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2021-10-22

Facebook is reporting next week and the privacy issue faced by snap will also affect Facebook. Will Facebook shares fall next week?

Snap nosedives 20% as revenue misses amid iPhone privacy changes<blockquote>iPhone隐私变化导致收入下滑，Snap股价暴跌20%</blockquote>

2021-09-06

Be fearful when the market is greedy. Be greedy when the market is fearful.

3 Golden Rules On How To Invest At All-Time Highs<blockquote>如何在历史高点进行投资的3条黄金法则</blockquote>

2021-11-16

Unless the market crashes, it may be difficult to see a big correction for Apple

Sell AAPL? Why This Expert Sees Apple Stock Dipping 12%<blockquote>出售苹果公司？为什么这位专家认为苹果股价下跌12%</blockquote>

2021-11-12

Tonight will be important to watch to determine the short term market direction

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-25

The market will probably continue to rise until the rate increase is more or less certain. Watch US inflation as a forward indicator of when a rate rise will happen.

The Market Believes the Fed Will Have to Raise Rates Soon. What It Means for Stocks.<blockquote>市场认为美联储将不得不很快加息。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>

2021-10-07

This is a nice list of stocks. With a share price of $175, Apple market cap will be close to 3 trillion, another record.

Here are 10 'high conviction' stocks of companies with strong pricing power and at least 20% upside potential to UBS targets<blockquote>以下是10只“高度确信”的公司股票，它们具有强大的定价能力，比瑞银目标至少有20%的上涨潜力</blockquote>

2021-10-25

18 million is a pretty small sum. It does not make sense for stock to rise so much. Do trade with care

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-20

Pharmaceuticals are complex and impact life. Rushing is not the way to get things out. Once reputation is ruined, it will be difficult to regain the trust of the public

Novavax plunged over 20% in premarket trading<blockquote>Novavax盘前交易暴跌逾20%</blockquote>

2021-10-17

Short term supply bottlenecks could limit Amazon year end sales.

JPMorgan On Amazon Stock: 29% Upside Potential<blockquote>摩根大通看好亚马逊股票：29%的上涨潜力</blockquote>

2021-10-05

Since the death of Jobs, we have yet to see another revolutionary product from Apple. Will the Apple car be a revolutionary product or just following on the footsteps of Tesla Motor ?

A decade later, Steve Jobs is still paving Apple’s path to success<blockquote>十年后，史蒂夫·乔布斯仍在为苹果的成功铺平道路</blockquote>

