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2021-08-09

nice

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2021-08-05

good

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2021-08-04

good

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2021-08-02

good

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2021-07-30

gooood

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2021-07-29

good

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2021-07-29

good

Bit Digital Popped nearly 50% to trigger fusing<blockquote>Bit Digital 暴涨近 50% 触发融合</blockquote>

2021-07-27

good

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2021-07-26

wow

GameStop: The Game Is Far From Over<blockquote>游戏驿站：比赛远未结束</blockquote>

2021-07-24

good

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2021-07-18

goooood

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2021-07-13

good

Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数以微弱劣势错失首次收盘价 35,000 点，但所有 3 个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创纪录收盘</blockquote>

2021-07-13

good

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2021-07-10

good

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2021-07-09

like and comment

5 Blue Chip Stocks to Buy With Huge Dividends as Interest Rates Plunge<blockquote>利率暴跌时值得购买的 5 只巨额股息蓝筹股</blockquote>

2021-07-06

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What Does the End of the Quarter Mean for Portfolio Management?<blockquote>季度末对投资组合管理意味着什么？</blockquote>

2021-07-04

like anc comment

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2021-07-04

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Why high-quality, trustworthy companies have beaten the S&P 500 by 30%-50%<blockquote>为什么高质量、值得信赖的公司击败标普500 30%-50%</blockquote>

