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2021-06-25

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2021-06-12

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2021-06-02

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S&P 500 dips, as healthcare weighs; Dow ends higher<blockquote>随着医疗保健的压力，标普500下跌；道指收高</blockquote>

2021-06-05

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2021-06-04

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Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote>

2021-06-24

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2021-06-15

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2021-06-09

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2021-06-08

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2021-06-22

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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627487094,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134561674?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 23:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bit Digital Popped nearly 50% to trigger fusing<blockquote>Bit Digital大涨近50%触发熔断</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134561674","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Bit Digital Popped nearly 50% to trigger fusing in Wednesday morning trading.\n\nBit Digital, Inc. and","content":"<p>Bit Digital Popped nearly 50% to trigger fusing&nbsp;in Wednesday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Bit Digital股价上涨近50%，在周三早盘交易中引发熔断。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3b480bd525e488c041a9b1a6ac3e963\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Bit Digital, Inc. and Digihost Technology Inc. are pleased to announce that the Companies have entered into a second strategic co-mining agreement.&nbsp;Pursuant to the terms of the Agreement, Digihost will provide certain premises&nbsp;to Bit Digital for the operation of a 100 MW Bitcoin mining system&nbsp;to be delivered by Bit Digital for a term of two years.&nbsp;This expanded collaboration between Digihost and Bit Digital is expected to facilitate an additional increase in hashrate of approximately 2 EH between the companies, and a total increase in hashrate between the two companies of approximately 2.4 EH including the initial collaboration agreement that was previously announced onJune 10, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Bit Digital，Inc.和Digihost Technology Inc.很高兴地宣布，两家公司已经签订了第二份战略联合采矿协议。根据协议条款，Digihost将向Bit Digital提供某些场所，用于运营Bit Digital交付的100兆瓦比特币采矿系统，为期两年。Digihost和Bit Digital之间的这种扩大合作预计将促进两家公司之间的hashrate额外增加约2 EH，两家公司之间的hashrate总增加约2.4 EH，包括之前于2021年6月10日宣布的初始合作协议。</blockquote></p><p> Under the terms of the Agreement, Digihost will provide power and management services for the operation of the Miners. In consideration for these services, after paying Digihost a competitive rate for power, Digihost and Bit Digital will participate in a profit-sharing arrangement based on a fixed distribution formula.&nbsp;It is expected that the Miners will be delivered and installed beginning inJanuary 2022.</p><p><blockquote>根据协议条款，Digihost将为矿工的运营提供电力和管理服务。考虑到这些服务，在向Digihost支付有竞争力的电费后，Digihost和Bit Digital将参与基于固定分配公式的利润分享安排。预计矿工将于2022年1月开始交付和安装。</blockquote></p><p> Bryan Bullett, Bit Digital's CEO, stated: \"By signing this agreement,we believe that Bit Digital has secured power and hosting sufficient to complete the migration of our current fleet toNorth Americain full, and additional capacity to accommodate expected miner purchases. As previously announced, we anticipate significant purchase activity in the coming months, due to spot market dislocation inChinaand our unique access to that market. This agreement with Digihost secures a key component of activating this opportunity, and is expected to enable rapid deployment of newly purchased miners. We are delighted to build on our existing collaboration with Digihost, and look forward to continued successes together.\"</p><p><blockquote>Bit Digital首席执行官Bryan Bullett表示：“通过签署这项协议，我们相信Bit Digital已获得足够的电力和托管能力，以完成我们当前机队向北美的全面迁移，并获得额外的容量来容纳预期的矿商采购。正如之前宣布的那样，由于中国现货市场的混乱以及我们对该市场的独特准入，我们预计未来几个月将出现大量采购活动。与Digihost的这项协议确保了激活这一机会的关键组成部分，预计将能够快速部署新购买的矿工。我们很高兴在与Digihost现有合作的基础上再接再厉，并期待共同继续取得成功。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bit Digital Popped nearly 50% to trigger fusing<blockquote>Bit Digital大涨近50%触发熔断</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBit Digital Popped nearly 50% to trigger fusing<blockquote>Bit Digital大涨近50%触发熔断</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-28 23:44</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bit Digital Popped nearly 50% to trigger fusing&nbsp;in Wednesday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Bit Digital股价上涨近50%，在周三早盘交易中引发熔断。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3b480bd525e488c041a9b1a6ac3e963\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Bit Digital, Inc. and Digihost Technology Inc. are pleased to announce that the Companies have entered into a second strategic co-mining agreement.&nbsp;Pursuant to the terms of the Agreement, Digihost will provide certain premises&nbsp;to Bit Digital for the operation of a 100 MW Bitcoin mining system&nbsp;to be delivered by Bit Digital for a term of two years.&nbsp;This expanded collaboration between Digihost and Bit Digital is expected to facilitate an additional increase in hashrate of approximately 2 EH between the companies, and a total increase in hashrate between the two companies of approximately 2.4 EH including the initial collaboration agreement that was previously announced onJune 10, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Bit Digital，Inc.和Digihost Technology Inc.很高兴地宣布，两家公司已经签订了第二份战略联合采矿协议。根据协议条款，Digihost将向Bit Digital提供某些场所，用于运营Bit Digital交付的100兆瓦比特币采矿系统，为期两年。Digihost和Bit Digital之间的这种扩大合作预计将促进两家公司之间的hashrate额外增加约2 EH，两家公司之间的hashrate总增加约2.4 EH，包括之前于2021年6月10日宣布的初始合作协议。</blockquote></p><p> Under the terms of the Agreement, Digihost will provide power and management services for the operation of the Miners. In consideration for these services, after paying Digihost a competitive rate for power, Digihost and Bit Digital will participate in a profit-sharing arrangement based on a fixed distribution formula.&nbsp;It is expected that the Miners will be delivered and installed beginning inJanuary 2022.</p><p><blockquote>根据协议条款，Digihost将为矿工的运营提供电力和管理服务。考虑到这些服务，在向Digihost支付有竞争力的电费后，Digihost和Bit Digital将参与基于固定分配公式的利润分享安排。预计矿工将于2022年1月开始交付和安装。</blockquote></p><p> Bryan Bullett, Bit Digital's CEO, stated: \"By signing this agreement,we believe that Bit Digital has secured power and hosting sufficient to complete the migration of our current fleet toNorth Americain full, and additional capacity to accommodate expected miner purchases. As previously announced, we anticipate significant purchase activity in the coming months, due to spot market dislocation inChinaand our unique access to that market. This agreement with Digihost secures a key component of activating this opportunity, and is expected to enable rapid deployment of newly purchased miners. We are delighted to build on our existing collaboration with Digihost, and look forward to continued successes together.\"</p><p><blockquote>Bit Digital首席执行官Bryan Bullett表示：“通过签署这项协议，我们相信Bit Digital已获得足够的电力和托管能力，以完成我们当前机队向北美的全面迁移，并获得额外的容量来容纳预期的矿商采购。正如之前宣布的那样，由于中国现货市场的混乱以及我们对该市场的独特准入，我们预计未来几个月将出现大量采购活动。与Digihost的这项协议确保了激活这一机会的关键组成部分，预计将能够快速部署新购买的矿工。我们很高兴在与Digihost现有合作的基础上再接再厉，并期待共同继续取得成功。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134561674","content_text":"Bit Digital Popped nearly 50% to trigger fusing in Wednesday morning trading.\n\nBit Digital, Inc. and Digihost Technology Inc. are pleased to announce that the Companies have entered into a second strategic co-mining agreement. Pursuant to the terms of the Agreement, Digihost will provide certain premises to Bit Digital for the operation of a 100 MW Bitcoin mining system to be delivered by Bit Digital for a term of two years. This expanded collaboration between Digihost and Bit Digital is expected to facilitate an additional increase in hashrate of approximately 2 EH between the companies, and a total increase in hashrate between the two companies of approximately 2.4 EH including the initial collaboration agreement that was previously announced onJune 10, 2021.\nUnder the terms of the Agreement, Digihost will provide power and management services for the operation of the Miners. In consideration for these services, after paying Digihost a competitive rate for power, Digihost and Bit Digital will participate in a profit-sharing arrangement based on a fixed distribution formula. It is expected that the Miners will be delivered and installed beginning inJanuary 2022.\nBryan Bullett, Bit Digital's CEO, stated: \"By signing this agreement,we believe that Bit Digital has secured power and hosting sufficient to complete the migration of our current fleet toNorth Americain full, and additional capacity to accommodate expected miner purchases. As previously announced, we anticipate significant purchase activity in the coming months, due to spot market dislocation inChinaand our unique access to that market. This agreement with Digihost secures a key component of activating this opportunity, and is expected to enable rapid deployment of newly purchased miners. We are delighted to build on our existing collaboration with Digihost, and look forward to continued successes together.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BTBT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800769893,"gmtCreate":1627321821512,"gmtModify":1631891027967,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good&nbsp;","listText":"good&nbsp;","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800769893","repostId":"1168855141","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177270343,"gmtCreate":1627229253882,"gmtModify":1631891027982,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow&nbsp;","listText":"wow&nbsp;","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177270343","repostId":"1107345366","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107345366","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627176839,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107345366?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 09:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop: The Game Is Far From Over<blockquote>游戏驿站：游戏远未结束</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107345366","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce pla","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>GameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce player.</li>  <li>We think the company may possibly be at an inflection point, if the management team is able to successfully execute its new e-commerce pivot.</li>  <li>In addition, we exhort the bears to pay special attention to the Reddit community, given its growing user base and influence in their investors' decision-making process.</li>  <li>While we don't have a position in GameStop, we don't think the game is over for the company.</li> </ul> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>游戏驿站已经对自己进行了改造，逐步成为主要的电子商务参与者。</li><li>我们认为，如果管理团队能够成功执行新的电子商务转型，该公司可能正处于拐点。</li><li>此外，鉴于Reddit社区不断增长的用户群及其对投资者决策过程的影响力，我们敦促看空者特别关注Reddit社区。</li><li>虽然我们在游戏驿站没有职位，但我们认为公司的游戏还没有结束。</li></ul><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> The speculation fervor behind GameStop’s (GME) meteoric rise to the stratospheric levels of $480 per share last seen in Jan has subsided significantly, as the stock last traded at the $178 price level, a 63% decline from the ATH reached during the January mania.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站(GME)上次在1月份迅速上涨至每股480美元的极高水平，背后的投机热情已显着消退，该股上次交易价格为178美元，较1月份狂热期间达到的ATH下跌了63%。</blockquote></p><p> While we agree to a large extent with the Street’s valuation opinion, that this stock seems to be significantly overvalued (The Street’s mean target price is $37.5), we would also like to highlight that we don’t think we presently have a valuation model that can comprehensively incorporate the underlying factors driving the company’s stock price, and therefore would not boldly proclaim to investors who have an interest in meme stocks, to stay away from GME.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们在很大程度上同意华尔街的估值意见，即这只股票似乎被严重高估（华尔街的平均目标价为37.5美元），但我们也想强调的是，我们认为我们目前没有一个估值模型可以全面纳入推动公司股价的潜在因素，因此不会大胆地向对meme股票感兴趣的投资者宣称远离GME。</blockquote></p><p> We thinkeMarketerdelineated in this recent piece in June, what factors they thought could have driven the underlying demand behind meme stocks in Reddit forums like GME:</p><p><blockquote>我们认为Marketer在6月份最近的这篇文章中描述了他们认为哪些因素可能推动了GME等Reddit论坛上meme股票背后的潜在需求：</blockquote></p><p>   Punishing short sellers. Clover Health (CLOV) short-sellers, who believed the stock was overvalued, were down $438 million in mark-to-market losses. GameStop short sellers lost over $5 billion.Perplexing the markets “for the memes”—i.e., it’s just funny. Reddit posts on r/WallStreetBets highlight how members make seemingly irrational investment decisions for the joy of duping financial institutions.Pump and dump. The artificially inflated share prices can maximize profit for the lucky few who invest early.  We think investors who have been schooled in fundamental analysis would never be able to develop models that could fully factor in the above, as these investors think the long term value of stocks are driven by the long term strength and the competitive moat of their underlying businesses, but not with the \"ludicrous\" methods adopted by the Redditors in the way they analyze stocks.</p><p><blockquote>惩罚卖空者。Clover Health(CLOV)卖空者认为该股被高估，按市值计算损失了4.38亿美元。游戏驿站卖空者损失超过50亿美元。“为了迷因”迷惑市场——也就是说，这很有趣。r/WallStreetBets上的Reddit帖子强调了会员如何为了杜平金融机构的快乐而做出看似非理性的投资决策。人为抬高的股价可以为少数早期投资的幸运儿带来利润最大化。我们认为，接受过基本面分析教育的投资者永远无法开发出能够充分考虑上述因素的模型，因为这些投资者认为股票的长期价值是由其基础业务的长期实力和竞争护城河驱动的，但不是Redditors在分析股票时采用的“可笑”方法。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, we dive deeper to look at the key fundamental drivers underpinning GME's business, and how we think the Reddit community's participation and influence in meme stocks like GME would continue to disrupt the valuation outlook for the company moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我们将更深入地探讨支撑GME业务的关键基本面驱动因素，以及我们认为Reddit社区对GME等meme股票的参与和影响力将如何继续扰乱该公司未来的估值前景。</blockquote></p><p> What Has Changed for GameStop since the January Mania?</p><p><blockquote>自一月狂热以来，游戏驿站发生了什么变化？</blockquote></p><p> GME recently appointed2 key veteranexecutives from Amazon (AMZN): Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its CEO and CFO, respectively, as part of Chairman Ryan Cohen's strategic revamp of GME's business model to pivot towards becoming a major \"e-commerce powerhouse.\"</p><p><blockquote>GME最近任命了两位来自亚马逊(AMZN)的关键资深高管：Matt Furlong和Mike Recupero分别担任首席执行官和首席财务官，这是董事长Ryan Cohen对GME商业模式进行战略改革的一部分，旨在成为主要的“电子商务巨头”。</blockquote></p><p> While the guidance from the new management may have been sparse so far, the team has certainly gotten down to work quickly, to put in place the necessary building blocks to gradually move GME into a major e-commerce player, as they have started to expand itsfulfillment centers, with two new recent facilities in Reno, Nevada and York, Pennsylvania, that have given the company a total capacity of more than 1.2M square feet.</p><p><blockquote>虽然到目前为止，新管理层的指导可能很少，但该团队肯定已经迅速开始工作，为逐步将GME转变为主要的电子商务参与者奠定必要的基础，因为他们已经开始扩大其履行中心，最近在内华达州里诺和宾夕法尼亚州约克新建了两个设施，使该公司的总产能超过120万平方英尺。</blockquote></p><p> Ryan Cohen has also made it clear that the company wouldn't be specifying intricate details on its overhaul plans to its competitors, but instead appealing to investors to judge the team on their actions, as he emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>瑞安·科恩还明确表示，该公司不会向竞争对手详细说明其改革计划的复杂细节，而是呼吁投资者根据团队的行动来评判他们，正如他强调的那样：</blockquote></p><p>   You won’t find ustalking a big game, making a bunch of lofty promises or telegraphing our strategy to the competition...We have a lot of work in front of us. Moving forward, we want you to judge GameStop based on our actions -- not our words.  However, the Street was hardly convinced with Ryan Cohen or the company’s strategy, asWedbush Securitiesarticulated recently: “I think it got away from him. I think his ego’s gotten in the way and now he's going to prove [to] everybody [that he] knows what he's doing. If there [was] a strategy, it's shocking that he hasn't told us. We were supposed to hear about this five months ago. What is such a secret?”</p><p><blockquote>你不会发现我们在谈论一场大游戏，做出一堆崇高的承诺，或者向竞争对手传达我们的战略...我们面前有很多工作要做。展望未来，我们希望你根据我们的行动而不是我们的言辞来判断游戏驿站。然而，华尔街几乎不相信瑞安·科恩或该公司的战略，正如Wedbush Securities最近所说：“我认为他逃脱了。我认为他的自我妨碍了，现在他要向所有人证明他知道自己在做什么。如果有一个策略，令人震惊的是他没有告诉我们。我们五个月前就应该听说这件事了。这是什么秘密？”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/213a840d218039b67bebc984532ecf5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Quarterly revenues. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>季度收入。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c46f7322b39c6468f6929c1fd414921b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM revenue. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM收入。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We could observe that the company seems to have been able to arrest the declining trend in its revenue in Q4'21 and Q1'22 (GME defines its FY differently from its CY), which took place well before the new management was in place. The company's Q4'21 revenue of $2.12B was its strong quarter over the last 3 years, while Q1'22's revenue grew 25% YoY. Therefore, when we plotted it over an LTM basis, we think that there's hope over the horizon, that perhaps the new management team may have an encouraging start, in the company's quest to become an important e-commerce competitor. We think investors should continue monitoring this space closely, especially on the build-up of the company's fulfillment centers, which is highly integral towards its e-commerce ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以观察到，该公司似乎已经能够在21年第4季度和22年第1季度阻止其收入下降的趋势（GME对其财年的定义与CY不同），这发生在新管理层上任之前很久。该公司21年第4季度的收入为$2.12 B，是过去3年中表现强劲的季度，而22年第1季度的收入同比增长25%。因此，当我们在LTM的基础上规划它时，我们认为地平线上有希望，也许新的管理团队在公司寻求成为重要的电子商务竞争对手的过程中可能会有一个令人鼓舞的开始。我们认为投资者应继续密切关注这一领域，特别是该公司履行中心的建设，这对于其电子商务雄心至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> LTM EBIT margins trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p><blockquote>LTM息税前利润率趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</blockquote></p><p> While the company's EBIT margin trend has certainly been of major concern, we think this is an area certainly worth watching, as yet again we observed an improvement in the LTM trend, as the company posted an LTM EBIT margin of -3.5% in Q1'22, as compared to its LTM EBIT margin of -4.9% in Q4'21. While we don't think the company is out of the woods yet, but we think the company may have stopped the rot, at least for now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然该公司的息税前利润率趋势无疑是一个主要问题，但我们认为这肯定是一个值得关注的领域，因为我们再次观察到LTM趋势有所改善，因为该公司在第一季度公布的LTM息税前利润率为-3.5%'22，而21年第4季度的LTM息税前利润率为-4.9%。虽然我们认为该公司尚未走出困境，但我们认为该公司可能已经停止了腐烂，至少目前是这样。</blockquote></p><p> Debt to Equity Ratio. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>负债权益比率。资料来源：简单华尔街</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eaacbe2d43de887038c30e9ab4bcfa2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM Levered FCF margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM杠杆自由现金流保证金。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company has also astutely capitalized on its share price to completetwo equity offeringsto buttress its balance sheet. As a result, the company's debt to equity ratio has improved significantly to 5.5%, with a debt balance of just $48.1M, while having a cash and ST investments balance of $694.7M (as of 1 May 21, before both equity offerings which raised a total of $1.677B, and before paring down of debt). In addition, the company has also never really been bleeding cash, as its levered FCF margins trend has always been relatively healthy while having also improved its LTM levered FCF margin at the recent quarter to 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还巧妙地利用其股价完成了两次股票发行，以支撑其资产负债表。因此，该公司的债务股本比率大幅提高至5.5%，债务余额仅为4810万美元，而现金和ST投资余额为6.947亿美元（截至21年5月1日，在两次股票发行之前，共筹集了16.77亿美元，在削减债务之前）。此外，该公司也从未真正流失现金，因为其杠杆自由现金流利润率趋势一直相对健康，同时最近一个季度还将LTM杠杆自由现金流利润率提高至1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think GME looks well-positioned to take advantage of its strategic overhaul towards its new e-commerce pivot if the management can successfully execute moving forward. While we are not too sure at this point on the roadmap ahead for GME, the Reddit community seems to be ready to continue supporting this company, as we shall go into detail how the Reddit community would continue to be a highly important force to be reckoned with, in their quest to bolster the stock price of the company, such that even Ryan Cohen made it a point to pay a special tribute to the Reddit community:</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为，如果管理层能够成功执行向前迈进，GME看起来完全有能力利用其战略改革，转向新的电子商务支点。虽然我们目前不太确定GME未来的路线图，但Reddit社区似乎已准备好继续支持这家公司，因为我们将详细介绍Reddit社区将如何继续成为一支非常重要的力量。为了提振公司股价，就连Ryan Cohen也特意向Reddit社区表示特别敬意：</blockquote></p><p>   We’re fortunateto have such a special group of investors holding the company’s shares, you guys inspire us to think bigger, fight harder and work longer each day.  <b>The Reddit Community Grew by 25.9% in 2020</b></p><p><blockquote>我们很幸运有这样一群特殊的投资者持有公司股票，你们激励我们每天想得更大、更努力、工作时间更长。<b>2020年Reddit社区增长25.9%</b></blockquote></p><p> US social network user growth, by platform 2020 &amp; 2021. Source:eMarketer</p><p><blockquote>2020年和2021年美国社交网络用户增长（按平台划分）。资料来源：eMarketer</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to observe that Reddit posted highly remarkable growth in 2020, as users on its platform grew by 25.9% YoY, andeMarketeralso expects the Reddit community to grow by 14.4% in 2021, to reach 43.3M users. We think the increasing popularity towards the adoption of Reddit would continue to sustain investors' interest in meme stocks like GME, moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够观察到，Reddit在2020年实现了非常显着的增长，其平台上的用户同比增长了25.9%，Marketer还预计Reddit社区在2021年将增长14.4%，达到4330万用户。我们认为，Reddit的日益普及将继续维持投资者对GME等模因股票的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f886ecf993efe35532771c132d94a6a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Population distribution in the US in 2019, by generation. Data source: US Census Bureau</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2019年美国按世代划分的人口分布。数据来源：美国人口普查局</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We believe that Reddit has certainly benefited from the secular drivers underpinning digitization, which has also led to significant growth and popularity in trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), where theaverage agein 2020 is 31 years old. This puts the average age of Robinhood users right within the age group of the Millennials, who were born between 1981 and 1996 (25 to 40 years old), and accounted for 21.97% of the US population, based on the 2019 census.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为，Reddit无疑受益于支撑数字化的长期驱动因素，这也导致了Robinhood(HOOD)等交易平台的显着增长和受欢迎程度，该平台2020年的平均年龄为31岁。根据2019年的人口普查，这使得Robinhood用户的平均年龄正好在千禧一代的年龄组内，他们出生于1981年至1996年之间（25至40岁），占美国人口的21.97%。