41e183的个人主页 - 老虎社区

41e183

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

428关注

13粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-07-31

Nice

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-13

Morning

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-04

Oooo

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-29

Morning

Hertz-Tesla Deal Signals Broad Shift to EVs for Rental-Car Companies<blockquote>赫兹与特斯拉的交易标志着汽车租赁公司广泛转向电动汽车</blockquote>

2021-09-14

Nice

Moderna stock jumped 4% in morning trading<blockquote>Moderna股价早盘上涨4%</blockquote>

2021-09-07

Nice

SoFi Technologies: 4 Trades To Get In On Fintech's Growth<blockquote>SoFi Technologies：参与金融科技增长的4项交易</blockquote>

2021-07-21

Nice

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-15

Morning

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-05

Morning

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-27

Hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-19

Hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-05

Hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-21

Nice

Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>

2021-08-16

Good

Nvidia, Tencent,Walmart, Target and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>英伟达、腾讯控股、沃尔玛、塔吉特等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>

2021-07-28

Nice

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-27

Apple

Apple Earnings Face High Expectations<blockquote>苹果盈利面临高预期</blockquote>

2021-07-23

Up up up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-11

Good news

The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>

2021-07-06

New boss , new view

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"4088412711170620","uuid":"4088412711170620","gmtCreate":1625311216630,"gmtModify":1625538655789,"name":"41e183","pinyin":"kitsonlin","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":13,"headSize":428,"tweetSize":187,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.11.19","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.05.10","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":3,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":692834705,"gmtCreate":1640912232813,"gmtModify":1640912233008,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning&nbsp;","listText":"Morning&nbsp;","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692834705","repostId":"2195941544","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2629,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692077217,"gmtCreate":1640819517508,"gmtModify":1640819517707,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692077217","repostId":"2195345230","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2800,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696419015,"gmtCreate":1640745534741,"gmtModify":1640745534901,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696419015","repostId":"1147732268","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147732268","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640743383,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147732268?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-29 10:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSLA Stock Price Predictions: Why These 2 Analysts Are Increasing Their Targets for Tesla in 2022<blockquote>TSLA股价预测：为什么这两位分析师提高了2022年特斯拉的目标</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147732268","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"After opening higher by 1.4% on Tuesday, shares of Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) have taken a turn. TSLA stock ","content":"<p><div> After opening higher by 1.4% on Tuesday, shares of Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) have taken a turn. TSLA stock is down 0.5% today, despite a pair of analyst price-target hikes. However, if these price targets ...</p><p><blockquote><div>继周二高开1.4%后，特斯拉（纳斯达克：TSLA）股价出现转机。尽管分析师多次上调目标价，但特斯拉股价今天仍下跌0.5%。然而，如果这些价格目标...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/tsla-stock-price-predictions-why-these-2-analysts-are-increasing-their-targets-for-tesla-in-2022/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/tsla-stock-price-predictions-why-these-2-analysts-are-increasing-their-targets-for-tesla-in-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSLA Stock Price Predictions: Why These 2 Analysts Are Increasing Their Targets for Tesla in 2022<blockquote>TSLA股价预测：为什么这两位分析师提高了2022年特斯拉的目标</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSLA Stock Price Predictions: Why These 2 Analysts Are Increasing Their Targets for Tesla in 2022<blockquote>TSLA股价预测：为什么这两位分析师提高了2022年特斯拉的目标</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-29 10:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> After opening higher by 1.4% on Tuesday, shares of Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) have taken a turn. TSLA stock is down 0.5% today, despite a pair of analyst price-target hikes. However, if these price targets ...</p><p><blockquote><div>继周二高开1.4%后，特斯拉（纳斯达克：TSLA）股价出现转机。尽管分析师多次上调目标价，但特斯拉股价今天仍下跌0.5%。然而，如果这些价格目标...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/tsla-stock-price-predictions-why-these-2-analysts-are-increasing-their-targets-for-tesla-in-2022/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/tsla-stock-price-predictions-why-these-2-analysts-are-increasing-their-targets-for-tesla-in-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/tsla-stock-price-predictions-why-these-2-analysts-are-increasing-their-targets-for-tesla-in-2022/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/tsla-stock-price-predictions-why-these-2-analysts-are-increasing-their-targets-for-tesla-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147732268","content_text":"After opening higher by 1.4% on Tuesday, shares of Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) have taken a turn. TSLA stock is down 0.5% today, despite a pair of analyst price-target hikes. However, if these price targets come to fruition, today’s action will be a distant memory.\nArgus Researchupped its target to $1,313 from $1,010.Wedbush’s Dan Ives also raised his price target, upping it to $1,400 from $1,100.\nIves argues that Tesla’s China business could increase the stock price by another $400 per share in 2022. Furthermore, he estimates that Tesla will deliver between 1.4 million and 1.5 million vehicles next year. However, there could be even more upside. Ives has a bull-case price target of $1,800 per share. If achieved, it would represent about 66% upside in TSLA stock from current levels.\nAccording to Ives, “Musk & Co. have navigated the chip supply shortages better than any automaker globally over the last six months, which is why Tesla is in a clear position of strength heading into 2022 with an inflection point year ahead.”\nFurther, he says there are three main catalysts for a higher stock price this year: “By the end of 2022 Tesla will have the capacity for overall ~2 million units annually from roughly 1 million today … Austin has a clear path to launching its key flagship US factory (and HQ) in early 2022 … [Tesla can] further expand its auto [gross margins] and profitability profile over the next 12 to 18 months.”\nThe latest analyst actions aren’t the only bullish calls this month. A few weeks ago, New Street analyst Pierre Ferraguincreased his price target from $1,298 to a Street-high $1,580. The bullish stance comes from high expectations for the company’s Shanghai plant, believing it will turnout 700,000 vehicles annually. Additionally, the analyst believes Tesla will surpass its delivery estimate of 266,000 units in the fourth quarter.\nTSLA Stock This Year\nSo far for the year, TSLA stock is up about 53%. While that’s vastly better than Nio(NYSE:NIO) and several of the newcomers in the EV space, Tesla’s performance lags Ford(NYSE:F) and Lucid Motors(NASDAQ:LCID), which are up 137% and 275% on the year, respectively.\nWhile shares are down slightly on the day now, TSLA stock is still up more than 20% from last week’s low. The rally helped the company regain its $1 trillion market capitalization, by far the largest in the auto sector.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3589,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696804904,"gmtCreate":1640657339513,"gmtModify":1640657342061,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696804904","repostId":"1151169779","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698763335,"gmtCreate":1640560107450,"gmtModify":1640560107618,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698763335","repostId":"2193033173","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698464785,"gmtCreate":1640499085447,"gmtModify":1640499222485,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Afternoon","listText":"Afternoon","text":"Afternoon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698464785","repostId":"1100809123","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100809123","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640484960,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100809123?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-26 10:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Twilio Stock Is Still Slumping<blockquote>为什么Twilio股价仍在暴跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100809123","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Twilio(NYSE:TWLO) is having a tough time pulling back from the tech wreck of 2021. The cloud communi","content":"<p><div> Twilio(NYSE:TWLO) is having a tough time pulling back from the tech wreck of 2021. The cloud communications platform as a service posted strong quarterly results. Active customer accounts grew. ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Twilio（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TWLO）正在艰难地从2021年的科技灾难中恢复过来。云通信平台即服务公布了强劲的季度业绩。活跃客户账户增长。...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/why-twilio-stock-is-still-slumping/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/why-twilio-stock-is-still-slumping/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Twilio Stock Is Still Slumping<blockquote>为什么Twilio股价仍在暴跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Twilio Stock Is Still Slumping<blockquote>为什么Twilio股价仍在暴跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-26 10:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Twilio(NYSE:TWLO) is having a tough time pulling back from the tech wreck of 2021. The cloud communications platform as a service posted strong quarterly results. Active customer accounts grew. ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Twilio（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TWLO）正在艰难地从2021年的科技灾难中恢复过来。云通信平台即服务公布了强劲的季度业绩。活跃客户账户增长。...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/why-twilio-stock-is-still-slumping/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/why-twilio-stock-is-still-slumping/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/why-twilio-stock-is-still-slumping/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWLO":"Twilio Inc"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/why-twilio-stock-is-still-slumping/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100809123","content_text":"Twilio(NYSE:TWLO) is having a tough time pulling back from the tech wreck of 2021. The cloud communications platform as a service posted strong quarterly results. Active customer accounts grew. Investors of TWLO Stock, however, are in for a big surprise.\nThe company initiated fourth-quarter guidance, which included non-GAAP losses. Since November, investors of  TWLO stock faced downward selling pressure after investors shunned high valuation stocks. Despite the volatility, why is Twilio a compelling worthwhile long-term investment?\nTWLO Stock Under Pressure\nTwilio announced third-quarter revenue of $740.2 million. Losses almost doubled from $112.3 million last year to $232.3 million. Still, on a non-GAAP EPS basis, it earned a penny, or $8.2 million. Even after losing 10% of its value in the month and 40% from 52-week highs, the market capitalization is almost $50 billion. Investors are nervous that the small profit will not rise in the coming quarters.\nFortunately, Twilio’s quarter revenue is growing consistently in the low 60% range. Revenue growthof 46% in Q2/2020(slide 5) is a low point. Given the increasing uncertainties from Covid-19, markets are worried that Twilio’s business growth may lose momentum. Omicron is confusing investors. They are not sure that business customers will face a slowdown. That would hurt Twilio’s strong active customer account growth.\nModest Slowdown\nIn Q3, Twilio’s dollar-based net expansion rate fell slightly, from 137% in Q3/2020 to 131%. After it acquired Zipwhip and Segment, completed in July 2021for $850 million, its communications platform should attract growth.\nSimon Khalaf, SVP and general manager of the Twilio Communications Platform, said that Zipwhip would leverage Twilio’s messaging expertise across its channels. The unit will suit customers of all sizes since they will get a suite of messaging offerings.\nLast year,Twilio acquired Segment. It wrapped up the$3.2 billion purchase quickly. Segment adds developer tools to the platform. Twilio benefits from having a set of communication APIs (application programming interfaces). Segment focuses on interacting with customers and managing that data.\nOpportunity For TWLO Stock\nTwilio will sustain organic growth of at least 30% or more in the next three years. It has broad exposure geographically. Segment demonstrated strong quarterly performance. This gives management the confidence that its business momentum will continue.\nThe company has a vision of becoming a leading customer engagement platform. It will get there by following its product roadmap in the next few years. It has plenty of cash on hand ($1.497 billion as of Sept. 30, 2021) for mergers in acquisitions. After a few big purchases in the last year, Twilio will take its time to acquire other firms to fuel growth.\nSince company targets still trade at premiums, Twilio will be selective about its opportunities. It has a solid technology stack. It will pursue any outside solutions that add to the platform at the right price. For now, the firm will capture more of its addressable market by providing digital transformation solutions for customers.\nIn 2022, Twilio will turn its attention to developing its customer engagement platform. This includes growing customer awareness forTwilio Engage. This is an omnichannel growth platform. Customers may build and optimize marketing campaigns using its tools, analytics, and data integrations.\nRisks\nApple’s advertising identifier advertisers, called IDFA, may potentially limit a customer’s view of data. Still, Twilio believes it will provide the antidote to IDFA tag changes. For example, its customers will have first-party signals from customers as opposed to third-party data.\nAt a macro level, the company will help its customers grow its relationships with their customers. Business customers have not only Twilio’s messaging products but up-sold products like Segment. In 2022, its general availability rollout will lift revenue and profit margins.\nDowntrend Chart and Fair Value\nIn the chart below, Twilio stock is still working off bearish selling volume. It faces resistance at the 50-day and 200-day simple moving average.On Wall Street, 18 out of 19 analysts rate TWLO shares as a buy. The price target ranges from $350 to $550,according to Tipranks. The analyst support for Twilio’s prospects could lead to buyers returning to the stock early next year.\nYour Takeaway\nOver-priced software stocks are in a bear market. Twilio is a marketing and communications platform that posted its first quarterly revenue. After adding new features and rolling out the improved solution in 2022, growth could expand. Investors should keep this stock on the radar.\nInvestors cannot time when the selling pressure will end. Look for the widely-held value software stocks to rebound first. If the Nasdaq accompanies that uptrend, TWLO stock recovery will soon follow.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TWLO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3382,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698505147,"gmtCreate":1640432393091,"gmtModify":1640432393254,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Evening","listText":"Evening","text":"Evening","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698505147","repostId":"2193720178","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2708,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698178630,"gmtCreate":1640328360668,"gmtModify":1640328716573,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698178630","repostId":"1126440728","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126440728","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640327378,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126440728?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"10 Best Value Stocks to Buy for 2022<blockquote>2022年最值得买入的10只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126440728","media":"U.S. News & World Report","summary":"These cheaply priced value stocks should deliver solid results next year.","content":"<p>These cheaply priced value stocks should deliver solid results next year.</p><p><blockquote>这些价格低廉的价值股明年应该会取得稳健的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> In an expensive stock market trading near record highs, it's not easy to pay up for growth stocks. And, as the past few months have shown, there's a lot of risk in chasing the high-fliers. There have been huge sell-offs in&nbsp;special-purpose acquisition companies, software stocks and electric vehicle firms, among others. As such, many investors are looking to more defensive value companies for 2022. There are numerous definitions of a value stock. Many investors use book value, relative valuations compared to the sector, free cash flow or valuations compared to a historical mean, among other metrics. However, for the sake of this list, the criteria of 15 times forward earnings will be the barometer. Any stock trading for less than that threshold is eligible, and anything over that number is excluded. With that definition set, here are 10 of the best value stocks to buy for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>在接近历史高点的昂贵股市中，为成长型股票买单并不容易。而且，正如过去几个月所表明的那样，追逐雄心勃勃的人存在很大风险。特殊目的收购公司、软件股和电动汽车公司等遭到大规模抛售。因此，许多投资者正在寻找2022年更具防御性的价值公司。价值股票有多种定义。许多投资者使用账面价值、与行业相比的相对估值、自由现金流或与历史平均值相比的估值等指标。然而，为了这份名单，15倍预期市盈率的标准将是晴雨表。任何低于该阈值的股票交易都是合格的，任何超过该数字的股票都被排除在外。根据这一定义，以下是2022年最值得购买的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Verizon Communications Inc. (ticker:VZ)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>威瑞森通信公司（股票代码：VZ）</b></blockquote></p><p> It's not glamorous, but for investors seeking a safe and cheap high-yield stock, the telecom industry isn't a bad place to look. Specifically, Verizon offers a lot of appeal after an underwhelming 2021. The company has spent most of the past five years trading between $50 and $60 per share. The stock doesn't move quickly. And an inability to capitalize on the 5G upgrade cycle until now has squashed what little momentum Verizon may have had. At some point, however, the&nbsp;5G investments&nbsp;should start to pay dividends. In the meantime, Verizon continues to enjoy incredible cash flows from its core business. The stock won't deliver big overnight returns, but it's got a steady 4.9% dividend yield with some upside potential given its bona fide value-stock status at 10 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>它并不迷人，但对于寻求安全且廉价的高收益股票的投资者来说，电信行业是一个不错的选择。具体来说，在经历了平淡无奇的2021年之后，威瑞森提供了很多吸引力。该公司过去五年的大部分时间都在每股50至60美元之间。股票变动不快。到目前为止，由于无法利用5G升级周期，威瑞森可能拥有的微弱势头被压垮了。然而，在某个时候，5G投资应该会开始带来回报。与此同时，威瑞森继续从其核心业务中获得令人难以置信的现金流。该股不会带来巨大的隔夜回报，但鉴于其市盈率为10倍的真正价值股地位，其股息收益率稳定为4.9%，具有一定的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛集团(GS)</b></blockquote></p><p> On the surface, Goldman Sachs looks like one of the absolute cheapest stocks on this list. GS stock is trading for just 6.3 times trailing earnings. That's in large part due to just how phenomenal 2021 was for the bank. Goldman Sachs saw improving loan market conditions, a boom in investment banking fees and improving results from its wealth management services division. Building on that momentum, Goldman Sachs recently lifted its outlook and profit margin targets through 2025. There is some risk of things cooling off a bit in 2022; analysts forecast a normalization in earnings after 2021's euphoria. Even so, based on a more conservative outlook for next year, analysts have the stock trading for under 10 times forward earnings. That's a bargain. The bank pays a fine 2.1% dividend too, and with the Federal Reserve looking to hike interest rates, earnings may surprise once again to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>从表面上看，高盛似乎是这份名单上绝对最便宜的股票之一。GS股票的市盈率仅为6.3倍。这在很大程度上是因为2021年对该银行来说是多么非凡。高盛看到了贷款市场状况的改善、投资银行费用的激增以及财富管理服务部门业绩的改善。在这一势头的基础上，高盛最近上调了2025年的前景和利润率目标。2022年情况可能会有所降温；分析师预测，在2021年的兴奋之后，盈利将正常化。即便如此，基于对明年更为保守的前景，分析师认为该股的预期市盈率低于10倍。真划算。该银行还支付2.1%的罚款股息，随着美联储寻求加息，盈利可能会再次意外上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (WFC)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>富国银行(WFC)</b></blockquote></p><p> Goldman isn't the only bank stock to grace the list of the best value stocks to buy for 2022. Wells Fargo is another top option. Deep value investors might scoff. After all, Wells Fargo stock jumped more than 50% in 2021. So how is it still cheap now? The answer is that Wells Fargo faced a one-two punch in recent years. It had to deal with the legacy of its fraudulent-accounts scandal and a potential economic disaster induced by COVID-19. Bank stocks, as a sector, have regained their early pandemic losses as the anticipated credit losses failed to materialize. However, Wells Fargo still has additional upside as it resolves its reputational issues. The company's CEO has a roadmap to cutting at least $8 billion per year in overhead over the next few years. This will give Wells Fargo a huge earnings boost. The stock is trading at 12 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>高盛并不是唯一一只跻身2022年最佳价值股票名单的银行股。富国银行是另一个首选。深度价值投资者可能会嗤之以鼻。毕竟，富国银行股价在2021年上涨了50%以上。那么现在怎么还便宜呢？答案是富国银行近年来面临着双重打击。它必须应对欺诈账户丑闻的遗留问题以及COVID-19引发的潜在经济灾难。由于预期的信贷损失未能实现，银行股作为一个板块已经收复了疫情初期的损失。然而，富国银行在解决声誉问题时仍有额外的上升空间。该公司首席执行官制定了未来几年每年至少削减80亿美元管理费用的路线图。这将给富国银行带来巨大的盈利增长。该股的预期市盈率为12倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford Motor Co. (F)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特汽车公司(F)</b></blockquote></p><p> Could Ford become a momentum stock? It's certainly looking more and more possible with every passing month. The venerable automaker has suddenly become a hot property: Ford's shares doubled in 2021. Even after doing so, however, Ford remains an inexpensive value stock, selling for less than 11 times forward earnings. Investors finally seem to be waking up to the fact that the traditional automakers are actually rather competitive on electric vehicles. As the herd of new&nbsp;electric vehicle companies&nbsp;lost their luster in 2021, stocks like Ford suddenly took flight. A company like Ford is a much safer bet than a firm with a huge valuation but minimal revenues as of yet, such as Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN). And since Ford already has tremendous profitability, it can reward shareholders with a 2% dividend and a sense of stability while waiting to see how the firm's electric vehicle evolution proceeds.</p><p><blockquote>福特能成为动量股吗？随着时间的推移，这看起来越来越有可能。这家历史悠久的汽车制造商突然成为热门资产：福特的股价在2021年翻了一番。然而，即使这样做了，福特仍然是一只廉价的价值股票，其预期市盈率不到11倍。投资者似乎终于意识到这样一个事实：传统汽车制造商在电动汽车方面实际上相当有竞争力。随着新电动汽车公司在2021年失去光彩，福特等股票突然起飞。像福特这样的公司比Rivian汽车公司（RIVN）等估值巨大但迄今为止收入微薄的公司更安全。由于福特已经拥有巨大的盈利能力，它可以在等待公司电动汽车发展进展的同时，以2%的股息和稳定感来回报股东。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fidelity National Information Services Inc. (FIS)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>富达国家信息服务公司(FIS)</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fidelity Information Services is a diversified financials, payments and information technology company. It's one of the fastest-growing companies on this list, as analysts see the company growing earnings at 13% per year in 2022 and 2023. Despite that, amid the sell-off in the payments stock sector, Fidelity Information Services fell about 25% in 2021 and thus has fallen squarely into the bucket of top value stocks to invest in, as shares trade at just 14 times estimated 2022 earnings. This appears to be around general worries of fintech disrupting legacy payments firms. However, Fidelity Information Services should dodge that risk, as it's a diversified business spanning countless lines of payments businesses. It has high-profile new-economy clients such as PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL), Klarna, Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Crypto.com, and deals tend to be multiyear recurring revenue streams. Long story short, rumors of this company's demise have been greatly exaggerated, leading to an opportune entry point for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>富达信息服务公司是一家多元化的金融、支付和信息技术公司。它是该榜单上增长最快的公司之一，分析师预计该公司2022年和2023年的盈利将以每年13%的速度增长。尽管如此，在支付股票行业的抛售中，富达信息服务公司(Fidelity Information Services)在2021年下跌了约25%，因此直接落入了最值得投资的股票之列，因为其股价仅为2022年预期市盈率的14倍。这似乎是围绕着对金融科技颠覆传统支付公司的普遍担忧。然而，富达信息服务应该避免这种风险，因为它是一项跨越无数支付业务的多元化业务。它拥有PayPal控股公司(PYPL)、Klarna、亚马逊公司(AMZN)和Crypto.com等知名新经济客户，而且交易往往是多年经常性收入来源。长话短说，这家公司倒闭的传言被大大夸大了，导致2022年进入了一个合适的切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际商业机器公司(IBM)</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM certainly missed much of the last decade's big innovations in the technology sector. The tech giant was once the largest company in the world by market capitalization. It's not on the same scale today. However, many investors have written the firm off prematurely. The company remains an absolute cash flow machine with its core consulting and services business. It's not glamorous, but it is highly profitable. The company is active in growth sectors, as well. It has one of the most advanced&nbsp;artificial intelligence&nbsp;programs in the world. Commercialization has been slow, but if IBM solves that issue, it would be a game-changer. In the meantime, the company's Red Hat purchase gave it a big boost in on-trend categories such as cloud computing and virtualization. IBM still faces structural headwinds, to be sure. But at a 12 times forward P-E ratio and 5.1% dividend yield, the price is certainly right to give IBM's turnaround story a chance.</p><p><blockquote>IBM当然错过了过去十年技术领域的许多重大创新。这家科技巨头曾经是全球市值最大的公司。今天的规模不一样了。然而，许多投资者过早地将该公司一笔勾销。该公司的核心咨询和服务业务仍然是绝对的现金流机器。它并不光鲜，但利润很高。该公司在增长领域也很活跃。它拥有世界上最先进的人工智能程序之一。商业化进展缓慢，但如果IBM解决了这个问题，这将是一个游戏规则的改变者。与此同时，该公司对红帽的收购极大地推动了其在云计算和虚拟化等热门类别的发展。可以肯定的是，IBM仍然面临结构性阻力。但以12倍的预期市盈率和5.1%的股息收益率来看，这个价格无疑足以给IBM的扭亏为盈故事一个机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>吉利德科学公司(GILD)</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors have labeled Gilead Sciences a value trap. That's because the stock has gone nowhere for the past five years despite appearing to be cheap. This is understandable. Gilead rose to prominence from a highly successful set of drugs to treat hepatitis C. Gilead was unable to immediately follow up that product line with a second act, causing the company's revenues, earnings and stock price to stall out. Seemingly under the radar, however, Gilead has snapped out of its slump. Analysts are modeling double-digit growth in 2022 as Gilead's clinical pipeline and acquisitions are kicking into gear.Biotech investing&nbsp;is always subject to a certain degree of luck depending on clinical trial outcomes. However, with earnings set to jump, Gilead looks attractive at 10 times forward earnings and with a 4% dividend yield.</p><p><blockquote>投资者给吉利德科学贴上了价值陷阱的标签。这是因为尽管该股看起来很便宜，但在过去五年里却毫无进展。这是可以理解的。吉利德从一系列非常成功的治疗丙型肝炎的药物中脱颖而出。吉利德无法立即跟进该产品线采取第二项行动，导致该公司的收入、盈利和股价停滞不前。然而，看似不为人知的是，吉利德已经从低迷中恢复过来。随着吉利德临床管线和收购的启动，分析师预计2022年将实现两位数增长。生物技术投资总是受到一定程度的运气的影响，具体取决于临床试验结果。然而，随着盈利将大幅增长，吉利德的预期市盈率为10倍，股息收益率为4%，看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FedEx Corp. (FDX)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>联邦快递公司(FDX)</b></blockquote></p><p> FedEx fell victim to a post-pandemic slump. Shares had surged in 2020 as soaring e-commerce demand led to unprecedented need for FedEx's delivery and logistics services. Previously, investors had worried that Amazon would steal market share from FedEx. With the rise of quarantine shopping in 2020, however, there were more than enough packages to keep everyone busy. 2021 was more difficult, though. Labor shortages and surging wages made it difficult to keep the workforce ready at a reasonable cost. Soaring fuel prices crimped profit margins. And port closures, vaccine mandates and other outside factors added further layers of complexity to FedEx's business. Despite all that, FedEx is still going for just 12 times forward earnings. While the headwinds are real, the company's earnings more than offset them. To that end, FedEx just announced a $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase program to sop up company stock while it's cheap. As if that weren't enough, JPMorgan Chase analysts labeled FedEx stock one of their top transportation picks for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递成为大流行后经济衰退的受害者。由于电子商务需求飙升导致对联邦快递送货和物流服务的需求空前高涨，2020年股价飙升。此前，投资者曾担心亚马逊会抢走联邦快递的市场份额。然而，随着2020年隔离购物的兴起，有足够多的包裹让每个人都忙个不停。然而，2021年更加困难。劳动力短缺和工资飙升使得以合理的成本让劳动力做好准备变得困难。燃料价格飙升挤压了利润率。港口关闭、疫苗强制令和其他外部因素进一步增加了联邦快递业务的复杂性。尽管如此，联邦快递的预期市盈率仍仅为12倍。虽然不利因素是真实的，但该公司的盈利足以抵消这些不利因素。为此，联邦快递刚刚宣布了一项15亿美元的加速股票回购计划，以趁公司股票便宜的时候买入。似乎这还不够，摩根大通分析师将联邦快递股票列为2022年首选运输股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Kroger Co. (KR)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>克罗格公司(KR)</b></blockquote></p><p> Like FedEx, Kroger found itself in a complicated situation thanks to the pandemic. Initially, Kroger delivered strong growth as consumers stocked up their pantries at the start of the lockdowns. In addition, Kroger has invested heavily in&nbsp;e-commerce, warehouses and logistics over the past few years. It's not just a sleepy grocery store chain anymore. In a crisis, Kroger was able to demonstrate its capabilities with delivery orders and gain the trust of a new generation of consumers. 2021 was more complicated, though. Labor shortages and supply chain problems caused Kroger significant profitability headwinds. In addition, the general inflationary wave forced Kroger and its suppliers to raise prices dramatically, potentially damaging the consumer relationship. For the longer term, Kroger's investments in logistics should keep it on the right road, and at 13 times forward earnings, the stock is hardly priced for perfection.