2021-07-04

goood

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2021-07-03

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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627487094,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1134561674?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 23:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bit Digital Popped nearly 50% to trigger fusing<blockquote>Bit Digital 暴涨近 50% 触发融合</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134561674","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Bit Digital Popped nearly 50% to trigger fusing in Wednesday morning trading.\n\nBit Digital, Inc. and","content":"<p>Bit Digital Popped nearly 50% to trigger fusing&nbsp;in Wednesday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Bit Digital 在周三早盘交易中上涨近 50%，引发融合。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3b480bd525e488c041a9b1a6ac3e963\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Bit Digital, Inc. and Digihost Technology Inc. are pleased to announce that the Companies have entered into a second strategic co-mining agreement.&nbsp;Pursuant to the terms of the Agreement, Digihost will provide certain premises&nbsp;to Bit Digital for the operation of a 100 MW Bitcoin mining system&nbsp;to be delivered by Bit Digital for a term of two years.&nbsp;This expanded collaboration between Digihost and Bit Digital is expected to facilitate an additional increase in hashrate of approximately 2 EH between the companies, and a total increase in hashrate between the two companies of approximately 2.4 EH including the initial collaboration agreement that was previously announced onJune 10, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Bit Digital，Inc.和Digihost Technology Inc.很高兴地宣布，两家公司已经签订了第二份战略联合采矿协议。根据协议条款，Digihost将向Bit Digital提供一定的场所，用于Bit Digital交付的100兆瓦比特币采矿系统的运营，为期两年。Digihost和Bit Digital之间的这种扩大合作预计将促进两家公司之间的算力额外增加约2 EH，两家公司之间的算力总增加约2.4 EH，包括之前于2021年6月10日宣布的初始合作协议。</blockquote></p><p> Under the terms of the Agreement, Digihost will provide power and management services for the operation of the Miners. In consideration for these services, after paying Digihost a competitive rate for power, Digihost and Bit Digital will participate in a profit-sharing arrangement based on a fixed distribution formula.&nbsp;It is expected that the Miners will be delivered and installed beginning inJanuary 2022.</p><p><blockquote>根据协议条款，Digihost 将为矿工的运营提供电力和管理服务。考虑到这些服务，在向Digihost支付有竞争力的电价后，Digihost和Bit Digital将参与基于固定分配公式的利润分享安排。预计矿机将于2022年1月开始交付和安装。</blockquote></p><p> Bryan Bullett, Bit Digital's CEO, stated: \"By signing this agreement,we believe that Bit Digital has secured power and hosting sufficient to complete the migration of our current fleet toNorth Americain full, and additional capacity to accommodate expected miner purchases. As previously announced, we anticipate significant purchase activity in the coming months, due to spot market dislocation inChinaand our unique access to that market. This agreement with Digihost secures a key component of activating this opportunity, and is expected to enable rapid deployment of newly purchased miners. We are delighted to build on our existing collaboration with Digihost, and look forward to continued successes together.\"</p><p><blockquote>Bit Digital 首席执行官 Bryan Bullett 表示：“通过签署该协议，我们相信 Bit Digital 已获得足够的电力和托管，以完成我们当前车队向北美的全面迁移，并拥有额外的容量来满足预期的矿商采购。正如之前宣布的，由于中国现货市场混乱以及我们进入该市场的独特机会，我们预计未来几个月将出现大量采购活动。与 Digihost 的这项协议确保了激活这一机会的关键组成部分，并有望实现新购买的矿机的快速部署。我们很高兴在与 Digihost 现有合作的基础上再接再厉，并期待共同取得成功。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bit Digital Popped nearly 50% to trigger fusing<blockquote>Bit Digital 暴涨近 50% 触发融合</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBit Digital Popped nearly 50% to trigger fusing<blockquote>Bit Digital 暴涨近 50% 触发融合</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-28 23:44</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bit Digital Popped nearly 50% to trigger fusing&nbsp;in Wednesday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Bit Digital 在周三早盘交易中上涨近 50%，引发融合。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3b480bd525e488c041a9b1a6ac3e963\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Bit Digital, Inc. and Digihost Technology Inc. are pleased to announce that the Companies have entered into a second strategic co-mining agreement.&nbsp;Pursuant to the terms of the Agreement, Digihost will provide certain premises&nbsp;to Bit Digital for the operation of a 100 MW Bitcoin mining system&nbsp;to be delivered by Bit Digital for a term of two years.&nbsp;This expanded collaboration between Digihost and Bit Digital is expected to facilitate an additional increase in hashrate of approximately 2 EH between the companies, and a total increase in hashrate between the two companies of approximately 2.4 EH including the initial collaboration agreement that was previously announced onJune 10, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Bit Digital，Inc.和Digihost Technology Inc.很高兴地宣布，两家公司已经签订了第二份战略联合采矿协议。根据协议条款，Digihost将向Bit Digital提供一定的场所，用于Bit Digital交付的100兆瓦比特币采矿系统的运营，为期两年。Digihost和Bit Digital之间的这种扩大合作预计将促进两家公司之间的算力额外增加约2 EH，两家公司之间的算力总增加约2.4 EH，包括之前于2021年6月10日宣布的初始合作协议。</blockquote></p><p> Under the terms of the Agreement, Digihost will provide power and management services for the operation of the Miners. In consideration for these services, after paying Digihost a competitive rate for power, Digihost and Bit Digital will participate in a profit-sharing arrangement based on a fixed distribution formula.&nbsp;It is expected that the Miners will be delivered and installed beginning inJanuary 2022.</p><p><blockquote>根据协议条款，Digihost 将为矿工的运营提供电力和管理服务。考虑到这些服务，在向Digihost支付有竞争力的电价后，Digihost和Bit Digital将参与基于固定分配公式的利润分享安排。预计矿机将于2022年1月开始交付和安装。</blockquote></p><p> Bryan Bullett, Bit Digital's CEO, stated: \"By signing this agreement,we believe that Bit Digital has secured power and hosting sufficient to complete the migration of our current fleet toNorth Americain full, and additional capacity to accommodate expected miner purchases. As previously announced, we anticipate significant purchase activity in the coming months, due to spot market dislocation inChinaand our unique access to that market. This agreement with Digihost secures a key component of activating this opportunity, and is expected to enable rapid deployment of newly purchased miners. We are delighted to build on our existing collaboration with Digihost, and look forward to continued successes together.\"</p><p><blockquote>Bit Digital 首席执行官 Bryan Bullett 表示：“通过签署该协议，我们相信 Bit Digital 已获得足够的电力和托管，以完成我们当前车队向北美的全面迁移，并拥有额外的容量来满足预期的矿商采购。正如之前宣布的，由于中国现货市场混乱以及我们进入该市场的独特机会，我们预计未来几个月将出现大量采购活动。与 Digihost 的这项协议确保了激活这一机会的关键组成部分，并有望实现新购买的矿机的快速部署。我们很高兴在与 Digihost 现有合作的基础上再接再厉，并期待共同取得成功。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134561674","content_text":"Bit Digital Popped nearly 50% to trigger fusing in Wednesday morning trading.\n\nBit Digital, Inc. and Digihost Technology Inc. are pleased to announce that the Companies have entered into a second strategic co-mining agreement. Pursuant to the terms of the Agreement, Digihost will provide certain premises to Bit Digital for the operation of a 100 MW Bitcoin mining system to be delivered by Bit Digital for a term of two years. This expanded collaboration between Digihost and Bit Digital is expected to facilitate an additional increase in hashrate of approximately 2 EH between the companies, and a total increase in hashrate between the two companies of approximately 2.4 EH including the initial collaboration agreement that was previously announced onJune 10, 2021.\nUnder the terms of the Agreement, Digihost will provide power and management services for the operation of the Miners. In consideration for these services, after paying Digihost a competitive rate for power, Digihost and Bit Digital will participate in a profit-sharing arrangement based on a fixed distribution formula. It is expected that the Miners will be delivered and installed beginning inJanuary 2022.\nBryan Bullett, Bit Digital's CEO, stated: \"By signing this agreement,we believe that Bit Digital has secured power and hosting sufficient to complete the migration of our current fleet toNorth Americain full, and additional capacity to accommodate expected miner purchases. As previously announced, we anticipate significant purchase activity in the coming months, due to spot market dislocation inChinaand our unique access to that market. This agreement with Digihost secures a key component of activating this opportunity, and is expected to enable rapid deployment of newly purchased miners. We are delighted to build on our existing collaboration with Digihost, and look forward to continued successes together.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BTBT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800769893,"gmtCreate":1627321821512,"gmtModify":1631891027967,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good&nbsp;","listText":"good&nbsp;","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800769893","repostId":"1168855141","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177270343,"gmtCreate":1627229253882,"gmtModify":1631891027982,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow&nbsp;","listText":"wow&nbsp;","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177270343","repostId":"1107345366","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107345366","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627176839,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107345366?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 09:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop: The Game Is Far From Over<blockquote>游戏驿站：比赛远未结束</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107345366","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce pla","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>GameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce player.</li>  <li>We think the company may possibly be at an inflection point, if the management team is able to successfully execute its new e-commerce pivot.</li>  <li>In addition, we exhort the bears to pay special attention to the Reddit community, given its growing user base and influence in their investors' decision-making process.</li>  <li>While we don't have a position in GameStop, we don't think the game is over for the company.</li> </ul> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>游戏驿站已经进行了自我改造，逐步成为一个主要的电子商务公司。</li><li>我们认为，如果管理团队能够成功执行其新的电子商务支点，该公司可能正处于拐点。</li><li>此外，鉴于 Reddit 社区不断增长的用户群及其对投资者决策过程的影响力，我们建议空头特别关注该社区。</li><li>虽然我们在游戏驿站没有立足之地，但我们认为公司的游戏还没有结束。</li></ul><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> The speculation fervor behind GameStop’s (GME) meteoric rise to the stratospheric levels of $480 per share last seen in Jan has subsided significantly, as the stock last traded at the $178 price level, a 63% decline from the ATH reached during the January mania.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站（GME）在 1 月份飙升至每股 480 美元的平流层水平，其背后的投机热情已大大消退，因为该股最后一次交易价格为 178 美元，比 1 月份狂热期间的 ATH 下跌了 63%。</blockquote></p><p> While we agree to a large extent with the Street’s valuation opinion, that this stock seems to be significantly overvalued (The Street’s mean target price is $37.5), we would also like to highlight that we don’t think we presently have a valuation model that can comprehensively incorporate the underlying factors driving the company’s stock price, and therefore would not boldly proclaim to investors who have an interest in meme stocks, to stay away from GME.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们在很大程度上同意华尔街的估值意见，即这只股票似乎被严重高估了（华尔街的平均目标价为 37.5 美元），但我们也想强调的是，我们认为目前还没有一个能够全面纳入推动公司股价的潜在因素的估值模型，因此不会大胆地向对 meme 股票感兴趣的投资者宣布远离 GME。</blockquote></p><p> We thinkeMarketerdelineated in this recent piece in June, what factors they thought could have driven the underlying demand behind meme stocks in Reddit forums like GME:</p><p><blockquote>我们认为 Marketer 在 6 月份最近的一篇文章中概述了他们认为哪些因素可能推动了 GME 等 Reddit 论坛上 meme 股票背后的潜在需求：</blockquote></p><p>   Punishing short sellers. Clover Health (CLOV) short-sellers, who believed the stock was overvalued, were down $438 million in mark-to-market losses. GameStop short sellers lost over $5 billion.Perplexing the markets “for the memes”—i.e., it’s just funny. Reddit posts on r/WallStreetBets highlight how members make seemingly irrational investment decisions for the joy of duping financial institutions.Pump and dump. The artificially inflated share prices can maximize profit for the lucky few who invest early.  We think investors who have been schooled in fundamental analysis would never be able to develop models that could fully factor in the above, as these investors think the long term value of stocks are driven by the long term strength and the competitive moat of their underlying businesses, but not with the \"ludicrous\" methods adopted by the Redditors in the way they analyze stocks.</p><p><blockquote>惩罚卖空者。Clover Health (CLOV) 卖空者认为该股被高估，按市值计算损失减少了 4.38 亿美元。游戏驿站卖空者损失了超过 50 亿美元。让市场感到困惑 “迷惑”--也就是说，这只是有趣的。r/WallStreetBets 上的 Reddit 帖子强调了会员如何为了杜平金融机构的喜悦而做出看似非理性的投资决策。人为膨胀的股价可以让早期投资的少数幸运儿实现利润最大化。我们认为，接受过基本面分析培训的投资者永远无法开发出能够充分考虑上述因素的模型，因为这些投资者认为股票的长期价值是由其基础业务的长期实力和竞争护城河驱动的，但不是Redditors在分析股票时采用的“可笑”方法。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, we dive deeper to look at the key fundamental drivers underpinning GME's business, and how we think the Reddit community's participation and influence in meme stocks like GME would continue to disrupt the valuation outlook for the company moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我们将更深入地了解支撑 GME 业务的关键基本驱动因素，以及我们认为 Reddit 社区对 GME 等模因股票的参与和影响将如何继续扰乱该公司未来的估值前景。</blockquote></p><p> What Has Changed for GameStop since the January Mania?</p><p><blockquote>自一月狂热以来，游戏驿站发生了什么变化？</blockquote></p><p> GME recently appointed2 key veteranexecutives from Amazon (AMZN): Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its CEO and CFO, respectively, as part of Chairman Ryan Cohen's strategic revamp of GME's business model to pivot towards becoming a major \"e-commerce powerhouse.\"</p><p><blockquote>GME 最近任命了亚马逊 (AMZN) 的两名资深高管：Matt Furlong 和 Mike Recupero 分别担任首席执行官和首席财务官，这是董事长 Ryan Cohen 对 GME 商业模式进行战略改造的一部分，旨在转向成为主要的“电子商务巨头”。</blockquote></p><p> While the guidance from the new management may have been sparse so far, the team has certainly gotten down to work quickly, to put in place the necessary building blocks to gradually move GME into a major e-commerce player, as they have started to expand itsfulfillment centers, with two new recent facilities in Reno, Nevada and York, Pennsylvania, that have given the company a total capacity of more than 1.2M square feet.</p><p><blockquote>虽然到目前为止，新管理层的指导可能很少，但团队肯定已经迅速着手工作，建立必要的基础，逐步将GME转变为主要的电子商务公司，因为他们已经开始扩大其履行中心，最近在内华达州里诺和宾夕法尼亚州约克新建了两个设施，使该公司的总产能超过120万平方英尺。</blockquote></p><p> Ryan Cohen has also made it clear that the company wouldn't be specifying intricate details on its overhaul plans to its competitors, but instead appealing to investors to judge the team on their actions, as he emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>瑞安·科恩 (Ryan Cohen) 还明确表示，公司不会向竞争对手详细说明其检修计划的复杂细节，而是呼吁投资者根据团队的行动来评判团队，他强调：</blockquote></p><p>   You won’t find ustalking a big game, making a bunch of lofty promises or telegraphing our strategy to the competition...We have a lot of work in front of us. Moving forward, we want you to judge GameStop based on our actions -- not our words.  However, the Street was hardly convinced with Ryan Cohen or the company’s strategy, asWedbush Securitiesarticulated recently: “I think it got away from him. I think his ego’s gotten in the way and now he's going to prove [to] everybody [that he] knows what he's doing. If there [was] a strategy, it's shocking that he hasn't told us. We were supposed to hear about this five months ago. What is such a secret?”</p><p><blockquote>你不会发现我们在谈论一个大游戏，做出一堆崇高的承诺，或者向竞争对手传达我们的战略....我们面前有很多工作要做。展望未来，我们希望你们根据我们的行动而不是我们的言语来评判游戏驿站。然而，正如 WedBush Securities 最近所阐述的那样，华尔街几乎不相信瑞安-科恩或公司的战略： “我认为这已经从他身上溜走了。我认为他的自尊心挡住了去路，现在他要向所有人证明（他）知道自己在做什么。如果说有什么策略，那他竟然没有告诉我们，真是令人震惊。我们五个月前就应该听说了。这是什么秘密？”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/213a840d218039b67bebc984532ecf5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Quarterly revenues. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>季度收入。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c46f7322b39c6468f6929c1fd414921b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM revenue. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM收入。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We could observe that the company seems to have been able to arrest the declining trend in its revenue in Q4'21 and Q1'22 (GME defines its FY differently from its CY), which took place well before the new management was in place. The company's Q4'21 revenue of $2.12B was its strong quarter over the last 3 years, while Q1'22's revenue grew 25% YoY. Therefore, when we plotted it over an LTM basis, we think that there's hope over the horizon, that perhaps the new management team may have an encouraging start, in the company's quest to become an important e-commerce competitor. We think investors should continue monitoring this space closely, especially on the build-up of the company's fulfillment centers, which is highly integral towards its e-commerce ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以观察到，该公司似乎已经能够在 21 年第四季度和 22 年第一季度阻止收入下降的趋势（GME 对其财年的定义与其 CY 不同），这发生在新管理层到位之前很久。该公司 21 年第四季度的收入为 $2.12B，是过去 3 年的强劲季度，而 22 年第一季度的收入同比增长 25%。因此，当我们在 LTM 基础上绘制它时，我们认为在地平线上有希望，也许新的管理团队在公司寻求成为重要的电子商务竞争对手的过程中可能会有一个令人鼓舞的开端。我们认为投资者应继续密切关注这一领域，特别是该公司履行中心的建设，这对于其电子商务雄心至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> LTM EBIT margins trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p><blockquote>LTM EBIT 利润率趋势。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</blockquote></p><p> While the company's EBIT margin trend has certainly been of major concern, we think this is an area certainly worth watching, as yet again we observed an improvement in the LTM trend, as the company posted an LTM EBIT margin of -3.5% in Q1'22, as compared to its LTM EBIT margin of -4.9% in Q4'21. While we don't think the company is out of the woods yet, but we think the company may have stopped the rot, at least for now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然该公司的息税前利润率趋势无疑是一个值得关注的领域，但我们认为这是一个值得关注的领域，因为我们再次观察到 LTM 趋势有所改善，因为该公司公布的 LTM 息税前利润率为 -3.5% 2022 年第一季度，而 LTM 息税前利润率为 -4.9%。虽然我们认为该公司还没有走出困境，但我们认为该公司可能已经停止了腐烂，至少目前是这样。</blockquote></p><p> Debt to Equity Ratio. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>债务股本比率。来源：Simply Wall St</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eaacbe2d43de887038c30e9ab4bcfa2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM Levered FCF margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM 杠杆 FCF 保证金。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company has also astutely capitalized on its share price to completetwo equity offeringsto buttress its balance sheet. As a result, the company's debt to equity ratio has improved significantly to 5.5%, with a debt balance of just $48.1M, while having a cash and ST investments balance of $694.7M (as of 1 May 21, before both equity offerings which raised a total of $1.677B, and before paring down of debt). In addition, the company has also never really been bleeding cash, as its levered FCF margins trend has always been relatively healthy while having also improved its LTM levered FCF margin at the recent quarter to 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还巧妙地利用其股价完成了两次股权发行，以支撑其资产负债表。因此，该公司的债务股本比率已显着改善至5.5%，债务余额仅为4810万美元，而现金和ST投资余额为6.947亿美元（截至21年5月1日，在两次股权发行之前，共筹集了1.677亿美元，在削减债务之前）。此外，该公司也从未真正流失过现金，因为其杠杆自由现金流利润率趋势一直相对健康，同时最近一个季度还将其 LTM 杠杆自由现金流利润率提高到 1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think GME looks well-positioned to take advantage of its strategic overhaul towards its new e-commerce pivot if the management can successfully execute moving forward. While we are not too sure at this point on the roadmap ahead for GME, the Reddit community seems to be ready to continue supporting this company, as we shall go into detail how the Reddit community would continue to be a highly important force to be reckoned with, in their quest to bolster the stock price of the company, such that even Ryan Cohen made it a point to pay a special tribute to the Reddit community:</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为，如果管理层能够成功推进，GME 看起来处于有利地位，可以利用其新的电子商务支点的战略改革。虽然我们目前对 GME 的未来路线图还不太确定，但 Reddit 社区似乎已准备好继续支持这家公司，因为我们将详细介绍 Reddit 社区如何继续成为一股非常重要的力量，在他们寻求提振公司股价的过程中，甚至连 Ryan Cohen 都特意向 Reddit 社区致敬：</blockquote></p><p>   We’re fortunateto have such a special group of investors holding the company’s shares, you guys inspire us to think bigger, fight harder and work longer each day.  <b>The Reddit Community Grew by 25.9% in 2020</b></p><p><blockquote>我们很幸运有这样一群特殊的投资者持有公司股票，你们每天都激励我们想得更远、更努力、更长时间。<b>Reddit社区在2020年增长了25.9%</b></blockquote></p><p> US social network user growth, by platform 2020 &amp; 2021. Source:eMarketer</p><p><blockquote>2020年和2021年美国社交网络用户增长。来源：eMarketer</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to observe that Reddit posted highly remarkable growth in 2020, as users on its platform grew by 25.9% YoY, andeMarketeralso expects the Reddit community to grow by 14.4% in 2021, to reach 43.3M users. We think the increasing popularity towards the adoption of Reddit would continue to sustain investors' interest in meme stocks like GME, moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够观察到 Reddit 在 2020 年实现了非常显着的增长，其平台上的用户同比增长 25.9%，Marketer 还预计 Reddit 社区在 2021 年将增长 14.4%，达到 4330 万用户。我们认为，Reddit 越来越受欢迎，这将继续维持投资者对 GME 等模因股票的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f886ecf993efe35532771c132d94a6a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Population distribution in the US in 2019, by generation. Data source: US Census Bureau</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2019年美国人口分布，按世代划分。数据来源：美国人口普查局</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We believe that Reddit has certainly benefited from the secular drivers underpinning digitization, which has also led to significant growth and popularity in trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), where theaverage agein 2020 is 31 years old. This puts the average age of Robinhood users right within the age group of the Millennials, who were born between 1981 and 1996 (25 to 40 years old), and accounted for 21.97% of the US population, based on the 2019 census.</p><p><blockquote>我们相信，Reddit 无疑受益于支撑数字化的长期驱动因素，这也导致了 Robinhood (HOOD) 等交易平台的显着增长和受欢迎程度，该平台 2020 年的平均年龄为 31 岁。根据2019年的人口普查，这使得Robinhood用户的平均年龄正好在千禧一代的年龄组内，千禧一代出生于1981年至1996年之间（25至40岁），占美国人口的21.97%。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, we could also observe that Millennial investors are interested in stocks that are not the “safe and steady” stocks that a typical investor is expected to hold if I could put it that way. We don’t think valuations form the most important considerations to these investors as we could observe from the above.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，我们还可以观察到，千禧一代投资者对股票感兴趣，而这些股票并不是典型投资者应该持有的 “安全稳定 ”股票。从上文可以看出，我们认为估值并不是这些投资者最重要的考虑因素。</blockquote></p><p> According to a report byApex Clearing, Tesla (TSLA) formed the largest holdings of their Millennials portfolio in Q1’21, with a 28.3% share, a stock that we think investors would not typically say it’s cheap. While AAPL was the second-largest holding with a 14.5% share, GME also rounded up the top 4 with a 5.2% share, lending support to our opinion that Millennial investors’ motivations are driven by factors beyond just fundamentals and valuations.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Apex Clearing 的一份报告，特斯拉（TSLA）在 21 年第一季度的千禧一代投资组合中持股最多，持股比例为 28.3%，我们认为投资者通常不会说这只股票便宜。AAPL 以 14.5% 的份额位居第二，而 GME 也以 5.2% 的份额位居前四，这支持了我们的观点，即千禧一代投资者的动机不仅仅是基本面和估值。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Among the holdings in the Millennials portfolio, we could observe many other examples that corroborate these investors' interests in premium stocks, like Nvidia (NVDA), another meme stock like AMC Entertainment (AMC), Churchill Capital Corp (CCIV), its third-largest holding; Nio (NIO), Palantir (PLTR), and even Square (SQ), stocks we think investors would not typically ascribe as value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在千禧一代投资组合中的持股中，我们可以观察到许多其他例子，这些例子证实了这些投资者对优质股票的兴趣，例如英伟达 (NVDA)、AMC院线 (AMC) 等另一只模因股票、丘吉尔资本公司 (CCIV)，其第三大持股；蔚来（蔚来）、Palantir（PLTR），甚至 Square（SQ），我们认为投资者通常不会将这些股票归类为价值股。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think the general investor community needs to understand that there’s a huge and growing base of investors whose understanding and expectations of fundamentals and valuations are certainly quite different from what our typical valuation models could account for.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为广大投资者群体需要明白，有大量且不断增长的投资者群体，他们对基本面和估值的理解和期望肯定与我们典型的估值模型所能解释的大相径庭。</blockquote></p><p> We think the market is definitely bigger and much more complex than what we know, and it’s just not possible to use the same fundamental analysis and valuation methods to value meme stocks like GME and say that they are way overvalued, a process that we honestly think is quite meaningless in the world of meme stocks investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为，这个市场肯定比我们所知道的要大得多，也复杂得多，只是不可能用同样的基本面分析和估值方法对 GME 这样的 meme 股票进行估值，然后说它们被高估了，老实说，我们认为这个过程在 meme 股票投资领域毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Analyzing the Reddit Opinion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析 Reddit 意见</b></blockquote></p><p> Individual investors’ opinion on Reddit after GameStop short squeeze in the US, UK, and Canada as of Feb 21, by age. Data source:Brunswick</p><p><blockquote>截至 2 月 21 日，游戏驿站在美国、英国和加拿大做空后，Reddit 上个人投资者的看法（按年龄划分）。