Tansw的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Tansw

Tansw

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

16关注

11粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-11-12

$GRAND VENTURE TECHNOLOGY LTD(JLB.SI)$seem like no movement

2022-10-16

$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$nice

2021-07-29

$GOLDEN ENERGY AND RESOURCESLTD(AUE.SI)$go go

2021-10-14

$ISDN HOLDINGS LIMITED(I07.SI)$catching up

2021-10-29

$APAC REALTY LIMITED(CLN.SI)$bought some today

2021-10-25

$PROPNEX LIMITED(OYY.SI)$yes up up

2021-10-20

$SARINE TECHNOLOGIES LTD(U77.SI)$can consdier buy some

2021-07-30

good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-28

$GOLDEN ENERGY AND RESOURCESLTD(AUE.SI)$huat ya

2021-07-28

sad

Apple warns supply constraints will impact iPhone and iPad, shares fall

2022-11-05

$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$still good

2021-10-08

$GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD(E5H.SI)$can consider buy some!

2021-09-14

$GOLDEN ENERGY AND RESOURCESLTD(AUE.SI)$uptrend

2021-09-03

$APAC REALTY LIMITED(CLN.SI)$yes uptrend

2021-07-29

good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-01

like

Amazon: Undervalued With Potential Upside Of 25%

2022-11-06

$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$steady

2022-10-20

$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$nice

2021-11-07

$GRAND VENTURE TECHNOLOGY LTD(JLB.SI)$yes

2021-11-02

$SARINE TECHNOLOGIES LTD(U77.SI)$sad seem no movement

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06:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple warns supply constraints will impact iPhone and iPad, shares fall","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148712151","media":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/27/apple-aapl-earnings-q3-2021.html","summary":"Applereported strongfiscal third-quarter earningson Tuesday, demolishing Wall Street expectations. Every one of Apple’s major product lines grew over 12% on an annual basis.Overall, Apple’s sales were up 36% from the June quarter last year. iPhone sales increased nearly 50% on an annual basis.Apple stock was down over 2% in extended trading. It dropped on Tuesday after Apple warned that growth in the September quarter would not be as strong as June’s.Here are the key numbers compared to what Wal","content":"<div>\n<p>Applereported strongfiscal third-quarter earningson Tuesday, demolishing Wall Street expectations. Every one of Apple’s major product lines grew over 12% on an annual basis.\nOverall, Apple’s sales ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/27/apple-aapl-earnings-q3-2021.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple warns supply constraints will impact iPhone and iPad, shares fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple warns supply constraints will impact iPhone and iPad, shares fall\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-28 06:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/27/apple-aapl-earnings-q3-2021.html><strong>https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/27/apple-aapl-earnings-q3-2021.html</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Applereported strongfiscal third-quarter earningson Tuesday, demolishing Wall Street expectations. Every one of Apple’s major product lines grew over 12% on an annual basis.\nOverall, Apple’s sales ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/27/apple-aapl-earnings-q3-2021.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/27/apple-aapl-earnings-q3-2021.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1148712151","content_text":"Applereported strongfiscal third-quarter earningson Tuesday, demolishing Wall Street expectations. Every one of Apple’s major product lines grew over 12% on an annual basis.\nOverall, Apple’s sales were up 36% from the June quarter last year. iPhone sales increased nearly 50% on an annual basis.\nApple stock was down over 2% in extended trading. It dropped on Tuesday after Apple warned that growth in the September quarter would not be as strong as June’s.\nHere are the key numbers compared to what Wall Street was expecting, per Refinitiv estimates:\n\nEPS: $1.30 vs. $1.01 estimated\nRevenue: $81.41 billion vs. $73.30 billion estimated, up 36% year-over-year\niPhone revenue: $39.57 billion vs. $34.01 billion estimated, up 49.78% year-over-year\nServices revenue: $17.48 billion vs. $16.33 billion estimated, up 33% year-over-year\nOther Products revenue: $8.76 billion vs. $7.80 billion estimated, up 40% year-over-year\nMac revenue:$8.24 billion vs. $8.07 billion estimated, up 16% year-over-year\niPad revenue: $7.37 billion vs. $7.15 billion estimated, up 12% year-over-year\nGross margin: 43.3% vs. 41.9% estimated\n\nApple did not provide formal guidance for the sixth quarter in a row and has not since the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic.\nHowever, Apple CFO Luca Maestri said that it expected double-digit year-over-year growth in the current quarter. Maestri said that Apple expected less than 36% growth in the September quarter because of foreign exchange rates, less growth in its services business, and supply constraints for iPhones and iPads.