+关注
棋哥投研
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:未知
2
关注
1
粉丝
0
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
棋哥投研
09-22 13:22
$协鑫科技(03800)$
大盘震荡正好洗掉浮筹,协鑫硅料成本行业领先,价格回暖时弹性更大。
棋哥投研
09-08
$地平线机器人-W(09660)$
这就是实力,不管怎么说,先把钱挣了再说
棋哥投研
09-08
$找钢集团-W(06676)$
2.6 以下终于给我买到点,再跌补不动,求主力做个人。
棋哥投研
09-08
$奥克斯电气(02580)$
央视都报道了,加上市场也认可奥克斯电气长期价值,这股拿长期问题不大。
棋哥投研
08-13
$极智嘉-W(02590)$
今年AI+概念要起飞?国常会刚通过的《人工智能+行动意见》,加上机器人大会推上资本市场风口浪尖,看谁先盈利了,我始终相信盈利才是最好的护城河。
棋哥投研
07-22
$极智嘉-W(02590)$
短期波动就像海浪拍礁石,根本撼动不了龙头的根基,反而给长期投资者提供了 "低价上车" 的机会,这种时候慌着卖,才是真的踏空。
棋哥投研
06-30
我觉得维立志博等LBL-024商业化后,未必不能小步快跑试试大适应症,预期是在的
棋哥投研
06-17
$地平线机器人-W(09660)$
现在这个价格还能跌到那里去?这个价位附近可以建点仓了,跌破配股价更是最好的加仓机会,今早加了点仓位,不知道对不对?
棋哥投研
05-28
$找钢集团-W(06676)$
暗线逻辑:全国统一大市场政策下,找钢的跨区域调配能力价值凸显。看看那些地方钢贸商的倒闭潮,平台型企业吃红利
棋哥投研
04-30
重估阿里云就是重估阿里,重估阿里就是重估中概股。
@陈达美股投资:我们重估阿里云,在千问3开源来袭
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"4090735880032520","uuid":"4090735880032520","gmtCreate":1627632976607,"gmtModify":1746004239444,"name":"棋哥投研","pinyin":"qgtyqigetouyan","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":1,"headSize":2,"tweetSize":11,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":2,"level":{"id":0,"name":"","nameTw":"","represent":"","factor":"","iconColor":"","bgColor":""},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[],"userBadgeCount":0,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":481258310045768,"gmtCreate":1758518541126,"gmtModify":1758518543063,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03800\">$协鑫科技(03800)$</a> 大盘震荡正好洗掉浮筹,协鑫硅料成本行业领先,价格回暖时弹性更大。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03800\">$协鑫科技(03800)$</a> 大盘震荡正好洗掉浮筹,协鑫硅料成本行业领先,价格回暖时弹性更大。","text":"$协鑫科技(03800)$ 大盘震荡正好洗掉浮筹,协鑫硅料成本行业领先,价格回暖时弹性更大。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/481258310045768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":476384834551960,"gmtCreate":1757308891766,"gmtModify":1757308892922,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09660\">$地平线机器人-W(09660)$</a>这就是实力,不管怎么说,先把钱挣了再说","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09660\">$地平线机器人-W(09660)$</a>这就是实力,不管怎么说,先把钱挣了再说","text":"$地平线机器人-W(09660)$这就是实力,不管怎么说,先把钱挣了再说","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/476384834551960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":476385968893952,"gmtCreate":1757308839551,"gmtModify":1757308840699,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06676\">$找钢集团-W(06676)$</a>2.6 以下终于给我买到点,再跌补不动,求主力做个人。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06676\">$找钢集团-W(06676)$</a>2.6 以下终于给我买到点,再跌补不动,求主力做个人。","text":"$找钢集团-W(06676)$2.6 以下终于给我买到点,再跌补不动,求主力做个人。