37687d3f的个人主页 - 老虎社区

37687d3f

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2021-09-19

$Aterian Inc.(ATER)$good buy. Worth trying for short term investment . Take profit when it hits $17.

2021-11-01

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ cant go wrong with SIA. a good long-term investment. I can see it rising to above $7 within the next 2 years hopefully.

2021-09-30

$SmileDirectClub, Inc.(SDC)$this stupid stock 😒 wonder if i shud just cut loss n sell.

2021-10-18

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$tolong Tolong move up tonite leh 🙏

2021-11-03

$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$ hm... Donno how this is gonna pan out

2021-10-29

$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$intending to buy in when it hit 0.05

2021-10-25

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Tiger Tiger pls move up tonite🙏

2021-09-25

$SmileDirectClub, Inc.(SDC)$absolute disastrous, hv been plunging since i bought on Monday! 😣😣😣

2021-08-28

Liked already

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-11

So true

3 Surefire Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的3只万无一失的股票</blockquote>

2021-10-20

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ went up abit last nite but still down for me. No worries. I'm optimistic so hanging in there😊

2021-10-15

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$aiya. Shud hv cut out when it hit 10 last nite😉

2021-08-29

Well done. Good!

Apple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play<blockquote>苹果股票：它如何成为一场伟大的通胀游戏</blockquote>

2021-11-04

$PAN-UNITED CORPORATION LTD(P52.SI)$ very quiet but I know they are profiting.Any thoughts?

2021-10-29

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ what a drop! Thanks to the news! 😏

2021-10-27

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$aiya! Shud hv liquidated when it hit 10+ last nite. 😜

2021-10-21

$Histogenics(OCGN)$another stock worth looking at n investing but must keep a watch.

2021-10-06

Oh no!

The next financial crisis is fast approaching<blockquote>下一次金融危机即将来临</blockquote>

2021-09-23

Excellent. Thanks 😊👍

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-16

Thank u for the info[微笑]

Ray Dalio: Cash Is Trash, But Don't Over do It on Stocks<blockquote>雷·达里奥：现金是垃圾，但不要过度投资股票</blockquote>

