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GggSlimeR

GggSlimeR

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2022-05-10

let s do it

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2022-01-10

hihihi

How to Beat the S&P 500 in 2022<blockquote>2022年如何击败标普500</blockquote>

2022-01-08

do not like my comment

3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022 年将赚取数十亿美元的 3 只新冠股票</blockquote>

2021-12-16

Don’t like my comment

Samsara jumped nearly 7%, with its IPO price at $23 per share<blockquote>Samsara 股价上涨近 7%，IPO 价格为每股 23 美元</blockquote>

2021-12-15

So nice

GRAB Stock: What to Know About the Acquisition Putting Grab in the Spotlight<blockquote>Grab 股票：有关让 Grab 成为焦点的收购的信息</blockquote>

2021-12-15

Don’t like this comment

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2021-12-14

Wow

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2021-12-12

Do not like my comment

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-12-10

Woa

Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价在早盘交易中又下跌 9%</blockquote>

2021-12-10

Well said

Can Apple Stock Climb Another 45%? What History Says<blockquote>苹果股价能否再上涨 45%？历史怎么说</blockquote>

2021-12-10

Don’t like and comment

U.S. stocks open solidly higher after Friday's hot inflation reading<blockquote>周五通胀数据火爆后，美国股市开盘走高</blockquote>

2021-12-10

Let’s gooooo

EV stocks mixed in morning trading<blockquote>早盘交易中电动汽车股涨跌互现</blockquote>

2021-12-10

Ok yeah

Will Apple Stock’s Rally Fizzle Out? Don’t Bet on It.<blockquote>苹果股市的反弹会失败吗？别赌了。</blockquote>

2021-12-10

Oh no

Grab shares dropped another 2% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab 股价在盘前交易中又下跌 2%</blockquote>

2021-12-10

Do not like my comment

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2021-12-10

I want a crystal ball

The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次经济衰退： “万物泡沫 ”何时破裂</blockquote>

2021-12-10

Nice info Don’t like my comment

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2021-12-10

Oh no

Grab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价早盘交易中下跌超过 6%</blockquote>

2021-12-09

Don’t like my comment

Grab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价早盘交易中下跌超过 6%</blockquote>

2021-12-09

Ded meat

Grab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价早盘交易中下跌超过 6%</blockquote>

