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天天向上1981
12-01
$白银ETF-iShares(SLV)$
天天向上1981
11-15
你好
@格隆汇:业绩高能见度,现金流优异,解码中国春来(1969.HK)价值成长的底层逻辑
天天向上1981
11-01
$直觉外科公司(ISRG)$
天天向上1981
10-19
$白银ETF(iShares)(SLV)$
天天向上1981
10-07
$OXY 20251107 43.0 PUT$
方向暂时正确,抄巴老的底。黄金都4000,石油这些大宗商品也应该补涨
天天向上1981
10-04
$OXY 20251107 43.0 PUT$
抄巴老的底
天天向上1981
10-03
财富密码
天天向上1981
10-03
$阿里巴巴 垂直价差 251003 CALL 190.0/CALL 197.5$
,心态有些变形,而且没有做好接股的资金,记录一下。
天天向上1981
09-17
加油
天天向上1981
09-12
中了8股,36.1元全卖了
天天向上1981
05-02
$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$
天天向上1981
04-23
#《投资为乐》:在老虎做美股变得更简单
天天向上1981
02-12
答案是:1.低开高走 2.胜券在握 3.踏空 4.收阳 5 .阿里巴巴
天天向上1981
02-03
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$
天天向上1981
01-28
大吉大利!点赞的,25年翻3倍!!!
天天向上1981
2024-11-20
好
天天向上1981
2024-09-30
卡片大作战
天天向上1981
2024-09-22
买美债做多期权
天天向上1981
2024-09-22
Replying to
@Downfish
:买美债期权//
@Downfish
:
@叮咚买菜
@小虎产品经理
1.利好美债 2.资金回流美元贬值,人民币升值 3.利好科技成长行业 4.利好股市
天天向上1981
2024-09-09
太阳系:太阳加八个卫星!
@谋定后动:指数ETF:散户抓住大牛股的最好工具 【谋定后动专栏】
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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眼下,随着牛市步入新的阶段,市场资金在高位中趋于谨慎,更倾向于配置具备高可见度的景气行业,以求做到“攻守兼备”,而教育板块特别是民办高等教育领域,高校公司凭借其资产扎实,预收账款现金流好,同时拥有明确的增长预期,恰好满足了这一需求。 近期笔者留意到中国春来也即将发布年度财报,不妨就此提前来看公司的机会所在。 01 高预期差下教育板块的三大价值支点 遵循自上而下的分析逻辑,从行业板块先入手,不难发现当前教育板块整体估值仍然处在低位,存在明显的市场预期差,在笔者看来,行业的价值逻辑有如下三大支撑。 首先是政策与需求共振。 政策环境持续改善,为教育板块提供了有力支撑。可以看到,自2025年7月以来,教育行业相继迎来生育补贴和学前教育逐步免费两大政策利好,这些举措不仅有助于提升生育意愿,更将直接刺激教育消费需求,并催化了板块估值修复行情。与此同时,在AI+教育浪潮的推动下,配套政策也在持续完善,为行业创新发展注入新动能。 而聚焦到高等教育领域,国家对高等教育的支持力度不断增强,从宏观战略到具体实施方案,形成了全方位、多层次的政策支撑网络。随着《教育强国建设规划纲要(2024—2035年)》、《加快建设教育强国三年行动计划(2025–2027年)》、《高等教育学科专业设置调整优化行动方案(2025—2027年)》等一系列紧密衔接的政策组合落地,为民办高等教育机构创造了前所未有的发展机遇和明确的政策预期。 从需求端来看,教育需求呈现刚性特征,特别是在高等教育领域,在就业压力持续存在的背景下,高校在应用型人才培养、提升就业竞争力等方面的价值愈发凸显,使其成为当前最具前景的细分赛道之一。 再次,则是教育板块的增长确定性高。 从行业基本面的角度来看,教育板块的","listText":"今年以来,港A股市场呈现明显的“慢牛”行情,在这轮中国资产重估浪潮中,教育板块整体表现可圈可点,板块修复之际,市场信心也在逐步升温。 眼下,随着牛市步入新的阶段,市场资金在高位中趋于谨慎,更倾向于配置具备高可见度的景气行业,以求做到“攻守兼备”,而教育板块特别是民办高等教育领域,高校公司凭借其资产扎实,预收账款现金流好,同时拥有明确的增长预期,恰好满足了这一需求。 近期笔者留意到中国春来也即将发布年度财报,不妨就此提前来看公司的机会所在。 01 高预期差下教育板块的三大价值支点 遵循自上而下的分析逻辑,从行业板块先入手,不难发现当前教育板块整体估值仍然处在低位,存在明显的市场预期差,在笔者看来,行业的价值逻辑有如下三大支撑。 首先是政策与需求共振。 