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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> 先说一下大盘，spy期权开仓和市场对FOMC预期有点不同。市场预期降息25基点为大概率事件，大盘涨跌在正负1%之间。而期权开仓显示交易员普遍在对冲3%以上的跌幅。9月18日到期640put <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY%2020250918%20640.0%20PUT\">$SPY 20250918 640.0 PUT$</a> 开仓了4.7万手，方向大多为买入，成交额约100多万。看跌开仓640以下占多数。另外恐慌指数期权大单显示有人开仓买入2.28万手年底到期22call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020251217%2022.0%20CALL\">$VIX 20251217 22.0 CALL$</a> ，成交额约566万。差不多也是在对冲大盘3%以上跌幅。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$</a> 纳指ETF看跌开仓相对正常，除了long put大单roll仓外，开仓预期跌幅在0.6～1%之间，符合预期。理论上如果FOMC正常降息25基点，对市场影响不大，但因为往年9月10月波动过大，所以机构买入大量看跌保护也是一种解释。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 周三有媒体称中国互联网监管机构通知国内科技巨头停止采购英伟达所有芯片产品，英伟达跌了2%，远远不及年初deepseek造成的恐慌。为什么呢？因为如果对目前AI算力产能有了解就会知道，目前是供不应求的状态，即使脱离了中国，英伟达营收依旧保持飞跃式增长。国内监管停止采购也很合理，算力的前景","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> 先说一下大盘，spy期权开仓和市场对FOMC预期有点不同。市场预期降息25基点为大概率事件，大盘涨跌在正负1%之间。而期权开仓显示交易员普遍在对冲3%以上的跌幅。9月18日到期640put <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY%2020250918%20640.0%20PUT\">$SPY 20250918 640.0 PUT$</a> 开仓了4.7万手，方向大多为买入，成交额约100多万。看跌开仓640以下占多数。另外恐慌指数期权大单显示有人开仓买入2.28万手年底到期22call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020251217%2022.0%20CALL\">$VIX 20251217 22.0 CALL$</a> ，成交额约566万。差不多也是在对冲大盘3%以上跌幅。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$</a> 纳指ETF看跌开仓相对正常，除了long put大单roll仓外，开仓预期跌幅在0.6～1%之间，符合预期。理论上如果FOMC正常降息25基点，对市场影响不大，但因为往年9月10月波动过大，所以机构买入大量看跌保护也是一种解释。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 周三有媒体称中国互联网监管机构通知国内科技巨头停止采购英伟达所有芯片产品，英伟达跌了2%，远远不及年初deepseek造成的恐慌。为什么呢？因为如果对目前AI算力产能有了解就会知道，目前是供不应求的状态，即使脱离了中国，英伟达营收依旧保持飞跃式增长。国内监管停止采购也很合理，算力的前景","text":"$标普500ETF(SPY)$ 先说一下大盘，spy期权开仓和市场对FOMC预期有点不同。市场预期降息25基点为大概率事件，大盘涨跌在正负1%之间。而期权开仓显示交易员普遍在对冲3%以上的跌幅。9月18日到期640put $SPY 20250918 640.0 PUT$ 开仓了4.7万手，方向大多为买入，成交额约100多万。看跌开仓640以下占多数。另外恐慌指数期权大单显示有人开仓买入2.28万手年底到期22call $VIX 20251217 22.0 CALL$ ，成交额约566万。差不多也是在对冲大盘3%以上跌幅。 $纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ 纳指ETF看跌开仓相对正常，除了long put大单roll仓外，开仓预期跌幅在0.6～1%之间，符合预期。理论上如果FOMC正常降息25基点，对市场影响不大，但因为往年9月10月波动过大，所以机构买入大量看跌保护也是一种解释。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 周三有媒体称中国互联网监管机构通知国内科技巨头停止采购英伟达所有芯片产品，英伟达跌了2%，远远不及年初deepseek造成的恐慌。为什么呢？因为如果对目前AI算力产能有了解就会知道，目前是供不应求的状态，即使脱离了中国，英伟达营收依旧保持飞跃式增长。国内监管停止采购也很合理，算力的前景","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbaafe01b89eb6c6a02a9f60351c4373","width":"1036","height":"1026"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74fa18b3d39c7ed88c454a4947c711b0","width":"2484","height":"104"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8312ad056e617829f7c89643c4ad916","width":"1038","height":"1056"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/479680510911200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":731,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":479664504443344,"gmtCreate":1758129606168,"gmtModify":1758129608213,"author":{"id":"4109459843394580","authorId":"4109459843394580","name":"约翰算法","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4109459843394580","idStr":"4109459843394580"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/479664504443344","repostId":"2568418820","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":668,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":477899529347128,"gmtCreate":1757684674145,"gmtModify":1757684678148,"author":{"id":"4109459843394580","authorId":"4109459843394580","name":"约翰算法","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4109