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2b1a52e6
2021-09-06
Buy
@一心向上ESOP:程序员的盛宴,看互联网大厂如何玩转股权激励?
2b1a52e6
2021-09-06
Buy
GameStop, Moderna, Home Depot, Kroger, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>游戏驿站、Moderna、家得宝、克罗格等投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>
2b1a52e6
2021-08-23
Crash pls
抱歉,原内容已删除
2b1a52e6
2021-08-23
Damn
抱歉,原内容已删除
2b1a52e6
2021-08-23
Damn
抱歉,原内容已删除
2b1a52e6
2021-07-24
Omg is this legit
抱歉,原内容已删除
2b1a52e6
2021-07-24
Wnndbsnwndc
US Services PMI Plunges Unexpectedly To 5-Month Lows As Business Outlook Slumps<blockquote>由于商业前景恶化,美国服务业PMI意外跌至5个月低点</blockquote>
2b1a52e6
2021-07-24
Ok
US Services PMI Plunges Unexpectedly To 5-Month Lows As Business Outlook Slumps<blockquote>由于商业前景恶化,美国服务业PMI意外跌至5个月低点</blockquote>
2b1a52e6
2021-07-24
Ok
KE tumbled nearly 25% in morning trading<blockquote>KE早盘交易中暴跌近25%</blockquote>
2b1a52e6
2021-07-24
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
2b1a52e6
2021-07-24
Ok
Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>
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主流互联网企业股权激励人群 (数据来源于过去2-3年股权激励费用,各企业员工分类口径并不一定相同,仅供参考) 根据过去2-3年各大互联网企业的股权激励费用,老虎ESOP发现研发人员已经成为了互联网行业的主要激励人群。 具体来看,近3个完整财年蔚来汽车、拼多多、滴滴等公司的研发人员产生的股权激励费用占到了整个公司的20%左右。 而网易、京东的研发人员产生的股权激励费用占比更是达到了30%以上,其中京东的研发人员占据了约33.91%,网易研发人员则达到了约31.18%。 除此之外,阿里巴巴、美团、微博等公司的研发人员近年来产生的股权激励费用已经达到了整个公司40%以上。 研发人员被重点奖励也已经成为了互联网行业的常态。 不过以上数据也只是互联网行业股权激励人群的侧面反映,各家企业对于员工群体的分类并不一定完全相同,例如各家企业都会把管理人员的薪酬归类于“一般与行政”费用,而这部分管理人员可能来自于不同的业务部门。 而且不同企业根据自己的业务情况,也会对特定的员工群体进行奖励。 例如阿里过去两年运营类员工占据的股权激励费用比例达到了23%","listText":"“工资只能解决养家糊口的问题,想买房、想实现财富自由只有一个方法,不是996,而是参与创业拿到股票。”这是360创始人周鸿祎对年轻人们提出的买房建议。 年轻人怎么参与创业拿到股票?最容易的方式可能就是“股权激励”了。股权激励作为舶来品,早在上世纪美国互联网创业潮时就曾让无数普通人实现了财富自由。 时间来到21世纪,中国也迎来了互联网大爆发,不仅催生出了一批世界级互联网巨头,更是出现了北京中关村、西二旗这样的中国硅谷。股权激励作为吸引人才的保证也早已被各大互联网巨头们运用的炉火纯青。 研发人员或成股权激励大赢家 互联网行业可以说是股权激励的主力军,包括我们熟知的腾讯、阿里、美团、京东等头部互联网大厂。 那么互联网圈里哪一类人群更容易获得股权激励? 主流互联网企业股权激励人群 (数据来源于过去2-3年股权激励费用,各企业员工分类口径并不一定相同,仅供参考) 根据过去2-3年各大互联网企业的股权激励费用,老虎ESOP发现研发人员已经成为了互联网行业的主要激励人群。 具体来看,近3个完整财年蔚来汽车、拼多多、滴滴等公司的研发人员产生的股权激励费用占到了整个公司的20%左右。 而网易、京东的研发人员产生的股权激励费用占比更是达到了30%以上,其中京东的研发人员占据了约33.91%,网易研发人员则达到了约31.18%。 除此之外,阿里巴巴、美团、微博等公司的研发人员近年来产生的股权激励费用已经达到了整个公司40%以上。 研发人员被重点奖励也已经成为了互联网行业的常态。 不过以上数据也只是互联网行业股权激励人群的侧面反映,各家企业对于员工群体的分类并不一定完全相同,例如各家企业都会把管理人员的薪酬归类于“一般与行政”费用,而这部分管理人员可能来自于不同的业务部门。 而且不同企业根据自己的业务情况,也会对特定的员工群体进行奖励。 例如阿里过去两年运营类员工占据的股权激励费用比例达到了23%","text":"“工资只能解决养家糊口的问题,想买房、想实现财富自由只有一个方法,不是996,而是参与创业拿到股票。”这是360创始人周鸿祎对年轻人们提出的买房建议。 年轻人怎么参与创业拿到股票?最容易的方式可能就是“股权激励”了。股权激励作为舶来品,早在上世纪美国互联网创业潮时就曾让无数普通人实现了财富自由。 时间来到21世纪,中国也迎来了互联网大爆发,不仅催生出了一批世界级互联网巨头,更是出现了北京中关村、西二旗这样的中国硅谷。股权激励作为吸引人才的保证也早已被各大互联网巨头们运用的炉火纯青。 研发人员或成股权激励大赢家 互联网行业可以说是股权激励的主力军,包括我们熟知的腾讯、阿里、美团、京东等头部互联网大厂。 那么互联网圈里哪一类人群更容易获得股权激励? 主流互联网企业股权激励人群 (数据来源于过去2-3年股权激励费用,各企业员工分类口径并不一定相同,仅供参考) 根据过去2-3年各大互联网企业的股权激励费用,老虎ESOP发现研发人员已经成为了互联网行业的主要激励人群。 具体来看,近3个完整财年蔚来汽车、拼多多、滴滴等公司的研发人员产生的股权激励费用占到了整个公司的20%左右。 而网易、京东的研发人员产生的股权激励费用占比更是达到了30%以上,其中京东的研发人员占据了约33.91%,网易研发人员则达到了约31.18%。 除此之外,阿里巴巴、美团、微博等公司的研发人员近年来产生的股权激励费用已经达到了整个公司40%以上。 研发人员被重点奖励也已经成为了互联网行业的常态。 不过以上数据也只是互联网行业股权激励人群的侧面反映,各家企业对于员工群体的分类并不一定完全相同,例如各家企业都会把管理人员的薪酬归类于“一般与行政”费用,而这部分管理人员可能来自于不同的业务部门。 而且不同企业根据自己的业务情况,也会对特定的员工群体进行奖励。 例如阿里过去两年运营类员工占据的股权激励费用比例达到了23%","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98abf5be811e44ea4dc994b9ad43b089","width":"900","height":"383"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815613054","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817382053,"gmtCreate":1630907741872,"gmtModify":1632905189394,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy ","listText":"Buy ","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817382053","repostId":"1143325200","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143325200","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630882610,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1143325200?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 06:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop, Moderna, Home Depot, Kroger, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>游戏驿站、Moderna、家得宝、克罗格等投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143325200","media":"Barrons","summary":"U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day. The holiday-shortened week then feat","content":"<p>U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day. The holiday-shortened week then features several notable company updates and economic data releases.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市和债券市场周一因劳动节休市。假期缩短的一周将发布几项值得注意的公司更新和经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results on Wednesday, followed by International Paper on Thursday and Kroger on Friday. Analog Devices—fresh off of its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products—will host an investor day on Wednesday. Moderna, Danaher, and Home Depot managements will also speak with investors on Thursday. Finally, Albemarle hosts an investor day on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站和Lululemon Athletica将于周三发布季度业绩,随后是周四的国际报纸和周五的克罗格。Analog Devices刚刚以210亿美元收购Maxim Integrated Products,将于周三举办投资者日活动。Moderna、丹纳赫和家得宝管理层也将于周四与投资者进行交谈。最后,雅宝将于周五举办投资者日活动。</blockquote></p><p> The economic data highlight of the week will be Friday’s August producer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists’ consensus estimate is for a 0.6% monthly rise in the headline index, and a 0.5% increase for the core PPI—which leaves out more volatile food and energy prices. Both the core and headline indexes rose 1% in July. The August consumer price index will be out the following week, on Sept. 14.</p><p><blockquote>本周的经济数据亮点将是周五美国劳工统计局公布的 8 月份生产者价格指数。经济学家的一致估计是,总体指数每月上涨 0.6%,核心 PPI 每月上涨 0.5%,这不包括波动性更大的食品和能源价格。7 月份核心指数和总体指数均上涨 1%。8 月份消费者价格指数将于下周,即 9 月 14 日公布。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve will release its latest beige book, full of updates on economic, hiring, and business conditions in each of the dozen central bank districts. The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday, but is widely expected to hold its target interest rate at its current level of negative 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>周二,美联储将发布最新的褐皮书,其中包含十几个央行辖区的经济、招聘和商业状况的最新信息。欧洲央行周四也将宣布货币政策决定,但外界普遍预计将把目标利率维持在当前负0.5%的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/6星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> Stock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.</p><p><blockquote>股票和固定收益市场因劳动节休市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 9/7</b></blockquote></p><p> Casey’s General Stores and Coupa Software announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Casey's General Stores 和 Coupa Software 公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/8</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三 9/8</b></blockquote></p><p> Copart, GameStop, and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Copart、游戏驿站和Lululemon Athletica发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Analog Devices hosts a conference call to discuss its capital-allocation plans and update its outlook for fiscal 2021. The company recently closed its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products.</p><p><blockquote>Analog Devices 召开电话会议,讨论其资本分配计划并更新其 2021 财年展望。该公司最近完成了对 Maxim Integrated Products 的 210 亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> Global Payments, Johnson Controls International, and ResMed hold virtual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>Global Payments、江森自控国际公司和瑞思迈公司举办虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10 million job openings on the last business day of July. In June, there were 10.1 million openings, the fourth consecutive monthly record.</p><p><blockquote>劳工统计局发布职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。普遍估计7月最后一个工作日将有1000万个职位空缺。6月份,开业人数为1010万人,连续第四个月创纪录。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for July. Total outstanding consumer debt increased by $37.7 billion to a record $4.32 trillion in June. For the second quarter, consumer credit rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.8%, reflecting pent-up demand.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告7月份消费信贷数据。6 月份未偿消费者债务总额增加 377 亿美元,达到创纪录的 4.32 万亿美元。第二季度,经季节性调整后的消费信贷年率为 8.8%,反映了被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions among the 12 Federal Reserve districts.</p><p><blockquote>美联储今年八次中的第六次发布褐皮书。该报告总结了12个美联储区当前的经济状况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/9</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 9/9</b></blockquote></p><p> Home Depot hosts a conference call to discuss its ESG strategy, led by Ron Jarvis, the company’s chief sustainability officer.</p><p><blockquote>家得宝(Home Depot)召开了一次电话会议,讨论其 ESG 战略,由公司首席可持续发展官罗恩-贾维斯(Ron Jarvis)主持。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna hosts its fifth annual R&D day to discuss vaccines in the company’s pipeline. CEO Stéphane Bancel will be among the presenters.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna 举办第五届年度研发日,讨论公司正在研发的疫苗。首席执行官 Stéphane Bancel 将是演讲者之一。</blockquote></p><p> Danaher holds an investor and analyst meeting, hosted by its CEO Rainer Blair.</p><p><blockquote>丹纳赫召开投资者和分析师会议,由其首席执行官雷纳·布莱尔主持。</blockquote></p><p> International Paper, Synchrony Financial, and Willis Towers Watson hold investor days.</p><p><blockquote>国际纸业、Synchrony Financial 和 Willis Towers Watson 举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. The ECB is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at minus 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲央行宣布货币政策决定。欧洲央行预计将维持关键利率在负0.5%不变。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 4. In August, claims averaged 355,000 a week, the lowest since the pandemic’s onset. This will also be the last week that the extra $300 from federal enhanced unemployment benefits is available. They are set to expire by Sept. 6.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告了截至 9 月 4 日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。8 月份,平均每周申请人数为 35.5 万人,是大流行病爆发以来的最低水平。这也将是联邦增强失业救济金额外300美元发放的最后一周。它们将于9月6日到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/10星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> The BLS reports the producer price index for August. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly rise along with a 0.5% increase for the core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. Both jumped 1% in July.</p><p><blockquote>BLS报告8月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预测核心 PPI 将每月上涨 0.6%,核心 PPI 将上涨 0.5%,其中不包括波动较大的食品和能源价格。7 月份两者均上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Kroger holds a conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>克罗格评级召开会议讨论盈利。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop, Moderna, Home Depot, Kroger, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>游戏驿站、Moderna、家得宝、克罗格等投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop, Moderna, Home Depot, Kroger, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>游戏驿站、Moderna、家得宝、克罗格等投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-06 06:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day. The holiday-shortened week then features several notable company updates and economic data releases.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市和债券市场周一因劳动节休市。假期缩短的一周将发布几项值得注意的公司更新和经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results on Wednesday, followed by International Paper on Thursday and Kroger on Friday. Analog Devices—fresh off of its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products—will host an investor day on Wednesday. Moderna, Danaher, and Home Depot managements will also speak with investors on Thursday. Finally, Albemarle hosts an investor day on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站和Lululemon Athletica将于周三发布季度业绩,随后是周四的国际报纸和周五的克罗格。Analog Devices刚刚以210亿美元收购Maxim Integrated Products,将于周三举办投资者日活动。Moderna、丹纳赫和家得宝管理层也将于周四与投资者进行交谈。最后,雅宝将于周五举办投资者日活动。</blockquote></p><p> The economic data highlight of the week will be Friday’s August producer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists’ consensus estimate is for a 0.6% monthly rise in the headline index, and a 0.5% increase for the core PPI—which leaves out more volatile food and energy prices. Both the core and headline indexes rose 1% in July. The August consumer price index will be out the following week, on Sept. 14.</p><p><blockquote>本周的经济数据亮点将是周五美国劳工统计局公布的 8 月份生产者价格指数。经济学家的一致估计是,总体指数每月上涨 0.6%,核心 PPI 每月上涨 0.5%,这不包括波动性更大的食品和能源价格。7 月份核心指数和总体指数均上涨 1%。8 月份消费者价格指数将于下周,即 9 月 14 日公布。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve will release its latest beige book, full of updates on economic, hiring, and business conditions in each of the dozen central bank districts. The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday, but is widely expected to hold its target interest rate at its current level of negative 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>周二,美联储将发布最新的褐皮书,其中包含十几个央行辖区的经济、招聘和商业状况的最新信息。