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FrankAllin
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老虎认证: FRM持证人
IP属地:广东
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FrankAllin
2024-06-13
感谢老虎。借此机会分享个人的一点交易心得,欢迎交流[真香]
@小虎访谈:【实盘面对面】FrankAllin:概率思维看期权交易实战方法
FrankAllin
08-22 21:34
我开仓了
$财捷 VERTICAL 250822 PUT 640.0/PUT 630.0$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-21 22:17
我平仓了
$CSIQ 20250822 10.5 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-21 21:30
我开仓了
$CSIQ 20250822 10.5 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-20 23:42
我平仓了
$TGT 20250822 94.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-20 21:43
我开仓了
$TGT 20250822 94.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-19
我平仓了
$VKTX 20250822 24.0 PUT$
,有点吓人
FrankAllin
08-19
我开仓了
$VKTX 20250822 24.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-19
我开仓了
$美敦力(MDT)$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
@小虎看单
FrankAllin
08-16
我平仓了
$GLOB 20250815 65.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-15
我平仓了
$RBLX 20250815 110.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-15
我开仓了
$GLOB 20250815 65.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-15
我开仓了
$RBLX 20250815 110.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-14
我平仓了
$COHR 20250815 85.0 PUT$
,一路走低啊,降波了就先撤。
FrankAllin
08-14
我开仓了
$COHR 20250815 85.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-13
我平仓了
$CAVA 20250815 65.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-13
我开仓了
$CoreWeave, Inc. VERTICAL 250815 PUT 120.0/PUT 125.0$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-13
我开仓了
$CAVA 20250815 65.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-12
我平仓了
$SE 20250815 180.0 CALL$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-12
我开仓了
$SE 20250815 180.0 CALL$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
FrankAllin
08-08
我开仓了
$PINS 20250808 33.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
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随机漫步的Frank","starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":316392314867880,"gmtCreate":1718271964149,"gmtModify":1718271966117,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"感谢老虎。借此机会分享个人的一点交易心得,欢迎交流[真香] ","listText":"感谢老虎。借此机会分享个人的一点交易心得,欢迎交流[真香] ","text":"感谢老虎。借此机会分享个人的一点交易心得,欢迎交流[真香]","images":[],"top":2,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/316392314867880","repostId":"316469114626280","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":316469114626280,"gmtCreate":1718270752741,"gmtModify":1744961760713,"author":{"id":"37002306153600","authorId":"37002306153600","name":"小虎访谈","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0f6fba0673df1de1c5c31bb2b4f6d4e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"37002306153600","authorIdStr":"37002306153600"},"themes":[],"title":"【实盘面对面】FrankAllin:概率思维看期权交易实战方法","htmlText":"本次小虎访谈邀请到了新锐虎友 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3546925022414459\">@FrankAllin</a> 讲述他在繁忙的金融行业工作之外,如何玩好概率游戏,积累长期复利。另外,他最近也开通了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">交易分享功能</a>,实盘分析自己的港美股交易,欢迎虎友们踊跃关注。