\nApple CEO Tim Cook said in a call with analysts that Apple is seeing supply constraints related to silicon that would affect the company’s iPhone and iPad sales in the September quarter.\nApple also had a strong quarter in its Greater China region, which includes Taiwan and Hong Kong in addition to the mainland. Apple reported $14.76 billion in sales in the region, up 58% from the same quarter last year, although it was an easy comparison given that China was in stages of lockdown during the quarter.\nAmericas sales were up nearly 33% year-over-year to $39.57 billion.\nWATCH NOWVIDEO00:46Apple up after earnings, revenue beat\nApple’s quarter ending in June is typically one of its slowest of the year, but the company has benefitted from work-at-home and remote schooling trends that have boosted sales of its premium computers.\nLast year’s June quarter was a company record for sales despite lockdowns around the world, so Apple is growing even compared to a strong basis from a year ago.\nCook mentioned that the success was not just because of people upgrading their old iPhones, but also Android customers buying their first iPhone.\n“We saw a very strong double digit increases in both upgraders and switchers during the quarter,” Cook said.\nApple’s quarter could have been even better if it had not grappled with supply shortages likely linked to the global chip shortage, which mostly affected its Mac and iPad sales.\n“The shortage primarily affected Mac and iPad,” Apple CEO Tim Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “We had predicted the shortages to total $3 to $4 billion. But we were actually able to mitigate some of that, and we came in at the lower than the low end part of that range.”\nHowever, Apple warned that silicon supply constraints could affect its September quarter iPhone and iPad sales, although the chips that are in short supply are the “legacy nodes” of older kinds of chips, instead of the processors that power Apple devices. Cook also said on a call with analysts that the company believes that freight costs are high.\nApple’s services business also shook off investor fears that its rate of growth could slow as more people go back to work and spend less on online services and apps. Services was up 33% year-over-year, an acceleration from last quarter’s 26.7% growth rate. Maestri said that Apple expected the company’s services growth rate to decrease in the September quarter.\nWhile Apple’s services business includes many products and Apple does not break down how it’s composed, Cook told CNBC that the company set records in music, video, cloud services, advertising and payments.\n“It’s clear that our long running investment in our services strategy is succeeding,” Cook told CNBC.\nApple now has 700 million paid subscribers, up 150 million year-over-year, Cook said. Apple’s subscriber figure includes customers subscribed to an app through Apple’s App Store billing.\nCook also said that Apple pushed back its return to its campus headquarters from September to at least October because of the Covid-19 situation.\n“I’ve been really pleased with what we’ve been able to accomplish in this fully remote mode,” Cook said.\nApple declared a dividend of $0.22 per share of stock. In a statement, Apple said that it spent $29 billion on shareholder return during the quarter. Apple CFO Luca Maestri told CNBC that the company has bought back almost $450 billion in stock in recent years.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":664930264,"gmtCreate":1667648152659,"gmtModify":1667648155398,"author":{"id":"4088042662664350","authorId":"4088042662664350","name":"Tansw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7653b5c0e6ba6e4e3522cd184093d038","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088042662664350","authorIdStr":"4088042662664350"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>still good","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>still good","text":"$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$still good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e510970d116bf98a84a8d1a3a07043a","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664930264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":313,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":823471863,"gmtCreate":1633657748786,"gmtModify":1633658067364,"author":{"id":"4088042662664350","authorId":"4088042662664350","name":"Tansw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7653b5c0e6ba6e4e3522cd184093d038","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088042662664350","authorIdStr":"4088042662664350"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/E5H.SI\">$GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD(E5H.SI)$</a>can consider buy some!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/E5H.SI\">$GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD(E5H.SI)$</a>can consider buy some!","text":"$GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD(E5H.SI)$can consider buy some!