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五福临门666
02-18 02:36
$微软(MSFT)$
我发现一个非常有趣的事情,微软,谷歌的市盈率居然被砸的比可口可乐还要低了,难道卖糖水比互联网,ai科技更有发展?哈哈哈哈
五福临门666
02-18 02:32
ai泡沫风险是无脑看空!英伟达博通的利润增长完全支撑的起市盈率,甚至还很便宜,微软谷歌市盈率已经比可口可乐还低了,难道卖糖水比科技更有未来吗?这太疯狂了!
英伟达业绩公布在即,市场观点分歧
五福临门666
02-17 23:49
啥资本开支大,现金流支撑不住,这不都是笑话一样吗?都是机构宣传的伪命题!他们故意打压英伟达,自己买入,也是该整理一段时间了。
五福临门666
02-10
ai才刚刚开始布局,泡沫论言之尚早。
五福临门666
02-05
$白银ETF-iShares(SLV)$
白银第二次探底,目前看白银期货没有跌破上次低位,短期又要反弹一波了,可能还有第三次探底,正常也不会超过第二次低位,如果这样走振荡反弹的趋势就有了,情绪面会缓和很多,而且今天金银比回到了63,白银风险基本出清。 长期看黄金白银,我坚定看多,各国央行减少美元储备,配置黄金,白银是趋势,俄罗斯美元被冻结,各国谁不害怕! 美联储降息周期没有变,沃什担任美联储主席也就是一票,鲍威尔也没有退休,继续担任美联储理事,还是有一票。美联储重大决策都是要投票决定的。 实物白银就是需求大于供应,中长期需求只会增加,短期白银供应难以提高,实物上涨,指数也要对应。
五福临门666
02-03
$白银ETF-iShares(SLV)$
白银经过30%暴跌后确定反弹趋势,我认为短期第一波反弹最少涨20%,调整几个礼拜,开始第二轮上涨,如果强势,第二轮上涨会破新高,如果不够强,也会接近新高。 这**跌主要还是杠杆爆仓了,消息面沃什鹰的消息吓坏了市场,但是这只是一个消息,目前政策什么都没变,就是特朗普一个推特,美联储政策是要根据美国经济基本面决定的,就算沃什上去也不能为所欲为(变动还很大,上不上难说,鹰不鹰也难说)。鹰也没啥用,美国问题他解决不了嘛。 本来我也有点挺慌,但是看到无数网友被暴跌吓傻了,甚至说30年大顶,华尔街血洗,现在买就是接飞刀,白银就值8快,没人要了,这些没用逻辑的言论一时之间甚嚣尘上,冷静下来想想我要抄底了,2月2号盘前我就加仓了30万白银,我大胆预测今年黄金白银还要新高。
五福临门666
02-03
昨天晚上就该抄底了,昨天白银etf走完反攻趋势已经很明显了,就算短期有波动上攻的势头也很难改变。
五福临门666
02-02
$2倍做多黄金ETF-ProShares(UGL)$
黄金期货4700左右感觉抄底也差不多了吧,最低应该也就4600?
五福临门666
02-02
$2倍做多白银ETF-ProShares(AGQ)$
跌了这么多是不是该博反弹了?要是继续跌我就加仓。[财迷]
五福临门666
02-01
$白银ETF-iShares(SLV)$
我看国内白银实际销售价格是25.157人民币,而海外白银期货换算成克是20.89人民币,大概差了4元, 这是不是意味着海外白银期货,etf杀出带血筹码了,etf比期货跌的更多,感觉是有杠杆踩踏了,有懂的朋友可以评论区说说。
五福临门666
01-31
$白银ETF-iShares(SLV)$
黄金,白银暴跌,纳斯达克也回调了一些,沃什将成为美联储主席,市场预期他降息,缩表,是个大鹰派,但是这些都源于市场猜测。我们分析一下,美联储如果缩表,风险将远远大于不降息,美元流动性会出现危机,科技,ai,互联网对流动性非常敏感,美国的中小银行甚至可能因此破产。美国通胀目前并不高,并且得到了控制,沃什之前的表态有政治秀的意味,比如迎合特朗普降息,又以鹰牌的姿态打消美联储独立性担忧,他是真鹰还是假鹰还要看事实。
五福临门666
01-30
如果沃什担任美联储主席,并缩表,中小银行可能会破产!
美股牛市行情“接力棒”传向中小行!分析师高喊还有上涨空间
五福临门666
2025-12-18
$Medline Inc(MDLN)$
今天市场行情不好,都不敢开盘,我就中5股,快开盘卖了完事。
五福临门666
2025-12-17
$英伟达(NVDA)$
英伟达最近不断回调,利空下跌利好也下跌,就好像有一股力量故意压制英伟达,12月份这个时间点也很有意思,是一个季度末,如果机构在12月份低价买入英伟达,明年拉升英伟达,那么2026年利润表现就会非常漂亮! 我非常确定ai不是泡沫,目前ai扫地机器人已经走入到了家庭,2026年这种ai应用落地可能会更多,企业利润上涨,泡沫论将不攻自破,英伟达股价可能再次迎来爆发。
五福临门666
2025-11-27
$NQ100指数主连 2512(NQmain)$
五福临门666
2025-10-01
降息势不可挡
盘前丨“小非农”大幅低于预期,LAC暴涨35%,Reddit跌超10%
五福临门666
2025-09-30
加杠杆160手,还有必要打吗,会不会一手不给,还亏手续费。
@读财报话新股:港股打新:长风药业申购分析,妖性十足,预计最少超5000倍以上,再度全员抽签!
五福临门666
2025-09-16
$ChowChow Cloud International Holdings Limited(CHOW)$
不错[财迷]
五福临门666
2025-09-16
$ChowChow Cloud International Holdings Limited(CHOW)$
太牛了,没想中88美元都能赚1000多人民币,爽!
