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王炸女神
02-18 00:08
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
甲骨文的最悲观假设:若AI数据中心合同全部终止
王炸女神
02-16
特斯拉展示了一种新型价值投资框架:基于愿景而非短期业绩,基于生态系统而非单一产品,基于数据资产而非物理资产
特斯拉的2026,一场关乎存亡的空前豪赌
王炸女神
02-16
无良媒体, 马斯克从事的几乎都是人类社会前所未有的全新产业,处于不断的摸索和探索中, 不断探索与创新不断纠偏又不断开拓,有什么奇怪的么? 从新能源汽车到储能,从可回收火箭到starlink,到太空Ai数据中心, 从全自动驾驶到Robotaxi,甚至于boring隧道, 从收购Twitter,创立 XAI 到擎天柱机器人到 脑机接口, 这些看似八杆子打不着的创业为什么最后可以对齐? 甚至可以惊人的创造性服务于更大的目标,?! 其实原因很简单: 正因他的内心最深处, 在他的潜意识里, 他从未背弃他最初的梦想, 让人类成为跨越行星生物以延续人类文明的火种!轨迹有哪一个不是源于少年时期他的梦想而来; 他的使命与愿景其实从未改变过,在此过程中, 不断调整对焦才有最终目标的实现! 为人类社会进步,超越性的 发展, 才有可能有丰盛(abundance) 没有丰盛如何走出地球?! , 不靠金融难道靠乌托邦畅想么?! 其实全部都短期调整以对齐目标, 用“变脸”形容,居心叵测啊 还是燕雀对鸿鹄之志的无知呢? ; 这么多全新产业的整合非常人所能! 你做个四轮定位还得担心摄像头不居中吧! 所以, 马斯克其实还是那个少年, 可以改变人类命运的那个少年!
使命反复“变脸”,马斯克的商业帝国到底在追逐什么
王炸女神
02-06
对特斯拉而言,这次听证会是一次成功的“公关+游说”。虽然参议员对 Autopilot 的名称仍有微词,但**“提升豁免上限”和“对抗中国标准”**已成为两党共识。只要法律能将年部署上限从 2,500 提升到 90,000,特斯拉的 Robotaxi 估值逻辑就将从“实验室产品”正式转向“商业收割期”。
自动驾驶审查打击特斯拉及Waymo
王炸女神
02-06
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
对特斯拉而言,这次听证会是一次成功的“公关+游说”。虽然参议员对 Autopilot 的名称仍有微词,但**“提升豁免上限”和“对抗中国标准”**已成为两党共识。只要法律能将年部署上限从 2,500 提升到 90,000,特斯拉的 Robotaxi 估值逻辑就将从“实验室产品”正式转向“商业收割期”。
王炸女神
02-04
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
今日FSD听证会
王炸女神
02-04
$西部数据(WDC)$
回购意味着可能会阶段性策略性拉低股价?
王炸女神
02-04
追觅不该先把可回收火箭造出来了再吹么?就是个扫地的咱不能这么狂妄好不好
追觅创始人俞浩:20年后特斯拉会被打到接连亏损 退出市场
王炸女神
02-03
英伟达毁约open A I、open A I最终很有可能面临破产
王炸女神
01-31
这些分析师目前脑子不止慢半拍而已
特斯拉:SpaceX合并传闻不足以让我保持看涨态度
王炸女神
01-30
华尔街貌似真的是才看懂和相信这个布局, 这反射弧距离木头姐差远了
即将见证“超级商业帝国”诞生? 马斯克欲将“AI、机器人、商业航天与太空算力”装进同一估值表
王炸女神
01-30
why Not cyberT
马斯克刚脱口而出,特斯拉便紧急提交“Cybercar”与“Cybervehicle”商标申请
王炸女神
01-30
市场的反应过头了, 本来也没指望月月降息啊 , 暂停影响流动性不影响预期
美联储“鸽派暂停”意味着什么?大摩:未来降息路径将更多由通胀驱动
王炸女神
01-29
如果和台积电合资怎么样?
马斯克:特斯拉需建造“巨型芯片工厂”
王炸女神
01-21
能担当此使命的非特斯拉莫属
特斯拉正式更新使命:建设一个富足非凡的世界
王炸女神
01-15
$Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.(RXRX)$
AI应用:Recursion OS平台使用AI处理海量细胞图像和生物数据,实现端到端药物发现,已产生多个临床候选物。 • 进展: • 领头项目REC-4881(MEK1/2抑制剂,用于家族性腺瘤性息肉病/FAP):Phase 1b/2数据显示中位息肉减少43%,已进入后期优化;计划2026年上半年与FDA讨论注册路径,可能推进到pivotal/Phase 3。 • REC-1245(RBM39 degrader,用于实体瘤和淋巴瘤):Phase 1剂量递增数据预计2026年上半年更新。 • 其他如REC-617、REC-102等在Phase 1或IND-enabling阶段。 • 确定性:AI验证的临床概念验证(POC)已出现,FAP项目数据最强,潜在注册路径清晰;CEO过渡后聚焦执行。 • 最先商业化潜力:REC-4881最接近,可能2027-2028年提交NDA(如果pivotal成功)。
王炸女神
2025-12-12
小鹏也蛮开爱,有偷家特斯拉的野心,还亮剑明着干🤣🤣🤣
何小鹏“亮剑”马斯克,若失败,负责人将在金门大桥“裸跑”
王炸女神
2025-12-12
这叫英雄惜英雄, 有情怀,有信仰, 有魄力, 有干劲!!!
何小鹏“亮剑”马斯克,若失败,负责人将在金门大桥“裸跑”
王炸女神
2025-12-11
做空或嫉妒且蒙蔽了良知, 还是萝莉岛去多了思考也萝莉了! AI用于颠覆性改善人类的交通出行和驾驶安全, 怎么就不是人类的重要需求了?怎么就不是重大的价值了?! 反倒是软件公司全凭版权赚钱的, 你开放版权 开源试试, A I分分钟写出更好的代码? 有产能瓶颈吗?还是需要技术突破! 这不是他做空赚钱这点事儿, 而是混淆视听, 试图影响人类向前的脚步! 如果盖茨真这么偏颇, 那只能说他脑袋秀逗了;否则就是故意的
比尔·盖茨警示AI泡沫:部分高估值公司或难逃“超级竞争”淘汰赛
王炸女神
2025-12-11
不考虑未来大范围商业化可行性, 就如同在实验室光对比参数, 没有实际意义; 即没有有竞争力的车身产能, 也没有规模优势,成数效应与指数效应 , 不可同日而语
特斯拉落后五年还嘴硬?马斯克称Waymo没胜算被“打脸”
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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22:40","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"甲骨文的最悲观假设:若AI数据中心合同全部终止","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2610980947","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"伯恩斯坦极端压力测试显示,即便OpenAI等AI客户完全撤单,甲骨文仅凭核心数据库与企业云业务仍可支撑每股137美元估值,较当前股价下行空间仅15%,安全边际清晰。研报同时拆解市场担忧:2480亿美元租赁合同年度风险敞口仅130亿至165亿美元,硬件采购灵活且资产通用性强。随着近期融资落地,AI寒冬若不现,风险回报比已极具吸引力。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>针对市场对客户集中度与资本开支的持续担忧,伯恩斯坦在最新研报中对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">甲骨文</a>进行极端情景压力测试:若OpenAI等AI客户完全撤单,公司价值几何?</p><p>据追风交易台,研报的模型构建了一个“近乎最坏”的下行假设:自2025财年第四季度以来签约的所有AI合同,包括OpenAI的巨额订单均无法转化为收入,客户既不履约也不续约。与此同时,核心数据库、SaaS及非AI的OCI业务保持正常增长。</p><p>在此极端设定下,伯恩斯坦估算甲骨文估值底线为每股137美元,较当前约160美元的水平仅存在15%的下行空间,为投资者提供了清晰的安全边际。而在乐观情景下,若执行顺利,目标价上看313美元。</p><p>结论呈现极强不对称性。<strong>即便剔除全部AI相关收入,仅凭核心企业级业务,甲骨文仍可支撑稳健估值。</strong>伯恩斯坦认为,<strong>市场对AI客户依赖度与资本支出压力的担忧已被过度定价,当前风险收益比具备吸引力</strong>。</p><h2 id=\"id_1628504604\">2480亿美元租赁负债并非“不可承受之重”</h2><p>伯恩斯坦进一步拆解了市场对甲骨文巨额数据中心租赁合同的担忧。投资者最恐惧的情景是,若客户违约,甲骨文将被迫承担高达2480亿美元的闲置成本。但研报指出,这一风险被显著高估。</p><p>首先,这些租赁合同期限长达15至19年,产能分批上线直至2030财年,<strong>年度最大风险敞口实际仅为130亿至165亿美元,且要到2030年才触及峰值</strong>。其次,<strong>只要全球未陷入“AI寒冬”,数据中心需求仍将维持高位,甲骨文完全有能力将闲置空间自用或转租。</strong></p><p>更重要的是,即便撇开生成式AI,全球IaaS/PaaS市场的潜在规模已达1.2万亿至1.4万亿美元,传统企业云迁移所消耗的数据中心容量足以吸纳这些租赁空间。换言之,<strong>甲骨文的长期合同结构具备充分缓冲垫,市场对其资本承诺的恐慌缺乏实质性支撑。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_1959266225\">硬件风险可控 不会被GPU库存“套牢”</h2><p>针对市场担忧的硬件资本支出风险,伯恩斯坦指出其实际敞口十分有限。服务器与GPU的采购周期通常在产能上线前3至6个月,若客户取消合同,甲骨文可在交付前灵活取消或推迟订单,且无需承担重大罚金。</p><p><strong>即便硬件已交付,大部分计算资产如存储、网络及内存设备仍具备高度通用性</strong>,可无缝转用于传统SaaS及OCI业务。研报进一步估算,每1美元AI年收入对应约2至2.5美元的计算资产,资产寿命为6年,这意味着即使发生客户违约,最多仅有1至2年的计算支出面临风险。整体而言,<strong>硬件资本支出的沉淀风险被明显高估。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_3623244935\">核心业务的强劲基本面</h2><p>伯恩斯坦在最新模型中进一步剥离AI业务,清晰勾勒出甲骨文核心业务的独立价值。<strong>即便完全剔除AI数据中心相关收入,仅凭传统数据库、SaaS及OCI业务,公司到2030财年的总收入仍可达1010亿美元。</strong></p><p>更关键的是,在承担为AI基础设施所筹债务(包括近期250亿美元融资)的利息成本后,其每股收益仍有能力实现9.0美元。参照<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SAP\">SAP</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a>等软件同业27.3倍的市盈率水平,这一盈利预期对应的估值即为每股137美元。换言之,<strong>即便AI业务完全归零,甲骨文仅靠核心业务也能支撑当前股价约85%的安全边际,足见其基础业务的现金生成能力之稳固。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8b17158db054fd883feeba7abdb89b02\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"574\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d75990450c2f8cf8f37d0aa287f191d3\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"578\"/></p><p>伯恩斯坦认为,<strong>当前甲骨文股价已过度计价悲观预期,风险回报比正进入极具吸引力的区间。</strong>随着近期约250亿美元债务及等量股权融资落地,数据中心建设的资金瓶颈已实质性解除。研报强调,只要全球不陷入“AI寒冬”的极端情景,当前估值水平为投资者提供了充分的安全边际与不对称的收益潜力。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n甲骨文的最悲观假设:若AI数据中心合同全部终止\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-12 22:40 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3765603><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>针对市场对客户集中度与资本开支的持续担忧,伯恩斯坦在最新研报中对甲骨文进行极端情景压力测试:若OpenAI等AI客户完全撤单,公司价值几何?据追风交易台,研报的模型构建了一个“近乎最坏”的下行假设:自2025财年第四季度以来签约的所有AI合同,包括OpenAI的巨额订单均无法转化为收入,客户既不履约也不续约。与此同时,核心数据库、SaaS及非AI的OCI业务保持正常增长。在此极端设定下,伯恩斯坦...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3765603\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c35c8a27605936ee42c5dc8842ec36a","relate_stocks":{"IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU1803068979.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Technology A (acc) SGD-H1","LU0353189680.USD":"富国美国全盘成长基金Cl A Acc","LU1069347547.HKD":"AB SICAV I - GLOBAL VALUE PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0476273544.USD":"CT (LUX) I GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"BU\" (USD) ACC","LU2746668974.SGD":"MANULIFE DYNAMIC LEADERS \"AA\" 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INC"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3765603","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2610980947","content_text":"针对市场对客户集中度与资本开支的持续担忧,伯恩斯坦在最新研报中对甲骨文进行极端情景压力测试:若OpenAI等AI客户完全撤单,公司价值几何?据追风交易台,研报的模型构建了一个“近乎最坏”的下行假设:自2025财年第四季度以来签约的所有AI合同,包括OpenAI的巨额订单均无法转化为收入,客户既不履约也不续约。与此同时,核心数据库、SaaS及非AI的OCI业务保持正常增长。在此极端设定下,伯恩斯坦估算甲骨文估值底线为每股137美元,较当前约160美元的水平仅存在15%的下行空间,为投资者提供了清晰的安全边际。而在乐观情景下,若执行顺利,目标价上看313美元。结论呈现极强不对称性。即便剔除全部AI相关收入,仅凭核心企业级业务,甲骨文仍可支撑稳健估值。伯恩斯坦认为,市场对AI客户依赖度与资本支出压力的担忧已被过度定价,当前风险收益比具备吸引力。2480亿美元租赁负债并非“不可承受之重”伯恩斯坦进一步拆解了市场对甲骨文巨额数据中心租赁合同的担忧。投资者最恐惧的情景是,若客户违约,甲骨文将被迫承担高达2480亿美元的闲置成本。但研报指出,这一风险被显著高估。首先,这些租赁合同期限长达15至19年,产能分批上线直至2030财年,年度最大风险敞口实际仅为130亿至165亿美元,且要到2030年才触及峰值。其次,只要全球未陷入“AI寒冬”,数据中心需求仍将维持高位,甲骨文完全有能力将闲置空间自用或转租。更重要的是,即便撇开生成式AI,全球IaaS/PaaS市场的潜在规模已达1.2万亿至1.4万亿美元,传统企业云迁移所消耗的数据中心容量足以吸纳这些租赁空间。换言之,甲骨文的长期合同结构具备充分缓冲垫,市场对其资本承诺的恐慌缺乏实质性支撑。硬件风险可控 不会被GPU库存“套牢”针对市场担忧的硬件资本支出风险,伯恩斯坦指出其实际敞口十分有限。服务器与GPU的采购周期通常在产能上线前3至6个月,若客户取消合同,甲骨文可在交付前灵活取消或推迟订单,且无需承担重大罚金。即便硬件已交付,大部分计算资产如存储、网络及内存设备仍具备高度通用性,可无缝转用于传统SaaS及OCI业务。研报进一步估算,每1美元AI年收入对应约2至2.5美元的计算资产,资产寿命为6年,这意味着即使发生客户违约,最多仅有1至2年的计算支出面临风险。整体而言,硬件资本支出的沉淀风险被明显高估。核心业务的强劲基本面伯恩斯坦在最新模型中进一步剥离AI业务,清晰勾勒出甲骨文核心业务的独立价值。即便完全剔除AI数据中心相关收入,仅凭传统数据库、SaaS及OCI业务,公司到2030财年的总收入仍可达1010亿美元。更关键的是,在承担为AI基础设施所筹债务(包括近期250亿美元融资)的利息成本后,其每股收益仍有能力实现9.0美元。参照微软、SAP、Salesforce等软件同业27.3倍的市盈率水平,这一盈利预期对应的估值即为每股137美元。换言之,即便AI业务完全归零,甲骨文仅靠核心业务也能支撑当前股价约85%的安全边际,足见其基础业务的现金生成能力之稳固。伯恩斯坦认为,当前甲骨文股价已过度计价悲观预期,风险回报比正进入极具吸引力的区间。随着近期约250亿美元债务及等量股权融资落地,数据中心建设的资金瓶颈已实质性解除。研报强调,只要全球不陷入“AI寒冬”的极端情景,当前估值水平为投资者提供了充分的安全边际与不对称的收益潜力。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ORCU":0.6,"ORCL":1.97,"ORCX":0.6,"ORCS":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":37,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":533267918108168,"gmtCreate":1771213314636,"gmtModify":1771213317237,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"特斯拉展示了一种新型价值投资框架:基于愿景而非短期业绩,基于生态系统而非单一产品,基于数据资产而非物理资产","listText":"特斯拉展示了一种新型价值投资框架:基于愿景而非短期业绩,基于生态系统而非单一产品,基于数据资产而非物理资产","text":"特斯拉展示了一种新型价值投资框架:基于愿景而非短期业绩,基于生态系统而非单一产品,基于数据资产而非物理资产","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/533267918108168","repostId":"2611117635","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2611117635","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1771072860,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2611117635?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-14 20:41","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉的2026,一场关乎存亡的空前豪赌","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2611117635","media":"行业研究报告","summary":"导语一边是跌入冰点的汽车销量,一边是狂飙突进的AI野心,马斯克在特斯拉史上最差财报发布后,却宣布了一场规模空前的资本豪赌。两款曾经定义特斯拉高端形象的旗舰车型,将在2026年第二季度末停产,让位给名为Optimus的人形机器人生产线。2025年第四季度,当汽车业务持续低迷时,特斯拉储能装机量创下历史新高,14.2GWh的部署量同比增长13.6%;能源业务全年营收128亿美元,同比增长26.6%,连续第五季度创纪录。","content":"<html><body><article><p><strong>导语</strong></p><p>一边是跌入冰点的汽车销量,一边是狂飙突进的AI野心,马斯克在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>史上最差财报发布后,却宣布了一场规模空前的资本豪赌。</p><p><strong>今日免费下载:</strong>2025节能与新能源汽车技术路线图</p><p>来源:格隆</p><p>作者:路易新经济</p><p>“现在是时候让Model S和Model X项目<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09998\">光荣</a>退役了。”</p><p>2026年1月28日美东时间下午,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克在2025年第四季度财报电话会议上平静地宣布了这一决定。</p><p>就在几分钟前,特斯拉方才公布了公司史上首次年度营收下滑——2025年总营收948.27亿美元,同比下降3%,<span>净利润</span>同比暴跌46%。两款曾经定义特斯拉高端形象的旗舰车型,将在2026年第二季度末停产,让位给名为Optimus的人形机器人生产线。</p><p>尽管2025年特斯拉全球交付量163.6万辆,同比下降8.6%,首次被<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYDDY\">比亚迪</a>的226万辆超越,但市场反应却有些微妙:先是在财报公布后的1月29日大跌3.45%,然后又在科技股集体暴跌的1月30日,却逆势上涨了3.32%。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20260214212218143d206cqtkk7k3yw2\"/><p>显然,市场对于特斯拉这一场豪赌的态度,似乎也充满了矛盾和分化。</p><p><strong>一边是跌入冰点的汽车销量,一边是狂飙突进的</strong>AI野心,市场究竟该相信哪一边?</p><p><strong>01</strong></p><p>财报中的“真相”</p><p>从表面看,特斯拉的2025年成绩单充满危机。</p><p>汽车业务收入695.26亿美元,同比下降10%;在三大主要市场,特斯拉都面临压力:美国市场销量同比下降超10%,欧洲市场前11个月注册量下降39%,中国市场销量62.6万辆,同比下降4.8%。</p><p>汽车销售这个市场认知中的“主营业务”,眼下成为拉低公司总营收的主要板块。</p><p><strong>但冰冷的整体数据背后,</strong><strong>好像</strong><strong>隐藏着业务结构的质变。</strong></p><p>2025年第四季度,当汽车业务持续低迷时,特斯拉储能装机量创下历史新高,14.2GWh的部署量同比增长13.6%;能源业务全年营收128亿美元,同比增长26.6%,连续第五季度创纪录。</p><p>更值得关注的是,FSD(全自动驾驶)订阅业务呈现爆发式增长。2025年末,FSD有效订阅用户达110万,同比增长40%,占累计交付量的约12%;在韩国上线仅一个月,当地用户的智能辅助驾驶行驶里程便突破100万公里。</p><p>显然,特斯拉正在两条截然不同的轨道上狂奔。<strong>一条是</strong><strong>竞争对手环伺、</strong><strong>日益拥挤的电动车赛道,另一条是刚刚起步的物理</strong>AI世界。</p><p>与此同时,也正是在这份“史上最差”财报的电话会议上,马斯克还宣布了将进行一场规模空前的资本豪赌的消息——<strong>2026年资本支出将超过200亿美元。</strong></p><p>200亿美元,对于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>等巨头来说或许并不算什么,但对于特斯拉来说已是创纪录的水平,相当于特斯拉2025年全年净利润的5倍多。</p><p>这些资金将集中投向AI芯片、超算集群、机器人生产线和储能设施。</p><p>或者市场更关注的是,这可能是一个马斯克要在物理AI世界加速狂奔的信号(资本投入向其他科技巨头看齐)。</p><p>马斯克甚至将公司使命更新为“创造惊人的富足”,并断言道:</p><p>“我看到了特斯拉成为全球最有价值公司的路径。”</p><p><strong>02</strong></p><p>200亿美元资本开支的背后</p><p>马斯克“空前”的资本开支,决策背后究竟是什么?</p><p>问题的答案,就隐藏在特斯拉各个业务线的连接处。</p><p>在奥斯汀和旧金山湾区,特斯拉Robotaxi车队已超过500辆,并在2026年1月于奥斯汀正式开启无安全员的完全无人驾驶试运行。特斯拉自研的AI5与AI6推理芯片已取得进展,计划分别于2027年和2028年投产,其中AI5目标性能较AI4提升约50倍。</p><p>更值得关注的是,特斯拉正在得克萨斯州超级工厂打造Cortex 2算力集群,2026年上半年,得州超级工厂的本地算力规模将提升超一倍。</p><p>物理学中,“相变”指物质从一种形态到另一种形态的突变。而特斯拉似乎就正在经历一场商业领域的“相变”。</p><p>2025年,特斯拉首次明确将自己定位为“物理世界AI公司”。<strong>马斯克的愿景是创建一个闭环系统:特斯拉车辆在实际道路行驶中产生<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603138\">海量数据</a>,数据训练</strong>AI算法,优化后的算法通过OTA更新推送至车辆,提升自动驾驶能力,进而吸引更多用户使用FSD,产生更多数据。</p><p>如今,这个商业“相变”的飞轮,正在马斯克的掌舵之下加速旋转。</p><p>截至2025年底,FSD累计行驶里程已突破70亿英里,仅第四季度就贡献了10亿英里的增量;马斯克曾界定的“完全无人化”门槛约为100亿英里,特斯拉已完成70%的进程。</p><p><strong>人形机器人</strong>Optimus则是这个闭环的延伸。特斯拉计划在2026年年底前启动量产,最终规划年产能为100万台。</p><p>马斯克甚至宣称,Optimus未来能实现5倍于人类的工作效率,成为“非凡的外科医生”。</p><p><strong>03</strong></p><p>悲观派与乐观派的对决</p><p>特斯拉股价在暴跌后又逆市上涨的背后,实则完美诠释了投资者对公司的分歧。</p><p><strong>而</strong><strong>这种分化背后是两种不同的估值逻辑</strong>。</p><p>传统汽车制造商估值的核心指标是销量、产能利用率和单车利润。</p><p>按此标准,特斯拉的估值难言合理。2025年,特斯拉市盈率高达418倍,远高于传统车企。</p><p>但AI乐观主义者认为,特斯拉应被视为一家AI公司,其商业逻辑的核心从“卖车”变成了追求“最低的每英里成本”和极高的“<span>资产</span>利用率”,因此其价值应基于数据优势、算法迭代速度和网络效应。</p><p>William Blair能源研究团队主管杰德·多西海默估计,自动驾驶技术现在占特斯拉总价值的70%以上。</p><p>这种分歧也体现在分析师对特斯拉的态度上。</p><p>近期50位分析师中有30位建议“持有”或“卖出”,显示出专业投资者对特斯拉转型前景的谨慎态度。</p><p>这种分歧的本源其实并非难以理解:</p><p><strong>伟大公司往往死于范式转移,而生还者必须主动引领范式转移。</strong></p><p>传统汽车产业正面临百年未有的变局。2025年,欧洲电动汽车约占所有新车销量的16%,美国电动汽车市场整体放缓。当行业从增量市场进入存量市场,价格战和利润下滑成为必然。</p><p>马斯克的应对之策是典型的第二曲线战略:在核心业务尚未衰退时,主动培育新兴业务。但特斯拉的不同之处在于,其新旧业务之间存在强大的协同效应。</p><p>汽车业务为AI发展提供真实道路数据、品牌认知和现金流;储能业务为AI基础设施提供稳定能源支持;AI技术反过来提升汽车产品的竞争力和溢价能力。<strong>这种生态化反效应是特斯拉最深的护城河。</strong></p><p><strong>然而,历史表明,范式转移的成功率极低</strong>。比如,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KODK\">柯达</a>发明了数码相机却未能成功转型,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOK\">诺基亚</a>曾引领智能手机潮流但最终掉队。</p><p>特斯拉能否打破这一魔咒?</p><p>关键取决于其AI技术商业化的速度与效率。</p><p><strong>04</strong></p><p>结语:投资价值的重新定义</p><p>特斯拉的2025年,对价值投资者提出了一个深刻问题:什么是真正的“价值”?</p><p>是当前的盈利能力,还是未来的产业地位?</p><p>是稳定的现金流,还是颠覆性的增长潜力?</p><p>传统价值投资强调“安全边际”,即价格与内在价值之间的缓冲空间。</p><p>但在新兴科技行业,内在价值本身难以量化,安全边际更多体现在技术领先性、生态构建能力和团队执行力上。</p><p>特斯拉展示了一种新型价值投资框架:基于愿景而非短期业绩,基于生态系统而非单一产品,基于数据资产而非物理资产。</p><p>这种框架下,特斯拉的业绩下滑不再是致命危机,而是转型阵痛,200亿美元的资本支出也不是盲目冒险,而是战略必需。</p><p>因为,它主动选择了一条虽然更艰难但前景更广阔的道路。</p><p><strong>推荐阅读:</strong></p><p><strong>1、</strong>A股三次大牛市:启动、上涨与终结</p><p><strong>2、</strong>有色之后,又一超级大周期来了</p><p><strong>3、</strong>买黄金,要大变了!