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Jamesyong
2021-07-16
power
抱歉，原内容已删除
Jamesyong
2021-07-16
power
One Bank's Non-Transitory Inflation Meter Just Exploded<blockquote>一家银行的非暂时性通胀指标刚刚爆炸</blockquote>
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This is the second quarter that the index turned expansionary.</p><p><blockquote>最新的华侨银行中小企业指数第二季度上升8.3点至59.5，而第一季度为41.2。这是该指数第二个季度转为扩张。</blockquote></p><p> In a statement, OCBC said that collections across the 100,000 SMEs represented in its index grew 6% quarter on quarter, driven by improved cross-border trade with Greater China and the ASEAN.</p><p><blockquote>华侨银行在一份声明中表示，在与大中华区和东盟跨境贸易改善的推动下，其指数中10万家中小企业的收款环比增长了6%。</blockquote></p><p> This offset the continued drag from Food and Beverage and Business Services sectors, which were greatly affected by the restrictions implemented during the Phase 2 (Heightened Alert) period.</p><p><blockquote>这抵消了食品和饮料以及商业服务部门的持续拖累，这些部门受到第二阶段（高度戒备）期间实施的限制措施的极大影响。</blockquote></p><p> “The promising recovery in SMEs over the past year was supported by a rapid shift towards digitalisation and e-commerce. SMEs are also better poised to emerge from the crisis, building on the strength of Singapore as a growing hub in the post-pandemic time for the services industry, the changing supply chains and the emerging green economy,” said Linus Goh, head of Global Commercial Banking for OCBC Bank.</p><p><blockquote>“过去一年中小企业充满希望的复苏得益于向数字化和电子商务的快速转变。中小企业也有更好的准备摆脱危机，利用新加坡作为大流行后不断增长的中心的实力，华侨银行全球商业银行业务主管Linus Goh表示：“服务业、不断变化的供应链和新兴的绿色经济。”</blockquote></p><p> The continued demand for medical equipment and the vaccine rollout led to a strong performance from the healthcare manufacturing sub-industry, whose index score rose to 50.0 from the 48.1 recorded in the previous quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对医疗设备的持续需求和疫苗的推出导致医疗保健制造子行业表现强劲，其指数得分从上一季度的48.1升至50.0。</blockquote></p><p> The ICT services sub-index benefited from the demand for digitalisation, with the data processing and software development sector recording a 22% quarter-on-quarter growth in revenue collections.</p><p><blockquote>ICT服务分类指数受益于数字化需求，数据处理和软件开发行业的收入按季度增长22%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1618986048053","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SMEs post sharp recovery in the second quarter<blockquote>中小企业在第二季度大幅复苏</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSMEs post sharp recovery in the second quarter<blockquote>中小企业在第二季度大幅复苏</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Singapore Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-16 09:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> <b><i>The OCBC SME Index shoots by 8.3 points to 59.5 as small and medium-sized enterprises gain momentum.</i></b> Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) were resilient in the second quarter amidst the pandemic and the Heightened Alert measures.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>随着中小企业发展势头增强，华侨银行中小企业指数飙升8.3点至59.5。</i></b>在疫情和加强警戒措施的情况下，中小企业在第二季度表现出了弹性。</blockquote></p><p> The latest OCBC SME Index saw an 8.3 point rise to 59.5 for the second quarter, compared to the 41.2 from the first quarter. This is the second quarter that the index turned expansionary.</p><p><blockquote>最新的华侨银行中小企业指数第二季度上升8.3点至59.5，而第一季度为41.2。这是该指数第二个季度转为扩张。</blockquote></p><p> In a statement, OCBC said that collections across the 100,000 SMEs represented in its index grew 6% quarter on quarter, driven by improved cross-border trade with Greater China and the ASEAN.</p><p><blockquote>华侨银行在一份声明中表示，在与大中华区和东盟跨境贸易改善的推动下，其指数中10万家中小企业的收款环比增长了6%。</blockquote></p><p> This offset the continued drag from Food and Beverage and Business Services sectors, which were greatly affected by the restrictions implemented during the Phase 2 (Heightened Alert) period.</p><p><blockquote>这抵消了食品和饮料以及商业服务部门的持续拖累，这些部门受到第二阶段（高度戒备）期间实施的限制措施的极大影响。</blockquote></p><p> “The promising recovery in SMEs over the past year was supported by a rapid shift towards digitalisation and e-commerce. SMEs are also better poised to emerge from the crisis, building on the strength of Singapore as a growing hub in the post-pandemic time for the services industry, the changing supply chains and the emerging green economy,” said Linus Goh, head of Global Commercial Banking for OCBC Bank.</p><p><blockquote>“过去一年中小企业充满希望的复苏得益于向数字化和电子商务的快速转变。中小企业也有更好的准备摆脱危机，利用新加坡作为大流行后不断增长的中心的实力，华侨银行全球商业银行业务主管Linus Goh表示：“服务业、不断变化的供应链和新兴的绿色经济。”