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I wonder too😏","listText":"Yea I wonder too😏","text":"Yea I wonder too😏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844716949","repostId":"844260962","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":844260962,"gmtCreate":1636431543133,"gmtModify":1636431543278,"author":{"id":"4093668584941900","authorId":"4093668584941900","name":"Rimba","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a57bdd60744ee149924f1ee6f4c4436","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093668584941900","authorIdStr":"4093668584941900"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZNGA\">$Zynga(ZNGA)$</a>What now after earnings released?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZNGA\">$Zynga(ZNGA)$</a>What now after earnings released?&nbsp;","text":"$Zynga(ZNGA)$What now after earnings released?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11047a6c7a0141244c1514bff875bc5e","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844260962","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2091,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844718858,"gmtCreate":1636459859231,"gmtModify":1636459859452,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZNGA\">$Zynga(ZNGA)$</a>&nbsp;stagnant!!&nbsp;","listText":"<a 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Getting fm bad to worse 😢","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SDC\">$SmileDirectClub, Inc.(SDC)$</a>&nbsp;one of de worst buy. Getting fm bad to worse 😢","text":"$SmileDirectClub, Inc.(SDC)$ one of de worst buy. Getting fm bad to worse 😢","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccbc7c69405eae8052deb297e244567","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844718011","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3867,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845385748,"gmtCreate":1636285485948,"gmtModify":1636285604359,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thank u","listText":"Thank u","text":"Thank u","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845385748","repostId":"2181283177","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845385669,"gmtCreate":1636285405613,"gmtModify":1636285495975,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>&nbsp;looking good 👍😊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>&nbsp;looking good 👍😊","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ looking good 👍😊","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d947c2ae7fe0316223199bea85eccaad","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845385669","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1658,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845385929,"gmtCreate":1636285367385,"gmtModify":1636285372641,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHPT\">$ChargePoint Holdings Inc.(CHPT)$</a>&nbsp;hope the latest news on Chargepoint going up in November is true. Nevertheless I hv no doubt on its progressive performance in the months to come 😊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHPT\">$ChargePoint Holdings Inc.(CHPT)$</a>&nbsp;hope the latest news on Chargepoint going up in November is true. Nevertheless I hv no doubt on its progressive performance in the months to come 😊","text":"$ChargePoint Holdings Inc.(CHPT)$ hope the latest news on Chargepoint going up in November is true. Nevertheless I hv no doubt on its progressive performance in the months to come 😊","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d106623bea6a34c591b62c851e857d2","width":"720","height":"1910"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845385929","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846704509,"gmtCreate":1636110997144,"gmtModify":1636110997438,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ES3.SI\">$STI ETF(ES3.SI)$</a>slowly but surely.. 😊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ES3.SI\">$STI ETF(ES3.SI)$</a>slowly but surely.. 😊","text":"$STI ETF(ES3.SI)$slowly but surely.. 😊","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad42fd9174aaa23bf2884d63ab4d08eb","width":"720","height":"1836"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846704509","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848573803,"gmtCreate":1636015602185,"gmtModify":1636015602325,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/P52.SI\">$PAN-UNITED CORPORATION LTD(P52.SI)$</a>&nbsp;very quiet but I know they are profiting.Any thoughts?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/P52.SI\">$PAN-UNITED CORPORATION LTD(P52.SI)$</a>&nbsp;very quiet but I know they are profiting.Any thoughts?&nbsp;","text":"$PAN-UNITED CORPORATION LTD(P52.SI)$ very quiet but I know they are profiting.Any thoughts?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/248ba5a2ae5912118119b895bd9469a9","width":"720","height":"1836"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848573803","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2880,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841740083,"gmtCreate":1635945590534,"gmtModify":1635945590765,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>&nbsp;hm... Donno how this is gonna pan out","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>&nbsp;hm... Donno how this is gonna pan out","text":"$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$ hm... Donno how this is gonna pan out","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee7509f54de08e90e4d81c41abdf4efb","width":"720","height":"1836"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841740083","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849137856,"gmtCreate":1635733875458,"gmtModify":1635733875634,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>&nbsp;cant go wrong with SIA. a good long-term investment. I can see it rising to above $7 within the next 2 years hopefully.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>&nbsp;cant go wrong with SIA. a good long-term investment. I can see it rising to above $7 within the next 2 years hopefully.&nbsp;","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ cant go wrong with SIA. a good long-term investment. I can see it rising to above $7 within the next 2 years hopefully.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37e55bfb00791f70423ed178c188b4fc","width":"720","height":"1836"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849137856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849132071,"gmtCreate":1635733707321,"gmtModify":1635733707441,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>can't go wrong with Apple🙂","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>can't go wrong with Apple🙂","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$can't go wrong with Apple🙂","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc9eca0a137b842319ccbd053de4afba","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849132071","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":618,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840426726,"gmtCreate":1635676158490,"gmtModify":1635676158595,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SDC\">$SmileDirectClub, Inc.(SDC)$</a>&nbsp;another disastrous bad investment&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SDC\">$SmileDirectClub, Inc.(SDC)$</a>&nbsp;another disastrous bad investment&nbsp;","text":"$SmileDirectClub, Inc.(SDC)$ another disastrous bad investment","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2a78b5b49b50f2857d1cb712e1082d9","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840426726","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840134772,"gmtCreate":1635604278558,"gmtModify":1635604278674,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHPT\">$ChargePoint Holdings Inc.(CHPT)$</a>&nbsp;a veey good long term investment&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHPT\">$ChargePoint Holdings Inc.(CHPT)$</a>&nbsp;a veey good long term investment&nbsp;","text":"$ChargePoint Holdings Inc.(CHPT)$ a veey good long term investment","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46ab2a6b84e336de9da0e2ff706a027b","width":"720","height":"1910"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840134772","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854497020,"gmtCreate":1635472253834,"gmtModify":1635472445099,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>&nbsp;what a drop! Thanks to the news! 😏","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>&nbsp;what a drop! Thanks to the news! 😏","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ what a drop! Thanks to the news! 😏","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42c188d5fa4862f6c52c4a2de6526752","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854497020","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854496172,"gmtCreate":1635472083964,"gmtModify":1635472084195,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>intending to buy in when it hit 0.05","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>intending to buy in when it hit 0.05","text":"$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$intending to buy in when it hit 0.05","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39e604d0fdc3a916eafd883a1adbf60e","width":"720","height":"1836"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854496172","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":867,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852528766,"gmtCreate":1635292491808,"gmtModify":1635292492023,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATER\">$Aterian Inc.(ATER)$</a>&nbsp;twas à very bad investment.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATER\">$Aterian Inc.(ATER)$</a>&nbsp;twas à very bad investment.&nbsp;","text":"$Aterian Inc.(ATER)$ twas à very bad investment.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cacdb30f5048e67594af2fdf9cb3a380","width":"720","height":"1910"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852528766","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":719,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852528354,"gmtCreate":1635292436017,"gmtModify":1635292436253,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>aiya! Shud hv liquidated when it hit 10+ last nite. 😜","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>aiya! Shud hv liquidated when it hit 10+ last nite. 😜","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$aiya! Shud hv liquidated when it hit 10+ last nite. 😜","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da91e6e20acd06a815174b34b81025ed","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852528354","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852022363,"gmtCreate":1635225512598,"gmtModify":1635225512812,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope so","listText":"Hope so","text":"Hope so","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852022363","repostId":"2178473707","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852026201,"gmtCreate":1635225444862,"gmtModify":1635225458777,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATER\">$Aterian Inc.(ATER)$</a>&nbsp;This was a bad investment ☹️","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATER\">$Aterian Inc.(ATER)$</a>&nbsp;This was a bad investment ☹️","text":"$Aterian Inc.(ATER)$ This was a bad investment ☹️","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6036032b9bbf87379fb0c1c258b82cbc","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852026201","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":681,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856954521,"gmtCreate":1635145154926,"gmtModify":1635145155182,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089595926650700","authorIdStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Tiger Tiger pls move up tonite🙏","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Tiger Tiger pls move up tonite🙏","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Tiger Tiger pls move up tonite🙏","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/062a0c4d434f2b8875e19ba67ed1b3cc","width":"720","height":"1910"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856954521","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":507,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":887281267,"gmtCreate":1632045379559,"gmtModify":1632803147133,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATER\">$Aterian Inc.(ATER)$</a>good buy. Worth trying for short term investment&nbsp;. Take profit when it hits $17.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATER\">$Aterian Inc.(ATER)$</a>good buy. Worth trying for short term investment&nbsp;. Take profit when it hits $17.","text":"$Aterian Inc.(ATER)$good buy. Worth trying for short term investment . Take profit when it hits $17.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96b3a662594aa35a16fc907576ad368d","width":"720","height":"1910"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887281267","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":554,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":849137856,"gmtCreate":1635733875458,"gmtModify":1635733875634,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>&nbsp;cant go wrong with SIA. a good long-term investment. I can see it rising to above $7 within the next 2 years hopefully.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>&nbsp;cant go wrong with SIA. a good long-term investment. I can see it rising to above $7 within the next 2 years hopefully.&nbsp;","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ cant go wrong with SIA. a good long-term investment. I can see it rising to above $7 within the next 2 years hopefully.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37e55bfb00791f70423ed178c188b4fc","width":"720","height":"1836"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849137856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865562714,"gmtCreate":1633003264369,"gmtModify":1633003725513,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SDC\">$SmileDirectClub, Inc.(SDC)$</a>this stupid stock 😒 wonder if i shud just cut loss n sell.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SDC\">$SmileDirectClub, Inc.(SDC)$</a>this stupid stock 😒 wonder if i shud just cut loss n sell.&nbsp;","text":"$SmileDirectClub, Inc.(SDC)$this stupid stock 😒 wonder if i shud just cut loss n sell.