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in where value is.","starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":693988781,"gmtCreate":1639960911414,"gmtModify":1639960911904,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The postponement of Biden's 1.75 trillion bill will unlikely impact the market tonight","listText":"The postponement of Biden's 1.75 trillion bill will unlikely impact the market tonight","text":"The postponement of Biden's 1.75 trillion bill will unlikely impact the market tonight","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693988781","repostId":"2192901549","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2192901549","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639949716,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2192901549?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 05:35","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"外媒头条：拜登1.75万亿经济支出计划或被推迟审议","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2192901549","media":"新浪美股","summary":"曼钦投下反对票后，也意味着拜登这项法案大概率将被迫延至明年1月再审议。曼钦称，照现在这样，他是不会支持拜登2万亿美元经济议程的，并表示民主党人在谈判中并未对立法进行任何实际修改。伦敦市宣布进入“重大事件”紧急状态，以协助医院应对奥密克戎毒株的迅速蔓延。在接下来的几周内，CCI 将审查苹果对这些指控的回应，并可能下令进行更广泛调查。据知情人士透露此次交易的金额为 1 亿美元。","content":"<p><b>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>1、曼钦明确表示反对 拜登1.75万亿美元经济支出计划或被推迟审议</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>2、英国疫情失控 当局考虑为酒店业和旅游业提供紧急援助</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>寻求驳回印度应用市场反垄断案 辩称其应用内收费系统并不过分</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>4、航空业低迷 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">波音</a>以1亿美元出售其商用飞机总部</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>5、法国央行预计消失很多年的通胀趋势将“复兴”</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>6、欧洲电力价格因寒流或上涨至创纪录水平</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a08fbcc8a7aefd75b5ea537e9b38c950\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>曼钦明确表示反对 拜登1.75万亿美元经济支出计划或被推迟审议</b></p>\n<p>美国民主党参议员曼钦明确表示，反对拜登提出的1.75万亿美元“重建美<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>法案”。</p>\n<p>由于民主党和共和党目前各自掌握参议院的50个席位，在目前没有任何一名共和党参议员支持的情况下，曼钦这一票将能关系到议案能否获得通过。</p>\n<p>曼钦投下反对票后，也意味着拜登这项法案大概率将被迫延至明年1月再审议。该计划的推迟将产生广泛的影响，甚至会影响到明年的中期选举。</p>\n<p>曼钦称，照现在这样，他是不会支持拜登2万亿美元经济议程的，并表示民主党人在谈判中并未对立法进行任何实际修改。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/448795697a75c4cf3d83f1b764a061e1\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"540\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>英国疫情失控 当局考虑为酒店业和旅游业提供紧急援助</b></p>\n<p>据英国《每日电讯报》报道，英国财政大臣苏纳克正在考虑为酒店业和旅游业提供新的刺激措施，以应对由于政府建议减少社交活动而导致的业务下滑。</p>\n<p>到目前为止，英国是欧洲地区奥密克戎疫情最严重的国家。12月18号，英国当局通报，其奥密克戎确认病例已达24968例，较24小时前增加超1万例。伦敦市宣布进入“重大事件”紧急状态，以协助医院应对奥密克戎毒株的迅速蔓延。</p>\n<p>英格兰首席医疗官克里斯·惠蒂日前也警告，英国正面临“相互叠加的”打击，即德尔塔毒株感染病例保持高位的同时，奥密克戎毒株感染病例迅速增长，未来几周可能会不断出现创纪录的疫情数字。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/664e1aa10f1bc96288f58dec4f3ace44\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>苹果寻求驳回印度应用市场反垄断案 辩称其应用内收费系统并不过分</b></p>\n<p>苹果公司已要求印度反垄断监管机构驳回一起指控其滥用市场支配力的案件，辩称在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>占主导地位的印度市场份额太小。</p>\n<p>此前印度竞争委员会 （CCI） 开始审查有关苹果通过强迫应用程序开发人员使用其专有系统并对其应用程序内购买收取高达30%的佣金从而损害公平竞争。</p>\n<p>苹果在向 CCI 提交的文件中否认了这些指控，并强调其在印度的市场份额“微不足道”“在印度市场并不占主导地位”。苹果反驳称，整个智能手机市场——包括 Android 等可授权系统——反而是应该考虑是否存在垄断的市场。</p>\n<p>在接下来的几周内，CCI 将审查苹果对这些指控的回应，并可能下令进行更广泛调查。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1890ea724d25f0a549efa4cabb3030c8\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>航空业低迷 波音以1亿美元出售其商用飞机总部</b></p>\n<p>波音公司已完成其位于西雅图郊区的商用飞机总部园区的出售。</p>\n<p>据媒体报道，买方是位于西雅图的私募股权房地产投资公司的子公司 Unico Properties。据知情人士透露此次交易的金额为 1 亿美元。</p>\n<p>Unico 表示，购买该地块是因为它靠近通勤铁路、Southcenter 购物中心和西雅图-塔科马国际机场，可以认为此次交易是作为“以交通为导向的投资”。</p>\n<p>这是波音在新冠肺炎大流行导致的航空业低迷期间为削减成本而进行的一系列房地产撤资中的最新一次。</p>\n<p>除了总部大楼外，该地点还包括另一座大楼，该大楼曾经是波音公司最先进的培训设施和全飞行模拟器的所在地。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46f214aea7be1a221a68c6c2ddb19d05\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>法国央行预计消失很多年的通胀趋势将“复兴”</b></p>\n<p>法国经济将以非常接近2%的趋势通胀摆脱新冠疫情，而此前，货币当局在全球金融危机以来的十多年中一直未能实现这个目标。</p>\n<p>根据法国央行的最新预测，随着能源价格飙升的影响明年减弱，2023年和2024年的CPI涨幅将稳定在1.5%左右。扣除能源和食品，这个欧元区第二大经济体那两年的核心通胀率将为1.7%，而疫情爆发前的7年在0.7%左右。</p>\n<p>“2023年和2024年的回归正常状态不是重返2013年至2019年的局面，那时候通胀水平太弱，”法国央行行长Francois Villeroy de Galhau在接受采访时表示。</p>\n<p>“相反，我们可能回到更平衡通胀格局，就像2008年金融危机之前一样，欧元区平均通胀率约为2%。”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9ba4001e34e963fecd5c406f92d921a\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"475\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>欧洲电力价格因寒流或上涨至创纪录水平</b></p>\n<p>欧洲每日电价飙升，因为周一气温偏低，这将提振需求，而法国则停止了更多核反应堆。</p>\n<p>天气变冷、风力减弱和核电中断，再加上非常昂贵的天然气价格，西班牙的每日电价跃升至创纪录水平，而法国电价则升至 2009 年罕见的价格高峰以来的最高水平。由于俄罗斯的供应受阻，价格比年初高出七倍，贸易商正准备迎接即将到来的最寒冷冬季的更高价格。</p>\n<p>据数据模型分析推算，周一大部分时间德国的风电输出低于 5000 兆瓦，而 11 月 30 日创下的记录为 47130 兆瓦。目前欧洲大部分地区的低风速将增加对昂贵天然气和煤炭的依赖。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0HBA.UK\">法国电力公司</a>周日中午停止了 Chooz-1 核反应堆，直到 1 月 23 日，这是法国四个最大的反应堆因安全问题延长停工期的一部分，这将阻碍一年中最关键月份的可用容量。</p>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>外媒头条：拜登1.75万亿经济支出计划或被推迟审议</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n外媒头条：拜登1.75万亿经济支出计划或被推迟审议\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-20 05:35 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-12-20/doc-ikyamrmz0015518.shtml><strong>新浪美股</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：\n\n1、曼钦明确表示反对 拜登1.75万亿美元经济支出计划或被推迟审议\n\n\n2、英国疫情失控 当局考虑为酒店业和旅游业提供紧急援助\n\n\n3、苹果寻求驳回印度应用市场反垄断案 辩称其应用内收费系统并不过分\n\n\n4、航空业低迷 波音以1亿美元出售其商用飞机总部\n\n\n5、法国央行预计消失很多年的通胀趋势将“复兴”\n\n\n6、欧洲电力价格因寒流或上涨至创纪录水平...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-12-20/doc-ikyamrmz0015518.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/448795697a75c4cf3d83f1b764a061e1","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-12-20/doc-ikyamrmz0015518.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2192901549","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：\n\n1、曼钦明确表示反对 拜登1.75万亿美元经济支出计划或被推迟审议\n\n\n2、英国疫情失控 当局考虑为酒店业和旅游业提供紧急援助\n\n\n3、苹果寻求驳回印度应用市场反垄断案 辩称其应用内收费系统并不过分\n\n\n4、航空业低迷 波音以1亿美元出售其商用飞机总部\n\n\n5、法国央行预计消失很多年的通胀趋势将“复兴”\n\n\n6、欧洲电力价格因寒流或上涨至创纪录水平\n\n\n曼钦明确表示反对 拜登1.75万亿美元经济支出计划或被推迟审议\n美国民主党参议员曼钦明确表示，反对拜登提出的1.75万亿美元“重建美好未来法案”。\n由于民主党和共和党目前各自掌握参议院的50个席位，在目前没有任何一名共和党参议员支持的情况下，曼钦这一票将能关系到议案能否获得通过。\n曼钦投下反对票后，也意味着拜登这项法案大概率将被迫延至明年1月再审议。该计划的推迟将产生广泛的影响，甚至会影响到明年的中期选举。\n曼钦称，照现在这样，他是不会支持拜登2万亿美元经济议程的，并表示民主党人在谈判中并未对立法进行任何实际修改。\n\n英国疫情失控 当局考虑为酒店业和旅游业提供紧急援助\n据英国《每日电讯报》报道，英国财政大臣苏纳克正在考虑为酒店业和旅游业提供新的刺激措施，以应对由于政府建议减少社交活动而导致的业务下滑。\n到目前为止，英国是欧洲地区奥密克戎疫情最严重的国家。12月18号，英国当局通报，其奥密克戎确认病例已达24968例，较24小时前增加超1万例。伦敦市宣布进入“重大事件”紧急状态，以协助医院应对奥密克戎毒株的迅速蔓延。\n英格兰首席医疗官克里斯·惠蒂日前也警告，英国正面临“相互叠加的”打击，即德尔塔毒株感染病例保持高位的同时，奥密克戎毒株感染病例迅速增长，未来几周可能会不断出现创纪录的疫情数字。\n\n苹果寻求驳回印度应用市场反垄断案 辩称其应用内收费系统并不过分\n苹果公司已要求印度反垄断监管机构驳回一起指控其滥用市场支配力的案件，辩称在谷歌占主导地位的印度市场份额太小。\n此前印度竞争委员会 （CCI） 开始审查有关苹果通过强迫应用程序开发人员使用其专有系统并对其应用程序内购买收取高达30%的佣金从而损害公平竞争。\n苹果在向 CCI 提交的文件中否认了这些指控，并强调其在印度的市场份额“微不足道”“在印度市场并不占主导地位”。苹果反驳称，整个智能手机市场——包括 Android 等可授权系统——反而是应该考虑是否存在垄断的市场。\n在接下来的几周内，CCI 将审查苹果对这些指控的回应，并可能下令进行更广泛调查。\n\n航空业低迷 波音以1亿美元出售其商用飞机总部\n波音公司已完成其位于西雅图郊区的商用飞机总部园区的出售。\n据媒体报道，买方是位于西雅图的私募股权房地产投资公司的子公司 Unico Properties。据知情人士透露此次交易的金额为 1 亿美元。\nUnico 表示，购买该地块是因为它靠近通勤铁路、Southcenter 购物中心和西雅图-塔科马国际机场，可以认为此次交易是作为“以交通为导向的投资”。\n这是波音在新冠肺炎大流行导致的航空业低迷期间为削减成本而进行的一系列房地产撤资中的最新一次。\n除了总部大楼外，该地点还包括另一座大楼，该大楼曾经是波音公司最先进的培训设施和全飞行模拟器的所在地。\n\n法国央行预计消失很多年的通胀趋势将“复兴”\n法国经济将以非常接近2%的趋势通胀摆脱新冠疫情，而此前，货币当局在全球金融危机以来的十多年中一直未能实现这个目标。\n根据法国央行的最新预测，随着能源价格飙升的影响明年减弱，2023年和2024年的CPI涨幅将稳定在1.5%左右。扣除能源和食品，这个欧元区第二大经济体那两年的核心通胀率将为1.7%，而疫情爆发前的7年在0.7%左右。\n“2023年和2024年的回归正常状态不是重返2013年至2019年的局面，那时候通胀水平太弱，”法国央行行长Francois Villeroy de Galhau在接受采访时表示。\n“相反，我们可能回到更平衡通胀格局，就像2008年金融危机之前一样，欧元区平均通胀率约为2%。”\n\n欧洲电力价格因寒流或上涨至创纪录水平\n欧洲每日电价飙升，因为周一气温偏低，这将提振需求，而法国则停止了更多核反应堆。\n天气变冷、风力减弱和核电中断，再加上非常昂贵的天然气价格，西班牙的每日电价跃升至创纪录水平，而法国电价则升至 2009 年罕见的价格高峰以来的最高水平。由于俄罗斯的供应受阻，价格比年初高出七倍，贸易商正准备迎接即将到来的最寒冷冬季的更高价格。\n据数据模型分析推算，周一大部分时间德国的风电输出低于 5000 兆瓦，而 11 月 30 日创下的记录为 47130 兆瓦。目前欧洲大部分地区的低风速将增加对昂贵天然气和煤炭的依赖。\n法国电力公司周日中午停止了 Chooz-1 核反应堆，直到 1 月 23 日，这是法国四个最大的反应堆因安全问题延长停工期的一部分，这将阻碍一年中最关键月份的可用容量。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693989449,"gmtCreate":1639960698259,"gmtModify":1639960698613,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"An IPO to watch to see whether the&nbsp;sentiment towards tech is going to turn.","listText":"An IPO to watch to see whether the&nbsp;sentiment towards tech is going to turn.","text":"An IPO to watch to see whether the sentiment towards tech is going to turn.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693989449","repostId":"2192901763","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693917961,"gmtCreate":1639960474074,"gmtModify":1639965499050,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The AR glasses may entice early adopters. However, vehicle&nbsp;delivery is still the key to share price performance.","listText":"The AR glasses may entice early adopters. However, vehicle&nbsp;delivery is still the key to share price performance.","text":"The AR glasses may entice early adopters. However, vehicle delivery is still the key to share price performance.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693917961","repostId":"1151315099","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151315099","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639956674,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151315099?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 07:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"‘NIO Day’ Featured a New EV and AR Goggles. Will They Be Enough to Boost the Hard Hit Stock?<blockquote>“蔚来日”推出了新的电动汽车和AR护目镜。它们是否足以提振遭受重创的股票？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151315099","media":"Barrons","summary":"Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO (ticker: NIO) hosted an event for car buyers—and investors—in Chi","content":"<p>Chinese electric vehicle maker&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;(ticker: NIO) hosted an event for car buyers—and investors—in China on Saturday morning Eastern time. A brand new model, to be delivered in 2022, was announced. And the technology NIO is packing into its cars is something to behold. There are even augmented reality glasses—like something out of an Avengers movie.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（股票代码：蔚来）于美国东部时间周六上午在中国为购车者和投资者举办了一场活动。宣布了将于2022年交付的全新车型。蔚来在其汽车中采用的技术也值得一看。甚至还有增强现实眼镜——就像《复仇者联盟》电影中的东西。</blockquote></p><p> The new vehicle is the ET5 midsize sedan. It’s a higher-end model starting at about $50,000. With NIO’s battery as a service subscription, the initial purchase price is about $40,000. NIO will let car buyers pay a monthly fee, essentially, separating the battery purchase from the car purchase.</p><p><blockquote>新车是ET5中型轿车。这是一款高端型号，起价约为50,000美元。通过蔚来的电池即服务订阅，初始购买价格约为40,000美元。蔚来将让购车者按月支付费用，本质上是将购买电池与购买汽车分开。</blockquote></p><p> The new sedan comes with roughly 500 horsepower and will go zero to 60 miles an hour in about 4 seconds. It should be able to drive up to 430 miles per charge, a big number although Chinese and U.S. range statistics are reported differently.</p><p><blockquote>这款新轿车大约有500马力，可以在大约4秒内从零加速到60英里/小时。它每次充电应该可以行驶430英里，这是一个很大的数字，尽管中国和美国的续航里程统计数据不同。</blockquote></p><p> The ET5 is also equipped with advanced safety features including lidar sensors.</p><p><blockquote>ET5还配备了包括激光雷达传感器在内的先进安全功能。</blockquote></p><p> Lidar is essentially laser-based radar and most auto makers believe lidar is one of the technologies required to achieve truly self-driving technology. The ET5 also comes equipped with the company’s latest self-driving software. NIO Autonomous Driving or NAD, as the company calls it, will maintain driving speeds and do some steering, but drivers still need to pay attention to the road at all times.</p><p><blockquote>激光雷达本质上是基于激光的雷达，大多数汽车制造商认为激光雷达是实现真正自动驾驶技术所需的技术之一。ET5还配备了该公司最新的自动驾驶软件。蔚来自动驾驶或NAD，作为该公司的评级，将保持驾驶速度并进行一些转向，但驾驶员仍然需要时刻关注道路。</blockquote></p><p> All the software for self-driving—and the software running other car systems—runs on a computer powered by&nbsp;Nvidia&nbsp;(NVDA) chips.</p><p><blockquote>所有用于自动驾驶的软件以及运行其他汽车系统的软件都运行在由Nvidia(NVDA)芯片驱动的计算机上。</blockquote></p><p> Then there are the glasses. NIO unveiled augmented reality glasses that are integrated with the car. “The visual experience is as good as a 201-inch screen at 6 meters away,” said NIO founder William Li. The glasses can display vehicle information. Drivers won’t have to look down to check speed. The glasses drew applause from the assembled crowd.</p><p><blockquote>然后是眼镜。蔚来推出了与汽车集成的增强现实眼镜。“视觉体验堪比6米外201英寸屏幕”，蔚来创始人William Li表示。眼镜可以显示车辆信息。司机不必低头检查速度。这副眼镜赢得了聚集人群的掌声。</blockquote></p><p> NIO plans to deliver the ET5 by September 2022. The company also provided an update about its new ET7 sedan. Deliveries of that model should begin in March 2022. The ET7 was unveiled at the company’s last big event in January 2021.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来计划在2022年9月之前交付ET5。该公司还提供了有关其新款ET7轿车的最新信息。该型号将于2022年3月开始交付。ET7于2021年1月在该公司的最后一次大型活动中亮相。</blockquote></p><p> NIO stock jumped 6.5% to more than $60 a share the Monday following that January event—and it could use another bump now. NIO stock has fallen 22% over the last month to $30. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;are down about 2% and 1% over the same span. NIO’s third-quarter earnings were fine. Earnings and deliveries don’t seem to be what’s troubling investors most.XPeng&nbsp;(XPEV) shares are down 12% over the past month.</p><p><blockquote>1月份事件发生后的周一，蔚来股价上涨6.5%，至每股60美元以上，现在可能需要再次上涨。蔚来股价上个月下跌22%至30美元。标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数同期分别下跌约2%和1%。蔚来第三季度盈利良好。盈利和交付量似乎并不是最困扰投资者的。小鹏汽车(XPEV)股价在过去一个月下跌了12%。</blockquote></p><p> How the stock reacts to the new model, new technology and proposed delivery dates will say a lot about investor sentiment toward highly valued EV makers and U.S.-listed Chinese stocks in the coming weeks.</p><p><blockquote>该股对新车型、新技术和拟议交付日期的反应将在很大程度上反映未来几周投资者对高估值电动汽车制造商和在美国上市的中国股票的情绪。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>‘NIO Day’ Featured a New EV and AR Goggles. Will They Be Enough to Boost the Hard Hit Stock?<blockquote>“蔚来日”推出了新的电动汽车和AR护目镜。它们是否足以提振遭受重创的股票？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n‘NIO Day’ Featured a New EV and AR Goggles. Will They Be Enough to Boost the Hard Hit Stock?<blockquote>“蔚来日”推出了新的电动汽车和AR护目镜。它们是否足以提振遭受重创的股票？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 07:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Chinese electric vehicle maker&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;(ticker: NIO) hosted an event for car buyers—and investors—in China on Saturday morning Eastern time. A brand new model, to be delivered in 2022, was announced. And the technology NIO is packing into its cars is something to behold. There are even augmented reality glasses—like something out of an Avengers movie.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（股票代码：蔚来）于美国东部时间周六上午在中国为购车者和投资者举办了一场活动。宣布了将于2022年交付的全新车型。蔚来在其汽车中采用的技术也值得一看。甚至还有增强现实眼镜——就像《复仇者联盟》电影中的东西。</blockquote></p><p> The new vehicle is the ET5 midsize sedan. It’s a higher-end model starting at about $50,000. With NIO’s battery as a service subscription, the initial purchase price is about $40,000. NIO will let car buyers pay a monthly fee, essentially, separating the battery purchase from the car purchase.</p><p><blockquote>新车是ET5中型轿车。这是一款高端型号，起价约为50,000美元。通过蔚来的电池即服务订阅，初始购买价格约为40,000美元。蔚来将让购车者按月支付费用，本质上是将购买电池与购买汽车分开。</blockquote></p><p> The new sedan comes with roughly 500 horsepower and will go zero to 60 miles an hour in about 4 seconds. It should be able to drive up to 430 miles per charge, a big number although Chinese and U.S. range statistics are reported differently.</p><p><blockquote>这款新轿车大约有500马力，可以在大约4秒内从零加速到60英里/小时。它每次充电应该可以行驶430英里，这是一个很大的数字，尽管中国和美国的续航里程统计数据不同。</blockquote></p><p> The ET5 is also equipped with advanced safety features including lidar sensors.</p><p><blockquote>ET5还配备了包括激光雷达传感器在内的先进安全功能。</blockquote></p><p> Lidar is essentially laser-based radar and most auto makers believe lidar is one of the technologies required to achieve truly self-driving technology. The ET5 also comes equipped with the company’s latest self-driving software. NIO Autonomous Driving or NAD, as the company calls it, will maintain driving speeds and do some steering, but drivers still need to pay attention to the road at all times.</p><p><blockquote>激光雷达本质上是基于激光的雷达，大多数汽车制造商认为激光雷达是实现真正自动驾驶技术所需的技术之一。ET5还配备了该公司最新的自动驾驶软件。蔚来自动驾驶或NAD，作为该公司的评级，将保持驾驶速度并进行一些转向，但驾驶员仍然需要时刻关注道路。</blockquote></p><p> All the software for self-driving—and the software running other car systems—runs on a computer powered by&nbsp;Nvidia&nbsp;(NVDA) chips.</p><p><blockquote>所有用于自动驾驶的软件以及运行其他汽车系统的软件都运行在由Nvidia(NVDA)芯片驱动的计算机上。</blockquote></p><p> Then there are the glasses. NIO unveiled augmented reality glasses that are integrated with the car. “The visual experience is as good as a 201-inch screen at 6 meters away,” said NIO founder William Li. The glasses can display vehicle information. Drivers won’t have to look down to check speed. The glasses drew applause from the assembled crowd.</p><p><blockquote>然后是眼镜。蔚来推出了与汽车集成的增强现实眼镜。“视觉体验堪比6米外201英寸屏幕”，蔚来创始人William Li表示。眼镜可以显示车辆信息。司机不必低头检查速度。这副眼镜赢得了聚集人群的掌声。</blockquote></p><p> NIO plans to deliver the ET5 by September 2022. The company also provided an update about its new ET7 sedan. Deliveries of that model should begin in March 2022. The ET7 was unveiled at the company’s last big event in January 2021.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来计划在2022年9月之前交付ET5。该公司还提供了有关其新款ET7轿车的最新信息。该型号将于2022年3月开始交付。ET7于2021年1月在该公司的最后一次大型活动中亮相。</blockquote></p><p> NIO stock jumped 6.5% to more than $60 a share the Monday following that January event—and it could use another bump now. NIO stock has fallen 22% over the last month to $30. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;are down about 2% and 1% over the same span. NIO’s third-quarter earnings were fine. Earnings and deliveries don’t seem to be what’s troubling investors most.XPeng&nbsp;(XPEV) shares are down 12% over the past month.</p><p><blockquote>1月份事件发生后的周一，蔚来股价上涨6.5%，至每股60美元以上，现在可能需要再次上涨。蔚来股价上个月下跌22%至30美元。标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数同期分别下跌约2%和1%。蔚来第三季度盈利良好。盈利和交付量似乎并不是最困扰投资者的。小鹏汽车(XPEV)股价在过去一个月下跌了12%。</blockquote></p><p> How the stock reacts to the new model, new technology and proposed delivery dates will say a lot about investor sentiment toward highly valued EV makers and U.S.-listed Chinese stocks in the coming weeks.</p><p><blockquote>该股对新车型、新技术和拟议交付日期的反应将在很大程度上反映未来几周投资者对高估值电动汽车制造商和在美国上市的中国股票的情绪。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nio-stock-discussion-51639835281?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nio-stock-discussion-51639835281?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151315099","content_text":"Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO (ticker: NIO) hosted an event for car buyers—and investors—in China on Saturday morning Eastern time. A brand new model, to be delivered in 2022, was announced. And the technology NIO is packing into its cars is something to behold. There are even augmented reality glasses—like something out of an Avengers movie.\nThe new vehicle is the ET5 midsize sedan. It’s a higher-end model starting at about $50,000. With NIO’s battery as a service subscription, the initial purchase price is about $40,000. NIO will let car buyers pay a monthly fee, essentially, separating the battery purchase from the car purchase.\nThe new sedan comes with roughly 500 horsepower and will go zero to 60 miles an hour in about 4 seconds. It should be able to drive up to 430 miles per charge, a big number although Chinese and U.S. range statistics are reported differently.\nThe ET5 is also equipped with advanced safety features including lidar sensors.\nLidar is essentially laser-based radar and most auto makers believe lidar is one of the technologies required to achieve truly self-driving technology. The ET5 also comes equipped with the company’s latest self-driving software. NIO Autonomous Driving or NAD, as the company calls it, will maintain driving speeds and do some steering, but drivers still need to pay attention to the road at all times.\nAll the software for self-driving—and the software running other car systems—runs on a computer powered by Nvidia (NVDA) chips.\nThen there are the glasses. NIO unveiled augmented reality glasses that are integrated with the car. “The visual experience is as good as a 201-inch screen at 6 meters away,” said NIO founder William Li. The glasses can display vehicle information. Drivers won’t have to look down to check speed. The glasses drew applause from the assembled crowd.\nNIO plans to deliver the ET5 by September 2022. The company also provided an update about its new ET7 sedan. Deliveries of that model should begin in March 2022. The ET7 was unveiled at the company’s last big event in January 2021.\nNIO stock jumped 6.5% to more than $60 a share the Monday following that January event—and it could use another bump now. NIO stock has fallen 22% over the last month to $30. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average are down about 2% and 1% over the same span. NIO’s third-quarter earnings were fine. Earnings and deliveries don’t seem to be what’s troubling investors most.XPeng (XPEV) shares are down 12% over the past month.\nHow the stock reacts to the new model, new technology and proposed delivery dates will say a lot about investor sentiment toward highly valued EV makers and U.S.-listed Chinese stocks in the coming weeks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3545,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605868621,"gmtCreate":1639145816777,"gmtModify":1639145817077,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Since the inflation data is within expectation, the market likely has already rlpriced in","listText":"Since the inflation data is within expectation, the market likely has already rlpriced in","text":"Since the inflation data is within expectation, the market likely has already rlpriced in","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605868621","repostId":"1190592406","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190592406","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639145484,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190592406?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 22:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Inflation Data Was as Bad as Expected. What It Means for the Fed—and Biden.<blockquote>通胀数据和预期一样糟糕。这对美联储和拜登意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190592406","media":"Barrons","summary":"Consumer prices rose 0.8% in November from a month earlier, and the year-over-year rate surged to 6.","content":"<p>Consumer prices rose 0.8% in November from a month earlier, and the year-over-year rate surged to 6.8%, the fastest annual pace since 1982.</p><p><blockquote>11月份消费者价格环比上涨0.8%，同比涨幅飙升至6.8%，为1982年以来最快的年度涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The data puts inflation at a level widely expected to prompt the Federal Reserve to move more quickly to tighten monetary policy.&nbsp;It could also hamper President Joe Biden’s goal of passing a multitrillion-dollar social spending package through Congress before the end of the year, given key lawmakers’ concerns over rising prices.</p><p><blockquote>该数据使通胀处于普遍预期的水平，将促使美联储更快地收紧货币政策。鉴于主要议员对物价上涨的担忧，这也可能阻碍总统乔·拜登在年底前在国会通过数万亿美元社会支出计划的目标。</blockquote></p><p> Economists had expected a 0.7% rise over the month and a 6.7% increase year over year. The November data shows a slight slowdown in the monthly pace of price increases from a 0.9% rate the month before. But the 6.8% year-over-year rise marks a big jump in the annual rate, which was 6.2% in October.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家此前预计本月增长0.7%，同比增长6.7%。11月份的数据显示，月度价格上涨速度较上月的0.9%略有放缓。但6.8%的同比增长标志着年率大幅跃升，10月份为6.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Although the numbers were higher than economists had penciled in, the initial market reaction suggests the rate of price increases weren’t as bad as some investors may have feared. Bond yields dropped initially, though they soon began to bounce back, and stock-index futures jumped immediately after the data landed. Some 20 minutes after the report, futures on the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;were 0.8% higher.</p><p><blockquote>尽管这些数字高于经济学家的预期，但最初的市场反应表明，价格上涨的速度并不像一些投资者担心的那么糟糕。债券收益率最初下降，但很快开始反弹，数据公布后股指期货立即上涨。报告发布后约20分钟，标准普尔500指数期货上涨0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> The uptick in the inflation rate in November was “the result of broad increases in most component indexes,” the Labor Department said.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部表示，11月份通胀率的上升是“大多数构成指数普遍上涨的结果”。</blockquote></p><p> That shows that inflation is spreading beyond the handful of key pandemic-affected sectors that saw the most significant increases this summer, and could be more persistent than initially anticipated.Rising prices for gasoline, shelter, food, used cars and trucks, and new cars were some of the largest contributors to the overall headline increase.</p><p><blockquote>这表明通胀正在蔓延到今年夏天涨幅最大的少数受疫情影响的关键行业之外，并且可能比最初预期的更加持久。汽油、住房、食品、二手车和卡车以及新车价格的上涨是整体整体上涨的最大贡献者。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding the more volatile food and energy indexes, the core consumer-price index remained hot. Core CPI rose 0.5% in November from the month before, and the annual rate stands at 4.9%, in line with expectations. The food index rose 6.1% over the year, while the energy index surged 33.3%. Both changes are the largest annual increases in each sector in at least 13 years, the Labor Department said.</p><p><blockquote>剔除波动较大的食品和能源指数，核心消费者价格指数依然火爆。11月核心CPI环比上涨0.5%，年率为4.9%，符合预期。食品指数全年上涨6.1%，能源指数飙升33.3%。劳工部表示，这两项变化都是至少13年来每个行业最大的年度增幅。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Inflation Data Was as Bad as Expected. What It Means for the Fed—and Biden.<blockquote>通胀数据和预期一样糟糕。这对美联储和拜登意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Inflation Data Was as Bad as Expected. What It Means for the Fed—and Biden.<blockquote>通胀数据和预期一样糟糕。这对美联储和拜登意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-10 22:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Consumer prices rose 0.8% in November from a month earlier, and the year-over-year rate surged to 6.8%, the fastest annual pace since 1982.</p><p><blockquote>11月份消费者价格环比上涨0.8%，同比涨幅飙升至6.8%，为1982年以来最快的年度涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The data puts inflation at a level widely expected to prompt the Federal Reserve to move more quickly to tighten monetary policy.&nbsp;It could also hamper President Joe Biden’s goal of passing a multitrillion-dollar social spending package through Congress before the end of the year, given key lawmakers’ concerns over rising prices.</p><p><blockquote>该数据使通胀处于普遍预期的水平，将促使美联储更快地收紧货币政策。鉴于主要议员对物价上涨的担忧，这也可能阻碍总统乔·拜登在年底前在国会通过数万亿美元社会支出计划的目标。</blockquote></p><p> Economists had expected a 0.7% rise over the month and a 6.7% increase year over year. The November data shows a slight slowdown in the monthly pace of price increases from a 0.9% rate the month before. But the 6.8% year-over-year rise marks a big jump in the annual rate, which was 6.2% in October.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家此前预计本月增长0.7%，同比增长6.7%。11月份的数据显示，月度价格上涨速度较上月的0.9%略有放缓。但6.8%的同比增长标志着年率大幅跃升，10月份为6.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Although the numbers were higher than economists had penciled in, the initial market reaction suggests the rate of price increases weren’t as bad as some investors may have feared. Bond yields dropped initially, though they soon began to bounce back, and stock-index futures jumped immediately after the data landed. Some 20 minutes after the report, futures on the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;were 0.8% higher.</p><p><blockquote>尽管这些数字高于经济学家的预期，但最初的市场反应表明，价格上涨的速度并不像一些投资者担心的那么糟糕。债券收益率最初下降，但很快开始反弹，数据公布后股指期货立即上涨。报告发布后约20分钟，标准普尔500指数期货上涨0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> The uptick in the inflation rate in November was “the result of broad increases in most component indexes,” the Labor Department said.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部表示，11月份通胀率的上升是“大多数构成指数普遍上涨的结果”。</blockquote></p><p> That shows that inflation is spreading beyond the handful of key pandemic-affected sectors that saw the most significant increases this summer, and could be more persistent than initially anticipated.Rising prices for gasoline, shelter, food, used cars and trucks, and new cars were some of the largest contributors to the overall headline increase.</p><p><blockquote>这表明通胀正在蔓延到今年夏天涨幅最大的少数受疫情影响的关键行业之外，并且可能比最初预期的更加持久。汽油、住房、食品、二手车和卡车以及新车价格的上涨是整体整体上涨的最大贡献者。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding the more volatile food and energy indexes, the core consumer-price index remained hot. Core CPI rose 0.5% in November from the month before, and the annual rate stands at 4.9%, in line with expectations. The food index rose 6.1% over the year, while the energy index surged 33.3%. Both changes are the largest annual increases in each sector in at least 13 years, the Labor Department said.</p><p><blockquote>剔除波动较大的食品和能源指数，核心消费者价格指数依然火爆。11月核心CPI环比上涨0.5%，年率为4.9%，符合预期。食品指数全年上涨6.1%，能源指数飙升33.3%。劳工部表示，这两项变化都是至少13年来每个行业最大的年度增幅。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/cpi-inflation-report-data-november-51639083602?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/cpi-inflation-report-data-november-51639083602?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190592406","content_text":"Consumer prices rose 0.8% in November from a month earlier, and the year-over-year rate surged to 6.8%, the fastest annual pace since 1982.\nThe data puts inflation at a level widely expected to prompt the Federal Reserve to move more quickly to tighten monetary policy. It could also hamper President Joe Biden’s goal of passing a multitrillion-dollar social spending package through Congress before the end of the year, given key lawmakers’ concerns over rising prices.\nEconomists had expected a 0.7% rise over the month and a 6.7% increase year over year. The November data shows a slight slowdown in the monthly pace of price increases from a 0.9% rate the month before. But the 6.8% year-over-year rise marks a big jump in the annual rate, which was 6.2% in October.\nAlthough the numbers were higher than economists had penciled in, the initial market reaction suggests the rate of price increases weren’t as bad as some investors may have feared. Bond yields dropped initially, though they soon began to bounce back, and stock-index futures jumped immediately after the data landed. Some 20 minutes after the report, futures on the S&P 500 were 0.8% higher.\nThe uptick in the inflation rate in November was “the result of broad increases in most component indexes,” the Labor Department said.\nThat shows that inflation is spreading beyond the handful of key pandemic-affected sectors that saw the most significant increases this summer, and could be more persistent than initially anticipated.Rising prices for gasoline, shelter, food, used cars and trucks, and new cars were some of the largest contributors to the overall headline increase.\nExcluding the more volatile food and energy indexes, the core consumer-price index remained hot. Core CPI rose 0.5% in November from the month before, and the annual rate stands at 4.9%, in line with expectations. The food index rose 6.1% over the year, while the energy index surged 33.3%. Both changes are the largest annual increases in each sector in at least 13 years, the Labor Department said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606782330,"gmtCreate":1638928261864,"gmtModify":1638928295753,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks like the Santa Claus rally has started early","listText":"Looks like the Santa Claus rally has started early","text":"Looks like the Santa Claus rally has started early","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606782330","repostId":"2189719656","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3984,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606345634,"gmtCreate":1638838386305,"gmtModify":1638838386591,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Roblox is another company to consider too","listText":"Roblox is another company to consider too","text":"Roblox is another company to consider too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606345634","repostId":"2189517501","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606342145,"gmtCreate":1638838321307,"gmtModify":1638842621417,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This will raise some cash for Intel to build chip plants and compete more effectively in the chip sector.","listText":"This will raise some cash for Intel to build chip plants and compete more effectively in the chip sector.","text":"This will raise some cash for Intel to build chip plants and compete more effectively in the chip sector.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606342145","repostId":"2189681129","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3502,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606012036,"gmtCreate":1638801170481,"gmtModify":1638804290159,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"With rates expected to rise, American banks like WFC is likely a safe bet","listText":"With rates expected to rise, American banks like WFC is likely a safe bet","text":"With rates expected to rise, American banks like WFC is likely a safe bet","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606012036","repostId":"1191091006","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191091006","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638796414,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191091006?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-06 21:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191091006","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The Nasdaq index was set for a lower open on Monday as mega-cap technology firms slipped and shares ","content":"<p>The Nasdaq index was set for a lower open on Monday as mega-cap technology firms slipped and shares of Nvidia led declines among major chipmakers, while Dow futures were supported by a rise in economy-sensitive stocks.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克指数周一开盘走低，原因是大型科技公司下滑，英伟达股价领跌主要芯片制造商，而道指期货则受到对经济敏感的股票上涨的支撑。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 198 points, or 0.57%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 10.25 points, or 0.23%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 55.75 points, or 0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00，道指e-mini上涨198点，涨幅0.57%，标普500 e-mini上涨10.25点，涨幅0.23%，纳斯达克100 e-mini下跌55.75点，涨幅0.35%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1463820447570ba6f65ee49e1b05c085\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Stocks exposed to cryptocurrencies plunged in premarket trading on Monday as Bitcoin’s retreat from the record high it reached last month ballooned to nearly 30%.Marathon Digital,Riot Blockchain,Ebang international,Coinbase,BIT Mining,Canaan and SoS Ltd fell between 4% and 10%.</p><p><blockquote>周一，随着比特币从上个月创下的历史新高回落至近30%，加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌。Marathon Digital、Riot Blockchain、亿邦国际、Coinbase、BIT Mining、Canaan和SoS Ltd跌幅在4%和10%之间。</blockquote></p><p> After a mixed jobs report last week, focus will now be on the release of consumer price index and core inflation readings on Friday for clues on the trajectory of the Fed's policy decision at its December meeting.</p><p><blockquote>在上周就业报告好坏参半之后，现在的焦点将集中在周五发布的消费者价格指数和核心通胀数据上，以寻找美联储12月会议政策决定轨迹的线索。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: </b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia(NVDA) </b>– The graphics chip maker’s stock slid 4.3% in the premarket, as it deals with continuing obstacles to its planned takeover of British chipmaker ARM. EU antitrust regulators have halted their investigation of the deal as they await more information, and last week the U.S. FTC sued to block the transaction.</p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达(NVDA)</b>-这家图形芯片制造商的股价在盘前下跌4.3%，因为该公司计划收购英国芯片制造商ARM面临持续的障碍。欧盟反垄断监管机构已停止对该交易的调查，等待更多信息，上周美国联邦贸易委员会提起诉讼阻止该交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lucid Group(LCID)</b> – The electric vehicle maker’s stock slumped 14.7% in premarket trading after it received a subpoena from the Securities and Exchange Commission. Lucid said the subpoena requested documents related to its SPAC merger deal with Churchill Capital Corp.</p><p><blockquote><b>Lucid集团(LCID)</b>-在收到美国证券交易委员会的传票后，这家电动汽车制造商的股价在盘前交易中下跌14.7%。Lucid表示，传票要求提供与其SPAC与Churchill Capital Corp.合并交易相关的文件。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla(</b><b>TSLA</b><b>)</b><b>&nbsp;</b>–&nbsp;Tesla stock dropped nearly 3% in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;the SEC launched an investigation into the informant's claim that Tesla solar panels were defective.In addition,Tesla&nbsp;recalled 21,599 Model Ys made in China, citing steering knuckle issues.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉(</b><b>特斯拉</b><b>)</b><b> </b>-在SEC对线人声称特斯拉太阳能电池板存在缺陷展开调查后，特斯拉股价在盘前交易中下跌近3%。此外，特斯拉以转向节问题为由召回21599辆国产Model Y。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alibaba(BABA) </b>– The China-based e-commerce giant saw its shares add 1% in premarket action after it announced a reorganization of its e-commerce teams and named a new chief financial officer.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW（父亲）</b>-这家中国电子商务巨头宣布重组电子商务团队并任命新首席财务官后，其股价在盘前上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>CF Acquisition Corp VI(CFVI)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;YouTube competitor Rumble&nbsp;would&nbsp;go public via SPAC CF Acquisition VI.CF Acquisition Corp VI stock jumped 23% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>CF收购公司VI(CFVI)</b>-YouTube竞争对手Rumble将通过SPAC CF Acquisition VI上市。CF Acquisition Corp VI股价在盘前交易中上涨23%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Digital World Acquisition(DWAC)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;Digital World Acquisition stock surged 10% in premarket trading.Trump's social media venture says it has raised $1 bln.</p><p><blockquote><b>数字世界采集(DWAC)</b>–Digital World Acquisition股价在盘前交易中飙升10%。特朗普的社交媒体企业表示已筹集10亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Kohl’s(KSS)</b> – The retailer’s stock rallied 4.2% in the premarket following news that activist investor Engine Capital is urging Kohl’s to consider either a sale of the company or a separation of its e-commerce business. Engine Capital has a Kohl’s stake of approximately 1%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国柯尔百货公司(KSS)</b>–有消息称，激进投资者Engine Capital敦促Kohl's考虑出售该公司或剥离其电子商务业务，该零售商的股价在盘前上涨4.2%。Engine Capital持有Kohl's约1%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Electronic Arts(EA)</b> – The video game maker gained 1.9% in premarket trading after Citi upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral.” Citi said the recent slide presents a buying opportunity despite concerns over factors like the weakness in EA’s “Battlefield 2042” title.</p><p><blockquote><b>电子艺界(EA)</b>-花旗将该股评级从“中性”上调至“买入”后，这家视频游戏制造商在盘前交易中上涨1.9%。花旗表示，尽管人们担心艺电《战地2042》游戏的疲软等因素，但最近的下滑仍提供了买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GCP Applied Technologies(GCP)</b> – The maker of specialty construction chemicals agreed to be acquired by French construction company Saint-Gobain for $32 per share in cash, or about $32 billion. GCP surged 14.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>GCP应用技术(GCP)</b>-这家特种建筑化学品制造商同意被法国建筑公司圣戈班以每股32美元现金（约合320亿美元）收购。GCP在盘前交易中飙升14.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FactSet Research(FDS) </b>– The provider of financial information will join the S&amp;P 500 prior to the market opening on December 20, along with&nbsp;Signature Bank(SBNY) and&nbsp;SolarEdge Technologies(SEDG). They’ll replaceLeggett &amp; Platt(LEG),Hanesbrands(HBI), and&nbsp;Western Union(WU), which will all move to the S&amp;P MidCap 400.</p><p><blockquote><b>FactSet研究(FDS)</b>-财务信息提供商将在12月20日开市前与Signature Bank(SBNY)和SolarEdge Technologies(SEDG)一起加入标普500。它们将取代Leggett&amp;Platt(LEG)、Hanesbrands(HBI)和Western Union(WU)，这些公司都将迁至S&amp;P中型股400指数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>MicroStrategy(MSTR) </b>– MicroStrategy tumbled 7.6% in the premarket following the weekend slide in the price of bitcoin. The business analytics software company has billions of dollars in bitcoin holdings on its balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote><b>微策略(MSTR)</b>-继比特币股价周末下跌后，MicroStrategy盘前下跌7.6%。这家商业分析软件公司的资产负债表上持有数十亿美元的比特币资产。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Spirit Airlines(SAVE) </b>– Spirit rose 1.4% in the premarket after Evercore upgraded the airline’s stock to “outperform” from “in-line,” saying the company winds up in a better place each time it goes through a recovery cycle.</p><p><blockquote><b>精神航空(SAVE)</b>-Spirit在盘前上涨1.4%，此前Evercore将该航空公司的股票评级从“持平”上调至“跑赢大盘”，并表示该公司每次经历复苏周期时都会处于更好的位置。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wells Fargo(WFC) </b>– The bank was named a “top pick” at Morgan Stanley, which notes that faster interest rate hikes will benefit the banking sector and that the omicron Covid-19 variant will only push recovery out by a quarter or so. Wells Fargo shares added 1.4% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>富国银行(WFC)</b>-该银行被摩根士丹利评为“首选”，摩根士丹利指出，更快的加息将有利于银行业，而奥密克戎Covid-19变种只会将复苏推迟四分之一左右。富国银行股价盘前上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Boston Beer(SAM) </b>– The brewer’s stock added 1.2% in premarket action, following a Cowen upgrade to “market perform” from “underperform”. Cowen notes the slump in the stock price since August, but said it sees signs of stabilization and negative revisions to earnings are now priced into the stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>波士顿啤酒（SAM）</b>-在Cowen将评级从“表现不佳”上调至“市场表现”后，该啤酒制造商的股价在盘前上涨了1.2%。Cowen指出股价自8月份以来暴跌，但表示看到了企稳的迹象，盈利的负面修正现已反映在该股的价格中。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-06 21:13</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Nasdaq index was set for a lower open on Monday as mega-cap technology firms slipped and shares of Nvidia led declines among major chipmakers, while Dow futures were supported by a rise in economy-sensitive stocks.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克指数周一开盘走低，原因是大型科技公司下滑，英伟达股价领跌主要芯片制造商，而道指期货则受到对经济敏感的股票上涨的支撑。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 198 points, or 0.57%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 10.25 points, or 0.23%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 55.75 points, or 0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00，道指e-mini上涨198点，涨幅0.57%，标普500 e-mini上涨10.25点，涨幅0.23%，纳斯达克100 e-mini下跌55.75点，涨幅0.35%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1463820447570ba6f65ee49e1b05c085\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Stocks exposed to cryptocurrencies plunged in premarket trading on Monday as Bitcoin’s retreat from the record high it reached last month ballooned to nearly 30%.Marathon Digital,Riot Blockchain,Ebang international,Coinbase,BIT Mining,Canaan and SoS Ltd fell between 4% and 10%.</p><p><blockquote>周一，随着比特币从上个月创下的历史新高回落至近30%，加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌。Marathon Digital、Riot Blockchain、亿邦国际、Coinbase、BIT Mining、Canaan和SoS Ltd跌幅在4%和10%之间。</blockquote></p><p> After a mixed jobs report last week, focus will now be on the release of consumer price index and core inflation readings on Friday for clues on the trajectory of the Fed's policy decision at its December meeting.</p><p><blockquote>在上周就业报告好坏参半之后，现在的焦点将集中在周五发布的消费者价格指数和核心通胀数据上，以寻找美联储12月会议政策决定轨迹的线索。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: </b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia(NVDA) </b>– The graphics chip maker’s stock slid 4.3% in the premarket, as it deals with continuing obstacles to its planned takeover of British chipmaker ARM. EU antitrust regulators have halted their investigation of the deal as they await more information, and last week the U.S. FTC sued to block the transaction.</p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达(NVDA)</b>-这家图形芯片制造商的股价在盘前下跌4.3%，因为该公司计划收购英国芯片制造商ARM面临持续的障碍。