欧洲央行周四也将宣布货币政策决定,但外界普遍预计将把目标利率维持在当前负0.5%的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/6星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> Stock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.</p><p><blockquote>股票和固定收益市场因劳动节休市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 9/7</b></blockquote></p><p> Casey’s General Stores and Coupa Software announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Casey's General Stores 和 Coupa Software 公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/8</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三 9/8</b></blockquote></p><p> Copart, GameStop, and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Copart、游戏驿站和Lululemon Athletica发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Analog Devices hosts a conference call to discuss its capital-allocation plans and update its outlook for fiscal 2021. The company recently closed its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products.</p><p><blockquote>Analog Devices 召开电话会议,讨论其资本分配计划并更新其 2021 财年展望。该公司最近完成了对 Maxim Integrated Products 的 210 亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> Global Payments, Johnson Controls International, and ResMed hold virtual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>Global Payments、江森自控国际公司和瑞思迈公司举办虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10 million job openings on the last business day of July. In June, there were 10.1 million openings, the fourth consecutive monthly record.</p><p><blockquote>劳工统计局发布职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。普遍估计7月最后一个工作日将有1000万个职位空缺。6月份,开业人数为1010万人,连续第四个月创纪录。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for July. Total outstanding consumer debt increased by $37.7 billion to a record $4.32 trillion in June. For the second quarter, consumer credit rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.8%, reflecting pent-up demand.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告7月份消费信贷数据。6 月份未偿消费者债务总额增加 377 亿美元,达到创纪录的 4.32 万亿美元。第二季度,经季节性调整后的消费信贷年率为 8.8%,反映了被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions among the 12 Federal Reserve districts.</p><p><blockquote>美联储今年八次中的第六次发布褐皮书。该报告总结了12个美联储区当前的经济状况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/9</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 9/9</b></blockquote></p><p> Home Depot hosts a conference call to discuss its ESG strategy, led by Ron Jarvis, the company’s chief sustainability officer.</p><p><blockquote>家得宝(Home Depot)召开了一次电话会议,讨论其 ESG 战略,由公司首席可持续发展官罗恩-贾维斯(Ron Jarvis)主持。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna hosts its fifth annual R&D day to discuss vaccines in the company’s pipeline. CEO Stéphane Bancel will be among the presenters.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna 举办第五届年度研发日,讨论公司正在研发的疫苗。首席执行官 Stéphane Bancel 将是演讲者之一。</blockquote></p><p> Danaher holds an investor and analyst meeting, hosted by its CEO Rainer Blair.</p><p><blockquote>丹纳赫召开投资者和分析师会议,由其首席执行官雷纳·布莱尔主持。</blockquote></p><p> International Paper, Synchrony Financial, and Willis Towers Watson hold investor days.</p><p><blockquote>国际纸业、Synchrony Financial 和 Willis Towers Watson 举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. The ECB is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at minus 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲央行宣布货币政策决定。欧洲央行预计将维持关键利率在负0.5%不变。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 4. In August, claims averaged 355,000 a week, the lowest since the pandemic’s onset. This will also be the last week that the extra $300 from federal enhanced unemployment benefits is available. They are set to expire by Sept. 6.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告了截至 9 月 4 日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。8 月份,平均每周申请人数为 35.5 万人,是大流行病爆发以来的最低水平。这也将是联邦增强失业救济金额外300美元发放的最后一周。它们将于9月6日到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/10星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> The BLS reports the producer price index for August. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly rise along with a 0.5% increase for the core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. Both jumped 1% in July.</p><p><blockquote>BLS报告8月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预测核心 PPI 将每月上涨 0.6%,核心 PPI 将上涨 0.5%,其中不包括波动较大的食品和能源价格。7 月份两者均上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Kroger holds a conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>克罗格评级召开会议讨论盈利。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-moderna-home-depot-kroger-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51630853023?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GME":"游戏驿站",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","HD":"家得宝","KR":"克罗格",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-moderna-home-depot-kroger-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51630853023?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143325200","content_text":"U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day. The holiday-shortened week then features several notable company updates and economic data releases.\nGameStop and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results on Wednesday, followed by International Paper on Thursday and Kroger on Friday. Analog Devices—fresh off of its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products—will host an investor day on Wednesday. Moderna, Danaher, and Home Depot managements will also speak with investors on Thursday. Finally, Albemarle hosts an investor day on Friday.\nThe economic data highlight of the week will be Friday’s August producer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists’ consensus estimate is for a 0.6% monthly rise in the headline index, and a 0.5% increase for the core PPI—which leaves out more volatile food and energy prices. Both the core and headline indexes rose 1% in July. The August consumer price index will be out the following week, on Sept. 14.\nOn Tuesday, the Federal Reserve will release its latest beige book, full of updates on economic, hiring, and business conditions in each of the dozen central bank districts. The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday, but is widely expected to hold its target interest rate at its current level of negative 0.5%.\nMonday 9/6\nStock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.\nTuesday 9/7\nCasey’s General Stores and Coupa Software announce earnings.\nWednesday 9/8\nCopart, GameStop, and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results.\nAnalog Devices hosts a conference call to discuss its capital-allocation plans and update its outlook for fiscal 2021. The company recently closed its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products.\nGlobal Payments, Johnson Controls International, and ResMed hold virtual investor days.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10 million job openings on the last business day of July. In June, there were 10.1 million openings, the fourth consecutive monthly record.\nThe Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for July. Total outstanding consumer debt increased by $37.7 billion to a record $4.32 trillion in June. For the second quarter, consumer credit rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.8%, reflecting pent-up demand.\nThe Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions among the 12 Federal Reserve districts.\nThursday 9/9\nHome Depot hosts a conference call to discuss its ESG strategy, led by Ron Jarvis, the company’s chief sustainability officer.\nModerna hosts its fifth annual R&D day to discuss vaccines in the company’s pipeline. CEO Stéphane Bancel will be among the presenters.\nDanaher holds an investor and analyst meeting, hosted by its CEO Rainer Blair.\nInternational Paper, Synchrony Financial, and Willis Towers Watson hold investor days.\nThe European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. The ECB is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at minus 0.5%.\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 4. In August, claims averaged 355,000 a week, the lowest since the pandemic’s onset. This will also be the last week that the extra $300 from federal enhanced unemployment benefits is available. They are set to expire by Sept. 6.\nFriday 9/10\nThe BLS reports the producer price index for August. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly rise along with a 0.5% increase for the core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. Both jumped 1% in July.\nKroger holds a conference calls to discuss earnings.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"KR":0.9,"HD":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"GME":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1854,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832436055,"gmtCreate":1629674370677,"gmtModify":1633683490304,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Crash pls","listText":"Crash pls","text":"Crash pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832436055","repostId":"2161149745","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832438818,"gmtCreate":1629674347534,"gmtModify":1633683490886,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Damn","listText":"Damn","text":"Damn","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832438818","repostId":"2161741742","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832431592,"gmtCreate":1629674325216,"gmtModify":1633683491595,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Damn","listText":"Damn","text":"Damn","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832431592","repostId":"2161741742","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2154,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174435002,"gmtCreate":1627123556106,"gmtModify":1633767784468,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Omg is this legit","listText":"Omg is this legit","text":"Omg is this legit","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174435002","repostId":"1109439356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3636,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174527357,"gmtCreate":1627114552179,"gmtModify":1633767828591,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wnndbsnwndc","listText":"Wnndbsnwndc","text":"Wnndbsnwndc","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174527357","repostId":"1142780742","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142780742","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627050360,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142780742?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 22:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Services PMI Plunges Unexpectedly To 5-Month Lows As Business Outlook Slumps<blockquote>由于商业前景恶化,美国服务业PMI意外跌至5个月低点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142780742","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected th","content":"<p>After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected the plunge to stop in preliminary July data (despite an ongoing downtrend in 'hard' economic data performance)... they were wrong.</p><p><blockquote>在美国6月份服务业PMI(和ISM)意外从历史高点暴跌后,分析师预计7月份初步数据将停止暴跌(尽管“硬”经济数据表现持续下降)……他们错了。</blockquote></p><p> While US Manufacturing picked up modestly from 62.1 to 63.1 (better than the 62.0 expected),<b>US Services tumbled further to 59.8 from 64.6 (well below the 64.5 expected).</b></p><p><blockquote>虽然美国制造业从 62.1 小幅回升至 63.1(好于预期的 62.0),<b>美国服务业进一步从 64.6 跌至 59.8(远低于预期的 64.5)。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2cf844b2fa1686765814cf0859414b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"681\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> That is the weakest Services print since February.</p><p><blockquote>这是自二月份以来最弱的服务业数据。</blockquote></p><p> The drop in Services weighed heavily on the<b>US Composite which dropped to 4-month lows.</b></p><p><blockquote>服务业的下降对<b>美国综合指数跌至四个月低点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/234016546da9850fc2107e26a19dbad7\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"753\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on the PMI data,Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:</p><p><blockquote>IHS Markit 首席商业经济学家 Chris Williamson 在评论 PMI 数据时表示:</blockquote></p><p> “<b>The provisional PMI data for July point to the pace of economic growth slowing for a second successive month,</b>though importantly this cooling has followed an unprecedented growth spurt in May. Some moderation of service sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth across both manufacturing and services.</p><p><blockquote>“<b>7月PMI中期数据显示经济增速连续第二个月放缓,</b>尽管重要的是,这种降温是在五月份前所未有的增长激增之后发生的。在经济初步重新开放后,服务业的增长总是会有所放缓,重要的是,我们现在看到制造业和服务业的强劲增长非常均衡。