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Jordlee88

Jordlee88

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2021-06-29

Hehe

Palantir: On Building A Dynasty

2021-06-24

Like my comment pls

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2021-06-22

Seriously

Global stocks slide after Wall Street frets about the Fed

2021-06-19

Yes yes yes

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2021-06-18

$Workhorse(WKHS)$Going strong

2021-06-18

Like my comment pls

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2021-06-18

Wow really

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2021-06-18

Cmon

2021-06-17

$Workhorse(WKHS)$Hehehehe

2021-06-16

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Cmon

2021-06-16

Really

The Fed Should Talk About Tapering. Here’s What Could Happen to the Stock Market.

2021-06-16

Interesting

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2021-06-14

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Pls pls pls

2021-06-14

Hahdhajaba

2021-06-11

Wow omg

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2021-06-11

Omg omg omg

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2021-06-11

Like and share pls

2021-06-10

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Diamond hands

2021-06-10

Cmon.....

2021-06-09

... zzz

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15:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: On Building A Dynasty","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115559324","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nMoats are competitive advantages built by businesses to protect profits and generate stayin","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Moats are competitive advantages built by businesses to protect profits and generate staying power.</li>\n <li>There are seven types of moats, and great companies generally have two or three. Palantir has all seven.</li>\n <li>These moats will allow Palantir to build an enduringly impactful and profitable business.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0361567f2939770c4946a5568ce8dc7e\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1033\"><span>Scott Olson/Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>NewsIntroduction: On Building a Dynasty</b></p>\n<p>In the mid 16thcentury, Japan was engaged in all-out civil war.</p>\n<p>Oda Nobunaga, a samurai regarded as the “Great Unifier” (or “Devil king,” on the battlefield) was emerging as the most powerful samurai warlord in all of Japan. His name had become synonymous with military brilliance, and he had a knack for unseating more powerful opponents.</p>\n<p>Despite the power of Nobunaga, a faction of the Buddhist faith, called the Ikkō (Single Minded) Ikki (League), began consolidating power, building fortresses and accumulating growing numbers of warrior monks. The Ikkō Ikki ultimately established themselves in the fortress of Ishiyama Hongan-ji (Stone Mountain) in what is modern day Osaka.</p>\n<p>By the 1560’s Nobunaga had defeated all opposing samurai warlords in Japan, and only the Ikkō Ikki stood in the way of Nobunaga blanketing Japan with his hegemony.</p>\n<p>And so, in 1570 Nobunaga set out for Ishiyama Hongan-ji with 30,000 troops, many of whom were trained with early versions of rifles known as arquebuses. Nobunaga himself was armed with the Dōjigiri Yasutsuna: Japan’s most famous sword. Legend has it that the Dōjigiri Yasutsuna was used to kill the most terrifying demon of its time: the Shuten-Dōji.</p>\n<p>Despite the considerable weapons at his disposal, Nobunaga’s attack on the fortress of Ishiyama Hongan-ji was unsuccessful. For ten years his forces laid siege to Ishiyama, and for ten years he was repelled. Indeed, when the Ikkō Ikki finally surrendered in 1580, it was at the request of the Imperial Court rather than the fortress being overrun.</p>\n<p>So how did the Ikkō Ikki fend off the most fearsome shogun in medieval Japan?</p>\n<p>A moat, of course.</p>\n<p>Flowing around the cathedral fortress of Ishiyama was an intricate labyrinth of moats surmounted by featureless walls. As a consequence of the moats, these walls could not be assaulted with siege towers or tunneled through. They could not be climbed or vaulted. It was unassailable.</p>\n<p>In reference to this medieval structure that could provide defense against attackers for 10 years or more, the word “moat” has since become a common measure of a business’ longevity. I appreciate when history makes sense.</p>\n<p><b>Palantir’s Seven Moats</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>Growth is easy to measure, but durability isn’t. If you focus on near-term growth above all else, you miss the most important question you should be asking: will this business still be around a decade from now? Numbers alone won’t tell you the answer; instead you must think critically about the qualitative characteristics of your business.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>-Peter Thiel, Founder &amp; Chairman, Palantir</p>\n<p>In&nbsp;7 Powers, Hamilton Helmer writes about the seven moats a business may employ to guide value-creation efforts. By combining operational excellence with thoughtful moat-building, Helmer argues, a business may be able to make itself enduringly valuable. The seven powers are: Scale Economies, Network Effects, Counter-Positioning, Switching Costs, Branding, Cornered Resources, and Process Power.</p>\n<p>Helmer outlines case studies of these moats represented by modern day enterprises. Pixar had the brain trust (Cornered Resource), Nike(NYSE:NKE)can charge more for a pair of shoes than competitors (Brand), and Netflix’s(NASDAQ:NFLX)content costs less to produce as it gains subscribers (Scale Economies). The most iconic companies in the world have two, maybe three moats.</p>\n<p>Palantir (PLTR) has all seven.</p>\n<p>I know that sounds crazy because Palantir went public nine months ago, and yes, it remains unprofitable. Yes, the stock based compensation is corpulent. Yes, revenue is concentrated and yes, valuation is optimistic. Yes to all of it.</p>\n<p>No take backs. Palantir has seven moats. Let me show you.</p>\n<p><b>Palantir's Scale Economies</b></p>\n<p><i>The quality of declining unit costs as volume increases</i></p>\n<p>Palantir’s sales cycles are perhaps the most misunderstood aspect of their business model. Naysayers argue Palantir is a services company. Bag holders who bought at $35/share argue Palantir is a SaaS company. They’re both right.</p>\n<p>Gotham and Foundry drive high margin, recurring software contracts for government and commercial customers alike. Meanwhile, Palantir parachutes in technical consultants to expand and mature these contracts. Palantir describes this sales cycle as “Acquire, Expand, and Scale.”</p>\n<p><b>Acquire</b></p>\n<p>While Palantir<i>is</i>a software company, it stands quite apart from others who share this label. For example, there are some differences between selling a software like Zoom (ZM) to an enterprise, and selling Foundry. As of Q1 2021, Palantir reported $8.1 million in annual revenue per customer. This staggering product revenue belies the value of Palantir’s offerings, but also underscores the complexity of their sales cycle.</p>\n<p>In&nbsp;Palantir’s S-1, Acquire customers are described as those enjoying short-term pilot deployments of Palantir’s technology. Palantir operates these accounts at a loss, and notes this selling phase generally lasts 6-9 months on average.</p>\n<p><b>Expand</b></p>\n<p>The second phase, Expand, is characterized by<i>value building.</i>Palantir focuses on understanding the customer’s challenges and delivering against them. These are customers who provide larger revenue contracts to Palantir, but also generally represent negative contribution margins.</p>\n<p>I know, two stages in a row of unprofitable product delivery. However, this stage is marked by an almost viral expansion of Palantir’s personalized value creation, informed by 6 – 9 months of data ingestion and customer feedback during the Acquire phase. It is in this stage that Palantir’s offerings begin to merit the descriptor<i>bespoke.</i></p>\n<p>Expand is fueled by CEO Alex Karp himself, who, prior to the pandemic, spent 250 days a year visiting clients in person. This is perhaps the most ineffaceable contribution of Karp; the CEO served as a salesforce for a company that never had one. Palantir’s customers are whales. Karp is Captain Ahab.</p>\n<p><b>Scale</b></p>\n<p>The word “scale” is used a full 44 times in thePalantir S-1, and Palantir defines Scale customers as those contributing mature contracts with a positive contribution margin. During Scale, we witness a reversal of Palantir’s unit economics. As customer accounts mature, Palantir’s investment costs decrease. Customers can now operate independently, building their own applications on top of Foundry or Gotham. This results in new use cases, less services fees, and a greater proportion of high-margin recurring revenue.</p>\n<blockquote>\n It is in the Scale phase of our partnerships with customers that we generally see contribution margin on particular accounts improve. In 2019, we generated $565.7 million in revenue from customers in the Scale phase, with a contribution margin of 55%. In H1 2020, those same customers generated $296.3 million in revenue, with a contribution margin of 68%.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Source:Palantir S-1</p>\n<p>And also:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>We believe that all of our customers will move into the Scale phase over the long term.</b>We also believe that contribution margin for Scale phase accounts will increase further as we become more efficient at deploying our software platforms across the entirety of our customers’ operations and at managing and operating our software…In H1 2020, the top 25% of customers by contribution margin in the Scale phase as of the end of 2019 had a\n <b>contribution margin during the period of 89%.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Source:Palantir S-1, emphasis mine</p>\n<p>For those of you wringing your clammy hands over Palantir’s inability to turn a profit, take notice:<b>Palantir has just begun to leverage this moat to drive astronomical contribution margins approaching 90%.</b>As Palantir converts more customers from Expand to Scale, margins will improve, costs will depress, and revenue concentration will diversify. As Palantir optimizes and in some cases automates software deployment, I expect the Acquire and Expand cycles shorten, allowing this flywheel to spin faster.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/604faf2a51bd7d6e60abbc5d89663571\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"378\"><span>Source:Palantir Q4 2020 Business Update</span></p>\n<p><b>Palantir's</b>&nbsp;<b>Network effects</b></p>\n<p><i>The product becomes more valuable as more customers use the product</i></p>\n<p>In Palantir’s S-1, “Generate Network Effects,”&nbsp;is listed&nbsp;within the First Principles section. They go on to describe how Palantir’s software becomes more valuable to the customer as more employees use the product.</p>\n<blockquote>\n At a financial services customer, network effects enabled our platforms to scale from a single use case to more than 70 workstreams across compliance, front office, risk, and internal audit desks.