老忘的个人主页 - 老虎社区

老忘

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IP属地：宁夏

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1主题

0勋章

10-20 16:48

我平仓了100.0股$聚水潭(06687)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单

2024-09-10

$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 昨天为啥暴涨6%？

10-21 16:30

我平仓了400.0股$广和通(00638)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单

2021-06-30

$叮咚(DDL)$还好卖的早[财迷]

2021-06-08

$掌门教育(ZME)$实在没想到，哈哈😄

06-07

我开仓了800.0股$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单

2020-07-17

$老虎证券(TIGR)$中报出来，一飞冲天

09-29

我平仓了20.0股$博泰车联(02889)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单

09-02

我平仓了2000.0股$奥克斯电气(02580)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单

10-15

我开仓了50.0股$云迹(02670)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单

09-26

我开仓了38000.0股$昆仑能源(00135)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单

09-18

我平仓了200.0股$劲方医药-B(02595)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单

08-28

我开仓了3手$KLE.HK 20250929 7.25 PUT$ ,去查看订单详情。

08-14

我平仓了400.0股$京东(JD)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单

08-13

我平仓了200.0股$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单

06-20

我平仓了400.0股$三花智控(02050)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单

10-16

我平仓了100.0股$云迹(02670)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单

10-09

我平仓了60000.0股$昆仑能源(00135)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单

09-29

我开仓了22000.0股$昆仑能源(00135)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单

09-29

我平仓了100.0股$紫金黄金国际(02259)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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一、首日大涨的核心支撑因素 1. 显著折价与估值修复空间 - 港股发行价42.8港元，较A股（8月18日收盘价69元人民币，约75.9港元）折价约36.5% - 参考同类A+H股历史表现（如峰岹科技港股首日涨24.3%），天岳先进若按70%折价率推算，开盘价或达53.13港元，潜在涨幅24.3%（一手赚1040港元） 2. 市场情绪与资金热度 - 超额认购强劲：招股期间孖展认购超70倍，预计最终超购2000倍，触发最高回拨机制（公开发售占比升至35%） - 近期新股造富效应：同期上市的银诺医药-B首日涨206%、中慧生物-B涨158%，提振打新情绪 3. 赛道稀缺性与增长预期 - 全球碳化硅龙头：市占率全球第二（16.7%），导电型衬底市占率22.8% - 下游需求爆发：绑定英伟达、博世等头部客户；受益于新能源汽车（800V平台）、AI数据中心（能效提升）、AI眼镜（碳化硅光波导镜片）三大高增长领域，2030年碳化硅器件市场规模或达197亿美元（复合增速35.2%） - 技术壁垒：全球少数量产8英寸衬底企业，12英寸衬底已突破，良率达75% 4. 保荐人与绿鞋机制护航 - 联席保荐人中信证券2025年保荐项目首日均涨超150%，擅长高回拨引爆热度；中金担任稳价人，预留716万股绿鞋托底 --- ⚠️ 二、潜在风险与不确定性 1. 业绩短期波动 - 2025Q1净利润同比降82%，主因研发费用激增101%（押注12英寸技术），毛利率虽稳定在22.7%，但盈利承压 2. 行业竞争与客户依赖 - 前五大客户贡献收入超50%，若价格战或订单波动可能影响营收 - 国际巨头（如Wolfspeed）扩产加速，长期技术竞争加剧 3. 市场环境与流动性 - 近期半导体板块资金净流出（如8月1日单日流出113亿元），若港股破发或拖累A股情绪 - H股流动性低于A股，折价收敛需依赖后续业绩验","listText":"📈 一、首日大涨的核心支撑因素 1. 显著折价与估值修复空间 - 港股发行价42.8港元，较A股（8月18日收盘价69元人民币，约75.9港元）折价约36.5% - 参考同类A+H股历史表现（如峰岹科技港股首日涨24.3%），天岳先进若按70%折价率推算，开盘价或达53.13港元，潜在涨幅24.3%（一手赚1040港元） 2. 市场情绪与资金热度 - 超额认购强劲：招股期间孖展认购超70倍，预计最终超购2000倍，触发最高回拨机制（公开发售占比升至35%） - 近期新股造富效应：同期上市的银诺医药-B首日涨206%、中慧生物-B涨158%，提振打新情绪 3. 赛道稀缺性与增长预期 - 全球碳化硅龙头：市占率全球第二（16.7%），导电型衬底市占率22.8% - 下游需求爆发：绑定英伟达、博世等头部客户；受益于新能源汽车（800V平台）、AI数据中心（能效提升）、AI眼镜（碳化硅光波导镜片）三大高增长领域，2030年碳化硅器件市场规模或达197亿美元（复合增速35.2%） - 技术壁垒：全球少数量产8英寸衬底企业，12英寸衬底已突破，良率达75% 4. 保荐人与绿鞋机制护航 - 联席保荐人中信证券2025年保荐项目首日均涨超150%，擅长高回拨引爆热度；中金担任稳价人，预留716万股绿鞋托底 --- ⚠️ 二、潜在风险与不确定性 1. 业绩短期波动 - 2025Q1净利润同比降82%，主因研发费用激增101%（押注12英寸技术），毛利率虽稳定在22.7%，但盈利承压 2. 行业竞争与客户依赖 - 前五大客户贡献收入超50%，若价格战或订单波动可能影响营收 - 国际巨头（如Wolfspeed）扩产加速，长期技术竞争加剧 3. 市场环境与流动性 - 近期半导体板块资金净流出（如8月1日单日流出113亿元），若港股破发或拖累A股情绪 - H股流动性低于A股，折价收敛需依赖后续业绩验","text":"📈 一、首日大涨的核心支撑因素 1. 显著折价与估值修复空间 - 港股发行价42.8港元，较A股（8月18日收盘价69元人民币，约75.9港元）折价约36.5% - 参考同类A+H股历史表现（如峰岹科技港股首日涨24.3%），天岳先进若按70%折价率推算，开盘价或达53.13港元，潜在涨幅24.3%（一手赚1040港元） 2. 市场情绪与资金热度 - 超额认购强劲：招股期间孖展认购超70倍，预计最终超购2000倍，触发最高回拨机制（公开发售占比升至35%） - 近期新股造富效应：同期上市的银诺医药-B首日涨206%、中慧生物-B涨158%，提振打新情绪 3. 赛道稀缺性与增长预期 - 全球碳化硅龙头：市占率全球第二（16.7%），导电型衬底市占率22.8% - 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/10000000000010588\">@小虎看单</a>","text":"我平仓了100.0股$紫金黄金国际(02259)$ ,去查看订单详情。@小虎看单","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/483761068045168","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}