</p><p><blockquote>与联邦快递一样，克罗格发现自己因疫情而陷入了复杂的境地。最初，随着消费者在封锁开始时储备了食品储藏室，克罗格实现了强劲增长。此外，克罗格在过去几年中还在电子商务、仓库和物流方面进行了大量投资。它不再只是一家昏昏欲睡的杂货店连锁店。在危机中，克罗格能够通过交付订单展示其能力，并获得新一代消费者的信任。然而，2021年更加复杂。劳动力短缺和供应链问题给克罗格的盈利能力带来了重大阻力。此外，普遍的通胀浪潮迫使克罗格及其供应商大幅提价，可能会损害消费者关系。从长远来看，克罗格对物流的投资应该会使其走在正确的道路上，而且该股的预期市盈率为13倍，其定价很难达到完美。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>埃克森美孚公司(XOM)</b></blockquote></p><p> ExxonMobil is enjoying a long-overdue comeback. Exxon stock suffered a six-year downturn between 2014 and 2020, with the stock plummeting from $100 to its ultimate low around $30 during the pandemic. The price of natural gas slumped, while oil did it one better: Crude briefly tumbled below $0 per barrel during the height of the COVID-19 crisis. However, as the adage goes, the cure for low prices is low prices. With oil down for so long, producers stopped putting much capital into new projects. As a result, the supply of oil has become less certain, while demand for oil has come surging back as the world economy reopens. Government regulation and socially conscious investors have further made it difficult to drill for new oil. This puts existing producers with low-cost fields, like ExxonMobil, in the driver's seat. The stock is selling at just 11 times earnings heading into 2022, while paying out a nearly 6% dividend yield.</p><p><blockquote>埃克森美孚正在享受期待已久的卷土重来。埃克森美孚股价在2014年至2020年间遭受了长达六年的低迷，在疫情期间，该股从100美元暴跌至30美元左右的最终低点。天然气价格暴跌，而石油价格表现更好：在COVID-19危机最严重的时候，原油价格曾一度跌破每桶0美元。然而，俗话说，治疗低价的方法是低价。由于油价下跌了这么长时间，生产商停止向新项目投入大量资金。因此，石油供应变得不那么确定，而随着世界经济重新开放，对石油的需求激增。政府监管和具有社会意识的投资者进一步加大了开采新石油的难度。这使得埃克森美孚等拥有低成本油田的现有生产商占据了主导地位。到2022年，该股的市盈率仅为11倍，同时支付近6%的股息收益率。</blockquote></p><p> 10 best value stocks to buy for 2022:</p><p><blockquote>2022年最值得购买的10只股票：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ)</li>  <li>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)</li>  <li>Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (WFC)</li>  <li>Ford Motor Co. (F)</li>  <li>Fidelity National Information Services Inc. (FIS)</li>  <li>International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)</li>  <li>Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)</li>  <li>FedEx Corp. (FDX)</li>  <li>Kroger Co. (KR)</li>  <li>ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM)</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>威瑞森通信公司(VZ)</li><li>高盛集团(GS)</li><li>富国银行(WFC)</li><li>福特汽车公司(F)</li><li>富达国家信息服务公司(FIS)</li><li>国际商业机器公司(IBM)</li><li>吉利德科学公司(GILD)</li><li>联邦快递公司(FDX)</li><li>克罗格公司(KR)</li><li>埃克森美孚公司(XOM)</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1640327374585","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>10 Best Value Stocks to Buy for 2022<blockquote>2022年最值得买入的10只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n10 Best Value Stocks to Buy for 2022<blockquote>2022年最值得买入的10只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">U.S. News & World Report</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-24 14:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>These cheaply priced value stocks should deliver solid results next year.</p><p><blockquote>这些价格低廉的价值股明年应该会取得稳健的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> In an expensive stock market trading near record highs, it's not easy to pay up for growth stocks. And, as the past few months have shown, there's a lot of risk in chasing the high-fliers. There have been huge sell-offs in&nbsp;special-purpose acquisition companies, software stocks and electric vehicle firms, among others. As such, many investors are looking to more defensive value companies for 2022. There are numerous definitions of a value stock. Many investors use book value, relative valuations compared to the sector, free cash flow or valuations compared to a historical mean, among other metrics. However, for the sake of this list, the criteria of 15 times forward earnings will be the barometer. Any stock trading for less than that threshold is eligible, and anything over that number is excluded. With that definition set, here are 10 of the best value stocks to buy for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>在接近历史高点的昂贵股市中，为成长型股票买单并不容易。而且，正如过去几个月所表明的那样，追逐雄心勃勃的人存在很大风险。特殊目的收购公司、软件股和电动汽车公司等遭到大规模抛售。因此，许多投资者正在寻找2022年更具防御性的价值公司。价值股票有多种定义。许多投资者使用账面价值、与行业相比的相对估值、自由现金流或与历史平均值相比的估值等指标。然而，为了这份名单，15倍预期市盈率的标准将是晴雨表。任何低于该阈值的股票交易都是合格的，任何超过该数字的股票都被排除在外。根据这一定义，以下是2022年最值得购买的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Verizon Communications Inc. (ticker:VZ)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>威瑞森通信公司（股票代码：VZ）</b></blockquote></p><p> It's not glamorous, but for investors seeking a safe and cheap high-yield stock, the telecom industry isn't a bad place to look. Specifically, Verizon offers a lot of appeal after an underwhelming 2021. The company has spent most of the past five years trading between $50 and $60 per share. The stock doesn't move quickly. And an inability to capitalize on the 5G upgrade cycle until now has squashed what little momentum Verizon may have had. At some point, however, the&nbsp;5G investments&nbsp;should start to pay dividends. In the meantime, Verizon continues to enjoy incredible cash flows from its core business. The stock won't deliver big overnight returns, but it's got a steady 4.9% dividend yield with some upside potential given its bona fide value-stock status at 10 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>它并不迷人，但对于寻求安全且廉价的高收益股票的投资者来说，电信行业是一个不错的选择。具体来说，在经历了平淡无奇的2021年之后，威瑞森提供了很多吸引力。该公司过去五年的大部分时间都在每股50至60美元之间。股票变动不快。到目前为止，由于无法利用5G升级周期，威瑞森可能拥有的微弱势头被压垮了。然而，在某个时候，5G投资应该会开始带来回报。与此同时，威瑞森继续从其核心业务中获得令人难以置信的现金流。该股不会带来巨大的隔夜回报，但鉴于其市盈率为10倍的真正价值股地位，其股息收益率稳定为4.9%，具有一定的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛集团(GS)</b></blockquote></p><p> On the surface, Goldman Sachs looks like one of the absolute cheapest stocks on this list. GS stock is trading for just 6.3 times trailing earnings. That's in large part due to just how phenomenal 2021 was for the bank. Goldman Sachs saw improving loan market conditions, a boom in investment banking fees and improving results from its wealth management services division. Building on that momentum, Goldman Sachs recently lifted its outlook and profit margin targets through 2025. There is some risk of things cooling off a bit in 2022; analysts forecast a normalization in earnings after 2021's euphoria. Even so, based on a more conservative outlook for next year, analysts have the stock trading for under 10 times forward earnings. That's a bargain. The bank pays a fine 2.1% dividend too, and with the Federal Reserve looking to hike interest rates, earnings may surprise once again to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>从表面上看，高盛似乎是这份名单上绝对最便宜的股票之一。GS股票的市盈率仅为6.3倍。这在很大程度上是因为2021年对该银行来说是多么非凡。高盛看到了贷款市场状况的改善、投资银行费用的激增以及财富管理服务部门业绩的改善。在这一势头的基础上，高盛最近上调了2025年的前景和利润率目标。2022年情况可能会有所降温；分析师预测，在2021年的兴奋之后，盈利将正常化。即便如此，基于对明年更为保守的前景，分析师认为该股的预期市盈率低于10倍。真划算。该银行还支付2.1%的罚款股息，随着美联储寻求加息，盈利可能会再次意外上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (WFC)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>富国银行(WFC)</b></blockquote></p><p> Goldman isn't the only bank stock to grace the list of the best value stocks to buy for 2022. Wells Fargo is another top option. Deep value investors might scoff. After all, Wells Fargo stock jumped more than 50% in 2021. So how is it still cheap now? The answer is that Wells Fargo faced a one-two punch in recent years. It had to deal with the legacy of its fraudulent-accounts scandal and a potential economic disaster induced by COVID-19. Bank stocks, as a sector, have regained their early pandemic losses as the anticipated credit losses failed to materialize. However, Wells Fargo still has additional upside as it resolves its reputational issues. The company's CEO has a roadmap to cutting at least $8 billion per year in overhead over the next few years. This will give Wells Fargo a huge earnings boost. The stock is trading at 12 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>高盛并不是唯一一只跻身2022年最佳价值股票名单的银行股。富国银行是另一个首选。深度价值投资者可能会嗤之以鼻。毕竟，富国银行股价在2021年上涨了50%以上。那么现在怎么还便宜呢？答案是富国银行近年来面临着双重打击。它必须应对欺诈账户丑闻的遗留问题以及COVID-19引发的潜在经济灾难。由于预期的信贷损失未能实现，银行股作为一个板块已经收复了疫情初期的损失。然而，富国银行在解决声誉问题时仍有额外的上升空间。该公司首席执行官制定了未来几年每年至少削减80亿美元管理费用的路线图。这将给富国银行带来巨大的盈利增长。该股的预期市盈率为12倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford Motor Co. (F)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特汽车公司(F)</b></blockquote></p><p> Could Ford become a momentum stock? It's certainly looking more and more possible with every passing month. The venerable automaker has suddenly become a hot property: Ford's shares doubled in 2021. Even after doing so, however, Ford remains an inexpensive value stock, selling for less than 11 times forward earnings. Investors finally seem to be waking up to the fact that the traditional automakers are actually rather competitive on electric vehicles. As the herd of new&nbsp;electric vehicle companies&nbsp;lost their luster in 2021, stocks like Ford suddenly took flight. A company like Ford is a much safer bet than a firm with a huge valuation but minimal revenues as of yet, such as Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN). And since Ford already has tremendous profitability, it can reward shareholders with a 2% dividend and a sense of stability while waiting to see how the firm's electric vehicle evolution proceeds.</p><p><blockquote>福特能成为动量股吗？随着时间的推移，这看起来越来越有可能。这家历史悠久的汽车制造商突然成为热门资产：福特的股价在2021年翻了一番。然而，即使这样做了，福特仍然是一只廉价的价值股票，其预期市盈率不到11倍。投资者似乎终于意识到这样一个事实：传统汽车制造商在电动汽车方面实际上相当有竞争力。随着新电动汽车公司在2021年失去光彩，福特等股票突然起飞。像福特这样的公司比Rivian汽车公司（RIVN）等估值巨大但迄今为止收入微薄的公司更安全。由于福特已经拥有巨大的盈利能力，它可以在等待公司电动汽车发展进展的同时，以2%的股息和稳定感来回报股东。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fidelity National Information Services Inc. (FIS)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>富达国家信息服务公司(FIS)</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fidelity Information Services is a diversified financials, payments and information technology company. It's one of the fastest-growing companies on this list, as analysts see the company growing earnings at 13% per year in 2022 and 2023. Despite that, amid the sell-off in the payments stock sector, Fidelity Information Services fell about 25% in 2021 and thus has fallen squarely into the bucket of top value stocks to invest in, as shares trade at just 14 times estimated 2022 earnings. This appears to be around general worries of fintech disrupting legacy payments firms. However, Fidelity Information Services should dodge that risk, as it's a diversified business spanning countless lines of payments businesses. It has high-profile new-economy clients such as PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL), Klarna, Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Crypto.com, and deals tend to be multiyear recurring revenue streams. Long story short, rumors of this company's demise have been greatly exaggerated, leading to an opportune entry point for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>富达信息服务公司是一家多元化的金融、支付和信息技术公司。它是该榜单上增长最快的公司之一，分析师预计该公司2022年和2023年的盈利将以每年13%的速度增长。尽管如此，在支付股票行业的抛售中，富达信息服务公司(Fidelity Information Services)在2021年下跌了约25%，因此直接落入了最值得投资的股票之列，因为其股价仅为2022年预期市盈率的14倍。这似乎是围绕着对金融科技颠覆传统支付公司的普遍担忧。然而，富达信息服务应该避免这种风险，因为它是一项跨越无数支付业务的多元化业务。它拥有PayPal控股公司(PYPL)、Klarna、亚马逊公司(AMZN)和Crypto.com等知名新经济客户，而且交易往往是多年经常性收入来源。长话短说，这家公司倒闭的传言被大大夸大了，导致2022年进入了一个合适的切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际商业机器公司(IBM)</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM certainly missed much of the last decade's big innovations in the technology sector. The tech giant was once the largest company in the world by market capitalization. It's not on the same scale today. However, many investors have written the firm off prematurely. The company remains an absolute cash flow machine with its core consulting and services business. It's not glamorous, but it is highly profitable. The company is active in growth sectors, as well. It has one of the most advanced&nbsp;artificial intelligence&nbsp;programs in the world. Commercialization has been slow, but if IBM solves that issue, it would be a game-changer. In the meantime, the company's Red Hat purchase gave it a big boost in on-trend categories such as cloud computing and virtualization. IBM still faces structural headwinds, to be sure. But at a 12 times forward P-E ratio and 5.1% dividend yield, the price is certainly right to give IBM's turnaround story a chance.</p><p><blockquote>IBM当然错过了过去十年技术领域的许多重大创新。这家科技巨头曾经是全球市值最大的公司。今天的规模不一样了。然而，许多投资者过早地将该公司一笔勾销。该公司的核心咨询和服务业务仍然是绝对的现金流机器。它并不光鲜，但利润很高。该公司在增长领域也很活跃。它拥有世界上最先进的人工智能程序之一。商业化进展缓慢，但如果IBM解决了这个问题，这将是一个游戏规则的改变者。与此同时，该公司对红帽的收购极大地推动了其在云计算和虚拟化等热门类别的发展。可以肯定的是，IBM仍然面临结构性阻力。但以12倍的预期市盈率和5.1%的股息收益率来看，这个价格无疑足以给IBM的扭亏为盈故事一个机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>吉利德科学公司(GILD)</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors have labeled Gilead Sciences a value trap. That's because the stock has gone nowhere for the past five years despite appearing to be cheap. This is understandable. Gilead rose to prominence from a highly successful set of drugs to treat hepatitis C. Gilead was unable to immediately follow up that product line with a second act, causing the company's revenues, earnings and stock price to stall out. Seemingly under the radar, however, Gilead has snapped out of its slump. Analysts are modeling double-digit growth in 2022 as Gilead's clinical pipeline and acquisitions are kicking into gear.Biotech investing&nbsp;is always subject to a certain degree of luck depending on clinical trial outcomes. However, with earnings set to jump, Gilead looks attractive at 10 times forward earnings and with a 4% dividend yield.</p><p><blockquote>投资者给吉利德科学贴上了价值陷阱的标签。这是因为尽管该股看起来很便宜，但在过去五年里却毫无进展。这是可以理解的。吉利德从一系列非常成功的治疗丙型肝炎的药物中脱颖而出。吉利德无法立即跟进该产品线采取第二项行动，导致该公司的收入、盈利和股价停滞不前。然而，看似不为人知的是，吉利德已经从低迷中恢复过来。随着吉利德临床管线和收购的启动，分析师预计2022年将实现两位数增长。生物技术投资总是受到一定程度的运气的影响，具体取决于临床试验结果。然而，随着盈利将大幅增长，吉利德的预期市盈率为10倍，股息收益率为4%，看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FedEx Corp. (FDX)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>联邦快递公司(FDX)</b></blockquote></p><p> FedEx fell victim to a post-pandemic slump. Shares had surged in 2020 as soaring e-commerce demand led to unprecedented need for FedEx's delivery and logistics services. Previously, investors had worried that Amazon would steal market share from FedEx. With the rise of quarantine shopping in 2020, however, there were more than enough packages to keep everyone busy. 2021 was more difficult, though. Labor shortages and surging wages made it difficult to keep the workforce ready at a reasonable cost. Soaring fuel prices crimped profit margins. And port closures, vaccine mandates and other outside factors added further layers of complexity to FedEx's business. Despite all that, FedEx is still going for just 12 times forward earnings. While the headwinds are real, the company's earnings more than offset them. To that end, FedEx just announced a $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase program to sop up company stock while it's cheap. As if that weren't enough, JPMorgan Chase analysts labeled FedEx stock one of their top transportation picks for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递成为大流行后经济衰退的受害者。由于电子商务需求飙升导致对联邦快递送货和物流服务的需求空前高涨，2020年股价飙升。此前，投资者曾担心亚马逊会抢走联邦快递的市场份额。然而，随着2020年隔离购物的兴起，有足够多的包裹让每个人都忙个不停。然而，2021年更加困难。劳动力短缺和工资飙升使得以合理的成本让劳动力做好准备变得困难。燃料价格飙升挤压了利润率。港口关闭、疫苗强制令和其他外部因素进一步增加了联邦快递业务的复杂性。尽管如此，联邦快递的预期市盈率仍仅为12倍。虽然不利因素是真实的，但该公司的盈利足以抵消这些不利因素。为此，联邦快递刚刚宣布了一项15亿美元的加速股票回购计划，以趁公司股票便宜的时候买入。似乎这还不够，摩根大通分析师将联邦快递股票列为2022年首选运输股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Kroger Co. (KR)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>克罗格公司(KR)</b></blockquote></p><p> Like FedEx, Kroger found itself in a complicated situation thanks to the pandemic. Initially, Kroger delivered strong growth as consumers stocked up their pantries at the start of the lockdowns. In addition, Kroger has invested heavily in&nbsp;e-commerce, warehouses and logistics over the past few years. It's not just a sleepy grocery store chain anymore. In a crisis, Kroger was able to demonstrate its capabilities with delivery orders and gain the trust of a new generation of consumers. 2021 was more complicated, though. Labor shortages and supply chain problems caused Kroger significant profitability headwinds. In addition, the general inflationary wave forced Kroger and its suppliers to raise prices dramatically, potentially damaging the consumer relationship. For the longer term, Kroger's investments in logistics should keep it on the right road, and at 13 times forward earnings, the stock is hardly priced for perfection.</p><p><blockquote>与联邦快递一样，克罗格发现自己因疫情而陷入了复杂的境地。最初，随着消费者在封锁开始时储备了食品储藏室，克罗格实现了强劲增长。此外，克罗格在过去几年中还在电子商务、仓库和物流方面进行了大量投资。它不再只是一家昏昏欲睡的杂货店连锁店。在危机中，克罗格能够通过交付订单展示其能力，并获得新一代消费者的信任。然而，2021年更加复杂。劳动力短缺和供应链问题给克罗格的盈利能力带来了重大阻力。此外，普遍的通胀浪潮迫使克罗格及其供应商大幅提价，可能会损害消费者关系。从长远来看，克罗格对物流的投资应该会使其走在正确的道路上，而且该股的预期市盈率为13倍，其定价很难达到完美。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>埃克森美孚公司(XOM)</b></blockquote></p><p> ExxonMobil is enjoying a long-overdue comeback. Exxon stock suffered a six-year downturn between 2014 and 2020, with the stock plummeting from $100 to its ultimate low around $30 during the pandemic. The price of natural gas slumped, while oil did it one better: Crude briefly tumbled below $0 per barrel during the height of the COVID-19 crisis. However, as the adage goes, the cure for low prices is low prices. With oil down for so long, producers stopped putting much capital into new projects. As a result, the supply of oil has become less certain, while demand for oil has come surging back as the world economy reopens. Government regulation and socially conscious investors have further made it difficult to drill for new oil. This puts existing producers with low-cost fields, like ExxonMobil, in the driver's seat. The stock is selling at just 11 times earnings heading into 2022, while paying out a nearly 6% dividend yield.</p><p><blockquote>埃克森美孚正在享受期待已久的卷土重来。埃克森美孚股价在2014年至2020年间遭受了长达六年的低迷，在疫情期间，该股从100美元暴跌至30美元左右的最终低点。天然气价格暴跌，而石油价格表现更好：在COVID-19危机最严重的时候，原油价格曾一度跌破每桶0美元。然而，俗话说，治疗低价的方法是低价。由于油价下跌了这么长时间，生产商停止向新项目投入大量资金。因此，石油供应变得不那么确定，而随着世界经济重新开放，对石油的需求激增。政府监管和具有社会意识的投资者进一步加大了开采新石油的难度。这使得埃克森美孚等拥有低成本油田的现有生产商占据了主导地位。到2022年，该股的市盈率仅为11倍，同时支付近6%的股息收益率。</blockquote></p><p> 10 best value stocks to buy for 2022:</p><p><blockquote>2022年最值得购买的10只股票：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ)</li>  <li>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)</li>  <li>Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (WFC)</li>  <li>Ford Motor Co. (F)</li>  <li>Fidelity National Information Services Inc. (FIS)</li>  <li>International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)</li>  <li>Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)</li>  <li>FedEx Corp. (FDX)</li>  <li>Kroger Co. (KR)</li>  <li>ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM)</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>威瑞森通信公司(VZ)</li><li>高盛集团(GS)</li><li>富国银行(WFC)</li><li>福特汽车公司(F)</li><li>富达国家信息服务公司(FIS)</li><li>国际商业机器公司(IBM)</li><li>吉利德科学公司(GILD)</li><li>联邦快递公司(FDX)</li><li>克罗格公司(KR)</li><li>埃克森美孚公司(XOM)</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://money.usnews.com/investing/stock-market-news/slideshows/best-value-stocks-to-buy-now\">U.S. News & World Report</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FIS":"繁德信息技术","XOM":"埃克森美孚","WFC":"富国银行","VZ":"Verizon Comms","KR":"克罗格","GS":"高盛","GILD":"吉利德科学","IBM":"IBM","F":"福特汽车","FDX":"联邦快递"},"source_url":"https://money.usnews.com/investing/stock-market-news/slideshows/best-value-stocks-to-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126440728","content_text":"These cheaply priced value stocks should deliver solid results next year.\nIn an expensive stock market trading near record highs, it's not easy to pay up for growth stocks. And, as the past few months have shown, there's a lot of risk in chasing the high-fliers. There have been huge sell-offs in special-purpose acquisition companies, software stocks and electric vehicle firms, among others. As such, many investors are looking to more defensive value companies for 2022. There are numerous definitions of a value stock. Many investors use book value, relative valuations compared to the sector, free cash flow or valuations compared to a historical mean, among other metrics. However, for the sake of this list, the criteria of 15 times forward earnings will be the barometer. Any stock trading for less than that threshold is eligible, and anything over that number is excluded. With that definition set, here are 10 of the best value stocks to buy for 2022.\nVerizon Communications Inc. (ticker:VZ)\nIt's not glamorous, but for investors seeking a safe and cheap high-yield stock, the telecom industry isn't a bad place to look. Specifically, Verizon offers a lot of appeal after an underwhelming 2021. The company has spent most of the past five years trading between $50 and $60 per share. The stock doesn't move quickly. And an inability to capitalize on the 5G upgrade cycle until now has squashed what little momentum Verizon may have had. At some point, however, the 5G investments should start to pay dividends. In the meantime, Verizon continues to enjoy incredible cash flows from its core business. The stock won't deliver big overnight returns, but it's got a steady 4.9% dividend yield with some upside potential given its bona fide value-stock status at 10 times earnings.\nGoldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)\nOn the surface, Goldman Sachs looks like one of the absolute cheapest stocks on this list. GS stock is trading for just 6.3 times trailing earnings. That's in large part due to just how phenomenal 2021 was for the bank. Goldman Sachs saw improving loan market conditions, a boom in investment banking fees and improving results from its wealth management services division. Building on that momentum, Goldman Sachs recently lifted its outlook and profit margin targets through 2025. There is some risk of things cooling off a bit in 2022; analysts forecast a normalization in earnings after 2021's euphoria. Even so, based on a more conservative outlook for next year, analysts have the stock trading for under 10 times forward earnings. That's a bargain. The bank pays a fine 2.1% dividend too, and with the Federal Reserve looking to hike interest rates, earnings may surprise once again to the upside.\nWells Fargo & Co. (WFC)\nGoldman isn't the only bank stock to grace the list of the best value stocks to buy for 2022. Wells Fargo is another top option. Deep value investors might scoff. After all, Wells Fargo stock jumped more than 50% in 2021. So how is it still cheap now? The answer is that Wells Fargo faced a one-two punch in recent years. It had to deal with the legacy of its fraudulent-accounts scandal and a potential economic disaster induced by COVID-19. Bank stocks, as a sector, have regained their early pandemic losses as the anticipated credit losses failed to materialize. However, Wells Fargo still has additional upside as it resolves its reputational issues. The company's CEO has a roadmap to cutting at least $8 billion per year in overhead over the next few years. This will give Wells Fargo a huge earnings boost. The stock is trading at 12 times forward earnings.\nFord Motor Co. (F)\nCould Ford become a momentum stock? It's certainly looking more and more possible with every passing month. The venerable automaker has suddenly become a hot property: Ford's shares doubled in 2021. Even after doing so, however, Ford remains an inexpensive value stock, selling for less than 11 times forward earnings. Investors finally seem to be waking up to the fact that the traditional automakers are actually rather competitive on electric vehicles. As the herd of new electric vehicle companies lost their luster in 2021, stocks like Ford suddenly took flight. A company like Ford is a much safer bet than a firm with a huge valuation but minimal revenues as of yet, such as Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN). And since Ford already has tremendous profitability, it can reward shareholders with a 2% dividend and a sense of stability while waiting to see how the firm's electric vehicle evolution proceeds.\nFidelity National Information Services Inc. (FIS)\nFidelity Information Services is a diversified financials, payments and information technology company. It's one of the fastest-growing companies on this list, as analysts see the company growing earnings at 13% per year in 2022 and 2023. Despite that, amid the sell-off in the payments stock sector, Fidelity Information Services fell about 25% in 2021 and thus has fallen squarely into the bucket of top value stocks to invest in, as shares trade at just 14 times estimated 2022 earnings. This appears to be around general worries of fintech disrupting legacy payments firms. However, Fidelity Information Services should dodge that risk, as it's a diversified business spanning countless lines of payments businesses. It has high-profile new-economy clients such as PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL), Klarna, Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Crypto.com, and deals tend to be multiyear recurring revenue streams. Long story short, rumors of this company's demise have been greatly exaggerated, leading to an opportune entry point for 2022.\nInternational Business Machines Corp. (IBM)\nIBM certainly missed much of the last decade's big innovations in the technology sector. The tech giant was once the largest company in the world by market capitalization. It's not on the same scale today. However, many investors have written the firm off prematurely. The company remains an absolute cash flow machine with its core consulting and services business. It's not glamorous, but it is highly profitable. The company is active in growth sectors, as well. It has one of the most advanced artificial intelligence programs in the world. Commercialization has been slow, but if IBM solves that issue, it would be a game-changer. In the meantime, the company's Red Hat purchase gave it a big boost in on-trend categories such as cloud computing and virtualization. IBM still faces structural headwinds, to be sure. But at a 12 times forward P-E ratio and 5.1% dividend yield, the price is certainly right to give IBM's turnaround story a chance.\nGilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)\nInvestors have labeled Gilead Sciences a value trap. That's because the stock has gone nowhere for the past five years despite appearing to be cheap. This is understandable. Gilead rose to prominence from a highly successful set of drugs to treat hepatitis C. Gilead was unable to immediately follow up that product line with a second act, causing the company's revenues, earnings and stock price to stall out. Seemingly under the radar, however, Gilead has snapped out of its slump. Analysts are modeling double-digit growth in 2022 as Gilead's clinical pipeline and acquisitions are kicking into gear.Biotech investing is always subject to a certain degree of luck depending on clinical trial outcomes. However, with earnings set to jump, Gilead looks attractive at 10 times forward earnings and with a 4% dividend yield.\nFedEx Corp. (FDX)\nFedEx fell victim to a post-pandemic slump. Shares had surged in 2020 as soaring e-commerce demand led to unprecedented need for FedEx's delivery and logistics services. Previously, investors had worried that Amazon would steal market share from FedEx. With the rise of quarantine shopping in 2020, however, there were more than enough packages to keep everyone busy. 2021 was more difficult, though. Labor shortages and surging wages made it difficult to keep the workforce ready at a reasonable cost. Soaring fuel prices crimped profit margins. And port closures, vaccine mandates and other outside factors added further layers of complexity to FedEx's business. Despite all that, FedEx is still going for just 12 times forward earnings. While the headwinds are real, the company's earnings more than offset them. To that end, FedEx just announced a $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase program to sop up company stock while it's cheap. As if that weren't enough, JPMorgan Chase analysts labeled FedEx stock one of their top transportation picks for 2022.\nKroger Co. (KR)\nLike FedEx, Kroger found itself in a complicated situation thanks to the pandemic. Initially, Kroger delivered strong growth as consumers stocked up their pantries at the start of the lockdowns. In addition, Kroger has invested heavily in e-commerce, warehouses and logistics over the past few years. It's not just a sleepy grocery store chain anymore. In a crisis, Kroger was able to demonstrate its capabilities with delivery orders and gain the trust of a new generation of consumers. 2021 was more complicated, though. Labor shortages and supply chain problems caused Kroger significant profitability headwinds. In addition, the general inflationary wave forced Kroger and its suppliers to raise prices dramatically, potentially damaging the consumer relationship. For the longer term, Kroger's investments in logistics should keep it on the right road, and at 13 times forward earnings, the stock is hardly priced for perfection.\nExxonMobil Corp. (XOM)\nExxonMobil is enjoying a long-overdue comeback. Exxon stock suffered a six-year downturn between 2014 and 2020, with the stock plummeting from $100 to its ultimate low around $30 during the pandemic. The price of natural gas slumped, while oil did it one better: Crude briefly tumbled below $0 per barrel during the height of the COVID-19 crisis. However, as the adage goes, the cure for low prices is low prices. With oil down for so long, producers stopped putting much capital into new projects. As a result, the supply of oil has become less certain, while demand for oil has come surging back as the world economy reopens. Government regulation and socially conscious investors have further made it difficult to drill for new oil. This puts existing producers with low-cost fields, like ExxonMobil, in the driver's seat. The stock is selling at just 11 times earnings heading into 2022, while paying out a nearly 6% dividend yield.