超越666888的个人主页 - 老虎社区

超越666888

超越666888

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IP属地：山西

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15粉丝

9主题

0勋章

44 minutes ago

1

08-08 16:51

1

08-08 16:51

1

08-07 07:56

1

08-07 07:54

1

08-06

1

08-06

1

08-06

1

08-04

1

08-04

1

@奇思异想:我开仓了400.0股$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$ ,继续卖空soxl,和soxs的卖空交易配对，赚点损耗的钱。。。。。。。。。

08-03

1

@chirs996:我平仓了4手$QQQ 20250801 549.0 PUT$ ,没想到遇到大回调。简直亏麻了。亏麻了。一个月全白费了。

08-02

1

@期爷浪期权:8月1日期权仓位全揭秘，期权大鳄出手了

07-31

1

07-31

1

07-31

1

07-29

1

07-27

1

@躺平躺到地狱了:黄金期指周五跌1.04%低期，周跌0.51%符期。解析：本周前两天大涨，后3天大跌回吐全部涨幅，周五收盘再破20日均线，说明行情没有持续性，短线还是横盘振荡走势，大涨难大跌也难。总体看：3509.9以来横盘调整第13周。当前地缘政治平稳，风险资产受宠美股强劲，黄金历史高位区域资金关注度低，主力做多意愿不强，很难走出连续强势行情，短线20均附近横盘振荡大概率，中线20周均上横盘振荡大概率。技术面，超短：5日均下，空头趋势。短线：20日均下，空头趋势。中线：5周均粘，20周均上，多头趋势。长线：5月均上，20月均上，多头趋势。以年为单位长期持有盈利概率99.99%--黄金期指本周复盘和下周预判