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it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/612378416","repostId":"2233739557","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694362424,"gmtCreate":1641823492519,"gmtModify":1641823492626,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"hihihi","listText":"hihihi","text":"hihihi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694362424","repostId":"1117665745","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117665745","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641822153,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1117665745?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-10 21:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How to Beat the S&P 500 in 2022<blockquote>2022年如何击败标普500</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117665745","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Famous investor Warren Buffett is famous for (among other things)winning a bet that money parked in ","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Famous investor Warren Buffett is famous for (among other things)winning a bet that money parked in an <b>S&amp;P 500</b> index fund would outperform professional money managers over 10 years. It&#39;s not easy to consistently beat a collection of the world&#39;s largest and most influential companies.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>著名投资者沃伦·巴菲特 (Warren Buffett) 因（除其他外）赢得一场赌注而闻名，这笔钱停在<b>标普500</b>指数基金的表现将在 10 年内优于专业基金经理。要持续击败世界上最大、最有影响力的公司并不容易。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>But can it be done over one year? I think it can, and I&#39;m going to show you the crazy blueprint to do just that in 2022. Here is why and how you could beat the S&amp;P 500 this year.</p><p><blockquote>但是能在一年内完成吗？我认为这是可以的，我将向你展示在2022年做到这一点的疯狂蓝图。以下是你今年击败标普500的原因和方法。</blockquote></p><p><b>The anatomy of the S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500的剖析</b></blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500is an index constructed by a committee and owned by S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices, a joint venture majority-owned by<b>S&amp;P Global</b>, which specializes in analytics and information for the financial markets. The index includes 500 companies generally considered the most prominent in the United States and traditionally viewed as the best overall benchmark for the U.S. stock market.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔 500 指数是由一个委员会构建的指数，由标准普尔道琼斯指数所有，该指数是一家合资企业，由<b>标准普尔全球</b>，专门从事金融市场的分析和信息。该指数包括 500 家通常被认为是美国最杰出的公司，传统上被视为美国股市的最佳整体基准。</blockquote></p><p>But these 500 companies aren&#39;t represented equally. The top 10 highest-weighted members make up roughly 30% of the entire index. These companies include:</p><p><blockquote>但这 500 家公司的代表性并不平等。权重最高的前10名成员约占整个指数的30%。这些公司包括：</blockquote></p><p><ol><li><b>Apple</b></li><li><b>Microsoft</b></li><li><b>Amazon</b></li><li><b>Alphabet</b>(Class A shares)</li><li><b>Tesla</b></li><li>Alphabet (Class C shares)</li><li><b>MetaPlatforms</b></li><li><b>Nvidia</b></li><li><b>BerkshireHathaway</b>(Class B shares)</li><li><b>UnitedHealthGroup</b></li></ol>That leaves the other 70% for the other 490 stocks. A broad market movement such as a bull market can move the index, but these larger members can also influence the index if their price movement is dramatic enough.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b>苹果</b></li><li><b>微软</b></li><li><b>亚马逊</b></li><li><b>Alphabet</b>（A类股份）</li><li><b>特斯拉</b></li><li>Alphabet（C类股）</li><li><b>元平台</b></li><li><b>英伟达</b></li><li><b>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司</b>（B类股份）</li><li><b>联合健康集团</b></li></ol>剩下的 70% 用于其他 490 只股票。牛市等广泛的市场走势可以移动指数，但如果这些较大的成员的价格变动足够剧烈，它们也可以影响指数。</blockquote></p><p><b>Many top members have stretched valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>许多顶级会员的估值都很高</b></blockquote></p><p>A similar situation could be playing out in the index right now -- the S&amp;P 500 is only 3% away from its all-time high. But the broader stock market doesn&#39;t seem relatively healthy if you look closer.</p><p><blockquote>目前该指数可能会出现类似的情况——标普500距离历史高点仅 3%。但如果你仔细观察，更广泛的股市似乎并不相对健康。</blockquote></p><p>For example, let&#39;s look at the 500 stocks in the index. Only 357 of them are above their 200-day moving average, which indicates a stock&#39;s price momentum by averaging its closing price over the past 200 market sessions. In other words, more than one in four S&amp;P 500 components are struggling right now.</p><p><blockquote>例如，我们来看看指数中的500只股票。其中只有 357 只股票高于 200 天移动平均线，该平均线通过对过去 200 个交易日的收盘价进行平均来表明股票的价格势头。换句话说，超过四分之一的标普500组件目前正在苦苦挣扎。</blockquote></p><p>If we look at the <b>Nasdaq</b>, a fellow index that concentrates on technology stocks, just over one in four stocks are <i>above</i> their 200-day moving average. Put another way, more than three-quarters of the Nasdaq&#39;s stocks have negative price momentum!</p><p><blockquote>如果我们看看<b>纳斯达克</b>该指数专注于科技股，略高于四分之一的股票<i>上面</i>他们的200天移动平均线。换句话说，纳斯达克超过四分之三的股票价格动能为负!</blockquote></p><p>It seems that tech companies are broadly having a tough time right now, which could be explained by the ongoing high inflation threatening to cause increased interest rates. Higher interest rates cancause stock valuations to decrease.</p><p><blockquote>科技公司目前似乎普遍陷入困境，这可以用持续的高通胀可能导致利率上升来解释。利率上升可能会导致股票估值下降。</blockquote></p><p>Some mega-cap stocks that sit at the top of the S&amp;P 500 have remained popular, which has resulted in continued price appreciation and high valuations.</p><p><blockquote>一些位于标普500顶端的大盘股仍然受欢迎，这导致价格持续升值和高估值。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84806d538b8283647e68cfce7862abcb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AAPL PE RATIODATA BYYCHARTS.PE = PRICE-TO-EARNINGS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AAPL PE RATIODATA by YCharts.PE = 市盈率。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Now, the S&amp;P 500 is at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 24.5, roughly 50% higher than its historical average of 16. Nobody knows what will happen in the future, but it seems that the weakness of lower-weighted stocks in the major indexes could indicate the actual condition of the markets. If the mega-caps finally begin to correct, it could accelerate the decline of the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>目前，标普500的市盈率 (PE) 为 24.5，比历史平均水平 16 高出约 50%。没有人知道未来会发生什么，但主要指数中权重较低的股票的疲软似乎可以表明市场的实际情况。如果大盘股最终开始修正，可能会加速标普500的下跌。</blockquote></p><p><b>Going against the grain for gains</b></p><p><blockquote><b>逆势谋利</b></blockquote></p><p>This scenario is an opportunity to outperform the market. Human nature makes it feel &#34;safe&#34; to go buy the stocks that have already been going higher, but the real opportunity might be in the beaten-down stocks, those that have lost 50% to 80% over the past year.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况是跑赢市场的机会。人性让购买已经上涨的股票感觉“安全”，但真正的机会可能是那些被击败的股票，那些在过去一年中下跌了 50% 到 80% 的股票。</blockquote></p><p>It doesn&#39;t mean chasing low-quality stocks that are overly speculative or businesses losing tons of money. But the overall sentiment in the growth universe has brought most stocks down; quality names trading at expensive valuations have become reasonable or even cheap in some instances.</p><p><blockquote>这并不意味着追逐过度投机的低质量股票或亏损大量资金的企业。但增长领域的整体情绪导致大多数股票下跌；在某些情况下，以昂贵的估值进行交易的优质名称已经变得合理甚至便宜。</blockquote></p><p>If growth stocks begin recovering this year, we could see the opposite of 2021 occur, when the S&amp;P marched higher while many growth stocks floundered.</p><p><blockquote>如果成长型股票今年开始复苏，我们可能会看到与 2021 年相反的情况发生，当时标准普尔指数走高，而许多成长型股票却陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p><b>Understand the risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解风险</b></blockquote></p><p>There&#39;s a large gap between the largest stocks in the indexes and the smaller ones underneath. I think there is a good chance that this gap will close, but nobody knows for sure when that will happen.</p><p><blockquote>指数中最大的股票和下方较小的股票之间存在很大的差距。我认为这个差距很有可能缩小，但没有人确切知道什么时候会发生。</blockquote></p><p>The price movement that happened throughout most of 2021 may continue through 2022. Perhaps a significant economic event will occur that is unforeseen and changes everything.</p><p><blockquote>2021 年大部分时间发生的价格变动可能会持续到 2022 年。也许会发生一个不可预见的重大经济事件，改变一切。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>The point is that you can&#39;t know for sure; you can only look at facts to get a sense of what&#39;s happening around you. The best way to position your investments for success is to identify high-quality stocks whether small-, mid-, or large-cap, take a long-term approach with your holdings, and manage your risk appetite. If you do that, you&#39;re bound to have success in 2022 and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>关键是你不能确定；你只能看事实来了解你周围发生的事情。成功投资的最佳方法是识别高质量的股票，无论是小盘股、中盘股还是大盘股，对你的持有采取长期的方法，并管理你的风险偏好。如果你这样做了，你一定会在2022年及以后取得成功。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How to Beat the S&P 500 in 2022<blockquote>2022年如何击败标普500</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow to Beat the S&P 500 in 2022<blockquote>2022年如何击败标普500</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-10 21:42</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Famous investor Warren Buffett is famous for (among other things)winning a bet that money parked in an <b>S&amp;P 500</b> index fund would outperform professional money managers over 10 years. It&#39;s not easy to consistently beat a collection of the world&#39;s largest and most influential companies.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>著名投资者沃伦·巴菲特 (Warren Buffett) 因（除其他外）赢得一场赌注而闻名，这笔钱停在<b>标普500</b>指数基金的表现将在 10 年内优于专业基金经理。要持续击败世界上最大、最有影响力的公司并不容易。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>But can it be done over one year? I think it can, and I&#39;m going to show you the crazy blueprint to do just that in 2022. Here is why and how you could beat the S&amp;P 500 this year.</p><p><blockquote>但是能在一年内完成吗？我认为这是可以的，我将向你展示在2022年做到这一点的疯狂蓝图。以下是你今年击败标普500的原因和方法。</blockquote></p><p><b>The anatomy of the S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500的剖析</b></blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500is an index constructed by a committee and owned by S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices, a joint venture majority-owned by<b>S&amp;P Global</b>, which specializes in analytics and information for the financial markets. The index includes 500 companies generally considered the most prominent in the United States and traditionally viewed as the best overall benchmark for the U.S. stock market.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔 500 指数是由一个委员会构建的指数，由标准普尔道琼斯指数所有，该指数是一家合资企业，由<b>标准普尔全球</b>，专门从事金融市场的分析和信息。该指数包括 500 家通常被认为是美国最杰出的公司，传统上被视为美国股市的最佳整体基准。</blockquote></p><p>But these 500 companies aren&#39;t represented equally. The top 10 highest-weighted members make up roughly 30% of the entire index. These companies include:</p><p><blockquote>但这 500 家公司的代表性并不平等。权重最高的前10名成员约占整个指数的30%。这些公司包括：</blockquote></p><p><ol><li><b>Apple</b></li><li><b>Microsoft</b></li><li><b>Amazon</b></li><li><b>Alphabet</b>(Class A shares)</li><li><b>Tesla</b></li><li>Alphabet (Class C shares)</li><li><b>MetaPlatforms</b></li><li><b>Nvidia</b></li><li><b>BerkshireHathaway</b>(Class B shares)</li><li><b>UnitedHealthGroup</b></li></ol>That leaves the other 70% for the other 490 stocks. A broad market movement such as a bull market can move the index, but these larger members can also influence the index if their price movement is dramatic enough.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b>苹果</b></li><li><b>微软</b></li><li><b>亚马逊</b></li><li><b>Alphabet</b>（A类股份）</li><li><b>特斯拉</b></li><li>Alphabet（C类股）</li><li><b>元平台</b></li><li><b>英伟达</b></li><li><b>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司</b>（B类股份）</li><li><b>联合健康集团</b></li></ol>剩下的 70% 用于其他 490 只股票。牛市等广泛的市场走势可以移动指数，但如果这些较大的成员的价格变动足够剧烈，它们也可以影响指数。</blockquote></p><p><b>Many top members have stretched valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>许多顶级会员的估值都很高</b></blockquote></p><p>A similar situation could be playing out in the index right now -- the S&amp;P 500 is only 3% away from its all-time high. But the broader stock market doesn&#39;t seem relatively healthy if you look closer.</p><p><blockquote>目前该指数可能会出现类似的情况——标普500距离历史高点仅 3%。但如果你仔细观察，更广泛的股市似乎并不相对健康。</blockquote></p><p>For example, let&#39;s look at the 500 stocks in the index. Only 357 of them are above their 200-day moving average, which indicates a stock&#39;s price momentum by averaging its closing price over the past 200 market sessions. In other words, more than one in four S&amp;P 500 components are struggling right now.</p><p><blockquote>例如，我们来看看指数中的500只股票。其中只有 357 只股票高于 200 天移动平均线，该平均线通过对过去 200 个交易日的收盘价进行平均来表明股票的价格势头。换句话说，超过四分之一的标普500组件目前正在苦苦挣扎。</blockquote></p><p>If we look at the <b>Nasdaq</b>, a fellow index that concentrates on technology stocks, just over one in four stocks are <i>above</i> their 200-day moving average. Put another way, more than three-quarters of the Nasdaq&#39;s stocks have negative price momentum!</p><p><blockquote>如果我们看看<b>纳斯达克</b>该指数专注于科技股，略高于四分之一的股票<i>上面</i>他们的200天移动平均线。换句话说，纳斯达克超过四分之三的股票价格动能为负!</blockquote></p><p>It seems that tech companies are broadly having a tough time right now, which could be explained by the ongoing high inflation threatening to cause increased interest rates. Higher interest rates cancause stock valuations to decrease.</p><p><blockquote>科技公司目前似乎普遍陷入困境，这可以用持续的高通胀可能导致利率上升来解释。利率上升可能会导致股票估值下降。</blockquote></p><p>Some mega-cap stocks that sit at the top of the S&amp;P 500 have remained popular, which has resulted in continued price appreciation and high valuations.</p><p><blockquote>一些位于标普500顶端的大盘股仍然受欢迎，这导致价格持续升值和高估值。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84806d538b8283647e68cfce7862abcb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AAPL PE RATIODATA BYYCHARTS.PE = PRICE-TO-EARNINGS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AAPL PE RATIODATA by YCharts.PE = 市盈率。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Now, the S&amp;P 500 is at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 24.5, roughly 50% higher than its historical average of 16. Nobody knows what will happen in the future, but it seems that the weakness of lower-weighted stocks in the major indexes could indicate the actual condition of the markets. If the mega-caps finally begin to correct, it could accelerate the decline of the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>目前，标普500的市盈率 (PE) 为 24.5，比历史平均水平 16 高出约 50%。没有人知道未来会发生什么，但主要指数中权重较低的股票的疲软似乎可以表明市场的实际情况。如果大盘股最终开始修正，可能会加速标普500的下跌。</blockquote></p><p><b>Going against the grain for gains</b></p><p><blockquote><b>逆势谋利</b></blockquote></p><p>This scenario is an opportunity to outperform the market. Human nature makes it feel &#34;safe&#34; to go buy the stocks that have already been going higher, but the real opportunity might be in the beaten-down stocks, those that have lost 50% to 80% over the past year.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况是跑赢市场的机会。人性让购买已经上涨的股票感觉“安全”，但真正的机会可能是那些被击败的股票，那些在过去一年中下跌了 50% 到 80% 的股票。</blockquote></p><p>It doesn&#39;t mean chasing low-quality stocks that are overly speculative or businesses losing tons of money. But the overall sentiment in the growth universe has brought most stocks down; quality names trading at expensive valuations have become reasonable or even cheap in some instances.</p><p><blockquote>这并不意味着追逐过度投机的低质量股票或亏损大量资金的企业。但增长领域的整体情绪导致大多数股票下跌；在某些情况下，以昂贵的估值进行交易的优质名称已经变得合理甚至便宜。</blockquote></p><p>If growth stocks begin recovering this year, we could see the opposite of 2021 occur, when the S&amp;P marched higher while many growth stocks floundered.</p><p><blockquote>如果成长型股票今年开始复苏，我们可能会看到与 2021 年相反的情况发生，当时标准普尔指数走高，而许多成长型股票却陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p><b>Understand the risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解风险</b></blockquote></p><p>There&#39;s a large gap between the largest stocks in the indexes and the smaller ones underneath. I think there is a good chance that this gap will close, but nobody knows for sure when that will happen.</p><p><blockquote>指数中最大的股票和下方较小的股票之间存在很大的差距。我认为这个差距很有可能缩小，但没有人确切知道什么时候会发生。</blockquote></p><p>The price movement that happened throughout most of 2021 may continue through 2022. Perhaps a significant economic event will occur that is unforeseen and changes everything.</p><p><blockquote>2021 年大部分时间发生的价格变动可能会持续到 2022 年。也许会发生一个不可预见的重大经济事件，改变一切。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>The point is that you can&#39;t know for sure; you can only look at facts to get a sense of what&#39;s happening around you. The best way to position your investments for success is to identify high-quality stocks whether small-, mid-, or large-cap, take a long-term approach with your holdings, and manage your risk appetite. If you do that, you&#39;re bound to have success in 2022 and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>关键是你不能确定；你只能看事实来了解你周围发生的事情。成功投资的最佳方法是识别高质量的股票，无论是小盘股、中盘股还是大盘股，对你的持有采取长期的方法，并管理你的风险偏好。如果你这样做了，你一定会在2022年及以后取得成功。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/10/how-to-beat-the-sp-500-in-2022/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/10/how-to-beat-the-sp-500-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117665745","content_text":"Famous investor Warren Buffett is famous for (among other things)winning a bet that money parked in an S&P 500 index fund would outperform professional money managers over 10 years. It's not easy to consistently beat a collection of the world's largest and most influential companies.But can it be done over one year? I think it can, and I'm going to show you the crazy blueprint to do just that in 2022. Here is why and how you could beat the S&P 500 this year.The anatomy of the S&P 500The S&P 500is an index constructed by a committee and owned by S&P Dow Jones Indices, a joint venture majority-owned byS&P Global, which specializes in analytics and information for the financial markets. The index includes 500 companies generally considered the most prominent in the United States and traditionally viewed as the best overall benchmark for the U.S. stock market.But these 500 companies aren't represented equally. The top 10 highest-weighted members make up roughly 30% of the entire index. These companies include:AppleMicrosoftAmazonAlphabet(Class A shares)TeslaAlphabet (Class C shares)MetaPlatformsNvidiaBerkshireHathaway(Class B shares)UnitedHealthGroupThat leaves the other 70% for the other 490 stocks. A broad market movement such as a bull market can move the index, but these larger members can also influence the index if their price movement is dramatic enough.Many top members have stretched valuationsA similar situation could be playing out in the index right now -- the S&P 500 is only 3% away from its all-time high. But the broader stock market doesn't seem relatively healthy if you look closer.For example, let's look at the 500 stocks in the index. Only 357 of them are above their 200-day moving average, which indicates a stock's price momentum by averaging its closing price over the past 200 market sessions. In other words, more than one in four S&P 500 components are struggling right now.If we look at the Nasdaq, a fellow index that concentrates on technology stocks, just over one in four stocks are above their 200-day moving average. Put another way, more than three-quarters of the Nasdaq's stocks have negative price momentum!It seems that tech companies are broadly having a tough time right now, which could be explained by the ongoing high inflation threatening to cause increased interest rates. Higher interest rates cancause stock valuations to decrease.Some mega-cap stocks that sit at the top of the S&P 500 have remained popular, which has resulted in continued price appreciation and high valuations.AAPL PE RATIODATA BYYCHARTS.PE = PRICE-TO-EARNINGS.Now, the S&P 500 is at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 24.5, roughly 50% higher than its historical average of 16. Nobody knows what will happen in the future, but it seems that the weakness of lower-weighted stocks in the major indexes could indicate the actual condition of the markets. If the mega-caps finally begin to correct, it could accelerate the decline of the S&P 500.Going against the grain for gainsThis scenario is an opportunity to outperform the market. Human nature makes it feel \"safe\" to go buy the stocks that have already been going higher, but the real opportunity might be in the beaten-down stocks, those that have lost 50% to 80% over the past year.It doesn't mean chasing low-quality stocks that are overly speculative or businesses losing tons of money. But the overall sentiment in the growth universe has brought most stocks down; quality names trading at expensive valuations have become reasonable or even cheap in some instances.If growth stocks begin recovering this year, we could see the opposite of 2021 occur, when the S&P marched higher while many growth stocks floundered.Understand the risksThere's a large gap between the largest stocks in the indexes and the smaller ones underneath. I think there is a good chance that this gap will close, but nobody knows for sure when that will happen.The price movement that happened throughout most of 2021 may continue through 2022. Perhaps a significant economic event will occur that is unforeseen and changes everything.The point is that you can't know for sure; you can only look at facts to get a sense of what's happening around you. The best way to position your investments for success is to identify high-quality stocks whether small-, mid-, or large-cap, take a long-term approach with your holdings, and manage your risk appetite. If you do that, you're bound to have success in 2022 and beyond.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694008359,"gmtCreate":1641647099371,"gmtModify":1641647099552,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"do not like my comment","listText":"do not like my comment","text":"do not like my comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694008359","repostId":"1134509683","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134509683","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641612579,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1134509683?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-08 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022 年将赚取数十亿美元的 3 只新冠股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134509683","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These three COVID-19 stocks could rake in a tremendous amount of cash this year.","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>It&#39;s a new year and COVID-19 is still with us. Last year we saw Emergency Use Authorizations for multiple COVID vaccines and treatments across the healthcare space. Pharmaceutical companies are set to make billions of dollars in 2022. Here are three stocks that should thrive.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>新的一年了，新冠肺炎仍然和我们在一起。去年，我们看到了医疗保健领域多种COVID疫苗和治疗的紧急使用授权。制药公司将在 2022 年赚取数十亿美元。以下是三只应该蓬勃发展的股票。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><b>Pfizer</b>(NYSE:PFE), the $310 billion mega cap, is expected to bring in not $1 billion or $10 billion but over $50 billion in sales for its COVID vaccine and antiviral pill. Scrappy <b>Novavax</b>(NASDAQ:NVAX)is finally introducing its COVID vaccine around the world. How many billions will it receive? And we have a dark horse candidate in <b>Vir Biotechnology</b>(NASDAQ:VIR). It has a drug that could easily be a $1 billion blockbuster for the tiny biotech.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PFE）是一家价值 3100 亿美元的巨型公司，预计其新冠疫苗和抗病毒药丸的销售额将不是 10 亿美元或 100 亿美元，而是超过 500 亿美元。好斗<b>诺瓦瓦克斯</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：NVAX）终于在世界各地推出了新冠疫苗。它将获得多少亿？我们有一个黑马候选人<b>生物技术</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：VIR）它有一种药物很容易成为小型生物技术公司10亿美元的重磅炸弹。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/488a166201699c1f3d6536aa3e640ecf\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>A safe harbor in stormy weather</b></p><p><blockquote><b>暴风雨天气中的安全港湾</b></blockquote></p><p><b>George Budwell(Pfizer):</b>Pfizer is the undisputed champion of COVID-19 pharmaceutical products. In 2022 alone, Wall Street expects the pharma giant to rake in $55 billion in sales between its novel coronavirus vaccine, Comirnaty, and its oral antiviral pill, Paxlovid.</p><p><blockquote><b>乔治·布德威尔（辉瑞）：</b>辉瑞是新冠肺炎药品无可争议的冠军。仅在 2022 年，华尔街预计这家制药巨头的新型冠状病毒疫苗 Comirnaty 和口服抗病毒药 Paxlovid 的销售额将达到 550 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>What&#39;s more, analysts are starting to warm up to the idea that Paxlovid might be a sustainable revenue generator for the company over the course of the current decade. When the drug was first allowed on the market by the Food and Drug Administration under the Emergency Use Authorization pathway last month, Wall Street thought Paxlovid would likely peak from a commercial standpoint within a year or so, and then experience a dramatic drop in sales as the pandemic faded from view.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，分析师开始接受 Paxlovid 可能成为该公司当前十年可持续收入来源的想法。上个月，当美国食品药品监督管理局根据紧急使用授权途径首次允许该药物投放市场时，华尔街认为 Paxlovid 可能会在一年左右的时间内达到商业顶峰，然后随着疫情淡出视野，销售额将大幅下降。</blockquote></p><p>But less than three weeks out from the drug&#39;s initial approval, it is becoming painfully obvious that Paxlovid will probably be required as a fail-safe against the worst outcomes from COVID-19 for several more years. The highly infectious omicron variant, after all, will certainly not be the last major iteration of the virus.</p><p><blockquote>但距离该药物首次批准还有不到三周的时间，很明显，Paxlovid 可能会在未来几年内被用作防止 COVID-19 最糟糕后果的故障安全药物。毕竟，高度传染性的奥密克戎变种肯定不会是该病毒的最后一次重大迭代。</blockquote></p><p>What this all means is that Pfizer ought to be one of the few large-cap drugmakers with a sizable, long-term COVID-19 revenue source. Pfizer, in turn, should have ample free cash flows to feed its generous shareholder reward program, as well as its ambitious business development plans, for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>这一切意味着辉瑞应该是少数几家拥有可观的长期 COVID-19 收入来源的大型制药商之一。反过来，辉瑞应该有充足的自由现金流来满足其慷慨的股东奖励计划以及在可预见的未来雄心勃勃的业务发展计划。</blockquote></p><p>So, if you&#39;re looking for a stock that can weather the dual headwinds of sky-high inflation and rising interest rates, Pfizer might be worth checking out.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果您正在寻找一只能够经受住高通胀和利率上升双重阻力的股票，辉瑞可能值得一看。</blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue forecasts for Novavax:  $2 billion to $8 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Novavax 收入预测：20 亿至 80 亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Taylor Carmichael(Novavax):</b>Novavax is on the verge of greatness this year. The company&#39;s stock price is down to $125 a share. That&#39;s where it started in 2021, so last year was pretty much a washout for the stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰勒·卡迈克尔（诺瓦瓦克斯）：</b>Novavax 今年正处于伟大的边缘。该公司股价跌至每股 125 美元。这就是它在 2021 年开始的地方，所以去年对于该股来说几乎是一次洗牌。</blockquote></p><p>Back in February the share price zoomed over $300 when Novavax reported positive phase 3 data for its COVID vaccine. But then the small biotech ran into manufacturing issues. While its vaccine is said by many to be the best in class, scaling up the contract manufacturing for an estimated 2 billion doses of vaccine is easier said than done. And those realities have caused the stock to drop about 60% off its highs.</p><p><blockquote>早在 2 月份，当 Novavax 报告其 COVID 疫苗的 3 期数据积极时，股价就飙升至 300 美元以上。但后来这家小型生物技术公司遇到了制造问题。虽然许多人称其疫苗是同类产品中最好的，但扩大约 20 亿剂疫苗的合同生产规模说起来容易做起来难。这些现实导致该股从高点下跌了约 60%。</blockquote></p><p>Nonetheless, Novavax has already hit the $1 billion revenue mark, so its vaccine was a blockbuster even before it was approved, because of all the preorders. Now that authorizations are pouring in from around the globe, it&#39;s highly likely that Novavax will ship a massive number of vaccine doses in 2022. The company&#39;s already achieved a manufacturing capacity of 100 million doses a month, or 1.2 billion doses in a year. On the third-quarter earnings call, management predicted it would reach a manufacturing capacity of 150 million doses every month (or 1.8 billion doses a year) by the end of the fourth quarter. And the company expects to continue to scale and forecasts that it will distribute 2 billion doses in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Novavax 的收入已经达到了 10 亿美元大关，因此由于所有的预购，其疫苗甚至在获得批准之前就已经大受欢迎。现在，来自全球各地的授权纷至沓来，Novavax很有可能在2022年运送大量疫苗剂量。该公司已经实现了每月1亿剂的生产能力，即一年12亿剂。在第三季度财报看涨期权上，管理层预测到第四季度末将达到每月1.5亿剂（或每年18亿剂）的产能。该公司预计将继续扩大规模，并预测 2022 年将分发 20 亿剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>Two billion doses of vaccine, at a price point of $16 (Operation Warp Speed paid $1.6 billion to pre-order 100 million doses) gives us a back-of-the-envelope calculation of $32 billion in revenue. Of course, Novavax will be distributing a lot of vaccines to the developing world at a reduced rate. While the company has been quiet about its prices, Denmark said back in August that it paid almost $21 a dose under the European Union (EU) agreement. The EU has ordered 200 million doses, so that&#39;s over $4 billion in sales, just in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>20亿剂疫苗，价格为16美元（曲速行动支付了16亿美元预购1亿剂），我们得到了320亿美元的收入。当然，Novavax将以较低的速度向发展中国家分发大量疫苗。虽然该公司对其价格保持沉默，但丹麦早在 8 月份就表示，根据欧盟 (EU) 协议，它每剂支付了近 21 美元。欧盟已经订购了2亿剂，仅在欧洲的销售额就超过了40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Analysts are being extremely conservative, with a forecast ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion for Novavax in 2022. (The company&#39;s market cap sits at $9 billion.) While there may be hiccups along the way, Novavax is sure to make billions of dollars off its COVID-19 vaccine in 2022. And there could be significant upside to the stock if the company does indeed deliver 2 billion doses as it says it will.</p><p><blockquote>分析师极其保守，预测 Novavax 2022 年的市值在 20 亿至 80 亿美元之间。（该公司的市值为 90 亿美元。）虽然一路上可能会出现一些小问题，但 Novavax 肯定会在 2022 年从其 COVID-19 疫苗中赚取数十亿美元。如果该公司确实像所说的那样交付了 20 亿剂疫苗，那么该股可能会有显着的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p><b>The antibody market all to itself</b></p><p><blockquote><b>抗体市场本身</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Patrick Bafuma(Vir Biotechnology):</b>The omicron variant is currently running rampant, and this time, we are short a few treatments. Previously favored monoclonal antibody treatments from <b>Eli Lilly</b> (bamlanivimab plus etesevimab) as well as the REGEN-COV cocktail from <b>Roche</b>and<b>Regeneron</b> are believed to have marked diminished activity against the current variant. This leaves a single infusiont hought to be active against omicron--<b>GlaxoSmithKline</b> and Vir Biotechnology&#39;s sotrovimab. This monoclonal antibody previously demonstrated a reduced risk of hospitalization and death by 79% in adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and at high risk of progression to severe disease. And it&#39;s the only one left right now to fight the omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>Patrick Bafuma（来自生物技术）：</b>奥密克戎变种目前正在猖獗，这一次，我们缺少一些治疗方法。以前青睐的单克隆抗体治疗来自<b>礼来</b>（bamlanivimab加etesevimab）以及来自<b>罗氏</b>和<b>再生元</b>被认为对当前变体的活性明显减弱。这样就只剩下一个能有效对抗奥密克戎--<b>葛兰素史克</b>以及 Vir Biotechnology 的 sotrovimab。这种单克隆抗体此前已证明，患有轻度至中度 COVID-19 且有发展为严重疾病高风险的成年人的住院和死亡风险降低了 79%。这是现在唯一一个对抗奥密克戎变种的人。</blockquote></p><p>Being the sole monoclonal antibody on the block will have its privileges. Through the first nine months of 2021, REGEN-COV brought in $3.5 billion in net product sales, while Eli Lilly&#39;s antibody combination brought in $1.17 billion. The U.S. government has already contracted for approximately $1 billion worth of sotrovimab. With hospitals overflowing with patients, anything that can help alleviate some of the stress on the system is likely going to be highly sought after.</p><p><blockquote>作为该区块上唯一的单克隆抗体将有其特权。2021 年前 9 个月，REGEN-COV 带来了 35 亿美元的产品净销售额，而礼来公司的抗体组合带来了 11.7 亿美元的收入。美国政府已经签订了价值约10亿美元的sotrovimab合同。随着医院里挤满了病人，任何有助于减轻系统压力的东西都可能会受到高度追捧。</blockquote></p><p>And while Pfizer&#39;s Paxlovid will be hugely beneficial to ease the COVID-19 burden on the healthcare system, the oral medication has significant and complex drug-drug interaction potential. In fact, its interaction list reads like a who&#39;s who of commonly prescribed medications. This includes popular blood thinning agents such as Plavix and Xarelto, common analgesics like Tramadol and oxycodone, anxiolytics like Klonopin and Xanax, as well as cholesterol-fighting statins. With the National Institutes of Health issuing a statement voicing its concern over Paxlovid&#39;s possible drug interactions, this leaves plenty of room for sotrovimab to continue to be widely prescribed. With Vir getting 72.5% of sotrovimab sales per its agreement with GSK, the $4.4 billion biotech looks like a bargain right now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然辉瑞的 Paxlovid 将极大地有助于减轻 COVID-19 对医疗保健系统的负担，但口服药物具有显着且复杂的药物相互作用潜力。事实上，它的相互作用列表读起来就像常用处方药物的名人录。这包括流行的血液稀释剂，如波立维和Xarelto，常见的镇痛药，如曲马多和羟考酮，抗焦虑药，如Klonopin和Xanax，以及抗胆固醇他汀类药物。随着美国国立卫生研究院发表声明，对Paxlovid可能的药物相互作用表示担忧，这为sotrovimab继续广泛使用留下了足够的空间。根据与葛兰素史克的协议，Vir 获得了 sotrovimab 72.5% 的销售额，这家价值 44 亿美元的生物技术公司目前看起来很划算。