</blockquote></p><p> “While the<b>second quarter may therefore represent a peaking in the pace of economic growth</b>according to the PMI, the third quarter is still looking encouragingly strong.</p><p><blockquote>“而<b>因此,第二季度可能是经济增长速度的顶峰</b>根据采购经理人指数,第三季度看起来仍然令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> “Short-term capacity issues remain a concern, constraining output in many manufacturing and service sector companies while simultaneously pushing prices higher as demand exceeds supply.<b>However, we’re already seeing signs of inflationary pressures peaking, with both input cost and selling price gauges falling for a second month in July, albeit remaining elevated.</b></p><p><blockquote>“短期产能问题仍然令人担忧,限制了许多制造业和服务业公司的产量,同时由于供不应求,推高了价格。<b>然而,我们已经看到通胀压力见顶的迹象,7 月份投入成本和销售价格指标均连续第二个月下降,尽管仍处于高位。</b></blockquote></p><p> “<b>Inflationary pressures and supply constraints – both in terms of labour and materials shortages - nevertheless remain major sources of uncertainty among businesses, as does the delta variant, all of which has pushed business optimism about the year ahead to the lowest seen so far this year.</b>The concern is this drop in confidence could feed through to reduced spending, investment and hiring, adding to the possibility that growth could slow further in coming months.”</p><p><blockquote>“<b>然而,通胀压力和供应限制(包括劳动力和材料短缺)仍然是企业不确定性的主要来源,德尔塔变异毒株也是如此,所有这些都将企业对未来一年的乐观情绪推至今年迄今为止的最低水平。</b>人们担心,信心下降可能会导致支出、投资和招聘减少,从而增加未来几个月经济增长进一步放缓的可能性。”</blockquote></p><p> For context, the US Composite index is now running below that of Europe's...</p><p><blockquote>就背景而言,美国综合指数目前低于欧洲综合指数……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e37c172ac0dbba384ead917a08d87c70\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"685\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Services PMI Plunges Unexpectedly To 5-Month Lows As Business Outlook Slumps<blockquote>由于商业前景恶化,美国服务业PMI意外跌至5个月低点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-23 22:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected the plunge to stop in preliminary July data (despite an ongoing downtrend in 'hard' economic data performance)... they were wrong.</p><p><blockquote>在美国6月份服务业PMI(和ISM)意外从历史高点暴跌后,分析师预计7月份初步数据将停止暴跌(尽管“硬”经济数据表现持续下降)……他们错了。</blockquote></p><p> While US Manufacturing picked up modestly from 62.1 to 63.1 (better than the 62.0 expected),<b>US Services tumbled further to 59.8 from 64.6 (well below the 64.5 expected).</b></p><p><blockquote>虽然美国制造业从 62.1 小幅回升至 63.1(好于预期的 62.0),<b>美国服务业进一步从 64.6 跌至 59.8(远低于预期的 64.5)。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2cf844b2fa1686765814cf0859414b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"681\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> That is the weakest Services print since February.</p><p><blockquote>这是自二月份以来最弱的服务业数据。</blockquote></p><p> The drop in Services weighed heavily on the<b>US Composite which dropped to 4-month lows.</b></p><p><blockquote>服务业的下降对<b>美国综合指数跌至四个月低点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/234016546da9850fc2107e26a19dbad7\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"753\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on the PMI data,Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:</p><p><blockquote>IHS Markit 首席商业经济学家 Chris Williamson 在评论 PMI 数据时表示:</blockquote></p><p> “<b>The provisional PMI data for July point to the pace of economic growth slowing for a second successive month,</b>though importantly this cooling has followed an unprecedented growth spurt in May. Some moderation of service sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth across both manufacturing and services.</p><p><blockquote>“<b>7月PMI中期数据显示经济增速连续第二个月放缓,</b>尽管重要的是,这种降温是在五月份前所未有的增长激增之后发生的。在经济初步重新开放后,服务业的增长总是会有所放缓,重要的是,我们现在看到制造业和服务业的强劲增长非常均衡。</blockquote></p><p> “While the<b>second quarter may therefore represent a peaking in the pace of economic growth</b>according to the PMI, the third quarter is still looking encouragingly strong.</p><p><blockquote>“而<b>因此,第二季度可能是经济增长速度的顶峰</b>根据采购经理人指数,第三季度看起来仍然令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> “Short-term capacity issues remain a concern, constraining output in many manufacturing and service sector companies while simultaneously pushing prices higher as demand exceeds supply.<b>However, we’re already seeing signs of inflationary pressures peaking, with both input cost and selling price gauges falling for a second month in July, albeit remaining elevated.</b></p><p><blockquote>“短期产能问题仍然令人担忧,限制了许多制造业和服务业公司的产量,同时由于供不应求,推高了价格。<b>然而,我们已经看到通胀压力见顶的迹象,7 月份投入成本和销售价格指标均连续第二个月下降,尽管仍处于高位。</b></blockquote></p><p> “<b>Inflationary pressures and supply constraints – both in terms of labour and materials shortages - nevertheless remain major sources of uncertainty among businesses, as does the delta variant, all of which has pushed business optimism about the year ahead to the lowest seen so far this year.</b>The concern is this drop in confidence could feed through to reduced spending, investment and hiring, adding to the possibility that growth could slow further in coming months.”</p><p><blockquote>“<b>然而,通胀压力和供应限制(包括劳动力和材料短缺)仍然是企业不确定性的主要来源,德尔塔变异毒株也是如此,所有这些都将企业对未来一年的乐观情绪推至今年迄今为止的最低水平。</b>人们担心,信心下降可能会导致支出、投资和招聘减少,从而增加未来几个月经济增长进一步放缓的可能性。”</blockquote></p><p> For context, the US Composite index is now running below that of Europe's...</p><p><blockquote>就背景而言,美国综合指数目前低于欧洲综合指数……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e37c172ac0dbba384ead917a08d87c70\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"685\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-services-pmi-plunges-unexpectedly-5-month-lows-business-outlook-slumps\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-services-pmi-plunges-unexpectedly-5-month-lows-business-outlook-slumps","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142780742","content_text":"After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected the plunge to stop in preliminary July data (despite an ongoing downtrend in 'hard' economic data performance)... they were wrong.\nWhile US Manufacturing picked up modestly from 62.1 to 63.1 (better than the 62.0 expected),US Services tumbled further to 59.8 from 64.6 (well below the 64.5 expected).\nSource: Bloomberg\nThat is the weakest Services print since February.\nThe drop in Services weighed heavily on theUS Composite which dropped to 4-month lows.\nCommenting on the PMI data,Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:\n“The provisional PMI data for July point to the pace of economic growth slowing for a second successive month,though importantly this cooling has followed an unprecedented growth spurt in May. Some moderation of service sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth across both manufacturing and services.\n“While thesecond quarter may therefore represent a peaking in the pace of economic growthaccording to the PMI, the third quarter is still looking encouragingly strong.\n“Short-term capacity issues remain a concern, constraining output in many manufacturing and service sector companies while simultaneously pushing prices higher as demand exceeds supply.However, we’re already seeing signs of inflationary pressures peaking, with both input cost and selling price gauges falling for a second month in July, albeit remaining elevated.\n“Inflationary pressures and supply constraints – both in terms of labour and materials shortages - nevertheless remain major sources of uncertainty among businesses, as does the delta variant, all of which has pushed business optimism about the year ahead to the lowest seen so far this year.The concern is this drop in confidence could feed through to reduced spending, investment and hiring, adding to the possibility that growth could slow further in coming months.”\nFor context, the US Composite index is now running below that of Europe's...\nSource: Bloomberg","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2122,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174527908,"gmtCreate":1627114538704,"gmtModify":1633767828714,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok ","listText":"Ok ","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174527908","repostId":"1142780742","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142780742","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627050360,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142780742?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 22:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Services PMI Plunges Unexpectedly To 5-Month Lows As Business Outlook Slumps<blockquote>由于商业前景恶化,美国服务业PMI意外跌至5个月低点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142780742","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected th","content":"<p>After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected the plunge to stop in preliminary July data (despite an ongoing downtrend in 'hard' economic data performance)... they were wrong.</p><p><blockquote>在美国6月份服务业PMI(和ISM)意外从历史高点暴跌后,分析师预计7月份初步数据将停止暴跌(尽管“硬”经济数据表现持续下降)……他们错了。</blockquote></p><p> While US Manufacturing picked up modestly from 62.1 to 63.1 (better than the 62.0 expected),<b>US Services tumbled further to 59.8 from 64.6 (well below the 64.5 expected).</b></p><p><blockquote>虽然美国制造业从 62.1 小幅回升至 63.1(好于预期的 62.0),<b>美国服务业进一步从 64.6 跌至 59.8(远低于预期的 64.5)。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2cf844b2fa1686765814cf0859414b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"681\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> That is the weakest Services print since February.</p><p><blockquote>这是自二月份以来最弱的服务业数据。</blockquote></p><p> The drop in Services weighed heavily on the<b>US Composite which dropped to 4-month lows.</b></p><p><blockquote>服务业的下降对<b>美国综合指数跌至四个月低点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/234016546da9850fc2107e26a19dbad7\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"753\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on the PMI data,Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:</p><p><blockquote>IHS Markit 首席商业经济学家 Chris Williamson 在评论 PMI 数据时表示:</blockquote></p><p> “<b>The provisional PMI data for July point to the pace of economic growth slowing for a second successive month,</b>though importantly this cooling has followed an unprecedented growth spurt in May. Some moderation of service sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth across both manufacturing and services.</p><p><blockquote>“<b>7月PMI中期数据显示经济增速连续第二个月放缓,</b>尽管重要的是,这种降温是在五月份前所未有的增长激增之后发生的。在经济初步重新开放后,服务业的增长总是会有所放缓,重要的是,我们现在看到制造业和服务业的强劲增长非常均衡。</blockquote></p><p> “While the<b>second quarter may therefore represent a peaking in the pace of economic growth</b>according to the PMI, the third quarter is still looking encouragingly strong.</p><p><blockquote>“而<b>因此,第二季度可能是经济增长速度的顶峰</b>根据采购经理人指数,第三季度看起来仍然令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> “Short-term capacity issues remain a concern, constraining output in many manufacturing and service sector companies while simultaneously pushing prices higher as demand exceeds supply.<b>However, we’re already seeing signs of inflationary pressures peaking, with both input cost and selling price gauges falling for a second month in July, albeit remaining elevated.</b></p><p><blockquote>“短期产能问题仍然令人担忧,限制了许多制造业和服务业公司的产量,同时由于供不应求,推高了价格。<b>然而,我们已经看到通胀压力见顶的迹象,7 月份投入成本和销售价格指标均连续第二个月下降,尽管仍处于高位。</b></blockquote></p><p> “<b>Inflationary pressures and supply constraints – both in terms of labour and materials shortages - nevertheless remain major sources of uncertainty among businesses, as does the delta variant, all of which has pushed business optimism about the year ahead to the lowest seen so far this year.</b>The concern is this drop in confidence could feed through to reduced spending, investment and hiring, adding to the possibility that growth could slow further in coming months.”</p><p><blockquote>“<b>然而,通胀压力和供应限制(包括劳动力和材料短缺)仍然是企业不确定性的主要来源,德尔塔变异毒株也是如此,所有这些都将企业对未来一年的乐观情绪推至今年迄今为止的最低水平。</b>人们担心,信心下降可能会导致支出、投资和招聘减少,从而增加未来几个月经济增长进一步放缓的可能性。”</blockquote></p><p> For context, the US Composite index is now running below that of Europe's...</p><p><blockquote>就背景而言,美国综合指数目前低于欧洲综合指数……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e37c172ac0dbba384ead917a08d87c70\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"685\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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}\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Services PMI Plunges Unexpectedly To 5-Month Lows As Business Outlook Slumps<blockquote>由于商业前景恶化,美国服务业PMI意外跌至5个月低点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-23 22:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected the plunge to stop in preliminary July data (despite an ongoing downtrend in 'hard' economic data performance)... they were wrong.</p><p><blockquote>在美国6月份服务业PMI(和ISM)意外从历史高点暴跌后,分析师预计7月份初步数据将停止暴跌(尽管“硬”经济数据表现持续下降)……他们错了。