\n10 best value stocks to buy for 2022:\n\nVerizon Communications Inc. (VZ)\nGoldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)\nWells Fargo & Co. (WFC)\nFord Motor Co. (F)\nFidelity National Information Services Inc. (FIS)\nInternational Business Machines Corp. (IBM)\nGilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)\nFedEx Corp. (FDX)\nKroger Co. (KR)\nExxonMobil Corp. (XOM)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FDX":0.9,"F":0.9,"GILD":0.9,"IBM":0.9,"KR":0.9,"WFC":0.9,"FIS":0.9,"XOM":0.9,"VZ":0.9,"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691272471,"gmtCreate":1640216712036,"gmtModify":1640216712233,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691272471","repostId":"1116093171","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4085,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691940190,"gmtCreate":1640130259115,"gmtModify":1640130259266,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691940190","repostId":"1144524414","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144524414","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640129774,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144524414?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-22 07:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop Stock: These Key Hedge Funds Are Betting Against It<blockquote>游戏驿站股票：这些主要对冲基金正在做空它</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144524414","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Short sellers are constantly targeting GameStop shares. Here are the top three hedge funds betting a","content":"<p>Short sellers are constantly targeting GameStop shares. Here are the top three hedge funds betting against GME.</p><p><blockquote>卖空者不断瞄准游戏驿站股票。以下是做空GME的前三大对冲基金。</blockquote></p><p> After a painful drop since their peak on November 22, GameStop GME shares have finally found their way up again, trading 13% higher in the past week. Still, as GME shareholders -- AKA the \"Ape Army\" -- hold on for bigger gains, some hedge funds continue to short the stock.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了自11月22日峰值以来的痛苦下跌后，游戏驿站国美股价终于再次上涨，过去一周上涨了13%。尽管如此，随着GME股东（又名“猿军”）坚持获得更大收益，一些对冲基金继续做空该股。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/795e002c4033cf494520d82da3291dd6\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"698\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: GameStop store.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：游戏驿站店。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Read on as we count down three large hedge funds currently battling the Ape Army over GameStop shares.</p><p><blockquote>请继续阅读，我们将盘点目前正在与Ape大军争夺游戏驿站股票的三家大型对冲基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#3: Hound Partners LLC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#3：Hound Partners LLC</b></blockquote></p><p> This New York-based hedge fund currently manages around $3.2 billion in assets for 13 clients.The fund has 209,100 put options on GME shares, which accounts for nearly 2% of the Hound Partners portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于纽约的对冲基金目前为13个客户管理着约32亿美元的资产。该基金拥有209,100份GME股票看跌期权，占Hound Partners投资组合的近2%。</blockquote></p><p> Since entering its GME position in the first quarter of 2021 -- right after the stock's huge rally -- the fund has liquidated 28,800 put options from its original position (237,900 put options). The hedge fund’s biggest positions are currently Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF VOO and Microsoft MSFT, which account for 15% and 7% of the portfolio, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>自2021年第一季度进入GME头寸以来（就在该股大幅上涨之后），该基金已从其原始头寸（237,900份看跌期权）清算了28,800份看跌期权。该对冲基金目前最大的头寸是先锋标普500 ETF VOO和微软MSFT，分别占投资组合的15%和7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#2. Twin Tree Management LP</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#2.双树管理有限责任公司</b></blockquote></p><p> This fund from Dallas, Texas has $3.8 billion of assets under management and started to bet against GameStop stock as recently as Q3 of the current year.The fund has 253,700 put options&nbsp;on GME, at a market value of $44.5 million. This figure represents a small portion of less than 1% of Twin Tree’s assets.</p><p><blockquote>该基金管理着38亿美元的资产，最近在今年第三季度开始做空游戏驿站股票。该基金拥有253,700份GME看跌期权，市值为4,450万美元。这个数字只占Twin Tree资产不到1%的一小部分。</blockquote></p><p> Interesting to note, nearly 20% of the portfolio's AUM are placed on a bet against the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;via put options — although the fund also has 7% allocated to SPY calls.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，该投资组合近20%的资产管理规模通过看跌期权押注于SPDR标普500 ETF信托，尽管该基金也有7%分配给SPDR标普500指数ETF·评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#1. Prelude Capital Management LLC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#1.Prelude资本管理有限责任公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Based in New York, Prelude Capital currently has nine clients and $8.1 billion in assets under management. The hedge fund has a short-selling bias, and the top three positions in its portfolio are Chesapeake Energy CHK puts (10%), SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust SPY puts (9%), and Tesla TSLA puts (6%).</p><p><blockquote>Prelude Capital总部位于纽约，目前拥有9个客户，管理着81亿美元的资产。该对冲基金有卖空倾向，其投资组合中排名前三的头寸分别是Chesapeake Energy CHK看跌期权（10%）、SPDR标普500 ETF信托SPDR标普500指数ETF看跌期权（9%）和特斯拉TSLA看跌期权（6%）。</blockquote></p><p> Prelude Capital has 2% of its portfolio in GameStop puts. This accounts for 469,700 put options at a market value north of $82 million. The company has liquidated 308,200 GME put options since it first opened the position in the second quarter of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>Prelude Capital投资组合的2%是游戏驿站看跌期权。这包括469,700份看跌期权，市值超过8,200万美元。自2019年第二季度首次建仓以来，该公司已清算30.82万份GME看跌期权。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop Stock: These Key Hedge Funds Are Betting Against It<blockquote>游戏驿站股票：这些主要对冲基金正在做空它</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop Stock: These Key Hedge Funds Are Betting Against It<blockquote>游戏驿站股票：这些主要对冲基金正在做空它</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-22 07:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Short sellers are constantly targeting GameStop shares. Here are the top three hedge funds betting against GME.</p><p><blockquote>卖空者不断瞄准游戏驿站股票。以下是做空GME的前三大对冲基金。</blockquote></p><p> After a painful drop since their peak on November 22, GameStop GME shares have finally found their way up again, trading 13% higher in the past week. Still, as GME shareholders -- AKA the \"Ape Army\" -- hold on for bigger gains, some hedge funds continue to short the stock.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了自11月22日峰值以来的痛苦下跌后，游戏驿站国美股价终于再次上涨，过去一周上涨了13%。尽管如此，随着GME股东（又名“猿军”）坚持获得更大收益，一些对冲基金继续做空该股。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/795e002c4033cf494520d82da3291dd6\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"698\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: GameStop store.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：游戏驿站店。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Read on as we count down three large hedge funds currently battling the Ape Army over GameStop shares.</p><p><blockquote>请继续阅读，我们将盘点目前正在与Ape大军争夺游戏驿站股票的三家大型对冲基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#3: Hound Partners LLC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#3：Hound Partners LLC</b></blockquote></p><p> This New York-based hedge fund currently manages around $3.2 billion in assets for 13 clients.The fund has 209,100 put options on GME shares, which accounts for nearly 2% of the Hound Partners portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于纽约的对冲基金目前为13个客户管理着约32亿美元的资产。该基金拥有209,100份GME股票看跌期权，占Hound Partners投资组合的近2%。</blockquote></p><p> Since entering its GME position in the first quarter of 2021 -- right after the stock's huge rally -- the fund has liquidated 28,800 put options from its original position (237,900 put options). The hedge fund’s biggest positions are currently Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF VOO and Microsoft MSFT, which account for 15% and 7% of the portfolio, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>自2021年第一季度进入GME头寸以来（就在该股大幅上涨之后），该基金已从其原始头寸（237,900份看跌期权）清算了28,800份看跌期权。该对冲基金目前最大的头寸是先锋标普500 ETF VOO和微软MSFT，分别占投资组合的15%和7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#2. Twin Tree Management LP</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#2.双树管理有限责任公司</b></blockquote></p><p> This fund from Dallas, Texas has $3.8 billion of assets under management and started to bet against GameStop stock as recently as Q3 of the current year.The fund has 253,700 put options&nbsp;on GME, at a market value of $44.5 million. This figure represents a small portion of less than 1% of Twin Tree’s assets.</p><p><blockquote>该基金管理着38亿美元的资产，最近在今年第三季度开始做空游戏驿站股票。该基金拥有253,700份GME看跌期权，市值为4,450万美元。这个数字只占Twin Tree资产不到1%的一小部分。</blockquote></p><p> Interesting to note, nearly 20% of the portfolio's AUM are placed on a bet against the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;via put options — although the fund also has 7% allocated to SPY calls.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，该投资组合近20%的资产管理规模通过看跌期权押注于SPDR标普500 ETF信托，尽管该基金也有7%分配给SPDR标普500指数ETF·评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#1. Prelude Capital Management LLC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#1.Prelude资本管理有限责任公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Based in New York, Prelude Capital currently has nine clients and $8.1 billion in assets under management. The hedge fund has a short-selling bias, and the top three positions in its portfolio are Chesapeake Energy CHK puts (10%), SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust SPY puts (9%), and Tesla TSLA puts (6%).</p><p><blockquote>Prelude Capital总部位于纽约，目前拥有9个客户，管理着81亿美元的资产。该对冲基金有卖空倾向，其投资组合中排名前三的头寸分别是Chesapeake Energy CHK看跌期权（10%）、SPDR标普500 ETF信托SPDR标普500指数ETF看跌期权（9%）和特斯拉TSLA看跌期权（6%）。</blockquote></p><p> Prelude Capital has 2% of its portfolio in GameStop puts. This accounts for 469,700 put options at a market value north of $82 million. The company has liquidated 308,200 GME put options since it first opened the position in the second quarter of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>Prelude Capital投资组合的2%是游戏驿站看跌期权。这包括469,700份看跌期权，市值超过8,200万美元。自2019年第二季度首次建仓以来，该公司已清算30.82万份GME看跌期权。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/gme/top-3-hedge-funds-betting-against-gamestop-stock\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/gme/top-3-hedge-funds-betting-against-gamestop-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144524414","content_text":"Short sellers are constantly targeting GameStop shares. Here are the top three hedge funds betting against GME.\nAfter a painful drop since their peak on November 22, GameStop GME shares have finally found their way up again, trading 13% higher in the past week. Still, as GME shareholders -- AKA the \"Ape Army\" -- hold on for bigger gains, some hedge funds continue to short the stock.\nFigure 1: GameStop store.\nRead on as we count down three large hedge funds currently battling the Ape Army over GameStop shares.\n#3: Hound Partners LLC\nThis New York-based hedge fund currently manages around $3.2 billion in assets for 13 clients.The fund has 209,100 put options on GME shares, which accounts for nearly 2% of the Hound Partners portfolio.\nSince entering its GME position in the first quarter of 2021 -- right after the stock's huge rally -- the fund has liquidated 28,800 put options from its original position (237,900 put options). The hedge fund’s biggest positions are currently Vanguard S&P 500 ETF VOO and Microsoft MSFT, which account for 15% and 7% of the portfolio, respectively.\n#2. Twin Tree Management LP\nThis fund from Dallas, Texas has $3.8 billion of assets under management and started to bet against GameStop stock as recently as Q3 of the current year.The fund has 253,700 put options on GME, at a market value of $44.5 million. This figure represents a small portion of less than 1% of Twin Tree’s assets.\nInteresting to note, nearly 20% of the portfolio's AUM are placed on a bet against the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust via put options — although the fund also has 7% allocated to SPY calls.\n#1. Prelude Capital Management LLC\nBased in New York, Prelude Capital currently has nine clients and $8.1 billion in assets under management. The hedge fund has a short-selling bias, and the top three positions in its portfolio are Chesapeake Energy CHK puts (10%), SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY puts (9%), and Tesla TSLA puts (6%).\nPrelude Capital has 2% of its portfolio in GameStop puts. This accounts for 469,700 put options at a market value north of $82 million. The company has liquidated 308,200 GME put options since it first opened the position in the second quarter of 2019.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3813,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693408763,"gmtCreate":1640055863354,"gmtModify":1640057460204,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693408763","repostId":"1158137251","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158137251","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640054738,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158137251?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-21 10:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Stock: There Are 7 Million Reasons AMC Is on Wall Street’s Big Screen Today<blockquote>AMC股票：AMC今天出现在华尔街大银幕上的原因有700万个</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158137251","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Movie theater giant and meme-stock darling AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) has an extra spring in its st","content":"<p><div> Movie theater giant and meme-stock darling AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) has an extra spring in its step today.Spider-Man: No Way Homecrushed box office expectations — and several attendance records. ...</p><p><blockquote><div>电影院巨头和迷因股宠儿AMC院线（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）今天又多了一个春天。蜘蛛侠：英雄无归打破了票房预期——以及多项上座率记录。...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/amc-stock-there-are-7-million-reasons-amc-is-on-wall-streets-big-screen-today/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/amc-stock-there-are-7-million-reasons-amc-is-on-wall-streets-big-screen-today/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Stock: There Are 7 Million Reasons AMC Is on Wall Street’s Big Screen Today<blockquote>AMC股票：AMC今天出现在华尔街大银幕上的原因有700万个</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Stock: There Are 7 Million Reasons AMC Is on Wall Street’s Big Screen Today<blockquote>AMC股票：AMC今天出现在华尔街大银幕上的原因有700万个</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-21 10:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Movie theater giant and meme-stock darling AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) has an extra spring in its step today.Spider-Man: No Way Homecrushed box office expectations — and several attendance records. ...</p><p><blockquote><div>电影院巨头和迷因股宠儿AMC院线（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）今天又多了一个春天。蜘蛛侠：英雄无归打破了票房预期——以及多项上座率记录。...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/amc-stock-there-are-7-million-reasons-amc-is-on-wall-streets-big-screen-today/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/amc-stock-there-are-7-million-reasons-amc-is-on-wall-streets-big-screen-today/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/amc-stock-there-are-7-million-reasons-amc-is-on-wall-streets-big-screen-today/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/amc-stock-there-are-7-million-reasons-amc-is-on-wall-streets-big-screen-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158137251","content_text":"Movie theater giant and meme-stock darling AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) has an extra spring in its step today.Spider-Man: No Way Homecrushed box office expectations — and several attendance records. Despite mounting omicron variant concerns, AMC stock is up 1.99% today after Friday’s 20% leap.\nWhat else do you need to know about AMC’s web-slinging stock surge?\nSpider-Man closed its opening weekend with a bang. The film claimed the biggest December opening of all time, even breaking post-quarantine domestic attendance numbers three times since Friday. When all was said and done, AMC sold more than 7 million tickets from Thursday’s midnight premiere through Sunday. More than 5 million tickets were from U.S. theaters alone. This marks the first time AMC sold at least 1 million tickets each day through a premiere since October 2019. International numbers also enjoyed new highs, setting a new single-day attendance record on Saturday.\nEven trifling through screening options, AMC enjoyed across-the-board boosts from the friendly neighborhood spider. Premium large format (PLF), Dolby Cinema and IMAX each saw elevated screenings this weekend, as it was the biggest weekend ever for AMC Prime.\nNo Way Homeisn’t just unique in its sales numbers: It’s a hyper-modern crypto experiment that may have succeeded. AMC surprised consumers after announcing the giveaway of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) for early buyers of the Spider-Man midnight-release showings. There were a number of conditions to be met to receive the NFT, but roughly 86,000 early birds ended up with a digital item.\nWill the Spidey Upswing Shift AMC Stock Perspectives?\nIt’s a bit too early to say whether the NFT promotion served as a boost to movie demand —Spider-Man is practically always a box-office success. Additionally, the film received rave reviews from the jump, earning a 94% aggregate score on review site Rotten Tomatoes.CinemaScoreeven gave the Marvel film a rare A-plus. As such, the NFT offering clearly didn’t stifle interest in Tom Holland’s latest endeavor, despite it being difficult to definitively attach any causation to the giveaway.\nHowever, will Spider-Man sling the recently stumbling theater industry back into the spotlight? AMC CEO Adam Aron had some uplifting words for the movie business in lieu of the promising numbers.\n\n “Historically, December is one of the biggest months of the year for major blockbuster releases, so to see SPIDER-MAN: NO WAY HOME set a new all-time opening weekend box office record this month is significant not just for AMC, but for the entire theatrical industry. … We commend our friends at Sony Pictures and Marvel on their wonderfully successful movie, which millions of people have already watched at a U.S. AMC theatre in just 4 days.”\n\nThe news brings with it a sigh of relief for the recently struggling movie industry. Only time will tell if Spider-Man marks a resurgence for the star-studded business, but prospects are better than ever.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":850,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693983115,"gmtCreate":1639960724763,"gmtModify":1639960724938,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693983115","repostId":"1168976539","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":882,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699467081,"gmtCreate":1639878870804,"gmtModify":1639878870985,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699467081","repostId":"2192754259","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":915,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699676706,"gmtCreate":1639798879062,"gmtModify":1639798879236,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699676706","repostId":"1113352768","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113352768","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639752492,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113352768?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 22:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon slid nearly 2% in morning trading as India suspended its 2019 deal with Future Group<blockquote>由于印度暂停2019年与Future Group的交易，亚马逊早盘下跌近2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113352768","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Amazon slid nearly 2% in morning trading as India suspended its 2019 deal with Future Group.India's ","content":"<p>Amazon slid nearly 2% in morning trading as India suspended its 2019 deal with Future Group.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecaa54686b8d8b0541b8769a2aa237a3\" tg-width=\"766\" tg-height=\"567\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">India's antitrust body on Friday suspended Amazon.com's 2019 deal with Future Group following a review of allegations that the U.S. e-commerce giant had concealed information while seeking regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>由于印度暂停2019年与Future Group的交易，亚马逊早盘下跌近2%。印度反垄断机构周五暂停了亚马逊2019年与Future Group的交易，此前印度对这家美国电子商务巨头在寻求监管机构批准时隐瞒信息的指控进行了审查。</blockquote></p><p> The unprecedented step taken by the Competition Commission of India (CCI) could have far-reaching consequences on Amazon's legal battles with now estranged partner Future. The U.S. firm has for months successfully used the terms of its toehold $200 million investment in 2019 to block Future's attempt to sell retail assets to Reliance Industries for $3.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>印度（CCI）竞争委员会采取的前所未有的举措可能会对亚马逊与现已疏远的合作伙伴Future的法律斗争产生深远的影响。几个月来，这家美国公司成功利用其2019年2亿美元投资的条款，阻止了Future以34亿美元的价格向Reliance Industries出售零售资产的企图。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon slid nearly 2% in morning trading as India suspended its 2019 deal with Future Group<blockquote>由于印度暂停2019年与Future Group的交易，亚马逊早盘下跌近2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon slid nearly 2% in morning trading as India suspended its 2019 deal with Future Group<blockquote>由于印度暂停2019年与Future Group的交易，亚马逊早盘下跌近2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-17 22:48</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amazon slid nearly 2% in morning trading as India suspended its 2019 deal with Future Group.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecaa54686b8d8b0541b8769a2aa237a3\" tg-width=\"766\" tg-height=\"567\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">India's antitrust body on Friday suspended Amazon.com's 2019 deal with Future Group following a review of allegations that the U.S. e-commerce giant had concealed information while seeking regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>由于印度暂停2019年与Future Group的交易，亚马逊早盘下跌近2%。印度反垄断机构周五暂停了亚马逊2019年与Future Group的交易，此前印度对这家美国电子商务巨头在寻求监管机构批准时隐瞒信息的指控进行了审查。</blockquote></p><p> The unprecedented step taken by the Competition Commission of India (CCI) could have far-reaching consequences on Amazon's legal battles with now estranged partner Future. The U.S. firm has for months successfully used the terms of its toehold $200 million investment in 2019 to block Future's attempt to sell retail assets to Reliance Industries for $3.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>印度（CCI）竞争委员会采取的前所未有的举措可能会对亚马逊与现已疏远的合作伙伴Future的法律斗争产生深远的影响。几个月来，这家美国公司成功利用其2019年2亿美元投资的条款，阻止了Future以34亿美元的价格向Reliance Industries出售零售资产的企图。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113352768","content_text":"Amazon slid nearly 2% in morning trading as India suspended its 2019 deal with Future Group.India's antitrust body on Friday suspended Amazon.com's 2019 deal with Future Group following a review of allegations that the U.S. e-commerce giant had concealed information while seeking regulatory approval.\nThe unprecedented step taken by the Competition Commission of India (CCI) could have far-reaching consequences on Amazon's legal battles with now estranged partner Future. The U.S. firm has for months successfully used the terms of its toehold $200 million investment in 2019 to block Future's attempt to sell retail assets to Reliance Industries for $3.4 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690562201,"gmtCreate":1639694523599,"gmtModify":1639694524353,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690562201","repostId":"1171328517","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171328517","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639666148,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171328517?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 22:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Kaixin Auto rose 25% in morning trading as it won an order agreement for 10,000 new energy trucks<blockquote>开心汽车早盘涨25%获1万辆新能源卡车订单协议</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171328517","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Kaixin Auto rose 25% in morning trading as it won an order agreement for 10,000 new energy trucks.Be","content":"<p>Kaixin Auto rose 25% in morning trading as it won an order agreement for 10,000 new energy trucks.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d374503429ec3624076f5d7dbddb0bec\" tg-width=\"771\" tg-height=\"557\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Beijing Bujia International Logistics Limited has agreed to order at least 10,000 new energy trucks over the next five years, with a deal worth more than $500 million, it said.</p><p><blockquote>开心汽车早盘涨25%，获1万辆新能源卡车订单协议。北京步佳国际物流有限公司已同意在未来五年内订购至少10,000辆新能源卡车，交易价值超过5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Lin Mingjun, chairman and CEO of Kaixin Auto Group, said that the company's R&amp;D team is working on product design to meet Bujia's needs, which is expected to be released in the first quarter of next year.</p><p><blockquote>开心汽车集团董事长兼首席执行官林明俊表示，公司研发团队正致力于满足步甲需求的产品设计，预计明年第一季度发布。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Kaixin Auto rose 25% in morning trading as it won an order agreement for 10,000 new energy trucks<blockquote>开心汽车早盘涨25%获1万辆新能源卡车订单协议</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nKaixin Auto rose 25% in morning trading as it won an order agreement for 10,000 new energy trucks<blockquote>开心汽车早盘涨25%获1万辆新能源卡车订单协议</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-16 22:49</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Kaixin Auto rose 25% in morning trading as it won an order agreement for 10,000 new energy trucks.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d374503429ec3624076f5d7dbddb0bec\" tg-width=\"771\" tg-height=\"557\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Beijing Bujia International Logistics Limited has agreed to order at least 10,000 new energy trucks over the next five years, with a deal worth more than $500 million, it said.</p><p><blockquote>开心汽车早盘涨25%，获1万辆新能源卡车订单协议。北京步佳国际物流有限公司已同意在未来五年内订购至少10,000辆新能源卡车，交易价值超过5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Lin Mingjun, chairman and CEO of Kaixin Auto Group, said that the company's R&amp;D team is working on product design to meet Bujia's needs, which is expected to be released in the first quarter of next year.</p><p><blockquote>开心汽车集团董事长兼首席执行官林明俊表示，公司研发团队正致力于满足步甲需求的产品设计，预计明年第一季度发布。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KXIN":"开心控股"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171328517","content_text":"Kaixin Auto rose 25% in morning trading as it won an order agreement for 10,000 new energy trucks.Beijing Bujia International Logistics Limited has agreed to order at least 10,000 new energy trucks over the next five years, with a deal worth more than $500 million, it said.\nLin Mingjun, chairman and CEO of Kaixin Auto Group, said that the company's R&D team is working on product design to meet Bujia's needs, which is expected to be released in the first quarter of next year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"KXIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1034,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690968266,"gmtCreate":1639622723549,"gmtModify":1639622723706,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690968266","repostId":"1194895061","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1021,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607839865,"gmtCreate":1639523088951,"gmtModify":1639523089077,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607839865","repostId":"1138508261","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":734,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604778434,"gmtCreate":1639450748619,"gmtModify":1639451518972,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604778434","repostId":"1199128946","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199128946","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639449700,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199128946?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 10:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Harley-Davidson Stock Jumped 19.5%<blockquote>哈雷戴维森股价为何上涨19.5%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199128946","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nShares of motorcycle maker Harley-Davidson(NYSE:HOG)jumped as much as 19.5% in trading","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of motorcycle maker&nbsp;<b>Harley-Davidson</b>(NYSE:HOG)jumped as much as 19.5% in trading on Monday after the company announced that its&nbsp;electric-vehicle business&nbsp;will be acquired&nbsp;by a special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC). Shares didn't hold those gains, though, and are up just 4.7% at 4:00 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>摩托车制造商的股票<b>哈雷-戴维森</b>(NYSE：HOG)宣布其电动汽车业务将被一家特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)收购后，该公司周一股价上涨19.5%。不过，股价并没有保持这些涨幅，截至下午4:00仅上涨4.7%。等。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> This morning, Harley-Davidson announced that LiveWire will be acquired by&nbsp;<b>AEA-Bridges Impact Corp.</b>(NYSE:IMPX). The deal will put an enterprise value of $2.31 billion on the business, including about $600 million in cash expected on the balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>今天上午，哈雷戴维森宣布LiveWire将被<b>AEA-桥梁影响公司。</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：IMPX）。该交易将使该业务的企业价值达到23.1亿美元，其中包括资产负债表上预计的约6亿美元现金。</blockquote></p><p> Harley-Davidson will own 74% of the company, and will help with engineering and manufacturing. The theory here is that LiveWire as a separate company won't be bogged down by Harley-Davidson's brand with a new generation of electric motorcycle buyers.</p><p><blockquote>哈雷戴维森将拥有该公司74%的股份，并将在工程和制造方面提供帮助。这里的理论是，LiveWire作为一家独立公司，不会因哈雷戴维森的品牌而陷入新一代电动摩托车买家的困境。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Like most SPAC deals, there are very optimistic growth targets attached to this deal. In a presentation for investors, management said they expect to increase total unit sales from 387 in 2021 to 100,961 in 2026, with revenue jumping from $6 million to $1.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数SPAC交易一样，这笔交易附带了非常乐观的增长目标。