WarisHeng的个人主页 - 老虎社区

WarisHeng

WarisHeng

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

238关注

9粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-10-04

ok

Credit Suisse offices searched amid Greensill probe<blockquote>瑞士信贷办公室在格林希尔调查中遭到搜查</blockquote>

2021-11-03

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-03

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-02

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-16

Ok

U.S. stocks close lower on worries over recovery, corporate tax hikes<blockquote>美国股市因对复苏和企业增税的担忧而收低</blockquote>

2021-08-09

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-12-06

Ok

Game Stop, Toll Brothers, Costco, CVS, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Game Stop、Toll Brothers、Costco、CVS和其他本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>

2021-11-25

Ok

Big Tech still looks underowned, Morgan Stanley sees in active/passive holdings probe<blockquote>摩根士丹利在主动/被动持股调查中发现，大型科技公司的持股量仍然不足</blockquote>

2021-11-09

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-25

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-18

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-07

Ok

Here are 10 'high conviction' stocks of companies with strong pricing power and at least 20% upside potential to UBS targets<blockquote>以下是10只“高度确信”的公司股票，它们具有强大的定价能力，比瑞银目标至少有20%的上涨潜力</blockquote>

2021-11-28

Ok

3 Leading Software-as-a-Service Stocks to Buy in 2021 and Beyond<blockquote>2021年及以后值得买入的3只领先软件即服务股票</blockquote>

2021-10-31

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-20

Ok

What actually happened during GameStop mania?<blockquote>游戏驿站狂热期间到底发生了什么？</blockquote>