</blockquote></p><p> The continued demand for medical equipment and the vaccine rollout led to a strong performance from the healthcare manufacturing sub-industry, whose index score rose to 50.0 from the 48.1 recorded in the previous quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对医疗设备的持续需求和疫苗的推出导致医疗保健制造子行业表现强劲，其指数得分从上一季度的48.1升至50.0。</blockquote></p><p> The ICT services sub-index benefited from the demand for digitalisation, with the data processing and software development sector recording a 22% quarter-on-quarter growth in revenue collections.</p><p><blockquote>ICT服务分类指数受益于数字化需求，数据处理和软件开发行业的收入按季度增长22%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://sbr.com.sg/in-focus/smes-post-sharp-recovery-in-second-quarter\">Singapore Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://sbr.com.sg/in-focus/smes-post-sharp-recovery-in-second-quarter","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140693508","content_text":"The OCBC SME Index shoots by 8.3 points to 59.5 as small and medium-sized enterprises gain momentum.\n\nSmall and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) were resilient in the second quarter amidst the pandemic and the Heightened Alert measures.\nThe latest OCBC SME Index saw an 8.3 point rise to 59.5 for the second quarter, compared to the 41.2 from the first quarter. This is the second quarter that the index turned expansionary.\nIn a statement, OCBC said that collections across the 100,000 SMEs represented in its index grew 6% quarter on quarter, driven by improved cross-border trade with Greater China and the ASEAN.\nThis offset the continued drag from Food and Beverage and Business Services sectors, which were greatly affected by the restrictions implemented during the Phase 2 (Heightened Alert) period.\n“The promising recovery in SMEs over the past year was supported by a rapid shift towards digitalisation and e-commerce. SMEs are also better poised to emerge from the crisis, building on the strength of Singapore as a growing hub in the post-pandemic time for the services industry, the changing supply chains and the emerging green economy,” said Linus Goh, head of Global Commercial Banking for OCBC Bank.\nThe continued demand for medical equipment and the vaccine rollout led to a strong performance from the healthcare manufacturing sub-industry, whose index score rose to 50.0 from the 48.1 recorded in the previous quarter.\nThe ICT services sub-index benefited from the demand for digitalisation, with the data processing and software development sector recording a 22% quarter-on-quarter growth in revenue collections.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1899,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170977768,"gmtCreate":1626402104854,"gmtModify":1633927067560,"author":{"id":"4088920533402850","authorId":"4088920533402850","name":"Jamesyong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ab908c8d5f51b90e7fefc693291bd17","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088920533402850","idStr":"4088920533402850"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"power","listText":"power","text":"power","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170977768","repostId":"1122107992","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122107992","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626400291,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122107992?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"One Bank's Non-Transitory Inflation Meter Just Exploded<blockquote>一家银行的非暂时性通胀指标刚刚爆炸</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122107992","media":"zerohedge","summary":"One month ago we reported that Bank of America had released a new proprietary indicator tracking the","content":"<p>One month ago we reported that Bank of America had released a new proprietary indicator tracking the level of transitory inflation, which incidentally was at the highest possible reading of 100.</p><p><blockquote>一个月前，我们报道了美国银行发布了一个新的专有指标来跟踪暂时性通胀水平，顺便提一下，该指标的最高读数为100。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff143ecaa5048b85057495194244af83\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Of course, since then it's only gotten worse and the June CPI report released earlier this week revealed another explosion in transitory price pressures. Used cars, new cars, lodging, and transportation services together accounted for 70bp of the 88bp increase in broader core CPI as discussed previously. As a result, core CPI surged 0.9% mom in June: these components primarily reflected the price pressures from goods shortages and the reopening. To no surprise, the BofA US transitory inflation meter (TIM) remained at 100 this month, because it simply couldn't rise any further.