在给投资者的演示中，管理层表示，他们预计总销量将从2021年的387辆增加到2026年的100,961辆，收入将从600万美元跃升至15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Those are incredibly optimistic targets given how small LiveWire's business is today. And given how choppy the SPAC market has been, I wouldn't assume that the merger will go off without a hitch. This is a deal I'm skeptical of, and I'm certainly not buying this struggling EV business today.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到LiveWire目前的业务规模如此之小，这些目标非常乐观。考虑到SPAC市场的波动性，我不认为合并会顺利进行。我对这笔交易持怀疑态度，今天我当然不会购买这家陷入困境的电动汽车业务。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Harley-Davidson Stock Jumped 19.5%<blockquote>哈雷戴维森股价为何上涨19.5%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Harley-Davidson Stock Jumped 19.5%<blockquote>哈雷戴维森股价为何上涨19.5%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 10:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of motorcycle maker&nbsp;<b>Harley-Davidson</b>(NYSE:HOG)jumped as much as 19.5% in trading on Monday after the company announced that its&nbsp;electric-vehicle business&nbsp;will be acquired&nbsp;by a special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC). Shares didn't hold those gains, though, and are up just 4.7% at 4:00 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>摩托车制造商的股票<b>哈雷-戴维森</b>(NYSE：HOG)宣布其电动汽车业务将被一家特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)收购后，该公司周一股价上涨19.5%。不过，股价并没有保持这些涨幅，截至下午4:00仅上涨4.7%。等。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> This morning, Harley-Davidson announced that LiveWire will be acquired by&nbsp;<b>AEA-Bridges Impact Corp.</b>(NYSE:IMPX). The deal will put an enterprise value of $2.31 billion on the business, including about $600 million in cash expected on the balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>今天上午，哈雷戴维森宣布LiveWire将被<b>AEA-桥梁影响公司。</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：IMPX）。该交易将使该业务的企业价值达到23.1亿美元，其中包括资产负债表上预计的约6亿美元现金。</blockquote></p><p> Harley-Davidson will own 74% of the company, and will help with engineering and manufacturing. The theory here is that LiveWire as a separate company won't be bogged down by Harley-Davidson's brand with a new generation of electric motorcycle buyers.</p><p><blockquote>哈雷戴维森将拥有该公司74%的股份，并将在工程和制造方面提供帮助。这里的理论是，LiveWire作为一家独立公司，不会因哈雷戴维森的品牌而陷入新一代电动摩托车买家的困境。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Like most SPAC deals, there are very optimistic growth targets attached to this deal. In a presentation for investors, management said they expect to increase total unit sales from 387 in 2021 to 100,961 in 2026, with revenue jumping from $6 million to $1.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数SPAC交易一样，这笔交易附带了非常乐观的增长目标。在给投资者的演示中，管理层表示，他们预计总销量将从2021年的387辆增加到2026年的100,961辆，收入将从600万美元跃升至15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Those are incredibly optimistic targets given how small LiveWire's business is today. And given how choppy the SPAC market has been, I wouldn't assume that the merger will go off without a hitch. This is a deal I'm skeptical of, and I'm certainly not buying this struggling EV business today.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到LiveWire目前的业务规模如此之小，这些目标非常乐观。考虑到SPAC市场的波动性，我不认为合并会顺利进行。我对这笔交易持怀疑态度，今天我当然不会购买这家陷入困境的电动汽车业务。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/13/why-harley-davidson-stock-jumped-195-today/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HOG":"哈雷戴维森"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/13/why-harley-davidson-stock-jumped-195-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199128946","content_text":"What happened\nShares of motorcycle maker Harley-Davidson(NYSE:HOG)jumped as much as 19.5% in trading on Monday after the company announced that its electric-vehicle business will be acquired by a special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC). Shares didn't hold those gains, though, and are up just 4.7% at 4:00 p.m. ET.\nSo what\nThis morning, Harley-Davidson announced that LiveWire will be acquired by AEA-Bridges Impact Corp.(NYSE:IMPX). The deal will put an enterprise value of $2.31 billion on the business, including about $600 million in cash expected on the balance sheet.\nHarley-Davidson will own 74% of the company, and will help with engineering and manufacturing. The theory here is that LiveWire as a separate company won't be bogged down by Harley-Davidson's brand with a new generation of electric motorcycle buyers.\nNow what\nLike most SPAC deals, there are very optimistic growth targets attached to this deal. In a presentation for investors, management said they expect to increase total unit sales from 387 in 2021 to 100,961 in 2026, with revenue jumping from $6 million to $1.5 billion.\nThose are incredibly optimistic targets given how small LiveWire's business is today. And given how choppy the SPAC market has been, I wouldn't assume that the merger will go off without a hitch. This is a deal I'm skeptical of, and I'm certainly not buying this struggling EV business today.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HOG":0.9,"IMPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":917,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604365914,"gmtCreate":1639352023151,"gmtModify":1639352023330,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604365914","repostId":"2190767133","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604962876,"gmtCreate":1639313501224,"gmtModify":1639313501355,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088412711170620","idStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604962876","repostId":"2190967197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1026,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":806402555,"gmtCreate":1627686764977,"gmtModify":1633757213940,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806402555","repostId":"2155915751","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":879499990,"gmtCreate":1636760380873,"gmtModify":1636760380980,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879499990","repostId":"1193642637","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":814037083,"gmtCreate":1630726312142,"gmtModify":1631893998289,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oooo","listText":"Oooo","text":"Oooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814037083","repostId":"2164803413","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":600683295,"gmtCreate":1638147086420,"gmtModify":1638147136363,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600683295","repostId":"1151024269","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151024269","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638145831,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151024269?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-29 08:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hertz-Tesla Deal Signals Broad Shift to EVs for Rental-Car Companies<blockquote>赫兹与特斯拉的交易标志着汽车租赁公司广泛转向电动汽车</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151024269","media":"WSJ","summary":"Car-rental customers could soon see more electric-vehicle options on airport lots and other places w","content":"<p>Car-rental customers could soon see more electric-vehicle options on airport lots and other places where they are looking to reserve a ride.</p><p><blockquote>汽车租赁客户很快就会在机场停车场和其他他们希望预订乘车的地方看到更多电动汽车选择。</blockquote></p><p> The rental-car industry, long a big bulk-purchaser of new models in the car business, is sharpening efforts to add&nbsp;more battery-powered vehicles to fleets, the latest in a broader global shift among companies embracing greener technologies to cut their greenhouse-gas emissions.</p><p><blockquote>长期以来，汽车租赁行业一直是汽车行业新车型的大宗购买者，该行业正在加大力度，为车队增加更多电池驱动的汽车，这是全球企业采用绿色技术以减少温室气体排放的更广泛转变的最新举措。</blockquote></p><p> Two of the biggest car-rental firms—Hertz Global HoldingsInc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Avis Budget Group—recently revealed plans to expand their plug-in offerings as the auto industry rolls out more options for drivers looking to avoid gasoline. Privately held Enterprise Holdings Inc., which owns brands such as National and Alamo, also has said it is looking to add more electrics, particularly for clients that are renting or leasing small vehicle fleets.</p><p><blockquote>两家最大的汽车租赁公司——Hertz Global HoldingsInc.和Avis Budget Group——最近透露，随着汽车行业为希望避免使用汽油的司机推出更多选择，计划扩大其插电式服务。拥有National和Alamo等品牌的私营企业控股公司(Enterprise Holdings Inc.)也表示，正在寻求增加更多电力，特别是为租赁小型车队的客户。</blockquote></p><p> “If you look now, 2% or thereabouts of all cars manufactured in the U.S. are electric,” Avis Chief Executive Joe Ferraro said on an earnings call earlier this month. “That number will go to about 10% in 2025, and maybe north of 30% in 2030. And we’ll play a big role in that.”</p><p><blockquote>Avis首席执行官Joe Ferraro在本月早些时候的财报看涨期权上表示：“如果你现在看看，美国制造的所有汽车中有2%左右是电动汽车。”“到2025年，这个数字将达到10%左右，到2030年可能会超过30%。我们将在其中发挥重要作用。”</blockquote></p><p> This shift is expected to come with challenges. Electric vehicles are typically more expensive, creating higher upfront costs for rental-car companies and potentially raising prices for renters. Additionally, a&nbsp;dearth of public charging networks could prove difficult for leisure travelers, who might not know how and where to charge their cars, analysts and executives say. That frustration could hurt the customers’ experience, they say.</p><p><blockquote>预计这种转变将伴随着挑战。电动汽车通常更贵，给租车公司带来更高的前期成本，并可能提高租车者的价格。此外，分析师和高管表示，缺乏公共充电网络可能会给休闲旅行者带来困难，他们可能不知道如何以及在哪里给汽车充电。他们说，这种挫败感可能会损害客户的体验。</blockquote></p><p> Car-rental companies and their corporate clients are facing greater pressure from Wall Street to make environmental issues a higher priority and to outline steps they are taking to combat climate change, analysts and executives say.</p><p><blockquote>分析师和高管表示，汽车租赁公司及其企业客户正面临来自华尔街的更大压力，要求他们将环境问题置于更高的优先地位，并概述他们为应对气候变化而采取的措施。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks in companies focused on electric vehicles&nbsp;have shot up in recent months, even though sales of battery-powered models remain low—less than 3% of the total new-car market—and many drivers are still nervous about not having enough places to plug in.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来，专注于电动汽车的公司的股价飙升，尽管电池驱动车型的销量仍然很低——不到新车市场总量的3%——而且许多司机仍然担心没有足够的地方可以充电。</blockquote></p><p> Hertz’s news in late October that it had&nbsp;placed a 100,000-vehicle order&nbsp;from electric-car pioneerTeslaInc.sent shares in both companies soaring, pushing Tesla’s valuation over $1 trillion for the first time. While the two companies are still working out details, Hertz said at the time that the order would increase its mix of electric cars to 20% of its overall fleet.</p><p><blockquote>赫兹10月底宣布向电动汽车先驱特斯拉公司订购10万辆汽车，导致两家公司股价飙升，推动特斯拉估值首次突破1万亿美元。虽然两家公司仍在制定细节，但赫兹当时表示，该订单将把其电动汽车组合增加到其总车队的20%。</blockquote></p><p> Avis’s stock also rallied earlier this month when executives said they were working to expand electric options for renters, making it a centerpiece of the company’s efforts to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions by 30% over the next decade. Following the disclosure,Avis’s shares more than doubled&nbsp;that day, the stock’s largest single-day percentage gain ever.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，Avis的股价也上涨，当时高管们表示，他们正在努力扩大租户的电动选择，使其成为该公司未来十年将温室气体排放减少30%的努力的核心。消息披露后，安飞士股价当天上涨了一倍多，创下该股有史以来最大单日百分比涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Currently,the pickings are relatively limited&nbsp;for customers looking to rent an electric or hybrid model. For Avis, the share of hybrid and electric vehicles in its global fleet is around 3%, the company said earlier this year.</p><p><blockquote>目前，对于希望租赁电动或混合动力车型的客户来说，选择相对有限。安飞士今年早些时候表示，混合动力和电动汽车在其全球车队中的份额约为3%。</blockquote></p><p> Chris Haffenreffer, an executive in charge of Enterprise’s electric-vehicle strategy, said it sees the most potential for electrics in its commercial-rental fleets and fleet-management business, which mostly serves companies looking for longer-term arrangements. These business clients tend to be more cost conscious and see value in the lower maintenance and operating costs afforded by battery-powered vehicles, he said.</p><p><blockquote>Enterprise负责电动汽车战略的高管Chris Haffenreffer表示，该公司在其商业租赁车队和车队管理业务中看到了电动汽车的最大潜力，这些业务主要为寻求长期安排的公司提供服务。他说，这些商业客户往往更具成本意识，并看到了电池驱动汽车提供的较低维护和运营成本的价值。</blockquote></p><p> Enterprise is still studying how to make electric cars a better fit for leisure travelers, who are more likely to worry about finding enough charging stations, Mr. Haffenreffer said.</p><p><blockquote>Haffenreffer先生说，Enterprise仍在研究如何让电动汽车更适合休闲旅行者，他们更有可能担心找到足够的充电站。</blockquote></p><p> The shift to electrics can benefit rental-car companies in other important ways. It helps them shrink their own carbon footprints by integrating more zero-emissions vehicles into their overall rental fleets. That, in turn, can help improve their&nbsp;environmental, social and governance, or ESG, standing&nbsp;with investors, executives and analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>向电动化的转变可以在其他重要方面使汽车租赁公司受益。它通过将更多零排放车辆整合到其整体租赁车队中，帮助他们减少自己的碳足迹。高管和分析师表示，这反过来又有助于改善他们在投资者中的环境、社会和治理（ESG）地位。</blockquote></p><p> “ESG-associated names like Tesla usually get a much higher multiple,” said Hamzah Mazari, an analyst with Jefferies Group who covers the rental-car industry.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞集团负责汽车租赁行业的分析师哈姆扎·马扎里(Hamzah Mazari)表示：“像特斯拉这样与ESG相关的公司通常会获得更高的市盈率。”</blockquote></p><p> Corporate clients also see an advantage because the more clean vehicles they rent, the more they can count the emissions-reduction efforts toward their own ESG ratings, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，企业客户也看到了优势，因为他们租赁的车辆越清洁，他们就越能将减排努力计入自己的ESG评级。</blockquote></p><p> Still, hurdles remain for rental-car providers looking to electrify their lots.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，对于希望实现停车场电气化的汽车租赁提供商来说，障碍仍然存在。</blockquote></p><p> Battery-powered vehicles are typically more expensive than their gas-engine counterparts, requiring companies to make more upfront investment, said Maryann Keller, an independent consultant who previously served on the board of Dollar Thrifty Automotive Group, which is now part of Hertz.</p><p><blockquote>曾在Dollar Thrifty Automotive Group（现为赫兹旗下）董事会任职的独立顾问玛丽安·凯勒(Maryann Keller)表示，电池驱动的汽车通常比燃气发动机汽车更昂贵，需要公司进行更多的前期投资。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> They also require rental providers to install charging stations in their parking areas and to educate consumers about how to use the vehicles, she said. A steep learning curve could be a major turnoff for clients, she added.</p><p><blockquote>她说，他们还要求租赁提供商在停车区安装充电站，并教育消费者如何使用车辆。她补充说，陡峭的学习曲线可能会让客户望而却步。</blockquote></p><p> There is also uncertainty around the resale market and how much an electric model will hold its value, a factor that is particularly important to rental-car companies because they turn over fleets frequently, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，转售市场以及电动车型的保值程度也存在不确定性，这一因素对于汽车租赁公司来说尤其重要，因为它们经常更换车队。</blockquote></p><p> Enterprise’s Mr. Haffenreffer said developing a more robust network of public charging stations would be critical to broadening EVs’ appeal to renters.</p><p><blockquote>Enterprise的Haffenreffer先生表示，开发更强大的公共充电站网络对于扩大电动汽车对租户的吸引力至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> “The conventional wisdom for EV owners right now is that the vast majority of charging is going to happen at home, but for our renters, that charging is going to happen in the public,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“目前电动汽车车主的传统观点是，绝大多数充电将在家中进行，但对于我们的租户来说，充电将在公共场合进行，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hertz-Tesla Deal Signals Broad Shift to EVs for Rental-Car Companies<blockquote>赫兹与特斯拉的交易标志着汽车租赁公司广泛转向电动汽车</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHertz-Tesla Deal Signals Broad Shift to EVs for Rental-Car Companies<blockquote>赫兹与特斯拉的交易标志着汽车租赁公司广泛转向电动汽车</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">WSJ</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-29 08:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Car-rental customers could soon see more electric-vehicle options on airport lots and other places where they are looking to reserve a ride.</p><p><blockquote>汽车租赁客户很快就会在机场停车场和其他他们希望预订乘车的地方看到更多电动汽车选择。</blockquote></p><p> The rental-car industry, long a big bulk-purchaser of new models in the car business, is sharpening efforts to add&nbsp;more battery-powered vehicles to fleets, the latest in a broader global shift among companies embracing greener technologies to cut their greenhouse-gas emissions.</p><p><blockquote>长期以来，汽车租赁行业一直是汽车行业新车型的大宗购买者，该行业正在加大力度，为车队增加更多电池驱动的汽车，这是全球企业采用绿色技术以减少温室气体排放的更广泛转变的最新举措。</blockquote></p><p> Two of the biggest car-rental firms—Hertz Global HoldingsInc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Avis Budget Group—recently revealed plans to expand their plug-in offerings as the auto industry rolls out more options for drivers looking to avoid gasoline. Privately held Enterprise Holdings Inc., which owns brands such as National and Alamo, also has said it is looking to add more electrics, particularly for clients that are renting or leasing small vehicle fleets.</p><p><blockquote>两家最大的汽车租赁公司——Hertz Global HoldingsInc.和Avis Budget Group——最近透露，随着汽车行业为希望避免使用汽油的司机推出更多选择，计划扩大其插电式服务。拥有National和Alamo等品牌的私营企业控股公司(Enterprise Holdings Inc.)也表示，正在寻求增加更多电力，特别是为租赁小型车队的客户。</blockquote></p><p> “If you look now, 2% or thereabouts of all cars manufactured in the U.S. are electric,” Avis Chief Executive Joe Ferraro said on an earnings call earlier this month. “That number will go to about 10% in 2025, and maybe north of 30% in 2030. And we’ll play a big role in that.”</p><p><blockquote>Avis首席执行官Joe Ferraro在本月早些时候的财报看涨期权上表示：“如果你现在看看，美国制造的所有汽车中有2%左右是电动汽车。”“到2025年，这个数字将达到10%左右，到2030年可能会超过30%。我们将在其中发挥重要作用。”</blockquote></p><p> This shift is expected to come with challenges. Electric vehicles are typically more expensive, creating higher upfront costs for rental-car companies and potentially raising prices for renters. Additionally, a&nbsp;dearth of public charging networks could prove difficult for leisure travelers, who might not know how and where to charge their cars, analysts and executives say. That frustration could hurt the customers’ experience, they say.</p><p><blockquote>预计这种转变将伴随着挑战。电动汽车通常更贵，给租车公司带来更高的前期成本，并可能提高租车者的价格。此外，分析师和高管表示，缺乏公共充电网络可能会给休闲旅行者带来困难，他们可能不知道如何以及在哪里给汽车充电。他们说，这种挫败感可能会损害客户的体验。</blockquote></p><p> Car-rental companies and their corporate clients are facing greater pressure from Wall Street to make environmental issues a higher priority and to outline steps they are taking to combat climate change, analysts and executives say.</p><p><blockquote>分析师和高管表示，汽车租赁公司及其企业客户正面临来自华尔街的更大压力，要求他们将环境问题置于更高的优先地位，并概述他们为应对气候变化而采取的措施。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks in companies focused on electric vehicles&nbsp;have shot up in recent months, even though sales of battery-powered models remain low—less than 3% of the total new-car market—and many drivers are still nervous about not having enough places to plug in.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来，专注于电动汽车的公司的股价飙升，尽管电池驱动车型的销量仍然很低——不到新车市场总量的3%——而且许多司机仍然担心没有足够的地方可以充电。</blockquote></p><p> Hertz’s news in late October that it had&nbsp;placed a 100,000-vehicle order&nbsp;from electric-car pioneerTeslaInc.sent shares in both companies soaring, pushing Tesla’s valuation over $1 trillion for the first time. While the two companies are still working out details, Hertz said at the time that the order would increase its mix of electric cars to 20% of its overall fleet.</p><p><blockquote>赫兹10月底宣布向电动汽车先驱特斯拉公司订购10万辆汽车，导致两家公司股价飙升，推动特斯拉估值首次突破1万亿美元。虽然两家公司仍在制定细节，但赫兹当时表示，该订单将把其电动汽车组合增加到其总车队的20%。</blockquote></p><p> Avis’s stock also rallied earlier this month when executives said they were working to expand electric options for renters, making it a centerpiece of the company’s efforts to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions by 30% over the next decade. Following the disclosure,Avis’s shares more than doubled&nbsp;that day, the stock’s largest single-day percentage gain ever.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，Avis的股价也上涨，当时高管们表示，他们正在努力扩大租户的电动选择，使其成为该公司未来十年将温室气体排放减少30%的努力的核心。消息披露后，安飞士股价当天上涨了一倍多，创下该股有史以来最大单日百分比涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Currently,the pickings are relatively limited&nbsp;for customers looking to rent an electric or hybrid model. For Avis, the share of hybrid and electric vehicles in its global fleet is around 3%, the company said earlier this year.</p><p><blockquote>目前，对于希望租赁电动或混合动力车型的客户来说，选择相对有限。安飞士今年早些时候表示，混合动力和电动汽车在其全球车队中的份额约为3%。</blockquote></p><p> Chris Haffenreffer, an executive in charge of Enterprise’s electric-vehicle strategy, said it sees the most potential for electrics in its commercial-rental fleets and fleet-management business, which mostly serves companies looking for longer-term arrangements. These business clients tend to be more cost conscious and see value in the lower maintenance and operating costs afforded by battery-powered vehicles, he said.</p><p><blockquote>Enterprise负责电动汽车战略的高管Chris Haffenreffer表示，该公司在其商业租赁车队和车队管理业务中看到了电动汽车的最大潜力，这些业务主要为寻求长期安排的公司提供服务。他说，这些商业客户往往更具成本意识，并看到了电池驱动汽车提供的较低维护和运营成本的价值。</blockquote></p><p> Enterprise is still studying how to make electric cars a better fit for leisure travelers, who are more likely to worry about finding enough charging stations, Mr. Haffenreffer said.</p><p><blockquote>Haffenreffer先生说，Enterprise仍在研究如何让电动汽车更适合休闲旅行者，他们更有可能担心找到足够的充电站。</blockquote></p><p> The shift to electrics can benefit rental-car companies in other important ways. It helps them shrink their own carbon footprints by integrating more zero-emissions vehicles into their overall rental fleets. That, in turn, can help improve their&nbsp;environmental, social and governance, or ESG, standing&nbsp;with investors, executives and analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>向电动化的转变可以在其他重要方面使汽车租赁公司受益。它通过将更多零排放车辆整合到其整体租赁车队中，帮助他们减少自己的碳足迹。高管和分析师表示，这反过来又有助于改善他们在投资者中的环境、社会和治理（ESG）地位。</blockquote></p><p> “ESG-associated names like Tesla usually get a much higher multiple,” said Hamzah Mazari, an analyst with Jefferies Group who covers the rental-car industry.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞集团负责汽车租赁行业的分析师哈姆扎·马扎里(Hamzah Mazari)表示：“像特斯拉这样与ESG相关的公司通常会获得更高的市盈率。”</blockquote></p><p> Corporate clients also see an advantage because the more clean vehicles they rent, the more they can count the emissions-reduction efforts toward their own ESG ratings, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，企业客户也看到了优势，因为他们租赁的车辆越清洁，他们就越能将减排努力计入自己的ESG评级。</blockquote></p><p> Still, hurdles remain for rental-car providers looking to electrify their lots.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，对于希望实现停车场电气化的汽车租赁提供商来说，障碍仍然存在。</blockquote></p><p> Battery-powered vehicles are typically more expensive than their gas-engine counterparts, requiring companies to make more upfront investment, said Maryann Keller, an independent consultant who previously served on the board of Dollar Thrifty Automotive Group, which is now part of Hertz.</p><p><blockquote>曾在Dollar Thrifty Automotive Group（现为赫兹旗下）董事会任职的独立顾问玛丽安·凯勒(Maryann Keller)表示，电池驱动的汽车通常比燃气发动机汽车更昂贵，需要公司进行更多的前期投资。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> They also require rental providers to install charging stations in their parking areas and to educate consumers about how to use the vehicles, she said. A steep learning curve could be a major turnoff for clients, she added.</p><p><blockquote>她说，他们还要求租赁提供商在停车区安装充电站，并教育消费者如何使用车辆。她补充说，陡峭的学习曲线可能会让客户望而却步。</blockquote></p><p> There is also uncertainty around the resale market and how much an electric model will hold its value, a factor that is particularly important to rental-car companies because they turn over fleets frequently, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，转售市场以及电动车型的保值程度也存在不确定性，这一因素对于汽车租赁公司来说尤其重要，因为它们经常更换车队。</blockquote></p><p> Enterprise’s Mr. Haffenreffer said developing a more robust network of public charging stations would be critical to broadening EVs’ appeal to renters.</p><p><blockquote>Enterprise的Haffenreffer先生表示，开发更强大的公共充电站网络对于扩大电动汽车对租户的吸引力至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> “The conventional wisdom for EV owners right now is that the vast majority of charging is going to happen at home, but for our renters, that charging is going to happen in the public,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“目前电动汽车车主的传统观点是，绝大多数充电将在家中进行，但对于我们的租户来说，充电将在公共场合进行，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/hertz-tesla-deal-signals-broad-shift-to-evs-for-rental-car-companies-11638009000?siteid=yhoof2\">WSJ</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","CAR":"安飞士","HTZ":"赫兹租车"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/hertz-tesla-deal-signals-broad-shift-to-evs-for-rental-car-companies-11638009000?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151024269","content_text":"Car-rental customers could soon see more electric-vehicle options on airport lots and other places where they are looking to reserve a ride.\nThe rental-car industry, long a big bulk-purchaser of new models in the car business, is sharpening efforts to add more battery-powered vehicles to fleets, the latest in a broader global shift among companies embracing greener technologies to cut their greenhouse-gas emissions.\nTwo of the biggest car-rental firms—Hertz Global HoldingsInc. and Avis Budget Group—recently revealed plans to expand their plug-in offerings as the auto industry rolls out more options for drivers looking to avoid gasoline. Privately held Enterprise Holdings Inc., which owns brands such as National and Alamo, also has said it is looking to add more electrics, particularly for clients that are renting or leasing small vehicle fleets.\n“If you look now, 2% or thereabouts of all cars manufactured in the U.S. are electric,” Avis Chief Executive Joe Ferraro said on an earnings call earlier this month. “That number will go to about 10% in 2025, and maybe north of 30% in 2030. And we’ll play a big role in that.”\nThis shift is expected to come with challenges. Electric vehicles are typically more expensive, creating higher upfront costs for rental-car companies and potentially raising prices for renters. Additionally, a dearth of public charging networks could prove difficult for leisure travelers, who might not know how and where to charge their cars, analysts and executives say. That frustration could hurt the customers’ experience, they say.\nCar-rental companies and their corporate clients are facing greater pressure from Wall Street to make environmental issues a higher priority and to outline steps they are taking to combat climate change, analysts and executives say.\nStocks in companies focused on electric vehicles have shot up in recent months, even though sales of battery-powered models remain low—less than 3% of the total new-car market—and many drivers are still nervous about not having enough places to plug in.\nHertz’s news in late October that it had placed a 100,000-vehicle order from electric-car pioneerTeslaInc.sent shares in both companies soaring, pushing Tesla’s valuation over $1 trillion for the first time. While the two companies are still working out details, Hertz said at the time that the order would increase its mix of electric cars to 20% of its overall fleet.\nAvis’s stock also rallied earlier this month when executives said they were working to expand electric options for renters, making it a centerpiece of the company’s efforts to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions by 30% over the next decade. Following the disclosure,Avis’s shares more than doubled that day, the stock’s largest single-day percentage gain ever.\nCurrently,the pickings are relatively limited for customers looking to rent an electric or hybrid model. For Avis, the share of hybrid and electric vehicles in its global fleet is around 3%, the company said earlier this year.\nChris Haffenreffer, an executive in charge of Enterprise’s electric-vehicle strategy, said it sees the most potential for electrics in its commercial-rental fleets and fleet-management business, which mostly serves companies looking for longer-term arrangements. These business clients tend to be more cost conscious and see value in the lower maintenance and operating costs afforded by battery-powered vehicles, he said.\nEnterprise is still studying how to make electric cars a better fit for leisure travelers, who are more likely to worry about finding enough charging stations, Mr. Haffenreffer said.\nThe shift to electrics can benefit rental-car companies in other important ways. It helps them shrink their own carbon footprints by integrating more zero-emissions vehicles into their overall rental fleets. That, in turn, can help improve their environmental, social and governance, or ESG, standing with investors, executives and analysts say.\n“ESG-associated names like Tesla usually get a much higher multiple,” said Hamzah Mazari, an analyst with Jefferies Group who covers the rental-car industry.\nCorporate clients also see an advantage because the more clean vehicles they rent, the more they can count the emissions-reduction efforts toward their own ESG ratings, analysts say.\nStill, hurdles remain for rental-car providers looking to electrify their lots.\nBattery-powered vehicles are typically more expensive than their gas-engine counterparts, requiring companies to make more upfront investment, said Maryann Keller, an independent consultant who previously served on the board of Dollar Thrifty Automotive Group, which is now part of Hertz.\nThey also require rental providers to install charging stations in their parking areas and to educate consumers about how to use the vehicles, she said. A steep learning curve could be a major turnoff for clients, she added.\nThere is also uncertainty around the resale market and how much an electric model will hold its value, a factor that is particularly important to rental-car companies because they turn over fleets frequently, analysts say.\nEnterprise’s Mr. Haffenreffer said developing a more robust network of public charging stations would be critical to broadening EVs’ appeal to renters.\n“The conventional wisdom for EV owners right now is that the vast majority of charging is going to happen at home, but for our renters, that charging is going to happen in the public,” he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HTZ":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"CAR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":882025073,"gmtCreate":1631632885692,"gmtModify":1631890142096,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882025073","repostId":"1118676828","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118676828","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631631830,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118676828?