五福临门666
2025-09-16
$ChowChow Cloud International Holdings Limited(CHOW)$
直接涨停了?之后往下砸盘吗?什么套路啊
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n英伟达业绩公布在即,市场观点分歧\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-17 23:58 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2026-02-17/doc-inhncznu4809760.shtml><strong>环球市场播报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>随着英伟达 (NVDA) 2月25日财报公布日期临近,关于人工智能投资回报率的辩论持续发酵。看涨者认为超大规模企业的支出将持续,而看跌者则警示泡沫风险。英伟达周二早盘下跌0.7%。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑:张俊 SF065</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2026-02-17/doc-inhncznu4809760.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE00B5949003.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU2430703178.SGD":"WELLINGTON MULTI-ASSET HIGH INCOME \"AM4H\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU0211327993.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A(离岸)美元","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU2430703251.USD":"WELLINGTON MULTI-ASSET HIGH INCOME \"AM4\" (USD) INC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A(dist)","LU1983260115.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Sustainable Equity A2 SGD-H","LU2272731782.SGD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AM Dis H2-SGD","LU2272731600.USD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AM Dis USD","SG9999002232.USD":"Allianz Global High Payout 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黄金期货4700左右感觉抄底也差不多了吧,最低应该也就4600?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/528382327899104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":692,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3503570159183357","authorId":"3503570159183357","name":"小兔白又白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76bc8eb0b91a9686e087281ce27350a5","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3503570159183357","idStr":"3503570159183357"},"content":"白天都跌到了4400,华尔街那人可不是慈善家,这一把跌到3000左右,几年起不来","text":"白天都跌到了4400,华尔街那人可不是慈善家,这一把跌到3000左右,几年起不来","html":"白天都跌到了4400,华尔街那人可不是慈善家,这一把跌到3000左右,几年起不来"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":528374729303488,"gmtCreate":1770028292716,"gmtModify":1770028294787,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"五福临门666","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGQ\">$2倍做多白银ETF-ProShares(AGQ)$ </a> 跌了这么多是不是该博反弹了?要是继续跌我就加仓。[财迷] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGQ\">$2倍做多白银ETF-ProShares(AGQ)$ </a> 跌了这么多是不是该博反弹了?要是继续跌我就加仓。[财迷] ","text":"$2倍做多白银ETF-ProShares(AGQ)$ 跌了这么多是不是该博反弹了?要是继续跌我就加仓。[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/528374729303488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":528102507758672,"gmtCreate":1769952176385,"gmtModify":1769953424352,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"五福临门666","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLV\">$白银ETF-iShares(SLV)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>我看国内白银实际销售价格是25.157人民币,而海外白银期货换算成克是20.89人民币,大概差了4元, 这是不是意味着海外白银期货,etf杀出带血筹码了,etf比期货跌的更多,感觉是有杠杆踩踏了,有懂的朋友可以评论区说说。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLV\">$白银ETF-iShares(SLV)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>我看国内白银实际销售价格是25.157人民币,而海外白银期货换算成克是20.89人民币,大概差了4元, 这是不是意味着海外白银期货,etf杀出带血筹码了,etf比期货跌的更多,感觉是有杠杆踩踏了,有懂的朋友可以评论区说说。","text":"$白银ETF-iShares(SLV)$ 我看国内白银实际销售价格是25.157人民币,而海外白银期货换算成克是20.89人民币,大概差了4元, 这是不是意味着海外白银期货,etf杀出带血筹码了,etf比期货跌的更多,感觉是有杠杆踩踏了,有懂的朋友可以评论区说说。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/407abdc4e8262d94fead7a4c47b5e96d","width":"1080","height":"1075"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/528102507758672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":527507547337944,"gmtCreate":1769806927580,"gmtModify":1769810782134,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"五福临门666","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLV\">$白银ETF-iShares(SLV)$ </a> 黄金,白银暴跌,纳斯达克也回调了一些,沃什将成为美联储主席,市场预期他降息,缩表,是个大鹰派,但是这些都源于市场猜测。我们分析一下,美联储如果缩表,风险将远远大于不降息,美元流动性会出现危机,科技,ai,互联网对流动性非常敏感,美国的中小银行甚至可能因此破产。美国通胀目前并不高,并且得到了控制,沃什之前的表态有政治秀的意味,比如迎合特朗普降息,又以鹰牌的姿态打消美联储独立性担忧,他是真鹰还是假鹰还要看事实。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLV\">$白银ETF-iShares(SLV)$ </a> 黄金,白银暴跌,纳斯达克也回调了一些,沃什将成为美联储主席,市场预期他降息,缩表,是个大鹰派,但是这些都源于市场猜测。我们分析一下,美联储如果缩表,风险将远远大于不降息,美元流动性会出现危机,科技,ai,互联网对流动性非常敏感,美国的中小银行甚至可能因此破产。