+关注
FREEDD
股市新人
IP属地:浙江
11
关注
1
粉丝
0
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
FREEDD
06-11
$METALIGHT(02605)$
吸取教训 不打赌票了[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]
FREEDD
06-10
$谷歌A(GOOGL)$
FREEDD
06-10
$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$
快跑[喷血]
FREEDD
06-09
$容大科技(09881)$
$新琪安(02573)$
$METALIGHT(02605)$
关于新琪安(02573.HK)和容大科技(09881.HK)是否属于“套路回拨”庄股的问题,结合市场数据和分析如下: 一、套路回拨机制的核心逻辑 根据港股IPO规则,当国际配售(国配)认购不足但公开发售(公配)超购时,可通过“套路回拨”将公配比例限制在20%以下。这种机制常被庄家用于控盘: 1. 筹码集中:通过减少散户获配比例,庄家保留更多股份,便于后期操纵股价; 2. 制造稀缺性:公配超购倍数越高(如超100倍),散户中签率越低,市场炒作情绪越强; 3. 历史表现:近年套路回拨新股首日平均涨幅达54%,但长期走势依赖庄家策略。 二、新琪安(02573.HK)的庄股特征 1. 发行结构分析: - 公配超购131倍,但国配认购不足(未披露具体倍数),触发套路回拨条件; - 基石投资者仅认购28.4%股份,保荐人民银资本历史项目首日破发率超40%; - 绿鞋机制仅覆盖15%流通股,护盘能力有限。 2. 基本面风险: - 净利润连续下滑(2022年1.22亿→2024年0.43亿),毛利率从25.6%降至17.9%; - 客户集中度高(前五大客户占比超50%),且可口可乐、雀巢等大客户订单骤减70%; - 三氯蔗糖价格战持续,行业产能过剩,泰国新工厂投产或加
FREEDD
06-09
$METALIGHT(02605)$
暗盘不用看了 等明天吧
FREEDD
05-28
$小米集团-W(01810)$
就这?
FREEDD
05-23
$恒瑞医药(01276)$
[得意]
FREEDD
05-22
$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$
[财迷]
FREEDD
05-22
$英伟达(NVDA)$
发生了什么,怎么突然跳水了
FREEDD
05-12
$谷歌A(GOOGL)$
FREEDD
05-02
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
穷查理宝典
FREEDD
05-02
$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$
FREEDD
04-11
兄弟们,消费贷下来了,先买为敬![眼眼]
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3494285086793776","uuid":"3494285086793776","gmtCreate":1531191152359,"gmtModify":1745545437953,"name":"FREEDD","pinyin":"freedd","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"股市新人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","hatId":"ca_profile_frame_Mpy1eK","hatName":"LV2 头像框","vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":1,"headSize":11,"tweetSize":13,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":900,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":0,"name":"","nameTw":"","represent":"","factor":"","iconColor":"","bgColor":""},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-1","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"精英交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到30次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.05.16","exceedPercentage":"60.67%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.03.01","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.12.29","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001}],"userBadgeCount":3,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.12.29","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"浙江","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":4,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":444767314473544,"gmtCreate":1749606828397,"gmtModify":1749606830390,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494285086793776","idStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02605\">$METALIGHT(02605)$ </a> 吸取教训 不打赌票了[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02605\">$METALIGHT(02605)$ </a> 吸取教训 不打赌票了[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] ","text":"$METALIGHT(02605)$ 吸取教训 不打赌票了[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b69707cffbe929fbeedf6da79c3a4af","width":"1208","height":"1946"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/444767314473544","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1787,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575611113070363","authorId":"3575611113070363","name":"可进可出","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64ee55b5f8a7a5ec1431a02bcc50550e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3575611113070363","idStr":"3575611113070363"},"content":"比你早出一点,跌破压力位了,该出的都出吧","text":"比你早出一点,跌破压力位了,该出的都出吧","html":"比你早出一点,跌破压力位了,该出的都出吧"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":444413516243032,"gmtCreate":1749520957528,"gmtModify":1749520960440,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494285086793776","idStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$谷歌A(GOOGL)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$谷歌A(GOOGL)$ </a> ","text":"$谷歌A(GOOGL)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32745e192bc63507e456bb7be4398ff1","width":"1208","height":"1946"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/444413516243032","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":444267842682976,"gmtCreate":1749485197724,"gmtModify":1749485198781,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494285086793776","idStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRCL\">$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ </a> 快跑[喷血] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRCL\">$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ </a> 快跑[喷血] ","text":"$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ 快跑[喷血]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/444267842682976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":444170077987672,"gmtCreate":1749461550393,"gmtModify":1749462598061,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494285086793776","idStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09881\">$容大科技(09881)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02573\">$新琪安(02573)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02605\">$METALIGHT(02605)$ </a> 关于新琪安(02573.HK)和容大科技(09881.HK)是否属于“套路回拨”庄股的问题,结合市场数据和分析如下: 一、套路回拨机制的核心逻辑 根据港股IPO规则,当国际配售(国配)认购不足但公开发售(公配)超购时,可通过“套路回拨”将公配比例限制在20%以下。这种机制常被庄家用于控盘: 1. 筹码集中:通过减少散户获配比例,庄家保留更多股份,便于后期操纵股价; 2. 制造稀缺性:公配超购倍数越高(如超100倍),散户中签率越低,市场炒作情绪越强; 3. 历史表现:近年套路回拨新股首日平均涨幅达54%,但长期走势依赖庄家策略。 二、新琪安(02573.HK)的庄股特征 1. 发行结构分析: - 公配超购131倍,但国配认购不足(未披露具体倍数),触发套路回拨条件; - 基石投资者仅认购28.4%股份,保荐人民银资本历史项目首日破发率超40%; - 绿鞋机制仅覆盖15%流通股,护盘能力有限。 2. 基本面风险: - 净利润连续下滑(2022年1.22亿→2024年0.43亿),毛利率从25.6%降至17.9%; - 客户集中度高(前五大客户占比超50%),且可口可乐、雀巢等大客户订单骤减70%; - 三氯蔗糖价格战持续,行业产能过剩,泰国新工厂投产或加","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09881\">$容大科技(09881)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02573\">$新琪安(02573)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02605\">$METALIGHT(02605)$ </a> 关于新琪安(02573.HK)和容大科技(09881.HK)是否属于“套路回拨”庄股的问题,结合市场数据和分析如下: 一、套路回拨机制的核心逻辑 根据港股IPO规则,当国际配售(国配)认购不足但公开发售(公配)超购时,可通过“套路回拨”将公配比例限制在20%以下。这种机制常被庄家用于控盘: 1. 筹码集中:通过减少散户获配比例,庄家保留更多股份,便于后期操纵股价; 2. 制造稀缺性:公配超购倍数越高(如超100倍),散户中签率越低,市场炒作情绪越强; 3. 历史表现:近年套路回拨新股首日平均涨幅达54%,但长期走势依赖庄家策略。 二、新琪安(02573.HK)的庄股特征 1. 发行结构分析: - 公配超购131倍,但国配认购不足(未披露具体倍数),触发套路回拨条件; - 基石投资者仅认购28.4%股份,保荐人民银资本历史项目首日破发率超40%; - 绿鞋机制仅覆盖15%流通股,护盘能力有限。 2. 基本面风险: - 净利润连续下滑(2022年1.22亿→2024年0.43亿),毛利率从25.6%降至17.9%; - 客户集中度高(前五大客户占比超50%),且可口可乐、雀巢等大客户订单骤减70%; - 三氯蔗糖价格战持续,行业产能过剩,泰国新工厂投产或加","text":"$容大科技(09881)$ $新琪安(02573)$ $METALIGHT(02605)$ 关于新琪安(02573.HK)和容大科技(09881.HK)是否属于“套路回拨”庄股的问题,结合市场数据和分析如下: 一、套路回拨机制的核心逻辑 根据港股IPO规则,当国际配售(国配)认购不足但公开发售(公配)超购时,可通过“套路回拨”将公配比例限制在20%以下。这种机制常被庄家用于控盘: 1. 筹码集中:通过减少散户获配比例,庄家保留更多股份,便于后期操纵股价; 2. 制造稀缺性:公配超购倍数越高(如超100倍),散户中签率越低,市场炒作情绪越强; 3. 历史表现:近年套路回拨新股首日平均涨幅达54%,但长期走势依赖庄家策略。 二、新琪安(02573.HK)的庄股特征 1. 发行结构分析: - 公配超购131倍,但国配认购不足(未披露具体倍数),触发套路回拨条件; - 基石投资者仅认购28.4%股份,保荐人民银资本历史项目首日破发率超40%; - 绿鞋机制仅覆盖15%流通股,护盘能力有限。 2. 基本面风险: - 净利润连续下滑(2022年1.22亿→2024年0.43亿),毛利率从25.6%降至17.9%; - 客户集中度高(前五大客户占比超50%),且可口可乐、雀巢等大客户订单骤减70%; - 三氯蔗糖价格战持续,行业产能过剩,泰国新工厂投产或加","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/444170077987672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":444158089167144,"gmtCreate":1749458334716,"gmtModify":1749458335934,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494285086793776","idStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02605\">$METALIGHT(02605)$ </a> 暗盘不用看了 等明天吧 ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02605\">$METALIGHT(02605)$ </a> 暗盘不用看了 等明天吧 ","text":"$METALIGHT(02605)$ 暗盘不用看了 等明天吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/444158089167144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":439782943650296,"gmtCreate":1748396986885,"gmtModify":1748396988115,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494285086793776","idStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$ </a> 就这?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$ </a> 就这?","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 就这?