</p><p><blockquote>当然，自那以后情况只会变得更糟，本周早些时候发布的6月份消费者物价指数报告显示，暂时性价格压力再次爆发。如前所述，二手车、新车、住宿和交通服务合计占更广泛核心CPI上涨88个基点的70个基点。因此，6月份核心CPI环比飙升0.9%：这些组成部分主要反映了商品短缺和重新开放带来的价格压力。毫不奇怪，美国银行美国暂时性通胀指标(TIM)本月保持在100，因为它根本无法进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But while the transitory strength in inflation took the spotlight, another development in the June CPI report - which we had discussedextensively before- was a strong 0.32% increase in owners’ equivalent rent (OER) which is a far stickier source of inflation and whichGoldman sees hitting 4% around the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>不过，尽管通胀的暂时走强引起了人们的关注，但6月份CPI报告中的另一项进展（我们之前已经广泛讨论过）是业主等值租金(OER)强劲增长0.32%，这是通胀的粘性更大的来源，高盛预计到2022年底将达到4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29e8197cd3b3f73d48338d5b01164364\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"604\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In other words, persistent inflation looks to be rising sharply as well.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，持续的通胀看起来也在急剧上升。</blockquote></p><p> This, as Bank of America economist Alex Lin writes today, highlights the importance of being able to track persistent inflation while keeping transitory inflation in perspective.</p><p><blockquote>正如美国银行经济学家亚历克斯·林(Alex Lin)今天所写的那样，这凸显了能够跟踪持续通胀同时正确看待暂时性通胀的重要性。</blockquote></p><p> So to get a more complete picture of current inflation dynamics, BofA has revised its transitory inflation meter with the BofA US Persistent Inflation Meter (PIM), and here, a shock:<b>it soared to 75 in June from 37 in May, indicating elevated</b><b><u>persistent</u></b><b>, as in non-transitory, inflation.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了更全面地了解当前的通胀动态，美国银行通过美国银行美国持续通胀表（PIM）修订了其暂时性通胀表，这里令人震惊：<b>从5月份的37飙升至6月份的75，表明</b><b><u>持续存在的</u></b><b>如非暂时性通货膨胀。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc907b44c17cb542b759a78f8c15f76d\" tg-width=\"713\" tg-height=\"438\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This confirms that contrary to its best wishes, the Fed already has a major headache on its hands. Furthermore, as Deutsche Bank pointed out earlier this week,<b>Wall Street consensus inflation expectations for 2022 are already well above 2%,</b>which is impossible if inflation is transitory and if there is going to be a deflationary phase after the current burst in transitory inflation ends.</p><p><blockquote>这证实，与其最美好的愿望相反，美联储已经有了一个令人头疼的问题。此外，正如德意志银行本周早些时候指出的那样，<b>华尔街对2022年的普遍通胀预期已经远高于2%，</b>如果通胀是暂时性的，并且在当前暂时性通胀爆发结束后将出现通缩阶段，这是不可能的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92086971b86a9511afb50387980e3995\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"448\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In other words, the Fed is again wrong and sooner or later, 10Y yields which continue to pretend that everything is fine, will face a day of very painful reckoning.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，美联储又错了，继续假装一切都很好的10年期国债迟早将面临非常痛苦的清算日。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>One Bank's Non-Transitory Inflation Meter Just Exploded<blockquote>一家银行的非暂时性通胀指标刚刚爆炸</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOne Bank's Non-Transitory Inflation Meter Just Exploded<blockquote>一家银行的非暂时性通胀指标刚刚爆炸</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-16 09:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>One month ago we reported that Bank of America had released a new proprietary indicator tracking the level of transitory inflation, which incidentally was at the highest possible reading of 100.</p><p><blockquote>一个月前，我们报道了美国银行发布了一个新的专有指标来跟踪暂时性通胀水平，顺便提一下，该指标的最高读数为100。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff143ecaa5048b85057495194244af83\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Of course, since then it's only gotten worse and the June CPI report released earlier this week revealed another explosion in transitory price pressures. Used cars, new cars, lodging, and transportation services together accounted for 70bp of the 88bp increase in broader core CPI as discussed previously. As a result, core CPI surged 0.9% mom in June: these components primarily reflected the price pressures from goods shortages and the reopening. To no surprise, the BofA US transitory inflation meter (TIM) remained at 100 this month, because it simply couldn't rise any further.</p><p><blockquote>当然，自那以后情况只会变得更糟，本周早些时候发布的6月份消费者物价指数报告显示，暂时性价格压力再次爆发。如前所述，二手车、新车、住宿和交通服务合计占更广泛核心CPI上涨88个基点的70个基点。