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, we could also observe that Millennial investors are interested in stocks that are not the “safe and steady” stocks that a typical investor is expected to hold if I could put it that way. We don’t think valuations form the most important considerations to these investors as we could observe from the above.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，我们还可以观察到，千禧一代投资者对的股票不是典型投资者预期持有的“安全稳定”股票感兴趣（如果我可以这么说的话）。正如我们从上面可以观察到的那样，我们认为估值并不是这些投资者最重要的考虑因素。</blockquote></p><p> According to a report byApex Clearing, Tesla (TSLA) formed the largest holdings of their Millennials portfolio in Q1’21, with a 28.3% share, a stock that we think investors would not typically say it’s cheap. While AAPL was the second-largest holding with a 14.5% share, GME also rounded up the top 4 with a 5.2% share, lending support to our opinion that Millennial investors’ motivations are driven by factors beyond just fundamentals and valuations.</p><p><blockquote>根据Apex Clearing的一份报告，特斯拉(TSLA)在21年第一季度成为千禧一代投资组合中最大的持股，占28.3%的份额，我们认为投资者通常不会说这只股票便宜。虽然AAPL以14.5%的份额位居第二，但GME也以5.2%的份额跻身前四，这支持了我们的观点，即千禧一代投资者的动机是由基本面和估值以外的因素驱动的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Among the holdings in the Millennials portfolio, we could observe many other examples that corroborate these investors' interests in premium stocks, like Nvidia (NVDA), another meme stock like AMC Entertainment (AMC), Churchill Capital Corp (CCIV), its third-largest holding; Nio (NIO), Palantir (PLTR), and even Square (SQ), stocks we think investors would not typically ascribe as value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在千禧一代投资组合中的持股中，我们可以观察到许多其他例子来证实这些投资者对优质股票的兴趣，例如英伟达(NVDA)，另一只模因股票，如AMC院线(AMC)、Churchill Capital Corp(CCIV)，其第三大持股；蔚来（蔚来）、Palantir（PLTR），甚至Square（SQ），我们认为投资者通常不会将这些股票视为价值股。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think the general investor community needs to understand that there’s a huge and growing base of investors whose understanding and expectations of fundamentals and valuations are certainly quite different from what our typical valuation models could account for.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为普通投资者群体需要明白，有一个庞大且不断增长的投资者基础，他们对基本面和估值的理解和预期肯定与我们典型的估值模型所能解释的有很大不同。</blockquote></p><p> We think the market is definitely bigger and much more complex than what we know, and it’s just not possible to use the same fundamental analysis and valuation methods to value meme stocks like GME and say that they are way overvalued, a process that we honestly think is quite meaningless in the world of meme stocks investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为市场肯定比我们所知道的更大、更复杂，而且不可能使用相同的基本面分析和估值方法来评估像GME这样的模因股票并说它们被高估，这是一个我们诚实地认为的过程在模因股票投资领域毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Analyzing the Reddit Opinion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析Reddit观点</b></blockquote></p><p> Individual investors’ opinion on Reddit after GameStop short squeeze in the US, UK, and Canada as of Feb 21, by age. Data source:Brunswick</p><p><blockquote>截至2月21日，美国、英国和加拿大游戏驿站轧空后个人投资者在Reddit上的看法（按年龄）。数据来源：Brunswick</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey by Brunswick, we could observe the importance of the Reddit forums as an investment tool for investors, especially among the younger investors within the age group of 18-29 years old. About 14% of all investors “trust Reddit as a media alternative,” and the share even shot up to 31% among the younger investors. In addition, a good proportion (25%) of the younger investors also took part in the GME opportunities, while 20% of them think that the GME events “represent a fundamental shift of power in the market.” While these opinions may belong within the minority of investors, we think the proportion of investors is certainly large enough to raise the eyebrows of the general investment community, and therefore we think the power of the Reddit forums is certainly a force to be reckoned with moving ahead.</p><p><blockquote>根据Brunswick的一项调查，我们可以观察到Reddit论坛作为投资者投资工具的重要性，尤其是在18-29岁年龄段的年轻投资者中。大约14%的投资者“信任Reddit作为媒体替代品”，在年轻投资者中，这一比例甚至飙升至31%。此外，很大一部分（25%）的年轻投资者也参与了GME机会，而其中20%的人认为GME事件“代表了市场力量的根本性转变”。虽然这些观点可能属于少数投资者，但我们认为投资者的比例肯定足够大，足以引起一般投资界的关注，因此我们认为Reddit论坛的力量肯定是一股不可忽视的力量。前进。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa3108c1a56bc4c6221a4d8297e018d3\" tg-width=\"826\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Share of institutional investors using Reddit to investigate an issue in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大使用Reddit调查问题的机构投资者比例。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e72f250f4fe70ca9af575b6828bace0d\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Average trust score assigned by institutional investors to Reddit in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大机构投资者对Reddit的平均信任评分。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe Reddit’s increasing influence even among institutional investors, as 27% of them used Reddit to “investigate an issue”, which increased discernibly from the previous years, even though their trust in the platform dropped markedly from an average score of 3.5 in 2019 to 2.0 in 2021. We think this shows that institutional investors consider Reddit’s increasing influence in the general investment community’s decision-making process, but they don’t trust those things going on in those forums as meaningful enough for their \"well-developed\" processes, as compared to individual investors shown earlier.</p><p><blockquote>我们甚至可以观察到Reddit在机构投资者中的影响力越来越大，因为27%的人使用Reddit来“调查问题”，这比前几年明显增加，尽管他们对该平台的信任度从2019年的平均分3.5分明显下降到2021年的2.0分。我们认为这表明机构投资者认为Reddit在一般投资界决策过程中的影响力越来越大，但与之前展示的个人投资者相比，他们不相信这些论坛上发生的事情对他们“发达”的过程有足够的意义。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a87f8665c27d127566189bd21a035158\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"591\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional investors' attitude towards members of the Reddit wallstreetbets community. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构投资者对Reddit wallstreetbets社区成员的态度。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While 48% of institutional investors think that the Redditors “might have a short term influence, but they won’t be able to sustain it,” 27% developed some curiosity regarding Reddit influence among the investors’ community, and 13% of them developed some form of respect for the way the Redditors were able to amass an army to outgun some of Wall Street’s brightest minds. We were therefore not surprised to find that 20% of these institutional investors were frustrated with what they considered as “market manipulation” by the Redditors.</p><p><blockquote>虽然48%的机构投资者认为Reddit用户“可能有短期影响力，但他们无法维持这种影响力”，但27%的人对Reddit在投资者群体中的影响力产生了一些好奇心，13%的人对Reddit用户能够聚集一支军队来击败华尔街一些最聪明的人的方式产生了某种形式的尊重。因此，我们毫不惊讶地发现，这些机构投资者中有20%对他们认为的Redditors的“市场操纵”感到沮丧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来</b></blockquote></p><p> Ownership breakdown. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>所有权细分。资料来源：简单华尔街</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1dd4930d00083121d28ea6d57285bc5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional ownership changes. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构所有权变更。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moving forward, we think meme stocks like GME would continue to feature prominently within the Reddit forums and remain one of their “flagship” stocks in their fight against the Street. Retail investors now hold the largest share of ownership of GME stock, accounting for 45.1% of total ownership. Interestingly, there’s still a sizable proportion (36.4%) of institutional investors that remain vested in GME, which includes GME’s largest shareholder: Blackrock, which owns 12.36% of GME stock. While GME witnessed a significant outflow of $1.93B of institutional capital in Q2’21, the stock price remained well above the closing price of $17.25, on the first trading day of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，我们认为像GME这样的模因股票将继续在Reddit论坛中占据显着地位，并仍然是他们对抗华尔街的“旗舰”股票之一。散户投资者目前持有GME股票的最大份额，占总持股量的45.1%。有趣的是，仍有相当大比例（36.4%）的机构投资者仍然持有GME，其中包括GME最大股东：贝莱德，拥有GME 12.36%的股票。尽管GME在21年第二季度见证了19.3亿美元的机构资本大幅流出，但股价仍远高于2021年第一个交易日17.25美元的收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a708e62291662e5d4e2bce79492dc93a\" tg-width=\"1244\" tg-height=\"656\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Percentage of float shorted over time. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>随着时间的推移，流通量短缺的百分比。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the price continues to be sustained even though the short percentage of float has dropped significantly from 41.96% in Jan, to “just” 14.18% at the end of June, its lowest recorded two-week period in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，尽管空头流通量百分比已从1月份的41.96%大幅下降至6月底的“仅”14.18%，这是2021年有记录的两周最低水平，但价格仍继续维持。</blockquote></p><p> Other than the 45.1% of retail investors who are vested in GME, the stock is also supported by Ryan Cohen’s 12.13% share, which makes him the second-largest shareholder of GME stock, behind Blackrock, even though the purchase price for his last batch of 1.274M shares in Dec 20 is about $14.24, which certainly gives him a huge margin of safety if we consider GME’s last closing price of $178.85.</p><p><blockquote>除了持有GME的45.1%散户投资者外，该股还得到瑞安·科恩12.13%股份的支持，这使他成为GME股票的第二大股东，仅次于贝莱德，尽管他最后一批股票的购买价格12月20日的127.4万股约为14.24美元，如果我们考虑到GME最后收盘价178.85美元，这无疑给了他巨大的安全边际。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为和趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe5e54ac5cfe6504ec07c334a8c52668\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"786\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ever since the mania we witnessed at the start of the year, GME has settled down and seems to have developed an uptrend bias, with a support level that has attracted strong buying interest between the $130 and $160 price level previously. It is a level that we expect the buyers to continue defending strongly, based on our price action analysis. For investors who are keen to take a position in GME, we think they may consider an entry within that buy range that we highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>自从我们在今年年初目睹的狂热以来，GME已经稳定下来，似乎已经形成了上升趋势偏差，其支撑位在之前的130美元至160美元价格水平之间吸引了强烈的购买兴趣。根据我们的价格走势分析，我们预计买家将继续强烈捍卫这一水平。对于热衷于持有GME头寸的投资者，我们认为他们可能会考虑在我们强调的买入范围内入场。</blockquote></p><p> While we are convinced that the volatility in GameStop’s price is likely to continue moving ahead, we think the stock has incredibly found huge buying interest among the retail community that has shaken the foundations of the institutional investors, asStenham Asset Managementarticulated:</p><p><blockquote>阿斯滕汉姆资产管理公司表示，虽然我们相信游戏驿站的价格波动可能会继续下去，但我们认为该股在散户群体中引起了令人难以置信的巨大购买兴趣，这动摇了机构投资者的基础：</blockquote></p><p>   \"In the current environment, you are being negligent if you don’t measure and manage your exposure on the short side to both crowding and retail interest,\" and we think one of the multibillion-dollar US hedge fund also succinctly summed up the rising influence of the Reddit community: “[We] are absolutely looking at forums such as WSB, we are monitoring that extremely closely.”  In GameStop, we think the game is certainly far from being over.</p><p><blockquote>“在当前环境下，如果你不衡量和管理你对拥挤和散户兴趣的空头敞口，那你就是疏忽了，”我们认为一家价值数十亿美元的美国对冲基金也简洁地总结了这一点。Reddit社区的影响力：“[我们]绝对在关注WSB等论坛，我们正在非常密切地关注这一点。”在游戏驿站，我们认为游戏肯定远未结束。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop: The Game Is Far From Over<blockquote>游戏驿站：游戏远未结束</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-25 09:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>GameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce player.</li>  <li>We think the company may possibly be at an inflection point, if the management team is able to successfully execute its new e-commerce pivot.</li>  <li>In addition, we exhort the bears to pay special attention to the Reddit community, given its growing user base and influence in their investors' decision-making process.</li>  <li>While we don't have a position in GameStop, we don't think the game is over for the company.</li> </ul> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>游戏驿站已经对自己进行了改造，逐步成为主要的电子商务参与者。</li><li>我们认为，如果管理团队能够成功执行新的电子商务转型，该公司可能正处于拐点。</li><li>此外，鉴于Reddit社区不断增长的用户群及其对投资者决策过程的影响力，我们敦促看空者特别关注Reddit社区。</li><li>虽然我们在游戏驿站没有职位，但我们认为公司的游戏还没有结束。</li></ul><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> The speculation fervor behind GameStop’s (GME) meteoric rise to the stratospheric levels of $480 per share last seen in Jan has subsided significantly, as the stock last traded at the $178 price level, a 63% decline from the ATH reached during the January mania.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站(GME)上次在1月份迅速上涨至每股480美元的极高水平，背后的投机热情已显着消退，该股上次交易价格为178美元，较1月份狂热期间达到的ATH下跌了63%。</blockquote></p><p> While we agree to a large extent with the Street’s valuation opinion, that this stock seems to be significantly overvalued (The Street’s mean target price is $37.5), we would also like to highlight that we don’t think we presently have a valuation model that can comprehensively incorporate the underlying factors driving the company’s stock price, and therefore would not boldly proclaim to investors who have an interest in meme stocks, to stay away from GME.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们在很大程度上同意华尔街的估值意见，即这只股票似乎被严重高估（华尔街的平均目标价为37.5美元），但我们也想强调的是，我们认为我们目前没有一个估值模型可以全面纳入推动公司股价的潜在因素，因此不会大胆地向对meme股票感兴趣的投资者宣称远离GME。</blockquote></p><p> We thinkeMarketerdelineated in this recent piece in June, what factors they thought could have driven the underlying demand behind meme stocks in Reddit forums like GME:</p><p><blockquote>我们认为Marketer在6月份最近的这篇文章中描述了他们认为哪些因素可能推动了GME等Reddit论坛上meme股票背后的潜在需求：</blockquote></p><p>   Punishing short sellers. Clover Health (CLOV) short-sellers, who believed the stock was overvalued, were down $438 million in mark-to-market losses. GameStop short sellers lost over $5 billion.Perplexing the markets “for the memes”—i.e., it’s just funny. Reddit posts on r/WallStreetBets highlight how members make seemingly irrational investment decisions for the joy of duping financial institutions.Pump and dump. The artificially inflated share prices can maximize profit for the lucky few who invest early.  We think investors who have been schooled in fundamental analysis would never be able to develop models that could fully factor in the above, as these investors think the long term value of stocks are driven by the long term strength and the competitive moat of their underlying businesses, but not with the \"ludicrous\" methods adopted by the Redditors in the way they analyze stocks.</p><p><blockquote>惩罚卖空者。Clover Health(CLOV)卖空者认为该股被高估，按市值计算损失了4.38亿美元。游戏驿站卖空者损失超过50亿美元。“为了迷因”迷惑市场——也就是说，这很有趣。r/WallStreetBets上的Reddit帖子强调了会员如何为了杜平金融机构的快乐而做出看似非理性的投资决策。人为抬高的股价可以为少数早期投资的幸运儿带来利润最大化。我们认为，接受过基本面分析教育的投资者永远无法开发出能够充分考虑上述因素的模型，因为这些投资者认为股票的长期价值是由其基础业务的长期实力和竞争护城河驱动的，但不是Redditors在分析股票时采用的“可笑”方法。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, we dive deeper to look at the key fundamental drivers underpinning GME's business, and how we think the Reddit community's participation and influence in meme stocks like GME would continue to disrupt the valuation outlook for the company moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我们将更深入地探讨支撑GME业务的关键基本面驱动因素，以及我们认为Reddit社区对GME等meme股票的参与和影响力将如何继续扰乱该公司未来的估值前景。</blockquote></p><p> What Has Changed for GameStop since the January Mania?</p><p><blockquote>自一月狂热以来，游戏驿站发生了什么变化？</blockquote></p><p> GME recently appointed2 key veteranexecutives from Amazon (AMZN): Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its CEO and CFO, respectively, as part of Chairman Ryan Cohen's strategic revamp of GME's business model to pivot towards becoming a major \"e-commerce powerhouse.\"</p><p><blockquote>GME最近任命了两位来自亚马逊(AMZN)的关键资深高管：Matt Furlong和Mike Recupero分别担任首席执行官和首席财务官，这是董事长Ryan Cohen对GME商业模式进行战略改革的一部分，旨在成为主要的“电子商务巨头”。</blockquote></p><p> While the guidance from the new management may have been sparse so far, the team has certainly gotten down to work quickly, to put in place the necessary building blocks to gradually move GME into a major e-commerce player, as they have started to expand itsfulfillment centers, with two new recent facilities in Reno, Nevada and York, Pennsylvania, that have given the company a total capacity of more than 1.2M square feet.</p><p><blockquote>虽然到目前为止，新管理层的指导可能很少，但该团队肯定已经迅速开始工作，为逐步将GME转变为主要的电子商务参与者奠定必要的基础，因为他们已经开始扩大其履行中心，最近在内华达州里诺和宾夕法尼亚州约克新建了两个设施，使该公司的总产能超过120万平方英尺。</blockquote></p><p> Ryan Cohen has also made it clear that the company wouldn't be specifying intricate details on its overhaul plans to its competitors, but instead appealing to investors to judge the team on their actions, as he emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>瑞安·科恩还明确表示，该公司不会向竞争对手详细说明其改革计划的复杂细节，而是呼吁投资者根据团队的行动来评判他们，正如他强调的那样：</blockquote></p><p>   You won’t find ustalking a big game, making a bunch of lofty promises or telegraphing our strategy to the competition...We have a lot of work in front of us. Moving forward, we want you to judge GameStop based on our actions -- not our words.  However, the Street was hardly convinced with Ryan Cohen or the company’s strategy, asWedbush Securitiesarticulated recently: “I think it got away from him. I think his ego’s gotten in the way and now he's going to prove [to] everybody [that he] knows what he's doing. If there [was] a strategy, it's shocking that he hasn't told us. We were supposed to hear about this five months ago. What is such a secret?”</p><p><blockquote>你不会发现我们在谈论一场大游戏，做出一堆崇高的承诺，或者向竞争对手传达我们的战略...我们面前有很多工作要做。展望未来，我们希望你根据我们的行动而不是我们的言辞来判断游戏驿站。然而，华尔街几乎不相信瑞安·科恩或该公司的战略，正如Wedbush Securities最近所说：“我认为他逃脱了。我认为他的自我妨碍了，现在他要向所有人证明他知道自己在做什么。如果有一个策略，令人震惊的是他没有告诉我们。我们五个月前就应该听说这件事了。这是什么秘密？”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/213a840d218039b67bebc984532ecf5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Quarterly revenues. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>季度收入。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c46f7322b39c6468f6929c1fd414921b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM revenue. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM收入。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We could observe that the company seems to have been able to arrest the declining trend in its revenue in Q4'21 and Q1'22 (GME defines its FY differently from its CY), which took place well before the new management was in place. The company's Q4'21 revenue of $2.12B was its strong quarter over the last 3 years, while Q1'22's revenue grew 25% YoY. Therefore, when we plotted it over an LTM basis, we think that there's hope over the horizon, that perhaps the new management team may have an encouraging start, in the company's quest to become an important e-commerce competitor. We think investors should continue monitoring this space closely, especially on the build-up of the company's fulfillment centers, which is highly integral towards its e-commerce ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以观察到，该公司似乎已经能够在21年第4季度和22年第1季度阻止其收入下降的趋势（GME对其财年的定义与CY不同），这发生在新管理层上任之前很久。该公司21年第4季度的收入为$2.12 B，是过去3年中表现强劲的季度，而22年第1季度的收入同比增长25%。因此，当我们在LTM的基础上规划它时，我们认为地平线上有希望，也许新的管理团队在公司寻求成为重要的电子商务竞争对手的过程中可能会有一个令人鼓舞的开始。我们认为投资者应继续密切关注这一领域，特别是该公司履行中心的建设，这对于其电子商务雄心至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> LTM EBIT margins trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p><blockquote>LTM息税前利润率趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</blockquote></p><p> While the company's EBIT margin trend has certainly been of major concern, we think this is an area certainly worth watching, as yet again we observed an improvement in the LTM trend, as the company posted an LTM EBIT margin of -3.5% in Q1'22, as compared to its LTM EBIT margin of -4.9% in Q4'21. While we don't think the company is out of the woods yet, but we think the company may have stopped the rot, at least for now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然该公司的息税前利润率趋势无疑是一个主要问题，但我们认为这肯定是一个值得关注的领域，因为我们再次观察到LTM趋势有所改善，因为该公司在第一季度公布的LTM息税前利润率为-3.5%'22，而21年第4季度的LTM息税前利润率为-4.9%。虽然我们认为该公司尚未走出困境，但我们认为该公司可能已经停止了腐烂，至少目前是这样。</blockquote></p><p> Debt to Equity Ratio. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>负债权益比率。资料来源：简单华尔街</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eaacbe2d43de887038c30e9ab4bcfa2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM Levered FCF margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM杠杆自由现金流保证金。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company has also astutely capitalized on its share price to completetwo equity offeringsto buttress its balance sheet. As a result, the company's debt to equity ratio has improved significantly to 5.5%, with a debt balance of just $48.1M, while having a cash and ST investments balance of $694.7M (as of 1 May 21, before both equity offerings which raised a total of $1.677B, and before paring down of debt). In addition, the company has also never really been bleeding cash, as its levered FCF margins trend has always been relatively healthy while having also improved its LTM levered FCF margin at the recent quarter to 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还巧妙地利用其股价完成了两次股票发行，以支撑其资产负债表。因此，该公司的债务股本比率大幅提高至5.5%，债务余额仅为4810万美元，而现金和ST投资余额为6.947亿美元（截至21年5月1日，在两次股票发行之前，共筹集了16.77亿美元，在削减债务之前）。此外，该公司也从未真正流失现金，因为其杠杆自由现金流利润率趋势一直相对健康，同时最近一个季度还将LTM杠杆自由现金流利润率提高至1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think GME looks well-positioned to take advantage of its strategic overhaul towards its new e-commerce pivot if the management can successfully execute moving forward. While we are not too sure at this point on the roadmap ahead for GME, the Reddit community seems to be ready to continue supporting this company, as we shall go into detail how the Reddit community would continue to be a highly important force to be reckoned with, in their quest to bolster the stock price of the company, such that even Ryan Cohen made it a point to pay a special tribute to the Reddit community:</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为，如果管理层能够成功执行向前迈进，GME看起来完全有能力利用其战略改革，转向新的电子商务支点。虽然我们目前不太确定GME未来的路线图，但Reddit社区似乎已准备好继续支持这家公司，因为我们将详细介绍Reddit社区将如何继续成为一支非常重要的力量。为了提振公司股价，就连Ryan Cohen也特意向Reddit社区表示特别敬意：</blockquote></p><p>   We’re fortunateto have such a special group of investors holding the company’s shares, you guys inspire us to think bigger, fight harder and work longer each day.  <b>The Reddit Community Grew by 25.9% in 2020</b></p><p><blockquote>我们很幸运有这样一群特殊的投资者持有公司股票，你们激励我们每天想得更大、更努力、工作时间更长。<b>2020年Reddit社区增长25.9%</b></blockquote></p><p> US social network user growth, by platform 2020 &amp; 2021. Source:eMarketer</p><p><blockquote>2020年和2021年美国社交网络用户增长（按平台划分）。资料来源：eMarketer</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to observe that Reddit posted highly remarkable growth in 2020, as users on its platform grew by 25.9% YoY, andeMarketeralso expects the Reddit community to grow by 14.4% in 2021, to reach 43.3M users. We think the increasing popularity towards the adoption of Reddit would continue to sustain investors' interest in meme stocks like GME, moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够观察到，Reddit在2020年实现了非常显着的增长，其平台上的用户同比增长了25.9%，Marketer还预计Reddit社区在2021年将增长14.4%，达到4330万用户。我们认为，Reddit的日益普及将继续维持投资者对GME等模因股票的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f886ecf993efe35532771c132d94a6a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Population distribution in the US in 2019, by generation. Data source: US Census Bureau</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2019年美国按世代划分的人口分布。