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安全边际1688
10-13
$轩竹生物-B(02575)$
老虎我要吃土了[流泪] [流泪]
安全边际1688
10-02
$长风药业(02652)$
求求你了老虎大人[爱你] [爱你] 给块肉吧[可爱]
安全边际1688
09-05
$大行科工(02543)$
感恩老虎大大[爱你] [爱你]
安全边际1688
08-31
以下是对美团“绩后暴跌”事件的深度分析及投资策略建议,结合财务数据、行业格局与市场情绪综合研判: ------ 一、业绩暴雷:利润塌方背后的三重压力 1. 非理性竞争吞噬利润 ◦ 补贴大战血拼份额:2025Q2销售及营销开支同比暴涨51.8%至225亿元,主要用于应对京东“全年免佣”、阿里“500亿直补”的进攻策略。 ◦ 利润率断崖下跌:核心本地商业经营利润率从25.1%骤降至5.7%,单季度经营利润蒸发超110亿,相当于每天少赚1.21亿元。 2. 市场份额保卫战代价沉重 ◦ 美团市占率从85%下滑至65%,饿了么借补贴攻势份额飙升至28%,京东占据7%形成“三足鼎立”。 ◦ 独家商家优势松动:喜茶等头部品牌上线饿了么,商户多平台运营削弱美团议价权。 3. 骑手成本刚性化 ◦ 2025年底前全面取消骑手超时罚款,叠加17省市强制缴纳工伤险、全国推广养老保险补贴,人力成本结构性上升。 ------ 二、三季度预警:寒冬仍未结束 • 亏损将持续扩大:管理层明确预告Q3核心本地商业将出现“重大亏损”,主因骑手激励与市场投放力度不减。 • 竞争缓和但未终结:尽管监管介入后平台承诺规范补贴,但阿里延长500亿投入至三年,京东用户增速超40%,价格战转向服务差异化持久战。 ------ 三、护城河裂痕:生态位重构的危与机 1. 即时零售成新增长极 ◦ 闪购业务Q2高客单价商品(手机/家电等)成交额翻倍,闪电仓覆盖5万家门店,即时零售日订单峰值突破1.5亿单。 ◦ 到店业务订单量同比增长40%,酒旅交易创“五一”峰值,生态协同效应初显。 2. 技术壁垒巩固效率优势 ◦ 无人机开通64条航线,配送时效稳定在34分钟,研发投入同比增17.2%至63亿元。 ◦ 骑手算法公开化与卫星店模式(年底达1万家)推动供给侧降本增效。 3. 国际化开辟第二曲线 ◦ Keeta香港份额达40%,沙特覆盖2
安全边际1688
10-13
$海西新药(02637)$
老虎大大,再不给我中我要揭不开锅了[流泪] [流泪]
安全边际1688
09-18
$不同集团(06090)$
老虎大大,求求你了[爱你] [爱你] [爱你]
安全边际1688
09-12
甲骨文引爆3000亿美元算力需求,AI基础设施全产业链迎来爆发 甲骨文一份3000亿美元的算力采购合同,不仅让其股价单日暴涨36%,市值逼近万亿美元,更揭示了全球AI算力需求正从预期走向现实的全产业机遇。 当地时间9月10日,甲骨文股价收盘大涨35.95%,盘中一度触及345.46美元的历史高位,市值一夜暴增2500亿美元至9222.2亿美元。 这场资本狂欢的源头是甲骨文与OpenAI签署的3000亿美元(约合人民币2.14万亿元)算力采购合同,以及公司披露的剩余履约义务(RPO)暴增至4550亿美元,同比大增359%。 ------ 01 甲骨文业绩暴增,揭开算力大爆发序幕 甲骨文2026财年第一季度财报显示,公司云基础设施(IaaS)业务营收达到33亿美元,同比猛增54%,远超市场预期。 但最令人震惊的是其RPO(剩余履约义务)指标。RPO衡量的是已签约但尚未确认的收入,甲骨文这一指标飙升至4550亿美元,同比暴增359%。 甲骨文首席执行官萨弗拉·卡茨透露,公司在第一财季与三家不同客户签署了四笔价值分别达到数十亿美元的合同。她预计未来几个月RPO极有可能突破5000亿美元大关。 这一数据表明,全球AI算力需求已经从概念阶段进入大规模落地阶段。甲骨文凭借其在企业数据库领域的领导地位,成功打造了“私有数据+大模型”的安全推理解决方案,赢得了OpenAI、xAI、Meta等全球AI领军企业的巨额订单。 02 四大核心环节,AI算力产业链全面受益 一、AI服务器:算力基础设施的核心载体 AI服务器是执行AI计算任务的核心设备,其价值远高于传统通用服务器。 工业富联(601138.SH)作为全球AI服务器代工绝对龙头,是英伟达HGX AI服务器芯片基板核心供应商,深度绑定英伟达。2025年上半年,工业富联实现营收3607.60亿元,同比增长35.58%;归母净利润为121.13