\n</blockquote>\n<p>-Source:Palantir’s S-1</p>\n<p>Imagine, for a moment, you are a sweater-vest wearing software engineer at Okland Bank, who just agreed to a Foundry pilot. As you sip your oat milk latte, you begin clicking through Foundry information dashboards, and slowly you explore and experiment with the Foundry platform. You realize you can run data-analytics on AI-infused applications, and begin identifying inefficiencies, which are shared with your team and supervisors (making you look quite brilliant).</p>\n<p>As Foundry is used to identify optimization targets, developers begin building their own application layer on top of Foundry, which identifies new use cases and new applications, and new layers are added. Palantir’s network effects manifest as a digital opera cake; an indelible stack of use cases rising ever higher as utility begets utility. This is the second of Palantir’s moats.</p>\n<p>I believe there are sector-specific network effects in play as well. How much different would Palantir’s software deployment be for Boeing(NYSE:BA)as compared to current Palantir customer Airbus(OTCPK:EADSF)? Not much, I'd wager.</p>\n<p>The Life Sciences sector, which Palantir identified as a major growth area moving forward is another example. Palantir revealed that a top 5 pharma company is using Foundry to integrate genotyping and lab data across thousands of clinical trials. This experience can be extended to<i>any</i>pharma company, and Palantir’s work with this customer allows foresight into the myriad use cases such companies would benefit from. Foresight here is not intangible; it results in accelerated product expansion at lower cost for each and every additional sector-specific customer who inks a deal with Palantir.</p>\n<p>This moat is borne out in the numbers, as Palantir’s largest customers continue to expand and renew larger contracts.</p>\n<p><b>Palantir's</b>&nbsp;<b>Switching</b>&nbsp;<b>Costs</b></p>\n<p><i>Customers would incur value loss if they switched to a different product supplier</i></p>\n<p>This is perhaps the easiest moat to highlight for Palantir. If you understand machine learning at a basic level, you might intuit how a data analytics company like Palantir would have high Switching Costs.</p>\n<p>I believe there is a<i>point of no return</i>for customers somewhere in the Expand phase of the sales cycle. At this point, Foundry use cases are multiplying, efficiencies are being realized, and the software is becoming less a service and more the central operating system of the enterprise. In a given organization, petabytes of data have been collated by Palantir and refined into actionable processes, and each day Foundry knows the organizational needs a little bit better. Remember, this is likely 18 months into a customer relationship, and Foundry has become an everyday analytics tool in the company workflow.</p>\n<p>I believe this is the point of no return, because the alternative here is unimaginable. First and foremost, who is this alternative software provider? Bueller? Even if there was a comparable service to Foundry, and there’s not, you would be starting entirely over again. Enterprises want to accelerate, no, hurtle towards a digital, AI-driven future. Try explaining to senior management we have to pull the plug 18 months in on Foundry because the price tag is too steep. You would have to go back to Day 0 with data collection, analysis and refining. It would be a duplication of effort, time and expense of the greatest scale. Somewhere in Expand you’re in too deep – if you turn off the lights, the ice cream melts.</p>\n<p>Palantir’s largest contracts have been customers of Palantir the longest. This is not coincidence. It is a moat, Palantir's third. Switching costs only increase as customers become deeper users of Palantir products.</p>\n<p>Commodity software services will never enjoy the strategic advantage Palantir owns. Would it really be that big of a deal if your company switched from Skype to Zoom?</p>\n<p><b>Palantir'sBranding</b></p>\n<p><i>The durable attribution of higher value to an objectively identical offering that arises from historical information about the seller</i></p>\n<p>The Branding moat is easier to understand in the context of basic consumer products, like Coca-Cola(NYSE:KO). I would probably pay double for a Coca-Cola than a Koka Kola, for example.</p>\n<p>Making this comparison in data analytics software is challenged because I don’t believe there is an identical offering to Palantir. Hypothetically, however, let’s assume such a company exists.</p>\n<p>Palantir has built an iconic brand since its inception in 2003. Over the past 18 years, Palantir has been funded by the CIA, linked to the identification and killing of Osama Bin Laden, sued the U.S. Army and won, and has carefully curated a narrative of intrigue and ostensibly supernatural analytics capabilities. But this company image is not the Branding moat I aim to highlight here.</p>\n<p>This is the publicly traded company the<i>U.S. government hires to manage their nuclear program</i>. This is the company the NHS hires to manage PPE inventory and vaccine rollout during the greatest public health crisis of our time. Over the past two decades, Palantir has a track record of coming through in the most extreme circumstances our country faces. To the U.S. government, I would argue, there is no software company that better epitomizes reliability and security than Palantir. That is an enduring brand.</p>\n<p>The below press releases were announced over the past two months<i>alone</i>:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>CDC Renews Partnership with Palantir for Disease Monitoring and Outbreak Response</li>\n <li>Palantir Awarded $111m Contract to Provide Mission Command Platform for the United States Special Operations Command</li>\n <li>Palantir and Space Force Expand Partnership</li>\n</ul>\n<p>I don’t care how bearish you may be about Palantir’s valuation. There is no software company that has the brand value Palantir does with the U.S. government and her allies abroad. As Palantir expands into commercial vectors with clients evermore concerned about cybersecurity, and data fidelity… what competitor can point to the resume Palantir can? When the margin of error must be zero, and you are looking down the barrel of a no fail scenario, bet on Palantir.</p>\n<p><b>Palantir's</b>&nbsp;<b>Counter-Positioning</b></p>\n<p><i>A newcomer adopts a new, superior business model which the incumbent does not mimic due to anticipated damage to their existing business</i></p>\n<p>Counter-positioning is a unique moat, I think best represented by Square (SQ) in the&nbsp;digital wallet space. Incumbent banks have moved with all the intention of an ice floe to counter Square’s moves, partly due to regulation, partly due to underestimated competition, but mostly because offering digital wallet solutions could cannibalize banks’ core products. This is the Counter-Positioning moat.</p>\n<p>Palantir’s Counter-Positioning moat is perhaps less obvious. First off, who is the incumbent? Palantir’s technology is so disruptive, it can be challenging to construe a natural competitor.</p>\n<p>For Gotham (Gov’t), the incumbent<i>was</i>the government; the U.S. Army, the DoD, the CIA, etc. Let’s wind back the clocks to 2015. The U.S. Army released a solicitation seeking bids to build the Distributed Common Ground System-Army (DCGS-A). This would be an integrated data analytics framework that could gather data from numerous sources, share data seamlessly across a suite of analytical tools and provide easy-to use visualization for soldiers in the field. Sound familiar? Sounds exactly like Palantir’s Gotham product to me.</p>\n<p>DCGS-A was actually an internal Army project over a decade in the making at a development cost of $3 Billion. Palantir entered into the bidding at a much lower cost, but the Army elected to continue its own internal development. Palantir ultimately filed a lawsuit against the Army, arguing that Gotham provided the exact services the Army was attempting to build, and at a fraction of the cost. In October of 2016, a federal judge ruled in favor of Palantir (§ 2377), and established the precedent that the government must procure commercial services and products to the maximum practical extent. This was appealed by the Army, but later held up in the U.S. Court of Appeals in 2018.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fc6c13c9c0d3ca0b559fd48bdff1da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"457\"><span>Source:Palantir S-1 Filing</span></p>\n<p>Palantir’s landmark lawsuit against the Army surprisingly resulted in a deepening relationship with the U.S. Government. In the year following the lawsuit, Palantir’s Army revenue equaled the sum of the eleven preceding years.</p>\n<p>Similar to incumbent banks, there is something about size that begets bureaucracy and inertia. The U.S. government, for all its influence and power, either chose to underinvest in data analytics, moved too slowly, or underestimated the pace of innovation in the private sector. It was probably some of each.</p>\n<p>These same competitive issues are manifesting in the private sector. Massive enterprise software behemoths like Oracle (ORCL) and SAP (SAP) have spent the past decade building out sales teams for ‘good enough’ products. Meanwhile, Palantir has been obsessively proliferating and refining their offerings (more on this later) without a recognizable salesforce. Palantir’s entire focus over the past 18 years was engineering great product, and the incumbents are just now sensing the deep, almost planetary groan of enterprise software culture shifting, the jeremiad of an opportunity missed.</p>\n<p>Palantir is deepening its Counter-Positioning moat by investing in several young, disruptive companies in the data analytics space. In my prior Palantir article,Palantir’s SPACs: Do You See What Karp Sees?, I outlined Palantir’s investments in these companies as opportunities to expand market reach and build a valuable portfolio.</p>\n<p>I have since added another layer to this analysis. These investment companies are not just expanding Palantir’s market reach, they are lighthouses for Palantir’s products, emissaries that may evince the velocity Foundry contributes to product roadmap and go to market pace. By partnering with these companies, Palantir is cementing its technological leadership and demonstrating commitment to the innovative product DNA its reputation is built around.</p>\n<p><b>Palantir's</b>&nbsp;<b>Cornered Resources</b></p>\n<p><i>Preferential access at attractive terms to a coveted asset that can independently enhance value</i></p>\n<p>Palantir hoards two resources that confer a remarkable advantage over its competitors: technology and talent. I’m going to start with Thiel’s definition of technological advantage. It’s ambitious, but Palantir clears this bar.</p>\n<blockquote>\n As a good rule of thumb, proprietary technology must be at least 10 times better than its closest substitute in some important dimension to lead to a real monopolistic advantage.