美国通胀目前并不高,并且得到了控制,沃什之前的表态有政治秀的意味,比如迎合特朗普降息,又以鹰牌的姿态打消美联储独立性担忧,他是真鹰还是假鹰还要看事实。","text":"$白银ETF-iShares(SLV)$ 黄金,白银暴跌,纳斯达克也回调了一些,沃什将成为美联储主席,市场预期他降息,缩表,是个大鹰派,但是这些都源于市场猜测。我们分析一下,美联储如果缩表,风险将远远大于不降息,美元流动性会出现危机,科技,ai,互联网对流动性非常敏感,美国的中小银行甚至可能因此破产。美国通胀目前并不高,并且得到了控制,沃什之前的表态有政治秀的意味,比如迎合特朗普降息,又以鹰牌的姿态打消美联储独立性担忧,他是真鹰还是假鹰还要看事实。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/527507547337944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":527319950410776,"gmtCreate":1769761120188,"gmtModify":1769761122831,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"五福临门666","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"如果沃什担任美联储主席,并缩表,中小银行可能会破产!","listText":"如果沃什担任美联储主席,并缩表,中小银行可能会破产!","text":"如果沃什担任美联储主席,并缩表,中小银行可能会破产!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/527319950410776","repostId":"2607847790","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2607847790","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1769689708,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2607847790?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-29 20:28","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"美股牛市行情“接力棒”传向中小行!分析师高喊还有上涨空间","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2607847790","media":"智通财经","summary":"该指数约10%的成分股将在未来两天内公布业绩。规模达40亿美元的道富SPDR标普区域银行ETF今年已上涨4.6%,超过了标普500指数1.9%的涨幅,并且相对于更广泛的金融股指标达到2024年以来的最高水平。这一与美国消费者密切相关的板块的突破性表现,为更广泛的股市发出了积极信号。对另一些人来说,美国经济增长势头的回升可能会进一步提振小型贷款机构的股价。","content":"<p>智通财经APP获悉,美国区域性银行受到牛市行情扩大的提振——投资者认为,即使整体轮动势头减弱,这种势头仍将继续。标普区域银行精选指数涵盖了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CASH\">Pathward Financial</a>(CASH.US)和Metropolitan Bank Holding(MCB.US)等银行,有望连续第三个月跑赢<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数,这将是自2022年以来最长的连胜纪录。该指数成分股的估值倍数仍低于其长期平均水平,如果盈利强劲,则仍有进一步上涨的空间。该指数约10%的成分股将在未来两天内公布业绩。</p><p>还有其他因素提振了投资者的信心。22V Research 的策略师表示,美国经济持续增长,降低了资产负债表更稳健的大型贷款机构的相对吸引力,因此他们更看好小型银行。收益率曲线趋陡以及并购活动预期回升也对该行业有利。</p><p>资产管理公司Easterly Snow的首席投资官兼高级投资组合经理Joshua Schachter表示:“区域性银行可能是市场上最便宜的板块,这一点从很多指标上都能看出来。区域性银行内部有很多值得称道的故事,现在这些故事正在结出硕果。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64effe8579b967cf82cdd473443972fe\" tg-width=\"689\" tg-height=\"365\"></p><p>规模达40亿美元的道富SPDR标普区域银行ETF今年已上涨4.6%,超过了标普500指数1.9%的涨幅,并且相对于更广泛的金融股指标达到2024年以来的最高水平。这一与美国消费者密切相关的板块的突破性表现,为更广泛的股市发出了积极信号。此前,股市的上涨主要受人工智能交易热潮的推动,直到去年11月才有所回落。</p><p>Schachter对区域性贷款机构的乐观态度与美国国债收益率曲线的陡峭化密切相关。收益率曲线陡峭化是指长期收益率的上升速度快于短期收益率。这对贷款机构有利,因为它们长期贷款利率与存款利率之间的利差将会扩大。Schachter还指出,放松管制、企业税率的变化以及小型银行被大型竞争对手收购的趋势也是积极的催化剂。</p><p>其他投资者则不太确定。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JHG\">Janus Henderson</a> Investors美国中小市值成长股团队的投资组合经理Jonathan Coleman认为,科技股在小市值股票中提供了更令人兴奋的投资机会,因为它们更能受益于人工智能的增长。</p><p>Coleman说:“我们喜欢具有差异化价值主张的公司。”他还补充说,他更倾向于“避开”那些几十年来基本上都采用相同商业模式的本地银行。他还补充道,小型银行面临的其他潜在不利因素包括特朗普政府对稳定币的支持,这增加了它们的存款被转移到数字资产领域的风险。</p><p>对另一些人来说,美国经济增长势头的回升可能会进一步提振小型贷款机构的股价。本月早些时候公布的数据显示,美国第三季度国内生产总值(GDP)修正后增速为4.4%,创两年来最快增速。美联储主席鲍威尔周三也进一步强调了未来一年美国经济前景的“明显改善”,同时政策制定者们也宣布维持利率不变。</p><p>22V Research策略师Bill Hebel表示,本季度区域性银行的基本面“稳健”,相对估值依然具有吸引力。他还补充说,与更容易受到降低信用卡利率政治压力影响的大型银行相比,区域性银行的表现更佳。</p><p>包括Hebel在内的22V Research策略师在给客户的报告中写道:“为资本市场和信用卡敞口支付溢价,以及通过扩大资产负债表来缓冲特殊信用风险的理由已经减弱。迄今为止,财报中几乎没有提及信用状况,这本身就表明人们对经济衰退风险的认知正在减弱。”</p>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股牛市行情“接力棒”传向中小行!分析师高喊还有上涨空间</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股牛市行情“接力棒”传向中小行!分析师高喊还有上涨空间\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-29 20:28 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1399351.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉,美国区域性银行受到牛市行情扩大的提振——投资者认为,即使整体轮动势头减弱,这种势头仍将继续。标普区域银行精选指数涵盖了Pathward Financial(CASH.US)和Metropolitan Bank Holding(MCB.US)等银行,有望连续第三个月跑赢标普500指数,这将是自2022年以来最长的连胜纪录。该指数成分股的估值倍数仍低于其长期平均水平,如果盈利强劲,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1399351.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NDX":"纳斯达克100指数",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4588":"碎股",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1399351.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2607847790","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉,美国区域性银行受到牛市行情扩大的提振——投资者认为,即使整体轮动势头减弱,这种势头仍将继续。标普区域银行精选指数涵盖了Pathward Financial(CASH.US)和Metropolitan Bank Holding(MCB.US)等银行,有望连续第三个月跑赢标普500指数,这将是自2022年以来最长的连胜纪录。该指数成分股的估值倍数仍低于其长期平均水平,如果盈利强劲,则仍有进一步上涨的空间。该指数约10%的成分股将在未来两天内公布业绩。还有其他因素提振了投资者的信心。