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2021-08-02

Yes

Can Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道？</blockquote>

2021-07-26

Wow

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2021-07-25

Undervalued

Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估？要考虑什么</blockquote>

2021-07-23

Wow

Amazon Stock: This Is How Subscriptions Matter<blockquote>亚马逊股票：这就是订阅的重要性</blockquote>

2021-07-19

Like

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2021-07-15

Swee

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-14

Jialat

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2021-07-13

Good

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2021-07-12

Let's go

The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>

2021-07-09

Wow

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2021-07-08

Wow

Volkswagen weighs appeal against EU fine over emissions tech collusion<blockquote>大众汽车考虑对欧盟因排放技术勾结而罚款提出上诉</blockquote>

2021-07-07

Nice

Hong Kong stock exchange rose 4% in wednesday morning tradin<blockquote>香港证券交易所周三早盘上涨4%</blockquote>

2021-07-06

Like

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2021-07-02

Why

Why NIO Stock Climbed and Then Fell on Thursday<blockquote>为什么蔚来股价周四先涨后跌</blockquote>

2021-07-01

Good

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2021-06-30

Hold

2 E-Commerce Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>未来十年可以购买并持有的2只电子商务股票</blockquote>

2021-06-28

Nice

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2021-06-27

Nice

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2021-06-26

Let's go

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-25

Let's go

Could BlackBerry's Q1 Earnings Beat Further Fuel The Stonk Rally?<blockquote>黑莓第一季度盈利超出预期能否进一步推动股市上涨？</blockquote>