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bf418905bac9395b61082a9ea4a9531","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865562714","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":921,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3566385558470298","authorId":"3566385558470298","name":"Venus_M","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/525433622d774840840ddaacaf2281d2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3566385558470298","idStr":"3566385558470298"},"content":"strangely it doesn't move much.. guess got to be super patient","text":"strangely it doesn't move much.. guess got to be super patient","html":"strangely it doesn't move much.. guess got to be super patient"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850335605,"gmtCreate":1634553261435,"gmtModify":1634553280966,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>tolong Tolong move up tonite leh 🙏","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>tolong Tolong move up tonite leh 🙏","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$tolong Tolong move up tonite leh 🙏","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d30ec335882240d554245456abffa132","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850335605","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":472,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841740083,"gmtCreate":1635945590534,"gmtModify":1635945590765,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>&nbsp;hm... Donno how this is gonna pan out","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>&nbsp;hm... Donno how this is gonna pan out","text":"$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$ hm... Donno how this is gonna pan out","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee7509f54de08e90e4d81c41abdf4efb","width":"720","height":"1836"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841740083","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854496172,"gmtCreate":1635472083964,"gmtModify":1635472084195,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>intending to buy in when it hit 0.05","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>intending to buy in when it hit 0.05","text":"$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$intending to buy in when it hit 0.05","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39e604d0fdc3a916eafd883a1adbf60e","width":"720","height":"1836"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854496172","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":867,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856954521,"gmtCreate":1635145154926,"gmtModify":1635145155182,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Tiger Tiger pls move up tonite🙏","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Tiger Tiger pls move up tonite🙏","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Tiger Tiger pls move up tonite🙏","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/062a0c4d434f2b8875e19ba67ed1b3cc","width":"720","height":"1910"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856954521","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":507,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868907198,"gmtCreate":1632565558814,"gmtModify":1632656877270,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SDC\">$SmileDirectClub, Inc.(SDC)$</a>absolute disastrous, hv been plunging since i bought on Monday! 😣😣😣","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SDC\">$SmileDirectClub, Inc.(SDC)$</a>absolute disastrous, hv been plunging since i bought on Monday! 😣😣😣","text":"$SmileDirectClub, Inc.(SDC)$absolute disastrous, hv been plunging since i bought on Monday! 😣😣😣","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a60120d427446af2bcab6746609a055","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868907198","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":813803471,"gmtCreate":1630162415793,"gmtModify":1704956653517,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Liked already","listText":"Liked already","text":"Liked already","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813803471","repostId":"2162733980","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":828826295,"gmtCreate":1633903162753,"gmtModify":1633903162862,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So true","listText":"So true","text":"So true","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828826295","repostId":"1115058296","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115058296","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633787569,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115058296?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-09 21:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Surefire Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的3只万无一失的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115058296","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Most folks won't be thrilled to hear this, but a stock market crash or double-digit correction might","content":"<p>Most folks won't be thrilled to hear this, but a stock market crash or double-digit correction might be on the way.</p><p><blockquote>大多数人听到这个消息不会感到兴奋，但股市崩盘或两位数的调整可能即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> To be crystal clear, no one can predict with any long-term accuracy precisely when a crash or correction will occur, how steep the decline will be, how long it'll last, or in many instances what'll precipitate the move lower in the broader market. But one thing is clear: Crashes and correction are a normal part of the investing cycle and the price of admission to the greatest wealth creator on the planet.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是，没有人能够长期准确地预测崩盘或调整何时会发生、下跌幅度有多大、持续时间有多长，或者在许多情况下是什么会促使大盘下跌。但有一点是明确的：崩盘和调整是投资周期的正常部分，也是进入这个星球上最伟大的财富创造者的代价。</blockquote></p><p> History isn't the market's friend in the near term</p><p><blockquote>短期内历史并不是市场的朋友</blockquote></p><p> At the moment, there are&nbsp;no shortage of tail&nbsp;winds&nbsp;for a stock market crash. In particular, history doesn't look to be the friend of the benchmark&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)over the short term.</p><p><blockquote>目前，股市崩盘不乏顺风。特别是，历史似乎并不是基准的朋友<b>标普500</b>(SNPINDEX：^GSPC)短期内。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, the widely followed S&amp;P 500 has behaved similarly following each of its previous eight bear-market bottoms, dating back to 1960. Within three years of bouncing back from its trough, the S&amp;P 500 has always had one or two instances where it's declined by at least 10%. Rallying from a bear-market bottom is a bumpy process that takes time. With the broad-based index doubling in value in less than 17 months, there's a good chance we're long overdue for some \"bumps.\"</p><p><blockquote>例如，自1960年以来，广受关注的标普500在前八次熊市底部之后都表现类似。在从低谷反弹的三年内，标普500总会出现一两次下跌至少10%的情况。从熊市底部反弹是一个坎坷的过程，需要时间。随着基础广泛的指数在不到17个月的时间里翻了一番，我们很可能早就应该出现一些“颠簸”了。</blockquote></p><p> History is&nbsp;no fan of extended valuations, either. As of the close of business on Monday, Oct. 4, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings ratio was north of 37. The Shiller P/E takes into account inflation-adjusted earnings over the past 10 years. While access to information over the internet has helped expand P/E multiples since the mid-1990s, history is quite clear that bad things happen when the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E crosses above 30. In the previous four instances this has happened, the broad-based index shed at least 20% of its value.</p><p><blockquote>历史也不喜欢高估值。截至10月4日星期一收盘，该标普500的席勒市盈率超过37。席勒市盈率考虑了过去10年经通胀调整的收益。虽然自20世纪90年代中期以来，通过互联网获取信息有助于扩大市盈率倍数，但历史非常清楚，当标普500的希勒市盈率超过30时，坏事就会发生。在之前的四次发生这种情况时，基础广泛的指数至少下跌了20%。</blockquote></p><p> Even the history behind margin-debt usage is worrisome. Although it's perfectly normal for nominal margin debt outstanding to increase over time, it's&nbsp;not normal&nbsp;for margin-debt usage to skyrocket higher in a short time frame. There have been three instances since 1995 where margin-debt usage jumped by at least 60% in a given year. Two of these instances were directly before the dot-com bubble burst and the financial crisis began. The third instance is in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>就连保证金债务使用背后的历史也令人担忧。尽管名义保证金债务随着时间的推移而增加是完全正常的，但保证金债务使用量在短时间内飙升是不正常的。自1995年以来，已有三起保证金债务使用量在某一年跃升至少60%的情况。其中两个例子发生在互联网泡沫破裂和金融危机开始之前。第三个例子是在2021年。</blockquote></p><p> The table would appear to be a set for sizable but healthy pullback in the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>标普500似乎将出现大幅但健康的回调。</blockquote></p><p> A crash or steep correction is the perfect time to buy these surefire stocks</p><p><blockquote>崩盘或大幅调整是购买这些万无一失的股票的最佳时机</blockquote></p><p> While big moves lower in the market are known to cause investor anxiety, they're also the perfect opportunity to pounce. You see, whereas history isn't the market's friend in the short run, it's unquestionably thegreatest ally of investors over the long term.</p><p><blockquote>虽然众所周知，市场大幅下跌会引起投资者的焦虑，但这也是买入的绝佳机会。你看，虽然历史在短期内不是市场的朋友，但从长期来看，它无疑是投资者最伟大的盟友。</blockquote></p><p> For example, there's never been a rolling 20-year period over the past century when an S&amp;P 500 tracking index wouldn't have generated a positive annualized total return for investors. A crash or correction is simply an opportunity to buy great companies at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>例如，在过去的一个世纪里，标普500跟踪指数从来没有一个连续20年不能为投资者带来正的年化总回报。崩盘或调整只是一个以折扣价购买伟大公司的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Should this recent sell-off manifest into a crash or correction, the following three surefire stocks can be confidently bought hand over fist.</p><p><blockquote>如果最近的抛售表现为崩盘或调整，可以放心地买入以下三只万无一失的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire Hathaway</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦</blockquote></p><p> Few stocks have&nbsp;generated more surefire returns&nbsp;for long-term investors than Warren Buffett's conglomerate&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B). Since taking over as CEO in 1965, Buffett has overseen an average annual return of the company's Class A shares (BRK.A) of 20%. In aggregate, and taking into account the year-to-date return of Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett has created around $600 billion in shareholder value and produced a roughly 3,300,000% return in 56 years.</p><p><blockquote>很少有股票比沃伦·巴菲特的企业集团为长期投资者带来更可靠的回报<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B）。自1965年接任首席执行官以来，巴菲特监管的公司A类股(BRK.A)的平均年回报率为20%。总体而言，考虑到伯克希尔哈撒韦公司今年迄今的回报，巴菲特在56年内创造了约6000亿美元的股东价值，并产生了约3,300,000%的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Though there is&nbsp;a laundry list of reasons for Buffett's success, his leanings toward cyclical businesses plays a big role. Even though the Oracle of Omaha is well aware that economic contractions and recessions are inevitable, he understands that periods of expansion tend to last substantially longer. Thus, he's packed Berkshire Hathaway's investment portfolio with bank stocks, tech stocks, and consumer staples companies that'll thrive during an expanding economy.</p><p><blockquote>尽管巴菲特成功的原因有很多，但他对周期性业务的倾向发挥了重要作用。尽管这位奥马哈先知很清楚经济收缩和衰退是不可避免的，但他明白扩张时期往往会持续更长时间。因此，他在伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的投资组合中加入了银行股、科技股和消费必需品公司，这些公司将在经济扩张期间蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> Another reason Berkshire Hathaway has delivered such incredible returns is Buffett's focus on&nbsp;dividend stocks. While Berkshire doesn't pay a dividend, it's on pace to collect more than $5 billion in dividend income in 2021. That's nearly a 5% yield, relative to the cost basis of Berkshire's holdings. Since dividend stocks are almost always profitable and time-tested, they fit the bill of what Buffett is looking for in a long-term holding.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司带来如此令人难以置信的回报的另一个原因是巴菲特对股息股票的关注。虽然伯克希尔哈撒韦公司不支付股息，但它有望在2021年获得超过50亿美元的股息收入。相对于伯克希尔持股的成本基础，这一收益率接近5%。由于股息股票几乎总是盈利且经过时间考验，因此它们符合巴菲特长期持有的要求。</blockquote></p><p> Long story short, riding Buffett's coattails has often been a smart move.</p><p><blockquote>长话短说，搭巴菲特的顺风车往往是明智之举。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Another surefire stock that's continuously delivered for its shareholders and would be perfect to buy during a stock market crash is&nbsp;<b>Salesforce.com</b>(NYSE:CRM), which provides software solutions for cloud-based customer relationship management (CRM).</p><p><blockquote>另一只持续向股东交付、在股市崩盘期间购买的万无一失的股票是<b>Salesforce.com</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：CRM），为基于云的客户关系管理（CRM）提供软件解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> For those of you unfamiliar with CRM, it's used by consumer-facing businesses to enhance customer relationships and boost sales. It can be used to handle service or product issues, oversee online marketing campaigns, and run predictive sales analyses of an existing client base. What's particularly noteworthy about CRM software is that it's finding its way into nontraditional sectors, such as finance and healthcare.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些不熟悉CRM的人来说，它被面向消费者的企业用来加强客户关系和促进销售。它可用于处理服务或产品问题、监督在线营销活动以及对现有客户群进行预测性销售分析。CRM软件特别值得注意的是，它正在进入非传统领域，如金融和医疗保健。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud-based CRM software offers double-digit growth potential through at least mid-decade, and Salesforce&nbsp;sits at the center of this rapidly growing trend. According to IDC, Salesforce controlled 19.5% of global CRM spending in 2020, which is over a full percentage point higher than the share&nbsp;<b>Oracle</b>,<b>SAP</b>,<b>Microsoft</b>, and&nbsp;<b>Adobe</b>&nbsp;possessed last year on a&nbsp;<i>combined</i>&nbsp;basis.&nbsp; A little stock market turbulence doesn't change demand for CRM software solutions or weaken Salesforce's commanding market share lead.</p><p><blockquote>基于云的CRM软件至少在十年中期提供了两位数的增长潜力，而Salesforce处于这一快速增长趋势的中心。根据IDC的数据，2020年Salesforce控制了全球CRM支出的19.5%，比份额高出整整一个百分点<b>神谕</b>,<b>SAP</b>,<b>微软</b>，和<b>土坯</b>去年在一个<i>联合的</i>基础。股市的一点动荡不会改变对CRM软件解决方案的需求，也不会削弱Salesforce的市场份额领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, CEO Marc Benioff&nbsp;has been an acquisition maven. The buyouts of MuleSoft, Tableau, and most recently Slack Technologies have added to the company's cloud-based ecosystem and should allow annual sales to more than double to $50 billion over the next five years. Any discount investors can get on shares of Salesforce should be viewed as a gift.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，首席执行官马克·贝尼奥夫是一位收购专家。对MuleSoft、Tableau以及最近对Slack Technologies的收购增加了该公司基于云的生态系统，预计未来五年年销售额将增长一倍以上，达到500亿美元。投资者购买Salesforce股票可以获得的任何折扣都应被视为一份礼物。</blockquote></p><p> Alphabet</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet</blockquote></p><p> A third&nbsp;surefire stock to buy if a stock market crash or correction arises&nbsp;is&nbsp;<b>Alphabet</b>(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG), the parent company of internet search engine Google and streaming content provider YouTube.</p><p><blockquote>如果股市崩盘或调整出现，第三只值得买入的股票是<b>Alphabet</b>（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG），互联网搜索引擎谷歌和流媒体内容提供商YouTube的母公司。</blockquote></p><p> When it comes to global internet search, there's Google and everyone else. The thing is, \"everyone else\" barely moves the needle. According to GlobalStats, Google accounted for 92% of the worldwide search engine market in September. Looking back two years, it's much of the same, with Google holding a&nbsp;91% to 93% share of global internet search. As the clear go-to for advertisers, Alphabet's Google benefits immensely from long-winded periods of U.S. and global economic expansion.</p><p><blockquote>说到全球互联网搜索，有谷歌和其他所有人。问题是，“其他人”几乎不动针。根据GlobalStats的数据，9月份谷歌占据了全球搜索引擎市场92%的份额。回顾两年前，情况大同小异，谷歌占据了全球互联网搜索91%至93%的份额。作为广告商的明确首选，Alphabet(Elon Musk)的谷歌从美国和全球经济扩张的漫长时期中受益匪浅。</blockquote></p><p> What might be even more exciting than Alphabet's veritable monopoly on internet search is the company's rapidly growing ancillary projects. Streaming service provider YouTube saw ad revenue surge 84% in the second quarter, with its annual sales run rate hitting $28 billion. YouTube has quickly become one of the most-visited social sites on the planet.</p><p><blockquote>可能比Alphabet名副其实的互联网搜索垄断更令人兴奋的是该公司快速增长的辅助项目。流媒体服务提供商YouTube第二季度广告收入飙升84%，年销售额达到280亿美元。YouTube已经迅速成为地球上访问量最大的社交网站之一。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Google Cloud delivered 54% sales growth in the June-ended quarter and now sports an annual run rate over $18 billion in sales. Google Cloud is the third-biggest player in cloud infrastructure and should grow into a major source of operating cash flow for Alphabet over time. There's&nbsp;absolutely no reason&nbsp;for Alphabet not to be on your buy list if the market crashes or corrects.