</blockquote></p><p> While US Manufacturing picked up modestly from 62.1 to 63.1 (better than the 62.0 expected),<b>US Services tumbled further to 59.8 from 64.6 (well below the 64.5 expected).</b></p><p><blockquote>虽然美国制造业从 62.1 小幅回升至 63.1(好于预期的 62.0),<b>美国服务业进一步从 64.6 跌至 59.8(远低于预期的 64.5)。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2cf844b2fa1686765814cf0859414b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"681\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> That is the weakest Services print since February.</p><p><blockquote>这是自二月份以来最弱的服务业数据。</blockquote></p><p> The drop in Services weighed heavily on the<b>US Composite which dropped to 4-month lows.</b></p><p><blockquote>服务业的下降对<b>美国综合指数跌至四个月低点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/234016546da9850fc2107e26a19dbad7\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"753\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on the PMI data,Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:</p><p><blockquote>IHS Markit 首席商业经济学家 Chris Williamson 在评论 PMI 数据时表示:</blockquote></p><p> “<b>The provisional PMI data for July point to the pace of economic growth slowing for a second successive month,</b>though importantly this cooling has followed an unprecedented growth spurt in May. Some moderation of service sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth across both manufacturing and services.</p><p><blockquote>“<b>7月PMI中期数据显示经济增速连续第二个月放缓,</b>尽管重要的是,这种降温是在五月份前所未有的增长激增之后发生的。在经济初步重新开放后,服务业的增长总是会有所放缓,重要的是,我们现在看到制造业和服务业的强劲增长非常均衡。</blockquote></p><p> “While the<b>second quarter may therefore represent a peaking in the pace of economic growth</b>according to the PMI, the third quarter is still looking encouragingly strong.</p><p><blockquote>“而<b>因此,第二季度可能是经济增长速度的顶峰</b>根据采购经理人指数,第三季度看起来仍然令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> “Short-term capacity issues remain a concern, constraining output in many manufacturing and service sector companies while simultaneously pushing prices higher as demand exceeds supply.<b>However, we’re already seeing signs of inflationary pressures peaking, with both input cost and selling price gauges falling for a second month in July, albeit remaining elevated.</b></p><p><blockquote>“短期产能问题仍然令人担忧,限制了许多制造业和服务业公司的产量,同时由于供不应求,推高了价格。<b>然而,我们已经看到通胀压力见顶的迹象,7 月份投入成本和销售价格指标均连续第二个月下降,尽管仍处于高位。</b></blockquote></p><p> “<b>Inflationary pressures and supply constraints – both in terms of labour and materials shortages - nevertheless remain major sources of uncertainty among businesses, as does the delta variant, all of which has pushed business optimism about the year ahead to the lowest seen so far this year.</b>The concern is this drop in confidence could feed through to reduced spending, investment and hiring, adding to the possibility that growth could slow further in coming months.”</p><p><blockquote>“<b>然而,通胀压力和供应限制(包括劳动力和材料短缺)仍然是企业不确定性的主要来源,德尔塔变异毒株也是如此,所有这些都将企业对未来一年的乐观情绪推至今年迄今为止的最低水平。</b>人们担心,信心下降可能会导致支出、投资和招聘减少,从而增加未来几个月经济增长进一步放缓的可能性。”</blockquote></p><p> For context, the US Composite index is now running below that of Europe's...</p><p><blockquote>就背景而言,美国综合指数目前低于欧洲综合指数……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e37c172ac0dbba384ead917a08d87c70\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"685\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-services-pmi-plunges-unexpectedly-5-month-lows-business-outlook-slumps\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-services-pmi-plunges-unexpectedly-5-month-lows-business-outlook-slumps","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142780742","content_text":"After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected the plunge to stop in preliminary July data (despite an ongoing downtrend in 'hard' economic data performance)... they were wrong.\nWhile US Manufacturing picked up modestly from 62.1 to 63.1 (better than the 62.0 expected),US Services tumbled further to 59.8 from 64.6 (well below the 64.5 expected).\nSource: Bloomberg\nThat is the weakest Services print since February.\nThe drop in Services weighed heavily on theUS Composite which dropped to 4-month lows.\nCommenting on the PMI data,Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:\n“The provisional PMI data for July point to the pace of economic growth slowing for a second successive month,though importantly this cooling has followed an unprecedented growth spurt in May. Some moderation of service sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth across both manufacturing and services.\n“While thesecond quarter may therefore represent a peaking in the pace of economic growthaccording to the PMI, the third quarter is still looking encouragingly strong.\n“Short-term capacity issues remain a concern, constraining output in many manufacturing and service sector companies while simultaneously pushing prices higher as demand exceeds supply.However, we’re already seeing signs of inflationary pressures peaking, with both input cost and selling price gauges falling for a second month in July, albeit remaining elevated.\n“Inflationary pressures and supply constraints – both in terms of labour and materials shortages - nevertheless remain major sources of uncertainty among businesses, as does the delta variant, all of which has pushed business optimism about the year ahead to the lowest seen so far this year.The concern is this drop in confidence could feed through to reduced spending, investment and hiring, adding to the possibility that growth could slow further in coming months.”\nFor context, the US Composite index is now running below that of Europe's...\nSource: Bloomberg","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174524608,"gmtCreate":1627114500204,"gmtModify":1633767829188,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok ","listText":"Ok ","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174524608","repostId":"1138940169","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138940169","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627049470,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1138940169?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 22:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"KE tumbled nearly 25% in morning trading<blockquote>KE早盘交易中暴跌近25%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138940169","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 23) KE Holdings Inc. tumbled nearly 25% in morning trading. KE Holdings operates an online pla","content":"<p>(July 23) <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">KE Holdings Inc.</a></b> tumbled nearly 25% in morning trading. KE Holdings operates an online platform for Chinese housing transactions and services.</p><p><blockquote>(7月23日)<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">科控股公司。</a></b>早盘交易中暴跌近25%。科控股运营着一个面向中国住房交易和服务的在线平台。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c70e9ab1966db1941d729576154c7970\" tg-width=\"903\" tg-height=\"542\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>KE tumbled nearly 25% in morning trading<blockquote>KE早盘交易中暴跌近25%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nKE tumbled nearly 25% in morning trading<blockquote>KE早盘交易中暴跌近25%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-23 22:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(July 23) <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">KE Holdings Inc.</a></b> tumbled nearly 25% in morning trading. KE Holdings operates an online platform for Chinese housing transactions and services.</p><p><blockquote>(7月23日)<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">科控股公司。</a></b>早盘交易中暴跌近25%。科控股运营着一个面向中国住房交易和服务的在线平台。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c70e9ab1966db1941d729576154c7970\" tg-width=\"903\" tg-height=\"542\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BEKE":"贝壳"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138940169","content_text":"(July 23) KE Holdings Inc. tumbled nearly 25% in morning trading. KE Holdings operates an online platform for Chinese housing transactions and services.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BEKE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174525756,"gmtCreate":1627114474075,"gmtModify":1633767829800,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok ","listText":"Ok ","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174525756","repostId":"2153981075","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2608,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174526414,"gmtCreate":1627114311138,"gmtModify":1633767830866,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok ","listText":"Ok ","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174526414","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何,蔚来独特的卖点,以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一,通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品,吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而,这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点,该高点在 2021 年初触及,之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,这两者是相似的,但在其他方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y,而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是增压器网络,特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电,功率高达 250kW,具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程只需几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势,但应该注意的是,与蔚来的换电站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比,蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车,高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长,尽管略低于 100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这将是完全有意义的,但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此,特斯拉的增长预计将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元,年增长率为 54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家公司来说,保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元,比 2023 年预期再增长 80%,比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%,比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此,在 2021 年至 2025 年间,蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍,而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值(OTCPK:VWAGY)。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较,我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍,而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说,蔚来目前似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今,蔚来比特斯拉小得多,因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票价格被低估,这也是可能性之一,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时,确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车,到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%,那么到 2030 年(即 9 年后),它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长,每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过,例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言,看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶,因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌,处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这个水平,也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会更高,例如,如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元,就像特斯拉一样,但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况,到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反,投资者应该问问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险,值得一提的是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位,我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍,与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵,尽管当然,这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何,蔚来独特的卖点,以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一,通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品,吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而,这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点,该高点在 2021 年初触及,之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,这两者是相似的,但在其他方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y,而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是增压器网络,特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电,功率高达 250kW,具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程只需几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势,但应该注意的是,与蔚来的换电站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比,蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车,高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长,尽管略低于 100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这将是完全有意义的,但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此,特斯拉的增长预计将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元,年增长率为 54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家公司来说,保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元,比 2023 年预期再增长 80%,比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%,比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此,在 2021 年至 2025 年间,蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍,而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值(OTCPK:VWAGY)。