</p><p><strong>4、</strong>当小县城开始大搞“演唱会”</p><p><strong>5、</strong>123亿,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02020\">安踏</a>买下对手</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉的2026,一场关乎存亡的空前豪赌</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉的2026,一场关乎存亡的空前豪赌\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-14 20:41 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260214212227a4a48b32&s=b><strong>行业研究报告</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>导语一边是跌入冰点的汽车销量,一边是狂飙突进的AI野心,马斯克在特斯拉史上最差财报发布后,却宣布了一场规模空前的资本豪赌。今日免费下载:2025节能与新能源汽车技术路线图来源:格隆作者:路易新经济“现在是时候让Model S和Model X项目光荣退役了。”2026年1月28日美东时间下午,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克在2025年第四季度财报电话会议上平静地宣布了这一决定。就在几分钟前,特斯拉方才公布...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260214212227a4a48b32&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","BK4543":"AI","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) 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A2"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260214212227a4a48b32&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2611117635","content_text":"导语一边是跌入冰点的汽车销量,一边是狂飙突进的AI野心,马斯克在特斯拉史上最差财报发布后,却宣布了一场规模空前的资本豪赌。今日免费下载:2025节能与新能源汽车技术路线图来源:格隆作者:路易新经济“现在是时候让Model S和Model X项目光荣退役了。”2026年1月28日美东时间下午,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克在2025年第四季度财报电话会议上平静地宣布了这一决定。就在几分钟前,特斯拉方才公布了公司史上首次年度营收下滑——2025年总营收948.27亿美元,同比下降3%,净利润同比暴跌46%。两款曾经定义特斯拉高端形象的旗舰车型,将在2026年第二季度末停产,让位给名为Optimus的人形机器人生产线。尽管2025年特斯拉全球交付量163.6万辆,同比下降8.6%,首次被比亚迪的226万辆超越,但市场反应却有些微妙:先是在财报公布后的1月29日大跌3.45%,然后又在科技股集体暴跌的1月30日,却逆势上涨了3.32%。显然,市场对于特斯拉这一场豪赌的态度,似乎也充满了矛盾和分化。一边是跌入冰点的汽车销量,一边是狂飙突进的AI野心,市场究竟该相信哪一边?01财报中的“真相”从表面看,特斯拉的2025年成绩单充满危机。汽车业务收入695.26亿美元,同比下降10%;在三大主要市场,特斯拉都面临压力:美国市场销量同比下降超10%,欧洲市场前11个月注册量下降39%,中国市场销量62.6万辆,同比下降4.8%。汽车销售这个市场认知中的“主营业务”,眼下成为拉低公司总营收的主要板块。但冰冷的整体数据背后,好像隐藏着业务结构的质变。2025年第四季度,当汽车业务持续低迷时,特斯拉储能装机量创下历史新高,14.2GWh的部署量同比增长13.6%;能源业务全年营收128亿美元,同比增长26.6%,连续第五季度创纪录。更值得关注的是,FSD(全自动驾驶)订阅业务呈现爆发式增长。2025年末,FSD有效订阅用户达110万,同比增长40%,占累计交付量的约12%;在韩国上线仅一个月,当地用户的智能辅助驾驶行驶里程便突破100万公里。显然,特斯拉正在两条截然不同的轨道上狂奔。一条是竞争对手环伺、日益拥挤的电动车赛道,另一条是刚刚起步的物理AI世界。与此同时,也正是在这份“史上最差”财报的电话会议上,马斯克还宣布了将进行一场规模空前的资本豪赌的消息——2026年资本支出将超过200亿美元。200亿美元,对于谷歌、微软、苹果等巨头来说或许并不算什么,但对于特斯拉来说已是创纪录的水平,相当于特斯拉2025年全年净利润的5倍多。这些资金将集中投向AI芯片、超算集群、机器人生产线和储能设施。或者市场更关注的是,这可能是一个马斯克要在物理AI世界加速狂奔的信号(资本投入向其他科技巨头看齐)。马斯克甚至将公司使命更新为“创造惊人的富足”,并断言道:“我看到了特斯拉成为全球最有价值公司的路径。”02200亿美元资本开支的背后马斯克“空前”的资本开支,决策背后究竟是什么?问题的答案,就隐藏在特斯拉各个业务线的连接处。在奥斯汀和旧金山湾区,特斯拉Robotaxi车队已超过500辆,并在2026年1月于奥斯汀正式开启无安全员的完全无人驾驶试运行。特斯拉自研的AI5与AI6推理芯片已取得进展,计划分别于2027年和2028年投产,其中AI5目标性能较AI4提升约50倍。更值得关注的是,特斯拉正在得克萨斯州超级工厂打造Cortex 2算力集群,2026年上半年,得州超级工厂的本地算力规模将提升超一倍。物理学中,“相变”指物质从一种形态到另一种形态的突变。而特斯拉似乎就正在经历一场商业领域的“相变”。2025年,特斯拉首次明确将自己定位为“物理世界AI公司”。马斯克的愿景是创建一个闭环系统:特斯拉车辆在实际道路行驶中产生海量数据,数据训练AI算法,优化后的算法通过OTA更新推送至车辆,提升自动驾驶能力,进而吸引更多用户使用FSD,产生更多数据。如今,这个商业“相变”的飞轮,正在马斯克的掌舵之下加速旋转。截至2025年底,FSD累计行驶里程已突破70亿英里,仅第四季度就贡献了10亿英里的增量;马斯克曾界定的“完全无人化”门槛约为100亿英里,特斯拉已完成70%的进程。人形机器人Optimus则是这个闭环的延伸。特斯拉计划在2026年年底前启动量产,最终规划年产能为100万台。马斯克甚至宣称,Optimus未来能实现5倍于人类的工作效率,成为“非凡的外科医生”。03悲观派与乐观派的对决特斯拉股价在暴跌后又逆市上涨的背后,实则完美诠释了投资者对公司的分歧。而这种分化背后是两种不同的估值逻辑。传统汽车制造商估值的核心指标是销量、产能利用率和单车利润。按此标准,特斯拉的估值难言合理。2025年,特斯拉市盈率高达418倍,远高于传统车企。但AI乐观主义者认为,特斯拉应被视为一家AI公司,其商业逻辑的核心从“卖车”变成了追求“最低的每英里成本”和极高的“资产利用率”,因此其价值应基于数据优势、算法迭代速度和网络效应。William Blair能源研究团队主管杰德·多西海默估计,自动驾驶技术现在占特斯拉总价值的70%以上。这种分歧也体现在分析师对特斯拉的态度上。近期50位分析师中有30位建议“持有”或“卖出”,显示出专业投资者对特斯拉转型前景的谨慎态度。这种分歧的本源其实并非难以理解:伟大公司往往死于范式转移,而生还者必须主动引领范式转移。传统汽车产业正面临百年未有的变局。2025年,欧洲电动汽车约占所有新车销量的16%,美国电动汽车市场整体放缓。当行业从增量市场进入存量市场,价格战和利润下滑成为必然。马斯克的应对之策是典型的第二曲线战略:在核心业务尚未衰退时,主动培育新兴业务。但特斯拉的不同之处在于,其新旧业务之间存在强大的协同效应。汽车业务为AI发展提供真实道路数据、品牌认知和现金流;储能业务为AI基础设施提供稳定能源支持;AI技术反过来提升汽车产品的竞争力和溢价能力。这种生态化反效应是特斯拉最深的护城河。然而,历史表明,范式转移的成功率极低。比如,柯达发明了数码相机却未能成功转型,诺基亚曾引领智能手机潮流但最终掉队。特斯拉能否打破这一魔咒?关键取决于其AI技术商业化的速度与效率。04结语:投资价值的重新定义特斯拉的2025年,对价值投资者提出了一个深刻问题:什么是真正的“价值”?是当前的盈利能力,还是未来的产业地位?是稳定的现金流,还是颠覆性的增长潜力?传统价值投资强调“安全边际”,即价格与内在价值之间的缓冲空间。但在新兴科技行业,内在价值本身难以量化,安全边际更多体现在技术领先性、生态构建能力和团队执行力上。特斯拉展示了一种新型价值投资框架:基于愿景而非短期业绩,基于生态系统而非单一产品,基于数据资产而非物理资产。这种框架下,特斯拉的业绩下滑不再是致命危机,而是转型阵痛,200亿美元的资本支出也不是盲目冒险,而是战略必需。因为,它主动选择了一条虽然更艰难但前景更广阔的道路。推荐阅读:1、A股三次大牛市:启动、上涨与终结2、有色之后,又一超级大周期来了3、买黄金,要大变了!4、当小县城开始大搞“演唱会”5、123亿,安踏买下对手","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLG":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSLA":1.98,"CRSH":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSLO":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TSLP":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":51,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":533267481379128,"gmtCreate":1771213140742,"gmtModify":1771213146163,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"无良媒体, 马斯克从事的几乎都是人类社会前所未有的全新产业,处于不断的摸索和探索中, 不断探索与创新不断纠偏又不断开拓,有什么奇怪的么? 从新能源汽车到储能,从可回收火箭到starlink,到太空Ai数据中心, 从全自动驾驶到Robotaxi,甚至于boring隧道, 从收购Twitter,创立 XAI 到擎天柱机器人到 脑机接口, 这些看似八杆子打不着的创业为什么最后可以对齐? 甚至可以惊人的创造性服务于更大的目标,?! 其实原因很简单: 正因他的内心最深处, 在他的潜意识里, 他从未背弃他最初的梦想, 让人类成为跨越行星生物以延续人类文明的火种!轨迹有哪一个不是源于少年时期他的梦想而来; 他的使命与愿景其实从未改变过,在此过程中, 不断调整对焦才有最终目标的实现! 为人类社会进步,超越性的 发展, 才有可能有丰盛(abundance) 没有丰盛如何走出地球?! , 不靠金融难道靠乌托邦畅想么?! 其实全部都短期调整以对齐目标, 用“变脸”形容,居心叵测啊 还是燕雀对鸿鹄之志的无知呢? ; 这么多全新产业的整合非常人所能! 你做个四轮定位还得担心摄像头不居中吧! 所以, 马斯克其实还是那个少年, 可以改变人类命运的那个少年!","listText":"无良媒体, 马斯克从事的几乎都是人类社会前所未有的全新产业,处于不断的摸索和探索中, 不断探索与创新不断纠偏又不断开拓,有什么奇怪的么? 从新能源汽车到储能,从可回收火箭到starlink,到太空Ai数据中心, 从全自动驾驶到Robotaxi,甚至于boring隧道, 从收购Twitter,创立 XAI 到擎天柱机器人到 脑机接口, 这些看似八杆子打不着的创业为什么最后可以对齐? 甚至可以惊人的创造性服务于更大的目标,?! 其实原因很简单: 正因他的内心最深处, 在他的潜意识里, 他从未背弃他最初的梦想, 让人类成为跨越行星生物以延续人类文明的火种!轨迹有哪一个不是源于少年时期他的梦想而来; 他的使命与愿景其实从未改变过,在此过程中, 不断调整对焦才有最终目标的实现! 为人类社会进步,超越性的 发展, 才有可能有丰盛(abundance) 没有丰盛如何走出地球?! , 不靠金融难道靠乌托邦畅想么?! 其实全部都短期调整以对齐目标, 用“变脸”形容,居心叵测啊 还是燕雀对鸿鹄之志的无知呢? ; 这么多全新产业的整合非常人所能! 你做个四轮定位还得担心摄像头不居中吧! 所以, 马斯克其实还是那个少年, 可以改变人类命运的那个少年!","text":"无良媒体, 马斯克从事的几乎都是人类社会前所未有的全新产业,处于不断的摸索和探索中, 不断探索与创新不断纠偏又不断开拓,有什么奇怪的么? 从新能源汽车到储能,从可回收火箭到starlink,到太空Ai数据中心, 从全自动驾驶到Robotaxi,甚至于boring隧道, 从收购Twitter,创立 XAI 到擎天柱机器人到 脑机接口, 这些看似八杆子打不着的创业为什么最后可以对齐? 甚至可以惊人的创造性服务于更大的目标,?! 其实原因很简单: 正因他的内心最深处, 在他的潜意识里, 他从未背弃他最初的梦想, 让人类成为跨越行星生物以延续人类文明的火种!轨迹有哪一个不是源于少年时期他的梦想而来; 他的使命与愿景其实从未改变过,在此过程中, 不断调整对焦才有最终目标的实现! 为人类社会进步,超越性的 发展, 才有可能有丰盛(abundance) 没有丰盛如何走出地球?! , 不靠金融难道靠乌托邦畅想么?! 其实全部都短期调整以对齐目标, 用“变脸”形容,居心叵测啊 还是燕雀对鸿鹄之志的无知呢? ; 这么多全新产业的整合非常人所能! 你做个四轮定位还得担心摄像头不居中吧! 所以, 马斯克其实还是那个少年, 可以改变人类命运的那个少年!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/533267481379128","repostId":"2611147527","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2611147527","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1771120781,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2611147527?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-15 09:59","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"使命反复“变脸”,马斯克的商业帝国到底在追逐什么","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2611147527","media":"环球网","summary":"更令人担忧的是其对人类与AI未来的表态。分析认为,马斯克的使命漂移并非出于崇高理想,更多是为迎合投资者、提振股价,同时掺杂个人主观因素。","content":"<html><body><article><p>【环球网科技综合报道】2月15日消息,据外媒Gizmodo报道,多年来,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克旗下企业的使命与定位频繁更迭,从<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>的发展方向到SpaceX的星际目标,再到对人类与AI未来的判断,其表态始终充满矛盾,引发外界广泛质疑,背后或暗藏金钱与个人情绪的双重驱动。</p><img src=\"https://img.huanqiucdn.cn/dp/api/files/imageDir/75d3ed59f9b3b8566dd20f39563e2406u1.png?imageView2/2/w/1260\"/><p>Tesla的使命迭代最为典型。2019年,其使命是“加速世界向可持续能源的转型”,强调环保与员工公平;2025年9月更新为“可持续富足”;而上个月,马斯克又将其改为“惊人富足”,宣称AI与机器人将带来“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QC7.SI\">全民</a>高收入”未来,与早年环保导向判若两人。同时,他还宣称Tesla并非汽车公司,而是机器人公司,计划停产Model S和X,年产100万台Optimus机器人。</p><p>SpaceX的目标同样反复。马斯克近期突然宣布,公司重心转向“在月球建造自增长城市”,虽称最终仍将推进火星城市建设,但时间线模糊,类似其多年来未兑现的“飞行汽车”承诺,被指依赖公众的短期记忆炒作。此外,他还将xAI与SpaceX合并,宣称36个月内太空将成为部署AI最廉价的场所,为公司上市铺路。</p><p>更令人担忧的是其对人类与AI未来的表态。马斯克在播客中称,未来5-6年AI智能将超越人类总和,人类智能占比将不足1%,且难以掌控AI,却又宣称AI会因“好奇心”保留人类,言论自相矛盾。</p><p>分析认为,马斯克的使命漂移并非出于崇高理想,更多是为迎合投资者、提振股价,同时掺杂个人主观因素。从Tesla到SpaceX,从AI到星际探索,其不断变脸的表态,或本质上都是围绕金钱与个人情绪展开。(旺旺)</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>使命反复“变脸”,马斯克的商业帝国到底在追逐什么</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n使命反复“变脸”,马斯克的商业帝国到底在追逐什么\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-15 09:59 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260215100034a6fcebec&s=b><strong>环球网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>【环球网科技综合报道】2月15日消息,据外媒Gizmodo报道,多年来,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克旗下企业的使命与定位频繁更迭,从Tesla的发展方向到SpaceX的星际目标,再到对人类与AI未来的判断,其表态始终充满矛盾,引发外界广泛质疑,背后或暗藏金钱与个人情绪的双重驱动。Tesla的使命迭代最为典型。2019年,其使命是“加速世界向可持续能源的转型”,强调环保与员工公平;2025年9月更新为“...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260215100034a6fcebec&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU2462157665.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU2417539215.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMF\" (USD) INC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU2108987350.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV GLOBAL OPPORTUNITY SUSTAINABLE (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU2290526834.HKD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF 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INC"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260215100034a6fcebec&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2611147527","content_text":"【环球网科技综合报道】2月15日消息,据外媒Gizmodo报道,多年来,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克旗下企业的使命与定位频繁更迭,从Tesla的发展方向到SpaceX的星际目标,再到对人类与AI未来的判断,其表态始终充满矛盾,引发外界广泛质疑,背后或暗藏金钱与个人情绪的双重驱动。Tesla的使命迭代最为典型。2019年,其使命是“加速世界向可持续能源的转型”,强调环保与员工公平;2025年9月更新为“可持续富足”;而上个月,马斯克又将其改为“惊人富足”,宣称AI与机器人将带来“全民高收入”未来,与早年环保导向判若两人。同时,他还宣称Tesla并非汽车公司,而是机器人公司,计划停产Model S和X,年产100万台Optimus机器人。SpaceX的目标同样反复。马斯克近期突然宣布,公司重心转向“在月球建造自增长城市”,虽称最终仍将推进火星城市建设,但时间线模糊,类似其多年来未兑现的“飞行汽车”承诺,被指依赖公众的短期记忆炒作。此外,他还将xAI与SpaceX合并,宣称36个月内太空将成为部署AI最廉价的场所,为公司上市铺路。更令人担忧的是其对人类与AI未来的表态。马斯克在播客中称,未来5-6年AI智能将超越人类总和,人类智能占比将不足1%,且难以掌控AI,却又宣称AI会因“好奇心”保留人类,言论自相矛盾。分析认为,马斯克的使命漂移并非出于崇高理想,更多是为迎合投资者、提振股价,同时掺杂个人主观因素。从Tesla到SpaceX,从AI到星际探索,其不断变脸的表态,或本质上都是围绕金钱与个人情绪展开。(旺旺)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLT":0.6,"UFO":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSLA":1.91,"TSLO":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSLL":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"CRSH":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":529618299335608,"gmtCreate":1770322229352,"gmtModify":1770322908238,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"对特斯拉而言,这次听证会是一次成功的“公关+游说”。虽然参议员对 Autopilot 的名称仍有微词,但**“提升豁免上限”和“对抗中国标准”**已成为两党共识。只要法律能将年部署上限从 2,500 提升到 90,000,特斯拉的 Robotaxi 估值逻辑就将从“实验室产品”正式转向“商业收割期”。","listText":"对特斯拉而言,这次听证会是一次成功的“公关+游说”。虽然参议员对 Autopilot 的名称仍有微词,但**“提升豁免上限”和“对抗中国标准”**已成为两党共识。只要法律能将年部署上限从 2,500 提升到 90,000,特斯拉的 Robotaxi 估值逻辑就将从“实验室产品”正式转向“商业收割期”。","text":"对特斯拉而言,这次听证会是一次成功的“公关+游说”。虽然参议员对 Autopilot 的名称仍有微词,但**“提升豁免上限”和“对抗中国标准”**已成为两党共识。只要法律能将年部署上限从 2,500 提升到 90,000,特斯拉的 Robotaxi 估值逻辑就将从“实验室产品”正式转向“商业收割期”。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/529618299335608","repostId":"2609307862","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2609307862","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1770307680,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2609307862?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-06 00:08","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"自动驾驶审查打击特斯拉及Waymo","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2609307862","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"特斯拉(TSLA)周四早盘下跌3.6%。在参议院自动驾驶听证会后,议员质询特斯拉全自动驾驶系统缺少激光雷达与地理围栏;Alphabet旗下Waymo则面临海外制造车辆及远程操控问题,拖累市场情绪。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑:张俊 SF065","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p> <span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a></span><span></span>(TSLA)周四早盘下跌3.6%。在参议院自动驾驶听证会后,议员质询特斯拉全自动驾驶系统缺少激光雷达与地理围栏;Alphabet旗下Waymo则面临海外制造车辆及远程操控问题,拖累市场情绪。</p>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP</div>\n</div>\n<p>责任编辑:张俊 SF065</p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n自动驾驶审查打击特斯拉及Waymo\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-06 00:08 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2026-02-06/doc-inhkuyhv8558865.shtml><strong>环球市场播报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>特斯拉(TSLA)周四早盘下跌3.6%。在参议院自动驾驶听证会后,议员质询特斯拉全自动驾驶系统缺少激光雷达与地理围栏;Alphabet旗下Waymo则面临海外制造车辆及远程操控问题,拖累市场情绪。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑:张俊 SF065</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2026-02-06/doc-inhkuyhv8558865.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4604":"机器人概念","TSLS":"1倍做空TSLA ETF-Direxion","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A(离岸)美元","TSLT":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-T-Rex","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A(dist)","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4574":"无人驾驶","TSLW":"TSLA周配息ETF-Roundhill","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH 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今日FSD听证会","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/529126701056160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":529011281474416,"gmtCreate":1770184401277,"gmtModify":1770184403351,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDC\">$西部数据(WDC)$ </a> 回购意味着可能会阶段性策略性拉低股价?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDC\">$西部数据(WDC)$ </a> 回购意味着可能会阶段性策略性拉低股价?","text":"$西部数据(WDC)$ 回购意味着可能会阶段性策略性拉低股价?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/529011281474416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":528890074731368,"gmtCreate":1770154809000,"gmtModify":1770154811390,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"追觅不该先把可回收火箭造出来了再吹么?就是个扫地的咱不能这么狂妄好不好","listText":"追觅不该先把可回收火箭造出来了再吹么?就是个扫地的咱不能这么狂妄好不好","text":"追觅不该先把可回收火箭造出来了再吹么?就是个扫地的咱不能这么狂妄好不好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/528890074731368","repostId":"2608803236","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2608803236","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1770134460,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2608803236?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-04 00:01","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"追觅创始人俞浩:20年后特斯拉会被打到接连亏损 退出市场","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2608803236","media":"快科技","summary":"快科技2月4日消息,昨晚,追觅科技创始人兼CEO俞浩发布微博,并将矛头对准了特斯拉和马斯克。