22V Research 的策略师表示,美国经济持续增长,降低了资产负债表更稳健的大型贷款机构的相对吸引力,因此他们更看好小型银行。收益率曲线趋陡以及并购活动预期回升也对该行业有利。资产管理公司Easterly Snow的首席投资官兼高级投资组合经理Joshua Schachter表示:“区域性银行可能是市场上最便宜的板块,这一点从很多指标上都能看出来。区域性银行内部有很多值得称道的故事,现在这些故事正在结出硕果。”规模达40亿美元的道富SPDR标普区域银行ETF今年已上涨4.6%,超过了标普500指数1.9%的涨幅,并且相对于更广泛的金融股指标达到2024年以来的最高水平。这一与美国消费者密切相关的板块的突破性表现,为更广泛的股市发出了积极信号。此前,股市的上涨主要受人工智能交易热潮的推动,直到去年11月才有所回落。Schachter对区域性贷款机构的乐观态度与美国国债收益率曲线的陡峭化密切相关。收益率曲线陡峭化是指长期收益率的上升速度快于短期收益率。这对贷款机构有利,因为它们长期贷款利率与存款利率之间的利差将会扩大。Schachter还指出,放松管制、企业税率的变化以及小型银行被大型竞争对手收购的趋势也是积极的催化剂。其他投资者则不太确定。Janus Henderson Investors美国中小市值成长股团队的投资组合经理Jonathan Coleman认为,科技股在小市值股票中提供了更令人兴奋的投资机会,因为它们更能受益于人工智能的增长。Coleman说:“我们喜欢具有差异化价值主张的公司。”他还补充说,他更倾向于“避开”那些几十年来基本上都采用相同商业模式的本地银行。他还补充道,小型银行面临的其他潜在不利因素包括特朗普政府对稳定币的支持,这增加了它们的存款被转移到数字资产领域的风险。对另一些人来说,美国经济增长势头的回升可能会进一步提振小型贷款机构的股价。本月早些时候公布的数据显示,美国第三季度国内生产总值(GDP)修正后增速为4.4%,创两年来最快增速。美联储主席鲍威尔周三也进一步强调了未来一年美国经济前景的“明显改善”,同时政策制定者们也宣布维持利率不变。22V Research策略师Bill Hebel表示,本季度区域性银行的基本面“稳健”,相对估值依然具有吸引力。他还补充说,与更容易受到降低信用卡利率政治压力影响的大型银行相比,区域性银行的表现更佳。包括Hebel在内的22V Research策略师在给客户的报告中写道:“为资本市场和信用卡敞口支付溢价,以及通过扩大资产负债表来缓冲特殊信用风险的理由已经减弱。迄今为止,财报中几乎没有提及信用状况,这本身就表明人们对经济衰退风险的认知正在减弱。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NDX":2,"YMmain":2,"MNQ2612":2,".IXIC":2,".SPX":2,"ESmain":2,"NQmain":2,"MNQmain":2,".DJI":2,"MNQ2603":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511853325488528,"gmtCreate":1765991152946,"gmtModify":1765991154879,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"五福临门666","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MDLN\">$Medline Inc(MDLN)$ </a> 今天市场行情不好,都不敢开盘,我就中5股,快开盘卖了完事。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MDLN\">$Medline Inc(MDLN)$ </a> 今天市场行情不好,都不敢开盘,我就中5股,快开盘卖了完事。","text":"$Medline Inc(MDLN)$ 今天市场行情不好,都不敢开盘,我就中5股,快开盘卖了完事。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511853325488528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511828337230160,"gmtCreate":1765985051694,"gmtModify":1765985054567,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"五福临门666","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 英伟达最近不断回调,利空下跌利好也下跌,就好像有一股力量故意压制英伟达,12月份这个时间点也很有意思,是一个季度末,如果机构在12月份低价买入英伟达,明年拉升英伟达,那么2026年利润表现就会非常漂亮! 我非常确定ai不是泡沫,目前ai扫地机器人已经走入到了家庭,2026年这种ai应用落地可能会更多,企业利润上涨,泡沫论将不攻自破,英伟达股价可能再次迎来爆发。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 英伟达最近不断回调,利空下跌利好也下跌,就好像有一股力量故意压制英伟达,12月份这个时间点也很有意思,是一个季度末,如果机构在12月份低价买入英伟达,明年拉升英伟达,那么2026年利润表现就会非常漂亮! 我非常确定ai不是泡沫,目前ai扫地机器人已经走入到了家庭,2026年这种ai应用落地可能会更多,企业利润上涨,泡沫论将不攻自破,英伟达股价可能再次迎来爆发。","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 英伟达最近不断回调,利空下跌利好也下跌,就好像有一股力量故意压制英伟达,12月份这个时间点也很有意思,是一个季度末,如果机构在12月份低价买入英伟达,明年拉升英伟达,那么2026年利润表现就会非常漂亮! 我非常确定ai不是泡沫,目前ai扫地机器人已经走入到了家庭,2026年这种ai应用落地可能会更多,企业利润上涨,泡沫论将不攻自破,英伟达股价可能再次迎来爆发。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511828337230160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3968,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3440540550401156","authorId":"3440540550401156","name":"KEINS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70c84e27d76e3a3450fb952380b9db3e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3440540550401156","idStr":"3440540550401156"},"content":"机构必须买入啊,为2026开个好头","text":"机构必须买入啊,为2026开个好头","html":"机构必须买入啊,为2026开个好头"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":504759726711200,"gmtCreate":1764250965781,"gmtModify":1764250967504,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"五福临门666","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2512(NQmain)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2512(NQmain)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> ","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2512(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/504759726711200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":757,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":484604828451032,"gmtCreate":1759322458599,"gmtModify":1759322460895,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"五福临门666","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"降息势不可挡","listText":"降息势不可挡","text":"降息势不可挡","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/484604828451032","repostId":"1198574077","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1198574077","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1759320997,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198574077?