07-25

1

07-22

1

07-22

1

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,没想到遇到大回调。简直亏麻了。亏麻了。一个月全白费了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/463413068120480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":65,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":463321169788928,"gmtCreate":1754092611825,"gmtModify":1754092613132,"author":{"id":"4120115595748460","authorId":"4120115595748460","name":"超越666888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7091f180a159a1aca5e96e89241744c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4120115595748460","authorIdStr":"4120115595748460"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1","listText":"1","text":"1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/463321169788928","repostId":"462950740451328","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":462950740451328,"gmtCreate":1754064853894,"gmtModify":1754066742963,"author":{"id":"3490244284591634","authorId":"3490244284591634","name":"期爷浪期权","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc99b47ba1793634eafe6f95e2cf71b9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3490244284591634","authorIdStr":"3490244284591634"},"themes":[],"title":"8月1日期权仓位全揭秘，期权大鳄出手了","htmlText":"昨天大回调之后，今天A股缩量装死，港股跌跌撞撞。不管行情怎样，复盘看才不会迷茫。 下图是今天大A的3个ETF和一个指数，以及港股的腾讯、美团和宁德时代的最大持仓量范围以及窝轮牛熊分布范围，也就是8月的资金筹码分布，黄色的表示跟上个交易日有变动。 1、大A期权： （1）沪深300ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围4100-4200，今收4.133，下跌0.53%，期权8月主力合约，认购以增仓为主，主要集中在4100-4300，合计2.1W张；而认沽则是出现了低行权价增仓高行权价减仓的态势，这种情况再过去很少见，有点像是要继续下跌调整的信号。 （2）中证500ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围6000-6500，今收6.287，下跌0.16%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，量都不大；认沽以增仓为主，主要集中在5750-6250，合计1.6W张。 （3）创业板ETF期权：8月最大持仓范围2300-2350，今收2.303，上涨0.09%，期权8月主力合约，认购是以增仓为主，集中在2250-2500之间，合计4.2W张；而认沽全是增仓，主要集中在2200-2300，合计2.1W张。 （4）中证1000期权：8月最大持仓范围6400-6700，今收6670.47，上涨0.14%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，减仓的量都不大；而认沽是低行权价减仓高行权价增仓，减仓较少，增仓较多，集中在6200-6600，合计2800张。 总的来说，今天除了创业板认购认沽都是增仓以外，其他两个ETF和中证1000的期权盘路的变化趋势相同，都是认购减仓认沽增仓，市场正式从乐观变得谨慎悲观起来。 2、港股期权： （1）腾讯：8月最大持仓范围500-590，窝轮牛熊街货分布515-585，今收535.0，下跌2.73%，期权盘路也比较热闹，变化超过1000张的仓位如下图，红色是增仓较大的仓位，也是今天","listText":"昨天大回调之后，今天A股缩量装死，港股跌跌撞撞。不管行情怎样，复盘看才不会迷茫。 下图是今天大A的3个ETF和一个指数，以及港股的腾讯、美团和宁德时代的最大持仓量范围以及窝轮牛熊分布范围，也就是8月的资金筹码分布，黄色的表示跟上个交易日有变动。 1、大A期权： （1）沪深300ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围4100-4200，今收4.133，下跌0.53%，期权8月主力合约，认购以增仓为主，主要集中在4100-4300，合计2.1W张；而认沽则是出现了低行权价增仓高行权价减仓的态势，这种情况再过去很少见，有点像是要继续下跌调整的信号。 （2）中证500ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围6000-6500，今收6.287，下跌0.16%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，量都不大；认沽以增仓为主，主要集中在5750-6250，合计1.6W张。 （3）创业板ETF期权：8月最大持仓范围2300-2350，今收2.303，上涨0.09%，期权8月主力合约，认购是以增仓为主，集中在2250-2500之间，合计4.2W张；而认沽全是增仓，主要集中在2200-2300，合计2.1W张。 （4）中证1000期权：8月最大持仓范围6400-6700，今收6670.47，上涨0.14%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，减仓的量都不大；而认沽是低行权价减仓高行权价增仓，减仓较少，增仓较多，集中在6200-6600，合计2800张。 总的来说，今天除了创业板认购认沽都是增仓以外，其他两个ETF和中证1000的期权盘路的变化趋势相同，都是认购减仓认沽增仓，市场正式从乐观变得谨慎悲观起来。 2、港股期权： （1）腾讯：8月最大持仓范围500-590，窝轮牛熊街货分布515-585，今收535.0，下跌2.73%，期权盘路也比较热闹，变化超过1000张的仓位如下图，红色是增仓较大的仓位，也是今天","text":"昨天大回调之后，今天A股缩量装死，港股跌跌撞撞。不管行情怎样，复盘看才不会迷茫。 下图是今天大A的3个ETF和一个指数，以及港股的腾讯、美团和宁德时代的最大持仓量范围以及窝轮牛熊分布范围，也就是8月的资金筹码分布，黄色的表示跟上个交易日有变动。 1、大A期权： （1）沪深300ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围4100-4200，今收4.133，下跌0.53%，期权8月主力合约，认购以增仓为主，主要集中在4100-4300，合计2.1W张；而认沽则是出现了低行权价增仓高行权价减仓的态势，这种情况再过去很少见，有点像是要继续下跌调整的信号。 （2）中证500ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围6000-6500，今收6.287，下跌0.16%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，量都不大；认沽以增仓为主，主要集中在5750-6250，合计1.6W张。 （3）创业板ETF期权：8月最大持仓范围2300-2350，今收2.303，上涨0.09%，期权8月主力合约，认购是以增仓为主，集中在2250-2500之间，合计4.2W张；而认沽全是增仓，主要集中在2200-2300，合计2.1W张。 （4）中证1000期权：8月最大持仓范围6400-6700，今收6670.47，上涨0.14%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，减仓的量都不大；而认沽是低行权价减仓高行权价增仓，减仓较少，增仓较多，集中在6200-6600，合计2800张。 总的来说，今天除了创业板认购认沽都是增仓以外，其他两个ETF和中证1000的期权盘路的变化趋势相同，都是认购减仓认沽增仓，市场正式从乐观变得谨慎悲观起来。 2、港股期权： （1）腾讯：8月最大持仓范围500-590，窝轮牛熊街货分布515-585，今收535.0，下跌2.73%，期权盘路也比较热闹，变化超过1000张的仓位如下图，红色是增仓较大的仓位，也是今天","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4994ca8b0efa66e980fe155c9b94d8a5","width":"522","height":"321"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf1173f44efa4a2fe23e5fa86c406ebd","width":"893","height":"601"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41d5697aa69f509e455193091619f790","width":"893","height":"321"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/462950740451328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":41,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":462588784001512,"gmtCreate":1753942098474,"gmtModify":1753942099932,"author":{"id":"4120115595748460","authorId":"4120115595748460","name":"超越666888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7091f180a159a1aca5e96e89241744c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4120115595748460","authorIdStr":"4120115595748460"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1","listText":"1","text":"1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/462588784001512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":462585672151088,"gmtCreate":1753942079626,"gmtModify":1753942080953,"author":{"id":"4120115595748460","authorId":"4120115595748460","name":"超越666888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7091f180a159a1aca5e96e89241744c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4120115595748460","authorIdStr":"4120115595748460"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1","listText":"1","text":"1