单缥烟
05-23
谷歌185看涨期权
$GOOGL 20251219 185.0 CALL$
有大量开仓买入,行权价可以参考。我选择卖出150put
$GOOGL 20251219 150.0 PUT$
。理智的选择
@期权小班长:
不受大盘波动影响的财报策略
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data-mention-id=\"TLT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a></p><p>周三下午1点20年期美债拍卖出了点小问题,买家购买意愿不强导致30年美债收益率突破5%,接近2023年四季度前高。</p><p>值得注意的是美债拍卖前,美东时间上午10点,此时tlt股价约为84.9,然而6月27日到期83.5call<a data-mention-id=\"TLT 20250627 83.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TLT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TLT%2020250627%2083.5%20CALL\">$TLT 20250627 83.5 CALL$</a> 出现大量新增开仓,经成交明细核实,这个行权价为价内的看涨期权交易方向为卖出。</p><p>毫无疑问,这就是内幕大单。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c8cadd514c61771ec4b7264074d7070\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1670\"></p><p>一般来说预期股价下跌,似乎买put是更好的选择。但根据tlt的k线来看,目前股价已处于底部位置,再比对看跌和看涨期权权利金价格,做看涨期权卖方更有利可图。83.5put从周三开盘1.23涨到周四开盘1.7,83.5call从周三开盘2.7跌到周四开盘1.86。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1208fbab3d1b79249852f044a831e8f\" tg-width=\"2018\" tg-height=\"1434\"></p><p>根据周三tlt期权开仓情况,看跌开仓敞口81,策略以roll仓看跌和对冲看跌为主,比如卖89call买81put这种。</p><p>看涨开仓比较激进,在下跌发生后,有人交易了7月到期89-96call的看涨价差,以及买入7月到期83call <a title=\"$TLT 20250718 83 CALL$ \" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TLT 20250718 83 CALL\">$TLT 20250718 83 CALL$ </a> 。所以这个阶段tlt进一步恶化空间很窄,不用太恐慌大盘被国债拖累下跌,至少英伟达财报前还能挺一会儿。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffdeab45114dba7ebb7df9e51325d226\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"772\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a></p><p>可能是大盘回调压力比较大,以及各种意外事件频出,交易者开始偏向保守操作,比如选择sell put 115 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250613 115.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250613%20115.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250613 115.0 PUT$</a> 。另外几个标注黄色的115put交易方向基本上都是卖出。估计115也会成为财报后股价回调预期。</p><p>看涨期权开仓,开仓量最大的是一堆看涨价差组合:买 <a title=\"$NVDA 20250530 140.0 CALL$ \" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250530 140.0 CALL\">$NVDA 20250530 140.0 CALL$ </a> ,卖 <a title=\"$NVDA 20250530 145.0 CALL$ \" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250530 145.0 CALL\">$NVDA 20250530 145.0 CALL$ </a> 。比前两天的144-150组合预期要低,但依旧看涨。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f164913d8ad808e97a27b420e507ab2\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"960\"></p><p>也有交易者不愿意为当前的不确定性下注,所以选择了不受大盘波动影响的策略,卖160call,卖110put,买90put。以当前市场市场押注方向来看(低于150高于115),过财报问题不大:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250815 160.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250815%20160.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250815 160.0 CALL$</a></p></li><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250815 110.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250815%20110.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250815 110.0 PUT$</a></p></li><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250815 90.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250815%2090.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250815 90.0 PUT$</a></p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83b8c996f5171e417a31a5483b72634b\" tg-width=\"2510\" tg-height=\"204\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a></p><p>看涨期权基本都是当日和次日开仓,远期不确定性太高所以开仓很少。反而是看跌远期开仓活跃,有人开仓了6月底到期的看跌蝴蝶440-475-510,spy跌到510以下开始赚钱。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f8c26a82de767bc3cc951fc684a9b6b\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"896\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a></p><p>只有上涨时特斯拉才有统一估值,一旦市场逆风,交易数据的参考性就很低,除非有机构大单进场,但周三情况机构都很慎重更何况其他人。