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>- Peter Thiel, Co-Founder &amp; Chairman, Palantir,<i>Zero to One</i></p>\n<p>Ten times better. When the product offered is 10x better than the alternative, amazing things can happen. SpaceX’s (SPACE) rockets are 10x more efficient than NASA’s, meeting your next boyfriend is 10x easier on Bumble (BMBL) than it is in your local bar, and streaming Lord of the Rings on Netflix (NFLX) is 10x easier than driving to Best Buy (BBY) to wrangle up a set of DVDs.</p>\n<p>Although it’s early days, Palantir’s software already appears to be 10x better than competitors in several ways. In Q1 2021, for example, Gotham was used to enable all 11 DoD Combatant Commands to generate integrated strategic decision advantage from intelligence, operations, logistics and supply data. This capability otherwise<i>never existed</i>. Palantir’s software is so advanced it continues to invent new use cases, which is a testament to the logarithmic improvement these offerings represent.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03bd98e9e9f53009b19523de56ceb5dd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>Source:Palantir Q4 2020 Business Update</span></p>\n<p>And Palantir continues to out-innovate competitors. In Palantir’s Q4 2020 earning presentation, they provided an update on trajectory towards a DoD Impact Level 6 (IL-6) status. They are one of only four IL-5 companies (Mission Critical Information National Security Systems) in the world, and are targeting IL-6, which would make them the first SaaS for Classified Secret National Security Systems. For frame of reference, IL-2 companies include data analytics giants Snowflake (SNOW) and Google (GOOG).</p>\n<p>Palantir’s data are better because Palantir’s data quality is better. For as much import as we place on data volume in analytics, data quality is even more prized. Gotham has been humming in the mud, in space, and on the ocean floor more than a decade, informed by the harshest and most demanding scenarios. Gotham is battle tested enterprise software.</p>\n<p>Palantir’s second Cornered Resource is talent. Karp’s reported nose for and ability to seduce top engineering talent has resulted in a who’s who roster almost impossible to emulate.</p>\n<p>As an investor, I am okay with Palantir bears doodling out their diluted cash flow models and how stock based compensation affects it. But these bears cannot in the same breath:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Complain about Palantir’s SBC and--</li>\n <li>Argue Palantir does not have a moat of engineering talent</li>\n</ol>\n<p>Palantir is incentivizing engineering and product talent with SBC and an opportunity to change the world. If one NFL team had no salary cap, every position would be filled with the top player in The League. That is what Karp has done.</p>\n<p><b>Palantir's</b>&nbsp;<b>Process Power</b></p>\n<p><i>Embedded company organization and activity sets enabling lower costs and/or superior product, and which can be matched only by an extended commitment</i></p>\n<p>Process Power is Palantir's seventh, and final, moat. The most obvious examples are product deployment speed and the comprehensive nature of Palantir’s offerings.</p>\n<blockquote>\n An energy supermajor deployed our ERP suite in hours. Within two weeks, they generated $57 million of cash savings and expect to generate $1 billion on an annualized basis.\n</blockquote>\n<p>-Palantir Q3 2020 Business Update</p>\n<p>Traditional high touch software solutions offered by competitors are delivered in roadmap fashion, with an ultimate product delivery sometimes months or even years down the road. Palantir’s software can be deployed and benefits realized within hours.</p>\n<p>In addition, there are no competitors that have the sweeping data analytics offerings Palantir does. This means customers who are not using Palantir are burdened with licensing fees from dozens of separate companies whose software oftentimes doesn’t communicate with each other.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e1a1a03982b19a3b4181802ebb450f6\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"758\"><span>Source:The Generalist</span></p>\n<p>Palantir has built a full stack of data analytics applications and continues to do so as needed for clients. The resulting product offering is so compelling and so rapidly delivered that Palantir does not have any direct competitors. In the above chart, Palantir's 19 product applications are outlined, with brief descriptions and which competitors offer a comparable product. Notice that the next most comprehensive offering comes from Tableau, and has only four products overlapping with Palantir.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/033d44206281f6449c0178f2f5943681\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"402\"><span>Source: Me, with help from Palantir’s S-1 filing</span></p>\n<p>When I initially began writing notes about Palantir’s Process Power, features such as product deployment speed and their comprehensive nature were immediately apparent. However, the more I reflected on Palantir’s business model, the more I began to see a second moat, one that is wider and deeper.</p>\n<p>Perhaps Palantir’s greatest strategic advantage is that its products offer the Process Power moat to its customers.</p>\n<p>Said another way, Foundry and Gotham allow customers to build their own Process Power moat. If you are a Fortune 100 company using Palantir, your lead over competitors widens as your supply chains achieve resonance, inefficiencies are trimmed and the product roadmap slope goes vertical. Palantir's software allows customers to look into the very seeing stone it was named for.</p>\n<p>Palantir recognized this moat, which is why they are investing aggressively in early data companies – so they might take share in rapidly growing businesses defended by Palantir’s moats.</p>\n<p><b>Palantir Final Thoughts</b></p>\n<p>I am fascinated with the concept of building a fortress-like business with the staying power of a dynasty. There are only a few companies that can boast Palantir’s mélange of seven powers, and none exist in the data analytics sector. Palantir’s Scale Economies, Network Effects, Branding, Counter-Positioning, Cornered Resources, and Process Power have set the stage for massive value creation for itself, its investors and its clients.</p>\n<p>Over the coming decades, these moats will pool and interact, driving an evergreen flywheel allowing Palantir to create a business that is, in the words of Helmer,<i>enduringly valuable</i>. Palantir is building a dynasty.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: On Building A Dynasty</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: On Building A Dynasty\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-29 15:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436865-palantir-seven-moats-building-a-dynasty><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nMoats are competitive advantages built by businesses to protect profits and generate staying power.\nThere are seven types of moats, and great companies generally have two or three. Palantir ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436865-palantir-seven-moats-building-a-dynasty\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436865-palantir-seven-moats-building-a-dynasty","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115559324","content_text":"Summary\n\nMoats are competitive advantages built by businesses to protect profits and generate staying power.\nThere are seven types of moats, and great companies generally have two or three. Palantir has all seven.\nThese moats will allow Palantir to build an enduringly impactful and profitable business.\n\nScott Olson/Getty Images\nNewsIntroduction: On Building a Dynasty\nIn the mid 16thcentury, Japan was engaged in all-out civil war.\nOda Nobunaga, a samurai regarded as the “Great Unifier” (or “Devil king,” on the battlefield) was emerging as the most powerful samurai warlord in all of Japan. His name had become synonymous with military brilliance, and he had a knack for unseating more powerful opponents.\nDespite the power of Nobunaga, a faction of the Buddhist faith, called the Ikkō (Single Minded) Ikki (League), began consolidating power, building fortresses and accumulating growing numbers of warrior monks. The Ikkō Ikki ultimately established themselves in the fortress of Ishiyama Hongan-ji (Stone Mountain) in what is modern day Osaka.\nBy the 1560’s Nobunaga had defeated all opposing samurai warlords in Japan, and only the Ikkō Ikki stood in the way of Nobunaga blanketing Japan with his hegemony.\nAnd so, in 1570 Nobunaga set out for Ishiyama Hongan-ji with 30,000 troops, many of whom were trained with early versions of rifles known as arquebuses. Nobunaga himself was armed with the Dōjigiri Yasutsuna: Japan’s most famous sword. Legend has it that the Dōjigiri Yasutsuna was used to kill the most terrifying demon of its time: the Shuten-Dōji.\nDespite the considerable weapons at his disposal, Nobunaga’s attack on the fortress of Ishiyama Hongan-ji was unsuccessful. For ten years his forces laid siege to Ishiyama, and for ten years he was repelled. Indeed, when the Ikkō Ikki finally surrendered in 1580, it was at the request of the Imperial Court rather than the fortress being overrun.\nSo how did the Ikkō Ikki fend off the most fearsome shogun in medieval Japan?\nA moat, of course.\nFlowing around the cathedral fortress of Ishiyama was an intricate labyrinth of moats surmounted by featureless walls. As a consequence of the moats, these walls could not be assaulted with siege towers or tunneled through. They could not be climbed or vaulted. It was unassailable.\nIn reference to this medieval structure that could provide defense against attackers for 10 years or more, the word “moat” has since become a common measure of a business’ longevity. I appreciate when history makes sense.\nPalantir’s Seven Moats\n\nGrowth is easy to measure, but durability isn’t. If you focus on near-term growth above all else, you miss the most important question you should be asking: will this business still be around a decade from now? Numbers alone won’t tell you the answer; instead you must think critically about the qualitative characteristics of your business.”\n\n-Peter Thiel, Founder & Chairman, Palantir\nIn 7 Powers, Hamilton Helmer writes about the seven moats a business may employ to guide value-creation efforts. By combining operational excellence with thoughtful moat-building, Helmer argues, a business may be able to make itself enduringly valuable. The seven powers are: Scale Economies, Network Effects, Counter-Positioning, Switching Costs, Branding, Cornered Resources, and Process Power.\nHelmer outlines case studies of these moats represented by modern day enterprises. Pixar had the brain trust (Cornered Resource), Nike(NYSE:NKE)can charge more for a pair of shoes than competitors (Brand), and Netflix’s(NASDAQ:NFLX)content costs less to produce as it gains subscribers (Scale Economies). The most iconic companies in the world have two, maybe three moats.\nPalantir (PLTR) has all seven.\nI know that sounds crazy because Palantir went public nine months ago, and yes, it remains unprofitable. Yes, the stock based compensation is corpulent. Yes, revenue is concentrated and yes, valuation is optimistic. Yes to all of it.\nNo take backs. Palantir has seven moats. Let me show you.