俞浩称,自己预测20年后特斯拉会成为电动汽车领域的irobot。“(特斯拉)被打到接连亏损和退出电动汽车市场,当然,小马哥不会承认,他会说是自己主动退出的。”俞浩之所以会选择此事对特斯拉发难,大概率是因为特斯拉交付量从快速增长到失速。","content":"<html><body><article><p>快科技2月4日消息,昨晚,追觅科技创始人兼CEO俞浩发布微博,并将矛头对准了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>和马斯克。</p><p>俞浩称,<strong>自己预测20年后特斯拉会成为电动汽车领域的irobot(快科技注:指被誉为扫地机器人鼻祖的美国公司,现已破产,被中国企业收购)</strong>。</p><p>“(特斯拉)<strong>被打到接连亏损和退出电动汽车市场,当然,小马哥不会承认,他会说是自己主动退出的。</strong>”俞浩如此表述道。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20260204000633065d206lq5q0uij1bp\"/><p>同时在评论区,他还给出了自己预测20年的理由:“马斯克还是很强的,也不会倒那么快,20年还是比较理性的。”</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20260204000637971d206wvouy2yhvuw\"/><p>更有意思的是,他同时还配上用AI生成的假想图,<strong>图里一男子(俞浩本人)身着西装站在楼顶,手里端着一杯红酒优雅非常,而在他身后,则是科幻感质素的未来住宅以及交通工具</strong>。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20260204000641277d206qx09saf4o9v\"/><p>俞浩之所以会选择此事对特斯拉发难,大概率是因为特斯拉交付量从快速增长到失速。</p><p><strong>去年特斯拉全球市场交付163.6万辆,其中在第四季度仅交付41.8万辆,同比下降15.6%,因此失去纯电动车(狭义新能源车)全球销量的第一桂冠</strong>。</p><p>更让人意外的是,虽然特斯拉2025年交付<span>量比</span>2022年高32.2万辆,但毛利润却少了81亿美元,下降45.7%;<span>净利润</span>也不过38.6亿美元、利润率仅4.1%,对于全球估值最高的车企而言,这样的成绩属实有点难堪。</p><p>不过需要说明的是,瘦死的骆驼比马大,<strong>纵使特斯拉暂时遭遇了一些问题,但鉴于FSD的日益成熟、自动驾驶出租车队伍逐渐壮大以及人形机器人的到来,特斯拉未来增量仍旧不可估量</strong>,个人认为它20年内倒闭的可能性并不大。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>追觅创始人俞浩:20年后特斯拉会被打到接连亏损 退出市场</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n追觅创始人俞浩:20年后特斯拉会被打到接连亏损 退出市场\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-04 00:01 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260204000646a6cf2ffa&s=b><strong>快科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>快科技2月4日消息,昨晚,追觅科技创始人兼CEO俞浩发布微博,并将矛头对准了特斯拉和马斯克。俞浩称,自己预测20年后特斯拉会成为电动汽车领域的irobot(快科技注:指被誉为扫地机器人鼻祖的美国公司,现已破产,被中国企业收购)。“(特斯拉)被打到接连亏损和退出电动汽车市场,当然,小马哥不会承认,他会说是自己主动退出的。”俞浩如此表述道。同时在评论区,他还给出了自己预测20年的理由:“马斯克还是很强...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260204000646a6cf2ffa&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU2236285917.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU1232071149.USD":"AZ FUND 1 GLOBAL GROWTH SELECTOR \"AAZ\" (USDHDG) ACC","BK4604":"机器人概念","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","LU1674673691.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (USD) INC","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU2420271590.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU1674673428.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) 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\"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2403377893.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (USD) INC","TSLY":"TSLA期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","TSLZ":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-T-Rex","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","LU2360107168.USD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260204000646a6cf2ffa&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2608803236","content_text":"快科技2月4日消息,昨晚,追觅科技创始人兼CEO俞浩发布微博,并将矛头对准了特斯拉和马斯克。俞浩称,自己预测20年后特斯拉会成为电动汽车领域的irobot(快科技注:指被誉为扫地机器人鼻祖的美国公司,现已破产,被中国企业收购)。“(特斯拉)被打到接连亏损和退出电动汽车市场,当然,小马哥不会承认,他会说是自己主动退出的。”俞浩如此表述道。同时在评论区,他还给出了自己预测20年的理由:“马斯克还是很强的,也不会倒那么快,20年还是比较理性的。”更有意思的是,他同时还配上用AI生成的假想图,图里一男子(俞浩本人)身着西装站在楼顶,手里端着一杯红酒优雅非常,而在他身后,则是科幻感质素的未来住宅以及交通工具。俞浩之所以会选择此事对特斯拉发难,大概率是因为特斯拉交付量从快速增长到失速。去年特斯拉全球市场交付163.6万辆,其中在第四季度仅交付41.8万辆,同比下降15.6%,因此失去纯电动车(狭义新能源车)全球销量的第一桂冠。更让人意外的是,虽然特斯拉2025年交付量比2022年高32.2万辆,但毛利润却少了81亿美元,下降45.7%;净利润也不过38.6亿美元、利润率仅4.1%,对于全球估值最高的车企而言,这样的成绩属实有点难堪。不过需要说明的是,瘦死的骆驼比马大,纵使特斯拉暂时遭遇了一些问题,但鉴于FSD的日益成熟、自动驾驶出租车队伍逐渐壮大以及人形机器人的到来,特斯拉未来增量仍旧不可估量,个人认为它20年内倒闭的可能性并不大。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLO":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSLA":1.96,"TSLW":0.6,"CRSH":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TSLT":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":537,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3503842177147009","authorId":"3503842177147009","name":"柯大虾","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4606c51db444d9801b7075be851a3a41","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3503842177147009","idStr":"3503842177147009"},"content":"国内的经常习惯性吹牛,当然这家伙明显就是蹭热点的。","text":"国内的经常习惯性吹牛,当然这家伙明显就是蹭热点的。","html":"国内的经常习惯性吹牛,当然这家伙明显就是蹭热点的。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":528653407371848,"gmtCreate":1770096338637,"gmtModify":1770096341080,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"英伟达毁约open A I、open A I最终很有可能面临破产","listText":"英伟达毁约open A I、open A I最终很有可能面临破产","text":"英伟达毁约open A I、open A I最终很有可能面临破产","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/528653407371848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":680,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":527434246223040,"gmtCreate":1769789096367,"gmtModify":1769789098493,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这些分析师目前脑子不止慢半拍而已","listText":"这些分析师目前脑子不止慢半拍而已","text":"这些分析师目前脑子不止慢半拍而已","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/527434246223040","repostId":"2607017653","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2607017653","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1769771474,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2607017653?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-30 19:11","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉:SpaceX合并传闻不足以让我保持看涨态度","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2607017653","media":"美股研究社","summary":"财报发布后特斯拉股价下跌,这也反映出,投资者认为特斯拉在自动驾驶领域的承诺,尚不足以支撑其再创历史新高。2025 全年,特斯拉汽车业务营收同比下滑 10%。因此,无需过度解读这一决策,特斯拉的汽车业务仍将保持较大规模。同时,特斯拉 Robotaxi 的累计付费行驶里程正快速增长,预计随着落地范围的扩大,这一数据的增长速度还将进一步加快。","content":"<html><body><article><p>【如需和我们交流可扫码添加进社群】</p><p>尽管<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>具备巨大的发展潜力,上行趋势也尚未被打破,分析师仍决定将其评级从<strong>买入下调至持有</strong>,当前对特斯拉持中性态度。财报发布后特斯拉股价下跌,这也反映出,投资者认为特斯拉在自动驾驶领域的承诺,尚不足以支撑其再创历史新高。</p><p>简而言之,分析师选择保持谨慎,希望看到自动驾驶出租车(Robotaxi)和擎天柱(Optimus)人形机器人项目取得更多实质性进展后,再做出最终判断。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdKBibR2JMaxUNVoEYIawaicLcPgia7DNCvbkZ2UW7icKia7iaEBYibLoBH9m2tvI6bkqbEh7NtGPic58BHcsA/640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>SpaceX</strong></p><p><strong>与特斯拉合并的预期</strong></p><p><strong>若 SpaceX 与特斯拉合并,无疑将成为行业重磅事件,但坦率地说,这则最新消息并未改变分析师的核心观点,原因有三:</strong></p><p><strong>1.目前仅为传闻,落地概率极低</strong>:分析师坚信,SpaceX 与特斯拉独立上市的总市值,将高于合并后的市值 —— 部分愿意投资 SpaceX 的投资者,并不希望同时持有特斯拉。</p><p><strong>2.合并或引发多元化折价</strong>:特斯拉 CEO 埃隆・马斯克大概率不愿看到公司出现这一情况。所谓多元化折价,指市场对多元化企业的估值,往往低于其各业务板块独立估值之和,这通常源于企业财报披露的复杂性,或内部管理效率的低下。一旦合并,特斯拉出现多元化折价的可能性极高。</p><p><strong>3.双方无需合并即可实现协同</strong>:特斯拉与 SpaceX 即便不合并,也能展开深度合作、互利共赢。马斯克作为两家公司的所有者,早已能从双方的项目协作中获益,合并并非必要前提。</p><p>相较而言,SpaceX 与 xAI 的合并可能性更高:一方面 xAI 规模更小,合并后不易引发多元化折价;另一方面,马斯克虽未正面回应这一传闻,但在 X 平台的相关帖子下的回复,隐约透露出对这一合并的认可,不过这仍属于市场猜测。</p><p>只有当出现确凿证据(而非单纯传闻),证明 SpaceX 确实计划与特斯拉合并时,分析师的观点才会改变。届时合并预期或为特斯拉带来短期上涨动力,分析师也会考虑短期入场追涨,但目前来看,这一情况并不成立,且分析师并不认为二者会合并。</p><p>厘清这一问题后,我们来分析特斯拉 2025 年第四季度的财报表现。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdKBibR2JMaxUNVoEYIawaicLcrVAEs2bhwIEUP4FfvianI8UkwWsmGS8QGt9FUCfIVia1npfInK1SOWWQ/640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>Q4财报表现不尽如人意</strong></p><p>特斯拉 2025 年第四季度营收 249 亿美元(超预期 1.4 亿美元),非 GAAP <span>每股收益</span> 0.50 美元(超预期 0.05 美元),但即便业绩超预期,核心财务数据仍显疲软:</p><p>· 营收<strong>同比下滑 3.1%</strong>,非 GAAP 每股收益<strong>同比下滑 17%</strong>;</p><p>· 经营活动现金流同比下降 21%,自由现金流大跌 30% 至 14.2 亿美元;</p><p>·核心的汽车业务营收同比暴跌 11% 至 176.93 亿美元,尽管能源生产与存储业务营收同比增长 25% 至 38.37 亿美元、服务及其他业务同比增长 18% 至 33.71 亿美元,但仍无法抵消汽车业务的下滑拖累。</p><p>财报中唯一的亮点是,尽管销量下滑,公司总毛利润仍同比增长 20%,毛利率从 16.3% 提升至 20.1%;但包括营业利润率、调整后 <span>EBITDA</span> 利润率、净利润率在内的其余盈利指标,均出现不同程度下滑。</p><p><strong>汽车业务正在走向衰落?</strong></p><p>特斯拉的汽车业务正缓慢衰落,但考虑到公司对 Robotaxi 的布局 —— 在其看来,这一业务会降低消费者的购车需求,特斯拉管理层或许对此并不担忧。</p><p>2025 全年,特斯拉汽车业务营收同比下滑 10%。诚然,经济不确定性会影响汽车销量,但这一表现远逊于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a> 1.3% 的同比降幅。尽管 2025 年 9 月 30 日 7500 美元的电动车税收抵免政策到期,但其并非特斯拉销量疲软的唯一原因,毕竟公司今年早些时候的销量表现就已不尽如人意。</p><p>此外,从个人角度来看,特斯拉多数车型的外观设计长期缺乏新意,这一点对汽车销量的影响不容忽视。即便是焕新后的 Model Y,外观也并无明显变化。</p><p>特斯拉在车型外观设计上的创新严重不足,而对于汽车销售而言,外观设计的重要性并不亚于技术创新。究其原因,或许是公司的精力全被机器人和 Robotaxi 项目占据,汽车业务已不再是发展重点。</p><p>这一说法并非夸大其词,马斯克明确表示,下一季度将逐步停产 Model S 和 Model X:</p><p>是时候让 Model S 和 Model X 项目体面落幕了…… 我们计划下一季度逐步停止这两款车型的生产,并将该产线改造为擎天柱机器人的生产工厂。长远来看,我们希望在弗里蒙特工厂的这一区域,实现擎天柱机器人年产 100 万台的目标。</p><p>未来,特斯拉将仅保留四款在售车型:Model Y、Model 3、赛博卡车和 Roadster。</p><p><strong>停产 Model S 和 Model X 影响几何?</strong></p><p>坦率地说,这一决策的影响并不大。市场上有看空观点认为,特斯拉是在牺牲盈利业务,投资尚未被验证的新项目,但实际情况是,Model 3 和 Model Y 仍会继续销售,且 2025 年这两款车型的产量占比已达 96.7%。</p><p>因此,无需过度解读这一决策,特斯拉的汽车业务仍将保持较大规模。分析师对该业务唯一的建议是,特斯拉应考虑对车型进行彻底的外观改款,而非简单的 “焕新升级”。</p><p><strong>布局未来是正确的选择</strong></p><p>正如前文所言,单看特斯拉第四季度的财报,很难让人感到满意,但我们也应客观看待:擎天柱机器人和 Robotaxi 确实具备巨大的发展潜力,特斯拉大举投资这两大领域合情合理,更何况公司具备充足的资金实力。</p><p>特斯拉管理层预计,2026 年资本开支将超 200 亿美元,较 2025 年的 85.27 亿美元大幅增长。</p><p>特斯拉首席财务官维巴夫・塔内加透露了资本开支的主要去向:</p><p>这些资金将用于 6 座工厂的建设,包括炼油厂、磷酸铁锂电池工厂、Cybercab 工厂、Semi 半挂卡车工厂、新的超级工厂以及擎天柱机器人工厂。此外,我们还将投入资金建设人工智能计算基础设施,持续升级现有工厂以提升产能,搭建相关配套基础设施,并进一步扩大 Robotaxi 和擎天柱机器人的研发与量产规模。</p><p>尽管资本开支数额庞大,但我们认为,这是公司为下一发展阶段布局的正确战略。正如马斯克所言,我们将以极高的资本效率推进这些投资。</p><p><strong>擎天柱机器人的发展潜力</strong></p><p>在 2025 年第四季度的股东报告中,特斯拉重点介绍了擎天柱机器人的研发进展,宣布计划于本季度发布第三代产品。据悉,第三代擎天柱在 2.5 代的基础上进行了重大升级,也是首款为大规模量产设计的机型。</p><p>公司目标是在 2026 年底前启动量产,并最终实现<strong>年产 100 万台</strong>的产能目标。</p><p>尽管特斯拉向来对项目进度过于乐观,但分析师并不怀疑其能在近期实现擎天柱机器人的大规模量产 —— 押注特斯拉的创新能力不足,向来不是明智的选择。</p><p><strong>Robotaxi 的发展潜力</strong></p><p>自 2025 年 12 月起,特斯拉的无人驾驶 Robotaxi 已在奥斯汀投入运营,本月更是在部分路段取消了随车安全监督员。有消息称,这些无人驾驶车辆仍有安全车随行,马斯克在此次财报电话会议中否认了这一说法:</p><p>大概从昨天开始,奥斯汀的 Robotaxi 已经完全没有安全车随行,这些车辆真正实现了车内无人、车外无跟随的纯无人驾驶。</p><p>无论是否相信马斯克的说法,分析师选择采信。若其所言属实,这将是特斯拉自动驾驶发展的重要里程碑。</p><p>同时,特斯拉 Robotaxi 的累计付费行驶里程正快速增长,预计随着落地范围的扩大,这一数据的增长速度还将进一步加快。特斯拉计划在 2026 年上半年,将 Robotaxi 的运营范围拓展至另外 7 座主要城市。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdKBibR2JMaxUNVoEYIawaicLczbSMU66CbrBjDq7jpr5zsiclLE4DkRGuL9TVwK0r2tbvibNaKK4AzxHw/640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>对机器人与自动驾驶项目的看法</strong></p><p>尽管特斯拉的前沿项目落地进度慢于预期,但不可否认其正稳步推进,目前下最终结论仍为时过早,整体前景值得期待。分析师认为,到下一季度,我们就能更清晰地判断 Robotaxi 是否具备规模化运营的可行性:若奥斯汀的无监督无人驾驶能顺利放量,就证明这一模式是可行的;而一旦技术得到验证,以特斯拉的实力,后续的规模化落地将相对容易。如今特斯拉正临近这一关键转折点,其背后的商业价值巨大。</p><p>相较而言,擎天柱机器人的商业化落地需要更长时间,或许还需数个季度,我们才能看清其发展轨迹。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdKBibR2JMaxUNVoEYIawaicLciaWMQ0QPFPFmoNQtcVWichXhCuZB2x0BS879mNfIl6Lz8r5HIRlqLj6w/640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>特斯拉的估值依旧高起</strong></p><p>谈及特斯拉,必然要提及其高得离谱的估值:过去 12 个月,公司每股收益仅 1.67 美元,静态市盈率高达 249 倍;静态自由现金流为 62.2 亿美元,对应 1.38 万亿美元的市值,自由现金流市盈率约 222 倍。</p><p>但市场几乎从未在意过这一估值水平,因为特斯拉的估值并非基于当前业绩,而是其未来的发展潜力 —— 这一潜力虽难以量化,却真实存在。例如,Precedence Research 的一项研究显示,全球 Robotaxi 市场规模 2024 年为 27.7 亿美元,2025 年预计增至 44.3 亿美元,2034 年或将达到 1889.1 亿美元,2025-2034 年的复合年增长率高达 52.54%。</p><p>而这还只是 Robotaxi 一个业务的市场潜力,因此,切勿以传统车企的估值逻辑来衡量特斯拉。</p><p>这也是特斯拉 2026 年豪掷 200 亿美元投资高增长项目的原因,正是这些前沿布局支撑着公司的高估值。一旦特斯拉将发展重点重新放回汽车业务,市场就会将其视作普通车企,届时公司股价或将遭遇暴跌。</p><p>市场情绪是推动特斯拉上涨的核心因素,相较单一的估值指标,我们更应关注情绪变化 —— 尽管分析师承认,当前市值已充分反映了公司的未来预期。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdJ3W4gruZ6lz6pj1cuQvXYHzFTgv6zBDxN3hjm1PtXPLNKCakI3eyW9mPqibvjCvXwDia0vaM9Nht8w/640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>仍处上行趋势,</strong></p><p><strong>但预警信号已现</strong></p><p>从技术面来看,特斯拉仍在创造更高的高点和低点,最近的阶段性低点为 11 月 14 日的 382.78 美元,上行趋势在技术层面仍保持完好,分析师并不建议做空该股。</p><p>但当前已出现明确的预警信号:尽管管理层在财报电话会议中释放了诸多利好,但财报发布后特斯拉股价仍下跌 3.45%。在 Robotaxi 项目取得更明确的进展,且市场开始认可其价值之前,分析师并不建议<span>抄底</span>特斯拉。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdJ3W4gruZ6lz6pj1cuQvXYHhRRxZSMCgct6u1I78kxibwhqmibvLOuA21iarw6F4CrPibNXUWOK5PkdaQ/640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>结论</strong></p><p>特斯拉目前正处于一个尴尬的境地:短期财务表现疲软,而长期前沿项目虽稳步推进、足以支撑股价,但现阶段仍难以做出确定性判断。如今的特斯拉,估值高企、未来尚存不确定性,且财报发布后的市场表现不尽如人意。</p><p>同时,分析师并不认为 SpaceX 与特斯拉的合并会落地,这一传闻不足以让分析师将其评级调回买入。此外,分析师去年 3 月提出的期权投资策略已完成兑现,当前特斯拉的风险收益比已出现不利变化。</p><p>基于以上原因,分析师将特斯拉的评级从<strong>买入下调至持有</strong>。目前,分析师会等待更多证据证明 Robotaxi 具备无监督规模化运营的能力,同时持续关注合并传闻的后续进展。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/dR7EpbvovdJlQNwm5fnHWnfblqB1P5B3gLTjg6j6dT5IyOFclcldYqPQickKMUqicdaXvibXdEb4OibV97CAwGO6TQ/640?wx_fmt=other&wxfrom=5&wx_lazy=1&tp=webp#imgIndex=5\"/><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/dR7EpbvovdKnkt8t5QpwjNQOKyGlZz4SFiacicdM3aP4hZVCfGia7HbIYBoDxz2gubPAgoXDXhfrcLIfT2eG92icfw/640?wx_fmt=other&from=appmsg&wxfrom=5&wx_lazy=1&tp=webp#imgIndex=6\"/><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/dR7EpbvovdLt0fplojSTcIf4vTY1fP5f5VhIsL3QI5iaHIficMHKVzpaxPOM0yB24Zgs1PJlLHXFs5UXKRic0iaTxA/640?wx_fmt=gif&from=appmsg&wxfrom=5&wx_lazy=1&tp=webp#imgIndex=7\"/></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉:SpaceX合并传闻不足以让我保持看涨态度</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉:SpaceX合并传闻不足以让我保持看涨态度\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-30 19:11 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260130195832a6c02756&s=b><strong>美股研究社</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>【如需和我们交流可扫码添加进社群】尽管特斯拉具备巨大的发展潜力,上行趋势也尚未被打破,分析师仍决定将其评级从买入下调至持有,当前对特斯拉持中性态度。财报发布后特斯拉股价下跌,这也反映出,投资者认为特斯拉在自动驾驶领域的承诺,尚不足以支撑其再创历史新高。简而言之,分析师选择保持谨慎,希望看到自动驾驶出租车(Robotaxi)和擎天柱(Optimus)人形机器人项目取得更多实质性进展后,再做出最终判断...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260130195832a6c02756&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","TSLO":"2倍上限加速TSLA ETF-Leverage Shares","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) 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ETF-ProShares","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A(离岸)美元","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A(dist)"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260130195832a6c02756&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2607017653","content_text":"【如需和我们交流可扫码添加进社群】尽管特斯拉具备巨大的发展潜力,上行趋势也尚未被打破,分析师仍决定将其评级从买入下调至持有,当前对特斯拉持中性态度。财报发布后特斯拉股价下跌,这也反映出,投资者认为特斯拉在自动驾驶领域的承诺,尚不足以支撑其再创历史新高。简而言之,分析师选择保持谨慎,希望看到自动驾驶出租车(Robotaxi)和擎天柱(Optimus)人形机器人项目取得更多实质性进展后,再做出最终判断。SpaceX与特斯拉合并的预期若 SpaceX 与特斯拉合并,无疑将成为行业重磅事件,但坦率地说,这则最新消息并未改变分析师的核心观点,原因有三:1.目前仅为传闻,落地概率极低:分析师坚信,SpaceX 与特斯拉独立上市的总市值,将高于合并后的市值 —— 部分愿意投资 SpaceX 的投资者,并不希望同时持有特斯拉。2.