windows的商业应用程序。</blockquote></p><p> Windows 365, as the service will be called, will roll out on Aug. 2 and will work somewhat like buying a new Windows PC: A business or school will pick how much computing power, memory and storage they would like for an the new machine.</p><p><blockquote>这项服务将被称为Windows 365，将于8月2日推出，其工作方式有点像购买一台新的Windows PC：企业或学校将选择他们希望为新机器提供多少计算能力、内存和存储空间。</blockquote></p><p> But instead of waiting for a physical machine to arrive in the mail, the employee or student will access the operating system in the cloud via an existing PC, a Mac, iPhone, Android phone or Chromebook, as long as it has a web browser compatible with HTML 5, a widely used internet standard.</p><p><blockquote>但是，员工或学生将通过现有的PC、Mac、iPhone、Android手机或Chromebook访问云中的操作系统，而不是等待物理机器到达邮件，只要它有一个与广泛使用的互联网标准HTML 5兼容的网络浏览器。</blockquote></p><p> The cloud-based version was created in response to feedback from clients who wanted employees and students to have quicker and easier PC access regardless of physical location.</p><p><blockquote>基于云的版本是为了响应客户的反馈而创建的，这些客户希望员工和学生无论身在何处都能更快、更轻松地访问PC。</blockquote></p><p> \"We define that shift to hybrid work as really being flexibility in how, when and where you work. That's really the pattern that we're seeing develop all across the world as people are starting to experiment,\" said Jared Spataro, corporate vice president for Microsoft 365 software.</p><p><blockquote>公司副总裁Jared Spataro表示：“我们将向混合工作的转变定义为工作方式、时间和地点的真正灵活性。随着人们开始尝试，这确实是我们在世界各地看到的发展模式。”微软365软件总裁。</blockquote></p><p> The service is akin to so-called \"virtual\" and \"remote\" desktops that have been around for decades but which require a sophisticated IT department to set up and manage. Those costs can also be unpredictable because they are based on how much the desktops are used.</p><p><blockquote>这项服务类似于所谓的“虚拟”和“远程”桌面，这些桌面已经存在了几十年，但需要复杂的IT部门来设置和管理。这些成本也可能是不可预测的，因为它们是基于桌面的使用量。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft hopes the Windows 365 technology will be easy enough for small-business owners or smaller schools to introduce without a large IT department, with a predictable monthly bill based on the size of each virtual computer.</p><p><blockquote>微软希望Windows 365技术对于小企业主或小型学校来说足够容易引入，而无需大型IT部门，并根据每台虚拟计算机的大小提供可预测的每月账单。</blockquote></p><p> Andrew Hewitt, an analyst at Forrester Research, said the move would help Microsoft defend its dominant market share in the face of strong competition from operating systems from Apple Inc and Alphabet's Google that are easier for schools and businesses to manage.</p><p><blockquote>Forrester Research分析师Andrew Hewitt表示，面对来自苹果公司和Alphabet谷歌操作系统的激烈竞争，此举将有助于微软捍卫其主导市场份额，这些操作系统更易于学校和企业管理。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-offer-cloud-based-version-150308733.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-offer-cloud-based-version-150308733.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103407312","content_text":"(Reuters) - Microsoft Corp on Wednesday said it will offer its Windows operating system as a cloud-based service, aiming to make it easier to access business apps that need Windows from a broader range of devices.\nWindows 365, as the service will be called, will roll out on Aug. 2 and will work somewhat like buying a new Windows PC: A business or school will pick how much computing power, memory and storage they would like for an the new machine.\nBut instead of waiting for a physical machine to arrive in the mail, the employee or student will access the operating system in the cloud via an existing PC, a Mac, iPhone, Android phone or Chromebook, as long as it has a web browser compatible with HTML 5, a widely used internet standard.\nThe cloud-based version was created in response to feedback from clients who wanted employees and students to have quicker and easier PC access regardless of physical location.\n\"We define that shift to hybrid work as really being flexibility in how, when and where you work. That's really the pattern that we're seeing develop all across the world as people are starting to experiment,\" said Jared Spataro, corporate vice president for Microsoft 365 software.\nThe service is akin to so-called \"virtual\" and \"remote\" desktops that have been around for decades but which require a sophisticated IT department to set up and manage. Those costs can also be unpredictable because they are based on how much the desktops are used.\nMicrosoft hopes the Windows 365 technology will be easy enough for small-business owners or smaller schools to introduce without a large IT department, with a predictable monthly bill based on the size of each virtual computer.\nAndrew Hewitt, an analyst at Forrester Research, said the move would help Microsoft defend its dominant market share in the face of strong competition from operating systems from Apple Inc and Alphabet's Google that are easier for schools and businesses to manage.