\nPalantir's Scale Economies\nThe quality of declining unit costs as volume increases\nPalantir’s sales cycles are perhaps the most misunderstood aspect of their business model. Naysayers argue Palantir is a services company. Bag holders who bought at $35/share argue Palantir is a SaaS company. They’re both right.\nGotham and Foundry drive high margin, recurring software contracts for government and commercial customers alike. Meanwhile, Palantir parachutes in technical consultants to expand and mature these contracts. Palantir describes this sales cycle as “Acquire, Expand, and Scale.”\nAcquire\nWhile Palantirisa software company, it stands quite apart from others who share this label. For example, there are some differences between selling a software like Zoom (ZM) to an enterprise, and selling Foundry. As of Q1 2021, Palantir reported $8.1 million in annual revenue per customer. This staggering product revenue belies the value of Palantir’s offerings, but also underscores the complexity of their sales cycle.\nIn Palantir’s S-1, Acquire customers are described as those enjoying short-term pilot deployments of Palantir’s technology. Palantir operates these accounts at a loss, and notes this selling phase generally lasts 6-9 months on average.\nExpand\nThe second phase, Expand, is characterized byvalue building.Palantir focuses on understanding the customer’s challenges and delivering against them. These are customers who provide larger revenue contracts to Palantir, but also generally represent negative contribution margins.\nI know, two stages in a row of unprofitable product delivery. However, this stage is marked by an almost viral expansion of Palantir’s personalized value creation, informed by 6 – 9 months of data ingestion and customer feedback during the Acquire phase. It is in this stage that Palantir’s offerings begin to merit the descriptorbespoke.\nExpand is fueled by CEO Alex Karp himself, who, prior to the pandemic, spent 250 days a year visiting clients in person. This is perhaps the most ineffaceable contribution of Karp; the CEO served as a salesforce for a company that never had one. Palantir’s customers are whales. Karp is Captain Ahab.\nScale\nThe word “scale” is used a full 44 times in thePalantir S-1, and Palantir defines Scale customers as those contributing mature contracts with a positive contribution margin. During Scale, we witness a reversal of Palantir’s unit economics. As customer accounts mature, Palantir’s investment costs decrease. Customers can now operate independently, building their own applications on top of Foundry or Gotham. This results in new use cases, less services fees, and a greater proportion of high-margin recurring revenue.\n\n It is in the Scale phase of our partnerships with customers that we generally see contribution margin on particular accounts improve. In 2019, we generated $565.7 million in revenue from customers in the Scale phase, with a contribution margin of 55%. In H1 2020, those same customers generated $296.3 million in revenue, with a contribution margin of 68%.\n\nSource:Palantir S-1\nAnd also:\n\nWe believe that all of our customers will move into the Scale phase over the long term.We also believe that contribution margin for Scale phase accounts will increase further as we become more efficient at deploying our software platforms across the entirety of our customers’ operations and at managing and operating our software…In H1 2020, the top 25% of customers by contribution margin in the Scale phase as of the end of 2019 had a\n contribution margin during the period of 89%.\n\nSource:Palantir S-1, emphasis mine\nFor those of you wringing your clammy hands over Palantir’s inability to turn a profit, take notice:Palantir has just begun to leverage this moat to drive astronomical contribution margins approaching 90%.As Palantir converts more customers from Expand to Scale, margins will improve, costs will depress, and revenue concentration will diversify. As Palantir optimizes and in some cases automates software deployment, I expect the Acquire and Expand cycles shorten, allowing this flywheel to spin faster.\nSource:Palantir Q4 2020 Business Update\nPalantir's Network effects\nThe product becomes more valuable as more customers use the product\nIn Palantir’s S-1, “Generate Network Effects,” is listed within the First Principles section. They go on to describe how Palantir’s software becomes more valuable to the customer as more employees use the product.\n\n At a financial services customer, network effects enabled our platforms to scale from a single use case to more than 70 workstreams across compliance, front office, risk, and internal audit desks.\n\n-Source:Palantir’s S-1\nImagine, for a moment, you are a sweater-vest wearing software engineer at Okland Bank, who just agreed to a Foundry pilot. As you sip your oat milk latte, you begin clicking through Foundry information dashboards, and slowly you explore and experiment with the Foundry platform. You realize you can run data-analytics on AI-infused applications, and begin identifying inefficiencies, which are shared with your team and supervisors (making you look quite brilliant).\nAs Foundry is used to identify optimization targets, developers begin building their own application layer on top of Foundry, which identifies new use cases and new applications, and new layers are added. Palantir’s network effects manifest as a digital opera cake; an indelible stack of use cases rising ever higher as utility begets utility. This is the second of Palantir’s moats.\nI believe there are sector-specific network effects in play as well. How much different would Palantir’s software deployment be for Boeing(NYSE:BA)as compared to current Palantir customer Airbus(OTCPK:EADSF)? Not much, I'd wager.\nThe Life Sciences sector, which Palantir identified as a major growth area moving forward is another example. Palantir revealed that a top 5 pharma company is using Foundry to integrate genotyping and lab data across thousands of clinical trials. This experience can be extended toanypharma company, and Palantir’s work with this customer allows foresight into the myriad use cases such companies would benefit from. Foresight here is not intangible; it results in accelerated product expansion at lower cost for each and every additional sector-specific customer who inks a deal with Palantir.\nThis moat is borne out in the numbers, as Palantir’s largest customers continue to expand and renew larger contracts.\nPalantir's Switching Costs\nCustomers would incur value loss if they switched to a different product supplier\nThis is perhaps the easiest moat to highlight for Palantir. If you understand machine learning at a basic level, you might intuit how a data analytics company like Palantir would have high Switching Costs.\nI believe there is apoint of no returnfor customers somewhere in the Expand phase of the sales cycle. At this point, Foundry use cases are multiplying, efficiencies are being realized, and the software is becoming less a service and more the central operating system of the enterprise. In a given organization, petabytes of data have been collated by Palantir and refined into actionable processes, and each day Foundry knows the organizational needs a little bit better. Remember, this is likely 18 months into a customer relationship, and Foundry has become an everyday analytics tool in the company workflow.\nI believe this is the point of no return, because the alternative here is unimaginable. First and foremost, who is this alternative software provider? Bueller? Even if there was a comparable service to Foundry, and there’s not, you would be starting entirely over again. Enterprises want to accelerate, no, hurtle towards a digital, AI-driven future. Try explaining to senior management we have to pull the plug 18 months in on Foundry because the price tag is too steep. You would have to go back to Day 0 with data collection, analysis and refining. It would be a duplication of effort, time and expense of the greatest scale. Somewhere in Expand you’re in too deep – if you turn off the lights, the ice cream melts.\nPalantir’s largest contracts have been customers of Palantir the longest. This is not coincidence. It is a moat, Palantir's third. Switching costs only increase as customers become deeper users of Palantir products.\nCommodity software services will never enjoy the strategic advantage Palantir owns. Would it really be that big of a deal if your company switched from Skype to Zoom?\nPalantir'sBranding\nThe durable attribution of higher value to an objectively identical offering that arises from historical information about the seller\nThe Branding moat is easier to understand in the context of basic consumer products, like Coca-Cola(NYSE:KO). I would probably pay double for a Coca-Cola than a Koka Kola, for example.\nMaking this comparison in data analytics software is challenged because I don’t believe there is an identical offering to Palantir. Hypothetically, however, let’s assume such a company exists.\nPalantir has built an iconic brand since its inception in 2003. Over the past 18 years, Palantir has been funded by the CIA, linked to the identification and killing of Osama Bin Laden, sued the U.S. Army and won, and has carefully curated a narrative of intrigue and ostensibly supernatural analytics capabilities. But this company image is not the Branding moat I aim to highlight here.\nThis is the publicly traded company theU.S. government hires to manage their nuclear program. This is the company the NHS hires to manage PPE inventory and vaccine rollout during the greatest public health crisis of our time. Over the past two decades, Palantir has a track record of coming through in the most extreme circumstances our country faces. To the U.S. government, I would argue, there is no software company that better epitomizes reliability and security than Palantir. That is an enduring brand.\nThe below press releases were announced over the past two monthsalone:\n\nCDC Renews Partnership with Palantir for Disease Monitoring and Outbreak Response\nPalantir Awarded $111m Contract to Provide Mission Command Platform for the United States Special Operations Command\nPalantir and Space Force Expand Partnership\n\nI don’t care how bearish you may be about Palantir’s valuation. There is no software company that has the brand value Palantir does with the U.S. government and her allies abroad. As Palantir expands into commercial vectors with clients evermore concerned about cybersecurity, and data fidelity… what competitor can point to the resume Palantir can? When the margin of error must be zero, and you are looking down the barrel of a no fail scenario, bet on Palantir.\nPalantir's Counter-Positioning\nA newcomer adopts a new, superior business model which the incumbent does not mimic due to anticipated damage to their existing business\nCounter-positioning is a unique moat, I think best represented by Square (SQ) in the digital wallet space. Incumbent banks have moved with all the intention of an ice floe to counter Square’s moves, partly due to regulation, partly due to underestimated competition, but mostly because offering digital wallet solutions could cannibalize banks’ core products. This is the Counter-Positioning moat.\nPalantir’s Counter-Positioning moat is perhaps less obvious. First off, who is the incumbent? Palantir’s technology is so disruptive, it can be challenging to construe a natural competitor.