459843394580","idStr":"4109459843394580"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/477899529347128","repostId":"1189511725","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":477840694104784,"gmtCreate":1757670453870,"gmtModify":1757670455561,"author":{"id":"4109459843394580","authorId":"4109459843394580","name":"约翰算法","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4109459843394580","idStr":"4109459843394580"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/477840694104784","repostId":"477791734378696","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":477791734378696,"gmtCreate":1757668208113,"gmtModify":1757668342266,"author":{"id":"36979109942400","authorId":"36979109942400","name":"小虎周报","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/f7b172cf773c77a3f0df67695c126b51","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36979109942400","idStr":"36979109942400"},"themes":[],"title":"港股周报：互联网巨头暴涨，下周迎重磅会议！","htmlText":"本周，港股表现亮眼，恒生指数周涨3.82%，一举突破26000点整数关口，创4年来新高！ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a> 消息面上，海关总署周一公布的数据显示，以美元计，我国8月出口额同比增长4.4%，增速较7月下降2.8个百分点，为近五个月来最低；进口同比增速放缓2.8个百分点至1.3%。出口增速放缓主要是去年基数较高，叠加抢出口效应减退，尤其是中美贸易冲突下，国内对美出口由7月的下滑21.7%扩大至8月的33.1%，连续5个月录双位数下降。另据统计局数据，我国8月居民消费价格指数（CPI）同比下降0.4%，下滑幅度超预期，主要是上年同期对比基数走高叠加本月食品价格涨幅低于季节性水平所致。但扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨0.9%，涨幅连续第4个月扩大。工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）8月同比下降2.9%，降幅比上月收窄0.7个百分点，为今年3月份以来首次收窄。国内经济数据喜忧参半下，海外传来利好。周四，美国劳工统计局公布数据显示，美国8月CPI同比2.9%，持平预期，较前值2.7%小幅回升。数据发布后，交易员们大幅提升了对美联储在2025年降息的押注，诸多资产价格迎来“鸽派狂欢”。除宏观经济数据扰动外，本周带动行情走牛的主要动力来自AI，其中，甲骨文周二晚间表示，其 “剩余履约义务”（RPO，即衡量客户合同未来收入的指标）在本季度激增约 360%，达到 4550 亿美元，远超分析师预期。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> 甲骨文预计本财年云基础设施（OCI）业务营收将增长 77%，达到 180 亿美元；到 2030 年，该业务营收将飙升至 1440 亿美元。受财报利好推动，甲骨文一夜暴涨36%，市值增加2547亿美元，约等于一","listText":"本周，港股表现亮眼，恒生指数周涨3.82%，一举突破26000点整数关口，创4年来新高！ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a> 消息面上，海关总署周一公布的数据显示，以美元计，我国8月出口额同比增长4.4%，增速较7月下降2.8个百分点，为近五个月来最低；进口同比增速放缓2.8个百分点至1.3%。出口增速放缓主要是去年基数较高，叠加抢出口效应减退，尤其是中美贸易冲突下，国内对美出口由7月的下滑21.7%扩大至8月的33.1%，连续5个月录双位数下降。另据统计局数据，我国8月居民消费价格指数（CPI）同比下降0.4%，下滑幅度超预期，主要是上年同期对比基数走高叠加本月食品价格涨幅低于季节性水平所致。但扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨0.9%，涨幅连续第4个月扩大。工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）8月同比下降2.9%，降幅比上月收窄0.7个百分点，为今年3月份以来首次收窄。国内经济数据喜忧参半下，海外传来利好。周四，美国劳工统计局公布数据显示，美国8月CPI同比2.9%，持平预期，较前值2.7%小幅回升。数据发布后，交易员们大幅提升了对美联储在2025年降息的押注，诸多资产价格迎来“鸽派狂欢”。除宏观经济数据扰动外，本周带动行情走牛的主要动力来自AI，其中，甲骨文周二晚间表示，其 “剩余履约义务”（RPO，即衡量客户合同未来收入的指标）在本季度激增约 360%，达到 4550 亿美元，远超分析师预期。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> 甲骨文预计本财年云基础设施（OCI）业务营收将增长 77%，达到 180 亿美元；到 2030 年，该业务营收将飙升至 1440 亿美元。受财报利好推动，甲骨文一夜暴涨36%，市值增加2547亿美元，约等于一","text":"本周，港股表现亮眼，恒生指数周涨3.82%，一举突破26000点整数关口，创4年来新高！ $恒生指数(HSI)$ 消息面上，海关总署周一公布的数据显示，以美元计，我国8月出口额同比增长4.4%，增速较7月下降2.8个百分点，为近五个月来最低；进口同比增速放缓2.8个百分点至1.3%。出口增速放缓主要是去年基数较高，叠加抢出口效应减退，尤其是中美贸易冲突下，国内对美出口由7月的下滑21.7%扩大至8月的33.1%，连续5个月录双位数下降。另据统计局数据，我国8月居民消费价格指数（CPI）同比下降0.4%，下滑幅度超预期，主要是上年同期对比基数走高叠加本月食品价格涨幅低于季节性水平所致。但扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨0.9%，涨幅连续第4个月扩大。工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）8月同比下降2.9%，降幅比上月收窄0.7个百分点，为今年3月份以来首次收窄。国内经济数据喜忧参半下，海外传来利好。周四，美国劳工统计局公布数据显示，美国8月CPI同比2.9%，持平预期，较前值2.7%小幅回升。数据发布后，交易员们大幅提升了对美联储在2025年降息的押注，诸多资产价格迎来“鸽派狂欢”。除宏观经济数据扰动外，本周带动行情走牛的主要动力来自AI，其中，甲骨文周二晚间表示，其 “剩余履约义务”（RPO，即衡量客户合同未来收入的指标）在本季度激增约 360%，达到 4550 亿美元，远超分析师预期。 $甲骨文(ORCL)$ 甲骨文预计本财年云基础设施（OCI）业务营收将增长 77%，达到 180 亿美元；到 2030 年，该业务营收将飙升至 1440 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