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154529499,"gmtCreate":1625535119511,"gmtModify":1633939906163,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154529499","repostId":"1190430616","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177226861,"gmtCreate":1627226302853,"gmtModify":1633767044287,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177226861","repostId":"1115106146","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154528271,"gmtCreate":1625535265593,"gmtModify":1633939903358,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Still 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watch","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147374045","repostId":"2151544104","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":350,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149271481,"gmtCreate":1625733054243,"gmtModify":1633937904731,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info","listText":"Good info","text":"Good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149271481","repostId":"1140881081","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140881081","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625714447,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140881081?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 11:20","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Why Apple Stock Climbed to a New High Today<blockquote>为什么苹果股价今天攀升至新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140881081","media":"The motley fool","summary":"Shares of $Apple$rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reiterated his overweight rating on Apple's stock yesterday and boosted his share price forecast from $165 to $170. His new estimate implies potential gains to investors of roughly 18% in the coming year.Chatterjee noted that Apple underperformed theS&P 500and$Nasdaq$in the first half of 202","content":"<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></b>(NASDAQ:AAPL)rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）周三上涨1.8%，至创纪录的收盘高点144.57美元，此前一家受人尊敬的华尔街投行对热门科技股发表了看涨评论。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reiterated his overweight rating on Apple's stock yesterday and boosted his share price forecast from $165 to $170. His new estimate implies potential gains to investors of roughly 18% in the coming year.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师Samik Chatterjee昨日重申了对苹果股票的跑赢大盘评级，并将股价预期从165美元上调至170美元。他的新估计意味着投资者来年的潜在收益约为18%。</blockquote></p><p> Chatterjee noted that Apple underperformed the<b>S&amp;P 500</b>and<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a></b>in the first half of 2021. Yet he expects thetechtitan to post strong sales of both current and future models of the iPhone. Thus, Chatterjee posits that Apple's shares could generate strong gains for shareholders in the second half of the year ahead of the launch of the iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>查特吉指出，苹果的表现逊于<b>标普500</b>和<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a></b>2021年上半年。然而，他预计这家科技巨头将在当前和未来型号的iPhone上实现强劲销售。因此，Chatterjee认为，在iPhone 13推出之前，苹果的股票可能会在下半年为股东带来强劲收益。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> The recent rally in Apple's stock price suggests many investors agree with Chatterjee's bullish outlook. They're likely correct to do so. Robust iPhone volumes tend to also drive sales of Apple's high-margin services and fast-growing wearables revenue. So, if it does deliver blowout iPhone sales figures, Apple could enjoy an earnings bonanza later this year. This potential profit windfall, combined with Apple's bountiful share repurchases and steadily growing dividend, gives shareholders multiple ways to win.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价最近的上涨表明许多投资者同意查特吉的看涨前景。他们这样做可能是正确的。强劲的iPhone销量往往也会推动苹果高利润服务的销售和快速增长的可穿戴设备收入。因此，如果它确实带来了井喷式的iPhone销售数据，苹果可能会在今年晚些时候享受到丰厚的盈利。这种潜在的意外利润，加上苹果丰厚的股票回购和稳步增长的股息，为股东提供了多种获胜方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Apple Stock Climbed to a New High Today<blockquote>为什么苹果股价今天攀升至新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Apple Stock Climbed to a New High Today<blockquote>为什么苹果股价今天攀升至新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The motley fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-08 11:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></b>(NASDAQ:AAPL)rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）周三上涨1.8%，至创纪录的收盘高点144.57美元，此前一家受人尊敬的华尔街投行对热门科技股发表了看涨评论。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reiterated his overweight rating on Apple's stock yesterday and boosted his share price forecast from $165 to $170. His new estimate implies potential gains to investors of roughly 18% in the coming year.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师Samik Chatterjee昨日重申了对苹果股票的跑赢大盘评级，并将股价预期从165美元上调至170美元。他的新估计意味着投资者来年的潜在收益约为18%。