数据来源：美国人口普查局</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We believe that Reddit has certainly benefited from the secular drivers underpinning digitization, which has also led to significant growth and popularity in trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), where theaverage agein 2020 is 31 years old. This puts the average age of Robinhood users right within the age group of the Millennials, who were born between 1981 and 1996 (25 to 40 years old), and accounted for 21.97% of the US population, based on the 2019 census.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为，Reddit无疑受益于支撑数字化的长期驱动因素，这也导致了Robinhood(HOOD)等交易平台的显着增长和受欢迎程度，该平台2020年的平均年龄为31岁。根据2019年的人口普查，这使得Robinhood用户的平均年龄正好在千禧一代的年龄组内，他们出生于1981年至1996年之间（25至40岁），占美国人口的21.97%。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, we could also observe that Millennial investors are interested in stocks that are not the “safe and steady” stocks that a typical investor is expected to hold if I could put it that way. We don’t think valuations form the most important considerations to these investors as we could observe from the above.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，我们还可以观察到，千禧一代投资者对的股票不是典型投资者预期持有的“安全稳定”股票感兴趣（如果我可以这么说的话）。正如我们从上面可以观察到的那样，我们认为估值并不是这些投资者最重要的考虑因素。</blockquote></p><p> According to a report byApex Clearing, Tesla (TSLA) formed the largest holdings of their Millennials portfolio in Q1’21, with a 28.3% share, a stock that we think investors would not typically say it’s cheap. While AAPL was the second-largest holding with a 14.5% share, GME also rounded up the top 4 with a 5.2% share, lending support to our opinion that Millennial investors’ motivations are driven by factors beyond just fundamentals and valuations.</p><p><blockquote>根据Apex Clearing的一份报告，特斯拉(TSLA)在21年第一季度成为千禧一代投资组合中最大的持股，占28.3%的份额，我们认为投资者通常不会说这只股票便宜。虽然AAPL以14.5%的份额位居第二，但GME也以5.2%的份额跻身前四，这支持了我们的观点，即千禧一代投资者的动机是由基本面和估值以外的因素驱动的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Among the holdings in the Millennials portfolio, we could observe many other examples that corroborate these investors' interests in premium stocks, like Nvidia (NVDA), another meme stock like AMC Entertainment (AMC), Churchill Capital Corp (CCIV), its third-largest holding; Nio (NIO), Palantir (PLTR), and even Square (SQ), stocks we think investors would not typically ascribe as value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在千禧一代投资组合中的持股中，我们可以观察到许多其他例子来证实这些投资者对优质股票的兴趣，例如英伟达(NVDA)，另一只模因股票，如AMC院线(AMC)、Churchill Capital Corp(CCIV)，其第三大持股；蔚来（蔚来）、Palantir（PLTR），甚至Square（SQ），我们认为投资者通常不会将这些股票视为价值股。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think the general investor community needs to understand that there’s a huge and growing base of investors whose understanding and expectations of fundamentals and valuations are certainly quite different from what our typical valuation models could account for.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为普通投资者群体需要明白，有一个庞大且不断增长的投资者基础，他们对基本面和估值的理解和预期肯定与我们典型的估值模型所能解释的有很大不同。</blockquote></p><p> We think the market is definitely bigger and much more complex than what we know, and it’s just not possible to use the same fundamental analysis and valuation methods to value meme stocks like GME and say that they are way overvalued, a process that we honestly think is quite meaningless in the world of meme stocks investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为市场肯定比我们所知道的更大、更复杂，而且不可能使用相同的基本面分析和估值方法来评估像GME这样的模因股票并说它们被高估，这是一个我们诚实地认为的过程在模因股票投资领域毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Analyzing the Reddit Opinion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析Reddit观点</b></blockquote></p><p> Individual investors’ opinion on Reddit after GameStop short squeeze in the US, UK, and Canada as of Feb 21, by age. Data source:Brunswick</p><p><blockquote>截至2月21日，美国、英国和加拿大游戏驿站轧空后个人投资者在Reddit上的看法（按年龄）。数据来源：Brunswick</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey by Brunswick, we could observe the importance of the Reddit forums as an investment tool for investors, especially among the younger investors within the age group of 18-29 years old. About 14% of all investors “trust Reddit as a media alternative,” and the share even shot up to 31% among the younger investors. In addition, a good proportion (25%) of the younger investors also took part in the GME opportunities, while 20% of them think that the GME events “represent a fundamental shift of power in the market.” While these opinions may belong within the minority of investors, we think the proportion of investors is certainly large enough to raise the eyebrows of the general investment community, and therefore we think the power of the Reddit forums is certainly a force to be reckoned with moving ahead.</p><p><blockquote>根据Brunswick的一项调查，我们可以观察到Reddit论坛作为投资者投资工具的重要性，尤其是在18-29岁年龄段的年轻投资者中。大约14%的投资者“信任Reddit作为媒体替代品”，在年轻投资者中，这一比例甚至飙升至31%。此外，很大一部分（25%）的年轻投资者也参与了GME机会，而其中20%的人认为GME事件“代表了市场力量的根本性转变”。虽然这些观点可能属于少数投资者，但我们认为投资者的比例肯定足够大，足以引起一般投资界的关注，因此我们认为Reddit论坛的力量肯定是一股不可忽视的力量。前进。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa3108c1a56bc4c6221a4d8297e018d3\" tg-width=\"826\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Share of institutional investors using Reddit to investigate an issue in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大使用Reddit调查问题的机构投资者比例。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e72f250f4fe70ca9af575b6828bace0d\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Average trust score assigned by institutional investors to Reddit in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大机构投资者对Reddit的平均信任评分。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe Reddit’s increasing influence even among institutional investors, as 27% of them used Reddit to “investigate an issue”, which increased discernibly from the previous years, even though their trust in the platform dropped markedly from an average score of 3.5 in 2019 to 2.0 in 2021. We think this shows that institutional investors consider Reddit’s increasing influence in the general investment community’s decision-making process, but they don’t trust those things going on in those forums as meaningful enough for their \"well-developed\" processes, as compared to individual investors shown earlier.</p><p><blockquote>我们甚至可以观察到Reddit在机构投资者中的影响力越来越大，因为27%的人使用Reddit来“调查问题”，这比前几年明显增加，尽管他们对该平台的信任度从2019年的平均分3.5分明显下降到2021年的2.0分。我们认为这表明机构投资者认为Reddit在一般投资界决策过程中的影响力越来越大，但与之前展示的个人投资者相比，他们不相信这些论坛上发生的事情对他们“发达”的过程有足够的意义。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a87f8665c27d127566189bd21a035158\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"591\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional investors' attitude towards members of the Reddit wallstreetbets community. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构投资者对Reddit wallstreetbets社区成员的态度。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While 48% of institutional investors think that the Redditors “might have a short term influence, but they won’t be able to sustain it,” 27% developed some curiosity regarding Reddit influence among the investors’ community, and 13% of them developed some form of respect for the way the Redditors were able to amass an army to outgun some of Wall Street’s brightest minds. We were therefore not surprised to find that 20% of these institutional investors were frustrated with what they considered as “market manipulation” by the Redditors.</p><p><blockquote>虽然48%的机构投资者认为Reddit用户“可能有短期影响力，但他们无法维持这种影响力”，但27%的人对Reddit在投资者群体中的影响力产生了一些好奇心，13%的人对Reddit用户能够聚集一支军队来击败华尔街一些最聪明的人的方式产生了某种形式的尊重。因此，我们毫不惊讶地发现，这些机构投资者中有20%对他们认为的Redditors的“市场操纵”感到沮丧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来</b></blockquote></p><p> Ownership breakdown. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>所有权细分。资料来源：简单华尔街</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1dd4930d00083121d28ea6d57285bc5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional ownership changes. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构所有权变更。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moving forward, we think meme stocks like GME would continue to feature prominently within the Reddit forums and remain one of their “flagship” stocks in their fight against the Street. Retail investors now hold the largest share of ownership of GME stock, accounting for 45.1% of total ownership. Interestingly, there’s still a sizable proportion (36.4%) of institutional investors that remain vested in GME, which includes GME’s largest shareholder: Blackrock, which owns 12.36% of GME stock. While GME witnessed a significant outflow of $1.93B of institutional capital in Q2’21, the stock price remained well above the closing price of $17.25, on the first trading day of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，我们认为像GME这样的模因股票将继续在Reddit论坛中占据显着地位，并仍然是他们对抗华尔街的“旗舰”股票之一。散户投资者目前持有GME股票的最大份额，占总持股量的45.1%。有趣的是，仍有相当大比例（36.4%）的机构投资者仍然持有GME，其中包括GME最大股东：贝莱德，拥有GME 12.36%的股票。尽管GME在21年第二季度见证了19.3亿美元的机构资本大幅流出，但股价仍远高于2021年第一个交易日17.25美元的收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a708e62291662e5d4e2bce79492dc93a\" tg-width=\"1244\" tg-height=\"656\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Percentage of float shorted over time. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>随着时间的推移，流通量短缺的百分比。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the price continues to be sustained even though the short percentage of float has dropped significantly from 41.96% in Jan, to “just” 14.18% at the end of June, its lowest recorded two-week period in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，尽管空头流通量百分比已从1月份的41.96%大幅下降至6月底的“仅”14.18%，这是2021年有记录的两周最低水平，但价格仍继续维持。</blockquote></p><p> Other than the 45.1% of retail investors who are vested in GME, the stock is also supported by Ryan Cohen’s 12.13% share, which makes him the second-largest shareholder of GME stock, behind Blackrock, even though the purchase price for his last batch of 1.274M shares in Dec 20 is about $14.24, which certainly gives him a huge margin of safety if we consider GME’s last closing price of $178.85.</p><p><blockquote>除了持有GME的45.1%散户投资者外，该股还得到瑞安·科恩12.13%股份的支持，这使他成为GME股票的第二大股东，仅次于贝莱德，尽管他最后一批股票的购买价格12月20日的127.4万股约为14.24美元，如果我们考虑到GME最后收盘价178.85美元，这无疑给了他巨大的安全边际。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为和趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe5e54ac5cfe6504ec07c334a8c52668\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"786\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ever since the mania we witnessed at the start of the year, GME has settled down and seems to have developed an uptrend bias, with a support level that has attracted strong buying interest between the $130 and $160 price level previously. It is a level that we expect the buyers to continue defending strongly, based on our price action analysis. For investors who are keen to take a position in GME, we think they may consider an entry within that buy range that we highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>自从我们在今年年初目睹的狂热以来，GME已经稳定下来，似乎已经形成了上升趋势偏差，其支撑位在之前的130美元至160美元价格水平之间吸引了强烈的购买兴趣。根据我们的价格走势分析，我们预计买家将继续强烈捍卫这一水平。对于热衷于持有GME头寸的投资者，我们认为他们可能会考虑在我们强调的买入范围内入场。</blockquote></p><p> While we are convinced that the volatility in GameStop’s price is likely to continue moving ahead, we think the stock has incredibly found huge buying interest among the retail community that has shaken the foundations of the institutional investors, asStenham Asset Managementarticulated:</p><p><blockquote>阿斯滕汉姆资产管理公司表示，虽然我们相信游戏驿站的价格波动可能会继续下去，但我们认为该股在散户群体中引起了令人难以置信的巨大购买兴趣，这动摇了机构投资者的基础：</blockquote></p><p>   \"In the current environment, you are being negligent if you don’t measure and manage your exposure on the short side to both crowding and retail interest,\" and we think one of the multibillion-dollar US hedge fund also succinctly summed up the rising influence of the Reddit community: “[We] are absolutely looking at forums such as WSB, we are monitoring that extremely closely.”  In GameStop, we think the game is certainly far from being over.</p><p><blockquote>“在当前环境下，如果你不衡量和管理你对拥挤和散户兴趣的空头敞口，那你就是疏忽了，”我们认为一家价值数十亿美元的美国对冲基金也简洁地总结了这一点。Reddit社区的影响力：“[我们]绝对在关注WSB等论坛，我们正在非常密切地关注这一点。”在游戏驿站，我们认为游戏肯定远未结束。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441170-gamestop-the-game-is-far-from-over\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441170-gamestop-the-game-is-far-from-over","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107345366","content_text":"Summary\n\nGameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce player.\nWe think the company may possibly be at an inflection point, if the management team is able to successfully execute its new e-commerce pivot.\nIn addition, we exhort the bears to pay special attention to the Reddit community, given its growing user base and influence in their investors' decision-making process.\nWhile we don't have a position in GameStop, we don't think the game is over for the company.\n\nInvestment Thesis\nThe speculation fervor behind GameStop’s (GME) meteoric rise to the stratospheric levels of $480 per share last seen in Jan has subsided significantly, as the stock last traded at the $178 price level, a 63% decline from the ATH reached during the January mania.\nWhile we agree to a large extent with the Street’s valuation opinion, that this stock seems to be significantly overvalued (The Street’s mean target price is $37.5), we would also like to highlight that we don’t think we presently have a valuation model that can comprehensively incorporate the underlying factors driving the company’s stock price, and therefore would not boldly proclaim to investors who have an interest in meme stocks, to stay away from GME.\nWe thinkeMarketerdelineated in this recent piece in June, what factors they thought could have driven the underlying demand behind meme stocks in Reddit forums like GME:\n\n Punishing short sellers. Clover Health (CLOV) short-sellers, who believed the stock was overvalued, were down $438 million in mark-to-market losses. GameStop short sellers lost over $5 billion.Perplexing the markets “for the memes”—i.e., it’s just funny. Reddit posts on r/WallStreetBets highlight how members make seemingly irrational investment decisions for the joy of duping financial institutions.Pump and dump. The artificially inflated share prices can maximize profit for the lucky few who invest early.\n\nWe think investors who have been schooled in fundamental analysis would never be able to develop models that could fully factor in the above, as these investors think the long term value of stocks are driven by the long term strength and the competitive moat of their underlying businesses, but not with the \"ludicrous\" methods adopted by the Redditors in the way they analyze stocks.\nIn this article, we dive deeper to look at the key fundamental drivers underpinning GME's business, and how we think the Reddit community's participation and influence in meme stocks like GME would continue to disrupt the valuation outlook for the company moving forward.\nWhat Has Changed for GameStop since the January Mania?\nGME recently appointed2 key veteranexecutives from Amazon (AMZN): Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its CEO and CFO, respectively, as part of Chairman Ryan Cohen's strategic revamp of GME's business model to pivot towards becoming a major \"e-commerce powerhouse.\"\nWhile the guidance from the new management may have been sparse so far, the team has certainly gotten down to work quickly, to put in place the necessary building blocks to gradually move GME into a major e-commerce player, as they have started to expand itsfulfillment centers, with two new recent facilities in Reno, Nevada and York, Pennsylvania, that have given the company a total capacity of more than 1.2M square feet.\nRyan Cohen has also made it clear that the company wouldn't be specifying intricate details on its overhaul plans to its competitors, but instead appealing to investors to judge the team on their actions, as he emphasized:\n\n You won’t find ustalking a big game, making a bunch of lofty promises or telegraphing our strategy to the competition...We have a lot of work in front of us. Moving forward, we want you to judge GameStop based on our actions -- not our words.\n\nHowever, the Street was hardly convinced with Ryan Cohen or the company’s strategy, asWedbush Securitiesarticulated recently: “I think it got away from him. I think his ego’s gotten in the way and now he's going to prove [to] everybody [that he] knows what he's doing. If there [was] a strategy, it's shocking that he hasn't told us. We were supposed to hear about this five months ago. What is such a secret?”\nQuarterly revenues. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nLTM revenue. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe that the company seems to have been able to arrest the declining trend in its revenue in Q4'21 and Q1'22 (GME defines its FY differently from its CY), which took place well before the new management was in place. The company's Q4'21 revenue of $2.12B was its strong quarter over the last 3 years, while Q1'22's revenue grew 25% YoY. Therefore, when we plotted it over an LTM basis, we think that there's hope over the horizon, that perhaps the new management team may have an encouraging start, in the company's quest to become an important e-commerce competitor. We think investors should continue monitoring this space closely, especially on the build-up of the company's fulfillment centers, which is highly integral towards its e-commerce ambitions.\nLTM EBIT margins trend. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhile the company's EBIT margin trend has certainly been of major concern, we think this is an area certainly worth watching, as yet again we observed an improvement in the LTM trend, as the company posted an LTM EBIT margin of -3.5% in Q1'22, as compared to its LTM EBIT margin of -4.9% in Q4'21. While we don't think the company is out of the woods yet, but we think the company may have stopped the rot, at least for now.\nDebt to Equity Ratio. Source:Simply Wall St\nLTM Levered FCF margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nThe company has also astutely capitalized on its share price to completetwo equity offeringsto buttress its balance sheet. As a result, the company's debt to equity ratio has improved significantly to 5.5%, with a debt balance of just $48.1M, while having a cash and ST investments balance of $694.7M (as of 1 May 21, before both equity offerings which raised a total of $1.677B, and before paring down of debt). In addition, the company has also never really been bleeding cash, as its levered FCF margins trend has always been relatively healthy while having also improved its LTM levered FCF margin at the recent quarter to 1.6%.\nTherefore, we think GME looks well-positioned to take advantage of its strategic overhaul towards its new e-commerce pivot if the management can successfully execute moving forward. While we are not too sure at this point on the roadmap ahead for GME, the Reddit community seems to be ready to continue supporting this company, as we shall go into detail how the Reddit community would continue to be a highly important force to be reckoned with, in their quest to bolster the stock price of the company, such that even Ryan Cohen made it a point to pay a special tribute to the Reddit community:\n\n We’re fortunateto have such a special group of investors holding the company’s shares, you guys inspire us to think bigger, fight harder and work longer each day.\n\nThe Reddit Community Grew by 25.9% in 2020\nUS social network user growth, by platform 2020 & 2021. Source:eMarketer\nInvestors should be able to observe that Reddit posted highly remarkable growth in 2020, as users on its platform grew by 25.9% YoY, andeMarketeralso expects the Reddit community to grow by 14.4% in 2021, to reach 43.3M users. We think the increasing popularity towards the adoption of Reddit would continue to sustain investors' interest in meme stocks like GME, moving forward.\nPopulation distribution in the US in 2019, by generation. Data source: US Census Bureau\nWe believe that Reddit has certainly benefited from the secular drivers underpinning digitization, which has also led to significant growth and popularity in trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), where theaverage agein 2020 is 31 years old. This puts the average age of Robinhood users right within the age group of the Millennials, who were born between 1981 and 1996 (25 to 40 years old), and accounted for 21.97% of the US population, based on the 2019 census.\nImportantly, we could also observe that Millennial investors are interested in stocks that are not the “safe and steady” stocks that a typical investor is expected to hold if I could put it that way. We don’t think valuations form the most important considerations to these investors as we could observe from the above.\nAccording to a report byApex Clearing, Tesla (TSLA) formed the largest holdings of their Millennials portfolio in Q1’21, with a 28.3% share, a stock that we think investors would not typically say it’s cheap. While AAPL was the second-largest holding with a 14.5% share, GME also rounded up the top 4 with a 5.2% share, lending support to our opinion that Millennial investors’ motivations are driven by factors beyond just fundamentals and valuations.\nAmong the holdings in the Millennials portfolio, we could observe many other examples that corroborate these investors' interests in premium stocks, like Nvidia (NVDA), another meme stock like AMC Entertainment (AMC), Churchill Capital Corp (CCIV), its third-largest holding; Nio (NIO), Palantir (PLTR), and even Square (SQ), stocks we think investors would not typically ascribe as value stocks.\nTherefore, we think the general investor community needs to understand that there’s a huge and growing base of investors whose understanding and expectations of fundamentals and valuations are certainly quite different from what our typical valuation models could account for.\nWe think the market is definitely bigger and much more complex than what we know, and it’s just not possible to use the same fundamental analysis and valuation methods to value meme stocks like GME and say that they are way overvalued, a process that we honestly think is quite meaningless in the world of meme stocks investment.\nAnalyzing the Reddit Opinion\nIndividual investors’ opinion on Reddit after GameStop short squeeze in the US, UK, and Canada as of Feb 21, by age. Data source:Brunswick\nAccording to a survey by Brunswick, we could observe the importance of the Reddit forums as an investment tool for investors, especially among the younger investors within the age group of 18-29 years old. About 14% of all investors “trust Reddit as a media alternative,” and the share even shot up to 31% among the younger investors. In addition, a good proportion (25%) of the younger investors also took part in the GME opportunities, while 20% of them think that the GME events “represent a fundamental shift of power in the market.” While these opinions may belong within the minority of investors, we think the proportion of investors is certainly large enough to raise the eyebrows of the general investment community, and therefore we think the power of the Reddit forums is certainly a force to be reckoned with moving ahead.