政策环境持续改善,为教育板块提供了有力支撑。可以看到,自2025年7月以来,教育行业相继迎来生育补贴和学前教育逐步免费两大政策利好,这些举措不仅有助于提升生育意愿,更将直接刺激教育消费需求,并催化了板块估值修复行情。与此同时,在AI+教育浪潮的推动下,配套政策也在持续完善,为行业创新发展注入新动能。 而聚焦到高等教育领域,国家对高等教育的支持力度不断增强,从宏观战略到具体实施方案,形成了全方位、多层次的政策支撑网络。随着《教育强国建设规划纲要(2024—2035年)》、《加快建设教育强国三年行动计划(2025–2027年)》、《高等教育学科专业设置调整优化行动方案(2025—2027年)》等一系列紧密衔接的政策组合落地,为民办高等教育机构创造了前所未有的发展机遇和明确的政策预期。 从需求端来看,教育需求呈现刚性特征,特别是在高等教育领域,在就业压力持续存在的背景下,高校在应用型人才培养、提升就业竞争力等方面的价值愈发凸显,使其成为当前最具前景的细分赛道之一。 再次,则是教育板块的增长确定性高。 从行业基本面的角度来看,教育板块的","text":"今年以来,港A股市场呈现明显的“慢牛”行情,在这轮中国资产重估浪潮中,教育板块整体表现可圈可点,板块修复之际,市场信心也在逐步升温。 眼下,随着牛市步入新的阶段,市场资金在高位中趋于谨慎,更倾向于配置具备高可见度的景气行业,以求做到“攻守兼备”,而教育板块特别是民办高等教育领域,高校公司凭借其资产扎实,预收账款现金流好,同时拥有明确的增长预期,恰好满足了这一需求。 近期笔者留意到中国春来也即将发布年度财报,不妨就此提前来看公司的机会所在。 01 高预期差下教育板块的三大价值支点 遵循自上而下的分析逻辑,从行业板块先入手,不难发现当前教育板块整体估值仍然处在低位,存在明显的市场预期差,在笔者看来,行业的价值逻辑有如下三大支撑。 首先是政策与需求共振。 政策环境持续改善,为教育板块提供了有力支撑。可以看到,自2025年7月以来,教育行业相继迎来生育补贴和学前教育逐步免费两大政策利好,这些举措不仅有助于提升生育意愿,更将直接刺激教育消费需求,并催化了板块估值修复行情。与此同时,在AI+教育浪潮的推动下,配套政策也在持续完善,为行业创新发展注入新动能。 而聚焦到高等教育领域,国家对高等教育的支持力度不断增强,从宏观战略到具体实施方案,形成了全方位、多层次的政策支撑网络。随着《教育强国建设规划纲要(2024—2035年)》、《加快建设教育强国三年行动计划(2025–2027年)》、《高等教育学科专业设置调整优化行动方案(2025—2027年)》等一系列紧密衔接的政策组合落地,为民办高等教育机构创造了前所未有的发展机遇和明确的政策预期。 从需求端来看,教育需求呈现刚性特征,特别是在高等教育领域,在就业压力持续存在的背景下,高校在应用型人才培养、提升就业竞争力等方面的价值愈发凸显,使其成为当前最具前景的细分赛道之一。 再次,则是教育板块的增长确定性高。 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当年这场巴菲特赌局最大的赢家不是巴菲特本人,而是ETF和指数基金行业,也就在这场赌局之后,整个投资行业的理念发生了巨大的转变,被","listText":"专栏简介:大家好,我是谋定后动,这是我新的系列内容,我会和大家一起聊一聊ETF。2020年的时候一个年轻的上班族朋友问我该怎么投资,她说没有什么兴趣学习投资知识,有时间她情愿去逛街或者煲剧,问我有没有什么简单的办法。我就说,你就买个美股大盘ETF吧,在券商App上搜索“SPY”就好,她说什么时候买呢?我问她什么时候发工资,她说是25号,我说那你每个月26号买入2股吧,不过要每个月坚持哦。她又问,那什么时候卖呢?我说把这股票当作你的储蓄,买了就别动,一直存着,以后等你要买房子或者要用钱的时候再卖。去年年底这个朋友给我发来节日问候时,高兴地说她的SPY股票现在涨了30%多了。这不是什么独门秘笈,而是一个投资领域里公开的秘密。说话实在的巴菲特老爷子在好多次记者会上被问起投资的秘诀,他连自己家的股票都没有推荐,而是推荐标普500指数ETF,并且说长期持有标普500指数基金就能超过大部分投资者。这里有个让人津津乐道的“十年赌局”小故事。早在2005年,巴菲特公开立下一个赌约,下注100万美元,赌局约定:任何一名基金经理选择至少五只主动管理的基金,十年以后,如果这五只基金的整体表现优于标普500指数的话,对方将赢得赌局。最终只有美国对冲基金Protégé的一名叫泰德·西德斯的基金经理在2007年敢于应战。巴菲特一开始估计自己获胜的概率大约在60%。西德斯则认为,自己获胜的概率能达到85%。”。西德斯的自信来自于“幸运的是,我们要打败的是标普500,而不是巴菲特”。然而到了2017年,泰德·西德斯提前宣布自己输掉了赌局,因为他选择的5只主动型管理基金平均年化回报只有可怜的2.2%,而标普500指数在这九年间的收益率是85.4%,平均年化回报7.1%。 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