</blockquote></p><p> Chatterjee noted that Apple underperformed the<b>S&amp;P 500</b>and<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a></b>in the first half of 2021. Yet he expects thetechtitan to post strong sales of both current and future models of the iPhone. Thus, Chatterjee posits that Apple's shares could generate strong gains for shareholders in the second half of the year ahead of the launch of the iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>查特吉指出，苹果的表现逊于<b>标普500</b>和<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a></b>2021年上半年。然而，他预计这家科技巨头将在当前和未来型号的iPhone上实现强劲销售。因此，Chatterjee认为，在iPhone 13推出之前，苹果的股票可能会在下半年为股东带来强劲收益。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> The recent rally in Apple's stock price suggests many investors agree with Chatterjee's bullish outlook. They're likely correct to do so. Robust iPhone volumes tend to also drive sales of Apple's high-margin services and fast-growing wearables revenue. So, if it does deliver blowout iPhone sales figures, Apple could enjoy an earnings bonanza later this year. This potential profit windfall, combined with Apple's bountiful share repurchases and steadily growing dividend, gives shareholders multiple ways to win.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价最近的上涨表明许多投资者同意查特吉的看涨前景。他们这样做可能是正确的。强劲的iPhone销量往往也会推动苹果高利润服务的销售和快速增长的可穿戴设备收入。因此，如果它确实带来了井喷式的iPhone销售数据，苹果可能会在今年晚些时候享受到丰厚的盈利。这种潜在的意外利润，加上苹果丰厚的股票回购和稳步增长的股息，为股东提供了多种获胜方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/07/why-apple-stock-climbed-to-a-new-high-today/\">The motley fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NGD":"New Gold","03086":"华夏纳指","AAPL":"苹果","09086":"华夏纳指-U"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/07/why-apple-stock-climbed-to-a-new-high-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140881081","content_text":"What happened\nShares of Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.\nSo what\nJPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reiterated his overweight rating on Apple's stock yesterday and boosted his share price forecast from $165 to $170. His new estimate implies potential gains to investors of roughly 18% in the coming year.\nChatterjee noted that Apple underperformed theS&P 500andNasdaqin the first half of 2021. Yet he expects thetechtitan to post strong sales of both current and future models of the iPhone. Thus, Chatterjee posits that Apple's shares could generate strong gains for shareholders in the second half of the year ahead of the launch of the iPhone 13.\nNow what\nThe recent rally in Apple's stock price suggests many investors agree with Chatterjee's bullish outlook. They're likely correct to do so. Robust iPhone volumes tend to also drive sales of Apple's high-margin services and fast-growing wearables revenue. So, if it does deliver blowout iPhone sales figures, Apple could enjoy an earnings bonanza later this year. This potential profit windfall, combined with Apple's bountiful share repurchases and steadily growing dividend, gives shareholders multiple ways to win.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"03086":0.9,"NGD":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"09086":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153841112,"gmtCreate":1625018966936,"gmtModify":1633945778893,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153841112","repostId":"1122418477","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171452688,"gmtCreate":1626759019445,"gmtModify":1633771284921,"author":{"id":"4087965431046850","authorId":"4087965431046850","name":"Cklvin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6005df9be4235fa1ab7087f5e7a50ed2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087965431046850","authorIdStr":"4087965431046850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info","listText":"Good info","text":"Good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171452688","repostId":"1129846769","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129846769","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626751789,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129846769?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Worried about inflation? Here’s how investments did in the 1970s<blockquote>担心通货膨胀？以下是20世纪70年代的投资表现</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129846769","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"In the 1990s movie The Shipping News, an old newspaperman explains to Kevin Spacey how to cover the ","content":"<p>In the 1990s movie The Shipping News, an old newspaperman explains to Kevin Spacey how to cover the news. If there is a storm visible anywhere, he explains, you write “Storm threatens the town,” even if the storm is nowhere near and is unlikely to hit. If—as expected—the storm never hits, you just write the follow up: “Town spared by storm.”</p><p><blockquote>在20世纪90年代的电影《航运新闻》中，一位老记者向凯文·史派西解释如何报道新闻。他解释说，如果任何地方都有可见的风暴，你就会写“风暴威胁着城镇”，即使风暴不在附近，也不太可能来袭。如果——正如预期的那样——风暴从未袭击，你只需写下后续内容：“城镇幸免于风暴。”