来看看1024的个人主页 - 老虎社区

来看看1024

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IP属地：北京

30关注

2粉丝

1主题

0勋章

2024-12-01

$美国50ETF(513850)$ 今年涨的比纳指好

2024-11-11

$道琼斯ETF(DIA)$ maga

2024-12-08

$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 很阿里很印度！

2024-12-08

$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 合伙人就这水平，倒是挺符合$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 的企业文化的，主打吹牛和PUA，问他会啥，估计主要是对领导忠诚[狗头]。关键是就这认知，自己坐在那位置上没有整天慌张不停地学习，还觉得自己真配坐那位置了。

2024-09-17

$iShares MSCI印度ETF〈INDA〉(INDA)$ 三哥厉害！周k接近斜率是45度直线

2024-12-12

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 见证历史了，马上20000点

2025-02-27

$小米集团-W(01810)$ 厉害哇，v起来了？

2025-01-29

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 它来了它来了

2025-10-11

来了来了

2025-02-26

$小米集团-W(01810)$ 真强呀这走势

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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真强呀这走势","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 真强呀这走势","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/407704479830280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1715,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":397814495691240,"gmtCreate":1738145401555,"gmtModify":1738145406087,"author":{"id":"4188215042356912","authorId":"4188215042356912","name":"来看看1024","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4188215042356912","idStr":"4188215042356912"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a> 它来了它来了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a> 它来了它来了","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 它来了它来了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13311991d7c7b3cf71bf352001a90a7d","width":"1080","height":"2400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/397814495691240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3544509774534384","authorId":"3544509774534384","name":"WGJJS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3544509774534384","idStr":"3544509774534384"},"content":"它们在引导注意力呢， 实际应该关注的是，deepseek用了更差的算力，达到了更好的结果啊，这才是核心","text":"它们在引导注意力呢， 实际应该关注的是，deepseek用了更差的算力，达到了更好的结果啊，这才是核心","html":"它们在引导注意力呢， 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01:13","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"纳斯达克首次突破20000点，创历史新高！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152723836","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"今年累涨超33%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周三，纳斯达克指数持续上涨，盘中首次突破20000点大关，刷新历史纪录，今年累涨超33%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f55bab4e70e3222b9c9a0f5aa2fb7170\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>纳斯达克100指数成分股中，博通、谷歌涨幅居前。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6c3c72de753ae8258c82899af558037\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"910\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>纳斯达克首次突破20000点，创历史新高！</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; 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01:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>周三，纳斯达克指数持续上涨，盘中首次突破20000点大关，刷新历史纪录，今年累涨超33%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f55bab4e70e3222b9c9a0f5aa2fb7170\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>纳斯达克100指数成分股中，博通、谷歌涨幅居前。