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/462585672151088","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":61,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":462587260129656,"gmtCreate":1753942069091,"gmtModify":1753942070529,"author":{"id":"4120115595748460","authorId":"4120115595748460","name":"超越666888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7091f180a159a1aca5e96e89241744c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4120115595748460","authorIdStr":"4120115595748460"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1","listText":"1","text":"1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/462587260129656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":461739003457960,"gmtCreate":1753748100584,"gmtModify":1753748102096,"author":{"id":"4120115595748460","authorId":"4120115595748460","name":"超越666888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7091f180a159a1aca5e96e89241744c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4120115595748460","authorIdStr":"4120115595748460"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1","listText":"1","text":"1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/461739003457960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":461056039624712,"gmtCreate":1753571934710,"gmtModify":1753571936100,"author":{"id":"4120115595748460","authorId":"4120115595748460","name":"超越666888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7091f180a159a1aca5e96e89241744c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4120115595748460","authorIdStr":"4120115595748460"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1","listText":"1","text":"1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/461056039624712","repostId":"460848582120288","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":460848582120288,"gmtCreate":1753521144446,"gmtModify":1753572001933,"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3463057643110414","authorIdStr":"3463057643110414"},"themes":[],"title":"黄金期指周五跌1.04%低期，周跌0.51%符期。解析：本周前两天大涨，后3天大跌回吐全部涨幅，周五收盘再破20日均线，说明行情没有持续性，短线还是横盘振荡走势，大涨难大跌也难。总体看：3509.9以来横盘调整第13周。当前地缘政治平稳，风险资产受宠美股强劲，黄金历史高位区域资金关注度低，主力做多意愿不强，很难走出连续强势行情，短线20均附近横盘振荡大概率，中线20周均上横盘振荡大概率。技术面，超短：5日均下，空头趋势。短线：20日均下，空头趋势。中线：5周均粘，20周均上，多头趋势。长线：5月均上，20月均上，多头趋势。以年为单位长期持有盈利概率99.99%--黄金期指本周复盘和下周预判","htmlText":"前言：长线看黄金：长期看涨，小调整小机会，大调整大机会。以年为单位长期持有盈利概率99.99%。稳键的可以做为资产配置，长期配备一定仓位。 躺观黄金（纽约黄金期指期指主连&nbsp;）： 一、消息面、基本面：历史消息：黄金取代欧元成全球央行储备第二大资产。中国央行持续购入黄金。 1、地缘政治：世界总体局势平稳。 2、关税贸易战：关税贸易战短期对资本市场影响越来越小，长期有待市场验证。 3、市场需求：一是全球央行购金需求维持高位，为金价提供长期支撑。二是越来越多投资者资产配置一部分黄金不断增加投资市场需求；三是消费升级和结婚刚需等扩大黄金需求。 4、通胀预期：当前通胀压力仍在。长期来看温和通胀是趋势，为黄金提供长期上涨支撑。 5、美元指数：理论上：美元指数走低，以美元计价资产价格有走高动能；美元指数走高，以美元计价资产价格有走低动能。周线上看：2025年1月13日110.170点以来持续走低。2025年7月1日最低至96.373点。近期有所反弹。 二、技术面： 1、均线 超短：5日均下，超短空头趋势。 短期：20日均上，20均走平，短期空头趋势。 