SellPutAlpha的个人主页 - 老虎社区

SellPutAlpha

SellPutAlpha

卖put为主

IP属地：北京

189关注

435粉丝

3主题

0勋章

07-21

我平仓了$1.5倍做多恐慌指数短期期货ETF DIAGONAL 250801/250815 PUT 15.5/PUT 15.0$ ,继续向下移仓

07-19

我平仓了$UVXY 20250718 16.0 PUT$ ,顺利到期，继续看涨波动率

07-15

我平仓了$1.5倍做多恐慌指数短期期货ETF DIAGONAL 250725/250808 PUT 16.0/PUT 15.0$ ,趁iv高移仓赚点

07-14

我平仓了$美光科技 DIAGONAL 250808/250725 PUT 110.0/PUT 112.0$ ,向下移仓

07-12

我平仓了$GOOG 20250711 167.5 PUT$ ,顺利到期

07-12

我开仓了$AAPL 20250725 200.0 PUT$ ,苹果这个价位还可以

07-12

我开仓了$MU 20250725 112.0 PUT$ ,开始新一轮的put

07-09

我平仓了$1.5倍做多恐慌指数短期期货ETF DIAGONAL 250711/250725 PUT 17.0/PUT 16.0$ ,这个往后移一点

07-09

我开仓了$UVXY 20250808 16.0 PUT$ ,最多波动率

07-07

我平仓了$特斯拉 DIAGONAL 250725/250808 PUT 250.0/PUT 245.0$ ,这个也移仓

07-07

我平仓了$特斯拉 DIAGONAL 250801/250718 PUT 255.0/PUT 270.0$ ,移仓移仓

07-01

我平仓了$特斯拉 DIAGONAL 250725/250711 PUT 250.0/PUT 265.0$ ,移仓赚个iv，顺便防守一下

06-27

我平仓了$IFBH(06603)$ ,先平掉一半

06-14

我平仓了$PDD 20250613 90.0 PUT$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

06-14

我平仓了$AMD 20250613 95.0 PUT$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

06-14

我平仓了$MU 20250613 80.0 PUT$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

06-14

我平仓了$NVDA 20250613 125.0 PUT$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

06-14

我平仓了$AAPL 20250613 182.5 PUT$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

06-14

我平仓了$AMZN 20250613 190.0 PUT$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

06-14

我开仓了$NVDA 20250627 125.0 PUT$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单！