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s","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805481761","repostId":"1131923658","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131923658","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627898076,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131923658?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 17:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131923658","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.\n\"In the second q","content":"<p>Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上周发布的第二季度盈利和收入超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在公司第二季度更新中表示：“2021年第二季度，我们打破了新的、引人注目的记录。”“我们生产和交付了超过200,000辆汽车，实现了11%的营业利润率，并在我们历史上首次超过[10亿美元]GAAP净利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Here's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对本季度的近距离观察，其中包括报告中的五个必看要点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Revenue hit $12 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.营收达到120亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Helped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>得益于汽车交付量同比增长121%，特斯拉的收入同比飙升98%，达到约120亿美元。这超出了分析师113亿美元营收的平均预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Profits skyrocketed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、利润暴涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.</p><p><blockquote>当然，有了这样的收入，利润飙升也就不足为奇了。净利润从去年同期的1.04亿美元增至11.4亿美元。非GAAP（调整后）净利润同比增长258%至16亿美元。这意味着非GAAP每股收益为1.45美元，远高于分析师普遍预期的0.98美元。</blockquote></p><p> The outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉利润的大幅增长表明了该公司商业模式的可扩展性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Free cash flow remains healthy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.自由现金流保持健康</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次产生了正的自由现金流，即运营现金流减去资本支出。期内自由现金流从去年同期的4.18亿美元增至6.19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Total cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.</p><p><blockquote>手头现金总额从2021年第一季度的171亿美元下降至162亿美元，但这主要是由于16亿美元的净债务和融资租赁还款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Vehicle demand is robust</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四、车辆需求旺盛</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次表示，对其汽车的需求达到了创纪录的水平。事实上，需求如此强劲，以至于该公司的供应受到限制。“全球需求持续强劲，我们正在现有零部件供应的极限下进行生产，”特斯拉解释道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There's more sharp growth to come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.未来还会有更大幅度的增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，特斯拉对其增长轨迹保持乐观。该公司表示，预计今年的总交付量将同比增长50%以上。这意味着2021年总交付量将超过75万辆。截至目前，特斯拉今年已交付超过38.6万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> \"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.</p><p><blockquote>“增长率将取决于我们的设备容量、运营效率以及供应链的容量和稳定性，”特斯拉指出。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Four Challenges to Tesla’s Growth</h4> However,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.</p><p><blockquote><h4>特斯拉经济增长面临的四大挑战</h4>然而，投资者担心几个因素可能会很快减缓特斯拉狂热的股价增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街是一个有效的市场，对上市公司的好消息和坏消息都进行了贴现。因此，股价在好消息之前上涨，在坏消息之前遭到抛售。有时，市场先生——用本杰明·格雷厄姆的术语来说——过于乐观，导致上市公司的股价远高于其基本或内在价值。其他时候，先生。市场过于悲观，导致上市公司股价远低于其内在价值。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.</p><p><blockquote>从许多标准来看，特斯拉的股价都被高估了。例如，TipRanks估计特斯拉过去12个月的股本回报率为12.41%，而特斯拉的内在价值估计为160.11美元，远低于当前的价格水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition from Colonizers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>来自殖民者的竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> Once, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.</p><p><blockquote>曾经，特斯拉几乎没有竞争，因为它开创的电动汽车（EV）市场几乎没有来自传统汽车制造商的竞争。然而，随着通用汽车、福特、大众和丰田正在入侵电动市场，情况已不再如此。</blockquote></p><p> These \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.</p><p><blockquote>这些电动汽车市场的“殖民者”拥有制造经验、专业知识和分销网络，可以扩大电动汽车生产规模，跨越将电动汽车推向大众的“临界点”。与此同时，新竞争对手进入电动汽车市场可能会引发价格竞争，从而削弱特斯拉的收入增长和利润率。这是华尔街在季度财务报表中密切关注的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Exposure</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉CEO Elon Musk对比特币情有独钟。这就是为什么他一直将公司的部分现金投资于数字货币。截至3月底，特斯拉15亿美元的投资价值24.8亿美元，以第一季度比特币的激增计算。然而，考虑到比特币的波动性，这也有其风险。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.</p><p><blockquote>将数字货币视为无限期无形资产的会计规则加剧了比特币的波动性。因此，倘其公平值于评估报告期内减值至低于账面值，则须计提减值亏损。在资产出售之前，公司无法收回公允价值后续增加的减值损失。随着数字货币价格暴跌，特斯拉报告第二季度与比特币相关的减值为2300万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising Material Costs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>材料成本上升</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Together with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19大流行期间供应链中断，特斯拉与传统汽车制造商一起面临严重的材料短缺，预计这将减缓其狂热增长的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> \"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.</p><p><blockquote>“在我们全速造车的同时，全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重，”马斯克告诉投资者。“在今年剩余时间里，我们的增长率将取决于供应链中最慢的部分，”他补充说，有多种芯片将成为增长的刹车。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Mixed reviews from Wall Street</h4> Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><h4>华尔街褒贬不一</h4>Needham分析师Rajvindra Gill表示，特斯拉股票的定价已经非常完美，这可以解释该股周二的疲软。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.</p><p><blockquote>吉尔写道：“即使最近的业绩更加积极，我们也很难证明特斯拉‘定价完美’的估值是合理的。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley分析师Adam Jonas表示，本季度可能不会改变多头或空头的说法，特斯拉仍然不是企业市盈率70倍的价值股。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉不仅是世界上增长最快的汽车公司之一，也是最赚钱的公司之一，”Jonas写道。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师Colin Langan表示，汽车毛利率令人印象深刻，但可能不会持续。</blockquote></p><p> “We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.</p><p><blockquote>Langran写道：“随着价格较低的Model Y SR在中国推出，由于原材料成本上升和混合动力稀释，我们预计第三季度/第四季度汽车利润率将放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> John Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"</p><p><blockquote>B.of A.Securities的约翰·墨菲(John Murphy)的语气更加谨慎。尽管节奏很慢，但“竞争非常激烈，而且正在升温，”他说。“（特斯拉的）运营环境正在从真空转向日益拥挤的空间。”</blockquote></p><p> The quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>季度业绩“在很大程度上得益于积极的定价动态和良好的执行力”，墨菲将该股的目标价从750美元上调至800美元，较周二的价格上涨约26%。他维持B.of A.对该股的中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 17:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上周发布的第二季度盈利和收入超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在公司第二季度更新中表示：“2021年第二季度，我们打破了新的、引人注目的记录。”“我们生产和交付了超过200,000辆汽车，实现了11%的营业利润率，并在我们历史上首次超过[10亿美元]GAAP净利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Here's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对本季度的近距离观察，其中包括报告中的五个必看要点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Revenue hit $12 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.营收达到120亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Helped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>得益于汽车交付量同比增长121%，特斯拉的收入同比飙升98%，达到约120亿美元。这超出了分析师113亿美元营收的平均预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Profits skyrocketed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、利润暴涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.</p><p><blockquote>当然，有了这样的收入，利润飙升也就不足为奇了。净利润从去年同期的1.04亿美元增至11.4亿美元。非GAAP（调整后）净利润同比增长258%至16亿美元。这意味着非GAAP每股收益为1.45美元，远高于分析师普遍预期的0.98美元。</blockquote></p><p> The outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉利润的大幅增长表明了该公司商业模式的可扩展性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Free cash flow remains healthy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.自由现金流保持健康</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次产生了正的自由现金流，即运营现金流减去资本支出。期内自由现金流从去年同期的4.18亿美元增至6.19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Total cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.</p><p><blockquote>手头现金总额从2021年第一季度的171亿美元下降至162亿美元，但这主要是由于16亿美元的净债务和融资租赁还款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Vehicle demand is robust</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四、车辆需求旺盛</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次表示，对其汽车的需求达到了创纪录的水平。事实上，需求如此强劲，以至于该公司的供应受到限制。“全球需求持续强劲，我们正在现有零部件供应的极限下进行生产，”特斯拉解释道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There's more sharp growth to come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.未来还会有更大幅度的增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，特斯拉对其增长轨迹保持乐观。该公司表示，预计今年的总交付量将同比增长50%以上。这意味着2021年总交付量将超过75万辆。截至目前，特斯拉今年已交付超过38.6万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> \"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.</p><p><blockquote>“增长率将取决于我们的设备容量、运营效率以及供应链的容量和稳定性，”特斯拉指出。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Four Challenges to Tesla’s Growth</h4> However,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.</p><p><blockquote><h4>特斯拉经济增长面临的四大挑战</h4>然而，投资者担心几个因素可能会很快减缓特斯拉狂热的股价增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街是一个有效的市场，对上市公司的好消息和坏消息都进行了贴现。因此，股价在好消息之前上涨，在坏消息之前遭到抛售。有时，市场先生——用本杰明·格雷厄姆的术语来说——过于乐观，导致上市公司的股价远高于其基本或内在价值。其他时候，先生。市场过于悲观，导致上市公司股价远低于其内在价值。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.</p><p><blockquote>从许多标准来看，特斯拉的股价都被高估了。例如，TipRanks估计特斯拉过去12个月的股本回报率为12.41%，而特斯拉的内在价值估计为160.11美元，远低于当前的价格水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition from Colonizers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>来自殖民者的竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> Once, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.</p><p><blockquote>曾经，特斯拉几乎没有竞争，因为它开创的电动汽车（EV）市场几乎没有来自传统汽车制造商的竞争。然而，随着通用汽车、福特、大众和丰田正在入侵电动市场，情况已不再如此。</blockquote></p><p> These \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.</p><p><blockquote>这些电动汽车市场的“殖民者”拥有制造经验、专业知识和分销网络，可以扩大电动汽车生产规模，跨越将电动汽车推向大众的“临界点”。与此同时，新竞争对手进入电动汽车市场可能会引发价格竞争，从而削弱特斯拉的收入增长和利润率。这是华尔街在季度财务报表中密切关注的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Exposure</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉CEO Elon Musk对比特币情有独钟。这就是为什么他一直将公司的部分现金投资于数字货币。截至3月底，特斯拉15亿美元的投资价值24.8亿美元，以第一季度比特币的激增计算。然而，考虑到比特币的波动性，这也有其风险。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.</p><p><blockquote>将数字货币视为无限期无形资产的会计规则加剧了比特币的波动性。因此，倘其公平值于评估报告期内减值至低于账面值，则须计提减值亏损。在资产出售之前，公司无法收回公允价值后续增加的减值损失。随着数字货币价格暴跌，特斯拉报告第二季度与比特币相关的减值为2300万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising Material Costs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>材料成本上升</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Together with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19大流行期间供应链中断，特斯拉与传统汽车制造商一起面临严重的材料短缺，预计这将减缓其狂热增长的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> \"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.</p><p><blockquote>“在我们全速造车的同时，全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重，”马斯克告诉投资者。“在今年剩余时间里，我们的增长率将取决于供应链中最慢的部分，”他补充说，有多种芯片将成为增长的刹车。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Mixed reviews from Wall Street</h4> Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><h4>华尔街褒贬不一</h4>Needham分析师Rajvindra Gill表示，特斯拉股票的定价已经非常完美，这可以解释该股周二的疲软。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.</p><p><blockquote>吉尔写道：“即使最近的业绩更加积极，我们也很难证明特斯拉‘定价完美’的估值是合理的。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley分析师Adam Jonas表示，本季度可能不会改变多头或空头的说法，特斯拉仍然不是企业市盈率70倍的价值股。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉不仅是世界上增长最快的汽车公司之一，也是最赚钱的公司之一，”Jonas写道。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师Colin Langan表示，汽车毛利率令人印象深刻，但可能不会持续。</blockquote></p><p> “We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.</p><p><blockquote>Langran写道：“随着价格较低的Model Y SR在中国推出，由于原材料成本上升和混合动力稀释，我们预计第三季度/第四季度汽车利润率将放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> John Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"</p><p><blockquote>B.of A.Securities的约翰·墨菲(John Murphy)的语气更加谨慎。尽管节奏很慢，但“竞争非常激烈，而且正在升温，”他说。“（特斯拉的）运营环境正在从真空转向日益拥挤的空间。”</blockquote></p><p> The quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>季度业绩“在很大程度上得益于积极的定价动态和良好的执行力”，墨菲将该股的目标价从750美元上调至800美元，较周二的价格上涨约26%。他维持B.of A.对该股的中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131923658","content_text":"Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.\n\"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"\nHere's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.\n1. Revenue hit $12 billion\nHelped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.\n2. Profits skyrocketed\nOf course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.\nThe outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.\n3. Free cash flow remains healthy\nTesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.\nTotal cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.\n4. Vehicle demand is robust\nTesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.\n5. There's more sharp growth to come\nImportantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.\n\"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.\nFour Challenges to Tesla’s Growth\nHowever,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.\nHigh Valuation\nWall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.\nTesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.\nCompetition from Colonizers\nOnce, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.\nThese \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.\nBitcoin Exposure\nTesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.\nAdding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.\nRising Material Costs\nTogether with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.\n\"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.\nMixed reviews from Wall Street\nNeedham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.\n“Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.\nMorgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.\n“Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.\nWells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.\n“We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.\nJohn Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"\nThe quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800444816,"gmtCreate":1627314887535,"gmtModify":1631888709289,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800444816","repostId":"1191215576","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1845,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177692524,"gmtCreate":1627205555268,"gmtModify":1631888709294,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Undervalued","listText":"Undervalued","text":"Undervalued","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177692524","repostId":"1176552691","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176552691","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627183789,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176552691?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估？要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176552691","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li>  <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li>  <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着云收入和营业利润率的改善，IBM第二季度盈利超出了分析师的预期。</li><li>在第一季度之前，IBM连续四个季度收入下降，过去34个季度中有30个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊森·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商业机器公司（IBM）是一家转型中的公司。不幸的是，对于投资者来说，这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及剥离遗留业务。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象，但播下的种子是否落在岩石上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面拥有快速增长的业务，并在量子计算方面拥有潜在的增长引擎，但它面临着前一个行业的激烈竞争和后一个行业的不确定前景。该公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态，因此IBM的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，截至今天，IBM的债务负担合理且不断减少，自由现金流强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来部分解决增长问题，同时剥离其托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为Kyndryl。然而，新实体将承担的债务以及其将承担的当前股息部分尚未透露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM&nbsp;reported&nbsp;Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司的非GAAP每股收益为2.33美元，超出预期0.04美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后，营收为187亿美元，持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了7%。然而，这主要是由于正常的IBM Z大型机周期，同比下降13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门在总收入中所占比例较低，下降了9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一，并将主要分拆为Kyndryl，但增长平缓。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud &amp; Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极一面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%，全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去12个月，云总收入为270亿美元，增长了15%，而本季度云收入增长了13%，达到70亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去12个月，经营活动产生的净现金达到177亿美元，调整后的自由现金流总计110亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来，该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM屹立不倒的地方</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM往好了说是一家三流IT公司，往坏了说是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，该公司的收入多年来一直在下降；然而，为了准确评估该股票，投资者必须了解IBM的传统业务有许多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如，IBM是世界上最大的IT服务公司，也是大型机的主要提供商。在财富50强公司中，有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的大型机系统处理全球近90%的信用卡交易，97%的全球最大银行依赖IBM的产品和服务。因此，每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务，而80%的旅游业预订通过IBM系统进行。这导致使用该公司的IT服务处理40亿次航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，IBM拥有庞大的客户群，提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下，转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息转移的风险，而许多人不愿意采取这一举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡，越来越多的公司采用混合搭配的IT基础设施。反过来，这正在侵蚀IBM与客户转换成本相关的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh&nbsp;provided insight&nbsp;into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍了解IBM通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。然而，在摩根大通最近的投资者会议上，首席财务官吉姆·卡瓦诺（Jim Kavanaugh）就混合云如何推动IBM其他一些部门的收入提供了见解。</blockquote></p><p>   For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.  Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们在混合云平台上每投入1美元（业务），我们就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然，Kavanaugh使用drag来指的是与采用IBM混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确，这意味着在该公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都可以从该公司的软件和服务产品中获得9至13美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>由于混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务，因此它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。这是医疗保健和金融服务客户特别关注的问题。因此，我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势，因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最近的研究，也属于其他预测的中间，是由魔多情报局进行的。该公司预测2021年至2026年的复合年增长率为18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该知道，该领域的主要运营商是思科(CSCO)、惠普(HPE)、亚马逊(AMZN)、思杰系统(CTXS)和IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云之外，还有另一个潜在增长的来源，尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM&nbsp;introduced&nbsp;the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初，IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台为科学和商业用途而设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>原谅我的双关语，但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测，到2030年，该行业的CAGR将达到56%，量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to&nbsp;my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和IBM在该行业中的地位的更多见解，我向您推荐我的文章“IBM：为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once&nbsp;Kyndryl&nbsp;is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦上市，将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多家客户。新实体的服务积压量为600亿美元，预计收入为190亿美元。该公司的规模是最接近的竞争对手的两倍，将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will&nbsp;transform&nbsp;IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次分拆将使IBM从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务经常性收入超过一半的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will&nbsp;account&nbsp;for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占公司收入的22%，将占销售额的40%以上。值得注意的是，该部门上季度的收入同比增长了12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM将保留Red Hat及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务，以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初，两家公司将各自成为对方的最大客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆，尚待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务，以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示，两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM转危为安了吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图提供了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：数据来自ycharts/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨，但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与Kyndryl分拆相关的30亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO&nbsp;recently stated&nbsp;he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示，他预计IBM将在2022年产生120亿至130亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层举措，但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自2019年年中达到峰值以来，该公司已将债务减少了约180亿美元。IBM维持投资级信用评级，下图记录了该公司最近偿还债务的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%，派息率略低于61%，5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述，Kyndryl分拆后，两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是否被高估？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM股价交易价格为141.13美元。8位分析师的平均12个月目标价为153.50美元。自上次收益报告以来，对该股进行评级的3位分析师的目标价为151.33美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍，远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下，其五年平均值分别为16.42倍和13.25倍。这远低于行业平均水平，这两个指标都在三十左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium提供的3至5年期PEG为1.16倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍，雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后IBM增长加速的预期。PEG比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是一项不错的长期投资吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中有着根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是，被视为该公司主要增长途径的云也可能导致该公司一些遗留业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务一直在快速增长是显而易见的：IBM现在拥有超过3,200个客户使用该公司的混合云平台。这几乎是收购红帽之前的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确，混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。结合Kyndryl缓慢增长的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆，有理由相信IBM将见证增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM拥有稳健的资产负债表和强劲的收益率，当使用PEG比率作为股票估值的基础时，该股的交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑，我对IBM的评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢，而投资者则获得相当强劲的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估？要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估？要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-25 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li>  <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li>  <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着云收入和营业利润率的改善，IBM第二季度盈利超出了分析师的预期。</li><li>在第一季度之前，IBM连续四个季度收入下降，过去34个季度中有30个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊森·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商业机器公司（IBM）是一家转型中的公司。不幸的是，对于投资者来说，这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及剥离遗留业务。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象，但播下的种子是否落在岩石上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面拥有快速增长的业务，并在量子计算方面拥有潜在的增长引擎，但它面临着前一个行业的激烈竞争和后一个行业的不确定前景。该公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态，因此IBM的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，截至今天，IBM的债务负担合理且不断减少，自由现金流强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来部分解决增长问题，同时剥离其托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为Kyndryl。然而，新实体将承担的债务以及其将承担的当前股息部分尚未透露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM&nbsp;reported&nbsp;Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司的非GAAP每股收益为2.33美元，超出预期0.04美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后，营收为187亿美元，持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了7%。然而，这主要是由于正常的IBM Z大型机周期，同比下降13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门在总收入中所占比例较低，下降了9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一，并将主要分拆为Kyndryl，但增长平缓。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud &amp; Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极一面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%，全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去12个月，云总收入为270亿美元，增长了15%，而本季度云收入增长了13%，达到70亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去12个月，经营活动产生的净现金达到177亿美元，调整后的自由现金流总计110亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来，该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM屹立不倒的地方</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM往好了说是一家三流IT公司，往坏了说是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，该公司的收入多年来一直在下降；然而，为了准确评估该股票，投资者必须了解IBM的传统业务有许多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如，IBM是世界上最大的IT服务公司，也是大型机的主要提供商。在财富50强公司中，有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的大型机系统处理全球近90%的信用卡交易，97%的全球最大银行依赖IBM的产品和服务。因此，每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务，而80%的旅游业预订通过IBM系统进行。这导致使用该公司的IT服务处理40亿次航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，IBM拥有庞大的客户群，提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下，转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息转移的风险，而许多人不愿意采取这一举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡，越来越多的公司采用混合搭配的IT基础设施。反过来，这正在侵蚀IBM与客户转换成本相关的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh&nbsp;provided insight&nbsp;into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍了解IBM通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。然而，在摩根大通最近的投资者会议上，首席财务官吉姆·卡瓦诺（Jim Kavanaugh）就混合云如何推动IBM其他一些部门的收入提供了见解。</blockquote></p><p>   For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.  Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们在混合云平台上每投入1美元（业务），我们就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然，Kavanaugh使用drag来指的是与采用IBM混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确，这意味着在该公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都可以从该公司的软件和服务产品中获得9至13美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>由于混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务，因此它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。这是医疗保健和金融服务客户特别关注的问题。因此，我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势，因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最近的研究，也属于其他预测的中间，是由魔多情报局进行的。该公司预测2021年至2026年的复合年增长率为18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该知道，该领域的主要运营商是思科(CSCO)、惠普(HPE)、亚马逊(AMZN)、思杰系统(CTXS)和IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云之外，还有另一个潜在增长的来源，尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM&nbsp;introduced&nbsp;the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初，IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台为科学和商业用途而设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>原谅我的双关语，但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测，到2030年，该行业的CAGR将达到56%，量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to&nbsp;my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和IBM在该行业中的地位的更多见解，我向您推荐我的文章“IBM：为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once&nbsp;Kyndryl&nbsp;is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦上市，将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多家客户。新实体的服务积压量为600亿美元，预计收入为190亿美元。该公司的规模是最接近的竞争对手的两倍，将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will&nbsp;transform&nbsp;IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次分拆将使IBM从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务经常性收入超过一半的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will&nbsp;account&nbsp;for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占公司收入的22%，将占销售额的40%以上。值得注意的是，该部门上季度的收入同比增长了12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM将保留Red Hat及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务，以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初，两家公司将各自成为对方的最大客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆，尚待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务，以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示，两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM转危为安了吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图提供了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：数据来自ycharts/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨，但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与Kyndryl分拆相关的30亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO&nbsp;recently stated&nbsp;he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示，他预计IBM将在2022年产生120亿至130亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层举措，但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自2019年年中达到峰值以来，该公司已将债务减少了约180亿美元。