欧盟反垄断监管机构已停止对该交易的调查，等待更多信息，上周美国联邦贸易委员会提起诉讼阻止该交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lucid Group(LCID)</b> – The electric vehicle maker’s stock slumped 14.7% in premarket trading after it received a subpoena from the Securities and Exchange Commission. Lucid said the subpoena requested documents related to its SPAC merger deal with Churchill Capital Corp.</p><p><blockquote><b>Lucid集团(LCID)</b>-在收到美国证券交易委员会的传票后，这家电动汽车制造商的股价在盘前交易中下跌14.7%。Lucid表示，传票要求提供与其SPAC与Churchill Capital Corp.合并交易相关的文件。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla(</b><b>TSLA</b><b>)</b><b>&nbsp;</b>–&nbsp;Tesla stock dropped nearly 3% in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;the SEC launched an investigation into the informant's claim that Tesla solar panels were defective.In addition,Tesla&nbsp;recalled 21,599 Model Ys made in China, citing steering knuckle issues.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉(</b><b>特斯拉</b><b>)</b><b> </b>-在SEC对线人声称特斯拉太阳能电池板存在缺陷展开调查后，特斯拉股价在盘前交易中下跌近3%。此外，特斯拉以转向节问题为由召回21599辆国产Model Y。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alibaba(BABA) </b>– The China-based e-commerce giant saw its shares add 1% in premarket action after it announced a reorganization of its e-commerce teams and named a new chief financial officer.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW（父亲）</b>-这家中国电子商务巨头宣布重组电子商务团队并任命新首席财务官后，其股价在盘前上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>CF Acquisition Corp VI(CFVI)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;YouTube competitor Rumble&nbsp;would&nbsp;go public via SPAC CF Acquisition VI.CF Acquisition Corp VI stock jumped 23% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>CF收购公司VI(CFVI)</b>-YouTube竞争对手Rumble将通过SPAC CF Acquisition VI上市。CF Acquisition Corp VI股价在盘前交易中上涨23%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Digital World Acquisition(DWAC)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;Digital World Acquisition stock surged 10% in premarket trading.Trump's social media venture says it has raised $1 bln.</p><p><blockquote><b>数字世界采集(DWAC)</b>–Digital World Acquisition股价在盘前交易中飙升10%。特朗普的社交媒体企业表示已筹集10亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Kohl’s(KSS)</b> – The retailer’s stock rallied 4.2% in the premarket following news that activist investor Engine Capital is urging Kohl’s to consider either a sale of the company or a separation of its e-commerce business. Engine Capital has a Kohl’s stake of approximately 1%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国柯尔百货公司(KSS)</b>–有消息称，激进投资者Engine Capital敦促Kohl's考虑出售该公司或剥离其电子商务业务，该零售商的股价在盘前上涨4.2%。Engine Capital持有Kohl's约1%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Electronic Arts(EA)</b> – The video game maker gained 1.9% in premarket trading after Citi upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral.” Citi said the recent slide presents a buying opportunity despite concerns over factors like the weakness in EA’s “Battlefield 2042” title.</p><p><blockquote><b>电子艺界(EA)</b>-花旗将该股评级从“中性”上调至“买入”后，这家视频游戏制造商在盘前交易中上涨1.9%。花旗表示，尽管人们担心艺电《战地2042》游戏的疲软等因素，但最近的下滑仍提供了买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GCP Applied Technologies(GCP)</b> – The maker of specialty construction chemicals agreed to be acquired by French construction company Saint-Gobain for $32 per share in cash, or about $32 billion. GCP surged 14.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>GCP应用技术(GCP)</b>-这家特种建筑化学品制造商同意被法国建筑公司圣戈班以每股32美元现金（约合320亿美元）收购。GCP在盘前交易中飙升14.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FactSet Research(FDS) </b>– The provider of financial information will join the S&amp;P 500 prior to the market opening on December 20, along with&nbsp;Signature Bank(SBNY) and&nbsp;SolarEdge Technologies(SEDG). They’ll replaceLeggett &amp; Platt(LEG),Hanesbrands(HBI), and&nbsp;Western Union(WU), which will all move to the S&amp;P MidCap 400.</p><p><blockquote><b>FactSet研究(FDS)</b>-财务信息提供商将在12月20日开市前与Signature Bank(SBNY)和SolarEdge Technologies(SEDG)一起加入标普500。它们将取代Leggett&amp;Platt(LEG)、Hanesbrands(HBI)和Western Union(WU)，这些公司都将迁至S&amp;P中型股400指数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>MicroStrategy(MSTR) </b>– MicroStrategy tumbled 7.6% in the premarket following the weekend slide in the price of bitcoin. The business analytics software company has billions of dollars in bitcoin holdings on its balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote><b>微策略(MSTR)</b>-继比特币股价周末下跌后，MicroStrategy盘前下跌7.6%。这家商业分析软件公司的资产负债表上持有数十亿美元的比特币资产。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Spirit Airlines(SAVE) </b>– Spirit rose 1.4% in the premarket after Evercore upgraded the airline’s stock to “outperform” from “in-line,” saying the company winds up in a better place each time it goes through a recovery cycle.</p><p><blockquote><b>精神航空(SAVE)</b>-Spirit在盘前上涨1.4%，此前Evercore将该航空公司的股票评级从“持平”上调至“跑赢大盘”，并表示该公司每次经历复苏周期时都会处于更好的位置。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wells Fargo(WFC) </b>– The bank was named a “top pick” at Morgan Stanley, which notes that faster interest rate hikes will benefit the banking sector and that the omicron Covid-19 variant will only push recovery out by a quarter or so. Wells Fargo shares added 1.4% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>富国银行(WFC)</b>-该银行被摩根士丹利评为“首选”，摩根士丹利指出，更快的加息将有利于银行业，而奥密克戎Covid-19变种只会将复苏推迟四分之一左右。富国银行股价盘前上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Boston Beer(SAM) </b>– The brewer’s stock added 1.2% in premarket action, following a Cowen upgrade to “market perform” from “underperform”. Cowen notes the slump in the stock price since August, but said it sees signs of stabilization and negative revisions to earnings are now priced into the stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>波士顿啤酒（SAM）</b>-在Cowen将评级从“表现不佳”上调至“市场表现”后，该啤酒制造商的股价在盘前上涨了1.2%。Cowen指出股价自8月份以来暴跌，但表示看到了企稳的迹象，盈利的负面修正现已反映在该股的价格中。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EA":"艺电","SAM":"波斯顿啤酒","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","WFC":"富国银行",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SAVE":"Spirit Airlines",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BABA":"阿里巴巴","KSS":"柯尔百货","TSLA":"特斯拉","MSTR":"Strategy","FDS":"辉盛研究系统"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191091006","content_text":"The Nasdaq index was set for a lower open on Monday as mega-cap technology firms slipped and shares of Nvidia led declines among major chipmakers, while Dow futures were supported by a rise in economy-sensitive stocks.\nAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 198 points, or 0.57%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 10.25 points, or 0.23%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 55.75 points, or 0.35%.\n\nStocks exposed to cryptocurrencies plunged in premarket trading on Monday as Bitcoin’s retreat from the record high it reached last month ballooned to nearly 30%.Marathon Digital,Riot Blockchain,Ebang international,Coinbase,BIT Mining,Canaan and SoS Ltd fell between 4% and 10%.\nAfter a mixed jobs report last week, focus will now be on the release of consumer price index and core inflation readings on Friday for clues on the trajectory of the Fed's policy decision at its December meeting.\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket: \nNvidia(NVDA) – The graphics chip maker’s stock slid 4.3% in the premarket, as it deals with continuing obstacles to its planned takeover of British chipmaker ARM. EU antitrust regulators have halted their investigation of the deal as they await more information, and last week the U.S. FTC sued to block the transaction.\nLucid Group(LCID) – The electric vehicle maker’s stock slumped 14.7% in premarket trading after it received a subpoena from the Securities and Exchange Commission. Lucid said the subpoena requested documents related to its SPAC merger deal with Churchill Capital Corp.\nTesla(TSLA) – Tesla stock dropped nearly 3% in premarket trading after the SEC launched an investigation into the informant's claim that Tesla solar panels were defective.In addition,Tesla recalled 21,599 Model Ys made in China, citing steering knuckle issues.\nAlibaba(BABA) – The China-based e-commerce giant saw its shares add 1% in premarket action after it announced a reorganization of its e-commerce teams and named a new chief financial officer.\nCF Acquisition Corp VI(CFVI) – YouTube competitor Rumble would go public via SPAC CF Acquisition VI.CF Acquisition Corp VI stock jumped 23% in premarket trading.\nDigital World Acquisition(DWAC) – Digital World Acquisition stock surged 10% in premarket trading.Trump's social media venture says it has raised $1 bln.\nKohl’s(KSS) – The retailer’s stock rallied 4.2% in the premarket following news that activist investor Engine Capital is urging Kohl’s to consider either a sale of the company or a separation of its e-commerce business. Engine Capital has a Kohl’s stake of approximately 1%.\nElectronic Arts(EA) – The video game maker gained 1.9% in premarket trading after Citi upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral.” Citi said the recent slide presents a buying opportunity despite concerns over factors like the weakness in EA’s “Battlefield 2042” title.\nGCP Applied Technologies(GCP) – The maker of specialty construction chemicals agreed to be acquired by French construction company Saint-Gobain for $32 per share in cash, or about $32 billion. GCP surged 14.4% in premarket trading.\nFactSet Research(FDS) – The provider of financial information will join the S&P 500 prior to the market opening on December 20, along with Signature Bank(SBNY) and SolarEdge Technologies(SEDG). They’ll replaceLeggett & Platt(LEG),Hanesbrands(HBI), and Western Union(WU), which will all move to the S&P MidCap 400.\nMicroStrategy(MSTR) – MicroStrategy tumbled 7.6% in the premarket following the weekend slide in the price of bitcoin. The business analytics software company has billions of dollars in bitcoin holdings on its balance sheet.\nSpirit Airlines(SAVE) – Spirit rose 1.4% in the premarket after Evercore upgraded the airline’s stock to “outperform” from “in-line,” saying the company winds up in a better place each time it goes through a recovery cycle.\nWells Fargo(WFC) – The bank was named a “top pick” at Morgan Stanley, which notes that faster interest rate hikes will benefit the banking sector and that the omicron Covid-19 variant will only push recovery out by a quarter or so. Wells Fargo shares added 1.4% in the premarket.\nBoston Beer(SAM) – The brewer’s stock added 1.2% in premarket action, following a Cowen upgrade to “market perform” from “underperform”. Cowen notes the slump in the stock price since August, but said it sees signs of stabilization and negative revisions to earnings are now priced into the stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CFVI":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"GCP":0.9,"MSTR":0.9,"WFC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"FDS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"KSS":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"SAVE":0.9,"LCID":0.9,"DWAC":0.9,"SAM":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"EA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4391,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603371923,"gmtCreate":1638370341847,"gmtModify":1638370342294,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This may be why Apple shares continue to rise.","listText":"This may be why Apple shares continue to rise.","text":"This may be why Apple shares continue to rise.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603371923","repostId":"1100878233","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609287418,"gmtCreate":1638286251534,"gmtModify":1638286251698,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Digital gold should rise more ?","listText":"Digital gold should rise more ?","text":"Digital gold should rise more ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609287418","repostId":"1129131439","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1129131439","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638285839,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129131439?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-30 23:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gold and silver stocks  jumped in morning trading<blockquote>黄金和白银股早盘上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129131439","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Gold and silver stocks jumped in morning trading.","content":"<p>Gold and silver stocks jumped in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>黄金和白银股票在早盘交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02c176526990e689ddfc9f7ffa90e282\" tg-width=\"396\" tg-height=\"657\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd1aad69af976f6877e0d77ba4618b6e\" tg-width=\"399\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gold and silver stocks  jumped in morning trading<blockquote>黄金和白银股早盘上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGold and silver stocks  jumped in morning trading<blockquote>黄金和白银股早盘上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-30 23:23</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Gold and silver stocks jumped in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>黄金和白银股票在早盘交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02c176526990e689ddfc9f7ffa90e282\" tg-width=\"396\" tg-height=\"657\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd1aad69af976f6877e0d77ba4618b6e\" tg-width=\"399\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AU":"AngloGold Ashanti Ltd ADS","KGC":"金罗斯黄金","NEM":"纽曼矿业","FSM":"Fortuna Silver Mines Inc","PAAS":"泛美白银","GFI":"金田","HMY":"哈莫尼黄金","EXK":"Endeavour Silver","CDE":"科尔黛伦矿业","GOLD":"Gold.com","AEM":"伊格尔矿业","AG":"First Majestic Silver Corporation","USAU":"美国黄金公司","HL":"赫克拉矿业"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129131439","content_text":"Gold and silver stocks jumped in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CDE":0.9,"NEM":0.9,"HL":0.9,"AG":0.9,"USAU":0.9,"GFI":0.9,"FSM":0.9,"AU":0.9,"GOLD":0.9,"HMY":0.9,"MAG":0.9,"PAAS":0.9,"EXK":0.9,"KGC":0.9,"AEM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2611,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609301665,"gmtCreate":1638236071645,"gmtModify":1638236072060,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nasdaq looks particularly strong compared to the Dow.&nbsp; It may be because the new virus strain is expected to slow down the re-opening of the economy, while tech continues to benefit from the low rates","listText":"Nasdaq looks particularly strong compared to the Dow.&nbsp; It may be because the new virus strain is expected to slow down the re-opening of the economy, while tech continues to benefit from the low rates","text":"Nasdaq looks particularly strong compared to the Dow. It may be because the new virus strain is expected to slow down the re-opening of the economy, while tech continues to benefit from the low rates","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609301665","repostId":"1169895442","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1040,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600590487,"gmtCreate":1638167658376,"gmtModify":1638167658503,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"For the market to rise, volatility and uncertainty have to come down.","listText":"For the market to rise, volatility and uncertainty have to come down.","text":"For the market to rise, volatility and uncertainty have to come down.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600590487","repostId":"1173149300","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":898,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877069312,"gmtCreate":1637843524492,"gmtModify":1637843524654,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The market will probably continue to rise until the rate increase is more or less certain. Watch US inflation as a forward indicator of when a rate rise will happen.","listText":"The market will probably continue to rise until the rate increase is more or less certain. Watch US inflation as a forward indicator of when a rate rise will happen.","text":"The market will probably continue to rise until the rate increase is more or less certain. Watch US inflation as a forward indicator of when a rate rise will happen.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877069312","repostId":"1182200011","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182200011","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637831082,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1182200011?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-25 17:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Market Believes the Fed Will Have to Raise Rates Soon. What It Means for Stocks.<blockquote>市场认为美联储将不得不很快加息。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182200011","media":"Barrons","summary":"Fixed-income markets are signaling that the Federal Reserve will have to increase interest rates soo","content":"<p>Fixed-income markets are signaling that the Federal Reserve will have to increase interest rates sooner than expected, which could put a dent in the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>固定收益市场发出信号，美联储将不得不比预期更早加息，这可能会削弱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on the 2-year Treasury note has gone from 0.5% in early November to 0.64% as of Wednesday. The move suggests that investors expect the Fed to raise interest rates to combat inflation that remains higher than expected because of soaring consumer demand and supply chains that struggling to match demand.</p><p><blockquote>截至周三，2年期国债收益率已从11月初的0.5%升至0.64%。此举表明，投资者预计美联储将加息，以应对通胀，通胀仍高于预期，因为消费者需求飙升，供应链难以满足需求。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, minutes released Wednesday from the Fed’s meeting earlier this month show that members of the central bank are prepared to increase rates sooner than previously anticipated if inflation remains high.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，周三公布的美联储本月早些时候会议纪要显示，如果通胀居高不下，央行成员准备比此前预期更早加息。</blockquote></p><p> That belief is beginning to creep into credit spreads between corporate and government debt. A Bank of America index of investment-grade corporate bonds shows that, in aggregate, the spread over Treasury yields has increased to 0.94% from 0.89% earlier this month as investors have fled corporate bonds in anticipation of rate increases that could slow economic growth and pressure profits.</p><p><blockquote>这种信念开始蔓延到公司债务和政府债务之间的信用利差中。美国银行投资级公司债券指数显示，总体而言，美国国债收益率利差已从本月早些时候的0.89%升至0.94%，原因是投资者因预期加息可能会减缓经济增长而逃离公司债券并对利润造成压力。</blockquote></p><p> Consistent with that, credit spreads for investment-grade corporate bonds in more economically sensitive sectors are rising against government debt. Ten-year bonds issues by manufacturing companies in the S&amp;P 500 yield 1.08 percentage points more than the 10-year Treasury note, according to FactSet, an increase from the 0.99 percentage point spread seen at the lowest levels of November. The spread for corporate bonds in the energy sector has risen to 1.41 percentage points from a November low of 1.2.</p><p><blockquote>与此相一致的是，对经济更为敏感的行业的投资级公司债券相对于政府债务的信用利差正在上升。FactSet的数据显示，标普500制造企业发行的十年期债券收益率比10年期国债高出1.08个百分点，较11月份最低水平时0.99个百分点的利差有所上升。能源行业公司债利差已从11月低点1.2升至1.41个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> “The market expects one to two [rate] hikes next year and that’s why you’re seeing credit spreads increase,” said John Ham, wealth advisor at New England Investments &amp; Retirement Group, told Barron’s Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>新英格兰投资与退休集团财富顾问约翰·哈姆周三对《巴伦周刊》表示：“市场预计明年将加息一到两次，这就是为什么你会看到信用利差扩大。”</blockquote></p><p> Although the major indexes are off their all-time highs, this sentiment hasn’t caused a selloff of more than 5%. The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average are down 0.1%, 1.3%, and 1.7% from their highs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管主要股指已脱离历史高点，但这种情绪并未导致超过5%的抛售。标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数较高点下跌0.1%、1.3%和1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> But the pain could come if credit spreads continue to widen. “Eventually that’s going to creep back into the equity market,” Harvey said.</p><p><blockquote>但如果信用利差继续扩大，痛苦可能会到来。“最终这将重新回到股市，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Market Believes the Fed Will Have to Raise Rates Soon. What It Means for Stocks.<blockquote>市场认为美联储将不得不很快加息。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Market Believes the Fed Will Have to Raise Rates Soon. What It Means for Stocks.<blockquote>市场认为美联储将不得不很快加息。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-25 17:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Fixed-income markets are signaling that the Federal Reserve will have to increase interest rates sooner than expected, which could put a dent in the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>固定收益市场发出信号，美联储将不得不比预期更早加息，这可能会削弱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on the 2-year Treasury note has gone from 0.5% in early November to 0.64% as of Wednesday. The move suggests that investors expect the Fed to raise interest rates to combat inflation that remains higher than expected because of soaring consumer demand and supply chains that struggling to match demand.</p><p><blockquote>截至周三，2年期国债收益率已从11月初的0.5%升至0.64%。此举表明，投资者预计美联储将加息，以应对通胀，通胀仍高于预期，因为消费者需求飙升，供应链难以满足需求。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, minutes released Wednesday from the Fed’s meeting earlier this month show that members of the central bank are prepared to increase rates sooner than previously anticipated if inflation remains high.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，周三公布的美联储本月早些时候会议纪要显示，如果通胀居高不下，央行成员准备比此前预期更早加息。</blockquote></p><p> That belief is beginning to creep into credit spreads between corporate and government debt. A Bank of America index of investment-grade corporate bonds shows that, in aggregate, the spread over Treasury yields has increased to 0.94% from 0.89% earlier this month as investors have fled corporate bonds in anticipation of rate increases that could slow economic growth and pressure profits.</p><p><blockquote>这种信念开始蔓延到公司债务和政府债务之间的信用利差中。美国银行投资级公司债券指数显示，总体而言，美国国债收益率利差已从本月早些时候的0.89%升至0.94%，原因是投资者因预期加息可能会减缓经济增长而逃离公司债券并对利润造成压力。</blockquote></p><p> Consistent with that, credit spreads for investment-grade corporate bonds in more economically sensitive sectors are rising against government debt. Ten-year bonds issues by manufacturing companies in the S&amp;P 500 yield 1.08 percentage points more than the 10-year Treasury note, according to FactSet, an increase from the 0.99 percentage point spread seen at the lowest levels of November. The spread for corporate bonds in the energy sector has risen to 1.41 percentage points from a November low of 1.2.</p><p><blockquote>与此相一致的是，对经济更为敏感的行业的投资级公司债券相对于政府债务的信用利差正在上升。FactSet的数据显示，标普500制造企业发行的十年期债券收益率比10年期国债高出1.08个百分点，较11月份最低水平时0.99个百分点的利差有所上升。能源行业公司债利差已从11月低点1.2升至1.41个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> “The market expects one to two [rate] hikes next year and that’s why you’re seeing credit spreads increase,” said John Ham, wealth advisor at New England Investments &amp; Retirement Group, told Barron’s Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>新英格兰投资与退休集团财富顾问约翰·哈姆周三对《巴伦周刊》表示：“市场预计明年将加息一到两次，这就是为什么你会看到信用利差扩大。”</blockquote></p><p> Although the major indexes are off their all-time highs, this sentiment hasn’t caused a selloff of more than 5%. The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average are down 0.1%, 1.3%, and 1.7% from their highs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管主要股指已脱离历史高点，但这种情绪并未导致超过5%的抛售。标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数较高点下跌0.1%、1.3%和1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> But the pain could come if credit spreads continue to widen. “Eventually that’s going to creep back into the equity market,” Harvey said.</p><p><blockquote>但如果信用利差继续扩大，痛苦可能会到来。“最终这将重新回到股市，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/stock-market-fed-rate-increase-51637790713?mod=newsviewer_click_seemore\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/stock-market-fed-rate-increase-51637790713?mod=newsviewer_click_seemore","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1182200011","content_text":"Fixed-income markets are signaling that the Federal Reserve will have to increase interest rates sooner than expected, which could put a dent in the stock market.\nThe yield on the 2-year Treasury note has gone from 0.5% in early November to 0.64% as of Wednesday. The move suggests that investors expect the Fed to raise interest rates to combat inflation that remains higher than expected because of soaring consumer demand and supply chains that struggling to match demand.\nIndeed, minutes released Wednesday from the Fed’s meeting earlier this month show that members of the central bank are prepared to increase rates sooner than previously anticipated if inflation remains high.\nThat belief is beginning to creep into credit spreads between corporate and government debt. A Bank of America index of investment-grade corporate bonds shows that, in aggregate, the spread over Treasury yields has increased to 0.94% from 0.89% earlier this month as investors have fled corporate bonds in anticipation of rate increases that could slow economic growth and pressure profits.\nConsistent with that, credit spreads for investment-grade corporate bonds in more economically sensitive sectors are rising against government debt. Ten-year bonds issues by manufacturing companies in the S&P 500 yield 1.08 percentage points more than the 10-year Treasury note, according to FactSet, an increase from the 0.99 percentage point spread seen at the lowest levels of November. The spread for corporate bonds in the energy sector has risen to 1.41 percentage points from a November low of 1.2.\n“The market expects one to two [rate] hikes next year and that’s why you’re seeing credit spreads increase,” said John Ham, wealth advisor at New England Investments & Retirement Group, told Barron’s Wednesday.\nAlthough the major indexes are off their all-time highs, this sentiment hasn’t caused a selloff of more than 5%. The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average are down 0.1%, 1.3%, and 1.7% from their highs.\nBut the pain could come if credit spreads continue to widen. “Eventually that’s going to creep back into the equity market,” Harvey said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1008,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":874362583,"gmtCreate":1637732217129,"gmtModify":1637732298881,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Catching a falling knife maybe ok for a fund with deep pockets but not for a retail investor with insufficient cash.","listText":"Catching a falling knife maybe ok for a fund with deep pockets but not for a retail investor with insufficient cash.","text":"Catching a falling knife maybe ok for a fund with deep pockets but not for a retail investor with insufficient cash.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874362583","repostId":"2185337169","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":903,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":874368534,"gmtCreate":1637732074140,"gmtModify":1637732140143,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Unless it is for the purpose of&nbsp;diversication without putting in significant cash,&nbsp;it does not pay to buy a fund or a ETF.","listText":"Unless it is for the purpose of&nbsp;diversication without putting in significant cash,&nbsp;it does not pay to buy a fund or a ETF.","text":"Unless it is for the purpose of diversication without putting in significant cash, it does not pay to buy a fund or a ETF.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874368534","repostId":"1154925824","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154925824","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637731338,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154925824?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-24 13:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The World’s Largest Bitcoin Fund Is Troubled. Here’s Why.<blockquote>全球最大的比特币基金陷入困境。原因如下。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154925824","media":"Barrons","summary":"Bitcoin can’t seem to shake its funk. The world’s largest cryptocurrency was trading at around $57,3","content":"<p>Bitcoin can’t seem to shake its funk. The world’s largest cryptocurrency was trading at around $57,300 on Tuesday, down 1% and hovering well below its all-time highs near $69,000.</p><p><blockquote>比特币似乎无法摆脱它的恐惧。周二，全球最大的加密货币交易价格约为57,300美元，下跌1%，远低于69,000美元附近的历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> Investors in the&nbsp;Grayscale Bitcoin Trust&nbsp;(ticker: GBTC), however, may be faring even worse.</p><p><blockquote>然而，灰度比特币信托基金（股票代码：GBTC）的投资者的情况可能更糟。</blockquote></p><p> With $37 billion in assets, the Grayscale trust is the world’s largest Bitcoin fund. It towers over every other fund on the market. Its next-closest rival, the&nbsp;ProShares Bitcoin Strategy&nbsp;(BITO) exchange-traded fund, has racked up $1.3 billion in assets since launching in October.</p><p><blockquote>灰度信托拥有370亿美元的资产，是全球最大的比特币基金。它优于市场上的所有其他基金。其第二大竞争对手ProShares比特币策略(BITO)交易所交易基金自10月份推出以来已积累了13亿美元的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have flooded into the Grayscale trust because it owns Bitcoin directly, while the ProShares ETF and others gain exposure through futures contracts. The Securities and Exchange Commission hasn’t approved a spot-based Bitcoin ETF, recently rejecting an application from VanEck.</p><p><blockquote>投资者纷纷涌入灰度信托，因为它直接拥有比特币，而ProShares ETF和其他公司则通过期货合约获得风险敞口。美国证券交易委员会尚未批准基于现货的比特币ETF，最近拒绝了VanEck的申请。</blockquote></p><p> “An ETF is the most efficient way to resolve any discrepancy between our products’ share price and the NAV,” a Grayscale spokesman says. “Investors want their Bitcoin exposure in the form of a Bitcoin Spot ETF, and, at Grayscale, it’s what we believe they deserve.”</p><p><blockquote>Grayscale发言人表示：“ETF是解决我们产品股价与资产净值之间差异的最有效方法。”“投资者希望以比特币现货ETF的形式投资比特币，从灰度来看，我们认为这是他们应得的。”</blockquote></p><p> Many institutional investors own Bitcoin through the Grayscale trust. Its largest holder is Ark Invest, the fund shop run by Cathie Wood, which has invested $375 million in the trust, including assets held in its&nbsp;Ark Next Generation&nbsp;ETF (ARKW). At least 47 mutual funds and separate accounts own stakes in the trust, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>许多机构投资者通过灰度信托拥有比特币。其最大持有人是Cathie Wood经营的基金公司Ark Invest，该公司已向该信托投资了3.75亿美元，其中包括其Ark Next Generation ETF(ARKW)持有的资产。据晨星公司称，至少有47个共同基金和独立账户拥有该信托的股份。</blockquote></p><p> But many of those investors would have been better off owning Bitcoin directly, according to a Morningstar report issued Monday.</p><p><blockquote>但根据晨星公司周一发布的一份报告，其中许多投资者直接持有比特币会更好。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the trust, which trade over the counter, are up 42% this year versus a 95% gain for Bitcoin, through Oct. 29. Over the last year, the shares have gained 220% versus 340% for Bitcoin, according to Morningstar. The gap has widened over time. The Trust is up 648% and 4,048% for the respective three- and five-year periods, versus 876% and 8,427%, respectively, for Bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>截至10月29日，该信托公司在场外交易的股价今年上涨了42%，而比特币的股价则上涨了95%。据晨星公司称，去年，该公司股价上涨了220%，而比特币股价上涨了340%。随着时间的推移，差距越来越大。该信托在三年和五年期间分别上涨了648%和4,048%，而比特币分别上涨了876%和8,427%。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the performance gap comes down to the trust’s 2% annual expense ratio. That is well above the roughly 1% fee charged by ETFs and mutual funds that own Bitcoin through futures contracts.</p><p><blockquote>部分业绩差距归结为该信托2%的年费用率。这远高于通过期货合约持有比特币的ETF和共同基金收取的约1%的费用。</blockquote></p><p> The bigger problem is that the&nbsp;Grayscale Bitcoin Trust&nbsp;is structured like a closed-end fund with a fixed number of shares on the market. The shares may trade at a premium or discount to the fund’s underlying net asset value, or NAV, depending on market demand.</p><p><blockquote>更大的问题是，灰度比特币信托的结构就像市场上份额固定的封闭式基金。根据市场需求，股票的交易价格可能高于或低于基金的基础资产净值（NAV）。</blockquote></p><p> The shares currently trade at a 14% discount. That means investors who buy on the open market are effectively getting $1 of Bitcoin for 86 cents on the dollar.</p><p><blockquote>该股目前的交易价格有14%的折扣。这意味着在公开市场上购买的投资者实际上可以以86美分的价格获得1美元的比特币。</blockquote></p><p> That sounds like a great deal, but the discount to the NAV isn’t likely to narrow soon. And since the fund has traded at steep premiums, investors buying on the open market have overpaid for Bitcoin itself.</p><p><blockquote>这听起来很划算，但资产净值的折扣不太可能很快缩小。由于该基金的交易溢价很高，在公开市场上购买的投资者为比特币本身支付了过高的价格。</blockquote></p><p> The fund traded at premiums to its NAV from Nov. 1, 2018, to March 1, 2021, when it flipped from a premium to a discount.</p><p><blockquote>从2018年11月1日到2021年3月1日，该基金的交易价格高于其资产净值，随后从溢价转为折价。</blockquote></p><p> An investor who bought the fund on the market on Dec. 22, 2020, when the premium was at its peak, would have gained 64% through October, according to Morningstar. But Bitcoin itself rose 160% over that stretch.</p><p><blockquote>据晨星公司称，2020年12月22日溢价达到峰值时在市场上购买该基金的投资者，到10月份将上涨64%。但比特币本身在此期间上涨了160%。</blockquote></p><p> “Investors that crowded into GBTC, buying at a premium, really got burned,” says Morningstar analyst Bobby Blue.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司分析师鲍比·布鲁(Bobby Blue)表示：“涌入GBTC、以溢价购买的投资者确实受到了伤害。”</blockquote></p><p> Accredited investors, with at least $1 million of net worth or annual income above $200,000, may have done better. Such investors are eligible to buy the shares directly from Grayscale at the NAV price. Grayscale filed for 35 private placements throughout 2020 and into early 2021, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>净资产至少100万美元或年收入超过20万美元的合格投资者可能会做得更好。此类投资者有资格以资产净值价格直接从Grayscale购买股票。据晨星公司称，从2020年到2021年初，Grayscale申请了35次私募。</blockquote></p><p> When the trust traded at a premium, buying at the NAV could have paid off handsomely, since investors gained access to assets at a discount to their market price.</p><p><blockquote>当信托以溢价交易时，以资产净值购买可能会获得丰厚的回报，因为投资者可以以低于市场价格的价格获得资产。</blockquote></p><p> Grayscale collected $1.2 billion in assets from accredited or institutional investors in December, 2020, a period when the Trust traded at premiums of 19% to 40%, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>据晨星公司称，Grayscale在2020年12月从合格或机构投资者那里收集了12亿美元的资产，当时该信托的交易溢价为19%至40%。</blockquote></p><p> “Those stuck buying on the open market had to do so at a significantly marked-up price,” says Blue. He notes that the premiums spiked from October 2020 to February 2021, as meme stocks surged and Bitcoin’s price soared.</p><p><blockquote>“那些被困在公开市场上购买的人必须以大幅上涨的价格购买，”布鲁说。他指出，从2020年10月到2021年2月，随着模因股票飙升和比特币价格飙升，溢价飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Grayscale filed an application with the SEC in October to convert the Trust to an ETF. But the SEC’s recent rejection of a spot-Bitcoin ETF signals that regulators aren’t yet comfortable with the underlying spot market. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler has indicated that the regulatory path for Bitcoin ETFs goes through the futures market.</p><p><blockquote>Grayscale于10月份向SEC提交了将信托转换为ETF的申请。但美国证券交易委员会最近拒绝了现货比特币ETF，这表明监管机构尚未对基础现货市场感到满意。SEC主席Gary Gensler表示，比特币ETF的监管路径是通过期货市场。</blockquote></p><p> Grayscale parent company Digital Currency Group announced in October that it would buy back up to $1 billion of the trust on the market. DCG said it had already bought back $388 million worth of shares. But that hasn’t moved the needle on the discount, partly because it amounts to about 1% of the fund’s assets.</p><p><blockquote>灰度母公司Digital Currency Group于10月宣布，将在市场上回购最多10亿美元的信托。DCG表示，已经回购了价值3.88亿美元的股票。但这并没有影响折扣，部分原因是折扣约占该基金资产的1%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Another reason the discount hasn’t narrowed: more competition for Grayscale. Several Bitcoin futures ETFs are now trading the U.S., all of which have lower fees, along with some spot-based ETFs on the Canadian market.</p><p><blockquote>折扣没有缩小的另一个原因是：灰度的竞争更加激烈。几只比特币期货ETF现在在美国交易，所有这些ETF的费用都较低，加拿大市场上还有一些基于现货的ETF。</blockquote></p><p> Grayscale has incentives not to convert to an ETF, too. Its 2% expense ratio is generating $740 million in annualized fee income at recent asset levels. ETFs generally charge about half that expense ratio, and Grayscale earns its fee on the NAV, not the underlying share price, which may be lower.</p><p><blockquote>灰度也有不转换为ETF的动机。按近期资产水平计算，其2%的费用率可产生7.4亿美元的年化费用收入。ETF通常收取该费用比率的一半左右，而Grayscale的费用是根据资产净值而不是基础股价赚取的，后者可能会更低。</blockquote></p><p> Grayscale did not immediately reply to a request for comment.</p><p><blockquote>灰度没有立即回复置评请求。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The World’s Largest Bitcoin Fund Is Troubled. Here’s Why.<blockquote>全球最大的比特币基金陷入困境。原因如下。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe World’s Largest Bitcoin Fund Is Troubled. Here’s Why.<blockquote>全球最大的比特币基金陷入困境。原因如下。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-24 13:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bitcoin can’t seem to shake its funk. The world’s largest cryptocurrency was trading at around $57,300 on Tuesday, down 1% and hovering well below its all-time highs near $69,000.</p><p><blockquote>比特币似乎无法摆脱它的恐惧。周二，全球最大的加密货币交易价格约为57,300美元，下跌1%，远低于69,000美元附近的历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> Investors in the&nbsp;Grayscale Bitcoin Trust&nbsp;(ticker: GBTC), however, may be faring even worse.</p><p><blockquote>然而，灰度比特币信托基金（股票代码：GBTC）的投资者的情况可能更糟。</blockquote></p><p> With $37 billion in assets, the Grayscale trust is the world’s largest Bitcoin fund. It towers over every other fund on the market. Its next-closest rival, the&nbsp;ProShares Bitcoin Strategy&nbsp;(BITO) exchange-traded fund, has racked up $1.3 billion in assets since launching in October.</p><p><blockquote>灰度信托拥有370亿美元的资产，是全球最大的比特币基金。它优于市场上的所有其他基金。其第二大竞争对手ProShares比特币策略(BITO)交易所交易基金自10月份推出以来已积累了13亿美元的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have flooded into the Grayscale trust because it owns Bitcoin directly, while the ProShares ETF and others gain exposure through futures contracts. The Securities and Exchange Commission hasn’t approved a spot-based Bitcoin ETF, recently rejecting an application from VanEck.</p><p><blockquote>投资者纷纷涌入灰度信托，因为它直接拥有比特币，而ProShares ETF和其他公司则通过期货合约获得风险敞口。美国证券交易委员会尚未批准基于现货的比特币ETF，最近拒绝了VanEck的申请。</blockquote></p><p> “An ETF is the most efficient way to resolve any discrepancy between our products’ share price and the NAV,” a Grayscale spokesman says. “Investors want their Bitcoin exposure in the form of a Bitcoin Spot ETF, and, at Grayscale, it’s what we believe they deserve.”</p><p><blockquote>Grayscale发言人表示：“ETF是解决我们产品股价与资产净值之间差异的最有效方法。”“投资者希望以比特币现货ETF的形式投资比特币，从灰度来看，我们认为这是他们应得的。”</blockquote></p><p> Many institutional investors own Bitcoin through the Grayscale trust. Its largest holder is Ark Invest, the fund shop run by Cathie Wood, which has invested $375 million in the trust, including assets held in its&nbsp;Ark Next Generation&nbsp;ETF (ARKW). At least 47 mutual funds and separate accounts own stakes in the trust, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>许多机构投资者通过灰度信托拥有比特币。其最大持有人是Cathie Wood经营的基金公司Ark Invest，该公司已向该信托投资了3.75亿美元，其中包括其Ark Next Generation ETF(ARKW)持有的资产。据晨星公司称，至少有47个共同基金和独立账户拥有该信托的股份。</blockquote></p><p> But many of those investors would have been better off owning Bitcoin directly, according to a Morningstar report issued Monday.</p><p><blockquote>但根据晨星公司周一发布的一份报告，其中许多投资者直接持有比特币会更好。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the trust, which trade over the counter, are up 42% this year versus a 95% gain for Bitcoin, through Oct. 29. Over the last year, the shares have gained 220% versus 340% for Bitcoin, according to Morningstar. The gap has widened over time. The Trust is up 648% and 4,048% for the respective three- and five-year periods, versus 876% and 8,427%, respectively, for Bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>截至10月29日，该信托公司在场外交易的股价今年上涨了42%，而比特币的股价则上涨了95%。据晨星公司称，去年，该公司股价上涨了220%，而比特币股价上涨了340%。随着时间的推移，差距越来越大。该信托在三年和五年期间分别上涨了648%和4,048%，而比特币分别上涨了876%和8,427%。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the performance gap comes down to the trust’s 2% annual expense ratio. That is well above the roughly 1% fee charged by ETFs and mutual funds that own Bitcoin through futures contracts.</p><p><blockquote>部分业绩差距归结为该信托2%的年费用率。这远高于通过期货合约持有比特币的ETF和共同基金收取的约1%的费用。</blockquote></p><p> The bigger problem is that the&nbsp;Grayscale Bitcoin Trust&nbsp;is structured like a closed-end fund with a fixed number of shares on the market. The shares may trade at a premium or discount to the fund’s underlying net asset value, or NAV, depending on market demand.</p><p><blockquote>更大的问题是，灰度比特币信托的结构就像市场上份额固定的封闭式基金。根据市场需求，股票的交易价格可能高于或低于基金的基础资产净值（NAV）。</blockquote></p><p> The shares currently trade at a 14% discount. That means investors who buy on the open market are effectively getting $1 of Bitcoin for 86 cents on the dollar.</p><p><blockquote>该股目前的交易价格有14%的折扣。这意味着在公开市场上购买的投资者实际上可以以86美分的价格获得1美元的比特币。</blockquote></p><p> That sounds like a great deal, but the discount to the NAV isn’t likely to narrow soon. And since the fund has traded at steep premiums, investors buying on the open market have overpaid for Bitcoin itself.</p><p><blockquote>这听起来很划算，但资产净值的折扣不太可能很快缩小。由于该基金的交易溢价很高，在公开市场上购买的投资者为比特币本身支付了过高的价格。</blockquote></p><p> The fund traded at premiums to its NAV from Nov. 1, 2018, to March 1, 2021, when it flipped from a premium to a discount.</p><p><blockquote>从2018年11月1日到2021年3月1日，该基金的交易价格高于其资产净值，随后从溢价转为折价。</blockquote></p><p> An investor who bought the fund on the market on Dec. 22, 2020, when the premium was at its peak, would have gained 64% through October, according to Morningstar. But Bitcoin itself rose 160% over that stretch.</p><p><blockquote>据晨星公司称，2020年12月22日溢价达到峰值时在市场上购买该基金的投资者，到10月份将上涨64%。但比特币本身在此期间上涨了160%。</blockquote></p><p> “Investors that crowded into GBTC, buying at a premium, really got burned,” says Morningstar analyst Bobby Blue.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司分析师鲍比·布鲁(Bobby Blue)表示：“涌入GBTC、以溢价购买的投资者确实受到了伤害。”</blockquote></p><p> Accredited investors, with at least $1 million of net worth or annual income above $200,000, may have done better. Such investors are eligible to buy the shares directly from Grayscale at the NAV price. Grayscale filed for 35 private placements throughout 2020 and into early 2021, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>净资产至少100万美元或年收入超过20万美元的合格投资者可能会做得更好。此类投资者有资格以资产净值价格直接从Grayscale购买股票。据晨星公司称，从2020年到2021年初，Grayscale申请了35次私募。</blockquote></p><p> When the trust traded at a premium, buying at the NAV could have paid off handsomely, since investors gained access to assets at a discount to their market price.</p><p><blockquote>当信托以溢价交易时，以资产净值购买可能会获得丰厚的回报，因为投资者可以以低于市场价格的价格获得资产。</blockquote></p><p> Grayscale collected $1.2 billion in assets from accredited or institutional investors in December, 2020, a period when the Trust traded at premiums of 19% to 40%, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>据晨星公司称，Grayscale在2020年12月从合格或机构投资者那里收集了12亿美元的资产，当时该信托的交易溢价为19%至40%。</blockquote></p><p> “Those stuck buying on the open market had to do so at a significantly marked-up price,” says Blue. He notes that the premiums spiked from October 2020 to February 2021, as meme stocks surged and Bitcoin’s price soared.</p><p><blockquote>“那些被困在公开市场上购买的人必须以大幅上涨的价格购买，”布鲁说。他指出，从2020年10月到2021年2月，随着模因股票飙升和比特币价格飙升，溢价飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Grayscale filed an application with the SEC in October to convert the Trust to an ETF. But the SEC’s recent rejection of a spot-Bitcoin ETF signals that regulators aren’t yet comfortable with the underlying spot market. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler has indicated that the regulatory path for Bitcoin ETFs goes through the futures market.</p><p><blockquote>Grayscale于10月份向SEC提交了将信托转换为ETF的申请。但美国证券交易委员会最近拒绝了现货比特币ETF，这表明监管机构尚未对基础现货市场感到满意。SEC主席Gary Gensler表示，比特币ETF的监管路径是通过期货市场。</blockquote></p><p> Grayscale parent company Digital Currency Group announced in October that it would buy back up to $1 billion of the trust on the market. DCG said it had already bought back $388 million worth of shares. But that hasn’t moved the needle on the discount, partly because it amounts to about 1% of the fund’s assets.