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-10-01 20:16","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"盘前丨“小非农”大幅低于预期,LAC暴涨35%,Reddit跌超10%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198574077","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"为2023年3月来最大降幅。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>美国9月ADP就业人数:-3.2万人,为2023年3月来最大降幅;预期:5万人,前值:5.4万人。</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>ADP报告:9月数据印证了我们此前观察到的劳动力市场趋势——美国雇主在招聘方面一直持谨慎态度。</p></li><li><p>交易员提高对年内美联储进一步降息两次的押注。</p></li><li><p>据CME“美联储观察”:美联储10月降息25个基点的概率升至99%。美联储12月累计降息25个基点的概率为9.8%,累计降息50个基点的概率为89.3%,累计降息75个基点的概率为0.9%。</p></li></ul><p><strong>美股三大指数期货在盘前时段齐跌。当地时间10月1日0时,美国联邦政府时隔近七年再度“停摆”。数十万联邦雇员将被迫无薪休假,部分公共服务或暂停、延迟,经济数据发布将受到影响。此前,美国两党因医保福利方面分歧,未能就新的临时拨款法案达成一致。</strong></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97e8a71cde12bc8e37e83515aade28a0\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"753\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><h4 id=\"id_1544294612\">个股盘前行情</h4><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAC\">Lithium Americas Corp.</a> 暴涨35%,美国政府确认入股,报道称美国能源部将持有该公司5%的股份,以及该公司与通用汽车合资成立的Thacker Pass 5%的股份。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80981862f74c7824e2f140da100824f4\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"444\" tg-height=\"125\"/></p><p>公用事业公司 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AES\">爱依斯电力</a> 大涨近11%。消息面上,贝莱德旗下的全球基础设施合伙公司(Global Infrastructure Partners)接近以380亿美元收购该公司。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7335baea7a0959bb258e9117c7604438\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"436\" tg-height=\"131\"/></p><p>太空概念股 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASTS\">AST SpaceMobile </a> 涨约8%,公司生产的BlueBird 6卫星完成最终的组装及测试。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1522ebeac36a63f2942bcc4ecd82554f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"441\" tg-height=\"130\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a> 涨近5%,2026财年第一财季营收增长了1%,而此前曾预计该季度销售额将出现中个位数百分比下降。不过,耐克同时警告称,预计在假日购物季的大部分时间里,销售额将再次出现下滑。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c275ab2bf7b2c1e8799f7e7a0249a8c\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"440\" tg-height=\"125\"/></p><p>比特币、以太坊拉升,加密货币概念股普涨。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMNR\">BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc.</a> 涨超4%,MARA、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">Strategy</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBET\">SharpLink Gaming</a> 涨超2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRCL\">Circle Internet Corp.</a> 涨超1%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b28e99cc3a69b5d763a0f45a4abb427\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"440\" tg-height=\"124\"/></p><p>医药股延续昨日涨势。截至发稿, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZN\">阿斯利康</a> 涨超5%,赛诺菲安万特、葛兰素史克涨超2%。</p><p>核电股 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKLO\">Oklo Inc.</a> 涨超1%,公司获选参与美国能源部的先进核燃料生产线试点项目。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">西方石油</a> 涨0.42%,此前报道称,伯克希尔正与该公司就以约100亿美元收购其OxyChem业务进行谈判。</p><p>大型科技股盘前普跌。截至发稿,Meta跌超1%,英伟达跌0.8%,微软跌0.7%,谷歌跌0.6%,亚马逊跌0.5%,特斯拉跌0.4%,苹果跌0.2%。</p><p>被称为“美国贴吧”的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDDT\">Reddit</a> 大跌超10%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de75a97fdca3ae6f4dfefe63a04e88ce\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"441\" tg-height=\"124\"/></p><p>理想汽车涨0.8%,9月交付33,951辆汽车,第三季度累计交付93,211辆。</p><p>蔚来涨1.8%,9月交付新车 34749 辆,同比增长 64%,创历史新高。</p><p>小鹏汽车涨超2%,9 月交付 41581 辆,同比增长 95%,环比增长 10%。单月交付量突破 4 万辆,创下历史新高。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c695969646daa263e25c140a4c48c5ae\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"440\" tg-height=\"123\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>盘前丨“小非农”大幅低于预期,LAC暴涨35%,Reddit跌超10%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n盘前丨“小非农”大幅低于预期,LAC暴涨35%,Reddit跌超10%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-10-01 20:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><strong>美国9月ADP就业人数:-3.2万人,为2023年3月来最大降幅;预期:5万人,前值:5.4万人。</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>ADP报告:9月数据印证了我们此前观察到的劳动力市场趋势——美国雇主在招聘方面一直持谨慎态度。</p></li><li><p>交易员提高对年内美联储进一步降息两次的押注。