记得看到最后,有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">【实盘面对面】</a>栏目送给各位虎友的优惠券。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">点击订阅FrankAllin的实盘分享</a>Q:您的个人基本情况是什么样子的?从事投资大概有多久?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">FrankAllin</a>:我是一个90后,当前从事金融行业。在大学时就开始炒股,几年沉沉浮浮下来,也不可避免地在A股折戟沉沙。从2019年开始接触美股,开始投入不多,但收益还可以,就慢慢切换过来了。现在我的投资主要以美股、期权为主,已持续一年多了。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">点击订阅FrankAllin的实盘分享</a>Q:你当","listText":"本次小虎访谈邀请到了新锐虎友 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3546925022414459\">@FrankAllin</a> 讲述他在繁忙的金融行业工作之外,如何玩好概率游戏,积累长期复利。另外,他最近也开通了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">交易分享功能</a>,实盘分析自己的港美股交易,欢迎虎友们踊跃关注。记得看到最后,有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">【实盘面对面】</a>栏目送给各位虎友的优惠券。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">点击订阅FrankAllin的实盘分享</a>Q:您的个人基本情况是什么样子的?从事投资大概有多久?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">FrankAllin</a>:我是一个90后,当前从事金融行业。在大学时就开始炒股,几年沉沉浮浮下来,也不可避免地在A股折戟沉沙。从2019年开始接触美股,开始投入不多,但收益还可以,就慢慢切换过来了。现在我的投资主要以美股、期权为主,已持续一年多了。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">点击订阅FrankAllin的实盘分享</a>Q:你当","text":"本次小虎访谈邀请到了新锐虎友 @FrankAllin 讲述他在繁忙的金融行业工作之外,如何玩好概率游戏,积累长期复利。另外,他最近也开通了交易分享功能,实盘分析自己的港美股交易,欢迎虎友们踊跃关注。记得看到最后,有【实盘面对面】栏目送给各位虎友的优惠券。点击订阅FrankAllin的实盘分享Q:您的个人基本情况是什么样子的?从事投资大概有多久?FrankAllin:我是一个90后,当前从事金融行业。在大学时就开始炒股,几年沉沉浮浮下来,也不可避免地在A股折戟沉沙。从2019年开始接触美股,开始投入不多,但收益还可以,就慢慢切换过来了。现在我的投资主要以美股、期权为主,已持续一年多了。点击订阅FrankAllin的实盘分享Q:你当","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b29cf03d60972831c182079aedf4422a","width":"1920","height":"1080"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/316469114626280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3552146202898450","authorId":"3552146202898450","name":"Wendyju","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bad2d84378f73105cea4ee37e6266dc","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3552146202898450","authorIdStr":"3552146202898450"},"content":"请教您,BB现在应该继续持有还是卖掉呢?能否破10啊","text":"请教您,BB现在应该继续持有还是卖掉呢?能否破10啊","html":"请教您,BB现在应该继续持有还是卖掉呢?能否破10啊"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":470378605617200,"gmtCreate":1755869662812,"gmtModify":1755869665371,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTU 20250822 630.0 PUT BUY 1 | INTU 20250822 640.0 PUT SELL 1\">$财捷 VERTICAL 250822 PUT 640.0/PUT 630.0$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTU 20250822 630.0 PUT BUY 1 | INTU 20250822 640.0 PUT SELL 1\">$财捷 VERTICAL 250822 PUT 640.0/PUT 630.0$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我开仓了$财捷 VERTICAL 250822 PUT 640.0/PUT 630.0$ 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,一路走低啊,降波了就先撤。