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-14 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna stock jumped 4% in morning trading<blockquote>Moderna股价早盘上涨4%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118676828","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Moderna stock jumped 4% in morning trading as a recent study found that the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine","content":"<p>Moderna stock jumped 4% in morning trading&nbsp;as&nbsp;a recent study found that the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine produces higher antibody levels than the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna股价在早盘交易中上涨4%，因为最近的一项研究发现，Moderna COVID-19疫苗产生的抗体水平高于辉瑞-BioNTech疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/289c5ec428971234976d932651a5f86d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>A recent study found that the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine produces higher antibody levels than the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine.</li>  <li>This is possibly due to its higher mRNA content and a longer waiting period between doses.</li>  <li>Antibody tests are not entirely predictive of the body’s immunity against COVID-19.</li> </ul> A recent study found that the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine produced twice as many antibodies in recipients as the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>最近的一项研究发现，Moderna新冠肺炎疫苗比辉瑞-BioNTech疫苗产生更高的抗体水平。</li><li>这可能是由于其较高的mRNA含量和较长的剂量之间的等待期。</li><li>抗体测试并不能完全预测人体对新冠肺炎的免疫力。</li></ul>最近的一项研究发现，Moderna新冠肺炎疫苗在接受者体内产生的抗体是辉瑞-BioNTech疫苗的两倍。</blockquote></p><p> The August study, published in&nbsp;<i>JAMA</i>, compared the antibody levels of 1647 healthcare workers before and six to 10 weeks after vaccination. The researchers observed significantly higher antibody levels among the recipients of the Moderna vaccine compared to the recipients of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>八月的研究发表在<i>贾马</i>，比较了1647名医护人员在接种疫苗前和接种后6至10周的抗体水平。研究人员观察到，与辉瑞-BioNTech疫苗的接受者相比，Moderna疫苗的接受者的抗体水平明显更高。</blockquote></p><p> Among all the participants who had a previous COVID-19 infection, those who were vaccinated with the Moderna vaccine still carried more antibodies.</p><p><blockquote>在所有先前感染过新冠病毒的参与者中，接种了Moderna疫苗的人仍然携带了更多的抗体。</blockquote></p><p> However, more research is needed to understand whether the difference in antibody levels leads to different levels of protection against the virus. Experts stress that testing for antibodies isn't the only way of measuring protection.</p><p><blockquote>然而，需要更多的研究来了解抗体水平的差异是否会导致对病毒的不同保护水平。专家强调，抗体检测并不是衡量保护的唯一方法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Does Moderna Produce Higher Antibody Levels?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么Moderna会产生更高的抗体水平？</b></blockquote></p><p> According to the authors of the study, the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine contains more mRNA and requires a longer waiting period than Pfizer-BioNTech, which may have played a role.</p><p><blockquote>根据该研究的作者，与辉瑞-BioNTech相比，Moderna新冠肺炎疫苗含有更多的mRNA，需要更长的等待时间，这可能起到了一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> “It is also possible that the mRNA itself used in the Moderna vaccine may have led to this difference independent of the dose in the vaccine or the timing of the two shots,\"Richard Martinello, MD, Yale Medicine infectious diseases specialist and associate professor of medicine and pediatrics at the Yale School of Medicine, who was not involved in the study, tells Verywell.</p><p><blockquote>“也有可能是Moderna疫苗中使用的mRNA本身导致了这种差异，与疫苗的剂量或两次注射的时间无关，”耶鲁大学医学传染病专家兼副教授Richard Martinello医学博士告诉Verywell，他没有参与这项研究。</blockquote></p><p> The Moderna vaccine contains more mRNA within the vaccine compared to the Pfizer dosage. And doses are given 28 days apart, compared to 21 days for the Pfizer vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>与辉瑞剂量相比，Moderna疫苗在疫苗中含有更多的mRNA。接种间隔28天，而辉瑞疫苗为21天。</blockquote></p><p> Still, further research is needed to understand why Moderna produced more antibodies. Experts still aren't sure if varying antibody levels translate to a difference in protection against COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，还需要进一步的研究来了解为什么Moderna会产生更多的抗体。专家们仍然不确定不同的抗体水平是否会转化为对COVID-19保护的差异。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Antibody Tests Don’t Tell the Whole Story</b></p><p><blockquote><b>抗体测试并不能说明全部情况</b></blockquote></p><p> The study has notable limitations since it focused solely on healthcare workers and did not include data on cellular immunity.</p><p><blockquote>这项研究有明显的局限性，因为它只关注医护人员，不包括细胞免疫的数据。</blockquote></p><p> “Antibody levels have been found to provide a good measure of one’s protection against infection,” Martinello says. “However, it is known that cellular immunity plays a key role in the protection against and response to COVID. This is much more difficult to measure so it is not a routine test available from clinical laboratories. Therefore, while it is possible that the Moderna vaccine may be found to be more protective than the Pfizer vaccine, that remains to be seen.”</p><p><blockquote>“已经发现抗体水平可以很好地衡量一个人对感染的保护，”马蒂内洛说。“然而，众所周知，细胞免疫在预防和应对COVID方面发挥着关键作用。这更难测量，因此它不是临床实验室可用的常规测试。因此，虽然Moderna疫苗可能会被发现比辉瑞疫苗更具保护性，但这还有待观察。”</blockquote></p><p> A May study found that antibody levels can be predictive of protection from COVID-19 infection, but the researchers acknowledged that it's important to study T cell and B cell memory responses as well.</p><p><blockquote>5月份的一项研究发现，抗体水平可以预测对COVID-19感染的保护，但研究人员承认，研究T细胞和B细胞记忆反应也很重要。</blockquote></p><p> Although antibody levels are much simpler and cheaper to measure, and higher levels are likely to be more protective, they’re not a good measure of the degree and/or duration of protection an individual has against COVID-19,Stanley H. Weiss, MD, professor of medicine at the Rutgers New Jersey Medical School and professor of biostatistics at the Rutgers School of Public Health, tells Verywell.</p><p><blockquote>罗格斯大学新泽西医学院医学教授和罗格斯大学公共卫生学院生物统计学教授Stanley H.Weiss医学博士告诉Verywell，虽然抗体水平的测量更简单、更便宜，而且更高的水平可能更具保护性，但它们并不能很好地衡量个人对新冠肺炎的保护程度和/或持续时间。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this year, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued guidance saying that antibody tests should not be used to assess COVID-19 immunity after vaccination.3Researchers say that antibody tests are valuable public health tools that have very little use for individuals, and should not influence personal decision-making.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，美国食品药品监督管理局（FDA）发布指南称，抗体测试不应用于评估接种疫苗后的新冠肺炎免疫力。3研究人员表示，抗体测试是有价值的公共卫生工具，对个人用处不大，不应影响个人决策。</blockquote></p><p> “There is ample data showing that some persons without any detectable antibodies have good protection due to cellular immunity,” Weiss says. “There is also ample data of breakthrough infection among persons who have anti-Covid antibodies.”</p><p><blockquote>“有大量数据表明，一些没有任何可检测抗体的人由于细胞免疫而具有良好的保护作用，”韦斯说。“也有大量数据表明具有抗新冠抗体的人出现突破性感染。”</blockquote></p><p> A March study found that cellular immunity remains robust six months after natural infection even though antibodies against the virus may fall below detectable levels. The findings show promise that COVID-19 vaccines elicit a similar response in the body.</p><p><blockquote>三月份的一项研究发现，尽管针对病毒的抗体可能低于可检测水平，但自然感染后六个月细胞免疫力仍然很强。这些发现表明，新冠肺炎疫苗有望在体内引发类似的反应。</blockquote></p><p> “In an individual person for clinical purposes, and especially outside of a carefully designed research study, I recommend against antibody testing,” Weiss says. “Neither a positive nor negative result gives you definitive information. My recommendation is for a decision to be based on general clinical criteria, not on an antibody test.”</p><p><blockquote>“出于临床目的，尤其是在精心设计的研究之外，我建议不要对个人进行抗体测试，”韦斯说。“阳性或阴性结果都不能给你明确的信息。我的建议是根据一般临床标准做出决定，而不是根据抗体测试。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna stock jumped 4% in morning trading<blockquote>Moderna股价早盘上涨4%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna stock jumped 4% in morning trading<blockquote>Moderna股价早盘上涨4%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-14 23:03</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Moderna stock jumped 4% in morning trading&nbsp;as&nbsp;a recent study found that the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine produces higher antibody levels than the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna股价在早盘交易中上涨4%，因为最近的一项研究发现，Moderna COVID-19疫苗产生的抗体水平高于辉瑞-BioNTech疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/289c5ec428971234976d932651a5f86d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>A recent study found that the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine produces higher antibody levels than the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine.</li>  <li>This is possibly due to its higher mRNA content and a longer waiting period between doses.</li>  <li>Antibody tests are not entirely predictive of the body’s immunity against COVID-19.</li> </ul> A recent study found that the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine produced twice as many antibodies in recipients as the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>最近的一项研究发现，Moderna新冠肺炎疫苗比辉瑞-BioNTech疫苗产生更高的抗体水平。</li><li>这可能是由于其较高的mRNA含量和较长的剂量之间的等待期。</li><li>抗体测试并不能完全预测人体对新冠肺炎的免疫力。</li></ul>最近的一项研究发现，Moderna新冠肺炎疫苗在接受者体内产生的抗体是辉瑞-BioNTech疫苗的两倍。</blockquote></p><p> The August study, published in&nbsp;<i>JAMA</i>, compared the antibody levels of 1647 healthcare workers before and six to 10 weeks after vaccination. The researchers observed significantly higher antibody levels among the recipients of the Moderna vaccine compared to the recipients of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>八月的研究发表在<i>贾马</i>，比较了1647名医护人员在接种疫苗前和接种后6至10周的抗体水平。研究人员观察到，与辉瑞-BioNTech疫苗的接受者相比，Moderna疫苗的接受者的抗体水平明显更高。</blockquote></p><p> Among all the participants who had a previous COVID-19 infection, those who were vaccinated with the Moderna vaccine still carried more antibodies.</p><p><blockquote>在所有先前感染过新冠病毒的参与者中，接种了Moderna疫苗的人仍然携带了更多的抗体。</blockquote></p><p> However, more research is needed to understand whether the difference in antibody levels leads to different levels of protection against the virus. Experts stress that testing for antibodies isn't the only way of measuring protection.</p><p><blockquote>然而，需要更多的研究来了解抗体水平的差异是否会导致对病毒的不同保护水平。专家强调，抗体检测并不是衡量保护的唯一方法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Does Moderna Produce Higher Antibody Levels?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么Moderna会产生更高的抗体水平？</b></blockquote></p><p> According to the authors of the study, the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine contains more mRNA and requires a longer waiting period than Pfizer-BioNTech, which may have played a role.</p><p><blockquote>根据该研究的作者，与辉瑞-BioNTech相比，Moderna新冠肺炎疫苗含有更多的mRNA，需要更长的等待时间，这可能起到了一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> “It is also possible that the mRNA itself used in the Moderna vaccine may have led to this difference independent of the dose in the vaccine or the timing of the two shots,\"Richard Martinello, MD, Yale Medicine infectious diseases specialist and associate professor of medicine and pediatrics at the Yale School of Medicine, who was not involved in the study, tells Verywell.</p><p><blockquote>“也有可能是Moderna疫苗中使用的mRNA本身导致了这种差异，与疫苗的剂量或两次注射的时间无关，”耶鲁大学医学传染病专家兼副教授Richard Martinello医学博士告诉Verywell，他没有参与这项研究。</blockquote></p><p> The Moderna vaccine contains more mRNA within the vaccine compared to the Pfizer dosage. And doses are given 28 days apart, compared to 21 days for the Pfizer vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>与辉瑞剂量相比，Moderna疫苗在疫苗中含有更多的mRNA。接种间隔28天，而辉瑞疫苗为21天。</blockquote></p><p> Still, further research is needed to understand why Moderna produced more antibodies. Experts still aren't sure if varying antibody levels translate to a difference in protection against COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，还需要进一步的研究来了解为什么Moderna会产生更多的抗体。专家们仍然不确定不同的抗体水平是否会转化为对COVID-19保护的差异。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Antibody Tests Don’t Tell the Whole Story</b></p><p><blockquote><b>抗体测试并不能说明全部情况</b></blockquote></p><p> The study has notable limitations since it focused solely on healthcare workers and did not include data on cellular immunity.</p><p><blockquote>这项研究有明显的局限性，因为它只关注医护人员，不包括细胞免疫的数据。</blockquote></p><p> “Antibody levels have been found to provide a good measure of one’s protection against infection,” Martinello says. “However, it is known that cellular immunity plays a key role in the protection against and response to COVID. This is much more difficult to measure so it is not a routine test available from clinical laboratories. Therefore, while it is possible that the Moderna vaccine may be found to be more protective than the Pfizer vaccine, that remains to be seen.”</p><p><blockquote>“已经发现抗体水平可以很好地衡量一个人对感染的保护，”马蒂内洛说。“然而，众所周知，细胞免疫在预防和应对COVID方面发挥着关键作用。这更难测量，因此它不是临床实验室可用的常规测试。因此，虽然Moderna疫苗可能会被发现比辉瑞疫苗更具保护性，但这还有待观察。”</blockquote></p><p> A May study found that antibody levels can be predictive of protection from COVID-19 infection, but the researchers acknowledged that it's important to study T cell and B cell memory responses as well.</p><p><blockquote>5月份的一项研究发现，抗体水平可以预测对COVID-19感染的保护，但研究人员承认，研究T细胞和B细胞记忆反应也很重要。</blockquote></p><p> Although antibody levels are much simpler and cheaper to measure, and higher levels are likely to be more protective, they’re not a good measure of the degree and/or duration of protection an individual has against COVID-19,Stanley H. Weiss, MD, professor of medicine at the Rutgers New Jersey Medical School and professor of biostatistics at the Rutgers School of Public Health, tells Verywell.</p><p><blockquote>罗格斯大学新泽西医学院医学教授和罗格斯大学公共卫生学院生物统计学教授Stanley H.Weiss医学博士告诉Verywell，虽然抗体水平的测量更简单、更便宜，而且更高的水平可能更具保护性，但它们并不能很好地衡量个人对新冠肺炎的保护程度和/或持续时间。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this year, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued guidance saying that antibody tests should not be used to assess COVID-19 immunity after vaccination.3Researchers say that antibody tests are valuable public health tools that have very little use for individuals, and should not influence personal decision-making.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，美国食品药品监督管理局（FDA）发布指南称，抗体测试不应用于评估接种疫苗后的新冠肺炎免疫力。3研究人员表示，抗体测试是有价值的公共卫生工具，对个人用处不大，不应影响个人决策。</blockquote></p><p> “There is ample data showing that some persons without any detectable antibodies have good protection due to cellular immunity,” Weiss says. “There is also ample data of breakthrough infection among persons who have anti-Covid antibodies.”</p><p><blockquote>“有大量数据表明，一些没有任何可检测抗体的人由于细胞免疫而具有良好的保护作用，”韦斯说。“也有大量数据表明具有抗新冠抗体的人出现突破性感染。”</blockquote></p><p> A March study found that cellular immunity remains robust six months after natural infection even though antibodies against the virus may fall below detectable levels. The findings show promise that COVID-19 vaccines elicit a similar response in the body.</p><p><blockquote>三月份的一项研究发现，尽管针对病毒的抗体可能低于可检测水平，但自然感染后六个月细胞免疫力仍然很强。这些发现表明，新冠肺炎疫苗有望在体内引发类似的反应。</blockquote></p><p> “In an individual person for clinical purposes, and especially outside of a carefully designed research study, I recommend against antibody testing,” Weiss says. “Neither a positive nor negative result gives you definitive information. My recommendation is for a decision to be based on general clinical criteria, not on an antibody test.”</p><p><blockquote>“出于临床目的，尤其是在精心设计的研究之外，我建议不要对个人进行抗体测试，”韦斯说。“阳性或阴性结果都不能给你明确的信息。我的建议是根据一般临床标准做出决定，而不是根据抗体测试。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118676828","content_text":"Moderna stock jumped 4% in morning trading as a recent study found that the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine produces higher antibody levels than the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine.\n\n\nA recent study found that the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine produces higher antibody levels than the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine.\nThis is possibly due to its higher mRNA content and a longer waiting period between doses.\nAntibody tests are not entirely predictive of the body’s immunity against COVID-19.\n\nA recent study found that the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine produced twice as many antibodies in recipients as the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine.\nThe August study, published in JAMA, compared the antibody levels of 1647 healthcare workers before and six to 10 weeks after vaccination. The researchers observed significantly higher antibody levels among the recipients of the Moderna vaccine compared to the recipients of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine.\nAmong all the participants who had a previous COVID-19 infection, those who were vaccinated with the Moderna vaccine still carried more antibodies.\nHowever, more research is needed to understand whether the difference in antibody levels leads to different levels of protection against the virus. Experts stress that testing for antibodies isn't the only way of measuring protection.\nWhy Does Moderna Produce Higher Antibody Levels?\nAccording to the authors of the study, the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine contains more mRNA and requires a longer waiting period than Pfizer-BioNTech, which may have played a role.\n“It is also possible that the mRNA itself used in the Moderna vaccine may have led to this difference independent of the dose in the vaccine or the timing of the two shots,\"Richard Martinello, MD, Yale Medicine infectious diseases specialist and associate professor of medicine and pediatrics at the Yale School of Medicine, who was not involved in the study, tells Verywell.\nThe Moderna vaccine contains more mRNA within the vaccine compared to the Pfizer dosage. And doses are given 28 days apart, compared to 21 days for the Pfizer vaccine.\nStill, further research is needed to understand why Moderna produced more antibodies. Experts still aren't sure if varying antibody levels translate to a difference in protection against COVID-19.\nAntibody Tests Don’t Tell the Whole Story\nThe study has notable limitations since it focused solely on healthcare workers and did not include data on cellular immunity.\n“Antibody levels have been found to provide a good measure of one’s protection against infection,” Martinello says. “However, it is known that cellular immunity plays a key role in the protection against and response to COVID. This is much more difficult to measure so it is not a routine test available from clinical laboratories. Therefore, while it is possible that the Moderna vaccine may be found to be more protective than the Pfizer vaccine, that remains to be seen.”\nA May study found that antibody levels can be predictive of protection from COVID-19 infection, but the researchers acknowledged that it's important to study T cell and B cell memory responses as well.\nAlthough antibody levels are much simpler and cheaper to measure, and higher levels are likely to be more protective, they’re not a good measure of the degree and/or duration of protection an individual has against COVID-19,Stanley H. Weiss, MD, professor of medicine at the Rutgers New Jersey Medical School and professor of biostatistics at the Rutgers School of Public Health, tells Verywell.\nEarlier this year, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued guidance saying that antibody tests should not be used to assess COVID-19 immunity after vaccination.3Researchers say that antibody tests are valuable public health tools that have very little use for individuals, and should not influence personal decision-making.\n“There is ample data showing that some persons without any detectable antibodies have good protection due to cellular immunity,” Weiss says. “There is also ample data of breakthrough infection among persons who have anti-Covid antibodies.”\nA March study found that cellular immunity remains robust six months after natural infection even though antibodies against the virus may fall below detectable levels. The findings show promise that COVID-19 vaccines elicit a similar response in the body.\n“In an individual person for clinical purposes, and especially outside of a carefully designed research study, I recommend against antibody testing,” Weiss says. “Neither a positive nor negative result gives you definitive information. My recommendation is for a decision to be based on general clinical criteria, not on an antibody test.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817701508,"gmtCreate":1630985275604,"gmtModify":1631893998276,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817701508","repostId":"1175895797","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175895797","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630984669,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175895797?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-07 11:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SoFi Technologies: 4 Trades To Get In On Fintech's Growth<blockquote>SoFi Technologies：参与金融科技增长的4项交易</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175895797","media":"Investing.com","summary":"SoFi Technologies has recently issued mixed Q2 metrics, which put pressure on the shares\nThe fintech","content":"<p><ul>  <li>SoFi Technologies has recently issued mixed Q2 metrics, which put pressure on the shares</li>  <li>The fintech group is growing its platform, product offerings and customer numbers</li>  <li>We’re optimistic on the long-term growth prospects of SOFI stock, which could move first toward $17.5 and then $20.0 in the coming weeks</li> </ul> Investors in financial technology (fintech) disruptor SoFi Technologies. (NASDAQ:SOFI) have had a volatile year so far in 2021. Year-to-date (YTD) SOFI stock is up close to 22%. However, since early June the stock has lost about 37% of its value.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>SoFi Technologies最近发布了好坏参半的第二季度指标，这给股价带来了压力</li><li>该金融科技集团正在扩大其平台、产品供应和客户数量</li><li>我们对SOFI股票的长期增长前景持乐观态度，未来几周该股可能首先升至17.5美元，然后升至20.0美元</li></ul>金融科技（fintech）颠覆者SoFi Technologies的投资者。（纳斯达克：SOFI）2021年迄今为止经历了动荡的一年。年初至今(YTD)SOFI股价上涨近22%。然而，自6月初以来，该股价值已下跌约37%。</blockquote></p><p> Our readers could well remember that SoFi Technologies went public through a reverse merger with Social Capital Hedosophia Corp, a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC). SOFI shares finished the day at $22.65. After trading between $20-$25 for several few weeks, the stock sold-off starting in early June.</p><p><blockquote>我们的读者可能还记得，SoFi Technologies是通过与特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)Social Capital Hedosophia Corp反向合并上市的。SOFI股价当天收于22.65美元。在连续几周在20-25美元之间交易后，该股从6月初开始遭到抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e84ef86a4fdcb3edda25a7f55e9f93f\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> SOFI stock finished Sept. 3 at $15.16. We should also remind readers that on Feb. 1, prior to the closing of the reverse merger, the shares hit an all-time high of $28.26. The market capitalization of SoFi Technologies stands at $12.12 billion.</p><p><blockquote>SOFI股票9月3日收于15.16美元。我们还应该提醒读者，2月1日，在反向合并完成之前，该股创下了28.26美元的历史新高。SoFi Technologies的市值为121.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Investors debate whether now is a good time to invest in SOFI stock. We’re bullish on the long-term growth prospects of SoFi Technologies. Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>投资者争论现在是否是投资SOFI股票的好时机。我们看好SoFi Technologies的长期增长前景。原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long-Term Tailwinds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>长期顺风</b></blockquote></p><p> SoFi Technologies was founded in 2011 as a student loan refinancing business. Over the past decade, it has grown significantly to become a fintech disruptor. Its app enables consumers to manage, borrow, spend, save and invest money.</p><p><blockquote>SoFi Technologies成立于2011年，是一家学生贷款再融资公司。在过去十年中，它已显着发展成为金融科技颠覆者。它的应用程序使消费者能够管理、借贷、消费、储蓄和投资资金。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, in May 2020, it acquired the payment software company&nbsp;Galileo Financial Technologies, which helps businesses develop payment, card, and digital banking products. Also in March of this year, management announced it had agreed tobuythe California-based community bank Golden Pacific Bancorp, and “The proposed acquisition is a key strategic step in SoFi's path to obtaining a national bank charter.”</p><p><blockquote>例如，2020年5月，它收购了支付软件公司Galileo Financial Technologies，该公司帮助企业开发支付、卡和数字银行产品。同样在今年3月，管理层宣布已同意收购总部位于加州的社区银行Golden Pacific Bancorp，“拟议的收购是SoFi获得国家银行牌照道路上的关键战略步骤。”</blockquote></p><p> On Aug. 12, SOFI&nbsp;issued&nbsp;Q2 financials. Revenue was $231.1 million, up 101% year-over-year (YOY).The company reports revenue in three segments:</p><p><blockquote>8月12日，SOFI发布了第二季度财务数据。收入为2.311亿美元，同比增长101%。该公司报告三个部分的收入：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Lending (still the driver of the top line with 71.9% share);</li>  <li>Financial Services (Q2 revenue was $17.0 million, compared to $2.4 million in Q2 2020);</li>  <li>Technology Platform (consists primarily of Galileo which has over the past year, increased its number of accounts, to nearly 79 million from 36 million).</li> </ul> SOFI reported a $165.3 million net loss for Q2 2021, compared to net profit of $7.8 million a year earlier. However, adjusted EBITDA was $11.2 million and positive for the fourth consecutive quarter. It was also $35.0 million higher than Q2 2020.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>贷款（仍然是营收的驱动力，占71.9%的份额）；</li><li>金融服务（第二季度收入为1700万美元，而2020年第二季度为240万美元）；</li><li>技术平台（主要由Galileo组成，在过去一年中，其账户数量从3600万增加到近7900万）。</li></ul>SOFI报告2021年第二季度净亏损1.653亿美元，而上年同期净利润为780万美元。然而，调整后EBITDA为1120万美元，连续第四个季度为正值。这也比2020年第二季度高出3500万美元。</blockquote></p><p> On the results, CEO Anthony Noto&nbsp;commented:</p><p><blockquote>对于结果，首席执行官安东尼·诺托评论道：</blockquote></p><p>   “We drove our 8th straight quarters of accelerating member growth, with even faster growth in cross-buying from existing members.”  For Q3 2021, management expects adjusted net revenue of $245-$255 million, which was lighter than what Wall Street was anticipating. SoFi Technologies also reiterated the full-year 2021 guidance of adjusted net revenue of $980 million and adjusted EBITDA of $27 million.</p><p><blockquote>“我们连续第八个季度加速会员增长，现有会员的交叉购买增长更快。”管理层预计2021年第三季度调整后净收入为245-2.55亿美元，低于华尔街的预期。SoFi Technologies还重申了2021年全年调整后净收入为9.8亿美元，调整后EBITDA为2700万美元的指引。</blockquote></p><p> A number of investors were not fully thrilled with Q2 results, and hit the ‘Sell’ button, pushing SOFI stock to $13.50. However, since then buyers have come in and moved the stock back to $15, a level that is acting as support.</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者对第二季度业绩并不完全满意，按下了“卖出”按钮，将SOFI股价推高至13.50美元。然而，自那以后，买家介入并将该股推回到15美元，这是一个起到支撑作用的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What To Expect From SOFI Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对SOFI股票的期待</b></blockquote></p><p> SoFi Technologies is still a young company. Therefore on&nbsp;<i>Investing.com</i>, we have two analysts&nbsp;polled, both of whom have rated it a ‘buy.’ The shares have a 12-month price target of $26.50, implying a return of about 75% from current levels.</p><p><blockquote>SoFi Technologies仍然是一家年轻的公司。因此在<i>Investing.com</i>，我们对两位分析师进行了调查，他们都将其评级为“买入”。该股12个月目标价为26.50美元，这意味着较当前水平的回报率约为75%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock’s P/B ratio stands at 2.86x. By comparison, the P/B ratios of fintech darlings PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) and Square (NYSE:SQ) are 16.25x and 45.93x, respectively</p><p><blockquote>该股的市净率为2.86倍。相比之下，金融科技宠儿PayPal（纳斯达克：PYPL）和Square（纽约证券交易所：SQ）的市净率分别为16.25倍和45.93倍</blockquote></p><p> Investors who watch technical charts might be interested to know that anup movetoward the $17-$17.5 level is likely. In that case, SOFI stock would possibly hit resistance around $17.5 after which it could trade sideways as it establishes a new base.</p><p><blockquote>观看技术图表的投资者可能有兴趣知道anup很可能会升至17-17.5美元的水平。在这种情况下，SOFI股票可能会遇到17.5美元左右的阻力，之后它可能会在建立新的基础时横盘整理。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1b6d9b444b951f9abee71b8a394b699\" tg-width=\"654\" tg-height=\"458\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Investing.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Investing.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Finally, as part of the short-term sentiment analysis, it would be important to look at the implied volatility (IV) levels for SoFi Technologies options, which typically show traders the market's opinion of potential moves in a security. However, this metric does not forecast the direction of the move.</p><p><blockquote>最后，作为短期情绪分析的一部分，查看SoFi Technologies期权的隐含波动率(IV)水平非常重要，它通常向交易者显示市场对证券潜在走势的看法。然而，这一指标并不能预测移动的方向。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> SOFI’s current implied volatility is 59.7, which is lower than the 20-day moving average of 67.4. This metric means implied volatility is trending lower. Although the current IV level could change, for now, the market does not seem to expect extreme choppiness in the shares.</p><p><blockquote>SOFI目前的隐含波动率为59.7，低于20日移动平均线67.4。该指标意味着隐含波动率呈下降趋势。尽管目前的IV水平可能会发生变化，但就目前而言，市场似乎预计股价不会出现极端波动。</blockquote></p><p> Although our expectation is for the stock price to increase in the coming weeks, it is not likely to be a straight move higher. There could even be a further decline toward $14 before a new up leg starts. In case of such a decline, potential SoFi Technologies stock investors would then find better value in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们预计股价将在未来几周内上涨，但不太可能直线走高。在新的上涨行情开始之前，甚至可能进一步跌至14美元。如果出现这种下跌，潜在的SoFi Technologies股票投资者将会发现该股票更好的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4 Possible Trades1. Buy SOFI Stock At Current Levels</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4种可能的交易1。在当前水平购买SOFI股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors who are not concerned with daily moves in price and who believe in the long-term potential of the company could consider investing in SoFi Technologies shares now.</p><p><blockquote>不关心每日价格变动并相信该公司长期潜力的投资者现在可以考虑投资SoFi Technologies股票。</blockquote></p><p> On Sept. 3, SOFI stock closed at $15.16. Buy-and-hold investors should expect to keep this long position for several months while the stock potentially makes an attempt, first toward $17.5 and then $20, leading to a return of over 30%.</p><p><blockquote>9月3日，SOFI股价收于15.16美元。