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022 年将赚取数十亿美元的 3 只新冠股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022 年将赚取数十亿美元的 3 只新冠股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-08 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>It&#39;s a new year and COVID-19 is still with us. Last year we saw Emergency Use Authorizations for multiple COVID vaccines and treatments across the healthcare space. Pharmaceutical companies are set to make billions of dollars in 2022. Here are three stocks that should thrive.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>新的一年了，新冠肺炎仍然和我们在一起。去年，我们看到了医疗保健领域多种COVID疫苗和治疗的紧急使用授权。制药公司将在 2022 年赚取数十亿美元。以下是三只应该蓬勃发展的股票。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><b>Pfizer</b>(NYSE:PFE), the $310 billion mega cap, is expected to bring in not $1 billion or $10 billion but over $50 billion in sales for its COVID vaccine and antiviral pill. Scrappy <b>Novavax</b>(NASDAQ:NVAX)is finally introducing its COVID vaccine around the world. How many billions will it receive? And we have a dark horse candidate in <b>Vir Biotechnology</b>(NASDAQ:VIR). It has a drug that could easily be a $1 billion blockbuster for the tiny biotech.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PFE）是一家价值 3100 亿美元的巨型公司，预计其新冠疫苗和抗病毒药丸的销售额将不是 10 亿美元或 100 亿美元，而是超过 500 亿美元。好斗<b>诺瓦瓦克斯</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：NVAX）终于在世界各地推出了新冠疫苗。它将获得多少亿？我们有一个黑马候选人<b>生物技术</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：VIR）它有一种药物很容易成为小型生物技术公司10亿美元的重磅炸弹。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/488a166201699c1f3d6536aa3e640ecf\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>A safe harbor in stormy weather</b></p><p><blockquote><b>暴风雨天气中的安全港湾</b></blockquote></p><p><b>George Budwell(Pfizer):</b>Pfizer is the undisputed champion of COVID-19 pharmaceutical products. In 2022 alone, Wall Street expects the pharma giant to rake in $55 billion in sales between its novel coronavirus vaccine, Comirnaty, and its oral antiviral pill, Paxlovid.</p><p><blockquote><b>乔治·布德威尔（辉瑞）：</b>辉瑞是新冠肺炎药品无可争议的冠军。仅在 2022 年，华尔街预计这家制药巨头的新型冠状病毒疫苗 Comirnaty 和口服抗病毒药 Paxlovid 的销售额将达到 550 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>What&#39;s more, analysts are starting to warm up to the idea that Paxlovid might be a sustainable revenue generator for the company over the course of the current decade. When the drug was first allowed on the market by the Food and Drug Administration under the Emergency Use Authorization pathway last month, Wall Street thought Paxlovid would likely peak from a commercial standpoint within a year or so, and then experience a dramatic drop in sales as the pandemic faded from view.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，分析师开始接受 Paxlovid 可能成为该公司当前十年可持续收入来源的想法。上个月，当美国食品药品监督管理局根据紧急使用授权途径首次允许该药物投放市场时，华尔街认为 Paxlovid 可能会在一年左右的时间内达到商业顶峰，然后随着疫情淡出视野，销售额将大幅下降。</blockquote></p><p>But less than three weeks out from the drug&#39;s initial approval, it is becoming painfully obvious that Paxlovid will probably be required as a fail-safe against the worst outcomes from COVID-19 for several more years. The highly infectious omicron variant, after all, will certainly not be the last major iteration of the virus.</p><p><blockquote>但距离该药物首次批准还有不到三周的时间，很明显，Paxlovid 可能会在未来几年内被用作防止 COVID-19 最糟糕后果的故障安全药物。毕竟，高度传染性的奥密克戎变种肯定不会是该病毒的最后一次重大迭代。</blockquote></p><p>What this all means is that Pfizer ought to be one of the few large-cap drugmakers with a sizable, long-term COVID-19 revenue source. Pfizer, in turn, should have ample free cash flows to feed its generous shareholder reward program, as well as its ambitious business development plans, for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>这一切意味着辉瑞应该是少数几家拥有可观的长期 COVID-19 收入来源的大型制药商之一。反过来，辉瑞应该有充足的自由现金流来满足其慷慨的股东奖励计划以及在可预见的未来雄心勃勃的业务发展计划。</blockquote></p><p>So, if you&#39;re looking for a stock that can weather the dual headwinds of sky-high inflation and rising interest rates, Pfizer might be worth checking out.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果您正在寻找一只能够经受住高通胀和利率上升双重阻力的股票，辉瑞可能值得一看。</blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue forecasts for Novavax:  $2 billion to $8 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Novavax 收入预测：20 亿至 80 亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Taylor Carmichael(Novavax):</b>Novavax is on the verge of greatness this year. The company&#39;s stock price is down to $125 a share. That&#39;s where it started in 2021, so last year was pretty much a washout for the stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰勒·卡迈克尔（诺瓦瓦克斯）：</b>Novavax 今年正处于伟大的边缘。该公司股价跌至每股 125 美元。这就是它在 2021 年开始的地方，所以去年对于该股来说几乎是一次洗牌。</blockquote></p><p>Back in February the share price zoomed over $300 when Novavax reported positive phase 3 data for its COVID vaccine. But then the small biotech ran into manufacturing issues. While its vaccine is said by many to be the best in class, scaling up the contract manufacturing for an estimated 2 billion doses of vaccine is easier said than done. And those realities have caused the stock to drop about 60% off its highs.</p><p><blockquote>早在 2 月份，当 Novavax 报告其 COVID 疫苗的 3 期数据积极时，股价就飙升至 300 美元以上。但后来这家小型生物技术公司遇到了制造问题。虽然许多人称其疫苗是同类产品中最好的，但扩大约 20 亿剂疫苗的合同生产规模说起来容易做起来难。这些现实导致该股从高点下跌了约 60%。</blockquote></p><p>Nonetheless, Novavax has already hit the $1 billion revenue mark, so its vaccine was a blockbuster even before it was approved, because of all the preorders. Now that authorizations are pouring in from around the globe, it&#39;s highly likely that Novavax will ship a massive number of vaccine doses in 2022. The company&#39;s already achieved a manufacturing capacity of 100 million doses a month, or 1.2 billion doses in a year. On the third-quarter earnings call, management predicted it would reach a manufacturing capacity of 150 million doses every month (or 1.8 billion doses a year) by the end of the fourth quarter. And the company expects to continue to scale and forecasts that it will distribute 2 billion doses in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Novavax 的收入已经达到了 10 亿美元大关，因此由于所有的预购，其疫苗甚至在获得批准之前就已经大受欢迎。现在，来自全球各地的授权纷至沓来，Novavax很有可能在2022年运送大量疫苗剂量。该公司已经实现了每月1亿剂的生产能力，即一年12亿剂。在第三季度财报看涨期权上，管理层预测到第四季度末将达到每月1.5亿剂（或每年18亿剂）的产能。该公司预计将继续扩大规模，并预测 2022 年将分发 20 亿剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>Two billion doses of vaccine, at a price point of $16 (Operation Warp Speed paid $1.6 billion to pre-order 100 million doses) gives us a back-of-the-envelope calculation of $32 billion in revenue. Of course, Novavax will be distributing a lot of vaccines to the developing world at a reduced rate. While the company has been quiet about its prices, Denmark said back in August that it paid almost $21 a dose under the European Union (EU) agreement. The EU has ordered 200 million doses, so that&#39;s over $4 billion in sales, just in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>20亿剂疫苗，价格为16美元（曲速行动支付了16亿美元预购1亿剂），我们得到了320亿美元的收入。当然，Novavax将以较低的速度向发展中国家分发大量疫苗。虽然该公司对其价格保持沉默，但丹麦早在 8 月份就表示，根据欧盟 (EU) 协议，它每剂支付了近 21 美元。欧盟已经订购了2亿剂，仅在欧洲的销售额就超过了40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Analysts are being extremely conservative, with a forecast ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion for Novavax in 2022. (The company&#39;s market cap sits at $9 billion.) While there may be hiccups along the way, Novavax is sure to make billions of dollars off its COVID-19 vaccine in 2022. And there could be significant upside to the stock if the company does indeed deliver 2 billion doses as it says it will.</p><p><blockquote>分析师极其保守，预测 Novavax 2022 年的市值在 20 亿至 80 亿美元之间。（该公司的市值为 90 亿美元。）虽然一路上可能会出现一些小问题，但 Novavax 肯定会在 2022 年从其 COVID-19 疫苗中赚取数十亿美元。如果该公司确实像所说的那样交付了 20 亿剂疫苗，那么该股可能会有显着的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p><b>The antibody market all to itself</b></p><p><blockquote><b>抗体市场本身</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Patrick Bafuma(Vir Biotechnology):</b>The omicron variant is currently running rampant, and this time, we are short a few treatments. Previously favored monoclonal antibody treatments from <b>Eli Lilly</b> (bamlanivimab plus etesevimab) as well as the REGEN-COV cocktail from <b>Roche</b>and<b>Regeneron</b> are believed to have marked diminished activity against the current variant. This leaves a single infusiont hought to be active against omicron--<b>GlaxoSmithKline</b> and Vir Biotechnology&#39;s sotrovimab. This monoclonal antibody previously demonstrated a reduced risk of hospitalization and death by 79% in adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and at high risk of progression to severe disease. And it&#39;s the only one left right now to fight the omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>Patrick Bafuma（来自生物技术）：</b>奥密克戎变种目前正在猖獗，这一次，我们缺少一些治疗方法。以前青睐的单克隆抗体治疗来自<b>礼来</b>（bamlanivimab加etesevimab）以及来自<b>罗氏</b>和<b>再生元</b>被认为对当前变体的活性明显减弱。这样就只剩下一个能有效对抗奥密克戎--<b>葛兰素史克</b>以及 Vir Biotechnology 的 sotrovimab。这种单克隆抗体此前已证明，患有轻度至中度 COVID-19 且有发展为严重疾病高风险的成年人的住院和死亡风险降低了 79%。这是现在唯一一个对抗奥密克戎变种的人。</blockquote></p><p>Being the sole monoclonal antibody on the block will have its privileges. Through the first nine months of 2021, REGEN-COV brought in $3.5 billion in net product sales, while Eli Lilly&#39;s antibody combination brought in $1.17 billion. The U.S. government has already contracted for approximately $1 billion worth of sotrovimab. With hospitals overflowing with patients, anything that can help alleviate some of the stress on the system is likely going to be highly sought after.</p><p><blockquote>作为该区块上唯一的单克隆抗体将有其特权。2021 年前 9 个月，REGEN-COV 带来了 35 亿美元的产品净销售额，而礼来公司的抗体组合带来了 11.7 亿美元的收入。美国政府已经签订了价值约10亿美元的sotrovimab合同。随着医院里挤满了病人，任何有助于减轻系统压力的东西都可能会受到高度追捧。</blockquote></p><p>And while Pfizer&#39;s Paxlovid will be hugely beneficial to ease the COVID-19 burden on the healthcare system, the oral medication has significant and complex drug-drug interaction potential. In fact, its interaction list reads like a who&#39;s who of commonly prescribed medications. This includes popular blood thinning agents such as Plavix and Xarelto, common analgesics like Tramadol and oxycodone, anxiolytics like Klonopin and Xanax, as well as cholesterol-fighting statins. With the National Institutes of Health issuing a statement voicing its concern over Paxlovid&#39;s possible drug interactions, this leaves plenty of room for sotrovimab to continue to be widely prescribed. With Vir getting 72.5% of sotrovimab sales per its agreement with GSK, the $4.4 billion biotech looks like a bargain right now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然辉瑞的 Paxlovid 将极大地有助于减轻 COVID-19 对医疗保健系统的负担，但口服药物具有显着且复杂的药物相互作用潜力。事实上，它的相互作用列表读起来就像常用处方药物的名人录。这包括流行的血液稀释剂，如波立维和Xarelto，常见的镇痛药，如曲马多和羟考酮，抗焦虑药，如Klonopin和Xanax，以及抗胆固醇他汀类药物。随着美国国立卫生研究院发表声明，对Paxlovid可能的药物相互作用表示担忧，这为sotrovimab继续广泛使用留下了足够的空间。根据与葛兰素史克的协议，Vir 获得了 sotrovimab 72.5% 的销售额，这家价值 44 亿美元的生物技术公司目前看起来很划算。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/07/3-covid-stocks-that-will-make-billions-in-2022/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","PFE":"辉瑞","VIR":"Vir Biotechnology, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/07/3-covid-stocks-that-will-make-billions-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134509683","content_text":"It's a new year and COVID-19 is still with us. Last year we saw Emergency Use Authorizations for multiple COVID vaccines and treatments across the healthcare space. Pharmaceutical companies are set to make billions of dollars in 2022. Here are three stocks that should thrive.Pfizer(NYSE:PFE), the $310 billion mega cap, is expected to bring in not $1 billion or $10 billion but over $50 billion in sales for its COVID vaccine and antiviral pill. Scrappy Novavax(NASDAQ:NVAX)is finally introducing its COVID vaccine around the world. How many billions will it receive? And we have a dark horse candidate in Vir Biotechnology(NASDAQ:VIR). It has a drug that could easily be a $1 billion blockbuster for the tiny biotech.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.A safe harbor in stormy weatherGeorge Budwell(Pfizer):Pfizer is the undisputed champion of COVID-19 pharmaceutical products. In 2022 alone, Wall Street expects the pharma giant to rake in $55 billion in sales between its novel coronavirus vaccine, Comirnaty, and its oral antiviral pill, Paxlovid.What's more, analysts are starting to warm up to the idea that Paxlovid might be a sustainable revenue generator for the company over the course of the current decade. When the drug was first allowed on the market by the Food and Drug Administration under the Emergency Use Authorization pathway last month, Wall Street thought Paxlovid would likely peak from a commercial standpoint within a year or so, and then experience a dramatic drop in sales as the pandemic faded from view.But less than three weeks out from the drug's initial approval, it is becoming painfully obvious that Paxlovid will probably be required as a fail-safe against the worst outcomes from COVID-19 for several more years. The highly infectious omicron variant, after all, will certainly not be the last major iteration of the virus.What this all means is that Pfizer ought to be one of the few large-cap drugmakers with a sizable, long-term COVID-19 revenue source. Pfizer, in turn, should have ample free cash flows to feed its generous shareholder reward program, as well as its ambitious business development plans, for the foreseeable future.So, if you're looking for a stock that can weather the dual headwinds of sky-high inflation and rising interest rates, Pfizer might be worth checking out.Revenue forecasts for Novavax:  $2 billion to $8 billionTaylor Carmichael(Novavax):Novavax is on the verge of greatness this year. The company's stock price is down to $125 a share. That's where it started in 2021, so last year was pretty much a washout for the stock.Back in February the share price zoomed over $300 when Novavax reported positive phase 3 data for its COVID vaccine. But then the small biotech ran into manufacturing issues. While its vaccine is said by many to be the best in class, scaling up the contract manufacturing for an estimated 2 billion doses of vaccine is easier said than done. And those realities have caused the stock to drop about 60% off its highs.Nonetheless, Novavax has already hit the $1 billion revenue mark, so its vaccine was a blockbuster even before it was approved, because of all the preorders. Now that authorizations are pouring in from around the globe, it's highly likely that Novavax will ship a massive number of vaccine doses in 2022. The company's already achieved a manufacturing capacity of 100 million doses a month, or 1.2 billion doses in a year. On the third-quarter earnings call, management predicted it would reach a manufacturing capacity of 150 million doses every month (or 1.8 billion doses a year) by the end of the fourth quarter. And the company expects to continue to scale and forecasts that it will distribute 2 billion doses in 2022.Two billion doses of vaccine, at a price point of $16 (Operation Warp Speed paid $1.6 billion to pre-order 100 million doses) gives us a back-of-the-envelope calculation of $32 billion in revenue. Of course, Novavax will be distributing a lot of vaccines to the developing world at a reduced rate. While the company has been quiet about its prices, Denmark said back in August that it paid almost $21 a dose under the European Union (EU) agreement. The EU has ordered 200 million doses, so that's over $4 billion in sales, just in Europe.Analysts are being extremely conservative, with a forecast ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion for Novavax in 2022. (The company's market cap sits at $9 billion.) While there may be hiccups along the way, Novavax is sure to make billions of dollars off its COVID-19 vaccine in 2022. And there could be significant upside to the stock if the company does indeed deliver 2 billion doses as it says it will.The antibody market all to itselfPatrick Bafuma(Vir Biotechnology):The omicron variant is currently running rampant, and this time, we are short a few treatments. Previously favored monoclonal antibody treatments from Eli Lilly (bamlanivimab plus etesevimab) as well as the REGEN-COV cocktail from RocheandRegeneron are believed to have marked diminished activity against the current variant. This leaves a single infusiont hought to be active against omicron--GlaxoSmithKline and Vir Biotechnology's sotrovimab. This monoclonal antibody previously demonstrated a reduced risk of hospitalization and death by 79% in adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and at high risk of progression to severe disease. And it's the only one left right now to fight the omicron variant.Being the sole monoclonal antibody on the block will have its privileges. Through the first nine months of 2021, REGEN-COV brought in $3.5 billion in net product sales, while Eli Lilly's antibody combination brought in $1.17 billion. The U.S. government has already contracted for approximately $1 billion worth of sotrovimab. With hospitals overflowing with patients, anything that can help alleviate some of the stress on the system is likely going to be highly sought after.And while Pfizer's Paxlovid will be hugely beneficial to ease the COVID-19 burden on the healthcare system, the oral medication has significant and complex drug-drug interaction potential. In fact, its interaction list reads like a who's who of commonly prescribed medications. This includes popular blood thinning agents such as Plavix and Xarelto, common analgesics like Tramadol and oxycodone, anxiolytics like Klonopin and Xanax, as well as cholesterol-fighting statins. With the National Institutes of Health issuing a statement voicing its concern over Paxlovid's possible drug interactions, this leaves plenty of room for sotrovimab to continue to be widely prescribed. With Vir getting 72.5% of sotrovimab sales per its agreement with GSK, the $4.4 billion biotech looks like a bargain right now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"NVAX":0.9,"VIR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607715848,"gmtCreate":1639589610806,"gmtModify":1639589610868,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Don’t like my comment&nbsp;","listText":"Don’t like my comment&nbsp;","text":"Don’t like my comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607715848","repostId":"1124789927","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124789927","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639589042,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1124789927?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 01:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Samsara jumped nearly 7%, with its IPO price at $23 per share<blockquote>Samsara 股价上涨近 7%，IPO 价格为每股 23 美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124789927","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Samsara jumped nearly 7%, with its IPO price at $23 per share.Its initial public offering was priced","content":"<p>Samsara&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;7%,&nbsp;with&nbsp;its&nbsp;IPO&nbsp;price&nbsp;at&nbsp;$23 per share.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f42428454fe98bb007b0939f16efbe7\" tg-width=\"765\" tg-height=\"566\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Its initial public offering was priced at $23 a share, the high end of its expected range.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara 股价上涨近 7%，IPO 价格为每股 23 美元。其首次公开募股定价为每股23美元，是其预期范围的高端。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2015 by CEO Sanjit Biswas and&nbsp;John Bicket, chief technology officer,Samsara provides a connected operations cloud&nbsp;and sensors that are used by companies to manage their vehicle fleets and industrial operations.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara由首席执行官Sanjit Biswas和首席技术官John Bicket于2015年创立，提供互联运营云和传感器，公司使用这些云和传感器来管理其车队和工业运营。</blockquote></p><p> Samsara’s technology collects data including video footage, people and motion detection, GPS location, and energy consumption. Companies can use this information to improve safety, lower insurance costs and reduce the need for manual oversight and judgment, the prospectus said.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara 的技术收集的数据包括视频片段、人员和运动检测、GPS 定位和能源消耗。招股说明书称，公司可以利用这些信息来提高安全性、降低保险成本并减少人工监督和判断的需要。</blockquote></p><p> It has more than 13,000 core customers, which it defines as entities with annual recurring revenue of greater than $5,000, including small businesses, state and local governments, and large, global enterprises.</p><p><blockquote>它拥有超过 13,000 个核心客户，将其定义为年经常性收入超过 5,000 美元的实体，包括小型企业、州和地方政府以及大型全球企业。</blockquote></p><p> Samsara reported losses of $102.3 million for the nine months ended Oct. 30, compared with losses of $174 million in the same period a year earlier. Revenue rose 74% to $302.6 million during the period.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara 报告截至 10 月 30 日的九个月亏损 1.023 亿美元，而去年同期亏损 1.74 亿美元。期内收入增长 74%，达到 3.026 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Samsara jumped nearly 7%, with its IPO price at $23 per share<blockquote>Samsara 股价上涨近 7%，IPO 价格为每股 23 美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSamsara jumped nearly 7%, with its IPO price at $23 per share<blockquote>Samsara 股价上涨近 7%，IPO 价格为每股 23 美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-16 01:24</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Samsara&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;7%,&nbsp;with&nbsp;its&nbsp;IPO&nbsp;price&nbsp;at&nbsp;$23 per share.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f42428454fe98bb007b0939f16efbe7\" tg-width=\"765\" tg-height=\"566\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Its initial public offering was priced at $23 a share, the high end of its expected range.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara 股价上涨近 7%，IPO 价格为每股 23 美元。其首次公开募股定价为每股23美元，是其预期范围的高端。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2015 by CEO Sanjit Biswas and&nbsp;John Bicket, chief technology officer,Samsara provides a connected operations cloud&nbsp;and sensors that are used by companies to manage their vehicle fleets and industrial operations.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara由首席执行官Sanjit Biswas和首席技术官John Bicket于2015年创立，提供互联运营云和传感器，公司使用这些云和传感器来管理其车队和工业运营。</blockquote></p><p> Samsara’s technology collects data including video footage, people and motion detection, GPS location, and energy consumption. Companies can use this information to improve safety, lower insurance costs and reduce the need for manual oversight and judgment, the prospectus said.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara 的技术收集的数据包括视频片段、人员和运动检测、GPS 定位和能源消耗。招股说明书称，公司可以利用这些信息来提高安全性、降低保险成本并减少人工监督和判断的需要。</blockquote></p><p> It has more than 13,000 core customers, which it defines as entities with annual recurring revenue of greater than $5,000, including small businesses, state and local governments, and large, global enterprises.</p><p><blockquote>它拥有超过 13,000 个核心客户，将其定义为年经常性收入超过 5,000 美元的实体，包括小型企业、州和地方政府以及大型全球企业。</blockquote></p><p> Samsara reported losses of $102.3 million for the nine months ended Oct. 30, compared with losses of $174 million in the same period a year earlier. Revenue rose 74% to $302.6 million during the period.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara 报告截至 10 月 30 日的九个月亏损 1.023 亿美元，而去年同期亏损 1.74 亿美元。期内收入增长 74%，达到 3.026 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IOT":"Samsara, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124789927","content_text":"Samsara jumped nearly 7%, with its IPO price at $23 per share.Its initial public offering was priced at $23 a share, the high end of its expected range.\nFounded in 2015 by CEO Sanjit Biswas and John Bicket, chief technology officer,Samsara provides a connected operations cloud and sensors that are used by companies to manage their vehicle fleets and industrial operations.\nSamsara’s technology collects data including video footage, people and motion detection, GPS location, and energy consumption. Companies can use this information to improve safety, lower insurance costs and reduce the need for manual oversight and judgment, the prospectus said.\nIt has more than 13,000 core customers, which it defines as entities with annual recurring revenue of greater than $5,000, including small businesses, state and local governments, and large, global enterprises.\nSamsara reported losses of $102.3 million for the nine months ended Oct. 30, compared with losses of $174 million in the same period a year earlier. Revenue rose 74% to $302.6 million during the period.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IOT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607469082,"gmtCreate":1639579448387,"gmtModify":1639579504594,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"So nice&nbsp;","listText":"So nice&nbsp;","text":"So nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607469082","repostId":"1159300602","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1159300602","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639529768,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1159300602?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-15 08:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GRAB Stock: What to Know About the Acquisition Putting Grab in the Spotlight<blockquote>Grab 股票：有关让 Grab 成为焦点的收购的信息</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159300602","media":"investor place","summary":"Grab (NASDAQ:GRAB) made its debut on the Nasdaq on Dec. 2 after merging with Altimeter Growth Corp.,","content":"<p><div> Grab (NASDAQ:GRAB) made its debut on the Nasdaq on Dec. 2 after merging with Altimeter Growth Corp., a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) managed by hedge fund Altimeter Capital. However, the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Grab（纳斯达克股票代码：GRAB）在与对冲基金Altimeter Capital管理的特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）Altimeter Growth Corp.合并后于12月2日在纳斯达克首次亮相。然而，……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-what-to-know-about-the-acquisition-putting-grab-in-the-spotlight-today/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-what-to-know-about-the-acquisition-putting-grab-in-the-spotlight-today/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GRAB Stock: What to Know About the Acquisition Putting Grab in the Spotlight<blockquote>Grab 股票：有关让 Grab 成为焦点的收购的信息</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGRAB Stock: What to Know About the Acquisition Putting Grab in the Spotlight<blockquote>Grab 股票：有关让 Grab 成为焦点的收购的信息</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investor place</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-15 08:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Grab (NASDAQ:GRAB) made its debut on the Nasdaq on Dec. 2 after merging with Altimeter Growth Corp., a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) managed by hedge fund Altimeter Capital. However, the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Grab（纳斯达克股票代码：GRAB）在与对冲基金Altimeter Capital管理的特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）Altimeter Growth Corp.合并后于12月2日在纳斯达克首次亮相。然而，……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-what-to-know-about-the-acquisition-putting-grab-in-the-spotlight-today/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-what-to-know-about-the-acquisition-putting-grab-in-the-spotlight-today/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-what-to-know-about-the-acquisition-putting-grab-in-the-spotlight-today/\">investor place</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-what-to-know-about-the-acquisition-putting-grab-in-the-spotlight-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159300602","content_text":"Grab (NASDAQ:GRAB) made its debut on the Nasdaq on Dec. 2 after merging with Altimeter Growth Corp., a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) managed by hedge fund Altimeter Capital. However, the ride-hailing and delivery company has experienced a rocky start, as shares of GRAB stock have declined more than 25% since. Shares are rocketing even lower today after Grab announced a major acquisition. The transaction is the largest acquisition for Grab since it acquired Ovo, an Indonesian wallet provider, earlier this year.\nSo, what is the big acquisition news?\nToday, Grab announced that it would be buying Jaya Grocer, one of the top premium supermarket chains based in Malaysia. Financial terms of the acquisition were not immediately disclosed, although a source close to the matter said the acquisition price would be between RM 1.5 billion and RM 1.8 billion. As part of the agreement, Grab will buy 100% of all Jaya Grocer ordinary shares and 75% of its preference shares. Additionally, Grab will have the option to buy the remaining preference shares after the transaction closes. Preference shareholders have priority over common stock holders when it comes to dividends, although they do not generally have voting rights.\nFurthermore, due to regulatory reasons, Grab plans to partner with a local investor, who will own 50% of the voting shares in Jaya Grocer. However, the local investor has not been disclosed yet. Grab announced that the acquisition will likely close during the first quarter of 2022.\nThe grocery chain reported RM 1.34 billion in sales for the financial year ended June 2020. Gross profit tallied in at RM 68.65 million.\nJaya Grocer has been on sale for over a year, previously rejecting offers from The Carlyle Group and CVC Capital Partners. The grocer is reportedly seeking at least RM 1.1 billion.\nFurthermore, less than a month ago, the Teng family, who founded Jaya Grocer, announced that they were buying back a 45% stake in Jaya Grocer from private equity firm AIGF Advisors for RM 411 million. AIGF Advisors first purchased its stake of Jaya Grocer in 2016 for RM 300 million. The Teng family stands to make a profit after Grab’s recent acquisition.\nShares of Grab are trading down more than 10% on the day. As a general reminder, when an acquisition occurs, the acquirer’s stock price usually goes down. However, the company getting acquired usually sees an increase in price. This is because the acquirer is using assets to satisfy the transaction, which negatively impacts the balance sheet in the short term.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3336,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607482663,"gmtCreate":1639579218457,"gmtModify":1639579218554,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Don’t like this comment&nbsp;","listText":"Don’t like this comment&nbsp;","text":"Don’t like this comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607482663","repostId":"2191074962","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604764489,"gmtCreate":1639447558951,"gmtModify":1639447559050,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow&nbsp;","listText":"Wow&nbsp;","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604764489","repostId":"2191981161","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3991,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605752478,"gmtCreate":1639270906989,"gmtModify":1639270907055,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Do not like my comment&nbsp;","listText":"Do not like my comment&nbsp;","text":"Do not like my comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605752478","repostId":"2190620320","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605601219,"gmtCreate":1639149065538,"gmtModify":1639149065638,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Woa&nbsp;","listText":"Woa&nbsp;","text":"Woa","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605601219","repostId":"1134450838","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134450838","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639148939,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1134450838?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 23:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价在早盘交易中又下跌 9%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134450838","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.","content":"<p>Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>继昨天下跌超过 9% 后，Grab 股价在早盘交易中又下跌 9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/963eb8dd73ce8daa0d852d63f0bcc276\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价在早盘交易中又下跌 9%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价在早盘交易中又下跌 9%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-10 23:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>继昨天下跌超过 9% 后，Grab 股价在早盘交易中又下跌 9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/963eb8dd73ce8daa0d852d63f0bcc276\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134450838","content_text":"Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4063,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605873639,"gmtCreate":1639148522845,"gmtModify":1639148522914,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Well said&nbsp;","listText":"Well said&nbsp;","text":"Well said","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605873639","repostId":"1160142374","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160142374","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639144465,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1160142374?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 21:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Apple Stock Climb Another 45%? What History Says<blockquote>苹果股价能否再上涨 45%？