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火火兔爸
12-19 23:44
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
今天 多空双杀
火火兔爸
12-19 17:40
全是虚的
2026财年二季度业绩公布 耐克能否跑出回归路径?
火火兔爸
12-18 19:54
机会大于危险,持股待涨
火火兔爸
12-18
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
经过阶段性获利回吐后明年会继续上行毕竟美股预期依然在拉高的个股数量有限。
火火兔爸
12-18
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
2025年12月18日美股下跌,核心是科技板块受挫、日本央行加息预期冲击及美国经济数据疲软,具体原因如下 : 1. 科技巨头遭多重利空领跌:谷歌与Meta12月17日宣布合作提升TPU芯片与PyTorch兼容性,冲击英伟达在AI芯片市场的主导地位,叠加技术性回调压力,其单日跌4个点;甲骨文因数据中心相关计划受挫跌超5个点,拖累科技产业链情绪,同时年底获利盘抛售也加剧了科技板块的资金分歧。 2. 日本央行加息预期引发流动性收紧:市场大概率预计12月18 - 19日的议息会议上,日本央行会将利率从0.5%上调至0.75%。此前投资者常借低息日元投资高收益美股,加息会推动日元升值,触发套利交易平仓,外资可能回流日本,让美股流动性承压,前期涨幅大的科技股率先被抛售。 3. 美国经济数据疲软削弱市场信心:美国10月减少10.5万个工作岗位,11月新增非农岗位仅6.4万个,失业率升至4.6%,且零售额增速放缓,引发市场对经济复苏的担忧。临近年底,机构为保住全年收益,收缩战线减少高波动科技股配置,进一步放大了美股跌幅。
火火兔爸
12-17
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
英伟达缺内存崩了,对特斯拉没有实质影响
火火兔爸
12-17
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
1000
火火兔爸
12-17
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
感谢砸盘侠送的筹码
火火兔爸
12-17
变脸真快
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
美国加州监管机构目前允许特斯拉继续在该州销售车辆
火火兔爸
12-17
怪不得突然砸一下,好吧我吃过别人丢掉的筹码了
特斯拉在加州被要求限期整改,否则将被暂停销售,盘后股价跌超1%
火火兔爸
12-17
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
已经突破
火火兔爸
12-17
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
木头姐基金挺二的,英伟达也是起飞前清仓踏空。
火火兔爸
12-16
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
有人只看到价格到了高位但是没看到估值的变化
火火兔爸
12-16
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
盘后有人送筹码继续加
火火兔爸
12-15
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
期权策略 | 白银价格年内已翻倍并屡创新高,如何用期权操作相关联的SLV?
火火兔爸
12-13
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
这一晚上惊心动魄,但是只要心态稳,看准大方向,还是赚不少。
火火兔爸
12-13
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
美债收益率走高引发的血案
火火兔爸
12-12
销量跌到谷底,要思变了
特斯拉11月美国销量跌至近四年低点,廉价车型未能扭转颓势
火火兔爸
12-11
逢跌买入就是了,明年二三月开始扩表
火火兔爸
12-09
似乎就是不确定[傲娇]
摩根士丹利两年半来首次下调对特斯拉评级,指其估值过高
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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Hill)重返耐克担任CEO后,耐克在过去一年处于主动转型调整阶段,其目标是让公司的业务重心再次聚焦专业运动领域,通过调整产品结构、修复经销渠道、重塑品牌价值等变革措施,将资源更高效地分配给核心产品、关键市场和有效渠道。而围绕“以运动为中心”的转型进展一直是市场最为关注的重点之一。</p>\n<p> 2025年内,耐克对公司管理结构调整优化:6月,原消费者、产品和品牌部门拆分成消费者与体育(Consumer and Sport)、营销(Marketing)和产品创作(Product Creation)三个独立团队,负责人直接向CEO汇报;12月,供应链负责人被任命为首席运营官并将技术方面的工作纳入其职责范围,取消首席商务官由CFO直接负责销售部门,包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00021\">大中华</a>区在内的四大区域业务负责人正式进入全球高级领导管理层,同样直接向CEO汇报。</p>\n<p> 通过打破<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/301365\">矩阵</a>式组织架构,推行扁平化管理,耐克显著缩短了决策链路,加速了战略在产品创新、品牌连接以及全球各市场的同步落地与敏捷响应。</p>\n<p> 在这样高效的执行体系下,耐克的“去库存”计划成为本季度的财报亮点之一,集团库存目前处于健康水位。最新财报数据显示,截至2026财年第二季度末,集团库存资产价值77亿美元,同比下降3%。大中华区库存同比减少中双位数。</p>\n<p> 库存结构持续改善,不仅为新品上市与季节商品更新释放出充足的空间,更标志着以需求为导向的供应链调整取得实质性成效,耐克正在重新掌握供需平衡的主动权。</p>\n<p> <strong>回归产品力 重塑内部创新“引擎”</strong></p>\n<p> 当下,运动用品“功能先行”已然成为主流趋势。据Research and Markets研究报告预测,2029年全球功能性服装市场规模将达到6467亿美元,2024-2029年复合增长率为7.9%。而<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601555\">东吴证券</a></span><span></span>的《纺服行业2026年度策略》研究报告披露,得益于人均GDP提高、消费人群年轻化等因素,2029年国内功能性服装市场规模有望达2157亿元,2024-2029年复合增长率约为16.0%,明显高于全球增速,将驱动运动尤其户外行业整体景气度上行。</p>\n<div><img src=\"https://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/384/w2048h1536/20251219/5aa1-3b5da0991186c13561af2e1e8e21016a.jpg\"/><span></span></div>\n<p> 这意味着,消费者更加注重产品在运动场景当中的实用性,为参与运动的人提供切实的性能提升与体验优化。若品牌能凭借创新前置与前沿技术构建先发优势,无疑将是市场的最大赢家。</p>\n<p> 最近几年,耐克一直因为产品创新方面的不足而被市场所诟病。在市场看来,创新问题不同于其他业绩承压因素,是企业在转型中面临的一个长期压力。</p>\n<p> 但令人意外的是,耐克在不到一年的时间内,带来了一系列引领行业的突破。这也充分说明,这家公司在过去数十年中的创新积累,足以令其在“回归运动”的方向确立后,快速响应并且实施。</p>\n<p> 其近期针对“创新力”采取了一系列自上而下的重塑措施。在报告期内,公司整合了旗下Nike、Jordan品牌与Converse三大业务板块的创新与产品团队,旨在打破内部研发壁垒,共享洞察与科技,从而系统性地提升从创意到产品的转化效率与规模。12月初,耐克宣布现任首席供应链官Venkatesh Alagirisamy将担任执行副总裁兼首席运营官。此举致力于推动供应链职能更早、更深地介入创新流程,从产品设计阶段即与规模化生产及市场供应对齐,加速创意从概念到市场的转化效率。</p>\n<p> 其中以跑步业务表现尤为明显,随着创新产品加快上市,本季度跑步业务增长超20%,并且在所有渠道的销售都实现了双位数增长,继续展现强劲的市场动能。</p>\n<p> 此外,耐克在篮球、户外、足球等领域多品类产品矩阵协同创新,强化了品牌在各细分市场的竞争优势。其中,篮球鞋款G.T. Cut 4被球迷称之为重新定义篮球风格和性能之作,ACG的Lava Loft的推出则是为户外运动羽绒服带来了新的创新性思路。</p>\n<div><img src=\"https://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/799/w1920h1279/20251219/2c5e-e248117562eb5154381fdc2d77555f5f.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p> 更为重要的是,通过耐克CEO在多个媒体上的采访能够发现,虽然身处转型期,但耐克十分明确不能沦落为追随者。回归品牌最初的以“运动员为核心”,耐克也加大了对于行业未来探索的投入,以保持自身的行业竞争优势。其革命性Aero-FIT散热科技,通过创新空气导流设计提升排汗效率,将率先登陆2026年世界杯耐克签约的国家队战袍;Therma-FIT Air Milano夹克首次将品牌标志性的Air科技引入服装,实现无需增减衣物的动态温控,并将在米兰冬奥会中亮相。</p>\n<p> 而在进博会上,耐克首次线下展示了历时十余年研发的全新Nike Mind科技。该技术将神经科学原理应用于运动装备设计,开创性地将产品研发视角从传统的身体机能延伸至大脑与运动心理层面。首款基于神经科学的鞋类产品 Mind 001与Mind 002,将会在1月份正式推出,目前该鞋款在社交媒体上被反复讨论,相信发售后将进一步推高其品牌声量。</p>\n<p> <strong>强调“本土化” 重新点燃品牌热度</strong></p>\n<p> 回到中国市场,复杂的市场环境令耐克当前仍旧处于承压状态,耐克CEO强调,中国依然是全球运动领域最具长期潜力的市场之一,这一点从未改变。在市场分析师预计中,其结构性挑战将贯穿2026财年。但这并不意味着耐克将在中国市场以“保守”的姿态度过转型过渡期。相反,在市场数字之外,能够看到耐克的清晰的主动出击行动。不可否认的是,耐克的品牌热度正在回归。</p>\n<div><img src=\"https://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/400/w1280h720/20251219/b2f9-04cabf2b3915433d42af93f74a3bd3ee.jpg\"/><span></span></div>\n<p> 报告期内,耐克依托多年对本土文化的深度洞察,以真切的文化共鸣与体育故事触达本土消费者,建立起深厚的情感连接。在大湾区体育盛会期间,耐克以运动精神为核心,敏锐把握区域文化,因地制宜将广府文化作为核心沟通载体,携手“亚洲第一飞人”苏炳添共创主题短片,成功将“Just Do It”精神融入本土语境;上海海港成就<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002471\">中超</a>三连冠之际,耐克以“连冠,撼不动”口号,致敬球队以坚韧与专注铸就的冠军之路。同时推出上海海港夺冠庆祝T恤、中超冠军同款定制球鞋Air Force 1等周边产品,被众多球迷追捧。</p>\n<p> 在对消费者购买体验的重塑上,耐克以杭州、北京、广州等全国八大城市为起点,全方位升级重点店铺。基于对各店本地客群的深度分析,公司从货品组合、零售服务、店铺体验、故事营销等多维度实施改造,围绕不同运动品类提高品牌的适应力和渗透力。以北京汉光店为例,在其跑步品类完成重点升级后,该系列产品的销售额同比实现了25%的增长。耐克CFO马修·弗兰德称:“该项目本季度取得了积极成效,门店客流、转化率以及销售增长均优于整体水平。”</p>\n<p> 由此可见,“Win Now”计划的执行落地,已陆续反映在公司健康的基本面上,核心区域呈差异化复苏态势。耐克的回归并非是单一数据的反弹,而是多项运营指标逐步改善所呈现出的协同效应,印证了其战略调整方向的正确性与执行力。</p>\n<p> 华尔街也普遍认可耐克转型战略成效,认为品牌复苏路径清晰可见,投资者信心随之回暖。财报发布后,华尔街长期追踪耐克的38位分析师中,有36位给予耐克“增持”“买入”、及“继续持有”评级,显示出专业投资机构对其增长前景的乐观态度。</p>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP</div>\n</div>\n<p>责任编辑:公司观察</p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2026财年二季度业绩公布 耐克能否跑出回归路径?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-19 10:45 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/observe/2025-12-19/doc-inhchwwp5977088.shtml><strong>新浪证券</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>年末,国内马拉松赛季不仅是跑者们的竞技时刻,也是各大体育品牌的竞技场。在众多品牌中,耐克今年在北马和上马的表现非常强势。\n 在北马赛道上,耐克运动员包揽女子组前三,其中黄雪梅获得第一。在11月底的上马赛事中,除了国际选手,张德顺以2:25:12的成绩打破上马女子国内赛会纪录,实现四连冠,吴冰摘得国内女子组亚军,杨克古摘得国内男子组亚军,耐克“破速之队”成员李大林获得国内男子组季军。而在赛道外,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/observe/2025-12-19/doc-inhchwwp5977088.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0029864427.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4566":"资本集团","LU2098885051.