</p><p><blockquote>灰度母公司Digital Currency Group于10月宣布，将在市场上回购最多10亿美元的信托。DCG表示，已经回购了价值3.88亿美元的股票。但这并没有影响折扣，部分原因是折扣约占该基金资产的1%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Another reason the discount hasn’t narrowed: more competition for Grayscale. Several Bitcoin futures ETFs are now trading the U.S., all of which have lower fees, along with some spot-based ETFs on the Canadian market.</p><p><blockquote>折扣没有缩小的另一个原因是：灰度的竞争更加激烈。几只比特币期货ETF现在在美国交易，所有这些ETF的费用都较低，加拿大市场上还有一些基于现货的ETF。</blockquote></p><p> Grayscale has incentives not to convert to an ETF, too. Its 2% expense ratio is generating $740 million in annualized fee income at recent asset levels. ETFs generally charge about half that expense ratio, and Grayscale earns its fee on the NAV, not the underlying share price, which may be lower.</p><p><blockquote>灰度也有不转换为ETF的动机。按近期资产水平计算，其2%的费用率可产生7.4亿美元的年化费用收入。ETF通常收取该费用比率的一半左右，而Grayscale的费用是根据资产净值而不是基础股价赚取的，后者可能会更低。</blockquote></p><p> Grayscale did not immediately reply to a request for comment.</p><p><blockquote>灰度没有立即回复置评请求。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/grayscale-bitcoin-trust-fund-etf-price-51637689328?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale","BITO":"比特币期货ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/grayscale-bitcoin-trust-fund-etf-price-51637689328?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154925824","content_text":"Bitcoin can’t seem to shake its funk. The world’s largest cryptocurrency was trading at around $57,300 on Tuesday, down 1% and hovering well below its all-time highs near $69,000.\nInvestors in the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (ticker: GBTC), however, may be faring even worse.\nWith $37 billion in assets, the Grayscale trust is the world’s largest Bitcoin fund. It towers over every other fund on the market. Its next-closest rival, the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy (BITO) exchange-traded fund, has racked up $1.3 billion in assets since launching in October.\nInvestors have flooded into the Grayscale trust because it owns Bitcoin directly, while the ProShares ETF and others gain exposure through futures contracts. The Securities and Exchange Commission hasn’t approved a spot-based Bitcoin ETF, recently rejecting an application from VanEck.\n“An ETF is the most efficient way to resolve any discrepancy between our products’ share price and the NAV,” a Grayscale spokesman says. “Investors want their Bitcoin exposure in the form of a Bitcoin Spot ETF, and, at Grayscale, it’s what we believe they deserve.”\nMany institutional investors own Bitcoin through the Grayscale trust. Its largest holder is Ark Invest, the fund shop run by Cathie Wood, which has invested $375 million in the trust, including assets held in its Ark Next Generation ETF (ARKW). At least 47 mutual funds and separate accounts own stakes in the trust, according to Morningstar.\nBut many of those investors would have been better off owning Bitcoin directly, according to a Morningstar report issued Monday.\nShares of the trust, which trade over the counter, are up 42% this year versus a 95% gain for Bitcoin, through Oct. 29. Over the last year, the shares have gained 220% versus 340% for Bitcoin, according to Morningstar. The gap has widened over time. The Trust is up 648% and 4,048% for the respective three- and five-year periods, versus 876% and 8,427%, respectively, for Bitcoin.\nSome of the performance gap comes down to the trust’s 2% annual expense ratio. That is well above the roughly 1% fee charged by ETFs and mutual funds that own Bitcoin through futures contracts.\nThe bigger problem is that the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is structured like a closed-end fund with a fixed number of shares on the market. The shares may trade at a premium or discount to the fund’s underlying net asset value, or NAV, depending on market demand.\nThe shares currently trade at a 14% discount. That means investors who buy on the open market are effectively getting $1 of Bitcoin for 86 cents on the dollar.\nThat sounds like a great deal, but the discount to the NAV isn’t likely to narrow soon. And since the fund has traded at steep premiums, investors buying on the open market have overpaid for Bitcoin itself.\nThe fund traded at premiums to its NAV from Nov. 1, 2018, to March 1, 2021, when it flipped from a premium to a discount.\nAn investor who bought the fund on the market on Dec. 22, 2020, when the premium was at its peak, would have gained 64% through October, according to Morningstar. But Bitcoin itself rose 160% over that stretch.\n“Investors that crowded into GBTC, buying at a premium, really got burned,” says Morningstar analyst Bobby Blue.\nAccredited investors, with at least $1 million of net worth or annual income above $200,000, may have done better. Such investors are eligible to buy the shares directly from Grayscale at the NAV price. Grayscale filed for 35 private placements throughout 2020 and into early 2021, according to Morningstar.\nWhen the trust traded at a premium, buying at the NAV could have paid off handsomely, since investors gained access to assets at a discount to their market price.\nGrayscale collected $1.2 billion in assets from accredited or institutional investors in December, 2020, a period when the Trust traded at premiums of 19% to 40%, according to Morningstar.\n“Those stuck buying on the open market had to do so at a significantly marked-up price,” says Blue. He notes that the premiums spiked from October 2020 to February 2021, as meme stocks surged and Bitcoin’s price soared.\nGrayscale filed an application with the SEC in October to convert the Trust to an ETF. But the SEC’s recent rejection of a spot-Bitcoin ETF signals that regulators aren’t yet comfortable with the underlying spot market. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler has indicated that the regulatory path for Bitcoin ETFs goes through the futures market.\nGrayscale parent company Digital Currency Group announced in October that it would buy back up to $1 billion of the trust on the market. DCG said it had already bought back $388 million worth of shares. But that hasn’t moved the needle on the discount, partly because it amounts to about 1% of the fund’s assets.\nAnother reason the discount hasn’t narrowed: more competition for Grayscale. Several Bitcoin futures ETFs are now trading the U.S., all of which have lower fees, along with some spot-based ETFs on the Canadian market.\nGrayscale has incentives not to convert to an ETF, too. Its 2% expense ratio is generating $740 million in annualized fee income at recent asset levels. ETFs generally charge about half that expense ratio, and Grayscale earns its fee on the NAV, not the underlying share price, which may be lower.\nGrayscale did not immediately reply to a request for comment.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BITO":0.9,"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":848,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875652332,"gmtCreate":1637648198502,"gmtModify":1637648998676,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"software business can scale cheaply but may also face more competition. Key is to devise a strategy to monopolize the market for one' s software products","listText":"software business can scale cheaply but may also face more competition. Key is to devise a strategy to monopolize the market for one' s software products","text":"software business can scale cheaply but may also face more competition. Key is to devise a strategy to monopolize the market for one' s software products","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875652332","repostId":"1196838355","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":966,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875656148,"gmtCreate":1637648059717,"gmtModify":1637648997041,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"With the re-election of Powell, one uncertainty is removed. The market rises with&nbsp;certainty and becomes volatile when uncertainty increases.","listText":"With the re-election of Powell, one uncertainty is removed. The market rises with&nbsp;certainty and becomes volatile when uncertainty increases.","text":"With the re-election of Powell, one uncertainty is removed. The market rises with certainty and becomes volatile when uncertainty increases.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875656148","repostId":"1190077312","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":872305015,"gmtCreate":1637413115330,"gmtModify":1637413115484,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Given the growing&nbsp;competition in the EV industry, building up cash reserves will be important for it to invest in growth.&nbsp;","listText":"Given the growing&nbsp;competition in the EV industry, building up cash reserves will be important for it to invest in growth.&nbsp;","text":"Given the growing competition in the EV industry, building up cash reserves will be important for it to invest in growth.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872305015","repostId":"2184384295","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":872053536,"gmtCreate":1637378724939,"gmtModify":1637378725322,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"For Nasdaq to keep rising, the Dow has to stop falling at some point.&nbsp;","listText":"For Nasdaq to keep rising, the Dow has to stop falling at some point.&nbsp;","text":"For Nasdaq to keep rising, the Dow has to stop falling at some point.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872053536","repostId":"2184842262","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878988496,"gmtCreate":1637138390795,"gmtModify":1637138391174,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"May have to miss the award this round as I have just joined Tiger and do not nhave many trades yet","listText":"May have to miss the award this round as I have just joined Tiger and do not nhave many trades yet","text":"May have to miss the award this round as I have just joined Tiger and do not nhave many trades yet","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878988496","repostId":"871846671","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":871846671,"gmtCreate":1637056018890,"gmtModify":1637911014436,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【年终活动】第四届“金蛋奖”开始啦，2021这只票我赚最多！","htmlText":"时间过得好快啊，又到了举办“金蛋奖”的时刻啦~！ 老规矩，先给大家介绍一下，啥是“金蛋奖”？ 就是： 在本文评论区留言，晒出2021你最得意、赚钱最多那只票！然后抽大奖！ 那么，大家还记得，往届最让我们最赚钱的股票是什么吗？ 来回忆一下吧，往届TOP&nbsp;3： 2018年，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> ； 2019年，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> ; 2020年，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">$优步(UBER)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 2021年，？？？ 好啦~接下来大家就快快晒单、留言，参与活动吧！","listText":"时间过得好快啊，又到了举办“金蛋奖”的时刻啦~！ 老规矩，先给大家介绍一下，啥是“金蛋奖”？ 就是： 在本文评论区留言，晒出2021你最得意、赚钱最多那只票！然后抽大奖！ 那么，大家还记得，往届最让我们最赚钱的股票是什么吗？ 来回忆一下吧，往届TOP&nbsp;3： 2018年，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> ； 2019年，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> ; 2020年，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">$优步(UBER)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 2021年，？？？ 好啦~接下来大家就快快晒单、留言，参与活动吧！","text":"时间过得好快啊，又到了举办“金蛋奖”的时刻啦~！ 老规矩，先给大家介绍一下，啥是“金蛋奖”？ 就是： 在本文评论区留言，晒出2021你最得意、赚钱最多那只票！然后抽大奖！ 那么，大家还记得，往届最让我们最赚钱的股票是什么吗？ 来回忆一下吧，往届TOP 3： 2018年，$拼多多(PDD)$ 、$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 、$AMD(AMD)$ ； 2019年，$美团-W(03690)$ 、$拼多多(PDD)$ 、$苹果(AAPL)$ ; 2020年，$蔚来(NIO)$ 、$优步(UBER)$ 、$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 2021年，？？？ 好啦~接下来大家就快快晒单、留言，参与活动吧！","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e725853a338746119b3ca2faa4c2bf3","width":"551","height":"404"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3d465aba898f819d183bed5c413a2ef","width":"1088","height":"754"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b56d1364489aaafc34e363d2b2b842a8","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871846671","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":851839554,"gmtCreate":1634890347322,"gmtModify":1634890347429,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Facebook is reporting next week and the privacy issue faced by snap will also affect Facebook. Will Facebook shares fall next week?","listText":"Facebook is reporting next week and the privacy issue faced by snap will also affect Facebook. Will Facebook shares fall next week?","text":"Facebook is reporting next week and the privacy issue faced by snap will also affect Facebook. Will Facebook shares fall next week?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851839554","repostId":"1120243173","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120243173","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634889859,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120243173?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-22 16:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Snap nosedives 20% as revenue misses amid iPhone privacy changes<blockquote>iPhone隐私变化导致收入下滑，Snap股价暴跌20%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120243173","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Oct 22) Snap Inc nosedives 20% as revenue misses amid iPhone privacy changes.\n\n\nSnap stock has tank","content":"<p>(Oct 22)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a> nosedives 20% as revenue misses amid iPhone privacy changes.</p><p><blockquote>（10月22日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap公司</a>iPhone隐私变化导致收入下降，股价暴跌20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44afd824df8cf27baa047a9aeda7c5c2\" tg-width=\"1043\" tg-height=\"565\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Snap&nbsp;stock has tanked 20% per-market&nbsp;trading&nbsp;Friday as&nbsp;third-quarter revenue&nbsp;missed analyst expectations, indicating some hit to numbers from the high-profile changes to Apple iPhone privacy.</li>  <li>Revenues rose 58% from last year but landed at $1.07 billion vs. expectations for $1.1 billion.</li>  <li>Operating loss widened, to $180.8 million from a prior-year loss of $167.9 million.</li>  <li>Other income and significantly lower interest expense resulted in a net loss that improved to $72 million. Adjusted EBITDA rose 209%, to $174 million.</li>  <li>In operating metrics, daily active users rose 23% year-over-year, to 306 million. The company pointed to Y/Y growth in DAUs that has been over 20% for four straight quarters.</li>  <li>“We’re now operating at the scale necessary to navigate significant headwinds, including changes to the iOS platform that impact the way advertising is targeted, measured, and optimized, as well as global supply chain issues and labor shortages impacting our partners,\" says CEO Evan Spiegel.</li>  <li>Operating cash flow turned positive, reaching $72 million vs. a year-ago -$55 million; that moved through to free cash flow, up to $52 million from -$70 million a year ago.</li>  <li>Meanwhile fourth-quarter revenue guidance was light as well: for $1.165 billion-$1.205 billion, vs. consensus for $1.36 billion.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>由于第三季度营收未达到分析师预期，Snap股价周五下跌20%，这表明苹果iPhone隐私政策的高调变化对数据造成了一些打击。</li><li>收入较去年增长58%，但最终达到10.7亿美元，而预期为11亿美元。</li><li>运营亏损从上年同期的1.679亿美元扩大至1.808亿美元。</li><li>其他收入和利息支出大幅下降导致净亏损改善至7200万美元。调整后EBITDA增长209%，达到1.74亿美元。</li><li>在运营指标方面，日活跃用户同比增长23%，达到3.06亿。该公司指出，DAU的同比增长已连续四个季度超过20%。</li><li>“我们现在的运营规模足以应对重大阻力，包括影响广告定位、衡量和优化方式的iOS平台变化，以及影响我们合作伙伴的全球供应链问题和劳动力短缺，”首席执行官埃文·斯皮格尔。</li><li>运营现金流转为正值，达到7200万美元，而去年同期为5500万美元；这转化为自由现金流，从一年前的-7000万美元增至5200万美元。</li><li>与此同时，第四季度收入指引也较低：11.65亿美元至12.05亿美元，而市场普遍预期为13.6亿美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Snap nosedives 20% as revenue misses amid iPhone privacy changes<blockquote>iPhone隐私变化导致收入下滑，Snap股价暴跌20%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSnap nosedives 20% as revenue misses amid iPhone privacy changes<blockquote>iPhone隐私变化导致收入下滑，Snap股价暴跌20%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-22 16:04</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Oct 22)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a> nosedives 20% as revenue misses amid iPhone privacy changes.</p><p><blockquote>（10月22日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap公司</a>iPhone隐私变化导致收入下降，股价暴跌20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44afd824df8cf27baa047a9aeda7c5c2\" tg-width=\"1043\" tg-height=\"565\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Snap&nbsp;stock has tanked 20% per-market&nbsp;trading&nbsp;Friday as&nbsp;third-quarter revenue&nbsp;missed analyst expectations, indicating some hit to numbers from the high-profile changes to Apple iPhone privacy.</li>  <li>Revenues rose 58% from last year but landed at $1.07 billion vs. expectations for $1.1 billion.</li>  <li>Operating loss widened, to $180.8 million from a prior-year loss of $167.9 million.</li>  <li>Other income and significantly lower interest expense resulted in a net loss that improved to $72 million. Adjusted EBITDA rose 209%, to $174 million.</li>  <li>In operating metrics, daily active users rose 23% year-over-year, to 306 million. The company pointed to Y/Y growth in DAUs that has been over 20% for four straight quarters.</li>  <li>“We’re now operating at the scale necessary to navigate significant headwinds, including changes to the iOS platform that impact the way advertising is targeted, measured, and optimized, as well as global supply chain issues and labor shortages impacting our partners,\" says CEO Evan Spiegel.</li>  <li>Operating cash flow turned positive, reaching $72 million vs. a year-ago -$55 million; that moved through to free cash flow, up to $52 million from -$70 million a year ago.</li>  <li>Meanwhile fourth-quarter revenue guidance was light as well: for $1.165 billion-$1.205 billion, vs. consensus for $1.36 billion.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>由于第三季度营收未达到分析师预期，Snap股价周五下跌20%，这表明苹果iPhone隐私政策的高调变化对数据造成了一些打击。</li><li>收入较去年增长58%，但最终达到10.7亿美元，而预期为11亿美元。</li><li>运营亏损从上年同期的1.679亿美元扩大至1.808亿美元。</li><li>其他收入和利息支出大幅下降导致净亏损改善至7200万美元。调整后EBITDA增长209%，达到1.74亿美元。</li><li>在运营指标方面，日活跃用户同比增长23%，达到3.06亿。该公司指出，DAU的同比增长已连续四个季度超过20%。</li><li>“我们现在的运营规模足以应对重大阻力，包括影响广告定位、衡量和优化方式的iOS平台变化，以及影响我们合作伙伴的全球供应链问题和劳动力短缺，”首席执行官埃文·斯皮格尔。</li><li>运营现金流转为正值，达到7200万美元，而去年同期为5500万美元；这转化为自由现金流，从一年前的-7000万美元增至5200万美元。</li><li>与此同时，第四季度收入指引也较低：11.65亿美元至12.05亿美元，而市场普遍预期为13.6亿美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNAP":"Snap Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120243173","content_text":"(Oct 22) Snap Inc nosedives 20% as revenue misses amid iPhone privacy changes.\n\n\nSnap stock has tanked 20% per-market trading Friday as third-quarter revenue missed analyst expectations, indicating some hit to numbers from the high-profile changes to Apple iPhone privacy.\nRevenues rose 58% from last year but landed at $1.07 billion vs. expectations for $1.1 billion.\nOperating loss widened, to $180.8 million from a prior-year loss of $167.9 million.\nOther income and significantly lower interest expense resulted in a net loss that improved to $72 million. Adjusted EBITDA rose 209%, to $174 million.\nIn operating metrics, daily active users rose 23% year-over-year, to 306 million. The company pointed to Y/Y growth in DAUs that has been over 20% for four straight quarters.\n“We’re now operating at the scale necessary to navigate significant headwinds, including changes to the iOS platform that impact the way advertising is targeted, measured, and optimized, as well as global supply chain issues and labor shortages impacting our partners,\" says CEO Evan Spiegel.\nOperating cash flow turned positive, reaching $72 million vs. a year-ago -$55 million; that moved through to free cash flow, up to $52 million from -$70 million a year ago.\nMeanwhile fourth-quarter revenue guidance was light as well: for $1.165 billion-$1.205 billion, vs. consensus for $1.36 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SNAP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817636328,"gmtCreate":1630938981364,"gmtModify":1631890788770,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be fearful when the market is greedy. Be greedy when the market is fearful.","listText":"Be fearful when the market is greedy. Be greedy when the market is fearful.","text":"Be fearful when the market is greedy. Be greedy when the market is fearful.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817636328","repostId":"1186375251","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186375251","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630909435,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1186375251?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 14:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Golden Rules On How To Invest At All-Time Highs<blockquote>如何在历史高点进行投资的3条黄金法则</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186375251","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nMarkets continue to reach new all-time highs each week and have not seen a notable correcti","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Markets continue to reach new all-time highs each week and have not seen a notable correction in over 200 trading days.</li>  <li>As markets are rallying, many investors are starting to rest on their laurels while investment decisions at all-time highs are actually more important than ever.</li>  <li>What should you be aware of in today's market? Should you sell out at these overvalued prices or can you still generate great returns by buying today?</li>  <li>In this article, I will share my three golden rules on how to invest at all-time highs like today. This information will be very valuable for your future wealth generation in the market.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f5f0c9f1aacfbc6d8c78d0e84da5fc9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"878\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>phive2015/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>市场每周都在继续创下历史新高，并且在200多个交易日中没有出现明显的回调。</li><li>随着市场反弹，许多投资者开始固步自封，而在历史高点做出投资决策实际上比以往任何时候都更加重要。</li><li>在今天的市场上你应该注意什么？您应该以这些高估的价格卖出，还是今天买入仍然可以获得丰厚的回报？</li><li>在这篇文章中，我将分享我关于如何在像今天这样的历史高点进行投资的三条黄金法则。这些信息对你未来在市场上创造财富非常有价值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>phive2015/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock market has been on a rampage in 2021. At the end of August, the S&amp;P 500 index (SPY) gained 20.4% year-to-date. Interestingly, the index has been trading in a very tight upward range and has not seen a 5% correction for 208 trading days. While most investors don't see this as an anomaly, it actually is. Both events have only occurred 7 times before in stock market history. We are clearly living in abnormal times.</p><p><blockquote>2021年股市一路狂飙。8月底，标普500指数（SPDR标普500指数ETF）今年迄今上涨20.4%。有趣的是，该指数一直在非常狭窄的上行区间内交易，已经有208个交易日没有出现5%的回调。虽然大多数投资者并不认为这是异常现象，但事实确实如此。这两个事件在股市历史上只发生过7次。我们显然生活在一个非常时期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c58ccc72065c84083443d6be7f03482a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"322\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Insider Opportunities with Tradingview</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Tradingview的内部机会</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Each day it is important to think thoroughly about the investment decisions you make. Above all, all purchases or sales will impact your future wealth accumulation in the market.</p><p><blockquote>每天彻底思考你所做的投资决策是很重要的。最重要的是，所有的购买或销售都会影响你未来在市场上的财富积累。</blockquote></p><p> However, during extreme rallies like today it is twice as important to reflect on your investment decisions. Ask that to investors who took high risks during the dot-com bubble or panic sold during the Covid-19 crash. That undoubtedly had an immense impact on their long-term returns.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在像今天这样的极端反弹期间，反思你的投资决策是加倍重要的。问问那些在互联网泡沫期间承担高风险或在Covid-19崩盘期间恐慌性抛售的投资者就知道了。这无疑对他们的长期回报产生了巨大影响。</blockquote></p><p> The importance of investment decisions today for your long-term returns is why I chose to write about my three golden rules on how to invest at all-time highs. How should you approach today's market and what should you be aware of? Should you sell out at these overvalued prices and wait for a correction to take place or can you still generate great returns when buying at these levels? The answers to these one-million-dollar questions will be provided in this article.</p><p><blockquote>今天的投资决策对你的长期回报的重要性，这就是为什么我选择写下我关于如何在历史高点投资的三条黄金法则。你应该如何对待今天的市场，你应该注意什么？您应该在这些高估的价格卖出并等待调整发生，还是在这些水平买入时仍然能产生巨大的回报？本文将提供这些价值百万美元的问题的答案。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Don't get caught by greediness</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.不要被贪婪所困</b></blockquote></p><p> Let's start off with the most important rule. Avoid greediness.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从最重要的规则开始。避免贪婪。</blockquote></p><p> According to JPMorgan, over the past 20 years, the average investor reached an annual return of only 2.9%. As such, they significantly underperformed the general market as the S&amp;P 500 yielded an annual 7.5% return during this time frame.</p><p><blockquote>根据摩根大通的数据，在过去的20年里，普通投资者的年回报率仅为2.9%。因此，它们的表现明显落后于大盘，因为标普500在此期间的年回报率为7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The single most important reason for this retail investor underperformance? Emotional human behavior.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者表现不佳的最重要原因是什么？情绪化的人类行为。</blockquote></p><p> The average investor is getting influenced heavily by media headlines, stock prices movements and behavior from other investors.</p><p><blockquote>普通投资者受到媒体头条、股价走势和其他投资者行为的严重影响。</blockquote></p><p> Today, we reached an extremely bullish stock market environment. Last earnings season has been one of the greatest in stock market history. The S&amp;P 500 EPS rose by 94.5% YoY and 86.1% of its constituents beat analyst estimates.</p><p><blockquote>今天，我们达到了一个极其看涨的股市环境。上一个财报季是股市历史上最伟大的财报季之一。标普500每股收益同比增长94.5%，86.1%的成分股超出分析师预期。</blockquote></p><p> As a consequence of this bullish environment, analysts are significantly raising their estimates for the next quarters. They now expect EPS to rise sharply to $217.96 by the end of 2022, which is a significant recovery from the pre-pandemic high of $157.12. Such a recovery looks to be optimistic as it took 7-12 years in the past economic cycles to achieve this:</p><p><blockquote>由于这种看涨的环境，分析师大幅上调了对未来几个季度的预期。他们现在预计，到2022年底，每股收益将大幅升至217.96美元，较大流行前157.12美元的高点大幅回升。这样的复苏看起来很乐观，因为在过去的经济周期中花了7-12年才实现这一目标：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1accc921d16b11ec13ed94686b9cfe75\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Insider Opportunities based on S&amp;P Global data; adjusted EPS is used</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：基于标准普尔全球数据的内幕机会；使用调整后的每股收益</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Will earnings really continue this very strong recovery over the coming quarters or are analysts perhaps getting too greedy with their assumptions?</p><p><blockquote>未来几个季度的盈利真的会继续这种非常强劲的复苏吗？还是分析师可能对他们的假设过于贪婪？</blockquote></p><p> It wouldn't be the first time if they were too greedy. During the dot-com bubble for example, they were caught by their emotions as well. The '90s was an abnormally strong decade in terms of earnings growth for the S&amp;P 500. As such, analysts totally forgot that downward cycles exist as well. They increased their annual EPS growth guidance to a staggering 15% for the five years following 2000. According to them, this high growth rate justified the record P/E multiples stocks were trading at and many investors got tricked into that story.</p><p><blockquote>如果他们太贪婪，这也不是第一次了。例如，在互联网泡沫期间，他们也被自己的情绪所困扰。就标普500的盈利增长而言，90年代是异常强劲的十年。因此，分析师完全忘记了下行周期也存在。他们将2000年之后五年的年度每股收益增长指引提高到惊人的15%。根据他们的说法，这种高增长率证明了股票交易市盈率创纪录的倍数是合理的，许多投资者被骗了。</blockquote></p><p> What happened afterwards? The economy didn't boom, it fell into a recession which took 3 years to recover from. Earnings in 2003 were almost 50% lower than what analysts had been predicting in 2000.</p><p><blockquote>之后发生了什么？经济没有繁荣，而是陷入了衰退，花了3年时间才恢复过来。2003年的盈利比分析师2000年的预测低了近50%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> As markets were priced to analyst expectations instead of taking into account a possible downturn, the S&amp;P 500 crashed and took 7 years to recover.</p><p><blockquote>由于市场定价符合分析师的预期，而不是考虑可能的低迷，标普500崩溃并花了7年时间才恢复。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0081f4a9c3ee43b20684f113cb04ef9c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Insider Opportunities based on S&amp;P Global data and Yardeni; adjusted EPS is used</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：基于S&amp;P Global数据和Yardeni的内幕机会；使用调整后的每股收益</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Let's get back to today... The P/E of the S&amp;P 500 currently stands at 25.4x, which is extremely high compared to historical levels. This gets justified by the common belief that earnings will continue rising significantly. As such, the ratio would fall to an acceptable 20.7x by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>让我们回到今天...标普500的市盈率目前为25.4倍，与历史水平相比极高。人们普遍认为收入将继续大幅增长，这证明了这一点。因此，到2022年底，该比率将降至可接受的20.7倍。</blockquote></p><p> Now ask yourself how likely it is that earnings growth will continue to grow at higher levels than the historical average over the coming quarters.</p><p><blockquote>现在问问你自己，未来几个季度盈利增长继续高于历史平均水平的可能性有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Interest rates are already at 0%. The money printer is running out of paper. Federal debt levels are hitting their ceilings. Pent-up demand and stimuli cheques already led to record-high consumer spending over the past quarters.</p><p><blockquote>利率已经是0%了。印钞机的纸快用完了。联邦债务水平正在触及上限。过去几个季度，被压抑的需求和刺激支票已经导致消费者支出创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Maybe, just maybe, analysts are being too greedy with their assumptions? Maybe the recent economic recovery is unsustainable and set to cool down? Maybe my assumptions (grey line) are much more likely than what the market is predicting (red line)? If so, the market is trading at a fwd 2022 P/E of 23.6x, which is really expensive.</p><p><blockquote>也许，仅仅是也许，分析师对他们的假设过于贪婪？也许最近的经济复苏是不可持续的，并将降温？也许我的假设（灰线）比市场预测的（红线）更有可能？如果是这样的话，市场的2022年预期市盈率为23.6倍，这确实很贵。</blockquote></p><p> I'm not sure this will happen, nobody is. But it sure as hell is a probability.</p><p><blockquote>我不确定这会发生，没人知道。但这肯定是一种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f61310c3c851b181ceb1fb3cc8862fdb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Insider Opportunities based on S&amp;P Global data and Yardeni; adjusted EPS is used</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：基于S&amp;P Global数据和Yardeni的内幕机会；使用调整后的每股收益</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This greediness also gets reflected in the charts. As you can see in the chart below, a bull market can be split into four cycles. Strong growth, bear trap, media attention and greed.</p><p><blockquote>这种贪婪也反映在图表中。如下图所示，牛市可以分为四个周期。强劲增长、熊市陷阱、媒体关注和贪婪。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, the 2013-2021 bull market is playing out almost identically as the 1994-2000 bull market. At this moment, the Nasdaq Index (QQQ) looks to be ready to start the last extreme greed phase. The media is approaching the recent rally as \"the new normal\" and investors are FOMO buying heavily because stocks \"can only go up\". As such, it is likely that the Nasdaq will rise close to $20,000 in the last months of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，2013-2021年的牛市与1994-2000年的牛市几乎一模一样。此时此刻，纳斯达克指数（QQQ）看起来已经准备好开始最后的极度贪婪阶段。媒体将最近的反弹视为“新常态”，投资者正在FOMO大举买入，因为股市“只能上涨”。因此，纳斯达克可能会在2021年最后几个月升至接近20,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> As a long-term investor, it is extremely important to understand these dynamics. You will probably feel the urge to go all-in in risky assets as well. However, getting greedy during this phase could be a major threat for your long term returns as it will likely be followed by a major bear market.</p><p><blockquote>作为长期投资者，了解这些动态极其重要。你可能也会有全押风险资产的冲动。然而，在此阶段变得贪婪可能会对您的长期回报构成重大威胁，因为接下来可能会出现重大熊市。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c783bf0cff4c410846a27c2dc8c180b1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"499\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Insider Opportunities with Tradingview</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Tradingview的内部机会</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Human behavior makes it extremely challenging to not get distracted by market sentiment. If you can keep an objective view on markets, it will benefit your returns drastically.</p><p><blockquote>人类行为使得不被市场情绪分心变得极具挑战性。如果你能对市场保持客观的看法，这将大大有利于你的回报。</blockquote></p><p> 2. Keep investing, there are always opportunities</p><p><blockquote>2.坚持投资，机会总是有的</blockquote></p><p> In short, rule #1 says that your decisions should never be led by emotions and that you should keep focusing on underlying fundamentals. As the market is getting greedy today and valuations reach extreme levels it implies that you should start selling stocks and hold a lot of cash, right?</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，规则1说，你的决定永远不应该被情绪所引导，你应该继续关注潜在的基本面。随着今天市场变得贪婪，估值达到极端水平，这意味着你应该开始出售股票并持有大量现金，对吗？</blockquote></p><p> Not really... You know, a wise man once said the following:</p><p><blockquote>不是真的...你知道，一位智者曾经说过这样的话：</blockquote></p><p>   <b>It's a market of stocks, not a stock market.</b>  I'm not entirely sure who came up with it. But it must be a wise man, for sure.</p><p><blockquote><b>这是一个股票市场，而不是股票市场。</b>我不完全确定是谁想出来的。但肯定是个聪明人。</blockquote></p><p> What does it mean? Look, many retail investors buy/sell stocks based on how the outlook for the general market looks like. If they don't trust the markets, they will be reluctant to invest, no matter what.</p><p><blockquote>这是什么意思？看，许多散户投资者根据整体市场的前景来买卖股票。如果他们不信任市场，无论如何他们都不愿意投资。</blockquote></p><p> That's not a great way of looking at markets. There are almost 4,000 stocks available and there will always be interesting investment opportunities to generate great returns, no matter how the market evolves.</p><p><blockquote>这不是看待市场的好方法。有近4,000只股票可供选择，无论市场如何发展，总会有有趣的投资机会产生巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> In a generally overvalued market it gets increasingly challenging to find undervalued stocks, but certainly not impossible. Ask Warren Buffett. In 2000, the most overvalued stock market in history, his investment vehicle Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) kept buying high-quality, undervalued assets. His dedication paid off with an impressive return of 47% five years after the dot-com peak compared to -39% for the Nasdaq index.</p><p><blockquote>在一个普遍被高估的市场中，找到被低估的股票变得越来越具有挑战性，但肯定不是不可能。问问沃伦·巴菲特。2000年，史上估值最高的股市，他的投资工具伯克希尔哈撒韦公司（BRK.A）（BRK.B）不断买入优质、被低估的资产。他的奉献得到了回报，在互联网泡沫达到顶峰五年后，他获得了令人印象深刻的47%的回报率，而纳斯达克指数的回报率为-39%。</blockquote></p><p> The Russell 2000 (IWM), an index reflecting US small caps, was very attractive during the dot-com bubble as well, trading at a P/E of 16x (vs 24x for large caps) going into 2000. Those who invested in this undervalued asset class during the bubble also generated very solid returns. Those who were able to pick out the greatest small caps were a lot happier than those who got tricked into overhyped tech stocks, I can imagine.</p><p><blockquote>罗素2000(IWM)是一个反映美国小盘股的指数，在互联网泡沫期间也非常有吸引力，2000年的市盈率为16倍（大盘股为24倍）。那些在泡沫期间投资这一被低估的资产类别的人也获得了非常稳健的回报。我可以想象，那些能够挑选出最伟大的小盘股的人比那些被骗进过度炒作的科技股的人要快乐得多。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c713a296e819a255b3be8ac6e504033d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So what should you do today? I would suggest re-evaluating all your portfolio holdings. Weigh their valuation compared to earnings 3 years from now, when Covid-19 disruptions (stimuli, pent-up demand, etc.) are gone. Be conservative with your assumptions. If a stock is significantly overvalued compared to those assumptions, don't be greedy and sell out the position.</p><p><blockquote>那么你今天应该做什么呢？我建议重新评估你所有的投资组合。当Covid-19的干扰（刺激、被压抑的需求等）消失后，将它们的估值与3年后的收益进行权衡。对你的假设要保守。如果一只股票与这些假设相比被严重高估，不要贪婪并卖出头寸。</blockquote></p><p> A great example is Apple Inc. (AAPL), one of the most popular stocks this year. As a consequence of its very strong financials (revenue grew 36.4% last quarter), its P/E ratio more than doubled over the past two years to 30x. It is important to understand that its recent growth primarily accelerated due to unsustainable drivers such as the several rounds of stimuli cheques. Once this fades away, Apple's growth is likely to fall back to single digits (or might even go negative in the short term) and returns would be very weak going forward.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司（AAPL）就是一个很好的例子，它是今年最受欢迎的股票之一。由于其财务状况非常强劲（上季度收入增长36.4%），其市盈率在过去两年中增长了一倍多，达到30倍。重要的是要明白，它最近的增长主要是由于不可持续的驱动因素，如几轮刺激支票。一旦这种情况消失，苹果的增长可能会回落到个位数（甚至可能在短期内为负），未来的回报将非常疲软。</blockquote></p><p> Don't keep all that freed up capital in cash, especially in the current inflationary environment. There are still opportunities to re-invest that money. In my opinion, small caps are the most attractive asset class today just like they were in 2000. After its recent underperformance, the Russell 2000 (representing all US small caps) is trading at a P/E of 15.6x today. This is much lower than both the S&amp;P 500 Index and its historical average. There are plenty of small-cap opportunities out there which will generate great returns going forward.</p><p><blockquote>不要将所有释放的资本都保留在现金中，尤其是在当前的通胀环境下。仍然有机会将这笔钱进行再投资。在我看来，小盘股是当今最具吸引力的资产类别，就像2000年一样。在最近表现不佳之后，罗素2000指数（代表所有美国小盘股）目前的市盈率为15.6倍。这远低于标普500指数及其历史平均水平。有很多小盘股机会，未来将产生巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f132a93975b3b7fef86aff21c0b49bb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"250\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Yardeni</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：亚德尼</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Adopt a proven investment strategy to pick stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.采用行之有效的投资策略来挑选股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Rule #1 and #2 look very good on paper, but are very hard to execute in reality. When push comes to shove, it's very tough to deny your emotions and to find interesting investment opportunities in an overvalued market.</p><p><blockquote>规则#1和#2在纸面上看起来很好，但在现实中很难执行。到了紧要关头，很难否认自己的情绪，也很难在估值过高的市场中找到有趣的投资机会。</blockquote></p><p> That's where #3 comes into play: adopt a proven investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>这就是第三点发挥作用的地方：采用行之有效的投资策略。</blockquote></p><p> With the upcoming challenges in the stock market, I believe it has never been as important as today to follow a pre-determined strategy on which you can rely during a highly uncertain market environment. If you use a strategy which worked well in the past, you'll feel great in each market environment.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市即将面临的挑战，我相信在高度不确定的市场环境中，遵循一个可以依赖的预先确定的策略从未像今天这样重要。如果你使用了一个在过去行之有效的策略，你会在每个市场环境中感觉很好。</blockquote></p><p> There are many strategies that could work for you, as long as you stick to it. We strongly believe that our under-appreciated strategy at Insider Opportunities will be very valuable in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>只要你坚持，有很多策略对你有用。我们坚信，我们在内部机会方面被低估的策略在未来几年将非常有价值。</blockquote></p><p> To find attractive investment opportunities, we follow insider purchases each day. Insiders are the CFOs, CEOs, board members, etc. who know their business better than anyone else in the market. If they see a disconnection between the share price and the business fundamentals, they can purchase shares to generate profits. You can follow the purchases of this so-called \"smart money\" on a daily basis through SEC filings or websites like openinsider.com.</p><p><blockquote>为了寻找有吸引力的投资机会，我们每天都会跟踪内幕交易。内部人士是首席财务官、首席执行官、董事会成员等。他们比市场上的任何人都更了解自己的业务。如果他们看到股价与业务基本面脱节，他们可以购买股票来产生利润。您可以通过SEC文件或openinsider.com等网站每天跟踪这种所谓“聪明资金”的购买情况。</blockquote></p><p> We don't just follow up insider purchases. We created three algorithms based on more than a million of data points over the past decade to pick the greatest ones out of all insider purchases. As such, we stick to a pre-determined plan to only buy stocks that are attractive based on specific fundamentals, called \"golden picks\".</p><p><blockquote>我们不只是跟进内幕交易。我们根据过去十年的100多万个数据点创建了三种算法，从所有内幕购买中挑选出最好的。因此，我们坚持预先确定的计划，只购买基于特定基本面有吸引力的股票，称为“黄金精选”。</blockquote></p><p> It worked tremendously in the past. Our back-test shows that the strategy generated annualized returns of 47.2% over the past decade, tripling the S&amp;P 500 index. Only in 2011 it slightly underperformed the market.</p><p><blockquote>它在过去非常有效。我们的回溯测试显示，该策略在过去十年中产生了47.2%的年化回报率，是标普500指数的三倍。只有在2011年，它的表现略逊于市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f05af9240a87a55641df0a7921ec0380\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Insider Opportunities</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：内部机会</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We firmly believe that this revolutionary strategy will continue generating wealth for us in the stock market, regardless of how the market performs. Find yourself a strict, proven strategy like ours on which you can rely during the upcoming uncertainties.</p><p><blockquote>我们坚信，无论市场表现如何，这一革命性的策略都将继续在股市为我们创造财富。给自己找一个像我们这样严格的、经过验证的策略，在即将到来的不确定性中，你可以依靠它。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion: Do this at all-time highs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论：在历史高点这样做</b></blockquote></p><p> Most stock market investors are resting on their laurels when all-time highs are being reached. Above all, nothing can go wrong in such a bullish market, right?</p><p><blockquote>当达到历史高点时，大多数股市投资者都固步自封。最重要的是，在这样一个牛市中，什么都不会出错，对吧？</blockquote></p><p> No, that's not how it works. Markets evolve in cycles and those who don't acknowledge the importance of adapting to these cycles will be struck at weak long-term returns.</p><p><blockquote>不，事情不是这样的。市场是周期性发展的，那些不认识到适应这些周期重要性的人将会受到长期回报疲软的打击。</blockquote></p><p> How should you approach today's all-time highs to keep generating wealth going forward? Here are my three golden rules:</p><p><blockquote>你应该如何接近今天的历史高点，以继续创造财富？以下是我的三条黄金法则：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ol>  <li><b>Don't get greedy.</b>As a consequence of emotional behavior, you will want to take higher risks when markets are rallying. Never follow these emotions and always keep focused on the fundamentals.</li>  <li><b>Keep being invested.</b>Don't get reluctant to invest in stocks just because markets are getting overvalued. Acknowledge that it's a market of stocks, not a stock market. There are always great opportunities in each market environment. Today, they are mostly available in under-the-radar small caps.</li>  <li><b>Adopt a proven strategy.</b>Investing is not easy, especially when things are starting to move southwards. Adopting a strict, proven investment strategy can make life much easier and improve returns significantly.</li> </ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b>不要贪心。</b>由于情绪行为，当市场上涨时，你会想要承担更高的风险。永远不要跟随这些情绪，永远专注于基本面。</li><li><b>继续投资。</b>不要仅仅因为市场被高估就不愿意投资股票。承认这是一个股票市场，而不是股票市场。每个市场环境下总有很大的机会。如今，它们大多出现在不为人知的小盘股中。</li><li><b>采用行之有效的策略。</b>投资并不容易，尤其是当事情开始南移的时候。采用严格的、经过验证的投资策略可以让生活变得更加轻松并显着提高回报。</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Golden Rules On How To Invest At All-Time Highs<blockquote>如何在历史高点进行投资的3条黄金法则</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Golden Rules On How To Invest At All-Time Highs<blockquote>如何在历史高点进行投资的3条黄金法则</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-06 14:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Markets continue to reach new all-time highs each week and have not seen a notable correction in over 200 trading days.</li>  <li>As markets are rallying, many investors are starting to rest on their laurels while investment decisions at all-time highs are actually more important than ever.</li>  <li>What should you be aware of in today's market? Should you sell out at these overvalued prices or can you still generate great returns by buying today?</li>  <li>In this article, I will share my three golden rules on how to invest at all-time highs like today. This information will be very valuable for your future wealth generation in the market.