</blockquote></p><p> Readers may be excused for thinking something similar about the latest stories about looming, threatening, surging, terrifying inflation. Yes, the inflation forecasts were surging months ago, and hit 8-year highs. Had they continued there would be grounds to worry. But they haven’t continued. On the contrary, they’ve been falling for two months. The bond market’s 5-year inflation forecast is now lower than it was in mid-March. The market sees five-year inflation running at around 2.6%. That’s higher than we’ve been used to for a decade, but it’s nothing to cause any significant alarm.</p><p><blockquote>读者可能会对最近关于迫在眉睫、威胁、飙升、可怕的通货膨胀的故事有类似的想法。是的，几个月前通胀预测飙升，并创下8年来的新高。如果他们继续下去，就有理由担心。但他们没有继续。相反，他们已经下跌了两个月。债券市场的5年通胀预期现在低于3月中旬。市场预计五年通胀率约为2.6%。这比我们十年来所习惯的要高，但这并没有引起任何重大恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> That can change, of course. Maybe it will. We’ll see.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这种情况可能会改变。也许会。我们走着瞧。</blockquote></p><p> But with all this talk I got to thinking about the obvious question. If serious inflation really does hit, what can we do about it? How can we protect our investments?</p><p><blockquote>但是通过这些谈话，我开始思考一个显而易见的问题。如果严重的通货膨胀真的来袭，我们能做些什么呢？我们如何保护我们的投资？</blockquote></p><p> That’s an especially key question for today’s retirees and those expecting to retire soon. When we’re older we’re generally advised to keep most of our money in more “conservative” investments, meaning things like bonds, that involve less risk. Someone in their 20s or 30s may not worry unduly if their retirement savings plunge 30% in a market rout or an inflationary spiral. For someone in their 60s, let alone older, that can become a major financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>对于今天的退休人员和那些预计很快退休的人来说，这是一个特别关键的问题。当我们长大后，通常建议我们将大部分资金投资于更“保守”的投资，即债券等风险较小的投资。如果20多岁或30多岁的人的退休储蓄在市场暴跌或通胀螺旋中暴跌30%，他们可能不会过度担心。对于60多岁的人来说，更不用说老年人了，这可能会成为一场重大的财务危机。</blockquote></p><p> So I went back and dug up the information from the last, infamous inflationary spiral in the 1970s, when consumer price inflation often topped 10% a year. The Greek philosopher Heraclitus pointed out that no one ever walks through the same stream twice, because the second time it’s not the same stream, and we’re not the same person. Everything changes. There is no guarantee the next inflationary boom, even if it happens, will look anything like the last one — any more than we should assume that it will be accompanied by outbreaks of disco music and flared jeans.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我回去挖掘了20世纪70年代上一次臭名昭著的通胀螺旋的信息，当时消费者价格通胀经常超过每年10%。希腊哲学家赫拉克利特指出，没有人会两次走过同一条小溪，因为第二次就不是同一条小溪了，我们也不是同一个人了。一切都变了。不能保证下一次通胀繁荣，即使发生了，看起来也会像上一次一样——就像我们不应该假设它会伴随着迪斯科音乐和喇叭牛仔裤的爆发一样。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless the chart above shows the total returns, after adjusting for inflation, of various asset classes from December 1971 to December 1981. (I used those dates because the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts, or NAREIT, starts their data series then.) The data on energy stocks came from data compiled by professor Ken French at Dartmouth College’s Tuck School of Business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，上图显示了1971年12月至1981年12月各种资产类别经通胀调整后的总回报。（我使用这些日期是因为全国房地产投资信托协会（NAREIT）在那时开始他们的数据系列。）能源股的数据来自达特茅斯学院塔克商学院肯·弗伦奇教授汇编的数据。</blockquote></p><p> This is what happened to your purchasing power if you invested in these assets and hung on for 10 years. (I’ve excluded gold, which is a different story.)</p><p><blockquote>如果你投资这些资产并坚持10年，你的购买力就会发生这种情况。（我已经排除了黄金，这是一个不同的故事。）</blockquote></p><p> The key standout is that you really didn’t want to own Treasury bonds. The near 40% loss of purchasing power over 10 years is somewhat notional—it is derived from the compound annual returns on 10 Year Treasurys compiled by New York University’s Stern School of Business, divided by the consumer-price index—but tells a story nonetheless. (In Great Britain, where inflation was even worse, government bonds during the 1970s became known as “certificates of confiscation.” Ouch.)</p><p><blockquote>关键的突出之处在于，你真的不想拥有国债。10年内购买力损失近40%在某种程度上是名义上的——它来自纽约大学斯特恩商学院编制的10年期美国国债的复合年回报率除以消费者价格指数——但仍然讲述了一个故事。（在通货膨胀更严重的英国，20世纪70年代的政府债券被称为“没收证书”。哎哟。）</blockquote></p><p> Holding them cost you money. Lots of it.</p><p><blockquote>拿着它们要花钱。很多。</blockquote></p><p> You could argue that the danger today is even greater, simply because the yields on long-term Treasury bonds are so low. Federal Reserve quantitative easing, bond buying, and zero interest-rate policies have left Treasury yields at their lowest on record—which means the turns would be a disaster if inflation reared its head.</p><p><blockquote>你可能会说，今天的危险甚至更大，仅仅是因为长期国债的收益率如此之低。美联储的量化宽松、债券购买和零利率政策使美国国债收益率处于有记录以来的最低水平——这意味着如果通胀抬头，这将是一场灾难。</blockquote></p><p> Corporate bonds and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;were also terrible investments. It’s worth remembering that these are real term losses over a decade, which means investors didn’t just lose a lot of money—they also lost a lot of time.</p><p><blockquote>公司债券和标普500也是糟糕的投资。值得记住的是，这些是十年来的实际定期损失，这意味着投资者不仅损失了很多钱，还损失了很多时间。