数据来源：布伦瑞克</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey by Brunswick, we could observe the importance of the Reddit forums as an investment tool for investors, especially among the younger investors within the age group of 18-29 years old. About 14% of all investors “trust Reddit as a media alternative,” and the share even shot up to 31% among the younger investors. In addition, a good proportion (25%) of the younger investors also took part in the GME opportunities, while 20% of them think that the GME events “represent a fundamental shift of power in the market.” While these opinions may belong within the minority of investors, we think the proportion of investors is certainly large enough to raise the eyebrows of the general investment community, and therefore we think the power of the Reddit forums is certainly a force to be reckoned with moving ahead.</p><p><blockquote>根据Brunswick的一项调查，我们可以观察到Reddit论坛作为投资者投资工具的重要性，尤其是在18-29岁年龄组的年轻投资者中。约 14% 的投资者 “相信 Reddit 是一种媒体替代品”，在年轻投资者中，这一比例甚至飙升至 31%。此外，相当比例（25%）的年轻投资者也参加了 GME 机会，而 20% 的年轻投资者认为 GME 活动 “代表了市场力量的根本性转移”。虽然这些观点可能属于少数投资者，但我们认为投资者的比例肯定大到足以引起一般投资界的惊讶，因此我们认为Reddit论坛的力量肯定是前进中不可忽视的力量。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa3108c1a56bc4c6221a4d8297e018d3\" tg-width=\"826\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Share of institutional investors using Reddit to investigate an issue in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>使用 Reddit 调查美国、英国和加拿大问题的机构投资者比例。数据来源：布伦瑞克</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e72f250f4fe70ca9af575b6828bace0d\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Average trust score assigned by institutional investors to Reddit in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大机构投资者对 Reddit 的平均信任得分。数据来源：布伦瑞克</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe Reddit’s increasing influence even among institutional investors, as 27% of them used Reddit to “investigate an issue”, which increased discernibly from the previous years, even though their trust in the platform dropped markedly from an average score of 3.5 in 2019 to 2.0 in 2021. We think this shows that institutional investors consider Reddit’s increasing influence in the general investment community’s decision-making process, but they don’t trust those things going on in those forums as meaningful enough for their \"well-developed\" processes, as compared to individual investors shown earlier.</p><p><blockquote>即使在机构投资者中，我们也可以观察到 Reddit 的影响力越来越大，因为 27% 的机构投资者使用 Reddit 来 “调查问题”，尽管他们对该平台的信任度从 2019 年的平均得分 3.5 分明显下降到 2021 年的 2.0 分，但这一比例比前几年有了明显增加。我们认为，这表明机构投资者认为 Reddit 在一般投资界决策过程中的影响力越来越大，但与前面显示的个人投资者相比，他们并不认为这些论坛上发生的事情对他们 “发达 ”的过程有足够的意义。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a87f8665c27d127566189bd21a035158\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"591\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional investors' attitude towards members of the Reddit wallstreetbets community. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构投资者对 Reddit wallstreetbets 社区成员的态度。数据来源：布伦瑞克</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While 48% of institutional investors think that the Redditors “might have a short term influence, but they won’t be able to sustain it,” 27% developed some curiosity regarding Reddit influence among the investors’ community, and 13% of them developed some form of respect for the way the Redditors were able to amass an army to outgun some of Wall Street’s brightest minds. We were therefore not surprised to find that 20% of these institutional investors were frustrated with what they considered as “market manipulation” by the Redditors.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 48% 的机构投资者认为 Redditors “可能会有短期影响力，但他们无法维持”，但 27% 的机构投资者对 Redditors 在投资者群体中的影响力产生了一些好奇，13% 的机构投资者对 Redditors 能够组建一支军队，击败华尔街一些最聪明的头脑的方式产生了某种形式的尊重。因此，我们毫不奇怪地发现，这些机构投资者中有 20% 对 Redditors 的 “市场操纵 ”感到沮丧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来</b></blockquote></p><p> Ownership breakdown. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>所有权分解。来源：Simply Wall St</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1dd4930d00083121d28ea6d57285bc5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional ownership changes. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构所有权变更。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moving forward, we think meme stocks like GME would continue to feature prominently within the Reddit forums and remain one of their “flagship” stocks in their fight against the Street. Retail investors now hold the largest share of ownership of GME stock, accounting for 45.1% of total ownership. Interestingly, there’s still a sizable proportion (36.4%) of institutional investors that remain vested in GME, which includes GME’s largest shareholder: Blackrock, which owns 12.36% of GME stock. While GME witnessed a significant outflow of $1.93B of institutional capital in Q2’21, the stock price remained well above the closing price of $17.25, on the first trading day of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，我们认为像 GME 这样的备忘录股票将继续在 Reddit 论坛上占据重要地位，并继续成为他们与街头抗争的 “旗舰 ”股票之一。散户投资者目前持有 GME 股票的最大份额，占总持股量的 45.1%。有趣的是，仍有相当一部分（36.4%）的机构投资者仍然持有 GME，其中包括 GME 的最大股东：贝莱德（Blackrock），该公司拥有 GME 12.36% 的股票。虽然 GME 在 21 年第二季度的机构资本大量流出 19.3 亿美元，但其股价仍远高于 2021 年第一个交易日 17.25 美元的收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a708e62291662e5d4e2bce79492dc93a\" tg-width=\"1244\" tg-height=\"656\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Percentage of float shorted over time. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>随着时间的推移做空的流通量百分比。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the price continues to be sustained even though the short percentage of float has dropped significantly from 41.96% in Jan, to “just” 14.18% at the end of June, its lowest recorded two-week period in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，尽管空头流通量百分比已从 1 月份的 41.96% 大幅下降至 6 月底的 “仅 ”14.18%，这是 2021 年两周以来最低的记录，但价格仍在持续。</blockquote></p><p> Other than the 45.1% of retail investors who are vested in GME, the stock is also supported by Ryan Cohen’s 12.13% share, which makes him the second-largest shareholder of GME stock, behind Blackrock, even though the purchase price for his last batch of 1.274M shares in Dec 20 is about $14.24, which certainly gives him a huge margin of safety if we consider GME’s last closing price of $178.85.</p><p><blockquote>除了 45.1% 的散户投资者持有 GME 股票外，瑞安-科恩（Ryan Cohen）还持有 12.13% 的股份，这使他成为 GME 股票的第二大股东，仅次于贝莱德（Blackrock），尽管他在 12 月 20 日购买的最后一批 127.4 万股股票的价格约为 14.24 美元，如果考虑到 GME 的最新收盘价 178.85 美元，这无疑给了他巨大的安全边际。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为和趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe5e54ac5cfe6504ec07c334a8c52668\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"786\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ever since the mania we witnessed at the start of the year, GME has settled down and seems to have developed an uptrend bias, with a support level that has attracted strong buying interest between the $130 and $160 price level previously. It is a level that we expect the buyers to continue defending strongly, based on our price action analysis. For investors who are keen to take a position in GME, we think they may consider an entry within that buy range that we highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>自从我们在年初目睹的狂热以来，GME 已经稳定下来，似乎已经形成了上升趋势，支撑位在之前的 130 美元至 160 美元价格水平之间吸引了强烈的买入兴趣。根据我们的价格行为分析，我们预计买家将继续强力捍卫这一水平。对于热衷于持有 GME 头寸的投资者，我们认为他们可能会考虑在我们强调的买入范围内进行入场。</blockquote></p><p> While we are convinced that the volatility in GameStop’s price is likely to continue moving ahead, we think the stock has incredibly found huge buying interest among the retail community that has shaken the foundations of the institutional investors, asStenham Asset Managementarticulated:</p><p><blockquote>斯坦汉姆资产管理公司（Stenham Asset Management）表示，虽然我们确信游戏驿站的价格波动可能会继续下去，但我们认为该股在零售社区中引起了难以置信的巨大购买兴趣，这动摇了机构投资者的基础：</blockquote></p><p>   \"In the current environment, you are being negligent if you don’t measure and manage your exposure on the short side to both crowding and retail interest,\" and we think one of the multibillion-dollar US hedge fund also succinctly summed up the rising influence of the Reddit community: “[We] are absolutely looking at forums such as WSB, we are monitoring that extremely closely.”  In GameStop, we think the game is certainly far from being over.</p><p><blockquote>“在当前环境下，如果你不衡量和管理你在人群和散户兴趣方面的空头风险，你就是在疏忽，”我们认为，一家价值数十亿美元的美国对冲基金也简洁地总结了 Reddit 社区日益增长的影响力： “[我们]绝对会关注 WSB 等论坛，我们正在密切关注。”在游戏驿站，我们认为这场比赛肯定还远未结束。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop: The Game Is Far From Over<blockquote>游戏驿站：比赛远未结束</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-25 09:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>GameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce player.</li>  <li>We think the company may possibly be at an inflection point, if the management team is able to successfully execute its new e-commerce pivot.</li>  <li>In addition, we exhort the bears to pay special attention to the Reddit community, given its growing user base and influence in their investors' decision-making process.</li>  <li>While we don't have a position in GameStop, we don't think the game is over for the company.</li> </ul> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>游戏驿站已经进行了自我改造，逐步成为一个主要的电子商务公司。</li><li>我们认为，如果管理团队能够成功执行其新的电子商务支点，该公司可能正处于拐点。</li><li>此外，鉴于 Reddit 社区不断增长的用户群及其对投资者决策过程的影响力，我们建议空头特别关注该社区。</li><li>虽然我们在游戏驿站没有立足之地，但我们认为公司的游戏还没有结束。</li></ul><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> The speculation fervor behind GameStop’s (GME) meteoric rise to the stratospheric levels of $480 per share last seen in Jan has subsided significantly, as the stock last traded at the $178 price level, a 63% decline from the ATH reached during the January mania.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站（GME）在 1 月份飙升至每股 480 美元的平流层水平，其背后的投机热情已大大消退，因为该股最后一次交易价格为 178 美元，比 1 月份狂热期间的 ATH 下跌了 63%。</blockquote></p><p> While we agree to a large extent with the Street’s valuation opinion, that this stock seems to be significantly overvalued (The Street’s mean target price is $37.5), we would also like to highlight that we don’t think we presently have a valuation model that can comprehensively incorporate the underlying factors driving the company’s stock price, and therefore would not boldly proclaim to investors who have an interest in meme stocks, to stay away from GME.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们在很大程度上同意华尔街的估值意见，即这只股票似乎被严重高估了（华尔街的平均目标价为 37.5 美元），但我们也想强调的是，我们认为目前还没有一个能够全面纳入推动公司股价的潜在因素的估值模型，因此不会大胆地向对 meme 股票感兴趣的投资者宣布远离 GME。</blockquote></p><p> We thinkeMarketerdelineated in this recent piece in June, what factors they thought could have driven the underlying demand behind meme stocks in Reddit forums like GME:</p><p><blockquote>我们认为 Marketer 在 6 月份最近的一篇文章中概述了他们认为哪些因素可能推动了 GME 等 Reddit 论坛上 meme 股票背后的潜在需求：</blockquote></p><p>   Punishing short sellers. Clover Health (CLOV) short-sellers, who believed the stock was overvalued, were down $438 million in mark-to-market losses. GameStop short sellers lost over $5 billion.Perplexing the markets “for the memes”—i.e., it’s just funny. Reddit posts on r/WallStreetBets highlight how members make seemingly irrational investment decisions for the joy of duping financial institutions.Pump and dump. The artificially inflated share prices can maximize profit for the lucky few who invest early.  We think investors who have been schooled in fundamental analysis would never be able to develop models that could fully factor in the above, as these investors think the long term value of stocks are driven by the long term strength and the competitive moat of their underlying businesses, but not with the \"ludicrous\" methods adopted by the Redditors in the way they analyze stocks.</p><p><blockquote>惩罚卖空者。Clover Health (CLOV) 卖空者认为该股被高估，按市值计算损失减少了 4.38 亿美元。游戏驿站卖空者损失了超过 50 亿美元。让市场感到困惑 “迷惑”--也就是说，这只是有趣的。r/WallStreetBets 上的 Reddit 帖子强调了会员如何为了杜平金融机构的喜悦而做出看似非理性的投资决策。人为膨胀的股价可以让早期投资的少数幸运儿实现利润最大化。我们认为，接受过基本面分析培训的投资者永远无法开发出能够充分考虑上述因素的模型，因为这些投资者认为股票的长期价值是由其基础业务的长期实力和竞争护城河驱动的，但不是Redditors在分析股票时采用的“可笑”方法。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, we dive deeper to look at the key fundamental drivers underpinning GME's business, and how we think the Reddit community's participation and influence in meme stocks like GME would continue to disrupt the valuation outlook for the company moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我们将更深入地了解支撑 GME 业务的关键基本驱动因素，以及我们认为 Reddit 社区对 GME 等模因股票的参与和影响将如何继续扰乱该公司未来的估值前景。</blockquote></p><p> What Has Changed for GameStop since the January Mania?</p><p><blockquote>自一月狂热以来，游戏驿站发生了什么变化？</blockquote></p><p> GME recently appointed2 key veteranexecutives from Amazon (AMZN): Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its CEO and CFO, respectively, as part of Chairman Ryan Cohen's strategic revamp of GME's business model to pivot towards becoming a major \"e-commerce powerhouse.\"</p><p><blockquote>GME 最近任命了亚马逊 (AMZN) 的两名资深高管：Matt Furlong 和 Mike Recupero 分别担任首席执行官和首席财务官，这是董事长 Ryan Cohen 对 GME 商业模式进行战略改造的一部分，旨在转向成为主要的“电子商务巨头”。</blockquote></p><p> While the guidance from the new management may have been sparse so far, the team has certainly gotten down to work quickly, to put in place the necessary building blocks to gradually move GME into a major e-commerce player, as they have started to expand itsfulfillment centers, with two new recent facilities in Reno, Nevada and York, Pennsylvania, that have given the company a total capacity of more than 1.2M square feet.</p><p><blockquote>虽然到目前为止，新管理层的指导可能很少，但团队肯定已经迅速着手工作，建立必要的基础，逐步将GME转变为主要的电子商务公司，因为他们已经开始扩大其履行中心，最近在内华达州里诺和宾夕法尼亚州约克新建了两个设施，使该公司的总产能超过120万平方英尺。</blockquote></p><p> Ryan Cohen has also made it clear that the company wouldn't be specifying intricate details on its overhaul plans to its competitors, but instead appealing to investors to judge the team on their actions, as he emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>瑞安·科恩 (Ryan Cohen) 还明确表示，公司不会向竞争对手详细说明其检修计划的复杂细节，而是呼吁投资者根据团队的行动来评判团队，他强调：</blockquote></p><p>   You won’t find ustalking a big game, making a bunch of lofty promises or telegraphing our strategy to the competition...We have a lot of work in front of us. Moving forward, we want you to judge GameStop based on our actions -- not our words.  However, the Street was hardly convinced with Ryan Cohen or the company’s strategy, asWedbush Securitiesarticulated recently: “I think it got away from him. I think his ego’s gotten in the way and now he's going to prove [to] everybody [that he] knows what he's doing. If there [was] a strategy, it's shocking that he hasn't told us. We were supposed to hear about this five months ago. What is such a secret?”</p><p><blockquote>你不会发现我们在谈论一个大游戏，做出一堆崇高的承诺，或者向竞争对手传达我们的战略....我们面前有很多工作要做。展望未来，我们希望你们根据我们的行动而不是我们的言语来评判游戏驿站。然而，正如 WedBush Securities 最近所阐述的那样，华尔街几乎不相信瑞安-科恩或公司的战略： “我认为这已经从他身上溜走了。我认为他的自尊心挡住了去路，现在他要向所有人证明（他）知道自己在做什么。如果说有什么策略，那他竟然没有告诉我们，真是令人震惊。我们五个月前就应该听说了。这是什么秘密？”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/213a840d218039b67bebc984532ecf5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Quarterly revenues. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>季度收入。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c46f7322b39c6468f6929c1fd414921b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM revenue. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM收入。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We could observe that the company seems to have been able to arrest the declining trend in its revenue in Q4'21 and Q1'22 (GME defines its FY differently from its CY), which took place well before the new management was in place. The company's Q4'21 revenue of $2.12B was its strong quarter over the last 3 years, while Q1'22's revenue grew 25% YoY. Therefore, when we plotted it over an LTM basis, we think that there's hope over the horizon, that perhaps the new management team may have an encouraging start, in the company's quest to become an important e-commerce competitor. We think investors should continue monitoring this space closely, especially on the build-up of the company's fulfillment centers, which is highly integral towards its e-commerce ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以观察到，该公司似乎已经能够在 21 年第四季度和 22 年第一季度阻止收入下降的趋势（GME 对其财年的定义与其 CY 不同），这发生在新管理层到位之前很久。该公司 21 年第四季度的收入为 $2.12B，是过去 3 年的强劲季度，而 22 年第一季度的收入同比增长 25%。因此，当我们在 LTM 基础上绘制它时，我们认为在地平线上有希望，也许新的管理团队在公司寻求成为重要的电子商务竞争对手的过程中可能会有一个令人鼓舞的开端。我们认为投资者应继续密切关注这一领域，特别是该公司履行中心的建设，这对于其电子商务雄心至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> LTM EBIT margins trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p><blockquote>LTM EBIT 利润率趋势。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</blockquote></p><p> While the company's EBIT margin trend has certainly been of major concern, we think this is an area certainly worth watching, as yet again we observed an improvement in the LTM trend, as the company posted an LTM EBIT margin of -3.5% in Q1'22, as compared to its LTM EBIT margin of -4.9% in Q4'21. While we don't think the company is out of the woods yet, but we think the company may have stopped the rot, at least for now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然该公司的息税前利润率趋势无疑是一个值得关注的领域，但我们认为这是一个值得关注的领域，因为我们再次观察到 LTM 趋势有所改善，因为该公司公布的 LTM 息税前利润率为 -3.5% 2022 年第一季度，而 LTM 息税前利润率为 -4.9%。虽然我们认为该公司还没有走出困境，但我们认为该公司可能已经停止了腐烂，至少目前是这样。</blockquote></p><p> Debt to Equity Ratio. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>债务股本比率。来源：Simply Wall St</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eaacbe2d43de887038c30e9ab4bcfa2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM Levered FCF margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM 杠杆 FCF 保证金。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company has also astutely capitalized on its share price to completetwo equity offeringsto buttress its balance sheet. As a result, the company's debt to equity ratio has improved significantly to 5.5%, with a debt balance of just $48.1M, while having a cash and ST investments balance of $694.7M (as of 1 May 21, before both equity offerings which raised a total of $1.677B, and before paring down of debt). In addition, the company has also never really been bleeding cash, as its levered FCF margins trend has always been relatively healthy while having also improved its LTM levered FCF margin at the recent quarter to 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还巧妙地利用其股价完成了两次股权发行，以支撑其资产负债表。因此，该公司的债务股本比率已显着改善至5.5%，债务余额仅为4810万美元，而现金和ST投资余额为6.947亿美元（截至21年5月1日，在两次股权发行之前，共筹集了1.677亿美元，在削减债务之前）。此外，该公司也从未真正流失过现金，因为其杠杆自由现金流利润率趋势一直相对健康，同时最近一个季度还将其 LTM 杠杆自由现金流利润率提高到 1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think GME looks well-positioned to take advantage of its strategic overhaul towards its new e-commerce pivot if the management can successfully execute moving forward. While we are not too sure at this point on the roadmap ahead for GME, the Reddit community seems to be ready to continue supporting this company, as we shall go into detail how the Reddit community would continue to be a highly important force to be reckoned with, in their quest to bolster the stock price of the company, such that even Ryan Cohen made it a point to pay a special tribute to the Reddit community:</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为，如果管理层能够成功推进，GME 看起来处于有利地位，可以利用其新的电子商务支点的战略改革。虽然我们目前对 GME 的未来路线图还不太确定，但 Reddit 社区似乎已准备好继续支持这家公司，因为我们将详细介绍 Reddit 社区如何继续成为一股非常重要的力量，在他们寻求提振公司股价的过程中，甚至连 Ryan Cohen 都特意向 Reddit 社区致敬：</blockquote></p><p>   We’re fortunateto have such a special group of investors holding the company’s shares, you guys inspire us to think bigger, fight harder and work longer each day.  <b>The Reddit Community Grew by 25.9% in 2020</b></p><p><blockquote>我们很幸运有这样一群特殊的投资者持有公司股票，你们每天都激励我们想得更远、更努力、更长时间。<b>Reddit社区在2020年增长了25.9%</b></blockquote></p><p> US social network user growth, by platform 2020 &amp; 2021. Source:eMarketer</p><p><blockquote>2020年和2021年美国社交网络用户增长。来源：eMarketer</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to observe that Reddit posted highly remarkable growth in 2020, as users on its platform grew by 25.9% YoY, andeMarketeralso expects the Reddit community to grow by 14.4% in 2021, to reach 43.3M users. We think the increasing popularity towards the adoption of Reddit would continue to sustain investors' interest in meme stocks like GME, moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够观察到 Reddit 在 2020 年实现了非常显着的增长，其平台上的用户同比增长 25.9%，Marketer 还预计 Reddit 社区在 2021 年将增长 14.4%，达到 4330 万用户。我们认为，Reddit 越来越受欢迎，这将继续维持投资者对 GME 等模因股票的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f886ecf993efe35532771c132d94a6a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Population distribution in the US in 2019, by generation. Data source: US Census Bureau</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2019年美国人口分布，按世代划分。数据来源：美国人口普查局</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We believe that Reddit has certainly benefited from the secular drivers underpinning digitization, which has also led to significant growth and popularity in trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), where theaverage agein 2020 is 31 years old. This puts the average age of Robinhood users right within the age group of the Millennials, who were born between 1981 and 1996 (25 to 40 years old), and accounted for 21.97% of the US population, based on the 2019 census.</p><p><blockquote>我们相信，Reddit 无疑受益于支撑数字化的长期驱动因素，这也导致了 Robinhood (HOOD) 等交易平台的显着增长和受欢迎程度，该平台 2020 年的平均年龄为 31 岁。根据2019年的人口普查，这使得Robinhood用户的平均年龄正好在千禧一代的年龄组内，千禧一代出生于1981年至1996年之间（25至40岁），占美国人口的21.97%。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, we could also observe that Millennial investors are interested in stocks that are not the “safe and steady” stocks that a typical investor is expected to hold if I could put it that way. We don’t think valuations form the most important considerations to these investors as we could observe from the above.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，我们还可以观察到，千禧一代投资者对股票感兴趣，而这些股票并不是典型投资者应该持有的 “安全稳定 ”股票。从上文可以看出，我们认为估值并不是这些投资者最重要的考虑因素。</blockquote></p><p> According to a report byApex Clearing, Tesla (TSLA) formed the largest holdings of their Millennials portfolio in Q1’21, with a 28.3% share, a stock that we think investors would not typically say it’s cheap. While AAPL was the second-largest holding with a 14.5% share, GME also rounded up the top 4 with a 5.2% share, lending support to our opinion that Millennial investors’ motivations are driven by factors beyond just fundamentals and valuations.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Apex Clearing 的一份报告，特斯拉（TSLA）在 21 年第一季度的千禧一代投资组合中持股最多，持股比例为 28.3%，我们认为投资者通常不会说这只股票便宜。AAPL 以 14.5% 的份额位居第二，而 GME 也以 5.2% 的份额位居前四，这支持了我们的观点，即千禧一代投资者的动机不仅仅是基本面和估值。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Among the holdings in the Millennials portfolio, we could observe many other examples that corroborate these investors' interests in premium stocks, like Nvidia (NVDA), another meme stock like AMC Entertainment (AMC), Churchill Capital Corp (CCIV), its third-largest holding; Nio (NIO), Palantir (PLTR), and even Square (SQ), stocks we think investors would not typically ascribe as value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在千禧一代投资组合中的持股中，我们可以观察到许多其他例子，这些例子证实了这些投资者对优质股票的兴趣，例如英伟达 (NVDA)、AMC院线 (AMC) 等另一只模因股票、丘吉尔资本公司 (CCIV)，其第三大持股；蔚来（蔚来）、Palantir（PLTR），甚至 Square（SQ），我们认为投资者通常不会将这些股票归类为价值股。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think the general investor community needs to understand that there’s a huge and growing base of investors whose understanding and expectations of fundamentals and valuations are certainly quite different from what our typical valuation models could account for.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为广大投资者群体需要明白，有大量且不断增长的投资者群体，他们对基本面和估值的理解和期望肯定与我们典型的估值模型所能解释的大相径庭。</blockquote></p><p> We think the market is definitely bigger and much more complex than what we know, and it’s just not possible to use the same fundamental analysis and valuation methods to value meme stocks like GME and say that they are way overvalued, a process that we honestly think is quite meaningless in the world of meme stocks investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为，这个市场肯定比我们所知道的要大得多，也复杂得多，只是不可能用同样的基本面分析和估值方法对 GME 这样的 meme 股票进行估值，然后说它们被高估了，老实说，我们认为这个过程在 meme 股票投资领域毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Analyzing the Reddit Opinion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析 Reddit 意见</b></blockquote></p><p> Individual investors’ opinion on Reddit after GameStop short squeeze in the US, UK, and Canada as of Feb 21, by age. Data source:Brunswick</p><p><blockquote>截至 2 月 21 日，游戏驿站在美国、英国和加拿大做空后，Reddit 上个人投资者的看法（按年龄划分）。数据来源：布伦瑞克</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey by Brunswick, we could observe the importance of the Reddit forums as an investment tool for investors, especially among the younger investors within the age group of 18-29 years old. About 14% of all investors “trust Reddit as a media alternative,” and the share even shot up to 31% among the younger investors. In addition, a good proportion (25%) of the younger investors also took part in the GME opportunities, while 20% of them think that the GME events “represent a fundamental shift of power in the market.” While these opinions may belong within the minority of investors, we think the proportion of investors is certainly large enough to raise the eyebrows of the general investment community, and therefore we think the power of the Reddit forums is certainly a force to be reckoned with moving ahead.