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时间之力

时间之力

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2024-06-12

$甲骨文(ORCL)$ 认知到了，交易和持股不行，仍然赚不到钱。复盘为鉴

08-09 06:56

我开仓了$爱奇艺(IQ)$ ,爱奇艺的自制好看，唯一剩下的独立中国视频上市公司有没有价值。长期看

2020-12-14

$绿叶制药(02186)$欲哭无泪

2021-02-08

$比特币基金(GBTC)$上看300刀

2020-10-12

$迅雷(XNET)$大家知道迅雷未来会成为什么吗？可以去查一下现在的话事人是谁，做过什么产品，背后投资人又是谁。给个提示，are you ready?

06-23

我平仓了$三花智控(02050)$ ,无脑打新赚钱已结束

2021-10-01

$Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETH)(ETHE)$为啥我交易不了这个品种了@老虎证券

2020-12-23

$老虎证券(TIGR)$坚定看好老虎

2020-10-12

$迅雷(XNET)$陈被董事会罢免，包括爆出这个事情，我认为是在有序出清。等待涅槃

08-07

专业。当成高股息股买，这个价格没问题

谈几点我对福寿园中报预警的思考

06-25

我开仓了$霸王茶姬(CHA)$ ,对比下蜜雪和霸王，估值不对等，折价有点太大了。买个观察仓

2020-11-22

$希玛眼科(03309)$爱尔眼科

2020-02-03

$Global X Lithium ETF(LIT)$ 去哪里查这只etf的最新持仓啊？谢谢

06-11

我开仓了$拼多多(PDD)$ ,观察仓，等待pdd开枪机会，加上卖put方案。按100价卖，1季度业绩调整下调有加机会

2020-11-09

$雷蛇(01337)$不是很懂，我就想问个问题，雷蛇这样的电竞产业链公司为什么腾讯或者网易不把它收掉？

07-31

我平仓了$Strategy(MSTR)$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

06-24

我开仓了2手$ALB.HK 20250828 85.00 PUT$ ,卖put看多

06-24

我开仓了10手$MET.HK 20251230 200.00 CALL$ ,长期拿着，到年底再看

06-24

我开仓了1手$MSTR 20250627 350.0 PUT$ ,看好大饼

06-11

我开仓了2手$PDD 20250613 101.0 PUT$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