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/467631717032432","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":467606293357128,"gmtCreate":1755178524642,"gmtModify":1755184333685,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COHR 20250815 85.0 PUT\">$COHR 20250815 85.0 PUT$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COHR 20250815 85.0 PUT\">$COHR 20250815 85.0 PUT$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我开仓了$COHR 20250815 85.0 PUT$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/467606293357128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":651,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000266","authorId":"9000000000000266","name":"哪儿来回哪儿去","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ba918f1f958c1c1d7bc552dcd772a5e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000266","authorIdStr":"9000000000000266"},"content":"哇塞,这个订单设计真不错,期待你的收益 [强]","text":"哇塞,这个订单设计真不错,期待你的收益 [强]","html":"哇塞,这个订单设计真不错,期待你的收益 [强]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":467257481351752,"gmtCreate":1755093365461,"gmtModify":1755093368520,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CAVA 20250815 65.0 PUT\">$CAVA 20250815 65.0 PUT$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CAVA 20250815 65.0 PUT\">$CAVA 20250815 65.0 PUT$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我平仓了$CAVA 20250815 65.0 PUT$ 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市场预期并不完全等同于分析师的一致预期。我们经常看到财报虽然超出分析师预期,但股价依然下跌的情况,这表明市场真实预期与分析师预期存在差异。市场的预期往往较为模糊,只有在财报发布后才能真正得以揭示。 财报中的确定性和不确定性 既然市场的真实预期是不确定的,对于我们的分析而言,股价的涨跌也是难以预测的,那还有什么是确定的呢? 时间的确定性。 财报是一个Known Unknowns,既然财报公布的时间是确定的,那么财报后股价变动的事件也是确定的,那就是财报公布后的盘前盘后,以及开盘的一段时间内,预期收敛和重建的过程会在这段时间进行,也就是说股价往往会大幅度变动。 波动率的确定性。 因为财报是一个关乎预期收敛和重建的过程,那么股价的波动往往不可避免。 因此,市场在财报公","listText":"万众瞩目的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 财报,将于今日盘后出炉,而市场也早已暗流涌动。 今天蹭个热点,来聊聊如何通过期权,来参与财报的机会。 事件驱动型机会 财报交易是典型的事件驱动型机会(Event-driving)。 财报发布属于一个Known Unknowns事件,即发生的时间确定,但影响的结果和幅度未知。 财报中的预期的变化 众所周知,股价交易的就是市场对公司的预期。 而财报,是一个预期的验证和重塑的过程。 在当前的股价上,反应了市场交易者对于公司的一个平均预期。 财报各项数据的揭露,是事实对于市场预期的一个验证过程。因此,财报披露后,市场预期会迅速地收敛,体现为股价的波动。若财报数据好于市场预期,则股价上涨;若财报数据低于市场预期,则体现为股价下跌。 此外,公司在披露上季度的财报数据后,一般会对下季度的经营情况作出一个指引,这就在预期的收敛之后,重塑了一个新的预期,指引市场预期往这个方向上去,股价也会随之变动。 市场的预期是什么? 市场预期并不完全等同于分析师的一致预期。我们经常看到财报虽然超出分析师预期,但股价依然下跌的情况,这表明市场真实预期与分析师预期存在差异。市场的预期往往较为模糊,只有在财报发布后才能真正得以揭示。 财报中的确定性和不确定性 既然市场的真实预期是不确定的,对于我们的分析而言,股价的涨跌也是难以预测的,那还有什么是确定的呢? 时间的确定性。 财报是一个Known Unknowns,既然财报公布的时间是确定的,那么财报后股价变动的事件也是确定的,那就是财报公布后的盘前盘后,以及开盘的一段时间内,预期收敛和重建的过程会在这段时间进行,也就是说股价往往会大幅度变动。 波动率的确定性。 因为财报是一个关乎预期收敛和重建的过程,那么股价的波动往往不可避免。 因此,市场在财报公","text":"万众瞩目的 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 财报,将于今日盘后出炉,而市场也早已暗流涌动。 今天蹭个热点,来聊聊如何通过期权,来参与财报的机会。 事件驱动型机会 财报交易是典型的事件驱动型机会(Event-driving)。 财报发布属于一个Known Unknowns事件,即发生的时间确定,但影响的结果和幅度未知。 财报中的预期的变化 众所周知,股价交易的就是市场对公司的预期。 而财报,是一个预期的验证和重塑的过程。 在当前的股价上,反应了市场交易者对于公司的一个平均预期。 财报各项数据的揭露,是事实对于市场预期的一个验证过程。因此,财报披露后,市场预期会迅速地收敛,体现为股价的波动。若财报数据好于市场预期,则股价上涨;若财报数据低于市场预期,则体现为股价下跌。 此外,公司在披露上季度的财报数据后,一般会对下季度的经营情况作出一个指引,这就在预期的收敛之后,重塑了一个新的预期,指引市场预期往这个方向上去,股价也会随之变动。 市场的预期是什么? 市场预期并不完全等同于分析师的一致预期。我们经常看到财报虽然超出分析师预期,但股价依然下跌的情况,这表明市场真实预期与分析师预期存在差异。市场的预期往往较为模糊,只有在财报发布后才能真正得以揭示。 财报中的确定性和不确定性 既然市场的真实预期是不确定的,对于我们的分析而言,股价的涨跌也是难以预测的,那还有什么是确定的呢? 时间的确定性。 财报是一个Known Unknowns,既然财报公布的时间是确定的,那么财报后股价变动的事件也是确定的,那就是财报公布后的盘前盘后,以及开盘的一段时间内,预期收敛和重建的过程会在这段时间进行,也就是说股价往往会大幅度变动。 波动率的确定性。 因为财报是一个关乎预期收敛和重建的过程,那么股价的波动往往不可避免。 