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Multi-Manager Alternatives A (acc) SGD","BK4558":"双十一","LU0128525929.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1303367103.USD":"摩根大通多经理另类基金 A (acc)","LU0786609619.USD":"高盛全球千禧一代股票组合Acc","IE00BYQQ9H92.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL LEADERS \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0792757196.USD":"TEMPLETON SHARIAH GLOBAL EQUITY FUND \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","NKE":"耐克","LU0310800379.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global A Acc SGD","BK4146":"鞋类","LU1267930573.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"AA\" (SGD) ACC A","LU0889566641.SGD":"FTSF - Templeton Shariah Global Equity A Acc SGD","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IE00BFXG0V08.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL LEADERS \"B\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930813.SGD":"FRANKLIN TEMPLETON SHARIAH GLOBAL EQUITY \"AS\" (SGD) ACC","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0708994859.HKD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (HKD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/observe/2025-12-19/doc-inhchwwp5977088.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2592314441","content_text":"年末,国内马拉松赛季不仅是跑者们的竞技时刻,也是各大体育品牌的竞技场。在众多品牌中,耐克今年在北马和上马的表现非常强势。\n 在北马赛道上,耐克运动员包揽女子组前三,其中黄雪梅获得第一。在11月底的上马赛事中,除了国际选手,张德顺以2:25:12的成绩打破上马女子国内赛会纪录,实现四连冠,吴冰摘得国内女子组亚军,杨克古摘得国内男子组亚军,耐克“破速之队”成员李大林获得国内男子组季军。而在赛道外,整个马拉松赛季,耐克的场外营销、跑者服务,也在社交媒体上掀起一波热度。\n 就在12月19日,耐克正式公布最新一季的财务业绩。数据显示,2026财年第二季度,耐克集团总营收124亿美元,同比增长1%,调整后的每股收益约为0.53美分,双双超市场预期。\n\n 组织提效、运营优化 耐克持续推动Win Now\n 自贺雁峰(Elliott Hill)重返耐克担任CEO后,耐克在过去一年处于主动转型调整阶段,其目标是让公司的业务重心再次聚焦专业运动领域,通过调整产品结构、修复经销渠道、重塑品牌价值等变革措施,将资源更高效地分配给核心产品、关键市场和有效渠道。而围绕“以运动为中心”的转型进展一直是市场最为关注的重点之一。\n 2025年内,耐克对公司管理结构调整优化:6月,原消费者、产品和品牌部门拆分成消费者与体育(Consumer and Sport)、营销(Marketing)和产品创作(Product Creation)三个独立团队,负责人直接向CEO汇报;12月,供应链负责人被任命为首席运营官并将技术方面的工作纳入其职责范围,取消首席商务官由CFO直接负责销售部门,包括大中华区在内的四大区域业务负责人正式进入全球高级领导管理层,同样直接向CEO汇报。\n 通过打破矩阵式组织架构,推行扁平化管理,耐克显著缩短了决策链路,加速了战略在产品创新、品牌连接以及全球各市场的同步落地与敏捷响应。\n 在这样高效的执行体系下,耐克的“去库存”计划成为本季度的财报亮点之一,集团库存目前处于健康水位。最新财报数据显示,截至2026财年第二季度末,集团库存资产价值77亿美元,同比下降3%。大中华区库存同比减少中双位数。\n 库存结构持续改善,不仅为新品上市与季节商品更新释放出充足的空间,更标志着以需求为导向的供应链调整取得实质性成效,耐克正在重新掌握供需平衡的主动权。\n 回归产品力 重塑内部创新“引擎”\n 当下,运动用品“功能先行”已然成为主流趋势。据Research and Markets研究报告预测,2029年全球功能性服装市场规模将达到6467亿美元,2024-2029年复合增长率为7.9%。而东吴证券的《纺服行业2026年度策略》研究报告披露,得益于人均GDP提高、消费人群年轻化等因素,2029年国内功能性服装市场规模有望达2157亿元,2024-2029年复合增长率约为16.0%,明显高于全球增速,将驱动运动尤其户外行业整体景气度上行。\n\n 这意味着,消费者更加注重产品在运动场景当中的实用性,为参与运动的人提供切实的性能提升与体验优化。若品牌能凭借创新前置与前沿技术构建先发优势,无疑将是市场的最大赢家。\n 最近几年,耐克一直因为产品创新方面的不足而被市场所诟病。在市场看来,创新问题不同于其他业绩承压因素,是企业在转型中面临的一个长期压力。\n 但令人意外的是,耐克在不到一年的时间内,带来了一系列引领行业的突破。这也充分说明,这家公司在过去数十年中的创新积累,足以令其在“回归运动”的方向确立后,快速响应并且实施。\n 其近期针对“创新力”采取了一系列自上而下的重塑措施。在报告期内,公司整合了旗下Nike、Jordan品牌与Converse三大业务板块的创新与产品团队,旨在打破内部研发壁垒,共享洞察与科技,从而系统性地提升从创意到产品的转化效率与规模。12月初,耐克宣布现任首席供应链官Venkatesh Alagirisamy将担任执行副总裁兼首席运营官。此举致力于推动供应链职能更早、更深地介入创新流程,从产品设计阶段即与规模化生产及市场供应对齐,加速创意从概念到市场的转化效率。\n 其中以跑步业务表现尤为明显,随着创新产品加快上市,本季度跑步业务增长超20%,并且在所有渠道的销售都实现了双位数增长,继续展现强劲的市场动能。\n 此外,耐克在篮球、户外、足球等领域多品类产品矩阵协同创新,强化了品牌在各细分市场的竞争优势。其中,篮球鞋款G.T. Cut 4被球迷称之为重新定义篮球风格和性能之作,ACG的Lava Loft的推出则是为户外运动羽绒服带来了新的创新性思路。\n\n 更为重要的是,通过耐克CEO在多个媒体上的采访能够发现,虽然身处转型期,但耐克十分明确不能沦落为追随者。回归品牌最初的以“运动员为核心”,耐克也加大了对于行业未来探索的投入,以保持自身的行业竞争优势。其革命性Aero-FIT散热科技,通过创新空气导流设计提升排汗效率,将率先登陆2026年世界杯耐克签约的国家队战袍;Therma-FIT Air Milano夹克首次将品牌标志性的Air科技引入服装,实现无需增减衣物的动态温控,并将在米兰冬奥会中亮相。\n 而在进博会上,耐克首次线下展示了历时十余年研发的全新Nike Mind科技。该技术将神经科学原理应用于运动装备设计,开创性地将产品研发视角从传统的身体机能延伸至大脑与运动心理层面。首款基于神经科学的鞋类产品 Mind 001与Mind 002,将会在1月份正式推出,目前该鞋款在社交媒体上被反复讨论,相信发售后将进一步推高其品牌声量。\n 强调“本土化” 重新点燃品牌热度\n 回到中国市场,复杂的市场环境令耐克当前仍旧处于承压状态,耐克CEO强调,中国依然是全球运动领域最具长期潜力的市场之一,这一点从未改变。在市场分析师预计中,其结构性挑战将贯穿2026财年。但这并不意味着耐克将在中国市场以“保守”的姿态度过转型过渡期。相反,在市场数字之外,能够看到耐克的清晰的主动出击行动。不可否认的是,耐克的品牌热度正在回归。\n\n 报告期内,耐克依托多年对本土文化的深度洞察,以真切的文化共鸣与体育故事触达本土消费者,建立起深厚的情感连接。在大湾区体育盛会期间,耐克以运动精神为核心,敏锐把握区域文化,因地制宜将广府文化作为核心沟通载体,携手“亚洲第一飞人”苏炳添共创主题短片,成功将“Just Do It”精神融入本土语境;上海海港成就中超三连冠之际,耐克以“连冠,撼不动”口号,致敬球队以坚韧与专注铸就的冠军之路。同时推出上海海港夺冠庆祝T恤、中超冠军同款定制球鞋Air Force 1等周边产品,被众多球迷追捧。\n 在对消费者购买体验的重塑上,耐克以杭州、北京、广州等全国八大城市为起点,全方位升级重点店铺。基于对各店本地客群的深度分析,公司从货品组合、零售服务、店铺体验、故事营销等多维度实施改造,围绕不同运动品类提高品牌的适应力和渗透力。以北京汉光店为例,在其跑步品类完成重点升级后,该系列产品的销售额同比实现了25%的增长。耐克CFO马修·弗兰德称:“该项目本季度取得了积极成效,门店客流、转化率以及销售增长均优于整体水平。”\n 由此可见,“Win Now”计划的执行落地,已陆续反映在公司健康的基本面上,核心区域呈差异化复苏态势。耐克的回归并非是单一数据的反弹,而是多项运营指标逐步改善所呈现出的协同效应,印证了其战略调整方向的正确性与执行力。\n 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 经过阶段性获利回吐后明年会继续上行毕竟美股预期依然在拉高的个股数量有限。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 经过阶段性获利回吐后明年会继续上行毕竟美股预期依然在拉高的个股数量有限。","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 经过阶段性获利回吐后明年会继续上行毕竟美股预期依然在拉高的个股数量有限。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511973085782504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511885268165512,"gmtCreate":1765999027692,"gmtModify":1765999032251,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 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美国经济数据疲软削弱市场信心:美国10月减少10.5万个工作岗位,11月新增非农岗位仅6.4万个,失业率升至4.6%,且零售额增速放缓,引发市场对经济复苏的担忧。临近年底,机构为保住全年收益,收缩战线减少高波动科技股配置,进一步放大了美股跌幅。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511885268165512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511817450890024,"gmtCreate":1765982459288,"gmtModify":1765982461589,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 英伟达缺内存崩了,对特斯拉没有实质影响","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 英伟达缺内存崩了,对特斯拉没有实质影响","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 英伟达缺内存崩了,对特斯拉没有实质影响","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511817450890024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":252,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511671170736152,"gmtCreate":1765946789252,"gmtModify":1765946791253,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 1000","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 1000","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 1000","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511671170736152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":596,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":511613862143136,"gmtCreate":1765932768522,"gmtModify":1765932771305,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 感谢砸盘侠送的筹码","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 感谢砸盘侠送的筹码","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 感谢砸盘侠送的筹码","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/493aea25c1e99586b4bf6c959456ff70","width":"878","height":"1703"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511613862143136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4203686618771782","authorId":"4203686618771782","name":"DX777","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01ad151bee96f544f323f17196a8c0b8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4203686618771782","idStr":"4203686618771782"},"content":"厉害,一直加仓[强]","text":"厉害,一直加仓[强]","html":"厉害,一直加仓[强]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511608767624128,"gmtCreate":1765931524308,"gmtModify":1765931526517,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"变脸真快<a 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08:11","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"美国加州监管机构目前允许特斯拉继续在该州销售车辆","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2592373956","media":"格隆汇","summary":"加州机动车管理局表示,该局已采纳法官提出的暂停特斯拉生产销售许可的建议,但随即暂缓了这一暂停决定的执行。