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traderbob

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2021-03-02

Nice

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2021-03-23

Pls rocket

'Stimmy' Checks And The Stock Market: Will The Retail Trading Frenzy Continue?<blockquote>“刺激”支票和股市：散户交易狂潮会持续吗？</blockquote>

2021-06-28

🙂

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2021-04-28

Comment pls

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2021-08-02

Cool

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2021-07-27

Moon?

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2021-06-01

Cool

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2021-04-26

Nice

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2021-08-06

Cool

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2021-07-21

Lol

AMC Smokes Shorts Again: What's Next?<blockquote>AMC再次抽短裤：下一步是什么？</blockquote>

2021-06-29

Cool

Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo Doubled Their Dividends. What It Means for Their Stocks.<blockquote>摩根士丹利和富国银行将股息增加了一倍。这对他们的股票意味着什么。</blockquote>

2021-06-26

Cool

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2021-03-21

Let's go

Powell says Fed will keep supporting economy ‘for as long as it takes’<blockquote>鲍威尔表示美联储将“只要需要”继续支持经济</blockquote>

2021-07-13

Nic e

Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数首次收于35,000点，但所有3个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创下历史新高</blockquote>

2021-06-23

Nice

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2021-03-14

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$to the moon

2021-08-04

Nice

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2021-08-01

Cool

Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>

2021-07-17

Nice

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2021-07-03

Nice

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11:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142925544","media":"Barron's","summary":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970","content":"<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-01 11:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142925544","content_text":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.\nBut the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.\nAugust actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.\nThis July did even better than the norm, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.\nAugust’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”\nNot surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.\nPast isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.\nThe company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.\nAmong those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.\nTo be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.\nBut in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”\nHow those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.\nEconomists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.\nMarkowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1236,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801794469,"gmtCreate":1627533156951,"gmtModify":1631884320289,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope it is good","listText":"Hope it is good","text":"Hope it is good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801794469","repostId":"1114682225","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114682225","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627528457,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114682225?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-29 11:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Q2 FY2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>亚马逊2021财年第二季度收益报告预览：寻找什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114682225","media":"investopedia","summary":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nAnalysts estimate EPS of $12.47 vs. $10.30 in Q2 FY 2020.\nAWS revenue is expected to ","content":"<p><b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysts estimate EPS of $12.47 vs. $10.30 in Q2 FY 2020.</li>  <li>AWS revenue is expected to rise at healthy pace YOY.</li>  <li>Companywide revenue is expected to rise, but at a slower pace than recent quarters as analysts watch for the pandemic-induced boom in online shopping to slow.</li> </ul> Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) has seen its earnings and revenue balloon amid the shift to online commerce and cloud computing triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. Now, Amazon is facing perhaps the biggest management transition in the company's 27-year history. The second quarter was the final period with founder Jeff Bezos at the helm. In his place, Amazon veteran Andy Jassy, who helped build the giant cloud services business, will lead the company's growth as the new chief executive officer (CEO). Bezos stepped down on July 5.1</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师预计2020财年第二季度每股收益为12.47美元，而2020财年第二季度每股收益为10.30美元。</li><li>AWS收入预计将同比健康增长。</li><li>预计全公司收入将增长，但增速将低于最近几个季度，因为分析师预计大流行引发的在线购物热潮将放缓。</li></ul>随着COVID-19大流行引发向在线商务和云计算的转变，亚马逊公司(AMZN)的盈利和收入激增。现在，亚马逊正面临着可能是该公司27年历史上最大的管理层换届。第二季度是创始人杰夫·贝索斯掌舵的最后一个时期。接替他的是帮助建立庞大云服务业务的亚马逊资深人士安迪·贾西(Andy Jassy)，他将作为新任首席执行官(CEO)领导公司的发展。贝佐斯7月5日卸任.1</blockquote></p><p> Investors will be closely watching Amazon's financial performance, and Jassy's plans for future growth, when the company reports earnings on July 29, 2021 for Q2 FY 2021.2Analysts expect both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue to rise, but at a much slower pace than in recent quarters.3</p><p><blockquote>投资者将密切关注亚马逊的财务业绩以及Jassy对未来增长的计划，届时该公司将于2021年7月29日公布2021.2财年第二季度的收益。分析师预计每股收益(EPS)和收入都将增长，但速度要慢得多与最近几个季度相比。3</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also be focusing on revenue generated by Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company's high-margincloud computingbusiness. AWS still comprises a relatively small share of the company's overall revenue, but it generates the majority of Amazon's operating income. Analysts are expecting AWS revenue growth to slow slightly in the second quarter.3</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注亚马逊网络服务（AWS）产生的收入，该公司的高利润云计算业务。AWS在公司总收入中所占份额仍然相对较小，但它创造了亚马逊的大部分营业收入。分析师预计AWS第二季度收入增长将略有放缓。3</blockquote></p><p> Amazon's shares have underperformed the broader market over the past year. The stock had been keeping pace with the market from the end of July 2020 until early November 2020. It then started to lag. But the stock has begun to narrow its performance gap with the market since early June 2021. Shares of Amazon have provided a total return of 18.7% over the past year, below the S&amp;P 500's total return of 35.9%.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，亚马逊股价表现逊于大盘。从2020年7月底到2020年11月初，该股一直与市场同步。然后它开始滞后。但自2021年6月初以来，该股已开始缩小与市场的业绩差距。过去一年，亚马逊股票的总回报率为18.7%，低于标普500 35.9%的总回报率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7efc7554eea9b91f01379acc5abc25d2\" tg-width=\"1772\" tg-height=\"677\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TradingView.Amazon Earnings History</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView.Amazon盈利历史</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock tumbled in the days following the release of Amazon'sQ1 FY 2021earnings report in late April despite dramatically beating analysts' consensus estimates. It continued to sink until around mid-May. EPS rose 215.2%, bouncing back after declining 29.4% in the year-ago quarter. Revenue grew 43.8% year over year (YOY), marking the fastest pace of growth in at least 15 quarters.3</p><p><blockquote>尽管大大超出了分析师的普遍预期，但亚马逊于4月底发布2021财年第一季度收益报告后的几天内，该股仍暴跌。一直持续下沉到5月中旬左右。每股收益增长215.2%，继去年同期下降29.4%后反弹。收入同比增长43.8%，创下至少15个季度以来的最快增长速度。3</blockquote></p><p> InQ4 FY 2020, Amazon crushed analysts' earnings expectations. EPS rose 117.7% compared to the year-ago quarter, marking the second fastest pace of growth since Q3 FY 2018. Revenue expanded 43.6% YOY, accelerating from Q3's pace of 37.4%.3The company announced in its fourth quarter earnings release that Jassy would be taking over the role of CEO from Bezos beginning in the third quarter of FY 2021. \"Right now I see Amazon at its most inventive ever, making it an optimal time for this transition,\" said Bezos.4</p><p><blockquote>2020财年第四季度，亚马逊超出了分析师的盈利预期。每股收益较去年同期增长117.7%，创2018财年第三季度以来第二快增速。收入同比增长43.6%，较第三季度的37.4%有所加快。3该公司在第四季度财报中宣布，贾西将从2021财年第三季度开始接替贝佐斯担任首席执行官。贝佐斯说：“现在，我认为亚马逊正处于有史以来最具创造力的阶段，这是实现这一转变的最佳时机。”</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect Amazon to post another quarter of healthy earnings and revenue growth in Q2 FY 2021. EPS is expected to rise 21.0% as revenue grows 29.8% compared to the year-ago quarter. It would be the slowest pace of growth for both the top and bottom lines since Q1 FY 2020. For full-year FY 2021, analysts expect EPS to rise 35.9% while annual revenue expands 27.1%, slowing from last year's pace.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计亚马逊将在2021财年第二季度实现又一个季度的盈利和收入健康增长。每股收益预计将增长21.0%，收入将比去年同期增长29.8%。这将是自2020财年第一季度以来营收和利润的最慢增长速度。分析师预计2021财年全年每股收益将增长35.9%，而年收入将增长27.1%，较去年有所放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon Key Stats</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊关键统计数据</b></blockquote></p><p> <table></table> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Estimate for Q2 2021 (FY)</td>    <td>Q2 2020 (FY)</td>    <td>Q2 2019 (FY)</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share ($)</td>    <td>$12.47</td>    <td>$10.30</td>    <td>$5.22</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue ($B)</td>    <td>$115.4</td>    <td>$88.9</td>    <td>$63.4</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>AWS Revenue ($B)</td>    <td>$14.2</td>    <td>$10.8</td>    <td>$8.4</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>The Key Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><table></table><table><tbody><tr><td>2021年第二季度（财年）预估</td><td>2020年第二季度（财年）</td><td>2019年第二季度（财年）</td></tr><tr><td>每股收益（美元）</td><td>$12.47</td><td>$10.30</td><td>$5.22</td></tr><tr><td>收入($B)</td><td>$115.4</td><td>$88.9</td><td>$63.4</td></tr><tr><td>AWS收入($B)</td><td>$14.2</td><td>$10.8</td><td>$8.4</td></tr></tbody></table><b>关键指标</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As mentioned above, investors will also be focused on revenue generated by AWS, Amazon's cloud-computing platform. AWS offers developers a range of on-demand technology services, such as compute, storage, database, analytics, machine learning, and other services.5These services are primarily used by start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company's AWS business generates much higher margins than itse-commercebusiness. In FY 2020,Amazon'sglobal retail sales- and subscription-based business segments generated about 88% of the company's total revenue while AWS accounted for a mere 12%. However, AWS accounted for 59% of total operating income for the year, making it Amazon's main profit generator.6But investors won't want to ignore results for Amazon's e-commerce business, which has greatly expanded throughout the pandemic. Investors will want to see how much of the company's additional e-commerce sales generated during the pandemic will persist as more traditional brick-and-mortar shops begin to reopen again.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，投资者还将关注亚马逊云计算平台AWS产生的收入。AWS为开发人员提供一系列按需技术服务，例如计算、存储、数据库、分析、机器学习和其他服务。5这些服务主要由初创企业、企业、政府机构和学术机构使用。该公司的AWS业务产生的利润率远高于其商业业务。2020财年，亚马逊的全球零售和订阅业务部门约占公司总收入的88%，而AWS仅占12%。然而，AWS占当年总营业收入的59%，使其成为亚马逊的主要利润来源。6但投资者不想忽视亚马逊电子商务业务的业绩，该业务在整个大流行期间大幅扩张。投资者希望看到，随着更多传统实体店开始重新开业，该公司在疫情期间产生的额外电子商务销售额中有多少将持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> Growth in AWS revenue has consistently slowed over the past five years, despite a brief acceleration in FY 2018. In FY 2015, annual AWS revenue grew 69.7%. Last year, revenue for Amazon's cloud segment grew at a healthy, but slower, 29.5% pace. In each of the last three quarters of FY 2020, growth in AWS revenue ranged between 28-29% YOY. In Q1 FY 2021, growth accelerated to a pace of 32.1%. At the end of the first quarter, AWS led the $150-billion global cloud market with a 32% share, well ahead of both Microsoft Corp.'s (MSFT) Azure and Alphabet Inc.'s (GOOGL) Google Cloud.7Analysts expect AWS revenue to increase 31.2% in Q2 FY 2021, slightly slower than the previous quarter's pace. For full-year FY 2021, AWS revenue is expected to rise 30.3%, slightly faster than last year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管在2018财年短暂加速，但AWS收入增长在过去五年中持续放缓。2015财年，AWS年收入增长了69.7%。去年，亚马逊云部门的收入以29.5%的速度健康增长，但速度较慢。2020财年最后三个季度，AWS收入同比增长在28-29%之间。2021财年第一季度，增长加速至32.1%。截至第一季度末，AWS以32%的份额引领着价值1500亿美元的全球云市场，远远领先于微软公司(MSFT)的Azure和Alphabet公司(GOOGL)的Google Cloud.7分析师预计2021财年第二季度AWS收入将增长31.2%，略低于上一季度的增速。2021财年全年，AWS收入预计将增长30.3%，略快于去年。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Q2 FY2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>亚马逊2021财年第二季度收益报告预览：寻找什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Q2 FY2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>亚马逊2021财年第二季度收益报告预览：寻找什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investopedia</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-29 11:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysts estimate EPS of $12.47 vs. $10.30 in Q2 FY 2020.</li>  <li>AWS revenue is expected to rise at healthy pace YOY.</li>  <li>Companywide revenue is expected to rise, but at a slower pace than recent quarters as analysts watch for the pandemic-induced boom in online shopping to slow.</li> </ul> Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) has seen its earnings and revenue balloon amid the shift to online commerce and cloud computing triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. Now, Amazon is facing perhaps the biggest management transition in the company's 27-year history. The second quarter was the final period with founder Jeff Bezos at the helm. In his place, Amazon veteran Andy Jassy, who helped build the giant cloud services business, will lead the company's growth as the new chief executive officer (CEO). Bezos stepped down on July 5.1</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师预计2020财年第二季度每股收益为12.47美元，而2020财年第二季度每股收益为10.30美元。</li><li>AWS收入预计将同比健康增长。</li><li>预计全公司收入将增长，但增速将低于最近几个季度，因为分析师预计大流行引发的在线购物热潮将放缓。</li></ul>随着COVID-19大流行引发向在线商务和云计算的转变，亚马逊公司(AMZN)的盈利和收入激增。现在，亚马逊正面临着可能是该公司27年历史上最大的管理层换届。第二季度是创始人杰夫·贝索斯掌舵的最后一个时期。接替他的是帮助建立庞大云服务业务的亚马逊资深人士安迪·贾西(Andy Jassy)，他将作为新任首席执行官(CEO)领导公司的发展。贝佐斯7月5日卸任.1</blockquote></p><p> Investors will be closely watching Amazon's financial performance, and Jassy's plans for future growth, when the company reports earnings on July 29, 2021 for Q2 FY 2021.2Analysts expect both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue to rise, but at a much slower pace than in recent quarters.3</p><p><blockquote>投资者将密切关注亚马逊的财务业绩以及Jassy对未来增长的计划，届时该公司将于2021年7月29日公布2021.2财年第二季度的收益。分析师预计每股收益(EPS)和收入都将增长，但速度要慢得多与最近几个季度相比。3</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also be focusing on revenue generated by Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company's high-margincloud computingbusiness. AWS still comprises a relatively small share of the company's overall revenue, but it generates the majority of Amazon's operating income. Analysts are expecting AWS revenue growth to slow slightly in the second quarter.3</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注亚马逊网络服务（AWS）产生的收入，该公司的高利润云计算业务。AWS在公司总收入中所占份额仍然相对较小，但它创造了亚马逊的大部分营业收入。分析师预计AWS第二季度收入增长将略有放缓。3</blockquote></p><p> Amazon's shares have underperformed the broader market over the past year. The stock had been keeping pace with the market from the end of July 2020 until early November 2020. It then started to lag. But the stock has begun to narrow its performance gap with the market since early June 2021. Shares of Amazon have provided a total return of 18.7% over the past year, below the S&amp;P 500's total return of 35.9%.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，亚马逊股价表现逊于大盘。从2020年7月底到2020年11月初，该股一直与市场同步。然后它开始滞后。但自2021年6月初以来，该股已开始缩小与市场的业绩差距。过去一年，亚马逊股票的总回报率为18.7%，低于标普500 35.9%的总回报率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7efc7554eea9b91f01379acc5abc25d2\" tg-width=\"1772\" tg-height=\"677\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TradingView.Amazon Earnings History</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView.Amazon盈利历史</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock tumbled in the days following the release of Amazon'sQ1 FY 2021earnings report in late April despite dramatically beating analysts' consensus estimates. It continued to sink until around mid-May. EPS rose 215.2%, bouncing back after declining 29.4% in the year-ago quarter. Revenue grew 43.8% year over year (YOY), marking the fastest pace of growth in at least 15 quarters.3</p><p><blockquote>尽管大大超出了分析师的普遍预期，但亚马逊于4月底发布2021财年第一季度收益报告后的几天内，该股仍暴跌。一直持续下沉到5月中旬左右。每股收益增长215.2%，继去年同期下降29.4%后反弹。收入同比增长43.8%，创下至少15个季度以来的最快增长速度。3</blockquote></p><p> InQ4 FY 2020, Amazon crushed analysts' earnings expectations. EPS rose 117.7% compared to the year-ago quarter, marking the second fastest pace of growth since Q3 FY 2018. Revenue expanded 43.6% YOY, accelerating from Q3's pace of 37.4%.3The company announced in its fourth quarter earnings release that Jassy would be taking over the role of CEO from Bezos beginning in the third quarter of FY 2021. \"Right now I see Amazon at its most inventive ever, making it an optimal time for this transition,\" said Bezos.4</p><p><blockquote>2020财年第四季度，亚马逊超出了分析师的盈利预期。每股收益较去年同期增长117.7%，创2018财年第三季度以来第二快增速。收入同比增长43.6%，较第三季度的37.4%有所加快。3该公司在第四季度财报中宣布，贾西将从2021财年第三季度开始接替贝佐斯担任首席执行官。贝佐斯说：“现在，我认为亚马逊正处于有史以来最具创造力的阶段，这是实现这一转变的最佳时机。”</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect Amazon to post another quarter of healthy earnings and revenue growth in Q2 FY 2021. EPS is expected to rise 21.0% as revenue grows 29.8% compared to the year-ago quarter. It would be the slowest pace of growth for both the top and bottom lines since Q1 FY 2020. For full-year FY 2021, analysts expect EPS to rise 35.9% while annual revenue expands 27.1%, slowing from last year's pace.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计亚马逊将在2021财年第二季度实现又一个季度的盈利和收入健康增长。每股收益预计将增长21.0%，收入将比去年同期增长29.8%。这将是自2020财年第一季度以来营收和利润的最慢增长速度。分析师预计2021财年全年每股收益将增长35.9%，而年收入将增长27.1%，较去年有所放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon Key Stats</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊关键统计数据</b></blockquote></p><p> <table></table> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Estimate for Q2 2021 (FY)</td>    <td>Q2 2020 (FY)</td>    <td>Q2 2019 (FY)</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share ($)</td>    <td>$12.47</td>    <td>$10.30</td>    <td>$5.22</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue ($B)</td>    <td>$115.4</td>    <td>$88.9</td>    <td>$63.4</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>AWS Revenue ($B)</td>    <td>$14.2</td>    <td>$10.8</td>    <td>$8.4</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>The Key Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><table></table><table><tbody><tr><td>2021年第二季度（财年）预估</td><td>2020年第二季度（财年）</td><td>2019年第二季度（财年）</td></tr><tr><td>每股收益（美元）</td><td>$12.47</td><td>$10.30</td><td>$5.22</td></tr><tr><td>收入($B)</td><td>$115.4</td><td>$88.9</td><td>$63.4</td></tr><tr><td>AWS收入($B)</td><td>$14.2</td><td>$10.8</td><td>$8.4</td></tr></tbody></table><b>关键指标</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As mentioned above, investors will also be focused on revenue generated by AWS, Amazon's cloud-computing platform. AWS offers developers a range of on-demand technology services, such as compute, storage, database, analytics, machine learning, and other services.5These services are primarily used by start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company's AWS business generates much higher margins than itse-commercebusiness. In FY 2020,Amazon'sglobal retail sales- and subscription-based business segments generated about 88% of the company's total revenue while AWS accounted for a mere 12%. However, AWS accounted for 59% of total operating income for the year, making it Amazon's main profit generator.6But investors won't want to ignore results for Amazon's e-commerce business, which has greatly expanded throughout the pandemic. Investors will want to see how much of the company's additional e-commerce sales generated during the pandemic will persist as more traditional brick-and-mortar shops begin to reopen again.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，投资者还将关注亚马逊云计算平台AWS产生的收入。AWS为开发人员提供一系列按需技术服务，例如计算、存储、数据库、分析、机器学习和其他服务。5这些服务主要由初创企业、企业、政府机构和学术机构使用。该公司的AWS业务产生的利润率远高于其商业业务。2020财年，亚马逊的全球零售和订阅业务部门约占公司总收入的88%，而AWS仅占12%。然而，AWS占当年总营业收入的59%，使其成为亚马逊的主要利润来源。6但投资者不想忽视亚马逊电子商务业务的业绩，该业务在整个大流行期间大幅扩张。投资者希望看到，随着更多传统实体店开始重新开业，该公司在疫情期间产生的额外电子商务销售额中有多少将持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> Growth in AWS revenue has consistently slowed over the past five years, despite a brief acceleration in FY 2018. In FY 2015, annual AWS revenue grew 69.7%. Last year, revenue for Amazon's cloud segment grew at a healthy, but slower, 29.5% pace. In each of the last three quarters of FY 2020, growth in AWS revenue ranged between 28-29% YOY. In Q1 FY 2021, growth accelerated to a pace of 32.1%. At the end of the first quarter, AWS led the $150-billion global cloud market with a 32% share, well ahead of both Microsoft Corp.'s (MSFT) Azure and Alphabet Inc.'s (GOOGL) Google Cloud.7Analysts expect AWS revenue to increase 31.2% in Q2 FY 2021, slightly slower than the previous quarter's pace. For full-year FY 2021, AWS revenue is expected to rise 30.3%, slightly faster than last year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管在2018财年短暂加速，但AWS收入增长在过去五年中持续放缓。2015财年，AWS年收入增长了69.7%。去年，亚马逊云部门的收入以29.5%的速度健康增长，但速度较慢。2020财年最后三个季度，AWS收入同比增长在28-29%之间。2021财年第一季度，增长加速至32.1%。截至第一季度末，AWS以32%的份额引领着价值1500亿美元的全球云市场，远远领先于微软公司(MSFT)的Azure和Alphabet公司(GOOGL)的Google Cloud.7分析师预计2021财年第二季度AWS收入将增长31.2%，略低于上一季度的增速。2021财年全年，AWS收入预计将增长30.3%，略快于去年。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/amazon-q2-fy2021-earnings-report-preview-5194475\">investopedia</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/amazon-q2-fy2021-earnings-report-preview-5194475","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114682225","content_text":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nAnalysts estimate EPS of $12.47 vs. $10.30 in Q2 FY 2020.\nAWS revenue is expected to rise at healthy pace YOY.\nCompanywide revenue is expected to rise, but at a slower pace than recent quarters as analysts watch for the pandemic-induced boom in online shopping to slow.\n\nAmazon.com Inc. (AMZN) has seen its earnings and revenue balloon amid the shift to online commerce and cloud computing triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. Now, Amazon is facing perhaps the biggest management transition in the company's 27-year history. The second quarter was the final period with founder Jeff Bezos at the helm. In his place, Amazon veteran Andy Jassy, who helped build the giant cloud services business, will lead the company's growth as the new chief executive officer (CEO). Bezos stepped down on July 5.1\nInvestors will be closely watching Amazon's financial performance, and Jassy's plans for future growth, when the company reports earnings on July 29, 2021 for Q2 FY 2021.2Analysts expect both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue to rise, but at a much slower pace than in recent quarters.3\nInvestors will also be focusing on revenue generated by Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company's high-margincloud computingbusiness. AWS still comprises a relatively small share of the company's overall revenue, but it generates the majority of Amazon's operating income. Analysts are expecting AWS revenue growth to slow slightly in the second quarter.3\nAmazon's shares have underperformed the broader market over the past year. The stock had been keeping pace with the market from the end of July 2020 until early November 2020. It then started to lag. But the stock has begun to narrow its performance gap with the market since early June 2021. Shares of Amazon have provided a total return of 18.7% over the past year, below the S&P 500's total return of 35.9%.\nSource: TradingView.Amazon Earnings History\nThe stock tumbled in the days following the release of Amazon'sQ1 FY 2021earnings report in late April despite dramatically beating analysts' consensus estimates. It continued to sink until around mid-May. EPS rose 215.2%, bouncing back after declining 29.4% in the year-ago quarter. Revenue grew 43.8% year over year (YOY), marking the fastest pace of growth in at least 15 quarters.3\nInQ4 FY 2020, Amazon crushed analysts' earnings expectations. EPS rose 117.7% compared to the year-ago quarter, marking the second fastest pace of growth since Q3 FY 2018. Revenue expanded 43.6% YOY, accelerating from Q3's pace of 37.4%.3The company announced in its fourth quarter earnings release that Jassy would be taking over the role of CEO from Bezos beginning in the third quarter of FY 2021. \"Right now I see Amazon at its most inventive ever, making it an optimal time for this transition,\" said Bezos.4\nAnalysts expect Amazon to post another quarter of healthy earnings and revenue growth in Q2 FY 2021. EPS is expected to rise 21.0% as revenue grows 29.8% compared to the year-ago quarter. It would be the slowest pace of growth for both the top and bottom lines since Q1 FY 2020. For full-year FY 2021, analysts expect EPS to rise 35.9% while annual revenue expands 27.1%, slowing from last year's pace.\nAmazon Key Stats\n\n\n\n\nEstimate for Q2 2021 (FY)\nQ2 2020 (FY)\nQ2 2019 (FY)\n\n\nEarnings Per Share ($)\n$12.47\n$10.30\n$5.22\n\n\nRevenue ($B)\n$115.4\n$88.9\n$63.4\n\n\nAWS Revenue ($B)\n$14.2\n$10.8\n$8.4\n\n\n\nThe Key Metric\nAs mentioned above, investors will also be focused on revenue generated by AWS, Amazon's cloud-computing platform. AWS offers developers a range of on-demand technology services, such as compute, storage, database, analytics, machine learning, and other services.5These services are primarily used by start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company's AWS business generates much higher margins than itse-commercebusiness. In FY 2020,Amazon'sglobal retail sales- and subscription-based business segments generated about 88% of the company's total revenue while AWS accounted for a mere 12%. However, AWS accounted for 59% of total operating income for the year, making it Amazon's main profit generator.6But investors won't want to ignore results for Amazon's e-commerce business, which has greatly expanded throughout the pandemic. Investors will want to see how much of the company's additional e-commerce sales generated during the pandemic will persist as more traditional brick-and-mortar shops begin to reopen again.