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，谷歌云在截至6月的季度实现了54%的销售额增长，目前年销售额超过180亿美元。谷歌云是云基础设施领域的第三大参与者，随着时间的推移，它应该会成长为Alphabet运营现金流的主要来源。如果市场崩盘或调整，Alphabet绝对没有理由不在您的买入名单上。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Surefire Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的3只万无一失的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Surefire Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的3只万无一失的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-09 21:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Most folks won't be thrilled to hear this, but a stock market crash or double-digit correction might be on the way.</p><p><blockquote>大多数人听到这个消息不会感到兴奋，但股市崩盘或两位数的调整可能即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> To be crystal clear, no one can predict with any long-term accuracy precisely when a crash or correction will occur, how steep the decline will be, how long it'll last, or in many instances what'll precipitate the move lower in the broader market. But one thing is clear: Crashes and correction are a normal part of the investing cycle and the price of admission to the greatest wealth creator on the planet.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是，没有人能够长期准确地预测崩盘或调整何时会发生、下跌幅度有多大、持续时间有多长，或者在许多情况下是什么会促使大盘下跌。但有一点是明确的：崩盘和调整是投资周期的正常部分，也是进入这个星球上最伟大的财富创造者的代价。</blockquote></p><p> History isn't the market's friend in the near term</p><p><blockquote>短期内历史并不是市场的朋友</blockquote></p><p> At the moment, there are&nbsp;no shortage of tail&nbsp;winds&nbsp;for a stock market crash. In particular, history doesn't look to be the friend of the benchmark&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)over the short term.</p><p><blockquote>目前，股市崩盘不乏顺风。特别是，历史似乎并不是基准的朋友<b>标普500</b>(SNPINDEX：^GSPC)短期内。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, the widely followed S&amp;P 500 has behaved similarly following each of its previous eight bear-market bottoms, dating back to 1960. Within three years of bouncing back from its trough, the S&amp;P 500 has always had one or two instances where it's declined by at least 10%. Rallying from a bear-market bottom is a bumpy process that takes time. With the broad-based index doubling in value in less than 17 months, there's a good chance we're long overdue for some \"bumps.\"</p><p><blockquote>例如，自1960年以来，广受关注的标普500在前八次熊市底部之后都表现类似。在从低谷反弹的三年内，标普500总会出现一两次下跌至少10%的情况。从熊市底部反弹是一个坎坷的过程，需要时间。随着基础广泛的指数在不到17个月的时间里翻了一番，我们很可能早就应该出现一些“颠簸”了。</blockquote></p><p> History is&nbsp;no fan of extended valuations, either. As of the close of business on Monday, Oct. 4, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings ratio was north of 37. The Shiller P/E takes into account inflation-adjusted earnings over the past 10 years. While access to information over the internet has helped expand P/E multiples since the mid-1990s, history is quite clear that bad things happen when the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E crosses above 30. In the previous four instances this has happened, the broad-based index shed at least 20% of its value.</p><p><blockquote>历史也不喜欢高估值。截至10月4日星期一收盘，该标普500的席勒市盈率超过37。席勒市盈率考虑了过去10年经通胀调整的收益。虽然自20世纪90年代中期以来，通过互联网获取信息有助于扩大市盈率倍数，但历史非常清楚，当标普500的希勒市盈率超过30时，坏事就会发生。在之前的四次发生这种情况时，基础广泛的指数至少下跌了20%。</blockquote></p><p> Even the history behind margin-debt usage is worrisome. Although it's perfectly normal for nominal margin debt outstanding to increase over time, it's&nbsp;not normal&nbsp;for margin-debt usage to skyrocket higher in a short time frame. There have been three instances since 1995 where margin-debt usage jumped by at least 60% in a given year. Two of these instances were directly before the dot-com bubble burst and the financial crisis began. The third instance is in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>就连保证金债务使用背后的历史也令人担忧。尽管名义保证金债务随着时间的推移而增加是完全正常的，但保证金债务使用量在短时间内飙升是不正常的。自1995年以来，已有三起保证金债务使用量在某一年跃升至少60%的情况。其中两个例子发生在互联网泡沫破裂和金融危机开始之前。第三个例子是在2021年。</blockquote></p><p> The table would appear to be a set for sizable but healthy pullback in the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>标普500似乎将出现大幅但健康的回调。</blockquote></p><p> A crash or steep correction is the perfect time to buy these surefire stocks</p><p><blockquote>崩盘或大幅调整是购买这些万无一失的股票的最佳时机</blockquote></p><p> While big moves lower in the market are known to cause investor anxiety, they're also the perfect opportunity to pounce. You see, whereas history isn't the market's friend in the short run, it's unquestionably thegreatest ally of investors over the long term.</p><p><blockquote>虽然众所周知，市场大幅下跌会引起投资者的焦虑，但这也是买入的绝佳机会。你看，虽然历史在短期内不是市场的朋友，但从长期来看，它无疑是投资者最伟大的盟友。</blockquote></p><p> For example, there's never been a rolling 20-year period over the past century when an S&amp;P 500 tracking index wouldn't have generated a positive annualized total return for investors. A crash or correction is simply an opportunity to buy great companies at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>例如，在过去的一个世纪里，标普500跟踪指数从来没有一个连续20年不能为投资者带来正的年化总回报。崩盘或调整只是一个以折扣价购买伟大公司的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Should this recent sell-off manifest into a crash or correction, the following three surefire stocks can be confidently bought hand over fist.</p><p><blockquote>如果最近的抛售表现为崩盘或调整，可以放心地买入以下三只万无一失的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire Hathaway</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦</blockquote></p><p> Few stocks have&nbsp;generated more surefire returns&nbsp;for long-term investors than Warren Buffett's conglomerate&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B). Since taking over as CEO in 1965, Buffett has overseen an average annual return of the company's Class A shares (BRK.A) of 20%. In aggregate, and taking into account the year-to-date return of Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett has created around $600 billion in shareholder value and produced a roughly 3,300,000% return in 56 years.</p><p><blockquote>很少有股票比沃伦·巴菲特的企业集团为长期投资者带来更可靠的回报<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B）。自1965年接任首席执行官以来，巴菲特监管的公司A类股(BRK.A)的平均年回报率为20%。总体而言，考虑到伯克希尔哈撒韦公司今年迄今的回报，巴菲特在56年内创造了约6000亿美元的股东价值，并产生了约3,300,000%的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Though there is&nbsp;a laundry list of reasons for Buffett's success, his leanings toward cyclical businesses plays a big role. Even though the Oracle of Omaha is well aware that economic contractions and recessions are inevitable, he understands that periods of expansion tend to last substantially longer. Thus, he's packed Berkshire Hathaway's investment portfolio with bank stocks, tech stocks, and consumer staples companies that'll thrive during an expanding economy.</p><p><blockquote>尽管巴菲特成功的原因有很多，但他对周期性业务的倾向发挥了重要作用。尽管这位奥马哈先知很清楚经济收缩和衰退是不可避免的，但他明白扩张时期往往会持续更长时间。因此，他在伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的投资组合中加入了银行股、科技股和消费必需品公司，这些公司将在经济扩张期间蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> Another reason Berkshire Hathaway has delivered such incredible returns is Buffett's focus on&nbsp;dividend stocks. While Berkshire doesn't pay a dividend, it's on pace to collect more than $5 billion in dividend income in 2021. That's nearly a 5% yield, relative to the cost basis of Berkshire's holdings. Since dividend stocks are almost always profitable and time-tested, they fit the bill of what Buffett is looking for in a long-term holding.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司带来如此令人难以置信的回报的另一个原因是巴菲特对股息股票的关注。虽然伯克希尔哈撒韦公司不支付股息，但它有望在2021年获得超过50亿美元的股息收入。相对于伯克希尔持股的成本基础，这一收益率接近5%。由于股息股票几乎总是盈利且经过时间考验，因此它们符合巴菲特长期持有的要求。</blockquote></p><p> Long story short, riding Buffett's coattails has often been a smart move.</p><p><blockquote>长话短说，搭巴菲特的顺风车往往是明智之举。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Another surefire stock that's continuously delivered for its shareholders and would be perfect to buy during a stock market crash is&nbsp;<b>Salesforce.com</b>(NYSE:CRM), which provides software solutions for cloud-based customer relationship management (CRM).</p><p><blockquote>另一只持续向股东交付、在股市崩盘期间购买的万无一失的股票是<b>Salesforce.com</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：CRM），为基于云的客户关系管理（CRM）提供软件解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> For those of you unfamiliar with CRM, it's used by consumer-facing businesses to enhance customer relationships and boost sales. It can be used to handle service or product issues, oversee online marketing campaigns, and run predictive sales analyses of an existing client base. What's particularly noteworthy about CRM software is that it's finding its way into nontraditional sectors, such as finance and healthcare.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些不熟悉CRM的人来说，它被面向消费者的企业用来加强客户关系和促进销售。它可用于处理服务或产品问题、监督在线营销活动以及对现有客户群进行预测性销售分析。CRM软件特别值得注意的是，它正在进入非传统领域，如金融和医疗保健。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud-based CRM software offers double-digit growth potential through at least mid-decade, and Salesforce&nbsp;sits at the center of this rapidly growing trend. According to IDC, Salesforce controlled 19.5% of global CRM spending in 2020, which is over a full percentage point higher than the share&nbsp;<b>Oracle</b>,<b>SAP</b>,<b>Microsoft</b>, and&nbsp;<b>Adobe</b>&nbsp;possessed last year on a&nbsp;<i>combined</i>&nbsp;basis.&nbsp; A little stock market turbulence doesn't change demand for CRM software solutions or weaken Salesforce's commanding market share lead.</p><p><blockquote>基于云的CRM软件至少在十年中期提供了两位数的增长潜力，而Salesforce处于这一快速增长趋势的中心。根据IDC的数据，2020年Salesforce控制了全球CRM支出的19.5%，比份额高出整整一个百分点<b>神谕</b>,<b>SAP</b>,<b>微软</b>，和<b>土坯</b>去年在一个<i>联合的</i>基础。股市的一点动荡不会改变对CRM软件解决方案的需求，也不会削弱Salesforce的市场份额领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, CEO Marc Benioff&nbsp;has been an acquisition maven. The buyouts of MuleSoft, Tableau, and most recently Slack Technologies have added to the company's cloud-based ecosystem and should allow annual sales to more than double to $50 billion over the next five years. Any discount investors can get on shares of Salesforce should be viewed as a gift.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，首席执行官马克·贝尼奥夫是一位收购专家。对MuleSoft、Tableau以及最近对Slack Technologies的收购增加了该公司基于云的生态系统，预计未来五年年销售额将增长一倍以上，达到500亿美元。投资者购买Salesforce股票可以获得的任何折扣都应被视为一份礼物。</blockquote></p><p> Alphabet</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet</blockquote></p><p> A third&nbsp;surefire stock to buy if a stock market crash or correction arises&nbsp;is&nbsp;<b>Alphabet</b>(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG), the parent company of internet search engine Google and streaming content provider YouTube.</p><p><blockquote>如果股市崩盘或调整出现，第三只值得买入的股票是<b>Alphabet</b>（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG），互联网搜索引擎谷歌和流媒体内容提供商YouTube的母公司。</blockquote></p><p> When it comes to global internet search, there's Google and everyone else. The thing is, \"everyone else\" barely moves the needle. According to GlobalStats, Google accounted for 92% of the worldwide search engine market in September. Looking back two years, it's much of the same, with Google holding a&nbsp;91% to 93% share of global internet search. As the clear go-to for advertisers, Alphabet's Google benefits immensely from long-winded periods of U.S. and global economic expansion.</p><p><blockquote>说到全球互联网搜索，有谷歌和其他所有人。问题是，“其他人”几乎不动针。根据GlobalStats的数据，9月份谷歌占据了全球搜索引擎市场92%的份额。回顾两年前，情况大同小异，谷歌占据了全球互联网搜索91%至93%的份额。作为广告商的明确首选，Alphabet(Elon Musk)的谷歌从美国和全球经济扩张的漫长时期中受益匪浅。</blockquote></p><p> What might be even more exciting than Alphabet's veritable monopoly on internet search is the company's rapidly growing ancillary projects. Streaming service provider YouTube saw ad revenue surge 84% in the second quarter, with its annual sales run rate hitting $28 billion. YouTube has quickly become one of the most-visited social sites on the planet.</p><p><blockquote>可能比Alphabet名副其实的互联网搜索垄断更令人兴奋的是该公司快速增长的辅助项目。流媒体服务提供商YouTube第二季度广告收入飙升84%，年销售额达到280亿美元。YouTube已经迅速成为地球上访问量最大的社交网站之一。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Google Cloud delivered 54% sales growth in the June-ended quarter and now sports an annual run rate over $18 billion in sales. Google Cloud is the third-biggest player in cloud infrastructure and should grow into a major source of operating cash flow for Alphabet over time. There's&nbsp;absolutely no reason&nbsp;for Alphabet not to be on your buy list if the market crashes or corrects.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，谷歌云在截至6月的季度实现了54%的销售额增长，目前年销售额超过180亿美元。谷歌云是云基础设施领域的第三大参与者，随着时间的推移，它应该会成长为Alphabet运营现金流的主要来源。如果市场崩盘或调整，Alphabet绝对没有理由不在您的买入名单上。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/09/3-surefire-stocks-to-buy-if-stock-market-crash/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRM":"赛富时","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/09/3-surefire-stocks-to-buy-if-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115058296","content_text":"Most folks won't be thrilled to hear this, but a stock market crash or double-digit correction might be on the way.\nTo be crystal clear, no one can predict with any long-term accuracy precisely when a crash or correction will occur, how steep the decline will be, how long it'll last, or in many instances what'll precipitate the move lower in the broader market. But one thing is clear: Crashes and correction are a normal part of the investing cycle and the price of admission to the greatest wealth creator on the planet.\nHistory isn't the market's friend in the near term\nAt the moment, there are no shortage of tail winds for a stock market crash. In particular, history doesn't look to be the friend of the benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC)over the short term.\nFor instance, the widely followed S&P 500 has behaved similarly following each of its previous eight bear-market bottoms, dating back to 1960. Within three years of bouncing back from its trough, the S&P 500 has always had one or two instances where it's declined by at least 10%. Rallying from a bear-market bottom is a bumpy process that takes time. With the broad-based index doubling in value in less than 17 months, there's a good chance we're long overdue for some \"bumps.\"\nHistory is no fan of extended valuations, either. As of the close of business on Monday, Oct. 4, the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings ratio was north of 37. The Shiller P/E takes into account inflation-adjusted earnings over the past 10 years. While access to information over the internet has helped expand P/E multiples since the mid-1990s, history is quite clear that bad things happen when the S&P 500's Shiller P/E crosses above 30. In the previous four instances this has happened, the broad-based index shed at least 20% of its value.\nEven the history behind margin-debt usage is worrisome. Although it's perfectly normal for nominal margin debt outstanding to increase over time, it's not normal for margin-debt usage to skyrocket higher in a short time frame. There have been three instances since 1995 where margin-debt usage jumped by at least 60% in a given year. Two of these instances were directly before the dot-com bubble burst and the financial crisis began. The third instance is in 2021.\nThe table would appear to be a set for sizable but healthy pullback in the S&P 500.\nA crash or steep correction is the perfect time to buy these surefire stocks\nWhile big moves lower in the market are known to cause investor anxiety, they're also the perfect opportunity to pounce. You see, whereas history isn't the market's friend in the short run, it's unquestionably thegreatest ally of investors over the long term.