因此，6月份核心CPI环比飙升0.9%：这些组成部分主要反映了商品短缺和重新开放带来的价格压力。毫不奇怪，美国银行美国暂时性通胀指标(TIM)本月保持在100，因为它根本无法进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But while the transitory strength in inflation took the spotlight, another development in the June CPI report - which we had discussedextensively before- was a strong 0.32% increase in owners’ equivalent rent (OER) which is a far stickier source of inflation and whichGoldman sees hitting 4% around the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>不过，尽管通胀的暂时走强引起了人们的关注，但6月份CPI报告中的另一项进展（我们之前已经广泛讨论过）是业主等值租金(OER)强劲增长0.32%，这是通胀的粘性更大的来源，高盛预计到2022年底将达到4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29e8197cd3b3f73d48338d5b01164364\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"604\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In other words, persistent inflation looks to be rising sharply as well.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，持续的通胀看起来也在急剧上升。</blockquote></p><p> This, as Bank of America economist Alex Lin writes today, highlights the importance of being able to track persistent inflation while keeping transitory inflation in perspective.</p><p><blockquote>正如美国银行经济学家亚历克斯·林(Alex Lin)今天所写的那样，这凸显了能够跟踪持续通胀同时正确看待暂时性通胀的重要性。</blockquote></p><p> So to get a more complete picture of current inflation dynamics, BofA has revised its transitory inflation meter with the BofA US Persistent Inflation Meter (PIM), and here, a shock:<b>it soared to 75 in June from 37 in May, indicating elevated</b><b><u>persistent</u></b><b>, as in non-transitory, inflation.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了更全面地了解当前的通胀动态，美国银行通过美国银行美国持续通胀表（PIM）修订了其暂时性通胀表，这里令人震惊：<b>从5月份的37飙升至6月份的75，表明</b><b><u>持续存在的</u></b><b>如非暂时性通货膨胀。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc907b44c17cb542b759a78f8c15f76d\" tg-width=\"713\" tg-height=\"438\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This confirms that contrary to its best wishes, the Fed already has a major headache on its hands. Furthermore, as Deutsche Bank pointed out earlier this week,<b>Wall Street consensus inflation expectations for 2022 are already well above 2%,</b>which is impossible if inflation is transitory and if there is going to be a deflationary phase after the current burst in transitory inflation ends.</p><p><blockquote>这证实，与其最美好的愿望相反，美联储已经有了一个令人头疼的问题。此外，正如德意志银行本周早些时候指出的那样，<b>华尔街对2022年的普遍通胀预期已经远高于2%，</b>如果通胀是暂时性的，并且在当前暂时性通胀爆发结束后将出现通缩阶段，这是不可能的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92086971b86a9511afb50387980e3995\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"448\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In other words, the Fed is again wrong and sooner or later, 10Y yields which continue to pretend that everything is fine, will face a day of very painful reckoning.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，美联储又错了，继续假装一切都很好的10年期国债迟早将面临非常痛苦的清算日。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/one-banks-non-transitory-inflation-meter-just-exploded\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BAC":"美国银行"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/one-banks-non-transitory-inflation-meter-just-exploded","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122107992","content_text":"One month ago we reported that Bank of America had released a new proprietary indicator tracking the level of transitory inflation, which incidentally was at the highest possible reading of 100.\n\nOf course, since then it's only gotten worse and the June CPI report released earlier this week revealed another explosion in transitory price pressures. Used cars, new cars, lodging, and transportation services together accounted for 70bp of the 88bp increase in broader core CPI as discussed previously. As a result, core CPI surged 0.9% mom in June: these components primarily reflected the price pressures from goods shortages and the reopening. To no surprise, the BofA US transitory inflation meter (TIM) remained at 100 this month, because it simply couldn't rise any further.\nBut while the transitory strength in inflation took the spotlight, another development in the June CPI report - which we had discussedextensively before- was a strong 0.32% increase in owners’ equivalent rent (OER) which is a far stickier source of inflation and whichGoldman sees hitting 4% around the end of 2022.\n\nIn other words, persistent inflation looks to be rising sharply as well.\nThis, as Bank of America economist Alex Lin writes today, highlights the importance of being able to track persistent inflation while keeping transitory inflation in perspective.