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f5f0c9f1aacfbc6d8c78d0e84da5fc9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"878\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>phive2015/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>市场每周都在继续创下历史新高，并且在200多个交易日中没有出现明显的回调。</li><li>随着市场反弹，许多投资者开始固步自封，而在历史高点做出投资决策实际上比以往任何时候都更加重要。</li><li>在今天的市场上你应该注意什么？您应该以这些高估的价格卖出，还是今天买入仍然可以获得丰厚的回报？</li><li>在这篇文章中，我将分享我关于如何在像今天这样的历史高点进行投资的三条黄金法则。这些信息对你未来在市场上创造财富非常有价值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>phive2015/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock market has been on a rampage in 2021. At the end of August, the S&amp;P 500 index (SPY) gained 20.4% year-to-date. Interestingly, the index has been trading in a very tight upward range and has not seen a 5% correction for 208 trading days. While most investors don't see this as an anomaly, it actually is. Both events have only occurred 7 times before in stock market history. We are clearly living in abnormal times.</p><p><blockquote>2021年股市一路狂飙。8月底，标普500指数（SPDR标普500指数ETF）今年迄今上涨20.4%。有趣的是，该指数一直在非常狭窄的上行区间内交易，已经有208个交易日没有出现5%的回调。虽然大多数投资者并不认为这是异常现象，但事实确实如此。这两个事件在股市历史上只发生过7次。我们显然生活在一个非常时期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c58ccc72065c84083443d6be7f03482a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"322\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Insider Opportunities with Tradingview</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Tradingview的内部机会</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Each day it is important to think thoroughly about the investment decisions you make. Above all, all purchases or sales will impact your future wealth accumulation in the market.</p><p><blockquote>每天彻底思考你所做的投资决策是很重要的。最重要的是，所有的购买或销售都会影响你未来在市场上的财富积累。</blockquote></p><p> However, during extreme rallies like today it is twice as important to reflect on your investment decisions. Ask that to investors who took high risks during the dot-com bubble or panic sold during the Covid-19 crash. That undoubtedly had an immense impact on their long-term returns.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在像今天这样的极端反弹期间，反思你的投资决策是加倍重要的。问问那些在互联网泡沫期间承担高风险或在Covid-19崩盘期间恐慌性抛售的投资者就知道了。这无疑对他们的长期回报产生了巨大影响。</blockquote></p><p> The importance of investment decisions today for your long-term returns is why I chose to write about my three golden rules on how to invest at all-time highs. How should you approach today's market and what should you be aware of? Should you sell out at these overvalued prices and wait for a correction to take place or can you still generate great returns when buying at these levels? The answers to these one-million-dollar questions will be provided in this article.</p><p><blockquote>今天的投资决策对你的长期回报的重要性，这就是为什么我选择写下我关于如何在历史高点投资的三条黄金法则。你应该如何对待今天的市场，你应该注意什么？您应该在这些高估的价格卖出并等待调整发生，还是在这些水平买入时仍然能产生巨大的回报？本文将提供这些价值百万美元的问题的答案。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Don't get caught by greediness</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.不要被贪婪所困</b></blockquote></p><p> Let's start off with the most important rule. Avoid greediness.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从最重要的规则开始。避免贪婪。</blockquote></p><p> According to JPMorgan, over the past 20 years, the average investor reached an annual return of only 2.9%. As such, they significantly underperformed the general market as the S&amp;P 500 yielded an annual 7.5% return during this time frame.</p><p><blockquote>根据摩根大通的数据，在过去的20年里，普通投资者的年回报率仅为2.9%。因此，它们的表现明显落后于大盘，因为标普500在此期间的年回报率为7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The single most important reason for this retail investor underperformance? Emotional human behavior.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者表现不佳的最重要原因是什么？情绪化的人类行为。</blockquote></p><p> The average investor is getting influenced heavily by media headlines, stock prices movements and behavior from other investors.</p><p><blockquote>普通投资者受到媒体头条、股价走势和其他投资者行为的严重影响。</blockquote></p><p> Today, we reached an extremely bullish stock market environment. Last earnings season has been one of the greatest in stock market history. The S&amp;P 500 EPS rose by 94.5% YoY and 86.1% of its constituents beat analyst estimates.</p><p><blockquote>今天，我们达到了一个极其看涨的股市环境。上一个财报季是股市历史上最伟大的财报季之一。标普500每股收益同比增长94.5%，86.1%的成分股超出分析师预期。</blockquote></p><p> As a consequence of this bullish environment, analysts are significantly raising their estimates for the next quarters. They now expect EPS to rise sharply to $217.96 by the end of 2022, which is a significant recovery from the pre-pandemic high of $157.12. Such a recovery looks to be optimistic as it took 7-12 years in the past economic cycles to achieve this:</p><p><blockquote>由于这种看涨的环境，分析师大幅上调了对未来几个季度的预期。他们现在预计，到2022年底，每股收益将大幅升至217.96美元，较大流行前157.12美元的高点大幅回升。这样的复苏看起来很乐观，因为在过去的经济周期中花了7-12年才实现这一目标：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1accc921d16b11ec13ed94686b9cfe75\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Insider Opportunities based on S&amp;P Global data; adjusted EPS is used</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：基于标准普尔全球数据的内幕机会；使用调整后的每股收益</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Will earnings really continue this very strong recovery over the coming quarters or are analysts perhaps getting too greedy with their assumptions?</p><p><blockquote>未来几个季度的盈利真的会继续这种非常强劲的复苏吗？还是分析师可能对他们的假设过于贪婪？</blockquote></p><p> It wouldn't be the first time if they were too greedy. During the dot-com bubble for example, they were caught by their emotions as well. The '90s was an abnormally strong decade in terms of earnings growth for the S&amp;P 500. As such, analysts totally forgot that downward cycles exist as well. They increased their annual EPS growth guidance to a staggering 15% for the five years following 2000. According to them, this high growth rate justified the record P/E multiples stocks were trading at and many investors got tricked into that story.</p><p><blockquote>如果他们太贪婪，这也不是第一次了。例如，在互联网泡沫期间，他们也被自己的情绪所困扰。就标普500的盈利增长而言，90年代是异常强劲的十年。因此，分析师完全忘记了下行周期也存在。他们将2000年之后五年的年度每股收益增长指引提高到惊人的15%。根据他们的说法，这种高增长率证明了股票交易市盈率创纪录的倍数是合理的，许多投资者被骗了。</blockquote></p><p> What happened afterwards? The economy didn't boom, it fell into a recession which took 3 years to recover from. Earnings in 2003 were almost 50% lower than what analysts had been predicting in 2000.</p><p><blockquote>之后发生了什么？经济没有繁荣，而是陷入了衰退，花了3年时间才恢复过来。2003年的盈利比分析师2000年的预测低了近50%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> As markets were priced to analyst expectations instead of taking into account a possible downturn, the S&amp;P 500 crashed and took 7 years to recover.</p><p><blockquote>由于市场定价符合分析师的预期，而不是考虑可能的低迷，标普500崩溃并花了7年时间才恢复。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0081f4a9c3ee43b20684f113cb04ef9c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Insider Opportunities based on S&amp;P Global data and Yardeni; adjusted EPS is used</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：基于S&amp;P Global数据和Yardeni的内幕机会；使用调整后的每股收益</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Let's get back to today... The P/E of the S&amp;P 500 currently stands at 25.4x, which is extremely high compared to historical levels. This gets justified by the common belief that earnings will continue rising significantly. As such, the ratio would fall to an acceptable 20.7x by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>让我们回到今天...标普500的市盈率目前为25.4倍，与历史水平相比极高。人们普遍认为收入将继续大幅增长，这证明了这一点。因此，到2022年底，该比率将降至可接受的20.7倍。</blockquote></p><p> Now ask yourself how likely it is that earnings growth will continue to grow at higher levels than the historical average over the coming quarters.</p><p><blockquote>现在问问你自己，未来几个季度盈利增长继续高于历史平均水平的可能性有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Interest rates are already at 0%. The money printer is running out of paper. Federal debt levels are hitting their ceilings. Pent-up demand and stimuli cheques already led to record-high consumer spending over the past quarters.</p><p><blockquote>利率已经是0%了。印钞机的纸快用完了。联邦债务水平正在触及上限。过去几个季度，被压抑的需求和刺激支票已经导致消费者支出创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Maybe, just maybe, analysts are being too greedy with their assumptions? Maybe the recent economic recovery is unsustainable and set to cool down? Maybe my assumptions (grey line) are much more likely than what the market is predicting (red line)? If so, the market is trading at a fwd 2022 P/E of 23.6x, which is really expensive.</p><p><blockquote>也许，仅仅是也许，分析师对他们的假设过于贪婪？也许最近的经济复苏是不可持续的，并将降温？也许我的假设（灰线）比市场预测的（红线）更有可能？如果是这样的话，市场的2022年预期市盈率为23.6倍，这确实很贵。</blockquote></p><p> I'm not sure this will happen, nobody is. But it sure as hell is a probability.</p><p><blockquote>我不确定这会发生，没人知道。但这肯定是一种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f61310c3c851b181ceb1fb3cc8862fdb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Insider Opportunities based on S&amp;P Global data and Yardeni; adjusted EPS is used</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：基于S&amp;P Global数据和Yardeni的内幕机会；使用调整后的每股收益</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This greediness also gets reflected in the charts. As you can see in the chart below, a bull market can be split into four cycles. Strong growth, bear trap, media attention and greed.</p><p><blockquote>这种贪婪也反映在图表中。如下图所示，牛市可以分为四个周期。强劲增长、熊市陷阱、媒体关注和贪婪。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, the 2013-2021 bull market is playing out almost identically as the 1994-2000 bull market. At this moment, the Nasdaq Index (QQQ) looks to be ready to start the last extreme greed phase. The media is approaching the recent rally as \"the new normal\" and investors are FOMO buying heavily because stocks \"can only go up\". As such, it is likely that the Nasdaq will rise close to $20,000 in the last months of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，2013-2021年的牛市与1994-2000年的牛市几乎一模一样。此时此刻，纳斯达克指数（QQQ）看起来已经准备好开始最后的极度贪婪阶段。媒体将最近的反弹视为“新常态”，投资者正在FOMO大举买入，因为股市“只能上涨”。因此，纳斯达克可能会在2021年最后几个月升至接近20,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> As a long-term investor, it is extremely important to understand these dynamics. You will probably feel the urge to go all-in in risky assets as well. However, getting greedy during this phase could be a major threat for your long term returns as it will likely be followed by a major bear market.</p><p><blockquote>作为长期投资者，了解这些动态极其重要。你可能也会有全押风险资产的冲动。然而，在此阶段变得贪婪可能会对您的长期回报构成重大威胁，因为接下来可能会出现重大熊市。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c783bf0cff4c410846a27c2dc8c180b1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"499\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Insider Opportunities with Tradingview</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Tradingview的内部机会</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Human behavior makes it extremely challenging to not get distracted by market sentiment. If you can keep an objective view on markets, it will benefit your returns drastically.</p><p><blockquote>人类行为使得不被市场情绪分心变得极具挑战性。如果你能对市场保持客观的看法，这将大大有利于你的回报。</blockquote></p><p> 2. Keep investing, there are always opportunities</p><p><blockquote>2.坚持投资，机会总是有的</blockquote></p><p> In short, rule #1 says that your decisions should never be led by emotions and that you should keep focusing on underlying fundamentals. As the market is getting greedy today and valuations reach extreme levels it implies that you should start selling stocks and hold a lot of cash, right?</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，规则1说，你的决定永远不应该被情绪所引导，你应该继续关注潜在的基本面。随着今天市场变得贪婪，估值达到极端水平，这意味着你应该开始出售股票并持有大量现金，对吗？</blockquote></p><p> Not really... You know, a wise man once said the following:</p><p><blockquote>不是真的...你知道，一位智者曾经说过这样的话：</blockquote></p><p>   <b>It's a market of stocks, not a stock market.</b>  I'm not entirely sure who came up with it. But it must be a wise man, for sure.</p><p><blockquote><b>这是一个股票市场，而不是股票市场。</b>我不完全确定是谁想出来的。但肯定是个聪明人。</blockquote></p><p> What does it mean? Look, many retail investors buy/sell stocks based on how the outlook for the general market looks like. If they don't trust the markets, they will be reluctant to invest, no matter what.</p><p><blockquote>这是什么意思？看，许多散户投资者根据整体市场的前景来买卖股票。如果他们不信任市场，无论如何他们都不愿意投资。</blockquote></p><p> That's not a great way of looking at markets. There are almost 4,000 stocks available and there will always be interesting investment opportunities to generate great returns, no matter how the market evolves.</p><p><blockquote>这不是看待市场的好方法。有近4,000只股票可供选择，无论市场如何发展，总会有有趣的投资机会产生巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> In a generally overvalued market it gets increasingly challenging to find undervalued stocks, but certainly not impossible. Ask Warren Buffett. In 2000, the most overvalued stock market in history, his investment vehicle Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) kept buying high-quality, undervalued assets. His dedication paid off with an impressive return of 47% five years after the dot-com peak compared to -39% for the Nasdaq index.</p><p><blockquote>在一个普遍被高估的市场中，找到被低估的股票变得越来越具有挑战性，但肯定不是不可能。问问沃伦·巴菲特。2000年，史上估值最高的股市，他的投资工具伯克希尔哈撒韦公司（BRK.A）（BRK.B）不断买入优质、被低估的资产。他的奉献得到了回报，在互联网泡沫达到顶峰五年后，他获得了令人印象深刻的47%的回报率，而纳斯达克指数的回报率为-39%。</blockquote></p><p> The Russell 2000 (IWM), an index reflecting US small caps, was very attractive during the dot-com bubble as well, trading at a P/E of 16x (vs 24x for large caps) going into 2000. Those who invested in this undervalued asset class during the bubble also generated very solid returns. Those who were able to pick out the greatest small caps were a lot happier than those who got tricked into overhyped tech stocks, I can imagine.</p><p><blockquote>罗素2000(IWM)是一个反映美国小盘股的指数，在互联网泡沫期间也非常有吸引力，2000年的市盈率为16倍（大盘股为24倍）。那些在泡沫期间投资这一被低估的资产类别的人也获得了非常稳健的回报。我可以想象，那些能够挑选出最伟大的小盘股的人比那些被骗进过度炒作的科技股的人要快乐得多。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c713a296e819a255b3be8ac6e504033d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So what should you do today? I would suggest re-evaluating all your portfolio holdings. Weigh their valuation compared to earnings 3 years from now, when Covid-19 disruptions (stimuli, pent-up demand, etc.) are gone. Be conservative with your assumptions. If a stock is significantly overvalued compared to those assumptions, don't be greedy and sell out the position.</p><p><blockquote>那么你今天应该做什么呢？我建议重新评估你所有的投资组合。当Covid-19的干扰（刺激、被压抑的需求等）消失后，将它们的估值与3年后的收益进行权衡。对你的假设要保守。如果一只股票与这些假设相比被严重高估，不要贪婪并卖出头寸。</blockquote></p><p> A great example is Apple Inc. (AAPL), one of the most popular stocks this year. As a consequence of its very strong financials (revenue grew 36.4% last quarter), its P/E ratio more than doubled over the past two years to 30x. It is important to understand that its recent growth primarily accelerated due to unsustainable drivers such as the several rounds of stimuli cheques. Once this fades away, Apple's growth is likely to fall back to single digits (or might even go negative in the short term) and returns would be very weak going forward.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司（AAPL）就是一个很好的例子，它是今年最受欢迎的股票之一。由于其财务状况非常强劲（上季度收入增长36.4%），其市盈率在过去两年中增长了一倍多，达到30倍。重要的是要明白，它最近的增长主要是由于不可持续的驱动因素，如几轮刺激支票。一旦这种情况消失，苹果的增长可能会回落到个位数（甚至可能在短期内为负），未来的回报将非常疲软。</blockquote></p><p> Don't keep all that freed up capital in cash, especially in the current inflationary environment. There are still opportunities to re-invest that money. In my opinion, small caps are the most attractive asset class today just like they were in 2000. After its recent underperformance, the Russell 2000 (representing all US small caps) is trading at a P/E of 15.6x today. This is much lower than both the S&amp;P 500 Index and its historical average. There are plenty of small-cap opportunities out there which will generate great returns going forward.</p><p><blockquote>不要将所有释放的资本都保留在现金中，尤其是在当前的通胀环境下。仍然有机会将这笔钱进行再投资。在我看来，小盘股是当今最具吸引力的资产类别，就像2000年一样。在最近表现不佳之后，罗素2000指数（代表所有美国小盘股）目前的市盈率为15.6倍。这远低于标普500指数及其历史平均水平。有很多小盘股机会，未来将产生巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f132a93975b3b7fef86aff21c0b49bb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"250\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Yardeni</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：亚德尼</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Adopt a proven investment strategy to pick stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.采用行之有效的投资策略来挑选股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Rule #1 and #2 look very good on paper, but are very hard to execute in reality. When push comes to shove, it's very tough to deny your emotions and to find interesting investment opportunities in an overvalued market.</p><p><blockquote>规则#1和#2在纸面上看起来很好，但在现实中很难执行。到了紧要关头，很难否认自己的情绪，也很难在估值过高的市场中找到有趣的投资机会。</blockquote></p><p> That's where #3 comes into play: adopt a proven investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>这就是第三点发挥作用的地方：采用行之有效的投资策略。</blockquote></p><p> With the upcoming challenges in the stock market, I believe it has never been as important as today to follow a pre-determined strategy on which you can rely during a highly uncertain market environment. If you use a strategy which worked well in the past, you'll feel great in each market environment.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市即将面临的挑战，我相信在高度不确定的市场环境中，遵循一个可以依赖的预先确定的策略从未像今天这样重要。如果你使用了一个在过去行之有效的策略，你会在每个市场环境中感觉很好。</blockquote></p><p> There are many strategies that could work for you, as long as you stick to it. We strongly believe that our under-appreciated strategy at Insider Opportunities will be very valuable in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>只要你坚持，有很多策略对你有用。我们坚信，我们在内部机会方面被低估的策略在未来几年将非常有价值。</blockquote></p><p> To find attractive investment opportunities, we follow insider purchases each day. Insiders are the CFOs, CEOs, board members, etc. who know their business better than anyone else in the market. If they see a disconnection between the share price and the business fundamentals, they can purchase shares to generate profits. You can follow the purchases of this so-called \"smart money\" on a daily basis through SEC filings or websites like openinsider.com.</p><p><blockquote>为了寻找有吸引力的投资机会，我们每天都会跟踪内幕交易。内部人士是首席财务官、首席执行官、董事会成员等。他们比市场上的任何人都更了解自己的业务。如果他们看到股价与业务基本面脱节，他们可以购买股票来产生利润。您可以通过SEC文件或openinsider.com等网站每天跟踪这种所谓“聪明资金”的购买情况。</blockquote></p><p> We don't just follow up insider purchases. We created three algorithms based on more than a million of data points over the past decade to pick the greatest ones out of all insider purchases. As such, we stick to a pre-determined plan to only buy stocks that are attractive based on specific fundamentals, called \"golden picks\".</p><p><blockquote>我们不只是跟进内幕交易。我们根据过去十年的100多万个数据点创建了三种算法，从所有内幕购买中挑选出最好的。因此，我们坚持预先确定的计划，只购买基于特定基本面有吸引力的股票，称为“黄金精选”。</blockquote></p><p> It worked tremendously in the past. Our back-test shows that the strategy generated annualized returns of 47.2% over the past decade, tripling the S&amp;P 500 index. Only in 2011 it slightly underperformed the market.</p><p><blockquote>它在过去非常有效。我们的回溯测试显示，该策略在过去十年中产生了47.2%的年化回报率，是标普500指数的三倍。只有在2011年，它的表现略逊于市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f05af9240a87a55641df0a7921ec0380\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Insider Opportunities</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：内部机会</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We firmly believe that this revolutionary strategy will continue generating wealth for us in the stock market, regardless of how the market performs. Find yourself a strict, proven strategy like ours on which you can rely during the upcoming uncertainties.</p><p><blockquote>我们坚信，无论市场表现如何，这一革命性的策略都将继续在股市为我们创造财富。给自己找一个像我们这样严格的、经过验证的策略，在即将到来的不确定性中，你可以依靠它。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion: Do this at all-time highs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论：在历史高点这样做</b></blockquote></p><p> Most stock market investors are resting on their laurels when all-time highs are being reached. Above all, nothing can go wrong in such a bullish market, right?</p><p><blockquote>当达到历史高点时，大多数股市投资者都固步自封。最重要的是，在这样一个牛市中，什么都不会出错，对吧？</blockquote></p><p> No, that's not how it works. Markets evolve in cycles and those who don't acknowledge the importance of adapting to these cycles will be struck at weak long-term returns.</p><p><blockquote>不，事情不是这样的。市场是周期性发展的，那些不认识到适应这些周期重要性的人将会受到长期回报疲软的打击。</blockquote></p><p> How should you approach today's all-time highs to keep generating wealth going forward? Here are my three golden rules:</p><p><blockquote>你应该如何接近今天的历史高点，以继续创造财富？以下是我的三条黄金法则：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ol>  <li><b>Don't get greedy.</b>As a consequence of emotional behavior, you will want to take higher risks when markets are rallying. Never follow these emotions and always keep focused on the fundamentals.</li>  <li><b>Keep being invested.</b>Don't get reluctant to invest in stocks just because markets are getting overvalued. Acknowledge that it's a market of stocks, not a stock market. There are always great opportunities in each market environment. Today, they are mostly available in under-the-radar small caps.</li>  <li><b>Adopt a proven strategy.</b>Investing is not easy, especially when things are starting to move southwards. Adopting a strict, proven investment strategy can make life much easier and improve returns significantly.</li> </ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b>不要贪心。</b>由于情绪行为，当市场上涨时，你会想要承担更高的风险。永远不要跟随这些情绪，永远专注于基本面。</li><li><b>继续投资。</b>不要仅仅因为市场被高估就不愿意投资股票。承认这是一个股票市场，而不是股票市场。每个市场环境下总有很大的机会。如今，它们大多出现在不为人知的小盘股中。</li><li><b>采用行之有效的策略。</b>投资并不容易，尤其是当事情开始南移的时候。采用严格的、经过验证的投资策略可以让生活变得更加轻松并显着提高回报。</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4453541-3-golden-rules-on-how-to-invest-at-all-time-highs\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4453541-3-golden-rules-on-how-to-invest-at-all-time-highs","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186375251","content_text":"Summary\n\nMarkets continue to reach new all-time highs each week and have not seen a notable correction in over 200 trading days.\nAs markets are rallying, many investors are starting to rest on their laurels while investment decisions at all-time highs are actually more important than ever.\nWhat should you be aware of in today's market? Should you sell out at these overvalued prices or can you still generate great returns by buying today?\nIn this article, I will share my three golden rules on how to invest at all-time highs like today. This information will be very valuable for your future wealth generation in the market.\n\nphive2015/iStock via Getty Images\nThe stock market has been on a rampage in 2021. At the end of August, the S&P 500 index (SPY) gained 20.4% year-to-date. Interestingly, the index has been trading in a very tight upward range and has not seen a 5% correction for 208 trading days. While most investors don't see this as an anomaly, it actually is. Both events have only occurred 7 times before in stock market history. We are clearly living in abnormal times.\nSource: Insider Opportunities with Tradingview\nEach day it is important to think thoroughly about the investment decisions you make. Above all, all purchases or sales will impact your future wealth accumulation in the market.\nHowever, during extreme rallies like today it is twice as important to reflect on your investment decisions. Ask that to investors who took high risks during the dot-com bubble or panic sold during the Covid-19 crash. That undoubtedly had an immense impact on their long-term returns.\nThe importance of investment decisions today for your long-term returns is why I chose to write about my three golden rules on how to invest at all-time highs. How should you approach today's market and what should you be aware of? Should you sell out at these overvalued prices and wait for a correction to take place or can you still generate great returns when buying at these levels? The answers to these one-million-dollar questions will be provided in this article.\n1. Don't get caught by greediness\nLet's start off with the most important rule. Avoid greediness.\nAccording to JPMorgan, over the past 20 years, the average investor reached an annual return of only 2.9%. As such, they significantly underperformed the general market as the S&P 500 yielded an annual 7.5% return during this time frame.\nThe single most important reason for this retail investor underperformance? Emotional human behavior.\nThe average investor is getting influenced heavily by media headlines, stock prices movements and behavior from other investors.\nToday, we reached an extremely bullish stock market environment. Last earnings season has been one of the greatest in stock market history. The S&P 500 EPS rose by 94.5% YoY and 86.1% of its constituents beat analyst estimates.\nAs a consequence of this bullish environment, analysts are significantly raising their estimates for the next quarters. They now expect EPS to rise sharply to $217.96 by the end of 2022, which is a significant recovery from the pre-pandemic high of $157.12. Such a recovery looks to be optimistic as it took 7-12 years in the past economic cycles to achieve this:\nSource: Insider Opportunities based on S&P Global data; adjusted EPS is used\nWill earnings really continue this very strong recovery over the coming quarters or are analysts perhaps getting too greedy with their assumptions?\nIt wouldn't be the first time if they were too greedy. During the dot-com bubble for example, they were caught by their emotions as well. The '90s was an abnormally strong decade in terms of earnings growth for the S&P 500. As such, analysts totally forgot that downward cycles exist as well. They increased their annual EPS growth guidance to a staggering 15% for the five years following 2000. According to them, this high growth rate justified the record P/E multiples stocks were trading at and many investors got tricked into that story.\nWhat happened afterwards? The economy didn't boom, it fell into a recession which took 3 years to recover from. Earnings in 2003 were almost 50% lower than what analysts had been predicting in 2000.\nAs markets were priced to analyst expectations instead of taking into account a possible downturn, the S&P 500 crashed and took 7 years to recover.\nSource: Insider Opportunities based on S&P Global data and Yardeni; adjusted EPS is used\nLet's get back to today... The P/E of the S&P 500 currently stands at 25.4x, which is extremely high compared to historical levels. This gets justified by the common belief that earnings will continue rising significantly. As such, the ratio would fall to an acceptable 20.7x by the end of 2022.\nNow ask yourself how likely it is that earnings growth will continue to grow at higher levels than the historical average over the coming quarters.\nInterest rates are already at 0%. The money printer is running out of paper. Federal debt levels are hitting their ceilings. Pent-up demand and stimuli cheques already led to record-high consumer spending over the past quarters.\nMaybe, just maybe, analysts are being too greedy with their assumptions? Maybe the recent economic recovery is unsustainable and set to cool down? Maybe my assumptions (grey line) are much more likely than what the market is predicting (red line)? If so, the market is trading at a fwd 2022 P/E of 23.6x, which is really expensive.\nI'm not sure this will happen, nobody is. But it sure as hell is a probability.\nSource: Insider Opportunities based on S&P Global data and Yardeni; adjusted EPS is used\nThis greediness also gets reflected in the charts. As you can see in the chart below, a bull market can be split into four cycles. Strong growth, bear trap, media attention and greed.\nInterestingly, the 2013-2021 bull market is playing out almost identically as the 1994-2000 bull market. At this moment, the Nasdaq Index (QQQ) looks to be ready to start the last extreme greed phase. The media is approaching the recent rally as \"the new normal\" and investors are FOMO buying heavily because stocks \"can only go up\". As such, it is likely that the Nasdaq will rise close to $20,000 in the last months of 2021.\nAs a long-term investor, it is extremely important to understand these dynamics. You will probably feel the urge to go all-in in risky assets as well. However, getting greedy during this phase could be a major threat for your long term returns as it will likely be followed by a major bear market.\nSource: Insider Opportunities with Tradingview\nHuman behavior makes it extremely challenging to not get distracted by market sentiment. If you can keep an objective view on markets, it will benefit your returns drastically.\n2. Keep investing, there are always opportunities\nIn short, rule #1 says that your decisions should never be led by emotions and that you should keep focusing on underlying fundamentals. As the market is getting greedy today and valuations reach extreme levels it implies that you should start selling stocks and hold a lot of cash, right?\nNot really... You know, a wise man once said the following:\n\nIt's a market of stocks, not a stock market.\n\nI'm not entirely sure who came up with it. But it must be a wise man, for sure.\nWhat does it mean? Look, many retail investors buy/sell stocks based on how the outlook for the general market looks like. If they don't trust the markets, they will be reluctant to invest, no matter what.\nThat's not a great way of looking at markets. There are almost 4,000 stocks available and there will always be interesting investment opportunities to generate great returns, no matter how the market evolves.\nIn a generally overvalued market it gets increasingly challenging to find undervalued stocks, but certainly not impossible. Ask Warren Buffett. In 2000, the most overvalued stock market in history, his investment vehicle Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) kept buying high-quality, undervalued assets. His dedication paid off with an impressive return of 47% five years after the dot-com peak compared to -39% for the Nasdaq index.\nThe Russell 2000 (IWM), an index reflecting US small caps, was very attractive during the dot-com bubble as well, trading at a P/E of 16x (vs 24x for large caps) going into 2000. Those who invested in this undervalued asset class during the bubble also generated very solid returns. Those who were able to pick out the greatest small caps were a lot happier than those who got tricked into overhyped tech stocks, I can imagine.\nData by YCharts\nSo what should you do today? I would suggest re-evaluating all your portfolio holdings. Weigh their valuation compared to earnings 3 years from now, when Covid-19 disruptions (stimuli, pent-up demand, etc.) are gone. Be conservative with your assumptions. If a stock is significantly overvalued compared to those assumptions, don't be greedy and sell out the position.\nA great example is Apple Inc. (AAPL), one of the most popular stocks this year. As a consequence of its very strong financials (revenue grew 36.4% last quarter), its P/E ratio more than doubled over the past two years to 30x. It is important to understand that its recent growth primarily accelerated due to unsustainable drivers such as the several rounds of stimuli cheques. Once this fades away, Apple's growth is likely to fall back to single digits (or might even go negative in the short term) and returns would be very weak going forward.\nDon't keep all that freed up capital in cash, especially in the current inflationary environment. There are still opportunities to re-invest that money. In my opinion, small caps are the most attractive asset class today just like they were in 2000. After its recent underperformance, the Russell 2000 (representing all US small caps) is trading at a P/E of 15.6x today. This is much lower than both the S&P 500 Index and its historical average. There are plenty of small-cap opportunities out there which will generate great returns going forward.\nSource: Yardeni\n3. Adopt a proven investment strategy to pick stocks\nRule #1 and #2 look very good on paper, but are very hard to execute in reality. When push comes to shove, it's very tough to deny your emotions and to find interesting investment opportunities in an overvalued market.\nThat's where #3 comes into play: adopt a proven investment strategy.\nWith the upcoming challenges in the stock market, I believe it has never been as important as today to follow a pre-determined strategy on which you can rely during a highly uncertain market environment. If you use a strategy which worked well in the past, you'll feel great in each market environment.\nThere are many strategies that could work for you, as long as you stick to it. We strongly believe that our under-appreciated strategy at Insider Opportunities will be very valuable in the coming years.\nTo find attractive investment opportunities, we follow insider purchases each day. Insiders are the CFOs, CEOs, board members, etc. who know their business better than anyone else in the market. If they see a disconnection between the share price and the business fundamentals, they can purchase shares to generate profits. You can follow the purchases of this so-called \"smart money\" on a daily basis through SEC filings or websites like openinsider.com.\nWe don't just follow up insider purchases. We created three algorithms based on more than a million of data points over the past decade to pick the greatest ones out of all insider purchases. As such, we stick to a pre-determined plan to only buy stocks that are attractive based on specific fundamentals, called \"golden picks\".\nIt worked tremendously in the past. Our back-test shows that the strategy generated annualized returns of 47.2% over the past decade, tripling the S&P 500 index. Only in 2011 it slightly underperformed the market.\nSource: Insider Opportunities\n\nWe firmly believe that this revolutionary strategy will continue generating wealth for us in the stock market, regardless of how the market performs. Find yourself a strict, proven strategy like ours on which you can rely during the upcoming uncertainties.\nConclusion: Do this at all-time highs\nMost stock market investors are resting on their laurels when all-time highs are being reached. Above all, nothing can go wrong in such a bullish market, right?\nNo, that's not how it works. Markets evolve in cycles and those who don't acknowledge the importance of adapting to these cycles will be struck at weak long-term returns.\nHow should you approach today's all-time highs to keep generating wealth going forward? Here are my three golden rules:\n\nDon't get greedy.As a consequence of emotional behavior, you will want to take higher risks when markets are rallying. Never follow these emotions and always keep focused on the fundamentals.\nKeep being invested.Don't get reluctant to invest in stocks just because markets are getting overvalued. Acknowledge that it's a market of stocks, not a stock market. There are always great opportunities in each market environment. Today, they are mostly available in under-the-radar small caps.\nAdopt a proven strategy.Investing is not easy, especially when things are starting to move southwards. Adopting a strict, proven investment strategy can make life much easier and improve returns significantly.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":583,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":871174388,"gmtCreate":1637044344617,"gmtModify":1637044344725,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Unless the market crashes, it may be difficult to see a big correction for Apple","listText":"Unless the market crashes, it may be difficult to see a big correction for Apple","text":"Unless the market crashes, it may be difficult to see a big correction for Apple","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871174388","repostId":"1116429379","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1116429379","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637033648,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116429379?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-16 11:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sell AAPL? Why This Expert Sees Apple Stock Dipping 12%<blockquote>出售苹果公司？为什么这位专家认为苹果股价下跌12%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116429379","media":"Thestreet","summary":"As Apple stock(AAPL) continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street h","content":"<p>As Apple stock(<b>AAPL</b>)&nbsp;continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street has just published his most updated report. In it, he reinforced the idea that AAPL should be worth only $132, suggesting that shares have 12% of downside risk from here.</p><p><blockquote>作为苹果股票(<b>AAPL</b>）继续徘徊在150美元左右，华尔街为数不多的怀疑论者之一刚刚发布了他的最新报告。在其中，他强化了AAPL的价值应该仅为132美元的观点，表明其股价从现在开始有12%的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p> Today, the Apple Maven revisits Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi’s mildly bearish case.</p><p><blockquote>今天，这位苹果专家重温了Bernstein的托尼·萨科纳吉(Toni Sacconaghi)温和悲观的观点。</blockquote></p><p> The not-so-bullish case</p><p><blockquote>不那么乐观的情况</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Sacconaghi has been cautious of AAPL since he&nbsp;downgraded&nbsp;the stock to neutral, in February 2018. The timing of his move did not prove to be the best, as Apple shares have climbed a whopping 285% in less than four years against the S&amp;P 500’s 85% gains. However, the analyst has also helped AAPL investors think of the devil’s advocate argument.</p><p><blockquote>自2018年2月将AAPL股票评级下调至中性以来，萨科纳吉先生一直对该股持谨慎态度。事实证明，他此举的时机并不是最好的，因为苹果股价在不到四年的时间里上涨了285%，而标普500的涨幅为85%。然而，这位分析师也帮助苹果公司投资者思考了魔鬼代言人的论点。</blockquote></p><p> In August, I&nbsp;reviewed Bernstein’s thesis&nbsp;in more detail. For the short term, the bank’s research team was concerned that Apple stock had climbed too fast in the first half of the year, ahead of a set of earnings seasons in which Apple would face tough comps.</p><p><blockquote>8月，我更详细地回顾了伯恩斯坦的论文。短期而言，该银行的研究团队担心苹果股价在今年上半年上涨过快，而苹果将在一系列财报季中面临严峻的竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Also, Toni has mentioned valuations as a key risk. While he believes that AAPL should be valued at a higher multiple than the S&amp;P 500, the analyst questions how much is too much. Bernstein’s target P/E of 25 times is one to two turns lower than where the multiple is today.</p><p><blockquote>此外，托尼提到估值是一个关键风险。虽然他认为苹果公司的估值应该高于标普500，但分析师质疑多少才算过高。伯恩斯坦的目标市盈率为25倍，比目前的市盈率低一到两倍。</blockquote></p><p> Add App Store to the list</p><p><blockquote>将App Store添加到列表</blockquote></p><p> Now, the analyst has&nbsp;added&nbsp;one item to the list of worries: the App Store. Sacconaghi pointed out that a recent court loss will likely mean that payments will be allowed to be made outside the App Store platform in the US, starting as early as next month.</p><p><blockquote>现在，这位分析师在担忧清单上增加了一项：应用商店。萨科纳吉指出，最近的法庭败诉可能意味着最早从下个月开始，美国将允许在App Store平台之外进行支付。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein’s expert has done the math. He estimates that nearly one-third of App Store revenues come from the United States. If the App Store accounts for 6% and 15% of total company sales and op profits, respectively, the payment issue could impact 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits per year.</p><p><blockquote>伯恩斯坦的专家已经计算过了。他估计，App Store近三分之一的收入来自美国。如果App Store分别占公司总销售额和op利润的6%和15%，那么支付问题可能会影响苹果每年2%的收入和5%的op利润。</blockquote></p><p> Apple Maven’s take</p><p><blockquote>苹果·梅文的看法</blockquote></p><p> Regarding Toni’s earlier concerns, I believe that the risks have decreased substantially since AAPL peaked, in early September. Since then, investors have had time to fully embrace the more challenging late 2021-to-early 2022 period of tough comps and supply chain constraints.As I mentioned not long ago, valuations have de-risked to more reasonable levels.</p><p><blockquote>关于托尼之前的担忧，我认为自AAPL于9月初见顶以来，风险已大幅降低。从那时起，投资者有时间充分迎接2021年底至2022年初更具挑战性的艰难竞争和供应链限制时期。正如我不久前提到的，估值已经降低到更合理的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding the App Store, I have slowly&nbsp;shifted from more to less concerned&nbsp;about the financial impact. Morgan Stanley’s Katy Huberty has argued that App Store policy changes could shave a maximum of 1% or 2% of Apple’s EPS, which is not much at all.</p><p><blockquote>关于App Store，我已经慢慢地从更关心财务影响转向不太关心。Morgan Stanley的Katy Huberty认为，应用商店政策的变化最多可能会使苹果的每股收益减少1%或2%，这并不多。</blockquote></p><p> Even Sacconaghi’s estimates of the financial risk only represents the worst-case scenario. In reality, much less than 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits will likely end up being cut as a result of the App Store’s payment changes, as many users will continue to choose Apple as their payment platform of choice.</p><p><blockquote>即使是萨科纳吉对金融风险的估计也只代表了最坏的情况。事实上，由于App Store的支付变化，苹果收入的2%和运营利润的5%可能最终会被削减，因为许多用户将继续选择苹果作为他们的首选支付平台。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sell AAPL? Why This Expert Sees Apple Stock Dipping 12%<blockquote>出售苹果公司？为什么这位专家认为苹果股价下跌12%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSell AAPL? Why This Expert Sees Apple Stock Dipping 12%<blockquote>出售苹果公司？为什么这位专家认为苹果股价下跌12%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-16 11:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As Apple stock(<b>AAPL</b>)&nbsp;continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street has just published his most updated report. In it, he reinforced the idea that AAPL should be worth only $132, suggesting that shares have 12% of downside risk from here.</p><p><blockquote>作为苹果股票(<b>AAPL</b>）继续徘徊在150美元左右，华尔街为数不多的怀疑论者之一刚刚发布了他的最新报告。在其中，他强化了AAPL的价值应该仅为132美元的观点，表明其股价从现在开始有12%的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p> Today, the Apple Maven revisits Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi’s mildly bearish case.</p><p><blockquote>今天，这位苹果专家重温了Bernstein的托尼·萨科纳吉(Toni Sacconaghi)温和悲观的观点。</blockquote></p><p> The not-so-bullish case</p><p><blockquote>不那么乐观的情况</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Sacconaghi has been cautious of AAPL since he&nbsp;downgraded&nbsp;the stock to neutral, in February 2018. The timing of his move did not prove to be the best, as Apple shares have climbed a whopping 285% in less than four years against the S&amp;P 500’s 85% gains. However, the analyst has also helped AAPL investors think of the devil’s advocate argument.</p><p><blockquote>自2018年2月将AAPL股票评级下调至中性以来，萨科纳吉先生一直对该股持谨慎态度。事实证明，他此举的时机并不是最好的，因为苹果股价在不到四年的时间里上涨了285%，而标普500的涨幅为85%。然而，这位分析师也帮助苹果公司投资者思考了魔鬼代言人的论点。</blockquote></p><p> In August, I&nbsp;reviewed Bernstein’s thesis&nbsp;in more detail. For the short term, the bank’s research team was concerned that Apple stock had climbed too fast in the first half of the year, ahead of a set of earnings seasons in which Apple would face tough comps.</p><p><blockquote>8月，我更详细地回顾了伯恩斯坦的论文。短期而言，该银行的研究团队担心苹果股价在今年上半年上涨过快，而苹果将在一系列财报季中面临严峻的竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Also, Toni has mentioned valuations as a key risk. While he believes that AAPL should be valued at a higher multiple than the S&amp;P 500, the analyst questions how much is too much. Bernstein’s target P/E of 25 times is one to two turns lower than where the multiple is today.</p><p><blockquote>此外，托尼提到估值是一个关键风险。虽然他认为苹果公司的估值应该高于标普500，但分析师质疑多少才算过高。伯恩斯坦的目标市盈率为25倍，比目前的市盈率低一到两倍。</blockquote></p><p> Add App Store to the list</p><p><blockquote>将App Store添加到列表</blockquote></p><p> Now, the analyst has&nbsp;added&nbsp;one item to the list of worries: the App Store. Sacconaghi pointed out that a recent court loss will likely mean that payments will be allowed to be made outside the App Store platform in the US, starting as early as next month.</p><p><blockquote>现在，这位分析师在担忧清单上增加了一项：应用商店。萨科纳吉指出，最近的法庭败诉可能意味着最早从下个月开始，美国将允许在App Store平台之外进行支付。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein’s expert has done the math. He estimates that nearly one-third of App Store revenues come from the United States. If the App Store accounts for 6% and 15% of total company sales and op profits, respectively, the payment issue could impact 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits per year.</p><p><blockquote>伯恩斯坦的专家已经计算过了。他估计，App Store近三分之一的收入来自美国。如果App Store分别占公司总销售额和op利润的6%和15%，那么支付问题可能会影响苹果每年2%的收入和5%的op利润。