\nGrowth in AWS revenue has consistently slowed over the past five years, despite a brief acceleration in FY 2018. In FY 2015, annual AWS revenue grew 69.7%. Last year, revenue for Amazon's cloud segment grew at a healthy, but slower, 29.5% pace. In each of the last three quarters of FY 2020, growth in AWS revenue ranged between 28-29% YOY. In Q1 FY 2021, growth accelerated to a pace of 32.1%. At the end of the first quarter, AWS led the $150-billion global cloud market with a 32% share, well ahead of both Microsoft Corp.'s (MSFT) Azure and Alphabet Inc.'s (GOOGL) Google Cloud.7Analysts expect AWS revenue to increase 31.2% in Q2 FY 2021, slightly slower than the previous quarter's pace. For full-year FY 2021, AWS revenue is expected to rise 30.3%, slightly faster than last year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803724030,"gmtCreate":1627466252920,"gmtModify":1631891807916,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Never too late","listText":"Never too late","text":"Never too late","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803724030","repostId":"2154362911","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809466324,"gmtCreate":1627387905568,"gmtModify":1631891807923,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Moon?","listText":"Moon?","text":"Moon?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809466324","repostId":"1161348771","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177151399,"gmtCreate":1627189035711,"gmtModify":1631891807937,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177151399","repostId":"1176552691","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176552691","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627183789,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176552691?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估？要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176552691","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li>  <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li>  <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着云收入和营业利润率的改善，IBM第二季度盈利超出了分析师的预期。</li><li>在第一季度之前，IBM连续四个季度收入下降，过去34个季度中有30个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊森·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商业机器公司（IBM）是一家转型中的公司。不幸的是，对于投资者来说，这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及剥离遗留业务。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象，但播下的种子是否落在岩石上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面拥有快速增长的业务，并在量子计算方面拥有潜在的增长引擎，但它面临着前一个行业的激烈竞争和后一个行业的不确定前景。该公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态，因此IBM的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，截至今天，IBM的债务负担合理且不断减少，自由现金流强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来部分解决增长问题，同时剥离其托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为Kyndryl。然而，新实体将承担的债务以及其将承担的当前股息部分尚未透露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM&nbsp;reported&nbsp;Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司的非GAAP每股收益为2.33美元，超出预期0.04美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后，营收为187亿美元，持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了7%。然而，这主要是由于正常的IBM Z大型机周期，同比下降13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门在总收入中所占比例较低，下降了9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一，并将主要分拆为Kyndryl，但增长平缓。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud &amp; Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极一面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%，全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去12个月，云总收入为270亿美元，增长了15%，而本季度云收入增长了13%，达到70亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去12个月，经营活动产生的净现金达到177亿美元，调整后的自由现金流总计110亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来，该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM屹立不倒的地方</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM往好了说是一家三流IT公司，往坏了说是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，该公司的收入多年来一直在下降；然而，为了准确评估该股票，投资者必须了解IBM的传统业务有许多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如，IBM是世界上最大的IT服务公司，也是大型机的主要提供商。在财富50强公司中，有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的大型机系统处理全球近90%的信用卡交易，97%的全球最大银行依赖IBM的产品和服务。因此，每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务，而80%的旅游业预订通过IBM系统进行。这导致使用该公司的IT服务处理40亿次航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，IBM拥有庞大的客户群，提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下，转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息转移的风险，而许多人不愿意采取这一举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡，越来越多的公司采用混合搭配的IT基础设施。反过来，这正在侵蚀IBM与客户转换成本相关的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh&nbsp;provided insight&nbsp;into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍了解IBM通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。然而，在摩根大通最近的投资者会议上，首席财务官吉姆·卡瓦诺（Jim Kavanaugh）就混合云如何推动IBM其他一些部门的收入提供了见解。</blockquote></p><p>   For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.  Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们在混合云平台上每投入1美元（业务），我们就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然，Kavanaugh使用drag来指的是与采用IBM混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确，这意味着在该公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都可以从该公司的软件和服务产品中获得9至13美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>由于混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务，因此它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。这是医疗保健和金融服务客户特别关注的问题。因此，我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势，因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最近的研究，也属于其他预测的中间，是由魔多情报局进行的。该公司预测2021年至2026年的复合年增长率为18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该知道，该领域的主要运营商是思科(CSCO)、惠普(HPE)、亚马逊(AMZN)、思杰系统(CTXS)和IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云之外，还有另一个潜在增长的来源，尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM&nbsp;introduced&nbsp;the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初，IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台为科学和商业用途而设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>原谅我的双关语，但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测，到2030年，该行业的CAGR将达到56%，量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to&nbsp;my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和IBM在该行业中的地位的更多见解，我向您推荐我的文章“IBM：为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once&nbsp;Kyndryl&nbsp;is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦上市，将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多家客户。新实体的服务积压量为600亿美元，预计收入为190亿美元。该公司的规模是最接近的竞争对手的两倍，将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will&nbsp;transform&nbsp;IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次分拆将使IBM从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务经常性收入超过一半的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will&nbsp;account&nbsp;for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占公司收入的22%，将占销售额的40%以上。值得注意的是，该部门上季度的收入同比增长了12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM将保留Red Hat及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务，以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初，两家公司将各自成为对方的最大客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆，尚待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务，以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示，两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM转危为安了吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图提供了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：数据来自ycharts/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨，但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与Kyndryl分拆相关的30亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO&nbsp;recently stated&nbsp;he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示，他预计IBM将在2022年产生120亿至130亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层举措，但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自2019年年中达到峰值以来，该公司已将债务减少了约180亿美元。IBM维持投资级信用评级，下图记录了该公司最近偿还债务的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%，派息率略低于61%，5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述，Kyndryl分拆后，两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是否被高估？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM股价交易价格为141.13美元。8位分析师的平均12个月目标价为153.50美元。自上次收益报告以来，对该股进行评级的3位分析师的目标价为151.33美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍，远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下，其五年平均值分别为16.42倍和13.25倍。这远低于行业平均水平，这两个指标都在三十左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium提供的3至5年期PEG为1.16倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍，雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后IBM增长加速的预期。PEG比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是一项不错的长期投资吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中有着根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是，被视为该公司主要增长途径的云也可能导致该公司一些遗留业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务一直在快速增长是显而易见的：IBM现在拥有超过3,200个客户使用该公司的混合云平台。这几乎是收购红帽之前的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确，混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。结合Kyndryl缓慢增长的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆，有理由相信IBM将见证增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM拥有稳健的资产负债表和强劲的收益率，当使用PEG比率作为股票估值的基础时，该股的交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑，我对IBM的评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢，而投资者则获得相当强劲的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估？要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估？要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-25 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li>  <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li>  <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着云收入和营业利润率的改善，IBM第二季度盈利超出了分析师的预期。</li><li>在第一季度之前，IBM连续四个季度收入下降，过去34个季度中有30个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊森·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商业机器公司（IBM）是一家转型中的公司。不幸的是，对于投资者来说，这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及剥离遗留业务。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象，但播下的种子是否落在岩石上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面拥有快速增长的业务，并在量子计算方面拥有潜在的增长引擎，但它面临着前一个行业的激烈竞争和后一个行业的不确定前景。该公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态，因此IBM的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，截至今天，IBM的债务负担合理且不断减少，自由现金流强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来部分解决增长问题，同时剥离其托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为Kyndryl。然而，新实体将承担的债务以及其将承担的当前股息部分尚未透露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM&nbsp;reported&nbsp;Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司的非GAAP每股收益为2.33美元，超出预期0.04美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后，营收为187亿美元，持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了7%。然而，这主要是由于正常的IBM Z大型机周期，同比下降13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门在总收入中所占比例较低，下降了9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一，并将主要分拆为Kyndryl，但增长平缓。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud &amp; Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极一面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%，全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去12个月，云总收入为270亿美元，增长了15%，而本季度云收入增长了13%，达到70亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去12个月，经营活动产生的净现金达到177亿美元，调整后的自由现金流总计110亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来，该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM屹立不倒的地方</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM往好了说是一家三流IT公司，往坏了说是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，该公司的收入多年来一直在下降；然而，为了准确评估该股票，投资者必须了解IBM的传统业务有许多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如，IBM是世界上最大的IT服务公司，也是大型机的主要提供商。在财富50强公司中，有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的大型机系统处理全球近90%的信用卡交易，97%的全球最大银行依赖IBM的产品和服务。因此，每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务，而80%的旅游业预订通过IBM系统进行。这导致使用该公司的IT服务处理40亿次航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，IBM拥有庞大的客户群，提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下，转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息转移的风险，而许多人不愿意采取这一举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡，越来越多的公司采用混合搭配的IT基础设施。反过来，这正在侵蚀IBM与客户转换成本相关的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh&nbsp;provided insight&nbsp;into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍了解IBM通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。然而，在摩根大通最近的投资者会议上，首席财务官吉姆·卡瓦诺（Jim Kavanaugh）就混合云如何推动IBM其他一些部门的收入提供了见解。</blockquote></p><p>   For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.  Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们在混合云平台上每投入1美元（业务），我们就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然，Kavanaugh使用drag来指的是与采用IBM混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确，这意味着在该公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都可以从该公司的软件和服务产品中获得9至13美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>由于混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务，因此它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。这是医疗保健和金融服务客户特别关注的问题。因此，我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势，因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最近的研究，也属于其他预测的中间，是由魔多情报局进行的。该公司预测2021年至2026年的复合年增长率为18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该知道，该领域的主要运营商是思科(CSCO)、惠普(HPE)、亚马逊(AMZN)、思杰系统(CTXS)和IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云之外，还有另一个潜在增长的来源，尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM&nbsp;introduced&nbsp;the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初，IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台为科学和商业用途而设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>原谅我的双关语，但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测，到2030年，该行业的CAGR将达到56%，量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to&nbsp;my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和IBM在该行业中的地位的更多见解，我向您推荐我的文章“IBM：为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once&nbsp;Kyndryl&nbsp;is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦上市，将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多家客户。新实体的服务积压量为600亿美元，预计收入为190亿美元。该公司的规模是最接近的竞争对手的两倍，将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will&nbsp;transform&nbsp;IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次分拆将使IBM从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务经常性收入超过一半的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will&nbsp;account&nbsp;for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占公司收入的22%，将占销售额的40%以上。值得注意的是，该部门上季度的收入同比增长了12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM将保留Red Hat及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务，以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初，两家公司将各自成为对方的最大客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆，尚待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务，以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示，两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM转危为安了吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图提供了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：数据来自ycharts/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨，但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与Kyndryl分拆相关的30亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO&nbsp;recently stated&nbsp;he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示，他预计IBM将在2022年产生120亿至130亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层举措，但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自2019年年中达到峰值以来，该公司已将债务减少了约180亿美元。IBM维持投资级信用评级，下图记录了该公司最近偿还债务的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%，派息率略低于61%，5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述，Kyndryl分拆后，两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是否被高估？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM股价交易价格为141.13美元。8位分析师的平均12个月目标价为153.50美元。自上次收益报告以来，对该股进行评级的3位分析师的目标价为151.33美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍，远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下，其五年平均值分别为16.42倍和13.25倍。这远低于行业平均水平，这两个指标都在三十左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium提供的3至5年期PEG为1.16倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍，雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后IBM增长加速的预期。PEG比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是一项不错的长期投资吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中有着根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是，被视为该公司主要增长途径的云也可能导致该公司一些遗留业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务一直在快速增长是显而易见的：IBM现在拥有超过3,200个客户使用该公司的混合云平台。这几乎是收购红帽之前的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确，混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。结合Kyndryl缓慢增长的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆，有理由相信IBM将见证增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM拥有稳健的资产负债表和强劲的收益率，当使用PEG比率作为股票估值的基础时，该股的交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑，我对IBM的评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢，而投资者则获得相当强劲的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176552691","content_text":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.\nPrior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.\nMore transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.\n\nEthan Miller/Getty Images News\nInternational Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.\nAlthough the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.\nWhat is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.\nManagement is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.\nRecent Quarterly Results\nIBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.\nRevenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.\nThe negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.\nThe global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.\nThe positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.\nNet cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.\nSince year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.\nManagement guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.\nWhere IBM Stands Tall\nIBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.\nIt is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.\nFor example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.\nHalf of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.\nIBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.\nEight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.\nSource: Forbes\nIt is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.\nHowever, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.\nThe Sources Of Potential Growth\nInvestors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.\n\n For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.\n\nOf course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.\nBecause hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.\nI reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.\nInvestors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.\nThe following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.\nSource: Company reports / Chart by Author\nAside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.\nEarly in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.\nPardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.\nFor additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”\nUnderstanding Kyndryl\nOnce Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.\nThe split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.\nGlobal Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.\nIBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.\nInitially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.\nWhat remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.\nHas IBM Turned The Corner?\nAnyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.\nSource: Data from ycharts / chart by author\nWhile this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.\nIn 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.\nThe CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.\nDebt And Dividend\nWhile investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.\nThe company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.\nSource: IBM Presentation\nIBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.\nIs IBM Stock Overvalued?\nIBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.\nIBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.\nThe 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.\nI believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.\nIs IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?\nIBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.\nThat the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.\nIf management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.\nIBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.\nAll considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.\nI think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IBM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176681106,"gmtCreate":1626880011605,"gmtModify":1631891807948,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol","listText":"Lol","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176681106","repostId":"1109551881","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109551881","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1626878219,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109551881?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 22:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Smokes Shorts Again: What's Next?<blockquote>AMC再次抽短裤：下一步是什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109551881","media":"Benzinga","summary":"AMC Entertainment Holding Inc(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday amid returned interest in reopening s","content":"<p><b>AMC Entertainment Holding Inc</b>(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday&nbsp;amid returned interest in reopening stocks. The company also announced on Monday evening it hadmade a dealto reopen the Grove Theatre and The Americana at Brand Theatre in the Los Angeles area in August under the AMC Brand. The two theatres were formerly leased by Pacific Theatres and are two of the highest-grossing theatres in Los Angeles.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线控股公司</b>由于人们对重新开放股票的兴趣恢复，(NYSE：AMC)周二上涨24.47%。该公司周一晚间还宣布，已达成协议，将于8月份以AMC品牌重新开放洛杉矶地区的Grove剧院和Americana at Brand剧院。这两家剧院以前由太平洋剧院租赁，是洛杉矶票房最高的两家剧院。</blockquote></p><p> Although presently not the toptrendingstock on r/WallStreetBets, AMC was still the 10th most mentioned stock on Tuesday. The subreddit often targets stocks with unusual characteristics such as bizarre levels of ownership and high short interest. AMC’s underlying statistics have been improving over the last few months, however, and of the company’s 448.74 million share float 75.48 million shares are held short; this is down from 102.3 million in May.</p><p><blockquote>尽管AMC目前不是r/WallStreetBets上的热门股票，但它仍然是周二被提及次数第十多的股票。subreddit通常针对具有不寻常特征的股票，例如奇怪的所有权水平和高空头利息。然而，AMC的基本统计数据在过去几个月中一直在改善，该公司4.4874亿股流通股中，有7548万股被卖空；这比5月份的1.023亿有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Despite short interest decreasing, AMC is still volatile and able to make big swings.</p><p><blockquote>尽管空头兴趣下降，AMC仍然不稳定，并且能够大幅波动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The AMC Chart:</b>On Monday, during a big bear day in the general markets, AMC&nbsp;put in a bottom at $31.15 and managed to print a bullish hammer candlestick indicating higher prices would come on Tuesday. AMC then printed a bullish Marubozu candlestick on Tuesday. This Marubozu candle has a very small upper wick, indicating AMC had buyers at every price level it traded at intraday.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC图表：</b>周一，在大盘大熊市期间，AMC触底31.15美元，并成功打印出看涨锤子烛台，表明周二价格将上涨。AMC随后在周二打印了看涨的Marubozu烛台。这根Marubozu蜡烛的上部灯芯非常小，表明AMC在盘中交易的每个价格水平都有买家。</blockquote></p><p> AMC broke into a downtrend on July 1 and made a series of lower highs and lower lows until Tuesday when the price closed at $43.08, above its lower high of $37.73, which indicates a bullish trend change. Bulls won’t want the stock to drop below $31.15 for the trend to be confirmed.</p><p><blockquote>AMC于7月1日进入下跌趋势，并创下一系列较低的高点和较低的低点，直到周二价格收于43.08美元，高于37.73美元的较低高点，这表明看涨趋势发生了变化。多头不希望该股跌破31.15美元以确认趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61ba2be17dcfd5bd5f6a00ab4398a5a6\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"256\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">AMC&nbsp;was able to recapture the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA) as support but rejected, and wicked from, the 21-day EMA. Bulls will want to see AMC regain support of the level in the near term. AMC is trading well above the 200-day simple moving average, indicating overall sentiment in the stock remains bullish.</p><p><blockquote>AMC能够重新获得8日指数移动平均线(EMA)作为支撑，但拒绝并远离21日EMA。多头希望看到AMC在短期内重新获得该水平的支撑。AMC的交易价格远高于200日简单移动平均线，表明该股的整体情绪仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afbe29a91b623abe465464f45c8889b6\" tg-width=\"1366\" tg-height=\"768\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Bulls want to see continued bullish volume push AMC over the 21-day EMA and up towards the $47.91 area. If it can regain the level as support, it could trade up toward $52.97.</p><p><blockquote>多头希望看到持续的看涨成交量推动AMC突破21日均线并升至47.91美元区域。如果它能够重新获得该水平作为支撑，它可能会上涨至52.97美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bears want to see AMC’s stock continue to reject the 21-day EMA and for it to drop down and lose support of the eight-day EMA which aligns with a support level at $39.71. If the stock were to lose the level, it could fall toward the $31.81 mark.</p><p><blockquote>空头希望看到AMC的股票继续拒绝21日均线，并下跌并失去8日均线的支撑，该支撑位与39.71美元的支撑位一致。如果该股跌破该水平，可能会跌至31.81美元大关。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Price Action:</b>Shares of AMC Entertainment traded up 4.2% to $44.78 at publication time.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC价格走势：</b>截至发稿时，AMC院线股价上涨4.2%，至44.78美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Smokes Shorts Again: What's Next?<blockquote>AMC再次抽短裤：下一步是什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Smokes Shorts Again: What's Next?<blockquote>AMC再次抽短裤：下一步是什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-21 22:36</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>AMC Entertainment Holding Inc</b>(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday&nbsp;amid returned interest in reopening stocks. The company also announced on Monday evening it hadmade a dealto reopen the Grove Theatre and The Americana at Brand Theatre in the Los Angeles area in August under the AMC Brand. The two theatres were formerly leased by Pacific Theatres and are two of the highest-grossing theatres in Los Angeles.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线控股公司</b>由于人们对重新开放股票的兴趣恢复，(NYSE：AMC)周二上涨24.47%。该公司周一晚间还宣布，已达成协议，将于8月份以AMC品牌重新开放洛杉矶地区的Grove剧院和Americana at Brand剧院。这两家剧院以前由太平洋剧院租赁，是洛杉矶票房最高的两家剧院。</blockquote></p><p> Although presently not the toptrendingstock on r/WallStreetBets, AMC was still the 10th most mentioned stock on Tuesday. The subreddit often targets stocks with unusual characteristics such as bizarre levels of ownership and high short interest. AMC’s underlying statistics have been improving over the last few months, however, and of the company’s 448.74 million share float 75.48 million shares are held short; this is down from 102.3 million in May.</p><p><blockquote>尽管AMC目前不是r/WallStreetBets上的热门股票，但它仍然是周二被提及次数第十多的股票。subreddit通常针对具有不寻常特征的股票，例如奇怪的所有权水平和高空头利息。然而，AMC的基本统计数据在过去几个月中一直在改善，该公司4.4874亿股流通股中，有7548万股被卖空；这比5月份的1.023亿有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Despite short interest decreasing, AMC is still volatile and able to make big swings.</p><p><blockquote>尽管空头兴趣下降，AMC仍然不稳定，并且能够大幅波动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The AMC Chart:</b>On Monday, during a big bear day in the general markets, AMC&nbsp;put in a bottom at $31.15 and managed to print a bullish hammer candlestick indicating higher prices would come on Tuesday. AMC then printed a bullish Marubozu candlestick on Tuesday. This Marubozu candle has a very small upper wick, indicating AMC had buyers at every price level it traded at intraday.