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6c3c72de753ae8258c82899af558037\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"910\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44fc2c33800eae6e4f0bbec10e83a1a5","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ 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见证历史了，马上20000点","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380527541010848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":380449281819240,"gmtCreate":1733929111077,"gmtModify":1733929112452,"author":{"id":"4188215042356912","authorId":"4188215042356912","name":"来看看1024","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4188215042356912","idStr":"4188215042356912"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAGS\">$The Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$&nbsp;</a> 冲，最近涨的真好","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAGS\">$The Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$&nbsp;</a> 冲，最近涨的真好","text":"$The Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ 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class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-11-11 22:29</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>11月11日（周一），标普500指数开盘上涨20.80点，涨幅0.35%，报6016.40点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨68.21点，涨幅0.35%，报19354.98点；<br/>道琼斯指数开盘上涨305.86点，涨幅0.70%，报44294.85点。<strong>开盘后，美股三大股指均创盘中历史新高。</strong></p><p>特斯拉涨逾7%，以特斯拉为主题的ETF TSLL 大涨15%。韦德布什将特斯拉目标价从300美元上调至400美元。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a925e374da7cc8a798d81c3a17bd8985\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>比特币日内突破82000美元/枚，连创历史新高，加密货币股大涨。Bit Digital涨超16%，Marathon Digital、嘉楠科技涨超14%，MicroStrategy涨10%，Coinbase涨超9%，Riot 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Platforms涨8%。小鹏汽车涨超5%，理想汽车涨3.66%，蔚来涨近2%。10月，国内新能源汽车产销量均同比大增。今日“双十一”，中概电商股盘前普涨。阿里巴巴涨1.9%，京东涨1.35%，拼多多跌超1%。总部位于中国香港的盛德财富涨超22%。盛德财富宣布收购InnoSphere科技，并完成收购人工智能Wealth AI。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":1.1,".SPX":1.1,".DJI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1651,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368109876326704,"gmtCreate":1730904422907,"gmtModify":1730904425525,"author":{"id":"4188215042356912","authorId":"4188215042356912","name":"来看看1024","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4188215042356912","idStr":"4188215042356912"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"发财！！！","listText":"发财！！！","text":"发财！！！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368109876326704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":361438662586472,"gmtCreate":1729260494019,"gmtModify":1729260495979,"author":{"id":"4188215042356912","authorId":"4188215042356912","name":"来看看1024","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4188215042356912","idStr":"4188215042356912"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"成年人全都要","listText":"成年人全都要","text":"成年人全都要","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361438662586472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":351419790