</blockquote></p><p> Apple Maven’s take</p><p><blockquote>苹果·梅文的看法</blockquote></p><p> Regarding Toni’s earlier concerns, I believe that the risks have decreased substantially since AAPL peaked, in early September. Since then, investors have had time to fully embrace the more challenging late 2021-to-early 2022 period of tough comps and supply chain constraints.As I mentioned not long ago, valuations have de-risked to more reasonable levels.</p><p><blockquote>关于托尼之前的担忧，我认为自AAPL于9月初见顶以来，风险已大幅降低。从那时起，投资者有时间充分迎接2021年底至2022年初更具挑战性的艰难竞争和供应链限制时期。正如我不久前提到的，估值已经降低到更合理的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding the App Store, I have slowly&nbsp;shifted from more to less concerned&nbsp;about the financial impact. Morgan Stanley’s Katy Huberty has argued that App Store policy changes could shave a maximum of 1% or 2% of Apple’s EPS, which is not much at all.</p><p><blockquote>关于App Store，我已经慢慢地从更关心财务影响转向不太关心。Morgan Stanley的Katy Huberty认为，应用商店政策的变化最多可能会使苹果的每股收益减少1%或2%，这并不多。</blockquote></p><p> Even Sacconaghi’s estimates of the financial risk only represents the worst-case scenario. In reality, much less than 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits will likely end up being cut as a result of the App Store’s payment changes, as many users will continue to choose Apple as their payment platform of choice.</p><p><blockquote>即使是萨科纳吉对金融风险的估计也只代表了最坏的情况。事实上，由于App Store的支付变化，苹果收入的2%和运营利润的5%可能最终会被削减，因为许多用户将继续选择苹果作为他们的首选支付平台。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/sell-aapl-why-this-expert-sees-apple-stock-dipping-12\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/sell-aapl-why-this-expert-sees-apple-stock-dipping-12","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116429379","content_text":"As Apple stock(AAPL) continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street has just published his most updated report. In it, he reinforced the idea that AAPL should be worth only $132, suggesting that shares have 12% of downside risk from here.\nToday, the Apple Maven revisits Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi’s mildly bearish case.\nThe not-so-bullish case\nMr. Sacconaghi has been cautious of AAPL since he downgraded the stock to neutral, in February 2018. The timing of his move did not prove to be the best, as Apple shares have climbed a whopping 285% in less than four years against the S&P 500’s 85% gains. However, the analyst has also helped AAPL investors think of the devil’s advocate argument.\nIn August, I reviewed Bernstein’s thesis in more detail. For the short term, the bank’s research team was concerned that Apple stock had climbed too fast in the first half of the year, ahead of a set of earnings seasons in which Apple would face tough comps.\nAlso, Toni has mentioned valuations as a key risk. While he believes that AAPL should be valued at a higher multiple than the S&P 500, the analyst questions how much is too much. Bernstein’s target P/E of 25 times is one to two turns lower than where the multiple is today.\nAdd App Store to the list\nNow, the analyst has added one item to the list of worries: the App Store. Sacconaghi pointed out that a recent court loss will likely mean that payments will be allowed to be made outside the App Store platform in the US, starting as early as next month.\nBernstein’s expert has done the math. He estimates that nearly one-third of App Store revenues come from the United States. If the App Store accounts for 6% and 15% of total company sales and op profits, respectively, the payment issue could impact 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits per year.\nApple Maven’s take\nRegarding Toni’s earlier concerns, I believe that the risks have decreased substantially since AAPL peaked, in early September. Since then, investors have had time to fully embrace the more challenging late 2021-to-early 2022 period of tough comps and supply chain constraints.As I mentioned not long ago, valuations have de-risked to more reasonable levels.\nRegarding the App Store, I have slowly shifted from more to less concerned about the financial impact. Morgan Stanley’s Katy Huberty has argued that App Store policy changes could shave a maximum of 1% or 2% of Apple’s EPS, which is not much at all.\nEven Sacconaghi’s estimates of the financial risk only represents the worst-case scenario. In reality, much less than 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits will likely end up being cut as a result of the App Store’s payment changes, as many users will continue to choose Apple as their payment platform of choice.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879961495,"gmtCreate":1636677142551,"gmtModify":1636677142905,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tonight will be important to watch to determine the short term market direction","listText":"Tonight will be important to watch to determine the short term market direction","text":"Tonight will be important to watch to determine the short term market direction","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879961495","repostId":"1174358718","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877069312,"gmtCreate":1637843524492,"gmtModify":1637843524654,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The market will probably continue to rise until the rate increase is more or less certain. Watch US inflation as a forward indicator of when a rate rise will happen.","listText":"The market will probably continue to rise until the rate increase is more or less certain. Watch US inflation as a forward indicator of when a rate rise will happen.","text":"The market will probably continue to rise until the rate increase is more or less certain. Watch US inflation as a forward indicator of when a rate rise will happen.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877069312","repostId":"1182200011","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182200011","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637831082,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1182200011?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-25 17:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Market Believes the Fed Will Have to Raise Rates Soon. What It Means for Stocks.<blockquote>市场认为美联储将不得不很快加息。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182200011","media":"Barrons","summary":"Fixed-income markets are signaling that the Federal Reserve will have to increase interest rates soo","content":"<p>Fixed-income markets are signaling that the Federal Reserve will have to increase interest rates sooner than expected, which could put a dent in the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>固定收益市场发出信号，美联储将不得不比预期更早加息，这可能会削弱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on the 2-year Treasury note has gone from 0.5% in early November to 0.64% as of Wednesday. The move suggests that investors expect the Fed to raise interest rates to combat inflation that remains higher than expected because of soaring consumer demand and supply chains that struggling to match demand.</p><p><blockquote>截至周三，2年期国债收益率已从11月初的0.5%升至0.64%。此举表明，投资者预计美联储将加息，以应对通胀，通胀仍高于预期，因为消费者需求飙升，供应链难以满足需求。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, minutes released Wednesday from the Fed’s meeting earlier this month show that members of the central bank are prepared to increase rates sooner than previously anticipated if inflation remains high.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，周三公布的美联储本月早些时候会议纪要显示，如果通胀居高不下，央行成员准备比此前预期更早加息。</blockquote></p><p> That belief is beginning to creep into credit spreads between corporate and government debt. A Bank of America index of investment-grade corporate bonds shows that, in aggregate, the spread over Treasury yields has increased to 0.94% from 0.89% earlier this month as investors have fled corporate bonds in anticipation of rate increases that could slow economic growth and pressure profits.</p><p><blockquote>这种信念开始蔓延到公司债务和政府债务之间的信用利差中。美国银行投资级公司债券指数显示，总体而言，美国国债收益率利差已从本月早些时候的0.89%升至0.94%，原因是投资者因预期加息可能会减缓经济增长而逃离公司债券并对利润造成压力。</blockquote></p><p> Consistent with that, credit spreads for investment-grade corporate bonds in more economically sensitive sectors are rising against government debt. Ten-year bonds issues by manufacturing companies in the S&amp;P 500 yield 1.08 percentage points more than the 10-year Treasury note, according to FactSet, an increase from the 0.99 percentage point spread seen at the lowest levels of November. The spread for corporate bonds in the energy sector has risen to 1.41 percentage points from a November low of 1.2.</p><p><blockquote>与此相一致的是，对经济更为敏感的行业的投资级公司债券相对于政府债务的信用利差正在上升。FactSet的数据显示，标普500制造企业发行的十年期债券收益率比10年期国债高出1.08个百分点，较11月份最低水平时0.99个百分点的利差有所上升。能源行业公司债利差已从11月低点1.2升至1.41个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> “The market expects one to two [rate] hikes next year and that’s why you’re seeing credit spreads increase,” said John Ham, wealth advisor at New England Investments &amp; Retirement Group, told Barron’s Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>新英格兰投资与退休集团财富顾问约翰·哈姆周三对《巴伦周刊》表示：“市场预计明年将加息一到两次，这就是为什么你会看到信用利差扩大。”</blockquote></p><p> Although the major indexes are off their all-time highs, this sentiment hasn’t caused a selloff of more than 5%. The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average are down 0.1%, 1.3%, and 1.7% from their highs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管主要股指已脱离历史高点，但这种情绪并未导致超过5%的抛售。标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数较高点下跌0.1%、1.3%和1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> But the pain could come if credit spreads continue to widen. “Eventually that’s going to creep back into the equity market,” Harvey said.</p><p><blockquote>但如果信用利差继续扩大，痛苦可能会到来。“最终这将重新回到股市，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Market Believes the Fed Will Have to Raise Rates Soon. What It Means for Stocks.<blockquote>市场认为美联储将不得不很快加息。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Market Believes the Fed Will Have to Raise Rates Soon. What It Means for Stocks.<blockquote>市场认为美联储将不得不很快加息。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-25 17:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Fixed-income markets are signaling that the Federal Reserve will have to increase interest rates sooner than expected, which could put a dent in the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>固定收益市场发出信号，美联储将不得不比预期更早加息，这可能会削弱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on the 2-year Treasury note has gone from 0.5% in early November to 0.64% as of Wednesday. The move suggests that investors expect the Fed to raise interest rates to combat inflation that remains higher than expected because of soaring consumer demand and supply chains that struggling to match demand.</p><p><blockquote>截至周三，2年期国债收益率已从11月初的0.5%升至0.64%。此举表明，投资者预计美联储将加息，以应对通胀，通胀仍高于预期，因为消费者需求飙升，供应链难以满足需求。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, minutes released Wednesday from the Fed’s meeting earlier this month show that members of the central bank are prepared to increase rates sooner than previously anticipated if inflation remains high.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，周三公布的美联储本月早些时候会议纪要显示，如果通胀居高不下，央行成员准备比此前预期更早加息。</blockquote></p><p> That belief is beginning to creep into credit spreads between corporate and government debt. A Bank of America index of investment-grade corporate bonds shows that, in aggregate, the spread over Treasury yields has increased to 0.94% from 0.89% earlier this month as investors have fled corporate bonds in anticipation of rate increases that could slow economic growth and pressure profits.</p><p><blockquote>这种信念开始蔓延到公司债务和政府债务之间的信用利差中。美国银行投资级公司债券指数显示，总体而言，美国国债收益率利差已从本月早些时候的0.89%升至0.94%，原因是投资者因预期加息可能会减缓经济增长而逃离公司债券并对利润造成压力。</blockquote></p><p> Consistent with that, credit spreads for investment-grade corporate bonds in more economically sensitive sectors are rising against government debt. Ten-year bonds issues by manufacturing companies in the S&amp;P 500 yield 1.08 percentage points more than the 10-year Treasury note, according to FactSet, an increase from the 0.99 percentage point spread seen at the lowest levels of November. The spread for corporate bonds in the energy sector has risen to 1.41 percentage points from a November low of 1.2.</p><p><blockquote>与此相一致的是，对经济更为敏感的行业的投资级公司债券相对于政府债务的信用利差正在上升。FactSet的数据显示，标普500制造企业发行的十年期债券收益率比10年期国债高出1.08个百分点，较11月份最低水平时0.99个百分点的利差有所上升。能源行业公司债利差已从11月低点1.2升至1.41个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> “The market expects one to two [rate] hikes next year and that’s why you’re seeing credit spreads increase,” said John Ham, wealth advisor at New England Investments &amp; Retirement Group, told Barron’s Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>新英格兰投资与退休集团财富顾问约翰·哈姆周三对《巴伦周刊》表示：“市场预计明年将加息一到两次，这就是为什么你会看到信用利差扩大。”</blockquote></p><p> Although the major indexes are off their all-time highs, this sentiment hasn’t caused a selloff of more than 5%. The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average are down 0.1%, 1.3%, and 1.7% from their highs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管主要股指已脱离历史高点，但这种情绪并未导致超过5%的抛售。标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数较高点下跌0.1%、1.3%和1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> But the pain could come if credit spreads continue to widen. “Eventually that’s going to creep back into the equity market,” Harvey said.</p><p><blockquote>但如果信用利差继续扩大，痛苦可能会到来。“最终这将重新回到股市，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/stock-market-fed-rate-increase-51637790713?mod=newsviewer_click_seemore\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/stock-market-fed-rate-increase-51637790713?mod=newsviewer_click_seemore","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1182200011","content_text":"Fixed-income markets are signaling that the Federal Reserve will have to increase interest rates sooner than expected, which could put a dent in the stock market.\nThe yield on the 2-year Treasury note has gone from 0.5% in early November to 0.64% as of Wednesday. The move suggests that investors expect the Fed to raise interest rates to combat inflation that remains higher than expected because of soaring consumer demand and supply chains that struggling to match demand.\nIndeed, minutes released Wednesday from the Fed’s meeting earlier this month show that members of the central bank are prepared to increase rates sooner than previously anticipated if inflation remains high.\nThat belief is beginning to creep into credit spreads between corporate and government debt. A Bank of America index of investment-grade corporate bonds shows that, in aggregate, the spread over Treasury yields has increased to 0.94% from 0.89% earlier this month as investors have fled corporate bonds in anticipation of rate increases that could slow economic growth and pressure profits.\nConsistent with that, credit spreads for investment-grade corporate bonds in more economically sensitive sectors are rising against government debt. Ten-year bonds issues by manufacturing companies in the S&P 500 yield 1.08 percentage points more than the 10-year Treasury note, according to FactSet, an increase from the 0.99 percentage point spread seen at the lowest levels of November. The spread for corporate bonds in the energy sector has risen to 1.41 percentage points from a November low of 1.2.\n“The market expects one to two [rate] hikes next year and that’s why you’re seeing credit spreads increase,” said John Ham, wealth advisor at New England Investments & Retirement Group, told Barron’s Wednesday.\nAlthough the major indexes are off their all-time highs, this sentiment hasn’t caused a selloff of more than 5%. The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average are down 0.1%, 1.3%, and 1.7% from their highs.\nBut the pain could come if credit spreads continue to widen. “Eventually that’s going to creep back into the equity market,” Harvey said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1008,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823321308,"gmtCreate":1633586578026,"gmtModify":1633586578186,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is a nice list of stocks. With a share price of $175, Apple market cap will be close to 3 trillion, another record.&nbsp;","listText":"This is a nice list of stocks. With a share price of $175, Apple market cap will be close to 3 trillion, another record.&nbsp;","text":"This is a nice list of stocks. With a share price of $175, Apple market cap will be close to 3 trillion, another record.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823321308","repostId":"2173948607","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2173948607","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1633570746,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2173948607?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-07 09:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here are 10 'high conviction' stocks of companies with strong pricing power and at least 20% upside potential to UBS targets<blockquote>以下是10只“高度确信”的公司股票，它们具有强大的定价能力，比瑞银目标至少有20%的上涨潜力</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2173948607","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge. Inflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.UBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enoug","content":"<p>UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge</p><p><blockquote>瑞银预计，随着航运、原材料和工资成本飙升，定价权将变得更加重要</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9666acc8b6cbedd5fb585565a168bcf\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Inflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近，通胀和供应问题是华尔街最热门的词汇之一，投资者等着看哪些公司最擅长管理飙升的成本压力和航运中断。</blockquote></p><p> UBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enough to make a real difference without losing customers.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师认为，应对这些不利因素的最佳方法之一是公司提高价格，但并非所有公司都能提高价格，从而在不失去客户的情况下产生真正的影响。</blockquote></p><p> A number of companies in different sectors have already cut forward guidance, given rising costs and supply-chain disruptions, such as FedEx Corp.,Nu Skin Enterprises Inc.&nbsp;and Dollar Tree Inc..</p><p><blockquote>鉴于成本上升和供应链中断，不同行业的许多公司已经下调了前瞻性指引，如联邦快递公司、如新企业公司和美元树公司..</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter earnings season kicks off in earnest next week, with aggregate earnings per share of the S&amp;P 500 companies&nbsp;expected to show year-over-year growth in earnings per share of about 27% and in sales of about 15%.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周正式拉开帷幕，标普500公司的每股收益总额预计将同比增长约27%，销售额将同比增长约15%。</blockquote></p><p> “Pricing power should be an even more important theme for relative returns with surging shipping costs, rising raw materials, supply chain issues and accelerating wage growth,” UBS strategists wrote in a note to clients this week.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师本周在给客户的一份报告中写道：“随着运输成本飙升、原材料上涨、供应链问题和工资增长加速，定价能力应该成为相对回报的一个更加重要的主题。”</blockquote></p><p> So the strategists, led by Keith Parker, asked UBS analysts across 33 industries to identify companies with the strongest relative pricing power. The analysts were also asked to pick out companies that scored in the top third of their respective sectors based on UBS Equity Strategy’s composite score for pricing power, margin momentum and input cost exposure; have “buy” ratings; and have stocks with at least 10% upside potential to their respective price targets.</p><p><blockquote>因此，由基思·帕克（Keith Parker）领导的策略师要求瑞银（UBS）33个行业的分析师找出相对定价能力最强的公司。分析师还被要求根据瑞银股票策略在定价能力、利润率势头和投入成本敞口方面的综合得分，选出在各自行业中得分排名前三分之一的公司；拥有“买入”评级；并且股票的价格目标至少有10%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Here are 10 “high conviction, strong pricing power stocks” on UBS’s list that have at least 20% upside to the analysts’ stock price targets, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote>以下是瑞银名单上的10只“信念坚定、定价能力强的股票”，它们比分析师的股价目标至少有20%的上涨空间，按字母顺序排列：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.,with a price target of $255, which implies an upside of about 21% to prices in afternoon trading Wednesday. Analyst Michael Lasser said he believes the auto parts company’s (AAP) aftermarket fundamentals are in a strong position, and that a gradual increase in mobility and a return to working in offices should drive further recovery in vehicle miles traveled.</li> </ul> “The auto parts sector traditionally has strong pricing power, with an ability to pass along price increases to customers,” Lasser wrote. “Plus, AAP also have the largest exposure to the commercial segment of the market, which is viewed even more favorably.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.，目标价为255美元，这意味着周三下午交易的价格有约21%的上涨空间。分析师迈克尔·拉瑟(Michael Lasser)表示，他认为这家汽车零部件公司(AAP)的售后市场基本面处于强势地位，流动性的逐步增加和重返办公室工作应该会推动车辆行驶里程的进一步恢复。</li></ul>“汽车零部件行业传统上拥有强大的定价权，能够将价格上涨转嫁给客户，”拉塞尔写道。“此外，AAP在市场的商业领域也拥有最大的敞口，这一点受到了更多的青睐。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple Inc.,which has a price target of $175 that implies 24% upside. Analyst David Vogt said the combination of its technological capability, supported by its retention metrics from UBS surveys that indicate high customer satisfaction for Apple products, suggests the PC and smartphone giant’s brand equity should drive adoption in the battery-electric-vehicle (BEV) market.</li> </ul> “End-market demand has been improving year-over-year, leading to elevated ‘wait times’ despite increased product procurement/production,” Vogt wrote. Regarding the BEV market, Vogt said that while Apple isn’t a first mover, “its significant resources should enable the company to be a ‘fast follower,'” similar to when it entered the smartphone market in 2007.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果公司的目标价为175美元，意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师David Vogt表示，瑞银调查显示客户对苹果产品的满意度很高，其技术能力的结合表明，这家个人电脑和智能手机巨头的品牌资产应该会推动电池电动汽车(BEV)市场的采用。</li></ul>沃格特写道：“尽管产品采购/产量增加，但终端市场需求逐年改善，导致‘等待时间’增加。”关于纯电动汽车市场，Vogt表示，虽然苹果不是先行者，但“其大量资源应该使该公司成为‘快速追随者’”，类似于2007年进入智能手机市场时。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>CME Group Inc.,with a price target of $245 implying 23% upside. Analyst Alex Kramm said the derivatives trading platform benefits from global expansion, innovation, adoption of options and pricing. And he believes regulation could provide a tailwind to growth.</li> </ul> “As primarily a U.S. futures business, CME enjoys the highest barriers of entry in the space,” Kramm wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>CME Group Inc.，目标价为245美元，意味着上涨23%。分析师Alex Kramm表示，该衍生品交易平台受益于全球扩张、创新、期权的采用和定价。他认为监管可以为增长提供推动力。</li></ul>克拉姆写道：“作为一家主要的美国期货企业，芝商所在该领域享有最高的进入壁垒。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Danaher Corp.&nbsp;has a price target of $365, which implies 22% upside. Analyst John Sourbeer believes the medical products and services company (DHR) is “very well positioned” within the life sciences tool and services sector, as COVID testing should hold up much better than peers and the vaccine and therapeutic opportunity appears durable.</li> </ul> “DHR sales engine is able to proactively identify areas of potential pricing pressure and [successfully] navigate customers to high-value product,” Sourbeer wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>丹纳赫公司的目标价为365美元，这意味着22%的上涨空间。分析师John Sourbeer认为，医疗产品和服务公司(DHR)在生命科学工具和服务领域“处于非常有利的地位”，因为新冠病毒检测应该比同行好得多，而且疫苗和治疗机会似乎是持久的。</li></ul>Sourbeer写道：“DHR销售引擎能够主动识别潜在定价压力的领域，并[成功地]引导客户购买高价值产品。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>EOG Resources Inc.&nbsp;has a $119 stock price target that suggests 38% upside. Analyst Lloyd Byrne the oil and natural gas exploration company is well positioned to mitigate inflationary pressures expected next year given well costs that are expected to be flat to lower in 2022 because of reduced drilling days, the deployment of “super zipper fracs” and contracts negotiated at lower rates.</li> </ul> “Pricing power in commodity companies is difficult to achieve. Those that can hold margins by best controlling costs, though, are better positioned,” Byrne wrote. “EOG is better positioned than most by being proactive with input and service costs, while excelling in operations.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>EOG Resources Inc.的目标股价为119美元，上涨38%。分析师劳埃德·伯恩(Lloyd Byrne)鉴于由于钻井天数减少、部署“超级拉链压裂”和合同谈判，预计2022年油井成本将持平或下降，这家石油和天然气勘探公司处于有利地位，可以缓解明年预计的通胀压力。较低的利率。</li></ul>“大宗商品公司的定价权很难实现。不过，那些能够通过最佳控制成本来保持利润的公司处于更有利的地位，”伯恩写道。“EOG比大多数公司处于更有利的地位，因为它积极主动地降低投入和服务成本，同时在运营方面表现出色。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Extra Space Storage Inc.’s&nbsp;stock price target of $210 implies 24% upside. Analyst Michael Goldsmith said he believes strong underlying demand, in conjunction with decelerating supply growth, support rent growth.</li> </ul> “Strong demand for self storage and elevated occupancy rates, combined with its non-discretionary nature increased pricing power of the operators,” Goldsmith wrote. “Operators are flexing their pricing power to new customers, as well as existing customer rent increases every 9-12 months.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Extra Space Storage Inc.的目标股价为210美元，意味着上涨24%。分析师迈克尔·戈德史密斯表示，他认为强劲的潜在需求，加上供应增长放缓，将支撑租金增长。</li></ul>戈德史密斯写道：“对自助存储的强劲需求和较高的入住率，加上其非自由支配的性质，增加了运营商的定价能力。”“运营商正在向新客户展示他们的定价权，现有客户的租金每9-12个月上涨一次。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Generac Holdings Inc.&nbsp;has a price target of $500, which implies 23% upside. Analyst Jon Windham believes the power generation equipment maker’s competitive edge lies in its customer acquisition platform, which should enable it to take market share from incumbents SolarEdge Technologies Inc.&nbsp;and Enphase Energy Inc..</li> </ul> “Dominant market share (~80%) and strong demand for home standby power have insulated already high residential product margins,” Windham wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Generac Holdings Inc.的目标价为500美元，这意味着上涨23%。分析师Jon Windham认为，这家发电设备制造商的竞争优势在于其客户获取平台，这将使其能够从现有企业SolarEdge Technologies Inc.和Enphase Energy Inc.手中夺取市场份额。</li></ul>温德姆写道：“主导市场份额（约80%）和对家庭备用电源的强劲需求使本已很高的住宅产品利润率受到影响。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Nike Inc.’s&nbsp;price target of $185 implies 24% upside. Analyst Jay Sole said a UBS survey and pricing data reveal that the Nike brand currently is No. 1 in mindshare globally and the sports apparel and accessories company has significant room to reduce promotions.</li> </ul> “We believe the market doesn’t fully appreciate how Nike’s investments in product innovation, supply chain and e-commerce are working in concert to drive unit growth and [average selling price] increases,” Sole wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>耐克公司185美元的目标价意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师Jay Sole表示，瑞银的调查和定价数据显示，耐克品牌目前在全球关注度排名第一，这家运动服装和配饰公司有很大的空间减少促销活动。</li></ul>Sole写道：“我们认为市场并没有完全理解耐克在产品创新、供应链和电子商务方面的投资如何协同推动销量增长和[平均售价]上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Salesforce.com Inc.&nbsp;has a stock price target of $330 that implies 20% upside potential. Analyst Karl Keirstead said the customer relationship management software company appears to be moving well beyond the previous era of limited operating margin expansion, and committing to boosting annual operating margins.</li> </ul> “Importantly, the drivers behind the improved margin outlook strike us as sustainable, with topline outperformance, a permanent shift towards WFH [work from home] and Zoom-based customer interactions, and renewed expense discipline internally…the three biggest drivers,” Keirstead wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Salesforce.com Inc.的目标股价为330美元，这意味着20%的上涨潜力。分析师Karl Keirstead表示，这家客户关系管理软件公司似乎正在远远超越之前营业利润率扩张有限的时代，并致力于提高年度营业利润率。</li></ul>“重要的是，利润率前景改善背后的驱动因素在我们看来是可持续的，营收表现出色，永久转向WFH（在家工作）和基于Zoom的客户互动，以及内部更新的费用纪律……这是三个最大的驱动因素，”凯尔斯泰德写道。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Teleflex Inc.’s price target of $480 implies 28% upside. Analyst Matthew Taylor said the medical technology products company makes a number of inexpensive products that fly under the radar, given them the opportunity to increase prices.</li> </ul> Taylor said he believes margins can go “significantly higher” over the long term, given the company’s leverage to both necessary and elective procedures, which should return quickly in a post-pandemic world.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Teleflex Inc.的目标价为480美元，意味着上涨28%。分析师马修·泰勒表示，这家医疗技术产品公司生产了许多不为人所知的廉价产品，这给了他们提高价格的机会。</li></ul>泰勒表示，鉴于该公司在必要程序和选择性程序方面的影响力，他相信从长远来看，利润率可能会“显着提高”，而在大流行后的世界中，这些程序应该会迅速恢复。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here are 10 'high conviction' stocks of companies with strong pricing power and at least 20% upside potential to UBS targets<blockquote>以下是10只“高度确信”的公司股票，它们具有强大的定价能力，比瑞银目标至少有20%的上涨潜力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere are 10 'high conviction' stocks of companies with strong pricing power and at least 20% upside potential to UBS targets<blockquote>以下是10只“高度确信”的公司股票，它们具有强大的定价能力，比瑞银目标至少有20%的上涨潜力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-07 09:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge</p><p><blockquote>瑞银预计，随着航运、原材料和工资成本飙升，定价权将变得更加重要</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9666acc8b6cbedd5fb585565a168bcf\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Inflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近，通胀和供应问题是华尔街最热门的词汇之一，投资者等着看哪些公司最擅长管理飙升的成本压力和航运中断。</blockquote></p><p> UBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enough to make a real difference without losing customers.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师认为，应对这些不利因素的最佳方法之一是公司提高价格，但并非所有公司都能提高价格，从而在不失去客户的情况下产生真正的影响。</blockquote></p><p> A number of companies in different sectors have already cut forward guidance, given rising costs and supply-chain disruptions, such as FedEx Corp.,Nu Skin Enterprises Inc.&nbsp;and Dollar Tree Inc..</p><p><blockquote>鉴于成本上升和供应链中断，不同行业的许多公司已经下调了前瞻性指引，如联邦快递公司、如新企业公司和美元树公司..</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter earnings season kicks off in earnest next week, with aggregate earnings per share of the S&amp;P 500 companies&nbsp;expected to show year-over-year growth in earnings per share of about 27% and in sales of about 15%.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周正式拉开帷幕，标普500公司的每股收益总额预计将同比增长约27%，销售额将同比增长约15%。</blockquote></p><p> “Pricing power should be an even more important theme for relative returns with surging shipping costs, rising raw materials, supply chain issues and accelerating wage growth,” UBS strategists wrote in a note to clients this week.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师本周在给客户的一份报告中写道：“随着运输成本飙升、原材料上涨、供应链问题和工资增长加速，定价能力应该成为相对回报的一个更加重要的主题。”</blockquote></p><p> So the strategists, led by Keith Parker, asked UBS analysts across 33 industries to identify companies with the strongest relative pricing power. The analysts were also asked to pick out companies that scored in the top third of their respective sectors based on UBS Equity Strategy’s composite score for pricing power, margin momentum and input cost exposure; have “buy” ratings; and have stocks with at least 10% upside potential to their respective price targets.</p><p><blockquote>因此，由基思·帕克（Keith Parker）领导的策略师要求瑞银（UBS）33个行业的分析师找出相对定价能力最强的公司。分析师还被要求根据瑞银股票策略在定价能力、利润率势头和投入成本敞口方面的综合得分，选出在各自行业中得分排名前三分之一的公司；拥有“买入”评级；并且股票的价格目标至少有10%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Here are 10 “high conviction, strong pricing power stocks” on UBS’s list that have at least 20% upside to the analysts’ stock price targets, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote>以下是瑞银名单上的10只“信念坚定、定价能力强的股票”，它们比分析师的股价目标至少有20%的上涨空间，按字母顺序排列：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.,with a price target of $255, which implies an upside of about 21% to prices in afternoon trading Wednesday. Analyst Michael Lasser said he believes the auto parts company’s (AAP) aftermarket fundamentals are in a strong position, and that a gradual increase in mobility and a return to working in offices should drive further recovery in vehicle miles traveled.</li> </ul> “The auto parts sector traditionally has strong pricing power, with an ability to pass along price increases to customers,” Lasser wrote. “Plus, AAP also have the largest exposure to the commercial segment of the market, which is viewed even more favorably.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.，目标价为255美元，这意味着周三下午交易的价格有约21%的上涨空间。分析师迈克尔·拉瑟(Michael Lasser)表示，他认为这家汽车零部件公司(AAP)的售后市场基本面处于强势地位，流动性的逐步增加和重返办公室工作应该会推动车辆行驶里程的进一步恢复。</li></ul>“汽车零部件行业传统上拥有强大的定价权，能够将价格上涨转嫁给客户，”拉塞尔写道。“此外，AAP在市场的商业领域也拥有最大的敞口，这一点受到了更多的青睐。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple Inc.,which has a price target of $175 that implies 24% upside. Analyst David Vogt said the combination of its technological capability, supported by its retention metrics from UBS surveys that indicate high customer satisfaction for Apple products, suggests the PC and smartphone giant’s brand equity should drive adoption in the battery-electric-vehicle (BEV) market.</li> </ul> “End-market demand has been improving year-over-year, leading to elevated ‘wait times’ despite increased product procurement/production,” Vogt wrote. Regarding the BEV market, Vogt said that while Apple isn’t a first mover, “its significant resources should enable the company to be a ‘fast follower,'” similar to when it entered the smartphone market in 2007.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果公司的目标价为175美元，意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师David Vogt表示，瑞银调查显示客户对苹果产品的满意度很高，其技术能力的结合表明，这家个人电脑和智能手机巨头的品牌资产应该会推动电池电动汽车(BEV)市场的采用。</li></ul>沃格特写道：“尽管产品采购/产量增加，但终端市场需求逐年改善，导致‘等待时间’增加。”关于纯电动汽车市场，Vogt表示，虽然苹果不是先行者，但“其大量资源应该使该公司成为‘快速追随者’”，类似于2007年进入智能手机市场时。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>CME Group Inc.,with a price target of $245 implying 23% upside. Analyst Alex Kramm said the derivatives trading platform benefits from global expansion, innovation, adoption of options and pricing. And he believes regulation could provide a tailwind to growth.</li> </ul> “As primarily a U.S. futures business, CME enjoys the highest barriers of entry in the space,” Kramm wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>CME Group Inc.，目标价为245美元，意味着上涨23%。分析师Alex Kramm表示，该衍生品交易平台受益于全球扩张、创新、期权的采用和定价。他认为监管可以为增长提供推动力。</li></ul>克拉姆写道：“作为一家主要的美国期货企业，芝商所在该领域享有最高的进入壁垒。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Danaher Corp.&nbsp;has a price target of $365, which implies 22% upside. Analyst John Sourbeer believes the medical products and services company (DHR) is “very well positioned” within the life sciences tool and services sector, as COVID testing should hold up much better than peers and the vaccine and therapeutic opportunity appears durable.</li> </ul> “DHR sales engine is able to proactively identify areas of potential pricing pressure and [successfully] navigate customers to high-value product,” Sourbeer wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>丹纳赫公司的目标价为365美元，这意味着22%的上涨空间。分析师John Sourbeer认为，医疗产品和服务公司(DHR)在生命科学工具和服务领域“处于非常有利的地位”，因为新冠病毒检测应该比同行好得多，而且疫苗和治疗机会似乎是持久的。</li></ul>Sourbeer写道：“DHR销售引擎能够主动识别潜在定价压力的领域，并[成功地]引导客户购买高价值产品。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>EOG Resources Inc.&nbsp;has a $119 stock price target that suggests 38% upside. Analyst Lloyd Byrne the oil and natural gas exploration company is well positioned to mitigate inflationary pressures expected next year given well costs that are expected to be flat to lower in 2022 because of reduced drilling days, the deployment of “super zipper fracs” and contracts negotiated at lower rates.</li> </ul> “Pricing power in commodity companies is difficult to achieve. Those that can hold margins by best controlling costs, though, are better positioned,” Byrne wrote. “EOG is better positioned than most by being proactive with input and service costs, while excelling in operations.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>EOG Resources Inc.的目标股价为119美元，上涨38%。分析师劳埃德·伯恩(Lloyd Byrne)鉴于由于钻井天数减少、部署“超级拉链压裂”和合同谈判，预计2022年油井成本将持平或下降，这家石油和天然气勘探公司处于有利地位，可以缓解明年预计的通胀压力。较低的利率。</li></ul>“大宗商品公司的定价权很难实现。不过，那些能够通过最佳控制成本来保持利润的公司处于更有利的地位，”伯恩写道。“EOG比大多数公司处于更有利的地位，因为它积极主动地降低投入和服务成本，同时在运营方面表现出色。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Extra Space Storage Inc.’s&nbsp;stock price target of $210 implies 24% upside. Analyst Michael Goldsmith said he believes strong underlying demand, in conjunction with decelerating supply growth, support rent growth.</li> </ul> “Strong demand for self storage and elevated occupancy rates, combined with its non-discretionary nature increased pricing power of the operators,” Goldsmith wrote. “Operators are flexing their pricing power to new customers, as well as existing customer rent increases every 9-12 months.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Extra Space Storage Inc.的目标股价为210美元，意味着上涨24%。分析师迈克尔·戈德史密斯表示，他认为强劲的潜在需求，加上供应增长放缓，将支撑租金增长。</li></ul>戈德史密斯写道：“对自助存储的强劲需求和较高的入住率，加上其非自由支配的性质，增加了运营商的定价能力。”“运营商正在向新客户展示他们的定价权，现有客户的租金每9-12个月上涨一次。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Generac Holdings Inc.&nbsp;has a price target of $500, which implies 23% upside. Analyst Jon Windham believes the power generation equipment maker’s competitive edge lies in its customer acquisition platform, which should enable it to take market share from incumbents SolarEdge Technologies Inc.&nbsp;and Enphase Energy Inc..</li> </ul> “Dominant market share (~80%) and strong demand for home standby power have insulated already high residential product margins,” Windham wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Generac Holdings Inc.的目标价为500美元，这意味着上涨23%。分析师Jon Windham认为，这家发电设备制造商的竞争优势在于其客户获取平台，这将使其能够从现有企业SolarEdge Technologies Inc.和Enphase Energy Inc.手中夺取市场份额。</li></ul>温德姆写道：“主导市场份额（约80%）和对家庭备用电源的强劲需求使本已很高的住宅产品利润率受到影响。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Nike Inc.’s&nbsp;price target of $185 implies 24% upside. Analyst Jay Sole said a UBS survey and pricing data reveal that the Nike brand currently is No. 1 in mindshare globally and the sports apparel and accessories company has significant room to reduce promotions.</li> </ul> “We believe the market doesn’t fully appreciate how Nike’s investments in product innovation, supply chain and e-commerce are working in concert to drive unit growth and [average selling price] increases,” Sole wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>耐克公司185美元的目标价意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师Jay Sole表示，瑞银的调查和定价数据显示，耐克品牌目前在全球关注度排名第一，这家运动服装和配饰公司有很大的空间减少促销活动。</li></ul>Sole写道：“我们认为市场并没有完全理解耐克在产品创新、供应链和电子商务方面的投资如何协同推动销量增长和[平均售价]上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Salesforce.com Inc.&nbsp;has a stock price target of $330 that implies 20% upside potential. Analyst Karl Keirstead said the customer relationship management software company appears to be moving well beyond the previous era of limited operating margin expansion, and committing to boosting annual operating margins.</li> </ul> “Importantly, the drivers behind the improved margin outlook strike us as sustainable, with topline outperformance, a permanent shift towards WFH [work from home] and Zoom-based customer interactions, and renewed expense discipline internally…the three biggest drivers,” Keirstead wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Salesforce.com Inc.的目标股价为330美元，这意味着20%的上涨潜力。分析师Karl Keirstead表示，这家客户关系管理软件公司似乎正在远远超越之前营业利润率扩张有限的时代，并致力于提高年度营业利润率。</li></ul>“重要的是，利润率前景改善背后的驱动因素在我们看来是可持续的，营收表现出色，永久转向WFH（在家工作）和基于Zoom的客户互动，以及内部更新的费用纪律……这是三个最大的驱动因素，”凯尔斯泰德写道。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Teleflex Inc.’s price target of $480 implies 28% upside. Analyst Matthew Taylor said the medical technology products company makes a number of inexpensive products that fly under the radar, given them the opportunity to increase prices.</li> </ul> Taylor said he believes margins can go “significantly higher” over the long term, given the company’s leverage to both necessary and elective procedures, which should return quickly in a post-pandemic world.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Teleflex Inc.的目标价为480美元，意味着上涨28%。分析师马修·泰勒表示，这家医疗技术产品公司生产了许多不为人所知的廉价产品，这给了他们提高价格的机会。</li></ul>泰勒表示，鉴于该公司在必要程序和选择性程序方面的影响力，他相信从长远来看，利润率可能会“显着提高”，而在大流行后的世界中，这些程序应该会迅速恢复。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-10-high-conviction-stocks-of-companies-with-strong-pricing-power-and-at-least-20-upside-potential-to-ubs-targets-11633547178?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EXR":"Extra Space Storage Inc","SBAC":"SBA通信","FDX":"联邦快递","CME":"芝加哥商品交易所","NUS":"如新集团","ENPH":"Enphase Energy","KO":"可口可乐","AEE":"阿曼瑞恩","CRM":"赛富时","AAPL":"苹果","SEDG":"SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.","USB":"美国合众银行","GNRC":"Generac控股","AAP":"Advance Auto Parts Inc","CHTR":"特许通讯","NKE":"耐克","EOG":"依欧格资源","DHR":"丹纳赫","DLTR":"美元树公司"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-10-high-conviction-stocks-of-companies-with-strong-pricing-power-and-at-least-20-upside-potential-to-ubs-targets-11633547178?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2173948607","content_text":"UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge\nGetty Images\nInflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.\nUBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enough to make a real difference without losing customers.\nA number of companies in different sectors have already cut forward guidance, given rising costs and supply-chain disruptions, such as FedEx Corp.,Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. and Dollar Tree Inc..\nThird-quarter earnings season kicks off in earnest next week, with aggregate earnings per share of the S&P 500 companies expected to show year-over-year growth in earnings per share of about 27% and in sales of about 15%.\n“Pricing power should be an even more important theme for relative returns with surging shipping costs, rising raw materials, supply chain issues and accelerating wage growth,” UBS strategists wrote in a note to clients this week.\nSo the strategists, led by Keith Parker, asked UBS analysts across 33 industries to identify companies with the strongest relative pricing power. The analysts were also asked to pick out companies that scored in the top third of their respective sectors based on UBS Equity Strategy’s composite score for pricing power, margin momentum and input cost exposure; have “buy” ratings; and have stocks with at least 10% upside potential to their respective price targets.\nHere are 10 “high conviction, strong pricing power stocks” on UBS’s list that have at least 20% upside to the analysts’ stock price targets, in alphabetical order:\n\nAdvance Auto Parts Inc.,with a price target of $255, which implies an upside of about 21% to prices in afternoon trading Wednesday. Analyst Michael Lasser said he believes the auto parts company’s (AAP) aftermarket fundamentals are in a strong position, and that a gradual increase in mobility and a return to working in offices should drive further recovery in vehicle miles traveled.\n\n“The auto parts sector traditionally has strong pricing power, with an ability to pass along price increases to customers,” Lasser wrote. “Plus, AAP also have the largest exposure to the commercial segment of the market, which is viewed even more favorably.”\n\nApple Inc.,which has a price target of $175 that implies 24% upside. Analyst David Vogt said the combination of its technological capability, supported by its retention metrics from UBS surveys that indicate high customer satisfaction for Apple products, suggests the PC and smartphone giant’s brand equity should drive adoption in the battery-electric-vehicle (BEV) market.\n\n“End-market demand has been improving year-over-year, leading to elevated ‘wait times’ despite increased product procurement/production,” Vogt wrote. Regarding the BEV market, Vogt said that while Apple isn’t a first mover, “its significant resources should enable the company to be a ‘fast follower,'” similar to when it entered the smartphone market in 2007.\n\nCME Group Inc.,with a price target of $245 implying 23% upside. Analyst Alex Kramm said the derivatives trading platform benefits from global expansion, innovation, adoption of options and pricing. And he believes regulation could provide a tailwind to growth.\n\n“As primarily a U.S. futures business, CME enjoys the highest barriers of entry in the space,” Kramm wrote.