IBM维持投资级信用评级，下图记录了该公司最近偿还债务的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%，派息率略低于61%，5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述，Kyndryl分拆后，两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是否被高估？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM股价交易价格为141.13美元。8位分析师的平均12个月目标价为153.50美元。自上次收益报告以来，对该股进行评级的3位分析师的目标价为151.33美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍，远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下，其五年平均值分别为16.42倍和13.25倍。这远低于行业平均水平，这两个指标都在三十左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium提供的3至5年期PEG为1.16倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍，雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后IBM增长加速的预期。PEG比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是一项不错的长期投资吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中有着根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是，被视为该公司主要增长途径的云也可能导致该公司一些遗留业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务一直在快速增长是显而易见的：IBM现在拥有超过3,200个客户使用该公司的混合云平台。这几乎是收购红帽之前的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确，混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。结合Kyndryl缓慢增长的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆，有理由相信IBM将见证增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM拥有稳健的资产负债表和强劲的收益率，当使用PEG比率作为股票估值的基础时，该股的交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑，我对IBM的评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢，而投资者则获得相当强劲的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176552691","content_text":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.\nPrior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.\nMore transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.\n\nEthan Miller/Getty Images News\nInternational Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.\nAlthough the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.\nWhat is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.\nManagement is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.\nRecent Quarterly Results\nIBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.\nRevenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.\nThe negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.\nThe global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.\nThe positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.\nNet cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.\nSince year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.\nManagement guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.\nWhere IBM Stands Tall\nIBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.\nIt is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.\nFor example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.\nHalf of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.\nIBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.\nEight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.\nSource: Forbes\nIt is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.\nHowever, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.\nThe Sources Of Potential Growth\nInvestors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.\n\n For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.\n\nOf course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.\nBecause hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.\nI reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.\nInvestors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.\nThe following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.\nSource: Company reports / Chart by Author\nAside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.\nEarly in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.\nPardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.\nFor additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”\nUnderstanding Kyndryl\nOnce Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.\nThe split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.\nGlobal Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.\nIBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.\nInitially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.\nWhat remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.\nHas IBM Turned The Corner?\nAnyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.\nSource: Data from ycharts / chart by author\nWhile this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.\nIn 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.\nThe CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.\nDebt And Dividend\nWhile investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.\nThe company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.\nSource: IBM Presentation\nIBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.\nIs IBM Stock Overvalued?\nIBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.\nIBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.\nThe 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.\nI believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.\nIs IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?\nIBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.\nThat the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.\nIf management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.\nIBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.\nAll considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.\nI think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IBM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175571337,"gmtCreate":1627044394829,"gmtModify":1631888709296,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175571337","repostId":"1147980203","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147980203","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627040384,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147980203?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 19:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Stock: This Is How Subscriptions Matter<blockquote>亚马逊股票：这就是订阅的重要性</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147980203","media":"The Street","summary":"Amazon’s subscriptions do not amount to much revenue – probably even less so to profits. But the suc","content":"<p>  Amazon’s subscriptions do not amount to much revenue – probably even less so to profits. But the success of the company and the upside to Amazon stock may depend greatly on this business.  Amazon&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;is well known for its e-commerce and cloud services. But the company has been diversifying its business model in the past several years and gaining scale. For example, the 200 million Prime accountsmeanthat Amazon’s Prime Video has become one of the most widely available streaming services in the world.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的订阅并没有带来多少收入，利润可能更少。但该公司的成功和亚马逊股票的上涨可能在很大程度上取决于这项业务。亚马逊（<b>AMZN</b>）-Get Report以其电子商务和云服务而闻名。但该公司在过去几年中一直在实现商业模式多元化并扩大规模。例如，2亿个Prime账户意味着亚马逊的Prime Video已成为世界上使用最广泛的流媒体服务之一。</blockquote></p><p> But if potential investors were to consider buying Amazon stock today, should they focus their due diligence on Amazon’s “side gigs”, particularly subscriptions? Amazon Prime, Prime Video and others: could they be an important piece of the investment thesis?</p><p><blockquote>但如果潜在投资者今天考虑购买亚马逊股票，他们是否应该将尽职调查重点放在亚马逊的“副业”上，特别是订阅？亚马逊Prime、Prime Video和其他：它们能成为投资论文的重要组成部分吗？</blockquote></p><p> <b>A snapshot of Amazon’s businesses</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊业务概况</b></blockquote></p><p> Around 70% of Amazon’s revenues come from e-commerce, broken into two major categories: 1P and 3P. The first consists of sales made by Amazon itself, while the latter pertains to thirty-party vendors that sell their products through Amazon’s marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊大约70%的收入来自电子商务，分为两大类：1P和3P。第一个包括亚马逊自己的销售，而后者涉及通过亚马逊市场销售产品的三十方供应商。</blockquote></p><p> Another 12% of Amazon’s revenues come from AWS, the acronym for Amazon Web Service. The segment provides cloud infrastructure services primarily to enterprises and competes with the likes of Microsoft’s Azure.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊另外12%的收入来自AWS，即亚马逊网络服务的缩写。该部门主要向企业提供云基础设施服务，并与微软Azure等公司竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Aside from physical stores and other minor activities, subscriptions account for only around 7% of Amazon’s total revenues – a drop in the bucket.</p><p><blockquote>除了实体店和其他次要活动，订阅仅占亚马逊总收入的7%左右——杯水车薪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Does it matter?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这有关系吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> At first glance, even if all of Amazon’s sub revenues were to vanish overnight (not practical, only a thought exercise), the company would still be left with a giant retail and cloud business that grew sales ata dizzying rate of around 40% last quarter. Without subscriptions, Amazon’s Q1 sales would have still increased by a respectable 34% year-over-year -- more so than in any quarter of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，即使亚马逊的所有子收入在一夜之间消失（不切实际，只是一个思考练习），该公司仍然会留下一个巨大的零售和云业务，上个季度销售额以令人眼花缭乱的40%左右的速度增长。如果没有订阅，亚马逊第一季度的销售额仍将同比增长34%，增幅高于2019年任何一个季度。</blockquote></p><p> From a number’s perspective, Amazon would probably be fine deemphasizing its subscription businesses to become a pure-play e-commerce and cloud giant. US e-commerce isforecastedto grow 20% by 2025, and Amazon is likely to control a large piece of this expanding market. Worldwide, e-commerce is expected to grow an even better 30%, and Amazon’s footprint expansion opportunities outside North America are substantial.</p><p><blockquote>从一些人的角度来看，亚马逊可能可以淡化其订阅业务，成为一家纯粹的电子商务和云巨头。预计到2025年，美国电子商务将增长20%，亚马逊可能会控制这个不断扩大的市场的很大一部分。在全球范围内，电子商务预计将增长30%，亚马逊在北美以外的足迹扩张机会巨大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Think bigger picture</b></p><p><blockquote><b>考虑更大的图景</b></blockquote></p><p> The catch is that subscriptions serve as a hook to attract and retain Amazon customers into its retail ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>问题在于，订阅可以吸引和留住亚马逊客户进入其零售生态系统。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, a Prime subscription brings in no more than $120 per year to Amazon’s coffers. Considering the costly benefits of a Prime account (i.e. fast delivery, access to audio and video content that is expensive to produce), the Seattle-based company probably sees little of the revenue trickling down to earnings.</p><p><blockquote>例如，Prime订阅每年为亚马逊带来的收入不超过120美元。考虑到Prime帐户的昂贵好处（即快速交付、访问制作成本高昂的音频和视频内容），这家总部位于西雅图的公司可能很少有收入会转化为收益。</blockquote></p><p> However, a Prime member is a much better Amazon customer compared to those who do not have a membership. According toForbes, a staggering 96% of all Prime members agree that they are more likely to buy from Amazon than from other e-commerce vendors. See below.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与没有会员的人相比，Prime会员是更好的亚马逊客户。据《福布斯》报道，惊人的是，96%的Prime会员认为他们更有可能从亚马逊购买商品，而不是从其他电子商务供应商那里购买商品。见下文。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/348e859b0c882c8e45d3edc9324f8351\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"314\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">“Ecosystem” may be an overused term, but it seems to be the path to success that Big Tech companies like Amazon have been carving. While the company’s subscription business is far from being a large revenue generator, it probably contributes greatly, although mostly indirectly, to Amazon’s dominance in e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>“生态系统”可能是一个被过度使用的术语，但它似乎是亚马逊等大型科技公司一直在开辟的成功之路。虽然该公司的订阅业务远不是一个大的收入来源，但它可能对亚马逊在电子商务领域的主导地位做出了巨大贡献，尽管大部分是间接的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Stock: This Is How Subscriptions Matter<blockquote>亚马逊股票：这就是订阅的重要性</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Stock: This Is How Subscriptions Matter<blockquote>亚马逊股票：这就是订阅的重要性</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-23 19:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Amazon’s subscriptions do not amount to much revenue – probably even less so to profits. But the success of the company and the upside to Amazon stock may depend greatly on this business.  Amazon&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;is well known for its e-commerce and cloud services. But the company has been diversifying its business model in the past several years and gaining scale. For example, the 200 million Prime accountsmeanthat Amazon’s Prime Video has become one of the most widely available streaming services in the world.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的订阅并没有带来多少收入，利润可能更少。但该公司的成功和亚马逊股票的上涨可能在很大程度上取决于这项业务。亚马逊（<b>AMZN</b>）-Get Report以其电子商务和云服务而闻名。但该公司在过去几年中一直在实现商业模式多元化并扩大规模。例如，2亿个Prime账户意味着亚马逊的Prime Video已成为世界上使用最广泛的流媒体服务之一。</blockquote></p><p> But if potential investors were to consider buying Amazon stock today, should they focus their due diligence on Amazon’s “side gigs”, particularly subscriptions? Amazon Prime, Prime Video and others: could they be an important piece of the investment thesis?</p><p><blockquote>但如果潜在投资者今天考虑购买亚马逊股票，他们是否应该将尽职调查重点放在亚马逊的“副业”上，特别是订阅？亚马逊Prime、Prime Video和其他：它们能成为投资论文的重要组成部分吗？</blockquote></p><p> <b>A snapshot of Amazon’s businesses</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊业务概况</b></blockquote></p><p> Around 70% of Amazon’s revenues come from e-commerce, broken into two major categories: 1P and 3P. The first consists of sales made by Amazon itself, while the latter pertains to thirty-party vendors that sell their products through Amazon’s marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊大约70%的收入来自电子商务，分为两大类：1P和3P。第一个包括亚马逊自己的销售，而后者涉及通过亚马逊市场销售产品的三十方供应商。</blockquote></p><p> Another 12% of Amazon’s revenues come from AWS, the acronym for Amazon Web Service. The segment provides cloud infrastructure services primarily to enterprises and competes with the likes of Microsoft’s Azure.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊另外12%的收入来自AWS，即亚马逊网络服务的缩写。该部门主要向企业提供云基础设施服务，并与微软Azure等公司竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Aside from physical stores and other minor activities, subscriptions account for only around 7% of Amazon’s total revenues – a drop in the bucket.</p><p><blockquote>除了实体店和其他次要活动，订阅仅占亚马逊总收入的7%左右——杯水车薪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Does it matter?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这有关系吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> At first glance, even if all of Amazon’s sub revenues were to vanish overnight (not practical, only a thought exercise), the company would still be left with a giant retail and cloud business that grew sales ata dizzying rate of around 40% last quarter. Without subscriptions, Amazon’s Q1 sales would have still increased by a respectable 34% year-over-year -- more so than in any quarter of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，即使亚马逊的所有子收入在一夜之间消失（不切实际，只是一个思考练习），该公司仍然会留下一个巨大的零售和云业务，上个季度销售额以令人眼花缭乱的40%左右的速度增长。如果没有订阅，亚马逊第一季度的销售额仍将同比增长34%，增幅高于2019年任何一个季度。</blockquote></p><p> From a number’s perspective, Amazon would probably be fine deemphasizing its subscription businesses to become a pure-play e-commerce and cloud giant. US e-commerce isforecastedto grow 20% by 2025, and Amazon is likely to control a large piece of this expanding market. Worldwide, e-commerce is expected to grow an even better 30%, and Amazon’s footprint expansion opportunities outside North America are substantial.</p><p><blockquote>从一些人的角度来看，亚马逊可能可以淡化其订阅业务，成为一家纯粹的电子商务和云巨头。预计到2025年，美国电子商务将增长20%，亚马逊可能会控制这个不断扩大的市场的很大一部分。在全球范围内，电子商务预计将增长30%，亚马逊在北美以外的足迹扩张机会巨大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Think bigger picture</b></p><p><blockquote><b>考虑更大的图景</b></blockquote></p><p> The catch is that subscriptions serve as a hook to attract and retain Amazon customers into its retail ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>问题在于，订阅可以吸引和留住亚马逊客户进入其零售生态系统。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, a Prime subscription brings in no more than $120 per year to Amazon’s coffers. Considering the costly benefits of a Prime account (i.e. fast delivery, access to audio and video content that is expensive to produce), the Seattle-based company probably sees little of the revenue trickling down to earnings.</p><p><blockquote>例如，Prime订阅每年为亚马逊带来的收入不超过120美元。考虑到Prime帐户的昂贵好处（即快速交付、访问制作成本高昂的音频和视频内容），这家总部位于西雅图的公司可能很少有收入会转化为收益。</blockquote></p><p> However, a Prime member is a much better Amazon customer compared to those who do not have a membership. According toForbes, a staggering 96% of all Prime members agree that they are more likely to buy from Amazon than from other e-commerce vendors. See below.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与没有会员的人相比，Prime会员是更好的亚马逊客户。据《福布斯》报道，惊人的是，96%的Prime会员认为他们更有可能从亚马逊购买商品，而不是从其他电子商务供应商那里购买商品。见下文。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/348e859b0c882c8e45d3edc9324f8351\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"314\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">“Ecosystem” may be an overused term, but it seems to be the path to success that Big Tech companies like Amazon have been carving. While the company’s subscription business is far from being a large revenue generator, it probably contributes greatly, although mostly indirectly, to Amazon’s dominance in e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>“生态系统”可能是一个被过度使用的术语，但它似乎是亚马逊等大型科技公司一直在开辟的成功之路。虽然该公司的订阅业务远不是一个大的收入来源，但它可能对亚马逊在电子商务领域的主导地位做出了巨大贡献，尽管大部分是间接的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/media/amazon-stock-this-is-how-subscriptions-matter\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/media/amazon-stock-this-is-how-subscriptions-matter","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147980203","content_text":"Amazon’s subscriptions do not amount to much revenue – probably even less so to profits. But the success of the company and the upside to Amazon stock may depend greatly on this business.\n\nAmazon (AMZN) -Get Report is well known for its e-commerce and cloud services. But the company has been diversifying its business model in the past several years and gaining scale. For example, the 200 million Prime accountsmeanthat Amazon’s Prime Video has become one of the most widely available streaming services in the world.\nBut if potential investors were to consider buying Amazon stock today, should they focus their due diligence on Amazon’s “side gigs”, particularly subscriptions? Amazon Prime, Prime Video and others: could they be an important piece of the investment thesis?\nA snapshot of Amazon’s businesses\nAround 70% of Amazon’s revenues come from e-commerce, broken into two major categories: 1P and 3P. The first consists of sales made by Amazon itself, while the latter pertains to thirty-party vendors that sell their products through Amazon’s marketplace.\nAnother 12% of Amazon’s revenues come from AWS, the acronym for Amazon Web Service. The segment provides cloud infrastructure services primarily to enterprises and competes with the likes of Microsoft’s Azure.\nAside from physical stores and other minor activities, subscriptions account for only around 7% of Amazon’s total revenues – a drop in the bucket.\nDoes it matter?\nAt first glance, even if all of Amazon’s sub revenues were to vanish overnight (not practical, only a thought exercise), the company would still be left with a giant retail and cloud business that grew sales ata dizzying rate of around 40% last quarter. Without subscriptions, Amazon’s Q1 sales would have still increased by a respectable 34% year-over-year -- more so than in any quarter of 2019.\nFrom a number’s perspective, Amazon would probably be fine deemphasizing its subscription businesses to become a pure-play e-commerce and cloud giant. US e-commerce isforecastedto grow 20% by 2025, and Amazon is likely to control a large piece of this expanding market. Worldwide, e-commerce is expected to grow an even better 30%, and Amazon’s footprint expansion opportunities outside North America are substantial.\nThink bigger picture\nThe catch is that subscriptions serve as a hook to attract and retain Amazon customers into its retail ecosystem.\nFor instance, a Prime subscription brings in no more than $120 per year to Amazon’s coffers. Considering the costly benefits of a Prime account (i.e. fast delivery, access to audio and video content that is expensive to produce), the Seattle-based company probably sees little of the revenue trickling down to earnings.\nHowever, a Prime member is a much better Amazon customer compared to those who do not have a membership. According toForbes, a staggering 96% of all Prime members agree that they are more likely to buy from Amazon than from other e-commerce vendors. See below.\n“Ecosystem” may be an overused term, but it seems to be the path to success that Big Tech companies like Amazon have been carving. While the company’s subscription business is far from being a large revenue generator, it probably contributes greatly, although mostly indirectly, to Amazon’s dominance in e-commerce.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173463656,"gmtCreate":1626680600675,"gmtModify":1631888709299,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173463656","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2664,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147139581,"gmtCreate":1626340036343,"gmtModify":1631888709306,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Swee","listText":"Swee","text":"Swee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147139581","repostId":"2151528448","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144034458,"gmtCreate":1626252299774,"gmtModify":1631888709306,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jialat","listText":"Jialat","text":"Jialat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144034458","repostId":"1190637633","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142566774,"gmtCreate":1626162677198,"gmtModify":1631888709311,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142566774","repostId":"2151551066","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148742738,"gmtCreate":1626028479624,"gmtModify":1631888709317,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's go","listText":"Let's go","text":"Let's go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148742738","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是单程旅行。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚法学院证券市场教授乔舒亚·米茨（Joshua Mits）说，“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人亏损了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。证交会主席盖瑞·根斯勒和一些国会议员讨论改变市场规则，意图增加透明度保护零售商——尽管如果改变交易速度减慢或让交易变得更贵，这些变化也可能激怒零售商群体。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是单程旅行。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚法学院证券市场教授乔舒亚·米茨（Joshua Mits）说，“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人亏损了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。证交会主席盖瑞·根斯勒和一些国会议员讨论改变市场规则，意图增加透明度保护零售商——尽管如果改变交易速度减慢或让交易变得更贵，这些变化也可能激怒零售商群体。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BB":"黑莓","AMC":"AMC院线","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","SCHW":"嘉信理财","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BBBY":0.9,"NEGG":0.9,"BB":0.9,"SCHW":0.9,"CARV":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9,"CLOV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143443312,"gmtCreate":1625812690136,"gmtModify":1631888709326,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143443312","repostId":"2150320002","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1897,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149564549,"gmtCreate":1625736656881,"gmtModify":1633937872633,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149564549","repostId":"1129609561","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129609561","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625736250,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129609561?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 17:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Volkswagen weighs appeal against EU fine over emissions tech collusion<blockquote>大众汽车考虑对欧盟因排放技术勾结而罚款提出上诉</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129609561","media":"Reuters","summary":"BERLIN (Reuters) - Volkswagen said on Thursday it was considering whether to take legal action again","content":"<p>BERLIN (Reuters) - Volkswagen said on Thursday it was considering whether to take legal action against an EU antitrust fine, saying the penalty over technical talks about emissions technology with other carmakers set a questionable precedent.</p><p><blockquote>柏林（路透社）-大众汽车周四表示，正在考虑是否对欧盟的反垄断罚款采取法律行动，称与其他汽车制造商就排放技术进行技术谈判的处罚开创了一个值得怀疑的先例。</blockquote></p><p> \"The Commission is entering new judicial territory, because it is treating technical cooperation for the first time as an antitrust violation,\" the German carmaker said after it was fined 502 million euros ($593 million).</p><p><blockquote>这家德国汽车制造商在被罚款5.02亿欧元（5.93亿美元）后表示：“欧盟委员会正在进入新的司法领域，因为它首次将技术合作视为反垄断违规行为。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Furthermore it is imposing fines, although the content of the talks was never implemented and no customers suffered any harm as a result,\" Volkswagen added in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车在一份声明中补充道：“此外，它还处以罚款，尽管谈判内容从未得到实施，也没有客户因此受到任何伤害。”</blockquote></p><p> Volkswagen called for clearer guidelines: \"The high fines imposed in this case underscore the need for more comprehensive guidance from the Commission to ensure that legal uncertainty does not hamper innovation in Europe,\" it said.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车呼吁制定更明确的指导方针：“本案中处以的高额罚款凸显了欧盟委员会提供更全面指导的必要性，以确保法律不确定性不会阻碍欧洲的创新，”该公司表示。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Volkswagen weighs appeal against EU fine over emissions tech collusion<blockquote>大众汽车考虑对欧盟因排放技术勾结而罚款提出上诉</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nVolkswagen weighs appeal against EU fine over emissions tech collusion<blockquote>大众汽车考虑对欧盟因排放技术勾结而罚款提出上诉</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-08 17:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>BERLIN (Reuters) - Volkswagen said on Thursday it was considering whether to take legal action against an EU antitrust fine, saying the penalty over technical talks about emissions technology with other carmakers set a questionable precedent.</p><p><blockquote>柏林（路透社）-大众汽车周四表示，正在考虑是否对欧盟的反垄断罚款采取法律行动，称与其他汽车制造商就排放技术进行技术谈判的处罚开创了一个值得怀疑的先例。</blockquote></p><p> \"The Commission is entering new judicial territory, because it is treating technical cooperation for the first time as an antitrust violation,\" the German carmaker said after it was fined 502 million euros ($593 million).</p><p><blockquote>这家德国汽车制造商在被罚款5.02亿欧元（5.93亿美元）后表示：“欧盟委员会正在进入新的司法领域，因为它首次将技术合作视为反垄断违规行为。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Furthermore it is imposing fines, although the content of the talks was never implemented and no customers suffered any harm as a result,\" Volkswagen added in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车在一份声明中补充道：“此外，它还处以罚款，尽管谈判内容从未得到实施，也没有客户因此受到任何伤害。”</blockquote></p><p> Volkswagen called for clearer guidelines: \"The high fines imposed in this case underscore the need for more comprehensive guidance from the Commission to ensure that legal uncertainty does not hamper innovation in Europe,\" it said.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车呼吁制定更明确的指导方针：“本案中处以的高额罚款凸显了欧盟委员会提供更全面指导的必要性，以确保法律不确定性不会阻碍欧洲的创新，”该公司表示。