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC图表：</b>周一，在大盘大熊市期间，AMC触底31.15美元，并成功打印出看涨锤子烛台，表明周二价格将上涨。AMC随后在周二打印了看涨的Marubozu烛台。这根Marubozu蜡烛的上部灯芯非常小，表明AMC在盘中交易的每个价格水平都有买家。</blockquote></p><p> AMC broke into a downtrend on July 1 and made a series of lower highs and lower lows until Tuesday when the price closed at $43.08, above its lower high of $37.73, which indicates a bullish trend change. Bulls won’t want the stock to drop below $31.15 for the trend to be confirmed.</p><p><blockquote>AMC于7月1日进入下跌趋势，并创下一系列较低的高点和较低的低点，直到周二价格收于43.08美元，高于37.73美元的较低高点，这表明看涨趋势发生了变化。多头不希望该股跌破31.15美元以确认趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61ba2be17dcfd5bd5f6a00ab4398a5a6\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"256\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">AMC&nbsp;was able to recapture the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA) as support but rejected, and wicked from, the 21-day EMA. Bulls will want to see AMC regain support of the level in the near term. AMC is trading well above the 200-day simple moving average, indicating overall sentiment in the stock remains bullish.</p><p><blockquote>AMC能够重新获得8日指数移动平均线(EMA)作为支撑，但拒绝并远离21日EMA。多头希望看到AMC在短期内重新获得该水平的支撑。AMC的交易价格远高于200日简单移动平均线，表明该股的整体情绪仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afbe29a91b623abe465464f45c8889b6\" tg-width=\"1366\" tg-height=\"768\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Bulls want to see continued bullish volume push AMC over the 21-day EMA and up towards the $47.91 area. If it can regain the level as support, it could trade up toward $52.97.</p><p><blockquote>多头希望看到持续的看涨成交量推动AMC突破21日均线并升至47.91美元区域。如果它能够重新获得该水平作为支撑，它可能会上涨至52.97美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bears want to see AMC’s stock continue to reject the 21-day EMA and for it to drop down and lose support of the eight-day EMA which aligns with a support level at $39.71. If the stock were to lose the level, it could fall toward the $31.81 mark.</p><p><blockquote>空头希望看到AMC的股票继续拒绝21日均线，并下跌并失去8日均线的支撑，该支撑位与39.71美元的支撑位一致。如果该股跌破该水平，可能会跌至31.81美元大关。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Price Action:</b>Shares of AMC Entertainment traded up 4.2% to $44.78 at publication time.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC价格走势：</b>截至发稿时，AMC院线股价上涨4.2%，至44.78美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109551881","content_text":"AMC Entertainment Holding Inc(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday amid returned interest in reopening stocks. The company also announced on Monday evening it hadmade a dealto reopen the Grove Theatre and The Americana at Brand Theatre in the Los Angeles area in August under the AMC Brand. The two theatres were formerly leased by Pacific Theatres and are two of the highest-grossing theatres in Los Angeles.\nAlthough presently not the toptrendingstock on r/WallStreetBets, AMC was still the 10th most mentioned stock on Tuesday. The subreddit often targets stocks with unusual characteristics such as bizarre levels of ownership and high short interest. AMC’s underlying statistics have been improving over the last few months, however, and of the company’s 448.74 million share float 75.48 million shares are held short; this is down from 102.3 million in May.\nDespite short interest decreasing, AMC is still volatile and able to make big swings.\nThe AMC Chart:On Monday, during a big bear day in the general markets, AMC put in a bottom at $31.15 and managed to print a bullish hammer candlestick indicating higher prices would come on Tuesday. AMC then printed a bullish Marubozu candlestick on Tuesday. This Marubozu candle has a very small upper wick, indicating AMC had buyers at every price level it traded at intraday.\nAMC broke into a downtrend on July 1 and made a series of lower highs and lower lows until Tuesday when the price closed at $43.08, above its lower high of $37.73, which indicates a bullish trend change. Bulls won’t want the stock to drop below $31.15 for the trend to be confirmed.\nAMC was able to recapture the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA) as support but rejected, and wicked from, the 21-day EMA. Bulls will want to see AMC regain support of the level in the near term. AMC is trading well above the 200-day simple moving average, indicating overall sentiment in the stock remains bullish.\nBulls want to see continued bullish volume push AMC over the 21-day EMA and up towards the $47.91 area. If it can regain the level as support, it could trade up toward $52.97.\nBears want to see AMC’s stock continue to reject the 21-day EMA and for it to drop down and lose support of the eight-day EMA which aligns with a support level at $39.71. If the stock were to lose the level, it could fall toward the $31.81 mark.\nAMC Price Action:Shares of AMC Entertainment traded up 4.2% to $44.78 at publication time.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176683761,"gmtCreate":1626880000953,"gmtModify":1633770132141,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176683761","repostId":"1158935021","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158935021","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626878626,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158935021?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 22:43","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"WTI Shrugs Off Unexpectedly Large Crude Inventory Build<blockquote>WTI对原油库存意外大幅增加不屑一顾</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158935021","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After the initial tumble last night - afterAPI reported an unexpected build in crude inventories (an","content":"<p>After the initial tumble last night - after<b><i>API reported an unexpected build in crude inventories (and big build in gasoline stocks)</i></b>- oil prices have surged higher overnight and across the US equity market open as all those Monday fears appear to be evaporating once again.</p><p><blockquote>在昨晚最初的暴跌之后——之后<b><i>API报告原油库存意外增加（汽油库存大幅增加）</i></b>-隔夜油价飙升，美国股市开盘，周一的所有担忧似乎再次消失。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>“Risk-on is the main driver,”</b>said&nbsp;Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG in Zurich.   <b>“I still believe oil fundamentals themselves are supportive, but the last 72 hours were primarily driven by shifts in investors’ attitude to risk.”</b>  Maybe this morning's official data will reignote some sense of fundamentals in the energy complex... however fleeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>“冒险是主要驱动力，”</b>瑞银集团驻苏黎世分析师Giovanni Staunovo表示。<b>“我仍然相信石油基本面本身具有支撑作用，但过去72小时主要是由投资者对风险态度的转变推动的。”</b>也许今天早上的官方数据将重新唤起能源综合体的一些基本面……然而转瞬即逝。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>API</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>API</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Crude +806k (-5.4mm exp)</b></li>  <li>Cushing -3.57mm</li>  <li><b>Gasoline +3.31mm (-1.0mm exp)</b></li>  <li>Distillates</li> </ul> <u><b>DOE</b></u></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>粗品+806k（-5.4 mm EXP）</b></li><li>库欣-3.57 mm</li><li><b>汽油+3.31 mm（-1.0 mm EXP）</b></li><li>蒸馏物</li></ul><u><b>DOE</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Crude +2.11mm (-3.7mm exp)</li>  <li>Cushing -1.347mm</li>  <li>Gasoline -121k (-1.0mm exp)</li>  <li>Distillates -1.349mm</li> </ul> Analysts expected a 9th straight weekly draw in crude stocks, even after API reported an unexpected build, but were wrong when the official data showed an even bigger 2.11mm barrel increase. Gasoline stocks dropped very marginally, but not the build we saw in API data...</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>粗品+2.11 mm（-3.7 mm EXP）</li><li>库欣-1.347毫米</li><li>汽油-121k（-1.0 mm EXP）</li><li>馏出物-1.349 mM</li></ul>分析师预计原油库存将连续第九周下降，即使在API报告意外增加之后，但当官方数据显示原油库存增加2.11毫米桶时，他们错了。汽油库存小幅下降，但不是我们在API数据中看到的增长...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53692cf75a66214e7f4a1494f2c4f5c4\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"563\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Some have suggested the lack of a continued drop in gasoline demand is responsible for the market's refusal to drop on the crude build but the rise in demand is de minimus ...</p><p><blockquote>一些人认为，汽油需求没有持续下降是市场拒绝降低原油产量的原因，但需求的增长微乎其微...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2510f442e2b763efcc5f373b32e4e8d2\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> US crude production has begun to rise after many months of \"discipline\"...</p><p><blockquote>经过数月的“纪律”，美国原油产量开始上升...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/307a71b95275646cf5eb099cafe3ed7a\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"552\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> WTI was trading around $69.50 ahead of the official data and dipped only modestly after surprisingly large crude build...</p><p><blockquote>在官方数据公布之前，WTI的交易价格约为69.50美元，在令人惊讶的大规模原油产量后仅小幅下跌...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1f8f322ef7c001a2f6bf40c3e64c065\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i><b>\"There are bottom pickers trying to get into this dip,\"</b></i>said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho in New York.</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“有抄底者试图进入这个低谷，”</b></i>纽约瑞穗能源期货主管Bob Yawger说。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at Goldman Sachs Group say that the extra barrels of oil promised by OPEC won't be enough to plug the gap between production and recovering demand. They see Brent, the global benchmark, trading at an average of $80 a barrel in the fourth quarter, though they<b>warn of the potential for prices to \"gyrate wildly in the coming weeks.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛集团分析师表示，欧佩克承诺的额外石油产量不足以填补产量与需求复苏之间的缺口。他们认为全球基准布伦特原油第四季度的平均交易价格为每桶80美元，尽管他们<b>警告价格可能“在未来几周内大幅波动”。</b></blockquote></p><p> Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Energy Analyst Vince Piazza warned that<b>global balances for crude oil faces two-pronged pressure from the growing dominance of the delta variant of Covid-19 and OPEC+’s plan to boost production next month.</b>Softer prices across the energy sector may curb some concerns about broad inflation pressure. Meanwhile, we see near-term production in the U.S. remaining pretty resilient through the summer, with inventories for the week of July 16 expected to fall by 4.99 million barrels.</p><p><blockquote>彭博资讯高级能源分析师Vince Piazza警告称，<b>全球原油平衡面临着来自Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株日益增长的主导地位和OPEC+下个月增产计划的双重压力。</b>整个能源行业价格走软可能会抑制对广泛通胀压力的一些担忧。与此同时，我们认为美国近期产量在整个夏季仍保持相当弹性，预计7月16日当周库存将减少499万桶。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WTI Shrugs Off Unexpectedly Large Crude Inventory Build<blockquote>WTI对原油库存意外大幅增加不屑一顾</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWTI Shrugs Off Unexpectedly Large Crude Inventory Build<blockquote>WTI对原油库存意外大幅增加不屑一顾</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-21 22:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After the initial tumble last night - after<b><i>API reported an unexpected build in crude inventories (and big build in gasoline stocks)</i></b>- oil prices have surged higher overnight and across the US equity market open as all those Monday fears appear to be evaporating once again.</p><p><blockquote>在昨晚最初的暴跌之后——之后<b><i>API报告原油库存意外增加（汽油库存大幅增加）</i></b>-隔夜油价飙升，美国股市开盘，周一的所有担忧似乎再次消失。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>“Risk-on is the main driver,”</b>said&nbsp;Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG in Zurich.   <b>“I still believe oil fundamentals themselves are supportive, but the last 72 hours were primarily driven by shifts in investors’ attitude to risk.”</b>  Maybe this morning's official data will reignote some sense of fundamentals in the energy complex... however fleeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>“冒险是主要驱动力，”</b>瑞银集团驻苏黎世分析师Giovanni Staunovo表示。<b>“我仍然相信石油基本面本身具有支撑作用，但过去72小时主要是由投资者对风险态度的转变推动的。”</b>也许今天早上的官方数据将重新唤起能源综合体的一些基本面……然而转瞬即逝。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>API</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>API</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Crude +806k (-5.4mm exp)</b></li>  <li>Cushing -3.57mm</li>  <li><b>Gasoline +3.31mm (-1.0mm exp)</b></li>  <li>Distillates</li> </ul> <u><b>DOE</b></u></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>粗品+806k（-5.4 mm EXP）</b></li><li>库欣-3.57 mm</li><li><b>汽油+3.31 mm（-1.0 mm EXP）</b></li><li>蒸馏物</li></ul><u><b>DOE</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Crude +2.11mm (-3.7mm exp)</li>  <li>Cushing -1.347mm</li>  <li>Gasoline -121k (-1.0mm exp)</li>  <li>Distillates -1.349mm</li> </ul> Analysts expected a 9th straight weekly draw in crude stocks, even after API reported an unexpected build, but were wrong when the official data showed an even bigger 2.11mm barrel increase. Gasoline stocks dropped very marginally, but not the build we saw in API data...</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>粗品+2.11 mm（-3.7 mm EXP）</li><li>库欣-1.347毫米</li><li>汽油-121k（-1.0 mm EXP）</li><li>馏出物-1.349 mM</li></ul>分析师预计原油库存将连续第九周下降，即使在API报告意外增加之后，但当官方数据显示原油库存增加2.11毫米桶时，他们错了。汽油库存小幅下降，但不是我们在API数据中看到的增长...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53692cf75a66214e7f4a1494f2c4f5c4\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"563\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Some have suggested the lack of a continued drop in gasoline demand is responsible for the market's refusal to drop on the crude build but the rise in demand is de minimus ...</p><p><blockquote>一些人认为，汽油需求没有持续下降是市场拒绝降低原油产量的原因，但需求的增长微乎其微...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2510f442e2b763efcc5f373b32e4e8d2\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> US crude production has begun to rise after many months of \"discipline\"...</p><p><blockquote>经过数月的“纪律”，美国原油产量开始上升...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/307a71b95275646cf5eb099cafe3ed7a\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"552\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> WTI was trading around $69.50 ahead of the official data and dipped only modestly after surprisingly large crude build...</p><p><blockquote>在官方数据公布之前，WTI的交易价格约为69.50美元，在令人惊讶的大规模原油产量后仅小幅下跌...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1f8f322ef7c001a2f6bf40c3e64c065\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i><b>\"There are bottom pickers trying to get into this dip,\"</b></i>said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho in New York.</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“有抄底者试图进入这个低谷，”</b></i>纽约瑞穗能源期货主管Bob Yawger说。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at Goldman Sachs Group say that the extra barrels of oil promised by OPEC won't be enough to plug the gap between production and recovering demand. They see Brent, the global benchmark, trading at an average of $80 a barrel in the fourth quarter, though they<b>warn of the potential for prices to \"gyrate wildly in the coming weeks.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛集团分析师表示，欧佩克承诺的额外石油产量不足以填补产量与需求复苏之间的缺口。他们认为全球基准布伦特原油第四季度的平均交易价格为每桶80美元，尽管他们<b>警告价格可能“在未来几周内大幅波动”。</b></blockquote></p><p> Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Energy Analyst Vince Piazza warned that<b>global balances for crude oil faces two-pronged pressure from the growing dominance of the delta variant of Covid-19 and OPEC+’s plan to boost production next month.</b>Softer prices across the energy sector may curb some concerns about broad inflation pressure. Meanwhile, we see near-term production in the U.S. remaining pretty resilient through the summer, with inventories for the week of July 16 expected to fall by 4.99 million barrels.</p><p><blockquote>彭博资讯高级能源分析师Vince Piazza警告称，<b>全球原油平衡面临着来自Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株日益增长的主导地位和OPEC+下个月增产计划的双重压力。</b>整个能源行业价格走软可能会抑制对广泛通胀压力的一些担忧。与此同时，我们认为美国近期产量在整个夏季仍保持相当弹性，预计7月16日当周库存将减少499万桶。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/wti-shrugs-unexpectedly-large-crude-inventory-build?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRUD.UK":"WTI原油ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/wti-shrugs-unexpectedly-large-crude-inventory-build?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158935021","content_text":"After the initial tumble last night - afterAPI reported an unexpected build in crude inventories (and big build in gasoline stocks)- oil prices have surged higher overnight and across the US equity market open as all those Monday fears appear to be evaporating once again.\n\n“Risk-on is the main driver,”said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG in Zurich. \n “I still believe oil fundamentals themselves are supportive, but the last 72 hours were primarily driven by shifts in investors’ attitude to risk.”\n\nMaybe this morning's official data will reignote some sense of fundamentals in the energy complex... however fleeting.\nAPI\n\nCrude +806k (-5.4mm exp)\nCushing -3.57mm\nGasoline +3.31mm (-1.0mm exp)\nDistillates\n\nDOE\n\nCrude +2.11mm (-3.7mm exp)\nCushing -1.347mm\nGasoline -121k (-1.0mm exp)\nDistillates -1.349mm\n\nAnalysts expected a 9th straight weekly draw in crude stocks, even after API reported an unexpected build, but were wrong when the official data showed an even bigger 2.11mm barrel increase. Gasoline stocks dropped very marginally, but not the build we saw in API data...\nSource: Bloomberg\nSome have suggested the lack of a continued drop in gasoline demand is responsible for the market's refusal to drop on the crude build but the rise in demand is de minimus ...\nSource: Bloomberg\nUS crude production has begun to rise after many months of \"discipline\"...\nSource: Bloomberg\nWTI was trading around $69.50 ahead of the official data and dipped only modestly after surprisingly large crude build...\n\"There are bottom pickers trying to get into this dip,\"said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho in New York.\nAnalysts at Goldman Sachs Group say that the extra barrels of oil promised by OPEC won't be enough to plug the gap between production and recovering demand. They see Brent, the global benchmark, trading at an average of $80 a barrel in the fourth quarter, though theywarn of the potential for prices to \"gyrate wildly in the coming weeks.\"\nBloomberg Intelligence Senior Energy Analyst Vince Piazza warned thatglobal balances for crude oil faces two-pronged pressure from the growing dominance of the delta variant of Covid-19 and OPEC+’s plan to boost production next month.Softer prices across the energy sector may curb some concerns about broad inflation pressure. Meanwhile, we see near-term production in the U.S. remaining pretty resilient through the summer, with inventories for the week of July 16 expected to fall by 4.99 million barrels.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":0.9,"CRUD.UK":0.9,"BZmain":0.9,"MCLmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178941115,"gmtCreate":1626785276437,"gmtModify":1633771082208,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178941115","repostId":"1158912810","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158912810","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626779113,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158912810?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 19:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia, Blue Origin and Jeff Bezos, Apple, Netflix - 5 Things You Must Know Tuesday<blockquote>Nvidia、蓝色起源和杰夫·贝索斯、苹果、Netflix——周二你必须知道的5件事</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158912810","media":"The Street","summary":"Stock futures indicate Wall Street will claw back some losses from Monday's selloff; Jeff Bezos prep","content":"<p>Stock futures indicate Wall Street will claw back some losses from Monday's selloff; Jeff Bezos prepares for liftoff into space; Nvidia outperforms its peers; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> delays a return to the office.</p><p><blockquote>股票期货表明华尔街将从周一的抛售中挽回部分损失；杰夫·贝索斯准备升空；英伟达的表现优于同行；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>延迟返回办公室。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five things you must know for Tuesday, July 20:</p><p><blockquote>以下是7月20日星期二您必须了解的五件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Stock Futures Indicate a Modest Recovery From Monday's Rout</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.股票期货显示从周一的暴跌中温和复苏</b></blockquote></p><p> Stock futures traded higher Tuesday, indicating Wall Street will claw back some losses from Monday's selloff as investors turned their attention to a slew of earnings reports.</p><p><blockquote>股指期货周二走高，表明随着投资者将注意力转向一系列财报，华尔街将从周一的抛售中收复部分失地。</blockquote></p><p> Contracts linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 205 points, S&amp;P 500 futures were up 21 points and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> futures gained 75 points.</p><p><blockquote>与道琼斯工业平均指数挂钩的合约上涨205点，标普500期货上涨21点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>期货上涨75点。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury fell Tuesday to 1.179%. It fell below 1.2% on Monday to the lowest levels since February as investors moved into safe-haven assets.</p><p><blockquote>基准10年期国债收益率周二跌至1.179%。随着投资者转向避险资产，该指数周一跌破1.2%，至2月份以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks plummeted Mondayas Wall Street weighed what impact rising COVID-19 cases may have on the economic recovery in the U.S. and globally. The Dow dropped more than 700 points, its worst decline since October.</p><p><blockquote>周一，随着华尔街权衡COVID-19病例增加可能对美国和全球经济复苏产生的影响，股市暴跌。道指大跌逾700点，创10月以来最大跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> \"Valuations across the market as a whole had become stretched and we were due for a pullback, but many of the cyclical companies are selling off on fears that COVID will stop the recovery in its tracks,\" said&nbsp;Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance.</p><p><blockquote>首席投资官克里斯·扎卡雷利(Chris Zaccarelli)表示：“整个市场的估值已经过高，我们应该会回调，但许多周期性公司正在抛售，因为担心新冠疫情会阻止复苏。”独立顾问联盟。</blockquote></p><p> \"We don’t believe that that’s the case and are willing to let the selloff run its course and buy the dip on the belief that the economy will fully recover and return to its prior growth trajectory, bringing most of the cyclical companies in the airline, travel and leisure industries along with it,\"&nbsp;Zaccarelli&nbsp;added.</p><p><blockquote>“我们不认为情况是这样，我们愿意让抛售顺其自然，逢低买入，因为我们相信经济将完全复苏并恢复到之前的增长轨迹，从而将大多数周期性公司带入航空公司、旅游和休闲行业，”扎卡雷利补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark U.S. crude rose 0.63% to $66.84 a barrel early Tuesday after tumbling on worries a resurgence of COVID-19 would sap energy demand.</p><p><blockquote>周二早盘，美国基准原油上涨0.63%，至每桶66.84美元，此前因担心COVID-19死灰复燃将削弱能源需求而暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Tuesday's Calendar: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix, Inc.</a> and Chipotle Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.星期二的日历：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">网飞公司。</a>和Chipotle收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports are expected Tuesday from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>&nbsp;(<b>NFLX</b>) , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a>&nbsp;(<b>PM</b>) ,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">Intuitive Surgical</a>&nbsp;(<b>ISRG</b>) , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> Airlines&nbsp;(<b>UAL</b>) , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">Chipotle Mexican Grill</a>&nbsp;(<b>CMG</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRV\">Travelers</a>&nbsp;(<b>TRV</b>) .</p><p><blockquote>预计将于周二发布收益报告<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a> (<b>NFLX</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a> (<b>PM</b>), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">直观手术</a> (<b>ISRG</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>航空公司（<b>UAL</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">墨西哥烤肉店</a> (<b>CMG</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRV\">旅行者</a> (<b>TRV</b>).</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;economic calendar&nbsp;in the U.S. Tuesday includes&nbsp;Housing Starts and Permits for June at 8:30 a.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>美国周二经济日历包括美国东部时间上午8:30的6月份新屋开工和许可。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Jeff Bezos Prepares for Liftoff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.杰夫·贝索斯准备升空</b></blockquote></p><p> Jeff Bezos, the founder and executive chairman of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a>&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>) and the richest man on Earth, will be leaving solid ground Tuesday on a flight to space.</p><p><blockquote>杰夫·贝索斯，创始人兼执行主席<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a> (<b>AMZN</b>）和地球上最富有的人将于周二离开坚实的地面飞往太空。</blockquote></p><p> Bezos's Blue Origin space-flight startup will blast him and three other space tourists 66 miles above Earth in a fully autonomous rocket and capsule.</p><p><blockquote>贝佐斯的蓝色起源太空飞行初创公司将乘坐完全自主的火箭和太空舱将他和其他三名太空游客炸到地球上空66英里处。</blockquote></p><p> His trip comes a little more than a week after&nbsp;fellow entrepreneur&nbsp;Richard Branson, the founder of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">Virgin Galactic</a>&nbsp;(<b>SPCE</b>) ,&nbsp;made the trip to low-Earth orbit space.</p><p><blockquote>他此行距同为企业家的理查德·布兰森(Richard Branson)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">维珍银河</a> (<b>SPCE</b>），进行了近地轨道太空之旅。</blockquote></p><p> Bezos will be accompanied by his brother Mark; Mary Wallace Funk, an aviation pioneer who at 82 will be the oldest person to go into space; and Oliver Daemen, who at 18 will bethe youngest person to ever go into space.</p><p><blockquote>贝佐斯将由哥哥马克陪同；玛丽·华莱士·芬克，82岁的航空先驱，将成为进入太空的最年长的人；还有奥利弗·代蒙，18岁的他将成为有史以来进入太空的最年轻的人。</blockquote></p><p> \"We'll be building a road to space for the next generation to do amazing things, and those amazing things will improve things here on Earth,\" Bezos said at a news conference at Launch Site One in Van Horn, Texas. \"We really believe this flight is safe.\"</p><p><blockquote>贝佐斯在德克萨斯州范霍恩一号发射场举行的新闻发布会上表示：“我们将为下一代建造一条通往太空的道路，让他们做出令人惊叹的事情，而这些令人惊叹的事情将改善地球上的一切。”“我们真的相信这次飞行是安全的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Nvidia's Stock Outperforms</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.英伟达股票跑赢大盘</b></blockquote></p><p> Nvidia&nbsp;(<b>NVDA</b>) was rising in premarket trading Tuesday, a day after thechipmaker&nbsp;rose while many of its competitors fellin Monday's market swoon.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达(<b>NVDA</b>）在周二盘前交易中上涨，此前一天，该芯片制造商股价上涨，而其许多竞争对手在周一的市场中下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia's stock will be split&nbsp;4-for-1 on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达的股票将于周二进行4比1的分割。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Nvidia rose 0.88% to $189.45 early Tuesday after jumping 3.41% during the previous session.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价继前一交易日上涨3.41%后，周二早盘上涨0.88%至189.45美元。</blockquote></p><p> The stock has risen nearly 80% over the past year, giving it a market value of around $453 billion. That is more than rivals <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>&nbsp;(<b>INTC</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>&nbsp;(<b>AVGO</b>) combined, a story in The Wall Street Journal noted.