</p></li><li><p>据CME“美联储观察”:美联储10月降息25个基点的概率升至99%。美联储12月累计降息25个基点的概率为9.8%,累计降息50个基点的概率为89.3%,累计降息75个基点的概率为0.9%。</p></li></ul><p><strong>美股三大指数期货在盘前时段齐跌。当地时间10月1日0时,美国联邦政府时隔近七年再度“停摆”。数十万联邦雇员将被迫无薪休假,部分公共服务或暂停、延迟,经济数据发布将受到影响。此前,美国两党因医保福利方面分歧,未能就新的临时拨款法案达成一致。</strong></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97e8a71cde12bc8e37e83515aade28a0\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"753\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><h4 id=\"id_1544294612\">个股盘前行情</h4><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAC\">Lithium Americas Corp.</a> 暴涨35%,美国政府确认入股,报道称美国能源部将持有该公司5%的股份,以及该公司与通用汽车合资成立的Thacker Pass 5%的股份。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80981862f74c7824e2f140da100824f4\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"444\" tg-height=\"125\"/></p><p>公用事业公司 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AES\">爱依斯电力</a> 大涨近11%。消息面上,贝莱德旗下的全球基础设施合伙公司(Global Infrastructure Partners)接近以380亿美元收购该公司。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7335baea7a0959bb258e9117c7604438\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"436\" tg-height=\"131\"/></p><p>太空概念股 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASTS\">AST SpaceMobile </a> 涨约8%,公司生产的BlueBird 6卫星完成最终的组装及测试。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1522ebeac36a63f2942bcc4ecd82554f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"441\" tg-height=\"130\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a> 涨近5%,2026财年第一财季营收增长了1%,而此前曾预计该季度销售额将出现中个位数百分比下降。不过,耐克同时警告称,预计在假日购物季的大部分时间里,销售额将再次出现下滑。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c275ab2bf7b2c1e8799f7e7a0249a8c\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"440\" tg-height=\"125\"/></p><p>比特币、以太坊拉升,加密货币概念股普涨。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMNR\">BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc.</a> 涨超4%,MARA、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">Strategy</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBET\">SharpLink Gaming</a> 涨超2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRCL\">Circle Internet Corp.</a> 涨超1%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b28e99cc3a69b5d763a0f45a4abb427\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"440\" tg-height=\"124\"/></p><p>医药股延续昨日涨势。截至发稿, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZN\">阿斯利康</a> 涨超5%,赛诺菲安万特、葛兰素史克涨超2%。</p><p>核电股 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKLO\">Oklo Inc.</a> 涨超1%,公司获选参与美国能源部的先进核燃料生产线试点项目。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">西方石油</a> 涨0.42%,此前报道称,伯克希尔正与该公司就以约100亿美元收购其OxyChem业务进行谈判。</p><p>大型科技股盘前普跌。截至发稿,Meta跌超1%,英伟达跌0.8%,微软跌0.7%,谷歌跌0.6%,亚马逊跌0.5%,特斯拉跌0.4%,苹果跌0.2%。</p><p>被称为“美国贴吧”的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDDT\">Reddit</a> 大跌超10%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de75a97fdca3ae6f4dfefe63a04e88ce\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"441\" tg-height=\"124\"/></p><p>理想汽车涨0.8%,9月交付33,951辆汽车,第三季度累计交付93,211辆。</p><p>蔚来涨1.8%,9月交付新车 34749 辆,同比增长 64%,创历史新高。</p><p>小鹏汽车涨超2%,9 月交付 41581 辆,同比增长 95%,环比增长 10%。单月交付量突破 4 万辆,创下历史新高。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c695969646daa263e25c140a4c48c5ae\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"440\" tg-height=\"123\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4ee39e6b0f45214393093d70ba81a8","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198574077","content_text":"美国9月ADP就业人数:-3.2万人,为2023年3月来最大降幅;预期:5万人,前值:5.4万人。ADP报告:9月数据印证了我们此前观察到的劳动力市场趋势——美国雇主在招聘方面一直持谨慎态度。交易员提高对年内美联储进一步降息两次的押注。据CME“美联储观察”:美联储10月降息25个基点的概率升至99%。美联储12月累计降息25个基点的概率为9.8%,累计降息50个基点的概率为89.3%,累计降息75个基点的概率为0.9%。美股三大指数期货在盘前时段齐跌。当地时间10月1日0时,美国联邦政府时隔近七年再度“停摆”。数十万联邦雇员将被迫无薪休假,部分公共服务或暂停、延迟,经济数据发布将受到影响。此前,美国两党因医保福利方面分歧,未能就新的临时拨款法案达成一致。个股盘前行情Lithium Americas Corp. 暴涨35%,美国政府确认入股,报道称美国能源部将持有该公司5%的股份,以及该公司与通用汽车合资成立的Thacker Pass 5%的股份。公用事业公司 爱依斯电力 大涨近11%。消息面上,贝莱德旗下的全球基础设施合伙公司(Global Infrastructure Partners)接近以380亿美元收购该公司。太空概念股 AST SpaceMobile 涨约8%,公司生产的BlueBird 6卫星完成最终的组装及测试。耐克 涨近5%,2026财年第一财季营收增长了1%,而此前曾预计该季度销售额将出现中个位数百分比下降。不过,耐克同时警告称,预计在假日购物季的大部分时间里,销售额将再次出现下滑。比特币、以太坊拉升,加密货币概念股普涨。BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc. 涨超4%,MARA、Strategy、SharpLink Gaming 涨超2%,Circle Internet Corp. 涨超1%。医药股延续昨日涨势。截至发稿, 阿斯利康 涨超5%,赛诺菲安万特、葛兰素史克涨超2%。核电股 Oklo Inc. 涨超1%,公司获选参与美国能源部的先进核燃料生产线试点项目。