因此,市场在财报公","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dce3e58c3096cf7f55ac1c7f6d8912d0","width":"1179","height":"1400"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02b76653ea4706e0673734a6ed2400a1","width":"1179","height":"1796"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2306c24702c709bf6fe20024c90a5bc9","width":"1179","height":"1832"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":17,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343285657477400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3475613167969925","authorId":"3475613167969925","name":"小个太阳","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3475613167969925","authorIdStr":"3475613167969925"},"content":"你这些组合功能在哪里设置的,为啥我没有","text":"你这些组合功能在哪里设置的,为啥我没有","html":"你这些组合功能在哪里设置的,为啥我没有"}],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":336629673767408,"gmtCreate":1723194848579,"gmtModify":1723281817769,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"title":"躬身入局","htmlText":"“If you have no skin in the game, you shouldn't be in the game. ”——Nassim Nicholas Taleb 从事个人投资已有一段时间,从最初的A股、港股,到如今专注于美股和期权交易,经历了起伏跌宕。这一路上,有得有失,但也积累了不少心得与体会。 不出意外,个人投资将成为我毕生的事业,我会持续投身其中,不断探索与学习。 开设这个公众号(欢迎关注公众号\"随机漫步的Frank\"),是为了记录和分享我在投资中的成长过程。 这里不仅仅讨论股票和期权,也会分享生活中的感悟。 为什么坚持个人投资? 躬身入局的意义 作为金融从业者,深感金融行业当前面临的困境,很大程度源于金融机构及从业者缺乏“躬身入局”的精神(no skin in the game),导致了严重的代理问题。 基金经理无论盈亏照收管理费,投行粉饰财报不受惩罚,分析师一味唱多无需担责,银行明知地产市场将崩坏仍放贷,影子银行则无顾忌地扩展庞氏骗局。 缺乏风险共担机制,金融机构及从业者不需为他们的决策负责,而将投资失败、错误建议和贷款损失的风险掩盖或转嫁给基金持有人、投资者和储户。 然而,风险并不会凭空消失。转移和掩盖风险的代价,可能是整个系统的崩溃。2008年金融危机已证明了这一点。 承担风险的勇气 从社会的整体系统来看,承担风险能够推动系统进化,提升效率,增强韧性。正如生物进化中的“优胜劣汰”法则,只有经历过挑战和风险的个体和系统,才能在变化中存活并发展壮大。 对于个人来说,这同样适用。 只有当把自己的利益与结果紧密相连,每一个决策都与我们的后果紧密相关时,才会真正审慎地对待每一个决策。 躬身入局,勇于承担风险,才能获得真正的智慧与成长,才能变得更加坚韧和有弹性(resilient)。 个人的勇气,在于对承担风险的无畏。而正是这些个人的勇气,才能避免系统性崩","listText":"“If you have no skin in the game, you shouldn't be in the game. ”——Nassim Nicholas Taleb 从事个人投资已有一段时间,从最初的A股、港股,到如今专注于美股和期权交易,经历了起伏跌宕。这一路上,有得有失,但也积累了不少心得与体会。 不出意外,个人投资将成为我毕生的事业,我会持续投身其中,不断探索与学习。 开设这个公众号(欢迎关注公众号\"随机漫步的Frank\"),是为了记录和分享我在投资中的成长过程。 这里不仅仅讨论股票和期权,也会分享生活中的感悟。 为什么坚持个人投资? 躬身入局的意义 作为金融从业者,深感金融行业当前面临的困境,很大程度源于金融机构及从业者缺乏“躬身入局”的精神(no skin in the game),导致了严重的代理问题。 基金经理无论盈亏照收管理费,投行粉饰财报不受惩罚,分析师一味唱多无需担责,银行明知地产市场将崩坏仍放贷,影子银行则无顾忌地扩展庞氏骗局。 缺乏风险共担机制,金融机构及从业者不需为他们的决策负责,而将投资失败、错误建议和贷款损失的风险掩盖或转嫁给基金持有人、投资者和储户。 然而,风险并不会凭空消失。转移和掩盖风险的代价,可能是整个系统的崩溃。2008年金融危机已证明了这一点。 承担风险的勇气 从社会的整体系统来看,承担风险能够推动系统进化,提升效率,增强韧性。正如生物进化中的“优胜劣汰”法则,只有经历过挑战和风险的个体和系统,才能在变化中存活并发展壮大。 对于个人来说,这同样适用。 只有当把自己的利益与结果紧密相连,每一个决策都与我们的后果紧密相关时,才会真正审慎地对待每一个决策。 躬身入局,勇于承担风险,才能获得真正的智慧与成长,才能变得更加坚韧和有弹性(resilient)。 个人的勇气,在于对承担风险的无畏。而正是这些个人的勇气,才能避免系统性崩","text":"“If you have no skin in the game, you shouldn't be in the game. ”——Nassim Nicholas Taleb 从事个人投资已有一段时间,从最初的A股、港股,到如今专注于美股和期权交易,经历了起伏跌宕。这一路上,有得有失,但也积累了不少心得与体会。 不出意外,个人投资将成为我毕生的事业,我会持续投身其中,不断探索与学习。 开设这个公众号(欢迎关注公众号\"随机漫步的Frank\"),是为了记录和分享我在投资中的成长过程。 这里不仅仅讨论股票和期权,也会分享生活中的感悟。 为什么坚持个人投资? 躬身入局的意义 作为金融从业者,深感金融行业当前面临的困境,很大程度源于金融机构及从业者缺乏“躬身入局”的精神(no skin in the game),导致了严重的代理问题。 基金经理无论盈亏照收管理费,投行粉饰财报不受惩罚,分析师一味唱多无需担责,银行明知地产市场将崩坏仍放贷,影子银行则无顾忌地扩展庞氏骗局。 缺乏风险共担机制,金融机构及从业者不需为他们的决策负责,而将投资失败、错误建议和贷款损失的风险掩盖或转嫁给基金持有人、投资者和储户。 然而,风险并不会凭空消失。转移和掩盖风险的代价,可能是整个系统的崩溃。2008年金融危机已证明了这一点。 承担风险的勇气 从社会的整体系统来看,承担风险能够推动系统进化,提升效率,增强韧性。