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03-27

$美国航空(AAL)$ 人还是要专注自己熟悉的领域

2024-10-08

中概主要影响有两个，一美国是否明确降息预期，降息会使投机资金进入风险溢价更高的中概，提升中概的估值二中国政府是否有万亿级别的经历刺激计划，政策的落地将提升中概的业绩

2024-10-15

$中芯国际(00981)$ 用美股的经验做港股，吃了大亏，港股最关键的不是公司和股价，是流动性

03-27

$诺和诺德(NVO)$ 人还是要有自己熟悉的公司

2024-10-27

$DJT 宽跨式期权 241108 30.0P/50.0C$ 大选前及时平仓

2024-10-17

$特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$ 投机资金应该不会放量扛一周，高峰一般就3天

2024-10-16

$中芯国际(00981)$ 这港股的炒作就两天

2024-10-04

$美团-W(03690)$ 可以两个月腰斩也能两个月翻倍，这个票怎么做

05-17

$超微电脑(SMCI)$ 两百亿市直被一直炒作翻倍腰斩

05-16

$美团-W(03690)$ 从去年9月130，10月200，再到现在130，市场情绪，多空博弈谁知道

05-16

$诺和诺德(NVO)$ 从2月90跌到60，竞争激烈下调预期。核心产品销售额萎缩，一切皆有可能，超预期不一定涨

05-03

$PayPal(PYPL)$ 财报不好下跌可能还是被高估

05-03

$PayPal(PYPL)$ 财报后跌也可能接着跌，不一定会反弹，每股收益未来是否会增长

04-08

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

抱歉，原内容已删除

2024-12-09

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 经验主义和信息分辨能力，分析深度都不足

2024-11-06

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 败在与大选的相关性认识不足

2024-10-30

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@炼金鳄鱼:共振裸K结合Risk Reversal赌财报复盘TSLA