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/476385968893952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":451,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":476363310891160,"gmtCreate":1757303636966,"gmtModify":1757303638167,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02580\">$奥克斯电气(02580)$</a> 央视都报道了,加上市场也认可奥克斯电气长期价值,这股拿长期问题不大。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02580\">$奥克斯电气(02580)$</a> 央视都报道了,加上市场也认可奥克斯电气长期价值,这股拿长期问题不大。","text":"$奥克斯电气(02580)$ 央视都报道了,加上市场也认可奥克斯电气长期价值,这股拿长期问题不大。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/476363310891160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4194483286490852","authorId":"4194483286490852","name":"不会止损","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f660329316c57c5f3744b361f031bf4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4194483286490852","authorIdStr":"4194483286490852"},"content":"就是被你们砸盘的,就这话术还出来稳股价?","text":"就是被你们砸盘的,就这话术还出来稳股价?","html":"就是被你们砸盘的,就这话术还出来稳股价?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":467078425993680,"gmtCreate":1755049549234,"gmtModify":1755049550737,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02590\">$极智嘉-W(02590)$</a> 今年AI+概念要起飞?国常会刚通过的《人工智能+行动意见》,加上机器人大会推上资本市场风口浪尖,看谁先盈利了,我始终相信盈利才是最好的护城河。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02590\">$极智嘉-W(02590)$</a> 今年AI+概念要起飞?国常会刚通过的《人工智能+行动意见》,加上机器人大会推上资本市场风口浪尖,看谁先盈利了,我始终相信盈利才是最好的护城河。","text":"$极智嘉-W(02590)$ 今年AI+概念要起飞?国常会刚通过的《人工智能+行动意见》,加上机器人大会推上资本市场风口浪尖,看谁先盈利了,我始终相信盈利才是最好的护城河。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/467078425993680","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":464,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":459238164332760,"gmtCreate":1753155749184,"gmtModify":1753155750417,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02590\">$极智嘉-W(02590)$</a> 短期波动就像海浪拍礁石,根本撼动不了龙头的根基,反而给长期投资者提供了 \"低价上车\" 的机会,这种时候慌着卖,才是真的踏空。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02590\">$极智嘉-W(02590)$</a> 短期波动就像海浪拍礁石,根本撼动不了龙头的根基,反而给长期投资者提供了 \"低价上车\" 的机会,这种时候慌着卖,才是真的踏空。","text":"$极智嘉-W(02590)$ 短期波动就像海浪拍礁石,根本撼动不了龙头的根基,反而给长期投资者提供了 \"低价上车\" 的机会,这种时候慌着卖,才是真的踏空。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/459238164332760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":451494423515640,"gmtCreate":1751254281863,"gmtModify":1751254283651,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我觉得维立志博等LBL-024商业化后,未必不能小步快跑试试大适应症,预期是在的","listText":"我觉得维立志博等LBL-024商业化后,未必不能小步快跑试试大适应症,预期是在的","text":"我觉得维立志博等LBL-024商业化后,未必不能小步快跑试试大适应症,预期是在的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/451494423515640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":446951485215136,"gmtCreate":1750140701401,"gmtModify":1750143136384,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09660\">$地平线机器人-W(09660)$</a> 现在这个价格还能跌到那里去?这个价位附近可以建点仓了,跌破配股价更是最好的加仓机会,今早加了点仓位,不知道对不对?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09660\">$地平线机器人-W(09660)$</a> 现在这个价格还能跌到那里去?