\nShare of institutional investors using Reddit to investigate an issue in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick\nAverage trust score assigned by institutional investors to Reddit in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick\nWe could observe Reddit’s increasing influence even among institutional investors, as 27% of them used Reddit to “investigate an issue”, which increased discernibly from the previous years, even though their trust in the platform dropped markedly from an average score of 3.5 in 2019 to 2.0 in 2021. We think this shows that institutional investors consider Reddit’s increasing influence in the general investment community’s decision-making process, but they don’t trust those things going on in those forums as meaningful enough for their \"well-developed\" processes, as compared to individual investors shown earlier.\nInstitutional investors' attitude towards members of the Reddit wallstreetbets community. Data source: Brunswick\nWhile 48% of institutional investors think that the Redditors “might have a short term influence, but they won’t be able to sustain it,” 27% developed some curiosity regarding Reddit influence among the investors’ community, and 13% of them developed some form of respect for the way the Redditors were able to amass an army to outgun some of Wall Street’s brightest minds. We were therefore not surprised to find that 20% of these institutional investors were frustrated with what they considered as “market manipulation” by the Redditors.\nLooking Ahead\nOwnership breakdown. Source:Simply Wall St\nInstitutional ownership changes. Source:Marketbeat\nMoving forward, we think meme stocks like GME would continue to feature prominently within the Reddit forums and remain one of their “flagship” stocks in their fight against the Street. Retail investors now hold the largest share of ownership of GME stock, accounting for 45.1% of total ownership. Interestingly, there’s still a sizable proportion (36.4%) of institutional investors that remain vested in GME, which includes GME’s largest shareholder: Blackrock, which owns 12.36% of GME stock. While GME witnessed a significant outflow of $1.93B of institutional capital in Q2’21, the stock price remained well above the closing price of $17.25, on the first trading day of 2021.\nPercentage of float shorted over time. Source:Marketbeat\nImportantly, the price continues to be sustained even though the short percentage of float has dropped significantly from 41.96% in Jan, to “just” 14.18% at the end of June, its lowest recorded two-week period in 2021.\nOther than the 45.1% of retail investors who are vested in GME, the stock is also supported by Ryan Cohen’s 12.13% share, which makes him the second-largest shareholder of GME stock, behind Blackrock, even though the purchase price for his last batch of 1.274M shares in Dec 20 is about $14.24, which certainly gives him a huge margin of safety if we consider GME’s last closing price of $178.85.\nPrice Action and Trend Analysis\nSource: TradingView\nEver since the mania we witnessed at the start of the year, GME has settled down and seems to have developed an uptrend bias, with a support level that has attracted strong buying interest between the $130 and $160 price level previously. It is a level that we expect the buyers to continue defending strongly, based on our price action analysis. For investors who are keen to take a position in GME, we think they may consider an entry within that buy range that we highlighted.\nWhile we are convinced that the volatility in GameStop’s price is likely to continue moving ahead, we think the stock has incredibly found huge buying interest among the retail community that has shaken the foundations of the institutional investors, asStenham Asset Managementarticulated:\n\n \"In the current environment, you are being negligent if you don’t measure and manage your exposure on the short side to both crowding and retail interest,\" and we think one of the multibillion-dollar US hedge fund also succinctly summed up the rising influence of the Reddit community: “[We] are absolutely looking at forums such as WSB, we are monitoring that extremely closely.”\n\nIn GameStop, we think the game is certainly far from being over.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2076,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174713273,"gmtCreate":1627138338292,"gmtModify":1631891027995,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174713273","repostId":"1109439356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179248468,"gmtCreate":1626539731254,"gmtModify":1631892243878,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"goooood","listText":"goooood","text":"goooood","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179248468","repostId":"2152681854","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":709,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142327966,"gmtCreate":1626133737355,"gmtModify":1631892243881,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good&nbsp;","listText":"good&nbsp;","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142327966","repostId":"1119839711","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119839711","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626126339,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119839711?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 05:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数首次收于35,000点，但所有3个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创下历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119839711","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq C","content":"<p>  <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>  The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数收盘略低于35,000点的里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一综合指数连续创下纪录，以上周结束的方式开始了本周。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的收官之际，投资者正在等待美联储主席杰罗姆的半年度证词<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始，一批经济报告贯穿整个星期，企业季度业绩的非正式开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨126.02点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的34,996.18点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的4,384.63点，此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点，即0.2%，收于创纪录的14,733.24点，此前盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五，道琼斯指数和标普500指数收于历史新高，周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅为0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场？</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一，主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。此次上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一些关键事件之前，包括财报季的非正式开始，<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>&amp;Co</b>鲍威尔将于周二在国会大厦作证，摩根大通+1.43%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>，以及有关通货膨胀的最新读数。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲，这可能会推动市场走高，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S.的收入，并补充说，目前，盈利已经掩盖了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>超过计划的基础设施支出和可能更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>凯里对MarketWatch表示：“大多数人似乎都关注经济实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性，而股价肯定处于高位。”</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡，随后以繁荣告终，部分原因是美国国债收益率下降。政府债务利率的下调引发了人们对美国经济从疫情复苏的前景的质疑。COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延已成为一个令人担忧的问题，但某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据，人们对美联储货币政策的质疑也被指责为部分交易不稳定的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>周一，10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y, 1.365%小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%，而30年期国债收益率MUBMUSD30Y, 2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%，接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示，缩减每月1200亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管通胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并令美国家庭担忧，但一些策略师表示，这些担忧对市场来说可能被“过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>由杰森·普莱德和迈克尔·雷诺兹领导的格伦梅德团队在周一的一份报告中写道：“之前的通胀担忧和当前的增长峰值担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断，不会持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行中持续复苏的过程中，市场试图适应快速变化的信息流，可能会保持波动”，但这些因素“不应对市场造成长期破坏”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注delta驱动的COVID感染。美国以3385万例COVID病例和607156例死亡位居世界第一。安东尼·福奇博士周一表示，目前不需要加强剂，但周日CNN inview表示，看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼是“令人震惊的”，并指责“意识形态僵化”阻碍了抗击疫情的斗争。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“我们长期以来一直警告说，疫苗接种不太可能引发向正常状态的平稳过渡，”本·梅说，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津大学</a>经济学全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前，周一没有关键数据公布，首先是周二的消费者价格数据。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外，投资者还关注20国集团财长之间的讨论，他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“我们需要可持续的收入来源，而不是依赖于进一步对工人工资征税和加剧我们都致力于缩小的经济差距，”美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦在向欧盟国家发表的关于修改国际企业税法的讲话中表示。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>她说：“我们需要制止企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区，以及让他们逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>  <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>  <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>  <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%据《华尔街日报》报道，这家芯片和软件公司正在就收购SAS Institute Inc.进行谈判，这笔交易的估值可能达到150亿至200亿美元，周一股价上涨1.2%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc</b>特拉华联邦法官驳回了Blix Inc.的诉讼，称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害了移动操作系统市场的竞争，该公司股价一天下跌0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>.LB,+4.16%表示，将于下个月分拆为两家上市公司，维多利亚的秘密(Victoria's Secret&amp;Co.)的内衣部门将更名为“VSCO”，而Bath&amp;BodyWorks Inc.的子公司将更名为“BBWI”，股票代码为“BBWI”，从8月3日开始。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%周一，Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元，但仍远未接近该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>户外烤架制造商韦伯(Weber)已申请上市，距其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世已近50年。股票将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>证券交易所，股票代码为WEBR。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid周一下跌17.3%，这是自2020年3月16日以来的最大单日跌幅，此前一天创始人理查德·布兰森(Richard Branson)和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的VSS成功飞入亚轨道空间<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力太空飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商.BASE周一设定了首次公开募股的条款，计划发行700万股，每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“BASE”。</li><li>本公司之股份<b>现代公司</b>.MRNA周一上涨2.8%，此前该公司表示将向阿根廷供应2000万剂COVID-19疫苗。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds公司</a>.</b>尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景，但SWI周一仍下跌1.8%。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>  <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>  <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>  <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>衡量美元兑六个主要竞争对手的ICE美元指数DXY上涨0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收盘走低，美国基准Cl 00 Cl.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%，收于每桶74.10美元。黄金GC 00收跌0.3%，报每盎司1805.90美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面，斯托克欧洲600指数收盘上涨0.7%，而伦敦股市收盘上涨0.7%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX周一收盘上涨0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一，上证综指上涨0.7%，恒生指数恒生指数上涨0.6%，日经225指数上涨2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数首次收于35,000点，但所有3个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创下历史新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数首次收于35,000点，但所有3个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创下历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-13 05:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>  The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数收盘略低于35,000点的里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一综合指数连续创下纪录，以上周结束的方式开始了本周。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的收官之际，投资者正在等待美联储主席杰罗姆的半年度证词<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始，一批经济报告贯穿整个星期，企业季度业绩的非正式开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨126.02点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的34,996.18点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的4,384.63点，此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点，即0.2%，收于创纪录的14,733.24点，此前盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五，道琼斯指数和标普500指数收于历史新高，周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅为0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场？</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一，主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。此次上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一些关键事件之前，包括财报季的非正式开始，<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>&amp;Co</b>鲍威尔将于周二在国会大厦作证，摩根大通+1.43%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>，以及有关通货膨胀的最新读数。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲，这可能会推动市场走高，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S.的收入，并补充说，目前，盈利已经掩盖了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>超过计划的基础设施支出和可能更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>凯里对MarketWatch表示：“大多数人似乎都关注经济实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性，而股价肯定处于高位。”</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡，随后以繁荣告终，部分原因是美国国债收益率下降。政府债务利率的下调引发了人们对美国经济从疫情复苏的前景的质疑。COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延已成为一个令人担忧的问题，但某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据，人们对美联储货币政策的质疑也被指责为部分交易不稳定的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>周一，10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y, 1.365%小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%，而30年期国债收益率MUBMUSD30Y, 2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%，接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示，缩减每月1200亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管通胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并令美国家庭担忧，但一些策略师表示，这些担忧对市场来说可能被“过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>由杰森·普莱德和迈克尔·雷诺兹领导的格伦梅德团队在周一的一份报告中写道：“之前的通胀担忧和当前的增长峰值担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断，不会持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行中持续复苏的过程中，市场试图适应快速变化的信息流，可能会保持波动”，但这些因素“不应对市场造成长期破坏”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注delta驱动的COVID感染。美国以3385万例COVID病例和607156例死亡位居世界第一。安东尼·福奇博士周一表示，目前不需要加强剂，但周日CNN inview表示，看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼是“令人震惊的”，并指责“意识形态僵化”阻碍了抗击疫情的斗争。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“我们长期以来一直警告说，疫苗接种不太可能引发向正常状态的平稳过渡，”本·梅说，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津大学</a>经济学全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前，周一没有关键数据公布，首先是周二的消费者价格数据。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外，投资者还关注20国集团财长之间的讨论，他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“我们需要可持续的收入来源，而不是依赖于进一步对工人工资征税和加剧我们都致力于缩小的经济差距，”美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦在向欧盟国家发表的关于修改国际企业税法的讲话中表示。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>她说：“我们需要制止企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区，以及让他们逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>  <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>  <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>  <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%据《华尔街日报》报道，这家芯片和软件公司正在就收购SAS Institute Inc.进行谈判，这笔交易的估值可能达到150亿至200亿美元，周一股价上涨1.2%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc</b>特拉华联邦法官驳回了Blix Inc.的诉讼，称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害了移动操作系统市场的竞争，该公司股价一天下跌0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>.LB,+4.16%表示，将于下个月分拆为两家上市公司，维多利亚的秘密(Victoria's Secret&amp;Co.)的内衣部门将更名为“VSCO”，而Bath&amp;BodyWorks Inc.的子公司将更名为“BBWI”，股票代码为“BBWI”，从8月3日开始。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%周一，Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元，但仍远未接近该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>户外烤架制造商韦伯(Weber)已申请上市，距其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世已近50年。股票将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>证券交易所，股票代码为WEBR。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid周一下跌17.3%，这是自2020年3月16日以来的最大单日跌幅，此前一天创始人理查德·布兰森(Richard Branson)和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的VSS成功飞入亚轨道空间<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力太空飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商.BASE周一设定了首次公开募股的条款，计划发行700万股，每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“BASE”。</li><li>本公司之股份<b>现代公司</b>.MRNA周一上涨2.8%，此前该公司表示将向阿根廷供应2000万剂COVID-19疫苗。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds公司</a>.</b>尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景，但SWI周一仍下跌1.8%。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>  <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>  <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>  <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>衡量美元兑六个主要竞争对手的ICE美元指数DXY上涨0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收盘走低，美国基准Cl 00 Cl.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%，收于每桶74.10美元。黄金GC 00收跌0.3%，报每盎司1805.90美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面，斯托克欧洲600指数收盘上涨0.7%，而伦敦股市收盘上涨0.7%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX周一收盘上涨0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一，上证综指上涨0.7%，恒生指数恒生指数上涨0.6%，日经225指数上涨2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119839711","content_text":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.\nThe record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.\nHow did stock benchmarks end?\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.\nS&P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.\nNasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.\n\nOn Friday, the Dow and S&P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.\nWhat drove the market?\nMajor stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, whichJPMorgan Chase & Co.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill, and fresh readings on inflation.\n“People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of Equity Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in Washington over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.\n“Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.\nEquity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.\nQuestions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.\nYields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.\nFederal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John Williams told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.\nAlthough inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.\n“Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.\n“Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”\nInvestors also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.\n“We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, Oxford Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.\nNo key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.\nSeparately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.\n“We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.\n“We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.\nWhich companies were in focus?\n\nBroadcom Inc.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.\nApple Inc.AAPL,-0.42% shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.\nL Brands Inc.LB,+4.16% said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret & Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath & BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.\nGameStop Inc.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.\nWeber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.\nShares ofVirgin Galactic Holdings Inc. SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into suborbital space on the company’s VSS Unity rocket-powered spaceplane.\nCouchbase Inc. BASE, a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’\nShares ofModerna Inc. MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.\nShares ofSolarWinds Corp. SWI were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.\n\nHow did other assets trade?\n\nThe ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.\nOil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark CL00 CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold GC00 settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.\nIn European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP closed 0.7% higher, while London’s FTSE 100 UKX finished up 0.05% on Monday.\nIn Asia, the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK rallied 2.3% on Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142324811,"gmtCreate":1626133716833,"gmtModify":1631892243886,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good&nbsp;","listText":"good&nbsp;","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142324811","repostId":"2151353038","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148317692,"gmtCreate":1625930399616,"gmtModify":1631892243887,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148317692","repostId":"2150375881","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":936,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143751397,"gmtCreate":1625819656819,"gmtModify":1631892243894,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment&nbsp;","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143751397","repostId":"1119741032","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119741032","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625803532,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119741032?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-09 12:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Blue Chip Stocks to Buy With Huge Dividends as Interest Rates Plunge<blockquote>随着利率暴跌，值得买入并获得巨额股息的5只蓝筹股</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119741032","media":"24/7 wall street","summary":"Just last month, we were being warned that interest rates were ready to move meaningfully higher as ","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> last month, we were being warned that interest rates were ready to move meaningfully higher as inflation and the Federal Reserve were teaming up to end the massive low interest rate paradigm we have been stuck in for years. Then, seemingly out of nowhere, rates have dived lower, with the 10-year Treasury trading at a 1.32% yield, down from near 1.70% at the end of May. The benchmark 30-year Treasury bond is back at the 1.94% level. These are the lowest interest rate levels since last winter.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>上个月，我们被警告说，随着通胀和美联储联手结束我们多年来陷入的大规模低利率模式，利率已准备好大幅走高。然后，利率似乎突然大幅走低，10年期国债收益率从5月底的近1.70%降至1.32%。基准30年期国债回到1.94%的水平。这是自去年冬天以来的最低利率水平。</blockquote></p><p> For income investors, this is another setback in what has become over a ten-year problem. While rates certainly could rise again, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> thing seems certain: the Federal Reserve will not raise rates until it is positive the economy is back at full strength. The only move the Fed looks poised to make in the near term is the beginning of the tapering of the $120 billion per month purchase of Treasury and mortgage debt.</p><p><blockquote>对于收益投资者来说，这是十多年来问题的又一次挫折。虽然利率肯定会再次上升，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>事情似乎是肯定的：在经济恢复全面强劲之前，美联储不会加息。