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/volkswagen-weighs-appeal-against-eu-091952136.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VLKAY":"大众汽车"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/volkswagen-weighs-appeal-against-eu-091952136.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129609561","content_text":"BERLIN (Reuters) - Volkswagen said on Thursday it was considering whether to take legal action against an EU antitrust fine, saying the penalty over technical talks about emissions technology with other carmakers set a questionable precedent.\n\"The Commission is entering new judicial territory, because it is treating technical cooperation for the first time as an antitrust violation,\" the German carmaker said after it was fined 502 million euros ($593 million).\n\"Furthermore it is imposing fines, although the content of the talks was never implemented and no customers suffered any harm as a result,\" Volkswagen added in a statement.\nVolkswagen called for clearer guidelines: \"The high fines imposed in this case underscore the need for more comprehensive guidance from the Commission to ensure that legal uncertainty does not hamper innovation in Europe,\" it said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VLKAY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140962218,"gmtCreate":1625624246234,"gmtModify":1633938949612,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140962218","repostId":"1132297948","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132297948","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625624046,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132297948?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-07 10:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hong Kong stock exchange rose 4% in wednesday morning tradin<blockquote>香港证券交易所周三早盘上涨4%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132297948","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"HKEX$$rose 4% in wednesday morning trading.Hong Kong stock exchange is set to shorten the time for an initial public offering from pricing to listing to two days from the current five by the fourth quarter next year at the earliest, aligning its market more with other financial hubs.Through a digital platform known as “FINI,” brokers, underwriters and regulators and other involved parties will be able to monitor and coordinate work flow of the whole process through to the start of trading, accor","content":"<p>HKEX<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00388\">$(00388)$</a>rose 4% in wednesday morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/006da7cd1ca220233662d164638afbdb\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"531\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Hong Kong stock exchange is set to shorten the time for an initial public offering from pricing to listing to two days from the current five by the fourth quarter next year at the earliest, aligning its market more with other financial hubs.</p><p><blockquote>香港交易所<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00388\">$(00388)$</a>周三早盘上涨4%。香港证券交易所计划最早在明年第四季度将首次公开募股从定价到上市的时间从目前的五天缩短至两天，使其市场与其他金融中心更加一致。</blockquote></p><p> Through a digital platform known as “FINI,” brokers, underwriters and regulators and other involved parties will be able to monitor and coordinate work flow of the whole process through to the start of trading, according to a Hong Kong Exchanges &amp; Clearing Ltd. statement on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>香港交易及结算所有限公司表示，通过一个名为“FINI”的数字平台，经纪商、承销商、监管机构和其他相关方将能够监控和协调整个流程直至交易开始的工作流程。周二的声明。</blockquote></p><p> The change will allow for a settlement cycle of two days, known as T+2, paring back an initial proposal of just <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> settlement day. The shorter cycle will likely cut income for brokerages who can earn interest on cash placed by investors during the settlement period.</p><p><blockquote>这一变化将允许两天的结算周期，称为T+2，削减了最初的提议<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>结算日。较短的周期可能会减少券商的收入，因为券商可以从投资者在结算期间存入的现金中赚取利息。</blockquote></p><p> The move will drive market efficiency and reinforce “Hong Kong’s position as the world’s premier IPO market,” HKEX’s Chief Executive Officer Nicolas Aguzin said in thestatement.</p><p><blockquote>香港交易所首席执行官尼古拉斯·阿古津在声明中表示，此举将提高市场效率，并巩固“香港作为全球首屈一指的IPO市场的地位”。</blockquote></p><p> Hong Kong has seen HK$30.32 billion ($3.9 billion) raised through IPOs so far this year. But the long settlement cycle has often dried up liquidity in the local money market, pushing up short-term interest rates and adding risks for the city’s currency peg with dollar.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，香港已通过IPO筹集了303.2亿港元（合39亿美元）。但漫长的结算周期往往会耗尽当地货币市场的流动性，推高短期利率，并增加了该市与美元挂钩的货币风险。</blockquote></p><p> The new platform would help to solve another local problem where retail investors have placed duplicate orders through different brokers to have a better chance of getting shares in popular IPOs, a practice that has been banned by local securities rules but has yet to be eradicated over the years.</p><p><blockquote>新平台将有助于解决另一个当地问题，即散户投资者通过不同的经纪商下重复订单，以便有更好的机会获得热门IPO的股票，这种做法已被当地证券法规禁止，但多年来尚未根除。</blockquote></p><p> The bourse also announced that starting Monday all companies seeking to sell shares on the Asian bourse must do itentirely electronically.</p><p><blockquote>该交易所还宣布，从周一开始，所有寻求在亚洲交易所出售股票的公司必须完全通过电子方式进行。</blockquote></p><p> Hong Kong Looks to Speed Up IPO Process to Reduce Risks (1)</p><p><blockquote>香港希望加快IPO进程以降低风险(1)</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610602759241","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hong Kong stock exchange rose 4% in wednesday morning tradin<blockquote>香港证券交易所周三早盘上涨4%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong stock exchange rose 4% in wednesday morning tradin<blockquote>香港证券交易所周三早盘上涨4%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Tiger Newspress</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-07 10:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>HKEX<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00388\">$(00388)$</a>rose 4% in wednesday morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/006da7cd1ca220233662d164638afbdb\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"531\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Hong Kong stock exchange is set to shorten the time for an initial public offering from pricing to listing to two days from the current five by the fourth quarter next year at the earliest, aligning its market more with other financial hubs.</p><p><blockquote>香港交易所<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00388\">$(00388)$</a>周三早盘上涨4%。香港证券交易所计划最早在明年第四季度将首次公开募股从定价到上市的时间从目前的五天缩短至两天，使其市场与其他金融中心更加一致。</blockquote></p><p> Through a digital platform known as “FINI,” brokers, underwriters and regulators and other involved parties will be able to monitor and coordinate work flow of the whole process through to the start of trading, according to a Hong Kong Exchanges &amp; Clearing Ltd. statement on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>香港交易及结算所有限公司表示，通过一个名为“FINI”的数字平台，经纪商、承销商、监管机构和其他相关方将能够监控和协调整个流程直至交易开始的工作流程。周二的声明。</blockquote></p><p> The change will allow for a settlement cycle of two days, known as T+2, paring back an initial proposal of just <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> settlement day. The shorter cycle will likely cut income for brokerages who can earn interest on cash placed by investors during the settlement period.</p><p><blockquote>这一变化将允许两天的结算周期，称为T+2，削减了最初的提议<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>结算日。较短的周期可能会减少券商的收入，因为券商可以从投资者在结算期间存入的现金中赚取利息。</blockquote></p><p> The move will drive market efficiency and reinforce “Hong Kong’s position as the world’s premier IPO market,” HKEX’s Chief Executive Officer Nicolas Aguzin said in thestatement.</p><p><blockquote>香港交易所首席执行官尼古拉斯·阿古津在声明中表示，此举将提高市场效率，并巩固“香港作为全球首屈一指的IPO市场的地位”。</blockquote></p><p> Hong Kong has seen HK$30.32 billion ($3.9 billion) raised through IPOs so far this year. But the long settlement cycle has often dried up liquidity in the local money market, pushing up short-term interest rates and adding risks for the city’s currency peg with dollar.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，香港已通过IPO筹集了303.2亿港元（合39亿美元）。但漫长的结算周期往往会耗尽当地货币市场的流动性，推高短期利率，并增加了该市与美元挂钩的货币风险。</blockquote></p><p> The new platform would help to solve another local problem where retail investors have placed duplicate orders through different brokers to have a better chance of getting shares in popular IPOs, a practice that has been banned by local securities rules but has yet to be eradicated over the years.</p><p><blockquote>新平台将有助于解决另一个当地问题，即散户投资者通过不同的经纪商下重复订单，以便有更好的机会获得热门IPO的股票，这种做法已被当地证券法规禁止，但多年来尚未根除。</blockquote></p><p> The bourse also announced that starting Monday all companies seeking to sell shares on the Asian bourse must do itentirely electronically.</p><p><blockquote>该交易所还宣布，从周一开始，所有寻求在亚洲交易所出售股票的公司必须完全通过电子方式进行。</blockquote></p><p> Hong Kong Looks to Speed Up IPO Process to Reduce Risks (1)</p><p><blockquote>香港希望加快IPO进程以降低风险(1)</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-06/hong-kong-to-shorten-ipo-cycle-by-fourth-quarter-next-year?srnd=premium-asia\">Tiger Newspress</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"00388":"香港交易所"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-06/hong-kong-to-shorten-ipo-cycle-by-fourth-quarter-next-year?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132297948","content_text":"HKEX$(00388)$rose 4% in wednesday morning trading.Hong Kong stock exchange is set to shorten the time for an initial public offering from pricing to listing to two days from the current five by the fourth quarter next year at the earliest, aligning its market more with other financial hubs.\nThrough a digital platform known as “FINI,” brokers, underwriters and regulators and other involved parties will be able to monitor and coordinate work flow of the whole process through to the start of trading, according to a Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Ltd. statement on Tuesday.\nThe change will allow for a settlement cycle of two days, known as T+2, paring back an initial proposal of just one settlement day. The shorter cycle will likely cut income for brokerages who can earn interest on cash placed by investors during the settlement period.\nThe move will drive market efficiency and reinforce “Hong Kong’s position as the world’s premier IPO market,” HKEX’s Chief Executive Officer Nicolas Aguzin said in thestatement.\nHong Kong has seen HK$30.32 billion ($3.9 billion) raised through IPOs so far this year. But the long settlement cycle has often dried up liquidity in the local money market, pushing up short-term interest rates and adding risks for the city’s currency peg with dollar.\nThe new platform would help to solve another local problem where retail investors have placed duplicate orders through different brokers to have a better chance of getting shares in popular IPOs, a practice that has been banned by local securities rules but has yet to be eradicated over the years.\nThe bourse also announced that starting Monday all companies seeking to sell shares on the Asian bourse must do itentirely electronically.\nHong Kong Looks to Speed Up IPO Process to Reduce Risks (1)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"00388":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":720,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157061229,"gmtCreate":1625554652561,"gmtModify":1633939698448,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157061229","repostId":"2149033827","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":660,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156825550,"gmtCreate":1625213037270,"gmtModify":1633942491643,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why","listText":"Why","text":"Why","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156825550","repostId":"1158331538","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158331538","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625211143,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158331538?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 15:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why NIO Stock Climbed and Then Fell on Thursday<blockquote>为什么蔚来股价周四先涨后跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158331538","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The market loved the June delivery numbers, until it didn't.","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors apparently aren't sure what to think about&nbsp;<b>NIO</b>'s(NYSE:NIO)&nbsp;June deliveries update. The stock shot up more than 3.5% at the open on Thursday before giving that back and then some, trading down 4.3% as of closed.</p><p><blockquote>投资者显然不确定该考虑什么<b>蔚来</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：蔚来）六月交付更新。该股周四开盘上涨超过3.5%，随后有所回落，截至收盘下跌4.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, a fast-growing Chinese&nbsp;electric vehicle(EV) maker, delivered 8,083 vehicles in June, a new monthly record and more than 116% more vehicles than delivered in June 2019. The company delivered 21,896 vehicles in the second quarter, up from 20,060 in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>快速增长的中国电动汽车（EV）制造商蔚来在6月份交付了8,083辆汽车，创下了新的月度纪录，比2019年6月的交付量增加了116%以上。该公司第二季度交付了21,896辆汽车，高于第一季度的20,060辆。</blockquote></p><p> At first glance there is a lot to like about those results, and the market reacted favorably before falling back down to earth.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，这些结果有很多值得喜欢的地方，市场在回落之前反应良好。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1249e21fdd61b7eed64f4aa86c503082\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1111\"><span>THE NIO E-T SEDAN. IMAGE SOURCE: NIO.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来E-T轿车。图片来源：蔚来。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But why the sell-off? It could be that investors are a bit nervous about whether NIO will hit analyst expectations of 90,000 to 100,000 deliveries for the year. The company is at just under 42,000 through six months, and with&nbsp;chip shortages&nbsp;and other supply chain issues weighing on the automotive industry it is possible production could slow as the year goes on.</p><p><blockquote>但为什么会出现抛售呢？投资者可能对蔚来今年交付量是否会达到分析师预期的9万至10万辆感到有点紧张。该公司六个月的销量略低于42,000辆，由于芯片短缺和其他供应链问题给汽车行业带来压力，随着时间的推移，产量可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> The sell-off was not limited to NIO. Fellow Chinese automaker&nbsp;<b>XPeng</b>(NYSE:XPEV)&nbsp;had a similar response,soaring&nbsp;as much as 8% higher early in the trading session on the strength of its delivery report before falling into the red as the day went on.</p><p><blockquote>抛售不仅限于蔚来。中国汽车制造商<b>小鹏</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XPEV）也有类似的反应，在交易时段早些时候，由于交付报告的强劲，股价飙升8%，随后随着时间的推移陷入亏损。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Day-to-day volatility aside, there is nothing in the report to indicate NIO is not moving in the right direction. NIO is quickly becoming an EV champion in its important home market, and is plotting its expansion into Europe in the months to come. While not profitable, NIO&nbsp;lost less than expected&nbsp;in the first quarter, and as of the end of March had more than $7 billion in cash on the balance sheet to fund its expansion.</p><p><blockquote>除了日常波动之外，报告中没有任何内容表明蔚来没有朝着正确的方向前进。蔚来正在迅速成为其重要国内市场的电动汽车冠军，并计划在未来几个月内向欧洲扩张。虽然没有盈利，但蔚来第一季度的亏损低于预期，截至3月底，资产负债表上有超过70亿美元的现金为其扩张提供资金。</blockquote></p><p> It's still early days in the EV market and some volatility is to be expected, but there is nothing in the June delivery report that suggests it's time to hit the panic button.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车市场仍处于早期阶段，预计会出现一些波动，但6月份的交付报告中没有任何内容表明是时候按下恐慌按钮了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why NIO Stock Climbed and Then Fell on Thursday<blockquote>为什么蔚来股价周四先涨后跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy NIO Stock Climbed and Then Fell on Thursday<blockquote>为什么蔚来股价周四先涨后跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 15:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors apparently aren't sure what to think about&nbsp;<b>NIO</b>'s(NYSE:NIO)&nbsp;June deliveries update. The stock shot up more than 3.5% at the open on Thursday before giving that back and then some, trading down 4.3% as of closed.</p><p><blockquote>投资者显然不确定该考虑什么<b>蔚来</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：蔚来）六月交付更新。该股周四开盘上涨超过3.5%，随后有所回落，截至收盘下跌4.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, a fast-growing Chinese&nbsp;electric vehicle(EV) maker, delivered 8,083 vehicles in June, a new monthly record and more than 116% more vehicles than delivered in June 2019. The company delivered 21,896 vehicles in the second quarter, up from 20,060 in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>快速增长的中国电动汽车（EV）制造商蔚来在6月份交付了8,083辆汽车，创下了新的月度纪录，比2019年6月的交付量增加了116%以上。该公司第二季度交付了21,896辆汽车，高于第一季度的20,060辆。</blockquote></p><p> At first glance there is a lot to like about those results, and the market reacted favorably before falling back down to earth.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，这些结果有很多值得喜欢的地方，市场在回落之前反应良好。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1249e21fdd61b7eed64f4aa86c503082\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1111\"><span>THE NIO E-T SEDAN. IMAGE SOURCE: NIO.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来E-T轿车。图片来源：蔚来。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But why the sell-off? It could be that investors are a bit nervous about whether NIO will hit analyst expectations of 90,000 to 100,000 deliveries for the year. The company is at just under 42,000 through six months, and with&nbsp;chip shortages&nbsp;and other supply chain issues weighing on the automotive industry it is possible production could slow as the year goes on.</p><p><blockquote>但为什么会出现抛售呢？投资者可能对蔚来今年交付量是否会达到分析师预期的9万至10万辆感到有点紧张。该公司六个月的销量略低于42,000辆，由于芯片短缺和其他供应链问题给汽车行业带来压力，随着时间的推移，产量可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> The sell-off was not limited to NIO. Fellow Chinese automaker&nbsp;<b>XPeng</b>(NYSE:XPEV)&nbsp;had a similar response,soaring&nbsp;as much as 8% higher early in the trading session on the strength of its delivery report before falling into the red as the day went on.</p><p><blockquote>抛售不仅限于蔚来。中国汽车制造商<b>小鹏</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XPEV）也有类似的反应，在交易时段早些时候，由于交付报告的强劲，股价飙升8%，随后随着时间的推移陷入亏损。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Day-to-day volatility aside, there is nothing in the report to indicate NIO is not moving in the right direction. NIO is quickly becoming an EV champion in its important home market, and is plotting its expansion into Europe in the months to come. While not profitable, NIO&nbsp;lost less than expected&nbsp;in the first quarter, and as of the end of March had more than $7 billion in cash on the balance sheet to fund its expansion.</p><p><blockquote>除了日常波动之外，报告中没有任何内容表明蔚来没有朝着正确的方向前进。蔚来正在迅速成为其重要国内市场的电动汽车冠军，并计划在未来几个月内向欧洲扩张。虽然没有盈利，但蔚来第一季度的亏损低于预期，截至3月底，资产负债表上有超过70亿美元的现金为其扩张提供资金。</blockquote></p><p> It's still early days in the EV market and some volatility is to be expected, but there is nothing in the June delivery report that suggests it's time to hit the panic button.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车市场仍处于早期阶段，预计会出现一些波动，但6月份的交付报告中没有任何内容表明是时候按下恐慌按钮了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/01/why-nio-stock-climbed-and-then-fell-on-thursday/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/01/why-nio-stock-climbed-and-then-fell-on-thursday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158331538","content_text":"What happened\nInvestors apparently aren't sure what to think about NIO's(NYSE:NIO) June deliveries update. The stock shot up more than 3.5% at the open on Thursday before giving that back and then some, trading down 4.3% as of closed.\nSo what\nNIO, a fast-growing Chinese electric vehicle(EV) maker, delivered 8,083 vehicles in June, a new monthly record and more than 116% more vehicles than delivered in June 2019. The company delivered 21,896 vehicles in the second quarter, up from 20,060 in the first quarter.\nAt first glance there is a lot to like about those results, and the market reacted favorably before falling back down to earth.\nTHE NIO E-T SEDAN. IMAGE SOURCE: NIO.\nBut why the sell-off? It could be that investors are a bit nervous about whether NIO will hit analyst expectations of 90,000 to 100,000 deliveries for the year. The company is at just under 42,000 through six months, and with chip shortages and other supply chain issues weighing on the automotive industry it is possible production could slow as the year goes on.\nThe sell-off was not limited to NIO. Fellow Chinese automaker XPeng(NYSE:XPEV) had a similar response,soaring as much as 8% higher early in the trading session on the strength of its delivery report before falling into the red as the day went on.\nNow what\nDay-to-day volatility aside, there is nothing in the report to indicate NIO is not moving in the right direction. NIO is quickly becoming an EV champion in its important home market, and is plotting its expansion into Europe in the months to come. While not profitable, NIO lost less than expected in the first quarter, and as of the end of March had more than $7 billion in cash on the balance sheet to fund its expansion.\nIt's still early days in the EV market and some volatility is to be expected, but there is nothing in the June delivery report that suggests it's time to hit the panic button.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158608844,"gmtCreate":1625146810988,"gmtModify":1633944291743,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158608844","repostId":"2148840288","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":467,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153547182,"gmtCreate":1625039114846,"gmtModify":1633945562635,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hold","listText":"Hold","text":"Hold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153547182","repostId":"1155463747","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155463747","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625037766,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155463747?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-30 15:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 E-Commerce Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>未来十年可以购买并持有的2只电子商务股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155463747","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The recent dip in share price of these two online leaders is a great buying opportunity.","content":"<p>One of the best areas to look for long-term investments is online retail. While some leaders will likely see growth decelerate in 2021 following the surge in order volume during the pandemic, that doesn't mean the e-commerce growth story is over. eMarketer now expects e-commerce sales to make up 15.5% of total retail sales in 2021, an upward revision from the initial estimate of 13.2%.</p><p><blockquote>寻找长期投资的最佳领域之一是在线零售。虽然在疫情期间订单量激增后，一些领导者可能会在2021年看到增长放缓，但这并不意味着电子商务增长的故事已经结束。eMarketer目前预计，2021年电子商务销售额将占零售总额的15.5%，较最初估计的13.2%有所上调。</blockquote></p><p> The pandemic seemed to lift the plateau for online shopping. Because of that, the post-pandemic environment is a big opportunity for&nbsp;<b>Etsy</b>(NASDAQ:ETSY)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Chewy</b>(NYSE:CHWY)to win over new customers and deliver market-beating returns to investors over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>疫情似乎提升了网上购物的平台期。正因为如此，大流行后的环境是一个巨大的机会<b>Etsy</b>（纳斯达克：ETSY）和<b>耐嚼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CHWY）赢得新客户，并在未来十年为投资者提供跑赢市场的回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3cb7c4b4f6feaad77d6f8fa8012ce9e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Etsy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Etsy</b></blockquote></p><p> Etsy continues to be a disruptive force in e-commerce, and its performance during the pandemic shows why. When everyone turned online to shop for goods, Etsy's gross merchandise sales more than doubled the growth of the total U.S. e-commerce market. Revenue grew 111% in 2020 to reach $1.7 billion, which Etsy derives from the fees it charges on each transaction made on the marketplace&nbsp;and for advertising and shipping services.</p><p><blockquote>Etsy仍然是电子商务领域的颠覆性力量，其在大流行期间的表现说明了原因。当每个人都转向网上购物时，Etsy的商品销售总额是美国电子商务市场总额增长的两倍多。2020年收入增长111%，达到17亿美元，Etsy的收入来自对市场上每笔交易以及广告和运输服务收取的费用。</blockquote></p><p> \"In a time when human connection is so vital, Etsy provides a one-of-a-kind community where sellers are empowered to grow their businesses, reaching buyers who value finding items that express their unique identity, while putting their money where their heart is,\" CEO John Silverman said in the first-quarter earnings release.</p><p><blockquote>“在人际关系如此重要的时代，Etsy提供了一个独一无二的社区，卖家可以在这里发展业务，接触到重视寻找表达其独特身份的商品的买家，同时将钱花在他们的地方。”首席执行官约翰·西尔弗曼在第一季度财报中表示。</blockquote></p><p> It will be difficult to maintain this pace of growth coming out of the pandemic. Management's guidance calls for second-quarter revenue to be up between 15% to 25% year over year. But Etsy doesn't need to grow at triple-digit rates to deliver wealth-building returns to investors.</p><p><blockquote>疫情将很难保持这种增长速度。管理层指导评级第二季度收入同比增长15%至25%。但Etsy不需要以三位数的速度增长才能为投资者带来财富积累的回报。</blockquote></p><p> At a price-to-free-cash-flow&nbsp;ratio of 35, the stock doesn't look expensive relative to long-term growth expectations. Analysts expect free cash flow per share to finish 2021 at $4.97 before growing 25% in 2022 and accelerating by a 32% rate in 2023. These rates are similar to the levels at which it was growing through 2019 and would be more than enough to send the stock higher over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>该股的市价与自由现金流比率为35，相对于长期增长预期，该股看起来并不昂贵。分析师预计，2021年每股自由现金流将达到4.97美元，然后在2022年增长25%，并在2023年加速32%。这些利率与2019年的增长水平相似，足以在未来几年推高该股。</blockquote></p><p> Etsy is also showing a good track record of&nbsp;acquiring other marketplaces, such as Reverb (in 2019) and most recently Depop and Brazil-based Elo7. These could also generate investor returns over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>Etsy在收购其他市场方面也表现出了良好的记录，例如Reverb（2019年）以及最近的Depop和巴西的Elo7。这些也可能在未来十年为投资者带来回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04bef6c00f118e4020ad50cbc0861b45\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Chewy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耐嚼</b></blockquote></p><p> Chewy is the leading&nbsp;online retailer&nbsp;for pet products, a large and growing market valued at $98 billion. The company is still a small player with only $7.7 billion in trailing-12-month revenue,&nbsp;but it's taking market share and growing fast. In fiscal 2019, revenue grew 40% before accelerating to 47% in fiscal 2020.</p><p><blockquote>Chewy是领先的宠物产品在线零售商，这是一个价值980亿美元的庞大且不断增长的市场。该公司仍然是一家小公司，过去12个月的收入仅为77亿美元，但它正在占据市场份额并快速增长。2019财年，收入增长了40%，然后在2020财年加速至47%。</blockquote></p><p> Chewy is in a great position to grow with pet ownership, which has already increased from 56% of U.S. households in 1988 to 67% in 2020. Its active customer total grew 75% over the last two years to reach 19.8 million in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Chewy在拥有宠物方面处于有利地位，美国家庭的宠物数量已从1988年的56%增加到2020年的67%。过去两年，其活跃客户总数增长了75%，第一季度达到1980万。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, spending per customer is also rising.&nbsp;To help speed this along,Chewy continues to expand&nbsp;into other categories, such as personalized services, healthcare, and better search and discovery features to help customers find the right pet food among its vast selection.