487640,"gmtCreate":1726834995190,"gmtModify":1726834997585,"author":{"id":"4188215042356912","authorId":"4188215042356912","name":"来看看1024","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4188215042356912","idStr":"4188215042356912"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"印度东南亚","listText":"印度东南亚","text":"印度东南亚","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/351419790487640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2236,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":350789618213104,"gmtCreate":1726683721686,"gmtModify":1726683723341,"author":{"id":"4188215042356912","authorId":"4188215042356912","name":"来看看1024","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4188215042356912","idStr":"4188215042356912"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不错不错","listText":"不错不错","text":"不错不错","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350789618213104","repostId":"1150393212","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150393212","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1726682450,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150393212?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-09-19 02:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"大幅降息50个基点！美联储以激进的第一步开启货币宽松周期","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150393212","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美联储将联邦基金利率目标区间下调50个基点至4.75%至5.00%。美联储预计2024年底利率为4.4%，2025年为3.4%。美联储FOMC声明称，对通胀的信心增强，正持续向2%迈进。美股涨幅扩大，纳指涨超1%，标普500指数涨0.72%，道指涨0.74%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>摘要：</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>美联储将联邦基金利率目标区间下调50个基点至4.75%至5.00%</p></li><li><p>美联储点阵图：预计2024年还将降息50基点</p></li><li><p>美联储上调2024年美国失业率预期至4.4%</p></li><li><p>美联储下调2024年美国GDP增长预期至2.0%</p></li><li><p>美联储下调美国2024年核心PCE通胀预期至2.6%</p></li></ul><p>如市场所料，美联储开启了宽松周期，四年来首次降息，更令市场兴奋的是，联储一开头就超常规大幅降息。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美东时间9月18日周三，美联储在货币政策委员会FOMC会后宣布，联邦基金利率的目标区间从5.25%到5.50%降至4.75%至5.0%，降幅50个基点。这是美联储2022年3月启动本轮紧缩周期以来首次降息。自2022年3月至去年7月，美联储一年多时间连续11次加息，累计加息525个基点，自去年7月以来连续八次会议按兵不动，将利率保持在2001年来高位。</p><p>美联储FOMC声明称，对通胀的信心增强，正持续向2%迈进；就业和通胀目标面临的风险处于平衡状态。</p><p><strong>美联储利率决议公布后，美股涨幅扩大，纳指涨超1%，标普500指数涨0.72%，道指涨0.74%。现货黄金日内涨幅扩大至1%，现报2595.15美元/盎司，续创历史新高。</strong></p><p><strong>美联储点阵图：预计2024年还将降息50基点</strong></p><p>备受关注的利率预测“点阵图”显示，19位政策制定者对2024年末美联储利率预期的中位数落在<strong>4.25%至4.5%之间</strong>。这意味着，他们整体认为到年底还会再当前的基础上再累计降息50个基点。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f63c09c56de797721aa59dac8bbd2ae4\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"621\" tg-height=\"671\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">预测中位数还显示，19位政策制定者认为2025年末利率将落在3.25%至3.5%之间，即2025年将累计降息100个基点；2026年将降息50个基点，并将长期维持在2.75%至3%之间。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48862ef1b6bfdb87d6503b1f51a37a09\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"328\" tg-height=\"287\"/></p><p><br/><strong>美联储上调2024年美国失业率预期至4.4%</strong></p><p>美联储预计2024年失业率为4.4%，6月料为4.0%；预计2025年失业率为4.4%，6月料为4.2%；预计2026年失业率为4.3%，6月料为4.1%；预计2026年失业率为4.2%，6月料为4.1%；预计长期美国失业率为4.2%，6月料为4.2%。