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Darianthum
2021-08-31
$Alibaba(BABA)$
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Darianthum
2021-10-04
$Alibaba(BABA)$
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Darianthum
2021-08-29
$Alibaba(BABA)$
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Darianthum
2021-09-07
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Nvidia Reportedly Faces EU Opposition to Arm Deal<blockquote>据报道英伟达面临欧盟对Arm交易的反对</blockquote>
Darianthum
2021-08-16
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Darianthum
2021-10-30
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
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Darianthum
2021-08-26
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Darianthum
2021-08-19
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Stocks End the Day in an Ugly Way After Fed Minutes Show Taper Talk Is Serious<blockquote>美联储会议纪要显示缩减购债计划是严肃的,股市以丑陋的方式收盘</blockquote>
Darianthum
2021-08-12
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Darianthum
2021-10-16
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
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Darianthum
2021-09-22
$Alibaba(BABA)$
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Darianthum
2021-08-17
I start to kan cheong already😱😱please like and comment 🙏
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Darianthum
2021-08-11
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What stocks and sectors will benefit from the infrastructure bill?<blockquote>哪些股票和板块将从基建法案中受益?</blockquote>
Darianthum
2021-10-18
$Alibaba(BABA)$
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Darianthum
2021-09-06
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Can The Bulls Defy The Odds Of September Weakness?<blockquote>多头能否顶住9月份疲软的可能性?</blockquote>
Darianthum
2021-08-18
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Toplines Before US Market Opens Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>
Darianthum
2021-08-11
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Darianthum
2021-10-27
$Alibaba(BABA)$
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Darianthum
2021-09-24
$Alibaba(BABA)$
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Darianthum
2021-09-18
$Alibaba(BABA)$
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Deal<blockquote>据报道英伟达面临欧盟对Arm交易的反对</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174694367","media":"Barron's","summary":"NVIDIA Corp, the largest U.S. semiconductor maker by market value, reportedly faces fresh opposition","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA Corp</a>, the largest U.S. semiconductor maker by market value, reportedly faces fresh opposition from the European Union over its planned $40 billion acquisition of British chipmaker Arm.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达公司</a>据报道,美国市值最大的半导体制造商,因计划以400亿美元收购英国芯片制造商Arm而面临欧盟的新反对。</blockquote></p><p> EU officials said concessions made by Nvidia (ticker: NVDA) don’t go far enough to mitigate potential damage to rivals, the Financial Times reported, citing unidentified EU officials.</p><p><blockquote>据英国《金融时报》援引身份不明的欧盟官员报道,欧盟官员表示,英伟达(股票代码:NVDA)做出的让步不足以减轻对竞争对手的潜在损害。</blockquote></p><p> One official told the Financial Times that it’s “not certain the deal will get easily cleared here.” But people with direct knowledge of the Brussels investigation told the FT it was too early to say whether the deal would be blocked, and that an agreement could still be reached.</p><p><blockquote>一位官员告诉英国《金融时报》,“不确定这笔交易是否会在这里轻松获得批准”。但直接了解布鲁塞尔调查的人士告诉英国《金融时报》,现在判断该交易是否会被阻止还为时过早,仍有可能达成协议。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia is preparing to file for regulatory clearance for the deal in Brussels this week, possibly as soon as Tuesday, according to the FT.</p><p><blockquote>据英国《金融时报》报道,英伟达正准备本周在布鲁塞尔申请该交易的监管许可,最早可能在周二。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia told Barron’s in late August that it was “working through the regulatory process and we look forward to engaging with the European Commission to address any concerns they may have.”</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在8月底告诉《巴伦周刊》,它“正在完成监管程序,我们期待与欧盟委员会合作,解决他们可能存在的任何担忧。”</blockquote></p><p> The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> Kingdom last month said that Nvidia’s acquisition of Arm raised “serious competition concerns.” The U.K.’s competition watchdog recommended an in-depth investigation of the deal.</p><p><blockquote>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>Kingdom上个月表示,英伟达收购Arm引发了“严重的竞争担忧”。英国竞争监管机构建议对该交易进行深入调查。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia has acknowledged that its acquisition of Arm was taking longer than expected with the deal facing regulatory scrutiny in several countries. Nvidia said, however, that it was “confident in the deal and that regulators should recognize the benefits of the acquisition to Arm, its licensees, and the industry.”</p><p><blockquote>英伟达承认,由于该交易面临多个国家的监管审查,其收购Arm的时间比预期的要长。不过,英伟达表示,它“对这笔交易充满信心,监管机构应该认识到此次收购对Arm、其被许可方和行业的好处。”</blockquote></p><p> Beyond the EU and U.K., Nvidia must gain approval from regulators in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> and the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>在欧盟和英国之外,英伟达必须获得监管机构的批准<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>和美国。</blockquote></p><p> Owned by Japanese investor SoftBank, Arm licenses intellectual property to the likes of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), and Samsung, which all use the chip designs in the mobile phones and computer processors.</p><p><blockquote>Arm归日本投资者软银所有,将知识产权许可给<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>(AAPL)、亚马逊(AMZN)和三星,它们都在手机和计算机处理器中使用芯片设计。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia shares dipped over 1% in early trading Tuesday to $225.66.</p><p><blockquote>Nvidia股价周二早盘下跌超过1%,至225.66美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78c3f1811ea8825352c7379013ad3782\" tg-width=\"282\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Reportedly Faces EU Opposition to Arm Deal<blockquote>据报道英伟达面临欧盟对Arm交易的反对</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-07 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA Corp</a>, the largest U.S. semiconductor maker by market value, reportedly faces fresh opposition from the European Union over its planned $40 billion acquisition of British chipmaker Arm.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达公司</a>据报道,美国市值最大的半导体制造商,因计划以400亿美元收购英国芯片制造商Arm而面临欧盟的新反对。</blockquote></p><p> EU officials said concessions made by Nvidia (ticker: NVDA) don’t go far enough to mitigate potential damage to rivals, the Financial Times reported, citing unidentified EU officials.</p><p><blockquote>据英国《金融时报》援引身份不明的欧盟官员报道,欧盟官员表示,英伟达(股票代码:NVDA)做出的让步不足以减轻对竞争对手的潜在损害。</blockquote></p><p> One official told the Financial Times that it’s “not certain the deal will get easily cleared here.” But people with direct knowledge of the Brussels investigation told the FT it was too early to say whether the deal would be blocked, and that an agreement could still be reached.</p><p><blockquote>一位官员告诉英国《金融时报》,“不确定这笔交易是否会在这里轻松获得批准”。但直接了解布鲁塞尔调查的人士告诉英国《金融时报》,现在判断该交易是否会被阻止还为时过早,仍有可能达成协议。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia is preparing to file for regulatory clearance for the deal in Brussels this week, possibly as soon as Tuesday, according to the FT.</p><p><blockquote>据英国《金融时报》报道,英伟达正准备本周在布鲁塞尔申请该交易的监管许可,最早可能在周二。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia told Barron’s in late August that it was “working through the regulatory process and we look forward to engaging with the European Commission to address any concerns they may have.”</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在8月底告诉《巴伦周刊》,它“正在完成监管程序,我们期待与欧盟委员会合作,解决他们可能存在的任何担忧。”</blockquote></p><p> The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> Kingdom last month said that Nvidia’s acquisition of Arm raised “serious competition concerns.” The U.K.’s competition watchdog recommended an in-depth investigation of the deal.</p><p><blockquote>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>Kingdom上个月表示,英伟达收购Arm引发了“严重的竞争担忧”。英国竞争监管机构建议对该交易进行深入调查。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia has acknowledged that its acquisition of Arm was taking longer than expected with the deal facing regulatory scrutiny in several countries. Nvidia said, however, that it was “confident in the deal and that regulators should recognize the benefits of the acquisition to Arm, its licensees, and the industry.”</p><p><blockquote>英伟达承认,由于该交易面临多个国家的监管审查,其收购Arm的时间比预期的要长。不过,英伟达表示,它“对这笔交易充满信心,监管机构应该认识到此次收购对Arm、其被许可方和行业的好处。”</blockquote></p><p> Beyond the EU and U.K., Nvidia must gain approval from regulators in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> and the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>在欧盟和英国之外,英伟达必须获得监管机构的批准<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>和美国。</blockquote></p><p> Owned by Japanese investor SoftBank, Arm licenses intellectual property to the likes of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), and Samsung, which all use the chip designs in the mobile phones and computer processors.</p><p><blockquote>Arm归日本投资者软银所有,将知识产权许可给<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>(AAPL)、亚马逊(AMZN)和三星,它们都在手机和计算机处理器中使用芯片设计。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia shares dipped over 1% in early trading Tuesday to $225.66.</p><p><blockquote>Nvidia股价周二早盘下跌超过1%,至225.66美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78c3f1811ea8825352c7379013ad3782\" tg-width=\"282\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nvidia-nvda-stock-arm-acquisition-eu-opposition-51631015987?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nvidia-nvda-stock-arm-acquisition-eu-opposition-51631015987?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174694367","content_text":"NVIDIA Corp, the largest U.S. semiconductor maker by market value, reportedly faces fresh opposition from the European Union over its planned $40 billion acquisition of British chipmaker Arm.\nEU officials said concessions made by Nvidia (ticker: NVDA) don’t go far enough to mitigate potential damage to rivals, the Financial Times reported, citing unidentified EU officials.\nOne official told the Financial Times that it’s “not certain the deal will get easily cleared here.” But people with direct knowledge of the Brussels investigation told the FT it was too early to say whether the deal would be blocked, and that an agreement could still be reached.\nNvidia is preparing to file for regulatory clearance for the deal in Brussels this week, possibly as soon as Tuesday, according to the FT.\nNvidia told Barron’s in late August that it was “working through the regulatory process and we look forward to engaging with the European Commission to address any concerns they may have.”\nThe United Kingdom last month said that Nvidia’s acquisition of Arm raised “serious competition concerns.” The U.K.’s competition watchdog recommended an in-depth investigation of the deal.\nNvidia has acknowledged that its acquisition of Arm was taking longer than expected with the deal facing regulatory scrutiny in several countries. Nvidia said, however, that it was “confident in the deal and that regulators should recognize the benefits of the acquisition to Arm, its licensees, and the industry.”\nBeyond the EU and U.K., Nvidia must gain approval from regulators in China and the U.S.\nOwned by Japanese investor SoftBank, Arm licenses intellectual property to the likes of Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), and Samsung, which all use the chip designs in the mobile phones and computer processors.\nNvidia shares dipped over 1% in early trading Tuesday to $225.66.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830745920,"gmtCreate":1629102901860,"gmtModify":1633687391444,"author":{"id":"4090644138998230","authorId":"4090644138998230","name":"Darianthum","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087898c16a965a28e6bac81e9a97ea17","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090644138998230","idStr":"4090644138998230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and comment 🙏🙏🙏","listText":"Please like and comment 🙏🙏🙏","text":"Please like and comment 🙏🙏🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830745920","repostId":"1119726374","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":840025642,"gmtCreate":1635570756956,"gmtModify":1635570757114,"author":{"id":"4090644138998230","authorId":"4090644138998230","name":"Darianthum","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087898c16a965a28e6bac81e9a97ea17","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090644138998230","idStr":"4090644138998230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>try try try 😉 ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>try try try 😉 ","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$try try try 😉","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3be001ece87b2deeface61c4cada396a","width":"1080","height":"3510"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840025642","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":649,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":810519380,"gmtCreate":1629986118640,"gmtModify":1704954194005,"author":{"id":"4090644138998230","authorId":"4090644138998230","name":"Darianthum","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087898c16a965a28e6bac81e9a97ea17","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090644138998230","idStr":"4090644138998230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and comment ","listText":"Please like and comment ","text":"Please like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810519380","repostId":"1113528238","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831406265,"gmtCreate":1629338546957,"gmtModify":1633685568979,"author":{"id":"4090644138998230","authorId":"4090644138998230","name":"Darianthum","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087898c16a965a28e6bac81e9a97ea17","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090644138998230","idStr":"4090644138998230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and comment 🙏","listText":"Please like and comment 🙏","text":"Please like and comment 🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831406265","repostId":"1173912409","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173912409","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629328047,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173912409?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-19 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks End the Day in an Ugly Way After Fed Minutes Show Taper Talk Is Serious<blockquote>美联储会议纪要显示缩减购债计划是严肃的,股市以丑陋的方式收盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173912409","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stocks sold off Wednesday after the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting.\nTh","content":"<p>Stocks sold off Wednesday after the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting.</p><p><blockquote>美联储7月会议纪要公布后,周三股市遭到抛售。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 383 points, or 1.1%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.1%. The Nasdaq Composite declined 0.9%. All three finished near their lows of the day.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌383点,跌幅1.1%,标普500下跌1.1%。纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%。三者收盘均接近当日低点。</blockquote></p><p> Fed governors have been dropping hints in recent weeks that the beginning of the end of the central bank’s bond buying was nearing, and the minutes confirmed that taperingis at hand. “Most participants noted that …it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year,” the minutes read.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周,美联储理事一直在暗示央行债券购买即将结束,会议纪要证实了缩减购债规模。会议纪要中写道:“大多数与会者指出……今年开始放慢资产购买步伐可能是合适的。”</blockquote></p><p> The assessment comes as the economy has recovered quickly, and reflects that the Fed is now focused on when—and how quickly—to remove support from the economy.</p><p><blockquote>这一评估是在经济迅速复苏之际做出的,反映出美联储现在关注的是何时以及以多快的速度取消对经济的支持。