</p><p><blockquote>根据Brunswick的一项调查，我们可以观察到Reddit论坛作为投资者投资工具的重要性，尤其是在18-29岁年龄组的年轻投资者中。约 14% 的投资者 “相信 Reddit 是一种媒体替代品”，在年轻投资者中，这一比例甚至飙升至 31%。此外，相当比例（25%）的年轻投资者也参加了 GME 机会，而 20% 的年轻投资者认为 GME 活动 “代表了市场力量的根本性转移”。虽然这些观点可能属于少数投资者，但我们认为投资者的比例肯定大到足以引起一般投资界的惊讶，因此我们认为Reddit论坛的力量肯定是前进中不可忽视的力量。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa3108c1a56bc4c6221a4d8297e018d3\" tg-width=\"826\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Share of institutional investors using Reddit to investigate an issue in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>使用 Reddit 调查美国、英国和加拿大问题的机构投资者比例。数据来源：布伦瑞克</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e72f250f4fe70ca9af575b6828bace0d\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Average trust score assigned by institutional investors to Reddit in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大机构投资者对 Reddit 的平均信任得分。数据来源：布伦瑞克</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe Reddit’s increasing influence even among institutional investors, as 27% of them used Reddit to “investigate an issue”, which increased discernibly from the previous years, even though their trust in the platform dropped markedly from an average score of 3.5 in 2019 to 2.0 in 2021. We think this shows that institutional investors consider Reddit’s increasing influence in the general investment community’s decision-making process, but they don’t trust those things going on in those forums as meaningful enough for their \"well-developed\" processes, as compared to individual investors shown earlier.</p><p><blockquote>即使在机构投资者中，我们也可以观察到 Reddit 的影响力越来越大，因为 27% 的机构投资者使用 Reddit 来 “调查问题”，尽管他们对该平台的信任度从 2019 年的平均得分 3.5 分明显下降到 2021 年的 2.0 分，但这一比例比前几年有了明显增加。我们认为，这表明机构投资者认为 Reddit 在一般投资界决策过程中的影响力越来越大，但与前面显示的个人投资者相比，他们并不认为这些论坛上发生的事情对他们 “发达 ”的过程有足够的意义。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a87f8665c27d127566189bd21a035158\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"591\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional investors' attitude towards members of the Reddit wallstreetbets community. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构投资者对 Reddit wallstreetbets 社区成员的态度。数据来源：布伦瑞克</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While 48% of institutional investors think that the Redditors “might have a short term influence, but they won’t be able to sustain it,” 27% developed some curiosity regarding Reddit influence among the investors’ community, and 13% of them developed some form of respect for the way the Redditors were able to amass an army to outgun some of Wall Street’s brightest minds. We were therefore not surprised to find that 20% of these institutional investors were frustrated with what they considered as “market manipulation” by the Redditors.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 48% 的机构投资者认为 Redditors “可能会有短期影响力，但他们无法维持”，但 27% 的机构投资者对 Redditors 在投资者群体中的影响力产生了一些好奇，13% 的机构投资者对 Redditors 能够组建一支军队，击败华尔街一些最聪明的头脑的方式产生了某种形式的尊重。因此，我们毫不奇怪地发现，这些机构投资者中有 20% 对 Redditors 的 “市场操纵 ”感到沮丧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来</b></blockquote></p><p> Ownership breakdown. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>所有权分解。来源：Simply Wall St</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1dd4930d00083121d28ea6d57285bc5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional ownership changes. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构所有权变更。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moving forward, we think meme stocks like GME would continue to feature prominently within the Reddit forums and remain one of their “flagship” stocks in their fight against the Street. Retail investors now hold the largest share of ownership of GME stock, accounting for 45.1% of total ownership. Interestingly, there’s still a sizable proportion (36.4%) of institutional investors that remain vested in GME, which includes GME’s largest shareholder: Blackrock, which owns 12.36% of GME stock. While GME witnessed a significant outflow of $1.93B of institutional capital in Q2’21, the stock price remained well above the closing price of $17.25, on the first trading day of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，我们认为像 GME 这样的备忘录股票将继续在 Reddit 论坛上占据重要地位，并继续成为他们与街头抗争的 “旗舰 ”股票之一。散户投资者目前持有 GME 股票的最大份额，占总持股量的 45.1%。有趣的是，仍有相当一部分（36.4%）的机构投资者仍然持有 GME，其中包括 GME 的最大股东：贝莱德（Blackrock），该公司拥有 GME 12.36% 的股票。虽然 GME 在 21 年第二季度的机构资本大量流出 19.3 亿美元，但其股价仍远高于 2021 年第一个交易日 17.25 美元的收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a708e62291662e5d4e2bce79492dc93a\" tg-width=\"1244\" tg-height=\"656\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Percentage of float shorted over time. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>随着时间的推移做空的流通量百分比。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the price continues to be sustained even though the short percentage of float has dropped significantly from 41.96% in Jan, to “just” 14.18% at the end of June, its lowest recorded two-week period in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，尽管空头流通量百分比已从 1 月份的 41.96% 大幅下降至 6 月底的 “仅 ”14.18%，这是 2021 年两周以来最低的记录，但价格仍在持续。</blockquote></p><p> Other than the 45.1% of retail investors who are vested in GME, the stock is also supported by Ryan Cohen’s 12.13% share, which makes him the second-largest shareholder of GME stock, behind Blackrock, even though the purchase price for his last batch of 1.274M shares in Dec 20 is about $14.24, which certainly gives him a huge margin of safety if we consider GME’s last closing price of $178.85.</p><p><blockquote>除了 45.1% 的散户投资者持有 GME 股票外，瑞安-科恩（Ryan Cohen）还持有 12.13% 的股份，这使他成为 GME 股票的第二大股东，仅次于贝莱德（Blackrock），尽管他在 12 月 20 日购买的最后一批 127.4 万股股票的价格约为 14.24 美元，如果考虑到 GME 的最新收盘价 178.85 美元，这无疑给了他巨大的安全边际。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为和趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe5e54ac5cfe6504ec07c334a8c52668\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"786\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ever since the mania we witnessed at the start of the year, GME has settled down and seems to have developed an uptrend bias, with a support level that has attracted strong buying interest between the $130 and $160 price level previously. It is a level that we expect the buyers to continue defending strongly, based on our price action analysis. For investors who are keen to take a position in GME, we think they may consider an entry within that buy range that we highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>自从我们在年初目睹的狂热以来，GME 已经稳定下来，似乎已经形成了上升趋势，支撑位在之前的 130 美元至 160 美元价格水平之间吸引了强烈的买入兴趣。根据我们的价格行为分析，我们预计买家将继续强力捍卫这一水平。对于热衷于持有 GME 头寸的投资者，我们认为他们可能会考虑在我们强调的买入范围内进行入场。</blockquote></p><p> While we are convinced that the volatility in GameStop’s price is likely to continue moving ahead, we think the stock has incredibly found huge buying interest among the retail community that has shaken the foundations of the institutional investors, asStenham Asset Managementarticulated:</p><p><blockquote>斯坦汉姆资产管理公司（Stenham Asset Management）表示，虽然我们确信游戏驿站的价格波动可能会继续下去，但我们认为该股在零售社区中引起了难以置信的巨大购买兴趣，这动摇了机构投资者的基础：</blockquote></p><p>   \"In the current environment, you are being negligent if you don’t measure and manage your exposure on the short side to both crowding and retail interest,\" and we think one of the multibillion-dollar US hedge fund also succinctly summed up the rising influence of the Reddit community: “[We] are absolutely looking at forums such as WSB, we are monitoring that extremely closely.”  In GameStop, we think the game is certainly far from being over.</p><p><blockquote>“在当前环境下，如果你不衡量和管理你在人群和散户兴趣方面的空头风险，你就是在疏忽，”我们认为，一家价值数十亿美元的美国对冲基金也简洁地总结了 Reddit 社区日益增长的影响力： “[我们]绝对会关注 WSB 等论坛，我们正在密切关注。”在游戏驿站，我们认为这场比赛肯定还远未结束。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441170-gamestop-the-game-is-far-from-over\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441170-gamestop-the-game-is-far-from-over","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107345366","content_text":"Summary\n\nGameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce player.\nWe think the company may possibly be at an inflection point, if the management team is able to successfully execute its new e-commerce pivot.\nIn addition, we exhort the bears to pay special attention to the Reddit community, given its growing user base and influence in their investors' decision-making process.\nWhile we don't have a position in GameStop, we don't think the game is over for the company.\n\nInvestment Thesis\nThe speculation fervor behind GameStop’s (GME) meteoric rise to the stratospheric levels of $480 per share last seen in Jan has subsided significantly, as the stock last traded at the $178 price level, a 63% decline from the ATH reached during the January mania.\nWhile we agree to a large extent with the Street’s valuation opinion, that this stock seems to be significantly overvalued (The Street’s mean target price is $37.5), we would also like to highlight that we don’t think we presently have a valuation model that can comprehensively incorporate the underlying factors driving the company’s stock price, and therefore would not boldly proclaim to investors who have an interest in meme stocks, to stay away from GME.\nWe thinkeMarketerdelineated in this recent piece in June, what factors they thought could have driven the underlying demand behind meme stocks in Reddit forums like GME:\n\n Punishing short sellers. Clover Health (CLOV) short-sellers, who believed the stock was overvalued, were down $438 million in mark-to-market losses. GameStop short sellers lost over $5 billion.Perplexing the markets “for the memes”—i.e., it’s just funny. Reddit posts on r/WallStreetBets highlight how members make seemingly irrational investment decisions for the joy of duping financial institutions.Pump and dump. The artificially inflated share prices can maximize profit for the lucky few who invest early.\n\nWe think investors who have been schooled in fundamental analysis would never be able to develop models that could fully factor in the above, as these investors think the long term value of stocks are driven by the long term strength and the competitive moat of their underlying businesses, but not with the \"ludicrous\" methods adopted by the Redditors in the way they analyze stocks.\nIn this article, we dive deeper to look at the key fundamental drivers underpinning GME's business, and how we think the Reddit community's participation and influence in meme stocks like GME would continue to disrupt the valuation outlook for the company moving forward.\nWhat Has Changed for GameStop since the January Mania?\nGME recently appointed2 key veteranexecutives from Amazon (AMZN): Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its CEO and CFO, respectively, as part of Chairman Ryan Cohen's strategic revamp of GME's business model to pivot towards becoming a major \"e-commerce powerhouse.\"\nWhile the guidance from the new management may have been sparse so far, the team has certainly gotten down to work quickly, to put in place the necessary building blocks to gradually move GME into a major e-commerce player, as they have started to expand itsfulfillment centers, with two new recent facilities in Reno, Nevada and York, Pennsylvania, that have given the company a total capacity of more than 1.2M square feet.\nRyan Cohen has also made it clear that the company wouldn't be specifying intricate details on its overhaul plans to its competitors, but instead appealing to investors to judge the team on their actions, as he emphasized:\n\n You won’t find ustalking a big game, making a bunch of lofty promises or telegraphing our strategy to the competition...We have a lot of work in front of us. Moving forward, we want you to judge GameStop based on our actions -- not our words.\n\nHowever, the Street was hardly convinced with Ryan Cohen or the company’s strategy, asWedbush Securitiesarticulated recently: “I think it got away from him. I think his ego’s gotten in the way and now he's going to prove [to] everybody [that he] knows what he's doing. If there [was] a strategy, it's shocking that he hasn't told us. We were supposed to hear about this five months ago. What is such a secret?”\nQuarterly revenues. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nLTM revenue. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe that the company seems to have been able to arrest the declining trend in its revenue in Q4'21 and Q1'22 (GME defines its FY differently from its CY), which took place well before the new management was in place. The company's Q4'21 revenue of $2.12B was its strong quarter over the last 3 years, while Q1'22's revenue grew 25% YoY. Therefore, when we plotted it over an LTM basis, we think that there's hope over the horizon, that perhaps the new management team may have an encouraging start, in the company's quest to become an important e-commerce competitor. We think investors should continue monitoring this space closely, especially on the build-up of the company's fulfillment centers, which is highly integral towards its e-commerce ambitions.\nLTM EBIT margins trend. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhile the company's EBIT margin trend has certainly been of major concern, we think this is an area certainly worth watching, as yet again we observed an improvement in the LTM trend, as the company posted an LTM EBIT margin of -3.5% in Q1'22, as compared to its LTM EBIT margin of -4.9% in Q4'21. While we don't think the company is out of the woods yet, but we think the company may have stopped the rot, at least for now.\nDebt to Equity Ratio. Source:Simply Wall St\nLTM Levered FCF margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nThe company has also astutely capitalized on its share price to completetwo equity offeringsto buttress its balance sheet. As a result, the company's debt to equity ratio has improved significantly to 5.5%, with a debt balance of just $48.1M, while having a cash and ST investments balance of $694.7M (as of 1 May 21, before both equity offerings which raised a total of $1.677B, and before paring down of debt). In addition, the company has also never really been bleeding cash, as its levered FCF margins trend has always been relatively healthy while having also improved its LTM levered FCF margin at the recent quarter to 1.6%.\nTherefore, we think GME looks well-positioned to take advantage of its strategic overhaul towards its new e-commerce pivot if the management can successfully execute moving forward. While we are not too sure at this point on the roadmap ahead for GME, the Reddit community seems to be ready to continue supporting this company, as we shall go into detail how the Reddit community would continue to be a highly important force to be reckoned with, in their quest to bolster the stock price of the company, such that even Ryan Cohen made it a point to pay a special tribute to the Reddit community:\n\n We’re fortunateto have such a special group of investors holding the company’s shares, you guys inspire us to think bigger, fight harder and work longer each day.\n\nThe Reddit Community Grew by 25.9% in 2020\nUS social network user growth, by platform 2020 & 2021. Source:eMarketer\nInvestors should be able to observe that Reddit posted highly remarkable growth in 2020, as users on its platform grew by 25.9% YoY, andeMarketeralso expects the Reddit community to grow by 14.4% in 2021, to reach 43.3M users. We think the increasing popularity towards the adoption of Reddit would continue to sustain investors' interest in meme stocks like GME, moving forward.\nPopulation distribution in the US in 2019, by generation. Data source: US Census Bureau\nWe believe that Reddit has certainly benefited from the secular drivers underpinning digitization, which has also led to significant growth and popularity in trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), where theaverage agein 2020 is 31 years old. This puts the average age of Robinhood users right within the age group of the Millennials, who were born between 1981 and 1996 (25 to 40 years old), and accounted for 21.97% of the US population, based on the 2019 census.\nImportantly, we could also observe that Millennial investors are interested in stocks that are not the “safe and steady” stocks that a typical investor is expected to hold if I could put it that way. We don’t think valuations form the most important considerations to these investors as we could observe from the above.\nAccording to a report byApex Clearing, Tesla (TSLA) formed the largest holdings of their Millennials portfolio in Q1’21, with a 28.3% share, a stock that we think investors would not typically say it’s cheap. While AAPL was the second-largest holding with a 14.5% share, GME also rounded up the top 4 with a 5.2% share, lending support to our opinion that Millennial investors’ motivations are driven by factors beyond just fundamentals and valuations.\nAmong the holdings in the Millennials portfolio, we could observe many other examples that corroborate these investors' interests in premium stocks, like Nvidia (NVDA), another meme stock like AMC Entertainment (AMC), Churchill Capital Corp (CCIV), its third-largest holding; Nio (NIO), Palantir (PLTR), and even Square (SQ), stocks we think investors would not typically ascribe as value stocks.\nTherefore, we think the general investor community needs to understand that there’s a huge and growing base of investors whose understanding and expectations of fundamentals and valuations are certainly quite different from what our typical valuation models could account for.\nWe think the market is definitely bigger and much more complex than what we know, and it’s just not possible to use the same fundamental analysis and valuation methods to value meme stocks like GME and say that they are way overvalued, a process that we honestly think is quite meaningless in the world of meme stocks investment.\nAnalyzing the Reddit Opinion\nIndividual investors’ opinion on Reddit after GameStop short squeeze in the US, UK, and Canada as of Feb 21, by age. Data source:Brunswick\nAccording to a survey by Brunswick, we could observe the importance of the Reddit forums as an investment tool for investors, especially among the younger investors within the age group of 18-29 years old. About 14% of all investors “trust Reddit as a media alternative,” and the share even shot up to 31% among the younger investors. In addition, a good proportion (25%) of the younger investors also took part in the GME opportunities, while 20% of them think that the GME events “represent a fundamental shift of power in the market.” While these opinions may belong within the minority of investors, we think the proportion of investors is certainly large enough to raise the eyebrows of the general investment community, and therefore we think the power of the Reddit forums is certainly a force to be reckoned with moving ahead.\nShare of institutional investors using Reddit to investigate an issue in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick\nAverage trust score assigned by institutional investors to Reddit in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick\nWe could observe Reddit’s increasing influence even among institutional investors, as 27% of them used Reddit to “investigate an issue”, which increased discernibly from the previous years, even though their trust in the platform dropped markedly from an average score of 3.5 in 2019 to 2.0 in 2021. We think this shows that institutional investors consider Reddit’s increasing influence in the general investment community’s decision-making process, but they don’t trust those things going on in those forums as meaningful enough for their \"well-developed\" processes, as compared to individual investors shown earlier.\nInstitutional investors' attitude towards members of the Reddit wallstreetbets community. Data source: Brunswick\nWhile 48% of institutional investors think that the Redditors “might have a short term influence, but they won’t be able to sustain it,” 27% developed some curiosity regarding Reddit influence among the investors’ community, and 13% of them developed some form of respect for the way the Redditors were able to amass an army to outgun some of Wall Street’s brightest minds. We were therefore not surprised to find that 20% of these institutional investors were frustrated with what they considered as “market manipulation” by the Redditors.\nLooking Ahead\nOwnership breakdown. Source:Simply Wall St\nInstitutional ownership changes. Source:Marketbeat\nMoving forward, we think meme stocks like GME would continue to feature prominently within the Reddit forums and remain one of their “flagship” stocks in their fight against the Street. Retail investors now hold the largest share of ownership of GME stock, accounting for 45.1% of total ownership. Interestingly, there’s still a sizable proportion (36.4%) of institutional investors that remain vested in GME, which includes GME’s largest shareholder: Blackrock, which owns 12.36% of GME stock. While GME witnessed a significant outflow of $1.93B of institutional capital in Q2’21, the stock price remained well above the closing price of $17.25, on the first trading day of 2021.\nPercentage of float shorted over time. Source:Marketbeat\nImportantly, the price continues to be sustained even though the short percentage of float has dropped significantly from 41.96% in Jan, to “just” 14.18% at the end of June, its lowest recorded two-week period in 2021.\nOther than the 45.1% of retail investors who are vested in GME, the stock is also supported by Ryan Cohen’s 12.13% share, which makes him the second-largest shareholder of GME stock, behind Blackrock, even though the purchase price for his last batch of 1.274M shares in Dec 20 is about $14.24, which certainly gives him a huge margin of safety if we consider GME’s last closing price of $178.85.\nPrice Action and Trend Analysis\nSource: TradingView\nEver since the mania we witnessed at the start of the year, GME has settled down and seems to have developed an uptrend bias, with a support level that has attracted strong buying interest between the $130 and $160 price level previously. It is a level that we expect the buyers to continue defending strongly, based on our price action analysis. For investors who are keen to take a position in GME, we think they may consider an entry within that buy range that we highlighted.\nWhile we are convinced that the volatility in GameStop’s price is likely to continue moving ahead, we think the stock has incredibly found huge buying interest among the retail community that has shaken the foundations of the institutional investors, asStenham Asset Managementarticulated:\n\n \"In the current environment, you are being negligent if you don’t measure and manage your exposure on the short side to both crowding and retail interest,\" and we think one of the multibillion-dollar US hedge fund also succinctly summed up the rising influence of the Reddit community: “[We] are absolutely looking at forums such as WSB, we are monitoring that extremely closely.”\n\nIn GameStop, we think the game is certainly far from being over.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174713273,"gmtCreate":1627138338292,"gmtModify":1631891027995,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174713273","repostId":"1109439356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179248468,"gmtCreate":1626539731254,"gmtModify":1631892243878,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"goooood","listText":"goooood","text":"goooood","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179248468","repostId":"2152681854","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":926,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142327966,"gmtCreate":1626133737355,"gmtModify":1631892243881,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good&nbsp;","listText":"good&nbsp;","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142327966","repostId":"1119839711","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119839711","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626126339,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1119839711?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 05:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数以微弱劣势错失首次收盘价 35,000 点，但所有 3 个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创纪录收盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119839711","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq C","content":"<p>  <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>  The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数最终仅接近 35,000 点里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一的综合指数连续创下历史新高，本周开始时与上周结束时相同。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的结束是在投资者等待美联储主席杰罗姆半年一次的证词之际<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始，本周将发布一系列经济报告，企业季度业绩的非官方开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数（DJIA）上涨 126.02 点，涨幅 0.4%，收于创纪录的 34,996.18 点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点，即0.4%，收于创纪录的4,384.63点，此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点，即0.2%，收于创纪录的14,733.24点，盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五，道琼斯指数和标普500指数收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅为 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场？</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一，主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。这一上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一系列关键事件之前，其中包括财报季的非官方开始，这<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>公司</b>.JPM,+1.43% 将于周二开盘，鲍威尔在国会大厦作证<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>以及有关通胀的最新数据。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲，这可能会推动市场走高，”该公司董事约翰-凯里（John Carey）说。