2021-10-17

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-23

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-09

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-16

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-28

Ok

4 Ways Hertz Is Creating Value For Tesla<blockquote>赫兹为特斯拉创造价值的4种方式</blockquote>

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"4089459519603980","uuid":"4089459519603980","gmtCreate":1626357490709,"gmtModify":1626446647494,"name":"WarisHeng","pinyin":"warisheng","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":9,"headSize":238,"tweetSize":165,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.12.27","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.11.30","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-1","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"精英交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到30次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.05.10","exceedPercentage":"60.82%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":693259094,"gmtCreate":1640043589995,"gmtModify":1640043590121,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693259094","repostId":"2193761136","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4307,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693070156,"gmtCreate":1639955001473,"gmtModify":1639955001642,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693070156","repostId":"2192708619","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2192708619","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1639954209,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2192708619?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 06:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood says stocks have corrected into 'deep value territory' and won't let benchmarks 'hold our strategies hostage'<blockquote>凯西·伍德表示，股市已修正至“深度价值区域”，不会让基准“挟持我们的策略”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2192708619","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood offered the latest defense of the once-highflying, disruptive innovat","content":"<p>ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood offered the latest defense of the once-highflying, disruptive innovation strategies that had made her suite of exchange-traded funds among the most popular, and best-performing, on Wall Street in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>ARK Invest创始人凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)为曾经雄心勃勃的颠覆性创新战略进行了最新辩护，这些战略使她的交易所交易基金套件成为2020年华尔街最受欢迎、表现最好的基金之一。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e17c2568a6dc81e7e3573ede78dcfb0\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Patrick T. Fallon/AFP/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>帕特里克·T·法伦/法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In a Friday evening blog post, Wood said that despite a brutal stretch that has compelled the operators of the ARK Invest ETFs, including the flagship Ark Innovation&nbsp;fund, to do some soul-searching, the fund manager is sticking to her game plan.</p><p><blockquote>伍德在周五晚上的一篇博客文章中表示，尽管经历了残酷的考验，迫使包括旗舰方舟创新基金在内的方舟投资ETF的运营商进行了一些自我反省，但这位基金经理仍坚持她的游戏计划。</blockquote></p><p>   “‘With a five-year investment time horizon, our forecasts for these platforms suggest that our strategies today could deliver a 30-40% compound annual rate of return during the next five years.’”  “We won’t let benchmarks and tracking errors hold our strategies hostage to the existing world order,” Wood wrote. She described the success of the ARK ETFs as one not solely bolstered by fervor for “stay at home” investment opportunities, amid the COVID pandemic, but rooted in identifying paradigm-shifting innovation, from blockchain and bitcoin&nbsp;to electric vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>“‘在五年的投资时间范围内，我们对这些平台的预测表明，我们今天的策略可以在未来五年内实现30-40%的复合年回报率。’”“我们不会让基准和跟踪错误使我们的战略受制于现有的世界秩序，”伍德写道。她形容方舟ETF的成功，不仅仅是因为他们在COVID疫情期间对“呆在家里”投资机会的热情，而是源于他们发现了从区块链、比特币到电动车等模式变革的创新。</blockquote></p><p> “Critical to investment success will be moving to the right side of change, avoiding industries and companies caught in the crosshairs of ‘creative destruction’ and embracing those on the leading edge of ‘disruptive innovation,'” Wood wrote.</p><p><blockquote>伍德写道：“投资成功的关键是转向变革的正确方向，避免陷入‘创造性破坏’的行业和公司，并拥抱那些处于‘颠覆性创新’前沿的行业和公司。”</blockquote></p><p> On Friday, ARK Innovation ended the session up nearly 6% and produced its second straight sharp weekly gain, up 1.1%, following a 1.8% advance in the prior week. The advance for ARK Innovation still leaves the actively managed fund down nearly 22% in the year to date, as the broader S&amp;P 500,the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;and the technology Nasdaq Composite Index&nbsp;have faced whipsawing volatility derived primarily from concerns about more transmissible strains of COVID, surging inflation and global monetary policy’s reaction to those pricing pressures. Year-to-date the S&amp;P 500 index is up 864.57 points or 23.02%.</p><p><blockquote>周五，ARK Innovation收盘上涨近6%，连续第二周大幅上涨，上涨1.1%，此前一周上涨1.8%。ARK Innovation的上涨仍然导致这只主动管理型基金今年迄今下跌了近22%，因为更广泛的标普500、道琼斯工业平均指数和科技纳斯达克综合指数面临剧烈波动，这主要是由于对传染性更强的担忧新冠疫情、通胀飙升以及全球货币政策对这些定价压力的反应。年初至今，标普500指数上涨864.57点，涨幅23.02%。</blockquote></p><p> ARK’s seven ETFs returned an average of 141% in 2020, on the back of gains from companies such as&nbsp;<b>Tesla Inc.</b>,and&nbsp;<b>Teladoc Health Inc</b>.,&nbsp;making Wood the toast of Wall Street. But those funds, focused primarily on companies that aren’t yet profitable, have been limping lower since hitting a peak back in February, and their woeful performance has raised questions about the prospects for the ETFs in the months and years to come.</p><p><blockquote>ARK旗下7只ETF 2020年平均回报率为141%，得益于以下公司的收益<b>特斯拉公司。</b>，和<b>Teladoc健康公司</b>.，让伍德成为华尔街的宠儿。但这些基金主要专注于尚未盈利的公司，自2月份达到峰值以来一直在走低，其糟糕的表现引发了人们对ETF未来几个月和几年前景的质疑。</blockquote></p><p> Wood urged investors to maintain their support of the ARK complex and said that maintaining a long-term, five-year time horizon would be the best way to judge the fund manager’s true performance.</p><p><blockquote>伍德敦促投资者保持对方舟综合体的支持，并表示保持长期的五年时间范围将是判断基金经理真实业绩的最佳方式。</blockquote></p><p> “With a five-year investment time horizon, our forecasts for these platforms suggest that our strategies today could deliver a 30-40% compound annual rate of return during the next five years,” the ARK CEO wrote.</p><p><blockquote>ARK首席执行官写道：“以五年的投资时间范围，我们对这些平台的预测表明，我们今天的策略可以在未来五年内实现30-40%的复合年回报率。”</blockquote></p><p> “In other words, if our research is correct—and I believe that our research on innovation is the best in the financial world—then our strategies will triple to quintuple in value over the next five years,”&nbsp;Wood added.</p><p><blockquote>“换句话说，如果我们的研究是正确的——我相信我们对创新的研究是金融界最好的——那么我们的战略价值将在未来五年内增加三到五倍，”伍德补充道。</blockquote></p><p> The ARK founder also made the case that the Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500 could be the bigger disappointment to return-eager investors in the longer-term because they are more overvalued than the disruptive investments that comprise her funds.</p><p><blockquote>这位方舟创始人还表示，从长远来看，纳斯达克和标普500可能会让渴望回报的投资者更失望，因为它们的估值比构成她基金的颠覆性投资更高估。</blockquote></p><p> “Unlike many innovation-related stocks, equity benchmarks are selling at record high prices and near record high valuations, 26x for the S&amp;P 500 and 127x for the Nasdaq on a trailing twelve-month basis,” Wood wrote.</p><p><blockquote>伍德写道：“与许多与创新相关的股票不同，股票基准正以创纪录的高价和接近创纪录的高估值出售，过去12个月标普500为26倍，纳斯达克为127倍。”</blockquote></p><p> She said that the “five major innovation platforms which involve 14 technologies are likely to transform the existing world order and that so-called tried and true investment strategies “will disappoint during the next five to ten years as DNA sequencing, robotics, energy storage, artificial intelligence, and blockchain technology scale and converge.”</p><p><blockquote>她表示，“涉及14项技术的五大创新平台可能会改变现有的世界秩序，随着DNA测序、机器人、能源存储、人工智能和区块链技术的规模和融合，所谓的屡试不爽的投资策略”将在未来五到十年内令人失望。”</blockquote></p><p> Wood also made the case that the so-called wall of worry, with inflation fears representing perhaps the biggest concern, provided an ideal backdrop for further advances in innovation stocks in the longer run because the dot-com markets of the late-1990s weren’t properly buffeted by investor concerns. The thinking is that “walls of worry” tend to limit market euphoria.</p><p><blockquote>伍德还指出，所谓的担忧墙（其中通胀担忧可能是最大的担忧）从长远来看为创新股的进一步上涨提供了理想的背景，因为20世纪90年代末的互联网市场并没有受到投资者担忧的适当打击。人们的想法是，“担忧之墙”往往会限制市场的兴奋。</blockquote></p><p> “In our view, the wall of worry built on the back of high multiple stocks bodes well for equities in the innovation space,” she wrote. “No wall of worry existed or tested the equity market in 1999. This time around, the wall of worry has scaled to enormous heights,” Wood said.</p><p><blockquote>她写道：“我们认为，建立在高市盈率股票基础上的担忧之墙对创新领域的股票来说是个好兆头。”伍德表示：“1999年，股市并不存在担忧之墙，也没有受到考验。这一次，担忧之墙已经达到了巨大的高度。”</blockquote></p><p> On the macroeconomic front, Wood said that deflation, rather than inflation, could be a bigger problem for markets in the coming months.</p><p><blockquote>在宏观经济方面，伍德表示，通货紧缩而不是通胀可能是未来几个月市场面临的更大问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “That said, my conviction is growing that the bigger surprise to the markets will be price deflation – both cyclical and secular – and that, after collapsing this year, higher multiple stocks could turn around dramatically during the next year,” she wrote.</p><p><blockquote>她写道：“也就是说，我越来越相信，市场面临的更大惊喜将是价格通货紧缩——无论是周期性的还是长期的——而且在今年崩溃之后，市盈率较高的股票可能会在明年大幅逆转。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood says stocks have corrected into 'deep value territory' and won't let benchmarks 'hold our strategies hostage'<blockquote>凯西·伍德表示，股市已修正至“深度价值区域”，不会让基准“挟持我们的策略”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood says stocks have corrected into 'deep value territory' and won't let benchmarks 'hold our strategies hostage'<blockquote>凯西·伍德表示，股市已修正至“深度价值区域”，不会让基准“挟持我们的策略”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 06:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood offered the latest defense of the once-highflying, disruptive innovation strategies that had made her suite of exchange-traded funds among the most popular, and best-performing, on Wall Street in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>ARK Invest创始人凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)为曾经雄心勃勃的颠覆性创新战略进行了最新辩护，这些战略使她的交易所交易基金套件成为2020年华尔街最受欢迎、表现最好的基金之一。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e17c2568a6dc81e7e3573ede78dcfb0\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Patrick T. Fallon/AFP/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>帕特里克·T·法伦/法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In a Friday evening blog post, Wood said that despite a brutal stretch that has compelled the operators of the ARK Invest ETFs, including the flagship Ark Innovation&nbsp;fund, to do some soul-searching, the fund manager is sticking to her game plan.</p><p><blockquote>伍德在周五晚上的一篇博客文章中表示，尽管经历了残酷的考验，迫使包括旗舰方舟创新基金在内的方舟投资ETF的运营商进行了一些自我反省，但这位基金经理仍坚持她的游戏计划。</blockquote></p><p>   “‘With a five-year investment time horizon, our forecasts for these platforms suggest that our strategies today could deliver a 30-40% compound annual rate of return during the next five years.’”  “We won’t let benchmarks and tracking errors hold our strategies hostage to the existing world order,” Wood wrote. She described the success of the ARK ETFs as one not solely bolstered by fervor for “stay at home” investment opportunities, amid the COVID pandemic, but rooted in identifying paradigm-shifting innovation, from blockchain and bitcoin&nbsp;to electric vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>“‘在五年的投资时间范围内，我们对这些平台的预测表明，我们今天的策略可以在未来五年内实现30-40%的复合年回报率。’”“我们不会让基准和跟踪错误使我们的战略受制于现有的世界秩序，”伍德写道。她形容方舟ETF的成功，不仅仅是因为他们在COVID疫情期间对“呆在家里”投资机会的热情，而是源于他们发现了从区块链、比特币到电动车等模式变革的创新。</blockquote></p><p> “Critical to investment success will be moving to the right side of change, avoiding industries and companies caught in the crosshairs of ‘creative destruction’ and embracing those on the leading edge of ‘disruptive innovation,'” Wood wrote.</p><p><blockquote>伍德写道：“投资成功的关键是转向变革的正确方向，避免陷入‘创造性破坏’的行业和公司，并拥抱那些处于‘颠覆性创新’前沿的行业和公司。”</blockquote></p><p> On Friday, ARK Innovation ended the session up nearly 6% and produced its second straight sharp weekly gain, up 1.1%, following a 1.8% advance in the prior week. The advance for ARK Innovation still leaves the actively managed fund down nearly 22% in the year to date, as the broader S&amp;P 500,the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;and the technology Nasdaq Composite Index&nbsp;have faced whipsawing volatility derived primarily from concerns about more transmissible strains of COVID, surging inflation and global monetary policy’s reaction to those pricing pressures. Year-to-date the S&amp;P 500 index is up 864.57 points or 23.02%.</p><p><blockquote>周五，ARK Innovation收盘上涨近6%，连续第二周大幅上涨，上涨1.1%，此前一周上涨1.8%。ARK Innovation的上涨仍然导致这只主动管理型基金今年迄今下跌了近22%，因为更广泛的标普500、道琼斯工业平均指数和科技纳斯达克综合指数面临剧烈波动，这主要是由于对传染性更强的担忧新冠疫情、通胀飙升以及全球货币政策对这些定价压力的反应。年初至今，标普500指数上涨864.57点，涨幅23.02%。</blockquote></p><p> ARK’s seven ETFs returned an average of 141% in 2020, on the back of gains from companies such as&nbsp;<b>Tesla Inc.</b>,and&nbsp;<b>Teladoc Health Inc</b>.,&nbsp;making Wood the toast of Wall Street. But those funds, focused primarily on companies that aren’t yet profitable, have been limping lower since hitting a peak back in February, and their woeful performance has raised questions about the prospects for the ETFs in the months and years to come.</p><p><blockquote>ARK旗下7只ETF 2020年平均回报率为141%，得益于以下公司的收益<b>特斯拉公司。</b>，和<b>Teladoc健康公司</b>.，让伍德成为华尔街的宠儿。但这些基金主要专注于尚未盈利的公司，自2月份达到峰值以来一直在走低，其糟糕的表现引发了人们对ETF未来几个月和几年前景的质疑。</blockquote></p><p> Wood urged investors to maintain their support of the ARK complex and said that maintaining a long-term, five-year time horizon would be the best way to judge the fund manager’s true performance.</p><p><blockquote>伍德敦促投资者保持对方舟综合体的支持，并表示保持长期的五年时间范围将是判断基金经理真实业绩的最佳方式。</blockquote></p><p> “With a five-year investment time horizon, our forecasts for these platforms suggest that our strategies today could deliver a 30-40% compound annual rate of return during the next five years,” the ARK CEO wrote.</p><p><blockquote>ARK首席执行官写道：“以五年的投资时间范围，我们对这些平台的预测表明，我们今天的策略可以在未来五年内实现30-40%的复合年回报率。”</blockquote></p><p> “In other words, if our research is correct—and I believe that our research on innovation is the best in the financial world—then our strategies will triple to quintuple in value over the next five years,”&nbsp;Wood added.</p><p><blockquote>“换句话说，如果我们的研究是正确的——我相信我们对创新的研究是金融界最好的——那么我们的战略价值将在未来五年内增加三到五倍，”伍德补充道。</blockquote></p><p> The ARK founder also made the case that the Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500 could be the bigger disappointment to return-eager investors in the longer-term because they are more overvalued than the disruptive investments that comprise her funds.</p><p><blockquote>这位方舟创始人还表示，从长远来看，纳斯达克和标普500可能会让渴望回报的投资者更失望，因为它们的估值比构成她基金的颠覆性投资更高估。</blockquote></p><p> “Unlike many innovation-related stocks, equity benchmarks are selling at record high prices and near record high valuations, 26x for the S&amp;P 500 and 127x for the Nasdaq on a trailing twelve-month basis,” Wood wrote.</p><p><blockquote>伍德写道：“与许多与创新相关的股票不同，股票基准正以创纪录的高价和接近创纪录的高估值出售，过去12个月标普500为26倍，纳斯达克为127倍。”</blockquote></p><p> She said that the “five major innovation platforms which involve 14 technologies are likely to transform the existing world order and that so-called tried and true investment strategies “will disappoint during the next five to ten years as DNA sequencing, robotics, energy storage, artificial intelligence, and blockchain technology scale and converge.”</p><p><blockquote>她表示，“涉及14项技术的五大创新平台可能会改变现有的世界秩序，随着DNA测序、机器人、能源存储、人工智能和区块链技术的规模和融合，所谓的屡试不爽的投资策略”将在未来五到十年内令人失望。”</blockquote></p><p> Wood also made the case that the so-called wall of worry, with inflation fears representing perhaps the biggest concern, provided an ideal backdrop for further advances in innovation stocks in the longer run because the dot-com markets of the late-1990s weren’t properly buffeted by investor concerns. The thinking is that “walls of worry” tend to limit market euphoria.</p><p><blockquote>伍德还指出，所谓的担忧墙（其中通胀担忧可能是最大的担忧）从长远来看为创新股的进一步上涨提供了理想的背景，因为20世纪90年代末的互联网市场并没有受到投资者担忧的适当打击。人们的想法是，“担忧之墙”往往会限制市场的兴奋。</blockquote></p><p> “In our view, the wall of worry built on the back of high multiple stocks bodes well for equities in the innovation space,” she wrote. “No wall of worry existed or tested the equity market in 1999. This time around, the wall of worry has scaled to enormous heights,” Wood said.</p><p><blockquote>她写道：“我们认为，建立在高市盈率股票基础上的担忧之墙对创新领域的股票来说是个好兆头。”伍德表示：“1999年，股市并不存在担忧之墙，也没有受到考验。这一次，担忧之墙已经达到了巨大的高度。”</blockquote></p><p> On the macroeconomic front, Wood said that deflation, rather than inflation, could be a bigger problem for markets in the coming months.</p><p><blockquote>在宏观经济方面，伍德表示，通货紧缩而不是通胀可能是未来几个月市场面临的更大问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “That said, my conviction is growing that the bigger surprise to the markets will be price deflation – both cyclical and secular – and that, after collapsing this year, higher multiple stocks could turn around dramatically during the next year,” she wrote.</p><p><blockquote>她写道：“也就是说，我越来越相信，市场面临的更大惊喜将是价格通货紧缩——无论是周期性的还是长期的——而且在今年崩溃之后，市盈率较高的股票可能会在明年大幅逆转。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/cathie-wood-says-stocks-have-corrected-into-deep-value-territory-and-wont-let-benchmarks-hold-our-strategies-hostage-11639795224?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TSLA":"特斯拉","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/cathie-wood-says-stocks-have-corrected-into-deep-value-territory-and-wont-let-benchmarks-hold-our-strategies-hostage-11639795224?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2192708619","content_text":"ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood offered the latest defense of the once-highflying, disruptive innovation strategies that had made her suite of exchange-traded funds among the most popular, and best-performing, on Wall Street in 2020.\nPatrick T. Fallon/AFP/Getty Images\nIn a Friday evening blog post, Wood said that despite a brutal stretch that has compelled the operators of the ARK Invest ETFs, including the flagship Ark Innovation fund, to do some soul-searching, the fund manager is sticking to her game plan.\n\n “‘With a five-year investment time horizon, our forecasts for these platforms suggest that our strategies today could deliver a 30-40% compound annual rate of return during the next five years.’”\n\n“We won’t let benchmarks and tracking errors hold our strategies hostage to the existing world order,” Wood wrote. She described the success of the ARK ETFs as one not solely bolstered by fervor for “stay at home” investment opportunities, amid the COVID pandemic, but rooted in identifying paradigm-shifting innovation, from blockchain and bitcoin to electric vehicles.\n“Critical to investment success will be moving to the right side of change, avoiding industries and companies caught in the crosshairs of ‘creative destruction’ and embracing those on the leading edge of ‘disruptive innovation,'” Wood wrote.\nOn Friday, ARK Innovation ended the session up nearly 6% and produced its second straight sharp weekly gain, up 1.1%, following a 1.8% advance in the prior week. The advance for ARK Innovation still leaves the actively managed fund down nearly 22% in the year to date, as the broader S&P 500,the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the technology Nasdaq Composite Index have faced whipsawing volatility derived primarily from concerns about more transmissible strains of COVID, surging inflation and global monetary policy’s reaction to those pricing pressures. Year-to-date the S&P 500 index is up 864.57 points or 23.02%.\nARK’s seven ETFs returned an average of 141% in 2020, on the back of gains from companies such as Tesla Inc.,and Teladoc Health Inc., making Wood the toast of Wall Street. But those funds, focused primarily on companies that aren’t yet profitable, have been limping lower since hitting a peak back in February, and their woeful performance has raised questions about the prospects for the ETFs in the months and years to come.\nWood urged investors to maintain their support of the ARK complex and said that maintaining a long-term, five-year time horizon would be the best way to judge the fund manager’s true performance.\n“With a five-year investment time horizon, our forecasts for these platforms suggest that our strategies today could deliver a 30-40% compound annual rate of return during the next five years,” the ARK CEO wrote.\n“In other words, if our research is correct—and I believe that our research on innovation is the best in the financial world—then our strategies will triple to quintuple in value over the next five years,” Wood added.\nThe ARK founder also made the case that the Nasdaq and S&P 500 could be the bigger disappointment to return-eager investors in the longer-term because they are more overvalued than the disruptive investments that comprise her funds.\n“Unlike many innovation-related stocks, equity benchmarks are selling at record high prices and near record high valuations, 26x for the S&P 500 and 127x for the Nasdaq on a trailing twelve-month basis,” Wood wrote.\nShe said that the “five major innovation platforms which involve 14 technologies are likely to transform the existing world order and that so-called tried and true investment strategies “will disappoint during the next five to ten years as DNA sequencing, robotics, energy storage, artificial intelligence, and blockchain technology scale and converge.”\nWood also made the case that the so-called wall of worry, with inflation fears representing perhaps the biggest concern, provided an ideal backdrop for further advances in innovation stocks in the longer run because the dot-com markets of the late-1990s weren’t properly buffeted by investor concerns. The thinking is that “walls of worry” tend to limit market euphoria.\n“In our view, the wall of worry built on the back of high multiple stocks bodes well for equities in the innovation space,” she wrote. “No wall of worry existed or tested the equity market in 1999. This time around, the wall of worry has scaled to enormous heights,” Wood said.\nOn the macroeconomic front, Wood said that deflation, rather than inflation, could be a bigger problem for markets in the coming months.\n“That said, my conviction is growing that the bigger surprise to the markets will be price deflation – both cyclical and secular – and that, after collapsing this year, higher multiple stocks could turn around dramatically during the next year,” she wrote.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"TDOC":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ARKK":0.9,"ARKIU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2018,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693047682,"gmtCreate":1639954906882,"gmtModify":1639954907045,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693047682","repostId":"1130704419","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130704419","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639953553,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130704419?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 06:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Nike、Micron、黑莓、CarMax等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130704419","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday break,Nike and Micron Technology report on Monday,BlackBerry and General Mills on Tuesday, and CarMax,Cintas,and Paychex on Wednesday.It will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports per","content":"<p>Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday&nbsp;break,Nike&nbsp;and&nbsp;Micron Technology&nbsp;report on Monday,BlackBerry&nbsp;and&nbsp;General Mills&nbsp;on Tuesday, and&nbsp;CarMax,Cintas,and&nbsp;Paychex&nbsp;on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>世界各地的股票和债券市场将于周五休市以庆祝圣诞节。假期前，Nike和Micron Technology将于周一发布报告，黑莓和通用磨坊将于周二发布报告，CarMax、Cintas和Paychex将于周三发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the&nbsp;Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed&nbsp;by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>这将是经济数据发布繁忙的一周。周一，世界大型企业联合会将公布11月份领先经济指数，随后将于周三公布12月份消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the&nbsp;Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Consumer earnings are forecast to have risen 0.6% while spending is seen climbing 0.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the core&nbsp;PCE price index, is expected to have spiked 4.5% in November.</p><p><blockquote>周四，经济分析局将公布11月份个人收入和消费支出。消费者收入预计将增长0.6%，而支出预计将增长0.5%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE物价指数预计11月份将飙升4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also Thursday, the Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November, which will provide a window into investment spending in the economy. New orders are forecast to have risen 2.1%. Housing-market indicators out this week include existing-home sales for November on Wednesday and new-home sales for November on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周四，人口普查局发布了11月份耐用品报告，这将为了解经济中的投资支出提供一个窗口。新订单预计将增长2.1%。本周公布的房地产市场指标包括周三公布的11月份现房销售和周四公布的11月份新房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology and Nike report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技和耐克公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Leading Economic Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 119 reading, which would be 0.6% more than October’s level. The Conference Board currently projects a 5% growth rate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product and a slower but still robust 2.6% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布11月份领先经济指数。普遍估计读数为119，比10月份的水平高出0.6%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计第四季度国内生产总值增长率为5%，2022年增长率较慢但仍强劲的2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/21</b></blockquote></p><p> BlackBerry,FactSet Research Systems,and General Mills announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓、FactSet Research Systems和通用磨坊公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The NAR reports</b> existing-home sales for November. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.4 million homes sold, slightly more than in October and the highest since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote><b>NAR报告</b>11月份现房销售。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为640万套，略高于10月份，为年初以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax, Cintas, and Paychex hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax、Cintas和Paychex评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports its third and final estimate for third-quarter GDP. Economists forecast a 2.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, unchanged from November’s second estimate.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告了对第三季度GDP的第三次也是最终估计。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的年增长率为2.1%，与11月的第二次估计持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Consumer Confidence Index for December. Expectations are for a 110 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index is 15% lower than the postpandemic peak reached in June of this year, due to concerns about rising prices and, to a lesser degree, Covid-19 variants.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布12月份消费者信心指数。预期读数为110，与11月数据大致持平。该指数比今年6月达到的大流行后峰值低15%，原因是对价格上涨以及较小程度上对Covid-19变种的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/23</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 18. Jobless claims have averaged 225,667 a week in November and December, and have finally reached prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至12月18日当周首次申请失业救济人数。11月和12月平均每周申请失业救济人数为225,667人，最终达到了大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new-home sales for November. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 new single-family houses sold, 25,000 more than in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in October was $407,700, while the average sales price was $477,800—both record highs.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告11月份新房销售。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的新单户住宅年增长率为77万套，比10月份增加2.5万套。10月份售出的新房销售价格中位数为40.77万美元，而平均销售价格为47.78万美元——均创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly increase for income and 0.5% for consumption. This compares with gains for 0.5% and 1.3%, respectively, in October. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, jumped 4.1% year over year in October, the fastest rate since 1991. Predictions are for it to spike 4.6% in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>11月份个人收入和消费支出。经济学家预测收入每月增长0.6%，消费每月增长0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为0.5%和1.3%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE价格指数10月份同比上涨4.1%，为1991年以来最快增速。预计11月份将飙升4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable goods report for November. New orders for durable manufactured goods are expected to increase 2.1%, to $265.6 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen gaining 0.6%, compared with a 0.5% rise in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份耐用品报告。耐用品新订单预计将增长2.1%，达到2656亿美元。不包括运输，新订单预计将增长0.6%，而10月份为增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/24</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. equity</b>&nbsp;and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Christmas.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股票</b>固定收益市场因圣诞节而休市。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Nike、Micron、黑莓、CarMax等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Nike、Micron、黑莓、CarMax等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 06:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday&nbsp;break,Nike&nbsp;and&nbsp;Micron Technology&nbsp;report on Monday,BlackBerry&nbsp;and&nbsp;General Mills&nbsp;on Tuesday, and&nbsp;CarMax,Cintas,and&nbsp;Paychex&nbsp;on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>世界各地的股票和债券市场将于周五休市以庆祝圣诞节。假期前，Nike和Micron Technology将于周一发布报告，黑莓和通用磨坊将于周二发布报告，CarMax、Cintas和Paychex将于周三发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the&nbsp;Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed&nbsp;by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>这将是经济数据发布繁忙的一周。周一，世界大型企业联合会将公布11月份领先经济指数，随后将于周三公布12月份消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the&nbsp;Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Consumer earnings are forecast to have risen 0.6% while spending is seen climbing 0.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the core&nbsp;PCE price index, is expected to have spiked 4.5% in November.</p><p><blockquote>周四，经济分析局将公布11月份个人收入和消费支出。消费者收入预计将增长0.6%，而支出预计将增长0.5%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE物价指数预计11月份将飙升4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also Thursday, the Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November, which will provide a window into investment spending in the economy. New orders are forecast to have risen 2.1%. Housing-market indicators out this week include existing-home sales for November on Wednesday and new-home sales for November on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周四，人口普查局发布了11月份耐用品报告，这将为了解经济中的投资支出提供一个窗口。新订单预计将增长2.1%。