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草凡借箭
08-07 16:23
$美国超微公司(AMD)$
AMD从70多上来,一直没有洗盘,很多人也坚持不住了,卸卸货,歇一歇,也是可以理解的
草凡借箭
08-07 16:16
$Firefly Neuroscience, Inc.(AIFF)$
这个票可以对标fig,短线看绝对没问题,至少发行的时候没问题,后续就看盘面博弈了,个人看多
草凡借箭
08-06
$Firefly Neuroscience, Inc.(AIFF)$
现在别管啥票上IPO大概率就是暴涨,无脑冲就行,到时候开盘直接一卖,几天的猪脚饭就赚到了
草凡借箭
08-06
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
PLTR是靠什么涨起来的,他有数据,营收增长靠的是什么?难道不是靠的他老板的政商关系么。没有他老板的关系,他哪来的数据,哪来的营收。看多看多
草凡借箭
08-06
$Figma(FIG)$
这个票和CRCL 最大的时空区别是,现在没有川普提议 来个AI 交互软件 天才法案 我会考虑在60左右卖put抄底
草凡借箭
08-05
$伯克希尔(BRK.A)$
这位置卖put挺好,能抄一个股价的底,还可以抄一个波动率的顶,挺好,我也炒个作业
草凡借箭
08-05
$Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$
对于hims这样的成长股,单季的营收利润现金流都不是很重要。获客获客获客才是重点。这个跌幅短线已经可以重仓猛干了
草凡借箭
08-05
$中慧生物-B(02627)$
周一一天认购倍数直接增加了一千倍,昨晚美股涨的也不错,最近股市都很强势,主要冲着这个打了,希望有碗猪脚饭吃
草凡借箭
08-05
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
这下大家都意识到AI不是一个问答玩具,而是企业数据接入产生业务价值的核心枢纽。大量的数据散落在SAP, CRM里面有待挖掘他的实际价值
草凡借箭
08-01
$拼多多(PDD)$
等一个洗盘买就行了,上升趋势里很大的概率会出大阴线,给机会就买
草凡借箭
08-01
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
大A还是走的很稳的,不过恒生估计到这也就该反弹了,但是我看最稳的还是美股,美股报表都太可以了,不愧是最成熟的市场
草凡借箭
07-31
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
这个世界总是斗的头破血流,但是在纳斯达克只需要静候,时间会长出绚烂的玫瑰,做时间的朋友
草凡借箭
07-31
$宁德时代(03750)$
心态真的被宁德时代搞炸了,今天开盘放 20 条消息大半利好,什么鬼,两天连跌快 10 个点了,我从 251 开始建仓到 280,一个多月的持仓,今天差不多就持平了,重仓票就这么抛有点难受难受啊,真想不通为啥两天为啥跌这么多。。。。
草凡借箭
07-31
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$
$苹果(AAPL)$
22年到现在,Meta跟微软都翻了几倍,就是APPL依然瘫软无力,还是定投的重仓股。汽车停了,ai也没搞好,其他硬件无亮点 曙光何时到来,希望就在8月
草凡借箭
07-30
$国企红利(000824.SH)$
对年化收益率要求就5%的话,红利etf多跌一点直接满仓就行了长期说不定还有惊喜呢
草凡借箭
07-30
$恒生指数(HSI)$
恒生指数本轮牛市必破3万点,甚至有机会破3.5万点,干就完了,港股低估那么多年,必然也能长出来巨大的泡沫
草凡借箭
07-30
$联合健康(UNH)$
unh这么强大的公司在健康险上都赚不了什么钱,那意味着其他同行就更难了,准入门槛很高,这就是一种护城河。
草凡借箭
07-29
$美国超微公司(AMD)$
GPU需求将延续至 2026 年后:人形机器人、全自动驾驶、视频与智能体应用均处于萌芽期,这些领域都需消耗大量 GPU 算力。AMD的逻辑就这么简单。
草凡借箭
07-29
$沪深300(000300.SH)$
补贴生育的效果预后往往不尽人意,但补贴总比不补强,日本如果没有实施少子化对策,生育率也许早就和韩国是一个水平了。
草凡借箭
07-29
$标普500(.SPX)$
美股很简单,有业绩就涨,没业绩就大家一起做空,目前看美股业绩都还是不错的
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">$伯克希尔(BRK.A)$</a>这位置卖put挺好,能抄一个股价的底,还可以抄一个波动率的顶,挺好,我也炒个作业","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">$伯克希尔(BRK.A)$</a>这位置卖put挺好,能抄一个股价的底,还可以抄一个波动率的顶,挺好,我也炒个作业","text":"$伯克希尔(BRK.A)$这位置卖put挺好,能抄一个股价的底,还可以抄一个波动率的顶,挺好,我也炒个作业","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/464321587528040","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":464332623999096,"gmtCreate":1754382864432,"gmtModify":1754382866163,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIMS\">$Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$</a>对于hims这样的成长股,单季的营收利润现金流都不是很重要。获客获客获客才是重点。这个跌幅短线已经可以重仓猛干了","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIMS\">$Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$</a>对于hims这样的成长股,单季的营收利润现金流都不是很重要。