\nFor Gotham (Gov’t), the incumbentwasthe government; the U.S. Army, the DoD, the CIA, etc. Let’s wind back the clocks to 2015. The U.S. Army released a solicitation seeking bids to build the Distributed Common Ground System-Army (DCGS-A). This would be an integrated data analytics framework that could gather data from numerous sources, share data seamlessly across a suite of analytical tools and provide easy-to use visualization for soldiers in the field. Sound familiar? Sounds exactly like Palantir’s Gotham product to me.\nDCGS-A was actually an internal Army project over a decade in the making at a development cost of $3 Billion. Palantir entered into the bidding at a much lower cost, but the Army elected to continue its own internal development. Palantir ultimately filed a lawsuit against the Army, arguing that Gotham provided the exact services the Army was attempting to build, and at a fraction of the cost. In October of 2016, a federal judge ruled in favor of Palantir (§ 2377), and established the precedent that the government must procure commercial services and products to the maximum practical extent. This was appealed by the Army, but later held up in the U.S. Court of Appeals in 2018.\nSource:Palantir S-1 Filing\nPalantir’s landmark lawsuit against the Army surprisingly resulted in a deepening relationship with the U.S. Government. In the year following the lawsuit, Palantir’s Army revenue equaled the sum of the eleven preceding years.\nSimilar to incumbent banks, there is something about size that begets bureaucracy and inertia. The U.S. government, for all its influence and power, either chose to underinvest in data analytics, moved too slowly, or underestimated the pace of innovation in the private sector. It was probably some of each.\nThese same competitive issues are manifesting in the private sector. Massive enterprise software behemoths like Oracle (ORCL) and SAP (SAP) have spent the past decade building out sales teams for ‘good enough’ products. Meanwhile, Palantir has been obsessively proliferating and refining their offerings (more on this later) without a recognizable salesforce. Palantir’s entire focus over the past 18 years was engineering great product, and the incumbents are just now sensing the deep, almost planetary groan of enterprise software culture shifting, the jeremiad of an opportunity missed.\nPalantir is deepening its Counter-Positioning moat by investing in several young, disruptive companies in the data analytics space. In my prior Palantir article,Palantir’s SPACs: Do You See What Karp Sees?, I outlined Palantir’s investments in these companies as opportunities to expand market reach and build a valuable portfolio.\nI have since added another layer to this analysis. These investment companies are not just expanding Palantir’s market reach, they are lighthouses for Palantir’s products, emissaries that may evince the velocity Foundry contributes to product roadmap and go to market pace. By partnering with these companies, Palantir is cementing its technological leadership and demonstrating commitment to the innovative product DNA its reputation is built around.\nPalantir's Cornered Resources\nPreferential access at attractive terms to a coveted asset that can independently enhance value\nPalantir hoards two resources that confer a remarkable advantage over its competitors: technology and talent. I’m going to start with Thiel’s definition of technological advantage. It’s ambitious, but Palantir clears this bar.\n\n As a good rule of thumb, proprietary technology must be at least 10 times better than its closest substitute in some important dimension to lead to a real monopolistic advantage.”\n\n- Peter Thiel, Co-Founder & Chairman, Palantir,Zero to One\nTen times better. When the product offered is 10x better than the alternative, amazing things can happen. SpaceX’s (SPACE) rockets are 10x more efficient than NASA’s, meeting your next boyfriend is 10x easier on Bumble (BMBL) than it is in your local bar, and streaming Lord of the Rings on Netflix (NFLX) is 10x easier than driving to Best Buy (BBY) to wrangle up a set of DVDs.\nAlthough it’s early days, Palantir’s software already appears to be 10x better than competitors in several ways. In Q1 2021, for example, Gotham was used to enable all 11 DoD Combatant Commands to generate integrated strategic decision advantage from intelligence, operations, logistics and supply data. This capability otherwisenever existed. Palantir’s software is so advanced it continues to invent new use cases, which is a testament to the logarithmic improvement these offerings represent.\nSource:Palantir Q4 2020 Business Update\nAnd Palantir continues to out-innovate competitors. In Palantir’s Q4 2020 earning presentation, they provided an update on trajectory towards a DoD Impact Level 6 (IL-6) status. They are one of only four IL-5 companies (Mission Critical Information National Security Systems) in the world, and are targeting IL-6, which would make them the first SaaS for Classified Secret National Security Systems. For frame of reference, IL-2 companies include data analytics giants Snowflake (SNOW) and Google (GOOG).\nPalantir’s data are better because Palantir’s data quality is better. For as much import as we place on data volume in analytics, data quality is even more prized. Gotham has been humming in the mud, in space, and on the ocean floor more than a decade, informed by the harshest and most demanding scenarios. Gotham is battle tested enterprise software.\nPalantir’s second Cornered Resource is talent. Karp’s reported nose for and ability to seduce top engineering talent has resulted in a who’s who roster almost impossible to emulate.\nAs an investor, I am okay with Palantir bears doodling out their diluted cash flow models and how stock based compensation affects it. But these bears cannot in the same breath:\n\nComplain about Palantir’s SBC and--\nArgue Palantir does not have a moat of engineering talent\n\nPalantir is incentivizing engineering and product talent with SBC and an opportunity to change the world. If one NFL team had no salary cap, every position would be filled with the top player in The League. That is what Karp has done.\nPalantir's Process Power\nEmbedded company organization and activity sets enabling lower costs and/or superior product, and which can be matched only by an extended commitment\nProcess Power is Palantir's seventh, and final, moat. The most obvious examples are product deployment speed and the comprehensive nature of Palantir’s offerings.\n\n An energy supermajor deployed our ERP suite in hours. Within two weeks, they generated $57 million of cash savings and expect to generate $1 billion on an annualized basis.\n\n-Palantir Q3 2020 Business Update\nTraditional high touch software solutions offered by competitors are delivered in roadmap fashion, with an ultimate product delivery sometimes months or even years down the road. Palantir’s software can be deployed and benefits realized within hours.\nIn addition, there are no competitors that have the sweeping data analytics offerings Palantir does. This means customers who are not using Palantir are burdened with licensing fees from dozens of separate companies whose software oftentimes doesn’t communicate with each other.\nSource:The Generalist\nPalantir has built a full stack of data analytics applications and continues to do so as needed for clients. The resulting product offering is so compelling and so rapidly delivered that Palantir does not have any direct competitors. In the above chart, Palantir's 19 product applications are outlined, with brief descriptions and which competitors offer a comparable product. Notice that the next most comprehensive offering comes from Tableau, and has only four products overlapping with Palantir.\nSource: Me, with help from Palantir’s S-1 filing\nWhen I initially began writing notes about Palantir’s Process Power, features such as product deployment speed and their comprehensive nature were immediately apparent. However, the more I reflected on Palantir’s business model, the more I began to see a second moat, one that is wider and deeper.\nPerhaps Palantir’s greatest strategic advantage is that its products offer the Process Power moat to its customers.\nSaid another way, Foundry and Gotham allow customers to build their own Process Power moat. If you are a Fortune 100 company using Palantir, your lead over competitors widens as your supply chains achieve resonance, inefficiencies are trimmed and the product roadmap slope goes vertical. Palantir's software allows customers to look into the very seeing stone it was named for.\nPalantir recognized this moat, which is why they are investing aggressively in early data companies – so they might take share in rapidly growing businesses defended by Palantir’s moats.\nPalantir Final Thoughts\nI am fascinated with the concept of building a fortress-like business with the staying power of a dynasty. There are only a few companies that can boast Palantir’s mélange of seven powers, and none exist in the data analytics sector. Palantir’s Scale Economies, Network Effects, Branding, Counter-Positioning, Cornered Resources, and Process Power have set the stage for massive value creation for itself, its investors and its clients.\nOver the coming decades, these moats will pool and interact, driving an evergreen flywheel allowing Palantir to create a business that is, in the words of Helmer,enduringly valuable. Palantir is building a dynasty.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":625,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128539050,"gmtCreate":1624522653970,"gmtModify":1634004908330,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like my comment pls","listText":"Like my comment pls","text":"Like my comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128539050","repostId":"2145014410","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120287406,"gmtCreate":1624324887205,"gmtModify":1634007799613,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seriously&nbsp;","listText":"Seriously&nbsp;","text":"Seriously","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120287406","repostId":"1179311244","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179311244","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624274237,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179311244?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 19:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Global stocks slide after Wall Street frets about the Fed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179311244","media":"CNN Business","summary":"Hong Kong (CNN Business)Global stocks and cryptocurrencies are pulling back on Monday as investors c","content":"<p>Hong Kong (CNN Business)Global stocks and cryptocurrencies are pulling back on Monday as investors continue to weigh signals from the Federal Reserve that it could raise interest rates sooner than expected.</p>\n<p>Markets were broadly lower, with Japan's Nikkei 225 (N225) dropping more than 3% — easily the worst major performer — after Wall Street closed out its worst week in months on Friday with a 1.6% fall on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU).</p>\n<p>Hong Kong's Hang Seng (HSI) fell 1.1% and South Korea's Kospi (KOSPI) dropped 0.8%. China's Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) was the regional outlier in Asia, up 0.1%.</p>\n<p>The fallout spilled over into Europe, where London's FTSE 100 (UKX) dropped 0.1%. France's CAC 40 (CAC40) fell 0.2%, while Germany's DAX (DAX) was up 0.2%.</p>\n<p>The declines followed volatility in the United States on Friday, where the Dow's weak close left it 3.5% lower on the week, its worst pullback since late January. The S&amp;P 500 (SPX) lost 1.3% on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite (COMP) shed 0.9%.</p>\n<p>US futures were muted early Monday, experiencing little change.</p>\n<p>Wall Street was already having a rough week, but stocks slid even further on Friday after St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard told CNBC that he thinks the Fed should raise interest rates as soon as the end of next year. That was even more hawkish than the signal the Fed sent out on Wednesday that it may raise rates twice by late 2023.</p>\n<p>Wall Street is worried about inflation. But investors are also nervous about the Fed taking away the stimulus it is injecting into the market to counter the economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic.</p>\n<p>The crypto market is also struggling Monday, though it wasn't immediately apparent why. Bitcoin is down more than 6% in the last 24 hours, trading just above $33,000 per coin, according to CoinDesk. Ethereum fell more than 7%, while dogecoin plunged more than 8%.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Global stocks slide after Wall Street frets about the Fed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGlobal stocks slide after Wall Street frets about the Fed\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-21 19:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/21/investing/global-stocks-fed/index.html><strong>CNN Business</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Hong Kong (CNN Business)Global stocks and cryptocurrencies are pulling back on Monday as investors continue to weigh signals from the Federal Reserve that it could raise interest rates sooner than ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/21/investing/global-stocks-fed/index.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/21/investing/global-stocks-fed/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179311244","content_text":"Hong Kong (CNN Business)Global stocks and cryptocurrencies are pulling back on Monday as investors continue to weigh signals from the Federal Reserve that it could raise interest rates sooner than expected.\nMarkets were broadly lower, with Japan's Nikkei 225 (N225) dropping more than 3% — easily the worst major performer — after Wall Street closed out its worst week in months on Friday with a 1.6% fall on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU).\nHong Kong's Hang Seng (HSI) fell 1.1% and South Korea's Kospi (KOSPI) dropped 0.8%. China's Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) was the regional outlier in Asia, up 0.1%.\nThe fallout spilled over into Europe, where London's FTSE 100 (UKX) dropped 0.1%. France's CAC 40 (CAC40) fell 0.2%, while Germany's DAX (DAX) was up 0.2%.\nThe declines followed volatility in the United States on Friday, where the Dow's weak close left it 3.5% lower on the week, its worst pullback since late January. The S&P 500 (SPX) lost 1.3% on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite (COMP) shed 0.9%.\nUS futures were muted early Monday, experiencing little change.\nWall Street was already having a rough week, but stocks slid even further on Friday after St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard told CNBC that he thinks the Fed should raise interest rates as soon as the end of next year. That was even more hawkish than the signal the Fed sent out on Wednesday that it may raise rates twice by late 2023.\nWall Street is worried about inflation. But investors are also nervous about the Fed taking away the stimulus it is injecting into the market to counter the economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic.\nThe crypto market is also struggling Monday, though it wasn't immediately apparent why. Bitcoin is down more than 6% in the last 24 hours, trading just above $33,000 per coin, according to CoinDesk. Ethereum fell more than 7%, while dogecoin plunged more than 8%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":628,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162233166,"gmtCreate":1624064113355,"gmtModify":1634023390507,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes yes yes&nbsp;","listText":"Yes yes yes&nbsp;","text":"Yes yes yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162233166","repostId":"2144250776","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":426,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166612322,"gmtCreate":1624005826266,"gmtModify":1631885988441,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">$Workhorse(WKHS)$</a>Going strong","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">$Workhorse(WKHS)$</a>Going strong","text":"$Workhorse(WKHS)$Going strong","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c6a266a9786a4b36cc5fa0c71e5e04","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166612322","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":748,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166616267,"gmtCreate":1624005800259,"gmtModify":1634024229057,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like my comment pls&nbsp;","listText":"Like my comment pls&nbsp;","text":"Like my comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166616267","repostId":"2144005727","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":441,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166616896,"gmtCreate":1624005790215,"gmtModify":1634024229176,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow really&nbsp;","listText":"Wow really&nbsp;","text":"Wow really","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166616896","repostId":"2144005727","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166618458,"gmtCreate":1624005733074,"gmtModify":1631888350369,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cmon&nbsp;","listText":"Cmon&nbsp;","text":"Cmon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a08865c64b7df1f092197fcd55895d4","width":"1125","height":"2442"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166618458","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":844,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161694037,"gmtCreate":1623921054829,"gmtModify":1631885988479,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">$Workhorse(WKHS)$</a>Hehehehe","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">$Workhorse(WKHS)$</a>Hehehehe","text":"$Workhorse(WKHS)$Hehehehe","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/481454bc5b8c97c02f6a132cf781bc58","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161694037","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":891,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169139669,"gmtCreate":1623820595151,"gmtModify":1634027569692,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Cmon","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Cmon","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Cmon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de310297a5c474c5d28a4a6102076e11","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169139669","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169130410,"gmtCreate":1623820552730,"gmtModify":1634027570393,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Really","listText":"Really","text":"Really","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169130410","repostId":"1185142374","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185142374","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623811255,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185142374?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 10:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Should Talk About Tapering. Here’s What Could Happen to the Stock Market.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185142374","media":"Barrons","summary":"Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But ","content":"<p>Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But the central bank has limited margin for error, and any miscues on messaging could be costly to the stock market.</p>\n<p>Markets do not expect the Fed to make any sudden or drastic changes to its current easy-money policy. The 10-year Treasury bond’s yield has fallen to 1.51% from 1.64% a month ago, even as inflation has run hotter than expected. The Nasdaq 100, an index of large capitalization and fast-growing technology companies,is up more than 5% in the past month. Growth stocks see a significant valuation booster when long-dated bond yields remain low, as growth companies expect growing profits on a particularly long-term basis. But while&nbsp;investors expect the Fed to soon reduce the size of its bond-buying program, which would raise bond prices and lower their yields, most don’t think the Fed will do so immediately or drastically.</p>\n<p>“It’s pretty clear that the market expects Fed Chair Powell to strongly reiterate his stances,” writes Chris Senyek, chief investment strategist at Wolfe Research.</p>\n<p>Now, the Fed could stoke a harsh move downwards in tech stocks if it doesn’t choose its words wisely. With the Nasdaq 100 hovering just below a new all-time high set on June 14—accompanied with a 10-year Treasury bond yield that’s well below its 2021 peak of 1.75%—tech stocks are vulnerable to a downward jolt if the Fed misspeaks. Senyek notes that the Fed may indeed be more ready to taper—or reduce the size of its bond-buying program—than some appreciate. He cites the&nbsp;recently hot inflation. To be sure, most market participants see&nbsp;inflation as transitory, a result of a natural year-over-year bounce from low prices during last year’s lockdown. Even so, if the Fed speaks in a way that indicates it will begin tapering before the end of the year—which is the expected timing—stocks could fall sharply.</p>\n<p>“With both stocks and bonds currently ‘priced for perfection,’ the slightest miscommunication could spark a sharp selloff,” says Senyek, who cites the Nasdsaq 100’s recent rise.</p>\n<p>Watch to see if the Fed is about to begin tapering, or is merely considering the move in the coming quarters.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Should Talk About Tapering. Here’s What Could Happen to the Stock Market.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Should Talk About Tapering. Here’s What Could Happen to the Stock Market.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 10:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-fed-tapering-stock-market-51623777984?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But the central bank has limited margin for error, and any miscues on messaging could be costly to the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-fed-tapering-stock-market-51623777984?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-fed-tapering-stock-market-51623777984?