\nFor example, there's never been a rolling 20-year period over the past century when an S&P 500 tracking index wouldn't have generated a positive annualized total return for investors. A crash or correction is simply an opportunity to buy great companies at a discount.\nShould this recent sell-off manifest into a crash or correction, the following three surefire stocks can be confidently bought hand over fist.\nBerkshire Hathaway\nFew stocks have generated more surefire returns for long-term investors than Warren Buffett's conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B). Since taking over as CEO in 1965, Buffett has overseen an average annual return of the company's Class A shares (BRK.A) of 20%. In aggregate, and taking into account the year-to-date return of Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett has created around $600 billion in shareholder value and produced a roughly 3,300,000% return in 56 years.\nThough there is a laundry list of reasons for Buffett's success, his leanings toward cyclical businesses plays a big role. Even though the Oracle of Omaha is well aware that economic contractions and recessions are inevitable, he understands that periods of expansion tend to last substantially longer. Thus, he's packed Berkshire Hathaway's investment portfolio with bank stocks, tech stocks, and consumer staples companies that'll thrive during an expanding economy.\nAnother reason Berkshire Hathaway has delivered such incredible returns is Buffett's focus on dividend stocks. While Berkshire doesn't pay a dividend, it's on pace to collect more than $5 billion in dividend income in 2021. That's nearly a 5% yield, relative to the cost basis of Berkshire's holdings. Since dividend stocks are almost always profitable and time-tested, they fit the bill of what Buffett is looking for in a long-term holding.\nLong story short, riding Buffett's coattails has often been a smart move.\nSalesforce\nAnother surefire stock that's continuously delivered for its shareholders and would be perfect to buy during a stock market crash is Salesforce.com(NYSE:CRM), which provides software solutions for cloud-based customer relationship management (CRM).\nFor those of you unfamiliar with CRM, it's used by consumer-facing businesses to enhance customer relationships and boost sales. It can be used to handle service or product issues, oversee online marketing campaigns, and run predictive sales analyses of an existing client base. What's particularly noteworthy about CRM software is that it's finding its way into nontraditional sectors, such as finance and healthcare.\nCloud-based CRM software offers double-digit growth potential through at least mid-decade, and Salesforce sits at the center of this rapidly growing trend. According to IDC, Salesforce controlled 19.5% of global CRM spending in 2020, which is over a full percentage point higher than the share Oracle,SAP,Microsoft, and Adobe possessed last year on a combined basis.  A little stock market turbulence doesn't change demand for CRM software solutions or weaken Salesforce's commanding market share lead.\nWhat's more, CEO Marc Benioff has been an acquisition maven. The buyouts of MuleSoft, Tableau, and most recently Slack Technologies have added to the company's cloud-based ecosystem and should allow annual sales to more than double to $50 billion over the next five years. Any discount investors can get on shares of Salesforce should be viewed as a gift.\nAlphabet\nA third surefire stock to buy if a stock market crash or correction arises is Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG), the parent company of internet search engine Google and streaming content provider YouTube.\nWhen it comes to global internet search, there's Google and everyone else. The thing is, \"everyone else\" barely moves the needle. According to GlobalStats, Google accounted for 92% of the worldwide search engine market in September. Looking back two years, it's much of the same, with Google holding a 91% to 93% share of global internet search. As the clear go-to for advertisers, Alphabet's Google benefits immensely from long-winded periods of U.S. and global economic expansion.\nWhat might be even more exciting than Alphabet's veritable monopoly on internet search is the company's rapidly growing ancillary projects. Streaming service provider YouTube saw ad revenue surge 84% in the second quarter, with its annual sales run rate hitting $28 billion. YouTube has quickly become one of the most-visited social sites on the planet.\nMeanwhile, Google Cloud delivered 54% sales growth in the June-ended quarter and now sports an annual run rate over $18 billion in sales. Google Cloud is the third-biggest player in cloud infrastructure and should grow into a major source of operating cash flow for Alphabet over time. There's absolutely no reason for Alphabet not to be on your buy list if the market crashes or corrects.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOGL":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9,"CRM":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859248799,"gmtCreate":1634704340670,"gmtModify":1634704340904,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>&nbsp;went up abit last nite but still down for me. No worries. I'm optimistic so hanging in there😊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>&nbsp;went up abit last nite but still down for me. No worries. I'm optimistic so hanging in there😊","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ went up abit last nite but still down for me. No worries. I'm optimistic so hanging in there😊","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af615eca3004a35dc88e327d8f0fa2e9","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859248799","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824320952,"gmtCreate":1634281741417,"gmtModify":1634281741491,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>aiya. Shud hv cut out when it hit 10 last nite😉","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>aiya. Shud hv cut out when it hit 10 last nite😉","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$aiya. Shud hv cut out when it hit 10 last nite😉","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc516b0e6c270195120a0741ce0c8907","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824320952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":813441232,"gmtCreate":1630237868726,"gmtModify":1704957348483,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well done. Good!&nbsp;","listText":"Well done. Good!&nbsp;","text":"Well done. Good!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813441232","repostId":"1162964424","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162964424","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630111098,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162964424?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-28 08:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play<blockquote>苹果股票：它如何成为一场伟大的通胀游戏</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162964424","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.IPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year  should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has reported that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.Bad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock investors. If the price increase is con","content":"<p>Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.</p><p><blockquote>由于某些组件的价格上涨，苹果的iPhone 13可能会让消费者花费更多。这对用户来说是个坏消息，但对苹果股票投资者来说可能是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> IPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year (or those looking to switch to the iOS-based product) should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.</p><p><blockquote>考虑今年升级设备的IPhone用户（或者那些希望转向基于iOS的产品的用户）应该期待更深入地了解他们的口袋。DigiTimes报道称，由于零部件通胀，苹果的iPhone 13可能会在下个月以更高的价格推出。</blockquote></p><p> Bad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock&nbsp;investors. If the price increase is confirmed, it provides evidence that AAPL might be a great inflation play during these times of worry over rising producer and consumer prices.</p><p><blockquote>对消费者来说是个坏消息，对苹果股票投资者来说可能是个好消息。如果价格上涨得到证实，这将提供证据表明，在人们担心生产者和消费者价格上涨的时期，苹果公司可能会成为一个巨大的通胀工具。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6f4ac9ebc1b90072340731dc5c1e613\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1: Apple's iPhone 12 Pro.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：苹果的iPhone 12 Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>怎么回事？</b></blockquote></p><p> The iPhone is already considered a pricey tech gadget that can cost as much as $1,400 for the fully loaded, higher-end 12 Pro Max model in the US (see figure below). Due to this year’s components shortage, chip maker TSMC may raise its part prices to Apple by 3% to 5%, which could lead to a similar increase in the price of the yet-to-be-announced iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone已经被认为是一款昂贵的科技产品，在美国，满载的高端12 Pro Max机型售价高达1400美元（见下图）。由于今年的零部件短缺，芯片制造商台积电可能会将其对苹果的零部件价格提高3%至5%，这可能会导致尚未公布的iPhone 13价格出现类似上涨。</blockquote></p><p> It is unlikely that one of the largest and most successful consumer product companies in the world would try to raise prices without confidence that doing so does not impact demand for the new iPhone substantially. Apple can probably afford to hike prices because the company understands the value and the appeal of its luxury brand.</p><p><blockquote>世界上最大、最成功的消费品公司之一不太可能试图提高价格，而不相信这样做不会对新iPhone的需求产生实质性影响。苹果或许有能力提高价格，因为该公司了解其奢侈品牌的价值和吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0140b9b68bb9eb5dd7e88aaff384785d\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone 12 Pro on Apple's store.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：苹果商店上的iPhone 12 Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>A quote from Jim Cramer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>引用吉姆·克莱默的话</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the most concerning headwinds to stocks in the foreseeable future is the possibility of inflation eroding corporate margins and leading to higher interest rates in 2021-2022. But should producer and consumer prices spike, not all stocks will be impacted equally.</p><p><blockquote>在可预见的未来，股市最令人担忧的阻力之一是通胀可能侵蚀企业利润率并导致2021-2022年利率上升。但如果生产者和消费者价格飙升，并非所有股票都会受到同等影响。</blockquote></p><p> Generally speaking, companies with strong pricing power that are able to pass on the higher production costs to consumers will likely outperform. This is a point that&nbsp;Mad Money’s Jim Cramer has made recently. Here is his quote:</p><p><blockquote>一般来说，拥有强大定价权、能够将较高的生产成本转嫁给消费者的公司可能会表现出色。这是Mad Money的吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)最近提出的观点。以下是他的名言：</blockquote></p><p>   “When you try to think of what’s working in this market... I want you to ask yourself, would you be insensitive to a price increase if the company put one through? [What are] the companies that can raise prices without infuriating you? Go buy their stocks.”  <b>The impact to the P&amp;L</b></p><p><blockquote>“当你试图思考这个市场上什么在起作用时……我想让你问问自己，如果公司提价，你会对提价麻木不仁吗？有哪些公司可以提价而不会激怒你？去买他们的股票。”<b>对损益的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Are higher prices a good or a bad thing for a company’s financial performance? The answer is nuanced and depends on a few factors.</p><p><blockquote>价格上涨对公司的财务业绩是好事还是坏事？答案是微妙的，取决于几个因素。</blockquote></p><p> Holding all else constant, higher prices also mean higher revenues (think of the formula for sales: price times quantity). If the increase in price is decoupled from an increase in product or operating costs, then the hike also helps to boost margins – thus profits as well.</p><p><blockquote>在其他条件不变的情况下，更高的价格也意味着更高的收入（想想销售公式：价格乘以数量）。如果价格上涨与产品或运营成本的增加脱钩，那么涨价也有助于提高利润率，从而提高利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, “holding all else constant” is not how the world really works. A change in price tends to have an impact on a few key variables, most important of which is demand. If higher prices do not impact units sold by much or at all, this is great news for revenues and, most likely, earnings.</p><p><blockquote>然而，“保持其他一切不变”并不是世界真正的运作方式。价格的变化往往会对一些关键变量产生影响，其中最重要的是需求。如果更高的价格不会对售出的单位产生太大影响或根本没有影响，那么这对收入以及最有可能的盈利来说是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> The other piece to consider is whether the price hike fully or only partially offsets higher costs. Assuming the latter, revenues can still benefit without a corresponding positive effect on margins and profits. The complexity presented by the many moving parts makes it hard to determine with certainty how a more expensive iPhone may impact Apple’s financial statements in the future.</p><p><blockquote>另一个需要考虑的问题是价格上涨是否完全或仅部分抵消了更高的成本。假设是后者，收入仍然可以受益，而不会对利润率和利润产生相应的积极影响。许多移动部件所呈现的复杂性使得很难确定更昂贵的iPhone未来可能会如何影响苹果的财务报表。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play<blockquote>苹果股票：它如何成为一场伟大的通胀游戏</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play<blockquote>苹果股票：它如何成为一场伟大的通胀游戏</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-28 08:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.</p><p><blockquote>由于某些组件的价格上涨，苹果的iPhone 13可能会让消费者花费更多。这对用户来说是个坏消息，但对苹果股票投资者来说可能是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> IPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year (or those looking to switch to the iOS-based product) should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.</p><p><blockquote>考虑今年升级设备的IPhone用户（或者那些希望转向基于iOS的产品的用户）应该期待更深入地了解他们的口袋。DigiTimes报道称，由于零部件通胀，苹果的iPhone 13可能会在下个月以更高的价格推出。</blockquote></p><p> Bad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock&nbsp;investors. If the price increase is confirmed, it provides evidence that AAPL might be a great inflation play during these times of worry over rising producer and consumer prices.</p><p><blockquote>对消费者来说是个坏消息，对苹果股票投资者来说可能是个好消息。如果价格上涨得到证实，这将提供证据表明，在人们担心生产者和消费者价格上涨的时期，苹果公司可能会成为一个巨大的通胀工具。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6f4ac9ebc1b90072340731dc5c1e613\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1: Apple's iPhone 12 Pro.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：苹果的iPhone 12 Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>怎么回事？</b></blockquote></p><p> The iPhone is already considered a pricey tech gadget that can cost as much as $1,400 for the fully loaded, higher-end 12 Pro Max model in the US (see figure below). Due to this year’s components shortage, chip maker TSMC may raise its part prices to Apple by 3% to 5%, which could lead to a similar increase in the price of the yet-to-be-announced iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone已经被认为是一款昂贵的科技产品，在美国，满载的高端12 Pro Max机型售价高达1400美元（见下图）。由于今年的零部件短缺，芯片制造商台积电可能会将其对苹果的零部件价格提高3%至5%，这可能会导致尚未公布的iPhone 13价格出现类似上涨。</blockquote></p><p> It is unlikely that one of the largest and most successful consumer product companies in the world would try to raise prices without confidence that doing so does not impact demand for the new iPhone substantially. Apple can probably afford to hike prices because the company understands the value and the appeal of its luxury brand.</p><p><blockquote>世界上最大、最成功的消费品公司之一不太可能试图提高价格，而不相信这样做不会对新iPhone的需求产生实质性影响。苹果或许有能力提高价格，因为该公司了解其奢侈品牌的价值和吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0140b9b68bb9eb5dd7e88aaff384785d\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone 12 Pro on Apple's store.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：苹果商店上的iPhone 12 Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>A quote from Jim Cramer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>引用吉姆·克莱默的话</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the most concerning headwinds to stocks in the foreseeable future is the possibility of inflation eroding corporate margins and leading to higher interest rates in 2021-2022. But should producer and consumer prices spike, not all stocks will be impacted equally.