获客获客获客才是重点。这个跌幅短线已经可以重仓猛干了","text":"$Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$对于hims这样的成长股,单季的营收利润现金流都不是很重要。获客获客获客才是重点。这个跌幅短线已经可以重仓猛干了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/464332623999096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":464331251294328,"gmtCreate":1754382529299,"gmtModify":1754382531128,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02627\">$中慧生物-B(02627)$</a>周一一天认购倍数直接增加了一千倍,昨晚美股涨的也不错,最近股市都很强势,主要冲着这个打了,希望有碗猪脚饭吃","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02627\">$中慧生物-B(02627)$</a>周一一天认购倍数直接增加了一千倍,昨晚美股涨的也不错,最近股市都很强势,主要冲着这个打了,希望有碗猪脚饭吃","text":"$中慧生物-B(02627)$周一一天认购倍数直接增加了一千倍,昨晚美股涨的也不错,最近股市都很强势,主要冲着这个打了,希望有碗猪脚饭吃","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/464331251294328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2003,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":464317116264808,"gmtCreate":1754382051996,"gmtModify":1754382053866,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>这下大家都意识到AI不是一个问答玩具,而是企业数据接入产生业务价值的核心枢纽。大量的数据散落在SAP, 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a>等一个洗盘买就行了,上升趋势里很大的概率会出大阴线,给机会就买","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a>等一个洗盘买就行了,上升趋势里很大的概率会出大阴线,给机会就买","text":"$拼多多(PDD)$等一个洗盘买就行了,上升趋势里很大的概率会出大阴线,给机会就买","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/462903038230888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":462902127313560,"gmtCreate":1754036466930,"gmtModify":1754036468648,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>大A还是走的很稳的,不过恒生估计到这也就该反弹了,但是我看最稳的还是美股,美股报表都太可以了,不愧是最成熟的市场","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>大A还是走的很稳的,不过恒生估计到这也就该反弹了,但是我看最稳的还是美股,美股报表都太可以了,不愧是最成熟的市场","text":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$大A还是走的很稳的,不过恒生估计到这也就该反弹了,但是我看最稳的还是美股,美股报表都太可以了,不愧是最成熟的市场","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/462902127313560","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":462559796314232,"gmtCreate":1753950045173,"gmtModify":1753950046870,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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280,一个多月的持仓,今天差不多就持平了,重仓票就这么抛有点难受难受啊,真想不通为啥两天为啥跌这么多。。。。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/462558408925304","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":462545196331368,"gmtCreate":1753949454356,"gmtModify":1753949456775,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>22年到现在,Meta跟微软都翻了几倍,就是APPL依然瘫软无力,还是定投的重仓股。汽车停了,ai也没搞好,其他硬件无亮点 曙光何时到来,希望就在8月","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>22年到现在,Meta跟微软都翻了几倍,就是APPL依然瘫软无力,还是定投的重仓股。汽车停了,ai也没搞好,其他硬件无亮点 曙光何时到来,希望就在8月","text":"$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $苹果(AAPL)$22年到现在,Meta跟微软都翻了几倍,就是APPL依然瘫软无力,还是定投的重仓股。