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff was broad. About 83% of S&P 500 stocks fell on the day, according to FactSet. This dynamics often reflects concern about how the market will perform without the Fed there to support it.</p><p><blockquote>抛售是广泛的。FactSet的数据显示,当天约83%的标普500股票下跌。这种动态通常反映了人们对如果没有美联储的支持,市场将如何表现的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s just a question of when tapering will begin. It’ “is going to be September or December,” said Dave Wagner, portfolio manager and analyst at Aptus Capital Advisors. “Everyone is focusing on Jackson Hole in my opinion,” he continued, referring to the conclave of central bankers that occurs later this month in Jackson Hole, Wyo.</p><p><blockquote>现在,只是何时开始缩减规模的问题。Aptus Capital Advisors的投资组合经理兼分析师戴夫·瓦格纳(Dave Wagner)表示,“将是9月或12月”。“在我看来,每个人都在关注杰克逊霍尔,”他继续说道,指的是本月晚些时候在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的央行行长秘密会议。</blockquote></p><p> Strangely, the bond market didn’t react all that much, with the 10-year Treasury yield closing at 1.27%, where it hovered for most of the day. The 2-year yield, which often moves higher when market participants see the Fed hiking short-term interest rates sooner, ended at 0.21%, lower than the 0.22% it hit in the morning.</p><p><blockquote>奇怪的是,债券市场并没有做出太大反应,10年期国债收益率收于1.27%,全天大部分时间都在该水平徘徊。当市场参与者看到美联储更快加息时,2年期国债收益率通常会走高,收于0.21%,低于上午触及的0.22%。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we’ve learned anything new,” said Tom Graff, head of fixed income at Brown Advisory. Graff added that the consensus for a short-term interest rate hikes in 2022 or 2023 hasn’t changed.</p><p><blockquote>布朗咨询公司固定收益主管汤姆·格拉夫表示:“我认为我们没有学到任何新东西。”格拉夫补充说,2022年或2023年短期加息的共识没有改变。</blockquote></p><p> A weak market, however, couldn’t keep some stocks down. For some, it was about earnings.Lowe’s (ticker: LOW) stock rose 9.6% after reporting a profit of $4.25 a share, beating estimates of $4.01 a share, on sales of $27.6 billion, above expectations for $26.9 billion.TJX (TJX) stock rose 6% after reporting a profit of 64 cents a share, beating estimates of 59 cents a share, on sales of $12.1 billion, above expectations for $11 billion.</p><p><blockquote>然而,疲软的市场并不能让一些股票下跌。对于一些人来说,这与盈利有关。Lowe's(股票代码:LOW)公布每股利润4.25美元,超出预期每股4.01美元,销售额276亿美元,高于预期269亿美元,股价上涨9.6%。TJX(TJX)股价上涨6%,公布每股利润64美分,超出预期每股59美分,销售额为121亿美元,高于预期110亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Others were buoyed by analyst upgrades, with ViacomCBS (VIAC) stock rose 3.7% after getting upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, and BlackBerry (BB) stock gained 4.2% after getting upgraded to Hold from Sell at Canaccord Genuity.</p><p><blockquote>其他人则受到分析师升级的提振,维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司(VIAC)股票在富国银行(Wells Fargo)将评级从“同等权重”上调至“跑赢大盘”后上涨3.7%;黑莓(BB)股票在Canaccord Genuity将评级从“卖出”上调至“持有”后上涨4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Tilray (TLRY) stock rose 1.1% after the company bought senior secured convertible notes in marijuana company MedMen Enterprises. The notes would convert into an equity stake if cannabis is legalized in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>Tilray(TLRY)股价上涨1.1%,此前该公司购买了大麻公司MedMen Enterprises的高级担保可转换票据。如果大麻在美国合法化,这些票据将转换为股权。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks End the Day in an Ugly Way After Fed Minutes Show Taper Talk Is Serious<blockquote>美联储会议纪要显示缩减购债计划是严肃的,股市以丑陋的方式收盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks End the Day in an Ugly Way After Fed Minutes Show Taper Talk Is Serious<blockquote>美联储会议纪要显示缩减购债计划是严肃的,股市以丑陋的方式收盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-19 07:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stocks sold off Wednesday after the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting.</p><p><blockquote>美联储7月会议纪要公布后,周三股市遭到抛售。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 383 points, or 1.1%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.1%. The Nasdaq Composite declined 0.9%. All three finished near their lows of the day.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌383点,跌幅1.1%,标普500下跌1.1%。纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%。三者收盘均接近当日低点。</blockquote></p><p> Fed governors have been dropping hints in recent weeks that the beginning of the end of the central bank’s bond buying was nearing, and the minutes confirmed that taperingis at hand. “Most participants noted that …it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year,” the minutes read.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周,美联储理事一直在暗示央行债券购买即将结束,会议纪要证实了缩减购债规模。会议纪要中写道:“大多数与会者指出……今年开始放慢资产购买步伐可能是合适的。”</blockquote></p><p> The assessment comes as the economy has recovered quickly, and reflects that the Fed is now focused on when—and how quickly—to remove support from the economy.</p><p><blockquote>这一评估是在经济迅速复苏之际做出的,反映出美联储现在关注的是何时以及以多快的速度取消对经济的支持。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff was broad. About 83% of S&P 500 stocks fell on the day, according to FactSet. This dynamics often reflects concern about how the market will perform without the Fed there to support it.</p><p><blockquote>抛售是广泛的。FactSet的数据显示,当天约83%的标普500股票下跌。这种动态通常反映了人们对如果没有美联储的支持,市场将如何表现的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s just a question of when tapering will begin. It’ “is going to be September or December,” said Dave Wagner, portfolio manager and analyst at Aptus Capital Advisors. “Everyone is focusing on Jackson Hole in my opinion,” he continued, referring to the conclave of central bankers that occurs later this month in Jackson Hole, Wyo.</p><p><blockquote>现在,只是何时开始缩减规模的问题。Aptus Capital Advisors的投资组合经理兼分析师戴夫·瓦格纳(Dave Wagner)表示,“将是9月或12月”。“在我看来,每个人都在关注杰克逊霍尔,”他继续说道,指的是本月晚些时候在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的央行行长秘密会议。</blockquote></p><p> Strangely, the bond market didn’t react all that much, with the 10-year Treasury yield closing at 1.27%, where it hovered for most of the day. The 2-year yield, which often moves higher when market participants see the Fed hiking short-term interest rates sooner, ended at 0.21%, lower than the 0.22% it hit in the morning.</p><p><blockquote>奇怪的是,债券市场并没有做出太大反应,10年期国债收益率收于1.27%,全天大部分时间都在该水平徘徊。当市场参与者看到美联储更快加息时,2年期国债收益率通常会走高,收于0.21%,低于上午触及的0.22%。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we’ve learned anything new,” said Tom Graff, head of fixed income at Brown Advisory. Graff added that the consensus for a short-term interest rate hikes in 2022 or 2023 hasn’t changed.</p><p><blockquote>布朗咨询公司固定收益主管汤姆·格拉夫表示:“我认为我们没有学到任何新东西。”格拉夫补充说,2022年或2023年短期加息的共识没有改变。</blockquote></p><p> A weak market, however, couldn’t keep some stocks down. For some, it was about earnings.Lowe’s (ticker: LOW) stock rose 9.6% after reporting a profit of $4.25 a share, beating estimates of $4.01 a share, on sales of $27.6 billion, above expectations for $26.9 billion.TJX (TJX) stock rose 6% after reporting a profit of 64 cents a share, beating estimates of 59 cents a share, on sales of $12.1 billion, above expectations for $11 billion.</p><p><blockquote>然而,疲软的市场并不能让一些股票下跌。对于一些人来说,这与盈利有关。Lowe's(股票代码:LOW)公布每股利润4.25美元,超出预期每股4.01美元,销售额276亿美元,高于预期269亿美元,股价上涨9.6%。TJX(TJX)股价上涨6%,公布每股利润64美分,超出预期每股59美分,销售额为121亿美元,高于预期110亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Others were buoyed by analyst upgrades, with ViacomCBS (VIAC) stock rose 3.7% after getting upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, and BlackBerry (BB) stock gained 4.2% after getting upgraded to Hold from Sell at Canaccord Genuity.</p><p><blockquote>其他人则受到分析师升级的提振,维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司(VIAC)股票在富国银行(Wells Fargo)将评级从“同等权重”上调至“跑赢大盘”后上涨3.7%;黑莓(BB)股票在Canaccord Genuity将评级从“卖出”上调至“持有”后上涨4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Tilray (TLRY) stock rose 1.1% after the company bought senior secured convertible notes in marijuana company MedMen Enterprises. The notes would convert into an equity stake if cannabis is legalized in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>Tilray(TLRY)股价上涨1.1%,此前该公司购买了大麻公司MedMen Enterprises的高级担保可转换票据。如果大麻在美国合法化,这些票据将转换为股权。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-today-51629283162?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TJX":"The TJX Companies Inc.","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BB":"黑莓","LOW":"劳氏",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-today-51629283162?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173912409","content_text":"Stocks sold off Wednesday after the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 383 points, or 1.1%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.1%. The Nasdaq Composite declined 0.9%. All three finished near their lows of the day.\nFed governors have been dropping hints in recent weeks that the beginning of the end of the central bank’s bond buying was nearing, and the minutes confirmed that taperingis at hand. “Most participants noted that …it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year,” the minutes read.\nThe assessment comes as the economy has recovered quickly, and reflects that the Fed is now focused on when—and how quickly—to remove support from the economy.\nThe selloff was broad. About 83% of S&P 500 stocks fell on the day, according to FactSet. This dynamics often reflects concern about how the market will perform without the Fed there to support it.\nNow, it’s just a question of when tapering will begin. It’ “is going to be September or December,” said Dave Wagner, portfolio manager and analyst at Aptus Capital Advisors. “Everyone is focusing on Jackson Hole in my opinion,” he continued, referring to the conclave of central bankers that occurs later this month in Jackson Hole, Wyo.\nStrangely, the bond market didn’t react all that much, with the 10-year Treasury yield closing at 1.27%, where it hovered for most of the day. The 2-year yield, which often moves higher when market participants see the Fed hiking short-term interest rates sooner, ended at 0.21%, lower than the 0.22% it hit in the morning.\n“I don’t think we’ve learned anything new,” said Tom Graff, head of fixed income at Brown Advisory. Graff added that the consensus for a short-term interest rate hikes in 2022 or 2023 hasn’t changed.\nA weak market, however, couldn’t keep some stocks down. For some, it was about earnings.Lowe’s (ticker: LOW) stock rose 9.6% after reporting a profit of $4.25 a share, beating estimates of $4.01 a share, on sales of $27.6 billion, above expectations for $26.9 billion.TJX (TJX) stock rose 6% after reporting a profit of 64 cents a share, beating estimates of 59 cents a share, on sales of $12.1 billion, above expectations for $11 billion.\nOthers were buoyed by analyst upgrades, with ViacomCBS (VIAC) stock rose 3.7% after getting upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, and BlackBerry (BB) stock gained 4.2% after getting upgraded to Hold from Sell at Canaccord Genuity.\nTilray (TLRY) stock rose 1.1% after the company bought senior secured convertible notes in marijuana company MedMen Enterprises. The notes would convert into an equity stake if cannabis is legalized in the U.S.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BB":0.9,"TJX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"VIAC":0.9,"LOW":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"TLRY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":330,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895420762,"gmtCreate":1628767016556,"gmtModify":1633689683156,"author":{"id":"4090644138998230","authorId":"4090644138998230","name":"Darianthum","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087898c16a965a28e6bac81e9a97ea17","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090644138998230","idStr":"4090644138998230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and comment 🙏🙏🙏","listText":"Please like and comment 🙏🙏🙏","text":"Please like and comment 🙏🙏🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895420762","repostId":"2158256229","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":824790379,"gmtCreate":1634351714059,"gmtModify":1634351714575,"author":{"id":"4090644138998230","authorId":"4090644138998230","name":"Darianthum","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087898c16a965a28e6bac81e9a97ea17","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090644138998230","idStr":"4090644138998230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>like like 👍 ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>like like 👍 ","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$like like 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like🙏🙏🙏","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b665e88f8f7a9ad43b5f35839eca413","width":"1440","height":"4292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869537333","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839444331,"gmtCreate":1629177432123,"gmtModify":1633686787053,"author":{"id":"4090644138998230","authorId":"4090644138998230","name":"Darianthum","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087898c16a965a28e6bac81e9a97ea17","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090644138998230","idStr":"4090644138998230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I start to kan cheong already😱😱please like and comment 🙏","listText":"I start to kan cheong already😱😱please like and comment 🙏","text":"I start to kan cheong already😱😱please like and comment 🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839444331","repostId":"2159222279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892291298,"gmtCreate":1628661614514,"gmtModify":1633745284246,"author":{"id":"4090644138998230","authorId":"4090644138998230","name":"Darianthum","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087898c16a965a28e6bac81e9a97ea17","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090644138998230","idStr":"4090644138998230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like🙏🙏🙏","listText":"Please like🙏🙏🙏","text":"Please like🙏🙏🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892291298","repostId":"1147144306","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147144306","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628651652,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147144306?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-11 11:14","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"What stocks and sectors will benefit from the infrastructure bill?<blockquote>哪些股票和板块将从基建法案中受益?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147144306","media":"Market Wacth","summary":"What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the House and be signed into law by President Joe Biden?Thebill reauthorizes spendingon existing federal public-works programs and pours a fresh $550 billion into water projects, the electrical grid and safety efforts. It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion","content":"<p>What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the House and be signed into law by President Joe Biden?</p><p><blockquote>继美国之后,哪些资产将获得提振。参议院星期二在两党的广泛支持下通过了一项大约1万亿美元的基础设施计划,使该计划有望在众议院获得通过,并由总统乔·拜登签署成为法律?</blockquote></p><p> Thebill reauthorizes spendingon existing federal public-works programs and pours a fresh $550 billion into water projects, the electrical grid and safety efforts. It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion for rail, $65 billion for broadband internet and $55 billion for water systems.</p><p><blockquote>该法案重新授权现有联邦公共工程项目的支出,并向水利项目、电网和安全工作注入新的5500亿美元。其中包括1100亿美元用于道路、桥梁和其他项目,以及660亿美元用于铁路、650亿美元用于宽带互联网和550亿美元用于供水系统。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts say that much of the bill’s positive impact on the economy have already been priced into financial markets but it is possible that a further fillip for stocks could be enjoyed, especially as worries linger about the potential for the delta variant of COVID-19 to stymie aspects of the economic recovery from the deadly pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师表示,该法案对经济的大部分积极影响已经反映在金融市场中,但股市可能会受到进一步刺激,特别是在人们对COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株潜力的担忧挥之不去的情况下。19阻碍了经济从致命大流行中复苏的各个方面。</blockquote></p><p> “The passage of the infrastructure bill is a nice headline but unlikely to be a big market mover at this point,” wrote Brian Price, head of investment management at Commonwealth Financial Network in emailed remarks.</p><p><blockquote>联邦金融网络投资管理主管布莱恩·普莱斯在电子邮件中写道:“基础设施法案的通过是一个不错的头条新闻,但目前不太可能对市场产生重大影响。”