</blockquote></p><p> Utility stocks weren’t great, but they held up better. And Treasury bills—short-term paper—did better still. But once again you were going backward when you needed to be going forwards.</p><p><blockquote>公用事业股表现不佳，但表现较好。短期票据——国库券——表现更好。但是当你需要前进的时候，你又一次倒退了。</blockquote></p><p> No one who remembers the 1970s will be surprised that energy companies boomed. Less well-remembered, maybe, is that REITs also did pretty well. These numbers, incidentally, represented property-owning REITs and excluded mortgage REITs, which own loans.</p><p><blockquote>任何记得20世纪70年代的人都不会对能源公司的蓬勃发展感到惊讶。也许不太为人所知的是，房地产投资信托基金的表现也相当不错。顺便说一句，这些数字代表拥有财产的房地产投资信托基金，不包括拥有贷款的抵押房地产投资信托基金。</blockquote></p><p> But there are two caveats to this. The first is that of course energy stocks did well, because a key driver of inflation in the 1970s was the rise of OPEC and two oil embargoes it imposed on the West for political reasons. Cue Heraclitus. There is no particular reason to assume that the next inflationary surge will be the same.</p><p><blockquote>但对此有两个警告。首先，能源股当然表现良好，因为20世纪70年代通胀的一个关键驱动因素是欧佩克的崛起及其出于政治原因对西方实施的两次石油禁运。提示赫拉克利特。没有特别的理由假设下一次通胀飙升会是一样的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The second caveat is that although REITs ended up doing well, they were volatile along the way. In particular, REIT prices collapsed in the OPEC-driven recession of 1972-4. And according to FactSet, U.S. REITs today already look pretty expensive on some measures. For instance it reckons that the forecast dividend yield on the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (a reasonable benchmark for the industry) is just 2.9% — by far the lowest since it was launched in 2004. Looking through NAREIT data, I can’t find a moment since 1971 when the overall yield on REITs was this low. During the real estate bubble in 2007, incidentally, the yield bottomed out no lower than 3.6%</p><p><blockquote>第二个警告是，尽管房地产投资信托基金最终表现良好，但一路上波动较大。特别是，房地产投资信托基金价格在1972-1974年欧佩克引发的经济衰退中暴跌。根据FactSet的数据，从某些指标来看，如今的美国房地产投资信托基金看起来已经相当昂贵。例如，它估计Vanguard Real Estate ETF（该行业的合理基准）的预测股息收益率仅为2.9%，是自2004年推出以来的最低水平。翻阅NAREIT数据，自1971年以来，我找不到REITs整体收益率如此之低的时刻。2007年房地产泡沫期间，顺带一提，收益率见底不低于3.6%</blockquote></p><p> So it may be that REITs offer less inflation protection today than we would hope.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如今房地产投资信托基金提供的通胀保护可能比我们希望的要少。</blockquote></p><p> One key difference in the 1970s is that there were no “inflation-protected” Treasury bonds to keep investors protected. So-called TIPS are in theory almost the perfect investment for retirees. They are issued by the U.S. government and their coupons are safe against default. Meanwhile their coupons effectively adjust to reflect changes in consumer prices.</p><p><blockquote>20世纪70年代的一个关键区别是，没有“通胀保值”国债来保护投资者。理论上，所谓的小费几乎是退休人员的完美投资。它们由美国政府发行，其优惠券不会违约。与此同时，他们的优惠券有效地调整以反映消费价格的变化。</blockquote></p><p> The problem today is that TIPS—like almost everything else in the bond market—look incredibly expensive. Most TIPS already lock in an actual loss of purchasing power if you buy them today. For example if you buy 5 year TIPS bonds and hold them for 5 years you’ll end up losing 9% of your purchasing power. And 30-year TIPS bonds offer the same 9% loss, though stretched out over 30 years.</p><p><blockquote>今天的问题是，TIPS——就像债券市场上的几乎所有东西一样——看起来非常昂贵。如果你今天购买，大多数建议已经锁定了购买力的实际损失。例如，如果你购买5年期TIPS债券并持有5年，你最终会损失9%的购买力。30年期TIPS债券的损失同样为9%，尽管期限延长了30年。</blockquote></p><p> It’s not very compelling. And it shows the risks that the government’s policy responses have created for those in retirement and near it.</p><p><blockquote>这不是很引人注目。它还显示了政府的政策应对给退休和接近退休年龄的人带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Worried about inflation? Here’s how investments did in the 1970s<blockquote>担心通货膨胀？以下是20世纪70年代的投资表现</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWorried about inflation? Here’s how investments did in the 1970s<blockquote>担心通货膨胀？以下是20世纪70年代的投资表现</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-20 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In the 1990s movie The Shipping News, an old newspaperman explains to Kevin Spacey how to cover the news. If there is a storm visible anywhere, he explains, you write “Storm threatens the town,” even if the storm is nowhere near and is unlikely to hit. If—as expected—the storm never hits, you just write the follow up: “Town spared by storm.”</p><p><blockquote>在20世纪90年代的电影《航运新闻》中，一位老记者向凯文·史派西解释如何报道新闻。他解释说，如果任何地方都有可见的风暴，你就会写“风暴威胁着城镇”，即使风暴不在附近，也不太可能来袭。如果——正如预期的那样——风暴从未袭击，你只需写下后续内容：“城镇幸免于风暴。”</blockquote></p><p> Readers may be excused for thinking something similar about the latest stories about looming, threatening, surging, terrifying inflation. Yes, the inflation forecasts were surging months ago, and hit 8-year highs. Had they continued there would be grounds to worry. But they haven’t continued. On the contrary, they’ve been falling for two months. The bond market’s 5-year inflation forecast is now lower than it was in mid-March. The market sees five-year inflation running at around 2.6%. That’s higher than we’ve been used to for a decade, but it’s nothing to cause any significant alarm.