此前,这家电动汽车制造商被指控在自动驾驶功能宣传上存在虚假表述与夸大宣传,本次裁决是该案件的最新","content":"<html><body><p>加州机动车管理局表示,该局已采纳法官提出的暂停特斯拉生产销售许可的建议,但随即暂缓了这一暂停决定的执行。此前,这家电动汽车制造商被指控在自动驾驶功能宣传上存在虚假表述与夸大宣传,本次裁决是该案件的最新进展。州行政听证办公室法官曾提议对特斯拉实施为期30天的许可暂停处罚。</p></body></html>","source":"live_gelonghui","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国加州监管机构目前允许特斯拉继续在该州销售车辆</title>\n<style 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07:49","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉在加州被要求限期整改,否则将被暂停销售,盘后股价跌超1%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171482210","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"12月17日,$特斯拉(TSLA)$盘后跌超1%,美国加州机动车管理局(DMV)称,特斯拉在加州的销售势将被暂停。在自动驾驶营销案件作出裁决后,特斯拉可以继续在加州销售汽车。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>12月17日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>盘后跌超1%,加州机动车管理局(DMV):由于涉嫌误导消费者关于其驾驶辅助技术的宣传,特斯拉在加州的销售将被暂停30天作为处罚。但该暂停决定将在90天后生效,以允许特斯拉进行合规调整。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef28cb32727a6302a2c17fbc08109593\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"414\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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07:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>12月17日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>盘后跌超1%,加州机动车管理局(DMV):由于涉嫌误导消费者关于其驾驶辅助技术的宣传,特斯拉在加州的销售将被暂停30天作为处罚。但该暂停决定将在90天后生效,以允许特斯拉进行合规调整。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef28cb32727a6302a2c17fbc08109593\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"414\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e49ab90f6352b6ebbb45091ad18b5a2e","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171482210","content_text":"12月17日,特斯拉盘后跌超1%,加州机动车管理局(DMV):由于涉嫌误导消费者关于其驾驶辅助技术的宣传,特斯拉在加州的销售将被暂停30天作为处罚。但该暂停决定将在90天后生效,以允许特斯拉进行合规调整。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511607473918712,"gmtCreate":1765931135918,"gmtModify":1765931137803,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 已经突破","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 已经突破","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 已经突破","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511607473918712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":287,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511605202448720,"gmtCreate":1765930575429,"gmtModify":1765935754232,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 木头姐基金挺二的,英伟达也是起飞前清仓踏空。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 木头姐基金挺二的,英伟达也是起飞前清仓踏空。","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 木头姐基金挺二的,英伟达也是起飞前清仓踏空。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511605202448720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3563357612600728","authorId":"3563357612600728","name":"Johnsonk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d6ab73351a61f0c3e887a3cffcf2aa2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3563357612600728","idStr":"3563357612600728"},"content":"应该是持仓比例的问题,特斯拉飙涨超过她公司持有10%的界限,被迫卖出一部分","text":"应该是持仓比例的问题,特斯拉飙涨超过她公司持有10%的界限,被迫卖出一部分","html":"应该是持仓比例的问题,特斯拉飙涨超过她公司持有10%的界限,被迫卖出一部分"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511255557268304,"gmtCreate":1765845236110,"gmtModify":1765845238234,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 有人只看到价格到了高位但是没看到估值的变化","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 有人只看到价格到了高位但是没看到估值的变化","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 有人只看到价格到了高位但是没看到估值的变化","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511255557268304","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4183809299978652","authorId":"4183809299978652","name":"齊天弼馬溫","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/389006d44f342ec408c728079d4573bf","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4183809299978652","idStr":"4183809299978652"},"content":"😵怎么说?","text":"😵怎么说?","html":"😵怎么说?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511254961816072,"gmtCreate":1765845001642,"gmtModify":1765845013809,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 盘后有人送筹码继续加","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 盘后有人送筹码继续加","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 盘后有人送筹码继续加","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3796f81452a5d33ab9477e46f8bf8344","width":"878","height":"1703"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511254961816072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511015116443768,"gmtCreate":1765785109199,"gmtModify":1765785111628,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511015116443768","repostId":"1133291182","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1133291182","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"期权策略分享","home_visible":1,"media_name":"期权女巫","id":"1020040791","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89"},"pubTimestamp":1765783230,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133291182?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-15 15:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"期权策略 | 白银价格年内已翻倍并屡创新高,如何用期权操作相关联的SLV?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133291182","media":"期权女巫","summary":"白银今年一路走强,价格较年初已翻倍有余,屡创新高,并且表现明显优于黄金。自年初以来,这种被称为“魔鬼金属”的贵金属累计上涨117%。现货白银最新价格约为每盎司62.88美元。此前在上周五交易时段一度触及64.64美元的历史新高。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>白银今年一路走强,价格较年初已翻倍有余,屡创新高,并且表现明显优于黄金。</p><p>自年初以来,这种被称为“魔鬼金属”的贵金属累计上涨117%。现货白银最新价格约为每盎司62.88美元。此前在上周五交易时段一度触及64.64美元的历史新高。</p><h2 id=\"id_4244806417\">如何交易白银?</h2><p>交易白银,除了可以交易 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SImain\">白银主连 2603</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/QImain\">迷你白银主连 2603</a> 及概念股 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PAAS\">泛美白银</a> 等外,也可以选择交易被动型跟踪基金。</p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLV\">白银ETF-iShares</a>(SLV)就是美股市场最大的白银ETF,其理资产规模庞大,流动性强,是投资白银的主流选择之一。