</p><p><blockquote>此外，每位顾客的支出也在上升。为了帮助加快这一进程，Chewy继续扩展到其他类别，如个性化服务、医疗保健以及更好的搜索和发现功能，以帮助客户在众多选择中找到合适的宠物食品。</blockquote></p><p> The stock looks expensive, trading at an astronomical price-to-free-cash-flow multiple of 414. But that's due to high spending to drive growth, such as for advertising, opening fulfillment centers, and expanding selection. However, this business is built to produce plenty of free cash flow down the road.&nbsp;Continued growth in active customers should lead to growing profits, since a customer's second purchase is margin positive to Chewy.</p><p><blockquote>该股看起来很昂贵，交易价格与自由现金流的比率高达414倍。但这是由于推动增长的高额支出，例如广告、开设履行中心和扩大选择范围。然而，这项业务旨在产生大量的自由现金流。活跃客户的持续增长应该会带来利润的增长，因为客户的第二次购买对Chewy来说是正利润。</blockquote></p><p> At a&nbsp;price-to-sales ratio&nbsp;of 4.5, the stock should have substantial upside over the next decade as margin improvement kicks in and Chewy gains market share in the burgeoning online retail market for pet products.</p><p><blockquote>按照4.5的市销率，随着利润率的提高以及Chewy在蓬勃发展的宠物产品在线零售市场中获得市场份额，该股在未来十年应该会有大幅上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 E-Commerce Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>未来十年可以购买并持有的2只电子商务股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 E-Commerce Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>未来十年可以购买并持有的2只电子商务股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-30 15:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>One of the best areas to look for long-term investments is online retail. While some leaders will likely see growth decelerate in 2021 following the surge in order volume during the pandemic, that doesn't mean the e-commerce growth story is over. eMarketer now expects e-commerce sales to make up 15.5% of total retail sales in 2021, an upward revision from the initial estimate of 13.2%.</p><p><blockquote>寻找长期投资的最佳领域之一是在线零售。虽然在疫情期间订单量激增后，一些领导者可能会在2021年看到增长放缓，但这并不意味着电子商务增长的故事已经结束。eMarketer目前预计，2021年电子商务销售额将占零售总额的15.5%，较最初估计的13.2%有所上调。</blockquote></p><p> The pandemic seemed to lift the plateau for online shopping. Because of that, the post-pandemic environment is a big opportunity for&nbsp;<b>Etsy</b>(NASDAQ:ETSY)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Chewy</b>(NYSE:CHWY)to win over new customers and deliver market-beating returns to investors over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>疫情似乎提升了网上购物的平台期。正因为如此，大流行后的环境是一个巨大的机会<b>Etsy</b>（纳斯达克：ETSY）和<b>耐嚼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CHWY）赢得新客户，并在未来十年为投资者提供跑赢市场的回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3cb7c4b4f6feaad77d6f8fa8012ce9e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Etsy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Etsy</b></blockquote></p><p> Etsy continues to be a disruptive force in e-commerce, and its performance during the pandemic shows why. When everyone turned online to shop for goods, Etsy's gross merchandise sales more than doubled the growth of the total U.S. e-commerce market. Revenue grew 111% in 2020 to reach $1.7 billion, which Etsy derives from the fees it charges on each transaction made on the marketplace&nbsp;and for advertising and shipping services.</p><p><blockquote>Etsy仍然是电子商务领域的颠覆性力量，其在大流行期间的表现说明了原因。当每个人都转向网上购物时，Etsy的商品销售总额是美国电子商务市场总额增长的两倍多。2020年收入增长111%，达到17亿美元，Etsy的收入来自对市场上每笔交易以及广告和运输服务收取的费用。</blockquote></p><p> \"In a time when human connection is so vital, Etsy provides a one-of-a-kind community where sellers are empowered to grow their businesses, reaching buyers who value finding items that express their unique identity, while putting their money where their heart is,\" CEO John Silverman said in the first-quarter earnings release.</p><p><blockquote>“在人际关系如此重要的时代，Etsy提供了一个独一无二的社区，卖家可以在这里发展业务，接触到重视寻找表达其独特身份的商品的买家，同时将钱花在他们的地方。”首席执行官约翰·西尔弗曼在第一季度财报中表示。</blockquote></p><p> It will be difficult to maintain this pace of growth coming out of the pandemic. Management's guidance calls for second-quarter revenue to be up between 15% to 25% year over year. But Etsy doesn't need to grow at triple-digit rates to deliver wealth-building returns to investors.</p><p><blockquote>疫情将很难保持这种增长速度。管理层指导评级第二季度收入同比增长15%至25%。但Etsy不需要以三位数的速度增长才能为投资者带来财富积累的回报。</blockquote></p><p> At a price-to-free-cash-flow&nbsp;ratio of 35, the stock doesn't look expensive relative to long-term growth expectations. Analysts expect free cash flow per share to finish 2021 at $4.97 before growing 25% in 2022 and accelerating by a 32% rate in 2023. These rates are similar to the levels at which it was growing through 2019 and would be more than enough to send the stock higher over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>该股的市价与自由现金流比率为35，相对于长期增长预期，该股看起来并不昂贵。分析师预计，2021年每股自由现金流将达到4.97美元，然后在2022年增长25%，并在2023年加速32%。这些利率与2019年的增长水平相似，足以在未来几年推高该股。</blockquote></p><p> Etsy is also showing a good track record of&nbsp;acquiring other marketplaces, such as Reverb (in 2019) and most recently Depop and Brazil-based Elo7. These could also generate investor returns over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>Etsy在收购其他市场方面也表现出了良好的记录，例如Reverb（2019年）以及最近的Depop和巴西的Elo7。这些也可能在未来十年为投资者带来回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04bef6c00f118e4020ad50cbc0861b45\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Chewy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耐嚼</b></blockquote></p><p> Chewy is the leading&nbsp;online retailer&nbsp;for pet products, a large and growing market valued at $98 billion. The company is still a small player with only $7.7 billion in trailing-12-month revenue,&nbsp;but it's taking market share and growing fast. In fiscal 2019, revenue grew 40% before accelerating to 47% in fiscal 2020.</p><p><blockquote>Chewy是领先的宠物产品在线零售商，这是一个价值980亿美元的庞大且不断增长的市场。该公司仍然是一家小公司，过去12个月的收入仅为77亿美元，但它正在占据市场份额并快速增长。2019财年，收入增长了40%，然后在2020财年加速至47%。</blockquote></p><p> Chewy is in a great position to grow with pet ownership, which has already increased from 56% of U.S. households in 1988 to 67% in 2020. Its active customer total grew 75% over the last two years to reach 19.8 million in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Chewy在拥有宠物方面处于有利地位，美国家庭的宠物数量已从1988年的56%增加到2020年的67%。过去两年，其活跃客户总数增长了75%，第一季度达到1980万。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, spending per customer is also rising.&nbsp;To help speed this along,Chewy continues to expand&nbsp;into other categories, such as personalized services, healthcare, and better search and discovery features to help customers find the right pet food among its vast selection.</p><p><blockquote>此外，每位顾客的支出也在上升。为了帮助加快这一进程，Chewy继续扩展到其他类别，如个性化服务、医疗保健以及更好的搜索和发现功能，以帮助客户在众多选择中找到合适的宠物食品。</blockquote></p><p> The stock looks expensive, trading at an astronomical price-to-free-cash-flow multiple of 414. But that's due to high spending to drive growth, such as for advertising, opening fulfillment centers, and expanding selection. However, this business is built to produce plenty of free cash flow down the road.&nbsp;Continued growth in active customers should lead to growing profits, since a customer's second purchase is margin positive to Chewy.</p><p><blockquote>该股看起来很昂贵，交易价格与自由现金流的比率高达414倍。但这是由于推动增长的高额支出，例如广告、开设履行中心和扩大选择范围。然而，这项业务旨在产生大量的自由现金流。活跃客户的持续增长应该会带来利润的增长，因为客户的第二次购买对Chewy来说是正利润。</blockquote></p><p> At a&nbsp;price-to-sales ratio&nbsp;of 4.5, the stock should have substantial upside over the next decade as margin improvement kicks in and Chewy gains market share in the burgeoning online retail market for pet products.</p><p><blockquote>按照4.5的市销率，随着利润率的提高以及Chewy在蓬勃发展的宠物产品在线零售市场中获得市场份额，该股在未来十年应该会有大幅上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/29/2-e-commerce-stocks-you-can-buy-and-hold-for-the-n/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ETSY":"Etsy, Inc.","CHWY":"Chewy, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/29/2-e-commerce-stocks-you-can-buy-and-hold-for-the-n/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155463747","content_text":"One of the best areas to look for long-term investments is online retail. While some leaders will likely see growth decelerate in 2021 following the surge in order volume during the pandemic, that doesn't mean the e-commerce growth story is over. eMarketer now expects e-commerce sales to make up 15.5% of total retail sales in 2021, an upward revision from the initial estimate of 13.2%.\nThe pandemic seemed to lift the plateau for online shopping. Because of that, the post-pandemic environment is a big opportunity for Etsy(NASDAQ:ETSY) and Chewy(NYSE:CHWY)to win over new customers and deliver market-beating returns to investors over the next decade.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nEtsy\nEtsy continues to be a disruptive force in e-commerce, and its performance during the pandemic shows why. When everyone turned online to shop for goods, Etsy's gross merchandise sales more than doubled the growth of the total U.S. e-commerce market. Revenue grew 111% in 2020 to reach $1.7 billion, which Etsy derives from the fees it charges on each transaction made on the marketplace and for advertising and shipping services.\n\"In a time when human connection is so vital, Etsy provides a one-of-a-kind community where sellers are empowered to grow their businesses, reaching buyers who value finding items that express their unique identity, while putting their money where their heart is,\" CEO John Silverman said in the first-quarter earnings release.\nIt will be difficult to maintain this pace of growth coming out of the pandemic. Management's guidance calls for second-quarter revenue to be up between 15% to 25% year over year. But Etsy doesn't need to grow at triple-digit rates to deliver wealth-building returns to investors.\nAt a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 35, the stock doesn't look expensive relative to long-term growth expectations. Analysts expect free cash flow per share to finish 2021 at $4.97 before growing 25% in 2022 and accelerating by a 32% rate in 2023. These rates are similar to the levels at which it was growing through 2019 and would be more than enough to send the stock higher over the next few years.\nEtsy is also showing a good track record of acquiring other marketplaces, such as Reverb (in 2019) and most recently Depop and Brazil-based Elo7. These could also generate investor returns over the next decade.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nChewy\nChewy is the leading online retailer for pet products, a large and growing market valued at $98 billion. The company is still a small player with only $7.7 billion in trailing-12-month revenue, but it's taking market share and growing fast. In fiscal 2019, revenue grew 40% before accelerating to 47% in fiscal 2020.\nChewy is in a great position to grow with pet ownership, which has already increased from 56% of U.S. households in 1988 to 67% in 2020. Its active customer total grew 75% over the last two years to reach 19.8 million in the first quarter.\nWhat's more, spending per customer is also rising. To help speed this along,Chewy continues to expand into other categories, such as personalized services, healthcare, and better search and discovery features to help customers find the right pet food among its vast selection.\nThe stock looks expensive, trading at an astronomical price-to-free-cash-flow multiple of 414. But that's due to high spending to drive growth, such as for advertising, opening fulfillment centers, and expanding selection. However, this business is built to produce plenty of free cash flow down the road. Continued growth in active customers should lead to growing profits, since a customer's second purchase is margin positive to Chewy.\nAt a price-to-sales ratio of 4.5, the stock should have substantial upside over the next decade as margin improvement kicks in and Chewy gains market share in the burgeoning online retail market for pet products.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ETSY":0.9,"CHWY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":690,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127798301,"gmtCreate":1624868028903,"gmtModify":1633947750404,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127798301","repostId":"2146002845","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124424977,"gmtCreate":1624783322799,"gmtModify":1633948644943,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124424977","repostId":"2146090006","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124904250,"gmtCreate":1624715337270,"gmtModify":1633949347052,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's go","listText":"Let's go","text":"Let's go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124904250","repostId":"1164137597","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122864836,"gmtCreate":1624611533525,"gmtModify":1633950553403,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557149694723733","authorIdStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's go","listText":"Let's go","text":"Let's go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122864836","repostId":"2146276020","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146276020","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1624607474,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2146276020?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 15:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Could BlackBerry's Q1 Earnings Beat Further Fuel The Stonk Rally?<blockquote>黑莓第一季度盈利超出预期能否进一步推动股市上涨？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146276020","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Canada-based security software company BlackBerry Limited (NYSE: BB), a Reddit-favorite stock, reported first-quarter earnings that matched analysts’ expectations while revenues beat estimates.","content":"<p>Canada-based security software company <b>BlackBerry Limited</b> (NYSE:BB), a Reddit-favorite stock, reported first-quarter earnings that matched analysts’ expectations while revenues beat estimates.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大安全软件公司<b>黑莓有限公司</b>Reddit最受欢迎的股票（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BB）公布的第一季度收益符合分析师的预期，而收入超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b> BlackBerry’s first-quarter net loss narrowed to $62 million, or $0.11 per share, from $315 million or $0.56 per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>黑莓第一季度净亏损从去年同期的3.15亿美元或每股0.56美元收窄至6200万美元或每股0.11美元。</blockquote></p><p> Adjusted loss was $0.05 per share, while revenue fell 17% from the year-ago period to $174 million. Analysts, on average, had expected the company to report an adjusted loss of $0.05 per share on sales of $171.25&nbsp;million.</p><p><blockquote>调整后每股亏损0.05美元，营收较去年同期下降17%至1.74亿美元。分析师平均预计该公司调整后每股亏损0.05美元，销售额为1.7125亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b> BlackBerry is among the so-called stonks —&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;favored by the retail crowd. The stock continues to see high interest on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum and its year-to-date gains stand at 91.25%.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>黑莓是所谓的stonks股票之一，即受到散户青睐的股票。该股在Reddit的r/WallStreetBets论坛上继续受到高度关注，今年迄今的涨幅为91.25%。</blockquote></p><p> Blackberry’s earnings results appeared to please the company’s supporters, based on the posts on the WSB forum.</p><p><blockquote>根据WSB论坛上的帖子，黑莓的盈利结果似乎令该公司的支持者感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> A user with the handle u/TexasThrowDown on the WSB forum noted that “BlackBerry isn't a squeeze play, but a long-term value play.”</p><p><blockquote>WSB论坛上一位句柄为u/TexasThrowDown的用户指出，“黑莓不是挤压游戏，而是长期价值游戏。”</blockquote></p><p> “BBTO100!!! To the moon and #MARS!,” read another post.</p><p><blockquote>“BBTO100！！！去月球和#火星！，”另一个帖子写道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action</b>: BlackBerry shares closed 3.5% lower in Thursday’s regular trading session at $12.68.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为</b>：黑莓股价在周四常规交易时段收盘下跌3.5%，至12.68美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Could BlackBerry's Q1 Earnings Beat Further Fuel The Stonk Rally?<blockquote>黑莓第一季度盈利超出预期能否进一步推动股市上涨？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCould BlackBerry's Q1 Earnings Beat Further Fuel The Stonk Rally?<blockquote>黑莓第一季度盈利超出预期能否进一步推动股市上涨？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-25 15:51</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Canada-based security software company <b>BlackBerry Limited</b> (NYSE:BB), a Reddit-favorite stock, reported first-quarter earnings that matched analysts’ expectations while revenues beat estimates.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大安全软件公司<b>黑莓有限公司</b>Reddit最受欢迎的股票（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BB）公布的第一季度收益符合分析师的预期，而收入超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b> BlackBerry’s first-quarter net loss narrowed to $62 million, or $0.11 per share, from $315 million or $0.56 per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>黑莓第一季度净亏损从去年同期的3.15亿美元或每股0.56美元收窄至6200万美元或每股0.11美元。</blockquote></p><p> Adjusted loss was $0.05 per share, while revenue fell 17% from the year-ago period to $174 million. Analysts, on average, had expected the company to report an adjusted loss of $0.05 per share on sales of $171.25&nbsp;million.</p><p><blockquote>调整后每股亏损0.05美元，营收较去年同期下降17%至1.74亿美元。分析师平均预计该公司调整后每股亏损0.05美元，销售额为1.7125亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b> BlackBerry is among the so-called stonks —&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;favored by the retail crowd. The stock continues to see high interest on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum and its year-to-date gains stand at 91.25%.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>黑莓是所谓的stonks股票之一，即受到散户青睐的股票。该股在Reddit的r/WallStreetBets论坛上继续受到高度关注，今年迄今的涨幅为91.25%。</blockquote></p><p> Blackberry’s earnings results appeared to please the company’s supporters, based on the posts on the WSB forum.</p><p><blockquote>根据WSB论坛上的帖子，黑莓的盈利结果似乎令该公司的支持者感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> A user with the handle u/TexasThrowDown on the WSB forum noted that “BlackBerry isn't a squeeze play, but a long-term value play.”</p><p><blockquote>WSB论坛上一位句柄为u/TexasThrowDown的用户指出，“黑莓不是挤压游戏，而是长期价值游戏。”</blockquote></p><p> “BBTO100!!! To the moon and #MARS!,” read another post.</p><p><blockquote>“BBTO100！！！去月球和#火星！，”另一个帖子写道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action</b>: BlackBerry shares closed 3.5% lower in Thursday’s regular trading session at $12.68.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为</b>：黑莓股价在周四常规交易时段收盘下跌3.5%，至12.68美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BB":"黑莓"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146276020","content_text":"Canada-based security software company BlackBerry Limited (NYSE:BB), a Reddit-favorite stock, reported first-quarter earnings that matched analysts’ expectations while revenues beat estimates.\nWhat Happened: BlackBerry’s first-quarter net loss narrowed to $62 million, or $0.11 per share, from $315 million or $0.56 per share in the year-ago quarter.\nAdjusted loss was $0.05 per share, while revenue fell 17% from the year-ago period to $174 million. Analysts, on average, had expected the company to report an adjusted loss of $0.05 per share on sales of $171.25 million.\nWhy It Matters: BlackBerry is among the so-called stonks — stocks favored by the retail crowd. The stock continues to see high interest on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum and its year-to-date gains stand at 91.25%.\nBlackberry’s earnings results appeared to please the company’s supporters, based on the posts on the WSB forum.\nA user with the handle u/TexasThrowDown on the WSB forum noted that “BlackBerry isn't a squeeze play, but a long-term value play.”\n“BBTO100!!! To the moon and #MARS!,” read another post.\nPrice Action: BlackBerry shares closed 3.5% lower in Thursday’s regular trading session at $12.68.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":661,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":140962218,"gmtCreate":1625624246234,"gmtModify":1633938949612,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140962218","repostId":"1132297948","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132297948","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625624046,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132297948?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-07 10:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hong Kong stock exchange rose 4% in wednesday morning tradin<blockquote>香港证券交易所周三早盘上涨4%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132297948","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"HKEX$$rose 4% in wednesday morning trading.Hong Kong stock exchange is set to shorten the time for an initial public offering from pricing to listing to two days from the current five by the fourth quarter next year at the earliest, aligning its market more with other financial hubs.Through a digital platform known as “FINI,” brokers, underwriters and regulators and other involved parties will be able to monitor and coordinate work flow of the whole process through to the start of trading, accor","content":"<p>HKEX<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00388\">$(00388)$</a>rose 4% in wednesday morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/006da7cd1ca220233662d164638afbdb\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"531\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Hong Kong stock exchange is set to shorten the time for an initial public offering from pricing to listing to two days from the current five by the fourth quarter next year at the earliest, aligning its market more with other financial hubs.</p><p><blockquote>香港交易所<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00388\">$(00388)$</a>周三早盘上涨4%。香港证券交易所计划最早在明年第四季度将首次公开募股从定价到上市的时间从目前的五天缩短至两天，使其市场与其他金融中心更加一致。</blockquote></p><p> Through a digital platform known as “FINI,” brokers, underwriters and regulators and other involved parties will be able to monitor and coordinate work flow of the whole process through to the start of trading, according to a Hong Kong Exchanges &amp; Clearing Ltd. statement on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>香港交易及结算所有限公司表示，通过一个名为“FINI”的数字平台，经纪商、承销商、监管机构和其他相关方将能够监控和协调整个流程直至交易开始的工作流程。周二的声明。</blockquote></p><p> The change will allow for a settlement cycle of two days, known as T+2, paring back an initial proposal of just <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> settlement day. The shorter cycle will likely cut income for brokerages who can earn interest on cash placed by investors during the settlement period.</p><p><blockquote>这一变化将允许两天的结算周期，称为T+2，削减了最初的提议<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>结算日。较短的周期可能会减少券商的收入，因为券商可以从投资者在结算期间存入的现金中赚取利息。</blockquote></p><p> The move will drive market efficiency and reinforce “Hong Kong’s position as the world’s premier IPO market,” HKEX’s Chief Executive Officer Nicolas Aguzin said in thestatement.</p><p><blockquote>香港交易所首席执行官尼古拉斯·阿古津在声明中表示，此举将提高市场效率，并巩固“香港作为全球首屈一指的IPO市场的地位”。</blockquote></p><p> Hong Kong has seen HK$30.32 billion ($3.9 billion) raised through IPOs so far this year. But the long settlement cycle has often dried up liquidity in the local money market, pushing up short-term interest rates and adding risks for the city’s currency peg with dollar.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，香港已通过IPO筹集了303.2亿港元（合39亿美元）。但漫长的结算周期往往会耗尽当地货币市场的流动性，推高短期利率，并增加了该市与美元挂钩的货币风险。</blockquote></p><p> The new platform would help to solve another local problem where retail investors have placed duplicate orders through different brokers to have a better chance of getting shares in popular IPOs, a practice that has been banned by local securities rules but has yet to be eradicated over the years.</p><p><blockquote>新平台将有助于解决另一个当地问题，即散户投资者通过不同的经纪商下重复订单，以便有更好的机会获得热门IPO的股票，这种做法已被当地证券法规禁止，但多年来尚未根除。</blockquote></p><p> The bourse also announced that starting Monday all companies seeking to sell shares on the Asian bourse must do itentirely electronically.</p><p><blockquote>该交易所还宣布，从周一开始，所有寻求在亚洲交易所出售股票的公司必须完全通过电子方式进行。</blockquote></p><p> Hong Kong Looks to Speed Up IPO Process to Reduce Risks (1)</p><p><blockquote>香港希望加快IPO进程以降低风险(1)</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610602759241","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hong Kong stock exchange rose 4% in wednesday morning tradin<blockquote>香港证券交易所周三早盘上涨4%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong stock exchange rose 4% in wednesday morning tradin<blockquote>香港证券交易所周三早盘上涨4%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Tiger Newspress</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-07 10:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>HKEX<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00388\">$(00388)$</a>rose 4% in wednesday morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/006da7cd1ca220233662d164638afbdb\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"531\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Hong Kong stock exchange is set to shorten the time for an initial public offering from pricing to listing to two days from the current five by the fourth quarter next year at the earliest, aligning its market more with other financial hubs.</p><p><blockquote>香港交易所<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00388\">$(00388)$</a>周三早盘上涨4%。香港证券交易所计划最早在明年第四季度将首次公开募股从定价到上市的时间从目前的五天缩短至两天，使其市场与其他金融中心更加一致。</blockquote></p><p> Through a digital platform known as “FINI,” brokers, underwriters and regulators and other involved parties will be able to monitor and coordinate work flow of the whole process through to the start of trading, according to a Hong Kong Exchanges &amp; Clearing Ltd. statement on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>香港交易及结算所有限公司表示，通过一个名为“FINI”的数字平台，经纪商、承销商、监管机构和其他相关方将能够监控和协调整个流程直至交易开始的工作流程。周二的声明。</blockquote></p><p> The change will allow for a settlement cycle of two days, known as T+2, paring back an initial proposal of just <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> settlement day. The shorter cycle will likely cut income for brokerages who can earn interest on cash placed by investors during the settlement period.</p><p><blockquote>这一变化将允许两天的结算周期，称为T+2，削减了最初的提议<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>结算日。较短的周期可能会减少券商的收入，因为券商可以从投资者在结算期间存入的现金中赚取利息。</blockquote></p><p> The move will drive market efficiency and reinforce “Hong Kong’s position as the world’s premier IPO market,” HKEX’s Chief Executive Officer Nicolas Aguzin said in thestatement.</p><p><blockquote>香港交易所首席执行官尼古拉斯·阿古津在声明中表示，此举将提高市场效率，并巩固“香港作为全球首屈一指的IPO市场的地位”。</blockquote></p><p> Hong Kong has seen HK$30.32 billion ($3.9 billion) raised through IPOs so far this year. But the long settlement cycle has often dried up liquidity in the local money market, pushing up short-term interest rates and adding risks for the city’s currency peg with dollar.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，香港已通过IPO筹集了303.2亿港元（合39亿美元）。但漫长的结算周期往往会耗尽当地货币市场的流动性，推高短期利率，并增加了该市与美元挂钩的货币风险。</blockquote></p><p> The new platform would help to solve another local problem where retail investors have placed duplicate orders through different brokers to have a better chance of getting shares in popular IPOs, a practice that has been banned by local securities rules but has yet to be eradicated over the years.</p><p><blockquote>新平台将有助于解决另一个当地问题，即散户投资者通过不同的经纪商下重复订单，以便有更好的机会获得热门IPO的股票，这种做法已被当地证券法规禁止，但多年来尚未根除。</blockquote></p><p> The bourse also announced that starting Monday all companies seeking to sell shares on the Asian bourse must do itentirely electronically.