美联储近期唯一准备采取的举措是开始缩减每月1200亿美元的国债和抵押贷款债务购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> We screened the BofA Securities research universe looking for blue chip stocks rated Buy that paid at least a 4% dividend. We found five that are very appealing now to growth and income investors. While all are rated Buy, it is important to remember that no single analyst report should be used as a sole basis for any buying or selling decision.</p><p><blockquote>我们筛选了美国银行证券研究领域，寻找支付至少4%股息的买入评级蓝筹股。我们发现了五种现在对成长型和收益型投资者非常有吸引力的股票。虽然所有报告都被评为买入，但重要的是要记住，任何分析师报告都不应用作任何买入或卖出决策的唯一依据。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MO\">Altria</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MO\">奥驰亚</a></blockquote></p><p> This maker of tobacco products offers value investors a great entry point now and was hit recently as cigarette sales have slowed. Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO) is the parent company of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> USA (cigarettes), UST (smokeless), John Middleton (cigars), Ste. Michelle Wine Estates and Philip Morris Capital. PMUSA enjoys a 51% share of the U.S. cigarette market, led by its top cigarette brand Marlboro.</p><p><blockquote>这家烟草产品制造商现在为价值投资者提供了一个很好的切入点，但最近由于卷烟销售放缓而受到打击。奥驰亚集团公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：MO）是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a>美国（香烟），UST（无烟），约翰米德尔顿（雪茄），Ste。米歇尔葡萄酒庄园和菲利普莫里斯资本。PMUSA在美国卷烟市场占据51%的份额，由其顶级卷烟品牌万宝路引领。</blockquote></p><p> Altria also owns over 10% of Anheuser-Busch InBev, the world’s largest brewer. In March 2008, it spun off its international cigarette business to shareholders. In December 2018, the company acquired 35% of Juul Labs, and it has purchased a 45% stake in cannabis company Cronus for $1.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>奥驰亚还拥有全球最大啤酒制造商百威英博10%以上的股份。2008年3月，它将国际卷烟业务分拆给股东。2018年12月，该公司收购了Juul Labs 35%的股份，并以18亿美元收购了大麻公司Cronus 45%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> BofA Securities is very favorable toward the company’s plans for the future:</p><p><blockquote>美银证券非常看好该公司的未来计划：</blockquote></p><p>   Management presented at CAGNY (Consumer Analyst Group of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>) where it discussed a new corporate focus on ESG, additional details on its IQOS plans and its “Moving beyond smoking” 10-yr plan. Smokeables (cigarettes/cigars) will remain an important part of its strategy, providing funding behind its long-term growth and shareholder returns. Over the last 5-yrs, smokeable and other comprehensive income grew at a 5.5% compounded annual growth rate despite volume declines.  Shareholders receive a 7.35% dividend. The analyst has a $58 target price on the shares, while the consensus target is lower at $53.89. Altria stock closed on Wednesday at $46.79 per share.</p><p><blockquote>管理层在CAGNY（消费者分析师小组<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>）讨论了企业对ESG的新关注、IQOS计划及其“超越吸烟”10年计划的更多细节。Smokeables（香烟/雪茄）仍将是其战略的重要组成部分，为其长期增长和股东回报提供资金。在过去的5年里，尽管数量下降，吸烟和其他综合收入仍以5.5%的复合年增长率增长。股东获得7.35%的股息。分析师对该股的目标价为58美元，而共识目标价较低，为53.89美元。奥驰亚股价周三收于每股46.79美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">雪佛龙</a></blockquote></p><p> This energy giant is a solid way for investors who are more conservative to be positioned in the sector. Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) is a U.S.-based integrated oil and gas company, with worldwide operations in exploration and production, refining and marketing, transportation and petrochemicals. The company sports a sizable dividend and has a solid place in the sector when it comes to natural gas and liquefied natural gas.</p><p><blockquote>对于较为保守的投资者来说，这家能源巨头是在该行业定位的可靠途径。雪佛龙公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CVX）是一家总部位于美国的综合性石油和天然气公司，在勘探和生产、炼油和营销、运输和石化领域开展全球业务。该公司拥有可观的股息，并在天然气和液化天然气领域拥有稳固的地位。</blockquote></p><p> With the strongest financial base of the majors, coupled with an attractive relative asset base, many on Wall Street feel that Chevron offers the most straightforwardly positive risk/reward. Although current conditions do not warrant a large focus on production growth, Chevron possesses numerous medium-term drivers (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NBL\">Noble</a> integration, Permian, TCO/WPMP expansion, Gulf of Mexico exploration, Vaca Muerta, and so on) that should support production levels in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>凭借各大巨头中最强大的财务基础，加上有吸引力的相对资产基础，华尔街的许多人认为雪佛龙提供了最直接的正风险/回报。尽管目前的情况不值得大力关注产量增长，但雪佛龙拥有众多中期驱动因素（<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NBL\">高尚的</a>一体化、二叠纪、TCO/WPMP扩张、墨西哥湾勘探、Vaca Muerta等）应该会支持未来几年的生产水平。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></blockquote></p><p> This old-school tech giant still offers investors a very solid entry point. International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) is a leading provider of enterprise solutions, offering a broad portfolio of information technology (IT) hardware, business and IT services, and a full suite of software solutions.</p><p><blockquote>这家老派科技巨头仍然为投资者提供了一个非常坚实的切入点。国际商业机器公司（纽约证券交易所代码：IBM）是一家领先的企业解决方案提供商，提供广泛的信息技术（IT）硬件、商业和IT服务以及全套软件解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> The company integrates its hardware products with its software and services offerings in order to provide high-value solutions. Analysts have cited the company’s potential in the public cloud as a reason for their positive outlook going forward.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将其硬件产品与其软件和服务产品相集成，以提供高价值的解决方案。分析师将该公司在公共云领域的潜力作为他们对未来前景持积极态度的原因。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Ginni Rommety, who had been in the position since 2012, stepped down in January, and the stock market greeted the news in a very positive manner. Arvind Krishna, who has led the company’s cloud computing business, became the new chief executive. Rometty will remain as executive board chair until the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自2012年以来一直担任该职位的首席执行官Ginni Rommety于1月份辞职，股市以非常积极的方式迎接这一消息。领导该公司云计算业务的Arvind Krishna成为新任首席执行官。罗睿兰将继续担任执行董事会主席直至今年年底。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Holders of IBM stock receive a 4.69% dividend. The $175 BofA Securities price target is well above the $144.14 consensus figure. The shares closed at $139.82 on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>IBM股票持有人获得4.69%的股息。美国银行证券175美元的目标价远高于144.14美元的共识价。该股周三收于139.82美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shareholders receive a 5.21% dividend, which analysts feel comfortable will remain at current levels. The BofA Securities price target is $125, which compares to a $122.48 consensus target and the last Chevron stock trade on Wednesday at $102.93 a share.</p><p><blockquote>股东获得5.21%的股息，分析师认为股息将保持在当前水平。美国银行证券的目标价为125美元，而共识目标价为122.48美元，周三雪佛龙股票最后一次交易价格为每股102.93美元。</blockquote></p><p> LyondellBasell</p><p><blockquote>利安德巴塞尔</blockquote></p><p> This top chemical company with a sterling balance sheet is another solid play for conservative investors. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE: LYB) manufactures chemicals and polymers, refines crude oil, produces gasoline blending components and develops and licenses technologies for production of polymers.</p><p><blockquote>这家拥有良好资产负债表的顶级化工公司是保守投资者的另一个可靠选择。利安德巴塞尔工业公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：LYB）生产化学品和聚合物、精炼原油、生产汽油混合成分以及开发和许可聚合物生产技术。</blockquote></p><p> Over half of earnings are generated in the company’s Olefins and Polyolefins Americas segment, where costs are linked to the price of cheap natural gas in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> States, while selling prices are correlated with the price of oil. The company has pursued a strategy of low-cost, high return on invested capital debottlenecks coupled with cash returns to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>超过一半的收入来自该公司的烯烃和聚烯烃美洲部门，该部门的成本与该地区廉价天然气的价格相关。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>国家，而销售价格与石油价格相关。该公司奉行低成本、高投资资本回报率的战略，消除瓶颈，并向股东提供现金回报。</blockquote></p><p> Note that debottlenecking is the process of identifying specific areas or equipment in oil and gas facilities that limit the flow of product (known as bottlenecks) and optimizing them so that overall capacity in the plant can be increased.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，去瓶颈是识别石油和天然气设施中限制产品流动的特定区域或设备（称为瓶颈）并对其进行优化的过程，以便提高工厂的整体产能。</blockquote></p><p> The company offers a 4.50% dividend. BofA Securities has set a $117 price target. The consensus target is $118.41, and LyondellBasell stock ended Wednesday at $100.40 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该公司提供4.50%的股息。美银证券将目标价定为117美元。共识目标为118.41美元，利安德巴塞尔股票周三收于每股100.40美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1620372341666","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Blue Chip Stocks to Buy With Huge Dividends as Interest Rates Plunge<blockquote>随着利率暴跌，值得买入并获得巨额股息的5只蓝筹股</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Blue Chip Stocks to Buy With Huge Dividends as Interest Rates Plunge<blockquote>随着利率暴跌，值得买入并获得巨额股息的5只蓝筹股</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">24/7 wall street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-09 12:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> last month, we were being warned that interest rates were ready to move meaningfully higher as inflation and the Federal Reserve were teaming up to end the massive low interest rate paradigm we have been stuck in for years. Then, seemingly out of nowhere, rates have dived lower, with the 10-year Treasury trading at a 1.32% yield, down from near 1.70% at the end of May. The benchmark 30-year Treasury bond is back at the 1.94% level. These are the lowest interest rate levels since last winter.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>上个月，我们被警告说，随着通胀和美联储联手结束我们多年来陷入的大规模低利率模式，利率已准备好大幅走高。然后，利率似乎突然大幅走低，10年期国债收益率从5月底的近1.70%降至1.32%。基准30年期国债回到1.94%的水平。这是自去年冬天以来的最低利率水平。</blockquote></p><p> For income investors, this is another setback in what has become over a ten-year problem. While rates certainly could rise again, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> thing seems certain: the Federal Reserve will not raise rates until it is positive the economy is back at full strength. The only move the Fed looks poised to make in the near term is the beginning of the tapering of the $120 billion per month purchase of Treasury and mortgage debt.</p><p><blockquote>对于收益投资者来说，这是十多年来问题的又一次挫折。虽然利率肯定会再次上升，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>事情似乎是肯定的：在经济恢复全面强劲之前，美联储不会加息。美联储近期唯一准备采取的举措是开始缩减每月1200亿美元的国债和抵押贷款债务购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> We screened the BofA Securities research universe looking for blue chip stocks rated Buy that paid at least a 4% dividend. We found five that are very appealing now to growth and income investors. While all are rated Buy, it is important to remember that no single analyst report should be used as a sole basis for any buying or selling decision.</p><p><blockquote>我们筛选了美国银行证券研究领域，寻找支付至少4%股息的买入评级蓝筹股。我们发现了五种现在对成长型和收益型投资者非常有吸引力的股票。虽然所有报告都被评为买入，但重要的是要记住，任何分析师报告都不应用作任何买入或卖出决策的唯一依据。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MO\">Altria</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MO\">奥驰亚</a></blockquote></p><p> This maker of tobacco products offers value investors a great entry point now and was hit recently as cigarette sales have slowed. Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO) is the parent company of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> USA (cigarettes), UST (smokeless), John Middleton (cigars), Ste. Michelle Wine Estates and Philip Morris Capital. PMUSA enjoys a 51% share of the U.S. cigarette market, led by its top cigarette brand Marlboro.</p><p><blockquote>这家烟草产品制造商现在为价值投资者提供了一个很好的切入点，但最近由于卷烟销售放缓而受到打击。奥驰亚集团公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：MO）是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a>美国（香烟），UST（无烟），约翰米德尔顿（雪茄），Ste。米歇尔葡萄酒庄园和菲利普莫里斯资本。PMUSA在美国卷烟市场占据51%的份额，由其顶级卷烟品牌万宝路引领。</blockquote></p><p> Altria also owns over 10% of Anheuser-Busch InBev, the world’s largest brewer. In March 2008, it spun off its international cigarette business to shareholders. In December 2018, the company acquired 35% of Juul Labs, and it has purchased a 45% stake in cannabis company Cronus for $1.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>奥驰亚还拥有全球最大啤酒制造商百威英博10%以上的股份。2008年3月，它将国际卷烟业务分拆给股东。2018年12月，该公司收购了Juul Labs 35%的股份，并以18亿美元收购了大麻公司Cronus 45%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> BofA Securities is very favorable toward the company’s plans for the future:</p><p><blockquote>美银证券非常看好该公司的未来计划：</blockquote></p><p>   Management presented at CAGNY (Consumer Analyst Group of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>) where it discussed a new corporate focus on ESG, additional details on its IQOS plans and its “Moving beyond smoking” 10-yr plan. Smokeables (cigarettes/cigars) will remain an important part of its strategy, providing funding behind its long-term growth and shareholder returns. Over the last 5-yrs, smokeable and other comprehensive income grew at a 5.5% compounded annual growth rate despite volume declines.  Shareholders receive a 7.35% dividend. The analyst has a $58 target price on the shares, while the consensus target is lower at $53.89. Altria stock closed on Wednesday at $46.79 per share.</p><p><blockquote>管理层在CAGNY（消费者分析师小组<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>）讨论了企业对ESG的新关注、IQOS计划及其“超越吸烟”10年计划的更多细节。Smokeables（香烟/雪茄）仍将是其战略的重要组成部分，为其长期增长和股东回报提供资金。在过去的5年里，尽管数量下降，吸烟和其他综合收入仍以5.5%的复合年增长率增长。股东获得7.35%的股息。分析师对该股的目标价为58美元，而共识目标价较低，为53.89美元。奥驰亚股价周三收于每股46.79美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">雪佛龙</a></blockquote></p><p> This energy giant is a solid way for investors who are more conservative to be positioned in the sector. Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) is a U.S.-based integrated oil and gas company, with worldwide operations in exploration and production, refining and marketing, transportation and petrochemicals. The company sports a sizable dividend and has a solid place in the sector when it comes to natural gas and liquefied natural gas.</p><p><blockquote>对于较为保守的投资者来说，这家能源巨头是在该行业定位的可靠途径。雪佛龙公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CVX）是一家总部位于美国的综合性石油和天然气公司，在勘探和生产、炼油和营销、运输和石化领域开展全球业务。该公司拥有可观的股息，并在天然气和液化天然气领域拥有稳固的地位。</blockquote></p><p> With the strongest financial base of the majors, coupled with an attractive relative asset base, many on Wall Street feel that Chevron offers the most straightforwardly positive risk/reward. Although current conditions do not warrant a large focus on production growth, Chevron possesses numerous medium-term drivers (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NBL\">Noble</a> integration, Permian, TCO/WPMP expansion, Gulf of Mexico exploration, Vaca Muerta, and so on) that should support production levels in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>凭借各大巨头中最强大的财务基础，加上有吸引力的相对资产基础，华尔街的许多人认为雪佛龙提供了最直接的正风险/回报。尽管目前的情况不值得大力关注产量增长，但雪佛龙拥有众多中期驱动因素（<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NBL\">高尚的</a>一体化、二叠纪、TCO/WPMP扩张、墨西哥湾勘探、Vaca Muerta等）应该会支持未来几年的生产水平。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></blockquote></p><p> This old-school tech giant still offers investors a very solid entry point. International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) is a leading provider of enterprise solutions, offering a broad portfolio of information technology (IT) hardware, business and IT services, and a full suite of software solutions.</p><p><blockquote>这家老派科技巨头仍然为投资者提供了一个非常坚实的切入点。国际商业机器公司（纽约证券交易所代码：IBM）是一家领先的企业解决方案提供商，提供广泛的信息技术（IT）硬件、商业和IT服务以及全套软件解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> The company integrates its hardware products with its software and services offerings in order to provide high-value solutions. Analysts have cited the company’s potential in the public cloud as a reason for their positive outlook going forward.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将其硬件产品与其软件和服务产品相集成，以提供高价值的解决方案。分析师将该公司在公共云领域的潜力作为他们对未来前景持积极态度的原因。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Ginni Rommety, who had been in the position since 2012, stepped down in January, and the stock market greeted the news in a very positive manner. Arvind Krishna, who has led the company’s cloud computing business, became the new chief executive. Rometty will remain as executive board chair until the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自2012年以来一直担任该职位的首席执行官Ginni Rommety于1月份辞职，股市以非常积极的方式迎接这一消息。领导该公司云计算业务的Arvind Krishna成为新任首席执行官。罗睿兰将继续担任执行董事会主席直至今年年底。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Holders of IBM stock receive a 4.69% dividend. The $175 BofA Securities price target is well above the $144.14 consensus figure. The shares closed at $139.82 on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>IBM股票持有人获得4.69%的股息。美国银行证券175美元的目标价远高于144.14美元的共识价。该股周三收于139.82美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shareholders receive a 5.21% dividend, which analysts feel comfortable will remain at current levels. The BofA Securities price target is $125, which compares to a $122.48 consensus target and the last Chevron stock trade on Wednesday at $102.93 a share.</p><p><blockquote>股东获得5.21%的股息，分析师认为股息将保持在当前水平。美国银行证券的目标价为125美元，而共识目标价为122.48美元，周三雪佛龙股票最后一次交易价格为每股102.93美元。</blockquote></p><p> LyondellBasell</p><p><blockquote>利安德巴塞尔</blockquote></p><p> This top chemical company with a sterling balance sheet is another solid play for conservative investors. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE: LYB) manufactures chemicals and polymers, refines crude oil, produces gasoline blending components and develops and licenses technologies for production of polymers.</p><p><blockquote>这家拥有良好资产负债表的顶级化工公司是保守投资者的另一个可靠选择。利安德巴塞尔工业公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：LYB）生产化学品和聚合物、精炼原油、生产汽油混合成分以及开发和许可聚合物生产技术。</blockquote></p><p> Over half of earnings are generated in the company’s Olefins and Polyolefins Americas segment, where costs are linked to the price of cheap natural gas in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> States, while selling prices are correlated with the price of oil. The company has pursued a strategy of low-cost, high return on invested capital debottlenecks coupled with cash returns to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>超过一半的收入来自该公司的烯烃和聚烯烃美洲部门，该部门的成本与该地区廉价天然气的价格相关。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>国家，而销售价格与石油价格相关。该公司奉行低成本、高投资资本回报率的战略，消除瓶颈，并向股东提供现金回报。</blockquote></p><p> Note that debottlenecking is the process of identifying specific areas or equipment in oil and gas facilities that limit the flow of product (known as bottlenecks) and optimizing them so that overall capacity in the plant can be increased.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，去瓶颈是识别石油和天然气设施中限制产品流动的特定区域或设备（称为瓶颈）并对其进行优化的过程，以便提高工厂的整体产能。</blockquote></p><p> The company offers a 4.50% dividend. BofA Securities has set a $117 price target. The consensus target is $118.41, and LyondellBasell stock ended Wednesday at $100.40 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该公司提供4.50%的股息。美银证券将目标价定为117美元。共识目标为118.41美元，利安德巴塞尔股票周三收于每股100.40美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://247wallst.com/investing/2021/07/08/5-blue-chip-stocks-to-buy-with-huge-dividends-as-interest-rates-plunge/\">24/7 wall street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://247wallst.com/investing/2021/07/08/5-blue-chip-stocks-to-buy-with-huge-dividends-as-interest-rates-plunge/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119741032","content_text":"Just last month, we were being warned that interest rates were ready to move meaningfully higher as inflation and the Federal Reserve were teaming up to end the massive low interest rate paradigm we have been stuck in for years. Then, seemingly out of nowhere, rates have dived lower, with the 10-year Treasury trading at a 1.32% yield, down from near 1.70% at the end of May. The benchmark 30-year Treasury bond is back at the 1.94% level. These are the lowest interest rate levels since last winter.\nFor income investors, this is another setback in what has become over a ten-year problem. While rates certainly could rise again, one thing seems certain: the Federal Reserve will not raise rates until it is positive the economy is back at full strength. The only move the Fed looks poised to make in the near term is the beginning of the tapering of the $120 billion per month purchase of Treasury and mortgage debt.\nWe screened the BofA Securities research universe looking for blue chip stocks rated Buy that paid at least a 4% dividend. We found five that are very appealing now to growth and income investors. While all are rated Buy, it is important to remember that no single analyst report should be used as a sole basis for any buying or selling decision.\nAltria\nThis maker of tobacco products offers value investors a great entry point now and was hit recently as cigarette sales have slowed. Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO) is the parent company of Philip Morris USA (cigarettes), UST (smokeless), John Middleton (cigars), Ste. Michelle Wine Estates and Philip Morris Capital. PMUSA enjoys a 51% share of the U.S. cigarette market, led by its top cigarette brand Marlboro.\nAltria also owns over 10% of Anheuser-Busch InBev, the world’s largest brewer. In March 2008, it spun off its international cigarette business to shareholders. In December 2018, the company acquired 35% of Juul Labs, and it has purchased a 45% stake in cannabis company Cronus for $1.8 billion.\nBofA Securities is very favorable toward the company’s plans for the future:\n\n Management presented at CAGNY (Consumer Analyst Group of New York) where it discussed a new corporate focus on ESG, additional details on its IQOS plans and its “Moving beyond smoking” 10-yr plan. Smokeables (cigarettes/cigars) will remain an important part of its strategy, providing funding behind its long-term growth and shareholder returns. Over the last 5-yrs, smokeable and other comprehensive income grew at a 5.5% compounded annual growth rate despite volume declines.\n\nShareholders receive a 7.35% dividend. The analyst has a $58 target price on the shares, while the consensus target is lower at $53.89. Altria stock closed on Wednesday at $46.79 per share.\nChevron\nThis energy giant is a solid way for investors who are more conservative to be positioned in the sector. Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) is a U.S.-based integrated oil and gas company, with worldwide operations in exploration and production, refining and marketing, transportation and petrochemicals. The company sports a sizable dividend and has a solid place in the sector when it comes to natural gas and liquefied natural gas.\nWith the strongest financial base of the majors, coupled with an attractive relative asset base, many on Wall Street feel that Chevron offers the most straightforwardly positive risk/reward. Although current conditions do not warrant a large focus on production growth, Chevron possesses numerous medium-term drivers (Noble integration, Permian, TCO/WPMP expansion, Gulf of Mexico exploration, Vaca Muerta, and so on) that should support production levels in the coming years.\nIBM\nThis old-school tech giant still offers investors a very solid entry point. International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) is a leading provider of enterprise solutions, offering a broad portfolio of information technology (IT) hardware, business and IT services, and a full suite of software solutions.