</blockquote></p><p> “I think a lot of the enthusiasm has been priced in over the past few weeks and investors are focused on other factors at this point,” he said, perhaps, referring to investors’ current fixation over the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will taper its monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities, which had helped to stabilize the market during the height the pandemic back in March and April of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>他表示:“我认为过去几周的热情已经被消化了,投资者目前正在关注其他因素。”他可能指的是投资者目前对美联储缩减购债规模的可能性的关注。每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券,这有助于在2020年3月和4月疫情最严重期间稳定市场。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the stock market was headed higher on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.46%and S&P 500SPX,+0.10%at or near all-time closing highs, after the bill’s passage in the Upper chamber, with a 69-to-30 vote, with 19 Republicans also joining the Democratic yeas, The Wall Street Journal reported.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,该法案在上议院以69票通过后,周二股市仍走高,道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA上涨0.46%,标准普尔500SPX上涨0.10%,达到或接近历史收盘高点。据《华尔街日报》报道,投票结果为-30,19名共和党人也加入了民主党。</blockquote></p><p> A popular exchange-traded fund that offers exposure to stocks that would benefit from an infrastructure bill, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EFFE\">Global X</a> U.S. Infrastructure Development ETFPAVE,+2.19%,was up 2.2% on Tuesday and has climbed 4.7% within the past 30 days, FactSet data show.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d21f2ed025a84fdc2840732cbf4dff62\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Pave the way higher?The 'PAVE' ETF has been rising over the past 30 daysGlobal X US Infrastructure Development ETFSource: FactSetAs of Aug. 10, 4 p.m. ETJune 2021Aug.24.525.025.526.026.527.0$27.5</p><p><blockquote>这是一只受欢迎的交易所交易基金,提供受益于基础设施法案的股票投资,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EFFE\">全球X</a>FactSet数据显示,美国基础设施开发ETFPAVE,+2.19%,周二上涨2.2%,过去30天内上涨4.7%。铺路更高?“PAVE”ETF在过去30天内一直在上涨Global X美国基础设施开发ETF资料来源:FactSetAs截至8月10日下午4点ET2021年6月24.525.025.526.026.527.0$27.5</blockquote></p><p> PAVE, referring to the infrastructure ETFs ticker symbol is up 28% so far in 2021, compared with year-to-date gains of around 15% for the S&P 500 and the Dow.</p><p><blockquote>PAVE(指基础设施ETF股票代码)2021年迄今已上涨28%,而标普500和道琼斯指数今年迄今的涨幅约为15%。</blockquote></p><p> PAVE holds 100 stocks, from small-cap to large-cap companies, that derive at least 50% of revenue from infrastructure construction, materials and equipment supply and related services in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>PAVE持有100只股票,从小盘股到大盘股公司,这些公司至少50%的收入来自美国的基础设施建设、材料和设备供应以及相关服务。</blockquote></p><p> Similarly, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IFRA\">iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF</a>IFRA,+1.45%,another way to play infrastructure, rose 1.3% on Tuesday and is up nearly 22% in the first eight months of the year. The iShares ETF also includes 20 electric utilities and four water utilities, and for that reason isn’t always viewed as a pure-play infrastructure fund.</p><p><blockquote>同样,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IFRA\">iShares美国基础设施ETF</a>IFRA,+1.45%,基础设施的另一种玩法,周二上涨1.3%,今年前八个月上涨近22%。iShares ETF还包括20家电力公司和4家水务公司,因此并不总是被视为纯粹的基础设施基金。</blockquote></p><p> The Industrial <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLCT\">Select</a> Sector SPDR ETFXLI,+1.02%,which tracks the S&P 500’s industrial sector, was up 1% on Tuesday and has gained nearly 18% in the year so far.</p><p><blockquote>工业<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLCT\">选择</a>追踪标普500工业板块的SPDR ETFXLI,+1.02%周二上涨1%,今年迄今已上涨近18%。</blockquote></p><p> Back in the spring MarketWatch’s Philip van Doorn wrote that there are about 20 companies that are included in PAVE that might have the most upsidepotential for investors. Those include <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TISI\">Team</a> Inc., which was up 4.4% on Tuesday but has declined 56% in the year to date and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRIM\">Primoris</a>, which was up 2.9% on the day but down 3.6% so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>早在春季,MarketWatch的Philip van Doorn就写道,PAVE中约有20家公司可能对投资者来说最具上涨潜力。这些包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TISI\">团队</a>Inc.周二上涨4.4%,但今年迄今已下跌56%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRIM\">普里莫里斯</a>,当日上涨2.9%,但今年迄今下跌3.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Company names</b></td> <td><b>YTD % return</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Team Inc.TISI,+4.37%</td> <td>-56.83</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Primoris Services Corp.PRIM,+2.90%</td> <td>-3.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCO\">Columbus McKinnon</a> Corp.CMCO,+2.03%</td> <td>17.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLDR\">Builders FirstSource</a> Inc.BLDR,+2.72%</td> <td>19.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMS\">Advanced Drainage</a> Systems Inc.WMS,+1.89%</td> <td>40%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIMCV\">Altra Industrial Motion Corp.</a>AIMC,+3.15%</td> <td>10.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DY\">Dycom</a> IndustriesDY,-0.96%</td> <td>-5.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.CLF,+5.05%</td> <td>78.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RXN\">Rexnord</a> Corp.RXN,+1.91%</td> <td>51%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRI\">Herc</a> Holdings Inc.HRI,+2.28%</td> <td>90%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Overall, the investment in infrastructure is the biggest investment in roads, bridges and tunnels and other areas of America’s inner workings in a generation.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司名称</b></td><td><b>年初至今回报率百分比</b></td></tr><tr><td>Team Inc.TISI,+4.37%</td><td>-56.83</td></tr><tr><td>Primoris Services Corp.PRIM,+2.90%</td><td>-3.6%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCO\">哥伦布·麦金农</a>CMCO公司,+2.03%</td><td>17.6%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLDR\">建筑商FirstSource</a>Inc.BLDR,+2.72%</td><td>19.6%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMS\">高级排水</a>系统公司WMS,+1.89%</td><td>40%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIMCV\">阿尔特拉工业运动公司。</a>AIMC,+3.15%</td><td>10.5%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DY\">Dycom</a>工业DY,-0.96%</td><td>-5.7%</td></tr><tr><td>克利夫兰克利夫斯公司CLF,+5.05%</td><td>78.7%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RXN\">雷克斯诺德</a>公司RXN,+1.91%</td><td>51%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRI\">Herc</a>控股公司HRI,+2.28%</td><td>90%</td></tr></tbody></table>总体而言,基础设施投资是一代人以来对道路、桥梁和隧道以及美国内部运作其他领域的最大投资。</blockquote></p><p> Edward Moya, analyst at Oanda, said that the infrastructure package, should it get quickly passed by the House, is very constructive in “driving the cyclical trade,” particularly as there have been concerns about the delta variant of COVID.</p><p><blockquote>Oanda分析师Edward Moya表示,如果众议院迅速通过基础设施一揽子计划,对于“推动周期性贸易”非常有建设性,特别是在人们担心新冠疫情的德尔塔变异毒株的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> “Spending will take a few years to ramp up and will in any case be spread over the rest of the decade,” said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a recent note.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)美国高级经济学家迈克尔·皮尔斯(Michael Pearce)在最近的一份报告中表示:“支出将需要几年时间才能增加,而且无论如何都将分散到这十年的剩余时间里。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What stocks and sectors will benefit from the infrastructure bill?<blockquote>哪些股票和板块将从基建法案中受益?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat stocks and sectors will benefit from the infrastructure bill?<blockquote>哪些股票和板块将从基建法案中受益?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Wacth</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-11 11:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the House and be signed into law by President Joe Biden?</p><p><blockquote>继美国之后,哪些资产将获得提振。参议院星期二在两党的广泛支持下通过了一项大约1万亿美元的基础设施计划,使该计划有望在众议院获得通过,并由总统乔·拜登签署成为法律?</blockquote></p><p> Thebill reauthorizes spendingon existing federal public-works programs and pours a fresh $550 billion into water projects, the electrical grid and safety efforts. It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion for rail, $65 billion for broadband internet and $55 billion for water systems.</p><p><blockquote>该法案重新授权现有联邦公共工程项目的支出,并向水利项目、电网和安全工作注入新的5500亿美元。其中包括1100亿美元用于道路、桥梁和其他项目,以及660亿美元用于铁路、650亿美元用于宽带互联网和550亿美元用于供水系统。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts say that much of the bill’s positive impact on the economy have already been priced into financial markets but it is possible that a further fillip for stocks could be enjoyed, especially as worries linger about the potential for the delta variant of COVID-19 to stymie aspects of the economic recovery from the deadly pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师表示,该法案对经济的大部分积极影响已经反映在金融市场中,但股市可能会受到进一步刺激,特别是在人们对COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株潜力的担忧挥之不去的情况下。19阻碍了经济从致命大流行中复苏的各个方面。</blockquote></p><p> “The passage of the infrastructure bill is a nice headline but unlikely to be a big market mover at this point,” wrote Brian Price, head of investment management at Commonwealth Financial Network in emailed remarks.</p><p><blockquote>联邦金融网络投资管理主管布莱恩·普莱斯在电子邮件中写道:“基础设施法案的通过是一个不错的头条新闻,但目前不太可能对市场产生重大影响。”</blockquote></p><p> “I think a lot of the enthusiasm has been priced in over the past few weeks and investors are focused on other factors at this point,” he said, perhaps, referring to investors’ current fixation over the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will taper its monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities, which had helped to stabilize the market during the height the pandemic back in March and April of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>他表示:“我认为过去几周的热情已经被消化了,投资者目前正在关注其他因素。”他可能指的是投资者目前对美联储缩减购债规模的可能性的关注。每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券,这有助于在2020年3月和4月疫情最严重期间稳定市场。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the stock market was headed higher on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.46%and S&P 500SPX,+0.10%at or near all-time closing highs, after the bill’s passage in the Upper chamber, with a 69-to-30 vote, with 19 Republicans also joining the Democratic yeas, The Wall Street Journal reported.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,该法案在上议院以69票通过后,周二股市仍走高,道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA上涨0.46%,标准普尔500SPX上涨0.10%,达到或接近历史收盘高点。据《华尔街日报》报道,投票结果为-30,19名共和党人也加入了民主党。</blockquote></p><p> A popular exchange-traded fund that offers exposure to stocks that would benefit from an infrastructure bill, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EFFE\">Global X</a> U.S. Infrastructure Development ETFPAVE,+2.19%,was up 2.2% on Tuesday and has climbed 4.7% within the past 30 days, FactSet data show.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d21f2ed025a84fdc2840732cbf4dff62\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Pave the way higher?The 'PAVE' ETF has been rising over the past 30 daysGlobal X US Infrastructure Development ETFSource: FactSetAs of Aug. 10, 4 p.m. ETJune 2021Aug.24.525.025.526.026.527.0$27.5</p><p><blockquote>这是一只受欢迎的交易所交易基金,提供受益于基础设施法案的股票投资,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EFFE\">全球X</a>FactSet数据显示,美国基础设施开发ETFPAVE,+2.19%,周二上涨2.2%,过去30天内上涨4.7%。铺路更高?“PAVE”ETF在过去30天内一直在上涨Global X美国基础设施开发ETF资料来源:FactSetAs截至8月10日下午4点ET2021年6月24.525.025.526.026.527.0$27.5</blockquote></p><p> PAVE, referring to the infrastructure ETFs ticker symbol is up 28% so far in 2021, compared with year-to-date gains of around 15% for the S&P 500 and the Dow.</p><p><blockquote>PAVE(指基础设施ETF股票代码)2021年迄今已上涨28%,而标普500和道琼斯指数今年迄今的涨幅约为15%。</blockquote></p><p> PAVE holds 100 stocks, from small-cap to large-cap companies, that derive at least 50% of revenue from infrastructure construction, materials and equipment supply and related services in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>PAVE持有100只股票,从小盘股到大盘股公司,这些公司至少50%的收入来自美国的基础设施建设、材料和设备供应以及相关服务。</blockquote></p><p> Similarly, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IFRA\">iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF</a>IFRA,+1.45%,another way to play infrastructure, rose 1.3% on Tuesday and is up nearly 22% in the first eight months of the year. The iShares ETF also includes 20 electric utilities and four water utilities, and for that reason isn’t always viewed as a pure-play infrastructure fund.</p><p><blockquote>同样,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IFRA\">iShares美国基础设施ETF</a>IFRA,+1.45%,基础设施的另一种玩法,周二上涨1.3%,今年前八个月上涨近22%。iShares ETF还包括20家电力公司和4家水务公司,因此并不总是被视为纯粹的基础设施基金。</blockquote></p><p> The Industrial <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLCT\">Select</a> Sector SPDR ETFXLI,+1.02%,which tracks the S&P 500’s industrial sector, was up 1% on Tuesday and has gained nearly 18% in the year so far.</p><p><blockquote>工业<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLCT\">选择</a>追踪标普500工业板块的SPDR ETFXLI,+1.02%周二上涨1%,今年迄今已上涨近18%。</blockquote></p><p> Back in the spring MarketWatch’s Philip van Doorn wrote that there are about 20 companies that are included in PAVE that might have the most upsidepotential for investors. Those include <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TISI\">Team</a> Inc., which was up 4.4% on Tuesday but has declined 56% in the year to date and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRIM\">Primoris</a>, which was up 2.9% on the day but down 3.6% so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>早在春季,MarketWatch的Philip van Doorn就写道,PAVE中约有20家公司可能对投资者来说最具上涨潜力。这些包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TISI\">团队</a>Inc.周二上涨4.4%,但今年迄今已下跌56%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRIM\">普里莫里斯</a>,当日上涨2.9%,但今年迄今下跌3.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Company names</b></td> <td><b>YTD % return</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Team Inc.TISI,+4.37%</td> <td>-56.83</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Primoris Services Corp.PRIM,+2.90%</td> <td>-3.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCO\">Columbus McKinnon</a> Corp.CMCO,+2.03%</td> <td>17.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLDR\">Builders FirstSource</a> Inc.BLDR,+2.72%</td> <td>19.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMS\">Advanced Drainage</a> Systems Inc.WMS,+1.89%</td> <td>40%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIMCV\">Altra Industrial Motion Corp.</a>AIMC,+3.15%</td> <td>10.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DY\">Dycom</a> IndustriesDY,-0.96%</td> <td>-5.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.CLF,+5.05%</td> <td>78.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RXN\">Rexnord</a> Corp.RXN,+1.91%</td> <td>51%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRI\">Herc</a> Holdings Inc.HRI,+2.28%</td> <td>90%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Overall, the investment in infrastructure is the biggest investment in roads, bridges and tunnels and other areas of America’s inner workings in a generation.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司名称</b></td><td><b>年初至今回报率百分比</b></td></tr><tr><td>Team Inc.TISI,+4.37%</td><td>-56.83</td></tr><tr><td>Primoris Services Corp.PRIM,+2.90%</td><td>-3.6%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCO\">哥伦布·麦金农</a>CMCO公司,+2.03%</td><td>17.6%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLDR\">建筑商FirstSource</a>Inc.BLDR,+2.72%</td><td>19.6%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMS\">高级排水</a>系统公司WMS,+1.89%</td><td>40%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIMCV\">阿尔特拉工业运动公司。</a>AIMC,+3.15%</td><td>10.5%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DY\">Dycom</a>工业DY,-0.96%</td><td>-5.7%</td></tr><tr><td>克利夫兰克利夫斯公司CLF,+5.05%</td><td>78.7%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RXN\">雷克斯诺德</a>公司RXN,+1.91%</td><td>51%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRI\">Herc</a>控股公司HRI,+2.28%</td><td>90%</td></tr></tbody></table>总体而言,基础设施投资是一代人以来对道路、桥梁和隧道以及美国内部运作其他领域的最大投资。