历史怎么说</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160142374","media":"TheStreet","summary":"As it breaches $2.9 trillion market cap for the first time ever, Apple stock has produced 45% gains in the past year. Should investors expect similar performance over the next 12 months?Apple stock has surpassed $2.9 trillion market cap for the first time, and investors celebrate outstanding one-year returns of around 45%. Since the start of the iPhone era , AAPL has produced very solid, but still lower average one-year gains of 36%.Now, shareholders look forward. Is it reasonable to expect AAPL","content":"<p>As it breaches $2.9 trillion market cap for the first time ever, Apple stock has produced 45% gains in the past year. Should investors expect similar performance over the next 12 months?</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价有史以来首次突破 2.9 万亿美元市值，去年上涨了 45%。投资者是否应该期待未来 12 个月的类似表现？</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock&nbsp;has surpassed $2.9 trillion market cap for the first time, and investors celebrate outstanding one-year returns of around 45%. Since the start of the iPhone era (i.e. 2007 to present), AAPL has produced very solid, but still lower average one-year gains of 36%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票市值首次突破 2.9 万亿美元，投资者庆祝约 45% 的出色一年回报率。自iPhone时代开始以来（即2007年至今），AAPL取得了非常稳健的业绩，但仍低于36%的平均年增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e746370f51d8b99a1b176c6863eb1b1\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"696\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple store in Chongqing, China.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：苹果重庆市店。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Now, shareholders look forward. Is it reasonable to expect AAPL stock to climb another 45% until the end of 2022? Today, the Apple Maven sets aside business fundamentals for a moment and looks at what history has to say about this question.</p><p><blockquote>现在，股东们很期待。预计 AAPL 股价到 2022 年底再上涨 45% 是否合理？今天，这位苹果专家暂时抛开商业基本面，看看历史对这个问题的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect of AAPL</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对 AAPL 有何期待</b></blockquote></p><p> I have written plenty about how Wall Street experts have recently taken sides on Apple stock. On the one hand,bulls see a strong holiday quarter&nbsp;of sales and growth opportunities in 2022. On the other hand, a few bears think that&nbsp;AAPL could be overpriced&nbsp;by nearly 20% due to slowing growth in a post-pandemic environment and shorter lead times on iPhones.</p><p><blockquote>我写了很多关于华尔街专家最近如何对苹果股票持偏见的文章。一方面， 多头认为 2022 年假日季度的销售和增长机会将强劲。另一方面，一些看空者认为，由于后大流行环境下增长放缓和 iPhone 交货时间缩短，AAPL 的定价可能会高出近 20%。</blockquote></p><p> But to understand if Apple shares could climb another 45% in the next 12 months, I turn to historical share price behavior. The gains observed in the past year may look outsized vs. the S&amp;P 500’s historical performance. But they are fairly standard for a stock like AAPL.</p><p><blockquote>但要了解苹果股价是否能在未来 12 个月内再上涨 45%，我转向历史股价行为。与标普500的历史表现相比，过去一年的收益可能显得过大。但对于苹果这样的股票来说，它们是相当标准的。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below shows the average gains produced by holding AAPL for 12 months, since the launch year of the first iPhone model. If the stock were bought on any given day, returns would have been 36%. If bought within 5% of peak prices, gains would have been much lower: 25%.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示了自第一款iPhone机型推出年份以来，持有AAPL 12个月产生的平均收益。如果在任何一天购买该股票，回报率将为 36%。如果在峰值价格的 5% 以内购买，涨幅会低得多：25%。</blockquote></p><p> Notice that the outsized gains earned from holding Apple stock for a year tend to come from buying shares after a steep 20%-plus drawdown. The last one happened in September 2020, and the previous one had been during the initial COVID-19 bear market.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，持有苹果股票一年所获得的巨额利润往往来自在大幅下跌 20% 以上后购买股票。上一次发生在2020年9月，上一次发生在最初的新冠肺炎熊市期间。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfdba2437dc07efd8b0ae81f1b68a9ac\" tg-width=\"845\" tg-height=\"484\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: Average 1-year gains in AAPL since 2007.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图 2：自 2007 年以来 AAPL 的平均 1 年收益。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The chart above reinforces the idea that buying AAPL near peaks, as is the case today, has historically led to below average returns. Of course, these averages have still been much better than what an investor would have earned from buying and holding a diversified basket of stocks, like the S&amp;P 500 or even the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>上图强化了这样一种观点，即在接近峰值时购买 AAPL（就像今天的情况一样）历史上会导致低于平均水平的回报。当然，这些平均值仍然比投资者从购买和持有标普500甚至纳斯达克等多元化一篮子股票中获得的收益要好得多。</blockquote></p><p> Averages only tell part of a story. Equally important, the range of outcomes has been very wide. For instance, buying AAPL near a peak in December 2007 would have resulted in massive loss of -57% over the following year. On the other hand, buying near the peak in January of the same year would have resulted in an impressive one-year gain of +128%.</p><p><blockquote>平均值只讲述了故事的一部分。同样重要的是，结果的范围非常广泛。例如，在 2007 年 12 月接近峰值时购买 AAPL 会导致第二年巨额亏损 -57%。另一方面，在同年1月接近峰值时买入会带来令人印象深刻的+128%的一年涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Below is the distribution (histogram) of one-year returns in AAPL, when shares are bought near peaks. Again, the range of outcomes has been very wide. That said, typical gains have been roughly in the 20%-to-30% territory.</p><p><blockquote>下面是当股票在峰值附近购买时，AAPL 一年回报率的分布（直方图）。同样，结果的范围非常广泛。也就是说，典型的涨幅大约在 20% 到 30% 之间。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ad9d93eed25fc47e9b5d7f45d4b354d\" tg-width=\"862\" tg-height=\"528\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 3: Distribution of 1-year returns in AAPL, near peaks.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图 3：AAPL 的 1 年回报分布，接近峰值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> Can AAPL rise another 45% in the next year? It sure can, even off its current peak levels. In fact, Apple shares have, in rare cases, more than doubled in price in 12 months even after trading near all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>AAPL明年能否再上涨45%？它当然可以，即使低于目前的峰值水平。事实上，在极少数情况下，即使交易价格接近历史高点，苹果股价也在 12 个月内上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> However, for the sake of being conservative, I don’t think that investors should bet on something like it happening next. I think that more modest gains of 20% to 30% through December 2022, if reached, would already be considered outstanding.</p><p><blockquote>不过，为了保守起见，我认为投资者不应该押注接下来会发生类似的事情。我认为，到 2022 年 12 月，如果实现 20% 至 30% 的更温和涨幅，已经被认为是出色的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Apple Stock Climb Another 45%? What History Says<blockquote>苹果股价能否再上涨 45%？历史怎么说</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Apple Stock Climb Another 45%? What History Says<blockquote>苹果股价能否再上涨 45%？历史怎么说</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-10 21:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As it breaches $2.9 trillion market cap for the first time ever, Apple stock has produced 45% gains in the past year. Should investors expect similar performance over the next 12 months?</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价有史以来首次突破 2.9 万亿美元市值，去年上涨了 45%。投资者是否应该期待未来 12 个月的类似表现？</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock&nbsp;has surpassed $2.9 trillion market cap for the first time, and investors celebrate outstanding one-year returns of around 45%. Since the start of the iPhone era (i.e. 2007 to present), AAPL has produced very solid, but still lower average one-year gains of 36%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票市值首次突破 2.9 万亿美元，投资者庆祝约 45% 的出色一年回报率。自iPhone时代开始以来（即2007年至今），AAPL取得了非常稳健的业绩，但仍低于36%的平均年增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e746370f51d8b99a1b176c6863eb1b1\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"696\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple store in Chongqing, China.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：苹果重庆市店。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Now, shareholders look forward. Is it reasonable to expect AAPL stock to climb another 45% until the end of 2022? Today, the Apple Maven sets aside business fundamentals for a moment and looks at what history has to say about this question.</p><p><blockquote>现在，股东们很期待。预计 AAPL 股价到 2022 年底再上涨 45% 是否合理？今天，这位苹果专家暂时抛开商业基本面，看看历史对这个问题的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect of AAPL</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对 AAPL 有何期待</b></blockquote></p><p> I have written plenty about how Wall Street experts have recently taken sides on Apple stock. On the one hand,bulls see a strong holiday quarter&nbsp;of sales and growth opportunities in 2022. On the other hand, a few bears think that&nbsp;AAPL could be overpriced&nbsp;by nearly 20% due to slowing growth in a post-pandemic environment and shorter lead times on iPhones.</p><p><blockquote>我写了很多关于华尔街专家最近如何对苹果股票持偏见的文章。一方面， 多头认为 2022 年假日季度的销售和增长机会将强劲。另一方面，一些看空者认为，由于后大流行环境下增长放缓和 iPhone 交货时间缩短，AAPL 的定价可能会高出近 20%。</blockquote></p><p> But to understand if Apple shares could climb another 45% in the next 12 months, I turn to historical share price behavior. The gains observed in the past year may look outsized vs. the S&amp;P 500’s historical performance. But they are fairly standard for a stock like AAPL.</p><p><blockquote>但要了解苹果股价是否能在未来 12 个月内再上涨 45%，我转向历史股价行为。与标普500的历史表现相比，过去一年的收益可能显得过大。但对于苹果这样的股票来说，它们是相当标准的。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below shows the average gains produced by holding AAPL for 12 months, since the launch year of the first iPhone model. If the stock were bought on any given day, returns would have been 36%. If bought within 5% of peak prices, gains would have been much lower: 25%.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示了自第一款iPhone机型推出年份以来，持有AAPL 12个月产生的平均收益。如果在任何一天购买该股票，回报率将为 36%。如果在峰值价格的 5% 以内购买，涨幅会低得多：25%。</blockquote></p><p> Notice that the outsized gains earned from holding Apple stock for a year tend to come from buying shares after a steep 20%-plus drawdown. The last one happened in September 2020, and the previous one had been during the initial COVID-19 bear market.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，持有苹果股票一年所获得的巨额利润往往来自在大幅下跌 20% 以上后购买股票。上一次发生在2020年9月，上一次发生在最初的新冠肺炎熊市期间。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfdba2437dc07efd8b0ae81f1b68a9ac\" tg-width=\"845\" tg-height=\"484\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: Average 1-year gains in AAPL since 2007.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图 2：自 2007 年以来 AAPL 的平均 1 年收益。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The chart above reinforces the idea that buying AAPL near peaks, as is the case today, has historically led to below average returns. Of course, these averages have still been much better than what an investor would have earned from buying and holding a diversified basket of stocks, like the S&amp;P 500 or even the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>上图强化了这样一种观点，即在接近峰值时购买 AAPL（就像今天的情况一样）历史上会导致低于平均水平的回报。当然，这些平均值仍然比投资者从购买和持有标普500甚至纳斯达克等多元化一篮子股票中获得的收益要好得多。</blockquote></p><p> Averages only tell part of a story. Equally important, the range of outcomes has been very wide. For instance, buying AAPL near a peak in December 2007 would have resulted in massive loss of -57% over the following year. On the other hand, buying near the peak in January of the same year would have resulted in an impressive one-year gain of +128%.</p><p><blockquote>平均值只讲述了故事的一部分。同样重要的是，结果的范围非常广泛。例如，在 2007 年 12 月接近峰值时购买 AAPL 会导致第二年巨额亏损 -57%。另一方面，在同年1月接近峰值时买入会带来令人印象深刻的+128%的一年涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Below is the distribution (histogram) of one-year returns in AAPL, when shares are bought near peaks. Again, the range of outcomes has been very wide. That said, typical gains have been roughly in the 20%-to-30% territory.</p><p><blockquote>下面是当股票在峰值附近购买时，AAPL 一年回报率的分布（直方图）。同样，结果的范围非常广泛。也就是说，典型的涨幅大约在 20% 到 30% 之间。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ad9d93eed25fc47e9b5d7f45d4b354d\" tg-width=\"862\" tg-height=\"528\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 3: Distribution of 1-year returns in AAPL, near peaks.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图 3：AAPL 的 1 年回报分布，接近峰值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> Can AAPL rise another 45% in the next year? It sure can, even off its current peak levels. In fact, Apple shares have, in rare cases, more than doubled in price in 12 months even after trading near all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>AAPL明年能否再上涨45%？它当然可以，即使低于目前的峰值水平。事实上，在极少数情况下，即使交易价格接近历史高点，苹果股价也在 12 个月内上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> However, for the sake of being conservative, I don’t think that investors should bet on something like it happening next. I think that more modest gains of 20% to 30% through December 2022, if reached, would already be considered outstanding.</p><p><blockquote>不过，为了保守起见，我认为投资者不应该押注接下来会发生类似的事情。我认为，到 2022 年 12 月，如果实现 20% 至 30% 的更温和涨幅，已经被认为是出色的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-climb-another-45-what-history-says\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-climb-another-45-what-history-says","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160142374","content_text":"As it breaches $2.9 trillion market cap for the first time ever, Apple stock has produced 45% gains in the past year. Should investors expect similar performance over the next 12 months?\nApple stock has surpassed $2.9 trillion market cap for the first time, and investors celebrate outstanding one-year returns of around 45%. Since the start of the iPhone era (i.e. 2007 to present), AAPL has produced very solid, but still lower average one-year gains of 36%.\nFigure 1: Apple store in Chongqing, China.\nNow, shareholders look forward. Is it reasonable to expect AAPL stock to climb another 45% until the end of 2022? Today, the Apple Maven sets aside business fundamentals for a moment and looks at what history has to say about this question.\nWhat to expect of AAPL\nI have written plenty about how Wall Street experts have recently taken sides on Apple stock. On the one hand,bulls see a strong holiday quarter of sales and growth opportunities in 2022. On the other hand, a few bears think that AAPL could be overpriced by nearly 20% due to slowing growth in a post-pandemic environment and shorter lead times on iPhones.\nBut to understand if Apple shares could climb another 45% in the next 12 months, I turn to historical share price behavior. The gains observed in the past year may look outsized vs. the S&P 500’s historical performance. But they are fairly standard for a stock like AAPL.\nThe chart below shows the average gains produced by holding AAPL for 12 months, since the launch year of the first iPhone model. If the stock were bought on any given day, returns would have been 36%. If bought within 5% of peak prices, gains would have been much lower: 25%.\nNotice that the outsized gains earned from holding Apple stock for a year tend to come from buying shares after a steep 20%-plus drawdown. The last one happened in September 2020, and the previous one had been during the initial COVID-19 bear market.\nFigure 2: Average 1-year gains in AAPL since 2007.\nThe chart above reinforces the idea that buying AAPL near peaks, as is the case today, has historically led to below average returns. Of course, these averages have still been much better than what an investor would have earned from buying and holding a diversified basket of stocks, like the S&P 500 or even the Nasdaq.\nAverages only tell part of a story. Equally important, the range of outcomes has been very wide. For instance, buying AAPL near a peak in December 2007 would have resulted in massive loss of -57% over the following year. On the other hand, buying near the peak in January of the same year would have resulted in an impressive one-year gain of +128%.\nBelow is the distribution (histogram) of one-year returns in AAPL, when shares are bought near peaks. Again, the range of outcomes has been very wide. That said, typical gains have been roughly in the 20%-to-30% territory.\nFigure 3: Distribution of 1-year returns in AAPL, near peaks.\nThe Apple Maven’s take\nCan AAPL rise another 45% in the next year? It sure can, even off its current peak levels. In fact, Apple shares have, in rare cases, more than doubled in price in 12 months even after trading near all-time highs.\nHowever, for the sake of being conservative, I don’t think that investors should bet on something like it happening next. I think that more modest gains of 20% to 30% through December 2022, if reached, would already be considered outstanding.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605849411,"gmtCreate":1639147876795,"gmtModify":1639147876898,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Don’t like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Don’t like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Don’t like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605849411","repostId":"1191109766","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191109766","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639146697,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1191109766?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 22:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks open solidly higher after Friday's hot inflation reading<blockquote>周五通胀数据火爆后，美国股市开盘走高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191109766","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The major averages rose on Friday, extending Wall Street’s strong rally this week, despite inflation","content":"<p>The major averages rose on Friday, extending Wall Street’s strong rally this week, despite inflation hitting a 39-year high.</p><p><blockquote>尽管通胀率创下 39 年来的新高，但主要股指周五上涨，延续了华尔街本周的强劲涨势。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 158 points, or 0.4%. The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.6% and the technology-focused Nasdaq Composite added 0.72%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 158 点，涨幅 0.4%。标普500上涨 0.6%，以科技为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨 0.72%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b873ac71a230a8d742db043325703697\" tg-width=\"1035\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Inflation soared 6.8% year-over-year in November&nbsp;to fastest rate since 1982, the Labor Department said Friday. The print came in slightly higher than the 6.7% Dow Jones estimate. The consumer price index, which measures the cost of a wide-ranging basket of goods, rose 0.8% for the month.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周五表示，11 月份通胀率同比飙升 6.8%，达到 1982 年以来的最快速度。这一数字略高于道琼斯6.7%的预期。衡量一篮子商品成本的消费者价格指数本月上涨 0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Oracle&nbsp;shares soared, gaining more than 17%, a dayafter beating earnings&nbsp;on the top and bottom lines.</p><p><blockquote>甲骨文股价飙升，上涨超过 17%，一天前的营收和利润都超出了预期。</blockquote></p><p> Southwest Airlines&nbsp;dropped 2.5% following another downgrade on Wall Street, this time from Goldman Sachs. The industry has been deemed susceptible to inflation risk.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街再次下调评级后，西南航空股价下跌 2.5%，这次是高盛下调评级。该行业被认为容易受到通胀风险的影响。</blockquote></p><p> Interactive fitness company&nbsp;Peloton&nbsp;added to its woes, dropping 2%&nbsp;after tumbling 11.3% on Thursday. Credit Suisse cut its view on the company, saying a return to gyms and shifts in consumer spending will weigh on profitability.</p><p><blockquote>互动健身公司 Peloton 在周四暴跌 11.3% 后下跌 2%，雪上加霜。瑞士信贷下调了对该公司的看法，称重返健身房和消费者支出的转变将影响盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks open solidly higher after Friday's hot inflation reading<blockquote>周五通胀数据火爆后，美国股市开盘走高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks open solidly higher after Friday's hot inflation reading<blockquote>周五通胀数据火爆后，美国股市开盘走高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-10 22:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The major averages rose on Friday, extending Wall Street’s strong rally this week, despite inflation hitting a 39-year high.</p><p><blockquote>尽管通胀率创下 39 年来的新高，但主要股指周五上涨，延续了华尔街本周的强劲涨势。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 158 points, or 0.4%. The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.6% and the technology-focused Nasdaq Composite added 0.72%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 158 点，涨幅 0.4%。标普500上涨 0.6%，以科技为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨 0.72%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b873ac71a230a8d742db043325703697\" tg-width=\"1035\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Inflation soared 6.8% year-over-year in November&nbsp;to fastest rate since 1982, the Labor Department said Friday. The print came in slightly higher than the 6.7% Dow Jones estimate. The consumer price index, which measures the cost of a wide-ranging basket of goods, rose 0.8% for the month.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周五表示，11 月份通胀率同比飙升 6.8%，达到 1982 年以来的最快速度。这一数字略高于道琼斯6.7%的预期。衡量一篮子商品成本的消费者价格指数本月上涨 0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Oracle&nbsp;shares soared, gaining more than 17%, a dayafter beating earnings&nbsp;on the top and bottom lines.</p><p><blockquote>甲骨文股价飙升，上涨超过 17%，一天前的营收和利润都超出了预期。</blockquote></p><p> Southwest Airlines&nbsp;dropped 2.5% following another downgrade on Wall Street, this time from Goldman Sachs. The industry has been deemed susceptible to inflation risk.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街再次下调评级后，西南航空股价下跌 2.5%，这次是高盛下调评级。该行业被认为容易受到通胀风险的影响。</blockquote></p><p> Interactive fitness company&nbsp;Peloton&nbsp;added to its woes, dropping 2%&nbsp;after tumbling 11.3% on Thursday. Credit Suisse cut its view on the company, saying a return to gyms and shifts in consumer spending will weigh on profitability.</p><p><blockquote>互动健身公司 Peloton 在周四暴跌 11.3% 后下跌 2%，雪上加霜。瑞士信贷下调了对该公司的看法，称重返健身房和消费者支出的转变将影响盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191109766","content_text":"The major averages rose on Friday, extending Wall Street’s strong rally this week, despite inflation hitting a 39-year high.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 158 points, or 0.4%. The S&P 500 rose 0.6% and the technology-focused Nasdaq Composite added 0.72%.\n\nInflation soared 6.8% year-over-year in November to fastest rate since 1982, the Labor Department said Friday. The print came in slightly higher than the 6.7% Dow Jones estimate. The consumer price index, which measures the cost of a wide-ranging basket of goods, rose 0.8% for the month.\nOracle shares soared, gaining more than 17%, a dayafter beating earnings on the top and bottom lines.\nSouthwest Airlines dropped 2.5% following another downgrade on Wall Street, this time from Goldman Sachs. The industry has been deemed susceptible to inflation risk.\nInteractive fitness company Peloton added to its woes, dropping 2% after tumbling 11.3% on Thursday. Credit Suisse cut its view on the company, saying a return to gyms and shifts in consumer spending will weigh on profitability.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605840916,"gmtCreate":1639147826435,"gmtModify":1639147826509,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Let’s gooooo","listText":"Let’s gooooo","text":"Let’s gooooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605840916","repostId":"1151890002","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151890002","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639147684,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151890002?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 22:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks mixed in morning trading<blockquote>早盘交易中电动汽车股涨跌互现</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151890002","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks mixed in morning trading.Lucid,Faraday Future,Nio,Li Auto and Sono Group climbed between 1","content":"<p>EV stocks mixed in morning trading.Lucid,Faraday Future,Nio,Li Auto&nbsp;and&nbsp;Sono Group&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 4%.Tesla&nbsp;and&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;fell&nbsp;about&nbsp;2%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股早盘涨跌互现.Lucid、法拉第期货、蔚来汽车、理想汽车和索诺集团上涨1%至4%.特斯拉和蔚来下跌约2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f346fee60459b75b81de3dee1b7ff60\" tg-width=\"412\" tg-height=\"723\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks mixed in morning trading<blockquote>早盘交易中电动汽车股涨跌互现</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks mixed in morning trading<blockquote>早盘交易中电动汽车股涨跌互现</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-10 22:48</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV stocks mixed in morning trading.Lucid,Faraday Future,Nio,Li Auto&nbsp;and&nbsp;Sono Group&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 4%.Tesla&nbsp;and&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;fell&nbsp;about&nbsp;2%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股早盘涨跌互现.Lucid、法拉第期货、蔚来汽车、理想汽车和索诺集团上涨1%至4%.特斯拉和蔚来下跌约2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f346fee60459b75b81de3dee1b7ff60\" tg-width=\"412\" tg-height=\"723\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏集团","FSR":"菲斯克","TSLA":"特斯拉","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","NIO":"蔚来","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","SEV":"Aptera Motors"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151890002","content_text":"EV stocks mixed in morning trading.Lucid,Faraday Future,Nio,Li Auto and Sono Group climbed between 1% and 4%.Tesla and NIO fell about 2%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LCID":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"RIVN":0.9,"SEV":0.9,"RIDE":0.9,"LI":0.9,"FSR":0.9,"NKLA":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"FFIE":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"GOEV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605149274,"gmtCreate":1639134872916,"gmtModify":1639134873026,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok yeah&nbsp;","listText":"Ok yeah&nbsp;","text":"Ok yeah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605149274","repostId":"1185363632","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185363632","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639125824,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1185363632?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 16:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Apple Stock’s Rally Fizzle Out? Don’t Bet on It.<blockquote>苹果股市的反弹会失败吗？别赌了。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185363632","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple stock has been on a tear, and nothing seems to be able to knock it down for long. When I see t","content":"<p>Apple&nbsp;stock has been on a tear, and nothing seems to be able to knock it down for long. When I see that kind of acceleration, I usually start thinking it’s time to sell. The thing is, with Apple stock, it might not be.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价一直处于崩溃状态，似乎没有什么能够长期将其击垮。当我看到这种加速时，我通常会开始认为是时候卖出了。问题是，对于苹果股票来说，情况可能并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock (ticker: AAPL) has jumped 19% during the past month of trading, easily outperforming the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 0.5% rise, the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500’s&nbsp;0.9% gain, and the&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite’s&nbsp;0.04% advance. It’s an amazing move when compared with the overall market, and how little bad news seems to hurt the stock. It even goes up when nearly everything else goes down.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票（股票代码：AAPL）在过去一个月的交易中上涨了 19%，轻松超过了道琼斯工业平均指数 0.5% 的涨幅、标普500 0.9% 的涨幅以及纳斯达克综合指数 0.04% 的涨幅。与整体市场相比，这是一个惊人的举动，而且坏消息似乎对该股造成的伤害也很小。当几乎所有其他东西都下跌时，它甚至会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The gain also marks an acceleration for the stock. On Thursday, Apple was up 0.3% at $175.58, more than 15% above its 50-day moving average of $152.30. We looked at that hoping it would serve as a sell signal, but that’s not the case. During the past five years, Apple stock has gone on to advance 2% in the two weeks after trading 15% or higher above the 50-day moving average, and 3% in the month following it. The stock was higher one month later 28 out of 39 occurrences.</p><p><blockquote>这一涨幅也标志着该股的加速上涨。周四，苹果股价上涨 0.3%，至 175.58 美元，较 50 天移动平均线 152.30 美元高出 15% 以上。我们希望这能成为一个卖出信号，但事实并非如此。在过去五年中，苹果股价在交易价格高于 50 天移动平均线 15% 或更高后的两周内上涨了 2%，在接下来的一个月内上涨了 3%。一个月后，39 起事件中有 28 起上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we use only the first instance of the stock rising 15% above the moving average—we eliminated any that occurred with five trading days of the first close—the stock performed OK, with shares gaining 0.9% two weeks after the first instance, and 9% during the month after.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们只使用股票在移动平均线上方上涨 15% 的第一个实例——我们排除了第一次收盘后五个交易日发生的任何情况——该股表现良好，股价在第一个实例后两周上涨了 0.9%，在接下来的一个月内上涨了 9%。</blockquote></p><p> As much as we worry that Apple’s gains can’t continue in the long-run, at least based on recent history, Apple stock could have more room to run.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们担心苹果的涨势无法长期持续，但至少从最近的历史来看，苹果的股票可能还有更大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> That doesn’t mean Apple stock can just keep running in perpetuity. While the 15% threshold didn’t result in losses, a 20% threshold did. When that happened, Apple stock has dropped an average of 3% over the two weeks following the instance, and 2.9% month after.</p><p><blockquote>这并不意味着苹果的股票可以永远持续下去。虽然 15% 的门槛不会导致损失，但 20% 的门槛会导致损失。当这种情况发生时，苹果股价在事件发生后的两周内平均下跌了 3%，一个月后下跌了 2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock can get too strong, after all. It’s just not there yet.</p><p><blockquote>毕竟，苹果股票可能会变得过于强劲。只是还没到。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Apple Stock’s Rally Fizzle Out? Don’t Bet on It.<blockquote>苹果股市的反弹会失败吗？别赌了。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Apple Stock’s Rally Fizzle Out? Don’t Bet on It.<blockquote>苹果股市的反弹会失败吗？别赌了。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-10 16:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple&nbsp;stock has been on a tear, and nothing seems to be able to knock it down for long. When I see that kind of acceleration, I usually start thinking it’s time to sell. The thing is, with Apple stock, it might not be.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价一直处于崩溃状态，似乎没有什么能够长期将其击垮。当我看到这种加速时，我通常会开始认为是时候卖出了。问题是，对于苹果股票来说，情况可能并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock (ticker: AAPL) has jumped 19% during the past month of trading, easily outperforming the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 0.5% rise, the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500’s&nbsp;0.9% gain, and the&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite’s&nbsp;0.04% advance. It’s an amazing move when compared with the overall market, and how little bad news seems to hurt the stock. It even goes up when nearly everything else goes down.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票（股票代码：AAPL）在过去一个月的交易中上涨了 19%，轻松超过了道琼斯工业平均指数 0.5% 的涨幅、标普500 0.9% 的涨幅以及纳斯达克综合指数 0.04% 的涨幅。与整体市场相比，这是一个惊人的举动，而且坏消息似乎对该股造成的伤害也很小。当几乎所有其他东西都下跌时，它甚至会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The gain also marks an acceleration for the stock. On Thursday, Apple was up 0.3% at $175.58, more than 15% above its 50-day moving average of $152.30. We looked at that hoping it would serve as a sell signal, but that’s not the case. During the past five years, Apple stock has gone on to advance 2% in the two weeks after trading 15% or higher above the 50-day moving average, and 3% in the month following it. The stock was higher one month later 28 out of 39 occurrences.</p><p><blockquote>这一涨幅也标志着该股的加速上涨。周四，苹果股价上涨 0.3%，至 175.58 美元，较 50 天移动平均线 152.30 美元高出 15% 以上。我们希望这能成为一个卖出信号，但事实并非如此。在过去五年中，苹果股价在交易价格高于 50 天移动平均线 15% 或更高后的两周内上涨了 2%，在接下来的一个月内上涨了 3%。一个月后，39 起事件中有 28 起上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we use only the first instance of the stock rising 15% above the moving average—we eliminated any that occurred with five trading days of the first close—the stock performed OK, with shares gaining 0.9% two weeks after the first instance, and 9% during the month after.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们只使用股票在移动平均线上方上涨 15% 的第一个实例——我们排除了第一次收盘后五个交易日发生的任何情况——该股表现良好，股价在第一个实例后两周上涨了 0.9%，在接下来的一个月内上涨了 9%。</blockquote></p><p> As much as we worry that Apple’s gains can’t continue in the long-run, at least based on recent history, Apple stock could have more room to run.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们担心苹果的涨势无法长期持续，但至少从最近的历史来看，苹果的股票可能还有更大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> That doesn’t mean Apple stock can just keep running in perpetuity. While the 15% threshold didn’t result in losses, a 20% threshold did. When that happened, Apple stock has dropped an average of 3% over the two weeks following the instance, and 2.9% month after.</p><p><blockquote>这并不意味着苹果的股票可以永远持续下去。虽然 15% 的门槛不会导致损失，但 20% 的门槛会导致损失。当这种情况发生时，苹果股价在事件发生后的两周内平均下跌了 3%，一个月后下跌了 2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock can get too strong, after all. It’s just not there yet.</p><p><blockquote>毕竟，苹果股票可能会变得过于强劲。