合并或引发多元化折价:特斯拉 CEO 埃隆・马斯克大概率不愿看到公司出现这一情况。所谓多元化折价,指市场对多元化企业的估值,往往低于其各业务板块独立估值之和,这通常源于企业财报披露的复杂性,或内部管理效率的低下。一旦合并,特斯拉出现多元化折价的可能性极高。3.双方无需合并即可实现协同:特斯拉与 SpaceX 即便不合并,也能展开深度合作、互利共赢。马斯克作为两家公司的所有者,早已能从双方的项目协作中获益,合并并非必要前提。相较而言,SpaceX 与 xAI 的合并可能性更高:一方面 xAI 规模更小,合并后不易引发多元化折价;另一方面,马斯克虽未正面回应这一传闻,但在 X 平台的相关帖子下的回复,隐约透露出对这一合并的认可,不过这仍属于市场猜测。只有当出现确凿证据(而非单纯传闻),证明 SpaceX 确实计划与特斯拉合并时,分析师的观点才会改变。届时合并预期或为特斯拉带来短期上涨动力,分析师也会考虑短期入场追涨,但目前来看,这一情况并不成立,且分析师并不认为二者会合并。厘清这一问题后,我们来分析特斯拉 2025 年第四季度的财报表现。Q4财报表现不尽如人意特斯拉 2025 年第四季度营收 249 亿美元(超预期 1.4 亿美元),非 GAAP 每股收益 0.50 美元(超预期 0.05 美元),但即便业绩超预期,核心财务数据仍显疲软:· 营收同比下滑 3.1%,非 GAAP 每股收益同比下滑 17%;· 经营活动现金流同比下降 21%,自由现金流大跌 30% 至 14.2 亿美元;·核心的汽车业务营收同比暴跌 11% 至 176.93 亿美元,尽管能源生产与存储业务营收同比增长 25% 至 38.37 亿美元、服务及其他业务同比增长 18% 至 33.71 亿美元,但仍无法抵消汽车业务的下滑拖累。财报中唯一的亮点是,尽管销量下滑,公司总毛利润仍同比增长 20%,毛利率从 16.3% 提升至 20.1%;但包括营业利润率、调整后 EBITDA 利润率、净利润率在内的其余盈利指标,均出现不同程度下滑。汽车业务正在走向衰落?特斯拉的汽车业务正缓慢衰落,但考虑到公司对 Robotaxi 的布局 —— 在其看来,这一业务会降低消费者的购车需求,特斯拉管理层或许对此并不担忧。2025 全年,特斯拉汽车业务营收同比下滑 10%。诚然,经济不确定性会影响汽车销量,但这一表现远逊于通用汽车 1.3% 的同比降幅。尽管 2025 年 9 月 30 日 7500 美元的电动车税收抵免政策到期,但其并非特斯拉销量疲软的唯一原因,毕竟公司今年早些时候的销量表现就已不尽如人意。此外,从个人角度来看,特斯拉多数车型的外观设计长期缺乏新意,这一点对汽车销量的影响不容忽视。即便是焕新后的 Model Y,外观也并无明显变化。特斯拉在车型外观设计上的创新严重不足,而对于汽车销售而言,外观设计的重要性并不亚于技术创新。究其原因,或许是公司的精力全被机器人和 Robotaxi 项目占据,汽车业务已不再是发展重点。这一说法并非夸大其词,马斯克明确表示,下一季度将逐步停产 Model S 和 Model X:是时候让 Model S 和 Model X 项目体面落幕了…… 我们计划下一季度逐步停止这两款车型的生产,并将该产线改造为擎天柱机器人的生产工厂。长远来看,我们希望在弗里蒙特工厂的这一区域,实现擎天柱机器人年产 100 万台的目标。未来,特斯拉将仅保留四款在售车型:Model Y、Model 3、赛博卡车和 Roadster。停产 Model S 和 Model X 影响几何?坦率地说,这一决策的影响并不大。市场上有看空观点认为,特斯拉是在牺牲盈利业务,投资尚未被验证的新项目,但实际情况是,Model 3 和 Model Y 仍会继续销售,且 2025 年这两款车型的产量占比已达 96.7%。因此,无需过度解读这一决策,特斯拉的汽车业务仍将保持较大规模。分析师对该业务唯一的建议是,特斯拉应考虑对车型进行彻底的外观改款,而非简单的 “焕新升级”。布局未来是正确的选择正如前文所言,单看特斯拉第四季度的财报,很难让人感到满意,但我们也应客观看待:擎天柱机器人和 Robotaxi 确实具备巨大的发展潜力,特斯拉大举投资这两大领域合情合理,更何况公司具备充足的资金实力。特斯拉管理层预计,2026 年资本开支将超 200 亿美元,较 2025 年的 85.27 亿美元大幅增长。特斯拉首席财务官维巴夫・塔内加透露了资本开支的主要去向:这些资金将用于 6 座工厂的建设,包括炼油厂、磷酸铁锂电池工厂、Cybercab 工厂、Semi 半挂卡车工厂、新的超级工厂以及擎天柱机器人工厂。此外,我们还将投入资金建设人工智能计算基础设施,持续升级现有工厂以提升产能,搭建相关配套基础设施,并进一步扩大 Robotaxi 和擎天柱机器人的研发与量产规模。尽管资本开支数额庞大,但我们认为,这是公司为下一发展阶段布局的正确战略。正如马斯克所言,我们将以极高的资本效率推进这些投资。擎天柱机器人的发展潜力在 2025 年第四季度的股东报告中,特斯拉重点介绍了擎天柱机器人的研发进展,宣布计划于本季度发布第三代产品。据悉,第三代擎天柱在 2.5 代的基础上进行了重大升级,也是首款为大规模量产设计的机型。公司目标是在 2026 年底前启动量产,并最终实现年产 100 万台的产能目标。尽管特斯拉向来对项目进度过于乐观,但分析师并不怀疑其能在近期实现擎天柱机器人的大规模量产 —— 押注特斯拉的创新能力不足,向来不是明智的选择。Robotaxi 的发展潜力自 2025 年 12 月起,特斯拉的无人驾驶 Robotaxi 已在奥斯汀投入运营,本月更是在部分路段取消了随车安全监督员。有消息称,这些无人驾驶车辆仍有安全车随行,马斯克在此次财报电话会议中否认了这一说法:大概从昨天开始,奥斯汀的 Robotaxi 已经完全没有安全车随行,这些车辆真正实现了车内无人、车外无跟随的纯无人驾驶。无论是否相信马斯克的说法,分析师选择采信。若其所言属实,这将是特斯拉自动驾驶发展的重要里程碑。同时,特斯拉 Robotaxi 的累计付费行驶里程正快速增长,预计随着落地范围的扩大,这一数据的增长速度还将进一步加快。特斯拉计划在 2026 年上半年,将 Robotaxi 的运营范围拓展至另外 7 座主要城市。对机器人与自动驾驶项目的看法尽管特斯拉的前沿项目落地进度慢于预期,但不可否认其正稳步推进,目前下最终结论仍为时过早,整体前景值得期待。分析师认为,到下一季度,我们就能更清晰地判断 Robotaxi 是否具备规模化运营的可行性:若奥斯汀的无监督无人驾驶能顺利放量,就证明这一模式是可行的;而一旦技术得到验证,以特斯拉的实力,后续的规模化落地将相对容易。如今特斯拉正临近这一关键转折点,其背后的商业价值巨大。相较而言,擎天柱机器人的商业化落地需要更长时间,或许还需数个季度,我们才能看清其发展轨迹。特斯拉的估值依旧高起谈及特斯拉,必然要提及其高得离谱的估值:过去 12 个月,公司每股收益仅 1.67 美元,静态市盈率高达 249 倍;静态自由现金流为 62.2 亿美元,对应 1.38 万亿美元的市值,自由现金流市盈率约 222 倍。但市场几乎从未在意过这一估值水平,因为特斯拉的估值并非基于当前业绩,而是其未来的发展潜力 —— 这一潜力虽难以量化,却真实存在。例如,Precedence Research 的一项研究显示,全球 Robotaxi 市场规模 2024 年为 27.7 亿美元,2025 年预计增至 44.3 亿美元,2034 年或将达到 1889.1 亿美元,2025-2034 年的复合年增长率高达 52.54%。而这还只是 Robotaxi 一个业务的市场潜力,因此,切勿以传统车企的估值逻辑来衡量特斯拉。这也是特斯拉 2026 年豪掷 200 亿美元投资高增长项目的原因,正是这些前沿布局支撑着公司的高估值。一旦特斯拉将发展重点重新放回汽车业务,市场就会将其视作普通车企,届时公司股价或将遭遇暴跌。市场情绪是推动特斯拉上涨的核心因素,相较单一的估值指标,我们更应关注情绪变化 —— 尽管分析师承认,当前市值已充分反映了公司的未来预期。仍处上行趋势,但预警信号已现从技术面来看,特斯拉仍在创造更高的高点和低点,最近的阶段性低点为 11 月 14 日的 382.78 美元,上行趋势在技术层面仍保持完好,分析师并不建议做空该股。但当前已出现明确的预警信号:尽管管理层在财报电话会议中释放了诸多利好,但财报发布后特斯拉股价仍下跌 3.45%。在 Robotaxi 项目取得更明确的进展,且市场开始认可其价值之前,分析师并不建议抄底特斯拉。结论特斯拉目前正处于一个尴尬的境地:短期财务表现疲软,而长期前沿项目虽稳步推进、足以支撑股价,但现阶段仍难以做出确定性判断。如今的特斯拉,估值高企、未来尚存不确定性,且财报发布后的市场表现不尽如人意。同时,分析师并不认为 SpaceX 与特斯拉的合并会落地,这一传闻不足以让分析师将其评级调回买入。此外,分析师去年 3 月提出的期权投资策略已完成兑现,当前特斯拉的风险收益比已出现不利变化。基于以上原因,分析师将特斯拉的评级从买入下调至持有。目前,分析师会等待更多证据证明 Robotaxi 具备无监督规模化运营的能力,同时持续关注合并传闻的后续进展。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1.98,"TSYY":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"CRSH":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"UFO":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"TSLO":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":527330202167000,"gmtCreate":1769750937368,"gmtModify":1769750940002,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"华尔街貌似真的是才看懂和相信这个布局, 这反射弧距离木头姐差远了","listText":"华尔街貌似真的是才看懂和相信这个布局, 这反射弧距离木头姐差远了","text":"华尔街貌似真的是才看懂和相信这个布局, 这反射弧距离木头姐差远了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/527330202167000","repostId":"2607065477","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2607065477","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1769735680,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2607065477?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-30 09:14","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"即将见证“超级商业帝国”诞生? 马斯克欲将“AI、机器人、商业航天与太空算力”装进同一估值表","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2607065477","media":"智通财经","summary":"据媒体报道,知情人士称,这家太空探索公司管理层已经讨论SpaceX与特斯拉联手的可行性,这一想法正受到部分大型机构投资者推动;知情人士要求匿名,因为相关信息尚未公开。马斯克以及SpaceX、xAI与特斯拉的代表未立即回应置评请求。若在这项超级工程上确实可行,xAI与特斯拉都将很有可能从SpaceX在太空轨道上的数据中心所提供的计算能力中获得巨大收益。","content":"<html><body><p>智通财经APP获悉,马斯克创立并掌舵的两家科技巨头——<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>与在SpaceX,正在积极考虑合并,此举或许是为了在SpaceX上市前大幅提高这家全球太空探索独角兽公司的估值规模,或者说是马斯克为了万亿美元薪酬KPI而力争大举拔高特斯拉市值。</p><p>据了解,据媒体援引知情人士透露的消息报道称,SpaceX正在考虑与特斯拉进行潜在的重大合并项目,同时SpaceX高级管理层也在研究与马斯克创立的另一家初创公司——同时也是OpenAI最强劲竞争对手之一的xAI进行替代性大规模合并方案,这些潜在举措都表明这位亿万富翁正在权衡如何建立起人类史上最为庞大的“科技商业<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00776\">帝国</a>”——“马斯克超级商业帝国”。</p><p>据媒体报道,知情人士称,这家太空探索公司管理层已经讨论SpaceX与特斯拉联手的可行性,这一想法正受到部分大型机构投资者推动;知情人士要求匿名,因为相关信息尚未公开。知情人士还表示,他们也在SpaceX计划2026年美股市场首次公开募股(IPO)之前,探索SpaceX与xAI联手合并的另一替代方案,毕竟以特斯拉的万亿美元市值规模,若合并进程开启,可能遭遇监管层面的重大挑战。</p><p>知情人士表示,有关这三家科技公司的任何交易动态都可能吸引庞大的基础设施基金与中东主权财富投资者们的浓厚注资兴趣。另有一位知情人士称,交易也可能需要一笔规模相当可观的融资规模。</p><p>据媒体报道,目前SpaceX尚未作出任何的最终决定,细节随时可能变化,这家估值高达1.5万亿美元的太空探索公司也可能选择继续保持独立。马斯克以及SpaceX、xAI与特斯拉的代表未立即回应置评请求。</p><p>估值破万亿美元的SpaceX上市前的造势?</p><p>马斯克关于SpaceX的宏大愿景——让该公司把超大规模AI数据中心送入太空,在太空上实现为地球上那些无比庞大的人工智能应用提供高度复杂的计算工作负载,其向太空发射的不同数据中心核心组成部分,可能在上述不同方案下得到定制化服务。若在这项超级工程上确实可行,xAI与特斯拉都将很有可能从SpaceX在太空轨道上的数据中心所提供的计算能力中获得巨大收益。</p><p>位于太空轨道的超大规模AI数据中心,可能成为xAI的最前沿代理式AI智能体应用以及特斯拉基于AI超算体系的FSD(完全自动驾驶)、“擎天柱”人形机器人以及完全无人自动驾驶出租车体系背后的最核心基础设施。此外,特斯拉制造庞大储能系统的独家能力,可能帮助SpaceX在太空中利用无止境的太阳能来为这些数据中心供电。</p><p>在马斯克的商业版图里,SpaceX更像“核心层基础设施公司”:它把“进入太空”(发射)和“在轨可用”(卫星通信/服务)这两件事做成了可规模化、可复制、可定价的能力,从而同时拥有高频发射的生产力与Starlink/Starshield这种持续性的服务营收增长曲线。SpaceX还通过面向情报与国防的项目加深了“国家级基础设施”属性。</p><p>SpaceX当前深度聚焦的太空AI算力体系,可谓与特斯拉未来的AI算力资源密切相关联——SpaceX引领的“太空数据中心/太空轨道算力’牛市叙事将为特斯拉AI、自动驾驶、Robotaxi乃至人形机器人雄心壮志提供最核心的基础设施支撑体系。在马斯克的AI算力基础设施规划中,随着人工智能热潮开始受到越来越大规模的基础设施和能源供应的瓶颈,人工智能的下一次重大飞跃可能不会发生在陆地上,而是在太空上。</p><p>马斯克还曾讨论使用SpaceX的旗舰产品——星舰(Starship)火箭把特斯拉的Optimus“擎天柱”人形机器人运送到月球以及火星地面。</p><p>周四美股盘后交易中,特斯拉股价在合并相关的动态消息催化之下,一度上涨多达4.5%。该股在美股常规交易时段下跌3.5%,截至周四收盘时特斯拉公司市值约为1.56万亿美元。此前多家媒体报道称,SpaceX正以2026年美股IPO为目标,拟将该太空探索独角兽公司估值定在约1.5万亿美元。</p><p>内华达州企业门户网站显示,1月21日,内华达州设立了两个名称中包含“merger sub”(合并子公司)字样的法律实体,并将SpaceX首席财务官布雷特·约翰森(Bret Johnsen)列为负责人。</p><p>此前有媒体报道称,如果Space推挤X与xAI的潜在合并,xAI的股份将被交换为SpaceX的股份,与此同时作为潜在合并的一部分,一些xAI高管可能有权选择领取现金而非SpaceX股票。</p><p>知情人士称,SpaceX正在权衡于6月上市,时间点接近马斯克生日,并可能寻求筹资高达500亿美元,这也将成为史上最大规模的IPO项目。华尔街最大规模投行们——即美国银行($Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$.)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>(Goldman Sachs)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>(JPMorgan Chase & Co.)以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>(Morgan Stanley)预计将担任核心投行角色。</p><p>周三有媒体报道称,曾因让年轻人沉迷股票交易而声名鹊起,且有着“散户们最爱的交易平台”称号的美国“网红券商”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HOOD\">Robinhood</a> Markets Inc.正争取在SpaceX这场规模空前的重磅IPO中获得面向散户们的关键投行型角色。</p><p>SpaceX的约翰森在12月曾经对员工们表示,潜在IPO项目将有助于推动其仍在研发中的星舰火箭实现“近乎疯狂的发射频次”,以及在月球上建立一个庞大的基地。</p><p>这真不是拍科幻片! 集齐“造车+AI+自动驾驶+Robotaxi+人形机器人+星链系商业<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000901\">航天</a>+太空算力+......”的科技巨无霸即将诞生</p><p>随着特斯拉CEO马斯克在业绩电话会议上释放出关于大规模储能、人工智能、完全自动驾驶(FSD)、Robotaxi以及革新式的“擎天柱”(Optimus)人形机器人方面的积极进展,市场选择相信马斯克所描摹出的“特斯拉超级科技帝国”,即使出现首个全年营收下滑以及惨淡的第四季度利润,该公司股价在最新动态消息刺激下,盘后仍呈现上涨轨迹。此外,即使近期业绩持续萎靡,也挡不住特斯拉股价自2025年下半年以来股价涨势如虹,高达50%。</p><p>更加重磅的是,那些选择长期持有特斯拉股票以及逢低加仓特斯拉的“马斯克信徒们”不断将估值高达1.5万亿美元且筹划美股IPO的太空探索领军者——SpaceX(也是由马斯克创立并掌舵)“星链狂野扩张与太空人工智能算力系统超级增长叙事”与特斯拉基本面前景进行捆绑,在多种“赛博科技”合力加持之下的无比强大的信仰力量,可谓强有力地支撑着特斯拉的长期增长叙事逻辑以及历史最高级别估值。</p><p>在特斯拉核心业务陷入挣扎之际,马斯克试图将投资者的注意力转移到其他方向,市场似乎也愈发认可AI、自动驾驶、新兴的Robotaxi完全无人驾驶出租车以及尚未实现大规模量产的“擎天柱”人形机器人,乃至与马斯克本人深度捆绑的全球商业<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00031\">航天</a>与太空探索领军者SpaceX,才是“特斯拉帝国”的核心驱动力,这些长期层面的宏大叙事,继续给特斯拉本已高企的估值更加庞大的想象空间。尤其是,他大力宣传公司尚处于萌芽阶段、尚未上市的Robotaxi业务以及Optimus人形机器人。</p><p>马斯克表示,特斯拉计划将其在加利福尼亚州弗里蒙特生产Model S和X的工厂生产线改造成生产即将推出的Optimus“擎天柱”AI人形机器人的大规模生产线。“我们真的正在进入一个基于自主以及全自动化的AI未来,”马斯克在业绩会议上表示,这番话也让投资者们为特斯拉持续高水平的资本支出做好准备工作。特斯拉管理层在业绩电话会上多次强调,Cybercab、Semi卡车、“擎天柱”人形机器人储能系统Megapack 3均按计划今年开始量产。</p><p>在人形机器人方面,特斯拉CEO马斯克表示,计划在本季度发布第三代Optimus。“第三代是我们首个面向大规模量产的人形机器人设计,”马斯克表示。特斯拉开发Optimus人形机器人的目标是未来将其作为一种双足、具备超级人工智能系统的机器人出售,可执行从工厂工作到照看婴儿等各类任务,甚至未来将执行SpaceX所发起的太空探索任务乃至登陆火星执行任务。</p><p>马斯克强调,Optimus人形机器人在2025年与2026年继续进行重大升级,包括最新手部设计,第三代Optimus Gen-3 为首个“面向规模化量产”的设计;该公司强调,已开始为首条大规模生产线做供应链与产线准备,目标“在2026年底前启动量产线”,长期产能目标为最终达到一年100万台。</p><p>在公布Q4业绩的同时,特斯拉在一份声明中表示,1月16日公司达成协议,将作为“其近期已公开披露的融资轮”的重要部分,向马斯克创立的人工智能初创公司——同时也是OpenAI最强劲竞争对手之一的xAI投资约20亿美元。本月早些时候,这家OpenAI的最强劲竞争对手表示其新一轮融资额已经达到200亿美元,超过此前150亿美元的目标,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">思科</a>(Cisco)这两大美国科技巨头都参与了本轮融资。</p><p>特斯拉强调,对xAI的最新大规模投资以及与该公司的长期合作,“旨在增强特斯拉将最前沿AI应用产品和服务以规模化方式开发并部署到物理世界中的强大能力”。</p><p>SpaceX,以及该太空探索公司的Starlink(星链)与正在按计划打造的太空AI算力系统是独立主体SpaceX旗下的旗舰业务,但是SpaceX与特斯拉所构造起来的这种“马斯克生态”足以影响特斯拉股价长期情绪与长期赛博科技叙事溢价。SpaceX 的重大进展(例如IPO传闻/推进、Starlink增长、太空AI算力基础设施建设进程等等)会大幅强化市场对马斯克执行力与风险偏好的深度积极评估,从而影响特斯拉的长期估值中枢并为特斯拉长期叙事持续带来新的催化剂。</p><p>随着全球AI数据中心的最大瓶颈正在从“AI芯片”转向“电力系统与部署”,SpaceX叙事系统里“把数据中心送上太空轨道、用太阳能供电”的构想,正在进入工程化试错期,资本市场迫切需要规模更大、更稳定的资本池与更统一的组织边界。因此,仅仅只是把“商业航空(Starlink/Starshield)+算力(地面/未来轨道)+模型(Grok AI大模型/AI智能体产品)+营销/分发(X社交媒体平台)”并成一个融资主体,就足以成为全球资本市场史无前例的“宏大叙事框架”。</p><p>世界首富马斯克,似乎在把“商业航天发射+星链通信+太空AI算力系统/AI大模型+能源/储能+电动汽车+自动驾驶+机器人制造”串成一条可融资、可讲清楚的“超级垂直一体化资产链”,以便在资本市场与产业端同时放大杠杆。能把“AI、通信、航天、能源、机器人”这些全球最热门投资主题或者叙事统一成一个“全栈基础设施平台”,对超大规模IPO的定价、拔高特斯拉估值、前中期IPO路演、投资者结构无疑都有重大帮助。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>即将见证“超级商业帝国”诞生? 马斯克欲将“AI、机器人、商业航天与太空算力”装进同一估值表</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n即将见证“超级商业帝国”诞生? 马斯克欲将“AI、机器人、商业航天与太空算力”装进同一估值表\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-30 09:14 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1399532.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉,马斯克创立并掌舵的两家科技巨头——特斯拉与在SpaceX,正在积极考虑合并,此举或许是为了在SpaceX上市前大幅提高这家全球太空探索独角兽公司的估值规模,或者说是马斯克为了万亿美元薪酬KPI而力争大举拔高特斯拉市值。据了解,据媒体援引知情人士透露的消息报道称,SpaceX正在考虑与特斯拉进行潜在的重大合并项目,同时SpaceX高级管理层也在研究与马斯克创立的另一家初创公司——...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1399532.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","BK4543":"AI","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 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INC"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1399532.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2607065477","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉,马斯克创立并掌舵的两家科技巨头——特斯拉与在SpaceX,正在积极考虑合并,此举或许是为了在SpaceX上市前大幅提高这家全球太空探索独角兽公司的估值规模,或者说是马斯克为了万亿美元薪酬KPI而力争大举拔高特斯拉市值。据了解,据媒体援引知情人士透露的消息报道称,SpaceX正在考虑与特斯拉进行潜在的重大合并项目,同时SpaceX高级管理层也在研究与马斯克创立的另一家初创公司——同时也是OpenAI最强劲竞争对手之一的xAI进行替代性大规模合并方案,这些潜在举措都表明这位亿万富翁正在权衡如何建立起人类史上最为庞大的“科技商业帝国”——“马斯克超级商业帝国”。据媒体报道,知情人士称,这家太空探索公司管理层已经讨论SpaceX与特斯拉联手的可行性,这一想法正受到部分大型机构投资者推动;知情人士要求匿名,因为相关信息尚未公开。知情人士还表示,他们也在SpaceX计划2026年美股市场首次公开募股(IPO)之前,探索SpaceX与xAI联手合并的另一替代方案,毕竟以特斯拉的万亿美元市值规模,若合并进程开启,可能遭遇监管层面的重大挑战。知情人士表示,有关这三家科技公司的任何交易动态都可能吸引庞大的基础设施基金与中东主权财富投资者们的浓厚注资兴趣。另有一位知情人士称,交易也可能需要一笔规模相当可观的融资规模。据媒体报道,目前SpaceX尚未作出任何的最终决定,细节随时可能变化,这家估值高达1.5万亿美元的太空探索公司也可能选择继续保持独立。马斯克以及SpaceX、xAI与特斯拉的代表未立即回应置评请求。估值破万亿美元的SpaceX上市前的造势?马斯克关于SpaceX的宏大愿景——让该公司把超大规模AI数据中心送入太空,在太空上实现为地球上那些无比庞大的人工智能应用提供高度复杂的计算工作负载,其向太空发射的不同数据中心核心组成部分,可能在上述不同方案下得到定制化服务。若在这项超级工程上确实可行,xAI与特斯拉都将很有可能从SpaceX在太空轨道上的数据中心所提供的计算能力中获得巨大收益。位于太空轨道的超大规模AI数据中心,可能成为xAI的最前沿代理式AI智能体应用以及特斯拉基于AI超算体系的FSD(完全自动驾驶)、“擎天柱”人形机器人以及完全无人自动驾驶出租车体系背后的最核心基础设施。此外,特斯拉制造庞大储能系统的独家能力,可能帮助SpaceX在太空中利用无止境的太阳能来为这些数据中心供电。在马斯克的商业版图里,SpaceX更像“核心层基础设施公司”:它把“进入太空”(发射)和“在轨可用”(卫星通信/服务)这两件事做成了可规模化、可复制、可定价的能力,从而同时拥有高频发射的生产力与Starlink/Starshield这种持续性的服务营收增长曲线。SpaceX还通过面向情报与国防的项目加深了“国家级基础设施”属性。SpaceX当前深度聚焦的太空AI算力体系,可谓与特斯拉未来的AI算力资源密切相关联——SpaceX引领的“太空数据中心/太空轨道算力’牛市叙事将为特斯拉AI、自动驾驶、Robotaxi乃至人形机器人雄心壮志提供最核心的基础设施支撑体系。在马斯克的AI算力基础设施规划中,随着人工智能热潮开始受到越来越大规模的基础设施和能源供应的瓶颈,人工智能的下一次重大飞跃可能不会发生在陆地上,而是在太空上。马斯克还曾讨论使用SpaceX的旗舰产品——星舰(Starship)火箭把特斯拉的Optimus“擎天柱”人形机器人运送到月球以及火星地面。周四美股盘后交易中,特斯拉股价在合并相关的动态消息催化之下,一度上涨多达4.5%。该股在美股常规交易时段下跌3.5%,截至周四收盘时特斯拉公司市值约为1.56万亿美元。此前多家媒体报道称,SpaceX正以2026年美股IPO为目标,拟将该太空探索独角兽公司估值定在约1.5万亿美元。内华达州企业门户网站显示,1月21日,内华达州设立了两个名称中包含“merger sub”(合并子公司)字样的法律实体,并将SpaceX首席财务官布雷特·约翰森(Bret Johnsen)列为负责人。此前有媒体报道称,如果Space推挤X与xAI的潜在合并,xAI的股份将被交换为SpaceX的股份,与此同时作为潜在合并的一部分,一些xAI高管可能有权选择领取现金而非SpaceX股票。知情人士称,SpaceX正在权衡于6月上市,时间点接近马斯克生日,并可能寻求筹资高达500亿美元,这也将成为史上最大规模的IPO项目。华尔街最大规模投行们——即美国银行($Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$.)、高盛(Goldman Sachs)、摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase & Co.)以及摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)预计将担任核心投行角色。周三有媒体报道称,曾因让年轻人沉迷股票交易而声名鹊起,且有着“散户们最爱的交易平台”称号的美国“网红券商”Robinhood Markets Inc.正争取在SpaceX这场规模空前的重磅IPO中获得面向散户们的关键投行型角色。SpaceX的约翰森在12月曾经对员工们表示,潜在IPO项目将有助于推动其仍在研发中的星舰火箭实现“近乎疯狂的发射频次”,以及在月球上建立一个庞大的基地。这真不是拍科幻片! 集齐“造车+AI+自动驾驶+Robotaxi+人形机器人+星链系商业航天+太空算力+......”的科技巨无霸即将诞生随着特斯拉CEO马斯克在业绩电话会议上释放出关于大规模储能、人工智能、完全自动驾驶(FSD)、Robotaxi以及革新式的“擎天柱”(Optimus)人形机器人方面的积极进展,市场选择相信马斯克所描摹出的“特斯拉超级科技帝国”,即使出现首个全年营收下滑以及惨淡的第四季度利润,该公司股价在最新动态消息刺激下,盘后仍呈现上涨轨迹。此外,即使近期业绩持续萎靡,也挡不住特斯拉股价自2025年下半年以来股价涨势如虹,高达50%。更加重磅的是,那些选择长期持有特斯拉股票以及逢低加仓特斯拉的“马斯克信徒们”不断将估值高达1.5万亿美元且筹划美股IPO的太空探索领军者——SpaceX(也是由马斯克创立并掌舵)“星链狂野扩张与太空人工智能算力系统超级增长叙事”与特斯拉基本面前景进行捆绑,在多种“赛博科技”合力加持之下的无比强大的信仰力量,可谓强有力地支撑着特斯拉的长期增长叙事逻辑以及历史最高级别估值。在特斯拉核心业务陷入挣扎之际,马斯克试图将投资者的注意力转移到其他方向,市场似乎也愈发认可AI、自动驾驶、新兴的Robotaxi完全无人驾驶出租车以及尚未实现大规模量产的“擎天柱”人形机器人,乃至与马斯克本人深度捆绑的全球商业航天与太空探索领军者SpaceX,才是“特斯拉帝国”的核心驱动力,这些长期层面的宏大叙事,继续给特斯拉本已高企的估值更加庞大的想象空间。