</p><p><strong>美联储下调2024年美国GDP增长预期至2.0%</strong></p><p>美联储预计美国2024年GDP增速为2.0%，6月料为2.1%；预计美国2025年GDP增速为2.0%，6月料为2.0%；预计美国2026年GDP增速为2.0%，6月料为2.0%；预计美国2027年GDP增速为2.0%；预计长期美国GDP增速为1.8%，6月料为1.8%。</p><p><strong>美联储下调美国2024年核心PCE通胀预期至2.6%</strong></p><p>美联储预计2024年核心PCE通胀为2.6%，6月料为2.8%；预计2025年核心PCE通胀为2.2%，6月料为2.3%；预计2026年核心PCE通胀为2.0%，6月料为2.0%；预计2027年核心PCE通胀为2.0%；预计2024年PCE通胀为2.3%，6月料为2.6%；预计2025年PCE通胀为2.1%，6月料为2.3%；预计2026年PCE通胀为2.0%，6月料为2.0%；预计2027年PCE通胀为2.0%；预计更长周期的PCE通胀为2.0%，6月料为2.0%。</p><p><strong>“美联储传声筒”：首次降息50BPs，标志着降息周期的大胆开局</strong></p><p>“新美联储通讯社”Nick Timiraos：美联储投票决定将利率下调50BPs，这是自2020年以来首次降息，标志着降息行动的大胆开局。12位美联储票委中有11位支持本次降息决定，使基准联邦基金利率降至4.75%至5%的区间。周三发布的季度预测显示，大多数官员预计将在11月和12月的会议上至少将利率下调25BPs。本次降息决定使美联储坚定地进入新阶段：试图阻止去年的加息行动(将借贷成本推升至二十年来的高点)进一步削弱美国劳动力市场。</p><p>美联储利率决议公布后，美股涨幅扩大，纳指涨超1%，标普500指数涨0.72%，道指涨0.74%。</p><blockquote><p><strong>美联储决议全文：降息50个基点，致力于支持就业最大化</strong></p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">最近的指标显示，经济活动继续以稳健的步伐扩展。虽然就业增长有所放缓，失业率略有上升，但仍处于较低水平。通胀进一步向委员会2%的目标靠拢，但仍然略高于目标。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">委员会的目标是实现长期内的就业最大化和2%的通胀。<strong>委员会对通胀持续向2%的目标迈进充满信心，并认为实现就业和通胀目标的风险大致平衡。</strong>鉴于经济前景的不确定性，委员会高度关注双重使命的两面风险。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">鉴于通胀的进展以及风险的平衡，<strong>委员会决定将联邦基金利率目标区间下调50个基点至4.75%-5%。</strong>在考虑进一步调整利率目标区间时，委员会将仔细评估最新数据、经济前景的变化以及风险的平衡。委员会将继续减少所持有的美债、机构债务和机构抵押支持证券。<strong>委员会坚定致力于支持就业最大化，并将通胀恢复到2%的目标。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在评估货币政策的适当立场时，委员会将继续监测最新信息对经济前景的影响。如果出现可能阻碍委员会实现目标的风险，委员会准备酌情调整货币政策立场。<strong>委员会的评估将综合考虑多方面信息，包括劳动力市场状况、通胀压力与通胀预期，以及金融和国际发展动态。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">支持此次货币政策行动的委员包括：主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔、副主席约翰·C·威廉姆斯、托马斯·I·巴尔金、迈克尔·S·巴尔、拉斐尔·W·博斯蒂克、丽莎·D·库克、玛丽·C·戴利、贝丝·M·哈马克、菲利普·N·杰斐逊、阿德里安娜·D·库格勒以及克里斯托弗·J·沃勒。<strong>反对该决定的委员是米歇尔·W·鲍曼，她更倾向于在此次会议上将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点。</strong></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>大幅降息50个基点！美联储以激进的第一步开启货币宽松周期</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大幅降息50个基点！美联储以激进的第一步开启货币宽松周期\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-09-19 02:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><strong>摘要：</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>美联储将联邦基金利率目标区间下调50个基点至4.75%至5.00%</p></li><li><p>美联储点阵图：预计2024年还将降息50基点</p></li><li><p>美联储上调2024年美国失业率预期至4.4%</p></li><li><p>美联储下调2024年美国GDP增长预期至2.0%</p></li><li><p>美联储下调美国2024年核心PCE通胀预期至2.6%</p></li></ul><p>如市场所料，美联储开启了宽松周期，四年来首次降息，更令市场兴奋的是，联储一开头就超常规大幅降息。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美东时间9月18日周三，美联储在货币政策委员会FOMC会后宣布，联邦基金利率的目标区间从5.25%到5.50%降至4.75%至5.0%，降幅50个基点。这是美联储2022年3月启动本轮紧缩周期以来首次降息。自2022年3月至去年7月，美联储一年多时间连续11次加息，累计加息525个基点，自去年7月以来连续八次会议按兵不动，将利率保持在2001年来高位。</p><p>美联储FOMC声明称，对通胀的信心增强，正持续向2%迈进；就业和通胀目标面临的风险处于平衡状态。</p><p><strong>美联储利率决议公布后，美股涨幅扩大，纳指涨超1%，标普500指数涨0.72%，道指涨0.74%。现货黄金日内涨幅扩大至1%，现报2595.15美元/盎司，续创历史新高。</strong></p><p><strong>美联储点阵图：预计2024年还将降息50基点</strong></p><p>备受关注的利率预测“点阵图”显示，19位政策制定者对2024年末美联储利率预期的中位数落在<strong>4.25%至4.5%之间</strong>。这意味着，他们整体认为到年底还会再当前的基础上再累计降息50个基点。