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S. 的收入，并补充说，就目前而言，盈利掩盖了不确定性<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>超出计划的基础设施支出和潜在的更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>“凯里告诉 MarketWatch：”大多数人似乎都关注经济的实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性，而股价肯定处于高位。</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡，随后以繁荣告终，部分原因是国债收益率下降。政府债务利率下限引发了人们对美国经济从疫情中复苏前景的质疑。新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株的传播已经成为一个令人担忧的问题，但分配给某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据，对美联储货币政策的质疑也被归咎于一些不稳定的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>10年期MUBMUSD10Y,1.365%收益率周一小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%，而30年期国债收益率STMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%，接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示，缩减每月 1200 亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对通货膨胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并困扰着美国家庭，但一些策略师表示，这些担忧可能对市场来说 “过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>“由杰森-普莱德（Jason Pride）和迈克尔-雷诺兹（Michael Reynolds）领导的格伦米德团队在周一的一份报告中写道：”之前对通胀的担忧和当前对增长峰值的担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断反映，不会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行病中持续复苏的过程中，市场可能会继续波动，因为它们试图适应快速变化的信息流”，但这些因素 “从长远来看不应扰乱市场”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注三角洲驱动的COVID感染。美国以 3385 万例 COVID 病例和 607,156 例死亡病例位居世界第一。安东尼-福奇（Anthony Fauci）博士周一表示，目前不需要加强剂，但在周日接受美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）采访时表示，看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼，并指责 “意识形态僵化 ”阻碍了抗击大流行病的斗争，这令人 “恐惧”。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“本-梅（Ben May）说：”我们早就警告说，接种疫苗不太可能引发向正常的平稳过渡。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津</a>《经济学》全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前，周一没有关键数据公布，首先是周二的消费者价格读数。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外，投资者还关注了20国集团财长之间的讨论，他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“美国财政部长珍妮特-耶伦（Janet Yellen）在就修改国际企业税法向欧盟国家发表讲话时说：”我们需要可持续的收入来源，而不是依赖于对工人工资进一步征税和加剧我们都致力于减少的经济差距。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”我们需要杜绝企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区，杜绝允许企业逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>  <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>  <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>  <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>公司</b>.AVGO,+1.16%周一，《华尔街日报》报道这家芯片和软件公司正在洽谈收购 SAS Institute Inc.，此前该公司股价上涨 1.2%，交易估值可能达到 150 亿至 200 亿美元。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司</b>.AAPL,-0.42% 特拉华州联邦法官驳回了 Blix Inc. 的诉讼，称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害移动操作系统市场的竞争，一天后，AAPL 股价下跌 0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>.LB,+4.16% 表示，该公司将于下个月拆分为两家上市业务，维多利亚的秘密公司（Victoria's Secret&amp;Co.）的内衣部门将更名为 “VSCO”，而 Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. 从 8 月 3 日开始，股票代码为 “BBWI ”。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>公司</b>.GME,-1.04%股价周一下跌1%，此前Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元，但仍远低于该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>韦伯是户外烤架的制造商，在其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世近 50 年后，该公司已申请上市。股份将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>股票代码为WEBR的证券交易所。</li><li>股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid 周一下跌 17.3%，这是自 2020 年 3 月 16 日以来最大的单日百分比跌幅，一天前，创始人理查德-布兰森（Richard Branson）和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的 VSS 成功飞入亚轨道空间。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力航天飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商BASE周一确定了首次公开募股的条款，计划发行700万股股票，每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为 “BASE”。</li><li>股份<b>现代公司</b>该公司表示将向阿根廷供应 2000 万剂 COVID-19 疫苗，周一上涨 2.8%。</li><li>股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">太阳风公司</a>.</b>SWI 周一下跌 1.8%，尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>  <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>  <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>  <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ICE 美元指数 DXY（衡量美元兑六大主要竞争对手的指标）上涨 0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收低，美国基准CL00 CL.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%，收于每桶74.10美元。黄金 GC00 收盘下跌 0.3%，至每盎司 1,805.90 美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面，斯托克欧洲 600 SXXP 指数收盘上涨 0.7%，伦敦<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX 周一收盘上涨 0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一，上证综指上涨 0.7%，香港恒生指数恒生指数上涨 0.6%，日本日经 225 NIK 指数上涨 2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数以微弱劣势错失首次收盘价 35,000 点，但所有 3 个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创纪录收盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数以微弱劣势错失首次收盘价 35,000 点，但所有 3 个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创纪录收盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-13 05:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>  The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数最终仅接近 35,000 点里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一的综合指数连续创下历史新高，本周开始时与上周结束时相同。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的结束是在投资者等待美联储主席杰罗姆半年一次的证词之际<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始，本周将发布一系列经济报告，企业季度业绩的非官方开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数（DJIA）上涨 126.02 点，涨幅 0.4%，收于创纪录的 34,996.18 点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点，即0.4%，收于创纪录的4,384.63点，此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点，即0.2%，收于创纪录的14,733.24点，盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五，道琼斯指数和标普500指数收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅为 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场？</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一，主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。这一上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一系列关键事件之前，其中包括财报季的非官方开始，这<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>公司</b>.JPM,+1.43% 将于周二开盘，鲍威尔在国会大厦作证<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>以及有关通胀的最新数据。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲，这可能会推动市场走高，”该公司董事约翰-凯里（John Carey）说。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S. 的收入，并补充说，就目前而言，盈利掩盖了不确定性<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>超出计划的基础设施支出和潜在的更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>“凯里告诉 MarketWatch：”大多数人似乎都关注经济的实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性，而股价肯定处于高位。</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡，随后以繁荣告终，部分原因是国债收益率下降。政府债务利率下限引发了人们对美国经济从疫情中复苏前景的质疑。新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株的传播已经成为一个令人担忧的问题，但分配给某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据，对美联储货币政策的质疑也被归咎于一些不稳定的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>10年期MUBMUSD10Y,1.365%收益率周一小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%，而30年期国债收益率STMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%，接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示，缩减每月 1200 亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对通货膨胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并困扰着美国家庭，但一些策略师表示，这些担忧可能对市场来说 “过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>“由杰森-普莱德（Jason Pride）和迈克尔-雷诺兹（Michael Reynolds）领导的格伦米德团队在周一的一份报告中写道：”之前对通胀的担忧和当前对增长峰值的担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断反映，不会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行病中持续复苏的过程中，市场可能会继续波动，因为它们试图适应快速变化的信息流”，但这些因素 “从长远来看不应扰乱市场”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注三角洲驱动的COVID感染。美国以 3385 万例 COVID 病例和 607,156 例死亡病例位居世界第一。安东尼-福奇（Anthony Fauci）博士周一表示，目前不需要加强剂，但在周日接受美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）采访时表示，看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼，并指责 “意识形态僵化 ”阻碍了抗击大流行病的斗争，这令人 “恐惧”。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“本-梅（Ben May）说：”我们早就警告说，接种疫苗不太可能引发向正常的平稳过渡。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津</a>《经济学》全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前，周一没有关键数据公布，首先是周二的消费者价格读数。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外，投资者还关注了20国集团财长之间的讨论，他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“美国财政部长珍妮特-耶伦（Janet Yellen）在就修改国际企业税法向欧盟国家发表讲话时说：”我们需要可持续的收入来源，而不是依赖于对工人工资进一步征税和加剧我们都致力于减少的经济差距。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”我们需要杜绝企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区，杜绝允许企业逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>  <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>  <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>  <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>公司</b>.AVGO,+1.16%周一，《华尔街日报》报道这家芯片和软件公司正在洽谈收购 SAS Institute Inc.，此前该公司股价上涨 1.2%，交易估值可能达到 150 亿至 200 亿美元。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司</b>.AAPL,-0.42% 特拉华州联邦法官驳回了 Blix Inc. 的诉讼，称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害移动操作系统市场的竞争，一天后，AAPL 股价下跌 0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>.LB,+4.16% 表示，该公司将于下个月拆分为两家上市业务，维多利亚的秘密公司（Victoria's Secret&amp;Co.）的内衣部门将更名为 “VSCO”，而 Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. 从 8 月 3 日开始，股票代码为 “BBWI ”。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>公司</b>.GME,-1.04%股价周一下跌1%，此前Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元，但仍远低于该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>韦伯是户外烤架的制造商，在其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世近 50 年后，该公司已申请上市。股份将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>股票代码为WEBR的证券交易所。</li><li>股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid 周一下跌 17.3%，这是自 2020 年 3 月 16 日以来最大的单日百分比跌幅，一天前，创始人理查德-布兰森（Richard Branson）和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的 VSS 成功飞入亚轨道空间。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力航天飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商BASE周一确定了首次公开募股的条款，计划发行700万股股票，每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为 “BASE”。</li><li>股份<b>现代公司</b>该公司表示将向阿根廷供应 2000 万剂 COVID-19 疫苗，周一上涨 2.8%。</li><li>股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">太阳风公司</a>.</b>SWI 周一下跌 1.8%，尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>  <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>  <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>  <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ICE 美元指数 DXY（衡量美元兑六大主要竞争对手的指标）上涨 0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收低，美国基准CL00 CL.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%，收于每桶74.10美元。黄金 GC00 收盘下跌 0.3%，至每盎司 1,805.90 美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面，斯托克欧洲 600 SXXP 指数收盘上涨 0.7%，伦敦<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX 周一收盘上涨 0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一，上证综指上涨 0.7%，香港恒生指数恒生指数上涨 0.6%，日本日经 225 NIK 指数上涨 2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119839711","content_text":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.\nThe record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.\nHow did stock benchmarks end?\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.\nS&P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.\nNasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.\n\nOn Friday, the Dow and S&P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.\nWhat drove the market?\nMajor stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, whichJPMorgan Chase & Co.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill, and fresh readings on inflation.\n“People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of Equity Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in Washington over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.\n“Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.\nEquity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.\nQuestions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.\nYields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.\nFederal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John Williams told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.\nAlthough inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.\n“Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.\n“Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”\nInvestors also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.\n“We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, Oxford Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.\nNo key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.\nSeparately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.\n“We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.\n“We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.\nWhich companies were in focus?\n\nBroadcom Inc.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.\nApple Inc.AAPL,-0.42% shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.\nL Brands Inc.LB,+4.16% said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret & Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath & BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.\nGameStop Inc.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.\nWeber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.\nShares ofVirgin Galactic Holdings Inc. SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into suborbital space on the company’s VSS Unity rocket-powered spaceplane.\nCouchbase Inc. BASE, a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’\nShares ofModerna Inc. MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.\nShares ofSolarWinds Corp. SWI were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.\n\nHow did other assets trade?\n\nThe ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.\nOil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark CL00 CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold GC00 settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.\nIn European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP closed 0.7% higher, while London’s FTSE 100 UKX finished up 0.05% on Monday.\nIn Asia, the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK rallied 2.3% on Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":748,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142324811,"gmtCreate":1626133716833,"gmtModify":1631892243886,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good&nbsp;","listText":"good&nbsp;","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142324811","repostId":"2151353038","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":897,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148317692,"gmtCreate":1625930399616,"gmtModify":1631892243887,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148317692","repostId":"2150375881","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143751397,"gmtCreate":1625819656819,"gmtModify":1631892243894,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment&nbsp;","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143751397","repostId":"1119741032","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119741032","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625803532,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1119741032?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-09 12:05","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"5 Blue Chip Stocks to Buy With Huge Dividends as Interest Rates Plunge<blockquote>利率暴跌时值得购买的 5 只巨额股息蓝筹股</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119741032","media":"24/7 wall street","summary":"Just last month, we were being warned that interest rates were ready to move meaningfully higher as ","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> last month, we were being warned that interest rates were ready to move meaningfully higher as inflation and the Federal Reserve were teaming up to end the massive low interest rate paradigm we have been stuck in for years. Then, seemingly out of nowhere, rates have dived lower, with the 10-year Treasury trading at a 1.32% yield, down from near 1.70% at the end of May. The benchmark 30-year Treasury bond is back at the 1.94% level. These are the lowest interest rate levels since last winter.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>上个月，我们收到警告，随着通胀和美联储联手结束我们多年来陷入的大规模低利率模式，利率准备大幅走高。然后，利率似乎不知从哪里冒出来的，跳水走低，10 年期国债收益率为 1.32%，低于 5 月底的近 1.70%。基准30年期国债收益率回到1.94%的水平。这是自去年冬天以来的最低利率水平。</blockquote></p><p> For income investors, this is another setback in what has become over a ten-year problem. While rates certainly could rise again, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> thing seems certain: the Federal Reserve will not raise rates until it is positive the economy is back at full strength. The only move the Fed looks poised to make in the near term is the beginning of the tapering of the $120 billion per month purchase of Treasury and mortgage debt.</p><p><blockquote>对于收益投资者来说，这是十多年来问题的又一次挫折。虽然利率肯定会再次上升，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>事情似乎是肯定的：在经济全面恢复之前，美联储不会加息。美联储近期内唯一准备采取的举措是开始逐步减少每月 1200 亿美元的国债和抵押贷款债务购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> We screened the BofA Securities research universe looking for blue chip stocks rated Buy that paid at least a 4% dividend. We found five that are very appealing now to growth and income investors. While all are rated Buy, it is important to remember that no single analyst report should be used as a sole basis for any buying or selling decision.</p><p><blockquote>我们筛选了美国银行证券研究领域，寻找支付至少 4% 股息的被评为买入的蓝筹股。我们发现五个现在对增长和收入投资者非常有吸引力。虽然所有报告都被评为买入，但重要的是要记住，任何一份分析师报告都不应被用作任何买卖决策的唯一依据。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MO\">Altria</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MO\">奥驰亚</a></blockquote></p><p> This maker of tobacco products offers value investors a great entry point now and was hit recently as cigarette sales have slowed. Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO) is the parent company of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> USA (cigarettes), UST (smokeless), John Middleton (cigars), Ste. Michelle Wine Estates and Philip Morris Capital. PMUSA enjoys a 51% share of the U.S. cigarette market, led by its top cigarette brand Marlboro.</p><p><blockquote>这家烟草产品制造商现在为价值投资者提供了一个很好的切入点，但最近由于卷烟销售放缓而受到打击。奥驰亚集团公司（纽约证券交易所代码：MO）是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a>美国（香烟），UST（无烟），约翰米德尔顿（雪茄），Ste。米歇尔葡萄酒庄园和菲利普莫里斯资本。PMUSA在美国卷烟市场占有51%的份额，由其顶级卷烟品牌万宝路领导。</blockquote></p><p> Altria also owns over 10% of Anheuser-Busch InBev, the world’s largest brewer. In March 2008, it spun off its international cigarette business to shareholders. In December 2018, the company acquired 35% of Juul Labs, and it has purchased a 45% stake in cannabis company Cronus for $1.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>奥驰亚还拥有全球最大的酿酒商百威英博 10% 以上的股份。2008年3月，该公司将其国际卷烟业务分拆给股东。2018年12月，该公司收购了Juul Labs 35%的股份，并以18亿美元收购了大麻公司Cronus 45%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> BofA Securities is very favorable toward the company’s plans for the future:</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券非常看好公司的未来计划：</blockquote></p><p>   Management presented at CAGNY (Consumer Analyst Group of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>) where it discussed a new corporate focus on ESG, additional details on its IQOS plans and its “Moving beyond smoking” 10-yr plan. Smokeables (cigarettes/cigars) will remain an important part of its strategy, providing funding behind its long-term growth and shareholder returns. Over the last 5-yrs, smokeable and other comprehensive income grew at a 5.5% compounded annual growth rate despite volume declines.  Shareholders receive a 7.35% dividend. The analyst has a $58 target price on the shares, while the consensus target is lower at $53.89. Altria stock closed on Wednesday at $46.79 per share.</p><p><blockquote>管理层出席 CAGNY（消费者分析师集团）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>）讨论了企业对 ESG 的新关注、IQOS 计划的更多细节以及 “超越吸烟 ”10 年计划。可吸烟产品（香烟/雪茄）仍将是其战略的重要组成部分，为其长期增长和股东回报提供资金。过去 5 年，尽管销量下降，但可吸烟和其他综合收入仍以 5.5% 的复合年增长率增长。股东获得7.35%的股息。该分析师对该股的目标价为 58 美元，而普遍目标价较低，为 53.89 美元。奥驰亚股价周三收于每股 46.79 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">人字形</a></blockquote></p><p> This energy giant is a solid way for investors who are more conservative to be positioned in the sector. Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) is a U.S.-based integrated oil and gas company, with worldwide operations in exploration and production, refining and marketing, transportation and petrochemicals. The company sports a sizable dividend and has a solid place in the sector when it comes to natural gas and liquefied natural gas.</p><p><blockquote>对于较为保守的投资者来说，这家能源巨头是进入该行业的可靠途径。雪佛龙公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CVX）是一家总部位于美国的综合石油和天然气公司，业务遍及全球，涵盖勘探和生产、炼油和营销、运输和石化等领域。该公司拥有可观的股息，并且在天然气和液化天然气领域拥有稳固的地位。</blockquote></p><p> With the strongest financial base of the majors, coupled with an attractive relative asset base, many on Wall Street feel that Chevron offers the most straightforwardly positive risk/reward. Although current conditions do not warrant a large focus on production growth, Chevron possesses numerous medium-term drivers (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NBL\">Noble</a> integration, Permian, TCO/WPMP expansion, Gulf of Mexico exploration, Vaca Muerta, and so on) that should support production levels in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>凭借巨头中最强大的财务基础，加上有吸引力的相对资产基础，许多华尔街人士认为雪佛龙提供了最直接的正风险/回报。尽管目前的情况并不值得高度重视产量增长，但雪佛龙拥有众多中期驱动因素（<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NBL\">高尚的</a>整合、二叠纪、总拥有成本/WPMP 扩张、墨西哥湾勘探、Vaca Muerta 等）应该会支持未来几年的生产水平。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></blockquote></p><p> This old-school tech giant still offers investors a very solid entry point. International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) is a leading provider of enterprise solutions, offering a broad portfolio of information technology (IT) hardware, business and IT services, and a full suite of software solutions.</p><p><blockquote>这家老派科技巨头仍然为投资者提供了一个非常坚实的切入点。国际商业机器公司（纽约证券交易所代码：IBM）是一家领先的企业解决方案提供商，提供广泛的信息技术（IT）硬件、业务和IT服务以及全套软件解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> The company integrates its hardware products with its software and services offerings in order to provide high-value solutions. Analysts have cited the company’s potential in the public cloud as a reason for their positive outlook going forward.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将其硬件产品与其软件和服务产品相结合，以提供高价值的解决方案。分析师们认为，该公司在公共云领域的潜力是他们看好未来前景的原因。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Ginni Rommety, who had been in the position since 2012, stepped down in January, and the stock market greeted the news in a very positive manner. Arvind Krishna, who has led the company’s cloud computing business, became the new chief executive. Rometty will remain as executive board chair until the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自 2012 年以来一直担任该职位的首席执行官 Ginni Rommety 于 1 月份辞职，股市对这一消息反应非常积极。曾领导公司云计算业务的阿尔温德-克里希纳（Arvind Krishna）成为新任首席执行官。罗梅蒂将继续担任执行董事会主席，直到今年年底。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Holders of IBM stock receive a 4.69% dividend. The $175 BofA Securities price target is well above the $144.14 consensus figure. The shares closed at $139.82 on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 股票持有人可获得 4.69% 的股息。美国银行证券目标价 175 美元远高于 144.14 美元的共识数字。该股周三收于 139.82 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shareholders receive a 5.21% dividend, which analysts feel comfortable will remain at current levels. The BofA Securities price target is $125, which compares to a $122.48 consensus target and the last Chevron stock trade on Wednesday at $102.93 a share.</p><p><blockquote>股东将获得 5.21% 的股息，分析师认为该股息将保持在当前水平。美国银行证券目标价为 125 美元，而普遍目标价为 122.48 美元，雪佛龙股票周三最后一次交易价格为每股 102.93 美元。</blockquote></p><p> LyondellBasell</p><p><blockquote>利安德巴塞尔</blockquote></p><p> This top chemical company with a sterling balance sheet is another solid play for conservative investors. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE: LYB) manufactures chemicals and polymers, refines crude oil, produces gasoline blending components and develops and licenses technologies for production of polymers.</p><p><blockquote>这家拥有英镑资产负债表的顶级化工公司是保守投资者的又一稳健投资。LyondellBasell Industries N.V.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：LYB）生产化学品和聚合物、精炼原油、生产汽油混合成分以及开发和许可聚合物生产技术。</blockquote></p><p> Over half of earnings are generated in the company’s Olefins and Polyolefins Americas segment, where costs are linked to the price of cheap natural gas in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> States, while selling prices are correlated with the price of oil. The company has pursued a strategy of low-cost, high return on invested capital debottlenecks coupled with cash returns to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>该公司一半以上的收入来自美洲烯烃和聚烯烃部门，该部门的成本与美洲廉价天然气的价格挂钩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>国家，而销售价格与石油价格相关。该公司奉行低成本、高回报的战略，解决投资资本瓶颈，并为股东提供现金回报。</blockquote></p><p> Note that debottlenecking is the process of identifying specific areas or equipment in oil and gas facilities that limit the flow of product (known as bottlenecks) and optimizing them so that overall capacity in the plant can be increased.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，消除瓶颈是识别石油和天然气设施中限制产品流动的特定区域或设备（称为瓶颈）并对其进行优化的过程，以便提高工厂的整体产能。</blockquote></p><p> The company offers a 4.50% dividend. BofA Securities has set a $117 price target. The consensus target is $118.41, and LyondellBasell stock ended Wednesday at $100.40 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该公司提供4.50%的股息。美国银行证券将目标价定为 117 美元。