只是还没到。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-price-buy-sell-rally-51639071310?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-price-buy-sell-rally-51639071310?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185363632","content_text":"Apple stock has been on a tear, and nothing seems to be able to knock it down for long. When I see that kind of acceleration, I usually start thinking it’s time to sell. The thing is, with Apple stock, it might not be.\nApple stock (ticker: AAPL) has jumped 19% during the past month of trading, easily outperforming the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 0.5% rise, the S&P 500’s 0.9% gain, and the Nasdaq Composite’s 0.04% advance. It’s an amazing move when compared with the overall market, and how little bad news seems to hurt the stock. It even goes up when nearly everything else goes down.\nThe gain also marks an acceleration for the stock. On Thursday, Apple was up 0.3% at $175.58, more than 15% above its 50-day moving average of $152.30. We looked at that hoping it would serve as a sell signal, but that’s not the case. During the past five years, Apple stock has gone on to advance 2% in the two weeks after trading 15% or higher above the 50-day moving average, and 3% in the month following it. The stock was higher one month later 28 out of 39 occurrences.\nEven if we use only the first instance of the stock rising 15% above the moving average—we eliminated any that occurred with five trading days of the first close—the stock performed OK, with shares gaining 0.9% two weeks after the first instance, and 9% during the month after.\nAs much as we worry that Apple’s gains can’t continue in the long-run, at least based on recent history, Apple stock could have more room to run.\nThat doesn’t mean Apple stock can just keep running in perpetuity. While the 15% threshold didn’t result in losses, a 20% threshold did. When that happened, Apple stock has dropped an average of 3% over the two weeks following the instance, and 2.9% month after.\nApple stock can get too strong, after all. It’s just not there yet.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605127413,"gmtCreate":1639132864836,"gmtModify":1639132864836,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh no&nbsp;","listText":"Oh no&nbsp;","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605127413","repostId":"1133845166","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133845166","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639130022,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1133845166?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 17:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab shares dropped another 2% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab 股价在盘前交易中又下跌 2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133845166","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab shares dropped another 2% in premarket trading.The stock fell more than 9% yesterday.","content":"<p>Grab shares dropped another 2% in premarket trading.The stock fell more than 9% yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>Grab 股价在盘前交易中又下跌 2%。该股昨天下跌超过9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c53085cee57f6060446a02aa58e6a691\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"619\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab shares dropped another 2% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab 股价在盘前交易中又下跌 2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab shares dropped another 2% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab 股价在盘前交易中又下跌 2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-10 17:53</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab shares dropped another 2% in premarket trading.The stock fell more than 9% yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>Grab 股价在盘前交易中又下跌 2%。该股昨天下跌超过9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c53085cee57f6060446a02aa58e6a691\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"619\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133845166","content_text":"Grab shares dropped another 2% in premarket trading.The stock fell more than 9% yesterday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1908,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605128803,"gmtCreate":1639132189717,"gmtModify":1639132297764,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Do not like my comment&nbsp;","listText":"Do not like my comment&nbsp;","text":"Do not like my comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605128803","repostId":"1160479644","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605381812,"gmtCreate":1639113857540,"gmtModify":1639113952687,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"I want a crystal ball&nbsp;","listText":"I want a crystal ball&nbsp;","text":"I want a crystal ball","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605381812","repostId":"1173696854","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173696854","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639100666,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1173696854?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 09:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次经济衰退： “万物泡沫 ”何时破裂</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173696854","media":"Fortune","summary":"In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will be","content":"<p>In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>20XX年10月。这不是错别字。为了对下一次衰退何时开始做出最佳猜测，我们需要了解美联储如何制造不可持续的繁荣，以及为什么下一次衰退可能即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> A caveat is in order. As physicist Niels Bohr exclaimed, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Nevertheless, I will weigh in fearlessly with my 10 cents. The Fed’s inflationary policies have increased my two cents fivefold. Maybe the next cryptocurrency is on the horizon: My 10 Cents.</p><p><blockquote>需要一个警告。正如物理学家尼尔斯-玻尔（Niels Bohr）所说：“预测是非常困难的，尤其是在预测未来的时候。”尽管如此，我会无所畏惧地用我的10美分称重。美联储的通货膨胀政策让我的两美分增加了五倍。也许下一个加密货币就在地平线上：我的10美分。</blockquote></p><p> If a dog can have a crypto, why can’t a retired finance professor who&nbsp;warned the public&nbsp;that prices were about to accelerate due to the Fed’s inflationary policies in the spring of 1976 have one?</p><p><blockquote>如果狗可以拥有加密货币，为什么一位退休的金融学教授不能拥有加密货币呢？他曾在 1976 年春天警告公众，由于美联储的通胀政策，物价即将加速上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Consumerprices rose5.7% in 1976, 6.5% in 1977, 7.6% in 1978, 11.3% in 1979 and 13.5% in 1980. Talk about being right on the money!</p><p><blockquote>1976年消费价格上涨5.7%，1977年6.5%，1978年7.6%，1979年11.3%，1980年13.5%。谈论金钱上的正确!</blockquote></p><p> As inflation was galloping throughout his presidency, then President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker, a former banker and U.S. Treasury official, in 1979 to halt the multiyear price spiral. Volcker succeeded spectacularly. Consumer prices rose 10.3% in 1981, revealing how inflation momentum can continue for a while before the Fed’s tight money policies slay the inflation dragon. In 1982, prices rose 6.1%, 3.2% in 1983, and (miracle of miracles) only 1.9% in 1986, a year before Volcker stepped down as Fed chairman and was replaced by Alan Greenspan.</p><p><blockquote>由于通货膨胀在他的总统任期内飙升，时任总统吉米·卡特于 1979 年任命前银行家兼美国财政部官员保罗·沃尔克 (Paul Volcker) 来阻止多年来的物价螺旋上升。沃尔克取得了惊人的成功。1981 年消费者价格上涨了 10.3%，这表明在美联储的紧缩货币政策杀死通胀巨龙之前，通胀势头可能会持续一段时间。1982 年，物价上涨了 6.1%，1983 年上涨了 3.2%，而（奇迹中的奇迹）1986 年（沃尔克卸任美联储主席并由艾伦·格林斯潘接任的前一年）仅上涨了 1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> To accomplish what was considered at the time improbable due to high inflation expectations, the Volcker-led Fed&nbsp;raised the Fed Funds Rate–the rate banks borrow from each other for overnight loans–to 22% by December 1980. The cost of Volcker’s tight monetary policies necessary to halt the dollar’s slide was back-to-back recessions: a short downturn 1980 and then another one, 1981-1982. A case can be made that one long recession occurred that in effect lasted three years, from January 1980 to November 1982.</p><p><blockquote>为了实现由于高通胀预期而当时被认为不可能实现的目标，沃尔克领导的美联储在1980年12月之前将联邦基金利率（银行相互借入隔夜贷款的利率）提高到了22%。沃尔克为阻止美元下滑而采取的紧缩货币政策的代价是接二连三的衰退： 1980 年是短暂的衰退，1981-1982 年又是短暂的衰退。一个例子是，从1980年1月到1982年11月，发生了一次实际上持续了三年的长期衰退。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinpointing the moment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>精确定位时刻</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the best leading indicators of a cyclical downturn is the unemployment rate, which reached a cyclical bottom in May 1979 (5.6%) several months before the 1980 recession and didn’t peak until November 1982 (10.8%). The unemployment rate declined until the next upturn in layoffs began to accelerate in 1990.</p><p><blockquote>失业率是周期性衰退的最佳先行指标之一，失业率在 1979 年 5 月达到周期性底部（5.6%），比 1980 年经济衰退早几个月，直到 1982 年 11 月（10.8%）才达到顶峰。失业率一直下降，直到1990年下一次裁员开始加速。</blockquote></p><p> Currently,<b>the unemployment rate</b>&nbsp;has been declining from the lockdown peak of early 2020 and has reached levels that historically have signaled the beginning of the end of a cyclical boom. Lockdowns have undoubtedly distorted the unemployment rate, but the&nbsp;historical pattern&nbsp;reveals that when the unemployment rate nears three percent and then turns up, a recession will soon begin.</p><p><blockquote>目前，<b>失业率</b>已从 2020 年初的封锁峰值开始下降，并已达到历史上预示着周期性繁荣结束的水平。封锁无疑扭曲了失业率，但历史模式表明，当失业率接近3%然后上升时，衰退将很快开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/746377b702eacfdfaa019222f8161b85\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The yield curve</b>&nbsp;is one of the most widely followed financial indicators that portend a recession usually within a year. The yield curve reveals the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates. Typically, the yield curve is upward sloping, like today, when short-term rates are below long-term rates, reflecting a substantial amount of liquidity in the financial markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益率曲线</b>是最广泛遵循的财务指标之一，通常预示着一年内的经济衰退。收益率曲线揭示了短期利率和长期利率之间的关系。通常情况下，收益率曲线是向上倾斜的，就像今天一样，当短期利率低于长期利率时，反映了金融市场中大量的流动性。</blockquote></p><p> When the Fed becomes concerned that the economy is “overheating,” it tends to raise the Fed Funds Rate to cool down price inflation, which occurred prior to the bursting of both the 2000 dotcom bubble and the 2007 housing bubble. The yield curve was&nbsp;virtually inverted&nbsp;at the end of 2019, suggesting that a recession would begin sometime in 2020. However, the lockdowns in response to COVID-19 caused an economic downturn in early 2020, not a typical cyclical recession.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储担心经济 “过热 ”时，它往往会提高联邦基金利率，以冷却物价通胀，而物价通胀发生在 2000 年互联网泡沫和 2007 年房地产泡沫破裂之前。收益率曲线在2019年底几乎倒挂，这表明衰退将在2020年的某个时候开始。然而，应对新冠肺炎的封锁导致了2020年初的经济衰退，而不是典型的周期性衰退。</blockquote></p><p> Now the economy is in another cyclical upswing because the Federal Reservein&nbsp;jected $4 trillion&nbsp;of liquidity to “simulate” the economy. At the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was decided to reduce monthly purchases from $120 billion to $105 billion. In other words, the Fed will continue to have its foot on the monetary pedal even as the inflation rate recently topped 6% year over year. In the past accelerating inflation would set off alarm bells at the Fed to raise interest rates to dampen inflationary pressure and expectations. Currently, the thinking at the Fed is that price inflation is “transitory” and therefore monetary policy does not have to be tightened.</p><p><blockquote>现在，由于美联储注入了 4 万亿美元的流动性来 “模拟 ”经济，经济又处于周期性上升期。在联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）最近一次会议上，决定将每月购买量从1200亿美元减少到1050亿美元。换句话说，即使通胀率最近同比突破6%，美联储仍将继续踩下货币踏板。过去，通胀加速会敲响美联储加息以抑制通胀压力和预期的警钟。目前，美联储的想法是，物价通胀是 “暂时的”，因此不必收紧货币政策。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> My fearless forecast, therefore, is: Inflation accelerates in 2022. Then, the public outcry over skyrocketing prices and the media reports highlighting how prices are decimating the average family’s purchasing power may cause the Biden administration to impose wage-price controls as President Nixon did in 1971 to take the sting out of inflation before his 1972 reelection campaign. Biden could use an executive order if Congress doesn’t give him statutory authority to impose price controls.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我无畏的预测是：2022 年通胀将加速。然后，公众对物价飞涨的强烈抗议和媒体报道强调物价如何削弱普通家庭的购买力，这可能会导致拜登政府像尼克松总统在 1971 年那样，在 1972 年竞选连任之前实施工资价格控制，以消除通货膨胀的困扰。如果国会不授予拜登实施价格控制的法定权力，拜登可以使用行政命令。</blockquote></p><p> Without price controls, I expect the Fed to raise the Fed Funds Rate, sometime in 2022 and to continue tightening in 2023. Thus, the next recession could begin in the fall of 2023, but no later than a year later. If the recession does not begin on schedule, it only means it has been postponed, not eliminated.</p><p><blockquote>如果没有价格控制，我预计美联储将在 2022 年的某个时候提高联邦基金利率，并在 2023 年继续收紧。因此，下一次衰退可能会在 2023 年秋季开始，但不会晚于一年。如果衰退没有如期开始，那只意味着它被推迟了，而不是被消除了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次经济衰退： “万物泡沫 ”何时破裂</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次经济衰退： “万物泡沫 ”何时破裂</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Fortune</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-10 09:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>20XX年10月。这不是错别字。为了对下一次衰退何时开始做出最佳猜测，我们需要了解美联储如何制造不可持续的繁荣，以及为什么下一次衰退可能即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> A caveat is in order. As physicist Niels Bohr exclaimed, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Nevertheless, I will weigh in fearlessly with my 10 cents. The Fed’s inflationary policies have increased my two cents fivefold. Maybe the next cryptocurrency is on the horizon: My 10 Cents.</p><p><blockquote>需要一个警告。正如物理学家尼尔斯-玻尔（Niels Bohr）所说：“预测是非常困难的，尤其是在预测未来的时候。”尽管如此，我会无所畏惧地用我的10美分称重。美联储的通货膨胀政策让我的两美分增加了五倍。也许下一个加密货币就在地平线上：我的10美分。</blockquote></p><p> If a dog can have a crypto, why can’t a retired finance professor who&nbsp;warned the public&nbsp;that prices were about to accelerate due to the Fed’s inflationary policies in the spring of 1976 have one?</p><p><blockquote>如果狗可以拥有加密货币，为什么一位退休的金融学教授不能拥有加密货币呢？他曾在 1976 年春天警告公众，由于美联储的通胀政策，物价即将加速上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Consumerprices rose5.7% in 1976, 6.5% in 1977, 7.6% in 1978, 11.3% in 1979 and 13.5% in 1980. Talk about being right on the money!</p><p><blockquote>1976年消费价格上涨5.7%，1977年6.5%，1978年7.6%，1979年11.3%，1980年13.5%。谈论金钱上的正确!</blockquote></p><p> As inflation was galloping throughout his presidency, then President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker, a former banker and U.S. Treasury official, in 1979 to halt the multiyear price spiral. Volcker succeeded spectacularly. Consumer prices rose 10.3% in 1981, revealing how inflation momentum can continue for a while before the Fed’s tight money policies slay the inflation dragon. In 1982, prices rose 6.1%, 3.2% in 1983, and (miracle of miracles) only 1.9% in 1986, a year before Volcker stepped down as Fed chairman and was replaced by Alan Greenspan.</p><p><blockquote>由于通货膨胀在他的总统任期内飙升，时任总统吉米·卡特于 1979 年任命前银行家兼美国财政部官员保罗·沃尔克 (Paul Volcker) 来阻止多年来的物价螺旋上升。沃尔克取得了惊人的成功。1981 年消费者价格上涨了 10.3%，这表明在美联储的紧缩货币政策杀死通胀巨龙之前，通胀势头可能会持续一段时间。1982 年，物价上涨了 6.1%，1983 年上涨了 3.2%，而（奇迹中的奇迹）1986 年（沃尔克卸任美联储主席并由艾伦·格林斯潘接任的前一年）仅上涨了 1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> To accomplish what was considered at the time improbable due to high inflation expectations, the Volcker-led Fed&nbsp;raised the Fed Funds Rate–the rate banks borrow from each other for overnight loans–to 22% by December 1980. The cost of Volcker’s tight monetary policies necessary to halt the dollar’s slide was back-to-back recessions: a short downturn 1980 and then another one, 1981-1982. A case can be made that one long recession occurred that in effect lasted three years, from January 1980 to November 1982.</p><p><blockquote>为了实现由于高通胀预期而当时被认为不可能实现的目标，沃尔克领导的美联储在1980年12月之前将联邦基金利率（银行相互借入隔夜贷款的利率）提高到了22%。沃尔克为阻止美元下滑而采取的紧缩货币政策的代价是接二连三的衰退： 1980 年是短暂的衰退，1981-1982 年又是短暂的衰退。一个例子是，从1980年1月到1982年11月，发生了一次实际上持续了三年的长期衰退。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinpointing the moment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>精确定位时刻</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the best leading indicators of a cyclical downturn is the unemployment rate, which reached a cyclical bottom in May 1979 (5.6%) several months before the 1980 recession and didn’t peak until November 1982 (10.8%). The unemployment rate declined until the next upturn in layoffs began to accelerate in 1990.</p><p><blockquote>失业率是周期性衰退的最佳先行指标之一，失业率在 1979 年 5 月达到周期性底部（5.6%），比 1980 年经济衰退早几个月，直到 1982 年 11 月（10.8%）才达到顶峰。失业率一直下降，直到1990年下一次裁员开始加速。</blockquote></p><p> Currently,<b>the unemployment rate</b>&nbsp;has been declining from the lockdown peak of early 2020 and has reached levels that historically have signaled the beginning of the end of a cyclical boom. Lockdowns have undoubtedly distorted the unemployment rate, but the&nbsp;historical pattern&nbsp;reveals that when the unemployment rate nears three percent and then turns up, a recession will soon begin.</p><p><blockquote>目前，<b>失业率</b>已从 2020 年初的封锁峰值开始下降，并已达到历史上预示着周期性繁荣结束的水平。封锁无疑扭曲了失业率，但历史模式表明，当失业率接近3%然后上升时，衰退将很快开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/746377b702eacfdfaa019222f8161b85\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The yield curve</b>&nbsp;is one of the most widely followed financial indicators that portend a recession usually within a year. The yield curve reveals the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates. Typically, the yield curve is upward sloping, like today, when short-term rates are below long-term rates, reflecting a substantial amount of liquidity in the financial markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益率曲线</b>是最广泛遵循的财务指标之一，通常预示着一年内的经济衰退。收益率曲线揭示了短期利率和长期利率之间的关系。通常情况下，收益率曲线是向上倾斜的，就像今天一样，当短期利率低于长期利率时，反映了金融市场中大量的流动性。</blockquote></p><p> When the Fed becomes concerned that the economy is “overheating,” it tends to raise the Fed Funds Rate to cool down price inflation, which occurred prior to the bursting of both the 2000 dotcom bubble and the 2007 housing bubble. The yield curve was&nbsp;virtually inverted&nbsp;at the end of 2019, suggesting that a recession would begin sometime in 2020. However, the lockdowns in response to COVID-19 caused an economic downturn in early 2020, not a typical cyclical recession.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储担心经济 “过热 ”时，它往往会提高联邦基金利率，以冷却物价通胀，而物价通胀发生在 2000 年互联网泡沫和 2007 年房地产泡沫破裂之前。收益率曲线在2019年底几乎倒挂，这表明衰退将在2020年的某个时候开始。然而，应对新冠肺炎的封锁导致了2020年初的经济衰退，而不是典型的周期性衰退。</blockquote></p><p> Now the economy is in another cyclical upswing because the Federal Reservein&nbsp;jected $4 trillion&nbsp;of liquidity to “simulate” the economy. At the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was decided to reduce monthly purchases from $120 billion to $105 billion. In other words, the Fed will continue to have its foot on the monetary pedal even as the inflation rate recently topped 6% year over year. In the past accelerating inflation would set off alarm bells at the Fed to raise interest rates to dampen inflationary pressure and expectations. Currently, the thinking at the Fed is that price inflation is “transitory” and therefore monetary policy does not have to be tightened.</p><p><blockquote>现在，由于美联储注入了 4 万亿美元的流动性来 “模拟 ”经济，经济又处于周期性上升期。在联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）最近一次会议上，决定将每月购买量从1200亿美元减少到1050亿美元。换句话说，即使通胀率最近同比突破6%，美联储仍将继续踩下货币踏板。过去，通胀加速会敲响美联储加息以抑制通胀压力和预期的警钟。目前，美联储的想法是，物价通胀是 “暂时的”，因此不必收紧货币政策。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> My fearless forecast, therefore, is: Inflation accelerates in 2022. Then, the public outcry over skyrocketing prices and the media reports highlighting how prices are decimating the average family’s purchasing power may cause the Biden administration to impose wage-price controls as President Nixon did in 1971 to take the sting out of inflation before his 1972 reelection campaign. Biden could use an executive order if Congress doesn’t give him statutory authority to impose price controls.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我无畏的预测是：2022 年通胀将加速。然后，公众对物价飞涨的强烈抗议和媒体报道强调物价如何削弱普通家庭的购买力，这可能会导致拜登政府像尼克松总统在 1971 年那样，在 1972 年竞选连任之前实施工资价格控制，以消除通货膨胀的困扰。如果国会不授予拜登实施价格控制的法定权力，拜登可以使用行政命令。</blockquote></p><p> Without price controls, I expect the Fed to raise the Fed Funds Rate, sometime in 2022 and to continue tightening in 2023. Thus, the next recession could begin in the fall of 2023, but no later than a year later. If the recession does not begin on schedule, it only means it has been postponed, not eliminated.</p><p><blockquote>如果没有价格控制，我预计美联储将在 2022 年的某个时候提高联邦基金利率，并在 2023 年继续收紧。因此，下一次衰退可能会在 2023 年秋季开始，但不会晚于一年。如果衰退没有如期开始，那只意味着它被推迟了，而不是被消除了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/next-recession-everything-bubble-burst-120100109.html\">Fortune</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/next-recession-everything-bubble-burst-120100109.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173696854","content_text":"In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner.\nA caveat is in order. As physicist Niels Bohr exclaimed, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Nevertheless, I will weigh in fearlessly with my 10 cents. The Fed’s inflationary policies have increased my two cents fivefold. Maybe the next cryptocurrency is on the horizon: My 10 Cents.\nIf a dog can have a crypto, why can’t a retired finance professor who warned the public that prices were about to accelerate due to the Fed’s inflationary policies in the spring of 1976 have one?\nConsumerprices rose5.7% in 1976, 6.5% in 1977, 7.6% in 1978, 11.3% in 1979 and 13.5% in 1980. Talk about being right on the money!\nAs inflation was galloping throughout his presidency, then President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker, a former banker and U.S. Treasury official, in 1979 to halt the multiyear price spiral. Volcker succeeded spectacularly. Consumer prices rose 10.3% in 1981, revealing how inflation momentum can continue for a while before the Fed’s tight money policies slay the inflation dragon. In 1982, prices rose 6.1%, 3.2% in 1983, and (miracle of miracles) only 1.9% in 1986, a year before Volcker stepped down as Fed chairman and was replaced by Alan Greenspan.\nTo accomplish what was considered at the time improbable due to high inflation expectations, the Volcker-led Fed raised the Fed Funds Rate–the rate banks borrow from each other for overnight loans–to 22% by December 1980. The cost of Volcker’s tight monetary policies necessary to halt the dollar’s slide was back-to-back recessions: a short downturn 1980 and then another one, 1981-1982. A case can be made that one long recession occurred that in effect lasted three years, from January 1980 to November 1982.\nPinpointing the moment\nOne of the best leading indicators of a cyclical downturn is the unemployment rate, which reached a cyclical bottom in May 1979 (5.6%) several months before the 1980 recession and didn’t peak until November 1982 (10.8%). The unemployment rate declined until the next upturn in layoffs began to accelerate in 1990.\nCurrently,the unemployment rate has been declining from the lockdown peak of early 2020 and has reached levels that historically have signaled the beginning of the end of a cyclical boom. Lockdowns have undoubtedly distorted the unemployment rate, but the historical pattern reveals that when the unemployment rate nears three percent and then turns up, a recession will soon begin.\n\nThe yield curve is one of the most widely followed financial indicators that portend a recession usually within a year. The yield curve reveals the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates. Typically, the yield curve is upward sloping, like today, when short-term rates are below long-term rates, reflecting a substantial amount of liquidity in the financial markets.\nWhen the Fed becomes concerned that the economy is “overheating,” it tends to raise the Fed Funds Rate to cool down price inflation, which occurred prior to the bursting of both the 2000 dotcom bubble and the 2007 housing bubble. The yield curve was virtually inverted at the end of 2019, suggesting that a recession would begin sometime in 2020. However, the lockdowns in response to COVID-19 caused an economic downturn in early 2020, not a typical cyclical recession.\nNow the economy is in another cyclical upswing because the Federal Reservein jected $4 trillion of liquidity to “simulate” the economy. At the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was decided to reduce monthly purchases from $120 billion to $105 billion. In other words, the Fed will continue to have its foot on the monetary pedal even as the inflation rate recently topped 6% year over year. In the past accelerating inflation would set off alarm bells at the Fed to raise interest rates to dampen inflationary pressure and expectations. Currently, the thinking at the Fed is that price inflation is “transitory” and therefore monetary policy does not have to be tightened.\nMy fearless forecast, therefore, is: Inflation accelerates in 2022. Then, the public outcry over skyrocketing prices and the media reports highlighting how prices are decimating the average family’s purchasing power may cause the Biden administration to impose wage-price controls as President Nixon did in 1971 to take the sting out of inflation before his 1972 reelection campaign. Biden could use an executive order if Congress doesn’t give him statutory authority to impose price controls.\nWithout price controls, I expect the Fed to raise the Fed Funds Rate, sometime in 2022 and to continue tightening in 2023. Thus, the next recession could begin in the fall of 2023, but no later than a year later. If the recession does not begin on schedule, it only means it has been postponed, not eliminated.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605383273,"gmtCreate":1639113719994,"gmtModify":1639113950711,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice info&nbsp;Don’t like my comment&nbsp;","listText":"Nice info&nbsp;Don’t like my comment&nbsp;","text":"Nice info Don’t like my comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605383273","repostId":"1113743057","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1650,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602783755,"gmtCreate":1639067440884,"gmtModify":1639067440991,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh no&nbsp;","listText":"Oh no&nbsp;","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602783755","repostId":"1196130142","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1196130142","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639062546,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1196130142?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 23:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价早盘交易中下跌超过 6%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196130142","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.","content":"<p>Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab Holdings 股价在早盘交易中下跌超过 6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1c84529a60ffcf4e7ba53b126b147d9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价早盘交易中下跌超过 6%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价早盘交易中下跌超过 6%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-09 23:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab Holdings 股价在早盘交易中下跌超过 6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1c84529a60ffcf4e7ba53b126b147d9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196130142","content_text":"Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602798091,"gmtCreate":1639063565908,"gmtModify":1639064698120,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093058604760480","idStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Don’t like my comment&nbsp;","listText":"Don’t like my comment&nbsp;","text":"Don’t like my comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602798091","repostId":"1196130142","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196130142","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639062546,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1196130142?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 23:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价早盘交易中下跌超过 6%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196130142","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.","content":"<p>Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab Holdings 股价在早盘交易中下跌超过 6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1c84529a60ffcf4e7ba53b126b147d9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价早盘交易中下跌超过 6%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价早盘交易中下跌超过 6%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价早盘交易中下跌超过 6%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-09 23:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab Holdings 股价在早盘交易中下跌超过 6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1c84529a60ffcf4e7ba53b126b147d9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196130142","content_text":"Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":694008359,"gmtCreate":1641647099371,"gmtModify":1641647099552,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093058604760480","authorIdStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"do not like my comment","listText":"do not like my comment","text":"do not like my comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694008359","repostId":"1134509683","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134509683","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641612579,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1134509683?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-08 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022 年将赚取数十亿美元的 3 只新冠股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134509683","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These three COVID-19 stocks could rake in a tremendous amount of cash this year.","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>It&#39;s a new year and COVID-19 is still with us. Last year we saw Emergency Use Authorizations for multiple COVID vaccines and treatments across the healthcare space. Pharmaceutical companies are set to make billions of dollars in 2022. Here are three stocks that should thrive.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>新的一年了，新冠肺炎仍然和我们在一起。去年，我们看到了医疗保健领域多种COVID疫苗和治疗的紧急使用授权。制药公司将在 2022 年赚取数十亿美元。以下是三只应该蓬勃发展的股票。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><b>Pfizer</b>(NYSE:PFE), the $310 billion mega cap, is expected to bring in not $1 billion or $10 billion but over $50 billion in sales for its COVID vaccine and antiviral pill. Scrappy <b>Novavax</b>(NASDAQ:NVAX)is finally introducing its COVID vaccine around the world. How many billions will it receive? And we have a dark horse candidate in <b>Vir Biotechnology</b>(NASDAQ:VIR). It has a drug that could easily be a $1 billion blockbuster for the tiny biotech.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PFE）是一家价值 3100 亿美元的巨型公司，预计其新冠疫苗和抗病毒药丸的销售额将不是 10 亿美元或 100 亿美元，而是超过 500 亿美元。好斗<b>诺瓦瓦克斯</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：NVAX）终于在世界各地推出了新冠疫苗。它将获得多少亿？我们有一个黑马候选人<b>生物技术</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：VIR）它有一种药物很容易成为小型生物技术公司10亿美元的重磅炸弹。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/488a166201699c1f3d6536aa3e640ecf\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>A safe harbor in stormy weather</b></p><p><blockquote><b>暴风雨天气中的安全港湾</b></blockquote></p><p><b>George Budwell(Pfizer):</b>Pfizer is the undisputed champion of COVID-19 pharmaceutical products. In 2022 alone, Wall Street expects the pharma giant to rake in $55 billion in sales between its novel coronavirus vaccine, Comirnaty, and its oral antiviral pill, Paxlovid.</p><p><blockquote><b>乔治·布德威尔（辉瑞）：</b>辉瑞是新冠肺炎药品无可争议的冠军。仅在 2022 年，华尔街预计这家制药巨头的新型冠状病毒疫苗 Comirnaty 和口服抗病毒药 Paxlovid 的销售额将达到 550 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>What&#39;s more, analysts are starting to warm up to the idea that Paxlovid might be a sustainable revenue generator for the company over the course of the current decade. When the drug was first allowed on the market by the Food and Drug Administration under the Emergency Use Authorization pathway last month, Wall Street thought Paxlovid would likely peak from a commercial standpoint within a year or so, and then experience a dramatic drop in sales as the pandemic faded from view.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，分析师开始接受 Paxlovid 可能成为该公司当前十年可持续收入来源的想法。上个月，当美国食品药品监督管理局根据紧急使用授权途径首次允许该药物投放市场时，华尔街认为 Paxlovid 可能会在一年左右的时间内达到商业顶峰，然后随着疫情淡出视野，销售额将大幅下降。</blockquote></p><p>But less than three weeks out from the drug&#39;s initial approval, it is becoming painfully obvious that Paxlovid will probably be required as a fail-safe against the worst outcomes from COVID-19 for several more years. The highly infectious omicron variant, after all, will certainly not be the last major iteration of the virus.</p><p><blockquote>但距离该药物首次批准还有不到三周的时间，很明显，Paxlovid 可能会在未来几年内被用作防止 COVID-19 最糟糕后果的故障安全药物。毕竟，高度传染性的奥密克戎变种肯定不会是该病毒的最后一次重大迭代。</blockquote></p><p>What this all means is that Pfizer ought to be one of the few large-cap drugmakers with a sizable, long-term COVID-19 revenue source. Pfizer, in turn, should have ample free cash flows to feed its generous shareholder reward program, as well as its ambitious business development plans, for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>这一切意味着辉瑞应该是少数几家拥有可观的长期 COVID-19 收入来源的大型制药商之一。