买入并持有的投资者应该预计将在几个月内保持这一多头头寸，而该股可能会尝试，首先升至17.5美元，然后升至20美元，从而带来超过30%的回报。</blockquote></p><p> However, investors who are concerned about large declines might also consider placing a stop-loss about 3-5% below their entry point.</p><p><blockquote>然而，担心大幅下跌的投资者也可以考虑在进场点以下约3-5%设置止损。</blockquote></p><p> Once the stock is firmly established around $20, it could then potentially make another move toward the record high $28.26. However, such an increase would possibly take several quarters.</p><p><blockquote>一旦该股站稳在20美元左右，它可能会再次向28.26美元的历史新高迈进。然而，这种增长可能需要几个季度的时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Sell A Cash-Secured Put Option On SOFI Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.出售SOFI股票的现金担保看跌期权</b></blockquote></p><p> Our second trade involves a cash-secured put strategy. We have recently covered this option in numerous articles. Here is one&nbsp;example.</p><p><blockquote>我们的第二笔交易涉及现金担保看跌策略。我们最近在许多文章中讨论了这个选项。这里有一个例子。</blockquote></p><p> Bullish SoFi Technologies stock traders could now sell a Dec. 17, 15-strike put option, which is currently being offered at $2.13.</p><p><blockquote>看涨SoFi Technologies股票交易者现在可以出售12月17日15行权的看跌期权，目前报价为2.13美元。</blockquote></p><p> Assuming traders would enter this put-selling strategy at the current price, the upside is keeping this premium of $213 as long as SOFI stock closes above $15, when the option expires. A total of $213 would be the maximum return for this trade (excluding trading costs and taxes).</p><p><blockquote>假设交易者以当前价格进入这种看跌卖出策略，那么只要期权到期时SOFI股票收盘价高于15美元，上涨空间就会保持213美元的溢价。这笔交易的最高回报为213美元（不包括交易成本和税收）。</blockquote></p><p> The downside is if SoFi Technologies stock trades below $15.00 ahead of expiration. Should that occur, traders could be assigned 100 shares for each sold put at a cost of $15.00 per share.</p><p><blockquote>不利的一面是，如果SoFi Technologies股票在到期前交易价格低于15.00美元。如果发生这种情况，交易者可以以每股15.00美元的价格为每卖出一份看跌期权分配100股。</blockquote></p><p> At expiry, this trade would break even at a stock price of $12.87 (i.e., $15-$2.13).</p><p><blockquote>到期时，该交易将以12.87美元（即15-2.13美元）的股价实现收支平衡。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Buy An ETF That Has SoFi Technologies As A Holding</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.购买持有SoFi Technologies的ETF</b></blockquote></p><p> Many readers are familiar with the fact that we regularly cover exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that might be suitable for buy-and-hold investors. Thus, readers who do not want to commit capital to SOFI stock but would still like to have exposure to the shares could consider researching a fund that holds the company.</p><p><blockquote>许多读者都熟悉这样一个事实，即我们定期报道可能适合买入并持有投资者的交易所交易基金(ETF)。因此，不想投入资金购买SOFI股票但仍希望投资该股票的读者可以考虑研究持有该公司的基金。</blockquote></p><p> However, since SoFi Technologies is a small and young company, it is not yet a leading holding in an ETF. This means such an investment would provide only a limited exposure to SOFI shares.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于SoFi Technologies是一家小型且年轻的公司，因此它还不是ETF中的领先持股。这意味着此类投资只能提供有限的SOFI股票敞口。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, examples of ETFs that have SOFI stock include:</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，拥有SOFI股票的ETF示例包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The De-SPAC ETF (NYSE:DSPC): This new fund is about flat since inception in May 2021. SOFI stock’s weighting is 3.85%;</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>De-SPAC ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DSPC）：这只新基金自2021年5月成立以来大致持平。SOFI股票的权重为3.85%；</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>JPMorgan BetaBuilders U.S. Small Cap Equity ETF (NYSE:BBSC): The fund is up 17.2% YTD, and SOFI stock’s weighting is 0.38%;</p><p><blockquote><li>摩根大通BetaBuilders美国小盘股ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BBSC）：该基金年初至今上涨17.2%，SOFI股票权重为0.38%；</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>First Trust US Equity Opportunities ETF (NYSE:FPX): The fund is up 10.9% YTD, and SOFI stock’s weighting is 0.29%.</p><p><blockquote><li>First Trust US Equity Opportunities ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：FPX）：该基金年初至今上涨10.9%，SOFI股票的权重为0.29%。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>4. Buy Shares In Another Fintech Company</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.购买另一家金融科技公司的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Potential investors who are interested in the fintech space, could consider investing in other names in the sector as well. Several names that could appeal to readers are (in alphabetical order):</p><p><blockquote>对金融科技领域感兴趣的潜在投资者也可以考虑投资该行业的其他公司。可能吸引读者的几个名字是（按字母顺序排列）：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Bill.com (NYSE:BILL): up 117.7% YTD;</li>  <li>Fiserv (NASDAQ:FISV): up 1.6% YTD;</li>  <li>Green Dot (NYSE:GDOT): down 1.8% YTD;</li>  <li>JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM): up 25.5% YTD;</li>  <li>Lemonade (NYSE:LMND): down 36.9% YTD;</li>  <li>Marqeta (NASDAQ:MQ): down 17.1% since going public in June;</li>  <li>MercadoLibre (NASDAQ:MELI): up 16.2% YTD;</li>  <li>PayPal: up 23.4% YTD;</li>  <li>Silvergate Capital (NYSE:SI): up 62.4% YTD;</li>  <li>Square: up 23.9% YTD;</li>  <li>StoneCo (NASDAQ:STNE): down 46.8% YTD;</li>  <li>Visa (NYSE:V): up 2.9% YTD.</li> </ul> As the returns above highlight, the fortunes of these companies have varied significantly in 2021. Therefore, potential investors would need to research them well before committing capital into the shares.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Bill.com（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BILL）：年初至今上涨117.7%；</li><li>Fiserv（纳斯达克：FISV）：年初至今上涨1.6%；</li><li>绿点（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GDOT）：年初至今下跌1.8%；</li><li>摩根大通（纽约证券交易所股票代码：JPM）：年初至今上涨25.5%；</li><li>柠檬水（纽约证券交易所股票代码：LMND）：年初至今下跌36.9%；</li><li>Marqeta（纳斯达克：MQ）：自6月上市以来下跌17.1%；</li><li>MercadoLibre（纳斯达克：MELI）：年初至今上涨16.2%；</li><li>PayPal：年初至今上涨23.4%；</li><li>Silvergate Capital（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SI）：年初至今上涨62.4%；</li><li>Square：年初至今上涨23.9%；</li><li>StoneCo（纳斯达克：STNE）：年初至今下跌46.8%；</li><li>Visa（纽约证券交易所股票代码：V）：年初至今上涨2.9%。</li></ul>正如上述回报所强调的那样，这些公司的命运在2021年差异很大。因此，潜在投资者在向股票投入资金之前需要对它们进行充分研究。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Since going public in early June, SOFI stock has been in the limelight. Although the record high share price of $28.26, which was seen in February before the the reverse-merger was completed, seems quite distant now, the company is likely to create better shareholder value in the months ahead. Meanwhile, the company could even find itself a takeover candidate.</p><p><blockquote>自6月初上市以来，SOFI股票一直备受关注。尽管反向合并完成前2月份创下的28.26美元的历史新高股价现在似乎还很遥远，但该公司可能会在未来几个月创造更好的股东价值。与此同时，该公司甚至可能发现自己是收购候选人。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SoFi Technologies: 4 Trades To Get In On Fintech's Growth<blockquote>SoFi Technologies：参与金融科技增长的4项交易</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSoFi Technologies: 4 Trades To Get In On Fintech's Growth<blockquote>SoFi Technologies：参与金融科技增长的4项交易</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Investing.com</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-07 11:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>SoFi Technologies has recently issued mixed Q2 metrics, which put pressure on the shares</li>  <li>The fintech group is growing its platform, product offerings and customer numbers</li>  <li>We’re optimistic on the long-term growth prospects of SOFI stock, which could move first toward $17.5 and then $20.0 in the coming weeks</li> </ul> Investors in financial technology (fintech) disruptor SoFi Technologies. (NASDAQ:SOFI) have had a volatile year so far in 2021. Year-to-date (YTD) SOFI stock is up close to 22%. However, since early June the stock has lost about 37% of its value.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>SoFi Technologies最近发布了好坏参半的第二季度指标，这给股价带来了压力</li><li>该金融科技集团正在扩大其平台、产品供应和客户数量</li><li>我们对SOFI股票的长期增长前景持乐观态度，未来几周该股可能首先升至17.5美元，然后升至20.0美元</li></ul>金融科技（fintech）颠覆者SoFi Technologies的投资者。（纳斯达克：SOFI）2021年迄今为止经历了动荡的一年。年初至今(YTD)SOFI股价上涨近22%。然而，自6月初以来，该股价值已下跌约37%。</blockquote></p><p> Our readers could well remember that SoFi Technologies went public through a reverse merger with Social Capital Hedosophia Corp, a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC). SOFI shares finished the day at $22.65. After trading between $20-$25 for several few weeks, the stock sold-off starting in early June.</p><p><blockquote>我们的读者可能还记得，SoFi Technologies是通过与特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)Social Capital Hedosophia Corp反向合并上市的。SOFI股价当天收于22.65美元。在连续几周在20-25美元之间交易后，该股从6月初开始遭到抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e84ef86a4fdcb3edda25a7f55e9f93f\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> SOFI stock finished Sept. 3 at $15.16. We should also remind readers that on Feb. 1, prior to the closing of the reverse merger, the shares hit an all-time high of $28.26. The market capitalization of SoFi Technologies stands at $12.12 billion.</p><p><blockquote>SOFI股票9月3日收于15.16美元。我们还应该提醒读者，2月1日，在反向合并完成之前，该股创下了28.26美元的历史新高。SoFi Technologies的市值为121.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Investors debate whether now is a good time to invest in SOFI stock. We’re bullish on the long-term growth prospects of SoFi Technologies. Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>投资者争论现在是否是投资SOFI股票的好时机。我们看好SoFi Technologies的长期增长前景。原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long-Term Tailwinds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>长期顺风</b></blockquote></p><p> SoFi Technologies was founded in 2011 as a student loan refinancing business. Over the past decade, it has grown significantly to become a fintech disruptor. Its app enables consumers to manage, borrow, spend, save and invest money.</p><p><blockquote>SoFi Technologies成立于2011年，是一家学生贷款再融资公司。在过去十年中，它已显着发展成为金融科技颠覆者。它的应用程序使消费者能够管理、借贷、消费、储蓄和投资资金。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, in May 2020, it acquired the payment software company&nbsp;Galileo Financial Technologies, which helps businesses develop payment, card, and digital banking products. Also in March of this year, management announced it had agreed tobuythe California-based community bank Golden Pacific Bancorp, and “The proposed acquisition is a key strategic step in SoFi's path to obtaining a national bank charter.”</p><p><blockquote>例如，2020年5月，它收购了支付软件公司Galileo Financial Technologies，该公司帮助企业开发支付、卡和数字银行产品。同样在今年3月，管理层宣布已同意收购总部位于加州的社区银行Golden Pacific Bancorp，“拟议的收购是SoFi获得国家银行牌照道路上的关键战略步骤。”</blockquote></p><p> On Aug. 12, SOFI&nbsp;issued&nbsp;Q2 financials. Revenue was $231.1 million, up 101% year-over-year (YOY).The company reports revenue in three segments:</p><p><blockquote>8月12日，SOFI发布了第二季度财务数据。收入为2.311亿美元，同比增长101%。该公司报告三个部分的收入：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Lending (still the driver of the top line with 71.9% share);</li>  <li>Financial Services (Q2 revenue was $17.0 million, compared to $2.4 million in Q2 2020);</li>  <li>Technology Platform (consists primarily of Galileo which has over the past year, increased its number of accounts, to nearly 79 million from 36 million).</li> </ul> SOFI reported a $165.3 million net loss for Q2 2021, compared to net profit of $7.8 million a year earlier. However, adjusted EBITDA was $11.2 million and positive for the fourth consecutive quarter. It was also $35.0 million higher than Q2 2020.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>贷款（仍然是营收的驱动力，占71.9%的份额）；</li><li>金融服务（第二季度收入为1700万美元，而2020年第二季度为240万美元）；</li><li>技术平台（主要由Galileo组成，在过去一年中，其账户数量从3600万增加到近7900万）。</li></ul>SOFI报告2021年第二季度净亏损1.653亿美元，而上年同期净利润为780万美元。然而，调整后EBITDA为1120万美元，连续第四个季度为正值。这也比2020年第二季度高出3500万美元。</blockquote></p><p> On the results, CEO Anthony Noto&nbsp;commented:</p><p><blockquote>对于结果，首席执行官安东尼·诺托评论道：</blockquote></p><p>   “We drove our 8th straight quarters of accelerating member growth, with even faster growth in cross-buying from existing members.”  For Q3 2021, management expects adjusted net revenue of $245-$255 million, which was lighter than what Wall Street was anticipating. SoFi Technologies also reiterated the full-year 2021 guidance of adjusted net revenue of $980 million and adjusted EBITDA of $27 million.</p><p><blockquote>“我们连续第八个季度加速会员增长，现有会员的交叉购买增长更快。”管理层预计2021年第三季度调整后净收入为245-2.55亿美元，低于华尔街的预期。SoFi Technologies还重申了2021年全年调整后净收入为9.8亿美元，调整后EBITDA为2700万美元的指引。</blockquote></p><p> A number of investors were not fully thrilled with Q2 results, and hit the ‘Sell’ button, pushing SOFI stock to $13.50. However, since then buyers have come in and moved the stock back to $15, a level that is acting as support.</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者对第二季度业绩并不完全满意，按下了“卖出”按钮，将SOFI股价推高至13.50美元。然而，自那以后，买家介入并将该股推回到15美元，这是一个起到支撑作用的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What To Expect From SOFI Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对SOFI股票的期待</b></blockquote></p><p> SoFi Technologies is still a young company. Therefore on&nbsp;<i>Investing.com</i>, we have two analysts&nbsp;polled, both of whom have rated it a ‘buy.’ The shares have a 12-month price target of $26.50, implying a return of about 75% from current levels.</p><p><blockquote>SoFi Technologies仍然是一家年轻的公司。因此在<i>Investing.com</i>，我们对两位分析师进行了调查，他们都将其评级为“买入”。该股12个月目标价为26.50美元，这意味着较当前水平的回报率约为75%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock’s P/B ratio stands at 2.86x. By comparison, the P/B ratios of fintech darlings PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) and Square (NYSE:SQ) are 16.25x and 45.93x, respectively</p><p><blockquote>该股的市净率为2.86倍。相比之下，金融科技宠儿PayPal（纳斯达克：PYPL）和Square（纽约证券交易所：SQ）的市净率分别为16.25倍和45.93倍</blockquote></p><p> Investors who watch technical charts might be interested to know that anup movetoward the $17-$17.5 level is likely. In that case, SOFI stock would possibly hit resistance around $17.5 after which it could trade sideways as it establishes a new base.</p><p><blockquote>观看技术图表的投资者可能有兴趣知道anup很可能会升至17-17.5美元的水平。在这种情况下，SOFI股票可能会遇到17.5美元左右的阻力，之后它可能会在建立新的基础时横盘整理。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1b6d9b444b951f9abee71b8a394b699\" tg-width=\"654\" tg-height=\"458\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Investing.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Investing.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Finally, as part of the short-term sentiment analysis, it would be important to look at the implied volatility (IV) levels for SoFi Technologies options, which typically show traders the market's opinion of potential moves in a security. However, this metric does not forecast the direction of the move.</p><p><blockquote>最后，作为短期情绪分析的一部分，查看SoFi Technologies期权的隐含波动率(IV)水平非常重要，它通常向交易者显示市场对证券潜在走势的看法。然而，这一指标并不能预测移动的方向。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> SOFI’s current implied volatility is 59.7, which is lower than the 20-day moving average of 67.4. This metric means implied volatility is trending lower. Although the current IV level could change, for now, the market does not seem to expect extreme choppiness in the shares.</p><p><blockquote>SOFI目前的隐含波动率为59.7，低于20日移动平均线67.4。该指标意味着隐含波动率呈下降趋势。尽管目前的IV水平可能会发生变化，但就目前而言，市场似乎预计股价不会出现极端波动。</blockquote></p><p> Although our expectation is for the stock price to increase in the coming weeks, it is not likely to be a straight move higher. There could even be a further decline toward $14 before a new up leg starts. In case of such a decline, potential SoFi Technologies stock investors would then find better value in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们预计股价将在未来几周内上涨，但不太可能直线走高。在新的上涨行情开始之前，甚至可能进一步跌至14美元。如果出现这种下跌，潜在的SoFi Technologies股票投资者将会发现该股票更好的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4 Possible Trades1. Buy SOFI Stock At Current Levels</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4种可能的交易1。在当前水平购买SOFI股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors who are not concerned with daily moves in price and who believe in the long-term potential of the company could consider investing in SoFi Technologies shares now.</p><p><blockquote>不关心每日价格变动并相信该公司长期潜力的投资者现在可以考虑投资SoFi Technologies股票。</blockquote></p><p> On Sept. 3, SOFI stock closed at $15.16. Buy-and-hold investors should expect to keep this long position for several months while the stock potentially makes an attempt, first toward $17.5 and then $20, leading to a return of over 30%.</p><p><blockquote>9月3日，SOFI股价收于15.16美元。买入并持有的投资者应该预计将在几个月内保持这一多头头寸，而该股可能会尝试，首先升至17.5美元，然后升至20美元，从而带来超过30%的回报。</blockquote></p><p> However, investors who are concerned about large declines might also consider placing a stop-loss about 3-5% below their entry point.</p><p><blockquote>然而，担心大幅下跌的投资者也可以考虑在进场点以下约3-5%设置止损。</blockquote></p><p> Once the stock is firmly established around $20, it could then potentially make another move toward the record high $28.26. However, such an increase would possibly take several quarters.</p><p><blockquote>一旦该股站稳在20美元左右，它可能会再次向28.26美元的历史新高迈进。然而，这种增长可能需要几个季度的时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Sell A Cash-Secured Put Option On SOFI Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.出售SOFI股票的现金担保看跌期权</b></blockquote></p><p> Our second trade involves a cash-secured put strategy. We have recently covered this option in numerous articles. Here is one&nbsp;example.</p><p><blockquote>我们的第二笔交易涉及现金担保看跌策略。我们最近在许多文章中讨论了这个选项。这里有一个例子。</blockquote></p><p> Bullish SoFi Technologies stock traders could now sell a Dec. 17, 15-strike put option, which is currently being offered at $2.13.</p><p><blockquote>看涨SoFi Technologies股票交易者现在可以出售12月17日15行权的看跌期权，目前报价为2.13美元。</blockquote></p><p> Assuming traders would enter this put-selling strategy at the current price, the upside is keeping this premium of $213 as long as SOFI stock closes above $15, when the option expires. A total of $213 would be the maximum return for this trade (excluding trading costs and taxes).</p><p><blockquote>假设交易者以当前价格进入这种看跌卖出策略，那么只要期权到期时SOFI股票收盘价高于15美元，上涨空间就会保持213美元的溢价。这笔交易的最高回报为213美元（不包括交易成本和税收）。</blockquote></p><p> The downside is if SoFi Technologies stock trades below $15.00 ahead of expiration. Should that occur, traders could be assigned 100 shares for each sold put at a cost of $15.00 per share.</p><p><blockquote>不利的一面是，如果SoFi Technologies股票在到期前交易价格低于15.00美元。如果发生这种情况，交易者可以以每股15.00美元的价格为每卖出一份看跌期权分配100股。</blockquote></p><p> At expiry, this trade would break even at a stock price of $12.87 (i.e., $15-$2.13).</p><p><blockquote>到期时，该交易将以12.87美元（即15-2.13美元）的股价实现收支平衡。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Buy An ETF That Has SoFi Technologies As A Holding</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.购买持有SoFi Technologies的ETF</b></blockquote></p><p> Many readers are familiar with the fact that we regularly cover exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that might be suitable for buy-and-hold investors. Thus, readers who do not want to commit capital to SOFI stock but would still like to have exposure to the shares could consider researching a fund that holds the company.</p><p><blockquote>许多读者都熟悉这样一个事实，即我们定期报道可能适合买入并持有投资者的交易所交易基金(ETF)。因此，不想投入资金购买SOFI股票但仍希望投资该股票的读者可以考虑研究持有该公司的基金。</blockquote></p><p> However, since SoFi Technologies is a small and young company, it is not yet a leading holding in an ETF. This means such an investment would provide only a limited exposure to SOFI shares.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于SoFi Technologies是一家小型且年轻的公司，因此它还不是ETF中的领先持股。这意味着此类投资只能提供有限的SOFI股票敞口。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, examples of ETFs that have SOFI stock include:</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，拥有SOFI股票的ETF示例包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The De-SPAC ETF (NYSE:DSPC): This new fund is about flat since inception in May 2021. SOFI stock’s weighting is 3.85%;</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>De-SPAC ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DSPC）：这只新基金自2021年5月成立以来大致持平。SOFI股票的权重为3.85%；</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>JPMorgan BetaBuilders U.S. Small Cap Equity ETF (NYSE:BBSC): The fund is up 17.2% YTD, and SOFI stock’s weighting is 0.38%;</p><p><blockquote><li>摩根大通BetaBuilders美国小盘股ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BBSC）：该基金年初至今上涨17.2%，SOFI股票权重为0.38%；</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>First Trust US Equity Opportunities ETF (NYSE:FPX): The fund is up 10.9% YTD, and SOFI stock’s weighting is 0.29%.</p><p><blockquote><li>First Trust US Equity Opportunities ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：FPX）：该基金年初至今上涨10.9%，SOFI股票的权重为0.29%。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>4. Buy Shares In Another Fintech Company</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.购买另一家金融科技公司的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Potential investors who are interested in the fintech space, could consider investing in other names in the sector as well. Several names that could appeal to readers are (in alphabetical order):</p><p><blockquote>对金融科技领域感兴趣的潜在投资者也可以考虑投资该行业的其他公司。可能吸引读者的几个名字是（按字母顺序排列）：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Bill.com (NYSE:BILL): up 117.7% YTD;</li>  <li>Fiserv (NASDAQ:FISV): up 1.6% YTD;</li>  <li>Green Dot (NYSE:GDOT): down 1.8% YTD;</li>  <li>JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM): up 25.5% YTD;</li>  <li>Lemonade (NYSE:LMND): down 36.9% YTD;</li>  <li>Marqeta (NASDAQ:MQ): down 17.1% since going public in June;</li>  <li>MercadoLibre (NASDAQ:MELI): up 16.2% YTD;</li>  <li>PayPal: up 23.4% YTD;</li>  <li>Silvergate Capital (NYSE:SI): up 62.4% YTD;</li>  <li>Square: up 23.9% YTD;</li>  <li>StoneCo (NASDAQ:STNE): down 46.8% YTD;</li>  <li>Visa (NYSE:V): up 2.9% YTD.</li> </ul> As the returns above highlight, the fortunes of these companies have varied significantly in 2021. Therefore, potential investors would need to research them well before committing capital into the shares.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Bill.com（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BILL）：年初至今上涨117.7%；</li><li>Fiserv（纳斯达克：FISV）：年初至今上涨1.6%；</li><li>绿点（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GDOT）：年初至今下跌1.8%；</li><li>摩根大通（纽约证券交易所股票代码：JPM）：年初至今上涨25.5%；</li><li>柠檬水（纽约证券交易所股票代码：LMND）：年初至今下跌36.9%；</li><li>Marqeta（纳斯达克：MQ）：自6月上市以来下跌17.1%；</li><li>MercadoLibre（纳斯达克：MELI）：年初至今上涨16.2%；</li><li>PayPal：年初至今上涨23.4%；</li><li>Silvergate Capital（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SI）：年初至今上涨62.4%；</li><li>Square：年初至今上涨23.9%；</li><li>StoneCo（纳斯达克：STNE）：年初至今下跌46.8%；</li><li>Visa（纽约证券交易所股票代码：V）：年初至今上涨2.9%。</li></ul>正如上述回报所强调的那样，这些公司的命运在2021年差异很大。因此，潜在投资者在向股票投入资金之前需要对它们进行充分研究。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Since going public in early June, SOFI stock has been in the limelight. Although the record high share price of $28.26, which was seen in February before the the reverse-merger was completed, seems quite distant now, the company is likely to create better shareholder value in the months ahead. Meanwhile, the company could even find itself a takeover candidate.</p><p><blockquote>自6月初上市以来，SOFI股票一直备受关注。尽管反向合并完成前2月份创下的28.26美元的历史新高股价现在似乎还很遥远，但该公司可能会在未来几个月创造更好的股东价值。与此同时，该公司甚至可能发现自己是收购候选人。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investing.com/analysis/sofi-technologies-4-trades-to-get-in-on-fintechs-growth-200601028\">Investing.com</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOFI":"SoFi Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.investing.com/analysis/sofi-technologies-4-trades-to-get-in-on-fintechs-growth-200601028","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175895797","content_text":"SoFi Technologies has recently issued mixed Q2 metrics, which put pressure on the shares\nThe fintech group is growing its platform, product offerings and customer numbers\nWe’re optimistic on the long-term growth prospects of SOFI stock, which could move first toward $17.5 and then $20.0 in the coming weeks\n\nInvestors in financial technology (fintech) disruptor SoFi Technologies. (NASDAQ:SOFI) have had a volatile year so far in 2021. Year-to-date (YTD) SOFI stock is up close to 22%. However, since early June the stock has lost about 37% of its value.\nOur readers could well remember that SoFi Technologies went public through a reverse merger with Social Capital Hedosophia Corp, a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC). SOFI shares finished the day at $22.65. After trading between $20-$25 for several few weeks, the stock sold-off starting in early June.\n\nSOFI stock finished Sept. 3 at $15.16. We should also remind readers that on Feb. 1, prior to the closing of the reverse merger, the shares hit an all-time high of $28.26. The market capitalization of SoFi Technologies stands at $12.12 billion.\nInvestors debate whether now is a good time to invest in SOFI stock. We’re bullish on the long-term growth prospects of SoFi Technologies. Here’s why.\nLong-Term Tailwinds\nSoFi Technologies was founded in 2011 as a student loan refinancing business. Over the past decade, it has grown significantly to become a fintech disruptor. Its app enables consumers to manage, borrow, spend, save and invest money.\nFor instance, in May 2020, it acquired the payment software company Galileo Financial Technologies, which helps businesses develop payment, card, and digital banking products. Also in March of this year, management announced it had agreed tobuythe California-based community bank Golden Pacific Bancorp, and “The proposed acquisition is a key strategic step in SoFi's path to obtaining a national bank charter.”\nOn Aug. 12, SOFI issued Q2 financials. Revenue was $231.1 million, up 101% year-over-year (YOY).The company reports revenue in three segments:\n\nLending (still the driver of the top line with 71.9% share);\nFinancial Services (Q2 revenue was $17.0 million, compared to $2.4 million in Q2 2020);\nTechnology Platform (consists primarily of Galileo which has over the past year, increased its number of accounts, to nearly 79 million from 36 million).\n\nSOFI reported a $165.3 million net loss for Q2 2021, compared to net profit of $7.8 million a year earlier. However, adjusted EBITDA was $11.2 million and positive for the fourth consecutive quarter. It was also $35.0 million higher than Q2 2020.\nOn the results, CEO Anthony Noto commented:\n\n “We drove our 8th straight quarters of accelerating member growth, with even faster growth in cross-buying from existing members.”\n\nFor Q3 2021, management expects adjusted net revenue of $245-$255 million, which was lighter than what Wall Street was anticipating. SoFi Technologies also reiterated the full-year 2021 guidance of adjusted net revenue of $980 million and adjusted EBITDA of $27 million.\nA number of investors were not fully thrilled with Q2 results, and hit the ‘Sell’ button, pushing SOFI stock to $13.50. However, since then buyers have come in and moved the stock back to $15, a level that is acting as support.\nWhat To Expect From SOFI Stock\nSoFi Technologies is still a young company. Therefore on Investing.com, we have two analysts polled, both of whom have rated it a ‘buy.’ The shares have a 12-month price target of $26.50, implying a return of about 75% from current levels.\nThe stock’s P/B ratio stands at 2.86x. By comparison, the P/B ratios of fintech darlings PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) and Square (NYSE:SQ) are 16.25x and 45.93x, respectively\nInvestors who watch technical charts might be interested to know that anup movetoward the $17-$17.5 level is likely. In that case, SOFI stock would possibly hit resistance around $17.5 after which it could trade sideways as it establishes a new base.\nSource: Investing.com\nFinally, as part of the short-term sentiment analysis, it would be important to look at the implied volatility (IV) levels for SoFi Technologies options, which typically show traders the market's opinion of potential moves in a security. However, this metric does not forecast the direction of the move.\nSOFI’s current implied volatility is 59.7, which is lower than the 20-day moving average of 67.4. This metric means implied volatility is trending lower. Although the current IV level could change, for now, the market does not seem to expect extreme choppiness in the shares.\nAlthough our expectation is for the stock price to increase in the coming weeks, it is not likely to be a straight move higher. There could even be a further decline toward $14 before a new up leg starts. In case of such a decline, potential SoFi Technologies stock investors would then find better value in the stock.\n4 Possible Trades1. Buy SOFI Stock At Current Levels\nInvestors who are not concerned with daily moves in price and who believe in the long-term potential of the company could consider investing in SoFi Technologies shares now.\nOn Sept. 3, SOFI stock closed at $15.16. Buy-and-hold investors should expect to keep this long position for several months while the stock potentially makes an attempt, first toward $17.5 and then $20, leading to a return of over 30%.\nHowever, investors who are concerned about large declines might also consider placing a stop-loss about 3-5% below their entry point.\nOnce the stock is firmly established around $20, it could then potentially make another move toward the record high $28.26. However, such an increase would possibly take several quarters.\n2. Sell A Cash-Secured Put Option On SOFI Stock\nOur second trade involves a cash-secured put strategy. We have recently covered this option in numerous articles. Here is one example.\nBullish SoFi Technologies stock traders could now sell a Dec. 17, 15-strike put option, which is currently being offered at $2.13.\nAssuming traders would enter this put-selling strategy at the current price, the upside is keeping this premium of $213 as long as SOFI stock closes above $15, when the option expires. A total of $213 would be the maximum return for this trade (excluding trading costs and taxes).\nThe downside is if SoFi Technologies stock trades below $15.00 ahead of expiration. Should that occur, traders could be assigned 100 shares for each sold put at a cost of $15.00 per share.\nAt expiry, this trade would break even at a stock price of $12.87 (i.e., $15-$2.13).\n3. Buy An ETF That Has SoFi Technologies As A Holding\nMany readers are familiar with the fact that we regularly cover exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that might be suitable for buy-and-hold investors. Thus, readers who do not want to commit capital to SOFI stock but would still like to have exposure to the shares could consider researching a fund that holds the company.\nHowever, since SoFi Technologies is a small and young company, it is not yet a leading holding in an ETF. This means such an investment would provide only a limited exposure to SOFI shares.