本周公布的房地产市场指标包括周三公布的11月份现房销售和周四公布的11月份新房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology and Nike report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技和耐克公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Leading Economic Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 119 reading, which would be 0.6% more than October’s level. The Conference Board currently projects a 5% growth rate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product and a slower but still robust 2.6% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布11月份领先经济指数。普遍估计读数为119，比10月份的水平高出0.6%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计第四季度国内生产总值增长率为5%，2022年增长率较慢但仍强劲的2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/21</b></blockquote></p><p> BlackBerry,FactSet Research Systems,and General Mills announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓、FactSet Research Systems和通用磨坊公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The NAR reports</b> existing-home sales for November. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.4 million homes sold, slightly more than in October and the highest since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote><b>NAR报告</b>11月份现房销售。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为640万套，略高于10月份，为年初以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax, Cintas, and Paychex hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax、Cintas和Paychex评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports its third and final estimate for third-quarter GDP. Economists forecast a 2.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, unchanged from November’s second estimate.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告了对第三季度GDP的第三次也是最终估计。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的年增长率为2.1%，与11月的第二次估计持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Consumer Confidence Index for December. Expectations are for a 110 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index is 15% lower than the postpandemic peak reached in June of this year, due to concerns about rising prices and, to a lesser degree, Covid-19 variants.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布12月份消费者信心指数。预期读数为110，与11月数据大致持平。该指数比今年6月达到的大流行后峰值低15%，原因是对价格上涨以及较小程度上对Covid-19变种的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/23</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 18. Jobless claims have averaged 225,667 a week in November and December, and have finally reached prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至12月18日当周首次申请失业救济人数。11月和12月平均每周申请失业救济人数为225,667人，最终达到了大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new-home sales for November. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 new single-family houses sold, 25,000 more than in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in October was $407,700, while the average sales price was $477,800—both record highs.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告11月份新房销售。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的新单户住宅年增长率为77万套，比10月份增加2.5万套。10月份售出的新房销售价格中位数为40.77万美元，而平均销售价格为47.78万美元——均创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly increase for income and 0.5% for consumption. This compares with gains for 0.5% and 1.3%, respectively, in October. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, jumped 4.1% year over year in October, the fastest rate since 1991. Predictions are for it to spike 4.6% in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>11月份个人收入和消费支出。经济学家预测收入每月增长0.6%，消费每月增长0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为0.5%和1.3%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE价格指数10月份同比上涨4.1%，为1991年以来最快增速。预计11月份将飙升4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable goods report for November. New orders for durable manufactured goods are expected to increase 2.1%, to $265.6 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen gaining 0.6%, compared with a 0.5% rise in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份耐用品报告。耐用品新订单预计将增长2.1%，达到2656亿美元。不包括运输，新订单预计将增长0.6%，而10月份为增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/24</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. equity</b>&nbsp;and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Christmas.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股票</b>固定收益市场因圣诞节而休市。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-micron-blackberry-carmax-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51639944183?mod=hp_LEAD_5\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KMX":"车美仕","MU":"美光科技","CTAS":"信达思",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","PAYX":"沛齐",".DJI":"道琼斯","GIS":"通用磨坊",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-micron-blackberry-carmax-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51639944183?mod=hp_LEAD_5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130704419","content_text":"Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday break,Nike and Micron Technology report on Monday,BlackBerry and General Mills on Tuesday, and CarMax,Cintas,and Paychex on Wednesday.\nIt will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.\nOn Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Consumer earnings are forecast to have risen 0.6% while spending is seen climbing 0.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the core PCE price index, is expected to have spiked 4.5% in November.\nAlso Thursday, the Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November, which will provide a window into investment spending in the economy. New orders are forecast to have risen 2.1%. Housing-market indicators out this week include existing-home sales for November on Wednesday and new-home sales for November on Thursday.\nMonday 12/20\nMicron Technology and Nike report quarterly results.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 119 reading, which would be 0.6% more than October’s level. The Conference Board currently projects a 5% growth rate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product and a slower but still robust 2.6% for 2022.\nTuesday 12/21\nBlackBerry,FactSet Research Systems,and General Mills announce earnings.\nWednesday 12/22\nThe NAR reports existing-home sales for November. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.4 million homes sold, slightly more than in October and the highest since the beginning of the year.\nCarMax, Cintas, and Paychex hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reports its third and final estimate for third-quarter GDP. Economists forecast a 2.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, unchanged from November’s second estimate.\nThe Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for December. Expectations are for a 110 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index is 15% lower than the postpandemic peak reached in June of this year, due to concerns about rising prices and, to a lesser degree, Covid-19 variants.\nThursday 12/23\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 18. Jobless claims have averaged 225,667 a week in November and December, and have finally reached prepandemic levels.\nThe Census Bureau reports new-home sales for November. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 new single-family houses sold, 25,000 more than in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in October was $407,700, while the average sales price was $477,800—both record highs.\nThe BEA reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly increase for income and 0.5% for consumption. This compares with gains for 0.5% and 1.3%, respectively, in October. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, jumped 4.1% year over year in October, the fastest rate since 1991. Predictions are for it to spike 4.6% in November.\nThe Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November. New orders for durable manufactured goods are expected to increase 2.1%, to $265.6 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen gaining 0.6%, compared with a 0.5% rise in October.\nFriday 12/24\nU.S. equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Christmas.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"KMX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"MU":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"CTAS":0.9,"GIS":0.9,"PAYX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2085,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693016978,"gmtCreate":1639926652673,"gmtModify":1639926652825,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693016978","repostId":"2192099879","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1815,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699861898,"gmtCreate":1639781935110,"gmtModify":1639781935306,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699861898","repostId":"2192597562","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690556348,"gmtCreate":1639696603986,"gmtModify":1639696604320,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690556348","repostId":"2192920942","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2380,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690558785,"gmtCreate":1639696594826,"gmtModify":1639696594993,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690558785","repostId":"2192920942","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607744283,"gmtCreate":1639609679091,"gmtModify":1639609679263,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607744283","repostId":"2191994940","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3820,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607841984,"gmtCreate":1639528151739,"gmtModify":1639528151891,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607841984","repostId":"2191784951","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607010439,"gmtCreate":1639455937569,"gmtModify":1639455937695,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607010439","repostId":"1120286910","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120286910","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639453388,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120286910?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股身上</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120286910","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.\nI wa","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.</li>  <li>I warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.</li>  <li>That warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.</li>  <li>PayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/847095b0be294275f55f7e8f700d56b4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1229\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BsWei/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal股价较今年高点下跌超过-35%，而且该股仍然不便宜。</li><li>我早在2021年2月就警告投资者，PayPal的估值被严重高估，值得出售。</li><li>这一警告可能是针对数十只被高估的科技股发出的，这些股在未来3年内仍有超过-50%的下跌空间。</li><li>PayPal仍然是一家我想拥有的伟大公司，因此我分析该股票以确定我愿意购买它的价格。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BsWei/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Back on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&amp;P 500 (SPY).</p><p><blockquote>早在2021年2月6日，我就制作了一段视频，与投资者分享了为什么PayPal(PYPL)股票被高估到足以出售。我在我的Seeking Alpha bloghere上分享了该视频。自那时以来，PayPal的绝对表现和相对于标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）的表现都很差。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8252b7218af36cce8b5a591f56abaecd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自从我向投资者发出警告以来，该股股价已下跌约-30%，较今年的高点下跌约-38%。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.</p><p><blockquote>事实是，我本可以对许多其他被高估的科技股发出同样的警告，但如果价格跌至合理水平，我实际上想买入PayPal。这是一个公司绝对没有问题的案例。没有什么不好的故事可讲。这个价格被高估了。二月份围绕PayPal的故事有多好并不重要。从长远来看，数字几乎总是胜过叙事。当时的数字没有意义。</blockquote></p><p> This should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.</p><p><blockquote>这应该是中长线投资者的重要一课。如果数字不起作用，故事是什么并不重要。</blockquote></p><p> The difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investors<i>love</i>narratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于像我这样的股票作家来说，困难的是投资者<i>爱</i>叙事和故事。这不是我们的错。我们人类的大脑天生就是这样。自从我分享了我看跌的2月份PayPal视频以来，Seeking Alpha上报道PayPal的62篇文章中，没有一篇“看跌”文章。主要原因是PayPal的叙述如此吸引人，以至于估值数字要么被忽视，要么围绕这些数字的假设不现实。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将分享我目前基于盈利和盈利增长预测的PayPal估值。我还将分享我认为PayPal股票的公允价值范围，以及我希望在安全边际的情况下购买的价格。这与我在2021年2月用来确定PayPal股票被高估的基本过程相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全周期盈利分析</b></blockquote></p><p> As part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.</p><p><blockquote>作为分析的一部分，我计算了我认为未来总回报的两个主要驱动因素：市场情绪回报和商业回报。然后，我将这些预期回报以10年复合年增长率预期的形式组合在一起，并用它来评估股票。</blockquote></p><p> Before I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.</p><p><blockquote>在我开始这种分析之前，我总是检查企业的长期盈利模式，以确保企业适合这种分析。如果历史收益1）没有足够长的历史2）本质上不稳定，或者3）周期性太强，那么我要么完全避免分析股票，要么使用更合适的不同类型的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70078307e65a5a1d0e37f9e70b726b77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以看到，自2015年以来，PayPal的每股收益每年都在增长。这是一个明显的长期增长模式，它使该股票作为长期投资非常有吸引力。自2015年以来，没有出现过任何盈利负增长的年份，因此该股票可能非常适合我将要进行的盈利分析类型。不过，要问的一个重要问题是，虽然我们在2020年确实经历了短暂的衰退，但这是一次非常不寻常的衰退。在更长、更持久的经济衰退期间，PayPal的业务可能会对经济更加敏感。所以，这是一个风险。然而，当我考察eBay(EBAY)在2008/9年经济衰退中的表现时，其盈利增长基本持平，从未出现过负增长。如果让我猜的话，我认为PayPal的盈利增长率可能会在“正常”衰退期间下降，但仍然不会特别具有周期性。出于这些原因，尽管我们没有PayPal“正常”衰退的硬历史数据，但我仍将继续进行全周期盈利分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Sentiment Return Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场情绪回归预期</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.</p><p><blockquote>为了估计未来10年我们可能预期的回报，让我们首先研究一下，如果市盈率倍数恢复到上一个经济周期的平均值，我们从现在起10年后可以预期的回报。由于我们最近经历了一次衰退（尽管是一次不寻常的衰退），我将在2015财年开始这个周期，并通过2021年的估计运行它。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d2c3455962a02d96b8c88c32eadce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> PayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of<b>-1.75%</b>. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal从2015年至今的平均市盈率为34.11（快速图上用金色圈出的蓝色条）。使用2021年4.60美元的预期盈利预测（也用金色圈出），PayPal目前的市盈率为40.73。如果40.73市盈率在未来10年恢复到34.11的平均市盈率，而其他条件保持不变，PayPal的股价将会下跌，10年复合年增长率将为<b>-1.75%</b>如果情绪均值回归需要十年时间，这就是我们可以从情绪均值回归中预期的年回报率。如果恢复所需的时间更短，价格可能会下跌得更快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Earnings Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务盈利预期</b></blockquote></p><p> We previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.</p><p><blockquote>我们之前研究了如果市场情绪恢复到均值会发生什么。这完全由市场情绪决定，并且通常与实际业务的表现脱节，或者只是松散地联系在一起。在本节中，我们将检查企业的实际收益。这里的目标很简单：我们想知道如果我们以今天的价格收购企业并将所有收益留给自己，我们在10年内会赚多少钱（以CAGR%的形式表示）。</blockquote></p><p> There are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>这有两个主要组成部分：第一个是收益收益率，第二个是收益的预期增长率。让我们从收益率（这是一个倒置的市盈率，因此，市盈率）开始。目前的收益率约为+2.46%。我喜欢思考这个问题的方式是，如果我现在以100美元购买公司的整个业务，如果未来10年收益保持不变，我每年的投资将获得2.46美元。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).</p><p><blockquote>下一步是估计公司在这段时间内的盈利增长。我通过计算上一个周期的收益增长率并将该增长率应用于未来10年来做到这一点。这涉及计算自2015年以来的每股收益增长率，考虑每年的每股收益增长或下降，然后退出该时期发生的任何股票回购（因为减持股票会因股票减少而增加每股收益）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31b7d8ed5f59c82c2531cc686324d1a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Due to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.</p><p><blockquote>由于图表的规模，回购看起来比实际要大得多，这里没有太多调整。此外，由于PayPal的盈利每年都在增长，因此无需调整盈利增长下降。这使得估计PayPal的盈利增长变得相对简单，我估计PayPal的盈利增长约为+23.65%。</blockquote></p><p> Now, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.</p><p><blockquote>现在，当我问自己“出于估值目的，未来10年的合理预期是什么？”对于企业来说，在整整十年的时间里，收入每年增长超过20%是非常非常困难的（特别是如果他们在过去十年里已经这样做了）。因此，在用于估值目的时，我将所有长期预期盈利增长预测限制在20%。当股票的市盈率可能会随着时间的推移而收缩时，这只是一种帮助我避免为股票支付过高价格的方法。因此，对于这次估值工作，我将盈利增长假设限制在20%。</blockquote></p><p> Next, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a<b>+5.85%</b>10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我将将该增长率应用于当前收益，展望10年，以获得最终的10年复合年增长率估计。我的想法是，如果我以100美元收购PayPal的整个业务，它将在第一年偿还我2.46美元，外加+20.00%的增长，并且在那之后的10年里，这个数额将以每年+20.00%的速度增长。我想知道我的100美元投资在10年后总共会有多少钱，我计算出大约是176.50美元（包括最初的100美元）。当我将这种增长插入CAGR计算器时，就会转化为<b>+5.85%</b>预期业务盈利回报的10年复合年增长率估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年全周期复合年增长率估计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Potential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of<b>+4.10%</b>at today's price.</p><p><blockquote>潜在的未来回报可以来自两个主要地方：市场情绪回报或业务收益回报。如果我们假设PayPal未来10年的市场情绪恢复到上一个周期的平均值，则复合年增长率将为-1.75%。如果盈利收益率和增长与上一个周期相似，该公司的10年复合年增长率应该在+5.85%左右。如果我们将两者放在一起，我们会得到预期的10年全周期复合年增长率为<b>+4.10%</b>以今天的价格。</blockquote></p><p> My Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.</p><p><blockquote>我对此类股票的买入/卖出/持有范围是：复合年增长率高于12%为买入，预期复合年增长率低于4%为卖出，4%至12%之间为持有。这使得PayPal股票在今天的价格水平上勉强属于“持有”类别。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Additional Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项</b></blockquote></p><p> I consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal是目前市场上质量最高的成长型股票之一，这就是为什么我一直相对密切地关注其估值。在本节中，我将分享我对PayPal的公允价值范围，以及我愿意在基于收益的安全边际下购买该股票的价格，以及我考虑使用更激进和不太保守的估值方法购买的价格。因此，我将从各种不同的角度来看PayPal的估值，让我们更清楚地了解购买该股票的合适价格。</blockquote></p><p> First, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我将使用本文中使用的相同假设和输入从我的购买价格和公允价值范围开始。如果我们使用所有这些相同的输入，我目前对PayPal的公允价值范围约为每股126.50美元至164.00美元。我目前的买入价格（包括安全边际）是112.10美元。低于该价格买入的投资者在中期内很有可能获得丰厚的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Once we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.</p><p><blockquote>一旦我们进入新的一年和2022年，我将开始提前预测PayPal 2022年的盈利。目前，分析师预计2022年每股收益为5.25美元。如果PayPal的其他指标保持不变，这将大大提高其估值，并将其公允价值范围提高至每股145.00美元至187.50美元，安全买入价格为每股128.00美元。当然，这是假设分析师维持对2022年的预期不变，并且在未来几个月内不会降低预期。这也意味着，根据未来的收益，如果PayPal在一两个月内保持接近当前价格的交易，它已经处于“公允价值”价格范围的上限。这可能是当前所有者继续持有的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> The Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.</p><p><blockquote>我在本文中使用的全周期收益分析并不是我使用的唯一分析类型。对于某些利润快速增长的罕见企业，我最近开发了一种新的分析方法，以帮助识别仅根据收益可能永远不会变得足够便宜的快速增长企业。这种分析的方法是我的私人服务机构周期性投资者俱乐部独有的，但由于PayPal的利润增长非常强劲，它实际上也有资格进行这种类型的分析，我想我至少会分享这种分析产生的“购买价格”，因为它比基于收益的分析更激进一些。</blockquote></p><p> When I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.</p><p><blockquote>当我使用利润增长分析来检查PayPal时，它得出的买入价格为144.90美元。我觉得这很有趣，因为如果本季度利润继续增长，价格可能会上涨一点，并使用我的基于收益的方法，使用明年的收益，使其非常接近公允价值的中间值。这是假设PayPal的指标从现在到那时不会恶化，而且PayPal也必须满足一些技术要求，但我认为到2022年2月，我很有可能成为PayPal股票的买家，大约在我警告投资者其高估值一年后。看看结果会很有趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> I think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal 2021年的衰落是一个有趣且有用的案例研究，超越了PayPal本身。我们今年看到的PayPal股价下跌是完全可以预见的，还有许多其他估值丰厚的科技股也将经历类似的下跌，其中大多数可能在2022年。对于跑赢大盘此类股票的投资者来说，现在可能是考虑多元化的时候了，以帮助保持过去几年的收益。虽然会有一些被高估的股票停滞不前几年，毫无进展，也有极少数股票设法继续上涨，但绝大多数股票将经历像PayPal那样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股身上</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股身上</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 11:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.</li>  <li>I warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.</li>  <li>That warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.</li>  <li>PayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/847095b0be294275f55f7e8f700d56b4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1229\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BsWei/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal股价较今年高点下跌超过-35%，而且该股仍然不便宜。</li><li>我早在2021年2月就警告投资者，PayPal的估值被严重高估，值得出售。</li><li>这一警告可能是针对数十只被高估的科技股发出的，这些股在未来3年内仍有超过-50%的下跌空间。</li><li>PayPal仍然是一家我想拥有的伟大公司，因此我分析该股票以确定我愿意购买它的价格。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BsWei/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Back on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&amp;P 500 (SPY).</p><p><blockquote>早在2021年2月6日，我就制作了一段视频，与投资者分享了为什么PayPal(PYPL)股票被高估到足以出售。我在我的Seeking Alpha bloghere上分享了该视频。自那时以来，PayPal的绝对表现和相对于标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）的表现都很差。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8252b7218af36cce8b5a591f56abaecd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自从我向投资者发出警告以来，该股股价已下跌约-30%，较今年的高点下跌约-38%。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.</p><p><blockquote>事实是，我本可以对许多其他被高估的科技股发出同样的警告，但如果价格跌至合理水平，我实际上想买入PayPal。这是一个公司绝对没有问题的案例。没有什么不好的故事可讲。这个价格被高估了。二月份围绕PayPal的故事有多好并不重要。从长远来看，数字几乎总是胜过叙事。当时的数字没有意义。</blockquote></p><p> This should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.</p><p><blockquote>这应该是中长线投资者的重要一课。如果数字不起作用，故事是什么并不重要。</blockquote></p><p> The difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investors<i>love</i>narratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于像我这样的股票作家来说，困难的是投资者<i>爱</i>叙事和故事。这不是我们的错。我们人类的大脑天生就是这样。自从我分享了我看跌的2月份PayPal视频以来，Seeking Alpha上报道PayPal的62篇文章中，没有一篇“看跌”文章。主要原因是PayPal的叙述如此吸引人，以至于估值数字要么被忽视，要么围绕这些数字的假设不现实。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将分享我目前基于盈利和盈利增长预测的PayPal估值。我还将分享我认为PayPal股票的公允价值范围，以及我希望在安全边际的情况下购买的价格。这与我在2021年2月用来确定PayPal股票被高估的基本过程相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全周期盈利分析</b></blockquote></p><p> As part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.</p><p><blockquote>作为分析的一部分，我计算了我认为未来总回报的两个主要驱动因素：市场情绪回报和商业回报。然后，我将这些预期回报以10年复合年增长率预期的形式组合在一起，并用它来评估股票。</blockquote></p><p> Before I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.</p><p><blockquote>在我开始这种分析之前，我总是检查企业的长期盈利模式，以确保企业适合这种分析。如果历史收益1）没有足够长的历史2）本质上不稳定，或者3）周期性太强，那么我要么完全避免分析股票，要么使用更合适的不同类型的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70078307e65a5a1d0e37f9e70b726b77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以看到，自2015年以来，PayPal的每股收益每年都在增长。这是一个明显的长期增长模式，它使该股票作为长期投资非常有吸引力。自2015年以来，没有出现过任何盈利负增长的年份，因此该股票可能非常适合我将要进行的盈利分析类型。不过，要问的一个重要问题是，虽然我们在2020年确实经历了短暂的衰退，但这是一次非常不寻常的衰退。在更长、更持久的经济衰退期间，PayPal的业务可能会对经济更加敏感。所以，这是一个风险。然而，当我考察eBay(EBAY)在2008/9年经济衰退中的表现时，其盈利增长基本持平，从未出现过负增长。如果让我猜的话，我认为PayPal的盈利增长率可能会在“正常”衰退期间下降，但仍然不会特别具有周期性。出于这些原因，尽管我们没有PayPal“正常”衰退的硬历史数据，但我仍将继续进行全周期盈利分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Sentiment Return Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场情绪回归预期</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.</p><p><blockquote>为了估计未来10年我们可能预期的回报，让我们首先研究一下，如果市盈率倍数恢复到上一个经济周期的平均值，我们从现在起10年后可以预期的回报。由于我们最近经历了一次衰退（尽管是一次不寻常的衰退），我将在2015财年开始这个周期，并通过2021年的估计运行它。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d2c3455962a02d96b8c88c32eadce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> PayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of<b>-1.75%</b>. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal从2015年至今的平均市盈率为34.11（快速图上用金色圈出的蓝色条）。使用2021年4.60美元的预期盈利预测（也用金色圈出），PayPal目前的市盈率为40.73。如果40.73市盈率在未来10年恢复到34.11的平均市盈率，而其他条件保持不变，PayPal的股价将会下跌，10年复合年增长率将为<b>-1.75%</b>如果情绪均值回归需要十年时间，这就是我们可以从情绪均值回归中预期的年回报率。如果恢复所需的时间更短，价格可能会下跌得更快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Earnings Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务盈利预期</b></blockquote></p><p> We previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.</p><p><blockquote>我们之前研究了如果市场情绪恢复到均值会发生什么。这完全由市场情绪决定，并且通常与实际业务的表现脱节，或者只是松散地联系在一起。在本节中，我们将检查企业的实际收益。这里的目标很简单：我们想知道如果我们以今天的价格收购企业并将所有收益留给自己，我们在10年内会赚多少钱（以CAGR%的形式表示）。</blockquote></p><p> There are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>这有两个主要组成部分：第一个是收益收益率，第二个是收益的预期增长率。让我们从收益率（这是一个倒置的市盈率，因此，市盈率）开始。目前的收益率约为+2.46%。我喜欢思考这个问题的方式是，如果我现在以100美元购买公司的整个业务，如果未来10年收益保持不变，我每年的投资将获得2.46美元。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).</p><p><blockquote>下一步是估计公司在这段时间内的盈利增长。我通过计算上一个周期的收益增长率并将该增长率应用于未来10年来做到这一点。这涉及计算自2015年以来的每股收益增长率，考虑每年的每股收益增长或下降，然后退出该时期发生的任何股票回购（因为减持股票会因股票减少而增加每股收益）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31b7d8ed5f59c82c2531cc686324d1a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Due to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.</p><p><blockquote>由于图表的规模，回购看起来比实际要大得多，这里没有太多调整。此外，由于PayPal的盈利每年都在增长，因此无需调整盈利增长下降。这使得估计PayPal的盈利增长变得相对简单，我估计PayPal的盈利增长约为+23.65%。</blockquote></p><p> Now, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.</p><p><blockquote>现在，当我问自己“出于估值目的，未来10年的合理预期是什么？”对于企业来说，在整整十年的时间里，收入每年增长超过20%是非常非常困难的（特别是如果他们在过去十年里已经这样做了）。因此，在用于估值目的时，我将所有长期预期盈利增长预测限制在20%。当股票的市盈率可能会随着时间的推移而收缩时，这只是一种帮助我避免为股票支付过高价格的方法。因此，对于这次估值工作，我将盈利增长假设限制在20%。</blockquote></p><p> Next, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a<b>+5.85%</b>10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我将将该增长率应用于当前收益，展望10年，以获得最终的10年复合年增长率估计。我的想法是，如果我以100美元收购PayPal的整个业务，它将在第一年偿还我2.46美元，外加+20.00%的增长，并且在那之后的10年里，这个数额将以每年+20.00%的速度增长。我想知道我的100美元投资在10年后总共会有多少钱，我计算出大约是176.50美元（包括最初的100美元）。当我将这种增长插入CAGR计算器时，就会转化为<b>+5.85%</b>预期业务盈利回报的10年复合年增长率估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年全周期复合年增长率估计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Potential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of<b>+4.10%</b>at today's price.</p><p><blockquote>潜在的未来回报可以来自两个主要地方：市场情绪回报或业务收益回报。如果我们假设PayPal未来10年的市场情绪恢复到上一个周期的平均值，则复合年增长率将为-1.75%。如果盈利收益率和增长与上一个周期相似，该公司的10年复合年增长率应该在+5.85%左右。如果我们将两者放在一起，我们会得到预期的10年全周期复合年增长率为<b>+4.10%</b>以今天的价格。</blockquote></p><p> My Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.</p><p><blockquote>我对此类股票的买入/卖出/持有范围是：复合年增长率高于12%为买入，预期复合年增长率低于4%为卖出，4%至12%之间为持有。这使得PayPal股票在今天的价格水平上勉强属于“持有”类别。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Additional Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项</b></blockquote></p><p> I consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal是目前市场上质量最高的成长型股票之一，这就是为什么我一直相对密切地关注其估值。在本节中，我将分享我对PayPal的公允价值范围，以及我愿意在基于收益的安全边际下购买该股票的价格，以及我考虑使用更激进和不太保守的估值方法购买的价格。因此，我将从各种不同的角度来看PayPal的估值，让我们更清楚地了解购买该股票的合适价格。</blockquote></p><p> First, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我将使用本文中使用的相同假设和输入从我的购买价格和公允价值范围开始。如果我们使用所有这些相同的输入，我目前对PayPal的公允价值范围约为每股126.50美元至164.00美元。我目前的买入价格（包括安全边际）是112.10美元。低于该价格买入的投资者在中期内很有可能获得丰厚的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Once we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.</p><p><blockquote>一旦我们进入新的一年和2022年，我将开始提前预测PayPal 2022年的盈利。目前，分析师预计2022年每股收益为5.25美元。如果PayPal的其他指标保持不变，这将大大提高其估值，并将其公允价值范围提高至每股145.00美元至187.50美元，安全买入价格为每股128.00美元。当然，这是假设分析师维持对2022年的预期不变，并且在未来几个月内不会降低预期。这也意味着，根据未来的收益，如果PayPal在一两个月内保持接近当前价格的交易，它已经处于“公允价值”价格范围的上限。这可能是当前所有者继续持有的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> The Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.</p><p><blockquote>我在本文中使用的全周期收益分析并不是我使用的唯一分析类型。对于某些利润快速增长的罕见企业，我最近开发了一种新的分析方法，以帮助识别仅根据收益可能永远不会变得足够便宜的快速增长企业。这种分析的方法是我的私人服务机构周期性投资者俱乐部独有的，但由于PayPal的利润增长非常强劲，它实际上也有资格进行这种类型的分析，我想我至少会分享这种分析产生的“购买价格”，因为它比基于收益的分析更激进一些。</blockquote></p><p> When I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.</p><p><blockquote>当我使用利润增长分析来检查PayPal时，它得出的买入价格为144.90美元。我觉得这很有趣，因为如果本季度利润继续增长，价格可能会上涨一点，并使用我的基于收益的方法，使用明年的收益，使其非常接近公允价值的中间值。这是假设PayPal的指标从现在到那时不会恶化，而且PayPal也必须满足一些技术要求，但我认为到2022年2月，我很有可能成为PayPal股票的买家，大约在我警告投资者其高估值一年后。看看结果会很有趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> I think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal 2021年的衰落是一个有趣且有用的案例研究，超越了PayPal本身。我们今年看到的PayPal股价下跌是完全可以预见的，还有许多其他估值丰厚的科技股也将经历类似的下跌，其中大多数可能在2022年。对于跑赢大盘此类股票的投资者来说，现在可能是考虑多元化的时候了，以帮助保持过去几年的收益。虽然会有一些被高估的股票停滞不前几年，毫无进展，也有极少数股票设法继续上涨，但绝大多数股票将经历像PayPal那样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474960-paypal-share-price-decline-overvalued-technology-stocks\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474960-paypal-share-price-decline-overvalued-technology-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120286910","content_text":"Summary\n\nPayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.\nI warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.\nThat warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.\nPayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.\n\nBsWei/iStock via Getty Images\nIntroduction\nBack on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&P 500 (SPY).\nData by YCharts\nThe stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.\nThe truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.\nThis should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.\nThe difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investorslovenarratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.\nIn this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.\nFull-Cycle Earnings Analysis\nAs part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.\nBefore I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.\n\nWe can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.\nMarket Sentiment Return Expectations\nIn order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.\n\nPayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of-1.75%. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.\nBusiness Earnings Expectations\nWe previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.\nThere are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.\nThe next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).\nData by YCharts\nDue to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.\nNow, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.\nNext, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a+5.85%10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.\n10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate\nPotential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of+4.10%at today's price.\nMy Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.\nAdditional Considerations\nI consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.\nFirst, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.\nOnce we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.\nThe Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.\nWhen I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.\nConclusion\nI think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PYPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604894903,"gmtCreate":1639366288484,"gmtModify":1639366288607,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604894903","repostId":"1171271872","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171271872","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639348466,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171271872?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-13 06:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171271872","media":"Barrons","summary":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.Earnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and","content":"<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s&nbsp;last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要事件将是美联储利率制定委员会2021年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include&nbsp;Campbell Soup&nbsp;on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian&nbsp;Automotive, and&nbsp;Adobe&nbsp;on Thursday; and&nbsp;Darden Restaurants&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但周二将包括金宝汤；Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Rivian汽车和Adobe周四；周五还有达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的11月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计整体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都与10月份的生产者通胀速度大致相当。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment&nbsp;index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他发布的数据包括周二全国独立企业联合会的信心指数、周三人口普查局公布的11月零售支出以及周四公布的11月新屋开工数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/13</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill&nbsp;and&nbsp;PHX Minerals&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill和PHX Minerals在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and&nbsp;Avaya Holdings&nbsp;host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤、巴恩斯集团和Avaya Holdings举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布11月份生产者价格指数。市场普遍预计环比上涨0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心PPI将上涨0.4%。相比之下，10月份的增幅分别为0.6%和0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5,000名小企业主。预期看涨期权为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/15</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束了为期两天的会议，届时政策制定者将讨论加快缩减月度证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>11月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨0.5%，而进口价格预计上涨0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为1.5%和1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了12月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11月份零售支出报告。