</p><p><blockquote>该股在过去一年中上涨了近80%，市值约为4530亿美元。这超过了竞争对手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a> (<b>INTC</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> (<b>AVGO</b>）综合起来，华尔街日报的一篇报道指出。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the company’s first-quarter earnings,which were better than expected.</p><p><blockquote>自英伟达第一季度财报好于预期以来，分析师对该公司赞不绝口。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TST\">TheStreet</a>'sBrent Kenwell wrote earlier this month that after a recent declineNvidia shares represented a buy-the-dip candidate.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TST\">街道</a>布伦特·肯威尔(Brent Kenwell)本月早些时候写道，在最近下跌之后，Envidia股票是逢低买入的候选者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Apple Delays a Return to Offices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.苹果推迟返回办公室</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> </b>reportedly has pushed back the date it expects employees to return to the tech giant's offices because of a resurgence of COVID variants across many countries.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>据报道，由于新冠病毒变种在许多国家死灰复燃，该公司推迟了员工返回这家科技巨头办公室的日期。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has extended the deadline by&nbsp;at least a month to October at the earliest, Bloomberg reported, citing&nbsp;people familiar with the matter.</p><p><blockquote>彭博社援引知情人士的话报道称，苹果已将最后期限延长至少一个月，最早将至10月。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Tim Cook had said in June that employees should begin returning to offices in early September for at least three days a week.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook)曾在6月份表示，员工应从9月初开始返回办公室，每周至少工作三天。</blockquote></p><p> But that directive has changed with the&nbsp;iPhone maker becoming <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the first U.S. tech giants to delay plans for a return to the office. Apple will give its employees at least a month’s warning before mandating a return to offices, people told Bloomberg.</p><p><blockquote>但随着iPhone制造商成为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>是首批推迟重返办公室计划的美国科技巨头之一。知情人士告诉彭博社，苹果将在强制员工返回办公室之前向员工发出至少一个月的警告。</blockquote></p><p> The stock gained 0.39% in premarket trading to $143. Shares fell 2.69% on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>该股在盘前交易中上涨0.39%，至143美元。周一股价下跌2.69%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia, Blue Origin and Jeff Bezos, Apple, Netflix - 5 Things You Must Know Tuesday<blockquote>Nvidia、蓝色起源和杰夫·贝索斯、苹果、Netflix——周二你必须知道的5件事</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia, Blue Origin and Jeff Bezos, Apple, Netflix - 5 Things You Must Know Tuesday<blockquote>Nvidia、蓝色起源和杰夫·贝索斯、苹果、Netflix——周二你必须知道的5件事</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-20 19:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock futures indicate Wall Street will claw back some losses from Monday's selloff; Jeff Bezos prepares for liftoff into space; Nvidia outperforms its peers; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> delays a return to the office.</p><p><blockquote>股票期货表明华尔街将从周一的抛售中挽回部分损失；杰夫·贝索斯准备升空；英伟达的表现优于同行；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>延迟返回办公室。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five things you must know for Tuesday, July 20:</p><p><blockquote>以下是7月20日星期二您必须了解的五件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Stock Futures Indicate a Modest Recovery From Monday's Rout</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.股票期货显示从周一的暴跌中温和复苏</b></blockquote></p><p> Stock futures traded higher Tuesday, indicating Wall Street will claw back some losses from Monday's selloff as investors turned their attention to a slew of earnings reports.</p><p><blockquote>股指期货周二走高，表明随着投资者将注意力转向一系列财报，华尔街将从周一的抛售中收复部分失地。</blockquote></p><p> Contracts linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 205 points, S&amp;P 500 futures were up 21 points and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> futures gained 75 points.</p><p><blockquote>与道琼斯工业平均指数挂钩的合约上涨205点，标普500期货上涨21点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>期货上涨75点。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury fell Tuesday to 1.179%. It fell below 1.2% on Monday to the lowest levels since February as investors moved into safe-haven assets.</p><p><blockquote>基准10年期国债收益率周二跌至1.179%。随着投资者转向避险资产，该指数周一跌破1.2%，至2月份以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks plummeted Mondayas Wall Street weighed what impact rising COVID-19 cases may have on the economic recovery in the U.S. and globally. The Dow dropped more than 700 points, its worst decline since October.</p><p><blockquote>周一，随着华尔街权衡COVID-19病例增加可能对美国和全球经济复苏产生的影响，股市暴跌。道指大跌逾700点，创10月以来最大跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> \"Valuations across the market as a whole had become stretched and we were due for a pullback, but many of the cyclical companies are selling off on fears that COVID will stop the recovery in its tracks,\" said&nbsp;Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance.</p><p><blockquote>首席投资官克里斯·扎卡雷利(Chris Zaccarelli)表示：“整个市场的估值已经过高，我们应该会回调，但许多周期性公司正在抛售，因为担心新冠疫情会阻止复苏。”独立顾问联盟。</blockquote></p><p> \"We don’t believe that that’s the case and are willing to let the selloff run its course and buy the dip on the belief that the economy will fully recover and return to its prior growth trajectory, bringing most of the cyclical companies in the airline, travel and leisure industries along with it,\"&nbsp;Zaccarelli&nbsp;added.</p><p><blockquote>“我们不认为情况是这样，我们愿意让抛售顺其自然，逢低买入，因为我们相信经济将完全复苏并恢复到之前的增长轨迹，从而将大多数周期性公司带入航空公司、旅游和休闲行业，”扎卡雷利补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark U.S. crude rose 0.63% to $66.84 a barrel early Tuesday after tumbling on worries a resurgence of COVID-19 would sap energy demand.</p><p><blockquote>周二早盘，美国基准原油上涨0.63%，至每桶66.84美元，此前因担心COVID-19死灰复燃将削弱能源需求而暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Tuesday's Calendar: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix, Inc.</a> and Chipotle Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.星期二的日历：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">网飞公司。</a>和Chipotle收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports are expected Tuesday from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>&nbsp;(<b>NFLX</b>) , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a>&nbsp;(<b>PM</b>) ,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">Intuitive Surgical</a>&nbsp;(<b>ISRG</b>) , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> Airlines&nbsp;(<b>UAL</b>) , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">Chipotle Mexican Grill</a>&nbsp;(<b>CMG</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRV\">Travelers</a>&nbsp;(<b>TRV</b>) .</p><p><blockquote>预计将于周二发布收益报告<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a> (<b>NFLX</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a> (<b>PM</b>), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">直观手术</a> (<b>ISRG</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>航空公司（<b>UAL</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">墨西哥烤肉店</a> (<b>CMG</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRV\">旅行者</a> (<b>TRV</b>).</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;economic calendar&nbsp;in the U.S. Tuesday includes&nbsp;Housing Starts and Permits for June at 8:30 a.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>美国周二经济日历包括美国东部时间上午8:30的6月份新屋开工和许可。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Jeff Bezos Prepares for Liftoff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.杰夫·贝索斯准备升空</b></blockquote></p><p> Jeff Bezos, the founder and executive chairman of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a>&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>) and the richest man on Earth, will be leaving solid ground Tuesday on a flight to space.</p><p><blockquote>杰夫·贝索斯，创始人兼执行主席<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a> (<b>AMZN</b>）和地球上最富有的人将于周二离开坚实的地面飞往太空。</blockquote></p><p> Bezos's Blue Origin space-flight startup will blast him and three other space tourists 66 miles above Earth in a fully autonomous rocket and capsule.</p><p><blockquote>贝佐斯的蓝色起源太空飞行初创公司将乘坐完全自主的火箭和太空舱将他和其他三名太空游客炸到地球上空66英里处。</blockquote></p><p> His trip comes a little more than a week after&nbsp;fellow entrepreneur&nbsp;Richard Branson, the founder of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">Virgin Galactic</a>&nbsp;(<b>SPCE</b>) ,&nbsp;made the trip to low-Earth orbit space.</p><p><blockquote>他此行距同为企业家的理查德·布兰森(Richard Branson)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">维珍银河</a> (<b>SPCE</b>），进行了近地轨道太空之旅。</blockquote></p><p> Bezos will be accompanied by his brother Mark; Mary Wallace Funk, an aviation pioneer who at 82 will be the oldest person to go into space; and Oliver Daemen, who at 18 will bethe youngest person to ever go into space.</p><p><blockquote>贝佐斯将由哥哥马克陪同；玛丽·华莱士·芬克，82岁的航空先驱，将成为进入太空的最年长的人；还有奥利弗·代蒙，18岁的他将成为有史以来进入太空的最年轻的人。</blockquote></p><p> \"We'll be building a road to space for the next generation to do amazing things, and those amazing things will improve things here on Earth,\" Bezos said at a news conference at Launch Site One in Van Horn, Texas. \"We really believe this flight is safe.\"</p><p><blockquote>贝佐斯在德克萨斯州范霍恩一号发射场举行的新闻发布会上表示：“我们将为下一代建造一条通往太空的道路，让他们做出令人惊叹的事情，而这些令人惊叹的事情将改善地球上的一切。”“我们真的相信这次飞行是安全的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Nvidia's Stock Outperforms</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.英伟达股票跑赢大盘</b></blockquote></p><p> Nvidia&nbsp;(<b>NVDA</b>) was rising in premarket trading Tuesday, a day after thechipmaker&nbsp;rose while many of its competitors fellin Monday's market swoon.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达(<b>NVDA</b>）在周二盘前交易中上涨，此前一天，该芯片制造商股价上涨，而其许多竞争对手在周一的市场中下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia's stock will be split&nbsp;4-for-1 on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达的股票将于周二进行4比1的分割。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Nvidia rose 0.88% to $189.45 early Tuesday after jumping 3.41% during the previous session.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价继前一交易日上涨3.41%后，周二早盘上涨0.88%至189.45美元。</blockquote></p><p> The stock has risen nearly 80% over the past year, giving it a market value of around $453 billion. That is more than rivals <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>&nbsp;(<b>INTC</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>&nbsp;(<b>AVGO</b>) combined, a story in The Wall Street Journal noted.</p><p><blockquote>该股在过去一年中上涨了近80%，市值约为4530亿美元。这超过了竞争对手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a> (<b>INTC</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> (<b>AVGO</b>）综合起来，华尔街日报的一篇报道指出。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the company’s first-quarter earnings,which were better than expected.</p><p><blockquote>自英伟达第一季度财报好于预期以来，分析师对该公司赞不绝口。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TST\">TheStreet</a>'sBrent Kenwell wrote earlier this month that after a recent declineNvidia shares represented a buy-the-dip candidate.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TST\">街道</a>布伦特·肯威尔(Brent Kenwell)本月早些时候写道，在最近下跌之后，Envidia股票是逢低买入的候选者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Apple Delays a Return to Offices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.苹果推迟返回办公室</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> </b>reportedly has pushed back the date it expects employees to return to the tech giant's offices because of a resurgence of COVID variants across many countries.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>据报道，由于新冠病毒变种在许多国家死灰复燃，该公司推迟了员工返回这家科技巨头办公室的日期。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has extended the deadline by&nbsp;at least a month to October at the earliest, Bloomberg reported, citing&nbsp;people familiar with the matter.</p><p><blockquote>彭博社援引知情人士的话报道称，苹果已将最后期限延长至少一个月，最早将至10月。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Tim Cook had said in June that employees should begin returning to offices in early September for at least three days a week.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook)曾在6月份表示，员工应从9月初开始返回办公室，每周至少工作三天。</blockquote></p><p> But that directive has changed with the&nbsp;iPhone maker becoming <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the first U.S. tech giants to delay plans for a return to the office. Apple will give its employees at least a month’s warning before mandating a return to offices, people told Bloomberg.</p><p><blockquote>但随着iPhone制造商成为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>是首批推迟重返办公室计划的美国科技巨头之一。知情人士告诉彭博社，苹果将在强制员工返回办公室之前向员工发出至少一个月的警告。</blockquote></p><p> The stock gained 0.39% in premarket trading to $143. Shares fell 2.69% on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>该股在盘前交易中上涨0.39%，至143美元。周一股价下跌2.69%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/markets/5-things-you-must-know-before-market-opens-tuesday-072021\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","UAL":"联合大陆航空","NFLX":"奈飞","AAPL":"苹果","SPCE":"维珍银河","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","AMZN":"亚马逊","INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/markets/5-things-you-must-know-before-market-opens-tuesday-072021","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158912810","content_text":"Stock futures indicate Wall Street will claw back some losses from Monday's selloff; Jeff Bezos prepares for liftoff into space; Nvidia outperforms its peers; Apple delays a return to the office.\nHere are five things you must know for Tuesday, July 20:\n1. Stock Futures Indicate a Modest Recovery From Monday's Rout\nStock futures traded higher Tuesday, indicating Wall Street will claw back some losses from Monday's selloff as investors turned their attention to a slew of earnings reports.\nContracts linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 205 points, S&P 500 futures were up 21 points and Nasdaq futures gained 75 points.\nThe yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury fell Tuesday to 1.179%. It fell below 1.2% on Monday to the lowest levels since February as investors moved into safe-haven assets.\nStocks plummeted Mondayas Wall Street weighed what impact rising COVID-19 cases may have on the economic recovery in the U.S. and globally. The Dow dropped more than 700 points, its worst decline since October.\n\"Valuations across the market as a whole had become stretched and we were due for a pullback, but many of the cyclical companies are selling off on fears that COVID will stop the recovery in its tracks,\" said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance.\n\"We don’t believe that that’s the case and are willing to let the selloff run its course and buy the dip on the belief that the economy will fully recover and return to its prior growth trajectory, bringing most of the cyclical companies in the airline, travel and leisure industries along with it,\" Zaccarelli added.\nBenchmark U.S. crude rose 0.63% to $66.84 a barrel early Tuesday after tumbling on worries a resurgence of COVID-19 would sap energy demand.\n2. Tuesday's Calendar: Netflix, Inc. and Chipotle Earnings\nEarnings reports are expected Tuesday from Netflix (NFLX) , Philip Morris (PM) , Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) , United Airlines (UAL) , Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) and Travelers (TRV) .\nThe economic calendar in the U.S. Tuesday includes Housing Starts and Permits for June at 8:30 a.m. ET.\n3. Jeff Bezos Prepares for Liftoff\nJeff Bezos, the founder and executive chairman of Amazon.com (AMZN) and the richest man on Earth, will be leaving solid ground Tuesday on a flight to space.\nBezos's Blue Origin space-flight startup will blast him and three other space tourists 66 miles above Earth in a fully autonomous rocket and capsule.\nHis trip comes a little more than a week after fellow entrepreneur Richard Branson, the founder of Virgin Galactic (SPCE) , made the trip to low-Earth orbit space.\nBezos will be accompanied by his brother Mark; Mary Wallace Funk, an aviation pioneer who at 82 will be the oldest person to go into space; and Oliver Daemen, who at 18 will bethe youngest person to ever go into space.\n\"We'll be building a road to space for the next generation to do amazing things, and those amazing things will improve things here on Earth,\" Bezos said at a news conference at Launch Site One in Van Horn, Texas. \"We really believe this flight is safe.\"\n4. Nvidia's Stock Outperforms\nNvidia (NVDA) was rising in premarket trading Tuesday, a day after thechipmaker rose while many of its competitors fellin Monday's market swoon.\nNvidia's stock will be split 4-for-1 on Tuesday.\nShares of Nvidia rose 0.88% to $189.45 early Tuesday after jumping 3.41% during the previous session.\nThe stock has risen nearly 80% over the past year, giving it a market value of around $453 billion. That is more than rivals Intel (INTC) and Broadcom (AVGO) combined, a story in The Wall Street Journal noted.\nAnalysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the company’s first-quarter earnings,which were better than expected.\nTheStreet'sBrent Kenwell wrote earlier this month that after a recent declineNvidia shares represented a buy-the-dip candidate.\n5. Apple Delays a Return to Offices\nApple reportedly has pushed back the date it expects employees to return to the tech giant's offices because of a resurgence of COVID variants across many countries.\nApple has extended the deadline by at least a month to October at the earliest, Bloomberg reported, citing people familiar with the matter.\nCEO Tim Cook had said in June that employees should begin returning to offices in early September for at least three days a week.\nBut that directive has changed with the iPhone maker becoming one of the first U.S. tech giants to delay plans for a return to the office. Apple will give its employees at least a month’s warning before mandating a return to offices, people told Bloomberg.\nThe stock gained 0.39% in premarket trading to $143. Shares fell 2.69% on Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"SPCE":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"UAL":0.9,"QNETCN":0.9,"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173809255,"gmtCreate":1626650992877,"gmtModify":1633925339163,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173809255","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179745552,"gmtCreate":1626580908976,"gmtModify":1633925696509,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179745552","repostId":"1183956332","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179660528,"gmtCreate":1626519216164,"gmtModify":1633926082096,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179660528","repostId":"1198202103","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147903497,"gmtCreate":1626324299519,"gmtModify":1633927844309,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147903497","repostId":"1122873304","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122873304","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626320892,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122873304?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 11:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation: The Next Stage Of The Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031<blockquote>通货膨胀：2007-2031年全球金融危机的下一阶段</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122873304","media":"zerohedge","summary":"“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”“Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”…The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.I should warn readers this morning’","content":"<p><i>“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“人所行的恶，必后生；善人常与尸骨一同埋葬。凯撒也是如此。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>What Inflation? “Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”… The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>什么通货膨胀？“哦，这没什么好担心的，央行别无选择，只能继续刺激市场”……市场如此关注短期，忽视了过去10年量化宽松、货币实验和宽松利率的后果，以至于它陷入了下一场危机。通货膨胀很重要，而且已经从金融资产跳到了实体经济。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <i>I should warn readers this morning’s porridge is going to be yet another of my irregular notes on how the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) which began in 2007 is still with us.. We’re just moving on to a new stage… Enjoy Chapter 384 of&nbsp;The Fall of Money – The GFC: 2007-2031.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>我应该警告读者，今天早上的粥将是我关于2007年开始的全球金融危机（“GFC”）如何仍然伴随着我们的又一次不定期笔记..我们正在进入一个新的阶段……欣赏《金钱的陨落——GFC：2007-2031》的第384章。</i></blockquote></p><p> This morning – What inflation?</p><p><blockquote>今天早上——什么通货膨胀？</blockquote></p><p> Huh? Last week the market convinced itself inflation&nbsp;<i><u>apparently</u></i>wasn’t an issue. Yield curves flattened, bonds tightened, and even though stocks were anticipating the best-ever-earnings-season, there was&nbsp;<i><u>absolutely</u></i>&nbsp;nothing to worry about in terms of rising prices… Apparently…</p><p><blockquote>啊？上周市场确信通胀<i><u>显然</u></i>不是问题。收益率曲线变平，债券收紧，尽管股市预计将迎来有史以来最好的财报季，但<i><u>绝对地</u></i>价格上涨没什么可担心的……显然……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apparently</b>and&nbsp;<b>Absolutely</b>&nbsp;are two very dangerous words in finance… They raise the likelihood you’ve got it completely wrong, ie:&nbsp;<i>Apparently</i>&nbsp;you couldn’t lose, but you did… Returns were&nbsp;<i>Absolutely</i>guaranteed.. till the company went burst.</p><p><blockquote><b>显然</b>和<b>绝对地</b>在金融领域是两个非常危险的词……它们增加了你完全弄错的可能性，即：<i>显然</i>你不能输，但你输了……回报是<i>绝对地</i>保证..直到公司倒闭。</blockquote></p><p> As we’ve learn’t this morning UK Inflation has risen to 2.5% – raising the prospect of a letter from the Bank explaining why. The headline US CPI data yesterday was even stronger – 5.4% yoy, and 0.9% over the last month! That’s not quite Zimbabwe but… you get the drift… When it happens in Europe… well the Germans are going to have a monumental hissy fit. (Top investment tip: stay long wheelbarrows.)</p><p><blockquote>正如我们今天早上了解到的那样，英国通胀率已升至2.5%，这增加了央行致函解释原因的可能性。昨天的总体美国CPI数据甚至更强劲——同比增长5.4%，比上个月增长0.9%！这不完全是津巴布韦，但是…你明白了…当它发生在欧洲时…德国人会大发脾气。（顶级投资提示：长期使用独轮车。）</blockquote></p><p> Inflation matters. Its critical to bonds and long-term returns. The market should look like it’s been slapped with the Wet-Halibut of Rampant Inflation, but, it doesn’t seem to have learnt the lesson. This morning, the financial-commentariat is awash with analysis of how the Fed, BoE and ECB will all hold off from any hint of “taper” response to inflation, in order to keep frothy markets from collapsing.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀很重要。这对债券和长期回报至关重要。市场应该看起来像是被猖獗的通胀打了一巴掌，但是，它似乎还没有吸取教训。今天早上，金融评论充斥着对美联储、英国央行和欧洲央行将如何避免对通胀做出任何“缩减”反应的暗示，以防止泡沫市场崩溃的分析。</blockquote></p><p> Fed-Watching used to be the delicate art of understanding the indecipherable nuances of Fed-Speak, forensically dissecting the commentary and numbers and drawing conclusions based on a clear understanding of what was left unsaid and the Fed’s mandate.</p><p><blockquote>观察美联储曾经是一门微妙的艺术，可以理解美联储言论中难以理解的细微差别，对评论和数字进行法医剖析，并根据对未说的话和美联储使命的清晰理解得出结论。</blockquote></p><p> Not today.</p><p><blockquote>今天不行。</blockquote></p><p> Fed watching today is about understanding how Jerome Powell and his merry gang are now hamstrung and tripping over themselves about not spooking markets over rate rises, taper-talk or doing anything that might unwind what they’ve being doing the last 12 years – frothing markets with unlimited QE, inappropriate rates, regulation and spin.</p><p><blockquote>美联储今天的观察是为了了解杰罗姆·鲍威尔和他的快乐团伙现在是如何被束缚和绊倒的，因为他们没有因为加息、缩减开支或做任何可能放松他们过去12年所做的事情而惊吓市场——泡沫市场无限量化宽松、不适当的利率、监管和旋转。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The brutal reality is the Central Bankers,&nbsp;</b><b><i>who are all honourable men and women</i></b><b>, understand the levers they pull no longer function as they once did. Why? Well, these honourable men and women have broken the system as a consequence of their actions. Oops. Now they have no choice but to follow.. which means trouble ahead until the global financial system can be resolved.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>残酷的现实是央行行长们，</b><b><i>他们都是可敬的男男女女</i></b><b>，明白他们拉动的杠杆不再像以前那样发挥作用了。为什么？好吧，这些可敬的男人和女人因为他们的行为而打破了这个系统。哎呀。现在他们别无选择，只能跟随..这意味着在全球金融体系得到解决之前，麻烦还在后头。</b></blockquote></p><p> The start reality is Central Banks have no answer to inflation except to hope and carry on. They are caught between the Scylla of Inflation and the Charybdis of a market collapse. Eek! Which is why so many analysts are confident the markets will win out and keep going higher – because central banks have little choice but to go with it and keep up the stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>最初的现实是，央行除了希望和坚持之外，对通胀没有答案。他们被夹在通货膨胀的“锡拉”和市场崩溃的“腹背受敌”之间。哎呀！这就是为什么如此多的分析师相信市场将获胜并继续走高——因为央行别无选择，只能随波逐流并继续刺激。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Most of the market is fixated on what the S&amp;P does this afternoon, what new high the NASDAQ will make this month, or where Amazon is going to top this quarter. They have the vision of a blind man when it comes to anything much beyond the end of their one-year time horizon. Even the bond market seems blind.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大多数市场关注的是标准普尔指数今天下午的走势、纳斯达克本月将创下什么新高，或者亚马逊本季度将超越何处。当涉及到远远超出他们一年时间范围的任何事情时，他们有一个盲人的视野。甚至债券市场似乎也是盲目的。</b></blockquote></p><p> The reality is investment should be about the long term. If you ignore the future in favour of short-term gains its makes it very easy to dismiss the evidence… that inflation is actually a very, very real issue..</p><p><blockquote>现实是投资应该是长期的。如果你为了短期收益而忽视未来，就很容易忽视证据…通货膨胀实际上是一个非常非常现实的问题..</blockquote></p><p> Lots of smart non-financial assets funds do understand that, and see just how horribly distorted markets have become. That’s why they are so keen to diversify out of corrupted financial assets and into real assets – the hot part of the market (and what I’ve been doing in Alternative Assets for the last 12 years.)</p><p><blockquote>许多聪明的非金融资产基金确实明白这一点，并看到市场已经变得多么扭曲。这就是为什么他们如此热衷于多元化，摆脱腐败的金融资产，进入实物资产——这是市场的热门部分（也是我过去12年来在另类资产领域所做的事情）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Going back to inflation, the outlook is complex – another reason such a large part of the financial blogosphere is ignoring it. For instance; it’s possible to argue the rise in commodity prices is a factor of hoarding; manufacturers anticipating a surge Covid recovery and preparing for massive post-pandemic demand. The spikes in commodities from Copper to Lumber are now in reverse – supporting the market’s contention the inflation number is something of an overshoot.</p><p><blockquote>回到通胀，前景很复杂——这也是金融博客圈如此大一部分人忽视通胀的另一个原因。例如；可以说大宗商品价格上涨是囤积的一个因素；制造商预计新冠疫情复苏将激增，并为大流行后的巨大需求做好准备。从铜到木材等大宗商品的飙升现在已经逆转，这支持了市场关于通胀数据有些超调的论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oil is an outlier.</b>OPEC is a monopoly price setter, but is going through yet another of its periodic organisational crisis resulting in a spike that’s proving difficult to hedge. Owning oil is not a pleasant outcome for anyone – as we saw last year when traders found themselves owning negative priced oil when storage was unavailable.</p><p><blockquote><b>石油是一个异常值。</b>欧佩克是垄断价格制定者，但正在经历另一场周期性组织危机，导致价格飙升，事实证明难以对冲。拥有石油对任何人来说都不是一个愉快的结果——正如我们去年看到的那样，当没有储存时，交易员发现自己拥有负价格的石油。