\n\nDanaher Corp. has a price target of $365, which implies 22% upside. Analyst John Sourbeer believes the medical products and services company (DHR) is “very well positioned” within the life sciences tool and services sector, as COVID testing should hold up much better than peers and the vaccine and therapeutic opportunity appears durable.\n\n“DHR sales engine is able to proactively identify areas of potential pricing pressure and [successfully] navigate customers to high-value product,” Sourbeer wrote.\n\nEOG Resources Inc. has a $119 stock price target that suggests 38% upside. Analyst Lloyd Byrne the oil and natural gas exploration company is well positioned to mitigate inflationary pressures expected next year given well costs that are expected to be flat to lower in 2022 because of reduced drilling days, the deployment of “super zipper fracs” and contracts negotiated at lower rates.\n\n“Pricing power in commodity companies is difficult to achieve. Those that can hold margins by best controlling costs, though, are better positioned,” Byrne wrote. “EOG is better positioned than most by being proactive with input and service costs, while excelling in operations.”\n\nExtra Space Storage Inc.’s stock price target of $210 implies 24% upside. Analyst Michael Goldsmith said he believes strong underlying demand, in conjunction with decelerating supply growth, support rent growth.\n\n“Strong demand for self storage and elevated occupancy rates, combined with its non-discretionary nature increased pricing power of the operators,” Goldsmith wrote. “Operators are flexing their pricing power to new customers, as well as existing customer rent increases every 9-12 months.”\n\nGenerac Holdings Inc. has a price target of $500, which implies 23% upside. Analyst Jon Windham believes the power generation equipment maker’s competitive edge lies in its customer acquisition platform, which should enable it to take market share from incumbents SolarEdge Technologies Inc. and Enphase Energy Inc..\n\n“Dominant market share (~80%) and strong demand for home standby power have insulated already high residential product margins,” Windham wrote.\n\nNike Inc.’s price target of $185 implies 24% upside. Analyst Jay Sole said a UBS survey and pricing data reveal that the Nike brand currently is No. 1 in mindshare globally and the sports apparel and accessories company has significant room to reduce promotions.\n\n“We believe the market doesn’t fully appreciate how Nike’s investments in product innovation, supply chain and e-commerce are working in concert to drive unit growth and [average selling price] increases,” Sole wrote.\n\nSalesforce.com Inc. has a stock price target of $330 that implies 20% upside potential. Analyst Karl Keirstead said the customer relationship management software company appears to be moving well beyond the previous era of limited operating margin expansion, and committing to boosting annual operating margins.\n\n“Importantly, the drivers behind the improved margin outlook strike us as sustainable, with topline outperformance, a permanent shift towards WFH [work from home] and Zoom-based customer interactions, and renewed expense discipline internally…the three biggest drivers,” Keirstead wrote.\n\nTeleflex Inc.’s price target of $480 implies 28% upside. Analyst Matthew Taylor said the medical technology products company makes a number of inexpensive products that fly under the radar, given them the opportunity to increase prices.\n\nTaylor said he believes margins can go “significantly higher” over the long term, given the company’s leverage to both necessary and elective procedures, which should return quickly in a post-pandemic world.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAP":0.9,"CRM":0.9,"CME":0.9,"CHTR":0.9,"NUS":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"GNRC":0.9,"USB":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"SEDG":0.9,"ENPH":0.9,"EXR":0.9,"DHR":0.9,"SBAC":0.9,"DLTR":0.9,"KO":0.9,"NKE":0.9,"AEE":0.9,"EOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":763,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856388086,"gmtCreate":1635151025590,"gmtModify":1635151312938,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"18 million is a pretty small sum. It does not make sense for stock to rise so much. Do trade with care","listText":"18 million is a pretty small sum. It does not make sense for stock to rise so much. Do trade with care","text":"18 million is a pretty small sum. It does not make sense for stock to rise so much. Do trade with care","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856388086","repostId":"1155336588","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":648,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859496975,"gmtCreate":1634719199518,"gmtModify":1634719496710,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pharmaceuticals are complex and impact life. Rushing is not the way to get things out. Once reputation is ruined, it will be difficult to regain the trust of the public","listText":"Pharmaceuticals are complex and impact life. Rushing is not the way to get things out. Once reputation is ruined, it will be difficult to regain the trust of the public","text":"Pharmaceuticals are complex and impact life. Rushing is not the way to get things out. Once reputation is ruined, it will be difficult to regain the trust of the public","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859496975","repostId":"1174375951","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174375951","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634717661,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174375951?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 16:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Novavax plunged over 20% in premarket trading<blockquote>Novavax盘前交易暴跌逾20%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174375951","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Oct 20)  Novavax may delay the delivery of 1 billion doses of coronavirus vaccine because of the pr","content":"<p>(Oct 20)&nbsp; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>&nbsp;may delay the delivery of 1 billion doses of coronavirus vaccine because of the production problems.</p><p><blockquote>（10月20日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>可能因生产问题推迟10亿剂冠状病毒疫苗的交付。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3995877f1c786d310a457ababf9ee9e\" tg-width=\"1043\" tg-height=\"564\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The world’s vaccine distributor has been counting on U.S. companies to provide more than 2 billion doses to lower and middle-income countries by the end of 2022 — a crucial step in ending the Covid-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>这家全球疫苗分销商一直指望美国公司在2022年底前向中低收入国家提供超过20亿剂疫苗——这是结束Covid-19大流行的关键一步。</blockquote></p><p> But the campaign run by the international consortium known as COVAX, which has already been delayed significantly because of production lags, is now likely to fall short by more than 1 billion doses as a key supplier faces significant hurdles in proving it can manufacture a shot that meets regulators’ quality standards, according to three people with direct knowledge of the company’s problems.</p><p><blockquote>但由名为COVAX的国际联盟发起的活动由于生产滞后而被大幅推迟，现在可能会短缺超过10亿剂，因为一家主要供应商在证明其能够生产疫苗方面面临重大障碍据三位直接了解该公司问题的人士透露，符合监管机构的质量标准。</blockquote></p><p> The delay, which was confirmed by three other people familiar with the discussions between Maryland-based Novavax and the Biden administration, represents a major setback in the effort to vaccinate the world in the wake of new, more transmissible variants.</p><p><blockquote>另外三名熟悉总部位于马里兰州的Novavax和拜登政府之间讨论的人士证实了这一延迟，这代表着在新的、更具传染性的变种出现后，为世界接种疫苗的努力遭遇重大挫折。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. government invested $1.6 billion in Novavax in 2020 — the most it devoted to any vaccine maker at the time — in hopes that it would offer the world another option for a safe and effective vaccine to help protect against Covid-19. But the company has consistently run into production problems. The methods it used to test the purity of the vaccine have fallen short of regulators’ standards and the company has not been able to prove that it can produce a shot that is consistently up to snuff, according to multiple people familiar with Novavax’s difficulties. All spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive company conversations.</p><p><blockquote>美国政府在2020年向Novavax投资了16亿美元，这是当时向所有疫苗制造商投入的最多资金，希望它能为世界提供另一种安全有效的疫苗选择，以帮助预防Covid-19。但该公司一直遇到生产问题。据多位熟悉Novavax困难的人士透露，其用于测试疫苗纯度的方法未达到监管机构的标准，该公司也无法证明其能够生产出始终符合标准的疫苗。所有人都要求匿名，讨论敏感的公司对话。</blockquote></p><p> Although Novavax recently attested to some of its analytics and testing issues in aquarterly filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, the company’s issues are more concerning than previously understood, according to two of the people with direct knowledge of the matter.</p><p><blockquote>据两位直接了解此事的人士透露，尽管Novavax最近在向美国证券交易委员会提交的季度文件中证实了其一些分析和测试问题，但该公司的问题比之前理解的更令人担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The Food and Drug Administration works out purity levels with each manufacturer according to June 2020 guidance for coronavirus vaccines, but it is generally understood that each vaccine batch should reach at least 90 percent. The company has struggled to attain anywhere close to that, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the people with direct knowledge of the situation said. Another person familiar with the company’s manufacturing process said Novavax has recently shown purity levels hovering around 70 percent. Low purity levels increase the chance that contaminants or unnecessary substances are in the final product, rendering the vaccine less effective or introducing the chance that patients could react to unknown ingredients.</p><p><blockquote>美国食品药品监督管理局根据2020年6月的冠状病毒疫苗指南，与每个制造商一起制定纯度水平，但普遍认为每个疫苗批次应至少达到90%。该公司一直在努力实现这一目标，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>的直接了解情况的人说。另一位熟悉该公司制造工艺的人士表示，Novavax最近的纯度水平徘徊在70%左右。低纯度水平会增加最终产品中存在污染物或不必要物质的机会，从而降低疫苗的有效性或增加患者对未知成分产生反应的机会。</blockquote></p><p> COVAX, which recently downgraded its 2021 goal from 2 billion to 1.425 billion doses, has already estimated that it faces a supply shortfall of as many as 1 billion doses in its effort to vaccinate the developing world. If Novavax falters, it could double the deficit through 2022, leaving hundreds of millions of people without immunity against Covid-19 and extending the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>COVAX最近将2021年的目标从20亿剂下调至14.25亿剂，并已经估计，在为发展中国家接种疫苗的努力中，它面临着多达10亿剂的供应短缺。如果Novavax步履蹒跚，到2022年赤字可能会增加一倍，使数亿人对Covid-19没有免疫力，并延长疫情。</blockquote></p><p> “COVAX continues to be challenged for adequate supply … in that context, Novavax’s manufacturing challenges and delays have been massively disruptive,” said Krishna Udayakumar, director of the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRE\">Duke</a> Global Health Innovation Center.</p><p><blockquote>“COVAX继续面临充足供应的挑战……在这种背景下，Novavax的制造挑战和延误具有巨大的破坏性，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRE\">公爵</a>全球健康创新中心。</blockquote></p><p> The global coalition is already behind on hundreds of millions of planned doses this month, having shipped just 371 million of its 700 million dose target for October. It is now also at risk of missing its already downgraded 2021 target.</p><p><blockquote>全球联盟本月已经落后于数亿剂计划剂量，仅运送了10月份7亿剂目标中的3.71亿剂。它现在还面临着达不到已经下调的2021年目标的风险。</blockquote></p><p> Between Novavax and other manufacturers’ hurdles, “COVAX has had to scramble to revise its supply strategy significantly in real time,” Udayakumar said. As a result, global health groups are emphasizing more donations to cover immediate needs, he added.</p><p><blockquote>在Novavax和其他制造商的障碍之间，“COVAX不得不争先恐后地实时大幅修改其供应策略，”Udayakumar说。他补充说，因此，全球卫生组织强调提供更多捐款来满足眼前的需求。</blockquote></p><p> In a statement, Novavax Senior Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Affairs Silvia Taylor told POLITICO that the company’s analytical testing methods have been “validated” — but did not answer questions about whether the FDA had signed off on them. The company still plans on filing an emergency use authorization by the end of the year, Taylor said.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax投资者关系和公司事务高级副总裁Silvia Taylor在一份声明中告诉POLITICO，该公司的分析测试方法已经过“验证”，但没有回答有关FDA是否已批准这些方法的问题。泰勒说，该公司仍计划在今年年底前提交紧急使用授权。</blockquote></p><p> “The vaccine development and regulatory submission processes are highly complex and often require years to advance to the point where we are now. We will fulfill all of our committed doses both in the US and globally,” Taylor said.</p><p><blockquote>泰勒说：“疫苗开发和监管提交过程非常复杂，通常需要数年时间才能达到我们现在的水平。我们将在美国和全球范围内履行所有承诺的剂量。”</blockquote></p><p> The White House and the Department of Health and Human Services did not respond to multiple requests for comment.</p><p><blockquote>白宫和卫生与公众服务部没有回应多次置评请求。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But three people familiar with the matter said they are not confident that the company has the resources needed to reproduce a high-quality vaccine on a consistent basis — a benchmark Novavax must meet before that time. Those same people said Novavax could potentially fix its manufacturing issues and reach full licensure by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>但三位知情人士表示，他们不相信该公司拥有持续复制高质量疫苗所需的资源——Novavax在此之前必须达到的基准。这些人表示，Novavax可能会解决其制造问题，并在2022年底前获得全面许可。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax — which has never produced a vaccine before — declined to answer specific questions about its product’s purity levels and whether it had been successful in addressing its longstanding manufacturing issues.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax以前从未生产过疫苗，拒绝回答有关其产品纯度水平以及是否成功解决了长期存在的生产问题的具体问题。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> and Moderna, the first manufacturers to launch vaccines using rapidly produced messenger RNA, Novavax is employing the previously used but complicated approach of creating the key ingredient with bug cells. While the process, which involves infecting the cells to produce spike proteins, is familiar to scientists, it is difficult to scale.</p><p><blockquote>不像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>Moderna是第一家使用快速产生的信使RNA推出疫苗的制造商，Novavax正在采用以前使用但复杂的方法，即用细菌细胞制造关键成分。虽然科学家们对感染细胞产生刺突蛋白的过程很熟悉，但很难扩大规模。</blockquote></p><p> The revelations about Novavax’s continued manufacturing problems come at a time when only 36 percent of the world is vaccinated and as leaders of developing nations continue to pressure the U.S. to deliver more doses. In Africa alone, only 4.4 percent of the population is vaccinated.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax持续存在的生产问题被曝光之际，世界上只有36%的人接种了疫苗，而且发展中国家的领导人继续向美国施压，要求其提供更多剂量。仅在非洲，只有4.4%的人口接种了疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> That includes some of the continent’s most populous nations, like Nigeria and Uganda, where about 1 percent of citizens are fully vaccinated.</p><p><blockquote>这包括非洲大陆一些人口最多的国家，如尼日利亚和乌干达，这些国家约有1%的公民完全接种了疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax is just the latest vaccine maker to run into core production problems after promising to serve as a major vaccine contributor to the developing world. In April, Johnson &amp; Johnsonhalted work at a Baltimore facilityrun by contract manufacturer <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBS\">Emergent BioSolutions</a> after it found that 15 million doses had been accidentally contaminated with ingredients from a separate Covid-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax只是最新一家在承诺成为发展中国家主要疫苗供应商后遇到核心生产问题的疫苗制造商。四月，强生公司停止了巴尔的摩一家由合同制造商运营的工厂的工作<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBS\">新兴生物解决方案</a>在发现1500万剂疫苗意外被另一种Covid-19疫苗的成分污染后。</blockquote></p><p> J&amp;J’s manufacturing process has been slow to recover, and to date it has produced just a fraction of the 200 million shots it initially pledged to COVAX by the end of the year, according to records kept by UNICEF.</p><p><blockquote>根据联合国儿童基金会保存的记录，强生公司的生产流程恢复缓慢，迄今为止，该公司仅生产了最初承诺在年底前向COVAX生产的2亿剂疫苗的一小部分。</blockquote></p><p> “Overpromising and underdelivering is the name of the game for these manufacturers,” said Asia Russell, executive director of international advocacy group Health GAP. “And that’s the infrastructure of the global response, which is terrifying.”</p><p><blockquote>国际倡导组织Health GAP的执行董事亚洲·拉塞尔(Asia Russell)表示：“承诺过多而兑现不足是这些制造商的游戏名称。”“这就是全球应对措施的基础设施，这太可怕了。”</blockquote></p><p> Unlike Johnson &amp; Johnson, Novavax is a novice in the vaccine world. It has never successfully launched a vaccine, and had struggled financially prior to the pandemic. After a string of drug development failures, it sold its manufacturing facilities in 2019 — a deal that also included parting with 100 employees. In May of that year, Novavax’s stock price dropped as low as 36 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>与强生不同，Novavax是疫苗界的新手。它从未成功推出过疫苗，并且在大流行之前一直在财务上苦苦挣扎。在经历了一系列药物开发失败后，该公司于2019年出售了其生产设施，这笔交易还包括解雇100名员工。当年5月，Novavax股价曾一度跌至每股36美分。</blockquote></p><p> Yet the company’s fortunes shifted as Covid-19 took hold. Amid a scramble early in the pandemic to develop a range of vaccine candidates, the Trump administration awarded Novavax $1.6 billion to aid work on its Covid-19 shot — the largest deal given to any Covid-19 vaccine maker at that time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着Covid-19的出现，该公司的命运发生了变化。在大流行初期争相开发一系列候选疫苗的过程中，特朗普政府向Novavax提供了16亿美元，以帮助其开发Covid-19疫苗——这是当时向所有Covid-19疫苗制造商提供的最大一笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> The contract represented a major vote of confidence in Novavax’s capabilities — and a bet that appeared to pay off after late-stage trials showed the vaccine was 90 percent effective against the virus.</p><p><blockquote>该合同代表了对Novavax能力的重大信任票，在后期试验显示该疫苗对病毒的有效性为90%后，这一赌注似乎得到了回报。</blockquote></p><p> But even then, senior Trump administration officials on Operation Warp Speed — a group tasked with accelerating vaccine development — repeatedly warned the company that it risked running into problems in scaling up manufacturing of the shot, two people with direct knowledge of those discussions said.</p><p><blockquote>但两名直接了解这些讨论的人士表示，即便如此，负责加速疫苗开发的“曲速行动”（Operation Warp Speed）的特朗普政府高级官员也一再警告该公司，在扩大疫苗生产规模时可能会遇到问题。</blockquote></p><p> In particular, they worried that Novavax would have difficulty ensuring that the vaccine consistently met the FDA’s rigorous quality standards once the vaccine went into mass production — the exact problem that has now stymied the company for months.</p><p><blockquote>他们特别担心，一旦疫苗投入大规模生产，Novavax将难以确保疫苗始终符合FDA严格的质量标准——这正是困扰该公司数月的问题。</blockquote></p><p> “They rushed the process,” one of the people with knowledge of the matter said. “It’s hard to make. And they can’t make it.”</p><p><blockquote>“他们仓促行事，”一位知情人士说。“这很难做到。而且他们也做不到。”</blockquote></p><p> Taylor, the Novavax spokesperson, said in a statement that it has incorporated feedback from regulators and has made “tremendous progress with the scale-up of our commercial manufacturing processes.” The company is still on track to produce 150 million doses a month by the end of the year, she said, and has stockpiled tens of millions of doses ahead of regulatory filings in the U.S. and internationally.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax发言人泰勒在一份声明中表示，该公司已纳入监管机构的反馈，并“在扩大我们的商业制造流程方面取得了巨大进展”。她说，该公司仍有望在今年年底前每月生产1.5亿剂疫苗，并在美国和国际监管机构备案之前储备了数千万剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> Company executives in recent presentations to investors have struck a similarly optimistic tone, downplaying the manufacturing snags and predicting it will soon be cleared to begin distributing doses. During aSept. 29 investor event, Chief Commercial Officer John Trizzino said the company had “resolved” its problems and was close to submitting a final regulatory application.</p><p><blockquote>公司高管在最近给投资者的演讲中也表现出了类似的乐观语气，淡化了制造障碍，并预测很快就会获得批准，开始分发剂量。在aSept期间。29日投资者活动，首席商务官John Trizzino表示，该公司已经“解决”了问题，并接近提交最终监管申请。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re really moving along with testing our lots now,” added Gregory Glenn, president of Novavax’s research and development, referring to batches of its vaccine. “We think that this is shortly going to come to a close.”</p><p><blockquote>Novavax研发总裁格雷戈里·格伦(Gregory Glenn)在谈到其疫苗批次时补充道：“我们现在确实在测试我们的批次。”“我们认为这很快就会结束。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> U.S. officials working with the company are not as confident, according to three people with knowledge of the matter. Novavax’s manufacturing problems are seen as far more difficult to fix than the sanitary and design concerns that halted production of J&amp;J’s vaccine at the Emergent plant earlier this year, those people said.</p><p><blockquote>据三位知情人士透露，与该公司合作的美国官员没有那么自信。这些人士表示，Novavax的制造问题被认为比今年早些时候导致强生在Emergent工厂停止生产疫苗的卫生和设计问题更难解决。</blockquote></p><p> And even as the company begins to seek regulatory approval in other countries, there remains doubt in the U.S. that it has solved the fundamental vaccine purity flaws that the people with knowledge said have affected its ability to make doses at plants around the world.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司开始在其他国家寻求监管部门的批准，但美国仍怀疑该公司是否解决了根本的疫苗纯度缺陷，知情人士称，这些缺陷影响了该公司在世界各地工厂生产疫苗的能力。</blockquote></p><p> Several vaccine batches have already been discarded, and four people with knowledge of the matter say U.S. officials now no longer expect the company to win FDA sign-off on the vaccine until next year at the earliest.</p><p><blockquote>几批疫苗已经被丢弃，四名知情人士表示，美国官员现在预计该公司最早要到明年才能获得FDA对疫苗的批准。</blockquote></p><p> “At some level, I think the efficacy was never going to outweigh the risk associated with the impurity that was in there,” said one of the people with knowledge of the matter. “I’m not surprised this is where we are.”</p><p><blockquote>“在某种程度上，我认为功效永远不会超过与其中杂质相关的风险，”一位知情人士说。“我并不惊讶我们会在这里。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>&nbsp;may delay the delivery of 1 billion doses of coronavirus vaccine because of the production problems.</p><p><blockquote>（10月20日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>可能因生产问题推迟10亿剂冠状病毒疫苗的交付。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3995877f1c786d310a457ababf9ee9e\" tg-width=\"1043\" tg-height=\"564\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The world’s vaccine distributor has been counting on U.S. companies to provide more than 2 billion doses to lower and middle-income countries by the end of 2022 — a crucial step in ending the Covid-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>这家全球疫苗分销商一直指望美国公司在2022年底前向中低收入国家提供超过20亿剂疫苗——这是结束Covid-19大流行的关键一步。</blockquote></p><p> But the campaign run by the international consortium known as COVAX, which has already been delayed significantly because of production lags, is now likely to fall short by more than 1 billion doses as a key supplier faces significant hurdles in proving it can manufacture a shot that meets regulators’ quality standards, according to three people with direct knowledge of the company’s problems.</p><p><blockquote>但由名为COVAX的国际联盟发起的活动由于生产滞后而被大幅推迟，现在可能会短缺超过10亿剂，因为一家主要供应商在证明其能够生产疫苗方面面临重大障碍据三位直接了解该公司问题的人士透露，符合监管机构的质量标准。</blockquote></p><p> The delay, which was confirmed by three other people familiar with the discussions between Maryland-based Novavax and the Biden administration, represents a major setback in the effort to vaccinate the world in the wake of new, more transmissible variants.</p><p><blockquote>另外三名熟悉总部位于马里兰州的Novavax和拜登政府之间讨论的人士证实了这一延迟，这代表着在新的、更具传染性的变种出现后，为世界接种疫苗的努力遭遇重大挫折。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. government invested $1.6 billion in Novavax in 2020 — the most it devoted to any vaccine maker at the time — in hopes that it would offer the world another option for a safe and effective vaccine to help protect against Covid-19. But the company has consistently run into production problems. The methods it used to test the purity of the vaccine have fallen short of regulators’ standards and the company has not been able to prove that it can produce a shot that is consistently up to snuff, according to multiple people familiar with Novavax’s difficulties. All spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive company conversations.</p><p><blockquote>美国政府在2020年向Novavax投资了16亿美元，这是当时向所有疫苗制造商投入的最多资金，希望它能为世界提供另一种安全有效的疫苗选择，以帮助预防Covid-19。但该公司一直遇到生产问题。据多位熟悉Novavax困难的人士透露，其用于测试疫苗纯度的方法未达到监管机构的标准，该公司也无法证明其能够生产出始终符合标准的疫苗。所有人都要求匿名，讨论敏感的公司对话。</blockquote></p><p> Although Novavax recently attested to some of its analytics and testing issues in aquarterly filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, the company’s issues are more concerning than previously understood, according to two of the people with direct knowledge of the matter.</p><p><blockquote>据两位直接了解此事的人士透露，尽管Novavax最近在向美国证券交易委员会提交的季度文件中证实了其一些分析和测试问题，但该公司的问题比之前理解的更令人担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The Food and Drug Administration works out purity levels with each manufacturer according to June 2020 guidance for coronavirus vaccines, but it is generally understood that each vaccine batch should reach at least 90 percent. The company has struggled to attain anywhere close to that, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the people with direct knowledge of the situation said. Another person familiar with the company’s manufacturing process said Novavax has recently shown purity levels hovering around 70 percent. Low purity levels increase the chance that contaminants or unnecessary substances are in the final product, rendering the vaccine less effective or introducing the chance that patients could react to unknown ingredients.</p><p><blockquote>美国食品药品监督管理局根据2020年6月的冠状病毒疫苗指南，与每个制造商一起制定纯度水平，但普遍认为每个疫苗批次应至少达到90%。该公司一直在努力实现这一目标，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>的直接了解情况的人说。另一位熟悉该公司制造工艺的人士表示，Novavax最近的纯度水平徘徊在70%左右。低纯度水平会增加最终产品中存在污染物或不必要物质的机会，从而降低疫苗的有效性或增加患者对未知成分产生反应的机会。</blockquote></p><p> COVAX, which recently downgraded its 2021 goal from 2 billion to 1.425 billion doses, has already estimated that it faces a supply shortfall of as many as 1 billion doses in its effort to vaccinate the developing world. If Novavax falters, it could double the deficit through 2022, leaving hundreds of millions of people without immunity against Covid-19 and extending the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>COVAX最近将2021年的目标从20亿剂下调至14.25亿剂，并已经估计，在为发展中国家接种疫苗的努力中，它面临着多达10亿剂的供应短缺。如果Novavax步履蹒跚，到2022年赤字可能会增加一倍，使数亿人对Covid-19没有免疫力，并延长疫情。</blockquote></p><p> “COVAX continues to be challenged for adequate supply … in that context, Novavax’s manufacturing challenges and delays have been massively disruptive,” said Krishna Udayakumar, director of the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRE\">Duke</a> Global Health Innovation Center.</p><p><blockquote>“COVAX继续面临充足供应的挑战……在这种背景下，Novavax的制造挑战和延误具有巨大的破坏性，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRE\">公爵</a>全球健康创新中心。</blockquote></p><p> The global coalition is already behind on hundreds of millions of planned doses this month, having shipped just 371 million of its 700 million dose target for October. It is now also at risk of missing its already downgraded 2021 target.</p><p><blockquote>全球联盟本月已经落后于数亿剂计划剂量，仅运送了10月份7亿剂目标中的3.71亿剂。它现在还面临着达不到已经下调的2021年目标的风险。</blockquote></p><p> Between Novavax and other manufacturers’ hurdles, “COVAX has had to scramble to revise its supply strategy significantly in real time,” Udayakumar said. As a result, global health groups are emphasizing more donations to cover immediate needs, he added.</p><p><blockquote>在Novavax和其他制造商的障碍之间，“COVAX不得不争先恐后地实时大幅修改其供应策略，”Udayakumar说。他补充说，因此，全球卫生组织强调提供更多捐款来满足眼前的需求。</blockquote></p><p> In a statement, Novavax Senior Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Affairs Silvia Taylor told POLITICO that the company’s analytical testing methods have been “validated” — but did not answer questions about whether the FDA had signed off on them. The company still plans on filing an emergency use authorization by the end of the year, Taylor said.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax投资者关系和公司事务高级副总裁Silvia Taylor在一份声明中告诉POLITICO，该公司的分析测试方法已经过“验证”，但没有回答有关FDA是否已批准这些方法的问题。泰勒说，该公司仍计划在今年年底前提交紧急使用授权。</blockquote></p><p> “The vaccine development and regulatory submission processes are highly complex and often require years to advance to the point where we are now. We will fulfill all of our committed doses both in the US and globally,” Taylor said.</p><p><blockquote>泰勒说：“疫苗开发和监管提交过程非常复杂，通常需要数年时间才能达到我们现在的水平。我们将在美国和全球范围内履行所有承诺的剂量。”</blockquote></p><p> The White House and the Department of Health and Human Services did not respond to multiple requests for comment.</p><p><blockquote>白宫和卫生与公众服务部没有回应多次置评请求。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But three people familiar with the matter said they are not confident that the company has the resources needed to reproduce a high-quality vaccine on a consistent basis — a benchmark Novavax must meet before that time. Those same people said Novavax could potentially fix its manufacturing issues and reach full licensure by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>但三位知情人士表示，他们不相信该公司拥有持续复制高质量疫苗所需的资源——Novavax在此之前必须达到的基准。这些人表示，Novavax可能会解决其制造问题，并在2022年底前获得全面许可。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax — which has never produced a vaccine before — declined to answer specific questions about its product’s purity levels and whether it had been successful in addressing its longstanding manufacturing issues.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax以前从未生产过疫苗，拒绝回答有关其产品纯度水平以及是否成功解决了长期存在的生产问题的具体问题。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> and Moderna, the first manufacturers to launch vaccines using rapidly produced messenger RNA, Novavax is employing the previously used but complicated approach of creating the key ingredient with bug cells. While the process, which involves infecting the cells to produce spike proteins, is familiar to scientists, it is difficult to scale.</p><p><blockquote>不像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>Moderna是第一家使用快速产生的信使RNA推出疫苗的制造商，Novavax正在采用以前使用但复杂的方法，即用细菌细胞制造关键成分。虽然科学家们对感染细胞产生刺突蛋白的过程很熟悉，但很难扩大规模。</blockquote></p><p> The revelations about Novavax’s continued manufacturing problems come at a time when only 36 percent of the world is vaccinated and as leaders of developing nations continue to pressure the U.S. to deliver more doses. In Africa alone, only 4.4 percent of the population is vaccinated.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax持续存在的生产问题被曝光之际，世界上只有36%的人接种了疫苗，而且发展中国家的领导人继续向美国施压，要求其提供更多剂量。仅在非洲，只有4.4%的人口接种了疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> That includes some of the continent’s most populous nations, like Nigeria and Uganda, where about 1 percent of citizens are fully vaccinated.</p><p><blockquote>这包括非洲大陆一些人口最多的国家，如尼日利亚和乌干达，这些国家约有1%的公民完全接种了疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax is just the latest vaccine maker to run into core production problems after promising to serve as a major vaccine contributor to the developing world. In April, Johnson &amp; Johnsonhalted work at a Baltimore facilityrun by contract manufacturer <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBS\">Emergent BioSolutions</a> after it found that 15 million doses had been accidentally contaminated with ingredients from a separate Covid-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax只是最新一家在承诺成为发展中国家主要疫苗供应商后遇到核心生产问题的疫苗制造商。四月，强生公司停止了巴尔的摩一家由合同制造商运营的工厂的工作<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBS\">新兴生物解决方案</a>在发现1500万剂疫苗意外被另一种Covid-19疫苗的成分污染后。</blockquote></p><p> J&amp;J’s manufacturing process has been slow to recover, and to date it has produced just a fraction of the 200 million shots it initially pledged to COVAX by the end of the year, according to records kept by UNICEF.</p><p><blockquote>根据联合国儿童基金会保存的记录，强生公司的生产流程恢复缓慢，迄今为止，该公司仅生产了最初承诺在年底前向COVAX生产的2亿剂疫苗的一小部分。</blockquote></p><p> “Overpromising and underdelivering is the name of the game for these manufacturers,” said Asia Russell, executive director of international advocacy group Health GAP. “And that’s the infrastructure of the global response, which is terrifying.”</p><p><blockquote>国际倡导组织Health GAP的执行董事亚洲·拉塞尔(Asia Russell)表示：“承诺过多而兑现不足是这些制造商的游戏名称。”“这就是全球应对措施的基础设施，这太可怕了。”</blockquote></p><p> Unlike Johnson &amp; Johnson, Novavax is a novice in the vaccine world. It has never successfully launched a vaccine, and had struggled financially prior to the pandemic. After a string of drug development failures, it sold its manufacturing facilities in 2019 — a deal that also included parting with 100 employees. In May of that year, Novavax’s stock price dropped as low as 36 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>与强生不同，Novavax是疫苗界的新手。它从未成功推出过疫苗，并且在大流行之前一直在财务上苦苦挣扎。在经历了一系列药物开发失败后，该公司于2019年出售了其生产设施，这笔交易还包括解雇100名员工。当年5月，Novavax股价曾一度跌至每股36美分。</blockquote></p><p> Yet the company’s fortunes shifted as Covid-19 took hold. Amid a scramble early in the pandemic to develop a range of vaccine candidates, the Trump administration awarded Novavax $1.6 billion to aid work on its Covid-19 shot — the largest deal given to any Covid-19 vaccine maker at that time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着Covid-19的出现，该公司的命运发生了变化。在大流行初期争相开发一系列候选疫苗的过程中，特朗普政府向Novavax提供了16亿美元，以帮助其开发Covid-19疫苗——这是当时向所有Covid-19疫苗制造商提供的最大一笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> The contract represented a major vote of confidence in Novavax’s capabilities — and a bet that appeared to pay off after late-stage trials showed the vaccine was 90 percent effective against the virus.</p><p><blockquote>该合同代表了对Novavax能力的重大信任票，在后期试验显示该疫苗对病毒的有效性为90%后，这一赌注似乎得到了回报。</blockquote></p><p> But even then, senior Trump administration officials on Operation Warp Speed — a group tasked with accelerating vaccine development — repeatedly warned the company that it risked running into problems in scaling up manufacturing of the shot, two people with direct knowledge of those discussions said.</p><p><blockquote>但两名直接了解这些讨论的人士表示，即便如此，负责加速疫苗开发的“曲速行动”（Operation Warp Speed）的特朗普政府高级官员也一再警告该公司，在扩大疫苗生产规模时可能会遇到问题。</blockquote></p><p> In particular, they worried that Novavax would have difficulty ensuring that the vaccine consistently met the FDA’s rigorous quality standards once the vaccine went into mass production — the exact problem that has now stymied the company for months.</p><p><blockquote>他们特别担心，一旦疫苗投入大规模生产，Novavax将难以确保疫苗始终符合FDA严格的质量标准——这正是困扰该公司数月的问题。</blockquote></p><p> “They rushed the process,” one of the people with knowledge of the matter said. “It’s hard to make. And they can’t make it.”</p><p><blockquote>“他们仓促行事，”一位知情人士说。“这很难做到。而且他们也做不到。”</blockquote></p><p> Taylor, the Novavax spokesperson, said in a statement that it has incorporated feedback from regulators and has made “tremendous progress with the scale-up of our commercial manufacturing processes.” The company is still on track to produce 150 million doses a month by the end of the year, she said, and has stockpiled tens of millions of doses ahead of regulatory filings in the U.S. and internationally.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax发言人泰勒在一份声明中表示，该公司已纳入监管机构的反馈，并“在扩大我们的商业制造流程方面取得了巨大进展”。她说，该公司仍有望在今年年底前每月生产1.5亿剂疫苗，并在美国和国际监管机构备案之前储备了数千万剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> Company executives in recent presentations to investors have struck a similarly optimistic tone, downplaying the manufacturing snags and predicting it will soon be cleared to begin distributing doses. During aSept. 29 investor event, Chief Commercial Officer John Trizzino said the company had “resolved” its problems and was close to submitting a final regulatory application.</p><p><blockquote>公司高管在最近给投资者的演讲中也表现出了类似的乐观语气，淡化了制造障碍，并预测很快就会获得批准，开始分发剂量。在aSept期间。29日投资者活动，首席商务官John Trizzino表示，该公司已经“解决”了问题，并接近提交最终监管申请。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re really moving along with testing our lots now,” added Gregory Glenn, president of Novavax’s research and development, referring to batches of its vaccine. “We think that this is shortly going to come to a close.”</p><p><blockquote>Novavax研发总裁格雷戈里·格伦(Gregory Glenn)在谈到其疫苗批次时补充道：“我们现在确实在测试我们的批次。”“我们认为这很快就会结束。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> U.S. officials working with the company are not as confident, according to three people with knowledge of the matter. Novavax’s manufacturing problems are seen as far more difficult to fix than the sanitary and design concerns that halted production of J&amp;J’s vaccine at the Emergent plant earlier this year, those people said.</p><p><blockquote>据三位知情人士透露，与该公司合作的美国官员没有那么自信。这些人士表示，Novavax的制造问题被认为比今年早些时候导致强生在Emergent工厂停止生产疫苗的卫生和设计问题更难解决。</blockquote></p><p> And even as the company begins to seek regulatory approval in other countries, there remains doubt in the U.S. that it has solved the fundamental vaccine purity flaws that the people with knowledge said have affected its ability to make doses at plants around the world.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司开始在其他国家寻求监管部门的批准，但美国仍怀疑该公司是否解决了根本的疫苗纯度缺陷，知情人士称，这些缺陷影响了该公司在世界各地工厂生产疫苗的能力。</blockquote></p><p> Several vaccine batches have already been discarded, and four people with knowledge of the matter say U.S. officials now no longer expect the company to win FDA sign-off on the vaccine until next year at the earliest.</p><p><blockquote>几批疫苗已经被丢弃，四名知情人士表示，美国官员现在预计该公司最早要到明年才能获得FDA对疫苗的批准。</blockquote></p><p> “At some level, I think the efficacy was never going to outweigh the risk associated with the impurity that was in there,” said one of the people with knowledge of the matter. “I’m not surprised this is where we are.”</p><p><blockquote>“在某种程度上，我认为功效永远不会超过与其中杂质相关的风险，”一位知情人士说。“我并不惊讶我们会在这里。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174375951","content_text":"(Oct 20)  Novavax may delay the delivery of 1 billion doses of coronavirus vaccine because of the production problems.\nThe world’s vaccine distributor has been counting on U.S. companies to provide more than 2 billion doses to lower and middle-income countries by the end of 2022 — a crucial step in ending the Covid-19 pandemic.\nBut the campaign run by the international consortium known as COVAX, which has already been delayed significantly because of production lags, is now likely to fall short by more than 1 billion doses as a key supplier faces significant hurdles in proving it can manufacture a shot that meets regulators’ quality standards, according to three people with direct knowledge of the company’s problems.\nThe delay, which was confirmed by three other people familiar with the discussions between Maryland-based Novavax and the Biden administration, represents a major setback in the effort to vaccinate the world in the wake of new, more transmissible variants.\nThe U.S. government invested $1.6 billion in Novavax in 2020 — the most it devoted to any vaccine maker at the time — in hopes that it would offer the world another option for a safe and effective vaccine to help protect against Covid-19. But the company has consistently run into production problems. The methods it used to test the purity of the vaccine have fallen short of regulators’ standards and the company has not been able to prove that it can produce a shot that is consistently up to snuff, according to multiple people familiar with Novavax’s difficulties. All spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive company conversations.\nAlthough Novavax recently attested to some of its analytics and testing issues in aquarterly filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, the company’s issues are more concerning than previously understood, according to two of the people with direct knowledge of the matter.\nThe Food and Drug Administration works out purity levels with each manufacturer according to June 2020 guidance for coronavirus vaccines, but it is generally understood that each vaccine batch should reach at least 90 percent. The company has struggled to attain anywhere close to that, one of the people with direct knowledge of the situation said. Another person familiar with the company’s manufacturing process said Novavax has recently shown purity levels hovering around 70 percent. Low purity levels increase the chance that contaminants or unnecessary substances are in the final product, rendering the vaccine less effective or introducing the chance that patients could react to unknown ingredients.\nCOVAX, which recently downgraded its 2021 goal from 2 billion to 1.425 billion doses, has already estimated that it faces a supply shortfall of as many as 1 billion doses in its effort to vaccinate the developing world. If Novavax falters, it could double the deficit through 2022, leaving hundreds of millions of people without immunity against Covid-19 and extending the pandemic.\n“COVAX continues to be challenged for adequate supply … in that context, Novavax’s manufacturing challenges and delays have been massively disruptive,” said Krishna Udayakumar, director of the Duke Global Health Innovation Center.\nThe global coalition is already behind on hundreds of millions of planned doses this month, having shipped just 371 million of its 700 million dose target for October. It is now also at risk of missing its already downgraded 2021 target.\nBetween Novavax and other manufacturers’ hurdles, “COVAX has had to scramble to revise its supply strategy significantly in real time,” Udayakumar said. As a result, global health groups are emphasizing more donations to cover immediate needs, he added.\nIn a statement, Novavax Senior Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Affairs Silvia Taylor told POLITICO that the company’s analytical testing methods have been “validated” — but did not answer questions about whether the FDA had signed off on them. The company still plans on filing an emergency use authorization by the end of the year, Taylor said.\n“The vaccine development and regulatory submission processes are highly complex and often require years to advance to the point where we are now. We will fulfill all of our committed doses both in the US and globally,” Taylor said.\nThe White House and the Department of Health and Human Services did not respond to multiple requests for comment.\nBut three people familiar with the matter said they are not confident that the company has the resources needed to reproduce a high-quality vaccine on a consistent basis — a benchmark Novavax must meet before that time. Those same people said Novavax could potentially fix its manufacturing issues and reach full licensure by the end of 2022.\nNovavax — which has never produced a vaccine before — declined to answer specific questions about its product’s purity levels and whether it had been successful in addressing its longstanding manufacturing issues.\nUnlike Pfizer and Moderna, the first manufacturers to launch vaccines using rapidly produced messenger RNA, Novavax is employing the previously used but complicated approach of creating the key ingredient with bug cells. While the process, which involves infecting the cells to produce spike proteins, is familiar to scientists, it is difficult to scale.\nThe revelations about Novavax’s continued manufacturing problems come at a time when only 36 percent of the world is vaccinated and as leaders of developing nations continue to pressure the U.S. to deliver more doses. In Africa alone, only 4.4 percent of the population is vaccinated.\nThat includes some of the continent’s most populous nations, like Nigeria and Uganda, where about 1 percent of citizens are fully vaccinated.\nNovavax is just the latest vaccine maker to run into core production problems after promising to serve as a major vaccine contributor to the developing world. In April, Johnson & Johnsonhalted work at a Baltimore facilityrun by contract manufacturer Emergent BioSolutions after it found that 15 million doses had been accidentally contaminated with ingredients from a separate Covid-19 vaccine.\nJ&J’s manufacturing process has been slow to recover, and to date it has produced just a fraction of the 200 million shots it initially pledged to COVAX by the end of the year, according to records kept by UNICEF.\n“Overpromising and underdelivering is the name of the game for these manufacturers,” said Asia Russell, executive director of international advocacy group Health GAP. “And that’s the infrastructure of the global response, which is terrifying.”\nUnlike Johnson & Johnson, Novavax is a novice in the vaccine world. It has never successfully launched a vaccine, and had struggled financially prior to the pandemic. After a string of drug development failures, it sold its manufacturing facilities in 2019 — a deal that also included parting with 100 employees. In May of that year, Novavax’s stock price dropped as low as 36 cents per share.