\nThe company integrates its hardware products with its software and services offerings in order to provide high-value solutions. Analysts have cited the company’s potential in the public cloud as a reason for their positive outlook going forward.\nCEO Ginni Rommety, who had been in the position since 2012, stepped down in January, and the stock market greeted the news in a very positive manner. Arvind Krishna, who has led the company’s cloud computing business, became the new chief executive. Rometty will remain as executive board chair until the end of the year.\nHolders of IBM stock receive a 4.69% dividend. The $175 BofA Securities price target is well above the $144.14 consensus figure. The shares closed at $139.82 on Wednesday.\nShareholders receive a 5.21% dividend, which analysts feel comfortable will remain at current levels. The BofA Securities price target is $125, which compares to a $122.48 consensus target and the last Chevron stock trade on Wednesday at $102.93 a share.\nLyondellBasell\nThis top chemical company with a sterling balance sheet is another solid play for conservative investors. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE: LYB) manufactures chemicals and polymers, refines crude oil, produces gasoline blending components and develops and licenses technologies for production of polymers.\nOver half of earnings are generated in the company’s Olefins and Polyolefins Americas segment, where costs are linked to the price of cheap natural gas in the United States, while selling prices are correlated with the price of oil. The company has pursued a strategy of low-cost, high return on invested capital debottlenecks coupled with cash returns to shareholders.\nNote that debottlenecking is the process of identifying specific areas or equipment in oil and gas facilities that limit the flow of product (known as bottlenecks) and optimizing them so that overall capacity in the plant can be increased.\nThe company offers a 4.50% dividend. BofA Securities has set a $117 price target. The consensus target is $118.41, and LyondellBasell stock ended Wednesday at $100.40 a share.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":757,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154653677,"gmtCreate":1625526928999,"gmtModify":1631892243894,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like anc comment&nbsp;","listText":"like anc comment&nbsp;","text":"like anc comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154653677","repostId":"1155435134","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155435134","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625483300,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155435134?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-05 19:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Does the End of the Quarter Mean for Portfolio Management?<blockquote>季度末对投资组合管理意味着什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155435134","media":"investopedia","summary":"The \"end of the quarter\" refers to the conclusion of one of four specific three-month periods on the","content":"<p>The \"end of the quarter\" refers to the conclusion of one of four specific three-month periods on the financial calendar. Thefour quartersend in March, or Q1; June, or Q2; September, or Q3; and December, or Q4. These are considered important times for investors. Many businesses, analysts, government agencies, and theFederal Reserverelease critical new data about various markets or economic indicators at the end of a quarter.</p><p><blockquote>“季度末”是指财务日历上四个特定三个月期间之一的结束。四季度将于三月份结束，即第一季度；六月，或第二季度；九月，或第三季度；以及12月，或第四季度。对于投资者来说，这被认为是重要的时期。许多企业、分析师、政府机构和美联储在季度末发布有关各种市场或经济指标的重要新数据。</blockquote></p><p> There's a widely held belief in financial circles that hedge funds, pension funds, and insurance companies always rebalance their portfolios at the end of each quarter. While no proof or evidence has ever been put forward to confirm this practice or its prevalence, the very idea reinforces the concept that the end of a quarter is significant.</p><p><blockquote>金融界普遍认为，对冲基金、养老基金和保险公司总是在每个季度末重新平衡其投资组合。虽然从来没有证据或证据来证实这种做法或其普遍性，但这个想法强化了一个季度末意义重大的概念。</blockquote></p><p> Even if major financial players do not always rebalance at the end of quarters, many investors use this time to re-evaluate their ownportfolio management, changing which assets comprise the portfolio or setting new portfolio targets. Not only is it a good idea for investors to monitor their investments from time-to-time but rarely is so much new, actionable information released as during the end of a quarter.</p><p><blockquote>即使主要金融参与者并不总是在季度末重新平衡，许多投资者也会利用这段时间重新评估自己的投资组合管理，改变投资组合的资产或设定新的投资组合目标。对于投资者来说，不时监控他们的投资不仅是一个好主意，而且很少像在季度末那样发布如此多的新的、可操作的信息。</blockquote></p><p> Rebalancing a Portfolio</p><p><blockquote>重新平衡投资组合</blockquote></p><p> Rebalancinginvolves the periodic sale and purchase of assets within a portfolio to maintain a target ratio.2Consider an investor who wants his portfolio to be comprised of 50% growth stocks, 25% income stocks, and 25% bonds. If during Q1, the growth stocks outperform the other investments substantially, the investor may decide to sell some growth stocks or purchase more income stocks and bonds to bring the portfolio back to a 50-25-25 split.</p><p><blockquote>再平衡涉及定期出售和购买投资组合中的资产以维持目标比率。2考虑一位投资者，他希望自己的投资组合由50%的成长型股票、25%的收益型股票和25%的债券组成。如果在第一季度，成长型股票的表现大幅优于其他投资，投资者可能会决定出售一些成长型股票或购买更多收益型股票和债券，以使投资组合回到50-25-25的分割。</blockquote></p><p> KEY TAKEAWAYS</p><p><blockquote>关键要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The end of the three-month period known as a financial quarter is considered an important time for investors.</li>  <li>Companies, financial analysts, and government agencies (including the Fed) all release reports and critical data at the end of a quarter.</li>  <li>Both retail and institutional investors often use the end of a quarter to re-evaluate and rebalance their portfolios.</li> </ul> Traditional rebalancing involves trading the gains of well-performing assets, by selling high, for more low-performing assets, by buying low, at the end of each quarter. Theoretically, this serves to protect a portfolio from being too exposed or straying too far from its original strategy. However, pegging rebalances to the end of quarters relies on arbitrary calendar events which may not coincide with market movements. Nevertheless, the confluence of new reports that emerge at the end of quarters usually causes market reactions and should be of concern to most participants.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>对于投资者来说，被称为财务季度的三个月结束被认为是一个重要的时间。</li><li>公司、金融分析师和政府机构（包括美联储）都会在季度末发布报告和关键数据。</li><li>散户和机构投资者经常利用季度末来重新评估和重新平衡他们的投资组合。</li></ul>传统的再平衡涉及在每个季度末通过高价卖出来交易表现良好资产的收益，以换取更多表现不佳的资产。从理论上讲，这有助于保护投资组合不会暴露太多或偏离其原始策略太远。然而，将再平衡与季度末挂钩依赖于任意的日历事件，这些事件可能与市场走势不一致。然而，季度末出现的新报告的汇合通常会引起市场反应，应该引起大多数参与者的关注。</blockquote></p><p> Institutional Investors and Rebalancing</p><p><blockquote>机构投资者与再平衡</blockquote></p><p> It is not just individual investors who consider making portfolio moves at the end of quarters. Portfolio management is also important for institutional investors, like mutual funds and exchange-traded funds, or ETFs.3</p><p><blockquote>考虑在季度末调整投资组合的不仅仅是个人投资者。投资组合管理对于机构投资者也很重要，例如共同基金和交易所交易基金(ETF)。3</blockquote></p><p> There are two forms of fund portfolio management: active and passive.4Passive funds generally peg their portfolios to market indexes and involve fewer changes in exchange for lower management fees. The end of a quarter is less significant for these types of funds, though if theirbenchmark indexeschange at this time, they will as well.</p><p><blockquote>基金投资组合管理有两种形式：主动型和被动型。4被动型基金通常将其投资组合与市场指数挂钩，涉及较少的变化，以换取较低的管理费。对于这些类型的基金来说，季度末并不那么重要，尽管如果它们的基准指数此时发生变化，它们也会发生变化。</blockquote></p><p> Active funds have a manager or team of managers who take a more proactive approach to beat market average returns. These funds can be quite active during the end of quarters, especially if their portfolios need to be adjusted to meet their previously stated goals and strategies.</p><p><blockquote>主动型基金有一位经理或经理团队，他们采取更积极的方法来击败市场平均回报。这些基金在季度末可能非常活跃，特别是如果他们的投资组合需要调整以满足他们之前制定的目标和策略。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Does the End of the Quarter Mean for Portfolio Management?<blockquote>季度末对投资组合管理意味着什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Does the End of the Quarter Mean for Portfolio Management?<blockquote>季度末对投资组合管理意味着什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investopedia</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-05 19:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The \"end of the quarter\" refers to the conclusion of one of four specific three-month periods on the financial calendar. Thefour quartersend in March, or Q1; June, or Q2; September, or Q3; and December, or Q4. These are considered important times for investors. Many businesses, analysts, government agencies, and theFederal Reserverelease critical new data about various markets or economic indicators at the end of a quarter.</p><p><blockquote>“季度末”是指财务日历上四个特定三个月期间之一的结束。四季度将于三月份结束，即第一季度；六月，或第二季度；九月，或第三季度；以及12月，或第四季度。对于投资者来说，这被认为是重要的时期。许多企业、分析师、政府机构和美联储在季度末发布有关各种市场或经济指标的重要新数据。</blockquote></p><p> There's a widely held belief in financial circles that hedge funds, pension funds, and insurance companies always rebalance their portfolios at the end of each quarter. While no proof or evidence has ever been put forward to confirm this practice or its prevalence, the very idea reinforces the concept that the end of a quarter is significant.</p><p><blockquote>金融界普遍认为，对冲基金、养老基金和保险公司总是在每个季度末重新平衡其投资组合。虽然从来没有证据或证据来证实这种做法或其普遍性，但这个想法强化了一个季度末意义重大的概念。</blockquote></p><p> Even if major financial players do not always rebalance at the end of quarters, many investors use this time to re-evaluate their ownportfolio management, changing which assets comprise the portfolio or setting new portfolio targets. Not only is it a good idea for investors to monitor their investments from time-to-time but rarely is so much new, actionable information released as during the end of a quarter.</p><p><blockquote>即使主要金融参与者并不总是在季度末重新平衡，许多投资者也会利用这段时间重新评估自己的投资组合管理，改变投资组合的资产或设定新的投资组合目标。对于投资者来说，不时监控他们的投资不仅是一个好主意，而且很少像在季度末那样发布如此多的新的、可操作的信息。</blockquote></p><p> Rebalancing a Portfolio</p><p><blockquote>重新平衡投资组合</blockquote></p><p> Rebalancinginvolves the periodic sale and purchase of assets within a portfolio to maintain a target ratio.2Consider an investor who wants his portfolio to be comprised of 50% growth stocks, 25% income stocks, and 25% bonds. If during Q1, the growth stocks outperform the other investments substantially, the investor may decide to sell some growth stocks or purchase more income stocks and bonds to bring the portfolio back to a 50-25-25 split.</p><p><blockquote>再平衡涉及定期出售和购买投资组合中的资产以维持目标比率。2考虑一位投资者，他希望自己的投资组合由50%的成长型股票、25%的收益型股票和25%的债券组成。如果在第一季度，成长型股票的表现大幅优于其他投资，投资者可能会决定出售一些成长型股票或购买更多收益型股票和债券，以使投资组合回到50-25-25的分割。</blockquote></p><p> KEY TAKEAWAYS</p><p><blockquote>关键要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The end of the three-month period known as a financial quarter is considered an important time for investors.</li>  <li>Companies, financial analysts, and government agencies (including the Fed) all release reports and critical data at the end of a quarter.</li>  <li>Both retail and institutional investors often use the end of a quarter to re-evaluate and rebalance their portfolios.</li> </ul> Traditional rebalancing involves trading the gains of well-performing assets, by selling high, for more low-performing assets, by buying low, at the end of each quarter. Theoretically, this serves to protect a portfolio from being too exposed or straying too far from its original strategy. However, pegging rebalances to the end of quarters relies on arbitrary calendar events which may not coincide with market movements. Nevertheless, the confluence of new reports that emerge at the end of quarters usually causes market reactions and should be of concern to most participants.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>对于投资者来说，被称为财务季度的三个月结束被认为是一个重要的时间。</li><li>公司、金融分析师和政府机构（包括美联储）都会在季度末发布报告和关键数据。</li><li>散户和机构投资者经常利用季度末来重新评估和重新平衡他们的投资组合。</li></ul>传统的再平衡涉及在每个季度末通过高价卖出来交易表现良好资产的收益，以换取更多表现不佳的资产。从理论上讲，这有助于保护投资组合不会暴露太多或偏离其原始策略太远。然而，将再平衡与季度末挂钩依赖于任意的日历事件，这些事件可能与市场走势不一致。然而，季度末出现的新报告的汇合通常会引起市场反应，应该引起大多数参与者的关注。</blockquote></p><p> Institutional Investors and Rebalancing</p><p><blockquote>机构投资者与再平衡</blockquote></p><p> It is not just individual investors who consider making portfolio moves at the end of quarters. Portfolio management is also important for institutional investors, like mutual funds and exchange-traded funds, or ETFs.3</p><p><blockquote>考虑在季度末调整投资组合的不仅仅是个人投资者。投资组合管理对于机构投资者也很重要，例如共同基金和交易所交易基金(ETF)。3</blockquote></p><p> There are two forms of fund portfolio management: active and passive.4Passive funds generally peg their portfolios to market indexes and involve fewer changes in exchange for lower management fees. The end of a quarter is less significant for these types of funds, though if theirbenchmark indexeschange at this time, they will as well.</p><p><blockquote>基金投资组合管理有两种形式：主动型和被动型。4被动型基金通常将其投资组合与市场指数挂钩，涉及较少的变化，以换取较低的管理费。对于这些类型的基金来说，季度末并不那么重要，尽管如果它们的基准指数此时发生变化，它们也会发生变化。</blockquote></p><p> Active funds have a manager or team of managers who take a more proactive approach to beat market average returns. These funds can be quite active during the end of quarters, especially if their portfolios need to be adjusted to meet their previously stated goals and strategies.</p><p><blockquote>主动型基金有一位经理或经理团队，他们采取更积极的方法来击败市场平均回报。这些基金在季度末可能非常活跃，特别是如果他们的投资组合需要调整以满足他们之前制定的目标和策略。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/122214/what-does-end-quarter-mean-portfolio-management.asp?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral\">investopedia</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/122214/what-does-end-quarter-mean-portfolio-management.asp?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155435134","content_text":"The \"end of the quarter\" refers to the conclusion of one of four specific three-month periods on the financial calendar. Thefour quartersend in March, or Q1; June, or Q2; September, or Q3; and December, or Q4. These are considered important times for investors. Many businesses, analysts, government agencies, and theFederal Reserverelease critical new data about various markets or economic indicators at the end of a quarter.\nThere's a widely held belief in financial circles that hedge funds, pension funds, and insurance companies always rebalance their portfolios at the end of each quarter. While no proof or evidence has ever been put forward to confirm this practice or its prevalence, the very idea reinforces the concept that the end of a quarter is significant.\nEven if major financial players do not always rebalance at the end of quarters, many investors use this time to re-evaluate their ownportfolio management, changing which assets comprise the portfolio or setting new portfolio targets. Not only is it a good idea for investors to monitor their investments from time-to-time but rarely is so much new, actionable information released as during the end of a quarter.\nRebalancing a Portfolio\nRebalancinginvolves the periodic sale and purchase of assets within a portfolio to maintain a target ratio.2Consider an investor who wants his portfolio to be comprised of 50% growth stocks, 25% income stocks, and 25% bonds. If during Q1, the growth stocks outperform the other investments substantially, the investor may decide to sell some growth stocks or purchase more income stocks and bonds to bring the portfolio back to a 50-25-25 split.\nKEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nThe end of the three-month period known as a financial quarter is considered an important time for investors.\nCompanies, financial analysts, and government agencies (including the Fed) all release reports and critical data at the end of a quarter.\nBoth retail and institutional investors often use the end of a quarter to re-evaluate and rebalance their portfolios.\n\nTraditional rebalancing involves trading the gains of well-performing assets, by selling high, for more low-performing assets, by buying low, at the end of each quarter. Theoretically, this serves to protect a portfolio from being too exposed or straying too far from its original strategy. However, pegging rebalances to the end of quarters relies on arbitrary calendar events which may not coincide with market movements. Nevertheless, the confluence of new reports that emerge at the end of quarters usually causes market reactions and should be of concern to most participants.\nInstitutional Investors and Rebalancing\nIt is not just individual investors who consider making portfolio moves at the end of quarters. Portfolio management is also important for institutional investors, like mutual funds and exchange-traded funds, or ETFs.3\nThere are two forms of fund portfolio management: active and passive.4Passive funds generally peg their portfolios to market indexes and involve fewer changes in exchange for lower management fees. The end of a quarter is less significant for these types of funds, though if theirbenchmark indexeschange at this time, they will as well.\nActive funds have a manager or team of managers who take a more proactive approach to beat market average returns. These funds can be quite active during the end of quarters, especially if their portfolios need to be adjusted to meet their previously stated goals and strategies.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155162857,"gmtCreate":1625390036379,"gmtModify":1631892243897,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like anc comment&nbsp;","listText":"like anc comment&nbsp;","text":"like anc comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155162857","repostId":"1140994998","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1032,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155162311,"gmtCreate":1625390010833,"gmtModify":1631892243900,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment&nbsp;","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155162311","repostId":"1109375790","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109375790","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625370494,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109375790?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-04 11:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why high-quality, trustworthy companies have beaten the S&P 500 by 30%-50%<blockquote>为什么高质量、值得信赖的公司击败了标普500 30%-50%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109375790","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"More predictable businesses tend to be more profitable stock investments.Trust is one of the most valuable assets a company can cultivate.  Within an organization, trust percolates into culture. Outside an organization, it translates into loyalty.  Quality shareholders  who value long-term trust among all stakeholders — employees, customers and shareholders — maintain this viewpoint in their investment practice.TheTrust Across America initiative has identified the most trustworthy U.S. public co","content":"<p>  <b>More predictable businesses tend to be more profitable stock investments.</b>  Trust is one of the most valuable assets a company can cultivate.&nbsp; Within an organization, trust percolates into culture.&nbsp;Outside an organization, it translates into loyalty.&nbsp; Quality shareholders (QS) who value long-term trust among all stakeholders — employees, customers and shareholders —&nbsp;maintain this&nbsp;viewpoint in their investment practice.</p><p><blockquote><b>更可预测的业务往往是更有利可图的股票投资。</b>信任是公司可以培养的最有价值的资产之一。在一个组织内，信任渗透到文化中。在组织之外，它转化为忠诚。重视所有利益相关者（员工、客户和股东）之间长期信任的优质股东（QS）在其投资实践中坚持这一观点。</blockquote></p><p> TheTrust Across America(TAA) initiative has identified the most&nbsp;trustworthy&nbsp;U.S. public&nbsp;companies using objective&nbsp;and quantitative&nbsp;indicators including accounting&nbsp;conservativeness&nbsp;and financial stability, as well as a secondary screen of more subjective criteria such as employee reviews and news reports.</p><p><blockquote>全美信任(TAA)倡议已经确定了最值得信赖的美国。上市公司使用客观和定量指标，包括会计稳健性和财务稳定性，以及员工评论和新闻报道等更主观标准的二级筛选。</blockquote></p><p> Companies regarded as trustworthy also tend to rate highly in rankings of shareholder quality produced by the&nbsp;Quality Shareholders Initiative&nbsp;(QSI), which I run, as well as the proprietary database of&nbsp;EQX, which I use to cross-check the QSI data.</p><p><blockquote>被认为值得信赖的公司在我负责的质量股东倡议（QSI）以及我用来交叉检查QSI数据的EQX专有数据库制作的股东质量排名中也往往排名很高。</blockquote></p><p> TAA’s assessment of the S&amp;P 500SPX,+0.75%in 2020 identified 51 companies, of which 49&nbsp;are also included in the QSI rankings. Comparing the two, more than one-fourth of the top TAA companies are in the top decile of the QSI; two-thirds are in the top quarter, and all but two (92%) are in the top half.</p><p><blockquote>TAA对2020年标准普尔500SPX指数+0.75%的评估确定了51家公司，其中49家也被纳入QSI排名。比较两者，超过四分之一的TAA顶级公司位于QSI的前十分位；三分之二位于前四分之一，除两人（92%）外，其余均位于前半部分。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, both the TAA top 10 and the QSI Top 25 outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 30% and 50%, respectively, in recent five-year periods. Here’s a sampling of companies scoring high on both trust and quality:</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，近五年来，TAA前10名和QSI前25名的表现分别比标普500高出30%和50%。以下是在信任度和质量方面得分较高的公司样本：</blockquote></p><p> Texas InstrumentsTXN,+0.72%makes most of its revenue selling computer chips and is among the world’s largest manufacturers of semiconductors. Founded by a group of electrical engineers in 1951, the company boasts a culture of intelligent innovation. Its business is protected by four protective “moats” including: manufacturing and technology skill thanks to its employees; a broad portfolio of processing chips to meet a wide range of customer needs; the reach of its market channels thanks to both, and its diversity and longevity.</p><p><blockquote>德州仪器STXN,+0.72%的大部分收入来自销售计算机芯片，是全球最大的半导体制造商之一。该公司由一群电气工程师于1951年创立，拥有智能创新文化。其业务受到四条保护性“护城河”的保护，包括：得益于员工的制造和技术技能；广泛的处理芯片组合，以满足广泛的客户需求；其市场渠道的覆盖范围得益于这两者，以及其多样性和寿命。</blockquote></p><p> For investors, this adds up to a winning recipe, particularly when combined with Texas Instruments’s capital management strategy, which is to maximize the company’s long-term growth in free cash-flow per share and to&nbsp;allocate such capital in accordance with the QS playbook&nbsp;that prioritizes wise reinvestment, disciplined acquisitions, low-priced share buybacks and shareholder dividends. Some of the company’s notable QSs include: Alliance Bernstein, Bessemer Group, Capital World Investors, State Farm Mutual, and T. Rowe Price Group.</p><p><blockquote>对于投资者来说，这是一个制胜秘诀，特别是与德州仪器的资本管理策略相结合时，该策略旨在最大限度地提高公司每股自由现金流的长期增长，并根据QS剧本分配此类资本，优先考虑明智的再投资、严格的收购、低价股票回购和股东股息。该公司一些著名的QS包括：Alliance Bernstein、Bessemer Group、Capital World Investors、State Farm Mutual和T.Rowe Price Group。</blockquote></p><p> Another stock on this list, EcolabECL,+0.77%,is a global leader in water treatment. Founded in 1923 as the Economics Laboratory, its long-term outlook shows in the longevity of senior leadership: the company has had just seven CEOs in almost 100 years of existence.</p><p><blockquote>这份名单上的另一只股票EcolabECL，+0.77%，是水处理领域的全球领导者。该公司成立于1923年，原名经济实验室，其长期前景体现在高级领导层的长寿上：该公司在近100年的历史中只有7位首席执行官。