</p><p><blockquote>读者可能会对最近关于迫在眉睫、威胁、飙升、可怕的通货膨胀的故事有类似的想法。是的，几个月前通胀预测飙升，并创下8年来的新高。如果他们继续下去，就有理由担心。但他们没有继续。相反，他们已经下跌了两个月。债券市场的5年通胀预期现在低于3月中旬。市场预计五年通胀率约为2.6%。这比我们十年来所习惯的要高，但这并没有引起任何重大恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> That can change, of course. Maybe it will. We’ll see.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这种情况可能会改变。也许会。我们走着瞧。</blockquote></p><p> But with all this talk I got to thinking about the obvious question. If serious inflation really does hit, what can we do about it? How can we protect our investments?</p><p><blockquote>但是通过这些谈话，我开始思考一个显而易见的问题。如果严重的通货膨胀真的来袭，我们能做些什么呢？我们如何保护我们的投资？</blockquote></p><p> That’s an especially key question for today’s retirees and those expecting to retire soon. When we’re older we’re generally advised to keep most of our money in more “conservative” investments, meaning things like bonds, that involve less risk. Someone in their 20s or 30s may not worry unduly if their retirement savings plunge 30% in a market rout or an inflationary spiral. For someone in their 60s, let alone older, that can become a major financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>对于今天的退休人员和那些预计很快退休的人来说，这是一个特别关键的问题。当我们长大后，通常建议我们将大部分资金投资于更“保守”的投资，即债券等风险较小的投资。如果20多岁或30多岁的人的退休储蓄在市场暴跌或通胀螺旋中暴跌30%，他们可能不会过度担心。对于60多岁的人来说，更不用说老年人了，这可能会成为一场重大的财务危机。</blockquote></p><p> So I went back and dug up the information from the last, infamous inflationary spiral in the 1970s, when consumer price inflation often topped 10% a year. The Greek philosopher Heraclitus pointed out that no one ever walks through the same stream twice, because the second time it’s not the same stream, and we’re not the same person. Everything changes. There is no guarantee the next inflationary boom, even if it happens, will look anything like the last one — any more than we should assume that it will be accompanied by outbreaks of disco music and flared jeans.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我回去挖掘了20世纪70年代上一次臭名昭著的通胀螺旋的信息，当时消费者价格通胀经常超过每年10%。希腊哲学家赫拉克利特指出，没有人会两次走过同一条小溪，因为第二次就不是同一条小溪了，我们也不是同一个人了。一切都变了。不能保证下一次通胀繁荣，即使发生了，看起来也会像上一次一样——就像我们不应该假设它会伴随着迪斯科音乐和喇叭牛仔裤的爆发一样。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless the chart above shows the total returns, after adjusting for inflation, of various asset classes from December 1971 to December 1981. (I used those dates because the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts, or NAREIT, starts their data series then.) The data on energy stocks came from data compiled by professor Ken French at Dartmouth College’s Tuck School of Business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，上图显示了1971年12月至1981年12月各种资产类别经通胀调整后的总回报。（我使用这些日期是因为全国房地产投资信托协会（NAREIT）在那时开始他们的数据系列。）能源股的数据来自达特茅斯学院塔克商学院肯·弗伦奇教授汇编的数据。</blockquote></p><p> This is what happened to your purchasing power if you invested in these assets and hung on for 10 years. (I’ve excluded gold, which is a different story.)</p><p><blockquote>如果你投资这些资产并坚持10年，你的购买力就会发生这种情况。（我已经排除了黄金，这是一个不同的故事。）</blockquote></p><p> The key standout is that you really didn’t want to own Treasury bonds. The near 40% loss of purchasing power over 10 years is somewhat notional—it is derived from the compound annual returns on 10 Year Treasurys compiled by New York University’s Stern School of Business, divided by the consumer-price index—but tells a story nonetheless. (In Great Britain, where inflation was even worse, government bonds during the 1970s became known as “certificates of confiscation.” Ouch.)</p><p><blockquote>关键的突出之处在于，你真的不想拥有国债。10年内购买力损失近40%在某种程度上是名义上的——它来自纽约大学斯特恩商学院编制的10年期美国国债的复合年回报率除以消费者价格指数——但仍然讲述了一个故事。（在通货膨胀更严重的英国，20世纪70年代的政府债券被称为“没收证书”。哎哟。）</blockquote></p><p> Holding them cost you money. Lots of it.</p><p><blockquote>拿着它们要花钱。很多。</blockquote></p><p> You could argue that the danger today is even greater, simply because the yields on long-term Treasury bonds are so low. Federal Reserve quantitative easing, bond buying, and zero interest-rate policies have left Treasury yields at their lowest on record—which means the turns would be a disaster if inflation reared its head.</p><p><blockquote>你可能会说，今天的危险甚至更大，仅仅是因为长期国债的收益率如此之低。美联储的量化宽松、债券购买和零利率政策使美国国债收益率处于有记录以来的最低水平——这意味着如果通胀抬头，这将是一场灾难。</blockquote></p><p> Corporate bonds and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;were also terrible investments. It’s worth remembering that these are real term losses over a decade, which means investors didn’t just lose a lot of money—they also lost a lot of time.</p><p><blockquote>公司债券和标普500也是糟糕的投资。值得记住的是，这些是十年来的实际定期损失，这意味着投资者不仅损失了很多钱，还损失了很多时间。</blockquote></p><p> Utility stocks weren’t great, but they held up better. And Treasury bills—short-term paper—did better still. But once again you were going backward when you needed to be going forwards.</p><p><blockquote>公用事业股表现不佳，但表现较好。短期票据——国库券——表现更好。但是当你需要前进的时候，你又一次倒退了。</blockquote></p><p> No one who remembers the 1970s will be surprised that energy companies boomed. Less well-remembered, maybe, is that REITs also did pretty well. These numbers, incidentally, represented property-owning REITs and excluded mortgage REITs, which own loans.