\nYet the company’s fortunes shifted as Covid-19 took hold. Amid a scramble early in the pandemic to develop a range of vaccine candidates, the Trump administration awarded Novavax $1.6 billion to aid work on its Covid-19 shot — the largest deal given to any Covid-19 vaccine maker at that time.\nThe contract represented a major vote of confidence in Novavax’s capabilities — and a bet that appeared to pay off after late-stage trials showed the vaccine was 90 percent effective against the virus.\nBut even then, senior Trump administration officials on Operation Warp Speed — a group tasked with accelerating vaccine development — repeatedly warned the company that it risked running into problems in scaling up manufacturing of the shot, two people with direct knowledge of those discussions said.\nIn particular, they worried that Novavax would have difficulty ensuring that the vaccine consistently met the FDA’s rigorous quality standards once the vaccine went into mass production — the exact problem that has now stymied the company for months.\n“They rushed the process,” one of the people with knowledge of the matter said. “It’s hard to make. And they can’t make it.”\nTaylor, the Novavax spokesperson, said in a statement that it has incorporated feedback from regulators and has made “tremendous progress with the scale-up of our commercial manufacturing processes.” The company is still on track to produce 150 million doses a month by the end of the year, she said, and has stockpiled tens of millions of doses ahead of regulatory filings in the U.S. and internationally.\nCompany executives in recent presentations to investors have struck a similarly optimistic tone, downplaying the manufacturing snags and predicting it will soon be cleared to begin distributing doses. During aSept. 29 investor event, Chief Commercial Officer John Trizzino said the company had “resolved” its problems and was close to submitting a final regulatory application.\n“We’re really moving along with testing our lots now,” added Gregory Glenn, president of Novavax’s research and development, referring to batches of its vaccine. “We think that this is shortly going to come to a close.”\nU.S. officials working with the company are not as confident, according to three people with knowledge of the matter. Novavax’s manufacturing problems are seen as far more difficult to fix than the sanitary and design concerns that halted production of J&J’s vaccine at the Emergent plant earlier this year, those people said.\nAnd even as the company begins to seek regulatory approval in other countries, there remains doubt in the U.S. that it has solved the fundamental vaccine purity flaws that the people with knowledge said have affected its ability to make doses at plants around the world.\nSeveral vaccine batches have already been discarded, and four people with knowledge of the matter say U.S. officials now no longer expect the company to win FDA sign-off on the vaccine until next year at the earliest.\n“At some level, I think the efficacy was never going to outweigh the risk associated with the impurity that was in there,” said one of the people with knowledge of the matter. “I’m not surprised this is where we are.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVAX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827877371,"gmtCreate":1634451597434,"gmtModify":1634451597613,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Short term supply bottlenecks&nbsp;could limit Amazon year end sales.&nbsp;","listText":"Short term supply bottlenecks&nbsp;could limit Amazon year end sales.&nbsp;","text":"Short term supply bottlenecks could limit Amazon year end sales.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827877371","repostId":"1132582737","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132582737","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634311475,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132582737?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan On Amazon Stock: 29% Upside Potential<blockquote>摩根大通看好亚马逊股票：29%的上涨潜力</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132582737","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Amazon stock has fallen victim of its own success: shares of the e-commerce giant have lagged the S&","content":"<p>Amazon stock has fallen victim of its own success: shares of the e-commerce giant have lagged the S&amp;P 500 since its disappointing Q2 earnings day. But JPMorgan is optimistic and sees upside ahead.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊股票已成为其自身成功的受害者：自令人失望的第二季度财报日以来，这家电子商务巨头的股价一直落后于标普500。但摩根大通持乐观态度，并看到了未来的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Since the release of Amazon’s most recent earnings report, investors have watched shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant tank by 11%. Amazon stock&nbsp;underperformed an already weak S&amp;P 500 by three percentage points over the period, leaving some to question: is AMZN still a good investment?</p><p><blockquote>自亚马逊最新财报发布以来，投资者关注这家云和电子商务巨头的股价下跌了11%。在此期间，亚马逊股票的表现落后于本已疲软的标普500三个百分点，这让一些人质疑：亚马逊仍然是一项好的投资吗？</blockquote></p><p> According to experts at JPMorgan (JPM), the answer is yes. Today, the Amazon Maven presents the main reasons why five-star&nbsp;rated&nbsp;analyst Doug Anmuth believes that Amazon stock is about to surge, producing an estimated 29% in gains through 2022.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通（JPM）专家表示，答案是肯定的。今天，亚马逊专家介绍了五星级分析师Doug Anmuth认为亚马逊股票即将飙升的主要原因，预计到2022年将上涨29%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c8e5f4ca5aa3dba7bef61858521bd17\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: J.P. Morgan offices in Hong Kong.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：摩根大通香港办事处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Getting back on track</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回到正轨</b></blockquote></p><p> As the&nbsp;Amazon Maven mentioned&nbsp;recently, the impact of the pandemic on shopping habits led analysts to overestimate Amazon’s revenues for the current year. This is the very first reason why JPMorgan&nbsp;believes&nbsp;that AMZN will get a green light to climb again: “[the stock is heading] closer to the last quarter of difficult COVID-19 comps in the first quarter of 2022\", which should help to reset sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>正如亚马逊专家最近提到的，疫情对购物习惯的影响导致分析师高估了亚马逊今年的收入。这就是摩根大通认为AMZN将获得再次攀升的第一个原因：“[该股正在]接近2022年第一季度困难的COVID-19比较的最后一个季度”，这应该有助于重置情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Once 2020 results are left in the rearview mirror, the e-commerce company will face more realistic, non-pandemic-inflated projections. As mentioned by Mr. Anmuth himself, \"further downward revisions to 2022 profit estimates would help lower the bar and potentially create more of a clearing event”.</p><p><blockquote>一旦2020年的业绩成为过去，这家电子商务公司将面临更现实、非疫情夸大的预测。正如Anmuth先生本人所提到的，“进一步下调2022年利润预期将有助于降低门槛，并可能引发更多清算事件”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Holiday upside</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假日上行空间</b></blockquote></p><p> Another reason why Mr. Anmuth believes Amazon stock will head higher is the beginning of the holiday season. Since the market has been so cautious towards AMZN lately, the stock has been trading at lower multiples than would otherwise be considered reasonable. The holidays, on the other hand, could be the bullish catalyst that investors need to own the stock again.</p><p><blockquote>安穆斯认为亚马逊股价将走高的另一个原因是假期的开始。由于市场最近对亚马逊非常谨慎，该股的市盈率一直低于合理的市盈率。另一方面，假期可能是投资者需要再次持有该股的看涨催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, there is the potential for an increase in Prime subscription price in 2022. Considering an estimated 150 million US Prime members in 2021, a $20 dollar hike in annual fee would lead to an extra $3 billion heading towards Amazon’s coffers.</p><p><blockquote>最后，2022年Prime订阅价格有可能上涨。考虑到2021年估计有1.5亿美国Prime会员，年费上涨20美元将导致亚马逊的金库额外增加30亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> At first glance, the figure may not seem like much, given Amazon’s revenues of $380 billion in 2020. However, keep in mind that nearly all the price increase would flow cleanly into Amazon’s operating income. On a 2020 basis, this would represent growth of nearly 15% in pre-tax profits.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，考虑到亚马逊2020年的收入为3800亿美元，这个数字似乎并不多。然而，请记住，几乎所有的价格上涨都会干净地流入亚马逊的营业收入。以2020年为基础，这将意味着税前利润增长近15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What do other experts say?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他专家怎么说？</b></blockquote></p><p> Other reports published recently also support the bullish thesis. Mark Mahaney from Evercore ISI&nbsp;talked&nbsp;to 15 industry experts, including former Amazon employees, during the research firm’s Amazon Day Symposium. The analyst liked what he saw and issued a hefty $4,700 target price.</p><p><blockquote>最近发表的其他报告也支持看涨论点。Evercore ISI的Mark Mahaney在该研究公司的亚马逊日研讨会上与15名行业专家进行了交谈，其中包括前亚马逊员工。这位分析师很喜欢他所看到的，并给出了4,700美元的高额目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfe Research’s Deepak Mathivanan, on the other hand,lowered&nbsp;his price target on AMZN modestly to $3,850 from $3,900, despite maintaining an outperform rating. Sitting closer to the consensus price target is Goldman Sachs’ Eric Sheridan, who is bullish and&nbsp;believes&nbsp;that AMZN shares are worth $4,250.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，Wolfe Research的Deepak Mathivanan将AMZN的目标价从3,900美元小幅下调至3,850美元，尽管维持跑赢大盘评级。高盛(Goldman Sachs)的埃里克·谢里丹(Eric Sheridan)更接近共识目标价，他看好AMZN股票价值4,250美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan On Amazon Stock: 29% Upside Potential<blockquote>摩根大通看好亚马逊股票：29%的上涨潜力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan On Amazon Stock: 29% Upside Potential<blockquote>摩根大通看好亚马逊股票：29%的上涨潜力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-15 23:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amazon stock has fallen victim of its own success: shares of the e-commerce giant have lagged the S&amp;P 500 since its disappointing Q2 earnings day. But JPMorgan is optimistic and sees upside ahead.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊股票已成为其自身成功的受害者：自令人失望的第二季度财报日以来，这家电子商务巨头的股价一直落后于标普500。但摩根大通持乐观态度，并看到了未来的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Since the release of Amazon’s most recent earnings report, investors have watched shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant tank by 11%. Amazon stock&nbsp;underperformed an already weak S&amp;P 500 by three percentage points over the period, leaving some to question: is AMZN still a good investment?</p><p><blockquote>自亚马逊最新财报发布以来，投资者关注这家云和电子商务巨头的股价下跌了11%。在此期间，亚马逊股票的表现落后于本已疲软的标普500三个百分点，这让一些人质疑：亚马逊仍然是一项好的投资吗？</blockquote></p><p> According to experts at JPMorgan (JPM), the answer is yes. Today, the Amazon Maven presents the main reasons why five-star&nbsp;rated&nbsp;analyst Doug Anmuth believes that Amazon stock is about to surge, producing an estimated 29% in gains through 2022.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通（JPM）专家表示，答案是肯定的。今天，亚马逊专家介绍了五星级分析师Doug Anmuth认为亚马逊股票即将飙升的主要原因，预计到2022年将上涨29%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c8e5f4ca5aa3dba7bef61858521bd17\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: J.P. Morgan offices in Hong Kong.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：摩根大通香港办事处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Getting back on track</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回到正轨</b></blockquote></p><p> As the&nbsp;Amazon Maven mentioned&nbsp;recently, the impact of the pandemic on shopping habits led analysts to overestimate Amazon’s revenues for the current year. This is the very first reason why JPMorgan&nbsp;believes&nbsp;that AMZN will get a green light to climb again: “[the stock is heading] closer to the last quarter of difficult COVID-19 comps in the first quarter of 2022\", which should help to reset sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>正如亚马逊专家最近提到的，疫情对购物习惯的影响导致分析师高估了亚马逊今年的收入。这就是摩根大通认为AMZN将获得再次攀升的第一个原因：“[该股正在]接近2022年第一季度困难的COVID-19比较的最后一个季度”，这应该有助于重置情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Once 2020 results are left in the rearview mirror, the e-commerce company will face more realistic, non-pandemic-inflated projections. As mentioned by Mr. Anmuth himself, \"further downward revisions to 2022 profit estimates would help lower the bar and potentially create more of a clearing event”.</p><p><blockquote>一旦2020年的业绩成为过去，这家电子商务公司将面临更现实、非疫情夸大的预测。正如Anmuth先生本人所提到的，“进一步下调2022年利润预期将有助于降低门槛，并可能引发更多清算事件”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Holiday upside</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假日上行空间</b></blockquote></p><p> Another reason why Mr. Anmuth believes Amazon stock will head higher is the beginning of the holiday season. Since the market has been so cautious towards AMZN lately, the stock has been trading at lower multiples than would otherwise be considered reasonable. The holidays, on the other hand, could be the bullish catalyst that investors need to own the stock again.</p><p><blockquote>安穆斯认为亚马逊股价将走高的另一个原因是假期的开始。由于市场最近对亚马逊非常谨慎，该股的市盈率一直低于合理的市盈率。另一方面，假期可能是投资者需要再次持有该股的看涨催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, there is the potential for an increase in Prime subscription price in 2022. Considering an estimated 150 million US Prime members in 2021, a $20 dollar hike in annual fee would lead to an extra $3 billion heading towards Amazon’s coffers.</p><p><blockquote>最后，2022年Prime订阅价格有可能上涨。考虑到2021年估计有1.5亿美国Prime会员，年费上涨20美元将导致亚马逊的金库额外增加30亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> At first glance, the figure may not seem like much, given Amazon’s revenues of $380 billion in 2020. However, keep in mind that nearly all the price increase would flow cleanly into Amazon’s operating income. On a 2020 basis, this would represent growth of nearly 15% in pre-tax profits.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，考虑到亚马逊2020年的收入为3800亿美元，这个数字似乎并不多。然而，请记住，几乎所有的价格上涨都会干净地流入亚马逊的营业收入。以2020年为基础，这将意味着税前利润增长近15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What do other experts say?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他专家怎么说？</b></blockquote></p><p> Other reports published recently also support the bullish thesis. Mark Mahaney from Evercore ISI&nbsp;talked&nbsp;to 15 industry experts, including former Amazon employees, during the research firm’s Amazon Day Symposium. The analyst liked what he saw and issued a hefty $4,700 target price.</p><p><blockquote>最近发表的其他报告也支持看涨论点。Evercore ISI的Mark Mahaney在该研究公司的亚马逊日研讨会上与15名行业专家进行了交谈，其中包括前亚马逊员工。这位分析师很喜欢他所看到的，并给出了4,700美元的高额目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfe Research’s Deepak Mathivanan, on the other hand,lowered&nbsp;his price target on AMZN modestly to $3,850 from $3,900, despite maintaining an outperform rating. Sitting closer to the consensus price target is Goldman Sachs’ Eric Sheridan, who is bullish and&nbsp;believes&nbsp;that AMZN shares are worth $4,250.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，Wolfe Research的Deepak Mathivanan将AMZN的目标价从3,900美元小幅下调至3,850美元，尽管维持跑赢大盘评级。高盛(Goldman Sachs)的埃里克·谢里丹(Eric Sheridan)更接近共识目标价，他看好AMZN股票价值4,250美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/news/jpmorgan-on-amazon-stock-29-upside-potential\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/news/jpmorgan-on-amazon-stock-29-upside-potential","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132582737","content_text":"Amazon stock has fallen victim of its own success: shares of the e-commerce giant have lagged the S&P 500 since its disappointing Q2 earnings day. But JPMorgan is optimistic and sees upside ahead.\nSince the release of Amazon’s most recent earnings report, investors have watched shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant tank by 11%. Amazon stock underperformed an already weak S&P 500 by three percentage points over the period, leaving some to question: is AMZN still a good investment?\nAccording to experts at JPMorgan (JPM), the answer is yes. Today, the Amazon Maven presents the main reasons why five-star rated analyst Doug Anmuth believes that Amazon stock is about to surge, producing an estimated 29% in gains through 2022.\nFigure 1: J.P. Morgan offices in Hong Kong.\nGetting back on track\nAs the Amazon Maven mentioned recently, the impact of the pandemic on shopping habits led analysts to overestimate Amazon’s revenues for the current year. This is the very first reason why JPMorgan believes that AMZN will get a green light to climb again: “[the stock is heading] closer to the last quarter of difficult COVID-19 comps in the first quarter of 2022\", which should help to reset sentiment.\nOnce 2020 results are left in the rearview mirror, the e-commerce company will face more realistic, non-pandemic-inflated projections. As mentioned by Mr. Anmuth himself, \"further downward revisions to 2022 profit estimates would help lower the bar and potentially create more of a clearing event”.\nHoliday upside\nAnother reason why Mr. Anmuth believes Amazon stock will head higher is the beginning of the holiday season. Since the market has been so cautious towards AMZN lately, the stock has been trading at lower multiples than would otherwise be considered reasonable. The holidays, on the other hand, could be the bullish catalyst that investors need to own the stock again.\nLastly, there is the potential for an increase in Prime subscription price in 2022. Considering an estimated 150 million US Prime members in 2021, a $20 dollar hike in annual fee would lead to an extra $3 billion heading towards Amazon’s coffers.\nAt first glance, the figure may not seem like much, given Amazon’s revenues of $380 billion in 2020. However, keep in mind that nearly all the price increase would flow cleanly into Amazon’s operating income. On a 2020 basis, this would represent growth of nearly 15% in pre-tax profits.\nWhat do other experts say?\nOther reports published recently also support the bullish thesis. Mark Mahaney from Evercore ISI talked to 15 industry experts, including former Amazon employees, during the research firm’s Amazon Day Symposium. The analyst liked what he saw and issued a hefty $4,700 target price.\nWolfe Research’s Deepak Mathivanan, on the other hand,lowered his price target on AMZN modestly to $3,850 from $3,900, despite maintaining an outperform rating. Sitting closer to the consensus price target is Goldman Sachs’ Eric Sheridan, who is bullish and believes that AMZN shares are worth $4,250.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":646,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829050777,"gmtCreate":1633444680442,"gmtModify":1633444680558,"author":{"id":"4093410373855950","authorId":"4093410373855950","name":"Humbly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cebd1eb0173a5ad49e43baaa7c0252d8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093410373855950","idStr":"4093410373855950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Since the death of Jobs, we have yet to see another revolutionary product from Apple.&nbsp; Will the Apple car be a revolutionary product or just following on the footsteps of Tesla Motor ?","listText":"Since the death of Jobs, we have yet to see another revolutionary product from Apple.&nbsp; Will the Apple car be a revolutionary product or just following on the footsteps of Tesla Motor ?","text":"Since the death of Jobs, we have yet to see another revolutionary product from Apple. Will the Apple car be a revolutionary product or just following on the footsteps of Tesla Motor ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829050777","repostId":"1116662375","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116662375","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633441259,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116662375?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-05 21:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A decade later, Steve Jobs is still paving Apple’s path to success<blockquote>十年后，史蒂夫·乔布斯仍在为苹果的成功铺平道路</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116662375","media":"macworld","summary":"Time rolls forward, the past recedes, and it all starts to fade, doesn’t it? Ten years ago, Steve Jo","content":"<p>Time rolls forward, the past recedes, and it all starts to fade, doesn’t it? Ten years ago, Steve Jobs died, and at the time Ipondered how he’d be remembered. In the intervening years, his most notable product–Apple itself–has risen to unimaginable levels of power and influence.</p><p><blockquote>时间向前滚动，过去退去，一切都开始褪色，不是吗？十年前，史蒂夫·乔布斯去世了，当时我在想人们会如何记住他。在此期间，他最著名的产品——苹果本身——已经上升到难以想象的权力和影响力水平。</blockquote></p><p> The fact that so much of Apple’s growth has happened since Jobs’s departure hasn’t reduced him at all. It would be relatively easy to argue that the success of Tim Cook’s Apple suggests that, despite everyone’s concern in the late days of 2011, the company actually<i>could</i>go on without Jobs at the helm. But that’s not what anyone thinks. Instead, Jobs is credited for putting Apple on the path that led to it becoming what it is today.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，自乔布斯离开以来，苹果取得了如此大的增长，但这丝毫没有削弱他的实力。可以相对容易地说，蒂姆·库克的苹果的成功表明，尽管2011年末所有人都很担心，但该公司实际上<i>可以</i>没有乔布斯掌舵继续下去。但没人这么想。相反，乔布斯被认为是让苹果走上了今天的道路。</blockquote></p><p> The 10 years before</p><p><blockquote>10年前</blockquote></p><p> On October 5, 2001, 10 years before Jobs passed away, Apple is busy digging itself out of an enormous hole. Jobs returned to the company with the purchase of NeXT in late 1996, assumed the reins of power in mid-1997, and four years later his big accomplishment is mostly that Apple hasn’t gone out of business yet. Thanks to the&nbsp;iMac G3, the company had a financial lifeline that has allowed it to renovate the rest of the Mac product line, get an&nbsp;entirely new Mac OSout the door, and begin&nbsp;expanding into retail.</p><p><blockquote>2001年10月5日，乔布斯去世前10年，苹果正忙着把自己从一个巨大的坑里挖出来。乔布斯于1996年底收购了NeXT，重返公司，并于1997年中期掌权，四年后，他的重大成就主要是苹果尚未倒闭。多亏了iMac G3，该公司有了一条财务生命线，使其能够翻新Mac产品线的其余部分，推出全新的Mac OS，并开始向零售领域扩张。</blockquote></p><p> This is a very different Apple than the one that most people remember, an&nbsp;invisible era&nbsp;where Jobs was furiously throwing ideas at the wall to see what would stick. (A server! Acube-shaped Power Mac!) This Apple was not afraid of failure. It wasn’t afraid of looking foolish. It was, in fact, completely embracing the fact that it would need to keep trying and be willing to fail in order to find where it might succeed.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个与大多数人记忆中截然不同的苹果，一个无形的时代，乔布斯疯狂地向墙上扔想法，看看什么会坚持下去。（一台服务器！立方体形状的Power Mac！）这个苹果不怕失败。它不怕看起来很愚蠢。事实上，它完全接受了这样一个事实，即它需要不断尝试并愿意失败，以便找到它可能成功的地方。</blockquote></p><p> One of those wild ideas ended up saving the company.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个疯狂的想法最终拯救了公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/272cbc070a8abecbfeba42331c92a783\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Apple had been struggling for years. Then the iPod came along to start a string of successes that made the company what it is today.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果多年来一直在挣扎。然后iPod出现了，开始了一系列的成功，使公司成为今天的样子。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ten years before Steve Jobs died, he and his team were putting the finishing touches on the new product they’d be introducing a couple of weeks later. It was another weird idea that was still worth trying–a digital music player so compact that you could carry a thousand songs with you in your pocket.</p><p><blockquote>史蒂夫·乔布斯去世前十年，他和他的团队正在为他们几周后推出的新产品做最后的润色。这是另一个仍然值得一试的奇怪想法——一个如此紧凑的数字音乐播放器，你可以在口袋里随身携带一千首歌曲。</blockquote></p><p> The iMac G3’s sales success might have given Apple a lifeline, but it was the iPod (which has its 20th birthday later this month) that introduced Apple’s brand to countless people who had never,<i>would</i>never consider buying a Mac. And combined with the expanding Apple retail empire–another idea that might have ended in disaster, but didn’t–the iPod turned people on to Apple as a brand, making them consider the Mac as well–and Apple’s fortunes grew.</p><p><blockquote>iMac G3的销售成功可能给了苹果一条生命线，但正是iPod（本月晚些时候将迎来20岁生日）将苹果的品牌介绍给了无数从未接触过的人，<i>将会</i>永远不要考虑买Mac。再加上不断扩张的苹果零售帝国——另一个可能以灾难告终的想法，但没有——iPod让人们对苹果这个品牌产生了兴趣，让他们也考虑Mac——苹果的财富也随之增长。</blockquote></p><p> From there, of course, Apple was on the path to build the iPhone and the iPad, constructing the core trio of products that drive the company even today.</p><p><blockquote>当然，从那时起，苹果就走上了制造iPhone和iPad的道路，构建了推动公司发展的三大核心产品。</blockquote></p><p> The 10 years after</p><p><blockquote>10年后</blockquote></p><p> During Apple’sfinal financial quarter with Jobs as CEO, Apple delivered its best financial quarter ever. The company generated a record $28.6 billion in revenue and a record $7.31 billion in profit. It sold $13.3 billion worth of iPhones, $6 billion worth of iPads, and $5.1 billion worth of Macs.</p><p><blockquote>在乔布斯担任首席执行官的苹果的最后一个财务季度，苹果实现了有史以来最好的财务季度。该公司创造了创纪录的286亿美元收入和创纪录的73.1亿美元利润。它销售了价值133亿美元的iPhone、价值60亿美元的iPad和价值51亿美元的Mac。</blockquote></p><p> Ten years after Jobs left Apple,the resultswere a bit better. Revenue was $81.4 billion, 2.8 times more than the decade-ago quarter. Profit was $21.7 billion, nearly three times the decade-ago total. Apple sold $39.5 billion worth of iPhones (up nearly 3 times), $7.3 billion worth of iPads (up 22 percent), and $8.2 billion worth of Macs (up 61 percent).</p><p><blockquote>乔布斯离开苹果十年后，结果稍微好一点。收入为814亿美元，是十年前季度的2.8倍。利润为217亿美元，几乎是十年前总额的三倍。苹果售出了价值395亿美元的iPhone（增长近3倍）、价值73亿美元的iPad（增长22%）和价值82亿美元的Mac（增长61%）。</blockquote></p><p> Under Tim Cook’s stewardship, Apple has tripled what it makes in an average quarter. It has grown two major new sources of revenue in wearable products (such as Apple Watch and AirPods) and services. Does Tim Cook deserve credit for this? Given how so many experts were convinced that Apple would be utterly adrift without Steve Jobs at the helm, I certainly think so.</p><p><blockquote>在蒂姆·库克的管理下，苹果的平均季度收入增长了两倍。它在可穿戴产品（如苹果手表和AirPods）和服务方面增加了两个主要的新收入来源。蒂姆·库克值得为此受到表扬吗？鉴于如此多的专家确信，如果没有史蒂夫·乔布斯的掌舵，苹果将会完全迷失方向，我当然这么认为。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ff011b19b561e07a75dc6408fdd7251\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Apple has experienced tremendous success since Steve Jobs’ death. Tim Cook deserves all the credit, just as Jobs is viewed as the one who set it all up.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自史蒂夫·乔布斯去世以来，苹果取得了巨大的成功。蒂姆·库克应该得到所有的荣誉，就像乔布斯被认为是这一切的幕后黑手一样。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Just as Apple’s modern corporate culture really owes itself to what Jobs established when he returned to the company in the 1990s, Cook himself was chosen by Jobs as his successor. I think it’s fair to say that Jobs probably saw the trajectory Apple was on and trusted Cook to navigate the company through that growth while also continuing to focus on developing new products and iterating on existing ones.</p><p><blockquote>正如苹果的现代企业文化真正归功于乔布斯上世纪90年代重返公司时建立的东西一样，库克本人也被乔布斯选为继任者。我认为公平地说，乔布斯可能看到了苹果的发展轨迹，并相信库克能够带领公司实现增长，同时继续专注于开发新产品和迭代现有产品。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> So while Cook deserves credit for steering Apple through these waters, Jobs is rightfully viewed as the person who set it all up. The enormous success of Apple in the decade since Jobs died only adds to his legacy.</p><p><blockquote>因此，尽管库克带领苹果渡过这些难关值得称赞，但乔布斯理应被视为这一切的始作俑者。苹果在乔布斯去世后的十年里取得的巨大成功只会增加他的遗产。</blockquote></p><p> But lest we forget, nothing is forever. Apple TV+, a service that Jobs probably wouldn’t have conceived of himself, recently premiered a series based on Isaac Asimov’s “Foundation” book series. “Foundation” is, fundamentally, about one man’s vision of the future–and how one man’s vision is no match for the sweep of history.</p><p><blockquote>但是我们不要忘记，没有什么是永恒的。苹果TV+是乔布斯自己可能不会想到的服务，最近首播了一个基于艾萨克·阿西莫夫“基金会”系列丛书的系列。从根本上说，“基础”是关于一个人对未来的愿景——以及一个人的愿景如何无法与历史的横扫相媲美。</blockquote></p><p> Time does roll forward, and our perceptions of events continue to shift. Events witnessed in person become old stories retold, subject to the limits of our memories and the imperfection of second-hand storytelling. My daughter was born just after the iPod was announced, but before it shipped. She’s about to turn 20. Where does the time go?</p><p><blockquote>时间确实在向前滚动，我们对事件的看法也在不断变化。亲眼目睹的事件变成了旧故事的复述，受制于我们记忆的限制和二手故事的不完善。我的女儿出生在iPod发布后，但在它上市之前。她快20岁了。时间去了哪里？</blockquote></p><p> “Those of us who are lucky enough to grow old and rickety (in a way that, cruelly, Steven Paul Jobs was never allowed to) will say that we saw that man stand upon a stage with a giant Apple logo behind him and introduce a new iconic, world-changing product,”I wrote when Jobs died. “In a hundred years, perhaps he will have been reduced to a caricature.” Maybe so. But we should all be so lucky.</p><p><blockquote>“我们这些幸运地变老、摇摇晃晃的人（史蒂芬·保罗·乔布斯从未被允许这样做）会说，我们看到那个人站在舞台上，身后有一个巨大的苹果标志，并介绍了一个新的标志性的、改变世界的产品，”乔布斯去世时我写道。“一百年后，或许他会沦为一幅漫画。”也许是这样。但我们都应该如此幸运。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1633441374938","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A decade later, Steve Jobs is still paving Apple’s path to success<blockquote>十年后，史蒂夫·乔布斯仍在为苹果的成功铺平道路</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA decade later, Steve Jobs is still paving Apple’s path to success<blockquote>十年后，史蒂夫·乔布斯仍在为苹果的成功铺平道路</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">macworld</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-05 21:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Time rolls forward, the past recedes, and it all starts to fade, doesn’t it? Ten years ago, Steve Jobs died, and at the time Ipondered how he’d be remembered. In the intervening years, his most notable product–Apple itself–has risen to unimaginable levels of power and influence.</p><p><blockquote>时间向前滚动，过去退去，一切都开始褪色，不是吗？十年前，史蒂夫·乔布斯去世了，当时我在想人们会如何记住他。在此期间，他最著名的产品——苹果本身——已经上升到难以想象的权力和影响力水平。</blockquote></p><p> The fact that so much of Apple’s growth has happened since Jobs’s departure hasn’t reduced him at all. It would be relatively easy to argue that the success of Tim Cook’s Apple suggests that, despite everyone’s concern in the late days of 2011, the company actually<i>could</i>go on without Jobs at the helm. But that’s not what anyone thinks. Instead, Jobs is credited for putting Apple on the path that led to it becoming what it is today.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，自乔布斯离开以来，苹果取得了如此大的增长，但这丝毫没有削弱他的实力。可以相对容易地说，蒂姆·库克的苹果的成功表明，尽管2011年末所有人都很担心，但该公司实际上<i>可以</i>没有乔布斯掌舵继续下去。但没人这么想。相反，乔布斯被认为是让苹果走上了今天的道路。</blockquote></p><p> The 10 years before</p><p><blockquote>10年前</blockquote></p><p> On October 5, 2001, 10 years before Jobs passed away, Apple is busy digging itself out of an enormous hole. Jobs returned to the company with the purchase of NeXT in late 1996, assumed the reins of power in mid-1997, and four years later his big accomplishment is mostly that Apple hasn’t gone out of business yet. Thanks to the&nbsp;iMac G3, the company had a financial lifeline that has allowed it to renovate the rest of the Mac product line, get an&nbsp;entirely new Mac OSout the door, and begin&nbsp;expanding into retail.</p><p><blockquote>2001年10月5日，乔布斯去世前10年，苹果正忙着把自己从一个巨大的坑里挖出来。乔布斯于1996年底收购了NeXT，重返公司，并于1997年中期掌权，四年后，他的重大成就主要是苹果尚未倒闭。多亏了iMac G3，该公司有了一条财务生命线，使其能够翻新Mac产品线的其余部分，推出全新的Mac OS，并开始向零售领域扩张。</blockquote></p><p> This is a very different Apple than the one that most people remember, an&nbsp;invisible era&nbsp;where Jobs was furiously throwing ideas at the wall to see what would stick. (A server! Acube-shaped Power Mac!) This Apple was not afraid of failure. It wasn’t afraid of looking foolish. It was, in fact, completely embracing the fact that it would need to keep trying and be willing to fail in order to find where it might succeed.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个与大多数人记忆中截然不同的苹果，一个无形的时代，乔布斯疯狂地向墙上扔想法，看看什么会坚持下去。（一台服务器！立方体形状的Power Mac！）这个苹果不怕失败。它不怕看起来很愚蠢。事实上，它完全接受了这样一个事实，即它需要不断尝试并愿意失败，以便找到它可能成功的地方。</blockquote></p><p> One of those wild ideas ended up saving the company.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个疯狂的想法最终拯救了公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/272cbc070a8abecbfeba42331c92a783\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Apple had been struggling for years. Then the iPod came along to start a string of successes that made the company what it is today.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果多年来一直在挣扎。然后iPod出现了，开始了一系列的成功，使公司成为今天的样子。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ten years before Steve Jobs died, he and his team were putting the finishing touches on the new product they’d be introducing a couple of weeks later. It was another weird idea that was still worth trying–a digital music player so compact that you could carry a thousand songs with you in your pocket.</p><p><blockquote>史蒂夫·乔布斯去世前十年，他和他的团队正在为他们几周后推出的新产品做最后的润色。这是另一个仍然值得一试的奇怪想法——一个如此紧凑的数字音乐播放器，你可以在口袋里随身携带一千首歌曲。</blockquote></p><p> The iMac G3’s sales success might have given Apple a lifeline, but it was the iPod (which has its 20th birthday later this month) that introduced Apple’s brand to countless people who had never,<i>would</i>never consider buying a Mac. And combined with the expanding Apple retail empire–another idea that might have ended in disaster, but didn’t–the iPod turned people on to Apple as a brand, making them consider the Mac as well–and Apple’s fortunes grew.</p><p><blockquote>iMac G3的销售成功可能给了苹果一条生命线，但正是iPod（本月晚些时候将迎来20岁生日）将苹果的品牌介绍给了无数从未接触过的人，<i>将会</i>永远不要考虑买Mac。再加上不断扩张的苹果零售帝国——另一个可能以灾难告终的想法，但没有——iPod让人们对苹果这个品牌产生了兴趣，让他们也考虑Mac——苹果的财富也随之增长。</blockquote></p><p> From there, of course, Apple was on the path to build the iPhone and the iPad, constructing the core trio of products that drive the company even today.</p><p><blockquote>当然，从那时起，苹果就走上了制造iPhone和iPad的道路，构建了推动公司发展的三大核心产品。</blockquote></p><p> The 10 years after</p><p><blockquote>10年后</blockquote></p><p> During Apple’sfinal financial quarter with Jobs as CEO, Apple delivered its best financial quarter ever. The company generated a record $28.6 billion in revenue and a record $7.31 billion in profit. It sold $13.3 billion worth of iPhones, $6 billion worth of iPads, and $5.1 billion worth of Macs.</p><p><blockquote>在乔布斯担任首席执行官的苹果的最后一个财务季度，苹果实现了有史以来最好的财务季度。该公司创造了创纪录的286亿美元收入和创纪录的73.1亿美元利润。它销售了价值133亿美元的iPhone、价值60亿美元的iPad和价值51亿美元的Mac。</blockquote></p><p> Ten years after Jobs left Apple,the resultswere a bit better. Revenue was $81.4 billion, 2.8 times more than the decade-ago quarter. Profit was $21.7 billion, nearly three times the decade-ago total. Apple sold $39.5 billion worth of iPhones (up nearly 3 times), $7.3 billion worth of iPads (up 22 percent), and $8.2 billion worth of Macs (up 61 percent).</p><p><blockquote>乔布斯离开苹果十年后，结果稍微好一点。收入为814亿美元，是十年前季度的2.8倍。利润为217亿美元，几乎是十年前总额的三倍。苹果售出了价值395亿美元的iPhone（增长近3倍）、价值73亿美元的iPad（增长22%）和价值82亿美元的Mac（增长61%）。</blockquote></p><p> Under Tim Cook’s stewardship, Apple has tripled what it makes in an average quarter. It has grown two major new sources of revenue in wearable products (such as Apple Watch and AirPods) and services. Does Tim Cook deserve credit for this? Given how so many experts were convinced that Apple would be utterly adrift without Steve Jobs at the helm, I certainly think so.</p><p><blockquote>在蒂姆·库克的管理下，苹果的平均季度收入增长了两倍。它在可穿戴产品（如苹果手表和AirPods）和服务方面增加了两个主要的新收入来源。蒂姆·库克值得为此受到表扬吗？鉴于如此多的专家确信，如果没有史蒂夫·乔布斯的掌舵，苹果将会完全迷失方向，我当然这么认为。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ff011b19b561e07a75dc6408fdd7251\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Apple has experienced tremendous success since Steve Jobs’ death. Tim Cook deserves all the credit, just as Jobs is viewed as the one who set it all up.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自史蒂夫·乔布斯去世以来，苹果取得了巨大的成功。蒂姆·库克应该得到所有的荣誉，就像乔布斯被认为是这一切的幕后黑手一样。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Just as Apple’s modern corporate culture really owes itself to what Jobs established when he returned to the company in the 1990s, Cook himself was chosen by Jobs as his successor. I think it’s fair to say that Jobs probably saw the trajectory Apple was on and trusted Cook to navigate the company through that growth while also continuing to focus on developing new products and iterating on existing ones.</p><p><blockquote>正如苹果的现代企业文化真正归功于乔布斯上世纪90年代重返公司时建立的东西一样，库克本人也被乔布斯选为继任者。我认为公平地说，乔布斯可能看到了苹果的发展轨迹，并相信库克能够带领公司实现增长，同时继续专注于开发新产品和迭代现有产品。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> So while Cook deserves credit for steering Apple through these waters, Jobs is rightfully viewed as the person who set it all up. The enormous success of Apple in the decade since Jobs died only adds to his legacy.</p><p><blockquote>因此，尽管库克带领苹果渡过这些难关值得称赞，但乔布斯理应被视为这一切的始作俑者。苹果在乔布斯去世后的十年里取得的巨大成功只会增加他的遗产。</blockquote></p><p> But lest we forget, nothing is forever. Apple TV+, a service that Jobs probably wouldn’t have conceived of himself, recently premiered a series based on Isaac Asimov’s “Foundation” book series. “Foundation” is, fundamentally, about one man’s vision of the future–and how one man’s vision is no match for the sweep of history.</p><p><blockquote>但是我们不要忘记，没有什么是永恒的。苹果TV+是乔布斯自己可能不会想到的服务，最近首播了一个基于艾萨克·阿西莫夫“基金会”系列丛书的系列。从根本上说，“基础”是关于一个人对未来的愿景——以及一个人的愿景如何无法与历史的横扫相媲美。</blockquote></p><p> Time does roll forward, and our perceptions of events continue to shift. Events witnessed in person become old stories retold, subject to the limits of our memories and the imperfection of second-hand storytelling. My daughter was born just after the iPod was announced, but before it shipped. She’s about to turn 20. Where does the time go?</p><p><blockquote>时间确实在向前滚动，我们对事件的看法也在不断变化。亲眼目睹的事件变成了旧故事的复述，受制于我们记忆的限制和二手故事的不完善。我的女儿出生在iPod发布后，但在它上市之前。她快20岁了。时间去了哪里？</blockquote></p><p> “Those of us who are lucky enough to grow old and rickety (in a way that, cruelly, Steven Paul Jobs was never allowed to) will say that we saw that man stand upon a stage with a giant Apple logo behind him and introduce a new iconic, world-changing product,”I wrote when Jobs died. “In a hundred years, perhaps he will have been reduced to a caricature.” Maybe so. But we should all be so lucky.</p><p><blockquote>“我们这些幸运地变老、摇摇晃晃的人（史蒂芬·保罗·乔布斯从未被允许这样做）会说，我们看到那个人站在舞台上，身后有一个巨大的苹果标志，并介绍了一个新的标志性的、改变世界的产品，”乔布斯去世时我写道。“一百年后，或许他会沦为一幅漫画。”也许是这样。但我们都应该如此幸运。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.macworld.com/article/540956/steve-jobs-apple-path-to-success.html\">macworld</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.macworld.com/article/540956/steve-jobs-apple-path-to-success.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116662375","content_text":"Time rolls forward, the past recedes, and it all starts to fade, doesn’t it? Ten years ago, Steve Jobs died, and at the time Ipondered how he’d be remembered. In the intervening years, his most notable product–Apple itself–has risen to unimaginable levels of power and influence.\nThe fact that so much of Apple’s growth has happened since Jobs’s departure hasn’t reduced him at all. It would be relatively easy to argue that the success of Tim Cook’s Apple suggests that, despite everyone’s concern in the late days of 2011, the company actuallycouldgo on without Jobs at the helm. But that’s not what anyone thinks. Instead, Jobs is credited for putting Apple on the path that led to it becoming what it is today.\nThe 10 years before\nOn October 5, 2001, 10 years before Jobs passed away, Apple is busy digging itself out of an enormous hole. Jobs returned to the company with the purchase of NeXT in late 1996, assumed the reins of power in mid-1997, and four years later his big accomplishment is mostly that Apple hasn’t gone out of business yet. Thanks to the iMac G3, the company had a financial lifeline that has allowed it to renovate the rest of the Mac product line, get an entirely new Mac OSout the door, and begin expanding into retail.\nThis is a very different Apple than the one that most people remember, an invisible era where Jobs was furiously throwing ideas at the wall to see what would stick. (A server! Acube-shaped Power Mac!) This Apple was not afraid of failure. It wasn’t afraid of looking foolish. It was, in fact, completely embracing the fact that it would need to keep trying and be willing to fail in order to find where it might succeed.\nOne of those wild ideas ended up saving the company.\nApple had been struggling for years. Then the iPod came along to start a string of successes that made the company what it is today.\nTen years before Steve Jobs died, he and his team were putting the finishing touches on the new product they’d be introducing a couple of weeks later. It was another weird idea that was still worth trying–a digital music player so compact that you could carry a thousand songs with you in your pocket.\nThe iMac G3’s sales success might have given Apple a lifeline, but it was the iPod (which has its 20th birthday later this month) that introduced Apple’s brand to countless people who had never,wouldnever consider buying a Mac. And combined with the expanding Apple retail empire–another idea that might have ended in disaster, but didn’t–the iPod turned people on to Apple as a brand, making them consider the Mac as well–and Apple’s fortunes grew.\nFrom there, of course, Apple was on the path to build the iPhone and the iPad, constructing the core trio of products that drive the company even today.\nThe 10 years after\nDuring Apple’sfinal financial quarter with Jobs as CEO, Apple delivered its best financial quarter ever. The company generated a record $28.6 billion in revenue and a record $7.31 billion in profit. It sold $13.3 billion worth of iPhones, $6 billion worth of iPads, and $5.1 billion worth of Macs.\nTen years after Jobs left Apple,the resultswere a bit better. Revenue was $81.4 billion, 2.8 times more than the decade-ago quarter. Profit was $21.7 billion, nearly three times the decade-ago total. Apple sold $39.5 billion worth of iPhones (up nearly 3 times), $7.3 billion worth of iPads (up 22 percent), and $8.2 billion worth of Macs (up 61 percent).\nUnder Tim Cook’s stewardship, Apple has tripled what it makes in an average quarter. It has grown two major new sources of revenue in wearable products (such as Apple Watch and AirPods) and services. Does Tim Cook deserve credit for this? Given how so many experts were convinced that Apple would be utterly adrift without Steve Jobs at the helm, I certainly think so.\nApple has experienced tremendous success since Steve Jobs’ death. Tim Cook deserves all the credit, just as Jobs is viewed as the one who set it all up.\nJust as Apple’s modern corporate culture really owes itself to what Jobs established when he returned to the company in the 1990s, Cook himself was chosen by Jobs as his successor. I think it’s fair to say that Jobs probably saw the trajectory Apple was on and trusted Cook to navigate the company through that growth while also continuing to focus on developing new products and iterating on existing ones.\nSo while Cook deserves credit for steering Apple through these waters, Jobs is rightfully viewed as the person who set it all up. The enormous success of Apple in the decade since Jobs died only adds to his legacy.\nBut lest we forget, nothing is forever. Apple TV+, a service that Jobs probably wouldn’t have conceived of himself, recently premiered a series based on Isaac Asimov’s “Foundation” book series. “Foundation” is, fundamentally, about one man’s vision of the future–and how one man’s vision is no match for the sweep of history.\nTime does roll forward, and our perceptions of events continue to shift. Events witnessed in person become old stories retold, subject to the limits of our memories and the imperfection of second-hand storytelling. My daughter was born just after the iPod was announced, but before it shipped. She’s about to turn 20. Where does the time go?\n“Those of us who are lucky enough to grow old and rickety (in a way that, cruelly, Steven Paul Jobs was never allowed to) will say that we saw that man stand upon a stage with a giant Apple logo behind him and introduce a new iconic, world-changing product,”I wrote when Jobs died. “In a hundred years, perhaps he will have been reduced to a caricature.” Maybe so. But we should all be so lucky.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}