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href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250806201607a478b901&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK1215":"特殊消费者服务","BK1605":"殡葬概念","01448":"福寿园"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250806201607a478b901&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2557374529","content_text":"福寿园公司发布中报预警，预计亏损 2.35-2.65 亿。公司公告是三个原因：1、宏观经济和客户消费更加谨慎使得业绩下滑；2、部分子公司因不同税务原因导致税务成本上升；3、商誉和资产减值。4、同时表示扣非后净利润率保持在较高水平。简单说一下我的观点：1、 因为去年底开始行业整顿，墓地出售价格受到窗口指导，公司此前预计营收下降 10%，墓地均价下降 25%，没想到直接给干亏了 2.5 亿左右。2、 业绩下滑是肯定的，但单纯业绩原因最多只是多赚和小赚的区别，不可能亏这么多，这个从商业模式就能理解到。3、 公告提到，不同子公司因不同税务原因，说明不是一家子公司，也是不同税务原因，这个可以参照去年年报，可能涉及税率增加和追缴，另一家同行万桐园发公告说的是适用税率提高了。这个不方便展开讲了。4、 商誉和资产减值，估计和去年的情况类似。5、 管理层被诟病很多，经常出各种幺蛾子。但不建议啥都往诚信上面去套。至少这几年分红是实打实的。6、 我认为福寿园公司的商誉模式是不错的，需求也是与日俱增的，这个到了一定年龄，参加一些白事会有更深的感悟。7、 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19:55","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"谈几点我对福寿园中报预警的思考","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2557374529","media":"昆仑侠","summary":"福寿园公司发布中报预警，预计亏损 2.35-2.65 亿。以上是我的一些思考，不要问我买卖操作问题，我不方便回答。","content":"<html><body><article><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01448\">福寿园</a>公司发布中报预警，预计亏损 2.35-2.65 亿。公司公告是三个原因：</p><p>1、宏观经济和客户消费更加谨慎使得业绩下滑；</p><p>2、部分子公司因不同税务原因导致税务成本上升；</p><p>3、<span>商誉</span>和<span>资产</span>减值。</p><p>4、同时表示扣非后净利润率保持在较高水平。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20250806201600511v15202xircrnan0\"/><p>简单说一下我的观点：</p><p>1、 因为去年底开始行业整顿，墓地出售价格受到窗口指导，公司此前预计营收下降 10%，墓地均价下降 25%，没想到直接给干亏了 2.5 亿左右。</p><p>2、 业绩下滑是肯定的，但单纯业绩原因最多只是多赚和小赚的区别，不可能亏这么多，这个从商业模式就能理解到。</p><p>3、 公告提到，不同子公司因不同税务原因，说明不是一家子公司，也是不同税务原因，这个可以参照去年年报，可能涉及税率增加和追缴，另一家同行万桐园发公告说的是适用税率提高了。这个不方便展开讲了。</p><p>4、 商誉和资产减值，估计和去年的情况类似。</p><p>5、 管理层被诟病很多，经常出各种幺蛾子。但不建议啥都往诚信上面去套。至少这几年<span>分红</span>是实打实的。</p><p>6、 我认为福寿园公司的商誉模式是不错的，需求也是与日俱增的，这个到了一定年龄，参加一些白事会有更深的感悟。</p><p>7、 现在的问题是要对福寿园未来长期<span>净利润</span>的一个稳态缺乏合理的推断，需要中报以及各地殡葬管理条例落实后后有个较为清晰的认知。</p><p>以上是我的一些思考，不要问我买卖操作问题，我不方便回答。</p><p>最后提示一下风险：以上仅作为我个人的一些理解，可能和事实有很大的出入，不作为任何投资建议或暗示，据此买卖，风险自负。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>谈几点我对福寿园中报预警的思考</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n谈几点我对福寿园中报预警的思考\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-08-06 19:55 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250806201607a478b901&s=b><strong>昆仑侠</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>福寿园公司发布中报预警，预计亏损 2.35-2.65 亿。公司公告是三个原因：1、宏观经济和客户消费更加谨慎使得业绩下滑；2、部分子公司因不同税务原因导致税务成本上升；3、商誉和资产减值。4、同时表示扣非后净利润率保持在较高水平。简单说一下我的观点：1、 因为去年底开始行业整顿，墓地出售价格受到窗口指导，公司此前预计营收下降 10%，墓地均价下降 25%，没想到直接给干亏了 2.5 亿左右。2、 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250806201607a478b901&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK1215":"特殊消费者服务","BK1605":"殡葬概念","01448":"福寿园"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250806201607a478b901&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2557374529","content_text":"福寿园公司发布中报预警，预计亏损 2.35-2.65 亿。公司公告是三个原因：1、宏观经济和客户消费更加谨慎使得业绩下滑；2、部分子公司因不同税务原因导致税务成本上升；3、商誉和资产减值。4、同时表示扣非后净利润率保持在较高水平。简单说一下我的观点：1、 因为去年底开始行业整顿，墓地出售价格受到窗口指导，公司此前预计营收下降 10%，墓地均价下降 25%，没想到直接给干亏了 2.5 亿左右。2、 业绩下滑是肯定的，但单纯业绩原因最多只是多赚和小赚的区别，不可能亏这么多，这个从商业模式就能理解到。3、 公告提到，不同子公司因不同税务原因，说明不是一家子公司，也是不同税务原因，这个可以参照去年年报，可能涉及税率增加和追缴，另一家同行万桐园发公告说的是适用税率提高了。这个不方便展开讲了。4、 商誉和资产减值，估计和去年的情况类似。5、 管理层被诟病很多，经常出各种幺蛾子。但不建议啥都往诚信上面去套。至少这几年分红是实打实的。6、 我认为福寿园公司的商誉模式是不错的，需求也是与日俱增的，这个到了一定年龄，参加一些白事会有更深的感悟。7、 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