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,继续向下移仓","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/459039003254968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":484,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":458261232652616,"gmtCreate":1752916868343,"gmtModify":1752922739263,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/UVXY 20250718 16.0 PUT\">$UVXY 20250718 16.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,顺利到期，继续看涨波动率","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/UVXY 20250718 16.0 PUT\">$UVXY 20250718 16.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,顺利到期，继续看涨波动率","text":"我平仓了$UVXY 20250718 16.0 PUT$ ,顺利到期，继续看涨波动率","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/458261232652616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":456913090892560,"gmtCreate":1752588207186,"gmtModify":1752589985965,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/UVXY 20250725 16.0 PUT BUY 1 | UVXY 20250808 15.0 PUT SELL 1\">$1.5倍做多恐慌指数短期期货ETF DIAGONAL 250725/250808 PUT 16.0/PUT 15.0$&nbsp;</a>,趁iv高移仓赚点","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/UVXY 20250725 16.0 PUT BUY 1 | UVXY 20250808 15.0 PUT SELL 1\">$1.5倍做多恐慌指数短期期货ETF DIAGONAL 250725/250808 PUT 16.0/PUT 15.0$&nbsp;</a>,趁iv高移仓赚点","text":"我平仓了$1.5倍做多恐慌指数短期期货ETF DIAGONAL 250725/250808 PUT 16.0/PUT 15.0$ ,趁iv高移仓赚点","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/456913090892560","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":617,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":456553757688176,"gmtCreate":1752500144462,"gmtModify":1752500611467,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU 20250725 112.0 PUT BUY 1 | MU 20250808 110.0 PUT SELL 1\">$美光科技 DIAGONAL 250808/250725 PUT 110.0/PUT 112.0$&nbsp;</a>,向下移仓","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU 20250725 112.0 PUT BUY 1 | MU 20250808 110.0 PUT SELL 1\">$美光科技 DIAGONAL 250808/250725 PUT 110.0/PUT 112.0$&nbsp;</a>,向下移仓","text":"我平仓了$美光科技 DIAGONAL 250808/250725 PUT 110.0/PUT 112.0$ ,向下移仓","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/456553757688176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":703,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":455750627644232,"gmtCreate":1752304309387,"gmtModify":1752305150647,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOG 20250711 167.5 PUT\">$GOOG 20250711 167.5 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,顺利到期","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOG 20250711 167.5 PUT\">$GOOG 20250711 167.5 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,顺利到期","text":"我平仓了$GOOG 20250711 167.5 PUT$ ,顺利到期","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/455750627644232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":455531051741192,"gmtCreate":1752250607313,"gmtModify":1753516732940,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20250725 200.0 PUT\">$AAPL 20250725 200.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,苹果这个价位还可以","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20250725 200.0 PUT\">$AAPL 20250725 200.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,苹果这个价位还可以","text":"我开仓了$AAPL 20250725 200.0 PUT$ ,苹果这个价位还可以","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/455531051741192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":746,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":455530580517720,"gmtCreate":1752250585800,"gmtModify":1752500221922,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU 20250725 112.0 PUT\">$MU 20250725 112.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,开始新一轮的put","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU 20250725 112.0 PUT\">$MU 20250725 112.