中期：5周均粘，20周均上，20周均向上，中期多头趋势。 长期：5月均上，20月均上，长期多头趋势。25年6月涨跌幅：+0.06%。2024年涨跌幅：27.39%（东财数据） 2、macd：日线金叉（第6天）、周线死叉（第5周）、月线2023年3月以来持续金叉。（经验：日线金叉，20均上，20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验：周线金叉行情往往更持久） 3、SKDJ指标：日K值52左右，周K值55左右。（日线调整中：SKDJ低位金叉特别是低位金叉底背离是判断短线见底的重要信号）（牛市中：周SKDJ高位横盘钝化是常态。周线、月级调整中：低位金叉在判断短线见底上有重要参考价值） 4、神奇9转（日线低9作用大）：日线：无，周线：无，月","listText":"前言：长线看黄金：长期看涨，小调整小机会，大调整大机会。以年为单位长期持有盈利概率99.99%。稳键的可以做为资产配置，长期配备一定仓位。 躺观黄金（纽约黄金期指期指主连&nbsp;）： 一、消息面、基本面：历史消息：黄金取代欧元成全球央行储备第二大资产。中国央行持续购入黄金。 1、地缘政治：世界总体局势平稳。 2、关税贸易战：关税贸易战短期对资本市场影响越来越小，长期有待市场验证。 3、市场需求：一是全球央行购金需求维持高位，为金价提供长期支撑。二是越来越多投资者资产配置一部分黄金不断增加投资市场需求；三是消费升级和结婚刚需等扩大黄金需求。 4、通胀预期：当前通胀压力仍在。长期来看温和通胀是趋势，为黄金提供长期上涨支撑。 5、美元指数：理论上：美元指数走低，以美元计价资产价格有走高动能；美元指数走高，以美元计价资产价格有走低动能。周线上看：2025年1月13日110.170点以来持续走低。2025年7月1日最低至96.373点。近期有所反弹。 二、技术面： 1、均线 超短：5日均下，超短空头趋势。 短期：20日均上，20均走平，短期空头趋势。 中期：5周均粘，20周均上，20周均向上，中期多头趋势。 长期：5月均上，20月均上，长期多头趋势。25年6月涨跌幅：+0.06%。2024年涨跌幅：27.39%（东财数据） 2、macd：日线金叉（第6天）、周线死叉（第5周）、月线2023年3月以来持续金叉。（经验：日线金叉，20均上，20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验：周线金叉行情往往更持久） 3、SKDJ指标：日K值52左右，周K值55左右。（日线调整中：SKDJ低位金叉特别是低位金叉底背离是判断短线见底的重要信号）（牛市中：周SKDJ高位横盘钝化是常态。周线、月级调整中：低位金叉在判断短线见底上有重要参考价值） 4、神奇9转（日线低9作用大）：日线：无，周线：无，月","text":"前言：长线看黄金：长期看涨，小调整小机会，大调整大机会。以年为单位长期持有盈利概率99.99%。稳键的可以做为资产配置，长期配备一定仓位。 躺观黄金（纽约黄金期指期指主连 ）： 一、消息面、基本面：历史消息：黄金取代欧元成全球央行储备第二大资产。中国央行持续购入黄金。 1、地缘政治：世界总体局势平稳。 2、关税贸易战：关税贸易战短期对资本市场影响越来越小，长期有待市场验证。 3、市场需求：一是全球央行购金需求维持高位，为金价提供长期支撑。二是越来越多投资者资产配置一部分黄金不断增加投资市场需求；三是消费升级和结婚刚需等扩大黄金需求。 4、通胀预期：当前通胀压力仍在。长期来看温和通胀是趋势，为黄金提供长期上涨支撑。 5、美元指数：理论上：美元指数走低，以美元计价资产价格有走高动能；美元指数走高，以美元计价资产价格有走低动能。周线上看：2025年1月13日110.170点以来持续走低。2025年7月1日最低至96.373点。近期有所反弹。 二、技术面： 1、均线 超短：5日均下，超短空头趋势。 短期：20日均上，20均走平，短期空头趋势。 中期：5周均粘，20周均上，20周均向上，中期多头趋势。 长期：5月均上，20月均上，长期多头趋势。25年6月涨跌幅：+0.06%。2024年涨跌幅：27.39%（东财数据） 2、macd：日线金叉（第6天）、周线死叉（第5周）、月线2023年3月以来持续金叉。（经验：日线金叉，20均上，20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验：周线金叉行情往往更持久） 3、SKDJ指标：日K值52左右，周K值55左右。（日线调整中：SKDJ低位金叉特别是低位金叉底背离是判断短线见底的重要信号）（牛市中：周SKDJ高位横盘钝化是常态。周线、月级调整中：低位金叉在判断短线见底上有重要参考价值） 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下图是今天大A的3个ETF和一个指数，以及港股的腾讯、美团和宁德时代的最大持仓量范围以及窝轮牛熊分布范围，也就是8月的资金筹码分布，黄色的表示跟上个交易日有变动。 1、大A期权： （1）沪深300ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围4100-4200，今收4.133，下跌0.53%，期权8月主力合约，认购以增仓为主，主要集中在4100-4300，合计2.1W张；而认沽则是出现了低行权价增仓高行权价减仓的态势，这种情况再过去很少见，有点像是要继续下跌调整的信号。 （2）中证500ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围6000-6500，今收6.287，下跌0.16%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，量都不大；认沽以增仓为主，主要集中在5750-6250，合计1.6W张。 （3）创业板ETF期权：8月最大持仓范围2300-2350，今收2.303，上涨0.09%，期权8月主力合约，认购是以增仓为主，集中在2250-2500之间，合计4.2W张；而认沽全是增仓，主要集中在2200-2300，合计2.1W张。 （4）中证1000期权：8月最大持仓范围6400-6700，今收6670.47，上涨0.14%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，减仓的量都不大；而认沽是低行权价减仓高行权价增仓，减仓较少，增仓较多，集中在6200-6600，合计2800张。 