</p><p><blockquote>在可预见的未来，股市最令人担忧的阻力之一是通胀可能侵蚀企业利润率并导致2021-2022年利率上升。但如果生产者和消费者价格飙升，并非所有股票都会受到同等影响。</blockquote></p><p> Generally speaking, companies with strong pricing power that are able to pass on the higher production costs to consumers will likely outperform. This is a point that&nbsp;Mad Money’s Jim Cramer has made recently. Here is his quote:</p><p><blockquote>一般来说，拥有强大定价权、能够将较高的生产成本转嫁给消费者的公司可能会表现出色。这是Mad Money的吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)最近提出的观点。以下是他的名言：</blockquote></p><p>   “When you try to think of what’s working in this market... I want you to ask yourself, would you be insensitive to a price increase if the company put one through? [What are] the companies that can raise prices without infuriating you? Go buy their stocks.”  <b>The impact to the P&amp;L</b></p><p><blockquote>“当你试图思考这个市场上什么在起作用时……我想让你问问自己，如果公司提价，你会对提价麻木不仁吗？有哪些公司可以提价而不会激怒你？去买他们的股票。”<b>对损益的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Are higher prices a good or a bad thing for a company’s financial performance? The answer is nuanced and depends on a few factors.</p><p><blockquote>价格上涨对公司的财务业绩是好事还是坏事？答案是微妙的，取决于几个因素。</blockquote></p><p> Holding all else constant, higher prices also mean higher revenues (think of the formula for sales: price times quantity). If the increase in price is decoupled from an increase in product or operating costs, then the hike also helps to boost margins – thus profits as well.</p><p><blockquote>在其他条件不变的情况下，更高的价格也意味着更高的收入（想想销售公式：价格乘以数量）。如果价格上涨与产品或运营成本的增加脱钩，那么涨价也有助于提高利润率，从而提高利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, “holding all else constant” is not how the world really works. A change in price tends to have an impact on a few key variables, most important of which is demand. If higher prices do not impact units sold by much or at all, this is great news for revenues and, most likely, earnings.</p><p><blockquote>然而，“保持其他一切不变”并不是世界真正的运作方式。价格的变化往往会对一些关键变量产生影响，其中最重要的是需求。如果更高的价格不会对售出的单位产生太大影响或根本没有影响，那么这对收入以及最有可能的盈利来说是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> The other piece to consider is whether the price hike fully or only partially offsets higher costs. Assuming the latter, revenues can still benefit without a corresponding positive effect on margins and profits. The complexity presented by the many moving parts makes it hard to determine with certainty how a more expensive iPhone may impact Apple’s financial statements in the future.</p><p><blockquote>另一个需要考虑的问题是价格上涨是否完全或仅部分抵消了更高的成本。假设是后者，收入仍然可以受益，而不会对利润率和利润产生相应的积极影响。许多移动部件所呈现的复杂性使得很难确定更昂贵的iPhone未来可能会如何影响苹果的财务报表。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/apple-stock-how-it-could-be-a-great-inflation-play\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/apple-stock-how-it-could-be-a-great-inflation-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162964424","content_text":"Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.\nIPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year (or those looking to switch to the iOS-based product) should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has reported that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.\nBad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock investors. If the price increase is confirmed, it provides evidence that AAPL might be a great inflation play during these times of worry over rising producer and consumer prices.\nFigure 1: Apple's iPhone 12 Pro.\nWhat happened?\nThe iPhone is already considered a pricey tech gadget that can cost as much as $1,400 for the fully loaded, higher-end 12 Pro Max model in the US (see figure below). Due to this year’s components shortage, chip maker TSMC may raise its part prices to Apple by 3% to 5%, which could lead to a similar increase in the price of the yet-to-be-announced iPhone 13.\nIt is unlikely that one of the largest and most successful consumer product companies in the world would try to raise prices without confidence that doing so does not impact demand for the new iPhone substantially. Apple can probably afford to hike prices because the company understands the value and the appeal of its luxury brand.\nFigure 2: iPhone 12 Pro on Apple's store.\nA quote from Jim Cramer\nOne of the most concerning headwinds to stocks in the foreseeable future is the possibility of inflation eroding corporate margins and leading to higher interest rates in 2021-2022. But should producer and consumer prices spike, not all stocks will be impacted equally.\nGenerally speaking, companies with strong pricing power that are able to pass on the higher production costs to consumers will likely outperform. This is a point that Mad Money’s Jim Cramer has made recently. Here is his quote:\n\n “When you try to think of what’s working in this market... I want you to ask yourself, would you be insensitive to a price increase if the company put one through? [What are] the companies that can raise prices without infuriating you? Go buy their stocks.”\n\nThe impact to the P&L\nAre higher prices a good or a bad thing for a company’s financial performance? The answer is nuanced and depends on a few factors.\nHolding all else constant, higher prices also mean higher revenues (think of the formula for sales: price times quantity). If the increase in price is decoupled from an increase in product or operating costs, then the hike also helps to boost margins – thus profits as well.\nHowever, “holding all else constant” is not how the world really works. A change in price tends to have an impact on a few key variables, most important of which is demand. If higher prices do not impact units sold by much or at all, this is great news for revenues and, most likely, earnings.\nThe other piece to consider is whether the price hike fully or only partially offsets higher costs. Assuming the latter, revenues can still benefit without a corresponding positive effect on margins and profits. The complexity presented by the many moving parts makes it hard to determine with certainty how a more expensive iPhone may impact Apple’s financial statements in the future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":848573803,"gmtCreate":1636015602185,"gmtModify":1636015602325,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/P52.SI\">$PAN-UNITED CORPORATION LTD(P52.SI)$</a>&nbsp;very quiet but I know they are profiting.Any thoughts?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/P52.SI\">$PAN-UNITED CORPORATION LTD(P52.SI)$</a>&nbsp;very quiet but I know they are profiting.Any thoughts?&nbsp;","text":"$PAN-UNITED CORPORATION LTD(P52.SI)$ very quiet but I know they are profiting.Any thoughts?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/248ba5a2ae5912118119b895bd9469a9","width":"720","height":"1836"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848573803","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2880,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854497020,"gmtCreate":1635472253834,"gmtModify":1635472445099,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>&nbsp;what a drop! Thanks to the news! 😏","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>&nbsp;what a drop! Thanks to the news! 😏","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ what a drop! Thanks to the news! 😏","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42c188d5fa4862f6c52c4a2de6526752","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854497020","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852528354,"gmtCreate":1635292436017,"gmtModify":1635292436253,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>aiya! Shud hv liquidated when it hit 10+ last nite. 😜","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>aiya! Shud hv liquidated when it hit 10+ last nite. 😜","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$aiya! Shud hv liquidated when it hit 10+ last nite. 😜","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da91e6e20acd06a815174b34b81025ed","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852528354","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853802079,"gmtCreate":1634784817807,"gmtModify":1634784978453,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Histogenics(OCGN)$</a>another stock worth looking at n investing but must keep a watch.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Histogenics(OCGN)$</a>another stock worth looking at n investing but must keep a watch.&nbsp;","text":"$Histogenics(OCGN)$another stock worth looking at n investing but must keep a watch.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a3803f5c13a23803d675cd2cac17ad","width":"720","height":"1910"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853802079","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":210,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829243028,"gmtCreate":1633520179500,"gmtModify":1633520179657,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no!&nbsp;","listText":"Oh no!&nbsp;","text":"Oh no!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829243028","repostId":"1140605265","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140605265","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633514236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140605265?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-06 17:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The next financial crisis is fast approaching<blockquote>下一次金融危机即将来临</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140605265","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Central banks need to prepare because global stock markets and real estate are overvalued, while lev","content":"<p>  <b>Central banks need to prepare because global stock markets and real estate are overvalued, while leverage is near record levels for households, corporations, banks and governments.</b>  NEW YORK (Project Syndicate)— Since early 2020, central banks across the advanced economies have had to choose between pursuing financial stability, low (typically 2%) inflation, or real economic activity. Without exception, they have opted in favor of financial stability, followed by real economic activity, with inflation last.</p><p><blockquote><b>各国央行需要做好准备，因为全球股市和房地产被高估，而家庭、企业、银行和政府的杠杆率接近创纪录水平。</b>纽约（Project Syndicate）——自2020年初以来，发达经济体的央行不得不在追求金融稳定、低通胀（通常为2%）或实体经济活动之间做出选择。无一例外，他们都选择了金融稳定，其次是实体经济活动，最后是通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, the only advanced-economy central bank to raise interest rates since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic has been Norway’s Norges Bank, which&nbsp;lifted&nbsp;its policy rate from zero to 0.25% on Sept. 24. While it has&nbsp;hinted&nbsp;that an additional rate increase is likely in December, and that its policy rate could reach 1.7% toward the end of 2024, that is merely more evidence of monetary policy makers’ extreme reluctance to implement the kind of rate increases that are required to achieve a 2% inflation target consistently.</p><p><blockquote>因此，自COVID-19大流行开始以来唯一加息的发达经济体央行是挪威央行，该央行于9月24日将政策利率从零上调至0.25%。尽管它暗示可能会在12月进一步加息，并且其政策利率可能在2024年底达到1.7%，但这只是更多证据表明货币政策制定者极其不愿意实施所需的加息持续实现2%的通胀目标。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>Today’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.</b>  Central banks’ overwhelming reluctance to pursue interest-rate and balance-sheet policies compatible with their inflation targets should come as no surprise. In the years between the start of the Great Moderation in the mid-1980s and the 2007-08 financial crisis, advanced-economy central banks failed to give sufficient weight to financial stability. A prime example was the Bank of England’s loss of all supervisory and regulatory powers when it was granted operational independence in 1997.</p><p><blockquote><b>今天的风险资产估值完全脱离现实。</b>各国央行极不愿意推行与其通胀目标相适应的利率和资产负债表政策，这并不奇怪。在20世纪80年代中期大缓和开始到2007-08年金融危机之间的几年里，发达经济体的央行未能对金融稳定给予足够的重视。一个典型的例子是英格兰银行在1997年获得运营独立性时失去了所有监督和监管权力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Prioritize financial stability over inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将金融稳定置于通胀之上</b></blockquote></p><p> The result was a financial disaster and a severe cyclical downturn. Confirming the logic of “once bitten, twice shy,” central banks then responded to the COVID-19 pandemic by pursuing unprecedentedly aggressive policies to ensure financial stability. But they also went far beyond what was required, pulling out all the policy stops to support real economic activity.</p><p><blockquote>结果是一场金融灾难和严重的周期性衰退。各国央行随后通过采取前所未有的激进政策来确保金融稳定，从而证实了“一劳永逸”的逻辑。但他们也远远超出了要求，用尽了所有政策来支持实体经济活动。</blockquote></p><p> Central banks were right to prioritize financial stability over price stability, considering that financial stability itself is a prerequisite for sustainable price stability (and for some central banks’ other target, full employment). The economic and social cost of a financial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target. Obviously, very high inflation rates must be avoided, because they, too, can become a source of financial instability; but if preventing a financial calamity requires a few years of high single-digit inflation, the price is well worth it.</p><p><blockquote>各国央行将金融稳定置于价格稳定之上是正确的，因为金融稳定本身是可持续价格稳定的先决条件（对于一些央行的另一个目标，即充分就业）。金融危机的经济和社会成本，尤其是在私人和公共杠杆率如此之高的情况下，将使持续超过通胀目标的成本相形见绌。显然，必须避免非常高的通货膨胀率，因为它们也可能成为金融不稳定的根源；但如果防止金融灾难需要几年的高个位数通胀，那么这个代价是非常值得的。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>There is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets.</b>  I hope (and expect) that central banks—not least the Federal Reserve—are ready to respond appropriately if the U.S. federal government breaches its “debt ceiling” on or around Oct. 18. A recent&nbsp;study&nbsp;by Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics concludes that a U.S. sovereign debt default could destroy up to 6 million U.S. jobs and wipe out as much as $15 trillion in private wealth. This estimate strikes me as optimistic. If the sovereign default were to be protracted, the costs would probably be much higher.</p><p><blockquote><b>非央行资产负债表没有足够的弹性来应对不良资产的抛售或持有流动负债和非流动资产的商业银行或其他具有系统重要性的金融机构的挤兑。</b>我希望（并期待）如果美国联邦政府在10月18日或前后突破“债务上限”，各国央行——尤其是美联储——准备好做出适当反应。穆迪分析公司（Moody’s Analytics）的马克·赞迪（Mark Zandi）最近的一项研究得出结论，美国主权债务违约可能会摧毁多达600万个美国工作岗位，并抹去多达15万亿美元的私人财富。这个估计让我觉得很乐观。如果主权违约长期化，成本可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> In any case, a U.S. sovereign default would also have a dramatic and devastating global impact, afflicting both advanced economies and emerging and developing markets. U.S. sovereign debtTMUBMUSD10Y,1.551%is widely held globally, and the U.S. dollarBUXX,0.43%remains the world’s senior reserve currency.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，美国主权违约也将产生巨大和毁灭性的全球影响，困扰发达经济体以及新兴和发展中市场。美国主权债务TTMUBMUSD10Y, 1.551%在全球范围内被广泛持有，美元BUXX, 0.43%仍然是世界的高级储备货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vulnerable to financial shocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>易受金融冲击</b></blockquote></p><p> Even without a self-inflicted wound like a congressional failure to raise or suspend the debt ceiling, financial fragility is rife nowadays. Household, corporate, financial, and government balance sheets have grown to record highs this century, rendering all four sectors more vulnerable to financial shocks.</p><p><blockquote>即使没有国会未能提高或暂停债务上限等自我造成的创伤，金融脆弱性如今也很普遍。家庭、企业、金融和政府的资产负债表已增长至本世纪的历史新高，使所有四个部门更容易受到金融冲击的影响。