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较,我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍,而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说,蔚来目前似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今,蔚来比特斯拉小得多,因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票价格被低估,这也是可能性之一,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时,确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车,到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%,那么到 2030 年(即 9 年后),它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长,每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过,例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言,看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶,因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌,处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这个水平,也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会更高,例如,如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元,就像特斯拉一样,但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况,到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反,投资者应该问问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险,值得一提的是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位,我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍,与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵,尽管当然,这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":174435002,"gmtCreate":1627123556106,"gmtModify":1633767784468,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Omg is this legit","listText":"Omg is this legit","text":"Omg is this legit","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174435002","repostId":"1109439356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3636,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817382053,"gmtCreate":1630907741872,"gmtModify":1632905189394,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy ","listText":"Buy ","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817382053","repostId":"1143325200","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143325200","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630882610,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1143325200?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 06:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop, Moderna, Home Depot, Kroger, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>游戏驿站、Moderna、家得宝、克罗格等投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143325200","media":"Barrons","summary":"U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day. The holiday-shortened week then feat","content":"<p>U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day. The holiday-shortened week then features several notable company updates and economic data releases.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市和债券市场周一因劳动节休市。假期缩短的一周将发布几项值得注意的公司更新和经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results on Wednesday, followed by International Paper on Thursday and Kroger on Friday. Analog Devices—fresh off of its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products—will host an investor day on Wednesday. Moderna, Danaher, and Home Depot managements will also speak with investors on Thursday. Finally, Albemarle hosts an investor day on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站和Lululemon Athletica将于周三发布季度业绩,随后是周四的国际报纸和周五的克罗格。Analog Devices刚刚以210亿美元收购Maxim Integrated Products,将于周三举办投资者日活动。Moderna、丹纳赫和家得宝管理层也将于周四与投资者进行交谈。最后,雅宝将于周五举办投资者日活动。</blockquote></p><p> The economic data highlight of the week will be Friday’s August producer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists’ consensus estimate is for a 0.6% monthly rise in the headline index, and a 0.5% increase for the core PPI—which leaves out more volatile food and energy prices. Both the core and headline indexes rose 1% in July. The August consumer price index will be out the following week, on Sept. 14.</p><p><blockquote>本周的经济数据亮点将是周五美国劳工统计局公布的 8 月份生产者价格指数。经济学家的一致估计是,总体指数每月上涨 0.6%,核心 PPI 每月上涨 0.5%,这不包括波动性更大的食品和能源价格。7 月份核心指数和总体指数均上涨 1%。8 月份消费者价格指数将于下周,即 9 月 14 日公布。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve will release its latest beige book, full of updates on economic, hiring, and business conditions in each of the dozen central bank districts. The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday, but is widely expected to hold its target interest rate at its current level of negative 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>周二,美联储将发布最新的褐皮书,其中包含十几个央行辖区的经济、招聘和商业状况的最新信息。欧洲央行周四也将宣布货币政策决定,但外界普遍预计将把目标利率维持在当前负0.5%的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/6星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> Stock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.</p><p><blockquote>股票和固定收益市场因劳动节休市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 9/7</b></blockquote></p><p> Casey’s General Stores and Coupa Software announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Casey's General Stores 和 Coupa Software 公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/8</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三 9/8</b></blockquote></p><p> Copart, GameStop, and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Copart、游戏驿站和Lululemon Athletica发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Analog Devices hosts a conference call to discuss its capital-allocation plans and update its outlook for fiscal 2021. The company recently closed its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products.</p><p><blockquote>Analog Devices 召开电话会议,讨论其资本分配计划并更新其 2021 财年展望。该公司最近完成了对 Maxim Integrated Products 的 210 亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> Global Payments, Johnson Controls International, and ResMed hold virtual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>Global Payments、江森自控国际公司和瑞思迈公司举办虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10 million job openings on the last business day of July. In June, there were 10.1 million openings, the fourth consecutive monthly record.</p><p><blockquote>劳工统计局发布职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。普遍估计7月最后一个工作日将有1000万个职位空缺。6月份,开业人数为1010万人,连续第四个月创纪录。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for July. Total outstanding consumer debt increased by $37.7 billion to a record $4.32 trillion in June. For the second quarter, consumer credit rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.8%, reflecting pent-up demand.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告7月份消费信贷数据。6 月份未偿消费者债务总额增加 377 亿美元,达到创纪录的 4.32 万亿美元。第二季度,经季节性调整后的消费信贷年率为 8.8%,反映了被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions among the 12 Federal Reserve districts.</p><p><blockquote>美联储今年八次中的第六次发布褐皮书。该报告总结了12个美联储区当前的经济状况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/9</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 9/9</b></blockquote></p><p> Home Depot hosts a conference call to discuss its ESG strategy, led by Ron Jarvis, the company’s chief sustainability officer.</p><p><blockquote>家得宝(Home Depot)召开了一次电话会议,讨论其 ESG 战略,由公司首席可持续发展官罗恩-贾维斯(Ron Jarvis)主持。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna hosts its fifth annual R&D day to discuss vaccines in the company’s pipeline. CEO Stéphane Bancel will be among the presenters.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna 举办第五届年度研发日,讨论公司正在研发的疫苗。首席执行官 Stéphane Bancel 将是演讲者之一。</blockquote></p><p> Danaher holds an investor and analyst meeting, hosted by its CEO Rainer Blair.</p><p><blockquote>丹纳赫召开投资者和分析师会议,由其首席执行官雷纳·布莱尔主持。</blockquote></p><p> International Paper, Synchrony Financial, and Willis Towers Watson hold investor days.</p><p><blockquote>国际纸业、Synchrony Financial 和 Willis Towers Watson 举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. The ECB is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at minus 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲央行宣布货币政策决定。欧洲央行预计将维持关键利率在负0.5%不变。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 4. In August, claims averaged 355,000 a week, the lowest since the pandemic’s onset. This will also be the last week that the extra $300 from federal enhanced unemployment benefits is available. They are set to expire by Sept. 6.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告了截至 9 月 4 日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。8 月份,平均每周申请人数为 35.5 万人,是大流行病爆发以来的最低水平。这也将是联邦增强失业救济金额外300美元发放的最后一周。它们将于9月6日到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/10星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> The BLS reports the producer price index for August. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly rise along with a 0.5% increase for the core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. Both jumped 1% in July.</p><p><blockquote>BLS报告8月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预测核心 PPI 将每月上涨 0.6%,核心 PPI 将上涨 0.5%,其中不包括波动较大的食品和能源价格。7 月份两者均上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Kroger holds a conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>克罗格评级召开会议讨论盈利。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop, Moderna, Home Depot, Kroger, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>游戏驿站、Moderna、家得宝、克罗格等投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop, Moderna, Home Depot, Kroger, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>游戏驿站、Moderna、家得宝、克罗格等投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-06 06:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day. The holiday-shortened week then features several notable company updates and economic data releases.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市和债券市场周一因劳动节休市。假期缩短的一周将发布几项值得注意的公司更新和经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results on Wednesday, followed by International Paper on Thursday and Kroger on Friday. Analog Devices—fresh off of its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products—will host an investor day on Wednesday. Moderna, Danaher, and Home Depot managements will also speak with investors on Thursday. Finally, Albemarle hosts an investor day on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站和Lululemon Athletica将于周三发布季度业绩,随后是周四的国际报纸和周五的克罗格。Analog Devices刚刚以210亿美元收购Maxim Integrated Products,将于周三举办投资者日活动。Moderna、丹纳赫和家得宝管理层也将于周四与投资者进行交谈。最后,雅宝将于周五举办投资者日活动。</blockquote></p><p> The economic data highlight of the week will be Friday’s August producer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists’ consensus estimate is for a 0.6% monthly rise in the headline index, and a 0.5% increase for the core PPI—which leaves out more volatile food and energy prices. Both the core and headline indexes rose 1% in July. The August consumer price index will be out the following week, on Sept. 14.</p><p><blockquote>本周的经济数据亮点将是周五美国劳工统计局公布的 8 月份生产者价格指数。经济学家的一致估计是,总体指数每月上涨 0.6%,核心 PPI 每月上涨 0.5%,这不包括波动性更大的食品和能源价格。7 月份核心指数和总体指数均上涨 1%。8 月份消费者价格指数将于下周,即 9 月 14 日公布。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve will release its latest beige book, full of updates on economic, hiring, and business conditions in each of the dozen central bank districts. The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday, but is widely expected to hold its target interest rate at its current level of negative 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>周二,美联储将发布最新的褐皮书,其中包含十几个央行辖区的经济、招聘和商业状况的最新信息。欧洲央行周四也将宣布货币政策决定,但外界普遍预计将把目标利率维持在当前负0.5%的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/6星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> Stock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.</p><p><blockquote>股票和固定收益市场因劳动节休市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 9/7</b></blockquote></p><p> Casey’s General Stores and Coupa Software announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Casey's General Stores 和 Coupa Software 公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/8</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三 9/8</b></blockquote></p><p> Copart, GameStop, and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Copart、游戏驿站和Lululemon Athletica发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Analog Devices hosts a conference call to discuss its capital-allocation plans and update its outlook for fiscal 2021. The company recently closed its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products.</p><p><blockquote>Analog Devices 召开电话会议,讨论其资本分配计划并更新其 2021 财年展望。该公司最近完成了对 Maxim Integrated Products 的 210 亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> Global Payments, Johnson Controls International, and ResMed hold virtual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>Global Payments、江森自控国际公司和瑞思迈公司举办虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10 million job openings on the last business day of July. In June, there were 10.1 million openings, the fourth consecutive monthly record.</p><p><blockquote>劳工统计局发布职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。普遍估计7月最后一个工作日将有1000万个职位空缺。6月份,开业人数为1010万人,连续第四个月创纪录。