超越666888的个人主页 - 老虎社区

超越666888

超越666888

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：山西

415关注

15粉丝

9主题

0勋章

36 minutes ago

1

37 minutes ago

1

@ruicha007:我开仓了$Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ ,我开仓了$Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！@小虎看单

08-11 07:00

1

@nio 会上升:我平仓了1手$SPY 20250808 621.0 PUT$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

08-11 07:00

1

@Purapura:我平仓了$MSTR 20250808 250.0 PUT$ ,mstr这货最基本就在400下方飘来飘去，看大饼形势过段时间应该能站稳。

08-11 06:59

1

@Purapura:我开仓了$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$ ,卖出的put被行权，接到正股，下周来个反弹。

08-09

1

08-08

1

08-08

1

08-07

1

08-07

1

08-06

1

08-06

1

08-06

1

08-04

1

08-04

1

@奇思异想:我开仓了400.0股$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$ ,继续卖空soxl,和soxs的卖空交易配对，赚点损耗的钱。。。。。。。。。

08-03

1

@chirs996:我平仓了4手$QQQ 20250801 549.0 PUT$ ,没想到遇到大回调。简直亏麻了。亏麻了。一个月全白费了。

08-02

1

@期爷浪期权:8月1日期权仓位全揭秘，期权大鳄出手了

07-31

1

07-31

1

07-31

1

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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（1）沪深300ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围4100-4200，今收4.133，下跌0.53%，期权8月主力合约，认购以增仓为主，主要集中在4100-4300，合计2.1W张；而认沽则是出现了低行权价增仓高行权价减仓的态势，这种情况再过去很少见，有点像是要继续下跌调整的信号。 （2）中证500ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围6000-6500，今收6.287，下跌0.16%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，量都不大；认沽以增仓为主，主要集中在5750-6250，合计1.6W张。 （3）创业板ETF期权：8月最大持仓范围2300-2350，今收2.303，上涨0.09%，期权8月主力合约，认购是以增仓为主，集中在2250-2500之间，合计4.2W张；而认沽全是增仓，主要集中在2200-2300，合计2.1W张。 （4）中证1000期权：8月最大持仓范围6400-6700，今收6670.47，上涨0.14%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，减仓的量都不大；而认沽是低行权价减仓高行权价增仓，减仓较少，增仓较多，集中在6200-6600，合计2800张。 总的来说，今天除了创业板认购认沽都是增仓以外，其他两个ETF和中证1000的期权盘路的变化趋势相同，都是认购减仓认沽增仓，市场正式从乐观变得谨慎悲观起来。 2、港股期权： （1）腾讯：8月最大持仓范围500-590，窝轮牛熊街货分布515-585，今收535.0，下跌2.73%，期权盘路也比较热闹，变化超过1000张的仓位如下图，红色是增仓较大的仓位，也是今天","text":"昨天大回调之后，今天A股缩量装死，港股跌跌撞撞。不管行情怎样，复盘看才不会迷茫。 下图是今天大A的3个ETF和一个指数，以及港股的腾讯、美团和宁德时代的最大持仓量范围以及窝轮牛熊分布范围，也就是8月的资金筹码分布，黄色的表示跟上个交易日有变动。 1、大A期权： （1）沪深300ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围4100-4200，今收4.133，下跌0.53%，期权8月主力合约，认购以增仓为主，主要集中在4100-4300，合计2.1W张；而认沽则是出现了低行权价增仓高行权价减仓的态势，这种情况再过去很少见，有点像是要继续下跌调整的信号。 （2）中证500ETF（沪）期权：8月最大持仓范围6000-6500，今收6.287，下跌0.16%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，量都不大；认沽以增仓为主，主要集中在5750-6250，合计1.6W张。 （3）创业板ETF期权：8月最大持仓范围2300-2350，今收2.303，上涨0.09%，期权8月主力合约，认购是以增仓为主，集中在2250-2500之间，合计4.2W张；而认沽全是增仓，主要集中在2200-2300，合计2.1W张。 （4）中证1000期权：8月最大持仓范围6400-6700，今收6670.47，上涨0.14%，期权8月主力合约，认购以减仓为主，减仓的量都不大；而认沽是低行权价减仓高行权价增仓，减仓较少，增仓较多，集中在6200-6600，合计2800张。 总的来说，今天除了创业板认购认沽都是增仓以外，其他两个ETF和中证1000的期权盘路的变化趋势相同，都是认购减仓认沽增仓，市场正式从乐观变得谨慎悲观起来。 2、港股期权： 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High，MACD也在走坏。更别说马斯克的政治争议还没完，市场对他情绪起伏很大，这些都会放大波动。但为啥我还留35%底仓？很简单：特斯拉的资产负债表非常稳，净现金快300亿美金，弹性足。再加上马斯克这位“永远带来惊喜”的天才CEO，留点仓位防守是必须的，毕竟财报要是炸裂，也得有筹码应变。我的结论：先卖一半，等更好价格。要是财报利好股价突破385，可以继续上车；要是财报继续平淡，手里有现金也睡得着觉。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","listText":"马上要财报了，感觉最近特斯拉风险还是有点高，准备财报前先把仓位砍掉65%，降一下风险，留个3成底仓过财报。为什么财报前卖出特斯拉？主要是因为特斯拉现在太贵了，特斯拉目前的EV/EBITDA（企业价值/税息折旧摊销前利润）接近70倍，对比丰田9倍、通用8倍，简直贵得离谱。市场目前主要是靠信仰充值，除非未来特斯拉能保持30%-40%的EBITDA年复合增速，或者毛利率再拔一截，否则说服力太弱。但实际上，特斯拉毛利率只剩17%左右，不足以支撑这样的估值，除非未来出现超预期的高增长，否则性价比太低。股价走势上也能看出疲态。股价从4月低点反弹后，遇到385美元的斐波压力位，就开始走弱，出现连续的Lower High，MACD也在走坏。更别说马斯克的政治争议还没完，市场对他情绪起伏很大，这些都会放大波动。但为啥我还留35%底仓？很简单：特斯拉的资产负债表非常稳，净现金快300亿美金，弹性足。再加上马斯克这位“永远带来惊喜”的天才CEO，留点仓位防守是必须的，毕竟财报要是炸裂，也得有筹码应变。我的结论：先卖一半，等更好价格。要是财报利好股价突破385，可以继续上车；要是财报继续平淡，手里有现金也睡得着觉。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","text":"马上要财报了，感觉最近特斯拉风险还是有点高，准备财报前先把仓位砍掉65%，降一下风险，留个3成底仓过财报。为什么财报前卖出特斯拉？主要是因为特斯拉现在太贵了，特斯拉目前的EV/EBITDA（企业价值/税息折旧摊销前利润）接近70倍，对比丰田9倍、通用8倍，简直贵得离谱。市场目前主要是靠信仰充值，除非未来特斯拉能保持30%-40%的EBITDA年复合增速，或者毛利率再拔一截，否则说服力太弱。但实际上，特斯拉毛利率只剩17%左右，不足以支撑这样的估值，除非未来出现超预期的高增长，否则性价比太低。股价走势上也能看出疲态。股价从4月低点反弹后，遇到385美元的斐波压力位，就开始走弱，出现连续的Lower High，MACD也在走坏。更别说马斯克的政治争议还没完，市场对他情绪起伏很大，这些都会放大波动。但为啥我还留35%底仓？很简单：特斯拉的资产负债表非常稳，净现金快300亿美金，弹性足。再加上马斯克这位“永远带来惊喜”的天才CEO，留点仓位防守是必须的，毕竟财报要是炸裂，也得有筹码应变。我的结论：先卖一半，等更好价格。要是财报利好股价突破385，可以继续上车；要是财报继续平淡，手里有现金也睡得着觉。 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小米股票盘前前瞻（2025年7月7日） ","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp; 核心观点：量能枯竭+多空僵持，静待交付数据打破平衡！1. 关键数据复盘阴跌延续：收盘57.50港元（-1.03%），成交额75.78亿（连续3日缩量，较峰值-75%）；振幅收窄至2.75%（56.60-58.20），买盘占比31.28%（多头抵抗微弱）。