不是凯老师
07-17
可惜空仓啦
@芯潮:
台积电,业绩炸裂,半导体要疯!
免责声明:上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点,不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
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不是凯老师
07-17
不是凯老师
分产品看,二季度高性能计算贡献了60%的收入,智能手机贡献了27%,物联网、自动驾驶各自贡献了5%的收入
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class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f437d740c060007a6a3a06b162b07929\" tg-width=\"1122\" tg-height=\"385\"></p><p>受此影响,台积电在老虎证券夜盘交易中一度涨超6%,股价创历史新高: <a data-mention-id=\"TSM\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"台积电\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6a9e30d173f7d76f18294668436234\" tg-width=\"1287\" tg-height=\"823\"></p><p>具体来看,台积电二季度营收300.7亿美元,同比大增44.4%,大超管理层给出的284-292亿指引:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fedb21bf1964146c96b2424c1b1102e2\" tg-width=\"1471\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p>考虑到台积电每月10号都会公布月度销售数据,因此,二季度营收超预期已是市场明牌。</p><p>当然,如果考虑到新台币兑美元大幅升值,台积电二季度营收实际上更亮眼:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89a9e0f0732fbff4b5cc05f036a90ff3\" tg-width=\"1126\" tg-height=\"436\"></p><p>除收入外,台积电二季度毛利率达到58.6%,接近管理层给出的57%-59%指引上限,高于分析师预期的58%,比上年同期高出5.4个百分点:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bdd4228eba642f33d35b5847f9dcb0\" tg-width=\"1360\" tg-height=\"579\"></p><p>在盈利能力提升的情况下,台积电二季度净利润达到128亿美元,同比大增67%!</p><p>净利润增速远超营收的原因主要是台积电先进工艺占比提升,二季度7纳米及以下工艺贡献了74%的收入,其中,3纳米贡献了24%,大幅高于去年同期的15%:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71228066909efd7fa968fe417939612e\" tg-width=\"1591\" tg-height=\"634\"></p><p>一般而言,芯片制造工艺越先进,能够生产的厂家越少,定价能力越强,毛利率越高!</p><p>分产品看,二季度高性能计算贡献了60%的收入,智能手机贡献了27%,物联网、自动驾驶各自贡献了5%的收入:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2492786294e4419a5c7bd1dd89f34e0d\" tg-width=\"1347\" tg-height=\"598\"></p><p>几年前,台积电近一半的收入来自智能手机,随着AI爆发,GPU等高性能计算产品收入快速提升,收入占比也由几年前的30%提升至当下的60%的水平。</p><p>随着智能手机销量疲软,以及AI产品强劲的需求,预计高性能计算收入占比还将提升!</p><p>高性能计算对先进工艺制程需求较大,将带动台积电毛利率继续提升。</p><p>从环比来看,二季度无论是高性能计算(HPC),还是智能手机,悉数实现了环比增长:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4444e36434b84ad29ae3810c7fa24bad\" tg-width=\"1348\" tg-height=\"607\"></p><p>二季度业绩炸裂基本在预期之内,市场最关注的还是未来业绩走势,毕竟半导体是周期性行业,加上AI爆发有一段时日,很多投资者担忧台积电业绩高峰来临。