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for July. Total outstanding consumer debt increased by $37.7 billion to a record $4.32 trillion in June. For the second quarter, consumer credit rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.8%, reflecting pent-up demand.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告7月份消费信贷数据。6 月份未偿消费者债务总额增加 377 亿美元,达到创纪录的 4.32 万亿美元。第二季度,经季节性调整后的消费信贷年率为 8.8%,反映了被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions among the 12 Federal Reserve districts.</p><p><blockquote>美联储今年八次中的第六次发布褐皮书。该报告总结了12个美联储区当前的经济状况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/9</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 9/9</b></blockquote></p><p> Home Depot hosts a conference call to discuss its ESG strategy, led by Ron Jarvis, the company’s chief sustainability officer.</p><p><blockquote>家得宝(Home Depot)召开了一次电话会议,讨论其 ESG 战略,由公司首席可持续发展官罗恩-贾维斯(Ron Jarvis)主持。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna hosts its fifth annual R&D day to discuss vaccines in the company’s pipeline. CEO Stéphane Bancel will be among the presenters.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna 举办第五届年度研发日,讨论公司正在研发的疫苗。首席执行官 Stéphane Bancel 将是演讲者之一。</blockquote></p><p> Danaher holds an investor and analyst meeting, hosted by its CEO Rainer Blair.</p><p><blockquote>丹纳赫召开投资者和分析师会议,由其首席执行官雷纳·布莱尔主持。</blockquote></p><p> International Paper, Synchrony Financial, and Willis Towers Watson hold investor days.</p><p><blockquote>国际纸业、Synchrony Financial 和 Willis Towers Watson 举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. The ECB is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at minus 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲央行宣布货币政策决定。欧洲央行预计将维持关键利率在负0.5%不变。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 4. In August, claims averaged 355,000 a week, the lowest since the pandemic’s onset. This will also be the last week that the extra $300 from federal enhanced unemployment benefits is available. They are set to expire by Sept. 6.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告了截至 9 月 4 日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。8 月份,平均每周申请人数为 35.5 万人,是大流行病爆发以来的最低水平。这也将是联邦增强失业救济金额外300美元发放的最后一周。它们将于9月6日到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/10星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> The BLS reports the producer price index for August. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly rise along with a 0.5% increase for the core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. Both jumped 1% in July.</p><p><blockquote>BLS报告8月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预测核心 PPI 将每月上涨 0.6%,核心 PPI 将上涨 0.5%,其中不包括波动较大的食品和能源价格。7 月份两者均上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Kroger holds a conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>克罗格评级召开会议讨论盈利。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-moderna-home-depot-kroger-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51630853023?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GME":"游戏驿站",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","HD":"家得宝","KR":"克罗格",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-moderna-home-depot-kroger-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51630853023?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143325200","content_text":"U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day. The holiday-shortened week then features several notable company updates and economic data releases.\nGameStop and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results on Wednesday, followed by International Paper on Thursday and Kroger on Friday. Analog Devices—fresh off of its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products—will host an investor day on Wednesday. Moderna, Danaher, and Home Depot managements will also speak with investors on Thursday. Finally, Albemarle hosts an investor day on Friday.\nThe economic data highlight of the week will be Friday’s August producer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists’ consensus estimate is for a 0.6% monthly rise in the headline index, and a 0.5% increase for the core PPI—which leaves out more volatile food and energy prices. Both the core and headline indexes rose 1% in July. The August consumer price index will be out the following week, on Sept. 14.\nOn Tuesday, the Federal Reserve will release its latest beige book, full of updates on economic, hiring, and business conditions in each of the dozen central bank districts. The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday, but is widely expected to hold its target interest rate at its current level of negative 0.5%.\nMonday 9/6\nStock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.\nTuesday 9/7\nCasey’s General Stores and Coupa Software announce earnings.\nWednesday 9/8\nCopart, GameStop, and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results.\nAnalog Devices hosts a conference call to discuss its capital-allocation plans and update its outlook for fiscal 2021. The company recently closed its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products.\nGlobal Payments, Johnson Controls International, and ResMed hold virtual investor days.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10 million job openings on the last business day of July. In June, there were 10.1 million openings, the fourth consecutive monthly record.\nThe Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for July. Total outstanding consumer debt increased by $37.7 billion to a record $4.32 trillion in June. For the second quarter, consumer credit rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.8%, reflecting pent-up demand.\nThe Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions among the 12 Federal Reserve districts.\nThursday 9/9\nHome Depot hosts a conference call to discuss its ESG strategy, led by Ron Jarvis, the company’s chief sustainability officer.\nModerna hosts its fifth annual R&D day to discuss vaccines in the company’s pipeline. CEO Stéphane Bancel will be among the presenters.\nDanaher holds an investor and analyst meeting, hosted by its CEO Rainer Blair.\nInternational Paper, Synchrony Financial, and Willis Towers Watson hold investor days.\nThe European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. The ECB is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at minus 0.5%.\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 4. In August, claims averaged 355,000 a week, the lowest since the pandemic’s onset. This will also be the last week that the extra $300 from federal enhanced unemployment benefits is available. They are set to expire by Sept. 6.\nFriday 9/10\nThe BLS reports the producer price index for August. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly rise along with a 0.5% increase for the core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. Both jumped 1% in July.\nKroger holds a conference calls to discuss earnings.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"KR":0.9,"HD":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"GME":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1854,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832438818,"gmtCreate":1629674347534,"gmtModify":1633683490886,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Damn","listText":"Damn","text":"Damn","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832438818","repostId":"2161741742","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832436055,"gmtCreate":1629674370677,"gmtModify":1633683490304,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Crash pls","listText":"Crash pls","text":"Crash pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832436055","repostId":"2161149745","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817382864,"gmtCreate":1630907758858,"gmtModify":1632905189171,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817382864","repostId":"815613054","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":815613054,"gmtCreate":1630674589778,"gmtModify":1630900834920,"author":{"id":"3527667683908785","authorId":"3527667683908785","name":"一心向上ESOP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada9183b6d108d57b15970637ebc3a49","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667683908785","authorIdStr":"3527667683908785"},"themes":[],"title":"程序员的盛宴,看互联网大厂如何玩转股权激励?","htmlText":"“工资只能解决养家糊口的问题,想买房、想实现财富自由只有一个方法,不是996,而是参与创业拿到股票。”这是360创始人周鸿祎对年轻人们提出的买房建议。 年轻人怎么参与创业拿到股票?最容易的方式可能就是“股权激励”了。股权激励作为舶来品,早在上世纪美国互联网创业潮时就曾让无数普通人实现了财富自由。 时间来到21世纪,中国也迎来了互联网大爆发,不仅催生出了一批世界级互联网巨头,更是出现了北京中关村、西二旗这样的中国硅谷。股权激励作为吸引人才的保证也早已被各大互联网巨头们运用的炉火纯青。 研发人员或成股权激励大赢家 互联网行业可以说是股权激励的主力军,包括我们熟知的腾讯、阿里、美团、京东等头部互联网大厂。 那么互联网圈里哪一类人群更容易获得股权激励? 主流互联网企业股权激励人群 (数据来源于过去2-3年股权激励费用,各企业员工分类口径并不一定相同,仅供参考) 根据过去2-3年各大互联网企业的股权激励费用,老虎ESOP发现研发人员已经成为了互联网行业的主要激励人群。 具体来看,近3个完整财年蔚来汽车、拼多多、滴滴等公司的研发人员产生的股权激励费用占到了整个公司的20%左右。 而网易、京东的研发人员产生的股权激励费用占比更是达到了30%以上,其中京东的研发人员占据了约33.91%,网易研发人员则达到了约31.18%。 除此之外,阿里巴巴、美团、微博等公司的研发人员近年来产生的股权激励费用已经达到了整个公司40%以上。 研发人员被重点奖励也已经成为了互联网行业的常态。 不过以上数据也只是互联网行业股权激励人群的侧面反映,各家企业对于员工群体的分类并不一定完全相同,例如各家企业都会把管理人员的薪酬归类于“一般与行政”费用,而这部分管理人员可能来自于不同的业务部门。 而且不同企业根据自己的业务情况,也会对特定的员工群体进行奖励。 例如阿里过去两年运营类员工占据的股权激励费用比例达到了23%","listText":"“工资只能解决养家糊口的问题,想买房、想实现财富自由只有一个方法,不是996,而是参与创业拿到股票。”这是360创始人周鸿祎对年轻人们提出的买房建议。 年轻人怎么参与创业拿到股票?最容易的方式可能就是“股权激励”了。股权激励作为舶来品,早在上世纪美国互联网创业潮时就曾让无数普通人实现了财富自由。 时间来到21世纪,中国也迎来了互联网大爆发,不仅催生出了一批世界级互联网巨头,更是出现了北京中关村、西二旗这样的中国硅谷。股权激励作为吸引人才的保证也早已被各大互联网巨头们运用的炉火纯青。 研发人员或成股权激励大赢家 互联网行业可以说是股权激励的主力军,包括我们熟知的腾讯、阿里、美团、京东等头部互联网大厂。 那么互联网圈里哪一类人群更容易获得股权激励? 主流互联网企业股权激励人群 (数据来源于过去2-3年股权激励费用,各企业员工分类口径并不一定相同,仅供参考) 根据过去2-3年各大互联网企业的股权激励费用,老虎ESOP发现研发人员已经成为了互联网行业的主要激励人群。 具体来看,近3个完整财年蔚来汽车、拼多多、滴滴等公司的研发人员产生的股权激励费用占到了整个公司的20%左右。 而网易、京东的研发人员产生的股权激励费用占比更是达到了30%以上,其中京东的研发人员占据了约33.91%,网易研发人员则达到了约31.18%。 除此之外,阿里巴巴、美团、微博等公司的研发人员近年来产生的股权激励费用已经达到了整个公司40%以上。 研发人员被重点奖励也已经成为了互联网行业的常态。 不过以上数据也只是互联网行业股权激励人群的侧面反映,各家企业对于员工群体的分类并不一定完全相同,例如各家企业都会把管理人员的薪酬归类于“一般与行政”费用,而这部分管理人员可能来自于不同的业务部门。 而且不同企业根据自己的业务情况,也会对特定的员工群体进行奖励。 例如阿里过去两年运营类员工占据的股权激励费用比例达到了23%","text":"“工资只能解决养家糊口的问题,想买房、想实现财富自由只有一个方法,不是996,而是参与创业拿到股票。”这是360创始人周鸿祎对年轻人们提出的买房建议。 年轻人怎么参与创业拿到股票?最容易的方式可能就是“股权激励”了。股权激励作为舶来品,早在上世纪美国互联网创业潮时就曾让无数普通人实现了财富自由。 时间来到21世纪,中国也迎来了互联网大爆发,不仅催生出了一批世界级互联网巨头,更是出现了北京中关村、西二旗这样的中国硅谷。股权激励作为吸引人才的保证也早已被各大互联网巨头们运用的炉火纯青。 研发人员或成股权激励大赢家 互联网行业可以说是股权激励的主力军,包括我们熟知的腾讯、阿里、美团、京东等头部互联网大厂。 那么互联网圈里哪一类人群更容易获得股权激励? 主流互联网企业股权激励人群 (数据来源于过去2-3年股权激励费用,各企业员工分类口径并不一定相同,仅供参考) 根据过去2-3年各大互联网企业的股权激励费用,老虎ESOP发现研发人员已经成为了互联网行业的主要激励人群。 具体来看,近3个完整财年蔚来汽车、拼多多、滴滴等公司的研发人员产生的股权激励费用占到了整个公司的20%左右。 而网易、京东的研发人员产生的股权激励费用占比更是达到了30%以上,其中京东的研发人员占据了约33.91%,网易研发人员则达到了约31.18%。 除此之外,阿里巴巴、美团、微博等公司的研发人员近年来产生的股权激励费用已经达到了整个公司40%以上。 研发人员被重点奖励也已经成为了互联网行业的常态。 不过以上数据也只是互联网行业股权激励人群的侧面反映,各家企业对于员工群体的分类并不一定完全相同,例如各家企业都会把管理人员的薪酬归类于“一般与行政”费用,而这部分管理人员可能来自于不同的业务部门。 而且不同企业根据自己的业务情况,也会对特定的员工群体进行奖励。 例如阿里过去两年运营类员工占据的股权激励费用比例达到了23%","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98abf5be811e44ea4dc994b9ad43b089","width":"900","height":"383"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815613054","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832431592,"gmtCreate":1629674325216,"gmtModify":1633683491595,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Damn","listText":"Damn","text":"Damn","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832431592","repostId":"2161741742","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2154,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174525756,"gmtCreate":1627114474075,"gmtModify":1633767829800,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok ","listText":"Ok ","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174525756","repostId":"2153981075","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2608,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174526414,"gmtCreate":1627114311138,"gmtModify":1633767830866,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok ","listText":"Ok ","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174526414","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何,蔚来独特的卖点,以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一,通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品,吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而,这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点,该高点在 2021 年初触及,之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,这两者是相似的,但在其他方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y,而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是增压器网络,特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电,功率高达 250kW,具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程只需几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势,但应该注意的是,与蔚来的换电站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比,蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车,高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长,尽管略低于 100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这将是完全有意义的,但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此,特斯拉的增长预计将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元,年增长率为 54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家公司来说,保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元,比 2023 年预期再增长 80%,比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%,比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此,在 2021 年至 2025 年间,蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍,而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值(OTCPK:VWAGY)。