总的来说，今天除了创业板认购认沽都是增仓以外，其他两个ETF和中证1000的期权盘路的变化趋势相同，都是认购减仓认沽增仓，市场正式从乐观变得谨慎悲观起来。 2、港股期权： （1）腾讯：8月最大持仓范围500-590，窝轮牛熊街货分布515-585，今收535.0，下跌2.73%，期权盘路也比较热闹，变化超过1000张的仓位如下图，红色是增仓较大的仓位，也是今天","listText":"昨天大回调之后，今天A股缩量装死，港股跌跌撞撞。不管行情怎样，复盘看才不会迷茫。 下图是今天大A的3个ETF和一个指数，以及港股的腾讯、美团和宁德时代的最大持仓量范围以及窝轮牛熊分布范围，也就是8月的资金筹码分布，黄色的表示跟上个交易日有变动。 1、大A期权： （1）沪深300ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围4100-4200，今收4.133，下跌0.53%，期权8月主力合约，认购以增仓为主，主要集中在4100-4300，合计2.1W张；而认沽则是出现了低行权价增仓高行权价减仓的态势，这种情况再过去很少见，有点像是要继续下跌调整的信号。 （2）中证500ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围6000-6500，今收6.287，下跌0.16%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，量都不大；认沽以增仓为主，主要集中在5750-6250，合计1.6W张。 （3）创业板ETF期权：8月最大持仓范围2300-2350，今收2.303，上涨0.09%，期权8月主力合约，认购是以增仓为主，集中在2250-2500之间，合计4.2W张；而认沽全是增仓，主要集中在2200-2300，合计2.1W张。 （4）中证1000期权：8月最大持仓范围6400-6700，今收6670.47，上涨0.14%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，减仓的量都不大；而认沽是低行权价减仓高行权价增仓，减仓较少，增仓较多，集中在6200-6600，合计2800张。 总的来说，今天除了创业板认购认沽都是增仓以外，其他两个ETF和中证1000的期权盘路的变化趋势相同，都是认购减仓认沽增仓，市场正式从乐观变得谨慎悲观起来。 2、港股期权： （1）腾讯：8月最大持仓范围500-590，窝轮牛熊街货分布515-585，今收535.0，下跌2.73%，期权盘路也比较热闹，变化超过1000张的仓位如下图，红色是增仓较大的仓位，也是今天","text":"昨天大回调之后，今天A股缩量装死，港股跌跌撞撞。不管行情怎样，复盘看才不会迷茫。 下图是今天大A的3个ETF和一个指数，以及港股的腾讯、美团和宁德时代的最大持仓量范围以及窝轮牛熊分布范围，也就是8月的资金筹码分布，黄色的表示跟上个交易日有变动。 1、大A期权： （1）沪深300ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围4100-4200，今收4.133，下跌0.53%，期权8月主力合约，认购以增仓为主，主要集中在4100-4300，合计2.1W张；而认沽则是出现了低行权价增仓高行权价减仓的态势，这种情况再过去很少见，有点像是要继续下跌调整的信号。 （2）中证500ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围6000-6500，今收6.287，下跌0.16%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，量都不大；认沽以增仓为主，主要集中在5750-6250，合计1.6W张。 （3）创业板ETF期权：8月最大持仓范围2300-2350，今收2.303，上涨0.09%，期权8月主力合约，认购是以增仓为主，集中在2250-2500之间，合计4.2W张；而认沽全是增仓，主要集中在2200-2300，合计2.1W张。 （4）中证1000期权：8月最大持仓范围6400-6700，今收6670.47，上涨0.14%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，减仓的量都不大；而认沽是低行权价减仓高行权价增仓，减仓较少，增仓较多，集中在6200-6600，合计2800张。 总的来说，今天除了创业板认购认沽都是增仓以外，其他两个ETF和中证1000的期权盘路的变化趋势相同，都是认购减仓认沽增仓，市场正式从乐观变得谨慎悲观起来。 2、港股期权： （1）腾讯：8月最大持仓范围500-590，窝轮牛熊街货分布515-585，今收535.0，下跌2.73%，期权盘路也比较热闹，变化超过1000张的仓位如下图，红色是增仓较大的仓位，也是今天","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4994ca8b0efa66e980fe155c9b94d8a5","width":"522","height":"321"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf1173f44efa4a2fe23e5fa86c406ebd","width":"893","height":"601"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41d5697aa69f509e455193091619f790","width":"893","height":"321"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/462950740451328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":41,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":462588784001512,"gmtCreate":1753942098474,"gmtModify":1753942099932,"author":{"id":"4120115595748460","authorId":"4120115595748460","name":"超越666888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7091f180a159