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3c3727fb2bcfb33cc778be672ecb280\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_700425124\">SLV期权策略:</h2><h2 id=\"id_3553765445\">1)收入策略(偏保守)</h2><h3 id=\"id_2332834941\">(A) 轮动策略(The Wheel)</h3><p><strong>思路</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖出短期看跌期权(Cash-Secured Puts),获得权利金</p></li><li><p>若被行权则持仓,再对持仓<strong>卖出 Covered Calls</strong>收取权利金</p></li><li><p>循环执行</p></li></ul><p><strong>逻辑</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>利用波动赚取权利金</p></li><li><p>波动高时卖权利金更贵(隐含波动率高常见于贵金属市场)</p></li></ul><p><strong>适用</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>波动性高但不确定方向的市场</p></li></ul><p>示例:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖出一张本周五到期的、行权价为55美元的SLV看跌期权,收取92美元权利金</p></li></ul><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SLV 20251219 55.0 PUT\" title=\"$SLV 20251219 55.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$SLV 20251219 55.0 PUT$ </a></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>若被行权则持仓,再卖出一张下周或下下周五到期的、行权价为55美元的看涨期权</p></li></ul><ul style=\"\"><li><p>循环执行</p></li></ul><h3 id=\"id_1063022286\">(B) Covered Calls(备兑看涨)</h3><p><strong>结构</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>持有 SLV ETF 100股</p></li><li><p>卖出一张2026年1月16日到期、行权价为58美元的看涨期权,收取236美元权利金</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL\" title=\"$SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL$ </a></p></li></ul><p><strong>优点</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>提升组合收益</p></li><li><p>适合中性偏上涨市场</p></li></ul><p><strong>风险</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>SLV 急涨时可能被行权,卖出收益被限制</p></li></ul><h2 id=\"id_3107497325\">2)多头偏好策略(Bullish)</h2><h3 id=\"id_2728954337\">(A) 买入看涨期权(Long Calls)</h3><p><strong>适用场景</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>当前银价处于上升周期或预期美联储降息、美元走弱等宏观利好推动白银上涨。</p></li></ul><p><strong>执行方法</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>选择略<strong>虚值(OTM)或</strong>接近实值看涨期权</p></li><li><p>例子:买入一张1月16日到期、行权价为58美元的SLV看涨期权</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL\" title=\"$SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL$ </a></p></li></ul><p><strong>风险/收益</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>最大损失=期权成本=236美元</p></li><li><p>盈亏平衡点 = 60.36美元,理想盈利在 SLV 大幅上破60.36美元(+隐含波动率上升提高收益)</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9bbd4d9fd3d84087e6e37b86f8c33d82\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1611\"/></p><p><strong>适用投资者</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>风险偏好较高,预期银价突破当前区间</p></li></ul><h3 id=\"id_26516532\">(B) 看涨价差(Bull Call Spread)</h3><p><strong>结构</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>买入</strong>较低行权价看涨期权</p></li><li><p><strong>卖出</strong>较高行权价看涨期权</p></li></ul><p><strong>例子</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买入一张 58美元行权看涨期权+ 卖出 60行权价的看涨期权(到期日 2026年1月16日)</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL BUY 1 | SLV 20260116 60.0 CALL SELL 1\" title=\"$SLV 跨價 260116 58C/60C$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$SLV 跨價 260116 58C/60C$ </a></p></li></ul><p><strong>逻辑与优点</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>限制成本(卖出的看涨可抵部分买入成本)</p></li><li><p>如果市场“温和上涨”,可实现较高收益</p></li></ul><p><strong>风险/收益</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>最大损失 = 净权利金支出 = 56美元</p></li><li><p>假设 SLV 到期在60美元以上,收益最大化</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f7ed1e1cae360432a9da40625964a7c9\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1443\"/></p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_256865828\">3)空头偏好策略(Bearish)</h2><h3 id=\"id_1248003484\">(A) 熊市价差(Bear Put Spread)</h3><p><strong>结构</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买入较高行权价 Put</p></li><li><p>卖出较低行权价 Put(同到期)</p></li></ul><p><strong>示例(逻辑示意)</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买 55 Put(到期日:2026年1月16日)</p></li><li><p>卖 50 Put(到期日:2026年1月16日)</p></li></ul><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SLV 20260116 50.0 PUT SELL 1 | SLV 20260116 55.0 PUT BUY 1\" title=\"$SLV 跨價 260116 50P/55P$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$SLV 跨價 260116 50P/55P$ </a></p><p><strong>适用判断</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>预期 SLV <strong>回调但跌幅有限</strong></p></li></ul><p><strong>优缺点</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>优点:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>成本低于裸买 Put</p></li><li><p>盈亏比更稳定</p></li></ul></li><li><p>缺点:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>收益封顶</p></li></ul></li></ul><p><strong>这是多数交易者在“温和看空”时的首选策略。</strong></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a9ecc1bbc844fcc37bc80a2bb5f984f\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1373\"/></p><h3 id=\"id_2183956993\">(B) 熊市看涨价差(Bear Call Spread)</h3><p><strong>结构</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖出较低行权价 Call</p></li><li><p>买入更高行权价 Call(同到期)</p></li></ul><p><strong>示例(逻辑示意)</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖 60 Call (到期日:2026年1月16日)</p></li><li><p>买 65Call(到期日:2026年1月16日)</p></li></ul><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SLV 20260116 60.0 CALL SELL 1 | SLV 20260116 65.0 CALL BUY 1\" title=\"$SLV 跨價 260116 60C/65C$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$SLV 跨價 260116 60C/65C$ </a></p><p><strong>适用判断</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>SLV 高位震荡或回落</p></li><li><p>判断“<strong>不会再大幅上涨</strong>”</p></li></ul><p><strong>优点</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>明确最大风险</p></li><li><p>可从:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>时间价值衰减(theta)</p></li><li><p>波动率回落(vega)<br/>中获利</p></li></ul></li></ul><p><strong>这是“高位看空 / 上方受限”环境下性价比极高的策略。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a0650cfbef3402fab3d6bf89bdb30a8e\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1405\"/></p><p><em>免责声明:期权交易具有高风险特征,投资者需根据自身风险承受能力审慎决策。</em></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>期权策略 | 白银价格年内已翻倍并屡创新高,如何用期权操作相关联的SLV?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n期权策略 | 白银价格年内已翻倍并屡创新高,如何用期权操作相关联的SLV?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1020040791\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">期权女巫 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-12-15 15:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>白银今年一路走强,价格较年初已翻倍有余,屡创新高,并且表现明显优于黄金。</p><p>自年初以来,这种被称为“魔鬼金属”的贵金属累计上涨117%。现货白银最新价格约为每盎司62.88美元。此前在上周五交易时段一度触及64.64美元的历史新高。</p><h2 id=\"id_4244806417\">如何交易白银?</h2><p>交易白银,除了可以交易 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SImain\">白银主连 2603</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/QImain\">迷你白银主连 2603</a> 及概念股 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PAAS\">泛美白银</a> 等外,也可以选择交易被动型跟踪基金。