汽车停了,ai也没搞好,其他硬件无亮点 曙光何时到来,希望就在8月","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/462545196331368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":462189700256104,"gmtCreate":1753862663322,"gmtModify":1753864804445,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000300.SH\">$沪深300(000300.SH)$</a>补贴生育的效果预后往往不尽人意,但补贴总比不补强,日本如果没有实施少子化对策,生育率也许早就和韩国是一个水平了。","text":"$沪深300(000300.SH)$补贴生育的效果预后往往不尽人意,但补贴总比不补强,日本如果没有实施少子化对策,生育率也许早就和韩国是一个水平了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/461844793311352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3472532348212000","authorId":"3472532348212000","name":"chenx32401","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3472532348212000","authorIdStr":"3472532348212000"},"content":"韩国通过发钱已经逆转了","text":"韩国通过发钱已经逆转了","html":"韩国通过发钱已经逆转了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":461831702889112,"gmtCreate":1753775132843,"gmtModify":1753775134345,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000300.SH\">$沪深300(000300.SH)$</a>补贴生育的效果预后往往不尽人意,但补贴总比不补强,日本如果没有实施少子化对策,生育率也许早就和韩国是一个水平了。","text":"$沪深300(000300.SH)$补贴生育的效果预后往往不尽人意,但补贴总比不补强,日本如果没有实施少子化对策,生育率也许早就和韩国是一个水平了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/461844793311352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3472532348212000","authorId":"3472532348212000","name":"chenx32401","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3472532348212000","authorIdStr":"3472532348212000"},"content":"韩国通过发钱已经逆转了","text":"韩国通过发钱已经逆转了","html":"韩国通过发钱已经逆转了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":452614074065560,"gmtCreate":1751524735180,"gmtModify":1751524736926,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 大饼的本次调整,应该是突破历史前高后的必要调整,大概率调到6w上下就差不多了,小概率到5w上下,极小概率到4w以下。这应该也是大饼开启牛市周期的最后一趟末班车了,之后再次突破前高后的一切买入行为,都是低赔率的追涨行为!策略上,可以三等份资金,分别6、5、4附近埋单,抄到多少是多少,涨跌都不被动。至于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$微策投资(MSTR)$</a> 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global(COIN)$</a>,特别是微策,都是大饼的影子股,勿恐跌和恐高,只看大饼即可,买入策略也可以同步大饼。至于卖出,大饼10w以内,我不考虑卖出,10w以上,任何卖出都是正确的,只是少赚多赚的不同风险偏好而已。信仰和目标100w+,任何时候不卖出也是正确的!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 大饼的本次调整,应该是突破历史前高后的必要调整,大概率调到6w上下就差不多了,小概率到5w上下,极小概率到4w以下。这应该也是大饼开启牛市周期的最后一趟末班车了,之后再次突破前高后的一切买入行为,都是低赔率的追涨行为!策略上,可以三等份资金,分别6、5、4附近埋单,抄到多少是多少,涨跌都不被动。至于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$微策投资(MSTR)$</a> 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global(COIN)$</a>,特别是微策,都是大饼的影子股,勿恐跌和恐高,只看大饼即可,买入策略也可以同步大饼。至于卖出,大饼10w以内,我不考虑卖出,10w以上,任何卖出都是正确的,只是少赚多赚的不同风险偏好而已。信仰和目标100w+,任何时候不卖出也是正确的!","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 大饼的本次调整,应该是突破历史前高后的必要调整,大概率调到6w上下就差不多了,小概率到5w上下,极小概率到4w以下。