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185142374","content_text":"Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But the central bank has limited margin for error, and any miscues on messaging could be costly to the stock market.\nMarkets do not expect the Fed to make any sudden or drastic changes to its current easy-money policy. The 10-year Treasury bond’s yield has fallen to 1.51% from 1.64% a month ago, even as inflation has run hotter than expected. The Nasdaq 100, an index of large capitalization and fast-growing technology companies,is up more than 5% in the past month. Growth stocks see a significant valuation booster when long-dated bond yields remain low, as growth companies expect growing profits on a particularly long-term basis. But while investors expect the Fed to soon reduce the size of its bond-buying program, which would raise bond prices and lower their yields, most don’t think the Fed will do so immediately or drastically.\n“It’s pretty clear that the market expects Fed Chair Powell to strongly reiterate his stances,” writes Chris Senyek, chief investment strategist at Wolfe Research.\nNow, the Fed could stoke a harsh move downwards in tech stocks if it doesn’t choose its words wisely. With the Nasdaq 100 hovering just below a new all-time high set on June 14—accompanied with a 10-year Treasury bond yield that’s well below its 2021 peak of 1.75%—tech stocks are vulnerable to a downward jolt if the Fed misspeaks. Senyek notes that the Fed may indeed be more ready to taper—or reduce the size of its bond-buying program—than some appreciate. He cites the recently hot inflation. To be sure, most market participants see inflation as transitory, a result of a natural year-over-year bounce from low prices during last year’s lockdown. Even so, if the Fed speaks in a way that indicates it will begin tapering before the end of the year—which is the expected timing—stocks could fall sharply.\n“With both stocks and bonds currently ‘priced for perfection,’ the slightest miscommunication could spark a sharp selloff,” says Senyek, who cites the Nasdsaq 100’s recent rise.\nWatch to see if the Fed is about to begin tapering, or is merely considering the move in the coming 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11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zillow: Significant Downside Remains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120164826","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was publishe","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>\n <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>\n <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>\n <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>The&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;(ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p>\n<p><b>Investment Rationale</b></p>\n<p>Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p>\n<p>Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p>\n<p>But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p>\n<p>When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p>\n<p>However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Q1 Earnings</b></p>\n<p>Zillow released its&nbsp;Q1 EPS report&nbsp;on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share&nbsp;beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p>\n<p>The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p>\n<p>However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p>\n<p>As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p>\n<p><b>Going Forward</b></p>\n<p>The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p>\n<p>At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that&nbsp;<b>will be down considerably</b>&nbsp;from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p>\n<p>In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the&nbsp;SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p>\n<p>Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March&nbsp;<i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The&nbsp;Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p>\n<p>That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering&nbsp;<b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p>\n<p>Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p>\n<p>The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p>\n<p>That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p>\n<p><b>Summary &amp; Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p>\n<p>I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zillow: Significant Downside Remains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZillow: Significant Downside Remains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-06 11:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"Z":"Zillow"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120164826","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.\nThat is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.\nYet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.\n\nPhoto by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe Zillow Group (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.\nInvestment Rationale\nLike many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.\nIndeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:\nSource:Statista\nBut of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:\nSource:SimilarWeb.com\nWhen it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.\nHowever, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.\nQ1 Earnings\nZillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).\nThe most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.\nHowever, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:\nSource: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report\nAs can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?\nGoing Forward\nThe chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:\nSource: Zillow's Q1 EPS report\nAt the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that will be down considerably from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.\nIn addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).\nValuation\nSo we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.\nYet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March Zillow: Take Profits), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.\nThat is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.\nMeantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.\nRisks\nThe risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.\nThe goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.\nThat compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.\nSummary & Conclusion\nWhile Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.\nI will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.\nData byYCharts","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":88,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159846714,"gmtCreate":1624958222638,"gmtModify":1633946528110,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hehe","listText":"Hehe","text":"Hehe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159846714","repostId":"1115559324","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":625,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166616267,"gmtCreate":1624005800259,"gmtModify":1634024229057,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like my comment pls&nbsp;","listText":"Like my comment pls&nbsp;","text":"Like my comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166616267","repostId":"2144005727","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":441,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185118728,"gmtCreate":1623636356664,"gmtModify":1634030864454,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Pls pls pls&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Pls pls pls&nbsp;","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Pls pls pls","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89449fba69908fbfe963eeb14f6bc41d","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185118728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189577611,"gmtCreate":1623283715333,"gmtModify":1634035050943,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Diamond hands","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Diamond hands","text":"$Palantir 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Technology Acquisition Corp(APXT)$💎💎💎💎","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35410662fab28abbc06fb8d01a57c29a","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368747340","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128539050,"gmtCreate":1624522653970,"gmtModify":1634004908330,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like my comment pls","listText":"Like my comment pls","text":"Like my comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128539050","repostId":"2145014410","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120287406,"gmtCreate":1624324887205,"gmtModify":1634007799613,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seriously&nbsp;","listText":"Seriously&nbsp;","text":"Seriously","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120287406","repostId":"1179311244","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179311244","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624274237,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179311244?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 19:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Global stocks slide after Wall Street frets about the Fed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179311244","media":"CNN Business","summary":"Hong Kong (CNN Business)Global stocks and cryptocurrencies are pulling back on Monday as investors c","content":"<p>Hong Kong (CNN Business)Global stocks and cryptocurrencies are pulling back on Monday as investors continue to weigh signals from the Federal Reserve that it could raise interest rates sooner than expected.</p>\n<p>Markets were broadly lower, with Japan's Nikkei 225 (N225) dropping more than 3% — easily the worst major performer — after Wall Street closed out its worst week in months on Friday with a 1.6% fall on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU).</p>\n<p>Hong Kong's Hang Seng (HSI) fell 1.1% and South Korea's Kospi (KOSPI) dropped 0.8%. China's Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) was the regional outlier in Asia, up 0.1%.</p>\n<p>The fallout spilled over into Europe, where London's FTSE 100 (UKX) dropped 0.1%. France's CAC 40 (CAC40) fell 0.2%, while Germany's DAX (DAX) was up 0.2%.</p>\n<p>The declines followed volatility in the United States on Friday, where the Dow's weak close left it 3.5% lower on the week, its worst pullback since late January. The S&amp;P 500 (SPX) lost 1.3% on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite (COMP) shed 0.9%.</p>\n<p>US futures were muted early Monday, experiencing little change.</p>\n<p>Wall Street was already having a rough week, but stocks slid even further on Friday after St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard told CNBC that he thinks the Fed should raise interest rates as soon as the end of next year. That was even more hawkish than the signal the Fed sent out on Wednesday that it may raise rates twice by late 2023.