共识目标为 118.41 美元，利安德巴塞尔股价周三收于每股 100.40 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1620372341666","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Blue Chip Stocks to Buy With Huge Dividends as Interest Rates Plunge<blockquote>利率暴跌时值得购买的 5 只巨额股息蓝筹股</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Blue Chip Stocks to Buy With Huge Dividends as Interest Rates Plunge<blockquote>利率暴跌时值得购买的 5 只巨额股息蓝筹股</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">24/7 wall street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-09 12:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> last month, we were being warned that interest rates were ready to move meaningfully higher as inflation and the Federal Reserve were teaming up to end the massive low interest rate paradigm we have been stuck in for years. Then, seemingly out of nowhere, rates have dived lower, with the 10-year Treasury trading at a 1.32% yield, down from near 1.70% at the end of May. The benchmark 30-year Treasury bond is back at the 1.94% level. These are the lowest interest rate levels since last winter.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>上个月，我们收到警告，随着通胀和美联储联手结束我们多年来陷入的大规模低利率模式，利率准备大幅走高。然后，利率似乎不知从哪里冒出来的，跳水走低，10 年期国债收益率为 1.32%，低于 5 月底的近 1.70%。基准30年期国债收益率回到1.94%的水平。这是自去年冬天以来的最低利率水平。</blockquote></p><p> For income investors, this is another setback in what has become over a ten-year problem. While rates certainly could rise again, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> thing seems certain: the Federal Reserve will not raise rates until it is positive the economy is back at full strength. The only move the Fed looks poised to make in the near term is the beginning of the tapering of the $120 billion per month purchase of Treasury and mortgage debt.</p><p><blockquote>对于收益投资者来说，这是十多年来问题的又一次挫折。虽然利率肯定会再次上升，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>事情似乎是肯定的：在经济全面恢复之前，美联储不会加息。美联储近期内唯一准备采取的举措是开始逐步减少每月 1200 亿美元的国债和抵押贷款债务购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> We screened the BofA Securities research universe looking for blue chip stocks rated Buy that paid at least a 4% dividend. We found five that are very appealing now to growth and income investors. While all are rated Buy, it is important to remember that no single analyst report should be used as a sole basis for any buying or selling decision.</p><p><blockquote>我们筛选了美国银行证券研究领域，寻找支付至少 4% 股息的被评为买入的蓝筹股。我们发现五个现在对增长和收入投资者非常有吸引力。虽然所有报告都被评为买入，但重要的是要记住，任何一份分析师报告都不应被用作任何买卖决策的唯一依据。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MO\">Altria</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MO\">奥驰亚</a></blockquote></p><p> This maker of tobacco products offers value investors a great entry point now and was hit recently as cigarette sales have slowed. Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO) is the parent company of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> USA (cigarettes), UST (smokeless), John Middleton (cigars), Ste. Michelle Wine Estates and Philip Morris Capital. PMUSA enjoys a 51% share of the U.S. cigarette market, led by its top cigarette brand Marlboro.</p><p><blockquote>这家烟草产品制造商现在为价值投资者提供了一个很好的切入点，但最近由于卷烟销售放缓而受到打击。奥驰亚集团公司（纽约证券交易所代码：MO）是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a>美国（香烟），UST（无烟），约翰米德尔顿（雪茄），Ste。米歇尔葡萄酒庄园和菲利普莫里斯资本。PMUSA在美国卷烟市场占有51%的份额，由其顶级卷烟品牌万宝路领导。</blockquote></p><p> Altria also owns over 10% of Anheuser-Busch InBev, the world’s largest brewer. In March 2008, it spun off its international cigarette business to shareholders. In December 2018, the company acquired 35% of Juul Labs, and it has purchased a 45% stake in cannabis company Cronus for $1.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>奥驰亚还拥有全球最大的酿酒商百威英博 10% 以上的股份。2008年3月，该公司将其国际卷烟业务分拆给股东。2018年12月，该公司收购了Juul Labs 35%的股份，并以18亿美元收购了大麻公司Cronus 45%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> BofA Securities is very favorable toward the company’s plans for the future:</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券非常看好公司的未来计划：</blockquote></p><p>   Management presented at CAGNY (Consumer Analyst Group of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>) where it discussed a new corporate focus on ESG, additional details on its IQOS plans and its “Moving beyond smoking” 10-yr plan. Smokeables (cigarettes/cigars) will remain an important part of its strategy, providing funding behind its long-term growth and shareholder returns. Over the last 5-yrs, smokeable and other comprehensive income grew at a 5.5% compounded annual growth rate despite volume declines.  Shareholders receive a 7.35% dividend. The analyst has a $58 target price on the shares, while the consensus target is lower at $53.89. Altria stock closed on Wednesday at $46.79 per share.</p><p><blockquote>管理层出席 CAGNY（消费者分析师集团）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>）讨论了企业对 ESG 的新关注、IQOS 计划的更多细节以及 “超越吸烟 ”10 年计划。可吸烟产品（香烟/雪茄）仍将是其战略的重要组成部分，为其长期增长和股东回报提供资金。过去 5 年，尽管销量下降，但可吸烟和其他综合收入仍以 5.5% 的复合年增长率增长。股东获得7.35%的股息。该分析师对该股的目标价为 58 美元，而普遍目标价较低，为 53.89 美元。奥驰亚股价周三收于每股 46.79 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">人字形</a></blockquote></p><p> This energy giant is a solid way for investors who are more conservative to be positioned in the sector. Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) is a U.S.-based integrated oil and gas company, with worldwide operations in exploration and production, refining and marketing, transportation and petrochemicals. The company sports a sizable dividend and has a solid place in the sector when it comes to natural gas and liquefied natural gas.</p><p><blockquote>对于较为保守的投资者来说，这家能源巨头是进入该行业的可靠途径。雪佛龙公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CVX）是一家总部位于美国的综合石油和天然气公司，业务遍及全球，涵盖勘探和生产、炼油和营销、运输和石化等领域。该公司拥有可观的股息，并且在天然气和液化天然气领域拥有稳固的地位。</blockquote></p><p> With the strongest financial base of the majors, coupled with an attractive relative asset base, many on Wall Street feel that Chevron offers the most straightforwardly positive risk/reward. Although current conditions do not warrant a large focus on production growth, Chevron possesses numerous medium-term drivers (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NBL\">Noble</a> integration, Permian, TCO/WPMP expansion, Gulf of Mexico exploration, Vaca Muerta, and so on) that should support production levels in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>凭借巨头中最强大的财务基础，加上有吸引力的相对资产基础，许多华尔街人士认为雪佛龙提供了最直接的正风险/回报。尽管目前的情况并不值得高度重视产量增长，但雪佛龙拥有众多中期驱动因素（<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NBL\">高尚的</a>整合、二叠纪、总拥有成本/WPMP 扩张、墨西哥湾勘探、Vaca Muerta 等）应该会支持未来几年的生产水平。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></blockquote></p><p> This old-school tech giant still offers investors a very solid entry point. International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) is a leading provider of enterprise solutions, offering a broad portfolio of information technology (IT) hardware, business and IT services, and a full suite of software solutions.</p><p><blockquote>这家老派科技巨头仍然为投资者提供了一个非常坚实的切入点。国际商业机器公司（纽约证券交易所代码：IBM）是一家领先的企业解决方案提供商，提供广泛的信息技术（IT）硬件、业务和IT服务以及全套软件解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> The company integrates its hardware products with its software and services offerings in order to provide high-value solutions. Analysts have cited the company’s potential in the public cloud as a reason for their positive outlook going forward.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将其硬件产品与其软件和服务产品相结合，以提供高价值的解决方案。分析师们认为，该公司在公共云领域的潜力是他们看好未来前景的原因。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Ginni Rommety, who had been in the position since 2012, stepped down in January, and the stock market greeted the news in a very positive manner. Arvind Krishna, who has led the company’s cloud computing business, became the new chief executive. Rometty will remain as executive board chair until the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自 2012 年以来一直担任该职位的首席执行官 Ginni Rommety 于 1 月份辞职，股市对这一消息反应非常积极。曾领导公司云计算业务的阿尔温德-克里希纳（Arvind Krishna）成为新任首席执行官。罗梅蒂将继续担任执行董事会主席，直到今年年底。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Holders of IBM stock receive a 4.69% dividend. The $175 BofA Securities price target is well above the $144.14 consensus figure. The shares closed at $139.82 on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 股票持有人可获得 4.69% 的股息。美国银行证券目标价 175 美元远高于 144.14 美元的共识数字。该股周三收于 139.82 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shareholders receive a 5.21% dividend, which analysts feel comfortable will remain at current levels. The BofA Securities price target is $125, which compares to a $122.48 consensus target and the last Chevron stock trade on Wednesday at $102.93 a share.</p><p><blockquote>股东将获得 5.21% 的股息，分析师认为该股息将保持在当前水平。美国银行证券目标价为 125 美元，而普遍目标价为 122.48 美元，雪佛龙股票周三最后一次交易价格为每股 102.93 美元。</blockquote></p><p> LyondellBasell</p><p><blockquote>利安德巴塞尔</blockquote></p><p> This top chemical company with a sterling balance sheet is another solid play for conservative investors. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE: LYB) manufactures chemicals and polymers, refines crude oil, produces gasoline blending components and develops and licenses technologies for production of polymers.</p><p><blockquote>这家拥有英镑资产负债表的顶级化工公司是保守投资者的又一稳健投资。LyondellBasell Industries N.V.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：LYB）生产化学品和聚合物、精炼原油、生产汽油混合成分以及开发和许可聚合物生产技术。</blockquote></p><p> Over half of earnings are generated in the company’s Olefins and Polyolefins Americas segment, where costs are linked to the price of cheap natural gas in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> States, while selling prices are correlated with the price of oil. The company has pursued a strategy of low-cost, high return on invested capital debottlenecks coupled with cash returns to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>该公司一半以上的收入来自美洲烯烃和聚烯烃部门，该部门的成本与美洲廉价天然气的价格挂钩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>国家，而销售价格与石油价格相关。该公司奉行低成本、高回报的战略，解决投资资本瓶颈，并为股东提供现金回报。</blockquote></p><p> Note that debottlenecking is the process of identifying specific areas or equipment in oil and gas facilities that limit the flow of product (known as bottlenecks) and optimizing them so that overall capacity in the plant can be increased.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，消除瓶颈是识别石油和天然气设施中限制产品流动的特定区域或设备（称为瓶颈）并对其进行优化的过程，以便提高工厂的整体产能。</blockquote></p><p> The company offers a 4.50% dividend. BofA Securities has set a $117 price target. The consensus target is $118.41, and LyondellBasell stock ended Wednesday at $100.40 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该公司提供4.50%的股息。美国银行证券将目标价定为 117 美元。共识目标为 118.41 美元，利安德巴塞尔股价周三收于每股 100.40 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://247wallst.com/investing/2021/07/08/5-blue-chip-stocks-to-buy-with-huge-dividends-as-interest-rates-plunge/\">24/7 wall street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://247wallst.com/investing/2021/07/08/5-blue-chip-stocks-to-buy-with-huge-dividends-as-interest-rates-plunge/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119741032","content_text":"Just last month, we were being warned that interest rates were ready to move meaningfully higher as inflation and the Federal Reserve were teaming up to end the massive low interest rate paradigm we have been stuck in for years. Then, seemingly out of nowhere, rates have dived lower, with the 10-year Treasury trading at a 1.32% yield, down from near 1.70% at the end of May. The benchmark 30-year Treasury bond is back at the 1.94% level. These are the lowest interest rate levels since last winter.\nFor income investors, this is another setback in what has become over a ten-year problem. While rates certainly could rise again, one thing seems certain: the Federal Reserve will not raise rates until it is positive the economy is back at full strength. The only move the Fed looks poised to make in the near term is the beginning of the tapering of the $120 billion per month purchase of Treasury and mortgage debt.\nWe screened the BofA Securities research universe looking for blue chip stocks rated Buy that paid at least a 4% dividend. We found five that are very appealing now to growth and income investors. While all are rated Buy, it is important to remember that no single analyst report should be used as a sole basis for any buying or selling decision.\nAltria\nThis maker of tobacco products offers value investors a great entry point now and was hit recently as cigarette sales have slowed. Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO) is the parent company of Philip Morris USA (cigarettes), UST (smokeless), John Middleton (cigars), Ste. Michelle Wine Estates and Philip Morris Capital. PMUSA enjoys a 51% share of the U.S. cigarette market, led by its top cigarette brand Marlboro.\nAltria also owns over 10% of Anheuser-Busch InBev, the world’s largest brewer. In March 2008, it spun off its international cigarette business to shareholders. In December 2018, the company acquired 35% of Juul Labs, and it has purchased a 45% stake in cannabis company Cronus for $1.8 billion.\nBofA Securities is very favorable toward the company’s plans for the future:\n\n Management presented at CAGNY (Consumer Analyst Group of New York) where it discussed a new corporate focus on ESG, additional details on its IQOS plans and its “Moving beyond smoking” 10-yr plan. Smokeables (cigarettes/cigars) will remain an important part of its strategy, providing funding behind its long-term growth and shareholder returns. Over the last 5-yrs, smokeable and other comprehensive income grew at a 5.5% compounded annual growth rate despite volume declines.\n\nShareholders receive a 7.35% dividend. The analyst has a $58 target price on the shares, while the consensus target is lower at $53.89. Altria stock closed on Wednesday at $46.79 per share.\nChevron\nThis energy giant is a solid way for investors who are more conservative to be positioned in the sector. Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) is a U.S.-based integrated oil and gas company, with worldwide operations in exploration and production, refining and marketing, transportation and petrochemicals. The company sports a sizable dividend and has a solid place in the sector when it comes to natural gas and liquefied natural gas.\nWith the strongest financial base of the majors, coupled with an attractive relative asset base, many on Wall Street feel that Chevron offers the most straightforwardly positive risk/reward. Although current conditions do not warrant a large focus on production growth, Chevron possesses numerous medium-term drivers (Noble integration, Permian, TCO/WPMP expansion, Gulf of Mexico exploration, Vaca Muerta, and so on) that should support production levels in the coming years.\nIBM\nThis old-school tech giant still offers investors a very solid entry point. International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) is a leading provider of enterprise solutions, offering a broad portfolio of information technology (IT) hardware, business and IT services, and a full suite of software solutions.\nThe company integrates its hardware products with its software and services offerings in order to provide high-value solutions. Analysts have cited the company’s potential in the public cloud as a reason for their positive outlook going forward.\nCEO Ginni Rommety, who had been in the position since 2012, stepped down in January, and the stock market greeted the news in a very positive manner. Arvind Krishna, who has led the company’s cloud computing business, became the new chief executive. Rometty will remain as executive board chair until the end of the year.\nHolders of IBM stock receive a 4.69% dividend. The $175 BofA Securities price target is well above the $144.14 consensus figure. The shares closed at $139.82 on Wednesday.\nShareholders receive a 5.21% dividend, which analysts feel comfortable will remain at current levels. The BofA Securities price target is $125, which compares to a $122.48 consensus target and the last Chevron stock trade on Wednesday at $102.93 a share.\nLyondellBasell\nThis top chemical company with a sterling balance sheet is another solid play for conservative investors. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE: LYB) manufactures chemicals and polymers, refines crude oil, produces gasoline blending components and develops and licenses technologies for production of polymers.\nOver half of earnings are generated in the company’s Olefins and Polyolefins Americas segment, where costs are linked to the price of cheap natural gas in the United States, while selling prices are correlated with the price of oil. The company has pursued a strategy of low-cost, high return on invested capital debottlenecks coupled with cash returns to shareholders.\nNote that debottlenecking is the process of identifying specific areas or equipment in oil and gas facilities that limit the flow of product (known as bottlenecks) and optimizing them so that overall capacity in the plant can be increased.\nThe company offers a 4.50% dividend. BofA Securities has set a $117 price target. The consensus target is $118.41, and LyondellBasell stock ended Wednesday at $100.40 a share.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":858,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154653677,"gmtCreate":1625526928999,"gmtModify":1631892243894,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like anc comment&nbsp;","listText":"like anc comment&nbsp;","text":"like anc comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154653677","repostId":"1155435134","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155435134","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625483300,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1155435134?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-05 19:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Does the End of the Quarter Mean for Portfolio Management?<blockquote>季度末对投资组合管理意味着什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155435134","media":"investopedia","summary":"The \"end of the quarter\" refers to the conclusion of one of four specific three-month periods on the","content":"<p>The \"end of the quarter\" refers to the conclusion of one of four specific three-month periods on the financial calendar. Thefour quartersend in March, or Q1; June, or Q2; September, or Q3; and December, or Q4. These are considered important times for investors. Many businesses, analysts, government agencies, and theFederal Reserverelease critical new data about various markets or economic indicators at the end of a quarter.</p><p><blockquote>“季度末”是指财务日历上四个特定三个月期间之一的结束。三月份发送的四个季度，即第一季度；六月，或Q2；九月，或第三季度；和 12 月，或第四季度。这被认为是投资者的重要时刻。许多企业、分析师、政府机构和美联储会在季度末发布有关各种市场或经济指标的重要新数据。</blockquote></p><p> There's a widely held belief in financial circles that hedge funds, pension funds, and insurance companies always rebalance their portfolios at the end of each quarter. While no proof or evidence has ever been put forward to confirm this practice or its prevalence, the very idea reinforces the concept that the end of a quarter is significant.</p><p><blockquote>金融界普遍认为，对冲基金、养老基金和保险公司总是会在每个季度末重新平衡其投资组合。虽然从来没有证据或证据被提出来证实这种做法或其流行，但这个想法本身强化了季度末是重要的概念。</blockquote></p><p> Even if major financial players do not always rebalance at the end of quarters, many investors use this time to re-evaluate their ownportfolio management, changing which assets comprise the portfolio or setting new portfolio targets. Not only is it a good idea for investors to monitor their investments from time-to-time but rarely is so much new, actionable information released as during the end of a quarter.</p><p><blockquote>即使主要金融参与者并不总是在季度末重新平衡，许多投资者也会利用这段时间重新评估自己的投资组合管理，改变投资组合中的资产或设定新的投资组合目标。对于投资者来说，不时监控他们的投资不仅是一个好主意，而且很少有像季度末那样发布如此多的新的、可操作的信息。</blockquote></p><p> Rebalancing a Portfolio</p><p><blockquote>重新平衡投资组合</blockquote></p><p> Rebalancinginvolves the periodic sale and purchase of assets within a portfolio to maintain a target ratio.2Consider an investor who wants his portfolio to be comprised of 50% growth stocks, 25% income stocks, and 25% bonds. If during Q1, the growth stocks outperform the other investments substantially, the investor may decide to sell some growth stocks or purchase more income stocks and bonds to bring the portfolio back to a 50-25-25 split.</p><p><blockquote>再平衡涉及定期出售和购买投资组合内的资产以维持目标比率。2考虑一位投资者，他希望他的投资组合由 50% 的成长型股票、25% 的收益型股票和 25% 的债券组成。如果在第一季度，成长型股票的表现大幅优于其他投资，投资者可能会决定出售一些成长型股票或购买更多收益股票和债券，以使投资组合恢复到 50-25-25 的比例。</blockquote></p><p> KEY TAKEAWAYS</p><p><blockquote>主要要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The end of the three-month period known as a financial quarter is considered an important time for investors.</li>  <li>Companies, financial analysts, and government agencies (including the Fed) all release reports and critical data at the end of a quarter.</li>  <li>Both retail and institutional investors often use the end of a quarter to re-evaluate and rebalance their portfolios.</li> </ul> Traditional rebalancing involves trading the gains of well-performing assets, by selling high, for more low-performing assets, by buying low, at the end of each quarter. Theoretically, this serves to protect a portfolio from being too exposed or straying too far from its original strategy. However, pegging rebalances to the end of quarters relies on arbitrary calendar events which may not coincide with market movements. Nevertheless, the confluence of new reports that emerge at the end of quarters usually causes market reactions and should be of concern to most participants.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>被称为财务季度的三个月期末被认为是投资者的重要时刻。</li><li>公司、金融分析师和政府机构（包括美联储）都会在季度末发布报告和关键数据。</li><li>散户和机构投资者经常利用季度末来重新评估和平衡他们的投资组合。</li></ul>传统的再平衡涉及在每个季度末通过高位卖出来交换表现良好的资产的收益，以低位买入来交换表现较差的资产。理论上，这有助于保护投资组合不会过度暴露或偏离其原始策略太远。然而，将重新平衡与季度末挂钩依赖于可能与市场走势不一致的任意日历事件。然而，季度末出现的新报告的汇聚通常会引起市场反应，应该引起大多数参与者的关注。</blockquote></p><p> Institutional Investors and Rebalancing</p><p><blockquote>机构投资者与再平衡</blockquote></p><p> It is not just individual investors who consider making portfolio moves at the end of quarters. Portfolio management is also important for institutional investors, like mutual funds and exchange-traded funds, or ETFs.3</p><p><blockquote>不仅仅是个人投资者考虑在季度末进行投资组合变动。投资组合管理对于共同基金和交易所交易基金（ETF）等机构投资者也很重要。3</blockquote></p><p> There are two forms of fund portfolio management: active and passive.4Passive funds generally peg their portfolios to market indexes and involve fewer changes in exchange for lower management fees. The end of a quarter is less significant for these types of funds, though if theirbenchmark indexeschange at this time, they will as well.</p><p><blockquote>基金投资组合管理有两种形式：主动和被动。4被动基金通常将其投资组合与市场指数挂钩，并涉及较少的变化，以换取较低的管理费。季度末对于这些类型的基金来说意义不大，但如果它们的基准指数在这个时候发生变化，它们也会发生变化。</blockquote></p><p> Active funds have a manager or team of managers who take a more proactive approach to beat market average returns. These funds can be quite active during the end of quarters, especially if their portfolios need to be adjusted to meet their previously stated goals and strategies.</p><p><blockquote>主动型基金的经理或经理团队采取更积极主动的方法来超越市场平均回报。这些基金在季度末可能会非常活跃，特别是如果他们的投资组合需要调整以满足他们之前陈述的目标和战略。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Does the End of the Quarter Mean for Portfolio Management?<blockquote>季度末对投资组合管理意味着什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Does the End of the Quarter Mean for Portfolio Management?<blockquote>季度末对投资组合管理意味着什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investopedia</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-05 19:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The \"end of the quarter\" refers to the conclusion of one of four specific three-month periods on the financial calendar. Thefour quartersend in March, or Q1; June, or Q2; September, or Q3; and December, or Q4. These are considered important times for investors. Many businesses, analysts, government agencies, and theFederal Reserverelease critical new data about various markets or economic indicators at the end of a quarter.</p><p><blockquote>“季度末”是指财务日历上四个特定三个月期间之一的结束。三月份发送的四个季度，即第一季度；六月，或Q2；九月，或第三季度；和 12 月，或第四季度。这被认为是投资者的重要时刻。许多企业、分析师、政府机构和美联储会在季度末发布有关各种市场或经济指标的重要新数据。</blockquote></p><p> There's a widely held belief in financial circles that hedge funds, pension funds, and insurance companies always rebalance their portfolios at the end of each quarter. While no proof or evidence has ever been put forward to confirm this practice or its prevalence, the very idea reinforces the concept that the end of a quarter is significant.</p><p><blockquote>金融界普遍认为，对冲基金、养老基金和保险公司总是会在每个季度末重新平衡其投资组合。虽然从来没有证据或证据被提出来证实这种做法或其流行，但这个想法本身强化了季度末是重要的概念。</blockquote></p><p> Even if major financial players do not always rebalance at the end of quarters, many investors use this time to re-evaluate their ownportfolio management, changing which assets comprise the portfolio or setting new portfolio targets. Not only is it a good idea for investors to monitor their investments from time-to-time but rarely is so much new, actionable information released as during the end of a quarter.</p><p><blockquote>即使主要金融参与者并不总是在季度末重新平衡，许多投资者也会利用这段时间重新评估自己的投资组合管理，改变投资组合中的资产或设定新的投资组合目标。对于投资者来说，不时监控他们的投资不仅是一个好主意，而且很少有像季度末那样发布如此多的新的、可操作的信息。</blockquote></p><p> Rebalancing a Portfolio</p><p><blockquote>重新平衡投资组合</blockquote></p><p> Rebalancinginvolves the periodic sale and purchase of assets within a portfolio to maintain a target ratio.2Consider an investor who wants his portfolio to be comprised of 50% growth stocks, 25% income stocks, and 25% bonds. If during Q1, the growth stocks outperform the other investments substantially, the investor may decide to sell some growth stocks or purchase more income stocks and bonds to bring the portfolio back to a 50-25-25 split.</p><p><blockquote>再平衡涉及定期出售和购买投资组合内的资产以维持目标比率。2考虑一位投资者，他希望他的投资组合由 50% 的成长型股票、25% 的收益型股票和 25% 的债券组成。如果在第一季度，成长型股票的表现大幅优于其他投资，投资者可能会决定出售一些成长型股票或购买更多收益股票和债券，以使投资组合恢复到 50-25-25 的比例。</blockquote></p><p> KEY TAKEAWAYS</p><p><blockquote>主要要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The end of the three-month period known as a financial quarter is considered an important time for investors.