</blockquote></p><p> Edward Moya, analyst at Oanda, said that the infrastructure package, should it get quickly passed by the House, is very constructive in “driving the cyclical trade,” particularly as there have been concerns about the delta variant of COVID.</p><p><blockquote>Oanda分析师Edward Moya表示,如果众议院迅速通过基础设施一揽子计划,对于“推动周期性贸易”非常有建设性,特别是在人们担心新冠疫情的德尔塔变异毒株的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> “Spending will take a few years to ramp up and will in any case be spread over the rest of the decade,” said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a recent note.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)美国高级经济学家迈克尔·皮尔斯(Michael Pearce)在最近的一份报告中表示:“支出将需要几年时间才能增加,而且无论如何都将分散到这十年的剩余时间里。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-stocks-and-sectors-will-benefit-from-the-infrastructure-bill-11628628331?mod=home-page\">Market Wacth</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HRI":"Herc Holdings Inc.","TISI":"Team Inc","CLF":"克利夫兰克里夫","XLI":"工业指数ETF-SPDR","CMCO":"哥伦布-麦金农","PRIM":"Primoris Services Corporation","DY":"戴康工业","WMS":"Advanced Drainage","BLDR":"Builders FirstSource","IFRA":"iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-stocks-and-sectors-will-benefit-from-the-infrastructure-bill-11628628331?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147144306","content_text":"What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the House and be signed into law by President Joe Biden?\nThebill reauthorizes spendingon existing federal public-works programs and pours a fresh $550 billion into water projects, the electrical grid and safety efforts. It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion for rail, $65 billion for broadband internet and $55 billion for water systems.\nSome analysts say that much of the bill’s positive impact on the economy have already been priced into financial markets but it is possible that a further fillip for stocks could be enjoyed, especially as worries linger about the potential for the delta variant of COVID-19 to stymie aspects of the economic recovery from the deadly pandemic.\n“The passage of the infrastructure bill is a nice headline but unlikely to be a big market mover at this point,” wrote Brian Price, head of investment management at Commonwealth Financial Network in emailed remarks.\n“I think a lot of the enthusiasm has been priced in over the past few weeks and investors are focused on other factors at this point,” he said, perhaps, referring to investors’ current fixation over the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will taper its monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities, which had helped to stabilize the market during the height the pandemic back in March and April of 2020.\nStill, the stock market was headed higher on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.46%and S&P 500SPX,+0.10%at or near all-time closing highs, after the bill’s passage in the Upper chamber, with a 69-to-30 vote, with 19 Republicans also joining the Democratic yeas, The Wall Street Journal reported.\nA popular exchange-traded fund that offers exposure to stocks that would benefit from an infrastructure bill, the Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETFPAVE,+2.19%,was up 2.2% on Tuesday and has climbed 4.7% within the past 30 days, FactSet data show.Pave the way higher?The 'PAVE' ETF has been rising over the past 30 daysGlobal X US Infrastructure Development ETFSource: FactSetAs of Aug. 10, 4 p.m. ETJune 2021Aug.24.525.025.526.026.527.0$27.5\nPAVE, referring to the infrastructure ETFs ticker symbol is up 28% so far in 2021, compared with year-to-date gains of around 15% for the S&P 500 and the Dow.\nPAVE holds 100 stocks, from small-cap to large-cap companies, that derive at least 50% of revenue from infrastructure construction, materials and equipment supply and related services in the U.S.\nSimilarly, the iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETFIFRA,+1.45%,another way to play infrastructure, rose 1.3% on Tuesday and is up nearly 22% in the first eight months of the year. The iShares ETF also includes 20 electric utilities and four water utilities, and for that reason isn’t always viewed as a pure-play infrastructure fund.\nThe Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETFXLI,+1.02%,which tracks the S&P 500’s industrial sector, was up 1% on Tuesday and has gained nearly 18% in the year so far.\nBack in the spring MarketWatch’s Philip van Doorn wrote that there are about 20 companies that are included in PAVE that might have the most upsidepotential for investors. Those include Team Inc., which was up 4.4% on Tuesday but has declined 56% in the year to date and Primoris, which was up 2.9% on the day but down 3.6% so far this year.\n\n\n\nCompany names\nYTD % return\n\n\nTeam Inc.TISI,+4.37%\n-56.83\n\n\nPrimoris Services Corp.PRIM,+2.90%\n-3.6%\n\n\nColumbus McKinnon Corp.CMCO,+2.03%\n17.6%\n\n\nBuilders FirstSource Inc.BLDR,+2.72%\n19.6%\n\n\nAdvanced Drainage Systems Inc.WMS,+1.89%\n40%\n\n\nAltra Industrial Motion Corp.AIMC,+3.15%\n10.5%\n\n\nDycom IndustriesDY,-0.96%\n-5.7%\n\n\nCleveland-Cliffs Inc.CLF,+5.05%\n78.7%\n\n\nRexnord Corp.RXN,+1.91%\n51%\n\n\nHerc Holdings Inc.HRI,+2.28%\n90%\n\n\n\nOverall, the investment in infrastructure is the biggest investment in roads, bridges and tunnels and other areas of America’s inner workings in a generation.\nEdward Moya, analyst at Oanda, said that the infrastructure package, should it get quickly passed by the House, is very constructive in “driving the cyclical trade,” particularly as there have been concerns about the delta variant of COVID.\n“Spending will take a few years to ramp up and will in any case be spread over the rest of the decade,” said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a recent note.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PRIM":0.9,"BLDR":0.9,"HRI":0.9,"RXN":0.9,"IFRA":0.9,"TISI":0.9,"CLF":0.9,"XLI":0.9,"WMS":0.9,"CMCO":0.9,"AIMC":0.9,"DY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":827742774,"gmtCreate":1634527909849,"gmtModify":1634527910502,"author":{"id":"4090644138998230","authorId":"4090644138998230","name":"Darianthum","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087898c16a965a28e6bac81e9a97ea17","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090644138998230","idStr":"4090644138998230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>please like 🙏🙏","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>please like 🙏🙏","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$please like 🙏🙏","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e97e4435fa1557bbefdae32d3690733","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827742774","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":744,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817603154,"gmtCreate":1630936939578,"gmtModify":1631889927417,"author":{"id":"4090644138998230","authorId":"4090644138998230","name":"Darianthum","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087898c16a965a28e6bac81e9a97ea17","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090644138998230","idStr":"4090644138998230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like🙏🙏🙏","listText":"Please like🙏🙏🙏","text":"Please like🙏🙏🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817603154","repostId":"1136345203","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136345203","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630932942,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136345203?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 20:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can The Bulls Defy The Odds Of September Weakness?<blockquote>多头能否顶住9月份疲软的可能性?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136345203","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While we had previously discussed that August tends to be one of the weaker months of the year, the ","content":"<p>While we had previously discussed that August tends to be one of the weaker months of the year, the bulls defined that weakness posting an almost 3% gain. However, as discussed in our <i><b>Daily Market Commentary</b></i> on Wednesday:</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们之前讨论过8月份往往是一年中最疲软的月份之一,但多头将这种疲软定义为近3%的涨幅。然而,正如我们在<i><b>每日市场评论</b></i>周三:</blockquote></p><p> <i>“August seasonality was a bust with the market advancing 2.6%. Will September seasonality prove to be more accurate?”</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c476595aaa36e3658acd7c6b2458a4f3\" tg-width=\"533\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“8月份的季节性因素失败了,市场上涨了2.6%。9月份的季节性因素会更准确吗?”</i></blockquote></p><p> For now, the bullish bias remains strong as a barrage of weaker than expected economic data from GDP to manufacturing and employment give hope the Fed may forestall their <i>“tapering”</i> plans. But, as we will discuss in a moment, we think the bulls may be correct for a different reason.</p><p><blockquote>就目前而言,看涨倾向仍然强烈,因为从GDP到制造业和就业等一系列弱于预期的经济数据给美联储可能会阻止他们<i>“逐渐变细”</i>计划。但是,正如我们稍后将讨论的,我们认为多头可能出于不同的原因是正确的。</blockquote></p><p> However, in the meantime, the <i>“stairstep”</i> advance continues with fundamentally weak companies making substantial gains as speculation displaces investment in the market. <b>Thus, while prices remain elevated, money flows weaken, suggesting the next downturn is roughly one to two weeks away.</b>So far, those corrections remain limited to the 50-dma, which is approximately 3% lower than Friday’s close, but a 10% correction to the 200-dma remains a possibility.</p><p><blockquote>然而,与此同时,<i>“楼梯”</i>随着投机取代市场投资,基本面疲软的公司大幅上涨,上涨仍在继续。<b>因此,虽然价格仍然很高,但资金流动却减弱,这表明下一次低迷大约还有一到两周的时间。</b>到目前为止,这些修正仍仅限于50日均线,比周五收盘价低约3%,但仍有可能对200日均线进行10%的修正。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d1ab015b2782edccd8f71c842786623\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"534\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">While there seems to be little concern relative to the market’s advance over the last year, maybe that should be the concern given the sharpness of that advance. I will discuss the history of “market melt-ups” and their eventual outcomes in an upcoming article. However, what is essential to notice is the corresponding ramp in valuations as earnings fail<i>t</i>o keep up with bullish expectations.</p><p><blockquote>虽然人们对去年市场的上涨似乎没有什么担忧,但考虑到上涨的幅度,也许这应该是值得关注的。我将在即将发表的文章中讨论“市场融化”的历史及其最终结果。然而,需要注意的是,当盈利失败时,估值会相应上升<i>t</i>o跟上看涨预期。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32446c1ed4942c292051ab6f2646826f\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>Significantly, investors never realize they are in a </b><b><i>“melt-up”</i></b><b> until after it is over.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得注意的是,投资者从未意识到他们正处于</b><b><i>“融化”</i></b><b>直到它结束之后。</b></blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Breadth Remains Weak As Market Advances</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>随着市场的发展,广度仍然疲软</b></u></blockquote></p><p> At the moment, the bullish trend continues, and we must respect that trend for now. However, there are clear signs the advance is beginning to narrow markedly, which has historically served as a warning to investors.</p><p><blockquote>目前,看涨趋势仍在继续,我们现在必须尊重这一趋势。然而,有明显迹象表明涨幅开始明显收窄,这在历史上一直是对投资者的警告。</blockquote></p><p> <i>” As shown in the chart below, although the S&P 500 traded at an all-time high as recently as last week, the cumulative advance/decline (A/D) line for the broader NYSE universe peaked on June 11 this year. The divergence between the two looks similar to early-September last year—the point at which it was mostly the “big 5” stocks within the S&P 500 (the “generals”) that had powered the S&P 500 to its September 2, 2020 high.” – Charles Schwab</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bec2406de602b799eed4c8cda45840c\" tg-width=\"713\" tg-height=\"280\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>“The percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages peaked in April, troughed in June, improved until recently, but has come under pressure again. The same can’t be said for the NASDAQ and Russell 2000, which both peaked in early February, since which time they’ve generally been descending.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“如下图所示,尽管标普500上周的交易价格创下历史新高,但更广泛的纽约证券交易所宇宙的累计上涨/下跌(A/D)线在今年6月11日达到顶峰。两者之间的背离看起来与去年9月初相似——当时主要是标普500内的“五大”股票(“将军”)推动标普500上涨至9月2日。2020年高点。”-查尔斯·施瓦布</i><i>“标普500股市交易价格高于50日移动平均线的比例在4月份达到峰值,在6月份达到低谷,直到最近才有所改善,但再次面临压力。纳斯达克和罗素2000指数就不一样了,它们都在2月初达到峰值,从那时起它们普遍在下降。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80c475204276754086f148219d6f0947\" tg-width=\"688\" tg-height=\"284\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>“Relative to their 200-day moving averages (DMA), all three indexes have been generally trending lower since April, as shown in the second chart below.” – Charles Schwab</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“相对于200日移动平均线(DMA),自4月份以来,这三个指数普遍呈走低趋势,如下图第二张图所示。”-查尔斯·施瓦布</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e880f82c99840963c1b4fb2f95b915ec\" tg-width=\"713\" tg-height=\"299\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Of course, as we repeat each week, while we are pointing out the warning signs, such does not mean selling everything and going to cash. However, it does serve as a visible warning to adjust your risk exposures accordingly and prepare for a potentially bumpy ride.</p><p><blockquote>当然,正如我们每周重复的那样,当我们指出警告信号时,这并不意味着卖掉所有东西并变现。然而,它确实是一个明显的警告,可以相应地调整您的风险敞口,并为潜在的颠簸之旅做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> <i>“Just because you put on a seatbelt when the plane is landing, doesn’t mean you are going to crash. But is a logic precaution just in case.”</i> <b>Can The Fed Really Taper?</b></p><p><blockquote><i>“仅仅因为你在飞机降落时系上了安全带,并不意味着你会坠毁。但这是一种合乎逻辑的预防措施,以防万一。”</i><b>美联储真的能缩减吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> We have noted the rising number of Fed speakers discussing the need to begin <i>“tapering”</i> the Fed’s balance sheet purchases in recent weeks. With employment returning well into what is historically considered “full employment,” surge in job openings, and rising inflation, the need to taper is evident. As noted <b><i>in our daily market commentary:</i></b></p><p><blockquote>我们注意到越来越多的美联储发言人讨论需要开始<i>“逐渐变细”</i>美联储最近几周的资产负债表购买。随着就业恢复到历史上被认为的“充分就业”、职位空缺激增以及通胀上升,缩减规模的必要性显而易见。如前所述<b><i>在我们的每日市场评论中:</i></b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <i>“PCE, met expectations rising 0.4% in July. The level was 0.1% below the June reading. </i> <i><b>The year-over-year rate is 4.2%, which is more than double the Fed’s 2% inflation target.</b></i> <i> Importantly </i> <i><b>it suggests the Fed should be moving to tighten monetary policy.</b></i> <i>However, the trimmed-mean PCE was inline at 2% giving the Fed some “wiggle-room” for now, but likely not for long.</i>“ <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8bb27150d54a104d64668f5f4306208\" tg-width=\"829\" tg-height=\"514\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">While the Fed may have some wiggle room short-term, the trimmed-mean PCE will catch up with PCE over the next month.</p><p><blockquote><i>“7月份PCE增长0.4%,符合预期。该水平比6月份低0.1%。</i><i><b>同比利率为4.2%,是美联储2%通胀目标的两倍多。</b></i><i>重要地</i><i><b>这表明美联储应该采取行动收紧货币政策。</b></i><i>然而,削减后的平均PCE仍为2%,这给了美联储一些“回旋余地”,但可能不会持续太久。</i>“虽然美联储短期内可能有一些回旋余地,但下调后的平均PCE将在下个月赶上PCE。</blockquote></p><p> The point is that the Fed is now getting pushed into needing to tighten monetary policy to quell inflationary pressures. However, a rising risk suggests they may be <i>“trapped</i>” in continuing their bond purchases and risking both an inflationary surge and creating market instability.</p><p><blockquote>关键是,美联储现在被迫需要收紧货币政策以平息通胀压力。然而,不断上升的风险表明他们可能<i>“被困”</i>“继续购买债券,冒着通胀飙升和造成市场不稳定的风险。</blockquote></p><p> That risk is the <i>“deficit.”</i></p><p><blockquote>这种风险是<i>“赤字。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Who Is Going To Fund The Deficit</b></p><p><blockquote><b>谁将为赤字提供资金</b></blockquote></p><p> As discussed recently, the current mandatory spending of the Government consumes more than 100% of existing tax revenues. Therefore, all discretionary spending plus additional programs such as <i>“infrastructure”</i> and <i>“human infrastructure”</i>comes from debt issuance.</p><p><blockquote>正如最近所讨论的,政府目前的强制性支出消耗了现有税收的100%以上。因此,所有可自由支配的支出加上额外的计划,如<i>“基础设施”</i>和<i>“人力基础设施”</i>来自发债。