尤其是,他大力宣传公司尚处于萌芽阶段、尚未上市的Robotaxi业务以及Optimus人形机器人。马斯克表示,特斯拉计划将其在加利福尼亚州弗里蒙特生产Model S和X的工厂生产线改造成生产即将推出的Optimus“擎天柱”AI人形机器人的大规模生产线。“我们真的正在进入一个基于自主以及全自动化的AI未来,”马斯克在业绩会议上表示,这番话也让投资者们为特斯拉持续高水平的资本支出做好准备工作。特斯拉管理层在业绩电话会上多次强调,Cybercab、Semi卡车、“擎天柱”人形机器人储能系统Megapack 3均按计划今年开始量产。在人形机器人方面,特斯拉CEO马斯克表示,计划在本季度发布第三代Optimus。“第三代是我们首个面向大规模量产的人形机器人设计,”马斯克表示。特斯拉开发Optimus人形机器人的目标是未来将其作为一种双足、具备超级人工智能系统的机器人出售,可执行从工厂工作到照看婴儿等各类任务,甚至未来将执行SpaceX所发起的太空探索任务乃至登陆火星执行任务。马斯克强调,Optimus人形机器人在2025年与2026年继续进行重大升级,包括最新手部设计,第三代Optimus Gen-3 为首个“面向规模化量产”的设计;该公司强调,已开始为首条大规模生产线做供应链与产线准备,目标“在2026年底前启动量产线”,长期产能目标为最终达到一年100万台。在公布Q4业绩的同时,特斯拉在一份声明中表示,1月16日公司达成协议,将作为“其近期已公开披露的融资轮”的重要部分,向马斯克创立的人工智能初创公司——同时也是OpenAI最强劲竞争对手之一的xAI投资约20亿美元。本月早些时候,这家OpenAI的最强劲竞争对手表示其新一轮融资额已经达到200亿美元,超过此前150亿美元的目标,英伟达以及思科(Cisco)这两大美国科技巨头都参与了本轮融资。特斯拉强调,对xAI的最新大规模投资以及与该公司的长期合作,“旨在增强特斯拉将最前沿AI应用产品和服务以规模化方式开发并部署到物理世界中的强大能力”。SpaceX,以及该太空探索公司的Starlink(星链)与正在按计划打造的太空AI算力系统是独立主体SpaceX旗下的旗舰业务,但是SpaceX与特斯拉所构造起来的这种“马斯克生态”足以影响特斯拉股价长期情绪与长期赛博科技叙事溢价。SpaceX 的重大进展(例如IPO传闻/推进、Starlink增长、太空AI算力基础设施建设进程等等)会大幅强化市场对马斯克执行力与风险偏好的深度积极评估,从而影响特斯拉的长期估值中枢并为特斯拉长期叙事持续带来新的催化剂。随着全球AI数据中心的最大瓶颈正在从“AI芯片”转向“电力系统与部署”,SpaceX叙事系统里“把数据中心送上太空轨道、用太阳能供电”的构想,正在进入工程化试错期,资本市场迫切需要规模更大、更稳定的资本池与更统一的组织边界。因此,仅仅只是把“商业航空(Starlink/Starshield)+算力(地面/未来轨道)+模型(Grok AI大模型/AI智能体产品)+营销/分发(X社交媒体平台)”并成一个融资主体,就足以成为全球资本市场史无前例的“宏大叙事框架”。世界首富马斯克,似乎在把“商业航天发射+星链通信+太空AI算力系统/AI大模型+能源/储能+电动汽车+自动驾驶+机器人制造”串成一条可融资、可讲清楚的“超级垂直一体化资产链”,以便在资本市场与产业端同时放大杠杆。能把“AI、通信、航天、能源、机器人”这些全球最热门投资主题或者叙事统一成一个“全栈基础设施平台”,对超大规模IPO的定价、拔高特斯拉估值、前中期IPO路演、投资者结构无疑都有重大帮助。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CRSH":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"UFO":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"TSLL":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"TSLO":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"TSLA":1.98,"TSLY":0.6,"07766":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":391,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":527302444159912,"gmtCreate":1769744086054,"gmtModify":1769744088355,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"why Not cyberT","listText":"why Not cyberT","text":"why Not cyberT","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/527302444159912","repostId":"2607061537","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2607061537","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1769739934,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2607061537?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-30 10:25","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"马斯克刚脱口而出,特斯拉便紧急提交“Cybercar”与“Cybervehicle”商标申请","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2607061537","media":"盖世汽车","summary":"近日,在埃隆马斯克于公司2025年第四季度财报电话会议中说出两个新名称后,特斯拉在 37 秒内接连提交了两项全新商标申请。此前,特斯拉就因行动再次拖沓,未能成功拿下 “Cybercab” 商标专用权,如今这一幕再度上演。","content":"<html><body><article><p>近日,在埃隆・马斯克于公司2025年第四季度财报电话会议中说出两个新名称后,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>在 37 秒内接连提交了两项全新商标申请。此前,特斯拉就因行动再次拖沓,未能成功拿下 “Cybercab” 商标专用权,如今这一幕再度上演。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20260130102537457d1520zrrp1j2do9\"/><p>图片来源:特斯拉</p><p>根据科技媒体 Electrek 获取的美国专利商标局备案记录,特斯拉于 2026 年 1 月 28 日提交了两项新商标申请,两项申请的提交时间仅相隔 37 秒。</p><p>特斯拉 2025 年第四季度财报电话会议于美国东部时间昨日下午 5 点 30 分开启,而这两项商标申请在当晚 7 点 32 分至 7 点 33 分完成美国专利商标局的提交备案,彼时会议刚结束不久。</p><p>会议中,特斯拉首席执行官埃隆・马斯克这样说道:“之所以要调整名称,是因为我们打造的专属双座自动驾驶车型 Cybercab,容易让大家将其与‘自动驾驶出租车(robotaxi)的概念混淆,为这份混淆致歉。事实上,在美国部分州,我们被禁止使用cab(出租车)或taxi(出租车)这类词汇,后续的命名会变得更特别,可能会采用 Cybervehicle、Cybercar 这类名称。而我们研发的 Cybercab 这款专属车型,是没有方向盘和脚踏板的。”</p><p>其中的缘由不言而喻:特斯拉的法务团队全程旁听了这场财报电话会议,马斯克刚说出新产品名称,团队便立刻行动,抢在其他机构之前提交商标申请。</p><p>这一操作,显然是特斯拉对本月初曝出的 “Cybercab 商标乌龙事件” 的回应,这起事件也曾让特斯拉颇为尴尬。</p><p>先来看 Cybercab 商标的始末:特斯拉先公开宣布了这款车型的名称,却未提前提交商标申请,这就给了商标抢注者可乘之机,让对方抢先一步完成注册。如今,一家苏打气泡水公司竟在这款特斯拉旗舰自动驾驶车型的名称商标上,拥有了优先使用权。</p><p>而特斯拉此前申请 “Robotaxi” 商标时也遭遇失败,原因是美国专利商标局认定该名称属于通用词汇,不具备专属注册的条件。</p><p>特斯拉就此陷入两难境地:“Robotaxi” 因过于通用无法注册,“Cybercab” 则被一家苏打气泡水公司截胡。</p><p>从昨夜的商标提交操作来看,特斯拉似乎也算吸取了教训,只是方式有些离谱。</p><p>原本最稳妥的解决方案,是在马斯克公开宣布产品名称前就完成商标提交,可特斯拉却选择在马斯克于公开电话会议中说出名称后,火速安排律师提交申请。</p><p>这一做法虽做到了快速响应,却始终处于被动状态,而非主动布局。</p><p>如今的问题是,“Cybercar” 和 “Cybervehicle” 这两个名称是否会遭遇同样的注册难题。尽管特斯拉已成功注册 “Cybertruck” 商标,这两项新申请的获批难度或许会低一些,但美国专利商标局此前曾对特斯拉所有带 “Cyber” 前缀的商标申请进行过严格审查,此次结果仍未可知。</p><p>实在令人难以置信,一家市值数千亿美元的企业,竟会以这样的方式制定商标策略。</p><p>企业注册商标的常规流程其实十分简单:内部敲定产品名称后,先提交商标申请,再对外正式公布。苹果公司一直如此操作,各大主流车企也皆是如此,这是企业运营的入门级常识。</p><p>而特斯拉的操作流程看起来却是:马斯克在公开电话会议中想到什么就说什么,法务团队则慌忙赶在投机者之前,向美国专利商标局提交商标申请文件。</p><p>特斯拉在财报电话会议刚结束时,以 37 秒的间隔接连提交两项商标申请,这一个细节,就足以让外界看清这家公司的运营方式:它根本没有一套协调统一的产品命名策略,一切不过是马斯克的即兴发挥,其他团队只能被动跟进。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n马斯克刚脱口而出,特斯拉便紧急提交“Cybercar”与“Cybervehicle”商标申请\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-30 10:25 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260130103333a4670a3b&s=b><strong>盖世汽车</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>近日,在埃隆・马斯克于公司2025年第四季度财报电话会议中说出两个新名称后,特斯拉在 37 秒内接连提交了两项全新商标申请。此前,特斯拉就因行动再次拖沓,未能成功拿下 “Cybercab” 商标专用权,如今这一幕再度上演。图片来源:特斯拉根据科技媒体 Electrek 获取的美国专利商标局备案记录,特斯拉于 2026 年 1 月 28 日提交了两项新商标申请,两项申请的提交时间仅相隔 37 秒。...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260130103333a4670a3b&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","BK4604":"机器人概念","LU1674673691.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (USD) INC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU2420271590.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1674673428.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) 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\"A\" (USD) ACC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2403377893.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (USD) INC","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","TSYY":"收益增强TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","TSDD":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","LU2360107168.USD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU2236285917.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260130103333a4670a3b&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2607061537","content_text":"近日,在埃隆・马斯克于公司2025年第四季度财报电话会议中说出两个新名称后,特斯拉在 37 秒内接连提交了两项全新商标申请。此前,特斯拉就因行动再次拖沓,未能成功拿下 “Cybercab” 商标专用权,如今这一幕再度上演。图片来源:特斯拉根据科技媒体 Electrek 获取的美国专利商标局备案记录,特斯拉于 2026 年 1 月 28 日提交了两项新商标申请,两项申请的提交时间仅相隔 37 秒。特斯拉 2025 年第四季度财报电话会议于美国东部时间昨日下午 5 点 30 分开启,而这两项商标申请在当晚 7 点 32 分至 7 点 33 分完成美国专利商标局的提交备案,彼时会议刚结束不久。会议中,特斯拉首席执行官埃隆・马斯克这样说道:“之所以要调整名称,是因为我们打造的专属双座自动驾驶车型 Cybercab,容易让大家将其与‘自动驾驶出租车(robotaxi)的概念混淆,为这份混淆致歉。事实上,在美国部分州,我们被禁止使用cab(出租车)或taxi(出租车)这类词汇,后续的命名会变得更特别,可能会采用 Cybervehicle、Cybercar 这类名称。而我们研发的 Cybercab 这款专属车型,是没有方向盘和脚踏板的。”其中的缘由不言而喻:特斯拉的法务团队全程旁听了这场财报电话会议,马斯克刚说出新产品名称,团队便立刻行动,抢在其他机构之前提交商标申请。这一操作,显然是特斯拉对本月初曝出的 “Cybercab 商标乌龙事件” 的回应,这起事件也曾让特斯拉颇为尴尬。先来看 Cybercab 商标的始末:特斯拉先公开宣布了这款车型的名称,却未提前提交商标申请,这就给了商标抢注者可乘之机,让对方抢先一步完成注册。如今,一家苏打气泡水公司竟在这款特斯拉旗舰自动驾驶车型的名称商标上,拥有了优先使用权。而特斯拉此前申请 “Robotaxi” 商标时也遭遇失败,原因是美国专利商标局认定该名称属于通用词汇,不具备专属注册的条件。特斯拉就此陷入两难境地:“Robotaxi” 因过于通用无法注册,“Cybercab” 则被一家苏打气泡水公司截胡。从昨夜的商标提交操作来看,特斯拉似乎也算吸取了教训,只是方式有些离谱。原本最稳妥的解决方案,是在马斯克公开宣布产品名称前就完成商标提交,可特斯拉却选择在马斯克于公开电话会议中说出名称后,火速安排律师提交申请。这一做法虽做到了快速响应,却始终处于被动状态,而非主动布局。如今的问题是,“Cybercar” 和 “Cybervehicle” 这两个名称是否会遭遇同样的注册难题。尽管特斯拉已成功注册 “Cybertruck” 商标,这两项新申请的获批难度或许会低一些,但美国专利商标局此前曾对特斯拉所有带 “Cyber” 前缀的商标申请进行过严格审查,此次结果仍未可知。实在令人难以置信,一家市值数千亿美元的企业,竟会以这样的方式制定商标策略。企业注册商标的常规流程其实十分简单:内部敲定产品名称后,先提交商标申请,再对外正式公布。苹果公司一直如此操作,各大主流车企也皆是如此,这是企业运营的入门级常识。而特斯拉的操作流程看起来却是:马斯克在公开电话会议中想到什么就说什么,法务团队则慌忙赶在投机者之前,向美国专利商标局提交商标申请文件。特斯拉在财报电话会议刚结束时,以 37 秒的间隔接连提交两项商标申请,这一个细节,就足以让外界看清这家公司的运营方式:它根本没有一套协调统一的产品命名策略,一切不过是马斯克的即兴发挥,其他团队只能被动跟进。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSDD":0.6,"UFO":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TSLA":1.97,"CRSH":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TSLO":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSL":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":527132788666552,"gmtCreate":1769702662255,"gmtModify":1769702665067,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"市场的反应过头了, 本来也没指望月月降息啊 , 暂停影响流动性不影响预期","listText":"市场的反应过头了, 本来也没指望月月降息啊 , 暂停影响流动性不影响预期","text":"市场的反应过头了, 本来也没指望月月降息啊 , 暂停影响流动性不影响预期","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/527132788666552","repostId":"2607038183","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2607038183","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1769700652,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2607038183?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-29 23:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储“鸽派暂停”意味着什么?大摩:未来降息路径将更多由通胀驱动","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2607038183","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美联储1月会议实施 “鸽派暂停” ,摩根士丹利解读认为,未来的降息路径已从依赖就业市场疲软,转向主要取决于通胀数据能否如预期般回落。该行维持美联储将在6月和9月降息的预测,但提示若经济动能超强、反通胀进程受阻,也存在全年不降息的上行风险。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>据<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>发布的最新研报,美联储在1月的FOMC会议上实施了一次“鸽派暂停”。尽管维持利率不变,但美联储释放的信号表明,未来的降息路径将发生转变,不再单纯依赖劳动力市场的疲软,而是更多地取决于通胀数据的回落表现。</p><p>据追风交易台,1月29日,摩根士丹利在研报中指出,<strong>美联储主席鲍威尔在会议上强调了经济数据的强劲表现以及劳动力市场出现的“些许企稳迹象”。</strong>最为关键的是,美联储对关税引发的通胀将是“暂时性”的这一判断保持信心。鲍威尔表示,<strong>此前作为“风险管理式”降息理由的就业下行风险已经减弱,而通胀的上行风险同样有所下降。</strong></p><p>这意味着美联储并不急于进一步放松政策。摩根士丹利的经济学家团队认为,<strong>委员会目前倾向于在看到通胀出现更明确的减速迹象后才会降低政策利率。</strong>基于反通胀证据可能在今年晚些时候出现的预期,该行维持美联储将在6月和9月进行降息的展望。</p><p>虽然鲍威尔未对未来降息的具体驱动因素做出明确承诺,但摩根士丹利解读认为,<strong>美联储仍持有宽松倾向,并将当前的政策立场视为“定位良好”。</strong>只要经济前景如美联储预期的那样发展,政策利率将在通胀减速的证据确立后逐步下调,而当前的利率水平被认为处于中性区间的上限,适合引导通胀下行。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/10f3d5ced154d8542eb3de5e54892860\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"532\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_2219544456\">经济韧性与通胀驱动的政策转向</h2><p>在此次会议上,FOMC成员对经济前景展现出更高的一致性。鲍威尔指出,相比12月会议,当前的经济前景更为强劲,并在进入2026年时保持了“稳健”的动能。支撑这一观点的因素包括富有韧性的消费者支出、不断扩大的商业投资、财政支持预期、有利的金融条件以及持续的AI相关资本支出。住房市场被视为唯一的疲软领域。</p><p>随着就业下行风险的减弱,未来的降息逻辑已发生根本性转变。摩根士丹利分析称,<strong>如果经济前景符合预期,未来的降息将是“基于通胀”的。</strong>由于反通胀的证据可能要到今年下半年才会显现,美联储将保持耐心。鲍威尔在新闻发布会上重申了“逐次会议”做决定的立场,并暗示在经济稳健增长、失业率基本稳定且通胀略高的情况下,美联储并不急于行动。</p><h2 id=\"id_3775411331\">风险情景:若反通胀受阻,全年或不降息</h2><p>尽管基准情形是年内两次降息,<strong>但摩根士丹利也提示了“2026年全年不降息”的上行风险。</strong>如果经济出现该行所描述的“动物精神”上通胀情景,即财政刺激规模超出预期,且政策背景引发需求端更早、更强劲的加速,那么通胀可能难以减速。</p><p>在这种情况下,由于关税压力预计在2026年第一季度后消退,<strong>若需求侧力量过于强劲以至于阻碍了通胀回落,且月度通胀数据未出现实质性放缓,美联储可能会选择在年底前一直按兵不动,而不是进一步通过降息来实现政策正常化。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_4176621382\">生产力谜题与数据噪音</h2><p>关于生产力与AI的关系,鲍威尔持谨慎乐观态度。<strong>他暗示目前的生产力增长高于基本面,但并未直接将其归因于AI。</strong>相反,<strong>他认为稳健的经济增长伴随招聘急剧放缓可能是主要原因。</strong>鲍威尔指出,如果经济保持稳健,将会带来一定的劳动力需求,从而抑制生产力增长。摩根士丹利补充认为,贸易和库存数据的波动也可能在其中发挥了作用,预计未来几个季度随着这些因素消退,生产力增长可能有所放缓。</p><p>在数据质量方面,鲍威尔对劳动力市场和通胀的评估更为乐观,表明委员会正在从近期较嘈杂的数据中提取信号。对于数据的扭曲问题,鲍威尔认为这已不再是实质性障碍,仅仅是“这里那里的微调”。</p><h2 id=\"id_1891168050\">市场策略:保持中性,关注互换利差</h2><p>基于当前的政策前景,摩根士丹利的利率策略师Matthew Hornbach及其团队建议投资者在美债久期和曲线上保持中性,并继续做多2年期UST SOFR互换利差。<strong>目前的市场定价显示投资者预期还有两次25个基点的降息,这与该行经济学家的概率加权预测高度一致。</strong></p><p>在外汇市场方面,<strong>摩根士丹利继续预测美元将走软,</strong>但鉴于市场定价已充分反映了美联储的政策前景,美联储的政策不太可能成为美元下跌的主要推动力。<strong>市场焦点将更多转向国际货币政策及相关的干预风险。</strong></p><p>对于机构MBS(抵押贷款支持证券),摩根士丹利的策略师Jay Bacow维持中性立场。尽管低波动环境对MBS有利,但指数OAS(期权调整利差)已接近近年来的最窄水平,且住房政策仍存在不确定性。此外,美联储确认将继续通过购买国库券来增加SOMA投资组合的证券持有量,并将机构MBS的所有本金支付再投资于国库券,资产负债表政策保持不变。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储“鸽派暂停”意味着什么?大摩:未来降息路径将更多由通胀驱动</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储“鸽派暂停”意味着什么?大摩:未来降息路径将更多由通胀驱动\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-29 23:30 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3764500><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>据摩根士丹利发布的最新研报,美联储在1月的FOMC会议上实施了一次“鸽派暂停”。尽管维持利率不变,但美联储释放的信号表明,未来的降息路径将发生转变,不再单纯依赖劳动力市场的疲软,而是更多地取决于通胀数据的回落表现。据追风交易台,1月29日,摩根士丹利在研报中指出,美联储主席鲍威尔在会议上强调了经济数据的强劲表现以及劳动力市场出现的“些许企稳迹象”。最为关键的是,美联储对关税引发的通胀将是“暂时性”...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3764500\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af1d75a2b7a7bd95e0102711f4f871de","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","TLTW":"iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buywrite Strategy ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","MS":"摩根士丹利","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","TMF":"3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3764500","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2607038183","content_text":"据摩根士丹利发布的最新研报,美联储在1月的FOMC会议上实施了一次“鸽派暂停”。尽管维持利率不变,但美联储释放的信号表明,未来的降息路径将发生转变,不再单纯依赖劳动力市场的疲软,而是更多地取决于通胀数据的回落表现。据追风交易台,1月29日,摩根士丹利在研报中指出,美联储主席鲍威尔在会议上强调了经济数据的强劲表现以及劳动力市场出现的“些许企稳迹象”。最为关键的是,美联储对关税引发的通胀将是“暂时性”的这一判断保持信心。鲍威尔表示,此前作为“风险管理式”降息理由的就业下行风险已经减弱,而通胀的上行风险同样有所下降。这意味着美联储并不急于进一步放松政策。摩根士丹利的经济学家团队认为,委员会目前倾向于在看到通胀出现更明确的减速迹象后才会降低政策利率。基于反通胀证据可能在今年晚些时候出现的预期,该行维持美联储将在6月和9月进行降息的展望。虽然鲍威尔未对未来降息的具体驱动因素做出明确承诺,但摩根士丹利解读认为,美联储仍持有宽松倾向,并将当前的政策立场视为“定位良好”。只要经济前景如美联储预期的那样发展,政策利率将在通胀减速的证据确立后逐步下调,而当前的利率水平被认为处于中性区间的上限,适合引导通胀下行。经济韧性与通胀驱动的政策转向在此次会议上,FOMC成员对经济前景展现出更高的一致性。鲍威尔指出,相比12月会议,当前的经济前景更为强劲,并在进入2026年时保持了“稳健”的动能。支撑这一观点的因素包括富有韧性的消费者支出、不断扩大的商业投资、财政支持预期、有利的金融条件以及持续的AI相关资本支出。住房市场被视为唯一的疲软领域。随着就业下行风险的减弱,未来的降息逻辑已发生根本性转变。摩根士丹利分析称,如果经济前景符合预期,未来的降息将是“基于通胀”的。由于反通胀的证据可能要到今年下半年才会显现,美联储将保持耐心。鲍威尔在新闻发布会上重申了“逐次会议”做决定的立场,并暗示在经济稳健增长、失业率基本稳定且通胀略高的情况下,美联储并不急于行动。风险情景:若反通胀受阻,全年或不降息尽管基准情形是年内两次降息,但摩根士丹利也提示了“2026年全年不降息”的上行风险。如果经济出现该行所描述的“动物精神”上通胀情景,即财政刺激规模超出预期,且政策背景引发需求端更早、更强劲的加速,那么通胀可能难以减速。在这种情况下,由于关税压力预计在2026年第一季度后消退,若需求侧力量过于强劲以至于阻碍了通胀回落,且月度通胀数据未出现实质性放缓,美联储可能会选择在年底前一直按兵不动,而不是进一步通过降息来实现政策正常化。生产力谜题与数据噪音关于生产力与AI的关系,鲍威尔持谨慎乐观态度。他暗示目前的生产力增长高于基本面,但并未直接将其归因于AI。相反,他认为稳健的经济增长伴随招聘急剧放缓可能是主要原因。鲍威尔指出,如果经济保持稳健,将会带来一定的劳动力需求,从而抑制生产力增长。摩根士丹利补充认为,贸易和库存数据的波动也可能在其中发挥了作用,预计未来几个季度随着这些因素消退,生产力增长可能有所放缓。在数据质量方面,鲍威尔对劳动力市场和通胀的评估更为乐观,表明委员会正在从近期较嘈杂的数据中提取信号。对于数据的扭曲问题,鲍威尔认为这已不再是实质性障碍,仅仅是“这里那里的微调”。市场策略:保持中性,关注互换利差基于当前的政策前景,摩根士丹利的利率策略师Matthew Hornbach及其团队建议投资者在美债久期和曲线上保持中性,并继续做多2年期UST SOFR互换利差。目前的市场定价显示投资者预期还有两次25个基点的降息,这与该行经济学家的概率加权预测高度一致。在外汇市场方面,摩根士丹利继续预测美元将走软,但鉴于市场定价已充分反映了美联储的政策前景,美联储的政策不太可能成为美元下跌的主要推动力。市场焦点将更多转向国际货币政策及相关的干预风险。对于机构MBS(抵押贷款支持证券),摩根士丹利的策略师Jay Bacow维持中性立场。尽管低波动环境对MBS有利,但指数OAS(期权调整利差)已接近近年来的最窄水平,且住房政策仍存在不确定性。