预计经季节调整后零售额环比增长0.7%，而10月份为增长1.7%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.8%，而上一时期为1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Jabil、Adobe、Rivian汽车和Nordson等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。季调后成屋开工年率料为156.3万套，10月为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开工被计算在内。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议记录。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继10月份增长1.6%后，经济学家预计增长0.6%。产能利用率预计为76.8，与10月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/17</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and&nbsp;Quanex Building Products&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants和Quanex Building Products在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-13 06:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s&nbsp;last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要事件将是美联储利率制定委员会2021年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include&nbsp;Campbell Soup&nbsp;on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian&nbsp;Automotive, and&nbsp;Adobe&nbsp;on Thursday; and&nbsp;Darden Restaurants&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但周二将包括金宝汤；Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Rivian汽车和Adobe周四；周五还有达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的11月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计整体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都与10月份的生产者通胀速度大致相当。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment&nbsp;index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他发布的数据包括周二全国独立企业联合会的信心指数、周三人口普查局公布的11月零售支出以及周四公布的11月新屋开工数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/13</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill&nbsp;and&nbsp;PHX Minerals&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill和PHX Minerals在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and&nbsp;Avaya Holdings&nbsp;host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤、巴恩斯集团和Avaya Holdings举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布11月份生产者价格指数。市场普遍预计环比上涨0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心PPI将上涨0.4%。相比之下，10月份的增幅分别为0.6%和0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5,000名小企业主。预期看涨期权为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/15</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束了为期两天的会议，届时政策制定者将讨论加快缩减月度证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>11月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨0.5%，而进口价格预计上涨0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为1.5%和1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了12月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11月份零售支出报告。预计经季节调整后零售额环比增长0.7%，而10月份为增长1.7%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.8%，而上一时期为1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Jabil、Adobe、Rivian汽车和Nordson等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。季调后成屋开工年率料为156.3万套，10月为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开工被计算在内。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议记录。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继10月份增长1.6%后，经济学家预计增长0.6%。产能利用率预计为76.8，与10月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/17</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and&nbsp;Quanex Building Products&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants和Quanex Building Products在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DRI":"达登饭店","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","JILL":"J.Jill Inc.","PHX":"潘汉德尔油气","FDX":"联邦快递","CPB":"金宝汤","ACN":"埃森哲",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SCS":"Steelcase Inc.","HEI":"海科航空",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司","ADBE":"Adobe"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171271872","content_text":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.\nEarnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and Darden Restaurants on Friday.\nEconomic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.\nOther data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.\nMonday 12/13\nJ.Jill and PHX Minerals host earnings conference calls.\nTuesday 12/14\nCampbell Soup, Barnes Group, and Avaya Holdings host investor days.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Federation of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.\nWednesday 12/15\nThe Federal Open Market Committee concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.\nThe BLS reports export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.\nThe Census Bureau reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.\nThursday 12/16\nHeico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nThe Census Bureaureleases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.\nThe Bank of England announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.\nThe Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.\nFriday 12/17\nSteelcase,Darden Restaurants, and Quanex Building Products host earnings conference calls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DRI":0.9,"ACN":0.9,"JILL":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"PHX":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"CPB":0.9,"AVYA":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"SCS":0.9,"RIVN":0.9,"ADBE":0.9,"HEI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"LEN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":564,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604094749,"gmtCreate":1639277160757,"gmtModify":1639277160923,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604094749","repostId":"2190674545","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604095993,"gmtCreate":1639276848267,"gmtModify":1639276848435,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604095993","repostId":"2190719536","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605563443,"gmtCreate":1639192075712,"gmtModify":1639192075867,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605563443","repostId":"2190767366","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605324164,"gmtCreate":1639118082387,"gmtModify":1639118240617,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605324164","repostId":"2190964556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602227674,"gmtCreate":1639031089242,"gmtModify":1639031115682,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602227674","repostId":"2190169579","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":799,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602227800,"gmtCreate":1639031078945,"gmtModify":1639031096340,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602227800","repostId":"2190169579","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602227966,"gmtCreate":1639031073481,"gmtModify":1639031073639,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602227966","repostId":"2190169579","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602021699,"gmtCreate":1638943921421,"gmtModify":1638943921543,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602021699","repostId":"2189719656","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":740,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606304078,"gmtCreate":1638832139261,"gmtModify":1638832139409,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606304078","repostId":"2189686612","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":820048469,"gmtCreate":1633331649702,"gmtModify":1633331649850,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820048469","repostId":"2172998912","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2172998912","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633331320,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2172998912?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-04 15:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Credit Suisse offices searched amid Greensill probe<blockquote>瑞士信贷办公室在格林希尔调查中遭到搜查</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2172998912","media":"The Straits Times","summary":"ZURICH (BLOOMBERG) - Police searched Credit Suisse Group AG's Zurich offices last week and confiscat","content":"<p><div> ZURICH (BLOOMBERG) - Police searched Credit Suisse Group AG's Zurich offices last week and confiscated documents related to Greensill Capital, the now-defunct firm with which the Swiss bank managed ...</p><p><blockquote><div>苏黎世（彭博）——警方上周搜查了瑞士信贷集团（Credit Suisse Group AG）在苏黎世的办公室，并没收了与格林希尔资本（Greensill Capital）有关的文件，格林希尔资本是这家瑞士银行管理的现已倒闭的公司...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/banking/credit-suisse-offices-searched-amid-greensill-probe\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/banking/credit-suisse-offices-searched-amid-greensill-probe\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"straits_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Credit Suisse offices searched amid Greensill probe<blockquote>瑞士信贷办公室在格林希尔调查中遭到搜查</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCredit Suisse offices searched amid Greensill probe<blockquote>瑞士信贷办公室在格林希尔调查中遭到搜查</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Straits Times</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-04 15:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> ZURICH (BLOOMBERG) - Police searched Credit Suisse Group AG's Zurich offices last week and confiscated documents related to Greensill Capital, the now-defunct firm with which the Swiss bank managed ...</p><p><blockquote><div>苏黎世（彭博）——警方上周搜查了瑞士信贷集团（Credit Suisse Group AG）在苏黎世的办公室，并没收了与格林希尔资本（Greensill Capital）有关的文件，格林希尔资本是这家瑞士银行管理的现已倒闭的公司...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/banking/credit-suisse-offices-searched-amid-greensill-probe\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/banking/credit-suisse-offices-searched-amid-greensill-probe\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/banking/credit-suisse-offices-searched-amid-greensill-probe\">The Straits Times</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/banking/credit-suisse-offices-searched-amid-greensill-probe","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2172998912","content_text":"ZURICH (BLOOMBERG) - Police searched Credit Suisse Group AG's Zurich offices last week and confiscated documents related to Greensill Capital, the now-defunct firm with which the Swiss bank managed supply-chain finance funds, NZZ am Sonntag reported.\nNew proceedings have been opened against an exponent of Greensill and unknown persons, Zurich's public prosecutor told the newspaper in a statement. No criminal investigation has been opened against current or former Credit Suisse employees, they said.\nSwitzerland's State Secretariat for Economic Affairs confirmed to Bloomberg News that it had filed a criminal complaint in the Greensill case for violating federal law against unfair competition, without elaborating. Calls and emails to the public prosecutor went unanswered outside regular business hours.\n\"As part of an official procedure that is not directed against Credit Suisse, data have been secured,\" a representative for the bank said in an emailed statement. \"Credit Suisse is cooperating fully with the authorities and will not comment on this until further notice because the proceedings are ongoing.\"\nCredit Suisse last month said it plans to return about $400 million to investors in supply-chain finance funds that invested in Greensill products, the fifth such disbursement since the bank was forced to freeze the money pools this year. It has conducted an investigation into what happened with the Greensill-linked funds and is due to announce its findings soon.\nThe bank marketed the popular supply-chain finance funds as among the safest investments it offered, because the loans they held were backed by invoices usually paid in a matter of weeks.\nBut as the funds grew into a US$10 billion strategy, they strayed from that pitch and much of the money was lent through Greensill against expected future invoices, for sales that were merely predicted.\nThe blow-up with Greensill and the collapse of hedge fund Archegos Capital Management LP have dominated the year for Credit Suisse. The Swiss group's investment bank head Brian Chin and risk chief Lara Warner both departed in the wake of the scandals.\nThe bank reported slump in second-quarter profit on the back of the Archegos implosion, and after it turned away billions of dollars in assets in Asia as it sought to reduce its exposure to risky clients. This included cutting ties with Japan's SoftBank Group Corp., a backer to the Greensill supply-chain finance empire.\nCredit Suisse Chairman Antonio Horta-Osorio told investors last week that the bank is at a \"critical juncture\" amid the fallout from Greensill and Archegos and is planning to outline its strategic response by the end of this year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841226010,"gmtCreate":1635916705678,"gmtModify":1635916705738,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841226010","repostId":"2180736486","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":804571532,"gmtCreate":1627968351926,"gmtModify":1633754767744,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804571532","repostId":"2156113204","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":843233078,"gmtCreate":1635830039982,"gmtModify":1635830040042,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843233078","repostId":"2180209403","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":885028169,"gmtCreate":1631747257151,"gmtModify":1631883874541,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885028169","repostId":"1148341685","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148341685","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631660884,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148341685?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-15 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks close lower on worries over recovery, corporate tax hikes<blockquote>美国股市因对复苏和企业增税的担忧而收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148341685","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing likelihood of a corporate tax rate hike dampened investor sentiment and prompted a broad sell-off despite signs of easing inflation.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约-华尔街周二下跌，原因是经济不确定性和企业税率上调的可能性越来越大，抑制了投资者情绪，并引发了广泛的抛售，尽管通胀有缓解的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Optimism faded throughout the session, reversing an initial rally following the Labor Department’s consumer price index report. All three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory in a reminder that September is a historically rough month for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>整个交易日乐观情绪消退，扭转了劳工部消费者价格指数报告发布后最初的涨势。美国三大股指均收于负值，提醒人们9月份对于股市来说是历史上艰难的一个月。</blockquote></p><p> So far this month the S&amp;P 500 is down nearly 1.8% even as the benchmark index has gained over 18% since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote>本月迄今为止，标普500已下跌近1.8%，尽管基准指数自年初以来已上涨超过18%。</blockquote></p><p> “There is a possibility that the market is simply ready to go through an overdue correction,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York. “From a seasonality perspective, September tends to be the window dressing period for fund managers.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约CFRA Research首席投资策略师Sam Stovall表示：“市场有可能只是准备好经历一次迟来的调整。”“从季节性来看，9月往往是基金经理的粉饰期。”</blockquote></p><p> The advent of the highly contagious Delta COVID variant has driven an increase in bearish sentiment regarding the recovery from the global health crisis, and many now expect a substantial correction in stock markets by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>高度传染性的Delta COVID变种的出现导致人们对从全球健康危机中复苏的看跌情绪增加，许多人现在预计股市将在今年年底前大幅调整。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re still in a corrective mode that people have been calling for months,” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. “Economic data points have been missing estimates, and that has coincided with the rise in the Delta variant.”</p><p><blockquote>芝加哥Kingsview Asset Management投资组合经理保罗·诺尔特(Paul Nolte)表示：“我们仍处于人们几个月来一直呼吁的纠正模式。”“经济数据点一直低于预期，而这与德尔塔变异毒株的上升同时发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The CPI report delivered a lower-than-consensus August reading, a deceleration that supports Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s assertion that spiking inflation is transitory and calms market fears that the central bank will begin tightening monetary policy sooner than expected.</p><p><blockquote>CPI报告公布的8月份读数低于市场普遍预期，这一减速支持了美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的说法，即通胀飙升是暂时的，并平息了市场对美联储将比预期更早开始收紧货币政策的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. Treasury yields dropped on the data, which pressured financial stocks, and investor favor pivoted back to growth at the expense of value. [US/]</p><p><blockquote>美国国债收益率因数据而下跌，这给金融股带来压力，投资者的青睐转向增长，而牺牲了价值。[美国/]</blockquote></p><p> The long expected corporate tax hikes, to 26.5% from 21% if Democrats prevail, are coming nearer to fruition with U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package inching closer to passage.</p><p><blockquote>随着美国总统乔·拜登（Joe Biden）的3.5万亿美元预算计划逐渐接近通过，人们期待已久的公司税上调（如果民主党获胜，将从21%上调至26.5%）即将实现。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 292.06 points, or 0.84%, to 34,577.57; the S&amp;P 500 lost 25.68 points, or 0.57%, at 4,443.05; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 67.82 points, or 0.45%, to 15,037.76.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数跌292.06点，或0.84%，报34577.57点；标普500跌25.68点，跌幅0.57%，报4,443.05点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌67.82点，跌幅0.45%，至15037.76点。</blockquote></p><p> All 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500 ended the session red, with energy and financials suffering the largest percentage drops.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块全部收红，能源和金融板块跌幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc unveiled its iPhone 13 and added new features to its iPad and Apple Watch gadgets in its biggest product launch event of the year as the company faces increased scrutiny in the courts over its business practices. Its shares closed down 1.0% and were the heaviest drag on the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司在今年最大的产品发布会上推出了iPhone 13，并为其iPad和苹果手表设备添加了新功能，因为该公司面临着法院对其商业行为的更严格审查。其股价收盘下跌1.0%，对标普500和纳斯达克拖累最大。</blockquote></p><p> Intuit Inc gained 1.9% following the TurboTax maker’s announcement that it would acquire digital marketing company Mailchimp for $12 billion.</p><p><blockquote>TurboTax制造商Intuit Inc宣布将以120亿美元收购数字营销公司Mailchimp后，该公司股价上涨1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> CureVac slid 8.0% after the German biotechnology company canceled manufacturing deals for its experimental COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>德国生物技术公司CureVac取消其实验性COVID-19疫苗的生产交易后，股价下跌8.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.25-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.40-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为2.25比1；在纳斯达克，2.40比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 50 new highs and 107 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下两个52周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得50个新高和107个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.07 billion shares, compared with the 9.38 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为100.7亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为93.8亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks close lower on worries over recovery, corporate tax hikes<blockquote>美国股市因对复苏和企业增税的担忧而收低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks close lower on worries over recovery, corporate tax hikes<blockquote>美国股市因对复苏和企业增税的担忧而收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-15 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing likelihood of a corporate tax rate hike dampened investor sentiment and prompted a broad sell-off despite signs of easing inflation.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约-华尔街周二下跌，原因是经济不确定性和企业税率上调的可能性越来越大，抑制了投资者情绪，并引发了广泛的抛售，尽管通胀有缓解的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Optimism faded throughout the session, reversing an initial rally following the Labor Department’s consumer price index report. All three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory in a reminder that September is a historically rough month for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>整个交易日乐观情绪消退，扭转了劳工部消费者价格指数报告发布后最初的涨势。美国三大股指均收于负值，提醒人们9月份对于股市来说是历史上艰难的一个月。</blockquote></p><p> So far this month the S&amp;P 500 is down nearly 1.8% even as the benchmark index has gained over 18% since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote>本月迄今为止，标普500已下跌近1.8%，尽管基准指数自年初以来已上涨超过18%。</blockquote></p><p> “There is a possibility that the market is simply ready to go through an overdue correction,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York. “From a seasonality perspective, September tends to be the window dressing period for fund managers.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约CFRA Research首席投资策略师Sam Stovall表示：“市场有可能只是准备好经历一次迟来的调整。”“从季节性来看，9月往往是基金经理的粉饰期。”</blockquote></p><p> The advent of the highly contagious Delta COVID variant has driven an increase in bearish sentiment regarding the recovery from the global health crisis, and many now expect a substantial correction in stock markets by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>高度传染性的Delta COVID变种的出现导致人们对从全球健康危机中复苏的看跌情绪增加，许多人现在预计股市将在今年年底前大幅调整。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re still in a corrective mode that people have been calling for months,” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. “Economic data points have been missing estimates, and that has coincided with the rise in the Delta variant.”</p><p><blockquote>芝加哥Kingsview Asset Management投资组合经理保罗·诺尔特(Paul Nolte)表示：“我们仍处于人们几个月来一直呼吁的纠正模式。”“经济数据点一直低于预期，而这与德尔塔变异毒株的上升同时发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The CPI report delivered a lower-than-consensus August reading, a deceleration that supports Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s assertion that spiking inflation is transitory and calms market fears that the central bank will begin tightening monetary policy sooner than expected.</p><p><blockquote>CPI报告公布的8月份读数低于市场普遍预期，这一减速支持了美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的说法，即通胀飙升是暂时的，并平息了市场对美联储将比预期更早开始收紧货币政策的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. Treasury yields dropped on the data, which pressured financial stocks, and investor favor pivoted back to growth at the expense of value. [US/]</p><p><blockquote>美国国债收益率因数据而下跌，这给金融股带来压力，投资者的青睐转向增长，而牺牲了价值。[美国/]</blockquote></p><p> The long expected corporate tax hikes, to 26.5% from 21% if Democrats prevail, are coming nearer to fruition with U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package inching closer to passage.</p><p><blockquote>随着美国总统乔·拜登（Joe Biden）的3.5万亿美元预算计划逐渐接近通过，人们期待已久的公司税上调（如果民主党获胜，将从21%上调至26.5%）即将实现。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 292.06 points, or 0.84%, to 34,577.57; the S&amp;P 500 lost 25.68 points, or 0.57%, at 4,443.05; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 67.82 points, or 0.45%, to 15,037.76.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数跌292.06点，或0.84%，报34577.57点；标普500跌25.68点，跌幅0.57%，报4,443.05点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌67.82点，跌幅0.45%，至15037.76点。</blockquote></p><p> All 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500 ended the session red, with energy and financials suffering the largest percentage drops.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块全部收红，能源和金融板块跌幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc unveiled its iPhone 13 and added new features to its iPad and Apple Watch gadgets in its biggest product launch event of the year as the company faces increased scrutiny in the courts over its business practices. Its shares closed down 1.0% and were the heaviest drag on the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司在今年最大的产品发布会上推出了iPhone 13，并为其iPad和苹果手表设备添加了新功能，因为该公司面临着法院对其商业行为的更严格审查。其股价收盘下跌1.0%，对标普500和纳斯达克拖累最大。</blockquote></p><p> Intuit Inc gained 1.9% following the TurboTax maker’s announcement that it would acquire digital marketing company Mailchimp for $12 billion.</p><p><blockquote>TurboTax制造商Intuit Inc宣布将以120亿美元收购数字营销公司Mailchimp后，该公司股价上涨1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> CureVac slid 8.0% after the German biotechnology company canceled manufacturing deals for its experimental COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>德国生物技术公司CureVac取消其实验性COVID-19疫苗的生产交易后，股价下跌8.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.25-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.40-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为2.25比1；在纳斯达克，2.40比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 50 new highs and 107 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下两个52周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得50个新高和107个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.07 billion shares, compared with the 9.38 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为100.7亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为93.8亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/u-s-stocks-close-lower-on-worries-over-recovery-corporate-tax-hikes-idUSKBN2GA0W9\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/u-s-stocks-close-lower-on-worries-over-recovery-corporate-tax-hikes-idUSKBN2GA0W9","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148341685","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing likelihood of a corporate tax rate hike dampened investor sentiment and prompted a broad sell-off despite signs of easing inflation.\nOptimism faded throughout the session, reversing an initial rally following the Labor Department’s consumer price index report. All three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory in a reminder that September is a historically rough month for stocks.\nSo far this month the S&P 500 is down nearly 1.8% even as the benchmark index has gained over 18% since the beginning of the year.\n“There is a possibility that the market is simply ready to go through an overdue correction,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York. “From a seasonality perspective, September tends to be the window dressing period for fund managers.”\nThe advent of the highly contagious Delta COVID variant has driven an increase in bearish sentiment regarding the recovery from the global health crisis, and many now expect a substantial correction in stock markets by the end of the year.\n“We’re still in a corrective mode that people have been calling for months,” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. “Economic data points have been missing estimates, and that has coincided with the rise in the Delta variant.”\nThe CPI report delivered a lower-than-consensus August reading, a deceleration that supports Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s assertion that spiking inflation is transitory and calms market fears that the central bank will begin tightening monetary policy sooner than expected.\nU.S. Treasury yields dropped on the data, which pressured financial stocks, and investor favor pivoted back to growth at the expense of value. [US/]\nThe long expected corporate tax hikes, to 26.5% from 21% if Democrats prevail, are coming nearer to fruition with U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package inching closer to passage.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 292.06 points, or 0.84%, to 34,577.57; the S&P 500 lost 25.68 points, or 0.57%, at 4,443.05; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 67.82 points, or 0.45%, to 15,037.76.\nAll 11 major sectors in the S&P 500 ended the session red, with energy and financials suffering the largest percentage drops.\nApple Inc unveiled its iPhone 13 and added new features to its iPad and Apple Watch gadgets in its biggest product launch event of the year as the company faces increased scrutiny in the courts over its business practices. Its shares closed down 1.0% and were the heaviest drag on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.\nIntuit Inc gained 1.9% following the TurboTax maker’s announcement that it would acquire digital marketing company Mailchimp for $12 billion.\nCureVac slid 8.0% after the German biotechnology company canceled manufacturing deals for its experimental COVID-19 vaccine.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.25-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.40-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 50 new highs and 107 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.07 billion shares, compared with the 9.38 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":186,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898057985,"gmtCreate":1628464820147,"gmtModify":1631893717663,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898057985","repostId":"1136322726","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":608405005,"gmtCreate":1638769962572,"gmtModify":1638770030204,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608405005","repostId":"1179313612","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179313612","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638745398,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179313612?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-06 07:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Game Stop, Toll Brothers, Costco, CVS, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Game Stop、Toll Brothers、Costco、CVS和其他本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179313612","media":"Barrons","summary":"Meme stock darling GameStop headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer rep","content":"<p>Meme stock darling <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a> headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer reports results after the market closes on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">AutoZone</a>, Casey’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">General</a> Stores, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">Toll Brothers</a> report earnings on Tuesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">Brown-Forman</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">Campbell Soup</a> on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesale, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">Hormel</a> Foods round things out on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票宠儿<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>本周财报阵容头条。这家视频游戏零售商将在周三收盘后公布业绩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">AutoZone</a>，凯西的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">一般的</a>商店，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">托尔兄弟</a>周二公布收益，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">布朗-福尔曼</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">坎贝尔汤</a>星期三。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>批发，及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">荷美尔</a>周四的食物使事情更加圆满。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">Union Pacific</a> will hold a conference call to discuss its climate action plan. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">McKesson</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">Southwest Airlines</a> host their 2021 investor days on Wednesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS Health</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> Foods on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>周一，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">联合太平洋</a>将召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">麦克森</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">西南航空</a>周三举办2021年投资者日，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS健康</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>周四的食物。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s report on consumer credit data for October will be released on Tuesday. On Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4.</p><p><blockquote>美联储10月消费者信贷数据报告将于周二公布。周四，美国劳工部公布了截至12月4日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November on Friday. The consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局周五发布11月份消费者价格指数。市场普遍预期同比增长6.7%，比10月份高出半个百分点。排除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而此前为4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/6</b></blockquote></p><p> Union Pacific holds a conference call to discuss its climate action plan.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋公司召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/7</b></blockquote></p><p> AutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers announce quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>AutoZone、Casey’s General Stores和Toll Brothers公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve reports on consumer credit data for October. After falling slightly last year, total outstanding consumer debt has risen an average of $20 billion a month through September, and stands at a record $4.37 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告10月份消费者信贷数据。继去年小幅下降后，截至9月份，未偿消费者债务总额平均每月增加200亿美元，达到创纪录的4.37万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/8</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/8</b></blockquote></p><p> The BLS releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10.5 million job openings on the last business day of October, only 600,000 less than the record high of 11.1 million in July.</p><p><blockquote>BLS发布职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。经济学家预测10月最后一个工作日将有1050万个职位空缺，仅比7月1110万的历史新高少60万个。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">Brown-Forman</a>, Campbell Soup, and GameStop report earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">布朗-福尔曼</a>、金宝汤和游戏驿站公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> McKesson and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">Southwest</a> Airlines host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>麦克森和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">西南</a>航空公司举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">Edwards Lifesciences</a> holds an investor conference in Irvine, Calif. The company will discuss its product pipeline as well as its financial outlook for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">爱德华兹生命科学公司</a>在加州尔湾举行投资者会议。该公司将讨论其产品线以及2022年的财务前景。</blockquote></p><p> The Bank of Canada announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. At its late-October meeting, the bank ended its quantitative-easing program and signaled that its first interest-rate hike would be earlier in 2022 than had been expected.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大央行宣布货币政策决定。预计央行将维持关键短期利率在0.25%不变。在10月底的会议上，央行结束了量化宽松计划，并表示首次加息将于2022年早于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/9</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/9</b></blockquote></p><p> Broadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Broadcom、Costco Wholesale和Hormel Foods在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> CVS Health and Tyson Foods host their annual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>CVS Health和泰森食品举办年度投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4. Jobless claims averaged 238,750 in November, the lowest since the beginning of the pandemic, and just 24,750 more than in February of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告了截至12月4日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。11月份平均申请失业救济人数为238,750人，为大流行开始以来的最低水平，仅比2020年2月增加24,750人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/10</b></blockquote></p><p> Archer-Daniels-Midland holds its global investor day.</p><p><blockquote>阿彻-丹尼尔斯-米德兰举办全球投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">Centene</a> holds an investor meeting and will provide financial guidance for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">Centene</a>召开投资者会议，并将提供2022年的财务指导。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously. October’s 6.2% increase was the hottest the CPI has run in more than 30 years, and this past week Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> finally ditched “transitory” when discussing inflation before the Senate Banking Committee.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局发布11月份消费者价格指数。市场普遍预计同比增长6.7%，比10月份高出半个百分点。排除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而此前为4.6%。10月份6.2%的涨幅是CPI 30多年来最热的一次，而上周美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>在参议院银行委员会讨论通货膨胀时，最终放弃了“暂时性”。</blockquote></p><p> The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for December. Economists forecast a 66 reading, slightly less than the November data.</p><p><blockquote>密歇根大学发布12月份消费者信心指数。经济学家预测为66，略低于11月份的数据。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Game Stop, Toll Brothers, Costco, CVS, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Game Stop、Toll Brothers、Costco、CVS和其他本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGame Stop, Toll Brothers, Costco, CVS, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Game Stop、Toll Brothers、Costco、CVS和其他本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-06 07:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Meme stock darling <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a> headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer reports results after the market closes on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">AutoZone</a>, Casey’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">General</a> Stores, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">Toll Brothers</a> report earnings on Tuesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">Brown-Forman</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">Campbell Soup</a> on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesale, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">Hormel</a> Foods round things out on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票宠儿<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>本周财报阵容头条。这家视频游戏零售商将在周三收盘后公布业绩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">AutoZone</a>，凯西的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">一般的</a>商店，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">托尔兄弟</a>周二公布收益，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">布朗-福尔曼</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">坎贝尔汤</a>星期三。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>批发，及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">荷美尔</a>周四的食物使事情更加圆满。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">Union Pacific</a> will hold a conference call to discuss its climate action plan. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">McKesson</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">Southwest Airlines</a> host their 2021 investor days on Wednesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS Health</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> Foods on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>周一，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">联合太平洋</a>将召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">麦克森</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">西南航空</a>周三举办2021年投资者日，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS健康</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>周四的食物。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s report on consumer credit data for October will be released on Tuesday. On Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4.</p><p><blockquote>美联储10月消费者信贷数据报告将于周二公布。周四，美国劳工部公布了截至12月4日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November on Friday. The consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局周五发布11月份消费者价格指数。市场普遍预期同比增长6.7%，比10月份高出半个百分点。排除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而此前为4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/6</b></blockquote></p><p> Union Pacific holds a conference call to discuss its climate action plan.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋公司召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/7</b></blockquote></p><p> AutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers announce quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>AutoZone、Casey’s General Stores和Toll Brothers公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve reports on consumer credit data for October. After falling slightly last year, total outstanding consumer debt has risen an average of $20 billion a month through September, and stands at a record $4.37 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告10月份消费者信贷数据。继去年小幅下降后，截至9月份，未偿消费者债务总额平均每月增加200亿美元，达到创纪录的4.37万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/8</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/8</b></blockquote></p><p> The BLS releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10.5 million job openings on the last business day of October, only 600,000 less than the record high of 11.1 million in July.</p><p><blockquote>BLS发布职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。经济学家预测10月最后一个工作日将有1050万个职位空缺，仅比7月1110万的历史新高少60万个。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">Brown-Forman</a>, Campbell Soup, and GameStop report earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">布朗-福尔曼</a>、金宝汤和游戏驿站公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> McKesson and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">Southwest</a> Airlines host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>麦克森和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">西南</a>航空公司举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">Edwards Lifesciences</a> holds an investor conference in Irvine, Calif. The company will discuss its product pipeline as well as its financial outlook for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">爱德华兹生命科学公司</a>在加州尔湾举行投资者会议。该公司将讨论其产品线以及2022年的财务前景。</blockquote></p><p> The Bank of Canada announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. At its late-October meeting, the bank ended its quantitative-easing program and signaled that its first interest-rate hike would be earlier in 2022 than had been expected.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大央行宣布货币政策决定。预计央行将维持关键短期利率在0.25%不变。在10月底的会议上，央行结束了量化宽松计划，并表示首次加息将于2022年早于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/9</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/9</b></blockquote></p><p> Broadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Broadcom、Costco Wholesale和Hormel Foods在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> CVS Health and Tyson Foods host their annual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>CVS Health和泰森食品举办年度投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4. Jobless claims averaged 238,750 in November, the lowest since the beginning of the pandemic, and just 24,750 more than in February of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告了截至12月4日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。11月份平均申请失业救济人数为238,750人，为大流行开始以来的最低水平，仅比2020年2月增加24,750人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/10</b></blockquote></p><p> Archer-Daniels-Midland holds its global investor day.</p><p><blockquote>阿彻-丹尼尔斯-米德兰举办全球投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">Centene</a> holds an investor meeting and will provide financial guidance for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">Centene</a>召开投资者会议，并将提供2022年的财务指导。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously. October’s 6.2% increase was the hottest the CPI has run in more than 30 years, and this past week Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> finally ditched “transitory” when discussing inflation before the Senate Banking Committee.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局发布11月份消费者价格指数。市场普遍预计同比增长6.7%，比10月份高出半个百分点。排除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而此前为4.6%。10月份6.2%的涨幅是CPI 30多年来最热的一次，而上周美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>在参议院银行委员会讨论通货膨胀时，最终放弃了“暂时性”。</blockquote></p><p> The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for December. Economists forecast a 66 reading, slightly less than the November data.</p><p><blockquote>密歇根大学发布12月份消费者信心指数。经济学家预测为66，略低于11月份的数据。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/game-stop-toll-brothers-costco-cvs-and-other-stocks-to-watch-this-week-51638734413?mod=barrons-on-marketwatch\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TOL":"托尔兄弟","CVS":"西维斯健康","GME":"游戏驿站","COST":"好市多","BK4088":"住宅建筑"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/game-stop-toll-brothers-costco-cvs-and-other-stocks-to-watch-this-week-51638734413?mod=barrons-on-marketwatch","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1179313612","content_text":"Meme stock darling GameStop headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer reports results after the market closes on Wednesday. AutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers report earnings on Tuesday, followed by Brown-Forman and Campbell Soup on Wednesday. Broadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods round things out on Thursday.\nOn Monday, Union Pacific will hold a conference call to discuss its climate action plan. McKesson and Southwest Airlines host their 2021 investor days on Wednesday, followed by CVS Health and Tyson Foods on Thursday.\nThe Federal Reserve’s report on consumer credit data for October will be released on Tuesday. On Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November on Friday. The consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously.\nMonday 12/6\nUnion Pacific holds a conference call to discuss its climate action plan.\nTuesday 12/7\nAutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers announce quarterly results.\nThe Federal Reserve reports on consumer credit data for October. After falling slightly last year, total outstanding consumer debt has risen an average of $20 billion a month through September, and stands at a record $4.37 trillion.\nWednesday 12/8\nThe BLS releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10.5 million job openings on the last business day of October, only 600,000 less than the record high of 11.1 million in July.\nBrown-Forman, Campbell Soup, and GameStop report earnings.\nMcKesson and Southwest Airlines host their 2021 investor days.\nEdwards Lifesciences holds an investor conference in Irvine, Calif. The company will discuss its product pipeline as well as its financial outlook for 2022.\nThe Bank of Canada announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. At its late-October meeting, the bank ended its quantitative-easing program and signaled that its first interest-rate hike would be earlier in 2022 than had been expected.\nThursday 12/9\nBroadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nCVS Health and Tyson Foods host their annual investor days.\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4. Jobless claims averaged 238,750 in November, the lowest since the beginning of the pandemic, and just 24,750 more than in February of 2020.\nFriday 12/10\nArcher-Daniels-Midland holds its global investor day.\nCentene holds an investor meeting and will provide financial guidance for 2022.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously. October’s 6.2% increase was the hottest the CPI has run in more than 30 years, and this past week Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell finally ditched “transitory” when discussing inflation before the Senate Banking Committee.\nThe University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for December. Economists forecast a 66 reading, slightly less than the November data.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TOL":0.9,"CVS":0.9,"COST":0.9,"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":874719282,"gmtCreate":1637822647942,"gmtModify":1637822648015,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874719282","repostId":"1178942831","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178942831","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637822230,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178942831?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-25 14:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Big Tech still looks underowned, Morgan Stanley sees in active/passive holdings probe<blockquote>摩根士丹利在主动/被动持股调查中发现，大型科技公司的持股量仍然不足</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178942831","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Big Tech - the stocks with a heavy presence in global indexes, and front and center in investors' de","content":"<p>Big Tech - the stocks with a heavy presence in global indexes, and front and center in investors' debate over what to get out of before the market turns south - is still underowned, Morgan Stanley says in a quantitative dive into large-cap institutional ownership.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）在对大盘股机构所有权的量化研究中表示，大型科技股——在全球指数中占有重要地位，也是投资者关于在市场转向南方之前退出什么的争论的前沿和中心——仍然持有不足。</blockquote></p><p> That leaves the firm more bullish on the big names.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该公司更加看好大牌公司。</blockquote></p><p> Active portfolio weights for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft </a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com </a> are 1-2 points below their S&amp;P 500 weighting, the firm's tech analysts note. And its analyst shows a positive correlation between low active ownership (vs. S&amp;P 500) and future performance.</p><p><blockquote>主动投资组合权重<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>该公司的科技分析师指出，比其标普500权重低1-2个百分点。其分析师显示，低活跃所有权（与标普500相比）与未来业绩之间存在正相关。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley looks at the ownership data for top tech companies every quarter, and as of Q3, those names are showing record gaps between active and passive ownership.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利每个季度都会查看顶级科技公司的所有权数据，截至第三季度，这些公司的主动所有权和被动所有权之间的差距创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> It's those times that stocks experience a technical pull higher when active ownership trails the market that much, and vice versa. And in the case of Microsoft, Apple and Amazon, in particular, they've gotten increasingly more underowned over the past two quarters.</p><p><blockquote>当活跃所有权远远落后于市场时，股票就会经历技术性上涨，反之亦然。尤其是微软、苹果和亚马逊，过去两个季度它们的所有权越来越少。</blockquote></p><p> Looking stock by stock, it's bullish on Apple (AAPL) for 2022 as it says \"investors underappreciate the sustainability of iPhone growth and the defensibility of Services growth long-term.\" iPhone upgrade intentions look strong on a blended basis, and while there is some increased risk to App Store growth from the court's injunction, Morgan Stanley says its data show less than 2 in 10 Americans (and less than 4 in 10 Chinese consumers) would be willing to pay developers directly for mobile apps, preferring the App Store approach.</p><p><blockquote>从股票来看，它看好苹果(AAPL)2022年的业绩，因为它表示“投资者低估了iPhone增长的可持续性和服务增长的长期可持续性。”在混合的基础上，iPhone的升级意图看起来很强烈，尽管法院的禁令增加了App Store增长的风险，但摩根士丹利表示，其数据显示，不到十分之二的美国人（不到十分之四的中国消费者）愿意直接向开发者支付移动应用费用，更喜欢App Store的方式。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft (MSFT) is a \"rare combination of strong secular positioning and reasonable valuation within the software space.\" It's pushing double-digit revenue growth with building momentum across cloud and hybrid solutions, combined with improving gross margins and a positive opex growth profile. And it still trades at a discount to peers, the firm says.</p><p><blockquote>微软（MSFT）是“软件领域内强大的长期定位和合理估值的罕见组合”。随着云和混合解决方案的势头不断增强，加上毛利率的提高和运营支出的积极增长，它正在推动两位数的收入增长。该公司表示，它的交易价格仍然低于同行。</blockquote></p><p> A guide down in profits from Amazon.com (AMZN) driven by fourth-quarter investment \"speaks to the higher operating margin pressure on the retail business from more hiring, higher hourly labor costs, process inefficiencies, freight costs and higher content spend,\" Morgan Stanley says. And while part of that investment is tied to \"catching up\" to unusual 2020 demand, some of it's about new initiatives to build durable multi-year growth, it says.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利表示，亚马逊（AMZN）第四季度投资导致利润下降，“表明零售业务因招聘增加、每小时劳动力成本上升、流程效率低下、货运成本和内容支出增加而面临更大的营业利润率压力”。报告称，虽然部分投资与“赶上”2020年不同寻常的需求有关，但其中一些投资与建立持久多年增长的新举措有关。</blockquote></p><p> Going forward it's focusing on more evidence for traction of third-party logistics (and/or faster share gains in same-day cities), or lower-than-expected incremental profit pressure from the investment spending.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，它将关注更多第三方物流吸引力的证据（和/或当天城市更快的份额增长），或投资支出带来的低于预期的增量利润压力。</blockquote></p><p> Other stocks, meanwhile, are showing the opposite dynamic on active/passive ownership - notably <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm </a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTU\">Intuit </a>. There's room for optimism with those too, the firm says.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，其他股票在主动/被动所有权方面表现出相反的动态——特别是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTU\">直觉</a>该公司表示，这些也有乐观的空间。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm's (QCOM) active weighting is about 60 basis points above its S&amp;P weighting. The firm's staying optimistic, with \"adjustments to expectations likely to come as 5G adoption growth matures.\" And outside of handsets and RFFE, Morgan Stanley says it's \"excited\" about the prospects of diversifying business in Autos and Internet of Things.</p><p><blockquote>高通(QCOM)的主动权重比其标准普尔权重高出约60个基点。该公司保持乐观态度，“随着5G采用增长的成熟，预期可能会进行调整”。摩根士丹利表示，除了手机和RFFE之外，它对汽车和物联网业务多元化的前景感到“兴奋”。</blockquote></p><p> Intuit's (INTU) average portfolio concentration has hit an all-time high and is well above its S&amp;P 500 weighting. \"It appears Intuit's improved growth and margin profile exiting the pandemic has resonated with institutional investors, resulting in the stock being overowned vs. peers.\"</p><p><blockquote>Intuit(INTU)的平均投资组合集中度创下历史新高，远高于其标普500权重。“Intuit在疫情结束后的增长和利润率状况似乎引起了机构投资者的共鸣，导致该股相对于同行被过度持有。”</blockquote></p><p> The new strategy to focus on higher-value solutions is driving the top line and an improved margin profile, Morgan Stanley says, and it kicked off fiscal 2022 with a beat-and-raise quarter that \"reinforces our believe Intuit is set up for beat-and-raise quarters thru FY22.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利表示，专注于更高价值解决方案的新战略正在推动营收和利润率的改善，并以一个超越并提高的季度拉开了2022财年的序幕，“强化了我们的信念，Intuit已准备好击败-并提高2022财年的季度。”</blockquote></p><p> The Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLK), whose top two holdings are Microsoft and Apple, has been outpacing the S&amp;P 500 and rallied to an all-time high Monday on the back of heavy gains in those stocks.</p><p><blockquote>科技精选行业SPDR ETF（NYSEARCA：XLK）的前两大持股是微软和苹果，该基金的表现一直超过标普500，并在这些股票大幅上涨的推动下周一升至历史新高。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big Tech still looks underowned, Morgan Stanley sees in active/passive holdings probe<blockquote>摩根士丹利在主动/被动持股调查中发现，大型科技公司的持股量仍然不足</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig Tech still looks underowned, Morgan Stanley sees in active/passive holdings probe<blockquote>摩根士丹利在主动/被动持股调查中发现，大型科技公司的持股量仍然不足</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-25 14:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Big Tech - the stocks with a heavy presence in global indexes, and front and center in investors' debate over what to get out of before the market turns south - is still underowned, Morgan Stanley says in a quantitative dive into large-cap institutional ownership.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）在对大盘股机构所有权的量化研究中表示，大型科技股——在全球指数中占有重要地位，也是投资者关于在市场转向南方之前退出什么的争论的前沿和中心——仍然持有不足。</blockquote></p><p> That leaves the firm more bullish on the big names.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该公司更加看好大牌公司。</blockquote></p><p> Active portfolio weights for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft </a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com </a> are 1-2 points below their S&amp;P 500 weighting, the firm's tech analysts note. And its analyst shows a positive correlation between low active ownership (vs. S&amp;P 500) and future performance.</p><p><blockquote>主动投资组合权重<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>该公司的科技分析师指出，比其标普500权重低1-2个百分点。其分析师显示，低活跃所有权（与标普500相比）与未来业绩之间存在正相关。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley looks at the ownership data for top tech companies every quarter, and as of Q3, those names are showing record gaps between active and passive ownership.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利每个季度都会查看顶级科技公司的所有权数据，截至第三季度，这些公司的主动所有权和被动所有权之间的差距创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> It's those times that stocks experience a technical pull higher when active ownership trails the market that much, and vice versa. And in the case of Microsoft, Apple and Amazon, in particular, they've gotten increasingly more underowned over the past two quarters.</p><p><blockquote>当活跃所有权远远落后于市场时，股票就会经历技术性上涨，反之亦然。尤其是微软、苹果和亚马逊，过去两个季度它们的所有权越来越少。</blockquote></p><p> Looking stock by stock, it's bullish on Apple (AAPL) for 2022 as it says \"investors underappreciate the sustainability of iPhone growth and the defensibility of Services growth long-term.\" iPhone upgrade intentions look strong on a blended basis, and while there is some increased risk to App Store growth from the court's injunction, Morgan Stanley says its data show less than 2 in 10 Americans (and less than 4 in 10 Chinese consumers) would be willing to pay developers directly for mobile apps, preferring the App Store approach.</p><p><blockquote>从股票来看，它看好苹果(AAPL)2022年的业绩，因为它表示“投资者低估了iPhone增长的可持续性和服务增长的长期可持续性。”在混合的基础上，iPhone的升级意图看起来很强烈，尽管法院的禁令增加了App Store增长的风险，但摩根士丹利表示，其数据显示，不到十分之二的美国人（不到十分之四的中国消费者）愿意直接向开发者支付移动应用费用，更喜欢App Store的方式。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft (MSFT) is a \"rare combination of strong secular positioning and reasonable valuation within the software space.\" It's pushing double-digit revenue growth with building momentum across cloud and hybrid solutions, combined with improving gross margins and a positive opex growth profile. And it still trades at a discount to peers, the firm says.</p><p><blockquote>微软（MSFT）是“软件领域内强大的长期定位和合理估值的罕见组合”。随着云和混合解决方案的势头不断增强，加上毛利率的提高和运营支出的积极增长，它正在推动两位数的收入增长。该公司表示，它的交易价格仍然低于同行。</blockquote></p><p> A guide down in profits from Amazon.com (AMZN) driven by fourth-quarter investment \"speaks to the higher operating margin pressure on the retail business from more hiring, higher hourly labor costs, process inefficiencies, freight costs and higher content spend,\" Morgan Stanley says. And while part of that investment is tied to \"catching up\" to unusual 2020 demand, some of it's about new initiatives to build durable multi-year growth, it says.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利表示，亚马逊（AMZN）第四季度投资导致利润下降，“表明零售业务因招聘增加、每小时劳动力成本上升、流程效率低下、货运成本和内容支出增加而面临更大的营业利润率压力”。报告称，虽然部分投资与“赶上”2020年不同寻常的需求有关，但其中一些投资与建立持久多年增长的新举措有关。</blockquote></p><p> Going forward it's focusing on more evidence for traction of third-party logistics (and/or faster share gains in same-day cities), or lower-than-expected incremental profit pressure from the investment spending.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，它将关注更多第三方物流吸引力的证据（和/或当天城市更快的份额增长），或投资支出带来的低于预期的增量利润压力。</blockquote></p><p> Other stocks, meanwhile, are showing the opposite dynamic on active/passive ownership - notably <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm </a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTU\">Intuit </a>. There's room for optimism with those too, the firm says.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，其他股票在主动/被动所有权方面表现出相反的动态——特别是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTU\">直觉</a>该公司表示，这些也有乐观的空间。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm's (QCOM) active weighting is about 60 basis points above its S&amp;P weighting. The firm's staying optimistic, with \"adjustments to expectations likely to come as 5G adoption growth matures.\" And outside of handsets and RFFE, Morgan Stanley says it's \"excited\" about the prospects of diversifying business in Autos and Internet of Things.</p><p><blockquote>高通(QCOM)的主动权重比其标准普尔权重高出约60个基点。该公司保持乐观态度，“随着5G采用增长的成熟，预期可能会进行调整”。摩根士丹利表示，除了手机和RFFE之外，它对汽车和物联网业务多元化的前景感到“兴奋”。</blockquote></p><p> Intuit's (INTU) average portfolio concentration has hit an all-time high and is well above its S&amp;P 500 weighting. \"It appears Intuit's improved growth and margin profile exiting the pandemic has resonated with institutional investors, resulting in the stock being overowned vs. peers.\"</p><p><blockquote>Intuit(INTU)的平均投资组合集中度创下历史新高，远高于其标普500权重。“Intuit在疫情结束后的增长和利润率状况似乎引起了机构投资者的共鸣，导致该股相对于同行被过度持有。”</blockquote></p><p> The new strategy to focus on higher-value solutions is driving the top line and an improved margin profile, Morgan Stanley says, and it kicked off fiscal 2022 with a beat-and-raise quarter that \"reinforces our believe Intuit is set up for beat-and-raise quarters thru FY22.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利表示，专注于更高价值解决方案的新战略正在推动营收和利润率的改善，并以一个超越并提高的季度拉开了2022财年的序幕，“强化了我们的信念，Intuit已准备好击败-并提高2022财年的季度。”</blockquote></p><p> The Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLK), whose top two holdings are Microsoft and Apple, has been outpacing the S&amp;P 500 and rallied to an all-time high Monday on the back of heavy gains in those stocks.</p><p><blockquote>科技精选行业SPDR ETF（NYSEARCA：XLK）的前两大持股是微软和苹果，该基金的表现一直超过标普500，并在这些股票大幅上涨的推动下周一升至历史新高。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3774075-big-tech-still-looks-underowned-morgan-stanley-sees-in-activepassive-holdings-probe\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","QCOM":"高通","INTU":"财捷","AAPL":"苹果","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3774075-big-tech-still-looks-underowned-morgan-stanley-sees-in-activepassive-holdings-probe","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178942831","content_text":"Big Tech - the stocks with a heavy presence in global indexes, and front and center in investors' debate over what to get out of before the market turns south - is still underowned, Morgan Stanley says in a quantitative dive into large-cap institutional ownership.\nThat leaves the firm more bullish on the big names.\nActive portfolio weights for Apple , Microsoft  and Amazon.com  are 1-2 points below their S&P 500 weighting, the firm's tech analysts note. And its analyst shows a positive correlation between low active ownership (vs. S&P 500) and future performance.\nMorgan Stanley looks at the ownership data for top tech companies every quarter, and as of Q3, those names are showing record gaps between active and passive ownership.