</p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLV\">白银ETF-iShares</a>(SLV)就是美股市场最大的白银ETF,其理资产规模庞大,流动性强,是投资白银的主流选择之一。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3c3727fb2bcfb33cc778be672ecb280\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_700425124\">SLV期权策略:</h2><h2 id=\"id_3553765445\">1)收入策略(偏保守)</h2><h3 id=\"id_2332834941\">(A) 轮动策略(The Wheel)</h3><p><strong>思路</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖出短期看跌期权(Cash-Secured Puts),获得权利金</p></li><li><p>若被行权则持仓,再对持仓<strong>卖出 Covered Calls</strong>收取权利金</p></li><li><p>循环执行</p></li></ul><p><strong>逻辑</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>利用波动赚取权利金</p></li><li><p>波动高时卖权利金更贵(隐含波动率高常见于贵金属市场)</p></li></ul><p><strong>适用</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>波动性高但不确定方向的市场</p></li></ul><p>示例:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖出一张本周五到期的、行权价为55美元的SLV看跌期权,收取92美元权利金</p></li></ul><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SLV 20251219 55.0 PUT\" title=\"$SLV 20251219 55.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$SLV 20251219 55.0 PUT$ </a></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>若被行权则持仓,再卖出一张下周或下下周五到期的、行权价为55美元的看涨期权</p></li></ul><ul style=\"\"><li><p>循环执行</p></li></ul><h3 id=\"id_1063022286\">(B) Covered Calls(备兑看涨)</h3><p><strong>结构</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>持有 SLV ETF 100股</p></li><li><p>卖出一张2026年1月16日到期、行权价为58美元的看涨期权,收取236美元权利金</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL\" title=\"$SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL$ </a></p></li></ul><p><strong>优点</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>提升组合收益</p></li><li><p>适合中性偏上涨市场</p></li></ul><p><strong>风险</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>SLV 急涨时可能被行权,卖出收益被限制</p></li></ul><h2 id=\"id_3107497325\">2)多头偏好策略(Bullish)</h2><h3 id=\"id_2728954337\">(A) 买入看涨期权(Long Calls)</h3><p><strong>适用场景</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>当前银价处于上升周期或预期美联储降息、美元走弱等宏观利好推动白银上涨。</p></li></ul><p><strong>执行方法</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>选择略<strong>虚值(OTM)或</strong>接近实值看涨期权</p></li><li><p>例子:买入一张1月16日到期、行权价为58美元的SLV看涨期权</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL\" title=\"$SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL$ </a></p></li></ul><p><strong>风险/收益</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>最大损失=期权成本=236美元</p></li><li><p>盈亏平衡点 = 60.36美元,理想盈利在 SLV 大幅上破60.36美元(+隐含波动率上升提高收益)</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9bbd4d9fd3d84087e6e37b86f8c33d82\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1611\"/></p><p><strong>适用投资者</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>风险偏好较高,预期银价突破当前区间</p></li></ul><h3 id=\"id_26516532\">(B) 看涨价差(Bull Call Spread)</h3><p><strong>结构</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>买入</strong>较低行权价看涨期权</p></li><li><p><strong>卖出</strong>较高行权价看涨期权</p></li></ul><p><strong>例子</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买入一张 58美元行权看涨期权+ 卖出 60行权价的看涨期权(到期日 2026年1月16日)</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL BUY 1 | SLV 20260116 60.0 CALL SELL 1\" title=\"$SLV 跨價 260116 58C/60C$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$SLV 跨價 260116 58C/60C$ </a></p></li></ul><p><strong>逻辑与优点</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>限制成本(卖出的看涨可抵部分买入成本)</p></li><li><p>如果市场“温和上涨”,可实现较高收益</p></li></ul><p><strong>风险/收益</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>最大损失 = 净权利金支出 = 56美元</p></li><li><p>假设 SLV 到期在60美元以上,收益最大化</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f7ed1e1cae360432a9da40625964a7c9\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1443\"/></p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_256865828\">3)空头偏好策略(Bearish)</h2><h3 id=\"id_1248003484\">(A) 熊市价差(Bear Put Spread)</h3><p><strong>结构</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买入较高行权价 Put</p></li><li><p>卖出较低行权价 Put(同到期)</p></li></ul><p><strong>示例(逻辑示意)</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买 55 Put(到期日:2026年1月16日)</p></li><li><p>卖 50 Put(到期日:2026年1月16日)</p></li></ul><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SLV 20260116 50.0 PUT SELL 1 | SLV 20260116 55.0 PUT BUY 1\" title=\"$SLV 跨價 260116 50P/55P$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$SLV 跨價 260116 50P/55P$ </a></p><p><strong>适用判断</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>预期 SLV <strong>回调但跌幅有限</strong></p></li></ul><p><strong>优缺点</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>优点:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>成本低于裸买 Put</p></li><li><p>盈亏比更稳定</p></li></ul></li><li><p>缺点:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>收益封顶</p></li></ul></li></ul><p><strong>这是多数交易者在“温和看空”时的首选策略。</strong></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a9ecc1bbc844fcc37bc80a2bb5f984f\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1373\"/></p><h3 id=\"id_2183956993\">(B) 熊市看涨价差(Bear Call Spread)</h3><p><strong>结构</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖出较低行权价 Call</p></li><li><p>买入更高行权价 Call(同到期)</p></li></ul><p><strong>示例(逻辑示意)</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖 60 Call (到期日:2026年1月16日)</p></li><li><p>买 65Call(到期日:2026年1月16日)</p></li></ul><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SLV 20260116 60.0 CALL SELL 1 | SLV 20260116 65.0 CALL BUY 1\" title=\"$SLV 跨價 260116 60C/65C$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$SLV 跨價 260116 60C/65C$ </a></p><p><strong>适用判断</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>SLV 高位震荡或回落</p></li><li><p>判断“<strong>不会再大幅上涨</strong>”</p></li></ul><p><strong>优点</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>明确最大风险</p></li><li><p>可从:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>时间价值衰减(theta)</p></li><li><p>波动率回落(vega)<br/>中获利</p></li></ul></li></ul><p><strong>这是“高位看空 / 上方受限”环境下性价比极高的策略。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a0650cfbef3402fab3d6bf89bdb30a8e\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1405\"/></p><p><em>免责声明:期权交易具有高风险特征,投资者需根据自身风险承受能力审慎决策。</em></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7caea2a921efb73594b1e5da009bb308","relate_stocks":{"SLV":"白银ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133291182","content_text":"白银今年一路走强,价格较年初已翻倍有余,屡创新高,并且表现明显优于黄金。自年初以来,这种被称为“魔鬼金属”的贵金属累计上涨117%。现货白银最新价格约为每盎司62.88美元。此前在上周五交易时段一度触及64.64美元的历史新高。如何交易白银?交易白银,除了可以交易 白银主连 2603 、 迷你白银主连 2603 及概念股 泛美白银 等外,也可以选择交易被动型跟踪基金。 白银ETF-iShares(SLV)就是美股市场最大的白银ETF,其理资产规模庞大,流动性强,是投资白银的主流选择之一。