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f74a7c9f8392d4c3c6d366934b42511\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"688\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">As shown, the 2021 budget will push the current deficit towards $4-Trillion requiring the Federal Reserve to monetize at least<b><i> $1 Trillion of that issuance per our previous analysis.</i></b></p><p><blockquote>如图所示,2021年预算将把当前赤字推向4万亿美元,要求美联储至少货币化<b><i>根据我们之前的分析,发行量为1万亿美元。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <i>The scale and scope of government spending expansion in the last year are unprecedented. Because Uncle Sam doesn’t have the money, lots of it went on the government’s credit card. The deficit and debt skyrocketed. But this is only the beginning. </i> <i><b>The Biden administration recently proposed a $6 trillion budget for fiscal 2022, two-thirds of which would be borrowed.” –</b></i> <i>Reason</i> <i>The CBO (Congressional Budget Office) recently produced its long-term debt projection through 2050, ensuring poor economic returns. I reconstructed a chart from Deutsche Bank showing the US Federal Debt and Federal Reserve balance sheet. The chart uses the CBO projections through 2050.</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/771627893f89b51b37543e28698ed961\" tg-width=\"990\" tg-height=\"637\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>The federal debt load will climb from $28 trillion to roughly $140 trillion at the current growth rate by 2050.</b></p><p><blockquote><i>去年政府支出扩张的规模和范围是前所未有的。因为山姆大叔没有钱,很多钱都用在了政府的信用卡上。赤字和债务飙升。但这仅仅是个开始。</i><i><b>拜登政府最近提出了6万亿美元的2022财年预算,其中三分之二将通过借贷。”–</b></i><i>理由</i><i>国会预算办公室(CBO)最近发布了到2050年的长期债务预测,确保了糟糕的经济回报。我重建了德意志银行的一张图表,显示了美国联邦债务和美联储的资产负债表。该图表使用了CBO对2050年的预测。</i><b>按照目前的增长率,到2050年,联邦债务负担将从28万亿美元攀升至约140万亿美元。</b></blockquote></p><p> The problem, of course, is that the Fed must continue monetizing 30% of debt issuance to keep interest rates from surging and wrecking the economy.</p><p><blockquote>当然,问题在于美联储必须继续将30%的债务发行货币化,以防止利率飙升并破坏经济。</blockquote></p><p> Let than sink in for a minute.</p><p><blockquote>让than沉浸一分钟。</blockquote></p><p> If that is indeed the case, the Fed will not be able to <i>“taper”</i> their balance sheet purchases unless they are willing to risk a surge in interest rates, a collapse in economic growth, and a deflationary spiral.</p><p><blockquote>如果情况确实如此,美联储将无法<i>“taper”</i>除非他们愿意冒利率飙升、经济增长崩溃和通货紧缩螺旋的风险,否则他们不会购买资产负债表。</blockquote></p><p> As Expected Q3-<b>GDP Gets Slashed</b></p><p><blockquote>正如预期的第三季度-<b>GDP大幅削减</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of this year, we have penned several articles stating that economic growth would ultimately disappoint when fueled by an artificial stimulus. Specifically, we noted that <i>“bonds were sending an economic warning.”</i> To wit:</p><p><blockquote>自今年年初以来,我们已经写了几篇文章,指出在人为刺激的推动下,经济增长最终会令人失望。具体而言,我们注意到<i>“债券发出了经济警告。”</i>即:</blockquote></p><p> <i>“</i> <i><b>As shown, the correlation between rates and the economic composite suggests that current expectations of sustained economic expansion and rising inflation are overly optimistic.</b></i> <i> At current rates, economic growth will likely very quickly rturn to sub-2% growth by 2022.”</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90ec177d9bfda4dab5c1a89f29d93556\" tg-width=\"853\" tg-height=\"549\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The <i><b>disappointment of economic growth</b></i> is also a function of the surging debt and deficit levels, which, as noted above, will have to be entirely funded by the Federal Reserve.</p><p><blockquote><i>“</i><i><b>如图所示,利率与经济综合指数之间的相关性表明,目前对经济持续扩张和通胀上升的预期过于乐观。</b></i><i>按照目前的速度,到2022年经济增长可能会很快恢复到2%以下。”</i>The<i><b>经济增长令人失望</b></i>也是债务和赤字水平飙升的函数,如上所述,债务和赤字水平必须完全由美联储提供资金。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, both the Atlanta Fed and Morgan Stanley slashed their estimates for Q3 growth as economic data continues to disappoint.</p><p><blockquote>周四,由于经济数据继续令人失望,亚特兰大联储和摩根士丹利均大幅下调了对第三季度增长的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <i>“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2021 is </i> <i><b>3.7</b></i> <i> </i> <i><b>percent</b></i> <i>on September 2, </i> <i><b>down from 5.3 percent on September 1</b></i> <i>.” – Atlanta Fed</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4c362937b721d02c854d792606d0166\" tg-width=\"670\" tg-height=\"366\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Notably, there were significant downward revisions to consumption and investment, declining from 2.6% and 23.4% to 1.9% and 19.3%, respectively. However, as we noted previously, such is not surprising as “stimulus” leaves the system, and the economic drivers return to normalcy.</p><p><blockquote><i>“GDPNow模型对2021年第三季本地生产总值实质增长(经季节性调整的年率)的估计为</i><i><b>3.7</b></i><i> </i><i><b>百分比</b></i><i>9月2日,</i><i><b>低于9月1日的5.3%</b></i><i>.”——亚特兰大联储</i>值得注意的是,消费和投资大幅下调,分别从2.6%和23.4%降至1.9%和19.3%。然而,正如我们之前指出的,随着“刺激”离开系统,经济驱动力恢复正常,这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Morgan and Goldman As Well</b></p><p><blockquote><b>摩根和高盛也是</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As stated, Morgan Stanely also slashed their estimates:</p><p><blockquote>如前所述,摩根士丹利还大幅下调了预期:</blockquote></p><p> <i>“</i> <i><b>We are revising down 3Q GDP tracking to 2.9% from 6.5%, previously</b></i> <i>. Our forecast for 4Q GDP remains at 6.7%. The revision to 3Q implies full year 4Q/4Q GDP at 5.6% (5.7%Y) this year – 1.4pp lower than the Fed’s forecast of 7.0% in its June Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), and 0.7pp below Bloomberg consensus of economists at 6.3%.</i> <i><b>An examination of the data reveals that the slowdown is not broad-based and primarily reflects payback from stimulus spending as well as continued supply chain bottlenecks.</b></i> <i> The swing factor is largest in spending on big-ticket durable goods that benefited most from stimulus checks and are affected most by lack of inventory and price increases due to supply shortages, for example motor vehicles.”</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75e5c5eb2840814e2972c92ab0ef9bf3\" tg-width=\"826\" tg-height=\"487\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">As we discussed previously, these two downgrades were playing catchup to our previous analysis and Goldman’s downgrade two weeks ago. To wit:</p><p><blockquote><i>“</i><i><b>我们将第三季度GDP跟踪从之前的6.5%下调至2.9%</b></i><i>.我们对第四季度GDP的预测维持在6.7%。对第三季度的修正意味着今年全年第四季度/第四季度GDP为5.6%(同比增长5.7%),比美联储在6月份经济预测摘要(SEP)中预测的7.0%低1.4个百分点,比彭博社一致预期低0.7个百分点。经济学家为6.3%。</i><i><b>对数据的检查显示,经济放缓并不广泛,主要反映了刺激支出的回报以及持续的供应链瓶颈。</b></i><i>波动因素最大的是大件耐用品的支出,这些商品从刺激检查中受益最多,但受库存不足和供应短缺导致的价格上涨的影响最大,例如机动车辆。”</i>正如我们之前讨论的,这两次降级是在追赶我们之前的分析和高盛两周前的降级。即:</blockquote></p><p> <i><b>“We have lowered our Q3 GDP forecast to +5.5%, reflecting hits to both consumer spending and production.</b></i> <i>Spending on dining, travel, and some other services is likely to decline in August, though we expect the drop to be modest and brief. Production is still suffering from supply chain disruptions, especially in the auto industry, and this is likely to mean less inventory rebuild in Q3.”</i> – <i> Goldman Sachs</i> Investors should not overlook the importance of these downgrades.</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“我们已将第三季度GDP预测下调至+5.5%,反映出消费者支出和生产受到的打击。</b></i><i>八月份餐饮、旅游和其他一些服务支出可能会下降,尽管我们预计下降幅度不大且短暂。生产仍然受到供应链中断的影响,尤其是在汽车行业,这可能意味着第三季度库存重建减少。”</i> –<i>高盛</i>投资者不应忽视这些降级的重要性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings Estimates At Risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盈利预测面临风险</b></blockquote></p><p> In our post on<i><b>“Peak Economic And Earnings Growth,</b></i>” we stated that corporate earnings and profits ultimately get derived from economic activity (personal consumption and business investment). Therefore, it is unlikely the currently lofty expectations will get met.</p><p><blockquote>在我们的帖子中<i><b>“经济和盈利增长见顶,</b></i>“我们表示,企业盈利和利润最终来自经济活动(个人消费和商业投资)。因此,目前的高期望不太可能得到满足。</blockquote></p><p> The problem for investors currently is that analysts’ assumptions are always high, and markets are trading at more extreme valuations, which leaves little room for disappointment. For example, using analyst’s price target assumptions of 4700 for 2020 and current earnings expectations, the S&P is trading 2.6x earnings growth.</p><p><blockquote>投资者目前面临的问题是,分析师的假设总是很高,而市场的估值更极端,这几乎没有失望的空间。例如,使用分析师对2020年4700点的目标价假设和当前的盈利预期,标准普尔指数的盈利增长率为2.6倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3e58e6641c42d1879c094ce45b2f337\" tg-width=\"896\" tg-height=\"647\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Such puts the current P/E at 25.6x earnings in 2020, which is still expensive by historical measures.</p><p><blockquote>这使得目前的市盈率为2020年市盈率的25.6倍,从历史标准来看,这仍然很昂贵。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4abafc44c03ff687ce87c361a1f1357\" tg-width=\"886\" tg-height=\"637\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">That also puts the S&P 500 grossly above its linear trend line as earnings growth begins to revert.</p><p><blockquote>随着盈利增长开始恢复,这也使标普500大幅高于线性趋势线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec0a0666e57f65c24037d219876028e2\" tg-width=\"988\" tg-height=\"534\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Through the end of this year, companies will guide down earnings estimates for a variety of reasons:</p><p><blockquote>到今年年底,公司将出于多种原因下调盈利预期:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><i>Economic growth won’t be as robust as anticipated.</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>经济增长不会像预期的那样强劲。</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><i>Potentially higher corporate tax rates could reduce earnings.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>潜在的更高的公司税率可能会减少收益。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><i>The increased input costs due to the stimulus can’t get passed on to consumers.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>由于刺激而增加的投入成本不能转嫁给消费者。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><i>Higher interest rates increasing borrowing costs which impact earnings.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>利率上升会增加借贷成本,从而影响收益。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><i>A weaker consumer than currently expected due to reduced employment and weaker wages.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>由于就业减少和工资下降,消费者弱于目前预期。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><i>Global demand weakens due to a stronger dollar impacting exports.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>由于美元走强影响出口,全球需求减弱。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Such will leave investors once again</b><b><i> “overpaying”</i></b><b> for earnings growth that fails to materialize.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这将再次让投资者</b><b><i>“多付”</i></b><b>对于未能实现的盈利增长。</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan The Bulls Defy The Odds Of September Weakness?<blockquote>多头能否顶住9月份疲软的可能性?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-06 20:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>While we had previously discussed that August tends to be one of the weaker months of the year, the bulls defined that weakness posting an almost 3% gain. However, as discussed in our <i><b>Daily Market Commentary</b></i> on Wednesday:</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们之前讨论过8月份往往是一年中最疲软的月份之一,但多头将这种疲软定义为近3%的涨幅。然而,正如我们在<i><b>每日市场评论</b></i>周三:</blockquote></p><p> <i>“August seasonality was a bust with the market advancing 2.6%. Will September seasonality prove to be more accurate?”</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c476595aaa36e3658acd7c6b2458a4f3\" tg-width=\"533\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“8月份的季节性因素失败了,市场上涨了2.6%。9月份的季节性因素会更准确吗?”</i></blockquote></p><p> For now, the bullish bias remains strong as a barrage of weaker than expected economic data from GDP to manufacturing and employment give hope the Fed may forestall their <i>“tapering”</i> plans. But, as we will discuss in a moment, we think the bulls may be correct for a different reason.</p><p><blockquote>就目前而言,看涨倾向仍然强烈,因为从GDP到制造业和就业等一系列弱于预期的经济数据给美联储可能会阻止他们<i>“逐渐变细”</i>计划。但是,正如我们稍后将讨论的,我们认为多头可能出于不同的原因是正确的。</blockquote></p><p> However, in the meantime, the <i>“stairstep”</i> advance continues with fundamentally weak companies making substantial gains as speculation displaces investment in the market. <b>Thus, while prices remain elevated, money flows weaken, suggesting the next downturn is roughly one to two weeks away.</b>So far, those corrections remain limited to the 50-dma, which is approximately 3% lower than Friday’s close, but a 10% correction to the 200-dma remains a possibility.</p><p><blockquote>然而,与此同时,<i>“楼梯”</i>随着投机取代市场投资,基本面疲软的公司大幅上涨,上涨仍在继续。<b>因此,虽然价格仍然很高,但资金流动却减弱,这表明下一次低迷大约还有一到两周的时间。</b>到目前为止,这些修正仍仅限于50日均线,比周五收盘价低约3%,但仍有可能对200日均线进行10%的修正。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d1ab015b2782edccd8f71c842786623\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"534\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">While there seems to be little concern relative to the market’s advance over the last year, maybe that should be the concern given the sharpness of that advance. I will discuss the history of “market melt-ups” and their eventual outcomes in an upcoming article. However, what is essential to notice is the corresponding ramp in valuations as earnings fail<i>t</i>o keep up with bullish expectations.</p><p><blockquote>虽然人们对去年市场的上涨似乎没有什么担忧,但考虑到上涨的幅度,也许这应该是值得关注的。我将在即将发表的文章中讨论“市场融化”的历史及其最终结果。然而,需要注意的是,当盈利失败时,估值会相应上升<i>t</i>o跟上看涨预期。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32446c1ed4942c292051ab6f2646826f\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>Significantly, investors never realize they are in a </b><b><i>“melt-up”</i></b><b> until after it is over.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得注意的是,投资者从未意识到他们正处于</b><b><i>“融化”</i></b><b>直到它结束之后。</b></blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Breadth Remains Weak As Market Advances</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>随着市场的发展,广度仍然疲软</b></u></blockquote></p><p> At the moment, the bullish trend continues, and we must respect that trend for now. However, there are clear signs the advance is beginning to narrow markedly, which has historically served as a warning to investors.</p><p><blockquote>目前,看涨趋势仍在继续,我们现在必须尊重这一趋势。然而,有明显迹象表明涨幅开始明显收窄,这在历史上一直是对投资者的警告。</blockquote></p><p> <i>” As shown in the chart below, although the S&P 500 traded at an all-time high as recently as last week, the cumulative advance/decline (A/D) line for the broader NYSE universe peaked on June 11 this year. The divergence between the two looks similar to early-September last year—the point at which it was mostly the “big 5” stocks within the S&P 500 (the “generals”) that had powered the S&P 500 to its September 2, 2020 high.” – Charles Schwab</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bec2406de602b799eed4c8cda45840c\" tg-width=\"713\" tg-height=\"280\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>“The percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages peaked in April, troughed in June, improved until recently, but has come under pressure again. The same can’t be said for the NASDAQ and Russell 2000, which both peaked in early February, since which time they’ve generally been descending.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“如下图所示,尽管标普500上周的交易价格创下历史新高,但更广泛的纽约证券交易所宇宙的累计上涨/下跌(A/D)线在今年6月11日达到顶峰。两者之间的背离看起来与去年9月初相似——当时主要是标普500内的“五大”股票(“将军”)推动标普500上涨至9月2日。2020年高点。”-查尔斯·施瓦布</i><i>“标普500股市交易价格高于50日移动平均线的比例在4月份达到峰值,在6月份达到低谷,直到最近才有所改善,但再次面临压力。纳斯达克和罗素2000指数就不一样了,它们都在2月初达到峰值,从那时起它们普遍在下降。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80c475204276754086f148219d6f0947\" tg-width=\"688\" tg-height=\"284\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>“Relative to their 200-day moving averages (DMA), all three indexes have been generally trending lower since April, as shown in the second chart below.” – Charles Schwab</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“相对于200日移动平均线(DMA),自4月份以来,这三个指数普遍呈走低趋势,如下图第二张图所示。”-查尔斯·施瓦布</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e880f82c99840963c1b4fb2f95b915ec\" tg-width=\"713\" tg-height=\"299\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Of course, as we repeat each week, while we are pointing out the warning signs, such does not mean selling everything and going to cash. However, it does serve as a visible warning to adjust your risk exposures accordingly and prepare for a potentially bumpy ride.