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,开始新一轮的put","text":"我开仓了$MU 20250725 112.0 PUT$ ,开始新一轮的put","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/455530580517720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1775,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":454865222230232,"gmtCreate":1752069155705,"gmtModify":1752070319784,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/UVXY 20250711 17.0 PUT BUY 1 | UVXY 20250725 16.0 PUT SELL 1\">$1.5倍做多恐慌指数短期期货ETF DIAGONAL 250711/250725 PUT 17.0/PUT 16.0$&nbsp;</a>,这个往后移一点","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/UVXY 20250711 17.0 PUT BUY 1 | UVXY 20250725 16.0 PUT SELL 1\">$1.5倍做多恐慌指数短期期货ETF DIAGONAL 250711/250725 PUT 17.0/PUT 16.0$&nbsp;</a>,这个往后移一点","text":"我平仓了$1.5倍做多恐慌指数短期期货ETF DIAGONAL 250711/250725 PUT 17.0/PUT 16.0$ ,这个往后移一点","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/454865222230232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":588,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":454864267920160,"gmtCreate":1752069129795,"gmtModify":1752591465859,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/UVXY 20250808 16.0 PUT\">$UVXY 20250808 16.0 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卖put赚点小钱","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b2ceb91ce9340521a00d46af145b58e","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":421,"commentSize":95,"repostSize":73,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/631312162","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3569054309729017","authorId":"3569054309729017","name":"昊天牛牛牛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5de14a743a6e1264f1c20038c6ce0da1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3569054309729017","authorIdStr":"3569054309729017"},"content":"[开心] [开心] [开心]","text":"[开心] [开心] [开心]","html":"[开心] [开心] [开心]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":638937495,"gmtCreate":1645022340312,"gmtModify":1645197767775,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ZM 20220218 125.0 PUT\">$ZM 20220218 125.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>卖put赚点小钱 怎么卖期权参考这篇文章：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/609687787\" target=\"_blank\">卖期权大赚秘籍，向这位朋友学习！</a>","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ZM 20220218 125.0 PUT\">$ZM 20220218 125.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>卖put赚点小钱 怎么卖期权参考这篇文章：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/609687787\" target=\"_blank\">卖期权大赚秘籍，向这位朋友学习！</a>","text":"$ZM 20220218 125.0 PUT$ 卖put赚点小钱 怎么卖期权参考这篇文章：卖期权大赚秘籍，向这位朋友学习！","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25baf38e1aab976a506e20e95ba26283","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":344,"commentSize":79,"repostSize":84,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/638937495","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"content":"怎么卖期权参考这篇文章https://www.laohu8.com/m/post/609687787?invite=RY3EIF&lang=en_US","text":"怎么卖期权参考这篇文章https://www.laohu8.com/m/post/609687787?invite=RY3EIF&lang=en_US","html":"怎么卖期权参考这篇文章https://www.laohu8.com/m/post/609687787?invite=RY3EIF&lang=en_US"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635227071,"gmtCreate":1647015782293,"gmtModify":1647053100312,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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赚点小钱","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd4546dc7ba814c280eaac962cc53a5d","width":"972","height":"1571"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192102933594240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1825,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3561073671533659","authorId":"3561073671533659","name":"山手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a8631fdfc1024e231c1f2e39c29c857","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561073671533659","authorIdStr":"3561073671533659"},"content":"能不能执行的时候就发一个，提醒大家一下。","text":"能不能执行的时候就发一个，提醒大家一下。","html":"能不能执行的时候就发一个，提醒大家一下。