</p>\n<p>Wall Street is worried about inflation. But investors are also nervous about the Fed taking away the stimulus it is injecting into the market to counter the economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic.</p>\n<p>The crypto market is also struggling Monday, though it wasn't immediately apparent why. Bitcoin is down more than 6% in the last 24 hours, trading just above $33,000 per coin, according to CoinDesk. Ethereum fell more than 7%, while dogecoin plunged more than 8%.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Global stocks slide after Wall Street frets about the Fed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGlobal stocks slide after Wall Street frets about the Fed\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-21 19:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/21/investing/global-stocks-fed/index.html><strong>CNN Business</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Hong Kong (CNN Business)Global stocks and cryptocurrencies are pulling back on Monday as investors continue to weigh signals from the Federal Reserve that it could raise interest rates sooner than ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/21/investing/global-stocks-fed/index.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/21/investing/global-stocks-fed/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179311244","content_text":"Hong Kong (CNN Business)Global stocks and cryptocurrencies are pulling back on Monday as investors continue to weigh signals from the Federal Reserve that it could raise interest rates sooner than expected.\nMarkets were broadly lower, with Japan's Nikkei 225 (N225) dropping more than 3% — easily the worst major performer — after Wall Street closed out its worst week in months on Friday with a 1.6% fall on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU).\nHong Kong's Hang Seng (HSI) fell 1.1% and South Korea's Kospi (KOSPI) dropped 0.8%. China's Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) was the regional outlier in Asia, up 0.1%.\nThe fallout spilled over into Europe, where London's FTSE 100 (UKX) dropped 0.1%. France's CAC 40 (CAC40) fell 0.2%, while Germany's DAX (DAX) was up 0.2%.\nThe declines followed volatility in the United States on Friday, where the Dow's weak close left it 3.5% lower on the week, its worst pullback since late January. The S&P 500 (SPX) lost 1.3% on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite (COMP) shed 0.9%.\nUS futures were muted early Monday, experiencing little change.\nWall Street was already having a rough week, but stocks slid even further on Friday after St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard told CNBC that he thinks the Fed should raise interest rates as soon as the end of next year. That was even more hawkish than the signal the Fed sent out on Wednesday that it may raise rates twice by late 2023.\nWall Street is worried about inflation. But investors are also nervous about the Fed taking away the stimulus it is injecting into the market to counter the economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic.\nThe crypto market is also struggling Monday, though it wasn't immediately apparent why. Bitcoin is down more than 6% in the last 24 hours, trading just above $33,000 per coin, according to CoinDesk. Ethereum fell more than 7%, while dogecoin plunged more than 8%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":628,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162233166,"gmtCreate":1624064113355,"gmtModify":1634023390507,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes yes yes&nbsp;","listText":"Yes yes yes&nbsp;","text":"Yes yes yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162233166","repostId":"2144250776","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":426,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166618458,"gmtCreate":1624005733074,"gmtModify":1631888350369,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cmon&nbsp;","listText":"Cmon&nbsp;","text":"Cmon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a08865c64b7df1f092197fcd55895d4","width":"1125","height":"2442"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166618458","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":844,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169139669,"gmtCreate":1623820595151,"gmtModify":1634027569692,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Cmon","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Cmon","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Cmon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de310297a5c474c5d28a4a6102076e11","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169139669","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169130410,"gmtCreate":1623820552730,"gmtModify":1634027570393,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Really","listText":"Really","text":"Really","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169130410","repostId":"1185142374","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185142374","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623811255,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185142374?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 10:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Should Talk About Tapering. Here’s What Could Happen to the Stock Market.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185142374","media":"Barrons","summary":"Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But ","content":"<p>Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But the central bank has limited margin for error, and any miscues on messaging could be costly to the stock market.</p>\n<p>Markets do not expect the Fed to make any sudden or drastic changes to its current easy-money policy. The 10-year Treasury bond’s yield has fallen to 1.51% from 1.64% a month ago, even as inflation has run hotter than expected. The Nasdaq 100, an index of large capitalization and fast-growing technology companies,is up more than 5% in the past month. Growth stocks see a significant valuation booster when long-dated bond yields remain low, as growth companies expect growing profits on a particularly long-term basis. But while&nbsp;investors expect the Fed to soon reduce the size of its bond-buying program, which would raise bond prices and lower their yields, most don’t think the Fed will do so immediately or drastically.</p>\n<p>“It’s pretty clear that the market expects Fed Chair Powell to strongly reiterate his stances,” writes Chris Senyek, chief investment strategist at Wolfe Research.</p>\n<p>Now, the Fed could stoke a harsh move downwards in tech stocks if it doesn’t choose its words wisely. With the Nasdaq 100 hovering just below a new all-time high set on June 14—accompanied with a 10-year Treasury bond yield that’s well below its 2021 peak of 1.75%—tech stocks are vulnerable to a downward jolt if the Fed misspeaks. Senyek notes that the Fed may indeed be more ready to taper—or reduce the size of its bond-buying program—than some appreciate. He cites the&nbsp;recently hot inflation. To be sure, most market participants see&nbsp;inflation as transitory, a result of a natural year-over-year bounce from low prices during last year’s lockdown. Even so, if the Fed speaks in a way that indicates it will begin tapering before the end of the year—which is the expected timing—stocks could fall sharply.</p>\n<p>“With both stocks and bonds currently ‘priced for perfection,’ the slightest miscommunication could spark a sharp selloff,” says Senyek, who cites the Nasdsaq 100’s recent rise.</p>\n<p>Watch to see if the Fed is about to begin tapering, or is merely considering the move in the coming quarters.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Should Talk About Tapering. Here’s What Could Happen to the Stock Market.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Should Talk About Tapering. Here’s What Could Happen to the Stock Market.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 10:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-fed-tapering-stock-market-51623777984?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But the central bank has limited margin for error, and any miscues on messaging could be costly to the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-fed-tapering-stock-market-51623777984?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-fed-tapering-stock-market-51623777984?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185142374","content_text":"Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But the central bank has limited margin for error, and any miscues on messaging could be costly to the stock market.\nMarkets do not expect the Fed to make any sudden or drastic changes to its current easy-money policy. The 10-year Treasury bond’s yield has fallen to 1.51% from 1.64% a month ago, even as inflation has run hotter than expected. The Nasdaq 100, an index of large capitalization and fast-growing technology companies,is up more than 5% in the past month. Growth stocks see a significant valuation booster when long-dated bond yields remain low, as growth companies expect growing profits on a particularly long-term basis. But while investors expect the Fed to soon reduce the size of its bond-buying program, which would raise bond prices and lower their yields, most don’t think the Fed will do so immediately or drastically.\n“It’s pretty clear that the market expects Fed Chair Powell to strongly reiterate his stances,” writes Chris Senyek, chief investment strategist at Wolfe Research.\nNow, the Fed could stoke a harsh move downwards in tech stocks if it doesn’t choose its words wisely. With the Nasdaq 100 hovering just below a new all-time high set on June 14—accompanied with a 10-year Treasury bond yield that’s well below its 2021 peak of 1.75%—tech stocks are vulnerable to a downward jolt if the Fed misspeaks. Senyek notes that the Fed may indeed be more ready to taper—or reduce the size of its bond-buying program—than some appreciate. He cites the recently hot inflation. To be sure, most market participants see inflation as transitory, a result of a natural year-over-year bounce from low prices during last year’s lockdown. Even so, if the Fed speaks in a way that indicates it will begin tapering before the end of the year—which is the expected timing—stocks could fall sharply.\n“With both stocks and bonds currently ‘priced for perfection,’ the slightest miscommunication could spark a sharp selloff,” says Senyek, who cites the Nasdsaq 100’s recent rise.\nWatch to see if the Fed is about to begin tapering, or is merely considering the move in the coming quarters.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169130208,"gmtCreate":1623820535904,"gmtModify":1634027570515,"author":{"id":"3566777210018518","authorId":"3566777210018518","name":"Jordlee88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6fd82d565980c00d01a02b919bb70e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566777210018518","authorIdStr":"3566777210018518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting","listText":"Interesting","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169130208","repostId":"1182315358","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}