\nNonetheless, examples of ETFs that have SOFI stock include:\n\nThe De-SPAC ETF (NYSE:DSPC): This new fund is about flat since inception in May 2021. SOFI stock’s weighting is 3.85%;\nJPMorgan BetaBuilders U.S. Small Cap Equity ETF (NYSE:BBSC): The fund is up 17.2% YTD, and SOFI stock’s weighting is 0.38%;\nFirst Trust US Equity Opportunities ETF (NYSE:FPX): The fund is up 10.9% YTD, and SOFI stock’s weighting is 0.29%.\n\n4. Buy Shares In Another Fintech Company\nPotential investors who are interested in the fintech space, could consider investing in other names in the sector as well. Several names that could appeal to readers are (in alphabetical order):\n\nBill.com (NYSE:BILL): up 117.7% YTD;\nFiserv (NASDAQ:FISV): up 1.6% YTD;\nGreen Dot (NYSE:GDOT): down 1.8% YTD;\nJPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM): up 25.5% YTD;\nLemonade (NYSE:LMND): down 36.9% YTD;\nMarqeta (NASDAQ:MQ): down 17.1% since going public in June;\nMercadoLibre (NASDAQ:MELI): up 16.2% YTD;\nPayPal: up 23.4% YTD;\nSilvergate Capital (NYSE:SI): up 62.4% YTD;\nSquare: up 23.9% YTD;\nStoneCo (NASDAQ:STNE): down 46.8% YTD;\nVisa (NYSE:V): up 2.9% YTD.\n\nAs the returns above highlight, the fortunes of these companies have varied significantly in 2021. Therefore, potential investors would need to research them well before committing capital into the shares.\nBottom Line\nSince going public in early June, SOFI stock has been in the limelight. Although the record high share price of $28.26, which was seen in February before the the reverse-merger was completed, seems quite distant now, the company is likely to create better shareholder value in the months ahead. Meanwhile, the company could even find itself a takeover candidate.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SOFI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":435,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178406459,"gmtCreate":1626830181671,"gmtModify":1633770617308,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178406459","repostId":"2153924256","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":873637416,"gmtCreate":1636936538520,"gmtModify":1636936538586,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873637416","repostId":"1144767268","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820662491,"gmtCreate":1633391027448,"gmtModify":1633391027637,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820662491","repostId":"1143781634","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868756362,"gmtCreate":1632707293456,"gmtModify":1632798417830,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868756362","repostId":"2170648762","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":540,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":887345722,"gmtCreate":1631985342266,"gmtModify":1632804961837,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887345722","repostId":"1197410423","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814279472,"gmtCreate":1630833673496,"gmtModify":1631893998281,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814279472","repostId":"2164803413","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836757290,"gmtCreate":1629528871510,"gmtModify":1633684164258,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836757290","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151608193?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更容易预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&amp;Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更容易预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&amp;Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","SNPS":"新思科技","NVDA":"英伟达","GOOG":"谷歌","QCOM":"高通","CDNS":"铿腾电子","TSM":"台积电","GOOGL":"谷歌A","ON":"安森美半导体","ASML":"阿斯麦","AAPL":"苹果","SSNLF":"三星电子","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QCOM":0.9,"CDNS":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"ON":0.9,"SSNLF":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"ASML":0.9,"SNPS":0.9,"SOXX":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"GOOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830200185,"gmtCreate":1629073415547,"gmtModify":1633687658634,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830200185","repostId":"1129589874","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129589874","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629067868,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129589874?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 06:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia, Tencent,Walmart, Target and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>英伟达、腾讯控股、沃尔玛、塔吉特等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129589874","media":"Barrons","summary":"It’s the late innings of second-quarter earnings season, with retailers ready to step up to the plate. Walmart and Home Depot report on Tuesday, followed by Lowe’s, Target, and TJX on Wednesday. Kohl’s, Macy’s, BJ’s Wholesale, and L Brands are Thursday’s retail highlights, then Foot Locker closes the week on Friday.The Census Bureau’s July retail sales data for July is also out this week, on Tuesday. Economists on average are forecasting a 0.2% seasonally adjusted increase last month, after a 0.","content":"<p>It’s the late innings of second-quarter earnings season, with retailers ready to step up to the plate. Walmart and Home Depot report on Tuesday, followed by Lowe’s, Target, and TJX on Wednesday.&nbsp;Kohl’s, Macy’s, BJ’s Wholesale, and L Brands are Thursday’s retail highlights, then Foot Locker closes the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>现在是第二季度财报季的最后几局，零售商已准备好采取行动。沃尔玛和家得宝周二发布报告，劳氏、塔吉特和TJX周三紧随其后。美国柯尔百货公司、梅西百货、BJ批发和L品牌是周四的零售亮点，然后Foot Locker将于周五结束本周。</blockquote></p><p> The Census Bureau’s July retail sales data for July is also out this week, on Tuesday. Economists on average are forecasting a&nbsp;0.2% seasonally adjusted increase last month, after a 0.6% rise in June.</p><p><blockquote>人口普查局7月份零售销售数据也将于本周周二公布。经济学家平均预测，上个月经季节性调整后的增长率为0。</blockquote></p><p> Major non-retail companies releasing results this week include Pandora and&nbsp;Krispy Kreme&nbsp;on Tuesday, followed by a busy Wednesday:Nvidia,Tencent Holdings,CiscoSystems,Analog Devices,and&nbsp;Lumentum Holdings&nbsp;all report.Applied Materials&nbsp;goes on Thursday and Deere closes the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布业绩的主要非零售公司包括周二发布业绩的Pandora和Krispy Kreme，随后是繁忙的周三：Nvidia、腾讯控股控股公司、思科系统公司、Analog Devices和Lumentum Holdings均发布业绩。应用材料公司周四公布业绩，Deere公司本周收盘周五。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include several housing-market metrics:&nbsp;The National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August on Tuesday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction report for July on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括几项房地产市场指标：周二公布的全国住宅建筑商协会8月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数，以及周三公布的人口普查局7月份新住宅建设报告。</blockquote></p><p> Also on Wednesday, the&nbsp;Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee releases the minutes from its last meeting in late July. Then, the&nbsp;Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for July on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周三，美联储货币政策委员会公布了7月底上次会议的纪要。然后，世界大型企业联合会将于周四公布7月份领先经济指数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Tencent Music Entertainment Group,Tokyo Electron,and&nbsp;Clear Secure&nbsp;are among the companies holding earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股音乐娱乐集团、Tokyo Electron和Clear Secure等公司在评级举行财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;Bank of New York releases its Empire State Manufacturing Survey for August. The consensus estimate is for a 26.5 reading. That compares with a record high of 43.0 in July, when the general business conditions index rose 26 points.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>纽约银行发布八月份帝国州制造业调查。普遍估计读数为26.5。相比之下，7月份的历史新高为43.0，当时总体商业状况指数上涨了26点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/17</b></blockquote></p><p> BHP, Walmart, Home Depot,Agilent Technologies,Pandora, and Krispy Kreme are among the companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>必和必拓、沃尔玛、家得宝、安捷伦科技、Pandora和Krispy Kreme等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> America’s Car-Mart,Jack Henry &amp; Associates,and&nbsp;La-Z-Boy&nbsp;report financial results after the market closes and will hold earnings calls the following morning, Aug. 18.</p><p><blockquote>America's Car-Mart、Jack Henry&amp;Associates和La-Z-Boy在收盘后报告财务业绩，并将于第二天（8月18日）上午举行收益评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases capacity utilization in the industrial sector for July. Consensus calls for a 75.7% reading, little changed from June’s 75.4% reading. Industrial production is seen rising 0.5% from June’s 0.4% seasonally adjusted increase.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布7月工业部门产能利用率。评级共识为75.7%，与6月份的75.4%几乎没有变化。工业生产预计将比6月份经季节调整后的0.4%增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August. Economists forecast an 80 reading, the same as in July. The index is down from its all-time high of 90 set in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了8月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。经济学家预测读数为80，与7月份相同。该指数较11月份创下的历史高点90有所回落。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Federal Reserve Board</b>&nbsp;Chairman Jay Powell will host a virtual town hall with educators and students.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦储备委员会</b>主席杰伊·鲍威尔将与教育工作者和学生一起主持一个虚拟市政厅。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau reports</b>&nbsp;retail sales data for July. Expectations are for a 0.3% seasonally adjusted month-over-month decrease, following a 0.6% rise in June. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.2%, compared with a 1.3% rise in the previous month.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局报告</b>7月零售销售数据。继6月份上涨0.6%后，预计经季节调整后环比下降0.3%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.2%，而上个月为增长1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/18</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market</b>&nbsp;Committee releases the minutes from its late-July monetary-policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场</b>委员会公布了7月底货币政策会议的纪要。</blockquote></p><p> Cisco Systems, Lowe’s, Target, TJX, Tencent Holdings,Brinker International,Analog Devices,Synopsys,Lumentum Holdings, and Nvidia host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>思科系统、劳氏、塔吉特、TJX、腾讯控股控股、Brinker International、Analog Devices、Synopsys、Lumentum Holdings和Nvidia在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau’s</b>new residential construction report for July is expected to show the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts at 1.610 million, down from June’s 1.643 million. Housing starts hit a postpandemic peak of 1.73 million in March.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局的</b>7月份新住宅建设报告预计显示，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为161.0万套，低于6月份的164.3万套。3月份新屋开工量达到173万套的疫情后峰值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/19</b></blockquote></p><p> BJ’s Wholesale,<b>L Brands</b>, Applied Materials,Ross Stores,Estée Lauder,Kohl’s, Macy’s,Performance Food Group,Petco Health and Wellness,and Farfetch host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>BJ的批发，<b>L品牌</b>、Applied Materials、Ross Stores、雅诗兰黛、Kohl's、Macy's、Performance Food Group、Petco Health and Wellness和Farfetch将在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>releases its Leading Economic Index for July. The LEI is expected to increase 0.7% month over month, after gaining 0.7% in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布7月份领先经济指数。继6月份上涨0.7%后，LEI预计将环比上涨0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 8/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五8/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Deere and Foot Locker host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Deere和Foot Locker在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia, Tencent,Walmart, Target and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>英伟达、腾讯控股、沃尔玛、塔吉特等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia, Tencent,Walmart, Target and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>英伟达、腾讯控股、沃尔玛、塔吉特等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-16 06:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It’s the late innings of second-quarter earnings season, with retailers ready to step up to the plate. Walmart and Home Depot report on Tuesday, followed by Lowe’s, Target, and TJX on Wednesday.&nbsp;Kohl’s, Macy’s, BJ’s Wholesale, and L Brands are Thursday’s retail highlights, then Foot Locker closes the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>现在是第二季度财报季的最后几局，零售商已准备好采取行动。沃尔玛和家得宝周二发布报告，劳氏、塔吉特和TJX周三紧随其后。美国柯尔百货公司、梅西百货、BJ批发和L品牌是周四的零售亮点，然后Foot Locker将于周五结束本周。</blockquote></p><p> The Census Bureau’s July retail sales data for July is also out this week, on Tuesday. Economists on average are forecasting a&nbsp;0.2% seasonally adjusted increase last month, after a 0.6% rise in June.</p><p><blockquote>人口普查局7月份零售销售数据也将于本周周二公布。经济学家平均预测，上个月经季节性调整后的增长率为0。</blockquote></p><p> Major non-retail companies releasing results this week include Pandora and&nbsp;Krispy Kreme&nbsp;on Tuesday, followed by a busy Wednesday:Nvidia,Tencent Holdings,CiscoSystems,Analog Devices,and&nbsp;Lumentum Holdings&nbsp;all report.Applied Materials&nbsp;goes on Thursday and Deere closes the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布业绩的主要非零售公司包括周二发布业绩的Pandora和Krispy Kreme，随后是繁忙的周三：Nvidia、腾讯控股控股公司、思科系统公司、Analog Devices和Lumentum Holdings均发布业绩。应用材料公司周四公布业绩，Deere公司本周收盘周五。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include several housing-market metrics:&nbsp;The National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August on Tuesday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction report for July on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括几项房地产市场指标：周二公布的全国住宅建筑商协会8月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数，以及周三公布的人口普查局7月份新住宅建设报告。</blockquote></p><p> Also on Wednesday, the&nbsp;Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee releases the minutes from its last meeting in late July. Then, the&nbsp;Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for July on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周三，美联储货币政策委员会公布了7月底上次会议的纪要。然后，世界大型企业联合会将于周四公布7月份领先经济指数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Tencent Music Entertainment Group,Tokyo Electron,and&nbsp;Clear Secure&nbsp;are among the companies holding earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股音乐娱乐集团、Tokyo Electron和Clear Secure等公司在评级举行财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;Bank of New York releases its Empire State Manufacturing Survey for August. The consensus estimate is for a 26.5 reading. That compares with a record high of 43.0 in July, when the general business conditions index rose 26 points.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>纽约银行发布八月份帝国州制造业调查。普遍估计读数为26.5。相比之下，7月份的历史新高为43.0，当时总体商业状况指数上涨了26点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/17</b></blockquote></p><p> BHP, Walmart, Home Depot,Agilent Technologies,Pandora, and Krispy Kreme are among the companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>必和必拓、沃尔玛、家得宝、安捷伦科技、Pandora和Krispy Kreme等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> America’s Car-Mart,Jack Henry &amp; Associates,and&nbsp;La-Z-Boy&nbsp;report financial results after the market closes and will hold earnings calls the following morning, Aug. 18.</p><p><blockquote>America's Car-Mart、Jack Henry&amp;Associates和La-Z-Boy在收盘后报告财务业绩，并将于第二天（8月18日）上午举行收益评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases capacity utilization in the industrial sector for July. Consensus calls for a 75.7% reading, little changed from June’s 75.4% reading. Industrial production is seen rising 0.5% from June’s 0.4% seasonally adjusted increase.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布7月工业部门产能利用率。评级共识为75.7%，与6月份的75.4%几乎没有变化。工业生产预计将比6月份经季节调整后的0.4%增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August. Economists forecast an 80 reading, the same as in July. The index is down from its all-time high of 90 set in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了8月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。经济学家预测读数为80，与7月份相同。该指数较11月份创下的历史高点90有所回落。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Federal Reserve Board</b>&nbsp;Chairman Jay Powell will host a virtual town hall with educators and students.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦储备委员会</b>主席杰伊·鲍威尔将与教育工作者和学生一起主持一个虚拟市政厅。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau reports</b>&nbsp;retail sales data for July. Expectations are for a 0.3% seasonally adjusted month-over-month decrease, following a 0.6% rise in June. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.2%, compared with a 1.3% rise in the previous month.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局报告</b>7月零售销售数据。继6月份上涨0.6%后，预计经季节调整后环比下降0.3%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.2%，而上个月为增长1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/18</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market</b>&nbsp;Committee releases the minutes from its late-July monetary-policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场</b>委员会公布了7月底货币政策会议的纪要。</blockquote></p><p> Cisco Systems, Lowe’s, Target, TJX, Tencent Holdings,Brinker International,Analog Devices,Synopsys,Lumentum Holdings, and Nvidia host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>思科系统、劳氏、塔吉特、TJX、腾讯控股控股、Brinker International、Analog Devices、Synopsys、Lumentum Holdings和Nvidia在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau’s</b>new residential construction report for July is expected to show the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts at 1.610 million, down from June’s 1.643 million. Housing starts hit a postpandemic peak of 1.73 million in March.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局的</b>7月份新住宅建设报告预计显示，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为161.0万套，低于6月份的164.3万套。3月份新屋开工量达到173万套的疫情后峰值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/19</b></blockquote></p><p> BJ’s Wholesale,<b>L Brands</b>, Applied Materials,Ross Stores,Estée Lauder,Kohl’s, Macy’s,Performance Food Group,Petco Health and Wellness,and Farfetch host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>BJ的批发，<b>L品牌</b>、Applied Materials、Ross Stores、雅诗兰黛、Kohl's、Macy's、Performance Food Group、Petco Health and Wellness和Farfetch将在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>releases its Leading Economic Index for July. The LEI is expected to increase 0.7% month over month, after gaining 0.7% in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布7月份领先经济指数。继6月份上涨0.7%后，LEI预计将环比上涨0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 8/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五8/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Deere and Foot Locker host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Deere和Foot Locker在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-51629054047?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TME":"腾讯音乐",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","NVDA":"英伟达","TGT":"塔吉特",".DJI":"道琼斯","WMT":"沃尔玛"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-51629054047?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129589874","content_text":"It’s the late innings of second-quarter earnings season, with retailers ready to step up to the plate. Walmart and Home Depot report on Tuesday, followed by Lowe’s, Target, and TJX on Wednesday. Kohl’s, Macy’s, BJ’s Wholesale, and L Brands are Thursday’s retail highlights, then Foot Locker closes the week on Friday.\nThe Census Bureau’s July retail sales data for July is also out this week, on Tuesday. Economists on average are forecasting a 0.2% seasonally adjusted increase last month, after a 0.6% rise in June.\nMajor non-retail companies releasing results this week include Pandora and Krispy Kreme on Tuesday, followed by a busy Wednesday:Nvidia,Tencent Holdings,CiscoSystems,Analog Devices,and Lumentum Holdings all report.Applied Materials goes on Thursday and Deere closes the week on Friday.\nEconomic data out this week include several housing-market metrics: The National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August on Tuesday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction report for July on Wednesday.\nAlso on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee releases the minutes from its last meeting in late July. Then, the Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for July on Thursday.\nMonday 8/16\nTencent Music Entertainment Group,Tokyo Electron,and Clear Secure are among the companies holding earnings conference calls.\nThe Federal Reserve Bank of New York releases its Empire State Manufacturing Survey for August. The consensus estimate is for a 26.5 reading. That compares with a record high of 43.0 in July, when the general business conditions index rose 26 points.\nTuesday 8/17\nBHP, Walmart, Home Depot,Agilent Technologies,Pandora, and Krispy Kreme are among the companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nAmerica’s Car-Mart,Jack Henry & Associates,and La-Z-Boy report financial results after the market closes and will hold earnings calls the following morning, Aug. 18.\nThe Federal Reserve releases capacity utilization in the industrial sector for July. Consensus calls for a 75.7% reading, little changed from June’s 75.4% reading. Industrial production is seen rising 0.5% from June’s 0.4% seasonally adjusted increase.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August. Economists forecast an 80 reading, the same as in July. The index is down from its all-time high of 90 set in November.\nFederal Reserve Board Chairman Jay Powell will host a virtual town hall with educators and students.\nThe Census Bureau reports retail sales data for July. Expectations are for a 0.3% seasonally adjusted month-over-month decrease, following a 0.6% rise in June. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.2%, compared with a 1.3% rise in the previous month.\nWednesday 8/18\nThe Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes from its late-July monetary-policy meeting.\nCisco Systems, Lowe’s, Target, TJX, Tencent Holdings,Brinker International,Analog Devices,Synopsys,Lumentum Holdings, and Nvidia host earnings conference calls.\nThe Census Bureau’snew residential construction report for July is expected to show the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts at 1.610 million, down from June’s 1.643 million. Housing starts hit a postpandemic peak of 1.73 million in March.\nThursday 8/19\nBJ’s Wholesale,L Brands, Applied Materials,Ross Stores,Estée Lauder,Kohl’s, Macy’s,Performance Food Group,Petco Health and Wellness,and Farfetch host earnings conference calls.\nThe Conference Boardreleases its Leading Economic Index for July. The LEI is expected to increase 0.7% month over month, after gaining 0.7% in June.\nFriday 8/20\nDeere and Foot Locker host conference calls to discuss financial results.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TGT":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"TME":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"WMT":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803809084,"gmtCreate":1627430146048,"gmtModify":1633765136938,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803809084","repostId":"1130824999","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809048607,"gmtCreate":1627341948309,"gmtModify":1633766037639,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apple","listText":"Apple","text":"Apple","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809048607","repostId":"1100647798","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100647798","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627313442,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100647798?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Earnings Face High Expectations<blockquote>苹果盈利面临高预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100647798","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple  for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as we","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares go into report near all-time high.</li>  <li>Estimates surge after two massive beats.</li>  <li>Timing of product launches will shift revenue picture.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdd5b8fd99a0523d96bf052afd8c1b37\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"988\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股价接近历史新高。</li><li>两次大幅上涨后，预估值飙升。</li><li>产品发布的时间将改变收入状况。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple (AAPL) for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.</p><p><blockquote>周二盘后，我们将收到科技巨头苹果(AAPL)截至6月底的第三财季业绩。由于该公司前两个季度的收益报告超出了华尔街的预期，预期持续上升也就不足为奇了。随着最近几周股价上涨至历史新高，可能需要另一份强劲的报告来维持局面。</blockquote></p><p> For the first half of fiscal 2021, Apple's revenues have beaten street estimates by an average of $10.25 billion per quarter. The fiscal Q3&nbsp;current average estimate&nbsp;is $73.44 billion, which would represent growth of more than 23% from the year-ago period. It's quite impressive that the current average is up more than $13 billion over the past year. On the bottom line, the street is looking for $1.01, growth of more than 56%. In the table below, you can see some Q3 key financial items for the past two years, with the current estimates for this year's period in yellow. Dollar values are millions except per share amounts.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年上半年，苹果的收入平均每季度超出华尔街预期102.5亿美元。第三财季目前的平均预期为734.4亿美元，比去年同期增长23%以上。令人印象深刻的是，目前的平均水平在过去一年中增长了超过130亿美元。从底线来看，华尔街的目标是1.01美元，增长超过56%。在下表中，您可以看到过去两年第三季度的一些关键财务项目，今年同期的当前估计为黄色。除每股金额外，美元价值为数百万。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df8630a7ef0be70113aeac0d50265a57\" tg-width=\"476\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(*Numbers estimated based on last year's split. Actual numbers to come from the company. Source: Fiscal Q3 2020 report)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（*根据去年的拆分估算的数字。实际数字来自公司。资料来源：2020财年第三季度报告）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple is comingoff arguably&nbsp;its best quarter ever. Revenues for the iPhone were up more than 65.5% over the prior-year period, with the Mac up more than 70% and iPad up nearly 79%. Fiscal Q2 overall revenue growth was nearly 54%, so this time around we're looking for about 40% of that figure. Don't forget, on the&nbsp;Q2 conference call, management talked about a $3 billion to $4 billion revenue hit in the June period from supply constraints.</p><p><blockquote>苹果可以说是有史以来最好的季度。iPhone的收入同比增长超过65.5%，Mac增长超过70%，iPad增长近79%。第二财季整体收入增长近54%，因此这一次我们预计这一数字的40%左右。别忘了，在第二季度电话会议上，管理层谈到6月份期间供应限制导致收入损失30亿至40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> I'm most curious to see how the iPhone does this time around, as it appears that the 5G supercycle seems to be going pretty well. This year, however, most expectations are that the smartphone will return to its usual September launch period, meaning new phone revenues would be generated in fiscal Q4 again. Last year's coronavirus delayed launch meant sales didn't start until well into October and even November for some models, completely changing the sales trajectory for Apple's current fiscal year. This year's launch isn't expected to see a major upgrade to the phone line itself, so demand trends will probably be more dependent on how many consumers are upgrading to 5G rather than switching to iPhones.</p><p><blockquote>我最好奇的是这一次iPhone的表现如何，因为5G超级周期似乎进展顺利。然而，今年，大多数人预计智能手机将回到通常的9月发布期，这意味着新手机收入将在第四财季再次产生。去年的冠状病毒推迟了上市，这意味着某些车型直到10月甚至11月才开始销售，这完全改变了苹果本财年的销售轨迹。今年的发布预计不会对电话线本身进行重大升级，因此需求趋势可能更多地取决于有多少消费者升级到5G，而不是转向iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as well as soaring commodity prices. I don't think we will see a repeat of the 575 basis point increase in product gross margins that Q2 saw this time around, but the iPhone 12 line should still provide a nice year-over-year boost. In the long run, investors will look at growing services margins helping the gross margin percentage overall, but don't forget that the services side of the business has a lot of its expenses on the operating line.</p><p><blockquote>我相信分析师也将关注苹果如何应对芯片短缺和大宗商品价格飙升的问题。我认为我们不会看到第二季度产品毛利率增长575个基点的重演，但iPhone 12系列仍然应该会带来不错的同比增长。从长远来看，投资者将关注不断增长的服务利润率，以帮助提高整体毛利率，但不要忘记，业务的服务方面在运营方面有大量费用。</blockquote></p><p> For the stock to stay elevated, management is going to need to show that work from home and stimulus money tailwinds are still ongoing. As I discussed in&nbsp;a previous article, estimates call for Apple to see quarterly revenues decline for its March 2022 fiscal period, as the company laps very high previous year bars. While that might bring out some of the bears again, the long-term trajectory still seems positive. Current estimates call for $355 billion in total revenue during this fiscal year with Apple adding another $50 billion to that total over the next three years.</p><p><blockquote>为了使股价保持高位，管理层需要证明在家工作和刺激资金的顺风仍在持续。正如我在上一篇文章中讨论的那样，看涨期权预计苹果2022年3月财年的季度收入将下降，因为该公司去年的收入水平非常高。虽然这可能会再次引发一些空头，但长期轨迹似乎仍然是积极的。目前估计看涨期权本财年的总收入为3550亿美元，苹果将在未来三年内再增加500亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> I hope that management took advantage of the weakness in Apple shares during the quarter for its buyback. Even though the company is spending $20 billion or so every three months, that money doesn't go as far as $145 as it does at $125, obviously. Less shares repurchased means less of an earnings per share benefit, and lower long-term dividend raises. The good news is that Apple is on its way towards $100 billion a year in free cash flow, so investors don't need to worry about capital returns slowing down anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>我希望管理层利用本季度苹果股价疲软的机会进行回购。尽管该公司每三个月花费200亿美元左右，但这笔钱显然不会像125美元那样达到145美元。回购的股票越少意味着每股收益收益越少，长期股息提高也越低。好消息是，苹果的自由现金流即将达到每年1000亿美元，因此投资者无需担心资本回报会很快放缓。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The major issue for Apple right now is valuation. Shares finished last week trading at 33.4 times their trailing twelve-month earnings. That's basically double the mid-teens numbers from a couple of years ago, helped a lot by easy-money policies around the globe. My current price target of $162 is based on a 30X multiple of $5.40 in EPS for the September 2022 period. That number, however, assumes that the Fed and other central banks will remain fairly accommodative through most of next year. If we start to get a lot of tapering and or rate hikes earlier than expected, the overall market is likely to feel some pain, and I don't see how Apple would be immune from that.