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>The economic and social cost of a</b>   <b>financial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target.</b>  Central banks are the only economic actors capable of addressing the funding and market-liquidity crises that are now part of the new normal. There is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets. This is as true in China as it is in the U.S., the eurozone, Japan, and the United Kingdom.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济和社会成本</b><b>金融危机，尤其是在私人和公共杠杆率如此之高的情况下，将使持续超过通胀目标的成本相形见绌。</b>央行是唯一有能力解决融资和市场流动性危机的经济参与者，这些危机现在已成为新常态的一部分。非央行资产负债表没有足够的弹性来应对不良资产的抛售或持有流动负债和非流动资产的商业银行或其他具有系统重要性的金融机构的挤兑。这在中国是真实的，在美国、欧元区、日本和英国也是如此。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> China’s real-estate bubble—and the household debt secured against it—is likely to implode sooner or later. The dangerously indebted property developer Evergrande could well be the catalyst. But even if Chinese authorities manage to prevent a full-fledged financial meltdown, a deep and persistent economic slump would be unavoidable. Add to that a marked decline in China’s potential growth rate (owing to demographics and enterprise-hostile policies), and the world economy will have lost one of its engines.</p><p><blockquote>中国的房地产泡沫——以及以此为抵押的家庭债务——可能迟早会破裂。负债累累的房地产开发商恒大很可能成为催化剂。但即使中国当局设法阻止了全面的金融崩溃，深度和持续的经济衰退也是不可避免的。再加上中国潜在增长率的显著下降（由于人口结构和反企业政策），世界经济将失去一个引擎。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Distorted beliefs and enduring bubbles</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扭曲的信念和持久的泡沫</b></blockquote></p><p> Across the advanced economies (and in many emerging markets), risk assets, notably equitySPX,+1.05%GDOW,0.04%DJIA,+0.92%and real estate, appear to be materially overvalued, despite recent minor corrections. The only way to avoid this conclusion is to believe that long-run real interest rates today (which are negative in many cases) are at or close to their fundamental values. I suspect that both the long-run real safe interest rate and assorted risk premiums are being artificially depressed by distorted beliefs and enduring bubbles, respectively. If so, today’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.</p><p><blockquote>在整个发达经济体（以及许多新兴市场），风险资产，特别是股票SPX、+1.05%GDOW、0.04%道琼斯、+0.92%和房地产，似乎被严重高估，尽管最近略有调整。避免这一结论的唯一方法是相信今天的长期实际利率（在许多情况下为负）处于或接近其基本值。我怀疑长期实际安全利率和各种风险溢价分别被扭曲的信念和持久的泡沫人为压低。如果是这样的话，今天的风险资产估值就完全脱离了现实。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>The goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot.</b>  Whenever the inevitable price corrections materialize, central banks, supervisors, and regulators will need to work closely with finance ministries to limit the damage to the real economy. Significant deleveraging by all four sectors (households, nonfinancial corporates, financial institutions, and governments) will be necessary to reduce financial vulnerability and boost resilience. Orderly debt restructuring, including sovereign debt restructuring in several highly vulnerable developing countries, will need to be part of the overdue restoration of financial sustainability.</p><p><blockquote><b>2%通胀和最大就业的目标可以等待，但金融稳定不能。</b>每当不可避免的价格调整成为现实时，央行、监管者和监管者都需要与财政部密切合作，以限制对实体经济的损害。所有四个部门（家庭、非金融企业、金融机构和政府）都有必要大幅去杠杆化，以降低金融脆弱性和增强弹性。有序的债务重组，包括几个高度脆弱的发展中国家的主权债务重组，将需要成为迟来的恢复财政可持续性的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Central banks, acting as lenders of last resort (LLR) and market makers of last resort (MMLR), will once again be the linchpins in what is sure to be a chaotic sequence of events. Their contributions to global financial stability have never been more important. The goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot. Since LLR and MMLR operations are conducted in the twilight zone between illiquidity and insolvency, these central-bank activities have marked quasi-fiscal characteristics. Thus, the crisis now waiting in the wings will inevitably diminish central bank independence.</p><p><blockquote>作为最后贷款人（LLR）和最后做市商（MMLR）的央行将再次成为一系列混乱事件的关键。它们对全球金融稳定的贡献从未像现在这样重要。2%通胀和最大就业的目标可以等待，但金融稳定不能。由于LLR和MMLR操作是在流动性不足和破产之间的边缘地带进行的，这些央行活动具有明显的准财政特征。因此，即将到来的危机将不可避免地削弱央行的独立性。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Willem H. Buiter is an adjunct professor of international and public affairs at Columbia University.He was global chief economist at Citigroup from 2010 to 2018</i></b>.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>威廉·H·比特是哥伦比亚大学国际和公共事务兼职教授。2010年至2018年任花旗集团全球首席经济学家</i></b>.</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The next financial crisis is fast approaching<blockquote>下一次金融危机即将来临</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe next financial crisis is fast approaching<blockquote>下一次金融危机即将来临</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-06 17:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Central banks need to prepare because global stock markets and real estate are overvalued, while leverage is near record levels for households, corporations, banks and governments.</b>  NEW YORK (Project Syndicate)— Since early 2020, central banks across the advanced economies have had to choose between pursuing financial stability, low (typically 2%) inflation, or real economic activity. Without exception, they have opted in favor of financial stability, followed by real economic activity, with inflation last.</p><p><blockquote><b>各国央行需要做好准备，因为全球股市和房地产被高估，而家庭、企业、银行和政府的杠杆率接近创纪录水平。</b>纽约（Project Syndicate）——自2020年初以来，发达经济体的央行不得不在追求金融稳定、低通胀（通常为2%）或实体经济活动之间做出选择。无一例外，他们都选择了金融稳定，其次是实体经济活动，最后是通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, the only advanced-economy central bank to raise interest rates since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic has been Norway’s Norges Bank, which&nbsp;lifted&nbsp;its policy rate from zero to 0.25% on Sept. 24. While it has&nbsp;hinted&nbsp;that an additional rate increase is likely in December, and that its policy rate could reach 1.7% toward the end of 2024, that is merely more evidence of monetary policy makers’ extreme reluctance to implement the kind of rate increases that are required to achieve a 2% inflation target consistently.</p><p><blockquote>因此，自COVID-19大流行开始以来唯一加息的发达经济体央行是挪威央行，该央行于9月24日将政策利率从零上调至0.25%。尽管它暗示可能会在12月进一步加息，并且其政策利率可能在2024年底达到1.7%，但这只是更多证据表明货币政策制定者极其不愿意实施所需的加息持续实现2%的通胀目标。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>Today’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.</b>  Central banks’ overwhelming reluctance to pursue interest-rate and balance-sheet policies compatible with their inflation targets should come as no surprise. In the years between the start of the Great Moderation in the mid-1980s and the 2007-08 financial crisis, advanced-economy central banks failed to give sufficient weight to financial stability. A prime example was the Bank of England’s loss of all supervisory and regulatory powers when it was granted operational independence in 1997.</p><p><blockquote><b>今天的风险资产估值完全脱离现实。</b>各国央行极不愿意推行与其通胀目标相适应的利率和资产负债表政策，这并不奇怪。在20世纪80年代中期大缓和开始到2007-08年金融危机之间的几年里，发达经济体的央行未能对金融稳定给予足够的重视。一个典型的例子是英格兰银行在1997年获得运营独立性时失去了所有监督和监管权力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Prioritize financial stability over inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将金融稳定置于通胀之上</b></blockquote></p><p> The result was a financial disaster and a severe cyclical downturn. Confirming the logic of “once bitten, twice shy,” central banks then responded to the COVID-19 pandemic by pursuing unprecedentedly aggressive policies to ensure financial stability. But they also went far beyond what was required, pulling out all the policy stops to support real economic activity.</p><p><blockquote>结果是一场金融灾难和严重的周期性衰退。各国央行随后通过采取前所未有的激进政策来确保金融稳定，从而证实了“一劳永逸”的逻辑。但他们也远远超出了要求，用尽了所有政策来支持实体经济活动。</blockquote></p><p> Central banks were right to prioritize financial stability over price stability, considering that financial stability itself is a prerequisite for sustainable price stability (and for some central banks’ other target, full employment). The economic and social cost of a financial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target. Obviously, very high inflation rates must be avoided, because they, too, can become a source of financial instability; but if preventing a financial calamity requires a few years of high single-digit inflation, the price is well worth it.</p><p><blockquote>各国央行将金融稳定置于价格稳定之上是正确的，因为金融稳定本身是可持续价格稳定的先决条件（对于一些央行的另一个目标，即充分就业）。金融危机的经济和社会成本，尤其是在私人和公共杠杆率如此之高的情况下，将使持续超过通胀目标的成本相形见绌。显然，必须避免非常高的通货膨胀率，因为它们也可能成为金融不稳定的根源；但如果防止金融灾难需要几年的高个位数通胀，那么这个代价是非常值得的。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>There is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets.</b>  I hope (and expect) that central banks—not least the Federal Reserve—are ready to respond appropriately if the U.S. federal government breaches its “debt ceiling” on or around Oct. 18. A recent&nbsp;study&nbsp;by Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics concludes that a U.S. sovereign debt default could destroy up to 6 million U.S. jobs and wipe out as much as $15 trillion in private wealth. This estimate strikes me as optimistic. If the sovereign default were to be protracted, the costs would probably be much higher.</p><p><blockquote><b>非央行资产负债表没有足够的弹性来应对不良资产的抛售或持有流动负债和非流动资产的商业银行或其他具有系统重要性的金融机构的挤兑。</b>我希望（并期待）如果美国联邦政府在10月18日或前后突破“债务上限”，各国央行——尤其是美联储——准备好做出适当反应。穆迪分析公司（Moody’s Analytics）的马克·赞迪（Mark Zandi）最近的一项研究得出结论，美国主权债务违约可能会摧毁多达600万个美国工作岗位，并抹去多达15万亿美元的私人财富。这个估计让我觉得很乐观。如果主权违约长期化，成本可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> In any case, a U.S. sovereign default would also have a dramatic and devastating global impact, afflicting both advanced economies and emerging and developing markets. U.S. sovereign debtTMUBMUSD10Y,1.551%is widely held globally, and the U.S. dollarBUXX,0.43%remains the world’s senior reserve currency.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，美国主权违约也将产生巨大和毁灭性的全球影响，困扰发达经济体以及新兴和发展中市场。美国主权债务TTMUBMUSD10Y, 1.551%在全球范围内被广泛持有，美元BUXX, 0.43%仍然是世界的高级储备货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vulnerable to financial shocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>易受金融冲击</b></blockquote></p><p> Even without a self-inflicted wound like a congressional failure to raise or suspend the debt ceiling, financial fragility is rife nowadays. Household, corporate, financial, and government balance sheets have grown to record highs this century, rendering all four sectors more vulnerable to financial shocks.</p><p><blockquote>即使没有国会未能提高或暂停债务上限等自我造成的创伤，金融脆弱性如今也很普遍。家庭、企业、金融和政府的资产负债表已增长至本世纪的历史新高，使所有四个部门更容易受到金融冲击的影响。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>The economic and social cost of a</b>   <b>financial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target.</b>  Central banks are the only economic actors capable of addressing the funding and market-liquidity crises that are now part of the new normal. There is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets. This is as true in China as it is in the U.S., the eurozone, Japan, and the United Kingdom.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济和社会成本</b><b>金融危机，尤其是在私人和公共杠杆率如此之高的情况下，将使持续超过通胀目标的成本相形见绌。</b>央行是唯一有能力解决融资和市场流动性危机的经济参与者，这些危机现在已成为新常态的一部分。非央行资产负债表没有足够的弹性来应对不良资产的抛售或持有流动负债和非流动资产的商业银行或其他具有系统重要性的金融机构的挤兑。这在中国是真实的，在美国、欧元区、日本和英国也是如此。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> China’s real-estate bubble—and the household debt secured against it—is likely to implode sooner or later. The dangerously indebted property developer Evergrande could well be the catalyst. But even if Chinese authorities manage to prevent a full-fledged financial meltdown, a deep and persistent economic slump would be unavoidable. Add to that a marked decline in China’s potential growth rate (owing to demographics and enterprise-hostile policies), and the world economy will have lost one of its engines.</p><p><blockquote>中国的房地产泡沫——以及以此为抵押的家庭债务——可能迟早会破裂。负债累累的房地产开发商恒大很可能成为催化剂。但即使中国当局设法阻止了全面的金融崩溃，深度和持续的经济衰退也是不可避免的。再加上中国潜在增长率的显著下降（由于人口结构和反企业政策），世界经济将失去一个引擎。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Distorted beliefs and enduring bubbles</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扭曲的信念和持久的泡沫</b></blockquote></p><p> Across the advanced economies (and in many emerging markets), risk assets, notably equitySPX,+1.05%GDOW,0.04%DJIA,+0.92%and real estate, appear to be materially overvalued, despite recent minor corrections. The only way to avoid this conclusion is to believe that long-run real interest rates today (which are negative in many cases) are at or close to their fundamental values. I suspect that both the long-run real safe interest rate and assorted risk premiums are being artificially depressed by distorted beliefs and enduring bubbles, respectively. If so, today’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.</p><p><blockquote>在整个发达经济体（以及许多新兴市场），风险资产，特别是股票SPX、+1.05%GDOW、0.04%道琼斯、+0.92%和房地产，似乎被严重高估，尽管最近略有调整。避免这一结论的唯一方法是相信今天的长期实际利率（在许多情况下为负）处于或接近其基本值。我怀疑长期实际安全利率和各种风险溢价分别被扭曲的信念和持久的泡沫人为压低。如果是这样的话，今天的风险资产估值就完全脱离了现实。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>The goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot.</b>  Whenever the inevitable price corrections materialize, central banks, supervisors, and regulators will need to work closely with finance ministries to limit the damage to the real economy. Significant deleveraging by all four sectors (households, nonfinancial corporates, financial institutions, and governments) will be necessary to reduce financial vulnerability and boost resilience. Orderly debt restructuring, including sovereign debt restructuring in several highly vulnerable developing countries, will need to be part of the overdue restoration of financial sustainability.</p><p><blockquote><b>2%通胀和最大就业的目标可以等待，但金融稳定不能。</b>每当不可避免的价格调整成为现实时，央行、监管者和监管者都需要与财政部密切合作，以限制对实体经济的损害。所有四个部门（家庭、非金融企业、金融机构和政府）都有必要大幅去杠杆化，以降低金融脆弱性和增强弹性。有序的债务重组，包括几个高度脆弱的发展中国家的主权债务重组，将需要成为迟来的恢复财政可持续性的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Central banks, acting as lenders of last resort (LLR) and market makers of last resort (MMLR), will once again be the linchpins in what is sure to be a chaotic sequence of events. Their contributions to global financial stability have never been more important. The goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot. Since LLR and MMLR operations are conducted in the twilight zone between illiquidity and insolvency, these central-bank activities have marked quasi-fiscal characteristics. Thus, the crisis now waiting in the wings will inevitably diminish central bank independence.</p><p><blockquote>作为最后贷款人（LLR）和最后做市商（MMLR）的央行将再次成为一系列混乱事件的关键。它们对全球金融稳定的贡献从未像现在这样重要。2%通胀和最大就业的目标可以等待，但金融稳定不能。由于LLR和MMLR操作是在流动性不足和破产之间的边缘地带进行的，这些央行活动具有明显的准财政特征。因此，即将到来的危机将不可避免地削弱央行的独立性。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Willem H. Buiter is an adjunct professor of international and public affairs at Columbia University.He was global chief economist at Citigroup from 2010 to 2018</i></b>.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>威廉·H·比特是哥伦比亚大学国际和公共事务兼职教授。2010年至2018年任花旗集团全球首席经济学家</i></b>.</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-next-financial-crisis-is-fast-approaching-11633447555?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-next-financial-crisis-is-fast-approaching-11633447555?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140605265","content_text":"Central banks need to prepare because global stock markets and real estate are overvalued, while leverage is near record levels for households, corporations, banks and governments.\n\nNEW YORK (Project Syndicate)— Since early 2020, central banks across the advanced economies have had to choose between pursuing financial stability, low (typically 2%) inflation, or real economic activity. Without exception, they have opted in favor of financial stability, followed by real economic activity, with inflation last.