安全边际1688
09-01
$BABA 20251121 115.0 PUT$
安全边际1688
08-22
$双登股份(06960)$
感恩老虎大大🥺
安全边际1688
08-21
$双登股份(06960)$
老虎大大求求了🥺
安全边际1688
09-08
$BABA 20251121 115.0 PUT$
安全边际1688
09-15
$劲方医药-B(02595)$
老虎大大求求了
安全边际1688
09-12
$Figure Technology Solutions(FIGR)$
感恩老虎大大
安全边际1688
09-03
$大行科工(02543)$
老虎大大求求你了🥺给我一手吧
安全边际1688
11-25
$量化派(02685)$
老虎加油
安全边际1688
10-24
$八马茶业(06980)$
感恩老虎大大[害羞] [爱你]
安全边际1688
10-10
$轩竹生物-B(02575)$
老虎大大求求你了,给一口吧,好久没吃到肉了[流泪] [流泪]
安全边际1688
09-24
$西普尼(02583)$
老虎大大求求你了🥺
安全边际1688
09-19
机制B发行,暂时没有破发过,打!
安全边际1688
09-17
$劲方医药-B(02595)$
老虎大大,求求您了[爱你] [爱你] [爱你]
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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市场份额保卫战代价沉重 ◦ 美团市占率从85%下滑至65%,饿了么借补贴攻势份额飙升至28%,京东占据7%形成“三足鼎立”。 ◦ 独家商家优势松动:喜茶等头部品牌上线饿了么,商户多平台运营削弱美团议价权。 3. 骑手成本刚性化 ◦ 2025年底前全面取消骑手超时罚款,叠加17省市强制缴纳工伤险、全国推广养老保险补贴,人力成本结构性上升。 ------ 二、三季度预警:寒冬仍未结束 • 亏损将持续扩大:管理层明确预告Q3核心本地商业将出现“重大亏损”,主因骑手激励与市场投放力度不减。 • 竞争缓和但未终结:尽管监管介入后平台承诺规范补贴,但阿里延长500亿投入至三年,京东用户增速超40%,价格战转向服务差异化持久战。 ------ 三、护城河裂痕:生态位重构的危与机 1. 即时零售成新增长极 ◦ 闪购业务Q2高客单价商品(手机/家电等)成交额翻倍,闪电仓覆盖5万家门店,即时零售日订单峰值突破1.5亿单。 ◦ 到店业务订单量同比增长40%,酒旅交易创“五一”峰值,生态协同效应初显。 2. 技术壁垒巩固效率优势 ◦ 无人机开通64条航线,配送时效稳定在34分钟,研发投入同比增17.2%至63亿元。 ◦ 骑手算法公开化与卫星店模式(年底达1万家)推动供给侧降本增效。 3. 国际化开辟第二曲线 ◦ Keeta香港份额达40%,沙特覆盖2","listText":"以下是对美团“绩后暴跌”事件的深度分析及投资策略建议,结合财务数据、行业格局与市场情绪综合研判: ------ 一、业绩暴雷:利润塌方背后的三重压力 1. 非理性竞争吞噬利润 ◦ 补贴大战血拼份额:2025Q2销售及营销开支同比暴涨51.8%至225亿元,主要用于应对京东“全年免佣”、阿里“500亿直补”的进攻策略。 ◦ 利润率断崖下跌:核心本地商业经营利润率从25.1%骤降至5.7%,单季度经营利润蒸发超110亿,相当于每天少赚1.21亿元。 2. 市场份额保卫战代价沉重 ◦ 美团市占率从85%下滑至65%,饿了么借补贴攻势份额飙升至28%,京东占据7%形成“三足鼎立”。 ◦ 独家商家优势松动:喜茶等头部品牌上线饿了么,商户多平台运营削弱美团议价权。 3. 骑手成本刚性化 ◦ 2025年底前全面取消骑手超时罚款,叠加17省市强制缴纳工伤险、全国推广养老保险补贴,人力成本结构性上升。 ------ 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闪购业务Q2高客单价商品(手机/家电等)成交额翻倍,闪电仓覆盖5万家门店,即时零售日订单峰值突破1.5亿单。 ◦ 到店业务订单量同比增长40%,酒旅交易创“五一”峰值,生态协同效应初显。 2. 技术壁垒巩固效率优势 ◦ 无人机开通64条航线,配送时效稳定在34分钟,研发投入同比增17.2%至63亿元。 ◦ 骑手算法公开化与卫星店模式(年底达1万家)推动供给侧降本增效。 3. 国际化开辟第二曲线 ◦ Keeta香港份额达40%,沙特覆盖2","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/473557780116112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1335,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":488719951937984,"gmtCreate":1760343975324,"gmtModify":1760343979655,"author":{"id":"4207393728557772","authorId":"4207393728557772","name":"安全边际1688","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ceafecfea0327042fda8f28297af3cfc","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4207393728557772","idStr":"4207393728557772"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02637\">$海西新药(02637)$</a> 老虎大大,再不给我中我要揭不开锅了[流泪] [流泪] ","listText":"<a 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甲骨文一份3000亿美元的算力采购合同,不仅让其股价单日暴涨36%,市值逼近万亿美元,更揭示了全球AI算力需求正从预期走向现实的全产业机遇。 当地时间9月10日,甲骨文股价收盘大涨35.95%,盘中一度触及345.46美元的历史高位,市值一夜暴增2500亿美元至9222.2亿美元。 这场资本狂欢的源头是甲骨文与OpenAI签署的3000亿美元(约合人民币2.14万亿元)算力采购合同,以及公司披露的剩余履约义务(RPO)暴增至4550亿美元,同比大增359%。 ------ 01 甲骨文业绩暴增,揭开算力大爆发序幕 甲骨文2026财年第一季度财报显示,公司云基础设施(IaaS)业务营收达到33亿美元,同比猛增54%,远超市场预期。 但最令人震惊的是其RPO(剩余履约义务)指标。RPO衡量的是已签约但尚未确认的收入,甲骨文这一指标飙升至4550亿美元,同比暴增359%。 甲骨文首席执行官萨弗拉·卡茨透露,公司在第一财季与三家不同客户签署了四笔价值分别达到数十亿美元的合同。她预计未来几个月RPO极有可能突破5000亿美元大关。 这一数据表明,全球AI算力需求已经从概念阶段进入大规模落地阶段。甲骨文凭借其在企业数据库领域的领导地位,成功打造了“私有数据+大模型”的安全推理解决方案,赢得了OpenAI、xAI、Meta等全球AI领军企业的巨额订单。 02 四大核心环节,AI算力产业链全面受益 一、AI服务器:算力基础设施的核心载体 AI服务器是执行AI计算任务的核心设备,其价值远高于传统通用服务器。 工业富联(601138.SH)作为全球AI服务器代工绝对龙头,是英伟达HGX AI服务器芯片基板核心供应商,深度绑定英伟达。2025年上半年,工业富联实现营收3607.60亿元,同比增长35.58%;归母净利润为121.13","listText":"甲骨文引爆3000亿美元算力需求,AI基础设施全产业链迎来爆发 甲骨文一份3000亿美元的算力采购合同,不仅让其股价单日暴涨36%,市值逼近万亿美元,更揭示了全球AI算力需求正从预期走向现实的全产业机遇。 当地时间9月10日,甲骨文股价收盘大涨35.95%,盘中一度触及345.46美元的历史高位,市值一夜暴增2500亿美元至9222.2亿美元。 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