</p><p><blockquote>该交易所还宣布，从周一开始，所有寻求在亚洲交易所出售股票的公司必须完全通过电子方式进行。</blockquote></p><p> Hong Kong Looks to Speed Up IPO Process to Reduce Risks (1)</p><p><blockquote>香港希望加快IPO进程以降低风险(1)</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-06/hong-kong-to-shorten-ipo-cycle-by-fourth-quarter-next-year?srnd=premium-asia\">Tiger Newspress</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"00388":"香港交易所"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-06/hong-kong-to-shorten-ipo-cycle-by-fourth-quarter-next-year?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132297948","content_text":"HKEX$(00388)$rose 4% in wednesday morning trading.Hong Kong stock exchange is set to shorten the time for an initial public offering from pricing to listing to two days from the current five by the fourth quarter next year at the earliest, aligning its market more with other financial hubs.\nThrough a digital platform known as “FINI,” brokers, underwriters and regulators and other involved parties will be able to monitor and coordinate work flow of the whole process through to the start of trading, according to a Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Ltd. statement on Tuesday.\nThe change will allow for a settlement cycle of two days, known as T+2, paring back an initial proposal of just one settlement day. The shorter cycle will likely cut income for brokerages who can earn interest on cash placed by investors during the settlement period.\nThe move will drive market efficiency and reinforce “Hong Kong’s position as the world’s premier IPO market,” HKEX’s Chief Executive Officer Nicolas Aguzin said in thestatement.\nHong Kong has seen HK$30.32 billion ($3.9 billion) raised through IPOs so far this year. But the long settlement cycle has often dried up liquidity in the local money market, pushing up short-term interest rates and adding risks for the city’s currency peg with dollar.\nThe new platform would help to solve another local problem where retail investors have placed duplicate orders through different brokers to have a better chance of getting shares in popular IPOs, a practice that has been banned by local securities rules but has yet to be eradicated over the years.\nThe bourse also announced that starting Monday all companies seeking to sell shares on the Asian bourse must do itentirely electronically.\nHong Kong Looks to Speed Up IPO Process to Reduce Risks (1)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"00388":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":720,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149564549,"gmtCreate":1625736656881,"gmtModify":1633937872633,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149564549","repostId":"1129609561","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129609561","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625736250,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129609561?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 17:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Volkswagen weighs appeal against EU fine over emissions tech collusion<blockquote>大众汽车考虑对欧盟因排放技术勾结而罚款提出上诉</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129609561","media":"Reuters","summary":"BERLIN (Reuters) - Volkswagen said on Thursday it was considering whether to take legal action again","content":"<p>BERLIN (Reuters) - Volkswagen said on Thursday it was considering whether to take legal action against an EU antitrust fine, saying the penalty over technical talks about emissions technology with other carmakers set a questionable precedent.</p><p><blockquote>柏林（路透社）-大众汽车周四表示，正在考虑是否对欧盟的反垄断罚款采取法律行动，称与其他汽车制造商就排放技术进行技术谈判的处罚开创了一个值得怀疑的先例。</blockquote></p><p> \"The Commission is entering new judicial territory, because it is treating technical cooperation for the first time as an antitrust violation,\" the German carmaker said after it was fined 502 million euros ($593 million).</p><p><blockquote>这家德国汽车制造商在被罚款5.02亿欧元（5.93亿美元）后表示：“欧盟委员会正在进入新的司法领域，因为它首次将技术合作视为反垄断违规行为。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Furthermore it is imposing fines, although the content of the talks was never implemented and no customers suffered any harm as a result,\" Volkswagen added in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车在一份声明中补充道：“此外，它还处以罚款，尽管谈判内容从未得到实施，也没有客户因此受到任何伤害。”</blockquote></p><p> Volkswagen called for clearer guidelines: \"The high fines imposed in this case underscore the need for more comprehensive guidance from the Commission to ensure that legal uncertainty does not hamper innovation in Europe,\" it said.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车呼吁制定更明确的指导方针：“本案中处以的高额罚款凸显了欧盟委员会提供更全面指导的必要性，以确保法律不确定性不会阻碍欧洲的创新，”该公司表示。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Volkswagen weighs appeal against EU fine over emissions tech collusion<blockquote>大众汽车考虑对欧盟因排放技术勾结而罚款提出上诉</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nVolkswagen weighs appeal against EU fine over emissions tech collusion<blockquote>大众汽车考虑对欧盟因排放技术勾结而罚款提出上诉</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-08 17:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>BERLIN (Reuters) - Volkswagen said on Thursday it was considering whether to take legal action against an EU antitrust fine, saying the penalty over technical talks about emissions technology with other carmakers set a questionable precedent.</p><p><blockquote>柏林（路透社）-大众汽车周四表示，正在考虑是否对欧盟的反垄断罚款采取法律行动，称与其他汽车制造商就排放技术进行技术谈判的处罚开创了一个值得怀疑的先例。</blockquote></p><p> \"The Commission is entering new judicial territory, because it is treating technical cooperation for the first time as an antitrust violation,\" the German carmaker said after it was fined 502 million euros ($593 million).</p><p><blockquote>这家德国汽车制造商在被罚款5.02亿欧元（5.93亿美元）后表示：“欧盟委员会正在进入新的司法领域，因为它首次将技术合作视为反垄断违规行为。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Furthermore it is imposing fines, although the content of the talks was never implemented and no customers suffered any harm as a result,\" Volkswagen added in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车在一份声明中补充道：“此外，它还处以罚款，尽管谈判内容从未得到实施，也没有客户因此受到任何伤害。”</blockquote></p><p> Volkswagen called for clearer guidelines: \"The high fines imposed in this case underscore the need for more comprehensive guidance from the Commission to ensure that legal uncertainty does not hamper innovation in Europe,\" it said.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车呼吁制定更明确的指导方针：“本案中处以的高额罚款凸显了欧盟委员会提供更全面指导的必要性，以确保法律不确定性不会阻碍欧洲的创新，”该公司表示。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/volkswagen-weighs-appeal-against-eu-091952136.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VLKAY":"大众汽车"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/volkswagen-weighs-appeal-against-eu-091952136.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129609561","content_text":"BERLIN (Reuters) - Volkswagen said on Thursday it was considering whether to take legal action against an EU antitrust fine, saying the penalty over technical talks about emissions technology with other carmakers set a questionable precedent.\n\"The Commission is entering new judicial territory, because it is treating technical cooperation for the first time as an antitrust violation,\" the German carmaker said after it was fined 502 million euros ($593 million).\n\"Furthermore it is imposing fines, although the content of the talks was never implemented and no customers suffered any harm as a result,\" Volkswagen added in a statement.\nVolkswagen called for clearer guidelines: \"The high fines imposed in this case underscore the need for more comprehensive guidance from the Commission to ensure that legal uncertainty does not hamper innovation in Europe,\" it said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VLKAY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116028520,"gmtCreate":1622766869160,"gmtModify":1634098271121,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Diamond","listText":"Diamond","text":"Diamond","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116028520","repostId":"1103361405","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137354870,"gmtCreate":1622304895490,"gmtModify":1634102414268,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137354870","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104703702,"gmtCreate":1620412477706,"gmtModify":1634198965983,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104703702","repostId":"1174046479","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174046479","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620401302,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174046479?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 23:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Trulieve Enters West Virginia Cannabis Market, Closes Acquisition Of Mountaineer Holding<blockquote>Trulieve进入西弗吉尼亚州大麻市场，完成对Mountaineer Holding的收购</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174046479","media":"benzinga","summary":"Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (CSE: TRUL), a vertically integrated seed-to-sale and fully licensed medical","content":"<p><div> Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (CSE: TRUL), a vertically integrated seed-to-sale and fully licensed medical marijuana company, has purchased West Virginia-based Mountaineer Holding LLC for $6 million.Kim ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Trulieve Cannabis Corp.（CSE：TRUL）是一家垂直整合的种子销售和完全许可的医用大麻公司，以600万美元收购了总部位于西弗吉尼亚州的Mountaineer Holding LLC。金...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/05/21011092/trulieve-enters-west-virginia-cannabis-market-closes-acquisition-of-mountaineer-hol\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/05/21011092/trulieve-enters-west-virginia-cannabis-market-closes-acquisition-of-mountaineer-hol\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Trulieve Enters West Virginia Cannabis Market, Closes Acquisition Of Mountaineer Holding<blockquote>Trulieve进入西弗吉尼亚州大麻市场，完成对Mountaineer Holding的收购</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTrulieve Enters West Virginia Cannabis Market, Closes Acquisition Of Mountaineer Holding<blockquote>Trulieve进入西弗吉尼亚州大麻市场，完成对Mountaineer Holding的收购</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-07 23:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (CSE: TRUL), a vertically integrated seed-to-sale and fully licensed medical marijuana company, has purchased West Virginia-based Mountaineer Holding LLC for $6 million.Kim ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Trulieve Cannabis Corp.（CSE：TRUL）是一家垂直整合的种子销售和完全许可的医用大麻公司，以600万美元收购了总部位于西弗吉尼亚州的Mountaineer Holding LLC。金...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/05/21011092/trulieve-enters-west-virginia-cannabis-market-closes-acquisition-of-mountaineer-hol\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/05/21011092/trulieve-enters-west-virginia-cannabis-market-closes-acquisition-of-mountaineer-hol\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/05/21011092/trulieve-enters-west-virginia-cannabis-market-closes-acquisition-of-mountaineer-hol\">benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TCNNF":"Trulieve Cannabis Corporation"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/05/21011092/trulieve-enters-west-virginia-cannabis-market-closes-acquisition-of-mountaineer-hol","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174046479","content_text":"Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (CSE: TRUL), a vertically integrated seed-to-sale and fully licensed medical marijuana company, has purchased West Virginia-based Mountaineer Holding LLC for $6 million.Kim Rivers, the CEO of Tallahassee, Florida-based Trulieve, said Thursday the cannabis company is pleased to finalize the “transaction quickly, as the addition of Mountaineer achieves a significant presence for us in West Virginia.”The Trulieve-Mountaineer Deal: Under the terms of the agreement, Trulieve bought a cultivation permit and two dispensary permits.The sum the company agreed to pay in exchange includes $3 million in cash and some 60,342 Trulieve subordinate voting shares worth $3 million.Fox Rothschild LLP acted as legal counsel for the transaction.What It Means For Trulieve:The acquisition, which wasannouncedin March, expands Trulieve’s footprint in West Virginia to six dispensaries and positions it for vertical operations.The company plans to launch operations in the Mountain State by the end of 2021, Trulieve said.“Our teams have already been at work in the state, and adding Mountaineer to our portfolio provides significant potential for depth and scale,” she said.Recent Trulieve Analyst Action:Cantor Fitzgerald’s Pablo Zuanicrecentlyraised the firm's Trulieve price target to $89 while maintaining an Overweight rating ahead of the first-quarter 2021 report scheduled for May 13.TCNNF Price Action:Trulieve shares were trading 2.56% higher at $40.20 at last check Friday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TCNNF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":371,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173463656,"gmtCreate":1626680600675,"gmtModify":1631888709299,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173463656","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2664,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198015291,"gmtCreate":1620913748013,"gmtModify":1634195335558,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198015291","repostId":"1125451390","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125451390","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620913630,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1125451390?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-13 21:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Airlines stocks, cruise stocks rally in early market trading<blockquote>航空股、邮轮股早盘上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125451390","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(May 13) Airlines stocks, cruise stocks rally in early market trading. The numbers tell us that airl","content":"<p>(May 13)&nbsp;Airlines stocks, cruise stocks rally in early market trading.&nbsp;The numbers tell us that airline passengers are coming back.</p><p><blockquote>（5月13日）航空股、邮轮股早盘上涨。数据告诉我们，航空乘客正在回归。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36d23821c3f4c0ccaf1184b61913ae6a\" tg-width=\"334\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Many of us AvGeeks are tracking the progress of the passenger counts supplied by theTransportation Security Administrationduring the COVID pandemic. Avid numbers geeks also know that raw data should always be converted to associated cool charts.</p><p><blockquote>我们中的许多人都在跟踪运输安全管理局在新冠疫情期间提供的乘客数量的进展。狂热的数字极客也知道，原始数据应该总是转换成相关的酷图表。</blockquote></p><p>The first chart below displays the raw data.&nbsp; Because the TSA lists the most current day first, the chart reconstructs a chronological visualization for the same time periods January – December.</p><p><blockquote>下面的第一个图表显示了原始数据。因为TSA首先列出了最近的一天，所以该图表重建了1月至12月相同时间段的时间可视化。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e783b4a3151e232f3ccd008993b1cc40\" tg-width=\"1160\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Well aren’t those some squiggly lines? Because these are daily points, the lines show large amplitudes that correlate to high traffic (Fridays) and low traffic (Tuesdays).&nbsp; Let’s smooth out the lines using a rolling 7 day average to provide a better picture.</p><p><blockquote>那些不是一些弯曲的线条吗？因为这些是每日点，所以这些线显示了与高流量（周五）和低流量（周二）相关的大振幅。让我们使用7天滚动平均值来平滑这些线，以提供更好的图片。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d15f02767609a91758657bfed97d7f53\" tg-width=\"1160\" tg-height=\"843\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Deriving Some Encouraging Conclusions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>得出一些令人鼓舞的结论</b></blockquote></p><p>The 7 day chart shows some interesting facts.&nbsp; The first part of 2020 on a rolling average basis, had approximately 5% increase in traffic over 2019 (grey line).&nbsp; The precipitous drop from February to April highlights the extent to which passenger traffic decreased.&nbsp; One could follow the 2020 line from right and then see the 2021 line in Blue to left as a continuation.&nbsp; Although 2021 began at less than 50 percent traffic compared to 2020, passenger counts have rapidly increased since January 2021.</p><p><blockquote>7天图显示了一些有趣的事实。按滚动平均计算，2020年上半年的客流量比2019年增长了约5%（灰线）。2月至4月的急剧下降凸显了客运量下降的程度。人们可以从右边沿着2020线，然后从左边看到蓝色的2021线作为延续。尽管与2020年相比，2021年开始的客运量不到50%，但自2021年1月以来，乘客数量迅速增加。</blockquote></p><p><b>Playing the Percentages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>玩百分比</b></blockquote></p><p>Speaking of percentages, the chart below indicates the raw percentage differences and a smoothed 7 day average. Note that there are only 2 lines – the orange line is the difference between 2019 and 2020.&nbsp; The blue 2021 line shows the difference between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>说到百分比，下图显示了原始百分比差异和平滑的7天平均值。请注意，只有两条线——橙色线是2019年和2020年的差异。蓝色的2021线显示了2019年和2021年的差异。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e09a68784c938a26136f187eb845cd10\" tg-width=\"1160\" tg-height=\"848\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>A What-If Scenario</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设情景</b></blockquote></p><p>When trying to identify when normalcy will return, Here’s a “what if” scenario: What if passenger traffic grew by 5% year over year from 2019 to 2020 through 2021?</p><p><blockquote>当试图确定何时恢复正常时，这里有一个“如果”的场景：如果从2019年到2020年到2021年客运量同比增长5%会怎样？</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a77d6c7cb7145ed6def53a3f30f842b\" tg-width=\"1158\" tg-height=\"846\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>What would be the point in identifying where passenger traffic might be at 5% growth?&nbsp; That answer rests in the below graph that shows the approximate “lost passenger counts” due to pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>确定哪里的客运量可能增长5%有什么意义？答案就在下图中，它显示了由于疫情造成的大约“乘客损失数量”。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe3a1acab3507a1608c1ac4396e5126e\" tg-width=\"1160\" tg-height=\"847\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Some Bad/Good News</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些坏消息/好消息</b></blockquote></p><p>In just over a year, roughly 600,000,000 passengers did not travel. But if the 2021 pace of passenger counts continues, by August we could surpass 2019. That would be great news for the aviation industry.</p><p><blockquote>在短短一年多的时间里，大约有6亿乘客没有出行。但如果2021年的乘客数量继续保持下去，到8月份我们可能会超过2019年。这对航空业来说将是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Airlines stocks, cruise stocks rally in early market trading<blockquote>航空股、邮轮股早盘上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAirlines stocks, cruise stocks rally in early market trading<blockquote>航空股、邮轮股早盘上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-13 21:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(May 13)&nbsp;Airlines stocks, cruise stocks rally in early market trading.&nbsp;The numbers tell us that airline passengers are coming back.</p><p><blockquote>（5月13日）航空股、邮轮股早盘上涨。数据告诉我们，航空乘客正在回归。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36d23821c3f4c0ccaf1184b61913ae6a\" tg-width=\"334\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Many of us AvGeeks are tracking the progress of the passenger counts supplied by theTransportation Security Administrationduring the COVID pandemic. Avid numbers geeks also know that raw data should always be converted to associated cool charts.</p><p><blockquote>我们中的许多人都在跟踪运输安全管理局在新冠疫情期间提供的乘客数量的进展。狂热的数字极客也知道，原始数据应该总是转换成相关的酷图表。</blockquote></p><p>The first chart below displays the raw data.&nbsp; Because the TSA lists the most current day first, the chart reconstructs a chronological visualization for the same time periods January – December.</p><p><blockquote>下面的第一个图表显示了原始数据。因为TSA首先列出了最近的一天，所以该图表重建了1月至12月相同时间段的时间可视化。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e783b4a3151e232f3ccd008993b1cc40\" tg-width=\"1160\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Well aren’t those some squiggly lines? Because these are daily points, the lines show large amplitudes that correlate to high traffic (Fridays) and low traffic (Tuesdays).&nbsp; Let’s smooth out the lines using a rolling 7 day average to provide a better picture.</p><p><blockquote>那些不是一些弯曲的线条吗？因为这些是每日点，所以这些线显示了与高流量（周五）和低流量（周二）相关的大振幅。让我们使用7天滚动平均值来平滑这些线，以提供更好的图片。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d15f02767609a91758657bfed97d7f53\" tg-width=\"1160\" tg-height=\"843\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Deriving Some Encouraging Conclusions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>得出一些令人鼓舞的结论</b></blockquote></p><p>The 7 day chart shows some interesting facts.&nbsp; The first part of 2020 on a rolling average basis, had approximately 5% increase in traffic over 2019 (grey line).&nbsp; The precipitous drop from February to April highlights the extent to which passenger traffic decreased.&nbsp; One could follow the 2020 line from right and then see the 2021 line in Blue to left as a continuation.&nbsp; Although 2021 began at less than 50 percent traffic compared to 2020, passenger counts have rapidly increased since January 2021.</p><p><blockquote>7天图显示了一些有趣的事实。按滚动平均计算，2020年上半年的客流量比2019年增长了约5%（灰线）。2月至4月的急剧下降凸显了客运量下降的程度。人们可以从右边沿着2020线，然后从左边看到蓝色的2021线作为延续。尽管与2020年相比，2021年开始的客运量不到50%，但自2021年1月以来，乘客数量迅速增加。</blockquote></p><p><b>Playing the Percentages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>玩百分比</b></blockquote></p><p>Speaking of percentages, the chart below indicates the raw percentage differences and a smoothed 7 day average. Note that there are only 2 lines – the orange line is the difference between 2019 and 2020.&nbsp; The blue 2021 line shows the difference between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>说到百分比，下图显示了原始百分比差异和平滑的7天平均值。请注意，只有两条线——橙色线是2019年和2020年的差异。蓝色的2021线显示了2019年和2021年的差异。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e09a68784c938a26136f187eb845cd10\" tg-width=\"1160\" tg-height=\"848\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>A What-If Scenario</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设情景</b></blockquote></p><p>When trying to identify when normalcy will return, Here’s a “what if” scenario: What if passenger traffic grew by 5% year over year from 2019 to 2020 through 2021?</p><p><blockquote>当试图确定何时恢复正常时，这里有一个“如果”的场景：如果从2019年到2020年到2021年客运量同比增长5%会怎样？</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a77d6c7cb7145ed6def53a3f30f842b\" tg-width=\"1158\" tg-height=\"846\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>What would be the point in identifying where passenger traffic might be at 5% growth?&nbsp; That answer rests in the below graph that shows the approximate “lost passenger counts” due to pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>确定哪里的客运量可能增长5%有什么意义？答案就在下图中，它显示了由于疫情造成的大约“乘客损失数量”。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe3a1acab3507a1608c1ac4396e5126e\" tg-width=\"1160\" tg-height=\"847\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Some Bad/Good News</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些坏消息/好消息</b></blockquote></p><p>In just over a year, roughly 600,000,000 passengers did not travel. But if the 2021 pace of passenger counts continues, by August we could surpass 2019. That would be great news for the aviation industry.</p><p><blockquote>在短短一年多的时间里，大约有6亿乘客没有出行。但如果2021年的乘客数量继续保持下去，到8月份我们可能会超过2019年。这对航空业来说将是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CCL":"嘉年华邮轮","NCLH":"挪威邮轮","SAVE":"Spirit Airlines","DAL":"达美航空","LUV":"西南航空","BA":"波音","JBLU":"捷蓝航空","RCL":"皇家加勒比邮轮"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125451390","content_text":"(May 13) Airlines stocks, cruise stocks rally in early market trading. The numbers tell us that airline passengers are coming back.Many of us AvGeeks are tracking the progress of the passenger counts supplied by theTransportation Security Administrationduring the COVID pandemic. Avid numbers geeks also know that raw data should always be converted to associated cool charts.The first chart below displays the raw data.  Because the TSA lists the most current day first, the chart reconstructs a chronological visualization for the same time periods January – December.Well aren’t those some squiggly lines? Because these are daily points, the lines show large amplitudes that correlate to high traffic (Fridays) and low traffic (Tuesdays).  Let’s smooth out the lines using a rolling 7 day average to provide a better picture.Deriving Some Encouraging ConclusionsThe 7 day chart shows some interesting facts.  The first part of 2020 on a rolling average basis, had approximately 5% increase in traffic over 2019 (grey line).  The precipitous drop from February to April highlights the extent to which passenger traffic decreased.  One could follow the 2020 line from right and then see the 2021 line in Blue to left as a continuation.  Although 2021 began at less than 50 percent traffic compared to 2020, passenger counts have rapidly increased since January 2021.Playing the PercentagesSpeaking of percentages, the chart below indicates the raw percentage differences and a smoothed 7 day average. Note that there are only 2 lines – the orange line is the difference between 2019 and 2020.  The blue 2021 line shows the difference between 2019 and 2021.A What-If ScenarioWhen trying to identify when normalcy will return, Here’s a “what if” scenario: What if passenger traffic grew by 5% year over year from 2019 to 2020 through 2021?What would be the point in identifying where passenger traffic might be at 5% growth?  That answer rests in the below graph that shows the approximate “lost passenger counts” due to pandemic.Some Bad/Good NewsIn just over a year, roughly 600,000,000 passengers did not travel. But if the 2021 pace of passenger counts continues, by August we could surpass 2019. That would be great news for the aviation industry.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NCLH":0.9,"LUV":0.9,"RCL":0.9,"JBLU":0.9,"SAVE":0.9,"BA":0.9,"CCL":0.9,"DAL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147139581,"gmtCreate":1626340036343,"gmtModify":1631888709306,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Swee","listText":"Swee","text":"Swee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147139581","repostId":"2151528448","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124424977,"gmtCreate":1624783322799,"gmtModify":1633948644943,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124424977","repostId":"2146090006","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190972325,"gmtCreate":1620577928367,"gmtModify":1634197944901,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190972325","repostId":"1170905579","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":351,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805481761,"gmtCreate":1627898991353,"gmtModify":1631888709286,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805481761","repostId":"1131923658","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131923658","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627898076,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131923658?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 17:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131923658","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.\n\"In the second q","content":"<p>Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上周发布的第二季度盈利和收入超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在公司第二季度更新中表示：“2021年第二季度，我们打破了新的、引人注目的记录。”