西方石油 涨0.42%,此前报道称,伯克希尔正与该公司就以约100亿美元收购其OxyChem业务进行谈判。大型科技股盘前普跌。截至发稿,Meta跌超1%,英伟达跌0.8%,微软跌0.7%,谷歌跌0.6%,亚马逊跌0.5%,特斯拉跌0.4%,苹果跌0.2%。被称为“美国贴吧”的Reddit 大跌超10%。理想汽车涨0.8%,9月交付33,951辆汽车,第三季度累计交付93,211辆。蔚来涨1.8%,9月交付新车 34749 辆,同比增长 64%,创历史新高。小鹏汽车涨超2%,9 月交付 41581 辆,同比增长 95%,环比增长 10%。单月交付量突破 4 万辆,创下历史新高。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ESmain":1.1,"YMmain":1.1,"NQmain":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":483898383171704,"gmtCreate":1759168379328,"gmtModify":1759168381578,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"五福临门666","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"加杠杆160手,还有必要打吗,会不会一手不给,还亏手续费。","listText":"加杠杆160手,还有必要打吗,会不会一手不给,还亏手续费。","text":"加杠杆160手,还有必要打吗,会不会一手不给,还亏手续费。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/483898383171704","repostId":"483503222797064","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":483503222797064,"gmtCreate":1759071902542,"gmtModify":1759109399885,"author":{"id":"4105541084439510","authorId":"4105541084439510","name":"读财报话新股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6288ae01d78c6eed1f7285bd84ab1c86","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4105541084439510","idStr":"4105541084439510"},"themes":[],"title":"港股打新:长风药业申购分析,妖性十足,预计最少超5000倍以上,再度全员抽签!","htmlText":"长风药业 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02652\">$长风药业(02652)$</a> 选择了机制B,公开分配仅10% 目前机制B的新股,从没破发,因此长风药业可以闭眼打 但是有些有意思的点,财哥还是得跟大伙聊聊 图片 第一点是:长风药业妖气满满 保荐人除了拉来了中信哥,还拉来了另一个男人:招银国际 很多人只记得那个无所不能的中信哥,但招银国际可是仅仅排在中信哥之后,位列2025年第二强保荐人 今年招银国际参与保荐的新股,除了绿茶破发外,其他全部都上涨 图片 财哥其实非常喜欢招银国际的 一是由于在以前的分配旧规下,招银国际套路回拨的新股数量,也仅是排在中信哥之后 二是唯一一只破发的新股:绿茶,给了财哥大仓位捞新的机会,绿茶是财哥捞新赚得最多的次新股,没有之一,堪称成名作 加上长风药业本次没有基石没有绿鞋,募资金额才6亿出头,妥妥的妖股潜质 第二点:本次又是地狱级中签难度,全员抽签 由于是周末,目前软件显示长风药业公开超购才530倍 图片 但财哥预计最终5000-6000倍!!! 理由如下: 目前长风药业资金没有跟任何一只冲突,咱用最近没有冲突的两只新股为例 上一只没有冲突的医药股,劲方医药,公开冻资了4400亿 再前面的奇瑞汽车,由于市场担心资金会跟紫金黄金国际等冲突,再加上部分人觉的会跟奥克斯一样破发 因此奇瑞汽车市场没有全力申购,但仍然公开冻资了2815亿 在两大保荐人下,财哥预期长风药业的公开冻资额,会高于奇瑞汽车,稍微低于劲方医药 假设最终长风药业公开冻资3500亿,则公开超购5740倍,逼近6000倍大关啊 咱再保守点,咱就先来预计长风药业超购5000倍,比5740倍还低,且常规分配下,则: 甲组:甲尾一手中签率0.03%,甲尾总中签率18% 乙组:乙头一手中签率0.02%,乙头总中签率12%,顶头锤总中签率82.4% 顶头都不能稳","listText":"长风药业 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02652\">$长风药业(02652)$</a> 选择了机制B,公开分配仅10% 目前机制B的新股,从没破发,因此长风药业可以闭眼打 但是有些有意思的点,财哥还是得跟大伙聊聊 图片 第一点是:长风药业妖气满满 保荐人除了拉来了中信哥,还拉来了另一个男人:招银国际 很多人只记得那个无所不能的中信哥,但招银国际可是仅仅排在中信哥之后,位列2025年第二强保荐人 今年招银国际参与保荐的新股,除了绿茶破发外,其他全部都上涨 图片 财哥其实非常喜欢招银国际的 一是由于在以前的分配旧规下,招银国际套路回拨的新股数量,也仅是排在中信哥之后 二是唯一一只破发的新股:绿茶,给了财哥大仓位捞新的机会,绿茶是财哥捞新赚得最多的次新股,没有之一,堪称成名作 加上长风药业本次没有基石没有绿鞋,募资金额才6亿出头,妥妥的妖股潜质 第二点:本次又是地狱级中签难度,全员抽签 由于是周末,目前软件显示长风药业公开超购才530倍 图片 但财哥预计最终5000-6000倍!!! 理由如下: 目前长风药业资金没有跟任何一只冲突,咱用最近没有冲突的两只新股为例 上一只没有冲突的医药股,劲方医药,公开冻资了4400亿 再前面的奇瑞汽车,由于市场担心资金会跟紫金黄金国际等冲突,再加上部分人觉的会跟奥克斯一样破发 因此奇瑞汽车市场没有全力申购,但仍然公开冻资了2815亿 在两大保荐人下,财哥预期长风药业的公开冻资额,会高于奇瑞汽车,稍微低于劲方医药 假设最终长风药业公开冻资3500亿,则公开超购5740倍,逼近6000倍大关啊 咱再保守点,咱就先来预计长风药业超购5000倍,比5740倍还低,且常规分配下,则: 甲组:甲尾一手中签率0.03%,甲尾总中签率18% 乙组:乙头一手中签率0.02%,乙头总中签率12%,顶头锤总中签率82.4% 顶头都不能稳","text":"长风药业 $长风药业(02652)$ 选择了机制B,公开分配仅10% 目前机制B的新股,从没破发,因此长风药业可以闭眼打 但是有些有意思的点,财哥还是得跟大伙聊聊 图片 第一点是:长风药业妖气满满 保荐人除了拉来了中信哥,还拉来了另一个男人:招银国际 很多人只记得那个无所不能的中信哥,但招银国际可是仅仅排在中信哥之后,位列2025年第二强保荐人 今年招银国际参与保荐的新股,除了绿茶破发外,其他全部都上涨 图片 财哥其实非常喜欢招银国际的 一是由于在以前的分配旧规下,招银国际套路回拨的新股数量,也仅是排在中信哥之后 二是唯一一只破发的新股:绿茶,给了财哥大仓位捞新的机会,绿茶是财哥捞新赚得最多的次新股,没有之一,堪称成名作 加上长风药业本次没有基石没有绿鞋,募资金额才6亿出头,妥妥的妖股潜质 第二点:本次又是地狱级中签难度,全员抽签 由于是周末,目前软件显示长风药业公开超购才530倍 图片 但财哥预计最终5000-6000倍!!! 理由如下: 目前长风药业资金没有跟任何一只冲突,咱用最近没有冲突的两只新股为例 上一只没有冲突的医药股,劲方医药,公开冻资了4400亿 再前面的奇瑞汽车,由于市场担心资金会跟紫金黄金国际等冲突,再加上部分人觉的会跟奥克斯一样破发 因此奇瑞汽车市场没有全力申购,但仍然公开冻资了2815亿 在两大保荐人下,财哥预期长风药业的公开冻资额,会高于奇瑞汽车,稍微低于劲方医药 假设最终长风药业公开冻资3500亿,则公开超购5740倍,逼近6000倍大关啊 咱再保守点,咱就先来预计长风药业超购5000倍,比5740倍还低,且常规分配下,则: 甲组:甲尾一手中签率0.03%,甲尾总中签率18% 乙组:乙头一手中签率0.02%,乙头总中签率12%,顶头锤总中签率82.4% 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太牛了,没想中88美元都能赚1000多人民币,爽!","text":"$ChowChow Cloud International Holdings Limited(CHOW)$ 太牛了,没想中88美元都能赚1000多人民币,爽!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8bb400d9e4ed5b981b1e275f0bc4d89f","width":"1080","height":"2400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/479224022581376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3552814244947277","authorId":"3552814244947277","name":"含笑笑","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3552814244947277","idStr":"3552814244947277"},"content":"打了多少啊?中签率高吗","text":"打了多少啊?中签率高吗","html":"打了多少啊?