反过来，辉瑞应该有充足的自由现金流来满足其慷慨的股东奖励计划以及在可预见的未来雄心勃勃的业务发展计划。</blockquote></p><p>So, if you&#39;re looking for a stock that can weather the dual headwinds of sky-high inflation and rising interest rates, Pfizer might be worth checking out.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果您正在寻找一只能够经受住高通胀和利率上升双重阻力的股票，辉瑞可能值得一看。</blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue forecasts for Novavax:  $2 billion to $8 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Novavax 收入预测：20 亿至 80 亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Taylor Carmichael(Novavax):</b>Novavax is on the verge of greatness this year. The company&#39;s stock price is down to $125 a share. That&#39;s where it started in 2021, so last year was pretty much a washout for the stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰勒·卡迈克尔（诺瓦瓦克斯）：</b>Novavax 今年正处于伟大的边缘。该公司股价跌至每股 125 美元。这就是它在 2021 年开始的地方，所以去年对于该股来说几乎是一次洗牌。</blockquote></p><p>Back in February the share price zoomed over $300 when Novavax reported positive phase 3 data for its COVID vaccine. But then the small biotech ran into manufacturing issues. While its vaccine is said by many to be the best in class, scaling up the contract manufacturing for an estimated 2 billion doses of vaccine is easier said than done. And those realities have caused the stock to drop about 60% off its highs.</p><p><blockquote>早在 2 月份，当 Novavax 报告其 COVID 疫苗的 3 期数据积极时，股价就飙升至 300 美元以上。但后来这家小型生物技术公司遇到了制造问题。虽然许多人称其疫苗是同类产品中最好的，但扩大约 20 亿剂疫苗的合同生产规模说起来容易做起来难。这些现实导致该股从高点下跌了约 60%。</blockquote></p><p>Nonetheless, Novavax has already hit the $1 billion revenue mark, so its vaccine was a blockbuster even before it was approved, because of all the preorders. Now that authorizations are pouring in from around the globe, it&#39;s highly likely that Novavax will ship a massive number of vaccine doses in 2022. The company&#39;s already achieved a manufacturing capacity of 100 million doses a month, or 1.2 billion doses in a year. On the third-quarter earnings call, management predicted it would reach a manufacturing capacity of 150 million doses every month (or 1.8 billion doses a year) by the end of the fourth quarter. And the company expects to continue to scale and forecasts that it will distribute 2 billion doses in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Novavax 的收入已经达到了 10 亿美元大关，因此由于所有的预购，其疫苗甚至在获得批准之前就已经大受欢迎。现在，来自全球各地的授权纷至沓来，Novavax很有可能在2022年运送大量疫苗剂量。该公司已经实现了每月1亿剂的生产能力，即一年12亿剂。在第三季度财报看涨期权上，管理层预测到第四季度末将达到每月1.5亿剂（或每年18亿剂）的产能。该公司预计将继续扩大规模，并预测 2022 年将分发 20 亿剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>Two billion doses of vaccine, at a price point of $16 (Operation Warp Speed paid $1.6 billion to pre-order 100 million doses) gives us a back-of-the-envelope calculation of $32 billion in revenue. Of course, Novavax will be distributing a lot of vaccines to the developing world at a reduced rate. While the company has been quiet about its prices, Denmark said back in August that it paid almost $21 a dose under the European Union (EU) agreement. The EU has ordered 200 million doses, so that&#39;s over $4 billion in sales, just in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>20亿剂疫苗，价格为16美元（曲速行动支付了16亿美元预购1亿剂），我们得到了320亿美元的收入。当然，Novavax将以较低的速度向发展中国家分发大量疫苗。虽然该公司对其价格保持沉默，但丹麦早在 8 月份就表示，根据欧盟 (EU) 协议，它每剂支付了近 21 美元。欧盟已经订购了2亿剂，仅在欧洲的销售额就超过了40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Analysts are being extremely conservative, with a forecast ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion for Novavax in 2022. (The company&#39;s market cap sits at $9 billion.) While there may be hiccups along the way, Novavax is sure to make billions of dollars off its COVID-19 vaccine in 2022. And there could be significant upside to the stock if the company does indeed deliver 2 billion doses as it says it will.</p><p><blockquote>分析师极其保守，预测 Novavax 2022 年的市值在 20 亿至 80 亿美元之间。（该公司的市值为 90 亿美元。）虽然一路上可能会出现一些小问题，但 Novavax 肯定会在 2022 年从其 COVID-19 疫苗中赚取数十亿美元。如果该公司确实像所说的那样交付了 20 亿剂疫苗，那么该股可能会有显着的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p><b>The antibody market all to itself</b></p><p><blockquote><b>抗体市场本身</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Patrick Bafuma(Vir Biotechnology):</b>The omicron variant is currently running rampant, and this time, we are short a few treatments. Previously favored monoclonal antibody treatments from <b>Eli Lilly</b> (bamlanivimab plus etesevimab) as well as the REGEN-COV cocktail from <b>Roche</b>and<b>Regeneron</b> are believed to have marked diminished activity against the current variant. This leaves a single infusiont hought to be active against omicron--<b>GlaxoSmithKline</b> and Vir Biotechnology&#39;s sotrovimab. This monoclonal antibody previously demonstrated a reduced risk of hospitalization and death by 79% in adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and at high risk of progression to severe disease. And it&#39;s the only one left right now to fight the omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>Patrick Bafuma（来自生物技术）：</b>奥密克戎变种目前正在猖獗，这一次，我们缺少一些治疗方法。以前青睐的单克隆抗体治疗来自<b>礼来</b>（bamlanivimab加etesevimab）以及来自<b>罗氏</b>和<b>再生元</b>被认为对当前变体的活性明显减弱。这样就只剩下一个能有效对抗奥密克戎--<b>葛兰素史克</b>以及 Vir Biotechnology 的 sotrovimab。这种单克隆抗体此前已证明，患有轻度至中度 COVID-19 且有发展为严重疾病高风险的成年人的住院和死亡风险降低了 79%。这是现在唯一一个对抗奥密克戎变种的人。</blockquote></p><p>Being the sole monoclonal antibody on the block will have its privileges. Through the first nine months of 2021, REGEN-COV brought in $3.5 billion in net product sales, while Eli Lilly&#39;s antibody combination brought in $1.17 billion. The U.S. government has already contracted for approximately $1 billion worth of sotrovimab. With hospitals overflowing with patients, anything that can help alleviate some of the stress on the system is likely going to be highly sought after.</p><p><blockquote>作为该区块上唯一的单克隆抗体将有其特权。2021 年前 9 个月，REGEN-COV 带来了 35 亿美元的产品净销售额，而礼来公司的抗体组合带来了 11.7 亿美元的收入。美国政府已经签订了价值约10亿美元的sotrovimab合同。随着医院里挤满了病人，任何有助于减轻系统压力的东西都可能会受到高度追捧。</blockquote></p><p>And while Pfizer&#39;s Paxlovid will be hugely beneficial to ease the COVID-19 burden on the healthcare system, the oral medication has significant and complex drug-drug interaction potential. In fact, its interaction list reads like a who&#39;s who of commonly prescribed medications. This includes popular blood thinning agents such as Plavix and Xarelto, common analgesics like Tramadol and oxycodone, anxiolytics like Klonopin and Xanax, as well as cholesterol-fighting statins. With the National Institutes of Health issuing a statement voicing its concern over Paxlovid&#39;s possible drug interactions, this leaves plenty of room for sotrovimab to continue to be widely prescribed. With Vir getting 72.5% of sotrovimab sales per its agreement with GSK, the $4.4 billion biotech looks like a bargain right now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然辉瑞的 Paxlovid 将极大地有助于减轻 COVID-19 对医疗保健系统的负担，但口服药物具有显着且复杂的药物相互作用潜力。事实上，它的相互作用列表读起来就像常用处方药物的名人录。这包括流行的血液稀释剂，如波立维和Xarelto，常见的镇痛药，如曲马多和羟考酮，抗焦虑药，如Klonopin和Xanax，以及抗胆固醇他汀类药物。随着美国国立卫生研究院发表声明，对Paxlovid可能的药物相互作用表示担忧，这为sotrovimab继续广泛使用留下了足够的空间。根据与葛兰素史克的协议，Vir 获得了 sotrovimab 72.5% 的销售额，这家价值 44 亿美元的生物技术公司目前看起来很划算。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022 年将赚取数十亿美元的 3 只新冠股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022 年将赚取数十亿美元的 3 只新冠股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-08 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>It&#39;s a new year and COVID-19 is still with us. Last year we saw Emergency Use Authorizations for multiple COVID vaccines and treatments across the healthcare space. Pharmaceutical companies are set to make billions of dollars in 2022. Here are three stocks that should thrive.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>新的一年了，新冠肺炎仍然和我们在一起。去年，我们看到了医疗保健领域多种COVID疫苗和治疗的紧急使用授权。制药公司将在 2022 年赚取数十亿美元。以下是三只应该蓬勃发展的股票。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><b>Pfizer</b>(NYSE:PFE), the $310 billion mega cap, is expected to bring in not $1 billion or $10 billion but over $50 billion in sales for its COVID vaccine and antiviral pill. Scrappy <b>Novavax</b>(NASDAQ:NVAX)is finally introducing its COVID vaccine around the world. How many billions will it receive? And we have a dark horse candidate in <b>Vir Biotechnology</b>(NASDAQ:VIR). It has a drug that could easily be a $1 billion blockbuster for the tiny biotech.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PFE）是一家价值 3100 亿美元的巨型公司，预计其新冠疫苗和抗病毒药丸的销售额将不是 10 亿美元或 100 亿美元，而是超过 500 亿美元。好斗<b>诺瓦瓦克斯</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：NVAX）终于在世界各地推出了新冠疫苗。它将获得多少亿？我们有一个黑马候选人<b>生物技术</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：VIR）它有一种药物很容易成为小型生物技术公司10亿美元的重磅炸弹。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/488a166201699c1f3d6536aa3e640ecf\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>A safe harbor in stormy weather</b></p><p><blockquote><b>暴风雨天气中的安全港湾</b></blockquote></p><p><b>George Budwell(Pfizer):</b>Pfizer is the undisputed champion of COVID-19 pharmaceutical products. In 2022 alone, Wall Street expects the pharma giant to rake in $55 billion in sales between its novel coronavirus vaccine, Comirnaty, and its oral antiviral pill, Paxlovid.</p><p><blockquote><b>乔治·布德威尔（辉瑞）：</b>辉瑞是新冠肺炎药品无可争议的冠军。仅在 2022 年，华尔街预计这家制药巨头的新型冠状病毒疫苗 Comirnaty 和口服抗病毒药 Paxlovid 的销售额将达到 550 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>What&#39;s more, analysts are starting to warm up to the idea that Paxlovid might be a sustainable revenue generator for the company over the course of the current decade. When the drug was first allowed on the market by the Food and Drug Administration under the Emergency Use Authorization pathway last month, Wall Street thought Paxlovid would likely peak from a commercial standpoint within a year or so, and then experience a dramatic drop in sales as the pandemic faded from view.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，分析师开始接受 Paxlovid 可能成为该公司当前十年可持续收入来源的想法。上个月，当美国食品药品监督管理局根据紧急使用授权途径首次允许该药物投放市场时，华尔街认为 Paxlovid 可能会在一年左右的时间内达到商业顶峰，然后随着疫情淡出视野，销售额将大幅下降。</blockquote></p><p>But less than three weeks out from the drug&#39;s initial approval, it is becoming painfully obvious that Paxlovid will probably be required as a fail-safe against the worst outcomes from COVID-19 for several more years. The highly infectious omicron variant, after all, will certainly not be the last major iteration of the virus.</p><p><blockquote>但距离该药物首次批准还有不到三周的时间，很明显，Paxlovid 可能会在未来几年内被用作防止 COVID-19 最糟糕后果的故障安全药物。毕竟，高度传染性的奥密克戎变种肯定不会是该病毒的最后一次重大迭代。</blockquote></p><p>What this all means is that Pfizer ought to be one of the few large-cap drugmakers with a sizable, long-term COVID-19 revenue source. Pfizer, in turn, should have ample free cash flows to feed its generous shareholder reward program, as well as its ambitious business development plans, for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>这一切意味着辉瑞应该是少数几家拥有可观的长期 COVID-19 收入来源的大型制药商之一。反过来，辉瑞应该有充足的自由现金流来满足其慷慨的股东奖励计划以及在可预见的未来雄心勃勃的业务发展计划。</blockquote></p><p>So, if you&#39;re looking for a stock that can weather the dual headwinds of sky-high inflation and rising interest rates, Pfizer might be worth checking out.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果您正在寻找一只能够经受住高通胀和利率上升双重阻力的股票，辉瑞可能值得一看。</blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue forecasts for Novavax:  $2 billion to $8 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Novavax 收入预测：20 亿至 80 亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Taylor Carmichael(Novavax):</b>Novavax is on the verge of greatness this year. The company&#39;s stock price is down to $125 a share. That&#39;s where it started in 2021, so last year was pretty much a washout for the stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰勒·卡迈克尔（诺瓦瓦克斯）：</b>Novavax 今年正处于伟大的边缘。该公司股价跌至每股 125 美元。这就是它在 2021 年开始的地方，所以去年对于该股来说几乎是一次洗牌。</blockquote></p><p>Back in February the share price zoomed over $300 when Novavax reported positive phase 3 data for its COVID vaccine. But then the small biotech ran into manufacturing issues. While its vaccine is said by many to be the best in class, scaling up the contract manufacturing for an estimated 2 billion doses of vaccine is easier said than done. And those realities have caused the stock to drop about 60% off its highs.</p><p><blockquote>早在 2 月份，当 Novavax 报告其 COVID 疫苗的 3 期数据积极时，股价就飙升至 300 美元以上。但后来这家小型生物技术公司遇到了制造问题。虽然许多人称其疫苗是同类产品中最好的，但扩大约 20 亿剂疫苗的合同生产规模说起来容易做起来难。这些现实导致该股从高点下跌了约 60%。</blockquote></p><p>Nonetheless, Novavax has already hit the $1 billion revenue mark, so its vaccine was a blockbuster even before it was approved, because of all the preorders. Now that authorizations are pouring in from around the globe, it&#39;s highly likely that Novavax will ship a massive number of vaccine doses in 2022. The company&#39;s already achieved a manufacturing capacity of 100 million doses a month, or 1.2 billion doses in a year. On the third-quarter earnings call, management predicted it would reach a manufacturing capacity of 150 million doses every month (or 1.8 billion doses a year) by the end of the fourth quarter. And the company expects to continue to scale and forecasts that it will distribute 2 billion doses in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Novavax 的收入已经达到了 10 亿美元大关，因此由于所有的预购，其疫苗甚至在获得批准之前就已经大受欢迎。现在，来自全球各地的授权纷至沓来，Novavax很有可能在2022年运送大量疫苗剂量。该公司已经实现了每月1亿剂的生产能力，即一年12亿剂。在第三季度财报看涨期权上，管理层预测到第四季度末将达到每月1.5亿剂（或每年18亿剂）的产能。该公司预计将继续扩大规模，并预测 2022 年将分发 20 亿剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>Two billion doses of vaccine, at a price point of $16 (Operation Warp Speed paid $1.6 billion to pre-order 100 million doses) gives us a back-of-the-envelope calculation of $32 billion in revenue. Of course, Novavax will be distributing a lot of vaccines to the developing world at a reduced rate. While the company has been quiet about its prices, Denmark said back in August that it paid almost $21 a dose under the European Union (EU) agreement. The EU has ordered 200 million doses, so that&#39;s over $4 billion in sales, just in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>20亿剂疫苗，价格为16美元（曲速行动支付了16亿美元预购1亿剂），我们得到了320亿美元的收入。当然，Novavax将以较低的速度向发展中国家分发大量疫苗。虽然该公司对其价格保持沉默，但丹麦早在 8 月份就表示，根据欧盟 (EU) 协议，它每剂支付了近 21 美元。欧盟已经订购了2亿剂，仅在欧洲的销售额就超过了40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Analysts are being extremely conservative, with a forecast ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion for Novavax in 2022. (The company&#39;s market cap sits at $9 billion.) While there may be hiccups along the way, Novavax is sure to make billions of dollars off its COVID-19 vaccine in 2022. And there could be significant upside to the stock if the company does indeed deliver 2 billion doses as it says it will.</p><p><blockquote>分析师极其保守，预测 Novavax 2022 年的市值在 20 亿至 80 亿美元之间。（该公司的市值为 90 亿美元。）虽然一路上可能会出现一些小问题，但 Novavax 肯定会在 2022 年从其 COVID-19 疫苗中赚取数十亿美元。如果该公司确实像所说的那样交付了 20 亿剂疫苗，那么该股可能会有显着的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p><b>The antibody market all to itself</b></p><p><blockquote><b>抗体市场本身</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Patrick Bafuma(Vir Biotechnology):</b>The omicron variant is currently running rampant, and this time, we are short a few treatments. Previously favored monoclonal antibody treatments from <b>Eli Lilly</b> (bamlanivimab plus etesevimab) as well as the REGEN-COV cocktail from <b>Roche</b>and<b>Regeneron</b> are believed to have marked diminished activity against the current variant. This leaves a single infusiont hought to be active against omicron--<b>GlaxoSmithKline</b> and Vir Biotechnology&#39;s sotrovimab. This monoclonal antibody previously demonstrated a reduced risk of hospitalization and death by 79% in adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and at high risk of progression to severe disease. And it&#39;s the only one left right now to fight the omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>Patrick Bafuma（来自生物技术）：</b>奥密克戎变种目前正在猖獗，这一次，我们缺少一些治疗方法。以前青睐的单克隆抗体治疗来自<b>礼来</b>（bamlanivimab加etesevimab）以及来自<b>罗氏</b>和<b>再生元</b>被认为对当前变体的活性明显减弱。这样就只剩下一个能有效对抗奥密克戎--<b>葛兰素史克</b>以及 Vir Biotechnology 的 sotrovimab。这种单克隆抗体此前已证明，患有轻度至中度 COVID-19 且有发展为严重疾病高风险的成年人的住院和死亡风险降低了 79%。这是现在唯一一个对抗奥密克戎变种的人。</blockquote></p><p>Being the sole monoclonal antibody on the block will have its privileges. Through the first nine months of 2021, REGEN-COV brought in $3.5 billion in net product sales, while Eli Lilly&#39;s antibody combination brought in $1.17 billion. The U.S. government has already contracted for approximately $1 billion worth of sotrovimab. With hospitals overflowing with patients, anything that can help alleviate some of the stress on the system is likely going to be highly sought after.</p><p><blockquote>作为该区块上唯一的单克隆抗体将有其特权。2021 年前 9 个月，REGEN-COV 带来了 35 亿美元的产品净销售额，而礼来公司的抗体组合带来了 11.7 亿美元的收入。美国政府已经签订了价值约10亿美元的sotrovimab合同。随着医院里挤满了病人，任何有助于减轻系统压力的东西都可能会受到高度追捧。</blockquote></p><p>And while Pfizer&#39;s Paxlovid will be hugely beneficial to ease the COVID-19 burden on the healthcare system, the oral medication has significant and complex drug-drug interaction potential. In fact, its interaction list reads like a who&#39;s who of commonly prescribed medications. This includes popular blood thinning agents such as Plavix and Xarelto, common analgesics like Tramadol and oxycodone, anxiolytics like Klonopin and Xanax, as well as cholesterol-fighting statins. With the National Institutes of Health issuing a statement voicing its concern over Paxlovid&#39;s possible drug interactions, this leaves plenty of room for sotrovimab to continue to be widely prescribed. With Vir getting 72.5% of sotrovimab sales per its agreement with GSK, the $4.4 billion biotech looks like a bargain right now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然辉瑞的 Paxlovid 将极大地有助于减轻 COVID-19 对医疗保健系统的负担，但口服药物具有显着且复杂的药物相互作用潜力。事实上，它的相互作用列表读起来就像常用处方药物的名人录。这包括流行的血液稀释剂，如波立维和Xarelto，常见的镇痛药，如曲马多和羟考酮，抗焦虑药，如Klonopin和Xanax，以及抗胆固醇他汀类药物。随着美国国立卫生研究院发表声明，对Paxlovid可能的药物相互作用表示担忧，这为sotrovimab继续广泛使用留下了足够的空间。根据与葛兰素史克的协议，Vir 获得了 sotrovimab 72.5% 的销售额，这家价值 44 亿美元的生物技术公司目前看起来很划算。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/07/3-covid-stocks-that-will-make-billions-in-2022/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","PFE":"辉瑞","VIR":"Vir Biotechnology, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/07/3-covid-stocks-that-will-make-billions-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134509683","content_text":"It's a new year and COVID-19 is still with us. Last year we saw Emergency Use Authorizations for multiple COVID vaccines and treatments across the healthcare space. Pharmaceutical companies are set to make billions of dollars in 2022. Here are three stocks that should thrive.Pfizer(NYSE:PFE), the $310 billion mega cap, is expected to bring in not $1 billion or $10 billion but over $50 billion in sales for its COVID vaccine and antiviral pill. Scrappy Novavax(NASDAQ:NVAX)is finally introducing its COVID vaccine around the world. How many billions will it receive? And we have a dark horse candidate in Vir Biotechnology(NASDAQ:VIR). It has a drug that could easily be a $1 billion blockbuster for the tiny biotech.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.A safe harbor in stormy weatherGeorge Budwell(Pfizer):Pfizer is the undisputed champion of COVID-19 pharmaceutical products. In 2022 alone, Wall Street expects the pharma giant to rake in $55 billion in sales between its novel coronavirus vaccine, Comirnaty, and its oral antiviral pill, Paxlovid.What's more, analysts are starting to warm up to the idea that Paxlovid might be a sustainable revenue generator for the company over the course of the current decade. When the drug was first allowed on the market by the Food and Drug Administration under the Emergency Use Authorization pathway last month, Wall Street thought Paxlovid would likely peak from a commercial standpoint within a year or so, and then experience a dramatic drop in sales as the pandemic faded from view.But less than three weeks out from the drug's initial approval, it is becoming painfully obvious that Paxlovid will probably be required as a fail-safe against the worst outcomes from COVID-19 for several more years. The highly infectious omicron variant, after all, will certainly not be the last major iteration of the virus.What this all means is that Pfizer ought to be one of the few large-cap drugmakers with a sizable, long-term COVID-19 revenue source. Pfizer, in turn, should have ample free cash flows to feed its generous shareholder reward program, as well as its ambitious business development plans, for the foreseeable future.So, if you're looking for a stock that can weather the dual headwinds of sky-high inflation and rising interest rates, Pfizer might be worth checking out.Revenue forecasts for Novavax:  $2 billion to $8 billionTaylor Carmichael(Novavax):Novavax is on the verge of greatness this year. The company's stock price is down to $125 a share. That's where it started in 2021, so last year was pretty much a washout for the stock.Back in February the share price zoomed over $300 when Novavax reported positive phase 3 data for its COVID vaccine. But then the small biotech ran into manufacturing issues. While its vaccine is said by many to be the best in class, scaling up the contract manufacturing for an estimated 2 billion doses of vaccine is easier said than done. And those realities have caused the stock to drop about 60% off its highs.Nonetheless, Novavax has already hit the $1 billion revenue mark, so its vaccine was a blockbuster even before it was approved, because of all the preorders. Now that authorizations are pouring in from around the globe, it's highly likely that Novavax will ship a massive number of vaccine doses in 2022. The company's already achieved a manufacturing capacity of 100 million doses a month, or 1.2 billion doses in a year. On the third-quarter earnings call, management predicted it would reach a manufacturing capacity of 150 million doses every month (or 1.8 billion doses a year) by the end of the fourth quarter. And the company expects to continue to scale and forecasts that it will distribute 2 billion doses in 2022.Two billion doses of vaccine, at a price point of $16 (Operation Warp Speed paid $1.6 billion to pre-order 100 million doses) gives us a back-of-the-envelope calculation of $32 billion in revenue. Of course, Novavax will be distributing a lot of vaccines to the developing world at a reduced rate. While the company has been quiet about its prices, Denmark said back in August that it paid almost $21 a dose under the European Union (EU) agreement. The EU has ordered 200 million doses, so that's over $4 billion in sales, just in Europe.Analysts are being extremely conservative, with a forecast ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion for Novavax in 2022. (The company's market cap sits at $9 billion.) While there may be hiccups along the way, Novavax is sure to make billions of dollars off its COVID-19 vaccine in 2022. And there could be significant upside to the stock if the company does indeed deliver 2 billion doses as it says it will.The antibody market all to itselfPatrick Bafuma(Vir Biotechnology):The omicron variant is currently running rampant, and this time, we are short a few treatments. Previously favored monoclonal antibody treatments from Eli Lilly (bamlanivimab plus etesevimab) as well as the REGEN-COV cocktail from RocheandRegeneron are believed to have marked diminished activity against the current variant. This leaves a single infusiont hought to be active against omicron--GlaxoSmithKline and Vir Biotechnology's sotrovimab. This monoclonal antibody previously demonstrated a reduced risk of hospitalization and death by 79% in adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and at high risk of progression to severe disease. And it's the only one left right now to fight the omicron variant.Being the sole monoclonal antibody on the block will have its privileges. Through the first nine months of 2021, REGEN-COV brought in $3.5 billion in net product sales, while Eli Lilly's antibody combination brought in $1.17 billion. The U.S. government has already contracted for approximately $1 billion worth of sotrovimab. With hospitals overflowing with patients, anything that can help alleviate some of the stress on the system is likely going to be highly sought after.And while Pfizer's Paxlovid will be hugely beneficial to ease the COVID-19 burden on the healthcare system, the oral medication has significant and complex drug-drug interaction potential. In fact, its interaction list reads like a who's who of commonly prescribed medications. This includes popular blood thinning agents such as Plavix and Xarelto, common analgesics like Tramadol and oxycodone, anxiolytics like Klonopin and Xanax, as well as cholesterol-fighting statins. With the National Institutes of Health issuing a statement voicing its concern over Paxlovid's possible drug interactions, this leaves plenty of room for sotrovimab to continue to be widely prescribed. With Vir getting 72.5% of sotrovimab sales per its agreement with GSK, the $4.4 billion biotech looks like a bargain right now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"NVAX":0.9,"VIR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877651171,"gmtCreate":1637928530382,"gmtModify":1637928530382,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093058604760480","authorIdStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Love You all, thank you for liking my post&nbsp;","listText":"Love You all, thank you for liking my post&nbsp;","text":"Love You all, thank you for liking my post","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877651171","repostId":"1105278706","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105278706","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637928267,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105278706?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-26 20:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stay-at-Home Stocks, Covid Testing Firms Rise on Variant Worries<blockquote>因变异担忧，居家股票和新冠检测公司上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105278706","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Shares in companies whose businesses got a boost during past Covid-19 flareups rose o","content":"<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Shares in companies whose businesses got a boost during past Covid-19 flareups rose on Friday as a new strain of the virus rattled markets and spurred fears of fresh social restrictions...</p><p><blockquote><div>（彭博社）-由于一种新的病毒株扰乱了市场，并引发了对新的社会限制的担忧，在过去的新冠肺炎疫情中业务得到提振的公司的股价周五上涨……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stay-home-stocks-covid-testing-095408167.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stay-home-stocks-covid-testing-095408167.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stay-at-Home Stocks, Covid Testing Firms Rise on Variant Worries<blockquote>因变异担忧，居家股票和新冠检测公司上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStay-at-Home Stocks, Covid Testing Firms Rise on Variant Worries<blockquote>因变异担忧，居家股票和新冠检测公司上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-26 20:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Shares in companies whose businesses got a boost during past Covid-19 flareups rose on Friday as a new strain of the virus rattled markets and spurred fears of fresh social restrictions...</p><p><blockquote><div>（彭博社）-由于一种新的病毒株扰乱了市场，并引发了对新的社会限制的担忧，在过去的新冠肺炎疫情中业务得到提振的公司的股价周五上涨……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stay-home-stocks-covid-testing-095408167.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stay-home-stocks-covid-testing-095408167.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stay-home-stocks-covid-testing-095408167.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DLVEY":"Deliveroo PLC","ZM":"Zoom","TMVWF":"TeamViewer SE","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stay-home-stocks-covid-testing-095408167.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105278706","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Shares in companies whose businesses got a boost during past Covid-19 flareups rose on Friday as a new strain of the virus rattled markets and spurred fears of fresh social restrictions.\nZoom Video Communications Inc. and home-workout firm Peloton Interactive Inc. jumped 9% and 6.4%, respectively, in U.S. premarket trading, while broader S&P 500 index futures slumped as much as 2.2%.\nWork-from-home stocks and food delivery companies were among the gainers in Europe, too, with TeamViewer AG rising 4.7% and Delivery Hero SE, Just Eat Takeaway.com NV and Deliveroo Plc all advancing, even as the Stoxx Europe 600 benchmark fell as much as 3.7%.\nEurope’s virus testing companies also gained amid concerns about the new strain, first discovered in southern Africa. Eurofins Scientific SE, which offers PCR tests and rapid antigen tests, rose as much as 7.6%, with diagnostics peers DiaSorin SpA and BioMerieux both also advancing. In the U.S., vaccine makers rose premarket while Alpha Pro Tech Ltd., a maker of personal protective equipment, jumped 20%.\nToday’s broad market slump “is a logical reaction, people are worried and in the right places, like travel,” said Martin Moeller, co-head of Swiss & global portfolio management at Union Bancaire Privee in Geneva, while noting gains for stay-at-home stocks. “We will learn more over time if it is more contagious or more lethal.”\nSo-called lockdown winners and Covid-19 testing and treatment firms had already been gaining in recent weeks as European infection rates rose. They had underperformed over the summer as vaccination programs calmed concerns around the pandemic.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRUB":0.9,"PTON":0.9,"DLVEY":0.9,"ZM":0.9,"TMVWF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1735,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605601219,"gmtCreate":1639149065538,"gmtModify":1639149065638,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093058604760480","authorIdStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Woa&nbsp;","listText":"Woa&nbsp;","text":"Woa","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605601219","repostId":"1134450838","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134450838","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639148939,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1134450838?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 23:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价在早盘交易中又下跌 9%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134450838","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.","content":"<p>Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>继昨天下跌超过 9% 后，Grab 股价在早盘交易中又下跌 9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/963eb8dd73ce8daa0d852d63f0bcc276\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价在早盘交易中又下跌 9%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-10 23:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>继昨天下跌超过 9% 后，Grab 股价在早盘交易中又下跌 9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/963eb8dd73ce8daa0d852d63f0bcc276\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134450838","content_text":"Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4063,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602464446,"gmtCreate":1639059334347,"gmtModify":1639060261620,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093058604760480","authorIdStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>$180 soon&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>$180 soon&nbsp;","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$$180 soon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49452d9766508e0d150780e109222276","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602464446","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":921,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600435248,"gmtCreate":1638185002330,"gmtModify":1638185002412,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093058604760480","authorIdStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice, thank y u","listText":"Nice, thank y u","text":"Nice, thank y u","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600435248","repostId":"2187329491","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2187329491","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1638140520,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2187329491?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-29 07:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's what the Black Friday carnage may mean for the stock market's trade Monday, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，黑色星期五大屠杀可能对周一股市交易意味着什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2187329491","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The new, fast-spreading B.1.1.529 strain of coronavirus declared a variant of concern by the World Health Organization roiled global markets on Black Friday, raising concerns about how the economy and Wall Street may perform in the coming week, following a selloff that wiped out November gains for the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite and sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average down by the most in a day since Oct. 28, 2020.What isn't clear is whether the latest coronavirus development will do","content":"<p>OMG, omicron!