</p><p><blockquote>当然,正如我们每周重复的那样,当我们指出警告信号时,这并不意味着卖掉所有东西并变现。然而,它确实是一个明显的警告,可以相应地调整您的风险敞口,并为潜在的颠簸之旅做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> <i>“Just because you put on a seatbelt when the plane is landing, doesn’t mean you are going to crash. But is a logic precaution just in case.”</i> <b>Can The Fed Really Taper?</b></p><p><blockquote><i>“仅仅因为你在飞机降落时系上了安全带,并不意味着你会坠毁。但这是一种合乎逻辑的预防措施,以防万一。”</i><b>美联储真的能缩减吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> We have noted the rising number of Fed speakers discussing the need to begin <i>“tapering”</i> the Fed’s balance sheet purchases in recent weeks. With employment returning well into what is historically considered “full employment,” surge in job openings, and rising inflation, the need to taper is evident. As noted <b><i>in our daily market commentary:</i></b></p><p><blockquote>我们注意到越来越多的美联储发言人讨论需要开始<i>“逐渐变细”</i>美联储最近几周的资产负债表购买。随着就业恢复到历史上被认为的“充分就业”、职位空缺激增以及通胀上升,缩减规模的必要性显而易见。如前所述<b><i>在我们的每日市场评论中:</i></b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <i>“PCE, met expectations rising 0.4% in July. The level was 0.1% below the June reading. </i> <i><b>The year-over-year rate is 4.2%, which is more than double the Fed’s 2% inflation target.</b></i> <i> Importantly </i> <i><b>it suggests the Fed should be moving to tighten monetary policy.</b></i> <i>However, the trimmed-mean PCE was inline at 2% giving the Fed some “wiggle-room” for now, but likely not for long.</i>“ <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8bb27150d54a104d64668f5f4306208\" tg-width=\"829\" tg-height=\"514\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">While the Fed may have some wiggle room short-term, the trimmed-mean PCE will catch up with PCE over the next month.</p><p><blockquote><i>“7月份PCE增长0.4%,符合预期。该水平比6月份低0.1%。</i><i><b>同比利率为4.2%,是美联储2%通胀目标的两倍多。</b></i><i>重要地</i><i><b>这表明美联储应该采取行动收紧货币政策。</b></i><i>然而,削减后的平均PCE仍为2%,这给了美联储一些“回旋余地”,但可能不会持续太久。</i>“虽然美联储短期内可能有一些回旋余地,但下调后的平均PCE将在下个月赶上PCE。</blockquote></p><p> The point is that the Fed is now getting pushed into needing to tighten monetary policy to quell inflationary pressures. However, a rising risk suggests they may be <i>“trapped</i>” in continuing their bond purchases and risking both an inflationary surge and creating market instability.</p><p><blockquote>关键是,美联储现在被迫需要收紧货币政策以平息通胀压力。然而,不断上升的风险表明他们可能<i>“被困”</i>“继续购买债券,冒着通胀飙升和造成市场不稳定的风险。</blockquote></p><p> That risk is the <i>“deficit.”</i></p><p><blockquote>这种风险是<i>“赤字。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Who Is Going To Fund The Deficit</b></p><p><blockquote><b>谁将为赤字提供资金</b></blockquote></p><p> As discussed recently, the current mandatory spending of the Government consumes more than 100% of existing tax revenues. Therefore, all discretionary spending plus additional programs such as <i>“infrastructure”</i> and <i>“human infrastructure”</i>comes from debt issuance.</p><p><blockquote>正如最近所讨论的,政府目前的强制性支出消耗了现有税收的100%以上。因此,所有可自由支配的支出加上额外的计划,如<i>“基础设施”</i>和<i>“人力基础设施”</i>来自发债。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f74a7c9f8392d4c3c6d366934b42511\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"688\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">As shown, the 2021 budget will push the current deficit towards $4-Trillion requiring the Federal Reserve to monetize at least<b><i> $1 Trillion of that issuance per our previous analysis.</i></b></p><p><blockquote>如图所示,2021年预算将把当前赤字推向4万亿美元,要求美联储至少货币化<b><i>根据我们之前的分析,发行量为1万亿美元。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <i>The scale and scope of government spending expansion in the last year are unprecedented. Because Uncle Sam doesn’t have the money, lots of it went on the government’s credit card. The deficit and debt skyrocketed. But this is only the beginning. </i> <i><b>The Biden administration recently proposed a $6 trillion budget for fiscal 2022, two-thirds of which would be borrowed.” –</b></i> <i>Reason</i> <i>The CBO (Congressional Budget Office) recently produced its long-term debt projection through 2050, ensuring poor economic returns. I reconstructed a chart from Deutsche Bank showing the US Federal Debt and Federal Reserve balance sheet. The chart uses the CBO projections through 2050.</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/771627893f89b51b37543e28698ed961\" tg-width=\"990\" tg-height=\"637\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>The federal debt load will climb from $28 trillion to roughly $140 trillion at the current growth rate by 2050.</b></p><p><blockquote><i>去年政府支出扩张的规模和范围是前所未有的。因为山姆大叔没有钱,很多钱都用在了政府的信用卡上。赤字和债务飙升。但这仅仅是个开始。</i><i><b>拜登政府最近提出了6万亿美元的2022财年预算,其中三分之二将通过借贷。”–</b></i><i>理由</i><i>国会预算办公室(CBO)最近发布了到2050年的长期债务预测,确保了糟糕的经济回报。我重建了德意志银行的一张图表,显示了美国联邦债务和美联储的资产负债表。该图表使用了CBO对2050年的预测。</i><b>按照目前的增长率,到2050年,联邦债务负担将从28万亿美元攀升至约140万亿美元。</b></blockquote></p><p> The problem, of course, is that the Fed must continue monetizing 30% of debt issuance to keep interest rates from surging and wrecking the economy.</p><p><blockquote>当然,问题在于美联储必须继续将30%的债务发行货币化,以防止利率飙升并破坏经济。</blockquote></p><p> Let than sink in for a minute.</p><p><blockquote>让than沉浸一分钟。</blockquote></p><p> If that is indeed the case, the Fed will not be able to <i>“taper”</i> their balance sheet purchases unless they are willing to risk a surge in interest rates, a collapse in economic growth, and a deflationary spiral.</p><p><blockquote>如果情况确实如此,美联储将无法<i>“taper”</i>除非他们愿意冒利率飙升、经济增长崩溃和通货紧缩螺旋的风险,否则他们不会购买资产负债表。</blockquote></p><p> As Expected Q3-<b>GDP Gets Slashed</b></p><p><blockquote>正如预期的第三季度-<b>GDP大幅削减</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of this year, we have penned several articles stating that economic growth would ultimately disappoint when fueled by an artificial stimulus. Specifically, we noted that <i>“bonds were sending an economic warning.”</i> To wit:</p><p><blockquote>自今年年初以来,我们已经写了几篇文章,指出在人为刺激的推动下,经济增长最终会令人失望。具体而言,我们注意到<i>“债券发出了经济警告。”</i>即:</blockquote></p><p> <i>“</i> <i><b>As shown, the correlation between rates and the economic composite suggests that current expectations of sustained economic expansion and rising inflation are overly optimistic.</b></i> <i> At current rates, economic growth will likely very quickly rturn to sub-2% growth by 2022.”</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90ec177d9bfda4dab5c1a89f29d93556\" tg-width=\"853\" tg-height=\"549\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The <i><b>disappointment of economic growth</b></i> is also a function of the surging debt and deficit levels, which, as noted above, will have to be entirely funded by the Federal Reserve.</p><p><blockquote><i>“</i><i><b>如图所示,利率与经济综合指数之间的相关性表明,目前对经济持续扩张和通胀上升的预期过于乐观。</b></i><i>按照目前的速度,到2022年经济增长可能会很快恢复到2%以下。”</i>The<i><b>经济增长令人失望</b></i>也是债务和赤字水平飙升的函数,如上所述,债务和赤字水平必须完全由美联储提供资金。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, both the Atlanta Fed and Morgan Stanley slashed their estimates for Q3 growth as economic data continues to disappoint.</p><p><blockquote>周四,由于经济数据继续令人失望,亚特兰大联储和摩根士丹利均大幅下调了对第三季度增长的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <i>“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2021 is </i> <i><b>3.7</b></i> <i> </i> <i><b>percent</b></i> <i>on September 2, </i> <i><b>down from 5.3 percent on September 1</b></i> <i>.” – Atlanta Fed</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4c362937b721d02c854d792606d0166\" tg-width=\"670\" tg-height=\"366\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Notably, there were significant downward revisions to consumption and investment, declining from 2.6% and 23.4% to 1.9% and 19.3%, respectively. However, as we noted previously, such is not surprising as “stimulus” leaves the system, and the economic drivers return to normalcy.</p><p><blockquote><i>“GDPNow模型对2021年第三季本地生产总值实质增长(经季节性调整的年率)的估计为</i><i><b>3.7</b></i><i> </i><i><b>百分比</b></i><i>9月2日,</i><i><b>低于9月1日的5.3%</b></i><i>.”——亚特兰大联储</i>值得注意的是,消费和投资大幅下调,分别从2.6%和23.4%降至1.9%和19.3%。然而,正如我们之前指出的,随着“刺激”离开系统,经济驱动力恢复正常,这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Morgan and Goldman As Well</b></p><p><blockquote><b>摩根和高盛也是</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As stated, Morgan Stanely also slashed their estimates:</p><p><blockquote>如前所述,摩根士丹利还大幅下调了预期:</blockquote></p><p> <i>“</i> <i><b>We are revising down 3Q GDP tracking to 2.9% from 6.5%, previously</b></i> <i>. Our forecast for 4Q GDP remains at 6.7%. The revision to 3Q implies full year 4Q/4Q GDP at 5.6% (5.7%Y) this year – 1.4pp lower than the Fed’s forecast of 7.0% in its June Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), and 0.7pp below Bloomberg consensus of economists at 6.3%.</i> <i><b>An examination of the data reveals that the slowdown is not broad-based and primarily reflects payback from stimulus spending as well as continued supply chain bottlenecks.</b></i> <i> The swing factor is largest in spending on big-ticket durable goods that benefited most from stimulus checks and are affected most by lack of inventory and price increases due to supply shortages, for example motor vehicles.”</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75e5c5eb2840814e2972c92ab0ef9bf3\" tg-width=\"826\" tg-height=\"487\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">As we discussed previously, these two downgrades were playing catchup to our previous analysis and Goldman’s downgrade two weeks ago. To wit:</p><p><blockquote><i>“</i><i><b>我们将第三季度GDP跟踪从之前的6.5%下调至2.9%</b></i><i>.我们对第四季度GDP的预测维持在6.7%。对第三季度的修正意味着今年全年第四季度/第四季度GDP为5.6%(同比增长5.7%),比美联储在6月份经济预测摘要(SEP)中预测的7.0%低1.4个百分点,比彭博社一致预期低0.7个百分点。经济学家为6.3%。</i><i><b>对数据的检查显示,经济放缓并不广泛,主要反映了刺激支出的回报以及持续的供应链瓶颈。</b></i><i>波动因素最大的是大件耐用品的支出,这些商品从刺激检查中受益最多,但受库存不足和供应短缺导致的价格上涨的影响最大,例如机动车辆。”</i>正如我们之前讨论的,这两次降级是在追赶我们之前的分析和高盛两周前的降级。即:</blockquote></p><p> <i><b>“We have lowered our Q3 GDP forecast to +5.5%, reflecting hits to both consumer spending and production.</b></i> <i>Spending on dining, travel, and some other services is likely to decline in August, though we expect the drop to be modest and brief. Production is still suffering from supply chain disruptions, especially in the auto industry, and this is likely to mean less inventory rebuild in Q3.”</i> – <i> Goldman Sachs</i> Investors should not overlook the importance of these downgrades.</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“我们已将第三季度GDP预测下调至+5.5%,反映出消费者支出和生产受到的打击。</b></i><i>八月份餐饮、旅游和其他一些服务支出可能会下降,尽管我们预计下降幅度不大且短暂。生产仍然受到供应链中断的影响,尤其是在汽车行业,这可能意味着第三季度库存重建减少。”</i> –<i>高盛</i>投资者不应忽视这些降级的重要性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings Estimates At Risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盈利预测面临风险</b></blockquote></p><p> In our post on<i><b>“Peak Economic And Earnings Growth,</b></i>” we stated that corporate earnings and profits ultimately get derived from economic activity (personal consumption and business investment). Therefore, it is unlikely the currently lofty expectations will get met.</p><p><blockquote>在我们的帖子中<i><b>“经济和盈利增长见顶,</b></i>“我们表示,企业盈利和利润最终来自经济活动(个人消费和商业投资)。因此,目前的高期望不太可能得到满足。</blockquote></p><p> The problem for investors currently is that analysts’ assumptions are always high, and markets are trading at more extreme valuations, which leaves little room for disappointment. For example, using analyst’s price target assumptions of 4700 for 2020 and current earnings expectations, the S&P is trading 2.6x earnings growth.</p><p><blockquote>投资者目前面临的问题是,分析师的假设总是很高,而市场的估值更极端,这几乎没有失望的空间。例如,使用分析师对2020年4700点的目标价假设和当前的盈利预期,标准普尔指数的盈利增长率为2.6倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3e58e6641c42d1879c094ce45b2f337\" tg-width=\"896\" tg-height=\"647\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Such puts the current P/E at 25.6x earnings in 2020, which is still expensive by historical measures.</p><p><blockquote>这使得目前的市盈率为2020年市盈率的25.6倍,从历史标准来看,这仍然很昂贵。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4abafc44c03ff687ce87c361a1f1357\" tg-width=\"886\" tg-height=\"637\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">That also puts the S&P 500 grossly above its linear trend line as earnings growth begins to revert.</p><p><blockquote>随着盈利增长开始恢复,这也使标普500大幅高于线性趋势线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec0a0666e57f65c24037d219876028e2\" tg-width=\"988\" tg-height=\"534\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Through the end of this year, companies will guide down earnings estimates for a variety of reasons:</p><p><blockquote>到今年年底,公司将出于多种原因下调盈利预期:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><i>Economic growth won’t be as robust as anticipated.</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>经济增长不会像预期的那样强劲。</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><i>Potentially higher corporate tax rates could reduce earnings.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>潜在的更高的公司税率可能会减少收益。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><i>The increased input costs due to the stimulus can’t get passed on to consumers.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>由于刺激而增加的投入成本不能转嫁给消费者。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><i>Higher interest rates increasing borrowing costs which impact earnings.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>利率上升会增加借贷成本,从而影响收益。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><i>A weaker consumer than currently expected due to reduced employment and weaker wages.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>由于就业减少和工资下降,消费者弱于目前预期。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><i>Global demand weakens due to a stronger dollar impacting exports.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>由于美元走强影响出口,全球需求减弱。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Such will leave investors once again</b><b><i> “overpaying”</i></b><b> for earnings growth that fails to materialize.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这将再次让投资者</b><b><i>“多付”</i></b><b>对于未能实现的盈利增长。</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/can-bulls-defy-odds-september-weakness\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/can-bulls-defy-odds-september-weakness","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136345203","content_text":"While we had previously discussed that August tends to be one of the weaker months of the year, the bulls defined that weakness posting an almost 3% gain. However, as discussed in our Daily Market Commentary on Wednesday:\n\n“August seasonality was a bust with the market advancing 2.6%. Will September seasonality prove to be more accurate?”\n\n\nFor now, the bullish bias remains strong as a barrage of weaker than expected economic data from GDP to manufacturing and employment give hope the Fed may forestall their “tapering” plans. But, as we will discuss in a moment, we think the bulls may be correct for a different reason.\nHowever, in the meantime, the “stairstep” advance continues with fundamentally weak companies making substantial gains as speculation displaces investment in the market. Thus, while prices remain elevated, money flows weaken, suggesting the next downturn is roughly one to two weeks away.So far, those corrections remain limited to the 50-dma, which is approximately 3% lower than Friday’s close, but a 10% correction to the 200-dma remains a possibility.\nWhile there seems to be little concern relative to the market’s advance over the last year, maybe that should be the concern given the sharpness of that advance. I will discuss the history of “market melt-ups” and their eventual outcomes in an upcoming article. However, what is essential to notice is the corresponding ramp in valuations as earnings failto keep up with bullish expectations.\nSignificantly, investors never realize they are in a “melt-up” until after it is over.\nBreadth Remains Weak As Market Advances\nAt the moment, the bullish trend continues, and we must respect that trend for now. However, there are clear signs the advance is beginning to narrow markedly, which has historically served as a warning to investors.