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较,我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍,而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说,蔚来目前似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今,蔚来比特斯拉小得多,因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票价格被低估,这也是可能性之一,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时,确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车,到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%,那么到 2030 年(即 9 年后),它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长,每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过,例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言,看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶,因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌,处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这个水平,也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会更高,例如,如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元,就像特斯拉一样,但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况,到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反,投资者应该问问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险,值得一提的是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位,我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍,与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵,尽管当然,这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何,蔚来独特的卖点,以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一,通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品,吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而,这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点,该高点在 2021 年初触及,之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,这两者是相似的,但在其他方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y,而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是增压器网络,特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电,功率高达 250kW,具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程只需几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势,但应该注意的是,与蔚来的换电站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比,蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车,高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长,尽管略低于 100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这将是完全有意义的,但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此,特斯拉的增长预计将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元,年增长率为 54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家公司来说,保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元,比 2023 年预期再增长 80%,比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%,比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此,在 2021 年至 2025 年间,蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍,而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值(OTCPK:VWAGY)。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较,我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍,而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说,蔚来目前似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今,蔚来比特斯拉小得多,因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票价格被低估,这也是可能性之一,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时,确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车,到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%,那么到 2030 年(即 9 年后),它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长,每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过,例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言,看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶,因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌,处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这个水平,也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会更高,例如,如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元,就像特斯拉一样,但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况,到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反,投资者应该问问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险,值得一提的是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位,我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍,与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵,尽管当然,这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174527357,"gmtCreate":1627114552179,"gmtModify":1633767828591,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wnndbsnwndc","listText":"Wnndbsnwndc","text":"Wnndbsnwndc","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174527357","repostId":"1142780742","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142780742","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627050360,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142780742?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 22:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Services PMI Plunges Unexpectedly To 5-Month Lows As Business Outlook Slumps<blockquote>由于商业前景恶化,美国服务业PMI意外跌至5个月低点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142780742","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected th","content":"<p>After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected the plunge to stop in preliminary July data (despite an ongoing downtrend in 'hard' economic data performance)... they were wrong.</p><p><blockquote>在美国6月份服务业PMI(和ISM)意外从历史高点暴跌后,分析师预计7月份初步数据将停止暴跌(尽管“硬”经济数据表现持续下降)……他们错了。</blockquote></p><p> While US Manufacturing picked up modestly from 62.1 to 63.1 (better than the 62.0 expected),<b>US Services tumbled further to 59.8 from 64.6 (well below the 64.5 expected).</b></p><p><blockquote>虽然美国制造业从 62.1 小幅回升至 63.1(好于预期的 62.0),<b>美国服务业进一步从 64.6 跌至 59.8(远低于预期的 64.5)。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2cf844b2fa1686765814cf0859414b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"681\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> That is the weakest Services print since February.</p><p><blockquote>这是自二月份以来最弱的服务业数据。</blockquote></p><p> The drop in Services weighed heavily on the<b>US Composite which dropped to 4-month lows.</b></p><p><blockquote>服务业的下降对<b>美国综合指数跌至四个月低点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/234016546da9850fc2107e26a19dbad7\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"753\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on the PMI data,Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:</p><p><blockquote>IHS Markit 首席商业经济学家 Chris Williamson 在评论 PMI 数据时表示:</blockquote></p><p> “<b>The provisional PMI data for July point to the pace of economic growth slowing for a second successive month,</b>though importantly this cooling has followed an unprecedented growth spurt in May. Some moderation of service sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth across both manufacturing and services.</p><p><blockquote>“<b>7月PMI中期数据显示经济增速连续第二个月放缓,</b>尽管重要的是,这种降温是在五月份前所未有的增长激增之后发生的。在经济初步重新开放后,服务业的增长总是会有所放缓,重要的是,我们现在看到制造业和服务业的强劲增长非常均衡。</blockquote></p><p> “While the<b>second quarter may therefore represent a peaking in the pace of economic growth</b>according to the PMI, the third quarter is still looking encouragingly strong.</p><p><blockquote>“而<b>因此,第二季度可能是经济增长速度的顶峰</b>根据采购经理人指数,第三季度看起来仍然令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> “Short-term capacity issues remain a concern, constraining output in many manufacturing and service sector companies while simultaneously pushing prices higher as demand exceeds supply.<b>However, we’re already seeing signs of inflationary pressures peaking, with both input cost and selling price gauges falling for a second month in July, albeit remaining elevated.</b></p><p><blockquote>“短期产能问题仍然令人担忧,限制了许多制造业和服务业公司的产量,同时由于供不应求,推高了价格。<b>然而,我们已经看到通胀压力见顶的迹象,7 月份投入成本和销售价格指标均连续第二个月下降,尽管仍处于高位。</b></blockquote></p><p> “<b>Inflationary pressures and supply constraints – both in terms of labour and materials shortages - nevertheless remain major sources of uncertainty among businesses, as does the delta variant, all of which has pushed business optimism about the year ahead to the lowest seen so far this year.</b>The concern is this drop in confidence could feed through to reduced spending, investment and hiring, adding to the possibility that growth could slow further in coming months.”</p><p><blockquote>“<b>然而,通胀压力和供应限制(包括劳动力和材料短缺)仍然是企业不确定性的主要来源,德尔塔变异毒株也是如此,所有这些都将企业对未来一年的乐观情绪推至今年迄今为止的最低水平。</b>人们担心,信心下降可能会导致支出、投资和招聘减少,从而增加未来几个月经济增长进一步放缓的可能性。”</blockquote></p><p> For context, the US Composite index is now running below that of Europe's...</p><p><blockquote>就背景而言,美国综合指数目前低于欧洲综合指数……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e37c172ac0dbba384ead917a08d87c70\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"685\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Services PMI Plunges Unexpectedly To 5-Month Lows As Business Outlook Slumps<blockquote>由于商业前景恶化,美国服务业PMI意外跌至5个月低点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-23 22:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected the plunge to stop in preliminary July data (despite an ongoing downtrend in 'hard' economic data performance)... they were wrong.</p><p><blockquote>在美国6月份服务业PMI(和ISM)意外从历史高点暴跌后,分析师预计7月份初步数据将停止暴跌(尽管“硬”经济数据表现持续下降)……他们错了。</blockquote></p><p> While US Manufacturing picked up modestly from 62.1 to 63.1 (better than the 62.0 expected),<b>US Services tumbled further to 59.8 from 64.6 (well below the 64.5 expected).</b></p><p><blockquote>虽然美国制造业从 62.1 小幅回升至 63.1(好于预期的 62.0),<b>美国服务业进一步从 64.6 跌至 59.8(远低于预期的 64.5)。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2cf844b2fa1686765814cf0859414b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"681\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> That is the weakest Services print since February.</p><p><blockquote>这是自二月份以来最弱的服务业数据。</blockquote></p><p> The drop in Services weighed heavily on the<b>US Composite which dropped to 4-month lows.</b></p><p><blockquote>服务业的下降对<b>美国综合指数跌至四个月低点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/234016546da9850fc2107e26a19dbad7\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"753\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on the PMI data,Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:</p><p><blockquote>IHS Markit 首席商业经济学家 Chris Williamson 在评论 PMI 数据时表示:</blockquote></p><p> “<b>The provisional PMI data for July point to the pace of economic growth slowing for a second successive month,</b>though importantly this cooling has followed an unprecedented growth spurt in May. Some moderation of service sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth across both manufacturing and services.</p><p><blockquote>“<b>7月PMI中期数据显示经济增速连续第二个月放缓,</b>尽管重要的是,这种降温是在五月份前所未有的增长激增之后发生的。在经济初步重新开放后,服务业的增长总是会有所放缓,重要的是,我们现在看到制造业和服务业的强劲增长非常均衡。</blockquote></p><p> “While the<b>second quarter may therefore represent a peaking in the pace of economic growth</b>according to the PMI, the third quarter is still looking encouragingly strong.</p><p><blockquote>“而<b>因此,第二季度可能是经济增长速度的顶峰</b>根据采购经理人指数,第三季度看起来仍然令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> “Short-term capacity issues remain a concern, constraining output in many manufacturing and service sector companies while simultaneously pushing prices higher as demand exceeds supply.<b>However, we’re already seeing signs of inflationary pressures peaking, with both input cost and selling price gauges falling for a second month in July, albeit remaining elevated.</b></p><p><blockquote>“短期产能问题仍然令人担忧,限制了许多制造业和服务业公司的产量,同时由于供不应求,推高了价格。<b>然而,我们已经看到通胀压力见顶的迹象,7 月份投入成本和销售价格指标均连续第二个月下降,尽管仍处于高位。</b></blockquote></p><p> “<b>Inflationary pressures and supply constraints – both in terms of labour and materials shortages - nevertheless remain major sources of uncertainty among businesses, as does the delta variant, all of which has pushed business optimism about the year ahead to the lowest seen so far this year.</b>The concern is this drop in confidence could feed through to reduced spending, investment and hiring, adding to the possibility that growth could slow further in coming months.”</p><p><blockquote>“<b>然而,通胀压力和供应限制(包括劳动力和材料短缺)仍然是企业不确定性的主要来源,德尔塔变异毒株也是如此,所有这些都将企业对未来一年的乐观情绪推至今年迄今为止的最低水平。</b>人们担心,信心下降可能会导致支出、投资和招聘减少,从而增加未来几个月经济增长进一步放缓的可能性。”</blockquote></p><p> For context, the US Composite index is now running below that of Europe's...</p><p><blockquote>就背景而言,美国综合指数目前低于欧洲综合指数……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e37c172ac0dbba384ead917a08d87c70\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"685\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-services-pmi-plunges-unexpectedly-5-month-lows-business-outlook-slumps\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-services-pmi-plunges-unexpectedly-5-month-lows-business-outlook-slumps","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142780742","content_text":"After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected the plunge to stop in preliminary July data (despite an ongoing downtrend in 'hard' economic data performance)... they were wrong.