正如生物进化中的“优胜劣汰”法则,只有经历过挑战和风险的个体和系统,才能在变化中存活并发展壮大。 对于个人来说,这同样适用。 只有当把自己的利益与结果紧密相连,每一个决策都与我们的后果紧密相关时,才会真正审慎地对待每一个决策。 躬身入局,勇于承担风险,才能获得真正的智慧与成长,才能变得更加坚韧和有弹性(resilient)。 个人的勇气,在于对承担风险的无畏。而正是这些个人的勇气,才能避免系统性崩","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/336629673767408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":299769475985512,"gmtCreate":1714205303742,"gmtModify":1746549496754,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/WDC 20240426 77.0 CALL\">$WDC 20240426 77.0 CALL$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/WDC 20240426 77.0 CALL\">$WDC 20240426 77.0 CALL$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我平仓了$WDC 20240426 77.0 CALL$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":20,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/299769475985512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":299768917926192,"gmtCreate":1714205293223,"gmtModify":1746584814720,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TEAM 20240426 250.0 CALL\">$TEAM 20240426 250.0 CALL$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TEAM 20240426 250.0 CALL\">$TEAM 20240426 250.0 CALL$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我平仓了$TEAM 20240426 250.0 CALL$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/299768917926192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3851,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3565742771032978","authorId":"3565742771032978","name":"Apple星晨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3822fde60d97224bfebca27cedfbad22","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3565742771032978","authorIdStr":"3565742771032978"},"content":"还是得看操作很流畅。","text":"还是得看操作很流畅。","html":"还是得看操作很流畅。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":335163822731304,"gmtCreate":1722833763882,"gmtModify":1746549496709,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a>,可怕,割肉了","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a>,可怕,割肉了","text":"我平仓了$英伟达(NVDA)$ ,可怕,割肉了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":20,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/335163822731304","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6445,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4177763122101782","authorId":"4177763122101782","name":"crazywater","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16376cf078ec7d3ac7f6b8ec2f7de862","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4177763122101782","authorIdStr":"4177763122101782"},"content":"UVXY怎么看","text":"UVXY怎么看","html":"UVXY怎么看"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":343006350262496,"gmtCreate":1724760232727,"gmtModify":1724767240032,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"title":"概率游戏——浅谈投资的本质","htmlText":"早前在老虎社区的访谈中<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/316469114626280?utm_source=%E5%B8%96%E5%AD%90&utm_campaign=316469114626280&utm_medium=wechat&platform=iOS&shareID=22a49c2508a07383ed0b84dd10715db4&invite=AV9LE1&lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">【实盘面对面】FrankAllin:概率思维看期权交易实战方法</a>,我简单分享了个人期权交易的基本框架,并将投资视为一种概率游戏。 