\nSo to get a more complete picture of current inflation dynamics, BofA has revised its transitory inflation meter with the BofA US Persistent Inflation Meter (PIM), and here, a shock:it soared to 75 in June from 37 in May, indicating elevatedpersistent, as in non-transitory, inflation.\n\nThis confirms that contrary to its best wishes, the Fed already has a major headache on its hands. Furthermore, as Deutsche Bank pointed out earlier this week,Wall Street consensus inflation expectations for 2022 are already well above 2%,which is impossible if inflation is transitory and if there is going to be a deflationary phase after the current burst in transitory inflation ends.\n\nIn other words, the Fed is again wrong and sooner or later, 10Y yields which continue to pretend that everything is fine, will face a day of very painful reckoning.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"BAC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":170301033,"gmtCreate":1626402207122,"gmtModify":1633927065251,"author":{"id":"4088920533402850","authorId":"4088920533402850","name":"Jamesyong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ab908c8d5f51b90e7fefc693291bd17","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088920533402850","authorIdStr":"4088920533402850"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"power","listText":"power","text":"power","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170301033","repostId":"1140693508","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1899,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170977768,"gmtCreate":1626402104854,"gmtModify":1633927067560,"author":{"id":"4088920533402850","authorId":"4088920533402850","name":"Jamesyong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ab908c8d5f51b90e7fefc693291bd17","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088920533402850","authorIdStr":"4088920533402850"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"power","listText":"power","text":"power","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170977768","repostId":"1122107992","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122107992","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626400291,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122107992?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 09:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"One Bank's Non-Transitory Inflation Meter Just Exploded<blockquote>一家银行的非暂时性通胀指标刚刚爆炸</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122107992","media":"zerohedge","summary":"One month ago we reported that Bank of America had released a new proprietary indicator tracking the","content":"<p>One month ago we reported that Bank of America had released a new proprietary indicator tracking the level of transitory inflation, which incidentally was at the highest possible reading of 100.</p><p><blockquote>一个月前，我们报道了美国银行发布了一个新的专有指标来跟踪暂时性通胀水平，顺便提一下，该指标的最高读数为100。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff143ecaa5048b85057495194244af83\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Of course, since then it's only gotten worse and the June CPI report released earlier this week revealed another explosion in transitory price pressures. Used cars, new cars, lodging, and transportation services together accounted for 70bp of the 88bp increase in broader core CPI as discussed previously. As a result, core CPI surged 0.9% mom in June: these components primarily reflected the price pressures from goods shortages and the reopening. To no surprise, the BofA US transitory inflation meter (TIM) remained at 100 this month, because it simply couldn't rise any further.</p><p><blockquote>当然，自那以后情况只会变得更糟，本周早些时候发布的6月份消费者物价指数报告显示，暂时性价格压力再次爆发。如前所述，二手车、新车、住宿和交通服务合计占更广泛核心CPI上涨88个基点的70个基点。因此，6月份核心CPI环比飙升0.9%：这些组成部分主要反映了商品短缺和重新开放带来的价格压力。毫不奇怪，美国银行美国暂时性通胀指标(TIM)本月保持在100，因为它根本无法进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But while the transitory strength in inflation took the spotlight, another development in the June CPI report - which we had discussedextensively before- was a strong 0.32% increase in owners’ equivalent rent (OER) which is a far stickier source of inflation and whichGoldman sees hitting 4% around the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>不过，尽管通胀的暂时走强引起了人们的关注，但6月份CPI报告中的另一项进展（我们之前已经广泛讨论过）是业主等值租金(OER)强劲增长0.32%，这是通胀的粘性更大的来源，高盛预计到2022年底将达到4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29e8197cd3b3f73d48338d5b01164364\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"604\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In other words, persistent inflation looks to be rising sharply as well.