</p><p>而根据台积电给出的业绩指引,预计三季度营收在318-330亿美元之间,大超分析师预期的317.2亿。</p><p>考虑到最近几个季度,台积电的收入往往超过指引上限,因此,如果按照三季度330亿美元的收入计算,台积电的营收增速将保持在40%。</p><p>年初,台积电给出的收入增速指引在25%左右,上半年营收增速已达40%,因此,今年将轻松超过预定指引。</p><p>因此,管理层上调了今年的收入预测,按照美元算,预计将达到30%!</p><p>毛利率方面,由于新台币升值,以及海外工厂投产带来的稀释作用,三季度毛利率预计在55.5%-57.5%之间,或低于分析师预期的57.2%。</p><p>念及毛利率下滑有不可抗力及海外扩张正常的稀释,市场对三季度毛利率不及预期并不担忧。</p><p>尤其是台积电CEO称:“来自AI的需求越来越强劲”,直接点爆了投资者情绪!</p><p>对AI增长的忧虑一扫而空,台积电彻底打开了向上的空间,而从市净率估值来看,当下的台积电虽然涨幅巨大,但估值依然没有泡沫:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfc64e63169e6b03b8d7c864313db41b\" tg-width=\"1315\" tg-height=\"738\"></p><p>今夜,半导体会为之疯狂吗?</p><p></p><p> </p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>刚刚,台积电公布了二季报,业绩炸裂,无论营收还是利润,悉数超分析师预期:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f437d740c060007a6a3a06b162b07929\" tg-width=\"1122\" tg-height=\"385\"></p><p>受此影响,台积电在老虎证券夜盘交易中一度涨超6%,股价创历史新高: <a data-mention-id=\"TSM\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"台积电\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6a9e30d173f7d76f18294668436234\" tg-width=\"1287\" tg-height=\"823\"></p><p>具体来看,台积电二季度营收300.7亿美元,同比大增44.4%,大超管理层给出的284-292亿指引:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fedb21bf1964146c96b2424c1b1102e2\" tg-width=\"1471\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p>考虑到台积电每月10号都会公布月度销售数据,因此,二季度营收超预期已是市场明牌。</p><p>当然,如果考虑到新台币兑美元大幅升值,台积电二季度营收实际上更亮眼:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89a9e0f0732fbff4b5cc05f036a90ff3\" tg-width=\"1126\" tg-height=\"436\"></p><p>除收入外,台积电二季度毛利率达到58.6%,接近管理层给出的57%-59%指引上限,高于分析师预期的58%,比上年同期高出5.4个百分点:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bdd4228eba642f33d35b5847f9dcb0\" tg-width=\"1360\" tg-height=\"579\"></p><p>在盈利能力提升的情况下,台积电二季度净利润达到128亿美元,同比大增67%!</p><p>净利润增速远超营收的原因主要是台积电先进工艺占比提升,二季度7纳米及以下工艺贡献了74%的收入,其中,3纳米贡献了24%,大幅高于去年同期的15%:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71228066909efd7fa968fe417939612e\" tg-width=\"1591\" tg-height=\"634\"></p><p>一般而言,芯片制造工艺越先进,能够生产的厂家越少,定价能力越强,毛利率越高!</p><p>分产品看,二季度高性能计算贡献了60%的收入,智能手机贡献了27%,物联网、自动驾驶各自贡献了5%的收入:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2492786294e4419a5c7bd1dd89f34e0d\" tg-width=\"1347\" tg-height=\"598\"></p><p>几年前,台积电近一半的收入来自智能手机,随着AI爆发,GPU等高性能计算产品收入快速提升,收入占比也由几年前的30%提升至当下的60%的水平。