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the important underlying trends in the economy – like used cars, where prices are rising. It hints that its details of specific inflation factors in each price that are important. Cars are a good example – we’re all aware of the global shortage of chips enabling car makers to cut production and create scarcity, pushing up new car prices, dragging second hand values higher as consumers seek alternatives. &nbsp;On the other hand – new car prices have been rising for years, with higher costs “justified” by the increasing amount of tech junk put into cars.. As the EU announces it will outlaw new ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicles by 2040, I wonder if we are going to see a new counter-trend develop.</p><p><blockquote>经济中一些重要的潜在趋势——比如二手车，价格正在上涨。它暗示了它的细节，具体的通货膨胀因素在每个价格是重要的。汽车就是一个很好的例子——我们都知道，全球芯片短缺导致汽车制造商减产并造成短缺，推高新车价格，随着消费者寻求替代品，二手车价格上涨。另一方面，新车价格多年来一直在上涨，越来越多的科技垃圾被投入汽车所证明，更高的成本是“合理的”..随着欧盟宣布到2040年将禁止新型内燃机汽车，我想知道我们是否会看到新的反趋势发展。</blockquote></p><p> To explain, consider the Land Rover:</p><p><blockquote>为了解释这一点，请考虑路虎：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>A 10 year-old low milage, full service history, Range Rover in immaculate condition may be worth £16k. A 20 year battered Defender with zero documents is worth £32k! But you can fix it with Gaffa Tape, WD40 and a hammer. (If it moves and shouldn’t: Gaffa tape it. If it still moves; more Gaffa tape. If it doesn’t move: WD40 and persuade it with a hammer.)</li> </ul> <b>However, inflation complacency may be the least of Central Bank worries. You may have spotted an increasing number of breathless articles from around the globe on House Price Inflation.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>一辆拥有10年低里程、完整保养历史、状况完美的路虎揽胜可能价值1.6万英镑。一个被打了20年却没有任何证件的卫士价值3.2万英镑！但是你可以用Gaffa胶带，WD40和锤子来固定。（如果它动了，不应该：Gaffa胶带它。如果它仍然动；更多的Gaffa胶带。如果它不动：WD40并用锤子说服它。）</li></ul><b>然而，通胀自满可能是央行最不担心的问题。你可能已经发现了越来越多来自全球各地的关于房价通胀的令人窒息的文章。</b></blockquote></p><p> Everywhere on the planet the affluent classes – those with savings, who’ve done well from lockdown, and already on the property ladder – have been driving an uptick in property. Its debt fuelled and an illiquid market – no one sells till they see what they want to buy, and the ladder is actually a pyramid, with fewer assets on each successively higher rung.</p><p><blockquote>在地球上的任何地方，富裕阶层——那些有储蓄的人，那些在封锁期间过得很好，并且已经在房地产阶梯上的人——一直在推动房地产价格的上涨。它助长了债务和缺乏流动性的市场——没有人会卖出，直到他们看到他们想买的东西，阶梯实际上是一个金字塔，每一个连续更高的梯级上的资产都越来越少。</blockquote></p><p> The result is record home prices nearly everywhere. This week Powell and US Treasury Sec Janet Yellen are going to chat about it at the Financial Stability Oversight Council – a body setup post Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) in 2010 to identify excessive risks to the US Financial System. About time.. Housing is more frothy than 2007 according to the Case-Shiller US property value index. (Incidentally… so is just about any other market…but, I;ve said that many times before..)</p><p><blockquote>结果是几乎所有地方的房价都创历史新高。本周，鲍威尔和美国财政部Sec珍妮特·耶伦(Janet Yellen)将在金融稳定监督委员会(Financial Stability Oversight Council)上谈论此事，该委员会是2010年全球金融危机(“GFC”)后成立的机构，旨在识别美国金融体系的过度风险。差不多时间了..根据Case-Shiller美国房地产价值指数，房地产泡沫比2007年更大。（顺便说一句……其他市场也是如此……但是，我以前已经说过很多次了……）</blockquote></p><p> Rightly, Janet and Jerome are concerned a second housing bubble bursting could shake the foundations of finance… again. However, this time will be different. The housing market is not vulnerable to a massive number of low-credit-score mortgagees defaulting, but to a large number of affluent middle classes suddenly finding themselves financial stretched, on a rung of the ladder they can’t afford, and sitting on negative equity when the bubble bursts.</p><p><blockquote>珍妮特和杰罗姆担心第二次房地产泡沫破裂可能会再次动摇金融的基础，这是正确的。然而，这一次会有所不同。房地产市场并不容易受到大量低信用评分抵押贷款人违约的影响，而是容易受到大量富裕中产阶级突然发现自己财务捉襟见肘，处于他们负担不起的阶梯上，并坐在负资产上泡沫破裂时。</blockquote></p><p> In the UK, we live with negative equity. In the US, you walk away. Whatever, these consumers consume less.</p><p><blockquote>在英国，我们生活在负资产中。在美国，你走开。不管怎样，这些消费者消费更少。</blockquote></p><p> The structure of the market has also changed. Banks don’t lend anymore. They broke their risks off to the investment sector. In the case of US mortgages – back to government through the Mortgage Backed Bond buyback schemes, and to the non-bank financial institutions than now finance, originate and service mortgages…</p><p><blockquote>市场的结构也发生了变化。银行不再放贷了。他们将风险转移到了投资领域。就美国抵押贷款而言——通过抵押贷款支持债券回购计划返还给政府，并返还给现在融资、发放和服务抵押贷款的非银行金融机构……</blockquote></p><p> <b>This is going to be the really big problem of the next stage of the Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031.</b>Real Assets! Smart money has been loading up on real assets on the basis they are decorrelated from the increasingly corrupted financial asset sector, but they reality is real assets from property, private equity, secured lending, aircraft, shipping, you-name-it, is now getting just as frothy as a result of all that inflation tied up in financial assets now spilling into the real economy…</p><p><blockquote><b>这将是2007-2031年全球金融危机下一阶段的真正大问题。</b>实物资产！聪明的资金一直在买入实物资产，因为它们与日益腐败的金融资产行业无关，但现实是，来自房地产、私募股权、担保贷款、飞机、航运等领域的实物资产，现在都变得越来越泡沫由于所有与金融资产相关的通货膨胀现在蔓延到实体经济……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financial Asset Inflation has infected the real economy….</b></p><p><blockquote><b>金融资产通胀已经感染了实体经济。</b></blockquote></p><p> Time to think again… All these honourable men and women in Central Banks must dread Caesar’s ghost coming back to haunt the monetary experiment they started in 2010 going so badly wrong…</p><p><blockquote>是时候重新思考了……央行里所有这些可敬的男男女女一定害怕凯撒的鬼魂会回来困扰他们在2010年开始的货币实验，结果却出了如此严重的问题……</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation: The Next Stage Of The Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031<blockquote>通货膨胀：2007-2031年全球金融危机的下一阶段</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation: The Next Stage Of The Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031<blockquote>通货膨胀：2007-2031年全球金融危机的下一阶段</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-15 11:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i>“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“人所行的恶，必后生；善人常与尸骨一同埋葬。凯撒也是如此。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>What Inflation? “Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”… The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>什么通货膨胀？“哦，这没什么好担心的，央行别无选择，只能继续刺激市场”……市场如此关注短期，忽视了过去10年量化宽松、货币实验和宽松利率的后果，以至于它陷入了下一场危机。通货膨胀很重要，而且已经从金融资产跳到了实体经济。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <i>I should warn readers this morning’s porridge is going to be yet another of my irregular notes on how the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) which began in 2007 is still with us.. We’re just moving on to a new stage… Enjoy Chapter 384 of&nbsp;The Fall of Money – The GFC: 2007-2031.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>我应该警告读者，今天早上的粥将是我关于2007年开始的全球金融危机（“GFC”）如何仍然伴随着我们的又一次不定期笔记..我们正在进入一个新的阶段……欣赏《金钱的陨落——GFC：2007-2031》的第384章。</i></blockquote></p><p> This morning – What inflation?</p><p><blockquote>今天早上——什么通货膨胀？</blockquote></p><p> Huh? Last week the market convinced itself inflation&nbsp;<i><u>apparently</u></i>wasn’t an issue. Yield curves flattened, bonds tightened, and even though stocks were anticipating the best-ever-earnings-season, there was&nbsp;<i><u>absolutely</u></i>&nbsp;nothing to worry about in terms of rising prices… Apparently…</p><p><blockquote>啊？上周市场确信通胀<i><u>显然</u></i>不是问题。收益率曲线变平，债券收紧，尽管股市预计将迎来有史以来最好的财报季，但<i><u>绝对地</u></i>价格上涨没什么可担心的……显然……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apparently</b>and&nbsp;<b>Absolutely</b>&nbsp;are two very dangerous words in finance… They raise the likelihood you’ve got it completely wrong, ie:&nbsp;<i>Apparently</i>&nbsp;you couldn’t lose, but you did… Returns were&nbsp;<i>Absolutely</i>guaranteed.. till the company went burst.</p><p><blockquote><b>显然</b>和<b>绝对地</b>在金融领域是两个非常危险的词……它们增加了你完全弄错的可能性，即：<i>显然</i>你不能输，但你输了……回报是<i>绝对地</i>保证..直到公司倒闭。</blockquote></p><p> As we’ve learn’t this morning UK Inflation has risen to 2.5% – raising the prospect of a letter from the Bank explaining why. The headline US CPI data yesterday was even stronger – 5.4% yoy, and 0.9% over the last month! That’s not quite Zimbabwe but… you get the drift… When it happens in Europe… well the Germans are going to have a monumental hissy fit. (Top investment tip: stay long wheelbarrows.)</p><p><blockquote>正如我们今天早上了解到的那样，英国通胀率已升至2.5%，这增加了央行致函解释原因的可能性。昨天的总体美国CPI数据甚至更强劲——同比增长5.4%，比上个月增长0.9%！这不完全是津巴布韦，但是…你明白了…当它发生在欧洲时…德国人会大发脾气。（顶级投资提示：长期使用独轮车。）</blockquote></p><p> Inflation matters. Its critical to bonds and long-term returns. The market should look like it’s been slapped with the Wet-Halibut of Rampant Inflation, but, it doesn’t seem to have learnt the lesson. This morning, the financial-commentariat is awash with analysis of how the Fed, BoE and ECB will all hold off from any hint of “taper” response to inflation, in order to keep frothy markets from collapsing.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀很重要。这对债券和长期回报至关重要。市场应该看起来像是被猖獗的通胀打了一巴掌，但是，它似乎还没有吸取教训。今天早上，金融评论充斥着对美联储、英国央行和欧洲央行将如何避免对通胀做出任何“缩减”反应的暗示，以防止泡沫市场崩溃的分析。</blockquote></p><p> Fed-Watching used to be the delicate art of understanding the indecipherable nuances of Fed-Speak, forensically dissecting the commentary and numbers and drawing conclusions based on a clear understanding of what was left unsaid and the Fed’s mandate.</p><p><blockquote>观察美联储曾经是一门微妙的艺术，可以理解美联储言论中难以理解的细微差别，对评论和数字进行法医剖析，并根据对未说的话和美联储使命的清晰理解得出结论。</blockquote></p><p> Not today.</p><p><blockquote>今天不行。</blockquote></p><p> Fed watching today is about understanding how Jerome Powell and his merry gang are now hamstrung and tripping over themselves about not spooking markets over rate rises, taper-talk or doing anything that might unwind what they’ve being doing the last 12 years – frothing markets with unlimited QE, inappropriate rates, regulation and spin.</p><p><blockquote>美联储今天的观察是为了了解杰罗姆·鲍威尔和他的快乐团伙现在是如何被束缚和绊倒的，因为他们没有因为加息、缩减开支或做任何可能放松他们过去12年所做的事情而惊吓市场——泡沫市场无限量化宽松、不适当的利率、监管和旋转。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The brutal reality is the Central Bankers,&nbsp;</b><b><i>who are all honourable men and women</i></b><b>, understand the levers they pull no longer function as they once did. Why? Well, these honourable men and women have broken the system as a consequence of their actions. Oops. Now they have no choice but to follow.. which means trouble ahead until the global financial system can be resolved.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>残酷的现实是央行行长们，</b><b><i>他们都是可敬的男男女女</i></b><b>，明白他们拉动的杠杆不再像以前那样发挥作用了。为什么？好吧，这些可敬的男人和女人因为他们的行为而打破了这个系统。哎呀。现在他们别无选择，只能跟随..这意味着在全球金融体系得到解决之前，麻烦还在后头。</b></blockquote></p><p> The start reality is Central Banks have no answer to inflation except to hope and carry on. They are caught between the Scylla of Inflation and the Charybdis of a market collapse. Eek! Which is why so many analysts are confident the markets will win out and keep going higher – because central banks have little choice but to go with it and keep up the stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>最初的现实是，央行除了希望和坚持之外，对通胀没有答案。他们被夹在通货膨胀的“锡拉”和市场崩溃的“腹背受敌”之间。哎呀！这就是为什么如此多的分析师相信市场将获胜并继续走高——因为央行别无选择，只能随波逐流并继续刺激。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Most of the market is fixated on what the S&amp;P does this afternoon, what new high the NASDAQ will make this month, or where Amazon is going to top this quarter. They have the vision of a blind man when it comes to anything much beyond the end of their one-year time horizon. Even the bond market seems blind.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大多数市场关注的是标准普尔指数今天下午的走势、纳斯达克本月将创下什么新高，或者亚马逊本季度将超越何处。当涉及到远远超出他们一年时间范围的任何事情时，他们有一个盲人的视野。甚至债券市场似乎也是盲目的。</b></blockquote></p><p> The reality is investment should be about the long term. If you ignore the future in favour of short-term gains its makes it very easy to dismiss the evidence… that inflation is actually a very, very real issue..</p><p><blockquote>现实是投资应该是长期的。如果你为了短期收益而忽视未来，就很容易忽视证据…通货膨胀实际上是一个非常非常现实的问题..</blockquote></p><p> Lots of smart non-financial assets funds do understand that, and see just how horribly distorted markets have become. That’s why they are so keen to diversify out of corrupted financial assets and into real assets – the hot part of the market (and what I’ve been doing in Alternative Assets for the last 12 years.)</p><p><blockquote>许多聪明的非金融资产基金确实明白这一点，并看到市场已经变得多么扭曲。这就是为什么他们如此热衷于多元化，摆脱腐败的金融资产，进入实物资产——这是市场的热门部分（也是我过去12年来在另类资产领域所做的事情）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Going back to inflation, the outlook is complex – another reason such a large part of the financial blogosphere is ignoring it. For instance; it’s possible to argue the rise in commodity prices is a factor of hoarding; manufacturers anticipating a surge Covid recovery and preparing for massive post-pandemic demand. The spikes in commodities from Copper to Lumber are now in reverse – supporting the market’s contention the inflation number is something of an overshoot.</p><p><blockquote>回到通胀，前景很复杂——这也是金融博客圈如此大一部分人忽视通胀的另一个原因。例如；可以说大宗商品价格上涨是囤积的一个因素；制造商预计新冠疫情复苏将激增，并为大流行后的巨大需求做好准备。从铜到木材等大宗商品的飙升现在已经逆转，这支持了市场关于通胀数据有些超调的论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oil is an outlier.</b>OPEC is a monopoly price setter, but is going through yet another of its periodic organisational crisis resulting in a spike that’s proving difficult to hedge. Owning oil is not a pleasant outcome for anyone – as we saw last year when traders found themselves owning negative priced oil when storage was unavailable.</p><p><blockquote><b>石油是一个异常值。</b>欧佩克是垄断价格制定者，但正在经历另一场周期性组织危机，导致价格飙升，事实证明难以对冲。拥有石油对任何人来说都不是一个愉快的结果——正如我们去年看到的那样，当没有储存时，交易员发现自己拥有负价格的石油。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the important underlying trends in the economy – like used cars, where prices are rising. It hints that its details of specific inflation factors in each price that are important. Cars are a good example – we’re all aware of the global shortage of chips enabling car makers to cut production and create scarcity, pushing up new car prices, dragging second hand values higher as consumers seek alternatives. &nbsp;On the other hand – new car prices have been rising for years, with higher costs “justified” by the increasing amount of tech junk put into cars.. As the EU announces it will outlaw new ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicles by 2040, I wonder if we are going to see a new counter-trend develop.</p><p><blockquote>经济中一些重要的潜在趋势——比如二手车，价格正在上涨。它暗示了它的细节，具体的通货膨胀因素在每个价格是重要的。汽车就是一个很好的例子——我们都知道，全球芯片短缺导致汽车制造商减产并造成短缺，推高新车价格，随着消费者寻求替代品，二手车价格上涨。另一方面，新车价格多年来一直在上涨，越来越多的科技垃圾被投入汽车所证明，更高的成本是“合理的”..随着欧盟宣布到2040年将禁止新型内燃机汽车，我想知道我们是否会看到新的反趋势发展。</blockquote></p><p> To explain, consider the Land Rover:</p><p><blockquote>为了解释这一点，请考虑路虎：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>A 10 year-old low milage, full service history, Range Rover in immaculate condition may be worth £16k. A 20 year battered Defender with zero documents is worth £32k! But you can fix it with Gaffa Tape, WD40 and a hammer. (If it moves and shouldn’t: Gaffa tape it. If it still moves; more Gaffa tape. If it doesn’t move: WD40 and persuade it with a hammer.)</li> </ul> <b>However, inflation complacency may be the least of Central Bank worries. You may have spotted an increasing number of breathless articles from around the globe on House Price Inflation.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>一辆拥有10年低里程、完整保养历史、状况完美的路虎揽胜可能价值1.6万英镑。一个被打了20年却没有任何证件的卫士价值3.2万英镑！但是你可以用Gaffa胶带，WD40和锤子来固定。（如果它动了，不应该：Gaffa胶带它。如果它仍然动；更多的Gaffa胶带。如果它不动：WD40并用锤子说服它。）</li></ul><b>然而，通胀自满可能是央行最不担心的问题。你可能已经发现了越来越多来自全球各地的关于房价通胀的令人窒息的文章。</b></blockquote></p><p> Everywhere on the planet the affluent classes – those with savings, who’ve done well from lockdown, and already on the property ladder – have been driving an uptick in property. Its debt fuelled and an illiquid market – no one sells till they see what they want to buy, and the ladder is actually a pyramid, with fewer assets on each successively higher rung.</p><p><blockquote>在地球上的任何地方，富裕阶层——那些有储蓄的人，那些在封锁期间过得很好，并且已经在房地产阶梯上的人——一直在推动房地产价格的上涨。它助长了债务和缺乏流动性的市场——没有人会卖出，直到他们看到他们想买的东西，阶梯实际上是一个金字塔，每一个连续更高的梯级上的资产都越来越少。</blockquote></p><p> The result is record home prices nearly everywhere. This week Powell and US Treasury Sec Janet Yellen are going to chat about it at the Financial Stability Oversight Council – a body setup post Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) in 2010 to identify excessive risks to the US Financial System. About time.. Housing is more frothy than 2007 according to the Case-Shiller US property value index. (Incidentally… so is just about any other market…but, I;ve said that many times before..)</p><p><blockquote>结果是几乎所有地方的房价都创历史新高。本周，鲍威尔和美国财政部Sec珍妮特·耶伦(Janet Yellen)将在金融稳定监督委员会(Financial Stability Oversight Council)上谈论此事，该委员会是2010年全球金融危机(“GFC”)后成立的机构，旨在识别美国金融体系的过度风险。差不多时间了..根据Case-Shiller美国房地产价值指数，房地产泡沫比2007年更大。（顺便说一句……其他市场也是如此……但是，我以前已经说过很多次了……）</blockquote></p><p> Rightly, Janet and Jerome are concerned a second housing bubble bursting could shake the foundations of finance… again. However, this time will be different. The housing market is not vulnerable to a massive number of low-credit-score mortgagees defaulting, but to a large number of affluent middle classes suddenly finding themselves financial stretched, on a rung of the ladder they can’t afford, and sitting on negative equity when the bubble bursts.</p><p><blockquote>珍妮特和杰罗姆担心第二次房地产泡沫破裂可能会再次动摇金融的基础，这是正确的。然而，这一次会有所不同。房地产市场并不容易受到大量低信用评分抵押贷款人违约的影响，而是容易受到大量富裕中产阶级突然发现自己财务捉襟见肘，处于他们负担不起的阶梯上，并坐在负资产上泡沫破裂时。</blockquote></p><p> In the UK, we live with negative equity. In the US, you walk away. Whatever, these consumers consume less.</p><p><blockquote>在英国，我们生活在负资产中。在美国，你走开。不管怎样，这些消费者消费更少。</blockquote></p><p> The structure of the market has also changed. Banks don’t lend anymore. They broke their risks off to the investment sector. In the case of US mortgages – back to government through the Mortgage Backed Bond buyback schemes, and to the non-bank financial institutions than now finance, originate and service mortgages…</p><p><blockquote>市场的结构也发生了变化。银行不再放贷了。他们将风险转移到了投资领域。就美国抵押贷款而言——通过抵押贷款支持债券回购计划返还给政府，并返还给现在融资、发放和服务抵押贷款的非银行金融机构……</blockquote></p><p> <b>This is going to be the really big problem of the next stage of the Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031.</b>Real Assets! Smart money has been loading up on real assets on the basis they are decorrelated from the increasingly corrupted financial asset sector, but they reality is real assets from property, private equity, secured lending, aircraft, shipping, you-name-it, is now getting just as frothy as a result of all that inflation tied up in financial assets now spilling into the real economy…</p><p><blockquote><b>这将是2007-2031年全球金融危机下一阶段的真正大问题。</b>实物资产！聪明的资金一直在买入实物资产，因为它们与日益腐败的金融资产行业无关，但现实是，来自房地产、私募股权、担保贷款、飞机、航运等领域的实物资产，现在都变得越来越泡沫由于所有与金融资产相关的通货膨胀现在蔓延到实体经济……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financial Asset Inflation has infected the real economy….</b></p><p><blockquote><b>金融资产通胀已经感染了实体经济。</b></blockquote></p><p> Time to think again… All these honourable men and women in Central Banks must dread Caesar’s ghost coming back to haunt the monetary experiment they started in 2010 going so badly wrong…</p><p><blockquote>是时候重新思考了……央行里所有这些可敬的男男女女一定害怕凯撒的鬼魂会回来困扰他们在2010年开始的货币实验，结果却出了如此严重的问题……</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/inflation-next-stage-global-financial-crisis-2007-2031\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/inflation-next-stage-global-financial-crisis-2007-2031","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122873304","content_text":"“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”\nWhat Inflation? “Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”… The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.\nI should warn readers this morning’s porridge is going to be yet another of my irregular notes on how the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) which began in 2007 is still with us.. We’re just moving on to a new stage… Enjoy Chapter 384 of The Fall of Money – The GFC: 2007-2031.\nThis morning – What inflation?\nHuh? Last week the market convinced itself inflation apparentlywasn’t an issue. Yield curves flattened, bonds tightened, and even though stocks were anticipating the best-ever-earnings-season, there was absolutely nothing to worry about in terms of rising prices… Apparently…\nApparentlyand Absolutely are two very dangerous words in finance… They raise the likelihood you’ve got it completely wrong, ie: Apparently you couldn’t lose, but you did… Returns were Absolutelyguaranteed.. till the company went burst.\nAs we’ve learn’t this morning UK Inflation has risen to 2.5% – raising the prospect of a letter from the Bank explaining why. The headline US CPI data yesterday was even stronger – 5.4% yoy, and 0.9% over the last month! That’s not quite Zimbabwe but… you get the drift… When it happens in Europe… well the Germans are going to have a monumental hissy fit. (Top investment tip: stay long wheelbarrows.)\nInflation matters. Its critical to bonds and long-term returns. The market should look like it’s been slapped with the Wet-Halibut of Rampant Inflation, but, it doesn’t seem to have learnt the lesson. This morning, the financial-commentariat is awash with analysis of how the Fed, BoE and ECB will all hold off from any hint of “taper” response to inflation, in order to keep frothy markets from collapsing.\nFed-Watching used to be the delicate art of understanding the indecipherable nuances of Fed-Speak, forensically dissecting the commentary and numbers and drawing conclusions based on a clear understanding of what was left unsaid and the Fed’s mandate.\nNot today.\nFed watching today is about understanding how Jerome Powell and his merry gang are now hamstrung and tripping over themselves about not spooking markets over rate rises, taper-talk or doing anything that might unwind what they’ve being doing the last 12 years – frothing markets with unlimited QE, inappropriate rates, regulation and spin.\nThe brutal reality is the Central Bankers, who are all honourable men and women, understand the levers they pull no longer function as they once did. Why? Well, these honourable men and women have broken the system as a consequence of their actions. Oops. Now they have no choice but to follow.. which means trouble ahead until the global financial system can be resolved.\nThe start reality is Central Banks have no answer to inflation except to hope and carry on. They are caught between the Scylla of Inflation and the Charybdis of a market collapse. Eek! Which is why so many analysts are confident the markets will win out and keep going higher – because central banks have little choice but to go with it and keep up the stimulus.\nMost of the market is fixated on what the S&P does this afternoon, what new high the NASDAQ will make this month, or where Amazon is going to top this quarter. They have the vision of a blind man when it comes to anything much beyond the end of their one-year time horizon. Even the bond market seems blind.\nThe reality is investment should be about the long term. If you ignore the future in favour of short-term gains its makes it very easy to dismiss the evidence… that inflation is actually a very, very real issue..\nLots of smart non-financial assets funds do understand that, and see just how horribly distorted markets have become. That’s why they are so keen to diversify out of corrupted financial assets and into real assets – the hot part of the market (and what I’ve been doing in Alternative Assets for the last 12 years.)\nGoing back to inflation, the outlook is complex – another reason such a large part of the financial blogosphere is ignoring it. For instance; it’s possible to argue the rise in commodity prices is a factor of hoarding; manufacturers anticipating a surge Covid recovery and preparing for massive post-pandemic demand. The spikes in commodities from Copper to Lumber are now in reverse – supporting the market’s contention the inflation number is something of an overshoot.\nOil is an outlier.OPEC is a monopoly price setter, but is going through yet another of its periodic organisational crisis resulting in a spike that’s proving difficult to hedge. Owning oil is not a pleasant outcome for anyone – as we saw last year when traders found themselves owning negative priced oil when storage was unavailable.\nSome of the important underlying trends in the economy – like used cars, where prices are rising. It hints that its details of specific inflation factors in each price that are important. Cars are a good example – we’re all aware of the global shortage of chips enabling car makers to cut production and create scarcity, pushing up new car prices, dragging second hand values higher as consumers seek alternatives.  On the other hand – new car prices have been rising for years, with higher costs “justified” by the increasing amount of tech junk put into cars.. As the EU announces it will outlaw new ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicles by 2040, I wonder if we are going to see a new counter-trend develop.\nTo explain, consider the Land Rover:\n\nA 10 year-old low milage, full service history, Range Rover in immaculate condition may be worth £16k. A 20 year battered Defender with zero documents is worth £32k! But you can fix it with Gaffa Tape, WD40 and a hammer. (If it moves and shouldn’t: Gaffa tape it. If it still moves; more Gaffa tape. If it doesn’t move: WD40 and persuade it with a hammer.)\n\nHowever, inflation complacency may be the least of Central Bank worries. You may have spotted an increasing number of breathless articles from around the globe on House Price Inflation.\nEverywhere on the planet the affluent classes – those with savings, who’ve done well from lockdown, and already on the property ladder – have been driving an uptick in property. Its debt fuelled and an illiquid market – no one sells till they see what they want to buy, and the ladder is actually a pyramid, with fewer assets on each successively higher rung.\nThe result is record home prices nearly everywhere. This week Powell and US Treasury Sec Janet Yellen are going to chat about it at the Financial Stability Oversight Council – a body setup post Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) in 2010 to identify excessive risks to the US Financial System. About time.. Housing is more frothy than 2007 according to the Case-Shiller US property value index. (Incidentally… so is just about any other market…but, I;ve said that many times before..)\nRightly, Janet and Jerome are concerned a second housing bubble bursting could shake the foundations of finance… again. However, this time will be different. The housing market is not vulnerable to a massive number of low-credit-score mortgagees defaulting, but to a large number of affluent middle classes suddenly finding themselves financial stretched, on a rung of the ladder they can’t afford, and sitting on negative equity when the bubble bursts.\nIn the UK, we live with negative equity. In the US, you walk away. Whatever, these consumers consume less.\nThe structure of the market has also changed. Banks don’t lend anymore. They broke their risks off to the investment sector. In the case of US mortgages – back to government through the Mortgage Backed Bond buyback schemes, and to the non-bank financial institutions than now finance, originate and service mortgages…\nThis is going to be the really big problem of the next stage of the Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031.Real Assets! Smart money has been loading up on real assets on the basis they are decorrelated from the increasingly corrupted financial asset sector, but they reality is real assets from property, private equity, secured lending, aircraft, shipping, you-name-it, is now getting just as frothy as a result of all that inflation tied up in financial assets now spilling into the real economy…\nFinancial Asset Inflation has infected the real economy….