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，持续的通胀看起来也在急剧上升。</blockquote></p><p> This, as Bank of America economist Alex Lin writes today, highlights the importance of being able to track persistent inflation while keeping transitory inflation in perspective.</p><p><blockquote>正如美国银行经济学家亚历克斯·林(Alex Lin)今天所写的那样，这凸显了能够跟踪持续通胀同时正确看待暂时性通胀的重要性。</blockquote></p><p> So to get a more complete picture of current inflation dynamics, BofA has revised its transitory inflation meter with the BofA US Persistent Inflation Meter (PIM), and here, a shock:<b>it soared to 75 in June from 37 in May, indicating elevated</b><b><u>persistent</u></b><b>, as in non-transitory, inflation.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了更全面地了解当前的通胀动态，美国银行通过美国银行美国持续通胀表（PIM）修订了其暂时性通胀表，这里令人震惊：<b>从5月份的37飙升至6月份的75，表明</b><b><u>持续存在的</u></b><b>如非暂时性通货膨胀。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc907b44c17cb542b759a78f8c15f76d\" tg-width=\"713\" tg-height=\"438\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This confirms that contrary to its best wishes, the Fed already has a major headache on its hands. Furthermore, as Deutsche Bank pointed out earlier this week,<b>Wall Street consensus inflation expectations for 2022 are already well above 2%,</b>which is impossible if inflation is transitory and if there is going to be a deflationary phase after the current burst in transitory inflation ends.</p><p><blockquote>这证实，与其最美好的愿望相反，美联储已经有了一个令人头疼的问题。此外，正如德意志银行本周早些时候指出的那样，<b>华尔街对2022年的普遍通胀预期已经远高于2%，</b>如果通胀是暂时性的，并且在当前暂时性通胀爆发结束后将出现通缩阶段，这是不可能的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92086971b86a9511afb50387980e3995\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"448\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In other words, the Fed is again wrong and sooner or later, 10Y yields which continue to pretend that everything is fine, will face a day of very painful reckoning.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，美联储又错了，继续假装一切都很好的10年期国债迟早将面临非常痛苦的清算日。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>One Bank's Non-Transitory Inflation Meter Just Exploded<blockquote>一家银行的非暂时性通胀指标刚刚爆炸</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOne Bank's Non-Transitory Inflation Meter Just Exploded<blockquote>一家银行的非暂时性通胀指标刚刚爆炸</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-16 09:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>One month ago we reported that Bank of America had released a new proprietary indicator tracking the level of transitory inflation, which incidentally was at the highest possible reading of 100.</p><p><blockquote>一个月前，我们报道了美国银行发布了一个新的专有指标来跟踪暂时性通胀水平，顺便提一下，该指标的最高读数为100。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff143ecaa5048b85057495194244af83\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Of course, since then it's only gotten worse and the June CPI report released earlier this week revealed another explosion in transitory price pressures. Used cars, new cars, lodging, and transportation services together accounted for 70bp of the 88bp increase in broader core CPI as discussed previously. As a result, core CPI surged 0.9% mom in June: these components primarily reflected the price pressures from goods shortages and the reopening. To no surprise, the BofA US transitory inflation meter (TIM) remained at 100 this month, because it simply couldn't rise any further.</p><p><blockquote>当然，自那以后情况只会变得更糟，本周早些时候发布的6月份消费者物价指数报告显示，暂时性价格压力再次爆发。如前所述，二手车、新车、住宿和交通服务合计占更广泛核心CPI上涨88个基点的70个基点。因此，6月份核心CPI环比飙升0.9%：这些组成部分主要反映了商品短缺和重新开放带来的价格压力。毫不奇怪，美国银行美国暂时性通胀指标(TIM)本月保持在100，因为它根本无法进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But while the transitory strength in inflation took the spotlight, another development in the June CPI report - which we had discussedextensively before- was a strong 0.32% increase in owners’ equivalent rent (OER) which is a far stickier source of inflation and whichGoldman sees hitting 4% around the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>不过，尽管通胀的暂时走强引起了人们的关注，但6月份CPI报告中的另一项进展（我们之前已经广泛讨论过）是业主等值租金(OER)强劲增长0.32%，这是通胀的粘性更大的来源，高盛预计到2022年底将达到4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29e8197cd3b3f73d48338d5b01164364\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"604\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In other words, persistent inflation looks to be rising sharply as well.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，持续的通胀看起来也在急剧上升。