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e67358a835972cdba00e5612b37cd68","width":"1080","height":"2480"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823471863","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":886611782,"gmtCreate":1631585036246,"gmtModify":1631888921099,"author":{"id":"4088042662664350","authorId":"4088042662664350","name":"Tansw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7653b5c0e6ba6e4e3522cd184093d038","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088042662664350","authorIdStr":"4088042662664350"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AUE.SI\">$GOLDEN ENERGY AND RESOURCESLTD(AUE.SI)$</a>uptrend","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AUE.SI\">$GOLDEN ENERGY AND RESOURCESLTD(AUE.SI)$</a>uptrend","text":"$GOLDEN ENERGY AND RESOURCESLTD(AUE.SI)$uptrend","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f79a1de641ce6cba448b46d4601436ee","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886611782","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815064278,"gmtCreate":1630630929294,"gmtModify":1631888921044,"author":{"id":"4088042662664350","authorId":"4088042662664350","name":"Tansw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7653b5c0e6ba6e4e3522cd184093d038","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088042662664350","authorIdStr":"4088042662664350"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLN.SI\">$APAC REALTY LIMITED(CLN.SI)$</a>yes uptrend","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLN.SI\">$APAC REALTY LIMITED(CLN.SI)$</a>yes uptrend","text":"$APAC REALTY LIMITED(CLN.SI)$yes uptrend","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f885cb4eaf36e6d967252d3df20e34e2","width":"1080","height":"2588"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815064278","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808814622,"gmtCreate":1627568555466,"gmtModify":1633763703165,"author":{"id":"4088042662664350","authorId":"4088042662664350","name":"Tansw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7653b5c0e6ba6e4e3522cd184093d038","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088042662664350","authorIdStr":"4088042662664350"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808814622","repostId":"1165497040","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158286825,"gmtCreate":1625151287067,"gmtModify":1633944205681,"author":{"id":"4088042662664350","authorId":"4088042662664350","name":"Tansw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7653b5c0e6ba6e4e3522cd184093d038","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088042662664350","authorIdStr":"4088042662664350"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158286825","repostId":"1113357649","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1113357649","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625133776,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1113357649?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 18:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: Undervalued With Potential Upside Of 25%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113357649","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Amazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters.I initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share .The company's improving top line and bottom line performance  suggests that the stock is currently undervalued by 3.9%.Amazon, a $1.74 trillion company. This is the current market capitalization  of the company and this implies that it is currently 15.18% away from being a $2 trillion company, not bad no?I initiate","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Amazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters.</li>\n <li>I initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. the current price of $3443/share).</li>\n <li>The company's improving top line and bottom line performance (which is expected to continue) suggests that the stock is currently undervalued by 3.9%.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51ce52baed5afae04a384059297465d3\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Daria Nipot/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Company Overview</b></p>\n<p>Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), a $1.74 trillion company. This is the current market capitalization (as of 06/29/2021) of the company and this implies that it is currently 15.18% away from being a $2 trillion company, not bad no?</p>\n<p>Amazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters. For example, when Amazon announced the acquisition of Whole Foods, Walmart(NYSE:WMT), Kroger(NYSE:KR), Target(NYSE:TGT)took a&nbsp;nice hit&nbsp;in market value. I believe that the company will be able to keep delivering strong top line growth and continued growth in margins, fueled not only by the company's current business expansion but also by entering into new markets and new businesses.</p>\n<p><b>Company Analysis</b></p>\n<p>I initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. the current price of $3443/share). The FV is an algorithm-adjusted fair value (the algorithm takes into account fundamental and technical factors, such as DCF FV, momentum, etc.) and it implies that the stock is undervalued by 3.9%.