SLV期权策略:1)收入策略(偏保守)(A) 轮动策略(The Wheel)思路卖出短期看跌期权(Cash-Secured Puts),获得权利金若被行权则持仓,再对持仓卖出 Covered Calls收取权利金循环执行逻辑利用波动赚取权利金波动高时卖权利金更贵(隐含波动率高常见于贵金属市场)适用波动性高但不确定方向的市场示例:卖出一张本周五到期的、行权价为55美元的SLV看跌期权,收取92美元权利金$SLV 20251219 55.0 PUT$ 若被行权则持仓,再卖出一张下周或下下周五到期的、行权价为55美元的看涨期权循环执行(B) Covered Calls(备兑看涨)结构持有 SLV ETF 100股卖出一张2026年1月16日到期、行权价为58美元的看涨期权,收取236美元权利金$SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL$ 优点提升组合收益适合中性偏上涨市场风险SLV 急涨时可能被行权,卖出收益被限制2)多头偏好策略(Bullish)(A) 买入看涨期权(Long Calls)适用场景当前银价处于上升周期或预期美联储降息、美元走弱等宏观利好推动白银上涨。执行方法选择略虚值(OTM)或接近实值看涨期权例子:买入一张1月16日到期、行权价为58美元的SLV看涨期权$SLV 20260116 58.0 CALL$ 风险/收益最大损失=期权成本=236美元盈亏平衡点 = 60.36美元,理想盈利在 SLV 大幅上破60.36美元(+隐含波动率上升提高收益)适用投资者风险偏好较高,预期银价突破当前区间(B) 看涨价差(Bull Call Spread)结构买入较低行权价看涨期权卖出较高行权价看涨期权例子买入一张 58美元行权看涨期权+ 卖出 60行权价的看涨期权(到期日 2026年1月16日)$SLV 跨價 260116 58C/60C$ 逻辑与优点限制成本(卖出的看涨可抵部分买入成本)如果市场“温和上涨”,可实现较高收益风险/收益最大损失 = 净权利金支出 = 56美元假设 SLV 到期在60美元以上,收益最大化3)空头偏好策略(Bearish)(A) 熊市价差(Bear Put Spread)结构买入较高行权价 Put卖出较低行权价 Put(同到期)示例(逻辑示意)买 55 Put(到期日:2026年1月16日)卖 50 Put(到期日:2026年1月16日)$SLV 跨價 260116 50P/55P$ 适用判断预期 SLV 回调但跌幅有限优缺点优点:成本低于裸买 Put盈亏比更稳定缺点:收益封顶这是多数交易者在“温和看空”时的首选策略。(B) 熊市看涨价差(Bear Call Spread)结构卖出较低行权价 Call买入更高行权价 Call(同到期)示例(逻辑示意)卖 60 Call (到期日:2026年1月16日)买 65Call(到期日:2026年1月16日)$SLV 跨價 260116 60C/65C$ 适用判断SLV 高位震荡或回落判断“不会再大幅上涨”优点明确最大风险可从:时间价值衰减(theta)波动率回落(vega)中获利这是“高位看空 / 上方受限”环境下性价比极高的策略。免责声明:期权交易具有高风险特征,投资者需根据自身风险承受能力审慎决策。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SLV":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3452830638291035","authorId":"3452830638291035","name":"假若","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fc2ee7a0e5289066fe0c47415fb5b3e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3452830638291035","idStr":"3452830638291035"},"content":"难点是不知道趋势咋变化[流泪]","text":"难点是不知道趋势咋变化[流泪]","html":"难点是不知道趋势咋变化[流泪]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":510251286209160,"gmtCreate":1765585925316,"gmtModify":1765585926992,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 这一晚上惊心动魄,但是只要心态稳,看准大方向,还是赚不少。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 这一晚上惊心动魄,但是只要心态稳,看准大方向,还是赚不少。","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 这一晚上惊心动魄,但是只要心态稳,看准大方向,还是赚不少。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/510251286209160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3563357612600728","authorId":"3563357612600728","name":"Johnsonk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d6ab73351a61f0c3e887a3cffcf2aa2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3563357612600728","idStr":"3563357612600728"},"content":"跌了手机一关睡觉,早上自然可以涨回来","text":"跌了手机一关睡觉,早上自然可以涨回来","html":"跌了手机一关睡觉,早上自然可以涨回来"},{"author":{"id":"3454016442520150","authorId":"3454016442520150","name":"中概股的诱惑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/579af92b0fbae0801019dac7cfc5abc5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3454016442520150","idStr":"3454016442520150"},"content":"你可真能吹,当年也是这么吹英伟达的,因为那跌到84的时候你看准了吗?评论区 就看不到你人。","text":"你可真能吹,当年也是这么吹英伟达的,因为那跌到84的时候你看准了吗?评论区 就看不到你人。","html":"你可真能吹,当年也是这么吹英伟达的,因为那跌到84的时候你看准了吗?评论区 就看不到你人。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":510133458423944,"gmtCreate":1765557246001,"gmtModify":1765558156559,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 美债收益率走高引发的血案","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 美债收益率走高引发的血案","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 美债收益率走高引发的血案","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/510133458423944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":854,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":510110758929392,"gmtCreate":1765551700954,"gmtModify":1765551703498,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"销量跌到谷底,要思变了","listText":"销量跌到谷底,要思变了","text":"销量跌到谷底,要思变了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/510110758929392","repostId":"1194610514","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1194610514","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1765486798,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194610514?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-12 04:59","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉11月美国销量跌至近四年低点,廉价车型未能扭转颓势","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194610514","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"12月12日,根据Cox Automotiv提供的数据,尽管$特斯拉(TSLA)$(TSLA.O)推出了其最畅销电动车的更便宜版本,该公司11月在美国的销量仍降至近四年来的最低水平。自9月底特朗普政府取消7500美元联邦税收抵免以来,美国电动车销量整体受挫。为应对需求下滑,特斯拉在10月推出了简化配置的Model Y和Model 3,价格比此前的基础款低约5000美元。原本预计标准版的需求会支撑11月销量,但Cox的数据显示,特斯拉当月总销量仍同比下降近23%,从去年同期的51,513辆降至39,800辆,为2022年1月以来最低水平。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>12月12日,根据Cox Automotiv提供的数据,尽管<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>(TSLA.O)推出了其最畅销电动车的更便宜版本,该公司11月在美国的销量仍降至近四年来的最低水平。</p><p>自9月底特朗普政府取消7500美元联邦税收抵免以来,美国电动车销量整体受挫。为应对需求下滑,特斯拉在10月推出了简化配置的Model Y和Model 3,价格比此前的基础款低约5000美元。</p><p>原本预计标准版的需求会支撑11月销量,但Cox的数据显示,特斯拉当月总销量仍同比下降近23%,从去年同期的51,513辆降至39,800辆,为2022年1月以来最低水平。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉11月美国销量跌至近四年低点,廉价车型未能扭转颓势</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-12-12 04:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>12月12日,根据Cox Automotiv提供的数据,尽管<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>(TSLA.O)推出了其最畅销电动车的更便宜版本,该公司11月在美国的销量仍降至近四年来的最低水平。</p><p>自9月底特朗普政府取消7500美元联邦税收抵免以来,美国电动车销量整体受挫。为应对需求下滑,特斯拉在10月推出了简化配置的Model Y和Model 3,价格比此前的基础款低约5000美元。</p><p>原本预计标准版的需求会支撑11月销量,但Cox的数据显示,特斯拉当月总销量仍同比下降近23%,从去年同期的51,513辆降至39,800辆,为2022年1月以来最低水平。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e49ab90f6352b6ebbb45091ad18b5a2e","relate_stocks":{"TSLL":"2倍做多TSLA 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3,价格比此前的基础款低约5000美元。原本预计标准版的需求会支撑11月销量,但Cox的数据显示,特斯拉当月总销量仍同比下降近23%,从去年同期的51,513辆降至39,800辆,为2022年1月以来最低水平。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1.5,"TSLL":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":537,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4226915709886202","authorId":"4226915709886202","name":"米球球","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05994a94f3463942552c3397275ccbc9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4226915709886202","idStr":"4226915709886202"},"content":"但现在涨的真猛[捂脸],fsd和销量下滑肯定要成财报拖油瓶","text":"但现在涨的真猛[捂脸],fsd和销量下滑肯定要成财报拖油瓶","html":"但现在涨的真猛[捂脸],fsd和销量下滑肯定要成财报拖油瓶"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":509613113676088,"gmtCreate":1765455204199,"gmtModify":1765455206792,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"逢跌买入就是了,明年二三月开始扩表","listText":"逢跌买入就是了,明年二三月开始扩表","text":"逢跌买入就是了,明年二三月开始扩表","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/509613113676088","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1315,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3546427876449645","authorId":"3546427876449645","name":"独秀八荒","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3546427876449645","idStr":"3546427876449645"},"content":"下跌买入还是买指数比较放心","text":"下跌买入还是买指数比较放心","html":"下跌买入还是买指数比较放心"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":508983346896920,"gmtCreate":1765241976190,"gmtModify":1765241978584,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"似乎就是不确定[傲娇] ","listText":"似乎就是不确定[傲娇] ","text":"似乎就是不确定[傲娇]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/508983346896920","repostId":"2590926363","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2590926363","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1765224900,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2590926363?