</blockquote></p><p> This, as Bank of America economist Alex Lin writes today, highlights the importance of being able to track persistent inflation while keeping transitory inflation in perspective.</p><p><blockquote>正如美国银行经济学家亚历克斯·林(Alex Lin)今天所写的那样，这凸显了能够跟踪持续通胀同时正确看待暂时性通胀的重要性。</blockquote></p><p> So to get a more complete picture of current inflation dynamics, BofA has revised its transitory inflation meter with the BofA US Persistent Inflation Meter (PIM), and here, a shock:<b>it soared to 75 in June from 37 in May, indicating elevated</b><b><u>persistent</u></b><b>, as in non-transitory, inflation.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了更全面地了解当前的通胀动态，美国银行通过美国银行美国持续通胀表（PIM）修订了其暂时性通胀表，这里令人震惊：<b>从5月份的37飙升至6月份的75，表明</b><b><u>持续存在的</u></b><b>如非暂时性通货膨胀。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc907b44c17cb542b759a78f8c15f76d\" tg-width=\"713\" tg-height=\"438\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This confirms that contrary to its best wishes, the Fed already has a major headache on its hands. Furthermore, as Deutsche Bank pointed out earlier this week,<b>Wall Street consensus inflation expectations for 2022 are already well above 2%,</b>which is impossible if inflation is transitory and if there is going to be a deflationary phase after the current burst in transitory inflation ends.</p><p><blockquote>这证实，与其最美好的愿望相反，美联储已经有了一个令人头疼的问题。此外，正如德意志银行本周早些时候指出的那样，<b>华尔街对2022年的普遍通胀预期已经远高于2%，</b>如果通胀是暂时性的，并且在当前暂时性通胀爆发结束后将出现通缩阶段，这是不可能的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92086971b86a9511afb50387980e3995\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"448\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In other words, the Fed is again wrong and sooner or later, 10Y yields which continue to pretend that everything is fine, will face a day of very painful reckoning.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，美联储又错了，继续假装一切都很好的10年期国债迟早将面临非常痛苦的清算日。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/one-banks-non-transitory-inflation-meter-just-exploded\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BAC":"美国银行"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/one-banks-non-transitory-inflation-meter-just-exploded","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122107992","content_text":"One month ago we reported that Bank of America had released a new proprietary indicator tracking the level of transitory inflation, which incidentally was at the highest possible reading of 100.\n\nOf course, since then it's only gotten worse and the June CPI report released earlier this week revealed another explosion in transitory price pressures. Used cars, new cars, lodging, and transportation services together accounted for 70bp of the 88bp increase in broader core CPI as discussed previously. As a result, core CPI surged 0.9% mom in June: these components primarily reflected the price pressures from goods shortages and the reopening. To no surprise, the BofA US transitory inflation meter (TIM) remained at 100 this month, because it simply couldn't rise any further.\nBut while the transitory strength in inflation took the spotlight, another development in the June CPI report - which we had discussedextensively before- was a strong 0.32% increase in owners’ equivalent rent (OER) which is a far stickier source of inflation and whichGoldman sees hitting 4% around the end of 2022.\n\nIn other words, persistent inflation looks to be rising sharply as well.\nThis, as Bank of America economist Alex Lin writes today, highlights the importance of being able to track persistent inflation while keeping transitory inflation in perspective.\nSo to get a more complete picture of current inflation dynamics, BofA has revised its transitory inflation meter with the BofA US Persistent Inflation Meter (PIM), and here, a shock:it soared to 75 in June from 37 in May, indicating elevatedpersistent, as in non-transitory, inflation.\n\nThis confirms that contrary to its best wishes, the Fed already has a major headache on its hands. Furthermore, as Deutsche Bank pointed out earlier this week,Wall Street consensus inflation expectations for 2022 are already well above 2%,which is impossible if inflation is transitory and if there is going to be a deflationary phase after the current burst in transitory inflation ends.\n\nIn other words, the Fed is again wrong and sooner or later, 10Y yields which continue to pretend that everything is fine, will face a day of very painful reckoning.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"BAC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