</p>\n<p>To compute the DCF FV, I used the trailing twelve-month numbers and I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&amp;D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. As&nbsp;with Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), I don't believe that Amazon's R&amp;D is an operating expense, and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&amp;D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb427d462596db1e1cb1ffc99acc90e4\" tg-width=\"571\" tg-height=\"240\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>Capitalizing on R&amp;D expenses, we have now a more clear picture of the company (i.e. the restated operating margin is now 9.03% TTM vs the non-restated operating margin is 6.63% TTM).</p>\n<p><b>Discounted Cash Flow Model</b></p>\n<p>Now, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e215b21ca0b3be5a5e0e7b62e36fb5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>In my DCF model, I assume a revenue growth for the Y1 of 21.2%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 15% and I assume a terminal year growth rate of 1.48% (or the current yield on 10Y Treasury). The decision of using the current and not expected yield is due to the willingness to remain market neutral (perhaps you can use&nbsp;Goldman Sachs expectations&nbsp;of 1.9%). The current assumptions lead to revenues of $1,253,844 million in Y10.</p>\n<p>Along the road, I also assume an improving outlook for operating margins with the target operating margin of 13.2% (vs current restated operating margin of 9.03%). If the company will be able to meet this target, it will result in operating margins in Y10 of $163,097 million.</p>\n<p>Finally, in doing my estimates, I used a WACC of 5.75% and a sales to capital ratio (or how much the company is going to reinvest to keep its business growing) of 2.95.</p>\n<p>By putting it together, I obtain a DCF value of $3328/share.</p>\n<p><b>Monte Carlo Simulation</b></p>\n<p>Rather than showing you only my point estimates, which may be right but also may be wrong, let's use probability distributions for inputs. Simulations allow us to assess the impact of continuous risk (e.g., changes in operating margins). In particular, I would like to focus on what I consider the main inputs of interest to get a bigger picture of the risk in the company. Those inputs are:</p>\n<p><i>1. Revenue Growth:</i></p>\n<p>In my DCF analysis, I assumed an expected CAGR Y2-Y5 of 15% with lower rates going forward. This assumption lead to revenues in Y10 of $1,253,844 million. While it is a reasonable assumption, Amazon is full of surprises, and it may deliver a top line growth well above my expectations. In the latter, I see a possible scenario with a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 24%, resulting in Y10 revenues of $1,989,952 million. However, we all know that regulators represent a big risk for the company. According to&nbsp;WSJ sources, if the \"giant-tech bill\" will pass, the company may be forced to either split into two companies or spin off its private-label product businesses. This represents a big risk that may slow down Amazon's growth, which could translate into a growth rate of 6% (resulting in Y10 revenues of $764,723 million). To sum up, I will assume a uniform distribution with a maximum of 24% and a minimum of 6%. The results are displayed below (this simulation and the next one have been performed 10,000 times).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893dff753c8ca210759feb31b3966a5c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"235\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p>\n<p><i>2. Operating Margin</i>:</p>\n<p>Currently, Amazon has a restated operating margin of 9.03% TTM (vs not restated EBIT margin of 6.83%). In my DCF, I assumed a target operating margin of 13.2%. While this represents my most likely scenario for the company, I cannot close my eyes to the fact that, even if the company is improving its margins, it is following a very slow climb. Below, I display the non-restated EBIT margin for the last 5 years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d66fcb05f4254b15de278f016121ffa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\"><span>Source:SeekingAlpha.com</span></p>\n<p>However, as I stated at the beginning, Amazon is a disruptive company with the ability to do extraordinary things. For instance, AWS presents a current operating margin of 30% TTM and a revenue growth rate of 29.53% in 2020. A trend which is expected to continue, driven by improving outlook and with new partners joining the party. The last to join the party are Ferrari(NYSE:RACE)and Swisscom(OTCPK:SWZCF)who have chosen AWS as their&nbsp;preferred cloud partner.</p>\n<p>In 2020,according to Gartner, AWS generated revenue 2 times bigger than Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT). As stated by Gartner:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>The worldwide</i>&nbsp;\n <i>infrastructure as a service(IaaS) market grew 40.7% in 2020 to total $64.3 billion, up from $45.7 billion in 2019, according to Gartner, Inc. Amazon retained the No. 1 position in the IaaS market in 2020, followed by Microsoft, Alibaba, Google and Huawei... Amazon continued to lead the worldwide IaaS market with $26.2 billion of revenue in 2020 and 41% market share.