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-09 04:15","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"摩根士丹利两年半来首次下调对特斯拉评级,指其估值过高","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2590926363","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"这是他作为摩根士丹利覆盖特斯拉的分析师的首份报告。Percoco给特斯拉股票的新目标价为425美元,这意味着较周五收盘价下跌6.6%。据汇编的数据,Jonas自2023年9月以来一直给予特斯拉“增持”评级。该公司目前有28个买入评级、19个持有评级和16个卖出评级,平均目标价为388美元。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>马斯克渴望将<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>转型成一个机器人和人工智能公司,但<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>表示,这家电动汽车制造商的股价已经反映了上述业务,并且估值已达到“充分水平”。该行将对特斯拉的评级下调至相当于“持有”的水平,这是其自2023年6月以来首次下调对该公司的评级。</p><p>特斯拉的股价约为未来12个月预期收益的210倍,这使其成为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数中第二昂贵的公司,仅低于华纳兄弟探索的220倍,远高于第三名<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir</a> Technologies Inc.的186倍。</p><p>“虽然大家都明白特斯拉不仅是一家汽车制造商,但我们预计未来一年交易环境将较为波动,”分析师Andrew Percoco在周日致客户的一份报告中写道,“我们认为目前的预期存在下行空间,而其非汽车业务的催化剂似乎已经反映在当前的股价中。”这是他作为摩根士丹利覆盖特斯拉的分析师的首份报告。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5ed52e9c0a7d2aaa360c018ebe2839\" tg-width=\"492\" tg-height=\"432\"/></p><p>Percoco给特斯拉股票的新目标价为425美元,这意味着较周五收盘价下跌6.6%。他接替了摩根士丹利长期覆盖特斯拉的分析师Adam Jonas。据汇编的数据,Jonas自2023年9月以来一直给予特斯拉“增持”评级。该公司目前有28个买入评级、19个持有评级和16个卖出评级,平均目标价为388美元。</p></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>摩根士丹利两年半来首次下调对特斯拉评级,指其估值过高</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; 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href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2025-12-09/doc-inhacsyr3398853.shtml><strong>环球市场播报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>马斯克渴望将特斯拉转型成一个机器人和人工智能公司,但摩根士丹利表示,这家电动汽车制造商的股价已经反映了上述业务,并且估值已达到“充分水平”。该行将对特斯拉的评级下调至相当于“持有”的水平,这是其自2023年6月以来首次下调对该公司的评级。特斯拉的股价约为未来12个月预期收益的210倍,这使其成为标普500指数中第二昂贵的公司,仅低于华纳兄弟探索的220倍,远高于第三名Palantir ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2025-12-09/doc-inhacsyr3398853.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e49ab90f6352b6ebbb45091ad18b5a2e","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2025-12-09/doc-inhacsyr3398853.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2590926363","content_text":"马斯克渴望将特斯拉转型成一个机器人和人工智能公司,但摩根士丹利表示,这家电动汽车制造商的股价已经反映了上述业务,并且估值已达到“充分水平”。该行将对特斯拉的评级下调至相当于“持有”的水平,这是其自2023年6月以来首次下调对该公司的评级。特斯拉的股价约为未来12个月预期收益的210倍,这使其成为标普500指数中第二昂贵的公司,仅低于华纳兄弟探索的220倍,远高于第三名Palantir Technologies Inc.的186倍。“虽然大家都明白特斯拉不仅是一家汽车制造商,但我们预计未来一年交易环境将较为波动,”分析师Andrew Percoco在周日致客户的一份报告中写道,“我们认为目前的预期存在下行空间,而其非汽车业务的催化剂似乎已经反映在当前的股价中。”这是他作为摩根士丹利覆盖特斯拉的分析师的首份报告。Percoco给特斯拉股票的新目标价为425美元,这意味着较周五收盘价下跌6.6%。他接替了摩根士丹利长期覆盖特斯拉的分析师Adam 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破不破都行,坚定持有老虎送的0.1股特斯拉,看看能翻出什么幺蛾子","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/285710324834304","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7866,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3565779873182513","authorId":"3565779873182513","name":"Widest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e848e194f86a1019b12907f98b072826","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3565779873182513","idStr":"3565779873182513"},"content":"亚马逊为什么要破呢?","text":"亚马逊为什么要破呢?","html":"亚马逊为什么要破呢?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":440268950704936,"gmtCreate":1748526446232,"gmtModify":1748526447399,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"作者没看懂pltr,应该对标微软","listText":"作者没看懂pltr,应该对标微软","text":"作者没看懂pltr,应该对标微软","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/440268950704936","repostId":"1168896343","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1168896343","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1748514945,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168896343?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-05-29 18:35","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Palantir年内暴涨63%,领涨纳斯达克100指数,目前是阶段高点吗?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168896343","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"这家公司可能成为下一个软件巨头。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><em>作者:Trevor Jennewine</em></p><p><em>来源:The Motley Fool</em></p><p><strong>摘要</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir 股价今年迄今已上涨 63%,领涨纳斯达克 100 指数。</p></li><li><p>Forrester Research 将 Palantir 评为人工智能平台领域的领导者。</p></li><li><p>Palantir 股价今年两次突破销售额 100 倍,很少有软件公司能达到这样的估值。</p></li></ul><p>5月14日,Palantir涨至至每股133.49美元的历史高点。此后,该股小幅回落,但截至5月27日,其年初至今的回报率高达63%,仍领跑纳斯达克100指数。Palantir能否在2025年剩余的几个月里保持这一势头?</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da861aca043563e01bdbf9139515aac2\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><strong>Palantir利用人工智能帮助客户优化决策</strong></p><p>Palantir为商业和政府部门的客户开发数据分析软件。其主要平台(Gotham和Foundry)允许用户整合信息、训练机器学习模型和查询数据。其配套的人工智能平台(AIP)是一个大型语言模型编排工具,可让客户将生成式人工智能融入到运营中。</p><p>Palantir 的关键优势在于其基于“本体”的软件架构。本体是一个构建于数据集和模型之上的框架,它定义了数字信息与工厂、设备和耗材等实体资产之间的关系。本体不仅允许用户查询数据以改进决策,还能创建一个反馈循环,随着时间的推移产生更深入的洞察。</p><p>Palantir 公布了令人印象深刻的第一季度财务业绩。得益于政府部门强劲的销售增长,公司营收增长 39%,达到 8.84 亿美元,这是公司连续第七年实现增长。非公认会计准则美股净利润增长 62%,达到每股 0.13 美元。管理层还上调了全年业绩指引,预计 2025 年营收将增长 36%。</p><p>Palantir 完全有能力保持这一势头。Forrester Research 将该公司评为人工智能和机器学习平台领域的技术领导者,预计该市场将以每年 40% 的速度增长,到 2028 年将达到 1530 亿美元。晨星分析师 Mike Giarelli 今年早些时候写道:“这家公司可能成为下一个软件巨头。”</p><p>然而,投资者不应忽视估值。估值目前对市场可能并不重要,但最终总会起到决定性作用。Palantir 目前的市盈率为调整后收益的 265 倍。对于一家预计 2025 年收益将增长 41% 的公司来说,这个估值看起来非常昂贵。然而,Palantir 已连续六个季度超出市场普遍预期,平均高出 10%。</p><p><strong>Palantir 是历史上最昂贵的软件股票之一</strong></p><p>我刚才提到,对于一家预计今年盈利增长 41% 的公司来说,Palantir 的市盈率 (P/E) 非常高。话虽如此,有人可能会认为,由于华尔街经常低估 Palantir,其盈利增长速度可能远超预期。所以,让我们从另一个角度来思考估值。</p><p>Palantir 的市销率 (P/S) 在 2 月份突破了 100 倍,并在 5 月份再次达到这一水平。我回顾了过去 20 年 50 多只软件股的估值:在此期间,只有另外 6 只股票的市销率超过 100 倍,而且它们最终都下跌了至少 70%,如下所述:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Bill Holdings 在 2021 年 9 月 8 日的市销率为 103 倍。该股最终下跌了 87%。