这应该也是大饼开启牛市周期的最后一趟末班车了,之后再次突破前高后的一切买入行为,都是低赔率的追涨行为!策略上,可以三等份资金,分别6、5、4附近埋单,抄到多少是多少,涨跌都不被动。至于$微策投资(MSTR)$ 和$Coinbase Global(COIN)$,特别是微策,都是大饼的影子股,勿恐跌和恐高,只看大饼即可,买入策略也可以同步大饼。至于卖出,大饼10w以内,我不考虑卖出,10w以上,任何卖出都是正确的,只是少赚多赚的不同风险偏好而已。信仰和目标100w+,任何时候不卖出也是正确的!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d81652b54cfb19dbb8344d52ee98a40","width":"560","height":"240"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/288878790352936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3502399968927286","authorId":"3502399968927286","name":"Starlight369","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3502399968927286","authorIdStr":"3502399968927286"},"content":"抄袭老鬼也至少改几个字吧?","text":"抄袭老鬼也至少改几个字吧?","html":"抄袭老鬼也至少改几个字吧?"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":456549969764712,"gmtCreate":1752485775995,"gmtModify":1752486894515,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>到现在还很多傻子攻击换电!蔚来基本不出钱了 都是合伙人出. 宁德出了二十五亿投资","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>到现在还很多傻子攻击换电!蔚来基本不出钱了 都是合伙人出. 宁德出了二十五亿投资","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$到现在还很多傻子攻击换电!蔚来基本不出钱了 都是合伙人出. 宁德出了二十五亿投资","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/456549969764712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":352956138332312,"gmtCreate":1727192351382,"gmtModify":1727192441916,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 上周去了某东实体店,网上三千多的冰箱标价七千多。你买可以按五千算。再拿国家20%补贴,到手四千。也就是国家补贴赚了一千还倒赚用户七百多。这就是所谓的国家补贴促消费。如果不是在现场查了一下网店价格就上当了。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 上周去了某东实体店,网上三千多的冰箱标价七千多。你买可以按五千算。再拿国家20%补贴,到手四千。也就是国家补贴赚了一千还倒赚用户七百多。这就是所谓的国家补贴促消费。如果不是在现场查了一下网店价格就上当了。","text":"$京东(JD)$ 上周去了某东实体店,网上三千多的冰箱标价七千多。你买可以按五千算。再拿国家20%补贴,到手四千。也就是国家补贴赚了一千还倒赚用户七百多。这就是所谓的国家补贴促消费。如果不是在现场查了一下网店价格就上当了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352956138332312","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3495159388201727","authorId":"3495159388201727","name":"tansos","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3495159388201727","authorIdStr":"3495159388201727"},"content":"有没可能店里和网上货不一样","text":"有没可能店里和网上货不一样","html":"有没可能店里和网上货不一样"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":316560451993712,"gmtCreate":1718293183687,"gmtModify":1718294287837,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 今年的生意不是越来越难做,而是逻辑变了。昨晚,和几个电商行业的朋友聊天,醍醐灌顶!一、不光要东西好,还要服务好。淘宝砸30亿也要搞上门送货,天猫还提升退货次数,为消费者退货垫付。京东大件第一天送上门,第二天安排安装,买个东西可以做到两次上门。唯品会衣服鞋子能做到上门换货,尺码不对,直接带着新的来换,跟线下买衣服一样。以前做生意可以躺着做,现在躺着赚钱肯定不行了。二、搞套路、搞虚假降价,肯定没出路。这一点从最近的618就能深刻感受到变化,阿里、京东直接叫停了10多年的预售规则。很多人没明白其中利害之处,要知道,这一部分收入能占到整个618的5%到10%,数字不小。以前,东西还没有,就能卖给你了。很多东西先涨价再降价,以为消费者不知道。现在,这些都行不通了,今年大家都只能直降。三、过于追求规模、成交这些数字,行不通了。以前,各大平台为什么互相竞争,对标GMV、规模、体量,因为本质上认为,消费者会优先选择“大平台”。