</p><p><blockquote>任何记得20世纪70年代的人都不会对能源公司的蓬勃发展感到惊讶。也许不太为人所知的是，房地产投资信托基金的表现也相当不错。顺便说一句，这些数字代表拥有财产的房地产投资信托基金，不包括拥有贷款的抵押房地产投资信托基金。</blockquote></p><p> But there are two caveats to this. The first is that of course energy stocks did well, because a key driver of inflation in the 1970s was the rise of OPEC and two oil embargoes it imposed on the West for political reasons. Cue Heraclitus. There is no particular reason to assume that the next inflationary surge will be the same.</p><p><blockquote>但对此有两个警告。首先，能源股当然表现良好，因为20世纪70年代通胀的一个关键驱动因素是欧佩克的崛起及其出于政治原因对西方实施的两次石油禁运。提示赫拉克利特。没有特别的理由假设下一次通胀飙升会是一样的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The second caveat is that although REITs ended up doing well, they were volatile along the way. In particular, REIT prices collapsed in the OPEC-driven recession of 1972-4. And according to FactSet, U.S. REITs today already look pretty expensive on some measures. For instance it reckons that the forecast dividend yield on the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (a reasonable benchmark for the industry) is just 2.9% — by far the lowest since it was launched in 2004. Looking through NAREIT data, I can’t find a moment since 1971 when the overall yield on REITs was this low. During the real estate bubble in 2007, incidentally, the yield bottomed out no lower than 3.6%</p><p><blockquote>第二个警告是，尽管房地产投资信托基金最终表现良好，但一路上波动较大。特别是，房地产投资信托基金价格在1972-1974年欧佩克引发的经济衰退中暴跌。根据FactSet的数据，从某些指标来看，如今的美国房地产投资信托基金看起来已经相当昂贵。例如，它估计Vanguard Real Estate ETF（该行业的合理基准）的预测股息收益率仅为2.9%，是自2004年推出以来的最低水平。翻阅NAREIT数据，自1971年以来，我找不到REITs整体收益率如此之低的时刻。2007年房地产泡沫期间，顺带一提，收益率见底不低于3.6%</blockquote></p><p> So it may be that REITs offer less inflation protection today than we would hope.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如今房地产投资信托基金提供的通胀保护可能比我们希望的要少。</blockquote></p><p> One key difference in the 1970s is that there were no “inflation-protected” Treasury bonds to keep investors protected. So-called TIPS are in theory almost the perfect investment for retirees. They are issued by the U.S. government and their coupons are safe against default. Meanwhile their coupons effectively adjust to reflect changes in consumer prices.</p><p><blockquote>20世纪70年代的一个关键区别是，没有“通胀保值”国债来保护投资者。理论上，所谓的小费几乎是退休人员的完美投资。它们由美国政府发行，其优惠券不会违约。与此同时，他们的优惠券有效地调整以反映消费价格的变化。</blockquote></p><p> The problem today is that TIPS—like almost everything else in the bond market—look incredibly expensive. Most TIPS already lock in an actual loss of purchasing power if you buy them today. For example if you buy 5 year TIPS bonds and hold them for 5 years you’ll end up losing 9% of your purchasing power. And 30-year TIPS bonds offer the same 9% loss, though stretched out over 30 years.</p><p><blockquote>今天的问题是，TIPS——就像债券市场上的几乎所有东西一样——看起来非常昂贵。如果你今天购买，大多数建议已经锁定了购买力的实际损失。例如，如果你购买5年期TIPS债券并持有5年，你最终会损失9%的购买力。30年期TIPS债券的损失同样为9%，尽管期限延长了30年。</blockquote></p><p> It’s not very compelling. And it shows the risks that the government’s policy responses have created for those in retirement and near it.</p><p><blockquote>这不是很引人注目。它还显示了政府的政策应对给退休和接近退休年龄的人带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/worried-about-inflation-heres-how-investments-did-in-the-1970s-11626658251?siteid=yhoof2\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","XOM":"埃克森美孚"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/worried-about-inflation-heres-how-investments-did-in-the-1970s-11626658251?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1129846769","content_text":"In the 1990s movie The Shipping News, an old newspaperman explains to Kevin Spacey how to cover the news. If there is a storm visible anywhere, he explains, you write “Storm threatens the town,” even if the storm is nowhere near and is unlikely to hit. If—as expected—the storm never hits, you just write the follow up: “Town spared by storm.”\nReaders may be excused for thinking something similar about the latest stories about looming, threatening, surging, terrifying inflation. Yes, the inflation forecasts were surging months ago, and hit 8-year highs. Had they continued there would be grounds to worry. But they haven’t continued. On the contrary, they’ve been falling for two months. The bond market’s 5-year inflation forecast is now lower than it was in mid-March. The market sees five-year inflation running at around 2.6%. That’s higher than we’ve been used to for a decade, but it’s nothing to cause any significant alarm.\nThat can change, of course. Maybe it will. We’ll see.\nBut with all this talk I got to thinking about the obvious question. If serious inflation really does hit, what can we do about it? How can we protect our investments?\nThat’s an especially key question for today’s retirees and those expecting to retire soon. When we’re older we’re generally advised to keep most of our money in more “conservative” investments, meaning things like bonds, that involve less risk. Someone in their 20s or 30s may not worry unduly if their retirement savings plunge 30% in a market rout or an inflationary spiral. For someone in their 60s, let alone older, that can become a major financial crisis.