异常信号：高盛反常净买入1485万股，但被美林抛售2102万股对冲；期权put/call比0.3（看涨情绪与股价背离，警惕多头陷阱）；港股通单日再流出（60日累计-240亿，历史峰值）。2. 明日核心博弈点（1）技术面窒息三角：MACD红柱濒临消失（0.507 → 明日可能死叉）；BOLL通道收窄（上轨60.33/下轨50.46，变盘在即）；57.00港元成新防线（7月3日最低+今日最低56.60）。变盘触发：⬆️ 放量突破58.20港元（今日最高）→ 看59.00；⬇️ 破56.60港元 → 触发程序化止损，目标55.40。（2）YU7交付数据交付跟踪：若公布数据＞5000台（超预期）→ 刺激短线反弹；若＜3000台（低于预期）→ 引爆失望性抛售。（3）机构暗战多头：高盛大买+看涨期权堆积（行权价58-60港元）；空头：融券卖空比例维持9.36%（仍高于健康水平）。3. 操作策略建议变盘前战术持仓者：✅ 57.70-58.00港元减仓30%；✅ 剩余仓位破56.60市价止损。空仓者：🚫 禁止提前入场（量比＜0.8确认震荡延续）；✅ 只做突破跟随：放量突破58.20 → 轻仓追多（≤5%，目标59.00）；破位56.60 → 融券做空（目标55.40）。事件驱动交付数据发布后：若数据超预期+量比＞1.5 → 市价追多（止损-2%）；若数据平淡 → 加倍融券卖出（目标56.00）。对冲艺术跨","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp; 核心观点：量能枯竭+多空僵持，静待交付数据打破平衡！1. 关键数据复盘阴跌延续：收盘57.50港元（-1.03%），成交额75.78亿（连续3日缩量，较峰值-75%）；振幅收窄至2.75%（56.60-58.20），买盘占比31.28%（多头抵抗微弱）。异常信号：高盛反常净买入1485万股，但被美林抛售2102万股对冲；期权put/call比0.3（看涨情绪与股价背离，警惕多头陷阱）；港股通单日再流出（60日累计-240亿，历史峰值）。2. 明日核心博弈点（1）技术面窒息三角：MACD红柱濒临消失（0.507 → 明日可能死叉）；BOLL通道收窄（上轨60.33/下轨50.46，变盘在即）；57.00港元成新防线（7月3日最低+今日最低56.60）。变盘触发：⬆️ 放量突破58.20港元（今日最高）→ 看59.00；⬇️ 破56.60港元 → 触发程序化止损，目标55.40。（2）YU7交付数据交付跟踪：若公布数据＞5000台（超预期）→ 刺激短线反弹；若＜3000台（低于预期）→ 引爆失望性抛售。（3）机构暗战多头：高盛大买+看涨期权堆积（行权价58-60港元）；空头：融券卖空比例维持9.36%（仍高于健康水平）。3. 操作策略建议变盘前战术持仓者：✅ 57.70-58.00港元减仓30%；✅ 剩余仓位破56.60市价止损。空仓者：🚫 禁止提前入场（量比＜0.8确认震荡延续）；✅ 只做突破跟随：放量突破58.20 → 轻仓追多（≤5%，目标59.00）；破位56.60 → 融券做空（目标55.40）。事件驱动交付数据发布后：若数据超预期+量比＞1.5 → 市价追多（止损-2%）；若数据平淡 → 加倍融券卖出（目标56.00）。对冲艺术跨","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 核心观点：量能枯竭+多空僵持，静待交付数据打破平衡！1. 关键数据复盘阴跌延续：收盘57.50港元（-1.03%），成交额75.78亿（连续3日缩量，较峰值-75%）；振幅收窄至2.75%（56.60-58.20），买盘占比31.28%（多头抵抗微弱）。异常信号：高盛反常净买入1485万股，但被美林抛售2102万股对冲；期权put/call比0.3（看涨情绪与股价背离，警惕多头陷阱）；港股通单日再流出（60日累计-240亿，历史峰值）。2. 明日核心博弈点（1）技术面窒息三角：MACD红柱濒临消失（0.507 → 明日可能死叉）；BOLL通道收窄（上轨60.33/下轨50.46，变盘在即）；57.00港元成新防线（7月3日最低+今日最低56.60）。变盘触发：⬆️ 放量突破58.20港元（今日最高）→ 看59.00；⬇️ 破56.60港元 → 触发程序化止损，目标55.40。（2）YU7交付数据交付跟踪：若公布数据＞5000台（超预期）→ 刺激短线反弹；若＜3000台（低于预期）→ 引爆失望性抛售。（3）机构暗战多头：高盛大买+看涨期权堆积（行权价58-60港元）；空头：融券卖空比例维持9.36%（仍高于健康水平）。3. 操作策略建议变盘前战术持仓者：✅ 57.70-58.00港元减仓30%；✅ 剩余仓位破56.60市价止损。空仓者：🚫 禁止提前入场（量比＜0.8确认震荡延续）；✅ 只做突破跟随：放量突破58.20 → 轻仓追多（≤5%，目标59.00）；破位56.60 → 融券做空（目标55.40）。事件驱动交付数据发布后：若数据超预期+量比＞1.5 → 市价追多（止损-2%）；若数据平淡 → 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