\nWhile US Manufacturing picked up modestly from 62.1 to 63.1 (better than the 62.0 expected),US Services tumbled further to 59.8 from 64.6 (well below the 64.5 expected).\nSource: Bloomberg\nThat is the weakest Services print since February.\nThe drop in Services weighed heavily on theUS Composite which dropped to 4-month lows.\nCommenting on the PMI data,Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:\n“The provisional PMI data for July point to the pace of economic growth slowing for a second successive month,though importantly this cooling has followed an unprecedented growth spurt in May. Some moderation of service sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth across both manufacturing and services.\n“While thesecond quarter may therefore represent a peaking in the pace of economic growthaccording to the PMI, the third quarter is still looking encouragingly strong.\n“Short-term capacity issues remain a concern, constraining output in many manufacturing and service sector companies while simultaneously pushing prices higher as demand exceeds supply.However, we’re already seeing signs of inflationary pressures peaking, with both input cost and selling price gauges falling for a second month in July, albeit remaining elevated.\n“Inflationary pressures and supply constraints – both in terms of labour and materials shortages - nevertheless remain major sources of uncertainty among businesses, as does the delta variant, all of which has pushed business optimism about the year ahead to the lowest seen so far this year.The concern is this drop in confidence could feed through to reduced spending, investment and hiring, adding to the possibility that growth could slow further in coming months.”\nFor context, the US Composite index is now running below that of Europe's...\nSource: Bloomberg","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2122,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174527908,"gmtCreate":1627114538704,"gmtModify":1633767828714,"author":{"id":"4090215147849270","authorId":"4090215147849270","name":"2b1a52e6","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090215147849270","authorIdStr":"4090215147849270"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok ","listText":"Ok ","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174527908","repostId":"1142780742","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142780742","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627050360,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142780742?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 22:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Services PMI Plunges Unexpectedly To 5-Month Lows As Business Outlook Slumps<blockquote>由于商业前景恶化,美国服务业PMI意外跌至5个月低点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142780742","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected th","content":"<p>After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected the plunge to stop in preliminary July data (despite an ongoing downtrend in 'hard' economic data performance)... they were wrong.</p><p><blockquote>在美国6月份服务业PMI(和ISM)意外从历史高点暴跌后,分析师预计7月份初步数据将停止暴跌(尽管“硬”经济数据表现持续下降)……他们错了。</blockquote></p><p> While US Manufacturing picked up modestly from 62.1 to 63.1 (better than the 62.0 expected),<b>US Services tumbled further to 59.8 from 64.6 (well below the 64.5 expected).</b></p><p><blockquote>虽然美国制造业从 62.1 小幅回升至 63.1(好于预期的 62.0),<b>美国服务业进一步从 64.6 跌至 59.8(远低于预期的 64.5)。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2cf844b2fa1686765814cf0859414b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"681\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> That is the weakest Services print since February.</p><p><blockquote>这是自二月份以来最弱的服务业数据。</blockquote></p><p> The drop in Services weighed heavily on the<b>US Composite which dropped to 4-month lows.</b></p><p><blockquote>服务业的下降对<b>美国综合指数跌至四个月低点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/234016546da9850fc2107e26a19dbad7\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"753\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on the PMI data,Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:</p><p><blockquote>IHS Markit 首席商业经济学家 Chris Williamson 在评论 PMI 数据时表示:</blockquote></p><p> “<b>The provisional PMI data for July point to the pace of economic growth slowing for a second successive month,</b>though importantly this cooling has followed an unprecedented growth spurt in May. Some moderation of service sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth across both manufacturing and services.</p><p><blockquote>“<b>7月PMI中期数据显示经济增速连续第二个月放缓,</b>尽管重要的是,这种降温是在五月份前所未有的增长激增之后发生的。在经济初步重新开放后,服务业的增长总是会有所放缓,重要的是,我们现在看到制造业和服务业的强劲增长非常均衡。</blockquote></p><p> “While the<b>second quarter may therefore represent a peaking in the pace of economic growth</b>according to the PMI, the third quarter is still looking encouragingly strong.</p><p><blockquote>“而<b>因此,第二季度可能是经济增长速度的顶峰</b>根据采购经理人指数,第三季度看起来仍然令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> “Short-term capacity issues remain a concern, constraining output in many manufacturing and service sector companies while simultaneously pushing prices higher as demand exceeds supply.<b>However, we’re already seeing signs of inflationary pressures peaking, with both input cost and selling price gauges falling for a second month in July, albeit remaining elevated.</b></p><p><blockquote>“短期产能问题仍然令人担忧,限制了许多制造业和服务业公司的产量,同时由于供不应求,推高了价格。<b>然而,我们已经看到通胀压力见顶的迹象,7 月份投入成本和销售价格指标均连续第二个月下降,尽管仍处于高位。</b></blockquote></p><p> “<b>Inflationary pressures and supply constraints – both in terms of labour and materials shortages - nevertheless remain major sources of uncertainty among businesses, as does the delta variant, all of which has pushed business optimism about the year ahead to the lowest seen so far this year.</b>The concern is this drop in confidence could feed through to reduced spending, investment and hiring, adding to the possibility that growth could slow further in coming months.”</p><p><blockquote>“<b>然而,通胀压力和供应限制(包括劳动力和材料短缺)仍然是企业不确定性的主要来源,德尔塔变异毒株也是如此,所有这些都将企业对未来一年的乐观情绪推至今年迄今为止的最低水平。</b>人们担心,信心下降可能会导致支出、投资和招聘减少,从而增加未来几个月经济增长进一步放缓的可能性。”</blockquote></p><p> For context, the US Composite index is now running below that of Europe's...</p><p><blockquote>就背景而言,美国综合指数目前低于欧洲综合指数……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e37c172ac0dbba384ead917a08d87c70\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"685\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Services PMI Plunges Unexpectedly To 5-Month Lows As Business Outlook Slumps<blockquote>由于商业前景恶化,美国服务业PMI意外跌至5个月低点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-23 22:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected the plunge to stop in preliminary July data (despite an ongoing downtrend in 'hard' economic data performance)... they were wrong.</p><p><blockquote>在美国6月份服务业PMI(和ISM)意外从历史高点暴跌后,分析师预计7月份初步数据将停止暴跌(尽管“硬”经济数据表现持续下降)……他们错了。</blockquote></p><p> While US Manufacturing picked up modestly from 62.1 to 63.1 (better than the 62.0 expected),<b>US Services tumbled further to 59.8 from 64.6 (well below the 64.5 expected).</b></p><p><blockquote>虽然美国制造业从 62.1 小幅回升至 63.1(好于预期的 62.0),<b>美国服务业进一步从 64.6 跌至 59.8(远低于预期的 64.5)。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2cf844b2fa1686765814cf0859414b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"681\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> That is the weakest Services print since February.</p><p><blockquote>这是自二月份以来最弱的服务业数据。</blockquote></p><p> The drop in Services weighed heavily on the<b>US Composite which dropped to 4-month lows.</b></p><p><blockquote>服务业的下降对<b>美国综合指数跌至四个月低点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/234016546da9850fc2107e26a19dbad7\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"753\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on the PMI data,Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:</p><p><blockquote>IHS Markit 首席商业经济学家 Chris Williamson 在评论 PMI 数据时表示:</blockquote></p><p> “<b>The provisional PMI data for July point to the pace of economic growth slowing for a second successive month,</b>though importantly this cooling has followed an unprecedented growth spurt in May. Some moderation of service sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth across both manufacturing and services.</p><p><blockquote>“<b>7月PMI中期数据显示经济增速连续第二个月放缓,</b>尽管重要的是,这种降温是在五月份前所未有的增长激增之后发生的。在经济初步重新开放后,服务业的增长总是会有所放缓,重要的是,我们现在看到制造业和服务业的强劲增长非常均衡。</blockquote></p><p> “While the<b>second quarter may therefore represent a peaking in the pace of economic growth</b>according to the PMI, the third quarter is still looking encouragingly strong.</p><p><blockquote>“而<b>因此,第二季度可能是经济增长速度的顶峰</b>根据采购经理人指数,第三季度看起来仍然令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> “Short-term capacity issues remain a concern, constraining output in many manufacturing and service sector companies while simultaneously pushing prices higher as demand exceeds supply.<b>However, we’re already seeing signs of inflationary pressures peaking, with both input cost and selling price gauges falling for a second month in July, albeit remaining elevated.</b></p><p><blockquote>“短期产能问题仍然令人担忧,限制了许多制造业和服务业公司的产量,同时由于供不应求,推高了价格。<b>然而,我们已经看到通胀压力见顶的迹象,7 月份投入成本和销售价格指标均连续第二个月下降,尽管仍处于高位。</b></blockquote></p><p> “<b>Inflationary pressures and supply constraints – both in terms of labour and materials shortages - nevertheless remain major sources of uncertainty among businesses, as does the delta variant, all of which has pushed business optimism about the year ahead to the lowest seen so far this year.</b>The concern is this drop in confidence could feed through to reduced spending, investment and hiring, adding to the possibility that growth could slow further in coming months.”</p><p><blockquote>“<b>然而,通胀压力和供应限制(包括劳动力和材料短缺)仍然是企业不确定性的主要来源,德尔塔变异毒株也是如此,所有这些都将企业对未来一年的乐观情绪推至今年迄今为止的最低水平。</b>人们担心,信心下降可能会导致支出、投资和招聘减少,从而增加未来几个月经济增长进一步放缓的可能性。”</blockquote></p><p> For context, the US Composite index is now running below that of Europe's...</p><p><blockquote>就背景而言,美国综合指数目前低于欧洲综合指数……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e37c172ac0dbba384ead917a08d87c70\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"685\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-services-pmi-plunges-unexpectedly-5-month-lows-business-outlook-slumps\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-services-pmi-plunges-unexpectedly-5-month-lows-business-outlook-slumps","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142780742","content_text":"After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected the plunge to stop in preliminary July data (despite an ongoing downtrend in 'hard' economic data performance)... they were wrong.\nWhile US Manufacturing picked up modestly from 62.1 to 63.1 (better than the 62.0 expected),US Services tumbled further to 59.8 from 64.6 (well below the 64.5 expected).\nSource: Bloomberg\nThat is the weakest Services print since February.\nThe drop in Services weighed heavily on theUS Composite which dropped to 4-month lows.\nCommenting on the PMI data,Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:\n“The provisional PMI data for July point to the pace of economic growth slowing for a second successive month,though importantly this cooling has followed an unprecedented growth spurt in May. Some moderation of service sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth across both manufacturing and services.\n“While thesecond quarter may therefore represent a peaking in the pace of economic growthaccording to the PMI, the third quarter is still looking encouragingly strong.\n“Short-term capacity issues remain a concern, constraining output in many manufacturing and service sector companies while simultaneously pushing prices higher as demand exceeds supply.However, we’re already seeing signs of inflationary pressures peaking, with both input cost and selling price gauges falling for a second month in July, albeit remaining elevated.\n“Inflationary pressures and supply constraints – both in terms of labour and materials shortages - nevertheless remain major sources of uncertainty among businesses, as does the delta variant, all of which has pushed business optimism about the year ahead to the lowest seen so far this year.The concern is this drop in confidence could feed through to reduced spending, investment and hiring, adding to the possibility that growth could slow further in coming months.”\nFor context, the US Composite index is now running below that of Europe's...\nSource: Bloomberg","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}