但现在变了,消费者开始不认平台了,以前手机里只有天猫、京东,现在还有抖音、唯品会等多个平台。还搞了一套分散消费,生活百货天猫、家电数码京东、衣服鞋子唯品会,以前的“大平台”论完全消失了。很多人吐槽,现在生意不好做,其实并不是,而是你的商业模式有没有满足新的消费需求。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 今年的生意不是越来越难做,而是逻辑变了。昨晚,和几个电商行业的朋友聊天,醍醐灌顶!一、不光要东西好,还要服务好。淘宝砸30亿也要搞上门送货,天猫还提升退货次数,为消费者退货垫付。京东大件第一天送上门,第二天安排安装,买个东西可以做到两次上门。唯品会衣服鞋子能做到上门换货,尺码不对,直接带着新的来换,跟线下买衣服一样。以前做生意可以躺着做,现在躺着赚钱肯定不行了。二、搞套路、搞虚假降价,肯定没出路。这一点从最近的618就能深刻感受到变化,阿里、京东直接叫停了10多年的预售规则。很多人没明白其中利害之处,要知道,这一部分收入能占到整个618的5%到10%,数字不小。以前,东西还没有,就能卖给你了。很多东西先涨价再降价,以为消费者不知道。现在,这些都行不通了,今年大家都只能直降。三、过于追求规模、成交这些数字,行不通了。以前,各大平台为什么互相竞争,对标GMV、规模、体量,因为本质上认为,消费者会优先选择“大平台”。但现在变了,消费者开始不认平台了,以前手机里只有天猫、京东,现在还有抖音、唯品会等多个平台。还搞了一套分散消费,生活百货天猫、家电数码京东、衣服鞋子唯品会,以前的“大平台”论完全消失了。很多人吐槽,现在生意不好做,其实并不是,而是你的商业模式有没有满足新的消费需求。","text":"$拼多多(PDD)$ 今年的生意不是越来越难做,而是逻辑变了。昨晚,和几个电商行业的朋友聊天,醍醐灌顶!一、不光要东西好,还要服务好。淘宝砸30亿也要搞上门送货,天猫还提升退货次数,为消费者退货垫付。京东大件第一天送上门,第二天安排安装,买个东西可以做到两次上门。唯品会衣服鞋子能做到上门换货,尺码不对,直接带着新的来换,跟线下买衣服一样。以前做生意可以躺着做,现在躺着赚钱肯定不行了。二、搞套路、搞虚假降价,肯定没出路。这一点从最近的618就能深刻感受到变化,阿里、京东直接叫停了10多年的预售规则。很多人没明白其中利害之处,要知道,这一部分收入能占到整个618的5%到10%,数字不小。以前,东西还没有,就能卖给你了。很多东西先涨价再降价,以为消费者不知道。现在,这些都行不通了,今年大家都只能直降。三、过于追求规模、成交这些数字,行不通了。以前,各大平台为什么互相竞争,对标GMV、规模、体量,因为本质上认为,消费者会优先选择“大平台”。但现在变了,消费者开始不认平台了,以前手机里只有天猫、京东,现在还有抖音、唯品会等多个平台。还搞了一套分散消费,生活百货天猫、家电数码京东、衣服鞋子唯品会,以前的“大平台”论完全消失了。很多人吐槽,现在生意不好做,其实并不是,而是你的商业模式有没有满足新的消费需求。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5de148618aceda19adbeab5a297ace10","width":"790","height":"758"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/228fac2645e4b194e42b375912f1d8b8","width":"790","height":"824"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eedc030ec78b211d9ebb22314327e7b","width":"796","height":"486"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/316560451993712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":287055246569512,"gmtCreate":1711111440115,"gmtModify":1711112805208,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">$好市多(COST)$</a> 比一下,利润是Costco的一倍,市值是Costco的一半,国内竞争力其实两个都差不多。CostcoGMV是2400亿美金,PDD GMV是4万亿人民币。PDD的规模也是Costco的两倍有多。Costco的毛利率是12%,PDD是4%, 相差8%。但Costco的费率是8.5%,因为实体店和员工的成本比较高。PDD的费率是可以scalable的(过去五年营收涨了7倍,成本才涨了3倍),稳定维持在1000亿,也就是2.5%GMV左右,以后占比会越来越小。这里就相差了6%。所以Costco目前利润率3%还是稍高。PDD大概在2%左右。看看有没有机会未来PDD的margin能赶上Costco,那利润空间又翻倍了。当然有人可能会觉得,Costco的货品单价高,所以利润更容易获取,但是沃尔玛的利润率大概是2.5%,京东则不到1%,阿里则是大概1%,他们都比PDD价格更高,但是最后利润率却不够高,这就是因为平台效率问题,如何开源节流不是简单的看物品价格高低,而是相对的动态的平衡。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">$好市多(COST)$</a> 比一下,利润是Costco的一倍,市值是Costco的一半,国内竞争力其实两个都差不多。CostcoGMV是2400亿美金,PDD GMV是4万亿人民币。PDD的规模也是Costco的两倍有多。Costco的毛利率是12%,PDD是4%, 相差8%。但Costco的费率是8.5%,因为实体店和员工的成本比较高。PDD的费率是可以scalable的(过去五年营收涨了7倍,成本才涨了3倍),稳定维持在1000亿,也就是2.5%GMV左右,以后占比会越来越小。这里就相差了6%。所以Costco目前利润率3%还是稍高。PDD大概在2%左右。看看有没有机会未来PDD的margin能赶上Costco,那利润空间又翻倍了。