\nIt's those times that stocks experience a technical pull higher when active ownership trails the market that much, and vice versa. And in the case of Microsoft, Apple and Amazon, in particular, they've gotten increasingly more underowned over the past two quarters.\nLooking stock by stock, it's bullish on Apple (AAPL) for 2022 as it says \"investors underappreciate the sustainability of iPhone growth and the defensibility of Services growth long-term.\" iPhone upgrade intentions look strong on a blended basis, and while there is some increased risk to App Store growth from the court's injunction, Morgan Stanley says its data show less than 2 in 10 Americans (and less than 4 in 10 Chinese consumers) would be willing to pay developers directly for mobile apps, preferring the App Store approach.\nMicrosoft (MSFT) is a \"rare combination of strong secular positioning and reasonable valuation within the software space.\" It's pushing double-digit revenue growth with building momentum across cloud and hybrid solutions, combined with improving gross margins and a positive opex growth profile. And it still trades at a discount to peers, the firm says.\nA guide down in profits from Amazon.com (AMZN) driven by fourth-quarter investment \"speaks to the higher operating margin pressure on the retail business from more hiring, higher hourly labor costs, process inefficiencies, freight costs and higher content spend,\" Morgan Stanley says. And while part of that investment is tied to \"catching up\" to unusual 2020 demand, some of it's about new initiatives to build durable multi-year growth, it says.\nGoing forward it's focusing on more evidence for traction of third-party logistics (and/or faster share gains in same-day cities), or lower-than-expected incremental profit pressure from the investment spending.\nOther stocks, meanwhile, are showing the opposite dynamic on active/passive ownership - notably Qualcomm  and Intuit . There's room for optimism with those too, the firm says.\nQualcomm's (QCOM) active weighting is about 60 basis points above its S&P weighting. The firm's staying optimistic, with \"adjustments to expectations likely to come as 5G adoption growth matures.\" And outside of handsets and RFFE, Morgan Stanley says it's \"excited\" about the prospects of diversifying business in Autos and Internet of Things.\nIntuit's (INTU) average portfolio concentration has hit an all-time high and is well above its S&P 500 weighting. \"It appears Intuit's improved growth and margin profile exiting the pandemic has resonated with institutional investors, resulting in the stock being overowned vs. peers.\"\nThe new strategy to focus on higher-value solutions is driving the top line and an improved margin profile, Morgan Stanley says, and it kicked off fiscal 2022 with a beat-and-raise quarter that \"reinforces our believe Intuit is set up for beat-and-raise quarters thru FY22.\"\nThe Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLK), whose top two holdings are Microsoft and Apple, has been outpacing the S&P 500 and rallied to an all-time high Monday on the back of heavy gains in those stocks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"INTU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":596,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844523184,"gmtCreate":1636443373175,"gmtModify":1636443373348,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844523184","repostId":"2182795517","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856987010,"gmtCreate":1635142082228,"gmtModify":1635142082415,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856987010","repostId":"1167039476","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":426,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850029671,"gmtCreate":1634537168354,"gmtModify":1634537290369,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850029671","repostId":"2176421001","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823360400,"gmtCreate":1633584463298,"gmtModify":1633584576414,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823360400","repostId":"2173948607","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2173948607","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1633570746,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2173948607?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-07 09:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here are 10 'high conviction' stocks of companies with strong pricing power and at least 20% upside potential to UBS targets<blockquote>以下是10只“高度确信”的公司股票，它们具有强大的定价能力，比瑞银目标至少有20%的上涨潜力</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2173948607","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge. Inflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.UBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enoug","content":"<p>UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge</p><p><blockquote>瑞银预计，随着航运、原材料和工资成本飙升，定价权将变得更加重要</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9666acc8b6cbedd5fb585565a168bcf\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Inflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近，通胀和供应问题是华尔街最热门的词汇之一，投资者等着看哪些公司最擅长管理飙升的成本压力和航运中断。</blockquote></p><p> UBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enough to make a real difference without losing customers.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师认为，应对这些不利因素的最佳方法之一是公司提高价格，但并非所有公司都能提高价格，从而在不失去客户的情况下产生真正的影响。</blockquote></p><p> A number of companies in different sectors have already cut forward guidance, given rising costs and supply-chain disruptions, such as FedEx Corp.,Nu Skin Enterprises Inc.&nbsp;and Dollar Tree Inc..</p><p><blockquote>鉴于成本上升和供应链中断，不同行业的许多公司已经下调了前瞻性指引，如联邦快递公司、如新企业公司和美元树公司..</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter earnings season kicks off in earnest next week, with aggregate earnings per share of the S&amp;P 500 companies&nbsp;expected to show year-over-year growth in earnings per share of about 27% and in sales of about 15%.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周正式拉开帷幕，标普500公司的每股收益总额预计将同比增长约27%，销售额将同比增长约15%。</blockquote></p><p> “Pricing power should be an even more important theme for relative returns with surging shipping costs, rising raw materials, supply chain issues and accelerating wage growth,” UBS strategists wrote in a note to clients this week.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师本周在给客户的一份报告中写道：“随着运输成本飙升、原材料上涨、供应链问题和工资增长加速，定价能力应该成为相对回报的一个更加重要的主题。”</blockquote></p><p> So the strategists, led by Keith Parker, asked UBS analysts across 33 industries to identify companies with the strongest relative pricing power. The analysts were also asked to pick out companies that scored in the top third of their respective sectors based on UBS Equity Strategy’s composite score for pricing power, margin momentum and input cost exposure; have “buy” ratings; and have stocks with at least 10% upside potential to their respective price targets.</p><p><blockquote>因此，由基思·帕克（Keith Parker）领导的策略师要求瑞银（UBS）33个行业的分析师找出相对定价能力最强的公司。分析师还被要求根据瑞银股票策略在定价能力、利润率势头和投入成本敞口方面的综合得分，选出在各自行业中得分排名前三分之一的公司；拥有“买入”评级；并且股票的价格目标至少有10%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Here are 10 “high conviction, strong pricing power stocks” on UBS’s list that have at least 20% upside to the analysts’ stock price targets, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote>以下是瑞银名单上的10只“信念坚定、定价能力强的股票”，它们比分析师的股价目标至少有20%的上涨空间，按字母顺序排列：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.,with a price target of $255, which implies an upside of about 21% to prices in afternoon trading Wednesday. Analyst Michael Lasser said he believes the auto parts company’s (AAP) aftermarket fundamentals are in a strong position, and that a gradual increase in mobility and a return to working in offices should drive further recovery in vehicle miles traveled.</li> </ul> “The auto parts sector traditionally has strong pricing power, with an ability to pass along price increases to customers,” Lasser wrote. “Plus, AAP also have the largest exposure to the commercial segment of the market, which is viewed even more favorably.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.，目标价为255美元，这意味着周三下午交易的价格有约21%的上涨空间。分析师迈克尔·拉瑟(Michael Lasser)表示，他认为这家汽车零部件公司(AAP)的售后市场基本面处于强势地位，流动性的逐步增加和重返办公室工作应该会推动车辆行驶里程的进一步恢复。</li></ul>“汽车零部件行业传统上拥有强大的定价权，能够将价格上涨转嫁给客户，”拉塞尔写道。“此外，AAP在市场的商业领域也拥有最大的敞口，这一点受到了更多的青睐。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple Inc.,which has a price target of $175 that implies 24% upside. Analyst David Vogt said the combination of its technological capability, supported by its retention metrics from UBS surveys that indicate high customer satisfaction for Apple products, suggests the PC and smartphone giant’s brand equity should drive adoption in the battery-electric-vehicle (BEV) market.</li> </ul> “End-market demand has been improving year-over-year, leading to elevated ‘wait times’ despite increased product procurement/production,” Vogt wrote. Regarding the BEV market, Vogt said that while Apple isn’t a first mover, “its significant resources should enable the company to be a ‘fast follower,'” similar to when it entered the smartphone market in 2007.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果公司的目标价为175美元，意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师David Vogt表示，瑞银调查显示客户对苹果产品的满意度很高，其技术能力的结合表明，这家个人电脑和智能手机巨头的品牌资产应该会推动电池电动汽车(BEV)市场的采用。</li></ul>沃格特写道：“尽管产品采购/产量增加，但终端市场需求逐年改善，导致‘等待时间’增加。”关于纯电动汽车市场，Vogt表示，虽然苹果不是先行者，但“其大量资源应该使该公司成为‘快速追随者’”，类似于2007年进入智能手机市场时。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>CME Group Inc.,with a price target of $245 implying 23% upside. Analyst Alex Kramm said the derivatives trading platform benefits from global expansion, innovation, adoption of options and pricing. And he believes regulation could provide a tailwind to growth.</li> </ul> “As primarily a U.S. futures business, CME enjoys the highest barriers of entry in the space,” Kramm wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>CME Group Inc.，目标价为245美元，意味着上涨23%。分析师Alex Kramm表示，该衍生品交易平台受益于全球扩张、创新、期权的采用和定价。他认为监管可以为增长提供推动力。</li></ul>克拉姆写道：“作为一家主要的美国期货企业，芝商所在该领域享有最高的进入壁垒。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Danaher Corp.&nbsp;has a price target of $365, which implies 22% upside. Analyst John Sourbeer believes the medical products and services company (DHR) is “very well positioned” within the life sciences tool and services sector, as COVID testing should hold up much better than peers and the vaccine and therapeutic opportunity appears durable.</li> </ul> “DHR sales engine is able to proactively identify areas of potential pricing pressure and [successfully] navigate customers to high-value product,” Sourbeer wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>丹纳赫公司的目标价为365美元，这意味着22%的上涨空间。分析师John Sourbeer认为，医疗产品和服务公司(DHR)在生命科学工具和服务领域“处于非常有利的地位”，因为新冠病毒检测应该比同行好得多，而且疫苗和治疗机会似乎是持久的。</li></ul>Sourbeer写道：“DHR销售引擎能够主动识别潜在定价压力的领域，并[成功地]引导客户购买高价值产品。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>EOG Resources Inc.&nbsp;has a $119 stock price target that suggests 38% upside. Analyst Lloyd Byrne the oil and natural gas exploration company is well positioned to mitigate inflationary pressures expected next year given well costs that are expected to be flat to lower in 2022 because of reduced drilling days, the deployment of “super zipper fracs” and contracts negotiated at lower rates.</li> </ul> “Pricing power in commodity companies is difficult to achieve. Those that can hold margins by best controlling costs, though, are better positioned,” Byrne wrote. “EOG is better positioned than most by being proactive with input and service costs, while excelling in operations.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>EOG Resources Inc.的目标股价为119美元，上涨38%。分析师劳埃德·伯恩(Lloyd Byrne)鉴于由于钻井天数减少、部署“超级拉链压裂”和合同谈判，预计2022年油井成本将持平或下降，这家石油和天然气勘探公司处于有利地位，可以缓解明年预计的通胀压力。较低的利率。</li></ul>“大宗商品公司的定价权很难实现。不过，那些能够通过最佳控制成本来保持利润的公司处于更有利的地位，”伯恩写道。“EOG比大多数公司处于更有利的地位，因为它积极主动地降低投入和服务成本，同时在运营方面表现出色。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Extra Space Storage Inc.’s&nbsp;stock price target of $210 implies 24% upside. Analyst Michael Goldsmith said he believes strong underlying demand, in conjunction with decelerating supply growth, support rent growth.</li> </ul> “Strong demand for self storage and elevated occupancy rates, combined with its non-discretionary nature increased pricing power of the operators,” Goldsmith wrote. “Operators are flexing their pricing power to new customers, as well as existing customer rent increases every 9-12 months.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Extra Space Storage Inc.的目标股价为210美元，意味着上涨24%。分析师迈克尔·戈德史密斯表示，他认为强劲的潜在需求，加上供应增长放缓，将支撑租金增长。</li></ul>戈德史密斯写道：“对自助存储的强劲需求和较高的入住率，加上其非自由支配的性质，增加了运营商的定价能力。”“运营商正在向新客户展示他们的定价权，现有客户的租金每9-12个月上涨一次。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Generac Holdings Inc.&nbsp;has a price target of $500, which implies 23% upside. Analyst Jon Windham believes the power generation equipment maker’s competitive edge lies in its customer acquisition platform, which should enable it to take market share from incumbents SolarEdge Technologies Inc.&nbsp;and Enphase Energy Inc..</li> </ul> “Dominant market share (~80%) and strong demand for home standby power have insulated already high residential product margins,” Windham wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Generac Holdings Inc.的目标价为500美元，这意味着上涨23%。分析师Jon Windham认为，这家发电设备制造商的竞争优势在于其客户获取平台，这将使其能够从现有企业SolarEdge Technologies Inc.和Enphase Energy Inc.手中夺取市场份额。</li></ul>温德姆写道：“主导市场份额（约80%）和对家庭备用电源的强劲需求隔离了本已很高的住宅产品利润率。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Nike Inc.’s&nbsp;price target of $185 implies 24% upside. Analyst Jay Sole said a UBS survey and pricing data reveal that the Nike brand currently is No. 1 in mindshare globally and the sports apparel and accessories company has significant room to reduce promotions.</li> </ul> “We believe the market doesn’t fully appreciate how Nike’s investments in product innovation, supply chain and e-commerce are working in concert to drive unit growth and [average selling price] increases,” Sole wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>耐克公司185美元的目标价意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师Jay Sole表示，瑞银的调查和定价数据显示，耐克品牌目前在全球关注度排名第一，这家运动服装和配饰公司有很大的空间减少促销活动。</li></ul>Sole写道：“我们认为市场并没有完全理解耐克在产品创新、供应链和电子商务方面的投资如何协同推动销量增长和[平均售价]上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Salesforce.com Inc.&nbsp;has a stock price target of $330 that implies 20% upside potential. Analyst Karl Keirstead said the customer relationship management software company appears to be moving well beyond the previous era of limited operating margin expansion, and committing to boosting annual operating margins.</li> </ul> “Importantly, the drivers behind the improved margin outlook strike us as sustainable, with topline outperformance, a permanent shift towards WFH [work from home] and Zoom-based customer interactions, and renewed expense discipline internally…the three biggest drivers,” Keirstead wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Salesforce.com Inc.的目标股价为330美元，这意味着20%的上涨潜力。分析师Karl Keirstead表示，这家客户关系管理软件公司似乎正在远远超越之前营业利润率扩张有限的时代，并致力于提高年度营业利润率。</li></ul>“重要的是，利润率前景改善背后的驱动因素在我们看来是可持续的，营收表现出色，永久转向WFH（在家工作）和基于Zoom的客户互动，以及内部更新的费用纪律……这是三个最大的驱动因素，”凯尔斯泰德写道。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Teleflex Inc.’s price target of $480 implies 28% upside. Analyst Matthew Taylor said the medical technology products company makes a number of inexpensive products that fly under the radar, given them the opportunity to increase prices.</li> </ul> Taylor said he believes margins can go “significantly higher” over the long term, given the company’s leverage to both necessary and elective procedures, which should return quickly in a post-pandemic world.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Teleflex Inc.的目标价为480美元，意味着上涨28%。分析师马修·泰勒表示，这家医疗技术产品公司生产了许多不为人所知的廉价产品，这给了他们提高价格的机会。</li></ul>泰勒表示，鉴于该公司在必要程序和选择性程序方面的影响力，他相信从长远来看，利润率可能会“显着提高”，而在大流行后的世界中，这些程序应该会迅速恢复。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here are 10 'high conviction' stocks of companies with strong pricing power and at least 20% upside potential to UBS targets<blockquote>以下是10只“高度确信”的公司股票，它们具有强大的定价能力，比瑞银目标至少有20%的上涨潜力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere are 10 'high conviction' stocks of companies with strong pricing power and at least 20% upside potential to UBS targets<blockquote>以下是10只“高度确信”的公司股票，它们具有强大的定价能力，比瑞银目标至少有20%的上涨潜力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-07 09:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge</p><p><blockquote>瑞银预计，随着航运、原材料和工资成本飙升，定价权将变得更加重要</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9666acc8b6cbedd5fb585565a168bcf\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Inflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近，通胀和供应问题是华尔街最热门的词汇之一，投资者等着看哪些公司最擅长管理飙升的成本压力和航运中断。</blockquote></p><p> UBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enough to make a real difference without losing customers.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师认为，应对这些不利因素的最佳方法之一是公司提高价格，但并非所有公司都能提高价格，从而在不失去客户的情况下产生真正的影响。</blockquote></p><p> A number of companies in different sectors have already cut forward guidance, given rising costs and supply-chain disruptions, such as FedEx Corp.,Nu Skin Enterprises Inc.&nbsp;and Dollar Tree Inc..</p><p><blockquote>鉴于成本上升和供应链中断，不同行业的许多公司已经下调了前瞻性指引，如联邦快递公司、如新企业公司和美元树公司..</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter earnings season kicks off in earnest next week, with aggregate earnings per share of the S&amp;P 500 companies&nbsp;expected to show year-over-year growth in earnings per share of about 27% and in sales of about 15%.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周正式拉开帷幕，标普500公司的每股收益总额预计将同比增长约27%，销售额将同比增长约15%。</blockquote></p><p> “Pricing power should be an even more important theme for relative returns with surging shipping costs, rising raw materials, supply chain issues and accelerating wage growth,” UBS strategists wrote in a note to clients this week.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师本周在给客户的一份报告中写道：“随着运输成本飙升、原材料上涨、供应链问题和工资增长加速，定价能力应该成为相对回报的一个更加重要的主题。”</blockquote></p><p> So the strategists, led by Keith Parker, asked UBS analysts across 33 industries to identify companies with the strongest relative pricing power. The analysts were also asked to pick out companies that scored in the top third of their respective sectors based on UBS Equity Strategy’s composite score for pricing power, margin momentum and input cost exposure; have “buy” ratings; and have stocks with at least 10% upside potential to their respective price targets.</p><p><blockquote>因此，由基思·帕克（Keith Parker）领导的策略师要求瑞银（UBS）33个行业的分析师找出相对定价能力最强的公司。分析师还被要求根据瑞银股票策略在定价能力、利润率势头和投入成本敞口方面的综合得分，选出在各自行业中得分排名前三分之一的公司；拥有“买入”评级；并且股票的价格目标至少有10%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Here are 10 “high conviction, strong pricing power stocks” on UBS’s list that have at least 20% upside to the analysts’ stock price targets, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote>以下是瑞银名单上的10只“信念坚定、定价能力强的股票”，它们比分析师的股价目标至少有20%的上涨空间，按字母顺序排列：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.,with a price target of $255, which implies an upside of about 21% to prices in afternoon trading Wednesday. Analyst Michael Lasser said he believes the auto parts company’s (AAP) aftermarket fundamentals are in a strong position, and that a gradual increase in mobility and a return to working in offices should drive further recovery in vehicle miles traveled.</li> </ul> “The auto parts sector traditionally has strong pricing power, with an ability to pass along price increases to customers,” Lasser wrote. “Plus, AAP also have the largest exposure to the commercial segment of the market, which is viewed even more favorably.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.，目标价为255美元，这意味着周三下午交易的价格有约21%的上涨空间。分析师迈克尔·拉瑟(Michael Lasser)表示，他认为这家汽车零部件公司(AAP)的售后市场基本面处于强势地位，流动性的逐步增加和重返办公室工作应该会推动车辆行驶里程的进一步恢复。</li></ul>“汽车零部件行业传统上拥有强大的定价权，能够将价格上涨转嫁给客户，”拉塞尔写道。“此外，AAP在市场的商业领域也拥有最大的敞口，这一点受到了更多的青睐。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple Inc.,which has a price target of $175 that implies 24% upside. Analyst David Vogt said the combination of its technological capability, supported by its retention metrics from UBS surveys that indicate high customer satisfaction for Apple products, suggests the PC and smartphone giant’s brand equity should drive adoption in the battery-electric-vehicle (BEV) market.</li> </ul> “End-market demand has been improving year-over-year, leading to elevated ‘wait times’ despite increased product procurement/production,” Vogt wrote. Regarding the BEV market, Vogt said that while Apple isn’t a first mover, “its significant resources should enable the company to be a ‘fast follower,'” similar to when it entered the smartphone market in 2007.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果公司的目标价为175美元，意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师David Vogt表示，瑞银调查显示客户对苹果产品的满意度很高，其技术能力的结合表明，这家个人电脑和智能手机巨头的品牌资产应该会推动电池电动汽车(BEV)市场的采用。</li></ul>沃格特写道：“尽管产品采购/产量增加，但终端市场需求逐年改善，导致‘等待时间’增加。”关于纯电动汽车市场，Vogt表示，虽然苹果不是先行者，但“其大量资源应该使该公司成为‘快速追随者’”，类似于2007年进入智能手机市场时。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>CME Group Inc.,with a price target of $245 implying 23% upside. Analyst Alex Kramm said the derivatives trading platform benefits from global expansion, innovation, adoption of options and pricing. And he believes regulation could provide a tailwind to growth.</li> </ul> “As primarily a U.S. futures business, CME enjoys the highest barriers of entry in the space,” Kramm wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>CME Group Inc.，目标价为245美元，意味着上涨23%。分析师Alex Kramm表示，该衍生品交易平台受益于全球扩张、创新、期权的采用和定价。他认为监管可以为增长提供推动力。</li></ul>克拉姆写道：“作为一家主要的美国期货企业，芝商所在该领域享有最高的进入壁垒。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Danaher Corp.&nbsp;has a price target of $365, which implies 22% upside. Analyst John Sourbeer believes the medical products and services company (DHR) is “very well positioned” within the life sciences tool and services sector, as COVID testing should hold up much better than peers and the vaccine and therapeutic opportunity appears durable.</li> </ul> “DHR sales engine is able to proactively identify areas of potential pricing pressure and [successfully] navigate customers to high-value product,” Sourbeer wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>丹纳赫公司的目标价为365美元，这意味着22%的上涨空间。分析师John Sourbeer认为，医疗产品和服务公司(DHR)在生命科学工具和服务领域“处于非常有利的地位”，因为新冠病毒检测应该比同行好得多，而且疫苗和治疗机会似乎是持久的。</li></ul>Sourbeer写道：“DHR销售引擎能够主动识别潜在定价压力的领域，并[成功地]引导客户购买高价值产品。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>EOG Resources Inc.&nbsp;has a $119 stock price target that suggests 38% upside. Analyst Lloyd Byrne the oil and natural gas exploration company is well positioned to mitigate inflationary pressures expected next year given well costs that are expected to be flat to lower in 2022 because of reduced drilling days, the deployment of “super zipper fracs” and contracts negotiated at lower rates.</li> </ul> “Pricing power in commodity companies is difficult to achieve. Those that can hold margins by best controlling costs, though, are better positioned,” Byrne wrote. “EOG is better positioned than most by being proactive with input and service costs, while excelling in operations.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>EOG Resources Inc.的目标股价为119美元，上涨38%。分析师劳埃德·伯恩(Lloyd Byrne)鉴于由于钻井天数减少、部署“超级拉链压裂”和合同谈判，预计2022年油井成本将持平或下降，这家石油和天然气勘探公司处于有利地位，可以缓解明年预计的通胀压力。较低的利率。</li></ul>“大宗商品公司的定价权很难实现。不过，那些能够通过最佳控制成本来保持利润的公司处于更有利的地位，”伯恩写道。“EOG比大多数公司处于更有利的地位，因为它积极主动地降低投入和服务成本，同时在运营方面表现出色。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Extra Space Storage Inc.’s&nbsp;stock price target of $210 implies 24% upside. Analyst Michael Goldsmith said he believes strong underlying demand, in conjunction with decelerating supply growth, support rent growth.</li> </ul> “Strong demand for self storage and elevated occupancy rates, combined with its non-discretionary nature increased pricing power of the operators,” Goldsmith wrote. “Operators are flexing their pricing power to new customers, as well as existing customer rent increases every 9-12 months.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Extra Space Storage Inc.的目标股价为210美元，意味着上涨24%。分析师迈克尔·戈德史密斯表示，他认为强劲的潜在需求，加上供应增长放缓，将支撑租金增长。</li></ul>戈德史密斯写道：“对自助存储的强劲需求和较高的入住率，加上其非自由支配的性质，增加了运营商的定价能力。”“运营商正在向新客户展示他们的定价权，现有客户的租金每9-12个月上涨一次。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Generac Holdings Inc.&nbsp;has a price target of $500, which implies 23% upside. Analyst Jon Windham believes the power generation equipment maker’s competitive edge lies in its customer acquisition platform, which should enable it to take market share from incumbents SolarEdge Technologies Inc.&nbsp;and Enphase Energy Inc..</li> </ul> “Dominant market share (~80%) and strong demand for home standby power have insulated already high residential product margins,” Windham wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Generac Holdings Inc.的目标价为500美元，这意味着上涨23%。分析师Jon Windham认为，这家发电设备制造商的竞争优势在于其客户获取平台，这将使其能够从现有企业SolarEdge Technologies Inc.和Enphase Energy Inc.手中夺取市场份额。</li></ul>温德姆写道：“主导市场份额（约80%）和对家庭备用电源的强劲需求隔离了本已很高的住宅产品利润率。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Nike Inc.’s&nbsp;price target of $185 implies 24% upside. Analyst Jay Sole said a UBS survey and pricing data reveal that the Nike brand currently is No. 1 in mindshare globally and the sports apparel and accessories company has significant room to reduce promotions.</li> </ul> “We believe the market doesn’t fully appreciate how Nike’s investments in product innovation, supply chain and e-commerce are working in concert to drive unit growth and [average selling price] increases,” Sole wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>耐克公司185美元的目标价意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师Jay Sole表示，瑞银的调查和定价数据显示，耐克品牌目前在全球关注度排名第一，这家运动服装和配饰公司有很大的空间减少促销活动。</li></ul>Sole写道：“我们认为市场并没有完全理解耐克在产品创新、供应链和电子商务方面的投资如何协同推动销量增长和[平均售价]上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Salesforce.com Inc.&nbsp;has a stock price target of $330 that implies 20% upside potential. Analyst Karl Keirstead said the customer relationship management software company appears to be moving well beyond the previous era of limited operating margin expansion, and committing to boosting annual operating margins.</li> </ul> “Importantly, the drivers behind the improved margin outlook strike us as sustainable, with topline outperformance, a permanent shift towards WFH [work from home] and Zoom-based customer interactions, and renewed expense discipline internally…the three biggest drivers,” Keirstead wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Salesforce.com Inc.的目标股价为330美元，这意味着20%的上涨潜力。分析师Karl Keirstead表示，这家客户关系管理软件公司似乎正在远远超越之前营业利润率扩张有限的时代，并致力于提高年度营业利润率。</li></ul>“重要的是，利润率前景改善背后的驱动因素在我们看来是可持续的，营收表现出色，永久转向WFH（在家工作）和基于Zoom的客户互动，以及内部更新的费用纪律……这是三个最大的驱动因素，”凯尔斯泰德写道。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Teleflex Inc.’s price target of $480 implies 28% upside. Analyst Matthew Taylor said the medical technology products company makes a number of inexpensive products that fly under the radar, given them the opportunity to increase prices.</li> </ul> Taylor said he believes margins can go “significantly higher” over the long term, given the company’s leverage to both necessary and elective procedures, which should return quickly in a post-pandemic world.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Teleflex Inc.的目标价为480美元，意味着上涨28%。分析师马修·泰勒表示，这家医疗技术产品公司生产了许多不为人所知的廉价产品，这给了他们提高价格的机会。</li></ul>泰勒表示，鉴于该公司在必要程序和选择性程序方面的影响力，他相信从长远来看，利润率可能会“显着提高”，而在大流行后的世界中，这些程序应该会迅速恢复。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-10-high-conviction-stocks-of-companies-with-strong-pricing-power-and-at-least-20-upside-potential-to-ubs-targets-11633547178?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GNRC":"Generac控股","EOG":"依欧格资源","AEE":"阿曼瑞恩","KO":"可口可乐","CME":"芝加哥商品交易所","NKE":"耐克","NUS":"如新集团","DHR":"丹纳赫","EXR":"Extra Space Storage Inc","CRM":"赛富时","CHTR":"特许通讯","SBAC":"SBA通信","AAP":"Advance Auto Parts Inc","ENPH":"Enphase Energy","SEDG":"SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.","USB":"美国合众银行","FDX":"联邦快递","DLTR":"美元树公司","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-10-high-conviction-stocks-of-companies-with-strong-pricing-power-and-at-least-20-upside-potential-to-ubs-targets-11633547178?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2173948607","content_text":"UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge\nGetty Images\nInflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.\nUBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enough to make a real difference without losing customers.\nA number of companies in different sectors have already cut forward guidance, given rising costs and supply-chain disruptions, such as FedEx Corp.,Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. and Dollar Tree Inc..\nThird-quarter earnings season kicks off in earnest next week, with aggregate earnings per share of the S&P 500 companies expected to show year-over-year growth in earnings per share of about 27% and in sales of about 15%.\n“Pricing power should be an even more important theme for relative returns with surging shipping costs, rising raw materials, supply chain issues and accelerating wage growth,” UBS strategists wrote in a note to clients this week.\nSo the strategists, led by Keith Parker, asked UBS analysts across 33 industries to identify companies with the strongest relative pricing power. The analysts were also asked to pick out companies that scored in the top third of their respective sectors based on UBS Equity Strategy’s composite score for pricing power, margin momentum and input cost exposure; have “buy” ratings; and have stocks with at least 10% upside potential to their respective price targets.\nHere are 10 “high conviction, strong pricing power stocks” on UBS’s list that have at least 20% upside to the analysts’ stock price targets, in alphabetical order:\n\nAdvance Auto Parts Inc.,with a price target of $255, which implies an upside of about 21% to prices in afternoon trading Wednesday. Analyst Michael Lasser said he believes the auto parts company’s (AAP) aftermarket fundamentals are in a strong position, and that a gradual increase in mobility and a return to working in offices should drive further recovery in vehicle miles traveled.\n\n“The auto parts sector traditionally has strong pricing power, with an ability to pass along price increases to customers,” Lasser wrote. “Plus, AAP also have the largest exposure to the commercial segment of the market, which is viewed even more favorably.”\n\nApple Inc.,which has a price target of $175 that implies 24% upside. Analyst David Vogt said the combination of its technological capability, supported by its retention metrics from UBS surveys that indicate high customer satisfaction for Apple products, suggests the PC and smartphone giant’s brand equity should drive adoption in the battery-electric-vehicle (BEV) market.\n\n“End-market demand has been improving year-over-year, leading to elevated ‘wait times’ despite increased product procurement/production,” Vogt wrote. Regarding the BEV market, Vogt said that while Apple isn’t a first mover, “its significant resources should enable the company to be a ‘fast follower,'” similar to when it entered the smartphone market in 2007.\n\nCME Group Inc.,with a price target of $245 implying 23% upside. Analyst Alex Kramm said the derivatives trading platform benefits from global expansion, innovation, adoption of options and pricing. And he believes regulation could provide a tailwind to growth.