</li>  <li>Companies, financial analysts, and government agencies (including the Fed) all release reports and critical data at the end of a quarter.</li>  <li>Both retail and institutional investors often use the end of a quarter to re-evaluate and rebalance their portfolios.</li> </ul> Traditional rebalancing involves trading the gains of well-performing assets, by selling high, for more low-performing assets, by buying low, at the end of each quarter. Theoretically, this serves to protect a portfolio from being too exposed or straying too far from its original strategy. However, pegging rebalances to the end of quarters relies on arbitrary calendar events which may not coincide with market movements. Nevertheless, the confluence of new reports that emerge at the end of quarters usually causes market reactions and should be of concern to most participants.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>被称为财务季度的三个月期末被认为是投资者的重要时刻。</li><li>公司、金融分析师和政府机构（包括美联储）都会在季度末发布报告和关键数据。</li><li>散户和机构投资者经常利用季度末来重新评估和平衡他们的投资组合。</li></ul>传统的再平衡涉及在每个季度末通过高位卖出来交换表现良好的资产的收益，以低位买入来交换表现较差的资产。理论上，这有助于保护投资组合不会过度暴露或偏离其原始策略太远。然而，将重新平衡与季度末挂钩依赖于可能与市场走势不一致的任意日历事件。然而，季度末出现的新报告的汇聚通常会引起市场反应，应该引起大多数参与者的关注。</blockquote></p><p> Institutional Investors and Rebalancing</p><p><blockquote>机构投资者与再平衡</blockquote></p><p> It is not just individual investors who consider making portfolio moves at the end of quarters. Portfolio management is also important for institutional investors, like mutual funds and exchange-traded funds, or ETFs.3</p><p><blockquote>不仅仅是个人投资者考虑在季度末进行投资组合变动。投资组合管理对于共同基金和交易所交易基金（ETF）等机构投资者也很重要。3</blockquote></p><p> There are two forms of fund portfolio management: active and passive.4Passive funds generally peg their portfolios to market indexes and involve fewer changes in exchange for lower management fees. The end of a quarter is less significant for these types of funds, though if theirbenchmark indexeschange at this time, they will as well.</p><p><blockquote>基金投资组合管理有两种形式：主动和被动。4被动基金通常将其投资组合与市场指数挂钩，并涉及较少的变化，以换取较低的管理费。季度末对于这些类型的基金来说意义不大，但如果它们的基准指数在这个时候发生变化，它们也会发生变化。</blockquote></p><p> Active funds have a manager or team of managers who take a more proactive approach to beat market average returns. These funds can be quite active during the end of quarters, especially if their portfolios need to be adjusted to meet their previously stated goals and strategies.</p><p><blockquote>主动型基金的经理或经理团队采取更积极主动的方法来超越市场平均回报。这些基金在季度末可能会非常活跃，特别是如果他们的投资组合需要调整以满足他们之前陈述的目标和战略。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/122214/what-does-end-quarter-mean-portfolio-management.asp?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral\">investopedia</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/122214/what-does-end-quarter-mean-portfolio-management.asp?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155435134","content_text":"The \"end of the quarter\" refers to the conclusion of one of four specific three-month periods on the financial calendar. Thefour quartersend in March, or Q1; June, or Q2; September, or Q3; and December, or Q4. These are considered important times for investors. Many businesses, analysts, government agencies, and theFederal Reserverelease critical new data about various markets or economic indicators at the end of a quarter.\nThere's a widely held belief in financial circles that hedge funds, pension funds, and insurance companies always rebalance their portfolios at the end of each quarter. While no proof or evidence has ever been put forward to confirm this practice or its prevalence, the very idea reinforces the concept that the end of a quarter is significant.\nEven if major financial players do not always rebalance at the end of quarters, many investors use this time to re-evaluate their ownportfolio management, changing which assets comprise the portfolio or setting new portfolio targets. Not only is it a good idea for investors to monitor their investments from time-to-time but rarely is so much new, actionable information released as during the end of a quarter.\nRebalancing a Portfolio\nRebalancinginvolves the periodic sale and purchase of assets within a portfolio to maintain a target ratio.2Consider an investor who wants his portfolio to be comprised of 50% growth stocks, 25% income stocks, and 25% bonds. If during Q1, the growth stocks outperform the other investments substantially, the investor may decide to sell some growth stocks or purchase more income stocks and bonds to bring the portfolio back to a 50-25-25 split.\nKEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nThe end of the three-month period known as a financial quarter is considered an important time for investors.\nCompanies, financial analysts, and government agencies (including the Fed) all release reports and critical data at the end of a quarter.\nBoth retail and institutional investors often use the end of a quarter to re-evaluate and rebalance their portfolios.\n\nTraditional rebalancing involves trading the gains of well-performing assets, by selling high, for more low-performing assets, by buying low, at the end of each quarter. Theoretically, this serves to protect a portfolio from being too exposed or straying too far from its original strategy. However, pegging rebalances to the end of quarters relies on arbitrary calendar events which may not coincide with market movements. Nevertheless, the confluence of new reports that emerge at the end of quarters usually causes market reactions and should be of concern to most participants.\nInstitutional Investors and Rebalancing\nIt is not just individual investors who consider making portfolio moves at the end of quarters. Portfolio management is also important for institutional investors, like mutual funds and exchange-traded funds, or ETFs.3\nThere are two forms of fund portfolio management: active and passive.4Passive funds generally peg their portfolios to market indexes and involve fewer changes in exchange for lower management fees. The end of a quarter is less significant for these types of funds, though if theirbenchmark indexeschange at this time, they will as well.\nActive funds have a manager or team of managers who take a more proactive approach to beat market average returns. These funds can be quite active during the end of quarters, especially if their portfolios need to be adjusted to meet their previously stated goals and strategies.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155162857,"gmtCreate":1625390036379,"gmtModify":1631892243897,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like anc comment&nbsp;","listText":"like anc comment&nbsp;","text":"like anc comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155162857","repostId":"1140994998","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155162311,"gmtCreate":1625390010833,"gmtModify":1631892243900,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment&nbsp;","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155162311","repostId":"1109375790","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109375790","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625370494,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1109375790?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-04 11:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why high-quality, trustworthy companies have beaten the S&P 500 by 30%-50%<blockquote>为什么高质量、值得信赖的公司击败标普500 30%-50%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109375790","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"More predictable businesses tend to be more profitable stock investments.Trust is one of the most valuable assets a company can cultivate.  Within an organization, trust percolates into culture. Outside an organization, it translates into loyalty.  Quality shareholders  who value long-term trust among all stakeholders — employees, customers and shareholders — maintain this viewpoint in their investment practice.TheTrust Across America initiative has identified the most trustworthy U.S. public co","content":"<p>  <b>More predictable businesses tend to be more profitable stock investments.</b>  Trust is one of the most valuable assets a company can cultivate.&nbsp; Within an organization, trust percolates into culture.&nbsp;Outside an organization, it translates into loyalty.&nbsp; Quality shareholders (QS) who value long-term trust among all stakeholders — employees, customers and shareholders —&nbsp;maintain this&nbsp;viewpoint in their investment practice.</p><p><blockquote><b>更可预测的业务往往是更有利可图的股票投资。</b>信任是公司可以培养的最有价值的资产之一。在组织内部，信任渗透到文化中。在组织之外，它转化为忠诚。重视所有利益相关者（员工、客户和股东）之间长期信任的优质股东（QS）在他们的投资实践中坚持这一观点。</blockquote></p><p> TheTrust Across America(TAA) initiative has identified the most&nbsp;trustworthy&nbsp;U.S. public&nbsp;companies using objective&nbsp;and quantitative&nbsp;indicators including accounting&nbsp;conservativeness&nbsp;and financial stability, as well as a secondary screen of more subjective criteria such as employee reviews and news reports.</p><p><blockquote>全美信任（TAA）倡议已经确定了最值得信赖的美国。上市公司使用客观和定量指标，包括会计保守性和财务稳定性，以及员工评论和新闻报道等更主观标准的次要筛选。</blockquote></p><p> Companies regarded as trustworthy also tend to rate highly in rankings of shareholder quality produced by the&nbsp;Quality Shareholders Initiative&nbsp;(QSI), which I run, as well as the proprietary database of&nbsp;EQX, which I use to cross-check the QSI data.</p><p><blockquote>被认为值得信赖的公司在我运营的质量股东倡议 (QSI) 以及我用来交叉检查 QSI 数据的 EQX 专有数据库产生的股东质量排名中也往往评价很高。</blockquote></p><p> TAA’s assessment of the S&amp;P 500SPX,+0.75%in 2020 identified 51 companies, of which 49&nbsp;are also included in the QSI rankings. Comparing the two, more than one-fourth of the top TAA companies are in the top decile of the QSI; two-thirds are in the top quarter, and all but two (92%) are in the top half.</p><p><blockquote>TAA 对 2020 年标准普尔 500SPX 指数+0.75% 的评估确定了 51 家公司，其中 49 家公司也被纳入了 QSI 排名。两者相比，超过四分之一的顶级TAA公司位于QSI的前十分之一；三分之二的人处于前四分之一，除了两人（92%）之外，其余人都处于前五分之一。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, both the TAA top 10 and the QSI Top 25 outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 30% and 50%, respectively, in recent five-year periods. Here’s a sampling of companies scoring high on both trust and quality:</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，在过去五年中，TAA 前 10 名和 QSI 前 25 名的表现分别优于标普500 30% 和 50%。以下是一些在信任度和质量方面得分都很高的公司：</blockquote></p><p> Texas InstrumentsTXN,+0.72%makes most of its revenue selling computer chips and is among the world’s largest manufacturers of semiconductors. Founded by a group of electrical engineers in 1951, the company boasts a culture of intelligent innovation. Its business is protected by four protective “moats” including: manufacturing and technology skill thanks to its employees; a broad portfolio of processing chips to meet a wide range of customer needs; the reach of its market channels thanks to both, and its diversity and longevity.</p><p><blockquote>德州仪器STXN,+0.72% 的大部分收入来自销售计算机芯片，是全球最大的半导体制造商之一。该公司由一群电气工程师于1951年创立，拥有智能创新的文化。其业务受到四条保护 “护城河 ”的保护，其中包括：员工的制造和技术技能；广泛的处理芯片组合，以满足广泛的客户需求；其市场渠道的覆盖范围得益于这两者，以及其多样性和寿命。</blockquote></p><p> For investors, this adds up to a winning recipe, particularly when combined with Texas Instruments’s capital management strategy, which is to maximize the company’s long-term growth in free cash-flow per share and to&nbsp;allocate such capital in accordance with the QS playbook&nbsp;that prioritizes wise reinvestment, disciplined acquisitions, low-priced share buybacks and shareholder dividends. Some of the company’s notable QSs include: Alliance Bernstein, Bessemer Group, Capital World Investors, State Farm Mutual, and T. Rowe Price Group.</p><p><blockquote>对于投资者来说，这是一个成功的秘诀，尤其是与德州仪器的资本管理战略相结合，即最大限度地提高公司每股自由现金流的长期增长，并根据 QS 的策略来分配此类资本，该策略优先考虑明智的再投资、有纪律的收购、低价股票回购和股东分红。该公司的一些著名 QS 包括： Alliance Bernstein、Bessemer Group、Capital World Investors、State Farm Mutual 和 T. Rowe Price Group。</blockquote></p><p> Another stock on this list, EcolabECL,+0.77%,is a global leader in water treatment. Founded in 1923 as the Economics Laboratory, its long-term outlook shows in the longevity of senior leadership: the company has had just seven CEOs in almost 100 years of existence.</p><p><blockquote>该名单上的另一只股票 EcolabECL,+0.77%，是水处理领域的全球领导者。该公司成立于 1923 年，当时名为经济实验室，其长期前景体现在高级领导层的长寿之中：该公司在近 100 年的历史中只有 7 位首席执行官。</blockquote></p><p> Those CEOs inculcated a culture of customer care, a relentless focus on helping customers solve problems and meet goals. A learning organization, such a performance culture permeates the business from production to sales, as employees commit to the long-term goal of being indispensable to customers. Management rewards that employee conviction with long-term incentives and a high degree of autonomy.&nbsp;Ecolab’s QSs include: Cantillon Capital, Clearbridge Investments, Franklin Resources, and the Gates Foundation.</p><p><blockquote>这些首席执行官灌输了一种客户服务文化，一种不懈地帮助客户解决问题和实现目标的文化。作为一个学习型组织，这种绩效文化渗透到从生产到销售的业务中，因为员工致力于成为客户不可或缺的长期目标。管理层以长期激励和高度自主权来奖励员工的信念。艺康的 QSs 包括： Cantillon Capital、Clearbridge Investments、Franklin Resources 和盖茨基金会。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, consider Ball CorporationBLL,-0.68%,the world’s largest manufacturer of recyclable containers.&nbsp; Founded in the late 1800s by two brother-entrepreneurs who foresaw that the Mason jar patent was about to expire and built a glassblowing facility to manufacture such jars.</p><p><blockquote>最后，以全球最大的可回收容器制造商 Ball CorporationBLL（-0.68%）为例。该公司由两兄弟企业家创立于 19 世纪末，他们预见到梅森罐专利即将到期，于是建造了一家玻璃吹制厂来生产这种罐子。</blockquote></p><p> Ball remains characterized by a culture of family, innovation and natural-resources conscientiousness. For instance, Ball foresaw the ecological and commercial need to pivot away from PET and glass containers, both costly to recycle and posing environmental damage, and towards eco-friendly and profitable aluminum. The company adopts economic value added (EVA) to assure every dollar is well-spent, long-term employee incentive compensation to reward long-term sustainable growth, and a spirit of entrepreneurial freedom. QSs include: Chilton Investment Co.; T. Rowe Price; Wellington&nbsp;Management Group and&nbsp;Winslow Capital Management.</p><p><blockquote>鲍尔仍然以家庭文化、创新和自然资源意识为特征。例如，鲍尔预见到生态和商业需要摆脱 PET 和玻璃容器（回收成本高昂且会造成环境破坏），转向环保且有利可图的铝。公司采用经济增加值（EVA）来确保每一分钱都物有所值，长期的员工激励薪酬来奖励长期的可持续增长，以及企业家自由的精神。QSs包括：奇尔顿投资公司；T.罗·普莱斯；惠灵顿管理集团和温斯洛资本管理公司。</blockquote></p><p> While some investors focus solely on the bottom line and others only on signals of corporate virtue, QSs are holistic, considering the inherent relationship between trust and long-term value. Nebulous as the notion of trust in corporate culture might seem, it’s a profitable as well as ethical value to probe.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些投资者只关注底线，而另一些投资者只关注企业美德的信号，但考虑到信任和长期价值之间的内在关系，QSs是整体的。尽管企业文化中的信任概念看似模糊，但它既有利润价值，也有道德价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why high-quality, trustworthy companies have beaten the S&P 500 by 30%-50%<blockquote>为什么高质量、值得信赖的公司击败标普500 30%-50%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy high-quality, trustworthy companies have beaten the S&P 500 by 30%-50%<blockquote>为什么高质量、值得信赖的公司击败标普500 30%-50%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-04 11:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>More predictable businesses tend to be more profitable stock investments.</b>  Trust is one of the most valuable assets a company can cultivate.&nbsp; Within an organization, trust percolates into culture.&nbsp;Outside an organization, it translates into loyalty.&nbsp; Quality shareholders (QS) who value long-term trust among all stakeholders — employees, customers and shareholders —&nbsp;maintain this&nbsp;viewpoint in their investment practice.</p><p><blockquote><b>更可预测的业务往往是更有利可图的股票投资。</b>信任是公司可以培养的最有价值的资产之一。在组织内部，信任渗透到文化中。在组织之外，它转化为忠诚。重视所有利益相关者（员工、客户和股东）之间长期信任的优质股东（QS）在他们的投资实践中坚持这一观点。</blockquote></p><p> TheTrust Across America(TAA) initiative has identified the most&nbsp;trustworthy&nbsp;U.S. public&nbsp;companies using objective&nbsp;and quantitative&nbsp;indicators including accounting&nbsp;conservativeness&nbsp;and financial stability, as well as a secondary screen of more subjective criteria such as employee reviews and news reports.</p><p><blockquote>全美信任（TAA）倡议已经确定了最值得信赖的美国。上市公司使用客观和定量指标，包括会计保守性和财务稳定性，以及员工评论和新闻报道等更主观标准的次要筛选。</blockquote></p><p> Companies regarded as trustworthy also tend to rate highly in rankings of shareholder quality produced by the&nbsp;Quality Shareholders Initiative&nbsp;(QSI), which I run, as well as the proprietary database of&nbsp;EQX, which I use to cross-check the QSI data.</p><p><blockquote>被认为值得信赖的公司在我运营的质量股东倡议 (QSI) 以及我用来交叉检查 QSI 数据的 EQX 专有数据库产生的股东质量排名中也往往评价很高。</blockquote></p><p> TAA’s assessment of the S&amp;P 500SPX,+0.75%in 2020 identified 51 companies, of which 49&nbsp;are also included in the QSI rankings. Comparing the two, more than one-fourth of the top TAA companies are in the top decile of the QSI; two-thirds are in the top quarter, and all but two (92%) are in the top half.</p><p><blockquote>TAA 对 2020 年标准普尔 500SPX 指数+0.75% 的评估确定了 51 家公司，其中 49 家公司也被纳入了 QSI 排名。两者相比，超过四分之一的顶级TAA公司位于QSI的前十分之一；三分之二的人处于前四分之一，除了两人（92%）之外，其余人都处于前五分之一。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, both the TAA top 10 and the QSI Top 25 outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 30% and 50%, respectively, in recent five-year periods. Here’s a sampling of companies scoring high on both trust and quality:</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，在过去五年中，TAA 前 10 名和 QSI 前 25 名的表现分别优于标普500 30% 和 50%。以下是一些在信任度和质量方面得分都很高的公司：</blockquote></p><p> Texas InstrumentsTXN,+0.72%makes most of its revenue selling computer chips and is among the world’s largest manufacturers of semiconductors. Founded by a group of electrical engineers in 1951, the company boasts a culture of intelligent innovation. Its business is protected by four protective “moats” including: manufacturing and technology skill thanks to its employees; a broad portfolio of processing chips to meet a wide range of customer needs; the reach of its market channels thanks to both, and its diversity and longevity.</p><p><blockquote>德州仪器STXN,+0.72% 的大部分收入来自销售计算机芯片，是全球最大的半导体制造商之一。该公司由一群电气工程师于1951年创立，拥有智能创新的文化。其业务受到四条保护 “护城河 ”的保护，其中包括：员工的制造和技术技能；广泛的处理芯片组合，以满足广泛的客户需求；其市场渠道的覆盖范围得益于这两者，以及其多样性和寿命。</blockquote></p><p> For investors, this adds up to a winning recipe, particularly when combined with Texas Instruments’s capital management strategy, which is to maximize the company’s long-term growth in free cash-flow per share and to&nbsp;allocate such capital in accordance with the QS playbook&nbsp;that prioritizes wise reinvestment, disciplined acquisitions, low-priced share buybacks and shareholder dividends. Some of the company’s notable QSs include: Alliance Bernstein, Bessemer Group, Capital World Investors, State Farm Mutual, and T. Rowe Price Group.</p><p><blockquote>对于投资者来说，这是一个成功的秘诀，尤其是与德州仪器的资本管理战略相结合，即最大限度地提高公司每股自由现金流的长期增长，并根据 QS 的策略来分配此类资本，该策略优先考虑明智的再投资、有纪律的收购、低价股票回购和股东分红。该公司的一些著名 QS 包括： Alliance Bernstein、Bessemer Group、Capital World Investors、State Farm Mutual 和 T. Rowe Price Group。</blockquote></p><p> Another stock on this list, EcolabECL,+0.77%,is a global leader in water treatment. Founded in 1923 as the Economics Laboratory, its long-term outlook shows in the longevity of senior leadership: the company has had just seven CEOs in almost 100 years of existence.</p><p><blockquote>该名单上的另一只股票 EcolabECL,+0.77%，是水处理领域的全球领导者。该公司成立于 1923 年，当时名为经济实验室，其长期前景体现在高级领导层的长寿之中：该公司在近 100 年的历史中只有 7 位首席执行官。</blockquote></p><p> Those CEOs inculcated a culture of customer care, a relentless focus on helping customers solve problems and meet goals. A learning organization, such a performance culture permeates the business from production to sales, as employees commit to the long-term goal of being indispensable to customers. Management rewards that employee conviction with long-term incentives and a high degree of autonomy.&nbsp;Ecolab’s QSs include: Cantillon Capital, Clearbridge Investments, Franklin Resources, and the Gates Foundation.</p><p><blockquote>这些首席执行官灌输了一种客户服务文化，一种不懈地帮助客户解决问题和实现目标的文化。作为一个学习型组织，这种绩效文化渗透到从生产到销售的业务中，因为员工致力于成为客户不可或缺的长期目标。管理层以长期激励和高度自主权来奖励员工的信念。艺康的 QSs 包括： Cantillon Capital、Clearbridge Investments、Franklin Resources 和盖茨基金会。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, consider Ball CorporationBLL,-0.68%,the world’s largest manufacturer of recyclable containers.&nbsp; Founded in the late 1800s by two brother-entrepreneurs who foresaw that the Mason jar patent was about to expire and built a glassblowing facility to manufacture such jars.</p><p><blockquote>最后，以全球最大的可回收容器制造商 Ball CorporationBLL（-0.68%）为例。该公司由两兄弟企业家创立于 19 世纪末，他们预见到梅森罐专利即将到期，于是建造了一家玻璃吹制厂来生产这种罐子。</blockquote></p><p> Ball remains characterized by a culture of family, innovation and natural-resources conscientiousness. For instance, Ball foresaw the ecological and commercial need to pivot away from PET and glass containers, both costly to recycle and posing environmental damage, and towards eco-friendly and profitable aluminum. The company adopts economic value added (EVA) to assure every dollar is well-spent, long-term employee incentive compensation to reward long-term sustainable growth, and a spirit of entrepreneurial freedom. QSs include: Chilton Investment Co.; T. Rowe Price; Wellington&nbsp;Management Group and&nbsp;Winslow Capital Management.</p><p><blockquote>鲍尔仍然以家庭文化、创新和自然资源意识为特征。例如，鲍尔预见到生态和商业需要摆脱 PET 和玻璃容器（回收成本高昂且会造成环境破坏），转向环保且有利可图的铝。公司采用经济增加值（EVA）来确保每一分钱都物有所值，长期的员工激励薪酬来奖励长期的可持续增长，以及企业家自由的精神。QSs包括：奇尔顿投资公司；T.罗·普莱斯；惠灵顿管理集团和温斯洛资本管理公司。</blockquote></p><p> While some investors focus solely on the bottom line and others only on signals of corporate virtue, QSs are holistic, considering the inherent relationship between trust and long-term value. Nebulous as the notion of trust in corporate culture might seem, it’s a profitable as well as ethical value to probe.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些投资者只关注底线，而另一些投资者只关注企业美德的信号，但考虑到信任和长期价值之间的内在关系，QSs是整体的。尽管企业文化中的信任概念看似模糊，但它既有利润价值，也有道德价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-high-quality-trustworthy-companies-have-beaten-the-s-p-500-by-30-50-11625020379?mod=mw_latestnews\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-high-quality-trustworthy-companies-have-beaten-the-s-p-500-by-30-50-11625020379?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109375790","content_text":"More predictable businesses tend to be more profitable stock investments.\n\nTrust is one of the most valuable assets a company can cultivate.  Within an organization, trust percolates into culture. Outside an organization, it translates into loyalty.  Quality shareholders (QS) who value long-term trust among all stakeholders — employees, customers and shareholders — maintain this viewpoint in their investment practice.\nTheTrust Across America(TAA) initiative has identified the most trustworthy U.S. public companies using objective and quantitative indicators including accounting conservativeness and financial stability, as well as a secondary screen of more subjective criteria such as employee reviews and news reports.\nCompanies regarded as trustworthy also tend to rate highly in rankings of shareholder quality produced by the Quality Shareholders Initiative (QSI), which I run, as well as the proprietary database of EQX, which I use to cross-check the QSI data.\nTAA’s assessment of the S&P 500SPX,+0.75%in 2020 identified 51 companies, of which 49 are also included in the QSI rankings. Comparing the two, more than one-fourth of the top TAA companies are in the top decile of the QSI; two-thirds are in the top quarter, and all but two (92%) are in the top half.\nNotably, both the TAA top 10 and the QSI Top 25 outperformed the S&P 500 by 30% and 50%, respectively, in recent five-year periods. Here’s a sampling of companies scoring high on both trust and quality:\nTexas InstrumentsTXN,+0.72%makes most of its revenue selling computer chips and is among the world’s largest manufacturers of semiconductors. Founded by a group of electrical engineers in 1951, the company boasts a culture of intelligent innovation. Its business is protected by four protective “moats” including: manufacturing and technology skill thanks to its employees; a broad portfolio of processing chips to meet a wide range of customer needs; the reach of its market channels thanks to both, and its diversity and longevity.\nFor investors, this adds up to a winning recipe, particularly when combined with Texas Instruments’s capital management strategy, which is to maximize the company’s long-term growth in free cash-flow per share and to allocate such capital in accordance with the QS playbook that prioritizes wise reinvestment, disciplined acquisitions, low-priced share buybacks and shareholder dividends. Some of the company’s notable QSs include: Alliance Bernstein, Bessemer Group, Capital World Investors, State Farm Mutual, and T. Rowe Price Group.\nAnother stock on this list, EcolabECL,+0.77%,is a global leader in water treatment. Founded in 1923 as the Economics Laboratory, its long-term outlook shows in the longevity of senior leadership: the company has had just seven CEOs in almost 100 years of existence.\nThose CEOs inculcated a culture of customer care, a relentless focus on helping customers solve problems and meet goals. A learning organization, such a performance culture permeates the business from production to sales, as employees commit to the long-term goal of being indispensable to customers. Management rewards that employee conviction with long-term incentives and a high degree of autonomy. Ecolab’s QSs include: Cantillon Capital, Clearbridge Investments, Franklin Resources, and the Gates Foundation.\nFinally, consider Ball CorporationBLL,-0.68%,the world’s largest manufacturer of recyclable containers.  