\nTime to think again… All these honourable men and women in Central Banks must dread Caesar’s ghost coming back to haunt the monetary experiment they started in 2010 going so badly wrong…","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145691342,"gmtCreate":1626220151586,"gmtModify":1633928993255,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145691342","repostId":"1158142413","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":432,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142691028,"gmtCreate":1626144283364,"gmtModify":1633929675633,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nic e","listText":"Nic e","text":"Nic e","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142691028","repostId":"1119839711","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119839711","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626126339,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119839711?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 05:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数首次收于35,000点，但所有3个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创下历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119839711","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq C","content":"<p>  <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>  The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数收盘略低于35,000点的里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一综合指数连续创下纪录，以上周结束的方式开始了本周。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的收官之际，投资者正在等待美联储主席杰罗姆的半年度证词<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始，一批经济报告贯穿整个星期，企业季度业绩的非正式开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨126.02点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的34,996.18点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的4,384.63点，此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点，即0.2%，收于创纪录的14,733.24点，此前盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五，道琼斯指数和标普500指数收于历史新高，周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅为0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场？</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一，主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。此次上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一些关键事件之前，包括财报季的非正式开始，<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>&amp;Co</b>鲍威尔将于周二在国会大厦作证，摩根大通+1.43%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>，以及有关通货膨胀的最新读数。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲，这可能会推动市场走高，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S.的收入，并补充说，目前，盈利已经掩盖了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>超过计划的基础设施支出和可能更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>凯里对MarketWatch表示：“大多数人似乎都关注经济实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性，而股价肯定处于高位。”</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡，随后以繁荣告终，部分原因是美国国债收益率下降。政府债务利率的下调引发了人们对美国经济从疫情复苏的前景的质疑。COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延已成为一个令人担忧的问题，但某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据，人们对美联储货币政策的质疑也被指责为部分交易不稳定的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>周一，10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y, 1.365%小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%，而30年期国债收益率MUBMUSD30Y, 2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%，接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示，缩减每月1200亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管通胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并令美国家庭担忧，但一些策略师表示，这些担忧对市场来说可能被“过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>由杰森·普莱德和迈克尔·雷诺兹领导的格伦梅德团队在周一的一份报告中写道：“之前的通胀担忧和当前的增长峰值担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断，不会持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行中持续复苏的过程中，市场试图适应快速变化的信息流，可能会保持波动”，但这些因素“不应对市场造成长期破坏”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注delta驱动的COVID感染。美国以3385万例COVID病例和607156例死亡位居世界第一。安东尼·福奇博士周一表示，目前不需要加强剂，但周日CNN inview表示，看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼是“令人震惊的”，并指责“意识形态僵化”阻碍了抗击疫情的斗争。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“我们长期以来一直警告说，疫苗接种不太可能引发向正常状态的平稳过渡，”本·梅说，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津大学</a>经济学全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前，周一没有关键数据公布，首先是周二的消费者价格数据。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外，投资者还关注20国集团财长之间的讨论，他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“我们需要可持续的收入来源，而不是依赖于进一步对工人工资征税和加剧我们都致力于缩小的经济差距，”美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦在向欧盟国家发表的关于修改国际企业税法的讲话中表示。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>她说：“我们需要制止企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区，以及让他们逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>  <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>  <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>  <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%据《华尔街日报》报道，这家芯片和软件公司正在就收购SAS Institute Inc.进行谈判，这笔交易的估值可能达到150亿至200亿美元，周一股价上涨1.2%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc</b>特拉华联邦法官驳回了Blix Inc.的诉讼，称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害了移动操作系统市场的竞争，该公司股价一天下跌0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>LB表示，从8月3日开始，该公司将分拆为两家上市公司，维多利亚的秘密(Victoria's Secret&amp;Co.)的内衣部门将更名为“VSCO”，而Bath&amp;BodyWorks Inc.的子公司将更名为“BBWI”。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%周一，Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元，但仍远未接近该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>户外烤架制造商韦伯(Weber)已申请上市，距其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世已近50年。股票将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>证券交易所，股票代码为WEBR。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid周一下跌17.3%，这是自2020年3月16日以来的最大单日跌幅，此前一天创始人理查德·布兰森(Richard Branson)和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的VSS成功飞入亚轨道空间<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力太空飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商.BASE周一设定了首次公开募股的条款，计划发行700万股，每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“BASE”。</li><li>本公司之股份<b>现代公司</b>.MRNA周一上涨2.8%，此前该公司表示将向阿根廷供应2000万剂COVID-19疫苗。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds公司</a>.</b>尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景，但SWI周一仍下跌1.8%。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>  <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>  <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>  <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>衡量美元兑六个主要竞争对手的ICE美元指数DXY上涨0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收低，美国基准Cl 00 Cl.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%，收于每桶74.10美元。黄金GC 00收跌0.3%，报每盎司1805.90美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面，斯托克欧洲600指数收盘上涨0.7%，而伦敦股市收盘上涨0.7%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX周一收盘上涨0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一，上证综指上涨0.7%，恒生指数恒生指数上涨0.6%，日经225指数上涨2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数首次收于35,000点，但所有3个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创下历史新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数首次收于35,000点，但所有3个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创下历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-13 05:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>  The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数收盘略低于35,000点的里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一综合指数连续创下纪录，以上周结束的方式开始了本周。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的收官之际，投资者正在等待美联储主席杰罗姆的半年度证词<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始，一批经济报告贯穿整个星期，企业季度业绩的非正式开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨126.02点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的34,996.18点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的4,384.63点，此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点，即0.2%，收于创纪录的14,733.24点，此前盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五，道琼斯指数和标普500指数收于历史新高，周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅为0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场？</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一，主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。此次上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一些关键事件之前，包括财报季的非正式开始，<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>&amp;Co</b>鲍威尔将于周二在国会大厦作证，摩根大通+1.43%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>，以及有关通货膨胀的最新读数。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲，这可能会推动市场走高，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S.的收入，并补充说，目前，盈利已经掩盖了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>超过计划的基础设施支出和可能更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>凯里对MarketWatch表示：“大多数人似乎都关注经济实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性，而股价肯定处于高位。”</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡，随后以繁荣告终，部分原因是美国国债收益率下降。政府债务利率的下调引发了人们对美国经济从疫情复苏的前景的质疑。COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延已成为一个令人担忧的问题，但某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据，人们对美联储货币政策的质疑也被指责为部分交易不稳定的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>周一，10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y, 1.365%小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%，而30年期国债收益率MUBMUSD30Y, 2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%，接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示，缩减每月1200亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管通胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并令美国家庭担忧，但一些策略师表示，这些担忧对市场来说可能被“过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>由杰森·普莱德和迈克尔·雷诺兹领导的格伦梅德团队在周一的一份报告中写道：“之前的通胀担忧和当前的增长峰值担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断，不会持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行中持续复苏的过程中，市场试图适应快速变化的信息流，可能会保持波动”，但这些因素“不应对市场造成长期破坏”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注delta驱动的COVID感染。美国以3385万例COVID病例和607156例死亡位居世界第一。安东尼·福奇博士周一表示，目前不需要加强剂，但周日CNN inview表示，看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼是“令人震惊的”，并指责“意识形态僵化”阻碍了抗击疫情的斗争。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“我们长期以来一直警告说，疫苗接种不太可能引发向正常状态的平稳过渡，”本·梅说，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津大学</a>经济学全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前，周一没有关键数据公布，首先是周二的消费者价格数据。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外，投资者还关注20国集团财长之间的讨论，他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“我们需要可持续的收入来源，而不是依赖于进一步对工人工资征税和加剧我们都致力于缩小的经济差距，”美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦在向欧盟国家发表的关于修改国际企业税法的讲话中表示。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>她说：“我们需要制止企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区，以及让他们逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>  <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>  <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>  <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%据《华尔街日报》报道，这家芯片和软件公司正在就收购SAS Institute Inc.进行谈判，这笔交易的估值可能达到150亿至200亿美元，周一股价上涨1.2%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc</b>特拉华联邦法官驳回了Blix Inc.的诉讼，称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害了移动操作系统市场的竞争，该公司股价一天下跌0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>LB表示，从8月3日开始，该公司将分拆为两家上市公司，维多利亚的秘密(Victoria's Secret&amp;Co.)的内衣部门将更名为“VSCO”，而Bath&amp;BodyWorks Inc.的子公司将更名为“BBWI”。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%周一，Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元，但仍远未接近该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>户外烤架制造商韦伯(Weber)已申请上市，距其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世已近50年。股票将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>证券交易所，股票代码为WEBR。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid周一下跌17.3%，这是自2020年3月16日以来的最大单日跌幅，此前一天创始人理查德·布兰森(Richard Branson)和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的VSS成功飞入亚轨道空间<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力太空飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商.BASE周一设定了首次公开募股的条款，计划发行700万股，每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“BASE”。</li><li>本公司之股份<b>现代公司</b>.MRNA周一上涨2.8%，此前该公司表示将向阿根廷供应2000万剂COVID-19疫苗。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds公司</a>.</b>尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景，但SWI周一仍下跌1.8%。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>  <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>  <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>  <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>衡量美元兑六个主要竞争对手的ICE美元指数DXY上涨0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收低，美国基准Cl 00 Cl.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%，收于每桶74.10美元。黄金GC 00收跌0.3%，报每盎司1805.90美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面，斯托克欧洲600指数收盘上涨0.7%，而伦敦股市收盘上涨0.7%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX周一收盘上涨0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一，上证综指上涨0.7%，恒生指数恒生指数上涨0.6%，日经225指数上涨2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119839711","content_text":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.\nThe record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.\nHow did stock benchmarks end?\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.\nS&P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.\nNasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.\n\nOn Friday, the Dow and S&P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.\nWhat drove the market?\nMajor stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, whichJPMorgan Chase & Co.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill, and fresh readings on inflation.\n“People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of Equity Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in Washington over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.\n“Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.\nEquity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.\nQuestions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.\nYields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.\nFederal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John Williams told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.\nAlthough inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.\n“Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.\n“Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”\nInvestors also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.\n“We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, Oxford Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.\nNo key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.\nSeparately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.\n“We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.\n“We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.\nWhich companies were in focus?\n\nBroadcom Inc.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.\nApple Inc.AAPL,-0.42% shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.\nL Brands Inc.LB,+4.16% said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret & Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath & BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.\nGameStop Inc.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.\nWeber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.\nShares ofVirgin Galactic Holdings Inc. SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into suborbital space on the company’s VSS Unity rocket-powered spaceplane.\nCouchbase Inc. BASE, a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’\nShares ofModerna Inc. MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.\nShares ofSolarWinds Corp. SWI were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.\n\nHow did other assets trade?\n\nThe ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.\nOil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark CL00 CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold GC00 settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.\nIn European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP closed 0.7% higher, while London’s FTSE 100 UKX finished up 0.05% on Monday.\nIn Asia, the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK rallied 2.3% on Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146963909,"gmtCreate":1626049919101,"gmtModify":1633930705547,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146963909","repostId":"1172063633","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":362200761,"gmtCreate":1614639223553,"gmtModify":1703479124649,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362200761","repostId":"1140003193","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":218,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353317844,"gmtCreate":1616461296188,"gmtModify":1634525712803,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls rocket","listText":"Pls rocket","text":"Pls rocket","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353317844","repostId":"1150678912","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150678912","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616460565,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150678912?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-23 08:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Stimmy' Checks And The Stock Market: Will The Retail Trading Frenzy Continue?<blockquote>“刺激”支票和股市：散户交易狂潮会持续吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150678912","media":"benzinga","summary":"The recession triggered by the pandemic has been unique compared to recessions of the past. The shut","content":"<p><div> The recession triggered by the pandemic has been unique compared to recessions of the past. The shutdown of the U.S. economy was voluntary and not triggered by a sharp downturn in economic ...</p><p><blockquote><div>与过去的衰退相比，疫情引发的衰退是独一无二的。美国经济的关闭是自愿的，而不是由经济急剧下滑引发的...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20282870/stimmy-checks-and-the-stock-market-will-the-retail-trading-frenzy-continue\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20282870/stimmy-checks-and-the-stock-market-will-the-retail-trading-frenzy-continue\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'Stimmy' Checks And The Stock Market: Will The Retail Trading Frenzy Continue?<blockquote>“刺激”支票和股市：散户交易狂潮会持续吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Stimmy' Checks And The Stock Market: Will The Retail Trading Frenzy Continue?<blockquote>“刺激”支票和股市：散户交易狂潮会持续吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-23 08:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The recession triggered by the pandemic has been unique compared to recessions of the past. The shutdown of the U.S. economy was voluntary and not triggered by a sharp downturn in economic ...</p><p><blockquote><div>与过去的衰退相比，疫情引发的衰退是独一无二的。美国经济的关闭是自愿的，而不是由经济急剧下滑引发的...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20282870/stimmy-checks-and-the-stock-market-will-the-retail-trading-frenzy-continue\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20282870/stimmy-checks-and-the-stock-market-will-the-retail-trading-frenzy-continue\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20282870/stimmy-checks-and-the-stock-market-will-the-retail-trading-frenzy-continue\">benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20282870/stimmy-checks-and-the-stock-market-will-the-retail-trading-frenzy-continue","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150678912","content_text":"The recession triggered by the pandemic has been unique compared to recessions of the past. The shutdown of the U.S. economy was voluntary and not triggered by a sharp downturn in economic fundamentals.\nBuying The Dip:As a result, many investors saw the stock market sell-off last March as a long-term buying opportunity, and investors have been handsomely rewarded for that buying. In addition, the brief 2020 bear market was the first bear market buying opportunity for investors in more than a decade, and the availability of free trading apps lured in an entire new generation of young traders for the first time.\nMarch 23 marks the one-year anniversary of the 2020 bottom in the S&P 500. While theSPDR S&P 500 ETF TrustSPY 0.76%is remarkably up 75.9% in a year’s time, some high-octane stocks have skyrocketed much more than that.\nYounger retail users of trading app Robinhood, Reddit’s WallSteetBets community and other groups of online traders have poured cash into a collection of fundamentally sound long-term investments and high-flying short squeeze trades and so-called “meme” stocks. Cryptocurrencies ranging fromBitcoin(CRYPTO: BTC) toDogecoin(CRYPTO: DOGE) have also skyrocketed.\nYOLOing The Stimmy:Analysts say one of the bullish catalysts for stocks in the past year has been the massive amount of stimulus the U.S. government has pumped into the economy. Part of that stimulus has been three rounds of direct stimulus payments to individual Americans.\nBank of America analyst Curtis Nagle recently discussed the high correlation between the price action in meme stockGameStop Corp.GME 3.93%and social media conversations related to stimulus payments.\nIt appears many retail traders that were stuck at home throughout the pandemic and didn’t need their stimulus payments to pay the bills put those payments straight into their trading accounts. But with the economy set for a shart recovery in 2021, there will likely be no more stimulus payments down the line.\nThemis Trading's Joe Saluzzi told Benzinga trading apps like Robinhood have been designed to maximize user engagement, much like online gambling platforms.\n“It’s no surprise to me that some recipients of stimulus payments would choose to place this money into their trading account hoping to magnify those payments. But we have to ask ourselves, is this what investing is all about or is this gambling?” Saluzzi said.\nInvestor Sentiment:JJ Kinahan,TD Ameritrade'schief market strategist, told Benzinga the stimulus payments have served their purpose up to this point in giving retail investors confidence that the economy can make it through to the other side of the crisis.\n\"In reality, it is the type of thing that gives all investors confidence that spending will continue at all levels of the economy and help keep things on track or even improve,\" Kinahan said. \"The spill-over effect is much more confidence, particularly in retail, which can help the rest of the economy in growing, particularly during this grey area between some states being wide open while others are gradually opening up.\"\nGoldman Sachs recently found that retail traders have accounted fornearly 25%of all trading activity in the past year, up from an average of about 10% over the decade prior to the pandemic. Much of this trading has apparently been bankrolled by the U.S. government. And studies haverepeatedly foundthat the vast majority of individual traders underperform the market over the long-term.\nBenzinga’s Take:There’s an old saying on Wall Street that every trader feels like a genius during a bull market The extreme gains in the S&P 500 over the past year have resulted in 487 of the 500 S&P 500 components producing overall gains for investors in the past year.\nVirtually any stocks new investors bought in the past year have made them money at this point. The danger in the longer-term will come if that initial success has created a general sense of overconfidence in younger retail traders that will result in them taking an overly risky approach to investing in a much more difficult future environment.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150009144,"gmtCreate":1624872453288,"gmtModify":1633947686452,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🙂","listText":"🙂","text":"🙂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150009144","repostId":"2146007118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100824331,"gmtCreate":1619601715423,"gmtModify":1634211430653,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment pls","listText":"Comment pls","text":"Comment 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Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1626878219,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109551881?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 22:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Smokes Shorts Again: What's Next?<blockquote>AMC再次抽短裤：下一步是什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109551881","media":"Benzinga","summary":"AMC Entertainment Holding Inc(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday amid returned interest in reopening s","content":"<p><b>AMC Entertainment Holding Inc</b>(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday&nbsp;amid returned interest in reopening stocks. The company also announced on Monday evening it hadmade a dealto reopen the Grove Theatre and The Americana at Brand Theatre in the Los Angeles area in August under the AMC Brand. The two theatres were formerly leased by Pacific Theatres and are two of the highest-grossing theatres in Los Angeles.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线控股公司</b>由于人们对重新开放股票的兴趣恢复，(NYSE：AMC)周二上涨24.47%。该公司周一晚间还宣布，已达成协议，将于8月份以AMC品牌重新开放洛杉矶地区的Grove剧院和Americana at Brand剧院。这两家剧院以前由太平洋剧院租赁，是洛杉矶票房最高的两家剧院。</blockquote></p><p> Although presently not the toptrendingstock on r/WallStreetBets, AMC was still the 10th most mentioned stock on Tuesday. The subreddit often targets stocks with unusual characteristics such as bizarre levels of ownership and high short interest. AMC’s underlying statistics have been improving over the last few months, however, and of the company’s 448.74 million share float 75.48 million shares are held short; this is down from 102.3 million in May.</p><p><blockquote>尽管AMC目前不是r/WallStreetBets上的热门股票，但它仍然是周二被提及次数第十多的股票。subreddit通常针对具有不寻常特征的股票，例如奇怪的所有权水平和高空头利息。然而，AMC的基本统计数据在过去几个月中一直在改善，该公司4.4874亿股流通股中，有7548万股被卖空；这比5月份的1.023亿有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Despite short interest decreasing, AMC is still volatile and able to make big swings.</p><p><blockquote>尽管空头兴趣下降，AMC仍然不稳定，并且能够大幅波动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The AMC Chart:</b>On Monday, during a big bear day in the general markets, AMC&nbsp;put in a bottom at $31.15 and managed to print a bullish hammer candlestick indicating higher prices would come on Tuesday. AMC then printed a bullish Marubozu candlestick on Tuesday. This Marubozu candle has a very small upper wick, indicating AMC had buyers at every price level it traded at intraday.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC图表：</b>周一，在大盘大熊市期间，AMC触底31.15美元，并成功打印出看涨锤子烛台，表明周二价格将上涨。AMC随后在周二打印了看涨的Marubozu烛台。这根Marubozu蜡烛的上部灯芯非常小，表明AMC在盘中交易的每个价格水平都有买家。</blockquote></p><p> AMC broke into a downtrend on July 1 and made a series of lower highs and lower lows until Tuesday when the price closed at $43.08, above its lower high of $37.73, which indicates a bullish trend change. Bulls won’t want the stock to drop below $31.15 for the trend to be confirmed.</p><p><blockquote>AMC于7月1日进入下跌趋势，并创下一系列较低的高点和较低的低点，直到周二价格收于43.08美元，高于37.73美元的较低高点，这表明看涨趋势发生了变化。