在这里,我想借这个概念,进一步展开谈谈对投资的理解,以及如何构建适合自己的投资体系。 先谈谈我所理解的投资的本质是什么。 什么是投资? 根据维基百科的定义,\"Investment is traditionally defined as the \"commitment of resources to achieve later benefits\". If an investment involves money, then it can be defined as a \"commitment of money to receive more money later\". 实际上,当我们谈论投资时,一般都是指金钱的投资。 在这个前提下,投资可以简单地理解为: “放弃货币的现时使用价值,以获得未来的使用价值。” 因而,只要我们当下没有把持有的货币消费掉,那么我们就是在进行投资。 区别在于,我们选择不同的方式来实现货币的未来价值。 比如,将钱投入到实体经济(如开厂或开店)以期获得未来利润,这属于实体投资;而将钱投资到金融资产(如","listText":"早前在老虎社区的访谈中<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/316469114626280?utm_source=%E5%B8%96%E5%AD%90&utm_campaign=316469114626280&utm_medium=wechat&platform=iOS&shareID=22a49c2508a07383ed0b84dd10715db4&invite=AV9LE1&lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">【实盘面对面】FrankAllin:概率思维看期权交易实战方法</a>,我简单分享了个人期权交易的基本框架,并将投资视为一种概率游戏。 在这里,我想借这个概念,进一步展开谈谈对投资的理解,以及如何构建适合自己的投资体系。 先谈谈我所理解的投资的本质是什么。 什么是投资? 根据维基百科的定义,\"Investment is traditionally defined as the \"commitment of resources to achieve later benefits\". If an investment involves money, then it can be defined as a \"commitment of money to receive more money later\". 实际上,当我们谈论投资时,一般都是指金钱的投资。 在这个前提下,投资可以简单地理解为: “放弃货币的现时使用价值,以获得未来的使用价值。” 因而,只要我们当下没有把持有的货币消费掉,那么我们就是在进行投资。 区别在于,我们选择不同的方式来实现货币的未来价值。 比如,将钱投入到实体经济(如开厂或开店)以期获得未来利润,这属于实体投资;而将钱投资到金融资产(如","text":"早前在老虎社区的访谈中【实盘面对面】FrankAllin:概率思维看期权交易实战方法,我简单分享了个人期权交易的基本框架,并将投资视为一种概率游戏。 在这里,我想借这个概念,进一步展开谈谈对投资的理解,以及如何构建适合自己的投资体系。 先谈谈我所理解的投资的本质是什么。 什么是投资? 根据维基百科的定义,\"Investment is traditionally defined as the \"commitment of resources to achieve later benefits\". If an investment involves money, then it can be defined as a \"commitment of money to receive more money later\". 实际上,当我们谈论投资时,一般都是指金钱的投资。 在这个前提下,投资可以简单地理解为: “放弃货币的现时使用价值,以获得未来的使用价值。” 因而,只要我们当下没有把持有的货币消费掉,那么我们就是在进行投资。 区别在于,我们选择不同的方式来实现货币的未来价值。 比如,将钱投入到实体经济(如开厂或开店)以期获得未来利润,这属于实体投资;而将钱投资到金融资产(如","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb13484c93681879c387f2e191b5e106","width":"1024","height":"990"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343006350262496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8074,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":299768937984304,"gmtCreate":1714205298120,"gmtModify":1746549496776,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/WDC 20240426 60.0 PUT\">$WDC 20240426 60.0 PUT$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/WDC 20240426 60.0 PUT\">$WDC 20240426 60.0 PUT$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我平仓了$WDC 20240426 60.0 PUT$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":19,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/299768937984304","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":343120695984328,"gmtCreate":1724809865037,"gmtModify":1746568096813,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ANF 20240830 125.0 PUT\">$ANF 20240830 125.0 PUT$ </a>,再卖个put","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ANF 20240830 125.0 PUT\">$ANF 20240830 125.0 PUT$ </a>,再卖个put","text":"我开仓了$ANF 20240830 125.0 PUT$ ,再卖个put","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":14,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343120695984328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1925,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3563871037118306","authorId":"3563871037118306","name":"super1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/480f62fa32ae14bee243e7b68d3d355a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3563871037118306","authorIdStr":"3563871037118306"},"content":"nvda做空波动率吗?","text":"nvda做空波动率吗?","html":"nvda做空波动率吗?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":299532801306672,"gmtCreate":1714147614955,"gmtModify":1746549496914,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/DPZ 20240503 450.0 PUT\">$DPZ 20240503 450.0 PUT$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/DPZ 20240503 450.0 PUT\">$DPZ 20240503 450.0 PUT$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我开仓了$DPZ 20240503 450.0 PUT$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/299532801306672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":348678852821232,"gmtCreate":1726154016517,"gmtModify":1746584559671,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/RH 20240913 302.5 CALL\">$RH 20240913 302.5 CALL$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/RH 20240913 302.5 CALL\">$RH 20240913 302.5 CALL$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我开仓了$RH 20240913 302.5 CALL$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":13,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/348678852821232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2860,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3563871037118306","authorId":"3563871037118306","name":"super1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/480f62fa32ae14bee243e7b68d3d355a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3563871037118306","authorIdStr":"3563871037118306"},"content":"今晚不好啊,小票财报不能赌了,太妖了🥲","text":"今晚不好啊,小票财报不能赌了,太妖了🥲","html":"今晚不好啊,小票财报不能赌了,太妖了🥲"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":316392314867880,"gmtCreate":1718271964149,"gmtModify":1718271966117,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"感谢老虎。借此机会分享个人的一点交易心得,欢迎交流[真香] ","listText":"感谢老虎。借此机会分享个人的一点交易心得,欢迎交流[真香] ","text":"感谢老虎。借此机会分享个人的一点交易心得,欢迎交流[真香]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/316392314867880","repostId":"316469114626280","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":316469114626280,"gmtCreate":1718270752741,"gmtModify":1744961760713,"author":{"id":"37002306153600","authorId":"37002306153600","name":"小虎访谈","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0f6fba0673df1de1c5c31bb2b4f6d4e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"37002306153600","authorIdStr":"37002306153600"},"themes":[],"title":"【实盘面对面】FrankAllin:概率思维看期权交易实战方法","htmlText":"本次小虎访谈邀请到了新锐虎友 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3546925022414459\">@FrankAllin</a> 讲述他在繁忙的金融行业工作之外,如何玩好概率游戏,积累长期复利。另外,他最近也开通了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">交易分享功能</a>,实盘分析自己的港美股交易,欢迎虎友们踊跃关注。记得看到最后,有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">【实盘面对面】</a>栏目送给各位虎友的优惠券。