“我们生产和交付了超过200,000辆汽车，实现了11%的营业利润率，并在我们历史上首次超过[10亿美元]GAAP净利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Here's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对本季度的近距离观察，其中包括报告中的五个必看要点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Revenue hit $12 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.营收达到120亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Helped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>得益于汽车交付量同比增长121%，特斯拉的收入同比飙升98%，达到约120亿美元。这超出了分析师113亿美元营收的平均预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Profits skyrocketed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、利润暴涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.</p><p><blockquote>当然，有了这样的收入，利润飙升也就不足为奇了。净利润从去年同期的1.04亿美元增至11.4亿美元。非GAAP（调整后）净利润同比增长258%至16亿美元。这意味着非GAAP每股收益为1.45美元，远高于分析师普遍预期的0.98美元。</blockquote></p><p> The outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉利润的大幅增长表明了该公司商业模式的可扩展性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Free cash flow remains healthy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.自由现金流保持健康</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次产生了正的自由现金流，即运营现金流减去资本支出。期内自由现金流从去年同期的4.18亿美元增至6.19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Total cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.</p><p><blockquote>手头现金总额从2021年第一季度的171亿美元下降至162亿美元，但这主要是由于16亿美元的净债务和融资租赁还款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Vehicle demand is robust</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四、车辆需求旺盛</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次表示，对其汽车的需求达到了创纪录的水平。事实上，需求如此强劲，以至于该公司的供应受到限制。“全球需求持续强劲，我们正在现有零部件供应的极限下进行生产，”特斯拉解释道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There's more sharp growth to come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.未来还会有更大幅度的增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，特斯拉对其增长轨迹保持乐观。该公司表示，预计今年的总交付量将同比增长50%以上。这意味着2021年总交付量将超过75万辆。截至目前，特斯拉今年已交付超过38.6万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> \"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.</p><p><blockquote>“增长率将取决于我们的设备容量、运营效率以及供应链的容量和稳定性，”特斯拉指出。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Four Challenges to Tesla’s Growth</h4> However,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.</p><p><blockquote><h4>特斯拉经济增长面临的四大挑战</h4>然而，投资者担心几个因素可能会很快减缓特斯拉狂热的股价增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街是一个有效的市场，对上市公司的好消息和坏消息都进行了贴现。因此，股价在好消息之前上涨，在坏消息之前遭到抛售。有时，市场先生——用本杰明·格雷厄姆的术语来说——过于乐观，导致上市公司的股价远高于其基本或内在价值。其他时候，先生。市场过于悲观，导致上市公司股价远低于其内在价值。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.</p><p><blockquote>从许多标准来看，特斯拉的股价都被高估了。例如，TipRanks估计特斯拉过去12个月的股本回报率为12.41%，而特斯拉的内在价值估计为160.11美元，远低于当前的价格水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition from Colonizers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>来自殖民者的竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> Once, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.</p><p><blockquote>曾经，特斯拉几乎没有竞争，因为它开创的电动汽车（EV）市场几乎没有来自传统汽车制造商的竞争。然而，随着通用汽车、福特、大众和丰田正在入侵电动市场，情况已不再如此。</blockquote></p><p> These \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.</p><p><blockquote>这些电动汽车市场的“殖民者”拥有制造经验、专业知识和分销网络，可以扩大电动汽车生产规模，跨越将电动汽车推向大众的“临界点”。与此同时，新竞争对手进入电动汽车市场可能会引发价格竞争，从而削弱特斯拉的收入增长和利润率。这是华尔街在季度财务报表中密切关注的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Exposure</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉CEO Elon Musk对比特币情有独钟。这就是为什么他一直将公司的部分现金投资于数字货币。截至3月底，特斯拉15亿美元的投资价值24.8亿美元，以第一季度比特币的激增计算。然而，考虑到比特币的波动性，这也有其风险。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.</p><p><blockquote>将数字货币视为无限期无形资产的会计规则加剧了比特币的波动性。因此，倘其公平值于评估报告期内减值至低于账面值，则须计提减值亏损。在资产出售之前，公司无法收回公允价值后续增加的减值损失。随着数字货币价格暴跌，特斯拉报告第二季度与比特币相关的减值为2300万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising Material Costs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>材料成本上升</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Together with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19大流行期间供应链中断，特斯拉与传统汽车制造商一起面临严重的材料短缺，预计这将减缓其狂热增长的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> \"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.</p><p><blockquote>“在我们全速造车的同时，全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重，”马斯克告诉投资者。“在今年剩余时间里，我们的增长率将取决于供应链中最慢的部分，”他补充说，有多种芯片将成为增长的刹车。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Mixed reviews from Wall Street</h4> Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><h4>华尔街褒贬不一</h4>Needham分析师Rajvindra Gill表示，特斯拉股票的定价已经非常完美，这可以解释该股周二的疲软。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.</p><p><blockquote>吉尔写道：“即使最近的业绩更加积极，我们也很难证明特斯拉‘定价完美’的估值是合理的。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley分析师Adam Jonas表示，本季度可能不会改变多头或空头的说法，特斯拉仍然不是企业市盈率70倍的价值股。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉不仅是世界上增长最快的汽车公司之一，也是最赚钱的公司之一，”Jonas写道。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师Colin Langan表示，汽车毛利率令人印象深刻，但可能不会持续。</blockquote></p><p> “We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.</p><p><blockquote>Langran写道：“随着价格较低的Model Y SR在中国推出，由于原材料成本上升和混合动力稀释，我们预计第三季度/第四季度汽车利润率将放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> John Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"</p><p><blockquote>B.of A.Securities的约翰·墨菲(John Murphy)的语气更加谨慎。尽管节奏很慢，但“竞争非常激烈，而且正在升温，”他说。“（特斯拉的）运营环境正在从真空转向日益拥挤的空间。”</blockquote></p><p> The quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>季度业绩“在很大程度上得益于积极的定价动态和良好的执行力”，墨菲将该股的目标价从750美元上调至800美元，较周二的价格上涨约26%。他维持B.of A.对该股的中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 17:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上周发布的第二季度盈利和收入超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在公司第二季度更新中表示：“2021年第二季度，我们打破了新的、引人注目的记录。”“我们生产和交付了超过200,000辆汽车，实现了11%的营业利润率，并在我们历史上首次超过[10亿美元]GAAP净利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Here's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对本季度的近距离观察，其中包括报告中的五个必看要点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Revenue hit $12 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.营收达到120亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Helped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>得益于汽车交付量同比增长121%，特斯拉的收入同比飙升98%，达到约120亿美元。这超出了分析师113亿美元营收的平均预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Profits skyrocketed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、利润暴涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.</p><p><blockquote>当然，有了这样的收入，利润飙升也就不足为奇了。净利润从去年同期的1.04亿美元增至11.4亿美元。非GAAP（调整后）净利润同比增长258%至16亿美元。这意味着非GAAP每股收益为1.45美元，远高于分析师普遍预期的0.98美元。</blockquote></p><p> The outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉利润的大幅增长表明了该公司商业模式的可扩展性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Free cash flow remains healthy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.自由现金流保持健康</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次产生了正的自由现金流，即运营现金流减去资本支出。期内自由现金流从去年同期的4.18亿美元增至6.19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Total cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.</p><p><blockquote>手头现金总额从2021年第一季度的171亿美元下降至162亿美元，但这主要是由于16亿美元的净债务和融资租赁还款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Vehicle demand is robust</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四、车辆需求旺盛</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次表示，对其汽车的需求达到了创纪录的水平。事实上，需求如此强劲，以至于该公司的供应受到限制。“全球需求持续强劲，我们正在现有零部件供应的极限下进行生产，”特斯拉解释道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There's more sharp growth to come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.未来还会有更大幅度的增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，特斯拉对其增长轨迹保持乐观。该公司表示，预计今年的总交付量将同比增长50%以上。这意味着2021年总交付量将超过75万辆。截至目前，特斯拉今年已交付超过38.6万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> \"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.</p><p><blockquote>“增长率将取决于我们的设备容量、运营效率以及供应链的容量和稳定性，”特斯拉指出。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Four Challenges to Tesla’s Growth</h4> However,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.</p><p><blockquote><h4>特斯拉经济增长面临的四大挑战</h4>然而，投资者担心几个因素可能会很快减缓特斯拉狂热的股价增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街是一个有效的市场，对上市公司的好消息和坏消息都进行了贴现。因此，股价在好消息之前上涨，在坏消息之前遭到抛售。有时，市场先生——用本杰明·格雷厄姆的术语来说——过于乐观，导致上市公司的股价远高于其基本或内在价值。其他时候，先生。市场过于悲观，导致上市公司股价远低于其内在价值。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.</p><p><blockquote>从许多标准来看，特斯拉的股价都被高估了。例如，TipRanks估计特斯拉过去12个月的股本回报率为12.41%，而特斯拉的内在价值估计为160.11美元，远低于当前的价格水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition from Colonizers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>来自殖民者的竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> Once, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.</p><p><blockquote>曾经，特斯拉几乎没有竞争，因为它开创的电动汽车（EV）市场几乎没有来自传统汽车制造商的竞争。然而，随着通用汽车、福特、大众和丰田正在入侵电动市场，情况已不再如此。</blockquote></p><p> These \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.</p><p><blockquote>这些电动汽车市场的“殖民者”拥有制造经验、专业知识和分销网络，可以扩大电动汽车生产规模，跨越将电动汽车推向大众的“临界点”。与此同时，新竞争对手进入电动汽车市场可能会引发价格竞争，从而削弱特斯拉的收入增长和利润率。这是华尔街在季度财务报表中密切关注的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Exposure</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉CEO Elon Musk对比特币情有独钟。这就是为什么他一直将公司的部分现金投资于数字货币。截至3月底，特斯拉15亿美元的投资价值24.8亿美元，以第一季度比特币的激增计算。然而，考虑到比特币的波动性，这也有其风险。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.</p><p><blockquote>将数字货币视为无限期无形资产的会计规则加剧了比特币的波动性。因此，倘其公平值于评估报告期内减值至低于账面值，则须计提减值亏损。在资产出售之前，公司无法收回公允价值后续增加的减值损失。随着数字货币价格暴跌，特斯拉报告第二季度与比特币相关的减值为2300万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising Material Costs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>材料成本上升</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Together with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19大流行期间供应链中断，特斯拉与传统汽车制造商一起面临严重的材料短缺，预计这将减缓其狂热增长的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> \"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.</p><p><blockquote>“在我们全速造车的同时，全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重，”马斯克告诉投资者。“在今年剩余时间里，我们的增长率将取决于供应链中最慢的部分，”他补充说，有多种芯片将成为增长的刹车。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Mixed reviews from Wall Street</h4> Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><h4>华尔街褒贬不一</h4>Needham分析师Rajvindra Gill表示，特斯拉股票的定价已经非常完美，这可以解释该股周二的疲软。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.</p><p><blockquote>吉尔写道：“即使最近的业绩更加积极，我们也很难证明特斯拉‘定价完美’的估值是合理的。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley分析师Adam Jonas表示，本季度可能不会改变多头或空头的说法，特斯拉仍然不是企业市盈率70倍的价值股。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉不仅是世界上增长最快的汽车公司之一，也是最赚钱的公司之一，”Jonas写道。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师Colin Langan表示，汽车毛利率令人印象深刻，但可能不会持续。</blockquote></p><p> “We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.</p><p><blockquote>Langran写道：“随着价格较低的Model Y SR在中国推出，由于原材料成本上升和混合动力稀释，我们预计第三季度/第四季度汽车利润率将放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> John Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"</p><p><blockquote>B.of A.Securities的约翰·墨菲(John Murphy)的语气更加谨慎。尽管节奏很慢，但“竞争非常激烈，而且正在升温，”他说。“（特斯拉的）运营环境正在从真空转向日益拥挤的空间。”</blockquote></p><p> The quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>季度业绩“在很大程度上得益于积极的定价动态和良好的执行力”，墨菲将该股的目标价从750美元上调至800美元，较周二的价格上涨约26%。他维持B.of A.对该股的中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131923658","content_text":"Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.\n\"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"\nHere's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.\n1. Revenue hit $12 billion\nHelped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.\n2. Profits skyrocketed\nOf course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.\nThe outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.\n3. Free cash flow remains healthy\nTesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.\nTotal cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.\n4. Vehicle demand is robust\nTesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.\n5. There's more sharp growth to come\nImportantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.\n\"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.\nFour Challenges to Tesla’s Growth\nHowever,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.\nHigh Valuation\nWall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.\nTesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.\nCompetition from Colonizers\nOnce, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.\nThese \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.\nBitcoin Exposure\nTesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.\nAdding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.\nRising Material Costs\nTogether with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.\n\"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.\nMixed reviews from Wall Street\nNeedham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.\n“Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.\nMorgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.\n“Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.\nWells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.\n“We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.\nJohn Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"\nThe quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193630624,"gmtCreate":1620782996068,"gmtModify":1634196348144,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193630624","repostId":"2134698127","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800444816,"gmtCreate":1627314887535,"gmtModify":1631888709289,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800444816","repostId":"1191215576","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1845,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144034458,"gmtCreate":1626252299774,"gmtModify":1631888709306,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jialat","listText":"Jialat","text":"Jialat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144034458","repostId":"1190637633","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148742738,"gmtCreate":1626028479624,"gmtModify":1631888709317,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's go","listText":"Let's go","text":"Let's go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148742738","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是单程旅行。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚法学院证券市场教授乔舒亚·米茨（Joshua Mits）说，“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人亏损了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。证交会主席盖瑞·根斯勒和一些国会议员讨论改变市场规则，意图增加透明度保护零售商——尽管如果改变交易速度减慢或让交易变得更贵，这些变化也可能激怒零售商群体。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是单程旅行。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚法学院证券市场教授乔舒亚·米茨（Joshua Mits）说，“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人亏损了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。证交会主席盖瑞·根斯勒和一些国会议员讨论改变市场规则，意图增加透明度保护零售商——尽管如果改变交易速度减慢或让交易变得更贵，这些变化也可能激怒零售商群体。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BB":"黑莓","AMC":"AMC院线","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","SCHW":"嘉信理财","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BBBY":0.9,"NEGG":0.9,"BB":0.9,"SCHW":0.9,"CARV":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9,"CLOV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157061229,"gmtCreate":1625554652561,"gmtModify":1633939698448,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157061229","repostId":"2149033827","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":660,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158608844,"gmtCreate":1625146810988,"gmtModify":1633944291743,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158608844","repostId":"2148840288","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":467,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161022706,"gmtCreate":1623897318705,"gmtModify":1634026180742,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161022706","repostId":"1192239171","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192239171","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623896975,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1192239171?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 10:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Skillz Is Likely To Be On The Reddit Menu<blockquote>Skillz可能会出现在Reddit菜单上</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192239171","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSkillz is growing rapidly, with the potential for sales to accelerate as the company enhanc","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Skillz is growing rapidly, with the potential for sales to accelerate as the company enhances monetization and completes the Aarki acquisition.</li>  <li>The company enjoys fantastic margins which should lead to profitability without much struggle. Skillz has enough firepower to sustain several money-losing quarters without any dilution, regardless.</li>  <li>Additionally, the stock is position greatly for a short squeeze based on its technicals, at a time when the Reddit army is actively looking for such opportunities.</li>  <li>We are taking advantage of the increased volatility and high premiums to sell PUTs with the potential for massive returns.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17fc8399c8d3c4d438768450d993051e\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Geber86/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Skillz正在快速增长，随着公司加强货币化并完成对Aarki的收购，销售额有可能加速增长。</li><li>该公司享有惊人的利润率，这应该会毫不费力地实现盈利。无论如何，Skillz有足够的火力在没有任何稀释的情况下维持几个亏损季度。</li><li>此外，在Reddit大军正在积极寻找此类机会之际，根据其技术面，该股非常适合做空。</li><li>我们正在利用波动性增加和高溢价出售有可能获得巨额回报的看跌期权。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Geber86/E+来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If you have been paying attention to market news lately, you may have noticed the short squeeze frenzy caused by Reddit's Wall Street Bets community. Wall St. Bets Redditors have collectively bought stocks featuring a high short interest in bulk, shooting the so-called \"meme stocks\" to the skies and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>如果你最近一直在关注市场新闻，你可能已经注意到了Reddit华尔街押注社区引发的轧空狂潮。华尔街押注Reddit用户集体购买了大宗空头兴趣较高的股票，将所谓的“模因股票”推向了天空甚至更远的地方。</blockquote></p><p> Examples include the following stocks:</p><p><blockquote>示例包括以下股票：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(NASDAQ:BBBY)</li>  <li>BlackBerry(NYSE:BB)</li>  <li>Virgin Galactic(NYSE:SPCE)</li>  <li>Wendy's(NASDAQ:WEN)</li>  <li>Rocket Companies(NYSE:RKT)</li>  <li>ContextLogic(NASDAQ:WISH)</li>  <li>Palantir(NYSE:PLTR)</li>  <li>GameStop(NYSE:GME)</li> </ul> In this article, we want to share our thoughts on another highly shorted stock, Skillz (SKLZ), whose rapid growth and favorable technical indicators are likely to cause a short squeeze. This could send shares soaring in the short term as shorts begin purchasing stock in the panic of potentially higher losses.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Bed Bath&amp;Beyond（纳斯达克：BBBY）</li><li>黑莓（纽约证券交易所代码：BB）</li><li>维珍银河（纽约证券交易所代码：SPCE）</li><li>温蒂（纳斯达克：WEN）</li><li>火箭公司（纽约证券交易所代码：RKT）</li><li>ContextLogic（纳斯达克：WISH）</li><li>Palantir（纽约证券交易所代码：PLTR）</li><li>游戏驿站（纽约证券交易所代码：GME）</li></ul>在本文中，我们想分享我们对另一只被高度做空的股票Skillz（SKLZ）的想法，该股票的快速增长和有利的技术指标很可能会导致轧空。这可能会在短期内导致股价飙升，因为空头在潜在更高损失的恐慌中开始购买股票。</blockquote></p><p> The possibility that Skillz may become one of the next targets of the Wall Street Bets army due to its high short interest is certainly a welcome factor, though not one we necessarily rely on it.</p><p><blockquote>由于其高空头兴趣，Skillz可能成为华尔街押注大军的下一个目标之一，这当然是一个受欢迎的因素，尽管我们不一定依赖它。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, we won't go through Skillz's business model and growing ecosystem as many S.A. authors have already sufficiently explained the company's merits with great detail. Instead, let's examine why Skillz's growth rates and technical indicators are likely to cause a short squeeze and how we have set up our own position.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我们不会介绍Skillz的商业模式和不断增长的生态系统，因为许多S.A.作者已经非常详细地解释了该公司的优点。相反，让我们研究一下为什么Skillz的增长率和技术指标可能会导致轧空以及我们如何建立自己的头寸。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A rapidly growing company</b></p><p><blockquote><b>快速发展的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Skillz&nbsp;deliveredanother quarter of strong performance in Q1, achieving its 21st consecutive quarter of revenue growth. The company generated 92% of revenue growth year-over-year, primarily as a result of 81% growth in paying monthly active users. In addition, we want to highlight that revenue growth was much more substantial than the one achieved in Q1-2020 (67%), suggesting an acceleration.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz在第一季度又一个季度表现强劲，实现了连续21个季度的收入增长。该公司的收入同比增长了92%，主要是由于付费月活跃用户增长了81%。此外，我们想强调的是，收入增长比2020年第一季度的增长（67%）要强劲得多，这表明收入增长正在加速。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b50edacf11accd9b32fd5c3dc7b8e15\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\"><span>Source:Q1 Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第一季度演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Hence, the revenue growth projected by analysts over the next couple of years seems a bit gloomier than it should. Especially considering that the company has not even begun monetizing its non-paying users, which could accelerate revenue growth further if it decided to do so.</p><p><blockquote>因此，分析师预测的未来几年收入增长似乎比预期的要黯淡一些。特别是考虑到该公司甚至还没有开始将其非付费用户货币化，如果它决定这样做，可能会进一步加速收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65d2f8e90727958c83f790fa5f157ce4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"164\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>As a side note, not monetizing its non-paying users also speaks of two qualities by the company worth. First, Skillz does not attempt to squeeze every bit of extra revenue immediately after its public listing to impress investors quickly. Secondly, the companyoptimizesits marketing budget to acquire paying users, not installs. This is very distinct from other mobile gaming companies that monetize via advertising, mindlessly trying to attract the largest number of eyeballs possible. This tells us that the company is in it for the long term, executing thoughtfully.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>顺便说一句，不将非付费用户货币化也说明了该公司的两个品质。首先，Skillz并不试图在公开上市后立即榨取每一点额外收入来迅速打动投资者。其次，该公司优化营销预算以获取付费用户，而不是安装。这与其他通过广告赚钱的移动游戏公司非常不同，他们盲目地试图吸引尽可能多的眼球。这告诉我们，公司是长期的，执行周到。</i></blockquote></p><p> In any case, analyst expectations make little sense based on the company's current growth trajectory, and we expect sales growth to be more substantial. Moreover, sales growth becomes even more exciting when we consider the company's potential profitability powered by its ultra high-margin business model. The company enjoys gross margins of 94%, which indicates plenty of room for a rich bottom line as the company continues to scale.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，基于该公司目前的增长轨迹，分析师的预期意义不大，我们预计销售额增长将更加可观。此外，当我们考虑到该公司超高利润商业模式推动的潜在盈利能力时，销售增长变得更加令人兴奋。该公司的毛利率为94%，这表明随着公司规模的不断扩大，利润还有很大的空间。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f0ae33838bdd16f867917a1fe90d9c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\"><span>Source:Q1 results</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第一季度业绩</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Finally, the company ended the quarter with a strong balance sheet, including $613 million of cash. The company also recently struck a&nbsp;deal&nbsp;to acquire Aarki for $150 in cash and stock (another catalyst for accelerated revenue growth) as well). Thus, even if the whole company was to be acquired in cash only, Skillz would still have enough gun powder to sustain several quarters of losses (at its current run rate) without the need to raise extra funds.</p><p><blockquote>最后，该公司在本季度末拥有强劲的资产负债表，其中包括6.13亿美元的现金。该公司最近还达成了一项协议，以150美元的现金和股票收购Aarki（这也是收入加速增长的另一个催化剂）。因此，即使仅以现金收购整个公司，Skillz仍有足够的火药来维持几个季度的亏损（以目前的运营速度），而无需筹集额外资金。</blockquote></p><p> We hence don't expect any further dilution, which could support the short case amid the additional sale of shares. This, of course, does not include dilution resulting from more acquisitions, which are going to (hopefully) benefit the company financially, and in which case they are welcome.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们预计不会出现任何进一步的稀释，这可能会在额外出售股票的情况下支持做空情况。当然，这不包括更多收购导致的稀释，这些收购将（希望）使公司在财务上受益，在这种情况下，它们是受欢迎的。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, the company has no debt on its balance sheet to pressure its bottom line further. Considering the fat gross margins, it should not struggle to turn green if the company pursues the profitability road.</p><p><blockquote>最后，该公司的资产负债表上没有债务来进一步给其利润带来压力。考虑到丰厚的毛利率，如果公司追求盈利之路，应该不会很难实现绿色。</blockquote></p><p> When everything is taken into consideration, the stock could easily attract a higher valuation multiple. We believe that Skillz's revenue growth rate and juicy margins could easily support a P/S ratio of around 25, suggesting upside regardless of a possible short squeeze scenario.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑到所有因素时，该股票很容易吸引更高的估值倍数。我们认为，Skillz的收入增长率和丰厚的利润率可以轻松支撑25左右的市盈率，这表明无论可能出现轧空情况如何，都有上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bd7d35a8374e6800e160c33fa12607a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The technicals and our play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术和我们的发挥</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's move to the technicals, which, combined with Skillz's growth metrics and healthy financials, could result in a short interest decline in the short term.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们转向技术面，结合Skillz的增长指标和健康的财务状况，可能会导致短期内空头兴趣下降。</blockquote></p><p> Firstly, we chose to sell PUTs to take advantage of the stock's high volatility, which translates to higher premiums. By selling PUTs here, we are finding the optimum point between a low price (of the underlying stock) and the high volatility (normally, there is a trade-off between the two.)</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们选择卖出看跌期权以利用股票的高波动性，这意味着更高的溢价。通过在这里卖出看跌期权，我们找到了（标的股票的）低价和高波动性之间的最佳点（通常，两者之间存在权衡。）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5826ab6b6cddd6817a265b9bbcc01c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then we are checking most (in this case, all) the main (technical) boxes. One could argue that these don't guarantee anything, of course, but the technicals here are surely looking encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>然后，我们检查大多数（在本例中，所有）主要（技术）框。当然，有人可能会说这些并不能保证任何事情，但这里的技术面看起来确实令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7748749c82392cdecc305f45b2b008ea\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, we are checking the stock's short interest, which is peaking/has peaked.</p><p><blockquote>然后，我们正在检查该股票的空头利息，该利息正在见顶/已经见顶。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34ad6765006c4cc62f648a511949788b\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Everything combined creates the perfect setup for a short squeeze at a time when the Reddit army is attacking anything that looks like a potential.</p><p><blockquote>当Reddit大军正在攻击任何看起来有潜力的东西时，一切结合在一起，为空头挤压创造了完美的设置。</blockquote></p><p> However, we are always aiming for an additional margin of safety to mitigate our risk and narrow our total return expectations. By selling PUTs, we are not jumping in at all costs. Either making massive returns (see below) on these short-term options or buying the stock at a lower price while enhancing the predictability of our total returns.</p><p><blockquote>然而，我们始终致力于获得额外的安全边际，以降低风险并缩小总回报预期。通过卖出看跌期权，我们不会不惜一切代价买入。要么通过这些短期期权获得巨额回报（见下文），要么以较低的价格购买股票，同时提高我们总回报的可预测性。