当然有人可能会觉得,Costco的货品单价高,所以利润更容易获取,但是沃尔玛的利润率大概是2.5%,京东则不到1%,阿里则是大概1%,他们都比PDD价格更高,但是最后利润率却不够高,这就是因为平台效率问题,如何开源节流不是简单的看物品价格高低,而是相对的动态的平衡。","text":"$拼多多(PDD)$ $拼多多(PDD)$ 和$好市多(COST)$ 比一下,利润是Costco的一倍,市值是Costco的一半,国内竞争力其实两个都差不多。CostcoGMV是2400亿美金,PDD GMV是4万亿人民币。PDD的规模也是Costco的两倍有多。Costco的毛利率是12%,PDD是4%, 相差8%。但Costco的费率是8.5%,因为实体店和员工的成本比较高。PDD的费率是可以scalable的(过去五年营收涨了7倍,成本才涨了3倍),稳定维持在1000亿,也就是2.5%GMV左右,以后占比会越来越小。这里就相差了6%。所以Costco目前利润率3%还是稍高。PDD大概在2%左右。看看有没有机会未来PDD的margin能赶上Costco,那利润空间又翻倍了。当然有人可能会觉得,Costco的货品单价高,所以利润更容易获取,但是沃尔玛的利润率大概是2.5%,京东则不到1%,阿里则是大概1%,他们都比PDD价格更高,但是最后利润率却不够高,这就是因为平台效率问题,如何开源节流不是简单的看物品价格高低,而是相对的动态的平衡。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd8f89f4b38e21e9e1c6d3601660af8","width":"883","height":"654"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/287055246569512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":288823667077136,"gmtCreate":1711535692831,"gmtModify":1711535696085,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 腾讯最近股价走势不错,就是大力回购的作用。。每天10亿10亿地去买,不间断操作,空头也没这么给力。。基本上抵消了做空金额。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 腾讯最近股价走势不错,就是大力回购的作用。。每天10亿10亿地去买,不间断操作,空头也没这么给力。。基本上抵消了做空金额。","text":"$腾讯控股(00700)$ 腾讯最近股价走势不错,就是大力回购的作用。。每天10亿10亿地去买,不间断操作,空头也没这么给力。。基本上抵消了做空金额。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9251fbee1267329558bb24e27191c1f0","width":"560","height":"240"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/288823667077136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2082,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":461834558907032,"gmtCreate":1753775830112,"gmtModify":1753775832067,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a>GPU需求将延续至 2026 年后:人形机器人、全自动驾驶、视频与智能体应用均处于萌芽期,这些领域都需消耗大量 GPU 算力。AMD的逻辑就这么简单。","listText":"<a 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马斯克一遇到股价低迷就放好消息,好多次了。特斯拉的问题是它的自动驾驶值不值市场定价的那些钱(这个只能匡算)。特斯拉的自动驾驶能创造多少价值,很大程度上取决于它领先对手多少。如果华为等一众车企,并没有被甩开多远,那么自动驾驶的价值就很低。如果大家水平一致,那么自动驾驶不排除成为几乎不赚钱、只给消费者好处的技术。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17d7e1ce0fba6894726150e3386669ff","width":"885","height":"1040"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/304373318869136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3460824243893799","authorId":"3460824243893799","name":"Jet2017","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c11ae55ec0562345c2b3032207464065","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3460824243893799","authorIdStr":"3460824243893799"},"content":"华为还没解决安全问题","text":"华为还没解决安全问题","html":"华为还没解决安全问题"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":464647751160472,"gmtCreate":1754462644628,"gmtModify":1754462646264,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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我会考虑在60左右卖put抄底","