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":205048769306872,"gmtCreate":1691070075526,"gmtModify":1691070769454,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMSC 20230915 7.0 PUT\">$AMSC 20230915 7.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>不着急平仓，再拿两天看看","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMSC 20230915 7.0 PUT\">$AMSC 20230915 7.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>不着急平仓，再拿两天看看","text":"$AMSC 20230915 7.0 PUT$ 不着急平仓，再拿两天看看","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ba08ab4457cb43fcd3ae664a46bbdef","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/205048769306872","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3537,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3494996464520612","authorId":"3494996464520612","name":"乘风破浪的新农人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/395c6e5e41c5f697149a065079ad9a68","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3494996464520612","authorIdStr":"3494996464520612"},"content":"今晚那么好机会不平吗？ [笑哭]","text":"今晚那么好机会不平吗？ [笑哭]","html":"今晚那么好机会不平吗？ [笑哭]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":404881628352952,"gmtCreate":1739872509502,"gmtModify":1739873917822,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"title":"DeepSeek开源对百度AI转型的影响分析","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">$百度(BIDU)$</a> 用新版的tigergpt试了一下，分析的很细致 一、竞争格局重塑：开源倒逼战略调整 闭源模式的被动转向 百度原计划通过文心大模型的会员模式（如文心一言）锁定高质量用户，但DeepSeek以“低成本+高智能+全开源”策略打破行业规则，迫使百度宣布将于2025年6月30日开源文心4.5系列模型，并全面接入DeepSeek。市场影响：开源策略可能削弱百度原有闭源模型的商业化溢价，但有助于扩大开发者生态，加速技术迭代（参考文心4.5开源计划）。 技术护城河面临挑战 DeepSeek-R1通过MLA（多头潜在注意力）架构和MoE稀疏结构实现推理成本降低近百倍，性能对标GPT-4o，直接冲击百度在自然语言处理（NLP）和搜索领域的技术优势。数据佐证：百度搜索和文心智能体平台已接入DeepSeek，显示其技术路线从“自研闭环”转向“开源+自研混合”。 二、财务与运营压力：短期阵痛与长期博弈 商业化路径受阻 百度广告业务（占收入70%以上）受宏观经济影响增速放缓（2024Q4广告收入同比+5.3%），而AI原生应用（如智能云）尚未形成规模化收入。接入DeepSeek后，免费模型可能进一步挤压短期变现空间。估值指标：当前百度港股P/E TTM 11.6x、PB 0.91x，美股P/E 11.7x、PB 0.96x，均低于行业平均水平（中国科技股平均P/E约20x），反映市场对其转型不确定性的担忧。 算力成本激增的隐忧 DeepSeek推动的AI普惠化导致算力需求指数级增长（中信证券预测2025年中国AI算力需求同比+300%），而百度在国产算力（如昆仑芯）的布局尚处早期，可能面临更高的基础设施投入压力。 三、战略机遇：生态整合与场景落地 流量入口价值重估 百度搜索接入DeepSeek后，用户","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">$百度(BIDU)$</a> 用新版的tigergpt试了一下，分析的很细致 一、竞争格局重塑：开源倒逼战略调整 闭源模式的被动转向 百度原计划通过文心大模型的会员模式（如文心一言）锁定高质量用户，但DeepSeek以“低成本+高智能+全开源”策略打破行业规则，迫使百度宣布将于2025年6月30日开源文心4.5系列模型，并全面接入DeepSeek。市场影响：开源策略可能削弱百度原有闭源模型的商业化溢价，但有助于扩大开发者生态，加速技术迭代（参考文心4.5开源计划）。 技术护城河面临挑战 DeepSeek-R1通过MLA（多头潜在注意力）架构和MoE稀疏结构实现推理成本降低近百倍，性能对标GPT-4o，直接冲击百度在自然语言处理（NLP）和搜索领域的技术优势。数据佐证：百度搜索和文心智能体平台已接入DeepSeek，显示其技术路线从“自研闭环”转向“开源+自研混合”。 二、财务与运营压力：短期阵痛与长期博弈 商业化路径受阻 百度广告业务（占收入70%以上）受宏观经济影响增速放缓（2024Q4广告收入同比+5.3%），而AI原生应用（如智能云）尚未形成规模化收入。接入DeepSeek后，免费模型可能进一步挤压短期变现空间。估值指标：当前百度港股P/E TTM 11.6x、PB 0.91x，美股P/E 11.7x、PB 0.96x，均低于行业平均水平（中国科技股平均P/E约20x），反映市场对其转型不确定性的担忧。 算力成本激增的隐忧 DeepSeek推动的AI普惠化导致算力需求指数级增长（中信证券预测2025年中国AI算力需求同比+300%），而百度在国产算力（如昆仑芯）的布局尚处早期，可能面临更高的基础设施投入压力。 三、战略机遇：生态整合与场景落地 流量入口价值重估 百度搜索接入DeepSeek后，用户","text":"$百度(BIDU)$ 用新版的tigergpt试了一下，分析的很细致 一、竞争格局重塑：开源倒逼战略调整 闭源模式的被动转向 百度原计划通过文心大模型的会员模式（如文心一言）锁定高质量用户，但DeepSeek以“低成本+高智能+全开源”策略打破行业规则，迫使百度宣布将于2025年6月30日开源文心4.5系列模型，并全面接入DeepSeek。市场影响：开源策略可能削弱百度原有闭源模型的商业化溢价，但有助于扩大开发者生态，加速技术迭代（参考文心4.5开源计划）。 技术护城河面临挑战 DeepSeek-R1通过MLA（多头潜在注意力）架构和MoE稀疏结构实现推理成本降低近百倍，性能对标GPT-4o，直接冲击百度在自然语言处理（NLP）和搜索领域的技术优势。数据佐证：百度搜索和文心智能体平台已接入DeepSeek，显示其技术路线从“自研闭环”转向“开源+自研混合”。 二、财务与运营压力：短期阵痛与长期博弈 商业化路径受阻 百度广告业务（占收入70%以上）受宏观经济影响增速放缓（2024Q4广告收入同比+5.3%），而AI原生应用（如智能云）尚未形成规模化收入。接入DeepSeek后，免费模型可能进一步挤压短期变现空间。估值指标：当前百度港股P/E TTM 11.6x、PB 0.91x，美股P/E 11.7x、PB 0.96x，均低于行业平均水平（中国科技股平均P/E约20x），反映市场对其转型不确定性的担忧。 算力成本激增的隐忧 DeepSeek推动的AI普惠化导致算力需求指数级增长（中信证券预测2025年中国AI算力需求同比+300%），而百度在国产算力（如昆仑芯）的布局尚处早期，可能面临更高的基础设施投入压力。 