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac00a17cbbd930ad6464a63f6d4f98eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\"><span>Source:Gartner.com</span></p>\n<p>Finally, to account for my concerns and beliefs, I will assume a triangular distribution with the following limits: the likeliest target operating margin of 13.2%, a maximum of 18.4%, and a minimum of 8% (close to the current company's EBIT margin). The results are displayed below.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/054e2db392be500768de741516186013\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"237\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p>\n<p><i>3. Cost of Capital:</i></p>\n<p>The last input of interest is the cost of capital. In doing my analysis, I estimated a cost of capital of 5.8% (with the current 10Y rate of 1.48 and an implied ERP of 4.54%). However, I may be wrong due to sector risk estimates or changes in the business mix (or both). To account for the possibility that I made some mistakes along the road, I will rely on a lognormal distribution with the most likely scenario of 5.8%. The results of the simulation are displayed below.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7d51740fa35eb9aedbc58c4c49d96eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"235\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p>\n<p>By putting all of this together, the simulations return the following results.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/139c89300706eab1e37dd1c992286d31\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p>\n<p>For completeness, I also display below the relative and cumulative frequency of the simulation.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af7a908e21b8678a775a3e1742161a7d\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"644\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p>\n<p>By looking at the results, we can see that the 50th percentile or the median is equal to $3274, close to the expected DCF FV of $3328. While the algorithm-adjusted FV of $3576 is the 60th percentile in my simulations (note also the long right tail).</p>\n<p>Finally, simulation results give us an interesting insight into a potential exit point. I believe that an interesting take profit point may be within the 80th percentile, which implies a potential upside of 24.89%. Why within the 80th percentile? I believe that, after reaching the $2.0 trillion company status, we will see the last climb of euphoria before investors start to take profits.</p>\n<p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p>\n<p>Both the algorithm-adjusted fair value and the Monte Carlo simulation suggest and support the bullish rating. The results found suggest that the stock is currently undervalued and that the company has still more room to go. What may drive the price to go higher? Well, there are different factors that may drive it. One of those is for sure corporate news. For instance, the company may introduce new products or announce a stock split (For the latter, I think this is unlikely, at least not now). However, don't forget also the other side, the risks. There are many risks associated with being invested in the company, one of those is represented by antitrust and regulators.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: Undervalued With Potential Upside Of 25%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: Undervalued With Potential Upside Of 25%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-01 18:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437291-amazon-stock-amzn-undervalued-with-potential-upside-of-25-percent><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAmazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters.\nI initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437291-amazon-stock-amzn-undervalued-with-potential-upside-of-25-percent\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437291-amazon-stock-amzn-undervalued-with-potential-upside-of-25-percent","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113357649","content_text":"Summary\n\nAmazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters.\nI initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. the current price of $3443/share).\nThe company's improving top line and bottom line performance (which is expected to continue) suggests that the stock is currently undervalued by 3.9%.\n\nDaria Nipot/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nCompany Overview\nAmazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), a $1.74 trillion company. This is the current market capitalization (as of 06/29/2021) of the company and this implies that it is currently 15.18% away from being a $2 trillion company, not bad no?\nAmazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters. For example, when Amazon announced the acquisition of Whole Foods, Walmart(NYSE:WMT), Kroger(NYSE:KR), Target(NYSE:TGT)took a nice hit in market value. I believe that the company will be able to keep delivering strong top line growth and continued growth in margins, fueled not only by the company's current business expansion but also by entering into new markets and new businesses.