</blockquote></p><p> Those CEOs inculcated a culture of customer care, a relentless focus on helping customers solve problems and meet goals. A learning organization, such a performance culture permeates the business from production to sales, as employees commit to the long-term goal of being indispensable to customers. Management rewards that employee conviction with long-term incentives and a high degree of autonomy.&nbsp;Ecolab’s QSs include: Cantillon Capital, Clearbridge Investments, Franklin Resources, and the Gates Foundation.</p><p><blockquote>这些首席执行官灌输了一种客户关怀文化，坚持不懈地帮助客户解决问题和实现目标。作为一个学习型组织，这种绩效文化渗透到从生产到销售的业务中，因为员工致力于成为客户不可或缺的长期目标。管理层通过长期激励和高度自主权来奖励员工的信念。艺康的QSs包括：Cantillon Capital、Clearbridge Investments、Franklin Resources和盖茨基金会。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, consider Ball CorporationBLL,-0.68%,the world’s largest manufacturer of recyclable containers.&nbsp; Founded in the late 1800s by two brother-entrepreneurs who foresaw that the Mason jar patent was about to expire and built a glassblowing facility to manufacture such jars.</p><p><blockquote>最后，考虑一下全球最大的可回收容器制造商Ball CorporationBLL，-0.68%。该公司由两位企业家兄弟于1800年代末创立，他们预见到梅森罐专利即将到期，并建造了一座玻璃吹制工厂来制造此类罐子。</blockquote></p><p> Ball remains characterized by a culture of family, innovation and natural-resources conscientiousness. For instance, Ball foresaw the ecological and commercial need to pivot away from PET and glass containers, both costly to recycle and posing environmental damage, and towards eco-friendly and profitable aluminum. The company adopts economic value added (EVA) to assure every dollar is well-spent, long-term employee incentive compensation to reward long-term sustainable growth, and a spirit of entrepreneurial freedom. QSs include: Chilton Investment Co.; T. Rowe Price; Wellington&nbsp;Management Group and&nbsp;Winslow Capital Management.</p><p><blockquote>鲍尔的特点仍然是家庭、创新和自然资源意识的文化。例如，鲍尔预见到生态和商业需要从回收成本高且对环境造成破坏的PET和玻璃容器转向环保且有利可图的铝。该公司采用经济附加值（EVA）来确保每一美元都花得值，长期员工激励薪酬来奖励长期可持续增长，以及创业自由精神。QSs包括：奇尔顿投资公司；T.罗普莱斯；惠灵顿管理集团和温斯洛资本管理公司。</blockquote></p><p> While some investors focus solely on the bottom line and others only on signals of corporate virtue, QSs are holistic, considering the inherent relationship between trust and long-term value. Nebulous as the notion of trust in corporate culture might seem, it’s a profitable as well as ethical value to probe.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些投资者只关注底线，而另一些投资者只关注企业美德的信号，但考虑到信任和长期价值之间的内在关系，QSs是全面的。尽管企业文化中的信任概念看起来很模糊，但它是一个值得探索的有利可图的道德价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why high-quality, trustworthy companies have beaten the S&P 500 by 30%-50%<blockquote>为什么高质量、值得信赖的公司击败了标普500 30%-50%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy high-quality, trustworthy companies have beaten the S&P 500 by 30%-50%<blockquote>为什么高质量、值得信赖的公司击败了标普500 30%-50%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-04 11:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>More predictable businesses tend to be more profitable stock investments.</b>  Trust is one of the most valuable assets a company can cultivate.&nbsp; Within an organization, trust percolates into culture.&nbsp;Outside an organization, it translates into loyalty.&nbsp; Quality shareholders (QS) who value long-term trust among all stakeholders — employees, customers and shareholders —&nbsp;maintain this&nbsp;viewpoint in their investment practice.</p><p><blockquote><b>更可预测的业务往往是更有利可图的股票投资。</b>信任是公司可以培养的最有价值的资产之一。在一个组织内，信任渗透到文化中。在组织之外，它转化为忠诚。重视所有利益相关者（员工、客户和股东）之间长期信任的优质股东（QS）在其投资实践中坚持这一观点。</blockquote></p><p> TheTrust Across America(TAA) initiative has identified the most&nbsp;trustworthy&nbsp;U.S. public&nbsp;companies using objective&nbsp;and quantitative&nbsp;indicators including accounting&nbsp;conservativeness&nbsp;and financial stability, as well as a secondary screen of more subjective criteria such as employee reviews and news reports.</p><p><blockquote>全美信任(TAA)倡议已经确定了最值得信赖的美国。上市公司使用客观和定量指标，包括会计稳健性和财务稳定性，以及员工评论和新闻报道等更主观标准的二级筛选。</blockquote></p><p> Companies regarded as trustworthy also tend to rate highly in rankings of shareholder quality produced by the&nbsp;Quality Shareholders Initiative&nbsp;(QSI), which I run, as well as the proprietary database of&nbsp;EQX, which I use to cross-check the QSI data.</p><p><blockquote>被认为值得信赖的公司在我负责的质量股东倡议（QSI）以及我用来交叉检查QSI数据的EQX专有数据库制作的股东质量排名中也往往排名很高。</blockquote></p><p> TAA’s assessment of the S&amp;P 500SPX,+0.75%in 2020 identified 51 companies, of which 49&nbsp;are also included in the QSI rankings. Comparing the two, more than one-fourth of the top TAA companies are in the top decile of the QSI; two-thirds are in the top quarter, and all but two (92%) are in the top half.</p><p><blockquote>TAA对2020年标准普尔500SPX指数+0.75%的评估确定了51家公司，其中49家也被纳入QSI排名。比较两者，超过四分之一的TAA顶级公司位于QSI的前十分位；三分之二位于前四分之一，除两人（92%）外，其余均位于前半部分。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, both the TAA top 10 and the QSI Top 25 outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 30% and 50%, respectively, in recent five-year periods. Here’s a sampling of companies scoring high on both trust and quality:</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，近五年来，TAA前10名和QSI前25名的表现分别比标普500高出30%和50%。以下是在信任度和质量方面得分较高的公司样本：</blockquote></p><p> Texas InstrumentsTXN,+0.72%makes most of its revenue selling computer chips and is among the world’s largest manufacturers of semiconductors. Founded by a group of electrical engineers in 1951, the company boasts a culture of intelligent innovation. Its business is protected by four protective “moats” including: manufacturing and technology skill thanks to its employees; a broad portfolio of processing chips to meet a wide range of customer needs; the reach of its market channels thanks to both, and its diversity and longevity.</p><p><blockquote>德州仪器STXN,+0.72%的大部分收入来自销售计算机芯片，是全球最大的半导体制造商之一。该公司由一群电气工程师于1951年创立，拥有智能创新文化。其业务受到四条保护性“护城河”的保护，包括：得益于员工的制造和技术技能；广泛的处理芯片组合，以满足广泛的客户需求；其市场渠道的覆盖范围得益于这两者，以及其多样性和寿命。</blockquote></p><p> For investors, this adds up to a winning recipe, particularly when combined with Texas Instruments’s capital management strategy, which is to maximize the company’s long-term growth in free cash-flow per share and to&nbsp;allocate such capital in accordance with the QS playbook&nbsp;that prioritizes wise reinvestment, disciplined acquisitions, low-priced share buybacks and shareholder dividends. Some of the company’s notable QSs include: Alliance Bernstein, Bessemer Group, Capital World Investors, State Farm Mutual, and T. Rowe Price Group.</p><p><blockquote>对于投资者来说，这是一个制胜秘诀，特别是与德州仪器的资本管理策略相结合时，该策略旨在最大限度地提高公司每股自由现金流的长期增长，并根据QS剧本分配此类资本，优先考虑明智的再投资、严格的收购、低价股票回购和股东股息。该公司一些著名的QS包括：Alliance Bernstein、Bessemer Group、Capital World Investors、State Farm Mutual和T.Rowe Price Group。</blockquote></p><p> Another stock on this list, EcolabECL,+0.77%,is a global leader in water treatment. Founded in 1923 as the Economics Laboratory, its long-term outlook shows in the longevity of senior leadership: the company has had just seven CEOs in almost 100 years of existence.</p><p><blockquote>这份名单上的另一只股票EcolabECL，+0.77%，是水处理领域的全球领导者。该公司成立于1923年，原名经济实验室，其长期前景体现在高级领导层的长寿上：该公司在近100年的历史中只有7位首席执行官。</blockquote></p><p> Those CEOs inculcated a culture of customer care, a relentless focus on helping customers solve problems and meet goals. A learning organization, such a performance culture permeates the business from production to sales, as employees commit to the long-term goal of being indispensable to customers. Management rewards that employee conviction with long-term incentives and a high degree of autonomy.&nbsp;Ecolab’s QSs include: Cantillon Capital, Clearbridge Investments, Franklin Resources, and the Gates Foundation.</p><p><blockquote>这些首席执行官灌输了一种客户关怀文化，坚持不懈地帮助客户解决问题和实现目标。作为一个学习型组织，这种绩效文化渗透到从生产到销售的业务中，因为员工致力于成为客户不可或缺的长期目标。管理层通过长期激励和高度自主权来奖励员工的信念。艺康的QSs包括：Cantillon Capital、Clearbridge Investments、Franklin Resources和盖茨基金会。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, consider Ball CorporationBLL,-0.68%,the world’s largest manufacturer of recyclable containers.&nbsp; Founded in the late 1800s by two brother-entrepreneurs who foresaw that the Mason jar patent was about to expire and built a glassblowing facility to manufacture such jars.</p><p><blockquote>最后，考虑一下全球最大的可回收容器制造商Ball CorporationBLL，-0.68%。该公司由两位企业家兄弟于1800年代末创立，他们预见到梅森罐专利即将到期，并建造了一座玻璃吹制工厂来制造此类罐子。</blockquote></p><p> Ball remains characterized by a culture of family, innovation and natural-resources conscientiousness. For instance, Ball foresaw the ecological and commercial need to pivot away from PET and glass containers, both costly to recycle and posing environmental damage, and towards eco-friendly and profitable aluminum. The company adopts economic value added (EVA) to assure every dollar is well-spent, long-term employee incentive compensation to reward long-term sustainable growth, and a spirit of entrepreneurial freedom. QSs include: Chilton Investment Co.; T. Rowe Price; Wellington&nbsp;Management Group and&nbsp;Winslow Capital Management.</p><p><blockquote>鲍尔的特点仍然是家庭、创新和自然资源意识的文化。例如，鲍尔预见到生态和商业需要从回收成本高且对环境造成破坏的PET和玻璃容器转向环保且有利可图的铝。该公司采用经济附加值（EVA）来确保每一美元都花得值，长期员工激励薪酬来奖励长期可持续增长，以及创业自由精神。QSs包括：奇尔顿投资公司；T.罗普莱斯；惠灵顿管理集团和温斯洛资本管理公司。</blockquote></p><p> While some investors focus solely on the bottom line and others only on signals of corporate virtue, QSs are holistic, considering the inherent relationship between trust and long-term value. Nebulous as the notion of trust in corporate culture might seem, it’s a profitable as well as ethical value to probe.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些投资者只关注底线，而另一些投资者只关注企业美德的信号，但考虑到信任和长期价值之间的内在关系，QSs是全面的。尽管企业文化中的信任概念看起来很模糊，但它是一个值得探索的有利可图的道德价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-high-quality-trustworthy-companies-have-beaten-the-s-p-500-by-30-50-11625020379?mod=mw_latestnews\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-high-quality-trustworthy-companies-have-beaten-the-s-p-500-by-30-50-11625020379?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109375790","content_text":"More predictable businesses tend to be more profitable stock investments.\n\nTrust is one of the most valuable assets a company can cultivate.  Within an organization, trust percolates into culture. Outside an organization, it translates into loyalty.  Quality shareholders (QS) who value long-term trust among all stakeholders — employees, customers and shareholders — maintain this viewpoint in their investment practice.\nTheTrust Across America(TAA) initiative has identified the most trustworthy U.S. public companies using objective and quantitative indicators including accounting conservativeness and financial stability, as well as a secondary screen of more subjective criteria such as employee reviews and news reports.\nCompanies regarded as trustworthy also tend to rate highly in rankings of shareholder quality produced by the Quality Shareholders Initiative (QSI), which I run, as well as the proprietary database of EQX, which I use to cross-check the QSI data.\nTAA’s assessment of the S&P 500SPX,+0.75%in 2020 identified 51 companies, of which 49 are also included in the QSI rankings. Comparing the two, more than one-fourth of the top TAA companies are in the top decile of the QSI; two-thirds are in the top quarter, and all but two (92%) are in the top half.\nNotably, both the TAA top 10 and the QSI Top 25 outperformed the S&P 500 by 30% and 50%, respectively, in recent five-year periods. Here’s a sampling of companies scoring high on both trust and quality:\nTexas InstrumentsTXN,+0.72%makes most of its revenue selling computer chips and is among the world’s largest manufacturers of semiconductors. Founded by a group of electrical engineers in 1951, the company boasts a culture of intelligent innovation. Its business is protected by four protective “moats” including: manufacturing and technology skill thanks to its employees; a broad portfolio of processing chips to meet a wide range of customer needs; the reach of its market channels thanks to both, and its diversity and longevity.\nFor investors, this adds up to a winning recipe, particularly when combined with Texas Instruments’s capital management strategy, which is to maximize the company’s long-term growth in free cash-flow per share and to allocate such capital in accordance with the QS playbook that prioritizes wise reinvestment, disciplined acquisitions, low-priced share buybacks and shareholder dividends. Some of the company’s notable QSs include: Alliance Bernstein, Bessemer Group, Capital World Investors, State Farm Mutual, and T. Rowe Price Group.\nAnother stock on this list, EcolabECL,+0.77%,is a global leader in water treatment. Founded in 1923 as the Economics Laboratory, its long-term outlook shows in the longevity of senior leadership: the company has had just seven CEOs in almost 100 years of existence.\nThose CEOs inculcated a culture of customer care, a relentless focus on helping customers solve problems and meet goals. A learning organization, such a performance culture permeates the business from production to sales, as employees commit to the long-term goal of being indispensable to customers. Management rewards that employee conviction with long-term incentives and a high degree of autonomy. Ecolab’s QSs include: Cantillon Capital, Clearbridge Investments, Franklin Resources, and the Gates Foundation.\nFinally, consider Ball CorporationBLL,-0.68%,the world’s largest manufacturer of recyclable containers.  Founded in the late 1800s by two brother-entrepreneurs who foresaw that the Mason jar patent was about to expire and built a glassblowing facility to manufacture such jars.\nBall remains characterized by a culture of family, innovation and natural-resources conscientiousness. For instance, Ball foresaw the ecological and commercial need to pivot away from PET and glass containers, both costly to recycle and posing environmental damage, and towards eco-friendly and profitable aluminum. The company adopts economic value added (EVA) to assure every dollar is well-spent, long-term employee incentive compensation to reward long-term sustainable growth, and a spirit of entrepreneurial freedom. QSs include: Chilton Investment Co.; T. Rowe Price; Wellington Management Group and Winslow Capital Management.\nWhile some investors focus solely on the bottom line and others only on signals of corporate virtue, QSs are holistic, considering the inherent relationship between trust and long-term value. Nebulous as the notion of trust in corporate culture might seem, it’s a profitable as well as ethical value to probe.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1083,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155166756,"gmtCreate":1625389977575,"gmtModify":1631892243904,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"goood&nbsp;","listText":"goood&nbsp;","text":"goood","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155166756","repostId":"1160702483","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":631,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152112114,"gmtCreate":1625275458838,"gmtModify":1631892243909,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment&nbsp;","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152112114","repostId":"1165340887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":767,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":126743687,"gmtCreate":1624585998849,"gmtModify":1633950900949,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment&nbsp;","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126743687","repostId":"2146023477","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":558,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186096737,"gmtCreate":1623464438629,"gmtModify":1634032835177,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment","listText":"like and comment","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186096737","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113816390,"gmtCreate":1622602621710,"gmtModify":1634100020027,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment thanks&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment thanks&nbsp;","text":"like and comment thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113816390","repostId":"1106176005","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106176005","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622588821,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106176005?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 dips, as healthcare weighs; Dow ends higher<blockquote>随着医疗保健的压力，标普500下跌；道指收高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106176005","media":"Reuters","summary":"The S&P 500dipped on Tuesday, with declines in healthcare and tech shares countered by energy and financial gains, as investors weighed the latest U.S. economic data for signs of a rebound and rising inflation.The S&P 500 financial sectorhit a record high, while expected growth in fuel demand boosted oil prices and helped lift the energy sector3.9%, its biggest $one$-day gain in nearly four months. The heavyweight tech sectorfell while the healthcare sectorwas dragged down by a weak profit forec","content":"<p>The S&amp;P 500(.SPX)dipped on Tuesday, with declines in healthcare and tech shares countered by energy and financial gains, as investors weighed the latest U.S. economic data for signs of a rebound and rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>标普500(.SPX)周二下跌，医疗保健和科技股的下跌被能源和金融股的上涨所抵消，投资者权衡最新的美国经济数据是否有反弹和通胀上升的迹象。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 financial sector(.SPSY)hit a record high, while expected growth in fuel demand boosted oil prices and helped lift the energy sector(.SPNY)3.9%, its biggest <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day gain in nearly four months. The heavyweight tech sector(.SPLRCT)fell while the healthcare sector(.SPXHC)was dragged down by a weak profit forecast from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABT\">Abbott Laboratories</a>(ABT.N).</p><p><blockquote>标普500金融板块(.SPSY)创历史新高，而燃料需求预期增长提振油价，并帮助提振能源板块(.SPNY)上涨3.9%，为最大<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>-近四个月来的日涨幅。重量级科技板块(.SPLRCT)下跌，而医疗保健板块(.SPXHC)则受到来自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABT\">雅培实验室</a>（N部）。</blockquote></p><p>Data showed U.S.manufacturing activity pickedup in May as pent-up demand in a reopening economy boosted orders. But unfinished work piled up because of shortages of raw materials and labor.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，由于经济重新开放中被压抑的需求提振了订单，美国5月份制造业活动有所回升。但由于原材料和劳动力短缺，未完成的工作堆积起来。</blockquote></p><p>\"People came back from a holiday weekend convinced that the economy is recovering nicely and that any inflation that we might be seeing in labor and other costs is temporary,\" Peter Tuz, president of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCF\">Chase</a> Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia.</p><p><blockquote>“人们从假期周末回来后确信经济正在良好复苏，我们可能在劳动力和其他成本方面看到的任何通胀都是暂时的，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCF\">追逐</a>弗吉尼亚州夏洛茨维尔的投资顾问。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 45.86 points, or 0.13%, to 34,575.31; the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)lost 2.07 points, or 0.05%, at 4,202.04; and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite(.IXIC)dropped 12.26 points, or 0.09%, to 13,736.48.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数(.DJI)涨45.86点，或0.13%，报34,575.31；标普500(.SPX)下跌2.07点，或0.05%，报4,202.04点；和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数(.IXIC)下跌12.26点，或0.09%，至13,736.48点。</blockquote></p><p>Along with sharp gains for financials and energy, the small-cap Russell 2000(.RUT)rose 1.1% on Tuesday, underscoring strength for segments of the stock market expected to do particularly well in an expanding economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着金融和能源股的大幅上涨，小盘股罗素2000指数(.RUT)周二上涨1.1%，突显了预计在经济扩张中表现尤其出色的股市板块的强势。</blockquote></p><p>While the S&amp;P 500 remains less than 1% of its record high after four straight months of gains, investors are worried about whether rising inflation could hit equity prices.</p><p><blockquote>尽管标普500在连续四个月上涨后仍不到历史高点的1%，但投资者担心通胀上升是否会打击股价。</blockquote></p><p>\"We have supply chain issues, delays, price increases, pricing pressures in general, we have got employers saying they have got difficulty sourcing labor,\" said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVZ\">Invesco</a> in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>.</p><p><blockquote>首席全球市场策略师克里斯蒂娜·胡珀(Kristina Hooper)表示：“我们面临供应链问题、延误、价格上涨、总体定价压力，雇主表示他们很难找到劳动力。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVZ\">景顺</a>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>.</blockquote></p><p>\"So this is a microcosm of what we are already hearing about and seeing in the overall economy and it's just a reminder that inflation remains a concern.\"</p><p><blockquote>“因此，这是我们在整体经济中已经听到和看到的情况的一个缩影，它只是提醒人们通货膨胀仍然是一个问题。”</blockquote></p><p>A Wall St. sign is seen near the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYRT\">New York</a> Stock Exchange (NYSE) in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">New</a> York <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a>, U.S., May 4, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo</p><p><blockquote>附近可以看到华尔街的标志<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYRT\">纽约</a>纽约证券交易所<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">新的</a>约克<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">城市</a>，美国，2021年5月4日。路透社/Brendan McDermid/资料照片</blockquote></p><p>Stock markets on Friday brushed off a surge inkey inflation readingsfor April following reassurances from Federal Reserve officials that the central bank’s ultra-loose monetary policy would remain in place.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储官员保证央行超宽松货币政策将继续实施后，周五股市没有出现四月份关键通胀数据的飙升。</blockquote></p><p>Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari and Fed Vice Chair for supervision Randal Quarles on Tuesday reiterated the view that higher prices would be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>明尼阿波利斯联邦储备银行行长尼尔·卡什卡利和美联储负责监管的副主席兰德尔·夸尔斯周二重申了价格上涨将是暂时的观点。</blockquote></p><p>This week's focus will be on a raft of economic data, culminating with U.S. payrolls due on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的焦点将是大量经济数据，最终将于周五公布的美国就业数据。</blockquote></p><p>Abbott Labs shares fell 9.3% after the company cut itsfull-year 2021 profit forecast, citing expectations for a sharp decline in revenue from its COVID-19 tests as more Americans get vaccinated. Shares of other test makers also fell.</p><p><blockquote>雅培实验室(Abbott Labs)下调2021年全年利润预期，理由是随着越来越多的美国人接种疫苗，预计其COVID-19检测收入将大幅下降，该公司股价下跌9.3%。其他测试制造商的股价也下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Cloudera Inc(CLDR.N)shares jumped 23.9% after private equity firms KKR &amp; Co(KKR.N)and Clayton Dubilier &amp; Rice LLCagreed to take the data analytics firm private.</p><p><blockquote>Cloudera Inc(CLDR.N)在私募股权公司KKR&amp;Co(KKR)之后，股价上涨23.9%。N)和Clayton Dubilier&amp;Rice LLCA同意将这家数据分析公司私有化。</blockquote></p><p>A group of“meme stocks” extended gainsfrom the previous week, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> Holdings Inc(AMC.N)up 22.7% after the movie theater chain said it sold $230 million of its stock.