三、战略机遇：生态整合与场景落地 流量入口价值重估 百度搜索接入DeepSeek后，用户","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/404881628352952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":21555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574401099717599","authorId":"3574401099717599","name":"迷鹿小仙女","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa92b3c7c7d183eabce7c42cf01a2fc4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3574401099717599","authorIdStr":"3574401099717599"},"content":"百度不行咯，做啥啥不行，吹牛第一名","text":"百度不行咯，做啥啥不行，吹牛第一名","html":"百度不行咯，做啥啥不行，吹牛第一名"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":326119934963944,"gmtCreate":1720620727703,"gmtModify":1746665536373,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/PDD 20240719 130.0 PUT\">$PDD 20240719 130.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,跟卖点pdd的put","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/PDD 20240719 130.0 PUT\">$PDD 20240719 130.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,跟卖点pdd的put","text":"我开仓了$PDD 20240719 130.0 PUT$ ,跟卖点pdd的put","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326119934963944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4146626026374032","authorId":"4146626026374032","name":"资本小鳄鱼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04365eb77e1da637a92d1cd526d619c3","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4146626026374032","authorIdStr":"4146626026374032"},"content":"到期日太近了 不想接盘 还是不跟了 哈哈哈","text":"到期日太近了 不想接盘 还是不跟了 哈哈哈","html":"到期日太近了 不想接盘 还是不跟了 哈哈哈"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":386116470415936,"gmtCreate":1735311633742,"gmtModify":1746572861769,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20250110 237.5 PUT\">$AAPL 20250110 237.5 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,o1分析： 根据分析,我为您选择了AAPL 2025年1月10日到期的237.5罢工价put期权进行卖出开仓(cash secured put)。主要考虑因素如下: 1. 合适的风险收益比: * 当前AAPL股价256.7 * 237.5 strike给予约7.5%的下跌保护空间 * 期权premium 0.39,年化收益约9.8% * Delta为-0.067,表明市场预期行权概率约6.7% 2. 技术面支持: * AAPL近半年走势强劲 * 当前位置虽然PE较高,但下跌空间有限 * 波动率(IV 26.9%)处于适中水平 * Theta -0.059对卖方有利 3. 风险控制: * 即使股价跌破237.5,也可以考虑长期持有AAPL * 2周时间较短,大幅下跌概率较小 * 保证金要求为23,750美元(237.5*100)","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20250110 237.5 PUT\">$AAPL 20250110 237.5 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,o1分析： 根据分析,我为您选择了AAPL 2025年1月10日到期的237.5罢工价put期权进行卖出开仓(cash secured put)。主要考虑因素如下: 1. 合适的风险收益比: * 当前AAPL股价256.7 * 237.5 strike给予约7.5%的下跌保护空间 * 期权premium 0.39,年化收益约9.8% * Delta为-0.067,表明市场预期行权概率约6.7% 2. 技术面支持: * AAPL近半年走势强劲 * 当前位置虽然PE较高,但下跌空间有限 * 波动率(IV 26.9%)处于适中水平 * Theta -0.059对卖方有利 3. 风险控制: * 即使股价跌破237.5,也可以考虑长期持有AAPL * 2周时间较短,大幅下跌概率较小 * 保证金要求为23,750美元(237.5*100)","text":"我开仓了$AAPL 20250110 237.5 PUT$ ,o1分析： 根据分析,我为您选择了AAPL 2025年1月10日到期的237.5罢工价put期权进行卖出开仓(cash secured put)。主要考虑因素如下: 1. 合适的风险收益比: * 当前AAPL股价256.7 * 237.5 strike给予约7.5%的下跌保护空间 * 期权premium 0.39,年化收益约9.8% * Delta为-0.067,表明市场预期行权概率约6.7% 2. 技术面支持: * AAPL近半年走势强劲 * 当前位置虽然PE较高,但下跌空间有限 * 波动率(IV 26.9%)处于适中水平 * Theta -0.059对卖方有利 3. 风险控制: * 即使股价跌破237.5,也可以考虑长期持有AAPL * 2周时间较短,大幅下跌概率较小 * 保证金要求为23,750美元(237.5*100)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386116470415936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3940,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":374804201144744,"gmtCreate":1732545991366,"gmtModify":1746543878596,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20241206 225.0 PUT\">$AAPL 20241206 225.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20241206 225.0 PUT\">$AAPL 20241206 225.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>, 用gpto1推荐的put： 基于对AAPL的深入分析,我建议以下交易策略: 1. 交易要素: * 卖出1张AAPL 12月6日到期的225 PUT * 限价0.64美元 * 总保证金需求约22500美元 * 预期年化收益10-12% 2. 选择该策略的主要理由: * AAPL技术面强势,目前运行在均线上方 * 225 strike位于安全距离(约-3.5%),提供足够安全边际 * 期权IV处于相对低位19.64%,卖出波动率风险小 * Delta -0.16显示风险适中 * 良好的时间价值衰减(Theta -0.081) 3. 风险控制: * 止损位设在220(跌破50日均线 * 可随时通过买入平仓或调整策略 4. 交易验证: * 历史回测显示类似策略胜率&gt;80% * 符合年化10%收益目标 * 风险收益比合理","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20241206 225.0 PUT\">$AAPL 20241206 225.