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/439782943650296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":438046514417768,"gmtCreate":1747980330608,"gmtModify":1747980332965,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494285086793776","idStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01276\">$恒瑞医药(01276)$ </a> [得意] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01276\">$恒瑞医药(01276)$ </a> [得意] ","text":"$恒瑞医药(01276)$ [得意]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d9c7c5f88d19e62ed9995ade3035a47","width":"1208","height":"1946"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/438046514417768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":437656847139584,"gmtCreate":1747880377931,"gmtModify":1747880380181,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494285086793776","idStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$ </a> [财迷] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$ </a> [财迷] ","text":"$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$ [财迷]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ea90780683d751eb3e4616668a93b","width":"1208","height":"1946"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/437656847139584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":481,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":437527800770744,"gmtCreate":1747849195002,"gmtModify":1747849196316,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494285086793776","idStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 发生了什么,怎么突然跳水了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 发生了什么,怎么突然跳水了","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 发生了什么,怎么突然跳水了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/437527800770744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":434080613598008,"gmtCreate":1747010722234,"gmtModify":1747010725959,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494285086793776","idStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$谷歌A(GOOGL)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$谷歌A(GOOGL)$ </a> ","text":"$谷歌A(GOOGL)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/556b9ba4a9ab0a131620fa70943a6a97","width":"1208","height":"1946"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/434080613598008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":430940131635648,"gmtCreate":1746200994074,"gmtModify":1746200997194,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494285086793776","idStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$ </a> 穷查理宝典","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$ </a> 穷查理宝典","text":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 穷查理宝典","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c2a7771311b78c98991455766d308d4","width":"1440","height":"3200"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/430940131635648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":430814292500624,"gmtCreate":1746200845529,"gmtModify":1746200847791,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494285086793776","idStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$ </a> ","text":"$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1024717d8015fb4145cdd43e70657f93","width":"1208","height":"1946"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/430814292500624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":423284771688784,"gmtCreate":1744360030788,"gmtModify":1744362761577,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494285086793776","idStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"兄弟们,消费贷下来了,先买为敬![眼眼] ","listText":"兄弟们,消费贷下来了,先买为敬![眼眼] ","text":"兄弟们,消费贷下来了,先买为敬![眼眼]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/423284771688784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":787,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":437527800770744,"gmtCreate":1747849195002,"gmtModify":1747849196316,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3494285086793776","authorIdStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 发生了什么,怎么突然跳水了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 发生了什么,怎么突然跳水了","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 发生了什么,怎么突然跳水了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/437527800770744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":444767314473544,"gmtCreate":1749606828397,"gmtModify":1749606830390,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3494285086793776","authorIdStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02605\">$METALIGHT(02605)$ </a> 吸取教训 不打赌票了[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02605\">$METALIGHT(02605)$ </a> 吸取教训 不打赌票了[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] ","text":"$METALIGHT(02605)$ 吸取教训 