</p><p><blockquote>一批“模因股”延续了前一周的涨幅，其中<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>控股公司(AMC.N)上涨22.7%，此前这家连锁电影院表示出售了价值2.3亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 2.54-to-1 ratio; on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a>, a 1.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为2.54比1；在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>1.79比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 73 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 168 new highs and 25 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下73个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得168个新高和25个新低。</blockquote></p><p>About 10.7 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 10.5 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所约有107亿股易手，而过去20个交易日的日均交易量为105亿股。</blockquote></p><p><b>Here are company's financial statements：</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是公司的财务报表：</b></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1184181912\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Zoom reports blowout earnings but warns of a coming slowdown</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1184181912\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Zoom报告盈利井喷，但警告即将放缓</b></a></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 dips, as healthcare weighs; Dow ends higher<blockquote>随着医疗保健的压力，标普500下跌；道指收高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; 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color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 dips, as healthcare weighs; Dow ends higher<blockquote>随着医疗保健的压力，标普500下跌；道指收高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-02 07:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500(.SPX)dipped on Tuesday, with declines in healthcare and tech shares countered by energy and financial gains, as investors weighed the latest U.S. economic data for signs of a rebound and rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>标普500(.SPX)周二下跌，医疗保健和科技股的下跌被能源和金融股的上涨所抵消，投资者权衡最新的美国经济数据是否有反弹和通胀上升的迹象。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 financial sector(.SPSY)hit a record high, while expected growth in fuel demand boosted oil prices and helped lift the energy sector(.SPNY)3.9%, its biggest <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day gain in nearly four months. The heavyweight tech sector(.SPLRCT)fell while the healthcare sector(.SPXHC)was dragged down by a weak profit forecast from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABT\">Abbott Laboratories</a>(ABT.N).</p><p><blockquote>标普500金融板块(.SPSY)创历史新高，而燃料需求预期增长提振油价，并帮助提振能源板块(.SPNY)上涨3.9%，为最大<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>-近四个月来的日涨幅。重量级科技板块(.SPLRCT)下跌，而医疗保健板块(.SPXHC)则受到来自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABT\">雅培实验室</a>（N部）。</blockquote></p><p>Data showed U.S.manufacturing activity pickedup in May as pent-up demand in a reopening economy boosted orders. But unfinished work piled up because of shortages of raw materials and labor.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，由于经济重新开放中被压抑的需求提振了订单，美国5月份制造业活动有所回升。但由于原材料和劳动力短缺，未完成的工作堆积起来。</blockquote></p><p>\"People came back from a holiday weekend convinced that the economy is recovering nicely and that any inflation that we might be seeing in labor and other costs is temporary,\" Peter Tuz, president of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCF\">Chase</a> Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia.</p><p><blockquote>“人们从假期周末回来后确信经济正在良好复苏，我们可能在劳动力和其他成本方面看到的任何通胀都是暂时的，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCF\">追逐</a>弗吉尼亚州夏洛茨维尔的投资顾问。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 45.86 points, or 0.13%, to 34,575.31; the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)lost 2.07 points, or 0.05%, at 4,202.04; and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite(.IXIC)dropped 12.26 points, or 0.09%, to 13,736.48.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数(.DJI)涨45.86点，或0.13%，报34,575.31；标普500(.SPX)下跌2.07点，或0.05%，报4,202.04点；和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数(.IXIC)下跌12.26点，或0.09%，至13,736.48点。</blockquote></p><p>Along with sharp gains for financials and energy, the small-cap Russell 2000(.RUT)rose 1.1% on Tuesday, underscoring strength for segments of the stock market expected to do particularly well in an expanding economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着金融和能源股的大幅上涨，小盘股罗素2000指数(.RUT)周二上涨1.1%，突显了预计在经济扩张中表现尤其出色的股市板块的强势。</blockquote></p><p>While the S&amp;P 500 remains less than 1% of its record high after four straight months of gains, investors are worried about whether rising inflation could hit equity prices.</p><p><blockquote>尽管标普500在连续四个月上涨后仍不到历史高点的1%，但投资者担心通胀上升是否会打击股价。</blockquote></p><p>\"We have supply chain issues, delays, price increases, pricing pressures in general, we have got employers saying they have got difficulty sourcing labor,\" said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVZ\">Invesco</a> in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>.</p><p><blockquote>首席全球市场策略师克里斯蒂娜·胡珀(Kristina Hooper)表示：“我们面临供应链问题、延误、价格上涨、总体定价压力，雇主表示他们很难找到劳动力。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVZ\">景顺</a>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>.</blockquote></p><p>\"So this is a microcosm of what we are already hearing about and seeing in the overall economy and it's just a reminder that inflation remains a concern.\"</p><p><blockquote>“因此，这是我们在整体经济中已经听到和看到的情况的一个缩影，它只是提醒人们通货膨胀仍然是一个问题。”</blockquote></p><p>A Wall St. sign is seen near the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYRT\">New York</a> Stock Exchange (NYSE) in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">New</a> York <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a>, U.S., May 4, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo</p><p><blockquote>附近可以看到华尔街的标志<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYRT\">纽约</a>纽约证券交易所<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">新的</a>约克<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">城市</a>，美国，2021年5月4日。路透社/Brendan McDermid/资料照片</blockquote></p><p>Stock markets on Friday brushed off a surge inkey inflation readingsfor April following reassurances from Federal Reserve officials that the central bank’s ultra-loose monetary policy would remain in place.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储官员保证央行超宽松货币政策将继续实施后，周五股市没有出现四月份关键通胀数据的飙升。</blockquote></p><p>Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari and Fed Vice Chair for supervision Randal Quarles on Tuesday reiterated the view that higher prices would be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>明尼阿波利斯联邦储备银行行长尼尔·卡什卡利和美联储负责监管的副主席兰德尔·夸尔斯周二重申了价格上涨将是暂时的观点。</blockquote></p><p>This week's focus will be on a raft of economic data, culminating with U.S. payrolls due on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的焦点将是大量经济数据，最终将于周五公布的美国就业数据。</blockquote></p><p>Abbott Labs shares fell 9.3% after the company cut itsfull-year 2021 profit forecast, citing expectations for a sharp decline in revenue from its COVID-19 tests as more Americans get vaccinated. Shares of other test makers also fell.</p><p><blockquote>雅培实验室(Abbott Labs)下调2021年全年利润预期，理由是随着越来越多的美国人接种疫苗，预计其COVID-19检测收入将大幅下降，该公司股价下跌9.3%。其他测试制造商的股价也下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Cloudera Inc(CLDR.N)shares jumped 23.9% after private equity firms KKR &amp; Co(KKR.N)and Clayton Dubilier &amp; Rice LLCagreed to take the data analytics firm private.</p><p><blockquote>Cloudera Inc(CLDR.N)在私募股权公司KKR&amp;Co(KKR)之后，股价上涨23.9%。N)和Clayton Dubilier&amp;Rice LLCA同意将这家数据分析公司私有化。</blockquote></p><p>A group of“meme stocks” extended gainsfrom the previous week, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> Holdings Inc(AMC.N)up 22.7% after the movie theater chain said it sold $230 million of its stock.</p><p><blockquote>一批“模因股”延续了前一周的涨幅，其中<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>控股公司(AMC.N)上涨22.7%，此前这家连锁电影院表示出售了价值2.3亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 2.54-to-1 ratio; on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a>, a 1.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为2.54比1；在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>1.79比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 73 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 168 new highs and 25 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下73个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得168个新高和25个新低。</blockquote></p><p>About 10.7 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 10.5 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所约有107亿股易手，而过去20个交易日的日均交易量为105亿股。</blockquote></p><p><b>Here are company's financial statements：</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是公司的财务报表：</b></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1184181912\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Zoom reports blowout earnings but warns of a coming slowdown</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1184181912\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Zoom报告盈利井喷，但警告即将放缓</b></a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-dips-healthcare-weighs-dow-ends-higher-2021-06-01/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-dips-healthcare-weighs-dow-ends-higher-2021-06-01/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106176005","content_text":"The S&P 500(.SPX)dipped on Tuesday, with declines in healthcare and tech shares countered by energy and financial gains, as investors weighed the latest U.S. economic data for signs of a rebound and rising inflation.The S&P 500 financial sector(.SPSY)hit a record high, while expected growth in fuel demand boosted oil prices and helped lift the energy sector(.SPNY)3.9%, its biggest one-day gain in nearly four months. The heavyweight tech sector(.SPLRCT)fell while the healthcare sector(.SPXHC)was dragged down by a weak profit forecast from Abbott Laboratories(ABT.N).Data showed U.S.manufacturing activity pickedup in May as pent-up demand in a reopening economy boosted orders. But unfinished work piled up because of shortages of raw materials and labor.\"People came back from a holiday weekend convinced that the economy is recovering nicely and that any inflation that we might be seeing in labor and other costs is temporary,\" Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia.The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 45.86 points, or 0.13%, to 34,575.31; the S&P 500(.SPX)lost 2.07 points, or 0.05%, at 4,202.04; and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)dropped 12.26 points, or 0.09%, to 13,736.48.Along with sharp gains for financials and energy, the small-cap Russell 2000(.RUT)rose 1.1% on Tuesday, underscoring strength for segments of the stock market expected to do particularly well in an expanding economy.While the S&P 500 remains less than 1% of its record high after four straight months of gains, investors are worried about whether rising inflation could hit equity prices.\"We have supply chain issues, delays, price increases, pricing pressures in general, we have got employers saying they have got difficulty sourcing labor,\" said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco in New York.\"So this is a microcosm of what we are already hearing about and seeing in the overall economy and it's just a reminder that inflation remains a concern.\"A Wall St. sign is seen near the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 4, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File PhotoStock markets on Friday brushed off a surge inkey inflation readingsfor April following reassurances from Federal Reserve officials that the central bank’s ultra-loose monetary policy would remain in place.Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari and Fed Vice Chair for supervision Randal Quarles on Tuesday reiterated the view that higher prices would be transitory.This week's focus will be on a raft of economic data, culminating with U.S. payrolls due on Friday.Abbott Labs shares fell 9.3% after the company cut itsfull-year 2021 profit forecast, citing expectations for a sharp decline in revenue from its COVID-19 tests as more Americans get vaccinated. Shares of other test makers also fell.Cloudera Inc(CLDR.N)shares jumped 23.9% after private equity firms KKR & Co(KKR.N)and Clayton Dubilier & Rice LLCagreed to take the data analytics firm private.A group of“meme stocks” extended gainsfrom the previous week, with shares of AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(AMC.N)up 22.7% after the movie theater chain said it sold $230 million of its stock.Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 2.54-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 73 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 168 new highs and 25 new lows.About 10.7 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 10.5 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.Here are company's financial statements：Zoom reports blowout earnings but warns of a coming slowdown","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112449499,"gmtCreate":1622907920711,"gmtModify":1634096954898,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like an comment thanks&nbsp;","listText":"like an comment thanks&nbsp;","text":"like an comment thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112449499","repostId":"2140816405","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116733234,"gmtCreate":1622818343228,"gmtModify":1634097676649,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment thanks&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment thanks&nbsp;","text":"like and comment thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116733234","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但下一个十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果的增长在过去十年中有所放缓，未来几年也可能不会成为增长怪物。</li><li>股价具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock社论，来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能会有所不同。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，苹果的股价在十年后仍可能大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前，股票回报率为900%，复合年回报率约为26%，轻松击败了同期大盘的回报率。重要的是，该公司股价的涨幅远远超过了该公司的市值，而该公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅减少了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是商业上非常成功的时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的兴起，同时也在手表和平板电脑等新产品上取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新产品类别推出。目前，股价为125美元，过去12个月上涨57%，但2021年迄今下跌6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整格局，这并不令人意外，因为苹果的估值最近已经扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前的一致目标价为156美元，这意味着25%的上涨潜力。由于目前没有迹象表明股价会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年后苹果股票会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，苹果2031年的股价是无法准确预测的。正如历史一次又一次地表明的那样，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以设计情景来了解在某些条件下未来股价的走势，从而了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了构建这样的场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去曾经历过多年的强劲增长和多年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释，例如。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的强度，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也发挥了作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。2010年代初，苹果凭借iPhone的“胜利之路”实现了巨大增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长速度放缓。甚至有一些年份的收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年的强劲增长推动了这一增长率时，假设苹果将增长10%可能不太合理。未来一年也是如此。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就变得越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在其产品价格上涨以及中国等高增长国家市场份额增长的潜力（越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格较高的产品）的背景下，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致更高的应用支出——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像iPhone那样庞大），苹果应该能够以稳健的速度发展其业务。我个人认为5%-7%的收入增长率可能是未来几年的现实估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的意见。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅减少其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了36%的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股票在公司价值中的份额将上涨56%，即年化4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年的股票数量仅减少了2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股票数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至25%时，当我们考虑每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约3%的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我5%-7%的业务增长预测，我因此假设苹果的每股长期增长将达到8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去的估值范围很广，其股票在某些时候的市盈率非常低，而投资者在其他时候愿意支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的10倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，2020年底，该公司的股价高达该公司净利润的40倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL的往绩市盈率为28倍，远期利润约为24倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去3年、5年、7年和10年的市盈率中位数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期内中值较高。我不认为AAPL的市盈率会达到过去十年平均市盈率的15.5倍，因为对于像苹果这样拥有强大品牌、庞大规模的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。、巨大的利润和堡垒般的资产负债表。另一方面，我也不相信苹果的市盈率会永远保持在24-28倍——对于一家业务增长稳健但不引人注目的中个位数的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，尤其如此，在其他条件相同的情况下，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力。因此，我认为2031年净利润20倍左右的估值可能是合理的估计，这或多或少与3年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从2021年每股收益估计为5.15美元开始计算，并假设到2031年每年增长7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为10.10美元至13.40美元。将市盈率定为20倍，目标价约为每股200-270美元。因此，在235美元左右的中点，股价将较当前水平上涨约90%，年化涨幅约为6.5%。这肯定是一个不错的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，苹果公司在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报率不太兴奋。当我们考虑到，如果苹果的估值下降，例如由于利率上升，股价在未来1-3年内确实存在相当大的下行风险，目前保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现出色。目前，我对苹果的评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意并倾向于在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说，该股在未来十年确实有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 15:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但下一个十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果的增长在过去十年中有所放缓，未来几年也可能不会成为增长怪物。</li><li>股价具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock社论，来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能会有所不同。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，苹果的股价在十年后仍可能大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前，股票回报率为900%，复合年回报率约为26%，轻松击败了同期大盘的回报率。重要的是，该公司股价的涨幅远远超过了该公司的市值，而该公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅减少了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是商业上非常成功的时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的兴起，同时也在手表和平板电脑等新产品上取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新产品类别推出。目前，股价为125美元，过去12个月上涨57%，但2021年迄今下跌6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整格局，这并不令人意外，因为苹果的估值最近已经扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前的一致目标价为156美元，这意味着25%的上涨潜力。由于目前没有迹象表明股价会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年后苹果股票会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，苹果2031年的股价是无法准确预测的。正如历史一次又一次地表明的那样，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以设计情景来了解在某些条件下未来股价的走势，从而了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了构建这样的场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去曾经历过多年的强劲增长和多年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释，例如。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的强度，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也发挥了作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。2010年代初，苹果凭借iPhone的“胜利之路”实现了巨大增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长速度放缓。甚至有一些年份的收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年的强劲增长推动了这一增长率时，假设苹果将增长10%可能不太合理。未来一年也是如此。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就变得越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在其产品价格上涨以及中国等高增长国家市场份额增长的潜力（越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格较高的产品）的背景下，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致更高的应用支出——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像iPhone那样庞大），苹果应该能够以稳健的速度发展其业务。我个人认为5%-7%的收入增长率可能是未来几年的现实估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的意见。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅减少其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了36%的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股票在公司价值中的份额将上涨56%，即年化4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年的股票数量仅减少了2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股票数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至25%时，当我们考虑每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约3%的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我5%-7%的业务增长预测，我因此假设苹果的每股长期增长将达到8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去的估值范围很广，其股票在某些时候的市盈率非常低，而投资者在其他时候愿意支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的10倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，2020年底，该公司的股价高达该公司净利润的40倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL的往绩市盈率为28倍，远期利润约为24倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去3年、5年、7年和10年的市盈率中位数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期内中值较高。我不认为AAPL的市盈率会达到过去十年平均市盈率的15.5倍，因为对于像苹果这样拥有强大品牌、庞大规模的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。、巨大的利润和堡垒般的资产负债表。另一方面，我也不相信苹果的市盈率会永远保持在24-28倍——对于一家业务增长稳健但不引人注目的中个位数的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，尤其如此，在其他条件相同的情况下，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力。因此，我认为2031年净利润20倍左右的估值可能是合理的估计，这或多或少与3年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从2021年每股收益估计为5.15美元开始计算，并假设到2031年每年增长7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为10.10美元至13.40美元。将市盈率定为20倍，目标价约为每股200-270美元。因此，在235美元左右的中点，股价将较当前水平上涨约90%，年化涨幅约为6.5%。这肯定是一个不错的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，苹果公司在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报率不太兴奋。当我们考虑到，如果苹果的估值下降，例如由于利率上升，股价在未来1-3年内确实存在相当大的下行风险，目前保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现出色。目前，我对苹果的评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意并倾向于在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说，该股在未来十年确实有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128156893,"gmtCreate":1624507625712,"gmtModify":1634005089689,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi&nbsp;","listText":"hi&nbsp;","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128156893","repostId":"2145053011","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187018984,"gmtCreate":1623729923748,"gmtModify":1634029444950,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment&nbsp;","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187018984","repostId":"1164323104","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180643020,"gmtCreate":1623203225260,"gmtModify":1634035852253,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment&nbsp;","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180643020","repostId":"1196052924","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117600186,"gmtCreate":1623134135845,"gmtModify":1634036579302,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"liek and comment&nbsp;","listText":"liek and comment&nbsp;","text":"liek and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117600186","repostId":"1140543196","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":529,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120142586,"gmtCreate":1624317146945,"gmtModify":1634008046631,"author":{"id":"3559522411638426","authorId":"3559522411638426","name":"paxxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559522411638426","authorIdStr":"3559522411638426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like&nbsp;","listText":"like&nbsp;","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120142586","repostId":"1191349655","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}