</p><p><blockquote>天哪，奥密克戎!</blockquote></p><p> The new, fast-spreading B.1.1.529 strain of coronavirus declared a variant of concern by the World Health Organization roiled global markets on Black Friday, raising concerns about how the economy and Wall Street may perform in the coming week, following a selloff that wiped out November gains for the S&amp;P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite and sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average down by the most in a day since Oct. 28, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>世界卫生组织宣布的新型、快速传播的 B.1.1.529 冠状病毒株为令人担忧的变种，在黑色星期五扰乱了全球市场，引发了人们对未来一周经济和华尔街表现的担忧，此前抛售抹去了标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数 11 月份的涨幅，并导致道琼斯工业平均指数创下 2020 年 10 月 28 日以来的最大单日跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> WHO said that the omicron variant, which has been detected in Belgium, Israel, and Hong Kong and was first identified in southern parts of Africa, is more transmissible than the delta strain that is currently dominant world-wide, and other variants.</p><p><blockquote>世卫组织表示，已在比利时、以色列和中国香港发现并首次在非洲南部发现的奥密克戎变种比目前在全球占主导地位的德尔塔毒株和其他变种更具传染性。</blockquote></p><p> The emergence of the new strain led to the White House announcing restrictions, starting on Monday, on travel for non-U.S. citizens and residents from South Africa, as well as from Botswana, Zimbabwe, Namibia, Lesotho, Eswatini, Mozambique, and Malawi, joining the European Union, the U.K., Singapore and Japan, which also announced similar travel bans.</p><p><blockquote>新毒株的出现导致白宫宣布从周一开始限制来自南非以及博茨瓦纳、津巴布韦、纳米比亚、莱索托、斯威士兰、莫桑比克和马拉维的非美国公民和居民的旅行，加入了欧盟、英国、新加坡和日本的行列，这些国家也宣布了类似的旅行禁令。</blockquote></p><p> The market selloff during the abbreviated Black Friday session and the commensurate flight to assets that investors hope will perform better amid fresh mobility restrictions, helped to overshadow the usual focus on retail, on a day associated with heavy consumer spending ahead of the Christmas holiday. Friday's downturn also offered a crystal clear reminder that the path of the market and economy hinges on the course of COVID.</p><p><blockquote>黑色星期五缩短交易时段期间的市场抛售，以及投资者希望在新的流动性限制下表现更好的资产的相应撤离，帮助掩盖了人们通常对零售业的关注，而这一天与圣诞节假期前消费者支出大量相关。周五的低迷也清楚地提醒人们，市场和经济的道路取决于新冠疫情的进程。</blockquote></p><p> What isn't clear is whether the latest coronavirus development will do lasting harm to the complexion of the market. Omicron comes at a fragile time for optimistic investors, with bears pointing to lofty stock market valuations, inflation worries and global economic growth concerns as reasons to expect a drawdown in equities that have managed to avoid a decline from a peak of more than 5%.</p><p><blockquote>目前尚不清楚的是，最新的冠状病毒发展是否会对市场造成持久损害。对于乐观的投资者来说，奥密克戎正值脆弱时期，空头指出，股市估值过高、通胀担忧和全球经济增长担忧是预期成功避免从 5% 以上峰值下跌的股市将下跌的原因。</blockquote></p><p> In theory, Friday's post-Thanksgiving environment is traditionally lightly traded and therefore more susceptible to outsize price swings.</p><p><blockquote>理论上，周五感恩节后的环境传统上交易清淡，因此更容易受到价格大幅波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq saw its lowest volume of the year on Black Friday, with 3.479 billion shares trading hands, well below the year-to-date average of 5.099 billion. The total composite volume, including trading on Intercontinental Exchange&nbsp;-owned NYSE platforms, was 8.760 billion, compared with an year-to-date average of 11.196 billion, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克在黑色星期五创下今年最低成交量，成交量为 34.79 亿股，远低于年初至今 50.99 亿股的平均水平。根据道琼斯市场数据，包括洲际交易所旗下纽约证券交易所平台上的交易在内的总综合交易量为 87.60 亿美元，而年初至今的平均水平为 111.96 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Still, only time will tell whether the reaction to omicron is a textbook, knee-jerk selloff or something more sinister.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，只有时间才能证明对奥密克戎的反应是教科书式的、下意识的抛售还是更险恶的东西。</blockquote></p><p> MarketWatch's Bill Watts wrote, citing Friday research from Mark Arbeter of Arbeter Investments, that the next level of support to watch for the S&amp;P 500 after closing at 4,594,62 on Friday is at 4,570, the 50-day exponential average; 4,566, the 38.2% retracement of the rally; and 4,550, a previous high from early September.</p><p><blockquote>MarketWatch 的 Bill Watts 援引 Arbeter Investments 的 Mark Arbeter 周五的研究写道，标普500周五收于 4,594.62 点后，下一个值得关注的支撑位是 4,570 点，即 50 天指数平均线；4,566，反弹38.2%回撤；4,550，创9月初以来的新高。</blockquote></p><p> \"It is too early to know to what extent the new variant will affect economies and markets, and Friday's market moves have probably been exacerbated by reduced liquidity owing to the US Thanksgiving holiday, and the risk that further bad news emerges over the weekend,\" writes Jonas Goltermann senior markets economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday research note.</p><p><blockquote>“现在知道新变种将在多大程度上影响经济和市场还为时过早，周五的市场走势可能会因美国感恩节假期导致流动性减少以及周末出现更多坏消息的风险而加剧，”凯投宏观高级市场经济学家乔纳斯·戈尔特曼在周五的研究报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> J.C. Parets of the All Star Charts blog writes that things could get dicey if the S&amp;P 500 is driven below 4,500, with little support beneath that point.</p><p><blockquote>J.C。全明星图表博客的Parets写道，如果标普500跌破4500点，事情可能会变得危险，低于4500点几乎没有支撑。</blockquote></p><p> \"You know how parents always tell you nothing good ever happens after midnight? Well in the S&amp;P 500, nothing good happens below 4500,\" he writes in a Friday blog.</p><p><blockquote>“你知道父母总是告诉你午夜之后不会有什么好事发生吗？在标普500，4500 以下不会有什么好事发生，”他在周五的博客中写道。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccfdc3ebd8825870bc713469baf0d1b2\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"355\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>All Star Charts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>所有星图</span></p></blockquote></p><p> \"If we're below that then there is a probably a much bigger problem out there, and the heaviest cash positions in 18 months would be warranted,\" Parets writes.</p><p><blockquote>帕雷特写道：“如果我们低于这个水平，那么可能会出现更大的问题，18 个月来最严重的现金头寸将是合理的。”</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts say that there are legitimate reasons for unease, on the public health front.</p><p><blockquote>一些分析人士说，在公共卫生方面，有合理的理由感到不安。</blockquote></p><p> \"The fact that this variant seems to be spreading much faster than previous versions (including the Delta variant) bears very careful monitoring,\" wrote Michael Strobaek, global chief investment officer at Credit Suisse, in a research note. There are some questions about the effectiveness of existing COVID vaccines from Pfizer&nbsp;and Moderna&nbsp;due to the number of mutations that the omicron variant bears on the spike protein. The spike protein is the part of the virus targeted by COVID-19 vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷全球首席投资官 Michael Strobaek 在一份研究报告中写道：“这种变种的传播速度似乎比之前的版本（包括德尔塔变异毒株）快得多，这一事实需要非常仔细的监控。”由于奥密克戎变体在刺突蛋白上携带的突变数量，辉瑞和Moderna现有COVID疫苗的有效性存在一些问题。刺突蛋白是新冠肺炎疫苗针对的病毒部分。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst at Jefferies led by analyst Sean Darby note that risk-appetite was already edging lower before Black Friday and the selloff may have been a \"tipping point\" in favor of caution and risk moderation.</p><p><blockquote>由分析师肖恩·达比 (Sean Darby) 领导的杰富瑞 (Jefferies) 分析师指出，在黑色星期五之前，风险偏好已经在逐渐下降，抛售可能是有利于谨慎和风险适度的“临界点”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The news of a new or not so new COVID variant spreading in Southern Africaappears to have been the tipping point in altering risk appetite in the past 24 hours,\" the Jefferies analyst wrote.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞分析师写道：“一种新的或不那么新的新冠病毒变种在南部非洲传播的消息似乎是过去 24 小时内改变风险偏好的转折点。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"However, there has been a sea change in risk variables over the past month -- anincreasing number of 'tailed treasury auctions', declining equity market breadth andthe imperceptible change in US retail appetite that seems to have gone unnoticed.Positioning in global equities is one of the most aggressive in US history,\" according to Darby and his colleagues.</p><p><blockquote>“然而，过去一个月风险变量发生了巨大变化——‘尾随国债拍卖’数量增加、股票市场广度下降以及美国零售偏好似乎没有被注意到的不易察觉的变化。全球股市的定位是美国历史上最激进的股票之一，”达比和他的同事表示。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies research suggests that investors are now expecting that the Federal Reserve, under renominated Chairman Jerome Powell, will hasten the pace of reductions in the central bank's asset purchases, which will lead to tighter financial conditions that could prove unfavorable to risky assets. Goldman Sachs sees the Fed stepping up tapering to $30 billion a month from a reduction of $15 billion, and estimates three policy interest rate increases in 2022, up from two.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞的研究表明，投资者现在预计，在重新提名的主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的领导下，美联储将加快减少央行资产购买的步伐，这将导致金融状况收紧，这可能不利于风险资产。高盛预计美联储将从每月 150 亿美元缩减规模加大至 300 亿美元，并预计 2022 年将加息三次，高于两次。</blockquote></p><p> \"Ultimately the Sharpe ratio -- a measure of return per unit of risk -- isturning for global equities. We expect the gap between the performance of risky and safe haven assets to diminish,\" Jefferies wrote.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞写道：“最终，夏普比率（衡量每单位风险回报的指标）将适用于全球股市。我们预计风险资产和避险资产的表现之间的差距将会缩小。”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a2b6cd6fadb4dd80d04e06539404155\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"203\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>via Jefferies</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通过杰富瑞</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The situation could still prove a buying opportunity for bold investors, however.</p><p><blockquote>然而，对于大胆的投资者来说，这种情况仍然可能是一个买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> Strobaek wrote that \"risk assets such as equities are likely to give back some strength, but we would see this as an opportunity in selective and specific areas.\"</p><p><blockquote>斯特罗贝克写道，“股票等风险资产可能会恢复一些实力，但我们将此视为选择性和特定领域的机会。”</blockquote></p><p> \"At this point, we reiterate our assessment from the latest Investment Committee report, i.e. keeping equities at a small overweight in portfolios and government bonds at an underweight,\" the Credit Suisse CIO writes.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷首席信息官写道：“在这一点上，我们重申我们对最新投资委员会报告的评估，即将投资组合中的股票保持在较小的跑赢大盘，将政府债券保持在跑输大盘。”</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at Citigroup also said that \"we would buy into any dip,\" noting that its bearish checklist doesn't indicate significant red flags. \"Valuations look stretched, but other factors (credit spreads, fund flows) are not yet especially extended,\" Citi writes, with 7.5 out of 18 red flags triggered in its measures of global markets while the U.S. is seeing 9.5 of 18.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团分析师还表示，“我们会在任何下跌时买入”，并指出其看跌清单并未显示出重大危险信号。花旗写道：“估值看起来捉襟见肘，但其他因素（信用利差、资金流动）尚未特别扩大。”花旗在衡量全球市场时触发了 18 个危险信号中的 7.5 个，而美国则触发了 18 个危险信号中的 9.5 个。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4fba734970a8c977a13d6972402b65f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Citi Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>花旗研究</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Greg Bassuk, CEO at AXS Investments in Port Chester, NY says that the end-of-week selling may have resulted in a Black Friday sale for stock-market investors.</p><p><blockquote>纽约州切斯特港 AXS Investments 首席执行官格雷格·巴苏克 (Greg Bassuk) 表示，周末的抛售可能导致股市投资者遭遇黑色星期五抛售。</blockquote></p><p> \"Black Friday is typically the unofficial kick-off to the annual holiday shopping season. But we believe the real shopping is for stocks that are beaten-down from Covid infection spikes, inflation fears, and supply chain woes, but that still possess strong fundamentals that will drive their gains as the economy ultimately reopens,\" he wrote</p><p><blockquote>“黑色星期五通常是一年一度假日购物季的非官方开始。但我们认为，真正的购物是针对那些因新冠感染激增、通胀担忧和供应链困境而遭受重创，但仍然拥有强劲基本面的股票，随着经济最终重新开放，这将推动它们上涨，”他写道</blockquote></p><p> That said, some analysts note that the lockdowns playing out in Europe and the spread of COVID, even before the omicron declaration, were reasons to be cautious since they will impact the global growth outlook.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，一些分析师指出，即使在奥密克戎宣言发表之前，欧洲的封锁和新冠病毒的传播也是保持谨慎的理由，因为它们将影响全球增长前景。</blockquote></p><p> Either way, it seems that a degree of caveat emptor may be in force next week and could color trading for the remainder of the 2021.</p><p><blockquote>无论哪种方式，买家似乎都可能在下周生效，并可能影响 2021 年剩余时间的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Trading on Monday will help determine whether bullishness persists or if a bearish phase is crystallizing.</p><p><blockquote>周一的交易将有助于确定看涨情绪是否持续，或者看跌阶段是否正在形成。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a week focused on the state of employment, with the November U.S. jobs report due at the end of the week and Powell and others offering their final thoughts before a media blackout period starting ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee's final meeting of 2021 on Dec. 14-15.</p><p><blockquote>这将是关注就业状况的一周，11月美国就业报告将于本周末发布，鲍威尔和其他人将在12月14日至15日联邦公开市场委员会2021年最后一次会议之前的媒体封锁期开始之前提供他们的最终想法。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's what the Black Friday carnage may mean for the stock market's trade Monday, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，黑色星期五大屠杀可能对周一股市交易意味着什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's what the Black Friday carnage may mean for the stock market's trade Monday, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，黑色星期五大屠杀可能对周一股市交易意味着什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-29 07:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>OMG, omicron!</p><p><blockquote>天哪，奥密克戎!</blockquote></p><p> The new, fast-spreading B.1.1.529 strain of coronavirus declared a variant of concern by the World Health Organization roiled global markets on Black Friday, raising concerns about how the economy and Wall Street may perform in the coming week, following a selloff that wiped out November gains for the S&amp;P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite and sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average down by the most in a day since Oct. 28, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>世界卫生组织宣布的新型、快速传播的 B.1.1.529 冠状病毒株为令人担忧的变种，在黑色星期五扰乱了全球市场，引发了人们对未来一周经济和华尔街表现的担忧，此前抛售抹去了标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数 11 月份的涨幅，并导致道琼斯工业平均指数创下 2020 年 10 月 28 日以来的最大单日跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> WHO said that the omicron variant, which has been detected in Belgium, Israel, and Hong Kong and was first identified in southern parts of Africa, is more transmissible than the delta strain that is currently dominant world-wide, and other variants.</p><p><blockquote>世卫组织表示，已在比利时、以色列和中国香港发现并首次在非洲南部发现的奥密克戎变种比目前在全球占主导地位的德尔塔毒株和其他变种更具传染性。</blockquote></p><p> The emergence of the new strain led to the White House announcing restrictions, starting on Monday, on travel for non-U.S. citizens and residents from South Africa, as well as from Botswana, Zimbabwe, Namibia, Lesotho, Eswatini, Mozambique, and Malawi, joining the European Union, the U.K., Singapore and Japan, which also announced similar travel bans.</p><p><blockquote>新毒株的出现导致白宫宣布从周一开始限制来自南非以及博茨瓦纳、津巴布韦、纳米比亚、莱索托、斯威士兰、莫桑比克和马拉维的非美国公民和居民的旅行，加入了欧盟、英国、新加坡和日本的行列，这些国家也宣布了类似的旅行禁令。</blockquote></p><p> The market selloff during the abbreviated Black Friday session and the commensurate flight to assets that investors hope will perform better amid fresh mobility restrictions, helped to overshadow the usual focus on retail, on a day associated with heavy consumer spending ahead of the Christmas holiday. Friday's downturn also offered a crystal clear reminder that the path of the market and economy hinges on the course of COVID.</p><p><blockquote>黑色星期五缩短交易时段期间的市场抛售，以及投资者希望在新的流动性限制下表现更好的资产的相应撤离，帮助掩盖了人们通常对零售业的关注，而这一天与圣诞节假期前消费者支出大量相关。周五的低迷也清楚地提醒人们，市场和经济的道路取决于新冠疫情的进程。</blockquote></p><p> What isn't clear is whether the latest coronavirus development will do lasting harm to the complexion of the market. Omicron comes at a fragile time for optimistic investors, with bears pointing to lofty stock market valuations, inflation worries and global economic growth concerns as reasons to expect a drawdown in equities that have managed to avoid a decline from a peak of more than 5%.</p><p><blockquote>目前尚不清楚的是，最新的冠状病毒发展是否会对市场造成持久损害。对于乐观的投资者来说，奥密克戎正值脆弱时期，空头指出，股市估值过高、通胀担忧和全球经济增长担忧是预期成功避免从 5% 以上峰值下跌的股市将下跌的原因。</blockquote></p><p> In theory, Friday's post-Thanksgiving environment is traditionally lightly traded and therefore more susceptible to outsize price swings.</p><p><blockquote>理论上，周五感恩节后的环境传统上交易清淡，因此更容易受到价格大幅波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq saw its lowest volume of the year on Black Friday, with 3.479 billion shares trading hands, well below the year-to-date average of 5.099 billion. The total composite volume, including trading on Intercontinental Exchange&nbsp;-owned NYSE platforms, was 8.760 billion, compared with an year-to-date average of 11.196 billion, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克在黑色星期五创下今年最低成交量，成交量为 34.79 亿股，远低于年初至今 50.99 亿股的平均水平。根据道琼斯市场数据，包括洲际交易所旗下纽约证券交易所平台上的交易在内的总综合交易量为 87.60 亿美元，而年初至今的平均水平为 111.96 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Still, only time will tell whether the reaction to omicron is a textbook, knee-jerk selloff or something more sinister.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，只有时间才能证明对奥密克戎的反应是教科书式的、下意识的抛售还是更险恶的东西。</blockquote></p><p> MarketWatch's Bill Watts wrote, citing Friday research from Mark Arbeter of Arbeter Investments, that the next level of support to watch for the S&amp;P 500 after closing at 4,594,62 on Friday is at 4,570, the 50-day exponential average; 4,566, the 38.2% retracement of the rally; and 4,550, a previous high from early September.</p><p><blockquote>MarketWatch 的 Bill Watts 援引 Arbeter Investments 的 Mark Arbeter 周五的研究写道，标普500周五收于 4,594.62 点后，下一个值得关注的支撑位是 4,570 点，即 50 天指数平均线；4,566，反弹38.2%回撤；4,550，创9月初以来的新高。</blockquote></p><p> \"It is too early to know to what extent the new variant will affect economies and markets, and Friday's market moves have probably been exacerbated by reduced liquidity owing to the US Thanksgiving holiday, and the risk that further bad news emerges over the weekend,\" writes Jonas Goltermann senior markets economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday research note.</p><p><blockquote>“现在知道新变种将在多大程度上影响经济和市场还为时过早，周五的市场走势可能会因美国感恩节假期导致流动性减少以及周末出现更多坏消息的风险而加剧，”凯投宏观高级市场经济学家乔纳斯·戈尔特曼在周五的研究报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> J.C. Parets of the All Star Charts blog writes that things could get dicey if the S&amp;P 500 is driven below 4,500, with little support beneath that point.</p><p><blockquote>J.C。全明星图表博客的Parets写道，如果标普500跌破4500点，事情可能会变得危险，低于4500点几乎没有支撑。</blockquote></p><p> \"You know how parents always tell you nothing good ever happens after midnight? Well in the S&amp;P 500, nothing good happens below 4500,\" he writes in a Friday blog.</p><p><blockquote>“你知道父母总是告诉你午夜之后不会有什么好事发生吗？在标普500，4500 以下不会有什么好事发生，”他在周五的博客中写道。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccfdc3ebd8825870bc713469baf0d1b2\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"355\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>All Star Charts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>所有星图</span></p></blockquote></p><p> \"If we're below that then there is a probably a much bigger problem out there, and the heaviest cash positions in 18 months would be warranted,\" Parets writes.</p><p><blockquote>帕雷特写道：“如果我们低于这个水平，那么可能会出现更大的问题，18 个月来最严重的现金头寸将是合理的。”</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts say that there are legitimate reasons for unease, on the public health front.</p><p><blockquote>一些分析人士说，在公共卫生方面，有合理的理由感到不安。</blockquote></p><p> \"The fact that this variant seems to be spreading much faster than previous versions (including the Delta variant) bears very careful monitoring,\" wrote Michael Strobaek, global chief investment officer at Credit Suisse, in a research note. There are some questions about the effectiveness of existing COVID vaccines from Pfizer&nbsp;and Moderna&nbsp;due to the number of mutations that the omicron variant bears on the spike protein. The spike protein is the part of the virus targeted by COVID-19 vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷全球首席投资官 Michael Strobaek 在一份研究报告中写道：“这种变种的传播速度似乎比之前的版本（包括德尔塔变异毒株）快得多，这一事实需要非常仔细的监控。”由于奥密克戎变体在刺突蛋白上携带的突变数量，辉瑞和Moderna现有COVID疫苗的有效性存在一些问题。刺突蛋白是新冠肺炎疫苗针对的病毒部分。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst at Jefferies led by analyst Sean Darby note that risk-appetite was already edging lower before Black Friday and the selloff may have been a \"tipping point\" in favor of caution and risk moderation.</p><p><blockquote>由分析师肖恩·达比 (Sean Darby) 领导的杰富瑞 (Jefferies) 分析师指出，在黑色星期五之前，风险偏好已经在逐渐下降，抛售可能是有利于谨慎和风险适度的“临界点”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The news of a new or not so new COVID variant spreading in Southern Africaappears to have been the tipping point in altering risk appetite in the past 24 hours,\" the Jefferies analyst wrote.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞分析师写道：“一种新的或不那么新的新冠病毒变种在南部非洲传播的消息似乎是过去 24 小时内改变风险偏好的转折点。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"However, there has been a sea change in risk variables over the past month -- anincreasing number of 'tailed treasury auctions', declining equity market breadth andthe imperceptible change in US retail appetite that seems to have gone unnoticed.Positioning in global equities is one of the most aggressive in US history,\" according to Darby and his colleagues.</p><p><blockquote>“然而，过去一个月风险变量发生了巨大变化——‘尾随国债拍卖’数量增加、股票市场广度下降以及美国零售偏好似乎没有被注意到的不易察觉的变化。全球股市的定位是美国历史上最激进的股票之一，”达比和他的同事表示。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies research suggests that investors are now expecting that the Federal Reserve, under renominated Chairman Jerome Powell, will hasten the pace of reductions in the central bank's asset purchases, which will lead to tighter financial conditions that could prove unfavorable to risky assets. Goldman Sachs sees the Fed stepping up tapering to $30 billion a month from a reduction of $15 billion, and estimates three policy interest rate increases in 2022, up from two.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞的研究表明，投资者现在预计，在重新提名的主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的领导下，美联储将加快减少央行资产购买的步伐，这将导致金融状况收紧，这可能不利于风险资产。高盛预计美联储将从每月 150 亿美元缩减规模加大至 300 亿美元，并预计 2022 年将加息三次，高于两次。</blockquote></p><p> \"Ultimately the Sharpe ratio -- a measure of return per unit of risk -- isturning for global equities. We expect the gap between the performance of risky and safe haven assets to diminish,\" Jefferies wrote.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞写道：“最终，夏普比率（衡量每单位风险回报的指标）将适用于全球股市。我们预计风险资产和避险资产的表现之间的差距将会缩小。”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a2b6cd6fadb4dd80d04e06539404155\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"203\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>via Jefferies</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通过杰富瑞</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The situation could still prove a buying opportunity for bold investors, however.</p><p><blockquote>然而，对于大胆的投资者来说，这种情况仍然可能是一个买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> Strobaek wrote that \"risk assets such as equities are likely to give back some strength, but we would see this as an opportunity in selective and specific areas.\"</p><p><blockquote>斯特罗贝克写道，“股票等风险资产可能会恢复一些实力，但我们将此视为选择性和特定领域的机会。”</blockquote></p><p> \"At this point, we reiterate our assessment from the latest Investment Committee report, i.e. keeping equities at a small overweight in portfolios and government bonds at an underweight,\" the Credit Suisse CIO writes.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷首席信息官写道：“在这一点上，我们重申我们对最新投资委员会报告的评估，即将投资组合中的股票保持在较小的跑赢大盘，将政府债券保持在跑输大盘。”</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at Citigroup also said that \"we would buy into any dip,\" noting that its bearish checklist doesn't indicate significant red flags. \"Valuations look stretched, but other factors (credit spreads, fund flows) are not yet especially extended,\" Citi writes, with 7.5 out of 18 red flags triggered in its measures of global markets while the U.S. is seeing 9.5 of 18.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团分析师还表示，“我们会在任何下跌时买入”，并指出其看跌清单并未显示出重大危险信号。花旗写道：“估值看起来捉襟见肘，但其他因素（信用利差、资金流动）尚未特别扩大。”花旗在衡量全球市场时触发了 18 个危险信号中的 7.5 个，而美国则触发了 18 个危险信号中的 9.5 个。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4fba734970a8c977a13d6972402b65f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Citi Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>花旗研究</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Greg Bassuk, CEO at AXS Investments in Port Chester, NY says that the end-of-week selling may have resulted in a Black Friday sale for stock-market investors.</p><p><blockquote>纽约州切斯特港 AXS Investments 首席执行官格雷格·巴苏克 (Greg Bassuk) 表示，周末的抛售可能导致股市投资者遭遇黑色星期五抛售。</blockquote></p><p> \"Black Friday is typically the unofficial kick-off to the annual holiday shopping season. But we believe the real shopping is for stocks that are beaten-down from Covid infection spikes, inflation fears, and supply chain woes, but that still possess strong fundamentals that will drive their gains as the economy ultimately reopens,\" he wrote</p><p><blockquote>“黑色星期五通常是一年一度假日购物季的非官方开始。但我们认为，真正的购物是针对那些因新冠感染激增、通胀担忧和供应链困境而遭受重创，但仍然拥有强劲基本面的股票，随着经济最终重新开放，这将推动它们上涨，”他写道</blockquote></p><p> That said, some analysts note that the lockdowns playing out in Europe and the spread of COVID, even before the omicron declaration, were reasons to be cautious since they will impact the global growth outlook.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，一些分析师指出，即使在奥密克戎宣言发表之前，欧洲的封锁和新冠病毒的传播也是保持谨慎的理由，因为它们将影响全球增长前景。</blockquote></p><p> Either way, it seems that a degree of caveat emptor may be in force next week and could color trading for the remainder of the 2021.</p><p><blockquote>无论哪种方式，买家似乎都可能在下周生效，并可能影响 2021 年剩余时间的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Trading on Monday will help determine whether bullishness persists or if a bearish phase is crystallizing.</p><p><blockquote>周一的交易将有助于确定看涨情绪是否持续，或者看跌阶段是否正在形成。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a week focused on the state of employment, with the November U.S. jobs report due at the end of the week and Powell and others offering their final thoughts before a media blackout period starting ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee's final meeting of 2021 on Dec. 14-15.</p><p><blockquote>这将是关注就业状况的一周，11月美国就业报告将于本周末发布，鲍威尔和其他人将在12月14日至15日联邦公开市场委员会2021年最后一次会议之前的媒体封锁期开始之前提供他们的最终想法。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-what-the-black-friday-carnage-may-mean-for-the-stock-markets-trade-monday-analysts-say-11638021516?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4112":"金融交易所和数据","ICE":"洲际交易所","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4007":"制药","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4568":"美国抗疫概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","PFE":"辉瑞","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4139":"生物科技"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-what-the-black-friday-carnage-may-mean-for-the-stock-markets-trade-monday-analysts-say-11638021516?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2187329491","content_text":"OMG, omicron!\nThe new, fast-spreading B.1.1.529 strain of coronavirus declared a variant of concern by the World Health Organization roiled global markets on Black Friday, raising concerns about how the economy and Wall Street may perform in the coming week, following a selloff that wiped out November gains for the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite and sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average down by the most in a day since Oct. 28, 2020.\nWHO said that the omicron variant, which has been detected in Belgium, Israel, and Hong Kong and was first identified in southern parts of Africa, is more transmissible than the delta strain that is currently dominant world-wide, and other variants.\nThe emergence of the new strain led to the White House announcing restrictions, starting on Monday, on travel for non-U.S. citizens and residents from South Africa, as well as from Botswana, Zimbabwe, Namibia, Lesotho, Eswatini, Mozambique, and Malawi, joining the European Union, the U.K., Singapore and Japan, which also announced similar travel bans.\nThe market selloff during the abbreviated Black Friday session and the commensurate flight to assets that investors hope will perform better amid fresh mobility restrictions, helped to overshadow the usual focus on retail, on a day associated with heavy consumer spending ahead of the Christmas holiday. Friday's downturn also offered a crystal clear reminder that the path of the market and economy hinges on the course of COVID.\nWhat isn't clear is whether the latest coronavirus development will do lasting harm to the complexion of the market. Omicron comes at a fragile time for optimistic investors, with bears pointing to lofty stock market valuations, inflation worries and global economic growth concerns as reasons to expect a drawdown in equities that have managed to avoid a decline from a peak of more than 5%.\nIn theory, Friday's post-Thanksgiving environment is traditionally lightly traded and therefore more susceptible to outsize price swings.\nThe Nasdaq saw its lowest volume of the year on Black Friday, with 3.479 billion shares trading hands, well below the year-to-date average of 5.099 billion. The total composite volume, including trading on Intercontinental Exchange -owned NYSE platforms, was 8.760 billion, compared with an year-to-date average of 11.196 billion, according to Dow Jones Market Data.\nStill, only time will tell whether the reaction to omicron is a textbook, knee-jerk selloff or something more sinister.\nMarketWatch's Bill Watts wrote, citing Friday research from Mark Arbeter of Arbeter Investments, that the next level of support to watch for the S&P 500 after closing at 4,594,62 on Friday is at 4,570, the 50-day exponential average; 4,566, the 38.2% retracement of the rally; and 4,550, a previous high from early September.\n\"It is too early to know to what extent the new variant will affect economies and markets, and Friday's market moves have probably been exacerbated by reduced liquidity owing to the US Thanksgiving holiday, and the risk that further bad news emerges over the weekend,\" writes Jonas Goltermann senior markets economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday research note.\nJ.C. Parets of the All Star Charts blog writes that things could get dicey if the S&P 500 is driven below 4,500, with little support beneath that point.\n\"You know how parents always tell you nothing good ever happens after midnight? Well in the S&P 500, nothing good happens below 4500,\" he writes in a Friday blog.\nAll Star Charts\n\"If we're below that then there is a probably a much bigger problem out there, and the heaviest cash positions in 18 months would be warranted,\" Parets writes.\nSome analysts say that there are legitimate reasons for unease, on the public health front.\n\"The fact that this variant seems to be spreading much faster than previous versions (including the Delta variant) bears very careful monitoring,\" wrote Michael Strobaek, global chief investment officer at Credit Suisse, in a research note. There are some questions about the effectiveness of existing COVID vaccines from Pfizer and Moderna due to the number of mutations that the omicron variant bears on the spike protein. The spike protein is the part of the virus targeted by COVID-19 vaccines.\nAnalyst at Jefferies led by analyst Sean Darby note that risk-appetite was already edging lower before Black Friday and the selloff may have been a \"tipping point\" in favor of caution and risk moderation.\n\"The news of a new or not so new COVID variant spreading in Southern Africaappears to have been the tipping point in altering risk appetite in the past 24 hours,\" the Jefferies analyst wrote.\n\"However, there has been a sea change in risk variables over the past month -- anincreasing number of 'tailed treasury auctions', declining equity market breadth andthe imperceptible change in US retail appetite that seems to have gone unnoticed.Positioning in global equities is one of the most aggressive in US history,\" according to Darby and his colleagues.\nJefferies research suggests that investors are now expecting that the Federal Reserve, under renominated Chairman Jerome Powell, will hasten the pace of reductions in the central bank's asset purchases, which will lead to tighter financial conditions that could prove unfavorable to risky assets. Goldman Sachs sees the Fed stepping up tapering to $30 billion a month from a reduction of $15 billion, and estimates three policy interest rate increases in 2022, up from two.\n\"Ultimately the Sharpe ratio -- a measure of return per unit of risk -- isturning for global equities. We expect the gap between the performance of risky and safe haven assets to diminish,\" Jefferies wrote.\nvia Jefferies\nThe situation could still prove a buying opportunity for bold investors, however.\nStrobaek wrote that \"risk assets such as equities are likely to give back some strength, but we would see this as an opportunity in selective and specific areas.