</p><p>机构周初sell call 365倒是没什么问题。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/188c2ee1d3495201036bdd19f4243dbf\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"802\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"谷歌A\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$谷歌A(GOOGL)$</a> </p><p>谷歌185看涨期权 <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20251219 185.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020251219%20185.0%20CALL\">$GOOGL 20251219 185.0 CALL$</a> 有大量开仓买入,行权价可以参考。我选择卖出150put <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20251219 150.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020251219%20150.0%20PUT\">$GOOGL 20251219 150.0 PUT$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e0e1d597b4f9a1e4661be8cf02b3978\" tg-width=\"2518\" tg-height=\"254\"></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p><a data-mention-id=\"TLT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a></p><p>周三下午1点20年期美债拍卖出了点小问题,买家购买意愿不强导致30年美债收益率突破5%,接近2023年四季度前高。</p><p>值得注意的是美债拍卖前,美东时间上午10点,此时tlt股价约为84.9,然而6月27日到期83.5call<a data-mention-id=\"TLT 20250627 83.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TLT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TLT%2020250627%2083.5%20CALL\">$TLT 20250627 83.5 CALL$</a> 出现大量新增开仓,经成交明细核实,这个行权价为价内的看涨期权交易方向为卖出。</p><p>毫无疑问,这就是内幕大单。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c8cadd514c61771ec4b7264074d7070\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1670\"></p><p>一般来说预期股价下跌,似乎买put是更好的选择。但根据tlt的k线来看,目前股价已处于底部位置,再比对看跌和看涨期权权利金价格,做看涨期权卖方更有利可图。83.5put从周三开盘1.23涨到周四开盘1.7,83.5call从周三开盘2.7跌到周四开盘1.86。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1208fbab3d1b79249852f044a831e8f\" tg-width=\"2018\" tg-height=\"1434\"></p><p>根据周三tlt期权开仓情况,看跌开仓敞口81,策略以roll仓看跌和对冲看跌为主,比如卖89call买81put这种。</p><p>看涨开仓比较激进,在下跌发生后,有人交易了7月到期89-96call的看涨价差,以及买入7月到期83call <a title=\"$TLT 20250718 83 CALL$ \" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TLT 20250718 83 CALL\">$TLT 20250718 83 CALL$ </a> 。所以这个阶段tlt进一步恶化空间很窄,不用太恐慌大盘被国债拖累下跌,至少英伟达财报前还能挺一会儿。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffdeab45114dba7ebb7df9e51325d226\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"772\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a></p><p>可能是大盘回调压力比较大,以及各种意外事件频出,交易者开始偏向保守操作,比如选择sell put 115 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250613 115.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250613%20115.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250613 115.0 PUT$</a> 。另外几个标注黄色的115put交易方向基本上都是卖出。估计115也会成为财报后股价回调预期。</p><p>看涨期权开仓,开仓量最大的是一堆看涨价差组合:买 <a title=\"$NVDA 20250530 140.0 CALL$ \" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250530 140.0 CALL\">$NVDA 20250530 140.0 CALL$ </a> ,卖 <a title=\"$NVDA 20250530 145.0 CALL$ \" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250530 145.0 CALL\">$NVDA 20250530 145.0 CALL$ </a> 。比前两天的144-150组合预期要低,但依旧看涨。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f164913d8ad808e97a27b420e507ab2\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"960\"></p><p>也有交易者不愿意为当前的不确定性下注,所以选择了不受大盘波动影响的策略,卖160call,卖110put,买90put。以当前市场市场押注方向来看(低于150高于115),过财报问题不大:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250815 160.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250815%20160.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250815 160.0 CALL$</a></p></li><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250815 110.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250815%20110.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250815 110.0 PUT$</a></p></li><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250815 90.