\nAs a result, the only advanced-economy central bank to raise interest rates since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic has been Norway’s Norges Bank, which lifted its policy rate from zero to 0.25% on Sept. 24. While it has hinted that an additional rate increase is likely in December, and that its policy rate could reach 1.7% toward the end of 2024, that is merely more evidence of monetary policy makers’ extreme reluctance to implement the kind of rate increases that are required to achieve a 2% inflation target consistently.\n\nToday’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.\n\nCentral banks’ overwhelming reluctance to pursue interest-rate and balance-sheet policies compatible with their inflation targets should come as no surprise. In the years between the start of the Great Moderation in the mid-1980s and the 2007-08 financial crisis, advanced-economy central banks failed to give sufficient weight to financial stability. A prime example was the Bank of England’s loss of all supervisory and regulatory powers when it was granted operational independence in 1997.\nPrioritize financial stability over inflation\nThe result was a financial disaster and a severe cyclical downturn. Confirming the logic of “once bitten, twice shy,” central banks then responded to the COVID-19 pandemic by pursuing unprecedentedly aggressive policies to ensure financial stability. But they also went far beyond what was required, pulling out all the policy stops to support real economic activity.\nCentral banks were right to prioritize financial stability over price stability, considering that financial stability itself is a prerequisite for sustainable price stability (and for some central banks’ other target, full employment). The economic and social cost of a financial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target. Obviously, very high inflation rates must be avoided, because they, too, can become a source of financial instability; but if preventing a financial calamity requires a few years of high single-digit inflation, the price is well worth it.\n\nThere is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets.\n\nI hope (and expect) that central banks—not least the Federal Reserve—are ready to respond appropriately if the U.S. federal government breaches its “debt ceiling” on or around Oct. 18. A recent study by Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics concludes that a U.S. sovereign debt default could destroy up to 6 million U.S. jobs and wipe out as much as $15 trillion in private wealth. This estimate strikes me as optimistic. If the sovereign default were to be protracted, the costs would probably be much higher.\nIn any case, a U.S. sovereign default would also have a dramatic and devastating global impact, afflicting both advanced economies and emerging and developing markets. U.S. sovereign debtTMUBMUSD10Y,1.551%is widely held globally, and the U.S. dollarBUXX,0.43%remains the world’s senior reserve currency.\nVulnerable to financial shocks\nEven without a self-inflicted wound like a congressional failure to raise or suspend the debt ceiling, financial fragility is rife nowadays. Household, corporate, financial, and government balance sheets have grown to record highs this century, rendering all four sectors more vulnerable to financial shocks.\n\nThe economic and social cost of a\nfinancial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target.\n\nCentral banks are the only economic actors capable of addressing the funding and market-liquidity crises that are now part of the new normal. There is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets. This is as true in China as it is in the U.S., the eurozone, Japan, and the United Kingdom.\nChina’s real-estate bubble—and the household debt secured against it—is likely to implode sooner or later. The dangerously indebted property developer Evergrande could well be the catalyst. But even if Chinese authorities manage to prevent a full-fledged financial meltdown, a deep and persistent economic slump would be unavoidable. Add to that a marked decline in China’s potential growth rate (owing to demographics and enterprise-hostile policies), and the world economy will have lost one of its engines.\nDistorted beliefs and enduring bubbles\nAcross the advanced economies (and in many emerging markets), risk assets, notably equitySPX,+1.05%GDOW,0.04%DJIA,+0.92%and real estate, appear to be materially overvalued, despite recent minor corrections. The only way to avoid this conclusion is to believe that long-run real interest rates today (which are negative in many cases) are at or close to their fundamental values. I suspect that both the long-run real safe interest rate and assorted risk premiums are being artificially depressed by distorted beliefs and enduring bubbles, respectively. If so, today’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.\n\nThe goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot.\n\nWhenever the inevitable price corrections materialize, central banks, supervisors, and regulators will need to work closely with finance ministries to limit the damage to the real economy. Significant deleveraging by all four sectors (households, nonfinancial corporates, financial institutions, and governments) will be necessary to reduce financial vulnerability and boost resilience. Orderly debt restructuring, including sovereign debt restructuring in several highly vulnerable developing countries, will need to be part of the overdue restoration of financial sustainability.\nCentral banks, acting as lenders of last resort (LLR) and market makers of last resort (MMLR), will once again be the linchpins in what is sure to be a chaotic sequence of events. Their contributions to global financial stability have never been more important. The goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot. Since LLR and MMLR operations are conducted in the twilight zone between illiquidity and insolvency, these central-bank activities have marked quasi-fiscal characteristics. Thus, the crisis now waiting in the wings will inevitably diminish central bank independence.\nWillem H. Buiter is an adjunct professor of international and public affairs at Columbia University.He was global chief economist at Citigroup from 2010 to 2018.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":863391329,"gmtCreate":1632356834261,"gmtModify":1632800989951,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Excellent. Thanks 😊👍","listText":"Excellent. Thanks 😊👍","text":"Excellent. Thanks 😊👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863391329","repostId":"2169650271","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885132405,"gmtCreate":1631763525907,"gmtModify":1631890328865,"author":{"id":"4089595926650700","authorId":"4089595926650700","name":"37687d3f","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089595926650700","idStr":"4089595926650700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thank u for the info[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"Thank u for the info[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"Thank u for the info[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885132405","repostId":"1121760493","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121760493","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631762517,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121760493?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-16 11:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio: Cash Is Trash, But Don't Over do It on Stocks<blockquote>雷·达里奥：现金是垃圾，但不要过度投资股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121760493","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Rising inflation and low interest rates are creating risks for investors, but cash isn’t the answer,","content":"<p>Rising inflation and low interest rates are creating risks for investors, but cash isn’t the answer, says Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s biggest hedge fund firm.</p><p><blockquote>全球最大对冲基金公司桥水基金创始人雷·达里奥表示，通胀上升和低利率给投资者带来了风险，但现金并不是解决问题的办法。</blockquote></p><p> “Know cash is trash. Don’t keep it in cash,” he told CNBC. “The most important thing that an individual investor can do is know how to diversify well.”</p><p><blockquote>“知道现金是垃圾。不要用现金保存，”他告诉CNBC。“个人投资者能做的最重要的事情就是知道如何很好地分散投资。”</blockquote></p><p> And how should we diversify?</p><p><blockquote>我们应该如何多元化？</blockquote></p><p> “Diversify across countries, currencies, assets classes and so on, so you have that balance,” Dalio said. “You can take your tactical moves from there. All those assets classes will outperform cash.”</p><p><blockquote>达里奥说：“在国家、货币、资产类别等方面进行多元化投资，这样你就能达到平衡。”“你可以从那里采取战术行动。所有这些资产类别的表现都将优于现金。”</blockquote></p><p> Investors are over-emphasizing stocks, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，投资者过分强调股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I think the stock market is relatively attractive in relationship to the alternatives,” Dalio said. “But that dynamic is going to start to change as monetary policy gets tighter.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为相对于其他选择，股市相对具有吸引力，”达里奥说。“但随着货币政策收紧，这种动态将开始改变。”</blockquote></p><p> More restrictive Fed policy often hurts stocks.</p><p><blockquote>美联储更严格的政策往往会损害股市。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Dalio said that if Bitcoin achieves widespread acceptance, regulators will step in to control it.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，达里奥表示，如果比特币获得广泛接受，监管机构将介入控制它。</blockquote></p><p> “At the end of the day, if it’s really successful, they will kill it, … because they have ways of killing it,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“最终，如果它真的成功了，他们会杀死它，……因为他们有办法杀死它，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Given Bitcoin’s lack of intrinsic worth, it’s hard to know what the cryptocurrency’s ultimate fate will be, Dalio said.</p><p><blockquote>达里奥表示，鉴于比特币缺乏内在价值，很难知道加密货币的最终命运会是什么。</blockquote></p><p> “There are so many things in a historical perspective that didn’t have intrinsic value and had perceived value,” he said. “They went hot, and they became cold. [Bitcoin] could be either way.”</p><p><blockquote>“从历史的角度来看，有很多东西没有内在价值，而是有感知价值，”他说。“它们变热了，然后变冷了。[比特币]可能是两种情况。”</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin has enjoyed a rollercoaster ride since its inception in 2009. It recently traded at $48,040, up 3%. But it has dropped 9% in the last 10 days.</p><p><blockquote>自2009年成立以来，比特币经历了一次过山车之旅。近期交易价格为48,040美元，上涨3%。但过去10天下跌了9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ray Dalio: Cash Is Trash, But Don't Over do It on Stocks<blockquote>雷·达里奥：现金是垃圾，但不要过度投资股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio: Cash Is Trash, But Don't Over do It on Stocks<blockquote>雷·达里奥：现金是垃圾，但不要过度投资股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-16 11:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Rising inflation and low interest rates are creating risks for investors, but cash isn’t the answer, says Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s biggest hedge fund firm.</p><p><blockquote>全球最大对冲基金公司桥水基金创始人雷·达里奥表示，通胀上升和低利率给投资者带来了风险，但现金并不是解决问题的办法。</blockquote></p><p> “Know cash is trash. Don’t keep it in cash,” he told CNBC. “The most important thing that an individual investor can do is know how to diversify well.”</p><p><blockquote>“知道现金是垃圾。不要用现金保存，”他告诉CNBC。“个人投资者能做的最重要的事情就是知道如何很好地分散投资。”</blockquote></p><p> And how should we diversify?</p><p><blockquote>我们应该如何多元化？</blockquote></p><p> “Diversify across countries, currencies, assets classes and so on, so you have that balance,” Dalio said. “You can take your tactical moves from there. All those assets classes will outperform cash.”</p><p><blockquote>达里奥说：“在国家、货币、资产类别等方面进行多元化投资，这样你就能达到平衡。”“你可以从那里采取战术行动。所有这些资产类别的表现都将优于现金。”</blockquote></p><p> Investors are over-emphasizing stocks, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，投资者过分强调股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I think the stock market is relatively attractive in relationship to the alternatives,” Dalio said. “But that dynamic is going to start to change as monetary policy gets tighter.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为相对于其他选择，股市相对具有吸引力，”达里奥说。“但随着货币政策收紧，这种动态将开始改变。”</blockquote></p><p> More restrictive Fed policy often hurts stocks.</p><p><blockquote>美联储更严格的政策往往会损害股市。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Dalio said that if Bitcoin achieves widespread acceptance, regulators will step in to control it.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，达里奥表示，如果比特币获得广泛接受，监管机构将介入控制它。</blockquote></p><p> “At the end of the day, if it’s really successful, they will kill it, … because they have ways of killing it,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“最终，如果它真的成功了，他们会杀死它，……因为他们有办法杀死它，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Given Bitcoin’s lack of intrinsic worth, it’s hard to know what the cryptocurrency’s ultimate fate will be, Dalio said.</p><p><blockquote>达里奥表示，鉴于比特币缺乏内在价值，很难知道加密货币的最终命运会是什么。</blockquote></p><p> “There are so many things in a historical perspective that didn’t have intrinsic value and had perceived value,” he said. “They went hot, and they became cold. [Bitcoin] could be either way.”</p><p><blockquote>“从历史的角度来看，有很多东西没有内在价值，而是有感知价值，”他说。“它们变热了，然后变冷了。[比特币]可能是两种情况。”</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin has enjoyed a rollercoaster ride since its inception in 2009. It recently traded at $48,040, up 3%. But it has dropped 9% in the last 10 days.</p><p><blockquote>自2009年成立以来，比特币经历了一次过山车之旅。近期交易价格为48,040美元，上涨3%。但过去10天下跌了9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/dalio-cash-stocks-bitcoin\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/dalio-cash-stocks-bitcoin","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121760493","content_text":"Rising inflation and low interest rates are creating risks for investors, but cash isn’t the answer, says Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s biggest hedge fund firm.\n“Know cash is trash. Don’t keep it in cash,” he told CNBC. “The most important thing that an individual investor can do is know how to diversify well.”\nAnd how should we diversify?\n“Diversify across countries, currencies, assets classes and so on, so you have that balance,” Dalio said. “You can take your tactical moves from there. All those assets classes will outperform cash.”\nInvestors are over-emphasizing stocks, he said.\n“I think the stock market is relatively attractive in relationship to the alternatives,” Dalio said. “But that dynamic is going to start to change as monetary policy gets tighter.”\nMore restrictive Fed policy often hurts stocks.\nMeanwhile, Dalio said that if Bitcoin achieves widespread acceptance, regulators will step in to control it.\n“At the end of the day, if it’s really successful, they will kill it, … because they have ways of killing it,” he said.\nGiven Bitcoin’s lack of intrinsic worth, it’s hard to know what the cryptocurrency’s ultimate fate will be, Dalio said.\n“There are so many things in a historical perspective that didn’t have intrinsic value and had perceived value,” he said. “They went hot, and they became cold. [Bitcoin] could be either way.”\nBitcoin has enjoyed a rollercoaster ride since its inception in 2009. It recently traded at $48,040, up 3%. But it has dropped 9% in the last 10 days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":825,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}