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/464647751160472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1067,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":464331251294328,"gmtCreate":1754382529299,"gmtModify":1754382531128,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02627\">$中慧生物-B(02627)$</a>周一一天认购倍数直接增加了一千倍,昨晚美股涨的也不错,最近股市都很强势,主要冲着这个打了,希望有碗猪脚饭吃","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02627\">$中慧生物-B(02627)$</a>周一一天认购倍数直接增加了一千倍,昨晚美股涨的也不错,最近股市都很强势,主要冲着这个打了,希望有碗猪脚饭吃","text":"$中慧生物-B(02627)$周一一天认购倍数直接增加了一千倍,昨晚美股涨的也不错,最近股市都很强势,主要冲着这个打了,希望有碗猪脚饭吃","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/464331251294328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2003,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":454409990095208,"gmtCreate":1751963320021,"gmtModify":1751963321661,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02590\">$极智嘉-W(02590)$</a>今天这波暗盘最期待的就是极智嘉,全球订单稳步增长,资金情绪已经在打提前量。别小看这种冷门赛道,一旦爆发就是连续大阳拉板的节奏","listText":"<a 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连通讯都能涨起来"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":357940537933888,"gmtCreate":1728405979893,"gmtModify":1728406080577,"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000217","authorIdStr":"9000000000000217"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHAU\">$二倍做多沪深300(Direxion)(CHAU)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 上午小姨子问我,能涨到多少?看看基金能不能解套?农行工作,也资深韭菜了。周末去个电视台的朋友家里玩,说股票涨了30%了。关键是后一句让我大跌眼镜:再涨50%就够本了。资深韭菜的现状基本都这样。新韭菜很难从赌场提走钱,还是老话,赚钱效应强别错过,但要提前想好撤退。三倍做多中国牛b,58了,看看能不能到100。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHAU\">$二倍做多沪深300(Direxion)(CHAU)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 上午小姨子问我,能涨到多少?看看基金能不能解套?农行工作,也资深韭菜了。周末去个电视台的朋友家里玩,说股票涨了30%了。关键是后一句让我大跌眼镜:再涨50%就够本了。资深韭菜的现状基本都这样。新韭菜很难从赌场提走钱,还是老话,赚钱效应强别错过,但要提前想好撤退。三倍做多中国牛b,58了,看看能不能到100。","text":"$二倍做多沪深300(Direxion)(CHAU)$ 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很多人担心苹果还会暴跌,我觉得真的多虑了,话放在这里,如果跌倒155,那真的是超级黄金坑,估计不会到,不要小看一个超级世界巨头的容量","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 很多人担心苹果还会暴跌,我觉得真的多虑了,话放在这里,如果跌倒155,那真的是超级黄金坑,估计不会到,不要小看一个超级世界巨头的容量","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f827f6e095f62229959a9078de6f833","width":"501","height":"285"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/281427175649352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1819,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3576468087813074","authorId":"3576468087813074","name":"苹果拥护者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3576468087813074","authorIdStr":"3576468087813074"},"content":"如果英伟达继续涨,苹果一定会下155","text":"如果英伟达继续涨,苹果一定会下155","html":"如果英伟达继续涨,苹果一定会下155"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}