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the possible scenarios out of selling our PUTs:</p><p><blockquote>以下是出售看跌期权的可能情况：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>SELL (to open) SKLZ 07/16/2021 22.50 PUT @ $4.20</b></li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d112fde75fe80aa1197e23191c3885f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"433\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>卖出（开仓）SKLZ 07/16/2021 22.50 PUT@$4.20</b></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>SELL (to open) SKLZ 08/20/2021 22.50 PUT @ $5.50</b></li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1417a9a5e822d9bb64cbf94ac169ab00\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>卖出（开仓）SKLZ 08/20/2021 22.50 PUT@$5.50</b></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Skillz Is Likely To Be On The Reddit Menu<blockquote>Skillz可能会出现在Reddit菜单上</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSkillz Is Likely To Be On The Reddit Menu<blockquote>Skillz可能会出现在Reddit菜单上</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 10:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Skillz is growing rapidly, with the potential for sales to accelerate as the company enhances monetization and completes the Aarki acquisition.</li>  <li>The company enjoys fantastic margins which should lead to profitability without much struggle. Skillz has enough firepower to sustain several money-losing quarters without any dilution, regardless.</li>  <li>Additionally, the stock is position greatly for a short squeeze based on its technicals, at a time when the Reddit army is actively looking for such opportunities.</li>  <li>We are taking advantage of the increased volatility and high premiums to sell PUTs with the potential for massive returns.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17fc8399c8d3c4d438768450d993051e\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Geber86/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Skillz正在快速增长，随着公司加强货币化并完成对Aarki的收购，销售额有可能加速增长。</li><li>该公司享有惊人的利润率，这应该会毫不费力地实现盈利。无论如何，Skillz有足够的火力在没有任何稀释的情况下维持几个亏损季度。</li><li>此外，在Reddit大军正在积极寻找此类机会之际，根据其技术面，该股非常适合做空。</li><li>我们正在利用波动性增加和高溢价出售有可能获得巨额回报的看跌期权。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Geber86/E+来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If you have been paying attention to market news lately, you may have noticed the short squeeze frenzy caused by Reddit's Wall Street Bets community. Wall St. Bets Redditors have collectively bought stocks featuring a high short interest in bulk, shooting the so-called \"meme stocks\" to the skies and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>如果你最近一直在关注市场新闻，你可能已经注意到了Reddit华尔街押注社区引发的轧空狂潮。华尔街押注Reddit用户集体购买了大宗空头兴趣较高的股票，将所谓的“模因股票”推向了天空甚至更远的地方。</blockquote></p><p> Examples include the following stocks:</p><p><blockquote>示例包括以下股票：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(NASDAQ:BBBY)</li>  <li>BlackBerry(NYSE:BB)</li>  <li>Virgin Galactic(NYSE:SPCE)</li>  <li>Wendy's(NASDAQ:WEN)</li>  <li>Rocket Companies(NYSE:RKT)</li>  <li>ContextLogic(NASDAQ:WISH)</li>  <li>Palantir(NYSE:PLTR)</li>  <li>GameStop(NYSE:GME)</li> </ul> In this article, we want to share our thoughts on another highly shorted stock, Skillz (SKLZ), whose rapid growth and favorable technical indicators are likely to cause a short squeeze. This could send shares soaring in the short term as shorts begin purchasing stock in the panic of potentially higher losses.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Bed Bath&amp;Beyond（纳斯达克：BBBY）</li><li>黑莓（纽约证券交易所代码：BB）</li><li>维珍银河（纽约证券交易所代码：SPCE）</li><li>温蒂（纳斯达克：WEN）</li><li>火箭公司（纽约证券交易所代码：RKT）</li><li>ContextLogic（纳斯达克：WISH）</li><li>Palantir（纽约证券交易所代码：PLTR）</li><li>游戏驿站（纽约证券交易所代码：GME）</li></ul>在本文中，我们想分享我们对另一只被高度做空的股票Skillz（SKLZ）的想法，该股票的快速增长和有利的技术指标很可能会导致轧空。这可能会在短期内导致股价飙升，因为空头在潜在更高损失的恐慌中开始购买股票。</blockquote></p><p> The possibility that Skillz may become one of the next targets of the Wall Street Bets army due to its high short interest is certainly a welcome factor, though not one we necessarily rely on it.</p><p><blockquote>由于其高空头兴趣，Skillz可能成为华尔街押注大军的下一个目标之一，这当然是一个受欢迎的因素，尽管我们不一定依赖它。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, we won't go through Skillz's business model and growing ecosystem as many S.A. authors have already sufficiently explained the company's merits with great detail. Instead, let's examine why Skillz's growth rates and technical indicators are likely to cause a short squeeze and how we have set up our own position.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我们不会介绍Skillz的商业模式和不断增长的生态系统，因为许多S.A.作者已经非常详细地解释了该公司的优点。相反，让我们研究一下为什么Skillz的增长率和技术指标可能会导致轧空以及我们如何建立自己的头寸。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A rapidly growing company</b></p><p><blockquote><b>快速发展的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Skillz&nbsp;deliveredanother quarter of strong performance in Q1, achieving its 21st consecutive quarter of revenue growth. The company generated 92% of revenue growth year-over-year, primarily as a result of 81% growth in paying monthly active users. In addition, we want to highlight that revenue growth was much more substantial than the one achieved in Q1-2020 (67%), suggesting an acceleration.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz在第一季度又一个季度表现强劲，实现了连续21个季度的收入增长。该公司的收入同比增长了92%，主要是由于付费月活跃用户增长了81%。此外，我们想强调的是，收入增长比2020年第一季度的增长（67%）要强劲得多，这表明收入增长正在加速。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b50edacf11accd9b32fd5c3dc7b8e15\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\"><span>Source:Q1 Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第一季度演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Hence, the revenue growth projected by analysts over the next couple of years seems a bit gloomier than it should. Especially considering that the company has not even begun monetizing its non-paying users, which could accelerate revenue growth further if it decided to do so.</p><p><blockquote>因此，分析师预测的未来几年收入增长似乎比预期的要黯淡一些。特别是考虑到该公司甚至还没有开始将其非付费用户货币化，如果它决定这样做，可能会进一步加速收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65d2f8e90727958c83f790fa5f157ce4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"164\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>As a side note, not monetizing its non-paying users also speaks of two qualities by the company worth. First, Skillz does not attempt to squeeze every bit of extra revenue immediately after its public listing to impress investors quickly. Secondly, the companyoptimizesits marketing budget to acquire paying users, not installs. This is very distinct from other mobile gaming companies that monetize via advertising, mindlessly trying to attract the largest number of eyeballs possible. This tells us that the company is in it for the long term, executing thoughtfully.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>顺便说一句，不将非付费用户货币化也说明了该公司的两个品质。首先，Skillz并不试图在公开上市后立即榨取每一点额外收入来迅速打动投资者。其次，该公司优化营销预算以获取付费用户，而不是安装。这与其他通过广告赚钱的移动游戏公司非常不同，他们盲目地试图吸引尽可能多的眼球。这告诉我们，公司是长期的，执行周到。</i></blockquote></p><p> In any case, analyst expectations make little sense based on the company's current growth trajectory, and we expect sales growth to be more substantial. Moreover, sales growth becomes even more exciting when we consider the company's potential profitability powered by its ultra high-margin business model. The company enjoys gross margins of 94%, which indicates plenty of room for a rich bottom line as the company continues to scale.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，基于该公司目前的增长轨迹，分析师的预期意义不大，我们预计销售额增长将更加可观。此外，当我们考虑到该公司超高利润商业模式推动的潜在盈利能力时，销售增长变得更加令人兴奋。该公司的毛利率为94%，这表明随着公司规模的不断扩大，利润还有很大的空间。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f0ae33838bdd16f867917a1fe90d9c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\"><span>Source:Q1 results</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第一季度业绩</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Finally, the company ended the quarter with a strong balance sheet, including $613 million of cash. The company also recently struck a&nbsp;deal&nbsp;to acquire Aarki for $150 in cash and stock (another catalyst for accelerated revenue growth) as well). Thus, even if the whole company was to be acquired in cash only, Skillz would still have enough gun powder to sustain several quarters of losses (at its current run rate) without the need to raise extra funds.</p><p><blockquote>最后，该公司在本季度末拥有强劲的资产负债表，其中包括6.13亿美元的现金。该公司最近还达成了一项协议，以150美元的现金和股票收购Aarki（这也是收入加速增长的另一个催化剂）。因此，即使仅以现金收购整个公司，Skillz仍有足够的火药来维持几个季度的亏损（以目前的运营速度），而无需筹集额外资金。</blockquote></p><p> We hence don't expect any further dilution, which could support the short case amid the additional sale of shares. This, of course, does not include dilution resulting from more acquisitions, which are going to (hopefully) benefit the company financially, and in which case they are welcome.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们预计不会出现任何进一步的稀释，这可能会在额外出售股票的情况下支持做空情况。当然，这不包括更多收购导致的稀释，这些收购将（希望）使公司在财务上受益，在这种情况下，它们是受欢迎的。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, the company has no debt on its balance sheet to pressure its bottom line further. Considering the fat gross margins, it should not struggle to turn green if the company pursues the profitability road.</p><p><blockquote>最后，该公司的资产负债表上没有债务来进一步给其利润带来压力。考虑到丰厚的毛利率，如果公司追求盈利之路，应该不会很难实现绿色。</blockquote></p><p> When everything is taken into consideration, the stock could easily attract a higher valuation multiple. We believe that Skillz's revenue growth rate and juicy margins could easily support a P/S ratio of around 25, suggesting upside regardless of a possible short squeeze scenario.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑到所有因素时，该股票很容易吸引更高的估值倍数。我们认为，Skillz的收入增长率和丰厚的利润率可以轻松支撑25左右的市盈率，这表明无论可能出现轧空情况如何，都有上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bd7d35a8374e6800e160c33fa12607a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The technicals and our play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术和我们的发挥</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's move to the technicals, which, combined with Skillz's growth metrics and healthy financials, could result in a short interest decline in the short term.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们转向技术面，结合Skillz的增长指标和健康的财务状况，可能会导致短期内空头兴趣下降。</blockquote></p><p> Firstly, we chose to sell PUTs to take advantage of the stock's high volatility, which translates to higher premiums. By selling PUTs here, we are finding the optimum point between a low price (of the underlying stock) and the high volatility (normally, there is a trade-off between the two.)</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们选择卖出看跌期权以利用股票的高波动性，这意味着更高的溢价。通过在这里卖出看跌期权，我们找到了（标的股票的）低价和高波动性之间的最佳点（通常，两者之间存在权衡。）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5826ab6b6cddd6817a265b9bbcc01c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then we are checking most (in this case, all) the main (technical) boxes. One could argue that these don't guarantee anything, of course, but the technicals here are surely looking encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>然后，我们检查大多数（在本例中，所有）主要（技术）框。当然，有人可能会说这些并不能保证任何事情，但这里的技术面看起来确实令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7748749c82392cdecc305f45b2b008ea\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, we are checking the stock's short interest, which is peaking/has peaked.</p><p><blockquote>然后，我们正在检查该股票的空头利息，该利息正在见顶/已经见顶。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34ad6765006c4cc62f648a511949788b\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Everything combined creates the perfect setup for a short squeeze at a time when the Reddit army is attacking anything that looks like a potential.</p><p><blockquote>当Reddit大军正在攻击任何看起来有潜力的东西时，一切结合在一起，为空头挤压创造了完美的设置。</blockquote></p><p> However, we are always aiming for an additional margin of safety to mitigate our risk and narrow our total return expectations. By selling PUTs, we are not jumping in at all costs. Either making massive returns (see below) on these short-term options or buying the stock at a lower price while enhancing the predictability of our total returns.</p><p><blockquote>然而，我们始终致力于获得额外的安全边际，以降低风险并缩小总回报预期。通过卖出看跌期权，我们不会不惜一切代价买入。要么通过这些短期期权获得巨额回报（见下文），要么以较低的价格购买股票，同时提高我们总回报的可预测性。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the possible scenarios out of selling our PUTs:</p><p><blockquote>以下是出售看跌期权的可能情况：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>SELL (to open) SKLZ 07/16/2021 22.50 PUT @ $4.20</b></li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d112fde75fe80aa1197e23191c3885f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"433\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>卖出（开仓）SKLZ 07/16/2021 22.50 PUT@$4.20</b></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>SELL (to open) SKLZ 08/20/2021 22.50 PUT @ $5.50</b></li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1417a9a5e822d9bb64cbf94ac169ab00\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>卖出（开仓）SKLZ 08/20/2021 22.50 PUT@$5.50</b></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435106-skillz-stock-sklz-likely-on-reddit-menu\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SKLZ":"Skillz Inc"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435106-skillz-stock-sklz-likely-on-reddit-menu","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192239171","content_text":"Summary\n\nSkillz is growing rapidly, with the potential for sales to accelerate as the company enhances monetization and completes the Aarki acquisition.\nThe company enjoys fantastic margins which should lead to profitability without much struggle. Skillz has enough firepower to sustain several money-losing quarters without any dilution, regardless.\nAdditionally, the stock is position greatly for a short squeeze based on its technicals, at a time when the Reddit army is actively looking for such opportunities.\nWe are taking advantage of the increased volatility and high premiums to sell PUTs with the potential for massive returns.\n\nGeber86/E+ via Getty Images\nIf you have been paying attention to market news lately, you may have noticed the short squeeze frenzy caused by Reddit's Wall Street Bets community. Wall St. Bets Redditors have collectively bought stocks featuring a high short interest in bulk, shooting the so-called \"meme stocks\" to the skies and beyond.\nExamples include the following stocks:\n\nBed Bath & Beyond(NASDAQ:BBBY)\nBlackBerry(NYSE:BB)\nVirgin Galactic(NYSE:SPCE)\nWendy's(NASDAQ:WEN)\nRocket Companies(NYSE:RKT)\nContextLogic(NASDAQ:WISH)\nPalantir(NYSE:PLTR)\nGameStop(NYSE:GME)\n\nIn this article, we want to share our thoughts on another highly shorted stock, Skillz (SKLZ), whose rapid growth and favorable technical indicators are likely to cause a short squeeze. This could send shares soaring in the short term as shorts begin purchasing stock in the panic of potentially higher losses.\nThe possibility that Skillz may become one of the next targets of the Wall Street Bets army due to its high short interest is certainly a welcome factor, though not one we necessarily rely on it.\nIn this article, we won't go through Skillz's business model and growing ecosystem as many S.A. authors have already sufficiently explained the company's merits with great detail. Instead, let's examine why Skillz's growth rates and technical indicators are likely to cause a short squeeze and how we have set up our own position.\nA rapidly growing company\nSkillz deliveredanother quarter of strong performance in Q1, achieving its 21st consecutive quarter of revenue growth. The company generated 92% of revenue growth year-over-year, primarily as a result of 81% growth in paying monthly active users. In addition, we want to highlight that revenue growth was much more substantial than the one achieved in Q1-2020 (67%), suggesting an acceleration.\nSource:Q1 Presentation\nHence, the revenue growth projected by analysts over the next couple of years seems a bit gloomier than it should. Especially considering that the company has not even begun monetizing its non-paying users, which could accelerate revenue growth further if it decided to do so.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nAs a side note, not monetizing its non-paying users also speaks of two qualities by the company worth. First, Skillz does not attempt to squeeze every bit of extra revenue immediately after its public listing to impress investors quickly. Secondly, the companyoptimizesits marketing budget to acquire paying users, not installs. This is very distinct from other mobile gaming companies that monetize via advertising, mindlessly trying to attract the largest number of eyeballs possible. This tells us that the company is in it for the long term, executing thoughtfully.\nIn any case, analyst expectations make little sense based on the company's current growth trajectory, and we expect sales growth to be more substantial. Moreover, sales growth becomes even more exciting when we consider the company's potential profitability powered by its ultra high-margin business model. The company enjoys gross margins of 94%, which indicates plenty of room for a rich bottom line as the company continues to scale.\nSource:Q1 results\nFinally, the company ended the quarter with a strong balance sheet, including $613 million of cash. The company also recently struck a deal to acquire Aarki for $150 in cash and stock (another catalyst for accelerated revenue growth) as well). Thus, even if the whole company was to be acquired in cash only, Skillz would still have enough gun powder to sustain several quarters of losses (at its current run rate) without the need to raise extra funds.\nWe hence don't expect any further dilution, which could support the short case amid the additional sale of shares. This, of course, does not include dilution resulting from more acquisitions, which are going to (hopefully) benefit the company financially, and in which case they are welcome.\nFinally, the company has no debt on its balance sheet to pressure its bottom line further. Considering the fat gross margins, it should not struggle to turn green if the company pursues the profitability road.\nWhen everything is taken into consideration, the stock could easily attract a higher valuation multiple. We believe that Skillz's revenue growth rate and juicy margins could easily support a P/S ratio of around 25, suggesting upside regardless of a possible short squeeze scenario.\n\nThe technicals and our play\nNow, let's move to the technicals, which, combined with Skillz's growth metrics and healthy financials, could result in a short interest decline in the short term.\nFirstly, we chose to sell PUTs to take advantage of the stock's high volatility, which translates to higher premiums. By selling PUTs here, we are finding the optimum point between a low price (of the underlying stock) and the high volatility (normally, there is a trade-off between the two.)\n\nThen we are checking most (in this case, all) the main (technical) boxes. One could argue that these don't guarantee anything, of course, but the technicals here are surely looking encouraging.\n\nThen, we are checking the stock's short interest, which is peaking/has peaked.\nData byYCharts\nEverything combined creates the perfect setup for a short squeeze at a time when the Reddit army is attacking anything that looks like a potential.\nHowever, we are always aiming for an additional margin of safety to mitigate our risk and narrow our total return expectations. By selling PUTs, we are not jumping in at all costs. Either making massive returns (see below) on these short-term options or buying the stock at a lower price while enhancing the predictability of our total returns.\nHere are the possible scenarios out of selling our PUTs:\n\nSELL (to open) SKLZ 07/16/2021 22.50 PUT @ $4.20\n\nSource: Author\n\nSELL (to open) SKLZ 08/20/2021 22.50 PUT @ $5.50\n\nSource: Author","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SKLZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136100183,"gmtCreate":1621996966142,"gmtModify":1634184832430,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136100183","repostId":"1199977821","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199977821","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621994187,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199977821?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-26 09:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Virgin Galactic Stock Dropped 8.1% Tuesday<blockquote>为什么维珍银河股价周二下跌8.1%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199977821","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Volatility continues for the space tourism company.\n\nWhat happened\nShares of space tourism companyVi","content":"<p>  Volatility continues for the space tourism company.  <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote>这家太空旅游公司的波动仍在继续。<b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of space tourism company<b>Virgin Galactic</b>(NYSE:SPCE)dropped as much as 8.1% in trading on Tuesday following a day whenshares jumped 27.6%. At 1:30 p.m. EDT Tuesday, shares were down 6.2%.</p><p><blockquote>太空旅游公司股份<b>维珍银河</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SPCE）在周二交易中下跌8.1%，此前一天股价上涨27.6%。下午1:30美国东部时间周二，股价下跌6.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday's pop was driven by Virgin Galactic's successful space flight over the weekend following months of delays. There's no news out Tuesday, so thisgrowth stockis simply giving back some of the gains from yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>昨天的流行是由维珍银河在推迟了几个月后周末成功的太空飞行推动的。周二没有消息，因此这只成长型股票只是回吐了昨天的部分涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91d8b2aa1d911bb6974cc5572d9dd13b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> VIRGIN GALACTIC'S SPACECRAFT RETURNING TO EARTH. IMAGE SOURCE: VIRGIN GALACTIC.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河的飞船返回地球。图片来源：维珍银河。</blockquote></p><p> As essentially a pre-revenue company, Virgin Galactic is extremely speculative, and investors are grasping at any piece of news to determine where the company is going. Delays this spring caused the stock to drop, and then the latest successful space flight caused shares to rise. Don't be surprised if there are a lot of ups and downs for the company as it moves closer to commercial space flights with paying customers later this year.</p><p><blockquote>作为一家本质上尚未盈利的公司，维珍银河具有极强的投机性，投资者正在抓住任何消息来确定公司的发展方向。今年春天的延误导致股价下跌，然后最近一次成功的太空飞行导致股价上涨。如果该公司在今年晚些时候向付费客户的商业太空飞行靠拢，出现很多起伏，请不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> If you're a Virgin Galactic investor, like me, this is some of the volatility we can expect. As flights progress, the stock will likely be extremely volatile. But what's crucial will be how much revenue and profit the company can earn once it reaches maturity. That process will take years, and until then investors are in for a bumpy ride.</p><p><blockquote>如果你像我一样是维珍银河投资者，这是我们可以预期的一些波动。随着航班的进展，该股可能会极度波动。但关键的是公司成熟后能赚取多少收入和利润。这一过程将需要数年时间，在此之前，投资者将经历一段坎坷的旅程。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Virgin Galactic Stock Dropped 8.1% Tuesday<blockquote>为什么维珍银河股价周二下跌8.1%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Virgin Galactic Stock Dropped 8.1% Tuesday<blockquote>为什么维珍银河股价周二下跌8.1%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-26 09:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Volatility continues for the space tourism company.  <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote>这家太空旅游公司的波动仍在继续。<b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of space tourism company<b>Virgin Galactic</b>(NYSE:SPCE)dropped as much as 8.1% in trading on Tuesday following a day whenshares jumped 27.6%. At 1:30 p.m. EDT Tuesday, shares were down 6.2%.</p><p><blockquote>太空旅游公司股份<b>维珍银河</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SPCE）在周二交易中下跌8.1%，此前一天股价上涨27.6%。下午1:30美国东部时间周二，股价下跌6.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday's pop was driven by Virgin Galactic's successful space flight over the weekend following months of delays. There's no news out Tuesday, so thisgrowth stockis simply giving back some of the gains from yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>昨天的流行是由维珍银河在推迟了几个月后周末成功的太空飞行推动的。周二没有消息，因此这只成长型股票只是回吐了昨天的部分涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91d8b2aa1d911bb6974cc5572d9dd13b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> VIRGIN GALACTIC'S SPACECRAFT RETURNING TO EARTH. IMAGE SOURCE: VIRGIN GALACTIC.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河的飞船返回地球。图片来源：维珍银河。</blockquote></p><p> As essentially a pre-revenue company, Virgin Galactic is extremely speculative, and investors are grasping at any piece of news to determine where the company is going. Delays this spring caused the stock to drop, and then the latest successful space flight caused shares to rise. Don't be surprised if there are a lot of ups and downs for the company as it moves closer to commercial space flights with paying customers later this year.</p><p><blockquote>作为一家本质上尚未盈利的公司，维珍银河具有极强的投机性，投资者正在抓住任何消息来确定公司的发展方向。今年春天的延误导致股价下跌，然后最近一次成功的太空飞行导致股价上涨。如果该公司在今年晚些时候向付费客户的商业太空飞行靠拢，出现很多起伏，请不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> If you're a Virgin Galactic investor, like me, this is some of the volatility we can expect. As flights progress, the stock will likely be extremely volatile. But what's crucial will be how much revenue and profit the company can earn once it reaches maturity. That process will take years, and until then investors are in for a bumpy ride.</p><p><blockquote>如果你像我一样是维珍银河投资者，这是我们可以预期的一些波动。随着航班的进展，该股可能会极度波动。但关键的是公司成熟后能赚取多少收入和利润。这一过程将需要数年时间，在此之前，投资者将经历一段坎坷的旅程。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/25/why-virgin-galactic-stock-dropped-81-today/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPCE":"维珍银河"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/25/why-virgin-galactic-stock-dropped-81-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199977821","content_text":"Volatility continues for the space tourism company.\n\nWhat happened\nShares of space tourism companyVirgin Galactic(NYSE:SPCE)dropped as much as 8.1% in trading on Tuesday following a day whenshares jumped 27.6%. At 1:30 p.m. EDT Tuesday, shares were down 6.2%.\nSo what\nYesterday's pop was driven by Virgin Galactic's successful space flight over the weekend following months of delays. There's no news out Tuesday, so thisgrowth stockis simply giving back some of the gains from yesterday.\n\nVIRGIN GALACTIC'S SPACECRAFT RETURNING TO EARTH. IMAGE SOURCE: VIRGIN GALACTIC.\nAs essentially a pre-revenue company, Virgin Galactic is extremely speculative, and investors are grasping at any piece of news to determine where the company is going. Delays this spring caused the stock to drop, and then the latest successful space flight caused shares to rise. Don't be surprised if there are a lot of ups and downs for the company as it moves closer to commercial space flights with paying customers later this year.\nNow what\nIf you're a Virgin Galactic investor, like me, this is some of the volatility we can expect. As flights progress, the stock will likely be extremely volatile. But what's crucial will be how much revenue and profit the company can earn once it reaches maturity. That process will take years, and until then investors are in for a bumpy ride.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPCE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195838776,"gmtCreate":1621268945895,"gmtModify":1634192885915,"author":{"id":"3557149694723733","authorId":"3557149694723733","name":"ZhengDe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594b73908b38c8292bfb94c979249bc7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557149694723733","idStr":"3557149694723733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195838776","repostId":"1162214808","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}