这个价位附近可以建点仓了,跌破配股价更是最好的加仓机会,今早加了点仓位,不知道对不对?","text":"$地平线机器人-W(09660)$ 现在这个价格还能跌到那里去?这个价位附近可以建点仓了,跌破配股价更是最好的加仓机会,今早加了点仓位,不知道对不对?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/446951485215136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4202701249959132","authorId":"4202701249959132","name":"独行羊","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4202701249959132","authorIdStr":"4202701249959132"},"content":"可以满仓干了,这只股票不容易有机会","text":"可以满仓干了,这只股票不容易有机会","html":"可以满仓干了,这只股票不容易有机会"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":439796054135688,"gmtCreate":1748400724805,"gmtModify":1748402654620,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06676\">$找钢集团-W(06676)$</a> 暗线逻辑:全国统一大市场政策下,找钢的跨区域调配能力价值凸显。看看那些地方钢贸商的倒闭潮,平台型企业吃红利","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06676\">$找钢集团-W(06676)$</a> 暗线逻辑:全国统一大市场政策下,找钢的跨区域调配能力价值凸显。看看那些地方钢贸商的倒闭潮,平台型企业吃红利","text":"$找钢集团-W(06676)$ 暗线逻辑:全国统一大市场政策下,找钢的跨区域调配能力价值凸显。看看那些地方钢贸商的倒闭潮,平台型企业吃红利","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/439796054135688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":430002994188392,"gmtCreate":1746002893580,"gmtModify":1746003024053,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"重估阿里云就是重估阿里,重估阿里就是重估中概股。","listText":"重估阿里云就是重估阿里,重估阿里就是重估中概股。","text":"重估阿里云就是重估阿里,重估阿里就是重估中概股。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/430002994188392","repostId":"429993518555888","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":429993518555888,"gmtCreate":1746001127045,"gmtModify":1747241411465,"author":{"id":"115535245075020","authorId":"115535245075020","name":"陈达美股投资","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c77cdf64a6c2c4355eb691def79ccf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"115535245075020","authorIdStr":"115535245075020"},"themes":[],"title":"我们重估阿里云,在千问3开源来袭","htmlText":"投资阿里与投资阿里云,是同一枚硬币的两面,如胶似漆,水交乳融。最近我花了不少时间研究阿里云,研究其技术但更研究商业模式演化,以及其在整个竞争视野(competitive landscape)下的拓扑脉络。我想用我的时间,换投资不再疯癫。 本文旨在对阿里云计算业务进行一次系统性梳理,做一次深度探索;并在AI这个elephant in the room 激荡的第二场技术浪潮里,重估阿里云的价值——这是进一步推动阿里股价的关键催化剂之一。这里有个思想叫做“两个就是”: 重估阿里云就是重估阿里,重估阿里就是重估中概股。 阿里未来三年在AI 上的CapEx是国内史无前例的3800亿人民币(缩小与MAG7数量级上的差距,亚马逊2025年计划capex1000亿美元);而阿里云从基础设施、大模型、以及更垂类的AI应用——通义大模型家族,这些都在全球第一梯队,布局比较全面,我看到一块风樯阵马的大饼正在我的眼前徐徐摊开。 (中美AI模型性能差距的可视化图谱,随岁月流淌下的大渠延绵。数据来源:斯坦福大学 2025 AI指数报告,制图:Visual Capitalist) 一、state-of-the-art:千问3 关于阿里云乃至于是任何云,AI大模型显然是全村的希望,是房间里的大象,是新时代的金矿。最近进展是阿里开源模型里最新一代迭代,通义千问Qwen3(千问3),这个模型有两个重要的“边际拱点”,一是成本大幅下降,二是性能大幅提升: 1、千问3是混合专家(MoE)架构,旗舰版千问3模型总参数235B激活22B,大致需要4张H20或同等性能的GPU,就能部署满血版,所以大幅降低了成本与费用。其显存占用为性能相近模型的1/3。比如对比满血版DeepSeek-R1总参数671B激活37B,1台8卡H20可跑但跑得很紧(100w左右),一般推荐16卡H20总价约200万左右。从部署成本看,千问3是","listText":"投资阿里与投资阿里云,是同一枚硬币的两面,如胶似漆,水交乳融。最近我花了不少时间研究阿里云,研究其技术但更研究商业模式演化,以及其在整个竞争视野(competitive landscape)下的拓扑脉络。我想用我的时间,换投资不再疯癫。 本文旨在对阿里云计算业务进行一次系统性梳理,做一次深度探索;并在AI这个elephant in the room 激荡的第二场技术浪潮里,重估阿里云的价值——这是进一步推动阿里股价的关键催化剂之一。