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20241206 225.0 PUT\">$AAPL 20241206 225.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>, 用gpto1推荐的put： 基于对AAPL的深入分析,我建议以下交易策略: 1. 交易要素: * 卖出1张AAPL 12月6日到期的225 PUT * 限价0.64美元 * 总保证金需求约22500美元 * 预期年化收益10-12% 2. 选择该策略的主要理由: * AAPL技术面强势,目前运行在均线上方 * 225 strike位于安全距离(约-3.5%),提供足够安全边际 * 期权IV处于相对低位19.64%,卖出波动率风险小 * Delta -0.16显示风险适中 * 良好的时间价值衰减(Theta -0.081) 3. 风险控制: * 止损位设在220(跌破50日均线 * 可随时通过买入平仓或调整策略 4. 交易验证: * 历史回测显示类似策略胜率&gt;80% * 符合年化10%收益目标 * 风险收益比合理","text":"我开仓了$AAPL 20241206 225.0 PUT$ ,我开仓了$AAPL 20241206 225.0 PUT$ , 用gpto1推荐的put： 基于对AAPL的深入分析,我建议以下交易策略: 1. 交易要素: * 卖出1张AAPL 12月6日到期的225 PUT * 限价0.64美元 * 总保证金需求约22500美元 * 预期年化收益10-12% 2. 选择该策略的主要理由: * AAPL技术面强势,目前运行在均线上方 * 225 strike位于安全距离(约-3.5%),提供足够安全边际 * 期权IV处于相对低位19.64%,卖出波动率风险小 * Delta -0.16显示风险适中 * 良好的时间价值衰减(Theta -0.081) 3. 风险控制: * 止损位设在220(跌破50日均线 * 可随时通过买入平仓或调整策略 4. 交易验证: * 历史回测显示类似策略胜率>80% * 符合年化10%收益目标 * 风险收益比合理","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374804201144744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574401099717599","authorId":"3574401099717599","name":"迷鹿小仙女","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa92b3c7c7d183eabce7c42cf01a2fc4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3574401099717599","authorIdStr":"3574401099717599"},"content":"期待你的下一个更新！","text":"期待你的下一个更新！","html":"期待你的下一个更新！"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":371287289507912,"gmtCreate":1731655340360,"gmtModify":1731655361868,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 最近有个模仿gpt-o1的prompt很火，试了一下用来分析sellput的行权价，还比较靠谱。后面不定期分享一些用gpt-o1分析的行权价和分析过程，供大家参考。 找个下周末特斯拉期权最适合sell put的行权价 **o1:** 让我理解一下这个请求: 1. 要找特斯拉(TSLA)的期权 2. 时间是下周末到期的期权 3. 目标是找到适合卖出看跌期权(sell put)的行权价 4. 需要分析当前市场情况来判断合适的行权价 首先我需要: 1. 查询TSLA当前的股价和走势,了解基本面 2. 查看对应到期日的期权链数据 3. 分析波动率和期权定价来判断最佳行权价 下周末应该是11月22日(下周五)到期 让我先查询TSLA的报价数据 hmm...需要用quote_query来查询 - 先查当前股价 - 再查期权链数据,日期用2024-11-22 query stock quote: US.TSLA quote query stock quote: US.TSLA optionchain 2024-11-22 2024-11-22 Hmm, let me analyze the situation for selling Tesla puts expiring next Friday (11/22)... Current TSLA stock price is around $311.18, and it's been quite volatile today with a range of $310.37-$329.98. The stock has shown significant weakness today, d","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 最近有个模仿gpt-o1的prompt很火，试了一下用来分析sellput的行权价，还比较靠谱。后面不定期分享一些用gpt-o1分析的行权价和分析过程，供大家参考。 找个下周末特斯拉期权最适合sell put的行权价 **o1:** 让我理解一下这个请求: 1. 要找特斯拉(TSLA)的期权 2. 时间是下周末到期的期权 3. 目标是找到适合卖出看跌期权(sell put)的行权价 4. 需要分析当前市场情况来判断合适的行权价 首先我需要: 1. 查询TSLA当前的股价和走势,了解基本面 2. 查看对应到期日的期权链数据 3. 分析波动率和期权定价来判断最佳行权价 下周末应该是11月22日(下周五)到期 让我先查询TSLA的报价数据 hmm...需要用quote_query来查询 - 先查当前股价 - 再查期权链数据,日期用2024-11-22 query stock quote: US.TSLA quote query stock quote: US.TSLA optionchain 2024-11-22 2024-11-22 Hmm, let me analyze the situation for selling Tesla puts expiring next Friday (11/22)... Current TSLA stock price is around $311.18, and it's been quite volatile today with a range of $310.37-$329.98. The stock has shown significant weakness today, d","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 最近有个模仿gpt-o1的prompt很火，试了一下用来分析sellput的行权价，还比较靠谱。后面不定期分享一些用gpt-o1分析的行权价和分析过程，供大家参考。 找个下周末特斯拉期权最适合sell put的行权价 **o1:** 让我理解一下这个请求: 1. 要找特斯拉(TSLA)的期权 2. 时间是下周末到期的期权 3. 目标是找到适合卖出看跌期权(sell put)的行权价 4. 需要分析当前市场情况来判断合适的行权价 首先我需要: 1. 查询TSLA当前的股价和走势,了解基本面 2. 查看对应到期日的期权链数据 3. 分析波动率和期权定价来判断最佳行权价 下周末应该是11月22日(下周五)到期 让我先查询TSLA的报价数据 hmm...