\nCompany Analysis\nI initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. the current price of $3443/share). The FV is an algorithm-adjusted fair value (the algorithm takes into account fundamental and technical factors, such as DCF FV, momentum, etc.) and it implies that the stock is undervalued by 3.9%.\nTo compute the DCF FV, I used the trailing twelve-month numbers and I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. As with Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), I don't believe that Amazon's R&D is an operating expense, and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nCapitalizing on R&D expenses, we have now a more clear picture of the company (i.e. the restated operating margin is now 9.03% TTM vs the non-restated operating margin is 6.63% TTM).\nDiscounted Cash Flow Model\nNow, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nIn my DCF model, I assume a revenue growth for the Y1 of 21.2%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 15% and I assume a terminal year growth rate of 1.48% (or the current yield on 10Y Treasury). The decision of using the current and not expected yield is due to the willingness to remain market neutral (perhaps you can use Goldman Sachs expectations of 1.9%). The current assumptions lead to revenues of $1,253,844 million in Y10.\nAlong the road, I also assume an improving outlook for operating margins with the target operating margin of 13.2% (vs current restated operating margin of 9.03%). If the company will be able to meet this target, it will result in operating margins in Y10 of $163,097 million.\nFinally, in doing my estimates, I used a WACC of 5.75% and a sales to capital ratio (or how much the company is going to reinvest to keep its business growing) of 2.95.\nBy putting it together, I obtain a DCF value of $3328/share.\nMonte Carlo Simulation\nRather than showing you only my point estimates, which may be right but also may be wrong, let's use probability distributions for inputs. Simulations allow us to assess the impact of continuous risk (e.g., changes in operating margins). In particular, I would like to focus on what I consider the main inputs of interest to get a bigger picture of the risk in the company. Those inputs are:\n1. Revenue Growth:\nIn my DCF analysis, I assumed an expected CAGR Y2-Y5 of 15% with lower rates going forward. This assumption lead to revenues in Y10 of $1,253,844 million. While it is a reasonable assumption, Amazon is full of surprises, and it may deliver a top line growth well above my expectations. In the latter, I see a possible scenario with a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 24%, resulting in Y10 revenues of $1,989,952 million. However, we all know that regulators represent a big risk for the company. According to WSJ sources, if the \"giant-tech bill\" will pass, the company may be forced to either split into two companies or spin off its private-label product businesses. This represents a big risk that may slow down Amazon's growth, which could translate into a growth rate of 6% (resulting in Y10 revenues of $764,723 million). To sum up, I will assume a uniform distribution with a maximum of 24% and a minimum of 6%. The results are displayed below (this simulation and the next one have been performed 10,000 times).\nSource:Author's estimates\n2. Operating Margin:\nCurrently, Amazon has a restated operating margin of 9.03% TTM (vs not restated EBIT margin of 6.83%). In my DCF, I assumed a target operating margin of 13.2%. While this represents my most likely scenario for the company, I cannot close my eyes to the fact that, even if the company is improving its margins, it is following a very slow climb. Below, I display the non-restated EBIT margin for the last 5 years.\nSource:SeekingAlpha.com\nHowever, as I stated at the beginning, Amazon is a disruptive company with the ability to do extraordinary things. For instance, AWS presents a current operating margin of 30% TTM and a revenue growth rate of 29.53% in 2020. A trend which is expected to continue, driven by improving outlook and with new partners joining the party. The last to join the party are Ferrari(NYSE:RACE)and Swisscom(OTCPK:SWZCF)who have chosen AWS as their preferred cloud partner.\nIn 2020,according to Gartner, AWS generated revenue 2 times bigger than Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT). As stated by Gartner:\n\nThe worldwide \n infrastructure as a service(IaaS) market grew 40.7% in 2020 to total $64.3 billion, up from $45.7 billion in 2019, according to Gartner, Inc. Amazon retained the No. 1 position in the IaaS market in 2020, followed by Microsoft, Alibaba, Google and Huawei... Amazon continued to lead the worldwide IaaS market with $26.2 billion of revenue in 2020 and 41% market share.\n\nSource:Gartner.com\nFinally, to account for my concerns and beliefs, I will assume a triangular distribution with the following limits: the likeliest target operating margin of 13.2%, a maximum of 18.4%, and a minimum of 8% (close to the current company's EBIT margin). The results are displayed below.