这里有个思想叫做“两个就是”: 重估阿里云就是重估阿里,重估阿里就是重估中概股。 阿里未来三年在AI 上的CapEx是国内史无前例的3800亿人民币(缩小与MAG7数量级上的差距,亚马逊2025年计划capex1000亿美元);而阿里云从基础设施、大模型、以及更垂类的AI应用——通义大模型家族,这些都在全球第一梯队,布局比较全面,我看到一块风樯阵马的大饼正在我的眼前徐徐摊开。 (中美AI模型性能差距的可视化图谱,随岁月流淌下的大渠延绵。数据来源:斯坦福大学 2025 AI指数报告,制图:Visual Capitalist) 一、state-of-the-art:千问3 关于阿里云乃至于是任何云,AI大模型显然是全村的希望,是房间里的大象,是新时代的金矿。最近进展是阿里开源模型里最新一代迭代,通义千问Qwen3(千问3),这个模型有两个重要的“边际拱点”,一是成本大幅下降,二是性能大幅提升: 1、千问3是混合专家(MoE)架构,旗舰版千问3模型总参数235B激活22B,大致需要4张H20或同等性能的GPU,就能部署满血版,所以大幅降低了成本与费用。其显存占用为性能相近模型的1/3。比如对比满血版DeepSeek-R1总参数671B激活37B,1台8卡H20可跑但跑得很紧(100w左右),一般推荐16卡H20总价约200万左右。从部署成本看,千问3是","text":"投资阿里与投资阿里云,是同一枚硬币的两面,如胶似漆,水交乳融。最近我花了不少时间研究阿里云,研究其技术但更研究商业模式演化,以及其在整个竞争视野(competitive landscape)下的拓扑脉络。我想用我的时间,换投资不再疯癫。 本文旨在对阿里云计算业务进行一次系统性梳理,做一次深度探索;并在AI这个elephant in the room 激荡的第二场技术浪潮里,重估阿里云的价值——这是进一步推动阿里股价的关键催化剂之一。这里有个思想叫做“两个就是”: 重估阿里云就是重估阿里,重估阿里就是重估中概股。 阿里未来三年在AI 上的CapEx是国内史无前例的3800亿人民币(缩小与MAG7数量级上的差距,亚马逊2025年计划capex1000亿美元);而阿里云从基础设施、大模型、以及更垂类的AI应用——通义大模型家族,这些都在全球第一梯队,布局比较全面,我看到一块风樯阵马的大饼正在我的眼前徐徐摊开。 (中美AI模型性能差距的可视化图谱,随岁月流淌下的大渠延绵。数据来源:斯坦福大学 2025 AI指数报告,制图:Visual Capitalist) 一、state-of-the-art:千问3 关于阿里云乃至于是任何云,AI大模型显然是全村的希望,是房间里的大象,是新时代的金矿。最近进展是阿里开源模型里最新一代迭代,通义千问Qwen3(千问3),这个模型有两个重要的“边际拱点”,一是成本大幅下降,二是性能大幅提升: 1、千问3是混合专家(MoE)架构,旗舰版千问3模型总参数235B激活22B,大致需要4张H20或同等性能的GPU,就能部署满血版,所以大幅降低了成本与费用。其显存占用为性能相近模型的1/3。比如对比满血版DeepSeek-R1总参数671B激活37B,1台8卡H20可跑但跑得很紧(100w左右),一般推荐16卡H20总价约200万左右。从部署成本看,千问3是","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80f67812b7c18e2a10860430ce0fdf4f","width":"1120","height":"1466"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb84f19e8015c93e60cbe768d9024aa","width":"1062","height":"1512"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a72d35179e20ffc5b76e9f21cc5907c1","width":"1124","height":"1198"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/429993518555888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":994,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":481258310045768,"gmtCreate":1758518541126,"gmtModify":1758518543063,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03800\">$协鑫科技(03800)$</a> 大盘震荡正好洗掉浮筹,协鑫硅料成本行业领先,价格回暖时弹性更大。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03800\">$协鑫科技(03800)$</a> 大盘震荡正好洗掉浮筹,协鑫硅料成本行业领先,价格回暖时弹性更大。","text":"$协鑫科技(03800)$ 大盘震荡正好洗掉浮筹,协鑫硅料成本行业领先,价格回暖时弹性更大。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/481258310045768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":476385968893952,"gmtCreate":1757308839551,"gmtModify":1757308840699,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06676\">$找钢集团-W(06676)$</a>2.6 以下终于给我买到点,再跌补不动,求主力做个人。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06676\">$找钢集团-W(06676)$</a>2.6 以下终于给我买到点,再跌补不动,求主力做个人。","text":"$找钢集团-W(06676)$2.6 以下终于给我买到点,再跌补不动,求主力做个人。