需要用quote_query来查询 - 先查当前股价 - 再查期权链数据,日期用2024-11-22 query stock quote: US.TSLA quote query stock quote: US.TSLA optionchain 2024-11-22 2024-11-22 Hmm, let me analyze the situation for selling Tesla puts expiring next Friday (11/22)... Current TSLA stock price is around $311.18, and it's been quite volatile today with a range of $310.37-$329.98. The stock has shown significant weakness today, d","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371287289507912","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1954,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"20733756400840","authorId":"20733756400840","name":"我是股神的小腿毛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d2a54ec91bee908d0ce0a36809b8199","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"20733756400840","authorIdStr":"20733756400840"},"content":"你选择什么时间呢？","text":"你选择什么时间呢？","html":"你选择什么时间呢？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":313325746368680,"gmtCreate":1717511216456,"gmtModify":1720508989280,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20240719 685.0 PUT BUY 1 | NVDA 20240719 680.0 PUT SELL 1\">$英伟达 VERTICAL 240719 PUT 680.0/PUT 685.0$&nbsp;</a>,下周要拆股，先平了免的后面不好平仓","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20240719 685.0 PUT BUY 1 | NVDA 20240719 680.0 PUT SELL 1\">$英伟达 VERTICAL 240719 PUT 680.0/PUT 685.0$&nbsp;</a>,下周要拆股，先平了免的后面不好平仓","text":"我平仓了$英伟达 VERTICAL 240719 PUT 680.0/PUT 685.0$ ,下周要拆股，先平了免的后面不好平仓","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/313325746368680","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":301600808894616,"gmtCreate":1714639093675,"gmtModify":1742045139280,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03033\">$南方恒生科技(03033)$&nbsp;</a>,一直在定投，总算是到水上了","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03033\">$南方恒生科技(03033)$&nbsp;</a>,一直在定投，总算是到水上了","text":"我开仓了$南方恒生科技(03033)$ ,一直在定投，总算是到水上了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301600808894616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":425710510206992,"gmtCreate":1744942996876,"gmtModify":1746569340371,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOG 20250502 130.0 PUT\">$GOOG 20250502 130.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,claude 分析 # 谷歌(GOOG)下下周五卖出现金担保看跌期权策略分析 ## 1. 标的当前行情和基本面分析 **GOOG当前行情:** * 当前价格: $153.665 * 今日交易区间: $150.9 - $157.07 * 成交量: 10,643,613 * 52周区间: $142.66 - $208.46 (当前价格接近52周低点) * PE TTM: 19.11 * 下一次财报: 2025年4月23日（在期权到期日前） **市场环境:** * Fear and Greed指数: 18.5 (极度恐惧) * 当前趋势: 下跌通道，近期持续走弱 **基本面总结:** * 谷歌股价自高点下跌约26%，目前接近52周低点 * 市盈率处于合理区间，但市场情绪极度恐慌 * 近期走势疲软，可能存在超卖情况 ## 2. 历史价格和财报数据分析 从历史数据看出： * 3-4月份整体呈下跌趋势 * 历史PE分布大约在19-33之间，当前处于PE低位 * 过去财报表现稳健，EPS普遍超预期 * 重要支撑位：约$142-145区间（52周低点附近） ## 3. IV分析和期权筛选 **期权波动率分析:** * 当前波动率处于较高水平：54%-80%（随行权价下降而上升） * 下下周五期权（5月2日到期）的IV较高，有利于卖出期权策略 **候选期权合约评估:** |期权代码|行权价|中间价|年化收益率|行权概率|IV|Delta| |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|| |P130000|$130.00|$0.845|15.8%|9.81%|64.18%|-0.087","listText":"我开仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOG 20250502 130.0 PUT\">$GOOG 20250502 130.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>,claude 分析 # 谷歌(GOOG)下下周五卖出现金担保看跌期权策略分析 ## 1. 标的当前行情和基本面分析 **GOOG当前行情:** * 当前价格: $153.665 * 今日交易区间: $150.9 - $157.07 * 成交量: 10,643,613 * 52周区间: $142.66 - $208.46 (当前价格接近52周低点) * PE TTM: 19.11 * 下一次财报: 2025年4月23日（在期权到期日前） **市场环境:** * Fear and Greed指数: 18.5 (极度恐惧) * 当前趋势: 下跌通道，近期持续走弱 **基本面总结:** * 谷歌股价自高点下跌约26%，目前接近52周低点 * 市盈率处于合理区间，但市场情绪极度恐慌 * 近期走势疲软，可能存在超卖情况 ## 2. 历史价格和财报数据分析 从历史数据看出： * 3-4月份整体呈下跌趋势 * 历史PE分布大约在19-33之间，当前处于PE低位 * 过去财报表现稳健，EPS普遍超预期 * 重要支撑位：约$142-145区间（52周低点附近） ## 3. IV分析和期权筛选 **期权波动率分析:** * 当前波动率处于较高水平：54%-80%（随行权价下降而上升） * 下下周五期权（5月2日到期）的IV较高，有利于卖出期权策略 **候选期权合约评估:** |期权代码|行权价|中间价|年化收益率|行权概率|IV|Delta| |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|| |P130000|$130.00|$0.845|15.8%|9.81%|64.18%|-0.087","text":"我开仓了1手$GOOG 20250502 130.0 PUT$ ,claude 分析 # 谷歌(GOOG)下下周五卖出现金担保看跌期权策略分析 ## 1. 标的当前行情和基本面分析 **GOOG当前行情:** * 当前价格: $153.665 * 今日交易区间: $150.9 - $157.07 * 成交量: 10,643,613 * 52周区间: $142.66 - $208.46 (当前价格接近52周低点) * PE TTM: 19.11 * 下一次财报: 2025年4月23日（在期权到期日前） **市场环境:** * Fear and Greed指数: 18.5 (极度恐惧) * 当前趋势: 下跌通道，近期持续走弱 **基本面总结:** * 谷歌股价自高点下跌约26%，目前接近52周低点 * 市盈率处于合理区间，但市场情绪极度恐慌 * 近期走势疲软，可能存在超卖情况 ## 2. 