Founded in the late 1800s by two brother-entrepreneurs who foresaw that the Mason jar patent was about to expire and built a glassblowing facility to manufacture such jars.\nBall remains characterized by a culture of family, innovation and natural-resources conscientiousness. For instance, Ball foresaw the ecological and commercial need to pivot away from PET and glass containers, both costly to recycle and posing environmental damage, and towards eco-friendly and profitable aluminum. The company adopts economic value added (EVA) to assure every dollar is well-spent, long-term employee incentive compensation to reward long-term sustainable growth, and a spirit of entrepreneurial freedom. QSs include: Chilton Investment Co.; T. Rowe Price; Wellington Management Group and Winslow Capital Management.\nWhile some investors focus solely on the bottom line and others only on signals of corporate virtue, QSs are holistic, considering the inherent relationship between trust and long-term value. Nebulous as the notion of trust in corporate culture might seem, it’s a profitable as well as ethical value to probe.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155166756,"gmtCreate":1625389977575,"gmtModify":1631892243904,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"goood&nbsp;","listText":"goood&nbsp;","text":"goood","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155166756","repostId":"1160702483","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":701,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152112114,"gmtCreate":1625275458838,"gmtModify":1631892243909,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment&nbsp;","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152112114","repostId":"1165340887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":944,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":126743687,"gmtCreate":1624585998849,"gmtModify":1633950900949,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment&nbsp;","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126743687","repostId":"2146023477","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":907,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186096737,"gmtCreate":1623464438629,"gmtModify":1634032835177,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like and comment","listText":"like and comment","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186096737","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113816390,"gmtCreate":1622602621710,"gmtModify":1634100020027,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like and comment thanks&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment thanks&nbsp;","text":"like and comment thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113816390","repostId":"1106176005","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106176005","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622588821,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1106176005?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 dips, as healthcare weighs; Dow ends higher<blockquote>随着医疗保健的压力，标普500下跌；道琼斯指数收高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106176005","media":"Reuters","summary":"The S&P 500dipped on Tuesday, with declines in healthcare and tech shares countered by energy and financial gains, as investors weighed the latest U.S. economic data for signs of a rebound and rising inflation.The S&P 500 financial sectorhit a record high, while expected growth in fuel demand boosted oil prices and helped lift the energy sector3.9%, its biggest $one$-day gain in nearly four months. The heavyweight tech sectorfell while the healthcare sectorwas dragged down by a weak profit forec","content":"<p>The S&amp;P 500(.SPX)dipped on Tuesday, with declines in healthcare and tech shares countered by energy and financial gains, as investors weighed the latest U.S. economic data for signs of a rebound and rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 (.SPX) 周二下跌，医疗保健和科技股的下跌被能源和金融股的上涨所抵消，投资者权衡最新的美国经济数据是否有反弹和通胀上升的迹象。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 financial sector(.SPSY)hit a record high, while expected growth in fuel demand boosted oil prices and helped lift the energy sector(.SPNY)3.9%, its biggest <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day gain in nearly four months. The heavyweight tech sector(.SPLRCT)fell while the healthcare sector(.SPXHC)was dragged down by a weak profit forecast from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABT\">Abbott Laboratories</a>(ABT.N).</p><p><blockquote>标普500金融业 (.SPSY) 创下历史新高，而燃料需求的预期增长提振了油价，并帮助能源业 (.SPNY) 上涨 3.9%，成为其最大的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>-近四个月的日增。重量级科技板块 (.SPLRCT) 下跌，而医疗保健板块 (.SPXHC) 则受到利润预测疲软的拖累<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABT\">雅培实验室</a>（ABT.N）。</blockquote></p><p>Data showed U.S.manufacturing activity pickedup in May as pent-up demand in a reopening economy boosted orders. But unfinished work piled up because of shortages of raw materials and labor.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，由于经济重新开放中被压抑的需求提振了订单，美国 5 月份制造业活动有所回升。但由于原材料和劳动力短缺，未完成的工作堆积如山。</blockquote></p><p>\"People came back from a holiday weekend convinced that the economy is recovering nicely and that any inflation that we might be seeing in labor and other costs is temporary,\" Peter Tuz, president of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCF\">Chase</a> Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia.</p><p><blockquote>“人们从周末假期回来后确信经济复苏良好，我们可能在劳动力和其他成本方面看到的任何通货膨胀都是暂时的，”公司总裁彼得·图兹 (Peter Tuz)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCF\">追逐</a>弗吉尼亚州夏洛茨维尔的投资顾问。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 45.86 points, or 0.13%, to 34,575.31; the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)lost 2.07 points, or 0.05%, at 4,202.04; and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite(.IXIC)dropped 12.26 points, or 0.09%, to 13,736.48.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数(.DJI)上涨45.86点，涨幅0.13%，至34,575.31点；标普500 (.SPX) 下跌 2.07 点，或 0.05%，至 4,202.04 点；和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数(.IXIC)下跌12.26点，跌幅0.09%，至13,736.48点。</blockquote></p><p>Along with sharp gains for financials and energy, the small-cap Russell 2000(.RUT)rose 1.1% on Tuesday, underscoring strength for segments of the stock market expected to do particularly well in an expanding economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着金融和能源股的大幅上涨，小盘股罗素 2000 指数 (.RUT) 周二上涨 1.1%，凸显了预计在经济扩张中表现尤为出色的股市板块的走强。</blockquote></p><p>While the S&amp;P 500 remains less than 1% of its record high after four straight months of gains, investors are worried about whether rising inflation could hit equity prices.</p><p><blockquote>尽管标普500在连续四个月上涨后仍不到历史高点的1%，但投资者担心通胀上升是否会打击股价。</blockquote></p><p>\"We have supply chain issues, delays, price increases, pricing pressures in general, we have got employers saying they have got difficulty sourcing labor,\" said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVZ\">Invesco</a> in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>.</p><p><blockquote>首席全球市场策略师克里斯蒂娜·胡珀 (Kristina Hooper) 表示：“我们面临供应链问题、延误、价格上涨、普遍定价压力，雇主表示他们在寻找劳动力方面遇到困难。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVZ\">景顺</a>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>.</blockquote></p><p>\"So this is a microcosm of what we are already hearing about and seeing in the overall economy and it's just a reminder that inflation remains a concern.\"</p><p><blockquote>“因此，这是我们在整体经济中已经听到和看到的一个缩影，它只是提醒人们通货膨胀仍然是一个令人担忧的问题。”</blockquote></p><p>A Wall St. sign is seen near the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYRT\">New York</a> Stock Exchange (NYSE) in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">New</a> York <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a>, U.S., May 4, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo</p><p><blockquote>附近可以看到华尔街的标志<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYRT\">纽约</a>纽约证券交易所<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">新的</a>约克<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">城市</a>，美国，2021年5月4日。路透社/布伦丹·麦克德米德/资料照片</blockquote></p><p>Stock markets on Friday brushed off a surge inkey inflation readingsfor April following reassurances from Federal Reserve officials that the central bank’s ultra-loose monetary policy would remain in place.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储官员保证美联储将继续实施超宽松货币政策后，周五股市与 4 月份关键通胀数据的飙升擦肩而过。</blockquote></p><p>Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari and Fed Vice Chair for supervision Randal Quarles on Tuesday reiterated the view that higher prices would be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>明尼阿波利斯联邦储备银行行长尼尔·卡什卡里和美联储负责监管的副主席兰德尔·夸尔斯周二重申，价格上涨将是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p>This week's focus will be on a raft of economic data, culminating with U.S. payrolls due on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的焦点将是一系列经济数据，最终将于周五公布的美国就业数据。</blockquote></p><p>Abbott Labs shares fell 9.3% after the company cut itsfull-year 2021 profit forecast, citing expectations for a sharp decline in revenue from its COVID-19 tests as more Americans get vaccinated. Shares of other test makers also fell.</p><p><blockquote>雅培实验室下调了 2021 年全年利润预测，理由是随着越来越多的美国人接种疫苗，预计其 COVID-19 检测收入将大幅下降，该公司股价下跌 9.3%。其他测试制造商的股价也下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Cloudera Inc(CLDR.N)shares jumped 23.9% after private equity firms KKR &amp; Co(KKR.N)and Clayton Dubilier &amp; Rice LLCagreed to take the data analytics firm private.</p><p><blockquote>在私募股权公司 KKR &amp; Co (KKR.N) 和 Clayton Dubilier &amp; Rice LLC 同意将数据分析公司私有化后，Cloudera Inc (CLDR.N) 股价上涨 23.9%。</blockquote></p><p>A group of“meme stocks” extended gainsfrom the previous week, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> Holdings Inc(AMC.N)up 22.7% after the movie theater chain said it sold $230 million of its stock.</p><p><blockquote>一批 “模因股 ”延续了前一周的涨幅，其中<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>Holdings Inc (AMC.N) 上涨 22.7%，此前这家连锁影院表示出售了价值 2.3 亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 2.54-to-1 ratio; on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a>, a 1.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股票的数量比下跌股票的数量多 2.54 比 1；在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>1.79比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 73 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 168 new highs and 25 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下73个52周新高，没有新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下168个新高和25个新低。</blockquote></p><p>About 10.7 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 10.5 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所约有 107 亿股股票易手，而过去 20 个交易日的日均成交量为 105 亿股。</blockquote></p><p><b>Here are company's financial statements：</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是公司的财务报表：</b></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1184181912\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Zoom reports blowout earnings but warns of a coming slowdown</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1184181912\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Zoom 报告盈利井喷，但警告即将放缓</b></a></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 dips, as healthcare weighs; Dow ends higher<blockquote>随着医疗保健的压力，标普500下跌；道琼斯指数收高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 dips, as healthcare weighs; Dow ends higher<blockquote>随着医疗保健的压力，标普500下跌；道琼斯指数收高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-02 07:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500(.SPX)dipped on Tuesday, with declines in healthcare and tech shares countered by energy and financial gains, as investors weighed the latest U.S. economic data for signs of a rebound and rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 (.SPX) 周二下跌，医疗保健和科技股的下跌被能源和金融股的上涨所抵消，投资者权衡最新的美国经济数据是否有反弹和通胀上升的迹象。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 financial sector(.SPSY)hit a record high, while expected growth in fuel demand boosted oil prices and helped lift the energy sector(.SPNY)3.9%, its biggest <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day gain in nearly four months. The heavyweight tech sector(.SPLRCT)fell while the healthcare sector(.SPXHC)was dragged down by a weak profit forecast from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABT\">Abbott Laboratories</a>(ABT.N).</p><p><blockquote>标普500金融业 (.SPSY) 创下历史新高，而燃料需求的预期增长提振了油价，并帮助能源业 (.SPNY) 上涨 3.9%，成为其最大的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>-近四个月的日增。重量级科技板块 (.SPLRCT) 下跌，而医疗保健板块 (.SPXHC) 则受到利润预测疲软的拖累<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABT\">雅培实验室</a>（ABT.N）。</blockquote></p><p>Data showed U.S.manufacturing activity pickedup in May as pent-up demand in a reopening economy boosted orders. But unfinished work piled up because of shortages of raw materials and labor.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，由于经济重新开放中被压抑的需求提振了订单，美国 5 月份制造业活动有所回升。但由于原材料和劳动力短缺，未完成的工作堆积如山。</blockquote></p><p>\"People came back from a holiday weekend convinced that the economy is recovering nicely and that any inflation that we might be seeing in labor and other costs is temporary,\" Peter Tuz, president of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCF\">Chase</a> Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia.</p><p><blockquote>“人们从周末假期回来后确信经济复苏良好，我们可能在劳动力和其他成本方面看到的任何通货膨胀都是暂时的，”公司总裁彼得·图兹 (Peter Tuz)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCF\">追逐</a>弗吉尼亚州夏洛茨维尔的投资顾问。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 45.86 points, or 0.13%, to 34,575.31; the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)lost 2.07 points, or 0.05%, at 4,202.04; and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite(.IXIC)dropped 12.26 points, or 0.09%, to 13,736.48.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数(.DJI)上涨45.86点，涨幅0.13%，至34,575.31点；标普500 (.SPX) 下跌 2.07 点，或 0.05%，至 4,202.04 点；和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数(.IXIC)下跌12.26点，跌幅0.09%，至13,736.48点。</blockquote></p><p>Along with sharp gains for financials and energy, the small-cap Russell 2000(.RUT)rose 1.1% on Tuesday, underscoring strength for segments of the stock market expected to do particularly well in an expanding economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着金融和能源股的大幅上涨，小盘股罗素 2000 指数 (.RUT) 周二上涨 1.1%，凸显了预计在经济扩张中表现尤为出色的股市板块的走强。</blockquote></p><p>While the S&amp;P 500 remains less than 1% of its record high after four straight months of gains, investors are worried about whether rising inflation could hit equity prices.</p><p><blockquote>尽管标普500在连续四个月上涨后仍不到历史高点的1%，但投资者担心通胀上升是否会打击股价。</blockquote></p><p>\"We have supply chain issues, delays, price increases, pricing pressures in general, we have got employers saying they have got difficulty sourcing labor,\" said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVZ\">Invesco</a> in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>.</p><p><blockquote>首席全球市场策略师克里斯蒂娜·胡珀 (Kristina Hooper) 表示：“我们面临供应链问题、延误、价格上涨、普遍定价压力，雇主表示他们在寻找劳动力方面遇到困难。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVZ\">景顺</a>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>.</blockquote></p><p>\"So this is a microcosm of what we are already hearing about and seeing in the overall economy and it's just a reminder that inflation remains a concern.\"</p><p><blockquote>“因此，这是我们在整体经济中已经听到和看到的一个缩影，它只是提醒人们通货膨胀仍然是一个令人担忧的问题。”</blockquote></p><p>A Wall St. sign is seen near the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYRT\">New York</a> Stock Exchange (NYSE) in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">New</a> York <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a>, U.S., May 4, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo</p><p><blockquote>附近可以看到华尔街的标志<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYRT\">纽约</a>纽约证券交易所<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">新的</a>约克<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">城市</a>，美国，2021年5月4日。路透社/布伦丹·麦克德米德/资料照片</blockquote></p><p>Stock markets on Friday brushed off a surge inkey inflation readingsfor April following reassurances from Federal Reserve officials that the central bank’s ultra-loose monetary policy would remain in place.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储官员保证美联储将继续实施超宽松货币政策后，周五股市与 4 月份关键通胀数据的飙升擦肩而过。</blockquote></p><p>Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari and Fed Vice Chair for supervision Randal Quarles on Tuesday reiterated the view that higher prices would be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>明尼阿波利斯联邦储备银行行长尼尔·卡什卡里和美联储负责监管的副主席兰德尔·夸尔斯周二重申，价格上涨将是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p>This week's focus will be on a raft of economic data, culminating with U.S. payrolls due on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的焦点将是一系列经济数据，最终将于周五公布的美国就业数据。</blockquote></p><p>Abbott Labs shares fell 9.3% after the company cut itsfull-year 2021 profit forecast, citing expectations for a sharp decline in revenue from its COVID-19 tests as more Americans get vaccinated. Shares of other test makers also fell.</p><p><blockquote>雅培实验室下调了 2021 年全年利润预测，理由是随着越来越多的美国人接种疫苗，预计其 COVID-19 检测收入将大幅下降，该公司股价下跌 9.3%。其他测试制造商的股价也下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Cloudera Inc(CLDR.N)shares jumped 23.9% after private equity firms KKR &amp; Co(KKR.N)and Clayton Dubilier &amp; Rice LLCagreed to take the data analytics firm private.</p><p><blockquote>在私募股权公司 KKR &amp; Co (KKR.N) 和 Clayton Dubilier &amp; Rice LLC 同意将数据分析公司私有化后，Cloudera Inc (CLDR.N) 股价上涨 23.9%。</blockquote></p><p>A group of“meme stocks” extended gainsfrom the previous week, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> Holdings Inc(AMC.N)up 22.7% after the movie theater chain said it sold $230 million of its stock.</p><p><blockquote>一批 “模因股 ”延续了前一周的涨幅，其中<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>Holdings Inc (AMC.N) 上涨 22.7%，此前这家连锁影院表示出售了价值 2.3 亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 2.54-to-1 ratio; on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a>, a 1.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股票的数量比下跌股票的数量多 2.54 比 1；在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>1.79比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 73 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 168 new highs and 25 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下73个52周新高，没有新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下168个新高和25个新低。</blockquote></p><p>About 10.7 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 10.5 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所约有 107 亿股股票易手，而过去 20 个交易日的日均成交量为 105 亿股。</blockquote></p><p><b>Here are company's financial statements：</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是公司的财务报表：</b></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1184181912\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Zoom reports blowout earnings but warns of a coming slowdown</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1184181912\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Zoom 报告盈利井喷，但警告即将放缓</b></a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-dips-healthcare-weighs-dow-ends-higher-2021-06-01/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-dips-healthcare-weighs-dow-ends-higher-2021-06-01/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106176005","content_text":"The S&P 500(.SPX)dipped on Tuesday, with declines in healthcare and tech shares countered by energy and financial gains, as investors weighed the latest U.S. economic data for signs of a rebound and rising inflation.The S&P 500 financial sector(.SPSY)hit a record high, while expected growth in fuel demand boosted oil prices and helped lift the energy sector(.SPNY)3.9%, its biggest one-day gain in nearly four months. The heavyweight tech sector(.SPLRCT)fell while the healthcare sector(.SPXHC)was dragged down by a weak profit forecast from Abbott Laboratories(ABT.N).Data showed U.S.manufacturing activity pickedup in May as pent-up demand in a reopening economy boosted orders. But unfinished work piled up because of shortages of raw materials and labor.\"People came back from a holiday weekend convinced that the economy is recovering nicely and that any inflation that we might be seeing in labor and other costs is temporary,\" Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia.The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 45.86 points, or 0.13%, to 34,575.31; the S&P 500(.SPX)lost 2.07 points, or 0.05%, at 4,202.04; and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)dropped 12.26 points, or 0.09%, to 13,736.48.Along with sharp gains for financials and energy, the small-cap Russell 2000(.RUT)rose 1.1% on Tuesday, underscoring strength for segments of the stock market expected to do particularly well in an expanding economy.While the S&P 500 remains less than 1% of its record high after four straight months of gains, investors are worried about whether rising inflation could hit equity prices.\"We have supply chain issues, delays, price increases, pricing pressures in general, we have got employers saying they have got difficulty sourcing labor,\" said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco in New York.\"So this is a microcosm of what we are already hearing about and seeing in the overall economy and it's just a reminder that inflation remains a concern.\"A Wall St. sign is seen near the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 4, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File PhotoStock markets on Friday brushed off a surge inkey inflation readingsfor April following reassurances from Federal Reserve officials that the central bank’s ultra-loose monetary policy would remain in place.Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari and Fed Vice Chair for supervision Randal Quarles on Tuesday reiterated the view that higher prices would be transitory.This week's focus will be on a raft of economic data, culminating with U.S. payrolls due on Friday.Abbott Labs shares fell 9.3% after the company cut itsfull-year 2021 profit forecast, citing expectations for a sharp decline in revenue from its COVID-19 tests as more Americans get vaccinated. Shares of other test makers also fell.Cloudera Inc(CLDR.N)shares jumped 23.9% after private equity firms KKR & Co(KKR.N)and Clayton Dubilier & Rice LLCagreed to take the data analytics firm private.A group of“meme stocks” extended gainsfrom the previous week, with shares of AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(AMC.N)up 22.7% after the movie theater chain said it sold $230 million of its stock.Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 2.54-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 73 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 168 new highs and 25 new lows.About 10.7 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 10.5 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.Here are company's financial statements：Zoom reports blowout earnings but warns of a coming slowdown","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SSO":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":636,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112449499,"gmtCreate":1622907920711,"gmtModify":1634096954898,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like an comment thanks&nbsp;","listText":"like an comment thanks&nbsp;","text":"like an comment thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112449499","repostId":"2140816405","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116733234,"gmtCreate":1622818343228,"gmtModify":1634097676649,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like and comment thanks&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment thanks&nbsp;","text":"like and comment thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116733234","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 15:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128156893,"gmtCreate":1624507625712,"gmtModify":1634005089689,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"hi&nbsp;","listText":"hi&nbsp;","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128156893","repostId":"2145053011","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":833,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187018984,"gmtCreate":1623729923748,"gmtModify":1634029444950,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment&nbsp;","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187018984","repostId":"1164323104","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180643020,"gmtCreate":1623203225260,"gmtModify":1634035852253,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment&nbsp;","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180643020","repostId":"1196052924","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":801,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117600186,"gmtCreate":1623134135845,"gmtModify":1634036579302,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"liek and comment&nbsp;","listText":"liek and comment&nbsp;","text":"liek and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117600186","repostId":"1140543196","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":656,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120142586,"gmtCreate":1624317146945,"gmtModify":1634008046631,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559522411638426","idStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like&nbsp;","listText":"like&nbsp;","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120142586","repostId":"1191349655","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":635,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}