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/476385968893952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":451,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":446951485215136,"gmtCreate":1750140701401,"gmtModify":1750143136384,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09660\">$地平线机器人-W(09660)$</a> 现在这个价格还能跌到那里去?这个价位附近可以建点仓了,跌破配股价更是最好的加仓机会,今早加了点仓位,不知道对不对?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09660\">$地平线机器人-W(09660)$</a> 现在这个价格还能跌到那里去?这个价位附近可以建点仓了,跌破配股价更是最好的加仓机会,今早加了点仓位,不知道对不对?","text":"$地平线机器人-W(09660)$ 现在这个价格还能跌到那里去?这个价位附近可以建点仓了,跌破配股价更是最好的加仓机会,今早加了点仓位,不知道对不对?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/446951485215136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4202701249959132","authorId":"4202701249959132","name":"独行羊","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4202701249959132","authorIdStr":"4202701249959132"},"content":"可以满仓干了,这只股票不容易有机会","text":"可以满仓干了,这只股票不容易有机会","html":"可以满仓干了,这只股票不容易有机会"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":476363310891160,"gmtCreate":1757303636966,"gmtModify":1757303638167,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02580\">$奥克斯电气(02580)$</a> 央视都报道了,加上市场也认可奥克斯电气长期价值,这股拿长期问题不大。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02580\">$奥克斯电气(02580)$</a> 央视都报道了,加上市场也认可奥克斯电气长期价值,这股拿长期问题不大。","text":"$奥克斯电气(02580)$ 央视都报道了,加上市场也认可奥克斯电气长期价值,这股拿长期问题不大。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/476363310891160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4194483286490852","authorId":"4194483286490852","name":"不会止损","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f660329316c57c5f3744b361f031bf4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4194483286490852","authorIdStr":"4194483286490852"},"content":"就是被你们砸盘的,就这话术还出来稳股价?","text":"就是被你们砸盘的,就这话术还出来稳股价?","html":"就是被你们砸盘的,就这话术还出来稳股价?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":459238164332760,"gmtCreate":1753155749184,"gmtModify":1753155750417,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02590\">$极智嘉-W(02590)$</a> 短期波动就像海浪拍礁石,根本撼动不了龙头的根基,反而给长期投资者提供了 \"低价上车\" 的机会,这种时候慌着卖,才是真的踏空。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02590\">$极智嘉-W(02590)$</a> 短期波动就像海浪拍礁石,根本撼动不了龙头的根基,反而给长期投资者提供了 \"低价上车\" 的机会,这种时候慌着卖,才是真的踏空。","text":"$极智嘉-W(02590)$ 短期波动就像海浪拍礁石,根本撼动不了龙头的根基,反而给长期投资者提供了 \"低价上车\" 的机会,这种时候慌着卖,才是真的踏空。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/459238164332760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":476384834551960,"gmtCreate":1757308891766,"gmtModify":1757308892922,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09660\">$地平线机器人-W(09660)$</a>这就是实力,不管怎么说,先把钱挣了再说","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09660\">$地平线机器人-W(09660)$</a>这就是实力,不管怎么说,先把钱挣了再说","text":"$地平线机器人-W(09660)$这就是实力,不管怎么说,先把钱挣了再说","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/476384834551960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":467078425993680,"gmtCreate":1755049549234,"gmtModify":1755049550737,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02590\">$极智嘉-W(02590)$</a> 今年AI+概念要起飞?