\n\n“As primarily a U.S. futures business, CME enjoys the highest barriers of entry in the space,” Kramm wrote.\n\nDanaher Corp. has a price target of $365, which implies 22% upside. Analyst John Sourbeer believes the medical products and services company (DHR) is “very well positioned” within the life sciences tool and services sector, as COVID testing should hold up much better than peers and the vaccine and therapeutic opportunity appears durable.\n\n“DHR sales engine is able to proactively identify areas of potential pricing pressure and [successfully] navigate customers to high-value product,” Sourbeer wrote.\n\nEOG Resources Inc. has a $119 stock price target that suggests 38% upside. Analyst Lloyd Byrne the oil and natural gas exploration company is well positioned to mitigate inflationary pressures expected next year given well costs that are expected to be flat to lower in 2022 because of reduced drilling days, the deployment of “super zipper fracs” and contracts negotiated at lower rates.\n\n“Pricing power in commodity companies is difficult to achieve. Those that can hold margins by best controlling costs, though, are better positioned,” Byrne wrote. “EOG is better positioned than most by being proactive with input and service costs, while excelling in operations.”\n\nExtra Space Storage Inc.’s stock price target of $210 implies 24% upside. Analyst Michael Goldsmith said he believes strong underlying demand, in conjunction with decelerating supply growth, support rent growth.\n\n“Strong demand for self storage and elevated occupancy rates, combined with its non-discretionary nature increased pricing power of the operators,” Goldsmith wrote. “Operators are flexing their pricing power to new customers, as well as existing customer rent increases every 9-12 months.”\n\nGenerac Holdings Inc. has a price target of $500, which implies 23% upside. Analyst Jon Windham believes the power generation equipment maker’s competitive edge lies in its customer acquisition platform, which should enable it to take market share from incumbents SolarEdge Technologies Inc. and Enphase Energy Inc..\n\n“Dominant market share (~80%) and strong demand for home standby power have insulated already high residential product margins,” Windham wrote.\n\nNike Inc.’s price target of $185 implies 24% upside. Analyst Jay Sole said a UBS survey and pricing data reveal that the Nike brand currently is No. 1 in mindshare globally and the sports apparel and accessories company has significant room to reduce promotions.\n\n“We believe the market doesn’t fully appreciate how Nike’s investments in product innovation, supply chain and e-commerce are working in concert to drive unit growth and [average selling price] increases,” Sole wrote.\n\nSalesforce.com Inc. has a stock price target of $330 that implies 20% upside potential. Analyst Karl Keirstead said the customer relationship management software company appears to be moving well beyond the previous era of limited operating margin expansion, and committing to boosting annual operating margins.\n\n“Importantly, the drivers behind the improved margin outlook strike us as sustainable, with topline outperformance, a permanent shift towards WFH [work from home] and Zoom-based customer interactions, and renewed expense discipline internally…the three biggest drivers,” Keirstead wrote.\n\nTeleflex Inc.’s price target of $480 implies 28% upside. Analyst Matthew Taylor said the medical technology products company makes a number of inexpensive products that fly under the radar, given them the opportunity to increase prices.\n\nTaylor said he believes margins can go “significantly higher” over the long term, given the company’s leverage to both necessary and elective procedures, which should return quickly in a post-pandemic world.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DHR":0.9,"CRM":0.9,"EXR":0.9,"AEE":0.9,"NKE":0.9,"KO":0.9,"ENPH":0.9,"SBAC":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"DLTR":0.9,"CME":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"GNRC":0.9,"EOG":0.9,"USB":0.9,"AAP":0.9,"NUS":0.9,"SEDG":0.9,"CHTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600360994,"gmtCreate":1638068318170,"gmtModify":1638068318281,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600360994","repostId":"1183215653","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183215653","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638064282,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183215653?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-28 09:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Leading Software-as-a-Service Stocks to Buy in 2021 and Beyond<blockquote>2021年及以后值得买入的3只领先软件即服务股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183215653","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Software-as-a-service (SaaS) stocks can be quite lucrative investments. The business model is subscr","content":"<p>Software-as-a-service (SaaS) stocks can be quite lucrative investments. The business model is subscription-based, which keeps customers paying monthly fees. Because the software often becomes integral to the operations of organizations that use it, customers are likely to stick with the providers they sign with, and expand their business with them over time. Also, software has minimal costs for physical production and distribution, allowing these companies to operate withhigh gross margins.</p><p><blockquote>软件即服务（SaaS）股票可能是相当有利可图的投资。商业模式是基于订阅的，让客户每月支付费用。因为软件通常成为使用它的组织运营的一部分，所以客户可能会坚持与他们签约的提供商合作，并随着时间的推移扩大与他们的业务。此外，软件的物理生产和分销成本最低，使这些公司能够以高毛利率运营。</blockquote></p><p> Three top SaaS stocks that investors should consider today are&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>Shopify</b></a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>Procore</b></a>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>Twilio</b></a>.</p><p><blockquote>投资者今天应该考虑的三只顶级SaaS股票是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>Shopify</b></a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>Procore</b></a>，和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>Twilio</b></a>.</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>Shopify</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>Shopify</b></a></blockquote></p><p> This Canadian e-commerce giant provides businesses with an online presence. With options well-priced for businesses of any size, Shopify provides even the humblest start-ups with an affordable way to reach customers across the internet. It also provides marketing and payment processing tools.</p><p><blockquote>这家加拿大电子商务巨头为企业提供在线业务。Shopify为任何规模的企业提供了价格合理的选项，为即使是最不起眼的初创企业也提供了一种通过互联网接触客户的经济实惠的方式。它还提供营销和支付处理工具。</blockquote></p><p> According to eMarketer, Shopify's platform facilitated the second-largest share of U.S. e-commerce sales last year -- behind only&nbsp;<b>Amazon</b>, and ahead of even huge retailers like&nbsp;<b>Walmart</b>&nbsp;or marketplace operators like&nbsp;<b>eBay.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据eMarketer的数据，Shopify的平台去年在美国电子商务销售额中占据了第二大份额，仅次于<b>亚马逊</b>，甚至领先于大型零售商<b>沃尔玛</b>或者市场运营商喜欢<b>易趣。</b></blockquote></p><p> While it's still far behind Amazon in terms of market share, during the third quarter, Shopify grew its revenue by 46% as its gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew by 35% to $41.8 billion. Additionally, it has more than $7.5 billion of cash on its balance sheet -- money it can put to work growing its operations.</p><p><blockquote>虽然在市场份额方面仍远远落后于亚马逊，但在第三季度，Shopify的收入增长了46%，商品总额(GMV)增长了35%，达到418亿美元。此外，该公司的资产负债表上还有超过75亿美元的现金，可以用来发展业务。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify has been a remarkable stock over the last five years, up over 3,500%. Yet, management expects its GMV to increase faster than commerce Q4 commerce in general. It also has long-term goals to create a fulfillment network and develop a business-to-business platform. With ambitious expansion plans and growth ahead, every growth investor should consider owning Shopify.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify在过去五年中一直是一只出色的股票，上涨了3,500%以上。然而，管理层预计其GMV的增长速度将快于商业第四季度的整体商业。它还有创建履行网络和开发企业对企业平台的长期目标。凭借雄心勃勃的扩张计划和未来的增长，每个成长型投资者都应该考虑拥有Shopify。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>Procore</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>Procore</b></a></blockquote></p><p> Procore's SaaS offering targets the construction industry. It allows owners, contractors, and sub-contractors to connect with each other and gather all the information about a project in a single location.Construction is one of the last industriesto join the SaaS revolution and Procore is leading the way.</p><p><blockquote>Procore的SaaS产品针对建筑行业。它允许业主、承包商和分包商相互联系，并在一个位置收集有关项目的所有信息。建筑业是最后加入SaaS革命的行业之一，Procore正处于领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> Its revenue grew at a solid 30% rate in Q3 to $132 million, and it produced free cash flow of $6.5 million. Unlike many SaaS companies, Procore is not putting its focus on expanding as quickly as possible. Instead, it lets customers find its platform organically. It does this by letting paying customers add non-paying users to a project. After those businesses realize the benefits of managing projects with Procore, they are more likely to join up and become paying customers.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度其收入以30%的速度稳步增长，达到1.32亿美元，并产生了650万美元的自由现金流。与许多SaaS公司不同，Procore并没有将重点放在尽快扩张上。相反，它让客户有机地找到它的平台。它通过让付费客户将非付费用户添加到项目中来实现这一点。在这些企业意识到使用Procore管理项目的好处后，他们更有可能加入并成为付费客户。</blockquote></p><p> Procore is at a much earlier stage of its growth than Shopify; it believes it has captured 2% of its potential customers, and less than half of its current customers subscribe to four or more of its 13 products. Its worldwide expansion is progressing; Procore will begin operating in France and Germany next year, for example.</p><p><blockquote>Procore比Shopify处于更早的增长阶段；它认为自己已经吸引了2%的潜在客户，只有不到一半的现有客户订阅了其13种产品中的4种或更多。其全球扩张正在取得进展；例如，Procore将于明年开始在法国和德国运营。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Autodesk</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:ADSK)&nbsp;competes against Procore with its Construction Cloud product. However, Procore expects global construction spending to reach $14 trillion in 2025. As such, the construction management software space has plenty of room for multiple players. If it can channel even 5% of spending through its platform, Procore will be a successful investment.</p><p><blockquote><b>Autodesk</b>（纳斯达克：ADSK）以其建筑云产品与Procore竞争。然而，Procore预计2025年全球建筑支出将达到14万亿美元。因此，施工管理软件领域有足够的空间供多个参与者使用。如果Procore能够通过其平台引导哪怕5%的支出，那么Procore将是一项成功的投资。</blockquote></p><p> With a large growth runway ahead, Procore is a great SaaS stock for the future.</p><p><blockquote>Procore未来有很大的增长空间，是SaaS未来的一只优秀股票。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>Twilio</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>Twilio</b></a></blockquote></p><p> If you've ever communicated with a business through text messages, chances are Twilio assisted with that. It provides application programming interfaces (APIs) so businesses can build communication tools without needing their own software engineers. It features a usage-based pricing model that generates more revenue for Twilio as its customers grow.</p><p><blockquote>如果你曾经通过短信与企业沟通，Twilio很可能会在这方面提供帮助。它提供应用程序编程接口（API），因此企业可以构建通信工具，而不需要自己的软件工程师。它采用基于使用情况的定价模式，随着客户的增长，可以为Twilio创造更多收入。</blockquote></p><p> Twilio is growing the fastest of these three companies, with Q3 revenue up 65% year over year. It also has an impressive revenue net expansion rate of 131%, meaning existing customers spent 31% more in the quarter than in the prior-year period. And while some of Twilio's growth did come via acquiring companies, its organic growth rate sits at a still-impressive 38%. Concentration risk is being reduced as only 11% of total revenue is attributed to its top 10 accounts down from 14% during Q3 last year.</p><p><blockquote>Twilio是这三家公司中增长最快的，第三季度收入同比增长65%。它还拥有令人印象深刻的131%的收入净增长率，这意味着现有客户本季度的支出比去年同期增加了31%。虽然Twilio的部分增长确实来自收购公司，但其有机增长率仍然高达38%，令人印象深刻。集中度风险正在降低，其前10大客户仅占总收入的11%，低于去年第三季度的14%。</blockquote></p><p> Businesses' desire and need to communicate with customers will only increase, and Twilio is making that easier for them. Management is committed to achieving organic growth of 30% or more annually over the next three years, which would increase its revenue to more than $5.5 billion using Q3 trailing-twelve-month revenue.</p><p><blockquote>企业与客户沟通的愿望和需求只会增加，而Twilio正在让他们更容易做到这一点。管理层致力于在未来三年内实现每年30%或更高的有机增长，这将使其收入根据第三季度过去12个月的收入增加到55亿美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Twilio shows no signs of slowing down and investors should take note.</p><p><blockquote>Twilio没有显示出放缓的迹象，投资者应该注意。</blockquote></p><p> With all three of these stocks, valuation is a concern. While Twilio and Procore stock's price-to-sales ratio has recently come down, Shopify's has remained fairly steady. Shopify is also valued higher than the other two because the market believes its e-commerce opportunity is massive. Even at these levels, valuation still represents a potential investment risk. However, each deserves a high multiple because of strong execution and future expectations. Should one of the companies begin failing, the valuation will fall to reflect forward sentiment. Exciting growth prospects often come with valuation risks, and it's up to the companies to fulfill their long-term promise.</p><p><blockquote>对于这三只股票来说，估值都是一个问题。虽然Twilio和Procore股票的市销率最近有所下降，但Shopify的市销率仍然相当稳定。Shopify的估值也高于其他两家，因为市场认为其电子商务机会巨大。即使在这些水平上，估值仍然代表着潜在的投资风险。然而，由于强大的执行力和未来预期，每个公司都值得获得高倍数。如果其中一家公司开始倒闭，估值将会下降以反映前瞻性情绪。令人兴奋的增长前景往往伴随着估值风险，这取决于公司兑现其长期承诺。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6bb9a9a2f064d66040f79ad93086bb1\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As the world becomes more connected, SaaS offerings provide businesses with powerful tools they can use to increase their effectiveness and productivity. Wise investors should consider purchasing all three of these stocks but must beware of the risks. Holding onto these stocks looks like a great way to beat the market over the long term.</p><p><blockquote>随着世界变得更加互联，SaaS产品为企业提供了强大的工具，他们可以使用这些工具来提高效率和生产力。明智的投资者应该考虑购买所有这三只股票，但必须小心风险。从长远来看，持有这些股票似乎是战胜市场的好方法。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Leading Software-as-a-Service Stocks to Buy in 2021 and Beyond<blockquote>2021年及以后值得买入的3只领先软件即服务股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Leading Software-as-a-Service Stocks to Buy in 2021 and Beyond<blockquote>2021年及以后值得买入的3只领先软件即服务股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-28 09:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Software-as-a-service (SaaS) stocks can be quite lucrative investments. The business model is subscription-based, which keeps customers paying monthly fees. Because the software often becomes integral to the operations of organizations that use it, customers are likely to stick with the providers they sign with, and expand their business with them over time. Also, software has minimal costs for physical production and distribution, allowing these companies to operate withhigh gross margins.</p><p><blockquote>软件即服务（SaaS）股票可能是相当有利可图的投资。商业模式是基于订阅的，让客户每月支付费用。因为软件通常成为使用它的组织运营的一部分，所以客户可能会坚持与他们签约的提供商合作，并随着时间的推移扩大与他们的业务。此外，软件的物理生产和分销成本最低，使这些公司能够以高毛利率运营。</blockquote></p><p> Three top SaaS stocks that investors should consider today are&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>Shopify</b></a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>Procore</b></a>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>Twilio</b></a>.</p><p><blockquote>投资者今天应该考虑的三只顶级SaaS股票是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>Shopify</b></a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>Procore</b></a>，和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>Twilio</b></a>.</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>Shopify</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>Shopify</b></a></blockquote></p><p> This Canadian e-commerce giant provides businesses with an online presence. With options well-priced for businesses of any size, Shopify provides even the humblest start-ups with an affordable way to reach customers across the internet. It also provides marketing and payment processing tools.</p><p><blockquote>这家加拿大电子商务巨头为企业提供在线业务。Shopify为任何规模的企业提供了价格合理的选项，为即使是最不起眼的初创企业也提供了一种通过互联网接触客户的经济实惠的方式。它还提供营销和支付处理工具。</blockquote></p><p> According to eMarketer, Shopify's platform facilitated the second-largest share of U.S. e-commerce sales last year -- behind only&nbsp;<b>Amazon</b>, and ahead of even huge retailers like&nbsp;<b>Walmart</b>&nbsp;or marketplace operators like&nbsp;<b>eBay.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据eMarketer的数据，Shopify的平台去年在美国电子商务销售额中占据了第二大份额，仅次于<b>亚马逊</b>，甚至领先于大型零售商<b>沃尔玛</b>或者市场运营商喜欢<b>易趣。</b></blockquote></p><p> While it's still far behind Amazon in terms of market share, during the third quarter, Shopify grew its revenue by 46% as its gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew by 35% to $41.8 billion. Additionally, it has more than $7.5 billion of cash on its balance sheet -- money it can put to work growing its operations.</p><p><blockquote>虽然在市场份额方面仍远远落后于亚马逊，但在第三季度，Shopify的收入增长了46%，商品总额(GMV)增长了35%，达到418亿美元。此外，该公司的资产负债表上还有超过75亿美元的现金，可以用来发展业务。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify has been a remarkable stock over the last five years, up over 3,500%. Yet, management expects its GMV to increase faster than commerce Q4 commerce in general. It also has long-term goals to create a fulfillment network and develop a business-to-business platform. With ambitious expansion plans and growth ahead, every growth investor should consider owning Shopify.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify在过去五年中一直是一只出色的股票，上涨了3,500%以上。然而，管理层预计其GMV的增长速度将快于商业第四季度的整体商业。它还有创建履行网络和开发企业对企业平台的长期目标。凭借雄心勃勃的扩张计划和未来的增长，每个成长型投资者都应该考虑拥有Shopify。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>Procore</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>Procore</b></a></blockquote></p><p> Procore's SaaS offering targets the construction industry. It allows owners, contractors, and sub-contractors to connect with each other and gather all the information about a project in a single location.Construction is one of the last industriesto join the SaaS revolution and Procore is leading the way.</p><p><blockquote>Procore的SaaS产品针对建筑行业。它允许业主、承包商和分包商相互联系，并在一个位置收集有关项目的所有信息。建筑业是最后加入SaaS革命的行业之一，Procore正处于领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> Its revenue grew at a solid 30% rate in Q3 to $132 million, and it produced free cash flow of $6.5 million. Unlike many SaaS companies, Procore is not putting its focus on expanding as quickly as possible. Instead, it lets customers find its platform organically. It does this by letting paying customers add non-paying users to a project. After those businesses realize the benefits of managing projects with Procore, they are more likely to join up and become paying customers.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度其收入以30%的速度稳步增长，达到1.32亿美元，并产生了650万美元的自由现金流。与许多SaaS公司不同，Procore并没有将重点放在尽快扩张上。相反，它让客户有机地找到它的平台。它通过让付费客户将非付费用户添加到项目中来实现这一点。在这些企业意识到使用Procore管理项目的好处后，他们更有可能加入并成为付费客户。</blockquote></p><p> Procore is at a much earlier stage of its growth than Shopify; it believes it has captured 2% of its potential customers, and less than half of its current customers subscribe to four or more of its 13 products. Its worldwide expansion is progressing; Procore will begin operating in France and Germany next year, for example.</p><p><blockquote>Procore比Shopify处于更早的增长阶段；它认为自己已经吸引了2%的潜在客户，只有不到一半的现有客户订阅了其13种产品中的4种或更多。其全球扩张正在取得进展；例如，Procore将于明年开始在法国和德国运营。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Autodesk</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:ADSK)&nbsp;competes against Procore with its Construction Cloud product. However, Procore expects global construction spending to reach $14 trillion in 2025. As such, the construction management software space has plenty of room for multiple players. If it can channel even 5% of spending through its platform, Procore will be a successful investment.</p><p><blockquote><b>Autodesk</b>（纳斯达克：ADSK）以其建筑云产品与Procore竞争。然而，Procore预计2025年全球建筑支出将达到14万亿美元。因此，施工管理软件领域有足够的空间供多个参与者使用。如果Procore能够通过其平台引导哪怕5%的支出，那么Procore将是一项成功的投资。</blockquote></p><p> With a large growth runway ahead, Procore is a great SaaS stock for the future.</p><p><blockquote>Procore未来有很大的增长空间，是SaaS未来的一只优秀股票。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>Twilio</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>Twilio</b></a></blockquote></p><p> If you've ever communicated with a business through text messages, chances are Twilio assisted with that. It provides application programming interfaces (APIs) so businesses can build communication tools without needing their own software engineers. It features a usage-based pricing model that generates more revenue for Twilio as its customers grow.</p><p><blockquote>如果你曾经通过短信与企业沟通，Twilio很可能会在这方面提供帮助。它提供应用程序编程接口（API），因此企业可以构建通信工具，而不需要自己的软件工程师。它采用基于使用情况的定价模式，随着客户的增长，可以为Twilio创造更多收入。</blockquote></p><p> Twilio is growing the fastest of these three companies, with Q3 revenue up 65% year over year. It also has an impressive revenue net expansion rate of 131%, meaning existing customers spent 31% more in the quarter than in the prior-year period. And while some of Twilio's growth did come via acquiring companies, its organic growth rate sits at a still-impressive 38%. Concentration risk is being reduced as only 11% of total revenue is attributed to its top 10 accounts down from 14% during Q3 last year.</p><p><blockquote>Twilio是这三家公司中增长最快的，第三季度收入同比增长65%。它还拥有令人印象深刻的131%的收入净增长率，这意味着现有客户本季度的支出比去年同期增加了31%。虽然Twilio的部分增长确实来自收购公司，但其有机增长率仍然高达38%，令人印象深刻。集中度风险正在降低，其前10大客户仅占总收入的11%，低于去年第三季度的14%。</blockquote></p><p> Businesses' desire and need to communicate with customers will only increase, and Twilio is making that easier for them. Management is committed to achieving organic growth of 30% or more annually over the next three years, which would increase its revenue to more than $5.5 billion using Q3 trailing-twelve-month revenue.</p><p><blockquote>企业与客户沟通的愿望和需求只会增加，而Twilio正在让他们更容易做到这一点。管理层致力于在未来三年内实现每年30%或更高的有机增长，这将使其收入根据第三季度过去12个月的收入增加到55亿美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Twilio shows no signs of slowing down and investors should take note.</p><p><blockquote>Twilio没有显示出放缓的迹象，投资者应该注意。</blockquote></p><p> With all three of these stocks, valuation is a concern. While Twilio and Procore stock's price-to-sales ratio has recently come down, Shopify's has remained fairly steady. Shopify is also valued higher than the other two because the market believes its e-commerce opportunity is massive. Even at these levels, valuation still represents a potential investment risk. However, each deserves a high multiple because of strong execution and future expectations. Should one of the companies begin failing, the valuation will fall to reflect forward sentiment. Exciting growth prospects often come with valuation risks, and it's up to the companies to fulfill their long-term promise.</p><p><blockquote>对于这三只股票来说，估值都是一个问题。虽然Twilio和Procore股票的市销率最近有所下降，但Shopify的市销率仍然相当稳定。Shopify的估值也高于其他两家，因为市场认为其电子商务机会巨大。即使在这些水平上，估值仍然代表着潜在的投资风险。然而，由于强大的执行力和未来预期，每个公司都值得获得高倍数。如果其中一家公司开始倒闭，估值将会下降以反映前瞻性情绪。令人兴奋的增长前景往往伴随着估值风险，这取决于公司兑现其长期承诺。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6bb9a9a2f064d66040f79ad93086bb1\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As the world becomes more connected, SaaS offerings provide businesses with powerful tools they can use to increase their effectiveness and productivity. Wise investors should consider purchasing all three of these stocks but must beware of the risks. Holding onto these stocks looks like a great way to beat the market over the long term.</p><p><blockquote>随着世界变得更加互联，SaaS产品为企业提供了强大的工具，他们可以使用这些工具来提高效率和生产力。明智的投资者应该考虑购买所有这三只股票，但必须小心风险。从长远来看，持有这些股票似乎是战胜市场的好方法。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/27/3-leading-saas-stocks-to-buy-in-2021-and-beyond/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PCOR":"Procore Technologies","TWLO":"Twilio Inc","SHOP":"Shopify Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/27/3-leading-saas-stocks-to-buy-in-2021-and-beyond/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183215653","content_text":"Software-as-a-service (SaaS) stocks can be quite lucrative investments. The business model is subscription-based, which keeps customers paying monthly fees. Because the software often becomes integral to the operations of organizations that use it, customers are likely to stick with the providers they sign with, and expand their business with them over time. Also, software has minimal costs for physical production and distribution, allowing these companies to operate withhigh gross margins.\nThree top SaaS stocks that investors should consider today are Shopify, Procore, and Twilio.\nShopify\nThis Canadian e-commerce giant provides businesses with an online presence. With options well-priced for businesses of any size, Shopify provides even the humblest start-ups with an affordable way to reach customers across the internet. It also provides marketing and payment processing tools.\nAccording to eMarketer, Shopify's platform facilitated the second-largest share of U.S. e-commerce sales last year -- behind only Amazon, and ahead of even huge retailers like Walmart or marketplace operators like eBay.\nWhile it's still far behind Amazon in terms of market share, during the third quarter, Shopify grew its revenue by 46% as its gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew by 35% to $41.8 billion. Additionally, it has more than $7.5 billion of cash on its balance sheet -- money it can put to work growing its operations.\nShopify has been a remarkable stock over the last five years, up over 3,500%. Yet, management expects its GMV to increase faster than commerce Q4 commerce in general. It also has long-term goals to create a fulfillment network and develop a business-to-business platform. With ambitious expansion plans and growth ahead, every growth investor should consider owning Shopify.\nProcore\nProcore's SaaS offering targets the construction industry. It allows owners, contractors, and sub-contractors to connect with each other and gather all the information about a project in a single location.Construction is one of the last industriesto join the SaaS revolution and Procore is leading the way.\nIts revenue grew at a solid 30% rate in Q3 to $132 million, and it produced free cash flow of $6.5 million. Unlike many SaaS companies, Procore is not putting its focus on expanding as quickly as possible. Instead, it lets customers find its platform organically. It does this by letting paying customers add non-paying users to a project. After those businesses realize the benefits of managing projects with Procore, they are more likely to join up and become paying customers.\nProcore is at a much earlier stage of its growth than Shopify; it believes it has captured 2% of its potential customers, and less than half of its current customers subscribe to four or more of its 13 products. Its worldwide expansion is progressing; Procore will begin operating in France and Germany next year, for example.\nAutodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK) competes against Procore with its Construction Cloud product. However, Procore expects global construction spending to reach $14 trillion in 2025. As such, the construction management software space has plenty of room for multiple players. If it can channel even 5% of spending through its platform, Procore will be a successful investment.\nWith a large growth runway ahead, Procore is a great SaaS stock for the future.\nTwilio\nIf you've ever communicated with a business through text messages, chances are Twilio assisted with that. It provides application programming interfaces (APIs) so businesses can build communication tools without needing their own software engineers. It features a usage-based pricing model that generates more revenue for Twilio as its customers grow.\nTwilio is growing the fastest of these three companies, with Q3 revenue up 65% year over year. It also has an impressive revenue net expansion rate of 131%, meaning existing customers spent 31% more in the quarter than in the prior-year period. And while some of Twilio's growth did come via acquiring companies, its organic growth rate sits at a still-impressive 38%. Concentration risk is being reduced as only 11% of total revenue is attributed to its top 10 accounts down from 14% during Q3 last year.\nBusinesses' desire and need to communicate with customers will only increase, and Twilio is making that easier for them. Management is committed to achieving organic growth of 30% or more annually over the next three years, which would increase its revenue to more than $5.5 billion using Q3 trailing-twelve-month revenue.\nTwilio shows no signs of slowing down and investors should take note.\nWith all three of these stocks, valuation is a concern. While Twilio and Procore stock's price-to-sales ratio has recently come down, Shopify's has remained fairly steady. Shopify is also valued higher than the other two because the market believes its e-commerce opportunity is massive. Even at these levels, valuation still represents a potential investment risk. However, each deserves a high multiple because of strong execution and future expectations. Should one of the companies begin failing, the valuation will fall to reflect forward sentiment. Exciting growth prospects often come with valuation risks, and it's up to the companies to fulfill their long-term promise.\n\nAs the world becomes more connected, SaaS offerings provide businesses with powerful tools they can use to increase their effectiveness and productivity. Wise investors should consider purchasing all three of these stocks but must beware of the risks. Holding onto these stocks looks like a great way to beat the market over the long term.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PCOR":0.9,"TWLO":0.9,"SHOP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840263383,"gmtCreate":1635650418550,"gmtModify":1635650418550,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840263383","repostId":"2179223073","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":840,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859507886,"gmtCreate":1634707054633,"gmtModify":1634707054776,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859507886","repostId":"1123194504","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123194504","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634699967,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123194504?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 11:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What actually happened during GameStop mania?<blockquote>游戏驿站狂热期间到底发生了什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123194504","media":"CNN Business","summary":"London (CNN Business) - In late January, there was one question on the minds of investors: How did a","content":"<p><b>London (CNN Business)&nbsp;-&nbsp;</b>In late January, there was one question on the minds of investors: How did a struggling mall-based video game retailer became&nbsp;Wall Street's hottest stock, seemingly overnight?</p><p><blockquote><b>伦敦（CNN商业）——</b>一月底，投资者心中有一个问题：一家陷入困境的购物中心视频游戏零售商如何在一夜之间成为华尔街最热门的股票？