此外,美联储确认将继续通过购买国库券来增加SOMA投资组合的证券持有量,并将机构MBS的所有本金支付再投资于国库券,资产负债表政策保持不变。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPXU":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"MS":1.91,"SDS":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"TLTW":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"TMF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"MESmain":0.6,"SH":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"UPRO":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":527049228546592,"gmtCreate":1769652204082,"gmtModify":1769652206426,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"如果和台积电合资怎么样?","listText":"如果和台积电合资怎么样?","text":"如果和台积电合资怎么样?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/527049228546592","repostId":"2607219724","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2607219724","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1769644817,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2607219724?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-29 08:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"马斯克:特斯拉需建造“巨型芯片工厂”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2607219724","media":"界面","summary":"当地时间1月28日,特斯拉首席执行官马斯克在财报会议上表示,特斯拉公司需要建造并运营他所称的“巨型芯片工厂Terafab”来生产半导体。“为消除三四年后可能出现的产能瓶颈,我们必须在美国本土建造一座包含逻辑芯片、存储芯片及封装工艺的超大型特斯拉TeraFab工厂,”马斯克说。","content":"<div>\n<p>当地时间1月28日,特斯拉首席执行官马斯克在财报会议上表示,特斯拉公司需要建造并运营他所称的“巨型芯片工厂Terafab”来生产半导体。“为消除三四年后可能出现的产能瓶颈,我们必须在美国本土建造一座包含逻辑芯片、存储芯片及封装工艺的超大型特斯拉TeraFab工厂,”马斯克说。</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260129080017953eccb2&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>马斯克:特斯拉需建造“巨型芯片工厂”</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n马斯克:特斯拉需建造“巨型芯片工厂”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-29 08:00 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260129080017953eccb2&s=b><strong>界面</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>当地时间1月28日,特斯拉首席执行官马斯克在财报会议上表示,特斯拉公司需要建造并运营他所称的“巨型芯片工厂Terafab”来生产半导体。“为消除三四年后可能出现的产能瓶颈,我们必须在美国本土建造一座包含逻辑芯片、存储芯片及封装工艺的超大型特斯拉TeraFab工厂,”马斯克说。</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260129080017953eccb2&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","TSYY":"收益增强TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","TSDD":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A(离岸)美元","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A(dist)","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC 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09:48","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉正式更新使命:建设一个富足非凡的世界","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2605126132","media":"三言科技","summary":"今日,特斯拉官方微博官宣公司新使命:建设一个富足非凡的世界。目前,特斯拉官方网站已经更新最新使命。此前公司使命为“加速世界向可持续能源的转型”。特斯拉副总裁陶琳发文:从今天起,特斯拉的使命是“建设一个富足非凡的世界”。从“加速世界向可持续能源的转变”,到今天的新使命,寓意人工智能等关键技术的发展,让我们有能力站得更高、看得更远——技术创新不仅推动能源转型,更要人们过上自己想要的生活。路很长,也很精彩,期待和您们同行。去年12月,马斯克在社交平台X上表示,其将要把特斯拉的使命宣言从“可持续的富足”修改为“惊人的富足”。马斯克解释称,新的表述更具愉悦感。","content":"<html><body><article><p>今日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>官方微博官宣公司新使命:建设一个富足非凡的世界。目前,特斯拉官方网站已经更新最新使命。此前公司使命为“加速世界向可持续能源的转型”。</p><img src=\"https://inews.gtimg.com/news_bt/OaW2dY8vmPbkfcy_gpwdf8EaZWalkv6t-_c_v7Rb7zAkQAA/0\"/><img src=\"https://inews.gtimg.com/news_bt/OSynkUsOtOiJE9aKYunSBcyCyZrUb_7FDCLFIsdgt_K5gAA/0\"/><p>特斯拉副总裁陶琳发文:从今天起,特斯拉的使命是“建设一个富足非凡的世界”。</p><p>从“加速世界向可持续能源的转变”,到今天的新使命,寓意人工智能等关键技术的发展,让我们有能力站得更高、看得更远——技术创新不仅推动能源转型,更要人们过上自己想要的生活。</p><p>路很长,也很精彩,期待和您们同行。</p><p>去年12月,马斯克在社交平台X上表示,其将要把特斯拉的使命宣言从“可持续的富足”修改为“惊人的富足”。马斯克解释称,新的表述更具愉悦感。</p><p></p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉正式更新使命:建设一个富足非凡的世界</title>\n<style 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最先商业化潜力:REC-4881最接近,可能2027-2028年提交NDA(如果pivotal成功)。","text":"$Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.(RXRX)$ AI应用:Recursion OS平台使用AI处理海量细胞图像和生物数据,实现端到端药物发现,已产生多个临床候选物。 • 进展: • 领头项目REC-4881(MEK1/2抑制剂,用于家族性腺瘤性息肉病/FAP):Phase 1b/2数据显示中位息肉减少43%,已进入后期优化;计划2026年上半年与FDA讨论注册路径,可能推进到pivotal/Phase 3。 • REC-1245(RBM39 degrader,用于实体瘤和淋巴瘤):Phase 1剂量递增数据预计2026年上半年更新。 • 其他如REC-617、REC-102等在Phase 1或IND-enabling阶段。 • 确定性:AI验证的临床概念验证(POC)已出现,FAP项目数据最强,潜在注册路径清晰;CEO过渡后聚焦执行。 • 最先商业化潜力:REC-4881最接近,可能2027-2028年提交NDA(如果pivotal成功)。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/521731123400976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1864,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":509978824937872,"gmtCreate":1765552064260,"gmtModify":1765552067183,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"小鹏也蛮开爱,有偷家特斯拉的野心,还亮剑明着干🤣🤣🤣","listText":"小鹏也蛮开爱,有偷家特斯拉的野心,还亮剑明着干🤣🤣🤣","text":"小鹏也蛮开爱,有偷家特斯拉的野心,还亮剑明着干🤣🤣🤣","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/509978824937872","repostId":"1152111177","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1152111177","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1765541043,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152111177?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-12 20:04","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"何小鹏“亮剑”马斯克,若失败,负责人将在金门大桥“裸跑”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152111177","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"放话与特斯拉一争高下。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>作者 | 王小娟</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">今年还未过去,汽车行业就智能辅助驾驶的领先已经开始预约明年的“战火”了。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">12月11日, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a> 董事长何小鹏在社交媒体上立下一则“赌约”:<strong>若到明年8月30日,小鹏VLA技术在国内达到特斯拉FSD V14.2在硅谷的整体水平,他将在硅谷筹建中国风味食堂;若失败,自动驾驶负责人Head Xianming(刘先明)将在金门大桥“裸跑”。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">何小鹏立下这个赌约,放话与特斯拉一争高下,也因为对 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> FSD系统长期的体验与观察。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">近期在硅谷试驾最新的FSD V14.2版本和Robotaxi后,何小鹏表示,FSD已经从一年前L2高阶辅助驾驶的“丝滑体验”,进步到现在的“准L4的安心阶段”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在约5小时的试驾中,他发现标准车辆和Robotaxi使用同一模型表现一致,虽然仍存在瑕疵,但已“大幅度超过去年的水准”。他对特斯拉自动驾驶技术的进步给予了肯定。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">何小鹏认为,未来将是同一个自动驾驶系统和硬件体系的时代,人们可以直接享有L4能力的汽车。这一判断与小鹏汽车自身的技术路线选择密切相关。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在公开称赞特斯拉FSD的同时,何小鹏也不掩饰小鹏VLA与FSD当前存在的差距。他坦承:“小鹏VLA的第一个版本尚无法完全实现FSD V14.2的全部能力。” 但同时也透露,小鹏VLA 2.0将在下个季度发布。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">对于追赶时间表,何小鹏在今年8月曾表示,当前智能辅助驾驶的第一梯队玩家“半斤八两”,有的依靠算力,算力不足的就通过算力加激光雷达的组合。但他预测,到2026年小鹏Robotaxi开始试运营时,小鹏Ultra车型所配置的与L4 Robotaxi同源的模型,将会“显著超越市场上其他智能辅助驾驶产品能力的数十倍甚至以上”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在2025年的小鹏科技日上,小鹏的智驾又有了新的进度。当时,小鹏推出第二代VLA模型,与传统“视觉-语言-动作”架构不同,第二代VLA创新性地去掉了“语言转译”环节,首次实现从视觉信号到动作指令的端到端直接生成。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在这一技术的支持之下,小鹏的自动辅助驾驶可以应对各种复杂小路与园区场景。同时,小鹏还首发了“无导航自动辅助驾驶”Super LCC+人机共驾。这意味着,该功能在不依赖导航的情形下可全球范围开启。何小鹏介绍,2026年第一季度将面向小鹏Ultra车型全量推送第二代VLA。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">何小鹏强调,小鹏在新一代VLA大模型上下重注,目标是让汽车在各种复杂场景下都能安全通行,包括大路、小路、高速户外甚至是北京的胡同。何小鹏认为,只有解决了这些场景的问题,才有可能实现真正的无人驾驶。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">小鹏汽车在自动驾驶领域的重注基于对行业趋势的判断。何小鹏认为,未来十年内将看到L4级自动驾驶的更大规模应用。他指出,未来汽车将是“具身智能的汽车”,汽车产业和人形机器人产业将相辅相成、互相促进。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在硬件芯片方面,今年8月,何小鹏宣布从2025年三季度上市的小鹏G7和P7开始,旗下各车型的Ultra版本将全面升级智能硬件,搭载三颗自研图灵AI芯片,有效算力高达2250TOPS。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时,在今年的科技日上,小鹏的Robotaxi也有了新的进展。何小鹏透露,小鹏将在2026年推出三款Robotaxi车型,并启动试运营。与特斯拉不同,小鹏将专注于Robotaxi产品研发,不涉及运营环节。当前,高德成为小鹏Robotaxi首个全球生态合作伙伴。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在研发投入方面,何小鹏预计,未来汽车公司的年研发投入将达500亿元,其中300亿元将用于AI领域。对于小鹏而言,每年投入数十亿元建设算力中心已成为常态。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这场赌局背后,是中国智能汽车企业在自动驾驶核心技术领域挑战全球领先者的缩影。随着第二代VLA的发布和Robotaxi项目有了新进展,小鹏汽车正在自动驾驶赛道上加速追赶。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从AEB能力提升,到VLA模型革新,小鹏试图通过全栈自研构建壁垒。但特斯拉的迭代速度提示,智驾的竞争不仅是算法之争,更是数据、算力与工程化能力的综合较量。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">赌局终点,是中国风味食堂在金门大桥对岸的硅谷落地,还是自动驾驶负责人在金门大桥上的“裸跑”,就看是小鹏的智驾系统能否达到特斯拉的水平,成为名副其实的“中国特斯拉”。届时,小鹏或将迎来新一轮的被重估。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1762389672944","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-12 20:04 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3761278><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者 | 王小娟今年还未过去,汽车行业就智能辅助驾驶的领先已经开始预约明年的“战火”了。12月11日, 小鹏汽车 董事长何小鹏在社交媒体上立下一则“赌约”:若到明年8月30日,小鹏VLA技术在国内达到特斯拉FSD V14.2在硅谷的整体水平,他将在硅谷筹建中国风味食堂;若失败,自动驾驶负责人Head Xianming(刘先明)将在金门大桥“裸跑”。何小鹏立下这个赌约,放话与特斯拉一争高下,也因为对...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3761278\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/429cf9337e59567edb66a7535c469fb1","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3761278","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152111177","content_text":"作者 | 王小娟今年还未过去,汽车行业就智能辅助驾驶的领先已经开始预约明年的“战火”了。12月11日, 小鹏汽车 董事长何小鹏在社交媒体上立下一则“赌约”:若到明年8月30日,小鹏VLA技术在国内达到特斯拉FSD V14.2在硅谷的整体水平,他将在硅谷筹建中国风味食堂;若失败,自动驾驶负责人Head Xianming(刘先明)将在金门大桥“裸跑”。何小鹏立下这个赌约,放话与特斯拉一争高下,也因为对 特斯拉 FSD系统长期的体验与观察。近期在硅谷试驾最新的FSD V14.2版本和Robotaxi后,何小鹏表示,FSD已经从一年前L2高阶辅助驾驶的“丝滑体验”,进步到现在的“准L4的安心阶段”。在约5小时的试驾中,他发现标准车辆和Robotaxi使用同一模型表现一致,虽然仍存在瑕疵,但已“大幅度超过去年的水准”。他对特斯拉自动驾驶技术的进步给予了肯定。何小鹏认为,未来将是同一个自动驾驶系统和硬件体系的时代,人们可以直接享有L4能力的汽车。这一判断与小鹏汽车自身的技术路线选择密切相关。在公开称赞特斯拉FSD的同时,何小鹏也不掩饰小鹏VLA与FSD当前存在的差距。他坦承:“小鹏VLA的第一个版本尚无法完全实现FSD V14.2的全部能力。” 但同时也透露,小鹏VLA 2.0将在下个季度发布。对于追赶时间表,何小鹏在今年8月曾表示,当前智能辅助驾驶的第一梯队玩家“半斤八两”,有的依靠算力,算力不足的就通过算力加激光雷达的组合。但他预测,到2026年小鹏Robotaxi开始试运营时,小鹏Ultra车型所配置的与L4 Robotaxi同源的模型,将会“显著超越市场上其他智能辅助驾驶产品能力的数十倍甚至以上”。在2025年的小鹏科技日上,小鹏的智驾又有了新的进度。当时,小鹏推出第二代VLA模型,与传统“视觉-语言-动作”架构不同,第二代VLA创新性地去掉了“语言转译”环节,首次实现从视觉信号到动作指令的端到端直接生成。在这一技术的支持之下,小鹏的自动辅助驾驶可以应对各种复杂小路与园区场景。同时,小鹏还首发了“无导航自动辅助驾驶”Super LCC+人机共驾。这意味着,该功能在不依赖导航的情形下可全球范围开启。何小鹏介绍,2026年第一季度将面向小鹏Ultra车型全量推送第二代VLA。何小鹏强调,小鹏在新一代VLA大模型上下重注,目标是让汽车在各种复杂场景下都能安全通行,包括大路、小路、高速户外甚至是北京的胡同。何小鹏认为,只有解决了这些场景的问题,才有可能实现真正的无人驾驶。小鹏汽车在自动驾驶领域的重注基于对行业趋势的判断。何小鹏认为,未来十年内将看到L4级自动驾驶的更大规模应用。他指出,未来汽车将是“具身智能的汽车”,汽车产业和人形机器人产业将相辅相成、互相促进。在硬件芯片方面,今年8月,何小鹏宣布从2025年三季度上市的小鹏G7和P7开始,旗下各车型的Ultra版本将全面升级智能硬件,搭载三颗自研图灵AI芯片,有效算力高达2250TOPS。与此同时,在今年的科技日上,小鹏的Robotaxi也有了新的进展。何小鹏透露,小鹏将在2026年推出三款Robotaxi车型,并启动试运营。与特斯拉不同,小鹏将专注于Robotaxi产品研发,不涉及运营环节。当前,高德成为小鹏Robotaxi首个全球生态合作伙伴。在研发投入方面,何小鹏预计,未来汽车公司的年研发投入将达500亿元,其中300亿元将用于AI领域。对于小鹏而言,每年投入数十亿元建设算力中心已成为常态。这场赌局背后,是中国智能汽车企业在自动驾驶核心技术领域挑战全球领先者的缩影。随着第二代VLA的发布和Robotaxi项目有了新进展,小鹏汽车正在自动驾驶赛道上加速追赶。从AEB能力提升,到VLA模型革新,小鹏试图通过全栈自研构建壁垒。但特斯拉的迭代速度提示,智驾的竞争不仅是算法之争,更是数据、算力与工程化能力的综合较量。赌局终点,是中国风味食堂在金门大桥对岸的硅谷落地,还是自动驾驶负责人在金门大桥上的“裸跑”,就看是小鹏的智驾系统能否达到特斯拉的水平,成为名副其实的“中国特斯拉”。届时,小鹏或将迎来新一轮的被重估。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":2,"TSLA":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":979,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":510111531425832,"gmtCreate":1765551876673,"gmtModify":1765551879309,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这叫英雄惜英雄, 有情怀,有信仰, 有魄力, 有干劲!!!","listText":"这叫英雄惜英雄, 有情怀,有信仰, 有魄力, 有干劲!!!","text":"这叫英雄惜英雄, 有情怀,有信仰, 有魄力, 有干劲!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/510111531425832","repostId":"1152111177","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1152111177","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1765541043,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152111177?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-12 20:04","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"何小鹏“亮剑”马斯克,若失败,负责人将在金门大桥“裸跑”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152111177","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"放话与特斯拉一争高下。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>作者 | 王小娟</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">今年还未过去,汽车行业就智能辅助驾驶的领先已经开始预约明年的“战火”了。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">12月11日, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a> 董事长何小鹏在社交媒体上立下一则“赌约”:<strong>若到明年8月30日,小鹏VLA技术在国内达到特斯拉FSD V14.2在硅谷的整体水平,他将在硅谷筹建中国风味食堂;若失败,自动驾驶负责人Head Xianming(刘先明)将在金门大桥“裸跑”。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">何小鹏立下这个赌约,放话与特斯拉一争高下,也因为对 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> FSD系统长期的体验与观察。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">近期在硅谷试驾最新的FSD V14.2版本和Robotaxi后,何小鹏表示,FSD已经从一年前L2高阶辅助驾驶的“丝滑体验”,进步到现在的“准L4的安心阶段”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在约5小时的试驾中,他发现标准车辆和Robotaxi使用同一模型表现一致,虽然仍存在瑕疵,但已“大幅度超过去年的水准”。他对特斯拉自动驾驶技术的进步给予了肯定。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">何小鹏认为,未来将是同一个自动驾驶系统和硬件体系的时代,人们可以直接享有L4能力的汽车。这一判断与小鹏汽车自身的技术路线选择密切相关。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在公开称赞特斯拉FSD的同时,何小鹏也不掩饰小鹏VLA与FSD当前存在的差距。他坦承:“小鹏VLA的第一个版本尚无法完全实现FSD V14.2的全部能力。” 但同时也透露,小鹏VLA 2.0将在下个季度发布。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">对于追赶时间表,何小鹏在今年8月曾表示,当前智能辅助驾驶的第一梯队玩家“半斤八两”,有的依靠算力,算力不足的就通过算力加激光雷达的组合。但他预测,到2026年小鹏Robotaxi开始试运营时,小鹏Ultra车型所配置的与L4 Robotaxi同源的模型,将会“显著超越市场上其他智能辅助驾驶产品能力的数十倍甚至以上”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在2025年的小鹏科技日上,小鹏的智驾又有了新的进度。当时,小鹏推出第二代VLA模型,与传统“视觉-语言-动作”架构不同,第二代VLA创新性地去掉了“语言转译”环节,首次实现从视觉信号到动作指令的端到端直接生成。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在这一技术的支持之下,小鹏的自动辅助驾驶可以应对各种复杂小路与园区场景。同时,小鹏还首发了“无导航自动辅助驾驶”Super LCC+人机共驾。这意味着,该功能在不依赖导航的情形下可全球范围开启。何小鹏介绍,2026年第一季度将面向小鹏Ultra车型全量推送第二代VLA。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">何小鹏强调,小鹏在新一代VLA大模型上下重注,目标是让汽车在各种复杂场景下都能安全通行,包括大路、小路、高速户外甚至是北京的胡同。何小鹏认为,只有解决了这些场景的问题,才有可能实现真正的无人驾驶。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">小鹏汽车在自动驾驶领域的重注基于对行业趋势的判断。何小鹏认为,未来十年内将看到L4级自动驾驶的更大规模应用。他指出,未来汽车将是“具身智能的汽车”,汽车产业和人形机器人产业将相辅相成、互相促进。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在硬件芯片方面,今年8月,何小鹏宣布从2025年三季度上市的小鹏G7和P7开始,旗下各车型的Ultra版本将全面升级智能硬件,搭载三颗自研图灵AI芯片,有效算力高达2250TOPS。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时,在今年的科技日上,小鹏的Robotaxi也有了新的进展。何小鹏透露,小鹏将在2026年推出三款Robotaxi车型,并启动试运营。与特斯拉不同,小鹏将专注于Robotaxi产品研发,不涉及运营环节。当前,高德成为小鹏Robotaxi首个全球生态合作伙伴。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在研发投入方面,何小鹏预计,未来汽车公司的年研发投入将达500亿元,其中300亿元将用于AI领域。对于小鹏而言,每年投入数十亿元建设算力中心已成为常态。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这场赌局背后,是中国智能汽车企业在自动驾驶核心技术领域挑战全球领先者的缩影。随着第二代VLA的发布和Robotaxi项目有了新进展,小鹏汽车正在自动驾驶赛道上加速追赶。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从AEB能力提升,到VLA模型革新,小鹏试图通过全栈自研构建壁垒。