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">点击订阅FrankAllin的实盘分享</a>Q:您的个人基本情况是什么样子的?从事投资大概有多久?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">FrankAllin</a>:我是一个90后,当前从事金融行业。在大学时就开始炒股,几年沉沉浮浮下来,也不可避免地在A股折戟沉沙。从2019年开始接触美股,开始投入不多,但收益还可以,就慢慢切换过来了。现在我的投资主要以美股、期权为主,已持续一年多了。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">点击订阅FrankAllin的实盘分享</a>Q:你当","listText":"本次小虎访谈邀请到了新锐虎友 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3546925022414459\">@FrankAllin</a> 讲述他在繁忙的金融行业工作之外,如何玩好概率游戏,积累长期复利。另外,他最近也开通了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">交易分享功能</a>,实盘分析自己的港美股交易,欢迎虎友们踊跃关注。记得看到最后,有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">【实盘面对面】</a>栏目送给各位虎友的优惠券。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">点击订阅FrankAllin的实盘分享</a>Q:您的个人基本情况是什么样子的?从事投资大概有多久?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">FrankAllin</a>:我是一个90后,当前从事金融行业。在大学时就开始炒股,几年沉沉浮浮下来,也不可避免地在A股折戟沉沙。从2019年开始接触美股,开始投入不多,但收益还可以,就慢慢切换过来了。现在我的投资主要以美股、期权为主,已持续一年多了。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/J/starInvestor?uuid=3546925022414459\" target=\"_blank\">点击订阅FrankAllin的实盘分享</a>Q:你当","text":"本次小虎访谈邀请到了新锐虎友 @FrankAllin 讲述他在繁忙的金融行业工作之外,如何玩好概率游戏,积累长期复利。另外,他最近也开通了交易分享功能,实盘分析自己的港美股交易,欢迎虎友们踊跃关注。记得看到最后,有【实盘面对面】栏目送给各位虎友的优惠券。点击订阅FrankAllin的实盘分享Q:您的个人基本情况是什么样子的?从事投资大概有多久?FrankAllin:我是一个90后,当前从事金融行业。在大学时就开始炒股,几年沉沉浮浮下来,也不可避免地在A股折戟沉沙。从2019年开始接触美股,开始投入不多,但收益还可以,就慢慢切换过来了。现在我的投资主要以美股、期权为主,已持续一年多了。点击订阅FrankAllin的实盘分享Q:你当","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b29cf03d60972831c182079aedf4422a","width":"1920","height":"1080"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/316469114626280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3552146202898450","authorId":"3552146202898450","name":"Wendyju","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bad2d84378f73105cea4ee37e6266dc","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3552146202898450","authorIdStr":"3552146202898450"},"content":"请教您,BB现在应该继续持有还是卖掉呢?能否破10啊","text":"请教您,BB现在应该继续持有还是卖掉呢?能否破10啊","html":"请教您,BB现在应该继续持有还是卖掉呢?能否破10啊"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":299533060964624,"gmtCreate":1714147587431,"gmtModify":1746545963760,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/U 20240510 29.5 CALL\">$U 20240510 29.5 CALL$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/U 20240510 29.5 CALL\">$U 20240510 29.5 CALL$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我开仓了$U 20240510 29.5 CALL$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/304184288092160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2660,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":348267931189568,"gmtCreate":1726067331937,"gmtModify":1746587950251,"author":{"id":"3546925022414459","authorId":"3546925022414459","name":"FrankAllin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e330fa7158b699a9e8a6cb594b854525","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546925022414459","authorIdStr":"3546925022414459"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SIG 20240913 90.0 CALL\">$SIG 20240913 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