不打赌票了[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b69707cffbe929fbeedf6da79c3a4af","width":"1208","height":"1946"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/444767314473544","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1787,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575611113070363","authorId":"3575611113070363","name":"可进可出","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64ee55b5f8a7a5ec1431a02bcc50550e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3575611113070363","authorIdStr":"3575611113070363"},"content":"比你早出一点,跌破压力位了,该出的都出吧","text":"比你早出一点,跌破压力位了,该出的都出吧","html":"比你早出一点,跌破压力位了,该出的都出吧"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":423284771688784,"gmtCreate":1744360030788,"gmtModify":1744362761577,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3494285086793776","authorIdStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"兄弟们,消费贷下来了,先买为敬![眼眼] ","listText":"兄弟们,消费贷下来了,先买为敬![眼眼] ","text":"兄弟们,消费贷下来了,先买为敬![眼眼]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/423284771688784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":787,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":444170077987672,"gmtCreate":1749461550393,"gmtModify":1749462598061,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3494285086793776","authorIdStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09881\">$容大科技(09881)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02573\">$新琪安(02573)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02605\">$METALIGHT(02605)$ </a> 关于新琪安(02573.HK)和容大科技(09881.HK)是否属于“套路回拨”庄股的问题,结合市场数据和分析如下: 一、套路回拨机制的核心逻辑 根据港股IPO规则,当国际配售(国配)认购不足但公开发售(公配)超购时,可通过“套路回拨”将公配比例限制在20%以下。这种机制常被庄家用于控盘: 1. 筹码集中:通过减少散户获配比例,庄家保留更多股份,便于后期操纵股价; 2. 制造稀缺性:公配超购倍数越高(如超100倍),散户中签率越低,市场炒作情绪越强; 3. 历史表现:近年套路回拨新股首日平均涨幅达54%,但长期走势依赖庄家策略。 二、新琪安(02573.HK)的庄股特征 1. 发行结构分析: - 公配超购131倍,但国配认购不足(未披露具体倍数),触发套路回拨条件; - 基石投资者仅认购28.4%股份,保荐人民银资本历史项目首日破发率超40%; - 绿鞋机制仅覆盖15%流通股,护盘能力有限。 2. 基本面风险: - 净利润连续下滑(2022年1.22亿→2024年0.43亿),毛利率从25.6%降至17.9%; - 客户集中度高(前五大客户占比超50%),且可口可乐、雀巢等大客户订单骤减70%; - 三氯蔗糖价格战持续,行业产能过剩,泰国新工厂投产或加","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09881\">$容大科技(09881)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02573\">$新琪安(02573)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02605\">$METALIGHT(02605)$ </a> 关于新琪安(02573.HK)和容大科技(09881.HK)是否属于“套路回拨”庄股的问题,结合市场数据和分析如下: 一、套路回拨机制的核心逻辑 根据港股IPO规则,当国际配售(国配)认购不足但公开发售(公配)超购时,可通过“套路回拨”将公配比例限制在20%以下。这种机制常被庄家用于控盘: 1. 筹码集中:通过减少散户获配比例,庄家保留更多股份,便于后期操纵股价; 2. 制造稀缺性:公配超购倍数越高(如超100倍),散户中签率越低,市场炒作情绪越强; 3. 历史表现:近年套路回拨新股首日平均涨幅达54%,但长期走势依赖庄家策略。 二、新琪安(02573.HK)的庄股特征 1. 发行结构分析: - 公配超购131倍,但国配认购不足(未披露具体倍数),触发套路回拨条件; - 基石投资者仅认购28.4%股份,保荐人民银资本历史项目首日破发率超40%; - 绿鞋机制仅覆盖15%流通股,护盘能力有限。 2. 基本面风险: - 净利润连续下滑(2022年1.22亿→2024年0.43亿),毛利率从25.6%降至17.9%; - 客户集中度高(前五大客户占比超50%),且可口可乐、雀巢等大客户订单骤减70%; - 三氯蔗糖价格战持续,行业产能过剩,泰国新工厂投产或加","text":"$容大科技(09881)$ $新琪安(02573)$ $METALIGHT(02605)$ 关于新琪安(02573.HK)和容大科技(09881.HK)是否属于“套路回拨”庄股的问题,结合市场数据和分析如下: 一、套路回拨机制的核心逻辑 根据港股IPO规则,当国际配售(国配)认购不足但公开发售(公配)超购时,可通过“套路回拨”将公配比例限制在20%以下。这种机制常被庄家用于控盘: 1. 筹码集中:通过减少散户获配比例,庄家保留更多股份,便于后期操纵股价; 2. 制造稀缺性:公配超购倍数越高(如超100倍),散户中签率越低,市场炒作情绪越强; 3. 历史表现:近年套路回拨新股首日平均涨幅达54%,但长期走势依赖庄家策略。 二、新琪安(02573.HK)的庄股特征 1. 发行结构分析: - 公配超购131倍,但国配认购不足(未披露具体倍数),触发套路回拨条件; - 基石投资者仅认购28.4%股份,保荐人民银资本历史项目首日破发率超40%; - 绿鞋机制仅覆盖15%流通股,护盘能力有限。 2. 基本面风险: - 净利润连续下滑(2022年1.22亿→2024年0.43亿),毛利率从25.6%降至17.9%; - 客户集中度高(前五大客户占比超50%),且可口可乐、雀巢等大客户订单骤减70%; - 三氯蔗糖价格战持续,行业产能过剩,泰国新工厂投产或加","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/444170077987672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":444158089167144,"gmtCreate":1749458334716,"gmtModify":1749458335934,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3494285086793776","authorIdStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02605\">$METALIGHT(02605)$ </a> 暗盘不用看了 等明天吧 ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02605\">$METALIGHT(02605)$ </a> 暗盘不用看了 等明天吧 ","text":"$METALIGHT(02605)$ 暗盘不用看了 等明天吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/444158089167144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":439782943650296,"gmtCreate":1748396986885,"gmtModify":1748396988115,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3494285086793776","authorIdStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$ </a> 就这?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$ </a> 就这?","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 就这?