</p><p>随着智能手机销量疲软,以及AI产品强劲的需求,预计高性能计算收入占比还将提升!</p><p>高性能计算对先进工艺制程需求较大,将带动台积电毛利率继续提升。</p><p>从环比来看,二季度无论是高性能计算(HPC),还是智能手机,悉数实现了环比增长:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4444e36434b84ad29ae3810c7fa24bad\" tg-width=\"1348\" tg-height=\"607\"></p><p>二季度业绩炸裂基本在预期之内,市场最关注的还是未来业绩走势,毕竟半导体是周期性行业,加上AI爆发有一段时日,很多投资者担忧台积电业绩高峰来临。</p><p>而根据台积电给出的业绩指引,预计三季度营收在318-330亿美元之间,大超分析师预期的317.2亿。</p><p>考虑到最近几个季度,台积电的收入往往超过指引上限,因此,如果按照三季度330亿美元的收入计算,台积电的营收增速将保持在40%。</p><p>年初,台积电给出的收入增速指引在25%左右,上半年营收增速已达40%,因此,今年将轻松超过预定指引。</p><p>因此,管理层上调了今年的收入预测,按照美元算,预计将达到30%!</p><p>毛利率方面,由于新台币升值,以及海外工厂投产带来的稀释作用,三季度毛利率预计在55.5%-57.5%之间,或低于分析师预期的57.2%。</p><p>念及毛利率下滑有不可抗力及海外扩张正常的稀释,市场对三季度毛利率不及预期并不担忧。</p><p>尤其是台积电CEO称:“来自AI的需求越来越强劲”,直接点爆了投资者情绪!</p><p>对AI增长的忧虑一扫而空,台积电彻底打开了向上的空间,而从市净率估值来看,当下的台积电虽然涨幅巨大,但估值依然没有泡沫:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfc64e63169e6b03b8d7c864313db41b\" tg-width=\"1315\" tg-height=\"738\"></p><p>今夜,半导体会为之疯狂吗?</p><p></p><p> </p></body></html>","text":"刚刚,台积电公布了二季报,业绩炸裂,无论营收还是利润,悉数超分析师预期: 受此影响,台积电在老虎证券夜盘交易中一度涨超6%,股价创历史新高: $台积电(TSM)$ 具体来看,台积电二季度营收300.7亿美元,同比大增44.4%,大超管理层给出的284-292亿指引: 考虑到台积电每月10号都会公布月度销售数据,因此,二季度营收超预期已是市场明牌。 当然,如果考虑到新台币兑美元大幅升值,台积电二季度营收实际上更亮眼: 除收入外,台积电二季度毛利率达到58.6%,接近管理层给出的57%-59%指引上限,高于分析师预期的58%,比上年同期高出5.4个百分点: 在盈利能力提升的情况下,台积电二季度净利润达到128亿美元,同比大增67%! 净利润增速远超营收的原因主要是台积电先进工艺占比提升,二季度7纳米及以下工艺贡献了74%的收入,其中,3纳米贡献了24%,大幅高于去年同期的15%: 一般而言,芯片制造工艺越先进,能够生产的厂家越少,定价能力越强,毛利率越高! 分产品看,二季度高性能计算贡献了60%的收入,智能手机贡献了27%,物联网、自动驾驶各自贡献了5%的收入: 几年前,台积电近一半的收入来自智能手机,随着AI爆发,GPU等高性能计算产品收入快速提升,收入占比也由几年前的30%提升至当下的60%的水平。 随着智能手机销量疲软,以及AI产品强劲的需求,预计高性能计算收入占比还将提升! 高性能计算对先进工艺制程需求较大,将带动台积电毛利率继续提升。 从环比来看,二季度无论是高性能计算(HPC),还是智能手机,悉数实现了环比增长: 二季度业绩炸裂基本在预期之内,市场最关注的还是未来业绩走势,毕竟半导体是周期性行业,加上AI爆发有一段时日,很多投资者担忧台积电业绩高峰来临。 而根据台积电给出的业绩指引,预计三季度营收在318-330亿美元之间,大超分析师预期的317.2亿。 考虑到最近几个季度,台积电的收入往往超过指引上限,因此,如果按照三季度330亿美元的收入计算,台积电的营收增速将保持在40%。 年初,台积电给出的收入增速指引在25%左右,上半年营收增速已达40%,因此,今年将轻松超过预定指引。 因此,管理层上调了今年的收入预测,按照美元算,预计将达到30%! 毛利率方面,由于新台币升值,以及海外工厂投产带来的稀释作用,三季度毛利率预计在55.5%-57.5%之间,或低于分析师预期的57.2%。 念及毛利率下滑有不可抗力及海外扩张正常的稀释,市场对三季度毛利率不及预期并不担忧。 尤其是台积电CEO称:“来自AI的需求越来越强劲”,直接点爆了投资者情绪! 对AI增长的忧虑一扫而空,台积电彻底打开了向上的空间,而从市净率估值来看,当下的台积电虽然涨幅巨大,但估值依然没有泡沫: 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