但特斯拉的迭代速度提示,智驾的竞争不仅是算法之争,更是数据、算力与工程化能力的综合较量。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">赌局终点,是中国风味食堂在金门大桥对岸的硅谷落地,还是自动驾驶负责人在金门大桥上的“裸跑”,就看是小鹏的智驾系统能否达到特斯拉的水平,成为名副其实的“中国特斯拉”。届时,小鹏或将迎来新一轮的被重估。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1762389672944","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>何小鹏“亮剑”马斯克,若失败,负责人将在金门大桥“裸跑”</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n何小鹏“亮剑”马斯克,若失败,负责人将在金门大桥“裸跑”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-12 20:04 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3761278><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者 | 王小娟今年还未过去,汽车行业就智能辅助驾驶的领先已经开始预约明年的“战火”了。12月11日, 小鹏汽车 董事长何小鹏在社交媒体上立下一则“赌约”:若到明年8月30日,小鹏VLA技术在国内达到特斯拉FSD V14.2在硅谷的整体水平,他将在硅谷筹建中国风味食堂;若失败,自动驾驶负责人Head Xianming(刘先明)将在金门大桥“裸跑”。何小鹏立下这个赌约,放话与特斯拉一争高下,也因为对...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3761278\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/429cf9337e59567edb66a7535c469fb1","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3761278","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152111177","content_text":"作者 | 王小娟今年还未过去,汽车行业就智能辅助驾驶的领先已经开始预约明年的“战火”了。12月11日, 小鹏汽车 董事长何小鹏在社交媒体上立下一则“赌约”:若到明年8月30日,小鹏VLA技术在国内达到特斯拉FSD V14.2在硅谷的整体水平,他将在硅谷筹建中国风味食堂;若失败,自动驾驶负责人Head Xianming(刘先明)将在金门大桥“裸跑”。何小鹏立下这个赌约,放话与特斯拉一争高下,也因为对 特斯拉 FSD系统长期的体验与观察。近期在硅谷试驾最新的FSD V14.2版本和Robotaxi后,何小鹏表示,FSD已经从一年前L2高阶辅助驾驶的“丝滑体验”,进步到现在的“准L4的安心阶段”。在约5小时的试驾中,他发现标准车辆和Robotaxi使用同一模型表现一致,虽然仍存在瑕疵,但已“大幅度超过去年的水准”。他对特斯拉自动驾驶技术的进步给予了肯定。何小鹏认为,未来将是同一个自动驾驶系统和硬件体系的时代,人们可以直接享有L4能力的汽车。这一判断与小鹏汽车自身的技术路线选择密切相关。在公开称赞特斯拉FSD的同时,何小鹏也不掩饰小鹏VLA与FSD当前存在的差距。他坦承:“小鹏VLA的第一个版本尚无法完全实现FSD V14.2的全部能力。” 但同时也透露,小鹏VLA 2.0将在下个季度发布。对于追赶时间表,何小鹏在今年8月曾表示,当前智能辅助驾驶的第一梯队玩家“半斤八两”,有的依靠算力,算力不足的就通过算力加激光雷达的组合。但他预测,到2026年小鹏Robotaxi开始试运营时,小鹏Ultra车型所配置的与L4 Robotaxi同源的模型,将会“显著超越市场上其他智能辅助驾驶产品能力的数十倍甚至以上”。在2025年的小鹏科技日上,小鹏的智驾又有了新的进度。当时,小鹏推出第二代VLA模型,与传统“视觉-语言-动作”架构不同,第二代VLA创新性地去掉了“语言转译”环节,首次实现从视觉信号到动作指令的端到端直接生成。在这一技术的支持之下,小鹏的自动辅助驾驶可以应对各种复杂小路与园区场景。同时,小鹏还首发了“无导航自动辅助驾驶”Super LCC+人机共驾。这意味着,该功能在不依赖导航的情形下可全球范围开启。何小鹏介绍,2026年第一季度将面向小鹏Ultra车型全量推送第二代VLA。何小鹏强调,小鹏在新一代VLA大模型上下重注,目标是让汽车在各种复杂场景下都能安全通行,包括大路、小路、高速户外甚至是北京的胡同。何小鹏认为,只有解决了这些场景的问题,才有可能实现真正的无人驾驶。小鹏汽车在自动驾驶领域的重注基于对行业趋势的判断。何小鹏认为,未来十年内将看到L4级自动驾驶的更大规模应用。他指出,未来汽车将是“具身智能的汽车”,汽车产业和人形机器人产业将相辅相成、互相促进。在硬件芯片方面,今年8月,何小鹏宣布从2025年三季度上市的小鹏G7和P7开始,旗下各车型的Ultra版本将全面升级智能硬件,搭载三颗自研图灵AI芯片,有效算力高达2250TOPS。与此同时,在今年的科技日上,小鹏的Robotaxi也有了新的进展。何小鹏透露,小鹏将在2026年推出三款Robotaxi车型,并启动试运营。与特斯拉不同,小鹏将专注于Robotaxi产品研发,不涉及运营环节。当前,高德成为小鹏Robotaxi首个全球生态合作伙伴。在研发投入方面,何小鹏预计,未来汽车公司的年研发投入将达500亿元,其中300亿元将用于AI领域。对于小鹏而言,每年投入数十亿元建设算力中心已成为常态。这场赌局背后,是中国智能汽车企业在自动驾驶核心技术领域挑战全球领先者的缩影。随着第二代VLA的发布和Robotaxi项目有了新进展,小鹏汽车正在自动驾驶赛道上加速追赶。从AEB能力提升,到VLA模型革新,小鹏试图通过全栈自研构建壁垒。但特斯拉的迭代速度提示,智驾的竞争不仅是算法之争,更是数据、算力与工程化能力的综合较量。赌局终点,是中国风味食堂在金门大桥对岸的硅谷落地,还是自动驾驶负责人在金门大桥上的“裸跑”,就看是小鹏的智驾系统能否达到特斯拉的水平,成为名副其实的“中国特斯拉”。届时,小鹏或将迎来新一轮的被重估。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":2,"TSLA":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":509653284041160,"gmtCreate":1765465014149,"gmtModify":1765465018177,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"做空或嫉妒且蒙蔽了良知, 还是萝莉岛去多了思考也萝莉了! AI用于颠覆性改善人类的交通出行和驾驶安全, 怎么就不是人类的重要需求了?怎么就不是重大的价值了?! 反倒是软件公司全凭版权赚钱的, 你开放版权 开源试试, A I分分钟写出更好的代码? 有产能瓶颈吗?还是需要技术突破! 这不是他做空赚钱这点事儿, 而是混淆视听, 试图影响人类向前的脚步! 如果盖茨真这么偏颇, 那只能说他脑袋秀逗了;否则就是故意的","listText":"做空或嫉妒且蒙蔽了良知, 还是萝莉岛去多了思考也萝莉了! AI用于颠覆性改善人类的交通出行和驾驶安全, 怎么就不是人类的重要需求了?怎么就不是重大的价值了?! 反倒是软件公司全凭版权赚钱的, 你开放版权 开源试试, A I分分钟写出更好的代码? 有产能瓶颈吗?还是需要技术突破! 这不是他做空赚钱这点事儿, 而是混淆视听, 试图影响人类向前的脚步! 如果盖茨真这么偏颇, 那只能说他脑袋秀逗了;否则就是故意的","text":"做空或嫉妒且蒙蔽了良知, 还是萝莉岛去多了思考也萝莉了! AI用于颠覆性改善人类的交通出行和驾驶安全, 怎么就不是人类的重要需求了?怎么就不是重大的价值了?! 反倒是软件公司全凭版权赚钱的, 你开放版权 开源试试, A I分分钟写出更好的代码? 有产能瓶颈吗?还是需要技术突破! 这不是他做空赚钱这点事儿, 而是混淆视听, 试图影响人类向前的脚步! 如果盖茨真这么偏颇, 那只能说他脑袋秀逗了;否则就是故意的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/509653284041160","repostId":"2590560306","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2590560306","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1765436015,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2590560306?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-11 14:53","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"比尔·盖茨警示AI泡沫:部分高估值公司或难逃“超级竞争”淘汰赛","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2590560306","media":"ITBEAR科技资讯","summary":"比尔·盖茨在近期接受CNBC专访时,就人工智能行业估值问题发表了独到见解。他直言不讳地指出,当前部分AI企业估值已脱离合理区间,这类公司在即将到来的\"白热化竞争\"中可能遭遇重大挫折,建议投资者审慎评估市场风险。\"盖茨强调,当前行业估值体系存在明显扭曲现象,某些公司的资本定价已远超其实际价值支撑。\"盖茨特别强调,投资者应区分技术前景与公司估值,避免将两者混为一谈。","content":"<html><body><article><p>比尔·盖茨在近期接受CNBC专访时,就人工智能行业估值问题发表了独到见解。他直言不讳地指出,当前部分AI企业估值已脱离合理区间,这类公司在即将到来的\"白热化竞争\"中可能遭遇重大挫折,建议投资者审慎评估市场风险。</p><p>\"人工智能无疑是改变人类文明进程的关键技术,但这不意味着所有高估值企业都能存活。\"盖茨强调,当前行业估值体系存在明显扭曲现象,某些公司的资本定价已远超其实际价值支撑。他特别提到,当技术突破进入平台期后,市场将经历残酷的洗牌过程。</p><p>数据显示,部分科技企业的财务指标已出现显著偏离。以数据分析公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir</a>和电动汽车巨头<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>为例,其市盈率分别达到215倍和203倍,而同期<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数成分股的平均市盈率仅为25倍左右。这种悬殊的估值差异,正在引发市场对泡沫化的广泛讨论。</p><p>全球资本市场已开始显现调整迹象。11月全球主要股指集体回落,纳斯达克科技指数单月跌幅达5.6%。盖茨分析认为,这种波动本质上是对前期非理性繁荣的修正,特别是那些缺乏核心技术壁垒的企业,其估值泡沫破裂的风险正在累积。</p><p>尽管对短期风险保持警惕,这位科技巨头创始人仍对AI技术发展持坚定乐观态度。他详细列举了医疗诊断、个性化教育、精准农业等应用场景,认为这些领域将因AI技术产生革命性突破。\"当技术真正解决人类重大挑战时,其创造的价值将远超当前市场想象。\"盖茨特别强调,投资者应区分技术前景与公司估值,避免将两者混为一谈。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>比尔·盖茨警示AI泡沫:部分高估值公司或难逃“超级竞争”淘汰赛</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n比尔·盖茨警示AI泡沫:部分高估值公司或难逃“超级竞争”淘汰赛\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-11 14:53 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20251211150948979c3f1d&s=b><strong>ITBEAR科技资讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>比尔·盖茨在近期接受CNBC专访时,就人工智能行业估值问题发表了独到见解。他直言不讳地指出,当前部分AI企业估值已脱离合理区间,这类公司在即将到来的\"白热化竞争\"中可能遭遇重大挫折,建议投资者审慎评估市场风险。\"人工智能无疑是改变人类文明进程的关键技术,但这不意味着所有高估值企业都能存活。\"盖茨强调,当前行业估值体系存在明显扭曲现象,某些公司的资本定价已远超其实际价值支撑。他特别提到,当技术突破...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20251211150948979c3f1d&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0426417589.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL FRANCHISE \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BJTD4N35.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Long Short Equity A1 Acc SGD-H","LU0795875086.SGD":"JPMorgan Investment Funds - Global Income A (div) SGD","LU0029864427.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH \"AG\" (USD) ACC","IE0003U64NQ7.SGD":"PIMCO BALANCED INCOME AND GROWTH \"M\" (SGDHDG) ACC","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H","LU2720916845.USD":"BGF GLOBAL UNCONSTRAINED EQUITY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00BYQQ9H92.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL LEADERS \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0823434583.USD":"BNP PARIBAS US GROWTH \"C\" (USD) ACC","IE000KEQY171.SGD":"PIMCO BALANCED INCOME AND GROWTH \"M\" (SGDHDG) 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ACC"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20251211150948979c3f1d&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2590560306","content_text":"比尔·盖茨在近期接受CNBC专访时,就人工智能行业估值问题发表了独到见解。他直言不讳地指出,当前部分AI企业估值已脱离合理区间,这类公司在即将到来的\"白热化竞争\"中可能遭遇重大挫折,建议投资者审慎评估市场风险。\"人工智能无疑是改变人类文明进程的关键技术,但这不意味着所有高估值企业都能存活。\"盖茨强调,当前行业估值体系存在明显扭曲现象,某些公司的资本定价已远超其实际价值支撑。他特别提到,当技术突破进入平台期后,市场将经历残酷的洗牌过程。数据显示,部分科技企业的财务指标已出现显著偏离。以数据分析公司Palantir和电动汽车巨头特斯拉为例,其市盈率分别达到215倍和203倍,而同期标普500指数成分股的平均市盈率仅为25倍左右。这种悬殊的估值差异,正在引发市场对泡沫化的广泛讨论。全球资本市场已开始显现调整迹象。11月全球主要股指集体回落,纳斯达克科技指数单月跌幅达5.6%。盖茨分析认为,这种波动本质上是对前期非理性繁荣的修正,特别是那些缺乏核心技术壁垒的企业,其估值泡沫破裂的风险正在累积。尽管对短期风险保持警惕,这位科技巨头创始人仍对AI技术发展持坚定乐观态度。他详细列举了医疗诊断、个性化教育、精准农业等应用场景,认为这些领域将因AI技术产生革命性突破。\"当技术真正解决人类重大挑战时,其创造的价值将远超当前市场想象。\"盖茨特别强调,投资者应区分技术前景与公司估值,避免将两者混为一谈。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSYW.SI":0.6,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":509526707065368,"gmtCreate":1765434180222,"gmtModify":1765434182825,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"不考虑未来大范围商业化可行性, 就如同在实验室光对比参数, 没有实际意义; 即没有有竞争力的车身产能, 也没有规模优势,成数效应与指数效应 , 不可同日而语","listText":"不考虑未来大范围商业化可行性, 就如同在实验室光对比参数, 没有实际意义; 即没有有竞争力的车身产能, 也没有规模优势,成数效应与指数效应 , 不可同日而语","text":"不考虑未来大范围商业化可行性, 就如同在实验室光对比参数, 没有实际意义; 即没有有竞争力的车身产能, 也没有规模优势,成数效应与指数效应 , 不可同日而语","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/509526707065368","repostId":"2590187563","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2590187563","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1765421816,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2590187563?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-11 10:56","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉落后五年还嘴硬?马斯克称Waymo没胜算被“打脸”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2590187563","media":"环球网","summary":"Waymo已积累近1亿英里无人驾驶里程,而特斯拉的相关里程仍为零。更值得关注的是,马斯克曾承诺2020年底推出100万辆自动驾驶出租车,该目标已逾期五年;而Waymo已将“特斯拉的目标”变为现实。外媒报道称,即便特斯拉如期移除安全员,也已落后Waymo约五年,后续还需完成安全性验证与规模化落地两大课题。","content":"<html><body><article><p>【环球网科技综合报道】12月11日,据electrek报道,近日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>CEO埃隆·马斯克在社交平台发文,称Waymo在自动驾驶领域“从来就没真正有过胜算”,此番言论引发行业热议。而就在其发声前,Waymo刚公布1亿英里无安全员载客里程的里程碑及详实安全数据,与特斯拉的发展现状形成鲜明对比。</p><img src=\"https://img.huanqiucdn.cn/dp/api/files/imageDir/bfb148b73c1c484b47ad37f36e4a983fu1.png?imageView2/2/w/1260\"/><p>外媒指出,这场争论源于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>DeepMind首席科学家杰夫·迪恩的公开对比。他指出,特斯拉的无安全员自动驾驶里程与Waymo相去甚远,后者最新安全数据显示,其自动驾驶系统导致严重伤害的事故率较人类驾驶员降低91%,已在旧金山等四大城市开展完全无人驾驶商用服务。</p><p>反观特斯拉,不仅未实现无安全员商用运营,其安全报告还屡遭诟病。报告以安全气囊弹出替代碰撞数据,缺乏细化伤害指标,且数据全程有人类监控,无法单独体现软件性能。即便如此,马斯克仍高调宣布,计划三周内移除奥斯汀自动驾驶出租车车队的安全员。</p><p>行业分析指出,马斯克的言论与现实严重脱节。Waymo已积累近1亿英里无人驾驶里程,而特斯拉的相关里程仍为零。更值得关注的是,马斯克曾承诺2020年底推出100万辆自动驾驶出租车,该目标已逾期五年;而Waymo已将“特斯拉的目标”变为现实。</p><p>外媒报道称,即便特斯拉如期移除安全员,也已落后Waymo约五年,后续还需完成安全性验证与规模化落地两大课题。(旺旺)</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉落后五年还嘴硬?马斯克称Waymo没胜算被“打脸”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-11 10:56 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20251211105825a4416077&s=b><strong>环球网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>【环球网科技综合报道】12月11日,据electrek报道,近日,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克在社交平台发文,称Waymo在自动驾驶领域“从来就没真正有过胜算”,此番言论引发行业热议。而就在其发声前,Waymo刚公布1亿英里无安全员载客里程的里程碑及详实安全数据,与特斯拉的发展现状形成鲜明对比。外媒指出,这场争论源于谷歌DeepMind首席科学家杰夫·迪恩的公开对比。他指出,特斯拉的无安全员自动驾驶...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20251211105825a4416077&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","LU2290526834.HKD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","LU1066053197.SGD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM3\" (SGDHDG) INC","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY 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content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Meta涨超2%!传公司斥资35亿美元加码AI智能眼镜业务</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-07-09 22:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>7月9日,Meta涨超2%,报736美元。知情人士称,Meta斥资30亿欧元(约35亿美元)收购雷朋眼镜母公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ESLOF\">EssilorLuxottica</a>约3%股权,加码AI<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>眼镜业务。知情人士还透露,Meta正考虑未来进一步增持股份至约5%,但这一计划仍可能发生变化。Meta首席执行官扎克伯格曾表示,智能眼镜将成为公司发展人工智能和沉浸式体验的关键载体。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e04b5b9a7f3716ca8889df74cae2837\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c06d2fe3bed8d64707cae05406c5f984","relate_stocks":{"IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 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昨天我还一直怀疑来着,今天终于搞懂,确实值得付出一份力,绝对是历史时刻,对历史的推动不亚于占领华尔街运动"},{"author":{"id":"3495064712701273","authorId":"3495064712701273","name":"咩咩咩大人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7688ac0518782397900aa5f22a381fad","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3495064712701273","authorIdStr":"3495064712701273"},"content":"我也是,原来想空来着,看了财经博主介绍这个事情,感觉愿意投个千儿八百刀支持一下","text":"我也是,原来想空来着,看了财经博主介绍这个事情,感觉愿意投个千儿八百刀支持一下","html":"我也是,原来想空来着,看了财经博主介绍这个事情,感觉愿意投个千儿八百刀支持一下"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":615792298,"gmtCreate":1653140080914,"gmtModify":1653143613118,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548665181418139","authorIdStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"重磅!史上规模最大调查!美国证监会勒令逾百名交易员和投行家交出私人手机彭博报道指,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)要求华尔街金融机构有系统地检查头部交易员和银行家的逾100部私人手机,对未经授权的信息平台上的秘密信息传递进行有史以来规模最大的一次调查。据报道,可能涉及机构包括美国银行、花旗、瑞信、德银、高盛、汇丰、摩根大通和摩根士丹利。报道指,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)一直在向各银行发送需检查的银行关键职位清单,包括特定投资银行团队或交易部门负责人在内的约30人,这些人员被勒令交出手机让律师检查。报道指,此举为评估华尔街专业人士使用未经授权的信息平台相互或与客户聊天的普遍程度。监管机构正在分析要对哪些机构因未能保护通过未经批准的平台发送的业务相关信息而实施惩罚以及惩罚力度。由外部律师协助审查高盛、摩根士丹利、花旗、汇丰和瑞信在内的金融机构曾表示,正在配合美国当局对信息传递应用程序的调查,但尚不清楚是否都在检查手机。 知情人士称,访问个人设备的请求极为敏感,因可能涉及多年的办公室闲话甚至个人私讯,因此银行正在安排外部律师协助进行审查,让律师充当中介,以保留隐私。律师们按指示寻找与业务有关的讯息,业内人士随即纾一口气,讲老板坏话不会被视为业务相关讯息,老板也不会知道。此外,监管机构现阶段一般不会要求了解讯息内容,而只是要知道何人使用了非法讯息传递渠道,以及使用的频率。今年早些时候,德意志银行警告员工不要删除WhatsApp上的通讯纪录。知情人士本周透露,这家总部位于法兰克福的公司尚未披露美国的调查,但已收到德国金融监管机构BaFin提供信息的要求。各银行、SEC的发言人不予置评。此事件传出后,很多金融圈社群的网友纷纷表示,国内监管机构可以效仿,突查,一定会有惊喜发现。","listText":"重磅!史上规模最大调查!美国证监会勒令逾百名交易员和投行家交出私人手机彭博报道指,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)要求华尔街金融机构有系统地检查头部交易员和银行家的逾100部私人手机,对未经授权的信息平台上的秘密信息传递进行有史以来规模最大的一次调查。据报道,可能涉及机构包括美国银行、花旗、瑞信、德银、高盛、汇丰、摩根大通和摩根士丹利。报道指,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)一直在向各银行发送需检查的银行关键职位清单,包括特定投资银行团队或交易部门负责人在内的约30人,这些人员被勒令交出手机让律师检查。报道指,此举为评估华尔街专业人士使用未经授权的信息平台相互或与客户聊天的普遍程度。监管机构正在分析要对哪些机构因未能保护通过未经批准的平台发送的业务相关信息而实施惩罚以及惩罚力度。由外部律师协助审查高盛、摩根士丹利、花旗、汇丰和瑞信在内的金融机构曾表示,正在配合美国当局对信息传递应用程序的调查,但尚不清楚是否都在检查手机。 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知情人士称,访问个人设备的请求极为敏感,因可能涉及多年的办公室闲话甚至个人私讯,因此银行正在安排外部律师协助进行审查,让律师充当中介,以保留隐私。律师们按指示寻找与业务有关的讯息,业内人士随即纾一口气,讲老板坏话不会被视为业务相关讯息,老板也不会知道。此外,监管机构现阶段一般不会要求了解讯息内容,而只是要知道何人使用了非法讯息传递渠道,以及使用的频率。今年早些时候,德意志银行警告员工不要删除WhatsApp上的通讯纪录。知情人士本周透露,这家总部位于法兰克福的公司尚未披露美国的调查,但已收到德国金融监管机构BaFin提供信息的要求。各银行、SEC的发言人不予置评。此事件传出后,很多金融圈社群的网友纷纷表示,国内监管机构可以效仿,突查,一定会有惊喜发现。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/615792298","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4000,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":533267481379128,"gmtCreate":1771213140742,"gmtModify":1771213146163,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548665181418139","authorIdStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"无良媒体, 马斯克从事的几乎都是人类社会前所未有的全新产业,处于不断的摸索和探索中, 不断探索与创新不断纠偏又不断开拓,有什么奇怪的么? 