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Blackgarlic

Blackgarlic

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2021-10-11

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$😇

2021-09-11

2021-09-06

$Uber(UBER)$be strong

2021-08-28

Yhanks

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2021-08-24

Thanks

@韭菜投资学:大跌之后，有了点新想法

2021-08-23

Oversold, time to buy

2021-08-14

Great

2021-08-02

💪🏻

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2021-08-02

Great

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2021-08-02

Great

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2021-08-01

加油

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2021-07-28

Great

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2021-07-28

$XIAOMI-W(01810)$up

2021-07-28

Great

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2021-07-28

Thanks

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2021-07-27

Great

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2021-07-26

Like

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2021-07-26

Good

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2021-07-26

Like

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2021-07-24

Great

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我比较了两个策略的长期表现。 第一个策略叫“追成长”。在每年年初，选出上市已经满3年，且过去3年中，每年扣非净利润增速都超过30%的股票。 这其中，还要排除一些微利的伪成长股，比如有的公司一年就赚100万，第二年一下子赚了300万，好家伙增幅200%。增速虽然高，但净利润金额太少，这种就不是真成长，要剔除。我要求，过去三年每年的扣非净利润，每年至少都要有5000万。 这样筛选出来的股票，就构成一个股票池，代表业绩持续高成长股。 第二个策略叫“捡便宜”。在每年年初，选出上市已经满5年，且市盈率PE处于过去5年10%分位以下的，也就是要求该股票的PE估值，比过去5年90%的时候都低。 同样，为了避免一些微利的小股票干扰，仍然要求过去三年每年的扣非净利润，至少都要有5000万。 这样筛选出来的股票，构成第二个股票池，代表低估值股。 每年年初，都这么选出两个组合，然后以5年为期限，观察5年后它们的收益表现。 我先贴结果，追成长组合表现如下表。说下这个表怎么看，以第一行2012年为例，意思就是2012年初买入当时选出的追成长组合，持有5年，组合内股票的平均涨幅、中位数涨幅是多少，我还列了同期沪深300指数的涨幅作为参考。初始PE中位数，是买入组合时成分股PE的中位数，5年后PE中位数就是5年后的。第二行2013年，就是2013年初选出组合买入持有5年的情况，后面以此类推，只做到2016年，是因为2017年再买的话，到现在满不了5年。 接下来是捡便宜组合的表现： 我说下结论和分析： 1. 无论是追成长组合，还是捡便宜组合，也无论从哪一年开始买，持有5年后，平均涨幅都好于中位数涨幅。 这是个很有意义的结论。平均涨幅，就是把组合内所有股票的涨幅做算数平均，就相当于一开始每个股票都买了相同金额，最后获得的收益率。而中位数","listText":"今天股市大跌，我一边吃面，一边做了个数据分析，发现了不少有意思的结论。 我比较了两个策略的长期表现。 第一个策略叫“追成长”。在每年年初，选出上市已经满3年，且过去3年中，每年扣非净利润增速都超过30%的股票。 这其中，还要排除一些微利的伪成长股，比如有的公司一年就赚100万，第二年一下子赚了300万，好家伙增幅200%。增速虽然高，但净利润金额太少，这种就不是真成长，要剔除。我要求，过去三年每年的扣非净利润，每年至少都要有5000万。 这样筛选出来的股票，就构成一个股票池，代表业绩持续高成长股。 第二个策略叫“捡便宜”。在每年年初，选出上市已经满5年，且市盈率PE处于过去5年10%分位以下的，也就是要求该股票的PE估值，比过去5年90%的时候都低。 同样，为了避免一些微利的小股票干扰，仍然要求过去三年每年的扣非净利润，至少都要有5000万。 这样筛选出来的股票，构成第二个股票池，代表低估值股。 每年年初，都这么选出两个组合，然后以5年为期限，观察5年后它们的收益表现。 我先贴结果，追成长组合表现如下表。说下这个表怎么看，以第一行2012年为例，意思就是2012年初买入当时选出的追成长组合，持有5年，组合内股票的平均涨幅、中位数涨幅是多少，我还列了同期沪深300指数的涨幅作为参考。初始PE中位数，是买入组合时成分股PE的中位数，5年后PE中位数就是5年后的。第二行2013年，就是2013年初选出组合买入持有5年的情况，后面以此类推，只做到2016年，是因为2017年再买的话，到现在满不了5年。 接下来是捡便宜组合的表现： 我说下结论和分析： 1. 无论是追成长组合，还是捡便宜组合，也无论从哪一年开始买，持有5年后，平均涨幅都好于中位数涨幅。 这是个很有意义的结论。平均涨幅，就是把组合内所有股票的涨幅做算数平均，就相当于一开始每个股票都买了相同金额，最后获得的收益率。而中位数","text":"今天股市大跌，我一边吃面，一边做了个数据分析，发现了不少有意思的结论。 我比较了两个策略的长期表现。 第一个策略叫“追成长”。在每年年初，选出上市已经满3年，且过去3年中，每年扣非净利润增速都超过30%的股票。 这其中，还要排除一些微利的伪成长股，比如有的公司一年就赚100万，第二年一下子赚了300万，好家伙增幅200%。增速虽然高，但净利润金额太少，这种就不是真成长，要剔除。我要求，过去三年每年的扣非净利润，每年至少都要有5000万。 这样筛选出来的股票，就构成一个股票池，代表业绩持续高成长股。 第二个策略叫“捡便宜”。在每年年初，选出上市已经满5年，且市盈率PE处于过去5年10%分位以下的，也就是要求该股票的PE估值，比过去5年90%的时候都低。 同样，为了避免一些微利的小股票干扰，仍然要求过去三年每年的扣非净利润，至少都要有5000万。 这样筛选出来的股票，构成第二个股票池，代表低估值股。 每年年初，都这么选出两个组合，然后以5年为期限，观察5年后它们的收益表现。 我先贴结果，追成长组合表现如下表。说下这个表怎么看，以第一行2012年为例，意思就是2012年初买入当时选出的追成长组合，持有5年，组合内股票的平均涨幅、中位数涨幅是多少，我还列了同期沪深300指数的涨幅作为参考。初始PE中位数，是买入组合时成分股PE的中位数，5年后PE中位数就是5年后的。第二行2013年，就是2013年初选出组合买入持有5年的情况，后面以此类推，只做到2016年，是因为2017年再买的话，到现在满不了5年。 接下来是捡便宜组合的表现： 我说下结论和分析： 1. 无论是追成长组合，还是捡便宜组合，也无论从哪一年开始买，持有5年后，平均涨幅都好于中位数涨幅。 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