\nSo I went back and dug up the information from the last, infamous inflationary spiral in the 1970s, when consumer price inflation often topped 10% a year. The Greek philosopher Heraclitus pointed out that no one ever walks through the same stream twice, because the second time it’s not the same stream, and we’re not the same person. Everything changes. There is no guarantee the next inflationary boom, even if it happens, will look anything like the last one — any more than we should assume that it will be accompanied by outbreaks of disco music and flared jeans.\nNonetheless the chart above shows the total returns, after adjusting for inflation, of various asset classes from December 1971 to December 1981. (I used those dates because the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts, or NAREIT, starts their data series then.) The data on energy stocks came from data compiled by professor Ken French at Dartmouth College’s Tuck School of Business.\nThis is what happened to your purchasing power if you invested in these assets and hung on for 10 years. (I’ve excluded gold, which is a different story.)\nThe key standout is that you really didn’t want to own Treasury bonds. The near 40% loss of purchasing power over 10 years is somewhat notional—it is derived from the compound annual returns on 10 Year Treasurys compiled by New York University’s Stern School of Business, divided by the consumer-price index—but tells a story nonetheless. (In Great Britain, where inflation was even worse, government bonds during the 1970s became known as “certificates of confiscation.” Ouch.)\nHolding them cost you money. Lots of it.\nYou could argue that the danger today is even greater, simply because the yields on long-term Treasury bonds are so low. Federal Reserve quantitative easing, bond buying, and zero interest-rate policies have left Treasury yields at their lowest on record—which means the turns would be a disaster if inflation reared its head.\nCorporate bonds and the S&P 500 were also terrible investments. It’s worth remembering that these are real term losses over a decade, which means investors didn’t just lose a lot of money—they also lost a lot of time.\nUtility stocks weren’t great, but they held up better. And Treasury bills—short-term paper—did better still. But once again you were going backward when you needed to be going forwards.\nNo one who remembers the 1970s will be surprised that energy companies boomed. Less well-remembered, maybe, is that REITs also did pretty well. These numbers, incidentally, represented property-owning REITs and excluded mortgage REITs, which own loans.\nBut there are two caveats to this. The first is that of course energy stocks did well, because a key driver of inflation in the 1970s was the rise of OPEC and two oil embargoes it imposed on the West for political reasons. Cue Heraclitus. There is no particular reason to assume that the next inflationary surge will be the same.\nThe second caveat is that although REITs ended up doing well, they were volatile along the way. In particular, REIT prices collapsed in the OPEC-driven recession of 1972-4. And according to FactSet, U.S. REITs today already look pretty expensive on some measures. For instance it reckons that the forecast dividend yield on the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (a reasonable benchmark for the industry) is just 2.9% — by far the lowest since it was launched in 2004. Looking through NAREIT data, I can’t find a moment since 1971 when the overall yield on REITs was this low. During the real estate bubble in 2007, incidentally, the yield bottomed out no lower than 3.6%\nSo it may be that REITs offer less inflation protection today than we would hope.\nOne key difference in the 1970s is that there were no “inflation-protected” Treasury bonds to keep investors protected. So-called TIPS are in theory almost the perfect investment for retirees. They are issued by the U.S. government and their coupons are safe against default. Meanwhile their coupons effectively adjust to reflect changes in consumer prices.\nThe problem today is that TIPS—like almost everything else in the bond market—look incredibly expensive. Most TIPS already lock in an actual loss of purchasing power if you buy them today. For example if you buy 5 year TIPS bonds and hold them for 5 years you’ll end up losing 9% of your purchasing power. And 30-year TIPS bonds offer the same 9% loss, though stretched out over 30 years.\nIt’s not very compelling. And it shows the risks that the government’s policy responses have created for those in retirement and near it.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"XOM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1692,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}