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/439782943650296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":444413516243032,"gmtCreate":1749520957528,"gmtModify":1749520960440,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3494285086793776","authorIdStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$谷歌A(GOOGL)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$谷歌A(GOOGL)$ </a> ","text":"$谷歌A(GOOGL)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32745e192bc63507e456bb7be4398ff1","width":"1208","height":"1946"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/444413516243032","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":444267842682976,"gmtCreate":1749485197724,"gmtModify":1749485198781,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3494285086793776","authorIdStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRCL\">$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ </a> 快跑[喷血] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRCL\">$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ </a> 快跑[喷血] ","text":"$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ 快跑[喷血]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/444267842682976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":438046514417768,"gmtCreate":1747980330608,"gmtModify":1747980332965,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3494285086793776","authorIdStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01276\">$恒瑞医药(01276)$ </a> [得意] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01276\">$恒瑞医药(01276)$ </a> [得意] ","text":"$恒瑞医药(01276)$ [得意]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d9c7c5f88d19e62ed9995ade3035a47","width":"1208","height":"1946"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/438046514417768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":437656847139584,"gmtCreate":1747880377931,"gmtModify":1747880380181,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3494285086793776","authorIdStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$ </a> [财迷] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$ </a> [财迷] ","text":"$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$ [财迷]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ea90780683d751eb3e4616668a93b","width":"1208","height":"1946"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/437656847139584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":481,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":434080613598008,"gmtCreate":1747010722234,"gmtModify":1747010725959,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3494285086793776","authorIdStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$谷歌A(GOOGL)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$谷歌A(GOOGL)$ </a> ","text":"$谷歌A(GOOGL)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/556b9ba4a9ab0a131620fa70943a6a97","width":"1208","height":"1946"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/434080613598008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":430940131635648,"gmtCreate":1746200994074,"gmtModify":1746200997194,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3494285086793776","authorIdStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$ </a> 穷查理宝典","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$ </a> 穷查理宝典","text":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 穷查理宝典","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c2a7771311b78c98991455766d308d4","width":"1440","height":"3200"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/430940131635648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":430814292500624,"gmtCreate":1746200845529,"gmtModify":1746200847791,"author":{"id":"3494285086793776","authorId":"3494285086793776","name":"FREEDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834c2e021b731c897b5e28d616eb89b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3494285086793776","authorIdStr":"3494285086793776"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$ </a> ","text":"$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1024717d8015fb4145cdd43e70657f93","width":"1208","height":"1946"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/430814292500624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}