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f63c09c56de797721aa59dac8bbd2ae4\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"621\" tg-height=\"671\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">预测中位数还显示，19位政策制定者认为2025年末利率将落在3.25%至3.5%之间，即2025年将累计降息100个基点；2026年将降息50个基点，并将长期维持在2.75%至3%之间。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48862ef1b6bfdb87d6503b1f51a37a09\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"328\" tg-height=\"287\"/></p><p><br/><strong>美联储上调2024年美国失业率预期至4.4%</strong></p><p>美联储预计2024年失业率为4.4%，6月料为4.0%；预计2025年失业率为4.4%，6月料为4.2%；预计2026年失业率为4.3%，6月料为4.1%；预计2026年失业率为4.2%，6月料为4.1%；预计长期美国失业率为4.2%，6月料为4.2%。</p><p><strong>美联储下调2024年美国GDP增长预期至2.0%</strong></p><p>美联储预计美国2024年GDP增速为2.0%，6月料为2.1%；预计美国2025年GDP增速为2.0%，6月料为2.0%；预计美国2026年GDP增速为2.0%，6月料为2.0%；预计美国2027年GDP增速为2.0%；预计长期美国GDP增速为1.8%，6月料为1.8%。</p><p><strong>美联储下调美国2024年核心PCE通胀预期至2.6%</strong></p><p>美联储预计2024年核心PCE通胀为2.6%，6月料为2.8%；预计2025年核心PCE通胀为2.2%，6月料为2.3%；预计2026年核心PCE通胀为2.0%，6月料为2.0%；预计2027年核心PCE通胀为2.0%；预计2024年PCE通胀为2.3%，6月料为2.6%；预计2025年PCE通胀为2.1%，6月料为2.3%；预计2026年PCE通胀为2.0%，6月料为2.0%；预计2027年PCE通胀为2.0%；预计更长周期的PCE通胀为2.0%，6月料为2.0%。</p><p><strong>“美联储传声筒”：首次降息50BPs，标志着降息周期的大胆开局</strong></p><p>“新美联储通讯社”Nick Timiraos：美联储投票决定将利率下调50BPs，这是自2020年以来首次降息，标志着降息行动的大胆开局。12位美联储票委中有11位支持本次降息决定，使基准联邦基金利率降至4.75%至5%的区间。周三发布的季度预测显示，大多数官员预计将在11月和12月的会议上至少将利率下调25BPs。本次降息决定使美联储坚定地进入新阶段：试图阻止去年的加息行动(将借贷成本推升至二十年来的高点)进一步削弱美国劳动力市场。</p><p>美联储利率决议公布后，美股涨幅扩大，纳指涨超1%，标普500指数涨0.72%，道指涨0.74%。</p><blockquote><p><strong>美联储决议全文：降息50个基点，致力于支持就业最大化</strong></p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">最近的指标显示，经济活动继续以稳健的步伐扩展。虽然就业增长有所放缓，失业率略有上升，但仍处于较低水平。通胀进一步向委员会2%的目标靠拢，但仍然略高于目标。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">委员会的目标是实现长期内的就业最大化和2%的通胀。<strong>委员会对通胀持续向2%的目标迈进充满信心，并认为实现就业和通胀目标的风险大致平衡。</strong>鉴于经济前景的不确定性，委员会高度关注双重使命的两面风险。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">鉴于通胀的进展以及风险的平衡，<strong>委员会决定将联邦基金利率目标区间下调50个基点至4.75%-5%。</strong>在考虑进一步调整利率目标区间时，委员会将仔细评估最新数据、经济前景的变化以及风险的平衡。委员会将继续减少所持有的美债、机构债务和机构抵押支持证券。<strong>委员会坚定致力于支持就业最大化，并将通胀恢复到2%的目标。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在评估货币政策的适当立场时，委员会将继续监测最新信息对经济前景的影响。如果出现可能阻碍委员会实现目标的风险，委员会准备酌情调整货币政策立场。<strong>委员会的评估将综合考虑多方面信息，包括劳动力市场状况、通胀压力与通胀预期，以及金融和国际发展动态。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">支持此次货币政策行动的委员包括：主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔、副主席约翰·C·威廉姆斯、托马斯·I·巴尔金、迈克尔·S·巴尔、拉斐尔·W·博斯蒂克、丽莎·D·库克、玛丽·C·戴利、贝丝·M·哈马克、菲利普·N·杰斐逊、阿德里安娜·D·库格勒以及克里斯托弗·J·沃勒。<strong>反对该决定的委员是米歇尔·W·鲍曼，她更倾向于在此次会议上将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点。</strong></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150393212","content_text":"摘要：美联储将联邦基金利率目标区间下调50个基点至4.75%至5.00%美联储点阵图：预计2024年还将降息50基点美联储上调2024年美国失业率预期至4.4%美联储下调2024年美国GDP增长预期至2.0%美联储下调美国2024年核心PCE通胀预期至2.6%如市场所料，美联储开启了宽松周期，四年来首次降息，更令市场兴奋的是，联储一开头就超常规大幅降息。美东时间9月18日周三，美联储在货币政策委员会FOMC会后宣布，联邦基金利率的目标区间从5.25%到5.50%降至4.75%至5.0%，降幅50个基点。这是美联储2022年3月启动本轮紧缩周期以来首次降息。自2022年3月至去年7月，美联储一年多时间连续11次加息，累计加息525个基点，自去年7月以来连续八次会议按兵不动，将利率保持在2001年来高位。美联储FOMC声明称，对通胀的信心增强，正持续向2%迈进；就业和通胀目标面临的风险处于平衡状态。美联储利率决议公布后，美股涨幅扩大，纳指涨超1%，标普500指数涨0.72%，道指涨0.74%。现货黄金日内涨幅扩大至1%，现报2595.15美元/盎司，续创历史新高。美联储点阵图：预计2024年还将降息50基点备受关注的利率预测“点阵图”显示，19位政策制定者对2024年末美联储利率预期的中位数落在4.25%至4.5%之间。这意味着，他们整体认为到年底还会再当前的基础上再累计降息50个基点。