</p><p><blockquote>苹果目前的主要问题是估值。上周股价是过去12个月市盈率的33.4倍。这基本上是几年前青少年人数的两倍，这在很大程度上得益于全球宽松货币政策。我目前162美元的目标价是基于2022年9月期间每股收益5.40美元的30倍。然而，这个数字是假设美联储和其他央行在明年大部分时间里将保持相当宽松的政策。如果我们比预期更早地开始大量缩减和/或加息，整个市场可能会感到一些痛苦，我看不出苹果会如何免受此影响。</blockquote></p><p> A strong report from Apple could easily help shares to rise to a new all-time high. But just to play devil's advocate for a minute, what if there is a disappointment or a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" reaction? Well, shares are quite a bit above their key moving averages as seen in the chart below (50-day in purple, 200-day in orange). As long as Apple can hold the shorter-term trend line, that rising technical level should be one of support. The stock has been able to hold the long-term trend line for quite a while, so I don't see any more than about 14% downside in the near term unless we get a major market pullback.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的强劲报告很容易帮助股价升至历史新高。但只是为了唱反调一分钟，如果出现失望或“买入谣言，卖出新闻”的反应怎么办？嗯，股价远高于其关键移动平均线，如下图所示（紫色为50日，橙色为200日）。只要苹果能够守住短期趋势线，上涨的技术水平应该是支撑之一。该股已经能够在相当长一段时间内保持长期趋势线，因此我认为短期内的下跌幅度不会超过14%左右，除非市场出现重大回调。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc37ee144edb22fd36fcd15cf5fc3470\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"273\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Yahoo! Finance)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：雅虎财经）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the end, expectations for Apple are very high as earnings approach this week. Two massive quarterly beats have sent estimates through the roof, and the stock has recently run to a new all-time high. The market will be looking for signs that the iPhone supercycle has continued while work from home tailwinds have not subsided just yet. Investors hoping that this rally can continue will need to see a strong report, with management hopefully painting a bright sales picture for upcoming fall product launches.</p><p><blockquote>最后，随着本周财报的临近，人们对苹果的期望非常高。两个巨大的季度业绩超出了预期，该股最近创下了历史新高。市场将寻找iPhone超级周期仍在继续的迹象，而在家工作的顺风尚未消退。希望这种涨势能够持续下去的投资者需要看到一份强劲的报告，管理层希望为即将到来的秋季产品发布描绘一幅光明的销售图景。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Earnings Face High Expectations<blockquote>苹果盈利面临高预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Earnings Face High Expectations<blockquote>苹果盈利面临高预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-26 23:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares go into report near all-time high.</li>  <li>Estimates surge after two massive beats.</li>  <li>Timing of product launches will shift revenue picture.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdd5b8fd99a0523d96bf052afd8c1b37\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"988\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股价接近历史新高。</li><li>两次大幅上涨后，预估值飙升。</li><li>产品发布的时间将改变收入状况。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple (AAPL) for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.</p><p><blockquote>周二盘后，我们将收到科技巨头苹果(AAPL)截至6月底的第三财季业绩。由于该公司前两个季度的收益报告超出了华尔街的预期，预期持续上升也就不足为奇了。随着最近几周股价上涨至历史新高，可能需要另一份强劲的报告来维持局面。</blockquote></p><p> For the first half of fiscal 2021, Apple's revenues have beaten street estimates by an average of $10.25 billion per quarter. The fiscal Q3&nbsp;current average estimate&nbsp;is $73.44 billion, which would represent growth of more than 23% from the year-ago period. It's quite impressive that the current average is up more than $13 billion over the past year. On the bottom line, the street is looking for $1.01, growth of more than 56%. In the table below, you can see some Q3 key financial items for the past two years, with the current estimates for this year's period in yellow. Dollar values are millions except per share amounts.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年上半年，苹果的收入平均每季度超出华尔街预期102.5亿美元。第三财季目前的平均预期为734.4亿美元，比去年同期增长23%以上。令人印象深刻的是，目前的平均水平在过去一年中增长了超过130亿美元。从底线来看，华尔街的目标是1.01美元，增长超过56%。在下表中，您可以看到过去两年第三季度的一些关键财务项目，今年同期的当前估计为黄色。除每股金额外，美元价值为数百万。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df8630a7ef0be70113aeac0d50265a57\" tg-width=\"476\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(*Numbers estimated based on last year's split. Actual numbers to come from the company. Source: Fiscal Q3 2020 report)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（*根据去年的拆分估算的数字。实际数字来自公司。资料来源：2020财年第三季度报告）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple is comingoff arguably&nbsp;its best quarter ever. Revenues for the iPhone were up more than 65.5% over the prior-year period, with the Mac up more than 70% and iPad up nearly 79%. Fiscal Q2 overall revenue growth was nearly 54%, so this time around we're looking for about 40% of that figure. Don't forget, on the&nbsp;Q2 conference call, management talked about a $3 billion to $4 billion revenue hit in the June period from supply constraints.</p><p><blockquote>苹果可以说是有史以来最好的季度。iPhone的收入同比增长超过65.5%，Mac增长超过70%，iPad增长近79%。第二财季整体收入增长近54%，因此这一次我们预计这一数字的40%左右。别忘了，在第二季度电话会议上，管理层谈到6月份期间供应限制导致收入损失30亿至40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> I'm most curious to see how the iPhone does this time around, as it appears that the 5G supercycle seems to be going pretty well. This year, however, most expectations are that the smartphone will return to its usual September launch period, meaning new phone revenues would be generated in fiscal Q4 again. Last year's coronavirus delayed launch meant sales didn't start until well into October and even November for some models, completely changing the sales trajectory for Apple's current fiscal year. This year's launch isn't expected to see a major upgrade to the phone line itself, so demand trends will probably be more dependent on how many consumers are upgrading to 5G rather than switching to iPhones.</p><p><blockquote>我最好奇的是这一次iPhone的表现如何，因为5G超级周期似乎进展顺利。然而，今年，大多数人预计智能手机将回到通常的9月发布期，这意味着新手机收入将在第四财季再次产生。去年的冠状病毒推迟了上市，这意味着某些车型直到10月甚至11月才开始销售，这完全改变了苹果本财年的销售轨迹。今年的发布预计不会对电话线本身进行重大升级，因此需求趋势可能更多地取决于有多少消费者升级到5G，而不是转向iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as well as soaring commodity prices. I don't think we will see a repeat of the 575 basis point increase in product gross margins that Q2 saw this time around, but the iPhone 12 line should still provide a nice year-over-year boost. In the long run, investors will look at growing services margins helping the gross margin percentage overall, but don't forget that the services side of the business has a lot of its expenses on the operating line.</p><p><blockquote>我相信分析师也将关注苹果如何应对芯片短缺和大宗商品价格飙升的问题。我认为我们不会看到第二季度产品毛利率增长575个基点的重演，但iPhone 12系列仍然应该会带来不错的同比增长。从长远来看，投资者将关注不断增长的服务利润率，以帮助提高整体毛利率，但不要忘记，业务的服务方面在运营方面有大量费用。</blockquote></p><p> For the stock to stay elevated, management is going to need to show that work from home and stimulus money tailwinds are still ongoing. As I discussed in&nbsp;a previous article, estimates call for Apple to see quarterly revenues decline for its March 2022 fiscal period, as the company laps very high previous year bars. While that might bring out some of the bears again, the long-term trajectory still seems positive. Current estimates call for $355 billion in total revenue during this fiscal year with Apple adding another $50 billion to that total over the next three years.</p><p><blockquote>为了使股价保持高位，管理层需要证明在家工作和刺激资金的顺风仍在持续。正如我在上一篇文章中讨论的那样，看涨期权预计苹果2022年3月财年的季度收入将下降，因为该公司去年的收入水平非常高。虽然这可能会再次引发一些空头，但长期轨迹似乎仍然是积极的。目前估计看涨期权本财年的总收入为3550亿美元，苹果将在未来三年内再增加500亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> I hope that management took advantage of the weakness in Apple shares during the quarter for its buyback. Even though the company is spending $20 billion or so every three months, that money doesn't go as far as $145 as it does at $125, obviously. Less shares repurchased means less of an earnings per share benefit, and lower long-term dividend raises. The good news is that Apple is on its way towards $100 billion a year in free cash flow, so investors don't need to worry about capital returns slowing down anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>我希望管理层利用本季度苹果股价疲软的机会进行回购。尽管该公司每三个月花费200亿美元左右，但这笔钱显然不会像125美元那样达到145美元。回购的股票越少意味着每股收益收益越少，长期股息提高也越低。好消息是，苹果的自由现金流即将达到每年1000亿美元，因此投资者无需担心资本回报会很快放缓。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The major issue for Apple right now is valuation. Shares finished last week trading at 33.4 times their trailing twelve-month earnings. That's basically double the mid-teens numbers from a couple of years ago, helped a lot by easy-money policies around the globe. My current price target of $162 is based on a 30X multiple of $5.40 in EPS for the September 2022 period. That number, however, assumes that the Fed and other central banks will remain fairly accommodative through most of next year. If we start to get a lot of tapering and or rate hikes earlier than expected, the overall market is likely to feel some pain, and I don't see how Apple would be immune from that.</p><p><blockquote>苹果目前的主要问题是估值。上周股价是过去12个月市盈率的33.4倍。这基本上是几年前青少年人数的两倍，这在很大程度上得益于全球宽松货币政策。我目前162美元的目标价是基于2022年9月期间每股收益5.40美元的30倍。然而，这个数字是假设美联储和其他央行在明年大部分时间里将保持相当宽松的政策。如果我们比预期更早地开始大量缩减和/或加息，整个市场可能会感到一些痛苦，我看不出苹果会如何免受此影响。</blockquote></p><p> A strong report from Apple could easily help shares to rise to a new all-time high. But just to play devil's advocate for a minute, what if there is a disappointment or a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" reaction? Well, shares are quite a bit above their key moving averages as seen in the chart below (50-day in purple, 200-day in orange). As long as Apple can hold the shorter-term trend line, that rising technical level should be one of support. The stock has been able to hold the long-term trend line for quite a while, so I don't see any more than about 14% downside in the near term unless we get a major market pullback.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的强劲报告很容易帮助股价升至历史新高。但只是为了唱反调一分钟，如果出现失望或“买入谣言，卖出新闻”的反应怎么办？嗯，股价远高于其关键移动平均线，如下图所示（紫色为50日，橙色为200日）。只要苹果能够守住短期趋势线，上涨的技术水平应该是支撑之一。该股已经能够在相当长一段时间内保持长期趋势线，因此我认为短期内的下跌幅度不会超过14%左右，除非市场出现重大回调。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc37ee144edb22fd36fcd15cf5fc3470\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"273\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Yahoo! Finance)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：雅虎财经）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the end, expectations for Apple are very high as earnings approach this week. Two massive quarterly beats have sent estimates through the roof, and the stock has recently run to a new all-time high. The market will be looking for signs that the iPhone supercycle has continued while work from home tailwinds have not subsided just yet. Investors hoping that this rally can continue will need to see a strong report, with management hopefully painting a bright sales picture for upcoming fall product launches.</p><p><blockquote>最后，随着本周财报的临近，人们对苹果的期望非常高。两个巨大的季度业绩超出了预期，该股最近创下了历史新高。市场将寻找iPhone超级周期仍在继续的迹象，而在家工作的顺风尚未消退。希望这种涨势能够持续下去的投资者需要看到一份强劲的报告，管理层希望为即将到来的秋季产品发布描绘一幅光明的销售图景。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441375-apple-earnings-face-high-expectations\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441375-apple-earnings-face-high-expectations","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100647798","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares go into report near all-time high.\nEstimates surge after two massive beats.\nTiming of product launches will shift revenue picture.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAfter the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple (AAPL) for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.\nFor the first half of fiscal 2021, Apple's revenues have beaten street estimates by an average of $10.25 billion per quarter. The fiscal Q3 current average estimate is $73.44 billion, which would represent growth of more than 23% from the year-ago period. It's quite impressive that the current average is up more than $13 billion over the past year. On the bottom line, the street is looking for $1.01, growth of more than 56%. In the table below, you can see some Q3 key financial items for the past two years, with the current estimates for this year's period in yellow. Dollar values are millions except per share amounts.\n(*Numbers estimated based on last year's split. Actual numbers to come from the company. Source: Fiscal Q3 2020 report)\nApple is comingoff arguably its best quarter ever. Revenues for the iPhone were up more than 65.5% over the prior-year period, with the Mac up more than 70% and iPad up nearly 79%. Fiscal Q2 overall revenue growth was nearly 54%, so this time around we're looking for about 40% of that figure. Don't forget, on the Q2 conference call, management talked about a $3 billion to $4 billion revenue hit in the June period from supply constraints.\nI'm most curious to see how the iPhone does this time around, as it appears that the 5G supercycle seems to be going pretty well. This year, however, most expectations are that the smartphone will return to its usual September launch period, meaning new phone revenues would be generated in fiscal Q4 again. Last year's coronavirus delayed launch meant sales didn't start until well into October and even November for some models, completely changing the sales trajectory for Apple's current fiscal year. This year's launch isn't expected to see a major upgrade to the phone line itself, so demand trends will probably be more dependent on how many consumers are upgrading to 5G rather than switching to iPhones.\nI'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as well as soaring commodity prices. I don't think we will see a repeat of the 575 basis point increase in product gross margins that Q2 saw this time around, but the iPhone 12 line should still provide a nice year-over-year boost. In the long run, investors will look at growing services margins helping the gross margin percentage overall, but don't forget that the services side of the business has a lot of its expenses on the operating line.\nFor the stock to stay elevated, management is going to need to show that work from home and stimulus money tailwinds are still ongoing. As I discussed in a previous article, estimates call for Apple to see quarterly revenues decline for its March 2022 fiscal period, as the company laps very high previous year bars. While that might bring out some of the bears again, the long-term trajectory still seems positive. Current estimates call for $355 billion in total revenue during this fiscal year with Apple adding another $50 billion to that total over the next three years.\nI hope that management took advantage of the weakness in Apple shares during the quarter for its buyback. Even though the company is spending $20 billion or so every three months, that money doesn't go as far as $145 as it does at $125, obviously. Less shares repurchased means less of an earnings per share benefit, and lower long-term dividend raises. The good news is that Apple is on its way towards $100 billion a year in free cash flow, so investors don't need to worry about capital returns slowing down anytime soon.\nThe major issue for Apple right now is valuation. Shares finished last week trading at 33.4 times their trailing twelve-month earnings. That's basically double the mid-teens numbers from a couple of years ago, helped a lot by easy-money policies around the globe. My current price target of $162 is based on a 30X multiple of $5.40 in EPS for the September 2022 period. That number, however, assumes that the Fed and other central banks will remain fairly accommodative through most of next year. If we start to get a lot of tapering and or rate hikes earlier than expected, the overall market is likely to feel some pain, and I don't see how Apple would be immune from that.\nA strong report from Apple could easily help shares to rise to a new all-time high. But just to play devil's advocate for a minute, what if there is a disappointment or a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" reaction? Well, shares are quite a bit above their key moving averages as seen in the chart below (50-day in purple, 200-day in orange). As long as Apple can hold the shorter-term trend line, that rising technical level should be one of support. The stock has been able to hold the long-term trend line for quite a while, so I don't see any more than about 14% downside in the near term unless we get a major market pullback.\n(Source: Yahoo! Finance)\nIn the end, expectations for Apple are very high as earnings approach this week. Two massive quarterly beats have sent estimates through the roof, and the stock has recently run to a new all-time high. The market will be looking for signs that the iPhone supercycle has continued while work from home tailwinds have not subsided just yet. Investors hoping that this rally can continue will need to see a strong report, with management hopefully painting a bright sales picture for upcoming fall product launches.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":668,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175365114,"gmtCreate":1627007889138,"gmtModify":1633768820890,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up up up","listText":"Up up up","text":"Up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175365114","repostId":"1164478982","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":427,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148174185,"gmtCreate":1625964404047,"gmtModify":1633931372840,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news","listText":"Good news","text":"Good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148174185","repostId":"1185154176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185154176","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625886925,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185154176?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185154176","media":"marketwatch","summary":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support. When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit n","content":"<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p><p><blockquote>经济蓬勃发展，盈利上升，美联储给予前所未有的支持</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（豪尔赫·格雷罗/法新社，盖蒂图片社摄）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p><p><blockquote>当股市抛售时，就像周四一样，正确的做法是购买你最喜欢的股票。周五的市场走势证明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于标普500指数今年已经大幅上涨17%，确实可能会出现回调。但你也应该买。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p><p><blockquote>由于这六个原因，我们仍处于股市三到五年牛市的早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.有巨大的被压抑的需求</b></blockquote></p><p> Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都在向美联储寻求有关刺激的线索。他们忽视了将推高股市的私营部门力量。总而言之，被压抑的私营部门需求将有助于推动美国今年的GDP增长达到8%，并在此后几年达到3.5%-4.5%。Leuthold Group首席策略师兼经济学家吉姆·保尔森指出，被压抑的需求来自以下来源。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p><p><blockquote>首先，随着千禧一代进入家庭年，家庭组建激增。这有助于解释家庭需求的大幅上升。一旦你买了房子，你就必须用东西填满它。更多的消费者需求即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>在幕后，消费者有大量未用完的储蓄，因为他们为疫情做好了准备。个人储蓄率接近GDP的16%，而战后的平均水平为6.5%。之前的高点是20世纪70年代的10%。</blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是，家庭资产负债表显著改善。债务收入比是20世纪90年代以来的最低水平。消费者将继续利用更多的银行贷款和信用卡容量，因为就业和经济保持强劲，他们的信心增强。</blockquote></p><p> Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，一旦额外的失业救济金在9月份到期，将会有更多的新就业人口。这意味着消费者信心将会提高，这必然会促进经济增长。劳动参与率还有提高的空间，在我们达到可以限制经济增长的充分就业之前，留下了闲置的就业能力。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看企业被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p><p><blockquote>你知道你经常遇到或听说的所有短缺的东西吗？这就是为什么会发生这种情况。为了应对长期的疫情，企业大幅削减库存。这是有史以来最大的库存清理。但现在，企业不得不重建库存。正在进行的库存重建将是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p><p><blockquote>公司也削减了产能，并再次扩大产能。资本货物支出在过去二十年的大部分时间里基本持平，去年飙升至历史新高，增长了近23%。这创造了持续的增长，它告诉我们很多关于商业信心的信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b>：我们今年将看到7%-8%的GDP增长，明年将达到4%-4.5%，之后将高于平均水平的增长，支持股市持续牛市。期待一路上的正常修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.被低估的盈利繁荣即将到来</b></blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹发生得如此之快，分析师们跟不上。分析师预计标普500今年的每股收益为190美元。但考虑到预期的7%-8%的GDP增长和尚未生效的大规模刺激措施，这一数字低得可怜。刺激通常需要六到八个月才能生效，最近的很多刺激都发生在这个窗口内。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预计，2021年标普500的盈利将更接近220美元，而不是普遍预期的190美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森表示：“分析师仍然低估了利润的改善程度以及将会改善多少。”“我们从政策官员那里得到了戏剧性的过度反应。他们解决了崩溃的问题，但在基本面上创造了巨大的改善。这在利润复苏方面仍在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>此外，更多的财政刺激可能即将以基础设施支出的形式出现。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.城里有一个新的美联储</b></blockquote></p><p> For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p><p><blockquote>在过去三十年的大部分时间里，美联储一直在迅速收紧政策以抵御通胀。在此过程中，央行扼杀了经济增长。这就是过去20年是战后经济增长最慢的原因之一。然而现在，美联储更加宽松，这种情况可能会持续下去，因为通胀将保持低迷（更多内容见下文）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个简单的衡量标准来衡量这一点。以GDP增长减去10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y，1.359%。该指标在1980年至2010年的大部分时间里都为负值，当时美联储保持增长降温以遏制通胀。但现在，美联储的政策正在帮助将10年期国债收益率保持在远低于GDP增长的水平，从而使经济过热。这就是1950-1965年的情况，一些分析家将其看涨期权为“资本主义的黄金时代”，因为增长的下滑路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀不会杀死公牛</b></blockquote></p><p> Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济如此火爆，通胀短期内可能会上升。但从中期来看，通胀杀手将获胜。这是一个综述。人口老龄化，老年人消费减少。企业资本支出的繁荣将继续提高企业的生产率。这使他们能够避免将上升的成本转嫁给客户。全球贸易和竞争并没有消失。这给价格带来了下行压力，因为在许多外国可以更便宜地制造商品。持续的技术进步不断给科技产品带来下行压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五、估值将改善</b></blockquote></p><p> We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在正处于经济反弹的阶段，通常会出现以下动态。股市连续几个月横盘整理，主要是因为对通胀和债券收益率上升的担忧。与此同时，经济和盈利持续增长，压低了股票估值。在1983-84年、1993-94年、2004-05年和2009-10年的经济反弹中，这种动态大约在这一点上发挥了作用。简而言之，我们将看到盈利大幅飙升，而股市则标志着时间的到来，甚至是回调。</blockquote></p><p> This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p><p><blockquote>这将降低股票估值，消除投资者的主要担忧之一——高估值。如果标普500的盈利在年底达到220美元，并且该指数因回调而达到4,000至4,100点，那么股票的市盈率将达到18-19倍，低于1990年以来的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA(+1.30%)和罗素2000小盘股指数已经横盘整理了两到四个月。标普500和纳斯达克最近突破了交易区间，但更大的回调将使它们重新进入横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.情绪并不极端</b></blockquote></p><p> As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名逆向投资者，我将过度情绪视为是时候筹集一些现金的迹象。我们还没有看到这一点。一个简单的衡量标准是投资者情报牛熊比率。最近的价格是3.92。那是在警告路径附近，对我来说从4点开始。另一方面，共同基金现金最近为4.6万亿美元，接近历史高位。这代表了投资者的谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Three themes to follow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵循三个主题</b></blockquote></p><p> If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们即将迎来持续的经济复苏和股市多年牛市，那么遵循这三个主题是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐周期性股票。</b>继续投资对经济敏感的企业，并在回调时增持这些企业。这意味着金融、材料、工业和非必需消费品业务等领域的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p><p><blockquote><b>避免防御。</b>如果您想要收益，请选择支付股息但具有资本增值潜力的股票，而不是销售消费品等稳定增长的公司。关于这个主题，在我的股票信Brush Up on Stocks（链接在下面的简介中）中，我最近建议或重申了零售业的家得宝、市场和投资银行名称B.Riley Financial以及消费者金融领域的区域管理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐新兴市场。</b>在扩张期间，它们的增长率往往更高。小心中国。它的人口正在老龄化。劳动力增长有限可能会限制经济增长。另一个挑战是，持续的美中紧张局势以及持续关税和贸易壁垒的相关威胁导致全球公司将供应链转移到其他地方。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p><p><blockquote>经济蓬勃发展，盈利上升，美联储给予前所未有的支持</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（豪尔赫·格雷罗/法新社，盖蒂图片社摄）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p><p><blockquote>当股市抛售时，就像周四一样，正确的做法是购买你最喜欢的股票。周五的市场走势证明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于标普500指数今年已经大幅上涨17%，确实可能会出现回调。但你也应该买。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p><p><blockquote>由于这六个原因，我们仍处于股市三到五年牛市的早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.有巨大的被压抑的需求</b></blockquote></p><p> Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都在向美联储寻求有关刺激的线索。他们忽视了将推高股市的私营部门力量。总而言之，被压抑的私营部门需求将有助于推动美国今年的GDP增长达到8%，并在此后几年达到3.5%-4.5%。Leuthold Group首席策略师兼经济学家吉姆·保尔森指出，被压抑的需求来自以下来源。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p><p><blockquote>首先，随着千禧一代进入家庭年，家庭组建激增。这有助于解释家庭需求的大幅上升。一旦你买了房子，你就必须用东西填满它。更多的消费者需求即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>在幕后，消费者有大量未用完的储蓄，因为他们为疫情做好了准备。个人储蓄率接近GDP的16%，而战后的平均水平为6.5%。之前的高点是20世纪70年代的10%。</blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是，家庭资产负债表显著改善。债务收入比是20世纪90年代以来的最低水平。消费者将继续利用更多的银行贷款和信用卡容量，因为就业和经济保持强劲，他们的信心增强。</blockquote></p><p> Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，一旦额外的失业救济金在9月份到期，将会有更多的新就业人口。这意味着消费者信心将会提高，这必然会促进经济增长。劳动参与率还有提高的空间，在我们达到可以限制经济增长的充分就业之前，留下了闲置的就业能力。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看企业被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p><p><blockquote>你知道你经常遇到或听说的所有短缺的东西吗？这就是为什么会发生这种情况。为了应对长期的疫情，企业大幅削减库存。这是有史以来最大的库存清理。但现在，企业不得不重建库存。正在进行的库存重建将是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p><p><blockquote>公司也削减了产能，并再次扩大产能。资本货物支出在过去二十年的大部分时间里基本持平，去年飙升至历史新高，增长了近23%。这创造了持续的增长，它告诉我们很多关于商业信心的信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b>：我们今年将看到7%-8%的GDP增长，明年将达到4%-4.5%，之后将高于平均水平的增长，支持股市持续牛市。期待一路上的正常修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.被低估的盈利繁荣即将到来</b></blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹发生得如此之快，分析师们跟不上。分析师预计标普500今年的每股收益为190美元。但考虑到预期的7%-8%的GDP增长和尚未生效的大规模刺激措施，这一数字低得可怜。刺激通常需要六到八个月才能生效，最近的很多刺激都发生在这个窗口内。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预计，2021年标普500的盈利将更接近220美元，而不是普遍预期的190美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森表示：“分析师仍然低估了利润的改善程度以及将会改善多少。”“我们从政策官员那里得到了戏剧性的过度反应。他们解决了崩溃的问题，但在基本面上创造了巨大的改善。这在利润复苏方面仍在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>此外，更多的财政刺激可能即将以基础设施支出的形式出现。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.城里有一个新的美联储</b></blockquote></p><p> For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p><p><blockquote>在过去三十年的大部分时间里，美联储一直在迅速收紧政策以抵御通胀。在此过程中，央行扼杀了经济增长。这就是过去20年是战后经济增长最慢的原因之一。然而现在，美联储更加宽松，这种情况可能会持续下去，因为通胀将保持低迷（更多内容见下文）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个简单的衡量标准来衡量这一点。以GDP增长减去10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y，1.359%。该指标在1980年至2010年的大部分时间里都为负值，当时美联储保持增长降温以遏制通胀。但现在，美联储的政策正在帮助将10年期国债收益率保持在远低于GDP增长的水平，从而使经济过热。这就是1950-1965年的情况，一些分析家将其看涨期权为“资本主义的黄金时代”，因为增长的下滑路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀不会杀死公牛</b></blockquote></p><p> Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济如此火爆，通胀短期内可能会上升。但从中期来看，通胀杀手将获胜。这是一个综述。人口老龄化，老年人消费减少。企业资本支出的繁荣将继续提高企业的生产率。这使他们能够避免将上升的成本转嫁给客户。全球贸易和竞争并没有消失。这给价格带来了下行压力，因为在许多外国可以更便宜地制造商品。持续的技术进步不断给科技产品带来下行压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五、估值将改善</b></blockquote></p><p> We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在正处于经济反弹的阶段，通常会出现以下动态。股市连续几个月横盘整理，主要是因为对通胀和债券收益率上升的担忧。与此同时，经济和盈利持续增长，压低了股票估值。在1983-84年、1993-94年、2004-05年和2009-10年的经济反弹中，这种动态大约在这一点上发挥了作用。简而言之，我们将看到盈利大幅飙升，而股市则标志着时间的到来，甚至是回调。</blockquote></p><p> This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p><p><blockquote>这将降低股票估值，消除投资者的主要担忧之一——高估值。如果标普500的盈利在年底达到220美元，并且该指数因回调而达到4,000至4,100点，那么股票的市盈率将达到18-19倍，低于1990年以来的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA(+1.30%)和罗素2000小盘股指数已经横盘整理了两到四个月。标普500和纳斯达克最近突破了交易区间，但更大的回调将使它们重新进入横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.情绪并不极端</b></blockquote></p><p> As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名逆向投资者，我将过度情绪视为是时候筹集一些现金的迹象。我们还没有看到这一点。一个简单的衡量标准是投资者情报牛熊比率。最近的价格是3.92。那是在警告路径附近，对我来说从4点开始。另一方面，共同基金现金最近为4.6万亿美元，接近历史高位。这代表了投资者的谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Three themes to follow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵循三个主题</b></blockquote></p><p> If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们即将迎来持续的经济复苏和股市多年牛市，那么遵循这三个主题是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐周期性股票。</b>继续投资对经济敏感的企业，并在回调时增持这些企业。这意味着金融、材料、工业和非必需消费品业务等领域的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p><p><blockquote><b>避免防御。</b>如果您想要收益，请选择支付股息但具有资本增值潜力的股票，而不是销售消费品等稳定增长的公司。关于这个主题，在我的股票信Brush Up on Stocks（链接在下面的简介中）中，我最近建议或重申了零售业的家得宝、市场和投资银行名称B.Riley Financial以及消费者金融领域的区域管理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐新兴市场。</b>在扩张期间，它们的增长率往往更高。小心中国。它的人口正在老龄化。劳动力增长有限可能会限制经济增长。另一个挑战是，持续的美中紧张局势以及持续关税和贸易壁垒的相关威胁导致全球公司将供应链转移到其他地方。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185154176","content_text":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support\n(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)\nWhen the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.\nIt’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&P 500 Index this year. But you should buy then, too.\nHere’s why.\nWe are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.\n1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand\nEveryone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.\nFirst, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.\nBehind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.\nRelatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.\nNext, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.\nNow let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.\nYou know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.\nCompanies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.\nThe bottom line: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.\n2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead\nThe economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.\nPaulsen expects 2021 S&P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.\n“Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”\nPlus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.\n3. There’s a new Fed in town\nFor much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).\nHere’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.\n4. Inflation won’t kill the bull\nInflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.\n5. Valuations will improve\nWe’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.\nThis will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.\nTrue to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000 small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.\n6. Sentiment isn’t extreme\nAs a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.\nThree themes to follow\nIf we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.\nFavor cyclicals.Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.\nAvoid defensives.If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management in consumer finance.\nFavor emerging markets.Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154404384,"gmtCreate":1625537125648,"gmtModify":1631884081984,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"41e183","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088412711170620","authorIdStr":"4088412711170620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"New boss , new view","listText":"New boss , new view","text":"New boss , new view","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154404384","repostId":"1157317474","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}