2024-10-21

$特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$ 可以短期炒作到年底，做空为主

2024-10-19

$TSLA 垂直价差 241018 225.0C/230.0C$ 一周的盘整

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财报不好下跌可能还是被高估","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/431158691553896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1747,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":431153453618008,"gmtCreate":1746284192771,"gmtModify":1746284195379,"author":{"id":"4172726533736442","authorId":"4172726533736442","name":"8599511zjh","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4172726533736442","idStr":"4172726533736442"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$&nbsp;</a> 财报后跌也可能接着跌，不一定会反弹，每股收益未来是否会增长","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$&nbsp;</a> 财报后跌也可能接着跌，不一定会反弹，每股收益未来是否会增长","text":"$PayPal(PYPL)$ 财报后跌也可能接着跌，不一定会反弹，每股收益未来是否会增长","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/431153453618008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":422253868593416,"gmtCreate":1744118598038,"gmtModify":1744118600755,"author":{"id":"4172726533736442","authorId":"4172726533736442","name":"8599511zjh","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4172726533736442","idStr":"4172726533736442"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/422253868593416","repostId":"1116637719","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":941,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":417996327248208,"gmtCreate":1743090964725,"gmtModify":1743090965963,"author":{"id":"4172726533736442","authorId":"4172726533736442","name":"8599511zjh","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4172726533736442","idStr":"4172726533736442"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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Reversal赌财报复盘TSLA","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 首先说明本文仅从技术分析角度复盘，新人随笔复盘，还请大佬多指教 趋势判断： 1、大级别：当时从趋势上判断TSLA处于日线和周线级别处于突破状态，且回踩整个上升趋势中50%分割线，因为我认为此时大趋势仍旧向上，且已经突破整个下行的下跌趋势线。 左日K、右周K 2、小级别：此时1H处于经过一轮发布会低于预期后的恐慌抛售，出现初次带量需求K，随后一直缩量在箱体内盘整，次日出现了震仓但是都未放出量能。此时也能作为判断供应衰竭的其中一个佐证。此时我想的事保持交易一致性顺大逆小来操作（最深趋势线回踩预估210-205） 左1小时K、右4小时K 策略的选择 3、综上从趋势顺大逆小趋势判断来说，我觉得特斯拉这波回踩后依然会继续涨。如果选择不操作我可能会错过这次恐慌抛售后捡筹码/抢反弹的机会。不操作一定概率会错过反弹的趋势和赌财报的机会。而操作风险是害怕下周价格继续下探跌穿212.11前低，所以相比之前买正股我想做一定下跌/时间损耗保护的条件下最大化吃到反弹涨幅。 4、综合我看好反弹和想赌一把财报复苏的背景下，我选择卖出行权价210的put➕买入230行权价的call 选择原因临近财报前一天的最高风险点210，和上涨中可能到达第一遇阻的点230（突破有较大概率变为in the money，sell put能为我对冲掉买call带来时间损耗） 5、此策略最大优势就是在于，我是无本抄底TSLA相当于（sell put = 4.02、buy call = 1.92）且能为我消化掉股价万一不反弹的时间损耗和一定继续下跌的风险 6、TSLA股性这么多年来也是有目共睹的，涨的多快多高、就跌的多快多深，反之亦然。 总结 使用0成本最强抄底策略Risk Reversal sell put 210 2024","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 首先说明本文仅从技术分析角度复盘，新人随笔复盘，还请大佬多指教 趋势判断： 1、大级别：当时从趋势上判断TSLA处于日线和周线级别处于突破状态，且回踩整个上升趋势中50%分割线，因为我认为此时大趋势仍旧向上，且已经突破整个下行的下跌趋势线。 左日K、右周K 2、小级别：此时1H处于经过一轮发布会低于预期后的恐慌抛售，出现初次带量需求K，随后一直缩量在箱体内盘整，次日出现了震仓但是都未放出量能。此时也能作为判断供应衰竭的其中一个佐证。此时我想的事保持交易一致性顺大逆小来操作（最深趋势线回踩预估210-205） 左1小时K、右4小时K 策略的选择 3、综上从趋势顺大逆小趋势判断来说，我觉得特斯拉这波回踩后依然会继续涨。如果选择不操作我可能会错过这次恐慌抛售后捡筹码/抢反弹的机会。不操作一定概率会错过反弹的趋势和赌财报的机会。而操作风险是害怕下周价格继续下探跌穿212.11前低，所以相比之前买正股我想做一定下跌/时间损耗保护的条件下最大化吃到反弹涨幅。 4、综合我看好反弹和想赌一把财报复苏的背景下，我选择卖出行权价210的put➕买入230行权价的call 选择原因临近财报前一天的最高风险点210，和上涨中可能到达第一遇阻的点230（突破有较大概率变为in the money，sell put能为我对冲掉买call带来时间损耗） 5、此策略最大优势就是在于，我是无本抄底TSLA相当于（sell put = 4.02、buy call = 1.92）且能为我消化掉股价万一不反弹的时间损耗和一定继续下跌的风险 6、TSLA股性这么多年来也是有目共睹的，涨的多快多高、就跌的多快多深，反之亦然。 总结 使用0成本最强抄底策略Risk Reversal sell put 210 2024","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 首先说明本文仅从技术分析角度复盘，新人随笔复盘，还请大佬多指教 趋势判断： 1、大级别：当时从趋势上判断TSLA处于日线和周线级别处于突破状态，且回踩整个上升趋势中50%分割线，因为我认为此时大趋势仍旧向上，且已经突破整个下行的下跌趋势线。 左日K、右周K 2、小级别：此时1H处于经过一轮发布会低于预期后的恐慌抛售，出现初次带量需求K，随后一直缩量在箱体内盘整，次日出现了震仓但是都未放出量能。此时也能作为判断供应衰竭的其中一个佐证。此时我想的事保持交易一致性顺大逆小来操作（最深趋势线回踩预估210-205） 左1小时K、右4小时K 策略的选择 3、综上从趋势顺大逆小趋势判断来说，我觉得特斯拉这波回踩后依然会继续涨。如果选择不操作我可能会错过这次恐慌抛售后捡筹码/抢反弹的机会。不操作一定概率会错过反弹的趋势和赌财报的机会。而操作风险是害怕下周价格继续下探跌穿212.11前低，所以相比之前买正股我想做一定下跌/时间损耗保护的条件下最大化吃到反弹涨幅。 4、综合我看好反弹和想赌一把财报复苏的背景下，我选择卖出行权价210的put➕买入230行权价的call 选择原因临近财报前一天的最高风险点210，和上涨中可能到达第一遇阻的点230（突破有较大概率变为in the money，sell put能为我对冲掉买call带来时间损耗） 5、此策略最大优势就是在于，我是无本抄底TSLA相当于（sell put = 4.02、buy call = 1.92）且能为我消化掉股价万一不反弹的时间损耗和一定继续下跌的风险 6、TSLA股性这么多年来也是有目共睹的，涨的多快多高、就跌的多快多深，反之亦然。 总结 使用0成本最强抄底策略Risk Reversal sell put 210 2024","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82342658787a81f46f337402f47a947a","width":"1200","height":"600"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1110610bcae580633c01838c27fb7b84","width":"2174","height":"1266"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf755848ed3430b298aafee8d068bc2d","width":"2157","height":"1264"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365718561841344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2064,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":362413018087496,"gmtCreate":1729514898057,"gmtModify":1729514899587,"author":{"id":"4172726533736442","authorId":"4172726533736442","name":"8599511zjh","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4172726533736442","idStr":"4172726533736442"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">$特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$&nbsp;</a> 可以短期炒作到年底，做空为主","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">$特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$&nbsp;</a> 可以短期炒作到年底，做空为主","text":"$特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$ 可以短期炒作到年底，做空为主","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362413018087496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":801,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":361486619971896,"gmtCreate":1729287006868,"gmtModify":1729287009286,"author":{"id":"4172726533736442","authorId":"4172726533736442","name":"8599511zjh","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4172726533736442","idStr":"4172726533736442"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20241018 225.0 CALL BUY 1 | TSLA 20241018 230.0 CALL SELL 1\">$TSLA 垂直价差 241018 225.0C/230.0C$</a> 一周的盘整","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20241018 225.0 CALL BUY 1 | TSLA 20241018 230.0 CALL SELL 1\">$TSLA 垂直价差 241018 225.0C/230.0C$</a> 一周的盘整","text":"$TSLA 垂直价差 241018 225.0C/230.0C$ 一周的盘整","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361486619971896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}