历史价格和财报数据分析 从历史数据看出： * 3-4月份整体呈下跌趋势 * 历史PE分布大约在19-33之间，当前处于PE低位 * 过去财报表现稳健，EPS普遍超预期 * 重要支撑位：约$142-145区间（52周低点附近） ## 3. IV分析和期权筛选 **期权波动率分析:** * 当前波动率处于较高水平：54%-80%（随行权价下降而上升） * 下下周五期权（5月2日到期）的IV较高，有利于卖出期权策略 **候选期权合约评估:** |期权代码|行权价|中间价|年化收益率|行权概率|IV|Delta| |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|| |P130000|$130.00|$0.845|15.8%|9.81%|64.18%|-0.087","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/425710510206992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":400960405176352,"gmtCreate":1738898612452,"gmtModify":1738999018738,"author":{"id":"3547194852401718","authorId":"3547194852401718","name":"SellPutAlpha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f844fb67e6f94bb9f591c6cb48d6339","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547194852401718","authorIdStr":"3547194852401718"},"themes":[],"title":"用Deepseek R写了一篇小说《万物流转诀》","htmlText":"看着玩玩 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBIT\">$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$</a> 《万物流转诀》 ** 灵息交割，败局初显 ** 苏漫站在摇光派议事大殿外，看着面前悬浮的金色账本，数字正以惊人的速度跳动。她前世做了十年对冲基金经理，却从未见过如此诡异的跌势——整个摇光派的灵息储备在短短一个时辰内暴跌了八成。 \"三日之内，若补不齐五万灵息，摇光派将被除名万仙财富榜。\"大殿内传来天市垣执事冰冷的声音。 苏漫眉心一跳，那道与生俱来的金色财纹突然发烫。在她的视野中，整个天地间的灵气流动化作一张巨大的K线图。天市垣布下的禁空结界如同一道无形的空头合约，正压得三千小派喘不过气。 \"有趣。\"她轻声自语。前世做空雷曼时也是这般局势。 \"师姐，掌门让您即刻离开摇光派。\"一名小师妹红着眼递来逐客令，\"您体内灵力尽失，已经...已经不适合留在门派了。\" 苏漫接过玉简，嘴角却勾起一抹若有若无的笑意。她能看见，就在掌门居所的正上方，有一道细若游丝的金色灵脉正在震颤。那是天市垣结界的一处\"技术性漏洞\"。 \"替我谢过掌门。\"她平静地说，\"不过在走之前，我想接一单生意。\" 小师妹一愣：\"可是天市垣垄断了所有空中运输路线，我们早就...\" \"那是因为你们只盯着天上。\"苏漫转身，迎着朝阳，眼中闪过一丝精芒，\"告诉掌门，我要做九幽玄冰的跨界运送。地面运输，七日必达。\" 大殿内一片哗然。九幽玄冰，三界八品天材，温度过零便会爆炸，运送难度堪比渡劫。这些年来，也只有天市垣敢接这种单子。 \"你疯了！\"小师妹急得直跺脚，\"没有灵力护体，你连靠近九幽玄冰都做不到！\" 苏漫却已经走向山门。途经一处偏僻的柴房，她注意到里面","listText":"看着玩玩 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBIT\">$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$</a> 《万物流转诀》 ** 灵息交割，败局初显 ** 苏漫站在摇光派议事大殿外，看着面前悬浮的金色账本，数字正以惊人的速度跳动。她前世做了十年对冲基金经理，却从未见过如此诡异的跌势——整个摇光派的灵息储备在短短一个时辰内暴跌了八成。 \"三日之内，若补不齐五万灵息，摇光派将被除名万仙财富榜。\"大殿内传来天市垣执事冰冷的声音。 苏漫眉心一跳，那道与生俱来的金色财纹突然发烫。在她的视野中，整个天地间的灵气流动化作一张巨大的K线图。天市垣布下的禁空结界如同一道无形的空头合约，正压得三千小派喘不过气。 \"有趣。\"她轻声自语。前世做空雷曼时也是这般局势。 \"师姐，掌门让您即刻离开摇光派。\"一名小师妹红着眼递来逐客令，\"您体内灵力尽失，已经...已经不适合留在门派了。\" 苏漫接过玉简，嘴角却勾起一抹若有若无的笑意。她能看见，就在掌门居所的正上方，有一道细若游丝的金色灵脉正在震颤。那是天市垣结界的一处\"技术性漏洞\"。 \"替我谢过掌门。\"她平静地说，\"不过在走之前，我想接一单生意。\" 小师妹一愣：\"可是天市垣垄断了所有空中运输路线，我们早就...\" \"那是因为你们只盯着天上。\"苏漫转身，迎着朝阳，眼中闪过一丝精芒，\"告诉掌门，我要做九幽玄冰的跨界运送。地面运输，七日必达。\" 大殿内一片哗然。九幽玄冰，三界八品天材，温度过零便会爆炸，运送难度堪比渡劫。这些年来，也只有天市垣敢接这种单子。 \"你疯了！\"小师妹急得直跺脚，\"没有灵力护体，你连靠近九幽玄冰都做不到！\" 苏漫却已经走向山门。途经一处偏僻的柴房，她注意到里面","text":"看着玩玩 $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ 《万物流转诀》 ** 灵息交割，败局初显 ** 苏漫站在摇光派议事大殿外，看着面前悬浮的金色账本，数字正以惊人的速度跳动。她前世做了十年对冲基金经理，却从未见过如此诡异的跌势——整个摇光派的灵息储备在短短一个时辰内暴跌了八成。 \"三日之内，若补不齐五万灵息，摇光派将被除名万仙财富榜。\"大殿内传来天市垣执事冰冷的声音。 苏漫眉心一跳，那道与生俱来的金色财纹突然发烫。在她的视野中，整个天地间的灵气流动化作一张巨大的K线图。天市垣布下的禁空结界如同一道无形的空头合约，正压得三千小派喘不过气。 \"有趣。\"她轻声自语。前世做空雷曼时也是这般局势。 \"师姐，掌门让您即刻离开摇光派。\"一名小师妹红着眼递来逐客令，\"您体内灵力尽失，已经...已经不适合留在门派了。\" 苏漫接过玉简，嘴角却勾起一抹若有若无的笑意。她能看见，就在掌门居所的正上方，有一道细若游丝的金色灵脉正在震颤。那是天市垣结界的一处\"技术性漏洞\"。 \"替我谢过掌门。\"她平静地说，\"不过在走之前，我想接一单生意。\" 小师妹一愣：\"可是天市垣垄断了所有空中运输路线，我们早就...\" \"那是因为你们只盯着天上。\"苏漫转身，迎着朝阳，眼中闪过一丝精芒，\"告诉掌门，我要做九幽玄冰的跨界运送。地面运输，七日必达。\" 大殿内一片哗然。九幽玄冰，三界八品天材，温度过零便会爆炸，运送难度堪比渡劫。这些年来，也只有天市垣敢接这种单子。 \"你疯了！\"小师妹急得直跺脚，\"没有灵力护体，你连靠近九幽玄冰都做不到！\" 苏漫却已经走向山门。途经一处偏僻的柴房，她注意到里面","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/400960405176352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2960,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4180570450198092","authorId":"4180570450198092","name":"伊祁放勋","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcde5c8d7b81678ff86243f080e14c7a","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4180570450198092","authorIdStr":"4180570450198092"},"content":"写的还蛮好的，中等写手的水平。","text":"写的还蛮好的，中等写手的水平。","html":"写的还蛮好的，中等写手的水平。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}