</blockquote></p><p> Now, after months of research, the industry's top regulator has answers — and its findings could pave the way for major reforms to how financial markets function as amateur traders&nbsp;remain a powerful force.</p><p><blockquote>现在，经过数月的研究，该行业的最高监管机构已经找到了答案——其研究结果可能为金融市场如何运作的重大改革铺平道路，因为业余交易者仍然是一股强大的力量。</blockquote></p><p> What's happening: The US Securities and Exchange Commission just released a44-page reportexaminingGameStop(GME)mania, the early 2021 phenomenon in which the company's shares, plugged by enthusiasts on social media, rocketed about 2,700% in a matter of weeks.</p><p><blockquote>正在发生的事情：美国证券交易委员会刚刚发布了一份长达44页的报告，审查GameStop(GME)狂热，这是2021年初的一种现象，该公司的股价在社交媒体上受到爱好者的炒作，在几周内飙升了约2,700%。</blockquote></p><p> Other companies, including movie theater chain&nbsp;AMC Entertainment(AMC), electronics company&nbsp;Koss(KOSS)&nbsp;and clothing chain&nbsp;Express(EXPR), also logged astronomical gains as online hype reached a fever pitch.</p><p><blockquote>随着网络炒作达到白热化，连锁影院AMC院线（AMC）、电子公司科斯（KOSS）和服装连锁店Express（EXPR）等其他公司也录得天文数字的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The report is full of interesting findings about the so-called \"meme stock\" craze. Here are some of the highlights.</p><p><blockquote>该报告充满了关于所谓“模因股票”热潮的有趣发现。以下是一些亮点。</blockquote></p><p> It really was wild.The SEC found that the number of unique accounts trading GameStop on a given day rose to nearly 900,000 by Jan. 27, up from fewer than 10,000 at the beginning of the month.</p><p><blockquote>真的很疯狂。SEC发现，截至1月27日，某一天交易游戏驿站的独立账户数量从本月初的不到10,000个增至近90万个。</blockquote></p><p> And the volume of stock changing hands was massive. Between Jan. 13 and Jan. 29, an average of 100 million GameStop shares were traded per day, up 1,400% from the 2020 average.</p><p><blockquote>股票易手量巨大。1月13日至1月29日期间，游戏驿站股票平均每天交易量为1亿股，较2020年平均水平增长1,400%。</blockquote></p><p> The action wasn't just limited to GameStop. More than 100 stocks \"experienced large price moves or increased trading volume that significantly exceeded broader market movements,\" the SEC said.</p><p><blockquote>这一行动不仅限于游戏驿站。SEC表示，100多只股票“经历了大幅价格波动或交易量增加，大大超过了大盘波动”。</blockquote></p><p> Some theories were off. One reason GameStop generated so much attention was because it fit a compelling David versus Goliath narrative, in which a band of renegade traders coordinating on platforms like Reddit successfully took on big hedge funds that had placed bets against GameStop. When the company's share price rose dramatically, those hedge funds allegedly had to buy stock in the company to cover their positions, triggering even bigger gains.</p><p><blockquote>有些理论被搁置。游戏驿站引起如此多关注的原因之一是，它符合引人注目的大卫与歌利亚的叙事，其中一群叛逆的交易员在Reddit等平台上协调，成功地对抗了做空游戏驿站的大型对冲基金。据称，当该公司股价大幅上涨时，这些对冲基金不得不购买该公司的股票来补仓，从而引发更大的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> That did happen. But the SEC found that \"such buying was a small fraction of overall buy volume,\" and that it was \"positive sentiment, not the buying-to-cover, that sustained the weeks-long price appreciation of GameStop stock.\"</p><p><blockquote>确实发生了。但美国证券交易委员会发现，“此类购买仅占总体购买量的一小部分”，并且“积极情绪，而不是买入对冲，维持了游戏驿站股票长达数周的价格上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> Robinhood is under the microscope. The SEC thinks regulators should take a closer look at how popular trading apps function. That could put pressure on the company, which&nbsp;went public in July.</p><p><blockquote>罗宾汉在显微镜下。美国证券交易委员会认为监管机构应该仔细研究流行交易应用程序的运作方式。这可能会给该公司带来压力，该公司于7月上市。</blockquote></p><p> \"Consideration should be given to whether game-like features and celebratory animations that are likely intended to create positive feedback from trading lead investors to trade more than they would otherwise,\" the report said.</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“应该考虑可能旨在从交易中创造积极反馈的类似游戏的功能和庆祝动画是否会导致投资者进行比其他方式更多的交易。”</blockquote></p><p> The SEC also said the practice at the center of Robinhood's business model, known as \"payment for order flow,\" could compel the company to find \"novel ways to increase customer trading.\"</p><p><blockquote>SEC还表示，Robinhood商业模式的核心做法，即“订单流支付”，可能会迫使该公司寻找“增加客户交易的新方法”。</blockquote></p><p> When an investor places an order to buy a stock on its app, Robinhood routes the order to a market maker like Citadel Securities, which then handles execution — and pays Robinhood for that privilege. SEC Chair Gary Gensler has previously indicated he's skeptical of payment for order flow.</p><p><blockquote>当投资者在其应用程序上下单购买股票时，Robinhood会将订单发送给Citadel Securities等做市商，然后由该做市商处理执行，并向Robinhood支付该特权费用。SEC主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)此前曾表示，他对订单流的支付持怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p> Big picture: The report didn't include specific policy recommendations. But it could help Gensler's SEC eventually make changes to how markets function.</p><p><blockquote>大图：该报告没有包括具体的政策建议。但它可以帮助Gensler的SEC最终改变市场的运作方式。</blockquote></p><p> \"January's events gave us an opportunity to consider how we can further our efforts to make the equity markets as fair, orderly and efficient as possible,\" Gensler, who was nominated by President Joe Biden, said in a statement Monday.</p><p><blockquote>由总统乔·拜登提名的詹斯勒周一在一份声明中表示：“一月份的事件让我们有机会考虑如何进一步努力，使股市尽可能公平、有序和高效。”</blockquote></p><p> But SEC Commissioners Hester Peirce and Elad Roisman, who are Republican appointees, said in a separate statement that the report went too far.</p><p><blockquote>但共和党任命的SEC委员赫斯特·皮尔斯和埃拉德·罗斯曼在另一份声明中表示，该报告走得太远了。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the wake of an anomalous market event, it can be tempting to identify a convenient scapegoat and leverage the event to pursue regulatory actions without regard to the factual record,\" they said, adding that the report, \"finds no causal connection between the meme stock volatility\" and a practice such as payment for order flow \"that has drawn recent popular attention.\"</p><p><blockquote>他们表示：“在异常市场事件发生后，人们很容易找到一个方便的替罪羊，并利用该事件采取监管行动，而不考虑事实记录。”他们补充说，该报告“没有发现两者之间存在因果关系”。模因股票波动”和“为订单流付费”等做法“最近引起了广泛关注”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What actually happened during GameStop mania?<blockquote>游戏驿站狂热期间到底发生了什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat actually happened during GameStop mania?<blockquote>游戏驿站狂热期间到底发生了什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-20 11:19</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>London (CNN Business)&nbsp;-&nbsp;</b>In late January, there was one question on the minds of investors: How did a struggling mall-based video game retailer became&nbsp;Wall Street's hottest stock, seemingly overnight?</p><p><blockquote><b>伦敦（CNN商业）——</b>一月底，投资者心中有一个问题：一家陷入困境的购物中心视频游戏零售商如何在一夜之间成为华尔街最热门的股票？</blockquote></p><p> Now, after months of research, the industry's top regulator has answers — and its findings could pave the way for major reforms to how financial markets function as amateur traders&nbsp;remain a powerful force.</p><p><blockquote>现在，经过数月的研究，该行业的最高监管机构已经找到了答案——其研究结果可能为金融市场如何运作的重大改革铺平道路，因为业余交易者仍然是一股强大的力量。</blockquote></p><p> What's happening: The US Securities and Exchange Commission just released a44-page reportexaminingGameStop(GME)mania, the early 2021 phenomenon in which the company's shares, plugged by enthusiasts on social media, rocketed about 2,700% in a matter of weeks.</p><p><blockquote>正在发生的事情：美国证券交易委员会刚刚发布了一份长达44页的报告，审查GameStop(GME)狂热，这是2021年初的一种现象，该公司的股价在社交媒体上受到爱好者的炒作，在几周内飙升了约2,700%。</blockquote></p><p> Other companies, including movie theater chain&nbsp;AMC Entertainment(AMC), electronics company&nbsp;Koss(KOSS)&nbsp;and clothing chain&nbsp;Express(EXPR), also logged astronomical gains as online hype reached a fever pitch.</p><p><blockquote>随着网络炒作达到白热化，连锁影院AMC院线（AMC）、电子公司科斯（KOSS）和服装连锁店Express（EXPR）等其他公司也录得天文数字的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The report is full of interesting findings about the so-called \"meme stock\" craze. Here are some of the highlights.</p><p><blockquote>该报告充满了关于所谓“模因股票”热潮的有趣发现。以下是一些亮点。</blockquote></p><p> It really was wild.The SEC found that the number of unique accounts trading GameStop on a given day rose to nearly 900,000 by Jan. 27, up from fewer than 10,000 at the beginning of the month.</p><p><blockquote>真的很疯狂。SEC发现，截至1月27日，某一天交易游戏驿站的独立账户数量从本月初的不到10,000个增至近90万个。</blockquote></p><p> And the volume of stock changing hands was massive. Between Jan. 13 and Jan. 29, an average of 100 million GameStop shares were traded per day, up 1,400% from the 2020 average.</p><p><blockquote>股票易手量巨大。1月13日至1月29日期间，游戏驿站股票平均每天交易量为1亿股，较2020年平均水平增长1,400%。</blockquote></p><p> The action wasn't just limited to GameStop. More than 100 stocks \"experienced large price moves or increased trading volume that significantly exceeded broader market movements,\" the SEC said.</p><p><blockquote>这一行动不仅限于游戏驿站。SEC表示，100多只股票“经历了大幅价格波动或交易量增加，大大超过了大盘波动”。</blockquote></p><p> Some theories were off. One reason GameStop generated so much attention was because it fit a compelling David versus Goliath narrative, in which a band of renegade traders coordinating on platforms like Reddit successfully took on big hedge funds that had placed bets against GameStop. When the company's share price rose dramatically, those hedge funds allegedly had to buy stock in the company to cover their positions, triggering even bigger gains.</p><p><blockquote>有些理论被搁置。游戏驿站引起如此多关注的原因之一是，它符合引人注目的大卫与歌利亚的叙事，其中一群叛逆的交易员在Reddit等平台上协调，成功地对抗了做空游戏驿站的大型对冲基金。据称，当该公司股价大幅上涨时，这些对冲基金不得不购买该公司的股票来补仓，从而引发更大的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> That did happen. But the SEC found that \"such buying was a small fraction of overall buy volume,\" and that it was \"positive sentiment, not the buying-to-cover, that sustained the weeks-long price appreciation of GameStop stock.\"</p><p><blockquote>确实发生了。但美国证券交易委员会发现，“此类购买仅占总体购买量的一小部分”，并且“积极情绪，而不是买入对冲，维持了游戏驿站股票长达数周的价格上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> Robinhood is under the microscope. The SEC thinks regulators should take a closer look at how popular trading apps function. That could put pressure on the company, which&nbsp;went public in July.</p><p><blockquote>罗宾汉在显微镜下。美国证券交易委员会认为监管机构应该仔细研究流行交易应用程序的运作方式。这可能会给该公司带来压力，该公司于7月上市。</blockquote></p><p> \"Consideration should be given to whether game-like features and celebratory animations that are likely intended to create positive feedback from trading lead investors to trade more than they would otherwise,\" the report said.</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“应该考虑可能旨在从交易中创造积极反馈的类似游戏的功能和庆祝动画是否会导致投资者进行比其他方式更多的交易。”</blockquote></p><p> The SEC also said the practice at the center of Robinhood's business model, known as \"payment for order flow,\" could compel the company to find \"novel ways to increase customer trading.\"</p><p><blockquote>SEC还表示，Robinhood商业模式的核心做法，即“订单流支付”，可能会迫使该公司寻找“增加客户交易的新方法”。</blockquote></p><p> When an investor places an order to buy a stock on its app, Robinhood routes the order to a market maker like Citadel Securities, which then handles execution — and pays Robinhood for that privilege. SEC Chair Gary Gensler has previously indicated he's skeptical of payment for order flow.</p><p><blockquote>当投资者在其应用程序上下单购买股票时，Robinhood会将订单发送给Citadel Securities等做市商，然后由该做市商处理执行，并向Robinhood支付该特权费用。SEC主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)此前曾表示，他对订单流的支付持怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p> Big picture: The report didn't include specific policy recommendations. But it could help Gensler's SEC eventually make changes to how markets function.</p><p><blockquote>大图：该报告没有包括具体的政策建议。但它可以帮助Gensler的SEC最终改变市场的运作方式。</blockquote></p><p> \"January's events gave us an opportunity to consider how we can further our efforts to make the equity markets as fair, orderly and efficient as possible,\" Gensler, who was nominated by President Joe Biden, said in a statement Monday.</p><p><blockquote>由总统乔·拜登提名的詹斯勒周一在一份声明中表示：“一月份的事件让我们有机会考虑如何进一步努力，使股市尽可能公平、有序和高效。”</blockquote></p><p> But SEC Commissioners Hester Peirce and Elad Roisman, who are Republican appointees, said in a separate statement that the report went too far.</p><p><blockquote>但共和党任命的SEC委员赫斯特·皮尔斯和埃拉德·罗斯曼在另一份声明中表示，该报告走得太远了。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the wake of an anomalous market event, it can be tempting to identify a convenient scapegoat and leverage the event to pursue regulatory actions without regard to the factual record,\" they said, adding that the report, \"finds no causal connection between the meme stock volatility\" and a practice such as payment for order flow \"that has drawn recent popular attention.\"</p><p><blockquote>他们表示：“在异常市场事件发生后，人们很容易找到一个方便的替罪羊，并利用该事件采取监管行动，而不考虑事实记录。”他们补充说，该报告“没有发现两者之间存在因果关系”。模因股票波动”和“为订单流付费”等做法“最近引起了广泛关注”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/10/19/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html\">CNN Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/10/19/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123194504","content_text":"London (CNN Business) - In late January, there was one question on the minds of investors: How did a struggling mall-based video game retailer became Wall Street's hottest stock, seemingly overnight?\nNow, after months of research, the industry's top regulator has answers — and its findings could pave the way for major reforms to how financial markets function as amateur traders remain a powerful force.\nWhat's happening: The US Securities and Exchange Commission just released a44-page reportexaminingGameStop(GME)mania, the early 2021 phenomenon in which the company's shares, plugged by enthusiasts on social media, rocketed about 2,700% in a matter of weeks.\nOther companies, including movie theater chain AMC Entertainment(AMC), electronics company Koss(KOSS) and clothing chain Express(EXPR), also logged astronomical gains as online hype reached a fever pitch.\nThe report is full of interesting findings about the so-called \"meme stock\" craze. Here are some of the highlights.\nIt really was wild.The SEC found that the number of unique accounts trading GameStop on a given day rose to nearly 900,000 by Jan. 27, up from fewer than 10,000 at the beginning of the month.\nAnd the volume of stock changing hands was massive. Between Jan. 13 and Jan. 29, an average of 100 million GameStop shares were traded per day, up 1,400% from the 2020 average.\nThe action wasn't just limited to GameStop. More than 100 stocks \"experienced large price moves or increased trading volume that significantly exceeded broader market movements,\" the SEC said.\nSome theories were off. One reason GameStop generated so much attention was because it fit a compelling David versus Goliath narrative, in which a band of renegade traders coordinating on platforms like Reddit successfully took on big hedge funds that had placed bets against GameStop. When the company's share price rose dramatically, those hedge funds allegedly had to buy stock in the company to cover their positions, triggering even bigger gains.\nThat did happen. But the SEC found that \"such buying was a small fraction of overall buy volume,\" and that it was \"positive sentiment, not the buying-to-cover, that sustained the weeks-long price appreciation of GameStop stock.\"\nRobinhood is under the microscope. The SEC thinks regulators should take a closer look at how popular trading apps function. That could put pressure on the company, which went public in July.\n\"Consideration should be given to whether game-like features and celebratory animations that are likely intended to create positive feedback from trading lead investors to trade more than they would otherwise,\" the report said.\nThe SEC also said the practice at the center of Robinhood's business model, known as \"payment for order flow,\" could compel the company to find \"novel ways to increase customer trading.\"\nWhen an investor places an order to buy a stock on its app, Robinhood routes the order to a market maker like Citadel Securities, which then handles execution — and pays Robinhood for that privilege. SEC Chair Gary Gensler has previously indicated he's skeptical of payment for order flow.\nBig picture: The report didn't include specific policy recommendations. But it could help Gensler's SEC eventually make changes to how markets function.\n\"January's events gave us an opportunity to consider how we can further our efforts to make the equity markets as fair, orderly and efficient as possible,\" Gensler, who was nominated by President Joe Biden, said in a statement Monday.\nBut SEC Commissioners Hester Peirce and Elad Roisman, who are Republican appointees, said in a separate statement that the report went too far.\n\"In the wake of an anomalous market event, it can be tempting to identify a convenient scapegoat and leverage the event to pursue regulatory actions without regard to the factual record,\" they said, adding that the report, \"finds no causal connection between the meme stock volatility\" and a practice such as payment for order flow \"that has drawn recent popular attention.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":648,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827172735,"gmtCreate":1634437731915,"gmtModify":1634437732111,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827172735","repostId":"2175146556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":863177652,"gmtCreate":1632369037776,"gmtModify":1632800853589,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863177652","repostId":"2169650271","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898054672,"gmtCreate":1628464785896,"gmtModify":1633747081404,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898054672","repostId":"1136322726","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":871893675,"gmtCreate":1637046726703,"gmtModify":1637046726703,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871893675","repostId":"2183607933","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":670,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855796208,"gmtCreate":1635398500978,"gmtModify":1635398501079,"author":{"id":"4089459519603980","authorId":"4089459519603980","name":"WarisHeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f152c428f94eef79d97567fa3c7400da","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089459519603980","idStr":"4089459519603980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855796208","repostId":"1120494800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120494800","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1635387959,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120494800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-28 10:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Ways Hertz Is Creating Value For Tesla<blockquote>赫兹为特斯拉创造价值的4种方式</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120494800","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Tesla Inc shares rallied once again on Wednesday after ridesharing giant Uber Technologies Inc announced a new partnership with Hertz Global Holdings Inc to offer 50,000 Tesla rentals to U.S. drivers.On Tuesday, Colas said at first glance, the market’s reaction to Hertz’s order of 100,000 Tesla Model 3s may be surprising to investors who remember when General Motors Company,Ford Motor Company and other auto companies owned Hertz,Avis Budget Group Inc. and other rental companies, which created ve","content":"<p><b>Tesla Inc</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA) shares rallied once again on Wednesday after ridesharing giant&nbsp;<b>Uber Technologies Inc</b>(NYSE:UBER) announced a new partnership with&nbsp;<b>Hertz Global Holdings Inc</b>(OTC:HTZZ) to offer 50,000 Tesla rentals to U.S. drivers.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉公司</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）继拼车巨头之后，股价周三再次上涨<b>优步科技公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：UBER）宣布与<b>赫兹全球控股公司</b>（场外交易代码：HTZZ）向美国司机提供50,000辆特斯拉租赁服务。</blockquote></p><p> The latest Uber news is one of several ways&nbsp;Tesla’s partnership with Hertz&nbsp;is creating value for the electric vehicle pioneer, according to DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas&nbsp;Colas.</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek Research联合创始人Nicholas Colas表示，Uber的最新消息是特斯拉与赫兹的合作为这家电动汽车先驱创造价值的几种方式之一。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, Colas said at first glance, the market’s reaction to Hertz’s order of 100,000 Tesla Model 3s may be surprising to investors who remember when&nbsp;<b>General Motors Company</b>,<b>Ford Motor Company</b>&nbsp;and other auto companies owned Hertz,<b>Avis Budget Group Inc.</b>&nbsp;and other rental companies, which created very little value for shareholders. However, Colas said there are at least our reasons why the Hertz deal is boosting Tesla’s stock.</p><p><blockquote>周二，Colas表示，乍一看，市场对赫兹订购10万辆特斯拉Model 3的反应可能会让投资者感到惊讶，他们还记得<b>通用汽车公司</b>,<b>福特汽车公司</b>和其他汽车公司拥有赫兹，<b>阿维斯预算集团公司。</b>和其他租赁公司，为股东创造的价值很少。然而，科拉斯表示，赫兹交易提振特斯拉股价至少是有原因的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4 Reasons The Stock Is Moving:</b>First, despite its&nbsp;$1 trillion valuation,<b>Tesla’s business is still relatively small</b>&nbsp;compared to Ford, GM and others. Colas said the 100,000 vehicle orders will lock up a significant portion of Tesla’s production in the next year at a high-margin selling price of $42,000 per vehicle.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动的4个原因：</b>首先，尽管其估值高达1万亿美元，<b>特斯拉的业务还比较小</b>与福特、通用等公司相比。Colas表示，10万辆汽车订单将以每辆汽车4.2万美元的高利润售价锁定特斯拉明年的很大一部分产量。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the&nbsp;<b>partnership with Hertz will allow car renters to get behind the wheel of a Tesla for the first time</b>. These rentals can essentially serve as test drives that may convince more people to buy the cars, Colas said.</p><p><blockquote>第二，<b>与赫兹的合作将使汽车租赁者首次能够驾驶特斯拉</b>.科拉斯说，这些租赁本质上可以作为试驾，可能会说服更多的人购买汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Third,<b>Hertz’s large national network of locations could be helpful</b>&nbsp;as Tesla grows its number of charging stations. Colas said Hertz’s airport locations may be particularly convenient locations for business travelers to leave their cars to charge when they are out of town.</p><p><blockquote>第三，<b>赫兹庞大的全国网点网络可能会有所帮助</b>随着特斯拉充电站数量的增加。科拉斯表示，赫兹的机场位置可能是商务旅客出城时停车充电的特别方便的位置。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, Colas said Hertz and other rental car companies missed the boat on ridesharing disruption, but&nbsp;<b>partnering with Tesla and other next-generation auto tech companies can help rental companies make sure they are well-positioned for the next major disruptor: autonomous vehicles</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后，科拉斯表示，赫兹和其他租车公司错过了拼车中断的机会，但<b>与特斯拉和其他下一代汽车技术公司合作可以帮助租赁公司确保他们为下一个重大颠覆者：自动驾驶汽车做好准备</b>.</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla/Hertz is a fascinating case study in how new and old industries still need each other to maximize the impact of disruptive technologies on the one hand and leverage that same technology to remake a stale business model on the other,” Colas said.</p><p><blockquote>Colas表示：“特斯拉/赫兹是一个引人入胜的案例研究，一方面说明新旧行业仍然需要彼此最大限度地发挥颠覆性技术的影响，另一方面利用相同的技术重塑陈旧的商业模式。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>With business booming, the only question mark these days when it comes to Tesla is its valuation. Tesla shares trade at 20.9 times sales, more than double the multiple of all the other trillion-dollar S&amp;P 500 tech companies other than&nbsp;<b>Microsoft Corporation</b>&nbsp;(13.9).</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>随着业务的蓬勃发展，如今特斯拉唯一的问号是其估值。特斯拉股价是销售额的20.9倍，是除其他外所有其他万亿美元标普500科技公司的两倍多<b>微软公司</b> (13.9).</blockquote></p><p> Read:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1127302287\" target=\"_blank\">Tesla Lands A Massive Deal And Breaks $1 Trillion: Are Shares A Buy?</a></p><p><blockquote>阅读：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1127302287\" target=\"_blank\">特斯拉达成巨额交易并突破1万亿美元：股票值得买入吗？</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Ways Hertz Is Creating Value For Tesla<blockquote>赫兹为特斯拉创造价值的4种方式</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Ways Hertz Is Creating Value For Tesla<blockquote>赫兹为特斯拉创造价值的4种方式</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-28 10:25</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Tesla Inc</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA) shares rallied once again on Wednesday after ridesharing giant&nbsp;<b>Uber Technologies Inc</b>(NYSE:UBER) announced a new partnership with&nbsp;<b>Hertz Global Holdings Inc</b>(OTC:HTZZ) to offer 50,000 Tesla rentals to U.S. drivers.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉公司</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）继拼车巨头之后，股价周三再次上涨<b>优步科技公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：UBER）宣布与<b>赫兹全球控股公司</b>（场外交易代码：HTZZ）向美国司机提供50,000辆特斯拉租赁服务。</blockquote></p><p> The latest Uber news is one of several ways&nbsp;Tesla’s partnership with Hertz&nbsp;is creating value for the electric vehicle pioneer, according to DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas&nbsp;Colas.</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek Research联合创始人Nicholas Colas表示，Uber的最新消息是特斯拉与赫兹的合作为这家电动汽车先驱创造价值的几种方式之一。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, Colas said at first glance, the market’s reaction to Hertz’s order of 100,000 Tesla Model 3s may be surprising to investors who remember when&nbsp;<b>General Motors Company</b>,<b>Ford Motor Company</b>&nbsp;and other auto companies owned Hertz,<b>Avis Budget Group Inc.</b>&nbsp;and other rental companies, which created very little value for shareholders. However, Colas said there are at least our reasons why the Hertz deal is boosting Tesla’s stock.</p><p><blockquote>周二，Colas表示，乍一看，市场对赫兹订购10万辆特斯拉Model 3的反应可能会让投资者感到惊讶，他们还记得<b>通用汽车公司</b>,<b>福特汽车公司</b>和其他汽车公司拥有赫兹，<b>阿维斯预算集团公司。</b>和其他租赁公司，为股东创造的价值很少。然而，科拉斯表示，赫兹交易提振特斯拉股价至少是有原因的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4 Reasons The Stock Is Moving:</b>First, despite its&nbsp;$1 trillion valuation,<b>Tesla’s business is still relatively small</b>&nbsp;compared to Ford, GM and others. Colas said the 100,000 vehicle orders will lock up a significant portion of Tesla’s production in the next year at a high-margin selling price of $42,000 per vehicle.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动的4个原因：</b>首先，尽管其估值高达1万亿美元，<b>特斯拉的业务还比较小</b>与福特、通用等公司相比。Colas表示，10万辆汽车订单将以每辆汽车4.2万美元的高利润售价锁定特斯拉明年的很大一部分产量。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the&nbsp;<b>partnership with Hertz will allow car renters to get behind the wheel of a Tesla for the first time</b>. These rentals can essentially serve as test drives that may convince more people to buy the cars, Colas said.</p><p><blockquote>第二，<b>与赫兹的合作将使汽车租赁者首次能够驾驶特斯拉</b>.科拉斯说，这些租赁本质上可以作为试驾，可能会说服更多的人购买汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Third,<b>Hertz’s large national network of locations could be helpful</b>&nbsp;as Tesla grows its number of charging stations. Colas said Hertz’s airport locations may be particularly convenient locations for business travelers to leave their cars to charge when they are out of town.</p><p><blockquote>第三，<b>赫兹庞大的全国网点网络可能会有所帮助</b>随着特斯拉充电站数量的增加。科拉斯表示，赫兹的机场位置可能是商务旅客出城时停车充电的特别方便的位置。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, Colas said Hertz and other rental car companies missed the boat on ridesharing disruption, but&nbsp;<b>partnering with Tesla and other next-generation auto tech companies can help rental companies make sure they are well-positioned for the next major disruptor: autonomous vehicles</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后，科拉斯表示，赫兹和其他租车公司错过了拼车中断的机会，但<b>与特斯拉和其他下一代汽车技术公司合作可以帮助租赁公司确保他们为下一个重大颠覆者：自动驾驶汽车做好准备</b>.</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla/Hertz is a fascinating case study in how new and old industries still need each other to maximize the impact of disruptive technologies on the one hand and leverage that same technology to remake a stale business model on the other,” Colas said.</p><p><blockquote>Colas表示：“特斯拉/赫兹是一个引人入胜的案例研究，一方面说明新旧行业仍然需要彼此最大限度地发挥颠覆性技术的影响，另一方面利用相同的技术重塑陈旧的商业模式。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>With business booming, the only question mark these days when it comes to Tesla is its valuation. Tesla shares trade at 20.9 times sales, more than double the multiple of all the other trillion-dollar S&amp;P 500 tech companies other than&nbsp;<b>Microsoft Corporation</b>&nbsp;(13.9).</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>随着业务的蓬勃发展，如今特斯拉唯一的问号是其估值。特斯拉股价是销售额的20.9倍，是除其他外所有其他万亿美元标普500科技公司的两倍多<b>微软公司</b> (13.9).</blockquote></p><p> Read:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1127302287\" target=\"_blank\">Tesla Lands A Massive Deal And Breaks $1 Trillion: Are Shares A Buy?</a></p><p><blockquote>阅读：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1127302287\" target=\"_blank\">特斯拉达成巨额交易并突破1万亿美元：股票值得买入吗？</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HTZZ":"Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120494800","content_text":"Tesla Inc(NASDAQ:TSLA) shares rallied once again on Wednesday after ridesharing giant Uber Technologies Inc(NYSE:UBER) announced a new partnership with Hertz Global Holdings Inc(OTC:HTZZ) to offer 50,000 Tesla rentals to U.S. drivers.\nThe latest Uber news is one of several ways Tesla’s partnership with Hertz is creating value for the electric vehicle pioneer, according to DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas.\nOn Tuesday, Colas said at first glance, the market’s reaction to Hertz’s order of 100,000 Tesla Model 3s may be surprising to investors who remember when General Motors Company,Ford Motor Company and other auto companies owned Hertz,Avis Budget Group Inc. and other rental companies, which created very little value for shareholders. However, Colas said there are at least our reasons why the Hertz deal is boosting Tesla’s stock.\n4 Reasons The Stock Is Moving:First, despite its $1 trillion valuation,Tesla’s business is still relatively small compared to Ford, GM and others. Colas said the 100,000 vehicle orders will lock up a significant portion of Tesla’s production in the next year at a high-margin selling price of $42,000 per vehicle.\nSecond, the partnership with Hertz will allow car renters to get behind the wheel of a Tesla for the first time. These rentals can essentially serve as test drives that may convince more people to buy the cars, Colas said.\nThird,Hertz’s large national network of locations could be helpful as Tesla grows its number of charging stations. Colas said Hertz’s airport locations may be particularly convenient locations for business travelers to leave their cars to charge when they are out of town.\nFinally, Colas said Hertz and other rental car companies missed the boat on ridesharing disruption, but partnering with Tesla and other next-generation auto tech companies can help rental companies make sure they are well-positioned for the next major disruptor: autonomous vehicles.\n“Tesla/Hertz is a fascinating case study in how new and old industries still need each other to maximize the impact of disruptive technologies on the one hand and leverage that same technology to remake a stale business model on the other,” Colas said.\nBenzinga’s Take:With business booming, the only question mark these days when it comes to Tesla is its valuation. Tesla shares trade at 20.9 times sales, more than double the multiple of all the other trillion-dollar S&P 500 tech companies other than Microsoft Corporation (13.9).\nRead:Tesla Lands A Massive Deal And Breaks $1 Trillion: Are Shares A Buy?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"HTZZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":475,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}