多头不希望该股跌破31.15美元以确认趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61ba2be17dcfd5bd5f6a00ab4398a5a6\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"256\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">AMC&nbsp;was able to recapture the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA) as support but rejected, and wicked from, the 21-day EMA. Bulls will want to see AMC regain support of the level in the near term. AMC is trading well above the 200-day simple moving average, indicating overall sentiment in the stock remains bullish.</p><p><blockquote>AMC能够重新获得8日指数移动平均线(EMA)作为支撑，但拒绝并远离21日EMA。多头希望看到AMC在短期内重新获得该水平的支撑。AMC的交易价格远高于200日简单移动平均线，表明该股的整体情绪仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afbe29a91b623abe465464f45c8889b6\" tg-width=\"1366\" tg-height=\"768\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Bulls want to see continued bullish volume push AMC over the 21-day EMA and up towards the $47.91 area. If it can regain the level as support, it could trade up toward $52.97.</p><p><blockquote>多头希望看到持续的看涨成交量推动AMC突破21日均线并升至47.91美元区域。如果它能够重新获得该水平作为支撑，它可能会上涨至52.97美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bears want to see AMC’s stock continue to reject the 21-day EMA and for it to drop down and lose support of the eight-day EMA which aligns with a support level at $39.71. If the stock were to lose the level, it could fall toward the $31.81 mark.</p><p><blockquote>空头希望看到AMC的股票继续拒绝21日均线，并下跌并失去8日均线的支撑，该支撑位与39.71美元的支撑位一致。如果该股跌破该水平，可能会跌至31.81美元大关。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Price Action:</b>Shares of AMC Entertainment traded up 4.2% to $44.78 at publication time.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC价格走势：</b>截至发稿时，AMC院线股价上涨4.2%，至44.78美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Smokes Shorts Again: What's Next?<blockquote>AMC再次抽短裤：下一步是什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Smokes Shorts Again: What's Next?<blockquote>AMC再次抽短裤：下一步是什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-21 22:36</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>AMC Entertainment Holding Inc</b>(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday&nbsp;amid returned interest in reopening stocks. The company also announced on Monday evening it hadmade a dealto reopen the Grove Theatre and The Americana at Brand Theatre in the Los Angeles area in August under the AMC Brand. The two theatres were formerly leased by Pacific Theatres and are two of the highest-grossing theatres in Los Angeles.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线控股公司</b>由于人们对重新开放股票的兴趣恢复，(NYSE：AMC)周二上涨24.47%。该公司周一晚间还宣布，已达成协议，将于8月份以AMC品牌重新开放洛杉矶地区的Grove剧院和Americana at Brand剧院。这两家剧院以前由太平洋剧院租赁，是洛杉矶票房最高的两家剧院。</blockquote></p><p> Although presently not the toptrendingstock on r/WallStreetBets, AMC was still the 10th most mentioned stock on Tuesday. The subreddit often targets stocks with unusual characteristics such as bizarre levels of ownership and high short interest. AMC’s underlying statistics have been improving over the last few months, however, and of the company’s 448.74 million share float 75.48 million shares are held short; this is down from 102.3 million in May.</p><p><blockquote>尽管AMC目前不是r/WallStreetBets上的热门股票，但它仍然是周二被提及次数第十多的股票。subreddit通常针对具有不寻常特征的股票，例如奇怪的所有权水平和高空头利息。然而，AMC的基本统计数据在过去几个月中一直在改善，该公司4.4874亿股流通股中，有7548万股被卖空；这比5月份的1.023亿有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Despite short interest decreasing, AMC is still volatile and able to make big swings.</p><p><blockquote>尽管空头兴趣下降，AMC仍然不稳定，并且能够大幅波动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The AMC Chart:</b>On Monday, during a big bear day in the general markets, AMC&nbsp;put in a bottom at $31.15 and managed to print a bullish hammer candlestick indicating higher prices would come on Tuesday. AMC then printed a bullish Marubozu candlestick on Tuesday. This Marubozu candle has a very small upper wick, indicating AMC had buyers at every price level it traded at intraday.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC图表：</b>周一，在大盘大熊市期间，AMC触底31.15美元，并成功打印出看涨锤子烛台，表明周二价格将上涨。AMC随后在周二打印了看涨的Marubozu烛台。这根Marubozu蜡烛的上部灯芯非常小，表明AMC在盘中交易的每个价格水平都有买家。</blockquote></p><p> AMC broke into a downtrend on July 1 and made a series of lower highs and lower lows until Tuesday when the price closed at $43.08, above its lower high of $37.73, which indicates a bullish trend change. Bulls won’t want the stock to drop below $31.15 for the trend to be confirmed.</p><p><blockquote>AMC于7月1日进入下跌趋势，并创下一系列较低的高点和较低的低点，直到周二价格收于43.08美元，高于37.73美元的较低高点，这表明看涨趋势发生了变化。多头不希望该股跌破31.15美元以确认趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61ba2be17dcfd5bd5f6a00ab4398a5a6\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"256\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">AMC&nbsp;was able to recapture the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA) as support but rejected, and wicked from, the 21-day EMA. Bulls will want to see AMC regain support of the level in the near term. AMC is trading well above the 200-day simple moving average, indicating overall sentiment in the stock remains bullish.</p><p><blockquote>AMC能够重新获得8日指数移动平均线(EMA)作为支撑，但拒绝并远离21日EMA。多头希望看到AMC在短期内重新获得该水平的支撑。AMC的交易价格远高于200日简单移动平均线，表明该股的整体情绪仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afbe29a91b623abe465464f45c8889b6\" tg-width=\"1366\" tg-height=\"768\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Bulls want to see continued bullish volume push AMC over the 21-day EMA and up towards the $47.91 area. If it can regain the level as support, it could trade up toward $52.97.</p><p><blockquote>多头希望看到持续的看涨成交量推动AMC突破21日均线并升至47.91美元区域。如果它能够重新获得该水平作为支撑，它可能会上涨至52.97美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bears want to see AMC’s stock continue to reject the 21-day EMA and for it to drop down and lose support of the eight-day EMA which aligns with a support level at $39.71. If the stock were to lose the level, it could fall toward the $31.81 mark.</p><p><blockquote>空头希望看到AMC的股票继续拒绝21日均线，并下跌并失去8日均线的支撑，该支撑位与39.71美元的支撑位一致。如果该股跌破该水平，可能会跌至31.81美元大关。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Price Action:</b>Shares of AMC Entertainment traded up 4.2% to $44.78 at publication time.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC价格走势：</b>截至发稿时，AMC院线股价上涨4.2%，至44.78美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109551881","content_text":"AMC Entertainment Holding Inc(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday amid returned interest in reopening stocks. The company also announced on Monday evening it hadmade a dealto reopen the Grove Theatre and The Americana at Brand Theatre in the Los Angeles area in August under the AMC Brand. The two theatres were formerly leased by Pacific Theatres and are two of the highest-grossing theatres in Los Angeles.\nAlthough presently not the toptrendingstock on r/WallStreetBets, AMC was still the 10th most mentioned stock on Tuesday. The subreddit often targets stocks with unusual characteristics such as bizarre levels of ownership and high short interest. AMC’s underlying statistics have been improving over the last few months, however, and of the company’s 448.74 million share float 75.48 million shares are held short; this is down from 102.3 million in May.\nDespite short interest decreasing, AMC is still volatile and able to make big swings.\nThe AMC Chart:On Monday, during a big bear day in the general markets, AMC put in a bottom at $31.15 and managed to print a bullish hammer candlestick indicating higher prices would come on Tuesday. AMC then printed a bullish Marubozu candlestick on Tuesday. This Marubozu candle has a very small upper wick, indicating AMC had buyers at every price level it traded at intraday.\nAMC broke into a downtrend on July 1 and made a series of lower highs and lower lows until Tuesday when the price closed at $43.08, above its lower high of $37.73, which indicates a bullish trend change. Bulls won’t want the stock to drop below $31.15 for the trend to be confirmed.\nAMC was able to recapture the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA) as support but rejected, and wicked from, the 21-day EMA. Bulls will want to see AMC regain support of the level in the near term. AMC is trading well above the 200-day simple moving average, indicating overall sentiment in the stock remains bullish.\nBulls want to see continued bullish volume push AMC over the 21-day EMA and up towards the $47.91 area. If it can regain the level as support, it could trade up toward $52.97.\nBears want to see AMC’s stock continue to reject the 21-day EMA and for it to drop down and lose support of the eight-day EMA which aligns with a support level at $39.71. If the stock were to lose the level, it could fall toward the $31.81 mark.\nAMC Price Action:Shares of AMC Entertainment traded up 4.2% to $44.78 at publication time.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159673208,"gmtCreate":1624966864204,"gmtModify":1633946451929,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159673208","repostId":"1121567148","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121567148","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624966901,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121567148?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-29 19:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo Doubled Their Dividends. What It Means for Their Stocks.<blockquote>摩根士丹利和富国银行将股息增加了一倍。这对他们的股票意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121567148","media":"Barrons","summary":"Morgan Stanley doubled its dividend, leading a parade of big banks that lifted their quarterly divid","content":"<p>Morgan Stanley&nbsp;doubled its dividend, leading a parade of big banks that lifted their quarterly dividends on Monday for the first time in two years after clearing the Federal Reserve’s stress tests last week.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)将股息提高了一倍，在上周通过美联储压力测试后，摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)在周一率先提高了季度股息，这是两年来的首次。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley (ticker: MS), which has benefited during the past year from its strength in trading and investment banking, hoisted its dividend to 70 cents from 35 cents, exceeding an optimistic estimate of 55 cents from Barclays analyst Jason Goldberg. Morgan Stanley, whose shares fell 70 cents on Monday before the announcement, to $87.70, will yield 3.2%.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利（股票代码：MS）在过去一年中受益于其交易和投资银行业务的实力，将股息从35美分提高到70美分，超过了巴克莱分析师杰森·戈德堡（Jason Goldberg）乐观预期的55美分。摩根士丹利的股价周一在公告发布前下跌70美分，至87.70美元，收益率为3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In premarket trading Tuesday, Morgan Stanley shares were up 3.2%, to $90.50.</p><p><blockquote>周二盘前交易中，摩根士丹利股价上涨3.2%，至90.50美元。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo(WFC) also doubled its dividend,&nbsp;to 20 cents a share, and said it planned to buy back $18 billion of stock in the coming 12 months. But the new Wells Fargo dividend would be below Goldberg’s estimate&nbsp;of 25 cents and remains well below the bank’s previous dividend of 51 cents before it was slashed&nbsp;last year.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行(WFC)也将股息提高了一倍，达到每股20美分，并表示计划在未来12个月内回购180亿美元的股票。但富国银行新的股息将低于戈德堡预期的25美分，并且仍远低于该银行去年削减股息前51美分的股息。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo, like many big banks, is emphasizing share repurchases. Between buybacks and dividends, Wells Fargo could return about 10% of its current market value to holders in the next year. Its shares were up 0.8% in premarket trading Tuesday. The banks were asked by the Federal Reserve to hold off making announcements about their dividend and buyback plans until 4:30 p.m. Monday.</p><p><blockquote>与许多大银行一样，富国银行也在强调股票回购。在回购和股息之间，富国银行可能会在明年向持有人返还其当前市值的约10%。周二盘前交易中，其股价上涨0.8%。美联储要求银行推迟到下午4:30才宣布股息和回购计划。周一。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs Group(GS), which has produced record results in recent quarters, sharply boosted its payout by 60%, to $2 a share per quarter from $1.25, matching Goldberg’s projection. Goldman shares will yield 2.2% based on their closing price on Monday of $368.71. Its stock has risen 1.4% to $373.87 in premarket trading Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>高盛集团(GS)最近几个季度取得了创纪录的业绩，将派息大幅提高了60%，从每季度每股1.25美元增至2美元，符合戈德堡的预测。根据周一收盘价368.71美元计算，高盛股价将上涨2.2%。周二盘前交易中，其股价上涨1.4%，至373.87美元。</blockquote></p><p> Industry leader&nbsp;JPMorgan Chase(JPM), as expected, increased its dividend to $1 a share per quarter from 90 cents. At $154, its shares yield 2.6%. Its stock was off 0.1%, at $154.24, in premarket trading Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>正如预期的那样，行业领导者摩根大通(JPM)将每季度股息从每股90美分提高到1美元。其股价为154美元，收益率为2.6%。周二盘前交易中，其股价下跌0.1%，至154.24美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America(BAC) said it planned to lift its quarterly payout by 17%, to 21 cents a share, in line with expectations. Its shares will yield 2% based on its closing price Monday of $41.56. Its stock was down 0.2% to $41.49 in premarket trading Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行(BAC)表示，计划将季度派息提高17%，至每股21美分，符合预期。按周一收盘价41.56美元计算，其股价将上涨2%。周二盘前交易中，其股价下跌0.2%，至41.49美元。</blockquote></p><p> Citigroup(C) said it “look forward to continuing with our planned capital actions, including common dividends of at least 51 cents per share.” Its current payout is 51 cents. The analyst expectation is for a new dividend&nbsp;of about 54 cents. Its stock had dropped 0.5% to $71.15 in premarket trading Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团(C)表示，“期待继续我们计划的资本行动，包括每股至少51美分的普通股息。”它目前的支出是51美分。分析师预计新股息约为54美分。周二盘前交易中，其股价下跌0.5%，至71.15美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The Fed stress tests were redemption for the banks,” said Mike Mayo, banking analyst at Wells Fargo. “The banks had the strength and wherewithal during the recession to avoid dividend cuts, and they have enough firepower on the other end for increases.” Mayo made these comments before the bank actions today.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行银行业分析师迈克·梅奥表示：“美联储的压力测试是对银行的救赎。”“银行在经济衰退期间有实力和必要的资金来避免削减股息，而且他们在另一端也有足够的火力来增加股息。”梅奥在今天的银行行动之前发表了这些评论。</blockquote></p><p> “This is a new day for banks,” he said. “It reflects some of the strongest balance sheets in a generation.”</p><p><blockquote>“这对银行来说是新的一天，”他说。“它反映了一代人以来最强劲的资产负债表。”</blockquote></p><p> Mayo’s view is that “new investors” will be attracted to banks because of their increased dividend security and a combination of dividends and stock buybacks that could produce a total annual yield of around 8%, against 5% or so for junk bonds.</p><p><blockquote>梅奥的观点是，“新投资者”将被银行吸引，因为银行的股息安全性提高，股息和股票回购相结合，可以产生8%左右的总年收益率，而垃圾债券的年收益率约为5%。</blockquote></p><p> Many big banks are expected to return 100%–or more—of their earnings in stock buybacks and dividends during the coming 12 months. The dividend and buyback plans are subject to approval by the banks’ boards.</p><p><blockquote>预计许多大银行将在未来12个月内通过股票回购和股息返还其收益的100%或更多。股息和回购计划须经银行董事会批准。</blockquote></p><p> Banks&nbsp;have more flexibility&nbsp;to repurchase stock under current rules and no longer have to ask specific permission as long as they have ample capital. Banks like JPMorgan haven’t announced buyback targets in the coming year.</p><p><blockquote>根据现行规则，银行在回购股票方面有更大的灵活性，只要有充足的资本，就不再需要寻求具体许可。摩根大通等银行尚未宣布来年的回购目标。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo Doubled Their Dividends. What It Means for Their Stocks.<blockquote>摩根士丹利和富国银行将股息增加了一倍。这对他们的股票意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley and Wells Fargo Doubled Their Dividends. What It Means for Their Stocks.<blockquote>摩根士丹利和富国银行将股息增加了一倍。这对他们的股票意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-29 19:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Morgan Stanley&nbsp;doubled its dividend, leading a parade of big banks that lifted their quarterly dividends on Monday for the first time in two years after clearing the Federal Reserve’s stress tests last week.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)将股息提高了一倍，在上周通过美联储压力测试后，摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)在周一率先提高了季度股息，这是两年来的首次。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley (ticker: MS), which has benefited during the past year from its strength in trading and investment banking, hoisted its dividend to 70 cents from 35 cents, exceeding an optimistic estimate of 55 cents from Barclays analyst Jason Goldberg. Morgan Stanley, whose shares fell 70 cents on Monday before the announcement, to $87.70, will yield 3.2%.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利（股票代码：MS）在过去一年中受益于其交易和投资银行业务的实力，将股息从35美分提高到70美分，超过了巴克莱分析师杰森·戈德堡（Jason Goldberg）乐观预期的55美分。摩根士丹利的股价周一在公告发布前下跌70美分，至87.70美元，收益率为3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In premarket trading Tuesday, Morgan Stanley shares were up 3.2%, to $90.50.</p><p><blockquote>周二盘前交易中，摩根士丹利股价上涨3.2%，至90.50美元。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo(WFC) also doubled its dividend,&nbsp;to 20 cents a share, and said it planned to buy back $18 billion of stock in the coming 12 months. But the new Wells Fargo dividend would be below Goldberg’s estimate&nbsp;of 25 cents and remains well below the bank’s previous dividend of 51 cents before it was slashed&nbsp;last year.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行(WFC)也将股息提高了一倍，达到每股20美分，并表示计划在未来12个月内回购180亿美元的股票。但富国银行新的股息将低于戈德堡预期的25美分，并且仍远低于该银行去年削减股息前51美分的股息。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo, like many big banks, is emphasizing share repurchases. Between buybacks and dividends, Wells Fargo could return about 10% of its current market value to holders in the next year. Its shares were up 0.8% in premarket trading Tuesday. The banks were asked by the Federal Reserve to hold off making announcements about their dividend and buyback plans until 4:30 p.m. Monday.</p><p><blockquote>与许多大银行一样，富国银行也在强调股票回购。在回购和股息之间，富国银行可能会在明年向持有人返还其当前市值的约10%。周二盘前交易中，其股价上涨0.8%。美联储要求银行推迟到下午4:30才宣布股息和回购计划。周一。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs Group(GS), which has produced record results in recent quarters, sharply boosted its payout by 60%, to $2 a share per quarter from $1.25, matching Goldberg’s projection. Goldman shares will yield 2.2% based on their closing price on Monday of $368.71. Its stock has risen 1.4% to $373.87 in premarket trading Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>高盛集团(GS)最近几个季度取得了创纪录的业绩，将派息大幅提高了60%，从每季度每股1.25美元增至2美元，符合戈德堡的预测。根据周一收盘价368.71美元计算，高盛股价将上涨2.2%。周二盘前交易中，其股价上涨1.4%，至373.87美元。</blockquote></p><p> Industry leader&nbsp;JPMorgan Chase(JPM), as expected, increased its dividend to $1 a share per quarter from 90 cents. At $154, its shares yield 2.6%. Its stock was off 0.1%, at $154.24, in premarket trading Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>正如预期的那样，行业领导者摩根大通(JPM)将每季度股息从每股90美分提高到1美元。其股价为154美元，收益率为2.6%。周二盘前交易中，其股价下跌0.1%，至154.24美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America(BAC) said it planned to lift its quarterly payout by 17%, to 21 cents a share, in line with expectations. Its shares will yield 2% based on its closing price Monday of $41.56. Its stock was down 0.2% to $41.49 in premarket trading Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行(BAC)表示，计划将季度派息提高17%，至每股21美分，符合预期。按周一收盘价41.56美元计算，其股价将上涨2%。周二盘前交易中，其股价下跌0.2%，至41.49美元。</blockquote></p><p> Citigroup(C) said it “look forward to continuing with our planned capital actions, including common dividends of at least 51 cents per share.” Its current payout is 51 cents. The analyst expectation is for a new dividend&nbsp;of about 54 cents. Its stock had dropped 0.5% to $71.15 in premarket trading Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团(C)表示，“期待继续我们计划的资本行动，包括每股至少51美分的普通股息。”它目前的支出是51美分。分析师预计新股息约为54美分。周二盘前交易中，其股价下跌0.5%，至71.15美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The Fed stress tests were redemption for the banks,” said Mike Mayo, banking analyst at Wells Fargo. “The banks had the strength and wherewithal during the recession to avoid dividend cuts, and they have enough firepower on the other end for increases.” Mayo made these comments before the bank actions today.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行银行业分析师迈克·梅奥表示：“美联储的压力测试是对银行的救赎。”“银行在经济衰退期间有实力和必要的资金来避免削减股息，而且他们在另一端也有足够的火力来增加股息。”梅奥在今天的银行行动之前发表了这些评论。</blockquote></p><p> “This is a new day for banks,” he said. “It reflects some of the strongest balance sheets in a generation.”</p><p><blockquote>“这对银行来说是新的一天，”他说。“它反映了一代人以来最强劲的资产负债表。”</blockquote></p><p> Mayo’s view is that “new investors” will be attracted to banks because of their increased dividend security and a combination of dividends and stock buybacks that could produce a total annual yield of around 8%, against 5% or so for junk bonds.</p><p><blockquote>梅奥的观点是，“新投资者”将被银行吸引，因为银行的股息安全性提高，股息和股票回购相结合，可以产生8%左右的总年收益率，而垃圾债券的年收益率约为5%。</blockquote></p><p> Many big banks are expected to return 100%–or more—of their earnings in stock buybacks and dividends during the coming 12 months. The dividend and buyback plans are subject to approval by the banks’ boards.</p><p><blockquote>预计许多大银行将在未来12个月内通过股票回购和股息返还其收益的100%或更多。股息和回购计划须经银行董事会批准。</blockquote></p><p> Banks&nbsp;have more flexibility&nbsp;to repurchase stock under current rules and no longer have to ask specific permission as long as they have ample capital. Banks like JPMorgan haven’t announced buyback targets in the coming year.</p><p><blockquote>根据现行规则，银行在回购股票方面有更大的灵活性，只要有充足的资本，就不再需要寻求具体许可。摩根大通等银行尚未宣布来年的回购目标。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/morgan-stanley-big-banks-dividend-payout-plans-51624914862?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MS":"摩根士丹利","WFC":"富国银行"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/morgan-stanley-big-banks-dividend-payout-plans-51624914862?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121567148","content_text":"Morgan Stanley doubled its dividend, leading a parade of big banks that lifted their quarterly dividends on Monday for the first time in two years after clearing the Federal Reserve’s stress tests last week.\nMorgan Stanley (ticker: MS), which has benefited during the past year from its strength in trading and investment banking, hoisted its dividend to 70 cents from 35 cents, exceeding an optimistic estimate of 55 cents from Barclays analyst Jason Goldberg. Morgan Stanley, whose shares fell 70 cents on Monday before the announcement, to $87.70, will yield 3.2%.\nIn premarket trading Tuesday, Morgan Stanley shares were up 3.2%, to $90.50.\nWells Fargo(WFC) also doubled its dividend, to 20 cents a share, and said it planned to buy back $18 billion of stock in the coming 12 months. But the new Wells Fargo dividend would be below Goldberg’s estimate of 25 cents and remains well below the bank’s previous dividend of 51 cents before it was slashed last year.\nWells Fargo, like many big banks, is emphasizing share repurchases. Between buybacks and dividends, Wells Fargo could return about 10% of its current market value to holders in the next year. Its shares were up 0.8% in premarket trading Tuesday. The banks were asked by the Federal Reserve to hold off making announcements about their dividend and buyback plans until 4:30 p.m. Monday.\nGoldman Sachs Group(GS), which has produced record results in recent quarters, sharply boosted its payout by 60%, to $2 a share per quarter from $1.25, matching Goldberg’s projection. Goldman shares will yield 2.2% based on their closing price on Monday of $368.71. Its stock has risen 1.4% to $373.87 in premarket trading Tuesday.\nIndustry leader JPMorgan Chase(JPM), as expected, increased its dividend to $1 a share per quarter from 90 cents. At $154, its shares yield 2.6%. Its stock was off 0.1%, at $154.24, in premarket trading Tuesday.\nBank of America(BAC) said it planned to lift its quarterly payout by 17%, to 21 cents a share, in line with expectations. Its shares will yield 2% based on its closing price Monday of $41.56. Its stock was down 0.2% to $41.49 in premarket trading Tuesday.\nCitigroup(C) said it “look forward to continuing with our planned capital actions, including common dividends of at least 51 cents per share.” Its current payout is 51 cents. The analyst expectation is for a new dividend of about 54 cents. Its stock had dropped 0.5% to $71.15 in premarket trading Tuesday.\n“The Fed stress tests were redemption for the banks,” said Mike Mayo, banking analyst at Wells Fargo. “The banks had the strength and wherewithal during the recession to avoid dividend cuts, and they have enough firepower on the other end for increases.” Mayo made these comments before the bank actions today.\n“This is a new day for banks,” he said. “It reflects some of the strongest balance sheets in a generation.”\nMayo’s view is that “new investors” will be attracted to banks because of their increased dividend security and a combination of dividends and stock buybacks that could produce a total annual yield of around 8%, against 5% or so for junk bonds.\nMany big banks are expected to return 100%–or more—of their earnings in stock buybacks and dividends during the coming 12 months. The dividend and buyback plans are subject to approval by the banks’ boards.\nBanks have more flexibility to repurchase stock under current rules and no longer have to ask specific permission as long as they have ample capital. Banks like JPMorgan haven’t announced buyback targets in the coming year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MS":0.9,"WFC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125678543,"gmtCreate":1624673256382,"gmtModify":1633949775981,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125678543","repostId":"1100072036","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":359008060,"gmtCreate":1616296444550,"gmtModify":1634526455093,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's go","listText":"Let's go","text":"Let's go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359008060","repostId":"1117450855","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117450855","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616166767,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117450855?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 23:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Powell says Fed will keep supporting economy ‘for as long as it takes’<blockquote>鲍威尔表示美联储将“只要需要”继续支持经济</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117450855","media":"marketwatch","summary":"Outlook is brightening, but recovery ‘far from complete,’ Fed chairman says in WSJ op-ed.Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday said that while the U.S. economic outlook is “brightening,” the recovery is “far from complete.”In an op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal,Powell recounted the moment last February when he realized that the coronavirus pandemic would sweep across the country.“The danger to the U.S. economy was grave. The challenge was to limit the severity and duration o","content":"<p>  <b>Outlook is brightening, but recovery ‘far from complete,’ Fed chairman says in WSJ op-ed.</b>  Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday said that while the U.S. economic outlook is “brightening,” the recovery is “far from complete.”</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储主席在《华尔街日报》专栏中表示，前景一片光明，但复苏“远未完成”。</b>美联储主席鲍威尔周五表示，虽然美国经济前景“一片光明”，但复苏“远未完成”。</blockquote></p><p> In an op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal,Powell recounted the moment last February when he realized that the coronavirus pandemic would sweep across the country.</p><p><blockquote>在《华尔街日报》发表的一篇专栏文章中，鲍威尔讲述了去年2月他意识到冠状病毒大流行将席卷全国的那一刻。</blockquote></p><p> “The danger to the U.S. economy was grave. The challenge was to limit the severity and duration of the fallout to avoid longer-run damage,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“美国经济面临的危险是严重的。