国常会刚通过的《人工智能+行动意见》,加上机器人大会推上资本市场风口浪尖,看谁先盈利了,我始终相信盈利才是最好的护城河。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02590\">$极智嘉-W(02590)$</a> 今年AI+概念要起飞?国常会刚通过的《人工智能+行动意见》,加上机器人大会推上资本市场风口浪尖,看谁先盈利了,我始终相信盈利才是最好的护城河。","text":"$极智嘉-W(02590)$ 今年AI+概念要起飞?国常会刚通过的《人工智能+行动意见》,加上机器人大会推上资本市场风口浪尖,看谁先盈利了,我始终相信盈利才是最好的护城河。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/467078425993680","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":464,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":451494423515640,"gmtCreate":1751254281863,"gmtModify":1751254283651,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我觉得维立志博等LBL-024商业化后,未必不能小步快跑试试大适应症,预期是在的","listText":"我觉得维立志博等LBL-024商业化后,未必不能小步快跑试试大适应症,预期是在的","text":"我觉得维立志博等LBL-024商业化后,未必不能小步快跑试试大适应症,预期是在的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/451494423515640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":439796054135688,"gmtCreate":1748400724805,"gmtModify":1748402654620,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06676\">$找钢集团-W(06676)$</a> 暗线逻辑:全国统一大市场政策下,找钢的跨区域调配能力价值凸显。看看那些地方钢贸商的倒闭潮,平台型企业吃红利","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06676\">$找钢集团-W(06676)$</a> 暗线逻辑:全国统一大市场政策下,找钢的跨区域调配能力价值凸显。看看那些地方钢贸商的倒闭潮,平台型企业吃红利","text":"$找钢集团-W(06676)$ 暗线逻辑:全国统一大市场政策下,找钢的跨区域调配能力价值凸显。看看那些地方钢贸商的倒闭潮,平台型企业吃红利","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/439796054135688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":430002994188392,"gmtCreate":1746002893580,"gmtModify":1746003024053,"author":{"id":"4090735880032520","authorId":"4090735880032520","name":"棋哥投研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb7b949e2f488d261f50c9272bca31e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090735880032520","authorIdStr":"4090735880032520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"重估阿里云就是重估阿里,重估阿里就是重估中概股。","listText":"重估阿里云就是重估阿里,重估阿里就是重估中概股。","text":"重估阿里云就是重估阿里,重估阿里就是重估中概股。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/430002994188392","repostId":"429993518555888","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":429993518555888,"gmtCreate":1746001127045,"gmtModify":1747241411465,"author":{"id":"115535245075020","authorId":"115535245075020","name":"陈达美股投资","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c77cdf64a6c2c4355eb691def79ccf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"115535245075020","authorIdStr":"115535245075020"},"themes":[],"title":"我们重估阿里云,在千问3开源来袭","htmlText":"投资阿里与投资阿里云,是同一枚硬币的两面,如胶似漆,水交乳融。最近我花了不少时间研究阿里云,研究其技术但更研究商业模式演化,以及其在整个竞争视野(competitive landscape)下的拓扑脉络。我想用我的时间,换投资不再疯癫。 