中签率高吗"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":479224878629448,"gmtCreate":1758033064902,"gmtModify":1758033066659,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"五福临门666","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHOW\">$ChowChow Cloud International Holdings Limited(CHOW)$ </a> 直接涨停了?之后往下砸盘吗?什么套路啊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHOW\">$ChowChow Cloud International Holdings Limited(CHOW)$ </a> 直接涨停了?之后往下砸盘吗?什么套路啊","text":"$ChowChow Cloud International Holdings Limited(CHOW)$ 直接涨停了?之后往下砸盘吗?什么套路啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/479224878629448","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1522,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":533841420068248,"gmtCreate":1771353385652,"gmtModify":1771353387925,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"五福临门666","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093185301808780","authorIdStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 我发现一个非常有趣的事情,微软,谷歌的市盈率居然被砸的比可口可乐还要低了,难道卖糖水比互联网,ai科技更有发展?哈哈哈哈","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 我发现一个非常有趣的事情,微软,谷歌的市盈率居然被砸的比可口可乐还要低了,难道卖糖水比互联网,ai科技更有发展?哈哈哈哈","text":"$微软(MSFT)$ 我发现一个非常有趣的事情,微软,谷歌的市盈率居然被砸的比可口可乐还要低了,难道卖糖水比互联网,ai科技更有发展?哈哈哈哈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/533841420068248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":533840681514544,"gmtCreate":1771353152867,"gmtModify":1771372604008,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"五福临门666","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093185301808780","authorIdStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ai泡沫风险是无脑看空!英伟达博通的利润增长完全支撑的起市盈率,甚至还很便宜,微软谷歌市盈率已经比可口可乐还低了,难道卖糖水比科技更有未来吗?这太疯狂了!","listText":"ai泡沫风险是无脑看空!英伟达博通的利润增长完全支撑的起市盈率,甚至还很便宜,微软谷歌市盈率已经比可口可乐还低了,难道卖糖水比科技更有未来吗?这太疯狂了!","text":"ai泡沫风险是无脑看空!英伟达博通的利润增长完全支撑的起市盈率,甚至还很便宜,微软谷歌市盈率已经比可口可乐还低了,难道卖糖水比科技更有未来吗?这太疯狂了!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/533840681514544","repostId":"2612963465","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2612963465","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1771343880,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2612963465?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-17 23:58","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"英伟达业绩公布在即,市场观点分歧","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2612963465","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"随着英伟达 (NVDA) 2月25日财报公布日期临近,关于人工智能投资回报率的辩论持续发酵。看涨者认为超大规模企业的支出将持续,而看跌者则警示泡沫风险。英伟达周二早盘下跌0.7%。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑:张俊 SF065","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p>随着<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a> (NVDA) 2月25日财报公布日期临近,关于人工智能投资回报率的辩论持续发酵。看涨者认为超大规模企业的支出将持续,而看跌者则警示泡沫风险。英伟达周二早盘下跌0.7%。</p>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP</div>\n</div>\n<p>责任编辑:张俊 SF065</p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>英伟达业绩公布在即,市场观点分歧</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n英伟达业绩公布在即,市场观点分歧\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-17 23:58 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2026-02-17/doc-inhncznu4809760.shtml><strong>环球市场播报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>随着英伟达 (NVDA) 2月25日财报公布日期临近,关于人工智能投资回报率的辩论持续发酵。看涨者认为超大规模企业的支出将持续,而看跌者则警示泡沫风险。英伟达周二早盘下跌0.7%。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑:张俊 SF065</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2026-02-17/doc-inhncznu4809760.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE00B5949003.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU2430703178.SGD":"WELLINGTON MULTI-ASSET HIGH INCOME \"AM4H\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU0211327993.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A(离岸)美元","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU2430703251.USD":"WELLINGTON MULTI-ASSET HIGH INCOME \"AM4\" (USD) INC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A(dist)","LU1983260115.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Sustainable Equity A2 SGD-H","LU2272731782.SGD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AM Dis H2-SGD","LU2272731600.USD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AM Dis USD","SG9999002232.USD":"Allianz Global High Payout 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