\nSource:Author's estimates\n3. Cost of Capital:\nThe last input of interest is the cost of capital. In doing my analysis, I estimated a cost of capital of 5.8% (with the current 10Y rate of 1.48 and an implied ERP of 4.54%). However, I may be wrong due to sector risk estimates or changes in the business mix (or both). To account for the possibility that I made some mistakes along the road, I will rely on a lognormal distribution with the most likely scenario of 5.8%. The results of the simulation are displayed below.\nSource:Author's estimates\nBy putting all of this together, the simulations return the following results.\nSource:Author's estimates\nFor completeness, I also display below the relative and cumulative frequency of the simulation.\nSource:Author's estimates\nBy looking at the results, we can see that the 50th percentile or the median is equal to $3274, close to the expected DCF FV of $3328. While the algorithm-adjusted FV of $3576 is the 60th percentile in my simulations (note also the long right tail).\nFinally, simulation results give us an interesting insight into a potential exit point. I believe that an interesting take profit point may be within the 80th percentile, which implies a potential upside of 24.89%. Why within the 80th percentile? I believe that, after reaching the $2.0 trillion company status, we will see the last climb of euphoria before investors start to take profits.\nFinal Thoughts\nBoth the algorithm-adjusted fair value and the Monte Carlo simulation suggest and support the bullish rating. The results found suggest that the stock is currently undervalued and that the company has still more room to go. What may drive the price to go higher? Well, there are different factors that may drive it. One of those is for sure corporate news. For instance, the company may introduce new products or announce a stock split (For the latter, I think this is unlikely, at least not now). However, don't forget also the other side, the risks. There are many risks associated with being invested in the company, one of those is represented by antitrust and regulators.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":664962247,"gmtCreate":1667735892989,"gmtModify":1667735895734,"author":{"id":"4088042662664350","authorId":"4088042662664350","name":"Tansw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7653b5c0e6ba6e4e3522cd184093d038","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088042662664350","authorIdStr":"4088042662664350"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>steady","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>steady","text":"$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$steady","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e510970d116bf98a84a8d1a3a07043a","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664962247","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":662111469,"gmtCreate":1666252985651,"gmtModify":1666252988600,"author":{"id":"4088042662664350","authorId":"4088042662664350","name":"Tansw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7653b5c0e6ba6e4e3522cd184093d038","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088042662664350","authorIdStr":"4088042662664350"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>nice","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>nice","text":"$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$nice","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a96c4211dd4a5356d2f37bbcb0c534f2","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/662111469","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":845370685,"gmtCreate":1636293237738,"gmtModify":1636293237962,"author":{"id":"4088042662664350","authorId":"4088042662664350","name":"Tansw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7653b5c0e6ba6e4e3522cd184093d038","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088042662664350","authorIdStr":"4088042662664350"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JLB.SI\">$GRAND VENTURE TECHNOLOGY LTD(JLB.SI)$</a>yes","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JLB.SI\">$GRAND VENTURE TECHNOLOGY LTD(JLB.SI)$</a>yes","text":"$GRAND VENTURE TECHNOLOGY LTD(JLB.SI)$yes","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8753bfded9bf0f4d0c4e970d08f9a7e","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845370685","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1770,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843872391,"gmtCreate":1635820436858,"gmtModify":1635820436950,"author":{"id":"4088042662664350","authorId":"4088042662664350","name":"Tansw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7653b5c0e6ba6e4e3522cd184093d038","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088042662664350","authorIdStr":"4088042662664350"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U77.SI\">$SARINE TECHNOLOGIES LTD(U77.SI)$</a>sad seem no movement","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U77.SI\">$SARINE TECHNOLOGIES LTD(U77.SI)$</a>sad seem no movement","text":"$SARINE TECHNOLOGIES LTD(U77.SI)$sad seem no movement","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c2c22a6df0c725311e2c82d74cbd2a3","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843872391","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}