\"\n\"At this point, we reiterate our assessment from the latest Investment Committee report, i.e. keeping equities at a small overweight in portfolios and government bonds at an underweight,\" the Credit Suisse CIO writes.\nAnalysts at Citigroup also said that \"we would buy into any dip,\" noting that its bearish checklist doesn't indicate significant red flags. \"Valuations look stretched, but other factors (credit spreads, fund flows) are not yet especially extended,\" Citi writes, with 7.5 out of 18 red flags triggered in its measures of global markets while the U.S. is seeing 9.5 of 18.\nCiti Research\nGreg Bassuk, CEO at AXS Investments in Port Chester, NY says that the end-of-week selling may have resulted in a Black Friday sale for stock-market investors.\n\"Black Friday is typically the unofficial kick-off to the annual holiday shopping season. But we believe the real shopping is for stocks that are beaten-down from Covid infection spikes, inflation fears, and supply chain woes, but that still possess strong fundamentals that will drive their gains as the economy ultimately reopens,\" he wrote\nThat said, some analysts note that the lockdowns playing out in Europe and the spread of COVID, even before the omicron declaration, were reasons to be cautious since they will impact the global growth outlook.\nEither way, it seems that a degree of caveat emptor may be in force next week and could color trading for the remainder of the 2021.\nTrading on Monday will help determine whether bullishness persists or if a bearish phase is crystallizing.\nIt will be a week focused on the state of employment, with the November U.S. jobs report due at the end of the week and Powell and others offering their final thoughts before a media blackout period starting ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee's final meeting of 2021 on Dec. 14-15.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"END":0.9,"ICE":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":710,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877692627,"gmtCreate":1637920921764,"gmtModify":1637920921764,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093058604760480","authorIdStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like please , thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Like please , thank you&nbsp;","text":"Like please , thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877692627","repostId":"1146431533","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146431533","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637918422,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1146431533?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-26 17:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zoom shares jumped nearly 10% in premarket trading<blockquote>Zoom 股价在盘前交易中上涨近 10%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146431533","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Zoom shares jumped nearly 10% in premarket trading.Britain said on Friday that a newly identified co","content":"<p>Zoom&nbsp;shares&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;10%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7014ab353e2b4dace840a04b4326f098\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"626\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Britain said on Friday that a newly identified coronavirus variant spreading in South Africa was considered by scientists to be the most significant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> yet found and so it needed to ascertain whether or not it made vaccines ineffective.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom 股价在盘前交易中上涨近 10%。英国周五表示，科学家认为在南非传播的一种新发现的冠状病毒变种是最重要的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>然而，它被发现了，所以它需要确定它是否使疫苗无效。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zoom shares jumped nearly 10% in premarket trading<blockquote>Zoom 股价在盘前交易中上涨近 10%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZoom shares jumped nearly 10% in premarket trading<blockquote>Zoom 股价在盘前交易中上涨近 10%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-26 17:20</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Zoom&nbsp;shares&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;10%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7014ab353e2b4dace840a04b4326f098\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"626\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Britain said on Friday that a newly identified coronavirus variant spreading in South Africa was considered by scientists to be the most significant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> yet found and so it needed to ascertain whether or not it made vaccines ineffective.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom 股价在盘前交易中上涨近 10%。英国周五表示，科学家认为在南非传播的一种新发现的冠状病毒变种是最重要的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>然而，它被发现了，所以它需要确定它是否使疫苗无效。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146431533","content_text":"Zoom shares jumped nearly 10% in premarket trading.Britain said on Friday that a newly identified coronavirus variant spreading in South Africa was considered by scientists to be the most significant one yet found and so it needed to ascertain whether or not it made vaccines ineffective.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1964,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607715848,"gmtCreate":1639589610806,"gmtModify":1639589610868,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093058604760480","authorIdStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Don’t like my comment&nbsp;","listText":"Don’t like my comment&nbsp;","text":"Don’t like my comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607715848","repostId":"1124789927","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124789927","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639589042,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1124789927?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 01:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Samsara jumped nearly 7%, with its IPO price at $23 per share<blockquote>Samsara 股价上涨近 7%，IPO 价格为每股 23 美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124789927","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Samsara jumped nearly 7%, with its IPO price at $23 per share.Its initial public offering was priced","content":"<p>Samsara&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;7%,&nbsp;with&nbsp;its&nbsp;IPO&nbsp;price&nbsp;at&nbsp;$23 per share.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f42428454fe98bb007b0939f16efbe7\" tg-width=\"765\" tg-height=\"566\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Its initial public offering was priced at $23 a share, the high end of its expected range.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara 股价上涨近 7%，IPO 价格为每股 23 美元。其首次公开募股定价为每股23美元，是其预期范围的高端。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2015 by CEO Sanjit Biswas and&nbsp;John Bicket, chief technology officer,Samsara provides a connected operations cloud&nbsp;and sensors that are used by companies to manage their vehicle fleets and industrial operations.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara由首席执行官Sanjit Biswas和首席技术官John Bicket于2015年创立，提供互联运营云和传感器，公司使用这些云和传感器来管理其车队和工业运营。</blockquote></p><p> Samsara’s technology collects data including video footage, people and motion detection, GPS location, and energy consumption. Companies can use this information to improve safety, lower insurance costs and reduce the need for manual oversight and judgment, the prospectus said.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara 的技术收集的数据包括视频片段、人员和运动检测、GPS 定位和能源消耗。招股说明书称，公司可以利用这些信息来提高安全性、降低保险成本并减少人工监督和判断的需要。</blockquote></p><p> It has more than 13,000 core customers, which it defines as entities with annual recurring revenue of greater than $5,000, including small businesses, state and local governments, and large, global enterprises.</p><p><blockquote>它拥有超过 13,000 个核心客户，将其定义为年经常性收入超过 5,000 美元的实体，包括小型企业、州和地方政府以及大型全球企业。</blockquote></p><p> Samsara reported losses of $102.3 million for the nine months ended Oct. 30, compared with losses of $174 million in the same period a year earlier. Revenue rose 74% to $302.6 million during the period.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara 报告截至 10 月 30 日的九个月亏损 1.023 亿美元，而去年同期亏损 1.74 亿美元。期内收入增长 74%，达到 3.026 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Samsara jumped nearly 7%, with its IPO price at $23 per share<blockquote>Samsara 股价上涨近 7%，IPO 价格为每股 23 美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSamsara jumped nearly 7%, with its IPO price at $23 per share<blockquote>Samsara 股价上涨近 7%，IPO 价格为每股 23 美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-16 01:24</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Samsara&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;7%,&nbsp;with&nbsp;its&nbsp;IPO&nbsp;price&nbsp;at&nbsp;$23 per share.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f42428454fe98bb007b0939f16efbe7\" tg-width=\"765\" tg-height=\"566\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Its initial public offering was priced at $23 a share, the high end of its expected range.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara 股价上涨近 7%，IPO 价格为每股 23 美元。其首次公开募股定价为每股23美元，是其预期范围的高端。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2015 by CEO Sanjit Biswas and&nbsp;John Bicket, chief technology officer,Samsara provides a connected operations cloud&nbsp;and sensors that are used by companies to manage their vehicle fleets and industrial operations.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara由首席执行官Sanjit Biswas和首席技术官John Bicket于2015年创立，提供互联运营云和传感器，公司使用这些云和传感器来管理其车队和工业运营。</blockquote></p><p> Samsara’s technology collects data including video footage, people and motion detection, GPS location, and energy consumption. Companies can use this information to improve safety, lower insurance costs and reduce the need for manual oversight and judgment, the prospectus said.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara 的技术收集的数据包括视频片段、人员和运动检测、GPS 定位和能源消耗。招股说明书称，公司可以利用这些信息来提高安全性、降低保险成本并减少人工监督和判断的需要。</blockquote></p><p> It has more than 13,000 core customers, which it defines as entities with annual recurring revenue of greater than $5,000, including small businesses, state and local governments, and large, global enterprises.</p><p><blockquote>它拥有超过 13,000 个核心客户，将其定义为年经常性收入超过 5,000 美元的实体，包括小型企业、州和地方政府以及大型全球企业。</blockquote></p><p> Samsara reported losses of $102.3 million for the nine months ended Oct. 30, compared with losses of $174 million in the same period a year earlier. Revenue rose 74% to $302.6 million during the period.</p><p><blockquote>Samsara 报告截至 10 月 30 日的九个月亏损 1.023 亿美元，而去年同期亏损 1.74 亿美元。期内收入增长 74%，达到 3.026 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IOT":"Samsara, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124789927","content_text":"Samsara jumped nearly 7%, with its IPO price at $23 per share.Its initial public offering was priced at $23 a share, the high end of its expected range.\nFounded in 2015 by CEO Sanjit Biswas and John Bicket, chief technology officer,Samsara provides a connected operations cloud and sensors that are used by companies to manage their vehicle fleets and industrial operations.\nSamsara’s technology collects data including video footage, people and motion detection, GPS location, and energy consumption. Companies can use this information to improve safety, lower insurance costs and reduce the need for manual oversight and judgment, the prospectus said.\nIt has more than 13,000 core customers, which it defines as entities with annual recurring revenue of greater than $5,000, including small businesses, state and local governments, and large, global enterprises.\nSamsara reported losses of $102.3 million for the nine months ended Oct. 30, compared with losses of $174 million in the same period a year earlier. Revenue rose 74% to $302.6 million during the period.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IOT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605840916,"gmtCreate":1639147826435,"gmtModify":1639147826509,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093058604760480","authorIdStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Let’s gooooo","listText":"Let’s gooooo","text":"Let’s gooooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605840916","repostId":"1151890002","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151890002","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639147684,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151890002?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 22:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks mixed in morning trading<blockquote>早盘交易中电动汽车股涨跌互现</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151890002","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks mixed in morning trading.Lucid,Faraday Future,Nio,Li Auto and Sono Group climbed between 1","content":"<p>EV stocks mixed in morning trading.Lucid,Faraday Future,Nio,Li Auto&nbsp;and&nbsp;Sono Group&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 4%.Tesla&nbsp;and&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;fell&nbsp;about&nbsp;2%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股早盘涨跌互现.Lucid、法拉第期货、蔚来汽车、理想汽车和索诺集团上涨1%至4%.特斯拉和蔚来下跌约2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f346fee60459b75b81de3dee1b7ff60\" tg-width=\"412\" tg-height=\"723\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks mixed in morning trading<blockquote>早盘交易中电动汽车股涨跌互现</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks mixed in morning trading<blockquote>早盘交易中电动汽车股涨跌互现</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-10 22:48</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV stocks mixed in morning trading.Lucid,Faraday Future,Nio,Li Auto&nbsp;and&nbsp;Sono Group&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 4%.Tesla&nbsp;and&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;fell&nbsp;about&nbsp;2%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股早盘涨跌互现.Lucid、法拉第期货、蔚来汽车、理想汽车和索诺集团上涨1%至4%.特斯拉和蔚来下跌约2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f346fee60459b75b81de3dee1b7ff60\" tg-width=\"412\" tg-height=\"723\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏集团","FSR":"菲斯克","TSLA":"特斯拉","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","NIO":"蔚来","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","SEV":"Aptera Motors"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151890002","content_text":"EV stocks mixed in morning trading.Lucid,Faraday Future,Nio,Li Auto and Sono Group climbed between 1% and 4%.Tesla and NIO fell about 2%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LCID":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"RIVN":0.9,"SEV":0.9,"RIDE":0.9,"LI":0.9,"FSR":0.9,"NKLA":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"FFIE":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"GOEV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602798091,"gmtCreate":1639063565908,"gmtModify":1639064698120,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093058604760480","authorIdStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Don’t like my comment&nbsp;","listText":"Don’t like my comment&nbsp;","text":"Don’t like my comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602798091","repostId":"1196130142","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196130142","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639062546,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1196130142?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 23:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价早盘交易中下跌超过 6%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196130142","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.","content":"<p>Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab Holdings 股价在早盘交易中下跌超过 6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1c84529a60ffcf4e7ba53b126b147d9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价早盘交易中下跌超过 6%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab 股价早盘交易中下跌超过 6%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-09 23:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab Holdings 股价在早盘交易中下跌超过 6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1c84529a60ffcf4e7ba53b126b147d9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196130142","content_text":"Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602036460,"gmtCreate":1638937876354,"gmtModify":1638937876354,"author":{"id":"4093058604760480","authorId":"4093058604760480","name":"GggSlimeR","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19f9dd6ac1811c7e85fa95a3ea4c703e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093058604760480","authorIdStr":"4093058604760480"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Don’t Like pls&nbsp;","listText":"Don’t Like pls&nbsp;","text":"Don’t Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602036460","repostId":"1105817084","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1105817084","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638933976,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105817084?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-08 11:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What Happens When The Cash Runs Out?<blockquote>苹果股票：现金耗尽时会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105817084","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple is about to run out of cash. This statement may sound lucrac is to most Apple stock  investors, since the Cupertino company has been a cash-generating machine in the past many years. But even the management team knows this to be true.Today, the Apple Maven talks about what has been happening to the iPhone maker’s once giant pile of cash, and what the declining balances may mean for shareholders.To be fair, “running out of cash” in this context does not mean that Apple’s checking accounts a","content":"<p>Apple is about to run out of cash. This statement may sound lucrac&nbsp;is to most Apple stock&nbsp;(<b>AAPL</b>)&nbsp;investors, since the Cupertino company has been a cash-generating machine in the past many years. But even the management team&nbsp;knows&nbsp;this to be true.</p><p><blockquote>苹果即将耗尽现金。这种说法可能听起来像是 lucrac 对大多数苹果股票来说（<b>苹果</b>）投资者，因为这家库比蒂诺公司在过去多年里一直是一台现金产生机器。但即使是管理团队也知道这是真的。</blockquote></p><p> Today, the Apple Maven talks about what has been happening to the iPhone maker’s once giant pile of cash, and what the declining balances may mean for shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>今天，这位苹果专家将谈论这家 iPhone 制造商曾经的巨额现金发生了什么变化，以及余额的减少可能对股东意味着什么。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple heading to net cash neutral</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果走向净现金中性</b></blockquote></p><p> To be fair, “running out of cash” in this context does not mean that Apple’s checking accounts at the bank will dry out. It simply means that the company’s debt balances will roughly offset its cash position — i.e. Apple will become net cash neutral.</p><p><blockquote>平心而论，在这种情况下，“现金耗尽 ”并不意味着苹果在银行的支票账户会枯竭。这仅仅意味着公司的债务余额将大致抵消其现金状况--也就是说，苹果将成为净现金中性。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below shows the evolution of Apple’s gross cash (blue bars) and net cash (orange bars) balances since 2011. Ten years ago was when then-CEO Steve Jobs stepped down and turned the control of the company over to then-COO Tim Cook.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示了自 2011 年以来苹果现金总额（蓝色条形图）和净现金（橙色条形图）余额的演变情况。十年前，时任首席执行官史蒂夫·乔布斯辞职，将公司控制权移交给时任首席运营官蒂姆·库克。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/435c5199979bc64d49899feed29d15fb\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"723\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2:Apple's cash position, fiscal 2012-2021.data from Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图 2:Apple 2012-2021 财年现金状况。数据来自 Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Starting in 2012, Apple began issuing debt for the first time in its history. By 2017, the company boasted the largest gross and net-of-debt cash balances that it had ever seen in its books. But since then, both numbers have been dwindling. This year’s $72 billion in net cash is less than half the amount of about four years ago.</p><p><blockquote>从2012年开始，苹果历史上首次开始发债。到2017年，该公司拥有有史以来最大的总现金余额和债务净额。但从那以后，这两个数字都在减少。今年的净现金为 720 亿美元，还不到四年前的一半。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What happens when cash runs out?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现金用完后会发生什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below shows that, prior to Tim Cook as CEO, Apple was very timid at deploying its cash reserves. While capex and dividend payments increased quickly (large M&amp;A has never been a thing for Apple), buybacks skyrocketed. Apple has spent more than three times as much in share repurchases since 2018 than it did in capex and dividends combined.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，在蒂姆·库克担任首席执行官之前，苹果在部署现金储备方面非常胆怯。虽然资本支出和股息支付迅速增加（大型并购对苹果来说从来都不是一件事），但回购却激增。自 2018 年以来，苹果在股票回购上的支出是资本支出和股息总和的三倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0ecee1dedf8551b616732dc7180c574\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"694\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 3:Apple's cash deployment by major category.data from Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图 3：按主要类别划分的苹果现金部署情况。数据来自 Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As Apple’s cash balance continues to dip, it is reasonable to expect the pace of share retirement to decline as well. This is true not only because of a leaner balance sheet, but because AAPL stock trades at a much richer price today — thus, it costs Apple more to buy back each share of its own equity.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果的现金余额持续下降，有理由预计股票退役的速度也会下降。这不仅是因为资产负债表更精简，还因为 AAPL 股票如今的交易价格要高得多——因此，苹果回购每股股权的成本更高。</blockquote></p><p> Why is this relevant for investors? Over the past decade, Apple’s shares outstanding have declined by 10 billion units to 16.7 billion. Share count is the denominator in EPS (earnings per share) and EPS is the denominator in price-to-earnings. Therefore, buybacks alone have probably been responsible for a good chunk of Apple stock’s climb in the past several years.</p><p><blockquote>为什么这与投资者相关？在过去十年中，苹果的流通股减少了 100 亿股，降至 167 亿股。股份数量是 EPS（每股收益）的分母，EPS 是市盈率的分母。因此，仅回购一项就可能是苹果股价在过去几年中上涨的主要原因。</blockquote></p><p> At the current stock price of $165 apiece, Apple can afford to retire around 435 million more shares with its current net cash balance, or barely 3% of the float. After that point, the Cupertino company might need to scale back on repurchases or borrow in order to keep buying its stock.</p><p><blockquote>按照目前每股 165 美元的股价计算，苹果以其目前的净现金余额可以再退役约 4.35 亿股股票，仅占流通股的 3%。此后，这家库比蒂诺公司可能需要减少回购或借款，以继续购买其股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Should investors worry?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应该担心吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> I think that Apple stock could suffer, at least from deteriorated investor sentiment, if or once it begins to slow down the pace of its share buyback efforts. However, I also believe that this is only one aspect of the investment thesis that people should consider.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，如果或一旦苹果开始放缓股票回购步伐，它的股票可能会受到影响，至少投资者情绪恶化。然而，我也相信，这只是人们应该考虑的投资论点的一个方面。</blockquote></p><p> I remain optimistic about Apple stock from a business fundamentals perspective. The Cupertino company seems to have found the sweet spot in demand for its products and services, which I believe bodes very well for AAPL in the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>从商业基本面的角度来看，我仍然看好苹果股票。这家库比蒂诺公司似乎已经找到了对其产品和服务需求的最佳点，我相信这在可预见的未来对 AAPL 来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens When The Cash Runs Out?<blockquote>苹果股票：现金耗尽时会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens When The Cash Runs Out?<blockquote>苹果股票：现金耗尽时会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-08 11:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple is about to run out of cash. This statement may sound lucrac&nbsp;is to most Apple stock&nbsp;(<b>AAPL</b>)&nbsp;investors, since the Cupertino company has been a cash-generating machine in the past many years. But even the management team&nbsp;knows&nbsp;this to be true.</p><p><blockquote>苹果即将耗尽现金。这种说法可能听起来像是 lucrac 对大多数苹果股票来说（<b>苹果</b>）投资者，因为这家库比蒂诺公司在过去多年里一直是一台现金产生机器。但即使是管理团队也知道这是真的。</blockquote></p><p> Today, the Apple Maven talks about what has been happening to the iPhone maker’s once giant pile of cash, and what the declining balances may mean for shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>今天，这位苹果专家将谈论这家 iPhone 制造商曾经的巨额现金发生了什么变化，以及余额的减少可能对股东意味着什么。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple heading to net cash neutral</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果走向净现金中性</b></blockquote></p><p> To be fair, “running out of cash” in this context does not mean that Apple’s checking accounts at the bank will dry out. It simply means that the company’s debt balances will roughly offset its cash position — i.e. Apple will become net cash neutral.</p><p><blockquote>平心而论，在这种情况下，“现金耗尽 ”并不意味着苹果在银行的支票账户会枯竭。这仅仅意味着公司的债务余额将大致抵消其现金状况--也就是说，苹果将成为净现金中性。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below shows the evolution of Apple’s gross cash (blue bars) and net cash (orange bars) balances since 2011. Ten years ago was when then-CEO Steve Jobs stepped down and turned the control of the company over to then-COO Tim Cook.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示了自 2011 年以来苹果现金总额（蓝色条形图）和净现金（橙色条形图）余额的演变情况。十年前，时任首席执行官史蒂夫·乔布斯辞职，将公司控制权移交给时任首席运营官蒂姆·库克。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/435c5199979bc64d49899feed29d15fb\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"723\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2:Apple's cash position, fiscal 2012-2021.data from Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图 2:Apple 2012-2021 财年现金状况。数据来自 Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Starting in 2012, Apple began issuing debt for the first time in its history. By 2017, the company boasted the largest gross and net-of-debt cash balances that it had ever seen in its books. But since then, both numbers have been dwindling. This year’s $72 billion in net cash is less than half the amount of about four years ago.</p><p><blockquote>从2012年开始，苹果历史上首次开始发债。到2017年，该公司拥有有史以来最大的总现金余额和债务净额。但从那以后，这两个数字都在减少。今年的净现金为 720 亿美元，还不到四年前的一半。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What happens when cash runs out?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现金用完后会发生什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below shows that, prior to Tim Cook as CEO, Apple was very timid at deploying its cash reserves. While capex and dividend payments increased quickly (large M&amp;A has never been a thing for Apple), buybacks skyrocketed. Apple has spent more than three times as much in share repurchases since 2018 than it did in capex and dividends combined.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，在蒂姆·库克担任首席执行官之前，苹果在部署现金储备方面非常胆怯。虽然资本支出和股息支付迅速增加（大型并购对苹果来说从来都不是一件事），但回购却激增。自 2018 年以来，苹果在股票回购上的支出是资本支出和股息总和的三倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0ecee1dedf8551b616732dc7180c574\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"694\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 3:Apple's cash deployment by major category.data from Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图 3：按主要类别划分的苹果现金部署情况。数据来自 Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As Apple’s cash balance continues to dip, it is reasonable to expect the pace of share retirement to decline as well. This is true not only because of a leaner balance sheet, but because AAPL stock trades at a much richer price today — thus, it costs Apple more to buy back each share of its own equity.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果的现金余额持续下降，有理由预计股票退役的速度也会下降。这不仅是因为资产负债表更精简，还因为 AAPL 股票如今的交易价格要高得多——因此，苹果回购每股股权的成本更高。</blockquote></p><p> Why is this relevant for investors? Over the past decade, Apple’s shares outstanding have declined by 10 billion units to 16.7 billion. Share count is the denominator in EPS (earnings per share) and EPS is the denominator in price-to-earnings. Therefore, buybacks alone have probably been responsible for a good chunk of Apple stock’s climb in the past several years.</p><p><blockquote>为什么这与投资者相关？在过去十年中，苹果的流通股减少了 100 亿股，降至 167 亿股。股份数量是 EPS（每股收益）的分母，EPS 是市盈率的分母。因此，仅回购一项就可能是苹果股价在过去几年中上涨的主要原因。</blockquote></p><p> At the current stock price of $165 apiece, Apple can afford to retire around 435 million more shares with its current net cash balance, or barely 3% of the float. After that point, the Cupertino company might need to scale back on repurchases or borrow in order to keep buying its stock.</p><p><blockquote>按照目前每股 165 美元的股价计算，苹果以其目前的净现金余额可以再退役约 4.35 亿股股票，仅占流通股的 3%。此后，这家库比蒂诺公司可能需要减少回购或借款，以继续购买其股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Should investors worry?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应该担心吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> I think that Apple stock could suffer, at least from deteriorated investor sentiment, if or once it begins to slow down the pace of its share buyback efforts. However, I also believe that this is only one aspect of the investment thesis that people should consider.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，如果或一旦苹果开始放缓股票回购步伐，它的股票可能会受到影响，至少投资者情绪恶化。然而，我也相信，这只是人们应该考虑的投资论点的一个方面。</blockquote></p><p> I remain optimistic about Apple stock from a business fundamentals perspective. The Cupertino company seems to have found the sweet spot in demand for its products and services, which I believe bodes very well for AAPL in the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>从商业基本面的角度来看，我仍然看好苹果股票。这家库比蒂诺公司似乎已经找到了对其产品和服务需求的最佳点，我相信这在可预见的未来对 AAPL 来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-what-happens-when-the-cash-runs-out\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-what-happens-when-the-cash-runs-out","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105817084","content_text":"Apple is about to run out of cash. This statement may sound lucrac is to most Apple stock (AAPL) investors, since the Cupertino company has been a cash-generating machine in the past many years. But even the management team knows this to be true.\nToday, the Apple Maven talks about what has been happening to the iPhone maker’s once giant pile of cash, and what the declining balances may mean for shareholders.\nApple heading to net cash neutral\nTo be fair, “running out of cash” in this context does not mean that Apple’s checking accounts at the bank will dry out. It simply means that the company’s debt balances will roughly offset its cash position — i.e. Apple will become net cash neutral.\nThe chart below shows the evolution of Apple’s gross cash (blue bars) and net cash (orange bars) balances since 2011. Ten years ago was when then-CEO Steve Jobs stepped down and turned the control of the company over to then-COO Tim Cook.\nFigure 2:Apple's cash position, fiscal 2012-2021.data from Seeking Alpha\nStarting in 2012, Apple began issuing debt for the first time in its history. By 2017, the company boasted the largest gross and net-of-debt cash balances that it had ever seen in its books. But since then, both numbers have been dwindling. This year’s $72 billion in net cash is less than half the amount of about four years ago.\nWhat happens when cash runs out?\nThe chart below shows that, prior to Tim Cook as CEO, Apple was very timid at deploying its cash reserves. While capex and dividend payments increased quickly (large M&A has never been a thing for Apple), buybacks skyrocketed. Apple has spent more than three times as much in share repurchases since 2018 than it did in capex and dividends combined.\nFigure 3:Apple's cash deployment by major category.data from Seeking Alpha\nAs Apple’s cash balance continues to dip, it is reasonable to expect the pace of share retirement to decline as well. This is true not only because of a leaner balance sheet, but because AAPL stock trades at a much richer price today — thus, it costs Apple more to buy back each share of its own equity.\nWhy is this relevant for investors? Over the past decade, Apple’s shares outstanding have declined by 10 billion units to 16.7 billion. Share count is the denominator in EPS (earnings per share) and EPS is the denominator in price-to-earnings. Therefore, buybacks alone have probably been responsible for a good chunk of Apple stock’s climb in the past several years.\nAt the current stock price of $165 apiece, Apple can afford to retire around 435 million more shares with its current net cash balance, or barely 3% of the float. After that point, the Cupertino company might need to scale back on repurchases or borrow in order to keep buying its stock.\nShould investors worry?\nI think that Apple stock could suffer, at least from deteriorated investor sentiment, if or once it begins to slow down the pace of its share buyback efforts. However, I also believe that this is only one aspect of the investment thesis that people should consider.\nI remain optimistic about Apple stock from a business fundamentals perspective. The Cupertino company seems to have found the sweet spot in demand for its products and services, which I believe bodes very well for AAPL in the foreseeable future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}