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250815%2090.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250815 90.0 PUT$</a></p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83b8c996f5171e417a31a5483b72634b\" tg-width=\"2510\" tg-height=\"204\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a></p><p>看涨期权基本都是当日和次日开仓,远期不确定性太高所以开仓很少。反而是看跌远期开仓活跃,有人开仓了6月底到期的看跌蝴蝶440-475-510,spy跌到510以下开始赚钱。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f8c26a82de767bc3cc951fc684a9b6b\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"896\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a></p><p>只有上涨时特斯拉才有统一估值,一旦市场逆风,交易数据的参考性就很低,除非有机构大单进场,但周三情况机构都很慎重更何况其他人。</p><p>机构周初sell call 365倒是没什么问题。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/188c2ee1d3495201036bdd19f4243dbf\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"802\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"谷歌A\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$谷歌A(GOOGL)$</a> </p><p>谷歌185看涨期权 <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20251219 185.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020251219%20185.0%20CALL\">$GOOGL 20251219 185.0 CALL$</a> 有大量开仓买入,行权价可以参考。我选择卖出150put <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20251219 150.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020251219%20150.0%20PUT\">$GOOGL 20251219 150.0 PUT$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e0e1d597b4f9a1e4661be8cf02b3978\" tg-width=\"2518\" tg-height=\"254\"></p></body></html>","text":"$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ 周三下午1点20年期美债拍卖出了点小问题,买家购买意愿不强导致30年美债收益率突破5%,接近2023年四季度前高。 值得注意的是美债拍卖前,美东时间上午10点,此时tlt股价约为84.9,然而6月27日到期83.5call$TLT 20250627 83.5 CALL$ 出现大量新增开仓,经成交明细核实,这个行权价为价内的看涨期权交易方向为卖出。 毫无疑问,这就是内幕大单。 一般来说预期股价下跌,似乎买put是更好的选择。但根据tlt的k线来看,目前股价已处于底部位置,再比对看跌和看涨期权权利金价格,做看涨期权卖方更有利可图。83.5put从周三开盘1.23涨到周四开盘1.7,83.5call从周三开盘2.7跌到周四开盘1.86。 根据周三tlt期权开仓情况,看跌开仓敞口81,策略以roll仓看跌和对冲看跌为主,比如卖89call买81put这种。 看涨开仓比较激进,在下跌发生后,有人交易了7月到期89-96call的看涨价差,以及买入7月到期83call $TLT 20250718 83 CALL$ 。所以这个阶段tlt进一步恶化空间很窄,不用太恐慌大盘被国债拖累下跌,至少英伟达财报前还能挺一会儿。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 可能是大盘回调压力比较大,以及各种意外事件频出,交易者开始偏向保守操作,比如选择sell put 115 $NVDA 20250613 115.0 PUT$ 。另外几个标注黄色的115put交易方向基本上都是卖出。估计115也会成为财报后股价回调预期。 看涨期权开仓,开仓量最大的是一堆看涨价差组合:买 $NVDA 20250530 140.0 CALL$ ,卖 $NVDA 20250530 145.0 CALL$ 。比前两天的144-150组合预期要低,但依旧看涨。 也有交易者不愿意为当前的不确定性下注,所以选择了不受大盘波动影响的策略,卖160call,卖110put,买90put。以当前市场市场押注方向来看(低于150高于115),过财报问题不大: 卖 $NVDA 20250815 160.0 CALL$ 卖 $NVDA 20250815 110.0 PUT$ 买 $NVDA 20250815 90.0 PUT$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ 看涨期权基本都是当日和次日开仓,远期不确定性太高所以开仓很少。反而是看跌远期开仓活跃,有人开仓了6月底到期的看跌蝴蝶440-475-510,spy跌到510以下开始赚钱。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 只有上涨时特斯拉才有统一估值,一旦市场逆风,交易数据的参考性就很低,除非有机构大单进场,但周三情况机构都很慎重更何况其他人。 机构周初sell call 365倒是没什么问题。 $谷歌A(GOOGL)$ 谷歌185看涨期权 $GOOGL 20251219 185.0 CALL$ 有大量开仓买入,行权价可以参考。我选择卖出150put $GOOGL 20251219 150.0 PUT$ 。","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/437864468874000","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","TSLA","TLT","SPY"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1869,"optionInvolvedFlag":true,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":848,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["GOOGL","GOOGL 20251219 150.0 PUT","GOOGL 20251219 185.0 CALL"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":119,"optionInvolvedFlag":true,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/437987168514264"}
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