本文旨在对阿里云计算业务进行一次系统性梳理,做一次深度探索;并在AI这个elephant in the room 激荡的第二场技术浪潮里,重估阿里云的价值——这是进一步推动阿里股价的关键催化剂之一。这里有个思想叫做“两个就是”: 重估阿里云就是重估阿里,重估阿里就是重估中概股。 阿里未来三年在AI 上的CapEx是国内史无前例的3800亿人民币(缩小与MAG7数量级上的差距,亚马逊2025年计划capex1000亿美元);而阿里云从基础设施、大模型、以及更垂类的AI应用——通义大模型家族,这些都在全球第一梯队,布局比较全面,我看到一块风樯阵马的大饼正在我的眼前徐徐摊开。 (中美AI模型性能差距的可视化图谱,随岁月流淌下的大渠延绵。数据来源:斯坦福大学 2025 AI指数报告,制图:Visual Capitalist) 一、state-of-the-art:千问3 关于阿里云乃至于是任何云,AI大模型显然是全村的希望,是房间里的大象,是新时代的金矿。最近进展是阿里开源模型里最新一代迭代,通义千问Qwen3(千问3),这个模型有两个重要的“边际拱点”,一是成本大幅下降,二是性能大幅提升: 1、千问3是混合专家(MoE)架构,旗舰版千问3模型总参数235B激活22B,大致需要4张H20或同等性能的GPU,就能部署满血版,所以大幅降低了成本与费用。其显存占用为性能相近模型的1/3。比如对比满血版DeepSeek-R1总参数671B激活37B,1台8卡H20可跑但跑得很紧(100w左右),一般推荐16卡H20总价约200万左右。从部署成本看,千问3是","listText":"投资阿里与投资阿里云,是同一枚硬币的两面,如胶似漆,水交乳融。最近我花了不少时间研究阿里云,研究其技术但更研究商业模式演化,以及其在整个竞争视野(competitive landscape)下的拓扑脉络。我想用我的时间,换投资不再疯癫。 本文旨在对阿里云计算业务进行一次系统性梳理,做一次深度探索;并在AI这个elephant in the room 激荡的第二场技术浪潮里,重估阿里云的价值——这是进一步推动阿里股价的关键催化剂之一。这里有个思想叫做“两个就是”: 重估阿里云就是重估阿里,重估阿里就是重估中概股。 阿里未来三年在AI 上的CapEx是国内史无前例的3800亿人民币(缩小与MAG7数量级上的差距,亚马逊2025年计划capex1000亿美元);而阿里云从基础设施、大模型、以及更垂类的AI应用——通义大模型家族,这些都在全球第一梯队,布局比较全面,我看到一块风樯阵马的大饼正在我的眼前徐徐摊开。 (中美AI模型性能差距的可视化图谱,随岁月流淌下的大渠延绵。数据来源:斯坦福大学 2025 AI指数报告,制图:Visual Capitalist) 一、state-of-the-art:千问3 关于阿里云乃至于是任何云,AI大模型显然是全村的希望,是房间里的大象,是新时代的金矿。最近进展是阿里开源模型里最新一代迭代,通义千问Qwen3(千问3),这个模型有两个重要的“边际拱点”,一是成本大幅下降,二是性能大幅提升: 1、千问3是混合专家(MoE)架构,旗舰版千问3模型总参数235B激活22B,大致需要4张H20或同等性能的GPU,就能部署满血版,所以大幅降低了成本与费用。其显存占用为性能相近模型的1/3。比如对比满血版DeepSeek-R1总参数671B激活37B,1台8卡H20可跑但跑得很紧(100w左右),一般推荐16卡H20总价约200万左右。从部署成本看,千问3是","text":"投资阿里与投资阿里云,是同一枚硬币的两面,如胶似漆,水交乳融。最近我花了不少时间研究阿里云,研究其技术但更研究商业模式演化,以及其在整个竞争视野(competitive landscape)下的拓扑脉络。我想用我的时间,换投资不再疯癫。 本文旨在对阿里云计算业务进行一次系统性梳理,做一次深度探索;并在AI这个elephant in the room 激荡的第二场技术浪潮里,重估阿里云的价值——这是进一步推动阿里股价的关键催化剂之一。这里有个思想叫做“两个就是”: 重估阿里云就是重估阿里,重估阿里就是重估中概股。 阿里未来三年在AI 上的CapEx是国内史无前例的3800亿人民币(缩小与MAG7数量级上的差距,亚马逊2025年计划capex1000亿美元);而阿里云从基础设施、大模型、以及更垂类的AI应用——通义大模型家族,这些都在全球第一梯队,布局比较全面,我看到一块风樯阵马的大饼正在我的眼前徐徐摊开。 (中美AI模型性能差距的可视化图谱,随岁月流淌下的大渠延绵。数据来源:斯坦福大学 2025 AI指数报告,制图:Visual Capitalist) 一、state-of-the-art:千问3 关于阿里云乃至于是任何云,AI大模型显然是全村的希望,是房间里的大象,是新时代的金矿。最近进展是阿里开源模型里最新一代迭代,通义千问Qwen3(千问3),这个模型有两个重要的“边际拱点”,一是成本大幅下降,二是性能大幅提升: 1、千问3是混合专家(MoE)架构,旗舰版千问3模型总参数235B激活22B,大致需要4张H20或同等性能的GPU,就能部署满血版,所以大幅降低了成本与费用。其显存占用为性能相近模型的1/3。比如对比满血版DeepSeek-R1总参数671B激活37B,1台8卡H20可跑但跑得很紧(100w左右),一般推荐16卡H20总价约200万左右。从部署成本看,千问3是","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80f67812b7c18e2a10860430ce0fdf4f","width":"1120","height":"1466"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb84f19e8015c93e60cbe768d9024aa","width":"1062","height":"1512"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a72d35179e20ffc5b76e9f21cc5907c1","width":"1124","height":"1198"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/429993518555888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":994,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}