面临的挑战是限制后果的严重程度和持续时间，以避免长期损害，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Powell and his colleagues engineered a rapid response to the crisis, based on the lesson learned from slow recovery to the Great Recession of 2008-2009 that swift action might have been better.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔和他的同事根据从2008-2009年大衰退的缓慢复苏中吸取的教训，设计了对危机的快速反应，即迅速采取行动可能会更好。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank quickly slashed its policy interest rate to zero and launched an open-ended asset purchase program known as quantitative easing.</p><p><blockquote>央行迅速将政策利率下调至零，并启动了被称为量化宽松的开放式资产购买计划。</blockquote></p><p> With economists penciling in strong growth for 2021 and more Americans getting vaccinated every day, financial markets are wondering how long Fed support will last.</p><p><blockquote>随着经济学家预测2021年将出现强劲增长，每天都有更多的美国人接种疫苗，金融市场想知道美联储的支持将持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> In the op-ed, Powell said the situation “is much improved.”</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在专栏中表示，情况“有了很大改善”。</blockquote></p><p> “But the recovery is far from complete, so at the Fed we will continue to provide the economy with the support that it needs for as long as it takes,” Powell said.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔表示：“但复苏远未完成，因此美联储将继续为经济提供所需的支持，只要经济需要。”</blockquote></p><p> “I truly believe that we will emerge from this crisis stronger and better, as we have done so often before,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说：“我真的相信，我们将从这场危机中变得更强大、更好，就像我们以前经常做的那样。”</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the Fed recommitted to its easy money policy stance at its latest policy meeting despite a forecast for stronger economic growth and higher inflation this year.</p><p><blockquote>周三，美联储在最近的政策会议上再次承诺了宽松的货币政策立场，尽管预计今年经济增长将更加强劲，通胀将上升。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed chairman did not mention the outlook for inflation in his Friday article . Many on Wall Street are worried that the economy will overheat before the Fed pulls back its easy policy stance.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席在周五的文章中没有提及通胀前景。华尔街许多人担心，在美联储收回宽松政策立场之前，经济会过热。</blockquote></p><p> Yields on the 10-year Treasury noteTMUBMUSD10Y,1.734%have risen to 1.73% this week after starting the year below 1%.</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.734%的收益率在年初低于1%后，本周已升至1.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks were trading lower on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.71%down 187 points in mid-morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>周五股市走低，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA在早盘交易中下跌187点，-0.71%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Powell says Fed will keep supporting economy ‘for as long as it takes’<blockquote>鲍威尔表示美联储将“只要需要”继续支持经济</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPowell says Fed will keep supporting economy ‘for as long as it takes’<blockquote>鲍威尔表示美联储将“只要需要”继续支持经济</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-19 23:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Outlook is brightening, but recovery ‘far from complete,’ Fed chairman says in WSJ op-ed.</b>  Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday said that while the U.S. economic outlook is “brightening,” the recovery is “far from complete.”</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储主席在《华尔街日报》专栏中表示，前景一片光明，但复苏“远未完成”。</b>美联储主席鲍威尔周五表示，虽然美国经济前景“一片光明”，但复苏“远未完成”。</blockquote></p><p> In an op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal,Powell recounted the moment last February when he realized that the coronavirus pandemic would sweep across the country.</p><p><blockquote>在《华尔街日报》发表的一篇专栏文章中，鲍威尔讲述了去年2月他意识到冠状病毒大流行将席卷全国的那一刻。</blockquote></p><p> “The danger to the U.S. economy was grave. The challenge was to limit the severity and duration of the fallout to avoid longer-run damage,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“美国经济面临的危险是严重的。面临的挑战是限制后果的严重程度和持续时间，以避免长期损害，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Powell and his colleagues engineered a rapid response to the crisis, based on the lesson learned from slow recovery to the Great Recession of 2008-2009 that swift action might have been better.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔和他的同事根据从2008-2009年大衰退的缓慢复苏中吸取的教训，设计了对危机的快速反应，即迅速采取行动可能会更好。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank quickly slashed its policy interest rate to zero and launched an open-ended asset purchase program known as quantitative easing.</p><p><blockquote>央行迅速将政策利率下调至零，并启动了被称为量化宽松的开放式资产购买计划。</blockquote></p><p> With economists penciling in strong growth for 2021 and more Americans getting vaccinated every day, financial markets are wondering how long Fed support will last.</p><p><blockquote>随着经济学家预测2021年将出现强劲增长，每天都有更多的美国人接种疫苗，金融市场想知道美联储的支持将持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> In the op-ed, Powell said the situation “is much improved.”</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在专栏中表示，情况“有了很大改善”。</blockquote></p><p> “But the recovery is far from complete, so at the Fed we will continue to provide the economy with the support that it needs for as long as it takes,” Powell said.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔表示：“但复苏远未完成，因此美联储将继续为经济提供所需的支持，只要经济需要。”</blockquote></p><p> “I truly believe that we will emerge from this crisis stronger and better, as we have done so often before,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说：“我真的相信，我们将从这场危机中变得更强大、更好，就像我们以前经常做的那样。”</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the Fed recommitted to its easy money policy stance at its latest policy meeting despite a forecast for stronger economic growth and higher inflation this year.</p><p><blockquote>周三，美联储在最近的政策会议上再次承诺了宽松的货币政策立场，尽管预计今年经济增长将更加强劲，通胀将上升。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed chairman did not mention the outlook for inflation in his Friday article . Many on Wall Street are worried that the economy will overheat before the Fed pulls back its easy policy stance.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席在周五的文章中没有提及通胀前景。华尔街许多人担心，在美联储收回宽松政策立场之前，经济会过热。</blockquote></p><p> Yields on the 10-year Treasury noteTMUBMUSD10Y,1.734%have risen to 1.73% this week after starting the year below 1%.</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.734%的收益率在年初低于1%后，本周已升至1.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks were trading lower on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.71%down 187 points in mid-morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>周五股市走低，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA在早盘交易中下跌187点，-0.71%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-says-fed-will-keep-supporting-economy-for-as-long-as-it-takes-11616165178?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-says-fed-will-keep-supporting-economy-for-as-long-as-it-takes-11616165178?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1117450855","content_text":"Outlook is brightening, but recovery ‘far from complete,’ Fed chairman says in WSJ op-ed.\n\nFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday said that while the U.S. economic outlook is “brightening,” the recovery is “far from complete.”\nIn an op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal,Powell recounted the moment last February when he realized that the coronavirus pandemic would sweep across the country.\n“The danger to the U.S. economy was grave. The challenge was to limit the severity and duration of the fallout to avoid longer-run damage,” he said.\nPowell and his colleagues engineered a rapid response to the crisis, based on the lesson learned from slow recovery to the Great Recession of 2008-2009 that swift action might have been better.\nThe central bank quickly slashed its policy interest rate to zero and launched an open-ended asset purchase program known as quantitative easing.\nWith economists penciling in strong growth for 2021 and more Americans getting vaccinated every day, financial markets are wondering how long Fed support will last.\nIn the op-ed, Powell said the situation “is much improved.”\n“But the recovery is far from complete, so at the Fed we will continue to provide the economy with the support that it needs for as long as it takes,” Powell said.\n“I truly believe that we will emerge from this crisis stronger and better, as we have done so often before,” he said.\nOn Wednesday, the Fed recommitted to its easy money policy stance at its latest policy meeting despite a forecast for stronger economic growth and higher inflation this year.\nThe Fed chairman did not mention the outlook for inflation in his Friday article . Many on Wall Street are worried that the economy will overheat before the Fed pulls back its easy policy stance.\nYields on the 10-year Treasury noteTMUBMUSD10Y,1.734%have risen to 1.73% this week after starting the year below 1%.\nStocks were trading lower on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.71%down 187 points in mid-morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":656,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142691028,"gmtCreate":1626144283364,"gmtModify":1633929675633,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nic e","listText":"Nic e","text":"Nic e","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142691028","repostId":"1119839711","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119839711","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626126339,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119839711?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 05:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数首次收于35,000点，但所有3个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创下历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119839711","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq C","content":"<p>  <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>  The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数收盘略低于35,000点的里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一综合指数连续创下纪录，以上周结束的方式开始了本周。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的收官之际，投资者正在等待美联储主席杰罗姆的半年度证词<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始，一批经济报告贯穿整个星期，企业季度业绩的非正式开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨126.02点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的34,996.18点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的4,384.63点，此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点，即0.2%，收于创纪录的14,733.24点，此前盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五，道琼斯指数和标普500指数收于历史新高，周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅为0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场？</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一，主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。此次上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一些关键事件之前，包括财报季的非正式开始，<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>&amp;Co</b>鲍威尔将于周二在国会大厦作证，摩根大通+1.43%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>，以及有关通货膨胀的最新读数。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲，这可能会推动市场走高，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S.的收入，并补充说，目前，盈利已经掩盖了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>超过计划的基础设施支出和可能更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>凯里对MarketWatch表示：“大多数人似乎都关注经济实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性，而股价肯定处于高位。”</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡，随后以繁荣告终，部分原因是美国国债收益率下降。政府债务利率的下调引发了人们对美国经济从疫情复苏的前景的质疑。COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延已成为一个令人担忧的问题，但某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据，人们对美联储货币政策的质疑也被指责为部分交易不稳定的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>周一，10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y, 1.365%小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%，而30年期国债收益率MUBMUSD30Y, 2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%，接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示，缩减每月1200亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管通胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并令美国家庭担忧，但一些策略师表示，这些担忧对市场来说可能被“过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>由杰森·普莱德和迈克尔·雷诺兹领导的格伦梅德团队在周一的一份报告中写道：“之前的通胀担忧和当前的增长峰值担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断，不会持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行中持续复苏的过程中，市场试图适应快速变化的信息流，可能会保持波动”，但这些因素“不应对市场造成长期破坏”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注delta驱动的COVID感染。美国以3385万例COVID病例和607156例死亡位居世界第一。安东尼·福奇博士周一表示，目前不需要加强剂，但周日CNN inview表示，看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼是“令人震惊的”，并指责“意识形态僵化”阻碍了抗击疫情的斗争。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“我们长期以来一直警告说，疫苗接种不太可能引发向正常状态的平稳过渡，”本·梅说，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津大学</a>经济学全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前，周一没有关键数据公布，首先是周二的消费者价格数据。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外，投资者还关注20国集团财长之间的讨论，他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“我们需要可持续的收入来源，而不是依赖于进一步对工人工资征税和加剧我们都致力于缩小的经济差距，”美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦在向欧盟国家发表的关于修改国际企业税法的讲话中表示。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>她说：“我们需要制止企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区，以及让他们逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>  <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>  <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>  <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%据《华尔街日报》报道，这家芯片和软件公司正在就收购SAS Institute Inc.进行谈判，这笔交易的估值可能达到150亿至200亿美元，周一股价上涨1.2%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc</b>特拉华联邦法官驳回了Blix Inc.的诉讼，称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害了移动操作系统市场的竞争，该公司股价一天下跌0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>LB表示，从8月3日开始，该公司将分拆为两家上市公司，维多利亚的秘密(Victoria's Secret&amp;Co.)的内衣部门将更名为“VSCO”，而Bath&amp;BodyWorks Inc.的子公司将更名为“BBWI”。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%周一，Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元，但仍远未接近该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>户外烤架制造商韦伯(Weber)已申请上市，距其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世已近50年。股票将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>证券交易所，股票代码为WEBR。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid周一下跌17.3%，这是自2020年3月16日以来的最大单日跌幅，此前一天创始人理查德·布兰森(Richard Branson)和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的VSS成功飞入亚轨道空间<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力太空飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商.BASE周一设定了首次公开募股的条款，计划发行700万股，每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“BASE”。</li><li>本公司之股份<b>现代公司</b>.MRNA周一上涨2.8%，此前该公司表示将向阿根廷供应2000万剂COVID-19疫苗。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds公司</a>.</b>尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景，但SWI周一仍下跌1.8%。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>  <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>  <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>  <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>衡量美元兑六个主要竞争对手的ICE美元指数DXY上涨0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收低，美国基准Cl 00 Cl.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%，收于每桶74.10美元。黄金GC 00收跌0.3%，报每盎司1805.90美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面，斯托克欧洲600指数收盘上涨0.7%，而伦敦股市收盘上涨0.7%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX周一收盘上涨0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一，上证综指上涨0.7%，恒生指数恒生指数上涨0.6%，日经225指数上涨2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数首次收于35,000点，但所有3个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创下历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-13 05:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>  The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数收盘略低于35,000点的里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一综合指数连续创下纪录，以上周结束的方式开始了本周。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的收官之际，投资者正在等待美联储主席杰罗姆的半年度证词<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始，一批经济报告贯穿整个星期，企业季度业绩的非正式开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨126.02点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的34,996.18点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的4,384.63点，此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点，即0.2%，收于创纪录的14,733.24点，此前盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五，道琼斯指数和标普500指数收于历史新高，周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅为0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场？</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一，主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。此次上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一些关键事件之前，包括财报季的非正式开始，<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>&amp;Co</b>鲍威尔将于周二在国会大厦作证，摩根大通+1.43%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>，以及有关通货膨胀的最新读数。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲，这可能会推动市场走高，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S.的收入，并补充说，目前，盈利已经掩盖了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>超过计划的基础设施支出和可能更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>凯里对MarketWatch表示：“大多数人似乎都关注经济实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性，而股价肯定处于高位。”</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡，随后以繁荣告终，部分原因是美国国债收益率下降。政府债务利率的下调引发了人们对美国经济从疫情复苏的前景的质疑。COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延已成为一个令人担忧的问题，但某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据，人们对美联储货币政策的质疑也被指责为部分交易不稳定的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>周一，10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y, 1.365%小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%，而30年期国债收益率MUBMUSD30Y, 2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%，接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示，缩减每月1200亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管通胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并令美国家庭担忧，但一些策略师表示，这些担忧对市场来说可能被“过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>由杰森·普莱德和迈克尔·雷诺兹领导的格伦梅德团队在周一的一份报告中写道：“之前的通胀担忧和当前的增长峰值担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断，不会持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行中持续复苏的过程中，市场试图适应快速变化的信息流，可能会保持波动”，但这些因素“不应对市场造成长期破坏”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注delta驱动的COVID感染。美国以3385万例COVID病例和607156例死亡位居世界第一。安东尼·福奇博士周一表示，目前不需要加强剂，但周日CNN inview表示，看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼是“令人震惊的”，并指责“意识形态僵化”阻碍了抗击疫情的斗争。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“我们长期以来一直警告说，疫苗接种不太可能引发向正常状态的平稳过渡，”本·梅说，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津大学</a>经济学全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前，周一没有关键数据公布，首先是周二的消费者价格数据。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外，投资者还关注20国集团财长之间的讨论，他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“我们需要可持续的收入来源，而不是依赖于进一步对工人工资征税和加剧我们都致力于缩小的经济差距，”美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦在向欧盟国家发表的关于修改国际企业税法的讲话中表示。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>她说：“我们需要制止企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区，以及让他们逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>  <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>  <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>  <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%据《华尔街日报》报道，这家芯片和软件公司正在就收购SAS Institute Inc.进行谈判，这笔交易的估值可能达到150亿至200亿美元，周一股价上涨1.2%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc</b>特拉华联邦法官驳回了Blix Inc.的诉讼，称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害了移动操作系统市场的竞争，该公司股价一天下跌0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>LB表示，从8月3日开始，该公司将分拆为两家上市公司，维多利亚的秘密(Victoria's Secret&amp;Co.)的内衣部门将更名为“VSCO”，而Bath&amp;BodyWorks Inc.的子公司将更名为“BBWI”。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%周一，Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元，但仍远未接近该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>户外烤架制造商韦伯(Weber)已申请上市，距其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世已近50年。股票将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>证券交易所，股票代码为WEBR。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid周一下跌17.3%，这是自2020年3月16日以来的最大单日跌幅，此前一天创始人理查德·布兰森(Richard Branson)和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的VSS成功飞入亚轨道空间<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力太空飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商.BASE周一设定了首次公开募股的条款，计划发行700万股，每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“BASE”。</li><li>本公司之股份<b>现代公司</b>.MRNA周一上涨2.8%，此前该公司表示将向阿根廷供应2000万剂COVID-19疫苗。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds公司</a>.</b>尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景，但SWI周一仍下跌1.8%。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>  <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>  <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>  <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>衡量美元兑六个主要竞争对手的ICE美元指数DXY上涨0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收低，美国基准Cl 00 Cl.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%，收于每桶74.10美元。黄金GC 00收跌0.3%，报每盎司1805.90美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面，斯托克欧洲600指数收盘上涨0.7%，而伦敦股市收盘上涨0.7%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX周一收盘上涨0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一，上证综指上涨0.7%，恒生指数恒生指数上涨0.6%，日经225指数上涨2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119839711","content_text":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.\nThe record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.\nHow did stock benchmarks end?\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.\nS&P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.\nNasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.\n\nOn Friday, the Dow and S&P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.\nWhat drove the market?\nMajor stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, whichJPMorgan Chase & Co.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill, and fresh readings on inflation.\n“People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of Equity Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in Washington over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.\n“Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.\nEquity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.\nQuestions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.\nYields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.\nFederal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John Williams told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.\nAlthough inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.\n“Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.\n“Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”\nInvestors also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.\n“We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, Oxford Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.\nNo key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.\nSeparately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.\n“We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.\n“We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.\nWhich companies were in focus?\n\nBroadcom Inc.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.\nApple Inc.AAPL,-0.42% shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.\nL Brands Inc.LB,+4.16% said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret & Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath & BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.\nGameStop Inc.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.\nWeber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.\nShares ofVirgin Galactic Holdings Inc. SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into suborbital space on the company’s VSS Unity rocket-powered spaceplane.\nCouchbase Inc. BASE, a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’\nShares ofModerna Inc. MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.\nShares ofSolarWinds Corp. SWI were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.\n\nHow did other assets trade?\n\nThe ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.\nOil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark CL00 CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold GC00 settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.\nIn European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP closed 0.7% higher, while London’s FTSE 100 UKX finished up 0.05% on Monday.\nIn Asia, the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK rallied 2.3% on Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121859351,"gmtCreate":1624459456373,"gmtModify":1634005798354,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121859351","repostId":"1145825451","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326716221,"gmtCreate":1615711289163,"gmtModify":1703492319714,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>to the moon","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>to the moon","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$to the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326716221","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":807441867,"gmtCreate":1628052906359,"gmtModify":1631891807876,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/807441867","repostId":"2156412186","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802423246,"gmtCreate":1627797650585,"gmtModify":1631891807899,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802423246","repostId":"1142925544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142925544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627787240,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142925544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-01 11:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142925544","media":"Barron's","summary":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970","content":"<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-01 11:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142925544","content_text":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.\nBut the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.\nAugust actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.\nThis July did even better than the norm, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.\nAugust’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”\nNot surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.\nPast isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.\nThe company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.\nAmong those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.\nTo be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.\nBut in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”\nHow those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.\nEconomists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.\nMarkowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1236,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179660528,"gmtCreate":1626519216164,"gmtModify":1633926082096,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179660528","repostId":"1198202103","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152378759,"gmtCreate":1625273282371,"gmtModify":1633941929591,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569201875498781","idStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152378759","repostId":"1165340887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}