</p></li><li><p>Cloudflare 在 2021 年 11 月 18 日的市销率为 114 倍。该股最终下跌了 83%。</p></li><li><p>SentinelOne 在 2021 年 9 月 16 日的市销率为 106 倍。该股最终下跌了 82%。</p></li><li><p>Snowflake 在 2020 年 12 月 8 日的市销率为 184 倍。该股最终下跌了 72%。</p></li><li><p>2024年12月26日,SoundHound AI的市销率为111倍。该股最终下跌了70%。</p></li><li><p>2020年10月19日,Zoom Communications的市销率为124倍。该股最终下跌了90%。</p></li></ul><p>如上所示,过去二十年中,除Palantir外,只有六只软件股的市盈率达到100倍,达到该估值后,其股价从峰值到谷底的平均跌幅为81%。我们可以将这个数字套用到Palantir身上,对未来可能发生的事情做出合理的预测。</p><p>具体来说,Palantir在2月18日收盘价为每股124.62美元,当天其市盈率达到了107倍的峰值。如果其表现与历史平均水平持平,最终将下跌81%,至每股23.67美元。这意味着其股价从目前的123美元下跌幅度大致相同。</p><p>当然,过往表现并不能保证未来的业绩,Palantir也有可能成为例外。但我认为投资者应该避免以当前价格买入该股。其风险回报状况严重偏向风险。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir年内暴涨63%,领涨纳斯达克100指数,目前是阶段高点吗?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ 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#eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir年内暴涨63%,领涨纳斯达克100指数,目前是阶段高点吗?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-05-29 18:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><em>作者:Trevor Jennewine</em></p><p><em>来源:The Motley Fool</em></p><p><strong>摘要</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir 股价今年迄今已上涨 63%,领涨纳斯达克 100 指数。</p></li><li><p>Forrester Research 将 Palantir 评为人工智能平台领域的领导者。</p></li><li><p>Palantir 股价今年两次突破销售额 100 倍,很少有软件公司能达到这样的估值。</p></li></ul><p>5月14日,Palantir涨至至每股133.49美元的历史高点。此后,该股小幅回落,但截至5月27日,其年初至今的回报率高达63%,仍领跑纳斯达克100指数。Palantir能否在2025年剩余的几个月里保持这一势头?</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da861aca043563e01bdbf9139515aac2\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><strong>Palantir利用人工智能帮助客户优化决策</strong></p><p>Palantir为商业和政府部门的客户开发数据分析软件。其主要平台(Gotham和Foundry)允许用户整合信息、训练机器学习模型和查询数据。其配套的人工智能平台(AIP)是一个大型语言模型编排工具,可让客户将生成式人工智能融入到运营中。</p><p>Palantir 的关键优势在于其基于“本体”的软件架构。本体是一个构建于数据集和模型之上的框架,它定义了数字信息与工厂、设备和耗材等实体资产之间的关系。本体不仅允许用户查询数据以改进决策,还能创建一个反馈循环,随着时间的推移产生更深入的洞察。</p><p>Palantir 公布了令人印象深刻的第一季度财务业绩。得益于政府部门强劲的销售增长,公司营收增长 39%,达到 8.84 亿美元,这是公司连续第七年实现增长。非公认会计准则美股净利润增长 62%,达到每股 0.13 美元。管理层还上调了全年业绩指引,预计 2025 年营收将增长 36%。</p><p>Palantir 完全有能力保持这一势头。Forrester Research 将该公司评为人工智能和机器学习平台领域的技术领导者,预计该市场将以每年 40% 的速度增长,到 2028 年将达到 1530 亿美元。晨星分析师 Mike Giarelli 今年早些时候写道:“这家公司可能成为下一个软件巨头。”</p><p>然而,投资者不应忽视估值。估值目前对市场可能并不重要,但最终总会起到决定性作用。Palantir 目前的市盈率为调整后收益的 265 倍。对于一家预计 2025 年收益将增长 41% 的公司来说,这个估值看起来非常昂贵。然而,Palantir 已连续六个季度超出市场普遍预期,平均高出 10%。</p><p><strong>Palantir 是历史上最昂贵的软件股票之一</strong></p><p>我刚才提到,对于一家预计今年盈利增长 41% 的公司来说,Palantir 的市盈率 (P/E) 非常高。话虽如此,有人可能会认为,由于华尔街经常低估 Palantir,其盈利增长速度可能远超预期。所以,让我们从另一个角度来思考估值。</p><p>Palantir 的市销率 (P/S) 在 2 月份突破了 100 倍,并在 5 月份再次达到这一水平。我回顾了过去 20 年 50 多只软件股的估值:在此期间,只有另外 6 只股票的市销率超过 100 倍,而且它们最终都下跌了至少 70%,如下所述:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Bill Holdings 在 2021 年 9 月 8 日的市销率为 103 倍。该股最终下跌了 87%。</p></li><li><p>Cloudflare 在 2021 年 11 月 18 日的市销率为 114 倍。该股最终下跌了 83%。</p></li><li><p>SentinelOne 在 2021 年 9 月 16 日的市销率为 106 倍。该股最终下跌了 82%。</p></li><li><p>Snowflake 在 2020 年 12 月 8 日的市销率为 184 倍。该股最终下跌了 72%。</p></li><li><p>2024年12月26日,SoundHound AI的市销率为111倍。该股最终下跌了70%。</p></li><li><p>2020年10月19日,Zoom Communications的市销率为124倍。该股最终下跌了90%。</p></li></ul><p>如上所示,过去二十年中,除Palantir外,只有六只软件股的市盈率达到100倍,达到该估值后,其股价从峰值到谷底的平均跌幅为81%。我们可以将这个数字套用到Palantir身上,对未来可能发生的事情做出合理的预测。</p><p>具体来说,Palantir在2月18日收盘价为每股124.62美元,当天其市盈率达到了107倍的峰值。如果其表现与历史平均水平持平,最终将下跌81%,至每股23.67美元。这意味着其股价从目前的123美元下跌幅度大致相同。</p><p>当然,过往表现并不能保证未来的业绩,Palantir也有可能成为例外。但我认为投资者应该避免以当前价格买入该股。其风险回报状况严重偏向风险。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d544e6f7498c68812d1a765bff723fc2","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168896343","content_text":"作者:Trevor Jennewine来源:The Motley Fool摘要Palantir 股价今年迄今已上涨 63%,领涨纳斯达克 100 指数。Forrester Research 将 Palantir 评为人工智能平台领域的领导者。Palantir 股价今年两次突破销售额 100 倍,很少有软件公司能达到这样的估值。5月14日,Palantir涨至至每股133.49美元的历史高点。此后,该股小幅回落,但截至5月27日,其年初至今的回报率高达63%,仍领跑纳斯达克100指数。Palantir能否在2025年剩余的几个月里保持这一势头?Palantir利用人工智能帮助客户优化决策Palantir为商业和政府部门的客户开发数据分析软件。其主要平台(Gotham和Foundry)允许用户整合信息、训练机器学习模型和查询数据。其配套的人工智能平台(AIP)是一个大型语言模型编排工具,可让客户将生成式人工智能融入到运营中。Palantir 的关键优势在于其基于“本体”的软件架构。本体是一个构建于数据集和模型之上的框架,它定义了数字信息与工厂、设备和耗材等实体资产之间的关系。本体不仅允许用户查询数据以改进决策,还能创建一个反馈循环,随着时间的推移产生更深入的洞察。Palantir 公布了令人印象深刻的第一季度财务业绩。得益于政府部门强劲的销售增长,公司营收增长 39%,达到 8.84 亿美元,这是公司连续第七年实现增长。非公认会计准则美股净利润增长 62%,达到每股 0.13 美元。管理层还上调了全年业绩指引,预计 2025 年营收将增长 36%。Palantir 完全有能力保持这一势头。Forrester Research 将该公司评为人工智能和机器学习平台领域的技术领导者,预计该市场将以每年 40% 的速度增长,到 2028 年将达到 1530 亿美元。晨星分析师 Mike Giarelli 今年早些时候写道:“这家公司可能成为下一个软件巨头。”然而,投资者不应忽视估值。估值目前对市场可能并不重要,但最终总会起到决定性作用。Palantir 目前的市盈率为调整后收益的 265 倍。对于一家预计 2025 年收益将增长 41% 的公司来说,这个估值看起来非常昂贵。然而,Palantir 已连续六个季度超出市场普遍预期,平均高出 10%。Palantir 是历史上最昂贵的软件股票之一我刚才提到,对于一家预计今年盈利增长 41% 的公司来说,Palantir 的市盈率 (P/E) 非常高。话虽如此,有人可能会认为,由于华尔街经常低估 Palantir,其盈利增长速度可能远超预期。所以,让我们从另一个角度来思考估值。Palantir 的市销率 (P/S) 在 2 月份突破了 100 倍,并在 5 月份再次达到这一水平。我回顾了过去 20 年 50 多只软件股的估值:在此期间,只有另外 6 只股票的市销率超过 100 倍,而且它们最终都下跌了至少 70%,如下所述:Bill Holdings 在 2021 年 9 月 8 日的市销率为 103 倍。该股最终下跌了 87%。Cloudflare 在 2021 年 11 月 18 日的市销率为 114 倍。该股最终下跌了 83%。SentinelOne 在 2021 年 9 月 16 日的市销率为 106 倍。该股最终下跌了 82%。Snowflake 在 2020 年 12 月 8 日的市销率为 184 倍。该股最终下跌了 72%。2024年12月26日,SoundHound AI的市销率为111倍。该股最终下跌了70%。2020年10月19日,Zoom Communications的市销率为124倍。该股最终下跌了90%。如上所示,过去二十年中,除Palantir外,只有六只软件股的市盈率达到100倍,达到该估值后,其股价从峰值到谷底的平均跌幅为81%。我们可以将这个数字套用到Palantir身上,对未来可能发生的事情做出合理的预测。具体来说,Palantir在2月18日收盘价为每股124.62美元,当天其市盈率达到了107倍的峰值。如果其表现与历史平均水平持平,最终将下跌81%,至每股23.67美元。这意味着其股价从目前的123美元下跌幅度大致相同。当然,过往表现并不能保证未来的业绩,Palantir也有可能成为例外。但我认为投资者应该避免以当前价格买入该股。其风险回报状况严重偏向风险。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3579592247575705","authorId":"3579592247575705","name":"DrSean","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1463b1fdc8546a7d7fce66ec56cb9ca7","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3579592247575705","idStr":"3579592247575705"},"content":"对标微软,你是在搞笑吗?他靠的是什么在对标?微软、google哪些在AI方面没有基础架构没有研究?一直在吹自己AI方向多强,你听过PLTR有出过什么前沿算法的研究吗?Goolge18年就架构了 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明年二月美联储将下场购债","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/501194783060736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3540692585190396","authorId":"3540692585190396","name":"赛车猫","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fec6c99c8a6e8353aeaeca380c0894c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3540692585190396","idStr":"3540692585190396"},"content":"请问购债对股市是不好的意思吗","text":"请问购债对股市是不好的意思吗","html":"请问购债对股市是不好的意思吗"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":313561775223040,"gmtCreate":1717591558733,"gmtModify":1717602199273,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546249304196282","idStr":"3546249304196282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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