a1aca5e96e89241744c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4120115595748460","authorIdStr":"4120115595748460"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1","listText":"1","text":"1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/462588784001512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":462585672151088,"gmtCreate":1753942079626,"gmtModify":1753942080953,"author":{"id":"4120115595748460","authorId":"4120115595748460","name":"超越666888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7091f180a159a1aca5e96e89241744c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4120115595748460","authorIdStr":"4120115595748460"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1","listText":"1","text":"1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/462585672151088","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":61,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":462587260129656,"gmtCreate":1753942069091,"gmtModify":1753942070529,"author":{"id":"4120115595748460","authorId":"4120115595748460","name":"超越666888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7091f180a159a1aca5e96e89241744c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4120115595748460","authorIdStr":"4120115595748460"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1","listText":"1","text":"1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/462587260129656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":461739003457960,"gmtCreate":1753748100584,"gmtModify":1753748102096,"author":{"id":"4120115595748460","authorId":"4120115595748460","name":"超越666888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7091f180a159a1aca5e96e89241744c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4120115595748460","authorIdStr":"4120115595748460"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1","listText":"1","text":"1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/461739003457960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":454244686865296,"gmtCreate":1751930696336,"gmtModify":1751930697540,"author":{"id":"4120115595748460","authorId":"4120115595748460","name":"超越666888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7091f180a159a1aca5e96e89241744c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4120115595748460","authorIdStr":"4120115595748460"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1","listText":"1","text":"1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/454244686865296","repostId":"454094872576360","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":454094872576360,"gmtCreate":1751886387033,"gmtModify":1751886673083,"author":{"id":"3527667705833130","authorId":"3527667705833130","name":"平平无奇的技术小天才","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35d8aa191b1eff5aef38d16a39bfa639","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667705833130","authorIdStr":"3527667705833130"},"themes":[],"title":"为什么我决定在特斯拉财报前，卖出一半的股票？","htmlText":"马上要财报了，感觉最近特斯拉风险还是有点高，准备财报前先把仓位砍掉65%，降一下风险，留个3成底仓过财报。