从新能源汽车到储能,从可回收火箭到starlink,到太空Ai数据中心, 从全自动驾驶到Robotaxi,甚至于boring隧道, 从收购Twitter,创立 XAI 到擎天柱机器人到 脑机接口, 这些看似八杆子打不着的创业为什么最后可以对齐? 甚至可以惊人的创造性服务于更大的目标,?! 其实原因很简单: 正因他的内心最深处, 在他的潜意识里, 他从未背弃他最初的梦想, 让人类成为跨越行星生物以延续人类文明的火种!轨迹有哪一个不是源于少年时期他的梦想而来; 他的使命与愿景其实从未改变过,在此过程中, 不断调整对焦才有最终目标的实现! 为人类社会进步,超越性的 发展, 才有可能有丰盛(abundance) 没有丰盛如何走出地球?! , 不靠金融难道靠乌托邦畅想么?! 其实全部都短期调整以对齐目标, 用“变脸”形容,居心叵测啊 还是燕雀对鸿鹄之志的无知呢? ; 这么多全新产业的整合非常人所能! 你做个四轮定位还得担心摄像头不居中吧! 所以, 马斯克其实还是那个少年, 可以改变人类命运的那个少年!","listText":"无良媒体, 马斯克从事的几乎都是人类社会前所未有的全新产业,处于不断的摸索和探索中, 不断探索与创新不断纠偏又不断开拓,有什么奇怪的么? 从新能源汽车到储能,从可回收火箭到starlink,到太空Ai数据中心, 从全自动驾驶到Robotaxi,甚至于boring隧道, 从收购Twitter,创立 XAI 到擎天柱机器人到 脑机接口, 这些看似八杆子打不着的创业为什么最后可以对齐? 甚至可以惊人的创造性服务于更大的目标,?! 其实原因很简单: 正因他的内心最深处, 在他的潜意识里, 他从未背弃他最初的梦想, 让人类成为跨越行星生物以延续人类文明的火种!轨迹有哪一个不是源于少年时期他的梦想而来; 他的使命与愿景其实从未改变过,在此过程中, 不断调整对焦才有最终目标的实现! 为人类社会进步,超越性的 发展, 才有可能有丰盛(abundance) 没有丰盛如何走出地球?! , 不靠金融难道靠乌托邦畅想么?! 其实全部都短期调整以对齐目标, 用“变脸”形容,居心叵测啊 还是燕雀对鸿鹄之志的无知呢? ; 这么多全新产业的整合非常人所能! 你做个四轮定位还得担心摄像头不居中吧! 所以, 马斯克其实还是那个少年, 可以改变人类命运的那个少年!","text":"无良媒体, 马斯克从事的几乎都是人类社会前所未有的全新产业,处于不断的摸索和探索中, 不断探索与创新不断纠偏又不断开拓,有什么奇怪的么? 从新能源汽车到储能,从可回收火箭到starlink,到太空Ai数据中心, 从全自动驾驶到Robotaxi,甚至于boring隧道, 从收购Twitter,创立 XAI 到擎天柱机器人到 脑机接口, 这些看似八杆子打不着的创业为什么最后可以对齐? 甚至可以惊人的创造性服务于更大的目标,?! 其实原因很简单: 正因他的内心最深处, 在他的潜意识里, 他从未背弃他最初的梦想, 让人类成为跨越行星生物以延续人类文明的火种!轨迹有哪一个不是源于少年时期他的梦想而来; 他的使命与愿景其实从未改变过,在此过程中, 不断调整对焦才有最终目标的实现! 为人类社会进步,超越性的 发展, 才有可能有丰盛(abundance) 没有丰盛如何走出地球?! , 不靠金融难道靠乌托邦畅想么?! 其实全部都短期调整以对齐目标, 用“变脸”形容,居心叵测啊 还是燕雀对鸿鹄之志的无知呢? ; 这么多全新产业的整合非常人所能! 你做个四轮定位还得担心摄像头不居中吧! 所以, 马斯克其实还是那个少年, 可以改变人类命运的那个少年!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/533267481379128","repostId":"2611147527","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2611147527","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1771120781,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2611147527?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-15 09:59","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"使命反复“变脸”,马斯克的商业帝国到底在追逐什么","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2611147527","media":"环球网","summary":"更令人担忧的是其对人类与AI未来的表态。分析认为,马斯克的使命漂移并非出于崇高理想,更多是为迎合投资者、提振股价,同时掺杂个人主观因素。","content":"<html><body><article><p>【环球网科技综合报道】2月15日消息,据外媒Gizmodo报道,多年来,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克旗下企业的使命与定位频繁更迭,从<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>的发展方向到SpaceX的星际目标,再到对人类与AI未来的判断,其表态始终充满矛盾,引发外界广泛质疑,背后或暗藏金钱与个人情绪的双重驱动。</p><img src=\"https://img.huanqiucdn.cn/dp/api/files/imageDir/75d3ed59f9b3b8566dd20f39563e2406u1.png?imageView2/2/w/1260\"/><p>Tesla的使命迭代最为典型。2019年,其使命是“加速世界向可持续能源的转型”,强调环保与员工公平;2025年9月更新为“可持续富足”;而上个月,马斯克又将其改为“惊人富足”,宣称AI与机器人将带来“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QC7.SI\">全民</a>高收入”未来,与早年环保导向判若两人。同时,他还宣称Tesla并非汽车公司,而是机器人公司,计划停产Model S和X,年产100万台Optimus机器人。</p><p>SpaceX的目标同样反复。马斯克近期突然宣布,公司重心转向“在月球建造自增长城市”,虽称最终仍将推进火星城市建设,但时间线模糊,类似其多年来未兑现的“飞行汽车”承诺,被指依赖公众的短期记忆炒作。此外,他还将xAI与SpaceX合并,宣称36个月内太空将成为部署AI最廉价的场所,为公司上市铺路。</p><p>更令人担忧的是其对人类与AI未来的表态。马斯克在播客中称,未来5-6年AI智能将超越人类总和,人类智能占比将不足1%,且难以掌控AI,却又宣称AI会因“好奇心”保留人类,言论自相矛盾。</p><p>分析认为,马斯克的使命漂移并非出于崇高理想,更多是为迎合投资者、提振股价,同时掺杂个人主观因素。从Tesla到SpaceX,从AI到星际探索,其不断变脸的表态,或本质上都是围绕金钱与个人情绪展开。(旺旺)</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>使命反复“变脸”,马斯克的商业帝国到底在追逐什么</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n使命反复“变脸”,马斯克的商业帝国到底在追逐什么\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-15 09:59 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260215100034a6fcebec&s=b><strong>环球网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>【环球网科技综合报道】2月15日消息,据外媒Gizmodo报道,多年来,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克旗下企业的使命与定位频繁更迭,从Tesla的发展方向到SpaceX的星际目标,再到对人类与AI未来的判断,其表态始终充满矛盾,引发外界广泛质疑,背后或暗藏金钱与个人情绪的双重驱动。Tesla的使命迭代最为典型。2019年,其使命是“加速世界向可持续能源的转型”,强调环保与员工公平;2025年9月更新为“...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260215100034a6fcebec&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU2462157665.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU2417539215.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMF\" (USD) INC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU2108987350.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV GLOBAL OPPORTUNITY SUSTAINABLE (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU2290526834.HKD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF 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INC"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260215100034a6fcebec&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2611147527","content_text":"【环球网科技综合报道】2月15日消息,据外媒Gizmodo报道,多年来,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克旗下企业的使命与定位频繁更迭,从Tesla的发展方向到SpaceX的星际目标,再到对人类与AI未来的判断,其表态始终充满矛盾,引发外界广泛质疑,背后或暗藏金钱与个人情绪的双重驱动。Tesla的使命迭代最为典型。2019年,其使命是“加速世界向可持续能源的转型”,强调环保与员工公平;2025年9月更新为“可持续富足”;而上个月,马斯克又将其改为“惊人富足”,宣称AI与机器人将带来“全民高收入”未来,与早年环保导向判若两人。同时,他还宣称Tesla并非汽车公司,而是机器人公司,计划停产Model S和X,年产100万台Optimus机器人。SpaceX的目标同样反复。马斯克近期突然宣布,公司重心转向“在月球建造自增长城市”,虽称最终仍将推进火星城市建设,但时间线模糊,类似其多年来未兑现的“飞行汽车”承诺,被指依赖公众的短期记忆炒作。此外,他还将xAI与SpaceX合并,宣称36个月内太空将成为部署AI最廉价的场所,为公司上市铺路。更令人担忧的是其对人类与AI未来的表态。马斯克在播客中称,未来5-6年AI智能将超越人类总和,人类智能占比将不足1%,且难以掌控AI,却又宣称AI会因“好奇心”保留人类,言论自相矛盾。分析认为,马斯克的使命漂移并非出于崇高理想,更多是为迎合投资者、提振股价,同时掺杂个人主观因素。从Tesla到SpaceX,从AI到星际探索,其不断变脸的表态,或本质上都是围绕金钱与个人情绪展开。(旺旺)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLT":0.6,"UFO":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSLA":1.91,"TSLO":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSLL":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"CRSH":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":442937473364512,"gmtCreate":1749161235288,"gmtModify":1749166489401,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548665181418139","authorIdStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"他没有狂怒, 已经着手投票成立新政党了, 他是马斯克!这里是美国","listText":"他没有狂怒, 已经着手投票成立新政党了, 他是马斯克!这里是美国","text":"他没有狂怒, 已经着手投票成立新政党了, 他是马斯克!这里是美国","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/442937473364512","repostId":"1177285113","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177285113","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1749159681,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177285113?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-06-06 05:41","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉股价重挫逾14%,太空概念股盘后集体上冲!特朗普威胁终止政府合约,马斯克:SpaceX龙飞船不干了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177285113","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"特朗普威胁后,马斯克称,特朗普涉嫌爱泼斯坦案;SpaceX龙飞船将立即解除政府任务。特斯拉CEO马斯克和美国总统特朗公开撕破脸,在社交媒体直接冲着特朗普发难,特斯拉股价盘中大跌。特朗普此后也在社交媒体发帖,威胁可能中止美国政府同马斯克旗下企业签署的政府合约。美股盘后,马斯克又发帖称,鉴于特朗普声称要取消他的政府合同,SpaceX的龙飞船将立即开始解除政府任务。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>对特朗普说马斯克攻击支出法案是因为撤销了所谓强制令和电动车税收抵免,马斯克回怼“随便”,称法案削减电动车激励本来不公,即便如此也应“瘦而美”,从来没有什么大漂亮法案;没了他特朗普赢不了大选。特朗普威胁后,马斯克称,特朗普涉嫌爱泼斯坦案;SpaceX龙飞船将立即解除政府任务。特斯拉市值一日蒸发超1500亿美元。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉CEO马斯克和美国总统特朗公开撕破脸,在社交媒体直接冲着特朗普发难,特斯拉股价盘中大跌。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在特朗普回应马斯克抨击名为“大漂亮”法案的大规模支出和减税法案、公开表示对马斯克“很失望”后,马斯克通过旗下社交媒体平台光速回怼。对于特朗普声称马斯克为法案恼怒是因为撤销拜登任内的电动汽车税收抵免,马斯克表示:“随便。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">马斯克再次呼吁推出削减、而不是增加赤字的法案。他说,法案削减电动车激励却不对减油气补贴“非常不公平” ,但即便如此也得减支。马斯克的帖子写道:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“法案中保留了削减电动汽车和光伏减税激励措施的条款,即便不对石油和天然气补贴下手(非常不公平!!),也要把法案中那堆令人作呕的私货丢掉。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">纵观整个文明史,根本就不存在既大又漂亮的立法。这一点人人皆知!要么你会得到一份‘又大又丑’的法案,要么你会得到一个‘瘦而美’的法案。瘦而美才是出路。”</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">针对特朗普所说的马斯克之前很了解法案、对此毫无异议,马斯克回应称:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“假话,这项法案从来没给我看过哪怕一次,而且是(国会)在深夜迅速通过的,几乎没有国会议员能够读到它!”</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">对于特朗普自称没有马斯克支持、他在去年大选中也会赢得宾州,马斯克还转发评论,认同特朗普没有他支持不会赢得大选的观点。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特朗普此后也在社交媒体发帖,威胁可能中止美国政府同马斯克旗下企业签署的政府合约。他在帖子中说:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“在我们的预算中,省下数十亿美元最简单的办法就是终止马斯克的政府补贴和合同。我一直很惊讶拜登竟然没有这么做!”</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">马斯克不甘示弱,在社交媒体爆猛料,称特朗普涉嫌爱泼斯坦性犯罪案,这就是美国政府没有将爱泼斯坦档案公布的真正原因。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">马斯克接连发布驳斥特朗普的言论期间,特斯拉股价周四盘中加速下跌,午盘跌幅扩大到10%以上,特朗普发帖威胁后,股价跌幅曾达到17.7%,最终,收跌约14.3%,创将近三个月来最大日跌幅,收创5月7日以来低位。因股价大跌,特斯拉的市值一日蒸发超1500亿美元。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfbe1d5efee0a349083c38f379ff4d2c\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美股盘后,马斯克又发帖称,鉴于特朗普声称要取消他的政府合同,SpaceX的龙飞船将立即开始解除政府任务。他还发帖表示,特朗普的关税将导致今年下半年美国经济陷入衰退。受此消息影响,美股太空概念股盘后应声上涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">维珍银河</a>一度大涨30%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RKLB\">Rocket Lab</a>涨超8%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASTS\">Ast Spacemobile</a>涨超6%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3ffcf2ce5aaea3360211b7da532890e\" tg-width=\"865\" tg-height=\"834\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3df7132f0b351a69d6d16aceb662af84\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"666\" tg-height=\"501\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_1847888052\">媒体称艾萨克曼提名被否激化特朗普与马斯克矛盾</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">华尔街见闻曾提到,本周二马斯克发帖公开与特朗普政府决裂,称大漂亮法案“让人厌恶”,该法案会将使本已巨大的预算赤字激增到2.5万亿美元。马斯克周三继续发力,发帖呼吁美国民众联系国会议员,“否决”该法案,并给帖子附上了电影《杀死比尔》的剧照图。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">马斯克周三继续炮轰大漂亮法案后,当天有媒体爆出,白宫否决了艾萨克曼担任美国国家航空航天局(NASA)局长的提名,这加剧了马斯克和特朗普之间的紧张关系。马斯克抨击大漂亮法案后,特朗普对他失去了耐心,马斯克则对特朗普撤销艾萨克曼的决定感到恼火。马斯克是艾萨克曼的亲密盟友,之前力挺艾萨克曼获得这一职位。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">该媒体援引白宫高官的消息称,特朗普对马斯克的批评感到不满,他不明白马斯克为何在与他密切合作四个月后决定加大批评力度,特朗普的高级顾问对马斯克的最新攻势措手不及。该媒体称,白宫并不接受马斯克的批评,暗示他应该优先考虑商业利益。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉股价重挫逾14%,太空概念股盘后集体上冲!特朗普威胁终止政府合约,马斯克:SpaceX龙飞船不干了</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉股价重挫逾14%,太空概念股盘后集体上冲!特朗普威胁终止政府合约,马斯克:SpaceX龙飞船不干了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-06-06 05:41 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3748557><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>对特朗普说马斯克攻击支出法案是因为撤销了所谓强制令和电动车税收抵免,马斯克回怼“随便”,称法案削减电动车激励本来不公,即便如此也应“瘦而美”,从来没有什么大漂亮法案;没了他特朗普赢不了大选。特朗普威胁后,马斯克称,特朗普涉嫌爱泼斯坦案;SpaceX龙飞船将立即解除政府任务。特斯拉市值一日蒸发超1500亿美元。特斯拉CEO马斯克和美国总统特朗公开撕破脸,在社交媒体直接冲着特朗普发难,特斯拉股价盘中...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3748557\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/072c968b365f388646563804246ec367","relate_stocks":{"SPCE":"维珍银河","RKLB":"Rocket Lab USA, Inc.","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3748557","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177285113","content_text":"对特朗普说马斯克攻击支出法案是因为撤销了所谓强制令和电动车税收抵免,马斯克回怼“随便”,称法案削减电动车激励本来不公,即便如此也应“瘦而美”,从来没有什么大漂亮法案;没了他特朗普赢不了大选。特朗普威胁后,马斯克称,特朗普涉嫌爱泼斯坦案;SpaceX龙飞船将立即解除政府任务。特斯拉市值一日蒸发超1500亿美元。特斯拉CEO马斯克和美国总统特朗公开撕破脸,在社交媒体直接冲着特朗普发难,特斯拉股价盘中大跌。在特朗普回应马斯克抨击名为“大漂亮”法案的大规模支出和减税法案、公开表示对马斯克“很失望”后,马斯克通过旗下社交媒体平台光速回怼。对于特朗普声称马斯克为法案恼怒是因为撤销拜登任内的电动汽车税收抵免,马斯克表示:“随便。”马斯克再次呼吁推出削减、而不是增加赤字的法案。他说,法案削减电动车激励却不对减油气补贴“非常不公平” ,但即便如此也得减支。马斯克的帖子写道:“法案中保留了削减电动汽车和光伏减税激励措施的条款,即便不对石油和天然气补贴下手(非常不公平!!),也要把法案中那堆令人作呕的私货丢掉。纵观整个文明史,根本就不存在既大又漂亮的立法。这一点人人皆知!要么你会得到一份‘又大又丑’的法案,要么你会得到一个‘瘦而美’的法案。瘦而美才是出路。”针对特朗普所说的马斯克之前很了解法案、对此毫无异议,马斯克回应称:“假话,这项法案从来没给我看过哪怕一次,而且是(国会)在深夜迅速通过的,几乎没有国会议员能够读到它!”对于特朗普自称没有马斯克支持、他在去年大选中也会赢得宾州,马斯克还转发评论,认同特朗普没有他支持不会赢得大选的观点。特朗普此后也在社交媒体发帖,威胁可能中止美国政府同马斯克旗下企业签署的政府合约。他在帖子中说:“在我们的预算中,省下数十亿美元最简单的办法就是终止马斯克的政府补贴和合同。我一直很惊讶拜登竟然没有这么做!”马斯克不甘示弱,在社交媒体爆猛料,称特朗普涉嫌爱泼斯坦性犯罪案,这就是美国政府没有将爱泼斯坦档案公布的真正原因。马斯克接连发布驳斥特朗普的言论期间,特斯拉股价周四盘中加速下跌,午盘跌幅扩大到10%以上,特朗普发帖威胁后,股价跌幅曾达到17.7%,最终,收跌约14.3%,创将近三个月来最大日跌幅,收创5月7日以来低位。因股价大跌,特斯拉的市值一日蒸发超1500亿美元。美股盘后,马斯克又发帖称,鉴于特朗普声称要取消他的政府合同,SpaceX的龙飞船将立即开始解除政府任务。他还发帖表示,特朗普的关税将导致今年下半年美国经济陷入衰退。受此消息影响,美股太空概念股盘后应声上涨,维珍银河一度大涨30%,Rocket Lab涨超8%,Ast Spacemobile涨超6%。媒体称艾萨克曼提名被否激化特朗普与马斯克矛盾华尔街见闻曾提到,本周二马斯克发帖公开与特朗普政府决裂,称大漂亮法案“让人厌恶”,该法案会将使本已巨大的预算赤字激增到2.5万亿美元。马斯克周三继续发力,发帖呼吁美国民众联系国会议员,“否决”该法案,并给帖子附上了电影《杀死比尔》的剧照图。马斯克周三继续炮轰大漂亮法案后,当天有媒体爆出,白宫否决了艾萨克曼担任美国国家航空航天局(NASA)局长的提名,这加剧了马斯克和特朗普之间的紧张关系。马斯克抨击大漂亮法案后,特朗普对他失去了耐心,马斯克则对特朗普撤销艾萨克曼的决定感到恼火。马斯克是艾萨克曼的亲密盟友,之前力挺艾萨克曼获得这一职位。该媒体援引白宫高官的消息称,特朗普对马斯克的批评感到不满,他不明白马斯克为何在与他密切合作四个月后决定加大批评力度,特朗普的高级顾问对马斯克的最新攻势措手不及。该媒体称,白宫并不接受马斯克的批评,暗示他应该优先考虑商业利益。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPCE":1.1,"RKLB":1.1,"TSLA":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":958794276,"gmtCreate":1591364695495,"gmtModify":1704195540770,"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548665181418139","authorIdStr":"3548665181418139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">$联合大陆航空(UAL)$</a>$美国航空(AAL)$ 大家$美国航空(AAL)$ 大家觉得我们能聪明过巴菲特,他把航空股的盈利与债务看的清清楚楚,所以,只有玩短线的不要命","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">$联合大陆航空(UAL)$</a>$美国航空(AAL)$ 大家$美国航空(AAL)$ 大家觉得我们能聪明过巴菲特,他把航空股的盈利与债务看的清清楚楚,所以,只有玩短线的不要命","text":"$联合大陆航空(UAL)$$美国航空(AAL)$ 大家$美国航空(AAL)$ 大家觉得我们能聪明过巴菲特,他把航空股的盈利与债务看的清清楚楚,所以,只有玩短线的不要命","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/958794276","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3216,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3465173740914335","authorId":"3465173740914335","name":"RankShare","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eac6cc67aa5920c88f533799fbe84413","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3465173740914335","authorIdStr":"3465173740914335"},"content":"巴菲特看特斯拉财务呢,亚马逊财务呢,全部失算了,股神早就不在这个时代了,跟紧美联储,撒钱还不要啊","text":"巴菲特看特斯拉财务呢,亚马逊财务呢,全部失算了,股神早就不在这个时代了,跟紧美联储,撒钱还不要啊","html":"巴菲特看特斯拉财务呢,亚马逊财务呢,全部失算了,股神早就不在这个时代了,跟紧美联储,撒钱还不要啊"},{"author":{"id":"3475509041561062","authorId":"3475509041561062","name":"常州玩客币","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0022f7669d1f2c0d6fcba569d90d0697","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3475509041561062","authorIdStr":"3475509041561062"},"content":"那你跟巴菲特好了,股神八十多岁了,你愿意把钱让个八十多岁的帮你投资,输就很正常了。","text":"那你跟巴菲特好了,股神八十多岁了,你愿意把钱让个八十多岁的帮你投资,输就很正常了。","html":"那你跟巴菲特好了,股神八十多岁了,你愿意把钱让个八十多岁的帮你投资,输就很正常了。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}