Ryan_Z0528
08-26
$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$
盘中涨8%
@Ryan_Z0528：
Roblox Corporation (RBLX) Options Activity Analysis
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Key strikes at $120 (call-heavy) and $100 (put protection) dominate activity.</span></p>\n<p><span><br></span></p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Key Drivers of Options Movement:</p>\n<p>Near-Term Catalysts :</p>\n<p>S&P Credit Upgrade (Aug 14) : Upgraded to BBB- with \"Positive\" outlook, sparking call buying (Aug 16 $125C open interest surged 48%) 15.</p>\n<p>Child Safety Lawsuit Risk: Louisiana AG lawsuit (23) drove put volume at $95-$100 strikes (put/call ratio spiked to 1.2x on Aug 16).</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Volatility & Positioning :</p>\n<p>IV Rank: Current implied volatility 65% (vs. 30-day avg of 58%), pricing in ±12% move by Aug 23 expiry.</p>\n<p>Open Interest Skew: Max pain at $120 with 28,000+ open contracts; $125C (Sep 20) shows 15,000+ OI, reflecting bullish speculation [additional_info].</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Market Sentiment:</p>\n<p>Retail Surge: Mentions on Reddit/StockTwits rose 32% this week, driving short-dated OTM calls (e.g., <b>Aug 23 $130C volume up 230%</b>).</p>\n<p>Institutional Flow: Block trades >$1M favor puts (65% of large trades), suggesting hedging against legal/earnings risks.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Key Options Trades to Watch:</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Strike/Expiry Volume (Last 24h) Open Interest IV (%)</p>\n<p><b>$120C (Aug 23)</b> 12,340 28,500 68%</p>\n<p><b>$100P (Sep 20) </b> 8,950 15,200 72%</p>\n<p><b>$130C (Sep 20) </b> 5,670 9,800 65%</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Put/Call Ratio : 0.89 (bullish bias but elevated puts vs. 30-day avg 0.74).</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Strategic Considerations:</p>\n<p>Catalyst Play: Q3 bookings growth (Nov 2025) may drive upside; <b>deep OTM calls ($140+) offer leveraged exposure. </b></p>\n<p>Hedging: $95-$105 puts (Sep/Oct expiry) protect against lawsuit-driven selloffs.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p><b>IV Crush Risk: </b>Post-earnings IV compression (estimated 35-40% drop) favors selling options post-catalyst.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p><b>Risk Note:</b> Roblox’s -84 P/E and legal overhang amplify downside risk; avoid naked short puts.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Disclosure: The TigerAI's reply is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p><span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$ </a>Roblox’s options are seeing elevated volatility driven by conflicting catalysts—bullish AI/metaverse bets vs. regulatory risks and valuation concerns. Key strikes at $120 (call-heavy) and $100 (put protection) dominate activity.</span></p>\n<p><span><br></span></p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Key Drivers of Options Movement:</p>\n<p>Near-Term Catalysts :</p>\n<p>S&P Credit Upgrade (Aug 14) : Upgraded to BBB- with \"Positive\" outlook, sparking call buying (Aug 16 $125C open interest surged 48%) 15.</p>\n<p>Child Safety Lawsuit Risk: Louisiana AG lawsuit (23) drove put volume at $95-$100 strikes (put/call ratio spiked to 1.2x on Aug 16).</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Volatility & Positioning :</p>\n<p>IV Rank: Current implied volatility 65% (vs. 30-day avg of 58%), pricing in ±12% move by Aug 23 expiry.</p>\n<p>Open Interest Skew: Max pain at $120 with 28,000+ open contracts; $125C (Sep 20) shows 15,000+ OI, reflecting bullish speculation [additional_info].</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Market Sentiment:</p>\n<p>Retail Surge: Mentions on Reddit/StockTwits rose 32% this week, driving short-dated OTM calls (e.g., <b>Aug 23 $130C volume up 230%</b>).</p>\n<p>Institutional Flow: Block trades >$1M favor puts (65% of large trades), suggesting hedging against legal/earnings risks.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Key Options Trades to Watch:</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Strike/Expiry Volume (Last 24h) Open Interest IV (%)</p>\n<p><b>$120C (Aug 23)</b> 12,340 28,500 68%</p>\n<p><b>$100P (Sep 20) </b> 8,950 15,200 72%</p>\n<p><b>$130C (Sep 20) </b> 5,670 9,800 65%</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Put/Call Ratio : 0.89 (bullish bias but elevated puts vs. 30-day avg 0.74).</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Strategic Considerations:</p>\n<p>Catalyst Play: Q3 bookings growth (Nov 2025) may drive upside; <b>deep OTM calls ($140+) offer leveraged exposure. </b></p>\n<p>Hedging: $95-$105 puts (Sep/Oct expiry) protect against lawsuit-driven selloffs.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p><b>IV Crush Risk: </b>Post-earnings IV compression (estimated 35-40% drop) favors selling options post-catalyst.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p><b>Risk Note:</b> Roblox’s -84 P/E and legal overhang amplify downside risk; avoid naked short puts.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Disclosure: The TigerAI's reply is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.</p></body></html>","text":"$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$ Roblox’s options are seeing elevated volatility driven by conflicting catalysts—bullish AI/metaverse bets vs. regulatory risks and valuation concerns. Key strikes at $120 (call-heavy) and $100 (put protection) dominate activity. Key Drivers of Options Movement: Near-Term Catalysts : S&P Credit Upgrade (Aug 14) : Upgraded to BBB- with \"Positive\" outlook, sparking call buying (Aug 16 $125C open interest surged 48%) 15. Child Safety Lawsuit Risk: Louisiana AG lawsuit (23) drove put volume at $95-$100 strikes (put/call ratio spiked to 1.2x on Aug 16). Volatility & Positioning : IV Rank: Current implied volatility 65% (vs. 30-day avg of 58%), pricing in ±12% move by Aug 23 expiry. Open Interest Skew: Max pain at $120 with 28,000+ open contracts; $125C (Sep 20) shows 15,000+ OI, reflecting bullish speculation [additional_info]. Market Sentiment: Retail Surge: Mentions on Reddit/StockTwits rose 32% this week, driving short-dated OTM calls (e.g., Aug 23 $130C volume up 230%). Institutional Flow: Block trades >$1M favor puts (65% of large trades), suggesting hedging against legal/earnings risks. Key Options Trades to Watch: Strike/Expiry Volume (Last 24h) Open Interest IV (%) $120C (Aug 23) 12,340 28,500 68% $100P (Sep 20) 8,950 15,200 72% $130C (Sep 20) 5,670 9,800 65% Put/Call Ratio : 0.89 (bullish bias but elevated puts vs. 30-day avg 0.74). Strategic Considerations: Catalyst Play: Q3 bookings growth (Nov 2025) may drive upside; deep OTM calls ($140+) offer leveraged exposure. Hedging: $95-$105 puts (Sep/Oct expiry) protect against lawsuit-driven selloffs. IV Crush Risk: Post-earnings IV compression (estimated 35-40% drop) favors selling options post-catalyst. Risk Note: Roblox’s -84 P/E and legal overhang amplify downside risk; avoid naked short puts. Disclosure: The TigerAI's reply is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/469191765151808","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["RBLX"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":true,"length":1623,"optionInvolvedFlag":true,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["RBLX"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":33,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/471636755877896"}
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