为什么财报前卖出特斯拉？主要是因为特斯拉现在太贵了，特斯拉目前的EV/EBITDA（企业价值/税息折旧摊销前利润）接近70倍，对比丰田9倍、通用8倍，简直贵得离谱。市场目前主要是靠信仰充值，除非未来特斯拉能保持30%-40%的EBITDA年复合增速，或者毛利率再拔一截，否则说服力太弱。但实际上，特斯拉毛利率只剩17%左右，不足以支撑这样的估值，除非未来出现超预期的高增长，否则性价比太低。股价走势上也能看出疲态。股价从4月低点反弹后，遇到385美元的斐波压力位，就开始走弱，出现连续的Lower High，MACD也在走坏。更别说马斯克的政治争议还没完，市场对他情绪起伏很大，这些都会放大波动。但为啥我还留35%底仓？很简单：特斯拉的资产负债表非常稳，净现金快300亿美金，弹性足。再加上马斯克这位“永远带来惊喜”的天才CEO，留点仓位防守是必须的，毕竟财报要是炸裂，也得有筹码应变。我的结论：先卖一半，等更好价格。要是财报利好股价突破385，可以继续上车；要是财报继续平淡，手里有现金也睡得着觉。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","listText":"马上要财报了，感觉最近特斯拉风险还是有点高，准备财报前先把仓位砍掉65%，降一下风险，留个3成底仓过财报。为什么财报前卖出特斯拉？主要是因为特斯拉现在太贵了，特斯拉目前的EV/EBITDA（企业价值/税息折旧摊销前利润）接近70倍，对比丰田9倍、通用8倍，简直贵得离谱。市场目前主要是靠信仰充值，除非未来特斯拉能保持30%-40%的EBITDA年复合增速，或者毛利率再拔一截，否则说服力太弱。但实际上，特斯拉毛利率只剩17%左右，不足以支撑这样的估值，除非未来出现超预期的高增长，否则性价比太低。股价走势上也能看出疲态。股价从4月低点反弹后，遇到385美元的斐波压力位，就开始走弱，出现连续的Lower High，MACD也在走坏。更别说马斯克的政治争议还没完，市场对他情绪起伏很大，这些都会放大波动。但为啥我还留35%底仓？很简单：特斯拉的资产负债表非常稳，净现金快300亿美金，弹性足。再加上马斯克这位“永远带来惊喜”的天才CEO，留点仓位防守是必须的，毕竟财报要是炸裂，也得有筹码应变。我的结论：先卖一半，等更好价格。要是财报利好股价突破385，可以继续上车；要是财报继续平淡，手里有现金也睡得着觉。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","text":"马上要财报了，感觉最近特斯拉风险还是有点高，准备财报前先把仓位砍掉65%，降一下风险，留个3成底仓过财报。为什么财报前卖出特斯拉？主要是因为特斯拉现在太贵了，特斯拉目前的EV/EBITDA（企业价值/税息折旧摊销前利润）接近70倍，对比丰田9倍、通用8倍，简直贵得离谱。市场目前主要是靠信仰充值，除非未来特斯拉能保持30%-40%的EBITDA年复合增速，或者毛利率再拔一截，否则说服力太弱。但实际上，特斯拉毛利率只剩17%左右，不足以支撑这样的估值，除非未来出现超预期的高增长，否则性价比太低。股价走势上也能看出疲态。股价从4月低点反弹后，遇到385美元的斐波压力位，就开始走弱，出现连续的Lower High，MACD也在走坏。更别说马斯克的政治争议还没完，市场对他情绪起伏很大，这些都会放大波动。但为啥我还留35%底仓？很简单：特斯拉的资产负债表非常稳，净现金快300亿美金，弹性足。再加上马斯克这位“永远带来惊喜”的天才CEO，留点仓位防守是必须的，毕竟财报要是炸裂，也得有筹码应变。我的结论：先卖一半，等更好价格。要是财报利好股价突破385，可以继续上车；要是财报继续平淡，手里有现金也睡得着觉。 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小米股票盘前前瞻（2025年7月7日） ","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp; 核心观点：量能枯竭+多空僵持，静待交付数据打破平衡！1. 关键数据复盘阴跌延续：收盘57.50港元（-1.03%），成交额75.78亿（连续3日缩量，较峰值-75%）；振幅收窄至2.75%（56.60-58.20），买盘占比31.28%（多头抵抗微弱）。异常信号：高盛反常净买入1485万股，但被美林抛售2102万股对冲；期权put/call比0.3（看涨情绪与股价背离，警惕多头陷阱）；港股通单日再流出（60日累计-240亿，历史峰值）。2. 明日核心博弈点（1）技术面窒息三角：MACD红柱濒临消失（0.507 → 明日可能死叉）；BOLL通道收窄（上轨60.33/下轨50.46，变盘在即）；57.00港元成新防线（7月3日最低+今日最低56.60）。变盘触发：⬆️ 放量突破58.20港元（今日最高）→ 看59.00；⬇️ 破56.60港元 → 触发程序化止损，目标55.40。（2）YU7交付数据交付跟踪：若公布数据＞5000台（超预期）→ 刺激短线反弹；若＜3000台（低于预期）→ 引爆失望性抛售。（3）机构暗战多头：高盛大买+看涨期权堆积（行权价58-60港元）；空头：融券卖空比例维持9.36%（仍高于健康水平）。3. 操作策略建议变盘前战术持仓者：✅ 57.70-58.00港元减仓30%；✅ 剩余仓位破56.60市价止损。空仓者：🚫 禁止提前入场（量比＜0.8确认震荡延续）；✅ 只做突破跟随：放量突破58.20 → 轻仓追多（≤5%，目标59.00）；破位56.60 → 融券做空（目标55.40）。事件驱动交付数据发布后：若数据超预期+量比＞1.5 → 市价追多（止损-2%）；若数据平淡 → 加倍融券卖出（目标56.00）。对冲艺术跨","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp; 核心观点：量能枯竭+多空僵持，静待交付数据打破平衡！1. 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