\n\n” As shown in the chart below, although the S&P 500 traded at an all-time high as recently as last week, the cumulative advance/decline (A/D) line for the broader NYSE universe peaked on June 11 this year. The divergence between the two looks similar to early-September last year—the point at which it was mostly the “big 5” stocks within the S&P 500 (the “generals”) that had powered the S&P 500 to its September 2, 2020 high.” – Charles Schwab\n\n“The percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages peaked in April, troughed in June, improved until recently, but has come under pressure again. The same can’t be said for the NASDAQ and Russell 2000, which both peaked in early February, since which time they’ve generally been descending.”\n“Relative to their 200-day moving averages (DMA), all three indexes have been generally trending lower since April, as shown in the second chart below.” – Charles Schwab\nOf course, as we repeat each week, while we are pointing out the warning signs, such does not mean selling everything and going to cash. However, it does serve as a visible warning to adjust your risk exposures accordingly and prepare for a potentially bumpy ride.\n\n“Just because you put on a seatbelt when the plane is landing, doesn’t mean you are going to crash. But is a logic precaution just in case.”\n\nCan The Fed Really Taper?\nWe have noted the rising number of Fed speakers discussing the need to begin “tapering” the Fed’s balance sheet purchases in recent weeks. With employment returning well into what is historically considered “full employment,” surge in job openings, and rising inflation, the need to taper is evident. As noted in our daily market commentary:\n\n“PCE, met expectations rising 0.4% in July. The level was 0.1% below the June reading. \nThe year-over-year rate is 4.2%, which is more than double the Fed’s 2% inflation target.\n Importantly \nit suggests the Fed should be moving to tighten monetary policy.\nHowever, the trimmed-mean PCE was inline at 2% giving the Fed some “wiggle-room” for now, but likely not for long.“\n\nWhile the Fed may have some wiggle room short-term, the trimmed-mean PCE will catch up with PCE over the next month.\nThe point is that the Fed is now getting pushed into needing to tighten monetary policy to quell inflationary pressures. However, a rising risk suggests they may be “trapped” in continuing their bond purchases and risking both an inflationary surge and creating market instability.\nThat risk is the “deficit.”\nWho Is Going To Fund The Deficit\nAs discussed recently, the current mandatory spending of the Government consumes more than 100% of existing tax revenues. Therefore, all discretionary spending plus additional programs such as “infrastructure” and “human infrastructure”comes from debt issuance.\nAs shown, the 2021 budget will push the current deficit towards $4-Trillion requiring the Federal Reserve to monetize at least $1 Trillion of that issuance per our previous analysis.\n\nThe scale and scope of government spending expansion in the last year are unprecedented. Because Uncle Sam doesn’t have the money, lots of it went on the government’s credit card. The deficit and debt skyrocketed. But this is only the beginning. \nThe Biden administration recently proposed a $6 trillion budget for fiscal 2022, two-thirds of which would be borrowed.” –\nReason\n\n\nThe CBO (Congressional Budget Office) recently produced its long-term debt projection through 2050, ensuring poor economic returns. I reconstructed a chart from Deutsche Bank showing the US Federal Debt and Federal Reserve balance sheet. The chart uses the CBO projections through 2050.\n\nThe federal debt load will climb from $28 trillion to roughly $140 trillion at the current growth rate by 2050.\nThe problem, of course, is that the Fed must continue monetizing 30% of debt issuance to keep interest rates from surging and wrecking the economy.\nLet than sink in for a minute.\nIf that is indeed the case, the Fed will not be able to “taper” their balance sheet purchases unless they are willing to risk a surge in interest rates, a collapse in economic growth, and a deflationary spiral.\nAs Expected Q3-GDP Gets Slashed\nSince the beginning of this year, we have penned several articles stating that economic growth would ultimately disappoint when fueled by an artificial stimulus. Specifically, we noted that “bonds were sending an economic warning.” To wit:\n\n“\nAs shown, the correlation between rates and the economic composite suggests that current expectations of sustained economic expansion and rising inflation are overly optimistic.\n At current rates, economic growth will likely very quickly rturn to sub-2% growth by 2022.”\n\nThe disappointment of economic growth is also a function of the surging debt and deficit levels, which, as noted above, will have to be entirely funded by the Federal Reserve.\nOn Thursday, both the Atlanta Fed and Morgan Stanley slashed their estimates for Q3 growth as economic data continues to disappoint.\n\n“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2021 is \n3.7\n \npercent\non September 2, \ndown from 5.3 percent on September 1\n.” – Atlanta Fed\n\nNotably, there were significant downward revisions to consumption and investment, declining from 2.6% and 23.4% to 1.9% and 19.3%, respectively. However, as we noted previously, such is not surprising as “stimulus” leaves the system, and the economic drivers return to normalcy.\nMorgan and Goldman As Well\nAs stated, Morgan Stanely also slashed their estimates:\n\n“\nWe are revising down 3Q GDP tracking to 2.9% from 6.5%, previously\n. Our forecast for 4Q GDP remains at 6.7%. The revision to 3Q implies full year 4Q/4Q GDP at 5.6% (5.7%Y) this year – 1.4pp lower than the Fed’s forecast of 7.0% in its June Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), and 0.7pp below Bloomberg consensus of economists at 6.3%.\n\n\nAn examination of the data reveals that the slowdown is not broad-based and primarily reflects payback from stimulus spending as well as continued supply chain bottlenecks.\n The swing factor is largest in spending on big-ticket durable goods that benefited most from stimulus checks and are affected most by lack of inventory and price increases due to supply shortages, for example motor vehicles.”\n\nAs we discussed previously, these two downgrades were playing catchup to our previous analysis and Goldman’s downgrade two weeks ago. To wit:\n\n“We have lowered our Q3 GDP forecast to +5.5%, reflecting hits to both consumer spending and production.\nSpending on dining, travel, and some other services is likely to decline in August, though we expect the drop to be modest and brief. Production is still suffering from supply chain disruptions, especially in the auto industry, and this is likely to mean less inventory rebuild in Q3.” –\n Goldman Sachs\n\nInvestors should not overlook the importance of these downgrades.\nEarnings Estimates At Risk\nIn our post on“Peak Economic And Earnings Growth,” we stated that corporate earnings and profits ultimately get derived from economic activity (personal consumption and business investment). Therefore, it is unlikely the currently lofty expectations will get met.\nThe problem for investors currently is that analysts’ assumptions are always high, and markets are trading at more extreme valuations, which leaves little room for disappointment. For example, using analyst’s price target assumptions of 4700 for 2020 and current earnings expectations, the S&P is trading 2.6x earnings growth.\nSuch puts the current P/E at 25.6x earnings in 2020, which is still expensive by historical measures.\nThat also puts the S&P 500 grossly above its linear trend line as earnings growth begins to revert.\nThrough the end of this year, companies will guide down earnings estimates for a variety of reasons:\n\nEconomic growth won’t be as robust as anticipated.\nPotentially higher corporate tax rates could reduce earnings.\nThe increased input costs due to the stimulus can’t get passed on to consumers.\nHigher interest rates increasing borrowing costs which impact earnings.\nA weaker consumer than currently expected due to reduced employment and weaker wages.\nGlobal demand weakens due to a stronger dollar impacting exports.\n\nSuch will leave investors once again “overpaying” for earnings growth that fails to materialize.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":522,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831362992,"gmtCreate":1629289847416,"gmtModify":1633685959177,"author":{"id":"4090644138998230","authorId":"4090644138998230","name":"Darianthum","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087898c16a965a28e6bac81e9a97ea17","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090644138998230","idStr":"4090644138998230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and comment 🙏","listText":"Please like and comment 🙏","text":"Please like and comment 🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831362992","repostId":"1131876419","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131876419","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629288195,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131876419?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-18 20:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Opens Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131876419","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"US equity futures and global markets were flat in listless trading as investors assessed the outlook","content":"<p>US equity futures and global markets were flat in listless trading as investors assessed the outlook for economic recovery and awaited the latest Federal Reserve minutes to gauge the direction of monetary policy while tracking the latest covid lockdown in New Zealand and on edge ahead of possible turbulence in Friday's OpEx. </p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货和全球市场在无精打采的交易中持平,投资者评估经济复苏前景,等待最新的美联储会议纪要来衡量货币政策的方向,同时跟踪新西兰最新的新冠疫情封锁,并在周五的运营支出可能出现动荡之前感到紧张。</blockquote></p><p> Overnight the MSCI Asia Pacific Index added 0.4% while Japan’s Topix index closed 0.4% higher. In Europe the Stoxx 600 Index was broadly unchanged. S&P 500 futures pointed to a small move lower at the open, the 10-year Treasury yield was at 1.277%, oil rose and gold moved higher, while cryptos rebounded from a late Tuesday selloff.</p><p><blockquote>隔夜,MSCI亚太指数上涨0.4%,日本东证指数收盘上涨0.4%。在欧洲,斯托克600指数基本没有变化。标普500期货开盘小幅走低,10年期国债收益率为1.277%,油价上涨,黄金走高,而加密货币从周二晚间的抛售中反弹。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:55 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 64 points, or 0.18%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 4 points, or 0.09% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 8 points, or 0.05%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午7:55,道琼斯指数下跌64点,跌幅0.18%,标普500指数下跌4点,跌幅0.09%,纳斯达克100指数上涨8点,跌幅0.05%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b8765de5383459e16baef1249617b5b\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></h3> 1. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOW\">Lowe's</a></b> – The home improvement retailer reported an adjusted quarterly profit of $4.25 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $4.01. Revenue beat forecasts, and the same-store sales decline of 1.6% was less than the 2.2% decline predicted by analysts. Lowe’s also raised its full-year financial outlook, as spending by builders and professionals rose. Lowe’s rallied 4.60% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></h3>1. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOW\">劳氏</a></b>-这家家居装修零售商报告调整后季度利润为每股4.25美元,超出市场普遍预期的4.01美元。营收超出预期,同店销售下滑1.6%小于分析师预测的2.2%降幅。由于建筑商和专业人士的支出增加,劳氏还上调了全年财务前景。劳氏(Lowe's)盘前上涨4.60%。</blockquote></p><p> 2. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">Target</a> </b>– The retailer beat estimates by 15 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of $3.64 per share, and revenue slightly above analyst forecasts. Comparable store sales rose 8.9%, slightly above the 8.8% consensus estimate. Target shares added 2.42% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>2. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">目标</a></b>-该零售商调整后季度收益为每股3.64美元,超出预期15美分,收入略高于分析师预期。同店销售额增长8.9%,略高于市场普遍预期的8.8%。塔吉特股价在盘前交易中上涨2.42%。</blockquote></p><p> 3. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\">Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a></b> – The doughnut chain fell a penny shy of Street forecasts with an adjusted quarterly profit of 13 cents per share, though revenue did beat estimates. Krispy Kreme also gave a better-than-expected revenue forecast, based on projected strength from online ordering and new menu items. The stock added 2.9% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>3. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\">克里斯皮·克雷姆公司。</a></b>–这家甜甜圈连锁店调整后季度利润为每股13美分,比华尔街预测低一美分,尽管收入确实超出了预期。基于在线订购和新菜单项的预计实力,Krispy Kreme还给出了好于预期的收入预测。该股在盘前上涨2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> 4. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALC\">Alcon Inc.</a></b> – The maker of eyecare and surgical products surged 9.89% in the premarket, after reporting better-than-expected quarterly results and raising its full-year guidance. The quarter marked the debut of Alcon’s Vivity intraocular contact lens, which analysts say will help drive sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>4. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALC\">爱尔康公司。</a></b>-这家眼部护理和手术产品制造商在公布好于预期的季度业绩并上调全年指引后,盘前股价飙升9.89%。本季度标志着爱尔康Vivity眼内隐形眼镜的首次亮相,分析师称这将有助于推动销售增长。</blockquote></p><p> 5. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a></b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a> </b>– Moderna rose 1.74% in premarket trading while BioNTech gained 1.38%, ahead of an expected announcement by the White House calling for a booster shot for Americans already fully vaccinated against Covid-19.</p><p><blockquote>5. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">莫德纳公司。</a></b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a></b>-Moderna在盘前交易中上涨1.74%,BioNTech上涨1.38%,此前白宫预计将宣布为已经完全接种Covid-19疫苗的美国人接种加强针。</blockquote></p><p> 6. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TMUS\">T-Mobile US</a></b> – Following an investigation, the wireless carrier now says the personal information of about 7.8 million customers was compromised in a recent data breach. That included dates of birth, social security numbers and driver’s license information, although no financial information was stolen.</p><p><blockquote>6. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TMUS\">T-Mobile美国</a></b>-经过调查,该无线运营商现在表示,大约780万客户的个人信息在最近的数据泄露中遭到泄露。其中包括出生日期、社会安全号码和驾照信息,尽管没有财务信息被盗。</blockquote></p><p> 7. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIAC\">Viacom CBS</a> </b>– Shares of the media giant gained 2.77% in premarket action after Wells Fargo Securities upgraded the stock to “overweight” from “equal weight”. Wells Fargo said ViacomCBS is one of the players poised to benefit from industry consolidation and it is also impressed by the upcoming programming slate for the company’s Paramount+ streaming service.</p><p><blockquote>7. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIAC\">维亚康姆CBS</a></b>-富国银行证券将该股评级从“同等权重”上调至“跑赢大盘”后,该媒体巨头的股价在盘前上涨2.77%。富国银行表示,维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司是有望从行业整合中受益的参与者之一,该公司派拉蒙+流媒体服务即将推出的节目也给该公司留下了深刻的印象。</blockquote></p><p> 8. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">BlackBerry</a></b> – The communications software maker said it released software patches to fix an issue with older versions of its QNX operating system and has notified all customers. U.S. officials had said earlier yesterday that the software flaw could put cars and medical equipment at risk. BlackBerry shares gained 1.34% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>8.<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">黑莓</a></b>-这家通信软件制造商表示,它发布了软件补丁来修复旧版本QNX操作系统的问题,并已通知所有客户。美国官员昨天早些时候曾表示,该软件缺陷可能会使汽车和医疗设备面临风险。黑莓股价盘前上涨1.34%。</blockquote></p><p> 9. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLRY\">Tilray Inc.</a></b> – The Canada-based cannabis producer’s shares surged 9.22% in premarket trading, after striking a deal to buy $166 million in convertible debt of U.S. producer MedMen Enterprises. Canadian producers cannot yet directly own a U.S.-based marijuana business, but Tilray could be poised to benefit from the deal if and when U.S. laws change.</p><p><blockquote>9. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLRY\">蒂尔雷公司。