预测中位数还显示，19位政策制定者认为2025年末利率将落在3.25%至3.5%之间，即2025年将累计降息100个基点；2026年将降息50个基点，并将长期维持在2.75%至3%之间。美联储上调2024年美国失业率预期至4.4%美联储预计2024年失业率为4.4%，6月料为4.0%；预计2025年失业率为4.4%，6月料为4.2%；预计2026年失业率为4.3%，6月料为4.1%；预计2026年失业率为4.2%，6月料为4.1%；预计长期美国失业率为4.2%，6月料为4.2%。美联储下调2024年美国GDP增长预期至2.0%美联储预计美国2024年GDP增速为2.0%，6月料为2.1%；预计美国2025年GDP增速为2.0%，6月料为2.0%；预计美国2026年GDP增速为2.0%，6月料为2.0%；预计美国2027年GDP增速为2.0%；预计长期美国GDP增速为1.8%，6月料为1.8%。美联储下调美国2024年核心PCE通胀预期至2.6%美联储预计2024年核心PCE通胀为2.6%，6月料为2.8%；预计2025年核心PCE通胀为2.2%，6月料为2.3%；预计2026年核心PCE通胀为2.0%，6月料为2.0%；预计2027年核心PCE通胀为2.0%；预计2024年PCE通胀为2.3%，6月料为2.6%；预计2025年PCE通胀为2.1%，6月料为2.3%；预计2026年PCE通胀为2.0%，6月料为2.0%；预计2027年PCE通胀为2.0%；预计更长周期的PCE通胀为2.0%，6月料为2.0%。“美联储传声筒”：首次降息50BPs，标志着降息周期的大胆开局“新美联储通讯社”Nick Timiraos：美联储投票决定将利率下调50BPs，这是自2020年以来首次降息，标志着降息行动的大胆开局。12位美联储票委中有11位支持本次降息决定，使基准联邦基金利率降至4.75%至5%的区间。周三发布的季度预测显示，大多数官员预计将在11月和12月的会议上至少将利率下调25BPs。本次降息决定使美联储坚定地进入新阶段：试图阻止去年的加息行动(将借贷成本推升至二十年来的高点)进一步削弱美国劳动力市场。美联储利率决议公布后，美股涨幅扩大，纳指涨超1%，标普500指数涨0.72%，道指涨0.74%。美联储决议全文：降息50个基点，致力于支持就业最大化最近的指标显示，经济活动继续以稳健的步伐扩展。虽然就业增长有所放缓，失业率略有上升，但仍处于较低水平。通胀进一步向委员会2%的目标靠拢，但仍然略高于目标。委员会的目标是实现长期内的就业最大化和2%的通胀。委员会对通胀持续向2%的目标迈进充满信心，并认为实现就业和通胀目标的风险大致平衡。鉴于经济前景的不确定性，委员会高度关注双重使命的两面风险。鉴于通胀的进展以及风险的平衡，委员会决定将联邦基金利率目标区间下调50个基点至4.75%-5%。在考虑进一步调整利率目标区间时，委员会将仔细评估最新数据、经济前景的变化以及风险的平衡。委员会将继续减少所持有的美债、机构债务和机构抵押支持证券。委员会坚定致力于支持就业最大化，并将通胀恢复到2%的目标。在评估货币政策的适当立场时，委员会将继续监测最新信息对经济前景的影响。如果出现可能阻碍委员会实现目标的风险，委员会准备酌情调整货币政策立场。委员会的评估将综合考虑多方面信息，包括劳动力市场状况、通胀压力与通胀预期，以及金融和国际发展动态。支持此次货币政策行动的委员包括：主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔、副主席约翰·C·威廉姆斯、托马斯·I·巴尔金、迈克尔·S·巴尔、拉斐尔·W·博斯蒂克、丽莎·D·库克、玛丽·C·戴利、贝丝·M·哈马克、菲利普·N·杰斐逊、阿德里安娜·D·库格勒以及克里斯托弗·J·沃勒。反对该决定的委员是米歇尔·W·鲍曼，她更倾向于在此次会议上将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":350156040065368,"gmtCreate":1726515212441,"gmtModify":1726533246696,"author":{"id":"4188215042356912","authorId":"4188215042356912","name":"来看看1024","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4188215042356912","idStr":"4188215042356912"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"三哥厉害👍🏻","listText":"三哥厉害👍🏻","text":"三哥厉害👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350156040065368","repostId":"2467425137","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":376662373785792,"gmtCreate":1732983583870,"gmtModify":1732983586930,"author":{"id":"4188215042356912","authorId":"4188215042356912","name":"来看看1024","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4188215042356912","idStr":"4188215042356912"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/513850\">$美国50ETF(513850)$ </a> 今年涨的比纳指好","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/513850\">$美国50ETF(513850)$ </a> 今年涨的比纳指好","text":"$美国50ETF(513850)$ 今年涨的比纳指好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376662373785792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369860169535880,"gmtCreate":1731338581352,"gmtModify":1731338582622,"author":{"id":"4188215042356912","authorId":"4188215042356912","name":"来看看1024","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4188215042356912","idStr":"4188215042356912"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIA\">$道琼斯ETF(DIA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> maga","listText":"<a 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