</a></b>-这家总部位于加拿大的大麻生产商在达成购买美国生产商MedMen Enterprises 1.66亿美元可转换债务的协议后,其股价在盘前交易中飙升9.22%。加拿大生产商还不能直接拥有美国的大麻业务,但如果美国法律发生变化,Tilray可能会从这笔交易中受益。</blockquote></p><p> 10. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/A\">Agilent</a> Technologies</b> – Agilent gained 2.39% in the premarket after the life sciences company beat top and bottom-line estimates for its latest quarter and raised its full-year forecast. Agilent said its metrics were upbeat across all its units and added that its non-Covid diagnostics business has recovered beyond pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote>10. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/A\">安捷伦</a>技术</b>-安捷伦在盘前上涨2.39%,此前这家生命科学公司超出了最新季度的营收和利润预期,并上调了全年预期。安捷伦表示,其所有部门的指标都很乐观,并补充说,其非新冠诊断业务已恢复到大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Opens Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Opens Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-18 20:03</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>US equity futures and global markets were flat in listless trading as investors assessed the outlook for economic recovery and awaited the latest Federal Reserve minutes to gauge the direction of monetary policy while tracking the latest covid lockdown in New Zealand and on edge ahead of possible turbulence in Friday's OpEx. </p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货和全球市场在无精打采的交易中持平,投资者评估经济复苏前景,等待最新的美联储会议纪要来衡量货币政策的方向,同时跟踪新西兰最新的新冠疫情封锁,并在周五的运营支出可能出现动荡之前感到紧张。</blockquote></p><p> Overnight the MSCI Asia Pacific Index added 0.4% while Japan’s Topix index closed 0.4% higher. In Europe the Stoxx 600 Index was broadly unchanged. S&P 500 futures pointed to a small move lower at the open, the 10-year Treasury yield was at 1.277%, oil rose and gold moved higher, while cryptos rebounded from a late Tuesday selloff.</p><p><blockquote>隔夜,MSCI亚太指数上涨0.4%,日本东证指数收盘上涨0.4%。在欧洲,斯托克600指数基本没有变化。标普500期货开盘小幅走低,10年期国债收益率为1.277%,油价上涨,黄金走高,而加密货币从周二晚间的抛售中反弹。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:55 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 64 points, or 0.18%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 4 points, or 0.09% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 8 points, or 0.05%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午7:55,道琼斯指数下跌64点,跌幅0.18%,标普500指数下跌4点,跌幅0.09%,纳斯达克100指数上涨8点,跌幅0.05%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b8765de5383459e16baef1249617b5b\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></h3> 1. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOW\">Lowe's</a></b> – The home improvement retailer reported an adjusted quarterly profit of $4.25 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $4.01. Revenue beat forecasts, and the same-store sales decline of 1.6% was less than the 2.2% decline predicted by analysts. Lowe’s also raised its full-year financial outlook, as spending by builders and professionals rose. Lowe’s rallied 4.60% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></h3>1. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOW\">劳氏</a></b>-这家家居装修零售商报告调整后季度利润为每股4.25美元,超出市场普遍预期的4.01美元。营收超出预期,同店销售下滑1.6%小于分析师预测的2.2%降幅。由于建筑商和专业人士的支出增加,劳氏还上调了全年财务前景。劳氏(Lowe's)盘前上涨4.60%。</blockquote></p><p> 2. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">Target</a> </b>– The retailer beat estimates by 15 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of $3.64 per share, and revenue slightly above analyst forecasts. Comparable store sales rose 8.9%, slightly above the 8.8% consensus estimate. Target shares added 2.42% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>2. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">目标</a></b>-该零售商调整后季度收益为每股3.64美元,超出预期15美分,收入略高于分析师预期。同店销售额增长8.9%,略高于市场普遍预期的8.8%。塔吉特股价在盘前交易中上涨2.42%。</blockquote></p><p> 3. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\">Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a></b> – The doughnut chain fell a penny shy of Street forecasts with an adjusted quarterly profit of 13 cents per share, though revenue did beat estimates. Krispy Kreme also gave a better-than-expected revenue forecast, based on projected strength from online ordering and new menu items. The stock added 2.9% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>3. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\">克里斯皮·克雷姆公司。</a></b>–这家甜甜圈连锁店调整后季度利润为每股13美分,比华尔街预测低一美分,尽管收入确实超出了预期。基于在线订购和新菜单项的预计实力,Krispy Kreme还给出了好于预期的收入预测。该股在盘前上涨2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> 4. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALC\">Alcon Inc.</a></b> – The maker of eyecare and surgical products surged 9.89% in the premarket, after reporting better-than-expected quarterly results and raising its full-year guidance. The quarter marked the debut of Alcon’s Vivity intraocular contact lens, which analysts say will help drive sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>4. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALC\">爱尔康公司。</a></b>-这家眼部护理和手术产品制造商在公布好于预期的季度业绩并上调全年指引后,盘前股价飙升9.89%。本季度标志着爱尔康Vivity眼内隐形眼镜的首次亮相,分析师称这将有助于推动销售增长。</blockquote></p><p> 5. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a></b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a> </b>– Moderna rose 1.74% in premarket trading while BioNTech gained 1.38%, ahead of an expected announcement by the White House calling for a booster shot for Americans already fully vaccinated against Covid-19.</p><p><blockquote>5. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">莫德纳公司。</a></b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a></b>-Moderna在盘前交易中上涨1.74%,BioNTech上涨1.38%,此前白宫预计将宣布为已经完全接种Covid-19疫苗的美国人接种加强针。</blockquote></p><p> 6. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TMUS\">T-Mobile US</a></b> – Following an investigation, the wireless carrier now says the personal information of about 7.8 million customers was compromised in a recent data breach. That included dates of birth, social security numbers and driver’s license information, although no financial information was stolen.</p><p><blockquote>6. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TMUS\">T-Mobile美国</a></b>-经过调查,该无线运营商现在表示,大约780万客户的个人信息在最近的数据泄露中遭到泄露。其中包括出生日期、社会安全号码和驾照信息,尽管没有财务信息被盗。</blockquote></p><p> 7. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIAC\">Viacom CBS</a> </b>– Shares of the media giant gained 2.77% in premarket action after Wells Fargo Securities upgraded the stock to “overweight” from “equal weight”. Wells Fargo said ViacomCBS is one of the players poised to benefit from industry consolidation and it is also impressed by the upcoming programming slate for the company’s Paramount+ streaming service.</p><p><blockquote>7. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIAC\">维亚康姆CBS</a></b>-富国银行证券将该股评级从“同等权重”上调至“跑赢大盘”后,该媒体巨头的股价在盘前上涨2.77%。富国银行表示,维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司是有望从行业整合中受益的参与者之一,该公司派拉蒙+流媒体服务即将推出的节目也给该公司留下了深刻的印象。</blockquote></p><p> 8. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">BlackBerry</a></b> – The communications software maker said it released software patches to fix an issue with older versions of its QNX operating system and has notified all customers. U.S. officials had said earlier yesterday that the software flaw could put cars and medical equipment at risk. BlackBerry shares gained 1.34% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>8.<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">黑莓</a></b>-这家通信软件制造商表示,它发布了软件补丁来修复旧版本QNX操作系统的问题,并已通知所有客户。美国官员昨天早些时候曾表示,该软件缺陷可能会使汽车和医疗设备面临风险。黑莓股价盘前上涨1.34%。</blockquote></p><p> 9. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLRY\">Tilray Inc.</a></b> – The Canada-based cannabis producer’s shares surged 9.22% in premarket trading, after striking a deal to buy $166 million in convertible debt of U.S. producer MedMen Enterprises. Canadian producers cannot yet directly own a U.S.-based marijuana business, but Tilray could be poised to benefit from the deal if and when U.S. laws change.</p><p><blockquote>9. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLRY\">蒂尔雷公司。</a></b>-这家总部位于加拿大的大麻生产商在达成购买美国生产商MedMen Enterprises 1.66亿美元可转换债务的协议后,其股价在盘前交易中飙升9.22%。加拿大生产商还不能直接拥有美国的大麻业务,但如果美国法律发生变化,Tilray可能会从这笔交易中受益。</blockquote></p><p> 10. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/A\">Agilent</a> Technologies</b> – Agilent gained 2.39% in the premarket after the life sciences company beat top and bottom-line estimates for its latest quarter and raised its full-year forecast. Agilent said its metrics were upbeat across all its units and added that its non-Covid diagnostics business has recovered beyond pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote>10. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/A\">安捷伦</a>技术</b>-安捷伦在盘前上涨2.39%,此前这家生命科学公司超出了最新季度的营收和利润预期,并上调了全年预期。安捷伦表示,其所有部门的指标都很乐观,并补充说,其非新冠诊断业务已恢复到大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TGT":"塔吉特","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","A":"安捷伦科技","BB":"黑莓","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","LOW":"劳氏"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131876419","content_text":"US equity futures and global markets were flat in listless trading as investors assessed the outlook for economic recovery and awaited the latest Federal Reserve minutes to gauge the direction of monetary policy while tracking the latest covid lockdown in New Zealand and on edge ahead of possible turbulence in Friday's OpEx. \nOvernight the MSCI Asia Pacific Index added 0.4% while Japan’s Topix index closed 0.4% higher. In Europe the Stoxx 600 Index was broadly unchanged. S&P 500 futures pointed to a small move lower at the open, the 10-year Treasury yield was at 1.277%, oil rose and gold moved higher, while cryptos rebounded from a late Tuesday selloff.\nAt 7:55 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 64 points, or 0.18%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 4 points, or 0.09% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 8 points, or 0.05%.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\n1. Lowe's – The home improvement retailer reported an adjusted quarterly profit of $4.25 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $4.01. Revenue beat forecasts, and the same-store sales decline of 1.6% was less than the 2.2% decline predicted by analysts. Lowe’s also raised its full-year financial outlook, as spending by builders and professionals rose. Lowe’s rallied 4.60% in the premarket.\n2. Target – The retailer beat estimates by 15 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of $3.64 per share, and revenue slightly above analyst forecasts. Comparable store sales rose 8.9%, slightly above the 8.8% consensus estimate. Target shares added 2.42% in premarket trading.\n3. Krispy Kreme, Inc. – The doughnut chain fell a penny shy of Street forecasts with an adjusted quarterly profit of 13 cents per share, though revenue did beat estimates. Krispy Kreme also gave a better-than-expected revenue forecast, based on projected strength from online ordering and new menu items. The stock added 2.9% in premarket action.\n4. Alcon Inc. – The maker of eyecare and surgical products surged 9.89% in the premarket, after reporting better-than-expected quarterly results and raising its full-year guidance. The quarter marked the debut of Alcon’s Vivity intraocular contact lens, which analysts say will help drive sales growth.\n5. Moderna, Inc., BioNTech SE – Moderna rose 1.74% in premarket trading while BioNTech gained 1.38%, ahead of an expected announcement by the White House calling for a booster shot for Americans already fully vaccinated against Covid-19.\n6. T-Mobile US – Following an investigation, the wireless carrier now says the personal information of about 7.8 million customers was compromised in a recent data breach. That included dates of birth, social security numbers and driver’s license information, although no financial information was stolen.\n7. Viacom CBS – Shares of the media giant gained 2.77% in premarket action after Wells Fargo Securities upgraded the stock to “overweight” from “equal weight”. Wells Fargo said ViacomCBS is one of the players poised to benefit from industry consolidation and it is also impressed by the upcoming programming slate for the company’s Paramount+ streaming service.\n8. BlackBerry – The communications software maker said it released software patches to fix an issue with older versions of its QNX operating system and has notified all customers. U.S. officials had said earlier yesterday that the software flaw could put cars and medical equipment at risk. BlackBerry shares gained 1.34% in the premarket.\n9. Tilray Inc. – The Canada-based cannabis producer’s shares surged 9.22% in premarket trading, after striking a deal to buy $166 million in convertible debt of U.S. producer MedMen Enterprises. Canadian producers cannot yet directly own a U.S.-based marijuana business, but Tilray could be poised to benefit from the deal if and when U.S. laws change.\n10. Agilent Technologies – Agilent gained 2.39% in the premarket after the life sciences company beat top and bottom-line estimates for its latest quarter and raised its full-year forecast. Agilent said its metrics were upbeat across all its units and added that its non-Covid diagnostics business has recovered beyond pre-pandemic levels.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"A":0.9,"BNTX":0.9,"TGT":0.9,"BB":0.9,"LOW":0.9,"VIAC":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"TLRY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895058004,"gmtCreate":1628696239108,"gmtModify":1633745026447,"author":{"id":"4090644138998230","authorId":"4090644138998230","name":"Darianthum","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087898c16a965a28e6bac81e9a97ea17","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090644138998230","idStr":"4090644138998230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please🙏🙏🙏","listText":"Like please🙏🙏🙏","text":"Like please🙏🙏🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895058004","repostId":"1149859103","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":852725069,"gmtCreate":1635305151567,"gmtModify":1635305151753,"author":{"id":"4090644138998230","authorId":"4090644138998230","name":"Darianthum","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087898c16a965a28e6bac81e9a97ea17","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090644138998230","idStr":"4090644138998230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>🤑🤑🤑","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>🤑🤑🤑","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$🤑🤑🤑","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84f43161e053c18843ad52987acffb9f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852725069","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":691,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861179568,"gmtCreate":1632475869154,"gmtModify":1632720226947,"author":{"id":"4090644138998230","authorId":"4090644138998230","name":"Darianthum","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087898c16a965a28e6bac81e9a97ea17","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090644138998230","idStr":"4090644138998230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>please like","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>please like","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$please like","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/397101bfb025289f362f36ad519a5030","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861179568","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":752,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":884257925,"gmtCreate":1631898174367,"gmtModify":1632805469115,"author":{"id":"4090644138998230","authorId":"4090644138998230","name":"Darianthum","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087898c16a965a28e6bac81e9a97ea17","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090644138998230","idStr":"4090644138998230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>please like🙏🙏🙏","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>please like🙏🙏🙏","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$please like🙏🙏🙏","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7332b75a6003ff57c567039047b5855","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884257925","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}